Fluctuation in the degree of utilization of the production potential of an economy
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The Capitalism and Freedom in the Twenty-First Century Podcast
Pete Klenow has spent his career tackling some of economics' biggest questions: Why do some countries grow rich while others remain poor? What drives long-run prosperity? And how can policy foster innovation and productivity? In this episode of Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century, Jon Hartley sits down with the Stanford economist to discuss Klenow's influential research on sticky prices, development accounting, economic growth, and the allocation of resources across firms and industries. The conversation explores how economists measure the sources of growth, why misallocation can hold back entire economies, and what Klenow's research reveals about productivity differences across countries such as China, India, and the United States. Hartley and Klenow also examine the evolution of macroeconomics, the role of monetary policy, and the potential impact of artificial intelligence on innovation, productivity, and future economic growth. Recorded on June 2, 2026. ABOUT THE SERIES Each episode of Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century, a video podcast series and the official podcast of the Hoover Economic Policy Working Group, focuses on getting into the weeds of economics, finance, and public policy on important current topics through one-on-one interviews. Host Jon Hartley asks guests about their main ideas and contributions to academic research and policy. The podcast is titled after Milton Friedman‘s famous 1962 bestselling book Capitalism and Freedom, which after 60 years, remains prescient from its focus on various topics which are now at the forefront of economic debates, such as monetary policy and inflation, fiscal policy, occupational licensing, education vouchers, income share agreements, the distribution of income, and negative income taxes, among many other topics. For more information about the podcast, or subscribe for the next episode, click here.
A three-bedroom "dunger" in New Zealand with peeling paint and boarded-up windows sold for 1.81 million dollars at the peak of the boom. A few years later, prices had fallen by as much as a third in real terms, recent buyers were trapped in negative equity, and thousands of construction firms had gone under. In this video we look at how a national housing boom turns into a bust, why house prices became so unaffordable in the first place, and what it means for an economy when the family home stops being a place to live and becomes a leveraged investment.Along the way we cover the interest-rate math behind home affordability and why falling mortgage rates inflated prices for forty years, the politics of why governments keep house prices rising, why high housing costs drive young workers to emigrate, and the lessons from past property crashes in Japan, the United States, and Ireland. We also look at Henry George's argument for a land value tax, Edward Leamer's "Housing IS the Business Cycle," and why an efficient property market matters for the whole economy. Whether you're in the US, UK, Canada, Australia, or anywhere else watching house prices climb out of reach, the underlying dynamics are the same.
In this special replay episode, we bring you an exclusive guest training call that Balazs W Kardos hosted LIVE last week.Whether you are navigating a challenging business cycle, struggling with your mindset, or looking to scale your team, Balazs shares 13 years of hard-earned wisdom on what it truly takes to build a legacy asset. He breaks down how to build an unshakeable armor against negativity, handles the realities of business ebs and flows, and outlines a masterclass in posture and positioning that turns cold prospects into eager applicants.
This week, Bob walks through three thought experiments to show how expectations of future supply changes ripple into present prices and production decisions in ways that purely mechanical monetary frameworks like MV=PQ can't capture.Related:How Can Mining Asteroids in the Future Make Us Richer Today?: Mises.org/HAP551aBob's 2008 Article on Oil Prices: Mises.org/HAP551bCelebrate Murray Rothbard's 100th birthday with a free copy of Anatomy of the State. Get yours at Mises.org/HAPodFree
This week, Bob walks through three thought experiments to show how expectations of future supply changes ripple into present prices and production decisions in ways that purely mechanical monetary frameworks like MV=PQ can't capture.Related:How Can Mining Asteroids in the Future Make Us Richer Today?: Mises.org/HAP551aBob's 2008 Article on Oil Prices: Mises.org/HAP551bCelebrate Murray Rothbard's 100th birthday with a free copy of Anatomy of the State. Get yours at Mises.org/HAPodFree
Claudia Macaluso explains how economists identify the points of expansion and contraction in the national economy and how the current business cycle differs from past cycles. Macaluso is a senior research economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Full transcript and related links: https://www.richmondfed.org/podcasts/speaking_of_the_economy/2026/speaking_2026_05_06_business_cycles
Bob sits down with researcher Robert Aro to review his recent Mises.org article on why the widely anticipated post-QT crash never materialized. They trace the answer back to the Fed's reverse repo facility, which quietly injected trillions back into the financial system even as the official balance sheet was shrinking, and what the depletion of that buffer might mean for what comes next.Related:Robert's Power & Market Post, "Why the Crash Was Delayed": Mises.org/HAP547aBob's Article, “The Inverted Yield Curve and Recession”: Mises.org/HAP547bThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
Bob sits down with researcher Robert Aro to review his recent Mises.org article on why the widely anticipated post-QT crash never materialized. They trace the answer back to the Fed's reverse repo facility, which quietly injected trillions back into the financial system even as the official balance sheet was shrinking, and what the depletion of that buffer might mean for what comes next.Related:Robert's Power & Market Post, "Why the Crash Was Delayed": Mises.org/HAP547aBob's Article, “The Inverted Yield Curve and Recession”: Mises.org/HAP547bThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold break down the latest developments in the Strait of Hormuz as a risk for global energy flows and supply chains continues to dominate headlines. They also zoom out to the global growth picture, exploring why sentiment remains bearish, yet equities continue to grind higher.
Mises described the problem, Hayek proposed the direction, Kirzner explains why the market will not stop. And the market, as so many times before, has already found the first step.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/ex-nihilo-no-more
Professor Joseph Salerno traces how Rothbard's mastery of the praxeological method led him to the controversial but logically airtight conclusion that business cycles have a single, exogenous cause and a single cure.The Murray N. Rothbard Memorial Lecture, sponsored by Steve and Cassandra Torello.The Austrian Economics Research Conference is the international, interdisciplinary meeting of the Austrian school, bringing together leading scholars doing research in this vibrant and influential intellectual tradition.
In memory of Roger Garrison, Bob walks through Garrison's famous capital-based macroeconomics diagrams, showing how they translate the Mises-Hayek theory of the boom-bust cycle into the language of modern macroeconomics.Related:Roger Garrison, The Austrian Theory of the Business Cycle: Mises.org/HAP542aRoger Garrison, Austrian Macroeconomics: A Diagrammatical Exposition: Mises.org/HAP542bThe Diagrams Referenced in the Podcast: Mises.org/HAP542cDr. Garrison's PowerPoints: Mises.org/HAP542dThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
In memory of Roger Garrison, Bob walks through Garrison's famous capital-based macroeconomics diagrams, showing how they translate the Mises-Hayek theory of the boom-bust cycle into the language of modern macroeconomics.Related:Roger Garrison, The Austrian Theory of the Business Cycle: Mises.org/HAP542aRoger Garrison, Austrian Macroeconomics: A Diagrammatical Exposition: Mises.org/HAP542bThe Diagrams Referenced in the Podcast: Mises.org/HAP542cDr. Garrison's PowerPoints: Mises.org/HAP542dThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
From self‑driving Teslas to geopolitics and rising property taxes, this episode dives into the issues shaping everyday American life. The Common Ground crew tackles AI addiction, drone warfare, midterm election uncertainty, and why local politics may matter more than ever. With humor, personal stories, and unfiltered debate, they explore how technology, faith, leadership, and community collide in a rapidly changing world. To learn more, please visit our website The Common Ground This podcast is produced by BG Podcast Network. Chapters00:00 Introduction and Banter01:42 Faith, Opening Prayers, and Setting the Tone03:25 Teslas, Technology, and Full Self‑Driving Stories06:40 AI, ChatGPT, and Everyday Use09:08 Drones, Ukraine, and Global Conflict11:36 China, Oil, and Geopolitical Shifts13:57 Stoicism, Stress, and Personal Resilience16:22 NASCAR, Revenue Battles, and Sports Politics18:48 Gas Prices, EVs, and the Future of Energy21:09 Midterms, Voting Systems, and Local Leadership23:31 Sheriff Races, Political Strategy, and Community Impact25:46 Property Taxes, Housing, and Economic Pressures28:10 Local Government, Schools, and Policy Battles32:52 Podcasts, Lobbyists, and the Political Landscape35:15 National Security, Protests, and Law Enforcement37:26 Guns, Safety, and Training41:54 ICE, Immigration, and Public Perception46:29 Federal Spending, Contracts, and Accountability48:46 Settlements, Lawsuits, and Legal Realities50:57 Development, Real Estate, and Local Challenges53:18 Business Cycles, Restaurants, and Staying Ahead55:39 Public vs. Private Solutions for Schools58:06 Taxes, Endowments, and the Cost of Government01:00:27 Universities, Tuition, and Student Life01:02:48 Sports, Academics, and the Carolina Way01:05:05 NIL, College Athletics, and the Future01:07:27 Franklin Street, Campus Culture, and Change01:09:27 Tuition, Out‑of‑State Costs, and Access01:11:49 Business, Economy, and American Identity01:14:12 Media, Politics, and Public Influence01:16:38 Local Council, Pressure, and Governing01:19:04 Epstein, Scandals, and Public Curiosity01:21:20 Prison Systems, Justice, and Reality01:22:48 Race, Society, and Cultural History01:24:48 Africa, Identity, and Travel Reflections01:27:09 Food, Culture, and the Diaspora01:29:26 DNA, Family Stories, and Heritage01:33:17 Race, Class, and Shared History01:35:40 Closing Thoughts and Shout‑OutsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Patricia and Christian talk to economist and author Professor John T Harvey about his latest book, "US business cycles from 1954-2020", his evergreen "Contending Perspectives In Economics", and solutions to an inherently unstable system. Please help sustain this podcast! Patrons get early access to all episodes and patron-only episodes: https://www.patreon.com/MMTpodcast Relevant to this episode: Join John T. Harvey, Patricia Pino, Phil Armstrong and many more at Scotland's Festival of Economics (Edinburgh and online) 19th - 21st March 2026: https://www.scoteconfest.org/#learnmore Join the new MMT UK discord server to connect with others looking to promote MMT and ecological economics in the UK!: https://discord.gg/S3UbxFe4FR All our episodes with John T Harvey: https://www.patreon.com/posts/44371783 "US Business Cycles 1954–2020" by John T Harvey: https://www.cambridge.org/us/universitypress/subjects/economics/macroeconomics-and-monetary-economics/us-business-cycles-19542020-sources-symptoms-solutions "Contending Perspectives in Economics" by John T Harvey: https://www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/contending-perspectives-in-economics-9781789900484.html Episode 148 - Pavlina Tcherneva: Why The Job Guarantee Is Core To Modern Monetary Theory: https://www.patreon.com/posts/episode-148-why-73211346 Quick read: Pavlina Tcherneva's Job Guarantee FAQ page: https://pavlina-tcherneva.net/job-guarantee-faq/ "Is exchange rate depreciation inflationary?" by Bill Mitchell: https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=32922 All our episodes in chronological order: https://www.patreon.com/posts/43111643 All our patron-only episodes: https://www.patreon.com/posts/57542767 JOIN PATRICIA'S MMT ACTIVIST NETWORK (MMT UK): https://actionnetwork.org/forms/activist-registration-form Join the MMT UK Discord server to connect with others looking to promote MMT and ecological economics in the UK!: https://discord.gg/S3UbxFe4FR NEW! ANTI-AUSTERITY ECONOMICS ONE-DAY WORKSHOPS WITH PROFESSOR STEVEN HAIL IN 2026! Auckland Sat 18 April | Dunedin Sun 19 April | Brighton Sat 20 June | Stockholm Sat 27 June | Brussels Sun 28 June All details: https://modernmoneylab.org.au/events/ STUDY THE ECONOMICS OF SUSTAINABILITY! Details of Modern Money Lab's online graduate, postgraduate and standalone courses in economics are here: https://modernmoneylab.org.au/ MMT: THE MOVIE! "Finding The Money", a documentary by Maren Poitras featuring Stephanie Kelton is now available worldwide to rent or buy: https://findingthemoney.vhx.tv/products/finding-the-money Updates on worldwide screenings of "Finding The Money" can be found here: https://findingmoneyfilm.com/where-to-watch/ To arrange a screening of "Finding The Money", apply here: https://findingmoneyfilm.com/host-a-screening/ For an intro to MMT: Our first three episodes: https://www.patreon.com/posts/41742417 Episode 126 - Dirk Ehnts: How Banks Create Money: https://www.patreon.com/posts/62603318 Quick MMT reads: Warren's Mosler's MMT white paper: http://moslereconomics.com/mmt-white-paper/ Steven Hail's quick MMT explainer: https://theconversation.com/explainer-what-is-modern-monetary-theory-72095 Quick explanation of government debt and deficit: "Some Numbers Are Big. Let Me Help You Get Over It": https://christreilly.com/2020/02/17/some-numbers-are-big-let-me-help-you-get-over-it/ For a short, non-technical, free ebook explaining MMT, download Warren Mosler's "7 Deadly Innocent Frauds Of Economic Policy" here: http://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/powerpoints/7DIF.pdf Episodes on monetary operations: Episode 20 - Warren Mosler: The MMT Money Story (part 1): https://www.patreon.com/posts/28004824 Episode 126 - Dirk Ehnts: How Banks Create Money: https://www.patreon.com/posts/62603318 Episode 13 - Steven Hail: Everything You Always Wanted To Know About Banking, But Were Afraid To Ask: https://www.patreon.com/posts/41790887 Episode 43 - Sam Levey: Understanding Endogenous Money: https://www.patreon.com/posts/35073683 Episode 84 - Andrew Berkeley, Richard Tye & Neil Wilson: An Accounting Model Of The UK Exchequer (Part 1): https://www.patreon.com/posts/46352183 Episode 86 - Andrew Berkeley, Richard Tye & Neil Wilson: An Accounting Model Of The UK Exchequer (Part 2): https://www.patreon.com/posts/46865929 For more on Quantitative Easing: Episode 59 - Warren Mosler: What Do Central Banks Do?: https://www.patreon.com/posts/39070023 Episode 143 - Paul Sheard: What Is Quantitative Easing?: https://www.patreon.com/posts/71589989?pr=true Episodes on inflation: Episode 7: Steven Hail: Inflation, Price Shocks and Other Misunderstandings: https://www.patreon.com/posts/41780508 Episode 65 - Phil Armstrong: Understanding Inflation: https://www.patreon.com/posts/40672678 Episode 104 - John T Harvey: Inflation, Stagflation & Healing The Nation: https://www.patreon.com/posts/52207835 Episode 123 - Warren Mosler: Understanding The Price Level And Inflation: https://www.patreon.com/posts/59856379 Episode 128 - L. Randall Wray & Yeva Nersisyan: What's Causing Accelerating Inflation? Pandemic Or Policy Response?: https://www.patreon.com/posts/63776558 Our Job Guarantee episodes: Episode 4 - Fadhel Kaboub: What is the Job Guarantee?: https://www.patreon.com/posts/41742701 Episode 47 - Pavlina Tcherneva: Building Resilience - The Case For A Job Guarantee: https://www.patreon.com/posts/36034543 Episode 148 - Pavlina Tcherneva: Why The Job Guarantee Is Core To Modern Monetary Theory: https://www.patreon.com/posts/episode-148-why-73211346 Quick read: Pavlina Tcherneva's Job Guarantee FAQ page: https://pavlina-tcherneva.net/job-guarantee-faq/ More on government bonds (and "vigilantes"): Episode 30 - Steven Hail: Understanding Government Bonds (Part 1):https://www.patreon.com/posts/29621245 Episode 31 - Steven Hail: Understanding Government Bonds (Part 2): https://www.patreon.com/posts/29829500 Episode 143 - Paul Sheard: What Is Quantitative Easing?: https://www.patreon.com/posts/71589989?pr=true Episode 147 - Dirk Ehnts: Do Markets Control Our Politics?: https://www.patreon.com/posts/episode-147-dirk-72906421 Episode 144 - Warren Mosler: The Natural Rate Of Interest Is Zero: https://www.patreon.com/posts/71966513 Episode 145 - John T Harvey: What Determines Currency Prices?: https://www.patreon.com/posts/72283811?pr=true More on bank runs banking regulation: Episode 162 - Warren Mosler: Anatomy Of A Bank Run: https://www.patreon.com/posts/80157783?pr=true Episode 163 - L. Randall Wray: Breaking Banks - The Fed's Magical Monetarist Thinking Strikes Again: https://www.patreon.com/posts/80479169?pr=true Episode 165 - Robert Hockett: Sparking An Industrial Renewal By Building Banks Better: https://www.patreon.com/posts/81084983?pr=true MMT founder Warren Mosler's Proposals for the Treasury, the Federal Reserve, the FDIC, and the Banking System: https://neweconomicperspectives.org/2010/02/warren-moslers-proposals-for-treasury.html MMT Events And Courses: NEW! ANTI-AUSTERITY ECONOMICS ONE-DAY WORKSHOPS WITH PROFESSOR STEVEN HAIL IN 2026! Auckland Sat 18 April | Dunedin Sun 19 April | Brighton Sat 20 June | Stockholm Sat 27 June | Brussels Sun 28 June All details: https://modernmoneylab.org.au/events/ More information about Professor Bill Mitchell's MMTed project (free public online courses in MMT) here: http://www.mmted.org/ Details of Modern Money Lab's online graduate and postgraduate courses in MMT and real-world economics are here: https://modernmoneylab.org.au/ Order the Gower Initiative's "Modern Monetary Theory - Key Insights, Leading Thinkers": https://www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/modern-monetary-theory-9781802208085.html MMT Academic Resources compiled by The Gower Initiative for Modern Money Studies: https://www.zotero.org/groups/2251544/mmt_academic_resources_compiledby_the_gower_initiative_for_modern_money_studies MMT scholarship compiled by New Economic Perspectives: http://neweconomicperspectives.org/mmt-scholarship A list of MMT-informed campaigns and organisations worldwide: https://www.patreon.com/posts/47900757 We are working towards full transcripts, but in the meantime, closed captions for all episodes are available on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCEp_nGVTuMfBun2wiG-c0Ew/videos
Stijn Schmitz welcomes Henrik Zeberg to the show. Henrik Zeberg is Head Macro Economist at Swissblock. In this in-depth discussion, Zeberg provides a comprehensive analysis of the current economic landscape, focusing on potential market dynamics and an impending economic recession. Zeberg argues that the current market, particularly in technology and AI, resembles the dot-com bubble, with valuations reaching unsustainable levels. He suggests that while AI will indeed be transformative, the current market exuberance is reminiscent of previous technological bubbles where expectations far outpace immediate economic realities. The market capitalization to GDP ratio currently stands at approximately 230%, compared to 137% during the dot-com bubble, indicating extreme market overvaluation. Regarding the economic outlook, Zeberg predicts a recession starting no later than the second quarter of 2026, potentially in March or April. He points to significant weaknesses in the job market, with job creation at its lowest levels in 50 years and a growing disconnect between the financial world and real economic conditions. The labor market indicators suggest a substantial economic slowdown, with 50% of consumer spending coming from just 10% of the population. Henrik anticipates a complex economic cycle involving an initial deflationary period followed by potential inflationary pressures. He expects the Federal Reserve will attempt to intervene, potentially creating a market rally before an eventual significant market correction. He suggests that investors should be prepared for volatility and consider hard assets like real estate, commodities, and precious metals as potential long-term investments. In terms of investment strategy, Zeberg recommends controlling emotional responses, avoiding getting caught in market euphoria, and being patient. He believes the current environment requires careful navigation, with potential opportunities emerging after a meaningful market pullback. The key is understanding that the era of double-digit growth in speculative assets is likely coming to an end. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:46 – AI vs Dotcom Bubble 00:04:20 – Current Market Valuations 00:09:58 – Market Cap GDP Anomalies 00:12:07 – Consumer Job Market Weakness 00:15:18 – Delinquency Trends 00:16:38 – Historical Recession Parallels 00:18:40 – Government Debt Constraints 00:21:24 – Fed Intervention Inflation 00:26:25 – Deflationary to Inflationary Shift 00:29:37 – Asset Allocation Strategies 00:32:00 – Key Economic Indicators 00:36:05 – Gold Silver Outlook 00:43:14 – Recession Timeline Prediction Guest Links: Substack: https://henrikzeberg.substack.com X: https://x.com/HenrikZeberg Website: https://swissblock.net/ Henrik Zeberg is a Macroeconomist (M.Sc. Econ) from the University of Copenhagen. He is a Business Cycles student, Elliott Wave practitioner, and Chartist. He is the Head Macro Economist at Swissblock where he writes the Zeberg letter a comprehensive monthly macroeconomic report.
✔️ Hopium:Are we cooked or about to cook?It's over, it's late, it's Epstein, it's quantum, it's going to zero. Bitcoin vs. Business Cycle... might be worth paying attention toBitcoins Security Budget✔️ Bitcoin Treasuries Cango ✔️ The StateIllinois proposed the Community Bitcoin Reserve ActBanks And Crypto Lobby Set To Meet AgainSEC Greenlights tokenization✔️ Sources:► https://x.com/sminston_with/status/2020885172225458673?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/donnydicey/status/2020264134319972727?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/drjstrategy/status/2019578213220106674?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/lopp/status/2020848155257086193?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/bitcoinmagazine/status/2020860158356693260?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/2020943029817774208► https://x.com/coinbureau/status/2020734656744964570?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/bitcoinnews/status/2020135458303537538?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/tftc21/status/2020973864562590077?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► DONATE TO HELP KEONNE AND BILL https://www.change.org/p/stand-up-for-freedom-pardon-the-innocent-coders-jailed-for-building-privacy-tools✔️ Check out Our Bitcoin Only Sponsors!► https://archemp.co/Discover the pinnacle of precision engineering. Our very first product, the bitcoin logo wall clock, is meticulously machined in Maine from a solid block of aerospace-grade aluminum, ensuring unparalleled durability and performance. We don't compromise on quality – no castings, just solid, high-grade material. Our state-of-the-art CNC machining center achieves tolerances of 1/1000th of an inch, guaranteeing a perfect fit and finish every time. Invest in a product built to last, with the exacting standards you deserve.► Join Our telegram: https://t.me/theplebunderground#Bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency #dailybitcoinnews #memecoinsThe information provided by Pleb Underground ("we," "us," or "our") on Youtube.com (the "Site") our show is for general informational purposes only. All information on the show is provided in good faith, however we make no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, adequacy, validity, reliability, availability, or completeness of any information on the Site. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCE SHALL WE HAVE ANY LIABILITY TO YOU FOR ANY LOSS OR DAMAGE OF ANY KIND INCURRED AS A RESULT OF THE USE OF THE SHOW OR RELIANCE ON ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED ON THE SHOW. YOUR USE OF THE SHOW AND YOUR RELIANCE ON ANY INFORMATION ON THE SHOW IS SOLELY AT YOUR OWN RISK.
Interview recorded - 30th of January, 2026On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Henrik Zeberg. Henrik is the Head Macro Economist at Swissblock.During our conversation we spoke about his review of 2025, outlook for 2026, the upcoming recession, precious metals, shift to risk on and potential crash. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:20 - Review of 20254:27 - 2026 a continuation of 20259:38 - K shape economy13:26 - US Dollar and Energy16:42 - New Fed chair19:10 - Precious metals23:52 - Risk on25:57 - Crash27:39 - One message to takeaway?Henrik Zeberg is a Macroeconomist (M.Sc. Econ) from the University of Copenhagen. He is a Business Cycles student, Elliott Wave practitioner, and Chartist. You can find out more about his newsletter on his Website.Henrik Zeberg - Newsletter - https://www.thezebergreport.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/HenrikZebergWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
Brian Levitt, global market strategist at Invesco, says he is watching but not worried about geopolitics, the interest rate environment and more because the current business cycle is strong enough to continue through the year. Levitt entered the year with a mindset of rebalancing and diversifying to take advantage of areas like international investments and small-caps that have been underweighted in portfolios, and he says foreign stocks should benefit all year from weaker dollar conditions. Dollar strength is one of four key market signals — corporate bond spreads, transportation stocks and inflation expectations are the others — that he is watching right now as gauges of continued market and economic strength. Brian Moody, executive editor at Kelley Blue Book, discusses price trends among new cars — elevated, but stable — used cars and what consumers can do in an effort to get better prices no matter what they are buying. He also discusses Chuck's recent search for and purchase of a new car, and talks briefly about what he drives and why. Lester Jones, chief economist for the National Beer Wholesalers Association, discusses how the January 2026 Beer Purchasers Index doesn't show an end to the "beer recession," he was seeing in the numbers last fall, but it does show that sales have started to pick up from levels that had gotten ugly. That resurgence — a forward- looking indicator since it measures the sale of beer that will be available to the public in several months — could be a sign that economic consumption could be up in 2026, a phenomenon not just limited to beer.
Mark Thornton revisits the Skyscraper Curse—the eerie pattern linking record-height towers to major busts—and argues the next signal is flashing for 2026. Saudi Arabia's Jeddah Tower has restarted and is reportedly adding floors fast, poised to surpass the world record. Mark explains why skyscraper records tend to coincide with late-cycle excess, and how to read the next 12–24 months without superstition.The Skyscraper Curse: And How Austrian Economists Predicted Every Major Economic Crisis of the Last Century by Mark Thornton: https://mises.org/curseAnatomy of the Crash, edited by Tho Bishop: https://mises.org/crashJoin us for the Mises Institute's first event of 2026, featuring Keith Smith, Caitlin Long, Ryan McMaken, Per Bylund, and Timothy Terrell: "Entrepreneurship Beyond Politics: Mises Circle in Oklahoma City." Register today at https://mises.org/okcOrder a Minor Issues tumbler today! https://mises.org/MinorIssuesTumblerEnter the 2026 Stocks vs. Manure Prediction Contest at https://mises.org/form/stocks-vs-manure-2026Be sure to follow Minor Issues at https://Mises.org/MinorIssues
If you've been beating yourself up for not being consistent enough, visible enough, or growing fast enough – I need you to hear this: You're not behind. You're exactly on time. You might just be comparing your cycle to someone else's.In this episode, I'm breaking down why some business strategies feel like pushing ### uphill while others flow effortlessly – and how to tell which season you're actually in.What you'll learn:→ Why hustle culture ignores your natural business cycles→ Three key timing techniques in astrology (transits, progressions, profections)→ How to tell if you're in a visibility phase or a retreat phase→ Why forcing visibility during a retreat phase makes everything harderThis is Episode 1 of a 4-part series on Business Timing. Make sure you stay tuned for the whole series to understand your complete timing system.THE FULL SERIES:→ Episode 2: Transits – When It's Go Time vs No Time [Coming Soon]→ Episode 3: Progressions – Your 2-3 Year Business Seasons [Coming Soon]→ Episode 4: Annual Profections and Putting It All Together – Your Complete Timing System [Coming Soon]WORK WITH ME:Book a Cosmic Business Strategy Session to map out your timing, your cycles, and create a strategic plan for the year ahead → sophiapallas.com/servicesLINKS:→ Website: sophiapallas.com→ Instagram: @sophiapallas→ Newsletter: Sign up for my Cosmic Business Full Moon newsletter PODCAST DISCLAIMER: The information contained in this podcast and the resources available for download or purchase are for educational and informational purposes only. This information is not a substitute for advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
You know that uncomfortable moment when your safe assets aren't paying what they used to? That's when most investors make their biggest mistake—chasing yield right before a market downturn. We're going to show you how life insurance breaks that cycle. The business cycle has a nasty habit of pushing conservative investors into stocks at exactly the wrong time. Interest rates drop, your CDs and bonds pay less, and suddenly risker assets look appealing. Then the market drops and you're stuck watching losses pile up on money that was supposed to be safe. Life insurance products move much slower than the broader market. While your CDs react immediately to rate changes, whole life dividends barely budge. Index universal life insurance stays remarkably stable even during market chaos. This matters even more when you're taking distributions in retirement. The average investor takes 40 months to recover from a 20% market decline—nearly twice as long as the market itself. Having assets that aren't whipped around by economic cycles gives you the power to wait out downturns. We'll walk through how whole life and index universal life insurance acted as hedges during 2008 and other market disruptions. You'll see why these products let you avoid the panic that causes so many investors to lock in losses they didn't need to take. ____________________________ Want to explore how life insurance can hedge your portfolio against business cycle risks? Reach out to us—we'd be happy to discuss strategies that fit your specific situation.
The US economy is hooked on easy money and artificially low interest rates. Huge credit expansions are not “stimulating” the economy; they are destroying it.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/next-economic-downturn-will-be-here-soon-enough
The US economy is hooked on easy money and artificially low interest rates. Huge credit expansions are not “stimulating” the economy; they are destroying it.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/next-economic-downturn-will-be-here-soon-enough
Nick Valdez looks at the BUSINESS CYCLE, or PMI and how it relates to 2026's crypto environment. Raoul Pal and Tom Lee have some very interesting theories which should lead to the rally of all rallies!
In this episode of the Crypto 101 podcast, hosts Tevo and Brendan discuss the latest developments in the cryptocurrency market, including bullish news from major financial institutions, technical analysis of Bitcoin, and the potential impact of macroeconomic factors. They also explore the growing acceptance of cryptocurrency in retail, particularly with Walmart's new payment options, and engage with their dedicated listener community, celebrating their support and interaction.Register For The Next Live Trading SessionCheck out Plus500: https://plus500.comEfani Sim Swap Protection: Get $99 Off: http://efani.comcrypto101Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code CRYPTO101 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comCheck out Quince: https://quince.com/CRYPTO101Check out Gemini Exchange: https://gemini.com/cardThe Gemini Credit Card is issued by WebBank. In order to qualify for the $200 crypto intro bonus, you must spend $3,000 in your first 90 days. Terms Apply. Some exclusions apply to instant rewards in which rewards are deposited when the transaction posts. This content is not investment advice and trading crypto involves risk. For more details on rates, fees, and other cost information, see Rates & Fees. The Gemini Credit Card may not be used to make gambling-related purchases.Get immediate access to my entire crypto portfolio for just $1.00 today! Get your FREE copy of "Crypto Revolution" and start making big profits from buying, selling,Chapters00:00 Introduction to the Crypto Landscape01:03 Market Analysis: Bitcoin and Altcoins11:12 Technical Analysis Insights12:05 Global Economic Influences on Crypto17:03 US Government's Potential Bitcoin Acquisition23:18 Global Financial Adoption of Crypto25:57 Major Financial Institutions Embrace Bitcoin29:12 Market Predictions and Analyst Insights31:35 Business Cycle and Economic Predictions34:33 Real-World Crypto Use Cases37:23 Community Engagement and Listener AppreciationMERCH STOREhttps://cryptorevolutionmerch.com/Subscribe to YouTube for Exclusive Content:https://www.youtube.com/@crypto101podcast?sub_confirmation=1Follow us on social media for leading-edge crypto updates and trade alerts:https://twitter.com/Crypto101Podhttps://instagram.com/crypto_101*This is NOT financial, tax, or legal advice*Boardwalk Flock LLC. All Rights Reserved ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬Fog by DIZARO https://soundcloud.com/dizarofrCreative Commons — Attribution-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported — CC BY-ND 3.0 Free Download / Stream: http://bit.ly/Fog-DIZAROMusic promoted by Audio Library https://youtu.be/lAfbjt_rmE8▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬Our Sponsors:* Check out Plus500: https://plus500.com* Check out Plus500: https://plus500.com* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/CRYPTO101* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code CRYPTO101 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
In this episode, we're joined by Corey Klujsza, VP of Pricing and Procurement Strategy at RXO. With experience spanning Coyote Logistics, UPS, and now RXO, Corey brings deep insight into how the truckload market works. He walks us through RXO's quarterly market analysis framework—the RXO Curve—which tracks year-over-year truckload rate changes to understand market cycles and risk.We dig into the logistics business cycle from equilibrium to peak and through the downturn, examine current market conditions, and discuss factors like tariff uncertainty, the flat market since Q2 2023, and the ongoing gap between spot and contract rates. Corey also weighs in on whether technology and faster information flow are changing the fundamentals of supply and demand or simply speeding up how the market reacts.If you work in freight procurement, carrier relations, or market analysis, this episode offers valuable perspective on today's truckload market. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Jonathan Newman returns to join Bob in a critique of Eliezer Yudkowsky's viral theory of investment bubbles. Yudkowsky states that the bad investment during bubbles should be felt before the bubble pops, not after. They argue that his perspective—while clever—fails to consider the Austrian insights on capital structure, time preference, and the business cycle. They use analogies from apple trees to magic mushrooms to show why Austrian economics provides the clearest explanation for booms, busts, and the pain that follows.Eliezer Yudkowsky's Theory on Investment Bubbles: Mises.org/HAP520aBob's Article "Correcting Yudkowsky on the Boom": Mises.org/HAP520bBob's on The Importance of Capital Theory: Mises.org/HAP520cJoe Salerno on Austrian Business Cycle Theory: Mises.org/HAP520dDr. Newman's QJAE Article on Credit Cycles: Mises.org/HAP520eThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
Jonathan Newman returns to join Bob in a critique of Eliezer Yudkowsky's viral theory of investment bubbles. Yudkowsky states that the bad investment during bubbles should be felt before the bubble pops, not after. They argue that his perspective—while clever—fails to consider the Austrian insights on capital structure, time preference, and the business cycle. They use analogies from apple trees to magic mushrooms to show why Austrian economics provides the clearest explanation for booms, busts, and the pain that follows.Eliezer Yudkowsky's Theory on Investment Bubbles: Mises.org/HAP520aBob's Article "Correcting Yudkowsky on the Boom": Mises.org/HAP520bBob's on The Importance of Capital Theory: Mises.org/HAP520cJoe Salerno on Austrian Business Cycle Theory: Mises.org/HAP520dDr. Newman's QJAE Article on Credit Cycles: Mises.org/HAP520eThe Mises Institute is giving away 100,000 copies of Hayek for the 21st Century. Get your free copy at Mises.org/HAPodFree
Watch This NEXT: https://youtu.be/FA8kGL3JXx8Apply to Work with Voics: https://www.voics.co/schedule-youtubeJoin Aura: https://www.aura-app.ai/Guest - Cardinal MasonYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CardinalMasonTwitter: https://x.com/cardinalmason?lang=en(00:00) Staying Relevant in the Info Product Space (02:15) From Influencer to Business Operator (05:27) Hitting Revenue Milestones & Paid Ads (07:42) Scarcity Mindset & Business Cycles (11:25) Materialism vs Building Wealth (13:23) Scaling with Paid Ads (20:07) The New Role of Organic Content (23:52) Market Saturation & Copycats (25:09) Targeting an Older Demographic (27:48) Building the Sales Team (30:37) Scaling Call Funnels & Webinars (34:59) Structuring Sales for Scale (38:04) Culture & Retention in Sales Teams (41:35) Leadership & Firing Lessons (43:45) Fitness as a Business Advantage (46:09) Fitness Journeys, TRT & Peptides (54:07) Lifestyle Trade-offs (59:38) Longevity, Mobility & Health as the Ultimate Flex (01:04:31) Shifting Motivations & Revenue Scoreboard (01:07:23) From Info Products to SaaS (01:11:20) SaaS Economics & Business Models (01:16:55) Scaling SaaS Through Info Product Flywheels (01:21:23) The Future of Info Products (01:25:29) Doubling Down When Things Are Good Support the show
Erica Groshen knows what's behind the numbers. She served as the 14th Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and a Vice President at the New York Fed. The BLS is rarely in the headlines but political assaults on its independence have suddenly made its work front-page news. At stake: whether the data that guide trillions in investment and policy decisions can still be trusted. In our conversation, Erica and I explored five questions that matter not just for CRE professionals, but for anyone trying to make sense of today's economy: What happens to markets when political leaders undermine trust in official statistics? How would a politicized Fed and BLS reshape the cost of capital and risk across the economy? How is the nation's labor data actually gathered? Why does the BLS's data matter so much for the business and CRE cycle? How does the Fed use labor data to set interest rates? This isn't an abstract debate. For commercial real estate, cap rates, borrowing costs, and deal structures all trace back to the business cycle - and that cycle is measured first and foremost by BLS data. If you want to look beyond today's headlines and hear why institutional trust translates directly into your cost of capital — this is the episode to listen to. *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing. With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside protection. Subscribe to my free newsletter for timely updates, insights, and tools to help you navigate today's volatile real estate landscape. You'll get: Straight talk on what happens when confidence meets correction - no hype, no spin, no fluff. Real implications of macro trends for investors and sponsors with actionable guidance. Insights from real estate professionals who've been through it all before. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe Email: adam@gowercrowd.com Call: 213-761-1000
Mit Rüdiger Bachmann und Christan Bayer. Lage in den USA Charlie Kirk, Jimmy Kimmel, Luigi Mangione, Antonio Gramsci Sinkende Geburtenraten Villaverde: The Demographic Future of Humanity: Economic Challenges Solow-Modell Pugsley: Grown-up Business Cycles, Older and slower: The startup deficit's lasting effects on aggregate productivity growth Prognose zur Entwicklung der Weltbevölkerung von 1950 bis 2100 Bachmann, […]
Do you know Why AI Makes Your Website MORE Important, Not Less? While AI agents seem to be replacing everything, your website is the one place you control your message and the primary "repository of information" that large language models use to learn about your business. In this interview, domain broker Jeffrey Gabriel explains that without a well-written website, AI models can't easily find, understand, or prioritize your business over competitors. Learn why your site is the essential "home base" you need to succeed in the age of AI.Book a 1-on-1 advisory session with me to apply these principles to your business: https://calendly.com/wltb/advisoryGuest: Jeffrey Gabriel, Founder of SawWebsite: https://saw.com
An der University of Notre Dame hat Rüdiger Bachmann die Vorlesung “Intermediate Macroeconomic Theory” gehalten und wir haben insgesamt 21 Sendungen aufgezeichnet, um diese Vorlesung – so gut es ohne die dazugehörende Folienpräsentation geht – hörbar abzubilden.
Investor Fuel Real Estate Investing Mastermind - Audio Version
In this episode of the Real Estate Pro Show, host Erika speaks with John Kabourakis, the owner of Fortified Roofing, about his journey in the roofing industry, the challenges he faced, and the innovations he has implemented in his business. John shares insights on the importance of quality craftsmanship, customer satisfaction, and the role of technology in modern roofing. He also discusses common misconceptions in the industry, the competitive landscape, and the significance of building strong relationships with vendors and customers. Looking ahead, John emphasizes the need for continuous adaptation and the exciting future of Fortified Roofing as they embrace new opportunities. Professional Real Estate Investors - How we can help you: Investor Fuel Mastermind: Learn more about the Investor Fuel Mastermind, including 100% deal financing, massive discounts from vendors and sponsors you're already using, our world class community of over 150 members, and SO much more here: http://www.investorfuel.com/apply Investor Machine Marketing Partnership: Are you looking for consistent, high quality lead generation? Investor Machine is America's #1 lead generation service professional investors. Investor Machine provides true ‘white glove' support to help you build the perfect marketing plan, then we'll execute it for you…talking and working together on an ongoing basis to help you hit YOUR goals! Learn more here: http://www.investormachine.com Coaching with Mike Hambright: Interested in 1 on 1 coaching with Mike Hambright? Mike coaches entrepreneurs looking to level up, build coaching or service based businesses (Mike runs multiple 7 and 8 figure a year businesses), building a coaching program and more. Learn more here: https://investorfuel.com/coachingwithmike Attend a Vacation/Mastermind Retreat with Mike Hambright: Interested in joining a “mini-mastermind” with Mike and his private clients on an upcoming “Retreat”, either at locations like Cabo San Lucas, Napa, Park City ski trip, Yellowstone, or even at Mike's East Texas “Big H Ranch”? Learn more here: http://www.investorfuel.com/retreat Property Insurance: Join the largest and most investor friendly property insurance provider in 2 minutes. Free to join, and insure all your flips and rentals within minutes! There is NO easier insurance provider on the planet (turn insurance on or off in 1 minute without talking to anyone!), and there's no 15-30% agent mark up through this platform! Register here: https://myinvestorinsurance.com/ New Real Estate Investors - How we can work together: Investor Fuel Club (Coaching and Deal Partner Community): Looking to kickstart your real estate investing career? Join our one of a kind Coaching Community, Investor Fuel Club, where you'll get trained by some of the best real estate investors in America, and partner with them on deals! You don't need $ for deals…we'll partner with you and hold your hand along the way! Learn More here: http://www.investorfuel.com/club —--------------------
Paul Cwik unpacks Austrian Business Cycle Theory, explaining how artificial credit expansion triggers unsustainable booms and inevitable busts. He walks through models of savings, investment, and the structure of production to reveal how interest rate manipulation distorts the economy, and why liquidation and recovery are both necessary and painful.Recorded at the Mises Institute in Auburn, Alabama, on July 22, 2025.Mises University is the world's leading instructional program in the Austrian School of economics, and is the essential training ground for economists who are looking beyond the mainstream.
In this eye-opening and insightful discussion, Chris Perkins, Managing Partner and President of CoinFund and macro thinker and founder of Visserlabs, Jordi Visser, explore the profound impacts of AI and crypto on the future of the global economy and investment landscape. Jordi argues we will soon see a significant societal and financial shift: that traditional business cycles are dead, the Fortune 500 will not exist and Stablecoins are the bridge to the future. Thanks to legislation like the “Genius Act” and “Clarity Act”, Jordi feels investors and financial institutions will see Stablecoins as a critical bridge between traditional and digital investing — and give an accessible money alternative to people in countries with volatile currencies. Jordi and Chris also talk about ALT coins, including what they see as a big boom coming for Ethereum and Robinhood's breakthrough act to take private equity public through tokenization. Takeaways: Why Jordi Believes a Political and Financial Revolution is Coming Robinhoods, Robin Hood Like Move to Take Private Equity, Public How the Genius Act Will Save the U.S. Dollar and Make It and Stablecoins the Global Currency of the Future The Huge Upside for Ethereum 1:15 What Jordi is Talking to Chat GPT About Right Now 2:50 The Business Cycle is Dead 5:00 The Big, Beautiful Bill = Same Old Money Printing 6:30 Elon Musk's New Party & Why a Revolution is Coming 11:20 Why the 2030s Will Be A Graveyard for the Fortune 500 14:00 The Next Investing Revolution? Private Equity Going Public Through Tokenization 17:50 The Genius Act & How It Ensures the U.S. Dollar Will Be a Reserve Currency Forever 21:47 The Future is Stablecoin to Defi to AI and the Impact on Developing Nations 27:15 The Next Big Thing: FX (Forex=Foreign Exchange) 30:30 AI Will Destroy Established Businesses & Bitcoin Will Be the Only Game in Town 32:45 What About ALT Coins? And an Ethereum Boom to Come? 38:45 Tom Lee's New ETH Treasury Company Bitmine and the Eruption of Treasury Companies 42:50 The Fortune 500 Company That Won't Die 43:27 The Clarity Act Jordi says he's been talking to ChatGPT about our insatiable appetite for Copper. Get our Free Report on Investing in Copper here https://wealthion.com/copper/ and watch our video with some of the biggest Copper miners and junior miners here Subscribe to our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Wealthion Follow us on X: https://x.com/wealthion Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://wealthion.com/free/ Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH ____________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Create a Life that is Beautiful Podcast: Purpose | Lifestyle | Wellness | Spirituality
This is a MUST LISTEN to episode if you want to know how to grow your business. Learn how to grow your business no matter where you are in your business journey right now and position yourself not only for growth, but for growing a WORLD CLASS business within your niche and industry. You'll be learning: 1) What the 4 phases are to the business cycle; 2) What the ONE business problem is you need to prioritise solving next in order to grow your business; 3) What the ONE skillset is you need to prioritise learning next to grow your business; 4) Why ACCEPTING where you are right now in the business cycle is the ONLY effective way to grow; and 5) Why you're feeling overwhelmed, stressed out, confused or not seeing the results you want (and how to turn this around). By the end of this episode you'll be crystal clear on exactly what you need to focus your attention on next in your business. Happy listening! Apply to join my World Class Business & Leadership Program here: www.leticiaringe.com/shesworldclass Take my FREE World Class Training here: www.leticiaringe.com/worldclass Download my FREE Menstrual Magic Journal here: www.leticiaringe.com/menstrualmagicjournal Podcast Show Notes at: www.leticiaringe.com/podcast
A recession is defined by negative economic activity over several months with an accompanying decline in GDP. However, given the actual makeup of GDP, it is inaccurate to directly tie recessions to GDP at all.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/why-recessions-are-not-about-declining-gdp
A recession is defined by negative economic activity over several months with an accompanying decline in GDP. However, given the actual makeup of GDP, it is inaccurate to directly tie recessions to GDP at all.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/why-recessions-are-not-about-declining-gdp
Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: Instagram | YouTubeCheck out our recommended tool: Prop StreamThank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!
Interview recorded - 20th of June, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Henrik Zeberg. Henrik is also the Head Macro Economist at Swissblock.During our conversation we spoke about the volatile markets, the FED ignoring data, bond market, economy vs markets, global economics, and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:17 - What is Henrik watching?3:45 - Volatile markets5:33 - The FED ignoring data7:45 - Bond market11:35 - Economy vs markets14:33 - Money on the side-line15:51 - Global economies18:28 - Tariff impact?22:46 - Wealth divide26:38 - Secular rates increase30:35 - AI societal improvements32:52 - One message to takeaway?Henrik Zeberg is a Macroeconomist (M.Sc. Econ) from the University of Copenhagen. He is a Business Cycles student, Elliott Wave practitioner, and Chartist. You can find out more about his newsletter on his Website.Henrik Zeberg - Newsletter - https://www.thezebergreport.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/HenrikZebergWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
If you've ever found yourself panicking over a slow sales month and spiraling into self-doubt—this episode is for you. April takes us behind the scenes of a real coaching conversation with a business owner convinced her business was falling apart... only to discover, it was just a predictable cycle. In this episode, you'll learn how to stop reacting emotionally to every dip, zoom out to see your patterns, and plan your growth accordingly. Because your business isn't broken—it might just be winter. What You'll Learn: Why most small business owners are blind to their own business cycles The difference in mindset between a $3M company and a $10M+ company How to track patterns to reduce panic and plan more strategically What to stop doing when things get slow How your emotional state is tied to your P&L (and how to cut that cord) Golden Quotes: “Profits up? I'm a genius. Profits down? I should've gone to law school.” “You're not screwing up your business. You're just in a cycle. Don't burn the house down.” “Strong marketing makes for easy sales. Weak marketing makes for hard sales.” “Don't try to fix everything from street view. Step back—look from the satellite view.” Action Steps: Zoom Out: Review your sales and lead data from the past 2–3 years. Spot trends—your slow seasons, your peaks. Plan With the Cycle: Use slow months for R&D, training, or backend projects. Don't launch major systems when you're in a sales sprint. Know Your Triggers: Recognize when you start to spiral emotionally. Your business isn't broken—your expectations might just be misaligned. --------- Want to be part of a transformative experience for entrepreneurs and leaders?
William Nordhaus coined the term “Political Business Cycle” a half-century ago. The idea was that government authorities, particularly the central bank, would manipulate the economy to correspond with election cycles, a practice that continues to this day.Original article: The Political Business Cycle 50 Years Later
William Nordhaus coined the term “Political Business Cycle” a half-century ago. The idea was that government authorities, particularly the central bank, would manipulate the economy to correspond with election cycles, a practice that continues to this day.Original article: The Political Business Cycle 50 Years Later
The importance of asset allocation and how investors can achieve alpha, according to James Kostohryz (1:40). 3 major shocks facing the US economy (4:30). Why Q1 GDP number was actually good (11:00). Iran, Israel, the US, and global oil prices (17:00). Look closely at monthly economic data, especially weekly jobless claims (28:10). No longer bullish on gold (33:20). (SDS) and going short on implied volatility (35:15). How dependent the US is on international trade, China in particular (41:50).Show Notes:Gold Is No Longer Safe: Why I'm Taking Profits On Gold And MinersWill War Trigger A Bear Market And Spike In Oil?Show transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions
Is President Trump right about interest rates? Is Fed Chairman Jay Powell making a mistake? Forget the mainstream media talking points. Mark Thornton cuts through the noise to explore the real economic threats facing America. In this episode, Mark dissects how the Fed's monetary policies, not just Trump's tariffs, have created a dangerous Austrian Business Cycle time bomb. Will Powell's rate cuts save the day, or is a recession inevitable? Mark examines key sectors of the S&P 500 to reveal the truth and predict what's coming next.Join us May 15-17, 2025, at the Mises Institute in Auburn, Alabama, for our Revisionist History of War Conference. This is our first history conference in almost thirty years. For more details and to register, visit https://Mises.org/rhw.Be sure to follow Minor Issues at Mises.org/MinorIssues
Hyundai has officially opened its new $7.6 billion electric vehicle plant in Georgia, marking a significant investment in U.S. manufacturing.Today's Stocks & Topics: AMRC - Ameresco Inc. Cl A, DIS - Walt Disney Co., Market Wrap, GFL - GFL Environmental Inc., Tariffs, Hyundai's Georgia EV Plant: A Strategic Bet on Electric and Hybrid Vehicles, WBD - Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. Series A, KPP Newsletter, The Weakening US Dollar, K - Kellanova, Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Business Cycles, Uncertainty.Our Sponsors:* Check out Kinsta: https://kinsta.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Today's Flashback Friday is from episode 258, published last May 7, 2012. We are all confused about economic indicators and it's critical that we understand the real figures, the direction of the economy, interest rates and their consequences, and much more. On this episode, Jason Hartman interviews Bernie Baumohl, author of Secrets of Economic Indicators, in regard to the numerous economic indicators and what is most useful. Bernie explains what a “business cycle” is and what happens during the cycle, how it comes full circle over time. Bernie gives examples of stress points in the business cycle. People make mistakes, such as buying more inventory than they need or the economy can't handle the demand of the people. More recently, we have seen longer periods of economic growth, but at a closer look, the mistakes that caused the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression are apparent. It was a “cauldron of fraud and wrecklessness,” says Bernie. Jason and Bernie touch on the subject of the Federal Reserve and the Gold Standard, citing what has been happening in Greece as an example of the limitations of a currency that is fixed and unmovable. Bernie feels that a country in economic trouble needs to have the flexibility to lower interest rates. They also discuss market sensitivity, the index, and the source of the leading market indicators. Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
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