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The commission in charge of drawing Montana's new political boundaries remains stuck in a deadlock over how to split the state into two congressional districts.
Episode 47 - Considerations for the Mainstreaming of Psychedelics Psychedelic Science Summit: Austin, Texas (November 1-3, 2019) Speakers: Allison Feduccia, Ph.D., George Greer, M.D., Mellody Hayes, M.D., Brent Turnipseed, M.D., Bia Labate, Ph.D. (Moderator) We dig into the vast MAPS archives to bring this panel which explores considerations for the responsible integration of psychedelic medicines into society. Many of the issues discussed in this panel are essential for all members of the psychedelic community to consider when discussing the evolution of psychedelic research. Please visit maps.org to stay up to date on what MAPS is doing and to make a donation.
0:00 - Intro4:32 - Progressing Pull Ups7:14 - What Causes MAPS10:35 - Combing O Lifts and Strength15:05 - Undoing Aero Position18:15 - Pull Up Hand Positionhttps://www.patreon.com/coachdanjohnEnjoy!---Have a question? Send it to podcast@danjohnuniversity.com[Dan John University](https://www.danjohnuniversity.com)
State Rep. Andrew Fink.
Discord: https://discord.gg/uWAn92PFqJ Support the show: patreon.com/3TRPGPodcast 3TRPG Publishing on DTRPG: drivethrurpg.com/browse/pub/14829…T-RPG-Publishing
This week on the Green Rush, we wanted to revisit our previous sit down with Rick Doblin, Founder and Executive Director of MAPS. Recorded during a special fireside chat with our host Anne Donohoe at the virtual KCSA Psychedelics Investor Conference, Rick sat down to discuss the evolution of the psychedelics space, the latest on MAPS clinical trials and the roster of well-known capital market players supporting the psychedelic renaissance. Suffice to say, there likely would not be a revived psychedelics industry if it were not for Rick who has for the last 35 years worked with the FDA, Congress and researchers around the world to advance psychedelic science and medicine. Founded by Rick in 1986, the Multidisciplinary Association for Psychedelic Studies (MAPS) is a 501(c)(3) non-profit research and educational organization that develops medical, legal, and cultural contexts for people to benefit from the careful uses of psychedelics and marijuana. Over the decades, Rick Doblin has established himself as a leading authority on the renaissance of psychedelics and his insights on how these molecules may be able to solve the global mental health crisis will not be something that you want to miss. Rick will also be a featured speaker at next month's Microdose: Wonderland Conference in Miami – so if you are planning to attend the show, make sure not to miss his session. So sit back, relax and listen to our special fireside chat with Rick Doblin. Links and mentions in the show MAPS website: https://maps.org/Rick Doblin's TED Talks: https://www.ted.com/speakers/rick_doblin Links to the guest's company and social media accounts Rick Doblin's Twitter: https://twitter.com/rickdoblinMAPS Twitter: https://twitter.com/MAPSRick Doblin's LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rickdoblin/MAPS Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mapsnews/ Show Credits: This episode was hosted by Anne Donohoe of KCSA Strategic Communications. Special thanks to our Program Director Shea Gunther. You can learn more about how KCSA Cannabis can help your cannabiz by visiting www.kcsa-cannabis.com or emailing greenrush@kcsa.com. You can also connect with us via our social channels: Twitter: @The_GreenRush Instagram: @thegreenrush_podcast LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thegreenrushpodcast/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TheGreenRushPodcast/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCuEQkvdjpUnPyhF59wxseqw?disable_polymer=true
A sound map is a sonic representation of a specific site or location. This week, Kyle Long explores two different projects that have created sound maps of Indianapolis.
Michigan Independent Citizens Redistricting Commission Chair Rebecca Szetela and Commissioner Brittni Kellom discuss their process as they kick off their new round of public comment period. And MSU redistricting expert Jon Eguia talks about his new report that takes a hard look at the commission's ten draft maps.
Episode 048 features musician & venue owner Scott Rednor of Shakedown Bar, MAPS Music & Brothers Keeper, with music by Andy Hall, Keith Moseley, Ross James, Tyler Grant, Todd Smallie & Mark Levy! Recorded: Tuesday, October 12, 2021 Location: Vail, CO Musical Contributions from: Andy Hall, Keith Moseley, Ross James, Tyler Grant, Todd Smallie & Mark Levy and Family Funktion & The Sitar Jams www.GalaxyTenants.com
Colorado's Independent Legislative Redistricting Commission capped a months-long process when it sent its final state House and Senate maps to the state Supreme Court. Now it will be up to the Colorado Supreme Court to decide whether the maps submitted pass constitutional muster. Parties have until noon on Friday to submit comments for or against the legislative maps. That court hears oral arguments on Oct. 25, and has until Nov. 15 to approve the three maps, or send them back to the legislative commission for changes. Tatiana Flowers, the Colorado Sun's new equity reporter talks to Politics Team Reporters, Sandra Fish and Thy Vo (TEE-VOH) about the process and the next steps. Also, today, we take you back to October 20th, 1787 when The Spanish governor of New Mexico reported a remarkable endeavor under way in present-day Colorado. It was a town being built to bring together former enemies to live in a place of peace. Learn more about these stories at coloradosun.com See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In conversation with John Freeman Anthony Doerr won the 2015 Pulitzer Prize for All the Light We Cannot See, ''a beautiful, daring, heartbreaking, oddly joyous novel'' (Seattle Times) about a blind French girl and a German boy navigating the carnage of World War II. Also the winner of the Andrew Carnegie Medal for Excellence in Fiction and a National Book Award finalist, it spent more than two years on the New York Times bestseller list. Doerr's other work includes the novel About Grace, two story collections, and a memoir, for which he has earned five O. Henry Prizes, the Story Prize, and a Guggenheim Fellowship, among other honors. A novel of the interconnected tapestry of human experience, Cloud Cuckoo Land weaves together the lives of a fifteenth century orphan, an octogenarian in present-day Idaho, and a girl on an interstellar spacecraft decades from today. John Freeman was the editor of Granta until 2013. His books include Dictionary of the Undoing, How to Read a Novelist, Tales of Two Americas, and Tales of Two Planets. His poetry includes the collections Maps, The Park, and the forthcoming Wind, Trees. In 2021, he edited the anthologies There's a Revolution Outside, My Love with Tracy K. Smith, and The Penguin Book of the Modern American Short Story. An Executive Editor at Knopf, he teaches writing and literature classes at NYU. (recorded 10/19/2021)
With partisan fervor, Republicans drew new maps for Congress and the Legislature that dilute the power of voters of color. Now the lawsuits begin, as groups that feel marginalized battle for representation in the halls of power.
Join us as we head off into unknown lands without a compass, without maps, and no plan. We discuss local doings, headlines, and Renaissance Humanism. We don't know how that last one got in there but anything is fair game! Join Deb and G. Long for a wide ranging discussion on this week's Long in the Boot Podcast!
Happy Tuesday!! We're right in the middle of Spooky Season and on this episode of Maps and Coffee, Annalisa takes a new turn on spooky and gives us a story of a small town and their alien encounter.
Jack Dangermond founded Esri over 50 years ago and has grown it into a giant private company that provides software to global corporations, governments and NGOs. At its heart, it's a map-making company. Customers pull data into Esri software to create maps that help inform all sorts of decisions. As Jack tells Alan Murray and Ellen McGirt, "Our customers run the world ... and they do it through maps." But Esri's mission runs deeper than this. "We look at issues of a social nature or an environmental nature, and try to build some of the parameters of that kind of thinking into the basic tools. So when our users buy those tools, they wind up doing usually a lot more than their basic mission. ... They do things more efficiently. They do things more sustainably, ... So we can't actually control them or tell them what to do. But we can introduce to them this geographic way of thinking and acting that ultimately drives better action and behavior on their part."
Jay Scott Outdoors Western Big Game Hunting and Fishing Podcast
Join Jay Scott andDuwane Adams as they talk about the AZ Elk Season and forecast for the upcoming mule deer and early season coues hunts. https://www.instagram.com/duwaneadamshunting/?hl=en Duwane Adams 520-240-2681 Sponsors of the JSO Podcast https://www.gohunt.com/ Cody Nelson "Glassing Guru and Optics Authority" Optics Manager at goHUNT.com Gear Shop-Call Cody directly for info and sales at (702) 847-8747 Ext #2 or email at optics@goHunt.com Use "JayScott" promo code to get discount WIN A NEW MEXICO ELK HUNT If you didn't draw a hunt this year don't worry there are still ways to get a tag and get out into the field. Not only are there leftover and OTC opportunities, but if you join goHUNT.com INSIDER with promo code JAYSCOTT by August 31, 2021, you're also be entered to win $1500 worth of KUIU GEAR. You'll also get ten entries into goHUNT's big Summer of Elk giveaway, where you could win a 2022 New Mexico ELK HUNT and $15,000 in hunting gear. goHUNT INSIDER is the one platform for finding great hunts, researching new units, e-scouting, and planning your hunt, now an added incredible value of Desktop Maps and MAPS available on iPhone and Android for no extra cost. Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity. Sign up at https://www.gohunt.com/jayscott and get a $50 goHUNT Gear Shop gift card http://www.kuiu.com/ or http://www.kuiu.com/blog/ https://www.phoneskope.com/ Use the "jayscott21" promo code to get 10% off all orders More on host Jay Scott www.JayScottOutdoors.com Instagram @JayScottOutdoors
There is no bipartisan support for any of the nine possible Congressional maps under consideration by the Montana Districting and Apportionment Commission.
Virtual Homework is a podcast where the hosts (Dana and Sam) alternate each week to force the other to play a game of their choosing. We then talk about the game and use that conversation to talk about other aspects of life. Hilarity Ensues! Timestamps: 0:00 - Theme Song 0:16 - Dana Got Unbanned From Twitter 2:07 - Bejeweled Twist Follow-Up 5:17 - Metroid Dread Came Out Of Nowhere 7:55 - Difficulty - Is It Hard? 8:56 - Metroid Dread Overview and Initial Thoughts 14:50 - EMMI - Fun or Suck? 17:27 - Controls 19:07 - Level Design Is Top Notch 21:17 - Final Thoughts and MercurySteam Credits Controversy 28:27 - MiO Boys, Complexity, and Cleaning Updates 34:55 - Metroid Dread Pre-Order Bonus + Gamestop Warranties 37:19 - Dana Remembers That The Switch Is Good 38:43 - Kotaku Sued By Nintendo Over Metroid Dread Article 41:34 - Jeff Bezos's Proposition 43:31 - Convention Experiences 45:46 - Jeff Bezos's Face and Twitch Leaks Continued 53:20 - Sam's A 7/11 Stan 55:13 - Globes vs. Maps vs. ICP 59:33 - Counterfeit Pokemon and Diablo II Follow-Up + Hearthstone Mercenaries 1:07:18 - Sigma Male Peter Griffin/Baby Alien/Lil Wyte 1:16:55 - Outro
The Thief That Got Away After $100 Million Diamond Heist
Lesley Roy wrote "I'll Be Fine" in Rotterdam, just days after being eliminated from the Semi-Finals of Eurovision 2021. The "Maps" singer tells us about that experience backstage at the Indigo at the London O2. Lesley has been touring the UK and Ireland with Boyzlife -- that's Brian McFadden & Keith Duffy. She tells us why she closes her set with her ESC 2020 song "Story of My Life", what it's like touring with the former Westlife and Boyzone kings, and much more.
Michigan residents will soon get a chance to weigh in on new draft maps that could define our state legislative and Congressional districts for the next decade. MichMash hosts Jake Neher and Cheyna Roth talk with Bridge Michigan's Sergio Martínez-Beltrán who has been covering the redistricting process about the new maps and how you can get involved.
This podcast features an interview with editor Cody Goodfellow, and Readings by Kaaron Warren, Mehitobel Wilson, Jayaprakash Satyamurthy, and Rios de la Luz from New Maps of Dream (PS Publishing, Fall 2021) . This episode was recorded between September 14-22, 2021. Show Notes Anya Martin interviews editor Cody Goodfellow, about New Maps of Dream (PS … Continue reading
It's This Week in Bourbon for October 15th 2021. Here's the headlines for this week. Elijah Craig is having its second annual Old Fashioned Week. Breaking Bourbon takes over the BTAC Release map. Angel's Envy announces their limited edition cask strength release Show Notes: Elijah Craig recently announced its second annual Old Fashioned Week, posts will be automatically entered into the Old Fashioned Week Sweepstakes when tagging @elijahcraig. The TTB approved 180K Products over the last 12 months through September 2021 Woodford Reserve is celebrating 25 years Saddlestone Distillery has joined the KDA Distilled Spirits Council of the United States says luxury market is growing Breaking Bourbon carries the torch of owning the BTAC release map New fakes in the secondary market now targeted towards dusties Widow Jane Distillery announced that Decadence, finished in maple barrels, will return to retail shelves. Restoration Rye 2021 Batch 2 and Batch 3 can be purchased at Castle & Key Distillery Angel's Envy announces its 2021 limited edition cask strength Jos A Magnus has new 6 new Cigar Blend batches coming out Old Elk Distillery out of Colorado is now going into cask finished variants Lost Lantern has 3 new releases coming up Elijah Craig has unveiled its latest Barrel Proof bourbon, C921 TX Whiskey announces the launch of TX Straight Bourbon Whiskey Finished in Cognac Casks Whisper Creek Spiked Coffee cocktails coming from Pennington Oak & Eden Whiskey has announced a new chapter of its celebrity collaboration product, called the Anthro Series @kentuckybourbontrail @oakandeden @penningtondistillingco @txwhiskey @lostlanternwhiskey @oldelkbourbon @josamagnus @breakingbourbon @woodfordreserve @pennyandsparrow Support this podcast on Patreon
This week on Comes a Time, psychedelic medical practitioner Will Siu talks with Oteil and Mike about his experience with psychedelics and treating patients with them as a psychotherapist. Having received degrees from several of the most prestigious universities in the world, Will is incredibly knowledgeable on some of our favorite topics here on Comes A Time, and in this conversation the three discuss big business entering the psychedelic world and how that's changed the dynamic of the field in recent years, finding your own version of sacredness, and much more. They also talk about why psychedelics aren't a guaranteed cure to all problems, advice on coping strategies to ease stress and feel more connected with life, and Will's unlikely journey that led him to become a psychedelic pioneer.Will Siu, MD, DPhil, completed medical and graduate school at UCLA and the University of Oxford, respectively, before training as a psychiatrist at Harvard Medical School. He remained on the faculty at Harvard for two years prior to moving to New York City to further pursue his interest in psychedelic medicine as a practitioner and public advocate through speaking, writing, and social media. He is an advisor to Bexson Biomedical and People Science, and a co-principal investigator on a pilot research study exploring MDMA-assisted psychotherapy for the treatment of fibromyalgia. Will has been trained by MAPS to provide MDMA-assisted therapy, and maintains a private practice in Los Angeles where he provides individual psychotherapy and ketamine-facilitated psychotherapy. He approaches his work with the goal of lasting, patient-centered healing—using his skills and experience to help his clients find healing within themselves. He teaches and supervises therapists and psychiatrists as part of his clinical practice.Visit Will on Instagram @will.siu.md or online at WillSiuMD.com-----------This podcast is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. Please leave us a rating or review on iTunes!Comes A Time is brought to you by Osiris Media. Hosted and Produced by Oteil Burbridge and Mike Finoia. Executive Producers are Christina Collins and RJ Bee. Production, Editing and Mixing by Eric Limarenko and Matt Dwyer. Theme music by Oteil Burbridge. Production assistance by Matt Bavuso. To discover more podcasts that connect you more deeply to the music you love, check out osirispod.com-------Visit SunsetlakeCBD.com and use the promo code TIME for 20% off premium CBD productsDiscover Garcia Hand Picked Cannabis at GarciaHandPicked.com or connect with them on Instagram at @garciahandpicked“Find out how Upstart can help you pay off your deb at UPSTART.com/ComesaTime”Visit section119.com and use the promo code COMESATIME for for 15% off your next purchase of Grateful Dead apparel or accessories. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Derailed redistricting commission begins work on congressional maps; New addition to state's vaccination dashboard; and many other stories.
This week the boys are holding down the fort. I have to defend my character, and then we talk about my amazing guest appearance on Wanna Be on Top. Maxwell stands up for an hour, stands up to me about the state of the pandemic, and learns to stand up for his full name. Our guest is LA-based singer-songwriter, Kevin Dekimpe.
Live from the no panic zone—I'm Steve Gruber—I am America's Voice—God Bless America this is the Steve Gruber FIERCE AND FEARLESS – in Pursuit of the truth— Here are three big things you need to know right now— Three— Beaumont begging for nurses - Offering signing bonus - Doing everything they can Two— Rep Gubernatorial candidate James Craig signals he is in support of a 2020 Election audit here in Michigan. One— Democrats are now arguing that the preposed voting maps put out by the Redistricting Commission are bad and would make it hard for black law makers to win elections.
This week, Dr. Nicole Ackermans looks at changes Google is making to Maps, Search, and other apps to inform users of the climate impact. MP3 Please SUBSCRIBE HERE. You can get an ad-free feed of Daily Tech Headlines for $3 a month here. A special thanks to all our supporters–without you, none of this wouldContinue reading "Sunday Science Supplement for October 10, 2021 – DTH"
On this week's edition of the On Iowa Politics Podcast: Reaction to redistricting Maps and a batch of new Iowa poll results. On Iowa Politics is a weekly news and analysis podcast that aims to re-create the kinds of conversations that happen when you get political reporters from across Iowa together after the day's deadlines have been met. This week's show is hosted by The Gazette's James Lynch and features Lee Newspaper Statehouse Bureau Chief Erin Murphy, Tom Barton of the Quad City Times, Amie Rivers of the Waterloo Cedar-Falls Courier, and Gazette Opinion Editor Todd Dorman. The show was produced by Stephen M. Colbert, and the music heard on the podcast is courtesy of Copperhead and Steven Kristopher.
I get asked a lot where the name for my podcast, “Rebel Buddhist”, came from. Often people will say, “Wow - I can't imagine a rebel Buddhist with like guns, or weapons - isn't that the opposite of Buddhism? Isn't that a kind of...oxymoron?” And I'm thinking, “That's not exactly the definition of ‘rebel' that I had in mind.” Here's where I'm coming from: My main motto is, “Free Your Mind, Free Your Life.” When you free your mind of the things that no longer serve you, the freedom you experience in life also follows. But freeing you mind requires a new, radical way of thinking. You really need to go against the way most of the world thinks. And against how the brain works when in its default mode. If you search for the definition of “rebel,” one says a rebel is, “a person who resists authority, control, or convention.” And that's exactly what you have to do to create a life of freedom, adventure and purpose: go against convention. Conventional ways of thinking. Of definitions of success – and how to get there. Of what to prioritize. Now, I've often said that I'm a really good rule follower. But that's really only true when the rule makes sense to me. I question all rules because in my own spiritual practice I've been trained to question all my perceptions and ask, “Is this true? Is this real?” I've been trained to question everything. And to consider that the way I may see things might be inaccurate. That I should not follow convention “just because." And I‘ll admit: I kinda like breaking the rules that don't make sense. I think we should always question the rules, the status quo, conventional thinking. I believe in freedom, and I especially think it's important to question those that try to control us or claim infallible authority over us. So yes, I see mindfulness practices, thought work, learning about how our minds work, and all this work as a revolutionary and rebellious act because it inherently requires you to question and resist doing things “just because.” One of the things that I find we need to question and resist is this idea that our happiness comes from outside of us, and that we aren't inherently worthy and that we need more more more to become worthy, and that because we are flawed or imperfect, we need to look outside of us for wisdom and answers. Yeah – f*ck that. Today I'm calling B.S. on that rule. We don't have to look outside of ourselves to find the answers to the very personal, intimate, deep questions that shape the trajectory of our inner and outer lives. Many of us are so used to looking outward for answers that we often only feel confident when someone gives us the recipe. We've forgotten the capacity for our inner wisdom. What I'm really saying here is that you don't need no stinkin' guru. You already are creative, resourceful, and whole. You already have Buddha-nature within you. Now, I'm not saying that you NEVER need a teacher or a mentor. I've had amazing teachers who really helped me and never abused their role and power in our relationship, and who helped me realize my own inner wisdom. I always work with a coach. I have my spiritual mentors I meet with regularly about my practice. But the difference is they don't imply that I “need” them - I am working with the because I like it and like using their “recipes” and tweaking them to make them my own. I am learning more and more about the depth of our inner wisdom and inner healer in my fellowship in psychedelic-assisted therapy and studies with MAPS. This intelligence is the innate ability and wisdom to move towards a wholeness and wellbeing, and it is a natural and innate capacity to heal and grow that we all have. In this particular therapy it is essential that we understand and trust that it is that inner healer - not the therapist - that guides the healing process. It's like healing a laceration. If you come to me in the Emergency Department, I can remove the dirt and debris and help create favorable conditions for healing, but I do not cause the healing. The body does. The body spontaneously attempts to move toward healing - and so does the psyche. The existence of that inner healer and your relationship with that internal source of wisdom and power will outlast any spiritual practice. And when you tap into your ziji - that radiant inner confidence - you will know in your bones that you can lead a fulfilled and healthy life and that you have the wisdom to get you there. I do want to mention that while trauma can impact how accessible the inner wisdom is, it does not damage it. The right guide can be very helpful as you learn how to access that inner wisdom, particularly with trauma. AND - having a guide who walks next to us and helps us access our inner wisdom is something we can all benefit from. So let's not throw the baby out with the bathwater. Let's keep in mind that if we feel having a coach or a mentor is an important piece in our life, remember that you do not “need” them to move forward. You have what it takes to do it yourself because you are already creative, resourceful and whole. So check that relationship and take back your power. See your own inner wisdom as an equal. You can enjoy having support and guidance AND appreciate and honor your inner wisdom. This does means you “need” to do it alone. Rather, it is essential that we know and trust that we have the capacity to know what we are meant to do, and that we own the progress we make as our own. That's actually what ziji is all about! A radiant inner confidence in our capacity to grow, heal, love, flourish… to do ALL the things. This innate wisdom of ours is most easily seen when we stop resisting life as it is and start to accept that we are exactly where we are supposed to be right here and right now. Then we can more authentically discern what is right for us. So how can we start cultivating this inner healer that we all have? I go into more detail about this in the episode, but we can start by learning how to listen to it and how it shows up for us. We can look back on times we listened and times we didn't listen and reflect on what happened.Remember, you are the medicine. You are your own guru. In this Episode you will learn:// What a “Rebel Buddhist” actually is (IMO)// Why it is so hard for us to trust ourselves// Why it is dangerous to not trust your inner wisdom// How to find a good mentor/teacher/guide// What our inner wisdom is and how to access it// How to use your ziji to guide you in big life decisions Resources:// Check out my blog post on How to Choose a Life Coach// If you're new to the squad, grab the starter kit I created at RebelBuddhist.com. It has all you need to start creating a life of more freedom, adventure, and purpose. You'll get access to the private Facebook group where you can ask me questions! Once you join, there's also a weekly FB live called Wake the F*ck Up Wednesday, where you can ask questions that come up as you do this work – in all parts of your life. // If you're interested in finding out more about how to free your mind and free your life, join Freedom School. Enrollment is open, and we are diving DEEP into ways to cultivate clarity and courage so you can create your best life. There are also some sweet bonus courses for you there. It will set you up to live the best version of you in the year to come. Learn more at JoinFreedomSchool.com.
Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen details company's misleading efforts on 60 Minutes. Mark Zuckerberg - I wanted to share a note I wrote to... How AT&T helped build far-right One America News. Thompson: Facebook's political problems. Google announces October 19 event to fully launch the Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro. Pixel 6 price and release date accidentally revealed by German retailer. Android 12 releases today, but the update for Pixel phones comes later. Pixel Watch and Pixel Tab tipped to arrive on October 19 alongside the Pixel 6, Pixel 6 Pro and Pixel Fold. Decentralized Mirror is open for business. The Token Race. Google's Coral AI Toolkit. Ofcom sets out rules for TikTok, Snap and OnlyFans. The entirety of Twitch has reportedly been leaked. Who Is the Bad Art Friend? Google confirms $1B investment into Africa, including subsea cable for faster internet. Sustainable with Google 2021: Nest Renew, traffic light efficiency, and more. Google is updating Maps, Search and other products to help consumers save energy and reduce emissions. Google's AI unit DeepMind makes its first-ever profit. Google turning on 2-step verification (2SV) for 150 million more accounts by the end of 2021. YouTube Looks to Hire Its First Executive Focused on Podcasts. Android 11 October security patch rolling out to Google Pixel, factory images & OTAs live. Google abandons plans to offer bank accounts to users. Google Nest Cam Floodlight and new $99 indoor camera are available starting today. YouTube TV will keep all NBC channels with no change to monthly fee. Google Search no longer supports Internet Explorer 11, because 'it is time'. Picks: Stacey - Twinkly RGBW Christmas lights Jeff - Black Media Report Ant - Blapp app Ant - Adobe Max is Free Ant - Lol at Adobe and the Cameo Ant - Meet Ant in New Orleans Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, Stacey Higginbotham, and Ant Pruitt Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-google. Get episodes ad-free with Club TWiT at https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: ourcrowd.com/twig udacity.com/TWiT offer code TWIT75 twit.cachefly.com
Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen details company's misleading efforts on 60 Minutes. Mark Zuckerberg - I wanted to share a note I wrote to... How AT&T helped build far-right One America News. Thompson: Facebook's political problems. Google announces October 19 event to fully launch the Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro. Pixel 6 price and release date accidentally revealed by German retailer. Android 12 releases today, but the update for Pixel phones comes later. Pixel Watch and Pixel Tab tipped to arrive on October 19 alongside the Pixel 6, Pixel 6 Pro and Pixel Fold. Decentralized Mirror is open for business. The Token Race. Google's Coral AI Toolkit. Ofcom sets out rules for TikTok, Snap and OnlyFans. The entirety of Twitch has reportedly been leaked. Who Is the Bad Art Friend? Google confirms $1B investment into Africa, including subsea cable for faster internet. Sustainable with Google 2021: Nest Renew, traffic light efficiency, and more. Google is updating Maps, Search and other products to help consumers save energy and reduce emissions. Google's AI unit DeepMind makes its first-ever profit. Google turning on 2-step verification (2SV) for 150 million more accounts by the end of 2021. YouTube Looks to Hire Its First Executive Focused on Podcasts. Android 11 October security patch rolling out to Google Pixel, factory images & OTAs live. Google abandons plans to offer bank accounts to users. Google Nest Cam Floodlight and new $99 indoor camera are available starting today. YouTube TV will keep all NBC channels with no change to monthly fee. Google Search no longer supports Internet Explorer 11, because 'it is time'. Picks: Stacey - Twinkly RGBW Christmas lights Jeff - Black Media Report Ant - Blapp app Ant - Adobe Max is Free Ant - Lol at Adobe and the Cameo Ant - Meet Ant in New Orleans Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, Stacey Higginbotham, and Ant Pruitt Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-google. Get episodes ad-free with Club TWiT at https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: ourcrowd.com/twig udacity.com/TWiT offer code TWIT75 twit.cachefly.com
Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen details company's misleading efforts on 60 Minutes. Mark Zuckerberg - I wanted to share a note I wrote to... How AT&T helped build far-right One America News. Thompson: Facebook's political problems. Google announces October 19 event to fully launch the Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro. Pixel 6 price and release date accidentally revealed by German retailer. Android 12 releases today, but the update for Pixel phones comes later. Pixel Watch and Pixel Tab tipped to arrive on October 19 alongside the Pixel 6, Pixel 6 Pro and Pixel Fold. Decentralized Mirror is open for business. The Token Race. Google's Coral AI Toolkit. Ofcom sets out rules for TikTok, Snap and OnlyFans. The entirety of Twitch has reportedly been leaked. Who Is the Bad Art Friend? Google confirms $1B investment into Africa, including subsea cable for faster internet. Sustainable with Google 2021: Nest Renew, traffic light efficiency, and more. Google is updating Maps, Search and other products to help consumers save energy and reduce emissions. Google's AI unit DeepMind makes its first-ever profit. Google turning on 2-step verification (2SV) for 150 million more accounts by the end of 2021. YouTube Looks to Hire Its First Executive Focused on Podcasts. Android 11 October security patch rolling out to Google Pixel, factory images & OTAs live. Google abandons plans to offer bank accounts to users. Google Nest Cam Floodlight and new $99 indoor camera are available starting today. YouTube TV will keep all NBC channels with no change to monthly fee. Google Search no longer supports Internet Explorer 11, because 'it is time'. Picks: Stacey - Twinkly RGBW Christmas lights Jeff - Black Media Report Ant - Blapp app Ant - Adobe Max is Free Ant - Lol at Adobe and the Cameo Ant - Meet Ant in New Orleans Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, Stacey Higginbotham, and Ant Pruitt Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-google. Get episodes ad-free with Club TWiT at https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: ourcrowd.com/twig udacity.com/TWiT offer code TWIT75 twit.cachefly.com
Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen details company's misleading efforts on 60 Minutes. Mark Zuckerberg - I wanted to share a note I wrote to... How AT&T helped build far-right One America News. Thompson: Facebook's political problems. Google announces October 19 event to fully launch the Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro. Pixel 6 price and release date accidentally revealed by German retailer. Android 12 releases today, but the update for Pixel phones comes later. Pixel Watch and Pixel Tab tipped to arrive on October 19 alongside the Pixel 6, Pixel 6 Pro and Pixel Fold. Decentralized Mirror is open for business. The Token Race. Google's Coral AI Toolkit. Ofcom sets out rules for TikTok, Snap and OnlyFans. The entirety of Twitch has reportedly been leaked. Who Is the Bad Art Friend? Google confirms $1B investment into Africa, including subsea cable for faster internet. Sustainable with Google 2021: Nest Renew, traffic light efficiency, and more. Google is updating Maps, Search and other products to help consumers save energy and reduce emissions. Google's AI unit DeepMind makes its first-ever profit. Google turning on 2-step verification (2SV) for 150 million more accounts by the end of 2021. YouTube Looks to Hire Its First Executive Focused on Podcasts. Android 11 October security patch rolling out to Google Pixel, factory images & OTAs live. Google abandons plans to offer bank accounts to users. Google Nest Cam Floodlight and new $99 indoor camera are available starting today. YouTube TV will keep all NBC channels with no change to monthly fee. Google Search no longer supports Internet Explorer 11, because 'it is time'. Picks: Stacey - Twinkly RGBW Christmas lights Jeff - Black Media Report Ant - Blapp app Ant - Adobe Max is Free Ant - Lol at Adobe and the Cameo Ant - Meet Ant in New Orleans Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, Stacey Higginbotham, and Ant Pruitt Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-google. Get episodes ad-free with Club TWiT at https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: ourcrowd.com/twig udacity.com/TWiT offer code TWIT75 twit.cachefly.com
Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen details company's misleading efforts on 60 Minutes. Mark Zuckerberg - I wanted to share a note I wrote to... How AT&T helped build far-right One America News. Thompson: Facebook's political problems. Google announces October 19 event to fully launch the Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro. Pixel 6 price and release date accidentally revealed by German retailer. Android 12 releases today, but the update for Pixel phones comes later. Pixel Watch and Pixel Tab tipped to arrive on October 19 alongside the Pixel 6, Pixel 6 Pro and Pixel Fold. Decentralized Mirror is open for business. The Token Race. Google's Coral AI Toolkit. Ofcom sets out rules for TikTok, Snap and OnlyFans. The entirety of Twitch has reportedly been leaked. Who Is the Bad Art Friend? Google confirms $1B investment into Africa, including subsea cable for faster internet. Sustainable with Google 2021: Nest Renew, traffic light efficiency, and more. Google is updating Maps, Search and other products to help consumers save energy and reduce emissions. Google's AI unit DeepMind makes its first-ever profit. Google turning on 2-step verification (2SV) for 150 million more accounts by the end of 2021. YouTube Looks to Hire Its First Executive Focused on Podcasts. Android 11 October security patch rolling out to Google Pixel, factory images & OTAs live. Google abandons plans to offer bank accounts to users. Google Nest Cam Floodlight and new $99 indoor camera are available starting today. YouTube TV will keep all NBC channels with no change to monthly fee. Google Search no longer supports Internet Explorer 11, because 'it is time'. Picks: Stacey - Twinkly RGBW Christmas lights Jeff - Black Media Report Ant - Blapp app Ant - Adobe Max is Free Ant - Lol at Adobe and the Cameo Ant - Meet Ant in New Orleans Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, Stacey Higginbotham, and Ant Pruitt Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-google. Get episodes ad-free with Club TWiT at https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: ourcrowd.com/twig udacity.com/TWiT offer code TWIT75 twit.cachefly.com
Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen details company's misleading efforts on 60 Minutes. Mark Zuckerberg - I wanted to share a note I wrote to... How AT&T helped build far-right One America News. Thompson: Facebook's political problems. Google announces October 19 event to fully launch the Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro. Pixel 6 price and release date accidentally revealed by German retailer. Android 12 releases today, but the update for Pixel phones comes later. Pixel Watch and Pixel Tab tipped to arrive on October 19 alongside the Pixel 6, Pixel 6 Pro and Pixel Fold. Decentralized Mirror is open for business. The Token Race. Google's Coral AI Toolkit. Ofcom sets out rules for TikTok, Snap and OnlyFans. The entirety of Twitch has reportedly been leaked. Who Is the Bad Art Friend? Google confirms $1B investment into Africa, including subsea cable for faster internet. Sustainable with Google 2021: Nest Renew, traffic light efficiency, and more. Google is updating Maps, Search and other products to help consumers save energy and reduce emissions. Google's AI unit DeepMind makes its first-ever profit. Google turning on 2-step verification (2SV) for 150 million more accounts by the end of 2021. YouTube Looks to Hire Its First Executive Focused on Podcasts. Android 11 October security patch rolling out to Google Pixel, factory images & OTAs live. Google abandons plans to offer bank accounts to users. Google Nest Cam Floodlight and new $99 indoor camera are available starting today. YouTube TV will keep all NBC channels with no change to monthly fee. Google Search no longer supports Internet Explorer 11, because 'it is time'. Picks: Stacey - Twinkly RGBW Christmas lights Jeff - Black Media Report Ant - Blapp app Ant - Adobe Max is Free Ant - Lol at Adobe and the Cameo Ant - Meet Ant in New Orleans Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, Stacey Higginbotham, and Ant Pruitt Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-google. Get episodes ad-free with Club TWiT at https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: ourcrowd.com/twig udacity.com/TWiT offer code TWIT75 twit.cachefly.com
Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen details company's misleading efforts on 60 Minutes. Mark Zuckerberg - I wanted to share a note I wrote to... How AT&T helped build far-right One America News. Thompson: Facebook's political problems. Google announces October 19 event to fully launch the Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro. Pixel 6 price and release date accidentally revealed by German retailer. Android 12 releases today, but the update for Pixel phones comes later. Pixel Watch and Pixel Tab tipped to arrive on October 19 alongside the Pixel 6, Pixel 6 Pro and Pixel Fold. Decentralized Mirror is open for business. The Token Race. Google's Coral AI Toolkit. Ofcom sets out rules for TikTok, Snap and OnlyFans. The entirety of Twitch has reportedly been leaked. Who Is the Bad Art Friend? Google confirms $1B investment into Africa, including subsea cable for faster internet. Sustainable with Google 2021: Nest Renew, traffic light efficiency, and more. Google is updating Maps, Search and other products to help consumers save energy and reduce emissions. Google's AI unit DeepMind makes its first-ever profit. Google turning on 2-step verification (2SV) for 150 million more accounts by the end of 2021. YouTube Looks to Hire Its First Executive Focused on Podcasts. Android 11 October security patch rolling out to Google Pixel, factory images & OTAs live. Google abandons plans to offer bank accounts to users. Google Nest Cam Floodlight and new $99 indoor camera are available starting today. YouTube TV will keep all NBC channels with no change to monthly fee. Google Search no longer supports Internet Explorer 11, because 'it is time'. Picks: Stacey - Twinkly RGBW Christmas lights Jeff - Black Media Report Ant - Blapp app Ant - Adobe Max is Free Ant - Lol at Adobe and the Cameo Ant - Meet Ant in New Orleans Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, Stacey Higginbotham, and Ant Pruitt Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-google. Get episodes ad-free with Club TWiT at https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: ourcrowd.com/twig udacity.com/TWiT offer code TWIT75 twit.cachefly.com
Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen details company's misleading efforts on 60 Minutes. Mark Zuckerberg - I wanted to share a note I wrote to... How AT&T helped build far-right One America News. Thompson: Facebook's political problems. Google announces October 19 event to fully launch the Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro. Pixel 6 price and release date accidentally revealed by German retailer. Android 12 releases today, but the update for Pixel phones comes later. Pixel Watch and Pixel Tab tipped to arrive on October 19 alongside the Pixel 6, Pixel 6 Pro and Pixel Fold. Decentralized Mirror is open for business. The Token Race. Google's Coral AI Toolkit. Ofcom sets out rules for TikTok, Snap and OnlyFans. The entirety of Twitch has reportedly been leaked. Who Is the Bad Art Friend? Google confirms $1B investment into Africa, including subsea cable for faster internet. Sustainable with Google 2021: Nest Renew, traffic light efficiency, and more. Google is updating Maps, Search and other products to help consumers save energy and reduce emissions. Google's AI unit DeepMind makes its first-ever profit. Google turning on 2-step verification (2SV) for 150 million more accounts by the end of 2021. YouTube Looks to Hire Its First Executive Focused on Podcasts. Android 11 October security patch rolling out to Google Pixel, factory images & OTAs live. Google abandons plans to offer bank accounts to users. Google Nest Cam Floodlight and new $99 indoor camera are available starting today. YouTube TV will keep all NBC channels with no change to monthly fee. Google Search no longer supports Internet Explorer 11, because 'it is time'. Picks: Stacey - Twinkly RGBW Christmas lights Jeff - Black Media Report Ant - Blapp app Ant - Adobe Max is Free Ant - Lol at Adobe and the Cameo Ant - Meet Ant in New Orleans Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, Stacey Higginbotham, and Ant Pruitt Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-google. Get episodes ad-free with Club TWiT at https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: ourcrowd.com/twig udacity.com/TWiT offer code TWIT75 twit.cachefly.com
Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen details company's misleading efforts on 60 Minutes. Mark Zuckerberg - I wanted to share a note I wrote to... How AT&T helped build far-right One America News. Thompson: Facebook's political problems. Google announces October 19 event to fully launch the Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro. Pixel 6 price and release date accidentally revealed by German retailer. Android 12 releases today, but the update for Pixel phones comes later. Pixel Watch and Pixel Tab tipped to arrive on October 19 alongside the Pixel 6, Pixel 6 Pro and Pixel Fold. Decentralized Mirror is open for business. The Token Race. Google's Coral AI Toolkit. Ofcom sets out rules for TikTok, Snap and OnlyFans. The entirety of Twitch has reportedly been leaked. Who Is the Bad Art Friend? Google confirms $1B investment into Africa, including subsea cable for faster internet. Sustainable with Google 2021: Nest Renew, traffic light efficiency, and more. Google is updating Maps, Search and other products to help consumers save energy and reduce emissions. Google's AI unit DeepMind makes its first-ever profit. Google turning on 2-step verification (2SV) for 150 million more accounts by the end of 2021. YouTube Looks to Hire Its First Executive Focused on Podcasts. Android 11 October security patch rolling out to Google Pixel, factory images & OTAs live. Google abandons plans to offer bank accounts to users. Google Nest Cam Floodlight and new $99 indoor camera are available starting today. YouTube TV will keep all NBC channels with no change to monthly fee. Google Search no longer supports Internet Explorer 11, because 'it is time'. Picks: Stacey - Twinkly RGBW Christmas lights Jeff - Black Media Report Ant - Blapp app Ant - Adobe Max is Free Ant - Lol at Adobe and the Cameo Ant - Meet Ant in New Orleans Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, Stacey Higginbotham, and Ant Pruitt Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-google. Get episodes ad-free with Club TWiT at https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: ourcrowd.com/twig udacity.com/TWiT offer code TWIT75 twit.cachefly.com
Put your finger on a map and you'll find the information is… actually up to interpretation. New York Times editorial board member Greg Bensinger joins host Krys Boyd to discuss the gaps between what maps represent and real-life knowledge, and why this information can be used to push specific agendas. His opinion piece is called “The Maps That Steer Us Wrong.”
Today's podcast is a conversation about Attachment Theory with Dr Sarah Ashton. This chat may help you to identify why you are, the way you are in romantic relationships and why your partner is the way they are!
Google added options to Search, Maps, Travel, and Nest Thermostats. Twitch confirms a data breach with the site’s entire source code, commit history, an unreleased competitor for Steam from Amazon Game Studios and details of creator payouts being accessed. And Restofworld.org has a story about the effect India’s banning of TikTok in June 2020 has had on creators. Starring Tom Merritt, Sarah Lane, Scott Johnson, Roger Chang, Joe, Amos MP3 Download Using a Screen Reader? Click here Multiple versions (ogg, video etc.) from Archive.org Follow us on Twitter Instgram YouTube and Twitch Please SUBSCRIBE HERE. Subscribe through Apple Podcasts. A special thanks to all our supporters–without you, none of this would be possible. If you are willing to support the show or to give as little as 10 cents a day on Patreon, Thank you! Become a Patron! Big thanks to Dan Lueders for the headlines music and Martin Bell for the opening theme! Big thanks to Mustafa A. from thepolarcat.com for the logo! Thanks to our mods Jack_Shid and KAPT_Kipper on the subreddit Send to email to feedback@dailytechnewsshow.com Show Notes To read the show notes in a separate page click here!
Google added options to Search, Maps, Travel, and Nest Thermostats. Twitch confirms a data breach with the site's entire source code, commit history, an unreleased competitor for Steam from Amazon Game Studios and details of creator payouts being accessed. And Restofworld.org has a story about the effect India's banning of TikTok in June 2020 has had on creators.Starring Tom Merritt, Sarah Lane, Scott Johnson, Roger Chang, Joe.Link to the Show Notes. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Do you like sweet American Coffee, can you not pronounce words correctly, hate puking, and are a fan of Danny Brown? Then this is the episode for you! Welcome back to Your Last Resort Podcast w/ your host Comedian Brandon Legendre. This week Brandon is joined by himself, it's a quick solo episode. Make sure to rate, review, & subscribe. Most importantly thank you for letting us be your last resort! Visual: https://youtu.be/wOgWReXCCMc Brandon's Social: https://linktr.ee/brandonlegendre_ https://www.instagram.com/brandonlegendre_/ Dom's Social: https://www.instagram.com/extendedmidget/
Updates to its Maps, Search and Shopping services are pushing consumers to make more sustainable choices. Story: https://cnet.co/3uKyyu0 Text us: https://cnet.co/dailycharge Leave a voicemail: 862-250-8573 Follow us: twitter.com/thedailycharge Homepage: cnet.com/daily-charge Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On Wednesday's Houston Matters: Two area members of Congress have weighed in on draft district maps in the state's redistricting process. It's safe to say they're not happy. News 88.7's Andrew Schneider explains. Also this hour: We discuss the latest news in our weekly political roundup with University of Houston political scientists Jeronimo Cortina and Brandon Rottinghaus, co-hosts of Houston Public Media's Party Politics program. New episodes debut this week and can be heard Fridays at 10:30 p.m. on News 88.7. Then, we talk with Dr. Laura Murillo, the president and CEO of the Houston Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, about her new book called Lead in Life, People. Passion. Persistence: Succeed in the New Era of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion. And singer/songwriter Thomas Csorba performs in studio.
Dr. Joe Tafur works earnestly to bridge the worlds of modern science and traditional healing. Like none other, he has one foot rooted in each world; the shamanic realm and the Western medical model. In our hopeful podcast, Joe illuminates the role of Spiritual healing in healthcare and what might be possible with these powerful misunderstood medicines. **This podcast is for informational purposes only. None of this medical advice.** Dr. Joe Tafur Show Notes: We Discuss; -Our collective soul-sickness [5:00] -Economic pressures and precarious challenges facing our country [14:45] -Serving others for the sake of love and meaning [17:10] -It is Worth The Fight! [19:10] -Joe's inspiration of his book “The Fellowship of the River” [20:30] -The role of Spiritual healing in healthcare [26:30] -What is possible? Mind/Body/Spirit research [34:00] -Epigenetics and trauma [37:10] -Modern Spirit and MAPS submitting date for publication [38:50] -MAPS.org goal to help people find their inner healer [42:10] -Dr. Joe Tafur's viewpoint of Psychedelic Integration [44:44] -October 20th — The River Course: Online course designed around the book [53:30] The Fellowship of the River - purchase Dr. Joe Tafur's game-changer book HERE Modern Spirit: https://www.modernspirit.org The River Course: https://www.drjoetafur.com/the-river-course https://www.drjoetafur.com/about IG: https://www.instagram.com/joe_tafur/
EP277- Holiday 2021 Preview Holiday 2021 will be one of the most uncertain holiday events in modern retail history. Major disruptions to the supply chain, the last mille, and to consumer behavior as a result of covid, will make this year extremely hard to predict and manage for brands and retailers. Will shipageddon 2.0 play out again this year? Will the supply chain become the supply pain? With Amazon and Target starting holiday deals early in October, and consumer still looking for scarce inventory late into January or even February, Holiday 2021 is likely to be 5 months long. In this episode we break down all the potential issues, and make some prediction about how it might all play out. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, Chief Commerce Strategy Officer at Publicis, and Scot Wingo, CEO of GetSpiffy and Co-Founder of ChannelAdvisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Episode 277 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Sunday October 3rd, 2021. Transcript Jason: [0:24] Welcome to the Jason and Scot show this is episode 277 being recorded on Sunday October third 2021 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-host Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:40] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason and Scot show listeners, Jason this is a really good time for listeners to pause because we're going to do a deep dive here so that means it can be a little bit of a longer episode. And leave us that five-star review this episode is going to be so good you can go ahead and pre leave us the five star review so we'll wait for second for you to come back. All right thanks for doing that that really helps us out as we get the word out about the show, Jason last year at and I went back and had a one of our many interns look at this and it was exactly this time last year I think was actually October 2nd recording this in October 3rd so it's a pretty darn close. We coined and we were doing our annual holiday preview and we both coined and predicted ship again and that is where we saw pretty early on I think before a lot of the rest of the folks in the industry that there was going to be both a surge in digital adoption due to covid plus the normal holiday increase from e-commerce and that that was going to more than absorb all of the available last-mile demand and that's the why we coined ship again and it happened and it was bad but we all survived and made it through and hopefully the folks listening to this show got in front of that both on their business and personal side. [1:58] Well this year we want to use this episode and do a deep dive into what that's going to look like this year and it's a more complex situation last year was pretty easy to lie to read those tea leaves because you know we were already pretty close to capacity before covid and it was kind of pretty easy prediction to say that we're going to far exceed the ability to deliver the packages. This year we have a lot to unpack for you spoiler alert it's going to be worse than last year much worse because not only is it that last little piece of the whole digital retail chain of events The Last Mile that's going to be a problem but it's all the other pieces leading into it that are going to be a problem something we call the supply chain but this year we are going to call it the supply pain so we're going to peel the onion on this and first we're going to look at the economic setup heading into holiday 21 then we're going to look at the global state of supply chain then we're going to look at some of the holiday trims that are kind of factors we think that are going to tie into this last some of the pontificate errs are out with their forecasts and we're going to go through those and kind of see what we think about those. Jason want it could suck kick it off with the economic setup coming into holiday 21. Jason: [3:15] Yeah awesome Scott so first of all let me start by saying on the macroeconomic picture most of the professional analysts that look at this. Are pretty uniform in feeling like the consumer is generally in a good place that the economy is in a pretty good place and they are all very bullish on the consumers ability to spend this holiday. And I say that because my own personal feeling is that there's a little more uncertainty cooked in there there certainly are some encouraging favorable things. And there's a few worrisome things and I think. What's going to become the theme for all of these sections we talked about today is there's a significant amount of uncertainty there's a lot of things that could swing either way and have a dramatic impact on holiday so. It is what it is but. Sort of giving you how I look at the macroeconomic situation the first thing we'll talk about is inflation and there's a bunch of ways to look at inflation but a simple one is there's this thing called the Consumer Price Index which kind of. Factors in how much of each good consumers purchase and how much prices are raising for that, and the the CPI is it about 5.25% right now so that's pretty significant we more expensive Goods that consumers are having to pay. And ordinarily that inflation can be problematic for the economy a couple of things to know though. [4:43] If you kind of look at the shape of that CPI it actually is going down a little bit from a peak in July and so possible we've seen the. Peak of inflation and it's starting to come back down. Inflation is a mixed bag for retailers and holiday because they get more money for everything they sell they tend to sell less stuff but make more on each in certain circumstances it can be more profitable. Um but you know the goods are costing more we've got this 5.25 percent inflation. We also though have a pretty significant increase in wages so people are getting paid more for their work, particularly low-income people, are getting paid more for work retailers and warehouses and all kinds of companies are having to raise their wages to compete for the for this labor force that's been hard to find right now and so, wages are going up and in general the analysts would call those two things Awash that that consumers. Are getting bigger paychecks and they're having to spend more on their necessities and that at the moment that's about Break Even so two interesting things to know. [5:52] A kind of predictor of future spending is this this huge survey that University of Michigan does every month the consumer confidence index. And when when we were kind of in the peak of recovery from the first wave of covid-19, that index was a leading indicator that said consumers were starting to feel good about the economy and it hit like it's this index it over a hundred today it's sitting at 71, which is the lowest point since January of 2019 it's not, like a historic low or anything like that that you know you go like oh it's way below normal, but it does appear that consumers are in general feeling less good about the economy than they were, um you know just a month or two ago now there's a bunch of political news out right now and there was fear of government shutdown that we've already averted and those kinds of things have a big impact on the consumer index oh. [6:49] Um I that consumer index doesn't have a perfect correlation with spending so I don't spend too much time thinking about it but just to know, that's a number that had been favorable and is kind of shrinking down. A big one we talk about is unemployment because people don't have jobs it's hard for them to spend on Goods obviously at the beginning of the pandemic we had a huge spike in unemployment, unemployment is actually pretty good right now we're at five point two percent. The kind of pre-pandemic average was about four so we're not all the way back to pre-pandemic average but that pre-pandemic. [7:22] Point was a historic low so historically 5.2 percent is pretty decent for unemployment. Um so like most most analysts would say that's a favorable indicator the two things to know there is, that's based on the people that are seeking jobs and not getting it there actually is a ton of people that kind of took themselves out of the workforce we. Fully understand where all those people went but a big chunk of those people were second incomes for household so like a lot of women. That like maybe don't have as good a help childcare as they had before or more school challenges or things and so they haven't gone back to the workforce and many of them are seeking work so they don't show up in the unemployment number so. Just be aware like household incomes are somewhat stressed because of that factor and then as we've talked about before on this show like as of July. People that make over $60,000 a year the unemployment is actually ten percent better than it was before the pandemic so they're doing great. And the low-income people that are making less than $30,000 a year their unemployment is still 21 percent lower than it was. The beginning of the pandemic so so a little bit of a bifurcated recovery on the jobs thing. [8:38] One of the reasons that we historically have that we had high unemployment was because there's all these rich benefits this enhanced unemployment benefits that people got that all expired last week. So if people were staying at home because they could make more and unemployment that that justification probably ended. The bad news is that ended in 26 States over two months ago and in general the data shows that people did not rush back to work when it ended. So there's not necessarily a reason to think a ton more people are going to rush back to work now that that it's ended everywhere but we'll have to see. Um the other macroeconomic things all these natural disasters are negative to the economy so you know when hurricane Ida takes a hundred billion dollars out of the economy that's a bummer. Um [9:25] Another hugely favorable one in the one that most of us are hanging our hats on that are looking for a good holiday is the savings rate and this is the most unprecedented recession of all times. Unemployment you know went way up at the peak of the pandemic but so did savings which has never happened before, and part of that was because we had all this stimulus money we were pouring into the economy but the savings rate normally hovers around 8% it shot up to 32 percent during the peak of the pandemic, it's way off of that Peak it's a nine point six which is still a little higher than it was before the pandemic and that. All that extra money that a lot of household socked away because they got the stimulus and they spent less during the the peak of the pandemic. [10:18] Arguably puts consumers in a good place to spend for this holiday the counter-argument would be all that stimulus. Is mostly over there still are you know very lumpy employment situation and a lot of that savings has dwindled, um so we'll see how it goes, um but then the last fact I'm going to throw up before I go at Scott get a word in edgewise is that the stock market has done phenomenally right and, we're way up from the pre-pandemic level and so the investor class and people that have you know as a meaningful portion of their wealth. Tied to the market. Did terrific right and so if there is economic uncertainty and instability in this economy it's bifurcated and it's the lower-income people that like do not have equity in the stock market. Um there were her but roll all that up and the the professional analysts feel like. Macroeconomic situation all to all in is pretty good and of course when rich people do well that help certain sectors of the economy quite a bit right and at the moment luxury and jewelry are doing phenomenally well for example so. That's kind of my snapshot of the macroeconomy Scott anything you'd violently disagree with or anything you pay particular attention to. Scot: [11:45] I think I think that's right I think you know there's a lot of folks that feel the inflation the CPI isn't the right inflation number it's kind of this old metric. This basket of goods and doesn't capture a lot of things you know there's, I follow a lot of the crypto people and, so there's been a huge wealth creation through crypto and that whole world which is kind of interesting and then you know there's there's a feeling that the FED has pumped so much cash into the system that is just sloshing around and kind of crazy ways which is why you saw that savings rate kind of go up as high as it did and you know they're they're talk track goes that that's why we're not seeing as much employment where folks have taken so those free free dollars and and you know. Done something with it so that they don't need a job now or they're going to be less likely to enter the workforce but I think at all. Yeah I would say I agree with the analysts on that it's going to be a pretty good holiday. [12:51] But I think the problem we'll get into that as I just don't think there's going to be a thing to buy so I don't not sure if it matters. Jason: [12:56] So step one American families probably have some money to spend okay so now as we've already alluded to the next challenges what is the supply chain look like and what could they spend it on and Scott what's your kind of read there. Scot: [13:13] Yes Supply chains from those things we always talk about but then you know in in your mind you have this kind of linkage these things linked together I remember as a kid when you would cut out the little construction paper strips and make the little chain to go around. The holiday tree there II reminds me of that and we kind of vaguely talk about it as this big, big thing and we want to really unpack it on this episode so as a summary you know there's when you make a product let's say it's one time in a million familiar with right now is a vehicle that which is one of the more complex products or even a. You're relatively simple product like an electronic toy or an apparel item or almost anything it's going to have first of all it. It's going to have component parts right so there's going to be some form of pieces that go into that I kind of mentally think of them as the Lego blocks that make up that item so if it's a cool trendy trench coat there's going to be obviously fabric buttons may be a variety of fabrics and things like that so there's generally it's hard to make any product without there being at least 10 inputs and then many times, thousands if not tens or hundreds of thousands as you get into like iPhones and vehicles and stuff like that. [14:33] So that's important to remember is each one of those component parts has a supply chain right and you can't make a widget until its component pieces are all there so what happens is we're seeing this really interesting and it's hard to know the root cause or theirs some of the economic stuff you talked about is part of it we're we're just having labor shortages that cause things but then you know we'll talk about some of this there's we import a lot of our goods from China and they're having all kinds of issues of their own there's covid related things non-covered related things but generally let's think about the supply chain and kind of the broad sense of you have typically the bulk of goods are made offshore some of them are are made on Shore but let's kind of assume in this example A lot of these products are coming from offshore or at least income the many of the components maybe there's some assembly in the US but at least the the components for a any widget are made offshore so that's number one so that has to be made in a factory somewhere and then shipped here so there's the port of origin so it leaves a port in a foreign land and then needs to come on its way to the United States for a consumer to buy it. That Journey can go a variety of different ways will to it can go by boat or air, the standard way that products are moved is through containers so you by everyone seemed these containers there's all these cool. [15:57] We just opened up here a restaurant container Village kind of a thing so you have those containers their specialized boats that carry these and and or you can put them on airplanes. So then they get on a boat let's say the bulk of products do go by boat there is some by are then they have to go over the sea and then they get to a destination port so there's you know there's two ports involved with every product that comes across in a container then it has to be unloaded from that boat you've probably seen these giant cranes somewhere. [16:29] Fun Star Wars fact those are the that's where George Lucas got the idea for at-ats he saw some of the cranes and one of the ports on the west coast and thought of what if you had a giant walking robots that look like that so those have to be unloaded and then typically you're going to put them on either so then when they get to the United States in one of the ports they're going to be offloaded onto either a truck and then part of the truck that's really critical in this is called a chassis so if you've ever seen you've probably driven by a million of these container trucks but if you take the container off that's the chassis part as you've got the front part of the truck, then you've got the chassis which holds the container and then the container sits squarely on there it's pretty clever if you think about how it's all been designed or that same container can be put over on rail so there are specialized railroad cars for carrying containers and then and then the product goes on its way then it makes it to a warehouse and then it goes to from that fulfillment center it gets distributed many times do a couple maybe from a big kind of inbound fulfillment center to some regionals to some locals and maybe even one step closer to kind of hyper local and then it gets into the last mile delivery part of the world so it gets onto the virtual shelves and then is sold and goes into that last month so [17:52] There's there's a lot that has to happen right in there and we're going to go through some of the things that are not working right now and you know like any any chain any. There's at least common denominator problem so all that can work great and if you don't have Last Mile Vehicles then you've got a problem or, the factories aren't making things fast enough then the whole chain is compressed and you've got this other set of problems and you know where we are now is almost every single part of that chain I just walked through is is kind of you know sport or in a bad situation right now and we'll take you through some examples. Jason let's start with factories what's going on there. Jason: [18:34] Yeah well a couple challenges with factories so obviously the we have the most factories in China and the good news with China is. Covid is mostly under control they definitely have had a. A spike from from Delta they almost had had down a zero before Delta. [18:55] Because of their their concerns about the the virus they have China has what's called the zero covid policy and what that means is. If they have a single case of covid they will they will shut down an entire business or. Even a sector of business so while there's not huge outbreaks of covid and factories right now. There have been a bunch of examples where only a few cases of covid showed up and that caused a factory to be closed for two weeks so there there have been some disruptions with the Chinese factories. But the bigger problem has been that it, from before and in the very beginning of covid a lot of manufacturing got Diversified and moved out of China right and so the second biggest manufacturer of apparel behind China right now is Vietnam. Vietnam has had a lot of trouble with Delta and about a third of the factories in Vietnam are shut down right now so a lot of the factories that make goods are not making as many Goods either because. [19:56] They don't have very good access to vaccines and they're having covid problems or they have really rigid government policies like China. And then forecasting a future problem that's a huge Debbie Downer, is China is actually experiencing a real energy crisis right now and China always has to kind of, ration electricity and they give quotas at the beginning of every year to these factories and factories often have to shut down because they exceed their quotas. Well this year like they have less. [20:31] Energy capacity in China for a variety of reasons in the cost of coal has gone way up. Um there's there's fixed pricing for for energy in China and said the producers can't charge you more even though the cold cost more and so they have less incentive to make it which means there's less energy and so there's a lot of fear that there's going to be a ton more slowdowns of Chinese factories because of this looming energy crisis so all of those things. Our kind of conspiring to make like the amount of product available from the factories like. Significantly inconsistent and hard to. Scot: [21:12] And then say the call thing and because I have read a couple articles on this and I haven't under Center so they're in an attempt to be green they've lowered the price of coal so cold manufacturers have stopped making goals that. Jason: [21:26] So I think that's what the the green thing has a significant impact here but the the communist country they set the the. It's a. [21:37] The energy industry is a tightly regulated industry and so the prices are fixed so that so the government decides the beginning of the year what the price of electricity is going to be. [21:47] So then these factories are only allowed to charge that price or plus or minus 10% of that price, and coal is four hundred percent more expensive so a lot of factories don't want a lot of power plants don't want to make energy electricity from coal right now because they can't do it profitably, they don't have permission from the government to charge for hundred percent for their electricity but they're having to pay 400 percent for their coal so. There is less production because of that it is also absolutely true that China has some, zero emissions by wants a 2060 things and they have concrete milestones in place every year and so even before cover that constrain how much electricity they were going to be able to make this year with current production means. And it meant that factories had a quota, um and and often that means Factories do periodically shut down when they use up their quota factories are rushing to get more efficient so they're all its, it's like everything it creates all these Downstream effects whatever equipment you use to make your stuff there's probably a more energy efficient version of that equipment that you now want to buy. But it's hard to get your hands on so all the factories are competing for the more energy-efficient versions of all this this materials, but the it's likely that more factories are going to be shut down for longer this year than ever before because of energy shortages. Scot: [23:14] And I saw an interesting graphic I forget I think is there Bloomberg or Wall Street Journal where the government then said well if you're going to shut down energy they created these zones and they put like a lot of that Apple manufacturing plants in The Greener zones that we get more power but then they neglected a lot of the input parts so. But the factories that can make the iPhone 13 or operating but they're sitting there idle because the the red zones that aren't getting a lot of power or only able to run like half a shift are. Jason: [23:44] Per your point like even if the Lego factories allowed to make Lego castles if they're not allowed to make red blocks. It's tough to make a lot of weight so castles so that that is yeah. It's a mess and then to give you an idea how cute it is normally they only shut down the the industrial areas there's so much constrained energy now that they're starting to shut down residential areas so people are. Are like having their power in their residences turned off as well. Scot: [24:14] Interesting and then I've been tracking ports here in the US very closely but what are you seeing at ports of origin in other countries. Jason: [24:24] Well this is one we're very publicly this zero covid policy that China has instituted has come into play. So that that all the biggest ports in the world are in China the third largest port in the world is divided into four terminals one of the four terminals was just shut down for two weeks because of a single. Positive test of covid and so that again to the extent that the factories are making stuff and they need to load up all those containers, um if they have to stop loading for 2 weeks that that creates a real lumpiness in the in the supply chain and that is a particularly hard thing to predict right like if you're just saying like oh man of. Factory you know has a bunch of sick workers it's going to shut down you can kind of watch that and see it coming but what you can't see coming is, you know a very small number of cases having a very material impact on the supply chain like these these ports that are shutting down and so the. The those impacts are sort of outsized on the supply chain at the moment. Scot: [25:34] Yeah and then so so now we've got our products you know, if they can make it through this Gauntlet that we've already laid out they're going to get on a boat and they are going to go get packed into a container and there's a fun if you're a business you're trying to get as much of this product into a container as possible because it's pretty much all you can eat once you once you buy a container there's fractional containers whatnot and because of there's a shortage in containers and then the cost to send these containers has gone way up so right now as we record this the cost there's actually an index you can look at this so if you were will put a link to show notes but if you Google Freight Fredo's fre IG HT o s index there's an index that tracks this and we have hit a record of 20500 86 average dollars to send a container and that's twice what it was in July of this year and that was twice of what it was in January so we effectively you know in July it was about ten thousand dollars and in January as about five thousand dollars now another interesting Factor here is depending on how many units you put in a container you divide that that unit cost right so if you're putting I'll keep the math easy a thousand units in one of these containers which would be something relatively big you're going to you know you just added effectively another. Yeah. [26:57] Let's see I should have smelled your $15 to the product just in kind of Landing cost with this with this increase so whatever your cost is on a per unit it's gone up effectively 4X since January so that's a factor to consider. [27:15] And what I'm what I'm hearing from people on the ground is you'll go bid and you kind of get get in front of this number right now so you're actually out there bidding today 30,000 to get a container and then you think you'll have one and then they'll say oh you know we need to re-evaluate that because they can the shipping company I'm talking to is now saying is 33,000 so there's this like running auction to get. Space on these boats that are coming over because of some of the rest of the supply chain that will talk about so. [27:46] So how about are so that's that's what it looks like by boat what are you seeing on the air side. Jason: [27:51] Yeah and obviously the most cost-effective way to get all this stuff here is via boat so you'd prefer to do that but when the boats aren't available or if you you need stuff considerably faster like a, in Good Times it takes about about 40 days to move a container from China to the west coast of the US so. Some Goods do come via air and little known fact 50% of Air Freight that comes into the u.s. comes on the bottom of, passenger airplanes right so it's not it's not FedEx and UPS planes flying from China to the US cargo planes it's, it's the bottom of these passenger planes and guess what is not happening right now is. International so there's just way less flights and said there's way less capacity for this Air Freight and so both, because there's more demand for Air Freight because of all the problems with the ocean Freight and because there's less Supply that the air option has you know been dramatically diminished from where it would normally be. Scot: [28:56] Yep so then so then you decide okay well I've got to put on a boat you do that you wait your 40 days and then what you find out is your delayed for a very long time because the heart problem is the u.s. ports are all pretty much maxed out so we've kind of done this very big under-investing in our ports so one of our our biggest one is in Los Angeles at Long Beach and then we have Savannah New York New Jersey and then there's a lot of secondary and tertiary ports but those are the big ones and there's another index that Bloomberg, puts out which is effectively the number of boats that are anchored offshore and you know what you want to you never want to Anchor these things because effectively they're just sitting there all that product just sitting there you know. Doing nothing waiting and the reason the reason why they're sitting there is the ports are they can't unload the products fast enough. [29:55] There's a million reasons why we'll talk about that in a second but this just actually ticked up over there's over 40 boats, and this is interesting I've read a data point this has 74 Los Angeles and 40 I think there's 40 anchored in 30 actively kind of being done there's these Maps if you look at my Twitter feed I just tweeted one to just show you know the port and the congestion there's just all these boats just sitting there waiting to come on shore I have a friend that lives in LA and they can just as they drive around they can just see the boats out there just fact it's very unusual time frame. Jason: [30:30] One of the supply chain guys I work with suggested that we should start a new company Uber barge where we deliver like In and Out Burgers to all these boats that are stuck offshore. Scot: [30:39] Someone someone tried to actually get a helicopter to go out one to get their container often. You can't do that because if you've ever seen these things are stacked like 50 deeper someone is crazy you can't just say I really need that one right there so this this index just ticked over 70 for the first time ever since has been created which is just just crazy. [31:00] And so why is it taking so long to offload the boats well we have under invested in these things and then we have this discontinued problem with the supply chain. Number one there's not enough people to I think it's longshoreman there's a lot of these Union type jobs that you hear about that do this so there's a longshoreman or the ones that offload products for a long time due to covid they were only running like half the number of shifts that used to so they have actually spun that up, they're running more shifts but now there's a shortage of chassis and then because of that. [31:37] You know if you don't have chassis you can still off load the boat but now you have to put it into kind of medium term or short term storage and then all that is full so there's not enough chassis there's not enough truck drivers if there is chassis and then if there's not chassis all the storage is full and then, the one when a product comes off the boat at the Port it can either go by truck or rail the whole rail system is all jammed up as well the this is interesting I read this one article that. Near you in the Joliet train yard which is one of the biggest ones in middle of the country they're so jammed up they have over 8,000 containers stacked there waiting for more training capacity and then some some days the trains are backed up for 25 miles waiting as they're loading these containers on there to try to do this, normal turnaround for a chassis to go at a port to deliver something to where it's going and come back is three and a half days due to all these various shortages that is extended out to 17 days so that's pretty crazy. A big factor in this port jam up is also the shortage of drivers and I call them CDL Drivers which is a commercial driver's license. [32:49] To drive one of these 18-wheelers that's going to carry a container you have to have a you know a certification for a certain type of vehicle there's It's relatively, no time-consuming to go get the certification and the number of drivers that have this is actually decreasing over time as they age out and enough people are coming into the profession so I read one article and this was by one of the one of the professional groups of CDL drivers that there's about 240,000 shortfall of CDL Drivers compared, kind of where the demand is there's about you call it to and 50,000 fewer drivers than they need so we're seeing you know I think I can remember was you or someone but Amazon and Walmart are ineffectively gunfighter these people where they're charged their they're paying crazy signing bonuses and hourly rates and salaries for any kind of truck drivers and so because they're the biggest. Employers of these things they tend to have the better economics and its really starving out other parts of the market as they absorb all the available CDL drivers. Jason: [33:57] Yeah that Walmart's paying a hundred and for a new driver $160,000 a year and eight thousand dollar signing bonus. Scot: [34:04] Yeah yes it's not uncommon uncommon thing to see out there it's pretty crazy, so that's what's going on at the ports it is a hot mess on this side as well so even if you are fortunate enough to get your product here to the US then you know you're looking at probably an extra 40 days I think is kind of you know what everyone's saying right now and that's average it can take a lot longer the LA Port is so jammed up that people are are they're rerouting you know rerouting boats across the sand getting them to other other ports but there are no like there's one in Georgia and it's the Savannah one and it's getting backed up I just saw they authorized building this this kind of effectively opening up a big giant parking area to put containers and that's going to give them some more storage capacity but you know where if you add up those, here we are you know in October and you start adding these things together the the holidays pretty much baked at this point right there's you maybe have 15 to 20 days of window here for stuff you already ordered. 80 days ago to kind of get here but none of this stuff is going to get fixed fast that's going to be part of the problem. Jason: [35:17] Yeah yeah if you follow the earning calls like Nike for example like dramatically lowered their guidance and they said Hey look it's it's cost four times as much to get a container of shoes here and the container takes twice as long to get here, and so we're just not going to have the supply to hit our original guidance and and Nikes better this than a lot of other people so it's a. [35:41] Pretty prominent problem and then there's all these secondary impacts right so you mentioned the math of the container right like you'd like to fill up that 40-foot container with Goods if your goods only take up 90%. Ordinarily you'd put someone else's Goods in the last 10% to try to make it more. Cost effective and efficient and share those costs but when the unloading is so gummed up what you don't want to do is have a secondary process where that container comes off the boat has to get re packed your stuff goes One Way their stuff goes another way, so people are actually shipping containers less full than they normally would which is entirely counterintuitive for what you would expect. The boats are all slowing down because they can use less gas to come here and 80 days then to come here in 40 days because there's no place to unload them. Um and the the supply chain guys I'm like we've been helping a lot of retailers hire truckers lately and they kind of summarize it real simply like the average commercial truck driver was 55 years old with multiple comorbidities a bunch of them. Retired and all the trucking schools that can teach people to get these licenses shut down for covid so there were no new licenses being issued for like. [36:54] Year and so there's just this this huge acute problem. And then you know without those truck drivers with the train problems and Barge problems of your on the Mississippi there's just like no place to move all those goods. You mentioned people are moving the boats from from some ports to secondary ports. That helps somewhat but the biggest cargo ships can't even fit in these ports right so I Long Beach the one of the most advanced Sports we have certainly the most advanced on the West Coast, um [37:27] Can't take the two biggest class of ships it can only take the third biggest class of ships and then as soon as you divert that ship to Portland instead of Long Beach. The the that class of ships won't won't fit there and so like there's there's a limited option to just move the stuff around so we're just we're gummed up like never before and most scary of all Gap and their earnings call kind of said like Hey we're loading our guidance and we're going to very lumpy inventory and we don't see any alleviation of these inventory challenges until at least 2020 3. Scot: [38:06] Yeah in the Auto World we're having a huge problem here where there's a chip shortage and then. [38:14] Another problem is you spend down these factories they don't just get spun back up because all the component parts are you know they stop ordering them and then those factories and everything so so even as chips are starting to come in a lot of vehicles can't be made because there's some other component that now is stuck in one of these containers that that were talking about I read this other interesting article where Coca-Cola has several of their bottling facilities that are down waiting on replacement parts so they went and basically least 20 or 40 bulk ships they didn't even worry about getting containers and they just jumped onto those ships the pieces they need to make their factories work and and are bring him over in this kind of crazy never done before way for a big company. Jason: [38:58] Yeah and I guess that that's one last point on this supply chain thing. It definitely is favoring the biggest players in every industry right so if you're the you know the biggest receivers of goods in the US. You're still being impacted by all of this but you're first in line for what capacity does exist and you you mentioned the games that the Brokers are playing with the price of containers that's going to happen a lot more to the independent shipper than it is the you know number one or number two shipper for that port and so. Well this this is a pain for every retailer in America it's going to be less painful to Walmart and Amazon then it's going to be to the, the medium-sized specialty retailer for. [39:49] And I was just going to point out I think you saw this as well as got but like Salesforce kind of put together a holiday forecast and they looked at all these supply chain problems and they're estimating, that this is going to add about 233 billion dollars in extra supply chain cost to holiday sales for the US so that's. Going to come like straight out of margins basically or or drive more inflation. Scot: [40:13] Yeah that's for the products to get here there's this another side of that equation where which is the opportunity cost right because you know. There's not gonna be a lot of exciting merchandise on the Shelf so we're what's opportunity cost of that we'll have to kind of. We'll get to that I guess we talked about forecast so what what holiday behaviors are feeding into this. Jason: [40:34] Yeah so tricky this one is there wild swings both ways right so you think if you remember at the beginning of covid there. Fundamental changes that happen people spend a lot less on travel they spend a lot less on restaurants they spend a lot more on their homes and they spent a lot more grocery stores right and so then as, people got more comfortable as people start getting vaccinated as infection rates are going down we started seeing all those things swing back right and you started seeing, a lot more bookings that are being be you saw a lot more Airline reservations you saw a lot more traffic coming to stores and you certainly saw a lot more people going back to restaurants. Then Delta hit. And we saw a dip again and people started returning to the the the kind of earlier covid behaviors not as dramatically as the first wave. [41:25] You kind of had a second wave and so predicting which of those, behaviors are going to be at the at the peak for holiday is really hard right now so retailers are looking at consumer sentiment and Doug mcmillon in his investor call he's like hey. Our consumer has told a strongly they want to have a normal holiday that they want to sit down with their family and have a meal, they want to travel they want to do the normal things and there's a strong desire and that if it is remotely safe they will do it and Doug's I kind of under his breath comment was. [42:05] Even if it's not safe they're probably going to do it right so, his viewing is there's there's so much fatigue in all of these like covid change behaviors that were going to see a significant return, you know closer to pre covid behaviors but you know we are we are seeing some signs go the other way, in the u.s. store traffic never fully recovered we are still down about ten percent versus pretty covid levels in China store traffic totally recovered and then Delta hit and store traffic drop back down, 30% below pre-pandemic levels and so since China has historically been about 4 months ahead of us. That that would predict that we're going to see another drop in. Um store traffic which again doesn't mean people won't spend it means they're going to buy more online instead of in store and that exacerbates all of The Last Mile problems that we talked about last year and we're going to talk about it. [43:09] Again this year so it's really risky to predict. What's going to happen with the coded behaviors people were starting to buy a lot of clothes again after having not buying clothes in here and now the closed sales are slowing down and then we talked about. Apparel is one of the categories most impacted by all these supply chain issues so there just may not be close to buy and so really hard to predict that stuff. Um but what I can tell you is retailers now have a couple of reasons to desperately get you to shop earlier right one reason is they're not going to have very much stuff and they don't want to be the Grinch that caused you to miss Christmas so they desperately want you to come in early, and give yourself the best chance to get the stuff you want so, the every retailer is more loudly than ever before trying to incentivise and entice customers to shop early. [44:03] Also if this ends up being another digital Christmas where people shop a lot more online than they do in stores, we have a huge problem with the last mile we don't have enough capacity in FedEx ups and u.s. post office to deliver twice as many packages over holiday, and so we need to spread that those those orders out over more days and so for all of those reasons we're seeing retailers start their sales earlier than ever so. To kind of paint you a promotional picture Amazon Prime day normally is in summer it historically celebrated Amazon's birthday which is in July. So then the pandemic kids they can't have a July sale so they have an October sale and it went really well. So this year they went back to Summer but they went to earlier summer they had the sale in June and a lot of us think they did it earlier in June for one of two reasons either they hate their own C fo and wanted him to have to talk. On earnings calls about the sale being in a different quarter every year for the last three years or. They were having a sale earlier to make room for a second big sale they intend to have this year during holiday to kind of repeat the success of. [45:11] Of holiday Prime Day last year and we haven't seen any all the announcements yet but Amazon has already announced a 30 day. Beauty and personal care sale starting in October of this year Target match that and said hey we're going to start our deal days in October, and we're price-matching for the whole holiday so if if you don't believe us and you think we're just making a joke about these early sales and you think there's going to be better sales waiter know if you buy it early will guarantee you, that will match any lower prices that you see anywhere for the rest of holiday so targets leaning heavily into that. And we think most retailers are going to launch their sales. Earlier than ever before to try to pull in these these early Shoppers because of all the supply chain and inflation issues. The sales aren't going to be as good as they usually are like that what used to be 40 percent off is going to be 25% off but what deals they do have are going to be earlier in the year to try to drive those, those sales earlier. [46:21] And people aren't going to get everything they want they're going to be limited inventory and so what's going to happen people are going to get more gift cards people are going to celebrate the holiday later and we're going to sell more stuff in January January is always a good holiday month anyway but January is going to be disproportionately large this year because of the lumpy supply chain think so, if you think of holiday as generally like being a strong peak in October between that that the kind of turkey five, this holiday more than ever before that spending starting in October and is going to last all the way through January. Scot: [46:58] And then as we get to the last mile we're definitely have another ship again so we've got we haven't increased our capacity hardly any because you can't really buy Vans and the everyone's renting Vans and there's just this fixed number of biliary vehicles and if we're going to have this Less store traffic even more e-commerce than last year even if you throw you know maybe. [47:23] Low middle digit low single digits on there like five or 7% or something well we effectively had 98, we can only deliver like 97% of the packages last year so it's going to make it a now will only be a little deliver maybe 90% of the packages so it's going to be really tough delivery, set up coming into the holiday. Jason: [47:46] I think the like some data points I saw the that are alarming like so number one. All the Fulfillment centers have an average turnover rate of like four hundred percent a year right so they're having a hard time hiring people and keeping people. FedEx in their earnings call said that like we just can't staff some of our distribution hubs so we're having to reroute packages in a less efficient manner, because for example we only have sixty percent of our labor force in our Portland Hub right so ordinarily they would try to, be at a hundred and twenty percent of their labor in these hubs for holiday with all this seasonal labor and this year. [48:24] They can't even fulfill all the permanent jobs they have so there's not going to be a seasonal Flex. For the main carriers you know the Retailer's do a lot of seasonal hiring for stores but they're prioritizing the seasonal hiring for their fulfillment centers over the stores because they're so. Worried about enough labor to fulfill all these packages and then you know when when FedEx and UPS have less capacity. What do they do they smartly charge more for it so we've seen gas surcharges we've seen holiday surcharges and and they're now announcing their rate hikes for January and FedEx announced the largest rate hike they've had in the last ten years so on average, it's almost six percent as 5.9 percent rate hike it varies wildly depending on the class of service so some kinds of shippers are going to get hit much harder. Um and just like last year all of the the big shippers have a quota and they're not going to be allowed to ship more more packages. The maybe one silver lining in this is that. Because readers are likely to be more successful in spreading the demand out this year than last year that's going to help a little bit and. [49:37] As a as challenges everyone's going to be with the capacity last year there were political challenges that that particularly got the US Post Office sideways which is a big part of this whole chain. And they don't anticipate that that will be as bad this year and so there is absolutely going to be ship again in 2.0 this year with the, the The Last Mile but the most of the analysts I'm talking to are saying the first mile is going to be so disrupted this year that the last mile is going to seem. Less severe in comparison whereas last year the the holiday challenges were all about the last mile. Scot: [50:16] Yeah and you know the double-edged sword of there not being enough product is maybe there just won't be enough product and it won't you should be getting but if whatever there is is going to get jammed up I think. Jason: [50:29] Yeah so that's a great transition to so like that's a lot of Doom and Gloom what's going to happen for Holiday should we all be shorting the retail stocks like what's. What's going to happen. And spoiler alert I don't know well we'll talk a little bit about our educated guesses but maybe before we do we can walk through some of the the forecast from the the brave souls that have been willing to share their holiday forecast. Scot: [50:56] Yeah the one the one I saw was from Salesforce and they, they say that e-commerce is going to be up 7% versus kind of that huge surge last year which was like you know fifty percent so they're coming in kind of with a moderate 7% growth which which is done yeah I think that would be the probably the slowest e-commerce growth since 2008-2009 yeah. Jason: [51:24] 2008. Scot: [51:26] Yeah that's that's the one I was tracking and you know when I read through the bullet points it made sense they're definitely putting a pretty wet blanket on things due to the this kind of quote-unquote Supply pain. Jason: [51:38] Yeah and it is tricky so they were the only one I've seen that's done an e-commerce forecast right and I would say that's the most uncertain because. Of we just don't know whether people are going to go back to stores or whether they're going to be worried about health and ordering online when they start having constrained. Um supplies is that gonna. Push them to online more because they can hunt more places or is that going to entice them to go to the store because they can use their eyes to see the inventory for themselves like there's, there's a lot of variability in that e-commerce number but I would remind people even as low as 7 percent sounds its. 7% on top of the huge bases from last year right so it's it's that's not a decline in e-commerce by any means that's a slowing of the increase just as a reminder for. People. But then I did see several like of the other the kind of traditional Consultants put together an overall holiday forecast right so beIN predicted that they were going to they thought holiday was going to be up seven percent from last year. [52:45] Deloitte said that they thought holiday was going to be up between seven and nine percent from last year. And MasterCard said they think holidays going to be up 7.4 percent from last year so. To put all three of those numbers in context those are all huge numbers. Um last year was the best holiday year in 10 years and sales were up 10% but the average is about 6% so saying we're going to grow if. You know these three things kind of all averaged out to about seven percent growth if we're here we go. If all holiday store an e-commerce gross 7% on top of the ten percent from last year, that's a phenomenal holiday and so that says, that these guys are pretty confident that the consumer is going to spend even if they can't find exactly what they want right that the supply chain is going to be painful but that the all the macroeconomic stuff we talked about at the beginning is going to win out and consumers are going to spend a lot of money this holiday I. [53:49] I want to believe this I'm going to be pleasantly surprised if it plays out like that right and my um, the the one caveat I'll say is that us retail is incredibly Diversified right and so for every category that's going to get shellacked by the supply chain or by changes in covid behaviors. Some other category is going to benefit right and so. It is true that the holiday could absolutely hit these numbers like I'll remind people that cars are 25 percent of retail sales gas is another huge chunk of retail sales. Some of these forecasts have those things in some don't some of these forecasts are for November and December some are for November December and January like everybody has a different definition of retail and a different definition of holiday so, you can't really apples-to-apples any of these but I pulled all the US Department of Commerce data and again last year November through January 10 percent growth, average of the last ten 10 years is about 6% growth so 7% growth is a. A terrific number and. I don't know I could see it happening if it happens it's going to be because there was a we had the most Monster January ever because I just don't think there's going to be enough Goods on the Shelf in November and December to do. Scot: [55:17] Yeah I'll take a so I think the winners are going to be the companies that have the most power and smartest supply chain operators so I think Walmart and Amazon. Maybe Target I don't know them as well do they have a you think they feel like they have a pretty dialed in. Jason: [55:33] They Walmart and Target both in their earnings said like look our inventory isn't going to be isn't where we want it it's not going to be where we want it but we we in general are feeling good and neither one lowered its guidance for holiday in their last earnings call so they both felt that they were going to weather the storm but you know below that you go look at like a Bed Bath and Beyond and they're like look there's no way we can hit our numbers with the supply we're gonna get. Scot: [56:00] Will they miss this quarter and if you miss this quarter you're just going to get worse the next quarter Seth. Jason: [56:04] Exactly exactly. Scot: [56:06] It's a poop storm now and it's gonna be a bloodbath and in 90 days yes I think I think if I kind of do the calculus on that I think those three guys win I think everyone else is net negative and. You know I don't think those three are big enough let's say they represent Amazon's kind of half of e-commerce only think about e-commerce the rest of retail is. That's your bailiwick yeah Amazon's half, yeah I could see it being flat to down five percent because. Amazon Walmart and Target doing decent isn't it be enough for to make up for the whole that it's created there so yeah so that's kind of, where I see it it's going to be the big get bigger and stronger and because they you know they have Prime, they have more technologies that this has been on their radar longer they have more containers they have more trucks they have more dollars to spend on solving these problems they're going to be the winners so that's going to be you know it is going to be I think a bad year for the small medium sized business the incumbent brands that are just getting their legs under them and you know having to kind of have a Miss effectively miss a holiday because you couldn't get a bunch of product it's going to be be a rough rough year for everybody. Jason: [57:25] Yeah no I in a way it's going to be the exact opposite of last year when covid first hit nobody obviously had Advance warning or was prepared for this and so a secondary impact was a bunch of eCommerce sites that didn't traditionally get a lot of consumer visits, got a lot of Trials because Amazon constrained FBA in Amazon head supply chain problems right and so suddenly you were looking to get your instant pot from Bed Bath & Beyond suddenly a bunch of people are looking to see what eBay had, that hasn't shopped eBay in five or ten years right so a lot of those kind of second-tier eCommerce sites got extra visits as people were. Trying new address the supply chain shortages this year I think we're going to have exactly the opposite there's going to be a ton of supply chain shortages there's going to be a lot of, news stories every day about supply chain shortages and the big players with the best infrastructure in the most advanced supply chain planning, like the Amazons and Walmarts of the world and and targets, are going to be the winners and it's going to be a lot harder for those specialty retailers and Regional retailers to compete unfortunately. Scot: [58:41] Yeah I think that that is the setup and we will continue so that hopefully that gives everyone an idea of the big talk in the industry and you were just at an industry event is this what everyone was talking about Jason. Jason: [58:55] Yeah yeah slightly less than I would have expected I mean it was a huge topic everyone understands the supply chain thing. I do think it was the first conversation a lot of you know customer experience folks and people that you know we're kind of had their head down in their own in their own Silo you know we're suddenly getting their eyes open to the fact that like. Yeah your customer experience is going to stink at there's no products on the. Scot: [59:20] Mix the CX person's job a lot easier they just you know just take the holiday off. Jason: [59:26] Yeah and so you know it is interesting though again like. [59:31] You know we may we may hit the top line numbers and it may be from a lot less items that sold more expensively. The you know category there's going to be winning and losing categories by far and again because of the consumer health and the supply chain issues, the supply chain for diamonds is looking a lot better than the supply chain for Budget shoes and so you know you just may see what jury where you know you say you sell a few things for a while, do better you know where there's extra scarcity then you know some of these low-margin high-volume consumer goods and so I think. [1:00:08] My key takeaways for everyone is it's going to be a very lumpy like the averages will be interesting we should all follow them but but every. Um retailer and every category is going to experience a very different holiday and there just is more uncertainty than there has been in the last 30 years of retail so like for anyone, to definitively say this is how it is going to play out I think is super risky because there's so many things that could go either way at this point, will consumers you know by another toy when they can't get their first choice will consumers go to a restaurant you know or not will consumers take a vacation or not. You know all of these these will they pay 5% more for something or not like there's just so much uncertainty that you know this is going to be. Holiday that really rewards people that do good scenario planning and are prepared for any eventuality. Scot: [1:01:06] Absolutely and we will keep you posted here on the Jason Scott show but hopefully this gives everyone kind of a framework to work within and we'll be updating various components of the supply pain as we get closer to Holiday. Jason: [1:01:22] And until next week happy commercing!
(Spirit Rock Meditation Center) While much of our interest in practice may be focused on finding some degree of peace and understanding, or on making workable challenging states of body, mind, and heart, it's helpful to keep the vision of how practice aims at awakening (bodhi). In this talk, we explore how the Buddha understood awakening and the path to awakening, as well as perspectives on the lived experience of awakening from later Buddhist traditions. We then ask the question about whether a contemporary path of awakening simply follows the traditional path of awakening. We explore how it's important also to include as parts of the path of awakening teachings and practices that help us work with both more psychological material (such as connected with difficult early experiences, trauma, limiting beliefs, etc.) and with our social conditioning (such as around race, gender, sexuality, class, age, etc.), areas that may not be adequately transformed only with the resources of traditional paths of awakening.
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