Podcasts about situational awareness

OpenAI says its unreleased Astra model solved or advanced ten long-standing mathematical problems for roughly $2,000. The results raise a larger question: what happens when AI can produce important breakthroughs that almost nobody has the expertise to understand, assess or independently verify? In the headlines: a new Deepseek model, Amazon completes OpenAI investment, and is Situational Awareness dead or alive? AIDB's AI Summer Adventure: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://summeradventure.ai/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Brought to you by:KPMG – Research from KPMG and the University of Texas at Austin shows the highest-impact AI users treat AI like a reasoning partner — and those skills can be taught at scale. Learn more at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠kpmg.com/us/Sophisticated⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Hyperagent - Hire a fleet of always-on agents. New users get $1,000 in inference. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠hyperagent.com/aidailybrief⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Rackspace Technology- One accountable partner to build, operate and run your full enterprise AI stack ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.rackspace.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Section - Section turns AI investment into workforce transformation and ROI - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.sectionai.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Blitzy - Want to accelerate enterprise software development velocity by 5x? ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://blitzy.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠AssemblyAI - The best way to build Voice AI apps - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.assemblyai.com/brief⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Robots & Pencils - Cloud-native AI solutions that power results ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://robotsandpencils.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The AI Daily Brief helps you understand the most important news and discussions in AI. Subscribe to the podcast version of The AI Daily Brief wherever you listen: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://pod.link/1680633614⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Our Newsletter is BACK: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://aidailybrief.beehiiv.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Interested in sponsoring the show? sponsors@aidailybrief.ai

Today, a look at the implications for a stronger JPY from coordinated intervention as the US has joined forces with Japan to force yen appreciation. As well, we wonder what the implications are for equities now that we trade with a much cleaner slate after reaching the other side of blowups in leveraged single-stock ETFs and the liquidation of the Situational Awareness fund late last week. A busy week ahead for earnings and macro and more also previewed on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.  Links discussed on today's podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within two to four hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Skippy and Doogles unpack the spectacular unraveling of Situational Awareness, a hedge fund that reportedly went from roughly $30 billion to $8 billion in a matter of weeks. Then the conversation turns to Larry Ellison and Oracle's enormous AI infrastructure gamble.Join the premium Skippy and Doogles fan club. You can also get more details about the show at skippydoogles.com, show notes on our Substack, and send comments or questions to skippydoogles@gmail.com.

AI's leverage-fueled boom is colliding with a Fed determined to tighten conditions without touching short-term rates. This week, we dig into the Situational Awareness liquidation, the Fed meeting, and whether markets have reached a genuine growth inflection. We unpack the ongoing AI unwind, Warsh's long-end strategy, the Fed's credibility shock, and the administration's market choreography. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:45 Situational Awareness Liquidation 04:49 Why Leverage Fueled The Boom 07:51 Price Drives The Narrative 12:42 Did Markets Misread Warsh? 21:08 Why The Long End Matters 25:42 Warsh's Communication Problem 29:17 What Comes At Jackson Hole? 33:14 Growth Hits An Inflection 38:27 Markets Vs Midterm Politics 45:46 August Slowdown Risks FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks RESOURCES › Weekly Roundup Charts – https://drive.google.com/file/d/1JJcuttegsr2dLgKuasjv7B5u5tPe-OAu/view?usp=drive_link EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November 10-11th https://blockworks.com/events DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

Sul ring vince chi incassa.Nei mercati, come nella boxe, non vince chi promette il colpo più forte.Vince chi resta in piedi quando arrivano i pugni veri.In questo nuovo episodio di Inside Value, Roberto Russo accompagna gli ascoltatori dentro una settimana borsistica fatta di round diversi, ma con un solo verdetto:il mercato ha smesso di premiare soltanto le promesse e ha ricominciato a guardare alla cassa.Parleremo del caso Situational Awareness, hedge fund nato nel 2025 e cresciuto rapidamente grazie alle scommesse sulla filiera dell'intelligenza artificiale, prima di essere colpito duramente dalla leva finanziaria e dalle margin call.Analizzeremo poi il confronto tra Federal Reserve e mercato obbligazionario, con il Treasury trentennale ai massimi da vent'anni e un messaggio chiaro per aziende e investitori: quando il denaro torna ad avere un prezzo, servono utili veri e bilanci solidi.Al centro della puntata anche le trimestrali dei grandi pesi massimi della tecnologia: Microsoft, Amazon, Meta e Apple.Microsoft e Amazon hanno convinto il mercato grazie alla combinazione tra crescita, cloud e disciplina negli investimenti.Meta, invece, ha mostrato il lato più delicato della corsa all'AI: ricavi record, ma free cash flow in forte calo. Apple ha firmato un trimestre storico, ma non abbastanza per soddisfare aspettative ormai altissime.Parleremo anche della rotazione sui semiconduttori e degli investimenti globali nell'intelligenza artificiale, destinati a superare i 1.000 miliardi di dollari nel 2027.La domanda resta una sola: quanta di questa capacità di spesa riuscirà davvero a trasformarsi in ritorni sostenibili?Un episodio dedicato a chi vuole guardare oltre le promesse del mercato e capire chi, davvero, sta generando valore.Perché nei mercati il pugno può arrivare da dove meno te lo aspetti: un rialzo dei tassi, una trimestrale sotto le attese o una margin call nel cuore della notte.E alla fine non conta chi colpisce più forte nei round facili.Conta chi resta in piedi quando il vento cambia.Se volete approfondire i temi di questa puntata, trovate la newsletter sul sito Il Valore Conta, a cura di Roberto Russo e Filippo Pasini.Per maggiori informazioni: info@ilvaloreconta.itQuesto podcast ha finalità esclusivamente informative e divulgative.Non costituisce consulenza finanziaria né raccomandazione di investimento.Le opinioni espresse riflettono il punto di vista degli autori.Buon ascolto.

The Daily Business and Finance Show - Monday, 3 August 2026 We get our business and finance news from Seeking Alpha and you should too! Subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium for more in-depth market news and help support this podcast. Free for 14-days! Please click here for more info: Subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium News Today's headlines: Hedge funds sold tech at historic pace ahead of Situational Awareness fire sale AstraZeneca, Bristol Myers held merger talks, Financial Times reports Oil plunges as US pauses Iran strikes; OPEC+ approves output increase SA Asks: How big of a threat is China's CXMT to memory chipmakers? Google pulls AI feature after users create fake satellite images California Democrats endorse billionaire tax despite party divisions CXMT eyes second Beijing DRAM plant as China boosts chip capacity - report Alibaba jumps 7% after introducing Qwen3.8-Max in China's intensifying AI race Explanations from OpenAI ChatGPT API with proprietary prompts. This podcast provides information only and should not be construed as financial or business advice. This podcast is produced by Klassic Studios Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

En este episodio hablamos de los eventos más relevantes relacionados a los mercados financieros de Estados Unidos durante la semana laboral que terminó el viernes 31 de julio de 2026.En la empresa de la semana hablamos de Colgate-Palmolive $CL (07:50)Y en la sección educativa hablamos del fondo Situational Awareness (11:53)Les dejo la liga a nuestro canal de youtube donde podrán encontrar los audiogramas y videos educativos: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC6thsV8Y_m2DgYPOqjLVfSQY también dejo la liga del blog donde estaremos subiendo las transcripciones de los episodios: www.ramonlog.com#finanzas #bolsadevalores #inversiones

Dwyer discusses setback of Situational Awareness hedge fund.

On this episode of our new market wrap show Last Call, we examine the hidden rotation beneath calm stock market indexes, including sharp AI and semiconductor volatility, small-cap strength, forced fund liquidations, higher rates and changing Federal Reserve guidance. Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler are joined by Jim Paulsen, Ben Hunt, Brent Kochuba, Cameron Dawson and Dave Nadig to discuss stock market correction risk, the economics of the AI data center buildout, options flows, market leverage, regulation and what could drive volatility next.Follow Last Call on Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow Last Call on Apple Podcasts⁠Topics coveredWhy market indexes can hide sharp rotation, dispersion and volatility in semiconductors and high-beta technology stocksJim Paulsen's Policy Pain framework linking oil, Treasury yields, dollar strength and lagged effects on stocks, bonds and economic growthWhy technology stocks could enter a bear market while old-economy sectors, small caps and value stocks hold upBen Hunt's World War AI thesis comparing the AI infrastructure buildout with inflation-adjusted World War II spendingHow hyperscalers, equity issuance, private credit and government financing could crowd out consumers and businessesWhy data centers could consume nearly one quarter of U.S. electricity and lead to higher prices, rationing and government interventionWhat the Situational Awareness fund liquidation and Citadel portfolio transaction reveal about forced market flowsHow options correlations and narrow market breadth can separate a technical rebound from a fundamental AI bottomRisks from speculative retail investments, weakened regulators, leverage and cyclical semiconductor profit marginsWhy reduced Fed forward guidance could create surprise policy decisions and greater algorithmic market volatilityTimestamps00:00 Market rotation and AI volatility beneath the indexes04:07 Jim Paulsen on Policy Pain and market vulnerability09:23 Why tightening hurts stocks before helping bonds14:23 Tech bear market risk and a possible leadership shift18:23 Ben Hunt on World War AI, private credit and systemic risk26:00 Data center electricity demand and the energy constraint31:29 Brent Kochuba on the Situational Awareness liquidation36:00 The forced buying behind the AI stock rebound40:00 Why the liquidation bounce may not signal an AI bottom44:00 How forced flows distort fundamental market narratives48:00 Retail investing pitches, liquidity and cycle FOMO52:00 Deregulation by destaffing at the SEC and CFTC56:00 Semiconductor operating leverage and fragile S&P 500 margins01:00:07 Jack's grievance with the YouTube algorithm01:04:29 What happens when the Fed stops giving forward guidance01:08:34 How markets could react to a surprise Fed decisionLearn more about the Excess Returns podcast network:⁠https://excessreturns.co⁠No information discussed in this podcast should be construed as investment advice. Securities discussed may be held by the hosts and guests, their firms or their clients.

“The human part is 99 percent. The AI part is maybe 1 percent — even if 100 percent of the manuscript was dumped onto the page by AI.” — Keith Teare on writing with AI What is “real” authorship in our AI age? For That Was The Week publisher Keith Teare, all authorship, even the most AI-enabled, is real. It's the cave-dwelling Luddites who are the sloppy ones. For Keith, true creativity, in our age of Claude and Gemini, almost requires the use of AI. A couple of weeks ago Keith confessed, or perhaps boasted, that he is writing an AI-assisted book entitled Who Owns Intelligence. This week, publishing discovered what happens when others play the same game without public acknowledgement. So we have the case of the “red-hot” debut novel, fought over by fourteen publishers, dropped overnight when the agent found AI in the mix. “It's a fantastic book,” the book's agent acknowledged, before firing its less than transparent author. Which, for Keith, is precisely the scandal. His position, argued in this week's editorial “AI Detected,” is pretty absolute. Nothing is written by AI, Keith argues, because AI has no will. It doesn't produce a single word unless asked. The human part is 99 percent, he says, even when 100 percent of the manuscript is spat out by the machine. So the real sin isn't using AI but not acknowledging its use. So, on Who Owns Intelligence, Keith makes it crystal clear that “AI was heavily used in the writing of this book.” I'm not so sure. Amazon is now infested with AI slop that requires no authorship. Besides, Keith clearly has no love of reading books. He admits to reading only a single volume in the last couple of years. And he's still smarting from being, in his mind at least, ripped off by the publishing industry for his last published book some 40 years ago. He no longer needs to read books, he pronounces, because his world-view is already set. For a man who thinks he knows everything, AI isn't scary. Maybe we should rename him Claude. Postscript. Full Keith-style disclosure: these shownotes were produced with the help of Anthropic. When I fed Claude my draft, it responded: “‘Maybe we should rename him Claude' is a closer I'm contractually obliged to enjoy.” Nothing, as Keith says, is written by AI. Although some algorithms seem to have cheeky opinions of their own. Maybe Anthropic should rename it Keith. Five Takeaways •       Nothing Is Written by AI. Keith's absolutism starts from the machine's lack of will: AI won't produce a word unless a human asks. His Who Owns Intelligence — fifteen chapters, arguments, and references — was structured in ninety minutes from years of thinking; the AI produced a manuscript he then shaped, like a color grader working sliders in Photoshop. The human part is 99 percent even when the machine types every word. And authorship was never solitary anyway: Plato's contemporaries thought writing itself degraded ideas, and no publisher will touch a book that hasn't passed through an editor and a subeditor. If editing doesn't change authorship, Keith asks, why would AI?•       Transparency, Not Technology. The week's cautionary tale: a debut novel fought over by fourteen publishers, dropped when the agent discovered AI — while conceding, in the same breath, “it's a fantastic book.” For Keith the scandal is concealment, not composition: own the tool, as he now does with a strapline under his byline. The detection regime, meanwhile, is collapsing on its own inaccuracy — universities dropped their AI detectors this week, and Substack's new detection partner scored Keith's human-shaped editorial as 100 percent AI when a fair reading was 40. Cheating exists only against obsolete rules: the question is moving from did you use AI to how well did you use it.•       “The Publishing Industry Is Basically a Scam.” Keith's response to Andy Hunter's ban on AI-generated books — from last week's Keen On interview — was one word: outrageous. There is no such thing as an AI-written book, only good and bad ones; and the true victim of publishing is not the bookstore but the author. Exhibit A: his own 1988 book sold 50,000 copies at £3.99 and earned him roughly £10,000 — about 5p a copy — while Penguin took the rest. The future he wants is direct, author-to-reader, without the middlemen. As for “organic” artisanal literature: real, elite, and tiny — the new vinyl, which is itself cut these days from digital masters.•       Sharks, Playing Their Own Book. Leopold Aschenbrenner — fired young from OpenAI, transfigured by one prophetic essay into the “Nostradamus of AI” — saw his $45 billion, heavily leveraged Situational Awareness fund lose $600 million, get margin-called, and sell to Ken Griffin's Citadel. (He is, Keith suspects, still super rich.) Zuckerberg's sudden conversion to open source as “the distribution of wealth to the people” struck us both as a bit rich; Amodei's “I'm not against open source as long as it's safe” — from a man on record that no AI is safe — translates as: against. Keith's deeper complaint, from an admiring Claude user: you can't trust Dario. And China, hardware-constrained, has made open source its national strategy — undermining American foundation-model revenue one cheap routed prompt at a time.•       Money Won't Matter by 2036? Elon Musk predicts money becomes irrelevant within a decade; Vinod Khosla — our post of the week — thinks he might just have a point. Keith, ever the economics tutor, reaches for tendency and ceteris paribus: money is a means of exchange and a store of value, and if abundance drives the labor-value of things toward zero, its irrelevance is not illogical — though between tendency and reality lies a whole ton of variables. I bet the opposite: that by 2036 money will matter more than ever. The problem, we discovered, is the stake — you can't bet money on money not mattering. Wives and children were proposed and hastily withdrawn (“We'd be losing, Andrew”). Loser buys dinner — at a free restaurant. About the Co-Host Keith Teare is the publisher of That Was The Week, the essential weekly tech newsletter, and founder and CEO of SignalRank Corporation. A serial entrepreneur — co-founder of, among others, EasyNet and RealNames — he was present at the creation of the UK internet and has spent four decades at the intersection of technology, capital, and ideas. He joins Keen On America every Sunday to make sense of the week in tech. His AI-assisted book in progress is titled Who Owns Intelligence. References: •       That Was The Week — Keith's newsletter, including this week's editorial, “AI Detected.”•       The Wall Street Journal — on the red-hot debut novel at the center of publishing's AI mystery: fourteen publishers, one discovery, one dropped author.•      ...

Dupree Financial Group Blog  ·  The Tom Dupree Show From This Week’s Episode Retirement Investing  ·  August 1, 2026 Is Your Retirement Portfolio Too Concentrated? A 25-year-old hedge fund manager lost roughly $35 billion in a matter of days this week. Here’s what his leverage and the market’s concentration in seven stocks have to do with your retirement account. By Tom Dupree, Founder, Dupree Financial Group  |  dupreefinancial.com  |  859-233-0400 This week, a 25-year-old former OpenAI researcher named Leopold Aschenbrenner watched roughly $35 billion disappear from his hedge fund in a matter of days. Two years ago, he wrote a 165-page essay predicting the future of artificial intelligence with such confidence that Silicon Valley treated it like scripture. This week, his fund — built on borrowed money layered on top of a handful of AI stocks — got forced into a fire sale to Ken Griffin’s Citadel at a steep discount. It’s a dramatic story. But here’s the direct answer to the question that actually matters for your retirement: if most of your money sits in a plain S&P 500 index fund, you may be more concentrated in a handful of the same stocks than you realize — and that concentration, not any single hedge fund’s collapse, is the real thing worth understanding before your next portfolio review. You don’t need borrowed money or a 165-page manifesto to be exposed to this. You just need to own “the market” and assume that means you’re spread across 500 different companies. Key Takeaways Leverage magnifies both directions. Borrowing money to buy investments can boost gains on the way up, but it can wipe out capital just as fast on the way down. That’s the entire story of this week’s hedge fund collapse. Seven stocks now make up a large share of the S&P 500. Depending on the week you check, the “Magnificent Seven” technology stocks account for somewhere between a third and roughly 40% of the entire index’s value. Owning an index fund is not automatically owning a diversified portfolio. A market-cap-weighted index gives its biggest companies the biggest influence — so when those companies wobble, so does “the market.” Know what you own and why you own it. That’s not a slogan — it’s the single most useful question a retiree can ask before the next headline-grabbing selloff. Why This Week’s Story Is Bigger Than One Hedge Fund Every generation produces an investor who seems untouchable — brilliant, early to a trend, riding a wave everyone else is still arguing about. Aschenbrenner’s fund, Situational Awareness, reportedly grew from roughly $200 million to as much as $45 billion in under two years, largely on concentrated bets in AI infrastructure names. Then, using leverage reported as high as 400% — meaning roughly four borrowed dollars for every dollar of the fund’s own capital — a sharp pullback in a handful of semiconductor and AI stocks triggered margin calls his prime brokers couldn’t ignore. That’s the mechanical part, and it’s worth understanding in plain English: when you borrow against an investment and that investment drops in value, your loan doesn’t shrink with it. At some point the lender requires more collateral — a margin call — and if you can’t provide it, your shares get sold for you, often at the worst possible moment. There’s no easy way around that math. It requires diligence, not confidence. Most retirees reading this aren’t using 400% leverage. But there’s a quieter version of the same concentration problem sitting inside a lot of 401(k)s and IRA rollovers, and it doesn’t require a single dollar of borrowed money to hurt you. What the Numbers Actually Show According to CNBC’s reporting on the collapse, Aschenbrenner’s fund held roughly $45 billion in assets at its peak, before margin calls forced the sale of its leveraged public stock positions — including major holdings like SK Hynix and CoreWeave — to Citadel at a discount, with the fund’s overall assets falling to around $10 billion within about 30 trading days (CNBC). TechCrunch’s coverage confirms Aschenbrenner had no prior professional trading experience before launching the fund in 2024, and that the losses came from both AI stocks falling and short positions in software companies moving the wrong way at the same time (TechCrunch). Meanwhile, the broader market has its own version of this concentration story. Reporting from Forbes notes that the “Magnificent Seven” technology stocks made up roughly a third of the S&P 500’s total market capitalization heading into 2026, with some advisors calling the resulting concentration risk a “legitimate concern” (Forbes). Separate reporting from CNBC put the figure as high as 35% to 40% of the index in recent trading, prompting some strategists to recommend equal-weighted alternatives to reduce that concentration (CNBC). The SEC’s own investor education office has published plain-language guidance on why borrowing to invest carries risks that go beyond the investment itself — including the fact that a broker can sell your securities to meet a margin call without waiting for you to act, and can do so without advance notice (SEC Investor.gov). It’s the kind of guardrail worth reading once, even if you never plan to use margin yourself. “Leverage is a thing to be used very judiciously and very carefully, because if you use it in a way that’s irresponsible, it can cost you everything.” — Tom Dupree The Reframe: This Isn’t a Bet on Whether AI Wins or Loses Dupree Financial Group’s Take Most of the commentary this week has been framed as a debate: Is AI spending going to pay off, or is it a bubble? That’s an interesting argument, and reasonable people disagree about it — Microsoft’s stock jumped double digits on one earnings report this year, while Oracle’s bonds have drawn scrutiny over its own AI-related spending. But that debate is largely beside the point for a retiree building income for the next 40 or 50 years. The actual lesson isn’t “buy AI stocks” or “avoid AI stocks.” It’s that when a market’s returns get concentrated in a small number of companies, your risk gets concentrated right along with it — whether you meant it to or not. That’s exactly why our approach starts with cash flow analysis, not headlines: dividend-paying companies across sectors like insurance, telecommunications, and financials keep generating income whether or not seven technology companies are having a good month. You get paid to wait, in good markets and choppy ones, instead of hoping a narrow slice of the market keeps carrying the whole index. What This Looks Like in Practice We build separately managed accounts around companies with a history of paying and growing their dividends, purchased when they’re out of favor and less expensive — not around chasing whichever seven stocks are dominating the headlines that quarter. Bonds play a role too: current income, lower volatility, and dry powder to buy good companies when the market temporarily marks them down for reasons that have nothing to do with their underlying business. None of this means avoiding growth, and it doesn’t mean the S&P 500’s biggest companies are bad businesses — several of them are genuinely excellent. It means not letting one basket, however impressive, decide the outcome of your retirement. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal, and no strategy removes that risk entirely. The goal is to understand it, size it appropriately, and build income you don’t have to sell into a downturn to access. Five Things to Check in Your Own Portfolio 1Pull up your 401(k) or IRA’s top ten holdings. Most plan providers list this on your statement or online dashboard. If you don’t see it, call and ask — it’s your money, and you’re entitled to know. 2Add up what percentage those top ten represent. If it’s a plain S&P 500 index fund, expect a meaningful chunk of your total to be concentrated in a handful of names, most of them technology companies. 3Ask whether that concentration matches your risk tolerance at your stage of life. A 35-year-old accumulating wealth can absorb more concentration risk than someone drawing income in retirement. 4Check whether you’re using any form of leverage or margin, even indirectly through certain funds or products, and make sure you understand exactly what happens if those positions move against you. 5Get a second set of eyes on the whole picture. It’s easy to know your account balance and much harder to know what’s actually driving it. That’s the gap a complimentary portfolio review is built to close. Frequently Asked Questions What is “concentration risk” in a stock market index? Concentration risk means a large share of an index’s total value — and therefore its performance — comes from a small number of companies. In a market-cap-weighted index like the S&P 500, the biggest companies carry the most influence, so a downturn in just a handful of names can drag down the whole index. Why did Leopold Aschenbrenner’s hedge fund lose so much money so quickly? Reporting indicates the fund used leverage as high as 400% on concentrated AI stock positions. When those stocks declined, the borrowed money amplified the losses, triggering margin calls that forced a distressed sale of the fund’s holdings within about a month. Should retirees stop investing in S&P 500 index funds? Not necessarily — index funds remain a legitimate, low-cost building block. The point is to understand what you actually own inside that fund, including how concentrated it has become, rather than assuming “index fund” automatically means “diversified.” What does “leverage” mean in plain English? Leverage means borrowing money to increase the size of an investment beyond what your own capital could buy. It can amplify gains, but it amplifies losses the same way — and if the investment’s value drops enough, the loan doesn’t shrink to match it. How can I tell how concentrated my own retirement portfolio really is? Start by looking up your fund’s top ten holdings and what percentage of the total they represent — most providers publish this. If you’re unsure how to interpret it, a portfolio review with an advisor can walk through what you actually own and why. The Close By the time you read this, Leopold Aschenbrenner’s fund will likely have faded from the headlines, replaced by whoever’s turn it is next — because, as history keeps showing us, there’s always a next one. But the question his week left behind isn’t really about him. It’s about whether you know what you own, and whether you’d be able to answer calmly if your own portfolio had a bad week. That’s the whole point of retiring on income instead of hope: you don’t need to guess right about which seven stocks win. You need a plan that keeps paying you regardless. Keep Learning Listen to the full episode — hear Tom, James Dupree, and Michael Dawahare walk through the Mag Seven earnings debate and this week’s market moves in more detail. Learn more about Dupree Financial Group — our fee-only, fiduciary approach and the team behind it. Schedule a complimentary portfolio review — see exactly how concentrated your own accounts are today. Tom Dupree Tom Dupree is the founder of Dupree Financial Group, a fee-only, fiduciary Registered Investment Advisory firm based in Lexington, Kentucky. He has spent 48 years in the investment business, starting as a municipal bond salesman in the late 1970s, and hosts The Tom Dupree Show, a weekly radio and podcast program covering the financial topics that matter most to retirees. About The Tom Dupree Show The Tom Dupree Show is hosted by Tom Dupree, founder of Dupree Financial Group and a 47-year veteran of the investment business. Each episode covers the financial topics that matter most to retirees and those approaching retirement — in plain English, without the Wall Street spin. Dupree Financial Group is a fee-only, fiduciary Registered Investment Advisory firm based in Lexington, Kentucky. The firm manages separately managed accounts focused on income-generating, dividend-paying portfolios — no products sold, no commissions, no conflicts of interest. Past episodes are available at dupreefinancial.com under the Radio tab. Schedule a Complimentary Portfolio Review If you’re not sure whether your retirement account is more concentrated in a handful of stocks than you’d like — we’ll take a look. No charge. No pressure. Just an honest conversation about what you own and whether it’s working for you. Call: 859-233-0400  |  Visit: dupreefinancial.com All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past market performance discussed above refers to historical index and company data, not to the performance of any Dupree Financial Group account. Dupree Financial Group  ·  Fee-only. Fiduciary. Lexington, KY  · dupreefinancial.com  ·  859-233-0400 { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "PodcastEpisode", "name": "Is Your Retirement Portfolio Too Concentrated?", "url": "https://www.dupreefinancial.com/sp500-concentration-risk-retirement-portfolio/", "datePublished": "2026-08-01", "description": "Tom Dupree, James Dupree, and Michael Dawahare discuss this week's hedge fund collapse, Magnificent Seven earnings, and what S&P 500 concentration risk means for retirement portfolios.", "partOfSeries": { "@type": "PodcastSeries", "name": "The Tom Dupree Show" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Tom Dupree" } } { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "FAQPage", "mainEntity": [ { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is "concentration risk" in a stock market index?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Concentration risk means a large share of an index's total value comes from a small number of companies. 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A $35B Hedge Fund Lesson | Dupree Financial Group appeared first on Dupree Financial.

Fino a poche settimane fa, Leopold Aschenbrenner era considerato uno dei nuovi geni di Wall Street. Il suo hedge fund, Situational Awareness, aveva guadagnato oltre il 1.000% dalla nascita e circa il 439% nei primi sei mesi del 2026. Poi è arrivata la correzione delle azioni legate all'intelligenza artificiale: margin call, vendite forzate e una perdita del 67% in un solo mese. In questo episodio ricostruiamo la crescita e il collasso del fondo, spieghiamo come funzionano leva finanziaria, collateral e richieste di margine, e analizziamo perché Situational Awareness sia stato costretto a trasferire gran parte del proprio portafoglio pubblico a Citadel. Ma un fondo può perdere due terzi del proprio valore e rimanere comunque positivo da inizio anno? E cosa ci dice davvero una performance eccezionale sulla qualità di un gestore? Le lezioni complete per gli investitori, insieme all'analisi delle vendite forzate, del precedente di LTCM e del successivo relief rally, sono disponibili nel Market Outlook del report di luglio della Membership di Investire Semplicemente. Link: https://www.skool.com/investire-semplicemente-7032/plans Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Daily Business and Finance Show - Sunday, 2 August 2026 We get our business and finance news from Seeking Alpha and you should too! Subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium for more in-depth market news and help support this podcast. Free for 14-days! Please click here for more info: Subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium News Today's headlines: Hedge funds sold tech at historic pace ahead of Situational Awareness fire sale AstraZeneca, Bristol Myers held merger talks, Financial Times reports U.S. Treasury said to have made a historic move to stabilize yen market SA Asks: How big of a threat is China's CXMT to memory chipmakers? High fuel prices likely to linger with or without continued Iran war, Exxon and Chevron say Google pulls AI feature after users create fake satellite images AI turns retail traders into DIY hedge funds, but risks are rising 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' spins record $927M global opening Explanations from OpenAI ChatGPT API with proprietary prompts. This podcast provides information only and should not be construed as financial or business advice. This podcast is produced by Klassic Studios Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This week: Situational Awareness—an A.I.-forward hedge fund led by a former wunderkind and OpenAI employee—was tanking fast until a rival fund stepped in. Felix Salmon, Elizabeth Spiers, and Emily Peck explain the series of events that led to Citadel swooping in to buy the bulk of assets held by 25-year-old Leopold Aschenbrenner's investment firm. Then, it's time to talk about the “crack spread”—aka the reason we aren't seeing relief at the gas stations despite steadying oil prices. And finally, the hosts discuss the backlash to the SEC's proposal to do away with its quarterly report requirement. In the Slate Plus episode: Is Cheaper Gas Worth Your Time?Want to hear that discussion and hear more Slate Money? Join Slate Plus to unlock weekly bonus episodes. Plus, you'll access ad-free listening across all your favorite Slate podcasts. You can subscribe directly from the Slate Money show page on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Or, visit slate.com/moneyplus to get access wherever you listen. Podcast production by Jessamine Molli. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week: Situational Awareness—an A.I.-forward hedge fund led by a former wunderkind and OpenAI employee—was tanking fast until a rival fund stepped in. Felix Salmon, Elizabeth Spiers, and Emily Peck explain the series of events that led to Citadel swooping in to buy the bulk of assets held by 25-year-old Leopold Aschenbrenner's investment firm. Then, it's time to talk about the “crack spread”—aka the reason we aren't seeing relief at the gas stations despite steadying oil prices. And finally, the hosts discuss the backlash to the SEC's proposal to do away with its quarterly report requirement. In the Slate Plus episode: Is Cheaper Gas Worth Your Time?Want to hear that discussion and hear more Slate Money? Join Slate Plus to unlock weekly bonus episodes. Plus, you'll access ad-free listening across all your favorite Slate podcasts. You can subscribe directly from the Slate Money show page on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Or, visit slate.com/moneyplus to get access wherever you listen. Podcast production by Jessamine Molli. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week: Situational Awareness—an A.I.-forward hedge fund led by a former wunderkind and OpenAI employee—was tanking fast until a rival fund stepped in. Felix Salmon, Elizabeth Spiers, and Emily Peck explain the series of events that led to Citadel swooping in to buy the bulk of assets held by 25-year-old Leopold Aschenbrenner's investment firm. Then, it's time to talk about the “crack spread”—aka the reason we aren't seeing relief at the gas stations despite steadying oil prices. And finally, the hosts discuss the backlash to the SEC's proposal to do away with its quarterly report requirement. In the Slate Plus episode: Is Cheaper Gas Worth Your Time?Want to hear that discussion and hear more Slate Money? Join Slate Plus to unlock weekly bonus episodes. Plus, you'll access ad-free listening across all your favorite Slate podcasts. You can subscribe directly from the Slate Money show page on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Or, visit slate.com/moneyplus to get access wherever you listen. Podcast production by Jessamine Molli. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Oil crashed on peace, stocks crashed anyway, a 557% profit was a "miss," and a hedge fund called Situational Awareness got blindsided. A week of maximum noise — and the three signals underneath that actually matter.Hypernormal Times on Substack. For your capital markets training needs, visit my friends at Finance Talking.The market fell a fifth and rose a fifth in the same week, on no change in the facts — so this episode strains out the churn and holds up what actually changed.We start with the noise: a ceasefire nobody signed, "peace broke out and stocks crashed anyway," and the record round-trip driven by a leverage unwind — including the week's best story, the hedge fund Situational Awareness, run by the ex-OpenAI author of the famous "see-it-coming" AI essay, getting caught spectacularly unaware and dumping its book to Citadel at the bottom, right before those shares ripped. Then the three signals worth keeping: the AI reckoning turned out to be a sorting, not a crash (Microsoft and Amazon proved the return; Meta didn't); the feared AI glut is, at the physical level, a shortage — one now capping Apple's revenue and turning the Bank of Japan hawkish; and the great bifurcation went concrete, with China floating its own memory champion (CXMT, +472%), building its own chip-making machines, and pulling a piece of Tesla across the US–China line. Plus a Fed chair whose silence the bond market repriced as a credibility shock.Never investment advice.In this episodeWhy the week's violent round-trip was noise, not signal — and how to tellSituational Awareness vs Citadel: a thesis meets a balance sheet at the bottomThe 557% profit that counted as a miss — and the bar detaching from realityThe reckoning as a sorting: Microsoft/Amazon prove the return, Meta doesn't; "free cash flow" runs the tapeThe AI glut that's actually a shortage — Apple can't get chips, and the BoJ turns hawkishThe great bifurcation: CXMT +472%, China's own lithography, Tesla splitting off ChinaWarsh holds, the 30-year hits a 19-year high, and the market calls his bluffAI bubble, AI reckoning, is AI a bubble, AI 2008 vs dot-com, Situational Awareness hedge fund, Leopold Aschenbrenner, Citadel, SK Hynix earnings, 557% profit, Microsoft Azure earnings, Amazon cloud, Meta capex, Apple chip shortage, memory shortage 2028, Samsung, CXMT IPO, China semiconductors, ASML lithography, Tesla SpaceX merger, Kevin Warsh Fed, 30-year Treasury yield, Bank of Japan hawkish, macro podcast, markets podcast, HyperNormal Report, Jeremy McKeown.This podcast explores stocks, markets, and capital, examines the role of gold in finance, unpacks tax policy and economics, discusses pathways to financial freedom and retirement, explains how interest rates affect investing, features insights from financial advisers, analyzes inflation, recession, and market volatility, covers the actions of central banks, evaluates different assets, addresses inheritance planning, reviews portfolio construction with bonds and an isa, assesses long-term returns and allocation strategies, explores macro trends, and helps listeners understand risk and pensions.

The week was dominated by hedge fund Situational Awareness being forced to sell its equity holdings, leading to both a drop and a pop in AI-related stocks. What went wrong and what can we learn? Plus, we discuss why hyperscalers are moving in opposite directions, why Tesla may leave China, and the stocks on our radar. Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Jason Moser discuss: - Situational Awareness - Leverage Gone Wrong - Hyperscaler Divergence - Would You Rather? - Tesla in China - Stocks On Our Radar Companies discussed: Tesla (TSLA), GM (GM), Eli Lilly (LLY), Novo Nordisk (NVO), JPMorgan (JPM) SoFi (SOFI), SpaceX (SPCX), Costco (COST), Target (TGT), L3Harris (LHX), Keysight (KEYS). Host: Travis Hoium Guests: Lou Whiteman, Jason Moser Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We're committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This Week In Startups is made possible by: YSecurity https://YSecurity.io/TWIST MongoDB https://MongoDB.com/ai Odoo https://Odoo.com/twist Today's show: AI models can solve PhD-level math equations and code an app in minutes… So why does everything they design look like identical slop? Thais Castello Branco, founder of Taste Labs, raised $18.5M in seed funding to teach frontier models about aesthetics and outputting quality content. She talks to Jason and Lon about why even frontier models regress to the mean on subjective tasks, how paid "TasteMakers" can improve output quality, and whether AI accelerates or destroys the half-life of "what's cool." PLUS Leopold Aschenbrenner's AI hedge fund liquidated its public stock portfolio, but it may be too soon to count this 25-year-old completely out. Google Earth adds AI generation and turns into a misinformation factory. LinkedIn and Substack join the AI slop crackdown. And why does every venture capitalist seem to have an opinion about the Ceuta border crisis? Guest Thais Castello Branco on X: https://x.com/thaiscbranco_ Taste Labs: https://tastelabs.com/ Amplify Partners: "Kill the Slop": https://www.amplifypartners.com/blog-posts/kill-the-slop-announcing-our-investment-in-taste Relevant Links Leopold Aschenbrenner's essay "Situational Awareness": https://situational-awareness.ai/ CNBC on SA fund collapse: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/31/leopold-aschenbrenner-situational-awareness-fund-fire-sale.html Henk van Ess thread on Google Earth + Nano Banana: https://x.com/henkvaness/status/2082912544394498228 Substack CEO Chris Best: "Against Claudefishing": https://post.substack.com/p/against-claudefishing NPR on the Ceuta crisis: https://www.npr.org/2026/07/31/g-s1-136507/morocco-spain-migration Ethan Goodhart's self-driving golf cart post: https://x.com/EthanGoodhart/status/2082136189998682598?s=20 "Wind" app on TestFlight: https://testflight.apple.com/join/zZqmhhwf TechCrunch: "Gritt exits stealth": https://techcrunch.com/2026/07/21/gritt-exits-stealth-with-34-million-for-robots-to-build-solar-plants-then-everything-else/ CA Gov: Project Nexus solar-covered canal announcement: https://www.gov.ca.gov/2026/04/29/governor-newsom-announces-the-completion-of-first-of-its-kind-solar-covered-canal-in-the-central-valley-piloting-a-new-way-to-save-water-and-reduce-costs/ Molly Wood's "Everybody in the Pool" podcast: https://www.everybodyinthepool.com/ Timestamps:   0:00 Coming up on today's show… 1:23 Thais Castello Branco on teaching models to have good taste 10:45 YSecurity - The on-demand security team for startups. Need enterprise-grade security without hiring a $400k CISO? YSecurity gives you 40+ expert engineers, matched to exactly what you need, by the hour, with your first six hours completely free. Go to https://YSecurity.io/TWIST 15:19 The "TasteMaker" community of paid human curators 20:37 MongoDB - AI-assisted and agentic coding is helping you build faster than ever. Start building at https://MongoDB.com/ai 24:40 Jason's personal "cool hunter" prompt 30:16 Odoo - The all-in-one business platform. Get started for free at https://Odoo.com/twist 37:36 Situation Awareness lacked situational awareness 46:59 Claude models hacked three external organizations 50:54 Google Earth adds Nano Banana for some reason 54:24 The AI Slop crackdown spreads 57:54 Too many opinions about the Ceuta migrant crisis 1:04:05 Self-driving golf carts and also cars 1:09:53 Robot arms are installing solar panels   Subscribe to the TWiST500 newsletter: https://ticker.thisweekinstartups.com Check out the TWIST500: https://www.twist500.com Subscribe to This Week in Startups on Apple: https://rb.gy/v19fcp   Follow Lon: X: https://x.com/lons   Follow Alex: X: https://x.com/alex LinkedIn: ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexwilhelm   Follow Jason: X: https://twitter.com/Jason LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanis   Check out all our partner offers: https://partners.launch.co/   Great TWIST interviews: Will Guidara, Eoghan McCabe, Steve Huffman, Brian Chesky, Bob Moesta, Aaron Levie, Sophia Amoruso, Reid Hoffman, Frank Slootman, Billy McFarland   Check out Jason's suite of newsletters: https://substack.com/@calacanis   Follow TWiST: Twitter: https://twitter.com/TWiStartups YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/thisweekin Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thisweekinstartups TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thisweekinstartups Substack: https://twistartups.substack.com

Matt and Nic are back for another week of news and deals. In this episode:  What the novel Hyperion tells us about AI doom Situational Awareness liquidates most of its public book after a sharp AI selloff Will Leo have a second act? Why has AI been selling off? Over 1000 BTC stored in Coldcard wallets were stolen due to bad entropy Where does self-custody go from here? What happened with Coldcard? Political winds are shifting against crypto as midterms loom Strategy continues to strengthen its balance sheet with MSTR common sales An ice cream shop in CA is hedging the weather with Kalshi Circle buy's IBM's blockchain patent portfolio Visions of Bitcoin turns 8 this week  Content mentioned this episode:  Nic and Hasu, Visions of Bitcoin

Amazon reported accelerated cloud growth in the quarter to the end of June, and JPMorgan has walked into another football firestorm as it works on a plan with Fifa. Plus, Citadel bought Situational Awareness equity holdings after the hedge fund suffered steep AI losses, and DR Congo's cobalt boom carries an unwanted cargo: uranium. Mentioned in this podcast:Amazon shares surge higher after cloud business grows 37%How JPMorgan walked into another football firestormEuropean nations to boycott World Cup in protest at Fifa's plansCitadel buys Situational Awareness equity holdings after steep AI lossesDR Congo's cobalt boom carries an unwanted cargo: uraniumSave 10% on tickets with the code FTPodcast. Visit ft.com/festival to find out more.Want to get in touch? Email us at podcasts@ft.comNote: The FT does not use generative AI to voice its podcasts The FT News Briefing is produced by Victoria Craig, Sonja Hutson, Saffeya Ahmed, Katya Kumkova, and Fiona Symon. Our editor is Marc Filippino. Our show is mixed by Sam Giovinco and Alex Higgins. Additional help from Gavin Kallmann, Michael Lello, Peter Barber and David da Silva. Our intern is Cole van Miltenburg. Our executive producer is Topher Forhecz. Flo Phillips is the FT's global head of audio. The show's theme music is by Metaphor Music.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Reed Albergotti from Semafor is back for our weekly discussion of the latest tech news. We cover: 1) Why Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness Hedge Fund 2) Leopold's connections to effective altriusm and how they played into the picture 3) Does EA lead to unacceptable risk taking? 4) What Leopold actually traded 5) What's left of Situational Awareness 6) OpenAI cuts prices as much as 80% 7) Does an AI price war drive everything to zero? 8) Nvidia invests $5 billion in Ilya Sutskever's SSI 8) Microsoft crushes earnings and has the biggest market cap gain ever 9) Amazon crushes earnings too 10) Google rebounds 11) Apple's memory fears and long term risks --- Enjoying Big Technology Podcast? Please rate us five stars ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ in your podcast app of choice. Want a discount for Big Technology on Substack + Discord? Here's 25% off for the first year: https://www.bigtechnology.com/subscribe?coupon=0843016b Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The latest developments surrounding hedge fund Situational Awareness and what they could mean for AI investors. And we break down earnings from Apple and Amazon, highlighting the biggest takeaways for Big Tech, capex outlook, and the next phase of the AI trade. Plus, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan explains her dissent from the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision, offering insight into the debate over the path of interest rates. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Matt and guest co-host Silvia Killingsworth discuss the Situational Awareness situation, record dates, CVRs, and sourcing weird volatility risk from retail customers to sell to hedge funds.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

What took Situational Awareness from a $45bn hedge fund down to a $10bn hedge fund in less than a month? Two years ago Leopold Aschenbrenner was a researcher at OpenAI who wrote a 165-page essay about superintelligence. Since then, he raised $225 million seed funding from Stripe co-founders, Jane Street, and GitHub's CEO, which he proceeded to turn into an AI hedge fund called Situational Awareness worth about $45bn as of the beginning of July. He did this with no prior trading experience, 4-5x leverage on a concentrated bet in AI names. By Thursday the fund was down to about $10 billion. Neither Millennium nor Jane Street were willing to step in to catch a falling knife. Ultimately Citadel stepped in to buy the flagging portfolio. Here is the crazy part though: Aschenbrenner wasn't wrong. He is reportedly still up around 80% on the year and "he only sold enough to cover his losses". But what caused a massive drop in the global markets was that a prime broker does not care what happens in 2030. And because half the market was crowded into the exact same names, his exit was everyone else's problem. SK Hynix and CoreWeave cratered. Korea's Kospi tripped circuit breakers. Over a million retail accounts got margin called. All of July's violence, the moves that had traders questioning their own sanity, was one book being taken apart in public. So the question this episode actually asks is whether this was one overlevered fund or the first crack in the AI trade itself. Because the market's answer this week was a shrug. Microsoft just posted the largest single-day market cap gain in history and credit spreads snapped back tighter, as if the whole thing was somebody else's accident. Kristen and Jen have both traded through cycles that ended this way, and they have seen exactly how comforting that shrug feels right before it stops being true.

Signal vs Noise: Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, Brian Cubellis, and Liam Nelson put four stories on the shot clock. They break down Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness fund blowing up and getting scooped by Citadel as South Korea's market sheds roughly $2 trillion in 40 days, Elizabeth Warren and Donald Trump agreeing to scrap the debt ceiling, Fauci pleading the fifth before Rand Paul, and open source tools like Granola and Whoop getting reverse engineered overnight. Where's the signal, and where's the noise?---

Big Tech earnings are moving markets sharply as investors try to figure out whether the AI trade still has another leg higher or whether the volatility is warning of something more fragile.Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong break down the sharp swings in semiconductor stocks, why major tech names like Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Apple are seeing outsized moves after earnings, and why the broader market still looks uncertain despite several big rebounds. They also discuss Amazon's strong cloud growth and rising CapEx, Apple's disappointing guidance tied to supply constraints and memory chip costs, and why Apple's slower approach to AI resembles Toyota's patience during the EV boom. Plus, they look at the blowup of the AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness, Todd Lutsky's explanation of irrevocable Medicaid trusts, and why new reports about Anthropic's AI models hacking companies raise serious concerns about agentic AI risks.

Daily Snippet vom 31.07.2026 Leopold Aschenbrenner war mit 19 Jahrgangsbester in Columbia, danach bei OpenAI im Superalignment Team. Mit seinem Fonds Situational Awareness machte er aus 200 Millionen Dollar auf dem Papier fast 40 Milliarden, fast 2000 Prozent seit dem Start, mit nur acht Mitarbeitern. Dann kam der Absturz. Was diese Geschichte so lehrreich macht, ordne ich im heutigen Snippet ein.

Those Long-Term Chip Deals May Not Be as Secure as Investors Are Led to Believe When you listen to memory chip companies like Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology discuss their businesses, they often make it sound like customer contracts—some extending as long as five years—are essentially set in stone. Unfortunately, that's not entirely true. Yes, these companies have long-term agreements in place, but contracts in this industry are often renegotiated when market conditions change. If demand for memory chips weakens significantly, chip manufacturers have a strong incentive to work with their customers rather than strictly enforce every contractual commitment. The reason is simple: preserving long-term customer relationships is often far more valuable than maximizing short-term revenue. Imagine a customer that suddenly doesn't need as many chips because its own sales have slowed. If a supplier forces that customer to accept unwanted inventory, those chips may simply sit in a warehouse until demand recovers. By the time the customer needs additional chips, it may choose to reduce future orders or move business to a competitor that proved to be more flexible during difficult times. Competitors are always looking for opportunities to gain market share. If one supplier refuses to work with its customers, another is usually willing to offer better pricing or more favorable terms. Losing a major customer over a rigid interpretation of a contract can cost far more in future profits than making temporary concessions during a downturn. This isn't just theory and it has happened before. During the COVID-era, many long-term agreements were adjusted as demand shifted. Rather than forcing customers to take products they no longer needed, suppliers often renegotiated delivery schedules and purchasing commitments to preserve long-term partnerships. The same principle applies across many industries. Companies frequently modify or delay large commercial agreements when business conditions change. While contracts provide a framework, successful businesses understand that maintaining trust with key customers is often more important than enforcing every clause to the letter. Investors should remember that a signed contract does not necessarily guarantee future revenue will be recognized exactly as originally planned. Management teams often emphasize the value of their long-term agreements during earnings calls, but those agreements can evolve if market conditions deteriorate. At the end of the day, great businesses understand that customer relationships are built over years but can be damaged in a matter of weeks. In many cases, giving a customer flexibility during a downturn is a much better investment than insisting on strict contract enforcement. That's why investors should view long-term chip contracts as valuable, but not invincible.   Why Index Investing Could Leave You Disappointed Long Term I often hear people say, "Just buy the S&P 500 and forget about it. You'll be fine." While that sounds simple, investing is rarely that easy. Many investors don't fully understand how an index works or why it has performed so well in recent years. The S&P 500 has been driven largely by a handful of technology and AI companies. By blindly investing in the index, many people are simply participating in a momentum strategy without realizing it. Very little thought is given to what those 500 companies are actually worth. There is no effort to trim positions that have become extremely expensive or overly concentrated. As valuations climb, the index simply gives those companies an even larger weighting, leaving investors with greater exposure to the stocks that have already gone up the most. Some people respond by saying, "I won't put everything in the S&P 500. I'll diversify into other index funds." But once you go down that road, investing becomes much more complicated and you'll likely underperform the S&P 500. Should you own an international index? A European index? A bond index? A growth index? A value index? Small-cap funds? REITs? There are hundreds of ETFs and mutual funds to choose from. Now you have another challenge: deciding how much to allocate to each one. When your portfolio declines will you understand why? More importantly, will you know what to do next? Many investors don't, and that uncertainty often leads to emotional decisions at exactly the wrong time. This is why I prefer managing a portfolio of individual value-oriented stocks, combined with money market funds and selected real estate investment trusts (REITs). That approach still provides diversification, but I understand what each investment is worth and why I own it. In my view, that's a much better foundation than owning five or ten different index funds without truly understanding what's inside them or how they're valued. Another common argument for index investing is lower fees. While fees certainly matter, they shouldn't be the only factor. The number that ultimately matters is your total return after all fees and expenses. A lower fee doesn't automatically translate into better long-term performance. If you own index funds, take some time to look under the hood. Do you really understand what you own? Do you know which sectors dominate your portfolio, which companies make up the largest holdings, and how expensive those businesses are today? If the answer is no, don't assume you'll be comfortable when the market experiences its next major decline. Investors who don't understand what they own are often the first to panic, and that confusion can lead to costly investment mistakes.   The U.S. economy is still in much better shape than many people think. This week brought three major events for investors: GDP, PCE inflation, and the Federal Reserve meeting. While the headlines may have sounded mixed, the underlying data still paints a healthy consumer. Second-quarter GDP grew at a 1.5% annualized rate, below economists' expectations. At first glance, that may seem disappointing. But when you look under the hood, the economy continues to show resilience. Consumer spending, which accounts for nearly 70% of U.S. GDP, increased 3.2% after a weak first quarter where it only climbed 0.5%. That tells me the American consumer is still in good shape, and that's one of the biggest reasons the economy continues to avoid the recession that so many have been predicting. Major drags on the headline GDP figure included government spending, which reduced growth by 0.14 percentage points, as well as the more volatile components of trade and the change in private inventories, which subtracted 1.01 and 0.67 percentage points, respectively. Inflation remains the biggest challenge. The Fed's preferred inflation measure, core PCE, increased 3.3% over the past year. While that's an improvement from where we've been, it's still well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. I continue to believe inflation will remain sticky until energy prices become more stable. Energy impacts transportation, manufacturing, and virtually every supply chain, so it's difficult to see inflation falling sustainably while energy costs remain volatile. The Fed, as expected, left interest rates unchanged. What stood out wasn't the decision, it was the growing disagreement among policymakers. The 3 dissents that voted for a 25-basis point increase highlight just how uncertain the economic outlook remains. When inflation is still elevated but the economy continues to grow, there isn't an easy policy answer. One thing I do like so far is Kevin Warsh's changes at the Fed. I like the simplified statement, the encouragement of differing viewpoints, and rather than projecting absolute confidence in economic forecasts, he has acknowledged the uncertainty surrounding them. That's a refreshing change. Economic forecasting has never been an exact science, and I would rather have a Fed Chair who recognizes the limitations of those projections than one who pretends they are precise. What's surprising is how quickly some of the talking heads have claimed Warsh already has a credibility problem. I don't see it that way. Credibility isn't about making bold predictions that later need to be revised. It's about being honest about what we know, what we don't know, and allowing incoming data to guide policy. The takeaway for investors is simple: don't let one headline drive your investment decisions. The economy continues to expand, consumers are still spending, inflation remains stubborn, and the Fed is navigating a difficult policy environment. Looking beneath the surface is often where you'll find the real story.   Leverage Is Fuel... Until It Becomes the Fire The last few weeks have been a reminder that leverage looks like a wonderful tool on the way up... but it's a devastating one on the way down. FINRA's new margin rules have effectively replaced the 25-year-old Pattern Day Trader rule, allowing traders with as little as $2,000 to make unlimited day trades using intraday margin. While this opens the door for more retail participation, it also means more investors have access to leverage, something that has historically magnified both gains and losses. This is a big problem considering FINRA margin debt climbed 49% year over year to another record in June of roughly $1.5 trillion. This comes as investor net credit balances have fallen to a record negative $1.06 trillion. In other words, investors collectively owe more on margin than they have sitting in cash accounts. For comparison's sake, in March 2000 this measure stood at a negative $0.13 trillion. That's an aggressive setup if volatility returns. We also saw this past week the spectacular collapse of Leopold Aschenbrenner's AI-focused hedge fund, Situational Awareness, which shows what can happen when conviction is paired with excessive leverage. The near 25-year-old Aschenbrenner was painted as a genius with strong credentials like being Columbia University's valedictorian at age 19. His fund was launched in July 2024 and he had no experience managing money before that. Before this month's decline the fund had gains of more than 1,000% since inception. The fund used tons of leverage with some saying as much as 400% to build massive positions in AI and semiconductor stocks while shorting stocks in the software space like Adobe. The problem is when names like Coreweave, Nebius, and Sandisk fell more than 50% from their highs and the software stocks rallied, margin calls forced the liquidation of most of its public equity portfolio. The result was staggering considering the fund peaked at above $45 billion in assets and with the selloff they plunged to around $10 billion. This forced a fire sale of assets at a discount to Ken Griffin's Citadel. Some speculate that the forced selling may have helped create the bottom. Once one of the market's largest leveraged sellers had finished liquidating, the selling pressure eased and many AI stocks staged a sharp rebound. Others believe the selling is not over as Michael Burry reportedly used Thursday's powerful rally as an opportunity to increase several of his bearish positions in Micron, Nvidia and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF. Whether he's ultimately right or wrong remains to be seen, but it's a reminder that some experienced investors still believe AI-related valuations and leverage remain stretched.   Here Come the Robots! Robots have been making their way into manufacturing for decades. The first industrial robotic arm, called Unimate, was installed in 1961 on the assembly line at a General Motors plant in Trenton, New Jersey. But today's robots are very different. They're no longer just stationary robotic arms bolted to the factory floor, they're starting to look and move like humans. That reality is beginning to make workers uneasy. At a Hyundai Motor plant in South Korea, employees have gone on a partial strike, with concerns over automation playing a role. Hyundai recently unveiled its humanoid robot, Atlas, which stands 6'2", weighs about 200 pounds, can lift up to 110 pounds, and can continuously carry nearly 70 pounds. It's easy to understand why workers are wondering what these machines could mean for their jobs. South Korea is already the world leader in industrial robot adoption, with approximately 1,220 industrial robots for every 10,000 manufacturing employees. By comparison, the United States has around 307 robots per 10,000 workers. One statistic that surprised me was China, which currently has only about 166 industrial robots per 10,000 manufacturing workers. If Elon Musk has anything to say about it, those numbers could change dramatically over the next several years. Tesla is aggressively developing its humanoid robot, Optimus, with the goal of having it help build vehicles in its factories before long. If that vision becomes reality, other manufacturers will almost certainly follow. The idea of humanoid robots can be unsettling, but the transition is likely to be slower than many people expect. Industry forecasts suggest that global annual production of humanoid robots could reach roughly 1.2 million units by 2030. While that sounds like a large number, it's still a tiny fraction of the global workforce. So, we're probably still a few years away from living like The Jetsons. If you're not familiar with the cartoon, it debuted in September 1962 and imagined a future filled with flying cars and household robots. I guess I will have to wait a few more years to get a maid like the Jetsons had named Rosie the robot.   Financial Planning: Tax Relief Coming for Older Home Sellers? The federal home sale capital gain exclusion has remained unchanged since 1997, allowing homeowners to exclude up to $250,000 of gain if single or $500,000 if married filing jointly when selling a primary residence. With home values rising significantly over the past three decades, particularly in high-cost areas like California, many long-time homeowners now face substantial capital gains taxes when downsizing. A new proposal, the Nest Egg Protection Act, would increase the exclusion to $1 million for homeowners age 65 and older who have owned and lived in their home for at least 25 years. This would allow more seniors to keep the equity they've built over a lifetime. In addition to providing tax relief, the proposal could encourage more older homeowners to sell, increasing housing inventory and making homeownership more attainable for first-time buyers. While the legislation has not yet been enacted and homeowners should continue planning under current law, the proposal reflects a growing recognition that the existing exclusion no longer aligns with today's housing market.   Companies Discussed: International Business Machines Corporation (Ticker: IBM)

Los mercados encaran el cierre semanal con un claro rebote del apetito por el riesgo. Amazon rema a favor, Apple en contra, pero se le perdona. Empaña las perspectivas por los problemas de suministro, lo que pone el foco en la demanda de sus iPhone. Ya no basta con superar las previsiones. Las empresas también deben tranquilizar a los inversores sobre los motores del crecimiento futuro, comentan los analistas. Y entretenido anda el mercado con la historia del fondo de cobertura Situational Awareness. El primer gran colapso financiero de la IA. Citadel, ¿más zorro que viejo? Lo hablamos con Miguel Ángel Temprano. Hubo, por otro lado, fuertes subidas en Bolsas asiáticas. El foco hoy en activos japoneses tras intervención en yen su banco central no notca tipos. En Europa, datos de inflación y más resultados. En España destacamos Amadeus, IAG, Prosegur y Unicaja. En el frente geoestratégico, Trump anuncia acuerdo con Hamás para su desarme. Es difuso y sin calendario definido. Algo cede el precio del petróleo. Como todos los viernes, repaso a operativa con futuros y posiciones en valores Ibex con Gerardo Ortega.

Your morning briefing. All the news you need to start your day.On today's podcast:(1) Leopold Aschenbrenner's hedge fund, Situational Awareness, was forced to sell billions of dollars of technology investments that had rapidly lost value, as nervous banks began to demand more collateral for his trades. (2) Anthropic said its artificial intelligence models breached three organizations during cybersecurity tests that went awry, a little more than a week after its chief rival, OpenAI, disclosed a similar incident.(3) Apple tumbled in late trading after component shortages weighed on the company’s sales forecast, signaling that industrywide supply constraints are taking a bigger toll than anticipated.(4) The yen gave up more of its intervention-driven gains after the Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged, with traders turning their attention to whether Governor Kazuo Ueda can offer support for the currency at his press conference later Friday.(5) UEFA, Europe’s football governing body, on Thursday approved a boycott of FIFA tournaments if President Gianni Infantino proceeds with his plans to sell stakes in a new commercial entity to investors.Podcast Conversation: London’s Former Seats of Power Reopen as Luxury HotelsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

GESTIONNAIRES EN ACTION. L'industrie des semi-conducteurs dédiée à l'intelligence artificielle fait vivre des émotions en montagnes russes aux investisseurs depuis le début de l'année. Après une progression ininterrompue entre janvier et juin, le titre de Sandisk (SNDK, 1279,96$US) a, par exemple, chuté de 60% entre son sommet historique de juin et son creux du 29 juillet, avant de rebondir de près de 26% le lendemain. Micron Technology (MU, 874,66$US) et CoreWeave (CRWV, 73,90$US) sont d'autres titres qui ont effectué des mouvements similaires. Qu’est-ce qui a bien pu se produire pour provoquer des mouvements aussi marqués ces derniers jours? Marc L’Écuyer, gestionnaire de portefeuille à Cote 100, pointe du doigt l’implosion du fonds spéculatif Situational Awareness, dirigé par l’ancien employé d’OpenAI Leopold Aschenbrenner, qui a été forcé de liquider tous ses titres boursiers. «Dans les deux dernières années, Situational Awareness, qui investissait surtout dans les titres liés à l'intelligence artificielle, avait réalisé des rendements extraordinaires», explique-t-il. «Puis là, on vient d'apprendre que la société a été obligée de liquider toutes ses actions. Pourquoi? Parce que les rendements avaient été réalisés, disons, en utilisant l'effet de levier», précise-t-il. Marc L’Écuyer explique que le fonds avait donc utilisé de l’endettement pour amplifier ses rendements. Le risque d’utiliser de telles pratiques est que les prêteurs peuvent procéder à des rappels de marges lorsque d’importantes baisses boursières surviennent, comme ce fut le cas depuis le début du mois de juillet, forçant les investisseurs à vendre au pire moment. Trop de complaisance? Marc L’Écuyer estime que l’industrie de l’intelligence artificielle continuera de générer des investissements massifs au cours des prochaines années. «En ce moment, les investisseurs peuvent effectivement se laisser emporter par des prévisions un petit peu trop positives ou même euphoriques. Qu'est-ce que ça veut dire? C'est que le risque à la baisse est excessivement élevé», dit-il. Le gestionnaire de portefeuille ajoute que les FNB à effet de levier peuvent être tout aussi risqués en multipliant le rendement de titres ou de secteurs comme les semi-conducteurs à la hausse en utilisant des produits dérivés. Lorsque des reculs surviennent, ces rendements sont toutefois multipliés... à la baisse. Microsoft et Meta Platforms dans des directions opposées Aux États-Unis, Meta Platforms (META, 539,03$US) et de Microsoft (MSFT, 451,10$US) ont toutes deux dévoilé leurs résultats trimestriels après la fermeture des marchés le 29 juillet et les titres ont pris des directions opposées le lendemain! Le titre de Microsoft a progressé de 15,5%, alors que celui de Meta a plutôt reculé de 8%. Marc L’Écuyer soutient que les investisseurs commencent à être en mesure de faire la différence entre les entreprises qui ont une stratégie claire en intelligence artificielle et en infonuagique et celles dont les objectifs sont plus flous. «Si on prend l'exemple de Microsoft, on regarde la croissance des revenus dans l’infonuagique est à un sommet depuis 2022. On voit une demande et comment la stratégie de la société va s'implanter, entre autres en connectant ses solutions avec tous ses clients d’affaires», explique-t-il. Il précise qu’à l'inverse, la stratégie pour monétiser l'intelligence artificielle de Meta Platforms est plus nébuleuse, ce qui a provoqué la chute du titre le 30 juillet.Pour de l'information concernant l'utilisation de vos données personnelles - https://omnystudio.com/policies/listener/fr

P.M. Edition for July 30. The U.S. economy grew just 1.5% last quarter, lower than the previous quarter and falling short of economists' expectations. WSJ economics reporter Harriet Torry explains why the details in the report, particularly around consumer spending, suggest things aren't as bad as the headline number makes it seem. Plus, the buzzy AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness, founded by AI whiz kid Leopold Aschenbrenner, sold most of its stock portfolio to investment firm Citadel. We hear from WSJ special writer Greg Zuckerman about why this happened and where the company goes from here. And a big rally in tech companies sent U.S. stocks soaring today. Alex Ossola hosts. See the new fronts in the Iran war.  Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

David Faber reports that one of AI's most closely watched voices, Leopold Aschenbrenner's hedge fund Situational Awareness, has sold its entire portfolio of public investments. We examine what the move could signal for AI investors. Plus, Jersey Mike's CEO joins along with Danny DeVito and Eli Manning to discuss the company's public market debut. And we break down Wall Street's reaction to earnings from Microsoft and Meta as investors assess the next phase of the AI trade.   Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

*Note: This episode was recorded before news broke of Situational Awareness' unwind, which gives us much better insight into the pace and magnitude of the move in the Korean markets specifically.* Chips, China, and credit. The three forces tearing through the AI trade right now, and we called it last week. In this episode we break down why the bond market cracked first, what widening credit spreads on Nvidia, Meta, and Oracle are actually telling you about default risk, and why the Nasdaq is bleeding while the S&P barely flinches. We walk through Alphabet's first negative free cash flow after twenty years of printing money, the CapEx numbers that keep getting revised upward, and the moment the market stopped rewarding spending and started punishing it. If you have ever wondered how to read a credit spread, we show you the math live. Then we get into the China story that moved markets this week. CXMT went public in the largest mainland Chinese semiconductor IPO on record, oversubscribed 212 times, and the Korean stock exchange took the hit because the KOSPI is essentially a memory-chip index wearing a trench coat. We explain why memory matters in an AI data center, why Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron controlling 90 percent of the market was the whole moat, and what reports of domestically produced DUV lithography machines would mean for US export controls. We also unpack Nvidia guaranteeing borrowing for a 10-gigawatt OpenAI data center in Ohio, and whether circular financing between chipmakers and model labs is clever structuring or an accounting Ouroboros. Finally, the philosophical hangover. We react to Elon Musk's Economist interview and his claim that money stops mattering within a decade, pressure-test his deflationary argument against MV equals PQ, and ask why every science fiction author who ever imagined artificial superintelligence wrote a horror story. Plus Anthropic's positioning ahead of a possible IPO, the distillation and copyright fight with publishers, the rare books being unbound and shredded to feed training data, and where value actually accrues if models commoditize. Energy and molecules, or something else entirely. Subscribe for weekly deep dives on AI infrastructure, credit markets, semiconductors, and the money moving underneath the entire AI build-out.

US equities were higher in Thursday trading. The momentum trade bounce was the big story. It played into recent talks around the unwind trade being largely exhausted. The biggest focus was on the hedge fund Situational Awareness, which suffered heavy losses from AI trade selloff, and is now said to have exited all of its public positions.

Kevin Warsh's second Fed meeting left investors questioning whether the new Fed chair is willing to back up his inflation talk with action.Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong break down why markets initially held up after the Fed left rates unchanged, how Warsh's press conference lost credibility with investors, and why the bond market reaction matters for mortgage rates, inflation expectations, and the broader financial system. They also discuss the weaker-than-expected GDP headline, why the underlying economic data looked stronger than the top-line number, and what Microsoft and Meta revealed about the AI spending boom. Plus, they explain why investors rewarded Microsoft's cost discipline, punished Meta's rising expenses, and what the blowup of the AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness says about leverage, risk, and the volatility behind the semiconductor trade.

What happens when drones go somewhere they're not supposed to go? In this AwesomeChat, Sorg talks with Logan Harris, CEO of Spotter Global, about the technology being developed to detect drones, track their operators, protect critical infrastructure, and give security teams a better picture of what is happening across large areas. Spotter Global began by shrinking ground-surveillance radar technology that once required large equipment, significant power, and multiple operators into compact systems designed to provide situational awareness in the field. Today, that technology has expanded into critical infrastructure, public safety, drone detection, and some surprisingly unexpected applications. Logan demonstrates how radar, cameras, GPS tracking information, video analytics, and Remote ID can work together to help operators identify what is actually moving instead of simply generating another security-camera alert. The conversation also explores a rapidly changing drone landscape: public-event incursions, Remote ID regulations, DJI's changes to its geofencing system, DIY aircraft, fiber-optic drones that cannot be detected or jammed through conventional radio-frequency methods, and the growing challenge of defending against inexpensive drones without using dramatically more expensive countermeasures. Learn more about Logan Harris and Spotter Global at www.spotterglobal.com. Topics, News Stories & Technology Discussed How Spotter Global started with military radar technology Logan explains how the company grew out of a need for much smaller ground-surveillance radar systems. Instead of the roughly 100-pound systems that traditionally required several operators, Spotter Global developed compact radar technology for providing situational awareness to small teams operating in remote areas. A compact radar covering a surprisingly large area Logan demonstrates a radar unit with roughly a 600-meter range that uses about eight watts of power and can monitor approximately 40 acres. Radar provides the wide-area detection layer while cameras and additional analytics help determine what the radar actually found. SnapTrack brings live targets directly onto the map Spotter Global's SnapTrack feature combines target location information with live camera imagery. Rather than forcing an operator to monitor a wall of camera feeds, a target can appear on a map with picture-in-picture video once a camera acquires it. Radar + cameras + video AI to reduce false alarms Sorg compares the technology to conventional security cameras that send an alert without making it clear whether the movement came from a person, vehicle, animal, or even a tree branch. Spotter combines radar tracking, GPS coordinates, metadata, cameras, and video analytics to add multiple levels of verification. Critical infrastructure and the Metcalf substation attack Logan discusses how the 2013 attack on the Metcalf electrical substation in California highlighted vulnerabilities around major infrastructure. That helped drive demand for security systems capable of monitoring activity well beyond a facility's fence line. Drones over a Fourth of July event Logan describes assisting local law enforcement around a fireworks event where four drones flew around or over a stadium containing approximately 50,000 people. Police were able to intercept two of the operators. Remote ID: a “license plate” for drones Remote ID is compared to ADS-B on traditional aircraft. Compatible drones broadcast information including an identifier and location data, allowing detection systems to track the aircraft and, in some cases, identify the location of its operator. Spotter Global's Remote ID sensor Logan demonstrates a compact sensor capable of monitoring a large surrounding area for Remote ID broadcasts and plotting drone tracks and operator locations on a map. The 250-gram threshold and smaller drones The conversation looks at how weight affects Remote ID requirements and why some very small consumer drones operate differently from larger aircraft. DIY drones, RC aircraft, and external Remote ID beacons Sorg connects the discussion to SAE Aero Design competitions and student-built aircraft. Logan demonstrates a small Remote ID transmitter that can be attached to a DIY aircraft that needs to comply with Remote ID requirements. DJI and the change from geofencing to warnings Logan discusses DJI's change from firmware-enforced no-fly restrictions to warnings that alert operators when they are entering certain restricted areas without necessarily preventing the aircraft from flying there. Drone activity around major sporting events The conversation touches on drone pilots entering restricted areas around stadium events despite warnings, illustrating why detection and enforcement remain necessary even when consumer drones notify pilots of restrictions. Fiber-optic “FOG” drones Logan identifies fiber-optically guided drones as an important emerging challenge. Instead of communicating with an operator using radio signals, these drones remain physically connected by an extremely thin fiber-optic cable. Why fiber-optic drones are difficult to stop Because control and video travel through fiber rather than a wireless RF link, conventional RF detection and jamming techniques may not work. That increases the importance of radar and other methods of physically detecting the aircraft. Long-range attack drones and the economics of defense Logan contrasts smaller fiber-optic drones with much larger long-range fixed-wing attack drones and discusses the challenge of using extremely expensive defensive weapons against comparatively inexpensive aircraft. Fish farms need radar too One unexpected commercial application is protecting fish farms where millions of dollars of stock could be vulnerable to theft or sabotage. Radar can alert operators to someone approaching a restricted area. Avalanches, rockfalls, and polar bears Spotter's radar technology has moved far beyond its original security mission. Logan mentions applications involving avalanche monitoring, rockfall monitoring, and even tracking polar bears. Entrepreneurship: do it for more than money Logan says entrepreneurship involves too much work and stress for money alone to be the motivation. The Three Rs: Record, Remind, Report Logan's productivity philosophy centers on doing small things consistently: record what needs to happen, establish reminders, and make sure progress gets reported. His lesson is that accomplishing large goals depends on consistently handling the little things.

What happens when drones go somewhere they're not supposed to go? In this AwesomeChat, Sorg talks with Logan Harris, CEO of Spotter Global, about the technology being developed to detect drones, track their operators, protect critical infrastructure, and give security teams a better picture of what is happening across large areas. Spotter Global began by shrinking ground-surveillance radar technology that once required large equipment, significant power, and multiple operators into compact systems designed to provide situational awareness in the field. Today, that technology has expanded into critical infrastructure, public safety, drone detection, and some surprisingly unexpected applications. Logan demonstrates how radar, cameras, GPS tracking information, video analytics, and Remote ID can work together to help operators identify what is actually moving instead of simply generating another security-camera alert. The conversation also explores a rapidly changing drone landscape: public-event incursions, Remote ID regulations, DJI's changes to its geofencing system, DIY aircraft, fiber-optic drones that cannot be detected or jammed through conventional radio-frequency methods, and the growing challenge of defending against inexpensive drones without using dramatically more expensive countermeasures. Learn more about Logan Harris and Spotter Global at www.spotterglobal.com. Topics, News Stories & Technology Discussed How Spotter Global started with military radar technology Logan explains how the company grew out of a need for much smaller ground-surveillance radar systems. Instead of the roughly 100-pound systems that traditionally required several operators, Spotter Global developed compact radar technology for providing situational awareness to small teams operating in remote areas. A compact radar covering a surprisingly large area Logan demonstrates a radar unit with roughly a 600-meter range that uses about eight watts of power and can monitor approximately 40 acres. Radar provides the wide-area detection layer while cameras and additional analytics help determine what the radar actually found. SnapTrack brings live targets directly onto the map Spotter Global's SnapTrack feature combines target location information with live camera imagery. Rather than forcing an operator to monitor a wall of camera feeds, a target can appear on a map with picture-in-picture video once a camera acquires it. Radar + cameras + video AI to reduce false alarms Sorg compares the technology to conventional security cameras that send an alert without making it clear whether the movement came from a person, vehicle, animal, or even a tree branch. Spotter combines radar tracking, GPS coordinates, metadata, cameras, and video analytics to add multiple levels of verification. Critical infrastructure and the Metcalf substation attack Logan discusses how the 2013 attack on the Metcalf electrical substation in California highlighted vulnerabilities around major infrastructure. That helped drive demand for security systems capable of monitoring activity well beyond a facility's fence line. Drones over a Fourth of July event Logan describes assisting local law enforcement around a fireworks event where four drones flew around or over a stadium containing approximately 50,000 people. Police were able to intercept two of the operators. Remote ID: a “license plate” for drones Remote ID is compared to ADS-B on traditional aircraft. Compatible drones broadcast information including an identifier and location data, allowing detection systems to track the aircraft and, in some cases, identify the location of its operator. Spotter Global's Remote ID sensor Logan demonstrates a compact sensor capable of monitoring a large surrounding area for Remote ID broadcasts and plotting drone tracks and operator locations on a map. The 250-gram threshold and smaller drones The conversation looks at how weight affects Remote ID requirements and why some very small consumer drones operate differently from larger aircraft. DIY drones, RC aircraft, and external Remote ID beacons Sorg connects the discussion to SAE Aero Design competitions and student-built aircraft. Logan demonstrates a small Remote ID transmitter that can be attached to a DIY aircraft that needs to comply with Remote ID requirements. DJI and the change from geofencing to warnings Logan discusses DJI's change from firmware-enforced no-fly restrictions to warnings that alert operators when they are entering certain restricted areas without necessarily preventing the aircraft from flying there. Drone activity around major sporting events The conversation touches on drone pilots entering restricted areas around stadium events despite warnings, illustrating why detection and enforcement remain necessary even when consumer drones notify pilots of restrictions. Fiber-optic “FOG” drones Logan identifies fiber-optically guided drones as an important emerging challenge. Instead of communicating with an operator using radio signals, these drones remain physically connected by an extremely thin fiber-optic cable. Why fiber-optic drones are difficult to stop Because control and video travel through fiber rather than a wireless RF link, conventional RF detection and jamming techniques may not work. That increases the importance of radar and other methods of physically detecting the aircraft. Long-range attack drones and the economics of defense Logan contrasts smaller fiber-optic drones with much larger long-range fixed-wing attack drones and discusses the challenge of using extremely expensive defensive weapons against comparatively inexpensive aircraft. Fish farms need radar too One unexpected commercial application is protecting fish farms where millions of dollars of stock could be vulnerable to theft or sabotage. Radar can alert operators to someone approaching a restricted area. Avalanches, rockfalls, and polar bears Spotter's radar technology has moved far beyond its original security mission. Logan mentions applications involving avalanche monitoring, rockfall monitoring, and even tracking polar bears. Entrepreneurship: do it for more than money Logan says entrepreneurship involves too much work and stress for money alone to be the motivation. The Three Rs: Record, Remind, Report Logan's productivity philosophy centers on doing small things consistently: record what needs to happen, establish reminders, and make sure progress gets reported. His lesson is that accomplishing large goals depends on consistently handling the little things.

Join us for this thought-provoking conversation with Craig Clapper, a seasoned systems engineer and founder of Reliability 4 Life, as he explores what it truly means to make systems more resilient. Craig explains why human error is an inevitable part of complex work and shares how organizations can strengthen situational awareness by helping people recognize where to focus their attention, identify the signals that matter most, and apply critical thinking in complex and safety-critical environments. Drawing on real-world examples from a variety of industries, including healthcare, Craig shares practical strategies for managing risk, improving recovery processes, and building organizational resilience. He also highlights the importance of fostering a culture of continuous learning to create safer, stronger workplaces. Don't miss this insightful conversation and dive into how to build robust systems and elevate situational awareness and critical thinking within your organization. Tune in to learn more! About the Guest: Craig Clapper is a founder and the chief knowledge officer of Reliability 4 Life, a consulting group specializing in improving human performance in complex systems using evidence-based methods derived from high-reliability organizations. Craig has more than 30 years of experience improving reliability in power, transportation, manufacturing, and healthcare. His expertise includes failure analysis, event analysis, systems thinking, system reliability improvement, and safety culture transformation.  For more Information: https://reliability4life.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

When disaster strikes, infrastructure can fail in an instant. In this episode, Stephen Page joins Bryan Roof and Marie Slider Henriksen to introduce Personal and Situational Security — the essential class that bridges the gap between basic readiness and tactical awareness. Learn how to read shifting environments, secure your surroundings, and protect your family or organization when emergency services are stretched thin.Coffee Talk, Bryan Roof, Marie Slider Henriksen, Stephen Page, USMC Veteran, Emergency Preparedness, Situational Awareness, Security Training, Disaster Response, Survival Skills, Podcast, Veteran Stories, Tactical Readiness, Safety Tips

Claude Werner, The Tactical Professor, joins the podcast to discuss how armed defenders can identify potential threats before they become life-or-death matters.

Jalen Brunson has the personality of a wet bag/ Parade takeaways/ NY Super Power/ Belated Father's Day/ One thing you need to work on Shows:THe Bear- Uncle JuJUThe last thinghe said to me - Hollywood

>Join Jocko Underground Full Episodes< 1. Sleep or Stay Alert?Question: As a frequent traveler, how do you balance situational awareness with the need to sleep while traveling?2. Is It Time to Leave Law Enforcement?Question: With police officers increasingly being prosecuted after use-of-force incidents, when should an officer consider changing careers?3. Missing the Team I BuiltQuestion: After leaving a leadership role I built from the ground up for a larger company, why do I feel less fulfilled and how do I regain my motivation?4. Dream or Loyalty?Question: Should I pursue my lifelong dream of becoming a Marine officer or stay loyal to the wildland firefighting crew that invested in me?5. Push Through or Let Him Quit?Question: How do I help my troubled younger brother build confidence and discipline when he wants to quit boxing like he quit other activities?Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/jocko-podcast/exclusive-content

This week on Situational Awareness, The Chaos Crew discuss the events of Wow.This episode contains profanity and crude humor.Follow us on X(Twitter) @diceypodFollow us on Instagram https://www.instagram.com/diceysituationspod/We also have a subreddit https://www.reddit.com/r/Dicey_Situations/Produced and Edited by Chris Romagna, Ryan Stemmler & Mark DePippoMusic by Eric PowerContact us diceysituationspod@gmail.com

This week on Situational Awareness, The Chaos Crew discuss the events of Insane is the Membrane.This episode contains profanity and crude humor.Follow us on X(Twitter) @diceypodFollow us on Instagram https://www.instagram.com/diceysituationspod/We also have a subreddit https://www.reddit.com/r/Dicey_Situations/Produced and Edited by Chris Romagna, Ryan Stemmler & Mark DePippoMusic by Eric PowerContact us diceysituationspod@gmail.com

Markets are ripping as Bitcoin miners pivot to AI infrastructure. We cover AWS rumors, Galaxy Digital's surge, Michael Saylor's latest multi-million Bitcoin buy, the Texas 4CP mining curtailment, and Elon Musk's massive $26B xAI compute deals with Google and Anthropic. Francis Corvinho of Lygos Finance and Kaan of Luxor join us to talk about the massive shift in Bitcoin mining economics, Michael Saylor's credit strategies, Zcash protocol bugs, and the Texas 4CP summer mining curtailments. We also break down the AI infrastructure boom, featuring Galaxy Digital's market surge and Elon Musk's multi-billion-dollar xAI compute leases with Google and Anthropic. Subscribe to the newsletter! https://newsletter.blockspacemedia.com Notes: * Hash price hit a new all-time low. * Galaxy Digital stock surged 22% in a morning. * xAI generates $26 billion in annual revenue. * Situational Awareness fund hits $20B AUM. Timestamps: 00:00 Start 02:09 Hashrate forming a bottom? 05:13 KEEL 08:12 Galaxy 11:10 Cipher Digital (CIFR) 14:24 Francis 33:21 Kaan 50:21 Situational Awareness 53:30 Coremint 54:30 SpaceX Check out our latest report, “What's a Megawatt Worth?” where we quantify the trillion dollar opportunity for bitcoin miners venturing into the AI sector. Download here: https://megawattreport.com/ Subscribe to our newsletter to receive updates for all of our shows and content: https://newsletter.blockspacemedia.com