Podcasts about rising powers

In this episode of Soar Financially, Kai Hoffmann speaks with Colonel Douglas MacGregor, a renowned geopolitical expert. They discuss the rising tensions between Israel and Iran, the ongoing war in Ukraine, and the shifting balance of global power. MacGregor shares his insights on why the U.S. is closer to disaster than many realize, how NATO is weakening, and why a major regional conflict could erupt by March.They also explore China's strategic position, Russia's growing influence, and whether the U.S. is prepared for the challenges ahead. Is NATO on the path to extinction? Will the Middle East crisis spiral into a WW3? And what does this all mean for global stability in 2025?#israel #ukraine #iran-----------Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver------------

Like this show? I greatly appreciate your support: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://buymeacoffee.com/josephcotto⁠⁠⁠⁠. Every penny helps. Thanks! This episode was livestreamed on October 30, 2024.

Japan set out to phase out the use of nuclear power plants after the country's worst nuclear accident at the tsunami-crippled Fukushima No. 1 plant in March 2011, when the now-defunct Democratic Party of Japan was in power.

My conversation today is with Will Shrank, MD. Dr. Shrank led the evaluation group at CMMI (Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation). He has spent time in the private sector, first at CVS Health and UPMC (University of Pittsburgh Medical Center) as chief medical officer of the health plan in Pittsburgh, and then as the chief medical officer for Humana. Now he is a venture partner at Andreessen Horowitz and doing some consulting for CMMI. To read the full article and show notes which include mentioned links, visit the episode page.  If you enjoy this podcast, be sure to subscribe to the free weekly newsletter to be a member of the Relentless Tribe. We start out this conversation talking about waste in healthcare. In fact, Dr. Shrank was on a team who did a study about waste in the US healthcare system. (The article is, unfortunately, paywalled.) In that study, it says estimates suggest we have upwards of a trillion dollars of waste a year. This waste can be categorized into administrative and clinical failures. Dr. Shrank emphasizes the need for aligning incentives with higher quality care, paying for patient outcomes, and highlights the potential rising power of PCPs. The discussion covers the progress made towards value-based care, the challenges faced by the current fee-for-service model, and the future landscape of primary care and healthcare delivery. In sum, we have a waste problem in this country. Aligning incentives might be one way to curb that waste. 06:54 Can we cut healthcare waste while improving patient care? 07:33 What does “healthcare waste” consist of? 07:46 What are the six categories of “healthcare waste”? 10:23 EP363 with David Scheinker, PhD. 10:37 How much money does Dr. Shrank estimate is wasted each year in healthcare? 13:09 Where is that healthcare waste going, and why does it happen? 20:07 Uncaring by Robert Pearl, MD. 21:18 “We've built a backbone of extraordinary waste on a fee-for-service chassis.” 22:16 EP409 with Larry Bauer, MSW, MEd. 24:24 EP359 with Dan O'Neill. 26:02 Dr. Shrank's warning to providers out there. 30:03 Summer Shorts 2 with Scott Conard, MD. 31:41 Why there might be a generational shift among younger providers looking to work with different models.

The National Security Hour with LTC Sargis Sangari USA (Ret.) – Join Jim Pfaff, President of The Conservative Caucus, and me as we explore the 16 reasons for a change in the U.S. Administration in the 2024 Presidential election. We discuss key Democrats urging Biden to step down, economic shortfalls, and potential market failure, providing critical insights into the current political landscape and future implications.

The National Security Hour with LTC Sargis Sangari USA (Ret.) – Join Jim Pfaff, President of The Conservative Caucus, and me as we explore the 16 reasons for a change in the U.S. Administration in the 2024 Presidential election. We discuss key Democrats urging Biden to step down, economic shortfalls, and potential market failure, providing critical insights into the current political landscape and future implications.

The liberal international order, characterized by rules-based multilateralism and values such as openness and representation, is often portrayed in terms of multiple crises. These crises, often analyzed from a Western perspective, include the reduced support of some Western powers towards certain multilateral institutions and the establishment of new ones by rising powers. However, these narratives often overlook the perspectives of low and middle-income countries, which is why in this episode, we shift our focus to understand how the Global South perceives and engages with this international order.Rohan Mukherjee is an assistant professor at the Department of International Relations, at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). His latest book is  Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions. @rohan_mukhKey highlightsIntroduction – 00:24Global governance viewed from the Global South – 02:54Crisis of authority and new bargains – 09:57Rising powers and the politics of status – 16:05The quest for status and symbolic equality within the international system – 24:14Institutional openness and procedural fairness – 35:06Admitting rising powers into the great power club – 46:37 HostProfessor Dan Banik (@danbanik @GlobalDevPod)Apple Spotify YouTube Subscribe:https://in-pursuit-of-development.simplecast.comhttps://globaldevpod.substack.com/

Discover the hidden strategies in the geopolitical landscape as we uncover the dirty game of the USA before Modi's crucial visit to Russia. In this video, Pathikrit Payne explores India's rising power and its implications on global politics. Gain insights into the maneuvers and alliances shaping international relations, and understand the significance of India's position on the world stage.

As the demand for power intensifies, the need for robust and safe electrical distribution systems in mission critical environments is paramount. Join us for an insightful podcast hosted by Starline, the leader in innovative electrical power solutions, as we delve into the critical strategies and technologies essential for enhancing the safety of electrical distribution in the face of rising power densities in data centers. In this podcast, John Berenbrok, Director of Product Management at Starline, will address the challenges posed by the increasing concentration of electrical power in mission critical environments. We will explore the latest advancements in electrical distribution that ensure not only operational efficiency but also the highest standards of safety. Key discussion points will include: Understanding Power Densities Best Practices in Electrical Distribution Enhanced Safety Solutions This webcast is ideal for data center managers, electrical engineers, and anyone involved in the design, implementation, and maintenance of mission critical electrical distribution systems.

The artificial intelligence boom is unexpectedly benefiting the utilities sector, driving up power demand and stock prices. The S&P 500 Utility Index has rallied over 10% this year, making it one of the top-performing sectors. Companies like Vistra and Constellation Energy have seen significant gains, with valuations remaining attractive as earnings keep pace. However, power capacity concerns and the need for infrastructure investment could impact the sector's growth. If addressed, utilities are expected to continue their strong performance, potentially boosted by declining interest rates. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/tonyphoang/message

The Biden administration maintains that China is the only country with both the intent to reshape the international order and the power to do so. One part of China's economic statecraft toolkit involves state-directed investments through high profile projects in the Belt and Road Initiative which are funded by loans through Chinese development banks. But the role and impact of Chinese companies that provide equity funding for FDI often receive less attention. Does Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) have illiberal effects on recipient countries. And is this goal part of China's economic statecraft and foreign policy strategy.To address these questions and more, host Bonnie Glaser is joined by Dr. Jan Knoerich. He is the author on a chapter of Chinese FDI on the recent Oxford publication “Rising Power, Limited Influence”, a collection of essays on the effects of Chinese investment in Europe. Dr. Knoerich is a senior lecturer on the Chinese economy for the Lau China Institute at King's College in London. He is an expert on the Chinese economy, FDI, and international investment law and policy.  Timestamps[01:38] Evolution of Chinese Foreign Investment Strategies[04:48] Chinese Firms Undertaking Foreign Direct Investment[09:16] Impacts of Chinese FDI: Five Dimensions [18:17] Reasons Why Chinese Firms are Viewed with Suspicion[21:06] Impacts of Chinese FDI Projects in Europe[24:59] Evidence of Chinese FDI Exerting Political Influence

Fragmentation in the international relations discipline; normal science versus overarching theory; insights from the International Studies Association annual conference; the best name for a political science department; the US-Japan state visit; state dinners as a signal of alliance ties; insulating the US-Japan relationship from a future Trump administration; Japan's increasing role in defense cooperation; and Marcus prefers running uphillPlease subscribe and leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your podcast player of choicePlease send us your questions! Send us an email or leave us a voicemailJeff's book, Signing Away the Bomb, is now available in paperback!Further Reading:Michael D. Shear. 2024. “To Counter China's Rising Power, Biden Looks to Strengthen Ties With Japan.” New York Times.Cheap Talk recommends:Otter.ai (AI meeting notes)Perplexity.ai (AI-powered information discovery)See all Cheap Talk episodes

Alphabet surging to an all-time high as the tech titan unveils a new AI chip. What it means for the Cloud space, and how it stands up to the competition. Plus… why your power bill doesn't care about the Fed's inflation fight. The rise in energy costs and how consumers are paying up no matter which way rates go.

What will it take to meet the nation's rising power demand? NARUC President and North Dakota Public Service Commissioner Julie Fedorchak joins EPSA President and CEO Todd Snitchler for this episode, where she shares the initiatives that she has taken to solve the challenges facing a system being asked to perform in ways it has never had to before. Fedorchak unpacks her concerns for power grid reliability amidst a changing resource mix, and why the Peace Garden State continues to prioritize dispatchable generation. Liked this episode? Share it on X @EPSANews or LinkedIn at Electric Power Supply Association. Want more competitive power updates? Sign up for our monthly Power Moves newsletter.

Julian Cribb discusses the changing landscape of power dynamics, emphasizing the decline in influence of nation states and the rise of global corporations. He critiques the deteriorating quality of politicians and the self-interest driven motives of governments. Furthermore, he accentuates the pivotal role consumers play, explaining how individual choices can shape corporate behavior, which in turn influences government policies. He also touches upon the growing accessibility of information, enabling people globally to make better-informed decisions, leading to a safer, healthier environment. #ConsumerPower #GlobalShift #InformedChoices

In this episode I spoke with Artem Adrianov, researcher on Arab affairs, consultant to business on the region, as well as expert at the Institute for International Studies at MGIMO University and project manager at the Primakov Center for International Cooperation. Artem was the host of the hit Russian-language podcast “The Oriental Express” for the Primakov Center, is the author of the telegram channel “All is well in Dubai”, has authored articles for Forbes, Vedomosti and other top media outlets. He is also regularly featured in both Russian and international media.Artem and I focused on the rising power of Gulf countries in Africa, what they are doing right and wrong, how their strategies enhance African development needs and why they are able to position themselves as key mediators for conflicts on the continent. Timecodes:4:09 Why the Gulf countries are interested in Africa today, their strategic goals10:38 Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries' best practices in the region 18:12 The geographic and influence breakdown amongst GCC countries in Africa.  21:21 The “friendly regime” dilemma in providing support to African countries 24:52 How big is the African security issue for Gulf states?26:55 Qatar's credibility as a mediator in conflict in Africa and beyond 29:56 Artem's vision for how Africa-Gulf relations will evolve over the short to medium term future

Ilen Madhavji sits down with the 2023 winner of the HJD Book Award, Dr. Rohan Mukherjee, to discuss how rising powers seek status from the established international order, to reserve their seat at the table of power. Inspired by Dr. Mukherjee's award-winning book 'Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions", they explore how countries like China and India have been motivated by ascending the global order, benefitting from it, and not necessarily the desire to dismantle it. After listening, if you're left with more questions than answers, or just want to say hello, please reach out to us at podcasthjd@gmail.com. We would love to hear from you! This is a podcast created by The Hague Journal of Diplomacy: www.haguejournalofdiplomacy.org

Our good friends at WealthResearchGroup.com have kindly put together a report, an exclusive one, detailing exactly why, what and when when it comes to the DEBASEMENT of the U.S. dollar. Download it for free at

In this episode, we discuss the security of deep-sea internet cables with Dr. Bruce Jones. Bruce Jones is a senior fellow with the Strobe Talbott Center for Security, Strategy, and Technology in the Foreign Policy program at the Brookings Institution; he also works with the Center for East Asia Policy Studies, and is a consulting professor at the Freeman Spogli Institute at Stanford University. His current research focus is on U.S. strategy, international order, and great power relations. His most recent books on the topic are “To Rule the Waves: How Control of the World's Oceans Shapes the Fate of the Superpowers” (Scribner, 2021); “The Marshall Plan and the Shaping of American Strategy,” (Brookings Institution Press, 2017); and “Still Ours to Lead: America, Rising Powers, and the Tension between Rivalry and Restraint” (Brookings Institution Press, 2014). Dr Jones has extensive experience and expertise on intervention and crisis management. He served in the United Nations' operation in Kosovo, and was special assistant to the U.N. special coordinator for the Middle East peace process. He was also a senior advisor to Kofi Annan on U.N. reform and served as deputy research director to the U.N.'s High-level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change, as well as lead scholar for the International Task Force on Global Public Goods. Dr Jones holds a doctorate from the London School of Economics, and he was the Hamburg fellow in conflict prevention at Stanford University.Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/EncyclopediaGeopolitica

In this thought-provoking interview, former CIA case officer Brian Fairchild discusses the dysfunction within intelligence agencies and the global challenges posed by the rise of China. Fairchild highlights the shift in focus from the Cold War to counterterrorism after 9/11, which led to a neglect of other critical areas such as China. He emphasizes the need for a comprehensive strategy that addresses the changing geopolitical landscape and the growing alliance between China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. Fairchild also delves into the importance of covert operations and the need for intelligence agencies to adapt to new surveillance technologies. He introduces the concept of "hidden" cover as a means to remain undetected in the face of advanced surveillance capabilities. Don't miss this eye-opening conversation on the current state of intelligence agencies and the challenges posed by China's ascent on the global stage. ___________________________________________________________________________ ⇩ SUPPORT OUR SPONSORS ⇩ BRAVE TV HEALTH: Parasites are one of the main reasons that so many of our health problems happen! Guess what? They're more active around the full moon. That's why friend of the Show, Dr. Jason Dean, developed the Full Moon Parasite Protocol. Get 15% off now by using our link: https://bravetv.store/CYOL MY PILLOW: By FAR one of my favorite products I own for the best night's sleep in the world, unless my four year old jumps on my, the My Pillow. Get up to 66% off select products, including the My Pillow Classic or the new My Pillow 2.0, go to https://www.mypillow.com use PROMO CODE: CYOL  ________________________________________________________________ DOWNLOAD AUDIO PODCAST & GIVE A 5 STAR RATING!: APPLE: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-create-your-own-life-show/id1059619918  SPOTIFY: https://open.spotify.com/show/5UFFtmJqBUJHTU6iFch3QU (also available Google  Podcasts & wherever else podcasts are streamed  _________________________________________________________________ ⇩ VIDEO PLATFORMS ⇩ ➤ BITCHUTE: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/9GaIXqHEyTf5/ ➤ RUMBLE: https://rumble.com/c/JeremyRyanSlate ➤ ODYSEE: https://odysee.com/@jeremyryanslate:2  _________________________________________________________________ ⇩ SOCIAL MEDIA ⇩ ➤ TWITTER: https://twitter.com/jeremyryanslate ➤ INSTAGRAM https://www.instagram.com/jeremyryanslate ➤ FACEBOOK: https://www.facebook.com/jeremyryanslate  _________________________________________________________________ ➤ CONTACT: JRS@JEREMYRYANSLATE.COM

In this thought-provoking interview, former CIA case officer Brian Fairchild discusses the dysfunction within intelligence agencies and the global challenges posed by the rise of China. Fairchild highlights the shift in focus from the Cold War to counterterrorism after 9/11, which led to a neglect of other critical areas such as China. He emphasizes the need for a comprehensive strategy that addresses the changing geopolitical landscape and the growing alliance between China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. Fairchild also delves into the importance of covert operations and the need for intelligence agencies to adapt to new surveillance technologies. He introduces the concept of "hidden" cover as a means to remain undetected in the face of advanced surveillance capabilities. Don't miss this eye-opening conversation on the current state of intelligence agencies and the challenges posed by China's ascent on the global stage. ___________________________________________________________________________ ⇩ SUPPORT OUR SPONSORS ⇩ BRAVE TV HEALTH: Parasites are one of the main reasons that so many of our health problems happen! Guess what? They're more active around the full moon. That's why friend of the Show, Dr. Jason Dean, developed the Full Moon Parasite Protocol. Get 15% off now by using our link: https://bravetv.store/CYOL MY PILLOW: By FAR one of my favorite products I own for the best night's sleep in the world, unless my four year old jumps on my, the My Pillow. Get up to 66% off select products, including the My Pillow Classic or the new My Pillow 2.0, go to https://www.mypillow.com use PROMO CODE: CYOL  ________________________________________________________________ DOWNLOAD AUDIO PODCAST & GIVE A 5 STAR RATING!: APPLE: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-create-your-own-life-show/id1059619918  SPOTIFY: https://open.spotify.com/show/5UFFtmJqBUJHTU6iFch3QU (also available Google  Podcasts & wherever else podcasts are streamed  _________________________________________________________________ ⇩ VIDEO PLATFORMS ⇩ ➤ BITCHUTE: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/9GaIXqHEyTf5/ ➤ RUMBLE: https://rumble.com/c/JeremyRyanSlate ➤ ODYSEE: https://odysee.com/@jeremyryanslate:2  _________________________________________________________________ ⇩ SOCIAL MEDIA ⇩ ➤ TWITTER: https://twitter.com/jeremyryanslate ➤ INSTAGRAM https://www.instagram.com/jeremyryanslate ➤ FACEBOOK: https://www.facebook.com/jeremyryanslate  _________________________________________________________________ ➤ CONTACT: JRS@JEREMYRYANSLATE.COM

The second installment of our live taping at the British International Studies Association annual convention in Glasgow is a "Whisky Optional" roundtable on status and international-relations theory. Our guests are: Ali Bilgic of Loughborough University, Michelle Murray of Bard College, Rohan Mukherjee of the London School of Economics, and Steven Ward of the University of Cambridge. The taping was sponsored by the Clydeside Distillery.Related readings:  Ali Bilgic, Turkey, Power and the West: Gendered International Relations and Foreign Policy; Michelle Murray, The Struggle for Recognition in International Relations: Status, Revisionism, and Rising Powers; Rohan Mukherjee, Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions; and Steven Ward, Status and the Challenge of Rising Powers. Some articles mentioned include (implicitly or explicitly) include: Ward, "Lost in Translation: Social Identity Theory and the Study of Status in World Politics," Larson and Shevchenko, "Status seekers: Chinese and Russian responses to US primacy," and Musgrave and Nexon, "Defending Hierarchy from the Moon to the Indian Ocean: Symbolic Capital and Political Dominance in Early Modern China and the Cold War." An important edited collection on status and international politics is Status and World Politics, eds. Paul, Larson, and Wohlforth.The classic "chickens" article is Ivan D. Chase, "Social Process and Hierarchy Formation in Small Groups: A Comparative Perspective."

In this insightful discussion with Alasdair Macleod, we delve deep into the dollar's precarious position on the global stage and the rising power of gold. As Asian economies hint at a return to gold standards, what does this mean for the future of the fiat dollar? Join us as we unpack the implications of foreign-held assets, bond yields, and the potential for a new golden era in global finance. ⚠ Please consider subscribing to our channel!

My conversation today is with Will Shrank, MD. Dr. Shrank led the evaluation group at CMMI (Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation). He has spent time in the private sector, first at CVS Health and UPMC (University of Pittsburgh Medical Center) as chief medical officer of the health plan in Pittsburgh, and then as the chief medical officer for Humana. Now he is a venture partner at Andreessen Horowitz and doing some consulting for CMMI. We start out this conversation talking about waste in healthcare. In fact, Dr. Shrank was on a team who did a study about waste in the US healthcare system. (The article is, unfortunately, firewalled.) In that study, it says estimates suggest we have upwards of a trillion dollars of waste a year. There's two main groupings of said waste, turns out. The first is in administrative failures. There's three subcategories here: fraud, waste, and abuse; administrative complexity; and pricing failures. Then there's the clinical failures side of the waste house. There's three subcategories here as well, and they are failures in care coordination, failure in care delivery, and then low-value care. Dr. Shrank digs in a bit on each of these in the interview that follows, but I have to say, I go in fast for the now what. Great that we know where the waste is coming from, because gotta know the problems to solve for them. But really, what's the best way to solve for this waste? You know me by now, so I, of course, point out immediately that someone's waste is someone else's profit. So, that's a wrinkle. And it's a really rough wrinkle, because now you have groups lobbying to basically protect the waste. As just one example, what are pricing failures, after all, if not someone else's margin? Major spoiler alert here, but Dr. Shrank says one sort of broad-stroke solution is aligning incentives with higher-quality care, paying for the longitudinal patient journey, and paying for outcomes. If you do this, then at least the clinical failures side of the equation could improve. The implication here is that if the incentive is to be accountable for value—which is, you know, numerator quality denominator cost—then the supply chain has an incentive to reduce its own waste because effectively, at that point, it's coming out of their pocket as opposed to somebody else's. Will this resetting of the financial model happen overnight? That was a rhetorical question that we all know the answer to. Commercial payers are slow to change, and all but the best employers have been (historically, at least) busy making extremely lateral moves and going nowhere fast. Few seem super inclined to reward and pay for what they care about rather than just negotiating a price. I sort of say this to Dr. Shrank, and he says, yeah, true enough. I'm paraphrasing with a lot of creative license right now, but he says, let's reset our expectations with reality. We've actually come a pretty long way, baby, in not a particularly long time if you consider the whole value-based thing really only started not that long ago, relatively speaking. So, there will be problems to overcome and bumps in the road. We should expect that, and we haven't had the time to work them all out yet. I think a couple of other interesting insights for me, one was a little sidebar we go off on about the power that PCPs might find themselves wielding if they can gang up and harness it. And this is kind of starting. We'll see if it goes anywhere. I recently heard a story about a bunch of employed PCPs who went to their health system bosses and asked to stand up an APCP (advanced primary care practice) able to coordinate care, etc, do all the things that at this juncture we know are the right things to do for patients. Now they got shot down—bam!—with the backhands from above. I hope those engaged and activated PCPs quit and start up their own thing. Maybe they will. PCPs getting together here could be a way to solve for waste if they can gang up and harness it. And that's actionable if you happen to be a PCP or are looking to continue to employ them moving forward. The potential rising power of PCPs might cause some health systems to rethink some of the choices they are making (ie, the choice to employ PCPs as RVU [relative value unit] referral machines). PCPs, better than anyone, can see the harm inflicted by the business model that forces a drive-by PCP level of care. Moral injury is at an all-time high, and in addition, I just saw that study recently that showed to do all the administrative work of a PCP these days, it would take longer than 24 hours in a day. If you're a self-insured employer, I'd also kind of take note of this because it also could be actionable for you. Someone who would know told me recently that if enough employers demanded some value-based accountability, some advanced primary care going on, even a dominant consolidated health system would listen. So there seems to be some alignment here between employers and PCPs if these groups can come together and collaborate. In sum, we have a waste problem in this country. Aligning incentives might be one way to curb that waste. Can I just share with you some of the reviews that we got on iTunes recently? They make my heart so warm. I just want to acknowledge these individuals who took the time to write reviews. Here's the first one. It's from Jspeaks1987. He wrote, “[RHV is] my weekly go-to for smart takes on VBC [value-based care]. I have recommended this podcast to literally hundreds of people (including onstage at our recent customer success summit). Anyone who cares about the sustainability of our healthcare system owes it to themselves to give [Relentless Health Value] a permanent spot on their playlist. Always smart, often provocative, scrupulously fair [I like that … scrupulously fair], it's well worth the listen.” Thank you so much, Jspeaks1987. Here's another one. And this is from happygilmore80. I know who you are, happygilmore. “RHV is an amazing podcast and sorely needed in the healthcare community. I tell everyone about it. … I'm a recent listener and have learned so much from [episode] 399 and 400 [which are the manifestos]. Episode 410 was packed with knowledge, 407 was great, etc. Let's start a hundred RHV communities across the US where we implement small experiments so change is grassroots and ubiquitous. Then the status quo will concede.” And yeah, for sure with that. If anyone is interested in creating a meetup or something in your local area, reach out. I'll try to hook you up with others in the Relentless Tribe. Here's a third one, and this is by Miriam. Thank you so much for this, Miriam. Miriam says, “I scoured the podcast world to find a healthcare industry podcast that offers intelligent, relevant, clear information and dialogue. I found it. Stacey and RHV cover the US healthcare industry across all sectors while managing to go deep within those sectors. Most importantly, [RHV] highlights how all of those sectors interact, supposedly with the patient at the center, while performing as businesses that are really driven by capitalism.” Miriam says she never misses an episode. To the three of you, thank you so much. It's actually reviews like this that keep me and the team going over here.   You can learn more by connecting with Dr. Shrank on LinkedIn.     William H. Shrank, MD, MSHS, is serving as venture partner, bio and health, at Andreessen Horowitz. Previously, Dr. Shrank served as chief medical officer for Humana, where his responsibilities included implementing Humana's integrated care delivery strategy, with an emphasis on advancing the company's clinical capabilities and core objective of improving the health outcomes of its members. Dr. Shrank previously held the position of chief medical and corporate affairs officer, during which time he oversaw government affairs. From 2016 to 2019, Dr. Shrank served as chief medical officer, insurance services division, at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center. Previously, Dr. Shrank served as senior vice president, chief scientific officer, and chief medical officer of provider innovation at CVS Health. Prior to joining CVS Health, he served as director of the Research and Rapid-Cycle Evaluation Group for the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation. Dr. Shrank began his career as a practicing physician with Brigham and Women's Hospital in Boston and as an assistant professor at Harvard Medical School. He has published more than 270 papers on improving the quality of prescribing and the use of chronic medications. Dr. Shrank received his MD from Cornell University Medical College. He completed his residency in internal medicine at Georgetown University and his fellowship in health policy research at the University of California, Los Angeles. He also earned a master of science in health services from the University of California, Los Angeles, and a bachelor's degree from Brown University.   05:56 Can we cut healthcare waste while improving patient care? 06:35 What does “healthcare waste” consist of? 06:48 What are the six categories of “healthcare waste”? 09:25 EP363 with David Scheinker, PhD. 09:39 How much money does Dr. Shrank estimate is wasted each year in healthcare? 12:11 Where is that healthcare waste going, and why does it happen? 19:09 Uncaring by Robert Pearl, MD. 20:20 “We've built a backbone of extraordinary waste on a fee-for-service chassis.” 21:18 EP409 with Larry Bauer, MSW, MEd. 23:26 EP359 with Dan O'Neill. 25:04 Dr. Shrank's warning to providers out there. 29:04 Summer Shorts 2 with Scott Conard, MD. 30:43 Why there might be a generational shift among younger providers looking to work with different models.   You can learn more by connecting with Dr. Shrank on LinkedIn.   @WillShrank discusses #healthcarewaste, #vbc, and #PCPs on our #healthcarepodcast. #podcast #digitalhealth #valuebasedcare   Recent past interviews: Click a guest's name for their latest RHV episode! Dr Carly Eckert (Encore! EP361), Dr Robert Pearl, Larry Bauer (Summer Shorts 8), Secretary Dr David Shulkin and Erin Mistry, Keith Passwater and JR Clark (Summer Shorts 7), Lauren Vela (Summer Shorts 6), Dr Jacob Asher (Summer Shorts 5), Eric Gallagher (Summer Shorts 4), Dan Serrano, Larry Bauer  

Learn about the latest in local public affairs in about the time it takes for a coffee break! Brian Callanan of Seattle Channel and David Kroman of the Seattle Times discuss a new city transportation plan released this week, a discussion of impact fees, a proposal to add lids over I-5, skyrocketing numbers for local fentanyl deaths, a power shake-up in Mayor Harrell's cabinet, and an unfortunate new record set with statewide traffic deaths. If you like this podcast, please support it on Patreon! 

We will be going clockwise in our divisional series as we make it now to the Eastern divisions. Compared to the other AFC/NFC combos, the East might be the most talented out of all. We got some strong QB's and receivers in both leagues and we theres plenty of backs to go around. This should be a fun episode and everyone enjoy your last day of July as August kicks off pre-season football

How deep does the NDP's manipulation and misinformation go? Discover the shocking tactics they employ to deceive voters, including twisted audio clips and broken election laws. Hear about their Just Transition Program's devastating impact on jobs, and the dishonest way they present themselves as centrist rather than progressive.We also take a critical look at the power of progressivism in politics and how it has shaped the world under Justin Trudeau's leadership. Listen to our thought-provoking discussion on the system's favoritism toward progressivism, and the hefty price we pay in taxes to cover their expensive policies. Plus, don't miss our analysis of the UCP's proposed tax rate changes and how they're seen as contributing to underfunded services.Lastly, explore the NDP's harmful approach to growth and expression, focusing on their top-heavy administration and the detrimental effects on frontline staff. Learn about the NDP candidates' open admiration for socialist and communist leaders, and join us as we question what the pandemic would have looked like if they held power. Don't miss this eye-opening conversation that will have you questioning the reality of Alberta politics!(No Guest)Trampled Under TyrannyPolitically discordant, counter culture clothing for the discerning civil disobedient.Disclaimer: This post contains affiliate links. If you make a purchase, I may receive a commission at no extra cost to you.Support the Show.

Host Jeremy Hitchcock sits down with Jennifer Rudolph, a Professor of Asian History and International and Global Studies and Director of the East Asia Hub at Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI). She received her degrees from the University of Washington and the University of Chicago and is a former executive director of the Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies and the Harvard China Fund (Harvard University). Her research interests include Chinese political history, US-China relations, identity formation, and the geopolitics of Taiwan. Her most recent books are The China Questions 2: Critical Insights into US-China Relations (with Maria Adele Carrai and Michael Szonyi, Harvard, 2022), which just received an honorable mention for the Franklin Buchanan Prize from the Association for Asian Studies, and The China Questions: Critical Insights into a Rising Power (with Michael Szonyi, Harvard 2018). She also wrote Negotiated Power in Late Imperial China: The Zongli Yamen and the Politics of Reform (Cornell East Asia Series, 2008). She is a long-term Research Associate at the Fairbank Center and a founding member of the Urban China Research Network, serving on its board for six years. With five US Department of Education and Department of Defense grants, she has led the East Asia initiative for science, engineering, and business students at WPI. Dr. Rudolph has held numerous fellowships, including a Fulbright Hays for doctoral research in Taiwan.

Is China the Rising Power It Says It Is- Its Population Crisis Says Otherwise

China has announced that its population declined in 2022 by 850,000 people—the first such decline in 60 years, since the disastrous “Great Leap Forward.” Reggie Littlejohn, President of Women's Rights Without Frontiers, has been working to stop forced abortion in China for many years. She joins Larry Elder to discuss China's one-child policy and the digital Gulag set up by China's social credit system. By now, everybody knows the tale of Sam Bankman-Fried, and how his FTX cryptocurrency exchange imploded. But according to John Tamny, vice president at FreedomWorks and author of ‘The Money Confusion: How Illiteracy about Currencies and Inflation Sets the Stage for the Crypto Revolution,' his crash and burn are precisely why we need crypto. February has been recognized as Black History Month. Mike Gonzales, the author of “The Five Lies of CRT,” joins Larry Elder to discuss why critical race theory and its African American study is not black history, but rather “seeing reality through a communist lens.” The Larry Elder Show is sponsored by Birch Gold Group. Protect your IRA or 401(k) with precious metals today: http://larryforgold.com/ ⭕️Watch in-depth videos based on Truth & Tradition at Epoch TV

Why do rising powers sometimes challenge an international order that enables their growth, and at other times support an order that constrains them? Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions (Cambridge UP, 2022) offers the first comprehensive study of conflict and cooperation as new powers join the global arena. International institutions shape the choices of rising states as they pursue equal status with established powers. Open membership rules and fair decision-making procedures facilitate equality and cooperation, while exclusion and unfairness frequently produce conflict. Using original and robust archival evidence, the book examines these dynamics in three cases: the United States and the maritime laws of war in the mid-nineteenth century; Japan and naval arms control in the interwar period; and India and nuclear non-proliferation in the Cold War. This study shows that the future of contemporary international order depends on the ability of international institutions to address the status ambitions of rising powers such as China and India. Rohan Mukherjee is an assistant professor of international relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science. His research focuses on the grand strategies of rising powers and their impact on international security and order, with an empirical specialization in the Asia-Pacific region. Lamis Abdelaaty is an associate professor of political science at the Maxwell School of Syracuse University. She is the author of Discrimination and Delegation: Explaining State Responses to Refugees (Oxford University Press, 2021). Email her comments at labdelaa@syr.edu or tweet to @LAbdelaaty. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

Why do rising powers sometimes challenge an international order that enables their growth, and at other times support an order that constrains them? Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions (Cambridge UP, 2022) offers the first comprehensive study of conflict and cooperation as new powers join the global arena. International institutions shape the choices of rising states as they pursue equal status with established powers. Open membership rules and fair decision-making procedures facilitate equality and cooperation, while exclusion and unfairness frequently produce conflict. Using original and robust archival evidence, the book examines these dynamics in three cases: the United States and the maritime laws of war in the mid-nineteenth century; Japan and naval arms control in the interwar period; and India and nuclear non-proliferation in the Cold War. This study shows that the future of contemporary international order depends on the ability of international institutions to address the status ambitions of rising powers such as China and India. Rohan Mukherjee is an assistant professor of international relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science. His research focuses on the grand strategies of rising powers and their impact on international security and order, with an empirical specialization in the Asia-Pacific region. Lamis Abdelaaty is an associate professor of political science at the Maxwell School of Syracuse University. She is the author of Discrimination and Delegation: Explaining State Responses to Refugees (Oxford University Press, 2021). Email her comments at labdelaa@syr.edu or tweet to @LAbdelaaty. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/history

Why do rising powers sometimes challenge an international order that enables their growth, and at other times support an order that constrains them? Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions (Cambridge UP, 2022) offers the first comprehensive study of conflict and cooperation as new powers join the global arena. International institutions shape the choices of rising states as they pursue equal status with established powers. Open membership rules and fair decision-making procedures facilitate equality and cooperation, while exclusion and unfairness frequently produce conflict. Using original and robust archival evidence, the book examines these dynamics in three cases: the United States and the maritime laws of war in the mid-nineteenth century; Japan and naval arms control in the interwar period; and India and nuclear non-proliferation in the Cold War. This study shows that the future of contemporary international order depends on the ability of international institutions to address the status ambitions of rising powers such as China and India. Rohan Mukherjee is an assistant professor of international relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science. His research focuses on the grand strategies of rising powers and their impact on international security and order, with an empirical specialization in the Asia-Pacific region. Lamis Abdelaaty is an associate professor of political science at the Maxwell School of Syracuse University. She is the author of Discrimination and Delegation: Explaining State Responses to Refugees (Oxford University Press, 2021). Email her comments at labdelaa@syr.edu or tweet to @LAbdelaaty. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/political-science

Why do rising powers sometimes challenge an international order that enables their growth, and at other times support an order that constrains them? Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions (Cambridge UP, 2022) offers the first comprehensive study of conflict and cooperation as new powers join the global arena. International institutions shape the choices of rising states as they pursue equal status with established powers. Open membership rules and fair decision-making procedures facilitate equality and cooperation, while exclusion and unfairness frequently produce conflict. Using original and robust archival evidence, the book examines these dynamics in three cases: the United States and the maritime laws of war in the mid-nineteenth century; Japan and naval arms control in the interwar period; and India and nuclear non-proliferation in the Cold War. This study shows that the future of contemporary international order depends on the ability of international institutions to address the status ambitions of rising powers such as China and India. Rohan Mukherjee is an assistant professor of international relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science. His research focuses on the grand strategies of rising powers and their impact on international security and order, with an empirical specialization in the Asia-Pacific region. Lamis Abdelaaty is an associate professor of political science at the Maxwell School of Syracuse University. She is the author of Discrimination and Delegation: Explaining State Responses to Refugees (Oxford University Press, 2021). Email her comments at labdelaa@syr.edu or tweet to @LAbdelaaty. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/world-affairs

Why do rising powers sometimes challenge an international order that enables their growth, and at other times support an order that constrains them? Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions (Cambridge UP, 2022) offers the first comprehensive study of conflict and cooperation as new powers join the global arena. International institutions shape the choices of rising states as they pursue equal status with established powers. Open membership rules and fair decision-making procedures facilitate equality and cooperation, while exclusion and unfairness frequently produce conflict. Using original and robust archival evidence, the book examines these dynamics in three cases: the United States and the maritime laws of war in the mid-nineteenth century; Japan and naval arms control in the interwar period; and India and nuclear non-proliferation in the Cold War. This study shows that the future of contemporary international order depends on the ability of international institutions to address the status ambitions of rising powers such as China and India. Rohan Mukherjee is an assistant professor of international relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science. His research focuses on the grand strategies of rising powers and their impact on international security and order, with an empirical specialization in the Asia-Pacific region. Lamis Abdelaaty is an associate professor of political science at the Maxwell School of Syracuse University. She is the author of Discrimination and Delegation: Explaining State Responses to Refugees (Oxford University Press, 2021). Email her comments at labdelaa@syr.edu or tweet to @LAbdelaaty. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/chinese-studies

Why do rising powers sometimes challenge an international order that enables their growth, and at other times support an order that constrains them? Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions (Cambridge UP, 2022) offers the first comprehensive study of conflict and cooperation as new powers join the global arena. International institutions shape the choices of rising states as they pursue equal status with established powers. Open membership rules and fair decision-making procedures facilitate equality and cooperation, while exclusion and unfairness frequently produce conflict. Using original and robust archival evidence, the book examines these dynamics in three cases: the United States and the maritime laws of war in the mid-nineteenth century; Japan and naval arms control in the interwar period; and India and nuclear non-proliferation in the Cold War. This study shows that the future of contemporary international order depends on the ability of international institutions to address the status ambitions of rising powers such as China and India. Rohan Mukherjee is an assistant professor of international relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science. His research focuses on the grand strategies of rising powers and their impact on international security and order, with an empirical specialization in the Asia-Pacific region. Lamis Abdelaaty is an associate professor of political science at the Maxwell School of Syracuse University. She is the author of Discrimination and Delegation: Explaining State Responses to Refugees (Oxford University Press, 2021). Email her comments at labdelaa@syr.edu or tweet to @LAbdelaaty. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/south-asian-studies

Why do rising powers sometimes challenge an international order that enables their growth, and at other times support an order that constrains them? Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions (Cambridge UP, 2022) offers the first comprehensive study of conflict and cooperation as new powers join the global arena. International institutions shape the choices of rising states as they pursue equal status with established powers. Open membership rules and fair decision-making procedures facilitate equality and cooperation, while exclusion and unfairness frequently produce conflict. Using original and robust archival evidence, the book examines these dynamics in three cases: the United States and the maritime laws of war in the mid-nineteenth century; Japan and naval arms control in the interwar period; and India and nuclear non-proliferation in the Cold War. This study shows that the future of contemporary international order depends on the ability of international institutions to address the status ambitions of rising powers such as China and India. Rohan Mukherjee is an assistant professor of international relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science. His research focuses on the grand strategies of rising powers and their impact on international security and order, with an empirical specialization in the Asia-Pacific region. Lamis Abdelaaty is an associate professor of political science at the Maxwell School of Syracuse University. She is the author of Discrimination and Delegation: Explaining State Responses to Refugees (Oxford University Press, 2021). Email her comments at labdelaa@syr.edu or tweet to @LAbdelaaty. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/national-security

Why do rising powers sometimes challenge an international order that enables their growth, and at other times support an order that constrains them? Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions (Cambridge UP, 2022) offers the first comprehensive study of conflict and cooperation as new powers join the global arena. International institutions shape the choices of rising states as they pursue equal status with established powers. Open membership rules and fair decision-making procedures facilitate equality and cooperation, while exclusion and unfairness frequently produce conflict. Using original and robust archival evidence, the book examines these dynamics in three cases: the United States and the maritime laws of war in the mid-nineteenth century; Japan and naval arms control in the interwar period; and India and nuclear non-proliferation in the Cold War. This study shows that the future of contemporary international order depends on the ability of international institutions to address the status ambitions of rising powers such as China and India. Rohan Mukherjee is an assistant professor of international relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science. His research focuses on the grand strategies of rising powers and their impact on international security and order, with an empirical specialization in the Asia-Pacific region. Lamis Abdelaaty is an associate professor of political science at the Maxwell School of Syracuse University. She is the author of Discrimination and Delegation: Explaining State Responses to Refugees (Oxford University Press, 2021). Email her comments at labdelaa@syr.edu or tweet to @LAbdelaaty. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Why do rising powers on the global stage sometimes challenge an international order that enables their growth, yet at other times support an order that constrains them? This is the core question motivating a big, new book on international order by political scientist Rohan Mukherjee. The book is titled, Ascending Order: Rising Powers and the Politics of Status in International Institutions, and it is a comprehensive study of conflict and cooperation as new powers join the global arena. The book focuses on how international institutions shape the choices of rising states as they pursue equal status with established powers.Rohan is an assistant professor of international relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science. To talk more about his new book, Rohan joins Milan on the show this week from his office in London. The two discuss China's surprisingly cooperative behavior in the post-Cold War era, India's grievances with the liberal international order, and the importance of status concerns in international relations. Plus, Milan and Rohan discuss India's approach to the nuclear nonproliferation regime during the Cold War, U.S. policies to restrain China, and the implications of a more isolationist U.S. foreign policy for rising powers.

The world is changing fast, but you can learn it at a slower pace.

Power bills are set to rise, data by the energy market operator revealing prices have already increased to unprecedented levels in the three months to June This year's flood damage is now the second costliest weather event in Australia, paying out more than two billion dollars so far An Australian couple has been injured after falling into a geothermal sinkhole And after a global backlash Instagram has temporarily abandoned a trial of its new look, full screen format See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Power bills are set to rise, data by the energy market operator revealing prices have already increased to unprecedented levels in the three months to June This year's flood damage is now the second costliest weather event in Australia, paying out more than two billion dollars so far An Australian couple has been injured after falling into a geothermal sinkhole And after a global backlash Instagram has temporarily abandoned a trial of its new look, full screen format See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Sterling Burnett. Heartland InstituteTristan Justice, writer for The Federalist.

Category is: Girl Power, I'm So Scared! Starving for a new #GRIDCommentary? We got you covered! Listen as Ray, Austin, & Amber watch "Orion Rising" from #PowerRangers #LostGalaxy! Follow us on TikTok, Twitter & Instagram @TheGRIDPR, and be sure to check out our Linktree for a complete list of where to find us! And if you'd like GRID merch, check out our Redbubble Shop! Recorded on February 23rd, 2022. Theme song: “Hackers” by Karl Casey (White Bat Audio).

The desire for high status drives great powers' foreign policies. Cambridge University professor Steven Ward discusses how status concerns motivate rising powers like China as well as declining powers like the United States, and how that can produce belligerent policies and exacerbate international tensions.Show NotesSteven Ward bioSteven Ward, Status and the Challenge of Rising Powers, (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2017).Steven Ward, “Status from Fighting? Reassessing the Relationship Between Conflict Involvement and Diplomatic Risk,” International Interactions 46, no. 2 (February 2020).Paul Musgraves and Steven Ward, “Testing Tripwire Theory Using Survey Experiments,” APSA Preprints, 2021. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Music composer/Producer/Vocal arranger: SchianovusVocalist: NarisaLyric writer: Schianovus & ShinobiatorMix & Master engineer: Asad Haidar at Swaradipa Music StudioSpecial thanks to Wizards of the Coast and Epidemic SoundsVisit our website for transcripts, art of the show, and cast info!Follow us @warlockdnd on Instagram and TwitterWarlock contains some adult language.Check out our Patreon (https://www.patreon.com/warlockdnd) for even more content! Hang out with the cast and other fans on our Discord.Nova: Claire ClausonRen: Nick AkinsBriar: Jackie WebbXarion/Mendel: Zachary BurrellThe Lady in Darkness: Tamara DearingKira: Shelby HallXander: Jeremy CobbRick: Isaac OttermanSkarn: Matthew QuattlebaumSevrina: Kris GideonPodcast cover art by MGOSketches

Music composer/Producer/Vocal arranger: SchianovusVocalist: NarisaLyric writer: Schianovus & ShinobiatorMix & Master engineer: Asad Haidar at Swaradipa Music StudioSpecial thanks to Wizards of the Coast and Epidemic SoundsVisit our website for transcripts, art of the show, and cast info!Follow us @warlockdnd on Instagram and TwitterWarlock contains some adult language.Check out our Patreon (https://www.patreon.com/warlockdnd) for even more content! Hang out with the cast and other fans on our Discord.Nova: Claire ClausonRen: Nick AkinsBriar: Jackie WebbXarion/Mendel: Zachary BurrellThe Lady in Darkness: Tamara DearingKira: Shelby HallXander: Jeremy CobbRick: Isaac OttermanSkarn: Matthew QuattlebaumSevrina: Kris GideonPodcast cover art by MGOSketches

一週財經聚焦 一、9月15日，澳大利亞（AU）、英國（UK）和美國（US）聯合宣佈成立軍事安全合作夥伴關係AUKUS，首要目標是由英、美兩國協助澳大利亞，建造一支核動力潛艇艦隊，並構築美國新印太戰略聯盟的一部分。這個動作對亞太地緣新政治，會有什麼影響呢？ 國際媒體相關報導 ●CNN：〈Australia's decades-long balancing act between the US and China is over. It chose Washington〉(澳大利亞在美國和中國之間長達數十年的平衡行動已經結束，它選擇了華盛頓) ●CNBC：〈China will likely fail in its CPTPP bid — but it's a 'smart' move against the U.S., say analysts〉(分析師表示，中國可能會在CPTPP申辦中失敗，但這是對美國的「明智」舉動) ●The Wall Street Journal華爾街日報：〈The Challenge of China's Rising Power on the Seas〉(中國在東南亞實力增強的挑戰) 分析解讀 確實，9月9日，「拜登與習近平的通話」才剛剛讓外界以為中美的緊張可能走緩，沒有想到這個期待只持續不到一個禮拜。9月15日，美英澳的「新三邊同盟AUKUS」就成形了，接著9月16日，中國宣佈要申請加入CPTPP。 看起來，一個是軍事同盟，一個是經貿事務；但這些變化代表的都是中美競爭的加劇、雙方持續的加碼，以及地緣政治的風險升高。 這很有意思。美國、英國和澳洲建立的「AUKUS」，一看就知道是將三國名稱的縮寫，雖然三國領導人從頭到尾都沒有提到中國，但所有人都心知肚明--「AUKUS」百分之百就是針對中國而來，北京甚至立刻譴責：這是一個「陳舊的冷戰零和思維」。 但我感覺，這都掩蓋了AUKUS的背後意義，它其實是美國邁向太平洋新力量平衡的一步。 在這麼一個合縱連橫始終很脆弱的地區，經過了川普四年反覆無常的執政之後，AUKUS標誌的，其實是美國態度的轉趨強硬。 美英澳三國正式組建新聯盟AUKUS，引發國際高度關注，美英並將協助澳洲打造8艘核潛艇，升級澳洲軍事力量，美方還將派出各式軍機進駐澳洲，增進美英澳三方的軍事合作與交流。此舉引發中共高度不滿。 為什麼美、英、澳要成立新聯盟，還要幫澳洲建造核潛艇隊伍？美英澳聯盟將帶動哪些新國際趨勢？美方對中國出招頻頻，到底有什麼想法？能夠實現嗎？ 9月15日，美國與英國、澳洲組成新的戰略夥伴關係「美英澳聯盟（AUKUS）」，消息一出，立即震動國際社會，因為： 第一，這是美國50年來首度對海外輸出核潛艇技術；其次，雖然三國領袖都沒有提到他們組成聯盟的對抗目標是誰，但大家心照不宣，都知道這是針對中國而來。這是否代表地緣政治又出現了？ 我先說明一個概念。 核潛艇，是指用核能作為動力的潛艇，就像核能發電一樣。但核動力潛艇跟傳統的柴電動力潛艇相比，擁有更強的續航力，可以航行得更久、更遠。而且柴電潛艇在發電時會消耗氧氣，但核潛艇沒這問題，所以核潛艇可以在水底下潛行更久的時間，不必浮上水面，也不容易被發現。 另外，核潛艇的發電系統也比較「安靜」，敵人更不容易通過聲納偵測到核潛艇，安全性與威脅性都更高，所以核潛艇被認為是當前頂尖海軍力量的標誌之一。目前全世界只有六個國家擁有核潛艇，包括美、中、英、法、俄羅斯與印度，其中美國擁有14艘，排名第一，而中共也有6艘，排名第三。 很顯然，美方前陣子對中國猛打「台灣牌」之後，現在又對中共祭出了「澳洲牌」，而這張澳洲牌對中共是很有威脅性的。 這次美英澳籌組新戰略聯盟，我認為有四大主因： 1.重申對抗中國挑戰，轉移阿富汗失利 美方在阿富汗撤軍撤得一團亂，不但讓海外國家覺得「美國衰弱了」，就連在國內也是飽受批評。現在美方宣佈組成美英澳聯盟，其實是在轉移美方在阿富汗撤軍失利的負面觀感。 2.增強澳洲投射能力，擴充軍力協防南海 過去幾年，中國在南海的勢力相對較強勢，美國在南海需要一個支點，如此一來就可以與英國、澳洲、台灣軍方，一同協防南海與台海海域。 3.布建「南方美軍」，降低美國壓力與威脅 大家知道，雖然中共是目前全球最大的威脅，但畢竟美國與中國隔了一個太平洋。美方現在要幫澳洲升級海軍與空軍力量，其實等於是在布建一支「南方美軍」，可以更近距離的馳援南海與台海，縮短應變時間。 4.英國脫離歐盟，宣示重返世界體系 英國在今年初剛剛正式脫離歐盟，現在英國想透過這個機會，與美國、澳洲組成新聯盟，等於是向全世界宣告，英國重新回到世界體系的中心舞臺，要一步步重建國際影響力與商機。 不過，「美英澳聯盟」的誕生，也同時反映了幾個國際大趨勢： 趨勢一：印太區成為國際戰略中心，兵家必爭 趨勢二：美中新冷戰格局確認，重啟新軍備競賽 趨勢三：澳洲戰略地位升級，邁向南半球「小美國」 AUKUS協議除了顯示美國和英國將向澳洲提供至少八艘的核子動力潛艇之外，我更關注的是，這三個國家還進一步承諾將在網絡安全、人工智慧、量子計算等尋求合作。這意味著，這個行動也可能對科技的民族主義推波助瀾。 從這個角度看，拜登政府仍然值得稱許，即便目前為止，仍然只達到了戰略目標的一半。美國與中國之間的緊張關係，遠遠超越了單純的軍事對峙，在尋求共存的過程中，美國還需要把氣候變化等這些問題上的合作，與基於一定規則的經濟競爭一起結合起來。 缺失的部分，還包括了整個東南亞，那裡是最容易受到中國壓力影響的區域，但又是現在全球經濟發展的必爭之地。而美國的政策，偏偏在東南亞一向窒礙難行，這些東南亞國家到底如何表態，也是值得我們觀察的。 我認為，除了本來就和美國同一陣線的日本、印度與台灣之外，東協諸國的反應最是耐人尋味。Lowy Institute的Sam Roggeveen認為，過去或許還有人會質疑，美國是不是真的想和中國打一場「新冷戰」，但在AUKUS宣佈後，這個事情將不再有懸念。 新加坡國立大學亞洲研究所研究員馬凱碩，9月22日在一場地緣政治新時代研討會上發言指出，東協國家不會立刻加入Quad或是AUKUS，因為，這會讓東南亞面臨必須選邊站的尷尬局面。 東南亞在過去25年裡親眼見證了中國的崛起，也是半世紀以來，美國與這個區域互動的最大受益者。東南亞國家深知與這些超級力量求同存異的複雜和必要性。因此，這個區域的國家，不會輕易放棄平衡外交的重要性。 東南亞國家左右為難的關鍵在於，他們對於美國打造反中聯盟並不熱衷。因為即便部分國家與中國存在緊張關係，但他們也從與中國的貿易關係中獲益匪淺。因此，即便東南亞擔憂中國霸權的威脅，但在對應中國的戰略上，他們與美國卻是意見分歧。 此外，美國對於東南亞的參與一向偏重於安全議題，對於新冠疫情、經濟衰退、氣候變化等其他挑戰，一向表現得興趣缺缺。 中國在AUKUS成立的第二天就申請加入了CPTPP，顯然就是企圖深化與亞太地區經濟一體化的重要舉動。即便最後結果應該不樂觀，但也凸顯出了一個事實：在經濟層面上，無論是RCEP還是CPTPP，美國目前為止都仍然置身事外。 二、中國恒大集團並沒有如期支付高達20億美元海外債券的利息，如果無法在未來30天的寬限期內處理，恐導致違約，這可能加速惡化恒大當前的債務危機。怎麼解讀這個號稱中國最大房地產集團的後續效應？會不會影響中國的金融改革？ 國際媒體相關報導 ●The Wall Street Journal華爾街日報：〈What Is China Evergrande, and Why Is Its Crisis Worrying Markets?〉(什麼是中國恆大，其危機為何令市場擔憂？) ●Bloomberg彭博新聞社：〈Evergrande Won't Deter Investcorp From Expansion Into China〉(恆大不會阻止機構投資人進軍中國) ●Financial Times倫敦金融時報：〈Evergrande fallout could be worse than Lehman for China, warns Jim Chanos〉(吉姆查諾斯警告：對中國而言，恆大的後果可能比雷曼兄弟更嚴重) 分析解讀 在談這個話題前，我得先介紹一下這家公司。 恆大集團的總部位於深圳，它抓住了中國開放私有房地產的浪潮，靠著買賣土地、建設房產起家。從1996年成立到現在，已經成了中國營業額第二大的房地產開發商，旗下業務範圍擴及財富管理。不只如此，它還擁有一間電動汽車製造公司、一個礦產開採集團、一支足球隊（廣州足球俱樂部）以及一座主題樂園。 目前，恆大在中國280座城市中，擁有超過1,300個開發案；蓬勃發展的業務，也讓恆大集團的創辦人許家印成了《富比士》中國榜上有名的富翁。根據《富比士》雜誌的估算，許家印的身家高達106億美元。 這次恆大集團的危機，在於它的資金槓桿過大；比較白話的說法就是，恆大集團借了太多錢，足足超過3,000億美元。 2020年，中國政府對房地產行業推出了「三道紅線」的監管指標，這三道紅線分別為： 1、「扣除預收款後的資產負債率大於70%」 2、 「淨負債率大於100%」 3、「現金短債比小於1」 一旦符合上述情況，就被視為踩到「紅線」，而恆大恰恰踩到了全部的紅線。監管機構對其借款的金額設下上限，而恆大正是靠著借款來創造現金流。不能再借那麼多錢，無疑重創了恆大一貫以來的營運模式。 現在就連恆大的員工也對公司失去信心，不願參加恆大推出的高利息投資計畫，也就是不願借錢給恆大，好換取恆大承諾的高利息。本月，恆大更停止還款給員工，逼得他們在公司外的大街上抗議，要求公司還錢，因此事件越鬧越大。 一連串的動盪，讓恆大今年的股價下跌了85%，外界都在關注，恆大是否能如期支付公司債到期的利息。 與此同時，恆大遭受到的衝擊也會重創中國金融產業。經濟學人智庫分析師MattieBekink說：「由此延伸，對金融界的影響將非常深遠。據傳，恆大欠下國內171家銀行和121間金融公司巨額債務。」 假使恆大違約付不出錢，銀行和其他債權人將被迫下修借款上限，這將導致所謂的信用緊縮，也就是其他公司會發現借錢變困難了，連帶影響企業營運和成長。而對外國投資人來說，他們會認為中國不再是個適合投資的地方。 這也是很多人擔心的，中國的金融風暴是否會重現13年前雷曼兄弟倒閉引起全球金融海嘯的原因。 著名的經濟學家克魯曼在紐約時報專欄撰文表示，即使恆大並非「雷曼時刻」，並不會造成泡沫破裂，也不表示一切安然無事。恆大危機可能是中國泡沫的前哨站，這也顯示中國很可能正在歷經「babaru時刻」。 「babaru」是日文的外來語，音譯自英文的「bubble」（泡沫）。1980年代末期，日本遭遇「泡沫經濟」（日本人稱之為「babaru economy」）現象，當時許多資產價格狂飆，尤其是商用不動產，後來全面崩跌。 從許多方面來看，中國的現況與日本大不相同，但總體經濟情況，卻有點與當年日本泡沫快爆裂時非常類似。 一方面，中國的人口結構愈來愈近似日本—逐漸高齡化，另一方面，如同泡沫年代的日本，現在中國的經濟也嚴重失衡：消費支出疲弱，投資水位卻極高，因為年輕人越來越貧窮。 克魯曼的結論是：中國或許能像以往那般粉飾太平，讓恆大事件船過水無痕，但破綻終究會露出，只是遲早的問題。中國有沒有像日本那樣的社會凝聚力，能夠讓經濟慢慢、柔和地減緩，而不引發社會與政治危機，這仍需要時間驗證。 現在的問題是，無論它是不是雷曼，中國政府會不會出手相救？ 《經濟學人》有篇文章提及，中國金融當局正在打磨一項新技巧：「市場化違約」，意即，如何讓陷入困境的公司有序的退出市場，並進行更好的重組。次一事件還凸顯了一個更大的問題，就是習近平對中國企業的打壓，會不會讓中國想要創建一個更安全、更開放、更高效的金融改革體系，變得更加的困難？ 中國金融產業令人生畏的部分，原因在於它巨大的規模。中國的銀行資產已膨脹到了大約 50 兆美元，它們與龐大的影子金融體系相伴相隨，提供給企業和家庭的總信貸，已從十年前的佔GDP 178%，飆升到了今天的287%。這個金融產業飽受著不透明、缺乏市場信號，以及管理規則不穩定的困擾，因此，大家也擔心房地產是否會被拖累。 此外，中國的銀行向開發商提供了大量的貸款，因此銀行也是監管關注的主要領域。 平安銀行和民生銀行最近幾天都受到了股票被拋售的打擊，上半年它們的貸款總額中，有很大一部分擴展到房地產集團，而民生銀行與恆大的關係一向密切。恆大這個全球負債槓桿最高的房地產巨擘，據稱有一個高達3000億美元、流動性不佳的資產組合，其中80%是短期的負債，這也是外界公認最大的危機。 中國政府是否會同意拯救這家公司？目前仍眾說紛紜。不過，《經濟學人》對中國的金融改革顯然不以為然。他們認為中國現在重申對經濟、資訊、法院和監管機構控制的廣泛議程，與金融改革的主旨是背道而馳的。 經濟學人認為，中國不會想要一個更開放的資本賬戶，因為這有可能增加資本外逃的風險，並讓私人債權者擁有了更強的權利，最後甚至給了投資者選擇產業發展的角色。即使恆大僥倖逃脫了災難，習近平的政策對金融體系長期健康的負面影響，才剛剛要開始顯現。 我是這樣想的：在QE加上疫情紓困的資金灌輸之下，疫情過後的世界，註定將是一個資本市場搶奪戰的未來，這從GsmeStop、比特幣到SPAC的橫衝直撞，都可以一覽無遺。中國政府何嘗看不懂這點？ 資本市場的改革就是重中之重，中國不想再過度依賴房地產以及間接金融的融資，藉由外國資金的流入，或許可以抵消境內投資者的資金外流，還可以讓中國市場更加的規範化。 首先，我們不應再把中國看作一個新興市場，因為它正走在一個成為全球最大經濟體的路上，這是一個資金最愛追逐的資本故事。另外，近幾年來，藉由在5G的基礎設施、數位化、半導體、電動車和人工智慧等方面的重大投資，即使是以半導體沾沾自喜的台灣也不得不承認，中國已經在某些前緣科技，有機會獨領風騷。 最重要的是，過去二十年，MSCI的中國指數報酬率為521%，遠高於MSCI歐洲指數的98%。但根據國際貨幣基金組織IMF的估計，雖然2019年大陸已經佔全球GDP的16%，高於歐盟的15.4%，但目前在全球股票的主要基準MSCI世界指數中，中國的權重僅為5%左右，光這個全球資本加碼的巨大空間，就讓人充滿想像。 不管全球投資人對中國市場的未來看法如何針鋒相對，不要忘記，資本的本性永遠都是「逐利」，疫情爆發給了中國一個整軍經武的機會，現在就看整個經濟改革和資本市場建設，哪個搶得先機，這或許會是定調中國未來十年發展的關鍵時刻。 《經濟學人》總評 這期經濟學人歐洲版，在封底上用的是德國盾徽的金黃色，然後把那隻紅爪紅嘴的聯邦之鷹，在象徵力量和勇氣的影像前，軟弱無力的癱坐了下來。上面兩排黑字：「The mess Merkel leaves behind」（梅克爾留下的爛攤子）。 在歐洲版本的封面故事裡，經濟學人深入關注了德國大選。在Angela Merkel（梅克爾）擔任總理的16年裡，她經歷了從經濟到疫情的一連串的危機。她那卓越的協調共識能力，讓她的國家和整個歐洲度過了一次又一次的考驗，但她的政府仍然在國內和國際上，忽視了太多應該重視的事情。 德國看起來仍然繁榮而穩定，然而麻煩正在逐漸醖釀。隨著Merkel將在本週末選舉完成後卸任，對她穩定領導的那股欽佩，應該與對她一手醞釀而成的過度自滿帶來的挫折情緒混合在一起。 這場低迷競選活動明顯並未解決德國那些迫在眉睫問題。在這之後，可以預期，選舉後的各種黨派談判將持續長達數月之久，這個拖延將破壞歐洲的政治運作。最終，這個國家很可能會變成一個無法做事的政府。這就是Merkel留下來的爛攤子。 Powered by Firstory Hosting

How have rising power engaged with the Arab-Israeli conflict? What does this tell us about rising powers and conflict management as well as their behaviour in international politics more generally? How have rising power engaged with the Arab-Israeli conflict? What does this tell us about rising powers and conflict management as well as their behaviour in international politics more generally? The book examines these questions in relation to five rising powers - Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa - and how they have interacted with Israel, the Palestinians and the Arab states since the conflict became internationalsied in 1947. Situating conflict management on a spectrum, between more active and passive modes, the book finds that contrary to expectations, rising powers have adopted a more passive stance to conflict management under Oslo and into the post-Second Intifada period period, especially when compared to some of the countries' more active approach in the first decades after 1947.