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Solid results from Meta and Microsoft precede Apple and Amazon earnings later today. This morning features jobless claims and ISM Manufacturing with the SPX on a 7-day win streak.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.(0130-0425)
S&P Futures are displaying strong gains this morning as big tech earnings delivered solid Q1 results. After the bell today, AAPL, AMZN, AMGN, ABNB, RDDT & ROKU are scheduled to report. Trump on Wednesday hinted at progress in trade talks with Japan, he also cited the possibility of trade agreements with India and South Korea, and voiced optimism about a deal with China. China has indicated that it may be open to trade talks with the U.S. Key economic data point for today will be the ISM Manufacturing data. Oil prices continue to slide as Saudi Arabia indicates that it is prepared for a prolonged period of low prices.
APAC stocks traded higher but with gains capped in severely thinned conditions owing to mass holiday closures across the region and in Europe for Labour Day.BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.50% and provided some dovish rhetoric despite maintaining its rate hike signal.US is said to have reached out to China recently for tariff talks, according to Bloomberg citing an influential social media account.US stocks were boosted heading into the Wall St closing bell. Futures saw a further lift following strong earnings from Microsoft and Meta.DXY is higher, JPY lags post-BoJ with USD/JPY eyeing 144 to the upside, EUR/USD sits around the 1.13 mark.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Layoffs, Jobless Claims & ISM Manufacturing, BoJ Governor Ueda's Press Conference.Earnings from Amazon, Apple, Riot Platforms, Reddit, Airbnb, Eli Lilly, Roblox, CVS, MasterCard, McDonald's, Drax, Hiscox, Lloyds, Kerry, Whitbread, Standard Chartered & Telecom Italia.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Europe on holiday, US equity futures entirely in the green with sentiment boosted after strong META/MSFT results.DXY is a little firmer ahead of US data, JPY hit post-BoJ/Ueda.JGBs lead post BoJ/Ueda, USTs await Tier 1 data points.Crude continues to decline, XAU hit by the USD while base peers welcome the US tone post-Mag7.Looking ahead, US Challenger Layoffs, Jobless Claims & ISM Manufacturing.Earnings from Amazon, Apple, Riot Platforms, Reddit, Airbnb, Eli Lilly, Roblox, CVS, MasterCard, McDonald's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Job openings and ISM Manufacturing are highlights today after stocks clawed back Monday in a rally that didn't include major tech names. The tariff announcement looms tomorrow.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.(0130-0425)
S&P Futures are displaying weakness this morning as the markets continue to await clarity on the tariff situation. U.S. auto manufactures are making a push to exclude certain car components from tariffs. President Trump is expected to sign Executive Orders today related to national security and economic policy. There is a press conference today at noon. Key economic reports due out today on the ISM Manufacturing and JOLT's data. A Texas court rejected JNJ use of Chapter 11 for its talc cancer fund. PVH and PRGS are higher this morning after earnings releases.
Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong discuss the latest ISM Manufacturing data that showed a second consecutive month of expansion. Can the US economy continue to be resilient during this uncertain period? How are luxury brands able to survive over decades? Will the jobs report give us big clues about the near future of the economy? Should we take Ray Dalio's latest economic prediction seriously?
En este episodio, desglosamos los eventos más relevantes que están impactando los mercados y la tecnología: Mercados atentos a aranceles y datos económicos: El $SPX, Nasdaq 100 y Dow operan estables mientras los inversionistas siguen la incertidumbre sobre los aranceles de Trump a México y Canadá. Además, analizamos el impacto de los próximos datos del PMI e ISM Manufacturing. Bitcoin se dispara por respaldo de Trump: $BTC-USD supera los $95K tras el anuncio de la Crypto Strategic Reserve y la primera Crypto Summit en la Casa Blanca. Evaluamos cómo esto afecta al mercado cripto y qué esperar en el sector. Boston Scientific adquiere SoniVie: $BSX pagará hasta $540M por una nueva terapia de hipertensión. Analizamos cómo esta compra refuerza su portafolio y qué impacto tendrá en su crecimiento. Honor apuesta por la IA: La compañía china invertirá más de $10B en IA en los próximos cinco años, presentando su estrategia en el MWC de Barcelona. Discutimos cómo esto posiciona a Honor en la competencia global de inteligencia artificial. AbbVie entra en el mercado de la obesidad: $ABBV firma un acuerdo con Gubra por hasta $2.2B para desarrollar un tratamiento experimental contra la obesidad. Evaluamos el impacto de esta inversión en el creciente sector farmacéutico. Acompáñanos para analizar cómo estos eventos están transformando los mercados financieros, la tecnología y la biotecnología. ¡Un episodio cargado de información clave!
ISM Manufacturing peeks its head above 50 finally but the Service Sector Stumbles. Looking for opportunity? Don't get distracted by the constant Wall of Worry but since tariffs (so far) have been a tool, not a policy--watch for threats.
It was a busy week. Dave Spano and Brian Jacobsen present our Week-in-Review. Learn more about financial incompatibility, our Annex Executive program, how to plan for aging parents, and common millionaire myths (that aren't true).
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — January 11, 2025 Season 39, Episode 2 This week on "Money Talks," Director of Research Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, is joined by Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, to weigh in on the ISM Manufacturing and Nonmanufacturing indices, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover for November, and the minutes from the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting and what they indicated for future rate cuts. The experts had an open discussion on the Social Security Fairness Act that eliminates the Windfall Elimination Provision and the Government Pension Offset for federal and municipal government employees. In this week's case study, D.J. and K.C. talk about how they frequently find themselves stepping into the role of a mediator or “marriage counselor” when helping couples navigate emotionally charged financial topics. The episode finishes with the hosts responding to listeners' questions on senior marriages that could eliminate some Social Security benefits and how to determine what holdings to trim for required minimum distributions.Timestamps and Chapters00:00: Market Roundup: Jan. 6 – Jan. 10, 202518:15: Open Discussion: Social Security Fairness Act27:14: Case Study: Navigating Emotional Financial Topics39:20: Q&A Time: Intel Corp., and Trading HoursFollow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
S&P Futures are showing gains this morning with positive action in autos, banks, drugs and tech. The key economic data point for today will be the ISM Manufacturing index which is due out after the opening bell. U.S. Steel (X) is falling, Indications that Biden will announce that his is blocking their merger with Nippon Steel. Carvana shares are weakening after a negative report from Hindenburg Reseach. Gains are Constellation Energy (CEG) as the firms won more than $1B in government contracts. Defense stocks are higher after yesterday's selling pressure which was due to Chinese sanctions. European shares are lower this morning and oil prices are falling in the pre-market.
European bourses are generally lower whilst US futures gain modestly.USD is a little lower, holding around the 109.00 mark.Mild divergence in fixed income, USTs a little higher whilst EGBs are pressuredCommodities fail to benefit from a softer Dollar as crude gives back recent strength.Looking ahead, US ISM Manufacturing PMI, US House Speaker Vote, Fed's Barkin & ECB's Lane.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
This week, truncated by Wednesday's holiday, includes ISM Manufacturing, pending home sales, and Tesla's vehicle delivery data. Treasury yields kept the pressure on stocks Friday.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.(0131-1224)
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — December 7, 2024Season 38, Episode 49This week on "Money Talks," Director of Research Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, is joined by Managing Associates Jarrett McKenzie, CFP®, CWS®, and K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, to discuss the breadth of market performance and the ISM Manufacturing and Nonmanufacturing indices. The financial experts explored the topic of sequence risk and the long-term effects of retiring in a down market. Jarrett and K.C. unpacked how the Henssler Ten Year Rule nearly eliminates this risk. The show hosts wrap up the hour with a listener's question on substantiating qualified charitable distributions.Timestamps and Chapters00:00: Market Roundup: Dec. 2 — Dec. 6, 202423:42: Case Study: Sequence Risk42:48: Q&A Time: Qualified Charitable DistributionsFollow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Ben and Tom discuss AT&T's guidance for 2025, Microchip's new CEO, and a very strong ISM Manufacturing report. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visithttps://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure
European bourses began the session in negative territory, but sentiment quickly improved to show a mostly positive picture in Europe; US futures modestly lower.Dollar is propped up by further Trump tariff threats, EUR dragged by political uncertainty and tests 1.05 to the downside.OATs in focus as the French gov't awaits Le Pen's decision; USTs are slightly lower ahead of US ISM Manufacturing PMIs.WTI & Brent are on a firmer footing following better-than-expected Chinese PMIs, XAU/base metals pressured by the firmer Dollar.Looking ahead, US S&P manufacturing PMI, ISM Manuf. PMI & Construction Spending, Speakers including Fed's Williams, Waller.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Markets are seeing a bit of a rebound after yesterday's sell-off. Whether it will hold depends on how serious investors take the October jobs report. According to Kevin Green, you'll also want to keep an eye on how ISM Manufacturing impacts the trading day. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global ForEx and Editor of The Marc To Market website, joins us to review a number of macroeconomic factors moving the markets. We delve in to the better-than-expected jobs report on Friday, with the 2 prior months being revised upwards, along with better GDP expectations, lower US and global inflation metrics, and better ISM manufacturing readings than many anticipated in an environment where so many have been continuing to call for an imminent recession all year long. With the macroeconomic data actually much better than most were calling for the last few months, this has Marc thinking the "soft landing" expectations are still front and center. Central banks globally are continuing to cut interest rates, it has many other currencies dropping faster than the US dollar, and so with the US economics on solid footing, this has been putting an upward bias in the greenback. Marc also shares a nuanced take on the commodities sector that has continued to be well-bid in the face of a stronger dollar, and he points to the complex geopolitical concerns underpinning the oil market, and the impact of the measure the Chinese government is taking to stimulate their economy and real estate sector, in addition to consolidating certain industries and boosting consumer confidence, that may be underpinning the strength in base metals and other commodities. Click here to visit Marc's site – Marc To Market.
Mike Armstrong and Paul Lane break down the ISM Manufacturing survey and the JOLTS report. Fed's Powell says rate cuts can sustain soft landing, but sees no need to rush. Dockworkers launch strike at ports from Maine to Texas. Boeing weighs raising at least $10B selling stock. CVS to cut 2,900 jobs and is reportedly mulling a breakup. DirecTV strikes deal to acquire Dish Network.
A weak ISM Manufacturing report sent stocks reeling, with semiconductors plunging and volatility up more than 30%. Today underscores sensitivity to any signs of a softer economy.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.
S&P Futures are displaying negative action ahead of the opening bell. The focus this morning will be on the ISM Manufacturing report due out after the opening bell. This afternoon ZS, GTLB, HQY & PD will be releasing earnings reports. Tomorrow morning, DLTR, DKS & CIEN are scheduled to report. Shares of Boeing are under pressure this morning due to a downgrade from a major broker. Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris on Monday opposed the sale of US Steel to Japan's Nippon Steel. China launches probe into Candian imports and Beijing has also threatened Japan with severe economic retaliation if Japan further restricts sales and servicing of chipmaking equipment to Chinese firms. In Europe, the major three indexes are lower. Oil weakness continues with crude oil trading lower this morning by more than -1.5%.
Equities are entirely in the red, continuing the subdued risk tone seen in APAC trade overnightDollar is slightly firmer, JPY bid given the risk tone & Ueda documents, Antipodeans lagUSTs flat ahead of key US ISM Manufacturing PMI, Bunds slightly firmerCrude is significantly lower but with specifics light, XAU climbs back above USD 2.5k, base metals slipLooking ahead, US PMI (F), ISM Manufacturing, BoE's Breeden, ECB's NagelRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks eventually faltered and traded in the red across the board, albeit with losses somewhat limited amid cautious trade ahead of the US return.DXY remained in a tight range, JPY outperformed and Antipodeans lagged as risk tilted lower.China Commerce Ministry, in response to Canada's tariffs on Chinese products, said China to initiate an anti-dumping investigation into canola imports from Canada,European equity futures are indicative of a subdued open with Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.1% after cash closed +0.3% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, GDP (Q2), US PMI (F), ISM Manufacturing, BoE's Breeden, Supply from Germany, and Earnings from Darktrace, DS Smith, and Ashtead.Click here for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
On today's Daily Voice, Sam reviews the quiet start to the week, explains why things should start to pick up now and looks into the seasonality of the S&P 500.
Markets LOVED Powell's signal that cuts are coming, but then the ISM Manufacturing and initial jobless claims numbers heightened the fear that cuts will be too little and too late. Dave Spano and Brian Jacobsen present the Week-in-Review. Ask Annex is back along with a solid segment about aging parents. Robert Chastain covers milestone birthdays that serve as reminders to key retirement planning considerations.
US equities were lower in Thursday trading, though ended a bit off worst levels. Growth worries moved to the front burner today after another weak ISM Manufacturing reading and a step-up in jobless claims. There was also a continuing buildup of consumer-softness commentary in earnings calls.
In today's episode, we dive into the latest economic updates, focusing on the upcoming rate cuts and key financial indicators. Broadcasting live from my backyard, I discuss the recent Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) report, its implications for inflation, and the Federal Reserve's potential moves. We also explore the significance of the Case-Shiller Index, consumer confidence, and various jobs reports, all while assessing their impact on the housing market. Join me as I break down these critical topics and provide insights into what the future might hold for the economy. Stay tuned for an in-depth analysis of the economic news of the week, including predictions on pending home sales, the unemployment rate, and the latest earnings reports from major companies. This episode is packed with valuable information for anyone interested in understanding the current financial landscape and making informed investment decisions. Timeline Summary [00:00] - Introduction to the episode and overview of the PCE report. [00:53] - Core inflation numbers and their impact on potential rate cuts. [01:27] - Discussion on upcoming economic news, including the Case-Shiller Index and consumer confidence. [02:33] - Insights into private payrolls and pending home sales. [02:59] - Analysis of the Federal Reserve's upcoming rate decision. [03:54] - Weekly jobless claims and ISM Manufacturing report. [04:19] - The big jobs number and unemployment rate predictions. [05:06] - Upcoming earnings reports from major companies. [05:29] - Predictions for pending home sales and their impact on the market. [07:59] - Meet Kevin's bold predictions on rate cuts and housing market trends. [08:18] - The historical context of rate cuts and inflation control. [09:13] - Information about upcoming events and community groups for listeners. Links & Resources Join our community: School Community Follow us on social media for updates: Instagram | YouTube Thank you for tuning in! If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, and review our podcast. Don't forget to share it with friends who might find it valuable. Stay connected for more insights in our next episode!
Andrew, Ben, and Tom review yesterday's ISM Manufacturing report, June Preliminary CPIs for Europe, Tesla is set to report Q2 deliveries, and "upflation." For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visithttps://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure
Ben and Tom discuss the Mexico election, ISM manufacturing slowdown, and if the Fed will wake up.For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visithttps://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure
This week on “Inside the Economy”, we evaluate employment, currency, and the importance of Natural Gas as a U.S. export. The recent job openings report shows a continued trend downward. What does this tell us about the trajectory of the U.S. economy? In other news, the U.S. dollar index continues to strengthen. How do global payments denominated in the U.S. dollar compare to other currencies such as the Euro? Lastly, the U.S. is a major exporter of Natural Gas. How much supply is left to keep the trend going? Tune in to learn more! Key Takeaways: • Total job openings at 8.5M • U.S. Dollar Index at 106.2 • ISM Manufacturing index falls below 50
Ben and Tom discuss yesterday's ISM manufacturing numbers, the Fed's decision to hold rates, the Canadian rail strike, and big earnings blow-ups. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visithttps://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure
Mark Beck and Brian Jacobsen present the week-in-review and decode more Fed speak. Can you trust what social media recommends for investing? What are the ramifications of inheriting money?
Today we had the pleasure of hosting our good friend Derek Podhaizer, Vice President of Equity Research at Barclays. Derek started his research career at the firm in 2014 and leads coverage of U.S. Onshore Energy Services and Geothermal. Given the recent flurry of activity within the services sector, including Tuesday's SLB-ChampionX announcement (linked here), it was fantastic to hear Derek's observations on the space including overall investor sentiment, emerging trends in services and geothermal, and investor perception and feedback. In our conversation with Derek, we discuss the significant changes in energy services over the past decade, transitioning from a boom-and-bust cycle to a focus on capital discipline and shareholder returns, M&A themes driving consolidation in the oilfield services sector, primarily driven by supply rationalization and synergistic services, and the importance of cultural integration in M&A transactions. Derek shares current trends including emerging and growing power solutions businesses, growing interest in geothermal energy among oilfield service companies, the potential for a divergent market in companies providing integrated solutions compared to others, and how total cost of ownership and efficiency drives investor confidence and differentiation among service providers. We discuss long-term value creation in energy services, Barclay's research department and coverage, technological advances and production efficiencies, excitement for the potential of geothermal energy to become a significant contributor to the energy mix, investor interest in geothermal, and more. We ended by asking Derek for his thoughts on the state of the energy transition discussion from his vantage point in New York. Thank you for joining, Derek! Mike Bradley kicked us off by highlighting that Monday's ISM Manufacturing report and Tuesday's JOLTS Job Openings reports both surpassed expectations, which pushed the 10-year government bond yield to a YTD high of ~4.35%. He noted the current consensus for multiple interest rate cuts (starting in June) is getting challenged by recent strong economic prints, continued record U.S. budget deficits, strengthening energy commodities and accelerating future power demand growth. WTI is trading at ~$85/bbl, marking its highest level since October 2023 and crude oil is continuing to show signs of real physical tightness as WTI time spreads are trading at their steepest level of backwardation since June 2022. OPEC is meeting this Wednesday and most traders expect them to signal continued production constraint through Q2'24. He further noted that OPEC looks to be in full control of crude markets and that the global oil S/D setup looks very constructive heading into 2H'24, both of which should position OPEC to add barrels into an undersupplied global oil market in 2H'24. On the broader equity market front, over the last few days markets have been pressured due to an unexpected surge in interest rates. Tesla was also weighing on markets due to its disappointing Q1 deliveries and providing further proof that U.S. electric vehicle sales are facing some temporary demand headwinds. He ended by highlighting SLB's agreement to buy ChampionX in an all-stock deal and also noted the solid YTD performance of Oil Services. Jeff Tillery noted the unique dynamics of M&A in energy services and the operational intricacies involved, segueing into our conversation with Derek. It was great luck to have Derek on a day when a major transaction was announced in oilfield services. The OFS space remains super intriguing for its ability to range across classic as well as new energy technologies. We look forward to staying in touch with Derek and thank you, as always, for your friendship!
APAC stocks were mixed after the weak performance on Wall St where hot ISM Manufacturing PMI saw markets trim Fed rate cut bets.European equity futures indicate a contained open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future little changed after the cash market closed flat on Thursday.DXY sits on a 105 handle, EUR/USD slipped below 1.08, USD/JPY extended upside and Cable gave back the 1.26 handle.Crude futures remained afloat after recently gaining on the back of US and Chinese PMI data and amid geopolitical tensions.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ and UK final Manufacturing PMI, German regional and national CPI, US Durable Goods, JOLTS Job Openings, ECB Survey of Consumer Expectations, Comments from Fed's Bowman, Williams, Mester & Daly, Supply from Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Henssler Money Talks – March 9, 2024Season 38, Episode 10This week on “Money Talks,” Chief Investment Officer Troy Harmon, CFA, CVA, is joined Jim Crone, CFS®, CLU®, Director of Insurance Planning, and Associate Giuliana Barbagelata, CFP®, to discuss the ISM Manufacturing and Nonmanufacturing indices, Consumer Sentiment, and the week's market moves. Jim highlights how life insurance can help wealthy families who may be susceptible to estate tax issues—especially if the expanded estate tax exemption limits expire and revert to 2017 levels. The experts round out the show by answering a listener's question on Medigap policies.Timestamps and Chapters00:00 Market Roundup: Mar. 4 – Mar. 8, 202422:46 Case Study: Repurposing Life Insurance as an Estate Planning Tool34:00 Q&A Time: Medigap Policies Follow Henssler: Facebook: http://bit.ly/HensslerFacebook Twitter: http://bit.ly/HensslerTwitter LinkedIn: http://bit.ly/HensslerLinkedIn Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/YouTube: http://bit.ly/HensslerYouTube “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Ben and Tom discuss an optimistic ISM Manufacturing report, the impact of this data on Fed decisions, a look ahead at Fed action and rate movement over the course of the year, and a preview of The State of the Union.For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit https://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure
US equities finished higher in Thursday trading, ending near best levels. Markets are trying to bounce following several headwinds on Wednesday, including a high bar for big tech earnings, renewed regional bank concerns, and Powell's pushback against March rate cut expectations. In macro news, January's ISM Manufacturing beat with new orders back in expansion, though the employment index fell, and prices paid higher.
European equities are mixed, whilst US equity futures are firmer to varying degreesDollar is marginally bid though off post-Powell highs; Aussie lags after weak building approvals dataBonds are mixed; USTs modestly higher whilst Bunds pare yesterday's dovish dataCrude is in the green pre-JMMC whilst base metals are lower across the board, in-fitting with the broader risk toneLooking ahead, US IJC & ISM Manufacturing, BoE Policy Announcement, Comments from ECB's Lagarde & Lane, BoC's Macklem & Rogers, OPEC JMMC Meeting, BoE's Bailey post-announcement press conference, Earnings from Apple, Merck, Amazon & MetaRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Andrew and Tom discuss positive ISM Manufacturing data, the mixed bag of employment data, the Fed minutes, Walgreens earnings, interest rate movement today, and how the Fed discussion of rate cuts has impacted the economy. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit https://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure
APAC stocks were mostly lower as sentiment reverberated from Wall Street's downbeat performance, while Japanese markets were away on a market holiday.DXY held a softer bias overnight but maintained 102+ status after taking a breather from yesterday's surge from a 101.33 low to a 102.25 peak. EUR/USD rose back above 1.0950 while USD/JPY traded on either side of 142.00.European equity futures are indicative of a slightly lower open, with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.2% after cash markets closed -0.2% on Tuesday.China is expected to persist in reducing interest rates and the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) throughout 2024, according to the China Securities Journal. Looking ahead, highlights include German Unemployment, US MBAs, ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTs, FOMC Minutes, Fed's Barkin, Supply from Germany. Earnings from JD Sports, and Bellway.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Henssler Money Talks – December 9, 2023Season 37, Episode 49This week on “Money Talks,” Chief Investment Officer Troy Harmon, CFA, CVA, is joined by Senior Associates Michael Griffin, CFP®, and Logan Daniel, CFP®, CRPC® to cover the week's market action, the ISM Manufacturing and Services indices, and jobless claims. Michael and Logan provide advice for a couple who are forced to tackle their year-end financial planning on their own—without an adviser to help. The experts highlight the main things that have a hard Dec. 31 deadline. The hosts conclude the show with listeners' questions on Roth IRA conversion taxes and Philip Morris International. Timestamps and Chapters00:00 Market Roundup: Covering Dec. 4 – Dec 8, 202324:55 Case Study: Year-End Financial Moves34:59 Q&A Time: Roth IRA Conversion taxes and Philip Morris International. Follow Henssler: Facebook: http://bit.ly/HensslerFacebook Twitter: http://bit.ly/HensslerTwitter LinkedIn: http://bit.ly/HensslerLinkedIn Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/YouTube: http://bit.ly/HensslerYouTube “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Ben and Tom discuss ISM manufacturing data results from last Friday, the current employment situation, more merger action, bitcoin's recent rise, an attack on a US destroyer, and things to watch this week. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit https://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure
Tim Fiore, Committee Chair for the ISM's Manufacturing Report on Business® indicates that there is stability in the most recent report, with New Orders increasing and moderate contraction in production and employment. Companies continue to operate on lower, tightly controlled inventories while suppliers try to deliver orders early to make their year-end numbers. Overall, the report does not indicate recession even though portions of it are in contraction with GDP growth expected to be 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Welcome to The Bitcoin Layer, where we bring you research, analysis, and education for all things bitcoin and macro. In this episode, Joe breaks down the ISM Manufacturing survey for November into its subcomponents, explaining why the survey hasn't contracted as quickly as previous cycles and why the rates market's reaction has an equal shot at overdoing it as it has at being correct in preparing for the worst. New YouTube videos M/W/F — New Substack posts T/R/S The Bitcoin Layer is brought to you by River. Visit https://river.com and start buying today, or visit https://river.com/TBL for $5 free when you sign up and buy $100 in Bitcoin. Subscribe to TBL on Substack: https://TheBitcoinLayer.substack.com Follow TBL on Twitter: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Follow TBL on LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/TheBitco... Follow TBL on Instagram: https://instagram.com/TheBitcoinLayer Follow TBL on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Sign up for the free Monetary History course on @SaylorAcademy : http://sylr.org/MonetaryHistory Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball Block Height 819311 #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #JeromePowell #EconomicData #TreasuryYield #PMI #ISM #Manufacturing #Employment #Business #NSA #BitcoinBullmarket #BitcoinBearMarket #Recession #Recessions #TreasuryBills #HousingMarket #EconomicCycle #Housing #FederalReserve #USHousingMarkets #Global #GlobalRecession #CentralBanks #Banks #Economy #InterestRates #Inflation #Stocks #StockMarket #Yields #USGoverment #Bonds #BondMarket #Volatility #TradingView #Trading #Charts #Debt #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Expense #Treasury #Global #LiquidityIndex #Risk #Asset #Bitcoin #USD #FED #Dollar #Sats #Gold #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #Macro The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise
Markets on fire - is it for real? Announcing a new Closest to the Pin! Household debt update - market thoughts and more... PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm Up - Following up on last week's data deluge - Wondering - was it a DCB or a BMR (Dead Cat Bounce - Bull Market Rally) - WeWork is now WeBroke - 70 hour workweek? - GUILTY -Another Shutdown countdown Market Update - Household Debt reaches milestone - South Korea "leveling the playing field" - Best week of 2023 - Apple Earnings (Does anyone care?) - Microsoft - Big Move Headline - U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on track for their longest streak of gains in two years, as a retreat in U.S. Treasury yields buoyed megacap growth stocks and investors sought more clarity on interest rates from the Federal Reserve. - Best week of 2023 - NASDAQ up 6%! Microsoft - Big Move! - OpenAI and other AI has been good tailwind for the company - Stock closing in on ATH -- H&C Clients own the stock MSFT CHART FOLLOW UP : What to Expect from the Data Deluge - ISM on Friday (Services) - 53 vs 53 last - Employment - 160k and 3.8% (steady) - ISM Manufacturing 49 vs 49 (contraction) - FOMC Rate Decision (pause/pass/no change) - (Add in Treasury issuance needed to make up deficit and Apple earnings) ----- Result? Pretty much inline - Fed said one thing: Risk balanced about doing too much or too little and market went bananas --------Apple - Not impressive and outlook for this coming quarter not so good - but stock moves higher Countdown - November 17th is the end of the short-term budget extension Apple Earnings - EPS: $1.46 per share vs. $1.39 per share expected - Revenue: $89.5 billion vs. $89.28 billion expected - iPhone revenue: $43.81 billion vs. $43.81 billion expected - Mac revenue: $7.61 billion vs. $8.63 billion expected - iPad revenue: $6.44 billion vs. $6.07 billion expected - Wearables revenue: $9.32 billion vs. $9.43 billion expected - Services revenue: $22.31 billion vs $21.35 billion expected - Gross margin: 45.2% vs. 44.5% expected - - Outlook - Not Great - and blamed one less week in the 4th quarter on outlook - - - Stock Down initially then rose with market Skinny Drugs - Novo Nordisk said on Thursday it will supply "significantly" more doses of Wegovy in the U.S. next year, even as it cautioned shortages of the weight-loss injection would continue in the short to medium term. - The Danish drugmaker, which this year overtook LVMH as Europe's most valuable listed company, posted record operating profit and sales for the third quarter, underscoring the phenomenal success of Wegovy so far. -"Specifically on the U.S. market, we'll be supplying significantly more in 2024 compared to what we are in 2023," Novo's CFO Karsten Munk Knudsen said in an interview. - H&C clients own NVO for past several months More Drugs - - Moderna said its 2023 sales would only hit the low end of its $6 billion to $8 billion forecast, reflecting weaker demand for COVID-19 vaccines, and its shares slumped 8%. - The vaccine maker also pushed back to 2025 - Stock down 59% YTD Household Debt - "The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The Report shows total household debt increased by $228 billion (1.3%) in the third quarter of 2023, to $17.29 trillion. The report is based on data from the New York Fed's nationally representative Consumer Credit Panel. - Mortgage balances rose by $126 billion from the previous quarter and stood at $12.14 trillion at the end of September. - Credit card balances increased by $48 billion ...
Apple earnings are this week, along with a Fed rate decision, Treasury supply and the Employment report. A deluge of data over the next few days. War time markets - skittish and on edge. PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm Up - End of Earnings Season - Droop - Big Week - Treasury $, Apple Earnings, Fed Rate Decision and BLS Employment - All of a sudden - export bans may hurt chip companies (after denying any material impact) -Big prediction on oil prices (but market thinks otherwise) ------ Oil signalling less concern - EV's all of a sudden a cold shoulder Market Update - Apple News - Weird time of day (8pm Monday) - Biden AI Executive Order - May hit some stocks - Strikes just about over in Car Country - big costs - Data deluge this week - expect investors to be on edge OIL Prediction - World bank out with prediction - Worst case scenario, if war widens could result in increased food prices worldwide - If no expansion - oil will average $81 next year - Medium disruption - prices up 35% - Large disruption - prices could go up 50-75% Market Technical View - Defined Channel - DOWN MARKET TREND What to Expect from the Data Deluge - ISM on Friday (Services) - 53 vs 53 last - Employment - 160k and 3.8% (steady) - ISM Manufacturing 49 vs 49 (contraction) - FOMC Rate Decision (pause/pass/no change) - (Add in Treadury issuance needed to make up deficit and Apple earnings) Ganging up on Yellen - Several critical comments about Yellen's term as Treasury Secratary and Fed Chair --- Could have issued and locked in VERY cheap rates for long-term (50/00 yer bonds?) ----- Idea is sound, but there are other considerations that could have been problematic Apple Update - Apple on Monday (at 8PM ET) announced a new MacBook Pro lineup featuring the all-new family of M3 chips: M3, M3 Pro, and M3 Max. With a next-generation GPU architecture and a faster CPU, the M3 family brings even more performance and remarkable new capabilities to MacBook Pro. - The new 14?inch MacBook Pro with M3 is not only great for everyday tasks, but also delivers phenomenal sustained performance in pro apps and games. Perfect for aspiring creatives, students, and entrepreneurs, it now starts at $1,599. - The 14- and 16?inch MacBook Pro with M3 Pro provides even greater performance and additional unified memory support, enabling more demanding workflows for users like coders, creatives, and researchers. - The 14- and 16?inch MacBook Pro with M3 Max delivers performance and capabilities that push the limits of computing. - basically - faster chips, new finish to case (black ) - Apple also cut the price of its entry-level 14-inch MacBook Pro, from at least $1999 to $1599, although it gets a less powerful M3 chip, instead of the "Pro"-level chip on last year's model. - Note - 3 days before earnings as the Mac sales have been an issue in a decline sales environment (3 consecutive YOY declines) Follow Up - Florida Real Estate - Due to the Sufside building collapse, new laws for reserve set-asides. --- This is on top of the added costs for HOA and COA insurance increaes - “People are going to be losing their homes. Foreclosures are increasing,” warned Broward County Commissioner Mark Bogen. “As it looks right now, there are going to be so many people unable to live in their homes…. This is going to really be a crisis in our state.” - DECADES - condo associations did not put aside enough $ for future repairs, now new law could require rainy day funds ---- (Ultimately this will be retracted if fully implemented as condo prices will crash) - Not limited to Florida Executive Order
Tom, Ben, & Andrew discussed ISM manufacturing data, impacts of rate changes, Meta updates, AI in the workplace. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit https://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure
The disconnect between a roaring stock market and stubborn recession predictions has left many investors scratching their heads. The equity strategists at Bloomberg Intelligence however have an intriguing explanation: Maybe the part of the economic downdraft most likely to impact stocks started last year, and the worst could already be over. That's what an economic-regime model suggests, according to BI Chief Equity Strategist Gina Martin Adams and her team. She joined the What Goes Up podcast to explain how the model works, and offer her mid-year update on the market. The model uses month-over-month changes in capacity utilization, continuing jobless claims, ISM Manufacturing data and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment level to define the economy's health. “This indicator started suggesting there were economic risks emerging for the equity market as early as June of last year,” Martin Adams says. “And then it hit just an outright low level, like a low that you never see outside of recession. We effectively had this big loss of momentum in the economy that impacted the equity market—extremely negatively—between June and December.” She says that, by the model's measure, the economy still isn't out of the woods. “It's still terrible. The reading is awful. It suggests we may actually still be in some form of an economic correction or recession, but it's off of the low,” Martin Adams says. “So this is what's really meaningful for price direction: As we know, equity prices are driven by shifts in momentum.”See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.