Talking Real Money

Follow Talking Real Money
Share on
Copy link to clipboard

30-year financial talk radio veteran, Don McDonald and former host of Serious Money on PBS, Tom Cock, reunite on a weekly call-in program talking about real money issues. Each week they solve real money problems, dole out real investing (not speculating) advice, and really explain the financial issu…

Don McDonald, Tom Cock


    • Dec 18, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekdays NEW EPISODES
    • 30m AVG DURATION
    • 1,823 EPISODES

    4.5 from 490 ratings Listeners of Talking Real Money that love the show mention: real money, paul merriman, low cost, index funds, investment advice, listening to tom, scams, financial advice, honest advice, daily podcasts, portfolio, best financial, keep rocking, financial podcast, personal finance, investments, investing, sensible, investors, retirement.


    Ivy Insights

    The Talking Real Money podcast is a fantastic resource for anyone interested in learning about investing and personal finance. Hosted by Tom and Don, the show provides technical and practical content that is both informative and enjoyable to listen to. The hosts offer great advice, answer listener questions, and provide daily podcasts, making it a valuable source of information for those looking to improve their financial knowledge.

    One of the best aspects of this podcast is the straightforward approach to investing. Tom and Don emphasize the importance of investing in broad market, low-cost index mutual funds or ETFs. They advocate for keeping investment portfolios simple, low cost, and aligned with a long-term retirement plan. Their unbiased financial advice makes it clear that they are not trying to sell any products but genuinely want to help their listeners make informed decisions.

    Furthermore, the hosts' personalities shine through in each episode. They deliver actionable advice with humor and wit, making financial topics engaging and easy to digest. This unique blend of entertainment and education sets Talking Real Money apart from other financial podcasts that can feel tedious or overwhelming.

    While there may be negative reviews circulating about one of the hosts, it's important to ignore them as they appear to be subjective opinions rather than valid critiques. It's unrealistic to expect podcast hosts to align with every individual belief or opinion, so it's best to focus on the valuable content provided by Tom and Don instead.

    In conclusion, The Talking Real Money podcast stands out among its peers as a well-rounded resource for sound financial advice. With their knowledgeable insights, relatable discussions, and lively banter, Tom and Don deliver a podcast that offers both entertainment value and educational benefit. Whether you're a beginner investor or looking to refine your financial strategy, this podcast provides valuable information that can help you make informed decisions about your money.



    Search for episodes from Talking Real Money with a specific topic:

    Latest episodes from Talking Real Money

    The Upside of Down

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2025 30:07


    Market drops are a gift when you're young and a potential gut-punch when you're retired, and this episode walks through why that's true—and what to do about it. Don and Tom break down sequence-of-returns risk in plain English, then explore practical defenses: cash buffers, CD ladders, bucket strategies, flexible withdrawals, partial retirement, and why stocks still belong in retirement portfolios whether you like it or not. Listener questions tackle letting portfolios ride for heirs, value vs. total small-cap funds, tax consequences of rebalancing, and whether political risk should affect public fund investing. The takeaway: there's no perfect plan, only resilient ones—and behavior matters more than spreadsheets. 0:04 Why market drops are good for young investors and scary for retirees 0:28 Holiday cheer, audience growth pleas, and the gospel of paper questions 1:40 Why young investors should root for down markets 2:41 Sequence-of-returns risk explained without the jargon 3:20 Real-world retire-at-the-wrong-time examples (2000, 2008, 2020, 2022) 4:48 Why sequence risk is such a big retirement planning problem 5:40 What to do if you fear bad markets near retirement 6:08 Cash buffers and why they actually make sense in retirement 7:06 Bucket strategies and how they're supposed to work 7:36 CD ladders as a “get-me-through-the-bad-times” strategy 9:27 Flexible withdrawal strategies and lifestyle adjustments 10:37 Partial retirement, side hustles, and easing into retirement 11:33 Why retirees still need stock exposure 12:26 Even small equity allocations help fight inflation 13:20 There is no perfect withdrawal rate—only survivable ones 14:11 The realistic withdrawal range and why stocks are still required 15:33 Why professional fiduciary reviews actually matter 16:21 When life blows up your retirement plan anyway 18:55 Listener question: should a retiree just let stocks ride for heirs? 21:36 Washington CARES, politics, and investing public funds 23:18 Small-cap value vs. small-cap index: FSIVX vs. FSSNX 25:44 Why low-cost value tilts can still make sense 27:00 Smarter gifts: Roth IRAs, 529s, and future-you generosity Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Easy Money Isn't...

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2025 45:00


    This episode of Talking Real Money takes aim at the latest “easy money” illusion—house flipping—explaining why rising costs, higher interest rates, softer housing demand, and plain old competition have drained much of its appeal. Tom and Don connect flipping's decline to a familiar pattern of speculative behavior, much like day trading or past real estate manias, and reinforce why there are no reliable shortcuts to wealth. Listener calls drive a wide-ranging discussion on global diversification versus U.S.-only investing, the dangers of concentration risk in the S&P 500, how recency bias distorts performance comparisons, and why owning more markets matters more than making predictions. The episode wraps with practical retirement guidance for older investors, including simplifying portfolios with low-cost target-date funds, and closes with trademark humor and perspective. 0:05 Show open, intro banter, singing callbacks, and weekend rhythm 0:28 House flipping compared to day trading and FOMO investing 1:28 Why flipping activity is down sharply: costs, rates, and competition 3:41 The myth of “passive income” in real estate 4:50 Softer housing markets and demographic headwinds 6:02 No magic systems—long-term investing still wins 8:27 Lisa (Colorado): investing nonprofit funds at Vanguard 10:30 VOO vs VTI vs VT and the case for global diversification 12:29 Volatility, standard deviation, and diversification basics 14:44 Sharpe ratios, recency bias, and misleading performance metrics 16:54 Charles (Seattle): Boeing plans, VOO, and AVGE at Schwab 18:32 S&P 500 concentration risk and the “Magnificent Seven” 21:33 Jason (Sammamish): VTI vs VT debate and long-term market data 28:41 Debbie (Camano Island): portfolio risk concerns at age 73 31:20 Risk tolerance vs risk capacity in retirement 33:16 Vanguard target-date funds as a simple retirement solution 36:01 Lighter close with creative fundraising and holiday humor Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Investing Reality Check

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2025 44:55


    A classic TRM episode that starts with Tom's ill-fated attempt to cross a flooded Snoqualmie River (spoiler: no walking on water) and turns into a timely lesson on market returns, diversification, and why comparing your portfolio to headline numbers is usually a mistake. Don and Tom unpack eye-popping 2025 performance across U.S., international, bonds, and small-cap value, warn against recency bias and overpriced active funds, and take several listener calls on Roth conversions, bad custodians, debt forgiveness taxes, and rollover mechanics. The show wraps with Don's well-earned victory lap for Seasons Readings, now rubbing shoulders with Julie Andrews and Hugh Bonneville in Apple's fiction charts. 0:04 Tom gets stranded by flooding after a questionable river-crossing idea 1:40 Flood damage reality check and sympathy for displaced homeowners 2:22 Market year-end context and “Dave Ramsey average” returns 3:32 Bond funds surprise with strong year-to-date performance 4:05 International and global funds crush expectations 5:46 Why your return may lag headlines: allocation, costs, and recency bias 6:20 Apples-to-apples portfolio comparisons matter 9:26 Active funds underperforming despite a strong market year 10:47 Global diversification pays off big in 2025 12:04 January prerecorded show tease and holiday logistics 13:25 Seasons Readings featured by Apple Podcasts—downloads explode 15:18 Fiction chart brag: sandwiched between Julie Andrews and Hugh Bonneville 16:25 Listener call: John Hancock IRA, forced conversions, and bad advice 19:06 Why liquidating inside an IRA is not a taxable event 20:17 Exposing high-cost, loaded funds and custodian nonsense 23:35 Listener question: Roth conversions, pensions, and IRMAA timing 26:36 Why “top tax bracket forever” is usually a myth 27:31 Listener call: debt settlement and taxable forgiveness income 30:13 When a 1099-C is a good deal anyway 31:56 Flood-era investment scams and terrible ideas 35:55 Clarifying direct rollovers vs. taking possession of funds 38:13 Roth IRAs for young earners—yes, even pizza money Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Retirement Reality Check

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 15, 2025 32:32


    If you're nearing retirement and uneasy about the math, you're not alone. Don and Tom tackle the uncomfortable reality that most near-retirees haven't actually run the numbers—and many won't like what they see when they do. Drawing on Vanguard data and real-world client experience, they break down three practical ways to shrink a retirement gap: working longer (but not necessarily full-time), thoughtfully tapping home equity, and spending less before and during retirement. 0:06 Opening and the retirement gap problem 0:52 Podcast platforms, Apple vs Spotify, and Don's short-story empire 4:08 How TRM ranks among investing podcasts and why that still feels surreal 5:24 Vanguard data: only 40% of near-retirees are on track 6:51 Kids, money, and why retirement math gets uncomfortable fast 7:51 Strategy #1: Working longer (and why part-time can be powerful) 9:41 Purpose, boredom, and the underrated psychology of retirement 10:00 Strategy #2: Home equity as a retirement resource 11:12 Downsizing, renting, HELOCs, and reverse mortgage trade-offs 13:05 Strategy #3: Spending less—before and during retirement 14:29 Reverse mortgage costs, limits, and real-world implications 17:01 Social Security timing and when immediate annuities actually help 18:40 Inflation risk, fixed income streams, and practical trade-offs 19:02 Listener Q: AVGE vs DFAW and understanding underlying holdings 21:48 Listener Q: Aggressive Roth portfolios intended for heirs 25:30 Listener Q: Washington 529 plans and GET vs traditional 529s 27:32 Listener Q: Quantum computing (short answer: no) 28:59 Sector investing, AI hype, and why diversification wins Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Santa's Little As

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2025 25:26


    A holiday-flavored Friday Q&A that covers a lot of ground without selling a single candy cane. Don answers listener questions on Medicare vs. Medicare Advantage (and the IRMAA buzzsaw), how to safely reposition an elderly parent's taxable account, whether to ditch target-date funds for a DIY equity portfolio, how to think about international small-cap ETFs, why teaching kids to pick stocks is a terrible idea, and what to expect when a “free portfolio review” comes from a company whose name literally includes the word annuity. Skeptical, practical, and very on-brand. 0:17 Corny holiday Q&A musical intro and setup 0:33 Friday Q&A format, how questions get on the show, and holiday vibe 2:00 Medicare vs. Medicare Advantage, IRMAA penalties, and why private insurers are exhausting 3:37 Why capital gains can make Medicare shockingly expensive 4:15 The profit motive problem with Medicare Advantage plans 4:37 Question transition and listener call-in reminder 5:43 Managing an 82-year-old's taxable account: safety vs. yield 6:18 Why bond funds like BND diversify interest-rate risk better than savings accounts 7:15 CD ladders: how they work and why discipline matters 7:39 Treasury funds vs. total bond funds for capital preservation 7:47 Closing thoughts on preservation-focused portfolios 8:52 Target-date funds vs. DIY 401(k) portfolios 9:20 Glide paths, rebalancing, and what target-date funds do well 10:35 100% equity risk, volatility, and why down markets help accumulators 10:53 Choosing between AVDV and AVES (international small value vs. emerging markets) 11:47 Why the correct answer is often “both” 12:33 Teaching high school students about investing 13:52 Why stock-picking education reinforces a dangerous myth 14:28 Luck vs. skill and the evidence against beating the market 15:39 Index funds, market efficiency, and investor behavior 16:49 Morningstar vs. other research tools 17:18 Empower's “free portfolio review” and what might be coming next 18:06 Portfolio concentration concerns and tech exposure 19:33 Humor break and annuity skepticism 20:55 What Empower actually is and what that implies 21:16 Empower as an RIA and how to treat their recommendations 21:52 Getting a second opinion from a fee-only advisor 22:58 Thanks, holiday wrap-up, and call for more questions Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Four Money Moods

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 32:04


    Today's show turns a national mood ring into a money lesson. Don and Tom walk through a new Wall Street Journal/NORC survey that sorts Americans into four emotional quadrants—comfortable optimists, comfortable pessimists, stressed optimists, and stressed pessimists. Tom takes the quiz live, landing squarely where most Americans do: personally comfortable, broadly pessimistic. The two unpack why sentiment is so gloomy despite solid personal finances, how risk tolerance shifts with market cycles, and why feelings often overpower facts. Listener questions follow on retirement diversification, how much risk one really needs if Social Security covers the bills, whether younger investors should ever be 100% in stocks, and the practical challenges of automatic withdrawals from ETF-based portfolios. 0:04 Don's intro and NPR-style location banter 1:08 Why the episode is about how we feel about money 1:40 Explaining the four sentiment quadrants in the WSJ/NORC poll 3:12 Tom begins the quiz: current financial satisfaction 4:23 Confidence levels across jobs, savings, and expenses 6:04 Vacations, stock market reactions, and financial worry 8:10 Comparing today's challenges to parents' generation 9:18 Buying a home, marriage, caregiving 10:07 Rating the strength of the U.S. economy 10:46 Optimism about the future and “the American dream” 11:26 Expectations for the next year and future generations 13:06 Results: Tom is a “comfortable pessimist” 14:44 Why pessimism dominates the national mood 15:16 What individuals can—and can't—control about tomorrow 16:29 Listener question: retiring at 63 with mixed assets and too much cash 19:14 How risk tolerance should drive allocation, not income sources 20:35 Fixing the portfolio's biggest issue: excess high-yield savings 21:54 Listener question: should a 47-year-old investor be 100% stocks? 23:11 Why very few people can stomach a 50% decline 23:59 The case for diversification even when accumulating 24:44 Listener question: automatic ETF withdrawals in retirement 26:15 Annual or semiannual rebalancing as a solution 27:28 ETFs vs. mutual funds: cost vs. convenience 29:13 Year-end cleanup and planning habits Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Rolling In His Grave?

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2025 43:58


    Don and Tom take a sharp look at Vanguard's surprising new direction, especially the decision to fold annuities into 401(k) target-date funds through lightly regulated collective trusts. They contrast Vanguard's historical simplicity with today's trend toward complexity, comparing costs, structure, and risk across major providers. Listeners call in with questions about Roth conversions, Schwab target-date funds, entering the market after a forced delay, and whether TIPS or buffered ETFs are worth owning. Throughout, Don and Tom hammer home the fundamentals: low costs matter, complexity harms investors, active management rarely pays, and your stock/bond mix—not gimmicks—drives long-term success. 0:04 Opening and setup: Vanguard's recent drift toward complex products 1:03 Vanguard's dominance in target-date funds and why simplicity used to be the point 1:58 Vanguard adding annuities into 401(k) target-date funds — is this helping anyone? 3:11 What does an annuity inside a target-date fund even mean? 4:03 The 25% annuity allocation example and the misleading “8% payout” illusion 5:03 TIAA's role and why annuity costs remain unclear 6:28 Are annuities inside retirement plans a solution in search of a problem? 7:38 The fine print: Vanguard's new collective trusts and weak disclosure requirements 8:20 Why collective investment trusts are lightly regulated and potentially concerning 9:07 Caller: Roth conversions when you're withdrawing to live on — should you stop? 11:32 When Roth conversions lose their benefit and why you need cash for taxes 12:21 Caller: Are Schwab target-date funds worth it in a Roth? (Short answer: No.) 13:31 Why Schwab's higher fees and low international allocation are a problem 14:52 Active management inside target-date funds — unnecessary and risky 16:12 Risk vs. return: Schwab's higher volatility and lower historical performance 16:41 Caller: Missed market gains while transferring funds — how to get back in 18:49 When market discomfort signals a stock/bond misalignment 20:16 Comparing Schwab vs. Vanguard target-date funds over 15 years 21:37 Why lower cost + lower volatility + better return makes Vanguard the clear win 22:02 Should you fear future gimmicks like private credit inside target-date funds? 23:29 Caller PSA: Realizing capital gains in a low-income year 24:06 ETF explosion — 908 new ETFs this year, most using leverage or derivatives 25:29 Why “ETF” doesn't mean good; junk ETFs equal junk mutual funds 26:05 Structural benefits of ETFs and why the market prefers them 27:29 Soccer vs. NFL detour, then back to phone calls 29:07 Listener question from Colorado: Should you buy a TIPS fund? 31:01 Why TIPS rarely add value in diversified portfolios 33:22 TIPS behave more like inflation bets than true inflation protection 34:34 Why simple, short/intermediate, high-quality bonds—and CDs—often do the job 36:17 Caller: What is a buffered ETF, and why does it sound like an annuity? 37:29 Buffered ETFs explained: expensive, complicated, and unnecessary 38:30 Why gimmicks dominate product launches and how they hurt investors Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Huh? or Duh!

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 9, 2025 44:56


    In this special seasonal episode, you and Tom resurrect Ha or Duh, tearing through Investopedia readers' “rules to live by” and dismantling the silliest ones with mock gravitas. Between the dad-joke arms race, a spirited defense of compounding, strong opinions on due diligence, and a surprising detour into crypto-mad zip codes, the show blends real financial guidance with holiday-season chaos. The episode also hits deeper listener questions on rebalancing, Roth vs. pre-tax strategy in high brackets, and the danger of thinking blue chips alone equal diversification. 0:04 Seasonal return of Ha or Duh and setup of Investopedia's “investing rules” 1:32 Rule 1: Never sell because of emotions — duh 2:44 Rule 2: “Only invest in what you know” — emphatic huh 3:35 Rule 3: Good investment in a bad market — phrasing unclear, lean duh 4:26 Rule 4: Never underestimate compounding — mega-duh 5:35 Rule 5: Cash and patience as “positions” — hard huh 6:25 Segment break into calls 7:49 Back to Ha or Duh lightning round 8:33 Buy low, sell high — duh (with caveats) 9:58 “Losses are tuition you won't get at uni” — pass 10:21 Hold for the long term — duh 11:09 Marathon, not sprint — duh 11:39 Is education the best investment? Nuanced disagreement 12:45 “Always do your own due diligence” — modified duh (about advisors, not stocks) 15:22 FOMO avoidance — duh 16:27 Final rule: Start now — biggest duh of all 17:41 Wrap-up and transition back to regular Q&A 18:06 Listener question: Finding the “sociopath son” episode 19:28 Setup for Friday's Q&A episode 20:18 Don's town turns into “free Disney World” during holidays 21:51 Disney hotel pricing shock and personal stories 23:42 Don's new original Christmas story: Santaverse 24:01 Story podcasts spike; Short Storyverses mention 25:28 Listener from Bothell: 90% blue chips, 10% cash — how to rebalance? 26:39 Why blue chips aren't diversified and the S&P concentration problem 28:52 Listener in high bracket asks when Roth beats pre-tax 30:26 SECURE Act 2.0 catch-up rules; Roth vs. pre-tax philosophy 32:10 Monte Carlo vs. unknowable future tax rates 33:26 Why all-Roth 401(k)s would simplify life 34:28 Advice: Likely stay pre-tax in 24% bracket 35:50 Shocking stats: Seattle among highest crypto-owning zip codes 37:24 Air Force bases dominate crypto ownership — why it's dangerous Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Nobody's Perfect

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 8, 2025 28:08


    In this episode, Don and Tom saddle up for a tour through Schwab's “Good, Bad, and Ugly.” They applaud CEO Rick Wurster's warning about the growing overlap between gambling and investing, take a hard look at Schwab's retail-side conflicts and non-fiduciary sales practices, and then recoil at the truly ugly: Schwab's acquisition of Forge Global and its push to open private-company speculation to everyday investors. From there, they field listener questions about crypto's pointless search for a purpose, how to implement a disciplined 5 percent retirement withdrawal strategy, the ins and outs of tax-free Vanguard mutual-fund-to-ETF conversions, and whether a younger spouse should convert a large TSP balance to Roth. It's classic Talking Real Money: skeptical, practical, consumer-first, and mildly exhausted by the Wild West of modern finance. 0:04 Investing as the Wild West and why caveat emptor still defines the industry 0:24 Schwab's role as custodian vs. broker and how they reshaped trading costs 1:14 Schwab's discount-broker origins and institutional dominance 2:37 Free trades, market influence, and why Schwab became the industry's leader 3:52 CEO Rick Wurster's warning about gambling creeping into investing 4:43 Sports betting numbers, prop bets, and why only 5 percent come out ahead 5:54 The “bad”: Schwab retail selling and the fiduciary confusion 6:40 The “ugly”: Schwab buying Forge Global and pushing private-company speculation 7:23 Why private equity is riskier, pricier, illiquid, and over-hyped 8:17 The myth of private companies outperforming public ones 9:22 Why the Wild West persists: weak oversight, self-dealing, and revolving doors 10:48 Listener question: stablecoins, crypto legitimation, and the greater-fool problem 13:00 Currency concerns and why crypto still solves nothing 13:50 5 percent withdrawal strategy: when and how to draw from your portfolio 15:28 Rebalancing, total return withdrawals, and annual cash-flow discipline 16:47 Why withdrawals should follow rebalancing, not lead it 17:56 Vanguard mutual-fund-to-ETF conversions: how they work and why they're useful 20:10 Expense-ratio savings vs. capital-gains distributions 20:55 TSP-to-Roth conversion question: tax-rate timing matters 22:44 Only convert if you can pay taxes from outside savings 23:08 Reminder: free adviser meetings, no sales pressure 24:10 TRM's longevity and approaching episode 2,000 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Always Question Season

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 5, 2025 24:53


    This Friday Q&A episode tackles a wide range of listener questions: whether someone with full pension income still needs bonds, how to fix a cluttered 403(b) invested through Corebridge, what to make of Bill Bengen's new comments about higher withdrawal rates, how inherited IRAs are taxed over the 10-year rule, and a quick explanation of the difference between “securities” and “equities.” Along the way, Don delivers a vintage KOA radio tag, explains why simplicity beats complexity in retirement plans, and walks through why 8% withdrawal fantasies collapse under real-world math. 0:04 Friday Q&A intro and listener call-ins 1:19 Do you need bonds when pensions cover all expenses? 3:01 Why fixed income still matters (and how to gauge risk tolerance) 4:33 Listener request: Don recreates a KOA radio tagline 7:29 A messy CoreBridge 403(b): what funds to keep and how simple it can be 11:37 Target-date vs. multi-fund portfolios and a small value tilt option 12:05 Bill Bengen's new withdrawal rate comments — does 8% make any sense? 14:07 Why high withdrawal rates implode in historical simulations 16:02 Inherited IRA: what's actually taxed and how to plan distributions 18:35 The bracket danger of big lump-sum withdrawals 19:31 Final question: difference between a security and an equity 21:15 Why music licensing on podcasts is a nightmare Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Year-End Tax Shock

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 4, 2025 32:47


    This episode digs into the unwelcome December surprise of capital-gains distributions, especially from actively managed mutual funds. Don and Tom break down Morningstar's latest list of high-distribution offenders, spotlighting the astonishing 83% capital-gains payout from the Royce Midcap Total Return Fund. They compare the tax drag, costs, turnover, and long-term underperformance of these funds against index funds and ETFs, and explain why tax-efficient investing matters far more than most people realize. Listener questions cover overly complex portfolios, Edward Jones stock positions, odd-lot tender offers, and whether large-cap blue-chip stocks remove the need for bonds. The episode closes with a reminder that detailed portfolio triage is best handled in one-on-one meetings. 0:04 Capital-gains season returns and why high fund returns can still hurt 0:29 Don & Tom on weather, wardrobe, and warming up in Florida 1:30 December capital-gains distributions and why they happen 2:07 Morningstar's warning: active funds with big capital-gains payouts 3:06 Vanguard, T. Rowe Price, and American Funds distribution levels 4:09 The biggest offender: Royce Midcap Total Return Fund 5:41 Why 35 funds will distribute more than 10% of assets 5:52 The stunning number: Royce's 83% capital-gains distribution 6:52 Why big outflows and poor performance drive big taxable events 7:21 Royce's turnover, tiny size, high costs, and weak long-term returns 8:47 Why it's critical to hold active funds only in tax-advantaged accounts 10:07 ETFs vs mutual funds: tax efficiency and turnover differences 11:42 Comparing Royce to Avantis AVGE on fees, turnover, and performance 12:16 How AVGE tracks its index vs Royce's massive underperformance 13:33 When selling an active fund before a distribution may or may not help 14:05 Listener question: overly detailed allocation request — why it needs a meeting 16:29 Why some questions require one-on-one analysis 18:20 Why Appella's free meetings exist (and what they're not) 20:35 Odd-lot tender offers explained 22:14 Listener: selling Edward Jones stock holdings and leaving EJ 23:42 Why small, young investors should clean up taxable accounts early 24:24 The long decline of commission-based brokerage 25:26 Bothell check-in: blue-chip stocks vs bonds 27:18 Historical returns: 98 years of total market vs small-cap value 28:49 Why bonds exist in a portfolio despite low recent returns 29:30 Closing thoughts on discipline, diversification, and realism Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Hard to Pick

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 3, 2025 44:46


    A fast, funny Thanksgiving-weekend show where you and Tom unpack why a tiny handful of stocks drive the S&P's returns, revisit forgotten winners like Hormel and McDonald's, explain why “you can't pick them in advance,” and tie it all back to building global, diversified portfolios. Listener calls cover early-retirement withdrawals with 72(t), whether AVGV should replace AVGE, a Thanksgiving relative obsessed with dividends, and a listener being pitched a 1.24% Fidelity “wealth management” upsell. 0:06 Thanksgiving haze, Manhattans, overeating, and setting up the show 2:24 Magnificent 7 vs S&P 493 and how concentrated returns distort hindsight 4:49 1985's shock winners: Hormel, Lowe's (the other one), Franklin Resources 7:41 The 1980–1990 decade: Hormel and McDonald's huge runs and why none were predictable 8:10 Why you need small, value, and international beyond the S&P 500 10:58 Caller: retiring at 56, 72(t) rules, penalties, and whether IRA vs 401(k) location matters 14:28 Correction: SEPP applies only to the chosen account, not all pre-tax assets 16:36 Travel while you can: knees, age, lie-flat flights, and holiday banter 20:21 Caller: AVGE vs AVGV, value tilts, the overlap, and whether it's worth the swap 22:49 Why AVGV exists (and why advisors may not need it) 27:35 Thanksgiving email: dividend-obsessed relative critiques VXUS payouts 29:53 What dividends really mean—and don't—and why payout “stability” is useless 35:49 Voicemail: Fidelity wants 1.24% to “manage” half a 401(k); is it worth it? (No.) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Cold Calls & Commissions

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 2, 2025 44:20


    Tom and Don spend this post-Thanksgiving episode dismantling the illusion that big insurance companies—Northwestern Mutual in particular—are “financial advisors” rather than high-pressure sales organizations built on whole-life commissions. Don recounts his own early days as a Dean Witter cold-call cowboy, and the two walk listeners through a damning Guardian investigation revealing recruitment practices, high-pressure quotas, and the wealth-destroying math behind whole life. The phones open to calls about Cambridge's nearly 3% wrap fees, sociopathic insurance sales relatives, term-insurance needs for young families, Roth vs. pre-tax decisions, and how to find a real fiduciary advisor. The theme is consistent: avoid sales machines masquerading as advice, and keep investors from being devoured by the industry's worst incentives. 0:04 Tech glitches, Thanksgiving jokes, and Tom's three-week vacation cadence 1:45 Why this is “not the best-of”—it may be the worst-of 2:26 Don's Dean Witter cold-call origin story and the culture of selling, not advising 3:35 Northwestern Mutual's rebrand and the Guardian investigation 4:08 False promises: “You'll make $200K in three years” 5:12 The cold-calling boot camp and why only one trainee survived (Don) 6:46 Inside the student recruitment pipeline and the friends-and-family harvesting 8:11 Whole life math: the S&P at +3700% vs. Northwestern at +44% 10:50 Why whole life persists: commissions 12:41 Wrap-up of the Guardian findings and the industry's structural sleight-of-hand 16:23 CALL: Cambridge Wealth “index” portfolio with hidden fees 23:14 The reveal: Cambridge's small-account wrap fees approach 3% per year 25:54 CALL: Son-in-law selling insurance, knows it's a ripoff, loves the money 28:55 Thanksgiving family drama and the “sociopath vs. psychopath” riff 29:59 CALL: How much term life insurance should a high-income parent carry? 32:52 CALL (same): Splitting Roth vs. pre-tax contributions when income is high 34:28 CALL: How to find a true fiduciary (and avoid annuity traps) 37:59 The advisor interview form and how to make salespeople disqualify themselves Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Black Friday Q&A

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2025 19:42


    A light Black Friday edition tackles four listener questions covering Vanguard's Digital Advisor, the timing of Social Security versus IRA withdrawals, whether to swap target-date funds for a VT/BND mix, and the wisdom (or lack thereof) of adding managed-futures ETFs. The show ends with a look at whether international bonds meaningfully improve diversification (answer: barely). The through-line? Keep investing simple, avoid expensive complexity, and stick with risk-appropriate, broadly diversified portfolios—holiday weekend or not. 0:09 Don debates doing a Black Friday episode but decides to keep listeners company 1:58 How to submit questions on the website and call on Saturdays 2:16 Q1: Is Vanguard's Digital Advisor worth using? 2:56 Pros and cons: low cost, limited choices, avoid the active-fund version 4:29 Transition to Q2 4:55 Q2: Should a spouse take Social Security at 62 or delay and live off an IRA? 5:50 Pension changes the math—delay for the 8%/yr benefit 7:13 Target-date vs. VT/BND performance and Roth allocation logic 8:32 Risk tolerance matters more than account type 9:09 Actual performance: 2035 fund vs. VT/BND nearly identical 9:42 Q3: Adding managed-futures ETFs as a diversifier 10:23 Why Don strongly opposes adding complexity and high-expense hedges 11:36 Expense ratios make them non-starters 11:56 Q4: Should investors add international bonds? 12:46 Tiny diversification benefit; generally not worth it for DIY investors 14:38 Correlation improvement maxes out around one-tenth of one percent Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    The Right Time to Retire

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 26, 2025 44:58


    Don and Tom run through a Wall Street Journal list of “subtle signs it might be time to retire,” reacting to each one with their usual mix of disbelief, personal anecdotes, and gentle ribbing. The episode wanders into tech reluctance, job promotions nobody wants, Sunday dread, obsessive 401(k) checking, volunteering guilt, missing peers, feeling left out of friends' retirements, boss-related misery, and aging knees. They also answer listener questions about Schwab Intelligent Portfolios and their high cash allocations, discuss the shrinking role of physical cash, explain the real value of pre-1964 silver quarters, and handle calls on Social Security math. Tom repeatedly tracks his daughter's high-school soccer match on-air, providing live updates as the drama unfolds. 1:06 WSJ list of “subtle signs it's time to retire” begins 1:40 Sign #1: Feeling numb arriving at work 2:11 Why neither host relates to workplace numbness 2:59 Sign #2: Shrinking from new tech tools (Tom jokes incoming) 3:40 Don embraces AI, Tom… less so 4:21 Sign #3: Avoiding promotions; why neither wants a bigger job 5:16 Sign #4: The “Sunday scaries” 5:50 Sign #5: Constantly checking your 401(k) balance 6:26 Mid-list recap before the break 7:42 Second half of the list introduced 8:57 Sign #6: Wanting to volunteer more 9:40 Sign #7: Realizing all your peers have retired 10:11 Don jokes about dying at his desk 11:34 Sign #8: Feeling left out as friends enjoy retirement trips 12:40 Sign #9: Hating your boss (and why that's not a retirement issue) 12:56 Sign #10: Achy knees and “retire before you can't enjoy things” 13:35 Doctors, guarantees, and aging joints 14:43 Call for listener questions 15:04 Call: Schwab Intelligent Portfolios' big cash allocations 16:28 How Schwab makes money on the spread 18:20 Transparency vs. hidden fees 20:20 Back from break — Wednesday podcast explanation 21:31 Don hates change (the coin kind and the life kind) 22:30 Historical buying power of coins 22:56 Pre-1964 silver quarter value 24:15 Odds of finding one in circulation 25:10 What amount of money makes you bend over and pick it up? 25:47 Cleaning out the garage vs. hunting silver coins 27:36 Halftime soccer update: the comeback begins 29:02 Caller: misunderstanding “8% interest” from Social Security discussion 30:26 Caller Paul on cash vs. cashless society 31:51 Coca-Cola prices through time 32:57 Only 12–18% of payments today are cash 34:02 Holiday well-wishes and generational shifts 35:34 Bewitched, credit checks, and pre-internet detective work Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Value of Wisdom

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 25, 2025 36:55


    This episode opens with a warning to younger investors who take TikTok advice over historical perspective, especially around claiming Social Security early. Don and Tom walk through the guaranteed 8%+inflation benefit increase from delaying, why “take it at 62 and invest it” collapses under market reality, and how fear is driving a surge in early claims. They pivot to Bitcoin's sharp drop and why crypto speculation is driven by greed, not protection, before teasing Don's upcoming crypto short story. Listener questions cover bad long-term-care/annuity hybrids, overcomplicated “bucket” strategies, responsible portfolio risk, and finally a breakdown of two expensive high-volatility mutual funds—both easily beaten by low-cost index alternatives. 0:04 Message to younger investors about lacking market perspective 1:19 Why TikTok advice on claiming Social Security early is flawed 2:17 The real 8%+inflation annual increase from delaying benefits 2:27 The “take it at 62 and invest it” myth 3:47 Tom recounts Paul Merriman calling his allocation aggressive 4:49 Rising panic-driven Social Security filings 5:21 Don's 69 vs. 70 claiming decision 6:11 Survivor benefit logic many forget 7:42 Imagining a sudden 30% crash—except it's Bitcoin 8:29 Bitcoin's drop from 124K to mid-80s, plus MicroStrategy leverage 9:58 Crypto culture, crypto research, and Don's upcoming story 10:58 Crypto as a greed play, not protection 12:37 Emotions sabotage investing; the plan removes them 13:51 Why risk needs to match the plan, not ego 15:24 Crypto story teaser + Short Storyverses email plug 16:31 Listener question: NY Life Asset Flex LTC pitch 17:49 Why hybrid LTC/annuity products are weak and commission-heavy 19:47 “Bucket” confusion and the need for purpose 21:30 Caller Eugene: $250K “play money” 23:43 Reality check: could you watch $250K drop to $125K? 24:06 Why timing dips doesn't work 25:20 Better uses for excess cash in your 70s 27:08 Tom: time for full planning review at age 77 28:38 Fund analysis: Morgan Stanley Growth A 29:25 Fund analysis: Invesco Equity & Income A 30:30 Why moving to low-cost Vanguard indexes is the logical move Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Nefarious Non-Profit?

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 24, 2025 34:45


    Don and Tom go deep on a shady “non-profit” financial education group that funnels retirees into high-commission indexed annuities, using a listener tip to unpack the advisor's fake credentials, mismatched ADV filings, dubious fiduciary claims, and the simple math that reveals where the money really comes from. Along the way, they cover how to investigate advisors yourself, why financial fairy tales persist, and answer listener questions on Avantis gold holdings, private equity's impact on small-cap value, and the quality of Schwab's 529 plan. 0:04 Don's industry rant and a look at the “American Financial Education Alliance” disguise. 1:01 How pseudo-nonprofits target advisors and consumers with “no-sales” sales pitches. 2:20 Tom's take on the recycled seminar game and fake educator designations. 3:40 Listener tip sparks Don's PI dive into the flyer, claims, and contradictions. 4:49 How to vet advisors using BrokerCheck and Form ADV. 5:58 The firm's tiny AUM and impossible economics of their claimed operations. 8:02 The Maryland house vs. the Lakewood Ranch mansion — where the money REALLY comes from. 9:25 The inevitable reveal: indexed annuity commissions driving the whole machine. 10:18 Breaking down the seminar pitch language and the deceptive “market returns without risk” promise. 11:24 Why the sales story collapses under math and dividends. 12:34 The “licensed fiduciary” myth and regulatory reality for small firms. 14:38 How consumers get fooled by the fiduciary framing in seminar mailers. 16:13 Don and Tom dissect the pre-fab radio/TV show factories behind these advisors. 17:19 Why the meeting is the real sales trap — and how to avoid it. 18:48 Don's plea: stop believing financial fairy tales. 19:26 Don jokes about infiltrating steak-dinner seminars undercover. 20:14 Transition to listener Q&A from Maryland: AVDV's gold exposure. 21:26 Why Avantis owns gold miners without being “in gold.” 23:47 Momentum, value screens, and why the gold weight makes sense. 24:26 Gold Hill, Oregon 529 question: Is the Schwab plan good? 25:30 Age-based 529s and Schwab's low-cost structure. 27:28 Private equity fears: will it starve small-cap value indexes? 28:41 Why the concern is mostly a media creation, not an investment reality. 29:48 Don on the IPO–private–IPO cycle and how markets actually work. 30:11 Why private equity performs worse in bad markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Speak Your Qs

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 21, 2025 25:45


    A lively Friday Q&A episode tackling listener questions about FSAs vs. 401(k) contributions, BND vs. BKAG bond funds, intermediate-term bonds vs. CD ladders, Avantis fund-of-funds fees and structure, and the financial implications of New York City's newly elected socialist mayor. The show blends practical investing guidance with jokes about annuity-salesperson Halloween costumes and a detour into political fears vs. economic realities. 0:04 Opening, Friday Q&A setup, thanks to Tom's grandkids 0:44 Listener FSA dilemma and choosing between FSA funding or 401k 3:01 Why FSAs are painful and why a 401k wins when choosing one or the other 5:57 Comparing BND and BKAG bond funds, holdings, universe, credit quality 9:01 Listener joke: “scariest Halloween costume is an annuity salesperson” 9:55 Moving CD-ladder money to VGIT or BIV; differences and trade-offs 12:22 Thoughts on iShares LifePath target-date ETF (ITDC) 12:33 Why Avantis fund-of-funds exist and whether you pay double fees 15:36 Underlying fund costs inside AVGE and how the total expense ratio works 16:21 Question about NYC's new socialist mayor and financial impact fears 17:54 Walking through political fears vs. practical economic reality 21:55 Why one politician can't radically reshape a city's economic fate Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Good Enough

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 20, 2025 31:48


    You and Tom spend this episode unpacking a surprisingly liberating idea for investors: that average is good enough. Kicking off with your own story about a two-star podcast rating, you two stumble into a bigger truth—most people are chasing a level of portfolio perfection that doesn't matter. Christine Benz's Morningstar piece becomes the backbone of the discussion, contrasting “maximizers” (engineers, tinkerers, over-optimizers) with “satisfizers” (simple, diversified, sane). From there you hit Tesla's trillion-dollar pay package drama, Bito's goofy “dividends,” SGOV vs. CD ladders, fears about private equity sneaking into retirement plans, and a few classic Don-and-Tom tangents. The message: stop overthinking, build a sensible portfolio, and go live your life. 0:04 Don's two-star review existential crisis and the epiphany about doing things for joy 1:16 Why being “average” in investing (and life) is perfectly fine 1:45 Elon Musk compensation debate and ETF shareholders not getting a vote 3:12 Don's “brilliant raving lunatic” take on Elon and Tesla's dominance 4:38 The kings of tangentiality finally introduce the show 5:55 Christine Benz and the “Good Enough Portfolio” philosophy 6:36 Maximizers vs. satisfizers explained (plus Bogle bobbleheads) 8:53 Why over-optimization rarely improves results 9:56 Happiness and second-guessing: satisfizers win 11:22 Time costs, tax worries, and the illusion of finding a perfect portfolio 12:33 Two-fund vs. ten-fund portfolios and why simplicity works 13:55 Working harder doesn't usually make you richer—your job does 14:25 Listener letter: long-time fan from Silverdale reminisces about 1988 15:26 Tom recalls being put on the air after several glasses of wine 16:03 Acorns user asks about BITO's wild “dividends” 18:10 Why BITO's payouts are actually return of capital and cannibalization 19:58 BITO's volatility roller-coaster (standard deviation 53) 20:12 SGOV vs. CD ladders for short-term retirement cash 22:07 Why emergency funds shouldn't sit in a Roth IRA 22:58 Listener concerned about private equity creeping into 401(k)s 23:52 PE risks, political pressure, and greater-fool concerns 25:27 Don thanks listener “AlwaysLearning1953” for the positive review 26:49 Murder of Crows, sound effects, and the power of scary crows 27:36 New Tales Told update—more stories on the way 28:38 Saturday live show reminder and flyover banter 28:58 Don's Kansas/Leavenworth childhood story detour Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Simple Solutions

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 19, 2025 44:10


    Don and Tom open with the investor mistakes Christine Benz highlighted in Morningstar: portfolio sprawl, concentration in the same large-cap tech names, clinging to ancient active funds, ignoring reallocations, and failing at both asset allocation and asset location. The show then shifts into calls—first about fears of an “AI crash,” then a heartbreaking case of an 80-year-old widow stuck in an expensive, incoherent Schwab-built portfolio, which Don dismantles live. Later, Roth conversion strategy, smishing scams, and a closing riff on Bitcoin's extreme volatility versus gold. A packed episode on how bad habits, high fees, and fear derail investors—and how a simple, globally diversified plan avoids most of it. 0:04 Intro and Christine Benz's list of common portfolio mistakes 0:56 Portfolio sprawl and “hodgepodge-itis” 1:32 Overloaded baskets of large-cap tech stocks 2:52 The 31-year-old underperforming fund problem 3:54 Active vs. passive: the shift the industry still hasn't admitted 4:03 Asset allocation errors driven by ignoring the plan 4:51 Why rebalancing matters (and why people never do it) 5:40 Asset location mistakes and why taxes demand a smarter structure 6:15 Why these errors are easy to fix with a simple plan 7:58 Don solo; open phones 8:23 Caller: Fear of an “AI crash” and whether it can tank the market 11:16 Building a portfolio that can withstand any crash 13:01 International ballast and why planning matters more than predictions 14:27 Don solo again; open phones 15:17 Smishing scams and the rise of SMS-based fraud 16:13 How cheap scam-software makes fraud explode 17:08 Caller: 80-year-old widow with an awful Schwab portfolio 18:27 Don investigates the tickers—high fees, obscure funds, bad structure 19:57 Schwab dropped her; Don: “This advisor should be fired” 21:07 Why the portfolio lost money and what those numbers really mean 22:26 Active funds, high turnover, and tax drag 24:01 Don's verdict: unload the mess and move to simple, low-cost indexing 25:01 Why a target-date fund may be the cleanest fix 26:33 Take the risk quiz; why advisors should be boring 27:00 Don vents about industry incompetence and fee-only failures 28:23 Why advisors chase “exciting” instead of sound 30:02 Caller: Roth conversion when 70% of assets are in traditional IRAs 31:25 Why conversion benefits are minor but sometimes worthwhile 32:33 Strategy: convert up to top of the 24% bracket 33:19 Wrap-up and call for last questions 34:56 Gold vs. Bitcoin: which is actually stable? 36:09 Why Bitcoin's volatility makes it a terrible “currency” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    No Absolutes

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2025 45:22


    You and Tom take on the myth of hard-and-fast financial rules by walking through Real Simple's list of nine “rules you can break.” From the latte factor to credit cards, budgeting, bulk shopping, and the old “retire at 65” trope, the conversation keeps coming back to a single theme: money isn't black and white. You push back against absolutists like Dave Ramsey, emphasize discipline over dogma, and highlight the practical realities of saving behavior, debt, lifestyle choices, and risk. Listener calls round it out — including a thoughtful inheritance question and a late-career investor worried about having “run out of time,” which you defuse with smart, flexible solutions. 0:04 Absolutism vs. nuance in personal finance 1:24 Dave Ramsey's black-and-white rules 1:57 The latte rule and small vs. big expenses 3:36 Pay-yourself-first as the only rule that really works 4:57 Are credit cards bad? Protection, perks, and pitfalls 6:26 Truth lives between extremes 7:45 “Breakable” money rules from Real Simple 8:39 The myth of retiring at 65 9:59 Why more people work past traditional retirement age 11:00 Don's TV story and accidental age-compliment 12:59 Is bulk shopping really a money saver? 13:55 Why strict budgets fail 15:04 Tom's failing FaceTime and tech-phobia 16:02 Caller: leaving money to grandkids who vanished 19:43 Family lawsuits when inheritances differ 20:23 Caller: asset location and bond placement 24:55 Should you draw from 401(k) or IRA first? 28:43 Caller: “Am I out of time to retire?” 33:00 Solving retirement shortfall with portfolio structure 36:16 Don runs the numbers — immediate annuity option Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Retirement Robbers

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 17, 2025 30:00


    A listener's nightmare 401(k) story sparks a deep dive into how small employers can delay, misuse, or even lose employee retirement contributions before they ever reach the plan custodian. Don and Tom explain the Department of Labor's weak enforcement, why small plans are most vulnerable, and what workers must do to protect themselves. Then the show tackles backdoor Roth timing rules, Social Security “worst-case” planning, the appeal (or lack of) of mid-cap ETFs, and how to unwind a hodgepodge portfolio without triggering massive tax bills. :04 When employers steal 401(k) contributions before depositing them 1:42 The WSJ case: three-year hunt for missing contributions 3:02 Why small employers are the highest-risk group 5:02 DOL enforcement loopholes and the “administratively feasible” dodge 7:04 What to do if your contributions never show up 8:09 Fidelity bonds, audits, and how recovery really works 9:39 Big-company plans vs. small plans 10:36 Inside the Amazon layoff notice fiasco 11:54 Listener question: timing a backdoor Roth in 2026 for the 2025 tax year 13:40 The Form 8606 trap and pro-rata consequences 15:03 Listener question: Should you assume Social Security cuts in your plan? 16:41 Why benefits probably won't be cut—even though the system needs fixing 18:04 Listener question: Should anyone buy a mid-cap ETF? 18:46 Why good portfolios already own plenty of mid-caps 19:36 Listener question: Fixing 20 years of hodgepodge-itis at age 72 21:22 Taxes, capital gains, and the slow cleanup strategy 23:52 Why Wellington and Wellesley don't fit a modern portfolio 25:20 Personal banter: vacations, spending guilt, and sci-fi Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    More Money Q&A

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 14, 2025 28:49


    Don fields a full slate of listener questions on everything from SGOV vs. high-yield savings accounts to the differences between AVUV and DFSV, why international stocks belong in a portfolio (but shouldn't dominate it), and whether equal-weighted funds solve the “Magnificent 7” concentration problem. He digs into target-date and bond-fund suitability for short-term money, clarifies what “rules-based” really means for Avantis and Dimensional, and gently deflates misconceptions about long-term international outperformance. Along the way he riffs on talk radio's decline, teases Tom's dad jokes, and reinforces the core message: diversify, know your time horizons, and don't overthink what good academic research already tells us. 0:04 Don opens Q&A Friday and reflects on radio's slow fade 2:20 SGOV vs. high-yield savings accounts for emergency cash 5:13 Why AVUV and DFSV only overlap ~40% despite similar factors 8:43 Which fund is “wilder”: AVUV vs. DFA small value 9:54 Why international stocks belong in a portfolio—but not overweighted 11:41 Long-term U.S. vs. international return history 14:51 S&P 500 concentration and equal-weight ETF considerations 18:44 Equal-weight vs. small-value tilt vs. rules-based funds 20:07 Where to put 2–3 year money: savings, CDs, BND, or a near-dated target-date fund? 23:13 Better language than “active”: rules-based vs. systematic Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Annuity Reality

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 13, 2025 29:38


    Don and Tom question a surprising Wall Street Journal column arguing that annuities should become the default option in 401(k) plans. They explore why the idea is gaining traction, where the logic breaks down, and how the insurance industry benefits when complexity outpaces understanding. Along the way, they dig into the real shortcomings of annuities—fees, opacity, inflation risk, liquidity traps—and why “guarantees” often mask the true cost. Listener questions follow, covering tax-efficient stock cleanup at Schwab, spouse disagreements over individual stock picking, automatic ETF withdrawals at Vanguard, and building Dimensional portfolios inside Aspire plans. 0:04 Don's rant: “What the world needs now is… more annuities?” 1:20 WSJ's argument: make annuities the 401(k) default 2:05 Why income complexity doesn't justify default annuities 3:01 Do annuities actually solve longevity risk? 3:29 Inflation, joint-life costs, and who really wins 4:20 Insurance industry reputation and the unanswered criticisms 5:15 High fees, opacity, and why mistrust is earned 5:59 Are annuity sales tactics the real barrier? 7:02 Should annuities be in 401(k)s at all? Don vs. Tom 7:36 Why annuities are mostly sold, not bought 9:10 Liquidity traps and major-life-event risks 10:01 Why “plans” matter more than “products” 10:57 Listener questions: why nobody calls anymore 11:14 Q1: Selling a brokerage full of individual stocks at Schwab 12:46 Q1b: How to convince a spouse who loves stock picking 14:21 Indexing vs. anecdotal evidence 16:21 SPIVA data and why active managers lose 17:02 Q2: Can Vanguard automate ETF withdrawals? 19:05 Fractional shares and why purchases are allowed 20:25 Q3: Aspire 403(b) options and DFA overload 23:46 How many DFA funds do you really need? 24:44 Micro-cap risks and portfolio sprawl 25:42 Tom's pumpkin-patch grandkid cameo Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Z Good and Z Bad

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2025 44:50


    Tom and Don grade Gen Z investors from a recent Wall Street Journal article, discussing their portfolios, common mistakes like stock picking, active management, and crypto speculation. They move into practical retirement and college-planning questions from callers — including Roth vs. taxable accounts, 401(k) catch-up contributions, 529 plans, and college costs pushing $90 K a year. 0:04 Gen Z investing habits and media influence 1:59 Grading five young investors from a WSJ profile 7:43 Financial-flinch reflex and planning plug 12:21 Listener: starting a 401(k) at 59 15:34 Listener: using taxable funds for a Roth contribution 20:24 Listener: Roth 401(k) catch-ups and 529 trade-offs 26:08 College costs and saving priorities 28:43 Listener: opening a 529 for a grandchild 36:12 Listener: portfolio check (AVUV + bond ladder) and AVGE recommendation Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Investing Is Dull

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 11, 2025 44:55


    Don and Tom tackle investor “magical thinking,” especially the belief that private equity, non-traded REITs, and other illiquid “exclusive” investments offer hidden superior returns. They walk through Jason Zweig's recent reporting on a Florida pension fund that locked up money, paid higher fees, and earned under 1% a year. The conversation underscores why liquidity, transparency, and diversification matter far more than complexity or exclusivity. The episode also features listener questions on retirement withdrawal sequencing for a $9M portfolio, evaluating cash balance plans, and deciding between traditional vs. Roth 401(k) contributions. A recurring theme: boring portfolios win. 0:05 Magical thinking and the fantasy of “special” investments 1:52 Private equity realities: higher fees, no liquidity, often lower returns 2:46 The Indian Shores pension fund case 3:44 Withdrawal limits and 0.7% 5-year returns 4:34 Why endowments can do illiquid assets but you probably shouldn't 5:21 “Roach motel” investing and lack of transparency 8:35 How mutual funds must provide daily liquidity vs. private funds that don't 8:49 Excitement is bad; investing should be boring 9:54 Caller: $9M portfolio—withdraw taxable first or convert IRAs? 11:51 Traditional IRAs vs taxable sequencing strategy 14:17 Why taxable first lowers tax impact and preserves flexibility 16:03 Blackstone senior housing REIT losses and why “sure things” fail 17:39 Diversification protects you when single bets go bad 18:06 Why private deals appeal emotionally (exclusivity + status) 20:38 Caller: Tesla & concerns about private equity creeping into ETFs 23:07 Why mainstream ETFs won't adopt illiquid private assets 24:43 REIT ETFs behave more like stabilizing bond substitutes 26:02 LeaveMeAlone email-unsubscribe tool discovery 28:04 Listener questions: send via site or voice form 30:51 Cash balance plan concerns—likely a stable value/insurance product 33:08 Another listener: Edward Jones 401(k) with American Funds C-shares 34:30 High-fee small-plan 401(k)s—why they happen and how to fix 36:27 Caller: Should we switch to Roth 401(k) contributions? Probably not here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Bring the Card

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 10, 2025 21:04


    Tom welcomes consumer advocate Herb Weisbaum (ConsumerMan) to talk through the rising headaches of modern travel and everyday scams. Herb shares a recent Delta Airlines ordeal where he was nearly stranded overseas because he didn't have the exact credit card used to purchase his ticket months earlier — a policy he and others say is poorly disclosed and inconsistently enforced. The conversation expands to robocall loan scams, fake toll violation texts, and AI-boosted fraud that's becoming harder to spot. Herb offers practical steps on how to avoid getting trapped, plus early holiday shopping advice as tariffs and supply issues push prices up. A lively, useful consumer-protection episode. 0:10 Tom introduces Herb Weisbaum and today's consumer-focused discussion 1:14 Tom's Heathrow airline mess and why travelers feel powerless 2:08 Herb's far worse Delta experience: denied boarding without original credit card 3:44 Calling a neighbor at 3am to photograph the card and save the trip 5:13 Delta's justification: “We're protecting you from fraud” 6:20 Why airlines can mistreat travelers and get away with it 7:04 U.S. vs. EU passenger rights and compensation differences 8:32 Text scams: fake unpaid toll notices are surging 9:46 The new wave of “pre-approved loan” robocall scams 10:48 AI makes scam messages grammatically perfect and harder to detect 11:04 Slow down, don't engage, verify before responding 12:20 Let unknown calls go to voicemail to avoid social pressure 14:07 Holiday shopping preview: tariffs, supply constraints, scarcity in decor and toys 15:55 Black Friday all season long—price tracking and refund requests 16:27 Brief detour into kid gifts, backpacks, and questionable plush monsters 17:21 Checkbook.org and ConsumerMan resources for unbiased help 18:17 Herb's love of model trains and signing off Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Another Q Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2025 24:25


    This Friday Q&A tackles a familiar voice: Bitcoin Bob tries again to make the case for crypto as protection against currency debasement. Don breaks down what “debasement” actually means, why inflation gradually reduces purchasing power, and why Bitcoin's extreme volatility makes it a poor replacement for the U.S. dollar. Productive assets remain the historically reliable hedge. Then: a comparison of target-date funds vs. a DIY three-fund portfolio, guidance for a couple aiming for early retirement with multi-account withdrawal planning, a discussion of equity/bond allocation in personal portfolios, and what might happen to the small China exposure inside global funds if geopolitical tensions escalated into war. 0:04 Friday Q&A intro and request for more listener questions 1:33 Bitcoin Bob returns: what “currency debasement” means 4:34 Bitcoin vs. the dollar: volatility and why stability matters 6:59 The real hedge: productive global assets over speculative tokens 8:29 Target-date funds vs. a three-fund portfolio in retirement 10:32 Asset allocation control vs. glide path defaults 11:20 Early retirement scenario: withdrawal sequencing, 72(t), and risk tolerance 14:55 When to add bonds and why emotional behavior matters 16:00 Don's and Tom's current equity/bond allocations 17:07 If the U.S. and China went to war: what happens to VT's China exposure? 20:26 Why global diversification limits catastrophic loss Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Leverage Dangers

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 6, 2025 28:23


    Don and Tom take listeners on a wild ride through the booming (and frequently disastrous) world of leveraged ETFs. They break down how these funds promise double or triple the excitement but mathematically bleed away returns through volatility decay. A few listener questions follow, covering retirement cash buffers, negotiating advisory fees on large portfolios, and comparing IRTR vs AOM for a near-retiree allocation. Humor, subtle self-mockery, a Jonas Brothers detour, and a reminder that gambling is not investing. 0:04 Opening banter and the thrill-seeker pitch for leveraged ETFs 1:29 Leveraged single-stock ETFs explode from zero to $40B 3:26 MicroStrategy example: stock up ~30%, 2x ETF down ~65% 5:03 How volatility decay quietly destroys leveraged returns 7:36 5x ETFs and the “go to zero in one day” problem 9:01 When leverage stops being “investing” and starts being gambling 11:38 Listener question: Should retirees hold a bigger cash buffer to avoid selling in downturns? 14:37 Listener question: Should a $4M managed client negotiate fees? (Yes.) 17:43 IRTR vs AOM comparison for someone three years from retirement 22:54 Seasonal weather rant and hunkering down for productivity Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Most Investors Fail

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2025 45:03


    Don and Tom tackle the universal truths of investing — namely, that most investors underperform the market due to their own behavior. They discuss the persistence of emotional decision-making, the dangers of market timing, and the importance of diversification and sticking to a plan. Listener calls cover UGMA accounts, bond allocation in IRAs, downsizing for assisted living, robo-investing, annuities, and advisor ethics. The show mixes data-driven insight with classic Real Money humor and real-world financial guidance. 0:04 Universal truths of investing and investor behavior 2:07 Why investors underperform their own funds (Morningstar “Mind the Gap”) 3:30 Market sentiment, cash levels, and memories of 2000 and 2008 4:31 Peter Lynch on market corrections and investor overconfidence 5:40 The danger of timing the market and trusting stocks too much 6:40 “Financial Flinch Reflex” parody PSA (Appella Wealth ad) 7:41 Listener: diversifying a Vanguard UGMA for grandson's education 12:14 Listener: TSP rollover, age-based bond allocation, and risk tolerance 14:40 The right asset mix for long-term investors in their 40s 15:48 Listener: selling condo for assisted living — planning for late-life care 18:45 Spending vs. inheritance — why it's okay to use your own money 20:27 Producer's question: is SoFi robo-investing safe for beginners? 22:56 Emergency funds vs. long-term investing; debt priorities 26:03 Listener: spouse investing in individual stocks — handling differences 28:32 Listener: total market vs. S&P 500 core fund; AVGE and DFAW explained 30:17 Listener: 8% annuity “crediting rate” myth and why it's misleading 35:42 Real internal rate of return on annuities and risk comfort 37:12 Listener: following advisor from Ameriprise to a bank — fiduciary warning 39:36 Why commissioned products persist and how fiduciary rules differ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Take More Risk?

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2025 44:41


    Don and Tom tackle the timeless question: why do you invest? They challenge the “TINA” mindset (“There Is No Alternative”) and dissect new research claiming retirement savers should own no bonds at all. They argue that while stocks outperform over long stretches, bonds remain essential for emotional stability and survival during market crashes. Listeners join in with sharp questions about CD ladder withdrawal strategies, crypto-based dividend schemes, securities lending, and international ETF allocation. The show wraps with a skeptical look at Vanguard's growing tilt toward active management and new global funds from Avantis. 0:04 Why do you invest? Defining purpose versus chasing returns 1:29 The rise of “TINA investing” — there is no alternative to stocks? 2:30 Bonds as shock absorbers when markets collapse 3:57 Questioning global overweights in new stock research 5:01 The emotional toll of chasing maximum returns 6:12 Bonds' true role: keeping investors calm and consistent 7:50 Zweig's conclusion — even he still owns bonds 9:06 Retirement timing risk and the case for diversification 10:29 Caller Jay from Georgia — testing a five-year CD ladder withdrawal plan 12:34 Turning the CD ladder into part of a bond portfolio 13:46 What to do with the ladder during a market downturn 14:47 Caller Jason from Washington — Elon Musk, Bitcoin, and the “Strike/Strive” gimmick 15:49 The math behind high-yield crypto preferreds doesn't add up 17:18 When hype meets hazard: Ponzi parallels in risky yields 18:57 Why “everyone's doing it” isn't a defense for bad strategy 20:04 Why MicroStrategy's dividend promises defy logic 21:15 Listener question — securities lending in IRAs 23:09 How stock lending actually works (and why it barely pays) 24:18 Why most small investors shouldn't bother 27:15 Vanguard's new identity crisis: the push into active management 27:47 The profitability problem of index funds 28:53 Can Vanguard's active funds really beat their benchmarks? 31:48 Why past performance still fails as a predictor 33:14 Vanguard's crypto flirtation and industry pandering 35:43 Caller Craig from Seattle — expanding global exposure with AVNV 36:32 The case for adding Avantis International Value ETF 37:46 Early results and long-term expectations Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Experts Need Experts

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2025 29:39


    Don and Tom unpack why even smart, financially literate people sometimes need a financial advisor — prompted by Morningstar's Christine Benz explaining why she hires one. They explore the value of second opinions, professional organization, tax guidance, spending permission, and succession planning. The conversation also draws lines around who doesn't need an advisor (DIY investors under 50 with good discipline) versus who does (retirees, disorganized investors, and anyone over 65 facing complexity). Later, they tackle listener questions about small-cap value ETFs — comparing AVUV, DFSV, and SLYV — and close with a retirement scenario review for a disciplined 77-year-old federal retiree. A lighthearted finish touches on long-term care insurance, empty nesting, and the Raiders' black hole stadium. 0:04 Reintroducing the need for financial help (but not that kind of help) 1:17 Christine Benz's surprising admission: she has a financial planner 2:27 The value of a “responsible second opinion” 3:25 Why Benz says peace of mind has real value 3:50 Reasons to hire an advisor: second opinions, tax guidance, rebalancing, perspective 4:54 When hourly financial advice makes sense 6:38 Organization and accountability as hidden benefits 8:08 The disinterested spouse problem 8:40 Why succession planning matters more than you think 9:32 “Permission to spend” — an underrated role of advisors 10:19 Who doesn't need an advisor: young savers and disciplined investors 11:27 When to get a second opinion even if you're DIY 12:18 Spotting bad advice and hidden annuities 13:03 Who does need an advisor: hodgepodge portfolios and over-50 investors 14:09 Complexity and the need for help beyond 65 14:47 The problem of small investors being preyed upon by salespeople 15:52 Listener question: adding small-cap value exposure 16:47 Comparing AVUV, DFSV, and SLYV performance and structure 19:00 Expense ratios and diversification differences 20:18 Don and Tom's ETF verdict 21:10 Retirement checkup: 77-year-old with pension and LTC coverage 22:06 Evaluating liquidity, income, and survivorship 23:48 The vanishing quality of long-term care policies 24:56 Tom's empty-nest plans and aching knee 25:43 Raiders jokes and the black-painted stadium Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Halloween Qs

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 23:33


    Don answers a range of listener questions covering topics from Fidelity's fully paid lending program to the Roth 401(k) decision and mortgage payoff strategies. He explains why stock lending rarely adds much value for ETF investors, why paying off a 2.6 percent mortgage makes little financial sense, and why even Berkshire Hathaway isn't a substitute for true diversification. Listeners also learn about HSA payroll tax savings and how to build Roth flexibility without triggering the pro-rata rule. 0:04 Friday Q&A intro and listener invitation 1:25 Fidelity's fully paid lending program explained—small returns, limited upside 3:47 When stock lending might make sense for rare or hard-to-borrow shares 4:33 Mortgage payoff debate—2.6% rate vs. 7% investing return 5:30 Don confirms: investing wins, emotion aside 7:09 Caller argues for Berkshire Hathaway B as the “perfect” one-stock portfolio 9:14 Don dismantles the myth—Buffett's own warnings, risk concentration 11:23 401(k) vs. Roth 401(k)—how to decide and why a plan matters 14:04 Backdoor Roth options for self-employed spouses 15:32 Importance of long-term planning once portfolios near $1 million 15:56 HSA payroll advantage—no Social Security tax on contributions 17:11 Using a Roth to store “extra mortgage” money until retirement 18:08 Why paying off a low-rate mortgage later may not make sense 19:37 Free fiduciary portfolio checkup offer from Apella Wealth Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Financial Deja Vu?

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 27:46


    Don and Tom open with an honest reflection on market déjà vu—how today's investing climate echoes the speculative excesses of 1929 and 2008. Citing Andrew Ross Sorkin's new book 1929: Inside the Greatest Crash in Wall Street History, they discuss the modern “financialization” wave: private equity, venture capital, crypto, and private credit being repackaged for retail investors and even 401(k)s, often under looser regulation. They warn listeners about “mark to make-believe” valuations and Wall Street's relentless drive to sell complexity to the masses. The conversation moves from cautionary history (leveraged trusts of 1929, margin loans, and subprime mortgages) to present-day parallels like Bitcoin ETFs and private-market tokens. The takeaway: avoid opaque, speculative products; stick with transparent, low-cost diversification. In the Q&A, they answer listener questions about simplifying global portfolios with VT vs. VTI/VXUS, and about selling or donating concentrated stock positions from employee plans. 0:04 Opening disclaimers and acknowledgment that the episode isn't meant to scare investors 1:18 Historical parallels—1929, 1987, 2008—and the feeling of “market déjà vu” 2:10 Introducing Andrew Ross Sorkin's new book 1929 and his NYT column on modern speculation 3:20 Financialization and the loosening of investor protections in the 2020s 4:33 Wall Street's constant invention of confusing products that favor sellers 4:58 Robinhood's Vlad Tenev and the illusion of democratizing risk 6:12 Lowering the barriers to private markets and what that means for investors 7:26 Echoes of 1929: leveraged ETFs, margin-like structures, and “Russian-doll” debt 8:29 The perils of leverage and speed of modern market declines 9:02 Private-market tokens and the “mark-to-make-believe” problem 10:25 Overvaluation, lack of liquidity, and Wall Street's interest in 401(k) assets 11:41 Historical leverage shifts—from banks to private credit 12:58 Why trusting financial “authorities” can be dangerous 13:32 Emotional honesty: people lie, and investors must self-protect 14:42 Jealousy, lottery-thinking, and envy as behavioral pitfalls 15:36 Investing as elimination—avoid what's complex, costly, or confusing 16:48 Listener Q&A: two-fund simplicity (VT + BND) vs. multi-ETF tinkering 18:38 The temptation to overweight U.S. equities 20:00 Contrarian case for international exposure (VXUS) 21:15 ESPP stock cleanup: when to sell concentrated holdings 22:44 Charitable giving of appreciated stock for tax efficiency Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Financial Cockroaches

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2025 44:54


    Don and Tom go after one of their favorite targets: bad actors in the financial industry—especially those who flee regulation by becoming insurance salesmen. They break down a shocking new study showing that 98% of brokers kicked out by FINRA stay in the business by selling annuities and other insurance products, often with little oversight. The duo compares this behavior to “cockroaches,” slamming state insurance commissions for weak enforcement and minimal fines. Later, they tackle Washington State's ballot measure SR 8201 on investing long-term care funds, answer listener questions about 529 plans versus UTMAs, discuss 457 plan costs and fund choices, and close with a fun chat about Halloween chaos and coffee and cocoa prices. 0:04 Opening rant on misbehavior in the financial industry and the perils of “bad advisors.” 1:03 How fired brokers reappear as insurance salesmen—98% stay in the industry. 3:10 Why state insurance oversight is toothless and how low the penalties really are. 5:14 Insurance firms masquerading as planners—why fiduciary-only advisors matter. 6:03 The study's “cockroach” comparison and why the problem persists. 7:37 How to vet your advisor using FINRA's BrokerCheck and state insurance lookups. 9:16 State vs. federal regulation—why the insurance lobby spent $200 million to avoid SEC oversight. 11:08 Caller Beth from Washington asks about SR 8201—investing long-term care funds in stocks. 13:27 The fiduciary perspective: diversification and realistic expectations. 15:23 Caller Gene from Puyallup on 529 plans vs. UTMAs for grandkids. 17:55 Tax control, gift rules, and the best state 529 options. 19:20 Holiday gifting and a little banter about who's on Tom's “nice list.” 20:22 Halloween costumes, tourists, and Celebration, Florida trick-or-treat madness. 23:28 Behind the scenes: Don reveals the entire “Talking Real Money” production staff (himself). 24:32 Podcast email list plug—how to subscribe at TalkingRealMoney.com. 25:35 Explaining podcasts for the AM radio crowd—how to find Talking Real Money on your phone. 27:30 Listener question from Matthew in Illinois about 457 plan costs and hidden fees. 30:38 The truth about 457s, penalties, and why Schwab's low-cost ETFs may be smarter. 32:34 Caller Rob from Bellevue discusses attending RetireMeet and noticing the Apella building. 33:18 Wrapping with cocoa and coffee futures—good news for chocolate, bad for espresso lovers. 37:49 Don plugs Litreading's Scary Story Season before switching to Christmas stories. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Hard to Diversify

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2025 44:54


    Don and Tom tackle the timeless topic of diversification — why it's back in style, why it's so hard to maintain, and why most investors (and pros) still get it wrong. They walk through how market “leadership” shifts over decades, the global vs. U.S. split, and why comparing your portfolio to the S&P 500 is often a trap. Listener questions cover ETF access at T. Rowe Price and Vanguard, whether to invest or pay down debt, and how the 5% flexible withdrawal rule works in early retirement. Plus, the guys riff on Halloween candy inflation, Social Security COLA bumps, and Don's LitReading “Scary Story Season.” 0:04 Show open — Saturday radio edition and why repetition matters in financial education 1:03 The fashion of diversification — and why it's “back in style” 2:27 International and small-cap value resurgence 3:15 Why investors chase past returns instead of diversifying 4:02 Gold, inflation, and recency bias — lessons from the 1980s 5:21 U.S. vs. international allocation debate: market cap vs. 50/50 6:20 The long wait for Japan's market recovery 7:41 Practical diversification tools — AVGE, DFAW, VT 8:19 Stop comparing everything to the S&P 500 9:08 Historical proof: global portfolio vs. S&P since 1931 10:02 Caller Charlie — buying Avantis or DFA ETFs through T. Rowe Price or Vanguard 12:39 How fund custodians differ from managers 13:27 Checking portfolio exposure with Morningstar 14:42 Caller Gabe — invest or pay off debt? 16:45 When to pay off a car loan vs. mortgage 19:35 How to handle multiple mortgages and long-term plans 20:22 Social Security's 2026 COLA bump and the “good news/bad news” of $102 more a month 22:21 Inflation realities — coffee, beef, and Halloween candy 25:02 Candy talk — shrinkflation and Don's trick-or-treat haul 25:54 LitReading plug: “Scary Story Season” and Philip K. Dick's The Hanging Man 27:34 Search “Don McDonald” in Apple Podcasts — chiropractor cameo included 29:05 Listener Victor (a.k.a. George) — can $4 million last 60 years with 5% withdrawals? 31:38 How the flexible withdrawal method works in practice 33:49 Retirement purpose, Monte Carlo results, and FIRE skepticism 37:41 Kindleberger quote on bubbles and envy: “There's nothing so disturbing as to see a friend get rich.” 38:55 Kindleberger's background and Manias, Panics, and Crashes Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    T&R Q&A

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 27, 2025 25:13


    Tom Cock and Apella Wealth advisor Roxy Butner team up for a lively listener Q&A episode covering everything from the new wave of penny-stock IPOs to retirement readiness and tax traps. Tom opens with a warning about the surge in risky penny-stock offerings, then the two dive into listener questions about annuity sales pressure at Fidelity, portfolio diversification mistakes, CD taxation myths, Roth conversions, and one standout 21-year-old listener getting her financial life off to a stellar start. 0:05 Tom opens with a warning about the explosion in penny-stock IPOs 1:26 Why “lottery-ticket” stocks nearly always burn investors 2:21 Diversify, stay tax-efficient, and skip the hype 2:30 Roxy joins for listener Q&A 3:38 Fidelity's annuity pitch — a listener wonders if it's time to leave 5:05 Who's truly fiduciary: Fidelity vs. Vanguard vs. Apella 6:14 Vanguard dipping a toe into crypto 6:51 Quabina from Ohio: $2.2M at 47 — diversified enough to retire at 55? 8:14 Missing global diversification and bonds in an all-U.S. portfolio 9:57 Early-retirement planning challenges and healthcare costs 10:20 How to design the right stock-bond-international mix 11:36 Daniel from California: Are long CDs taxed as capital gains? 13:04 Why CD interest is always ordinary income — and muni bond alternatives 13:29 Year-end planning: RMDs, Roth conversions, and tax optimization 14:45 Common tax mistakes and mis-placed assets 15:19 Emily from Ohio: “Young and Dumb” — a 21-year-old investing the smart way 18:51 Building a first Roth IRA and why bonds don't belong yet 20:00 One-fund simplicity: AVGE vs. VOO 21:41 Long-term mindset: global diversification and patience pay off Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Questions Abound

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 29:19


    Don and Tom tackle another full “Q Day,” answering listener questions on Roth fund selection, bond fund gimmicks, real estate returns, California's odd HSA tax treatment, switching from Vanguard to Avantis, copying politician trades, and whether Vanguard's Cash Plus account beats its money market fund. The episode mixes practical investing logic with humor, skepticism, and a bit of Don's plug for his new storytelling podcast, New Tales Told. 0:04 Q Day begins — Don riffs on “Q” words and high-quality listener audio 1:42 Betsy from Minnesota asks: best funds for a Roth IRA (AVUV, VOO, AVGE) 2:39 Don suggests simplifying to AVGE, but warns of risk and emotional resilience 4:12 Jesse from Seattle on CPAG “tax-efficient” bond ETF — Don calls it a gimmick 5:55 Don's math: CPAG only helps slightly at 35% tax bracket, not worth complexity 9:06 Listener compares 403(b) vs. home value growth — Don confirms results typical 12:45 Real estate's weak real return over time and lifestyle vs. investment value 12:45 California HSA confusion — Don explains CA taxes HSAs like normal accounts 15:22 Nathan from Georgia: Vanguard vs. Avantis funds, and “copy politician trades” 17:20 Don: Avantis adds small/value tilt, AVGE can simplify portfolio management 19:14 Don: “copy-trade” apps are expensive, delayed, and silly gimmicks 20:58 James from Virginia: Vanguard Cash Plus vs. money market funds 22:34 Don explains FDIC difference and risk-reward tradeoff, prefers money market 24:11 Closing reflections, legacy talk, and plug for New Tales Told Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Now or Later?

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2025 28:39


    Don and Tom revisit the Social Security debate after new Wall Street Journal and New York Times articles challenge long-standing advice to delay claiming. They dismantle clickbait claims that “waiting doesn't make sense,” highlighting emotional biases, unrealistic investment assumptions, and spousal benefit considerations. The episode also covers whether Social Security counts as an asset, then shifts to listener questions about 529-to-Roth rollovers for graduate school, switching funds in an IRA, and managing company stock in an ESOP-based 401(k). 0:00 Why they keep returning to Social Security and why 25% of retirees rely on it entirely 1:43 Two-thirds claim before full retirement age; Wall Street Journal's clickbait headline 3:02 The “bird in hand” fallacy and instant-gratification bias 3:48 Don's confession: took Social Security at 69—and dogs ruined the travel plans 4:40 WSJ's faulty 5%-return argument and why most investors won't achieve it 5:43 The math: waiting pays more monthly, but longevity is the unknown 6:32 Trade-offs between retiring early, portfolio drawdowns, and spousal benefits 7:35 NYT's claim that Social Security is America's most valuable “asset” 8:08 Don's rebuttal: it's income, not an asset—you can't liquidate it 9:49 Why people misclassify Social Security and how bonds fit differently 10:08 When and how to get a second (fiduciary) opinion on claiming strategies 11:00 The plague of commission-driven “advisors” and fake fiduciaries 12:29 Old brokerage “no-load fund” lies and how similar games persist today 12:40 Listener Q&A: overfunded 529 plan vs. Roth rollover for grad school 14:27 Midwifery degrees, student-loan math, and the 5% rate cutoff 17:13 Rollover IRA question: switching Fidelity funds to Vanguard ETFs 18:15 Active vs. index funds—why fees and diversification matter 20:05 Active-active management and small-cap risk humor 20:54 ESOP question: how much company stock is too much? (Hint: under 5%) 22:42 Selling discipline and diversification in employee-owned firms 24:39 Don and Tom joke about their own ownership and “sell-out” strategy 25:04 Daily calls, good-natured ribbing, and reminders about Saturday's live show Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Surprising Win

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2025 41:49


    Don and Tom dive into common misconceptions about what's really been the top-performing asset class over the past five years—spoiler: it's not the S&P 500. They compare U.S. large-cap growth with international small-cap value, using Larry Swedroe's data to highlight the importance of global diversification. Listeners call in about estate planning, withdrawal rates in retirement, and portfolio construction. The hosts explain community property rules, flexible withdrawal strategies backed by research, and which small-cap value ETFs they prefer. The episode closes with a reality check on Bitcoin's latest crash, revisiting Mark Hulbert's warning that crypto isn't an asset class but a risky “thingy.” 0:04 Opening banter on the show's long Seattle run and mission to simplify money. 2:08 The S&P 500 obsession—why investors overweight large U.S. growth stocks. 3:23 Larry Swedroe's quiz: best-performing asset class 2019–2025 (hint: it's not U.S. large growth). 4:07 Dimensional International Small Cap Value Fund (DISVX) vs. S&P 500 Growth (VOOG). 5:20 Why diversification and global exposure matter long-term. 6:20 Break: “Financial Flinch Reflex” PSA. 7:42 Diversification means holding assets that sometimes disappoint you. 8:33 Don's marriage analogy and listener call-in from Baltimore about trusts. 10:15 Estate simplicity, beneficiary designations, and when trusts are unnecessary. 11:55 The danger of “trust mills” and the value of family transparency. 14:40 Community property vs. joint tenancy—Washington's unique tax advantage. 16:36 Call from Michael: flexible vs. fixed withdrawal rates in retirement. 17:29 Why a 5% flexible withdrawal often beats the classic 4% rule. 20:19 Research roundup: Kitsis, Vanguard, Morningstar confirm flexible success rates. 23:09 Listener from Tennessee asks about capital-gains exclusions. 25:44 Chris from Seattle: using target-date funds to fix a “hodge-podge” portfolio. 27:24 Adding small-cap value (AVUV) to target-date funds for tilt and simplicity. 28:34 Listener from New Hampshire asks which planning software Appella Wealth uses. 30:06 Call from Sam: best small-cap value ETF options (AVUV vs. VBR). 33:21 Risk, volatility, and why small-cap value offers higher expected returns. 35:47 Mark Hulbert on crypto's crash—bigger than 1929 by percentage. 36:54 Why hype, not utility, drives crypto coverage. 38:36 Final takeaway: investors remain too U.S.-centric; diversify globally. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Crypto's Crazy

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 41:50


    Don and Tom kick off by joking about their “record-breaking” call drought before diving headlong into the week's biggest speculative loser: crypto. The duo dismantle the mythology around Bitcoin and its countless imitators, comparing the excitement of trading coins to sports betting and reminding listeners that portfolios are for investing, not gambling. They tie the current crypto crash to leverage, insider-like trades, and the same fraud patterns seen in history's great financial cons—from Jay Gould's gold-cornering to Elizabeth Holmes' blood-testing farce. Later, they field listener questions on asset location, liquidity management, emerging-market exposure, and the danger of leverage via MicroStrategy's Bitcoin bet. Through it all, they emphasize fiduciary discipline, skepticism toward hype, and the basic rule: excitement and good investing rarely mix. 0:04 Pretending last Saturday's show didn't happen; Tom's pun about “Pacific” questions. 1:41 Crypto crash carnage—Bitcoin off 16%, Ethereum down 25%, “Trump Coin” collapsing. 2:30 Comparing crypto's thrill-seeking crowd to sports betting mania. 3:55 Why your financial advisor should not be your gambling coach. 4:48 The leveraged, insider-ish side of crypto speculation. 5:06 The absurdity of 10,000+ coins that serve no purpose but gambling. 7:40 Calling crypto “speculative” and comparing it to a casino roller coaster. 8:10 Binance payout trouble—proof many players don't know how to run big-money businesses. 10:32 MicroStrategy's leveraged Bitcoin plunge and the perils of margin. 11:37 The illusion of “value” in digital tokens versus productive assets. 12:55 Historical echo: borrowed money, bubbles, and 1929-style leverage warnings. 15:25 Listener questions segment opens; lighthearted banter about philately and call volume. 17:02 “ChatGPT beats bad advisors” — asset location done right (bonds in IRA, stocks in Roth). 18:30 Why most “advisors” ignore tax planning in favor of commissions. 20:23 Jay Gould, robber barons, and the Wall Street Journal's bizarre defense of con artists. 22:12 From Nikola to Theranos—lying as business strategy and why “gray areas” hurt investors. 24:53 The moral cost of tolerating fraud disguised as innovation. 26:36 Why trust is the real foundation of capitalism, not creative deception. 27:00 How to protect yourself: fee-only fiduciary advice and due diligence. 27:36 Mariners hangover theory for low call volume; nostalgic TV banter (“Bewitched”). 29:06 Caller Tom (Seattle): $4 M portfolio, $1 M in money market—how much liquidity is too much? 30:34 The hidden risk of waiting too long to react when rates fall. 33:08 Building a CD ladder to lock yield without betting on one-day rates. 34:25 Quick take: Why they'd avoid owning Boeing stock individually. 36:18 Caller Justin (Florida): emerging-market allocation for high-risk investors. 37:29 Case for small-cap and value tilts, including emerging markets. 38:34 Should you exclude China? Why it's still essential in global portfolios. 39:29 Closing reminders—use the website for questions, and find fiduciary help at TalkingRealMoney.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Protect Yourself

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2025 30:14


    Don and Tom tackle a mix of market mania and listener questions, skewering speculative fads like meme stocks, SPACs, private credit ETFs, and covered-call funds. Don opens with a scam text story before the duo dive into the absurdity of “get-rich” products during a record-breaking market. They stress discipline, diversification, and turning off CNBC — repeatedly. Listener questions include Roth conversions in high tax brackets and funding a home purchase without wrecking retirement plans. The show ends on a hilarious tangent about listeners wearing backpack banners to promote Talking Real Money. 0:04 Scam text from Colorado and the hazards of living alone in a studio 1:09 Market highs and the illusion of perfect timing 2:35 Stock concentration, meme stock mania, and the “Magnificent Seven” dominance 3:34 Listener call: investing in a soccer team partnership promising 15–30% returns 5:12 Why “too good to be true” often is — scams and speculative traps 6:09 Covered-call ETFs (JEPI, GPIQ) explained and debunked 9:39 New private credit ETF (PCR): high fees, low transparency, huge risk 12:49 CNBC hype vs. reality — why turning off financial TV is sound advice 16:21 Listener question: Roth conversions and tax traps in the 30% bracket 19:26 Another listener: funding a new home without derailing retirement 21:47 Don's rant on overpricing homes — “every house sells at the right price” 23:24 Real estate emotion vs. math — the price always tells the truth 24:31 Episode wrap-up: humor, gratitude, and an absurd “wearable banner” promo idea Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Friday Means...

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2025 26:47


    Don answers six listener questions covering CD ladders vs. bond funds, global diversification for young investors, allocation shifts for early retirees, HSA documentation rules, 529 plan comparisons, and whether Dave Ramsey-style portfolios need bonds. He closes with practical guidance on holding cash for opportunities and a reminder about the value of disciplined, evidence-based investing. 0:10 Friday Q&A intro and how to send in questions 1:51 Are CD ladders a good replacement for bond funds? 3:37 How to build a disciplined CD ladder and avoid rate-timing mistakes 3:41 A father asks how to diversify his daughter's Roth IRA beyond VTI 5:48 Couple planning early retirement—asset allocation and 72(t) options 9:41 Why bonds exist: emotional stability vs. return chasing 11:29 The case for international diversification 11:29 Long-term HSA strategy and what to do without old receipts 14:32 How to recreate expense records and save PDFs going forward 15:26 Which 529 plans are best for kids aged 2–12? (Utah vs. Schwab) 17:28 Dave Ramsey investing myths and the real purpose of bonds 20:36 When to start adding bonds—take the Talking Real Money risk quiz 21:00 Where to park six-figure cash for car or property purchases 22:46 Short-term safety vs. yield trade-off Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Income Sources

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 36:33


    Don swats a studio bug, then swats down the idea of dividend-driven retirement portfolios. Drawing on Jason Zweig's interview with Richard Thaler, they explain why retirees should focus on total return—spending from a diversified portfolio rather than chasing yield. They hit Robinhood's profit model, bid-ask spreads, and the need for automatic-enrollment retirement plans. A listener call leads to a discussion of Social Security timing, debt-free retirement, and (yes) hodgepodge-itis—Don's term for chaotic portfolios. Things wrap with a jailed investor's question, some gallows humor, and the usual banter about holidays and compliance. 0:04 Bug chaos and phone-line reminder 1:41 Why dividend-income portfolios are a trap 2:50 Jason Zweig & Richard Thaler on total-return spending 4:18 Total return beats “high-dividend” illusions 5:39 Robinhood's option-spread profits and the myth of “free” trading 6:15 Schwab vs. Robinhood: relative honesty in bid-ask spreads 7:43 Thaler's take on missing retirement plans and automatic savings 9:05 Anniversary talk and the failed “Debbie Show” experiment 10:15 Back to Thaler—why most workers still lack plans 11:39 Tesla options example showing 7 percent spread 12:05 Case for national retirement depository & hybrid Social Security 13:33 Hodgepodge-itis defined (and owned by Don) 14:51 Low call volume and the Mariners' hangover 15:52 Listener Kevin asks about dividends vs. selling stock 16:53 Reinvesting dividends vs. total-return withdrawals 18:17 Dividends reduce company growth potential 19:45 Why high-yield chasing kills diversification 20:07 Caller David, age 67, plans retirement & asks how to prep 21:55 Social Security timing advice—benefits rise monthly 22:50 David's details: city pension, deferred comp, house, no debt 24:07 Getting professional fiduciary advice before retiring 25:23 David's crypto confession and $3K Ripple gamble 27:27 Jail-bound investor asks where to park money 30:18 Don & Tom debate investing from behind bars (humor intact) 33:19 Columbus Day scheduling confusion & closing banter Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Many Have Millions

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2025 44:57


    Don and Tom open with banter about the weather, baseball playoffs, and studio quirks before diving into what it means to be a “millionaire” today versus in 1890. They explore how much of modern net worth is illiquid, why home equity and retirement funds can trap wealth, and how planning for liquidity and income is crucial. The conversation transitions into a discussion of market volatility, rare earth trade tensions with China, and Brett Arends' critique of index investing. They counter with historical perspective, humor (and potato chips), and advice about risk, rebalancing, and human behavior. Later, listener calls cover portfolio structure, Empower vs. Vanguard advisor options, and evaluating advisor fees and fund costs. The show closes with their classic blend of education, sarcasm, and fiduciary realism. 0:04 Opening banter, phone number, Florida “cold front,” and baseball chatter 2:33 Topic intro: What a million dollars means now vs. 1890 3:58 Comparing historic vs. modern millionaires and net worth equivalency 4:43 The illusion of wealth—why 70% of assets are often inaccessible 5:30 Planning for liquidity: why paying off a mortgage too early can backfire 6:37 Don's retirement planning promo 7:39 Historical comparison: 1890s Gilded Age vs. today's millionaire stats 8:19 Market globalization and modern wealth concentration 9:43 Rare earths and the U.S.–China tariff skirmish 10:22 Market check: stocks, bonds, and gold all dip; volatility talk 12:04 Don's “unnamed thing” (Bitcoin) drops 10.5%; discussion on risk and rebalancing 13:48 Don shifts to 60/40 allocation—explains rationale near retirement 14:34 Brett Arends' “Dumbest Stock Market in History” critique discussed 16:00 Debate: Are index investors stabilizing markets through consistency? 17:19 Potato chip tangent and investor psychology 18:32 Arends' bearishness vs. evidence-based investing 20:00 Protecting your psyche, not every dollar, from market declines 20:20 Podcasting history—when Talking Real Money began 21:32 Caller Samir (Virginia): $4M net worth, suffering from “hodgepodge-itis” 24:15 Don and Tom's prescription: stop investing until you have a plan 25:42 Margin loan temptation and why 10.5% interest kills the idea 27:00 Tom reinforces the need for a fiduciary planner 27:32 Caller Chris (Texas): moving from Empower to Vanguard PAS 29:21 Vanguard vs. Empower: conflicts, fund choices, and planning gaps 31:46 “Half-pregnant” advice models and Bogle's legacy examined 34:20 Broader critique: single-provider risk and investor behavior 35:54 Caller Dave (Olympia): evaluating returns, fees, and portfolio costs 37:50 What's a reasonable expense ratio and advisor fee range 39:24 Final takeaway: judge portfolios by structure, not short-term returns Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Retiring Friends

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2025 32:15


    In this playful and insightful episode, Don and Tom explore how the beloved Friends characters might fare financially if they were retiring today. Using their signature mix of humor and practical investing wisdom, they analyze each character's fictional career, personality, and spending habits to project their retirement readiness. The second half of the show returns to real-world money matters, answering listener questions about blending withdrawal strategies and fund choices in employer retirement plans. 0:04 Why this episode starts with a Friends reference—and yes, it's copyright-friendly 0:31 Monica and Chandler Bing as retirement savers: organized, driven, but maybe too perfectionist 3:25 Monica's obsessive planning vs. Chandler's possible risk aversion 4:22 Overthinking portfolios and the emotional toll of too much tweaking 5:01 Savers who struggle to spend: how Monica might hoard instead of enjoy 5:56 Chandler's likely financial behavior and their combined million-plus portfolio 7:03 Ross: neurotic, divorced, and probably pension-supported 7:54 Why pensions are psychologically powerful for retirees 8:35 Ross would need an advisor to keep him calm and invested 9:14 Rachel: spender, low earner, fashion industry job—not retirement ready 10:30 Joey: the actor's feast-or-famine finances and SAG-AFTRA pension potential 12:22 Real SAG-AFTRA pension expectations: modest but helpful 13:09 Joey's likely retirement: modest income, limited comfort outside major cities 13:54 Phoebe: quirky, lovable… financially reckless? 14:28 Phoebe's imaginary downfall: alimony, bad investing, busking in Times Square 15:20 Big picture takeaways: personality, income, and circumstance aren't destiny—but they shape outcomes 16:48 The Bings win the retirement game… Phoebe's husband probably doesn't stay married 17:30 Listener Q1: Combining fixed and flexible withdrawal strategies 18:52 30-year portfolio simulation using 60/40 and AI tools 20:24 Hybrid strategy results: high survival rate, smoother ride, and growing payouts 21:21 Comparison of 4% vs. 5% withdrawal income over time 22:36 Listener Q2: Replacing expensive international funds in a union 401k plan 24:00 Replace EuroPacific and Developed with Fidelity's low-cost international index fund 25:17 Expense ratio showdown: PigWX vs. FSPSX 26:32 Closing chaos: how to contact Tom and the long-lost newsletter phone number 27:49 Origins of 800-FUND-004 and how someone just walked into the Bellevue office 29:42 End credits and final laughs—yes, even Tom held back the dad jokes (mostly) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Friday, Again?

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 30:33


    In this extended Friday Q&A episode, Don answers six listener-submitted questions covering a wide range of personal finance and investing topics. He kicks off with a fiery takedown of cryptocurrency as a viable asset class, arguing it's based on hype and the greater fool theory. Other questions explore whether pensions should count as fixed income in asset allocation, the performance of Dimensional and Avantis funds versus traditional index funds, the pros and cons of Collective Investment Trusts in 401(k)s, and the strategic timing of Social Security. He ends by clarifying a common misconception about RMDs and Secure Act 2.0. Expect smart insights, a little snark, and the kind of blunt honesty that's rare in financial media. 0:04 Listener Q&A returns with an extra dose—six questions this time 1:07 Confusing podcast scheduling clarified (sort of) 2:11 Crypto as an asset class? Don calls it “entirely invented” and dismantles the use case hype 4:32 If civilization collapses, your Bitcoin won't save you 6:06 Crypto = greater fool theory; Don braces for hate mail 7:30 Dimensional/Avantis vs. index funds—do the extra fees pay off? 9:13 A 15-year comparison: Dimensional Global Equity vs. VT 11:43 Should a pension count as fixed income? Don says no—it's a volatility game, not income 15:48 CITs (Collective Investment Trusts) in 401(k)s—cheaper, but less transparent 18:58 Index funds should be your benchmark; Don suspects this one's active 20:02 Claiming Social Security early to preserve Roth? Don says the math rarely supports it 23:59 Secure 2.0 and RMD confusion—born in 1959? You still take RMDs at 73, not 75 26:15 Tech keeps improving—Don urges retirees to stay sharp, stay curious Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Nothing Wins

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 36:00


    Don and Tom dive into a new Morningstar report showing that tactical allocation funds—those run by “smart” managers who actively shift investments—significantly underperformed simple buy-and-hold index portfolios. They unpack why doing nothing often wins, discuss investor behavior gaps, and revisit the power of staying the course. Listener questions follow on mortgage payoffs, TIAA advisory fees, and adjusting stock/bond splits in retirement. The episode wraps with Don revealing his personal creative project—his short story A Chance of Death on his LitReading podcast—and a teaser for his next story, Murder of Crows. 0:23 Morningstar headline: tactical allocation funds lose to “do-nothing” portfolios 1:45 What tactical allocation funds really are (a.k.a. expensive market timing) 2:52 Morningstar urges investors to “stay the course” 3:04 Revisiting “Mind the Gap” and why investors underperform their own funds 4:28 Data comparison: $10k in tactical vs. passive portfolio over 10 years 5:31 Why professionals can't beat buy-and-hold investors 6:51 Human behavior, arrogance, and the illusion of market-timing skill 8:37 The need for a written plan and risk-based portfolio 9:58 If you have a plan, market noise stops mattering 10:22 Tangent: WWII documentaries vs. Taylor Swift's Miss Americana 11:21 Listener question #1 – Paying off a low-rate mortgage vs. investing 13:35 Math and emotion collide: cheap money, liquidity, and peace of mind 15:35 Listener question #2 – TIAA Wealth Management fees and fiduciary standards 18:31 Reading TIAA's ADV: possible fees up to 2% on small accounts 20:08 Comparing local RIAs vs. large institutions 21:08 Clarifying blended fees and fund costs 21:47 Listener question #3 – Vanguard advisor suggesting 60/40 allocation 22:53 Risk tolerance vs. risk need – the real balance 24:05 Investment Policy Statements and Vanguard's advisory limitations 25:46 Call for more listener questions and upcoming Q&A shows 26:15 Don plugs Lit Reading and his new original story “A Chance of Death” 28:24 How AI collaboration shaped the story's creation 30:59 Discussion of his next story, “Murder of Crows” 32:17 Invitation for audience feedback on Lit Reading stories Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Fourth Turning?

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 40:49


    Don and Tom kick off this episode with a satirical bang—mocking the apocalyptic tone of a MarketWatch article about the “Fourth Turning,” a cyclical doom prophecy claiming America faces a cataclysmic reset every 80–100 years. Citing wars, depressions, and now AI, wealth taxes, and the fall of the dollar, the hosts break down the fatalistic tone, expose the fear-marketing behind it, and reassure listeners that, historically, markets have recovered—and rewarded long-term investors. 0:04 Faux alien warning: the Fourth Turning economic apocalypse is coming 1:16 Dissecting the MarketWatch article and the “Fourth Turning” theory 2:26 Peak catastrophe by 2030? AI job loss, collapsing dollar, wealth taxes 3:38 Don asks: what is this guy selling? Spoiler: $100M wealth club 6:01 $180k to join R360—clearly not for the average listener 6:33 Don's “financial flinch reflex” PSA spoof (ad) 7:41 Tom: “We love being scared”—AI panic and deepfake video fears 9:07 Caller Sue (68): Ready to retire with $820k and SS? Don says yes 13:05 Sue's next step: get a fiduciary checkup, maybe run Monte Carlo 14:10 Tom runs one: 50th percentile = she hits zero at 98 15:32 Flexible withdrawal rates might work better than rigid 4% 16:34 Listener voicemail: Should we switch from Roth to Traditional now? 18:16 DT's Roth vs. traditional strategy: save taxes while you can 20:14 WSJ article on taxes and stock gains—do ETFs instead 21:25 Tax basics for investors: capital gains rates and efficiency 23:26 Mad Men nostalgia and mid-century tax rates 25:15 TV detour: Bewitched vs. I Dream of Jeannie vs. Outlander 27:10 Back to calls: Theodore asks about 403(b) options in Burlington 29:10 Don explodes: garbage annuity vendors dominate the plan 31:01 Aspire is the only halfway-decent vendor… if you avoid their advisors 33:54 Don tells how an Albuquerque teacher got Vanguard into their plan 35:44 Aspire hack: use FundSource for no-load mutual funds 36:14 Caller Steve: hold 20 stocks or sell and rebalance? 37:53 Tom: hybrid approach. Don: depends on need. Watch tax bracket Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Another Quarter Done

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 45:05


    The show kicks off with a sardonic take on turf wars between delivery drivers—yes, really—before diving into third-quarter market returns, investor behavior, and asset class performance. Don and Tom remind listeners (again) that sticking with a diversified portfolio beats timing markets or following headline noise. Listeners call in about Social Security strategies, inheritance accounts for minors, and what to do with large sums of cash in retirement. The show wraps with a smart look at ETF-to-mutual fund conversions and why the old-school fund industry is getting left in the dust. 0:11 Delivery turf wars joke and quarter-end reflections 1:40 Fears vs. reality: inflation, jobs, and trade wars 2:16 Q3 returns: U.S. stocks +8%, EM +9.6%, silver tops, cocoa flops 3:09 What you had to do to earn those returns: be invested, diversified, and ignore noise 5:13 Don scolds investors still avoiding value and international stocks 6:11 Chocolate aside, it's been a strong year for stocks and bonds 7:42 Promo: Why guessing isn't a retirement plan 7:51 Don recovers from a cough; Tom lists worst Q3 performers (lean hogs!) 9:13 Listener Chad argues for claiming Social Security early if you can earn 3% 11:08 Don crunches the math: break-even at age 81–82 if invested at 3% 12:57 Survivor benefits and why waiting helps your spouse 13:57 Don jokes about his wife stealing his life force and living to 112 14:54 Vaccine banter and intro to next caller 15:56 Caller Michael from Burien sells a condo, asks where to put $300k 19:07 Don and Tom suggest municipal bonds like VTEB for tax-free yield 20:20 Michael quotes a great retirement planning aphorism 20:29 Shift to ETF inflows and the downfall of mutual funds 29:13 Vanguard's tax-free conversion model and Dimensional's exemptive relief 30:49 What this shift means for investors with taxable accounts 31:17 Mutual funds may soon be the next buggy whips 32:22 Listener Connie asks: do you really get back Social Security withheld when working before FRA? 33:14 Tom and Don clarify: benefit adjusted later, but no “refund” 34:37 Caller Susan from Connecticut: what to do with $250k in cash 36:52 Don: You don't need more products—you need a real financial plan 39:17 Flat-fee plans and how to find a true fiduciary Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Just Questions (and Answers)

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2025 31:51


    A lively, unscripted listener Q&A episode with no set topic — just a flood of great questions. Don and Tom tackle everything from inheriting farmland to the hidden cost of medical inflation, tax-efficient short-term investments, Ameriprise conflicts of interest, fund turnover ratios, and a heartfelt tribute to the late Jonathan Clements, a true pioneer of rational investing journalism. Plenty of wit, warmth, and straight talk about money — plus a personal moment of honesty from Tom about life, loss, and gratitude. 0:04 Cold open: “A show with no topics” banter and weather humor 2:07 Angie from St. Paul: Inheriting farmland — hold or sell? 6:04 Anton from Spokane: Medflation's impact on Social Security COLA and Medicare premiums 10:45 Jason from Tigard: SPAXX vs. SGOV — which is better for short-term cash? 13:35 Ameriprise client: Should I use an SMA or fire my advisor? 18:41 Luke from Evans, GA: ETF turnover and what it really means 23:25 Tribute to Jonathan Clements — his life, legacy, and impact on index investing 27:10 Personal reflections, audience appreciation, and gratitude from Tom Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Claim Talking Real Money

    In order to claim this podcast we'll send an email to with a verification link. Simply click the link and you will be able to edit tags, request a refresh, and other features to take control of your podcast page!

    Claim Cancel