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In episode 59 of Inside Commercial Property, hosts Scott O'Neill and Phil Tarrant are joined by Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group, to explore the major demographic, technological, and economic shifts shaping the future of commercial real estate. With rapid changes in where and how we work, commercial property investors must stay ahead of trends that will impact office space, industrial assets, and retail centres. Simon highlights the rise of regional business hubs, the growing demand for industrial real estate fuelled by e-commerce, and the long-term effects of AI and automation on workforce dynamics. This episode covers: The new settlement patterns – Are CBD's in decline, and what does that mean for investors? E-commerce and industrial property – Why logistics hubs are now prime investment targets. Neighbourhood shopping centres – How demographic shifts are driving demand for suburban retail. Generational wealth transfer – What younger investors want in commercial real estate. AI and automation – How technology will reshape property investment strategies. If you want to futureproof your portfolio and understand the forces driving commercial property demand over the next decade, this episode is a must-listen. Subscribe now and stay ahead of the market.
In episode 59 of Inside Commercial Property, hosts Scott O'Neill and Phil Tarrant are joined by Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group, to explore the major demographic, technological, and economic shifts shaping the future of commercial real estate. With rapid changes in where and how we work, commercial property investors must stay ahead of trends that will impact office space, industrial assets, and retail centres. Simon highlights the rise of regional business hubs, the growing demand for industrial real estate fuelled by e-commerce, and the long-term effects of AI and automation on workforce dynamics. This episode covers: The new settlement patterns – Are CBD's in decline, and what does that mean for investors? E-commerce and industrial property – Why logistics hubs are now prime investment targets. Neighbourhood shopping centres – How demographic shifts are driving demand for suburban retail. Generational wealth transfer – What younger investors want in commercial real estate. AI and automation – How technology will reshape property investment strategies. If you want to futureproof your portfolio and understand the forces driving commercial property demand over the next decade, this episode is a must-listen. Subscribe now and stay ahead of the market.
In 2017 Simon, together with Bernard Salt, co-founded The Demographics Group. The group provides specialist advice on demographic, consumer and social trends for business.Simon has presented to corporate, government and industry groups across Australia on demographic trends, consumer insights and cultural change in Australia. His presentations and quirky observations are enjoyed by audiences from the financial services, property, government, education, technology, retail and professional services industries, among others.Simon is a columnist for The New Daily newspaper and is a contributor to The Australian newspaper. He is a prolific media commentator on demographic and data matters.Simon has amassed 700,000 global followers on social media and reaches over 35 million people every month. He ranks as one of the world's Top 10 influencers in data visualisation. Simon holds degrees in geography from leading universities in Berlin and Melbourne and worked for 4 years as a consultant with KPMG Australia. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred has disrupted our regular programming, so we're bringing you a timely and insightful conversation between James and a special guest. This week, The Demographics Group's Simon Kuestenmacher unpacks the key trends shaping Australia's cities, workforce, and population. We explore the role of migration in driving economic growth, how our biggest cities are evolving, and the infrastructure challenges of a growing nation. Simon also dives into the impact of remote work, artificial intelligence, and urban density shifts—revealing what these changes mean for housing, jobs, and liveability. What will Sydney and Melbourne looks like as 10 million people cities the size of London and Seoul? Despite the challenges, there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic about Australia's future. Tune in for a fascinating discussion on the forces shaping the nation and what they mean for investors, homeowners, and future generations. Get in touch: jamesf@jlf.com.au All views and opinions discussed are that of the hosts. They do not endorse reliability or accuracy of their information. Not for commercial use.
Australia has a problem with young men. There's a growing number of disengaged young males who are considered to be in the NEET cohort - Not in Employment, Education, or Training. And this has major implications for the workforce, for skills, for relationships and for society more broadly. Demographer Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of the Demographics Group, talks to Sean Aylmer about the role of education, the impact on the gender pay gap, and what can be done to get more young men engaged with meaningful work or study.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
For property investors looking long term, the future shape of Australia will dictate the future shape of investment returns...and the single biggest trend is going to be the movement of millennials from the inner suburbs to the middle suburbs where they are going to search for a family home. In today's show, we dig deep on demographics.... * The march of the millennials (to the middle suburbs) * Understanding the aging of Australia * Has Work From Home changed property prices? * South East Queensland and Geelong - Two future hotspots Simon Kuestenmacher of the Demographics Group joins wealth editor James Kirby in this episode See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast | Inside Australian Real Estate
Are you curious about how demographic changes will shape the property market in the coming decade? In this episode, we chat with Simon Kuestenmacher from The Demographic Group to dive into the evolving trends in wealth transfer and their impact on housing. Simon gives us some great insights into the demographic factors affecting today's wealth transfer, exploring how predictable these shifts are and how major events like COVID-19 change market dynamics. We talk about how baby boomers handle inheritance differently based on their experiences and how this intergenerational wealth transfer impacts the property market over the next decade. We also touch on the broader economic effects of demographic trends, like their impact on interest rates and wage demands in a tight labor market. Simon shares his take on the government's ambitious goal of creating 1.2 million dwellings in five years and how that's going. Plus, we explore how elderly home preferences influence property challenges and the ongoing debate about different work arrangements in Australia. Join us for this engaging chat that unpacks the future of property demographics and gives you a solid understanding of the factors that shape the market in the years to come. Episode Highlights: 00:00 - Introduction 01:10 - Who is Simon Kuestenmacher? 02:09 - What are the demographic insights on today's wealth transfer and its predictability? 03:55 - Are demographic trends and major events like COVID-19 influencing market dynamics? 06:12 - Have baby boomers started giving inheritance sooner due to their own experiences? 15:45 - The impact of demographic trends on interest rates in Australia 18:32 - How does inflation influence wage demands when labor is scarce? 21:41 - How intergenerational wealth transfer is likely to impact the property market 26:40 - Current state & future trajectory of the debate surrounding different work arrangements 31:52 - How can Australia address the workforce shortage linked to its aging demographic? 39:31 - Simon's stand on the bold policies being implemented in New South Wales 46:10 - How is the government's target of 1.2 million dwellings in 5 years tracking? 53:04 - What impact does elderly home preference have on property challenges? About Our Guest: Simon Kuestenmacher is a Co-Founder of The Demographics Group together with Bernard Salt. The group provides specialist advice on demographic, consumer, and social trends. Simon writes a weekly column for The New Daily and a monthly column for The Australian newspaper. He is a thought after media commentator on demographic matters. In his spare time Simon has authored three books on maps and runs what is by now the world's largest Twitter account dedicated to maps and data. His social media posts reach over 25 million people every month. Simon ranks as one of the world's top 10 influencers in data. Connect with Simon Kuestenmacher: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/simonkuestenmacher/ Instagram https://www.instagram.com/simongerman600/ Website https://www.tdgp.com.au/ Resources: Visit our website https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au If you have any questions or would like to be featured on our show, contact us at: The Elephant in the Room Property Podcast questions@theelephantintheroom.com.au Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? https://www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: https://www.veronicamorgan.com.au Looking for a Mortgage Broker? https://www.blusk.au Work with Chris: hello@blusk.au Enjoyed the podcast? Don't miss out on what's yet to come! Hit that subscription button, spread the word and join us for more insightful discussions in real estate. Your journey starts now! Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theelephantintheroom-podcast Subscribe on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/ph/podcast/the-elephant-in-the-room-property-podcast/id1384822719 Subscribe on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Ge1626dgnmK0RyKPcXjP0?si=26cde394fa854765 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment, Success & Money
I've often said that demographic changes will be more important in shaping our property markets in the medium to long term than the ups and downs of interest rates or the vagaries of our economy, so I'm pleased to have leading demographer Simon Kuestenmacher back on the show. Simon is a co-founder of The Demographics Group and a master in interpreting data and trends to forecast how societies evolve, and his insights are pivotal for anyone interested in property, lifestyle changes, and investment strategies. Recently Simon wrote a series of articles in The New Daily outlining the changes he sees ahead for us in the next decade and what these shifts mean for our future. We shift our focus today to Australia's economic future, considering our ties with China and how the evolving global Chinese middle class will interact with our exports amidst demographic challenges. We then dissect the educational landscape, discussing the potential impact of an over-saturated university graduate market. As society changes, we also discuss shifts in media consumption habits and concerns over AI's influence on news quality. If you're a property investor or a business owner, you'll want to understand what these trends mean for you, and like all my regular chats with Simon, this conversation promises to be thought-provoking. Links and Resources: Michael Yardney Get the team at Metropole to help build your personal Strategic Property Plan Click here and have a chat with us Simon Kuestenmacher – Director, The Demographics Group Get a bundle of free reports and eBooks – www.PodcastBonus.com.au Join Simon and me at Wealth Retreat – www.WealthRetreat.com.au Shownotes plus more here: Simon Kuestenmacher's Crystal Ball Demographic Forecasts and Real Estate
People are living longer than ever, which is good news, but housing may not be keeping up with the change. In the latest episode of The Property Nerds, host Arjun Paliwal is joined by Simon Kuestenmacher of The Demographics Group to discuss the profound implications of demographic shifts on the property market. Simon explains how the preferences and needs of an older population influence housing demand and investment strategies. The duo delve into the role of migration in buffering the effects of an ageing population, and what opportunities it presents in the housing market. Arjun and Simon also examine the barriers to downsizing for older Australians, and cover some of the policy shifts that could potentially bring more movement into the market by encouraging rightsizing.
The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment, Success & Money
I've often said that demographic changes will be more important in shaping our property markets in the medium to long term than the ups and downs of interest rates or the vagaries of our economy, so I am pleased to have leading demographer Simon Kuestenmacher back on the show. Simon is a co-founder of The Demographics Group and a master in interpreting data and trends to forecast how societies evolve, and his insights are pivotal for anyone interested in property, lifestyle changes, and investment strategies. Today, we talk about what's ahead over the next 10 years and how each generation will experience the year 2033. Together, we'll delve into demographic shifts, technological influences on living spaces, and the impact of economic policies on housing trends. Links and Resources: Michael Yardney Get the team at Metropole to help build your personal Strategic Property Plan Click here and have a chat with us Simon Kuestenmacher – Director, The Demographics Group Follow Simon on Linked In Get a bundle of free reports and eBooks – www.PodcastBonus.com.au Join Simon and me at Wealth Retreat – www.WealthRetreat.com.au Shownotes plus more here: From Boomers to Zoomers: Simon Kuestenmacher's Analysis of Decadal Shifts in Property
Guest: Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group Original air date: July 7, 2022 The 2021 Census was an absolute gold mine for information about Australia, our population, who we are, what we do, and where we've come from. Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group, talks to Sean Aylmer about his highlights from the Census data - and what we can learn about where we're going.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The skills shortage; You may have heard of it, or not. But regardless of your present understanding of the phenomenon, on today's episode of the Smart Property Investment, Simon Kuestenmacher of The Demographics Group explains the role it will play in Australia's property future. Diving into a general explanation of the skills shortage and its economic and property market ramifications, Simon discusses how technological advancements could provide some form of cure to the issue. And with the property policy landscape in a constant state of flux, Simon touches on how the power dynamic between state and local governments could shift in the coming years. In this episode, you will also hear: Can we automate our way out of this problem? Does a Canadian company have the keys to solve the housing crisis? What writing is on the property policymaking wall? If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on Apple Podcasts and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn. If you would like to get in touch with our team, email editor@smartpropertyinvestment.com.au for more insights, or hear your voice on the show by recording a question below.
A key quality of great property investors is the ability to read and predict the future. And it's an ability that's more attainable than you may think. The most successful property investors look beyond the rear-view mirror of past performance, and transport themselves into the future to see how an area, local economy and a property is going to look and change in 15+ years, and not be too distracted by how it looks today. More than imagination, there is a data-driven approach to this. So where do you get the right data, and how do you know what trends to focus on and what to ignore? To help us do that, we're joined by 'The Stats Guy' Simon Kuestenmacher who shares his insights on how you can joins the dots using the right data to predict and forecast property outcomes as you build and execute your strategy. Simon is the Co-Founder of The Demographics Group together with Bernard Salt, providing specialist advice and insights on demographic, consumer and social trends, where his predictive intuition has been finely honed by years of analysing leading indicator data. In addition to writing regular columns in the New Daily and The Australian, Simon has authored three books, and now hosts the world's largest Twitter account dedicated to data and his social media posts reach over 40 million people every month leading to his rank as one of the world's top 10 influencers in data. Simon is also a corporate speaker and regularly provides presentations, keynotes and workshops, and you can enquire about his services via his website. Connect with Simon: http://simonk.com.au/ Three easy ways to Get Invested right now: 1. Subscribe to this podcast now, if you haven't already, and get the inspiration delivered to your podcast feed each week 2. Get a copy of my book, Get Invested, for FREE, and find out what it takes for you to invest in living more, working less. Go to: https://knowhowproperty.com.au/get-invested-free-ebook 3. Join the Get Invested community. Each month Bushy sends a free and exclusive monthly email full of practical ‘Self, Health and Wealth' wisdom that our current Freedom Fighter subscribers can't wait to get each month. Just visit bushymartin.com.au, scroll to the bottom of the page and sign up. About Get Invested, a Property Hub show Get Invested is the leading weekly podcast for Australians who want to learn how to unlock their full ‘self, health and wealth' potential. Hosted by Bushy Martin, an award winning property investor, founder, author and media commentator who is recognised as one of Australia's most trusted experts in property, investment and lifestyle, Get Invested reveals the secrets of the high performers who invest for success in every aspect of their lives and the world around them. Get Invested is part of the Property Hub podcast channel, your home for property investment insights, inspiration and stories from Australia's top property experts, investors, leaders and analysts. Subscribe now on Apple Podcasts, Spotifyand Google Podcasts to get every Get Invested episode each week for free, and also get full access to RealtyTalk, Australia's top online property show for red hot property investing news and insights direct from property industry leaders and influencers. Property Hub is a collaboration between Bushy Martin from KnowHow Property, Kevin Turner from Realty, show producer Andrew Montesi from Apiro Marketing and Apiro Media, and Australia's largest independent podcast network DM Media. For business and partnership enquiries, send an email to: antony@dm.org.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
What are the future trends impacting Australia? How do we as a nation grow our economy? Your host, Nathan Birch and special guest, Simon Kuestenmacher, Co-Founder and Director of The Demographics Group, details an overview of the changes in the demography of Australia and where we are headed in 2023 and beyond. Episode Notes (1:14) Simon's backstory (3:40) Why will 2030 be the wildest decade yet? (5:54) The most in demand properties in Australia (8:49) The future of our workforce (10:23) Australia's future geographical trends (22:00) Building wealth outside superannuation (34:51) The future of commodity price growth Listen to this week's episode while you're running an errand or on the road here. Interested in building your property investment portfolio? Chat to our Investor Relations team to see how we can help you grow your investment property portfolio here. Follow and turn on B.Invested's Facebook page notification to know when Nathan's live every fortnight on Tuesday at 7:00 pm AEST. Show some love & support Simon's journey: - Linkedin - Twitter ***DISCLAIMER*** The following videos have been prepared by Binvested.com.au Pty Ltd ACN (154 400 370). The factual information (“information”) provided in this website and the following videos is general in nature only and does not constitute any type of financial advice and is not intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. The information has been prepared without considering your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information provided in this website and in the following videos you should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. Binvested.com.au Pty Ltd is not a financial advisor. Before making any decision, it is important that you should seek appropriate legal, tax, financial and other professional advice before you make any decision regarding any information mentioned in this communication, its website and the following videos. Whilst all care has been taken in the preparation of this material, no warranty is given in respect of the information provided and accordingly neither Binvested.com.au Pty Ltd nor its related entities, affiliate companies, employees or agents shall be liable on any ground whatsoever with respect to decisions or actions taken as a result of you acting upon such information. We can provide access to our Investor Relations team should you wish to speak to them. Please contact 1300 367 925 to speak to a member of the Investor Relations team.
In this episode, we talk with Simon Kuestenmacher from the Demographics group about what Australia and the world will look like over the next 5, 10 and 50 years. We talk about the sustainability of living in concentrated cities, the impact artificial intelligence will have on the workforce, the future of property prices in the major cities and the likely hood of geopolitical tensions escalating globally. Simon and Bernard Salt co-founded The Demographics Group in 2017. The group provides specialist advice on demographic, consumer, and social trends for business. Simon has presented to numerous corporate and industry audiences across Australia and overseas on demographic trends, consumer insights and cultural change in Australia. His presentations and quirky observations are enjoyed by groups from the financial services, property, government, education, technology, retail, and professional services industries, among others.Simon is a columnist for The New Daily newspaper and a contributor to The Australian newspaper and he is a media commentator on demographic and data matters. Simon has amassed 300,000 global followers on social media, reaches over 25 million people every month and ranks as one of the world's Top 10 influencers in data visualisation. If you can't get enough data that explains how the world works, make sure to follow him on Twitter or any of his other social channels.If you would like to engage Simon or Bernard directly you can reach them here: The Demographics Group - Insights In Demography (tdgp.com.au)Disclaimer: The information in this podcast series is for general financial educational purposes only, should not be considered financial advice and is only intended for wholesale clients. That means the information does not consider your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider if the information is appropriate for you and your needs. You should always consult your trusted licensed professional adviser before making any investment decision.
Australia is set to see its biggest-ever immigration intake, with 650,000 net new migrants arriving over the next two years. So what does this influx mean for labour shortages, for infrastructure, for housing availability and property prices?Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group, explains to Sean Aylmer why it's 'pure madness' that our housing policy is disconnected from our migration policy.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Australia's population is set to get an extra boost, with 650,000 migrants predicted to arrive by 2025. This data is based on recent adjustments made by Treasury officials to the fiscal statement's economic forecasts ahead of the upcoming federal budget. These figures have worried Australians, as several believe the nation is already at capacity and one Western Sydney mayor voiced his concerns about the region's housing shortage. Demographics Group's Simon Kuestenmacher says most of Australia's population growth will be driven by international students and skilled migrants, but this growth won't be sustainable long-term. Simon Kuestenmacher says it's important that Australia operates on a high migration scheme to address the gaps created by an aging population. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Simon Kuestenmacher from The Demographics Group joins Matthew Pantelis.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
While demand for mortgages has started to ease, following record sales and property prices over the past few years, demographer Simon Kuestenmacher has tipped the 2030s will be “by far” the busiest and “most delicious” decade on the Australian property market. In this episode, host Kate Aubrey unravels what the next decade will look like in property, speaking with co-founder and director of The Demographics Group, Simon Kuestenmacher, who provides insights into how demographics changes will shape the mortgage market. Tune in to find out: How the ageing population will be new opportunities for Millennials Why the broking industry will be booming in the 2030s Systemic housing policies needed
Key takeaways and insights from this year's SMSF Association National Conference. In this two-part series, Aaron Dunn and Miranda Brownlee speak to a selection of expert presenters and prominent industry members at the SMSF Association National Conference. For part two, Simon Kuestenmacher, director and co-founder of the Demographics Group, explores some of the demographic trends shaping the direction of the advice industry and where some of the opportunities lie. Meg Heffron, managing director, Heffron explains the latest strategy ideas for SMSF clients that were covered in her session. Nicholas Ali from SuperConcepts discusses some key points from his session that explored the current lending landscape for SMSFs and what SMSF trustees need to consider with limited recourse borrowing arrangements.
What will the Australian Property Market look like in 10 (Ten) Years? In this episode Simon Kuestenmacher from The Demographics Group shares with us critical insights about: - Australian Population forecasts and their impact on the housing market - Impact of an aging population on Australian real estate - How inequality may mean certain property segments outperform others And a whole lot more you don't want to miss. Easily my favourite interview this year! So insightful! Discussion Points:00:00: Introduction01:40: Population forecast & impact11:28: Changing income profile17:08: Sydney property market24:04: Severely unaffordable?26:41: Australia going forward29:15: Handing down assets34:10: Conclusion About The Host: Subscribe to Aus Property Mastery with PK for no BS, “straight to the point” property investing strategies and data-driven insights about the Australian housing market - the only property podcast not run by a “Buyers Agent”. You can listen to Aus Property Mastery on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts, & Stitcher. PK Gupta is the founder of the Property Investment Accelerator — Australia's #1 Rated And ONLY 100% Independent Real Estate Course & Mentorship Program that helps people achieve passive income through property investing using DATA, WITHOUT wasting months doing "research", spending weekends at inspections OR dropping $10-20k on Buyers Agents each time. Resources: Watch FREE Trainings On Our Website
In this episode of Looking Outside we look closer at the numbers and what they are telling us, exploring the predictive human powers of Demographics. For this we chat with fellow Aussie, Bernard Salt, Founder & Executive Director of The Demographics Group. As a well known personality, famous for injecting a bit of humor into his public speaking events and newspaper columns, Bernard shares his philosophy on presenting the numbers in a way that is engaging and compelling. He speaks to how to establish the facts, make a strong case, demonstrate your credibility … and be bold enough to have a bit of fun with it. Demographics is a field anchored in sociology, and the numbers, charts, tables of figures are boring standalone; it's the narrative they tell you about people that's interesting. Jo and Bernard discuss the importance of letting the numbers form a story about people, and then sharing that through a compelling narrative that “reaches back in time” and presents future opportunities in context. Bernard also shares his personal experience presenting numbers to senior leaders, or ‘sharks circling the water', how he formed the self-confidence to brave this as someone from a small country town, and his observations of the changing lifestyle and culture of Australians. -- To look outside Bernard focuses on popular culture. When changes happen they don't just show up in the figures but in culture around us, and small actions observed in public can be telling about individual, collective and expressed value shifts. People watching can “speak volumes” about where communities are and where they are headed. -- Bernard Salt is an Australian business advisor, corporate speaker and newspaper columnist. Bernard has had a long career in corporate consulting mostly as a Partner with KPMG Australia. He founded KPMG Demographics (2002) where he popularized the use of demographics to interpret future business and consumer trends. He has written 6 popular https://www.amazon.com/Bernard-Salt/e/B001K87NUG?ref=sr_ntt_srch_lnk_1&qid=1666728766&sr=1-1 (books) (2002-2014), hosted a TV show (The Next Five Years 2017-2019) on SkyNews Business, hosted a popular podcast series (What Happens Next 2020-2021), currently writes 2 weekly columns in The Australian newspaper (one since 2002), and for 20 years has delivered more than 100 corporate presentations per year across Australia, New Zealand and beyond including the US. He uses long-term (mostly UN) datasets to show megatrends like the rise of the consumption era (1990-2020) and the advent of the baby bust (2020s) on a country by country basis. He has invented acronyms to describe social trends like pumcins (professional urban middle class in nice suburbs) and VESPAs (virus escapees seeking provincial Australia/America). His 2016 column on smashed avocado went viral globally. Bernard is founder and executive director of The Demographics Group (http://www.tdgp.com.au/ (www.tdgp.com.au)). He was an adjunct professor at Curtin University Business School 2011-2020, a board member of the Australian Centre for Contemporary Art (ACCA) 2014-2018, appointed a member of the Council (board) of the National Museum of Australia in March 2022. He was made a member of the Order of Australia (AM) in 2017 for his services to demographics. -- Looking Outside is a podcast dedicated to exploring fresh perspectives of familiar business topics. The show is hosted by its creator, Joanna Lepore, consumer goods innovator and futurist at McDonald's. Find out more at https://my.captivate.fm/looking-outside.com (looking-outside.com). Connect https://www.linkedin.com/in/joannalepore/ (with Jo) and join the https://www.linkedin.com/company/looking-outside (Looking Outside community) on LinkedIn. -- All views are that of the host and guests and don't necessarily reflect those of their employers. Copyright 2022....
With unemployment still extraordinarily low, the skills shortage isn't improving anytime soon. But the 2021 Census tells us a lot about the shifting nature of work - where we do it, how the pandemic has changed it, and what we need to do fill the gaps in an ageing workforce. Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group, takes Sean Aylmer through the latest data from the Census.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
We talk to Simon Kuestenmacher from the Demographics Group about the RBA's rate rise yesterday and what the rise means moving forward. ► Subscribe here to never miss an episode: https://www.podbean.com/user-xyelbri7gupo ► INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/therealestatepodcast/?hl=en ► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100070592715418 ► Email: myrealestatepodcast@gmail.com IF YOU LIKE THIS PODCAST please head to iTunes and Subscribe, Rate & Review the Real Estate Podcast #sydneyproperty #Melbourneproperty #brisbaneproperty #perthproperty
Hi [First Name], In leadership, sometimes it pays to take the highest perspective possible. Today, as we find ourselves navigating global political unrest, war, pandemic recovery, disease threat, rising interest rates, inflation and significant seasonal volatility, this has never been more important. For an incredibly insightful global perspective and a highly considered and passionate interpretation tailored just for us – as Australian Farmers – it gives me great pleasure to introduce one of the most brilliant individuals I have ever met! Simon Kuestenmacher is the Co-founder and Director of The Demographics Group based in Melbourne, Australia. Simon holds degrees in geography from leading universities in Berlin and Melbourne and has worked as a business consultant with KPMG Australia for several years. In 2017 Simon, with Bernard Salt, co-founded The Demographics Group. The group provides specialist advice on demographic, consumer and social trends for business. Simon has presented to numerous corporate and industry audiences across Australia and overseas on demographic trends, consumer insights and cultural change in Australia. For a pragmatic, optimistic and insightful view of Australia's place in the world and a cracking reminder of what is important for our farms, employees, communities and regions… ladies & gentlemen, I give you the outstanding Simon K! Enjoy! Hutch & Team P.S. Want to learn the 6-step system that the top 5% of farm owners follow to run their business? Join us for our one-day virtual Business Summit – click here to learn more. When you're ready to take the next step and work with us, here are three things you can do: 1. Subscribe to our ‘Profitable Farmer' podcast This free audio podcast delivers ideas to help you run a great business – leading to more profit, control and freedom – Click here. 2. Join the Farm Owner Academy's closed Facebook group ‘Profitable Farmer' Our new Facebook community is where smart farm owners learn how to get more profit, control and freedom, and you can connect with like-minded farm owners – Click here to join. 3. Work with us privately If you'd like our team to help you scale up your farming business or create a ‘freedom farm' just email us at support@farmownersacademy.com and put “Private” in the subject line… tell me a little about your business and what you'd like to improve and I'll send you the information you need to get started!
Simon Kuestenmacher ist Direktor und Mitbegründer von "The Demographics Group" in Melbourne. Der Münchener analysiert und interpretiert demografische Daten für Kunden in Australien und weltweit. Mehr dazu, und wie COVID unsere australischen Städte verändert hat, in einem faszinierenden Gespräch.
Get all the links mentioned here: bit.ly/266-Simon
Get all the links mentioned here: bit.ly/266-SimonSHOW NOTES:00:00 – Welcome to Uncommon00:55 – Munich 03:10 – Earliest memory04:20 – What data to trust?09:10 – Trusted data sources 10:50 – Population Data14:00 – Childhood career aspirations 16:00 – University exchange 19:00 – Germany and Australia21:00 – Working at big four firms24:00 - Important parts of Demographics business 26:00 - Reading randomly 28:15 - Pirates 32:20 - Skilled worker shortage 35:55 - Industries coping with worker shortage42:00 Generational changes in working54:20 - Australia's poorly invested wealth 1:00:00 - How would Simon fix Australia 1:02:40 - Let's make a massive solar farm 1:09:25 - Rapid fire questions1:13:00 - Closing remarks
In PlanningxChange episode 96 our guest is Simon Kuestenmacher one of Australia's leading demographers. Simon is a Director and Co-founder of The Demographics Group based in Melbourne, Australia. Simon holds degrees in geography from leading universities in Berlin and Melbourne and worked for several years as a business consultant with KPMG Australia. In 2017 Simon, with Bernard Salt, co-founded The Demographics Group. The group provides specialist advice on demographic, consumer and social trends for business. Simon has presented to numerous corporate and industry audiences across Australia and overseas on demographic trends, consumer insights and cultural change in Australia. His presentations and quirky observations are enjoyed by groups from the financial services, property, government, education, technology, retail and professional services industries, among others. Simon is a columnist for The New Daily newspaper and a contributor to The Australian newspaper and he is a media commentator on demographic and data matters. Simon has amassed 300,000 global followers on social media, reaches over 25 million people every month and ranks as one of the world's Top 10 influencers in data visualisation. If you can't get enough of data that explains how the world works, make sure to follow him on Twitter or any of his other social channels. PlanningxChange is proud to be a member of the Urban Broadcast Collective. Audio production by Jack Bavage. The episode was released on 1 August 2022.
In PlanningxChange episode 96 our guest is Simon Kuestenmacher one of Australia's leading demographers. Simon is a Director and Co-founder of The Demographics Group based in Melbourne, Australia. Simon holds degrees in geography from leading universities in Berlin and Melbourne and worked for several years as a business consultant with KPMG Australia. In 2017 Simon, with Bernard Salt, co-founded The Demographics Group. The group provides specialist advice on demographic, consumer and social trends for business. Simon has presented to numerous corporate and industry audiences across Australia and overseas on demographic trends, consumer insights and cultural change in Australia. His presentations and quirky observations are enjoyed by groups from the financial services, property, government, education, technology, retail and professional services industries, among others. Simon is a columnist for The New Daily newspaper and a contributor to The Australian newspaper and he is a media commentator on demographic and data matters. Simon has amassed 300,000 global followers on social media, reaches over 25 million people every month and ranks as one of the world's Top 10 influencers in data visualisation. If you can't get enough of data that explains how the world works, make sure to follow him on Twitter or any of his other social channels. Audio production by Jack Bavage. The episode was released on 1 August 2022.
In PlanningxChange episode 96 our guest is Simon Kuestenmacher, one of Australia's leading demographers. Simon is a Director and Co-founder of The Demographics Group based in Melbourne, Australia. Simon holds degrees in geography from leading universities in Berlin and Melbourne and worked for several years as a business consultant with KPMG Australia. In 2017 Simon, with Bernard Salt, co-founded The Demographics Group. The group provides specialist advice on demographic, consumer and social trends for business. Simon has presented to numerous corporate and industry audiences across Australia and overseas on demographic trends, consumer insights and cultural change in Australia. His presentations and quirky observations are enjoyed by groups from the financial services, property, government, education, technology, retail and professional services industries, among others. Simon is a columnist for The New Daily newspaper and a contributor to The Australian newspaper and he is a media commentator on demographic and data matters. Simon has amassed 300,000 global followers on social media, reaches over 25 million people every month and ranks as one of the world's Top 10 influencers in data visualisation. If you can't get enough of data that explains how the world works, make sure to follow him on Twitter or any of his other social channels. Audio production by Jack Bavage. The episode was released on 1 August 2022.
We're joined by Simon Kuestenmacher, Director of Research and co-founder of The Demographics Group, to discuss some of the findings from the 2021 Census and what they mean for Australia. The data from the census can play a huge role in how we plan our cities and approach development in the future. A demographer like Simon has the ability to see problems years in advance, so how can we respond to challenges like housing, aged care, worker shortages and the decentralisation of our cities?
The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast | Inside Australian Real Estate
We are currently in a phase of living with COVID, and while it's too early to call it a ‘post-COVID' era, what could that period look like?' And how will the property market adjust? Simon Kuestenmacher, the Director of Research at the Demographics Group is returning to the show. He shares his insights on the current state of affairs in Australia with borders opening and migration slowly returning to full swing. We also talk about the status of the labour force, shifting family formations, the recent elections, and a heap of other topics! If you enjoyed the show, do like, rate, subscribe, and share us on social media and if you have your own questions you need clarity on, email us at questions@theelephantintheroom.com.au! See you in the episode! Episode Highlights: Overview of what's happening in Australia [01:49] Can we still hope for supply chain issues to get resolved? [06:03] Australia's reputation after the lockdowns [07:46] Selling Australia's image and attracting global talent [12:06] The shift in settlement patterns after COVID [14:17] Solving demographic and climate change issues [19:29] Can the senior population be convinced to downsize? [25:25] Millennials settling in areas outside the business district [30:45] The future of work flexibility [35:57] Office vs remote work [37:31] Is a ‘Great Resignation' really happening? [41:09] Building a healthy work environment [46:30] Simon's thoughts on the 2022 election [51:25] On voter personalities and existential crises [55:18] Putting the Labor Party under a microscope [01:00:00] About our Guest: Simon Kuestenmacher is the Director of Research at the Demographics Group. He has amassed 140,000 followers globally in just two years. They enjoy his insights and his quirky observational style. He is a columnist for The Australian on demographic trends and urban development. Links from the show: Visit Simon's website: https://www.simonkuestenmacher.com/ Check out The Demographics Group: https://www.tdgp.com.au/simon-kuestenmacher Connect with Us: Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au Work with Chris: hello@wealthful.com.au Send in your questions to: questions@theelephantintheroom.com.au Find this episode on our website: https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/238 If you've enjoyed this episode, don't forget to like, share, rate and subscribe for more!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Last week saw the release of the first batch of data from the 2021 Census - an absolute gold mine for information about Australia, our population, who we are, what we do, and where we've come from. Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group, talks to Sean Aylmer about his highlights from the Census data - and what we can learn about where we're going.Support the show: https://fearandgreed.com.au/all-episodesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Director at The Demographics Group, Simon Kuestenmacher, says this increase is the "most optimistic" finding to come from the latest Census. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
A wave of apartment blocks in inner city seats may have swayed the election results, but do young people have any other option? See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode, Simon Kuestenmacher from The Demographics Group explains how living patterns have shifted over the past two years, and in turn how this is impacting commercial and residential real estate markets.Simon explains why as a demographer he is so optimistic about the lucky country of Australia and its prospects over the long term.
In this very special episode, self-proclaimed data nerds Arjun Paliwal and Leigh Paliwal welcome fellow nerd Simon Kuestenmacher to pick his brain about how the different demographic trends are reshaping the market. Arjun, head of research at InvestorKit, and Leigh, director of Hills Finance, sit down with the director and co-founder of The Demographics Group to peruse how the aspirations, lifestyles and current life stages of the different age groups are affecting trends in different housing markets. With Millennials now being the largest adult cohort in Australia, Simon explains how this generation is now dictating market fundamentals and how other generations are coping with these shifts in market dynamics. The nerds also talk about how the pandemic has changed buyer behaviour, discuss why the rebound in international migration will give central business districts their pre-pandemic shine, and dig deeper into how cultural and social influences of migrants are inevitably woven into the country's housing market tapestry. They also touch on the latest lending data and what it spells for the investors. If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on Apple Podcasts and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn. If you would like to get in touch with our team, email editor@smartpropertyinvestment.com.au for more insights, or hear your voice on the show by recording a question below. Like what you hear on the podcast? Keen to receive more insights from The Property Nerds, delivered straight to your inbox?
During the pandemic there's been a lot of talk of a regional boom. Now we know just how big that boom was. Sean Aylmer speaks to Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group, about what it means for the future of our cities, regions and property prices - and why we need to create new cities.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
We talk to Simon Kuestenmacher again from The Demographics Group who has more predictions about migration and rentals and baby boomers spending. ► Subscribe here to never miss an episode: https://www.podbean.com/user-xyelbri7gupo ► INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/therealestatepodcast/?hl=en ► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100070592715418 ► Email: myrealestatepodcast@gmail.com #sydneyproperty #Melbourneproperty #brisbaneproperty #perthproperty #sydneyrealestate
We catch up again with Simon Kuestenmacher from The Demographics Group who has more predictions to discuss for 2022. ► Subscribe here to never miss an episode: https://www.podbean.com/user-xyelbri7gupo ► INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/therealestatepodcast/?hl=en ► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100070592715418 #sydneyproperty #Melbourneproperty #brisbaneproperty #perthproperty #sydneyrealestate
Bernard Salt AM, Australia's leading social commentator draws upon demographic, economic and social statistics to help us understand where Australian society is headed. Bernard is a columnist for The Australian newspaper, author of 6 best selling books on generational change and famous for describing millennials difficulty in saving for house deposits through his Smashed Avocado Effect. Bernard with Burgernomics host, Ross MacDowell describes in detail how post COVID Australia has changed permanently for employees, business owners and families. Some of the topics covered are, The Australian experience of recovering from adversity. World wars, bushfires every summer and economic downturns, Australians always bounce back. How COVID has changed the way we work and the role of the Central Business District. Working from home is here to stay. Frictionless commerce, the ‘appification' of Australia… out with call centres in with apps. Why we should have faith in the future of Australia. As a country we are young, open, resourceful, free and a preferred destination for many. What new skills are required after recovering from COVID. The $230bn sitting in home bank accounts just waiting to be spent. Will this cause inflation, interest rate rises and then we stop spending because our mortgages cost too much? At home, out with the pool room, in with the Zoom room, which now becomes the show piece room in our homes. Bernard Salt eloquently describes The Burgernomics Effect in terms of our COVID developed need for automation, frictionless commerce and businesses desire to save on labor costs. Want To Dig Deeper? Bernard recommends reading “Vandemonians: The repressed history of colonial Victoria” by Janet McCallman, The Miegunyah Press 2021 @ratemyskyperoom A sarcastic Twitter feed critiquing peoples video conferencing backdrops. For purveyors of art directed rooms. https://www.housebeautiful.com/lifestyle/fun-at-home/a32883540/room-rater-rate-skype-room-zoom-backdrop/ Bernard Salt AM. The Demographics Group www.tdgp.com.au Andrea Clarke Future Fit. www.futurefitco.com.au www.ologycreative.com.au just to look at their amazing logo animation. Please rate, review and subscribe to the Burgernomics Podcast so not to miss an episode and follow us on Instagram, Twitter and LinkedIn.
The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment, Success & Money
A lot has already been written about trends, predictions and forecasts for 2022. Yet today, I'm going to be chatting with leading demographer and futurist Simon Kuestenmacher about the demographic, social, and economic trends that will shape 2022. This is the type of information property investors, business people, and entrepreneurs need to understand to make better-informed decisions. And, of course, I'll be sharing my popular mindset message at the end. Predictions For the Year 2022 The coronavirus pandemic was a great reminder of how difficult it is to make accurate forecasts, especially about the future. But recently, demographer and futurist Simon Kuesetenmacher, the co-founder of The Demographics Group, was prepared to stick his neck out and make 22 predictions about what 2022 holds for Australia in his column in The New Daily. And I'm looking forward to discussing them today. Millennials continue on to family-sized houses. Australia's largest generation reaches the family formation stage of the lifecycle and continues to leave their hipster neighbourhoods in the capital cities, searching for family-sized homes. As the decentralization of the population continues, local governments face predictable challenges. As growth in the regions continues, local councils must make enough land available to accommodate the increased demand for housing. Hybrid work will dominate. Working from home is here to stay, but exclusively virtual working arrangements will remain the exception. House prices will continue to rise. Demand for family-sized housing is guaranteed to be high due to the Millennials. Soon migrants will be returning to the market. Government has no interest whatsoever in pushing house prices down. The average Australian house will get bigger in 2022. Lockdowns pulled functions from outside the home into the home. We entertain, eat, exercise, study, work at home more often. Some (not all) of these changes will stick, and require more space. As we are cocooning more, Bunnings, Barbecues Galore, Harvey Norman, and co will be doing well! We spend less money on traveling overseas, save money by avoiding the daily commute, get away with owning fewer formal items of clothing, and have more money available to throw around. A fair bit of this disposable income will be used to make the family home more liveable. One size doesn't fit all. Customer segmentation will be trickier in 2022. Different levels of lockdown restrictions bred different habits across the country. The socio-economic divide widens. The pandemic didn't impact all of us in the same way. Highly skilled workers kept their jobs and many industries saw big profits while lower-skilled workers lost their jobs at high rates. Baby Boomers will act with a sense of urgency. They feel cheated out of two healthy years of their retirement. They are keen to travel, spend time with the grandkids, and feel “it's their time now”. The trend towards sliding into retirement continues. In 2022 a higher share of workers in their 60s and early 70s will remain in the workforce in a part-time capacity. This means downsizing is pushed backward too. Gen X is taking over even more leadership positions. As Baby Boomers leave the workforce it's Gen X's time to dominate company boards and C-level roles. Xer leaders introduce generous parental leave policies and continue to fight for equal pay. The healthcare sector continues to boom. Australia remains a rich and aging country. No industry will grow as fast as healthcare. While Australia will recover economically in 2022, a near-universal skills shortage will hold back economic growth. Hiring qualified staff will be challenging. The short-term solution will be for existing staff to work longer hours. More retail spending will take place online. Expect more vacancies on your local main street. Struggling main streets are terrible for towns and neighborhoods. Smart local governments and business councils will find creative ways of repurposing empty shop fronts. Data released this week saw the fertility rate fell to an all-time low of 1.58 kids per woman in 2020. The impact of COVID will only be seen in the data for the year 2021. This data will be published in 2022 and will show that Australians had even fewer kids during COVID. Women will return to work within a year of childbirth in high numbers. This means demand for childcare will remain stable despite declining births. The world will praise Australia for its handling of COVID. Only two measures will be looked at: deaths per million and the vaccination rate. People across the world will view our nation as a desirable location. Extreme weather events will be occurring more frequently, and we must prepare for this. We can't say whether 2022 will see such events, but we know that they are statistically more likely. The older generations join the young in demanding better digital services. COVID taught many older people to use QR codes, download apps (turns out the COVIDSAFE app was good for something after all), and purchase things online. All industries and all levels of government must improve their digital offerings. The death of the wallet. Digital cash, digital ID. You can get through 2022 just fine without ever carrying a wallet. Early 2022 will see the return of migration, albeit not yet at pre-pandemic levels. International students will be first, arriving in time for the semester starting in March. This will help stabilise the inner-city rental market, help fill casual jobs in retail and hospitality, and generally boost the economy. 22. Most importantly, we will remain an optimistic and forward-looking people. Links and Resources: Simon Kuestenmacher - Director of Research at The Demographics Group Join Michael Yardney and Simon Kuestenmacher at Wealth Retreat 2022 – register your interest here. As our markets move forward why not get the team at Metropole to build you a personalised Strategic Property Plan – this will help both beginning and experienced investors. Shownotes plus more here: 22 predictions of what 2022 holds for Australia, with Simon Kuestenmacher Some of our favourite quotes from the show: “The poorer workers actually suffered more, while many Australians are much wealthier at the end of the year than they were at the beginning of last year.” – Michael Yardney “We always have been a very favoured country for people to come, to live, to work, and this is only going to work well in our favour.” – Michael Yardney “I've found that one of the biggest things holding people back from success in all areas of their life is fear of failure.” – Michael Yardney PLEASE LEAVE US A REVIEW Reviews are hugely important to me because they help new people discover this podcast. If you enjoyed listening to this episode, please leave a review on iTunes - it's your way of passing the message forward to others and saying thank you to me. Here's how
We talk to Simon Kuestenmacher from The Demographics Group who has some metrics to discuss some predictions for 2022. ► Subscribe here to never miss an episode: https://www.podbean.com/user-xyelbri7gupo ► INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/therealestatepodcast/?hl=en ► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100070592715418 #sydneyproperty #Melbourneproperty #brisbaneproperty #perthproperty #sydneyrealestate
The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment, Success & Money
How has the pandemic re-shaped your life? It would be very unusual if you hadn't had some major upheavals over the last couple of years, but what's going to remain as a long-term trend, a legacy of the lockdowns, and what fads are soon going to be forgotten. I'm sure many of us would like to forget the last couple of years, but they will be pretty hard to forget. In fact, it's likely Covid will leave scars on some of us, how we do things what we feel comfortable with and how we want to live, but Covid has also brought with a couple of positive innovations, it has brought forward a number of trends which were probably going to happen anyway and these will improve our lives. In today's show, I want to discuss these because whether you are a property investor, a business owner, or a professional understanding these social trends post-Covid will be critical for your success. And who better to discuss them with than our regular guest, leading demographer Simon Kuestenmacher, so welcome to today's show. How has Covid changed social trends? As we move into a new world of what some will call Covid normal, what will we look back on as a short-term fad, and what will last forever. Which trends will last? Online shopping? Working from home? Where do we want to live and how do we want to live? That's what I'm going to ask leading demographer Simon Kuestenmacher, director of the Demographics Group because if we understand how the pandemic re-shaped our wish list, not just for housing and property, but for many things in life, it will make us better investors, business people, and entrepreneurs. Let's look at a number of social trends that will shape demand and the way we will be living moving forward. Work from home Before Covid, just 5% of workers worked from home. During lockdown, at-home workers approached 50%. It's likely that the trend of working from home will continue moving forward. If nothing else, employers and workers will work out hybrid arrangements – workers will be partially remote, partially in-person In the longer term, the proportion of the workforce working from home could settle at about the 10-15 percent mark. The future of the CBD There will be a rise of work near home workspaces Overall, through the next 2 or 3 years, the area will completely recover However, it won't happen immediately The importance of neighbourhood The 20-minute neighbourhood - The ability to work, live, and play all within 20 minutes' reach is the new gold standard desirable lifestyle. COVID created a more intense sense of community Home improvements The collective dwell time in the family home has been boosted by the work from home revolution pandemic. The greater the dwell time the greater the tendency to invest in the family home with new appliances, technology, furniture, furnishings. Millennials These are the children of the Baby Boomers born 1984-2002, now aged 19-37, and who over the next five to six years will push into their late 30s and early 40s These upgraders will trigger a surge in demand for family-friendly residential property in the suburbs. Boomers born 1946-1964 and who are now aged 62-75. They will reinvent this time (65-plus) in the life cycle as the most exciting time of all: kids off their hands, mortgage paid out, health still okay. The 2020s are their time to spend the kids' inheritance and to methodically tick off activities from their ever-expanding bucket list. VESPAs - Virus Escapees Seeking Provincial Australia Work from lifestyle regions Scootering out of capital cities in search of affordability and serenity in a lifestyle town. FIZOs You've heard of Fly-in Fly-out or FIFO workers? Well, how about Fly-In Zoom-Out or FIZO workers? Workers who are remote most of the time, but are required to work in person for at least a couple of events Links and Resources: Michael Yardney Simon Kuestenmacher - Director of Research at The Demographics Group As our markets move forward why not get the team at Metropole to build you a personalised Strategic Property Plan – this will help both beginning and experienced investors. Subscribe to Simon's YouTube channel here Read Simon Kuesetenmacher's blogs on Property Update here. Get a bundle of eBooks and reports www.PodcastBonus.com.au Shownotes plus more here: What's ahead? The post-Covid social trends that will stick, with Simon Kuestenmacher Some of our favourite quotes from the show: “They're upgraders now, they've upgraded homes rather than apartments, and that's going to create a huge demand for certain sorts of properties in the family-friendly residential suburbs.” – Michael Yardney “Continuing on with the Vespa analogy, they're going to be scootering out of the capital cities and moving into the regional areas.” – Michael Yardney “Those who succeed in life do not think they're going to fail, they know it.” – Michael Yardney PLEASE LEAVE US A REVIEW Reviews are hugely important to me because they help new people discover this podcast. If you enjoyed listening to this episode, please leave a review on iTunes - it's your way of passing the message forward to others and saying thank you to me. Here's how
But Simon Kuestenmacher, Co-Founder & Director at The Demographics Group, said it would only work on one proviso. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment, Success & Money
As a property investor, businessperson or entrepreneur you need to understand more than your craft. But you also need to keep an eye on Australia's economy and while the variables influencing our economic growth are numerous and complex there is one particular driver whose overwhelming influence has the final say – and that's demographics. Yet I've found the significance of demographics is perhaps underappreciated by most investors, which is unfortunate given its impact can be found in almost all aspects of our economy and property markets, from economic growth and consumption to interest rates and valuations, and even to the velocity of money and the balance sheets of the world's central banks. Demographics is what ties it all together. I guess because these trends are slow moving and long-term and not easily visible, they tend to be ignored by many, but they shouldn't be and that's why I have my regular chats with leading demographer Simon Kuestenmacher. Today we're going to talk about some recent forecasts that will have a significant impact on our economy, employment, and our property markets. Then I'll share today's mindset message with you. These projections reveal Australia's economic future As a property investor I've been a lifelong student of demographics because demographic changes influence the underlying growth rate of the economy, our unemployment rate, they directly influence housing market trends, living standards, our savings rates, consumption and the demand for financial assets As you can see, demographic creates our destiny so if you want to become a successful investor you must understand what demographic changes are ahead, and that's why I enjoy my regular chats with Simon Kuesetenmacher the co-founder of The Demographics Group, who's columns and media commentary focus on current socio-demographic trends and how these will impact Australia. Today's chat is about the latest five-year employment projections from the National Skills Commission. Our workforce is projected to grow by almost a million people over the five years from November 2020 to November 2025. That figure is a bit weaker than the growth leading up to the pandemic (1,154,000) but it suggests that we should be cautiously optimistic about our economy. More than half (53 percent) of the new jobs require a university-level education. These jobs can only get filled help via migration. Currently, 15 percent of all jobs are part of the middle class The projected growth falls way short of expectations, as only 7 percent of new jobs will be middle class. A favourable working age population will boost economic growth and provide inflationary pressures An unfavourable demographic makeup will impose deflationary pressures on an economy and provide a headwind to economic growth. A quarter of all new jobs fall into the healthcare sector. The hospitality sector is projected to have fully recovered by 2025 and even slightly improve on pre-pandemic levels. Professional services are adding plenty of jobs for highly trained workers. The two biggest growth occupations are aged and disabled carers and registered nurses, which together will grow by over 100,000 jobs. We are adding about 1000 new carer jobs every single month. Considering more elderly retirees will be keen to continue living in their own homes, the opportunities for innovative in-home care services are endless. Nurses will continue to be in high demand More than half of the new jobs we're creating fall into skill level one. We're also creating a lot of skill level four jobs – a quarter of all jobs will be in skill level four. We're creating some jobs, not too many, in skill level five jobs – very low-level jobs. Optimistic drivers of our economic future: Demographic profile We have this big millennial cohort that saves us from the immediate impacts of the pandemic simply because the millennial cohort, the largest cohort happens to be on this stage of a life cycle where they purchase housing. Students will return, and international talent will come back The international market completely evaporated due to the pandemic. The good news is, as soon as borders open up, the students will be back at pretty much pre-pandemic levels, which will bring life back into the inner cities Resources: Michael Yardney Simon Kuestenmacher - Director of Research at The Demographics Group As our markets move forward why not get the team at Metropole to build you a personalised Strategic Property Plan – this will help both beginning and experienced investors. Get a bundle of eBooks and reports www.PodcastBonus.com.au Shownotes plus more here: This new research makes Australia's economic future clear, with Simon Kuestenmacher Some of our favourite quotes from the show: “I think a favourable working-age population is going to be really important for us too.” – Michael Yardney “We're going to be seen as a safe country to live in, an economy that's going to boom, and we'll be attracting the sort of people who probably in the past would have gone overseas to have their high-paying jobs.” – Michael Yardney “Those that battle through the challenges get to reap the rewards.” – Michael Yardney PLEASE LEAVE US A REVIEW Reviews are hugely important to me because they help new people discover this podcast. If you enjoyed listening to this episode, please leave a review on iTunes - it's your way of passing the message forward to others and saying thank you to me. Here's how
The pandemic has brought Australia's population growth to an abrupt halt. The birth rate has dropped and net migration has turned negative. But what does it mean for business and the economy? Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group, joins Sean Aylmer to explain the ramifications.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast | Inside Australian Real Estate
It's no mystery that COVID has affected everyone in one way or another, and some effects will no doubt carry on even after the pandemic has passed. Knowing this, how different will life be when this blows over? What will the new normal look like? Today, Simon Kuestenmacher, Director of Research at the Demographics Group shares his insights into how the pandemic and lockdowns have changed Australia on a number of fronts. If you've heard the past episodes we've had with Simon, you know you're in for a treat. We also talk about the changes in population, housing preferences, and consumer behaviour among a whole heap of other valuable topics! We'll see you in the episode! Episode Highlights: Lockdown surprises and impact from a demographer's point of view [01:49] The effect of COVID on boutiques and smaller operators [04:38] Is the flexible work from home setup here to stay? [09:00] Contentment (and discontentment) with working from home [17:00] Have HR regulations kept up with Integrators & Separators who work from home? [19:04] Chris's ‘elephant in the room': migration [22:02] Will there be higher or lower skill shortages in the coming future? [26:02] How are Australians coping in & out of the country? [29:31] The census this year was both a blessing and a curse [32:04] Why are people moving away to live outside the city? [35:40] Fertility rate and its effect on the property market [45:17] Balancing the demographics of a city with available housing stock [49:02] The increase in ‘early inheritance' cases [51:21] Europe's property market and their rental and home-owning expectations [54:10] Could the Australian property market move into a similar situation as Europe? [56:42] Simon's property dumbo for this episode [59:35] Growth is the goal [01:01:10] Links from the show: Episode 40 Episode 138 About our Guest: Simon Kuestenmacher is the Director of Research at the Demographics Group. He has amassed 140,000 followers globally in just two years, who enjoy his insights and his quirky observational style. He is a columnist for The Australian on demographic trends and urban development. Visit Simon's website: https://www.simonkuestenmacher.com/ Check out The Demographics Group: https://www.tdgp.com.au/simon-kuestenmacher Connect with Us: Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au Work with Chris: hello@wealthful.com.au Send in your questions to: questions@theelephantintheroom.com.au Find this episode on our website: https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/193 If you've enjoyed this episode, don't forget to like, share, rate and subscribe for more! See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Young Professionals Podcast (TYPP), proudly brought to you by ADAPT Careers (https://adaptcareers.com.au) and co-hosted by Luke Marriott and Nicholas Sargeant (Sarge). We're excited to announce this special episode with industry expert, Simon Kuestenmacher! Simon is a director and co-founder of The Demographics Group. Simon is involved in the business side of demography - sourcing data and interpreting it for businesses and governments, which involves lots of data crunching and storytelling. Simon specialises in using compelling data visualisation to illustrate trends we're seeing in demographic, consumer and social levels of society. Simon studied a Bachelor of Geography in Germany, before completing a Masters of Urban Geography at the University of Melbourne (https://study.unimelb.edu.au/find/courses/graduate/master-of-geography). Simon is now a columnist for The New Daily, and a former columnist for The Australian newspaper. Simon is one of the best people to comment on the future of work for young professionals and where our careers may lead us in the future. If you have a career story you would like to share, a role you would like to learn more about or any questions you would like us to ask young professionals, you can reach us through any of our social media that can be found at TYPP.com.au. We would love to hear from you!
The market's hot. We know this. But is it even possible to find a bargain when prices have been rising so rapidly and demand is so high?In this episode of Propety Unpacked, Julie DeBondt-Barker, the founding director of Property Home Base, explains how to differentiate between a property bargain and a property lemon.Then, to unpack the rising trend of Australians moving from bigger cities to smaller cities, Simon Kuestenmacher, the co-founder & director of research at The Demographics Group, joins us.00:35 How to find a property bargain13:30 Moving to smaller cities----The information in this post is general in nature and should not be considered personal or financial advice.You should always seek professional advice or assistance before making any financial decisions. Digital Home Loans Pty Ltd t/a Domain Loan Finder (ABN 39 619 694 156, Credit Representative 500208) is authorised by Auscred Services Pty Ltd (ABN 50 164 638 171, Australian Credit Licence 442372). All applications are subject to assessment and lender approval.
Sean Aylmer speaks to Simon Kuestenmacher, co-Founder and Director of The Demographics Group, about recent data showing just how hard the tourism sector has been hit by COVID-19. They also talk about booming house prices, our shrinking population and more.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment, Success & Money
I recently read an article in the Australian by leading demographer Bernard Salt that made me think. He posed an interesting question. He said, “imagine taking an Australian couple from the 1950s and placing them in our society today. What would surprise them most?” Would it be the internet or mobile phones or our general level of prosperity? Maybe it would be something seemingly unremarkable (to us) such as the ubiquitous use of plastic. Or maybe it would be the idea of wearing outer garments with slogans, brand names and images paraded for all the world to see. Perhaps it would be our accent – it would sound less Australian, or the pronunciation of some words which would have more of an American twang to them, or even some of the words we use. Terms such as 24/7 became popular after the turn of the century, which brought with it the alphanumeric concept of Y2K. Bernard Salt suggested that if this '50s couple were to wander around the CBD of any big city, he was sure they would be struck by the ethnic mix of the people, the cafes, the independence of women, and the absence of formal dress, with hatless men and gloveless ladies everywhere. I'm sure he's right. This got me thinking about what will change in how we live moving forward after the coronavirus pandemic. How is your lifestyle going to change? While this is an interesting academic question it is also an important question to ask ourselves as property investors, business people, or entrepreneurs. As we move through 2021, we're still getting regular reminders that even though life is more normal, the effects of Coronavirus will be with us for a long time. While some people are still looking back in the rear vision mirror to see what lessons we can learn to give us some guidance for the year ahead, let's look forward into the future as I chat with leading demographer Simon Kuestenmacher Simon is Director of Research at The Demographics Group, a columnist with The Australian, and a regular guest on this who is globally recognized as a rising star in the field of data management and insight and a regular guest here on my podcast. All trends point towards Australians looking inwards, focusing on family matters, embellishing the family home. Retail shifted online during the lockdowns but even after Australia opened up again online retail remained higher than expected before the pandemic. The changes in retail sales by industry sub-group also show how Australians are investing in their family homes. Major events don't just change the way we view the world but also change the way we want our homes to look. When Italians and Greeks moved to Australia, we transitioned from building English homes to building Mediterranean homes that allow us to combine indoor and outdoor living. After the millennial drought, we added water tanks to our homes. During the pandemic, we added veggie patches, additional storage (for food and toilet paper?), zoom rooms to the house, and changed the way we use our garages. Even after droughts, pandemics, and Mediterranean migrant waves are gone the changes introduced to our homes are still there. The current changes suggest larger homes will be in more demand. Customer behaviour also is linked to customer income. The story here is simple. The richer you are the less intensely the pandemic hit you. Tenant selection should be on an investor's mind. This data further suggests that lower-skilled workers will struggle to afford homeownership and will therefore be renters. Links and Resources: Michael Yardney As our markets move forward why not get the team at Metropole to build you a personalised Strategic Property Plan – this will help both beginning and experienced investors. Join us at Wealth Retreat 2021 – click here to find out more Simon Kuestenmacher - Director of Research at The Demographics Group Shownotes plus more here: These are the big trends post-Coronavirus and they may not be what you expect with Simon Kuestenmacher Some of our favourite quotes from the show: “Even dress code seems to have changed. People are less formal post-COVID.” – Michael Yardney “Sometimes we only look at what it costs to do something, and then when it seems too hard, we just don't do it.” – Michael Yardney “You're never going to become rich if your money doesn't work for you while you're asleep.” – Michael Yardney PLEASE LEAVE US A REVIEW Reviews are hugely important to me because they help new people discover this podcast. If you enjoyed listening to this episode, please leave a review on iTunes - it's your way of passing the message forward to others and saying thank you to me. Here's how
The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment, Success & Money
As we move through 2021, we're still getting regular reminders that even though life is more normal, the effects of Coronavirus will be with us for a long time. While some people are still looking back in the rear vision mirror to see what lessons we can learn to give us some guidance for the year ahead, today I'll be looking forward into the future as I chat with leading demographer Simon Kuesetenmacher about what he calls the Big Shift – some major demographic changes that you should be aware of if you're interested in the property or if you're in business But first, let me give you a couple of quick lessons from 2020 to help you take better advantage of our property markets. Timing the market is hard. Anyone who tried to time the top or the bottom of our property market over the decades I've been investing has usually missed out, so I would suggest spending your efforts finding the best asset you can rather than trying to time the market. Don't try and fight the RBA or our government.If you think about it, it's a government job to look after its constituents and protect them – not just by providing police and hospitals and the judicial system; but also protecting their jobs and the value of their biggest asset - their home. Economic depressions can be avoided. Our regulators have learned a lot over the last couple of decades and 2020 proved it - a rapid, large and well-targeted economic policy response can protect an economy from a significant shock and enable it to rebound quickly when the threat abates. Be careful who you listen to and turn down the noise. Last year investors were bombarded with information and opinions around what the coronavirus would mean to our economy and our property markets but much of this was just noise. Now that I have shared some of my lessons with you we are going to hear what Simon Kuestenmacher has to say, and even though we have discussed some of these concepts in previous podcasts, I'm sure you'll get a lot out of my chat with him as he introduces some new concepts we haven't discussed before that I think will help give you some clarity on what's ahead. And as always, I will share my mindset message with you at the end of our show. There's a big shift ahead for our property markets If you're like many Australians you're probably wondering what's going to happen to life beyond coronavirus. What's going to change in the way we live, work, and organize our cities? The simple answer is... quite a lot! And if you're a property investor, or a business owner you must understand how Australian cities are reshaping to stay ahead of the game. That's what I going to chat about today with Simon Kuestenmacher, one of Australia's leading demographers as I ask him for some insights into what his research suggests is ahead. Simon is Director of Research at The Demographics Group, a columnist with The Australian, and a regular guest on this who is globally recognized as a rising star in the field of data management and insight and a regular guest here on my podcast. Just to put some context to our chat… It's easy to forget that one year ago we have a government dedicated to balancing the budget and bringing in a surplus. Our property markets were rebounding, and business owners would looking forward to a great year ahead. Then look what happened in 2020 - we experienced a pandemic, a lockdown and a recession, and then a rebound. Fortunately, we controlled the health issues better than almost every other country in the world, and it seems that our government has minimized the impact of the coronavirus cocoon induced recession. But the dynamics of our society have changed considerably. So, what next? Global context What's happening in the world economy? Australia's economy has recovered remarkably quickly International capital and international talent will still want to come to Australia Based on sheer economic data, investors might want to invest in Australia, New Zealand, S. Korea, and maybe Taiwan Local Context Lower population growth Some sectors of the economy are booming and others floundering Despite COVID & temporary low migration, the pie keeps growing in the 2020s. Demographics drive particularly high demand for family-sized homes. Low demand for small apartments before migration amps up again. COVID and working from home will reshape our cities. CBDs perform poorly for a few years; outer suburbs & regional towns benefit from millennial families seeking sizeable homes. Millennial values will transform suburbia. Expect more demand for active transport, hipster cafes, and family-friendly spaces. We will want future homes to be pandemic-proof The rise of the 20-minute Neighbourhood Pre-Corona Fried Egg – Post-Corona Scramble Egg Location is critical to the long term performance of your investment. It seems that in our new “Covid Normal” world, people love the thought that most of the things needed for a good life are within a 20-minute public transport trip, bike ride or walk from home. The ability to work, live, and play all within 20 minutes' reach is the new gold standard desirable lifestyle. Imagine being able to carry out your daily activities within a 20-minute walk from home. All the things you need in a day would be just a short walk away. Things such as shopping, business services, education, community facilities, recreational and sporting resources, and some jobs. In urban planning circles, it's a concept known as the 20-minute neighborhood. What type of property will be more in demand post-COVID-19? WFH will mean different desires – zoom room, gym, extra room for home office Some will see high rise apartment towers as “vertical cruise ships” - high-rise buildings were designed to organize as many people as possible in one place. With busy lifts, shared hallways, and communal facilities like laundries and garbage disposals, high-rise living is the ideal breeding ground for the virus, as we've seen both in Australia and overseas. So, it stands to reason that the buyers of 2021 and beyond might not be so keen to live in an apartment and be breathing the same air and touching the same lift buttons as hundreds of other people. Instead, they may prefer to purchase standalone dwellings that they can barricade and sanitize to their heart's content in the event of another wave of the virus. Similarly, we'll want to be able to separate work and living spaces. We all need a Zoom Room nowadays. I can only imagine what a nightmare the stay-at-home orders must have been for parents with small children living in apartments without a garden, or for gym junkies forced to substitute cans of baked beans for their usual weights in their at-home workouts. As such, room for a home gym setup, space for the kids to do their karate or dance classes online, and a reasonable outdoor area for the family to get some fresh air and vitamin D are likely going to shift from the “nice to have” category into the “non-negotiables” list for owner-occupiers. The hollowing out of the Australian workforce Education determines your income and spending capacity The increasingly polarized workforce drives property prices and geographical segregation. Low- and high-income workers demand similar things from their homes but are driven to different locations. That puts social cohesion at risk. Links and Resources: Michael Yardney Simon Kuestenmacher - Director of Research at The Demographics Group As our markets move forward why not get the team at Metropole to build you a personalized Strategic Property Plan – this will help both beginning and experienced investors. Shownotes plus more here: Successful property investors must understand this Big Shift, with Simon Kuestenmacher Some of our favourite quotes from the show: “How often have you heard me say over the last couple of years that you shouldn't make 30-year investment decisions based on the last 30 minutes of news?” – Michael Yardney “Sections of our economy are doing pretty nicely, and it's the demographics that are going to drive demand.” – Michael Yardney “Not one person said you should choose your work based on your desire for future earnings.” – Michael Yardney PLEASE LEAVE US A REVIEW Reviews are hugely important to me because they help new people discover this podcast. If you enjoyed listening to this episode, please leave a review on iTunes - it's your way of passing the message forward to others and saying thank you to me. Here's how
Monday 25 January 2021 In the final episode of Fear and Greed's summer series, Sean Aylmer speaks to Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group. They discuss the the issues and forces shaping our society and economy - from the ageing population, to the trends in the property market.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Joining SME TV today is the co-founder & director of research for The Demographics Group, Simon Kestenmarcher, https://www.tdgp.com.au/ otherwise known on Twitter as @SimonGerman600 who is obsessed with #Maps. Big maps, little maps, Dutch Male Maps, American Sitcom Maps, he doesn't mind the odd graph either. Don't forget to #Subscribe
A new report, https://shop.bowelcanceraustralia.org/collections/reports/products/the-case-for-screening-from-age-45-download-only (Protecting nine million Australians: the case for screening from age 45) by social demographer Bernard Salt AM, Managing Director of The Demographics Group, and commissioned by Bowel Cancer Australia, examines the growing impact of bowel cancer in people under 50 and the benefits of lowering the screening age. The release of the report coincides with the draft recommendation from the United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) for screening to start at age 45, which matches that of the American Cancer Society (ACS), which in May 2018 issued the same recommendation.
Sean Aylmer speaks to Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group, about higher education. They discuss who's going to university, who's funding the sector now that international students can't get it, and what needs to change to drive jobs growth in Australia.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian is under pressure to quit over a relationship with a disgraced MP, while Victoria’s top bureaucrat resigns over the hotel quarantine fiasco. Also today: New global rules set to force multi-nationals to pay their fair share of tax A $2.8 billion takeover bid on the local share market And home owners and small businesses start shifting off loan holidays, back onto repayment schedules Plus an interview with Simon Kuestenmacher, co-founder of The Demographics Group, about the higher education sector.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Sean Aylmer speaks to demographer Simon Kuestenmacher, Co-Founder and Director of Research at the Demographics Group. They discuss how his research is useful for business, and how Australia is changing as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, including the wide-ranging impact of disruption to immigration. Simon also reveals whether we can expect a lockdown baby boom.Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Australia has recorded its poorest economic growth result since the second world war, but the worst is over. Also today: AMP puts itself up for sale, but are there any buyers? COVID-19 numbers in Victoria continue to improve And Australian universities perform well in annual global rankings Plus an interview with Simon Kuestenmacher, Co-Founder and Director of Research at the Demographics Group, about demographics and making sense of data. Find out more: https://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast | Inside Australian Real Estate
Welcoming back Director of Research of The Demographics Group, Simon Kuestenmacher. Simon was a guest back in Episode 40 where he outlined the potential problems of Australia's aging population and the current population growth. In this episode we breakdown the impact of COVID on society, specifically how our behaviours and attitudes to work have adjusted and ultimately understanding how this will translate into what people buy in the future to accommodate societies new lifestyle needs. Here's what we covered: Will we feel the effects of COVID for years to come? What will happen to the inner cities around Australia? Will big business continue to have CBD based offices or will they adapt? What is the trend in businesses working from home? What are the pros and cons of working from home? Why will having an additional room be crucial for working from home? When will the fringes of each city's CBD see growth due to the WFH movement? What will be the biggest demographic changes in Australia? How might migration return to normal? Will reverse mortgages become more prominent? This weeks Dumbo: Purchasing a one bedroom apartment RELEVANT EPISODES:Episode 40 | Simon Kuestenmacher Episode 132 | Mark McCrindle Episode 133 | Alice Stolz HOST LINKS:Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: https://linktr.ee/veronicamorgan Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.wealthful.com.au Work with Chris: hello@wealthful.com.au Send in your questions to: questions@theelephantintheroom.com.au EPISODE TRANSCRIPT: Please note that this has been transcribed by half-human-half-robot, so brace yourself for typos and the odd bit of weirdness. This episode was recorded in August, 2020. https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/138
Peter Switzer and Paul Rickard are joined by Bernard Salt, Managing Director of The Demographics Group, to look how our lives will change post-Coronavirus, plus analysis of the big four banks from EY Oceania Banking and Capital Markets Leader Tim Dring and Switzer Report contributor Tony Featherstone.
The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast | Inside Australian Real Estate
Simon Kuestenmacher is one of Australia's rising stars in the world of demography. Demographers study people and because property is all about where people live and what we live in, this is something we need to pay attention to. Simon is probably most well known to be the brains beside the renowned Bernard Salt at The Demographics Group. Here's some of what we learned in this discussion; How an aging population, death and high migration will shift Australian needs for housing. The population argument - for and against - and why it has lead to an awful outcome in terms of housing stock. The difference both old and new technology will make to the way we live and will we ever get high speed trains in this country? Part researcher, part futurist, what an amazing glimpse into what could be ahead! https://www.tdgp.com.au/ Download the transcript: www.thelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/040 Work with Veronica? info@gooddeeds.com.au Work with Chris? hello@wealthful.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.