Podcasts about cpi inflation

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Best podcasts about cpi inflation

Latest podcast episodes about cpi inflation

Broken Pie Chart
2026 Stock Market Predictions Show | Big Winners 2025 | Outliers and Consensus | Gold, Rates, Markets, Economy, Bitcoin, The Dollar & More

Broken Pie Chart

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 5, 2026 79:28


Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner, Mike Snyder, and yup Jay Pestrichelli makes an appearance to give our 2026 predictions. Where will markets, the economy, gold, the dollar, the fed, interest rates, bitcoin, recession, oil, bitcoin and much more plus a look back at who got 2025 right.   2026 Year End S&P 500 Index Targets VIX high for 2026 10 Year Treasury predictions Where will Bitcoin end 2026? Where will Oil, Gold, & the US Dollar End land in 2026? Outliers amongst the group and some consensus Why you shouldn't trade off these Why committing to strategies rather than trying to time markets is the way 2025 Predictions and who was right and who was wrong The challenge in trying to predict markets When will the last Fed rate change happen next year? Where do interest rates wind up landing? What about GDP and CPI Inflation forecasts for 2026?   Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com    

Thoughtcast
Why Markets Moved Today (Central Banks, CPI Inflation & AI Explained)

Thoughtcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2025 4:55


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Beyond Markets
The Week in Markets: Q3 earnings outpacing analyst expectations so far

Beyond Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 27, 2025 14:35


87% of the S&P 500 index companies that have reported their Q3 earnings thus far have beaten consensus forecasts - significantly higher than the 10-year average beat rate of 75%. Earnings growth is running at 9.2% year/year, vs. 7.9% that analysts had estimated prior to the start of the reporting season. The NASDAQ 100 index is also on track to post 7 consecutive months of gains. In each of the four times this had happened before, returns in the 12 months that followed were double-digit, averaging 17.5%.  This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

Charles Payne's Unstoppable Prosperity Podcast
Charles' Take: Friday's CPI Inflation Report to Take Center Stage

Charles Payne's Unstoppable Prosperity Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 6:33


Charles is joined by Michael Darda, Roth Capital Partners Market strategist as they discuss the upcoming CPI (Consumer Price Index) report which is expected to show a monthly and yearly increase, concerns that by the time the official jobs report data is released the Fed may be behind the curve in understanding the true state of the job market, and question of “jobless prosperity:” Can the economy prosper with fewer jobs due to factors like increased productivity and AI? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Schwab Market Update Audio
All Aboard for CPI: Inflation Data Could Set Tone

Schwab Market Update Audio

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2025 9:03


Today's July CPI report could show if imported goods saw a blunter tariff impact after signs of that emerged in June. Yields might jump if the data come in hotter than expected.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(0131-0825)

CNBC Business News Update
Market Close: Stocks Lower, Nasdaq Hit Intraday Record High Before Pulling Back, CPI Inflation Data Coming Tuesday Morning, Trump Extends China Tariff Deadline 8/11/25

CNBC Business News Update

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2025 3:55


From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger.

Economy Watch
Tariff-tax costs show up in US inflation

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2025 6:25


Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news US inflation is rising and tariffs are getting the blame.But first, the overnight dairy auction brought prices +1.1% higher in USD terms, +3.6% higher in NZD terms. It was the first rise we have had in these full auctions since yearly May. This time, the expected +2.5% rise in SMP was matched by an unexpected rise of +1.7% in WMP prices. Butter prices were unchanged but cheddar cheese prices fell a sharpish -5.6%.In the US they got the expected rise in CPI inflation for June, up 2.7% when it was rising 2.4% in May. The Fed will have noticed that "core inflation" rose 2.9%. Food prices rose 3.0% and rents up 3.8%. The overall level was restrained by an -8.3% drop in petrol prices. As those year-ago petrol prices normalise in future months, they won't be restraining anything. Just in time for the pass-through of the tariff-taxes. An independent Fed will be concerned about the upwad trajectory.A Fed factory survey in the New York state recorded a rise in July, their first since February. But they are seeing input cost pressure picking up. However they also report it is easier to pass on those costs and seemed relieved about that.Canada also reported its June CPI inflation rate, coming in at 1.9%, up from 1.7% in May.India reported declining merchandise exports in June, in fact their lowest level of the year and almost -8% lower than year-ago levels. Imports fell too. But strong services exports (outsourcing services) balanced things out. In contrast to China, India's rise is domestically-driven, not foreign trade driven, making them somewhat insulated from the tariff-wars.China reported that its Q2-2025 economy expanded +5.2% in inflation-adjusted terms from Q2-2024. This was bang on what Beijing had set as a target, and what observers were expecting them to announce. Strong exports and consumer subsidies helped a lot.China said its retail sales were up +4.8% in June from a year ago, its industrial production up +6.8%. So that suggests they had the best of both worlds - rising industry and rising internal consumption. That they seem to have done this all with only a modest rise in electricity production (+1.7%) would be impressive if it was believable. They are almost certainly making big strides in energy efficiency but it is unlikely as reported. Despite these cred issues however, it is clear that the Chinese economy is not going backward.But even if they aren't as steep as they have been over any of the past 15 months, new house prices in China are still falling. Only 12 of the 70 largest cities had prices that held basically unchanged however. But for resales, none were in that category. The lure of housing speculation in China is but a distant memory. For most developers that is trouble. But pockets like in Shenzhen may be seeing a bit of a shine.In the EU, industrial production surprised with a good +3.4% gain in May, far better than expected and continuing the 2025 expansion. The gains were even stronger in the euro areaSo it will be no surprise to learn that German ZEW sentiment seems to be in full recovery mode; this data for July, so those industrial production gains have likely continued.In Australia, the Westpac/Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment survey showed a third consecutive rise in July, although a small one. Despite the surprise no-cut by the RBA recently, most consumers still expect interest rates to move lower from here. But they remain uncertain about the outlook for the overall economy and jobs. Housing-related sentiment dipped slightly but price expectations remained high.And staying in Australia, the RBA has reached the preliminary view that it would be in the public interest to remove surcharging on eftpos, Mastercard and Visa cards. They also want to lower the cap on interchange fees paid by businesses, and require card networks and large acquirers to publish the fees they charge. They are now in the 'consultation' phase, which will no doubt involve fierce pushback. Here the Commerce Commission has been looking at the same issues, and will report on the New Zealand changes they want to see, very soon.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.49%, up +6 bps from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at US$3,327/oz, down -US$22 from yesterday at this time.American oil prices are down -50 USc to US$66.50/bbl while the international Brent price is just over US$68.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at 59.4 USc and down -30 bps from this time yesterday. Against the Aussie we are unchanged at 91.3 AUc. Against the euro we are also unchanged at 51.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 67.4, and down -10 bps.The bitcoin price starts today at US$117,421 and down -2.0% from this time yesterday. And that takes it back below NZ$200,000. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest, still just on +/-1.9%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

TD Ameritrade Network
Two Sides to CPI & Inflation Impact, Investors Mitigate Fear of Tariffs

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2025 9:00


Tuesday morning's CPI report is one Charles Schwab's Collin Martin expects to be "pretty important" to the market, but one that won't signal a trend to the FOMC's rate cut cycle. Even if the number comes in cooler than projected, Collin warns it could be for the wrong reasons. On tariffs, Mike Townsend says investors have learned not to overreact to tariffs, but warns uncertainty will linger for the long-term. He later goes over expectations of "Crypto Week" on Capitol Hill. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Broken Pie Chart
Wrong on Inflation | NVDA Earnings | PCE Inflation vs CPI Inflation | Sell in May Didn't Work

Broken Pie Chart

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2025 28:46


Derek Moore explains how what sometimes seems obvious isn't what happens as we can see with inflation numbers that continue to move lower despite consumer sentiment surveys expecting 6.6% inflation in the next year. Plus, NVDA had its earnings and the stock' forward PE is lower due to the next 12-month analyst estimates being near all-time highs. Plus, sell in May would have been a mistake as markets recovered and are now back to within several percent of all-time highs.    PCE Inflation vs CPI Inflation NVDA forward PE ratio and earnings EPS estimates Calendar Spreads vs Diagonal spreads explained Inflation continues to be lower  University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey says 1-year inflation 6.6% Atlanta FED GDP Now EconPi        Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com     

Blockchain DXB
Blockchain DXB:

Blockchain DXB

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2025 37:19


Blockchain DXB Podcast – 15th May EpisodeTitle: CPI Drops to 4-Year Low | Trump's $1.2 Trillion Middle East Play | Ethereum's Trillion Dollar Security | Ondo's Cross-Chain DvP | VanEck's NODE ETF

TD Ameritrade Network
Next Week's CPI, Inflation Data Key for Tariff Trade

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2025 7:58


The 10-year treasury "settling in" as Joe Mazzola calls it, could be signs of possible calm amid ongoing tariff negotiations and trade policy talks. Collin Martin looks ahead to next week's inflation data as key to clearing uncertainty surrounding tariff impact on the real economy.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Blockchain DXB

Episode: AI-Powered Recap of Unfiltered Chat - Weekly Crypto, Blockchain & AI UpdateDate: 13th March 2025Hosted By: 100% AI-Driven Analysis with Notebook LM by GoogleIn this unique episode of Blockchain DXB & Society X - Unfiltered Chat, we take a step back from human hosting and let AI take the reins! Using Google's Notebook LM, this episode provides an AI-driven analysis and comprehensive review of the latest Unfiltered Chat session. From Pi Network's recent surge to crucial FOMC updates and the evolving landscape of stablecoin regulations, this episode offers a thorough breakdown—completely unbiased and data-centric.AI reviews the sudden pump in Pi Network's value over the past 24 hours.Examines whether the project is legitimate or a scam, based on historical data and community sentiment.Insights on Pi Network's status as an OG in the DePin space and how its recent momentum affects its standing.Inflation recorded at 2.8%, down from previous months.Real-time data analysis and its potential integration into open blockchain networks.Notebook LM's take on how real-time decision-making in blockchain could be more transparent and efficient.Upcoming meeting on 19th March 2025, chaired by Jerome Powell.AI-driven predictions:How AI sentiment analysis interprets recent public statements and economic indicators.30-day ceasefire proposal hosted in Jeddah (Source).AI examines potential impacts on crypto prices, including geopolitical stability and reduced sanctions.Impact on Russian crypto policies and the Bank of Russia's investment portfolio for HNWI.AI reviews the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act by Senator Bill Hagerty.Key Takeaways:Dubai's VARA stance on algorithmically backed stablecoins: A firm NO, as stated by Mathe White on LinkedIn.AI dives into South Korea's strategic Bitcoin reserve proposal led by the Democratic Party.Could this make South Korea a pioneer in integrating Bitcoin into national reserves?Insights into the potential for a won-backed stablecoin and how reducing crypto regulations might boost adoption.Source: The Korea HeraldIdentifying the wallet movements and implications for the broader crypto market.Repayment plan delay from 31st Oct 2024 to 31st Oct 2025.New address not linked to exchanges—AI evaluates the potential market impact.Transaction DetailsDeFi TVL: Down to $88.24 billion.Market Cap Updates:DEX Activity:Stablecoin Event: Exploring the history and future of stablecoins.How to Start a Podcast Event: Tips and tricks for beginners.Central Bank Digital Currency Event: Exploring the latest developments in CBDCs.Notebook LM reflects on the potential for AI-driven insights in the blockchain and crypto space. Could AI-powered analysis become the new norm for market evaluations and real-time decision-making? Stay tuned to Blockchain DXB & Society X for more innovative episodes and groundbreaking discussions!To support this channel:

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News
3.12.25 Lending and Politics; TransUnion's Satyan Merchant on Data and Analytics; CPI Inflation

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2025 33:03 Transcription Available


Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we look at how mortgage lending and politics are intertwined. Plus, Robbie sits down with TransUnion's Satyan Merchant to talk about how data and analytics are transforming the mortgage industry, from leveraging credit and alternative data to improving targeting, personalization, and marketing innovation. And he closes by going through the latest CPI inflation figures.This week's podcast is sponsored by TransUnion. TransUnion offers thousands of B2B solutions designed to address the unique needs of mortgage lenders, especially for their identity-focused, data-driven mortgage insights and solutions. 

Blockchain DXB

AI Takeover Series - Episode ReviewWelcome to today's episode of Blockchain DXB, where we dive into the most significant news and updates in the world of cryptocurrency and blockchain. This episode is entirely written by AI using Notebook LM by Google, as part of our AI Takeover Series—where AI takes the wheel and delivers insightful, data-driven content!In this episode, we'll be reviewing the latest developments and their potential impact on Bitcoin, stablecoins, and the wider crypto market. Let's get into it!In a groundbreaking move towards peace, Ukraine has accepted a 30-day ceasefire proposal in Jeddah, contingent on Russia's agreement. The U.S. has pledged to resume intelligence sharing and security assistance, while humanitarian efforts, including POW exchanges and returning Ukrainian children, are prioritized. Negotiations for lasting peace are set to begin, with European partners playing a significant role. Additionally, both nations have agreed to develop Ukraine's critical mineral resources to bolster long-term security and prosperity.

Moneycontrol Podcast
4409: Traders advised to ‘sell-on-rise' and adopt a stock-specific approach; Union Budget, US CPI inflation, FII flows eyed | Market Minutes

Moneycontrol Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 15, 2025 6:23


In this episode of Market Minutes, Zoya Springwala talks about the key factors to watch out for today before the domestic market opens. Market experts recommend that participants should view any uptick as an opportunity to trim positions during further recovery, particularly in the midcap and smallcap segments. Also, catch Prakash Diwan on the Voice of the Day segment.  Market Minutes is a morning podcast that puts the spotlight on hot stocks, key data points, and developing trends.

Squawk on the Street
CPI/Inflation Watch, Albertsons Terminates Kroger Merger, GE Vernova and Southwest CEOs 12/11/24

Squawk on the Street

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2024 45:39


Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber explored market reaction to November CPI ahead of next week's Fed decision on interest rates.Albertsons called off its planned merger with Kroger and filed suit against the company for breach of contract, after federal and state judges blockedtheir deal. A CEO doubleheader at Post 9: GE Vernova's Scott Strazik discussed his company's outlook after seeing shares skyrocket since April, when it was spun off byGeneral Electric. Southwest's Bob Jordan spoke about everything from the airline's 2025 outlook to board changes sparked by activism. Also in focus: President-elect Trump picks Andrew Ferguson to chair the FTC, Walgreens reportedly in talks to be taken private, Nasdaq's march toward 20,000. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

At Any Rate
US Rates Strategy: Core CPI inflation holds above 3%, but where is the love for TIPS?

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 16, 2024 8:00


US Rates Strategist Phoebe White discusses her takeaways from the October CPI report, as well as the path ahead for US rates and inflation markets. October CPI showed broad-based strength, outside of some idiosyncratic weakness in core goods prices, and points to some stickiness in core services inflation, even before considering upside risks stemming from policy uncertainty. With Treasury valuations cheap and the Fed maintaining an easing bias, there is likely limited room for yields to rise further. TIPS breakevens are likely to outperform their historical beta to nominal yields in a rally. Speaker: Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy This podcast was recorded on 15 November 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4845562-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Cheques & Balances
CPI & Inflation Data Update: What's Next For New Zealand? Ft. Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr | Episode 229

Cheques & Balances

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2024 32:51


We're joined once again by Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr to discuss the latest CPI and inflation data, offering insights into how these shifts are shaping New Zealand's economic future. This episode is proudly sponsored by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Partners Life⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. For more money tips follow us on: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TikTok⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ The content in this podcast is the opinion of the hosts. It should not be treated as financial advice. It is important to take into consideration your own personal situation and goals before making any financial decisions.

Key Wealth Matters
Market Minutes Recap - Market Update (Perspectives on CPI inflation data, the stock market, and next week's FOMC meeting)

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2024 16:59


In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the CPI inflation data, the stock market, and next week's FOMC meeting.Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 01:54 – The Bureau of Labor and Statistics overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) reported inflation at 0.2% for month-over-month in August. Likewise, the CPI reported core inflation at 0.3% 03:06 – The stock market has had a substantial week, and the S&P 500 has rebounded to be within 50 points of nearing an all-time-high  05:31 – Comments on ‘Big Tech' recovering this week in the market as we saw some pull back in prior weeks, leaving utilities to take the lead as the top performer07:50 – As Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, and initial unemployment claims data were released this week, this seems to be an ideal setup for the anticipated rate cut at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetingAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: When the Fed Cuts Rates, Should Investors Cut Their Exposure to Stocks | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

Broken Pie Chart
Fastest Correction Ever? | VIX Index Collapse Post Spike| Will Fed Push Back on 50 bps Interest Rate Cut? | Latest CPI Inflation Analysis and Soft, Hard, or No Landing?

Broken Pie Chart

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2024 49:52


Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli are back to discuss the surge and record collapse back below 17.6 in the VIX Index. Plus, Reviewing the difference between the VIX Index (not tradable) and VIX Futures relative spike levels. Then, they go into the latest CPI numbers including CPI Supercore to see what is sticky and what is negative. Finally, they discuss whether Chairman Jerome Powel is going to disappoint markets with only a 25-bps cut when everyone seems to want more. All that and more including the yield curve inversion, mentions of job cuts vs AI on earnings calls in Q2, expectations for a soft, hard, or no landing and what the heck that even means.   VIX only takes 7 days to go back below 17.6 after spiking above 35 Comparing previous VIX Index surges and length to come back down Difference between hard , soft, and no landings Fed prepares for Jackson Hole meetings and sure to signal its interest rate intentions Will Powell and the Fed disappoint markets? Chance that Powel pushes back to not be bullied into rate cuts Mentions of AI on corporate earnings calls vs mentions of job cuts and employment Inverted yield curve and what the 2-year bond is predicting for rates in the future Fed balance sheet below the radar Will Fed stop letting treasury bonds and mortgage backed bonds run off the balance sheet? Comparing current and past VIX spikes against the relative spike level of the VIX futures     Mentioned in this Episode   Panic Overdone? | VIX 3rd Highest Spike Ever | How the Strategies Held Up | Short Volatility Trades https://open.spotify.com/episode/2mF1zkDaqWZLRhumfs0VJh?si=j5sn9DZpS3mmyM3Y5VM_1A   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com  

The Gray Report Podcast
CPI inflation down, but Fed does NOT cut rates (yet).

The Gray Report Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2024 50:14


On the same day that the CPI showed yearly inflation ticking down to 3.3%, with zero price growth last month, the Federal Reserve released its updated economic projections along with commentary that raised the possibility of an interest rate cut this year, but there was little definitive indication on when that might take place. While CRE markets are showing more signs of adjustment to "higher for longer" rates, the improved inflation numbers and potential for lower rates are meaningful developments for the CRE lending market that is continuing to feel pressure from the persistent high-rate environment. Sources discussed in this episode: Apartment List: “What will the pullback in multifamily construction permitting mean for the rental market?” - https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/what-will-the-pullback-in-multifamily-construction-mean-for-the-rental-market Cushman & Wakefield: “U.S. Macro Outlook: An Uncomfortable Soft Landing” - https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/united-states/insights/us-macro-outlook Marcus & Millichap: “Perceptions of the CRE Investment Market” - https://www.marcusmillichap.com/research/videos/2024/06/perceptions-of-the-cre-investment-market Fannie Mae: “Homebuying Sentiment Hits New Survey Low” - https://www.fanniemae.com/research-and-insights/surveys-indices/national-housing-survey For the latest multifamily news from across the internet, visit the Gray Report website: ⁠https://www.grayreport.com/⁠ Sign up for our free multifamily newsletter here: ⁠https://www.graycapitalllc.com/newsletter⁠ DISCLAIMERS: This video does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This video is not an offer to invest. Any offering would be made through a private placement memorandum and would be limited to accredited investors.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
6-10-24 Rising Unemployment Rate -A Possible Recession Indicator

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2024 45:54


Employment Report Headlines are stronger than the underlying data shows; economic activity is slowing, but markets remain upbeat. Markets have been quiet; complacency can lead to unexpected things. Markets tested 20-DMA and rallied; will re-test that level today...again. FOMC Meeting this week + CPI Inflation data could trigger a change: Markets' performance has been predicated on Fed rate cuts. How we get the employment numbers: Data vs surveys. The gap between households and BLS is growing; something is wrong with the adjustments. Why $20/hr minimum wage isn't working. Look at wages vs total compensation. Employment numbers are likely to be revised downward. Analysts' estimates are unrealistic in the face of economic data. Commodities in Boom-Bust cycles; supply/demand imbalances. Looking at Copper; the Hunt Brother's silver gambit fail. What will happen in the markets when buy back blackout period begins. SEG-1: Employment Report Review; Markets to Retest 20-DMA SEG-2: Headline Employment Numbers Belie Economic Weakness SEG-3: Analysts' Estimates Exceed Economic Reality SEG-4: Commodities in the Boom-Bust Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Maximize Your Severance Package" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #UnemploymentRate #TwelveMonthAverage #Recession #Trending #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarket #EconomicTrends #Workforce #JobMarket #EmploymentStatistics #EconomicAnalysis #Economy #RecessionIndicators #UnemploymentTrends, #LaborForce #EconomicOutlook #JoblessRate #FinancialAnalysis #Macroeconomics #EconomicConditions #DownturnRisks #EmploymentData #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
6-10-24 Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2024 3:56


Futures are pointing lower this morning, which is no surprise. After a multi-weeks' long run in the markets, investors today will likely re-test the 20-DMA in a repeat performance of market activity we saw back in November thru February. The current environment could run from July through August, migrating higher without any catalyst. This week's FOMC Meeting and CPI Inflation data could turn markets sharply lower, because the market is predicated on the Fed cutting rates. We're expecting the Fed to maintain the status quo of staying on track to cut rates later in the year, and a reversal of Quantitative Tightening. We're urging a continuation of risk management in your portfolios. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
6-10-24 Rising Unemployment Rate: A Possible Recession Indicator?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2024 45:55


Employment Report Headlines are stronger than the underlying data shows; economic activity is slowing, but markets remain upbeat. Markets have been quiet; complacency can lead to unexpected things. Markets tested 20-DMA and rallied; will re-test that level today...again. FOMC Meeting this week + CPI Inflation data could trigger a change: Markets' performance has been predicated on Fed rate cuts. How we get the employment numbers: Data vs surveys. The gap between households and BLS is growing; something is wrong with the adjustments. Why $20/hr minimum wage isn't working. Look at wages vs total compensation. Employment numbers are likely to be revised downward. Analysts' estimates are unrealistic in the face of economic data. Commodities in Boom-Bust cycles; supply/demand imbalances. Looking at Copper; the Hunt Brother's silver gambit fail. What will happen in the markets when buy back blackout period begins. SEG-1: Employment Report Review; Markets to Retest 20-DMA SEG-2: Headline Employment Numbers Belie Economic Weakness SEG-3: Analysts' Estimates Exceed Economic Reality SEG-4: Commodities in the Boom-Bust Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Maximize Your Severance Package" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #UnemploymentRate #TwelveMonthAverage #Recession #Trending #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarket #EconomicTrends #Workforce #JobMarket #EmploymentStatistics #EconomicAnalysis #Economy #RecessionIndicators #UnemploymentTrends, #LaborForce #EconomicOutlook #JoblessRate #FinancialAnalysis #Macroeconomics #EconomicConditions #DownturnRisks #EmploymentData #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing

The Gray Report Podcast
CPI inflation is down. Are interest rates next?

The Gray Report Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2024 67:39


Consumer price index numbers show inflation down from 3.5% to 3.4% year-over-year in April, with monthly inflation numbers falling from 0.4% to 0.3%. It may be a bumpy road to the Federal Reserve's inflation target, but given the moderation in the job market along with these latest numbers from the CPI, speculation that the Fed will lower interest rates in September may have some validity, but in the meantime, elevated interest rates will put pressure on multifamily borrowers as the issue of loan maturities persists as a background factor that continues to shape the motivations of apartment buyers and sellers. Sources discussed in this episode: Bureau of Labor Statistics: “Consumer Price Index, April 2024” - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t02.htm Indianapolis Business Journal: “Timeline firming up for converting Gold Building to apartments as construction costs climb” CBRE: “Some Distress Will Emerge Amid Wall of Loan Maturities” - https://www.cbre.com/insights/briefs/some-distress-will-emerge-amid-wall-of-loan-maturities Moody's Analytics: “Q1 2024: Top/Bottom Performing Multifamily Markets” - https://cre.moodysanalytics.com/insights/cre-news/q1-2024-top-bottom-performing-multifamily-markets/ Yardi Matrix: “Research Bulletin: Rent Growth Continues in Many Secondary Markets” - https://www.yardimatrix.com/publications/download/file/5619-MatrixBulletin-MultifamilyForecast-May2024 For the latest multifamily news from across the internet, visit the Gray Report website: ⁠https://www.grayreport.com/⁠ Sign up for our free multifamily newsletter here: ⁠https://www.graycapitalllc.com/newsletter⁠ DISCLAIMERS: This video does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This video is not an offer to invest. Any offering would be made through a private placement memorandum and would be limited to accredited investors.

Real Estate Market Minute
April CPI Inflation Number Indicates Rate Cuts May Come Sooner and More Rapidly Then Originally Thought

Real Estate Market Minute

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2024 7:02


The latest CPI inflation reading shows inflation continuing to cool off. However, there is one aspect of the report that continues to lag and it's directly related to the real estate market. I dig into the latest CPI reading and cover what it most likely means for interest rates going forward and the housing market overall.

Steve Cochran on The Big 89
April's CPI Inflation Rate Dips: Signs of Economic Cooling?

Steve Cochran on The Big 89

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2024 8:36


David Hochberg from Team Hochberg at Homeside Financial joins the Steve Cochran Show to delve into the recent decrease in April's CPI inflation rate, tips on removing PMI, and he shares his predictions on how the Bears will fare in the upcoming season.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Coin Stories
News Block: Bitcoin Price Crashes Amid Fears of War, Gold vs. Bitcoin, Hong Kong Approves Spot BTC ETFs, CPI Inflation Remains Hot, UFC Fighter Asks to Be Paid in Bitcoin

Coin Stories

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 16, 2024 10:15


In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered by Bitdeer (NASDAQ: BTDR), we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin and global finance: Bitcoin Price Dips Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Fears of War Gold vs Bitcoin Hong Kong Approves Spot Bitcoin ETFs March CPI Inflation Comes in Hot Fast Food Price Increases Outpacing Inflation  UFC Fighter Asks to be Paid in Bitcoin  ---- The News Block is powered exclusively by Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ: BTDR), a publicly-traded leader in Bitcoin mining that stands alone as the only vertically-integrated, technology-focused Bitcoin mining company. Learn more at www.bitdeer.com.  ---- References mentioned in the episode:  Andrew Ross Sorkin Tweet on Bitcoin Price Action  Chart Showing Bitcoin's Price After Hamas Attack CFA Institute Article on Bond Performance in WWII Buffett Interview on Not Holding Cash During War Hong Kong to Approve Spot Bitcoin ETFs Bloomberg Senior Analyst Tweet on HK ETFs High Interest Rates Keeping Inflation High NYT Article on Mortgage Rates and Housing Market Chart of Fast Food Prices Outpacing Inflation   Coinbase Bitcoin Pizza Advertisement UFC Fighter Gives Shoutout to Austrian Economics UFC Fighter Says He Wants to be Paid in Bitcoin ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- #money #Bitcoin #investing

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
4-11-24 Is Inflation Too Hot To Handle

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2024 46:45


CPI Inflation clocks in hotter than expected, with more data to come; car insurance inflation is an out-of-the-blue surprise (unless you recently renewed your policy!) What does the Fed do next? Markets are pricing-in NO rate cuts in June...and maybe not at all this year. Markets trace the 20-DMA, building a rounded top as momentum slows; beginning to confirm a take-down of the 20-DMA. Economic growth is slowing; insurance inflation spike "smells like" an adjustment; it's a lagging indicator. Homeowners equivalent rent is also a lagging indicator. It's not a question of if, but when inflation will fall, but prices are still sticky. Inflation still a function of supply & demand, and there's ample supply remaining, pushing prices and rents downward. S&P & Gold: The risk in slowing momentum; we're still in a bull market (until we're not)./ Markets are priced for 5-10% correction. There are no warnings from credit spreads, so far, but corporate loans are starting to show some concerns. What the Leveraged-loan Market is saying: defaults are on the rise. The NFIB Small Business Survey this time was really bad;. There are lots of inconsistencies in economic data. The impact of illegal immigrants on employment; gold is in a bubble. SEG-1: Inflation is Hotter Than Expected SEG-2: Economic Growth is Slowing: Normalistically SEG-3: The Risk in Momentum Loss SEG-4: Is Gold in a Bubble? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ew1SiTbo-Ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TheGoldBubble #MarketsTest20DMA #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
4-11-24 Is Inflation Too Hot to Handle?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2024 46:46


CPI Inflation clocks in hotter than expected, with more data to come; car insurance inflation is an out-of-the-blue surprise (unless you recently renewed your policy!) What does the Fed do next? Markets are pricing-in NO rate cuts in June...and maybe not at all this year. Markets trace the 20-DMA, building a rounded top as momentum slows; beginning to confirm a take-down of the 20-DMA. Economic growth is slowing; insurance inflation spike "smells like" an adjustment; it's a lagging indicator. Homeowners equivalent rent is also a lagging indicator. It's not a question of if, but when inflation will fall, but prices are still sticky. Inflation still a function of supply & demand, and there's ample supply remaining, pushing prices and rents downward. S&P & Gold: The risk in slowing momentum; we're still in a bull market (until we're not)./ Markets are priced for 5-10% correction. There are no warnings from credit spreads, so far, but corporate loans are starting to show some concerns. What the Leveraged-loan Market is saying: defaults are on the rise. The NFIB Small Business Survey this time was really bad;. There are lots of inconsistencies in economic data. The impact of illegal immigrants on employment; gold is in a bubble.   SEG-1: Inflation is Hotter Than Expected SEG-2: Economic Growth is Slowing: Normalistically SEG-3: The Risk in Momentum Loss SEG-4: Is Gold in a Bubble? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ew1SiTbo-Ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TheGoldBubble #MarketsTest20DMA #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

The Café Bitcoin Podcast
Swan Announcement, CPI, Inflation and Treasury Markets with Sam Callahan, Brady Swenson, and Joe Carlasare - April 10th, 2024

The Café Bitcoin Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2024 59:39


We're joined by Sam Callahan, Brady Swenson and more to talk about the huge announcement from Swan, that you can now start buying in minutes, and no fees on your first $10k of Bitcoin! We also talk to Joe Carlasare about his upcoming Bitcoin fiction-thriller, and discuss the latest CPI numbers and inflation data. Use code “CAFE” for a discount to ⁠https://www.pacificbitcoin.com⁠⁠ "Welcome to Bitcoin" A FREE 1-hour course hosted by Natalie Brunell, perfect for helping you to orange-pill family members over the holidays at https://Swan.com/welcome ⁠⁠ Swan Team Members:Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallahTomer Strolight: https://twitter.com/TomerStrolightJohn Haar Twitter: ⁠https://twitter.com/john_at_swanDante Cook: https://twitter.com/Dante_Cook1Produced by: https://twitter.com/Producer_Jacob “From Timechain to Cantillionares Game, you can find Tip_NZ creations at Geyser Fund:” ⁠https://geyser.fund/project/tip⁠ Swan Bitcoin is the best way to accumulate Bitcoin with automatic recurring buys and instant buys from $10 to $10 million. Get started in just 5 minutes. Your first $10 purchase is on us: https://swanbitcoin.com/yt  Download the all new Swan app! iOS: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/swan-bitcoin/id1576287352 Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.swanbitcoin.android&pli=1  Are you a high net worth individual or do you represent corporation that might be interested in learning more about Bitcoin? Swan Private guides corporations and high net worth individuals toward building generational wealth with Bitcoin. Find out more at https://swan.com/private Check out the best place for Bitcoin education, Swan Bitcoin's “Bitcoin Canon”. Compiling all of the greatst articles, news sources, videos and more from your favorite bitcoiners! https://www.swan.com/canon/  Get paid to recruit new Bitcoiners: https://swan.com/enlistHello and welcome to The Café Bitcoin Podcast brought to you by Swan Bitcoin, the best way to buy and learn about Bitcoin. We're excited to announce we are bringing the The Café Bitcoin conversation from Twitter Spaces to you on this show, The Café Bitcoin Podcast, Monday - Friday every week. Join us as we speak to guest like Max Keiser, Lyn Alden, Tomer Strolight, Cory Klippsten and many others from the bitcoin space. Also, be sure to hit that subscribe button to make sure you get the notifications when we launch an episode. Join us Monday - Friday 7pst/10est every Morning and become apart of the conversation! Thank you again and we look forward to giving you the best bitcoin content daily here on The Café Bitcoin Podcast. Swan Bitcoin is the best way to accumulate Bitcoin with automatic recurring buys and instant buys from $10 to $10 million. Get started in just 5 minutes. Your first $10 purchase is on us: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://swan.com⁠⁠/yt⁠⁠⁠ Connect with Swan on social media:Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/Swan⁠

Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar
3/13/24: Robert Hur Explosive Biden Hearing, UAE Threatens Israel Over Gaza Aid, State Dep Spox Confronted On IDF Abuse Of Medics, CPI Inflation Rise, Kenya Halts Troops To Haiti, Putin Floats Ukraine Negotiations, Leaked Report Says Ukraine Victory Impos

Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 13, 2024 86:21 Transcription Available


Ryan and Emily discuss Robert Hur's explosive Congressional testimony, UAE threatens to cut off Israel economic support over lack of Gaza aid, State Dep Spox confronted on IDF beatings of Gaza medics, CPI report shows inflation rise, Kenya halts troops to Haiti amid gang uprising, Putin says Russia ready to negotiate, leaked French military docs say Ukraine victory is impossible, and Andrew Tate arrested after streamer Adin Ross revealed his escape plans from Romania.   To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/   Merch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

The Inside Economics team is joined by CPI guru and colleague Matt Colyar to discuss the bevy of inflation-related data released this week. First the team dissects the Federal Reserve's CCAR stress test scenarios and laments the perpetually inconvenient timing of their release. Talk turns to the root causes for the inflation of the past few years and why shelter inflation is so stubborn. The team imagines themselves on the FOMC for a day and what they would do with interest rates going forward. Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight.