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Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the most pressing financial topics shaping markets and personal finance decisions right now. We open with an analysis of current selling pressure and what it signals for equity markets, then dive deep into why credit spreads deserve your attention as a leading indicator of risk. We make the case for why waiting for S&P 6,900 could cost you opportunity, and offer a teaser on the growing private credit space. From there, we tackle real estate investment trusts and AG&C — examining whether current valuations finally make them worth buying. We discuss disciplined profit-taking strategies, the relationship between oil prices and airline ticket costs, and identify which companies are most likely to mishandle AI implementation and what that means for investors. On the retirement and income planning side, we cover home equity conversion mortgages and reverse mortgages, annuities with long-term care riders, and whether private equity offerings inside 401(k) plans make sense for individual investors. We also examine target date funds and how they fit into a broader retirement strategy. We round out the episode with a discussion of GDP calculation methodology, asset tokenization and stablecoins, hedging techniques for isolating individual stock exposure, and key lessons from William Bernstein's philosophy on knowing when to stop taking risk. We close with a framework for balancing active versus passive investing, risk management principles, and a look at the three high-quality stocks Charlie Munger consistently championed. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:59 - Selling Pressure Remains 2:57 - Pay Attention to Credit Spreads 5:21 - Don't Wait for 6,900 11:46 - Private Credit Teaser 13:07 - Thoughts on REIT's & AG&C: Is it Time to Buy? 15:12 - What is Your Method for Taking Profits? 19:15 - The Price of Oil & Airline Tickets 22:49 - Which Companies Will Screw Up AI Implementation? 26:42 - Home Equity Conversions - Reverse Mortgages 29:59 - Annuities w LTC Riders 31:29 - How is GDP Calculated? 32:40 - Asset Tokenization & StableCoin 34:36 - Isolating Stocks by Hedging 35:35 - William Bernstein - Quit Playing 38:52 - Active vs Passive Investing & Risk Management 42:42 - Charlie Munger's 3 High-quality Stocks 46:28 - Are Target Date Funds a Good Option? 47:17 - Private Equity Offerings in 401k? ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Watch our previous show, "Fixing Your Broken Emergency Fund," https://youtube.com/live/3x6MbhEYpcU?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Private Credit Stress: Will The Fed Backstop Exuberance Again?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-credit-stress-will-the-fed-backstop-excuberance-again/ "USD Stable Coins And The Rebasement Of The US Dollar" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usd-stable-coins-and-the-rebasement-of-the-us-dollar/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Rebalance Now Before the Rally Fades" is here: https://youtu.be/yAmYkDUWWW4 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarketToday #PortfolioRebalancing #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #InvestingStrategy #RetirementPlanning #MarketOutlook #PersonalFinance #WealthManagement
Is your financial plan built to survive a market crash — or a $5,000 emergency? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down what retirees and younger workers both need to know about protecting their money when the economy sends mixed signals. Whether you're protecting a nest egg or just starting to build one, this episode gives you a practical framework for financial resilience — no matter what the market does next. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:58 - Q4 GDP Weaker Than Expected: Implications 5:38 - Markets Bounce off 200-DMA 11:04 - Achieving Financial Independence - How You Know You've Made It 14:46 - Retirement Accounts' Intended Use vs New Rules 17:37 - 401k Plan Access vs Participation 20:39 - The High Cost of Eating Out 22:41 - Comparative High Costs of Hamburgers 24:26 - Market Moves - Price of Admission 26:15 - Creating Financial Cushions & Structuring Savings 30:21 - T-Bills & Bonds in the Savings Mix 34:10 - Volatility is Not Your Friend in Emergency Accounts 36:04 - Rice & Beans to Get Rid of Debt 37:58 - Channeling Dave Ramsey 42:00 - The Process of Getting Out of Debt 45:05 - Getting Fee'd to Death 48:27 - E-Book Tease - Ten Laws of Wealth & Money ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/3x6MbhEYpcU?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Oil Shock - Markets Reprice Risk," https://youtube.com/live/pU0TuFA1CWE ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Treasury Bond Yields Don't Lie: But Wars Don't Drive Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/treasury-yields-dont-lie-but-wars-dont-drive-them/ "Financial Nihilism & The Trap Young Investors Are Walking Into" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/financial-nihilism-the-trap-young-investors-are-walking-into/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Bounces Off 200-DMA — Rally or Trap?" is here: https://youtu.be/9wZsz-bOiUY ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarketAnalysis #200DMA #MarketOutlook #TradingStrategy #PersonalFinance #RetirementPlanning #401k #EmergencyFund #FinancialResilience #DaveRamsey #FinancialNihilism
Oil volatility is shaking global markets after disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz triggered the largest modern oil supply shock. Crude briefly surged above $100 as geopolitical tensions escalated, sending volatility across equities, credit, and currencies. Lance Roberts discusses oil volatility, market technicals, private credit stress, and the key risks investors should be watching next. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:59 - Weekend Article Recap; Q4 GDP Revision 5:11 - Market Performance in First Half of March 8:43 - Oil Price Behaviors 12:18 - Lance's Getaway Report & Adulting is Hard 14:55 - Grooming Jon Penn & Lance's Big Surprise 16:36 - Oil Volatility & Market Impact 20:25 - Oil Volatility & Equity Volatility 23:36 -What is Sustainability of High Oil Prices? 27:24 - Three Market Scenarios 29:06 - What Happens to Valuations? 30:55 - Rick to Markets Ends w Buying Opportunity 35:12 - What War Does to Treasury Yields 40:10 - A History of Bond Yields, 1965 - 2026 43:45 - How to Think About Bonds ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/pU0TuFA1CWE ------- Watch our previous show, "The Psychology of Spending in Retirement," https://youtube.com/live/0J1dQZvIQrQ ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Oil Volatility And The Market Impact" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/crude-oil-volatility-and-the-market-impact/ "Treasury Bond Yields Don't Lie: But Wars Don't Drive Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/treasury-yields-dont-lie-but-wars-dont-drive-them/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Spike, Oversold Markets, & The 200-DMA Test," is here: https://youtu.be/5fEaWyoafks ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #StockMarket #MarketVolatility #FederalReserve #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #BondYield #IranWar
Oil volatility is shaking global markets after disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz triggered the largest modern oil supply shock. Crude briefly surged above $100 as geopolitical tensions escalated, sending volatility across equities, credit, and currencies. Lance Roberts discusses oil volatility, market technicals, private credit stress, and the key risks investors should be watching next. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:59 - Weekend Article Recap; Q4 GDP Revision 5:11 - Market Performance in First Half of March 8:43 - Oil Price Behaviors 12:18 - Lance's Getaway Report & Adulting is Hard 14:55 - Grooming Jon Penn & Lance's Big Surprise 16:36 - Oil Volatility & Market Impact 20:25 - Oil Volatility & Equity Volatility 23:36 -What is Sustainability of High Oil Prices? 27:24 - Three Market Scenarios 29:06 - What Happens to Valuations? 30:55 - Rick to Markets Ends w Buying Opportunity 35:12 - What War Does to Treasury Yields 40:10 - A History of Bond Yields, 1965 - 2026 43:45 - How to Think About Bonds ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/pU0TuFA1CWE ------- Watch our previous show, "The Psychology of Spending in Retirement," https://youtube.com/live/0J1dQZvIQrQ ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Oil Volatility And The Market Impact" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/crude-oil-volatility-and-the-market-impact/ "Treasury Bond Yields Don't Lie: But Wars Don't Drive Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/treasury-yields-dont-lie-but-wars-dont-drive-them/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Spike, Oversold Markets, & The 200-DMA Test," is here: https://youtu.be/5fEaWyoafks ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #StockMarket #MarketVolatility #FederalReserve #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #BondYield #IranWar
Retirement income planning isn't just about withdrawal rates, portfolio construction, or tax strategies. For many retirees, the hardest part of retirement is psychological, not mathematical. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty explore the psychology behind retirement spending decisions, including why retirees frequently leave large amounts of wealth unused and how behavioral finance shapes income planning. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Turmoil in Markets & The Math of Retirement 6:28 - Retirees Chronically Under-spend 9:42 - Longevity Risk & LTC 11:21 - Looking at Guardrails & Switching Lanes in Retirement 14:20 - Not much is working - doing mental accounting 17:24 - Legacy vs Consumption conflict 20:20 - Healthcare Uncertainty & Insurance 24:17 - Candid Coffee Preview 29:15 - Tax Strategies for Retirement 32:29 - Accumulation vs De-cumulation planning 34:21 - What Will You Do IN Retirement 38:45 - What % of Working-Age Income is Used in Retirement 43:05 - Johnny Cash in Nickajack Cave ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/0J1dQZvIQrQ ------- Watch our previous show, "The “Value Rotation” Illusion," https://youtube.com/live/jW9UWP7WdZY?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #RetirementIncome #BehavioralFinance #FinancialPlanning #InvestorPsychology
Retirement income planning isn't just about withdrawal rates, portfolio construction, or tax strategies. For many retirees, the hardest part of retirement is psychological, not mathematical. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty explore the psychology behind retirement spending decisions, including why retirees frequently leave large amounts of wealth unused and how behavioral finance shapes income planning. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Turmoil in Markets & The Math of Retirement 6:28 - Retirees Chronically Under-spend 9:42 - Longevity Risk & LTC 11:21 - Looking at Guardrails & Switching Lanes in Retirement 14:20 - Not much is working - doing mental accounting 17:24 - Legacy vs Consumption conflict 20:20 - Healthcare Uncertainty & Insurance 24:17 - Candid Coffee Preview 29:15 - Tax Strategies for Retirement 32:29 - Accumulation vs De-cumulation planning 34:21 - What Will You Do IN Retirement 38:45 - What % of Working-Age Income is Used in Retirement 43:05 - Johnny Cash in Nickajack Cave ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/0J1dQZvIQrQ ------- Watch our previous show, "The "Value Rotation" Illusion," https://youtube.com/live/jW9UWP7WdZY?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #RetirementIncome #BehavioralFinance #FinancialPlanning #InvestorPsychology
The market narrative says investors are rotating out of expensive growth stocks and into cheaper value stocks. But is that actually happening? Jon Penn and Michael Lebowitz explain how today's passive investing landscape can distort traditional definitions of value and growth. ETF flows and index-driven allocations often send capital into the largest and most popular companies, regardless of valuation. Using our three-tier valuation framework—past earnings, forward earnings, and growth-adjusted valuations—we show how investors can better separate stocks that simply look cheap from those that may represent genuine value. We also discuss why traditional screens like low P/E ratios can lead investors into value traps, and how market narratives, psychology, and passive flows can create large valuation gaps across sectors and companies. Understanding the difference between perceived value and true value is critical in today's market environment. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Before the Bell - Markets Making Lower Highs and Lower Lows 2:56 - Dealing with Trapped Longs 5:32 - Negative Divergences Send Warnings 7:35 - Our Strategies Now 11:26 - The Price of Oil & U.S. Dollar 13:52 - Impact of Dollar on Gold, Silver, Precious Metals 17:41 - The Momentum Chase 18:25 - $200 Crude & Futures Markets 22:15 - Crude Oil & Gasoline Futures curves 25:24 - CPI vs Core CPI & The Fed 30:32 - Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh, & Fed Stance 33:22 - The Value Rotation Illusion 35:51 - What is Value? 38:55 - How Airlines Really Make Money 41:40 - Market Commentary & Blog posting ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/jW9UWP7WdZY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Day: Technical Breakdown in the S&P 500: What Comes Next?" here: https://youtube.com/live/B2diF0UUrjs ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ValueInvesting #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #MarketAnalysis #InvestorEducation
The market narrative says investors are rotating out of expensive growth stocks and into cheaper value stocks. But is that actually happening? Jon Penn and Michael Lebowitz explain how today's passive investing landscape can distort traditional definitions of value and growth. ETF flows and index-driven allocations often send capital into the largest and most popular companies, regardless of valuation. Using our three-tier valuation framework—past earnings, forward earnings, and growth-adjusted valuations—we show how investors can better separate stocks that simply look cheap from those that may represent genuine value. We also discuss why traditional screens like low P/E ratios can lead investors into value traps, and how market narratives, psychology, and passive flows can create large valuation gaps across sectors and companies. Understanding the difference between perceived value and true value is critical in today's market environment. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Before the Bell - Markets Making Lower Highs and Lower Lows 2:56 - Dealing with Trapped Longs 5:32 - Negative Divergences Send Warnings 7:35 - Our Strategies Now 11:26 - The Price of Oil & U.S. Dollar 13:52 - Impact of Dollar on Gold, Silver, Precious Metals 17:41 - The Momentum Chase 18:25 - $200 Crude & Futures Markets 22:15 - Crude Oil & Gasoline Futures curves 25:24 - CPI vs Core CPI & The Fed 30:32 - Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh, & Fed Stance 33:22 - The Value Rotation Illusion 35:51 - What is Value? 38:55 - How Airlines Really Make Money 41:40 - Market Commentary & Blog posting ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/jW9UWP7WdZY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Day: Technical Breakdown in the S&P 500: What Comes Next?" here: https://youtube.com/live/B2diF0UUrjs ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ValueInvesting #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #MarketAnalysis #InvestorEducation
Jon Penn & Devoda Owens cover key financial planning and market topics affecting investors and retirees, beginning with market commentary on the Iran campaign and geopolitical risk, and what it could mean for energy prices, inflation expectations, and market volatility. Jon & Devoda also discuss Social Security depletion projections, how investors should think about benchmarking portfolios, and the key considerations around when to claim Social Security benefits. Additional planning topics include estate planning when remarrying, insurance and long-term care strategies, preparing for healthcare inflation, and the role of life insurance and umbrella coverage in protecting assets. We examine the recent value rotation narrative in markets and preview the upcoming CPI report and its potential implications for inflation and interest rates. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Devoda Owens, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Introducing Devoda Owens, CFP 4:55 - Market Commentary - Iran Campaign 8:42 - Social Security Depletion & Comparing Benchmarks 14:08 - When to Take SS? 19:53 - Estate Planning and Re-marriage 27:56 - Value Rotation Illusion 31:13 - Insurance Planning & Long Term Care 37:48 - Planning for Healthcare Inflation 41:57 - Life Insurance & Umbrella Coverage 46:17 - CPI Preview ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/B2diF0UUrjs ------- Watch our previous show, "The Benefits Talk Every Business Owner Needs," here: https://youtube.com/live/p6Fp1bhtsDE ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning #MarketOutlook #InvestmentStrategy
Jon Penn & Devoda Owens cover key financial planning and market topics affecting investors and retirees, beginning with market commentary on the Iran campaign and geopolitical risk, and what it could mean for energy prices, inflation expectations, and market volatility. Jon & Devoda also discuss Social Security depletion projections, how investors should think about benchmarking portfolios, and the key considerations around when to claim Social Security benefits. Additional planning topics include estate planning when remarrying, insurance and long-term care strategies, preparing for healthcare inflation, and the role of life insurance and umbrella coverage in protecting assets. We examine the recent value rotation narrative in markets and preview the upcoming CPI report and its potential implications for inflation and interest rates. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Devoda Owens, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Introducing Devoda Owens, CFP 4:55 - Market Commentary - Iran Campaign 8:42 - Social Security Depletion & Comparing Benchmarks 14:08 - When to Take SS? 19:53 - Estate Planning and Re-marriage 27:56 - Value Rotation Illusion 31:13 - Insurance Planning & Long Term Care 37:48 - Planning for Healthcare Inflation 41:57 - Life Insurance & Umbrella Coverage 46:17 - CPI Preview ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/B2diF0UUrjs ------- Watch our previous show, "The Benefits Talk Every Business Owner Needs," here: https://youtube.com/live/p6Fp1bhtsDE ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning #MarketOutlook #InvestmentStrategy
Consider this the money talk your Dad would have given you if he knew everything about running a business. Jon Penn and Tom Allen provide straight-talking advice, walking you through exactly how to build a benefits and retirement strategy that works for you AND your employees. No jargon. No sales pitch. Just the kind of honest, experienced advice two dads would give their own kids sitting across the kitchen table. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Retirement Plan Consultant, Tom Allen Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:21 - Two Dads & Tom's Kids 2:27 - Market Commentary - Technical Deterioration 12:14 - What to Do in Times Like These 17:00 - Benefits Planning for Business Owners 21:24 - What is the long-term vs near-term vision? 25:27 - Retirement Plan Structure 28:17 - Starting Things Off... 31:06 - How to Fix/Correct Mistakes 34:13 - Educating About Retirement Plans 38:00 - Common Employee Questions & Portability 39:03 - Compensation for Key Employees 41:16 - Dealing with 12% Healthcare Inflation 42:43 - Defining BUCA ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/p6Fp1bhtsDE ------- Watch our previous show, "Diversification Is Not Risk Management," here: https://youtube.com/live/9m5uCWh7hWw ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TwoDadsOnMoney #BusinessOwnerFinance #RetirementPlanning #EmployeeBenefits #SmallBusinessWealth
Consider this the money talk your Dad would have given you if he knew everything about running a business. Jon Penn and Tom Allen provide straight-talking advice, walking you through exactly how to build a benefits and retirement strategy that works for you AND your employees. No jargon. No sales pitch. Just the kind of honest, experienced advice two dads would give their own kids sitting across the kitchen table. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Retirement Plan Consultant, Tom Allen Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:21 - Two Dads & Tom's Kids 2:27 - Market Commentary - Technical Deterioration 12:14 - What to Do in Times Like These 17:00 - Benefits Planning for Business Owners 21:24 - What is the long-term vs near-term vision? 25:27 - Retirement Plan Structure 28:17 - Starting Things Off... 31:06 - How to Fix/Correct Mistakes 34:13 - Educating About Retirement Plans 38:00 - Common Employee Questions & Portability 39:03 - Compensation for Key Employees 41:16 - Dealing with 12% Healthcare Inflation 42:43 - Defining BUCA ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/p6Fp1bhtsDE ------- Watch our previous show, "Diversification Is Not Risk Management," here: https://youtube.com/live/9m5uCWh7hWw ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TwoDadsOnMoney #BusinessOwnerFinance #RetirementPlanning #EmployeeBenefits #SmallBusinessWealth
Is your IRA a ticking tax time bomb? Most retirement savers don't realize that every dollar sitting in a traditional IRA will eventually be taxed — and you may have little say over when, how much, or at what rate. Danny Ratliff & Sarah Buenger break down the three critical dimensions of IRA tax planning: a proactive multi-year conversion strategy, the risks of doing nothing, and legacy planning considerations that could determine how much your heirs actually keep. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:22 - Oil, Gasoline, & Market Commentary 3:51 - What Will the Fed Do Next? 6:06 - Tax Strategies & Management 7:52 - The Ticking Tax Time Bomb 10:10 - Doing Roth Conversions in a Down Market 13:02 - The IRS Uniform Lifetime Table 15:47 - No More Stretch IRA's 17:32 - Retirement Income Trough & RMD's 21:15 - Building Money Buckets 25:34 - Money for Medical Expenses 27:02 - Implications of relocating to no-income tax state 29:19 - Qualified Charitable Donations 31:51 - Dealing with RMD's & IRMAA's 34:00 - Multi-year strategies 37:54 - Estate Planning w Roth Assets ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/p6Fp1bhtsDE ------- Watch our previous show, "Diversification Is Not Risk Management," here: https://youtube.com/live/9m5uCWh7hWw -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #IRAPlanning #RothConversion #RetirementTaxStrategy #RMDPlanning #WealthTransfer
Is your IRA a ticking tax time bomb? Most retirement savers don't realize that every dollar sitting in a traditional IRA will eventually be taxed — and you may have little say over when, how much, or at what rate. Danny Ratliff & Sarah Buenger break down the three critical dimensions of IRA tax planning: a proactive multi-year conversion strategy, the risks of doing nothing, and legacy planning considerations that could determine how much your heirs actually keep. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:22 - Oil, Gasoline, & Market Commentary 3:51 - What Will the Fed Do Next? 6:06 - Tax Strategies & Management 7:52 - The Ticking Tax Time Bomb 10:10 - Doing Roth Conversions in a Down Market 13:02 - The IRS Uniform Lifetime Table 15:47 - No More Stretch IRA's 17:32 - Retirement Income Trough & RMD's 21:15 - Building Money Buckets 25:34 - Money for Medical Expenses 27:02 - Implications of relocating to no-income tax state 29:19 - Qualified Charitable Donations 31:51 - Dealing with RMD's & IRMAA's 34:00 - Multi-year strategies 37:54 - Estate Planning w Roth Assets ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/p6Fp1bhtsDE ------- Watch our previous show, "Diversification Is Not Risk Management," here: https://youtube.com/live/9m5uCWh7hWw -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #IRAPlanning #RothConversion #RetirementTaxStrategy #RMDPlanning #WealthTransfer
Some 401(k) plans let you put in extra after-tax money and move it into a Roth so it can grow tax-free—but you have to know what your plan allows. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty share 10 questions to ask your 401(k) provider so you don't miss it. Rich & Jonathan also explain a new bill that would make the $6,000 senior deduction permanent. It's not the same as “no tax on Social Security” for everyone—and the Social Security tax rules still depend on income thresholds that haven't kept up with inflation. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Mancards & Oven Replacements 3:21 - OBBA & Larger Tax Refunds 10:16 - The $6k Senior Tax Deduction 16:52 - Are You Mega Roth Eligible? 21:18 - The Super Saver Endorphen 24:24 - The Roth Aging Issue 27:25 - Changes in the AMT 30:56 - OBBA & Marginal Rates Will Go Up 36:10 - Candid Coffee Preview ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/fEk6rYGzFkA?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Dalio at Davos: Calm Markets, Hidden Currents," here: https://youtube.com/live/mippkxiCJQI -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dow Streak Signals Pullback ," is here: https://youtu.be/zor3I7w1wLA ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #RothIRA #Roth401k #SocialSecurity #TaxPlanning
Some 401(k) plans let you put in extra after-tax money and move it into a Roth so it can grow tax-free—but you have to know what your plan allows. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty share 10 questions to ask your 401(k) provider so you don't miss it. Rich & Jonathan also explain a new bill that would make the $6,000 senior deduction permanent. It's not the same as "no tax on Social Security" for everyone—and the Social Security tax rules still depend on income thresholds that haven't kept up with inflation. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Mancards & Oven Replacements 3:21 - OBBA & Larger Tax Refunds 10:16 - The $6k Senior Tax Deduction 16:52 - Are You Mega Roth Eligible? 21:18 - The Super Saver Endorphen 24:24 - The Roth Aging Issue 27:25 - Changes in the AMT 30:56 - OBBA & Marginal Rates Will Go Up 36:10 - Candid Coffee Preview ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/fEk6rYGzFkA?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Dalio at Davos: Calm Markets, Hidden Currents," here: https://youtube.com/live/mippkxiCJQI -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dow Streak Signals Pullback ," is here: https://youtu.be/zor3I7w1wLA ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #RothIRA #Roth401k #SocialSecurity #TaxPlanning
Ray Dalio's Davos comments aren't a “next-week collapse” call—they're a long-cycle warning: rising debt supply can eventually force higher yields and tough policy trade-offs. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 looks calm on the surface, but sector/factor dispersion and low correlations show a fierce rotation under the hood. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the calm index ≠ calm market—watch dispersion and correlations for the next regime shift. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Economic Reports Show Benefits of AI Data Centers 5:17 - Why The Dow Jones Index Matters Now 9:20 - WalMart Quarterly is Proxy for Staples 12:30 - Why WalMart Valuation Matters 15:53 - Periods of Rolling Bubbles 19:45 - Has AI Cap-ex Already Been Priced-in? 22:20 - The Value-Growth Rotation 24:01 - Fed Meeting Minutes Recap 26:57 - Debunking Dalio 33:13 - Dealing with Negative, Doom & Gloom Headlines 37:10 - Mortgage-backed Bond Exposure 41:18 - Could the Yield Curve Flatten? 43:09 - Is Kevin Warsh just Jerome Powell 2.0? 44:19 - Avoid Worrying About Things Out of Your Control ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/mippkxiCJQI ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Calm Market Waters Hide Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/calm-market-waters-hide-fierce-undercurrents/ "AI Bubble: History Says Caution Is Warranted" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bubble-history-says-caution-is-warranted/ "Market Sector Review: Extreme Market Bifurcation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-sector-review-extreme-market-bifurcation/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Markets, Money, and Your Questions" here: https://youtube.com/live/3xyx42x5s44 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dow Streak Signals Pullback ," is here: https://youtu.be/zor3I7w1wLA ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #DowJones #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingStrategy #RayDalio #Davos #MarketRotation #SP500 #RiskManagement
Markets pushed higher Wednesday morning and ran straight into a key technical "traffic jam" as the 20-day and 50-day moving averages converged near the same level. Late-day selling pulled prices back toward the 50-DMA, and with futures slightly lower this morning, the big question is whether buyers step back in—or whether we start to see a more routine digestion of gains. The bigger tell right now may be the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The Dow has notched nine consecutive months of gains, a streak that's historically rare over long market history. When runs like this extend, it doesn't automatically signal a crash—but it does increase the odds of corrective action. If a Dow pullback shows up, it can easily spill into the S&P 500 and NASDAQ through sentiment and positioning. Breadth is improving, with roughly 65% of S&P 500 stocks trading above their moving averages. That's supportive for trend health—yet it's also a double-edged sword. When participation rises broadly, markets can correct broadly as well, even if the primary trend remains intact. Bottom line: we're not talking about a major breakdown. But a 3–5% pullback would be completely normal given the Dow's extended run and the market's proximity to key moving averages. That's why this is a good window to take partial profits, rebalance risk, and maintain discipline. If/when a pullback arrives, it can create a more favorable entry point to put that capital back to work. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/zor3I7w1wLA --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Sector Review: Extreme Market Bifurcation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-sector-review-extreme-market-bifurcation/ "Calm Market Waters Hide Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/calm-market-waters-hide-fierce-undercurrents/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #DowJones #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingStrategy
Ray Dalio's Davos comments aren't a "next-week collapse" call—they're a long-cycle warning: rising debt supply can eventually force higher yields and tough policy trade-offs. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 looks calm on the surface, but sector/factor dispersion and low correlations show a fierce rotation under the hood. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the calm index ≠ calm market—watch dispersion and correlations for the next regime shift. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Economic Reports Show Benefits of AI Data Centers 5:17 - Why The Dow Jones Index Matters Now 9:20 - WalMart Quarterly is Proxy for Staples 12:30 - Why WalMart Valuation Matters 15:53 - Periods of Rolling Bubbles 19:45 - Has AI Cap-ex Already Been Priced-in? 22:20 - The Value-Growth Rotation 24:01 - Fed Meeting Minutes Recap 26:57 - Debunking Dalio 33:13 - Dealing with Negative, Doom & Gloom Headlines 37:10 - Mortgage-backed Bond Exposure 41:18 - Could the Yield Curve Flatten? 43:09 - Is Kevin Warsh just Jerome Powell 2.0? 44:19 - Avoid Worrying About Things Out of Your Control ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/mippkxiCJQI ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Calm Market Waters Hide Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/calm-market-waters-hide-fierce-undercurrents/ "AI Bubble: History Says Caution Is Warranted" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bubble-history-says-caution-is-warranted/ "Market Sector Review: Extreme Market Bifurcation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-sector-review-extreme-market-bifurcation/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Markets, Money, and Your Questions" here: https://youtube.com/live/3xyx42x5s44 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dow Streak Signals Pullback ," is here: https://youtu.be/zor3I7w1wLA ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #DowJones #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingStrategy #RayDalio #Davos #MarketRotation #SP500 #RiskManagement
It's Q&A Wednesday—your questions drive the show. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down what's moving markets right now, key economic and Fed signals to watch this week, and the practical portfolio decisions that matter most (risk, allocations, income, taxes, and retirement timing). Drop your question in the live chatroom and we'll tackle as many as we can. Topics we often cover: market volatility & trend levels, rates/inflation, sector rotation, retirement income, tax strategy, ETFs vs. individual bonds, and avoiding emotional decision-making. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Wrapping Earnings Season w Highest Revenue Growth Ever 4:38 - Markets Bounce off 100-DMA 6:47 - What's Next for Crude Oil & Energy Stocks? 9:40 - How Much Money is "Enough" to Retire On? 17:48 - Study: Coffee & Dementia 19:06 - Work Benefits vs Medicare 20:41 - Capital Allocation in Current Markets 23:19 - How to Plan for 2027 25:14 - Bloom Energy & Fuel Cell Tech 26:21 - Price Floor Effects on Trading, Employment & Metals 29:56 - Extended Car Warranty Pros & Cons 31:27 - How Much Trust in Forward Guidance? 32:55 - Is Palantir Over Sold? (Yes) 33:35 - Datacenter Rage vs Fiber Optics 35:00 - Corporate Stock Buy Backs vs AI Cap-Ex Spending 35:54 - Planning to Retire at 56 36:52 - Should You Wait Until 74 for Social Security? 39:09 - Market Rotation Velocity 40:28 - Coming Attractions ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/3xyx42x5s44 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Bank, Brokerage, or Corporate Trustee? (It's a Matter of Trust)," here: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "1100-DMA Bounce: Range-Bound Markets & Energy Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/EJVtzKwAMG4 ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #EnergyStocks #QandAWednesday #MarketOutlook #PortfolioRisk #RetirementPlanning #InvestingEducation
Markets tested the 100-day moving average (100-DMA) and buyers stepped in—exactly where many systematic and algorithmic strategies tend to respond. Futures are pointing higher this morning, but that doesn't automatically mean the selloff is finished. Momentum remains weak and the market is still on a sell signal, which often sets up a choppy, range-bound environment without a clear catalyst. We also discuss why "chasing winners" can get dangerous late in an extended run—highlighted by Walmart's sharp drop after a strong advance. In commodities, crude oil is trying to stabilize, but remains on a sell signal at elevated levels. If support near ~$62 fails, the next downside zone could pull oil into the mid-to-high $50s—potentially helping inflation prints while pressuring Energy stocks. Energy sector momentum is stretched and nearing a sell signal from a high level. If you've been riding Energy higher, this may be a prudent window to rebalance risk and harvest gains—rather than waiting for the market to do it for you. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/EJVtzKwAMG4 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Sector Review: Extreme Market Bifurcation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-sector-review-extreme-market-bifurcation/ "Calm Market Waters Hide Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/calm-market-waters-hide-fierce-undercurrents/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #EnergyStocks
It's Q&A Wednesday—your questions drive the show. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down what's moving markets right now, key economic and Fed signals to watch this week, and the practical portfolio decisions that matter most (risk, allocations, income, taxes, and retirement timing). Drop your question in the live chatroom and we'll tackle as many as we can. Topics we often cover: market volatility & trend levels, rates/inflation, sector rotation, retirement income, tax strategy, ETFs vs. individual bonds, and avoiding emotional decision-making. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Wrapping Earnings Season w Highest Revenue Growth Ever 4:38 - Markets Bounce off 100-DMA 6:47 - What's Next for Crude Oil & Energy Stocks? 9:40 - How Much Money is "Enough" to Retire On? 17:48 - Study: Coffee & Dementia 19:06 - Work Benefits vs Medicare 20:41 - Capital Allocation in Current Markets 23:19 - How to Plan for 2027 25:14 - Bloom Energy & Fuel Cell Tech 26:21 - Price Floor Effects on Trading, Employment & Metals 29:56 - Extended Car Warranty Pros & Cons 31:27 - How Much Trust in Forward Guidance? 32:55 - Is Palantir Over Sold? (Yes) 33:35 - Datacenter Rage vs Fiber Optics 35:00 - Corporate Stock Buy Backs vs AI Cap-Ex Spending 35:54 - Planning to Retire at 56 36:52 - Should You Wait Until 74 for Social Security? 39:09 - Market Rotation Velocity 40:28 - Coming Attractions ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/3xyx42x5s44 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Bank, Brokerage, or Corporate Trustee? (It's a Matter of Trust)," here: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "1100-DMA Bounce: Range-Bound Markets & Energy Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/EJVtzKwAMG4 ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #EnergyStocks #QandAWednesday #MarketOutlook #PortfolioRisk #RetirementPlanning #InvestingEducation
Choosing a corporate trustee is one of the most important decisions in estate planning—especially if you're naming a bank, brokerage trust department, or independent trust company to manage assets and carry out your wishes after you're gone. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down how to compare corporate trustees beyond just “lowest fees,” including fiduciary standards, investment flexibility, service model, administrative capabilities, distribution discipline, technology/reporting, continuity, and how they handle family dynamics. We also cover the key differences between revocable and irrevocable trusts, including where each is typically used, how control and flexibility change, and why trustee selection matters even more once a trust becomes irrevocable. Finally, we explain Trust Protectors—what they do, why they can be a critical safeguard, and how they may help your beneficiaries replace a trustee later if service, philosophy, or circumstances change. For educational purposes only. This discussion is general in nature and not individualized legal, tax, or investment advice—talk with your estate attorney and tax professional to apply these concepts to your situation. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Bifurcated Markets - Over Sold, Over Bought 3:09 - Markets Challenge 100-DMA 7:57 - The Danger in Overlooking the Importance of Trusts 11:21 - Don't Scrimp on Speedo's or Estate Plans 14:24 - Where There's a Will... 17:51 - Medical, Durable Powers of Attorney 20:26 - The Parties to a Trust 23:45 - Setting Up the Trust 29:34 - Wills vs Beneficiary Directions 32:00 - Who Do You Designate as Trustee? 36:27 - Choosing the Right Corporate Trustee 39:20 - Estate Taxes & Exemptions 40:55 - Passing Assets to Children Who Marry & Divorce 43:51 - Legal Zoom & On Line Platforms 46:15 - Trust Protectors 47:39 - The Cost of Setting Up a Trust 52:54 - What is Required to Change a Trust Company? ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Margin Debt & the One-Stock Myth," here: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Test - Momentum Fades, Rotation Shifts," is here: https://youtu.be/Qkkl5m8hY7w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketUpdate #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MarketRotation #EstatePlanning #Trusts #Trustee #WealthManagement #FinancialPlanning
Choosing a corporate trustee is one of the most important decisions in estate planning—especially if you're naming a bank, brokerage trust department, or independent trust company to manage assets and carry out your wishes after you're gone. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down how to compare corporate trustees beyond just "lowest fees," including fiduciary standards, investment flexibility, service model, administrative capabilities, distribution discipline, technology/reporting, continuity, and how they handle family dynamics. We also cover the key differences between revocable and irrevocable trusts, including where each is typically used, how control and flexibility change, and why trustee selection matters even more once a trust becomes irrevocable. Finally, we explain Trust Protectors—what they do, why they can be a critical safeguard, and how they may help your beneficiaries replace a trustee later if service, philosophy, or circumstances change. For educational purposes only. This discussion is general in nature and not individualized legal, tax, or investment advice—talk with your estate attorney and tax professional to apply these concepts to your situation. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Bifurcated Markets - Over Sold, Over Bought 3:09 - Markets Challenge 100-DMA 7:57 - The Danger in Overlooking the Importance of Trusts 11:21 - Don't Scrimp on Speedo's or Estate Plans 14:24 - Where There's a Will... 17:51 - Medical, Durable Powers of Attorney 20:26 - The Parties to a Trust 23:45 - Setting Up the Trust 29:34 - Wills vs Beneficiary Directions 32:00 - Who Do You Designate as Trustee? 36:27 - Choosing the Right Corporate Trustee 39:20 - Estate Taxes & Exemptions 40:55 - Passing Assets to Children Who Marry & Divorce 43:51 - Legal Zoom & On Line Platforms 46:15 - Trust Protectors 47:39 - The Cost of Setting Up a Trust 52:54 - What is Required to Change a Trust Company? ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Margin Debt & the One-Stock Myth," here: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Test - Momentum Fades, Rotation Shifts," is here: https://youtu.be/Qkkl5m8hY7w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketUpdate #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MarketRotation #EstatePlanning #Trusts #Trustee #WealthManagement #FinancialPlanning
Markets held the 100-DMA on Friday, but that support is in focus again today. The bigger issue is a negative divergence: price has risen while momentum and relative strength have faded. If the 100-DMA breaks, the next key level is the 200-DMA near 6,650—so stay disciplined on allocations, concentration, and risk. Breadth is improving: the gap between market-cap and equal-weight has narrowed, and equal-weight has led over the past six months. Energy, Utilities, Industrials, and Materials have been driving gains, but several are getting extended—take profits and rebalance where needed. Also watch Technology: it's oversold, and even a modest rebound could quickly shift leadership back toward mega-cap performance. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/Qkkl5m8hY7w --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketUpdate #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MarketRotation
Happy Presidents Day—today's show blends portfolio risk management with real-life planning (and a little chili controversy). We break down margin debt and how leverage turns routine volatility into forced selling and permanent losses. Then we pivot to weddings, pre-nups, and money conversations—what couples should sort out early to protect goals and reduce future stress. Next, we tackle the "one stock forever" question: why the idea is tempting, where concentration risk shows up, and what characteristics investors are really looking for (durable cash flows, pricing power, strong balance sheets). We wrap with the reflation trade—what typically works when growth/inflation narratives heat up, and how valuation can bite when the story gets crowded. Educational only—not individualized investment advice. 0:00 - INTRO 0:22 - Margin Debt & Losing It All 12:08 - Planning Weddings 16:23 - When Should a Pre-nupt be used? 21:20 -The One Stock You'd Buy if You Could Only Buy One 24:32 - The Reflation Trade and Chili: Beans or No Beans Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP, and w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Duct Tape & WD-40 Your Portfolio Together," here: https://youtube.com/live/EsweZ6GtMvI?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Keeps Stocks Flat," is here: https://youtu.be/8iyhck2LBpY ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarginDebt #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning #ReflationTrade #InvestingPsychology
What happens when the “perfect” financial plan doesn't happen—your kid skips college, your retirement clock is ticking, and the family budget gets ambushed by costs you never saw coming? Jon Penn and Jonathan McCarty connect three real-world money stress points that are showing up everywhere right now: 1) The kid isn't going to college—now what about that 529? 2) Retirement vs. college: the household tug-of-war 3) Hidden car ownership costs: the budget killer after the dealership 0:00 - INTRO 0:21 - Market Futures & Precious Metals 2:33 - Rising Costs of automobiles & maintenance 5:27 - Rising Cost of Auto Insurance 10:45 - Kids' First Cars & Replacements 15:14 - What Happens to 529 Plans Leftover? 22:11 - The Increased Cost of Education 26:39 - Construction Technology 28:26 - Rolling 529 Funds into an "Able Account" 29:14 - Saving for Retirement vs Saving for College 33:45 - Two Themes to Retirement 34:45 - Subsidized vs Unsubsidized Student Loans 36:37 - FAFSA & CCS 38:01 - Rosso's Retirement Plans 39:48 - YouTube Poll 42:49 - Escalating Health Insurance Costs Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Gy9w2-v1EyE ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "BLS Labor Report Defies Consensus" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bls-labor-report-defies-consensus/ --- Watch our previous show, "The Value Rotation Illusion," here: https://youtube.com/live/2133YnloEBo?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dollar Rally Risk - Overbought Markets," is here: https://youtu.be/ioOGa5YHzDI ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #529Plan #RetirementPlanning #CollegePlanning #PersonalFinance #CostOfCarOwnership #BucceesBeaverNuggets
What happens when the "perfect" financial plan doesn't happen—your kid skips college, your retirement clock is ticking, and the family budget gets ambushed by costs you never saw coming? Jon Penn and Jonathan McCarty connect three real-world money stress points that are showing up everywhere right now: 1) The kid isn't going to college—now what about that 529? 2) Retirement vs. college: the household tug-of-war 3) Hidden car ownership costs: the budget killer after the dealership 0:00 - INTRO 0:21 - Market Futures & Precious Metals 2:33 - Rising Costs of automobiles & maintenance 5:27 - Rising Cost of Auto Insurance 10:45 - Kids' First Cars & Replacements 15:14 - What Happens to 529 Plans Leftover? 22:11 - The Increased Cost of Education 26:39 - Construction Technology 28:26 - Rolling 529 Funds into an "Able Account" 29:14 - Saving for Retirement vs Saving for College 33:45 - Two Themes to Retirement 34:45 - Subsidized vs Unsubsidized Student Loans 36:37 - FAFSA & CCS 38:01 - Rosso's Retirement Plans 39:48 - YouTube Poll 42:49 - Escalating Health Insurance Costs Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Gy9w2-v1EyE ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "BLS Labor Report Defies Consensus" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bls-labor-report-defies-consensus/ --- Watch our previous show, "The Value Rotation Illusion," here: https://youtube.com/live/2133YnloEBo?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dollar Rally Risk - Overbought Markets," is here: https://youtu.be/ioOGa5YHzDI ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #529Plan #RetirementPlanning #CollegePlanning #PersonalFinance #CostOfCarOwnership #BucceesBeaverNuggets
“Value is back,” the headlines say—so investors rush from mega-cap growth into “boring” staples, utilities, and healthcare. But here's the problem: sector labels aren't valuation metrics. In many cases, the so-called “value rotation” is an illusion—because investors may be rotating into expensive stocks while selling the actual value hiding inside “growth.” Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down why value and growth aren't mutually exclusive, and why the market's favorite shortcut—“defensives = value, tech = growth”—can lead to costly portfolio mistakes. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Employment Numbers Surprise 6:01 - Why We're Setting Up for a Dollar Rally 14:05 - Gasoline Price Comparisons 15:59 - Value Stocks & Market Rotations 19:36 - Defining "Growth" vs "Value" 21:22 - Buying the Future, not the Past 22:38 - The Problem w Forward Earnings 28:06 - How Passive Flows Drive Markets Higher 32:01 - Overbought Markets Can Remain So for a Long Time 35:01 - How the Dow Industrials Have Shifted 37:57 - Employment is Not as Strong as Hoped (It's garbage) 39:57 - Expect Revisions Next Year 43:11 - Friday Inflation-Truflation Report Preview 45:34 - ISM Index Anecdotal Evidence Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/2133YnloEBo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "BLS Labor Report Defies Consensus" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bls-labor-report-defies-consensus/ --- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: You Ask 'em, We'll Answer," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sI0zNQTCyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dollar Rally Risk - Overbought Markets," is here: https://youtu.be/ioOGa5YHzDI ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #USdollar #MarketTechnicalAnalysis #MeanReversion #PortfolioRiskManagement #GoldAndSilver #ValueInvesting #StockMarket #PortfolioStrategy #Valuation #InvestingEducation
"Value is back," the headlines say—so investors rush from mega-cap growth into "boring" staples, utilities, and healthcare. But here's the problem: sector labels aren't valuation metrics. In many cases, the so-called "value rotation" is an illusion—because investors may be rotating into expensive stocks while selling the actual value hiding inside "growth." Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down why value and growth aren't mutually exclusive, and why the market's favorite shortcut—"defensives = value, tech = growth"—can lead to costly portfolio mistakes. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Employment Numbers Surprise 6:01 - Why We're Setting Up for a Dollar Rally 14:05 - Gasoline Price Comparisons 15:59 - Value Stocks & Market Rotations 19:36 - Defining "Growth" vs "Value" 21:22 - Buying the Future, not the Past 22:38 - The Problem w Forward Earnings 28:06 - How Passive Flows Drive Markets Higher 32:01 - Overbought Markets Can Remain So for a Long Time 35:01 - How the Dow Industrials Have Shifted 37:57 - Employment is Not as Strong as Hoped (It's garbage) 39:57 - Expect Revisions Next Year 43:11 - Friday Inflation-Truflation Report Preview 45:34 - ISM Index Anecdotal Evidence Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/2133YnloEBo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "BLS Labor Report Defies Consensus" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bls-labor-report-defies-consensus/ --- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: You Ask 'em, We'll Answer," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sI0zNQTCyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dollar Rally Risk - Overbought Markets," is here: https://youtu.be/ioOGa5YHzDI ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #USdollar #MarketTechnicalAnalysis #MeanReversion #PortfolioRiskManagement #GoldAndSilver #ValueInvesting #StockMarket #PortfolioStrategy #Valuation #InvestingEducation
Is the U.S. Dollar setting up for a deeper rally—and what does that mean for markets that have been riding the "weak dollar" trade? Lance Roberts walks through a long-term, monthly chart perspective: when major indexes stretch 2+ standard deviations above long-term means, the odds of a meaningful mean reversion rise. Right now, the S&P 500 is extended, the equal-weight S&P is even more stretched, and several "Dollar-sensitive" areas look extremely overbought—including Basic Materials, Industrials, and Transports. The same setup shows up in international stocks and emerging markets, where foreign flows often chase currency differentials. If the Dollar turns higher from an oversold condition and triggers a buy signal, those rotations can reverse fast. We also cover why gold and silver—classic Dollar trades—can stay extended longer than expected, but rarely hold at 3–4 standard deviations for very long. Bottom line: overbought doesn't mean "crash tomorrow," but it does mean it's time to think about taking profits, rebalancing, and reducing risk before the mean reversion shows up. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/ioOGa5YHzDI --- Articles mentioned in this report: "BLS Labor Report Defies Consensus" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bls-labor-report-defies-consensus/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
It's Q&A Wednesday: You ask 'em, we'll answer—and today's episode covers the questions investors actually wrestle with when markets get noisy. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff start with a preview of upcoming economic reports and what recent data may be signaling about slowing growth and the next bout of market volatility. From there, we dig into real portfolio decisions—especially for investors heading into retirement—including how to think about allocation changes, managing risk, and avoiding the behavioral traps that derail long-term outcomes. Lance & Danny also hit the big evergreen topics: recency bias, whether there's truly a “one stock to own forever,” what buffered ETFs do (and don't) protect you from, and the mechanics behind the bond yield / interest-rate relationship. We also tackle timely portfolio choices like metals, tax-deferred vs. taxable accounts, seasonality, foreign currency trades, and how to invest in individual bonds. We wrap with practical tradeoffs around high-yield savings, the reality of beating the market consistently, and a broader discussion on growth modeling—plus a curveball question: Is AI going to take our jobs? 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Economic Reports Preview: More Weakness? 4:59 - Markets Do What They Do - More Volatility? 11:04 - How Should I Change My Portfolio Going Into Retirement? 17:48 - Dealing with Recency Bias 21:04 - The One Stock to Own Forever 24:20 - The Thing About Buffered ETF's 28:19 - Inverse Relationship Between Bond Yields vs Interest Rates 34:10 - Metals: Selling Today? 35:50 - Tax-deferred vs Taxable brokerage Accounts 39:16 - Using Seasonality When Investing 40:48 - Dealing with Foreign Currency Trades 44:00 - How to Invest in Individual Bonds? 47:01 - The Pro's & Con's of High Yield Savings 48:11 - Do You Consistently Beat the Market? 53:36 - Defining Magnitude and Modeling Growth 55:31 - Is AI Going to Take Our Jobs? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sI0zNQTCyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Duct Tape & WD-40 Your Portfolio Together," here: https://youtube.com/live/EsweZ6GtMvI?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Keeps Stocks Flat," is here: https://youtu.be/8iyhck2LBpY ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #TreasuryYields #Volatility #QandAWednesday #RetirementInvesting #MarketVolatility #BondMarket #TaxPlanning
It's Q&A Wednesday: You ask 'em, we'll answer—and today's episode covers the questions investors actually wrestle with when markets get noisy. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff start with a preview of upcoming economic reports and what recent data may be signaling about slowing growth and the next bout of market volatility. From there, we dig into real portfolio decisions—especially for investors heading into retirement—including how to think about allocation changes, managing risk, and avoiding the behavioral traps that derail long-term outcomes. Lance & Danny also hit the big evergreen topics: recency bias, whether there's truly a "one stock to own forever," what buffered ETFs do (and don't) protect you from, and the mechanics behind the bond yield / interest-rate relationship. We also tackle timely portfolio choices like metals, tax-deferred vs. taxable accounts, seasonality, foreign currency trades, and how to invest in individual bonds. We wrap with practical tradeoffs around high-yield savings, the reality of beating the market consistently, and a broader discussion on growth modeling—plus a curveball question: Is AI going to take our jobs? 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Economic Reports Preview: More Weakness? 4:59 - Markets Do What They Do - More Volatility? 11:04 - How Should I Change My Portfolio Going Into Retirement? 17:48 - Dealing with Recency Bias 21:04 - The One Stock to Own Forever 24:20 - The Thing About Buffered ETF's 28:19 - Inverse Relationship Between Bond Yields vs Interest Rates 34:10 - Metals: Selling Today? 35:50 - Tax-deferred vs Taxable brokerage Accounts 39:16 - Using Seasonality When Investing 40:48 - Dealing with Foreign Currency Trades 44:00 - How to Invest in Individual Bonds? 47:01 - The Pro's & Con's of High Yield Savings 48:11 - Do You Consistently Beat the Market? 53:36 - Defining Magnitude and Modeling Growth 55:31 - Is AI Going to Take Our Jobs? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sI0zNQTCyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Duct Tape & WD-40 Your Portfolio Together," here: https://youtube.com/live/EsweZ6GtMvI?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Keeps Stocks Flat," is here: https://youtu.be/8iyhck2LBpY ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #TreasuryYields #Volatility #QandAWednesday #RetirementInvesting #MarketVolatility #BondMarket #TaxPlanning
Markets are stuck in the same rhythm: rally, pull back, test support, and bounce again. After Tuesday's dip, futures are mildly higher this morning—but the bigger story is consolidation. Under the surface, leadership is rotating: Energy, Financials, and Value have held the upper hand, while Growth has started to perk up. That internal rotation can keep the index "flat" even as specific sectors trend. The setup still leans toward an upside breakout, but the market hasn't shown the momentum needed to follow through—yet. Meanwhile, 10-year Treasury yields have been sliding for several sessions. A bounce back toward 4% wouldn't be surprising given where inflation sits and what yields are "supposed" to reflect. If incoming inflation or employment data disappoints, yields could push lower again. Finally, volatility is quietly grinding higher as turnover and leadership churn continue. No fear-spike yet—but this is often the type of prelude we see before volatility eventually makes a sharper move. Manage risk, stay disciplined, and let the market prove the breakout. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/8iyhck2LBpY --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #TreasuryYields #Volatility
Markets rallied back into positive territory today, but the real risk-management lesson isn't the chart—it's behavior. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn unpack the “WD-40 & Duct Tape” framework: WD-40 reduces emotional friction when headlines and volatility try to lock up decision-making, and duct tape is the discipline that keeps your portfolio plan intact (allocation, diversification, rebalancing rules, time horizon, liquidity). We also hit real-life planning topics investors ignore until it's urgent—pre-nups, trusts, board liability, and why you shouldn't scrimp on estate planning. Because protecting wealth isn't just about returns—it's about structure, documents, and decisions made before stress shows up. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Valentine's PSA & Earnings Recaps 4:25 - Markets Rally Back Into Positive Territory 9:21 - Christmas Lights, Roofers, & Racoons 12:31 - Engagements, WD-40, & Duct Tape 18:35 - Investors Getting Emotional w Markets 26:57 - When Should a Pre-Nup Be Used? 31:57 - Will a Trust Protect One's Assets? 39:27 - Don't Scrimp on Estate Planning 42:58 - Can I Get Sued on a Board of Directors? 45:22 - Updating an Estate Plan Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/EsweZ6GtMvI?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculative Narrative Unwinds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/speculative-narrative-unwinds/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Technology Stocks: Dead… or the Next Opportunity?" here: https://youtube.com/live/dkvgydsdn-g?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Signals Melt-up" is here: https://youtu.be/U5PtR83h4qs ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketMeltUp #SectorRotation #TechStocks #BitcoinAnalysis #BehavioralFinance #MarketVolatility #PortfolioDiscipline #EstatePlanning #WealthProtection
Markets rallied back into positive territory today, but the real risk-management lesson isn't the chart—it's behavior. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn unpack the "WD-40 & Duct Tape" framework: WD-40 reduces emotional friction when headlines and volatility try to lock up decision-making, and duct tape is the discipline that keeps your portfolio plan intact (allocation, diversification, rebalancing rules, time horizon, liquidity). We also hit real-life planning topics investors ignore until it's urgent—pre-nups, trusts, board liability, and why you shouldn't scrimp on estate planning. Because protecting wealth isn't just about returns—it's about structure, documents, and decisions made before stress shows up. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Valentine's PSA & Earnings Recaps 4:25 - Markets Rally Back Into Positive Territory 9:21 - Christmas Lights, Roofers, & Racoons 12:31 - Engagements, WD-40, & Duct Tape 18:35 - Investors Getting Emotional w Markets 26:57 - When Should a Pre-Nup Be Used? 31:57 - Will a Trust Protect One's Assets? 39:27 - Don't Scrimp on Estate Planning 42:58 - Can I Get Sued on a Board of Directors? 45:22 - Updating an Estate Plan Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/EsweZ6GtMvI?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculative Narrative Unwinds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/speculative-narrative-unwinds/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Technology Stocks: Dead… or the Next Opportunity?" here: https://youtube.com/live/dkvgydsdn-g?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Signals Melt-up" is here: https://youtu.be/U5PtR83h4qs ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketMeltUp #SectorRotation #TechStocks #BitcoinAnalysis #BehavioralFinance #MarketVolatility #PortfolioDiscipline #EstatePlanning #WealthProtection
Markets rebounded Monday and nearly tagged new highs—trend remains bullish, but leadership is rotating. After an early-year chase into Value, money is flowing back into Technology and Growth. At the same time, global equity inflows ex-Tech are running hot (over $60B YTD), a classic "melt-up" signal that's worth monitoring for crowding and speculation. Futures are higher again this morning—watch for follow-through. Bitcoin bounced but hasn't regained traction yet. It's still deeply oversold, momentum is flattening, and a tradable setup could emerge if we get confirmation with a momentum turn/buy signal. Not financial advice. Manage risk and avoid chasing extended moves. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/U5PtR83h4qs --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketMeltUp #SectorRotation #TechStocks #BitcoinAnalysis
Technology stocks started February on the back foot as volatility spiked and leveraged trades unwound across markets—crypto first, then metals, then equities. The key question: is this a real breakdown in tech leadership, or a mechanical liquidation that's creating selective opportunity? 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Superbowl Recap & Looking for BLS & CPI 4:41 - More Trapped Longs & Volatility to Come 10:38 - Market Volatility May not Be Over Yet 14:28 - The AI Threat to Software Co's 18:12 - Salesforce vs AI 23:20 - Narratives are Justification for Overpaying 26:30 - Technology Sector Analysis & Rotation 29:40 - Value to Growth Rotation 32:05 - Where are Earnings Coming From? 35:08 - Waiting for the Bottom to Buy 37:36 - Fundamentals Then & Now 40:01 - Margin Debt vs DPI (Disposable Personal Income) 41:30 - What Happens When You Lose it All 44:05 Boomer Advice for Younger Investors 48:41 - Learn when Enough is Enough Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/dkvgydsdn-g?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculative Narrative Unwinds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/speculative-narrative-unwinds/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "The Wealth-Health Gap," here: https://youtube.com/live/TynkcovRQIQ?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Holds, Volatility Returns," is here: https://youtu.be/y7ilBZWTrcA ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #TechnologyStocks #Nasdaq #MarketVolatility #SectorRotation #RiskManagement
Technology stocks started February on the back foot as volatility spiked and leveraged trades unwound across markets—crypto first, then metals, then equities. The key question: is this a real breakdown in tech leadership, or a mechanical liquidation that's creating selective opportunity? 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Superbowl Recap & Looking for BLS & CPI 4:41 - More Trapped Longs & Volatility to Come 10:38 - Market Volatility May not Be Over Yet 14:28 - The AI Threat to Software Co's 18:12 - Salesforce vs AI 23:20 - Narratives are Justification for Overpaying 26:30 - Technology Sector Analysis & Rotation 29:40 - Value to Growth Rotation 32:05 - Where are Earnings Coming From? 35:08 - Waiting for the Bottom to Buy 37:36 - Fundamentals Then & Now 40:01 - Margin Debt vs DPI (Disposable Personal Income) 41:30 - What Happens When You Lose it All 44:05 Boomer Advice for Younger Investors 48:41 - Learn when Enough is Enough Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/dkvgydsdn-g?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculative Narrative Unwinds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/speculative-narrative-unwinds/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "The Wealth-Health Gap," here: https://youtube.com/live/TynkcovRQIQ?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Holds, Volatility Returns," is here: https://youtu.be/y7ilBZWTrcA ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #TechnologyStocks #Nasdaq #MarketVolatility #SectorRotation #RiskManagement
Why do wealthier households tend to live longer and experience fewer chronic diseases? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the Wealth-Health Gap—how income, savings, and environment shape health through housing quality, access to care, and financial resilience. We also flip the lens: poor health can reduce earnings, drain savings, and create a vicious cycle that widens disparities across generations. Finally, we discuss systemic factors that amplify the gap and practical policy ideas aimed at improving both economic stability and health outcomes. 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Uncle Floyd & Chuy Intro 3:06 - The Health-Wealth Connect 6:05 - Diet, Lifestyle, & Spending Choices 7:32 - Kevin O'Leary's Health-Wealth Regimen 9:40 - Lifestyle Matters 12:48 - The Cost of Healthy Eating 20:02 - The Revolution in Health in Wealth Planning 22:02 - Younger Generations Want to Know 27:15 - Planning for Healthy Retirement 28:30 - Information for Better Health 31:56 - Planning for Healthcare Costs in Retirement 34:14 - Why Not Know? 38:40 - Stack the Odds in Your Favor 44:15 - Candid Coffee Teaser Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TynkcovRQIQ?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Truflation vs CPI: What Inflation Is Really Doing Today," here: https://youtube.com/live/Ojlx_IPrDUg?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up for Rotation Trades is here: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WealthHealthGap #SocialDeterminantsOfHealth #HealthEquity #FinancialPlanning #WealthInequality
Why do wealthier households tend to live longer and experience fewer chronic diseases? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the Wealth-Health Gap—how income, savings, and environment shape health through housing quality, access to care, and financial resilience. We also flip the lens: poor health can reduce earnings, drain savings, and create a vicious cycle that widens disparities across generations. Finally, we discuss systemic factors that amplify the gap and practical policy ideas aimed at improving both economic stability and health outcomes. 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Uncle Floyd & Chuy Intro 3:06 - The Health-Wealth Connect 6:05 - Diet, Lifestyle, & Spending Choices 7:32 - Kevin O'Leary's Health-Wealth Regimen 9:40 - Lifestyle Matters 12:48 - The Cost of Healthy Eating 20:02 - The Revolution in Health in Wealth Planning 22:02 - Younger Generations Want to Know 27:15 - Planning for Healthy Retirement 28:30 - Information for Better Health 31:56 - Planning for Healthcare Costs in Retirement 34:14 - Why Not Know? 38:40 - Stack the Odds in Your Favor 44:15 - Candid Coffee Teaser Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TynkcovRQIQ?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Truflation vs CPI: What Inflation Is Really Doing Today," here: https://youtube.com/live/Ojlx_IPrDUg?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up for Rotation Trades is here: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WealthHealthGap #SocialDeterminantsOfHealth #HealthEquity #FinancialPlanning #WealthInequality
Is inflation actually cooling—or just being measured differently? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Truflation's real-time inflation readings (built from millions of point-of-purchase prices across multiple providers) versus the official CPI/PCE framework, which relies far more on surveys and sampling. We'll also address the big caveat: neither CPI/PCE nor Truflation perfectly captures what you feel “in the shops,” because inflation varies by geography, income group, and what you actually buy. The aggregate number can hide the lived experience. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Employment Data Continues to Weaken 4:10 - Finishing up Earnings Season 10:36 - Truflation & Kevin Warsh's Hawkishness 12:36 - The Truflation Conundrum vs CPI 16:12 - The Reflation Trade vs Real Economy 20:49 - Cheaper Fritos & Texas Chili (no beans) 21:48 - Tariff Impact on Inflation 23:33 - Value vs Growth 26:11 - Why Portfolio Positioning Matters 28:05 - More Chili (with beans & Broccoli) 29:27 - Software Services vs AI 30:29 - The Risk Facing Oracle 35:22 - Leverage Kills 40:11 - The Lesson in Narratives 41:37 - Warsh vs Powell - Is there a difference? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Your Questions, Real Answers," here: https://www.youtube.com/live/dLVV-H-lG3A?si=Ej0Pl1nUuYmKYpFG -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up for Rotation Trades is here: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #SP500 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #Inflation #CPI #PCE #Truflation #Economy
Is inflation actually cooling—or just being measured differently? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Truflation's real-time inflation readings (built from millions of point-of-purchase prices across multiple providers) versus the official CPI/PCE framework, which relies far more on surveys and sampling. We'll also address the big caveat: neither CPI/PCE nor Truflation perfectly captures what you feel "in the shops," because inflation varies by geography, income group, and what you actually buy. The aggregate number can hide the lived experience. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Employment Data Continues to Weaken 4:10 - Finishing up Earnings Season 10:36 - Truflation & Kevin Warsh's Hawkishness 12:36 - The Truflation Conundrum vs CPI 16:12 - The Reflation Trade vs Real Economy 20:49 - Cheaper Fritos & Texas Chili (no beans) 21:48 - Tariff Impact on Inflation 23:33 - Value vs Growth 26:11 - Why Portfolio Positioning Matters 28:05 - More Chili (with beans & Broccoli) 29:27 - Software Services vs AI 30:29 - The Risk Facing Oracle 35:22 - Leverage Kills 40:11 - The Lesson in Narratives 41:37 - Warsh vs Powell - Is there a difference? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Your Questions, Real Answers," here: https://www.youtube.com/live/dLVV-H-lG3A?si=Ej0Pl1nUuYmKYpFG -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up for Rotation Trades is here: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #SP500 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #Inflation #CPI #PCE #Truflation #Economy
Markets sold off again Wednesday, closing right on the S&P 500's 50-day moving average (50-DMA). While the index is still riding its underlying support line and working off an overbought condition, the momentum trade has largely been wrung out. Despite the turbulence, the broader uptrend remains intact—just with a lot more internal rotation. Wednesday's damage was concentrated in mega-cap momentum and "growth leadership," while much of the rest of the market held up better. That matters because Value vs. Growth has become increasingly overextended over the last several sessions—conditions that often precede a mean-reversion move and create rotation trade opportunities. The NASDAQ is also telling a different story. It's broken down through the 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages during a consolidating/topping process and remains on a sell signal. However, after the persistent selling in Technology, the index is now extremely oversold. Historically, oversold extremes have often aligned with short-term bottoms and tradable reflex rallies—even if the bigger-picture backdrop stays choppy. Bottom line: a rotation back from Value into Growth over the coming days and weeks wouldn't be surprising. As investors, the goal isn't to chase what worked yesterday, but to watch for setups where price has moved too far, too fast—and where improving risk/reward can favor disciplined entries, position sizing, and clear stop/target levels. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #SP500 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis
Today's live YouTube Chat Q&A covers the full spectrum—earnings season takeaways, the selloff-to-rebound pattern, and the big debate around Big Tech, AI, and margins. We walk through where tech and AI leadership stand now, whether AI is pressuring software profitability, and the “real world” constraint markets may be underpricing: power demand (including what ERCOT could mean for data-center expansion). We also hit the energy transition angle—why wind/solar intermittency matters, the critical minerals push, and why fundamentals still matter when narratives run hot. On the positioning side, we discuss whether metals look oversold, how to think about “rebound rallies,” and why investor discipline (process, rebalancing, and risk controls) beats chasing headlines. Finally, we shift to planning questions that come up constantly in the chat: Medicare timing (age 65 vs. later), enrolling in your 70s, key pitfalls with Medicare Advantage, and how COBRA fits into the transition. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19- Earnings Season Recap 4:05 - Markets Sell off to Rebound 9:05 - Tech Stocks & AI - Where are We? 10:17 - Is AI Destroying Software Profit Margins? 16:26 - Will ERCOT Pump the Brakes of Data Centers? 19:22 - Wind & Solar Are Not Consistent or Reliable 20:42 - The Critical Mineral Push 22:33 - Fundamentals Matter a Lot 24:19 - Are Metals Over Sold? 27:41 - Investor Discipline & Having a Plan 29:10 - This was Not a Forced Manipulation 30:45 - Leverage on Bitcoin 31:47 - Jumping on Medicare at age 65? 38:44 - Signing Up for Medicare in 70's 40:32 - Be Careful with Medicare Advantage 42:56 - The Thing About COBRA Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Watch our previous show, "The Trap of Chasing Returns," here: https://youtube.com/live/sKXpfWf8oRs?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dip Buyers Step In" is here: https://youtu.be/EY04EexrThs ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #ReflationTrade #PortfolioRebalancing #BuyTheDip #EarningsSeason #ArtificialIntelligence #BigTech #RiskManagement #Medicare
Today's live YouTube Chat Q&A covers the full spectrum—earnings season takeaways, the selloff-to-rebound pattern, and the big debate around Big Tech, AI, and margins. We walk through where tech and AI leadership stand now, whether AI is pressuring software profitability, and the "real world" constraint markets may be underpricing: power demand (including what ERCOT could mean for data-center expansion). We also hit the energy transition angle—why wind/solar intermittency matters, the critical minerals push, and why fundamentals still matter when narratives run hot. On the positioning side, we discuss whether metals look oversold, how to think about "rebound rallies," and why investor discipline (process, rebalancing, and risk controls) beats chasing headlines. Finally, we shift to planning questions that come up constantly in the chat: Medicare timing (age 65 vs. later), enrolling in your 70s, key pitfalls with Medicare Advantage, and how COBRA fits into the transition. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19- Earnings Season Recap 4:05 - Markets Sell off to Rebound 9:05 - Tech Stocks & AI - Where are We? 10:17 - Is AI Destroying Software Profit Margins? 16:26 - Will ERCOT Pump the Brakes of Data Centers? 19:22 - Wind & Solar Are Not Consistent or Reliable 20:42 - The Critical Mineral Push 22:33 - Fundamentals Matter a Lot 24:19 - Are Metals Over Sold? 27:41 - Investor Discipline & Having a Plan 29:10 - This was Not a Forced Manipulation 30:45 - Leverage on Bitcoin 31:47 - Jumping on Medicare at age 65? 38:44 - Signing Up for Medicare in 70's 40:32 - Be Careful with Medicare Advantage 42:56 - The Thing About COBRA Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLVV-H-lG3A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "The Trap of Chasing Returns," here: https://youtube.com/live/sKXpfWf8oRs?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dip Buyers Step In" is here: https://youtu.be/EY04EexrThs ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #ReflationTrade #PortfolioRebalancing #BuyTheDip #EarningsSeason #ArtificialIntelligence #BigTech #RiskManagement #Medicare
Markets sold off sharply Tuesday, then bounced into the close—continuing a familiar pattern: when price tests the 50-day moving average (50-DMA), dip buyers step in. That's been working, but it's also how traders get trapped when the "buy-the-dip" playbook finally fails—so risk management matters. This morning, futures are pointing higher as the market tries to reclaim the 20-day moving average (20-DMA). Tuesday's weakness was concentrated in mega-cap tech (NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL), and early action suggests a bounce attempt. Meanwhile, the "heat map" continues to highlight rotation: value and defensives (WMT, COST, PG) plus energy have been outperforming while growth digests valuations. That rotation can persist, but value is getting overbought/overextended, raising the odds of a rotation back toward growth as we move through earnings season. Seasonally, February can be volatile, and we're watching the VIX closely as volatility's trendline remains elevated. Bottom line: expect choppy, sloppy trading—keep allocations disciplined, avoid chasing stretched moves, and stay focused on process over predictions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/EY04EexrThs --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Precious Metals Aren't Predicting Economic Collapse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/precious-metals-arent-predicting-economic-collapse-draft/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DipBuyers #BuyTheDip #SP500 #Premarket #RiskManagement
Most investors don't blow up because they “didn't know enough.” They blow up because they frame the decision wrong. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down narrow framing—the behavior where investors judge one investment in isolation (“Why don't I own that?”) instead of evaluating results through the entire portfolio and a long-term plan. When something becomes “hot,” it feels obvious, safe, and inevitable. But return-chasing often ends the same way: buying after a big run, then selling after the first real drawdown. That cycle turns investing into reaction instead of strategy—headlines instead of planning, emotion instead of discipline. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - ISM Manufacturing Feed Reflation Narrative 4:15 - Sector Rotations Worth Watching 8:20 - Markets Continue in Rising Trend 13:24 - The Trap of Cahasing Returns 15:58 - The Trouble w Investor Complacency 18:20 - The Flaw in Framing 22:09 - Momentum Drives Price 23:21 - Leverage Unwinding & Volatility 24:42 - It's Silver Profit Taking Time 25:47 - Risk Tolerance vs Risk Capacity 28:03 - A Portfolio is Like a Car 31:12 - The Misconception Between Risk & Volatility 34:23 - Risk is the Destruction of Capital 35:58 - Markets Do Not Compound Returns 37:31 - Would You Rather... 42:33 - Everybody Idolizes Warren Buffett 43:30 - Establish a Discipline 45:52 - Have a Plan - Write it Down 48:51 - E-book Library Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/sKXpfWf8oRs?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Bears Are an Endangered Species," here: https://www.youtube.com/live/NAyXnrquGiQ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Reflation Rotation" is here: https://youtu.be/9f2tn_O1BUc ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #ReflationTrade #PortfolioRebalancing
Most investors don't blow up because they "didn't know enough." They blow up because they frame the decision wrong. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down narrow framing—the behavior where investors judge one investment in isolation ("Why don't I own that?") instead of evaluating results through the entire portfolio and a long-term plan. When something becomes "hot," it feels obvious, safe, and inevitable. But return-chasing often ends the same way: buying after a big run, then selling after the first real drawdown. That cycle turns investing into reaction instead of strategy—headlines instead of planning, emotion instead of discipline. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - ISM Manufacturing Feed Reflation Narrative 4:15 - Sector Rotations Worth Watching 8:20 - Markets Continue in Rising Trend 13:24 - The Trap of Cahasing Returns 15:58 - The Trouble w Investor Complacency 18:20 - The Flaw in Framing 22:09 - Momentum Drives Price 23:21 - Leverage Unwinding & Volatility 24:42 - It's Silver Profit Taking Time 25:47 - Risk Tolerance vs Risk Capacity 28:03 - A Portfolio is Like a Car 31:12 - The Misconception Between Risk & Volatility 34:23 - Risk is the Destruction of Capital 35:58 - Markets Do Not Compound Returns 37:31 - Would You Rather... 42:33 - Everybody Idolizes Warren Buffett 43:30 - Establish a Discipline 45:52 - Have a Plan - Write it Down 48:51 - E-book Library Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/sKXpfWf8oRs?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Bears Are an Endangered Species," here: https://www.youtube.com/live/NAyXnrquGiQ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Reflation Rotation" is here: https://youtu.be/9f2tn_O1BUc ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #ReflationTrade #PortfolioRebalancing
Raising money-smart kids is one of the most valuable lessons you can give them for life. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down how to teach kids about money, from saving and budgeting to making smart financial decisions early on. You'll learn practical strategies for financial literacy for children, including: Simple ways to explain money to kids How to teach kids to save money and set goals Smart money habits that last a lifetime Real-world lessons for raising financially responsible kids Whether you're a parent, grandparent, or educator, these tips will help you set the foundation for your child's financial future. 1 - Financial Literacy Starts in the Home 2 - The Danger of On-line Shopping 3 - The Marshmello Experiment on Delayed Gratification 4 - The Dilemma of the Four Quarters 5 - The Four Categories of Money Scripts 6 - The Disney Trip 7 - The Problem with Under-spending 8 - When Your Advisor Gets Stale 9 - Know Yourself: Your Kids are Like Columbo 10 - Allow Your Kids to Learn from Your Mistakes 11 - Money Books We Recommend Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP , w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvLHCd84WNw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bad News is not New News" is here: https://bit.ly/4lwwFtH -------- Our previous show, "Speculative Frenzy - Fading or Re-fueling?," can be viewed here: https://bit.ly/4mrXcJW -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Five Ways to Raise Money-Smart Kids: Part One" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/five-ways-to-raise-money-smart-kids-part-one/ "Raising Money-Smart Kids: Part Two" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/raising-money-smart-kids-part-two/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneySmartKids #FinancialLiteracy #TeachKidsMoney #SmartMoneyHabits #KidsAndMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing