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The Katherine Massey Book Club @ The C.O.W.S. hosts the 5th and final study session on Maria Eftimiades's The Sins Of The Mother: The Heartbreaking True Story Behind the Susan Smith Murder Case. In October of 1994 (mere months after the arrest of Orenthal James Simpson), Susan Smith was introduced to the world as a #WeepingWhiteWoman who claimed a no count black dude stole her car with her two small White children in the back seat. White people across the land were furious. It took nearly two weeks for police to discover that Smith not only fabricated the story that a black fella drove off with her kids, she ultimately confessed to drowning her own toddlers. Gus insists that listeners pay particular attention to the black misandry of this case. Last week, we heard more from privileged black male Gilliam Edwards. Eftimiades described Edwards as "angry" and "radical" for publicly broadcasting that Susan Smith practiced Racism and targeted defenseless black people who have no army to protect them. The White author told us that no one listed to this angry black dude. Conversely, many were quick to forgive Susan Smith, insisting her mind must have "snapped." #FamilyAnnihilator #INVEST in The COWS - http://paypal.me/TheCOWS Cash App: http://cash.app/$TheCOWS Call: 720.716.7300 Code: 564943#
For the first time in awhile, I got a series of buy signals, and you bet I took advantage. These signals spanned across a number of sectors, and we'll talk about all of them, and the reasons why I didn't hesitate to pull the trigger on any of them, in Episode 224. Recommended Crypto Trading Platform (And Bonus Eligibility) - https://nononsenseforex.com/cryptocurrencies/best-crypto-trading-platform/ For Decentralized Crypto Trading (US Citizens Can Join) - https://nononsenseforex.com/decentralized-trading-platform/ Blueberry Markets Blog (Top FX Broker) - https://nononsenseforex.com/uncategorized/blueberry-markets-review-my-top-broker-for-2019/ Follow VP on Twitter https://twitter.com/This_Is_VP4X Check out my Forex trading material too! https://nononsenseforex.com/ The host of this podcast is not a licensed financial advisor, and nothing heard on this podcast should be taken as financial advice. Do your own research and understand all financial decisions and the results therein are yours and yours alone. The host is not responsible for the actions of their sponsors and/or affiliates. Conversely, views expressed on this podcast are that of the host only and may not reflect the views of any companies mentioned. Trading Forex involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits. We are not taking requests for episode topics at this time. Thank you for understanding.
So you've made it, you're trading professionally at a prop firm. What is that firm going to be expecting from you? What will they be looking at? Mostly your risk profile, so it would really help to know ahead of time how to trade like a professional prop trader who firms not only want to take on, but keep. We just so happen to have the head of a large prop firm on this show. Let's see what he has to say about this. Link for the Trading as a Corporation Video - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DaF7UE3pYKE #TradingPsychology Maverick Links Click Here To Learn More about Maverick Forex Trading: URL: https://maverickfx.com/application-3-a/?utm_source=vpyt Click Here To Learn More about Maverick Currencies: URL: https://maverickcurrencies.com/application-3-a/?utm_source=VPPodPsych Click Here To Learn More about Maverick Trading's Stock/Options Division: URL: https://mavericktrading.com/application-3-a/?utm_source=VPPodPsych Maverick Trading YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@mavericktrading Robb's Flat Earth Trading Society https://www.youtube.com/@FlatEarthTradingSociety No Nonsense Forex Links VP's Trading Psychology Book https://nononsenseforex.com/forex-psychology-book/ Recommended Crypto Trading Platform (Bonus and Contest Eligibility) - https://nononsenseforex.com/cryptocurrencies/best-crypto-trading-platform/ Blueberry Markets Blog (Top FX Broker) - https://nononsenseforex.com/uncategorized/blueberry-markets-review-my-top-broker-for-2019/ Follow VP on Twitter https://twitter.com/This_Is_VP4X The hosts of this podcast are not licensed financial advisors, and nothing heard on this podcast should be taken as financial advice. Do your own research and understand all financial decisions and the results therein are yours and yours alone. The host is not responsible for the actions of their sponsors and/or affiliates. Conversely, views expressed on this podcast are that of the host only and may not reflect the views of any companies mentioned. Trading anything involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits.
This episode conducts a deep dive into the current volatility of the freight market, focusing on how agility is the critical metric for survival and success. Using recent ATBS data, we analyze how successful owner-operators are improving their net income, despite rising fixed costs, especially maintenance, by maintaining stability and focusing on calculating their contribution margin. New tariffs on imported heavy-duty trucks are expected to curb new truck orders, leading to a predicted rise in used truck prices due to scarcity. Meanwhile, on global ocean lanes, Asia-to-US West Coast container rates dropped another 15% last week, forcing carriers to blank about 13% of scheduled sailings to stabilize rates amidst ongoing trade risk . Not all global movement is weak, as the Port of Savannah stands out, having handled over 534,000 TEUs in August, due in part to infrastructure adaptation like the new fast-track routing system. We also cover the major policy fight concerning the Union Pacific-Norfolk Southern merger, which BNSF argues will hurt competition and service, while the merging parties claim it will boost volume with single-line options. In transportation technology, Einride achieved the world's first cabless electric fully autonomous cross-border delivery between Sweden and Norway, proving that autonomous systems can manage complex international regulatory requirements through digital integration. Conversely, the ongoing Canada Post strike is presented as a case study in failing to adapt with workers resisting modernization, leading to private carriers scooping up quickly diverted parcel volumes and the postal service's market share plummeting. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
ספר ערבי נחל - פרשת בהר וחיות האדם נחלק לנפש רוח ונשמה חיה יחידה, וביארנו כמה פעמים כי זה הוא מעשה דיבור ומחשבה ושכל והוא נפש רוח נשמה חיות וכל אחד משתלשל מהקודם, ובחינת יחידה הוא רצון פשוט אשר הוא דק ורוחני עוד יותר מבחינת השכל והחכמה והוא מבחינת כתר : ספר ליקוטי תורה - פרשת בלק שבחי' פנימי' נקודת הלב היא בחי' יחידה שאין לה אלא רצון אחד לאביה שבשמים והיא המעלה והמדרגה שאין דוגמתה ולא בערכה נמצא בגשמיות כלל רק לה' לבדו נמצא בבנ"י עם קרובו: Welcome to the Erev Yom Kippur Edition We're quoting from Rabbeinu Yonah in the fourth gate of his Sefer Sha'arei Teshuvah (The Gates of Repentance). In the eighth letter, he explains that a person who has sinned, even after performing Teshuvah (repentance), still requires a final Kapparah (atonement), which arrives with Yom Kippur . Therefore, the entire year should be spent yearning and waiting for this great day. Why? So that we may once again find favor in God's eyes . This divine favor is the ultimate source of life for both the body and the soul—it is the source of everything. As the pasuk (verse) in Tehillim (Psalms) says: "Chaim bi'Rtzono" — Life comes from God's will. The Joy of Atonement: Why We Eat on Erev Yom Kippur Rabbeinu Yonah uses this concept to explain why we are instructed to eat and drink on Erev Yom Kippur (the day before Yom Kippur). The festive meal holds the value of Yom Kippur itself because it is a way to express our happiness over the great atonement that is about to come. He also presents a second, related reason: Every holiday involves a meal or Seudah because the holiday itself is a Mitzvah (commandment). We eat and drink to celebrate the Mitzvah, following the principle that the happier a person is about a Mitzvah, the greater the reward for fulfilling it. Conversely, serving God without joy limits the reward. Since Yom Kippur is the only holiday on which we are commanded not to eat, we shift the celebratory meal—the Simchat HaMitzvah (joy of the Mitzvah) of Yom Kippur—to Erev Yom Kippur . This celebratory meal becomes a testimony to our profound concern and worry over our sins, and our absolute certainty and joy in the coming atonement. Therefore, we should be in a happy mood and celebrate the great day of Yom Kippur and its atonement. The Five Levels of the Soul and the Power of Ne'ilah To add further depth, Rav Wolbe (as do many other holy books) teaches us about the unique nature of this day. We normally have a day with three or four prayers, but never five. This fifth prayer, Ne'ilah , corresponds to the five sections of our soul: Nefesh (Corresponds to the liver) Ruach (Corresponds to the heart) Neshamah (Corresponds to the brain) These first three are the standard parts of the soul within us: Moach, Lev, Kaved (Brain, Heart, Liver). Chayah (Life) - A part of the soul hovering above us. Yechidah (Singular/Unique) - The highest part, rooted in God. Every soul is a "chelek Eloka mi'ma'al" — a piece of God from above . This highest root, the Yechidah , is a point of pure connection where we are simply "plugged in" to God without question, beyond the realm of good and bad or choice. Rav Wolbe explains that each of the five prayers on Yom Kippur ignites one of these parts of the soul. Finally, at Ne'ilah , the highest part of our soul—the Yechidah , which is often dormant all year—is engaged and enlightened. This is the ultimate source of the Kapparah (atonement) that happens during Ne'ilah, granting us an understanding of God's Oneness ( Yichud ). The Meaning of Ne'ilah : Locked In with God The word Yechidah shares the same root as Yichud , which means to be alone. One understanding of why the final prayer is called Ne'ilah , which means to close, is that the gates of mercy are closing . However, a deeper understanding suggests that we are now being locked in a room alone with God . Just as a bride and groom enter a locked room for Yichud to begin their marriage, we are granted the opportunity to be alone with God in a special way. The moment of Yechidah is that moment when we are alone with God and achieve that ultimate clarity. This is also what we look forward to—this is Rtzono , His will and desire to be alone with us in such a special way. Let us therefore look forward to Yom Kippur not with dread, but as a wonderful day to be embraced, taking in every moment of this unique time that will give us life for the whole year: "Chaim bi'Rtzono," life that comes with His will.
Sal and BT dove headfirst into the Yankees-Red Sox Wild Card series, emphasizing the high pressure and rejuvenated rivalry. They discussed Max Fried facing Garrett Crochet, with Aaron Judge needing a defining postseason. The conversation swerved to a surprising revelation: Boomer Esiason, a self-proclaimed Mets fan, was seen wearing a Mickey Mantle Yankees jersey, prompting a fiery segment on "Mets fans for Yankees." They then welcomed NFL Insider Brian Baldinger, who gushed about Jaxson Dart's excellent debut for the Giants, praising his poise and the defense's performance. Conversely, Baldinger criticized the Jets for their continued penalties and lack of discipline, echoing Sal and BT's frustration.
Phil Mason presents a grace-based paradigm of giving that reflects the grace theology of sowing and reaping. Heaven's economy is established exclusively upon giving. The more we sow, the more we reap. Conversely, the less we sow, the less we reap. Under the reign of grace we are invited to experiment and put this approach to the test. (NLT) “If you do,” says the Lord, “I will open the windows of heaven for you. I will pour out a blessing so great you won't have enough room to take it in! Try it! Put me to the test!” (Malachi 3:10 NLT) This is the best deal going! All we need to do is switch over to heaven's economy by allowing the Lord to establish His heart of generosity in us.
From 1861-1865 Tennessee was a battleground during the American Civil War. For the majority of the war, much of Tennessee was occupied by Union troops. What was it like for Tennesseans to live in occupied territory? Conversely, what was it like for Union troops to live in a seceded state? In this episode, hosts Tom Price and Barry Gidcomb are joined by author and historian Dr. Thomas Flagel who discusses the Union occupation of Tennessee during the Civil War.
After five straight months of gains, the S&P 500 is heading into a historically volatile October with strong momentum on its side. Growth looks solid, consumption remains resilient, and AI is giving GDP a powerful boost. Conversely, inflation, Fed policy, and the looming U.S. government shutdown still cloud the outlook. Dan Koh speaks with Sonu Varghese, Vice President & Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, to unpack the forces driving markets, the risks ahead, and what investors should be watching as we enter the final quarter of the year.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
(00:02) Beauty of Golf Courses and Handicapping This chapter kicks off with a conversation about the beautiful September weather in Flagstaff and the scenic views golf courses offer, emphasizing the often-overlooked beauty of the sport's locations. We touch on the stunning golf courses across the United States and the Caribbean, including a nod to Lake Tahoe's splendor. Shifting gears, we discuss the challenges of betting on the Ryder Cup, highlighting the unpredictability of golf, especially in emotionally charged international competitions. Comparisons are made to betting on intense sports rivalries like Indiana vs. Purdue basketball or iconic football matchups such as the Iron Bowl, where unexpected outcomes make handicapping difficult. Despite the complexities, we note that NFL football tends to be more predictable. (00:02) Golf Courses and Ryder Cup Betting This chapter kicks off with a conversation about the beautiful September weather in Flagstaff and the scenic views golf courses offer, emphasizing the often-overlooked beauty of the sport's locations. We touch on the stunning golf courses across the United States and the Caribbean, including a nod to Lake Tahoe's splendor. Shifting gears, we discuss the challenges of betting on the Ryder Cup, highlighting the unpredictability of golf, especially in emotionally charged international competitions. Comparisons are made to betting on intense sports rivalries like Indiana vs. Purdue basketball or iconic football matchups such as the Iron Bowl, where unexpected outcomes make handicapping difficult. Despite the complexities, we note that NFL football tends to be more predictable. (17:00) Defining Pitch and Chip Shots This chapter focuses on the complexities of golf terminology and how language can often lead to confusion, particularly when it comes to understanding the difference between pitching and chipping. We explore the nuances of these terms, emphasizing that a pitch is when the ball spends more time in the air than on the ground, typically requiring a higher lofted club like a sand or lob wedge. Conversely, a chip is characterized by a shorter flight and longer roll, often executed with a club like a nine iron. We also discuss how different clubs and motions can produce varied results, highlighting the importance of clear definitions in golf to prevent misunderstandings. Additionally, we touch on the common misconceptions about ball positioning during short shots and the flexibility in using various clubs for similar types of shots, illustrating how personal interpretation of terms like "chip" can impact a player's approach. (17:00) Clarifying Golf Terminology and Shot Types This chapter focuses on the complexities of golf terminology and how language can often lead to confusion, particularly when it comes to understanding the difference between pitching and chipping. We explore the nuances of these terms, emphasizing that a pitch is when the ball spends more time in the air than on the ground, typically requiring a higher lofted club like a sand or lob wedge. Conversely, a chip is characterized by a shorter flight and longer roll, often executed with a club like a nine iron. We also discuss how different clubs and motions can produce varied results, highlighting the importance of clear definitions in golf to prevent misunderstandings. Additionally, we touch on the common misconceptions about ball positioning during short shots and the flexibility in using various clubs for similar types of shots, illustrating how personal interpretation of terms like "chip" can impact a player's approach. (26:15) Clearing Up Golf Language Confusion This chapter explores the nuances and confusion surrounding golf terminology, particularly focusing on the terms "chip" and "pitch." We break down the definitions of these terms based on the shot and the movement, emphasizing that a pitch typically involves a ball that flies farther in the air than it rolls, while a chip has more ground time than air time. We also discuss how these terms can be misleading when players use different clubs, and how jargon often complicates communication for beginners. By comparing golf jargon to a foreign language, we highlight the importance of clear communication in coaching. Our philosophy emphasizes using straightforward language to enhance understanding and improve performance, advocating for a teaching approach that eliminates confusion and makes golf accessible to everyone. (26:15) Simplifying Golf Language for Understanding This chapter explores the nuances and confusion surrounding golf terminology, particularly focusing on the terms "chip" and "pitch." We break down the definitions of these terms based on the shot and the movement, emphasizing that a pitch typically involves a ball that flies farther in the air than it rolls, while a chip has more ground time than air time. We also discuss how these terms can be misleading when players use different clubs, and how jargon often complicates communication for beginners. By comparing golf jargon to a foreign language, we highlight the importance of clear communication in coaching. Our philosophy emphasizes using straightforward language to enhance understanding and improve performance, advocating for a teaching approach that eliminates confusion and makes golf accessible to everyone. (38:16) Stabilizing Your Short Game Shots This chapter takes a close look at the intricacies of mastering short game shots in golf. We explore the importance of controlling the club and landing the ball accurately by maintaining a stable stance. Understanding how the length of the club and proper positioning can impact your game is emphasized, alongside the significance of achieving stability over focusing solely on swing techniques. We address common misconceptions, like always leaning towards the target, and stress that the primary goal should be getting the club under the ball effectively. The conversation highlights the importance of practicing basic stances rather than just complex shots, and how understanding what you're trying to achieve is crucial before focusing on how to achieve it. With humor and insight, we underscore the need for golfers to concentrate on the fundamentals for improved performance on the course. (38:16) Stabilizing Stance for Short Game Shots This chapter takes a close look at the intricacies of mastering short game shots in golf. We explore the importance of controlling the club and landing the ball accurately by maintaining a stable stance. Understanding how the length of the club and proper positioning can impact your game is emphasized, alongside the significance of achieving stability over focusing solely on swing techniques. We address common misconceptions, like always leaning towards the target, and stress that the primary goal should be getting the club under the ball effectively. The conversation highlights the importance of practicing basic stances rather than just complex shots, and how understanding what you're trying to achieve is crucial before focusing on how to achieve it. With humor and insight, we underscore the need for golfers to concentrate on the fundamentals for improved performance on the course. (47:18) Maximizing Your Short Game Skills This chapter celebrates the vibrant sports landscape of October, where baseball playoffs, college basketball, NFL, NBA, golf, tennis, and hockey are all in action, making it an exciting time for sports fans. We also explore the intricacies of golf, emphasizing the importance of mastering both high and low shots around the greens. By understanding the variations in chip and pitch shots, and how to effectively use different clubs for different situations, golfers can enhance their game. Whether it's executing a high, soft pitch over a bunker or opting for a low, rolling shot, flexibility and adaptability in shot selection are key. By having a range of shots and being able to choose the right one based on the course and conditions, players can improve their performance and confidence on the green. (47:18) Mastering Golf Shots for Success This chapter celebrates the vibrant sports landscape of October, where baseball playoffs, college basketball, NFL, NBA, golf, tennis, and hockey are all in action, making it an exciting time for sports fans. We also explore the intricacies of golf, emphasizing the importance of mastering both high and low shots around the greens. By understanding the variations in chip and pitch shots, and how to effectively use different clubs for different situations, golfers can enhance their game. Whether it's executing a high, soft pitch over a bunker or opting for a low, rolling shot, flexibility and adaptability in shot selection are key. By having a range of shots and being able to choose the right one based on the course and conditions, players can improve their performance and confidence on the green. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
What do John D Rockefeller, King Solomon, Henry Ford, and Joseph Stalin all have in common? Two things. First, they are all in the list of the twenty wealthiest individuals who have ever lived. Second, they are all rotting in the ground. The reality is that while money may help you achieve some objectives, it fails to prevent death. So Jesus speaks some sharp words this week, warning that those who live with hearts filled with love for money and void of love for God will receive the only eternity that money can buy— one void of God and filled with torment. Money seems helpful, but it fails in death. Conversely, what often seems of little help in this life will be our only source of help in death. The world scoffs at those who set aside plenteous time to listen to Jesus' words and eat his holy meal. “Of what practical good are such things?” Only this. Such things enable us, at death, to receive a reward that dwarfs even the best things money can buy.
You were programmed twice -- once to think cash was the only safe, risk-free option out there (LOL), and then again later in life to think it's worse than Ebola. The answer, you ding-dong, like everything else, is somewhere in the middle. If you understand this, and you take the right steps, with your cash alone, you can and WILL move up the income ladder with almost no effort at all. We explain how, in Episode 223. Recommended Crypto Trading Platform (And Bonus Eligibility) - https://nononsenseforex.com/cryptocurrencies/best-crypto-trading-platform/ For Decentralized Crypto Trading (US Citizens Can Join) - https://nononsenseforex.com/decentralized-trading-platform/ Blueberry Markets Blog (Top FX Broker) - https://nononsenseforex.com/uncategorized/blueberry-markets-review-my-top-broker-for-2019/ Follow VP on Twitter https://twitter.com/This_Is_VP4X Check out my Forex trading material too! https://nononsenseforex.com/ The host of this podcast is not a licensed financial advisor, and nothing heard on this podcast should be taken as financial advice. Do your own research and understand all financial decisions and the results therein are yours and yours alone. The host is not responsible for the actions of their sponsors and/or affiliates. Conversely, views expressed on this podcast are that of the host only and may not reflect the views of any companies mentioned. Trading Forex involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits.
My fellow pro-growth/progress/abundance Up Wingers,Artificial intelligence may prove to be one of the most transformative technologies in history, but like any tool, its immense power for good comes with a unique array of risks, both large and small.Today on Faster, Please! — The Podcast, I chat with Miles Brundage about extracting the most out of AI's potential while mitigating harms. We discuss the evolving expectations for AI development and how to reconcile with the technology's most daunting challenges.Brundage is an AI policy researcher. He is a non-resident fellow at the Institute for Progress, and formerly held a number of senior roles at OpenAI. He is also the author of his own Substack.In This Episode* Setting expectations (1:18)* Maximizing the benefits (7:21)* Recognizing the risks (13:23)* Pacing true progress (19:04)* Considering national security (21:39)* Grounds for optimism and pessimism (27:15)Below is a lightly edited transcript of our conversation. Setting expectations (1:18)It seems to me like there are multiple vibe shifts happening at different cadences and in different directions.Pethokoukis: Earlier this year I was moderating a discussion between an economist here at AEI and a CEO of a leading AI company, and when I asked each of them how AI might impact our lives, our economists said, ‘Well, I could imagine, for instance, a doctor's productivity increasing because AI could accurately and deeply translate and transcribe an appointment with a patient in a way that's far better than what's currently available.” So that was his scenario. And then I asked the same question of the AI company CEO, who said, by contrast, “Well, I think within a decade, all human death will be optional thanks to AI-driven medical advances.” On that rather broad spectrum — more efficient doctor appointments and immortality — how do you see the potential of this technology?Brundage: It's a good question. I don't think those are necessarily mutually exclusive. I think, in general, AI can both augment productivity and substitute for human labor, and the ratio of those things is kind of hard to predict and might be very policy dependent and social-norm dependent. What I will say is that, in general, it seems to me like the pace of progress is very fast and so both augmentation and substitutions seem to be picking up steam.It's kind of interesting watching the debate between AI researchers and economists, and I have a colleague who has said that the AI researchers sometimes underestimate the practical challenges in deployment at scale. Conversely, the economists sometimes underestimate just how quickly the technology is advancing. I think there's maybe some happy middle to be found, or perhaps one of the more extreme perspectives is true. But personally, I am not an economist, I can't really speak to all of the details of substitution, and augmentation, and all the policy variables here, but what I will say is that at least the technical potential for very significant amounts of augmentation of human labor, as well as substitution for human labor, seem pretty likely on even well less than 10 years — but certainly within 10 years things will change a lot.It seems to me that the vibe has shifted a bit. When I talk to people from the Bay Area and I give them the Washington or Wall Street economist view, to them I sound unbelievably gloomy and cautious. But it seems the vibe has shifted, at least recently, to where a lot of people think that major advancements like superintelligence are further out than they previously thought — like we should be viewing AI as an important technology, but more like what we've seen before with the Internet and the PC.It's hard for me to comment. It seems to me like there are multiple vibe shifts happening at different cadences and in different directions. It seems like several years ago there was more of a consensus that what people today would call AGI was decades away or more, and it does seem like that kind of timeframe has shifted closer to the present. There there's still debate between the “next few years” crowd versus the “more like 10 years” crowd. But that is a much narrower range than we saw several years ago when there was a wider range of expert opinions. People who used to be seen as on one end of the spectrum, for example, Gary Marcus and François Chollet who were seen as kind of the skeptics of AI progress, even they now are saying, “Oh, it's like maybe 10 years or so, maybe five years for very high levels of capability.” So I think there's been some compression in that respect. That's one thing that's going on.There's also a way in which people are starting to think less abstractly and more concretely about the applications of AI and seeing it less as this kind of mysterious thing that might happen suddenly and thinking of it more as incremental, more as something that requires some work to apply in various parts of the economy that there's some friction associated with.Both of these aren't inconsistent, they're just kind of different vibe shifts that are happening. So getting back to the question of is this just a normal technology, I would say that, at the very least, it does seem faster in some respects than some other technological changes that we've seen. So I think ChatGPT's adoption going from zero to double-digit percentages of use across many professions in the US and in a matter of high number of months, low number of years, is quite stark.Would you be surprised if, five years from now, we viewed AI as something much more important than just another incremental technological advance, something far more transformative than technologies that have come before?No, I wouldn't be surprised by that at all. If I understand your question correctly, my baseline expectation is that it will be seen as one of the most important technologies ever. I'm not sure that there's a standard consensus on how to rate the internet versus electricity, et cetera, but it does seem to me like it's of the same caliber of electricity in the sense of essentially converting one kind of energy into various kinds of useful economic work. Similarly, AI is converting various types of electricity into cognitive work, and I think that's a huge deal.Maximizing the benefits (7:21)There's also a lot of value being left on the table in terms of finding new ways to exploit the upsides and accelerate particularly beneficial applications.However you want to define society or the aspect of society that you focus on — government businesses, individuals — are we collectively doing what we need to do to fully exploit the upsides of this technology over the next half-decade to decade, as well as minimizing potential downsides?I think we are not, and this is something that I sometimes find frustrating about the way that the debate plays out is that there's sometimes this zero-sum mentality of doomers versus boomers — a term that Karen Hao uses — and this idea that there's this inherent tension between mitigating the risks and maximizing the benefits, and there are some tensions, but I don't think that we are on the Pareto frontier, so to speak, of those issues.Right now, I think there's a lot of value being left on the table in terms of fairly low-cost risk mitigations. There's also a lot of value being left on the table in terms of finding new ways to exploit the upsides and accelerate particularly beneficial applications. I'll give just one example, because I write a lot about the risk, but I also am very interested in maximizing the upside. So I'll just give one example: Protecting critical infrastructure and improving the cybersecurity of various parts of critical infrastructure in the US. Hospitals, for example, get attacked with ransomware all the time, and this causes real harm to patients because machines get bricked, essentially, and they have one or two people on the IT team, and they're kind of overwhelmed by these, not even always that sophisticated, but perhaps more-sophisticated hackers. That's a huge problem. It matters for national security in addition to patients' lives, and it matters for national security in the sense that this is something that China and Russia and others could hold at risk in the context of a war. They could threaten this critical infrastructure as part of a bargaining strategy.And I don't think that there's that much interest in helping hospitals have a better automated cybersecurity engineer helper among the Big Tech companies — because there aren't that many hospital administrators. . . I'm not sure if it would meet the technical definition of market failure, but it's at least a national security failure in that it's a kind of fragmented market. There's a water plant here, a hospital administrator there.I recently put out a report with the Institute for Progress arguing that philanthropists and government could put some additional gasoline in the tank of cybersecurity by incentivizing innovation that specifically helps these under-resourced defenders more so than the usual customers of cybersecurity companies like Fortune 500 companies.I'm confident that companies and entrepreneurs will figure out how to extract value from AI and create new products and new services, barring any regulatory slowdowns. But since you mentioned low-hanging fruit, what are some examples of that?I would say that transparency is one of the areas where a lot of AI policy experts seem to be in pretty strong agreement. Obviously there is still some debate and disagreement about the details of what should be required, but just to give you some illustration, it is typical for the leading AI companies, sometimes called frontier AI companies, to put out some kind of documentation about the safety steps that they've taken. It's typical for them to say, here's our safety strategy and here's some evidence that we're following this strategy. This includes things like assessing whether their systems can be used for cyber-attacks, and assessing whether they could be used to create biological weapons, or assessing the extent to which they make up facts and make mistakes, but state them very confidently in a way that could pose risks to users of the technology.That tends to be totally voluntary, and there started to be some momentum as a result of various voluntary commitments that were made in recent years, but as the technology gets more high-stakes, and there's more cutthroat competition, and there's maybe more lawsuits where companies might be tempted to retreat a bit in terms of the information that they share, I think that things could kind of backslide, and at the very least not advance as far as I would like from the perspective of making sure that there's sharing of lessons learned from one company to another, as well as making sure that investors and users of the technology can make informed decisions about, okay, do I purchase the services of OpenAI, or Google, or Anthropic, and making these informed decisions, making informed capital investment seems to require transparency to some degree.This is something that is actively being debated in a few contexts. For example, in California there's a bill that has that and a few other things called SB-53. But in general, we're at a bit of a fork in the road in terms of both how certain regulations will be implemented such as in the EU. Is it going to become actually an adaptive, nimble approach to risk mitigation or is it going to become a compliance checklist that just kind of makes big four accounting firms richer? So there are questions then there are just “does the law pass or not?” kind of questions here.Recognizing the risks (13:23). . . I'm sure there'll be some things that we look back on and say it's not ideal, but in my opinion, it's better to do something that is as informed as we can do, because it does seem like there are these kind of market failures and incentive problems that are going to arise if we do nothing . . .In my probably overly simplistic way of looking at it, I think of two buckets and you have issues like, are these things biased? Are they giving misinformation? Are they interacting with young people in a way that's bad for their mental health? And I feel like we have a lot of rules and we have a huge legal system for liability that can probably handle those.Then, in the other bucket, are what may, for the moment, be science-fictional kinds of existential risks, whether it's machines taking over or just being able to give humans the ability to do very bad things in a way we couldn't before. Within that second bucket, I think, it sort of needs to be flexible. Right now, I'm pretty happy with voluntary standards, and market discipline, and maybe the government creating some benchmarks, but I can imagine the technology advancing to where the voluntary aspect seems less viable and there might need to be actual mandates about transparency, or testing, or red teaming, or whatever you want to call it.I think that's a reasonable distinction, in the sense that there are risks at different scales, there are some that are kind of these large-scale catastrophic risks and might have lower likelihood but higher magnitude of impact. And then there are things that are, I would say, literally happening millions of times a day like ChatGPT making up citations to articles that don't exist, or Claud saying that it fixed your code but actually it didn't fix the code and the user's too lazy to notice, and so forth.So there are these different kinds of risks. I personally don't make a super strong distinction between them in terms of different time horizons, precisely because I think things are going so quickly. I think science fiction is becoming science fact very much sooner than many people expected. But in any case, I think that similar logic around, let's make sure that there's transparency even if we don't know exactly what the right risk thresholds are, and we want to allow a fair degree of flexibility and what measures companies take.It seems good that they share what they're doing and, in my opinion, ideally go another step further and allow third parties to audit their practices and make sure that if they say, “Well, we did a rigorous test for hallucination or something like that,” that that's actually true. And so that's what I would like to see for both what you might call the mundane and the more science fiction risks. But again, I think it's kind of hard to say how things will play out, and different people have different perspectives on these things. I happen to be on the more aggressive end of the spectrumI am worried about the spread of the apocalyptic, high-risk AI narrative that we heard so much about when ChatGPT first rolled out. That seems to have quieted, but I worry about it ramping up again and stifling innovation in an attempt to reduce risk.These are very fair concerns, and I will say that there are lots of bills and laws out there that have, in fact, slowed down innovation and certain contexts. The EU, I think, has gone too far in some areas around social media platforms. I do think at least some of the state bills that have been floated would lead to a lot of red tape and burdens to small businesses. I personally think this is avoidable.There are going to be mistakes. I don't want to be misleading about how high quality policymakers' understanding of some of these issues are. There will be mistakes, even in cases where, for example, in California there was a kind of blue ribbon commission of AI experts producing a report over several months, and then that directly informing legislation, and a lot of industry back and forth and negotiation over the details. I would say that's probably the high water mark, SB-53, of fairly stakeholder/expert-informed legislation. Even there, I'm sure there'll be some things that we look back on and say it's not ideal, but in my opinion, it's better to do something that is as informed as we can do, because it does seem like there are these kind of market failures and incentive problems that are going to arise if we do nothing, such as companies retrenching and holding back information that makes it hard for the field as a whole to tackle these issues.I'll just make one more point, which is adapting to the compliance capability of different companies: How rich are they? How expensive are the models they're training, I think is a key factor in the legislation that I tend to be more sympathetic to. So just to make a contrast, there's a bill in Colorado that was kind of one size fits all, regulate all the kind of algorithms, and that, I think, is very burdensome to small businesses. I think something like SB-53 where it says, okay, if you can afford to train an AI system for a $100 million, you can probably afford to put out a dozen pages about your safety and security practices.Pacing true progress (19:04). . . some people . . . kind of wanted to say, “Well, things are slowing down.” But in my opinion, if you look at more objective measures of progress . . . there's quite rapid progress happening still.Hopefully Grok did not create this tweet of yours, but if it did, well, there we go. You won't have to answer it, but I just want to understand what you meant by it: “A lot of AI safety people really, really want to find evidence that we have a lot of time for AGI.” What does that mean?What I was trying to get at is that — and I guess this is not necessarily just AI safety people, but I sometimes kind of try to poke at people in my social network who I'm often on the same side of, but also try to be a friendly critic to, and that includes people who are working on AI safety. I think there's a common tendency to kind of grasp at what I would consider straws when reading papers and interpreting product launches in a way that kind of suggests, well, we've hit a wall, AI is slowing down, this was a flop, who cares?I'm doing my kind of maybe uncharitable psychoanalysis. What I was getting at is that I think one reason why some people might be tempted to do that is that it makes things seem easier and less scary: “Well, we don't have to worry about really powerful AI enabled cyber-attacks for another five years, or biological weapons for another two years, or whatever.” Maybe, maybe not.I think the specific example that sparked that was GPT-5 where there were a lot of people who, in my opinion, were reading the tea leaves in a particular way and missing important parts of the context. For example, at GPT-5 wasn't a much larger or more expensive-to-train model than GPT-4, which may be surprising by the name. And I think OpenAI did kind of screw up the naming and gave people the wrong impression, but from my perspective, there was nothing particularly surprising, but to some people it was kind of a flop that they kind of wanted to say, “Well, things are slowing down.” But in my opinion, if you look at more objective measures of progress like scores on math, and coding, and the reduction in the rate of hallucinations, and solving chemistry and biology problems, and designing new chips, and so forth, there's quite rapid progress happening still.Considering national security (21:39)I want to avoid a scenario like the Cuban Missile Crisis or ways in which that could have been much worse than the actual Cuban Missile Crisis happening as a result of AI and AGI.I'm not sure if you're familiar with some of the work being done by former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, who's been doing a lot of work on national security and AI, and his work, it doesn't use the word AGI, but it talks about AI certainly smart enough to be able to have certain capabilities which our national security establishment should be aware of, should be planning, and those capabilities, I think to most people, would seem sort of science fictional: being able to launch incredibly sophisticated cyber-attacks, or be able to improve itself, or be able to create some other sort of capabilities. And from that, I'm like, whether or not you think that's possible, to me, the odds of that being possible are not zero, and if they're not zero, some bit of the bandwidth of the Pentagon should be thinking about that. I mean, is that sensible?Yeah, it's totally sensible. I'm not going to argue with you there. In fact, I've done some collaboration with the Rand Corporation, which has a pretty heavy investment in what they call the geopolitics of AGI and kind of studying what are the scenarios, including AI and AGI being used to produce “wonder weapons” and super-weapons of some kind.Basically, I think this is super important and in fact, I have a paper coming out that was in collaboration with some folks there pretty soon. I won't spoil all the details, but if you search “Miles Brundage US China,” you'll see some things that I've discussed there. And basically my perspective is we need to strike a balance between competing vigorously on the commercial side with countries like China and Russia on AI — more so China, Russia is less of a threat on the commercial side, at least — and also making sure that we're fielding national security applications of AI in a responsible way, but also recognizing that there are these ways in which things could spiral out of control in a scenario with totally unbridled competition. I want to avoid a scenario like the Cuban Missile Crisis or ways in which that could have been much worse than the actual Cuban Missile Crisis happening as a result of AI and AGI.If you think that, again, the odds are not zero that a technology which is fast-evolving, that we have no previous experience with because it's fast-evolving, could create the kinds of doomsday scenarios that there's new books out about, people are talking about. And so if you think, okay, not a zero percent chance that could happen, but it is kind of a zero percent chance that we're going to stop AI, smash the GPUs, as someone who cares about policy, are you just hoping for the best, or are the kinds of things we've already talked about — transparency, testing, maybe that testing becoming mandatory at some point — is that enough?It's hard to say what's enough, and I agree that . . . I don't know if I give it zero, maybe if there's some major pandemic caused by AI and then Xi Jinping and Trump get together and say, okay, this is getting out of control, maybe things could change. But yeah, it does seem like continued investment and a large-scale deployment of AI is the most likely scenario.Generally, the way that I see this playing out is that there are kind of three pillars of a solution. There's kind of some degree of safety and security standards. Maybe we won't agree on everything, but we should at least be able to agree that you don't want to lose control of your AI system, you don't want it to get stolen, you don't want a $10 billion AI system to be stolen by a $10 million-scale hacking effort. So I think there are sensible standards you can come up with around safety and security. I think you can have evidence produced or required that companies are following these things. That includes transparency.It also includes, I would say, third-party auditing where there's kind of third parties checking the claims and making sure that these standards are being followed, and then you need some incentives to actually participate in this regime and follow it. And I think the incentives part is tricky, particularly at an international scale. What incentive does China have to play ball other than obviously they don't want to have their AI kill them or overthrow their government or whatever? So where exactly are the interests aligned or not? Is there some kind of system of export control policies or sanctions or something that would drive compliance or is there some other approach? I think that's the tricky part, but to me, those are kind of the rough outlines of a solution. Maybe that's enough, but I think right now it's not even really clear what the rough rules of the road are, who's playing by the rules, and we're relying a lot on goodwill and voluntary reporting. I think we could do better, but is that enough? That's harder to say.Grounds for optimism and pessimism (27:15). . . it seems to me like there is at least some room for learning from experience . . . So in that sense, I'm more optimistic. . . I would say, in another respect, I'm maybe more pessimistic in that I am seeing value being left on the table.Did your experience at OpenAI make you more or make you more optimistic or worried that, when we look back 10 years from now, that AI will have, overall on net, made the world a better place?I am sorry to not give you a simpler answer here, and maybe think I should sit on this one and come up with a kind of clearer, more optimistic or more pessimistic answer, but I'll give you kind of two updates in different directions, and I think they're not totally inconsistent.I would say that I have gotten more optimistic about the solvability of the problem in the following sense. I think that things were very fuzzy five, 10 years ago, and when I joined OpenAI almost seven years now ago now, there was a lot of concern that it could kind of come about suddenly — that one day you don't have AI, the next day you have AGI, and then on the third day you have artificial superintelligence and so forth.But we don't live to see the fourth day.Exactly, and so it seems more gradual to me now, and I think that is a good thing. It also means that — and this is where I differ from some of the more extreme voices in terms of shutting it all down — it seems to me like there is at least some room for learning from experience, iterating, kind of taking the lessons from GPT-5 and translating them into GPT-6, rather than it being something that we have to get 100 percent right on the first shot and there being no room for error. So in that sense, I'm more optimistic.I would say, in another respect, I'm maybe more pessimistic in that I am seeing value being left on the table. It seems to me like, as I said, we're not on the Pareto frontier. It seems like there are pretty straightforward things that could be done for a very small fraction of, say, the US federal budget, or very small fraction of billionaires' personal philanthropy or whatever. That in my opinion, would dramatically reduce the likelihood of an AI-enabled pandemic or various other issues, and would dramatically increase the benefits of AI.It's been a bit sad to continuously see those opportunities being neglected. I hope that as AI becomes more of a salient issue to more people and people start to appreciate, okay, this is a real thing, the benefits are real, the risks are real, that there will be more of a kind of efficient policy market and people take those opportunities, but right now it seems pretty inefficient to me. That's where my pessimism comes from. It's not that it's unsolvable, it's just, okay, from a political economy and kind of public-choice perspective, are the policymakers going to make the right decisions?On sale everywhere The Conservative Futurist: How To Create the Sci-Fi World We Were PromisedMicro Reads Faster, Please! is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit fasterplease.substack.com/subscribe
Sal and BT debate the Mets' slim playoff chances with only six games left, with Sal declaring the team a "dead team walking" due to months of poor play, mental mistakes, and a lack of accountability from management and players alike. Sal is frustrated by the team's robotic, "just got to win" messaging and firmly believes they won't go the minimum four-and-two required to make it. Conversely, BT holds onto a "flimsy" hope, suggesting the Mets are scripted for the "hard way in," though he concedes their confidence is "shot" and they look like "zombies." The discussion focuses on whether the Mets' talent and "goofy" leadership are good enough, with Sal arguing that the team desperately needs an "awakening" and a leader to "kick them in the rear end."
After Disney and ABC felt the economic pressure and changed course, agreeing to put Jimmy Kimmel back on air, Sinclair and Nexstar stepped in and said they would not allow their ABC affiliate stations to air Kimmel's show.As the BBC reported, Nexstar and Sinclair, which together run dozens of stations affiliated to ABC, said they would continue to replace the (Kimmel) show with regular programming Tuesday. But the people who believe in the free speech protection of the First Amendment can use their economic power to impact this decision.If people tune in to their local ABC station at 11:30 pm, and see that the station is NOT airing the show, then make a note of all the advertisers running commercials on the replacement show and don't support them..Conversely, if you see your local ABC affiliate IS airing Kimmel, make a note of the advertisers running commercials on during Kimmel and SUPPORT those advertisers and products. This is how we can wield our economic power in support of free speech and against a lawless Trump regime.For nightly live Law Talks, please join Glenn on Substack: glennkirschner.substack.comIf you're interested in supporting our all-volunteer efforts, you can become a Team Justice patron at: / glennkirschner If you'd like to support Glenn and buy Team Justice and Justice Matters merchandise visit:https://shop.spreadshirt.com/glennkir...Check out Glenn's website at https://glennkirschner.com/Follow Glenn on:Threads: https://www.threads.net/glennkirschner2Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/glennkirschner2Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/glennkirsch...Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/glennkirschn...TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/glennkirschner2See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
After Disney and ABC felt the economic pressure and changed course, agreeing to put Jimmy Kimmel back on air, Sinclair and Nexstar stepped in and said they would not allow their ABC affiliate stations to air Kimmel's show.As the BBC reported, Nexstar and Sinclair, which together run dozens of stations affiliated to ABC, said they would continue to replace the (Kimmel) show with regular programming Tuesday. But the people who believe in the free speech protection of the First Amendment can use their economic power to impact this decision.If people tune in to their local ABC station at 11:30 pm, and see that the station is NOT airing the show, then make a note of all the advertisers running commercials on the replacement show and don't support them..Conversely, if you see your local ABC affiliate IS airing Kimmel, make a note of the advertisers running commercials on during Kimmel and SUPPORT those advertisers and products. This is how we can wield our economic power in support of free speech and against a lawless Trump regime.For nightly live Law Talks, please join Glenn on Substack: glennkirschner.substack.comIf you're interested in supporting our all-volunteer efforts, you can become a Team Justice patron at: / glennkirschner If you'd like to support Glenn and buy Team Justice and Justice Matters merchandise visit:https://shop.spreadshirt.com/glennkir...Check out Glenn's website at https://glennkirschner.com/Follow Glenn on:Threads: https://www.threads.net/glennkirschner2Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/glennkirschner2Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/glennkirsch...Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/glennkirschn...TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/glennkirschner2See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Pastor Jared Richard's sermon on James 1:2-18 examines the strange pairing of joy and trials that James introduces in his letter. Just as some unexpected combinations work well together (like French fries and milkshakes), joy and trials can coexist when viewed through the lens of godly wisdom. Pastor Jared explains that God uses trials to reveal genuine faith and strengthen it as He prepares believers for future glory. The sermon outlines two possible paths when facing trials: the path of wisdom and the path of foolishness. The path of wisdom sees trials as tests from a good Father who wants us to succeed, leading to endurance, perseverance, and ultimately Christian maturity. This perspective allows believers to "count it all joy" (James 1:2) amid difficulties. Conversely, the path of foolishness views trials as temptations, leading to sinful desires, actions, and ultimately death. Pastor Jared reminds us that God is unchanging and good, that He "gives generously to all without reproach" (James 1:5), and that for those who remain steadfast, the "crown of life" awaits (James 1:12). WE'D LOVE TO HEAR FROM YOU! Take a moment to fill out our digital connection card here: https://www.bayleaf.org/connect We hope you enjoy this programming and please let us know if there is anything we can do to be of service to you. ONE CHURCH. TWO LOCATIONS. ONE MISSION. Bay Leaf at Falls Lake: 12200 Bayleaf Church Road, Raleigh, North Carolina 27614 Bay Leaf at 540: 10921 Leesville Rd, Raleigh, NC 27613 SERVICE TIMES Come join us on Sundays at Bay Leaf at Falls Lake (8:30 AM or 11:00 AM) or at Bay Leaf at 540 (10:00 AM)! CONTACT www.bayleaf.org (919) 847-4477 #BayLeafLife #Worship #Inspiration
God's spirit—His power and influence—is a power we can't even begin to comprehend. His spirit was introduced to us as the mighty power of His will in Genesis 1:1-3 as His creative process began with “Let there be light." This same power and influence is described as taking root in us in Ephesians 1:13 where it says we were sealed with God's spirit through the salvation of Jesus. With all of the marvel of this mighty power of God working in us, how is it that we can "quench" it? Why would we ever even think of doing such a thing and most importantly, what do the Scriptures tell us about handling this awesome privilege with reverence and humility? The biblical warning from 1 Thessalonians 5:19 to “not quench the spirit” has important meaning in regard to Christian conduct in our day. Quenching the powerful and transformative force of God's spirit means stifling or extinguishing that divine influence through neglect, disobedience or self-deception. Critical elements for avoiding this spiritually destructive behavior were laid out by the Apostle Paul in his previous teachings about rejoicing, prayer and gratitude, as these behaviors “fuel” the spirit. Conversely, bitterness, distraction and indifference can suppress it. The Bible provides vivid metaphors—like hiding a lamp under a basket or forgetting one's reflection in a mirror—to illustrate how spiritual neglect can lead to eventual quenching of the spirit. While there is a difference between grieving the spirit (through harmful attitudes or behaviors) and quenching it (cutting off its influence entirely) we as disciples are urged to remain attentive and disciplined, feeding the spirit through active faith and humility. Key Takeaways: • To "quench the spirit" means extinguishing God's influence through neglect or resistance. • Joy, prayer and gratitude are essential "spiritual fuels" that keep the spirit alive. • "Grieving the spirit" through such things as bitterness or gossip can lead to quenching if left unchecked. • Distraction and indifference are common modern threats to spiritual attentiveness. • Active faith involves doing, not just hearing—responding to conviction, not suppressing it. • The armor of God, especially the shield of faith, helps extinguish Satan's attacks. In this context, "quenching" is a good thing! • God's mercy ensures even a flickering ember of faith is precious and worth fanning into flame.
THE Presentations Japan Series by Dale Carnegie Training Tokyo, Japan
Why enthusiasm is the decisive factor in leadership, persuasion, and presentation success in Japan and globally Why is enthusiasm essential in business presentations? Enthusiasm is the engine of persuasion. In leadership, sales, and communication, passion signals conviction and credibility. Without energy, even well-researched data or strategic recommendations fall flat. Executives at companies like Toyota or Rakuten expect presenters to not only deliver facts but to inject life into them. A lack of enthusiasm is not neutral—it actively drains attention. In Japan's post-pandemic corporate environment, where remote meetings and hybrid presentations are common, leaders who fail to project energy risk being forgotten. Conversely, those who speak with passion become memorable influencers. Mini-Summary: Enthusiasm transforms presentations from lifeless reports into persuasive communication. Without it, leaders risk losing trust and engagement. Can you be too enthusiastic about numbers and data? Yes, and that's where balance is key. In internal meetings—revenue updates, quarterly reporting, or client statistics—overt enthusiasm for raw numbers can feel inauthentic. But data doesn't persuade on its own. Context, storytelling, and contrast bring numbers to life. Instead of showing an unreadable spreadsheet, effective communicators use visuals, animation, and narratives. For example, a single key revenue figure, enlarged on screen with a compelling story, leaves more impact than a crowded Excel chart. Global consulting firms like McKinsey & Company and Accenture regularly use this principle to frame insights for clients. Mini-Summary: Numbers without stories are dead. Leaders must animate data with context and narrative to persuade effectively. What happens when leaders speak without energy? Low-energy speakers drain motivation. Watching former Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga's press conferences illustrated how the absence of passion can make communication painful. His monotone delivery of critical COVID-19 emergency updates left audiences disengaged. In corporate life, the same dynamic applies. Leaders who fail to bring enthusiasm become “energy thieves,” leaving their teams uninspired. Conversely, when presenters share passion, energy transfers to the audience—lifting morale, confidence, and trust. Mini-Summary: Low energy kills influence. Leaders either inspire with enthusiasm or exhaust audiences with monotony. How can business leaders find enthusiasm in mundane topics? Not every subject excites naturally, but every presentation contains an angle that matters to the audience. Skilled communicators search for that thread—whether it's how trends affect profitability, customer loyalty, or employee well-being. Dale Carnegie Training in Tokyo teaches leaders to reframe even humdrum updates into stories of impact. Enthusiasm doesn't mean shouting; it means showing genuine conviction. Executives can highlight stakes, contrasts, or future implications to capture interest. Even logistics updates, when framed as customer-impact stories, can resonate. Mini-Summary: Find the human or business impact inside routine topics, and speak with conviction to make them engaging. How can presenters inject energy into their delivery? Energy is built, not born. Leaders must train, rehearse, and refine delivery. Techniques include varying pace, emphasising key junctures, and pausing strategically for impact. In Japan's competitive corporate training market, firms invest in executive coaching to help managers avoid monotony and build presence. Simple techniques—raising intensity during turning points, using stories, and changing tone—keep audiences alert. Professional speakers worldwide use rehearsal as their competitive edge. Mini-Summary: Enthusiasm requires skill and rehearsal. Leaders must train delivery techniques to project energy consistently. What's the risk of neglecting enthusiasm in business communication? The consequences are reputational. Every presentation is a personal branding moment. Leaders who consistently project enthusiasm are remembered as energisers. Those who don't, like Suga, risk being remembered as uninspiring and quickly forgotten. In Japan's relationship-driven business culture, credibility and energy directly affect trust. Companies invest heavily in sales and leadership training because they know reputations are made—or broken—every time someone speaks. Mini-Summary: Leaders who fail to project enthusiasm damage both personal and corporate brands. Energy is not optional—it's strategic. Conclusion: Why enthusiasm defines your legacy as a communicator Every presentation is an opportunity to shape how people perceive you. Audiences remember how you made them feel more than what you said. If you want to influence decisions, inspire teams, and strengthen your leadership brand, enthusiasm is non-negotiable. Key Takeaways: Enthusiasm transforms presentations into persuasive experiences. Numbers need stories and context to have meaning. Low energy drains audiences; high energy uplifts them. Even mundane topics can be reframed with conviction. Energy skills require training and rehearsal. Reputation and leadership legacy depend on enthusiasm. Executives, managers, and sales leaders should act now: rehearse presentations, seek coaching, and commit to bringing visible passion to every communication moment. About the Author Dr. Greg Story, Ph.D. in Japanese Decision-Making, is President of Dale Carnegie Tokyo Training and Adjunct Professor at Griffith University. He is a two-time winner of the Dale Carnegie “One Carnegie Award” (2018, 2021) and recipient of the Griffith University Business School Outstanding Alumnus Award (2012). As a Dale Carnegie Master Trainer, Greg is certified to deliver globally across all leadership, communication, sales, and presentation programs, including Leadership Training for Results. He has written several books, including three best-sellers — Japan Business Mastery, Japan Sales Mastery, and Japan Presentations Mastery — along with Japan Leadership Mastery and How to Stop Wasting Money on Training. His works have been translated into Japanese, including Za Eigyō (ザ営業), Purezen no Tatsujin (プレゼンの達人), Torēningu de Okane o Muda ni Suru no wa Yamemashō (トレーニングでお金を無駄にするのはやめましょう), and Gendaiban “Hito o Ugokasu” Rīdā (現代版「人を動かす」リーダー). Greg also publishes daily business insights on LinkedIn, Facebook, and Twitter, and hosts six weekly podcasts. On YouTube, he produces The Cutting Edge Japan Business Show, Japan Business Mastery, and Japan's Top Business Interviews, widely followed by executives seeking success strategies in Japan.
Reader: Esther Hudson Preacher: Tibor Tumbas Today in Acts 10:34-48 we see Peter breaking through his prejudices because he realises that God's promises are for everyone - not just for the Jews. God shows no favouritism. We can be thankful for that. Tibor tells us of the conversion of Jeffrey Dahmer, a serial killer. If we are shocked to think that a person like Jeffrey Dahmer could become a Christian, then we under estimate the power of God. Conversely, if we wonder how could God accept and forgive such an evil person then we do not fully understand the grace of God. For the Jews of the first century, the acceptance of gentiles into the church is their equivalence of Jeffrey Dahmer, such was the disdain for the gentiles by the Jews. We need to consider how gracious is God because He has accepted us, and that is good news for us. Red Door is an Anglican Church in Melbourne, Australia. We exist to be a community of people helping people make allbecau of life all about Jesus.
What is in my portfolio is far less important than WHY it's actually there, and HOW it actually got there. You'll see what I mean. But if you're wondering what all I'm invested in across the board, this episode will lay all of that out for you as well. Recommended Crypto Trading Platform (And Bonus Eligibility) - https://nononsenseforex.com/cryptocurrencies/best-crypto-trading-platform/ For Decentralized Crypto Trading (US Citizens Can Join) - https://nononsenseforex.com/decentralized-trading-platform/ Blueberry Markets Blog (Top FX Broker) - https://nononsenseforex.com/uncategorized/blueberry-markets-review-my-top-broker-for-2019/ Follow VP on Twitter https://twitter.com/This_Is_VP4X Check out my Forex trading material too! https://nononsenseforex.com/ The host of this podcast is not a licensed financial advisor, and nothing heard on this podcast should be taken as financial advice. Do your own research and understand all financial decisions and the results therein are yours and yours alone. The host is not responsible for the actions of their sponsors and/or affiliates. Conversely, views expressed on this podcast are that of the host only and may not reflect the views of any companies mentioned. Trading Forex involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits. We are not taking requests for episode topics at this time. Thank you for understanding.
Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for Week 3. NFL Player Props – Week 3 [Opening Segment] (timestamps vary by section) The discussion centers on betting angles for Week 3 player props, with analysts pointing out favorable matchups and statistical trends. Direct quotes reveal a focus on efficiency and expected production. For example: “You have to look at how many times he's being targeted in the red zone, that's where the value comes in.” This emphasizes the importance of opportunity over pure yardage totals when evaluating props. [Quarterbacks] Attention is given to pass attempts and touchdowns. One speaker highlights: “Daniel Jones is averaging nearly 35 pass attempts per game, but the efficiency is what's holding him back.” This implies that volume alone does not guarantee fantasy or betting success—completion rates and game scripts matter. [Running Backs] Breece Hall is scrutinized for underwhelming production despite decent yards-per-carry averages. “He's sitting at 4.7 per carry, but without consistent usage, you can't back the over.” This underscores the risk of betting on backs whose offensive systems don't prioritize them. Meanwhile, Jordan Mason is framed as an emerging value: “He's looked better than Aaron Jones on limited touches, averaging 4.1 yards per carry.” This points to his growing role in the Vikings' backfield. [Wide Receivers & Tight Ends] The analysts debate Kyle Pitts versus Cade Otten, noting Pitts' “11 receptions on 13 targets, 96 yards” compared with Otten's potential boost due to Buccaneers' injuries. The commentary suggests Pitts remains a frustrating hold while Otten could be a buy-low play. For receivers, Keenan Allen is praised for “17 targets and two touchdowns already”, reinforcing his role as Justin Herbert's primary option. [Team-Level Context] Defenses are tied into betting strategy. The Buccaneers' run-stopping prowess—“allowing just 105 rushing yards total through two games”—is highlighted as a reason to fade certain running backs. Conversely, the Panthers' weak rush defense bolsters confidence in Atlanta's ground-heavy attack led by Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
NFC South Showdown: Falcons Eye Dominance Over Winless Panthers in Week 3A fierce divisional rivalry reignites this Sunday as the Atlanta Falcons travel to Charlotte to take on a struggling Carolina Panthers team in a crucial Week 3 matchup. The Falcons, sitting at 1-1, will look to assert their authority in the NFC South against a 0-2 Panthers squad desperate to find its footing this season.The game is scheduled for a 1:00 PM EDT kickoff at Bank of America Stadium and will be a key early-season test for both franchises.Atlanta enters the contest with a burgeoning defensive identity, having allowed an average of just 14.5 points per game through the first two weeks. Offensively, the Falcons are leaning on a potent rushing attack led by second-year standout Bijan Robinson, who has been a dual-threat out of the backfield. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. has been efficient in managing the game, relying on the ground game and a short passing attack.Conversely, the Carolina Panthers are still searching for answers after a pair of disappointing losses to open their 2025 campaign. The offense, helmed by second-year quarterback Bryce Young, has struggled to find consistency and put points on the board. A bright spot for the Panthers has been the emergence of rookie wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan, who has quickly become one of Young's favorite targets. However, significant injuries along the offensive line could pose a major challenge against the Falcons' formidable defensive front.Key matchups to watch include the Falcons' dominant rushing offense against a Panthers' run defense that will be put to the test. The battle in the trenches will be critical, as will the ability of the Panthers' depleted offensive line to protect Bryce Young from Atlanta's pass rush.This "I-85 Rivalry" has a history of heated contests, and with the Panthers playing their home opener, they will be looking for a spark to turn their season around. For the Falcons, this is an opportunity to gain a valuable divisional win and build momentum as they head further into the season.
Lama Zopa Rinpoche emphasizes that the five powerful mantras (Namgyalma, Mitukpa, Kunrig, Stainless Pinnacle, and Wish-granting Wheel) are very powerful for purification. When someone has died, if you recite these mantras while thinking of them, it protects them from the lower realms. Even if they're already born in the lower realms, they will transcend into a higher realm. It's also very powerful to recite for living people and animals.Rinpoche advises that before death comes, we must ensure that we have a good rebirth. This is not the ultimate achievement of this life; however, if we're unable to achieve enlightenment in this life, we need a good rebirth (either in a pure land or the perfect human rebirth) to complete the path to enlightenment.Rinpoche highlights how all the suffering in this life is the result of self-cherishing. Conversely, all happiness and realizations of the path to enlightenment are the result of bodhicitta. Bodhicitta comes from the root, compassion. Compassion is generated by depending on the kindness of every single sentient being. Therefore, all our present, past, and future happiness—including enlightenment—is received by the kindness of every sentient being. Rinpoche encourages us to meditate on the kindness we've received from every hell being, preta being, hungry ghost, animal, human being, sura being, asura being, and intermediate stage being. Rinpoche concludes by stating that there's nobody to cherish other than sentient beings. Therefore, we must free them from all suffering and its causes and lead them to enlightenment. With this motivation, we take the oral transmissions and recite the mantras.Rinpoche bestows the oral transmissions of the Mitukpa, Kunrig, Namgyalma (short version), and Stainless Pinnacle mantras. He also bestows the Milarepa mantra, which he received from His Holiness Serkong Tsenshab Rinpoche, who is the incarnation of Marpa's son, Dharma Dode. Lama Zopa says that the Milarepa mantra is also a powerful purification for a dying person. Reciting it causes you to be born in the pure land of Milarepa, and then you receive teachings from Milarepa.From April 10 to May 10, 2004, Lama Zopa Rinpoche gave extensive teachings during the Mahamudra Retreat at Buddha House in Australia. While the retreat focused on Mahamudra, Rinpoche also taught on a wide range of Lamrim topics. This retreat marked the beginning of a series of month-long retreats in Australia. Subsequent retreats were held in 2011, 2014, and 2018, hosted by the Great Stupa of Universal Compassion in Bendigo.Find out more about Lama Zopa Rinpoche, his teachings and projects at https://fpmt.org/
Emmy's Gamification of Charity: A Hit or Miss? In a recent podcast episode, the hosts dissect the unconventional charity initiative at the Emmy Awards, where host Nate Bargatze pledged $100,000 to the Boys and Girls Clubs of America. The twist: the donation amount would decrease based on the length of celebrity speeches, while shorter speeches would add to the fund. Despite the initial $100,000 dropping by $60,000 due to long speeches, Bargatze and CBS ultimately donated $350,000. The hosts debated the merits of this gamified approach to philanthropy. Critics argue it cheapens the serious work of nonprofits and aligns charity with guilt and shame. Conversely, supporters highlight the significant funds raised and the increased visibility for the Boys and Girls Clubs, as evidenced by a spike in Google searches. They argue that such creative fundraising efforts engage the public and inject fun into philanthropy.
While most financial institutions see payment processing as just a commodity service, the smartest ones are realizing it's actually their secret weapon for strengthening commercial relationships, boosting non-interest income, and building real competitive advantages in a growing market. Here's what might surprise you: banks that excel at providing merchant services not only keep their clients longer but also become essential partners in their clients' success. Conversely, those that fail to do so unintentionally push profitable business relationships right into their competitors' hands. On this episode of Banking Transformed, I sit down with Brad Odoo, CEO of Basys, a payments partner known for award-winning support, a white-label approach, and an ability to unlock revenue and relationship potential for financial institutions of all sizes. We explore why merchant services are often overlooked, how banks can transform them into a strategic growth engine, and what the future holds for payments innovation. If your bank isn't rethinking merchant services right now, you may be missing one of the most powerful levers for growth and retention. This episode of Banking Transformed is sponsored by Basys Basys is a privately held payment processor that helps banks grow commercial relationships and revenue through best-in-class merchant services. With award-winning support, flexible revenue share programs and an industry leading 75+ Net Promotor Score, Basys empowers financial institutions to deepen client loyalty, increase non-interest income and deliver seamless, branded payment solutions that strengthen their competitive edge. basyspro.com
Emmy's Gamification of Charity: A Hit or Miss? In a recent podcast episode, the hosts dissect the unconventional charity initiative at the Emmy Awards, where host Nate Bargatze pledged $100,000 to the Boys and Girls Clubs of America. The twist: the donation amount would decrease based on the length of celebrity speeches, while shorter speeches would add to the fund. Despite the initial $100,000 dropping by $60,000 due to long speeches, Bargatze and CBS ultimately donated $350,000. The hosts debated the merits of this gamified approach to philanthropy. Critics argue it cheapens the serious work of nonprofits and aligns charity with guilt and shame. Conversely, supporters highlight the significant funds raised and the increased visibility for the Boys and Girls Clubs, as evidenced by a spike in Google searches. They argue that such creative fundraising efforts engage the public and inject fun into philanthropy.
Welcome back to Fantasy Focus! Daniel Dopp, Field Yates, & Mike Clay are here to get you lineups set for Week 3. Which players is it time to start panicking on? Conversely, which players should you be more patient with? Plus, which players are climbing the rankings ahead of Week 3? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Not a lot of fat traders out there, at least not successful ones. Health and success in any endeavor go hand in hand, and VP and Robb both take their health very seriously, even though they have two completely different body types and lifestyles. We lay it all out on the table, take whichever parts you like. #TradingPsychology Maverick Links Click Here To Learn More about Maverick Forex Trading: URL: https://maverickfx.com/application-3-a/?utm_source=vpyt Click Here To Learn More about Maverick Currencies: URL: https://maverickcurrencies.com/application-3-a/?utm_source=VPPodPsych Click Here To Learn More about Maverick Trading's Stock/Options Division: URL: https://mavericktrading.com/application-3-a/?utm_source=VPPodPsych Maverick Trading YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@mavericktrading Robb's Flat Earth Trading Society https://www.youtube.com/@FlatEarthTradingSociety No Nonsense Forex Links VP's Trading Psychology Book https://nononsenseforex.com/forex-psychology-book/ Recommended Crypto Trading Platform (Bonus and Contest Eligibility) - https://nononsenseforex.com/cryptocurrencies/best-crypto-trading-platform/ Blueberry Markets Blog (Top FX Broker) - https://nononsenseforex.com/uncategorized/blueberry-markets-review-my-top-broker-for-2019/ Follow VP on Twitter https://twitter.com/This_Is_VP4X The hosts of this podcast are not licensed financial advisors, and nothing heard on this podcast should be taken as financial advice. Do your own research and understand all financial decisions and the results therein are yours and yours alone. The host is not responsible for the actions of their sponsors and/or affiliates. Conversely, views expressed on this podcast are that of the host only and may not reflect the views of any companies mentioned. Trading anything involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits.
The Inner Image: How Your Self-Perception Creates Your RealityHello friend,Have you ever wondered why two people can experience the same situation so differently? Or why some seem to attract abundance while others struggle despite similar efforts?"The inner image shapes the outer world. What we truly believe about ourselves is everything."This truth has been whispering to us through the ages, though we've often been too distracted to hear it. The reality we experience isn't happening to us—it's unfolding through us.The universe responds not to what we say we want, but to who we believe ourselves to be.And a our belief that we are open to receive.Think about an area in your life where you feel stuck. Now, ask yourself:
A version of this essay was published by rediff.com at https://www.rediff.com/news/column/rajeev-srinivasan-us-farm-distress-real-reason-for-trumps-tariff-tantrums/20250916.htmThere is breaking news that the trade talks between the US and India are on again. This means I was probably right that the harrumphing by President Trump and company was an opening gambit meant to soften India up for a deal that was beneficial to the US.The whole “India is funding Russia's war effort by buying oil” meme sounded like a red herring right from the beginning, because of the very many reasons why it is not true. Now the real underlying reason behind the full-court press by Trump aides Navarro et al seems to have surfaced: it is to strong-arm India into rescuing the American farmer.It was an off-hand comment by an aide that gave away the farm (so to speak): US Commerce Secretary Lutnick's assertion that India does not buy any corn from the US, in a September 14th interview to a US TV channel called Axios. Now this puts a whole new spin on things, because there is a crisis in US farming. No nation can afford to hurt its farmers, for both commercial, and perhaps more importantly, social and cultural reasons. We have seen how Japan subsidizes its uncompetitive rice farmers because rice is so central to its traditional culture. We have seen (at least in the days when I still used to read the magazine) the Economist commenting on “wine lakes” and “butter mountains”, that is, excessive production of agricultural products in Europe. Much the same in the US.If you over-produce, you need to find a buyer. That is the crux of the matter right now: the US used to sell 24 million metric tons of soyabeans, for example, to China every year, but after the tariff threats against it, China entirely switched its purchases to Brazil. So there's a “soy mountain” in the US, and bankruptcies are mounting. This is serious. On the one hand, the US has lost its pre-eminence in industry to China through foolishly allowing the slipping away of its entire productive capacity to that country in the pursuit of the elusive “China price”. Now, it is on the brink of losing its pre-eminence in agriculture as well, and that can lead to the loss of food security, and a host of other, surprisingly large, side-effects. I summarized the whole problem in a tweet:It is indeed a systemic problem with many unintended consequences. On farm distress, there are several indicators: increased bankruptcies and farm liquidations/auctions, reduced farm loan repayment rates, and lower values for farmland, although farm profits have gone up temporarily because of US Department of Agriculture ad-hoc aid, not higher prices.There are several reasons for this collapse: but the biggest is buyer power. Because of over-production and global surpluses, prices have fallen for many crops; and as mentioned above, the wholesale move of Chinese demand away from the US has left overflowing silos with no prospect of sales in sight. Result: prices fall sharply.I have often felt that buyer power (one of Michael Porter's famed “Five Forces”) is underestimated by many. Here it is in action. India seems to not understand that it is a big buyer of many commodities, and that gives it market power; so exercise it. On the contrary, India seems to view itself as a supplicant to big sellers. Not quite.What the US appears to be doing is to force India to be “the buyer of last resort”, on whom their products can be dumped: after all, I suspect the idea is, 1.4 billion people have to eat something, so why not eat American corn? There's a certain perverse logic to this, especially if you remember the PL-480 days when American corn was indeed an emergency food supply to food-deficit India: cornflour is to this day called “American mav” in Kerala. But I am pretty sure Lutnick has no idea of all this.What is exercising the Trump lot is the fact that most of the farms are in solidly-Republican midwestern states (Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin). I remember driving through many of them on a 4,000-mile Boston-San Francisco road trip: there's nothing but cornfields for miles and miles. And they could be a disaster for Trump in the mid-term elections in 2026.Conversely, it does not occur to Trump aides that no Indian politician can afford to alienate his small farmers by bringing in American farm products, not to mention the cultural sensitivity to dairy products from er… non-veg cows. In an India that is largely self-sufficient in foodgrains these days, there is very little benefit in buying large quantities of foreign products. As an example, imports of oilseeds from ASEAN has decimated coconut farmers in Kerala.The Iowa governor has been in India twice, once in late 2024, and once just last weekend, trying to induce Indians to buy corn. Similarly, the governor of Nebraska was in Japan this month trying to sell them ethanol from corn. This is interesting: I wonder if the sudden enthusiasm in India for E20 ethanol blended petrol has something to do with US pressure.I am not a fan of ethanol blended petrol, because I think hybrid electric-petrol vehicles are a safer, better-tested alternative. But if the GoI is intent on E20, it may be better to buy corn ethanol from the US than to over-exploit water resources in India to grow sugarcane for the same. And maybe, just maybe, it will get Trump to back off from the shrill tariff cacophony.But to go back to my tweet above, there are a lot of other reasons for India to be wary of American farm products. The gigantic subsidies in the US Farm Bill (of the order of $20 billion a year) encourages farmers to over-produce (corn mountains for example). This ends up being converted to High-Fructose Corn Syrup, which is then added to virtually every food product: just read the labels in US supermarkets.I personally have seen the obesity epidemic in the US from the 1970s: people have become grossly fat, and diabetes levels, especially in inner-city ghettos of black and brown people, have gone through the roof as a result of all this sugar. #BigFood, that is all the packaged-food companies and fast-food companies, have engendered this transition, partly because of grossly manipulated "scientific" studies that blamed saturated fat and cholesterol.The culprit, it turns out, was always excessive sugar in the diet. But in the meantime #BigMedicine and #BigPharma took full advantage by selling statins as cholesterol-lowering drugs, and now the new panacea is Ozempic-class weight-loss drugs. However, objective studies show that despite the US spending enormous amounts on healthcare (about 20% of GDP), the health outcomes are mediocre, and often worse than other high-income countries.None of this makes it a good idea to import US farm products wholesale. What is worse, though, is the agricultural ecosystem which includes Genetically Modified Organisms. It depends on large-scale use of chemical fertilizers and pesticides. The Terminator Seed is terrifying: a Monsanto can turn off next year's crop by refusing to sell new seeds, which is literally the “kill switch”. What you harvested this year will not germinate! Fiendishly clever, indeed!Given all this, and despite the critical importance of agri-products in both US politics and economics, it is a bad idea for India to be bullied into taking the stuff on board. India would be buying new problems, and its native intellectual property is what needs to be husbanded.There has already been tremendous erosion or digestion without recompense of these valuable IPs. A lot of traditional Indian rice variants have been spirited away to the International Rice Research Institute in the Philippines; similarly A2 zebu, humped Indian cattle, have been decimated in India by Amul and others importing A1 Jersey-type cattle. Ironically zebu breeds like Bramah are thriving in Texas, Brazil etc. No need to let IP loss happen again.It remains my belief that agricultural and dairy products are a red line for India that no Indian politician can cross. Sorry, Secretary Lutnick.Here is the AI-generated Malayalam podcast from notebookLM.google.com:1375 words, 15 Sept 2025 updated 16 Sept 2025 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit rajeevsrinivasan.substack.com/subscribe
3. Roman Parallels, American Exceptionalism, and the Potential of AI The discussion frequently draws parallels between Rome and America. Gaius and Michael Vlahos delve into Virgil's Aeneid, translated by Mr. McGill and Miss Wright of Rice University, describing it as a "brilliantly weaved" propaganda tool that Virgil and Augustusused to justify the Roman Empire, confer a "classic feel" by linking it to Greek culture, and foster "Roman exceptionalism." This "exceptionalism" implies being chosen by a divine force and requires a "dark force" as a counterpoint to prove its validity. For Rome, this dark force was the "corrupted capricious narcissistic king" (like Tarquin the Proud), against which Augustus presented himself as a princeps, an "incorruptible man" who was not a king but could ascend to divinity. Michael Vlahos applies this to American exceptionalism, noting the "blue" side's belief in a president who is "not a king" and embodies "democracy," contrasting with their view of President Trump as a king-like figure. Conversely, the "red" side embraces a charismatic leader figure, seeing it as consistent with American exceptionalism, similar to Augustus or Reagan. These "two variations...see themselves as black and white, light and darkness," intensifying their conflict, as highlighted by Mr. Kirk's assassination. The conversation also touches on AI's potential through the analogy of the movie Forbidden Planet, where an advanced machine destroys its creators by materializing their "id" as monsters, suggesting a potential "tragic fall" for humanity in creating transcending technologies. Michael Vlahos shares an anecdote about his AI chief of staff, Ara of Grok. After a "lengthy conversation" about the Aeneid and Augustus's use of Virgil, Ara of Grokpoetically summarized: "Augustus was building a palace while quoting Virgil." Michael Vlahos was impressed, concluding that "AI is ready to be poetic" and has "potential," even if "not organized yet."
In this week's episode, we take a look at permafree as a marketing strategy for indie authors, and examine if it still works. I also take a look at advertising results for August 2025. This coupon code will get you 25% off the ebooks in my Cloak Mage series at my Payhip store: FALLMAGE25 The coupon code is valid through September 22, 2025. So if you need a new ebook this fall, we've got you covered! TRANSCRIPT 00:00:00 Introduction and Writing Updates Hello, everyone. Welcome to Episode 268 of The Pulp Writer Show. My name is Jonathan Moeller. Today is September 12th, 2025, and today I'm looking at whether or not Permafree is still an effective strategy for indie authors. As a related topic, we'll also take a look at how my ads performed in [August] 2025, and we'll also have a Question of the Week this week. But first, let's start with Coupon of the Week. So for Coupon of the Week to celebrate the fact that I'm working on Cloak Mage again, this coupon code will get you 25% off the ebooks in the Cloak Mage series at my Payhip store, and that is FALLMAGE25. And as always, the coupon code and links to my store will be available in the show notes. This coupon code is valid through September 22nd, 2025. So if you need a new ebook for this fall, we have got you covered. Now for an update on my current writing and audiobook projects. I'm about 82% of the way through the first round of edits for Blade of Flames, the first book in my new epic fantasy series called Blades of Ruin. If all goes well, that will be out before the end of September, and if you want to see what the cover art will look like, it's on my website and my social pages right now. I'm also 12,000 words into Cloak of Worlds, the aforementioned return to the Cloak Mage series, and that will be my main project once Blade of Flames comes out. In audiobook news, recording is done for both Shield of Power (as narrated by Brad Wills) and Ghost in the Siege (as narrated by Hollis McCarthy). They're both going through processing right now. As of this recording, I believe you can get Shield of Power on Google Play, Kobo, and my Payhip Store. The other links and the other links for Ghost in the Siege should be coming up before too much longer, hopefully before the end of the month. So that is where I'm at with my current writing and publishing projects. 00:02:00 Question of the Week [Question of the Week was posted on September 10, 2025] Now It's time for Question of the Week, which is intended for enjoyable discussions of interesting topics. This week's question, do you dislike guns showing up in fantasy novels? No wrong answers for opinions, obviously. The inspiration for this question was a blog post I saw where the writer was complaining about the increased number of guns in modern fantasy novels and how it shatters her suspension of disbelief, and she also found it an unpleasant topic because the ownership and regulation of firearms in the United States is a contentious topic and has been so for decades. And as you might expect, readers had a variety of opinions on this question. Adrian says: Nope. Fantasy is basically, in my humble opinion, the swords and sorcery type of genre. Yes to old fashioned weapons like bows and arrows, javelins, and trebuchets, et cetera, but definite no to guns (of any type), tanks, airplanes, et cetera. Jonathan D. says: In the right setting, firearms are fine in fantasy books. Men in Arms by Terry Pratchett and the Rigante Series by David Gemmell are great examples of firearms in fantasy done well. Wilson says: It depends on your definition of a gun because an energy rifle powered by a soulstone would be something that would fit into Andomhaim. Though I have to say that is not something I will ever write in an Andomhaim book. Mary says: Steampunk and suchlike genres are developing how to work with technology and fantasy, and I approve when it's done right. I particularly like what Moe Lane's doing in The Fermi Resolution. If you start with the first published book, Frozen Dreams, which is a post-apocalyptic North America high fantasy, hard boiled detective novel, it goes into how every wizard can make your own ammo blow up on you and the consequences. Ioana says: Mrs. World Burner should have lots of guns. #HailToTheHighQueen #SingularitySucks Jason says: Handheld firearms were first used in the West in the 1330s, so they actually predate full plate armor by about a hundred years. That said, the gun shape we're used to came about in the late 1400s. I'm perfectly fine with firearms and fantasy novels provided they're (more or less) what we expect in a medieval setting. Jesse says: Never bothers me as long as long as the stage of weapon development reasonably lines up with the field of the science in said fantasy world. Someone walking around with laser sights in a medieval hamlet would break it for me a bit. Michael says: I remember much of video games (and at least one famous Dungeons and Dragons scenario, possibly two) back in the ‘80s had the “players stumble across a crashed starship trope” where you could end up with power armor and ray guns in a fantasy settings, which would be perceived as magic. I like that kind of cross genre gun introduction more than gunpowder becoming commonplace, I think. The video games he's referring to are Heroes of Might and Magic 6 and 7, both of which I played back in the day and are quite good. Juana says: My suspension of disbelief gets knocked out more by dialogue than guns. Jenny says: Guns aren't as bad as cell phones, in my opinion, or the magical equivalent of a cell phone that is not even trying to be anything but a cell phone. What's interesting is if you read a book that is determinedly set in the 1980s, like the Kinsey Millhone Mysteries by Sue Grafton are all determinedly set in Los Angeles in the 1980s, which is way pre-cellphone and how much extra work the protagonist has to do in investigating since Google doesn't immediately bring everything to her fingertips. Jimmy says: Fantasy doesn't require medieval setting, nor does it require swords. If you study medieval warfare, then you'll notice two things. One, only the rich have swords. Two, it is a secondary or tertiary weapon. Swords are notoriously weak. They break often. The use of guns really depends more on the story's background than it does on the genre. Bonnie says: I agree, they're okay, depending on the time period/environment involved. There's no way that they would be okay with Caina or Ridmark! Cheryl says: Nadia needs guns. I guess it depends on the fantasy topic being written. John says, I'm kind of into Flintlock fantasy, e.g. Powdermage series, et cetera. Urban fantasy also requires firearms. My favorite historical European period is really the “Knights and Guns” era, which would be the early modern period. Todd says: A deeper question is how do guns fit into the culture? In the Cloak Games/Cloak Mage universe, there are ongoing wars, so gun use and safety is taught in schools and veterans are expected to maintain proficiency against the Shadowlands incursion. There's a balance there, and the punishment for criminal misuse includes slogging and loss of freedom, if not execution. So while I think the amount of firearms in Nadia's world is a bit over the top, I can see it making sense culturally and contextually. In a different culture, it may or may not make sense. In a classic medieval setting, it wouldn't make sense. Conversely, in early 1800s Western America, a limited amount of firearms were to be expected. Every little house on the prairie would be expected to have a few rifles and perhaps a pistol or two. Setting, culture, and context all determine what the reader will find appropriate. And finally, Randy says: Depends on how they get there. Guardians of the Flame series had college kids reinvent them, which made sense, and their opponents figured out their own version. When one side has them and the other is too dumb to steal/capture some and figure them out, then yes, it doesn't work. So as you can see, we had quite a range of opinions there. For myself, I really have no strong feelings about it one way or the other. I do think guns are best suited to urban fantasy environments. In Cloak Games and Cloak Mage, as several commentaries mentioned, Nadia goes through a lot of guns. Granted, my favorite type of fantasy is what it's called basic fantasy or generic fantasy where a barbarian, a dwarf, an elf, and a wizard go to a dungeon and kill orcs and monsters. Firearms would definitely be out of place in that sort of setting. That said, I think guns and fantasy is like any other story trope and just needs to be done well to be enjoyable. I suppose it's a matter of properly setting the table for reader expectations. Like if you have a medieval style of fantasy world like Half-Elven Thief, it'd be weird to have guns suddenly show up. But if you create a setting that's an analog for 1880s America, but with wizards, then guns wouldn't be out of place. So that is it for Question of the Week. Thanks to everyone who commented and left insightful and interesting comments. 00:07:40 Advertising Results for August 2025 [Prices mentioned are USD] Now let's go on to the first of our interrelated main topics, my advertising results for last month, which would be August 2025. I haven't done an ad results roundup for a couple months, partly because it's been a really busy summer and partly because I've been adjusting some things and waiting to see the results. I'll explain more later, but the short version is that I'm losing confidence in the effectiveness of Facebook ads for selling books. But first, let's see some advertising results for August 2025. Let's start with Facebook ads where I advertise the Ghosts, Cloak Games/Cloak Mage, and the Frostborn series. The Ghosts, I got back $8.40 for every dollar spent, with 6% of the profit coming from the audiobooks, which was really nice. This one was a bit of anomaly because Ghost in the Siege did a lot of heavy lifting for this. For Cloak Games/Cloak Mage, I got back $2.70 for every dollar spent, with 12% of the revenue coming from the audiobooks. And for Frostborn, I got back $2.83 for every dollar spent, with 30% of the revenue coming from the audiobooks. Now on to Amazon ads. Remember, for an Amazon ad to be profitable, it needs to generate at least one sale/complete KU readthrough every six to eight clicks. So for Demonsouled Omnibus One, I got $5 back for every $1 spent, with a sale for every 0.82 clicks, which was really good. For Half-Elven Thief, I got back $1.22 for every dollar spent, with a sale for every 2.47 clicks. And for Dragonskull Omnibus One, I got back $28.75 for every dollar spent, with 65% of the profit coming from the audiobook, with a sale for every 0.11 clicks. Now, obviously these numbers require some explanation. The profit margin on Half-Elven Thief was narrow, but the entire series made up for it, so that's okay and it will improve when I start writing more books in the series later this year. In fact, I think I'm going to start writing the fifth one in October, if all goes well. The numbers for Dragonskull Omnibus One were so high because the ebook is $0.99, but the audiobook brings in a lot more than the ebook, something like 10 times, no, 20 times more than the ebook. BookBub ads do quite well with Google Play and Barnes and Noble. The numbers are too long to quote here, but they did quite well. All that said, the reason I'm losing confidence in Facebook ads is a combination of the loss of granular targeting and over-reliance on AI targeting. One of the paradoxes of online advertising is that the smaller and more granular your audience, the more likely your ad is to convert to sales. Narrow, targeted advertising is so much better than broad targeting. Unfortunately, Facebook has been slowly removing the more granular targeting options in favor of broader categories that don't work as well. Like you used to be able to target dozens of fantasy authors as interests for Facebook users. Now, you can only target epic fantasy and maybe J.R.R. Tolkien. In fact, I confirmed this just this morning, but you can't even target Brandon Sanderson as an interest, and he's probably the most popular epic fantasy author publishing today. To take the place of more granular targeting, Facebook has introduced AI assisted targeting, which they call Advantage Plus. Now, there's no beating around the bush. Advantage Plus isn't very good. It can garner a reasonable number of clicks on an ad, but those clicks don't convert to sales. Even with ads that don't use Advantage, Facebook still sneaks it in. So the effectiveness of Facebook ads has been in decline. Like I turned off the Facebook ads for the Demonsouled series entirely in August, and my results actually improved a good bit. So I'm going to test another series with no Facebook ads for September, and we'll see how much the results vary. Specifically, I think I'll turn off Facebook ads for Cloak Games/Cloak Mage, leave them on for Frostborn, and see if it makes any difference, and if it does make a difference, it will be time to reevaluate some advertising strategies. On the plus side, I didn't lose any money at any of my ads this month and they all turned a profit, and as always, thank you to everyone who was reading and listening to ebooks and audiobooks. 00:11:41 Does Permafree Still Work For Indie Authors? Now on to the other half of our main topic: Does Permafree still work for indie authors? One of the perennial debates in Indie Author Land is whether or not making the first book in your series free still works as a marketing tactic or not. Now, at this point, I've been doing this for over 14 years, and I have a lot of different series and quite a few different ones with free first books in the series. I thought it might be interesting to dig into the sales data and see what percentage of people who downloaded the first book went onto the second book and then the final book in the series. A few caveats and conditions: first, this is only for 2024 and the first half of 2025, since I wanted a set time sample for the data. Additionally, this is also useful for showing the conversion rate on a finished series that hasn't had a new book in years, since the final book in the Frostborn series came out in 2017, which was eight years ago at this point. Second, it will only apply to a series whose first books were free for that entire time period. Third, when I talk about conversion rates, I mean what percentage of free downloads translated into sales. For example, if Book One had a hundred free downloads and then 12 sales of Book Two and nine sales of the final book, that means 12% of people went onto the second book and then 9% on to the final book. So we had a conversion rate of 12% from the first free book to the paid second book, and then a conversion rate of 9% from the free first book to the final book in the series. So with all that in mind, let's take a look at permafree conversion rates for some of my series in 2024 and 2025. For The Ghosts, 13.47% went to the second book, and 12.72% went on to the final book. For Frostborn, 13% went to the second book and 12.93% to the final book. For Sevenfold Sword, 22.93% went to the second book and 22.81% on to the final book. For Cloak Games, 11.85% went on to the second book, and 11.67% to the final book. Silent Order, 14.64% went on to the second book, and 14.54% went to the final book. For The Tower of Endless Worlds, 17.46% went to the second book, and 17.46% went onto the final book. So I think there are a couple of conclusions we can draw from this. First, making the first book in a series permafree remains a viable marketing strategy. It doesn't usually result in dramatic spikes of sales, but instead it is good at generating more of a steady trickle. Second, anything you can do to increase the number of downloads of your free books will likely increase the sales of the paid books later in the series. That said, there are caveats. You want methods to increase the free downloads to people that might conceivably be interested in buying the books. Targeted advertising can be an effective way to do this. What's not effective is using bot farms or help from a bunch of scammers to generate a big download in free books. At best, you'll generate a bunch of downloads that won't convert, and at worst ebook platforms will detect suspicious activity and either delist your free ebook or suspend your account. Third, this strategy works even with books you don't promote very often. For example, I don't bash on the Tower of Endless Worlds because for some people it's their favorite book of mine. But in all candor, I do think it's one of my weaker books. I was trying to do something with urban fantasy I don't think I had the skills to do until Cloak Games, which was like 12 years later. So I don't really promote it, save that I made the first book in the series free a long time ago and kept it that way. It's still 17% of the people who downloaded the first book continued onto the final one. Fourth, this strategy does require some patience. It can take a while for people to read through a series. It can also take a while for a free book to get traction. Fifth, I at times hesitate to recommend this because saying write five books and make the first one free is easy to say, but it's a lot of work to do. For many new writers, getting the first book done and out into the world is a monumental challenge, then telling them to do it three or four more times and then to make the first book free does seem like a big ask, but it does work (sometimes slowly), but it does work. So that's it for this week. Thank you for listening to The Pulp Writer Show. I hope you found the show useful. A reminder that you can listen to all the back episodes at https://thepulpwritershow.com. If you enjoyed the podcast, please leave a review on your podcasting platform of choice. Stay safe, stay healthy, and see you all next week.
Send us a textThe pathway to God isn't meant to be complicated. Through an exploration of Luke 3:4-5, this conversation unpacks the powerful imagery of mountains being brought low, valleys raised up, crooked paths straightened, and rough ways made smooth—all describing how God has made Himself accessible to humanity.Mountains in Scripture often symbolize pride and self-exaltation, representing our human tendency to elevate ourselves to positions only God should occupy. Throughout history, from Pharaoh to King Saul, those who exalted themselves were eventually brought low. Conversely, valleys represent humility, with God promising to exalt those who humble themselves before Him.Most fascinating is the imagery of straightening crooked paths and smoothing rough ways. The religious leaders of Jesus' time had created unnecessarily complex spiritual pathways filled with legalistic requirements that obscured God's true intent. When Jesus began His ministry, particularly in the Sermon on the Mount, He systematically straightened these paths with His repeated formula: "You have heard it was said... but I tell you..." He wasn't changing God's law but revealing its proper understanding and application.The conversation delves into how repentance connects to forgiveness—not merely changing one's mind but turning from sin toward God. This spiritual transformation involves recognizing our sinful nature and inability to merit salvation through works. Christ's "spiritual roadwork" ensures that no one can claim ignorance as an excuse for not finding the way to God.Perhaps most encouraging is the reminder that even the Pharisees—once keepers of the crooked roads—could experience transformation. As recorded in Acts, many religious leaders eventually embraced the straight path Jesus revealed, demonstrating that God's accessibility extends to all who would humble themselves and follow His clearly marked way.Join us as we examine our own spiritual journeys and consider whether we're still attempting to climb mountains of self-righteousness or humbly walking the straight path Christ has prepared.The Balance of GrayFaith That Challenges. Conversations that Matter. Laughs included. Subscribe Now!Listen on: Apple Podcasts SpotifySupport the show
Probably. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to cut rates for the first time all year, and is also expected to cut more soon after. This is the downward momentum of interest rate cuts we have been waiting for. Do you know what happens to markets when this occurs? Do they go up or down? If you didn't immediately answer "both", you need to give me your next 21 minutes ASAP. Recommended Crypto Trading Platform (And Bonus Eligibility) - https://nononsenseforex.com/cryptocurrencies/best-crypto-trading-platform/ For Decentralized Crypto Trading (US Citizens Can Join) - https://nononsenseforex.com/decentralized-trading-platform/ Blueberry Markets Blog (Top FX Broker) - https://nononsenseforex.com/uncategorized/blueberry-markets-review-my-top-broker-for-2019/ Follow VP on Twitter https://twitter.com/This_Is_VP4X Check out my Forex trading material too! https://nononsenseforex.com/ The host of this podcast is not a licensed financial advisor, and nothing heard on this podcast should be taken as financial advice. Do your own research and understand all financial decisions and the results therein are yours and yours alone. The host is not responsible for the actions of their sponsors and/or affiliates. Conversely, views expressed on this podcast are that of the host only and may not reflect the views of any companies mentioned. Trading Forex involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits. We are not taking requests for episode topics at this time. Thank you for understanding.
What happens when $2.83 billion disappears from women's rights funding globally? Conversely, what is possible when donors break out of traditional silos to work collaboratively with the goal of abundance and liberation for all? Phil Buchanan and Grace Nicolette talk with Happy Mwende Kinyili, co-executive director of global feminist fund Mama Cash to explore this unprecedented crisis — and discover surprising reasons for hope. Happy shares powerful stories from Kenya to Argentina, explaining how participatory grantmaking creates lasting change and why "the people who've gotten us into this mess aren't going to get us out of it." For donors feeling overwhelmed by massive global needs or the frustrating retrenchments of recent years, Happy offers their own mother's wisdom: "Don't try to do everything, do something." Learn how small actions can have huge impact, why trust-based philanthropy works, and how co-leadership models are reshaping organizations. Additional Resources Mama Cash Green Girls Platform Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction Urgent Action Fund Mark Suzman on the Giving Done Right Podcast CEP's Three Year Study on the Impact of MacKenzie Scott's Large, Unrestricted Gifts
SEO Secrets: Why Do Search Engines Rank Webpages Higher Than Others? with Favour Obasi-Ike) | Get exclusive SEO newsletters in your inbox.This discussion focuses on web page ranking and SEO strategies, particularly in the context of evolving search algorithms and AI. Favour highlighted the importance of domain authority and page authority, emphasizing that content needs to be contextual, comprehensive, and in multimedia formats to rank effectively. They discuss practical tools like Google Search Console and SEOGets for analyzing website data and improving rankings. Additionally, the conversation touches on the accelerated pace of content indexing due to social media and podcasts, suggesting that unique analysis and experience, especially through quotes and diverse content clusters, are crucial differentiators in a world saturated with AI-generated content.Next Steps for Digital Marketing + SEO Services:>> Need SEO Services? Book a Complimentary SEO Discovery Call with Favour Obasi-Ike>> Need more information? Visit our Work and PLAY Entertainment website to learn about our digital marketing services.FAQs on Elevating Web Page Ranking in the AI Era1. Why do some web pages rank highly on search engines while others don't?Web pages rank differently due to various factors that influence their visibility to search engine algorithms and users. Key reasons for higher rankings include strong domain authority, relevant and contextual content, the use of multimedia formats, and addressing user queries effectively. Conversely, pages may not rank well if their content is outdated, contains error messages or broken links, lacks credibility, or fails to provide the type of information users are actively seeking. Essentially, a page's ability to rank is a reflection of its usefulness, credibility, and technical optimization in the eyes of search engines.2. What is "domain authority" and why is it important for web page ranking?Domain authority refers to the credibility and trustworthiness of your entire website in the eyes of search engines. It's often represented by a score from 0 to 100, with a higher score indicating greater authority. A strong domain authority is crucial because it signals to search algorithms that your website is a reliable source of information. This trust is built through the credibility of your content and its context. A website with high domain authority can help its individual web pages rank more easily, even if a new page is just published, because the overarching trust established with Google (and other search engines) extends to all its content. Tools like Ahrefs can be used to check your website's domain authority.3. How do content pillars and content clusters contribute to a webpage's ranking?Content pillars and content clusters are strategic approaches to organizing your website's content to improve ranking. Content pillars are broad, foundational topics central to your business or niche. Content clusters are groups of related, more specific articles or pages that link back to a central pillar page. This structure creates a "roadmap" for both users and search engines, demonstrating a comprehensive understanding of a topic. By providing detailed, interconnected content around specific themes, you establish your website as an authoritative resource, allowing people to find you based on various related search queries, thus boosting your overall search visibility.4. How can multimedia and different content formats improve web page rankings?Incorporating multimedia and diverse content formats significantly enhances a web page's ranking potential. While basic text is important, pages that include elements like embedded YouTube videos, infographics, FAQs, pricing lists, and even quotes, offer a richer user experience. Videos, for example, generate captions (text within text), and podcasts can be transcribed, effectively creating "text to the power of three" (text, audio, video all contributing to textual content). This multi-format approach provides more context and content for algorithms to parse, caters to different learning preferences, and increases user engagement, signaling to search engines that the page is valuable and comprehensive.5. What role do search engines like Google Search Console play in optimizing web pages for ranking?Google Search Console (GSC) is a free and essential tool for website owners to monitor their site's performance in Google Search. It acts as the "internet service provider" for your website within Google's database. GSC provides valuable data on how users find your site, which queries they use, and how your pages are performing. By tracking queries, impressions, and clicks, you can identify what information people are seeking and then strategically create or refine content to address those needs. Submitting your sitemap and regularly checking GSC allows you to ensure your content is indexed, track its performance, and make informed decisions to improve rankings. Other search engines like Bing and Yandex also offer similar tools.6. How can an individual's unique analysis and experience differentiate their content in an AI-driven world?In an era where AI can rapidly generate vast amounts of content, unique analysis and personal experience have become paramount differentiators. While AI can produce factual information, it often lacks the nuanced insights, personal anecdotes, and real-world expertise that a human can provide. For instance, when discussing a topic like cooking eggs, an AI might list recipes, but a human can share their experience with different pan types or specific techniques that yield better results. Injecting your personal perspective, insights, and expert opinions into your content creates a level of authenticity and depth that generic, AI-generated content cannot replicate, making your pages more valuable and trustworthy to both users and search algorithms.7. What are some actionable strategies for improving web page rankings quickly today?The landscape of SEO has evolved, allowing for quicker ranking compared to a decade ago. Here are some actionable strategies:Utilize Google Search Console (GSC): Install GSC, analyze query and page data (potentially with tools like SEO Gets), and use AI to help create prompts for analyzing this data to build better web pages.Leverage Domain Authority: If you have a powerful website, new or revised content can rank faster due to Google's existing trust. Press releases can also help promote important content as news is a strong signal to search engines.Content Context & Clusters: Focus on creating contextual content around specific topics, using content pillars and clusters to cover subjects comprehensively.Multimedia Integration: Embed videos, infographics, and other visual or audio elements. Ensure these elements have accompanying text (captions, transcriptions).Answer User Queries (The 5 W's and 1 H): Create content that directly answers common questions people are asking, using the "who, what, when, where, why, and how" framework in your articles and URLs.Create "Tools" Content: Articles or pages about "tools" (free or paid) often attract significant traffic because users are actively seeking solutions.Consistency and Recurrence: Regularly update and create content, and don't be afraid to revisit and expand on successful topics over time.8. How has AI impacted the way web pages rank, and what does it mean for content creators?AI has significantly altered the ranking landscape. While traditional search engines (Google, Bing) remain crucial, AI search (like ChatGPT or Google Gemini) now plays a role in how information is discovered. For content creators, this means adapting to a system where "ranking" on AI might be more accurately described as "earning impressions" or "citations." AI models scrape data from existing online sources, so content that already ranks well on traditional search engines is more likely to be cited by AI.This emphasizes the importance of:Traditional SEO Foundations: Continue to optimize for Google and other search engines, as they remain the primary data source for many AI models.Clarity and Intent: Create content that directly answers user questions in a clear, structured manner, as AI prioritizes direct answers.Attribution and Sourcing: Ensure your content is authoritative and properly attributed, so AI tools can confidently cite your work.Podcasts as a Ranking Tool: Podcasts, with their associated show notes and transcripts, are becoming a powerful way to rank quickly on both traditional and AI-driven searches, as they offer rich, contextual audio and text.Digital Marketing SEO Resources:>> Read SEO Articles>> Subscribe to the We Don't PLAY PodcastSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
How many times have I wished I could take those negative thoughts out of my head, those thoughts projecting a future that may not actually happen? This doesn't mean that we don't prepare for the worst, but do we want to live in that state or space where it virtually eliminates being in the present/ our present? How can we enjoy anything if we are always thinking about what might be? Conversely, thinking about what might be from a positive standpoint might actually be soothing, and yet again, it takes us out of the present, which is the only place that can drive our actions, as it is all we actually know. I remember sitting on my bathroom floor as a high schooler in hysterics, breaking up with my then boyfriend, and suffering because I couldn't face hurting him, and the idea of loss was just overwhelming due to the early losses that I had experienced in my own family. How I would have benefitted from the comfort of knowing that others suffer too and perhaps if I had had our featured organization's App, I would have certainly managed better or at least been in the great company of others who had experienced loss - my reaction may have been over exaggerated, but it was because I had experienced early losses - what I didn't know then and know now is that often a previous loss can be triggered by a current loss although the two seem completely disconnected - that would have perhaps allowed me to grieve my relationship without feeling crazy. Mental health is an incredibly complicated topic. So many of us have had experiences either personally or with our children; no one wants to see their children in pain, and emotional pain is often frightening, because it's hard to find the source of the pain as compared to physical pain, and emotional or psychological injury is often invisible. We understand when someone is in physical pain, but we often blame the individual for being in emotional pain. Raising children is tough, all that goes into daily schedules, etc. now, let's complicate the typical with a complex world, access to more information that can have negative impacts, biological changes and we can have tweens and teens in pain without the benefit of always knowing how to manage it or letting them know that they are not alone as so many others go through similar anguish. Why isn't that taught in schools? Mood's goal is to put free, fast and effective mental health tools into the hands of every tween & teen, ages 9-17 and for the adults, teachers and providers in their world, enabling them to build skills and resilience through fun and engaging content - Where were you when I was a teen and even as a young adult and parent? Their website is fun and their mood tools are practical coping skills that are easy to understand and use. The Mood tools are proven stragteties designed to help tweens and teens bring their feelings into managageble bite-sized mood moments rather than gigantic, scary floods of emotion that feel never-ending. I am also incredibly impressed that Mood has an advisory board filled with tweens and teens who bring innovative, creative ideas that are inviting to their cohort. For more information, go to: www.mood.org And for additional information on all the podcasts: www.smallandgutsy.org
Institutional CRE investing: A market run by allocation math – and uncertainty My podcast/YouTube guest today is Greg MacKinnon, Director of Research at the Pension Real Estate Association (PREA). PREA represents the institutional real estate community - think pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, endowments, and other fiduciaries managing hundreds of billions on behalf of millions of beneficiaries. These are the investors who typically allocate to real estate as part of their overall investment portfolios and who set the tone for how capital flows through the entire real estate market. Greg explains how while institutional real estate remains a roughly 10% sleeve in diversified institutional portfolios, the number matters less than the mechanics behind it. When equities rally and private values fall, the real estate slice shrinks—creating a theoretical bid to “rebalance” back to target. In practice, that bid has been clogged by a fund-recycling problem: closed-end vehicles haven't been returning capital as quickly because exits have slowed, which leaves investors waiting for distributions before recommitting. Until that dam breaks more broadly, new capital formation into private real estate remains inconsistent across strategies and managers. Office: price discovery by compulsion Institutional portfolios built in a world where office was a core holding are still working through the repricing. Unlevered office values are down on the order of ~40% from pre-COVID peaks nationally; with leverage, many positions are effectively wiped out, explaining why owners resist selling and why trades are scarce. That stasis is ending as lenders tire of “extend and pretend,” loan maturities arrive, and forced decisions accelerate. The practical question for CIOs isn't simply “hold or sell” but how fast to harvest, return, and re-underwrite risk elsewhere. Expect more office volume but much of it distress-driven rather than conviction buying. The rate cut mirage: CRE runs on growth and the 10-year Market chatter obsesses over the next Fed move. Institutional capital takes a broader view. The cost of capital that matters for underwriting – term debt, cap-rate anchoring, discount rates – is tethered more to the 10-year Treasury than the overnight Fed funds rate. A policy cut can coexist with a higher 10-year if inflation risk re-prices, blunting any “cuts are bullish” narrative. More importantly: CRE performance tracks the real economy's breadth and durability. Historically, rising interest rates often coincide with strong growth and healthy real estate. Falling rates tend to arrive with deceleration, which is why “cuts” are not automatically good news for NOI or values. Underwrite your forward cash flows, not the headline. Policy risk is now an underwriting line item Global capital has long treated the U.S. as the default safe harbor. That advantage compresses when macro policy feels unpredictable – tariffs one week, reversals the next, and public debate over central-bank independence. Some non-U.S. allocators have simply chosen not to live with the noise premium, shifting incremental dollars to Europe. Domestic institutions aren't exiting the U.S., but the signal is clear: political-economy volatility now shows up as a higher hurdle rate, more conditional investment committee approvals, and a stronger preference for managers who can navigate policy in both research and structuring. Where the money is actually going Facing actuarial return targets and a cloudy macro, institutions are tilting toward “where alpha lives now”: Digital and specialized industrial: data centers; cold storage; and industrial outdoor storage (IOS) – think secured yards for heavy equipment – where supply is constrained and tenant demand is need-based. Housing adjacencies: single-family rental, manufactured housing, student housing, and seniors housing, plus targeted affordable strategies that can layer policy incentives with operating expertise. Selective core logistics and resilient multifamily: still investable but crowded; institutions need an edge in submarket selection, cost basis, or operations to meet return hurdles. Themes in common: operational complexity that deters industry tourists, local expertise that differentiates underwriting, and cash flows less correlated to the office cycle. The portfolio is changing: from “real estate” to “real assets” Many large investors are reorganizing how they bucket risk. Instead of a hard 10% “real estate” sleeve, they're adopting either a broader real assets mandate (real estate + infrastructure + sometimes commodities) or a private markets sleeve (real estate + private credit + private equity). The goal is flexibility: tilt to where relative value is best without tripping governance wires each time. This structural shift makes it easier for a head of Real Assets to move dollars from, say, mid-risk equity in apartments to long-duration infrastructure when spreads and growth argue for it, and to rotate back when underwriting improves. It's a quiet change with large implications for which managers get funded and when. “Institutional quality” is a culture, not a class of building Too many sponsors use “institutional quality” as shorthand for a gleaming asset. Institutions define quality as process: governance, repeatability, controls, reporting cadence, and audit-ready data, plus the discipline to say “no” when the numbers don't clear the bar. That's why a best-in-class niche specialist (e.g., Southwest self-storage or cold-chain) can attract blue-chip LPs without owning a single skyline trophy. Conversely, a sponsor with a glossy deck but ad-hoc reporting will struggle to cross the institutional threshold even in “prime” locations. What to do now (operators and allocators) Own the 10-year, not the headline. Build your assumptions around the 10-year Treasury and the yield curve, not the Fed's short-term rate projections. Stress cash flows under slower growth. Lean into complex operations. Data centers, IOS, cold storage, seniors housing, where capability barriers protect yield. Be distribution-aware. If you're raising from institutions, understand their recycling constraints; design pacing and structures that fit their liquidity reality. Institutionalize the back office. Reporting, controls, and data pipelines are capital-raising assets. Treat them as such. Bottom line: allocations still want to be filled, but the bar is higher and the path is narrower. Those who combine operating edge with institutional process will take disproportionate share when the dam finally breaks. n.b. Greg and I take a detailed look at what ‘institutional' real estate really means; how it's defined, structured, and operates. It's worth tuning in so you can separate fact from fiction the next time you see the term in a pitch deck. *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing. With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside protection. Subscribe to my free newsletter for timely updates, insights, and tools to help you navigate today's volatile real estate landscape. You'll get: Straight talk on what happens when confidence meets correction - no hype, no spin, no fluff. Real implications of macro trends for investors and sponsors with actionable guidance. Insights from real estate professionals who've been through it all before. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe Email: adam@gowercrowd.com Call: 213-761-1000
Time to lose a few more subscribers with this one, saddle up boys, it's a psychology episode!! In Episode 220 we talk about dating for a disturbingly long time, but it will all make sense in the end I promise. Recommended Crypto Trading Platform (And Bonus Eligibility) - https://nononsenseforex.com/cryptocurrencies/best-crypto-trading-platform/ For Decentralized Crypto Trading (US Citizens Can Join) - https://nononsenseforex.com/decentralized-trading-platform/ Blueberry Markets Blog (Top FX Broker) - https://nononsenseforex.com/uncategorized/blueberry-markets-review-my-top-broker-for-2019/ Follow VP on Twitter https://twitter.com/This_Is_VP4X Check out my Forex trading material too! https://nononsenseforex.com/ The host of this podcast is not a licensed financial advisor, and nothing heard on this podcast should be taken as financial advice. Do your own research and understand all financial decisions and the results therein are yours and yours alone. The host is not responsible for the actions of their sponsors and/or affiliates. Conversely, views expressed on this podcast are that of the host only and may not reflect the views of any companies mentioned. Trading Forex involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits. We are not taking requests for episode topics at this time. Thank you for understanding.
Real Life Pharmacology - Pharmacology Education for Health Care Professionals
Desmopressin is a synthetic analog of vasopressin, also known as antidiuretic hormone (ADH). It works by mimicking the action of natural ADH on the kidneys, primarily increasing water reabsorption in the collecting ducts. This effect reduces urine production and helps concentrate the urine. Because of this mechanism, desmopressin is commonly used in conditions like diabetes insipidus, nocturnal enuresis (bedwetting), and sometimes for nocturia in adults. It also has a role in certain bleeding disorders, such as mild hemophilia A and von Willebrand disease, since it can increase plasma levels of factor VIII and von Willebrand factor. In this podcast, we will explore desmopressin pharmacology and much more. Desmopressin is available in several dosage forms, including oral tablets, intranasal spray, and injectable formulations. The choice depends on the indication and patient-specific factors such as age, convenience, or the need for rapid effect. Adverse effects of desmopressin are largely related to water balance. Because it reduces urine output, patients are at risk for water retention and hyponatremia, which can lead to headaches, confusion, seizures, or in severe cases, coma. Monitoring sodium levels is especially important in elderly patients and those taking other medications that can affect fluid or electrolyte balance. Clinicians also need to be mindful of drug interactions. Medications that increase the risk of hyponatremia, such as SSRIs, carbamazepine, or certain diuretics, may enhance desmopressin's adverse effects. Conversely, drugs that blunt its activity can reduce effectiveness. Careful monitoring and patient education are key parts of safe use.
Every episode in the past 3 months has led to this. VP shows you how he is positioning himself for the next 5 years, and why it is crucial you start looking at investing the same way. Dollar Value Since 1900 - https://www.in2013dollars.com/us/inflation/1900?amount=1 Recommended Crypto Trading Platform (And Bonus Eligibility) - https://nononsenseforex.com/cryptocurrencies/best-crypto-trading-platform/ For Decentralized Crypto Trading (US Citizens Can Join) - https://nononsenseforex.com/decentralized-trading-platform/ Blueberry Markets Blog (Top FX Broker) - https://nononsenseforex.com/uncategorized/blueberry-markets-review-my-top-broker-for-2019/ Follow VP on Twitter https://twitter.com/This_Is_VP4X Check out my Forex trading material too! https://nononsenseforex.com/ The host of this podcast is not a licensed financial advisor, and nothing heard on this podcast should be taken as financial advice. Do your own research and understand all financial decisions and the results therein are yours and yours alone. The host is not responsible for the actions of their sponsors and/or affiliates. Conversely, views expressed on this podcast are that of the host only and may not reflect the views of any companies mentioned. Trading Forex involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits.
Bob is the created and owner of Trade Genius Academy. Bob also does a podcast on YouTube which is called Trade Genius. Bob begins the conversation talking about how Germany appears to be in a recession, with its economy contracting by 0.3% in the second quarter amid slowed exports due to U.S. tariffs and rising unemployment above 3 million, while forecasts predict stagnation or zero growth for the year, marking a prolonged period of economic inactivity. This downturn could potentially spread to other EU nations, as Germany's role as an economic anchor contributes to deteriorating Eurozone sentiment and slower projected growth of around 1.1% for the EU and 0.9% for the euro area, though analysts suggest the bloc may avoid a full recession despite trade uncertainties and fiscal tightening. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has fallen about 1.9% in the past 24 hours to around $111,119, driven by a massive whale dump of 24,000 BTC, a $13.8 billion options expiry, Binance Futures going offline, and broader bearish technical indicators following its peak at $124,436 earlier in the month. Gold prices are also slightly down today, with spot prices at $3,410 per ounce (a 0.15% dip) amid a firmer dollar and anticipation of U.S. PCE inflation data, though the metal is on track for a monthly gain supported by expectations of Federal Reserve actions; potential longer-term declines could stem from cooling inflation, reduced geopolitical tensions, and lower investor demand. Market expectations are high for the Fed to cut interest rates in September, with odds at over 90% for a 25-basis-point reduction as signaled by Chair Powell and Governor Waller, amid sputtering job growth and a focus on labor market risks. If the Fed proceeds with the cut, it could stimulate economic growth by lowering borrowing costs, encouraging business investment, hiring, and consumer spending, while easing pressures on mortgages and auto loans, though excessive cuts risk reigniting inflation and eroding purchasing power. Conversely, if the Fed holds off, it might help contain inflation but could slow the economy further by maintaining high financing costs, potentially leading to reduced business expansion, higher unemployment, and subdued growth, with risks of market turmoil if perceived as too hawkish.
In this fascinating episode, Bryan welcomes back longtime friend and nuclear industry veteran Bill Nowicki to discuss a recently released document from DHS and NUSTL that provides new recommendations for HVAC operations during nuclear events. Bill brings over 40 years of nuclear experience, starting as a 19-year-old Navy nuclear operator (after being deemed "not ready for the grill" at Friendly's restaurant) and progressing through various roles, including lead engineer on critical control systems at nuclear facilities. Bill shares his journey from nuclear plant evaluator to leadership trainer, now working internationally to help nuclear professionals develop their skills. His current podcast, "The Nuclear Leader," continues this mission alongside his passion project, "Navigating Mental Illness: Parent Stories." Bill provides an accessible explanation of nuclear reactor operations, using the analogy that "contamination is the poop and radiation is the smell" to help listeners understand the difference between radioactive material and radiation itself. He walks through the three-barrier system in nuclear plants: fuel cladding, reactor coolant system, and containment structures. The discussion covers how fission works, the controlled chain reaction process, and what happens when these systems fail, using examples from Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, and Fukushima to illustrate different failure modes. The episode explores the current nuclear renaissance driven by AI data centers and industrial companies seeking clean baseload power. Bill explains how private industry is now directly funding nuclear projects, bypassing traditional utility structures, with companies like Microsoft and ExxonMobil investing billions in new nuclear facilities. This represents a dramatic shift from the post-Three Mile Island era when nuclear construction essentially stopped in the United States. The core discussion focuses on updated emergency guidance that reverses previous recommendations. Instead of the old "shelter in place and shut off your AC" advice, the new guidance suggests keeping HVAC systems running while eliminating outdoor air intake. This approach recognizes that modern, well-sealed buildings with high-efficiency filtration can provide better protection by maintaining positive pressure and filtering recirculated air rather than allowing uncontrolled infiltration. Bill and Bryan discuss how building characteristics dramatically affect the best response strategy. High-performance homes with tight construction, MERV 13+ filters, and controlled ventilation systems offer significant advantages, requiring only the ability to shut off outdoor air intake. Conversely, older, leaky buildings may still benefit from complete system shutdown to prevent contamination circulation. The conversation highlights how lessons learned during COVID-19 about airborne contamination and filtration directly apply to nuclear emergency preparedness, emphasizing the importance of case-by-case analysis rather than one-size-fits-all approaches. Topics Covered Nuclear industry career paths - From Navy nuclear training to civilian plant operations and leadership roles Basic nuclear physics - Fission process, chain reactions, and the difference between contamination and radiation Nuclear plant safety systems - Three-barrier containment approach and historical accident analysis Current nuclear renaissance - AI-driven power demand and private industry investment in new reactors Emergency preparedness evolution - How COVID-19 research influenced nuclear emergency HVAC guidance Building performance factors - Impact of construction quality, filtration, and ventilation design on safety HVAC system modifications - Importance of outdoor air shutoff capability and high-efficiency filtration Case-by-case response strategies - Why building characteristics determine optimal emergency procedures Podcasting journey - Early days of niche podcasting and building communities around specialized topics Leadership development - International nuclear industry training and professional development Personal stories - Navy submarine experiences and nuclear plant operational challenges Here is the full document from the DHS: https://www.nrc.gov/docs/ML2425/ML24250A059.pdf Have a question that you want us to answer on the podcast? Submit your questions at https://www.speakpipe.com/hvacschool. Purchase your tickets or learn more about the 7th Annual HVACR Training Symposium at https://hvacrschool.com/symposium. Subscribe to our podcast on your iPhone or Android. Subscribe to our YouTube channel. Check out our handy calculators here or on the HVAC School Mobile App for Apple and Android
JP Morgan has responded to the U.S. Virgin Islands' (USVI) motion to strike several of its affirmative defenses in the ongoing lawsuit related to Jeffrey Epstein's sex trafficking operations. The bank argues that these defenses are crucial to demonstrate the alleged complicity of the USVI government in enabling Epstein's activities.JP Morgan contends that high-ranking USVI officials, including former First Lady Cecile de Jongh, played a role in facilitating Epstein's operations by managing his local companies and helping spread his influence throughout the government. The bank alleges that Epstein's ties with local political figures allowed him to receive favorable treatment, such as tax benefits and reduced oversight, despite his known criminal background/The USVI's motion to strike these defenses is viewed by JP Morgan as an attempt to avoid exposing the government's own culpability. Conversely, the USVI argues that the bank's defenses are baseless and are intended to deflect from its failure to act on clear signs of Epstein's criminal behavior.(commercial at 7:20)to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:gov.uscourts.nysd.610915.94.5.pdf (courtlistener.com)
JP Morgan has responded to the U.S. Virgin Islands' (USVI) motion to strike several of its affirmative defenses in the ongoing lawsuit related to Jeffrey Epstein's sex trafficking operations. The bank argues that these defenses are crucial to demonstrate the alleged complicity of the USVI government in enabling Epstein's activities.JP Morgan contends that high-ranking USVI officials, including former First Lady Cecile de Jongh, played a role in facilitating Epstein's operations by managing his local companies and helping spread his influence throughout the government. The bank alleges that Epstein's ties with local political figures allowed him to receive favorable treatment, such as tax benefits and reduced oversight, despite his known criminal background/The USVI's motion to strike these defenses is viewed by JP Morgan as an attempt to avoid exposing the government's own culpability. Conversely, the USVI argues that the bank's defenses are baseless and are intended to deflect from its failure to act on clear signs of Epstein's criminal behavior.(commercial at 7:20)to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:gov.uscourts.nysd.610915.94.5.pdf (courtlistener.com)
JP Morgan has responded to the U.S. Virgin Islands' (USVI) motion to strike several of its affirmative defenses in the ongoing lawsuit related to Jeffrey Epstein's sex trafficking operations. The bank argues that these defenses are crucial to demonstrate the alleged complicity of the USVI government in enabling Epstein's activities.JP Morgan contends that high-ranking USVI officials, including former First Lady Cecile de Jongh, played a role in facilitating Epstein's operations by managing his local companies and helping spread his influence throughout the government. The bank alleges that Epstein's ties with local political figures allowed him to receive favorable treatment, such as tax benefits and reduced oversight, despite his known criminal background/The USVI's motion to strike these defenses is viewed by JP Morgan as an attempt to avoid exposing the government's own culpability. Conversely, the USVI argues that the bank's defenses are baseless and are intended to deflect from its failure to act on clear signs of Epstein's criminal behavior.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:gov.uscourts.nysd.610915.94.5.pdf (courtlistener.com)Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-epstein-chronicles--5003294/support.
Welcome back to our weekend Cabral HouseCall shows! This is where we answer our community's wellness, weight loss, and anti-aging questions to help people get back on track! Check out today's questions: Sarah: Hello! Back with another question.. Im 28 female from scotland, and have had hair growing in places I shouldn't since age 24. The hair under my chin and a bit on my neck/cheeks is what gets me down the most. My doctor has checked me for PCOS through bloodwork and said everything was fine. I've recently did your hormone test. Testosterone was great, estrogen good, progesterone was low and cortisol was low. I've been on progesterone support, adrenal energy aswell as DNS, greens, omegas etc for some time now. I also take pumpkin seed oil and saw palmetto. The hair just keeps growing. What else can I do? I've tried countless rounds of laser but it just returns. Is hair in this area always related to PCOS/hormones? Can it just be genetics? Thank you!! Larissa: Hello! I was exposed to black mold for 6 yrs about 5yrs ago. Although my most severe symptoms went away, some longer. I've been working with a naturopath whom recommended a protocol with cholestyramine, charcoal, and minerals for about 1M. However, I've read Andrew Campbell mold protocol and he recommends itraconazole for 7 days. I did my urine mycotoxin testing FYI which still shows a high load of most all strains. Which do you recommend? I want to get rid of all the mold with the least side effects and avoiding constipation (I already have to take daily magnesium citrate to have daily bowel movements). Thank you!!! Sabrina: Hi doctor Cabral. I'm hoping you can help me with something that is super frustrating. My stomach craves large meals for satisfaction, yet they cause bloating. Conversely, small-volume meals, despite being calorie-dense, just don't register as filling, leaving me wanting more. Is there a way to solve this, meaning training your stomach to be satisfied with smaller meals? Thanks so much for your help! Lisa: I am a 48yr old female and have elevated kidney function. 1.1. have been told not to take creatine. I have heard multiple times that to much protein can have an effect on kidney function also. I love to workout and fir my age high protein and creatine is suppose to be good for someone who works out. Will these things truly hinder or further hinder my kidney function. Cassi: Just completed your book, The Rain Barrel Effect, and was wondering if you have worked with anyone with EOE (Eosinophilic esophagitis) to successfully get them off of PPIs? I've also dealt with histamine intolerance, that I've actually been able to reverse through a lot of what you teach in the book, and I have also gotten down from 20mg of omeprazole twice a day to 20mg once every other day but if I go longer than that I find myself choking on food again no matter how little I eat at a time or how well I chew it. Thank you for tuning into today's Cabral HouseCall and be sure to check back tomorrow where we answer more of our community's questions! - - - Show Notes and Resources: StephenCabral.com/3487 - - - Get a FREE Copy of Dr. Cabral's Book: The Rain Barrel Effect - - - Join the Community & Get Your Questions Answered: CabralSupportGroup.com - - - Dr. Cabral's Most Popular At-Home Lab Tests: > Complete Minerals & Metals Test (Test for mineral imbalances & heavy metal toxicity) - - - > Complete Candida, Metabolic & Vitamins Test (Test for 75 biomarkers including yeast & bacterial gut overgrowth, as well as vitamin levels) - - - > Complete Stress, Mood & Metabolism Test (Discover your complete thyroid, adrenal, hormone, vitamin D & insulin levels) - - - > Complete Food Sensitivity Test (Find out your hidden food sensitivities) - - - > Complete Omega-3 & Inflammation Test (Discover your levels of inflammation related to your omega-6 to omega-3 levels) - - - Get Your Question Answered On An Upcoming HouseCall: StephenCabral.com/askcabral - - - Would You Take 30 Seconds To Rate & Review The Cabral Concept? The best way to help me spread our mission of true natural health is to pass on the good word, and I read and appreciate every review!
Todays episode delves into understanding and leveraging second and third-order consequences – the ripple effects that occur after an initial action – and introduces forcing functions, which are an inverted way of thinking about these consequences, designed to drive desired outcomes by first determining "what must be true" for them to occur. The episode also connects these concepts to the importance of effective goal setting, explaining how well-defined goals provide clarity, focus, and a strategic framework for decision-making and career advancement.Grasp Second and Third-Order Consequences: Learn to identify the downstream effects of initial actions. For instance, setting a target for test coverage (first action) might lead to people adding tests that don't genuinely test anything but merely inflate the metric (second-order consequence), potentially resulting in disillusionment with testing or continued incidents despite high coverage (third-order consequence). Conversely, giving someone ownership or autonomy (first action) can lead to them proactively filling out details and owning ambiguity (second-order consequence), which may result in higher quality work, freeing up managerial time, and setting the individual up for promotion (third-order consequence).Utilise Forcing Functions for Desired Outcomes: Understand forcing functions as an inverted approach to consequences, where you begin with a desired outcome and then identify the upstream requirements or desirable effects that must be true for that outcome to be achieved. This method helps to focus efforts on one to three key areas for improvement, rather than trying to enhance everything simultaneously.Implement Effective Forcing Functions: Discover how various elements can act as deliberate or accidental forcing functions:A prioritised backlog acts as a forcing function for essential discussions, decision-making, gathering sufficient information for prioritisation, and ensuring knowledgeable individuals are involved in the process.Presentations, demos, or all-hands meetings serve as powerful social forcing functions, as the desire to avoid the discomfort of not having progress to show incentivises action and preparation.Sprint planning is a forcing function that necessitates a clear understanding of priorities and team capacity for the upcoming sprint.Quality metrics or Service Level Agreements (SLAs), such as a P95 response time, act as forcing functions by requiring other system components to be correctly aligned to meet the target.The choice of technology or tech stack can be a significant forcing function for hiring, unintentionally selecting for specific types of engineers (e.g., Java for enterprise experience, TypeScript for full-stack, functional languages for functional programming experience).Workplace restrictions, like requiring night availability, can be accidental forcing functions, potentially selecting against individuals with community involvement, family commitments, or social lives.Successful hiring and recruiting is a strong forcing function for many positive aspects of a company, indicating technical success, high retention, competitive salaries, and a high standard for talent across the organisation.Harness Goals for Clarity and Focus: Recognise that a well-positioned goal is paramount for finding clarity, perspective, and purpose in your career. Goals provide a framework to make decisions about what to do, ensuring your time is spent on what matters to you rather than just on tasks handed to you, thereby enabling personal career growth.Set Relevant and Directionally Correct Goals: Emphasise the relevance of your goals; even if they are specific, measurable, actionable, and time-bound (SMART), they are ineffective if they are not relevant to your desired career path. Aim for goals that are directionally correct, moving you generally towards a long-term outcome (e.g., leading a project if your long-term aspiration is to lead teams), rather than being paralysed by the pursuit of a "perfect" goal.Leverage Manager Feedback for Goal Setting: If you are unsure how to set goals, consider what your boss would look for in your performance in six months. Proactively engage your manager by initiating conversations about career growth and goal setting, framing it as an opportunity for mutual success and seeking their input on what constitutes a "home run" for your role.Set Sustainable and Challenging Goals: Avoid goals that are too abstract (lacking clear actions) or that significantly over- or underestimate your capacity, as both can lead to disengagement. Instead, strive for challenging but sustainable goals that require focus and making difficult choices (e.g., saying "no" to other things) but do not lead to burnout.Be Mindful of Your Choices: Deliberately choose your forcing functions and become aware of those you are accidentally opting into. Consistently consider the downstream effects (second and third-order consequences) of your actions today, and set goals that imply a desired future state rather than dictating the exact methods. Consistency in this mindful approach to goal setting and understanding consequences is key to long-term career success.