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Over the past few weeks, Taiwan's military has been on high alert after China deployed warships and fighter jets around the island to conduct unannounced maritime drills. And some are now questioning whether China could be gearing up for a military attack. Foreign Policy Deputy Editor Sasha Polakow-Suransky is joined by Jessica Chen Weiss, a professor of China studies at Johns Hopkins University and a former senior advisor at the U.S. State Department, and Markus Garlauskas, director of the Indo-Pacific Security Initiative at the Atlantic Council and the former U.S. National Intelligence Officer for North Korea. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This week on Security Dilemma, John Allen Gay and Patrick Carver Fox spoke with Dr. Paul R. Pillar, a 28-year veteran of the Central Intelligence Agency who served as the National Intelligence Officer for the Near East and South Asia from 2000 to 2005. A Vietnam veteran, he rose to serve as the Executive Assistant to CIA Director William Webster, the Deputy Director of the CIA Counterterrorism Center and now is a valuable critic of U.S. foreign policy as a non-resident fellow at Georgetown University's Center for Security Studies. Today, we're going to talk about Israeli airstrikes on Iranian diplomatic facilities in Damascus, tensions with Hezbollah, the Biden Administration's approach to the offensive in Gaza, the prospect of Israeli elections and more.
***This lecture is sponsored by the IWP IAFIE Alpha Student Chapter*** About the Lecture: "The Politicization of U.S. Intelligence: Causes and Consequences” is a presentation in association with Dr. Gentry's recent book, Neutering the CIA: Why US Intelligence Versus Trump Has Long-Term Consequences (Armin Lear Press, 2023). Beginning in 2016 and continuing into 2021, current and former U.S. intelligence officers engaged in domestic partisan politics to an unprecedented extent. This discussion will describe and assess what happened at various agencies, the causes of the politicization, consequences for the agencies and national decision-making, and prospects for renewed politicization in 2024. ***Copies of Dr. Gentry's book will be made available for purchase at the conclusion of the event and can be signed by the author.*** Purchase the book here. About the Author: Dr. John A. Gentry teaches for the School of Defense and Strategic Studies, Missouri State University. He was for 12 years an intelligence analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency, where he mainly worked on economic issues associated with the Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact countries; for two of those years, he was a senior analyst on the staff of the National Intelligence Officer for Warning. He is a retired U.S. Army Reserve officer, with most assignments in special operations and intelligence arenas. He was mobilized in 1996 and spent much of 1996 as a civil affairs officer in Bosnia. Dr. Gentry formerly taught at Georgetown University, Columbia University, and the National Intelligence University. He has an economics background and received a Ph.D. in political science from George Washington University. He writes regularly on intelligence and security issues. His most recently published book is Neutering the CIA: Why US Intelligence versus Trump Has Long-Term Consequences (Armin Lear Press, 2023).
This week, Patrick C. Fox and guest co-host A.J. Manuzzi interview Dr. Paul Heer, a decorated former intelligence official and National Intelligence Officer for East Asia from 2007 to 2015. Now a Non-Resident Senior Fellow at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, Dr. Heer's book Mr. X and the Pacific was just released in paperback. Our conversation covers how China and Xi Jinping think, the foreign policy legacy of George F. Kennan and the role that the intelligence community should play in foreign policy.
The Cognitive Crucible is a forum that presents different perspectives and emerging thought leadership related to the information environment. The opinions expressed by guests are their own, and do not necessarily reflect the views of or endorsement by the Information Professionals Association. During this episode, Meredith Wilson of Emergent Risk International discusses the increasingly complex world that companies are navigating today. Our conversation touches upon Chinese export controls, the Russia/Ukraine War, environmental-social-governance (ESG) dynamics, and government policies regarding sharing classified material. Research Question: Meredith suggests an interested student examine how Western companies go forward in today's shifting global landscape with a dual-structured economy. Resources: Cognitive Crucible Podcast Episodes Mentioned #85 Josh Kerbel on Complexity and Anticipatory Intelligence #110 Sean McFate on The New Rules of War Emergent Risk International International Traffic in Arms Regulations Political Risk: How Businesses and Organizations Can Anticipate Global Insecurity by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart Scary Smart: The Future of Artificial Intelligence and How You Can Save Our World by Mo Gawdat Link to full show notes and resources https://information-professionals.org/episode/cognitive-crucible-episode-162 Guest Bio: Meredith Wilson has over 20 years experience in intelligence, government, corporate and international environments. She started Emergent Risk International with the belief that, with the proper strategy and mindset, risk intelligence could add more than worry to an organization's bottom line. As a former Defense Intelligence Officer as well as an oil and gas industry veteran – first building a risk intelligence function for ConocoPhillips and then for Kosmos Energy – Ms. Wilson has seen how intelligence can function well in both environments, but also how differently these functions operate within their organizations. With that knowledge and an extremely talented and adventurous team, since its founding in 2014, ERI has grown into a multi-national company with offices in the United States (Dallas, Austin, Washington DC and greater Boston), the United Kingdom, Ireland, and Singapore; serving some of the world's most valuable brands. Ms. Wilson was a founding member of the Private Sector Intelligence Council (PSIC) and a Founding Board Member of the Association of International Risk and Intelligence Professionals (AIRIP). She previously served on the Business Intelligence Advisory Council for the National Intelligence Officer for Science and Technology. She spent much of her early career abroad, living in Southeast Asia and Europe. She, her family, and her three furry coworkers currently call Rhode Island home. About: The Information Professionals Association (IPA) is a non-profit organization dedicated to exploring the role of information activities, such as influence and cognitive security, within the national security sector and helping to bridge the divide between operations and research. Its goal is to increase interdisciplinary collaboration between scholars and practitioners and policymakers with an interest in this domain. For more information, please contact us at communications@information-professionals.org. Or, connect directly with The Cognitive Crucible podcast host, John Bicknell, on LinkedIn. Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate, 1) IPA earns from qualifying purchases, 2) IPA gets commissions for purchases made through links in this post.
Sean Kanuck is an international attorney and professional intelligence analyst who advises governments, corporations, and entrepreneurs on the future of information technology. Sean served as the first U.S. National Intelligence Officer for Cyber Issues from 2011 to 2016 after a decade of experience in the CIA's Information Operations Center, including both analytic and field assignments. He currently teaches graduate courses at George Washington University's Elliott School of International Affairs and George Mason University's Law School on the security implications of artificial intelligence and ethics in national security law, respectively. His academic publications focus on cyber security, information warfare, international law, and more recently, the peaceful and ethical use of emerging technologies. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/out-of-the-blank/support
In this episode of Intelligence Matters, host Michael Morell speaks with former senior CIA analyst and National Intelligence Officer for East Asia John Culver about the rippling implications of the Chinese surveillance balloon shot down over U.S. territory. Culver and Morell discuss Beijing's possible intentions behind deploying the balloon as well as the potential information it - and other Chinese surveillance efforts - may have targeted. They also discuss the ways in which heightened tensions between Washington and Beijing could raise the risks of conflict over Taiwan.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
What does 2023 hold for the war in Ukraine? Does Russia have the will and ability to slog on another year? Can Ukraine regain its lost territory? Will Western states remain relatively unified on providing aid? Is peace possible? We spoke with Christopher Chivvis, director of the American Statecraft Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and former National Intelligence Officer for Europe.
This week on Intelligence Matters, Michael Morell speaks with the National Intelligence Officer on North Korea from 2014-2020 Markus Garlauskas about his assessment of North Korea's missile tests and the threat of nuclear weapons. Garlauskas lays out how the U.S. can deter North Korea even as China works as an enabler for the regime.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
By Anna McNeil Dr. Brian Holmes joins us to discuss his several series of articles on intelligence analysis, particularly “Analytic Reflection: Measuring the Attributes of Open and All-Source Intelligence.” Dr. Holmes is the National Intelligence Officer for Emerging and Disruptive Technologies. He has previously served in the U.S. Navy as a Reserve Officer, and has … Continue reading Sea Control 377 – Intelligence Analysis and Analytic Reflection with Dr. Brian Holmes →
The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022 has been met by a variety of coordinated economic, diplomatic, and security responses by NATO and U.S. allies and partners worldwide, including Taiwan. The crisis has also sparked debate about the future of China-Taiwan relations and the United States' role in a potential cross-Strait conflict. To unpack the implications of the Ukraine crisis for China, Taiwan, and the United States, we talk with Dr. Robert Sutter, Professor of Practice of International Affairs at The George Washington University. Robert Sutter is Professor of Practice of International Affairs at the Elliott School of George Washington University (2011-Present). He also served as Director of the School's main undergraduate program involving over 2,000 students from 2013-2019. His earlier full-time position was Visiting Professor of Asian Studies at Georgetown University (2001-2011). A Ph.D. graduate in History and East Asian Languages from Harvard University, Sutter has published 22 books (four with multiple editions), over 300 articles and several hundred government reports dealing with contemporary East Asian and Pacific countries and their relations with the United States. His forthcoming book is US-China Relations Perilous Past, Uncertain Present, Fourth Edition (Rowman& Littlefield, 2022). Sutter's government career (1968-2001) saw service as senior specialist and director of the Foreign Affairs and National Defense Division of the Congressional Research Service, the National Intelligence Officer for East Asia and the Pacific at the US Government's National Intelligence Council, the China division director at the Department of State's Bureau of Intelligence and Research and professional staff member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
James Bullard, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President, says U.S. monetary policy needs to be tightened quickly to stop putting upward pressure on inflation. Angela Stent, Brookings Non-Resident Senior Fellow & Former U.S. National Intelligence Officer for Russia and Eurasia, says Putin's ambitions reach beyond Ukraine. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Research Head of Global Commodities and Derivatives Research, still expects crude to rise to $150 this summer. Joanne Feeney, Advisors Capital Management Partner & Portfolio Manager, says equities are the only game in town. David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman discusses his interview with Citadel Founder & CEO Ken Griffin. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Shahid Ladha, BNP Paribas Head of G10 Rates Strategy Americas, says the ECB should embrace the opportunity to exit negative interest rates. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, says the market valuation story is back. Janet Henry, HSBC Global Chief Economist, says it wouldn't be unusual to see the yield curve reach some kind of inversion with more monetary tightening. Angela Stent, Brookings Institution Nonresident Senior Fellow & Former U.S. National Intelligence Officer for Russia and Eurasia, says diplomacy with Russia seems to be stalling. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
November 4, 2021 - Council on Foreign Relations Director of the Program on US-Korea Policy and Senior Fellow Scott A. Snyder, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow and former U.S. National Intelligence Officer for North Korea Markus Garlauskas, and Stimson Center nonresident fellow Rachel Minyoung Lee join Senior Director Stephen Noerper and Policy Director Jonathan Corrado for a discussion of the latest developments on and around the Korean Peninsula and thoughts on how media, members, and analysts current and aspiring might best hone skills and insights on Korea. As premier analysts with unique insights, Snyder, Garlauskas, and Lee speak to tropes, prejudice and generalizations that stymy sound analysis and suggest ways to approach Peninsular affairs anew. For more information, please visit the link below: https://www.koreasociety.org/policy-and-corporate-programs/item/1517-what-makes-a-great-korea-analyst
In this OODAcast, we talk with renowned counter-terrorism expert and career clandestine services professional Cofer Black. Cofer is best known for having been the Director of the CIA's Counterterrorism Center on 9/11 and having been part of the intelligence community warning about the near-term threat of terrorism in the United States prior to the attacks. However, his pedigree in counterterrorism issues was well established with a distinguished career in the field in high-risk areas and operations. During our discussion Cofer provides insight on a variety of issues including: How his childhood experiences traveling around Africa equipped him for the clandestine services. What it was like to be tracking al Qaeda prior to 9/11. How AQ planned to assassinate him during a high risk tour of duty overseas. How to speak truth to power and what he learned trying to provide early warning prior to 9/11. Lessons learned on leadership from a career in the intelligence community and private sector Cofer's Full Bio: Ambassador Black has had a distinguished 28-year career in the Directorate of Operations at the Central Intelligence Agency including serving as the Director of the CIA Counterterrorist Center during the 9/11 terrorist attacks. In this capacity he served as the CIA Director's Special Assistant for Counterterrorism as well as the National Intelligence Officer for Counterterrorism. Ambassador Black was also appointed as the first State Department Coordinator for Counterterrorism with the designation of Ambassador at Large. During his CIA career, Ambassador Black served six foreign tours in field management positions. In 1995, Ambassador Black was named the Task Force Chief in the Near East and South Asia Division. From June 1998 through June 1999 he served as the Deputy Chief of the Latin America Division. After his government service, Ambassador Black transitioned to the private sector and served as Vice President for Global Operations at Blackbird Raytheon Technologies and as Vice Chairman of Blackwater Worldwide and as Chairman of Total Intelligence Solutions. In addition to numerous exceptional performance awards and meritorious citations, Ambassador Black received the Distinguished Intelligence Medal, the George H. Bush Medal for Excellence, and the Exceptional Collector Award for 1994.
In this episode of Intelligence Matters, host Michael Morell speaks with John Culver, a career CIA analyst, former National Intelligence Officer for East Asia, and leading expert on the Chinese military. Culver and Morell discuss the decades-long modernization of the People's Liberation Army and the prowess China has attained across multiple war-fighting arenas. Culver offers insights into Xi Jinping's rise to and continued hold on power, and describes the many challenges of engaging Beijing in a multi-polar, interconnected global system. Privacy Policy and California Privacy Notice.
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Kent Harrington is a writer, the “In the National Interest” columnist at Mediavillage, and a former senior CIA officer and analyst who, among other things, served as National Intelligence Officer for East Asia, CIA's director of public affairs, and a chief of station in Asia.” In this episode: Americans are drowning in information but when they go to any of the major broadcast and cable media news outlets—and the rising news services on the web—they'll be lucky to find serious coverage of international news, much less coverage in depth. From prime-time cable to profit-making news aggregators, a fig leaf of reporting covers wall-to-wall commentary. Kent talks with award-winning journalist John Walcott on why it should matter to Americans that, when it comes to news about foreign affairs, the cupboard is bare
In this episode of Intelligence Matters, host Michael Morell speaks with Syd Seiler, National Intelligence Officer for North Korea at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. Seiler and Morell discuss the political priorities, preferences and fears of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, and evaluate the prospects for diplomatic engagement during the Biden administration. Seiler, who has spent over four decades studying the country and its leadership, also shares insights from his travels to Pyongyang and his experience negotiating with North Korean counterparts.
This week on Sinica, Kaiser chats with Paul Heer about the conundrum of Taiwan — one of the thorniest and most fraught issues confronting the new Biden foreign policy team as it navigates the U.S.-China relationship. Paul is a Distinguished Fellow at the Center for the National Interest and studies Chinese and East Asian issues. He served as the national intelligence officer for East Asia from 2007 to 2015, and was previously a senior analyst at the CIA’s Directorate of Intelligence in its China Issue Group. In December 2020, Paul published two articles about Taiwan policy in The National Interest: “The Strategic Dilemma of Taiwan’s Democracy” and “The Inconvenient Truth About Taiwan’s Place in the World.” This episode’s conversation centers on the diagnosis and recommendations made in those two pieces.6:48: The democratic David versus the authoritarian Goliath17:47: Taiwan reunification in the Xí Jìnpíng 习近平 era36:55: The U.S. position on Taiwan40:22: The future of one country, two systemsRecommendations:Paul: The works of Charles Dickens. Kaiser: Kindred: Neanderthal Life, Love, Death and Art, by Rebecca Wragg Sykes.
Distinguished speakers provide an assessment of America's situation in a region it has tried to navigate for decades - the Middle East. U.S. Foreign Policy Challenges: The Middle East Patrick W. Ryan, President, TNWAC; LCDR, USN (Ret); Panel Chair Rami Khouri, distinguished international journalist; Nieman Journalism Fellow at Harvard University Dr. Paul Pillar, Senior Fellow at the Center for Security Studies of Georgetown University; career official in the U.S. Intelligence Community Mona Yacoubian, Senior Advisor to the Vice President of Middle East & Africa, United States Institute of Peace Rami Khouri Journalist-in-Residence and director of global engagement at the American University of Beirut, and a non-resident senior fellow at the Harvard Kennedy School. He was the executive editor of the Beirut-based Daily Star newspaper, the editor-in-chief of the Jordan Times, and was awarded the Pax Christi International Peace Prize for 2006. He teaches or lectures annually at the American University of Beirut and Northeastern University. He has been a fellow and visiting scholar at Harvard, Mount Holyoke, Princeton, Syracuse, Northeastern, Villanova, Oklahoma and Stanford universities. He also serves on the Joint Advisory Board of the Northwestern University Journalism School in Doha, Qatar. He was general manager of Al Kutba, Publishers, in Amman, Jordan, where he also served as a consultant to the Jordanian tourism ministry on biblical archaeological sites. He has hosted programs on archaeology, history and current public affairs on Jordan Television and Radio Jordan, and often comments on Mideast issues in the international media. He has BA and MSc degrees respectively in political science and mass communications from Syracuse University, NY, USA. Dr. Paul Pillar Paul R. Pillar is a non-resident fellow at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft and a non-resident Senior Fellow at the Center for Security Studies of Georgetown University. He is also an Associate Fellow of the Geneva Center for Security Policy. He retired in 2005 from a 28-year career in the U.S. intelligence community, after which he was visiting professor in the Security Studies Program at Georgetown University. His senior government positions included National Intelligence Officer for the Near East and South Asia, Deputy Chief of the DCI Counterterrorist Center, and Executive Assistant to the Director of Central Intelligence. He is a Vietnam War veteran and a retired officer in the U.S. Army Reserve. Dr. Pillar received an A.B. summa cum laude from Dartmouth College, a B.Phil. from Oxford University, and an M.A. and Ph.D. from Princeton University. His books include Negotiating Peace: War Termination as a Bargaining Process (1983), Terrorism and U.S. Foreign Policy (2001), Intelligence and U.S. Foreign Policy: Iraq, 9/11, and Misguided Reform (2011), and Why America Misunderstands the World: National Experience and Roots of Misperception (2016). He is a contributing editor of The National Interest. Mona Yacoubian Mona Yacoubian is Senior Advisor to the Vice President of Middle East & Africa, United States Institute of Peace. She joined the U.S. Institute of Peace after serving as deputy assistant administrator in the Middle East Bureau at USAID from 2014 to 2017, where she had responsibility for Iraq, Syria, Jordan and Lebanon. Prior to joining USAID, Ms. Yacoubian was a senior advisor at the Stimson Center focusing on the Arab uprisings with an emphasis on Syria. Prior to joining the Stimson Center, Ms. Yacoubian served as a special advisor on the Middle East at the U.S. Institute of Peace, where her work focused on Lebanon and Syria as well as broader issues related to democratization in the Arab world. From 1990 to 1998, Ms. Yacoubian served as the North Africa analyst in the State Department's Bureau of Intelligence and Research.
September 16, 2020 - Join us for a discussion on challenges and opportunities for continued nuclear negotiations with North Korea, featuring Markus Garlauskas, former U.S. National Intelligence Officer for North Korea, Soo Kim, RAND, and Ankit Panda, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. What are the chances that North Korea denuclearizes and what can the U.S. and South Korea do to increase those chances? Should an interim deal with snapback measures be considered good progress, or should a comprehensive deal be pursued? For more information, please visit the link beow: https://www.koreasociety.org/policy-and-corporate-programs/item/1422-prospects-for-diplomacy-with-north-korea
North Korea is putting on a tough face as the world confronts the COVID-19 pandemic. Authorities in Pyongyang continue to reassure the rest of the world that nothing is wrong and that the country remains completely immune from the pandemic. And yet previous international crises - like the global rice panic of 2008 - had an outsized impact on North Korea because the country stands so precariously on the edge of economic collapse. Similarly, the country’s decision to close its borders to both goods and people in response to the pandemic is expected to have severe consequences on the livelihood of many people. Simultaneously, the country has also been maintaining diplomatic isolation - waving away overtures from South Korea and demolishing the inter-Korean liaison office that had symbolized the great advances made since the summits between Moon Jae-in and Kim Jong-un in 2018. But now, Pyongyang faces a tough decision - will it maintain this isolation even as South Korean voters extend overwhelming support to its pro-engagement administration, and as the United States prepares for an election where Donald Trump - the U.S. president who has extended legitimacy to the North Korean leadership - faces a very tough competition? To discuss Pyongyang’s strategic choices at this critical juncture, we have with us today, Markus Garlauskas - a former U.S. National Intelligence Officer for North Korea. KEI Senior Director Troy Stangarone caught up with him for a quick discussion. Staying on the subject of North Korea, KEI will host Dr. Hazel Smith on July 28, 2020 at 2 p.m. EDT for a discussion on the ethics of international sanctions on North Korea - she asks whether the illegality of North Korea’s nuclear arsenal justifies the current pressures placed on the country by the international community. You can RSVP for the event here: https://share.hsforms.com/1T4Y00yBaQkOu6OLU0NNXEA2ztzy
Join The Boardroom Series with Dr. Rollan Roberts, AI Cybersecurity Advisor to National Governments, and Sean Kanuck, CEO of Exedec and former CIA Officer and first National Intelligence Officer for Cyber Issues serving 2 presidential administrations.Dr. Rollan Roberts is an advisor and resource to national governments on strong Artificial Intelligence and quantum-proof Cybersecurity and was nominated to Central Command's Department of Defense Civilian Task Force. He is the CEO of Courageous!, a superhuman AI and Cybersecurity research and product development think tank that serves advanced national security initiatives of national governments. He served as CEO of the Hoverboard company, creating the best-selling consumer product worldwide in 2015, and has a record of crafting viral global brands as CEO of both public and private SMB to multi-billion dollar companies. Dr. Roberts hosts the annual African Diplomatic Entrepreneur Summit in partnership with multiple African governments and United Nations SDGs, and was bestowed the diplomatic designation of "His Excellency" when awarded Peace Ambassador to World Governments by the International College of Peace Studies.Dr. Roberts has addressed world leaders at Harvard University, Bloomberg BusinessWeek, and China’s government and business leaders in Tiananmen Square at the Great Hall of the People (China’s Congress). He served as an advisor to the Top 20 Startup companies in the world (in Spain) and advisor on the U.S.-China Trade War.In addition to being a private pilot, he holds a Doctorate degree in Global Business and Entrepreneurship, authored 6 best-selling international books on business and entrepreneurship, founded the International Down Syndrome CEO Camp for entrepreneurs (www.DownsCEO.com corporate diversity and inclusiveness), and continues to educate and empower leaders and entrepreneurs by hosting the annual CEO Cruise and women’s empowerment BeautyPro Cruise as Chairman of the Board for the International Association of Pageantry.- Recognized industry authority in consumer goods, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, energy, technology, manufacturing, direct sales/network marketing, cannabis, and biotech sectors. - Formulated natural baby formula that was closest alternative to breast milk. - Founded nutraceutical company as natural alternative/supplement to chemotherapy.- Top 100 Most Influential Floridians of 2015 by Insight Magazine.- Marketing & Branding strategist with Tom Feltenstein, Creator of the McDonalds Happy Meal & opened first Ronald McDonald House.
Today's Podcast is a masterclass on statecraft and diplomacy between Japan, China and the US with Professor Ezra F. Vogel the Henry Ford II Professor of Social Sciences Emeritus at Harvard University. He has had a long association with Harvard, receiving his Ph.D. in Sociology in 1958 and then teaching at the university from 1967 to 2000. Prof. Vogel served as inaugural Director of the undergraduate concentration in East Asian Studies from 1972 to 1991. In 1973, he became the second Director of the East Asian Research Center, and served as Director of the U.S.-Japan Program, Director of the Fairbank Center and Founding Director of the Asia Center. From 1993 to 1995, Prof. Vogel took a two-year leave of absence from Harvard to serve as National Intelligence Officer for East Asia in Washington, D.C. In 1996, he chaired the American Assembly on China and edited the resulting volume Living with China. His book Japan as Number One in Japanese translation became a best seller in Japan, and his book Deng Xiaoping and the Transformation of China in Chinese translation a best seller in China. Prof. Vogel has received numerous honors over the years, including 11 honorary degrees.
Professor Ezra F. Vogel begins his new book on China and Japan in the sixth century when the Japanese adopted basic elements of Chinese civilization. Throughout the ensuing centuries, China generally took the leading role. Tables turned by the end of the 19th century, when Japan’s modernization efforts surpassed those of China, leading to Japanese victory in the 1895 Sino-Japanese war. Despite recent efforts to promote trade and even tourism, the bitter legacy of World War II has made cooperation difficult. In China and Japan: Facing History, Dr. Vogel argues that the two nations must forge a new relationship as the world confronts transnational issues including climate change, disaster relief, global economic development, and scientific research. Without acknowledging and ultimately transcending the frictions of the past and present, tense relations between China and Japan jeopardize global stability. On September 4, 2019, Dr. Ezra Vogel presented his findings on how the history of Sino-Japanese relations informs the present, and on the need for a reset for the future. Professor Ezra F. Vogel is the Henry Ford II Professor of the Social Sciences Emeritus at Harvard University. He has had a long association with Harvard, receiving his Ph.D. in sociology there in 1958, and then teaching at the university from 1967 to 2000. In 1973, Dr. Vogel succeeded John Fairbank to become the second director of Harvard’s East Asian Research Center. He also served as director of the U.S.-Japan Program, director of the Fairbank Center, and founding director of the Asia Center. He was also director of the undergraduate concentration in East Asian Studies from its inception in 1972 until 1991. He taught courses on Chinese society, Japanese society, and industrial East Asia. From 1993 to 1995, Dr. Vogel took a two-year leave of absence from Harvard to serve as the National Intelligence Officer for East Asia at the national intelligence council in Washington. In 1996 he chaired the American Assembly on China and edited the resulting volume, Living With China. The following year, Dr. Vogel began serving on the board of directors of the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations. He rotated off in 2002 after serving two terms. His book Japan As Number One (1979), in Japanese translation, became a bestseller in Japan, and his book Deng Xiaoping and the Transformation of China (2011), in Chinese translation, became a bestseller in China. Among his other works are Japan's New Middle Class (1963), Canton Under Communism (1969), Comeback (1988), One Step Ahead in China: Guangdong Under Reform (1989), and The Four Little Dragons: The Spread of Industrialization in East Asia (1991). Professor Vogel has spent a total of more than five years in Asia conducting research. He lectures frequently in Asia, in both Chinese and Japanese as well as English. He directs a weekly speaker series for the Fairbank Center on “Critical Issues Confronting China.” He has received numerous honors, including eleven honorary degrees.
In this episode of Intelligence Matters, host Michael Morell speaks with Dr. Paul Heer, former National Intelligence Officer for East Asia in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, about the outcome of the historic U.S.-North Korea summit in Singapore - as well as its winners, losers and necessary next steps. They also discuss the strategic, military and economic challenges posed by China, and how the United States should position itself and seek to craft its policy in the region. NOTE: This episode was recorded just hours after the conclusion of the summit.
Mutual mistrust, saber-rattling, and heated rhetoric define the U.S. relationship with Russia. If it looks like a new Cold War and smells like a new Cold War, is it a new Cold War? If it's not, what is it? From the 1990s to the present, how did we get here? Why did the West's hopes for Russia in the aftermath of the Cold War dissolve? How does Russia view its current strategic position? What are the limits of its growing influence in the Middle East and other regions? How long will Putin remain in power? What should the United States do about Russia? Can they make a deal? In a wide-ranging, fascinating, and intellectually rich speech, Angela Stent tackles these questions and more. Stent is the director of the Center for Eurasian, Russian and East European Studies (CERES) and a professor in the Department of Government and the School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University. She is also a non-resident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Stent is the author of many books and articles on the relationships between the United States, Russia and Europe. She is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, the Advisory Board of the Eurasia Foundation, and of Supporters of Civil Society in Russia. Stent previously served as a member of the advisory panel for NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander in Europe and on the World Economic Forum’s Global Agenda Council for Russia and Central Asia. She is the former National Intelligence Officer for Russia and Eurasia at the National Intelligence Council (2004-2006) and staff member in the Office of Policy Planning at the U.S. Department of State (1999-2001). Music and Production by Tre Hester
In this week’s episode, I chat about the Nigerian Civil War with Judd Devermont, the National Intelligence Officer for Africa at the U.S. National Intelligence Council. He is also a lecturer at George Washington University’s Elliot School of International Affairs. Devermont has worked and lived in Nigeria, South Africa, and Côte d’Ivoire. He holds an MA in African Studies from Yale University and a BA in History from UCLA. He is a guest on Ufahamu Africa in a personal capacity – as a citizen, not as a representative of the U.S. government. We talk about Devermont's recent publication in African Affairs, "The US intelligence community's biases during the Nigerian civil war." Our conversation begins at 2:33. … More Ep34. A conversation with Judd Devermont on Nigeria’s civil war and how analysis can go wrong
Berkman Klein Center for Internet and Society: Audio Fishbowl
For four years running, the Director of National Intelligence’s Worldwide Threat Assessment to Congress has led with cyber threats to national and international security. Under statute, the several National Intelligence Officers constitute the most senior advisors of the US Intelligence Community in their areas of expertise. In this discussion National Intelligence Officer for Cyber Issues, Sean Kanuck, highlights the technology trends that are transforming cybersecurity and the future of intelligence. Assessing strategic developments in international relations and its implications for deterring malicious activity in cyberspace, his analysis focuses on the(in)applicability of existing arms control mechanisms and deterrence principles to modern information and communication technologies. For more about this event, visit: https://cyber.harvard.edu/events/2016/3/Kanuck
About the speaker: Charles Snyder, a career intelligence officer and Africanist, has served in many different positions within the government. After serving for 22 years in the Army, finishing with the rank of LTC, Mr. Snyder served as National Intelligence Officer for Africa, where he provided a detailed forecast of the potential impact of HIV/Aids. Previous to this project, Mr. Snyder worked as Senior Political-Military Advisor to the Africa Bureau, where he served on the team that mediated the Tripartite Agreement between Cuba, Angola, and South Africa. Other positions Mr. Snyder has held include: Acting Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs; Director of the Office of Regional Affairs in the Africa Bureau; Deputy Assistant Secretary for Civilian Police and African, Asian, European and Middle East Programs; and Senior Advisor to State Department's International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Bureau (INL). At IWP, Prof. Snyder teaches US-African Relations.
In Castro’s Secrets, Brian Latell, former National Intelligence Officer for Latin America and long-time Cuba analyst, offers a strikingly original image of Fidel Castro as Cuba's supreme spymaster. Latell exposes many long-buried secrets of Castro's lengthy reign, including the extent of Cuba’s double agent operations against the United States. In writing this book, Latell spoke with many high-level defectors from Cuba’s powerful intelligence and security services; some had never told their stories on the record before. He also probed dispassionately into the CIA's plots against Cuba, including previously obscure schemes to assassinate Castro and presents dramatic new conclusions about what Castro actually knew of Lee Harvey Oswald prior to the assassination of John F. Kennedy. This event took place on October 10 2012.
In Castro’s Secrets, Brian Latell, former National Intelligence Officer for Latin America and long-time Cuba analyst, offers a strikingly original image of Fidel Castro as Cuba's supreme spymaster. Latell exposes many long-buried secrets of Castro's lengthy reign, including numerous assassinations and assassination attempts against foreign leaders. In writing this book, Latell spoke with many high-level defectors from Cuba’s powerful intelligence and security services; some had never told their stories on the record before. Latell also probed dispassionately into the CIA's most deplorable plots against Cuba, including previously obscure schemes to assassinate Castro and presents shocking new conclusions about what Castro actually knew of Lee Harvey Oswald prior to the assassination of John F. Kennedy.