All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) The Besties intro Philippe Laffont! (2:12) Miami F1 Recap! (12:10) Fed holds rates steady on tariff uncertainty (32:47) Google drops after Apple sees fall in search queries on Safari (56:48) Creating a new Mag 7 (1:07:00) Private markets: Is traditional VC dead? Philippe details Coatue's new fund structure and what makes a great investor Follow Philippe Laffont: https://x.com/plaffont Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-june/fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-june-2025-meeting?tid=1746821096114 https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20250507a.htm https://www.mlex.com/mlex/antitrust/articles/2337168/apple-exec-testimony-on-search-volume-drop-hurts-google-stock-price https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-07/apple-working-to-move-to-ai-search-in-browser-amid-google-fallout https://blog.google/products/search/statement-press-reports-about-search-traffic https://x.com/EconomyApp/status/1915501252420784499 https://x.com/Similarweb/status/1920026287625658628 https://openai.com/index/leadership-expansion-with-fidji-simo https://files.pitchbook.com/website/files/pdf/Q1_2025_PitchBook-NVCA_Venture_Monitor_19001.pdf https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics

(0:00) David Friedberg introduces Secretary Doug Burgum (2:11) Burgum's background and how it led to his role in the administration (10:56) The state of American energy and how we got here (22:32) America's energy emergency: AI, unlocking potential, China, increasing national risk tolerance (34:22) Burgum's National Balance Sheet idea: How it could help reduce national debt (42:25) Mining, overseeing the EPA, aligning agencies with outcomes Follow Secretary Burgum: https://x.com/SecretaryBurgum Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) The Besties welcome Box's Aaron Levie and Flexport's Ryan Petersen! (4:05) Is Sacks back? (8:19) Reflecting on Trump's first 100 days (28:16) Global trade disruption, how businesses are dealing with tariffs (49:14) Amazon flip-flops on its tariff pricing feature, national security issues (1:04:13) AI agents, 1,000,000X'ing AI, and more Follow Aaron Levie: https://x.com/levie Follow Ryan Petersen: https://x.com/typesfast Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OODA_loop https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/joe-biden/biden-warns-risk-nuclear-armageddon-highest-cuban-missile-crisis-rcna51146 https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/30/world/europe/us-ukraine-military-war-takeaways.html https://x.com/Molson_Hart/status/1915248938753392642 https://x.com/SecScottBessent/status/1917697018551754802 https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/29/us/politics/trump-amazon-tariffs-prices.html https://x.com/chamath/status/1908239828283777393 https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-plots-charging-20-000-a-month-for-phd-level-agents?rc=pxkrxo https://manus.im https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/benchmark-invests-chinese-startup-behind-manus-ai-agent?rc=pxkrxo https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2025?tid=1746130417369

(0:00) David Friedberg welcomes Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins! (1:32) How she ended up in Trump's two administrations, history of the USDA (16:56) Trump's first 100 days, what needs to be reformed in the USDA (21:31) SNAP's massive impact on USDA budget: soda, obesity, health challenges; how being DC outsiders helps the Trump Administration (30:48) How she reconciles running a department with a lot of government intervention after coming from a free market background (34:33) State of US farming in 2025, labor costs, opening up new markets, and more (42:11) Working with DOGE, Farm Bill negotiation, stance on agricultural innovation Follow Secretary Rollins: https://x.com/SecRollins https://x.com/BrookeLRollins Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) The Besties intro Andrew Ross Sorkin (2:04) Market bump: Trump rally or a Bessent put? (18:04) Are tariffs damaging the American "brand"? Apple's investment in India (38:18) Balance of power politics, Ukraine/Russia ceasefire negotiation halted over Crimea (50:00) Alphabet earnings: Massive resiliency, Google's Gemini Problem (1:05:40) Tesla jumps on Elon's return, pulling back from DOGE (1:18:35) Science Corner: China's Thorium Breakthrough Follow Andrew: https://x.com/andrewrsorkin Follow the besties:  https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX?comparison=INDEXSP%3A.INX%2CINDEXNASDAQ%3A.IXIC&window=5D https://x.com/nic__carter/status/1909066161464959070 https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/16/business/china-rare-earths-us.html https://x.com/TheTranscript_/status/1915116330534998440 https://www.ft.com/content/c2be45b8-cfad-4cbb-9a1a-bfd0626be372 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/22/world/europe/ukraine-cease-fire-talks.html https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2015/03/20/one-year-after-russia-annexed-crimea-locals-prefer-moscow-to-kiev https://x.com/EconomyApp/status/1915501252420784499 https://www.artificialintelligence-news.com/news/chinese-firms-cloud-loophole-access-us-ai-tech https://polymarket.com/event/how-much-spending-will-elon-and-doge-cut-in-2025 https://doge.gov/savings https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3300360/chinas-thorium-survey-finds-endless-energy-source-right-under-our-feet https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/es/market-insights/latest-news/energy-transition/020123-china-to-maintain-renewables-growth-pace-in-2023-despite-uncertainty https://www.reuters.com/world/china/images-show-china-building-huge-fusion-research-facility-analysts-say-2025-01-28

(0:00) The Besties welcome Tim Dillon! (6:56) Nvidia H20 export controls, the China workaround, plausible deniability by chipmakers selling to China-linked entities (28:45) Trump vs. Harvard: Why the White House is threatening to take Harvard's tax-exempt status away (57:04) Hollywood's DEI facade, thoughts on AI, and more (1:18:06) Celebrity Jeopardy update: Friedberg is heading to the finals! (1:26:44) Science Corner: Mitochondrial Therapy Follow Tim: https://x.com/TimJDillon Check out Tim's new special: https://www.netflix.com/title/81992010 Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wUzmVo2dZNs https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-trump-tariffs-trade-war-04-15-25/card/nvidia-records-5-5-billion-charge-on-new-h20-export-restrictions-LXjxlqr2m80QIrfJxnYZ https://www.wsj.com/economy/trade/trump-chip-exports-nvidia-h20-china-amd-d2c4c866 https://www.reuters.com/technology/exclusive-nvidia-offers-new-advanced-chip-china-that-meets-us-export-controls-2022-11-08 https://abachy.com/news/nvidia-unveil-new-ai-chips-chinese-market-after-us-bans-a800-and-h800 https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/compared-to-the-h100-how-is-the-performance-of-the-111725151846805 https://www.reuters.com/technology/tsmc-could-face-1-billion-or-more-fine-us-probe-sources-say-2025-04-08 https://www.bis.gov https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/15/us-is-unable-to-replace-rare-earths-supply-from-china-warns-csis-.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-31/trump-administration-to-review-billions-in-grants-to-harvard https://www.harvard.edu/research-funding/wp-content/uploads/sites/16/2025/04/Letter-Sent-to-Harvard-2025-04-11.pdf https://www.harvard.edu/president/news/2025/the-promise-of-american-higher-education https://apnews.com/article/harvard-trump-administration-federal-cuts-antisemitism-0a1fb70a2c1055bda7c4c5a5c476e18d https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/16/politics/irs-harvard-tax-exempt-status/index.html https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2024/09/05/harvard-comes-in-dead-last-in-nationwide-free-speech-rankings https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Jones_University_v._United_States https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Students_for_Fair_Admissions_v._Harvard https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2022/7/13/faculty-survey-political-leaning https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraines-parliament-extends-martial-law-until-august-2025-04-16 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06537-z https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-00848-z https://www.researchgate.net/publication/389907980_Organelle-tuning_condition_robustly_fabricates_energetic_mitochondria_for_cartilage_regeneration/fulltext/67d8575e478c5a3feda50563/Organelle-tuning-condition-robustly-fabricates-energetic-mitochondria-for-cartilage-regeneration.pdf https://www.foxnews.com/media/george-clooney-calls-breaking-biden-2024-his-civic-duty-says-democrats-werent-telling-truth

(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:58) Reacting to Trump targeting China and postponing all other reciprocal tariffs (21:21) Measures for success of tariffs, debating the impact of letting China into the WTO (46:14) Is the US being exploited on trade? Was free trade a mistake? (1:02:01) Recession chances, How the Trump administration gathers information (1:19:39) Future of the Democratic Party, Abundance agenda, DOGE (1:51:00) The Besties recap the debate and Chamath recaps the Breakthrough Prize Ceremony Follow Larry: https://x.com/LHSummers Follow Ezra: https://x.com/ezraklein Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114309144289505174 https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/1910058352278708638 https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/why-trump-blinked-on-tariffs-b588aea8 https://breakthroughprize.org

(0:00) The Besties welcome Ben Shapiro and Antonio Gracias (1:54) Why Antonio is helping out and what it's like working with DOGE (4:56) DOGE's latest findings: illegal immigration, social security, and more (27:59) Was Biden's open border policy a Dem strategy to expand their voter base? (39:55) Tariffs: Liberation Day chaos, reactions, strategy (55:26) Impact, consequences, and risks for the Trump Administration (1:13:50) How the US can thrive in a high-tariff world (1:31:33) Future US political landscape if the tariff strategy fails (1:42:27) Chamath recaps his best-performing asset of 2025 + wrap Follow Antonio: https://x.com/AntonioGracias Follow Ben: https://x.com/benshapiro Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/AntonioGracias/status/1906877800511893670 https://polymarket.com/event/magnificent-7-shrinks-below-30-of-sp-500-in-2025?tid=1743434648860 https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1907553323387072774 https://x.com/enriqueabeyta/status/1907796286763409439 https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1907622848149037509 https://x.com/litcapital/status/1907813630227173534 https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/asml-euv-machine-lithography-chips-967954d0 https://www.hoover.org/publications/goodfellows https://www.ft.com/content/bcb1d331-5d8e-4cac-811e-eac7d9448486

(0:00) Friedberg and Jason are live from Austin! (2:51) How building an audience has impacted the Besties (11:15) Colin & Samir join the Besties! (12:01) Evolution of short-form and long-form content (22:18) Business models for creatives (35:04) Advice to up and coming creators (42:10) Chris Williamson joins the Besties! (50:17) Making it seem effortless (57:47) Monetizing content (1:05:02) Scaling a one-man show (1:19:15) Bryan Johnson joins the Besties! (1:20:13) Spotify's move to video (1:21:21) Bryan's Ketamine experience (1:28:03) Creators and value props (1:36:52) Issues with the US food industry (1:43:10) Top tips for healthy living Thanks to our partners for making this happen: Gemini: Go to https://www.gemini.com/allin to get $50 in bitcoin when you sign up and trade. Function Health: Go to https://www.functionhealth.com/allin and use gift code ALLIN100 at checkout to get a $100 credit toward membership - limited to the first 1K listeners. NIAGEN Plus IVs: Visit https://www.niagenplus.com to discover the future of cellular performance. Follow Colin and Samir: https://www.youtube.com/@ColinandSamir https://x.com/ColinandSamir Follow Chris Williamson: https://www.youtube.com/@ChrisWillx https://x.com/ChrisWillx Follow Bryan Johnson: https://www.youtube.com/@BryanJohnson   https://x.com/bryan_johnson Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) The Besties welcome Gavin Baker back on the show! (1:20) Nvidia balance sheet questions, CoreWeave IPO, M&A/IPO bounce back (16:22) US vs China in AI: Manus, China building its own Nvidia, and more (28:37) The Administration's endgame for tariffs (53:05) Signalgate: context and fallout (1:09:42) El Salvador deportations Follow Gavin: https://x.com/GavinSBaker Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.reuters.com/technology/coreweave-planning-cut-us-ipo-size-price-below-range-source-says-2025-03-27 https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-adds-dozens-entities-export-restriction-list-2025-03-25 https://modelcontextprotocol.io/introduction https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-plots-charging-20-000-a-month-for-phd-level-agents?rc=pxkrxo https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A8wJc7vHcTs https://x.com/JohnArnoldFndtn/status/1905296181208416744 https://x.com/chamath/status/1904547884877701610 https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2025/03/trump-administration-accidentally-texted-me-its-war-plans/682151 https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/03/invocation-of-the-alien-enemies-act-regarding-the-invasion-of-the-united-states-by-tren-de-aragua https://www.statista.com/statistics/696152/homicide-rate-in-el-salvador https://x.com/Sec_Noem/status/1905034256826408982

(0:00) Welcoming Cyan Banister and David Sacks! (3:23) Behind the scenes of the Besties in DC: White House, cabinet interviews, and more (33:00) How M&A will be unleashed, Google buys Wiz for $32B, Tim Walz on Tesla (49:09) Deep dive on Google/Wiz: breakup fee, impact on VC, ROIC, cloud advantage (1:00:28) Treasury vs Fed tension, Bond markets, consumers, deregulation (1:12:57) Space rescue, SpaceX vs China, lunar landing Thanks to our partners for making this happen: Hims: https://www.hims.com | https://www.forhers.com Gemini: https://www.gemini.com/allin iTrustCapital (use code allin): https://www.itrustcapital.com/allin Follow Cyan: https://x.com/cyantist Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: Bessent interview: https://youtu.be/lSma9suyp24 Lutnick interview: https://youtu.be/182ckTL2KBA https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/18/google-to-acquire-cloud-security-startup-wiz-for-32-billion.html https://x.com/Tim_Walz/status/1902197581586833643 https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/democratic-party-hits-new-polling-lowvoters-want-fight-trump-harder-rcna196161 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1519735033950470144 https://www.ft.com/content/e6f516e8-2262-44d2-a030-7071b62b0be7 https://x.com/thesamparr/status/1902385138308104685 https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/interest-rates-decision-federal-reserve-ed172223 https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/10/technology/eric-schmidt-relativity-space.html https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/11/chinas-long-term-lunar-plans-now-depend-on-developing-its-own-starship https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/steve-kornacki-white-men-white-women-gap-gender-gap-rcna196791

(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg welcome Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick! (1:10) Howard describes his 30+ year relationship with President Trump and his road from business to politics (14:44) Running Trump's transition team, DOGE origin story, what it's like working for Trump (38:01) Balancing the budget and fixing GDP (52:21) Tariff history and strategy, global trade (1:10:34) Trump Cards, building better government software, AI thoughts (1:22:49) Sovereign Wealth Fund strategy (1:37:16) How his family reacted to his new role Thanks to our partners for making this happen: Gemini: https://www.gemini.com/allin Hims: https://www.hims.com | https://www.forhers.com iTrustCapital (use code allin): https://www.itrustcapital.com/allin Follow Secretary Lutnick: https://x.com/howardlutnick Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg describe their adventures in DC and welcome Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent! (2:12) Scott's background, what drew him to equities, the role of macro investors (7:22) The legendary trade that broke the Bank of England in 1992, and how it relates to Main Street vs Wall Street today (21:30) Scott explains the Trump Administration's economic strategy (32:45) How this administration plans to de-regulate the economy, Fed relationship, re-financing debt (42:06) DOGE, DC grifts, shakeup at the IRS (50:51) Re-engineering social security through the US SWF, how energy factors in (1:00:02) Surprises, fixing affordability, thoughts on President Trump Thanks to our partners for making this happen: Hims: https://www.hims.com | https://www.forhers.com iTrustCapital (use code allin): https://www.itrustcapital.com Follow Secretary Bessent: https://x.com/SecScottBessent Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) The Besties intro Andrew Schulz! (3:29) Friedberg hits a quick Science Corner on the future of fertility (9:35) Reacting to Gavin Newsom's new podcast: genius or pandering? (19:36) Tariff experiment so far: risks, communication issues, and more (30:44) Why the American Dream is broken and how to fix it: cracking the housing market, social security reform (55:45) Aligning upside via increased stock market participation (1:11:23) How Andrew blew up in comedy, going direct via YouTube, building a cancel-proof following (1:22:25) State of America, conspiracy obsession, thoughts on Trump and DOGE GET TICKETS for All-In Live: Miami https://allin.com/events Follow Andrew: https://x.com/andrewschulz Check out Andrew's new special LIFE: https://www.netflix.com/title/81741999 Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/chamath/status/1895948351516131515 https://x.com/ChineseEmbinUS/status/1897132043362034153 https://electrek.co/2025/02/07/renewables-90-percent-new-us-capacity-2024-ferc https://www.wsj.com/opinion/bidens-mortgage-relief-fuels-higher-housing-prices-policy-loans-risk-cb0a1974

(0:00) The Besties welcome Joe Lonsdale! (3:51) Jason recaps an eventful week in Washington (8:29) Trump's tariffs: endgame, impact, chaos, master plan (26:25) DOGE, IRA grifting, do campaign contributions need to be capped? (53:42) CoreWeave IPO (1:03:36) Trump 2.0 favoring Main Street over Wall Street, bond market breakdown, re-balancing the economy (1:14:19) State of Ukraine/Russia, the Western alliance, and how techno-optimism plays into the future of defense pacts (1:24:31) GPT-4.5, Grok 3 on X, and the Golden Age of language models (1:33:47) All-In for F1 Miami! (1:37:34) David Sacks joins Jason to break down the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and Digital Asset Stockpile (1:48:30) Sacks addresses clearing all of his crypto-related positions prior to Inauguration Day (1:57:23) Importance of disclosures and updates on a market structure bill GET TICKETS for All-In Live: Miami https://allin.com/events Follow Joe: https://x.com/JTLonsdale Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114093526901586124 https://x.com/JTLonsdale/status/1896245689488920748 https://x.com/Jason/status/1896235076456739138 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114093946326587357 https://www.reuters.com/technology/tsmc-ceo-meet-with-trump-tout-investment-plans-2025-03-03 https://x.com/AutismCapital/status/1896655215899893968 https://x.com/USATODAY/status/1897248477081460849 https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-rejects-trump-administrations-bid-avoid-paying-usaid-con-rcna194230 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114116432894994278 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114112015891353323 https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/trump-auto-tariff-rate-will-be-around-25-2025-02-18 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USGOVT https://x.com/DOGE/status/1897464303428755692 https://electrek.co/2025/02/07/renewables-90-percent-new-us-capacity-2024-ferc https://www.thefp.com/p/a-20-billion-slush-fund-nonprofits https://x.com/bariweiss/status/1896992192197013888 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114117008305421663 https://x.com/chamath/status/1895948351516131515 https://x.com/chamath/status/1895948351516131515 https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1897737394964906437 https://x.com/great_martis/status/1897194563800064153 https://x.com/great_martis/status/1897581115952804248 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1769628/000119312525044231/d899798ds1.htm https://x.com/chamath/status/1896052861500604884 https://www.newsweek.com/map-global-thorium-reserves-country-2039893 https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-bitcoin-cryptocurrency-stockpile-6f1314f5e99bbf47cc3ee6fc6178588d https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/strengthening-american-leadership-in-digital-financial-technology https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/03/establishment-of-the-strategic-bitcoin-reserveand-united-states-digital-asset-stockpile https://x.com/dmartkc/status/1896260059640025113 https://x.com/ryangrim/status/1896306748052623852 https://x.com/_Andre_Ellis/status/1896935969041104981 https://x.com/KyleSamani/status/1897130321021411750 https://x.com/pbartstephens/status/1897008176467468349 https://x.com/HHorsley/status/1897461451675328879

(0:00) Bestie intros (1:41) Epstein files first release underwhelms (4:40) Friedberg recaps his experience on Celebrity Jeopardy! (14:22) State of autonomous robots (21:06) Comparing annual reports from Stripe and Adyen; Stripe's network effects, stablecoin infra, and the pace of AI company building (29:12) State of the market: stocks, tariffs, spending bill, the "great reset" (49:07) Trump's Gold Card (56:19) Sophisticated investor test, changing accreditation laws (1:06:57) USPS, Bezos refocuses the WaPo's opinion page Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn:  https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1895195194947183047 https://x.com/adcock_brett/status/1895175400160133543 https://x.com/markjeffrey/status/1892735775550406828 https://x.com/pitdesi/status/1895117427480109238 https://x.com/jmover/status/1895129169882661100 https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/tether https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/usd-coin https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/12/cpi-january-2025.html https://x.com/StealthQE4/status/1894227465616171361 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7-ttACozP8s https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y https://x.com/chamath/status/1888371069322686895 https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2025/will-trump-sell-2pt5k-5k-gold-cards-in-2025?tid=1740688723350 https://x.com/Jason/status/1706067572226244789 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/02/20/trump-usps-takeover-dejoy/ https://x.com/Jason/status/1894412028279693546 https://x.com/JeffBezos/status/1894757287052362088

(0:00) The Besties welcome John and Patrick Collison! (4:28) Stripe's business evolution: $1T in volume/year, stablecoins, challenging the Visa/Mastercard duopoly, publishing economic indicators (20:31) Jamie Dimon's leaked rant on remote work and bureaucracy (34:22) DOGE for Defense: Trump ordered the Pentagon to look at cutting the defense budget by 8%/year over the next five years (43:51) Crypto Corner: Milei's Memecoin embarrassment (1:00:18) John and Patrick break down the Arc Institute and its new Evo 2 AI model (1:18:04) Grok 3 takes the LLM lead, lessons learned from Elon's Colossus scale up (1:30:22) Science Corner: Asteroid update (1:35:42) Why Stripe hasn't gone public yet, despite great metrics Register for All-In at SXSW: https://allin.com/events Follow John: https://x.com/collision Follow Patrick: https://x.com/patrickc Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/23/stripes-1point1-billion-deal-for-bridge-marks-much-needed-win-for-vc.html https://x.com/Zigmanfreud/status/1890202488596492620 https://www.coworker.org/petitions/professional-dignity https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-03/shopify-ceo-tobi-lutke-tells-employees-to-just-say-no-to-meetings https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/02/19/trump-pentagon-budget-cuts https://www.amazon.com/Boyd-Fighter-Pilot-Who-Changed/dp/0316796883 https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/16/americas/argentina-milei-libra-cryptocurrency-impeachment-calls-intl-latam/index.html https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/18/americas/argentina-milei-defends-libra-crypto-tweet-intl-latam/index.html https://arcinstitute.org https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/evo-2-biomolecular-ai https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/grok-3 https://x.com/GavinSBaker/status/1891721991444447343 https://www.amazon.com/Henry-J-Kaiser-Builder-American/dp/0292742266 https://x.com/AsteroidWatch/status/1892338055354159256 https://x.com/AsteroidWatch/status/1892631907646447746

(0:00) The Besties intro Naval Ravikant! (9:07) Naval reflects on his thoughtful tweets and reputation (14:17) Unique views on parenting (23:20) Sacks joins to talk AI: JD Vance's speech in Paris, Techno-Optimists vs Doomers (1:11:06) Tariffs and the US economic experiment (1:21:15) Thomson Reuters wins first major AI copyright decision on behalf of rights holders (1:35:35) Chamath's dinner with Bryan Johnson, sleep hacks (1:45:09) Tulsi Gabbard, RFK Jr. confirmed Follow Naval: https://x.com/naval Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/naval/status/1002103360646823936 https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1889349078657716680 https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/removing-barriers-to-american-leadership-in-artificial-intelligence https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/09/politics/kamala-harris-foreign-trip/index.html https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/11/anduril-to-take-over-microsofts-22-billion-us-army-headset-program.html https://x.com/JDVance/status/1889640434793910659 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QCNYhuISzxg https://www.wired.com/story/thomson-reuters-ai-copyright-lawsuit https://admin.bakerlaw.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/ECF-1-Complaint.pdf https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xTGNNLPyMI https://polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed?tid=1739471077488

(0:00) The Besties intro Antonio Gracias! (3:11) DOGE takes on USAID (31:44) Sacks breaks in to talk USAID (34:00) Sacks explains what he's working on: Crypto/AI Frameworks (46:41) The Democratic Party's shrinking base (52:33) US Sovereign Wealth Fund + Breaking DOGE/Tax News (1:09:07) Google to spend $75B on AI buildout in 2025, future of work in the age of AI (1:23:21) Science Corner: GLP-1 macro study Follow Antonio: https://x.com/AntonioGracias Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Agency_for_International_Development https://www.wsj.com/opinion/usaid-donald-trump-elon-musk-marco-rubio-state-department-foreign-aid-8d2a1920 https://www.usa.gov/agencies/u-s-agency-for-international-development https://www.usaspending.gov/agency/agency-for-international-development?fy=2024 https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/at-usaid-waste-and-abuse-runs-deep https://www.wsj.com/finance/banks-sell-5-5-billion-of-x-loans-after-investor-interest-surges-4b84f89c https://www.usaspending.gov https://www.foxnews.com/media/ex-politico-reporters-reveal-editors-quashed-slow-walked-negative-biden-stories-with-no-explanation https://www.usaspending.gov/recipient/fa0cefae-7cfb-881d-29c3-1bd39cc6a49e-C/2024 https://www.bbc.co.uk/mediaaction/about/funding https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/reevaluating-and-realigning-united-states-foreign-aid https://x.com/susancrabtree/status/1884034727046226317 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1886627783138316442 https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/usaid-security-leaders-removed-refusing-elon-musks-doge-employees-accercna190357 https://x.com/Jason/status/1885082871074886110 https://x.com/anc_aesthetics/status/1886176995433763188 https://x.com/wikileaks/status/1887501752213409919 https://x.com/pm_viktororban/status/1887224829352280505 https://x.com/daily_romania/status/1887883017550430435 https://x.com/kanekoathegreat/status/1887261736618893636 https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/strengthening-american-leadership-in-digital-financial-technology https://x.com/davidsacks47/status/1886878016183394403 https://www.banking.senate.gov/newsroom/majority/scott-hagerty-lummis-gillibrand-introduce-legislation-to-establish-a-stablecoin-regulatory-framework https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/02/02/rahm-emanuel-democrats-voters-kitchen-table https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/02/a-plan-for-establishing-a-united-states-sovereign-wealth-fund https://www.americanprogress.org/article/scott-bessents-3-percent-deficit-target-would-require-massive-cuts-to-anti-poverty-programs-and-middle-class-tax-increases https://abcnews.go.com/US/judge-weigh-block-doge-accessing-treasury-department-records/story?id=118498817 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_DOGE_Service https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1887585824218509380 https://fedscoop.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2025/02/show_temp.pdf https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/05/alphabet-shares-fall-7percent-on-revenue-miss-heightened-ai-investments.html https://abc.xyz/assets/a3/91/6d1950c148fa84c7d699abe05284/2024q4-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1886899315735507255 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-024-03412-w

(0:00) The Besties intro Travis Kalanick! (2:11) Travis breaks down the future of food and the state of CloudKitchens (13:34) Sacks breaks in! (15:38) DeepSeek panic: What's real, training innovation, China, impact on markets and the AI industry (50:14) US vs China in AI, the Singapore backdoor (1:01:51) OpenAI reportedly in talks to raise ~$40B with Masa as the lead investor (1:10:37) DOGE's first 10 days (1:25:13) Future of Self Driving: Uber, Waymo, Tesla (1:38:04) Fed holds rates steady, how DOGE can impact rate cuts (1:44:17) Fatal DC plane crash Follow Travis: https://x.com/travisk Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://github.com/deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-R1/blob/main/DeepSeek_R1.pdf https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/chinese-company-trained-gpt-4-rival-with-just-2-000-gpus-01-ai-spent-usd3m-compared-to-openais-usd80m-to-usd100m https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/27/nvidia-sheds-almost-600-billion-in-market-cap-biggest-drop-ever.html https://x.com/shrihacker/status/1884414667503853749 https://x.com/balajis/status/1884975064283812270 https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2025/01/29/meta-platforms-meta-q4-2024 earnings-call-transcri https://x.com/mrexits/status/1885017400308806121 https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-01-28-2025/card/deepseek-s-ai-learned-from-chatgpt-trump-s-ai-czar-says-LoCYvz2Lm0riS0AuEoB5 https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/why-distillation-has-become-the-scariest-wordfor-ai-companies-aa146ae3 https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/27/why-deepseeks-new-ai-model-thinks-its-chatgpt https://x.com/rauchg/status/1875627666113740892 https://www.ft.com/content/a0dfedd1-5255-4fa9-8ccc-1fe01de87ea6 https://x.com/satyanadella/status/1883753899255046301 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox https://x.com/pitdesi/status/1883192498274873513 https://x.com/rihardjarc/status/1884263865703358726 https://x.com/austen/status/1884444298130674000 https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/30/openai-in-talks-to-raise-up-to-40-billion-at-340-billion-valuation.html https://x.com/america/status/1884372526144598056 https://x.com/DOGE/status/1884396041786524032 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFSD https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/establishing-and-implementing-the-presidents-department-of-government-efficiency https://x.com/Jason/status/1884671945800573018 https://abcnews.go.com/538/trump-starts-term-weak-approval-rating/story?id=118146633 https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/15/cpi-inflation-december-2024-.html https://x.com/chamath/status/1885068981905875241

(0:00) Ray Dalio joins Friedberg! (0:50) The current US fiscal situation (6:23) Breaking down "The Big Debt Cycle," a potential US debt spiral, and the impact on real wealth (24:54) USD vs other currencies and assets, best hedges against the dollar (33:20) Portfolio construction, how China increases risk for US AI companies, why this market reminds Ray of 1998-1999 (41:45) How the US can avoid a debt crisis (53:29) DOGE, Trump, and AI's greatest risk (1:05:31) Chances of conflict between the US and China Follow the Besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Ray Dalio: https://x.com/RayDalio Read Part 1 of "How Countries Go Broke": https://x.com/RayDalio/status/1878840018770210979 Pre-order "How Countries Go Broke": https://www.amazon.com/Principles-Investment-Economic-Ray-Dalio/dp/1501124064 Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/government-debt-to-gdp https://www.crfb.org/press-releases/treasury-confirms-calendar-year-2024-deficit-tops-20-trillion https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61172 https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/2bstne1l09npgdk1s5yww/corner-office/ray-dalio-makes-his-exit-from-bridgewater https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/fed-meeting-september-2024 https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertfarrington/2024/11/08/fed-cut-interest-rates-so-why-do-mortgage-rates-keep-climbing https://www.chathamfinancial.com/insights/fomc-recap-december-2024 https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/14/a-global-bond-sell-off-is-deepening-as-hopes-for-multiple-fed-rate-cuts-fizzle.html

(0:00) The Besties intro Thomas Laffont! (6:22) Behind the scenes: Inauguration Weekend recap! (15:58) Biggest takeaways from DC during the Inauguration (31:38) Trump Executive Action breakdown (33:39) TikTok's grace period extended, valuing the business, US new equity strategy? (57:01) Jan 6th pardons, birthright citizenship (1:09:49) Stargate: $500B AI investment, is Masa the GOAT?, bull case for OpenAI (1:23:41) How electricity production capacity plays into the global AI race (1:36:20) Netflix's stock rise correlates with some alarming societal trends (1:47:40) BREAKING: AI/Crypto Czar David Sacks joins to discuss the President's three new EOs Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Thomas Laffont: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thomas-laffont-02430914 Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/dontcallmeraylo/status/1882444994264629402 https://x.com/craigkellyXXX/status/1882170281722339700 https://www.wdsu.com/article/donald-trump-executive-orders-inauguration-parade/63486993 https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/21/us/trump-birthright-citizenship.html https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/amendment-14 https://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed74.asp https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1881830103858172059 https://x.com/sama/status/1882106524090482701 https://x.com/GavinSBaker/status/1882081746877063677 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1881923570458304780 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1882303826214162580 https://x.com/satyanadella/status/1882340818289307954 https://x.com/GregKamradt/status/1881762305152872654 https://x.com/chamath/status/1881773205498876255 https://x.com/documentingbtc/status/1882530869010989287 https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/strengthening-american-leadership-in-digital-financial-technology https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/removing-barriers-to-american-leadership-in-artificial-intelligence https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/presidents-council-of-advisors-on-science-and-technology https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/489251-in-this-age-in-this-country-public-sentiment-is-everything https://x.com/SpeakerJohnson/status/1882083118032846868

(0:00) House Whip Tom Emmer on Trump's political talent, the Biden conspiracy, taking back the Democratic party, immigration, the role of Whip (33:53) California Rep. Eric Swalwell on where Democrats went wrong, how to rebrand the party, TikTok ban, and more (1:08:01) California Rep. Ro Khanna on reforming the Democratic party, Bob Iger as LA Mayor, CA Leadership, TikTok ban Follow the Besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Whip Emmer: https://x.com/GOPMajorityWhip Follow Rep. Swalwell: https://x.com/ericswalwell Follow Rep. Khanna: https://x.com/RoKhanna Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Besties intro Senator Ted Cruz; history of the "Come and take it" flag (2:21) Texas vs. California: how to approach building and entrepreneurship (10:25) Thoughts on immigration, serving in the Senate, over-politicization (16:55) How to create a bipartisan consensus on immigration, increasing prosperity through opportunity (23:54) How Sen. Cruz would approach Trump's first two weeks of his second term (29:02) DOGE's two major challenges, unlimited Congressional terms, ideology over party, the great political flip (35:22) Trump's strategy on Greenland/Denmark, Panama Canal, and Canada (42:45) Thoughts on Senate confirmation hearings Follow the Besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Senator Cruz: https://x.com/tedcruz Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) The Besties welcome Mark Pincus! (3:53) Mark's background (6:02) How Mark got red-pilled for Trump, maintaining friendships despite political differences (23:21) LA Wildfires update: Newsom's EOs, market impact of price controls (51:32) Congestion pricing in NYC, fixing broken cities (1:08:33) TikTok ban: origin and potential outcomes (1:19:15) MBA hiring downturn (1:34:37) Conspiracy Corner: Mark's take on UFOs and UAPs! Follow the Besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Mark Pincus: https://x.com/markpinc Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.piratewires.com https://x.com/micsolana https://www.athena.com https://nypost.com/2024/11/04/us-news/tech-billionaire-mark-pincus-reveals-hes-voting-for-trump https://x.com/TheTechnXMedia/status/1878459564980392410 https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/EO-N-4-25-Rebuilding-Final-signed.pdf https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/EO-N-7-25-_-Land-Speculation-1.14.25-bl-_GGN-Signed_.pdf https://x.com/MayorOfLA/status/1878630125786566664 https://congestionreliefzone.mta.info https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/13/nyregion/congestion-pricing-nyc.html https://x.com/friedberg/status/1652334973586915328 https://x.com/markpinc/status/1878575249505333606 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T72DfPEBn0A&t=29s https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-14/china-discusses-sale-of-tiktok-us-to-musk-as-one-possible-option https://www.wsj.com/lifestyle/careers/harvard-mba-employment-rate-job-hunt-difficulty-addfc3ec

(0:00) The Besties welcome Cyan Banister! (9:16) Reacting to the LA wildfires: broken incentives, leadership failures, lessons learned (36:51) Insurance issues, rebuilding headwinds, reclaiming the government (59:44) Zuck goes full free speech, fires third-party fact-checkers, opts for Community Notes model (1:20:19) Nvidia goes consumer at CES: market cap impact, most interesting vertical (1:34:49) Why Trump wants Greenland (1:40:05) Conspiracy Corner: Who built the pyramids? Follow the Besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Cyan Banister: https://x.com/cyantist Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SQ_myzmV_Q https://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/awipsProducts/RNORR4RSA.php https://x.com/JonVigliotti/status/1877020919475884110 https://x.com/FearedBuck/status/1877355797245514085 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vKJ5WeBc7Us https://x.com/CrazyyHub/status/1823574726738092402 https://www.latimes.com/visuals/photography/la-me-fw-archives-the-1961-bel-air-brush-fire-20170419-story.html https://www.rainmaker.com https://www.ksbw.com/article/california-fire-evacuation-maps/63382651 https://x.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1877366727547433382 https://x.com/WorldTimesWT/status/1876887200526111017 https://x.com/ericabbenante/status/1877207054105886836 https://x.com/laurapowellesq/status/1877143625588682940 https://x.com/jeremykauffman/status/1877128641802285064 https://x.com/deb8rr/status/1877539354802876576 https://x.com/Jason/status/1877183155821494513 https://about.fb.com/news/2025/01/meta-more-speech-fewer-mistakes https://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/PDFFiles/Mark-Zuckerberg-Letter-on-Govt-Censorship.pdf https://x.com/townhallcom/status/1876684277787873397 https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/nvidia-ceo-pitches-robotics-cars-as-growth-areas-to-consumer-electronics-audience-68905f2d https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/project-digits https://polymarket.com/markets/creators/all-in  

(0:00) The Besties welcome Gavin Baker and recap ski week! (5:38) Biggest Political Winner (9:26) Biggest Political Loser (17:34) Biggest Business Winner (32:43) Biggest Business Loser (46:54) Biggest Business Deal (57:04) Most Contrarian Belief (1:12:59) Best Performing Asset (1:22:56) Worst Performing Asset (1:30:19) Most Anticipated Trend (1:38:59) Most Anticipated Media (1:43:03) Super Predictions (1:46:50) Bonus: Drones, UFOs, and more Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Gavin Baker: https://x.com/GavinSBaker Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://shop.unitree.com/products/unitree-go2 https://shop.unitree.com/products/unitree-g1 https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/article/state-of-crypto-report-2024 https://x.com/chamath/status/1873144394100187263 https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-become-a-for-profit-business-before-april-2025

(0:00) Bestie intros (3:07) The Besties welcome Box CEO Aaron Levie! (5:40) Thoughts on Sacks's new role, what areas he can have immediate positive impact on in crypto and AI (18:42) DOGE's first casualty and its paradigm-shifting potential (48:25) Conspiracy Corner: What are the drones over New Jersey!? (57:36) Zuck joins Team Elon against OpenAI, AI's competitive landscape and downstream impact on business software (1:27:29) Google's AI turnaround, future of AI physics and video models Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Aaron Levie: https://x.com/levie Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/government-shutdown-continuing-resolution-march-14 https://x.com/Jason/status/1869816646954823916 https://docs.house.gov/billsthisweek/20241216/CR.pdf https://www.cbsnews.com/news/government-shutdown-house-vote-continuing-resolution https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1869730547851051029 https://www.cbsnews.com/news/continuing-resolution-government-shutdown-2024 https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1869407887983821089 https://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed58.asp https://x.com/patrickc/status/1869422495985750459 https://x.com/chamath/status/1869773044832718917 https://x.com/SpeakerPelosi/status/1869871681830879256 https://x.com/RepJayapal/status/1869823494588162475 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869485580276629975 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869482581181554704 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869487359420727338 https://www.wsj.com/politics/biden-white-house-age-function-diminished-3906a839 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/19/faa-drone-flights-are-temporarily-banned-new-jersey.html https://x.com/KanekoaTheGreat https://x.com/AutismCapital https://x.com/Geiger_Capital https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/27/openai-sees-5-billion-loss-this-year-on-3point7-billion-in-revenue.html https://www.axios.com/2024/12/19/openai-bret-taylor-nonprofit-restructuring https://openai.com/index/scale-the-benefits-of-ai https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/25/technology/mira-murati-openai.html https://apnews.com/article/elon-musk-openai-lawsuit-sam-altman-chatgpt-36bc55dbb8b4f9e1e5675ff7564e5fa0 https://www.theverge.com/2024/12/13/24320880/meta-california-ag-letter-openai-non-profit-elon-musk https://x.com/DailyPalantir/status/1869097046889882057 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-28/openai-cfo-says-75-of-its-revenue-comes-from-paying-consumers https://x.com/GoogleDeepMind/status/1868703624714395907 https://x.com/_philschmid/status/1869639246434246966

(0:00) The Besties welcome Keith Rabois! (4:01) Keith explains why he returned to Khosla Ventures, the differences between Founders Fund and Khosla, and his husband Jacob Helberg's role in Trump Admin (13:09) Business acumen of Trump's cabinet and appointees, diversity of opinion (25:59) Google's new quantum chip: potential impact on encryption, cryptography, and more (43:50) Apple developing new server chip for AI inference, iOS flop, why its product culture is failing (54:30) TikTok panics after appeals court upholds the "divest-or-ban" law, with a January 19th deadline (1:03:55) State of Venture Capital, why Stripe is still private, thoughts on crypto Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Keith: https://x.com/rabois Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.tiktok.com/@frankielapenna/video/7010077215576575238 https://www.axios.com/2024/12/06/trump-billionaires-cabinet-elon-musk https://blog.google/technology/research/google-willow-quantum-chip https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08449-y https://research.google/blog/suppressing-quantum-errors-by-scaling-a-surface-code-logical-qubit https://quantumai.google/roadmap https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hartmut_Neven https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double-slit_experiment https://www.discovery.com/science/Double-Slit-Experiment https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schr%C3%B6dinger%27s_cat https://www.theinformation.com/articles/apple-is-working-on-ai-chip-with-broadcom?rc=pxkrxo https://x.com/rabois/status/870673635375104000 https://www.amazon.com/Company-Giants-Conversations-Visionaries-Digital/dp/0070329656 https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/09/tech/bytedance-tiktok-halt-us-ban-intl/index.html https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-us-ban-sale-china-congress-de12b4d22aa8095e62cb0982a6e62235 https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-ban-congress-bill-1c48466df82f3684bd6eb21e61ebcb8d https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q3-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/12/servicetitan-starts-trading-on-nasdaq-after-ipo.html https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/11/business/dealbook/ftc-trump-ferguson-khan.html https://www.ben-evans.com/benedictevans/2021/6/15/antitrust https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-05/convertible-bond-arbs-are-making-microstrategy-wall-street-s-hottest-trade

(0:00) Bestie announcement! (2:53) Gavin Baker and Joe Lonsdale join the show (4:14) State of the Trump Bump: Debt focus, Deregulation, America's lucky position (20:08) Trump nominates Paul Atkins as SEC Chair, replacing Gary Gensler: What this means for crypto and other markets (41:07) Thoughts on Michael Saylor's Bitcoin play, state of defense tech, and the US/China AI competition (49:25) xAI's massive GPU cluster, expanding to 1M GPUs, how Grok 3 will test AI scaling laws, and what's next (1:08:28) UnitedHealth CEO murdered, reactions Get virtual tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.com/events Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Gavin Baker: https://x.com/GavinSBaker Follow Joe Lonsdale: https://x.com/JTLonsdale Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113603133222686186 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/04/business/trump-sec-paul-atkins.html https://x.com/davidmarcus/status/1862654506774810641 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-05/convertible-bond-arbs-are-making-microstrategy-wall-street-s-hottest-trade https://www.ft.com/content/9c0516cf-dd12-4665-aa22-712de854fe2f https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12/04/nyregion/brian-thompson-uhc-ceo-shot https://abcnews.go.com/US/man-shot-chest-midtown-manhattan-masked-gunman-large/story?id=116446382&cid=social_twitter_abcn https://nypost.com/2024/12/06/media/taylor-lorenz-defends-unitedhealthcare-ceo-brian-thompson-jokes

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:54) Breaking down the DOGE roadmap (24:28) Milei's impact, DOGE's tight timeline, impact on GDP growth, "default sustainable," how to communicate DOGE (48:11) WW3 risk: Biden's recent escalation (1:00:43) Science Corner: Fat cells can remember being fat! Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/opinion/musk-and-ramaswamy-the-doge-plan-to-reform-government-supreme-court-guidance-end-executive-power-grab-fa51c020 https://x.com/BehizyTweets/status/1859364239229821022 https://x.com/sfliberty/status/1858936359949304105 https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1859946626271388068 https://x.com/realdogenews/status/1859233043686334791 https://x.com/popeye31jc/status/1859233598328492360 https://x.com/MattForVA/status/1859248996377612755 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8NLzc9kobDk https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-cpi https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1858258226199818595 https://x.com/Pismo_B/status/1858018620456186221 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/31/world/europe/russia-gains-ukraine-maps.html https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/17/politics/biden-authorizes-ukraine-missiles-russian-targets/index.html https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08165-7 https://x.com/bryan_johnson/status/1860022160833806646

(0:00) Bestie intros! (7:57) Election impact on Bitcoin, crypto, and fintech stocks (21:56) M&A and IPOs: What to expect in 2025 (39:52) Pharma advertising on cable tv: Should it be allowed? Is big pharma buying influence? (58:17) FBI raids Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's home (1:05:51) Trump's transition picks: Strategy, highest upside/downside, and more Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD https://www.sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-statements/gensler-remarks-pli-s-56th-annual-institute-securities-regulation-111424 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 https://www.businessinsider.com/federal-reserve-cuts-interest-rates-quarter-point-powell-inflation-election-2024-11 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/13/cpi-inflation-october-2024.html https://x.com/elerianm/status/1857297087010107728 https://x.com/chamath/status/1359248379377762310 https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/4763/text https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1848055198494728496 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/13/business/media/msnbc-fox-news-ratings-election.html https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1856208378541769076 https://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/PDFFiles/Mark-Zuckerberg-Letter-on-Govt-Censorship.pdf https://www.cjr.org/the_trump_reader/trump-threatens-new-york-times-penguin-random-house-critical-coverage.php https://nypost.com/2024/11/13/business/fbi-seizes-polymarket-ceos-phone-electronics-after-betting-platform-predicts-trump-win-source https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-13/polymarket-investigated-by-doj-for-letting-us-users-bet-on-platform https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-federal-court-upholds-ruling-letting-kalshiex-list-election-betting-contracts-2024-10-02 https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/fbi-raids-polymarket-ceo-shayne-coplans-apartment-seizes-phone-source-rcna180180 https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856838409861386722 https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22 https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856808022481539192 https://fortune.com/crypto/2024/10/30/polymarket-trump-election-crypto-wash-trading-researchers https://x.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1852863585375977877 https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1857237886736715971 https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1856725762130260383

(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:55) Sacks recaps election night at Mar-a-Lago (8:28) Analyzing the results: how Trump won, why Kamala and the Democratic Party lost (25:55) The failing Democratic coalition, campaign spend disparity, Trump's advantage in earned media (37:59) What mattered most: Policy, Candidate, or Campaign? (50:44) GOP will likely win House and Senate, potential cabinet positions, avoiding neocons (1:10:42) Cabinet positions, shaking up the unelected bureaucratic branch (1:28:47) California rejects progressives (1:35:17) Abortion laws being settled around the US Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/twobitidiot/status/1854192602985255042 https://www.270towin.com/2024-election-results-live/president https://x.com/ChrisCillizza/status/1854515791690953066 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_e8-KX3XKL8 https://x.com/Jason/status/1854209590424121464 https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1854045298475110779 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854342908356297068 https://x.com/arifleischer/status/1854270972775305291 https://www.fec.gov/data/spending-bythenumbers/?office=P https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2024-11-01/16-billion-will-be-spent-in-the-2024-election-wheres-it-all-going https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1829383729284067659 https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fine-people https://x.com/TheRabbitHole84/status/1840977783247286429 https://www.cnn.com/election/2024 https://polymarket.com/event/house-control-after-2024-election https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1854536321282519396 https://www.instagram.com/p/DCFJ4mlsmEG/?hl=en https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854202717637411199 https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-chevron-curtailing-power-of-federal-agencies https://x.com/chamath/status/1854229735477551600 https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/la-district-attorney-progressive-loses-re-election-gascon-rcna175906 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-abortion.html

(0:00) Bestie intros! (5:40) US Real GDP growth comes in at 2.8%, but there are underlying issues (29:16) Google earnings: YouTube and Cloud post huge quarters, would they have survived outside of Google? (36:24) Sacks's idea to auction off public spectrum licenses of major broadcast networks (42:17) How the media became one of the least trusted institutions in the US (54:26) Why Joe Rogan's interview with Trump was not appearing in YouTube search results (1:08:54) Final pre-election segment: how it's tracking, election integrity, voter fraud stats Get notified for the Election Night Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4Xaqgd9-Ro Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 https://x.com/freesites_com/status/1851615700869144908 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/30/dropbox-slashes-20percent-of-global-workforce-eliminating-500-roles.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S https://www.commercebank.com/about-us/prime-rate-update https://www.fdic.gov/system/files/2024-05/unrealized-gains-losses-on-investment-securities.png https://abc.xyz/assets/71/a5/78197a7540c987f13d247728a371/2024q3-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/29/google-cfo-says-company-can-push-a-little-further-in-cost-savings.html https://variety.com/2024/digital/news/youtube-q3-2024-advertising-revenue-growth-1236193926 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1818467743479542130 https://news.gallup.com/poll/512861/media-confidence-matches-2016-record-low.aspx https://news.gallup.com/poll/508169/historically-low-faith-institutions-continues.aspx https://www.axios.com/2023/10/24/americans-trust-in-media-plummets-to-historic-low-poll https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/28/jeff-bezos-washington-post-trust https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850277560816681255 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850979360037356001/photo/1 https://x.com/davidsacks/status/1844429818554876026 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1851745648313602189

(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: https://allin.com/events (9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions (27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements (38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints (53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch (1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation? Get tickets to The All-In Holiday Spectacular: https://allin.com/events Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://allin.com/events https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/22/tudor-jones-is-long-gold-and-bitcoin-as-hedge-fund-titan-believes-all-roads-lead-to-inflation.html https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stanley-druckenmiller-says-hes-shorting-u-s-bonds-and-staying-out-of-china-1fcf751e https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/10/cpi-inflation-september-2024.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-tax-report-international/uk-budget-fears-push-owners-to-close-firms-to-avoid-tax-hikes https://www.banque-france.fr/en/statistics/compagnies/business-failures-france-2024-09 https://www.reuters.com/markets/brazil-inflation-expectations-above-target-says-cenbank-director-picchetti-2024-10-23 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/14/more-than-half-of-gen-z-want-to-be-influencers-but-its-constant.html https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/influencer-marketing-trends-report https://www.longtermtrends.net/market-cap-to-gdp-the-buffett-indicator https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/ruminating-on-asset-allocation https://www.macrotrends.net/2577/sp-500-pe-ratio-price-to-earnings-chart https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/24/polymarket-trump-french-election-bet.html https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968 https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/23/politics/video/border-wall-kamala-harris-cnn-town-hall-digvid https://x.com/justintrudeau/status/1849467713711710699 https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968 https://awfulannouncing.com/barstool/dave-portnoy-turned-down-kamala-harris-interview.html https://investor.starbucks.com/news/financial-releases/news-details/2024/Starbucks-Reports-Preliminary-Q4-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2024-Results/default.aspx

(0:00) Bestie intros (2:01) Polls vs Prediction markets, dueling interviews, election update (16:06) Tesla's Robotaxi event and SpaceX's Starship catch (27:36) Uber reportedly looking into acquiring Expedia (45:19) Nuclear Vibe Shift? Big tech is looking toward nuclear solutions to power AI (1:11:10) Lawfare from the California Coastal Commission Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1729285428575 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1846826782797799580 https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1845472475322462468 https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1839424008900477354 https://www.ft.com/content/94a25bf7-e62b-462a-a4f0-e4feb6e244f7 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EXPE:NASDAQ https://companiesmarketcap.com/expedia/revenue https://x.com/Jason/status/1847016512583786921 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/16/amazon-goes-nuclear-investing-more-than-500-million-to-develop-small-module-reactors.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/14/google-inks-deal-with-nuclear-company-as-data-center-power-demand-surges.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/20/constellation-energy-to-restart-three-mile-island-and-sell-the-power-to-microsoft.html https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/16/california-coastal-commission-elon-musk-00184017

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:18) Besties intro JD Vance! (3:33) America's innovation problem (5:04) Thoughts on Trump (8:53) Would JD Vance have certified the election in 2020? (12:02) Increasing government efficiency, shrinking the deficit, Vance's role as VP, thoughts on EOs (19:35) Political realignment: Dick Cheney endorses Kamala Harris, winners and losers of the last 30 years (23:58) Thoughts on Lina Khan clamping down on tech M&A and her impact on the startup ecosystem (25:55) Fixing the Southern Border (32:16) How to practically approach deportations, who's coming in through the Southern Border? (36:51) Relationship with China Follow JD Vance: https://x.com/JDVance Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:18) The science behind Hurricanes Helene and Milton (14:59) The economics of intensifying natural disasters (29:03) AlphaFold creators win Nobel Prize in Chemistry (35:17) The Jayter's Ball (38:53) Google antitrust update: DOJ is going for a breakup (53:32) VC giveback: CRV will return ~$275M of a $500M fund to LPs (1:03:44) New TikTok survey shows increased usage as a news source (1:15:26) Election update: Are polling problems causing a strategy shift for Kamala Harris? Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://allin.com/meetups https://youtube.com/@allin https://allin.com/tequila https://allin.com https://x.com/Ry_Bass/status/1844367980249178396 https://www.newsweek.com/hurricane-helene-update-economic-losses-damage-could-total-160-billion-1961240 https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/september-2024-enso-update-binge-watch https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01442-3 https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1844166857655533811 https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hrd_sub/sfury.html https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-03214-7 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-09/us-says-it-s-weighing-google-breakup-as-remedy-in-monopoly-case https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rtKjE02hAh_k/v0 https://x.com/AOC/status/1844034727935988155 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/02/technology/crv-vc-fund-returning-money.html https://www.axios.com/2023/03/03/founders-fund-slashes-vc-peter-thiel https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/09/17/more-americans-regularly-get-news-on-tiktok-especially-young-adults https://www.pewresearch.org/data-labs/2024/10/08/who-u-s-adults-follow-on-tiktok https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/russia-pays-criminals-to-sow-mayhem-in-europe-warns-u-k-spy-chief-21ab960c https://x.com/iapolls2022/status/1844418916107341948 https://x.com/2waytvapp/status/1844803367740096811 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1829383729284067659

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:20) Besties intro Elon Musk! (4:19) The Battle of Free Speech (13:21) Potential government efficiency agency (30:41) SpaceX updates, overreaching regulations (39:06) Thoughts on Boeing's culture (41:23) The 80/20 AI Future (56:59) Elon and Jason share unaired SNL skits Intro song credit: M83 - Outro Follow Elon: https://x.com/elonmusk Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) The Besties intro Mark Cuban: Voting record, working with Ross Perot's campaign in 1992 (5:43) The history of Cuban's love/hate relationship with Trump (19:08) Trump's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (40:46) Party nominations: Kamala vs. Trump (49:18) Biden's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (55:45) Should Kamala share blame for Biden's failures? (1:07:01) International conflict, national debt, crypto regulation (1:21:33) General sense of Kamala Harris, why she's been avoiding adversarial interviews, why Sacks supports Trump (1:31:47) Selling a majority of his Mavericks stake, changing business landscape of the NBA, what he's working on at Cost Plus Drugs (1:44:50) Thoughts on AI, what's next for him (1:51:37) Relationship with Elon, re-evaluating the Twitter deal, OpenAI's new fundraise Follow Mark: https://x.com/mcuban Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcrfpus2&f=m https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN https://www.architecturaldigest.com/story/wait-are-windowless-bedrooms-going-to-be-a-thing https://washingtonreporter.news/editorial/scoop-kamala-harris-likely-to-nominate-gary-gensler-as-treasury-secretary-if-elected-senate-sources

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg! (0:21) Sacks intros John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs (1:32) What is the Deep State Party, and what are their goals? (13:56) Should America leverage its power against dictators? (22:07) The China threat: avoiding the escalatory path to nuclear war (36:08) India's growing role; are China's wounds self-inflicted? (47:07) Conflict in the Middle East and the path to peace Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Bestie intros: In Memoriam (6:43) OpenAI's $150B valuation: bull and bear cases (24:46) Will AI hurt or help SaaS incumbents? (40:41) Implications from OpenAI's for-profit conversion (49:57) Meta's impressive new AR glasses: is this the killer product for the age of AI? (1:09:05) Blue collar boom: trades are becoming more popular with young people as entry-level tech jobs dry up (1:20:55) Risk of nuclear war increasing Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/openais-stunning-150-billionvaluation-hinges-upending-corporate-structure-2024-09-14/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-25/openai-cto-mira-murati-says-she-will-leave-the-company https://x.com/chiefaioffice https://openai.com/our-structure https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1658664383717978112 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1839121268521492975 https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/26/zuckerberg-meta-white-house-pressure-00176399 https://appleinsider.com/articles/12/12/28/early-apple-prototypes-by-frog-designs-hartmut-esslinger-featured-in-upcoming-book https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/16/the-toolbelt-generation-why-teens-are-losing-faith-in-college.html https://www.wsj.com/tech/tech-jobs-artificial-intelligence-cce22393 https://layoffs.fyi https://educationdata.org/college-enrollment-statistics https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-20/zelenskiy-to-push-us-for-nato-invite-weapons-guarantees

(0:00) Bestie intros + All-In Summit recap (6:50) Fed cuts 50 bps: Economic tailwind, scary signal, or both? (17:35) AI is coming for call centers; how agent training works (33:41) US government wasting $50B for rural internet and EV charging stations (47:10) Reflecting on some rough years in VC: is the model broken? (1:07:18) Reacting to the first Trump/Kamala debate, what factors will make each candidate can win or lose the race Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/19/investing/stocks-fed-rate-cut/index.html https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-09-05-2024/card/say-goodbye-to-the-inverted-yield-curve--snsL80qp8JX9UvaMCvVc https://mearsheimer.ai https://seekingalpha.com/news/4144652-klarna-shuts-down-salesforce-as-service-provider-workday-to-meet-same-fate-amid-ai-initiatives https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836079197967532497 https://reason.com/2024/05/30/7-5-billion-in-government-cash-only-built-8-e-v-chargers-in-2-5-years https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/17/spacexs-starlink-has-2500-aircraft-under-contract.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/the-us-installed-more-than-1-000-ev-charging-stations-since-summer https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836435062994121053 https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1834009499931463705 https://x.com/molson_hart/status/1835650978906857948 https://x.com/danprimack/status/1824506087116058665 https://x.com/Jason/status/1768073854545449228 https://chamath.substack.com/p/2023-annual-letter https://x.com/Jason/status/1836820167449326063 https://www.axios.com/2024/04/03/us-global-venture-capital-q1 https://www.wsj.com/articles/university-endowments-mint-billions-in-golden-era-of-venture-capital-11632907802 https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/GrageDustin/status/1836178999178866766 https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fine-people https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1836516153893519867

(0:00) Bestie intros! Jason goes "Founder Mode" (1:03) All-In Summit lineup announcement (9:01) Understanding "Founder Mode" (32:52) Bolt is back in the news as Ryan Breslow goes "Founder Mode" (52:28) Tech's Section 230 protections might be in danger after new ruling (1:08:45) DOJ charges two Russians with infiltrating US media company (1:22:42) Kamala's economic pivot Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://paulgraham.com/foundermode.html https://x.com/chamath/status/1831003871344501069 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PANW:NASDAQ https://a16z.com/on-micromanagement https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0679762884 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ https://www.amazon.com/Five-Dysfunctions-Team-Leadership-Fable/dp/0787960756 https://techcrunch.com/2022/01/14/online-checkout-bolt-decacorn https://www.businessinsider.com/bolt-ceo-calls-stripe-ycombinator-mob-bosses-twitter-silicon-valley-2022-1 https://www.paymentsdive.com/news/bolt-ceo-ryan-breslow-steps-down/618058 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/10/business/bolt-start-up-ryan-breslow-investors.html https://techcrunch.com/2023/07/21/bolt-ex-ceo-ryan-breslow-subject-of-sec-probe https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/06/bolt-ceo-discusses-moving-on-after-sec-probe https://www.theinformation.com/articles/bolt-once-worth-11-billion-slashes-price-97-in-buyback?rc=pxkrxo https://www.axios.com/2024/08/22/bolt-investors-baffled https://x.com/MikeSacksEsq/status/1828795866590896599 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-11-30/is-tiktok-responsible-if-kids-diedoing-dangerous-viral-challenges https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JTcxIVlQfU https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1830440852411326782 https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/two-rt-employees-indicted-covertly-funding-and-directing-us-company-published-thousands https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1366266/dl https://www.axios.com/2024/09/05/putin-harris-trump-2024-election-russia-interference https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/30/tech/2020-election-russia-disinformation/index.html https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://www.liberalpatriot.com/p/the-rise-of-vince-lombardi-democrats

(0:00) Bestie intros: Buttons are back for fall (1:48) Reid Hoffman joins the show, reminiscing on PayPal stories with Sacks (7:52) State of AI: Nvidia, cluster buildouts, competition (19:51) OpenAI's corporate structure and thoughts on Elon's lawsuit (29:09) Inflection AI's deal structure with Microsoft, Lina Khan's impact on the tech industry (41:27) Reid's perspective on Kamala being hot swapped for Biden, funding groups that attempted to keep RFK Jr. off ballots (52:02) Reid's thoughts on growing antisemitism (55:03) Thoughts on Kamala's economic proposals: price caps, wealth tax, etc. (1:04:19) How Silicon Valley views both candidates, why Reid funded legal action against Trump (1:19:03) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. joins the show and recaps his campaign and decision to back Trump (1:31:13) Falling out with the Democratic Party (1:37:26) Potential role in the Trump Administration, Make America Healthy Again agenda (1:58:01) Sacks recaps RFK Jr's campaign, RFK Jr. on Trump's legacy Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Reid Hoffman: https://x.com/reidhoffman Follow Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2025 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/gavin-baker-ai-semiconductors-and-the-robotic-frontier/id1154105909?i=1000666758592

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K (15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban (36:16) Decision 2024: State of the race, Polls vs prediction markets (52:33) Tale of two tickets: Private sector vs. Public sector (1:05:19) Kamala Harris supports Biden's tax plans, including a 25% wealth tax on those with more than $100M in assets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/nonfarm-payroll-growth-revised-down-by-818000-labor-department-says.html https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1826290040374243821 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1664788807059660800 https://www.statista.com/statistics/269959/employment-in-the-united-states https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-september-2024?tid=1724345228774 https://x.com/chamath/status/1826360792351957141 https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/15/us/harvard-asian-enrollment-applicants.html https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1826469365069271419 https://blockworks.co/news/polymarket-july-all-time-high-trading-volumes https://www.semafor.com/article/08/19/2024/harris-camp-signals-it-backs-biden-bid-to-raise-taxes-on-wealthy-corporations https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-election-2024-harris-walz/card/harris-backs-tax-increases-proposed-by-biden-pkuLeYl6f1kXrhN4kWgQ https://www.crfb.org/blogs/kamala-harris-agenda-lower-costs-american-families https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf

(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason gets a dish named after him! (5:27) DOJ considers breaking up Google after last week's antitrust ruling (28:10) Starbucks replaces CEO with Chipotle chief (45:37) Work culture, WFH's damage to informal mentorship (59:20) Election update: Harris flips the polls despite unclear policy; reports of price control focus (1:21:27) Boeing's Starliner disaster strands two astronauts in space (1:33:54) Russia/Ukraine update: Ukraine wins land in Kursk, Nordstream report Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/harry_schuh/status/1822030518038491400 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-13/doj-considers-seeking-google-goog-breakup-after-major-antitrust-win https://www.wsj.com/business/starbucks-replaces-ceo-as-activist-investors-push-for-changes-43c33bff https://s203.q4cdn.com/326826266/files/doc_financials/2024/q3/Q3-FY24-Earnings-at-a-Glance.pdf https://fortune.com/2024/08/13/starbucks-shares-jump-20-after-company-poaches-chipotle-ceo-brian-niccol-chipotle-falls-9 https://www.cafexapp.com https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CMG:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/articles/low-wage-workers-climb-the-earnings-ladder-20acd8af https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzLCpmRad5o https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nearly-half-dell-full-time-215348261.html https://x.com/Jason/status/1823826884112867609 https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1823913395986305342 https://www.npr.org/2024/08/08/nx-s1-5068668/vance-walz-stolen-valor-military-record https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/walzs-military-record-vances-accusations-stolen-valor/story?id=112618991 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/08/15/kamala-harris-economic-policy-2024 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-15/harris-will-propose-price-gouging-ban-on-food-and-groceries https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whip_Inflation_Now https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WMT:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/kamala-harriss-economic-team-and-agenda-start-to-take-shape-7682e539 https://time.com/7009317/reintroduction-of-kamala-harris https://x.com/TIME/status/1822951410956218385 https://www.axios.com/2024/08/11/kamala-harris-trump-taxes-tips-service-workers https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-15/harris-will-propose-price-gouging-ban-on-food-and-groceries https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2019-annual-letter https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BA:NYSE https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1413855 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/07/26/boeing-starliner-astronauts-stuck-orbit-space-station https://spacenews.com/41891nasa-selects-boeing-and-spacex-for-commercial-crew-contracts https://newatlas.com/space/first-manned-crew-dragon-flight-date https://qph.cf2.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-26d9f1dddb4d24469b593b28f40d277b-lq https://spaceflightnow.com/2016/08/02/boeing-nears-fix-for-cst-100-starliner-design-hitch https://spacenews.com/crewed-starliner-test-flight-could-slip-to-2019 https://spaceflightnow.com/2020/02/28/boeing-says-thorough-testing-would-have-caught-starliner-software-problems https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/08/19/boeings-starliner-spacecraft-returns-to-processing-facility-for-valve-work https://www.boeing.com/space/starliner/launch/archive.html https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/27/nord-stream-gas-pipelines-damage-russia https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/nord-stream-pipeline-explosion-real-story-da24839c https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/03/nord-stream-bombing-yacht-andromeda https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4O8rGRLf8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ild-PsPD_Uw

(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason is back from COVID! (3:55) Yen carry trade unravels, Japan's unique economic issues (27:22) Recession odds growing, is the US already in a "lowkey recession"? (45:46) Why Buffett is selling Apple and massively increasing Berkshire's cash position (55:54) Major antitrust ruling against Google, predicting outcomes (1:22:41) Kamala picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/health/wellness/covid-guidelines-2024-cdc-symptoms-contagious-cdefb6b8 https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/interest-rate https://pebblewriter.com/the-yen-carry-trade-explained https://www.statista.com/statistics/604424/median-age-of-the-population-in-japan https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/japans-nov-core-consumer-inflation-hits-fresh-40-year-high-2022-12-22 https://x.com/GoldmanSachs/status/1793998451291615316 https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/boj-wont-raise-rates-when-markets-are-unstable-deputy-gov-says-6f4bf962 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html https://www.wsj.com/finance/the-u-s-government-will-soon-spend-more-on-interest-payments-than-defense-ee6fbeec https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/business/archegos-bill-hwang-guilty.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-08/jpmorgan-says-three-quarters-of-global-carry-trades-now-unwound https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/02/job-growth-totals-114000-in-july-much-less-than-expected-as-unemployment-rate-rises-to-4point3percent.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.IXIC:INDEXNASDAQ https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-08-07-2024/card/airbnb-stock-slides-after-rental-company-warns-of-slowing-u-s-demand-inf2c6emjcl5KI7KmkfR https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1799085407394845087 https://www.forbes.com/sites/gurufocus/2024/02/15/warren-buffett-bolsters-chevron-stake-revealing-key-q4-moves https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ https://www.ft.com/content/2aa3b542-d4e4-4afb-8d81-89bb734d7b17 https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25032786-googleruling https://x.com/Jason/status/1820823406503157764 https://x.com/chamath/status/1817893425137508474 https://www.vox.com/2018/10/31/18039528/tech-employees-politics-liberal-employers-candidates https://www.natesilver.net/p/tim-walz-is-a-minnesota-nice-choice https://x.com/NickFondacaro/status/1820840411335737852 https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1820918063966962143 https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/08/06/politics/tim-walz-inside-harris-vp-pick https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/us/politics/vance-walz-military-record.html https://x.com/PokerGO/status/1818836856890704291

(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain (19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky? (33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession? (40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility (45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East? (1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-boycotts-netanyahu-snubs-israeli-leaders-wartime-address-give-sorority-speech https://nypost.com/2024/07/24/us-news/media-change-tune-on-calling-kamala-harris-border-czar-despite-giving-her-the-title https://x.com/jeffstorobinsky/status/1818722254542590012 https://apnews.com/business/inflation-general-news-31d83873be23c658d66526745482d572 https://x.com/grdecter/status/1819362069797654784 https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-interest-rates-wealth-loans-51d4276e https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/q1-gdp-slows-inflation-dips https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-stock-jumps-after-earnings-beat-driven-by-ai-chip-sales-202456320.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/31/nvidia-stock-up-after-microsoft-amd-quell-fears-ai-buildout-too-fast.html https://www.ft.com/content/bad6ca0b-82fb-4ddb-b6b8-bd09dacd47ae https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/world/middleeast/how-hamas-leader-haniyeh-killed-iran-bomb.html https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/01/world/middleeast/how-a-secret-cyberwar-program-worked.html?hp https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bill-ackman-pulls-investment-fund-ipo-after-shrinking-its-size-85ba1a17

(0:00) Bestie intros: Nostracanis appears! (3:50) Wiz turns down Google's $23B offer, intends to IPO (13:30) CrowdStrike's rough week (17:51) Market update: Mag 7 sell-off? (22:47) Sam Altman's UBI study was a mixed bag (42:02) Succession IRL: Rupert Murdoch's children are in a legal battle over the future of his media empire (48:35) Biden out, Kamala in: Hot swap complete, speed-run primary subverted (1:03:08) Antisemitism rising, Josh Shapiro as a VP candidate (1:08:37) Sacks responds to smear campaign (1:26:46) Science Corner: China's nuclear buildout Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/google-wiz-deal-dead.html https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-71924-big-tech https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/12/snowflake-shares-slip-after-att-says-hackers-accessed-data.html https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2024/07/crowdstrike-blames-testing-bugs-for-security-update-that-took-down-8-5m-windows-pcs https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/falcon-update-for-windows-hosts-technical-details https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/23/business/delta-flight-cancellations/index.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRWD:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/alphabet-set-to-report-q2-earnings-results-after-the-bell.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE https://public.websites.umich.edu/~mille/ORUS_Health.pdf https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/business/media/rupert-murdoch-succession-fox.html https://apnews.com/article/fox-news-dominion-lawsuit-trial-trump-2020-0ac71f75acfacc52ea80b3e747fb0afe https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/07/22/us/politics/kamala-harris-democrats-endorsement-list.html https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4790684-kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-wisconsin https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/05/us/politics/biden-interview-stephanopoulos-abc.html https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/03/biden-no-ones-pushing-me-out-00166497 https://www.axios.com/2024/07/23/inside-harris-sprint-democratic-nomination https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/why-biden-dropped-out-00170106 https://apnews.com/article/biden-election-trump-democrats-329071c25dfaaae583b5f06184586267 https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1815080881981190320 https://x.com/paulg/status/1816334112086712830 https://x.com/paulg/status/1771640321446683060 https://www.sec.gov/files/litigation/admin/2017/33-10429.pdf https://x.com/mwseibel/status/1816542692727488784

(0:00) Bestie intros: Live from the RNC! (1:34) Reacting to the assassination attempt against President Trump (12:52) Impact of charged rhetoric (21:15) Secret Service's massive failure; institutional decay (37:02) Inside the RNC: Sacks breaks down his speech (41:16) Trump picks JD Vance as his running mate (58:52) All-In Summit scholarship applications are LIVE! (59:46) VC update: Exits creeping back, Sequoia's secondary offering for Stripe, Google in talks to acquire Wiz for $23B Apply for the All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Jason's links (16:34): https://pt.icct.nl/article/donald-trump-aggressive-rhetoric-and-political-violence https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it Referenced in the show: https://www.foxnews.com/us/trumps-attempted-assassin-posted-message-before-shooting-july-13-my-premiere-watch-unfolds https://abcnews.go.com/US/trump-assassination-attempt-investigation-continues-new-details/story?id=112020474 https://x.com/TeslaVee/status/1813785645472690479 https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/08/politics/fact-check-trump-january-6/index.html https://x.com/DylanByers/status/1811855698566975936 https://x.com/newrepublic/status/1810009748697448541 https://pt.icct.nl/sites/default/files/import/pdf/nacos-et-al.pdf https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it https://apnews.com/article/trump-rubio-vance-burgum-scott-stefanik-vp-11ec39b0da11152ad110ff987d4eaeee https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pot7R0Affjs https://x.com/cb_doge/status/1813289249288134660 https://x.com/mualphaxi/status/1812579998735491327 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1813270784942494110 https://theintercept.com/2022/07/14/jan-6-texts-deleted-secret-service https://x.com/yashar/status/1813757637584134615 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/16/us/politics/trump-vance-vp-decision.html https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1812929198433964249 https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/07/17/peter-thiel-boosted-jd-vance-career/74397520007 https://x.com/RitaPanahi/status/1813790835332595863 https://x.com/RWTNews/status/1813779819697725669 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4FnpoNU8AI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xejs4gGUpjE https://www.axios.com/2024/07/15/sequoia-capital-stripe https://www.wsj.com/business/deals/google-near-23-billion-deal-for-cybersecurity-startup-wiz-622edf1a https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor-first-look https://www.axios.com/2024/07/18/president-biden-drop-out-election-democrats https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJP2zlH2nt8 https://www.semafor.com/article/07/17/2024/donors-cash-is-drying-up-jeffrey-katzenberg-warns-biden-in-private-meeting