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Our Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy Michael Zezas and Chief Global Cross-Asset Strategist Serena Tang address themes that are key for markets next year.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Michael Zezas: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy.Serena Tang: And I'm Serena Tang, Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Cross-Asset Strategist.Michael Zezas: Today we'll be talking about key investor debates coming out of our year ahead outlook.It's Wednesday, December 3rd at 10:30am in New York. So, Serena, it was a couple weeks ago that you led the publication of our cross-asset outlook for 2026. And so, you've been engaging with clients over the past few weeks about our views – where they differ. And it seems there's some common themes, really common questions that come up that represent some important debates within the market. Is that fair?Serena Tang: Yeah, that's very fair. And, by the way, I think those important debates, are from investors globally. So, you have investors in Europe, Asia, Australia, North America, all kind of wanting to understand our views on AI, on equity valuations, on the dollar.Michael Zezas: So, let's start with talking about equity markets a bit. And one of the common questions – and I get it too, even though I don't cover equity markets – is really about how AI is affecting valuations. One of the concerns is that the stock market might be too high, might be overvalued because people have overinvested in anything related to AI. What does the evidence say? How are you addressing that question? Serena Tang: It is interesting you say that because I think when investors talk about equities being too high, of valuations – AI related valuations being very stretched, it's very much about parallels to that 1990s valuation bubble.But the way I approach it is like there are some very important differences from that time period, from valuations back then. First of all, I think companies in major equity indices are higher quality than the past. They operate more efficiently. They deliver strong profitability, and in general pretty solid free cash flow.I think we also need to consider how technology now represents a larger share of the index, which has helped push overall net margins to about 14 percent compared to 8 percent during that 1990s valuation bubble. And you know, when margins are higher, I think paying premium for stocks is more justified.In other words, I think multiples in the U.S. right now look more reasonable after adjusting for profit margins and changes in index composition. But we also have to consider, and this is something that we stress in our outlook, the policy backdrop is unusually favorable, right? Like you have economists expecting the Fed to continue easing rates into next year. We have the One Big Beautiful Bill Act that could lower corporate taxes, and deregulation is continuing to be a priority in the U.S. And I think this combination, you know, monetary easing, fiscal stimulus, deregulation. That combination rarely occurs outside of a recession. And I think this creates an environment that supports valuation, which is by the way why we recommend an overweight position in U.S. equities, even if absolute and relative valuation look elevated.Michael Zezas: Got it. So, if I'm hearing you right, what I think you're saying is that comparisons to some bubbles of the past don't necessarily stack up because profitability is better. There aren't excesses in the system. Monetary policy might be on the path that's more accommodative. And so, when compared against all of that, the valuations actually don't look that bad.Serena Tang: Exactly.Michael Zezas: Got it. And sticking with the equity markets, then another common question is – it's related to AI, but it's sort of around this idea that a small set of companies have really been driving most of the growth in the market recently. And it would be better or healthier if the equity market were to perform across a wider set of companies and names, particularly in mid- and small cap companies. Is that something that we see on the horizon?Serena Tang: Yes. We are expecting U.S. stock earnings to sort of broaden out here and it's one of the reasons why our U.S. equity strategy team has upgraded small caps and now prefer it over large caps. And I think like all of this – it comes from the fact that we are in a new bull market. I think we have a very early cycle earnings recovery here. I mean, as discussed before, the macro environment is supportive. And Fed rate cuts over the next 12 months, growth positive tax and regulatory policies, they don't just support valuations. They also act as a tailwind to earnings.And I think like on top of that, leaner cost structures, improving earnings revisions, AI driven efficiency gains. They all support a broad-based earnings upturn. and our U.S. equity strategy team do see above consensus 2026 earnings growth at 17 percent. The only other region where we have earnings growth above consensus in 2026 is Japan; for both Europe and the EM we are below, which drive out equal weight and slight underweight position in those two indices respectively.Michael Zezas: Got it. And so, since we can't seem to get away from talking about AI and how it's influencing markets, the other common question we get here is around debt issuance related to AI.So, our colleagues put together a report from earlier this year talking about the potential for nearly $3 trillion of AI related CapEx spending over the next few years. And we think about half of that is going to have to be debt financed. That seems to be a lot of debt, a lot of potential bonds that might be issued into the market – which, are credit investors supposed to be concerned about that?Serena Tang: We really can't get away from AI as a topic. And I think this will continue because AI-related CapEx is a long-term trend, with much of the CapEx still really ahead. And I think this goes to your question. Because this really means that we expect nearly another [$]3 trillion of data center related CapEx from here to 2028. You know, while half of the spend will come from operating cash flows of hyperscalers, it still leaves a financing gap of around [$]1.5 trillion, which needs to be sourced through various credit channels.Now, part of it will be via private credit, part of it would be via Asset Backed Securities. But some of it would also be via the U.S. investment grade corporate credit bond space. So, add in financing for faster M&A cycle, we forecast around [$]1 trillion in net investment grade bond issuance, you know, up 60 percent from this year.And I think given this technical backdrop, even though credit fundamentals should stay fine, we have doubled downgraded U.S. investment grade corporate credit to underweight within our cross asset allocation.Michael Zezas: Okay, so the fundamentals are fine, but it's just a lot of debt to consume over the next year. And so somewhat strangely, you might expect high yield corporate bonds actually do better.Serena Tang: Yes, because I think a high yield doesn't really see the same headwind from the technical side of things. And on the fundamentals front, our credit team actually has default rates coming down over the next 12 months, which again, I think supports high yield much better than investment grade.Michael Zezas: So, before we wrap up, moving away from the equity markets, let's talk about foreign exchange. The U.S. dollar spent much of last year weakening, and that's a call that our team was early to – eventually became a consensus call. It was premised on the idea that the U.S. was going to experience growth weakness, that there would also be these questions among investors about the role of the dollar in the world as the U.S. was raising trade barriers. It seemed to work out pretty well. Going into 2026 though, I think there's some more questions amongst our investors about whether or not that trend could continue. Where do we land?Serena Tang: I think in the first half of next year that downward pressure on the dollar should still persist. And you know, as you said, we've had a very differentiated view for most of this year, expecting the dollar to weaken in the first half versus G10 currencies. And several things drive this. There is a potential for higher dollar negative risk premium, driven by, I think, near term worries about the U.S. labor markets in the short term. And as investors, I think, debate the likely composition of the FOMC next year. Also, you know, compression in U.S. versus rest of the world. Rate differentials should reduce FX hedging costs, which also adds incentive for hedging activity and dollar selling. All this means that we see downward pressure on the dollar persisting in the first half of next year with EUR/USD at 123 and USD/JPY at 140 by the end of first half 2026.Michael Zezas: All right. Well, that's a pretty good survey about what clients care about and what our view is. So, Serena, thanks for taking the time to talk with me today.Serena Tang: And thank you for inviting me to the show today.Michael Zezas: And to our audience, thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review and share the podcast. We want everyone to listen.
Send us a textFragile risk appetite, despite cryptos showing signs of life. Strong Fed cut expectations as key US data in the spotlight today. Dollar weakness lingers, dollar/yen decline stabilizes. Oil and gold in anticipation mode; US-Russia negotiations hit a speed bump.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textISM mfg slides but prices subindex rebounds. Dollar stabilizes asDecember rate cut chance slips somewhat. Yen retreats as JGB auctiondraws solid demand. Wall Street pulls back, gold eases after hittingresistance at $4,270.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textRisk appetite tested as countdown to Fed meeting commences. Cryptos crash, erasing last week's solid gains. Fed blackout period in place, focus shifts to US data releases. Oil and gold rally, as dollar loses ground across the board.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textFlurry of US data to test dovish Fed expectations as next meeting looms. ISM PMIs, ADP employment and PCE inflation may yet upset rate cut hopes. Eurozone CPI, Australian GDP, Canadian employment also on tap.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textIncreasing bets of December Fed rate cut weigh on the dollar. Yen traders remain worried about potential intervention. Pound erases some of the Budget-related gains. Oil rebounds as Russia remains skeptical about a peace deal.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textLow liquidity session ahead due to the US Thanksgiving holiday. Historypoints to a strong equity rally post-Thanksgiving. Equities post decent gainsthis week, also pulling cryptos higher. Gold rally pauses, oil awaits peacetalks progress; dollar/yen stabilizes.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textUS PPI and retail sales data push December rate cut odds upto 76%. Pound traders eagerly awaiting the UK Autumn budgetannouncement. Yen on intervention watch; Kiwi rallies as RBNZ signals nomore cuts. Wall Street celebrates dovish Fed bets, oil slides on Ukrainedeal.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textThe lack of November data and light Fedspeak could challenge risk appetite. Holiday-shortened week comes into play as liquidity dries up. Muted movement in FX space; dollar-yen rally has paused. Goldand oil await developments on the Ukraine-Russia front.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
APAC stocks mostly firmer following the Wall St. handover, though China was mixed amid reports of Trump selling NVIDIA chips to China.Fed's Collins says she has not made up her mind on December. Treasury Secretary Bessent said prices are getting better.DXY contained, EUR/USD bounced from 1.15, Cable rangebound, USD/JPY firmer but limited in holiday trade.USTs and Bunds contained after the moves seen on Friday; Crude is uneventful, XAU continues to fade.US' Rubio said good progress had been made re. Ukraine, and none of the outstanding issues are insurmountable.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo (Nov), US National Activity Index (Oct), Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov), Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Elderson & Lagarde, Supply from the US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Send us a textFed's Williams indicates rate cut still on the cards inDecember. Dollar slightly softer except against yen, which testspolicymakers' patience. Wall Street stages unconvincing rebound, cryptosalso not out of the woods. Gold lacks direction, oil pressured by US pushfor Ukraine peace plan.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textRisk assets sell off on AI valuation concerns and hawkish Fedspeak. US data in focus amidst a holiday-shortened week with low liquidity available. Dollar weakness hinges on improved risk appetite and weak data releases. Intervention risk heightens for yen; pound traders await Wednesday's Budget.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textNFP beats estimates, but unemployment rate rises. Dollar retreats as Dec.Fed cut chance increases slightly. Yen rebounds after Katayama mentionspossibility of intervention. Wall Street slips as Fed officials worry aboutasset valuations.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textFed minutes weigh on December Fed rate cut chance. Traders lock gazeon September US jobs data. Yen extends losses as intervention seemsless imminent. Wall Street cheers Nvidia's earnings results.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textEquities steadier after Wall Street bloodbath; all eyes on Nvidia. Gold on firmer footing but cryptos slide again. Dollar at one-week high ahead of Fed minutes. Pound slips marginally after CPI data, soaring Japanese yields pressure yen.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textStocks' sell-off continues, cryptos feel the brunt while gold also suffers. Dented December Fed rate cut expectations play a key role. Nvidia earnings and data releases could turn the tide around. Yen remains under pressure amidst stimulus talks.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textDollar edges up as delayed NFP and other US data set to start rolling in. Gold battered by waning Fed rate cut expectations. Jump in UK and Japanese yields also causes angst. But some relief for equities and cryptos from easing US tariffs. Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Arindam Sandilya, Meera Chandan and James Nelligan discuss the outlook for currencies with a focus on the European FX bloc. This podcast was recorded on 14 November 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5131492-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
Send us a textUS stocks sell off, led by the Nasdaq 100 index and discretionary shares. Cryptos under severe pressure, Bitcoin drops below the key $100k level. Hawkish Fedspeak and dented Fed cut expectations among the drivers. Dollar/yen stabilizes as pound suffers from political instability.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textJapan and the UK to publish CPI data, but not the US. US October jobs and inflation reports may never get released. New release schedule likely; FOMC minutes eyed in meantime. Flash PMIs to be watched amid renewed economic worries.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textUS shutdown ends, investors prepare for a flurry of delayed data. Fedspeak remains hawkish; US administration craves rate cuts. Euro/dollar climbs to 1.1600; cable and dollar/yen stabilize. Equities and gold rally, but risk sentiment appears fragile.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textJapan's Katayama highlights negative impact of weak yen. US labor marketconcerns increase chance of December Fed cut. Soft UK jobs report takesBoE rate cut probability higher. Stock futures rise; gold extends rebounddespite broader optimism. Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textWall Street bounces back as shutdown could end by Wednesday. But freshjitters as China considers new rare earth export curbs. Pound slips afterjobs data, yen remains under pressure. Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textG10 FX performance points to increased risk appetite. US Senate advances a bill to fund government until January 30. Wall Street futures gain on prospect of US gov. reopening. Gold rebounds strongly, perhaps on catch-up response. Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textDollar remains strong on hawkish Fed rate cut bets. UK data could impact December BoE rate cut chances. Decent AU jobs report could reduce the need of another RBA cut. Chinese data, EZ GDP and EU forecasts also on the agenda.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textUS equities seek direction amidst mixed newsflow. Hawkish Fedspeak, light data calendar and the US shutdown dent risk appetite. Cryptos under heavy pressure; gold struggles to rally above $4,000. Pound gains despite dovish BoE but outlook remains clouded.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textUS jobs and PMI data ease growth concerns, boosting sentiment. Wall Street indices close higher but stay cautious. Yields jump as Fed rate cut bets pared back, yet dollar retreats. Pound extends recovery ahead of BoE decision.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
APAC stocks were mixed after an early sell-off following the losses stateside, where tech underperformed amid valuation concerns.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.7% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.3% on Tuesday.The USD rally has paused for breath (DXY remains above 100), EUR/USD is unable to reclaim 1.15 status, USD/JPY failed to hold below 153.Global fixed income benchmarks remain supported, crude futures lack direction, Gold remains below USD 4k.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Orders, EZ, UK & US Final PMI, EZ Producer Prices, US ADP, US ISM Services PMI, Riksbank, NBP & BCB Policy Announcements, ECB Wage Tracker, US Supreme Court Tariff hearing begins, Speakers including ECB's Nagel, BoE's Breeden, BoC's Macklem & Rogers, Riksbank's Jansson, US QRA, Supply from Germany.Earnings from BMW, Novo Nordisk, Pandora, AMC, Arm, Snap & McDonald'sRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Send us a textRisk aversion mounts amid increasing doubts about AI valuations. Nasdaqleads the declines on Wall Street, Nikkei tumbles 2.5%. Gold and yenattract safe-haven bids but panic may already be easing.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textEquities in a sour mood, led lower by tumbling cryptocurrencies. Fedspeakand a thin US data calendar in focus. US dollar and gold yet to benefit frommarket nervousness. RBA stands pat; aussie falls victim to the broaderrisk-off sentiment.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
APAC stocks traded mostly higher overnight. European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.2%.Chinese RatingDog Manufacturing PMI data disappointed amid a sharp decline in export orders.Fed's Waller said he still advocates for the Fed to cut rates in December and said data fog does not tell you to stop.Crude futures gained at the open as participants digested the latest OPEC+ decision to raise output again by a modest 137k bpd in December before pausing for Q1 2026.In FX, DXY is steady, USD/JPY sits above 154 with Japan away from market, EUR/USD remains on a 1.15 handle, AUD marginally outperforms ahead of RBA this week.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, EZ, UK & US Final Manufacturing PMI, US ISM Manufacturing PMI, Speakers including Fed's Daly, ECB's Lane & BoC's Macklem, Supply from BoE Gilt Sale (long-term), US Financing Estimates.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Send us a textDollar extends gains following hawkish Fed decision. Amid ongoing US shutdown, ADP and ISM reports enter the spotlight. Yen and pound stay wounded due to dovish BoJ and BoE bets. Stocks gain, gold rebounds, oil opens with positive gap on OPEC decision.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Further positive trade rhetoric from the US, mega-cap earnings in focus; AMZN +12.9% after-hours, AAPL +2.7%European futures point to a slightly softer open, US futures rebounded from the Powell pressure amid earnings, NQ leadsDXY paused for breath, EUR/USD beneath 1.16, Antipodeans lackluster after a disappointing Chinese Manufacturing PMIFixed benchmarks subdued, weighed on in part by sizable Meta supplyCrude futures lacked demand, XAU tested the USD 4k/oz mark to the downside, base metals rangeboundLooking ahead, highlights include German Import Prices (Sep), Retail Sales (Sep), EZ Flash HICP (Oct), Italian CPI, Dallas Fed (Sep), Chicago PMI (Oct), (Suspended Releases: US PCE, Employment Costs), ECB Bulletin, Speakers including Fed's Logan, Bostic, Miran & Schmid, Earnings from Exxon Mobil, Chevron, AbbVie, AON & Intesa SanpaoloClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Send us a textRisk appetite has not fully enjoyed the treats of a Fed rate cut, strong earnings and trade peace. Fedspeak, the US Supreme Court and US data could challenge the dollar's current strength. Aussie and pound are on divergent paths as respective central banks meet next week. The battle for $4,000 gold persists.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Send us a textDollar to end week on strong footing after Fed's hawkish cut. Pound andyen lead the declines, euro steadies after ECB. Wall Street slips on mixedearnings but likely to rebound.Risk Warning: Our services involve a significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. *T&Cs apply.Please consider our Risk Disclosure: https://www.xm.com/goto/risk/enRisk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warningReceive your daily market and forex news analysis directly from experienced forex and market news analysts! Tune in here to stay updated on a daily basis: https://www.xm.com/weekly-forex-review-and-outlookIn-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD
Im 50.000 € Double-Digit Dividend Depot mache ich heute den nächsten Core-Schritt: BPCR (BioPharma Credit) verlässt das Kernportfolio, dafür kommt das IncomeShares Silver Plus Yield ETP neu hinein – mit monatlicher Ausschüttung und einer Ziel-Ausschüttungsrendite um 10 %. Vor dem Kauf gibt's einen fokussierten Marktcheck (S&P 500, Emerging Markets, STOXX Europe 600, EUR↔USD), ein Update zur Dividendenentwicklung (u. a. Global Select Dividend 100 / All-World Yield) und die Einordnung, warum Covered-Call-Bausteine in Phasen höherer Volatilität die Cashflows stabilisieren.Das Projekt verfolgt ein klares Ziel: rund 10 % Ausschüttungsrendite p. a. mit möglichst monatlichen Cashflows – also etwa 5.000 € pro Jahr bei 50.000 € Depotvolumen. Die Konstruktion bleibt breit diversifiziert und in Teilen unkorreliert (Aktien, Anleihen, Edelmetalle, Optionsstrategien), sodass das Einkommen auch in schwierigeren Marktphasen verlässlich fließt und das Rendite-/Risikoprofil insgesamt robuster wird.Im heutigen Video erkläre ich, warum BPCR im Core nicht mehr perfekt passt (Alternatives-Charakter) und wie das IncomeShares Silver Plus Yield ETP als Edelmetall-Baustein Upside-Partizipation ohne aggressiven Cap mit monatlichen Payouts kombiniert. Danach schauen wir ins Depot: Ausschüttungen der letzten Wochen (u. a. Covered-Call-ETFs, EM-Bonds, MLPs, EuroStoxx 50 CC) und der Blick auf Gold & Silber – nicht als All-in-These, sondern als Diversifikationsmotor. Zum Schluss: Verkauf BPCR, Kauf IncomeShares Silver Plus Yield – inklusive Order, Ausführung und Reinvest der Cashflows.Mein 10 % Dividende-Depot setze ich in hier um: https://tinyurl.com/4et4a624 (Partner-Link)Bei Freedom24 profitiert ihr von: ✅ Echter persönlicher Ansprechpartner (alleinstellungsmerkmal) ✅ Echter Options und Anleihe Handel (Seltenheit) ✅ Schnellerer Professioneller Status (für US-ETFs)
How to Retire in PortugalPicture it: retiring fabulously in Portugal with LGBTQ+ protections, world-class healthcare, and the freedom to split time between Europe and the U.S.—without uprooting your life today. In Queer Money® episode 613, we sit down with Pedro Lino, CEO of Optimize Investment Partners, to unpack the Portugal Golden Opportunities Fund—a SEC-registered, PFIC-compliant mutual fund designed to qualify investors for Portugal's Golden Visa (residency now, citizenship later). We cover why a Golden Visa can be smart “life-hedging” in uncertain times, how the fund works (stocks/bonds, no real estate), what's changing in Europe, using self-directed IRAs, costs, timelines, and how one investment can include your spouse, kids, and even parents through family reunification.Whether your dream is six months in Lisbon and six months stateside, a second passport for your kids' future, or a values-aligned Plan B if U.S. politics keeps fraying your nerves, this episode gives you the details to decide with confidence.TakeawaysA Golden Visa is optionality: live/work/travel in the EU now or later—without leaving the U.S. immediately.Portugal is consistently LGBTQ+ friendly, with significantly lower healthcare costs and robust protections.The current path is via eligible investment funds (no real estate); fund must meet strict criteria (≥60% PT companies, no real estate, long-only, five-year availability).Self-directed IRAs can be used; look for SEC-registered and PFIC-compliant structures to keep U.S. tax/reporting clean.One qualifying investment can include spouse, kids, and parents via family reunification, creating a multi-generational Plan B.Chapters00:00 – Dream setup & why a Plan B now01:22 – What a Golden Visa actually gives you (residency → citizenship)03:18 – You don't have to move today: optionality for LGBTQ+ families05:02 – Why Portugal for LGBTQ+ safety, community & healthcare07:10 – Real-estate option removed: what changed and why funds remain10:12 – Inside the Golden Opportunities Fund (eligibility rules, asset mix)13:15 – Returns, risk, and diversification vs. buying a single property16:02 – Using self-directed IRAs; SEC & PFIC compliance explained19:04 – Demand, timelines, and potential policy shifts to watch22:31 – Costs, EUR/USD realities & creative ways families reach €500K26:05 – Family reunification: who can be included under one application28:40 – Downturn strategy: dividend-rich Portuguese market & bonds31:12 – What Optimize handles vs. what U.S. custodians/lawyers handle34:20 – Wrap-up & how to send us follow-up questionsDownload your free Happy Gay Retirement CalculatorMentioned in this episode:Get Your Portugal Golden Visa Faster Here!Want a European passport with access to living in nearly any European country? Just click the link below to find out how. Get Your Portugal Golden Visa Here!Get Your Portugal Golden Visa Here!
Join host Mark McKevitt from AIB's Customer Treasury Team and AIB Senior Economist John Fahey for the October Market Moves edition of AIB Market Talk. In this episode, they break down the latest developments in the financial markets, including:Recent shifts in the euro, dollar, and yen, and the drivers behind currency movementsThe impact of political events, such as the resignation of the French Prime Minister and leadership changes in JapanWhat to expect from the upcoming UK and Eurozone budgets, and their implications for fiscal sustainabilityCentral bank outlooks: ECB, Bank of England, and US Federal Reserve rate expectations for the coming monthsKey forecasts for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP through year-end and into 2026 Whether you're a business leader, investor, or simply interested in market trends, this episode offers clear, expert insights to help you stay informed.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. You can also find us on Twitter @TreasuryAIB . Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2
APAC stocks were mostly higher as expectations for incoming Fed rate cuts helped the region shrug off the mixed lead from Wall St.Fed Chair Powell said downside risks to the US jobs market have risen and rising risks to the job market justified a September interest rate cut.US President Trump announced he is considering terminating business with China regarding cooking oil.European equity futures indicate a firm cash market open with EuroStoxx 50 future up 1.2% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.3% on Tuesday.DXY is softer and now basically flat on the week, AUD is attempting to atone for recent losses, EUR/USD sits on a 1.16 handle.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Industrial Production (Aug), NY Fed Manufacturing (Oct), Cleveland Fed CPI (Sep), US Military Pay Date, Fed Beige Book, (Suspended Releases: US CPI), BoE's Ramsden & Breeden, ECB's de Guindos, Lane & Lagarde, Fed's Miran, Bostic, Waller & Schmid, RBA's Bullock & Kent, Supply from UK & Germany.Earnings from ASML, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, Dollar Tree & Progressive.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks were mixed following the rebound on Wall St; Japan underperformed on return from holiday/reacted to the ruling coalition split.China's MOFCOM announced that it is taking countermeasures against five US-linked firms; said the US cannot have talks while threatening new restrictions.European equity futures indicate a mildly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.7% on Monday.DXY is a touch softer, antipodeans lag, JPY picked up as the risk sentiment soured, EUR/USD is on the rise and eyeing 1.16.French PM Lecornu's government is to present a budget aiming to reduce the deficit to 4.7% by end-2026, according to La Tribune.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Unemployment/Wages (Aug), German ZEW (Oct), US NFIB (Sep), IEA OMR, Fed Discount Rate Minutes, ECB's Cipollone & Villeroy, BoE's Bailey & Taylor, Fed's Powell, Waller, Collins & Bowman, BoC's Rogers, RBA's Hunter & Hauser, Supply from Netherlands, Italy & GermanyEarnings from BlackRock, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citi, Wells Fargo, Johnson & Johnson, Bellway & LVMH.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
En el podcast de hoy hacemos un recap de la situación de los fondos indexados a día de hoy: el S&P 500 está muy concentrado por Big Tech, el EUR/USD... Y mucho más.Oferta del 10% de DESCUENTO (antes de la subida de precio): https://boringcapital.net/contrata (código promo: "PODCAST")
Inwestomat - prosty podcast o oszczędzaniu, inwestowaniu i gospodarce
In this week's Macro Mondays, James Brodie, James Todd, and Spyridon Kokas, break down a week of record highs and rising uncertainty. Japan's new Prime Minister, Senae Takaichi, pledged sweeping stimulus, sending the Nikkei up nearly 5% and the Yen down 2%, as debt fears grew. In Europe, French Prime Minister Lecornu resigned after less than a month, driving Euro weakness and a sell-off in French bonds, now yielding above Italy's. U.S. data remains scarce amid the government shutdown, with consumer confidence plunging and UBS pegging recession odds at 90%. Gold surged to new all-time high alongside the S&P500, Nasdaq, NVIDIA, and Bitcoin, while silver, platinum and palladium also surged higher; however, Brent struggled near $65/bbl. Bitcoin hit fresh records as liquidity flooded risk assets. With Powell set to speak and four Fed cuts priced in, the team debates whether gold's relentless rally or the market's euphoria is telling the real macro story.
Trade Bitcoin Like a Pro Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass #607: Trade Bitcoin Like a Pro In this video: 00:26 – Do you want to know how to trade Cryptos? 00:45 – I want to buy Bitcoin. 01:50 – What's your local exchange rate against the USD? 02:28 – Trade Crypto using my proven FX strategy. 02:55 – Wait for a pullback first. 03:22 – Trade only the bullish patterns. 03:49 – Trade a different crypto that is a better buy. 04:54 – Check out my new 30 minutes Masterclass. 05:18 – Book a call to talk with us. 05:22 - Blueberry Markets as a Forex Broker. 05:48 – Like, Share and Subscribe Today, I wanted to share with you how you can invest in the crypto market wisely, using a proven trading strategy. So let's talk about that and more. Right now. Hey there, Forex Traders! It's Andrew Mitchem here at The Forex Trading Coach with video on podcast number 607. Do you want to know how to trade Cryptos? So today we're actually not talking about forex. We're going to be talking about cryptos. You see this so many people out there jumping on the bandwagon of buying cryptos. And unfortunately most people don't really know what they're doing. The trouble is that just buying cryptos or coins because of that whole FOMO, the fear of missing out. I want to buy Bitcoin. And a classic example of that is just a few weeks ago, I was talking to a friend of mine and she said, look, Andrew, I've gone and bought some Bitcoin. I said, fantastic, but why did you buy a Bitcoin when it was an almost like it's an all time high. So far it was up close to $124,000 USD. And you know that so far has been the highest it's ever got to. And she said oh well, I've just got some money through the sale of a property and I thought I'd buy some bitcoin. You know, I don't want to miss out and I think it's going to go higher and higher. I said, well, okay, look if you're willing to hold it for, you know, months, years, it could still well be an okay decision. But the here's the issue that I find with so many people is they are not buying a crypto for a particular reason. They buy Bitcoin because they know Bitcoin. And everybody says it's going to go to 200,000. And so you're buying it thinking it's going to go up. Probably not a great way of doing it. And there's probably other things you can do to make that decision better. What's your local exchange rate against the USD? Now added on top of this, if you don't live in the US and you're buying it in equivalent of another currency, like for me and my friend who is New Zealand dollars right now, the New Zealand US dollar rate is really, really terrible for us because the US is strong and then New Zealand is weak. And therefore if you're buying an equivalent in US dollars, you've got a double whammy. You've got the let's say Bitcoin that almost an all time high. And you've got the NZD/USD rate at very low rate. So you're getting smashed on both sides. It's costing you a lot of money in your local currency to go and buy already a high value product such as Bitcoin. Trade Crypto using my proven FX strategy. Now take this back to how we trade and how we can help you. There's a few things you can do because we trade cryptos using my proven forex strategy in exactly the same way as we would trade, let's say the EUR/USD. And what we're using is technical analysis. And you can apply some very simple basic. Once you know what you're doing technical analysis to make your crypto decisions better. So let's stick with our example of buying Bitcoin. Wait for a pullback first. Instead of just randomly buying Bitcoin at today's price. You could instead use some good technical knowledge and wait for a pullback and then a bullish opportunity to go long again and buy it at a lower and better price.
Meera Chandan, Antonin Delair and Patrick Locke discuss the lower conviction and data dependent outlook for the dollar, as well as implications from systematic signals, the US government shutdown and payrolls. Risks around the EUR/USD view as well as AI-FX linkages are discussed. Speakers Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy Antonin Delair, Global FX Strategy Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy This podcast was recorded on September 26, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5089100-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
APAC stocks eventually traded mixed following the subdued lead from Wall Street; Japanese markets returned from holiday, Chinese markets were choppy before posting gains.Fed Chair Powell said that towards the next meeting, the Fed will look at labour market, growth data, and inflation data to assess whether policy is in the right place, adding that if it is not, they will move it there.DXY edged higher throughout the APAC session, EUR/USD briefly dipped under 1.1800, AUD was boosted by Aussie CPI, JPY weakened slightly post-PMI.US President Trump shifted his stance on Ukraine and said he thinks Ukraine, with the support of the EU, is in a position to fight and "win" all of Ukraine back in its original form.OpenAI, Oracle (ORCL), and Softbank (9984 JT) announced five new US data centres; NVIDIA (NVDA) director Mark A. Stevens sold over 350k common shares.European equity futures are indicative of a softer cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.4% after cash closed +0.6% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo Survey (Sep), Supply from Italy, UK, Germany, US, Speeches from BoE's Greene, Fed's Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded mixed with global risk sentiment cautious ahead of the crucial FOMC policy decision.White House said it was further extending the TikTok enforcement delay, with the deadline to sell TikTok extended until December 16th.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.3% on Tuesday.DXY is flat after yesterday's selling pressure. EUR/USD retains a firm footing on a 1.18 handle, GBP awaits UK inflation metrics.USTs and Bunds are steady. Crude futures slightly eased back from this week's peak.Looking ahead, highlights include ECB Wage Tracker, UK Inflation (Aug), EZ HICP Final (Aug), New Zealand GDP (Q2), US Atlanta Fed GDP, FOMC Announcement, BoC Announcement, BCB Announcement, Bank of Indonesia Announcement, ECB's Lagarde, Nagel, Cipollone, Fed Chair Powell, BoC's Macklem & US President Trump, Supply from Germany & UK, Earnings from General Mills.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded mostly lower with the region cautious amid a lack of fresh drivers and following the holiday lull stateside.BoJ Deputy Governor Himino reiterated it is appropriate to continue raising interest rates in accordance with improvements in the economy and prices but noted high uncertainty.European equity futures indicate a slightly softer cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.3% on Monday.DXY is higher, JPY lags, EUR/USD has reverted back onto a 1.16 handle and antipodeans lag alongside the soft risk tone.Bunds are subdued following the prior day's retreat, crude futures extended the prior day's gains, spot gold hit a fresh record high above USD 3.500/oz. Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Flash HICP (Aug), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP, Speakers including ECB's Elderson & Nagel, and Supply from Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded mostly lower after global markets faded last Friday's post-Powell dovish reaction.US President Trump threatened to impose substantial additional tariffs on countries that do not remove discriminatory actions such as digital taxes.US President Trump posted a letter removing Fed's Cook from her position with immediate effect; Cook says she will not resign.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.5% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.8% on Monday.FX markets are contained, EUR/USD is supported by the 1.16 mark, USD/JPY sits on a 147 handle.Looking ahead, highlights include US Durable Goods (Jul), Consumer Confidence (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP, Riksbank Minutes, NBH Announcement, E3/Iran Nuclear talks, Fed Discount Rate Minutes, Fed's Barkin & BoE's Mann, Supply from Italy and the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks began the week on the front foot as the region took its opportunity to react to the dovish comments by Fed Chair Powell at Jackson Hole on Friday.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.5% on Friday.DXY is a touch firmer but unable to recover much of Friday's lost ground. EUR/USD remains on a 1.17 handle.Bund futures have faded some of last Friday's gains, crude futures are steady.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo (Aug), US National Activity (Jul), Comments from Fed's Logan and Supply from the EU.Note, today is a UK bank holiday. The desk is open as usual. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk