American economist (born 1927)
POPULARITY
From the 1950s onwards, the foundations of investment consulting were laid, as pension funds and institutional investors sought professional guidance on asset allocation and portfolio management. This was enhanced in the 1960s & 70s by the introduction of Modern Portfolio Theory by Harry Markowitz and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) by William Sharpe. Today, the investment consulting industry has become a vast cog in the investing machinery, increasingly extending its reach from institutional through to individual investors. In this interview, Michael Manning, CEO of NEPC, with nearly $2 trillion under advice, sits at the epicenter of these developments. We learn how the world of consulting has developed, the reasons behind its growth, how it has adapted, and its move into the individual market. Michael then discusses the investment terrain. Is the US peaking relatively, and what might that mean? How to assess passive versus active? Is private equity due to disappoint? And how to assess the risk/returns of private debt, infrastructure and real estate. The Money Maze Podcast is kindly sponsored by Schroders, IFM Investors, World Gold Council and LSEG. Sign up to our Newsletter | Follow us on LinkedIn | Watch on YouTube
It's a super-sized episode today—and for good reason. We spend the bulk of the show in a deep, insightful conversation with Dr. Meir Statman, a leading voice in behavioral finance. I also walk you through the four non-financial pillars of retirement: mindset, energy, passions, and relationships. We'll talk about how to manage what you can control—and how to respond when life throws you the stuff you can't. Plus, we answer a few of your questions. There's a lot here, but it's worth every minute. Let's get to it.SUMMARY OF THIS EPISODE OF THE RETIREMENT ANSWER MAN(00:00) This podcast is dedicated to helping you survive retirement with confidence(00:34) Today on the show we are going to focus on the non-financial realm as we continue talking about process and things we can control versus what we can't control.ROCKIN RETIREMENT IN THE WILD(02:14) Roger shares an anonymous message from a listener about her husband retiring and the confidence they have built in their retirement.PRACTICAL PLANNING SEGMENT(04:50) Sometimes in retirement planning, we tend to overemphasize the financial side of things and forget about the rest of our lives.(06:23) Roger identifies controllables and non-controllables within the non-financial pillars of retirement. (14:50) Roger talks about some examples of people who focused on things that they could control and found success.(16:19) Roger says that the Rock Retirement Club has been a source of inspiration for him.INTERVIEW WITH MEIR STATMAN(18:13) Roger introduces Meir Statman, author of A Wealth of Wellbeing.(19:34) Roger asks what motivated Dr. Statman to write his latest book.(22:10) Dr. Statman talks about his relationship with Nobel Prize winner, Harry Markowitz(25:57) Roger talks about behavioral finance and what it means from his perspective.(30:02) We talk about financial wellbeing but you also need to focus on life wellbeing.(31:06) Dr. Statman discusses a u-curve in life wellbeing.(37:25) Roger and Dr. Statman talk about accepting who you are.(39:30) Dr. Statman talks about the components of wellbeing.(41:49) Roger asks about social capital in retirement.(49:00) Starting a conversation is really important, Meir says(51:19) What is cultural capital?(57:32) Developing social, cultural, and personal capital becomes harder as you get older.(01:01:38) What is personal capital?LISTENER QUESTIONS(01:04:42) Listener Brian sends a question about generating his retirement paycheck.(01:17:52) Another listener named Brian asks about investing in annuities.SMART SPRINT(01:22:20) In the next seven days, before you get out of bed, smile and tell yourself it is going to be a great day!BONUS(01:22:48) Roger reads from his grandfather's WWII journal.REFERENCESNick Vujicic- Motivational SpeakerNelson Mandela Mier StatmanRetirement Answer ManSign up for The Noodle (previously known as Six Shot Saturday) BOOKSMan's Search for Meaning by Viktor FranklI Know Why the Caged Bird Sings by Maya AngelouA Wealth of Well-Being: A Holistic Approach to Behavioral Finance by Meir StatmanThe Second Mountain: The Quest for a Moral Life by David BrooksBowling Alone: Revised and Updated: The Collapse and Revival of American Community by Robert PutnamThe How of Happiness: A Scientific Approach to Getting the Life You Want by Sonja LyubomirskyThinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts by Annie Duke
The 60/40 portfolio has been a bedrock of portfolio construction since Harry Markowitz developed it in the 1950s. Today's guest thinks we need to update our thinking. Daniel Kelly is the Chief Investment Officer of Viola Private Wealth.In today's episode we discuss:Navigating this volatile moment in marketsCapitalising on market downturnsUpdated rules of portfolio constructionManager selection and red flagsTrends in new funds coming to marketRead Daniel's recent paper on Alts hereInterested in speaking to the team at Viola Private Wealth or another of our hand-picked financial advisers? Fill out the form on our website and we'll match you with one of our advisers.—------Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message —------Want more Equity Mates? However you want to learn about investing - we've got you covered.We're particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis PointsListen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)Watch on YouTubeRead the monthly email—------Looking for some of our favourite research tools?Download our free 4-step stock checklistFind company information on TIKRScreen the market with GuruFocusResearch reports from Good ResearchTrack your portfolio with Sharesight—------In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people today. —------Equity Mates Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media. This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes. Any advice is general advice only, and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances, needs or objectives. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs and read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement. And if you are unsure, please speak to a financial professional. Equity Mates Media operates under Australian Financial Services Licence 540697. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Key Takeaways: 1.Volatility Isn't the Same as Risk Volatility means prices are changing a lot—up and down. Risk is the chance of losing money permanently. Just because something is bouncing around doesn't mean it's dangerous—it could be an opportunity. 2. Math Doesn't Tell the Whole Story Many investors use formulas to try to predict risk. But markets are influenced by people's feelings, news, and unexpected events—things math can't fully capture. So, relying only on numbers can cause people to miss the bigger picture. 3. Smart Investors Use Volatility to Win When prices drop suddenly, good investors look for great companies that are now “on sale.” They buy low when others are scared and sell high later when the price recovers. 4. A Real-Life Example: MSTR Stock The stock for MicroStrategy (MSTR) went through big price swings. Investors who understood this and bought when it was down saw big gains as the price later shot up. 5. Volatility = Growth Without price changes, there would be no chance to “buy low and sell high.” Volatility keeps the market moving and opens doors for financial growth over time. Chapters: Timestamp Summary 0:00 Introduction to Volatility and Misconceptions 0:42 The Math Trap and Harry Markowitz's Influence 1:57 Flaws of Equating Volatility with Risk 3:17 Limitations of Mathematical Models 4:32 Misinterpretations and AI Overestimations 5:37 Volatility Equals Growth and Investment Examples 8:22 Consequences of No Volatility and Final Thoughts Powered by Stone Hill Wealth Management Social Media Handles Follow Phillip Washington, Jr. on Instagram (@askphillip) Subscribe to Wealth Building Made Simple newsletter https://www.wealthbuildingmadesimple.us/ Ready to turn your investing dreams into reality? Our "Wealth Building Made Simple" premium newsletter is your secret weapon. We break down investing in a way that's easy to understand, even if you're just starting out. Learn the tricks the wealthy use, discover exciting opportunities, and start building the future YOU want. Sign up now, and let's make those dreams happen! WBMS Premium Subscription Phillip Washington, Jr. is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
Unlock the secrets of crafting a robust investment portfolio with insights that challenge conventional wisdom. Join me, Michael Gayed, alongside experts Matt O'Brian and Brad Barrie, as we explore the critical role of diversification and the potential risks when concentration takes center stage. We'll unravel the intricacies of true diversification, discuss "line item risk," and emphasize why preparation should be prioritized over prediction in the ever-volatile market landscape.Our conversation ventures into the uncharted territory of risk management by challenging traditional views on asset allocation. With insights from Harry Markowitz and our guests' expertise in tactical management, we highlight the necessity of understanding varying risk profiles rather than simply spreading investments across asset classes. As we dissect the influence of market psychology and valuation metrics, you'll learn how these elements affect investment decisions, especially during economic downturns.Discover innovative strategies for navigating complex market environments through mutual funds and global macro hedge fund approaches. This episode uncovers the often-overlooked advantages of mutual funds in less traditional asset classes and their synergy with hedge fund strategies. As markets continue to shift, we advocate for tactical active approaches and flexible portfolio management, ensuring you're equipped to adapt and thrive in a fluid financial world.DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Dynamic Wealth Group and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
Breit gestreut, nie bereut - nicht alles auf eine Aktie setzen! Am Montag, den 27. Februar 2025 sackte die Aktie des renommierten Chipherstellers Nvidia 17 Prozent ab, absolut ist dies der höchste Tagesverlust der Börsengeschichte . An einem einzigen Tag war Nvidia plötzlich 589 Milliarden US Dollar weniger an der Börse wert. Also doch lieber beim guten alten Bargeld und Sparbuch bleiben? Das wäre nicht sehr clever. Man darf nur nicht alle Eier in einen Korb legen, wie der amerikanische Wirtschaftsnobelpreisträger Harry Markowitz immer so schön zu sagen pflegte. Den ich übrigens, um meine Freude und meinen Stolz mit Euch zu teilen, noch persönlich interviewen durfte. Also was meinte Harry damit: Für einen Investor sind zwei Dinge entscheidend: Das Verlustrisiko und die Rendite – sprich der Gewinn. Das Verlustrisiko kann man erheblich reduzieren, wenn man nicht in einen Börsenwert investiert, sondern in mehrere und das ohne deshalb unbedingt im gleichen Ausmaß auf Gewinn verzichten zu müssen. Um in mehrere Wertpapiere investieren zu können, muss man nicht reich sein. Dafür gibt es spezielle Geldanlagen, mit denen man nicht in einzelne Werte, sondern gleich in einen Korb von Wertpapieren investiert. Das sind zum einen aktive Investmentfonds, bei denen Fondsmanager, also Wertpapierexperten, für Dich passende Wertpapiere aussuchen in die Du alle investiert. Oder Du investierst in einen ETF, vulgo exchange traded funds. Das ist einer über die Börse gehandelte Indexfonds, an dem Du Anteil erwirbst. Hier sucht kein Experte für Dich den Korb von Wertpapieren aus, sondern der Korb setzt sich automatisch genauso so wie ein bestimmter Index zusammen. Du hast vielleicht schon mal vom berühmten S&P 500 Index gehört, der die Entwirklung der 500 wertvollsten Unternehmen der USA wiederspiegelt. Oder Du hast vom MSCI World schon gelesen, der die Kursentwicklung von rund 1.500 Aktien aus 23 Industrieländern abbildet. Um zum aktuellen Beispiel Nvidia zurückzukommen: Hättest Du beispielsweise Deine 1000 Euro nicht nur in Nvidia-Aktien gesteckt, sondern breit gestreut mit einem ETF auf dem S&P 500 gesetzt, hättest Du an dem jüngsten schwarzen Montag nicht 170 Euro verloren, sondern 1,30 Euro. Aber natürlich: Wenn´s bei Nvidia aufwärts geht, bist Du auch nicht voll dabei. Welcher Risikotyp Du bist und ob Du Dir solche Verluste mental und finanziell leisten kannst, dazu später. Ich persönlich finde es jedenfalls keine gute Idee, mit einer einzigen Aktie mit dem Investieren zu starten. Was es neben Einzelaktien, Aktienfonds und Aktien-ETFs noch für Geldanlagen gibt, von denen Du Dir innerhalb eines bestimmten Zeitraums einen Wertzuwachs versprechen kannst und die sich auch für Deinen Vermögensaufbau eignen, dazu mehr in nächsten Folge der Börsenminute, immer wieder samstags. Anlegen2go! Go! Investieren heute, nicht übermorgen! Happy Investing wünscht Euch Julia Kistner Musik- & Soundrechte: https://www.geldmeisterin.com/index.php/musik-und-soundrechte/ Risikohinweis: Dies sind weder Anlage- noch Rechtsempfehlungen. Was ihr aus dem Inhalt der Börsenminute macht, liegt in Eurer Hand und Eurer Verantwortung. Podcast-Host Julia Kistner übernimmt dafür keinerlei Haftung. #Diversifikation #Nvidia #Vermögen #anlegen #Einzelaktie #ETF #Fonds #investieren
Have you ever wondered how the world's top financial thinkers shaped the way we invest today? In this episode, Ben and Cameron sit down with Professor Stephen Foerster from the Ivey Business School to explore the evolution of modern investing. As a distinguished financial expert and co-author of In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio, Professor Foerster dives into the groundbreaking work of financial pioneers like Harry Markowitz, Bill Sharpe, Gene Fama, and others, unpacking their remarkable contributions to portfolio management, risk assessment, and market efficiency as we know it today. Tuning in, you'll gain a deeper understanding of Markowitz's revolutionary diversification theory, Sharpe's introduction of beta as a risk measure, and Fama's Efficient Market Hypothesis, as well as each of their perspectives on the “perfect portfolio,” tying together the history, theory, and practical application of modern investment strategies. Whether you're looking to sharpen your strategy or build your investment knowledge from the ground up, this conversation with Professor Foerster is packed with actionable takeaways and fascinating stories that could change the way you approach your financial future. Don't miss this opportunity to learn from the thought leaders who shaped the market! Key Points From This Episode: (0:03:29) Contrasting the historical art of investing with the modern science of investing. (0:04:44) Markowitz's diversification theory and the importance of balancing risk and return. (0:09:39) Sharpe's capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and his contribution to measuring risk. (0:16:13) Insight into Fama's Efficient Markets Hypothesis and the joint hypothesis problem. (0:19:13) The rise of factor investing and the significance of Fama-French's three-factor model. (0:23:26) Unpacking Shiller and Fama's main point of disagreement on bubbles. (0:26:50) Bogle's perfect portfolio and persistence about the index fund, despite resistance. (0:29:37) How the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) option pricing formula changed the world. (0:34:37) Ways that Merton contributed to portfolio theory and his take on TIPS. (0:36:20) Key takeaways from talks with Martin Leibowitz, Charlie Ellis, and Jeremy Siegel. (0:37:35) An interesting analogy for Professor Foerster's take on the “perfect portfolio.” (0:40:53) Correlation vs. causation in stock pricing and how it applies to factor investing. (0:46:38) Examples of masterly inactivity and investor lessons from Madoff's Ponzi scheme. (0:52:07) The dangers of FOMO, a SPACs cautionary tale, and lessons from value investors. (1:00:43) Winning at tennis vs. investing and risks of over-reliance on automated decisions. (1:06:02) Long-term lessons from pioneers in finance to improve investment strategies today. Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/ Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — https://www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Professor Stephen Foerster — https://stephenrfoerster.com/ Ivey Business School — https://www.ivey.uwo.ca/ Stephen Foerster on LinkedIn – https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephen-foerster-26b85319/ Stephen Foerster on X – https://x.com/profsfoerster Stephen Foerster Books — https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B001KDO1L0 ‘Cristiano Ronaldo snubbed Coca-Cola. The company's market value fell $4 billion.' — https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2021/06/16/cristiano-ronaldo-coca-cola/ Books From Today's Episode: In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio: The Stories, Voices, and Key Insights of the Pioneers Who Shaped the Way We Invest — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0691229880 Trailblazers, Heroes, and Crooks: Stories to Make You a Smarter Investor — https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0DHLVYK1Q In Pursuit of the Unknown: 17 Equations That Changed the World — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0465085989 A History of Interest Rates — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0471732834 Winning the Loser's Game: Timeless Strategies for Successful Investing — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0071813659 Stocks for the Long Run — https://www.amazon.com/dp/1264269803/ Extraordinary Tennis For The Ordinary Player — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0517511991 Papers From Today's Episode: ‘Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work' — https://doi.org/10.2307/2325486 ‘The Loser's Game' — https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v31.n4.19 'The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities' — https://doi.org/10.1142/9789814759588_0001
Since the arrival of Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) in the early 1950's by the legendary Harry Markowitz, the industry has been sturdily anchored to this philosophy and all of it's artifacts when constructing portfolios. In recent years, however, an enterprising handful of large institutional asset owners have begun challenging the common wisdom of a strategic asset allocation approach given it tends to breed silo behavior, unhealthy competition for resources and attention, unrecognized duplication or disjointed risk exposure across the portfolio, and difficulty in managing the capital pool holistically around a view of the future. This is the story of how CAIA convened some of the most reputable and largest asset owners in the world to amplify the benefits of TPA and perhaps, the beginning of a new era. Guests: Ben Samild, Chief Investment Officer, Future Fund Jayne Bok, CFA, CAIA, Head of Investments, Asia, Willis Towers Watson Episode Sources
#526: Recorded LIVE on stage at the Morningstar Conference in Chicago! We chat with behavioral finance professor Meir Statman. He breaks down the differences between standard finance and behavioral finance, making it clear that understanding human behavior is an essential part of investing. Statman starts by explaining that standard finance assumes people are rational. They make decisions purely based on logic and aim to maximize wealth. However, behavioral finance sees people as normal, not always rational. We often act on emotions and cognitive shortcuts. For instance, people might prefer receiving dividends over selling shares, even if both result in the same financial gain. This is because dividends feel like income, while selling shares feels like dipping into savings. He uses a great metaphor to explain how investors view their portfolios. Think of a dinner plate: behavioral investors like their investments separated, like mashed potatoes on one side, vegetables on another, and steak in the middle. Rational investors don't care if it's all blended together because they only focus on the total nutrients. This shows that normal investors have different needs and want to balance safety with growth. Statman talks about the importance of diversification. He recalls a lunch with Harry Markowitz, the father of Modern Portfolio Theory, who supported the idea of having a mix of safe and risky investments. Markowitz himself had municipal bonds to avoid poverty and stocks to grow wealth. Diversifying helps investors manage risk and meet both their safety and growth needs. We then dive into how people manage money across their life cycle. Statman points out that young people know they need to save but are tempted to spend. They often control this urge by putting money into retirement accounts like 401(k)s. As people get older, they become so good at saving that they sometimes forget to spend and enjoy their money. Statman gives a funny example of his mother-in-law, who refused to replace an old sofa because she didn't want to dip into her savings. Statman also touches on asset pricing and market efficiency. He explains that while traditional finance focuses solely on risk, behavioral finance considers other factors like social responsibility. Some investors are willing to accept lower returns to stay true to their values. Additionally, he argues that market prices do not always reflect true value, and it's hard to predict when they will. Towards the end, we discuss the broader aspects of wellbeing. Statman emphasizes that financial wellbeing is just one part of a happy life. Family, health, work, and community are also crucial. He believes financial advisors should help clients achieve overall life wellbeing, not just financial success. For more information, visit the show notes at https://affordanything.com/episode526 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Do you think there are conspiracies in common financial practices? I do. Michael Edesess thinks so too. He thinks there may be some conspiracies with pensions as well. He explains why strategies like rebalancing, diversification, mean variance optimization, and tax loss harvesting might not be as beneficial as they seem. Michael sheds light on how institutions like Ivy League endowments and public pension funds waste billions on active management that underperforms simple market indices, driven by the industry's profit motives rather than investors' best interests. Today we discuss... Michael's unexpected entry into the finance world, influenced by a classmate's suggestion to explore a brokerage firm using mathematics. Why the finance industry and its practices, such as rebalancing and tax loss harvesting, fundamentally flawed. Michael's perspective on rebalancing, challenging the belief that it improves investment returns, and why he believes this advice is often misguided. The misconception of diversification in mutual funds and clarify the real benefits of diversification according to Harry Markowitz's theory. Modern portfolio theory (MPT) and Michael's critique of its practical application, especially concerning mean variance optimization. Why tax loss harvesting is not as beneficial as commonly perceived and the costs associated with it. Robo advisors, their cost efficiency, and why Michael believes they still don't offer significant value over simple index funds. The inefficiency and high costs of investment management for Ivy League endowment funds and public pension funds, labeling the industry as a conspiracy of inefficiency. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/conspiracies-in-common-financial-practices-michael-edesess-616
Harry Markowitz, the legendary economist and father of modern portfolio theory, has been credited with saying that diversification is the only free lunch in investing. However, his work on the efficient frontier shows that investors give up expected returns to lower expected risk. This may make diversification even more compelling. With uncertainty becoming a prevailing theme in financial markets and the global economy, focusing on the benefits on diversification could prove valuable for investors. The 60-40 portfolio may have lost its luster in the broad market selloff of 2022, but allocating across a diverse mix of assets is crucial in the long run. This episode of The Outthinking Investor dives into the topic of asset allocation and the role of stocks, bonds and alternatives in a diversified portfolio. Our guests are Antti Ilmanen, Global Co-Head of the Portfolio Solutions Group at AQR Capital Management and author of “Investing Amid Low Expected Returns: Making the Most When Markets Offer the Least”; Scott Cederburg, associate professor of finance at the University of Arizona and co-author of a research paper titled “Status Quo: A Critical Assessment of Lifecycle Investment Advice”; and Lorne Johnson, Head of Multi-Asset Portfolio Design at PGIM Quantitative Solutions. To hear more from PGIM, tune into our new podcast, Speaking of Alternatives, hosted by Eric Adler, President and CEO of PGIM Private Alternatives. Speaking of Alternatives is available on Spotify, Apple, Amazon Music, and other podcast platforms.
Erichsen Geld & Gold, der Podcast für die erfolgreiche Geldanlage
"There is no free lunch", es gibt kein kostenloses Mittagessen! Aus meiner Erfahrung heraus stimmt das spätestens nach dem Auszug aus dem heimischen Elternhaus - und es gilt auch an der Börse: Der Satz wird sehr häufig verwendet, um zu beschreiben, dass man immer irgendetwas riskieren muss, um auch etwas zu bekommen. Niemand anderes als Harry Markowitz hat allerdings auch gesagt: "Es gibt einen Free Lunch"! Wie dieser aussieht, werde ich heute für euch besprechen. ► Den neuen Podcast “Buy The Dip” findet ihr hier: https://buythedip.podigee.io ► Schau Dir hier die neue Aktion der Rendite-Spezialisten an: https://www.rendite-spezialisten.de/aktion ► TIPP: Sichere Dir wöchentlich meine Tipps zu Gold, Aktien, ETFs & Co. – 100% gratis: https://erichsen-report.de/ Viel Freude beim Anhören. Über eine Bewertung und einen Kommentar freue ich mich sehr. Jede Bewertung ist wichtig. Denn sie hilft dabei, den Podcast bekannter zu machen. Damit noch mehr Menschen verstehen, wie sie ihr Geld mit Rendite anlegen können. ► Mein YouTube-Kanal: http://youtube.com/ErichsenGeld ► Folge meinem LinkedIn-Account: https://www.linkedin.com/in/erichsenlars/ ► Folge mir bei Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ErichsenGeld/ ► Folge meinem Instagram-Account: https://www.instagram.com/erichsenlars Quelle der Audio-Snippets, abgerufen am 16.05.2024: URL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bM9bYOBuKF4&t=137s Titel: Are markets efficient? Kanal: Chicago Booth Review URL: https://erichsen.podigee.io/521-gold-gefallt-mir-viel-besser-als-bitcoin-mit-sebastian-hell Titel: Gold gefällt mir viel besser als Bitcoin!" - mit Sebastian Hell Kanal: Erichsen Geld & Gold, der Podcast für die erfolgreiche Geldanlage URL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHMEmOu4ZDw Kanal: ARD-Mediathek Die verwendete Musik wurde unter www.soundtaxi.net lizenziert. Ein wichtiger abschließender Hinweis: Aus rechtlichen Gründen darf ich keine individuelle Einzelberatung geben. Meine geäußerte Meinung stellt keinerlei Aufforderung zum Handeln dar. Sie ist keine Aufforderung zum Kauf oder Verkauf von Wertpapieren. Offenlegung wegen möglicher Interessenkonflikte: Die Autoren sind in den folgenden besprochenen Wertpapieren bzw. Basiswerten zum Zeitpunkt der Veröffentlichung investiert:-
Since the arrival of Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) in the early 1950's by the legendary Harry Markowitz, the industry has been sturdily anchored to this philosophy and all of it's artifacts when constructing portfolios. In recent years, however, an enterprising handful of large institutional asset owners have begun challenging the common wisdom of a strategic asset allocation approach given it tends to breed silo behavior, unhealthy competition for resources and attention, unrecognized duplication or disjointed risk exposure across the portfolio, and difficulty in managing the capital pool holistically around a view of the future. This is the story of how CAIA convened some of the most reputable and largest asset owners in the world to amplify the benefits of TPA and perhaps, the beginning of a new era. Guests: Ben Samild, Chief Investment Officer, Future Fund Jayne Bok, CFA, CAIA, Head of Investments, Asia, Willis Towers Watson Episode Sources
Today's podcast is titled, “Another 40 or 50 Years.” From 1997, winners of the 1990 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences, Dr. William F. Sharpe, Chairman, Financial Engines, Inc., and Dr. Harry Markowitz, President, Harry Markowitz Company, contemplate the next 40 or 50 years in modern portfolio management. Listen now, and don't forget to subscribe to get updates each week for the Free To Choose Media Podcast.
Picture your investment portfolio as a carefully crafted puzzle and asset allocation as the key to solving it. It not only helps you navigate the treacherous waters of risk but fine-tunes your investments to harmonize perfectly with your financial dreams. In this episode, we take a deep dive into the art and science of portfolio management. Discover the intricacies of portfolio planning, execution, and maintenance as we dissect this critical aspect of wealth management. We unpack asset allocation with a focus on the stocks-to-bonds ratio, a crucial decision that balances the quest for maximum returns with the need for stability. We uncover the dangers of volatility and behavioural risks and explore strategies to safeguard your financial health. Tuning in, you'll hear how assessing your risk tolerance and automating tasks can lead to a well-crafted portfolio (and why we suggest using a portfolio manager). We also guide you through the maze of asset allocation options and the vital steps for effective portfolio maintenance. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just beginning your financial journey, this episode will equip you with the knowledge you need to navigate the complexities of portfolio management with confidence, so be sure to tune in for expert insights, practical strategies, and actionable advice that will empower you to make informed decisions about your financial health! Key Points From This Episode: Portfolio planning basics, an overview of risk, and the goal of asset allocation. (0:03:55) Unpacking the concept of ‘optimal portfolios' and why it is not achievable. (0:08:07) Essential asset allocation aspects, the role of human capital, and strategies to manage risk. (0:14:13) Individualized job skills and their impact on asset allocation in the broader economy. (0:20:41) How social capital plays into asset allocation from an investment standpoint. (0:24:54) Risk expected return, correlation of assets in a portfolio, and the different types of risk that should be considered. (0:28:25) Using historical returns for forecasting expected returns and the nuanced ways that behaviour drives investment decisions. (0:36:03) Applying asset allocation principles to construct a diversified, market-efficient portfolio (plus some common pitfalls to avoid). (1:04:04) Trade-offs of a less volatile portfolio and a framework for risk tolerance calculation. (1:19:13) Fundamentals of good portfolio maintenance and how to protect your investments. (1:34:45) Navigating portfolio execution errors and the portfolio pyramid. (1:50:36) Closing comments and important takeaways from the episode. (1:56:32) Links From Today's Episode: Benjamin Felix — https://www.pwlcapital.com/author/benjamin-felix/ Benjamin on X — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Dr. Mark Soth (The Loonie Doctor) — https://www.looniedoctor.ca/ Dr. Mark on X — https://twitter.com/LoonieDoctor Rational Reminder Podcast Episode 100: Professor Kenneth French — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/100 Rational Reminder Podcast Episode 224: Professor Scott Cederburg — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/224 Rational Reminder Podcast Episode 258: Professor Meir Statman — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/258 Rational Reminder Podcast Episode 260: Professor James Choi — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/260 Rational Reminder Podcast Episode 262: Professor Francisco Gomes — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/262 Rational Reminder Podcast Episode 263: A Tribute to Harry Markowitz — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/263 Morningstar | ‘Mind the Gap' — https://www.morningstar.com/lp/mind-the-gap ‘Long-Horizon Losses in Stocks, Bonds, and Bills: Evidence from a Broad Sample of Developed Markets' — https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3964908 Vanguard Investor Questionnaire — https://investor.vanguard.com/tools-calculators/investor-questionnaire
Tauche mit uns ein in die Geschichte der modernen Portfoliotheorie. Felix beleuchte in diesem Coffee Break die bahnbrechenden Arbeiten zweier Ökonomen: Fischer Black und Robert Litterman. Die Pioniere – Fischer Black und Robert Litterman: Im Jahr 1990 veränderten Black und Litterman die Welt der Finanzen mit ihrem revolutionären Black-Litterman-Modell. Vor dem Black-Litterman – Die Mean-Variance-Optimierung: Um die Bedeutung des Black-Litterman-Modells zu verstehen, werfen wir einen Blick auf die Zeit vor seiner Entstehung. Die damals gängige Mean-Variance-Optimierung von Harry Markowitz hatte ihre Schwächen, insbesondere bei der Berechnung erwarteter Renditen und der Empfindlichkeit gegenüber kleinen Änderungen. Die Wende mit Black-Litterman: Das Black-Litterman-Modell brachte eine bahnbrechende Veränderung, indem es das Gleichgewichtsportfolio als Ausgangspunkt für die Portfoliooptimierung nutzte. Dies minimierte Unsicherheiten bei erwarteten Renditen und ermöglichte es, individuelle Meinungen und Erwartungen der Anleger zu integrieren. Über True Wealth True Wealth AG ist die führende digitale Vermögensverwaltungsplattform mit Sitz in Zürich, Schweiz. Wir bieten transparente und kosteneffiziente Anlagestrategien für Privatanleger mit Wohnsitz in der Schweiz, die eine moderne digitale Vermögensverwaltungslösung suchen. Säule 3a inbegriffen mit 0% Verwaltungsgebühr. Jetzt mehr erfahren.
With the recent passing of Harry Markowitz, we wanted to take this opportunity to spend some time honoring this giant of financial economics. Joining us on today's episode is our friend Alex Potts, who shares some of his touching memories of Harry, and talks about the unmistakable impact he had on the field. Harry is commonly viewed as the father of modern portfolio theory but also might be considered the grandfather of behavioural finance and a huge proponent of intelligent diversification. Alex graciously shares the nine lessons he learned from Harry, a few 'Harryisms' and some fond and surprising anecdotes from the time he spent with the man. Following this, we welcome Edward Goodfellow to the show to explore his new book, 7 Steps to A Better Portfolio. Edward is a fellow Canadian financial advisor, and we get to hear from him about the motivations for his book, its intended audience, and his insight into a host of central and familiar themes that we deal with on the show, so join us to hear it all. Key Points From This Episode: Looking back on the irreplaceable contributions of Harry Markowitz. (0:05:24) Alex talks about reaching out and meeting Harry in 2010. (0:10:00) Harry's amazing work ethic, unusual approach to problem-solving, and the nine lessons that Alex learned from him. (0:14:23) Edward shares his motivations for writing 7 Steps to A Better Portfolio, the questions that gave it structure, and its intended audience. (0:25:53) Understanding math and emotion, the four questions to ask before investing, and dangerous investment personalities and influencers. (0:29:39) Categorizing the different types of risk we encounter as investors, and the role of predictions and expectations. (0:35:41) Charting the evolution of a strategy over time, how to reassess and determine risk tolerance, and evaluating performance. (0:38:06) Edward describes different types of active and passive investing and the seven steps from his book. (0:40:26) Comparing financial science and active management research, and how to manage strategy risk. (0:49:42) How Edward looks at the value of financial advice and his biggest takeaway from writing the book. (0:52:58) The best way to approach figuring out the contradictions in the world of finance. (0:54:24) Today's after-show featuring listener reviews, community updates, and future episode guests. (0:56:20) Participate in our Community Discussion about this Episode: https://community.rationalreminder.ca/t/episode-263-a-tribute-to-harry-markowitz-with-alex-potts-7-steps-to-a-better-portfolio-with-edward-goodfellow-discussion-thread/24528 Book From Today's Episode: 7 Steps to A Better Portfolio — http://www.7stepstoabetterportfolio.com/ Links From Today's Episode: Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/ Shop Merch — https://shop.rationalreminder.ca/ Join the Community — https://community.rationalreminder.ca/ Follow us on Twitter — https://twitter.com/RationalRemind Follow us on Instagram — @rationalreminder Benjamin on Twitter — https://twitter.com/benjaminwfelix Cameron on Twitter — https://twitter.com/CameronPassmore Alex Potts — https://buckinghamstrategicwealth.com/people/alex-potts Edward Goodfellow — https://www.pifinancialcorp.com/advisor/edward-goodfellow
En este episodio especial de Inversapiens, rendimos homenaje al fallecido profesor de finanzas Harry Markowitz, un pionero en el campo de la inversión moderna. Exploraremos en profundidad su valioso aporte relacionado con los beneficios de la diversificación en las carteras de inversión. Descubre cómo la teoría de Markowitz cambió la forma en que los inversores perciben y abordan el riesgo y el rendimiento. Exploraremos cómo su enfoque en la diversificación de activos ha sido fundamental para proteger y mejorar el desempeño de las carteras en diferentes condiciones de mercado. A lo largo del episodio, discutiremos cómo aplicar los conceptos de Harry Markowitz en tu estrategia de inversión. Aprenderás cómo combinar activos de manera inteligente y cómo equilibrar riesgo y rendimiento para alcanzar tus objetivos financieros a largo plazo. Únete a nosotros en este emotivo episodio mientras honramos la legendaria contribución de Harry Markowitz y descubrimos cómo su visión ha impactado profundamente en la forma en que invertimos. ¡Prepárate para fortalecer tus habilidades como inversor y mejorar tu comprensión de la diversificación en el mundo de las finanzas! Recuerda utilizar el hashtag #Inversapiens al compartir el episodio y unirte a la conversación. ¡Esperamos que disfrutes de este homenaje y que encuentres inspiración en la sabiduría de Harry Markowitz para enriquecer tus decisiones de inversión! . . . . . APRENDE A GANAR DINERO EN LOS MERCADOS FINANCIEROS https://inversapiens.com/kit-gratuito/ Descarga un kit con Cursos online y Guías Prácticas 100% GRATIS para ganar dinero invirtiendo tu dinero en los mercados financieros.
Markowitz, a titan of finance who won the 1990 Nobel prize in economics, died last month. He showed, in a mathematically rigorous way, that diversification could bring higher returns without higher risk. Alex Scaggs joins Ethan to explain how Markowitz's work led to a way of thinking that has become ubiquitous in modern finance (and that has spawned legions of haters).Also, we go short economic forecasting and long Beyonce.Links:- Read Alex Scaggs's Markowitz obit in the FT.For a free 90-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedofferFollow Ethan Wu (@ethanywu) and Katie Martin (@katie_martin_fx) on Twitter. You can email Ethan at ethan.wu@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Dans cet épisode, James Parkyn et François Doyon La Rochelle passent en revue le dernier livret électronique écrit par James Parkyn intitulé Compétences en matière d'investissement pour les jeunes épargnants. Ce livret électronique est disponible sur le site Web de Sujet Capital et dans la section de notre équipe sur le site Web de PWL Capital. Il fournit d'importantes connaissances pratiques qui aideront les jeunes épargnants à prendre les bonnes décisions financières. Livret électronique: https://www.pwlcapital.com/fr/?p=17970 Lire le script : Introduction : François Doyon La Rochelle: Bienvenue à Sujet Capital, un Balado mensuel à propos de la gestion passive de portefeuille et de la planification financière et fiscale pour les investisseurs à long terme. Vos hôtes pour ce Balado sont James Parkyn et moi-même François Doyon La Rochelle, tous deux gestionnaires de portefeuilles avec PWL Capital. Au programme aujourd'hui pour l'épisode #54 : Dans cet épisode, nous passerons en revue le dernier livret électronique écrit par James intitulé - Compétences en matière d'investissement pour les jeunes épargnants. Bonne écoute ! Compétences en matière d'investissement pour les jeunes épargnants : François Doyon La Rochelle : Dans le podcast d'aujourd'hui, on va aborder un seul sujet, on va discuter du dernier livret électronique que tu as écrit James qui est intitulé Compétences en matière d'investissement pour les jeunes épargnants. Ce livret est disponible sur notre site Sujet Capital et aussi sur la page de notre équipe au sein du site PWL Capital. Il fait partie d'un effort important dans notre équipe car on a pris une décision stratégique il y a quelques années pour ajouter des clients de la nouvelle génération à notre pratique, ce qui inclut les enfants de nos clients actuels. James Parkyn : Oui, effectivement, il s'agit d'un gros mandat, car ces jeunes clients en sont, pour plusieurs, seulement aux premiers stades de l'apprentissage de l'épargne et de l'investissement. Pour d'autres, on voit que leur réflexion et leur expérience sont étonnamment avancées. Dans le cas des enfants de nos clients, les parents sont en fait très heureux que nous entreprenions cette initiative. Pour eux, ça fait partie des valeurs familiales de les aider à développer ce qu'ils considèrent comme une compétence essentielle pour la suite de leur vie. Beaucoup d'entre eux réalisent également qu'ils auraient aimé commencer beaucoup plus tôt. François Doyon La Rochelle : Pour nos auditeurs, il s'agit d'un livret électronique, donc relativement court (28 pages), avec beaucoup d'images et d'illustrations graphiques, qui se veut facile à lire et sans trop de jargon. James, quel est le message principal que tu veux essayer de faire passer aux jeunes épargnants ? James Parkyn : Mon message principal porte sur l'importance de commencer tôt. C'est une compétence qui vous servira sur tout au long de votre vie et vous donnera la confiance nécessaire pour prendre des décisions financières intelligentes. Pour que les choses soient claires pour nos auditeurs, nous entendons par "compétences pour la vie" les compétences dont vous avez besoin pour tirer le meilleur parti de la vie. Toute compétence utile dans la vie peut être considérée comme une compétence de vie. Les jeunes épargnants doivent en faire une priorité. François Doyon La Rochelle : James tu as eu de nombreuses rencontres avec des jeunes épargnants au cours des dernières années, qu'est-ce que tu as appris ? James Parkyn : Tout d'abord, je devais connecter avec eux, et j'ai donc décidé d'entamer la conversation en partant du point de vue "Start with Why" (Commencez par le pourquoi). L'idée de « Start with the Why » vient de l'auteur Simon Sinek, qui a écrit un livret bien connu sur le sujet. François Doyon La Rochelle : Qu'est-ce qui résonne avec eux ? Comment fais-tu pour les intéresser ? James Parkyn : J'aime toujours raconter des anecdotes sur la musique. Je mentionne la chanson "Time" de Pink Floyd, tirée de l'album phare "Dark Side of the Moon" publié au début des années 1970. François Doyon La Rochelle : Un classique, mais c'est surtout de la musique de la génération de leurs parents. Il y a aussi une autre chanson sur cet album qui s'appelle "Money", mais les paroles sont surtout politiques. James Parkyn : À ma grande surprise, beaucoup de jeune connaissent Pink Floyd et la chanson. Ce que j'aime vraiment dans les paroles de la chanson "Time", c'est qu'elles transmettent un message clé sur l'importance de commencer tôt. Je soupçonne le groupe de ne pas s'en être rendu compte lorsqu'il a écrit ces paroles, mais d'une manière ou d'une autre, ils ont relayé un message fondamental pour les jeunes épargnants. François Doyon La Rochelle : C'est quoi le message, qu'est-ce que les paroles disent ? James Parkyn : Traduction libre ici des paroles. "Faire défiler les moments qui composent une journée ennuyeuse. Gâcher les heures avec désinvolture. Se trainer sur un bout de terrain dans sa ville natale. Attendre que quelqu'un ou quelque chose vous montre le chemin. Fatigué de se prélasser au soleil, rester à la maison pour regarder la pluie. Vous êtes jeune, la vie est longue et vous avez du temps à tuer aujourd'hui. Et puis un jour, vous vous apercevez que dix ans se sont écoulés derrière vous. Personne ne vous a dit quand courir, vous avez raté le coup de départ". François Doyon La Rochelle : C'est incroyable à quel point le message est pertinent pour notre sujet. Ce nouveau livret électronique a pour but d'aider les jeunes épargnants à comprendre l'importance de commencer dès maintenant. Il n'y aura personne pour donner le départ, pour vous dire de commencer à apprendre et à investir. James Parkyn : Exactement François. Pour moi, c'est une vraie joie de voir la lumière s'allumer, de voir que les jeunes réalisent que les concepts sur l'investissement que j'apporte sont vraiment "accessibles". François Doyon La Rochelle : J'aime ton choix du mot "accessible" parce que c'est très stimulant pour les jeunes de savoir et de sentir qu'ils peuvent y arriver. James, entrons dans le vif du sujet. Quelles sont les compétences que les jeunes épargnants doivent développer ? James Parkyn : On couvre sept compétences en matière d'investissement. La première compétence est "Point de départ". Pour certains jeunes épargnants, l'investissement peut être effrayant : "Par où commencer ? C'est tellement compliqué !" Pire encore, certains jeunes épargnants peuvent se demander : "Pourquoi dois-je y porter attention maintenant ? J'ai toute la vie devant moi !" Lorsqu'on débute, ce n'est pas facile de trouver le meilleur moyen d'atteindre les objectifs financiers que l'on s'est fixés pour soi et pour sa famille. Il y a tant de priorités concurrentes à prendre en compte et les ressources à consacrer à l'une d'entre elles sont limitées. François Doyon La Rochelle : Je pense que les jeunes épargnants ont beaucoup trop d'informations à leur disposition dans le monde branché d'aujourd'hui, avec Internet et les médias sociaux qui sont omniprésents. En fait, je pense que ce dont ils ont besoin ce sont des connaissances réelles et des informations pratiques qu'ils peuvent utiliser pour démarrer et les aider dans ce nouveau voyage qu'ils commencent. James Parkyn : Je suis d'accord et c'est pourquoi on explique les concepts clés pour aider les jeunes épargnants à franchir les premières étapes critiques de leur parcours financier. Eh oui, François, on espère qu'ils apprendront à prendre les bonnes décisions et à éviter de faire des erreurs majeures. François Doyon La Rochelle : Dans la partie, pour commencer, tu expliques, James, la magie des intérêts composés. Peut-être que tu pourrais l'expliquer à nos auditeurs, c'est quoi les intérêts composés ? James Parkyn : Le concept des intérêts composés n'est pas une mince affaire. Albert Einstein l'a qualifié de huitième merveille du monde. C'est l'intérêt sur l'intérêt que vous avez déjà gagné. En d'autres termes, la capitalisation est l'argent que vous gagnez sur votre investissement initial, plus l'argent que vous gagnez sur les rendements déjà accumulés au fil du temps. François Doyon La Rochelle : Une autre raison importante qui justifie de commencer tôt votre parcours d'investisseur, c'est de prendre l'habitude d'épargner tout en apprenant les principes de base l'investissement et en renforçant votre confiance. James Parkyn : Précisément ! Lorsqu'on traverse de nombreux marchés baissiers, et comme tu le sais, François, on en a connu quatre depuis 2000, l'expérience acquise en tant qu'investisseur avec une mentalité à long terme fait en sorte que nous sommes moins enclin à vendre en panique. On apprend qu'un portefeuille diversifié et bien conçu va se rétablir et continuer à augmenter de valeur une fois la crise passé. François Doyon La Rochelle : Avec ton expérience James c'est quoi la meilleure façon de commencer ? James Parkyn : Les jeunes épargnants devraient mettre en place un retrait automatique de leur compte bancaire qui va directement dans un compte d'investissement. C'est ce qu'on appelle se payer en premier (avant toutes les autres dépenses), et ça fonctionne parce que vous adaptez naturellement vos dépenses au montant d'argent dont vous disposez après votre épargne. François Doyon La Rochelle : James pourrais-tu nous parler de la deuxième compétence que les jeunes épargnants doivent acquérir : Tu l'as appelé, gérer son capital humain. James Parkyn : De nombreuses personnes ne sont pas conscientes de leur actif le plus précieux. Il reste caché à la vue de tous parce qu'il est considéré comme acquis. Quel est cet actif ? C'est votre potentiel à générer des revenus tout au long de votre vie. Il s'agit de votre capital humain, que l'on peut définir comme la valeur actuelle de tous vos revenus futurs. Pour la plupart des gens, ça représente un chiffre énorme, surtout s'ils sont jeunes. Votre capital humain est d'autant plus précieux parce qu'il constitue une protection contre l'inflation. Ce que je veux dire par ça c'est que les revenus ont tendance à augmenter avec le coût de la vie. François Doyon La Rochelle : James, pourrais-tu expliquer ce qu'est la "valeur actuelle de tous vos revenus futurs". Je pense que c'est un peu du jargon pour nos auditeurs et les jeunes épargnants. James Parkyn : Le capital humain est la valeur actuelle de tous les salaires futurs provenant du travail. Vous pouvez augmenter votre capital humain en poursuivant vos études ou en suivant une formation en cours d'emploi. Pensez à tous les revenus futurs que vous percevrez en tant que rémunération jusqu'au moment où vous prendrez votre retraite et ensuite estimé ce que ça vaudrait comme somme forfaitaire pour du capital à investir. François Doyon La Rochelle : Au fur et à mesure qu'il se développe, vous devez également protéger votre capital humain de la même manière que vous protégez d'autres actifs importants. Comme une automobile ou une assurance habitation. James Parkyn : Si vous êtes comme la plupart des gens, vous serez riche en capital humain au début de votre vie professionnelle, mais pauvre en capital financier. Au cours de votre carrière, votre objectif devrait être de convertir votre capital humain en capital financier en gagnant de l'argent, en épargnant et en prenant de bonnes décisions en matière d'investissement. Les deux formes de capital sont importantes, accordez-leur l'attention qu'elles méritent. François Doyon La Rochelle : Si l'on ajoute à ça le rendement composé du capital humain et financier, c'est ainsi que l'on parvient à l'indépendance financière, quelle que soit votre définition personnelle. James, parlons maintenant de la troisième compétence que les jeunes épargnants doivent développer : Cultiver un état d'esprit d'investisseur. James Parkyn : De nombreuses personnes abordent l'investissement comme s'il s'agissait d'un jeu d'hasard, que l'on peut gagner en pariant sur le dernier titre à la mode ou la dernière tendance en matière d'investissement. Blackrock Asset Management a mené une enquête en 2015, et 51 % des Canadiens ont déclaré à l'époque qu'ils pensaient que l'investissement pour eux ressemblait à un jeu de hasard. Même si l'investissement et les jeux de hasard impliquent tous deux de risquer de l'argent dans l'espoir de réaliser un gain financier, la similitude s'arrête là. L'investissement - lorsqu'il est bien fait - consiste à acheter des actifs dont le rendement attendu est positif grâce aux revenus qu'ils génèrent et/ou à l'appréciation du capital à long terme. François Doyon La Rochelle : Nous avons abordé ce concept dans un podcast précédent. La différence entre investir et spéculer est parfois une question de perspective et de temps. La spéculation signifie souvent que l'on s'attend à des gains faciles à court terme. C'est quelque chose qui nous interpelle même nous les professionnels. James Parkyn : Je suis d'accord François. Mais pour les jeunes épargnants, le savoir-faire à développer est de s'en tenir patiemment à un portefeuille largement diversifié qui reflète leur tolérance au risque et d'accepter que cette philosophie d'investissement ne produise peut-être pas l'excitation de toucher le jackpot sur une action ou une crypto-monnaie à la mode. Ils ne devraient pas investir pour des sensations fortes. Votre but devrait être d'atteindre vos objectifs financiers à long terme, et ce n'est pas quelque chose avec lequel il faut jouer. J'ai déjà entendu dire qu'il n'était pas grave de perdre de l'argent quand on est jeune, car on peut se rattraper plus tard dans la vie. Je déteste cette façon de penser et je dis aux jeunes épargnants d'y penser à deux fois, car si l'on prend en compte l'effet de la capitalisation sur plusieurs décennies de l'argent perdu, la perte est beaucoup plus importante. François Doyon La Rochelle : On poursuit avec la quatrième compétence que les jeunes épargnants doivent acquérir : Garder le cap sur le long terme. James, c'est quoi ton message ? James Parkyn : Les investisseurs qui réussissent prennent des décisions financières cohérentes et intelligentes et s'y tiennent malgré les hauts et les bas du marché sur une période de plusieurs dizaines d'années. Cela exige de la discipline, une compétence essentielle à acquérir dès le début de votre vie d'investisseur. Élaborez votre plan d'investissement et respectez-le. François Doyon La Rochelle : Donc Il s'agit de ne pas se laisser piéger par le bruit des médias et de ne pas faire des transactions en fonction des événements à court terme sur les marchés financiers et des nouvelles économiques. On a parlé souvent dans notre podcast de la nécessité d'éviter le "market timing". Les académiciens ont déterminé que c'est une des pires erreurs qu'on peut faire pour détruire son patrimoine. Une forte baisse des marchés peut être particulièrement difficile à digérer pour certaines personnes. Ils se persuadent qu'ils peuvent sortir du marché maintenant et y revenir quand les choses iront mieux. James Parkyn : Cependant, essayer de prévoir le marché pose au moins deux problèmes. Premièrement, si vous vendez maintenant, quand saurez-vous qu'il est sûr de revenir sur le marché ? Deuxièmement, si vous vendez, vous risquez de rater des gains pendant que vous êtes sur la touche, ce qui peut avoir un impact considérable sur vos rendements à long terme. Bien que ça peut être difficile, la meilleure stratégie d'investissement, est de détenir un portefeuille d'investissements largement diversifiés et gérés passivement, dans les bons comme dans les mauvais moments. Pourquoi une gestion passive ? Parce que la recherche montre clairement que la plupart des gestionnaires de fonds actifs sous-performent leur indice de référence au cours d'une année donnée. François Doyon La Rochelle : La cinquième compétence à acquérir est de : Comprendre les biais comportementaux. James, qu'est-ce que tu dis aux jeunes épargnants sur les aspects psychologiques de l'investissement ? James Parkyn : Je leur dis qu'ils doivent comprendre comment leurs instincts humains fondamentaux peuvent les amener à prendre de mauvaises décisions financières. Nous sommes tous la proie de biais comportementaux et émotionnels qui peuvent nous conduire à de graves erreurs d'investissement. François Doyon La Rochelle : Pour contrôler l'influence des biais comportementaux et émotionnels, il faut d'abord en être conscient, puis revenir à une pensée rationnelle et à de bons processus de prise de décision. Quels sont les principaux biais ? James Parkyn : La finance comportementale est un domaine en plein essor, deux prix Nobel ont été décernés à des académiques pour leurs travaux dans ce domaine au cours des 20 dernières années. Il existe une quantité étonnante de recherches sur les biais comportementaux. Je mets en évidence les quatre principaux biais sur lesquels les jeunes épargnants devraient, selon moi, porter leur attention. Vous devrez vous protéger contre ces biais et d'autres biais cognitifs et émotionnels tout au long de votre vie d'investisseur. Biais de récurrence : Il s'agit de la tendance à accorder plus d'importance aux événements qui se sont produits dans un passé récent. Le biais de récence peut vous amener à vous écarter de votre plan d'investissement pour profiter d'une tendance haussière du marché ou pour vendre lors d'un repli du marché. L'excès de confiance : Il est fréquent que les gens développent une confiance injustifiée en leurs propres capacités, y compris en leur capacité à réaliser des profits exceptionnels sur les marchés financiers. L'excès de confiance peut conduire les investisseurs à faire des paris risqués sur la base d'une croyance erronée en leur capacité à prédire l'avenir. Biais de confirmation : Cela se produit lorsque les investisseurs recherchent des informations qui confirment leur point de vue et négligent les opinions divergentes. L'aversion aux pertes : Les chercheurs en finance comportementale ont déterminé que les gens ressentent la douleur d'une perte environ deux fois plus fortement que le plaisir qu'ils retirent d'un gain équivalent. L'aversion pour les pertes est un autre biais qui peut fausser votre prise de décision en vous amenant à privilégier l'évitement des pertes par rapport aux gains. François Doyon La Rochelle : Des bons conseils en matière d'investissement et des bonnes habitudes tels que l'examen annuel du portefeuille, les cotisations automatiques et le rééquilibrage périodique du portefeuille peuvent vous aider à maîtriser vos émotions et à maintenir votre plan d'investissement sur la bonne voie. James Parkyn : Diversifier son portefeuille en détenant un grand nombre d'investissements sur différents marchés est une stratégie fondamentale pour investir avec succès. L'économiste Harry Markowitz, lauréat du prix Nobel, l'a fameusement décrite comme "le seul repas gratuit en finance" ou « The only free lunch in finance » François Doyon La Rochelle : Effectivement, Markowitz a démontré qu'en combinant des actifs qui performent différemment au fil du temps, vous réduisez le risque global de votre portefeuille sans réduire les rendements attendus. James Parkyn : Il s'agit de ne pas mettre tous ses œufs dans le même panier. Lorsque vous ne possédez que quelques actions de compagnies dans votre portefeuille, la faillite d'une de ces compagnies peut entraîner une perte permanente de votre épargne. Alors que si vous possédez de nombreux titres - idéalement toutes les actions d'un marché donné - les mauvaises performances de certaines seront compensées par les meilleures performances des autres. François Doyon La Rochelle : Une petite mise en garde, Ça ne veut pas dire que vous ne perdrez jamais, mais que vos gains et vos pertes reflèteront celles du marché dans son ensemble. Vous avez éliminé ce que l'on appelle le risque non systématique, c'est-à-dire le risque propre à une entreprise, une compagnie, ou à un secteur spécifique. James Parkyn : Le même principe s'applique à la détention de différents types d'actifs tels que les actions, les obligations et l'immobilier. Chacun d'entre eux produit des rendements différents au cours d'une période donnée et en les combinant dans un portefeuille, vous en réduisez le risque. François Doyon La Rochelle : Ça peut surprendre, mais les études démontrent que de nombreux investisseurs détiennent encore des portefeuilles terriblement sous-diversifiés. James Parkyn : Heureusement, les jeunes épargnants peuvent éviter de faire cette erreur fondamentale en achetant simplement des fonds gérés passivement qui permettent une large diversification à un coût très faible. François Doyon La Rochelle : La septième et dernière compétence que les jeunes épargnants doivent acquérir est celle de : Contrôler ses émotions. C'est quoi la différence entre cette compétence et l'apprentissage des biais comportementaux ? James Parkyn : Excellente question, Francois. Le message que je veux faire passer ici encore une fois est qu'il faut faire attention à la façon dont on réagit émotionnellement à la volatilité des marchés. L'une des mesures les plus importantes est d'ignorer le bruit des médias concernant les mouvements quotidiens des marchés et de se concentrer plutôt sur un plan financier à long terme. Ce plan doit prévoir une répartition des actifs en fonction de vos objectifs et de votre tolérance au risque. Lorsque les marchés évoluent à la hausse ou à la baisse, vous rééquilibrez périodiquement votre portefeuille en fonction de votre allocation d'actifs cible et vous restez confiant dans le fait que le processus fonctionne à long terme. François Doyon La Rochelle : Comme on l'a déjà dit, le secteur des services financiers et les médias financiers encouragent la gestion active, ce qui nous pousse à faire beaucoup de transactions. Pensez à toutes les publicités du secteur montrant une personne devant un écran avec des côtes boursière et des graphiques. Malheureusement, de nombreux investisseurs associent faire des transactions à la création de valeur. James Parkyn : J'ai une excellente citation d'un collaborateur de longue date de Warrant Buffett, Louis Simpson, qui supervisait les investissements de la gigantesque filiale d'assurance GEICO de Berkshire Hathaway. Il a dit un jour : "Nous réfléchissons plus que nous n'agissons. Un grand nombre d'investisseurs agissent beaucoup et ne réfléchissent pas beaucoup". Pour moi, cette phrase reflète la façon dont nous gérons l'argent de nos clients et ce qui nous différencie de la plupart des acteurs du secteur des services financiers. Nous achetons avec beaucoup de soin, nous conservons et différons les impôts et nous rééquilibrons lorsque c'est pertinent. Nous faisons tout ça en respectant le plan d'investissement bien conçu de nos clients. François Doyon La Rochelle : J'aime aussi cette citation. Louis A. Simpson était l'un des gestionnaires de fonds préférés de Warren Buffett et, à un moment donné, un successeur potentiel. Il était beaucoup moins connu que Buffett ou Charlie Munger. Malheureusement, il est décédé au début de l'année 2022 à l'âge de 85 ans. Je devrai préciser ici pour nos auditeurs qu'en agissant beaucoup, il voulait dire en négociant beaucoup. Revenons maintenant à nos moutons. Lorsque les marchés sont à la hausse, il est relativement facile de contrôler vos émotions pour la plupart des investisseurs qui voit leurs portefeuilles prendre de la valeur de jour en jour. James Parkyn : Les marchés baissiers font partie de la vie d'un investisseur. C'est en prenant des risques contrôlés que l'on obtient des rendements et que l'on construit son patrimoine. Cependant, les marchés baissiers peuvent créer de l'anxiété et une pression à agir qui peut parfois sembler insurmontable. C'est à ce moment-là que les investisseurs doivent contrôler leurs émotions car c'est là qu'ils commettent le plus souvent des erreurs qui entraînent une perte permanente de capital. François Doyon La Rochelle : Vos pensées peuvent être trompeuses. Vous pouvez croire que vous prenez des décisions rationnelles alors qu'en réalité vos actions sont motivées par la peur. C'est pourquoi vous devez vous préparer aux baisses des marchés en vous efforçant de reconnaître les moments où vous vous sentez stressé pour que vous puissiez ensuite gérer vos émotions. James, tu recommande également des livres. Quels livres recommandes-tu ? James Parkyn : Tout d'abord, je recommande aux jeunes épargnants de lire notre livret électronique " les 7 péchés capitaux de l'investissement" que nous avons publié en 2021. Il s'agit en quelque sorte d'un complément à ce nouveau livret électronique. Je recommande également aux jeunes épargnants qui souhaitent approfondir leurs connaissances de lire deux ouvrages incontournables : The Psychology of Money (La psychologie de l'argent) par Morgan Housel : L'auteur primé Morgan Housel présente 19 histoires courtes explorant les étranges façons dont les gens pensent à l'argent et vous apprend à mieux comprendre l'un des sujets les plus importants de la vie. Think, Act, and Invest Like Warren Buffett (Pensez, agissez et investissez comme Warren Buffett) par Larry E. Swedroe : Warren Buffett. Bien qu'il soit impossible d'investir exactement comme lui, Think, Act, and Invest Like Warren Buffett propose une approche d'investissement solide et sensée, basée sur les conseils de Buffett en matière de stratégies d'investissement. François Doyon La Rochelle : James, quels livres recommandes-tu recommande pour les parents ? James Parkyn : Je recommande deux livres différents mais tout aussi bons : It Makes Total Cents de Tom Henske. Il s'agit d'un auteur américain. Certains éléments de ce livre sont spécifiques aux investisseurs américains et reflètent les lois fiscales américaines. It Makes Total Cents (épelé avec un "c" pour faire un jeu de mots avec le mot sense) est un guide court et facile à lire pour aider les parents. Ce livre concis est conçu pour être lu à raison d'un chapitre par mois et couvre les 12 sujets financiers les plus importants qu'un enfant doit comprendre avant d'entrer à l'université ou au collège. The Wisest Investment de Robin Taub. Elle est canadienne et son livre vise à enseigner à vos enfants à être responsables, indépendants et intelligents en matière d'argent. Robin Taub propose une feuille de route pour enseigner l'argent à vos enfants. L'éducation financière a longtemps été un sujet ignoré et il en résulte que, génération après génération, les enfants entrent dans l'âge adulte sans maîtriser les bases de l'argent. Cela conduit à un stress inutile à l'âge adulte et, en fin de compte, à des problèmes de santé. Conclusion : François Doyon La Rochelle : Voilà pour le podcast d'aujourd'hui intitulé Compétences en matière d'investissement pour les jeunes épargnants. Merci James Parkyn d'avoir partagé ton expertise et ton savoir. James Parkyn : il m'a fait plaisir Francois. François Doyon La Rochelle : Hé bien c'est tout pour ce 54ième épisode de Sujet Capital ! Nous espérons que vous avez aimé. N'hésitez pas à nous envoyer vos questions et suggestions. Vous pouvez nous joindre par courriel à: sujetcapital@pwlcapital.com De plus, si vous aimez notre podcast, partagez-le avec votre famille et vos amis et si vous n'y êtes pas abonné, faites-le SVP. Encore une fois, merci d'être à l'écoute et joignez-vous à nous pour notre prochain épisode qui sortira le 2 aout. A bientôt!
In this Episode, James Parkyn & François Doyon La Rochelle review the latest eBook authored by James Parkyn titled Investing Life Skills for Early Savers. This eBook is available on the Capital topics website and in our Team's section on the PWL Capital website and will provide important life skills that will serve early savers on the road of making smart money decisions. eBook: Investing Life Skills for Early Savers - PWL Capital Read The Script: Introduction: François Doyon La Rochelle: You're listening to Capital Topics, episode #54! This is a monthly podcast about passive asset management and financial and tax planning ideas for the long-term investor. Your hosts for this podcast are James Parkyn and me François Doyon La Rochelle, both portfolio managers with PWL Capital. In this episode, we will review the latest eBook authored by James titled INVESTING LIFE SKILLS FOR EARLY SAVERS. Enjoy! Investing Life Skills for Early Savers : François Doyon La Rochelle: In today's Podcast, we will cover only one Topic which is a Review of the latest eBook Authored by you James titled INVESTING LIFE SKILLS FOR EARLY SAVERS. This ebook is available on the Capital Topics website and in our Team's section on the PWL Capital website. This has been a major effort and, in our Team, we made a strategic decision a few years back to add Next Generation clients to our Practice which includes the children of our current clients. James Parkyn: Yes, this has been a major undertaking as these younger clients are, in many cases, in the early stages of learning about saving and investing. In some cases, their thinking and experience are surprisingly advanced. In the case of the children of our clients, the parents were very happy we are undertaking this initiative. For them, it is part of their family values to help them develop what they consider to be an essential life skill going forward in their lives. Many of them also realize they wish they had started much younger than they did. François Doyon La Rochelle: For our Listeners, this is an eBook format, so it is relatively short at 28 pages with a lot of pictures and graphic illustrations and, is meant to be an easy jargon-free read. James, what is the main message you are trying to get across to Early Savers? James Parkyn: My main message is about the importance of starting early. It is a life skill that will serve you well on the road of life and will give you the confidence to make smart money decisions. Just to be clear for our listeners, what we mean by 'Life Skills' are the skills you need to make the most out of life. Any skill that is useful in your life can be considered a life skill. Early savers need to make this a high priority. François Doyon La Rochelle: You have had a lot of meetings with Early Savers over the last few years and what did you learn? James Parkyn: First off, I had to connect with them, so I decided to start the conversation from the vantage point of “Start with Why”. The idea comes from Author Simon Sinek who wrote a highly regarded book on the topic. François Doyon La Rochelle: What else resonates for them? James Parkyn: Well, I always like to connect with anecdotes about music. I mention the song “Time” by Pink Floyd from the seminal album “Dark Side of the Moon published in the early 1970s”. François Doyon La Rochelle: Ok, but this music is from their Parents' generation. There is another song on that album called “Money”, but the lyrics are mostly political. James Parkyn: To my surprise, many know Pink Floyd and the song. What I like about the lyrics from the song “Time” is that they convey a key message about the importance of starting early. I suspect the Band probably did not realize it when they wrote the words but somehow, they related a fundamental lesson about learning Investing Life Skills early. François Doyon La Rochelle: What do the lyrics say? James Parkyn: “Ticking away the moments that make up a dull day. Fritter and waste the hours in an offhand way. Kicking around on a piece of ground in your hometown. Waiting for someone or something to show you the way. Tired of lying in the sunshine, staying home to watch the rain. You are young and life is long, and there is time to kill today. And then one day you find ten years have got behind you. No one told you when to run, you missed the starting gun.” François Doyon La Rochelle: Wow, that's incredible how relevant the message is to our Topic. This new eBook is trying to help Early Savers to understand the importance of starting now. There will be no one to fire a starting gun to tell you to start learning and investing. James Parkyn: Exactly Francois. For me personally the joy of seeing the light go on about Investing in Life Skills is because they realize the concepts are really “accessible”. François Doyon La Rochelle: I like your choice of the word “Accessible” because it is very empowering to know and really feel “I can do this!”. So, James let's get into the meat of the eBook content. What are the Life Skills Early Savers need to develop? James Parkyn: We cover seven Investing Life Skills. The first Life Skill is Getting started. Investing in some Early Savers can be scary: “Where do I start? It is so complicated!” Even worse, some Early Savers may wonder “Why do I need to pay attention now? I have all my life ahead of me!” When you're starting, it's not easy to find the best route to achieving the financial goals you have set for yourself and your family. There are so many competing priorities to consider and only limited resources to commit to any one of them. François Doyon La Rochelle: Adding to the challenge in today's wired world with the internet and social media ever present, Early Savers have way too much information at their fingertips and in fact, what they are seeking is real knowledge and practical information that they can use to get started and to help them on this new journey they are starting. James Parkyn: I agree which is why we explain key concepts to help Early Savers take the first critical steps on their financial journey. And yes, Francois, we hope they will learn how to make good decisions and avoid major mistakes. François Doyon La Rochelle: Getting started is all about explaining the magic of compound interest. Maybe you can explain to our listeners what compound interest is. James Parkyn: Compounding is no small thing. Albert Einstein is reputed to have called it the eighth wonder of the world. It's the interest on the interest you've already earned. In other words, compounding is the money you earn on your original investment, plus the money you earn on the returns already accumulated over time. François Doyon La Rochelle: There's another important reason for getting started early on your investing journey. You will be getting into the habit of saving while learning the principles of investing and building your confidence. James Parkyn: Precisely! When you have lived through many bear markets and as you know Francois, we have had four since 2000, then your experience as an Investor with a Long-Term Mindset you will be less likely to panic sell because you have a well-engineered diversified portfolio is that you will recover and go on to grow in value. François Doyon La Rochelle: What's a good way to get started? James Parkyn: Early Savers should set up an automatic withdrawal from their bank account that goes directly to an investment account. That's called paying yourself first (before all your other expenses), and it works because you naturally adjust your spending to the amount of money you have on hand. François Doyon La Rochelle: James let's discuss the second Life Skill Early Savers need to develop: Managing your Human Capital. James Parkyn: Many people are unaware of their most valuable asset. It remains hidden in plain sight because it's taken for granted. What is this asset? Your potential to generate income over your lifetime. It's called your human capital and can be defined as the present value of all your future earnings. For most people, that works out to a huge number, especially if you're young. Your human capital is even more valuable because it's a hedge against inflation. Earnings tend to rise with the cost of living. François Doyon La Rochelle: James the term “present value of all your future earnings” is jargon for many Listeners and Early Savers. James Parkyn: Human capital is the present value of all future wages from working. You can increase your human capital by continuing your education or going for on-the-job training. Think of all your future expected earnings that you will take home as compensation up to the time you will retire from working. Then, estimate what it would be worth as a lump sum of investment capital. François Doyon La Rochelle: As it grows, you also need to protect your human capital in the same way you safeguard other important assets. James Parkyn: If you're like most people, you'll be rich in human capital when you start out in your working life, but poor in financial capital. As you move through your career, your goal should be to convert your human capital into financial capital by earning, saving and making good investment decisions. Both forms of capital are important, give them both the attention they deserve. François Doyon La Rochelle: When you add into the mix the compound return on both Human and Financial Capital that is how you get to financial independence however you may define it. James let's now discuss the third skill Early Savers need to develop: Cultivating an Investor Mindset. James Parkyn: Many people approach investing as if it were a game of chance that can be won by placing bets on the latest hot stock or investment fad. Blackrock Asset Management surveyed in 2015, 51% of Canadians said at the time that they believe investing is like gambling. While investing and gambling both involve risking money in hopes of realizing a financial gain, that's where the similarity ends. Investing – when done right – is about buying assets that have a positive expected return thanks to the income they pay and/or their long-term capital appreciation. François Doyon La Rochelle: We have covered this concept in a past Podcast. The difference between Investing and Speculating sometimes is a question of perspective and timeline. Speculation often means you expect short-term easy gains. This is a question that challenges even us professionals. James Parkyn: I agree. But for Early Savers, the Life Skill to develop is patiently sticking to a broadly diversified portfolio that reflects their risk tolerance and accepting that it may not produce the excitement of trying to hit the jackpot on a hot stock or a cryptocurrency. But they shouldn't be investing for thrills. Your aim should be to achieve your long-term goals, and that's not something to gamble on. I have heard the expression it is ok to lose money when you are young you can make it up later in life. I hate that and tell Early Savers to beware as if you look at the loss based on the effect of compounding over multiple decades of your lifespan then the loss is massively larger. François Doyon La Rochelle: Next up is the fourth Life Skill Early Savers need to develop: Keeping Your Eye on the Long Term. What is your message about this Life Skill? James Parkyn: Successful investors make consistent, smart money decisions and stick with them through market ups and downs over a period of decades. That requires discipline, an essential skill to learn early in your investing life. Develop your Plan and stick to it. François Doyon La Rochelle: This is about not falling prey to the noise in the financial media and trading based on short-term capital market events and economic news. We have talked often on our Podcast about avoiding “market timing”. Researchers have found it's one of the worst wealth-destroying mistakes you can make. A sharp downturn in the markets can be particularly difficult for some people to stomach. They talk themselves into the idea that they can pull out now and get back in when things get better. James Parkyn: However, trying to time the market presents at least two problems. First, if you sell now, when will you know it's safe to buy back into the market? Second, you risk missing out on gains while you're on the sidelines and that can have a huge impact on your long-term returns. While it can be challenging, the best investment strategy – as supported by decades of academic research – is to hold a portfolio of broadly diversified, passively managed investments through good times and bad. Why passively managed? Because research clearly shows that most active fund managers underperform their index benchmark in any given year. François Doyon La Rochelle: The fifth Life Skill Early Savers need to develop: Understanding Human Biases. James, what do you say to Early savers about the psychological aspects of Investing? James Parkyn: I tell them they need to understand how their basic human instincts can cause them to make poor financial decisions. We all fall prey to mental and emotional biases that can lead to serious investing errors. François Doyon La Rochelle: To control the influence of mental and emotional biases, you must first be aware of them and then guide yourself back to rational thinking and good decision-making processes. What are some of the key biases? James Parkyn: Behavioral economics has been a huge growth area with two major Nobel Prizes being awarded to academics for their work in the past 20 years or so. There is an amazing amount of research that deals with Behavioral biases. I highlight the top 4 that I believe Early Savers should watch out for in your thinking about investments. Recency Bias: This is the tendency to give greater importance to events that have occurred in the recent past. Recency bias can cause you to depart from your investment plan to jump on a hot market trend or sell during a market downturn. Over-Confidence: It's common for people to develop unwarranted confidence in their abilities, including their ability to make exceptional profits in financial markets. Overconfidence can lead investors to make risky bets based on a misguided belief in their ability to predict the future. Confirmation Bias: This occurs when investors seek out information that confirms their point of view and discount divergent opinions. Loss Aversion: Behavioral finance researchers have determined that people feel the pain of a loss about twice as strong as the pleasure they get from an equivalent gain. Loss aversion is another bias that can distort your decision-making by causing you to prioritize avoiding losses over earning gains. François Doyon La Rochelle: Good investment advice and processes such as annual portfolio reviews, automatic contributions, and periodic portfolio rebalancing can help Early Savers keep their emotions in check and keep them on track with their Long-Term Investment plan. The sixth Life Skill Early Savers need to develop: Diversifying to Reduce Your Risk. This is another topic we address often on our Podcast. What is the message of this Life Skill? James Parkyn: Diversifying your portfolio by holding many investments in different markets is a fundamental strategy for successful investing. Noble Prize-winning economist Harry Markowitz famously described it as “the only free lunch in finance.” François Doyon La Rochelle: Markowitz demonstrated that when you combine assets that perform differently over time you lower the overall riskiness of your portfolio without reducing expected returns. James Parkyn: It comes down to not putting all your eggs in one basket. When you own just a few stocks, the failure of any one of those companies can lead to a permanent loss of your savings. But when you own many stocks—ideally all of them in a given market— the poor performance of some will be offset by the better performance of others. François Doyon La Rochelle: A word of caution: This doesn't mean you will never lose, but your gains and losses will reflect those of the overall market. You've removed what's known as unsystematic risk – the risk unique to a specific company or industry. James Parkyn: The same principle applies to holding different asset types such as stocks, bonds, and real estate. Each produces different returns in any given period and by combining them in a portfolio you reduce its riskiness. François Doyon La Rochelle: It may come as a surprise, but research shows that many investors hold woefully under-diversified portfolios. James Parkyn: Fortunately, Early Savers can avoid this basic investing error by owning passively managed funds that allow you to broadly diversify at a very low cost. François Doyon La Rochelle: The seventh and last Life Skill Early Savers need to develop: Controlling Your Emotions. James, how is this Life Skill different compared to learning about Human cognitive biases? James Parkyn: Great Question Francois. As you said earlier, here is the message I want to convey is to pay attention to how you react emotionally to market volatility. Among the most important of these is to tune out media noise about the day-to-day movements in the markets and focus instead on your long-term Investment plan. It should have asset allocation targets that reflect your objectives and risk tolerance. As markets move up or down, you periodically rebalance your portfolio back to your target asset allocations and keep your faith that the process works overtime. François Doyon La Rochelle: As we have stated before, The Financial Services industry and the Financial Media promote active management which pushes us to do a lot of trading. Think of all the industry advertising showing someone in front of a trading screen of stock quotes. Unfortunately, many Investors equate trading with adding value. James Parkyn: I have a great quote from a longtime collaborator of Warrant Buffett, Louis Simpson, who oversaw investments at Berkshire Hathaway's giant GEICO insurance subsidiary. He once said: “We do a lot of thinking and not a lot of acting. A lot of investors do a lot of acting and not a lot of thinking.” For me, this, in a nutshell, reflects how we manage our clients' money and how we are different from most of the financial services industry. We buy very carefully; we hold and defer tax and rebalance when it makes sense to do so. We do this all while sticking to the Clients' well-thought-out plans. François Doyon La Rochelle: I love this quote too. Louis A. Simpson was one of Warren Buffett's favorite fund managers and a one-time potential successor. He was much lesser known than Buffett or Charlie Munger. Sadly, he passed away at the beginning of 2022 at age 85. We should point out to our Listeners that by acting a lot he means trading a lot. So now, let's get back to the Investing Life Skill of Controlling Your Emotions. When markets go up it's relatively easy to keep your emotions in check for most investors when your portfolio goes up every day. James Parkyn: Down markets are a fact of life when you invest. Taking a controlled amount of risk is what allows you to earn returns and build your wealth. However, falling markets can create anxiety and pressure to act which can feel overwhelming at times. This is when investors must control their emotions to avoid making errors that will lead to a permanent loss of capital. François Doyon La Rochelle: All Investors must guard against the fact their thoughts can deceive them. You may think you're making rational decisions when in fact your actions are being driven by fear. That's why you should prepare yourself for market downturns by striving to recognize when you're feeling under stress and cultivating strategies to deal with unhealthy emotions. James, you also provide recommendations for Books. What do you recommend? James Parkyn: First, I recommend that the Early Savers read our eBook “7 Deadly Sins of Investing” that we published in 2021. It is in some ways a companion piece to this new eBook. I also recommend two must-reads for Early Savers who want to develop a deeper level of knowledge: The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel: This is a very popular book and it is very useful to both Professional Investors and Individuals. award-winning author Morgan Housel shares 19 short stories exploring the strange ways people think about money and teaches you how to make better sense of one of life's most important topics. Think, Act, and Invest Like Warren Buffett by Larry E. Swedroe Think, act and invest like the best investor out there: Warren Buffett. While you can't invest exactly like he does, Think, Act, and Invest Like Warren Buffett provides a solid, sensible investing approach based on Buffett's advice regarding investment strategies. François Doyon La Rochelle: James, you also provide recommendations for Books for Parents. What Books do you recommend for them? James Parkyn: I recommend two very good but different books: It Makes Total Cents by Tom Henske. He is an American author. Some material in this book is specific to Americans Investors and reflects US tax laws. It Makes Total Cents (spelled with a “c” as a play on words) is a short, easy-to-read bite-size guide to help parents. This concise book is meant to be read a chapter per month covering the 12 most important money topics that a child should understand before going to university or college. The Wisest Investment by Robin Taub. She is a Canadian and her book is about teaching your kids to be responsible, independent, and money smart. Robin Taub lays out a roadmap for teaching your kids about money. Financial literacy has been a long-ignored subject and the result has been generation after generation entering adulthood without a grasp of money basics. This eventually leads to unnecessary stress in adulthood and ultimately causes stress leading to health issues. François Doyon La Rochelle: James, you also provide recommendations for Books for Parents. What Books do you recommend for them? Conclusion: François Doyon La Rochelle: So, this is it for today's podcast Investing Life Skills for Early savers. Thank you, James Parkyn for sharing your expertise and your knowledge. James Parkyn: You are welcome, Francois. François Doyon La Rochelle: That's it for episode #54 of Capital Topics! Do not forget, if you would like to submit questions or suggestions for the show, please email us at: capitaltopics@pwlcapital.com Also, if you like our podcast, please share it when with family and friends and if you have not subscribed to it, please do. Again, thank you for tuning in and please join us for our next episode to be released on August 2nd. See you soon!
Hi everyone. We're taking the week off for the 4th of July holiday, but we wanted to use this week's episode to honor Nobel Prize-winning economist Harry Markowitz, who recently passed away at the age of 95. Professor Markowitz is a giant of finance, someone who put diversification and Modern Portfolio Theory on the map, with his research transforming the way we allocate and invest our assets. While we didn't have the opportunity to interview Professor Markowitz for the podcast, we were able to chat recently with someone who had interviewed him: author and financial researcher Dr. Andrew Lo. Dr. Lo recently published a book titled “In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio,” in which he profiled some of the leading figures in academic research and finance. None stood taller than Professor Markowitz, whom Dr. Lo discusses at length in this interview we aired in February of 2022. We think you'll enjoy it. Thanks so much for listening and see you in a week. Have a happy holiday.Our guest this week is Dr. Andrew Lo. Dr. Lo is the Charles E. & Susan T. Harris Professor, a professor of finance, and the director of the Laboratory for Financial Engineering at the MIT Sloan School of Management. His current research spans five areas, including evolutionary models of investor behavior and adaptive markets, systemic risk, and financial regulation, among others. Dr. Lo has published extensively in academic journals and authored a number of books including In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio, which he cowrote with Stephen Foerster. He has received numerous awards for his work and contributions to modern finance research throughout his career. He holds a bachelor's in economics from Yale University and an AM and Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University.BackgroundIn Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio: The Stories, Voices, and Key Insights of the Pioneers Who Shaped the Way We Invest, by Andrew W. Lo and Stephen R. FoersterAdaptive Markets: Financial Evolution at the Speed of Thought, by Andrew W. LoHistory"Thirty Maidens of Geneva," the Tontine Coffee-House, thetch.blog.com, Aug. 5, 2019."Why 18th Century Swiss Bankers Bet on the Lives of Young Girls," by Stephen Foerster, sfoerster-5338.medium.com, Sept. 2, 2021.William F. Sharpe"Keynes the Stock Market Investor: A Quantitative Analysis," by David Chambers, Elroy Dimson, and Justin Foo, papers.ssrn.com, Sept. 26, 2013.Eugene F. Fama"Algorithmic Models of Investor Behavior," by Andrew Lo and Alexander Remorov, eqderivatives.com, 2021."In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio: Eugene Fama," Interview with Andrew Lo and Eugene Fama, youtube.com, Dec. 15, 2016."Why Artificial Intelligence May Not Be as Useful or as Challenging as Artificial Stupidity," by Andrew Lo, hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu, July 1, 2019.Charles D. Ellis"Charley Ellis: Why Active Investing Is Still a Loser's Game," The Long View podcast, Morningstar.com, May 27, 2020.Other"7 Principles to Help You Create Your Perfect Portfolio," by Robert Powell, marketwatch.com, Nov. 10, 2021.
Does modern portfolio theory work? Danny takes an insightful look back at the life of economist Harry Markowitz (along with his shortcomings) before diving into Mike Webster's tribute to William O'Neil, the fundamentals behind well-performing auto stocks, and breaking down the oops reversal before taking the following week off for the Fourth of July. […] The post It's Not the Chart, It's the Story | Your Money Podcast – Episode 457 appeared first on Revere Asset Management.
Já ouviu falar em Harry Markowitz? Talvez não, mas certamente conhece o seu legado: além de outras teorias, ele é considerado o pai da diversificação. Nesse episódio especial, Ana Leoni conversa com Martin Iglesias sobre as principais contribuições do economista para o mundo das finanças e como você, investidor, pode se beneficiar com elas. Siga-nos no Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/itaupersonnalite/ Acesse o nosso Telegram: http://t.me/itauinvestimentos Essa é uma comunicação geral sobre investimentos. Antes de contratar qualquer produto, confira sempre se é adequado ao seu perfil.
Curious about the current state of the stock and housing market and what's coming up for the second half of the year?Get up to date with the current market updates!In this episode, Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese explain the difference between hard and soft economic data and why it's important to look at both to get a better understanding of the economy. Ryan and Sonu also touch on the impact of Harry Markowitz on the investment industry, the potential for a strong July rally, and the current state of the housing market. Ryan and Sonu discuss: The difference between soft data and hard dataHarry Markowitz and his impact on the industry through formalizing diversification and the return versus risk frameworkThe possibility of a continuation of the summer rally in the second half of the year, citing historical data and momentumThe valuations in the S&P500 — with a focus on the tech sectorThe importance of housing in the economy and how it is showing early cycle signalsHow housing has historically led recessions and how it took away from GDP for eight quarters in a rowAnd more!Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseInvestment advisory services offered through CWM, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Carson Partners, a division of CWM, LLC, is a nationwide partnership of advisors.
Last week, Harry Markowitz died at the age of 95. He was a Nobel prize winner and the brains behind a famous economic (mathematical?) theory that explains how to diversify one's investment portfolio. So in today's episode for 28th June 2023, we thought we'd take a look back at his famous theory and see whether it still holds good today.
Celebrating a new treasure (baby Hazel). Celebrating an old treasure (great Grandmother Vivian). Light in the Piazza. Okdongsik. Apollo 11 and the quasi-quarantine. Using multisensory imagery therapy (or, what does success smell like to you?) Harry Markowitz and your portfolio. Credits: Talent: Tamsen Granger and Dan Abuhoff Engineer: Ellie Suttmeier Art: Zeke Abuhoff
The ruble weakens - but what actually happened this weekend? No answers here I'm afraid.
“Diversification is the only free lunch in town”. This statement is famously attributed to Nobel laureate Harry Markowitz, and is often cited as your best defence against market risk. But what does diversification mean in practice, and how can we use ETFs to achieve this in a portfolio?
Che legame potranno mai avere le uova con la finanza?Sebbene possa sembrare uno strano collegamento, la celebre frase del Premio Nobel all'economia Harry Markowitz esprime un principio da tenere sempre a mente quando ci si approccia al mondo degli investimenti.Per capire perché è così importante dobbiamo parlare di una regola fondamentale: il rapporto rischio-rendimento.Partiamo con questa ricca puntata?
QuantSpeak host, Dan Tudball, is joined by Dr. John Guerard to discuss his early career beginnings, his work with Harry Markowitz and his advice for future quant finance professionals.
Are you diversified? Inflation, war and a pandemic rage, but the level of risk in your portfolio may not be readily apparent. MarketWatch managing editor for enterprise Nathan Vardi speaks with Sander Gerber, CEO of Hudson Bay Capital about how he manages risk at his $15 billion hedge fund, and his recent work with Nobel prize winner Harry Markowitz on measuring portfolio optimization.
Today on Rational Reminder we take a deep dive into the evolution of modern portfolio theory. We kick the show off with some updates and reviews on some of the brilliant shows and books we are watching right now. A key item from this selection is Stolen Focus: Why You Can't Pay Attention and the points it makes about the value of flow state for learning and creativity. After this week's news stories, we get into the main topic, and Ben starts with a breakdown of portfolio theory as it was laid out by Harry Markowitz in 1952. From there we talk about research that shaped the current understanding of portfolio theory, exploring the distinction between the mean-variance efficient portfolio and the multi-factor efficient portfolio, and how they theoretically combine to make the market portfolio. One of the biggest takeaways here is that your financial asset portfolios can look the same in terms of asset allocation but the person with more macroeconomic risk in the remainder of their financial situation is taking on more risk. Additionally, even if somebody is the perfect candidate to be the mean-variance investor and they could theoretically tilt toward value, it doesn't necessarily mean they have to. We wrap up our conversation by inviting our good friend Larry Swedroe onto the show to speak about his love of reading and share his methods for incorporating what he learns from books into his work and thinking. Key Points From This Episode: Updates: Shows, books, upcoming guests, reviews, and our reading challenge. [0:00:22] A review on Stolen Focus: Why You Can't Pay Attention. [0:11:00] News stories for the week: Wealthfront offers thematic ETFs and more. [0:18:47] Moving onto the main topic for today: How modern portfolio theory has changed since 1952. [0:23:00] Lessons to be taken away from Markowitz's 1952 portfolio theory. [0:25:09] How the math changes when you have a risk-free asset in your portfolio problem. [0:26:59] The capital asset pricing model: the other foundational portfolio theory principle that comes from the mean-variance model. [0:29:08] Portfolio advice that stems from mean-variance optimization. [0:32:46] Building a tangency by expressing information beliefs. [0:36:06] Findings from Michael Jensen's 1967 application of the CAPM. [0:37:04] Why diversification is important according to Markowitz's portfolio theory. [0:38:02] Why the CAPM does not accurately reflect the relationship between risk and expected return. [0:39:49] The origins of multi-factor thinking and examples of multi-factor models. [0:41:10] How the allocation of the multi-factor efficient portfolio creates a third dimension. [0:49:29] How the theory predicts how people behave in aggregate. [0:52:44] Takeaways from today's discussion to keep in mind when building your portfolio. [1:00:00] Larry Swedroe joins us to talk about the importance of reading. [1:03:32] The many subjects that Larry reads about. [1:04:12] How Larry's reading habit works. [1:05:12] How to capture ideas you read for later use. [1:05:57] Larry's storage system for all the books that he reads. [1:08:38] The effectiveness of making a public commitment to read more. [1:12:13]
Investors are constantly searching for the perfect portfolio. Although it may be elusive, there are common principles that can allow all of us to get closer to it. We speak to Stephen Foerster, co-author of the new book "In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio: The Stories, Voices, and Key Insights of the Pioneers Who Shaped the Way We Invest" about some of those principles, and what some of history's best investors and researchers can teach us about them. Along with his co-author Andrew Lo, Stephen spoke to investing legends like Harry Markowitz, William Sharpe, Jeremy Siegel, Jack Bogle, Charley Ellis and Robert Shiller to capture their ideas on the construction of a perfect portfolio. We go through each of those interviews to identify the key lessons investors can learn from them. We hope you enjoy the discussion. ABOUT THE PODCAST Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand (@practicalquant) and Justin Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau), partners at Validea. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics including factor investing, value investing, momentum investing, multi-factor investing, trend following, market valuation and more with the goal of helping those who watch and listen become better long term investors. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://www.validea.com/excess-returns-podcast FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA https://www.validea.com FOLLOW OUR BLOG https://blog.validea.com FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA CAPITAL https://www.valideacapital.com FOLLOW JACK Twitter: https://twitter.com/practicalquant LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-forehand-8015094 FOLLOW JUSTIN Twitter: https://twitter.com/jjcarbonneau LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jcarbonneau
Rising rates, in theory, are bad for tech stocks. Is that always true? I dive in with the help of a recent article from Ben Carlson. Next, I look into how adding a bit of bitcoin to your portfolio could mean you are investing like a Nobel Prize-winning economist. Finally, we answer a listener's question about retiring early before a feared financial disaster in the economy.Outline of This Episode[] Are rising rates bad for tech stocks?[] Can Bitcoin help you diversify your portfolio?[] What should Steve think about retiring early while he also fears a market crash?Why are Rising Interest Rates Bad for Tech Stocks?This year, there is a definite relationship between rising rates and falling stock prices. The other day, Ben Carlson put out a great piece on his blog showing the inverse relationship between yields and the QQQ, which is the 100 biggest stocks in tech-heavy NASDAQ. Sure enough, in 2021, rising rates have equaled weakness in the QQQ. Why is this happening? In theory, it's all about cash flows. Every single financial assets valuation is equal to the present value of future cash flows. To come up with a present value of future cash flows, you discount that future cash flows at prevailing interest rates (or some variation of it depending on the asset class). The higher the discount rate, the lower the present value.Can Bitcoin help you diversify your portfolio?What do Bitcoin and legendary economist Harry Markowitz have in common? They both advocate for modern portfolio theory. At least Bitcoin has up until now (that is subject to change without notice!). Modern Portfolio Theory says that a rational investor should choose an optimal portfolio that maximizes return but doesn't take too much risk. While Bitcoin on its own has the volatility that would make even the staunchest investor quake, when added modestly to a portfolio, it has displayed positive contributions to portfolios as a whole.Steven has a QuestionSteven asks whether he should consider delaying his early retirement because he has been reading articles and fears a financial crisis could be around the corner. Without speculating on the odds of a crisis, I attempt to help Steven think through some considerations and ultimately recommend that he may be well served to speak with a planner who can stress test his financial plan. Articles MentionedWhy it is wise to add bitcoin to an investment portfolioAre Rising Interest Rates Bad For Tech Stocks?Connect with David DeWittSubscribe to the Invest Smarter NewsletterGet a Free Financial AssessmentSubscribe to the Invest Smarter podcast on your favorite platformApple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts, or Castbox
#Bitcoin #Bhutan #RippleI'd like to welcome everyone to my new PODCASTDave's Daily Crypto TakeIn this channel I will be providing you with news on a daily basis about cryptocurrency, bitcoin, blockchain, FIAT. My main purpose is to share UNBIASED news and updates. Ultimately I learn and hopefully you learn while I go on this journey.ARTICLES used in today's video:https://ambcrypto.com/can-ethereum-actually-fall-to-2700-just-because-investors-want-it-to/Can Ethereum actually fall to $2700 just because investors want it toEthereum has seen bouts of hikes and falls this month with single-day increases touching almost 11.3% and single-day falls sitting at 10.5%. In such an unanticipated market, why are people turning bearish for Ethereum is the question.And, even if they are, what are the chances of Ethereum actually falling further?Investors want Ethereum to fall?Not all, obviously. The observation comes from Deribit's puts and calls contracts data. According to the same, trading volumes of Puts Options have been as high as 31k, amounting to more than $90 million. These options are targeted mostly for Ethereum to hit $2700.Now, since Deribit represents almost 96% of all Open Interest in the Options market, it can be considered as almost all of the market's opinion.https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/09/23127032/popular-crypto-trader-says-while-bitcoin-takes-a-nap-these-2-defi-coins-show-great-upsidePopular Crypto Trader Says While Bitcoin Takes A Nap, These 2 DeFi Coins Show Great UpsideApex cryptocurrency Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is likely to see more choppy trading, while decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens Avalanche (CRYPTO: AVAX) and dYdX (CRYPTO: DYDX) continue to trend higher, according to pseudonymous cryptoanalyst “Altcoin Sherpa.”What Happened: Altcoin Sherpa told his 129,000 followers on Twitter that, while Bitcoin will likely see more volatility between the $40,000 and $50,000 levels, it will surge once it breaks through the $50,000 level.https://www.cryptopolitan.com/chinese-government-holds-bitcoin/Did you know? The Chinese government is the second-largest Bitcoin holderThe Chinese government holds more than 194k Bitcoin, which was seized from the PlusToken scammers.Most countries gained cryptocurrencies via seizure, except for El Salvador which recently announced its Bitcoin reserve.Judging by the ongoing crypto regulatory tension and crackdown in China, one can easily conclude that the country is the most stringent place for any digital currency-related operations. Most exchanges and miners operating in the country have had to shut down or migrated to other jurisdictions. Amidst all these tussles, did you know the Chinese government is still the second-largest single entity holding Bitcoin (BTC)?https://ambcrypto.com/this-is-where-bitcoin-has-an-edge-over-stocks-and-real-estate/This is where Bitcoin ‘has an edge' over stocks and real estateBitcoin is considered the most successful cryptocurrency. It continues to entice investors who previously viewed gold as the de-facto inflation hedge and portfolio insurance.So is it a wise decision to add BTC to an investment portfolio?Well, here's what the current issue of the prestigious 178-year-old weekly magazine has to say about the same.“Diversification is both observed and sensible; a rule of behavior which does not imply the superiority of diversification must be rejected both as a hypothesis and as a maxim.”An expert at The Economist, reiterating the aforementioned quote by Nobel Prize winner Harry Markowitz's Journal in 1990 opined that,https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-09-28/bhutan-s-crypto-ngultrum-launch-gets-the-blockchain-rightThis Tiny Nation Is on a Fast Track to a Crypto RevolutionCrypto is the key to happiness. Or maybe not.The infighting is intensifying at the Federal Reserve.Germany is just as divided as America, but not nearly as salty.Petrol panic is quickly turning into pasta panic in the U.K.https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/https://coinmarketcap.com/Please subscribe, like, and share so that more and more people can view this content.DISCLAIMER: I will never give any financial advice. And my channel is not considered official Financial Advice. Please do your research before purchasing any cryptocurrency.Thank you very much DaveSupport this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/daves-daily-crypto-take/donations
In 1952, Harry Markowitz published a now-famous article where he proposed that investors should optimize portfolio expected return relative to volatility. Markowitz helped investors realize that by owning a diverse basket of investments, they could significantly reduce their risk without suffering a commensurate reduction in their expected return. This insight marked the birth of Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) and, by the late 1960s would come to change how investors across the globe thought about investing. The trouble is, some of the assumptions underpinning MPT are keeping more investors from embracing ESG and impact investing. Today's guest Jon Lukomnik joins us to discuss his new book Moving Beyond Modern Portfolio Theory: Investing That Matters. In the book, which is co-authored by James Hawley, Lukomnik and Hawley give a thorough accounting of how many of the assumptions underlying MPT are unrealistic or mistaken. For instance, MPT dictates that investors can mitigate systematic risks (the risks inherent in specific investment) through diversification but cannot influence large systemic risks (threats to the entire system) such as climate change or massive geopolitical instability. Lukomnik and Hawley argue that investors can and do affect systemic risks. For evidence, one need look no further than the 2008 financial crisis where investors fueled the rise of Mortgage-Backed Securities and other collateralized securities that eventually threatened to topple the global financial system. Similarly, MPT is wrong to assert that investors cannot mitigate systemic environmental or social risks like climate change. They can. But doing so requires investors to utilize tactics that aren't part of their traditional toolbox (e.g. shareholder engagement, policy & advocacy, etc.). Jon is well-positioned to write this book. He is currently Managing Director of Sinclair Capital, a consultancy to institutional investors and formerly was a senior city official running New York City's pension funds where he oversaw $80 billion in assets. He also co-founded the International Corporate Governance Network (ICGN), which now represents investors from 43 countries, overseeing some $42 trillion in assets. Jon has been a board member of public, private and not-for-profit companies. He is a three-time recipient of the NACD's Directorship 100 award for being one of the 100 most influential people in US corporate governance. He has also been honoured by the ICGN, Ethisphere, Global Proxy Watch and others. In this episode of the podcast, Jon and I discuss the major arguments from his book including; the importance of MPT; some of the flaws in its underlying assumptions; how the very success of MPT has further undermined the assumptions that underpin it; and why MPT apologists who argue that ESG and impact investing will underperform have it wrong. And be sure to stay tuned to the very end when Jon responds directly to a conversation from an investment podcast where the experts argue that ESG and Impact Investing is doomed to underperform. ENTER OUR GIVEAWAY - for a chance to win an awesome impact investing gift pack that includes a $250 Patagonia gift card, a 60 mins impact investing coaching call with yours truly, and two great impact investing books (including Moving Beyond Modern Portfolio Theory). Visit www.davidoleary.ca/giveaway to enter to win. Resources from this episode: Moving Beyond Modern Portfolio Theory: Investing That Matters by Jon Lukomnik & James Hawley Jon Lukomnik's firm Sinclair Capital Ep 124 of the Rational Reminder Podcast with Professor Lubos Pastor
Is there an ideal portfolio of investment assets, one that perfectly balances risk and reward? In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio (Princeton UP, 2021) examines this question by profiling and interviewing ten of the most prominent figures in the finance world—Jack Bogle, Charley Ellis, Gene Fama, Marty Leibowitz, Harry Markowitz, Bob Merton, Myron Scholes, Bill Sharpe, Bob Shiller, and Jeremy Siegel. We learn about the personal and intellectual journeys of these luminaries—which include six Nobel Laureates and a trailblazer in mutual funds—and their most innovative contributions. In the process, we come to understand how the science of modern investing came to be. Each of these finance greats discusses their idea of a perfect portfolio, offering invaluable insights to today's investors. Inspiring such monikers as the Bond Guru, Wall Street's Wisest Man, and the Wizard of Wharton, these pioneers of investment management provide candid perspectives, both expected and surprising, on a vast array of investment topics—effective diversification, passive versus active investment, security selection and market timing, foreign versus domestic investments, derivative securities, nontraditional assets, irrational investing, and so much more. While the perfect portfolio is ultimately a moving target based on individual age and stage in life, market conditions, and short- and long-term goals, the fundamental principles for success remain constant. Aimed at novice and professional investors alike, In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio is a compendium of financial wisdom that no market enthusiast will want to be without. Marshall Poe is the founder and editor of the New Books Network. He can be reached at marshallpoe@newbooksnetwork.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is there an ideal portfolio of investment assets, one that perfectly balances risk and reward? In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio (Princeton UP, 2021) examines this question by profiling and interviewing ten of the most prominent figures in the finance world—Jack Bogle, Charley Ellis, Gene Fama, Marty Leibowitz, Harry Markowitz, Bob Merton, Myron Scholes, Bill Sharpe, Bob Shiller, and Jeremy Siegel. We learn about the personal and intellectual journeys of these luminaries—which include six Nobel Laureates and a trailblazer in mutual funds—and their most innovative contributions. In the process, we come to understand how the science of modern investing came to be. Each of these finance greats discusses their idea of a perfect portfolio, offering invaluable insights to today's investors. Inspiring such monikers as the Bond Guru, Wall Street's Wisest Man, and the Wizard of Wharton, these pioneers of investment management provide candid perspectives, both expected and surprising, on a vast array of investment topics—effective diversification, passive versus active investment, security selection and market timing, foreign versus domestic investments, derivative securities, nontraditional assets, irrational investing, and so much more. While the perfect portfolio is ultimately a moving target based on individual age and stage in life, market conditions, and short- and long-term goals, the fundamental principles for success remain constant. Aimed at novice and professional investors alike, In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio is a compendium of financial wisdom that no market enthusiast will want to be without. Marshall Poe is the founder and editor of the New Books Network. He can be reached at marshallpoe@newbooksnetwork.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is there an ideal portfolio of investment assets, one that perfectly balances risk and reward? In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio (Princeton UP, 2021) examines this question by profiling and interviewing ten of the most prominent figures in the finance world—Jack Bogle, Charley Ellis, Gene Fama, Marty Leibowitz, Harry Markowitz, Bob Merton, Myron Scholes, Bill Sharpe, Bob Shiller, and Jeremy Siegel. We learn about the personal and intellectual journeys of these luminaries—which include six Nobel Laureates and a trailblazer in mutual funds—and their most innovative contributions. In the process, we come to understand how the science of modern investing came to be. Each of these finance greats discusses their idea of a perfect portfolio, offering invaluable insights to today's investors. Inspiring such monikers as the Bond Guru, Wall Street's Wisest Man, and the Wizard of Wharton, these pioneers of investment management provide candid perspectives, both expected and surprising, on a vast array of investment topics—effective diversification, passive versus active investment, security selection and market timing, foreign versus domestic investments, derivative securities, nontraditional assets, irrational investing, and so much more. While the perfect portfolio is ultimately a moving target based on individual age and stage in life, market conditions, and short- and long-term goals, the fundamental principles for success remain constant. Aimed at novice and professional investors alike, In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio is a compendium of financial wisdom that no market enthusiast will want to be without. Marshall Poe is the founder and editor of the New Books Network. He can be reached at marshallpoe@newbooksnetwork.com.
Is there an ideal portfolio of investment assets, one that perfectly balances risk and reward? In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio (Princeton UP, 2021) examines this question by profiling and interviewing ten of the most prominent figures in the finance world—Jack Bogle, Charley Ellis, Gene Fama, Marty Leibowitz, Harry Markowitz, Bob Merton, Myron Scholes, Bill Sharpe, Bob Shiller, and Jeremy Siegel. We learn about the personal and intellectual journeys of these luminaries—which include six Nobel Laureates and a trailblazer in mutual funds—and their most innovative contributions. In the process, we come to understand how the science of modern investing came to be. Each of these finance greats discusses their idea of a perfect portfolio, offering invaluable insights to today's investors. Inspiring such monikers as the Bond Guru, Wall Street's Wisest Man, and the Wizard of Wharton, these pioneers of investment management provide candid perspectives, both expected and surprising, on a vast array of investment topics—effective diversification, passive versus active investment, security selection and market timing, foreign versus domestic investments, derivative securities, nontraditional assets, irrational investing, and so much more. While the perfect portfolio is ultimately a moving target based on individual age and stage in life, market conditions, and short- and long-term goals, the fundamental principles for success remain constant. Aimed at novice and professional investors alike, In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio is a compendium of financial wisdom that no market enthusiast will want to be without. Marshall Poe is the founder and editor of the New Books Network. He can be reached at marshallpoe@newbooksnetwork.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/economics
Is there an ideal portfolio of investment assets, one that perfectly balances risk and reward? In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio (Princeton UP, 2021) examines this question by profiling and interviewing ten of the most prominent figures in the finance world—Jack Bogle, Charley Ellis, Gene Fama, Marty Leibowitz, Harry Markowitz, Bob Merton, Myron Scholes, Bill Sharpe, Bob Shiller, and Jeremy Siegel. We learn about the personal and intellectual journeys of these luminaries—which include six Nobel Laureates and a trailblazer in mutual funds—and their most innovative contributions. In the process, we come to understand how the science of modern investing came to be. Each of these finance greats discusses their idea of a perfect portfolio, offering invaluable insights to today's investors. Inspiring such monikers as the Bond Guru, Wall Street's Wisest Man, and the Wizard of Wharton, these pioneers of investment management provide candid perspectives, both expected and surprising, on a vast array of investment topics—effective diversification, passive versus active investment, security selection and market timing, foreign versus domestic investments, derivative securities, nontraditional assets, irrational investing, and so much more. While the perfect portfolio is ultimately a moving target based on individual age and stage in life, market conditions, and short- and long-term goals, the fundamental principles for success remain constant. Aimed at novice and professional investors alike, In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio is a compendium of financial wisdom that no market enthusiast will want to be without. Marshall Poe is the founder and editor of the New Books Network. He can be reached at marshallpoe@newbooksnetwork.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/finance
Is there an ideal portfolio of investment assets, one that perfectly balances risk and reward? In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio (Princeton UP, 2021) examines this question by profiling and interviewing ten of the most prominent figures in the finance world—Jack Bogle, Charley Ellis, Gene Fama, Marty Leibowitz, Harry Markowitz, Bob Merton, Myron Scholes, Bill Sharpe, Bob Shiller, and Jeremy Siegel. We learn about the personal and intellectual journeys of these luminaries—which include six Nobel Laureates and a trailblazer in mutual funds—and their most innovative contributions. In the process, we come to understand how the science of modern investing came to be. Each of these finance greats discusses their idea of a perfect portfolio, offering invaluable insights to today's investors. Inspiring such monikers as the Bond Guru, Wall Street's Wisest Man, and the Wizard of Wharton, these pioneers of investment management provide candid perspectives, both expected and surprising, on a vast array of investment topics—effective diversification, passive versus active investment, security selection and market timing, foreign versus domestic investments, derivative securities, nontraditional assets, irrational investing, and so much more. While the perfect portfolio is ultimately a moving target based on individual age and stage in life, market conditions, and short- and long-term goals, the fundamental principles for success remain constant. Aimed at novice and professional investors alike, In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio is a compendium of financial wisdom that no market enthusiast will want to be without. Marshall Poe is the founder and editor of the New Books Network. He can be reached at marshallpoe@newbooksnetwork.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/intellectual-history
Is there an ideal portfolio of investment assets, one that perfectly balances risk and reward? In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio (Princeton UP, 2021) examines this question by profiling and interviewing ten of the most prominent figures in the finance world—Jack Bogle, Charley Ellis, Gene Fama, Marty Leibowitz, Harry Markowitz, Bob Merton, Myron Scholes, Bill Sharpe, Bob Shiller, and Jeremy Siegel. We learn about the personal and intellectual journeys of these luminaries—which include six Nobel Laureates and a trailblazer in mutual funds—and their most innovative contributions. In the process, we come to understand how the science of modern investing came to be. Each of these finance greats discusses their idea of a perfect portfolio, offering invaluable insights to today's investors. Inspiring such monikers as the Bond Guru, Wall Street's Wisest Man, and the Wizard of Wharton, these pioneers of investment management provide candid perspectives, both expected and surprising, on a vast array of investment topics—effective diversification, passive versus active investment, security selection and market timing, foreign versus domestic investments, derivative securities, nontraditional assets, irrational investing, and so much more. While the perfect portfolio is ultimately a moving target based on individual age and stage in life, market conditions, and short- and long-term goals, the fundamental principles for success remain constant. Aimed at novice and professional investors alike, In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio is a compendium of financial wisdom that no market enthusiast will want to be without. Marshall Poe is the founder and editor of the New Books Network. He can be reached at marshallpoe@newbooksnetwork.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network
In the 1950s, economist Harry Markowitz developed a "Modern Portfolio Theory." His theory aims to maximize returns for a given level of risks. Out of this theory was birthed the idea of buying equities or stocks and holding them. Markowitz won a Nobel Peace Prize for his research.Warren Buffett came along and popularized this style of investing, but then a hedge fund manager named Ray Dalio thought we could track data and do better than buying and holding investments. Many people are stuck investing the way people did seventy years ago, but things have changed. Dalio, pictured below. helped change that.Dalio used computer algorithms to track data that allowed for certain triggers to be activated when trades should be executed. Obviously, a team of asset managers are responsible for managing these programs and the purpose of this investing technique is to mitigate against losses. This investing method is called algorithmic investing. We use models that have internal algorithms that allows a client's account to go in and out of positions depending on what's happening in the overall market, economy, and world. We have developed strategic relationships with well renowned asset managers that manage billions of dollars using these methods. routinely talk to people who never recovered from the 2000 to 2010 stock market performance. That decade, commonly referred to as the ”lost decade,” because since the S&P 500 index was created that was the worst decade for the index. You may have had a negative return if you had been invested in an index that mirrored the S&P 500 during that decade.If you used the buy and hold method you saw years of negative returns, and if you were taking income off of your investments you saw your principal dissipate. Algorithmic investing is a better way to avoid this common pitfall. Why? Because the goal of investing this way is to lessen the chance that we will have to wait years for our money to break even. If you are using your money to live on or if you like the idea of keeping your principal intact more than you like taking big gambles this may be appropriate for you. The days of riding the stock market to the bottom are over. We don't have to ride the volatility roller coaster due to our algorithmic investing methods. David Treece would be happy to schedule a 15-minute call with you to discuss this concept more. You may call our office at 864.641.7955 to schedule a call.Article mentioned Investment advisory services offered only by duly registered individuals through AE Wealth Management, LLC (AEWM). AEWM and Clients Excel, LLC are not affiliated companies. Investing involves risk, including potential loss of principal. Any references to protection, safety, or lifetime income, generally refer to fixed insurance products, never securities or investments. Insurance guarantees are backed by the financial strength and claims paying abilities of the insuring carrier. This podcast is intended for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be used as the sole basis for financial decisions, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet particular needs of an individual's situation. Clients Excel is not permitted to offer and no statement made during this show shall constitute tax or legal advice. Our firm is not affiliated with or endorsed by the U.S. Government or any governmental agency. The information and opinions contained herein provided by third parties have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed by Clients Excel. The use of logos and/or trademarks of podcast hosting sites are the property of their respective owners and are not an endorsement by those owners of our firm or our program.
Why being neutral on growth vs value may actually be speculating.In this episode, Aaron and Trishul do a deep dive on asset allocation. The percent of stocks vs the percent of bonds in an investment portfolio. They explain how an all-stock portfolio is less risky than you think, while an all-bond portfolio is even riskier than you may believe. Losing money is only one type of risk. But if you understand all the other risks involved, you then get to decide which risks are the most important to your situation.Episode ReferencesMMS #43. Is your asset allocation putting your retirement at risk?MMS #42. Investment strategies evolve, but is your portfolio stuck in a foregone era?Investing Forever - Why invest in one thing over another?Investing Forever - Efficient Market HypothesisInvesting Forever - Risk, EverywhereInvesting Forever - Why buy-and-hold can save you bigHarry MarkowitzPodcast DescriptionWelcome to The Mind Money Spectrum Podcast where your hosts Aaron Agte and Trishul Patel go beyond traditional finance questions to help you explore how to use your money to achieve the freedom you want in life. Aaron is a Financial Planner from the Bay Area, and Trishul is a Wealth Manager on the East Coast. For more information about Aaron, check out GraystoneAdvisor.com. And for more information on Trishul check out InvestingForever.com. We thank you all for listening, and stay tuned for our latest episode on our website, MindMoneySpectrum.com.
Il secondo episodio della nostra saga sul passive management e gli index providers.Il ribilanciamento dell’indice è in arrivo e James e Yuanbiao sono pronti ad anticipare le mosse del mercato. Il piano è chiaro: James, utilizzando la sua posizione di insider alla S&P DJI, con l’aiuto di Yuanbiao, scommetterà sulle aziende che verranno incluse ed escluse dall’indice prima che la notizia arrivi al mercato, per tirar su una fortuna. Ma c’è qualcosa che tormenta ancora Yuanbiao: com’è possibile che il solo ribilanciamento di un indice, cioè il cambiamento di una semplice lista di aziende, abbia un impatto così grande sui prezzi delle azioni, tale che se anticipato possa fruttare milioni? Il loro piano si basa sull’idea che una volta ribilanciati gli indici, i fondi passivi saranno costretti a ribilanciare a loro volta i loro investimenti comprando e vendendo azioni. Il quesito che si pone Yuanbiao, quindi, non è scontato: ci sono davvero così tanti soldi investiti nei fondi passivi? Così tanti da influenzare il prezzo delle azioni che comprano e vendono?Per rispondere a queste domande vi trasporteremo attraverso anni di storia economica e finanziaria. Attraverso i primi fondi negli anni 70, le intuizioni di Jack Bogle, e le teorie finanziarie di Harry Markowitz, Jack Treynor, William Sharpe, e Michael Jensen.Quindi allacciate le cinture, e tenetevi forte. Il secondo capitolo di questa saga passa attraverso il passive investing, i fondi passivi, la loro nascita e la loro storia.Siamo Giammarco Miani, Francesco Namari e Gaia Geraci, and the next stop is... Bank Station.Crediti: Testo di Giammarco Miani, Francesco Namari e Gaia Geraci Voci: Giammarco Miani, Francesco Namari e Gaia Geraci Sound design a cura di Andrea Roccabella Fonti: - Petry, J., Fichtner J. and Heemskerk, E., (2019). Steering capital: the growing private authority of index providers in the age of passive asset management, New Political Economy.- Petry, J. (2020). From National Marketplaces to Global Providers of Financial Infrastructures: Exchanges, Infrastructures and Structural Power in Global Finance, New Political Economy.- Braun, B. (2016). From performativity to political economy: index investing, ETFs and asset manager capitalism, New Political Economy.- Bloomberg (2019). When Vanguard's founder first invented the index fund, it was ridiculed as 'un-American'. [online] Available at: https://www.businessinsider.com/vanguard-jack-bogle-first-index-fund-criticism-2019-1?r=DE&IR=T.- Bloomberg (2016). Are Index Funds Communist? [online] Available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2016-08-24/are-index-funds-communist.- The Economist (2019). No one did more for the small investor than Jack Bogle. [online] Available at: https://www.economist.com/leaders/2019/01/26/no-one-did-more-for-the-small-investor-than-jack-bogle.
Le sujet : Si l'on devait résumer l'épisode du jour en une phrase, on pourrait dire : comment se servir de la théorie pour travailler sa gestion financière de manière très concrète. Le tout, en analysant différents types de gestions et en parlant d'un incontournable de la gestion financière : le risque. Notre invité du jour : Partner chez Ginjer AM, une société fondée en 2011 pour répondre aux nouveaux enjeux de gestion générés par la précédente crise, Mathieu Vaissié est également chercheur à l'EDHEC Risk Institute. L'invité parfait pour nous éclairer sur ces sujets !Au micro de Matthieu Stefani, cofondateur de CosaVostra, Mathieu Vaissié explique les grands principes théoriques qu'il faut avoir en tête avant de passer à la pratique quand il s'agit de gestion financière. A savoir :# La théorie moderne du portefeuille. Développée en 1952 par Harry Markowitz, cette théorie explique comment mélanger des actifs risqués et non risqués pour optimiser son portefeuille dans le temps et être 100% gagnant (ou presque). # Pour comprendre le marché financier, il faut d'abord comprendre le fonctionnement des humains, ensuite la micro-macro et enfin la mécanique des marchés. # Si le risque a une très mauvaise connotation en France, il est tout de même important de toujours en prendre.# Avoir comme plan A : croire en l'avenir. Et comme plan B : se préparer au pire.# Accepter la volatilité. Nassim Taleb en parle dans son ouvrage Antifragile, c'est ce qui vous permettra d'aiguiser votre système de stabilisation.# Suivre les 3 grands principes : la temporalité, la simplicité (la volatilité implicite) et la diversité. # Mais aussi 3 approches pratiques : le pacte d'Ulysse, l'approche Barbell et l'approche pré-mortem.lls y parlent aussi d'anciens épisodes de La Martingale :#53 - Marc Fiorentino : Plutôt Momentum Player ou Value Investor ? Comment investir en période de bulle ?Mais aussi de l'article de Mathieu qui analyse le bitcoin en suivant une approche pre-mortem.Bonne écoute ! C'est par ici si vous préférez iTunes, ici si vous préférez Deezer ou encore ici si vous préférez Spotify.Merci à Anaxago d'avoir rendu possible cette sixième saison de La Martingale. Anaxago vous permet d'investir en ligne dans une large sélection d'opportunités ancrées dans l'économie réelle : startups, crowdfunding immobilier, immobilier locatif, SCPI, assurance-vie, impact. Selon vos objectifs, vous pouvez réaliser vous-même vos investissements ou choisir d'être accompagné par un gestionnaire privé. Rendez-vous sur anaxago.com, un code promotionnel spécial pour les auditeurs et auditrices de La Martingale vous y attend !
How Modern Portfolio Theory Can Make You a Better Investor By Douglas Goldstein, CFP® Can “Modern Portfolio Theory” increase your investment returns? Recently, on The Goldstein on Gelt Show, I spoke with the inventor of Modern Portfolio Theory, Nobel Prize in Economics winner, Dr. Harry Markowitz. Dr. Markowitz explained various aspects of Modern Portfolio Theory and its impact on the individual investor. His theory explains how to construct an investment portfolio by optimizing expected returns based on the level of market risk. The goal is to help investors construct portfolios to maximize returns while limiting risk as much as possible. By combining various asset classes in one portfolio, Markowitz explains, the overall account may have a lower volatility and higher return than a portfolio that isn't properly optimized. Can theories really help investors? When investors are faced with market upheaval, they often panic and lose confidence. When I asked Dr. Markowitz how to advise clients during turbulent markets, he spoke about the common mistakes that individual investors make: “The chief error that the small investor makes is buying when the market has gone up and he assumes it's going to go up further, and then he sells when the market has gone down and he thinks it's going to go down more.” He contrasted this investing model to using Modern Portfolio Theory to rebalance your portfolio to reflect market conditions. If used in the right way, MPT can be effective in turbulent times. When I speak with clients about their U.S. brokerage accounts or their investments in the Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs), I realize that it's difficult for them to look objectively at their own money. We all have our emotions tied up in our net worth. But when money managers use MPT to design a portfolio, it can help remove some of the emotional bias that might wrongly influence the way people invest. To find out more about Modern Portfolio Theory, listen to our discussion at: http://www.goldsteinongelt.com/markowitz Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services, Ltd. www.profile-financial.com. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Call (02) 624-2788 for a consultation about handling your U.S. investments from Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc., Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, FSI. The opinions expressed are those of the author and not those of Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. or its affiliates.