Podcast appearances and mentions of Ellen Davis

All of us have days when we feel “down”. Have you ever felt depressed on days that were cloudy, but perked up when the sun came out? Rev. Ellen Davis joins us to share how she discovered how to uplift her day while attending college, which led her to the transformative principles of Unity.  Website: https://unityfortworth.org Facebook: https://facebook.com/unityfw YouTube: https://youtube.com/unityfortworth

“Gathering of the Manna,” James Tissot (1896-1902), The Jewish Museum, New York City I just finished the best class at Duke Divinity, “Old Testament and Leadership” taught by Dr. Ellen Davis and Dr. Sarah Musser. In addition to challenging readings and wonderful guest speakers, I realized that most of my religious life had been spent learning about the New Testament even though it is only 25% of the whole Bible and has about 5,000 words compared to 12,000. In our last class session we were sharing how our coursework in the Old Testament may have transformed our way of thinking, or how it might change our ministry in the future. All of the twenty students had poignant comments, but one from an Episcopal Priest, Rev. Emily Rowell has stuck with me for these past weeks. The intense study of the Old Testament had resonated with her about how we should talk about sufficiency rather than abundance. I started thinking how it would change my life if I started thinking more about having enough rather than having more. “Abundance” originated in 14th century France with the stem of abundans meaning overflowing, or full. Those terms seem different to me. If I have a cup of coffee that is “full”, it is up to the top of the rim, but if it is “overflowing”, it burns my hand when I try to pick it up to drink. I would like to think that I lead my life to “fullness” by having enough, but not more than I need. At the very least, anything that I possess to excess, I should consider sharing with those who have less. During the pandemic, I didn't want to be in crowds and was avoiding stores. I found myself ordering a case of dish soap from Amazon or Costco. Living alone meant that many items I ordered lasted more than a year. I still can't pass up a sale on 72 rolls of toilet paper. The pandemic has subsided, and the supply chain seems more reliable, but I still haven't shaken this idea that I need more of everything. My pantry is full and even the dogs have more toys than they can play with in a month. This Advent season, I'm going to be studying the Old Testament and dwelling with the Israelites when they were wandering in the wilderness. God told them that he would supply enough “manna” for them each day, except on the sixth day when he would double their supply (so they could enjoy a Sabbath rest). If they gathered more than they needed for a single day, it became “wormy and rotten” (Exodus 16). I want to gather only exactly what I need for sufficiency, knowing that any overabundance will become rotten in the eyes of the Lord. Blessings, my friend, Agatha

All of us face times when we feel alone. We may be depressed about our life situation, facing a crisis, or making important decisions. At these times we can discover that we are really never alone. Rev. Ellen Davis will be sharing insights taken from real life experiences including her own, which illustrate that spiritual help and guidance is always available. Join us for an insightful message, beautiful music, and fellowship with friends. Website: https://unityfortworth.org Facebook: https://facebook.com/unityfw YouTube: https://youtube.com/unityfortworth

Photo by Aaron Burden on Unsplash Another Immersive Week at Duke is complete. I'm enrolled in the Master of Divinity program at Duke University. It is in a hybrid format, so I travel to Durham three weeks of the year to start each term and then have weekly zoom classes. I'm a senior looking forward to graduation in May 2025. This term I'm taking a class in Old Testament in Leadership with Dr. Ellen Davis. We had a great week with lots of reading, daily journals, and group-led discussions. I participated in the group that led the discussion on Thursday that was on the Book of Proverbs but the most meaningful lesson for me was the Friday lesson on the Book of Psalms. Our daily journal was different for Friday; we were asked to write our own Psalm. It was very different from studying the Psalms to determine the voice of the Psalmist as they both praise God and cry out for God's ear. But my Psalm was different. I had to put myself in the place of the Psalmist. For what was I crying out to God for? Was I still able to praise God in my time of need? Here's my Psalm. How would you frame words to God if you wrote your own? Psalm (Thanksgiving for time in waiting) Hear my case, O Lord; open your ears to my heart. You will find no deceit in me; my mouth continues to praise your name. A path has closed, but you are with me; You carry me on your shoulders to new lands. I trust in your faithfulness; like a mother bear for her newborn cub, you care for your children. I count the minutes;You see into eternity and the cosmos is under your tender control. As I wait, your name is on my lips;When I awake, I will be bathed in joy. Blessings, my friend,Agatha

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In our second special episode celebrating International Women's History Month, guest host Staci Mellman and Ellen Davis from U.S. Travel delve into the fascinating intersection of retail and travel, discussing how these industries influence and complement each other. They also share insights on empowering women to advocate for themselves and support one another in the workplace, highlighting the importance of educating the next generation to become allies in fostering gender equality. Ellen Davis is EVP, Business Strategy and Industry at U.S. Travel. Staci Mellman is CMO at Brand USA.

Ellen Davis takes Melissa through her favorite needlepoint accessories to help you get your best needlepoint yet! Follow Ellen on Instagram @merrylneedleworkaccessories. For the visual version of this episode, watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/YD8mKdzJh34Join the stitchy fun on Instagram: @pointingitoutpodcastSend us an email: pointingitoutpodcast@gmail.comBe sure to subscribe to our channel here on YouTube: youtube.com/@pointingitoutpodcastHOSTS:Megan Holmes of the Needlepoint Clubhouse in St. Louis@stlneedlepointShop online at https://bit.ly/stlneedlepointMelissa MacLeod of The Wool and The Floss in Grosse Pointe, MI@thewoolandtheflossShop online at https://bit.ly/woolfloss Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It's important to recognize and discuss the ongoing work that's done here at CASA behind the scenes. There are so many moving cogs that help to provide foster youth in our community an advocate to be their voice as they navigate their way through the child welfare system. With that being said, what's behind the fund development curtain here at CASA? Our Director of Development, Ellen Davis, joined us on this episode to talk about the importance of the CASA mission and the many amazing stories we share with those who seek to fund our good work.

In this podcast episode, I introduce Ellen Davis, owner of Life Health Home Insurance Group. Ellen discusses her experience as an insurance broker and the various types of insurance her company offers. She emphasizes the importance of building relationships with clients and staying with them through life changes. Ellen also shares marketing tips, including a strategy for creating memorable contacts. She discusses a marketing campaign she tried during the pandemic and the importance of calculating the return on investment for marketing gadgets. I thank Ellen for her insights and provide her contact information for interested listeners. Ellen's website: www.LifeHealthHome.com Ellen's email: edavis@LifeHealthHome.com Ellen's Phone Number: Fax: 301-760-4277 Tel: 301-728-5505 If you enjoyed today's conversation and would like to be featured yourself, just let me know by checking out our podcast website https://mocobuzz.my.canva.site/. There you can learn more about the show and sign up directly. Whenever you are ready, here are some ways that we can help you: Free 1-Hour Marketing Consultation: https://tidycal.com/philippa/free-mar... Subscribe for regular content on developing a solid marketing plan, marketing strategy, and marketing tips. Connect with us: Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/chan... Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/channerconsu... Instagram: https://www.instagram.com

Live from Savannah, Georgia, we kick off coverage of ESTO with Ellen Davis, Executive Vice President, Business Strategy and Industry Engagement at U.S. Travel. Ellen covers the importance of conducting your own research, collecting first party data, and keeping inbound international travel to the U.S. competitive, as well as the backstory on Ellen's role in the formation of Cyber Monday.

Every so often in life a chance meeting with someone opens doors to for you on some level. For me if I had connected with Ellen Davis I would haven't never attended Dominic D'Agostino's first Metabolic therapy conference in 2016 and have connected with all of the researchers and practitioners of the Ketogenic diet.Ellen Davis's books and Website are required reading for all of ‘Dom' grad students. Listen in to what Ellen has to say. She's a down-to-earth ball of fire that has created perhaps the best references to anything to do with the Ketogenic diet. Loved talking with her. Here's Ellen Davis's linksHer keto information website: https://www.ketogenic-diet-resource.com/about.htmlHer books: Fight Cancer with a Ketogenic Diet, Third Edition: Using a Low-Carb, Fat-Burning Diet as Metabolic Therapy https://www.amazon.com/Fight-Cancer-Ketogenic-Diet-Third/dp/1943721033/ref=sr_1_3?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1527938745&sr=1-3&keywords=ellen+davis https://www.amazon.com/Ellen-Davis-M.S./e/B01IAOGFOW/ref=sr_tc_2_0?qid=1527938745&sr=1-2-ent        —————————COME SAY HI!!!  ——————————Facebook Group about Keto: https://www.facebook.com/groups/ketonaturopath/OUR NEW MEMBERSHIP GROUP FOR EVERYTHING KETO                             Labs, Research and cooking, Implementationwww.ketonaturopathmembers.comWeekly Live Zoom Q&A Sessions and private FB groupBLOG: https://ketonaturopath.com/Pinterest: https://www.pinterest.com/ketonaturopathYouTube channelwww.youtube.com/ketonaturopathPodcast: https://www.buzzsprout.com/482971/episodesOur Youtube Podcastshttps://studio.youtube.com/channel/UC6LBX8_RDaXtzF_Z02jvl0QJudi's NEW cooking channelKeto Naturopath Kitchenhttps://www.youtube.com/c/KetoNaturopathKitchen                      ———————————  OUR COURSE ———————                                                             PSMF 30 day course:                 https://www.thebiointegrationcode.com/courses/PSMFChallenge————————  WHERE WE GET OUR WINE (an affiliate link) ——————————                                                              Dry farm wines                                    www.dryfarmwines.com/ketonaturopath—————WHERE WE GET OUR Uric ACID FORA 6 METER ————————                                             https://www.fora-shop.com/              (that measures  Glucose, Ketones, and Cholesterol together

Welcome to November 28, 2022 on the National Day Calendar. Today we celebrate reclaiming lost bread and shopping in your PJs.  You may not realize it but French toast, it's actually not French at all. The first known recipe dates all the way back to the 5th century AD. That's when the Romans whipped up eggs and milk, dipped in bread and fried it in oil or butter. And the recipe has remained more or less the same ever since. In France the name is “pan perdu” which means lost bread. What a perfect description for the magical transformation of stale bread into a golden toasted perfection. Try it with cinnamon and whipped cream, fruit or syrup and lots of melted butter. On National French Toast Day, celebrate this breakfast favorite made anyway you please! Shopping from the convenience of your home has never been easier as we celebrate the phenomenon known as Cyber Monday. What began as a marketing gimmick in 2005 was actually a clever trend prediction by Ellen Davis and Scott Silverman of The National Retail Federation. They noticed the spike in online sales after Black Friday and figured that folks were using the faster internet at work to round out their holiday shopping. A simple press release launched the phrase and the Monday after Thanksgiving became the biggest online shopping day of the year. In recent years that has translated into more than 9 billion dollars in sales. It's also a win-win for shoppers who enjoy the ease of purchasing from their mobile devices. On Cyber Monday keep calm and shop on. I'm Anna Devere and I'm Marlo Anderson. Thanks for joining us as we Celebrate Every Day. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

It is a rare pleasure to speak with a person of consequence and have their undivided attention for an hour. Ray Archuleta, who needs little introduction, has been a person of consequence in the lives of Buz Kloot (Soil Health Labs at the University of South Carolina) and Tanse Herrmann, NRCS Grazing Lands Soil Health Specialist working out of Rapid City, South Dakota. In this podcast, Buz and Tanse host Ray Archuleta and catch up with him, but before that, both Buz and Tanse tell their stories of how they first met Ray and how he has impacted their lives. A theme that runs through the podcast is The Goal of farming/ranching – making money is an outcome, but The Goal is to Follow the Pattern that Mother Nature has provided. We talk to Ray about his journey since he left the USDA-NRCS (where he served for 3 decades) and what he's been up to since then. Ray now has land near Seymour, Missouri and talks about having “Skin in the Game” now that he has his own land payment and his own livestock to manage! Ray talks about having skin in the game as being a great tool to make him more empathetic to the ranchers and farmers he speaks to, and he still does a lot of that. Ray also speaks from his own experience of farming with sheep, the mistakes he has made and what he's learned in the process – infrastructure, animal safety and health, epigenetics and simplicity of design are discussed. The conversation turns to the work that Alejandro Carrillo has done on the Las Damas Ranch in the Chihuahua desert and how transformational this has been to the landscape (see the Las Damas Case Study at the end of these show notes). Ray uses the discussion about Alejandro's land as an opportunity to educate us on the principle of ecological context (often considered the 6th principle of soil health), in this case, he discusses ecological context in terms of the difference between rainfall on his land (~45” a year) versus Alejandro's (8” - 10” a year). Note that the first five principles of soil health are: 1. Minimum disturbance; 2. Cover the soil; 3. Keep a live root in the soil as many days as possible; 4. Add diversity of plants (e.g., grasses and broadleaves, warm and cool season, annuals, and perennials); 5. Incorporate livestock back to the land. The discussion of ecological context also led us to spend some time discussing the very important human dimension of rangeland and farmland management, and how people make decisions. We make a few references to Dr. Ellen Davis's Book “Scripture, Culture and Agriculture” and the work by Hannah Gosnell and others in a paper called “Transformational adaptation on the farm: Processes of change and persistence in transitions to ‘climate-smart' regenerative agriculture” where “dimensions of transformation [are] associated with beliefs, values, emotions, worldviews, structures of meaning-making, and consciousness” are discussed. See below for the links to these two references. References from the Podcast: Alejandro Carrillo: Las Damas Ranch Case Study, Las Damas Ranch, Aldama County, Chihuahua, Mexico https://understandingag.com/case_studies/las-damas-ranch-case-study/ Ray discusses infrastructure, and there is no better network on rangeland and farmland advice than the SD Grasslands Coalition Mentoring Network where mentors on fencing and water placement, among other things, are provided: https://sdgrass.org/mentoring-network/ SoilHealthLab's podcast with Shannon Kulseth-Iverson: “39 How Rangeland Health and Livestock Work to Solve Environmental Issues” https://www.growingresiliencesd.com/podcasts/episode/c506bbc6/39-how-rangeland-health-and-livestock-work-to-solve-environmental-issues Books Discussed in Podcast: Note we have links for convenience- there are other outlets that carry these books as well. André Lund. The Wonder of UHDSG (Ultra High Density Strip Grazing): Elandsfontein Beaufort West - Central Karoo South Africa. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/40894069-the-wonder-of-uhdsg-ultra-high-density-strip-grazing Ellen Davis. Scripture, Culture and Agriculture. https://www.goodreads.com/en/book/show/5941497-scripture-culture-and-agriculture Movies: “Kiss the Ground.” Understanding Ag's Ray Archuleta, Gabe Brown and Kris Nichols, Ph.D. https://kissthegroundmovie.com/kiss-the-ground-understanding-ags-ray-archuleta-gabe-brown-and-kris-nichols-ph-d/ Recommended Podcast: The Regenerative Agriculture Podcast – hosted by John Kempf. https://regenerativeagriculturepodcast.com/ Books Recommended by Ray Archuleta (these are all searchable, some of them available in pdf format) 1) Allan Savory - Holistic Management 2) Eugene P. Odum - Fundamentals of Ecology (3rd or 4th edition) 3) David Gleissman -Agroecology by 4) Weil and Brady - Nature and Properties of Soils (15th edition I available) 5) Martin Alexander - Introduction to Soil Microbiology 6) Patrick Lavelle and Alister V. Spain - Soil Ecology 7) David Coleman, mac Callaham and D.A. Crossley, Jr. Fundamental of Soil Ecology 8) Sir Albert Howard – An Agricultural Testament 9) N.A. Krasil‘nikov -Soil Microorganisms and Higher Plants: The Classic Text on Living Soils 10) Michael John Swift and others: Decomposition in Terrestrial Ecosystems 11) Donald Q. Innis- Intercropping and the Scientific basis for traditional agriculture 12) David Pimentel - Handbook of Energy Utilization in Agriculture (ISBN 9781315893419) 13) Ken Killham - Soil Ecology 14) David Pimentel - Food, Energy and Society 15) Richard Bardgett, Usher and Hopkins - Biological Diversity and Function in Soils 16) Bill Mollison - Permaculture: A designers Manual 17) Fred Magdoff and Harold Van Es - Building Better Soils for Better Crops 18) Richard Bardgett and others - Soil Ecology and Ecosystem Services 19) Brian walker and David Salt - Resilience Thinking: sustaining ecosystems and people in a changing world 20) F. Stuart Chapin and others - Principles of Terrestrial ecosystem ecology 21) Masanobu Fukuoka – One Straw Revolution

This week, Kendall and Kate talk with Dr. Ellen Davis, a professor of Old Testament/Hebrew Bible and Practical Theology at Duke Divinity School. Dr. Davis uses this opportunity to share with us the profound importance of allowing children to wrestle with the hard stories of Scripture in slow, thoughtful, contemplative ways. When we try to protect children from stories of brokenness, she shares, a reality they *know* exists in the world, we cut them off from the story of redemption too. We actually obscure the very gift that our faith offers them. Adam breaks down the song Endangered Love, more commonly known as Barbara Manattee. Want to watch along? Visit your local library or google the show title for multiple replay options. Learn more about the Edible Theology Project at www.edibletheology.com. Looking for a fun way to study the Bible this summer—whether on your own or with your kids? Check out Bake with the Bible, a six-week Bible study on bread in the Gospels. Don't miss Edible Theology's other podcast, Kitchen Meditations.

As we reach the concluding chapters of Leviticus, we study the commandment of Shmita - that we must allow the land have a Sabbath every seventh year. Once again exploring the insights of Ellen Davis' "Scripture, Culture and Agriculture: An Agrarian Reading of the Bible" we discover the deep structure of the Biblical narrative. We begin to understand how our ancestors saw themselves as a part of the earth, not separate from it, but assigned by the Creator special responsibilities so that we might live in sustainable harmony with all of creation.

Restoring Life (Psalm 19)

Dr. Ellen Davis spends most of her waking hours writing and teaching (or getting ready to write and teach) about the Bible in ways that may illuminate the difficulties and beauties of being human. Those difficulties may be personal (getting along with our neighbors), spiritual (getting along with God), or public and global (climate change, interfaith relations). Her latest book, Opening Israel's Scriptures, was published in 2019. She is currently collaborating with professional dancers, musicians, and painter Makoto Fujimura on interpreting the Psalms through the arts.

Dr. Ellen Davis spends most of her waking hours writing and teaching (or getting ready to write and teach) about the Bible in ways that may illuminate the difficulties and beauties of being human. Those difficulties may be personal (getting along with our neighbors), spiritual (getting along with God), or public and global (climate change, interfaith relations). Her latest book, Opening Israel's Scriptures, was published in 2019. She is currently collaborating with professional dancers, musicians, and painter Makoto Fujimura on interpreting the Psalms through the arts.

Ruth 1 For the last several weeks Bernard Bell has given us the broad sweep of the kingdom of God in heaven through the Daniel's apocalyptic visions of ravenous wild beasts and destructive empires that rise and fall under God's sovereign hand. For the next four weeks we will turn our attention to the book of Ruth, examining how God's kingdom comes to earth in an age of moral deterioration, political disaster and civil war. Ellen Davis observes, “Like the Israelites in the time of the Judges, we are worn down and worn out by ‘great events' on a national and international scale… and so, perhaps the teaching of this book of Ruth is especially apt now in a time of widespread disorder and personal loss, simple acts of mutual regard—the Hebrew word for that is hesed, the discipline of generosity that binds Israelites to one another and to God—acts of hesed can open up the future God intends.”

Great Quotes In Franchising Podcast - Friends and Relationships- Today's great quote in franchising comes from Wild Birds Unlimited franchisee Ellen Davis of the Franklin, MA store. Ellen discusses some interesting reasons why she chose franchising.

How can we combat health issues at the microbial level that are constantly evolving? What can we learn from a recent validation study conducted in the South Central United States? What solutions exist to fight current pathogenic threats - and how can we get ahead of rapidly emerging challenges like E. coli F18 in swine production systems? Drawing on her deep expertise in animal nutrition, immunology and gut health, Dr. Ellen Davis, Swine Technical Services Manager, addresses these questions and more in this episode of Food Chain Chats.

In this episode I read Genesis 12 in Hebrew and in English. Instead of just listening to your "chapter of the day" in English, you can listen to it in Hebrew and in English along with some thoughts that I have on the chapter. Whether you just enjoy hearing the sound of the Hebrew language, are learning Hebrew, or are excellent at Hebrew, this is an episode that you will enjoy.  In this chapter I talk about the biggest problem of Abraham's story that goes almost completely unnoticed. I give credit to Ellen Davis for pointing out something that has forever changed the way I read Abraham's story. If you want to learn more about Genesis or any book of the Hebrew Bible, I highly recommend her book Opening Israel's Scriptures.  --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/matthew9793/support

A registered dietitian (RD) is a food and nutrition expert who is licensed and certified to treat clinical conditions. A certified specialist in sports dietetics (CSSD) is a registered dietitian who is also board certified in sports dietetics.  About Ellen Davis, RD, CSSD, LD  Ellen (Ries) Davis is a registered dietitian (RD) and certified specialist in sports dietetics (CSSD) providing nutrition consultation in the Des Moines metro area and throughout Iowa.  Her education includes a Bachelor of Science in Medical Dietetics from the University of Missouri – Columbia, where she completed the coordinated internship program.  Ellen developed a passion for good health while competing on the track and cross country teams at Mizzou. A special interest in sports nutrition was developed as she recognized the correlation between nutritious choices and optimal performances. Although her collegiate career is far-gone, the competitive drive remains, now channeled towards helping her clients achieve their personal wellness and performance goals.  Ellen strives to meet athletes wherever they are on their food journey while providing practical tips and realistic suggestions to achieve optimal performance and recovery.  This podcast represents Dr. Barron Bremner and Dr. Jason Sullivan's opinions and their guests on the show. The content here should not be taken as medical advice. The content here is for informational purposes only, and because each person is so unique, please consult your healthcare professional for any medical questions. Views and opinions expressed in the podcast and website are our own and do not represent that of our places of work. While we make every effort to ensure that the information we share is accurate, we welcome any comments, suggestions, or corrections of errors. Privacy is of the utmost importance to us. All people, places, and scenarios mentioned in the podcast have been changed to protect patient confidentiality. This podcast should not be used in any legal capacity whatsoever, including but not limited to establishing a "standard of care" in a legal sense or as a basis for expert witness testimony. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of any statements or opinions made on the podcast or website. In no way does listening, reading, emailing, or interacting on social media with our content establish a doctor-patient relationship.  

Welcome to November 29, 2021 on the National Day Calendar. Today we celebrate convenient ways to stay connected and shopping with ease. When Neil Papworth sent the first ever text to his boss in 1992, he had no idea the impact it would have. The text was pretty simple—it said Merry Christmas—but this message changed the world. Texting has become a part of everyday life. In fact, it's the most popular form of electronic communication in the world. Last year, 2 trillion texts were sent—and that's only counting the United States. This form of communication makes it easy to keep in touch with friends and family, no matter where they live. And as we enter the holiday season, thank goodness for that. On Electronic Greetings Day, celebrate by reaching out to those you love. Shopping from the convenience of your living room has never been easier as we celebrate the phenomenon known as Cyber Monday. What began as a marketing gimmick in 2005 was actually a clever trend prediction by Ellen Davis and Scott Silverman of The National Retail Federation. They noticed the spike in online sales after Black Friday and figured that folks were using the faster internet at work to round out their holiday shopping. A simple press release launched the phrase and the Monday after Thanksgiving became the biggest online shopping day of the year. In 2019 that translated into more than 9 billion dollars in sales. It's also a win-win for shoppers who enjoy the ease of purchasing from their mobile devices. On Cyber Monday keep calm and shop on. I'm Anna Devere and I'm Marlo Anderson. Thanks for joining us as we Celebrate Every Day. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

You can find out more about Dr. Ellen Davis HEREAnd then go HERE to see the many books she has written. I recommend ALL OF THEM! Although I mentioned Opening Israel's Scriptures in this episode.Contact Cyndi Parker through Narrative of Place Learn more about me and sign up for upcoming tours of Israel/Palestine.Join Cyndi Parker's  Patreon Team!

The Theology, Medicine, and Culture Initiative (TMC) at Duke Divinity School and the Trent Center for Bioethics, Humanities & History of Medicine at Duke held a seminar on November 5th, 2021 with Ellen Davis, PhD, Amos Ragan Kearns Distinguished Professor of Bible and Practical Theology and C. Kavin Rowe, PhD, George Washington Ivey Distinguished Professor of New Testament. They led a seminar entitled "Biblical Narratives of Healing." TMC Seminars are a semi-monthly gathering of faculty, students, clinicians, and others interested in the intersections of theology, medicine, and culture. For more information and recordings, visit https://tmc.divinity.duke.edu/seminar/​.

Could you eat manna for 40 years? The Israelites did – kicking and screaming – and they learned a lesson or two about themselves and their God along the way.On today's episode, Nick and Tyler do a close reading of Exodus 16 and explore the Israelites' radical transition from Egyptian captivity to (reluctant) trust in Providence. Using the work of theologian Ellen Davis as a guide, this podcast connects the Israelites' wilderness experience to our own modern need for rest, restraint, justice, simplicity, and contentment. Can pass the manna, please?SHOW HIGHLIGHTSWhy Egypt was considered the first industrial society.What manna was and the bizarre rules around it.How and why the Sabbath originated.How the Israelites' wilderness experience was an inverse of their captivity in Egypt.Why eating is considered an agricultural, moral, social, and economic act.And why the Prince of Egypt movie is so darn good!LINKSEllen Davis' book Scripture, Culture, and Agriculture: An Agrarian Reading Of The BibleWendell Berry: “Eating is an agricultural act.”Nick's favorite song from Prince of EgyptLeave us a Review!Take a few seconds and write a positive review on iTunes or wherever you get your podcasts. This helps us move up in the rankings and reach more people!Connect with the PodcastHave a question, topic idea, gardening tip, anything? Email us at edenrevisitedpodcast@gmail.com. We'd love to give you a sprout out.

On today's episode, John Ratzenberger sits down with Church and Dwight's Dr. Ellen Davis to discuss how microbial colonization is the succession event that happens very early in the pig's life, in the life of all mammals, by which the gastrointestinal tract of the animal is colonized by bacteria. Join us for this week's episode of Nutra Blend's Animal Agriculture podcast! 

Food Engineering editor-in-chief Casey Laughman speaks with Ellen Davis, Executive Vice President of Industry Engagement, Consumer Brands Association, on the consumer trends shaping the future of the food and beverage industry.

God's creation is a direct reflection of God's glory, and Christians are called to be faithful stewards of the earth. While global issues of climate and environment can seem out of reach, our local communities give us space to learn and take action in small and large ways. How can we partner with our creator to build a better, more sustainable living environment? What simple, practical changes can we make to responsibly care for our local communities and our world?Chris and Eddie are joined by Ellen F. Davis, professor at Duke Divinity School and author of Scripture, Culture, and Agriculture: An Agrarian Reading of the Bible. An Old Testament scholar with deep wisdom about our ecological crisis, Davis views the land we've inherited as kin and a covenant partner. She speaks to our call to serve and preserve the land out of honor and love for what God has given us. Davis challenges us to hold onto a hope that is not just a passive, sunny optimism, but a collective vision of goodness and wholeness driven by human agency and creativity.Resources:Learn more about Ellen Davis here:https://divinity.duke.edu/faculty/ellen-davisOrder Scripture, Culture, and Agriculture: An Agrarian Reading of the Bible hereCheck out all books by Ellen Davis here

Tup refused to listen back to any portion of the podcast to find a better name or determine what the topics were covered.  From memory the topics that are covered include: helping other athletes up as mental warfare, new utensil ideas, and a few other half decent conversations.  Pete breaks down his unusual tipping policy.

This is an A Rocha Field Notes podcast bonus track. We asked Ellen Davis to walk us through one of her favourite Scriptures. This is what she shared.

What does the Bible have to say about caring for creation in an age of industrialised agriculture and urban-dwelling?Ellen F. Davis is Amos Ragan Kearns Distinguished Professor of Bible and Practical Theology at Duke Divinity School. The author of eleven books and many articles, her research interests focus on how biblical interpretation bears on the life of faith communities and their response to urgent public issues, particularly the ecological crisis and interfaith relations. She speaks to Peter and Bryony about her personal interest in the environmental content of scripture, the teaching of the church on climate issues and our interpretation of the opening chapters of Genesis.

Derrick is joined by Chelsea Spyres, the pastor and executive director of Riverfront Ministries in Wilmington, Delaware to discuss the Wilmington Kitchen Collective and building community during a pandemic.    www.wilmingtonkitchencollective.com   We are excited to invite you to a free conference this summer. It's called Sustaining Church: Reimagining communities of faith in a climate crisis. The aim of this conference is to bring together theological thinking on creation care with those that are actively growing or starting Christian communities that care for land. The hope is that this will be the first of many conversations that inspire further theological thinking around caring for creation, as well as an opportunity to network and empower localized growing communities of faith. The conference will be held over zoom so even though it's in the UK you can take part. Some of our keynote speakers will be familiar to fans of this podcast, Nurya Love Parish, Ellen Davis, and Norman Wirzba just to name a few. A full list of speakers and tickets can be found at www.hazelnutcommunityfarm.com 

Anna, Sam, and Derrick are joined by Dr. Ellen Davis to discuss her foundational work "Scripture, Culture, and Agriculture" and its ongoing impact.      We are excited to invite you to a free conference this summer. It's called Sustaining Church: Reimagining communities of faith in a climate crisis. The aim of this conference is to bring together theological thinking on creation care with those that are actively growing or starting Christian communities that care for land. The hope is that this will be the first of many conversations that inspire further theological thinking around caring for creation, as well as an opportunity to network and empower localized growing communities of faith. The conference will be held over zoom so even though it's in the UK you can take part. Some of our keynote speakers will be familiar to fans of this podcast, Nurya Love Parish, Ellen Davis, and Norman Wirzba just to name a few. A full list of speakers and tickets can be found at www.hazelnutcommunityfarm.com 

On today's episode, John Ratzenberger sits down with Arm and Hammer's Dr. Ellen Davis to discuss how the immune system is a complicated topic that seems to evolve every year.  With new innovations, we’re learning more about the amazing things it does, and where the immune responses can occur.  Join us for this week's episode of Nutra Blend's Animal Agriculture podcast! 

Episode: Trees are people too! While this claim may come as a surprise to many listeners, it’s familiar territory for biblical authors. Trees, mountains, skies, plants … all of these bear […] The post Mari Joerstad – The Hebrew Bible and Environmental Ethics first appeared on OnScript.

Episode: Trees are people too! While this claim may come as a surprise to many listeners, it’s familiar territory for biblical authors. Trees, mountains, skies, plants … all of these bear […] The post Mari Joerstad – The Hebrew Bible and Environmental Ethics first appeared on OnScript.

Dr. Ellen Davis

In this episode, Sam is joined by Ellen Davis, RD, CSSD, LD of Davis Sports Nutrition to discuss how what we put in our body can help our hurt our athletic performance, our ability to recover from injury/surgery, and even  how diet can play a role in injury prevention.  

Consumer preferences continue to influence swine production practices, including the use of Antibiotic Growth Promoters (AGPs). How can swine producers navigate changing preferences and standards while maintaining productivity? With a Ph.D. in swine nutrition and immunology, plus wide-ranging, hands-on expertise in animal nutrition, animal health and immunology, Dr. Ellen Davis, Monogastric Technical Services Manager at Arm & Hammer Animal and Food Production, is well qualified to discuss the latest innovations for keeping pathogens in check, increasing resiliency at every stage of a pig's lifecycle and mitigating food safety issues. If you're interested in alternatives to AGPs and a #ScienceHearted conversation about industry trends and your best, next moves, don't miss Ellen's discussion with host Andy Vance in this episode of “Food Chain Chats.”

In this weeks episode we speak with Professor Ellen Davis on how scripture speaks of the connection between our relationship with God and our relationship with the land, and the implications that has for today- especially in light of our current ecological crisis.Professor Ellen Davis is Amos Ragan Kearns Professor of Bible and Practical Theology at Duke Divinity School. She’s the author of 11 books and many articles. Her books include Scripture, Culture, and Agriculture: An Agrarian Reading of the Bible, Biblical Prophecy: Perspectives for Christian Theology, Discipleship, and Ministry, and Wondrous Depth: Old Testament Preaching.If you want to listen to her talk more on this topic then I encourage you to search her name on YouTube and watch her lectures. Also, her book Scripture, Culture, and Agriculture: An Agrarian Reading of the Bible speaks a lot into today’s topic.

EP238- Holiday Shipageddon This holiday season will be a mixed bag for retailers. Health concerns are likely to drive many more consumers online, but can retailers and shippers, who are already experiencing Cyber-Monday levels of e-commerce handle the increased volume? Scott Silverman (@scottsilverman) of CommerceNext and Ken Cassar (@kcassar) of CassarCo join us to discuss the holiday season, including a CommerceNext survey of 1,000+ consumers, and 60+ digital retail executives to understand how aware they may be of shipping delays, trade-offs they'd be willing to make in order to get free shipping, etc. Jason wrote a related article "Holiday 2020: A Mixed Bag For Retailers" in Forbes this week The twitter thread that kicked off this discussion Lowes locker announcement that Scot mentioned Deloitte Holiday Forecast Salesforce Holiday Forecast Don't forget to like our facebook page, and if you enjoyed this episode please write us a review on itunes. Episode 238 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded live on Thursday, October 1st, 2020. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, Chief Commerce Strategy Officer at Publicis, and Scot Wingo, CEO of GetSpiffy and Co-Founder of ChannelAdvisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:27] Welcome to the Jason and Scott show this is episode 238 being recorded on Thursday October 1st 2025 man this year is going fast I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scott Wingo. Scot W: [0:45] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners. Welcome to the first day of Q4 2020 hopefully your q3s were all ahead of plan and your seems to our sales were decent given that we're in a pandemic. [0:59] Jason back way way back I don't know if you can remember back this far back in episode 235 we talked about some of the factors that could impact holiday. And surfaced this kind of concern that we may be running out of shipping capacity before we really get too deep into the holiday. I have coined that shipaggedon. So that is really interesting and we've got a lot of Twitter and and listener trap in questions about this so it seems to be top of mind with everyone. So we decided here in episode 238 to do a bit of a deep dive on this, and we decided you know that you and I know enough about shipping to get trouble but we needed to bring some more folks into the conversation so we're really excited to have on this episode. Two experts and they're also regular listeners of the show Scott Silverman who Probably sounds familiar to a lot of you and then Ken kassar. They have both been watching this closely and they just did a consumer survey of over a thousand people to understand the consumer side of this how they're thinking about. I'm shipping delays shopping earlier late that kind of thing, but then they also did a survey on the digital executive side to understand how our merchants and retailers and Brands thinking about this. So excited to have you guys on the show Welcome Scott and Kim. Scott S: [2:21] Thanks for having us. Ken: [2:23] Glad to be here. Jason: [2:24] We are thrilled that I have you guys and we're excited to jump into it but as you know we like to always start by giving the listener a little bit of background about the guests so Scott I'd love to start with you your name will be familiar to listeners because you were a guest way back in episode 66. So quite some time ago and then you have you made cameos on a number of shows since then some listener questions shows and others um would you mind reminding the the listeners a little bit about your background and e-commerce and what you're doing today. Scott S: [2:59] Sure well super excited to be back on the Jason and Scot show I have been in the e-commerce digital retail industry for over 20 years, describe myself now is a digital retail connector I spent about 10 years Running Shop dot-org which was the previous, online group of the national retail Federation I did that until, 2010 and since then I've been doing things on my own that are related to, bringing e-commerce leaders together for information sharing learning shit and networking including putting together a conference called Commerce next which focuses on customer acquisition and growth, and and that's been I've been spending quite a bit of my time on that and that's really where this survey came from and we'll get into that a little bit more in a bit. Jason: [4:00] Very cool and always apropos to talk to you around holiday e-commerce because amongst your mini claims to fame you actually coined the term Cyber Monday did you not. Scott S: [4:14] I was the co-inventor with Ellen Davis from NRF and that I was the inventor of Cyber Monday.com which is a fundraising affiliate site. Jason: [4:27] Yeah there was actually run by shop dot-org and later interrupt that raised a ton of money for scholarships for kids in the digital space. Scott S: [4:36] Yeah absolutely. Jason: [4:37] So some very cool stuff so I was great to have you back on the show Scott and then Ken this is your first time on the show but your analysis has been on the show a number of times because you have been one of my secret weapons can you introduce yourself to the audience. Ken: [4:52] Yes I am Ken cassar I have been in the retail industry for 25 or so years but made the jump to e-commerce and 1998. At the time I was working for BMG Direct that's 11 CDs for the price of one decided that Direct Mail probably wasn't going to have the promise that e-commerce had and jumped over to a strategic advisory company called Jupiter research at the time in the subsequent 25 years I've spent most of my time in sort of this weird intersection of data analytics and strategic. Opportunities and strategic threats that come out of that focused on the retail industry working with both Brands and retailers spent 10 years with Nielsen five years with Racket and intelligence and now I have my own Consulting shop called cassar Co and we work with retailers Brands and the vendors that support them helping them understand what is happening in the retail industry again with a focus on e-commerce with a focus on that intersection of data and strategy. Jason: [6:05] Awesome and we are excited to jump into some of the original research you have but I do want to frame up the topic just a little bit to make sure all our listeners are catched up in the highly unlikely event. That some of them haven't listened to every episode sequentially so. About a month ago FedEx had their their quarterly earnings call and they tweeted some interesting growth data about their company and. They were showing some pretty impressive growth in 2018 they added 5.7 percent additional parcel capacity for the year, in 2019 they added 7.8% additional personal capacity and then they were talking about for 2020 with this unprecedented e-commerce demand because of covid that they were actually adding. 11.4% additional personal capacity so significantly more capacity than they add in a normal year which is all good news. [7:07] I pointed out to Scott on Twitter that well that's great news. That's way less capacity than e-commerce is growing right so while FedEx was adding 5 to 8% a year e-commerce was growing. Thirteen to fifteen percent a year and this year the most conservative estimates are for 18% growth. You know the last couple quarters we've seen. Depending on how you want to count between 45 and 80% growth and so my my hypothesis was. Man if there's more e-commerce demand in Q4 than there was in Q3. There's going to be a significant comeuppance because the none of the carriers are going to be able to flex to have the capacity to fill all the extra e-commerce orders. And so the sort of test that hypothesis a little bit, I actually reached out to another vendor in our space ship Matrix and ship Matrix is a software tool that a lot of e-commerce sites use to manage their shipments so they see a big chunk of all the, the parcel capacity that gets sent out to FedEx UPS USPS and Eamon Amazon. And they they track on Time Performance so they told me that in 2019. [8:25] FedEx ups and the post office all kind of hover around this 95 to 98% on time rate and that for the last six months of the pandemic. They've been averaging more like 92% so down. Cut three to five percent worse performance than they normally have so the The covid increased demand has already hurt there on time performance. Their data actually shows the Amazon struggling even more that Amazon normally has a 95% on Time Performance for their two-day deliveries and that they're now running at 85% so they're down like. 10% so to kind of wrap that up. Covid is forced a bunch of people to shop online we've been trying to ship a lot more packages. The none of the carriers have the ability to flex. As quickly as the e-commerce demand does and so there's there's great concern about what that means for holiday and that's what prompted us to do this show today talking about the holiday 2020 and the impending shipping nightmare. Scot W: [9:37] Yeah this good framing Jason and you know if things are buckling and Q 3 and Q 2 what's going to happen in q 4 if we usually that incrementally drives on top of what you're seeing in the earlier quarter so. That's a good time to kick it over to Scott Silverman maybe maybe start us off with how how you guys came up with the idea for the survey and what the impetus was. Scott S: [10:02] So we've been leaning into research through the entire pandemic with Commerce neck so I think we had some of the earliest data available at the end of March in terms of hearing what retailers were experiencing from the pandemic and we've been doing check-ins between you know that period and now. But in the middle of August we were talking to one particular retailer who was hearing from a lot of other colleagues that, they were expecting some kind of shipping capacity, announcement or policy from UPS and and or FedEx there were a lot of rumors that it might be around 30%. [10:50] Then this is on you know there's a lot of things to unpack here there's the surcharges the increase demand that's going to come from shipping and just generally there's just more. Shopping that's going online during the pandemic is as we all know. And so we thought we really needed to be helpful to our community get and try to provide some, some data for them and we thought we could do something where we would look at both consumers so we have a partnership with bizrate insights and they did a survey for us with over a thousand consumers and then tapped into our community and had 63 retail Executives and a variety of different categories they generally were skewing on the larger side like a a hundred million or higher in terms of annual revenue and that allowed us to get a pretty good picture of what everyone was experiencing at the same time, you know I've known Ken cassar you know probably that you know over 20 years, and he you know I learned that he was spinning up cassar, and we thought maybe we could work with Ken to have him do some of the analysis on the data so we ended up working with Kanna I'll let Ken kind of walk through some of the, the high points of what we learned. Ken: [12:17] Well thank you and and and Scott when you hit first reached out as like Scott's so he's in heat the guy that invented Monday but Cyber Monday which is which is a much much better thing than than my. Jason: [12:28] Let the record show I like the guy that invented Saturday a lot more than Scott. Ken: [12:32] Indeed but the but yeah now I was really excited to be able to dig into this stuff and the what was interesting here is we were able to field kind of simultaneous studies with that looked at how consumers were feeling and how Merchants were failing at the at the same time with specific regard to the shipping issue and and the and you know and I think you know probably the most interesting finding at least the best place to launch from is when we asked. [13:05] Merchants about their biggest consumer related concerns and we also asked about logistics which we'll get to but we asked about their biggest consumer related concerns for the 2020 holiday season the top of the left the top of the list was their concern about consumers expectation of fast free delivery coupled with shipper related issues 63% of the retailers that we surveyed had cited that and kind of double clicking in when we asked about concerns that Merchants had around fulfillment specific delivery specific issues the the biggest. [13:48] Challenges or concerns came back to shipper related issues the first 60 percent of merchants said that they were concerned that shippers make app deliveries during Peak demand and and number two short a very very closely behind they worry about shipper surcharges straining profitability when we click over to the consumer data we see good reason for retailers to be worried about this because when consumers are asked about their expectations the promotions that are going to move them in this year they're the things that will motivate them are certainly free shipping followed by a whole bunch of other issues but the but the but they want to make sure that they're getting free shipping and in with the elevation in e-commerce demand that we've seen and I think everybody has kind of different numbers but what's pretty clear is that after a period of dramatic elevation things have come down a little bit but we're moving into holiday that is historically the most significant crunch on the e-commerce out of the business so I think everybody from both the merchant side as well as the consumer side are concerned about what this holiday season is going to look like. Scott S: [15:04] If I could just jump in just like adding to the consumer side one of the questions we asked was if you're planning to spend time with fewer loved ones over the holiday season is in you could expect, that was a pretty high number almost half of the people said that that was the case which, means that there's going to be a lot of people buying gifts remotely instead of buying gifts in a store and then you know. Taking them to you know Grandma's house where you're having Christmas dinner or whatever you're going to do and exchanging gifts so I that seems to be placing even more pressure on this current situation. Jason: [15:45] Yeah and I think you asked a terrifying follow-up question which was hey if you're not going to be visiting family in person do you do you plan to give as many gifts as usual or fewer. Ken: [16:00] We did ask about holiday budgets and and the and amongst our survey respondents, it was mid 30s percent call the number of dump my head but the but mid 30s or so had said that they intended to spend less on gifts this holiday season. The having. Been tracking this sort of behavior for quite a while consumers consistently say that they intend to spend less during the holidays then they actually then they actual earlier than previously but the but this year is so different that I'm more inclined to believe it this year than any other year and I'm pretty. Believing of the forecast that I've seen that show a relatively soft overall holiday season unless you're an online retailer and then it seems that it's going to be a very very different story this. Jason: [16:57] Yeah and can debunk this if I'm wrong but my hypothesis so always take consumer surveys about how they're going to behave with a huge grain of salt of course the in general I would say, consumers dramatically underestimate how much they're going to spend on themselves for holiday so they always say they're going to spend less, and then they end up buying more items for themselves. But they overestimate how much they're going to spend on other and so my my fear is if you're not going to be looking your aunt and uncle and cousins in the face across the table. And in your survey they're already saying they're planning on gifting less than they probably really are going to be gifting less. Scott S: [17:47] Well I mean one counter to that is I heard this today an interesting thought is that. All of the money that people would be spending traveling to you know on airfare and hotels and such and such could. Could potentially be. You know rerouted no pun intended into gift purchases so maybe that would give some more Credence to people spending a little bit more money because they're going to have a little bit more money having traveled less. Jason: [18:20] Yeah no I think that's valid and super interesting. To me that that goes into this bucket that that you guys call that in your report and of course Deloitte and others have talked about I think Cowan brought up this year as well a super common description of this holiday is bifurcation. And one of the ways that's described is hey there are a bunch of consumers that had probably planned an expensive vacation they're not going to take and so they may have more discretionary. Spending to invest that they might be more inclined to improve their home or. You know buy more toys or invest in the new video game platforms that are coming out this year like there's this these this whole host of categories that could benefit from this. Affluent consumer with extra cash and and like without doing a deep dive in the macroeconomic situation. [19:15] Savings rate are uncharacteristically high so there. There's a premise that there are savings dollars to invest in Holiday of consumers choose to do that right so that could be the upside of the bifurcation is, affluent consumers could spend more and they're certain categories like toys Electronics. Home Improvement food that could all benefit from that the downside of the bifurcation is. The bottom 25% of all wage earners still have a 16% unemployment a million people just applied for unemployment this week for the first time. The enhanced benefits are expiring there's a hundred thousand Disney and Airline workers about to get laid off. And all of those consumers are likely burning through that high savings rate and they could shift into. Real recession mode and you know feel a lot of economic insecurity in there for. Legitimately spin spin the last for a holiday and then of course there's holiday categories like fashion. [20:26] You know probably are going to be hurt by the fact that there's not going to be a lot of parties to go to this year all the Halloween people are probably going to be hurt by the fact that the CDC. Says you shouldn't go trick or treating. And side note the CDC came out this week and said going to a retail store to Thanksgiving shop the week of Thanksgiving is a high-risk activity that should be avoided. So lots of weird Trends driving more spending and less spending so how do you how do you figure out how all those are going to net out I guess is the magic question. Ken: [21:02] Bi and you know the I had done some analysis of credit card data from a partner of mine Affinity Solutions a few months ago and we were looking at the the changes in spending over time at looking at different income groups in this this was March through April through May through June and July and it was absolutely incredible to me how much more volatile the spending was Andrew and apparently responsive to government stimulus lower-income groups were and and they are absolutely the folks that are the most at risk at this point in the economy and and so we need to watch that really close. [21:44] Polly and the unemployment rate I think more than anything else is the number that we ought to be paying attention to right now when I look at the overall Census Bureau spending numbers they can lull one into complacency the while April and May were dramatically below the previous year by June and July we were up by August we were flat and remember during August we started to see some of the government benefits being curtailed the I think we want to keep a really really close eye on some of the numbers that are coming out, and I think that at least for a few months it seems highly unlikely to me that there's going to be a political solution that is that is going to help kind of pad what could be a difficult time and and so I generally worry more than I am optimistic with conflicting signals. Scot W: [22:39] Yeah yeah that's good to keep an eye on everything let's jump into the survey you when you kind of went to the highlights there I thought was interesting where. You know consumers we have this friction consumers want fast free shipping and they don't and they want it all the way through the 24th right and then retailers are worried about being able to provide that. Where are we you know where is consumer expectation Amazon raise the bar of this year from two days for Prime to one day it's not on every skewb they're kind of constantly trying to implement that and then the pandemic shifted a bunch of that around. Um and then converts it on the other side of the coin where are the bulk of the Retailer's from your perspective Landing. Scott S: [23:24] Yeah I can jump in on that I mean you can Sky you can probably you know let us know you know like how much of the. Shipping infrastructure that Amazon owns itself but I think it's safe to say that they'll be less affected, by this then all the other retailers but what we're hearing from the Retailer's, and a lot of you know some of this is in the survey some of this is just anecdotal and from conversations is there's a number of things that are trying to do I mean I think everyone, you know once to manage expectations I was talking to someone from Land's End and they were talking about adding additional Communications, from when the order was placed to when the order gets delivered to keep consumers aware of where the package is, we're hearing about retailers that I think would like. Get shot people to buy earlier I don't know, I think that's a you know a mixed one whether that can be accomplished or not because I think consumers have some pretty. Deep habits there especially around the holiday they're always expecting really good deals around. [24:40] You know Black Friday Cyber Monday or as you get later into December I heard one example from B&H Photo that, they talked about do offering a guaranteed best price which I thought was pretty creative so to you know make customers feel a little more comfortable that, they're not going to see a lower price later in the holiday season but there's always that cat and mouse game going on between customers and retailers and the customers waiting until the end thinking that they're going to get a really good price and on top of being procrastinators, and you know and we can kind of go did you know into all of these but I think they're also looking at you know backup carriers alternative carriers certainly, I think as you were mentioning earlier and if that was Jason or Scott about, the curbside and buy online pick up in the store being a little bit of an outlet where you're less dependent on the carrier's things like lockers I don't know, how prevalent that's getting we didn't ask that I wish we would have it would have been interesting to see if any of the retailers are actually going to you know you know be able to use lockers to alleviate a little bit of the pressure. So yeah those are some of the things that we're hearing about. Scot W: [26:04] Yeah it's two follow-ups there so Amazon's at about sixty percent sixty six percent of their own packages now, but my senses and there's been some blog posts in their never super specific I think they're pouring on as much on to that as they can at these at the individual they're adding dsps and they're adding capacity at the ESPYs. So I think of the ones Jason went through they'll have the most ability to add delivery capacity I don't know if it'll keep up with the demand though. I think I saw this week this is kind of irrelevant news items that Lowe's announce they're going to try to put Lockers in a lot of stores and. The school they looked they looked a lot like Amazon lockers I don't know what vendor they're using or if they kind of built their own Jason do you did you see that. Jason: [26:47] No you busted me I actually did not see that. Scot W: [26:50] Maybe I imagined it who knows. Ken: [26:53] I didn't catch that one either the I did actually try to measure that back in my racket on days and and so this was two years ago. And we're just looking at Amazon and it was a surprisingly small percent of Amazon orders were going through lockers but but fast forward a couple of years with more availability and with retailers that have more prevalent brick-and-mortar locations it could be a could be a different story you know one of the one of the things that had really kind of struck me from the research that we did we the consumer side we asked consumers about we stated many retailers are going to be facing issues this year with shipping capacity and costs what trade-offs would you be willing to make in order to be able to get free shipping and 38 percent of the consumers that we surveyed said that they'd be willing to go to a local store to pick up an order 31 percent said that they would be willing to wait longer for an order to ship and I think for a lot of retailers not sent not named Amazon that is going to be the key to the holiday season. [28:07] Trying to press consumers toward lower cost lower pressure options that will that will that will hopefully make the whole Enterprise operate more effectively but we'll see to Scotts Point earlier will see how well they're able to get consumers to budge from their past habits historically have been skeptical that consumers will change their their past behaviors in any dramatic way however in a year where when I go to the grocery store they tell me which way to walk down particular aisles and I'm compelled to buy brands of toilet paper that I've never heard of before the it may be it may be a different story than in the past. Jason: [28:53] Yeah so let's poke on some of those those ways returns are going to try to change and how successful they're likely to be but before I do that the, the our show intern chimed in while you're answering that last question and annoyingly pointed out that Scott was right that that was announced last week plans to add lockers and 1700 stores, and apparently as part of that announcement they disclosed that 60% of all their own online orders are Bulbasaur are fulfilled by store so makes makes total sense for them. Um so so going back to ways retailers would like to change shopping behavior for the pandemic you guys alluded a little bit to retailers would like Shoppers to start. Shopping earlier and I feel like we've already seen a ton of efforts on the part of retailers to make that happen right so. Amazon is announced Prime day which is the 14th and 15th of October so for Amazon for all intensive purposes. [29:55] Thanksgiving huh promotions of already started because they have pre-primed a sales running right now they're going to run into this big to two-day Prime thing and I assume they'll roll right in a holiday. Walmart and Target have both counter-program sales the day before Prime day or a couple days before Prime day. Um Target Home Depot and a bunch of other retailers have announced they're not going to have one day giant doorbuster sales for Black Friday because. None of the Retailer's wanna encourage a giant line outside their stores and a lot of their stores are unrestricted capacity so they can't let a ton customers in the store anyway and so instead of one day doorbusters on Black Friday. They're doing two months of sales starting in October so so there's tons of promotional activity to try to entice the The Shopper to buy early the retailer wants that Chopper to buy early because that means there's. More days and more shipping capacity to fulfill that order there's a whole variety of things that that are safer for the retail or if they can get him to shop early. Um the magic question though is our consumers going to believe the retailer like when a consumer sees a deal now or they going to say hey there's going to be an even better deal on. On Black Friday or later and and therefore don't stop start early or can this promotional activity. [31:18] Change that behavior like do you have a sense for what's what's really likely to happen Ken in terms of of holiday shopping shifting earlier. Ken: [31:28] Yeah it's a you know I I've got to say that like when. When I think back to analyses that I've done where I've looked at holiday spending on a day-to-day basis year over year where you anchor on Cyber Monday it amazes me how consistent that curve has been I spent five years when I was at Racket and trying to find interesting things to say about the fact that patterns were as consistent as they were either over here and and so it is an uphill battle I believe that the unofficial beginning of the holiday shopping season this year is Prime day or prime days however when I think about it and and that all retailers need to kind of Orient themselves around that I do not believe that necessarily means that retailers need to explicitly counter program against Amazon and Amazon's promotions but they need to realize that that is the beginning and collectively spreading demand out as much. [32:40] It is critical the I think that this year more than any other there is going to need to be a Harmony between marketers and, infrastructure folks or operation folks like we've never seen before the marketing folks have got a not be myopically focused on driving sales they need to think about when those sales that are occurring and and and they've got a, bring to bear all of the powers of this persuasion that they've developed not to get people to buy but to get people to buy at an appropriate time. And they have all the headwinds of the habits that they've developed over the course of years where consumers have justifiably come to expect the best deals to come later in the season it is a it is no small challenge. Scott S: [33:28] What we had a webinar on this topic where we shared this data and one of the panelists was the CMO from B&H Photo Jeff gerstel. And he made a really thoughtful comment related to this and he's the CMO. But he said really you should be asking yourselves a year from now you know what did you do to satisfy your customers most and if you're in a position, you see that at the maybe there's a small percent of orders that are high risk for being fulfilled you walk away from those and let someone else take those and potentially fail, but really focus you know on the orders that you feel most confident you're going to be able to do an amazing job with and think long-term the about, how you're going to build your brand over time and how people are going to remember you and and don't, take on too much this particular holiday I mean it I think it's. You know foreign for just about every marketer out there to not, really you know put their foot on the gas during the holiday season but this might be the one year where you want to back off a little bit and lay off the gas. Jason: [34:45] No that's a great Point Scott and I actually think that that is I mean that's excellent advice and I do get a sense that that's the way the majority of. Retailers are leaning I've spoken to a lot of retailers that are anticipating having earlier cut off days than usual so. Um the last day though except in order and still promise delivery for Christmas. People are just assuming like you know the service levels from the post office are going to be really unpredictable. The you know the capacity from the other carriers as we've already discussed and so they're they're trying to be conservative because they would rather sell less stuff than, be the the retailer that ruined Christmas by taking a bunch of orders and not delivering and I think the carriers are thinking the same thing I think. FedEx and UPS are being really aggressive with their clients and saying hey you have to sign up for a quota of how many packages you can ship you're not going to be allowed to ship more packages than your quota. Like they don't appear to be looking to grab every order they possibly can they appear to be being really conservative to make sure that they can deliver all the orders they grab so I feel like. That that might be the way that folks are leaning in general this year. Scott S: [36:02] And then there's going to be some products in categories where there's still going to be an inventory problem and I mean we've had, you know folks you know from a guitar manufacturer talked about you know the shortage is that they've had we've all heard about bicycles and I don't know if bicycles are you know the. You know factories have been able to kind of get back and begin to bring more into the market but, you know I think some retailers are going to be thinking about well, maybe this is an opportunity to sell more you know be more exclusive sell things that full price not be as aggressive on discounting there's so many different things going on this holiday season it's going to be really interesting to watch. Ken: [36:46] Yeah in one one data point that that I do want to share from our Merchant survey, we had asked retailers where they intended to cut off non expedited shipping because of course. Expedited shipping for many retailers is available up until two or three days before Christmas but you're going to pay through the teeth for it but non expedited shipping is really I think where the rubber hits the road. Fifty-two percent of the merchants that we surveyed plan to cut off. Or set their non expedited cut offs between December 14th and 17th and then another 25% between December 18th and 21st so those are the folks that are kind of living out on the edge. [37:33] This year more commonly the 14th to 17th is the is where those cut offs seemed to be coming kind of related to that is shipping speed and and here we asked merchants and that same survey how what their standard non expedited shipping commitment was and sixty-three percent of the merchants that we surveyed had that shipping commitment at four days or more and and so the so unfortunately I don't have a comparison relative to last year but to me this feels consistent with last year where we had historically been seeing some pressure to get faster and faster so I'm feeling conservatives amongst retailers. Scot W: [38:23] Very interesting that's a symbol of our listeners are obviously on the retailer brand direct to Consumer side seems like we're all four of us are in agreement that this can be a particularly rough year for this this ship again. Some best practices we've surfaced are moving up your last delivery date sounds like the consensus from the survey was December 14 to 17. We've talked about improved Communications. The you know being really clear about what's expedited and and not expedited both piss curbside ship from store, what are some other things that you guys are either hearing from the survey or anecdotally that folks can do to help. Get out of the freight train that's kind of coming out of here. Scott S: [39:09] I mean I just you know old-fashioned you know contingency planning you know being flexible and where your, moving your resources if you need folks to go into your fulfillment centers and you know pack more, boxes or things like that which I don't even know how that's going to work with covid but yeah I mean I think that's we're hearing quite a bit of that as is just, being prepared for a lot of different scenarios and be flexible with your team be able to do as much as you can it's. Sounds cliche cliche ish but I think that's also a big part of it. Ken: [39:56] Yeah the and I think a lot of I think a lot of the pressure that had been a lot of the e-commerce related pressure that had been sitting on the e-commerce fulfillment centers and the past. Are going to are going to shift this year to the store because of curbside and Papas and then also when we ask Merchants whether those with stores with their they plan to ship significantly differently items from stores relative to passed to last year 41 percent said that they were significantly increasing the throughput of shipments from their stores and and so you know I think for retailers it's more than ever the focus for e-commerce is going to come back to the store and and retailers have got to get training employees early they've got to cross train employees they've got to be prepared for a whole mess of different unpredictable scenarios and if I were running a large retail chain I would I would start my hiring a couple weeks early to make sure that people were ready to deal with situations that they've never dealt with before and to be as adaptable as possible. Scot W: [41:13] Yeah it's interesting we've had this. Kind of debate for a long time that the you know the omni-channel are harmonized retailers whatever you want to call them they had this a set of stores that they were under utilizing this the pandemic kind of a weird. Unintended consequence I guess of the pandemic could be that they're finally going to lean on those stores another interesting kind of option that we saw in the news this week was Sephora announced a partnership with instacart. So a lot of people are kind of saying alright we've got both purpose and, curbside but that still you know requires people to come to like a mall like setting where the parking you know during holiday it's always really particular tricky and then, a challenge with Opus is the you're going in waiting in line to get in the store because the reduce capacity. [41:59] So the instacart thing is interesting because there's these last mile networks that have been built up for either grocery delivery in the in the example of instacart, or than there you have shipped and others Postmates kind of straddles both then you have all the food delivery companies. And and then you have Uber of course and and even maybe lift down the road you could see all those guys kind of playing a role in last-mile just kind of interesting the. The other side of the story there though is one of the fastest growing from a GMB perspective in the pandemic has been Shopify and their merchants. So I wonder if they'll be under the most stress the pure play a kind of SMB, you know they really have no they're not like Amazon and they can build their own thing Shopify is kind of. Helping a little bit they have their own fulfillment centers but they're there are all those guys are going to be relying on USPS FedEx and UPS. And they not going to be able to go out and buy the big what do you call it Jason where you pre buy it the. Whatever that is they're not going to be able to go kind of pre biocapacity like the other guys do you guys agree that that's going to be the most Under Pressure quadrant here. Ken: [43:12] It's an under-pressure quadrant. If you decide strategically that you want it to be if you want to try to compete with when I saw that Sephora news I was thinking what do they really want to be competing with Amazon in on that level of service or do they want to compete on their product and the availability of product and their ability to help consumers understand and and I think there are a lot of retailers out there that could potentially be over investing in getting products to Consumers quickly where they perhaps ought to be investing a little bit differently in the consumer experience and and and I certainly believe that there is a segment where immediacy matters a lot but, just my probing through consumer surveys leads made over the years with some kind of you know longitudinal view of it feel like there's latitude now like there hasn't been before and consumers are going to have a tolerance for a slow boat and and and and retailers really ought to take advantage of it unless they happen to be competing very very directly with Amazon and they're only two guys that I can think of that fall within that bucket. Scott S: [44:27] There's you know the other way of looking at the the instacart deal is. You know it's an outlet for you know when you know your most dependable. Carriers are going to be stretched then and you're looking for a series of outlets to kind of flatten it out a little bit and put less pressure on the existing carriers. And I haven't looked closely at that particular partnership I don't know if the if it is going to be like the same fast delivery time or you know would instacart be able to. You know take all day to get something to somebody or even the next day or something like that. Jason: [45:15] Yeah no Scott I actually think you're right in this case that obviously there are lots of. Last mile delivery service is that historically have hung their hat on you can get the stuff fast as with by us that we can get it to an hour after you order it or whatever but I think for this holiday what we're seeing a lot is. Um Retailers that just need to find a safe way to sell more of their store inventory so the thing people forget about sometimes I know you guys understand this but if you have a fulfillment center and a thousand stores and you have. 10,000 Jason and Scot show mugs to sell. You're going to have 5,000 of those spread out across those stores and you're going to have five thousand of them in the Fulfillment center so getting. Ten ten thousand orders at the Fulfillment center doesn't help you have half your inventories in the stores or vice versa like you have to match that Supply to demand so. Like retailers can't win by just having all their no man shift online they would have a bunch of inventory tied up in stores. That they then wouldn't be able to sell and so curbside pickup Barb opus. Are super appealing because they give you that e-commerce experience and they're still selling the store inventory and I think some retailers are just concerned. [46:34] Consumers aren't going to want to do. Boba's are curbside because of safety issues or inconvenience issues with driving in the mall over holiday and so to me I think a bunch of these retailers that have added. Last Mile home delivery for this holiday, are really just trying to make sure that more of their inventories of liquid and that they can sell it so if Sephora can get instacart to drive stuff home for people that let them sell more of their inventory I know Bed Bath & Beyond is, also did a deal with instacart and shipped I. And we actually had a vendor on the show a year ago episode 166 called ship see in this is that's exactly what they do they're like an aggregator, that that you know pull together like 60 of these Regional companies that can drive that stuff to you and. Fulfill those orders to you so I think the service level might not be same day it might just be. [47:29] Relatively cheap easy way to deliver store inventory. But I want to Pivot for a second because earlier in the conversation you brought up what to me is another interesting point that we haven't talked a lot about yet which is inventory issues so. Pandemic hits in March people aren't sure you know how this is going to be impacted like one of the early predictions was. Oh man these doors are closed for two months they're not selling any of their inventory holiday we're going to be flooded with inventory and it's all going to be super cheap because everyone's going to have clothes from the wrong season that they're trying to sell. And what it looks like to me is happened is a bunch of retailers. Got really cautious early in the pandemic and dramatically curtailed their holiday orders and so I actually think we're staring at the opposite problem I think. A bunch of retailers are really lean on inventory this holiday and and we potentially in the latter half of holiday might start running into. Availability and supply chain problems do you guys get any sense about inventory issues and did that come up in the survey of the the digital execs at all. Ken: [48:44] Yeah you know it's funny the concerns about in stock on key items. We're highlighted both from our Merchant and consumer surveys the it wasn't necessarily at the top of the list but it's pretty close to the top of the list it was number two on both and and so yeah that is absolutely a big issue the my advice to retailer is this year is, identify your key inventory items and I mean maybe it's the top hundred maybe it's a top thousand items but the but those where you believe you've got any risk of being out of stock you've got to think like neck like Netflix and Netflix when you type in a movie The Big Lebowski and they don't have that movie they've got hundred other suggestions movies like The Big Lebowski retailers have got to be armed with alternate suggestions for out of stock items I think in order to be successful because I I agree that out of stock issues are going to be rampant this year. Scott S: [49:46] I don't envy the position the retailers are in I mean it obviously it's super challenging, you know in a variety of different ways but on the inventory issue. Like we're seeing a lot of news you know of this second wave of covid happening and what if that really gets bad and there's like another full-blown lockdown in December then you know what happens what if they have to shut down fulfillment centers are in now they're over inventory, there's so many different you know scenarios that could happen right now it's it's a really challenging time. Scot W: [50:27] Cool it wouldn't be a Jason Scott show if we didn't talk a little bit about Amazon and I know the prime day announcement probably came after you did your survey but wondering if you guys have a point of view of. This new kind of October ish Prime day. Scott S: [50:44] Well what we did here the retail mean when we ask the retailers. They didn't have the exact date I think they knew it was going to be in early as October but we ask them if they are going to participate with their own sales or they're going to sit on the sidelines and the majority said they were going to sit on the sidelines so, I thought that was interesting we'll see if it actually happens there there were a number of people that said they were undecided so there you know now that they have the specific date we may see a lot of those undecided you know decide that they're gonna actually going to participate especially if they feel like, this really is the beginning of the holiday shopping season and it's a way to, get some of those orders in get people shopping earlier to spread things out have, you no longer period to get products out to them so I don't can do you have anything more you want to add based on what we saw in the research. Ken: [51:45] Yeah I do in it just an addition to what to what you're saying it's got the you know this Prime day is a I do think it's going to be a significant sales day I just actually saw the emarketer forecast for Prime day and and they're they're anticipating a pretty significant increase and and and you know and I think that that it's easy to dismiss that as well that's before the holiday season but, but it's not it that is I believe going to chip in to holiday sales for those that are prepared I think consumers are going to be prepared this year and and yeah that I think that is going to again Amazon is almost starting the holiday season with a 10-yard advantage on the on the rest of its competitors because of the traction that they've had with prime day in the and the past. And so as everybody else really does have a bit of an uphill battle out of the out of the gates. Jason: [52:44] And gotcha now can I'm not sure Sports metaphors work when covid has ruined all the professional sports leagues but. Ken: [52:51] And when you mix your metaphors all over the place. Jason: [52:54] Just using so that dovetails perfectly to our last question and I'm going to have to make it a lightning round question because we're getting close on time but I do want to get just kind of the 32nd overview from each of you. We've been talking a lot about this increased e-commerce demand for Holiday from the very beginning of covid there's been a huge increase e-commerce demand and the most common way I hear retailers describe it is. Every day has been Cyber Monday right so you know Salesforce talked about that across their whole platform Shopify, you know said that they're running it higher than then Cyber Monday rates Amazon traditionally says that Prime day is a bigger Peak than Cyber Monday so, in this world when we're all on a tidal wave that's already bigger than Cyber Monday and Cyber Monday is coming up. Like what's gonna happen right like it are we going to have a peak on top of peak and if so will retailers be able to execute or. Like is is all that demand already cooked in and we're just going to see you know the the very high level we already have sustained through holiday so maybe I'll start with you Scott do you have a. A guess on how that's going to play out. Scott S: [54:11] I mean I do think there's going to be a peak on a peek I think the retailers are planning for this. They're doing you know trying to get capacity trying to do these all these other things get people to shop earlier, I think it might be an opportunity to not be as aggressive on discounts to, you know sell closer to full price and and you know maybe more profitable potentially you know helping, you know to subsidize a little bit of the profitability that's not going to happen from stores so I think that's a you know an interesting scenario I'm calling it interesting scenario because I don't have like a, I don't want to be that confident to say that I think that's actually going to happen for sure. Jason: [55:02] No I wrote it down that's your prediction can what about you what do you thinks gonna happen. Ken: [55:08] Yeah I mean I think I think the pressure on e-commerce operations I think it's got to be relentless this year the in for bigger for bigger retailers that have larger operations where they can absorb e-commerce pressure into broader store operations those are folks that have a lot of work to do but they're fortunate and for other retailers I think it's going to be a combination of working overtime being Scrappy trying to figure out how to do this and to Scott Silverman's point trying to throttle demand at times in order to in order to make sure that it doesn't that it doesn't bring the walls of the Fulfillment center is collapsing down. Jason: [55:47] Yeah I I tend to agree I think there's going to be a peak on a peak there's going to be a little bit of a bifurcation the. The retailers that invested in elastic capacity and move to the cloud are probably way better situated than the retailers that are running their e-commerce site on their own Iron right now so that that's going to be interesting and of course. Nobody nobody has done holiday Readiness like load testing with these kinds of loads so it's this is going to be a very Live Test. But I think that's going to be a great place to leave it because we have once again used up our allotted time. Scott can really enjoyed having you on the show and talking about this super important issue we're going to have to stay close to it for the rest of holiday. As always have listeners have any questions or comments about the stuff we talked about today we'd love it if you'd hit us up on Twitter or our Facebook page and will continue the conversation, and as always if you enjoyed the show please jump on the iTunes and give us that five star review that's the holiday presents cotton I most want and it doesn't require any shipping whatsoever. Scot W: [56:57] Ken has got really appreciate it where can folks find you online if they want to follow your thought leadership. Scott S: [57:05] Well let's see I'm on Twitter but don't post a whole lot. I mean I think you know the the we can give you a link for your show notes where people can download the study that we've been referencing quite a bit but Commerce next.com is where you know you can see a lot of the other research that we've been doing and the webinars that are rooted in research and so on I would say yeah Commerce next would be the best place to find all that information. Scot W: [57:36] Okay again. Ken: [57:37] And you're always welcome to go to cassar co Cas SAR co.com where when I remembered to I post all thought leadership that I had that I create. Jason: [57:50] That's awesome I will put both of those links in the show notes and until next time Happy Commercing!

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