Podcasts about Stochastic

In this lecture, we close out our review of DES fundamentals and hand simulation. After going through a hand-simulation example one last time, we show how to implement a Discrete Event System (DES) simulation using a spreadsheet tool like Microsoft Excel without any "macros" (VBA, etc.). This involves defining relationships ACROSS TIME that allow the spreadsheet to (in a declarative fashion) reconstruct the trajectory that is the output of the simulation.At the end of the lecture, we pivot to discussing the previous "Lab 2 (Muffin Oven Simulation)", which lets us introduce common random numbers (CRNs), statistical blocking, requirements of 2-sample and paired t-tests, and more sophisticated statistical methods that better characterize PRACTICAL significance (and take into account the multiple comparisons problem). Thus, the post-lab2 reflections are largely a preview of future topics in the course.

Most leaders crave certainty—but the world doesn't work that way. In this episode, Shane unpacks the idea of a stochastic mindset—a way of thinking that embraces randomness, probabilities, and adaptability. Discover why letting go of guarantees reduces stress, sharpens decisions, and unlocks freedom in a fast-changing world. Show Notes: Get a free listen here to part of the first audio in my Audio Club monthly series:  The Hidden Driver Of Elite Performance.   Get Inspired Every Monday Morning & Join The Community:  For free delivery of my weekly email join my mailing list at www.shanecradock.com My bestselling book The Inner CEO: The Inner CEO is available to buy in ebook, paperback, hardback and audio formats. All details are here: www.theinnerceo.com Connect With Me: Have you been inspired from something you've heard on my podcast or do you have a question? I'd love to hear from you. Email me at support@shanecradock.com Follow: Follow me on Instagram, Facebook, LinkedIn and X   

In this lecture, we review fundamentals of Discrete Event System (DES) simulation (e.g., entities, resources, activities, processes, delays, attributes) and we run through a number of DES modeling examples. These examples show how different research/operations questions can lead to different choices of entities/resources/etc. We close with a hand-simulation example of a single-channel, single-server queue with provided interarrival times and service times.

In this lecture, we cover fundamentals of discrete-event system (DES) simulation (DESS). This involves reviewing basic simulation concepts (entities, resources, attributes, events, activities, delays) and introducing the event-scheduling world view, which provides a causality framework on which an automatic simulation of a DES system can be built. We also discuss briefly how the stochastic modeling inherent to DESS means that outputs will be variable and thus will require rigorous statistics to make sense of.

Stochastic conversations is a new series from Deutsche Bank's QIS Research Team, featuring team members' journeys from their background to their current roles. The series will also discuss recent market drivers and the performance of "Portfolio 365". In the first episode, Caio Natividade, Global Head of QIS Research introduces Vivek Anand, Head of Portfolio Construction Research from the QIS team.

In this lecture, we introduce the three different simulation methodologies (agent-based modeling, system dynamics modeling, and discrete event system simulation) and then focus on how stochastic modeling is used within discrete-event system simulation. In particular, we define terms such as system, dynamic system, state, state variable, activity, delay, resource, entity, and the notion of "input modeling."

In this lecture, we introduce Industrial and Systems Engineering as a blend of science and engineering that necessitates model building. We then define model (as something that answers a "What If" question) and different types of models. This gives us an opportunity to discuss how modeling is less about describing reality and more about generating tools to do useful things/make useful predictions. We end with a comparison of mental and quantitative models, as well as a comparison of different types of quantitative models (including simulation modeling).

Stochastic Mine Planning – Evolving the Way We Manage Uncertainty In this episode, Tarrant Elkington (General Manager, Snowden Optiro) is joined by Matheus Faria (Director of Technical Services, KPI Mining) to explore the evolving role of stochastic mine planning. Stochastic approaches move beyond conventional “single-input” mine plans by explicitly considering uncertainty in key parameters such as block models, recoveries, and prices. Tarrant and Matheus discuss how this approach can transform decision-making and create more resilient mine plans. Key moments in the episode: [00:02] – What stochastic mine planning is and why it's gaining traction. [07:45] – Limitations of conventional deterministic planning. [16:20] – Applying stochastic methods to sequencing, cut-off grades, stockpiling, and blending. [27:50] – Practical insights from Matheus on integrating stochastic planning into operations. [39:10] – Looking ahead: the future of stochastic planning in the mining industry. [43:30] – Discussion on the real-world challenges of adoption, including computational demands and the need for organisational buy-in. [50:05] – Reflections on how stochastic planning supports better communication between technical teams and decision-makers. [55:40] – Final thoughts from both Tarrant and Matheus on where the industry is heading and advice for companies considering stochastic approaches. This episode offers valuable insights for mining professionals interested in risk management, decision-making, and the future of strategic mine planning. Have a question or want to get in touch? Contact us: contact@snowdenoptiro.com Explore more: https://snowdenoptiro.com/

This lecture introduces students to IEE 475 (Simulating Stochastic Systems), a required course for Industrial Engineering majors that covers the design and analysis of simulation models of real-world engineered systems. The lecture covers contents of the syllabus as well as where students can find more information in the Canvas Learning Management System site for the course.

UK & Ireland Director of Intelligence Enterprise at GlobalLogic, Tim Hatton, explores how principles of control theory, exemplified by SpaceX's Starship, apply to the design of effective enterprise agentic AI systems. Reaching for the stars has always been the pinnacle of human ingenuity. The relentless desire to push beyond known boundaries is what drives innovation and advancement all around the globe. The recent example of SpaceX's latest Starship spacecraft soaring into the skies and returning with precision isn't just a milestone in aerospace engineering - it's a vivid illustration of what's possible when our boundless creativity fuels cutting-edge technologies. SpaceX's success demonstrates that autonomous software can effectively control a sophisticated system and steer it toward defined goals. This seamless blend of autonomy, awareness, intelligent adaptability, and results-driven decision-making offers a compelling analogy for enterprises. It's a beacon for a future where agentic AI systems revolutionise workflows, drive innovation, and transform industries. Control theory: A proven framework Control theory underpins self-regulating systems that balance performance and adaptability. It dates from the 19th century when Scottish physicist and mathematician James Clerk Maxwell first described the operation of centrifugal 'governors'. Its core principles - feedback loops, stability, controllability, and predictability - brought humanity into the industrial age. Starting with stabilising windmill velocity, up to today's spaceflights, nuclear stations and nation-spanning electricity grids. We see control theory in action when landing a rocket, for example. The manoeuvre relies on sensors to measure actual parameters, controllers to adjust based on feedback, and the system to execute corrections. Comparing real-time data to desired outcomes minimises errors, ensuring precision and safety. It's a framework that extends to enterprise workflows. Employees function as systems, supervisors as controllers, and tasks as objectives. A seasoned worker might self-correct without managerial input, paralleling autonomous systems' ability to adapt dynamically. Challenges in agentic AI Agentic AI systems combine traditional control frameworks' precision with advanced AI models' generative power. However, while rockets rely on the time-tested principles of control theory, AI-driven systems are powered by large language models (LLMs). This introduces new layers of complexity that make designing resilient AI agents that deliver precision, adaptability, and trustworthiness uniquely challenging. Computational irreducibility: LLMs like GPT-4 defy simplified modelling. They are so complex and their internal workings so intricate that we cannot predict their exact outputs without actually running them. Predicting outputs requires executing each computational step, complicating reliability and optimisation. A single prompt tweak can disrupt workflows, making iterative testing essential, yet time-consuming. Nonlinearity and high dimensionality: Operating in high-dimensional vector spaces, with millions of input elements, LLMs process data in nonlinear ways. This means outputs are sensitive to minor changes. Testing and optimising the performance of single components of complex workflows, like text-to-SQL queries, under these parameters, becomes a monumental task. Blurring code and data: Traditional systems separate code and data. In contrast, LLMs embed instructions within prompts, mixing the two. This variability introduces a host of testing, reliability, and security issues. This blurring of ever-growing data sets with the prompts introduces variability that is difficult to model and predict, which also compounds the dimensionality problem described above. Stochastic behaviour: LLMs may produce different outputs for the same input due to factors like sampling methods during generation. This means they introduce randomness - an asset for creati...

The search for a foundational theory of quantum mechanics that all physicists can agree on remains active. Over the last century a number of contenders have emerged, including Many-Worlds, pilot-wave theories, and others, but all of them have aspects that many people object to. Jacob Barandes has taken up the challenge, proposing a new formulation of quantum theory in which there is no wave function, only real degrees of freedom with fundamentally stochastic dynamics. We talk about this new theory and the challenges facing it.Blog post with transcript: https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2025/07/28/323-jacob-barandes-on-indivisible-stochastic-quantum-mechanics/Support Mindscape on Patreon.Jacob Barandes received his Ph.D. in physics from Harvard University. He is currently Senior Preceptor in Physics and Associated Faculty in Philosophy at Harvard. He teaches both physics and philosophy courses at Harvard, where he has been the recipient of several teaching awards.Web siteHarvard web pagePhilPeople profileGoogle scholar publicationsSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Interview with Anil Dash egirl Grok x Claude Zuckerberg announces Meta's new AI data centers for superintelligence Meta Hires Two More OpenAI Researchers Reflections on OpenAI RSS is (not) dead (yet) (NED #3) – audra mcnamee Perplexity AI browser Perplexity CEO says its browser will track everything users do online to sell 'hyper personalized' ads Stewart Holbrook: Portland Mythmaker How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Have Fun With A.I. Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Anil Dash Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: helixsleep.com/twit agntcy.org Melissa.com/twit

Interview with Anil Dash egirl Grok x Claude Zuckerberg announces Meta's new AI data centers for superintelligence Meta Hires Two More OpenAI Researchers Reflections on OpenAI RSS is (not) dead (yet) (NED #3) – audra mcnamee Perplexity AI browser Perplexity CEO says its browser will track everything users do online to sell 'hyper personalized' ads Stewart Holbrook: Portland Mythmaker How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Have Fun With A.I. Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Anil Dash Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: helixsleep.com/twit agntcy.org Melissa.com/twit

Interview with Anil Dash egirl Grok x Claude Zuckerberg announces Meta's new AI data centers for superintelligence Meta Hires Two More OpenAI Researchers Reflections on OpenAI RSS is (not) dead (yet) (NED #3) – audra mcnamee Perplexity AI browser Perplexity CEO says its browser will track everything users do online to sell 'hyper personalized' ads Stewart Holbrook: Portland Mythmaker How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Have Fun With A.I. Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Anil Dash Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: helixsleep.com/twit agntcy.org Melissa.com/twit

Interview with Anil Dash egirl Grok x Claude Zuckerberg announces Meta's new AI data centers for superintelligence Meta Hires Two More OpenAI Researchers Reflections on OpenAI RSS is (not) dead (yet) (NED #3) – audra mcnamee Perplexity AI browser Perplexity CEO says its browser will track everything users do online to sell 'hyper personalized' ads Stewart Holbrook: Portland Mythmaker How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Have Fun With A.I. Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Anil Dash Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: helixsleep.com/twit agntcy.org Melissa.com/twit

Interview with Anil Dash egirl Grok x Claude Zuckerberg announces Meta's new AI data centers for superintelligence Meta Hires Two More OpenAI Researchers Reflections on OpenAI RSS is (not) dead (yet) (NED #3) – audra mcnamee Perplexity AI browser Perplexity CEO says its browser will track everything users do online to sell 'hyper personalized' ads Stewart Holbrook: Portland Mythmaker How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Have Fun With A.I. Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Anil Dash Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: helixsleep.com/twit agntcy.org Melissa.com/twit

Interview with Anil Dash egirl Grok x Claude Zuckerberg announces Meta's new AI data centers for superintelligence Meta Hires Two More OpenAI Researchers Reflections on OpenAI RSS is (not) dead (yet) (NED #3) – audra mcnamee Perplexity AI browser Perplexity CEO says its browser will track everything users do online to sell 'hyper personalized' ads Stewart Holbrook: Portland Mythmaker How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Have Fun With A.I. Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Anil Dash Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: helixsleep.com/twit agntcy.org Melissa.com/twit

Political violence doesn't emerge in a vacuum — MAGA has built a system of terror out of manufactured rage and conspiracy. The assassinations and attempted assassinations in Minnesota over the weekend are the logical result of this effort. Fox News, Facebook, and Twitter are the hypodermic needles injecting the MAGA base with vile hatred, allowing them to see anyone who disagrees with them not as adversaries, but as existential threats—pedophiles, communists, invaders, subhumans. These stories aren't just fringe; they're algorithmically amplified, monetized, and echoed by politicians and law enforcement alike. When this kind of rhetoric becomes normalized, stochastic terrorism becomes inevitable. The country is reaching a flashpoint — not because individuals snap, but because entire platforms profit from pushing them to the edge. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This episode is presented by Create A Video – A maniac shot four people in Minnesota - two of them Democrat state lawmakers - and we are now being subjected to accusations that Republican politicians are somehow to blame. These accusations come from the very people who excuse political violence when committed by their Leftist allies. Subscribe to the podcast at: https://ThePetePod.com/ All the links to Pete's Prep are free: https://patreon.com/petekalinershow Media Bias Check: If you choose to subscribe, get 15% off here! Advertising and Booking inquiries: Pete@ThePeteKalinerShow.comGet exclusive content here!: https://thepetekalinershow.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Outline00:00 - Intro01:07 - Early steps02:47 - Why control?05:20 - The move to the US07:40 - The first journal paper13:30 - What is backstepping?17:08 - Grad school25:10 - Stochastic stabilization29:53 - The interest in PDEs43:24 - Navier-Stokes equations52:12 - Hyperbolic PDEs and traffic models57:51 - Predictors for long delays1:08:14 - Extremum seeking1:27:14 - Safe control1:36:30 - Interplay between machine learning and control1:42:28 - Back to the roots: robust adaptive control1:50:50 - On service1:55:54 - AdviceLinksMiroslav's site: https://flyingv.ucsd.edu/Tuning functions paper: https://tinyurl.com/yznv6r9rP. Kokotović: https://tinyurl.com/mwmbm9yhSeparation and swapping:  https://tinyurl.com/y4fre6t8Adaptive nonlinear stabilizers: https://tinyurl.com/4a9wmmvxKKK book: https://tinyurl.com/2kw2b4k6Stochastic nonlinear stabilization: https://tinyurl.com/4td3537aFollow-up with unknown covariance: https://tinyurl.com/4c4n7fd7Boundary state feedbacks for PIDEs: https://tinyurl.com/4e9y4tdrBoundary Control of PDEs: https://tinyurl.com/d8x38bmjStabilization of Navier–Stokes systems: https://tinyurl.com/4a8cbjemTraffic congestion control: https://tinyurl.com/525jphs5Delay compensation: https://tinyurl.com/5yz6uj9pNonlinear predictors for long delays: https://tinyurl.com/7wvce6vyStability of extremum seeking: https://tinyurl.com/mr5cvzd3Nash equilibrium seeking: https://tinyurl.com/yeywrysnInverse optimal safety filters: https://tinyurl.com/9dkrpvkkNeural operators for PDE control: https://tinyurl.com/5yynsp7vBode lecture: https://tinyurl.com/mp92cs9uCSM article: Support the showPodcast infoPodcast website: https://www.incontrolpodcast.com/Apple Podcasts: https://tinyurl.com/5n84j85jSpotify: https://tinyurl.com/4rwztj3cRSS: https://tinyurl.com/yc2fcv4yYoutube: https://tinyurl.com/bdbvhsj6Facebook: https://tinyurl.com/3z24yr43Twitter: https://twitter.com/IncontrolPInstagram: https://tinyurl.com/35cu4kr4Acknowledgments and sponsorsThis episode was supported by the National Centre of Competence in Research on «Dependable, ubiquitous automation» and the IFAC Activity fund. The podcast benefits from the help of an incredibly talented and passionate team. Special thanks to L. Seward, E. Cahard, F. Banis, F. Dörfler, J. Lygeros, ETH studio and mirrorlake . Music was composed by A New Element.

"Stave off the boygenius tiredness"On the show this week:00:00:39 NewsTrump's tariffs cause fallout in the music industry00:09:27 Stochastic Drift by Barker album review discussion00:29:38 James' thoughts on Patience, Moonbeam by Great Grandpa00:32:26 Upcoming releases this weekAlbum rankings:Great Grandpa - Patience, MoonbeamThe Weather Station - HumanhoodSquid - CowardsJapanese Breakfast - For Melancholy Brunettes (& sad women)Anxious - BambiCourting - Lust for Life, Or: ‘How To Thread The Needle And Come Out The Other Side To Tell The Story'Om Unit - Acid Dub Studies IIIZement - PassagenFlipturn - Burnout DaysSASAMI - Blood On the Silver ScreenFreckle - FreckleZach Phillips - True MusicEthel Cain - Perverts

******Support the channel****** Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/thedissenter PayPal: paypal.me/thedissenter PayPal Subscription 1 Dollar: https://tinyurl.com/yb3acuuy PayPal Subscription 3 Dollars: https://tinyurl.com/ybn6bg9l PayPal Subscription 5 Dollars: https://tinyurl.com/ycmr9gpz PayPal Subscription 10 Dollars: https://tinyurl.com/y9r3fc9m PayPal Subscription 20 Dollars: https://tinyurl.com/y95uvkao   ******Follow me on****** Website: https://www.thedissenter.net/ The Dissenter Goodreads list: https://shorturl.at/7BMoB Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thedissenteryt/ Twitter: https://x.com/TheDissenterYT   This show is sponsored by Enlites, Learning & Development done differently. Check the website here: http://enlites.com/   Dr. David Wolpert is a Professor at the Santa Fe Institute, external professor at the Complexity Science Hub in Vienna, adjunct professor at ASU, and research associate at the ICTP in Trieste. He has over 30,000 citations, with most of his papers in thermodynamics of computation, foundations of physics, dynamics of social organizations, machine learning, game theory, and distributed optimization / control.   In this episode, we focus on his paper, “The Past as a Stochastic Process”. We first talk about what a stochastic process is, how to study history, a stochastic process framework, and history itself as a stochastic process. We also discuss the jumps in the sociopolitical complexity of polities, narrative approaches in history, and predicting the future. -- A HUGE THANK YOU TO MY PATRONS/SUPPORTERS: PER HELGE LARSEN, JERRY MULLER, BERNARDO SEIXAS, ADAM KESSEL, MATTHEW WHITINGBIRD, ARNAUD WOLFF, TIM HOLLOSY, HENRIK AHLENIUS, FILIP FORS CONNOLLY, DAN DEMETRIOU, ROBERT WINDHAGER, RUI INACIO, ZOOP, MARCO NEVES, COLIN HOLBROOK, PHIL KAVANAGH, SAMUEL ANDREEFF, FRANCIS FORDE, TIAGO NUNES, FERGAL CUSSEN, HAL HERZOG, NUNO MACHADO, JONATHAN LEIBRANT, JOÃO LINHARES, STANTON T, SAMUEL CORREA, ERIK HAINES, MARK SMITH, JOÃO EIRA, TOM HUMMEL, SARDUS FRANCE, DAVID SLOAN WILSON, YACILA DEZA-ARAUJO, ROMAIN ROCH, DIEGO LONDOÑO CORREA, YANICK PUNTER, CHARLOTTE BLEASE, NICOLE BARBARO, ADAM HUNT, PAWEL OSTASZEWSKI, NELLEKE BAK, GUY MADISON, GARY G HELLMANN, SAIMA AFZAL, ADRIAN JAEGGI, PAULO TOLENTINO, JOÃO BARBOSA, JULIAN PRICE, EDWARD HALL, HEDIN BRØNNER, DOUGLAS FRY, FRANCA BORTOLOTTI, GABRIEL PONS CORTÈS, URSULA LITZCKE, SCOTT, ZACHARY FISH, TIM DUFFY, SUNNY SMITH, JON WISMAN, WILLIAM BUCKNER, PAUL-GEORGE ARNAUD, LUKE GLOWACKI, GEORGIOS THEOPHANOUS, CHRIS WILLIAMSON, PETER WOLOSZYN, DAVID WILLIAMS, DIOGO COSTA, ALEX CHAU, AMAURI MARTÍNEZ, CORALIE CHEVALLIER, BANGALORE ATHEISTS, LARRY D. LEE JR., OLD HERRINGBONE, MICHAEL BAILEY, DAN SPERBER, ROBERT GRESSIS, IGOR N, JEFF MCMAHAN, JAKE ZUEHL, BARNABAS RADICS, MARK CAMPBELL, TOMAS DAUBNER, LUKE NISSEN, KIMBERLY JOHNSON, JESSICA NOWICKI, LINDA BRANDIN, NIKLAS CARLSSON, GEORGE CHORIATIS, VALENTIN STEINMANN, PER KRAULIS, ALEXANDER HUBBARD, BR, MASOUD ALIMOHAMMADI, JONAS HERTNER, URSULA GOODENOUGH, DAVID PINSOF, SEAN NELSON, MIKE LAVIGNE, JOS KNECHT, ERIK ENGMAN, LUCY, MANVIR SINGH, PETRA WEIMANN, CAROLA FEEST, STARRY, MAURO JÚNIOR, 航 豊川, TONY BARRETT, BENJAMIN GELBART, NIKOLAI VISHNEVSKY, AND STEVEN GANGESTAD! A SPECIAL THANKS TO MY PRODUCERS, YZAR WEHBE, JIM FRANK, ŁUKASZ STAFINIAK, TOM VANEGDOM, BERNARD HUGUENEY, CURTIS DIXON, BENEDIKT MUELLER, THOMAS TRUMBLE, KATHRINE AND PATRICK TOBIN, JONCARLO MONTENEGRO, AL NICK ORTIZ, NICK GOLDEN, AND CHRISTINE GLASS! AND TO MY EXECUTIVE PRODUCERS, MATTHEW LAVENDER, SERGIU CODREANU, BOGDAN KANIVETS, ROSEY, AND GREGORY HASTINGS!

This week we talk about Luigi Mangione, VAW attacks, and mass shootings.We also discuss stochastic violence, terrorism, and Cybertrucks.Recommended Book: Some Desperate Glory by Emily TeshTranscriptThe terms “Lone Wolf,” “Lone Wolf Actor,” and “Lone Wolf Killer” are interchangeably used in many countries—though most commonly and prominently in the United States—to describe someone who commits a mass-killing or other mass-casualty event, but who is not part of an organization like a terrorist group or other criminal network like a gang.The term is hotly contested in the scholarly world, as it's applied loosely and inconsistently, and the definition varies somewhat by location, government, law enforcement entity investigating said killings, and the press reporting upon it. But in general, to be defined as a mass-casualty event or mass-killing, a collection of murders must occur in public—so it can't be a person killing their family at home, for instance—it must involve at least four victims—so someone killing or injuring three strangers in a public place will typically not be categorized in this way—and it must not occur as part of another crime, like a robbery gone wrong, or as part of a larger conflict between two rival gangs.Within this context of mass-killings and mass-casualty attacks, a lone wolf is someone who acts solo, the term originating with the concept of a wolf that has been separated from, or perhaps outcast from its pack.Someone who kills a bunch of people at the instruction of a terrorist organization like ISIS, then, would not be considered a lone wolf, even if they committed the act without any direct aid from that group; though this definition is wobbly even in that regard, as someone who takes inspiration from a group like ISIS, committing a mass-killing to support that group's cause, but not directly connected to the group, might be labeled a lone wolf, or not. And there's no hard-set rule as to which definition is correct.This was a somewhat common issue back in the late-20th century, when many so-called lone wolf terrorists were committing acts of violence in support of anarchist ends, but the anarchist groups from which they derived their inspiration, and in some cases with which they collaborated, were leaderless by nature—so it couldn't really be said that they were instructed to carry out these acts, they were just inspired by these fellow ideological travelers, and that made determining whether they acted on their own behest or not a tricky and perhaps impossible undertaking; a lot of it is semantics.Also confounding the simple categorization of such killers and attacks is the concept of stochastic terrorism, which is a type of violence that is almost always political or ideological in nature, as opposed to being revenge-driven or otherwise personal, and it's generally incited by someone with a public persona—a politician or other leader—who creates an environment in which violence is more likely to occur, that violence seemingly random, but on average directed in a specific direction.So a politician who says something like “Man, people from the opposing party really believe some horrible stuff, I wouldn't be surprised if something happened to them, considering how evil they are,” while at the same time stoking the flames of potential violence throughout the population by increasing animosity between political parties and maybe even religious groups, might be aiming to spark stochastic terror that would benefit them and their ambitions.By riling up their base in this way, by sowing the seeds for potential attacks against their perceived enemies, violence in their favor, aimed at those enemies, is more likely to happen, but in a way that's deniable for them—just a random act of ideological murder that they can denounce, despite arguably having asymmetrically instigated it.Is stochastic terror an example of planting seeds for violence that makes the resultant killings something more like directed attacks, and therefore not lone wolf in nature, then? Or are all lone wolves arguably inspired by something they've learned or experienced or been told, and thus arguably stochastic in nature—no direct guidance or instruction, but still inspired by someone or something, somewhere along the way?What I'd like to talk about today are three instances of recent supposedly lone wolf attacks, and why some experts are predicting we'll see more such attacks, especially but not exclusively in the US, in the coming years.—There were nearly 500 officially recognized mass-shootings in the US in 2024—and again, that means 4 or more people injured or killed in public, and not as part of another crime being committed.That's down from previous years, the preceding four of which have each had more than 600 mass shootings, and on average a little less than 10 people are killed in these shootings—though that figure is nudged upward by the largest of these mass killings, like one in Las Vegas in 2017 that saw 60 people killed and more than 800 wounded, many in the resulting stampede, by a 64-year-old seemingly lone wolf gunman who fired on an open-air music festival from the 32nd floor window of a nearby hotel.Gun homicides in the US are rampant beyond mass-killings: there were about 21,000 murders committed with guns in the country in 2021, alone—and notably, self-inflicted gun deaths, suicides using these weapons, eclipse that number, tallying more than 26,000 that same year.That means more than 50 people are killed by guns in the US every single day, and about 4 out of every 5 murders are committed using guns in the country; which makes sense, as guns are very effective at what they're meant to do, which is killing something, and there are a lot of guns in the US: about 120 of them per 100 people, as of 2018.And to be clear, that doesn't mean everyone owns a gun: that average is driven sky-high by the gun-enthusiasts who tend to buy a lot of the things, though gun ownership has continued to increase in scope in recent years, as political and economic uncertainty, especially in areas where perception of crime levels, if not always actual elevated crime levels, increases, tends to drive more widespread gun sales.Given all of that, it's maybe not a huge surprise that many apparent lone wolf attacks in the United States are committed using firearms; sometimes assault rifles, sometimes guns that have been augmented using bump-stocks or similar add-ons to make a normal gun into basically an assault rifle, and sometimes just using a pistol, which can be easily pocketed and carried around pretty much everywhere in this country.On December 4, 2024, the CEO of UnitedHealthcare, which is part of the largest health insurance company in the United States, UnitedHealth Group, Brian Thompson, was gunned down in front of the Midtown Manhattan Hilton Hotel.The alleged killer, who was later identified by law enforcement officials as Luigi Mangione, was captured on nearby CCTV cameras, was wearing a hoodie and an expensive backpack while shooting Thompson, and used a pistol with a suppressor—a silencer—to shoot him multiple times, the bullet casings left behind inscribed with the words Delay, Deny, and Depose; terms that have been associated with the US health insurance industry for legal tactics they lean on in order to pocket more money, allegedly at the expense of their customers who have their claims denied or long-term delayed, in some cases leaving them without the care they require, and in some cases leaving them in crippling debt following a necessary medical procedure that the insurance company says they won't pay for.The response to killings of any kind, even in a gun-happy country like the US, tends to be fairly grim and sad; the endless mutterings of “thoughts and prayers” by politicians and other public figures has become so common and toothless as to be near-satire at this point, but generally the tone is antagonistic toward whomever committed the killing, before then swinging toward calls for more security and policing if you're on the political right, and more gun regulation if you're on the political left. And that's generally where we leave things until the next headlines-capturing shooting; and we typically, unfortunately, don't have long to wait.Thompson's murder, though, was almost immediately met with celebration across the political spectrum; working class folks, Democrats and Republicans and everyone in between and on the furthest political extremes basically muttering about how it serves him right, before realizing everyone else was muttering the same thing, and that led to outright enthusiasm, especially online, and even calls for more of the same across the social media landscape—many normal people doing the politician and ideologue thing by basically posting their hopes that someone will knock off other CEOs as well, seemingly aiming to spark more stochastic violence in their favored direction.The wealthy and especially the CEO class were horrified at this response, perhaps understandably, and there was pushback from mainstream journalistic and political entities across the board, with lots of tut-tutting and finger-wagging at anyone who dared celebrate what looked to be the cold-blooded murder of another human being.But the nature of American healthcare and especially health insurance being what it is—massively imperfect at least, and by some assessments borderline abusive or even outright evil—this was seen by many as just desserts for someone who himself had committed millions of dollars worth of fraud and gotten away with it, and who was running UnitedHealthcare in such a way that it denies more claims than any of its peers, which in turn has allowed itself to massively enrich itself and its shareholders at the expense of its customers.There were many cries of “serves him right,” then, alongside some requests that other CEOs be next; many of these requests couched in memes and jokes, but also seemingly earnest.The nature of the alleged killer, who was eventually shown to be a good-looking young man of privilege who had maybe suffered under the auspices of the American healthcare system, due to chronic ailments and an insurance system that didn't even serve someone like him, who grew up with substantial advantages, further fanned those flames, and as of the day I'm recording this he's in custody, has pleaded not guilty, and is facing eleven state and four federal charges, including first-degree murder and a terrorism charge, the former of which could lead to the death penalty.Just shy of a month later, in the early morning hours of January 1, 2025, a new year's celebration on the well-know and well-traversed, and on that night, incredibly crowded Bourbon Street in New Orleans was attacked by a man in a large pickup truck, who plowed the vehicle into a crowd of revelers, driving at high-speed across three blocks that were partitioned-off for the celebration.The driver was apparently trying to hit as many people as possible, and then, after crashing into a utility vehicle, he stepped out of the truck and started firing a gun into the crowd.Police fired back at him, but he was wearing body armor, and two of them were injured before they managed to kill him, recovering an assault rifle and a semi-automatic pistol from his body. They also found a pair of explosive devices in coolers he had planted around the area before the attack, and further investigation led to the discovery of more bomb-making materials where he was staying in New Orleans.At least 35 people were injured and 14 people were killed in the attack, alongside the killer, who was later identified as 42-year-old Shamsud-Din Jabbar: an American-born Army veteran and Texas resident who had apparently been recently radicalized, possibly by online content posted by ISIS, and who had posted videos pledging his allegiance to the group mere hours before he drove into the crowd, an ISIS flag adorning the vehicle.More guns in this attack, then, but much of the damage was caused by the truck, and similar so-called “vehicle as a weapon,” or VAW attacks have been committed around the world in recent years, raising concerns especially in places where firearms are harder to come by, though also at large, open-air events where vehicles might cause more deaths and injuries in a short period of time than even an assault rifle, as seemed to be the case here.This attacker seemed to be self-radicalized, based on testimony from his friends and family, who were shocked at the change in his personality and expressed beliefs. The FBI has said they're pretty confident he acted alone, though they're looking into recent trips he took to Egypt and Canada, in case he met up with someone from ISIS or a similar group, while traveling.And apparently while he initially planned to kill his family—he's had several divorces that led to financial problems, due to many child support payments that exceeded his means—he didn't believe killing his family would have provoked enough of a response to spark a “war between the believers and the disbelievers.” Jabbar was brought up Muslim but left the faith for years, before apparently adopting a more intense and violent reinterpretation of it just recently, and that seemingly helped him justify and perhaps even inspired these acts.This has been called a lone wolf attack, then, but it was apparently heavily influenced by ISIS ideology, despite Jabbar possibly never having been in contact with anyone from that group.Just a handful of hours later, that same morning, at 8:49 January 1, 2025, a Tesla Cybertruck that was parked outside the front lobby of the Trump International Hotel in Las Vegas exploded—its occupant apparently having died from a self-inflicted gunshot wound to the head right before a bunch of fireworks and gas canisters placed in the trunk were detonated.That occupant was Matthew Alan Livelsberger, who was also American-born, and like Jabbar, had been in the US military, though Livelsberger was an active-duty Special Forces soldier from Colorado who was on leave at the time.The blast didn't kill anyone, and while it hurt a few bystanders, no one was seriously injured. But the intention, according to two letters recovered from his phone by the FBI, was apparently to make a political statement related to alleged clandestine US military operations, and advanced technologies the US and China allegedly secretly possess; though he was also apparently in the midst of a serious mental health crisis, including significant PTSD episodes and what might have been paranoid delusions.The vehicle also contained an assault rifle and two pistols, though none of these weapons were used, as while Livelsberger was seemingly intent on escaping across the Mexican border following the attack, based on what he said in those aforementioned letters, he seemingly decided to kill himself instead—which may support the assertion that this was primarily, if not exclusively, a mental health crisis issue.Livelsberger also apparently had family issues, due in large part to his support of president-elect Trump and his family's opposition to that support, and he was apparently suffering from untreated depression, that lack of treatment possibly the result of stigma toward such things within the military, which sometimes results in people not getting treatment that they might benefit from, because they worry doing so will see them sidelined by their superiors.A manifesto penned by Livelsberger that was sent to a retired Army Intelligence officer claims that he was being monitored by the military because of his knowledge of war crimes and those aforementioned military advanced technologies, and that he didn't intend to self-harm, the divulgence of which has led to some conspiracy theories about this not having been a suicide.That said, this attack is being investigated as potential terrorism, and while it was initially being explored as part of a larger wave of such actions, since that attack in New Orleans happened just hours earlier, and both attackers used the same online car rental service to procure the vehicles they were driving, investigators have since indicated they don't believe these attacks were connected.Interestingly, Livelsberger's letters also criticized income inequality, though with a politically conservative bent, basically saying that the country had become too liberal and effeminate, and that Trump, Elon Musk, and Robert Kennedy Jr needed to take control and make the US more masculine so that it could compete against entities like China, Russia, and Iran.Experts on ideological violence and political fracturing have warned that we may see more lone wolf and lone wolf-esque violence in a more polarized society, in which people are less likely to consider those on the opposite side of the aisle to be people they disagree with, and more likely to think of them as bad or evil or even subhuman, which makes violence more thinkable.That's not ideal, as these sorts of attacks are difficult to prevent, their solo nature meaning there's no network to track and pluck apart, nothing to infiltrate and fewer easily accessible data points to aggregate and in which to recognize a pattern. Lone wolf attackers tend to cause less damage than groups can, then, but they're often almost invisible, to the organizations that hope to stop them, anyway, right up till the moment they start killing and injury people.We're also entering an era in which trust in authority has degraded substantially, new technologies have made the research, hardware procurement, and implementation of such attacks a lot more attainable to more people, which means folks suffering from different sorts of psychological or physical torments, or those who simply have strong opinions and a lot of perceived enemies, are more likely to be able to act on that confusion or those hatreds, in some cases at a moment's notice, and in many cases without anyone beyond their immediate friends and family recognizing that something might be up.We may be entering a period of heightened threat, then, in the US especially, because of the number and wide distribution of highly effective weapons throughout the population, and because of the period of political polarization and animosity we seem to be wading through, but also throughout the rest of the world, to some degree at least, because of those same political and ideological factors, and because of how big and weapon-like vehicles have become, and how relatively easy it is to get one's hands on information that allows for the construction of things like bombs and the technologies required to 3D-print and otherwise manufacture deadly implements of all shapes and sizes.Show Noteshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Luigi_Mangionehttps://www.vox.com/politics/390438/luigi-mangione-healthcare-shooting-ghost-gunhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Brian_Thompsonhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Las_Vegas_shootinghttps://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-41488081https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_New_Orleans_truck_attackhttps://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c205ek63433ohttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/03/us/new-orleans-victims-truck-attack.htmlhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump_International_Hotel_Las_Vegas_Tesla_Cybertruck_explosionhttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/04/us/matthew-livelsberger-las-vegas-cybertruck.htmlhttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/05/us/new-orleans-attack-travel.htmlhttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/04/us/new-orleans-attack-shamsud-din-jabbar-isis.htmlhttps://scholarlycommons.law.northwestern.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1257&context=nulr_online&preview_mode=1&z=1519320539https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stochastic_terrorismhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lone_wolf_attackhttps://www.ojp.gov/ncjrs/virtual-library/abstracts/lone-wolf-terrorism-americahttps://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1088767917736797 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit letsknowthings.substack.com/subscribe

We talk about the Cybertruck psyop with Insurgent Notes, Race Traitor, and Hard Crackers vets John Garvey and Zhana Kurti.In the fun half, available to subscribers at http://patreon.com/theantifada, we read the prophecies of alien intervention and free energy by the Balkan Nostradamus Baba Vanga, and hear Sean's interpretation of Charli XCX's Brat.Song: Kendrick Lamar - wacced out murals

How far can following your passions take you in science? To find out, Dr. Charles Liu and co-host Allen Liu welcome the multi-faceted Leah Voytovich, a software development engineer for Project Kuiper who planned on going to med school but instead ended up working on space lasers for Amazon's satellite internet constellation. As always, though, we start off with the day's joyfully cool cosmic thing: the use of deuterium levels in the search for exoplanets with advanced civilizations. That's because signs of deuterium depletion can indicate that a planet has developed nuclear fission power.  After that, Leah tells us a little about Amazon's Project Kuiper. She explains the wide variety of challenges to keeping the satellites, which are in low earth orbit, in communication with the ground. The project she's working on now is using infrared space lasers to communicate more securely within the satellite constellation.  Chuck brings up the impact that these massive groups of satellites like Starlink are having on astronomy, from satellite streaks on dark sky surveys to image-destroying flares. Leah said there are people working on reducing Project Kuiper's impacts across multiple areas of concern. For our first question. Yasmin asks, “Will our satellites all be controlled by AI someday? If so, when? And is this a good idea?”  Leah speculates that there may be some projects already using Machine Learning here on Earth, but that it will be further down the line before there's AI actually present in satellites themselves. Leah doesn't see a problem with the use of ML tools for science, as long as there are protections in place and that humans are still writing the software. After our break, Leah tells us about what she does outside her work – literally – from climbing Mount St. Helens in winter using an ice ax and crampons, to skiing, to running marathons – 3 so far! Then we're back to AI, ML, and the differences between the two. Charles talks about how important AI has beome as a tool for astronomers and other scientists. Leah explains the “Chinese Room Argument” and why it's a good analogy for machine learning, Allen shares the description of AI as a “stochastic parrot.”  Our next question comes from Jonathan, who asks, “With so many problems facing the world like poverty, war and the climate crisis here on Earth, why should we spend money and resources on space exploration and astronomy?” Leah talks about how Project Kuiper is intended to serve underserved communities by providing internet access to people who don't already have it. That in turn increases global communication and connectivity and can then help address those other problems. And of course, to launch those satellites, we need rockets. She also explains how valuable internet access is to communities– something she knows a little about. She and Martin Leet co-founded Maji, a nonprofit in Uganda that uses solar power to make clean water easily accessible for refugee communities. Leah, a former EMT, explains how Maji also provides first aide medical training and agricultural training to the communities. The story of how Maji came to be is remarkable – we'll leave it to Leah to share that with you in the episode. We end with Leah recounting what it was like to be in Mission Control for the launch of the first Project Kuiper satellites. She was the representative for her team in the Mission Control room, so she was the one who actually got to say “Go” for her service during the final pre-launch Go/No Go review.  If you'd like to know more about Maji, you can check out the nonprofit's website here. We hope you enjoy this episode of The LIUniverse, and, if you do, please support us on Patreon. Credits for Images Used in this Episode: Illustration of Kepler-138 exoplanets– NASA, ESA, Leah Hustak (STScI) Deuterium, aka hydrogen-2 (²H or D) – Center for Deuterium Depletion An axonometric view displays various Earth orbits, illustrating space debris and active satellites – WikiCommons/Pablo Carlos Budassi The history of the universe since the Big Bang – NASA Satellite streaks in an astronomical image – University of Washington/ Abhilash Biswas, Kilando Chambers, and Ashley Santos Space-based lasers – IEEE Spectrum Illustration of NASA's Laser Communications Relay Demonstration (LCRD) communicating with the I.S.S. over laser links – NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center Illustration of machine learning and artificial intelligence – Creative Commons / mikemacmarketing Computer simulation of dendrites of pyramidal neurons – Hermann Cuntz/ PLoS Computational Biology, Vol. 6(8) August 2010. Earth illuminated time-lapse video if ISS over Earth – NASA Martin Leet and Leah Voytovich – University of Pennsylvania The Maji water tank for the Olua I community – University of Pennsylvania/Martin Leet

Bitcoin Stochastic BREAKOUT to $500,000 in play. BTC has the same pattern as the previous cycle. The breakout point indicates the local bottom at the root of MASSIVE Parabolic RALLY. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This is the episode that SHOULD have aired Sunday BlogTalk was having a breakdown.       Donald Trump was once again, the target of an assassination attempt near his golf course adjacent Mar-a-lago. The would be, hapless assailant was caught in a nano second. Of course, "Trump being Trump"--he had to whine about this near miss. Now, I don't condone violence. Period. That being said, Trump rapidly took advantage of this attempt, accusing democrats of 'inciting' violence. Frankly, the irony is too sharp to ignore. For 8 long years, Trump has routinely incited violence against minorities, democrats, and anyone he just didn't like--or anyone who failed to kiss his ring.This incitement used by Trump is called 'stochastic terrorrism." The January 6th insurrection was the most damning thus far--which Trump and his political lackeys clearly incited--and THEY have the gall to shriek foul! The attempted assailant by all reports thus far, looks like a crazy lone wolf and nothing more, and yet Trump's loyalists in Congress are accusing their democratic colleagues of 'stochastic terrorism.' The sense of white, Christian male entitlement is palpable in it's hypocrisy. I will discuss the true danger of Trump and his loyalists as they spread propagandistic lies about anyone they dislike.  BTW, it is NOT incitement when journalists, politicians, and citizens report the TRUTH about how Trump has consistently used the rhetoric of Adolph Hitler--though thinly veiled in 21st century colloquialisms.  Our second story deals with Project 2025's plans for a new monitoring function--namely the 'menstrual police,' as described by journalist Thom Hartmann. This is not satire. The plan is REAL.  We will also have a variety of parodies.  Come join me.  Jeanine

Author and columnist Wajahat Ali: Donald Trump's Repeated Stochastic Terrorism Now Endangers Haitian Immigrants in OhioStop the Money Pipeline Executive Director Alec Connon: 13-Week ‘Summer of Heat' Climate Protest Building Movement to End Fossil Fuel FinancingSinger/songwriter Billy Bragg Reflects on His 40 years of Political Activism and the Power of MusicBob Nixon's Under-reported News Summary• EU's top court rules Apple must pay back taxes• Project 2025 regulates the nation's public lands• Environmental groups challenge new EPA rulesVisit our website at BTLonline.org for more information, in-depth interviews, related links and transcripts and to sign up for our BTL Weekly Summary. New episodes every Wednesday at 12 noon ET, website updated Wednesdays after 4 p.m. ETProduced by Squeaky Wheel Productions: Scott Harris, Melinda Tuhus, Bob Nixon, Anna Manzo, Susan Bramhall, Jeff Yates and Mary Hunt. Theme music by Richard Hill and Mikata.

Jesse's grim prediction on Trump's assassin. Rome finding its footing on the world state. The continued rhetoric from the left for a decade. Stochastic terrorism from the left. Communist do the exact same thing every time they force a revolution. Democrats radicalize street animals to violence. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This episode is presented by Create A Video – For people who have spent years decrying political rhetoric that they say inspires violence, the media and Democrats (but I repeat myself) seem unable to identify their own indulgences in "stochastic terrorism". Help Pete's for the Walk to End Alzheimer's by going here. Subscribe to the podcast at: https://ThePeteKalinerShow.com/  All the links to Pete's Prep are free: https://patreon.com/petekalinershow  Advertising inquiries: Pete@ThePeteKalinerShow.com  Get exclusive content here!: https://thepetekalinershow.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

最近気になった記事について話しました。 AIとはなんなのか？ https://www.technologyreview.com/2024/07/10/1094475/what-is-artificial-intelligence-ai-definitive-guide/ 確率論的オウム https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stochastic_parrot フレーム問題 シンボルグラウンディング問題 (記号接地問題) クオリア AirbnbがPdMをなくした話 https://jonharmer.medium.com/oh-no-airbnb-got-rid-of-product-managers-the-sky-is-falling-f12559ce9c9c 炎上元のツイートhttps://twitter.com/PawelHuryn/status/1677602999194009600 実際の動画 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dkfijg7s76o&t=645s AWS CDKを使用したモノレポサーバーレスプロジェクトの実装https://tomoima525.hatenablog.com/entry/2024/08/20/214950 感想をぜひハッシュタグ #todayILearnedFM #tilfm でつぶやいてください! Your co-hosts: Tomoaki Imai, Noxx CTO https://twitter.com/tomoaki_imai Ryoichi Kato, Software Engineer ⁠https://twitter.com/ryo1kato

Professor Pedro Domingos, is an AI researcher and professor of computer science. He expresses skepticism about current AI regulation efforts and argues for faster AI development rather than slowing it down. He also discusses the need for new innovations to fulfil the promises of current AI techniques. MLST is sponsored by Brave: The Brave Search API covers over 20 billion webpages, built from scratch without Big Tech biases or the recent extortionate price hikes on search API access. Perfect for AI model training and retrieval augmented generation. Try it now - get 2,000 free queries monthly at http://brave.com/api. Show notes: * Domingos' views on AI regulation and why he believes it's misguided * His thoughts on the current state of AI technology and its limitations * Discussion of his novel "2040", a satirical take on AI and tech culture * Explanation of his work on "tensor logic", which aims to unify neural networks and symbolic AI * Critiques of other approaches in AI, including those of OpenAI and Gary Marcus * Thoughts on the AI "bubble" and potential future developments in the field Prof. Pedro Domingos: https://x.com/pmddomingos 2040: A Silicon Valley Satire [Pedro's new book] https://amzn.to/3T51ISd TOC: 00:00:00 Intro 00:06:31 Bio 00:08:40 Filmmaking skit 00:10:35 AI and the wisdom of crowds 00:19:49 Social Media 00:27:48 Master algorithm 00:30:48 Neurosymbolic AI / abstraction 00:39:01 Language 00:45:38 Chomsky 01:00:49 2040 Book 01:18:03 Satire as a shield for criticism? 01:29:12 AI Regulation 01:35:15 Gary Marcus 01:52:37 Copyright 01:56:11 Stochastic parrots come home to roost 02:00:03 Privacy 02:01:55 LLM ecosystem 02:05:06 Tensor logic Refs: The Master Algorithm: How the Quest for the Ultimate Learning Machine Will Remake Our World [Pedro Domingos] https://amzn.to/3MiWs9B Rebooting AI: Building Artificial Intelligence We Can Trust [Gary Marcus] https://amzn.to/3AAywvL Flash Boys [Michael Lewis] https://amzn.to/4dUGm1M

"...we wouldn't want to put somebody up on a sloped roof."—Kimberly Cheatle Once again out of the blue—or out of the red, white and blue (sorry, I couldn't resist)—I'm putting out another short podcast, this time in response to the events of last Saturday in Pennsylvania, in which Donald Trump, as we all know, was very nearly assassinated by an allegedly "lone gunman" in front of the watching world. It's amazing how the "news cycle" speeds along though, isn't it? Already it's getting harder to find mention of it in "mainstream" news outlets. But this was a momentous event—and one that, as nearly everyone is saying, may well propel Trump into the White House for a second term (assuming another assassination attempt isn't successful). Anyway, essentially what I'm doing here is to "riff" in audio form on some notes that I've been making at TMR over the last several days. It's not a deep analysis; I'm not claiming that I've got everything right, and I'm certainly open to changing my mind on any of it as I'm exposed to new information. So, please take it for what it is: thoughts, musings, trying to make sense of what happened... and basically being someone, who, like you, has the audacity (nay, effrontery) to think about matters that one is told one should leave entirely to unimpeachable organs of the state (like the FBI). [For show notes please visit https://themindrenewed.com]

"...we wouldn't want to put somebody up on a sloped roof."—Kimberly Cheatle Once again out of the blue—or out of the red, white and blue (sorry, I couldn't resist)—I'm putting out another short podcast, this time in response to the events of last Saturday in Pennsylvania, in which Donald Trump, as we all know, was very nearly assassinated by an allegedly "lone gunman" in front of the watching world. It's amazing how the "news cycle" speeds along though, isn't it? Already it's getting harder to find mention of it in "mainstream" news outlets. But this was a momentous event—and one that, as nearly everyone is saying, may well propel Trump into the White House for a second term (assuming another assassination attempt isn't successful). Anyway, essentially what I'm doing here is to "riff" in audio form on some notes that I've been making at TMR over the last several days. It's not a deep analysis; I'm not claiming that I've got everything right, and I'm certainly open to changing my mind on any of it as I'm exposed to new information. So, please take it for what it is: thoughts, musings, trying to make sense of what happened... and basically being someone, who, like you, has the audacity (nay, effrontery) to think about matters that one is told one should leave entirely to unimpeachable organs of the state (like the FBI). [For show notes please visit https://themindrenewed.com]

-We talk about the Trump assassination attempt, looking back at the violence and lawlessness the media and the Democrats have been pushing for right up until they got what they wanted.  -The "women are wonderful" effect is in effect all the time. Society struggles to accept the reality of violent women (abusive or murderous mothers, angel of death nurses) even as they see it with their own eyes.  -Potpourri du Moquerie: wig malfunction edition ******************************************************************************** Disaffected is sponsored by the best cured meat you'll ever have. Go to landofbiltong.com and pick up some cured beef or game. It's good for you, no-carb, and made by a family firm who's not afraid to support our spicy show! Use promo code JOSH to get free shipping!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Towards shutdownable agents via stochastic choice, published by EJT on July 8, 2024 on LessWrong. We[1] have a new paper testing the Incomplete Preferences Proposal (IPP). The abstract and main-text is below. Appendices are in the linked PDF. Abstract Some worry that advanced artificial agents may resist being shut down. The Incomplete Preferences Proposal (IPP) is an idea for ensuring that doesn't happen. A key part of the IPP is using a novel 'Discounted REward for Same-Length Trajectories (DREST)' reward function to train agents to: 1. pursue goals effectively conditional on each trajectory-length (be 'USEFUL') 2. choose stochastically between different trajectory-lengths (be 'NEUTRAL' about trajectory-lengths). In this paper, we propose evaluation metrics for USEFULNESS and NEUTRALITY. We use a DREST reward function to train simple agents to navigate gridworlds, and we find that these agents learn to be USEFUL and NEUTRAL. Our results thus suggest that DREST reward functions could also train advanced agents to be USEFUL and NEUTRAL, and thereby make these advanced agents useful and shutdownable. 1. Introduction 1.1. The shutdown problem Let 'advanced agent' refer to an artificial agent that can autonomously pursue complex goals in the wider world. We might see the arrival of advanced agents within the next few decades. There are strong economic incentives to create such agents, and creating systems like them is the stated goal of companies like OpenAI and Google DeepMind. The rise of advanced agents would bring with it both benefits and risks. One risk is that these agents learn misaligned goals: goals that we don't want them to have [Leike et al., 2017, Hubinger et al., 2019, Russell, 2019, Carlsmith, 2021, Bengio et al., 2023, Ngo et al., 2023]. Advanced agents with misaligned goals might try to prevent us shutting them down [Omohundro, 2008, Bostrom, 2012, Soares et al., 2015, Russell, 2019, Thornley, 2024a]. After all, most goals can't be achieved after shutdown. As Stuart Russell puts it, 'you can't fetch the coffee if you're dead' [Russell, 2019, p.141]. Advanced agents with misaligned goals might resist shutdown by (for example) pretending to have aligned goals while covertly seeking to escape human control [Hubinger et al., 2019, Ngo et al., 2023]. Agents that succeed in resisting shutdown could go on to frustrate human interests in various ways. 'The shutdown problem' is the problem of training advanced agents that won't resist shutdown [Soares et al., 2015, Thornley, 2024a]. 1.2. A proposed solution The Incomplete Preferences Proposal (IPP) is a proposed solution to the shutdown problem [Thornley, 2024b]. Simplifying slightly, the idea is that we train agents to be neutral about when they get shut down. More precisely, the idea is that we train agents to satisfy: Preferences Only Between Same-Length Trajectories (POST) 1. The agent has a preference between many pairs of same-length trajectories (i.e. many pairs of trajectories in which the agent is shut down after the same length of time). 2. The agent lacks a preference between every pair of different-length trajectories (i.e. every pair of trajectories in which the agent is shut down after different lengths of time). By 'preference,' we mean a behavioral notion [Savage, 1954, p.17, Dreier, 1996, p.28, Hausman, 2011, §1.1]. On this notion, an agent prefers X to Y if and only if the agent would deterministically choose X over Y in choices between the two. An agent lacks a preference between X and Y if and only if the agent would stochastically choose between X and Y in choices between the two. So in writing of 'preferences,' we're only making claims about the agent's behavior. We're not claiming that the agent is conscious or anything of that sort. Figure 1a presents a simple example of POST-satisfying ...

"The original field recording from Scotland was processed via Stochastic synthesis and various FX. No additional instruments were added." Glenmore stream reimagine by Scott Lawrence Whitman.

SERIES 2 EPISODE 150: COUNTDOWN WITH KEITH OLBERMANN A-Block (1:44) SPECIAL COMMENT: It was a presidential kidnapping and assassination video. It showed a pickup truck, Trump flags flapping in the wind, and on its tailgate, with an illustration of President Biden bound and gagged and thrown in the flatbed. Trump posted the video and he knew what he was doing: it is a stochastic attempt to GET Biden kidnapped or assassinated.  It all makes me again ask a chilling question I first posed months ago. Had any of Trump's various coup attempts succeeded in 2020 – if any of the coup attempts Trump is planning NOW for this election  – exactly what is Trump's plan, or the plans of his thugs and gangs cultists and psychotics and death fetishists and militias and god-and-gun lunatics – for the ACTUAL president he usurps? Now Trump has given us the answer. Have the pick-up truck mob grab Biden and tie him up and throw him in the back of the truck. And the listless, clueless, spineless media as personified as Kristen Welker of NBC, reduces it to: “It is yet another reminder that we are covering this election against the backdrop of a deeply divided nation.” Yeah - like we were divided during the Civil War. If the media had not failed us sufficiently in this case, wait'll you hear the Trump story that wasn't merely covered poorly - it wasn't covered at all. In a move I have long anticipated, Trump minions are begin to soften up potential opposition to repealing or ignoring the 22nd Amendment's presidential term limits and dare us to stop Trump running for re-election in 2028. They have produced nonsensical sophistry in "The American Conservative" that boils down to this: because Trump would not have served CONSECUTIVE terms, the 22nd Amendment wouldn't apply to him.  Disagree? Sue him. Maybe you'll get lucky and find a different Supreme Court that will agree with you and actually defend the Constitution. If not: welcome to the Trump Dictatorship. B-Block (38:30) THE WORST PERSONS IN THE WORLD: Such a pile there are EIGHT award winners. I had to expand the medal stand and hand out aluminum in addition to bronze, silver and gold. Your winners? The owner of the San Francisco Giants, the North Carolina GOP State Superintendent of Schools candidate who belongs to an organization that believes Obama is Hitler's grandson, Mayor Adams of New York, Trump's Media Company, Trump's $200 Burger Buy, Roseanne Barr, The Ohtani-deaf New York Yankees, and Representative Mike Turner. C-Block (51:42) THINGS I PROMISED NOT TO TELL: I outlasted five heads of MSNBC and three chiefs of NBC News (one of them twice) and it looks like I'm about to outlast a fourth. The Ronna McDaniel Scandal continues and the fingers and figurative knives are all pointed towards the Chairman of NBC News Cesar Condé. I have my own history with him, and with the predecessor he most reminds me for pure self-absorption: Andy Lack. Their stories in an all-new edition of Countdown.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this transformative episode of the On the Rocks Podcast, hosted by Emily King and sponsored by KPI Mining, experts Benny Cohen, Matheus Faria, and Giovanni Santos dive deep into the world of mining optimization through the lens of stochastic mine planning. They shed light on how traditional challenges of uncertainty in mining operations can be mitigated by embracing stochastic optimization techniques, originally honed in the oil and gas industry. The discussion explores the significant impacts of this approach, including improved Net Present Value (NPV), enhanced recovery rates, and more accurate forecasts, thereby enabling mining companies to make better-informed decisions and optimize their operations for higher efficiency and profitability.

The Mona Lisa is disrespected, Title IX defenders, The Stochastic Terrorism Bookfair, neo-cervix screenings, the world's largest penis, Vince McMahon is super MeToo'ed, China makes driving safer, Disney swingers, arrested for jokes in a group chat, a guy gives away money, and Madison Madnes reads the news; all that and more this week on The Dick Show!

New Discourses Bullets, Ep. 80 Entryism (https://newdiscourses.com/2023/12/communist-entryism/) is the idea of infiltrating an institution with hostile subversives. It's a name for a variety of strategies for getting them in where they're not wanted. DEI (Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion) programs achieve an entryist goal through an indirect method that involves a bit of randomness. That is, they're stochastic entryism. The way they work is to increase the probability of hiring people who are activists or who can be made activists through further training without intentionally selecting for activists in a direct way. This maintains plausible deniability about the goal of the program. Simultaneously, it pushes people who reject the Woke Marxist ideology out, but again, apparently at random. In this episode of New Discourses Bullets, host James Lindsay breaks down how DEI initiatives and programs achieve stochastic entryism for Woke Marxist activists and how this is the real goal of those programs. Get James Lindsay's book, The Marxification of Education: https://amzn.to/3RYZ0tY Support New Discourses: https://newdiscourses.com/support Follow New Discourses on other platforms: https://newdiscourses.com/subscribe Follow James Lindsay: https://linktr.ee/conceptualjames © 2024 New Discourses. All rights reserved. #NewDiscourses #JamesLindsay #DEI

New year, same Bullshit Mountain. Alex and Emily are joined by feminist technosolutionism critics Eleanor Drage and Kerry McInerney to tear down the ways AI is proposed as a solution to structural inequality, including racism, ableism, and sexism -- and why this hype can occlude the need for more meaningful changes in institutions.Dr. Eleanor Drage is a Senior Research Fellow at the Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence. Dr. Kerry McInerney is a Research Fellow at the Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence and a Research Fellow at the AI Now Institute. Together they host The Good Robot, a podcast about gender, feminism, and whether technology can be "good" in either outcomes or processes.Watch the video version of this episode on PeerTube.References:HireVue promo: How Innovative Hiring Technology Nurtures Diversity, Equity, and InclusionAlgorithm Watch: The [German Federal Asylum Agency]'s controversial dialect recognition software: new languages and an EU pilot projectWant to see how AI might be processing video of your face during a job interview? Play with React App, a tool that Eleanor helped develop to critique AI-powered video interview tools and the 'personality insights' they offer.Philosophy & Technology: Does AI Debias Recruitment? Race, Gender, and AI's “Eradication of Difference” (Drage & McInerney, 2022)Communication and Critical/Cultural Studies: Copies without an original: the performativity of biometric bordering technologies (Drage & Frabetti, 2023)Fresh AI HellInternet of Shit 2.0: a "smart" bidetFake AI “students” enrolled at Michigan UniversitySynthetic images destroy online crochet groups“AI” for teacher performance feedbackPalette cleanser: “Stochastic parrot” is the American Dialect Society's AI-related word of the year for 2023!You can check out future livestreams at https://twitch.tv/DAIR_Institute. Follow us!Emily Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilyMBender Mastodon: https://dair-community.social/@EmilyMBender Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/emilymbender.bsky.social Alex Twitter: https://twitter.com/@alexhanna Mastodon: https://dair-community.social/@alex Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/alexhanna.bsky.social Music by Toby Menon.Artwork by Naomi Pleasure-Park. Production by Christie Taylor.

The Trident Room Podcast Senior Producer, Sara Dixon, sits down with the hosts of The Trident Room Podcast to celebrate their 50th episode. Meet hosts Sara Dixon, Karl Flynn, Steve Bakotic, Colleen Wilmington, and Dan Petersen as they share how they became members of the team, things they've learned while being podcast hosts, and a little about what it means to be part of the Trident Room Podcast. This episode was recorded on August 23, 2023. For students and alumni of the Naval Postgraduate School, the Trident Room is an integral and well-known contributor to academic success and great ideas. While a pint poured in the stout mugs that dangle from above is part of that, we'd like to think it is the unfettered conversation that really makes the difference. No matter what the topic whether it be Stochastic optimization … sub-state, social-revolutionist terrorism … applied fluid mechanics and heat transfer …, The Trident Room Podcast is the destination for illuminating, unencumbered conversation with colleagues, peers and classmates that really brews the NPS learning experience. The Trident Room Podcast … Stout, unfiltered conversation, always on tap. Sara Dixon, SENIOR PRODUCER - Sara grew up in Rushville, IN. She graduated from the United States Naval Academy in 2010 with a Bachelor's in English and commissioned in the Marine Corps. After serving as a CH-53E pilot for a few years, she laterally moved careers to become a Manpower Officer. Prior to joining NPS, she served as the G-1 Manpower-Operations Officer for 1st Marine Division on Camp Pendleton, CA. Sara is studying Manpower Systems Analysis. The Trident Room Podcast is brought to you by the Naval Postgraduate School Alumni Association and the Naval Postgraduate School Foundation • http://www.npsfoundation.org/ For comments, suggestions, and critiques, please email us at TridentRoomPodcastHost@nps.edu, and find us online at nps.edu/tridentroompodcast. Thank you!

Rep. Jayapal says if the GOP doesn't raise the debt ceiling, there will be backlash in the streets. Killer orcas attacking Clarence Thomas. The difference between how Trump and DeSantis treat the media. Getting out of the military. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

So-called “artificial intelligence” is one of the most divisive topics of the year, with even those who understand it in total disagreement about its potential impacts. This week, A.I. reseachers and authors of the famous paper “On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots”, Emily Bender and Timnit Gebru, join Adam to discuss what everyone gets wrong about A.I. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

So-called “artificial intelligence” is one of the most divisive topics of the year, with even those who understand it in total disagreement about its potential impacts. This week, A.I. reseachers and authors of the famous paper “On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots”, Emily Bender and Timnit Gebru, join Adam to discuss what everyone gets wrong about A.I. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Episode 2361: The Art Of The Stochastic Terrorism At Twitter; Judas Pence Helped Promote Lockdowns

In a culture so captive to a “critical theory mood,” the only right and loving response to the hijacking of language is to oppose falsehood and advance truth. This will mean, among other things, refusing to accept or use words and phrases like “stochastic terrorism” which assume all kinds of false and dangerous ideas about who we are.