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I don't think that the next Fed chair does much to change my expectations for the terminal rate this cycle, says Stuart Paul, US & Canada Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Paul is joined by BI chief US rates strategist Ira Jersey and senior US & Canada rates-strategy associate Will Hoffman to discuss takeaways from the recent Federal Reserve, and Bank of Canada meetings. The trio discuss the outlook for monetary policy and yields on both sides of the border. They also touch on the upcoming release of the Canadian federal budget, the end of the Federal Reserve's asset runoff program and what comes next for balance sheet policy, in addition to the impact of political influence on the path of monetary policy.The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.
In questa puntata si parla di soldi, manovra, titoli di stato e di come la stabilità del governo Meloni abbia aiutato i conti pubblici, con un'intervista esclusiva ad Alessandra Migliaccio, corrispondente economica di Bloomberg, Simona delle Chiaie, economista Bloomberg Economics, specializzata nell'analisi dell'eurozona da Francoforte e il segretario e leader del partito politico Azione, ma anche ex ministro dello sviluppo economico nei governi guidati da Matteo Renzi e da Paolo Gentiloni, Carlo Calenda. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
El rally en Wall Street se toma una pausa; el CEO de Goldman Sachs dice no estar preocupado por el crédito privado; más tensión en el Caribe; y Jimena Zúñiga, analista de Bloomberg Economics, comenta cómo queda el panorama de reformas tras la sorpresiva victoria de Javier Milei en las legislativas en Argentina.Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
CPI às 9:30; Bloomberg Economics projeta +0,3% m/m, o que daria sinal verde para o Fed reduzir juros na próxima semana.
CPI às 9:30; Bloomberg Economics projeta +0,3% m/m, o que daria sinal verde para o Fed reduzir juros na próxima semana.
El oro superó por primera vez los US$4.000 la onza, en un récord histórico; sigue el entusiasmo en el mercado por la inteligencia artificial; México arriesga nuevo arancel a camiones; atacan caravana de Daniel Noboa en Ecuador; y Jimena Zúñiga de Bloomberg Economics comenta la distensión en las relaciones entre EE.UU. y Brasil. Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Much concern has been raised of late about how the economy is slowing and recession risk is rising.But is that really true?Or, could we already be through the worst of things, with the economy strengthening from here?To find out, we have the good fortune to talk today with Dr Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Prior to her current role, Anna also worked at the Federal Reserve Board, the White House Council of Economics Advisers, and the U.S. Treasury.In today's discussion, Anna explains why she has recently turned from being bearish (for years) to guardedly bullish.TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#bullmarket #economicrecovery #unemployment _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
El precios del oro sigue imparable gracias a medidas de China mientras que los futuros en Wall Street están sin rumbo; OCDE elevó su proyección de crecimiento para 2025 pero advierte que el próximo año también se sentirá el golpe; Javier Milei tendrá reuniones clave en Nueva York; y Jimena Zúñiga de Bloomberg Economics comenta si los ataques contra botes narco venezolanos servirán en la guerra contra las drogas.Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Anglo American acordó comprar Teck, creando una empresa valorada en más de US$50.000 millones; mercado atento a revisión de cifras de empleo en EE.UU.; Jimena Zúñiga, analista de Bloomberg Economics, explica por qué el mercado tomó tan mal la derrota electoral de Javier Milei en la provincia de Buenos Aires.Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Tom Busby take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to CPI and PPI data and Apple’s September 9th In the UK – on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event. In Asia – a look ahead to China August CPI and PPI data. - Stuart Paul, US Economist with Bloomberg Economics, to preview CPI and PPI data.- Mark Gurman, Bloomberg News Managing Editor for Global Consumer Tech, to preview Apple’s September 9th event.- Ros Mathieson, Bloomberg Chief Asia Correspondent, on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event.- Tony Halpin, Russian Government and Economy Team Leader, on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event.- Mary Nicola, Bloomberg MLIV Strategist in Singapore, discusses China August CPI and PPI data.- Kevin Sneader, APAC ex-Japan President at Goldman Sachs, discusses China’s stock rally.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Tom Busby take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to CPI and PPI data and Apple’s September 9th In the UK – on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event. In Asia – a look ahead to China August CPI and PPI data. - Stuart Paul, US Economist with Bloomberg Economics, to preview CPI and PPI data.- Mark Gurman, Bloomberg News Managing Editor for Global Consumer Tech, to preview Apple’s September 9th event.- Ros Mathieson, Bloomberg Chief Asia Correspondent, on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event.- Tony Halpin, Russian Government and Economy Team Leader, on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event.- Mary Nicola, Bloomberg MLIV Strategist in Singapore, discusses China August CPI and PPI data.- Kevin Sneader, APAC ex-Japan President at Goldman Sachs, discusses China’s stock rally.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Tom Busby take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to CPI and PPI data and Apple’s September 9th In the UK – on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event. In Asia – a look ahead to China August CPI and PPI data. - Stuart Paul, US Economist with Bloomberg Economics, to preview CPI and PPI data.- Mark Gurman, Bloomberg News Managing Editor for Global Consumer Tech, to preview Apple’s September 9th event.- Ros Mathieson, Bloomberg Chief Asia Correspondent, on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event.- Tony Halpin, Russian Government and Economy Team Leader, on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event.- Mary Nicola, Bloomberg MLIV Strategist in Singapore, discusses China August CPI and PPI data.- Kevin Sneader, APAC ex-Japan President at Goldman Sachs, discusses China’s stock rally.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On today's podcast: 1) President Trump asks the Supreme Court to uphold his global tariff regime. A defeat for Trump would cut the current average US effective tariff rate by at least half and could force the US to refund tens of billions of dollars, according to Bloomberg Economics analyst Chris Kennedy.2) A major court victory for Harvard University in its fight for federal research funds. A court ruled that the US illegally froze more than $2 billion in research funding to Harvard University, violating the school's free speech rights and not following proper procedures. The Trump administration plans to appeal the decision, with a White House spokeswoman calling it "egregious" and stating that Harvard "does not have a constitutional right to taxpayer dollars and remains ineligible for grants in the future."3) President Trump's bid to reshape the Fed goes before a Senate confirmation hearing today. The Senate Banking Committee is holding a confirmation hearing on Stephen Miran's appointment to be a governor of the Federal Reserve, a nomination made by President Donald Trump. Miran has said he will preserve the Fed's independence, stating that "independence of monetary policy is a critical element for its success" and that he intends to "preserve that independence and serve the American people to the best of my ability."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
A global selloff in long-dated bonds — including 30-year UK gilts, US Treasuries and Japanese government bonds — has deepened. On today’s Big Take podcast, host David Gura, Bloomberg Economics’ Jamie Rush and FX reporter Mia Glass in Japan discuss what happened this week in UK and Japan bond auctions — and what it all means for the global economy. Read more: Global Bond Selloff Deepens With Longer Debt Leading Losses See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Comienza el juicio del Supremo Tribunal Federal de Brasil contra el expresidente Jair Bolsonaro, acusado de organizar un intento de golpe de Estado tras su derrota electoral en 2022; el presidente Vladímir Putin parece haber asegurado una victoria diplomática que buscaba desde hace años con un enorme acuerdo de gasoducto que ataría a Rusia y China durante décadas y podría redefinir el comercio global del gas; y conversamos con Felipe Hernández de Bloomberg Economics, sobre el proyecto de Gustavo Petro en Colombia de elevar los impuestos a los más ricos.Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo Thomson; Ivana Bargues; Stephen WicarySee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The perception of the UK economic outlook on a macro level may be perceived to be negative through the lens of social media. In this edition of the All Options Considered podcast, BI chief global derivatives Strategist Tanvir Sandhu is joined by Dan Hanson, chief UK economist at Bloomberg Economics to discuss the state of the economy, bond market volatility and the fiscal outlook.
Asian stocks were poised for a mainly positive open Thursday as investors continued to ramp up bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month. Meantime, Bloomberg Economics says China's July activity data due Friday will likely show signs growth softened heading into the second half, echoing early indications in business surveys and tracking its full-year outlook. We get more on the state of China's economy from Helen Zhu, Managing Partner and Chief Investment Officer at NF Trinity.Plus - stocks have soared to record levels and volatility has slumped to multi-year lows as traders now fully expect a quarter-point move by the Fed after an inflation print earlier this week was seen as benign. External pressure is also coming from President Donald Trump's administration with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent making his most explicit demand yet for the central bank to execute a cycle of cuts. We discuss what the Fed's path ahead may look like with Ross Mayfield, Investment Strategist at Baird Private Wealth Management.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
El secretario del Tesoro de EE.UU., Scott Bessent dijo a Bloomberg TV, que las tasas de interés deberían estar hasta 175 puntos básicos por debajo de niveles actuales; Lula dará crédito a sectores afectados por aranceles; Jimena Zúñiga, analista de Bloomberg Economics, comenta por qué la violencia política se está volviendo algo intrínseco de América Latina. Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint.. I'm Nelson John and here are today's top stories. Red Fort Security Breach Days Before I-Day A “dummy terrorist” from Delhi Police's Special Cell walked into the high-security Red Fort with mock explosives during a drill — reaching the children's enclosure, taking selfies, and leaving unnoticed. This marks the third lapse in recent drills ahead of Independence Day. The man scaled a wall near Nishad Raj Road, loitered in the VIP seating zone, and exited before the breach was reported to police HQ and the PM's Security Unit. No action has been taken yet. Last week, seven policemen were suspended over illegal Bangladeshi nationals and live cartridges found near the fort. Pakistan Army Chief's Nuclear Threat in US During a black-tie dinner in Tampa, Pakistan's Army Chief Asim Munir warned, “If we're going down, we'll take half the world down with us.” Reviving tensions over the suspended Indus Waters Treaty, he accused India of risking famine for 250 million Pakistanis and vowed to destroy any Indian dam with “10 missiles.” On his second US visit in two months, Munir met top US military leaders. India's Shiv Sena MP Priyanka Chaturvedi called him a “Failed Marshal” and urged scrapping cricket ties with Pakistan. Trump's 50% Tariff Hits India Hard India now faces the highest US tariff rate — 50% — more than China's 30% and Vietnam/Bangladesh's 20%. Exports in gems, jewellery, textiles, and some foods have stalled. Bloomberg Economics projects a 60% fall in US-bound exports and a 1% GDP hit. The Nifty 50 is down 7% from its peak, with potential for a 10% drop if tariffs persist. Analysts warn Trump's unpredictability, high market valuations, and foreign investor exits could prolong the pain. The tariffs could also fuel US inflation, risk stagflation, and keep Fed rates high. Experts say the trade war could last until the 2026 US midterms. British F-35's Second Emergency Landing A British F-35B fighter jet made an emergency landing in Kagoshima, Japan, after a malfunction, briefly shutting the runway. Just two months earlier, another British F-35B made an emergency landing in Kerala due to a hydraulic fault. Two landings in two countries in eight weeks raise questions about the reliability of one of the world's most advanced — and expensive — fighter jets. Tata's Battery Arm Gets Chinese-Owned Partner For the first time, Tata Group acknowledged a Chinese-owned company in its flagship battery venture. Japan-based AESC Group, owned by China's Envision, bought a 12% stake in Agratas Energy Storage Solutions for ₹66 crore in March; Tata Sons holds the rest. AESC's general counsel, Gordon Louis Chin, joins the board with Tata chairman N. Chandrasekaran and Tata Motors CFO P.B. Balaji. Agratas is building 60GWh of gigafactory capacity in the UK and India to supply Jaguar Land Rover and Tata Motors. AESC, one of the world's top 10 EV battery makers, could give Agratas access to proven tech and global supply chains — critical as Chinese export curbs hit rare earth magnets Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Economists and politicians told us that President Trump's tariffs would spark foreign retaliation and drive up domestic prices. But current economic data are beginning to tell a different story. Anna Wong, chief U.S. economist at Bloomberg Economics, joins Oren to discuss what the post-Liberation Day data are telling us. As tariff rates begin to stabilize due to trade deals, Wong breaks down how tariffs are reshaping firm behavior, potentially driving a wave of future domestic investment by realigning incentivizes. Additionally, Anna and Oren explain why the punditry class's fixation on near-term CPI levels is missing the bigger story.
1) President Trump's tariffs take effect at their highest levels since World War 2. President Trump’s actions will push the average US tariff rate to 15.2%, according to Bloomberg Economics estimates, with some countries facing duties as high as 50%. The president has pledged that the tariffs will slash trade deficits and push companies to move manufacturing back to the US, but his critics say they could cause inflation to spiral out of control and cause shortages on store shelves.2) The Kremlin said Presidents Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump will meet for summit talks within the next few days. President Trump said there was a "very good chance" he would meet with Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy soon in another bid to broker peace between the two countries.3) The president slaps significant levies on semiconductors — with a key exemption. President Trump declared plans to slap a 100% tariff on semiconductor imports, but promised to exempt companies that move production back to the US. Companies that demonstrate a commitment to building in the US, such as Apple, will be exempt from tariffs on chips, according to Trump.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Anna Wong, Chief US Economist at Bloomberg Economics, analyzes shocking jobs revisions showing only 35,000 jobs added over three months and questions whether this signals real weakness or statistical noise. Using her team's "12 million prices project," she reveals tariff pass-through is already happening with audio equipment up 11%, while services inflation may rebound as consumer sentiment improves. Drawing on White House experience during the 2019 trade war, Wong argues tariff uncertainty damages the economy more than tariffs themselves. She warns we may already be in recession and expects Fed rate cuts delayed until December.Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia Links:https://x.com/AnnaEconomist0:00 Welcome and introduction - Anna Wong, Chief US Economist at Bloomberg Economics1:05 Big picture economy - last Friday's payroll flipped everything upside down2:58 Forward looking indicators suggest investment picking up in second half4:06 Massive jobs revisions - 35,000 three-month hiring trend6:20 Are the revisions a fluke or signal of real weakness?9:53 Three sectors driving downward revisions - construction, leisure, logistics11:26 Non-farm payrolls as most market-moving economic indicator14:05 Why employment data is so error-prone - birth-death model problems16:48 Monetary Metals ad read18:00 How Friday's report impacts Fed September meeting prospects20:00 Fed forecasting - 80% effort on inflation and jobs data21:18 12 million prices project tracking tariff pass-through25:00 Services inflation vs tariff impact - the real story30:00 Top 20% income earners driving swing consumption32:32 Fed outlook - rate cuts likely delayed until December34:34 White House experience in 2019-2020 - lessons on tariffs and travel bans40:00 Markets driven by TACO and FOMO - set for huge volatility41:02 What keeps Anna up at night - are we already in recession?43:23 Optimism on tariff narrative shifting and uncertainty resolution45:00 AI concerns - people in their 20s dropping from labor force
On today's podcast: 1) Markets take a hit as President Trump unleashes a wave of new tariff rates. The world is facing some of the steepest US tariffs since the 1930s, with an average of 15%, according to the text. So far, the global economy has held up better than many economists expected after Trump’s initial tariff blitz. A rush to beat the elevated rates spurred a front-loading of exports, aiding many Asian economies and shielding US consumers from price spikes.2) Shares of Amazon sell off while Apple rises following the latest tech earnings. Apple reported its fastest quarterly revenue growth in more than three years, with revenue rising 9.6% to $94 billion in the fiscal third quarter. Amazon dropped in premarket trading after projecting weaker-than-expected operating income and trailing the sales growth of its cloud rivals. CEO Andy Jassy said it was "very early days" in artificial intelligence, and that the company's efforts to lower the costs of running AI applications would draw more customers over time.3) Investors prepare for the July jobs report to wrap up a week of key US economic data. Bloomberg Economics predicts July’s seasonally adjusted nonfarm payrolls to increase by 160,000 — higher than the consensus expectation of 105,000.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Federal Reserve kept a key interest rate stable this week. Mike McKee, Bloomberg Economics Editor, joins Megan Lynch with reasons why.
The yen recouped some of last week's losses as investors weighed the extent of the defeat suffered by Japan's ruling coalition in the weekend's upper-house election. Asian stock markets edged down. Japan's currency had dropped for two weeks and bond yields spiked ahead of the vote on concern a poor showing by Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba would open the door to more spending and tax cuts. While the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its partner lost their majority in the chamber, their final tally may be enough to keep Ishiba in the job. We get reaction from Shuntaro Takeuchi, Portfolio Manager at Matthews Asia. Plus - Donald Trump is struggling to get the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, but policymakers around the world won't need so much convincing. The US president's tariff onslaught is likely to force further measured easing in coming months by most of the 23 central banks featured in this quarterly guide on the global monetary outlook, according to Bloomberg Economics. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller hinted he would dissent if his colleagues vote to hold interest rates steady at their July meeting, making his case for a rate cut to support the labor market. We take a look at the Fed's path ahead with Clayton Triick, Head of Portfolio Management, Public Strategies, at Angel Oak Capital.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The decline in US shipbuilding and China's global dominance has Washington worried. Last year, the US built just seven commercial vessels, compared to more than 1,000 for China. This has also become a national security issue, with US shipyards struggling to meet the demands of the navy, facing production delays of up to 36 months. In response, President Donald Trump has proposed levying fees on Chinese built ships entering US ports. These measures likely won't be enough to revive the industry, so what else can the government do? What role can defense allies South Korea and Japan play? And how will these levies impact shipping companies and global trade? Adam Farrar, senior geo-economics analyst at Bloomberg Economics and Kenneth Loh, shipping and logistics analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, join John Lee and Katia Dmitrieva on the Asia Centric podcast.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
El arancel del 50% impuesto por Donald Trump a las importaciones brasileñas podría tener un impacto del 1% en el PIB de Brasil, según Bloomberg Economics; futuros del cobre suben antes del gravamen; Jim Wyss, corresponsal de Bloomberg en Puerto Rico, comenta el efecto que está teniendo el anuncio de Bad Bunny de hacer 30 conciertos en su isla natal.Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Asian shares edged lower at the Wednesday open after President Donald Trump said he won't delay the July 9 deadline for imposing higher levies on trading partners, ratcheting up trade tensions yet again. Back in June, China and the US reaffirmed their May trade truce, sustaining a rebound in trade flows and propelling China's economic momentum. Bloomberg Economics says consumption also showed signs of revival, but the trend is unlikely to last without continuous policy efforts that promote domestic demand. We take a look at the state of the Chinese economy with Shehzad Qazi, Chief Operating Officer and Managing Director at China Beige Book International. Plus - US job openings hit the highest since November, largely fueled by leisure and hospitality, and layoffs declined. Federal Reserve policymakers have consistently characterized labor-market conditions as strong in recent weeks. Fed Chair Jerome Powell repeated that the US central bank probably would have cut rates further this year absent Trump's expanded use of tariffs, although he didn't rule out easing at its meeting later this month. We get market insights from Jeff Grills, Head of EM Debt at Aegon Asset Management.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Donald Trump amenaza a Japón con aranceles de hasta 35%; paquete fiscal de EE.UU. enfrenta riesgos en la cámara; Senado mexicano aprueba leyes de seguridad; y Jimena Zúñiga, analista de geoeconomía de Bloomberg Economics, comenta los riesgos por el quiebre del antiguo orden mundial.Más de Bloomberg en EspañolNewsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to U.S GDP and personal spending data and Nike earnings. In the UK – a look ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference. In Asia – a look ahead to Bloomberg’s China economic survey.-----------------------------------------------------------------Guests:-Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent, to preview next week's U.S GDP/personal spending data.- Poonam Goyal, Senior U.S. E-Commerce and Retail Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, to preview Nike earnings. -Leo Kehnscherper, Bloomberg European Asset Management Reporter, looks ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference. -Julian Harris, UK Economics Editor, looks ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference. - Eric Zhu, China Economist for Bloomberg Economics, discusses Bloomberg’s China Economic Survey. -Karishma Vaswani, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist in Singapore, discusses her column: “US Rethink on Australia Subs Is China’s Win.” See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to U.S GDP and personal spending data and Nike earnings. In the UK – a look ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference. In Asia – a look ahead to Bloomberg’s China economic survey.-----------------------------------------------------------------Guests:-Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent, to preview next week's U.S GDP/personal spending data.- Poonam Goyal, Senior U.S. E-Commerce and Retail Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, to preview Nike earnings. -Leo Kehnscherper, Bloomberg European Asset Management Reporter, looks ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference. -Julian Harris, UK Economics Editor, looks ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference. - Eric Zhu, China Economist for Bloomberg Economics, discusses Bloomberg’s China Economic Survey. -Karishma Vaswani, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist in Singapore, discusses her column: “US Rethink on Australia Subs Is China’s Win.” See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The structural dollar bearish case is holding into 2H, though fiscal considerations are what dollar bears may lean on going forward after being driven mainly by tariff uncertainty and the impact on the de-dollarization narrative. Bloomberg Intelligence's Chief G10FX Strategist Audrey Childe-Freeman talks to Stuart Paul, US and Canada economist at Bloomberg Economics, about the US debt dynamics and how the fiscal outlook could shape and drive the dollar view into 2H. Stuart and Audrey also touch on the narrow path to a potential dollar recovery via short-term cyclical dynamics should the US economy prove more resilient than expected. This isn't Bloomberg Intelligence's central working assumption, but it's a scenario worth acknowledging.
La OCDE advierte sobre el crecimiento mundial, industria de China sufre su mayor caída desde 2022; desplome de las remesas en México y hablamos con Jimena Zúñiga, analista de Bloomberg Economics, sobre la oscuridad en Venezuela.Más de Bloomberg en EspañolNewsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
China anunció que está estudiando la posibilidad de negociar los aranceles con EE.UU.; Apple y Amazon alertan por impacto de gravámenes; Venezuela pide a China que le compre más crudo; Jimena Zúñiga, analista de Bloomberg Economics, comenta por qué el populismo económico no desaparece del todo en América Latina.Más de Bloomberg en EspañolNewsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The International Monetary Fund released a forecast this week projecting that global GDP will grow just 2.8% — down half a percentage point since US President Donald Trump unleashed a raft of tariffs on April 2. Their projection for US GDP growth was particularly grim: Down nearly an entire percentage point from expectations earlier this year. And they’re not alone. As economists try to measure the potential outcome from the current trade war and the whiplash of on-again-off-again tariffs, Bloomberg Economics landed on similar GDP projections On today’s episode of the Big Take, host Sarah Holder is joined by Bloomberg’s Enda Curran and Bloomberg Economics Chief Economist Tom Orlik to discuss what these projections can — and can’t — tell us about where the trade war could lead.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The International Monetary Fund released a forecast this week projecting that global GDP will grow just 2.8% — down half a percentage point since US President Donald Trump unleashed a raft of tariffs on April 2. Their projection for US GDP growth was particularly grim: Down nearly an entire percentage point from expectations earlier this year. And they’re not alone. As economists try to measure the potential outcome from the current trade war and the whiplash of on-again-off-again tariffs, Bloomberg Economics landed on similar GDP projections On today’s episode of the Big Take, host Sarah Holder is joined by Bloomberg’s Enda Curran and Bloomberg Economics Chief Economist Tom Orlik to discuss what these projections can — and can’t — tell us about where the trade war could lead.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Los futuros en Wall Street registran avances tras las bajas motivadas por un posible despido de Jerome Powell; mercado atento a los resultados de Tesla; Maduro rechaza canje de deportados venezolanos a El Salvador; y Jimena Zúñiga de Bloomberg Economics comenta lo que se espera en las reuniones de primavera del Fondo Monetario Internacional.Más de Bloomberg en EspañolNewsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Los mercados de acciones oscilan a la espera de más exenciones en aranceles como los automóviles; China dice a sus aerolíneas que no reciban aviones de Boeing; Scott Bessent dice que no le preocupan las recientes bajas en el mercado de bonos; y Adriana Dupita, de Bloomberg Economics, comenta el último programa de Argentina con el FMI.Más de Bloomberg en EspañolNewsletter Cinco cosas: https://trib.al/WIwfnT0Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Today's guest had one of the best track records last year in forecasting key economic indicators like rates of inflation and unemployment.Now that we have a new Administration in place, one aggressively deploying disruptive economic policy changes, where does she see the key indicators heading from here?To find out, we have the good fortune to talk today with Dr Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Prior to her current role, Anna also worked at the Federal Reserve Board, the White House Council of Economics Advisers, and the U.S. Treasury.Anna is concerned that the decelerating economy is at risk of becoming a slow-motion train wreck, which the recent Liberation Day slew of new tariffs will only exacerbate. It wouldn't surprise her to see the S&P lose an additional 30% of its market value from here as the year continues.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com
This is a special edition of the Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition podcast. Subscribe to the show: on Apple: http://bit.ly/3DWYoAN on Spotify: http://bit.ly/3jGRYiB Anywhere: http://bit.ly/3J1bct9On today's episode: President Donald Trump imposed the steepest American tariffs in a century as he steps up his campaign to reshape the global economy, sparking threats of retaliation and a selloff in markets around the world.Trump announced Wednesday he will apply at least a 10% tariff on all exporters to the US, with even higher duties on some 60 nations, to counter large trade imbalances with the US. That includes some of the country’s biggest trading partners, such as China — which now faces a tariff of well above 50% on many goods — as well as the European Union, Japan and Vietnam.“For years, hard-working American citizens were forced to sit on the sidelines as other nations got rich and powerful, much of it at our expense,” Trump said during an event in the White House Rose Garden to unveil the so-called reciprocal tariffs. “Now it’s our turn to prosper.”The move marks a dramatic escalation in Trump’s trade war, one that risks triggering retaliation from other countries and upends calculations for businesses and consumers at home. China and the EU, America’s largest trading partner, both said they were preparing to take countermeasures in response.The US president has embraced tariffs as a tool to assert US power, revive manufacturing at home and exact geopolitical concessions — counter to the decades-old consensus that lower trade barriers help to foster ties among nations and prevent conflicts. Economists say the near-term result of his measures will likely be higher US prices and slower growth — or perhaps even a recession.Global financial markets were hit by a sweeping selloff after Trump’s announcement, with US equity futures slumping as much as 4%.Gold hit an all-time high and the traditional haven Japanese yen soared, while China maintained its daily support of the yuan. Ten-year Treasury yields fell toward the closely-watched 4% level, their lowest since October.Read More: Fear Grips Markets as Trump Tariffs Raise Risks to Global GrowthLess than three months after returning to the White House, Trump has already erected trade barriers that are bigger by some measures than those imposed in the notoriously protectionist 1930s. Bloomberg Economics calculates that the effective tax rate the US now charges on more than $3 trillion of imported goods may climb to around 23% — higher than any point in more than a century.A statement published Wednesday by the United States Trade Representative explained the Trump administration calculated its raft of new tariffs primarily based on existing trade balances. Countries running a trade surplus with the US faced a flat 10% rate regardless, as did nations where trade was roughly even.There’s a small difference in the tariff rates first announced by Trump and more than a dozen of those listed in the annex that accompanied the White House executive order. For countries like South Korea, Myanmar, Pakistan and India, the rates in the annex are about 1 percentage point higher than the initial announcement.The 10% baseline charge on everyone takes effect after midnight Saturday. The higher duties on targeted countries — which replace, rather than add on top of the 10% rate — are due to kick in on April 9, the White House said.Read More: List of Reciprocal Tariffs by CountryFor now, the new measures don’t include Canada and Mexico, which are embroiled in a separate on-and-off tariff dispute with the US. They also won’t apply to some products that are subject to separate duties tied to so-called Sec. 232 investigations such as autos, semiconductors and lumber.The reciprocal tariffs were “much worse than we feared,” said Mary Lovely, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. There’ll be “huge implications for rerouting of trade,” she said.The president, who’s sought to frame his trade plans as a boost for his blue-collar voters, was joined in the Rose Garden by union members and workers from various industries — including a retired autoworker who spoke on stage. Later, Trump brandished large boards during his 48-minute address to display each nation’s new rate.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This is a special edition of the Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition podcast. Subscribe to the show: on Apple: http://bit.ly/3DWYoAN on Spotify: http://bit.ly/3jGRYiB Anywhere: http://bit.ly/3J1bct9On today's episode: President Donald Trump imposed the steepest American tariffs in a century as he steps up his campaign to reshape the global economy, sparking threats of retaliation and a selloff in markets around the world.Trump announced Wednesday he will apply at least a 10% tariff on all exporters to the US, with even higher duties on some 60 nations, to counter large trade imbalances with the US. That includes some of the country’s biggest trading partners, such as China — which now faces a tariff of well above 50% on many goods — as well as the European Union, Japan and Vietnam.“For years, hard-working American citizens were forced to sit on the sidelines as other nations got rich and powerful, much of it at our expense,” Trump said during an event in the White House Rose Garden to unveil the so-called reciprocal tariffs. “Now it’s our turn to prosper.”The move marks a dramatic escalation in Trump’s trade war, one that risks triggering retaliation from other countries and upends calculations for businesses and consumers at home. China and the EU, America’s largest trading partner, both said they were preparing to take countermeasures in response.The US president has embraced tariffs as a tool to assert US power, revive manufacturing at home and exact geopolitical concessions — counter to the decades-old consensus that lower trade barriers help to foster ties among nations and prevent conflicts. Economists say the near-term result of his measures will likely be higher US prices and slower growth — or perhaps even a recession.Global financial markets were hit by a sweeping selloff after Trump’s announcement, with US equity futures slumping as much as 4%.Gold hit an all-time high and the traditional haven Japanese yen soared, while China maintained its daily support of the yuan. Ten-year Treasury yields fell toward the closely-watched 4% level, their lowest since October.Read More: Fear Grips Markets as Trump Tariffs Raise Risks to Global GrowthLess than three months after returning to the White House, Trump has already erected trade barriers that are bigger by some measures than those imposed in the notoriously protectionist 1930s. Bloomberg Economics calculates that the effective tax rate the US now charges on more than $3 trillion of imported goods may climb to around 23% — higher than any point in more than a century.A statement published Wednesday by the United States Trade Representative explained the Trump administration calculated its raft of new tariffs primarily based on existing trade balances. Countries running a trade surplus with the US faced a flat 10% rate regardless, as did nations where trade was roughly even.There’s a small difference in the tariff rates first announced by Trump and more than a dozen of those listed in the annex that accompanied the White House executive order. For countries like South Korea, Myanmar, Pakistan and India, the rates in the annex are about 1 percentage point higher than the initial announcement.The 10% baseline charge on everyone takes effect after midnight Saturday. The higher duties on targeted countries — which replace, rather than add on top of the 10% rate — are due to kick in on April 9, the White House said.Read More: List of Reciprocal Tariffs by CountryFor now, the new measures don’t include Canada and Mexico, which are embroiled in a separate on-and-off tariff dispute with the US. They also won’t apply to some products that are subject to separate duties tied to so-called Sec. 232 investigations such as autos, semiconductors and lumber.The reciprocal tariffs were “much worse than we feared,” said Mary Lovely, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. There’ll be “huge implications for rerouting of trade,” she said.The president, who’s sought to frame his trade plans as a boost for his blue-collar voters, was joined in the Rose Garden by union members and workers from various industries — including a retired autoworker who spoke on stage. Later, Trump brandished large boards during his 48-minute address to display each nation’s new rate.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Los mercados están en rojo por nuevas noticias de aranceles, esta vez al cobre; sigue la crisis por la inclusión de un periodista en un chat de la Casa Blanca en que se discutieron detalles de un ataque a Yemen; Adriana Dupita, de Bloomberg Economics, comenta lo que se sabe, y lo que no, de un potencial acuerdo entre Argentina y el FMI; y Farmacias Similares busca crecer de la mano de su muñeco Dr Simi.Para leer el reportaje sobre Dr Simi: https://trib.al/fv5tCSMMás de Bloomberg en EspañolNewsletter Cinco cosas: https://trib.al/WIwfnT0Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Donald Trump prevé “período de transición” para la economía de EE.UU. pero se rehusa a comentar si podría haber una recesión; Mark Carney asumirá como primer ministro en Canadá; y Felipe Hernández de Bloomberg Economics comenta como la amenaza de aranceles está afectando las perspectivas económicas de México.Más de Bloomberg en EspañolNewsletter Cinco cosas: https://trib.al/WIwfnT0Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
George Parker of the Financial Times assesses the latest developments at Westminster Following the inauguration of Donald Trump George is joined by Sir Simon Fraser, the former permanent secretary at the Foreign Office and Chair of the Foreign Affairs think tank Chatham House, and Michael Gove, the former Conservative cabinet minister and now editor of the Spectator. They discuss the impact of the Trump on international politics.As Rachel Reeves visits Davos for the World Economic Forum, George discusses the Chancellor's efforts to win business confidence with the director general of the CBI, Rain Newton-Smith, and the Head of Bloomberg Economics, Stephanie Flanders. The teenager who murdered 3 young girls in Southport was sentenced this week. The question for many is what - if anything - can be done to stop this kind of tragedy happening in future? George discusses this with former Labour MP John Woodcock, who is now the crossbench peer Lord Walney. He is also the government's independent adviser on political violence and disruptionFollowing the temporary closure of Strangers' Bar in Parliament over an alleged spiking incident, George is joined by Francis Elliott, the Editor of the House Magazine, and Cat Eccles, the newly elected Labour MP for Stourbridge, to discuss the drinking culture at Westminster.
Laurence Turner from Bloomberg joins us to unpack the crucial economic landscape retailers need to watch in 2025!Nick and Laurence explore the key differences between the US and UK markets and how these shifts are impacting global supply chains and tariffs. From the changing dynamics of the UK consumer market to the evolving strategies for product pricing in uncertain times.We discuss where the biggest opportunities lie for retailers right now, how to navigate shifting consumer behaviour, and how to leverage data and insights to stay ahead of the competition. Tune in for actionable insights that will help you thrive in the year ahead!Links to resources:GfK Consumer Confidence Barometer: https://nielseniq.com/global/en/landing-page/consumer-confidence-barometer/CBI economic surveys: https://www.cbi.org.uk/cbi-economics/economic-surveys/ Bloomberg Economics: https://www.bloomberg.com/economics OECD global economic outlook: https://www.oecd.org/en/topics/sub-issues/economic-outlook.htmlSign up to the Growth Hub here: https://wwspodcast.com/pages/the-growth-hub Key takeaways:0:00 Introduction & About Laurence2:49 The Economic Difference With US & UK Going Into 20255:52 How The Economy Is Influencing Supply Chains & Tariffs11:48 Where are the Opportunities For Retailers Right Now?23:31 How The UK Spending Market Is Shifting30:08 How To Price Your Products33:11 How To Win This Year39:41 How to Find Good Sources for Business/Market Data43:21 Shopify Connect for CanvaCheck out our awesome partners!If you use Shopify and Canva, this app will save you time! seguno.com/canva Join the bootcamp and elevate your inventory game: https://info.brightpearl.com/winning-with-shopify-holiday-planning-bootcamp Book your extended 60 day FREE Influencer Marketing demo session with Afluencer here! https://afluencer.com/wwsSupport the show
Bloomberg Economics' Anna Wong has been nailing the data. Join Michael Green, CFA and Harley Bassman to discuss what she sees. For more information, https://www.simplify.us. Questions about the content discussed in this video? Please contact info@simplify.us. Simplify Asset Management Inc. is a Registered Investment Adviser. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Simplify Asset Management Inc. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission, nor does it indicate that the advisor has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy. This content is not intended to provide investment, tax, or legal advice. This content is solely for informational purposes and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. These materials are made available on an “as is” basis, without representation or warranty. The information contained in these materials has been obtained from sources that Simplify Asset Management Inc. believes to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. This information is only current as of the date indicated and may be superseded by subsequent market events or for other reasons. Neither the author nor Simplify Asset Management Inc. undertakes to advise you of any changes in the views expressed herein.
Bill Dudley, former New York Fed President, Bloomberg Opinion columnist, and Bloomberg Economics senior advisor, expects the Federal Reserve to make assumptions about the extension of the 2017 tax cuts. He speaks with Bloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz, Annmarie Hordern, and Dani BurgerSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The last time today's expert was on the program back in July, she was concerned about rising unemployment. Is she still as worried about it as we prepare to enter a new year with a new Administration taking over? To find out, we have the good fortune to talk today with Dr Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Prior to her current role, Anna also worked at the Federal Reserve Board, the White House Council of Economics Advisers, and the U.S. Treasury. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #unemployment #jobs #economy --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
Chris takes the helm for episode 249 of The Higher Standard podcast, delivering an insightful solo deep dive into the economic landscape. The episode kicks off by addressing the Federal Reserve's unexpected 50 basis point rate cut and its implications for the U.S. economy, drawing parallels to previous cuts in 2001 and 2007 that preceded recessions. ➡️ With a focus on the housing market, Chris unpacks the complexities of mortgage rates, home prices, and why current market conditions make rental property investments less profitable. He also delves into the intricacies of bond market reactions, providing listeners with a comprehensive understanding of the current financial climate and what it may mean for the future.