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Economic Slowdown and Election Observations in Indiana and Pennsylvania. Jim McTague identifies signs of an economic slowdown affecting people beyond the lowest economic rung. Restaurant business in Indiana is down 3 to 5%, and expensive home renovations have "dried up." Costco shoppers are exhibiting extreme caution, buying essentials with little impulse spending. In Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, a large turnout resulted in Democratic victories, suggesting voter reaction against local Republicans perceived as "Trumpists." Anticipated layoffs at Amazon and Walmart are expected to impact local employment.
While many investors will watch the big earnings this week from names like Tesla (TSLA) and Netflix (NFLX), Kevin Green points to other companies you'll want to watch. He highlights Coca-Cola (KO) and Zions Bancorporation (ZION) for signals of consumer health and confidence, along with Lockheed Martin (LMT) for a better sense of defense spending's outlook. As crude oil prices continue to plummet, Kevin explains how it can flash warnings signs of an economic slowdown even as natural gas prices soar.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
The Real Estate Guys Radio Show - Real Estate Investing Education for Effective Action
Investors are watching interest rates closely, hoping for cheaper financing … but low rates aren't just about borrowing costs. They're a key barometer of both the currency and the overall economy, and changes can ripple across markets in ways that matter. Understanding that correlation is important for anyone invested in real estate. To make sense of it all, we turn to our good friend George Gammon, a prolific real estate investor and entrepreneur with a passion for studying and teaching macroeconomics. He shares his latest predictions on where interest rates may be headed, the real threats in today's slowdown, and why “cheap money” often comes with hidden costs. Listen in for a wide-angle discussion to help you spot opportunities, avoid surprises, and position yourself ahead of the next big shift. Since 1997, The Real Estate Guys™ radio show features real estate investing ideas, strategies, interviews, and all kinds of valuable resources. Visit the Special Reports Library under Resources at RealEstateGuysRadio.com
SHOW SCHEDULE 10-15--25 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 1964 ATLANTIC CITYCONVENTION HALL THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT CONGRESS.... 10-15--25 FIRST HOUR 9-915 HEADLINE: Obamacare Subsidies Trigger Government Shutdown Debate GUEST NAME: Michael Toth SUMMARY: Michael Toth explains that the current government shutdown debate centers on extending two expensive Biden-era Obamacare subsidies. These changes allow individuals earning over 400% of the federal poverty line to receive subsidies and provide 100% coverage for the near-poor. The original Obamacare cross-subsidy structure failed because young, healthy individuals found premiums too high. Toth advocates deregulation, such as allowing insurance companies to charge lower, risk-adjusted rates and enabling single business owners to use Professional Employer Organizations (PEOs) for cheaper coverage. 915-930 HEADLINE: Obamacare Subsidies Trigger Government Shutdown Debate GUEST NAME: Michael Toth SUMMARY: Michael Toth explains that the current government shutdown debate centers on extending two expensive Biden-era Obamacare subsidies. These changes allow individuals earning over 400% of the federal poverty line to receive subsidies and provide 100% coverage for the near-poor. The original Obamacare cross-subsidy structure failed because young, healthy individuals found premiums too high. Toth advocates deregulation, such as allowing insurance companies to charge lower, risk-adjusted rates and enabling single business owners to use Professional Employer Organizations (PEOs) for cheaper coverage. 930-945 HEADLINE: Hamas, Hostages, and Middle East Turmoil: Challenges to the Trump Ceasefire Plan GUEST NAME:Jonathan Schanzer SUMMARY: Jonathan Schanzer discusses complications in the Trump ceasefire plan, including Hamas delaying the return of deceased hostages to maintain leverage. The released prisoners, including potential Hamas leaders, raise concerns about where the organization's center of gravity will shift if they are deported to places like Turkey or Qatar. Schanzer views Turkey, an autocratic supporter of Hamas, as a problematic guarantor of the ceasefire. Internationally, Iran continues its nuclear program despite snapback sanctions, and al-Sharaa is meeting with Putin regarding Russian assets in Syria. 945-1000 HEADLINE: Hamas, Hostages, and Middle East Turmoil: Challenges to the Trump Ceasefire Plan GUEST NAME:Jonathan Schanzer SUMMARY: Jonathan Schanzer discusses complications in the Trump ceasefire plan, including Hamas delaying the return of deceased hostages to maintain leverage. The released prisoners, including potential Hamas leaders, raise concerns about where the organization's center of gravity will shift if they are deported to places like Turkey or Qatar. Schanzer views Turkey, an autocratic supporter of Hamas, as a problematic guarantor of the ceasefire. Internationally, Iran continues its nuclear program despite snapback sanctions, and al-Sharaa is meeting with Putin regarding Russian assets in Syria. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 HEADLINE: China's Predicament in the Middle East and Domestic Economic Instability GUEST NAME: General Blaine Holt SUMMARY: General Blaine Holt analyzes China's strategic challenges, noting Beijing is concerned about losing access to critical oil and gas resources as US leadership advances the Abraham Accords. China's previous regional deals, like the Saudi-Iran agreement, lacked substance compared to US business commitments. Holt suggests internal pressures might lead Iran toward the Accords. Domestically, China faces accelerating deflation and uncertainty regarding Xi Jinping's leadership due to four competing factions before the fourth plenum. 1015-1030 HEADLINE: South Korea's Descent into Authoritarianism and Persecution of Opposition GUEST NAME: Morse Tan SUMMARY: Morse Tan argues that South Korea is moving toward a "rising communist dictatorship" that oppresses political and religious figures. The indictment of the Unification Church leader and the targeting of the rightful President Yoon exemplify this trend. This persecution serves as an intimidation campaign, demonstrating the regime's disregard for the populace. Tan recommends the US implement active measures, including sanctions relating to a coup d'état and visa sanctions, while also pressing for greater military cooperation. 1030-1045 HEADLINE: Russian War Economy Stalls as Oil Prices Decline and Sanctions Bite GUEST NAME: Michael Bernstam SUMMARY: Michael Bernstam reports that the Russian economy is struggling as global oil prices decline and sanctions increase transportation costs, leading to a $13 to $14 per barrel discount on Russian oil. The "military Keynesianism" economy is exhausted, resulting in staff cuts across industrial sectors. Forecasts indicate contraction in late 2025 and 2026, with the IMF lowering its growth projection for 2025 to 0.6%. Russia is avoiding sanctions by routing payments through neighbors like Kyrgyzstan, who have become major financial hubs. 1045-1100 HEADLINE: Lessons from the Swiss National Bank: Risk-Taking, Exchange Rates, and Fiscal Responsibility GUEST NAME: John Cochrane SUMMARY: Economist John Cochrane analyzes the Swiss National Bank (SNB), noting it differs greatly from the US Federal Reserve by investing heavily in foreign stocks and bonds to manage the Swiss franc's exchange rate. The SNB's massive balance sheet carries risks accepted by Swiss taxpayers and the Cantons. Switzerland, being fiscally responsible (running no budget deficits), finds central banking easier. Cochrane advises that the US Fed should not be buying stocks or venturing into fiscal policy. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 HEADLINE: China Retaliates Against Dutch Chipmaker Seizure Amid European Fragmentation GUEST NAME:Theresa Fallon SUMMARY: Theresa Fallon discusses China imposing export controls on Nexperia after the Dutch government seized control of the chipmaker, which was owned by China's Wingtech. The Dutch acted due to fears the Chinese owner would strip the technology and equipment, despite Nexperia producing low-quality chips for cars. Fallon notes Europe needs a better chip policy but struggles to speak with one voice, as fragmented policy allows China to drive wedges and weaken the EU. 1115-1130 HEADLINE: China's Economic Slowdown, Deflation, and the Spectre of Japanification GUEST NAME: Andrew Collier SUMMARY: Andrew Collier discusses China's economic woes, characterized by persistent deflation, with the CPI down 0.3% (6 out of 9 months in the red) and the PPI down for 36 straight months. This environment raises concerns about "Japanification"—a multi-decade slowdown after a property crash. Major structural changes to stimulate consumer consumption are unlikely at the upcoming Communist Party plenum, as the system favors state investment. The property market collapse means foreign investment is leaving, and Collier suggests the economy may not bottom until 2027 or 2028. 1130-1145 HEADLINE: SpaceX Starship Success, Private Space Dominance, and Government Inaction GUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: Bob Zimmerman describes SpaceX's Starship Super Heavy 11th test flight as "remarkable," highlighting successful booster reuse and controlled re-entry despite missing tiles. He asserts that private enterprise, like SpaceX, runs the "real American space program" aimed at Mars colonization, outpacing government efforts. In contrast, European projects like Callisto, proposed in 2015, demonstrate government "inaction." JPL is also laying off staff following the cancellation of the Mars sample return project, forcing organizations like Lowell Observatory to seek private funding. 1145-1200 HEADLINE: SpaceX Starship Success, Private Space Dominance, and Government Inaction GUEST NAME: Bob Zimmerman SUMMARY: Bob Zimmerman describes SpaceX's Starship Super Heavy 11th test flight as "remarkable," highlighting successful booster reuse and controlled re-entry despite missing tiles. He asserts that private enterprise, like SpaceX, runs the "real American space program" aimed at Mars colonization, outpacing government efforts. In contrast, European projects like Callisto, proposed in 2015, demonstrate government "inaction." JPL is also laying off staff following the cancellation of the Mars sample return project, forcing organizations like Lowell Observatory to seek private funding. FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 HEADLINE: Commodity Market Trends and UK's Lack of Risk Appetite for AI Innovation GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: Simon Constable notes that data center expansion for AI is increasing prices for copper (up 15%) and steel (up 14%). He points out that the UK lags significantly behind the US in building new AI data centers (170 vs. 5,000+) due to a lack of risk appetite, insufficient wealth, and poor marketing of new ideas. Separately, Constable discusses the collapse of a UK China spying trial because the prior government failed to officially classify China as a national security threat during the alleged offenses. 1215-1230 HEADLINE: Commodity Market Trends and UK's Lack of Risk Appetite for AI Innovation GUEST NAME: Simon Constable SUMMARY: Simon Constable notes that data center expansion for AI is increasing prices for copper (up 15%) and steel (up 14%). He points out that the UK lags significantly behind the US in building new AI data centers (170 vs. 5,000+) due to a lack of risk appetite, insufficient wealth, and poor marketing of new ideas. Separately, Constable discusses the collapse of a UK China spying trial because the prior government failed to officially classify China as a national security threat during the alleged offenses. 1230-1245 HEADLINE: AI Regulation Debate: Premature Laws vs. Emerging Norms GUEST NAME: Kevin Frazier SUMMARY: Kevin Frazier critiques the legislative rush to regulate AI, arguing that developing norms might be more effective than premature laws. He notes that bills like California's AB 1047, which demands factual accuracy, fundamentally misunderstand AI's generative nature. Imposing vague standards, as seen in New York's RAISE Act, risks chilling innovation and preventing widespread benefits, like affordable legal or therapy tools. Frazier emphasizes that AI policy should be grounded in empirical data rather than speculative fears. 1245-100 AM HEADLINE: AI Regulation Debate: Premature Laws vs. Emerging Norms GUEST NAME: Kevin Frazier SUMMARY: Kevin Frazier critiques the legislative rush to regulate AI, arguing that developing norms might be more effective than premature laws. He notes that bills like California's AB 1047, which demands factual accuracy, fundamentally misunderstand AI's generative nature. Imposing vague standards, as seen in New York's RAISE Act, risks chilling innovation and preventing widespread benefits, like affordable legal or therapy tools. Frazier emphasizes that AI policy should be grounded in empirical data rather than speculative fears.
HEADLINE: China's Economic Slowdown, Deflation, and the Spectre of Japanification GUEST NAME: Andrew Collier SUMMARY: Andrew Collier discusses China's economic woes, characterized by persistent deflation, with the CPI down 0.3% (6 out of 9 months in the red) and the PPI down for 36 straight months. This environment raises concerns about "Japanification"—a multi-decade slowdown after a property crash. Major structural changes to stimulate consumer consumption are unlikely at the upcoming Communist Party plenum, as the system favors state investment. The property market collapse means foreign investment is leaving, and Collier suggests the economy may not bottom until 2027 or 2028. 1890 PEKING
PREVIEW China's Economic Slowdown, Deflation, and the Spectre of Japanification. Guest: Andrew Collier. Andrew Collier discusses China's economic woes, characterized by persistent deflation, with the CPI down 0.3% (6 out of 9 months in the red) and the PPI down for 36 straight months. This environment raises concerns about "Japanification"—a multi-decade slowdown after a property crash. Major structural changes to stimulate consumer consumption are unlikely at the upcoming Communist Party plenum, as the system favors state investment. The property market collapse means foreign investment is leaving, and Collier suggests the economy may not bottom until 2027 or 2028. 1950 PEKING
BUSINESS: BSP cuts interest rates again amid economic slowdown, corruption concerns | Oct. 10, 2025Subscribe to The Manila Times Channel - https://tmt.ph/YTSubscribe Visit our website at https://www.manilatimes.net Follow us: Facebook - https://tmt.ph/facebook Instagram - https://tmt.ph/instagram Twitter - https://tmt.ph/twitter DailyMotion - https://tmt.ph/dailymotion Subscribe to our Digital Edition - https://tmt.ph/digital Check out our Podcasts: Spotify - https://tmt.ph/spotify Apple Podcasts - https://tmt.ph/applepodcasts Amazon Music - https://tmt.ph/amazonmusic Deezer: https://tmt.ph/deezer Stitcher: https://tmt.ph/stitcherTune In: https://tmt.ph/tunein#TheManilaTimes#KeepUpWithTheTimes Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Economic Slowdown Evident in Local Consumer Spending and Housing Guest Name: Jim McTague Summary:Despite lower gas prices in Lancaster County, a ripple effect from declining Asian imports is expected. Consumer caution remains high, with "English" shoppers buying essentials and avoiding expensive electronics. Local diners show less vibrancy, suggesting the economy has lost "some spring in its step." High-end real estate sales have also notably "dried up." 1887 CLINTON COUNTY PA
Jim McTague reports from Lancaster County, PA, challenging the narrative of an economic slowdown. He shares examples of busy local businesses like "Phil the painter" who has never been busier. McTague observes a trend of housing price cuts, but notes vibrant local tourism and events. He highlights the significant economic boost from two new data centers, creating 600-1000 construction jobs and 150 permanent positions, bringing the county into the 21st century. 1910 BRADDOCK
PREVIEW: Jim McTague, former Washington editor of Barron's and now a Lancaster novelist, investigates signs of an economic slowdown. Despite national press reports, he hasn't found significant evidence locally. Interviewing "Phil the painter," McTague learned his workload remained consistently busy for five years. While some Lancaster business segments experience moderated foot traffic, potentially seasonal, the only clear slowdown sign McTague observes is in housing, where prices are being cut for the first time since 2021, suggesting a localized or nascent shift. 1913 GETTYSBURGH REUNION.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics says the U.S. job market is much weaker than initially reported. More than 900,000 fewer jobs were added in 2024 and 2025 than previously reported. The BLS issues revisions every year, but this change is the biggest on record and comes after President Trump fired the BLS commissioner after a weak monthly jobs report. Geoff Bennett discussed more with Julia Coronado. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy
Jim Welsh, author of “Macro Tides” and the “Weekly Technical Review,” says he thinks the stock market "is reaching an inflection point," saying that the next time the Standard & Poor's 500 makes new records but without support from the highs in the advance-decline line, he will take it as a sign that the stock market is about to roll over. Welsh says that several momentum indicators suggest a short-term decline could be between 3 and 7%, at which point he expects a bounce-back that lasts only until the economic concerns take hold. Welsh says a rise in layoffs would show that the market has gone from mild slowing to something more active, If job growth slows markedly "and we get to a point where the economy starts to meaningfully slow down, that is going to be the trigger for a much deeper and more prolonged decline." That drop, he says, could fulfill a 17-year cycle which would drop the S&P 500 by thousands of points. Rob Thummel, senior portfolio manager at Tortoise Capital, says that this is "the best time I have ever seen" in a three-decade career to be investing in energy. Thummel, who manages Tortoise Energy Infrastructure, notes that the U.S. has grown into the largest energy producer and energy exporter in the world; coupled with emerging energy needs caused by the expansion of artificial intelligence, it will drive demand growth "for decades to come." Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services — which publishes the "Best Dividend and Income Investments" newsletter — brings the proprietary Quadrix system and its multi-factor evaluation process to the Money Life Market Call. Plus Allison Hadley discusses a PartnerCentric.com survey which showed that more than 40% of Americans say they're actively reducing social media use in 2025, with nearly 20 percent having already quit at least one app this year as they try to take more control of their personal lives.
Want to grow your business? Download your free roadmap today: coltivar.com/growth Major moves and market momentum in this week's top financial stories, including: Jobless Claims Signal Cracks in the Labor Market Fed Holds Back on Rate Cuts at Jackson Hole Blackstone Bets on Power Infrastructure Walmart Walks the Tariff Tightrope Housing Market Gives Buyers New Leverage Corporate Hiring Plans Cool FinWeekly has the latest updates on market-shaping headlines and business strategy insights: Jobless claims rose to 235,000 last week, the biggest jump in three months, while continuing claims hit their highest level since 2021. With hiring slowing and tariffs adding pressure, the labor market is starting to show real cracks — and consumers are beginning to feel it. At Jackson Hole, Fed officials struck a cautious tone. Kansas City's Jeffrey Schmid questioned whether current rates are even restrictive enough, signaling that cuts aren't coming until the Fed sees “very definitive data.” For households and businesses, that means borrowing costs are likely to stay higher for longer. Private equity powerhouse Blackstone agreed to buy Shermco, an electrical services firm, for $1.6 billion. It's a bet on the infrastructure behind AI and data centers — a reminder that the real money in tech often lies in the backbone, not the buzz. Walmart delivered strong sales growth but warned of rising costs as tariffs weigh on margins. By absorbing price hikes, it's keeping shoppers across income levels loyal — a case study in how scale and cost discipline drive share gains in a squeezed economy. Housing offered a rare surprise: existing-home sales rose 2% in July as prices cooled and mortgage rates dipped. Buyers are regaining leverage, with more listings, price cuts, and longer days on market opening the door to negotiations. And across corporate America, hiring plans are cooling fast. One in five employers expects to slow headcount growth, with AI and cost discipline reshaping how companies think about labor. For workers, that means fewer openings and longer job searches — and for leaders, a push to do more with less. Tune in for smart commentary, sharp context, and the financial insight you need to lead in a changing world — only on FinWeekly.LinkedIn | YouTube coltivar.com/byfiq
Trillions in investor capital has been locked up in the "T-bill and Chill" trade for several years now.But will the Fed expected to cut rates materially over the next year, that trade is coming to an end.Where should all that capital consider going next?Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz and I dive into this key question in this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#interestrates #federalreserve #bondyields 0:00 - Welcome and Introduction2:09 - Discussion on Speculative Market Trends and Dot-Com Echoes4:00 - Comparison to Meme Stocks and Cathie Wood-Type Tech Stocks5:40 - Historical Context of 1998-2000 Dot-Com Boom7:11 - Analysis of High-Beta vs. Low-Beta Stocks11:50 - Growth vs. Value Performance During Dot-Com Era14:22 - Speculative Mania and Risk Management Strategies18:03 - Importance of Diversification and Active Management19:41 - Growth vs. Value Index and Historical Trends22:01 - Small-Cap vs. Large-Cap and Profitability Trends25:06 - Recent Market Trends and High-Beta Outperformance29:03 - Potential Triggers for High-Beta Stock Correction33:12 - Economic Slowdown as a White Swan Risk38:01 - Critique of BLS Data Reliability43:31 - Need for Real-Time Data and Fed Reform47:51 - Model-Based Fed Policy and Transparency50:21 - Bond Market Dynamics and Yield Curve Strategy56:26 - Positioning for Potential Fed Rate Cuts58:39 - End of T-Bill and Chill Trade Considerations1:02:17 - Closing Remarks and Call to Action1:04:14 - Michael's Advice on Separating Politics from Investing_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Join economist Dr. Orphe Divounguy and Chris Krug as they discuss economic news to watch this week on this episode of Everyday Economics! Everyday Economics is an unrehearsed, free-flow discussion of the economic news shaping the day. The thoughts expressed by the hosts are theirs, unedited, and not necessarily the views of their respective organizations. Support this podcast: https://secure.anedot.com/franklin-news-foundation/ce052532-b1e4-41c4-945c-d7ce2f52c38a?source_code=xxxxxx
Nationally syndicated financial columnist and author Terry Savage joins John Williams to talk about the vibe shift happening surrounding the strength of the economy, the uncertainty over tariffs and how they will impact consumers, the softening of the job market, the latest on student loans, and what to know about interest rates and T Bills. Terry also answers […]
Yelena Shulyatyeva weighs in on the latest jobs report, saying the U.S. economy is indeed slowing down, with companies scaling back investment and hiring amid tariff uncertainty. She expects consumers to feel the pinch in back-to-school shopping and during the holidays as labor force participation rates decline. Despite some clarity on tariffs, Shulyatyeva warns that higher prices will hit consumer spending, leading to a significant slowdown in economic activity in the second half of the year, and potentially into 2026.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Join economist Dr. Orphe Divounguy and Chris Krug as they discuss economic news to look forward to this week on this episode of Everyday Economics! Everyday Economics is an unrehearsed, free-flow discussion of the economic news shaping the day. The thoughts expressed by the hosts are theirs, unedited, and not necessarily the views of their respective organizations. Support this podcast: https://secure.anedot.com/franklin-news-foundation/ce052532-b1e4-41c4-945c-d7ce2f52c38a?source_code=xxxxxx
The latest Beige Book from the Federal Reserve paints a cautious picture of the U.S. economy. In this episode, Kathy Fettke breaks down the key takeaways for real estate investors—slowing job growth, rising inflation concerns, and the growing impact of tariffs, which were mentioned a record 122 times. Learn how regional trends and economic uncertainty could influence housing demand, borrowing costs, and investor strategy in the months ahead. JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realwealth.com/join-step-1 FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast: https://link.chtbl.com/REN Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/04/fed-beige-book-economic-report-cites-declining-growth-rising-prices-and-slow-hiring.html
Interview recorded - 30th of May, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Eric Basmajian. Eric is the Founder & CEO of EPB Business Cycle Research.During our conversation we spoke about the current economic outlook, economic trajectory, company profit margins, what this means for the economy and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:59 - Current economic outlook7:18 - Economic trajectory13:13 - Company profit margins16:46 - Regional housing markets20:03 - Impact of tariffs?25:58 - Margins impact on markets?29:16 - Money on the side-line31:44 - Tight monetary policy33:24 - One message to takeawayEric Basmajian is an economic cycle analyst providing research on long-term and short-term trends in growth and inflation. With a degree in economics and experience at a quantitative hedge fund, Eric has developed a unique secular and cyclical framework to forecast major economic inflection points and the resulting impact on asset prices.Eric holds a bachelor's degree in economics from New York University. Eric started on the buy-side of the financial sector, as an analyst with Panorama Partners, a quantitative hedge fund specializing in algorithmically scanning for mispriced equity derivatives.Eric Basmajian - Website - https://epbresearch.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/EPBResearchYouTube - @EPBResearch LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/eric-basmajian-32614116a/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseasThumbnail image from - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/our-global-economy-heading-recession-samith-victor-rodrigues/
In this week's Rise UP! Terri Kallsen, Joe Duran, Peter Boockvar, and Jon Betlow discuss everything from how market data and consumer actions are suggesting an economic slowdown is coming — to asking if the TACO trade is real? Peter explains why buying the dip isn't necessarily the way to go and that there is a better way to ensure your investments go up. Jon talks about managing emotions and client fears that a recession — and some even worry a depression -- is near, and the extremes they could go. And we take a deep dive into the data and what 2025 Q3 and Q4 could look like, what the team thinks will really happen, and what to do if it does. Chapters: 1:23 - The Markets' Latest and Investing vs. Trading and Why CFPs Matter 4:48 - Judge Rules Tariffs Are Illegal and More 5:09 - Economic Data Signaling Trouble Ahead 7:21 - Why Judges Said Tariffs Were Overreach 8:15 - No Clear Light on Tariffs Between Courts, Administration, and How Global Negotiations Go 11:07 - How Tariffs and Tariff Concerns Are Affecting Businesses 12:40 - Market Volatility: It Feels Bad, but Is It Really? 14:23 - Where We Are on Valuations 15:54 - Best Time to Buy the Dip in 30 Years? 17:07 - There's a Difference Between Buying the Dip and Buying “Down” 18:07 - Is the TACO Trade Real? Is It the New Fed? 21:22 - When Is the Right Time to Buy a Home or Make Another Big Purchase 23:25 - Interest Rates vs. Economy When Making the Decision on Buying a Home 23:55 - Homeowners' Actions Are Telling Us There Is a Slowdown Coming 25:00 - Q3 & Q4: What the Data Is Saying 25:20 - Viewer Went All Cash in 2007, Same Gut Feeling Now… Should He? 28:38 - Will Seasonality Take Us to Powell Cutting Rates? 29:43 - There's a More Reliable Tool for Predicting Markets Than Seasonality and It's Coming 31:24 - Viewer Has Concern the Great Depression Is Coming: Managing Emotions and Your Portfolio 32:13 - Lots of Depressions Predicted, but Only One Has Occurred — How Worries May Make You Miss Out 34:56 - What to Watch Next Week Volatility got you concerned? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/3HjYmYn Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://www.hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #Markets #Recession #EconomicOutlook #InterestRates #Tariffs #StockMarket #BuyTheDip #FinancialPlanning #RealEstate #ConsumerTrends #MarketVolatility #PeterBoockvar #RiseUP ________________________________________________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jack Janasiewicz and Brian Hess talk US-China trade negotiations, the labor market, and positioning of Natixis model portfolios.
Oregon’s most important revenue forecast, the one that lawmakers used to write the two-year budget, was released this week. It showed that the state is expecting more money to roll in, but significantly less than the amount predicted just three months ago. On the latest episode of OPB Politics Now, reporters Dirk VanderHart and Alex Zielinski discuss the revenue outlook, what it says about the state political situation and much more. Find the show anywhere you get your podcasts.
With large capital reserves, an improving regulatory backdrop, and positive growth trends, many financial firms look prepared to withstand a potential recession.In this episode, Portfolio Manager John Jordan and Research Analyst Andrew Manguart share what they're hearing from banks about the volatile macro backdrop, and why they believe the sector is well positioned even if growth slows.
Tightened wallets for American consumers isn't stopping Affirm (AFRM) from rallying ahead of its earnings after markets close. LikeFolio's Landon Swan warns of weakness in the report, though his firm's data shows interest for Affirm growing compared to competitors. He weighs how far BNPL's "extension of the credit card concept" can run.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
A crowd is gathered around the sickbed of the economic expansion. Among the multitude are the workers, consumers and business people who would be most impacted by its demise. There are political partisans too, some fervently praying for recovery, others quietly hoping for the opposite. At the foot of the bed are fiscal and monetary doctors, the former preparing a sugary solution to inject into the patient and the latter casting nervous eyes both on the patient and the fiscal doctors, concerned about a renewal of inflationary fever. Foreign governments and central bankers also stand vigil, from as safe a distance as they can manage, conscious of the infectious nature of the patient's disease. And close by the door are investors, contemplating a quick exit from American assets but haunted by the memory of the many past remarkable American recoveries. There is a knock at the door. It is the last week in April and a battery of tests are in that should shed further light on the delicate health of the economic expansion.
Tariff Turmoil and Trade Disruption with Kim KirkendallWelcome to this special episode of the Asia Business Podcast. Today, we're joined by Kim Kirkendall from International Resource Development Inc., a seasoned consultant specializing in international operations, supply chain, and international trade. With valuable experience across multinational companies and as the host of the International Trade Resources podcast, Kim brings a wealth of knowledge to the conversation. They dive deep into the ongoing challenges of supply chain disruptions, focusing on tariffs and the hurdles businesses face in this volatile environment.Introducing Kim KirkendallConnect with KimKim Kirkendall is a distinguished consultant and advisor on international trade, supply chain, and operations, primarily for multinational corporations. With her roots in China, Kim's career journey boasts managing factories and supply chains across Asia Pacific, culminating in the establishment of her consulting firm over two decades ago. Her expertise extends to advising international companies, particularly from New Zealand and Australia, in navigating trade and manufacturing challenges.Unpacking the Impact of Tariffs on Supply ChainsArt and Kim delve into current supply chain disruptions, particularly scrutinizing the role tariffs play in today's economic climate. With 2025 witnessing heightened uncertainty, Kim emphasizes the importance of strategic planning over reactionary measures. Recent trade wars and tariff policies have introduced significant volatility, making it imperative for businesses to plan but avoid rash decisions based on fleeting news.Strategic Responses to Tariff ChallengesKim provides practical insights into how companies can strategically maneuver around these obstacles. Key strategies include reengineering products, optimizing packaging, and considering alternative shipping methods to minimize costs. Though challenging, mitigating tariff impacts often involves innovative solutions like first sale principles and careful consideration of country of origin regulations.The Role of Supplier RelationshipsA significant thread through the discussion is the need for strong supplier relationships and transparency. Kim warns against pushing cost-cutting measures onto suppliers without open communication, as this can precipitate quality issues down the line. She advocates for collaborative approaches that ensure supplier stability and uphold quality standards amidst tariff-induced pressures.Decision Fatigue and Mitigation MeasuresOver recent months, the business community has faced 'decision fatigue' with constant tariff changes. Kim underscores the importance of fatigue management, urging companies to focus on strategic decision-making rather than immediate reactions. She highlights the essential practice of scenario planning, offering businesses the ability to swiftly adapt to changes while mitigating risks efficiently.Conclusion: Navigating the Storm with ResilienceAs the conversation wraps up, Kim emphasizes that while predicting future tariff trends is nearly impossible, businesses must remain resilient and prepared for any scenario. Short-term mitigation strategies, coupled with comprehensive scenario planning, can significantly alleviate the stress of tariff uncertainties and provide a balanced approach to business continuity.Timestamps00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction00:59 Kim Kirkendall's Background and Experience03:09 Current Supply Chain Disruptions06:34 Tariff Impacts and Company Strategies16:24 Mitigation Strategies and Practical Advice31:45 Long-term Planning and Scenario Analysis36:26 Conclusion and Contact Information ProducerJacob ThomasFollow UsLinkedInApple Podcasts
Instead of focusing on augmenting existing teams and processes with AI, are we beginning to see more companies looking to replace teams with AI? Will economic pressure increase this likelihood? SHOW: 916SHOW TRANSCRIPT: The Cloudcast #916 TranscriptSHOW VIDEO: https://youtube.com/@TheCloudcastNET CLOUD NEWS OF THE WEEK: http://bit.ly/cloudcast-cnotwCHECK OUT OUR NEW PODCAST: "CLOUDCAST BASICS"SHOW SPONSORS:Try Postman AI Agent Builder TodayCut Enterprise IT Support Costs by 30-50% with US CloudSHOW NOTES:CEOs choose more AI, fewer jobsOpenAI plots charging $20,000 per month for PhD-level AgentsWhy AI isn't giving Salesforce a boostThe one person $Billion dollar companyHUMAN-AUGMENTED vs HUMAN-REPLACEMENT IS A COMPLEX AI STRATEGYMost AI projects today as either augmenting or replacing humansTechnology has augmented, shifted or replaced human tasks for a while, this isn't anything newManagement/owners have tried to replace workers with technology for a long timePricing will tell you something about the goal of the technology (e.g. seat vs. task)Now we're starting to see the psychology of aligning AI to business goals - augmenting, shifting or replacingThe hyperbole of AI funding is to convey direct lines to AI success (whatever success is - AGI, No Coders, No Operations, No Entry-Level, etc..)“How do we replace the employees with AI?”The path to get there isn't well defined. The politics to get there isn't defined by technology. Will the current economic downturn accelerate this line of questioning / strategy? The Bed Bath and Beyond 20% coupon test. “The $billion dollar company with one employee.”FEEDBACK?Email: show at the cloudcast dot netTwitter/X: @cloudcastpodBlueSky: @cloudcastpod.bsky.socialInstagram: @cloudcastpodTikTok: @cloudcastpod
Hampton Roads leaders brace for impacts as the trade war heats up and tens of thousands of local workers worry about their jobs.
CBS Business Analyst Jill Schlesinger joins Debbie and Tom every Morning. She says the 'Bond Market Forces Trump to Blink' in this week's update. Plus income taxes are due tomorrow. https://www.jillonmoney.com/blog/bond-market-forces-trump-to-blink
HR2 Amy Robbins: Trump's “Liberation Day” - Sparking Fears of Inflation & Economic Slowdown. 4-8-25 by John Rush
Like in the Star Wars movie “The Phantom Menace”, the taxation of trade routes is leading to turmoil, including market turmoil. Bond and oil prices suggest the economy is about to abruptly slow down, following US President Donald Trump's sweeping tariff announcements. The hope is the rest of the world will quickly come and negotiate with Trump, and some are. But the largest bilateral trade relationship is between China and the United States. China has called his bluff, raising its tariff on US imports to 52%.Comparisons of indicators such as volatility ratios, deviations from averages and investor sentiment between today and previous flash crashes, all indicate high chances of the S&P 500 index being higher a year from now. But fundamentally, there's no way to know what things will look like a year from now. We expect US valuations to compress and valuations to expand, as foreign savings fund domestic growth in Europe and China.
It appears a slowdown now underway may be part of the Trump administration's economic plan. Confluence Associate Market Strategist, Thomas Wash, joins Phil Adler to discuss why investors should pay close attention to how well any slowdown is managed.
Join Logan Mohtashami, a renowned housing expert, as he breaks down the current state of mortgage rates, the housing market, and how government policies are shaping economic conditions. In this episode, Logan discusses the relationship between economic slowdowns and mortgage rates, the challenges facing the construction industry, and the dynamics of today's labor market, including the impacts of deportation. He also clears up common misconceptions around tariffs and their effect on home prices, explains the differences between existing and new home sales, and highlights the rising concerns around insurance and property taxes. Logan also compares today's housing cycle to past decades, particularly the late 70s and early 80s, offering valuable insights into the unique factors influencing the current market. Don't miss this in-depth discussion! LINKS: OUR GUEST Logan Mohtashami: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/logan-mohtashami-5167631/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/logan_mohtashami/ X: https://x.com/LoganMohtashami TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@loganmohtashami Threads: https://www.threads.net/@logan_mohtashami Website: https://loganmohtashami.com/ JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://tinyurl.com/joinrws1047 WILD PINE SYNDICATION https://www.Realwealth.com/wildpines FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS The Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast: https://link.chtbl.com/REN FREE RealWealth® EDUCATION & TOOLS RealWealth Market Reports: https://realwealth.com/learn/best-places-to-buy-rental-property/ RealWealth Webinars: https://realwealth.com/webinars/ RealWealth Videos: https://realwealth.com/category/video/ RealWealth Assessment™: https://realwealth.com/assessment/ READ BOOKS BY RealWealth® FOUNDERS The Wise Investor by Rich Fettke: https://tinyurl.com/thewiseinvestorbook Retire Rich with Rentals by Kathy Fettke: https://tinyurl.com/retirerichwithrentals Scaling Smart by Rich & Kathy Fettke: https://tinyurl.com/scalingsmart DISCLAIMER The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are provided for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any securities or to make or consider any investment or course of action. For more information, go to www.RealWealthShow.com
UCLA issues its first "Recession Watch" since the 1950's as the media hype ramps up ("If it bleeds, it leads.") Fed meeting preview: No rate cut expectations, but comments regarding Quantitative Tightening will be key for markets. Tuesday's sell off part of the process of markets' finding a bottom. Bonds continue to provide a hedge against stocks. Lance and Danny discuss Lance's demise and how to provide important instructions for the family. Is the market correction a foreshadowing of Recession? The CNBC Fed Survey hikes expectations of Recession: Cannot have higher inflation and Recession; slower economic growth results in lower inflation. Reduction of government spending will reduce economic activity. The genesis of the current banking system. Lance discusses bonds and how debt issuance works, and the alleged "death" of the Dollar. SEG-1: UCLA Issues Recession Watch SEG-2a: I'm Sorry I'm Dead SEG-2b: Recession or Economic Slowdown? SEG-3: CNBC Survey - Hiking Recession Expectations SEG-4: How Debt Issuance Works Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hhlr3L6iqV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Sloppy Trading Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tuaWsLFLRnQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Investors Buy The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJJkzLT34qA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3245s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession2025 #EconomicSlowdown #StockMarketTrends #FedPolicy #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #KeyResistance #200DMA #MarketCorrection #SloppyTrading #MarketBottom #BuyTheDip #StockMarketNews #RetailInvesting #MarketSentiment #InvestingStrategy #InvestingMistakes #FinancialWisdom #KeyResistance #200DMA #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
UCLA issues its first "Recession Watch" since the 1950's as the media hype ramps up ("If it bleeds, it leads.") Fed meeting preview: No rate cut expectations, but comments regarding Quantitative Tightening will be key for markets. Tuesday's sell off part of the process of markets' finding a bottom. Bonds continue to provide a hedge against stocks. Lance and Danny discuss Lance's demise and how to provide important instructions for the family. Is the market correction a foreshadowing of Recession? The CNBC Fed Survey hikes expectations of Recession: Cannot have higher inflation and Recession; slower economic growth results in lower inflation. Reduction of government spending will reduce economic activity. The genesis of the current banking system. Lance discusses bonds and how debt issuance works, and the alleged "death" of the Dollar. SEG-1: UCLA Issues Recession Watch SEG-2a: I'm Sorry I'm Dead SEG-2b: Recession or Economic Slowdown? SEG-3: CNBC Survey - Hiking Recession Expectations SEG-4: How Debt Issuance Works Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hhlr3L6iqV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Sloppy Trading Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tuaWsLFLRnQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Investors Buy The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJJkzLT34qA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3245s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession2025 #EconomicSlowdown #StockMarketTrends #FedPolicy #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #KeyResistance #200DMA #MarketCorrection #SloppyTrading #MarketBottom #BuyTheDip #StockMarketNews #RetailInvesting #MarketSentiment #InvestingStrategy #InvestingMistakes #FinancialWisdom #KeyResistance #200DMA #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
In this episode, Vincent Deluard joins the show to discuss his on-the-money inflation calls and future outlook, the consequences of Trump's tariff flip-flopping, and the buyers of US duration. We also delve into the impact of DOGE, the Trump Admin's Treasury market goals, the surge in foreign yields, and more. Enjoy! __ Follow Vincent Deluard: https://x.com/VincentDeluard Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx — Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125 — Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. USE CODE FG10 FOR 10% OFF general admission! https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:40) Inflation Predictions and Seasonal Adjustments (05:50) Stagflation Concerns and Economic Slowdown (07:33) State-Level Spending and Fiscal Policy (17:42) Tariffs & the Art of the Deal (19:25) Economic Noise vs Signal (23:36) Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy (25:36) DAS Promo (26:13) Bond Market and Liquidity (33:23) Target Date Funds (36:17) Trump Administration Goals (51:06) Surge in Foreign Yields (59:22) Market Predictions (01:03:36) Learn More About Vincent __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
We are in the throes of a manufactured correction as the new administration's tariff programs loom, The tech-heavy Nasdaq was weighed down by declines in the Magnificent Seven cohort, More on Pints and Portfolios Saturday March 29th at 12pm in San Rafael
We are in the throes of a manufactured correction as the new administration's tariff programs loom, The tech-heavy Nasdaq was weighed down by declines in the Magnificent Seven cohort, More on Pints and Portfolios Saturday March 29th at 12pm in San RafaelSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In episode 409 of the BE SMART podcast, Cameron and Jared break down the implications of a proposed US crypto reserve, the recent suspension of anti-money laundering laws by the Treasury Department, and the challenges facing US agriculture. They also discuss the US economic slowdown, the performance of Treasury bonds, and the controversial private credit ETF, PRIV.
This week we discuss the impact of Trump and his executive orders, the outlook for inflation, and the yield curve steepening. We also delve into warning signals for equities, CEO mentions of economic slowdown, and much more. Enjoy! — Follow Capital Flows: https://x.com/Globalflows Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.co/G7Ljv4x5Dp — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EK4VxLf1UrpTCmKGgBVE0PeIxr3ek4f-/view?usp=sharing — Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125 — SKALE is the next evolution in Layer 1 blockchains with a gas-free invisible user experience, instant finality, high speed, and robust security. SKALE is built different as it allows for limitless scalability and has already saved its 46 Million users over $9 Billion in gas fees. SKALE is high-performance and cost-effective, making it ideal for compute-intensive applications like AI, gaming, and consumer-facing dApps. Learn more at skale.space and stay up to date with the gas-free invisible blockchain on X at @skalenetwork Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world's crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:37) Introduction and Guest Introduction (01:20) Market Overview and Trump's Influence (02:16) Fed's Interest Rate Strategy (04:38) Executive Orders and Market Reactions (14:55) Ads (Skale, Ledger) (16:01) Roundup Continues (18:53) Inflation and Economic Indicators (24:09) Challenging Market Assumptions (24:34) Trump's Influence on Market Sentiment (25:13) Inflation and Energy Prices (27:09) Ads (Skale, Ledger) (28:26) FOMC Voting Members Rotation (29:18) Analyzing the Yield Curve (33:04) Market Reactions and Predictions (39:11) Economic Slowdown and Recession Risks (48:04) Final Thoughts and Market Outlook __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
In this video, Gino Barbaro, co-founder of Jake and Gino, breaks down the recent Federal Reserve rate drop and its effects on the real estate market—specifically multifamily properties. With rates falling by 50 basis points, Gino shares insights on what this means for investors, homeowners, and the overall economy. Key Takeaways:Lower borrowing costs for personal loans, credit cards, and multifamily refinancing.How cheap money has driven up real estate prices and could stabilize the market moving forward.The psychological effect of rate drops on the residential market and why buyers focus more on monthly payments than home prices.The historical patterns of rate cuts and their links to past economic recessions.Why this could be a prime opportunity to enter a buyer's market in real estate and multifamily investing.Topics Covered:How the Fed's decisions influence the economy and real estate.The balance between inflation control and real estate price stability.Predictions for the multifamily market and the importance of understanding market cycles.Practical advice for investors on navigating this changing landscape.Why Watch This? Gino gives seasoned insights on how these changes impact real estate investors and homeowners alike, making it a must-watch for anyone looking to make smart moves in the current market. Get ahead of the curve and position yourself for success!Timestamps:0:00 – Introduction0:40 – The Fed's 50 basis point rate cut explained2:30 – Historical patterns of rate cuts and their impact4:00 – Real estate prices vs. interest rates6:20 – How multifamily investors benefit from rate drops8:10 – Market outlook for 2025 and beyond10:00 – What to expect in the next buyer's market12:00 – Conclusion & Key takeaways Free Resource: Want a free PDF of Gino's book “Wheelbarrow Profits”? Email Gino at gino@jakeandgino.com!
In this episode of The Daily Peel, we dive deep into the current state of China's economy, exploring the alarming signs of a slowdown and its implications globally. We'll also touch on the impact of deflation, property values, and the reliance of Denmark's economy on pharmaceuticals. Tune in for insights on market trends and major stock movers! -----------------------------------------------------------