Podcasts about cpi inflation

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Best podcasts about cpi inflation

Latest podcast episodes about cpi inflation

Economy Watch
As the tempest fades, the net situation is worse

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2025 5:43


Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the relief rally following the US-China trade de-escalation continues, for equities at least. But worries continue about recession and inflation. Investors want higher risk premiums. And it seems China is in no hurry to resume buying from US sources.But first up today, the overnight dairy Pulse auction delivered similar but slightly lower results for both SMP and WMP that were achieved at last week's full auction, basically confirming the recent shifts, especially the up-shift for WMP.The April US CPI inflation rate came in at 2.3%, a touch lower than the 2.4% expected and which applied for March. That was largely due to fuel costs falling more sharply (-11.8%). The costs of food (+2.8%), rents (+4.0%) and transport (+2.5%) were all higher.Last week's Redbook tracking of US retail sales recorded a +5.8% rise from the same week a year ago. We will likely see this fade as the tariff-induced buying eases off now.The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dropped in April to its lowest level since October 2024. But the retreat wasn't quite as much as was expected.US household debt data updates were a mixed bag. Total household debt rose +$167 bln from the prior quarter to a record high of $18.2 tln in Q1-2025. Delinquency rates rose from the previous quarter, with 4.3% of outstanding debt now in some stage of delinquency.US importers of Chinese goods still face much higher costs. The net position after the tempest and pullback is 'worse' for inflation, and negative for trade. Struggle is all ahead for global trade.In India, CPI inflation fell to 3.2% in April, and that is its lowest rate since before the pandemic. Food prices were up only +1.8% within that. The current overall inflation rate is now well below their central bank's 4% mid-point target. If it stays there, a rate cut in India may be on the cards.In Germany, there was a sharp bounce-back in the ZEW sentiment survey tracking in May, putting the unusual drop in April behind it. The survey indicates growing optimism for the next six months, driven by the formation of a new federal government there, progress in resolving tariff disputes, and signs of stabilising inflation. Nearly all sectors reported improved sentiment in May.In Australia, updated data seems to indicate that Kiwis are losing the desire to visit there. That said there were 104,600 visits by Kiwis in March, -9.3% fewer than in March 2024 and almost -10% fewer than in March 2018 (a pre-pandemic equivalent). For the year to March 2025, we made 1.367 mln visits to Australia, little different (+1.4%) to the same year in 2024. It is a similar story for Aussies visiting New Zealand. In March 2025 it was -1.7% less than the same month a year earlier.Consumer sentiment in Australia has stayed weak in March, according to a widely-watched Westpac-MM survey.We should probably note that good weather and favourable growing conditions in almost all regions has boosted wheat production - and is pushing down prices. They are now back to levels they first achieved ten years ago and are almost -60% lower than their peak in 2022. For similar reasons, corn prices are falling now too.The UST 10yr yield is at 4.50%, up +4 bps so far today.There rate may go higher. A Reuters poll of bond investors shows them increasingly concerned about both a global recession, and rising inflation. That is, stagflation.The price of gold will start today at US$3243/oz, and up +US$20 from yesterday.Oil prices are up +US$1.50 today at just over US$63.50/bbl in the US and the international Brent price is just over US$66.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at 59.4 USc, up +90 bps from yesterday at this time. Against the Aussie we are down -50 bps at 91.7 AUc. Against the euro we are up +30 bps at 53.1 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just under 67.9 and up a net +50 bps from this time yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$104,161 and back up +2.7% from yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has remained modest at just on +/- 1.7%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

TD Ameritrade Network
Next Week's CPI, Inflation Data Key for Tariff Trade

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2025 7:58


The 10-year treasury "settling in" as Joe Mazzola calls it, could be signs of possible calm amid ongoing tariff negotiations and trade policy talks. Collin Martin looks ahead to next week's inflation data as key to clearing uncertainty surrounding tariff impact on the real economy.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Blockchain DXB

Episode: AI-Powered Recap of Unfiltered Chat - Weekly Crypto, Blockchain & AI UpdateDate: 13th March 2025Hosted By: 100% AI-Driven Analysis with Notebook LM by GoogleIn this unique episode of Blockchain DXB & Society X - Unfiltered Chat, we take a step back from human hosting and let AI take the reins! Using Google's Notebook LM, this episode provides an AI-driven analysis and comprehensive review of the latest Unfiltered Chat session. From Pi Network's recent surge to crucial FOMC updates and the evolving landscape of stablecoin regulations, this episode offers a thorough breakdown—completely unbiased and data-centric.AI reviews the sudden pump in Pi Network's value over the past 24 hours.Examines whether the project is legitimate or a scam, based on historical data and community sentiment.Insights on Pi Network's status as an OG in the DePin space and how its recent momentum affects its standing.Inflation recorded at 2.8%, down from previous months.Real-time data analysis and its potential integration into open blockchain networks.Notebook LM's take on how real-time decision-making in blockchain could be more transparent and efficient.Upcoming meeting on 19th March 2025, chaired by Jerome Powell.AI-driven predictions:How AI sentiment analysis interprets recent public statements and economic indicators.30-day ceasefire proposal hosted in Jeddah (Source).AI examines potential impacts on crypto prices, including geopolitical stability and reduced sanctions.Impact on Russian crypto policies and the Bank of Russia's investment portfolio for HNWI.AI reviews the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act by Senator Bill Hagerty.Key Takeaways:Dubai's VARA stance on algorithmically backed stablecoins: A firm NO, as stated by Mathe White on LinkedIn.AI dives into South Korea's strategic Bitcoin reserve proposal led by the Democratic Party.Could this make South Korea a pioneer in integrating Bitcoin into national reserves?Insights into the potential for a won-backed stablecoin and how reducing crypto regulations might boost adoption.Source: The Korea HeraldIdentifying the wallet movements and implications for the broader crypto market.Repayment plan delay from 31st Oct 2024 to 31st Oct 2025.New address not linked to exchanges—AI evaluates the potential market impact.Transaction DetailsDeFi TVL: Down to $88.24 billion.Market Cap Updates:DEX Activity:Stablecoin Event: Exploring the history and future of stablecoins.How to Start a Podcast Event: Tips and tricks for beginners.Central Bank Digital Currency Event: Exploring the latest developments in CBDCs.Notebook LM reflects on the potential for AI-driven insights in the blockchain and crypto space. Could AI-powered analysis become the new norm for market evaluations and real-time decision-making? Stay tuned to Blockchain DXB & Society X for more innovative episodes and groundbreaking discussions!To support this channel:

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News
3.12.25 Lending and Politics; TransUnion's Satyan Merchant on Data and Analytics; CPI Inflation

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2025 33:03 Transcription Available


Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we look at how mortgage lending and politics are intertwined. Plus, Robbie sits down with TransUnion's Satyan Merchant to talk about how data and analytics are transforming the mortgage industry, from leveraging credit and alternative data to improving targeting, personalization, and marketing innovation. And he closes by going through the latest CPI inflation figures.This week's podcast is sponsored by TransUnion. TransUnion offers thousands of B2B solutions designed to address the unique needs of mortgage lenders, especially for their identity-focused, data-driven mortgage insights and solutions. 

Blockchain DXB

AI Takeover Series - Episode ReviewWelcome to today's episode of Blockchain DXB, where we dive into the most significant news and updates in the world of cryptocurrency and blockchain. This episode is entirely written by AI using Notebook LM by Google, as part of our AI Takeover Series—where AI takes the wheel and delivers insightful, data-driven content!In this episode, we'll be reviewing the latest developments and their potential impact on Bitcoin, stablecoins, and the wider crypto market. Let's get into it!In a groundbreaking move towards peace, Ukraine has accepted a 30-day ceasefire proposal in Jeddah, contingent on Russia's agreement. The U.S. has pledged to resume intelligence sharing and security assistance, while humanitarian efforts, including POW exchanges and returning Ukrainian children, are prioritized. Negotiations for lasting peace are set to begin, with European partners playing a significant role. Additionally, both nations have agreed to develop Ukraine's critical mineral resources to bolster long-term security and prosperity.

Moneycontrol Podcast
4409: Traders advised to ‘sell-on-rise' and adopt a stock-specific approach; Union Budget, US CPI inflation, FII flows eyed | Market Minutes

Moneycontrol Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 15, 2025 6:23


In this episode of Market Minutes, Zoya Springwala talks about the key factors to watch out for today before the domestic market opens. Market experts recommend that participants should view any uptick as an opportunity to trim positions during further recovery, particularly in the midcap and smallcap segments. Also, catch Prakash Diwan on the Voice of the Day segment.  Market Minutes is a morning podcast that puts the spotlight on hot stocks, key data points, and developing trends.

Squawk on the Street
CPI/Inflation Watch, Albertsons Terminates Kroger Merger, GE Vernova and Southwest CEOs 12/11/24

Squawk on the Street

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2024 45:39


Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber explored market reaction to November CPI ahead of next week's Fed decision on interest rates.Albertsons called off its planned merger with Kroger and filed suit against the company for breach of contract, after federal and state judges blockedtheir deal. A CEO doubleheader at Post 9: GE Vernova's Scott Strazik discussed his company's outlook after seeing shares skyrocket since April, when it was spun off byGeneral Electric. Southwest's Bob Jordan spoke about everything from the airline's 2025 outlook to board changes sparked by activism. Also in focus: President-elect Trump picks Andrew Ferguson to chair the FTC, Walgreens reportedly in talks to be taken private, Nasdaq's march toward 20,000. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

At Any Rate
US Rates Strategy: Core CPI inflation holds above 3%, but where is the love for TIPS?

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 16, 2024 8:00


US Rates Strategist Phoebe White discusses her takeaways from the October CPI report, as well as the path ahead for US rates and inflation markets. October CPI showed broad-based strength, outside of some idiosyncratic weakness in core goods prices, and points to some stickiness in core services inflation, even before considering upside risks stemming from policy uncertainty. With Treasury valuations cheap and the Fed maintaining an easing bias, there is likely limited room for yields to rise further. TIPS breakevens are likely to outperform their historical beta to nominal yields in a rally. Speaker: Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy This podcast was recorded on 15 November 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4845562-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Cheques & Balances
CPI & Inflation Data Update: What's Next For New Zealand? Ft. Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr | Episode 229

Cheques & Balances

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2024 32:51


We're joined once again by Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr to discuss the latest CPI and inflation data, offering insights into how these shifts are shaping New Zealand's economic future. This episode is proudly sponsored by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Partners Life⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. For more money tips follow us on: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TikTok⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ The content in this podcast is the opinion of the hosts. It should not be treated as financial advice. It is important to take into consideration your own personal situation and goals before making any financial decisions.

Key Wealth Matters
Market Minutes Recap - Market Update (Perspectives on CPI inflation data, the stock market, and next week's FOMC meeting)

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2024 16:59


In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the CPI inflation data, the stock market, and next week's FOMC meeting.Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 01:54 – The Bureau of Labor and Statistics overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) reported inflation at 0.2% for month-over-month in August. Likewise, the CPI reported core inflation at 0.3% 03:06 – The stock market has had a substantial week, and the S&P 500 has rebounded to be within 50 points of nearing an all-time-high  05:31 – Comments on ‘Big Tech' recovering this week in the market as we saw some pull back in prior weeks, leaving utilities to take the lead as the top performer07:50 – As Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, and initial unemployment claims data were released this week, this seems to be an ideal setup for the anticipated rate cut at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetingAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: When the Fed Cuts Rates, Should Investors Cut Their Exposure to Stocks | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

Broken Pie Chart
Fastest Correction Ever? | VIX Index Collapse Post Spike| Will Fed Push Back on 50 bps Interest Rate Cut? | Latest CPI Inflation Analysis and Soft, Hard, or No Landing?

Broken Pie Chart

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2024 49:52


Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli are back to discuss the surge and record collapse back below 17.6 in the VIX Index. Plus, Reviewing the difference between the VIX Index (not tradable) and VIX Futures relative spike levels. Then, they go into the latest CPI numbers including CPI Supercore to see what is sticky and what is negative. Finally, they discuss whether Chairman Jerome Powel is going to disappoint markets with only a 25-bps cut when everyone seems to want more. All that and more including the yield curve inversion, mentions of job cuts vs AI on earnings calls in Q2, expectations for a soft, hard, or no landing and what the heck that even means.   VIX only takes 7 days to go back below 17.6 after spiking above 35 Comparing previous VIX Index surges and length to come back down Difference between hard , soft, and no landings Fed prepares for Jackson Hole meetings and sure to signal its interest rate intentions Will Powell and the Fed disappoint markets? Chance that Powel pushes back to not be bullied into rate cuts Mentions of AI on corporate earnings calls vs mentions of job cuts and employment Inverted yield curve and what the 2-year bond is predicting for rates in the future Fed balance sheet below the radar Will Fed stop letting treasury bonds and mortgage backed bonds run off the balance sheet? Comparing current and past VIX spikes against the relative spike level of the VIX futures     Mentioned in this Episode   Panic Overdone? | VIX 3rd Highest Spike Ever | How the Strategies Held Up | Short Volatility Trades https://open.spotify.com/episode/2mF1zkDaqWZLRhumfs0VJh?si=j5sn9DZpS3mmyM3Y5VM_1A   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com  

NewsTalk STL
Ryan Young on latest CPI, inflation & current economic conditions

NewsTalk STL

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2024 8:49


Mike Ferguson in the Morning 08-15-24 Ryan Young, senior economist at the Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI), talks about the latest CPI (Consumer Price Index) report, inflation, and current economic conditions. Ryan's story here: https://cei.org/news_releases/good-and-bad-news-for-july-cpi-numbers-cei-analysis/ More columns from Ryan here: (https://cei.org/experts/ryan-young/) (@RegoftheDay) (https://cei.org)   NewsTalkSTL website: https://newstalkstl.com/ Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/NewsTalkSTL Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/NewstalkSTL Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/NewsTalkSTL Livestream 24/7: http://bit.ly/newstalkstlstreamSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Key Wealth Matters
Market Minutes Recap - Market Update (Perspectives on Employment Situation, unemployment claims, CPI inflation, potential Fed rate cuts, and second quarter earnings)

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 12, 2024 19:35


In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the Employment Situation, unemployment claims, CPI inflation, potential Fed rate cuts, and second quarter earnings.Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 01:29 – The Employment Situation for the month of June reported new nonfarm payrolls rose by 206,000 02:15 – For the week ending July 6, initial unemployment claims were reported at 222,00003:05 – The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a decline in overall year-over-year inflation from 3.3% in May to 3.0% in June 06:16 – Based on the CPI report, as well as the Employment Situation Summary, there is a high probability there will be a September rate cut; and possibly a second one in December10:29 – While the stock market has had a tremendous year, so far -- due to Artificial Intelligence corporations driving the markets -- we can expect a similar pattern heading into the second half, although we also expect volatility14:31 – Final comments about continuing to stay diversified and investing in quality portfoliosAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: Should Investors Dump their Stocks After a Disappointing Debate? | Key Private Bank Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

The Gray Report Podcast
CPI inflation down, but Fed does NOT cut rates (yet).

The Gray Report Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2024 50:14


On the same day that the CPI showed yearly inflation ticking down to 3.3%, with zero price growth last month, the Federal Reserve released its updated economic projections along with commentary that raised the possibility of an interest rate cut this year, but there was little definitive indication on when that might take place. While CRE markets are showing more signs of adjustment to "higher for longer" rates, the improved inflation numbers and potential for lower rates are meaningful developments for the CRE lending market that is continuing to feel pressure from the persistent high-rate environment. Sources discussed in this episode: Apartment List: “What will the pullback in multifamily construction permitting mean for the rental market?” - https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/what-will-the-pullback-in-multifamily-construction-mean-for-the-rental-market Cushman & Wakefield: “U.S. Macro Outlook: An Uncomfortable Soft Landing” - https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/united-states/insights/us-macro-outlook Marcus & Millichap: “Perceptions of the CRE Investment Market” - https://www.marcusmillichap.com/research/videos/2024/06/perceptions-of-the-cre-investment-market Fannie Mae: “Homebuying Sentiment Hits New Survey Low” - https://www.fanniemae.com/research-and-insights/surveys-indices/national-housing-survey For the latest multifamily news from across the internet, visit the Gray Report website: ⁠https://www.grayreport.com/⁠ Sign up for our free multifamily newsletter here: ⁠https://www.graycapitalllc.com/newsletter⁠ DISCLAIMERS: This video does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This video is not an offer to invest. Any offering would be made through a private placement memorandum and would be limited to accredited investors.

Key Wealth Matters
Market Minutes Recap - Market Update (Perspectives on unemployment claims, CPI inflation, the FOMC meeting, and the equities market)

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 14, 2024 20:03


In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into unemployment claims, CPI inflation, the FOMC meeting, and the equities market.Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyCynthia Honcharenko, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio ManagementGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 01:27 – June initial unemployment claims came in at 242,000. This was an increase of about 13,000 from the week prior04:01 – A recap of this week's FOMC meeting discussing:What the Fed saidWhat are the Fed's projectionsWhat does it mean for future rate cuts07:46 – Based on the FOMC meeting, though inflation seems to be decreasing the Fed did not appear confident in the data to adjusting their initial projections11:27 – Since NVIDIA's earning report release, many of the Magnificent Seven are continuing to dominate the market week after week14:06 – Recognizing the importance of staying diversifiedAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: What Happens If the Fed Doesn't Cut Rates This Year? | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
6-10-24 Rising Unemployment Rate -A Possible Recession Indicator

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2024 45:54


Employment Report Headlines are stronger than the underlying data shows; economic activity is slowing, but markets remain upbeat. Markets have been quiet; complacency can lead to unexpected things. Markets tested 20-DMA and rallied; will re-test that level today...again. FOMC Meeting this week + CPI Inflation data could trigger a change: Markets' performance has been predicated on Fed rate cuts. How we get the employment numbers: Data vs surveys. The gap between households and BLS is growing; something is wrong with the adjustments. Why $20/hr minimum wage isn't working. Look at wages vs total compensation. Employment numbers are likely to be revised downward. Analysts' estimates are unrealistic in the face of economic data. Commodities in Boom-Bust cycles; supply/demand imbalances. Looking at Copper; the Hunt Brother's silver gambit fail. What will happen in the markets when buy back blackout period begins. SEG-1: Employment Report Review; Markets to Retest 20-DMA SEG-2: Headline Employment Numbers Belie Economic Weakness SEG-3: Analysts' Estimates Exceed Economic Reality SEG-4: Commodities in the Boom-Bust Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Maximize Your Severance Package" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #UnemploymentRate #TwelveMonthAverage #Recession #Trending #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarket #EconomicTrends #Workforce #JobMarket #EmploymentStatistics #EconomicAnalysis #Economy #RecessionIndicators #UnemploymentTrends, #LaborForce #EconomicOutlook #JoblessRate #FinancialAnalysis #Macroeconomics #EconomicConditions #DownturnRisks #EmploymentData #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
6-10-24 Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2024 3:56


Futures are pointing lower this morning, which is no surprise. After a multi-weeks' long run in the markets, investors today will likely re-test the 20-DMA in a repeat performance of market activity we saw back in November thru February. The current environment could run from July through August, migrating higher without any catalyst. This week's FOMC Meeting and CPI Inflation data could turn markets sharply lower, because the market is predicated on the Fed cutting rates. We're expecting the Fed to maintain the status quo of staying on track to cut rates later in the year, and a reversal of Quantitative Tightening. We're urging a continuation of risk management in your portfolios. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
6-10-24 Rising Unemployment Rate: A Possible Recession Indicator?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2024 45:55


Employment Report Headlines are stronger than the underlying data shows; economic activity is slowing, but markets remain upbeat. Markets have been quiet; complacency can lead to unexpected things. Markets tested 20-DMA and rallied; will re-test that level today...again. FOMC Meeting this week + CPI Inflation data could trigger a change: Markets' performance has been predicated on Fed rate cuts. How we get the employment numbers: Data vs surveys. The gap between households and BLS is growing; something is wrong with the adjustments. Why $20/hr minimum wage isn't working. Look at wages vs total compensation. Employment numbers are likely to be revised downward. Analysts' estimates are unrealistic in the face of economic data. Commodities in Boom-Bust cycles; supply/demand imbalances. Looking at Copper; the Hunt Brother's silver gambit fail. What will happen in the markets when buy back blackout period begins. SEG-1: Employment Report Review; Markets to Retest 20-DMA SEG-2: Headline Employment Numbers Belie Economic Weakness SEG-3: Analysts' Estimates Exceed Economic Reality SEG-4: Commodities in the Boom-Bust Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Maximize Your Severance Package" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #UnemploymentRate #TwelveMonthAverage #Recession #Trending #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarket #EconomicTrends #Workforce #JobMarket #EmploymentStatistics #EconomicAnalysis #Economy #RecessionIndicators #UnemploymentTrends, #LaborForce #EconomicOutlook #JoblessRate #FinancialAnalysis #Macroeconomics #EconomicConditions #DownturnRisks #EmploymentData #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing

The Gray Report Podcast
CPI inflation is down. Are interest rates next?

The Gray Report Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2024 67:39


Consumer price index numbers show inflation down from 3.5% to 3.4% year-over-year in April, with monthly inflation numbers falling from 0.4% to 0.3%. It may be a bumpy road to the Federal Reserve's inflation target, but given the moderation in the job market along with these latest numbers from the CPI, speculation that the Fed will lower interest rates in September may have some validity, but in the meantime, elevated interest rates will put pressure on multifamily borrowers as the issue of loan maturities persists as a background factor that continues to shape the motivations of apartment buyers and sellers. Sources discussed in this episode: Bureau of Labor Statistics: “Consumer Price Index, April 2024” - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t02.htm Indianapolis Business Journal: “Timeline firming up for converting Gold Building to apartments as construction costs climb” CBRE: “Some Distress Will Emerge Amid Wall of Loan Maturities” - https://www.cbre.com/insights/briefs/some-distress-will-emerge-amid-wall-of-loan-maturities Moody's Analytics: “Q1 2024: Top/Bottom Performing Multifamily Markets” - https://cre.moodysanalytics.com/insights/cre-news/q1-2024-top-bottom-performing-multifamily-markets/ Yardi Matrix: “Research Bulletin: Rent Growth Continues in Many Secondary Markets” - https://www.yardimatrix.com/publications/download/file/5619-MatrixBulletin-MultifamilyForecast-May2024 For the latest multifamily news from across the internet, visit the Gray Report website: ⁠https://www.grayreport.com/⁠ Sign up for our free multifamily newsletter here: ⁠https://www.graycapitalllc.com/newsletter⁠ DISCLAIMERS: This video does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This video is not an offer to invest. Any offering would be made through a private placement memorandum and would be limited to accredited investors.

Real Estate Market Minute
April CPI Inflation Number Indicates Rate Cuts May Come Sooner and More Rapidly Then Originally Thought

Real Estate Market Minute

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2024 7:02


The latest CPI inflation reading shows inflation continuing to cool off. However, there is one aspect of the report that continues to lag and it's directly related to the real estate market. I dig into the latest CPI reading and cover what it most likely means for interest rates going forward and the housing market overall.

Steve Cochran on The Big 89
April's CPI Inflation Rate Dips: Signs of Economic Cooling?

Steve Cochran on The Big 89

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2024 8:36


David Hochberg from Team Hochberg at Homeside Financial joins the Steve Cochran Show to delve into the recent decrease in April's CPI inflation rate, tips on removing PMI, and he shares his predictions on how the Bears will fare in the upcoming season.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Daily Stock Market News

Here's what is happening in the markets today, Wednesday May 15th - Nasdaq Makes New Record High - Today's Focus: April's CPI  - Also: Powell Is Speaking Today - Boot Barn (BOOT) Drops After Earnings - GameStop (GME) and AMC (AMC) Rally Fizzles - AI Wars: Google (GOOG) Announces New Language Model PLUS: How we trade these markets and our current positions This wraps up today's stock market news. If you enjoyed the "Stock Market Today" episode, make sure to subscribe to this podcast.  And for more stock market news,  visit our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/rockwelltrading2008 #todaysstockmarket #stockmarkettoday #stockmarket

Coin Stories
News Block: Bitcoin Price Crashes Amid Fears of War, Gold vs. Bitcoin, Hong Kong Approves Spot BTC ETFs, CPI Inflation Remains Hot, UFC Fighter Asks to Be Paid in Bitcoin

Coin Stories

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 16, 2024 10:15


In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered by Bitdeer (NASDAQ: BTDR), we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin and global finance: Bitcoin Price Dips Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Fears of War Gold vs Bitcoin Hong Kong Approves Spot Bitcoin ETFs March CPI Inflation Comes in Hot Fast Food Price Increases Outpacing Inflation  UFC Fighter Asks to be Paid in Bitcoin  ---- The News Block is powered exclusively by Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ: BTDR), a publicly-traded leader in Bitcoin mining that stands alone as the only vertically-integrated, technology-focused Bitcoin mining company. Learn more at www.bitdeer.com.  ---- References mentioned in the episode:  Andrew Ross Sorkin Tweet on Bitcoin Price Action  Chart Showing Bitcoin's Price After Hamas Attack CFA Institute Article on Bond Performance in WWII Buffett Interview on Not Holding Cash During War Hong Kong to Approve Spot Bitcoin ETFs Bloomberg Senior Analyst Tweet on HK ETFs High Interest Rates Keeping Inflation High NYT Article on Mortgage Rates and Housing Market Chart of Fast Food Prices Outpacing Inflation   Coinbase Bitcoin Pizza Advertisement UFC Fighter Gives Shoutout to Austrian Economics UFC Fighter Says He Wants to be Paid in Bitcoin ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- #money #Bitcoin #investing

Broken Pie Chart
Market Selloff | No Rate Cuts? | Bitcoin vs Gold | CPI Inflation Sticky | VIX Curve

Broken Pie Chart

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 14, 2024 56:08


Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss Friday's selloff. So, was it all the readjustment of Fed rate cut expectations? Is CPI Inflation putting the Fed in a box? Michael Saylor says Bitcoin is better than Gold. The rally in Gold that everyone is sleeping on. CPI Supercore trending higher showing services not goods are the culprit. Later they examine the VIX Futures curve as the front months rise. Finally, they talk about the continued bear market due to higher rates on 10-to-30-year US Treasuries from the March 2020 all-time highs against the stock market and high yield.    Michael Saylor Bitcoin vs Gold Market selloff reasons High Yield bonds vs equities CPI Supercore trending higher lately. CPI Core vs CPI year over year VIX futures curve and explaining difficulty in picking how to play expected rise in volatility US 30-Year Treasuries made all-time high in March of 2020 but down -44% since What would it take for bond holders to get to break even? Stealth rally in Gold and comparing buying physical gold to gold ETFs GLD and GLDM Comparing inflation outlook between Democrats, Republics, and Independents Earnings season arrives while banks reported but talked NIM net interest margins suffering     Mentioned in this Episode   Podcast: Explaining How and Why Bonds Make or Lose Money https://open.spotify.com/episode/3AUT2DVbHfEQyJglpe70nP?si=wIFug8IfR1-sb_bX03qNHA       Previous Week's Podcast:   Buying At All-time Highs Better? | S&P 500 Returns After Last Hike | Developed International Beats the S&P | How To Tell Whether Options Are Expensive https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/buying-at-all-time-highs-better-s-p-500-returns-after/id1432836154?i=1000651729073   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com    www.zegafinancial.com                                       

Key Wealth Matters
Market Minutes Recap - Market Update (Perspectives on the CPI Inflation report, yields, earnings outlook, and KeyBank's National Call this week)

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 12, 2024 21:40


In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the CPI Inflation report, yields, earnings outlook, and KeyBank's National Call this week.  Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer Rajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeSteve Hoedt, Head of Equities 02:10 – The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Inflation report was released and it showed a visible increase in inflation of 3.5% in March year-over-year from 3.2% in February 06:14 – Comments on the unexpected CPI Inflation report and how it seems to be generating a flatter yield curve as well as it may cause delays in anticipated rate cuts11:29 – Though the market has been seeing inflation and growth running ‘hotter' for longer, the CPI Inflation report may produce some challenges in earnings expectations 14:49 – Recap on KeyBank's National Call earlier this week and what clients may want to know with regard to the economy, the banking sector and commercial real estateAdditional Resources:Key Questions: Who Was Daniel Kahneman and How Did He Change the Way We Think About Investing? | Key Private Bank KeyBank National Call ReplayKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
4-11-24 Is Inflation Too Hot To Handle

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2024 46:45


CPI Inflation clocks in hotter than expected, with more data to come; car insurance inflation is an out-of-the-blue surprise (unless you recently renewed your policy!) What does the Fed do next? Markets are pricing-in NO rate cuts in June...and maybe not at all this year. Markets trace the 20-DMA, building a rounded top as momentum slows; beginning to confirm a take-down of the 20-DMA. Economic growth is slowing; insurance inflation spike "smells like" an adjustment; it's a lagging indicator. Homeowners equivalent rent is also a lagging indicator. It's not a question of if, but when inflation will fall, but prices are still sticky. Inflation still a function of supply & demand, and there's ample supply remaining, pushing prices and rents downward. S&P & Gold: The risk in slowing momentum; we're still in a bull market (until we're not)./ Markets are priced for 5-10% correction. There are no warnings from credit spreads, so far, but corporate loans are starting to show some concerns. What the Leveraged-loan Market is saying: defaults are on the rise. The NFIB Small Business Survey this time was really bad;. There are lots of inconsistencies in economic data. The impact of illegal immigrants on employment; gold is in a bubble. SEG-1: Inflation is Hotter Than Expected SEG-2: Economic Growth is Slowing: Normalistically SEG-3: The Risk in Momentum Loss SEG-4: Is Gold in a Bubble? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ew1SiTbo-Ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TheGoldBubble #MarketsTest20DMA #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
4-11-24 Is Inflation Too Hot to Handle?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2024 46:46


CPI Inflation clocks in hotter than expected, with more data to come; car insurance inflation is an out-of-the-blue surprise (unless you recently renewed your policy!) What does the Fed do next? Markets are pricing-in NO rate cuts in June...and maybe not at all this year. Markets trace the 20-DMA, building a rounded top as momentum slows; beginning to confirm a take-down of the 20-DMA. Economic growth is slowing; insurance inflation spike "smells like" an adjustment; it's a lagging indicator. Homeowners equivalent rent is also a lagging indicator. It's not a question of if, but when inflation will fall, but prices are still sticky. Inflation still a function of supply & demand, and there's ample supply remaining, pushing prices and rents downward. S&P & Gold: The risk in slowing momentum; we're still in a bull market (until we're not)./ Markets are priced for 5-10% correction. There are no warnings from credit spreads, so far, but corporate loans are starting to show some concerns. What the Leveraged-loan Market is saying: defaults are on the rise. The NFIB Small Business Survey this time was really bad;. There are lots of inconsistencies in economic data. The impact of illegal immigrants on employment; gold is in a bubble.   SEG-1: Inflation is Hotter Than Expected SEG-2: Economic Growth is Slowing: Normalistically SEG-3: The Risk in Momentum Loss SEG-4: Is Gold in a Bubble? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ew1SiTbo-Ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TheGoldBubble #MarketsTest20DMA #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

The Café Bitcoin Podcast
Swan Announcement, CPI, Inflation and Treasury Markets with Sam Callahan, Brady Swenson, and Joe Carlasare - April 10th, 2024

The Café Bitcoin Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2024 59:39


We're joined by Sam Callahan, Brady Swenson and more to talk about the huge announcement from Swan, that you can now start buying in minutes, and no fees on your first $10k of Bitcoin! We also talk to Joe Carlasare about his upcoming Bitcoin fiction-thriller, and discuss the latest CPI numbers and inflation data. Use code “CAFE” for a discount to ⁠https://www.pacificbitcoin.com⁠⁠ "Welcome to Bitcoin" A FREE 1-hour course hosted by Natalie Brunell, perfect for helping you to orange-pill family members over the holidays at https://Swan.com/welcome ⁠⁠ Swan Team Members:Sam Callahan: https://twitter.com/samcallahTomer Strolight: https://twitter.com/TomerStrolightJohn Haar Twitter: ⁠https://twitter.com/john_at_swanDante Cook: https://twitter.com/Dante_Cook1Produced by: https://twitter.com/Producer_Jacob “From Timechain to Cantillionares Game, you can find Tip_NZ creations at Geyser Fund:” ⁠https://geyser.fund/project/tip⁠ Swan Bitcoin is the best way to accumulate Bitcoin with automatic recurring buys and instant buys from $10 to $10 million. Get started in just 5 minutes. Your first $10 purchase is on us: https://swanbitcoin.com/yt  Download the all new Swan app! iOS: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/swan-bitcoin/id1576287352 Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.swanbitcoin.android&pli=1  Are you a high net worth individual or do you represent corporation that might be interested in learning more about Bitcoin? Swan Private guides corporations and high net worth individuals toward building generational wealth with Bitcoin. Find out more at https://swan.com/private Check out the best place for Bitcoin education, Swan Bitcoin's “Bitcoin Canon”. Compiling all of the greatst articles, news sources, videos and more from your favorite bitcoiners! https://www.swan.com/canon/  Get paid to recruit new Bitcoiners: https://swan.com/enlistHello and welcome to The Café Bitcoin Podcast brought to you by Swan Bitcoin, the best way to buy and learn about Bitcoin. We're excited to announce we are bringing the The Café Bitcoin conversation from Twitter Spaces to you on this show, The Café Bitcoin Podcast, Monday - Friday every week. Join us as we speak to guest like Max Keiser, Lyn Alden, Tomer Strolight, Cory Klippsten and many others from the bitcoin space. Also, be sure to hit that subscribe button to make sure you get the notifications when we launch an episode. Join us Monday - Friday 7pst/10est every Morning and become apart of the conversation! Thank you again and we look forward to giving you the best bitcoin content daily here on The Café Bitcoin Podcast. Swan Bitcoin is the best way to accumulate Bitcoin with automatic recurring buys and instant buys from $10 to $10 million. Get started in just 5 minutes. Your first $10 purchase is on us: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://swan.com⁠⁠/yt⁠⁠⁠ Connect with Swan on social media:Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/Swan⁠

Arizona's Morning News
CPI inflation

Arizona's Morning News

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2024 6:54


New inflation report out today and could push back Fed plans to reduce rates

Stock Market Today With IBD
Stocks Await CPI Inflation Report; Nvidia, Royal Caribbean, Nutanix In Focus

Stock Market Today With IBD

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2024 16:14


The major indexes didn't make big moves Tuesday ahead of Wednesday's CPI inflation report. Nvidia stock slumped Tuesday, undercutting recent lows but finding 10-week line support. Royal Caribbean fell below a recent buy point. But Nutanix is holding up, close to forging a new base.

Key Wealth Matters
Market Minutes Recap - Market Update (Perspectives on the Retail Sales report, CPI inflation, rate cuts, the equities market, and the one-year anniversary of 2023 banking sector disruption)

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 15, 2024 21:15


In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the Retail Sales report, CPI inflation, rate cuts, the equities market, and the one-year anniversary of 2023 banking sector disruption. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer Rajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeSteve Hoedt, Head of Equities Ester Lau, Senior Credit Analyst01:38 – According to the Census Bureau, Retail Sales increased 0.6% for the month of February, however January's figures were revised downward from -0.8% to -1.1%02:33 – The Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report showed an increase of 0.4% for the month-over-month in February and 3.8% year-over year in February 06:55 – While the CPI data were hotter than expectations, the big question we can assume the Fed is facing is does the CPI data alter any decisions for 2024 rate cuts?09:59 – Remarks about the CPI data's effect on the equity market; much of the market seems to be in a “sweet” spot13:57 – A look back to a year ago as March marks the one-year anniversary since the collapse of a few notable banks in 2023 Additional Resources:Key Questions: Is the Tax Preference for my 401(k) Safe? | Key Private Bank Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar
3/13/24: Robert Hur Explosive Biden Hearing, UAE Threatens Israel Over Gaza Aid, State Dep Spox Confronted On IDF Abuse Of Medics, CPI Inflation Rise, Kenya Halts Troops To Haiti, Putin Floats Ukraine Negotiations, Leaked Report Says Ukraine Victory Impos

Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 13, 2024 86:21 Transcription Available


Ryan and Emily discuss Robert Hur's explosive Congressional testimony, UAE threatens to cut off Israel economic support over lack of Gaza aid, State Dep Spox confronted on IDF beatings of Gaza medics, CPI report shows inflation rise, Kenya halts troops to Haiti amid gang uprising, Putin says Russia ready to negotiate, leaked French military docs say Ukraine victory is impossible, and Andrew Tate arrested after streamer Adin Ross revealed his escape plans from Romania.   To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: https://breakingpoints.supercast.com/   Merch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Daily Stock Market News

Here's what is happening in the markets today, Tuesday, March 12th - Stocks finished lower yesterday - Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Tesla stocks retreat. - Jamie Dimon warns of "a little bit of a bubble". - Today: CPI Inflation data - Oracle shares surge post-earnings. PLUS: How we trade these markets and our current positions This wraps up today's stock market news. If you enjoyed the "Stock Market Today" episode, make sure to subscribe to this podcast.  And for more stock market news,  visit our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/rockwelltrading2008 #todaysstockmarket #stockmarkettoday #stockmarket

Broken Pie Chart
Worst Market Timing Ever? | Options Cost of Carry | Option Put Call Parity | Unemployment Bad News Is Bad News?

Broken Pie Chart

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 11, 2024 67:09


Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss how the magnificent 7 stocks aren't all going up this year. Plus, reviewing what the worst time to buy stocks was and how investors would have done even if they had. Later, they explain why the last 10-15 years before retirement need growth but hedging. How Japan's central bank might take interest rates from negative to positive, shipping container rates, inflation, Nvidia probabilities and the 15th anniversary of CNBC's “Mark Haines Bottom” 3/10/2009.   What is the cost of carry for options What is put call parity Option market probabilities What if you bought stocks at the worst time twice? Drawdowns since March of 2000 and October of 2007 15 years since the Mark Haines bottom on CNBC 2009 Comparing stock market drawdowns 2000-2002, 2007-2009, 2018, 2022 Time in the market not timing the market Japan interest rate probabilities What may happen if and when Japan raises interest rates? Japan's currency with a rise in interest rates and implications for US Dollar and Treasuries Magnificent 7 stocks Tesla, Apple, and Google to name a few are down for the year Nvidia and Eli Lilly keeping the S&P 500 Index up Shipping container rates ease but still high, will we see that filter through CPI Inflation data? Explaining the unemployment report   Mentioned in this Episode 15 year anniversary of the Mark Haines Bottom March 10th 2009 https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1766138788881826035   Previous Week's Podcast:   Why VIX Is Hard to Trade | SuperCore PCE High Again?| High Yield Bond Spreads | The Fed Is Not Cutting? | Semiconductors Surging (Again)  https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why-vix-is-hard-to-trade-supercore-pce-high-again-high/id1432836154?i=1000647836923   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com   www.zegafinancial.com  

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

The Inside Economics team is joined by CPI guru and colleague Matt Colyar to discuss the bevy of inflation-related data released this week. First the team dissects the Federal Reserve's CCAR stress test scenarios and laments the perpetually inconvenient timing of their release. Talk turns to the root causes for the inflation of the past few years and why shelter inflation is so stubborn. The team imagines themselves on the FOMC for a day and what they would do with interest rates going forward. Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight.

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News
2.13.24 Accepting the Fed; Lender Toolkit's Madison Kelly and AMS' Andrew Hicks on AI Underwriting; CPI Inflation

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 13, 2024 19:20 Transcription Available


Make 2024 your most profitable year yet! With Lender Toolkit's AI-powered AI Underwriter and Prism borrower income automation tools, you'll be able to get loans approved in under two minutes. By providing lightening-fast underwriting decisions, your market reputation with borrowers and Realtors will soar—which means more repeat and referral business. Notes Mark Workens, CEO of Mortgage 1 Inc.: “Lender Toolkit's Maas™ Platform solutions have fundamentally transformed how we do business Our profitability has skyrocketed, and our employees have never been happier.” 

The Hairdresser Strong Show
HS NEWS: New Contractor Rule! + CPI, Inflation, Unemployment Reports + ChatGPT vs NY TImes Lawsuit

The Hairdresser Strong Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 11, 2024 15:10


New Contractor Rules?!Inflation and Unemployment Reports Released TodayAI Lawsuits! OpenAI vs NY Times!Check out this week's news updates, build Strong Business, and serve your customers better!We are all impacted by the economy and tech advancements. Your clients are too!+Being informed is an integral part of the success of any community or business. +You now have extra things to talk to your customers about!Sources:https://www.reuters.com/world/us/biden-admin-announce-independent-contractor-rule-that-could-upend-gig-economy-2024-01-08/https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-consumer-prices-rise-more-than-expected-december-weekly-jobless-claims-fall-2024-01-11/https://apnews.com/article/openai-new-york-times-chatgpt-lawsuit-grisham-nyt-69f78c404ace42c0070fdfb9dd4caeb7Coming up in the hair industry and visiting London for classes, I noticed that hairdressers were held in higher esteem there than they were in the USA...I want that for us!One of our missions is to raise the esteem and perceived importance & value of hairdressers across the USA. HS NEWS is part of that effort. We believe to achieve this goal, we must raise the bar of professionalism, service, and sophistication of hairdressers. We hope you enjoy the news and look forward to your comments!Is this useful?Is this interesting?Are there any other topics you pay attention to that you believe help you run your business or serve your customers?DISCLAIMER: Robert holds a B.A. in Business Administration with a Minor in Finance. Robert curates the news, explaining his understanding. We suggest that you use this information to talk with your financial advisor, business advisor, and/or CPA. Legal counsel may be required for some of your decisions as well. If you want business advice from Hairdresser Strong, you can hire us as a consultant/advisor, but we are not financial advisors, lawyers, or accountants.THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. THIS IS FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. IF YOU NEED LEGAL, TAX, OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, SEE A LAWYER, CPA, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR, RESPECTIVELY#hair #hairnews #hairpreneur #beautypreneur #hairdresserstrong #hairdresser #strong #entrepreneur

Hammer + Nigel Show Podcast
CPI Inflation Report Shows Another Increase

Hammer + Nigel Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2023 3:39


U.S. November CPI rises 0.1% in November, above forecast. Core CPI rose 0.3%, in line with expectations.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Tara Show
Record High Inflation as of October 2023

The Tara Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 25, 2023 1:00


The Tara Show
The Financial Rape of America

The Tara Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2023 1:00