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Keir Starmer presentó su renuncia al cargo de primer ministro del Reino Unido; precio del crudo cae ante señales de avances EE.UU.-Irán; y Jimena Zúñiga, analista de Bloomberg Economics, comenta la reacción de mercado en Colombia tras el triunfo de Abelardo de la Espriella en segunda vuelta. Daybreak América Latina, las noticias diarias de mercados del mundo y la región, de lunes a viernes.Newsletter Cinco cosas: https://bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Nathan Hager take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to the next U.S PCE and GDP data, along with a focus on 3 stocks for the week ahead. In the UK – a look ahead to London Climate Action Week. In Asia – a look ahead to Australia CPI data. - Stuart Paul, US Economist with Bloomberg Economics, previews U.S PCE and GDP data.- Avalon Pernell, Bloomberg Equities Reporter, focuses on 3 stocks for the week ahead.- Joe Wertz, Bloomberg Weather and Climate Reporter, to preview London Climate Action Week.- Olivia Rudgard, Bloomberg Green reporter, to preview London Climate Action Week.- James McIntyre- Bloomberg Economist Covering Australia and New Zealand, previews Australia CPI data.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Nathan Hager take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to the next U.S PCE and GDP data, along with a focus on 3 stocks for the week ahead. In the UK – a look ahead to London Climate Action Week. In Asia – a look ahead to Australia CPI data. - Stuart Paul, US Economist with Bloomberg Economics, previews U.S PCE and GDP data.- Avalon Pernell, Bloomberg Equities Reporter, focuses on 3 stocks for the week ahead.- Joe Wertz, Bloomberg Weather and Climate Reporter, to preview London Climate Action Week.- Olivia Rudgard, Bloomberg Green reporter, to preview London Climate Action Week.- James McIntyre- Bloomberg Economist Covering Australia and New Zealand, previews Australia CPI data.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Nathan Hager take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to the next U.S PCE and GDP data, along with a focus on 3 stocks for the week ahead. In the UK – a look ahead to London Climate Action Week. In Asia – a look ahead to Australia CPI data. - Stuart Paul, US Economist with Bloomberg Economics, previews U.S PCE and GDP data.- Avalon Pernell, Bloomberg Equities Reporter, focuses on 3 stocks for the week ahead.- Joe Wertz, Bloomberg Weather and Climate Reporter, to preview London Climate Action Week.- Olivia Rudgard, Bloomberg Green reporter, to preview London Climate Action Week.- James McIntyre- Bloomberg Economist Covering Australia and New Zealand, previews Australia CPI data.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Los bonos del Tesoro de EE.UU. y los futuros de Wall Street avanzaban mientras los operadores aguardaban la decisión de la Reserva Federal en busca de señales sobre la política monetaria bajo la presidencia de Kevin Warsh; el crudo Brent se mantiene bajo los US$80 el barril; y Adriana Dupita de Bloomberg Economics comenta lo que se espera para hoy con la Reserva Federal y el Banco Central de Brasil. Daybreak América Latina, las noticias diarias de mercados del mundo y la región, de lunes a viernes.Newsletter Cinco cosas: https://bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Ivana Bargués y Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Caught between a more confrontational United States and growing competition from China, the European Union faces mounting pressure to boost growth, strengthen competitiveness and preserve its global influence. Ahead of the G7 summit, Bloomberg has been speaking with policymakers, investors and economists about Europe's path forward. In this special podcast, Stephen Carroll draws on conversations with former European Commission Executive Vice-President Margrethe Vestager, Columbia University's Anu Bradford and Citadel's Angel Ubide, alongside reporting from Bloomberg's Brussels Bureau Chief Suzanne Lynch, and exclusive Bloomberg Economics analysis from Chief Euro Area Economist Simona Delle Chiaie. They examine whether Europe is finally ready to deliver the reforms it has long discussed.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Your morning briefing. All the news you need to start your day.On today's podcast:(1) US and Israeli jets struck Iranian vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and other targets, hours after President Donald Trump had suggested negotiations with Tehran over an interim deal were progressing.(2) Israel will intensify its strikes against Hezbollah, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Monday, amid stepped-up negotiations between the US and Iran to bring an end to the conflict in the region.(3) Bloomberg Economics has found that find that 27% of workers in advanced economies — more than 120 million in the 31 countries — are likely to be meaningfully affected by AI. That's as Pope Leo XIV said artificial intelligence should be “disarmed” to protect humanity from its dangers.(4) Ebola is spreading faster in Democratic Republic of Congo than responders can contain it, the World Health Organization warned, as suspected deaths climbed above 220 and treatment centers came under attack in the country’s conflict-hit east. (5) The first heat wave of the season continues to scorch Europe over the coming week, sending temperatures toward monthly records in the UK, France and Spain.(6) Israel's economy slumped in the first quarter of the year due to the fallout of the war with Iran. The country has been in a near constant state of conflict over the past 2 years. It is seeing a brain drain, falling foreign direct investment and ballooning defense budgets -- all as Israel prepares to hold elections by October.Podcast Conversation: Swiss Trader Had Lucrative Role Getting Iraqi Oil Through HormuzSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Las bolsas globales se acercaban a máximos históricos y los futuros de los índices de EE.UU. avanzaban, mientras el Brent caía casi 5%, por debajo de US$100 por barril, ante señales de que EE.UU. está cerca de alcanzar un acuerdo con Irán; continúan los bloqueos de carreteras y la escasez de alimentos en La Paz; y Jimena Zúñiga, analista de Bloomberg Economics, comenta las próximas elecciones en Colombia.Newsletter Cinco cosas: https://bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Markets at all-time highs. A closed strait. The hottest inflation prints in years. The UK government is hanging by a thread. A US-China summit that resolved precisely nothing. We ask the only question that matters right now: how long can you keep running on empty?This week's episode covers six themes that are all pointing in the same direction.What We Cover1. The Global Equity Market ParadoxThe S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index are at or near all-time highs. Oil is at $107. PPI is at a three-year high. The TACO trade (Trump Always Chickens Out) has been embarrassingly profitable — but a new Tex-Mex metaphor has entered the chat: NACHO. Not Any Chance Hormuz Opens. Michael Green warns the equity bid is structural, not rational — and when that unwinds, there are no conventional warning signs.2. Oil Inventory Maths — The Runway Is Running OutThe IEA reports global stockpiles fell 250 million barrels in March and April alone. JP Morgan's note — The Illusion of Plenty — puts OECD inventories at operational stress levels by early June and operational floor levels by September. Capital Economics sees $130–$140/barrel as the base case if Hormuz stays shut. And even a reopening tomorrow can't fix things fast enough — mine clearance, vessel redeployment, infrastructure repair: minimum two to three months.The canary in the coal mine turned out to be in Havana. Cuba ran out of fuel entirely. The energy minister's quote: "We have absolutely no fuel oil. We have absolutely no diesel." That's the Hormuz crisis on a human scale.3. Inflation is No Longer Just About Energy US CPI: 3.8% year-on-year. PPI: 6%, the highest since December 2022. Truck freight costs up 8.1% — the biggest jump since 2009. Services inflation up 1.2% in a single month. Real average hourly earnings have turned negative for the first time since April 2023. The Bank of England's Megan Greene: "Inflation risks are entirely on the upside." The second-round effects are now landing. Global bond yields are at one-year highs.4. Kevin Warsh's Impossible New JobConfirmed 54–45 — the narrowest Senate margin since Fed chair confirmation became required in 1977. For context: Powell got 84, Yellen got 56. Warsh scraped through. On his first day as chair-elect, PPI printed at 6%. CME FedWatch now prices a 30% chance of a rate hike by year-end. His first FOMC meeting: June 16th. It may be the most consequential since Volcker walked in on August 14th, 1979. We know how that one ended.5. The UK: Where the Bond Market Is the GovernmentLabour lost nearly 1,500 council seats. Reform took 1,451 of them. Gordon Brown turned up — and when Gordon Brown is the answer, someone is asking the wrong question. Wes Streeting walked into Downing Street. 94 MPs publicly called for Starmer to go. Andy Burnham booked his return ticket. The pound had its worst week since November 2024. The 30-year gilt sits near 5.7% — above every developed world peer. Bloomberg Economics estimates the May yield move alone adds £2 billion to the UK debt interest bill. Gilt traders are underweight. The market is now pricing the worst-case scenario for bonds — and Andy Burnham is it.6. The Summit That Resolved NothingYMCA played at the state banquet. Xi promised Trump rose seeds. Jensen Huang boarded Air Force One in Alaska. Boeing was promised 200 jets — the market expected 500; Boeing fell 4%. Xi made clear Taiwan is the most important issue in US-China relations and that independence is "fundamentally incompatible with peace." Trump didn't answer when asked about it. The $14 billion arms package for Taipei remains unsigned. China called the Iran conflict one that "should never have happened" — diplomatic code for neutrality, unless major concessions materialise elsewhere. Like Taiwan, perhaps.As Gerard Baker put it in The Times, this is the first time in nearly a century that an American president met another power's leader on equal terms. Trump came seeking help, not making demands.The Bottom LineInflation has moved beyond energy into services and freight. The UK bond market is delivering daily verdicts on a government in freefall. Oil inventory maths has weeks of runway left. The summit didn't deliver on Iran. Hormuz is being normalised under Iranian control — not reopened. Equities are at records. Something is going to break. The question is what, when, and whether Kevin Warsh has any idea what's walking toward him on June 16th.Jackson Browne told us in 1977: "I'm running on empty, and I'm running blind."People & Institutions ReferencedMichael Green · Michael Burry · Jensen Huang · Kevin Warsh · Paul Volcker · Keir Starmer · Andy Burnham · Wes Streeting · Angela Rayner · Gordon Brown · Kemi Badenoch · Nigel Farage · Megan Greene (Bank of England) · Jim Lee (EIU) · Gerard Baker · Donald Trump · Xi Jinping · Saudi Aramco CEO · JP Morgan · IEA · Capital Economics · CME FedWatch · TD Securities · Morgan Stanley · Bloomberg EconomicsSponsorFinance Talking — specialist financial training for capital markets, business finance, and communications. Clients include Rio Tinto, HSBC, Unilever, and Shell. Virtual, in-person, and e-learning options available. Please tell them Jeremy sent you.Brought to you by Progressive Equity.Keywordsoil price crisis · Strait of Hormuz · US inflation CPI PPI 2025 · Kevin Warsh Federal Reserve · UK gilt crisis · UK Labour leadership crisis · Andy Burnham · Trump Xi summit Beijing · equity market all-time highs · TACO trade NACHO trade · Michael Green passive investing · oil inventory IEA · Jackson Browne running on empty · macro investing podcast · active investor podcast · capital markets 2025Subscribe & FollowIn the Company of Mavericks — helping serious active investors navigate market volatility, protect capital, and find new ways to grow wealth in radically uncertain times.⚠️ Nothing in this episode constitutes investment advice. For information and entertainment only. You are responsible for your own financial decisions.
As a high-stakes Trump–Xi summit looms, tensions over the Iran war and defiance of US sanctions threaten to derail what could be one of the year’s most consequential meetings. On Trumponomics, Bloomberg's Stephanie Flanders is joined by Jennifer Welch, chief geoeconomics analyst for Bloomberg Economics and Bloomberg News executive editor Dan Ten Kate to unpack whether the talks will happen—and what’s really at stake for the global economy if they do.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
As a high-stakes Trump–Xi summit looms, tensions over the Iran war and defiance of US sanctions threaten to derail what could be one of the year’s most consequential meetings. On Trumponomics, Bloomberg's Stephanie Flanders is joined by Jennifer Welch, chief geoeconomics analyst for Bloomberg Economics and Bloomberg News executive editor Dan Ten Kate to unpack whether the talks will happen—and what’s really at stake for the global economy if they do.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Los futuros del Nasdaq subían, impulsados por los fabricantes de chips luego de que el sólido pronóstico de Intel disparara sus acciones en el premercado; crudo sube con Ormuz prácticamente paralizado; soldado de EE.UU. habría usado información clasificada sobre captura de Nicolás Maduro; Jimena Zúñiga, analista de Bloomberg Economics, explica la relevancia para los mercados el proceso de selección del próximo secretario general de la ONU. Newsletter Cinco cosas: https://bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The ceasefire between the US and Iran is set to expire next week and the US is trying a different tactic to pressure Iran into a deal: a naval blockade. On today’s Big Take podcast, Bloomberg Economics defense lead Becca Wasser and Bloomberg Middle East Breaking News editor Patrick Sykes join Sarah Holder to break down how the US’s naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz works, what could happen if it’s tested and how this latest pressure move could influence another round of Iran-US peace talks. Hosted by Sarah Holder; Produced by David Fox; Reported by Becca Wasser and Patrick Sykes; Edited by Paddy Hirsch. Fact-checking by Rachael Lewis-Krisky and Laura Newcombe; Engineering by Alex Sugiura. Senior Producer: Naomi Shavin; Deputy Executive Producer: Julia Weaver. Executive Producer: Nicole Beemsterboer.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Donald Trump insistió en que la reapertura del estrecho de Ormuz es una condición clave para poner fin a la guerra con Irán y amenazó con atacar infraestructura crítica si no se cumple su plazo de las 8 p.m. ET; Apartan al presidente de Ecopetrol por posible tráfico de influencias; Jimena Zúñiga de Bloomberg Economics, comenta su más reciente informe sobre el mayor riesgo político en Argentina. Newsletter Cinco cosas: https://bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
We’re sharing something a little different in the Daybreak Europe feed today, the the latest episode of Here’s Why hosted by Stephen Carroll.While Daybreak Europe brings you the essential news each morning, Here’s Why takes one major global story each week and explores the deeper context behind it. In this episode, Stephen is joined by Becca Wasser, Defense Lead at Bloomberg Economics, to examine the Iran war as it shifts into a more sustained military campaign. As strikes continue across the region, they discuss weapons supply, defensive capacity and what the pace of operations could mean for how the conflict unfolds. If you want more episodes search for Here’s Why and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. New episodes are released every week. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
El crudo Brent llegó a rozar los US$120 antes de moderar sus alzas, ya que la guerra en Irán no muestra señales de remitir y productores en Medio Oriente recortando la producción; G7 evalúa liberar reservas de petróleo: fuentes; Trump reúne a sus aliados de América Latina en Florida; y Jimena Zúñiga, analista de Bloomberg Economics, comenta como una transición democrática en Venezuela podría calmar al mercado energético. Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
A major factor that could limit hostilities in Iran and the Middle East is munitions — what weapons each side is using, and how quickly they might run out. On today’s Big Take podcast, Sarah Holder talks to Bloomberg global defense editor Gerry Doyle and Bloomberg Economics defense lead Becca Wasser about how long the US and Iran can carry on missile and drone strikes, what happens next in the region and what opportunity cost the US could pay for picking this battle now. Read more: Iran’s Missile Math: $20,000 Drones Take on $4 Million Patriots Ukraine Offers Help Downing Iran Drones in Exchange for Patriot Missiles Hosted by Sarah Holder; Produced by Julia Press; Reported by Gerry Doyle and Becca Wasser (Bloomberg Economics); Edited by Jeffrey Grocott. Fact-checking by David Fox and Rachael Lewis-Krisky; Engineering by Katie McMurran. Senior Producer: Naomi Shavin; Deputy Executive Producer: Julia Weaver; Executive Producer: Nicole Beemsterboer.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Islamic revolution that swept Iran in 1979 changed not only that state but also the region, and the world. The current war in and Iran can still be understood as a direct outcome of that event.The humiliation of the US in 1979 made it implacably opposed to Iran. The alignment of most of the Gulf states with the US and their increasing ties with Israel also created a complex balance. On the other hand, Iran's spread of influence through its "Shia Crescent" in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, with offshoots in Yemen and Gaza, made it a formidable and threatening presence.It is upon this background that the US-Israeli strikes commenced on February 28, engulfing the whole region in destruction and disorder.Dina Esfandiary, Middle East lead at Bloomberg Economics, is an excellent guide to this complex reality. With clarity and depths of knowledge, this is the conversation we all need now.This episode was recorded on 5 March 2026ChaptersIran's response and regional implicationsHistorical context of Gulf-Iran rivalryIran's military capabilities and regional concernsWhat motived the US to strike Iran?The plight of the Iranian peopleMentions[Dina's articles - Bloomberg](https://www.bloomberg.com/authors/AV0Rw29Q1B0/dina-esfandiary](https://www.bloomberg.com/authors/AV0Rw29Q1B0/dina-esfandiary)FollowDina Esfandiary LinkedIn & X/TwitterIlana Bet-ElInstagram @women_leaders_podcastListen this episode on our YouTube channelOur partner European Leadership Network Twitter LinkedIn Facebook websiteCreditsProduction: Florence FerrandoMusic: Let Good Times Roll, RA from #Uppbeat (free for Creators!): https://uppbeat.io/t/ra/let-good-times-rollLicense code: ZXIIIJUU2ISPZIJTContribute to the conversation with a comment & a 5-⭐️Reach us on our Instagram and follow for updates @women_leaders_podcastWatch now our episode on Youtube Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Middle East Geoeconomics Lead for Bloomberg Economics, Dina Esfandiary, joins "Bloomberg Surveillance Radio" to talk about the US military buildup in the Middle East.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The jury is still out for many analysts on the outlook for economic growth, inflation and the labor market this year.Some see lots of reasons for concern for the road ahead.Others are much more convinced 2026 is going to be a blockbuster year.Which is more likely?To find out, we have the good fortune to talk today with Dr Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Prior to her current role, Anna also worked at the Federal Reserve Board, the White House Council of Economics Advisers, and the U.S. Treasury.Anna and her team started the year quite bullish, seeing many of last year's headwinds turning into tailwinds in 2026.But, in light of recent developments, she's starting to turn more cautious.To find out why, watch this video.Follow Anna on Bloomberg by typing BECO + "Go"Or on X at @AnnaEconomistREGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S SPRING ONLINE CONFERENCE AT THE EARLY BIRD DISCOUNT PRICE at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#gdp #inflation #unemploymentrate _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
In a week when airpower news came from every angle, Becca Wasser was on top of it all. She leads defense research at Bloomberg Economics, and we cover operations, force posture, industry, and UAS with her. Plus this week's headlines in airpower. All powered by GE!
China impuso nuevos controles a las exportaciones hacia Japón de productos que podrían tener uso militar; el cobre prolongó un fuerte rally tras superar por primera vez los US$13.000 por tonelada debido a las apuestas de un mercado más ajustado; ejecutivos e inversionistas de la industria petrolera ven a Delcy Rodríguez como la figura llamada a ocupar el lugar de Nicolás Maduro en Venezuela y profundizamos sobre lo que se viene para el país con Jimena Zúñiga de Bloomberg Economics.Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo Thomson, Ivana Bargues, Ignacio Olivera Doll y Stephen WicarySee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Acciones tecnológicas suben tras optimistas previsiones de Micron; emergencia económica en Bolivia; Trump busca calmar por aumentos en el costo de la vida; y Adriana Dupita de Bloomberg Economics comenta la candidatura presidencial de Flavio Bolsonaro.Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo Thomson See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Los mercados están levemente alcistas en Europa y Asia y cerrados en EE.UU. por el Día de Acción de Gracias; México ordena detención de coproprietario de Miss Universo; y Jimena Zúñiga, analista de temas geopolíticos de Bloomberg Economics, comenta por qué crece la posibilidad de una salida negociada de Nicolás Maduro del poder en Venezuela. Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Inflation has returned to Japan after decades of near-zero price growth, with consumer prices rising close to 3% – the fastest since the 1980s. The cost-of-living squeeze, driven by food prices, helped topple the previous administration and propel Sanae Takaichi to power as Japan's first female prime minister. Her pro-growth, big government stance promises fiscal stimulus, but risks complicating the Bank of Japan's efforts to contain sticky inflation. Taro Kimura, Japan senior economist at Bloomberg Economics and Bank of Japan veteran, joins John on the Asia Centric podcast. He explains why inflation may be higher for longer and what Takaichi's policies mean for BOJ independence. He also covers the prime minister's remarks on Taiwan that sparked tension with Beijing, adding a geopolitical layer to Japan's economic challenges.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
I don't think that the next Fed chair does much to change my expectations for the terminal rate this cycle, says Stuart Paul, US & Canada Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Paul is joined by BI chief US rates strategist Ira Jersey and senior US & Canada rates-strategy associate Will Hoffman to discuss takeaways from the recent Federal Reserve, and Bank of Canada meetings. The trio discuss the outlook for monetary policy and yields on both sides of the border. They also touch on the upcoming release of the Canadian federal budget, the end of the Federal Reserve's asset runoff program and what comes next for balance sheet policy, in addition to the impact of political influence on the path of monetary policy.The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.
El rally en Wall Street se toma una pausa; el CEO de Goldman Sachs dice no estar preocupado por el crédito privado; más tensión en el Caribe; y Jimena Zúñiga, analista de Bloomberg Economics, comenta cómo queda el panorama de reformas tras la sorpresiva victoria de Javier Milei en las legislativas en Argentina.Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
CPI às 9:30; Bloomberg Economics projeta +0,3% m/m, o que daria sinal verde para o Fed reduzir juros na próxima semana.
El oro superó por primera vez los US$4.000 la onza, en un récord histórico; sigue el entusiasmo en el mercado por la inteligencia artificial; México arriesga nuevo arancel a camiones; atacan caravana de Daniel Noboa en Ecuador; y Jimena Zúñiga de Bloomberg Economics comenta la distensión en las relaciones entre EE.UU. y Brasil. Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Much concern has been raised of late about how the economy is slowing and recession risk is rising.But is that really true?Or, could we already be through the worst of things, with the economy strengthening from here?To find out, we have the good fortune to talk today with Dr Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Prior to her current role, Anna also worked at the Federal Reserve Board, the White House Council of Economics Advisers, and the U.S. Treasury.In today's discussion, Anna explains why she has recently turned from being bearish (for years) to guardedly bullish.TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#bullmarket #economicrecovery #unemployment _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
El precios del oro sigue imparable gracias a medidas de China mientras que los futuros en Wall Street están sin rumbo; OCDE elevó su proyección de crecimiento para 2025 pero advierte que el próximo año también se sentirá el golpe; Javier Milei tendrá reuniones clave en Nueva York; y Jimena Zúñiga de Bloomberg Economics comenta si los ataques contra botes narco venezolanos servirán en la guerra contra las drogas.Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Anglo American acordó comprar Teck, creando una empresa valorada en más de US$50.000 millones; mercado atento a revisión de cifras de empleo en EE.UU.; Jimena Zúñiga, analista de Bloomberg Economics, explica por qué el mercado tomó tan mal la derrota electoral de Javier Milei en la provincia de Buenos Aires.Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo ThomsonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Tom Busby take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to CPI and PPI data and Apple’s September 9th In the UK – on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event. In Asia – a look ahead to China August CPI and PPI data. - Stuart Paul, US Economist with Bloomberg Economics, to preview CPI and PPI data.- Mark Gurman, Bloomberg News Managing Editor for Global Consumer Tech, to preview Apple’s September 9th event.- Ros Mathieson, Bloomberg Chief Asia Correspondent, on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event.- Tony Halpin, Russian Government and Economy Team Leader, on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event.- Mary Nicola, Bloomberg MLIV Strategist in Singapore, discusses China August CPI and PPI data.- Kevin Sneader, APAC ex-Japan President at Goldman Sachs, discusses China’s stock rally.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Tom Busby take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to CPI and PPI data and Apple’s September 9th In the UK – on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event. In Asia – a look ahead to China August CPI and PPI data. - Stuart Paul, US Economist with Bloomberg Economics, to preview CPI and PPI data.- Mark Gurman, Bloomberg News Managing Editor for Global Consumer Tech, to preview Apple’s September 9th event.- Ros Mathieson, Bloomberg Chief Asia Correspondent, on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event.- Tony Halpin, Russian Government and Economy Team Leader, on global defence industry gathering in London for the UK's flagship sector event.- Mary Nicola, Bloomberg MLIV Strategist in Singapore, discusses China August CPI and PPI data.- Kevin Sneader, APAC ex-Japan President at Goldman Sachs, discusses China’s stock rally.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On today's podcast: 1) President Trump asks the Supreme Court to uphold his global tariff regime. A defeat for Trump would cut the current average US effective tariff rate by at least half and could force the US to refund tens of billions of dollars, according to Bloomberg Economics analyst Chris Kennedy.2) A major court victory for Harvard University in its fight for federal research funds. A court ruled that the US illegally froze more than $2 billion in research funding to Harvard University, violating the school's free speech rights and not following proper procedures. The Trump administration plans to appeal the decision, with a White House spokeswoman calling it "egregious" and stating that Harvard "does not have a constitutional right to taxpayer dollars and remains ineligible for grants in the future."3) President Trump's bid to reshape the Fed goes before a Senate confirmation hearing today. The Senate Banking Committee is holding a confirmation hearing on Stephen Miran's appointment to be a governor of the Federal Reserve, a nomination made by President Donald Trump. Miran has said he will preserve the Fed's independence, stating that "independence of monetary policy is a critical element for its success" and that he intends to "preserve that independence and serve the American people to the best of my ability."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Comienza el juicio del Supremo Tribunal Federal de Brasil contra el expresidente Jair Bolsonaro, acusado de organizar un intento de golpe de Estado tras su derrota electoral en 2022; el presidente Vladímir Putin parece haber asegurado una victoria diplomática que buscaba desde hace años con un enorme acuerdo de gasoducto que ataría a Rusia y China durante décadas y podría redefinir el comercio global del gas; y conversamos con Felipe Hernández de Bloomberg Economics, sobre el proyecto de Gustavo Petro en Colombia de elevar los impuestos a los más ricos.Newsletter Cinco cosas: bloom.bg/42Gu4pGLinkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bloomberg-en-espanol/Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@bloombergenespanolX: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanolProducción: Eduardo Thomson; Ivana Bargues; Stephen WicarySee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The perception of the UK economic outlook on a macro level may be perceived to be negative through the lens of social media. In this edition of the All Options Considered podcast, BI chief global derivatives Strategist Tanvir Sandhu is joined by Dan Hanson, chief UK economist at Bloomberg Economics to discuss the state of the economy, bond market volatility and the fiscal outlook.
Asian stocks were poised for a mainly positive open Thursday as investors continued to ramp up bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month. Meantime, Bloomberg Economics says China's July activity data due Friday will likely show signs growth softened heading into the second half, echoing early indications in business surveys and tracking its full-year outlook. We get more on the state of China's economy from Helen Zhu, Managing Partner and Chief Investment Officer at NF Trinity.Plus - stocks have soared to record levels and volatility has slumped to multi-year lows as traders now fully expect a quarter-point move by the Fed after an inflation print earlier this week was seen as benign. External pressure is also coming from President Donald Trump's administration with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent making his most explicit demand yet for the central bank to execute a cycle of cuts. We discuss what the Fed's path ahead may look like with Ross Mayfield, Investment Strategist at Baird Private Wealth Management.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Economists and politicians told us that President Trump's tariffs would spark foreign retaliation and drive up domestic prices. But current economic data are beginning to tell a different story. Anna Wong, chief U.S. economist at Bloomberg Economics, joins Oren to discuss what the post-Liberation Day data are telling us. As tariff rates begin to stabilize due to trade deals, Wong breaks down how tariffs are reshaping firm behavior, potentially driving a wave of future domestic investment by realigning incentivizes. Additionally, Anna and Oren explain why the punditry class's fixation on near-term CPI levels is missing the bigger story.
1) President Trump's tariffs take effect at their highest levels since World War 2. President Trump’s actions will push the average US tariff rate to 15.2%, according to Bloomberg Economics estimates, with some countries facing duties as high as 50%. The president has pledged that the tariffs will slash trade deficits and push companies to move manufacturing back to the US, but his critics say they could cause inflation to spiral out of control and cause shortages on store shelves.2) The Kremlin said Presidents Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump will meet for summit talks within the next few days. President Trump said there was a "very good chance" he would meet with Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy soon in another bid to broker peace between the two countries.3) The president slaps significant levies on semiconductors — with a key exemption. President Trump declared plans to slap a 100% tariff on semiconductor imports, but promised to exempt companies that move production back to the US. Companies that demonstrate a commitment to building in the US, such as Apple, will be exempt from tariffs on chips, according to Trump.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Anna Wong, Chief US Economist at Bloomberg Economics, analyzes shocking jobs revisions showing only 35,000 jobs added over three months and questions whether this signals real weakness or statistical noise. Using her team's "12 million prices project," she reveals tariff pass-through is already happening with audio equipment up 11%, while services inflation may rebound as consumer sentiment improves. Drawing on White House experience during the 2019 trade war, Wong argues tariff uncertainty damages the economy more than tariffs themselves. She warns we may already be in recession and expects Fed rate cuts delayed until December.Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia Links:https://x.com/AnnaEconomist0:00 Welcome and introduction - Anna Wong, Chief US Economist at Bloomberg Economics1:05 Big picture economy - last Friday's payroll flipped everything upside down2:58 Forward looking indicators suggest investment picking up in second half4:06 Massive jobs revisions - 35,000 three-month hiring trend6:20 Are the revisions a fluke or signal of real weakness?9:53 Three sectors driving downward revisions - construction, leisure, logistics11:26 Non-farm payrolls as most market-moving economic indicator14:05 Why employment data is so error-prone - birth-death model problems16:48 Monetary Metals ad read18:00 How Friday's report impacts Fed September meeting prospects20:00 Fed forecasting - 80% effort on inflation and jobs data21:18 12 million prices project tracking tariff pass-through25:00 Services inflation vs tariff impact - the real story30:00 Top 20% income earners driving swing consumption32:32 Fed outlook - rate cuts likely delayed until December34:34 White House experience in 2019-2020 - lessons on tariffs and travel bans40:00 Markets driven by TACO and FOMO - set for huge volatility41:02 What keeps Anna up at night - are we already in recession?43:23 Optimism on tariff narrative shifting and uncertainty resolution45:00 AI concerns - people in their 20s dropping from labor force
On today's podcast: 1) Markets take a hit as President Trump unleashes a wave of new tariff rates. The world is facing some of the steepest US tariffs since the 1930s, with an average of 15%, according to the text. So far, the global economy has held up better than many economists expected after Trump’s initial tariff blitz. A rush to beat the elevated rates spurred a front-loading of exports, aiding many Asian economies and shielding US consumers from price spikes.2) Shares of Amazon sell off while Apple rises following the latest tech earnings. Apple reported its fastest quarterly revenue growth in more than three years, with revenue rising 9.6% to $94 billion in the fiscal third quarter. Amazon dropped in premarket trading after projecting weaker-than-expected operating income and trailing the sales growth of its cloud rivals. CEO Andy Jassy said it was "very early days" in artificial intelligence, and that the company's efforts to lower the costs of running AI applications would draw more customers over time.3) Investors prepare for the July jobs report to wrap up a week of key US economic data. Bloomberg Economics predicts July’s seasonally adjusted nonfarm payrolls to increase by 160,000 — higher than the consensus expectation of 105,000.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Federal Reserve kept a key interest rate stable this week. Mike McKee, Bloomberg Economics Editor, joins Megan Lynch with reasons why.
The yen recouped some of last week's losses as investors weighed the extent of the defeat suffered by Japan's ruling coalition in the weekend's upper-house election. Asian stock markets edged down. Japan's currency had dropped for two weeks and bond yields spiked ahead of the vote on concern a poor showing by Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba would open the door to more spending and tax cuts. While the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its partner lost their majority in the chamber, their final tally may be enough to keep Ishiba in the job. We get reaction from Shuntaro Takeuchi, Portfolio Manager at Matthews Asia. Plus - Donald Trump is struggling to get the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, but policymakers around the world won't need so much convincing. The US president's tariff onslaught is likely to force further measured easing in coming months by most of the 23 central banks featured in this quarterly guide on the global monetary outlook, according to Bloomberg Economics. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller hinted he would dissent if his colleagues vote to hold interest rates steady at their July meeting, making his case for a rate cut to support the labor market. We take a look at the Fed's path ahead with Clayton Triick, Head of Portfolio Management, Public Strategies, at Angel Oak Capital.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Asian shares edged lower at the Wednesday open after President Donald Trump said he won't delay the July 9 deadline for imposing higher levies on trading partners, ratcheting up trade tensions yet again. Back in June, China and the US reaffirmed their May trade truce, sustaining a rebound in trade flows and propelling China's economic momentum. Bloomberg Economics says consumption also showed signs of revival, but the trend is unlikely to last without continuous policy efforts that promote domestic demand. We take a look at the state of the Chinese economy with Shehzad Qazi, Chief Operating Officer and Managing Director at China Beige Book International. Plus - US job openings hit the highest since November, largely fueled by leisure and hospitality, and layoffs declined. Federal Reserve policymakers have consistently characterized labor-market conditions as strong in recent weeks. Fed Chair Jerome Powell repeated that the US central bank probably would have cut rates further this year absent Trump's expanded use of tariffs, although he didn't rule out easing at its meeting later this month. We get market insights from Jeff Grills, Head of EM Debt at Aegon Asset Management.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to U.S GDP and personal spending data and Nike earnings. In the UK – a look ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference. In Asia – a look ahead to Bloomberg’s China economic survey.-----------------------------------------------------------------Guests:-Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent, to preview next week's U.S GDP/personal spending data.- Poonam Goyal, Senior U.S. E-Commerce and Retail Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, to preview Nike earnings. -Leo Kehnscherper, Bloomberg European Asset Management Reporter, looks ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference. -Julian Harris, UK Economics Editor, looks ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference. - Eric Zhu, China Economist for Bloomberg Economics, discusses Bloomberg’s China Economic Survey. -Karishma Vaswani, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist in Singapore, discusses her column: “US Rethink on Australia Subs Is China’s Win.” See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The structural dollar bearish case is holding into 2H, though fiscal considerations are what dollar bears may lean on going forward after being driven mainly by tariff uncertainty and the impact on the de-dollarization narrative. Bloomberg Intelligence's Chief G10FX Strategist Audrey Childe-Freeman talks to Stuart Paul, US and Canada economist at Bloomberg Economics, about the US debt dynamics and how the fiscal outlook could shape and drive the dollar view into 2H. Stuart and Audrey also touch on the narrow path to a potential dollar recovery via short-term cyclical dynamics should the US economy prove more resilient than expected. This isn't Bloomberg Intelligence's central working assumption, but it's a scenario worth acknowledging.
The International Monetary Fund released a forecast this week projecting that global GDP will grow just 2.8% — down half a percentage point since US President Donald Trump unleashed a raft of tariffs on April 2. Their projection for US GDP growth was particularly grim: Down nearly an entire percentage point from expectations earlier this year. And they’re not alone. As economists try to measure the potential outcome from the current trade war and the whiplash of on-again-off-again tariffs, Bloomberg Economics landed on similar GDP projections On today’s episode of the Big Take, host Sarah Holder is joined by Bloomberg’s Enda Curran and Bloomberg Economics Chief Economist Tom Orlik to discuss what these projections can — and can’t — tell us about where the trade war could lead.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Today's guest had one of the best track records last year in forecasting key economic indicators like rates of inflation and unemployment.Now that we have a new Administration in place, one aggressively deploying disruptive economic policy changes, where does she see the key indicators heading from here?To find out, we have the good fortune to talk today with Dr Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Prior to her current role, Anna also worked at the Federal Reserve Board, the White House Council of Economics Advisers, and the U.S. Treasury.Anna is concerned that the decelerating economy is at risk of becoming a slow-motion train wreck, which the recent Liberation Day slew of new tariffs will only exacerbate. It wouldn't surprise her to see the S&P lose an additional 30% of its market value from here as the year continues.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com
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