Podcasts about producer price index ppi

Kevin covers and discusses the following stories: dangerous weather in parts of the country; the U.S. Labor Department reported the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Core PPI; Phil Flynn, Senior Market Analyst, The PRICE Futures Group, Author of the Energy Report, Fox Business Contributor joins the show to discuss the world oil market and which Country is emerging as the dominant energy producer; oil prices react to the latest events between the U.S. and Iran , Goldman Sachs predicts oil prices in the 4th quarter and Gulf oil exports; gas prices inch up; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and few opinions. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Interest Rates Remain the Market’s Focus Interest rates continue to be one of the most important indicators for investors because of their broad impact on the economy. The 10-year Treasury yield influences mortgage rates, corporate borrowing costs, and overall financial conditions, making it a key measure to watch. After easing briefly, the 10-year Treasury yield has moved back above 4.5%, reflecting renewed concerns following escalating conflict in the Middle East. Rising interest rates can signal worries about government debt issuance while also increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This week’s inflation reports will play an important role in determining where interest rates may head next. Both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) will provide insight into inflation trends and price pressures. With oil prices having declined recently, expectations are building that the CPI could show not only slower inflation but potentially a negative monthly reading. If that occurs, it would represent a meaningful shift in the inflation outlook. Markets will also be closely monitoring Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh as he delivers his required testimony before Congress. Since taking office, Warsh has largely avoided signaling future monetary policy, preferring to let the Federal Reserve’s actions speak for themselves. His remarks before lawmakers may offer investors valuable insight into the Fed’s current thinking and could have a significant impact on interest rate expectations. Because interest rates influence borrowing, spending, business investment, and equity valuations, developments this week have the potential to affect markets well beyond the bond market alone. Earnings Season Takes the Spotlight While geopolitical events continue to create uncertainty, corporate earnings remain one of the strongest drivers of long-term stock market performance. As earnings season begins, investors will gain a clearer picture of how American businesses are performing in today’s economic environment. Current estimates for the S&P 500 remain encouraging. Analysts project earnings growth of approximately 25% in 2026 and 17.4% in 2027. Even more notably, seven of the index’s eleven sectors are expected to generate earnings growth exceeding 10% in 2026. Revenue growth projections also remain positive, with estimates of 10.4% for 2026 and 7.6% for 2027. These forecasts suggest that companies continue to improve profitability through a combination of stronger sales and increased operational efficiency. Although estimates will ultimately be tested against actual results, improving corporate earnings have historically supported higher equity prices. In an environment where investors remain focused on inflation, interest rates, and Federal Reserve policy, strong earnings growth could provide an important catalyst for continued market strength. As the week unfolds, investors will be watching inflation reports, Federal Reserve commentary, and early earnings announcements closely. Together, these developments will help shape expectations for the economy, interest rates, and the direction of financial markets in the months ahead. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post A Week Worth Watching first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Kevin discusses and covers the following stories: weather is in the news; the U.S. Labor Department reported Weekly Initial Jobless Claims; the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Core PPI; the European Central Bank voted to raise their benchmark interest rate, and what that means for the Federal Reserve meeting next week; the National Association of Realtors reported the May Existing Home Sales; Phil Flynn, Senior Market Analyst, Author of the Energy Report, explains why President Trump refrained from striking Iran over the last few weeks; oil prices reacted to Trump cancelling further planned strikes on Iran, Trump's announcement that peace talks have been brought to the highest levels of the Iranian leadership; gas prices continue to retreat; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kevin discusses and covers the following stories: weather is in the news; the U.S. Labor Department reported Weekly Initial Jobless Claims; the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Core PPI; the European Central Bank voted to raise their benchmark interest rate, and what that means for the Federal Reserve meeting next week; the National Association of Realtors reported the May Existing Home Sales; Phil Flynn, Senior Market Analyst, Author of the Energy Report, explains why President Trump refrained from striking Iran over the last few weeks; oil prices reacted to Trump cancelling further planned strikes on Iran, Trump's announcement that peace talks have been brought to the highest levels of the Iranian leadership; gas prices continue to retreat; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain explains why ITR Economics has upgraded its Producer Price Index (PPI) forecast for 2026 from 3.4% to 5.0%. Rising commodity costs, geopolitical uncertainty, and supply chain pressures are creating new challenges for businesses trying to protect margins and maintain profitability. How should companies adjust their pricing strategy when key inputs like copper, aluminum, and oil are rising much faster than overall inflation? Tune in as Taylor breaks down the latest outlook and what it means for business leaders planning for the years ahead.

Inflation figures came out this week and they were absolutely brutal. April CPI was startling enough, but the Producer Price Index (PPI), which is an indicator of inflation in the pipeline was shocking. Oil reserves are running down to dangerously low levels and it’s clear now that there’s no immediate resolution to the oil crisis, so we’re about to realize our worst economic fears. We take a look back at our predictions from nine months ago to see how accurate they are and to build on them for what comes next. Against the backdrop of this horrible inflation data, we have a new sheriff in town at the Federal Reserve. The man whose job it is to theoretically tame inflation has no tools in the box to deal with this level of crisis. The real question is whether he ever intended to. Resources Bloomberg Podcasts: Senate Confirms Warsh to Lead Fed as Trump Tests Its Autonomy CNBC Television: Wholesale inflation jumps 6% in April on annual basis, biggest increase since 2022 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Producer Price Index News Release summary - 2026 M04 Results U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Consumer Price Index Summary - 2026 M04 Results WSJ: Kevin Warsh’s Full Fed Chair Confirmation Hearing Manhattan Institute: Reform the Federal Reserve’s Governance to Deliver Better Monetary Outcomes Hudson Bay Capital: A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System EPI: Profits and price inflation are indeed linked Groundwork Collaborative: Inflation Revelation: How Outsized Corporate Profits Drive Rising Costs IEA: Oil Stocks of IEA Countries – Data Tools CNBC: Analysis: Warsh emerges from a difficult hearing with his Fed ‘regime-change’ plan intact’ UNFTR Resources Essay: Inflation, The Fed and What Comes Next. Video: Stephen Miran Is Going To Be Fed Chair. Video: The Warsh Man for the Job. Max for MTN. Episode: 10 Economic Terms To Know in This Economy. Episode: The End of the American Experiment. Episode. Stupid Is As Stupid Does. Episode: Labor Unions: From Pullman to Kellogg’s. Episode: Stephen Miran Is Going To Be Fed Chair. Episode: Project 2025. -- If you like #UNFTR, please leave us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts and Spotify: unftr.com/rate and follow us on Facebook, Bluesky, and Instagram at @UNFTRpod. Visit us online at unftr.com. Become a member at unftr.com/memberships. Buy yourself some Unf*cking Coffee at shop.unftr.com. Visit our bookshop.org page at bookshop.org/shop/UNFTRpod to find the full UNFTR book list, and find book recommendations from our Unf*ckers at bookshop.org/lists/unf-cker-book-recommendations. Access the UNFTR Musicless feed by following the instructions at unftr.com/accessibility.Support the show: https://www.unftr.com/membershipsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Inflation, Wages, and the Global Impact of China Economic data released over the past two weeks has provided investors with important insight into the health of the U.S. economy and the potential direction of markets moving forward. One of the most significant reports came from the latest jobs data, which showed the U.S. economy added approximately 115,000 jobs. Even more encouraging, average earnings increased 3.6% year-over-year, coming in stronger than many economists expected and offering another sign of resilience in the labor market. While wage growth is a positive development for workers, the next key question is how much of those gains consumers actually get to keep after inflation. This week's upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports will be closely watched as investors look for clearer signs on inflation trends. These reports remain two of the most important measures of pricing pressures throughout the economy. Energy prices continue to play a major role in the inflation story. Elevated gasoline costs are forcing consumers to dedicate more of their budgets toward fuel expenses, leaving less available for spending in other parts of the economy. Investors will be watching carefully for any signs of “demand destruction,” where higher costs begin slowing consumer activity in other sectors. Adding to the importance of the week, President Trump is expected to travel to China for a high-profile meeting with President Xi Jinping. Discussions are expected to center around tariffs, trade cooperation, and geopolitical concerns involving Iran. Markets will be closely monitoring whether the two countries can make progress toward increasing trade activity between the U.S. and China, which could help ease inflationary pressures globally. China's own inflation data has shown rising pricing pressures, fueled in part by the conflict involving Iran and the impact on oil markets. As one of the largest buyers of Iranian oil, China's role in global energy demand remains significant. Any cooperation or policy shifts resulting from these meetings could influence inflation trends, energy markets, and employment conditions both domestically and abroad. With strong economic data already emerging, investors are now focused on how these global developments may shape the market outlook in the months ahead. Broadening Market Strength Supports Investor Confidence Despite ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Middle East, elevated oil prices, and continued questions about Federal Reserve policy, the stock market has remained remarkably resilient. One of the key reasons for this strength has been the continued momentum in corporate earnings. Coming into the year, many analysts anticipated that market leadership would begin to expand beyond the large-cap technology companies that have dominated returns in recent years. That trend is now beginning to materialize, creating what many investors view as a healthier and more sustainable market environment. From January 1 through April 24, small-cap and mid-cap stocks outperformed the S&P 500, signaling stronger participation across a broader range of companies and sectors. This broadening market participation is an encouraging development because it reduces the market's dependence on a small group of mega-cap stocks to drive overall performance. A wider range of companies contributing to market gains can help strengthen the market's ability to navigate uncertainty, whether from geopolitical risks, inflation concerns, or shifting Federal Reserve expectations. Analysts also continue to forecast strong corporate earnings growth across multiple market segments, with some projecting record earnings levels by the end of the year. The combination of resilient earnings, improving participation across the market, and continued economic strength provides a constructive backdrop for investors moving forward. While uncertainty remains a constant factor in financial markets, the expanding strength beneath the surface of the market has become an increasingly positive sign for the remainder of the year. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post What's China Got to Do with It? first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

The economy continues to dominate national attention as the latest Producer Price Index (PPI) data offers a rare moment of relief, coming in significantly cooler than market forecasts. Despite the backdrop of geopolitical instability in the Middle East driving a massive 8.5% surge in energy costs, the core PPI—which excludes volatile food and energy—rose by a mere 0.1%, its lowest jump since last summer. This divergence suggests that while supply shocks are hitting the gas pump, underlying inflationary pressures in the broader manufacturing and service sectors may finally be losing steam. For investors and consumers alike, the report provides a needed reprieve from "wholesale blowout" fears, even as the Federal Reserve remains cautious about declaring a total victory over rising costs.

Markets were hit with fresh volatility after reports of an attack on the world's largest natural gas field, sending oil prices sharply higher and raising new concerns about global energy supply. Chuck and Mark break down what this escalation means for crude markets, LNG infrastructure, inflation, and the broader economy—along with a hotter-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report that could complicate the Fed's path forward.Todd Lutsky joins for Ask Todd to explain why life estates can create unintended tax consequences and loss of control—especially when compared to irrevocable trusts. He also answers listener questions on revocable trusts, protecting rental properties from the five-year lookback, and navigating the Massachusetts estate tax exemption.A packed episode covering energy shocks, inflation pressures, and smart estate planning strategies.

//The Wire//2300Z December 8, 2025////ROUTINE////BLUF: WAR REIGNITES IN SOUTHEAST ASIA AS BORDER CLASHES FLARE UP BETWEEN THAILAND AND CAMBODIA. MILITARY COUP ATTEMPTED IN BENIN.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE------International Events-Southeast Asia: Over the weekend hostilities recommenced between Thailand and Cambodia. What started the latest round of fighting is not clear, however Thailand has crossed into the disputed zone and occupied the village of Pairachan (also known locally as "Prey Chan" village). The US State Department has upgraded the travel alert for the region, due to the ongoing fighting along the border.Analyst Comment: As usual, both sides have accused the other of reigniting hostilities, and right now it's not clear who actually started what. Nevertheless, Thailand has been bombing Cambodia fairly regularly, and Cambodia has been launching unguided rockets at Thailand in return (even though Cambodia states that they have not retaliated). Sporadic fighting has been reported all along the front throughout the day, with most of the heavy shelling being confined to the border itself. No official word on any casualties yet, but Thai sources claim one of their soldiers was killed, while Cambodian sources claim 4 soldiers killed/wounded on their side.Africa: A brief military coup was attempted in the small nation of Benin over the weekend, which took the form of a low level military commander seizing a TV station and announcing that he had taken control of the government. Lieutenant Colonel Pascal Tigri announced the overthrowing of the government and the deposition of the President on television. Turns out, none of that had actually happened, and the TV station was the only location that rebel forces had actually captured. LTC Tigri and his platoon of soldiers were captured shortly afterwards.-HomeFront-Washington D.C. - This afternoon the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that they will not be publishing the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the month of October, and the PPI report for November will be delayed until January.Analyst Comment: This follows the previous jobs report, the CPI report, and various other reports also not being available for October, reports which usually provide major indicators of how the economic is functioning. The PPI specifically is intended to track the changes in the prices of goods at the producer-level, and is normally used in comparison with the CPI (and other reports) to gauge how major manufacturers and big industry in general is doing. Inferences can be made without this specific dataset, however when a major report is not available this causes problems with data analysis. With the economy, "no news" is usually covering up "bad news", as a rule of thumb. Either way, it's not possible to know what the story is without the data.-----END TEARLINE-----Analyst Comment: For the aspiring warlords of the world, in order for a military coup to be successful, it's generally advised to actually seize control of government before making the announcement of such. Some units loyal to LTC Tigri were successful in closing a few border checkpoints, however no actual key sites were seized by the rebels before making the announcement on TV. Most interestingly, the neighboring nation of Nigeria assisted in providing air support for the government of Benin to help put down the coup attempt. This is part of a long-standing security pact, and mostly took the form of Nigerian aircraft flying over important sites in Benin (such as military bases, checkpoints, etc) to see if anyone on the ground would shoot at them (and thus reveal their allegiance to the rebels). Or at least, that seems to be the theory used during the response. In some cases, Nigerian aircraft were fired upon with small arms, and at least one report exists that alleges Nigerian aircraft dropping a bomb in Benin. Locals in Benin

The link between inflation and fee increases for liquids pipelines doesn't draw much attention, but it proved to be valuable to midstream investors three years ago when the Biden administration's excessive stimulus drove the Producer Price Index (PPI) up 13%. Maintaining purchasing power is the goal of most long-term investors. Inflation is reasonably close to […]

In this week's episode, we break down the factors and trends shaping the economy, including new reports that shed some light on labor and inflation. Expected rate cuts from the Federal Reserve at next week's Federal Open Market Committee Meeting (FOMC) appear to be the main driving force behind movements in fixed income and equities. Please join us on Thursday, September 18, where we'll sit down with experts in Artificial Intelligence during our National Call: AI: Everything You Are Afraid to Ask but Need to Know. And be sure to tune in again next week, where we'll recap the news from this highly-anticipated FOMC meeting, and anything else impacting the markets. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities02:16 – We consider a softening labor market as evidenced by an increase in weekly initial unemployment claims and the semi-annual update from the Bureau of Labor Statistics detailing a correction of over 900,000 fewer jobs in the 12-month period ending in March 2025 than was initially reported.03:42 – The Producer Price Index (PPI) data showed a slight decline, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report indicated higher-than-expected month-over-month and year-over-year inflation, driven mainly by food and shelter costs.04:48 – The Fed seems poised to resume interest rate cuts with next week's FOMC meeting, as fears of making a policy error dissipate as rising (but not accelerating) inflation and a cooling jobs market create an opportunistic environment for rate cutting.06:40 – Treasuries show demand and momentum ahead of the FOMC meeting, with the 2-Year Treasury yield hitting 3.55% and the 10-Year around 4.06%.11:04 – Equities buck the historical norm of taking a downturn this time of year, buoyed by expectations of rate cuts and record investments in tentpole industries like Artificial Intelligence in an apparently non-recessionary climate.14:08 – A brief look into what's happening with resilient crude oil prices and early stimulation in the housing market.16:11 – We revisit our predictions for 2025 that were made late last year, and gauge how accurate they have been thus far. Additional Resources9/18 Webinar: Key Wealth's National Call - AI: Everything You Are Afraid to Ask but Need to KnowKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

Market Volatility and Inflation Insights: A Mid-Week Market Recap In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel reports from West Palm Beach, Florida, with a mid-week market update recorded on Wednesday, September 10. The recap highlights mixed performance across markets as a result of the latest Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers, which showed a surprising decline of 0.1% against the expected 0.3% increase. The DOW fell by 0.5%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq registered minor gains and flat performance, respectively. The segment also delves into the significant decrease in year-over-year inflation rates and previews upcoming key economic data, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and initial jobless claims. Additionally, the script addresses concerns regarding high market valuations and the prudent approach to market exposure. Brian also references historical market behavior to caution against rash decisions based on short-term indicators. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:56 Producer Price Index and Market Reactions 02:13 Upcoming Economic Indicators 02:25 Labor Market Insights 03:07 Valuations and Market Strategies 05:52 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

The Signal Beneath the Noise Serious operators obsess over the next print, but my podcast/YouTube guest this week, Bankrate senior economic analyst, Mark Hamrick, argues the industry is missing the structural signals that actually set the cost of capital and shape demand.   Start with this premise: Data credibility is a macro variable.   When the quality of national jobs and inflation statistics is questioned, it is not just an esoteric Beltway quarrel; it becomes a pricing input for Treasuries and, by extension, mortgages, construction loans and exit cap rates.   As Hamrick puts it, the path to good decisions for households, enterprises and policymakers ‘is lined by high quality economic data, most of which is generated by the federal government.' Hamrick's concern is not theoretical. He links the chain plainly: if markets doubt the numbers guiding the Federal Reserve's dual mandate, you can ‘envision a scenario where there's less demand for our Treasury debt,' forcing higher yields to clear supply – an economy‑wide tax that lifts borrowing costs from mortgages to autos and narrows the Fed's room to maneuver.   What Happens If Trust Erodes? The near‑term catalyst for this anxiety is unusual: the Labor Department's head statistician was fired after unfavorable revisions, and an underqualified nominee has floated ideas as extreme as not publishing the data at all. Hamrick's advice for investors and executives is simple: pay attention. This may not break the system tomorrow, but it introduces risk premia where none previously existed.   Through a real estate lens, the translation is straightforward.   Underwriting already contends with volatile inputs on rents, expenses and exit liquidity; add a credibility discount on macro data and your discount rate moves against you. Prudent sponsors should stress‑test deals for a modest upward shock in base rates – an echo of Hamrick's ‘economy‑wide tax' – and consider how thinner debt markets would propagate through construction starts and refis.   Housing's Lock‑In: Inventory, Not Prices, Is the Release Valve The ‘lock‑in effect' remains the defining feature of U.S. housing. Owners sitting on sub‑3% mortgages are rationally immobile, starving resale inventory and suppressing household formation mobility, a dynamic Hamrick equates with today's ‘no hire, no fire' labor market: stable but sluggish churn. Builders fill some of the gap, but affordability remains constrained by national price firmness and still‑elevated mortgage rates relative to the pandemic trough.   What happens if mortgage rates dip to 6.25% or even 5.5%? Don't expect a binary ‘unlock.' Hamrick argues for incremental improvement rather than a light switch: lower rates would expand qualification and appetite gradually, and, crucially, free inventory. He is less worried that cheaper financing simply bids up prices; the supply response from would‑be sellers is the more powerful margin effect.   For operators underwriting for‑sale housing (build to rent or single-family home developments), the tactical read is to focus on markets where latent move‑up sellers dominate and where new‑home concessions currently set the comp stack. He also reminds us of the persistent, national‑level truth: prices have been unusually firm for years; in the U.S., homeownership is still the primary path to wealth – advantage owners, disadvantage non‑owners.   Wealth Transfer: Inequality In, Inequality Out The widely cited $84 trillion Boomer‑to‑GenX/Millennial wealth transfer via inheritance won't repair the middle class. It will mainly perpetuate asset inequality: assets beget assets, and the recipients most likely to inherit are already nearer the ‘have' column. That implies continuing bifurcation in housing demand (prime school districts, high‑amenity suburbs) alongside a renter cohort optimizing for cash‑flow goals rather than equity growth. For CRE, that supports a barbell: high‑income suburban nodes + durable rental demand where incomes grow but deposits lag.   Renting Without Shame and the Budget Reality Check Hamrick is refreshingly direct: there is no shame in renting as, perhaps, there used to be. For many households, renting is a rational bridge to other financial goals; build emergency savings, avoid surprise home maintenance expenses, and keep debt service from getting ‘too far out over your skis.'   For CRE owners, this fortifies the case for professionally managed rental product with transparent total‑cost‑of‑living and flexible lease options. For lenders, it argues for cautious debt-to-income ratios and expense reserves in first‑time buyer programs.   Tariffs, Inflation, and the New Dashboard Hamrick closes with a monitoring list to stay on top of dominant economic trends: labor market strength (monthly employment; weekly jobless claims), the inflation complex (Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), and Personal Consumption Expenditures index (PCE)), and the full housing tape (mortgage rates, existing/new sales, builder confidence, starts) plus, of course, one political‑economy input now impossible to ignore: tariffs, with the effective rate at the highest level since the Great Depression.   For CRE, tariffs are not an abstract: they seep into materials costs, fit‑out budgets, and the headline inflation path that steers the Fed. Sponsors should build tariff scenarios into Guaranteed Maximum Price (GMP) contingencies and model procurement alternates.   Actionable Takeaways for CRE Professionals Price a credibility premium: Run sensitivities for higher Treasury yields if data trust wobbles; Pay attention to how easily the government can sell its debt and the extra yield investors demand on longer bonds. Both shape interest rates, which then filter into real estate cap rates. Underwrite inventory elasticity, not sticker shock: As rates ease, model inventory release ahead of price spikes; focus on submarkets with pent‑up sellers. Lean into renting's rationality: Product that aligns with household cash‑flow priorities will capture durable demand while affordability resets. Track tariffs as a construction line‑item and macro tailwind to inflation: Feed this into budgets and hold periods. My conversation with Mark really brought home how connected real estate is to the bigger capital markets picture. If you want a sense of where cap rates are heading, keep an eye on the bond market – because that's where the story starts.   *** In this series, I cut through the noise to examine how shifting macroeconomic forces and rising geopolitical risk are reshaping real estate investing.   With insights from economists, academics, and seasoned professionals, this show helps investors respond to market uncertainty with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside protection.    Subscribe to my free newsletter for timely updates, insights, and tools to help you navigate today's volatile real estate landscape. You'll get: Straight talk on what happens when confidence meets correction - no hype, no spin, no fluff. Real implications of macro trends for investors and sponsors with actionable guidance. Insights from real estate professionals who've been through it all before. Visit GowerCrowd.com/subscribe Email: adam@gowercrowd.com Call: 213-761-1000

Get plugged into the conversations shaping today's markets and retirement strategies on the Money Matters Podcast with Wes Moss and Connor Miller. This week's episode packs timely economic insights with practical planning concepts to help you approach financial decisions with clarity and confidence. Examine key economic signals ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting and consider potential effects from shifting interest rates. Compare the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) to better understand what current inflation data may indicate for household budgets. Interpret the VIX “Chill-ometer” to understand today's market volatility readings and their possible implications for investors. Assess how tariffs can influence inflation and why certain price changes could be temporary. Follow the path of rising producer costs to the checkout counter with clear, everyday examples. Review which categories—such as groceries, utilities, and textbooks—are experiencing the largest price increases this year. Outline the pillars of income investing, including multi-asset approaches, withdrawal rates, dividend growth, the dry powder principle, and tax efficiency. Discuss the 4% withdrawal guideline as one possible framework within retirement planning. Highlight how dividend growth may contribute to increasing income potential over time, including the concept of “yield on original cost.” Explain the role of dry powder, or safety assets, in navigating market downturns. Explore portfolio approaches that take tax efficiency into account, such as asset location and tax-loss harvesting. Stay informed with the Money Matters Podcast, where current market developments meet practical retirement planning perspectives. Listen now and subscribe to keep up with the conversations that can shape your financial thinking.

Labor Market Resilience Recent updates on inflation highlight important trends for consumers. While headline inflation remained relatively tame in July, the Producer Price Index (PPI) told a different story. The PPI for final demand, which measures average price changes received by domestic producers, showed that companies are increasingly passing cost increases along to consumers. Despite […] The post Out-Earning Inflation first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

This week on Money Wise, the conversation opens with a strong recap of Wall Street's numbers: the Dow rose 771 points (1.7%), the S&P 500 gained 0.9%, and the NASDAQ added 0.8%. Year-to-date, all three indexes continue to show solid progress, led by the NASDAQ at 12%. The first half of the show drills into economic data, particularly the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), and how the headlines don't always tell the full story. While media outlets linked tariffs to inflation, a deeper look revealed that service costs, not goods, were the main driver. The second half shifts to estate planning, stressing the importance of properly setting up beneficiaries and keeping account details up to date. The Money Wise guys underscore that life can change unexpectedly, and neglecting these “housekeeping” steps can create unnecessary difficulties for loved ones later. With decades of client experience, the message was clear: proactive planning today can help prevent avoidable challenges tomorrow. The True Driver of Inflation While headlines often point to energy or food prices, the real engine behind today's inflation sits in the services sector. From healthcare and housing to travel and dining, service costs continue climbing, even as goods prices cool off. This stickiness makes it harder for the Federal Reserve to tame inflation, since services are driven more by wages and consumer demand than by supply chains or commodity swings. That's why markets are watching these numbers so closely: they reveal the deeper pressures keeping inflation alive beneath the surface. In the second hour, the Money Wise guys give listenters a peek into what Wall Street Won't Tell You. You don't want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

A hot Producer Price Index (PPI) report yesterday raised new challenges for the Fed as inflation and jobs both seem troubled. Retail sales today spotlight consumer demand.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(0131-0825)

Market Update and PPI Data Insights - Dividend Cafe Daily Recap Host David Bahnsen fills in for Brian Szytel to deliver a daily market update. Despite some intraday movements, the market indices closed flat, with the DOW, S&P, and NASDAQ showing negligible changes. The 10-year yield rose to 4.28%, driven by a surprising 0.9% increase in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the month. Goods prices remained low, while services saw more significant movement. The episode teases a deeper analysis on inflation and related data points, set to be discussed in the weekly Dividend Cafe commentary. Additional updates include a 2% rise in oil prices and stable initial jobless claims at 224,000. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:17 Market Indices Performance 00:40 Bond Market and PPI Impact 01:58 Upcoming Dividend Cafe Insights 02:41 Additional Data Points 03:18 Conclusion and Sign-Off Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Discord Channel: https://discord.gg/pqKsMKp6SA What's on the Agenda:

Joel Elconin, co-host of the PreMarket Prep Show and founder of the Stock Trader Network, joins the KE Report to discuss how markets shrugged off a hotter-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) print and why big tech continues to lead the charge. We break down: Inflation surprise: PPI's sharp jump and why the market still expects Fed rate cuts. Sector divergence: Big tech strength vs. small-cap struggles as rates rise. IPO and crypto surge: What the frothy IPO market and Bitcoin highs signal about investor sentiment. Defensive assets: Why gold remains rangebound despite macro uncertainty. Market psychology: Momentum dominance, risk-on sentiment, and whether anything can derail this rally. Follow Joel: PreMarket Prep Show  - Stock Trader Network

Positive Market Trends and Economic Indicators Update In this episode of Dividend Cafe, hosted by Brian Szytel on Wednesday, July 16th, the positive movements in the financial markets are highlighted, including a rise in the DOW, S&P, and Nasdaq, and a drop in the 10-year yield. The episode discusses the significantly cooler than expected Producer Price Index (PPI) for June, which aligns with favorable inflation targets and hints at potential reductions in consumer prices. Other positive economic signals include an increase in industrial production and optimistic comments in the Fed's latest page book. Additionally, Brian addresses viewer questions about the stability of New York City bonds amidst a potential declining tax base and the feasibility of replacing income tax with a consumption tax, providing detailed insights into these financial concerns. The episode concludes with a preview of the upcoming economic data releases for the remainder of the week. 00:00 Welcome to Dividend Cafe 00:08 Market Overview: A Positive Day 00:34 Producer Price Index Insights 01:50 Industrial Production and Economic Activity 02:31 Financial Sector Highlights 03:12 Q&A: New York City Bonds and Tariffs 05:19 Upcoming Economic Indicators 05:36 Closing Remarks Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

The Labor Department reported U. S. weekly Jobless Claims; Kevin has the details and offers his insights. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for April; Kevin discusses the data and the. implications going forward on Interest rates. The U.S. Retail Sales report was released; Kevin has the details. JPMorgan offers their latest predictions as to the possibility a recession this year; Kevin digs in to the report and offers his insights. US House Energy and Commerce Committee proposed replenishing the Strategic Petroleum Reserves. Oil reacts to a possible Iran nuclear deal, Russian President Putin's refusal to meet with Ukraine's Zelinsky, U.S. Crude inventory increases and the International Energy Agency upgrade of 2025 oil demand growth forecast.

The Labor Department reported U. S. weekly Jobless Claims; Kevin has the details and offers his insights. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for April; Kevin discusses the data and the. implications going forward on Interest rates. The U.S. Retail Sales report was released; Kevin has the details. JPMorgan offers their latest predictions as to the possibility a recession this year; Kevin digs in to the report and offers his insights. US House Energy and Commerce Committee proposed replenishing the Strategic Petroleum Reserves. Oil reacts to a possible Iran nuclear deal, Russian President Putin's refusal to meet with Ukraine's Zelinsky, U.S. Crude inventory increases and the International Energy Agency upgrade of 2025 oil demand growth forecast.

This week Will and Ben check in on inflationary measures and USDA's updated supply and demand numbers.Market recap (changes on week as of Friday's close): » May 2025 corn down $.11 at $4.58» December 2025 corn down $.03 at $4.51» May 2025 soybeans down $.09 at $10.16» November 2025 soybeans down $.07 at $10.18» May soybean oil down 1.83 cents at 41.59 cents/lb» May soybean meal up $9.40 at $305.90/short ton» May wheat up $.06 at $5.57» July 2025 wheat up $.08 at $5.73» May 2025 cotton up 1.30 cents at 67.37 cents/lb» December 2025 cotton up $1.52 at 69.98 cents/lb » May WTI Crude Oil up $.18 at $66.96/barrel Weekly highlights:US job openings in January were reported at 7.7 million jobs- that was up from a two year low of 7.5 in December 2024.The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported up at 0.2% month over month vs expectations of increasing 0.2%. The annual CPI increased 3.1% vs 3.3% last month and expectations of 3.2%.The Producer Price Index (PPI) was flat month over month in February- below expectations of 0.3% growth. The annual PPI was reported at 3.2%- down from 3.7% in January.The Preliminary Consumer Sentiment value fell harder than expected in March. Consumers have concerns about economic health and high levels of future inflation.US retail sales were up 0.2% in February compared to January, but below the 0.6 growth expectations. Year over year retail sales are up 3.1%.USDA left the corn and soybean balance sheets virtually unchanged this month- the exception being a 15-cent decline in the season-average price for soybeans. Sorghum demand categories continue to change, and wheat saw reductions in demand and price.US crude oil stocks were up 60.8 million gallons while gasoline and distillate fuel stocks were down 241 and 65.5 million gallons, respectively. Implied US gasoline demand was up 3% from last week and up 8% compared to the prior four week average.US ethanol production pulled back to 312 million gallons- down from 321, but up from 301 last year and the five-year average of 296 million gallons. Ethanol stocks increased 3.7 million gallons but remain just below the all time record set in April 2020 at the start of the Coronavirus pandemic.The National Oilseed Processors Association reported their members crushed 177.9 million bushels of soybeans in February- below all pre-report estimates.Weekly grain and oilseed export sales were neutral to bullish on the week- corn sales of 38.1 million bushels were in line with pre-report expectations but up from the week prior. Soybean and wheat export sales of 27.6 and 28.8 million bushels, respectively were both above all pre-report expectations. Sorghum sales were healthy at 1.3 million bushels. Rice sales fell to a 5-week low at 0.7 mil. Cwt.Open interest in futures and options of grains and oilseeds was up 0.3% week over week. Producer and merchants reduced their net short position 71,035 contracts, while money managers were net sellers again this week- increasing their net short position. Weekly grain and oilseed export inspections were solid this week. Corn and soybean inspections of 65.3 and 23.8 million bushels were both within range, while wheat inspections of 18.1 million bushels were bullish- above all pre-report expectations. Topics:» Market recap» Checking inflation measures» USDA updates its supply and demand estimates» Oilseed crush comes in below expectations» Reports to watchConnect with Brownfield Ag News:» Get the latest ag news: https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/» Subscribe to Brownfield on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BrownfieldAgNews» Follow Brownfield on X (Twitter): https://x.com/brownfield» Follow Brownfield on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BrownfieldAgNewsAbout Brownfield Ag News:Brownfield Ag News is your trusted source for reliable agriculture news, market trends, weather updates, and expert interviews. Get comprehensive coverage and stay ahead in the ever-evolving agriculture industry.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the JOLTS report, CPI and PPI data, the equities market, tariffs, foreign government spending, the credit market, and the upcoming FOMC meeting.  Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyDonald Saverno, Director of Investment ResearchRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities01:46 – The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report was outlined 7.7 million job openings for January 01:58 – Both Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports were released with CPI inflation down 0.2% from January, reporting at 2.8% for February02:56 – Comments on the recent equities market volatility after this week's 10% drop09:48 – Comments on tariffs and government spending among other foreign markets such as Europe and China; While the U.S. equities market seems to be in a down trend, other nations don't seem to share the same trend15:59 – Comments on the admirable resilience of the credit market, investment grades, and high yield bond spreads due to an abundance of liquidity 18:18 – Expectations for the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting  and how recent economic data such as CPI, PPI, and PCE inflation rates and reports may affect the conversationAdditional ResourcesKey Wealth National Call Replay Key Questions: How Much Tech Do You Really Own? | Key Private Bank Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedInKBCM Disclosure

Navigating Market Volatility and Economic Fundamentals In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the ongoing market volatility and significant drawdowns, with the Dow closing down 537 points and other major indices also experiencing declines. Despite a better-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report, market concerns have shifted to foreign policy, fiscal policy, trade, and tariffs. Brian explores whether these fluctuations could lead to a recession, noting the continuing strength in employment and resilient economic fundamentals. He also examines the impact of tariffs, particularly compared to the first Trump presidency, and advises listeners to focus on long-term goals rather than daily market movements. Closing thoughts emphasize the benefits of buying shares at lower prices during market corrections and maintaining a long-term investment perspective. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:30 Economic Indicators and Market Reactions 01:39 Interest Rates and Housing Market 02:37 Impact of Tariffs and Trade Policies 04:12 Market Corrections and Investment Advice 05:33 Final Thoughts and Client Engagement Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Market Overview and Insights on Inflation, Interest Rates, and Mortgage Dynamics—March 12th In this episode of Dividend Cafe, host Brian Szytel reports from West Palm Beach, Florida, detailing the latest market movements. Despite some volatility in the past weeks, March 12 sees a slight improvement with minor fluctuations in the Dow, S&P 500, and NASDAQ. Key highlights include a new inflation read showing better-than-expected CPI numbers for February, and a discussion on why transferring mortgages at historical rates distorts free market dynamics. Szytel also touches on upcoming Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers and wraps up with an update on office activities and events. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:54 Inflation and CPI Report 02:25 Mortgage Market Insights 03:15 Free Market vs. Controlled Economies 05:16 Upcoming Events and Conclusion Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

In a recent discussion, Christian Briggs, founder and CEO of BMC Capital, Inc. and Hard Assets Management, shared insights on the current economic landscape. He highlighted the unexpected rise in core Producer Price Index (PPI) figures, nearly double the estimates, yet noted the markets' muted reaction compared to the previous Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. Briggs emphasized the potential impact of forthcoming aggressive tariffs on aluminum and steel, essential components in manufacturing sectors from housing to aerospace. He also discussed China's strategic diversification in manufacturing and resource acquisition over the past four years, positioning itself amid global trade tensions. Additionally, Briggs touched upon the challenges posed by the U.S. national debt, the potential for financial corrections, and the role of gold as a stable asset amidst economic uncertainties. He concluded by addressing the future of digital currencies, suggesting a move towards a gold-backed digital dollar to ensure stability and credibility in the financial system.

Live at 2pm PT, we're breaking down today's market reaction to disappointing PPI data, the latest Trump tariffs, and some brutal earnings reports from Reddit and The Trade Desk. With uncertainty piling up, are the markets set for a pullback, or will they keep pushing higher? Let's dive in!

Weather and California fires continue to dominate the headlines. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) this week, Kevin explains the difference between the two and digs into the details. Oil prices react to falling U.S. crude oil inventories, the lowest in nearly 3 years; a weaker dollar; Israel and Hamas agreeing to a ceasefire and hostage release; U.S. sanctions potentially disrupting supplies; OPEC predicting increases in global demand.

Weather and California fires continue to dominate the headlines. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) this week, Kevin explains the difference between the two and digs into the details. Oil prices react to falling U.S. crude oil inventories, the lowest in nearly 3 years; a weaker dollar; Israel and Hamas agreeing to a ceasefire and hostage release; U.S. sanctions potentially disrupting supplies; OPEC predicting increases in global demand.

Market Surge: Analyzing a Strong Day in Equities and Bonds In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel reports from West Palm Beach, Florida, on January 15th. He highlights a significant uptick in the equity markets, with The Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq seeing notable gains. The bond market also experienced a rally, with a drop in the 10-year yield. Szytel analyzes the factors behind these movements, including better-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers, and offers insights into the impact of these inflation indicators on market behavior. Additionally, he discusses the Empire State Manufacturing Index, the Fed's Beige Book, and the positive results from big banks' trading revenues. Szytel also addresses a viewer's question about the potential for 10-year yields to surpass 5%, emphasizing the importance of fixed income investments in portfolios amid fluctuating interest rates. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:36 Inflation and Economic Indicators 01:48 Empire State Manufacturing Index and Beige Book Insights 02:49 Q&A: Interest Rates and Treasury Yields 05:09 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Market Updates and Economic Insights - January 14th, 2025 In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides market updates from West Palm Beach, Florida, covering the mixed yet positive performance of major stock indices. The Dow Jones rose 221 points, S&P 500 saw a slight increase, while NASDAQ declined by about a quarter of a percent. Interest rates remained flat with a notable steepening of the yield curve, indicating positive economic signals. Highlights include a lower-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) and a significantly strong NFIB Small Business Survey reading. Comparisons were drawn between current economic conditions and those of the early 1980s. Listeners are encouraged to tune in for tomorrow's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:48 Inflation and Yield Curve Insights 01:52 Small Business Sentiment 02:40 Historical Economic Comparisons 03:39 Market Recap and Closing Remarks Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

In this week's episode, the Money Wise guys dive into Wall Street's recent performance, highlighting the Dow's 1.8% drop, the S&P 500's modest 0.6% decline, and the NASDAQ's 0.3% gain. Year-to-date, the Dow remains up 16.3%, the S&P 500 has climbed 26.9%, and the NASDAQ continues to lead with a 32.7% increase. The discussion shifts to the recent seven-day losing streak for the Dow—something not seen since 2020—and explores how technical indicators show markets moving sideways since early December. Historically, the second full week of December has shown similar flat or negative trends, even during a strong secular bull market. The guys also delve into inflation, dissecting the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports. While inflation remains relatively sticky, with both measures ticking slightly higher, they explore key factors such as rising wages, which continue to outpace inflation-adjusted earnings for many workers. Housing inflation remains a significant contributor, with mortgage rates hovering above 6.5%, and the guys explain why rates need to dip closer to 6% to see substantial relief in the real estate market. Looking ahead, the group anticipates the Federal Reserve's next move and examines the potential tone for 2025. While markets initially expected aggressive rate cuts next year, expectations have tempered, signaling caution and limited reductions as the Fed remains data-dependent. To close, the conversation touches on broader economic and political dynamics, including the potential for a “Santa Claus rally” post-Christmas and the implications of upcoming policies as the nation approaches a new president. The 'Santa Claus Rally' The Santa Claus Rally refers to the tendency for the stock market to experience a rise during the final trading days of December and the first few days of January. This seasonal phenomenon is often attributed to a combination of factors, including year-end tax strategies, holiday optimism, increased retail investor activity, and institutional investors closing their books for the year. While not guaranteed, the rally has historically been seen as a positive signal for market sentiment heading into the new year, providing investors with a boost of confidence during the holiday season. In the second hour, the Money Wise guys explore RIA vs. Broker. You don't want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

Market Overview and Utility Sector Insights – December 12th In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the latest market movements and economic indicators. Key topics include the Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers, which recorded a slight increase, leading to a minor sell-off in stocks and bonds. Szytel provides an analysis of initial jobless claims, emphasizing the importance of employment data. Additionally, he addresses the attractiveness of the utility sector, highlighting its evolving role from a defensive sector to one benefiting from rising demand and limited supply. The episode concludes with a focus on dividend growth and the potential for increased supply to meet higher demand in the utility sector. 00:00 Market Overview and PPI Numbers 01:18 Employment Data Insights 01:42 Mixed Market Reactions 01:58 Utility Sector Analysis 03:23 Future Outlook and Conclusion Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Investors have their eyes on Treasury yields following Monday's losses fueled partly by a yield rally. Rates could stay in focus ahead of Treasury auctions and CPI later this week.Here is Schwab's early look at the markets for Tuesday, December 10th: Major indexes begin the day licking their wounds and watching the bond market after moderate losses Monday to start a week dominated by U.S. inflation data and central bank meetings. Stocks finished near their lows yesterday, potentially putting the market in a weak spot on the charts as Tuesday dawns.Treasury yields rose across much of the curve Monday amid worries about tomorrow's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and reaffirmation by President-elect Trump that he stands by his tariff and deportation policies, which the market see as inflationary.  Adding to pressure on bonds, which move the opposite direction of yields, was The New York Federal Reserve's November consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead climbing to 3% from 2.9% in October. That followed year-ahead inflation expectations jumping to 2.9% from 2.6% in Friday's University of Michigan's preliminary December consumer sentiment report, the highest in six months. "CPI & PPI loom large this week, and markets will be fixated on this inflation data," said Joe Mazzola, head trading and derivatives strategist at Schwab.Besides CPI, tomorrow brings a rate decision from the Bank of Canada followed by Thursday's expected rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB). The CPI data and Thursday's Producer Price Index (PPI) could have a large impact on the U.S. rate outlook, but the Fed is seen almost certainly lowering rates when it gathers next week. Tech stumbled to start the week after driving last week's rally to record highs. The softness surfaced after China announced an anti-trust investigation into Nvidia (NVDA), which weighed on Nvidia and most other semiconductor stocks. Tech may find itself under more pressure today after Oracle (ORCL) disappointed late Monday with earnings that missed analysts' average estimate. Revenue came in as expected, dominated by AI-driven cloud performance, but shares fell 7% in pre-market trading. While Nvidia and semiconductors weighed on tech yesterday thanks partly to Beijing, not all the China news was bearish. China's Politburo shifted to looser monetary policy and promised more stimulus. This gave U.S.-listed Chinese stocks a boost and appeared to help U.S. gold mining and European luxury goods makers that might benefit from increased Chinese demand. Apple (AAPL), with a large presence in the Chinese market, registered a new all-time high Monday.  As of late Monday, traders saw an 86% chance rates will fall 25 basis points at the conclusion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting December 17–18 and a 14% chance of no move, based on the CME FedWatch Tool. It's unlikely the Fed would want to rock the boat by pausing next week with the market primed for a cut. But the central bank might deliver a so-called "hawkish trim," meaning it could lower rates and also express caution in its updated projections and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. Heading into Tuesday, the question is whether Wall Street sees any "buy the dip" action after Monday's washout. The worst performing S&P 500 sector yesterday was mega-cap dominated communication services, while only the defensive health care sector made any gains.The S&P 500® index (SPX) fell 37.42 points (0.61%) Monday to 6,052.85; the Dow Jones Industrial Average®($DJI) slipped 240.59 points (0.54%) to 44,401.93; and the Nasdaq Composite®($COMP) fell 123.08 points (0.62%) to 19,736.69.Important DisclosuresInformation on this site is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered individualized recommendations or personalized investment advice. The type of securities and investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic and geo-political conditions.Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.All corporate names are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(1124-0130)

In today's episode, we're pulling back the curtain on window dressing—a phenomenon where companies make last-minute moves to polish their portfolios for investors. We'll explore how this affects financial markets and what to watch for. Plus, we'll dig into the latest Producer Price Index (PPI) data and what it signals for potential rate cuts, and take a close look at Disney's chart, which could be setting up for an exciting trade opportunity!

After a week off the Money Wise guys are back in the studio kicking things off with a recap of last week's numbers. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 1,048 points (2.6%), the S&P 500 gained 218 points (4%), and the NASDAQ surged by 993 points (6%). Year-to-date, the Dow is up 9.8%, the S&P 500 is up 18%, and the NASDAQ is up 17.8%. The guys note that this strong rally came after a period of market correction, particularly in the NASDAQ. Despite September historically being a volatile month, this past week saw a significant rebound, with the NASDAQ posting its best week of the year. The Money Wise guys discuss recent economic data, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), both of which came in line with expectations. They also highlight positive retail numbers and a dip in unemployment. Additionally, there was debate around the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cut next week, with some market professionals suggesting a 0.5% cut instead of the anticipated 0.25%. The Money Wise guys generally agree that a 0.25% cut would be more prudent, given that inflation is cooling and the economy is still showing signs of strength. They also point out that the S&P 500 is nearing a crucial technical level and needs to break through and close above 5,670 to maintain its upward momentum. Federal Reserve's Upcoming Interet Rate Cut The Federal Reserve is expected to implement its first interest rate cut in a significant period, with speculation around whether the reduction will be 0.25% or a more aggressive 0.5%. Most analysts and market professionals are anticipating a 0.25% cut, as recent economic data, including positive retail numbers and cooling inflation, suggest the economy remains relatively stable. A 0.25% cut is seen as a cautious and measured approach, aimed at supporting continued growth without overstimulating the market. However, some market professionals have argued for a 0.5% cut, believing a larger reduction would more effectively boost economic activity. The Money Wise guys express concerns that a larger cut could signal too much concern about the economy and might trigger an adverse reaction from the market. In the second hour today, the Money Wise guys discuss 401(k) Rollovers. You don't want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

Market Gains and Disinflationary Signs on Dividend Cafe In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the positive movements in the markets on September 12th, with the Dow gaining 235 points, the S&P rising for the fourth straight day, and minor gains in the NASDAQ and 10-year Treasury note. The focus is on the latest Producer Price Index (PPI) data showing a disinflationary trend with a year-over-year number under 2%, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's shift from inflation to employment and economic growth concerns. Revised July PPI figures indicate deflation. Initial jobless claims align with expectations, supporting the 'soft landing' economic narrative. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:37 Inflation Data Insights 01:23 Federal Reserve and Bond Market Dynamics 02:24 Revised PPI Numbers and Jobless Claims 03:05 Conclusion and Sign-Off Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

September 11 Market Update and Inflation Insights In this episode of Dividend Cafe, host Brian Szytel begins with a somber remembrance of the September 11 terrorist attacks, offering thoughts and prayers to those affected. He proceeds with market commentary, noting an initial drop and subsequent recovery, likely influenced by the recent debate between former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Szytel discusses key inflation data, highlighting that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers are in line with Federal Reserve targets. He also touches on the implications for upcoming interest rate decisions and the balance sheet. Finally, Seitel provides a preview of forthcoming economic data, including initial jobless claims and the Producer Price Index (PPI). 00:00 Introduction and Remembrance of 9/11 00:33 Market Opening and Debate Impact 01:05 Market Performance and Analysis 01:51 Inflation Data and Federal Reserve Expectations 03:34 Upcoming Economic Indicators and Closing Remarks Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

In this week's episode, we unpack the market movers: a hot Producer Price Index (PPI) and a Consumer Price Index (CPI) that came in cooler than expected. We also dive into the latest REIT earnings and the ongoing debate surrounding NYC rent stabilization. Plus, the team break down two major office loans that transferred to special servicing, along with the latest news across property types. Tune in now. Episode Notes: - Economic update: PPI and CPI (0:48) - Retail sales flat in April (7:02) - REIT earnings (9:51) - Office headlines (16:12) - Rent stabilization and community housing (32:36) - Multifamily sales (40:35) - Oklahoma hotel portfolio transfers to special servicing (43:46) - Industrial stories (48) - Shoutouts (50;24) Please take our listener feedback survey: www.surveymonkey.com/r/BMPXLHG Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp

The Commander-in-Chief, Joe Biden, insisted in a recent discussion that his economic approach has had a positive impact, despite the substantial 25–30% increase in costs for fundamental consumer items since he assumed the presidency. 'To mince his words, Biden asserted, 'We need to maintain our resolve, remain unwavering, and persistently churn out these remarkable jobs. Of note is that the remuneration attached to these roles outstrip the rate of inflation. We have this under control, it just requires a bit more patience. Our focus is undeterred,' claimed Biden. Biden's economic strategy as a whole has been dubbed 'Bidenomics.' However, according to various surveys, a significant number of Americans rate their personal financial situation as a top worry as we approach the 2024 election season. 'In April, we did see a slight easing off of inflation, but the still significant price rises unveiled this week continue to add to a total that could be Biden's most intractable economic hurdle in the 2024 campaign. According to figures from the adjusted Consumer Price Index (CPI), prices have now escalated by over 19.4% in the past three years or so during Biden's tenure,' was a revelation made by Yahoo! Finance on Wednesday. Just to give some perspective, during President Trump's four-year term, the rise in prices was barely below 7.8%. The editorial board of the New York Post also offered their thoughts, opining that Biden is leading the nation astray regarding the economic situation: On a positive note: The latest CPI figures show a minor moderation in inflation. But the caveat: all the other metrics indicate we could be facing more, not less, difficulty in the future. CPI figures for April came in 3.4% higher than the previous year, a slight decrease from March's 3.5% surge. However, we still find ourselves well above the desired figures of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. In addition to this, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for April witnessed a 0.5% increase, outpacing the 0.3% projection by economists - the PPI generally gives an indication of where the CPI is headed, as manufacturers inevitably pass on elevated costs to their consumers.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Market Update: A Positive Turn with Cooler Inflation Numbers This episode of Dividend Cafe provides a financial market update for Wednesday, May 15th, marking a positive trading day with the Dow up by 349 points and a rally in bonds. The episode highlights a cooler than expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April at 0.3%, indicating a positive trend in inflation rates. The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed mixed signals with March's deflationary revision and a hotter April. These figures suggest a potential 2.8% year-over-year Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), which is crucial for Federal Reserve considerations. Despite lower than expected retail sales and a contractionary Empire Manufacturing Survey, the episode suggests these are potentially positive signs for the Fed to lower interest rates. 00:19 Inflation and Economic Indicators Update 01:17 Retail Sales and Manufacturing Insights 01:54 Closing Thoughts and Tomorrow's Preview Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Financial expert David Stryzewski analyzes the alarming trends revealed in April's Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The PPI has risen by 0.5%, signaling persistent and escalating inflationary pressures, a sharp contrast to the previous month's 0.1% decline. This marks the first instance since April 2022 that PPI inflation has risen for three consecutive months, showcasing a trend of sticky inflation. David explains that the year-over-year rise in wholesale costs, which accelerated to 2.2%, points to a future where inflation could significantly overshoot the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The big picture suggests a troubling scenario: inflation is stubbornly high, and the Federal Reserve appears to be losing its battle against it. David warns of the Federal Reserve's potential move to cut rates to prevent a banking crisis, amidst conditions where "higher for longer" interest rate policies seem increasingly likely. The discussion also covers the broader impacts of these economic policies, including the significant strain on real estate and small community banks, which are vital for financing small businesses. David highlights the serious implications of rising interest rates on sectors heavily dependent on lending and the potential for recurring bank failures, as indicated by billionaire investor Barry Sternlicht. Tune in to understand the complexities of the current economic environment, where stagflation is not just a possibility but a growing reality, and explore the difficult choices facing policymakers in this critical juncture. Find David here: FedBubble.com Find Kerry here: FSN and here: inflation.cafe

Watch the replay of last night's special event, “The AI Story No One's Telling,” at www.curzioai.com. I start today's show by eating some humble pie over my NCAA Final Four picks. I share my thoughts on the tournament so far… and which games I'm most looking forward to in the coming weeks.  We saw an incredible turnout for our special event last night, “The AI Story No One's Telling.” Our live Q&A lasted almost two hours—covering everything from the current state of AI… to where we're headed with artificial general intelligence (AGI). Thank you to everyone who attended. But if you missed it, don't worry—you can watch the replay at www.curzioai.com. Trust me, it's worth your time. Tomorrow, FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried will be sentenced for illegally leveraging customers' assets, which caused the collapse of the company. He faces up to 100 years. I share the irony behind this debacle… why I think SBF will get slapped with a major sentence… and why he'll likely walk free within the next few years. The tragic collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore shines a light on the critical role of our country's infrastructure. I break down the bridge's importance to U.S. trade… and the massive ripple effect its collapse will send throughout the economy. The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers show inflation at its highest level since October. I highlight why the Fed might have no choice but to hike rates again this year. In this episode  A slice of humble pie with my NCAA bracket [1:21] Don't miss “The AI Story No One's Telling”—Go to www.curzioai.com [7:51] How long will SBF be in prison? [23:24] The tragedy in Baltimore will wreak havoc on the economy [32:05] Will we see more rate hikes this year? [43:20]   Enjoyed this episode? Get Wall Street Unplugged delivered FREE to your inbox each week: www.curzioresearch.com/wall-street-unplugged/ Wall Street Unplugged podcast is available at: --iTunes: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/wall-street-unplugged-frank/ --Stitcher: www.stitcher.com/podcast/curzio-research/wall-street-unplugged-2 --Website: www.curzioresearch.com/category/podcast/wall-street-unplugged/   Twitter: twitter.com/frankcurzio Facebook: www.facebook.com/CurzioResearch/ Linkedin: www.linkedin.com/in/frank-curzio-690561a7/ Website: www.curzioresearch.com/category/podcast/wall-street-unplugged/ Curzio Research App: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/curzio-research/id6466212450

Frank is on the road for business for the week, so I, Daniel, am leading the show today.   I kick things off with a recap of my road trip to Ohio… including some good news about how our tax dollars are being spent. (I swear I'm not being sarcastic.)   Stocks are rallying even as war is breaking out in the Middle East. It's a great example of how markets and reality can be vastly different. I explain why this bounce could continue through the end of the year.   As expected, oil prices popped in response to the violence. Regular listeners know I've been bullish on energy for many months. I explain why the current environment creates major tailwinds for oil prices… why every investor should have exposure to energy stocks… and how the war impacts my thesis.   Next, I break down today's Producer Price Index (PPI)… highlight the one data point to focus on in tomorrow's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report (hint: it's all about energy prices)... and explain why the numbers could force the Fed to raise rates even more.   I also explain why hedge fund titan Bill Ackman has a bone to pick with Harvard… and why it's the latest sign of the growing division in our nation.   Don't miss tomorrow's episode of WSU Premium. I'll dig deeper into the energy sector… highlight the opportunities developing in consumer staples stocks… and reveal this week's Dollar Stock Club pick.    In this episode Proof that your tax dollars are working hard [1:35] Why this market rally could continue (despite the war) [9:15] A recipe for higher energy prices [19:20] The only inflation number that matters right now [23:10] Bill Ackman has a bone to pick with Harvard [25:45]   Enjoyed this episode? Get Wall Street Unplugged delivered FREE to your inbox each week: www.curzioresearch.com/wall-street-unplugged/   Wall Street Unplugged podcast is available at: --iTunes: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/wall-street-unplugged-frank/ --Stitcher: www.stitcher.com/podcast/curzio-research/wall-street-unplugged-2 --Website: www.curzioresearch.com/category/podcast/wall-street-unplugged/   Twitter: twitter.com/frankcurzio Facebook:. www.facebook.com/CurzioResearch/ Linkedin: www.linkedin.com/in/frank-curzio-690561a7/ Website: www.curzioresearch.com

Insider trading occurs when a person or entity makes a profitable trade based on information that is not available to the public. Today's Stocks & Topics: CHGG - Chegg Inc., EL - Estee Lauder Cos. Cl A, UNM - Unum Group, Producer Price Index (PPI), Tech Companies, Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA), VEA - Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF, Office Building Debt.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

VISIT HTTP://PETERNAVARRO.SUBSTACK.COM FOR THE TRANSCRIPT “Don't fight the tape” and its more modern-day equivalent “the trend is your friend” are familiar Wall Street cliches that perhaps best capture the market's present bullish mood.  Indeed, this week all major US indices hit 15-month highs.  The propellant for this latest move was seemingly good news on the inflation front.  Both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) beat expectations with lower inflation numbers than estimated, and the Wall Street spin machine used this news to argue that the Fed need not raise interest rates at its next meeting.  Following this news, bond yields fell, and stock prices rose; and the big bet now is on a “soft landing” that will accommodate the bulls.  This hoped-for soft landing will, according to the bullish calls, result in a continued decline in inflation without a rise in the unemployment rate. Fair enough, but let's first take a deeper look at this week's actual inflation news.  Listen for the rest of the story...