Situation in which financial assets suddenly lose a large part of their nominal value
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The government shutdown has silenced the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving investors without the monthly jobs report. But does Wall Street really need the BLS to keep moving? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore what happens when government labor data goes missing, how traders adapt, and what alternative indicators might offer clues about the state of the economy. Lance and Mike also examine valuation metrics in the markets, and discuss claims that interest rates are still too high. Can the "AI Effect" sustaining markets and the economy continue into 2026? 0:19 - What the Economic Surprise Index is Saying 4:29 - Markets Hit All-time High. Again. 9:30 - When P/E Ratios are Elevated 12:25 - 1999 Valuations vs Now 13:52 - Is the AI Excitement Worth It? 17:47 - The Risk of Disappointment 21:57 - Government Shutdown Ramifications 24:03 - BLS vs ADP 27:31 - What JOLTS & IRS Data is Telling Us 33:44 - Stephen Miran - Are Rates Too High? 35:38 - The Fallacy of CPI 37:37 - Immigration Impact on Economic Growth 39:00 - The Natural Rate of Interest 41:26 - The Taylor Rule Explained 45:17 - Will AI Spending Be Able to Continue into 2026? 46:58 - The Resilience of the Market
The government shutdown has silenced the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving investors without the monthly jobs report. But does Wall Street really need the BLS to keep moving? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore what happens when government labor data goes missing, how traders adapt, and what alternative indicators might offer clues about the state of the economy. Lance and Mike also examine valuation metrics in the markets, and discuss claims that interest rates are still too high. Can the "AI Effect" sustaining markets and the economy continue into 2026? 0:19 - What the Economic Surprise Index is Saying 4:29 - Markets Hit All-time High. Again. 9:30 - When P/E Ratios are Elevated 12:25 - 1999 Valuations vs Now 13:52 - Is the AI Excitement Worth It? 17:47 - The Risk of Disappointment 21:57 - Government Shutdown Ramifications 24:03 - BLS vs ADP 27:31 - What JOLTS & IRS Data is Telling Us 33:44 - Stephen Miran - Are Rates Too High? 35:38 - The Fallacy of CPI 37:37 - Immigration Impact on Economic Growth 39:00 - The Natural Rate of Interest 41:26 - The Taylor Rule Explained 45:17 - Will AI Spending Be Able to Continue into 2026? 46:58 - The Resilience of the Market
The U.S. government shutdown has officially started. What does this mean for the economy, markets, and your investments? Lance Roberts covers the immediate fallout from the shutdown on federal spending, workers, and services ; how markets have historically reacted during shutdowns—and what to expect this time; the risk to GDP, delayed economic data releases, and consumer confidence. This shutdown is more than politics—it's a real test for the economy and financial markets. Stay informed and prepared. [*NOTE: YouTube sustained severe streaming issues during this morning's live feed. This is a separate recording of the show.]
The U.S. government shutdown has officially started. What does this mean for the economy, markets, and your investments? Lance Roberts covers the immediate fallout from the shutdown on federal spending, workers, and services ; how markets have historically reacted during shutdowns—and what to expect this time; the risk to GDP, delayed economic data releases, and consumer confidence. This shutdown is more than politics—it's a real test for the economy and financial markets. Stay informed and prepared. [*NOTE: YouTube sustained severe streaming issues during this morning's live feed. This is a separate recording of the show.]
Andrew is the Janet Yellen Professor of Finance and Management at the Yale School of Management and Director of the Yale Program on Financial Stability, specializing in financial crises. He discusses the vulnerabilities of the banking system, lessons from recent crises like SVB and the GFC, the government's role in crisis management, and the biggest risks facing today's financial system.
The Bank of Japan has completed the sale of stocks acquired from domestic financial institutions during past financial crises, it was learned Monday.
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Peter Schiff: How Smart Entrepreneurs and Investors Preserve Wealth During Financial Crises https://youtu.be/IihzPTqrk6o?si=i2yIBdbJDMAsqogq Young and Profiting 54.2K subscribers 8,617 views Apr 16, 2025 Young and Profiting Head to https://sponsr.is/kinsta_youngandprof... or scan QR Code on the screen to get your first month of Managed WordPress Hosting for free and migrate your website over at no cost! Peter Schiff made a name for himself in finance by challenging mainstream views on wealth and the economy. In 2011, he attended the Occupy Wall Street protests with a sign that read, “I am the 1%,” challenging the movement's perception of wealth inequality. A vocal critic of inflation and government spending, Peter accurately predicted the 2008 financial crisis. He is also a strong advocate for investing in real assets like gold, as opposed to Crypto. In this episode, Peter breaks down the real causes of inflation and income inequality, explains why Bitcoin isn't a safe investment, and shares the best strategies to protect your wealth from inflation. In this episode, Hala and Peter will discuss: 00:00 Introduction 00:57 Income Inequality and Occupy Wall Street 04:24 The Role of Government in Wealth Inequality 13:53 The Impact of Taxes on the Economy 18:11 The Consequences of Government Spending 31:15 Investing in Real Assets 34:31 The Value of Gold 45:55 Bitcoin vs. Gold 47:41 Bitcoin's Scarcity and Utility 48:10 Gold's Unique Properties and Uses 50:09 Bitcoin vs. Gold: Value and Utility 51:13 The Cryptocurrency Market and Meme Coins 53:47 Bitcoin's Competition and Future 55:33 Bitcoin's Volatility and Investment Risks 57:18 The Rise and Fall of Bitcoin and NFTs 01:02:58 The Potential of Tokenization 01:10:10 The Reality of Recessions and Economic Predictions 01:19:34 Preparing for Economic Downturns Peter Schiff is an investment broker, financial commentator, author, and the founder of Euro Pacific Asset Management. Known for accurately predicting the 2008 financial crisis, he strongly advocates for gold as both a store of value and protection against inflation. Peter also hosts The Peter Schiff Show podcast and has authored bestselling books, including Crash Proof and The Real Crash. A well-known critic of Bitcoin, he has called it a "Ponzi scheme." -------------------------------------------------------------------- Check out our ACU Patreon page: https://www.patreon.com/ACUPodcast HELP ACU SPREAD THE WORD! Please go to Apple Podcasts and give ACU a 5 star rating. Apple canceled us and now we are clawing our way back to the top. Don't let the Leftist win. Do it now! Thanks. Also Rate us on any platform you follow us on. It helps a lot. Forward this show to friends. Ways to subscribe to the American Conservative University Podcast Click here to subscribe via Apple Podcasts Click here to subscribe via RSS You can also subscribe via Stitcher FM Player Podcast Addict Tune-in Podcasts Pandora Look us up on Amazon Prime …And Many Other Podcast Aggregators and sites ACU on Twitter- https://twitter.com/AmerConU . Warning- Explicit and Violent video content. Please help ACU by submitting your Show ideas. Email us at americanconservativeuniversity@americanconservativeuniversity.com Endorsed Charities -------------------------------------------------------- Pre-Born! Saving babies and Souls. https://preborn.org/ OUR MISSION To glorify Jesus Christ by leading and equipping pregnancy clinics to save more babies and souls. WHAT WE DO Pre-Born! partners with life-affirming pregnancy clinics all across the nation. We are designed to strategically impact the abortion industry through the following initiatives:… -------------------------------------------------------- Help CSI Stamp Out Slavery In Sudan Join us in our effort to free over 350 slaves. Listeners to the Eric Metaxas Show will remember our annual effort to free Christians who have been enslaved for simply acknowledging Jesus Christ as their Savior. As we celebrate the birth of Christ this Christmas, join us in giving new life to brothers and sisters in Sudan who have enslaved as a result of their faith. https://csi-usa.org/metaxas https://csi-usa.org/slavery/ Typical Aid for the Enslaved A ration of sorghum, a local nutrient-rich staple food A dairy goat A “Sack of Hope,” a survival kit containing essential items such as tarp for shelter, a cooking pan, a water canister, a mosquito net, a blanket, a handheld sickle, and fishing hooks. Release celebrations include prayer and gathering for a meal, and medical care for those in need. The CSI team provides comfort, encouragement, and a shoulder to lean on while they tell their stories and begin their new lives. Thank you for your compassion Giving the Gift of Freedom and Hope to the Enslaved South Sudanese -------------------------------------------------------- Food For the Poor https://foodforthepoor.org/ Help us serve the poorest of the poor Food For The Poor began in 1982 in Jamaica. Today, our interdenominational Christian ministry serves the poor in primarily 17 countries throughout the Caribbean and Latin America. Thanks to our faithful donors, we are able to provide food, housing, healthcare, education, fresh water, emergency relief, micro-enterprise solutions and much more. We are proud to have fed millions of people and provided more than 15.7 billion dollars in aid. Our faith inspires us to be an organization built on compassion, and motivated by love. Our mission is to bring relief to the poorest of the poor in the countries where we serve. We strive to reflect God's unconditional love. It's a sacrificial love that embraces all people regardless of race or religion. We believe that we can show His love by serving the “least of these” on this earth as Christ challenged us to do in Matthew 25. We pray that by God's grace, and with your support, we can continue to bring relief to the suffering and hope to the hopeless. Report on Food For the Poor by Charity Navigator https://www.charitynavigator.org/ein/592174510 -------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer from ACU. We try to bring to our students and alumni the World's best Conservative thinkers. All views expressed belong solely to the author and not necessarily to ACU. In all issues and relations, we hope to follow the admonitions of Jesus Christ. While striving to expose, warn and contend with evil, we extend the love of God to all of his children. -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Global Impact of US Economic Policies The international economic policies of the United States have shifted dramatically since the inauguration of Donald Trump as president at the end of January. Thus far, the most impactful have been a series of historically large tariff announcements on most countries in the world. Former US Treasury Economist, Brad Setser examines these policy changes and their implications for the US economy, global trade and investment flows, financial markets, and the role of the dollar as the world's reserve currency. He also discusses his work on US corporate tax strategies. Brad Setser is the Whitney Shepardson Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. Mr Setser served as a Senior Advisor to the United States Trade Representative from 2021 to 2022, where he worked on the resolution of a number of trade disputes. He had previously served as the Deputy Assistant Secretary for International Economic Analysis in the U.S. Treasury from 2011 to 2015, and as a Director for International Economics on the staff of the National Economic Council and the National Security Council. He has published widely, including co-authoring, with Nouriel Roubini, Bailouts and Bail-ins: Responding to Financial Crises in Emerging Economies, and has contributed to publications such as Foreign Affairs, Finance and Development and Global Governance. He regularly blogs at Follow the Money.
Peter Schiff made a name for himself in finance by challenging mainstream views on wealth and the economy. In 2011, he attended the Occupy Wall Street protests with a sign that read, “I am the 1%,” challenging the movement's perception of wealth inequality. A vocal critic of inflation and government spending, Peter accurately predicted the 2008 financial crisis. He also strongly advocates investing in real assets like gold, as opposed to Crypto. In this episode, Peter breaks down the real causes of inflation and income inequality, explains why Bitcoin isn't a safe investment and shares the best strategies to protect your wealth from inflation. In this episode, Hala and Peter will discuss: (00:00) Introduction (01:17) The Real Cause of Wealth Inequality (07:35) Capitalism and the Value of Entrepreneurs (13:34) Why Higher Taxes on the Rich Hurt Investment (17:26) How Government Spending Fuels Inflation (26:57) Why Gold Is the Ultimate Store of Wealth (32:30) Investing in Business for Long-Term Wealth (40:24) The Truth About Bitcoin's Value (48:26) Why Investing in Crypto Is a Financial Mistake (59:51) Preparing for the Inevitable Economic Crash (01:08:02) Protecting Your Business in a Recession Peter Schiff is an investment broker, financial commentator, author, and the founder of Euro Pacific Asset Management. Known for accurately predicting the 2008 financial crisis, he strongly advocates for gold as both a store of value and protection against inflation. Peter also hosts The Peter Schiff Show podcast and has authored bestselling books, including Crash Proof and The Real Crash. A well-known critic of Bitcoin, he has called it a "Ponzi scheme." Sponsored By: RobinHood - Receive your 3% boost on annual IRA contributions, sign up at robinhood.com/gold Indeed - Get a $75 sponsored job credit at indeed.com/profiting Shopify - Sign up for a one-dollar-per-month trial period at youngandprofiting.co/shopify Microsoft Teams - Stop paying for tools. Get everything you need, for free at aka.ms/profiting Mercury - Streamline your banking and finances in one place. Learn more at mercury.com/profiting Open Phone - Streamline and scale your customer communications with OpenPhone. Get 20% off your first 6 months at openphone.com/profiting LinkedIn Marketing Solutions - Get a $100 credit on your next campaign at linkedin.com/profiting Bilt Rewards - Start paying rent through Bilt and take advantage of your Neighborhood Benefits™ by going to joinbilt.com/PROFITING. Airbnb - Find yourself a co-host at airbnb.com/host Resources Mentioned: Peter's Book, The Real Crash: bit.ly/Real-Crash Peter's Podcast, The Peter Schiff Show Podcast: bit.ly/PeterSchiffShow Euro Pacific Capital Website: europac.com Active Deals - youngandprofiting.com/deals Key YAP Links Reviews - ratethispodcast.com/yap Youtube - youtube.com/c/YoungandProfiting LinkedIn - linkedin.com/in/htaha/ Instagram - instagram.com/yapwithhala/ Social + Podcast Services: yapmedia.com Transcripts - youngandprofiting.com/episodes-new Entrepreneurship, Entrepreneurship Podcast, Business, Business Podcast, Self Improvement, Self-Improvement, Personal Development, Starting a Business, Strategy, Investing, Sales, Selling, Psychology, Productivity, Entrepreneurs, AI, Artificial Intelligence, Technology, Marketing, Negotiation, Money, Finance, Side Hustle, Mental Health, Career, Leadership, Mindset, Health, Growth Mindset, Personal Finance, Scalability, Financial Freedom, Risk Management, Financial Planning, Business Coaching, Finance Podcast, Saving.
- Epstein Files and Financial News Introduction (0:00) - Trump's Military Actions and Israel's Actions in Gaza (5:17) - Elon Musk and Senator Ted Cruz's Discussion on Magic Money Computers (8:25) - The Big Short 2.0 and the Collapse of the Dollar (12:25) - The Role of Gold and Silver in Financial Crises (27:45) - The Biden Administration's Auto Pen Scandal (34:27) - The Deep State's Influence and the Need for Prosecutions (45:00) - The Importance of Neural Network Detox (58:12) - The Role of Gold and Silver in Financial Stability (1:13:49) For more updates, visit: http://www.brighteon.com/channel/hrreport NaturalNews videos would not be possible without you, as always we remain passionately dedicated to our mission of educating people all over the world on the subject of natural healing remedies and personal liberty (food freedom, medical freedom, the freedom of speech, etc.). Together, we're helping create a better world, with more honest food labeling, reduced chemical contamination, the avoidance of toxic heavy metals and vastly increased scientific transparency. ▶️ Every dollar you spend at the Health Ranger Store goes toward helping us achieve important science and content goals for humanity: https://www.healthrangerstore.com/ ▶️ Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://www.naturalnews.com/Readerregistration.html ▶️ Brighteon: https://www.brighteon.com/channels/hrreport ▶️ Join Our Social Network: https://brighteon.social/@HealthRanger ▶️ Check In Stock Products at: https://PrepWithMike.com
In another blow to Oakland's tourism industry, the largest hotel in the city's downtown is defaulting on its loan.The owners of the Oakland Marriott City Center, a 500-room hotel on Broadway, defaulted on its $100 million loan from Invesco CMI Investments, putting the property at risk of foreclosure, according to the Mercury News, citing Alameda County public records filed earlier this month. Gaw Capital, based in Hong Kong, purchased the hotel in 2017 for $143 million.
In episode 479 of The Astrology Podcast, astrologers Chris Brennan and Nick Dagan Best delve into the repeating historical patterns underlying Mars retrograde in Cancer periods, specifically within the context of United States history. During the course of the episode we explore how these retrogrades, which occur roughly every 15-17 years, coincide with significant events and recurring themes in American history. By examining past instances of Mars retrograde in Cancer, our goal is to provide perspective on current events and potential future developments. The discussion begins with an explanation of the Mars retrograde cycle and its unique characteristics, including its varying durations and the signs it retrogrades through. We emphasize the importance of looking at the entire period Mars spends in Cancer, including the time before and after the actual retrograde station, to fully grasp its impact. After that we proceed to discuss the specific dates and degrees of Mars retrogrades in Cancer, starting with the year of the US Constitution's ratification and moving forward. In particular we highlight the 79-year repetition of Mars retrogrades in Cancer, which is based on the Babylonian Goal-Year periods, and how it aligns with important turning points in American history. We also note the shorter 47-year and 32-year repetitions, which coincide with other planetary cycles. During the course of the episode we explore the themes that emerge during these Mars retrograde periods, including important turning points related to immigration, civil rights, and economic shifts. The episode concludes with a reflection on the potential implications of these historical patterns for the present and future. Timestamps (00:00:00) Introduction (00:20:34) Planetary Periods (00:36:52) Immigration (01:05:28) Citizenship (01:14:09) Racism and Reactionaries (01:35:19) Boundaries and Borders (01:42:15) US-Russia Relations (02:18:59) Tariffs, Trade & Monetary Policy (03:03:38) Financial Crises (03:12:14) Homes and Housing (03:19:44) Military Debacles (03:50:33) Imperialism (04:05:02) Misc Mars Retrogrades (04:08:46) Panama Canal (04:10:32) Aviation Incidents (04:18:25) Superbowls (04:37:53) SNL Special (04:50:27) World Bank (04:53:08) Scottsboro Boys (05:00:57) Uncle Tom's Cabin (05:26:04) Compromise of 1850 (05:33:37) Andrew Jackson & National Debt (05:42:16) Panic of 1819 (05:47:09) Lewis and Clark Expedition (05:49:50) Nuremberg trials (05:52:18) Retrogrades for Rectification (05:56:46) Concluding Remarks (06:19:29) Credits Watch the Video Version of This Episode https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uKWAaDN4rSQ - Listen to the Audio Version of This Episode Listen to the audio version of this episode or download it as an MP3:
What’s Trending: Brazen thieves steal from the same Lynnwood dealership just days apart. Western Washington universities respond to the White House ultimatum on DEI programs. King County council says that employee instant-messages must be recorded, filed, and maintained for the sake of the public. Netflix is investing $1B in Mexico over the next four years to produce movies and TV shows in the country. // Rep. Jasmine Crockett went in on DOGE and made wild claims about the future of the country. Including a statement so out of touch that she might have succeeded in bringing everyone together. The former energy undersecretary Geraldine Richmond said that she is worried about former federal employees being recruited by China. And JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon went on a tirade against working from home. // JD Vance was the leading speaker at CEPAC today. He spoke about how much illegal immigration is costing the American people and why turning around the immigration crisis will solve the fiscal crisis.
In this episode, I welcome Dave Collum back to the Bitcoin Matrix for his sixth appearance to break down the deep state, market manipulation, and the unraveling of America. ––– Offers & Discounts ––– Get up to $100 in Bitcoin on River at river.com/Matrix Theya is the world's simplest Bitcoin self-custody solution. Download Theya Now at theya.us/cedric The best Team Bitcoin merch is at HodlersOfficial.com. Use the code Matrix for a discount on your order. Become a sponsor of the show: https://thebitcoinmatrix.com/sponsors/ ––– Socials ––– Check out our new website at https://TheBitcoinMatrix.Com Follow on X: https://x.com/DavidBCollum Follow Cedric Youngelman on X: https://x.com/cedyoungelman Follow The Bitcoin Matrix Podcast on X: https://x.com/_bitcoinmatrix ––– Chapters ––– 00:00 - Intro 01:15 - Investment & Market Volatility 03:30 - Historical Market Trends 08:05 - Wall Street & Bitcoin 10:50 - Michael Saylor & Leverage 13:35 - Bitcoin vs. TradFi 19:05 - Government Policies 24:35 - Politics & Markets 27:35 - Deep State & Finance 36:50 - Banking & Global Conflicts 43:20 - Bitcoin & Energy Debate 51:35 - CBDCs & Financial Freedom 1:02:35 - Bitcoin Risks & Opportunities 1:05:20 - Bitcoin & Global Finance 1:08:05 - Financial Surveillance 1:13:35 - Politics & Finance 1:19:05 - Power Struggles in Finance 1:24:35 - Bitcoin vs. Gold 1:27:20 - Bitcoin Philosophy 1:38:20 - Future of Bitcoin Transactions 1:41:05 - Government Response to Bitcoin 1:43:50 - Bitcoin Tech Advances 1:52:05 - Lessons from Bitcoin Cycles 1:57:35 - Bitcoin & Financial Crises 2:00:20 - Wall Street vs. Bitcoin 2:03:05 - Institutional Manipulation 2:05:50 - Bitcoin's Narrative Shift 2:08:35 - Financial Independence 2:11:20 - Final Thoughts I want to take a moment to express my heartfelt gratitude to all of you for tuning in, supporting the show, and contributing. Thank you for listening!
Ami Kassar is the Founder and CEO of MultiFunding LLC, a financial consulting firm dedicated to helping businesses secure creative funding solutions. With a career spanning the dot-com era to the 2008 financial crisis, he has transformed challenges into opportunities, building a resilient company that thrives in helping others. Ami is the author of The Growth Dilemma, host of the AmiSights Podcast, and an active speaker, contributing to entrepreneurial communities like EO, Vistage, and YPO. His expertise has been sought by organizations like the White House, Federal Reserve Bank, and Treasury Department, and his insights are regularly featured in leading media outlets such as The New York Times, Forbes, and The Wall Street Journal. In this episode… Small business owners face daunting challenges, from navigating financial crises to securing funding in a volatile economy. Many struggle with cash flow, rising interest rates, and adapting to rapid market changes, leaving them unsure about their venture's growth and stability. Amid this uncertainty, finding innovative and sustainable financial solutions is critical for survival and long-term success. Ami Kassar, a thought leader in business finance, offers practical strategies to address these challenges, prioritizing profit and cash flow over unchecked expansion. Drawing on his experience navigating multiple financial crises, Ami advocates for personalized funding solutions that align with a business's unique needs rather than one-size-fits-all approaches. He also stresses the value of fostering resilience through community support, as demonstrated by his creation of the EO GRIT community, which provides resources and a collaborative space for entrepreneurs facing economic hardships. Tune in to this episode of the Smart Business Revolution Podcast as John Corcoran interviews Ami Kassar, Founder and CEO of MultiFunding LLC, about tackling financial obstacles. Ami recounts his early experiences with entrepreneurship and the valuable lessons he learned from triumphs and setbacks, including a failed dot-com startup and navigating corporate restructuring during the 2008 financial crisis. His story serves as a testament to the power of perseverance and innovation in the face of adversity.
Is synthetic data comparable to the toxic assets of subprime mortgage loans that caused the 2008 Financial Crisis? Or the junk bond of 1987 stock market crash? Why is it urgent for the US Government to come up with regulations requiring data to be labeled as original or synthetic? To read it as a 2-min blog To watch is as a 5-min video © Joanne Z. Tan All rights reserved. - To stay in the loop, subscribe to our Newsletter - Download free Ebook (About 10 Plus Brand: In addition to the “whole 10 yards” of brand building, digital marketing, and content creation for business and personal brands. To contact us: 1-888-288-4533.) - Visit our Websites: https://10plusbrand.com/ https://10plusprofile.com/ Phone: 888-288-4533 - Find us online by clicking or follow these hashtags: #10PlusBrand #10PlusPodcast #JoanneZTan #10PlusInterviews #BrandDNA #BeYourOwnBrand #StandForSomething #SuperBowlTVCommercials #PoemsbyJoanneTan #GenuineVideo #AIXD #AI Experience Design #theSecondRenaissance #2ndRenaissance
Today we're back for round 2 of 3 with Jeff Snider from Eurodollar University. This round we're digging into the hidden meaning of the 2008 financial crisis, focusing on the often-overlooked Eurodollar system. Jeff Snider is an economic outsider who has subtle but unique perspectives on mainstream economics, modern monetary theory (MMT), and the role of central banking in global finance. We attempt to get to the bottom of how the collapse wasn't just about subprime mortgages and how systemic issues within the global banking system led to widespread financial uncertainty, of which the GFC was just a mere symptom. This cues us up for round 3 where we'll discuss the future evolution of the monetary systems on our planet. Sign up for our Patreon and get episodes early + join our weekly Patron Chat https://bit.ly/3lcAasB AND rock some Demystify Gear to spread the word: https://demystifysci.myspreadshop.com/ OR do your Amazon shopping through this link: https://amzn.to/4g2cPVV Jeff's website, Eurodollar U: https://www.eurodollar.university/ Jeff on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCrXNkk4IESnqU-8GMad2vyA (00:00) Go! (00:06:21) Modern Monetary Theory (00:09:45) The Eurodollar System and Its 2008 Collapse (00:20:26) Financial Uncertainty and Trust (00:24:07) Accounting and Financial Constraints (00:27:01) Legacy and Impact of Financial Regulations (00:31:05) Banking and the Eurodollar System (00:35:00) Evolution of Global Banking Practices (00:38:41) True Causes of Financial Crises (00:41:12) Stock Market Misconceptions (00:42:52) Monetary System Dysfunction (00:45:40) Need for Reform (00:49:12) Evolution of Monetary Systems (00:52:41) Potential of Digital Currencies (00:56:02) Importance of Adaptive Monetary Systems #sciencepodcast, #longformpodcast, #Economics #FinancialCrisis #EurodollarSystem #MonetaryTheory #MMT #BankingSystem #GlobalFinance #StockMarket #DigitalCurrency #Cryptocurrency #EconomicReform #2008Crisis #MonetaryPolicy #CentralBanking #EconomicDiscussion #JeffSnider #FinancialRegulations #AdaptiveEconomics #GlobalBanking #FinancialUncertainty Check our short-films channel, @DemystifySci: https://www.youtube.com/c/DemystifyingScience AND our material science investigations of atomics, @MaterialAtomics https://www.youtube.com/@MaterialAtomics Join our mailing list https://bit.ly/3v3kz2S PODCAST INFO: Anastasia completed her PhD studying bioelectricity at Columbia University. When not talking to brilliant people or making movies, she spends her time painting, reading, and guiding backcountry excursions. Shilo also did his PhD at Columbia studying the elastic properties of molecular water. When he's not in the film studio, he's exploring sound in music. They are both freelance professors at various universities. - Blog: http://DemystifySci.com/blog - RSS: https://anchor.fm/s/2be66934/podcast/rss - Donate: https://bit.ly/3wkPqaD - Swag: https://bit.ly/2PXdC2y SOCIAL: - Discord: https://discord.gg/MJzKT8CQub - Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/groups/DemystifySci - Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/DemystifySci/ - Twitter: https://twitter.com/DemystifySci MUSIC: -Shilo Delay: https://g.co/kgs/oty671
Over the summer, The Bid brings back some of the best episodes from this year. Kicking off the series, hosts Oscar and Stevie take a look back on Is Japan At An Inflection Point?Belinda Boa, Head of Active Investments for Asia Pacific at BlackRock joins Oscar to examine the prospects, challenges, and potential opportunities that may define Japan's future in the global investment sphere. Long regarded as an undervalued and overlooked market, Japan has been undergoing a profound transformation. The renewed interest in this market stems from a variety of factors— including revamped investor sentiment, evolving macroeconomic conditions and compelling corporate reforms. Will Japan be able live up to its potential and redefine its role on the global investment stage?Original episode aired: January 26th, 2024.Sources:FactSet and MSCI (for current %); for 1989 %, 14 Fascinating Facts About Japanese Stocks -- From 1989 | The Motley Fool; History of Financial Crises, JAPAN'S LOST DECADE, September 29, 2021; Japanese Inflation Rates: 1971 to 2024; Refinitiv Datastream, Japan Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Reuters, BlackRock. Data as of Oct. 2023.; Bloomberg. Data as of Sept. 2023; Reuters ‘Explainer: What is the Tokyo Exchange's new list of firms disclosing capital efficiency plans?' January 15, 2024This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
If you listened to our last couple of episodes, you'll have heard some pretty skeptical takes on AI. But if you look at the stock market right now, you won't see any trace of that skepticism. Since the launch of ChatGPT in late 2022, the chip company NVIDIA, whose chips are used in the majority of AI systems, has seen their stock shoot up by 700%. A month ago, that briefly made them the most valuable company in the world, with a market cap of more than $3.3 trillion.And it's not just chip companies. The S&P 500 (the index that tracks the 500 largest companies in the U.S.) is at an all-time high this year, in no small part because of the sheen of AI. And here in Canada, a new report from Microsoft claims that generative AI will add $187 billion to the domestic economy by 2030. As wild as these numbers are, they may just be the tip of the iceberg. Some researchers argue that AI will completely revolutionize our economy, leading to per capita growth rates of 30%. In case those numbers mean absolutely nothing to you, 25 years of 30% growth means we'd be a thousand times richer than we are now. It's hard to imagine what that world would like – or how the average person fits into it. Luckily, Rana Foroohar has given this some thought. Foroohar is a global business columnist and an associate editor at The Financial Times. I wanted to have her on the show to help me work through what these wild predictions really mean and, most importantly, whether or not she thinks they'll come to fruition.Mentioned:“Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle Over Technology and Prosperity” by Daron Acemoglu and Simon Johnson (2023)“Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises” by Charles P. Kindleberger (1978)“Irrational Exuberance” by Robert J. Shiller (2016)“Gen AI: Too much spend, too little benefit?” by Goldman Sachs Research (2024)“Workers could be the ones to regulate AI” by Rana Foroohar (Financial Times, 2023)“The Financial Times and OpenAI strike content licensing deal” (Financial Times, 2024)“Is AI about to kill what's left of journalism?” by Rana Foroohar (Financial Times, 2024)“Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism” by Anne Case and Angus Deaton (2020)“The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade” by David H. Autor, David Dorn & Gordon H. Hanson (2016)Further Reading:“Beware AI euphoria” by Rana Foroohar (Financial Times, 2024)“AlphaGo” by Google DeepMind (2020)
EI's Iain Martin is joined by Kwasi Kwarteng, historian and former Chancellor of the United Kingdom, to discuss the turbulent life of the 18th century financial speculator John Law, whose innovative ideas were credited with bringing Ancien Régime France to the brink of ruin. There are echoes of what happened when the Truss government tried its own financial experiment, he acknowledges. Image: A cartoon of John Law (1671–1729), the Scottish economist who was appointed Controller General of Finances of France under King Louis XV. Credit: PRISMA ARCHIVO / Alamy Stock Photo
Our guest on The Long Form with Sanny Ntayombya is the Governor of the National Bank of Rwanda, John Rwangombwa. As the National Bank celebrates its 60th anniversary, we discuss the efforts that were put into rebuilding the Bank after 1994, the future of the East African common currency and where he sees our economy in the next decade.YouTube/ @thelongformrwandaListen to the Long Form with Sanny Ntayombya podcast on Apple PodcastsListen to the Long Form with Sanny Ntayombya podcast on SpotifyFollow Long Form with Sanny Ntayombya on Twitter: @TheLongformrwFollow Long Form with Sanny Ntayombya on Instagram: @thelongformrwFollow Long Form with Sanny Ntayombya on TikTok: @sannyntayombyaFollow Sanny Ntayombya on Twitter: @SannyNtayombyaAbout Long Form with Sanny Ntayombya:The Long Form with Sanny Ntayombya is a weekly podcast intent on keeping you up to date with current affairs in Rwanda. The topics discussed range from politics, business, sports to entertainment.If you want to share your thoughts on the topics I discuss use the hashtag #LongFormRw on Twitter and follow us on Twitter and Instagram on our handle @TheLongFormRwBe a part of the conversation.
Stefan Link, a 2023-24 CASBS fellow, chats with Barry Eichengreen, a 1996-97 CASBS fellow and world renowned for his expertise at the nexus of international economics and economic history. They discuss some of Eichengreen's most prominent works — including "The European Economy Since 1945," which emerged from his CASBS experience, and "Golden Fetters," his most cited book — interrogating their durability and applicability to contemporary industrial, financial, and monetary policy challenges and governance.BARRY EICHENGREEN: UC Berkeley faculty page | Homepage & CV | on Wikipedia | STEFAN LINK: CASBS bio | Dartmouth faculty page | Mentioned in the episode:Eichengreen's talk on "Steering Structural Change" (session 2) at the Peterson Institute for International Economics (16 April 2024)Eichengreen & Temin NBER paper on "The Gold Standard and the Great Depression" (June 1997)Select Eichengreen booksElusive Stability: Essays in the History of International Finance 1919-1939 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 1990)Golden Fetters: The Gold Standard and the Great Depression 1919-1939 (Oxford Univ. Press, 1992)International Monetary Arrangements for the 21st Century (Brookings Institution, 1994)Globalizing Capital: A History of the International Monetary System (Princeton Univ. Press, 1994)European Monetary Unification: Theory, Practice, and Analysis (MIT Press, 1997)Toward a New International Financial Architecture: A Practical Post-Asia Agenda (Peterson Institute for International Economics, 1999)Financial Crises and What to Do About Them (Oxford Univ. Press, 2002)Capital Flows and Crises (MIT Press, 2004)Global Imbalances and the Lessons of Bretton Woods (MIT Press, 2006)The European Economy Since 1945: Coordinated Capitalism and Beyond (Princeton Univ. Press, 2006)Exorbitant Privilege: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar and the Future of the International Monetary System (Oxford Univ. Press, 2012)Hall of Mirrors: The Great Depression, the Great Recession, and the Uses — and Misuses — of History (Oxford Univ. Press, 2015) Stefan Link bookForging Global Fordism: Nazi Germany, Soviet Russia, and the Contest over the Industrial Order (Princeton Univ. Press, 2020)Winner of the Stuart L. Bernath Book Prize, Society for Historians of American Foreign Relations, as well as the Herbert Baxter Adams Prize, American Historical Association Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences (CASBS) at Stanford UniversityExplore CASBS: website|Twitter|YouTube|LinkedIn|podcast|latest newsletter|signup|outreachHuman CenteredProducer: Mike Gaetani | Engineer & co-producer: Joe Monzel |
The market's changing trends and sentiments play a pivotal role in determining smart investment strategies. When we look at the massive rally the stock market has seen over the last few months, what is expected for the market in the near future?In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, analyze the recent market rally and the lack of a buying frenzy, despite all-time highs. They dive into specific stocks and market sentiment, reflecting on lessons from past financial crises and the importance of a long-term perspective. The conversation also covers job reports, interest rate, productivity, and more!Ryan and Sonu discuss: The market rally, impact of magazine covers featuring bullish sentiments, and potential market trendsThe shift in market sentimentThe performance of specific stocks like Nvidia, Super Micro, Tesla, Amazon, Google, and AppleAn analysis of job productivity and the overall economic roundupExplaining the household survey and the unemployment rateAn explanation of the strong productivity and its connection to the labor marketJerome Powell's speech and its impact on the marketThe relationship between gold, real interest rates, and storage costs, and its implications for investment strategiesAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese
Long regarded as an undervalued and overlooked market, Japan has been undergoing a profound transformation. The renewed interest in this market stems from a variety of factors— including revamped investor sentiment, evolving macroeconomic conditions and compelling corporate reforms. Will Japan be able live up to its potential and redefine its role on the global investment stage? Belinda Boa, Head of Active Investments for Asia Pacific at BlackRock joins Oscar to examine the prospects, challenges, and potential opportunities that may define Japan's future in the global investment sphere.Sources:FactSet and MSCI (for current %); for 1989 %, 14 Fascinating Facts About Japanese Stocks -- From 1989 | The Motley Fool; History of Financial Crises, JAPAN'S LOST DECADE, September 29, 2021; Japanese Inflation Rates: 1971 to 2024; Refinitiv Datastream, Japan Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Reuters, BlackRock. Data as of Oct. 2023; Bloomberg. Data as of Sept. 2023; Reuters ‘Explainer: What is the Tokyo Exchange's new list of firms disclosing capital efficiency plans?' January 15, 2024This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener.In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets.For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Richard Vague really really cares about private-sector debt. And he thinks you should too. In A Brief History of Doom: Two Hundred Years of Financial Crises (University of Pennsylvania Press, 2019), Vague sees the rise and fall of private sector debt as the key factor explaining the cycle of economic crises experienced by developed and major developing economies over the past two centuries. The early stages of a lending cycle look and feel good. Everyone is happy, the lenders think they are smart, the borrowers feel they have everything under control. Then the lenders and borrowers take it to another level, and then another, and then it collapses, time and time again. Where are now? The good news is that debt/GDP levels aren't too bad, but in certain sectors of the economy and certain countries, they are flashing red, brightly. Read the book to find which sectors and countries. Vague makes his data available to researchers here. Daniel Peris is Senior Vice President at Federated Investors in Pittsburgh. Trained as a historian of modern Russia, he is the author most recently of Getting Back to Business: Why Modern Portfolio Theory Fails Investors. You can follow him on Twitter@Back2BizBook or at http://www.strategicdividendinvestor.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network
Richard Vague really really cares about private-sector debt. And he thinks you should too. In A Brief History of Doom: Two Hundred Years of Financial Crises (University of Pennsylvania Press, 2019), Vague sees the rise and fall of private sector debt as the key factor explaining the cycle of economic crises experienced by developed and major developing economies over the past two centuries. The early stages of a lending cycle look and feel good. Everyone is happy, the lenders think they are smart, the borrowers feel they have everything under control. Then the lenders and borrowers take it to another level, and then another, and then it collapses, time and time again. Where are now? The good news is that debt/GDP levels aren't too bad, but in certain sectors of the economy and certain countries, they are flashing red, brightly. Read the book to find which sectors and countries. Vague makes his data available to researchers here. Daniel Peris is Senior Vice President at Federated Investors in Pittsburgh. Trained as a historian of modern Russia, he is the author most recently of Getting Back to Business: Why Modern Portfolio Theory Fails Investors. You can follow him on Twitter@Back2BizBook or at http://www.strategicdividendinvestor.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/history
Richard Vague really really cares about private-sector debt. And he thinks you should too. In A Brief History of Doom: Two Hundred Years of Financial Crises (University of Pennsylvania Press, 2019), Vague sees the rise and fall of private sector debt as the key factor explaining the cycle of economic crises experienced by developed and major developing economies over the past two centuries. The early stages of a lending cycle look and feel good. Everyone is happy, the lenders think they are smart, the borrowers feel they have everything under control. Then the lenders and borrowers take it to another level, and then another, and then it collapses, time and time again. Where are now? The good news is that debt/GDP levels aren't too bad, but in certain sectors of the economy and certain countries, they are flashing red, brightly. Read the book to find which sectors and countries. Vague makes his data available to researchers here. Daniel Peris is Senior Vice President at Federated Investors in Pittsburgh. Trained as a historian of modern Russia, he is the author most recently of Getting Back to Business: Why Modern Portfolio Theory Fails Investors. You can follow him on Twitter@Back2BizBook or at http://www.strategicdividendinvestor.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/world-affairs
Richard Vague really really cares about private-sector debt. And he thinks you should too. In A Brief History of Doom: Two Hundred Years of Financial Crises (University of Pennsylvania Press, 2019), Vague sees the rise and fall of private sector debt as the key factor explaining the cycle of economic crises experienced by developed and major developing economies over the past two centuries. The early stages of a lending cycle look and feel good. Everyone is happy, the lenders think they are smart, the borrowers feel they have everything under control. Then the lenders and borrowers take it to another level, and then another, and then it collapses, time and time again. Where are now? The good news is that debt/GDP levels aren't too bad, but in certain sectors of the economy and certain countries, they are flashing red, brightly. Read the book to find which sectors and countries. Vague makes his data available to researchers here. Daniel Peris is Senior Vice President at Federated Investors in Pittsburgh. Trained as a historian of modern Russia, he is the author most recently of Getting Back to Business: Why Modern Portfolio Theory Fails Investors. You can follow him on Twitter@Back2BizBook or at http://www.strategicdividendinvestor.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/economics
EPISODE 1905: In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to Gerard Epstein, author of BUSTING THE BANKERS' CLUB, about why bankers represents both the Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde of American capitalism and how to create a more equitable financial system for the rest of usGerald Epstein is Professor of Economics and a founding Co-Director of the Political Economy Research Institute (PERI) at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst. He received his PhD in Economics from Princeton University in 1981. Epstein has written articles on numerous topics including financial crisis and regulation, alternative approaches to central banking for employment generation and poverty reduction, economists' ethics and capital account management and capital flows and the political economy of financial markets and institutions. Most recently his research has focused on the impacts of financialization (Gerald Epstein, ed. Financialization and the World Economy, Elgar Press, 2005), alternatives to inflation targeting (Gerald Epstein and Erinc Yeldan, eds. Beyond Inflation Targeting: Assessing the Impacts and Policy Alternatives, Elgar Press, 2009.) and financial reform, and the Great Financial Crisis (Martin Wolfson and Gerald Epstein, eds.) The Handbook of The Political Economy of Financial Crises, Oxford, 2013. He is writing a book in connection with an INET project on the social inefficiency of the current financial system and approaches to financial restructuring. His book, Busting the Bankers' Club: Finance for the Rest of Us, University of California Press will soon appear.Named as one of the "100 most connected men" by GQ magazine, Andrew Keen is amongst the world's best known broadcasters and commentators. In addition to presenting KEEN ON, he is the host of the long-running How To Fix Democracy show. He is also the author of four prescient books about digital technology: CULT OF THE AMATEUR, DIGITAL VERTIGO, THE INTERNET IS NOT THE ANSWER and HOW TO FIX THE FUTURE. Andrew lives in San Francisco, is married to Cassandra Knight, Google's VP of Litigation & Discovery, and has two grown children.
Jason Welcomes Kerry Lutz of https://www.financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ They briefly talk about Jason's 4 year legal battle to clear his name, big tech censorships, the changing landscape of CBDCs and crypto. They continue talking about the current state of the economy and the financial crisis of 2008, the recent banking debacle and how one can take advantage of situations like these to make a healthy profit. Key Takeaways: 0:29 A digital lynching like no other 4:20 Alphabet has been engaged in censorship 6:38 Turning the tide on this totalitarian web and treating social media companies as common carriers 10:58 The Great Reset, digital slaves and CBDCs 13:21 The problem with Crypto 15:43 The unreal real economy, recession and inflation 23:59 Timing versus cycle investing in the stock market 30:27 Making money during banking/financial crises Websites: https://www.financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ http://kerrylutz.com/ email: kl@kerryLutz.com Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
How much does venture capital actually have to do with finance? It turns out, not that much. Rather, venture capital has more to do with psychology, network theory, and organizational dynamics. Sebastian Mallaby is the Paul A. Volcker senior fellow for international economics at the Council on Foreign Relations. He's written numerous books, including The Power Law: Venture Capital and the Making of the New Future and More Money Than God: Hedge Funds and the Making of a New Elite. He and Greg discuss how venture capital can be a form of finance without much finance, why governance plays such an important role in successful venture capital, and why other places have found it difficult to replicate the Silicon Valley model. *unSILOed Podcast is produced by University FM.*Episode Quotes:Embeddedness is essential for startup success 45:09: Most of the good GPs I wrote about in my book either had an engineering degree or some other skill which would add value to the portfolio company, maybe be an expert in go-to-market strategies. Secondly, they know something about business and finance; perhaps they have a business degree. Thirdly, they may have started a startup or been an early employee in a startup. So that experience from the inside of being an entrepreneur, and you don't need maybe all three of those things, but you probably might need two. That's the obvious thing. The less obvious thing is that You need to be what I call embedded. You need to be in a network which is going to be generating startup founders, and you need to have standing in that network. You need to have thought leadership such that the founders that emerge from this network are going to want to come to you for money because they're also going to want you as their advisor, and that embeddedness is super important.What VCs are looking for04:00: Credibility, storytelling, embeddedness in the network, a sense of vision, a sense of passion, and commitment from the founding team. These are what the Venture Capitalists are looking for.Is there any chance we could create a more factory-like system for identifying good investments and good founders and investing in them?41:42: I think fundamentally the things that AI will not cannibalize are things where human-to-human contact is super important, and that is true of venture investing because it is about a venture capitalist, a human being, meeting a startup entrepreneur. They have to agree that they're going to be partners together and that this is going to be something you can't exit very easily, and you're probably going to be meshed together if it goes well.Behavioral dynamics23:28: Behavioral dynamics are super interesting when you think about the question of whether solo venture capitalists—whether that's a good model—became fashionable in the last three, four, or five years. I think partly a function of the bull market leading up to 2021 because it was relatively easy to raise capital. If you had some decent claim to be embedded in the Silicon Valley ecosystem, you could go out as an individual and raise some money, and why not do it by yourself? But I think that when you're trying to make slippery judgments on early-stage ventures, which have no quantitative guidelines, as I began by saying, all you have is the ability to test your human judgment on a smart partner who will push back against you and say if they disagree. So I think the dynamics within venture companies like that Monday morning meeting when you decide what to invest in, you've got six or seven partners around the table. That's super important.Show Links:Recommended Resources:Ronald CoaseRegional Advantage: Culture and Competition in Silicon Valley and Route 128 by AnnaLee SaxenianSequoia CapitalKleiner PerkinsGuest Profile:Professional Profile for Council on Foreign Relations His Work:The Power Law: Venture Capital and the Making of the New FutureMore Money Than God: Hedge Funds and the Making of a New Elite The World's Banker: A Story of Failed States, Financial Crises, and the Wealth and Poverty of Nations
Will Bateman is an associate professor and associate dean of research at the Australian National University College of Law. Will has recently authored a paper titled, *The Fiscal Fed,* which takes a close look at the Fed's fiscal functions during the two World Wars, the Great Depression, the Cold War, the global financial crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Will joins Macro Musings to talk about this paper, the origins and evolution of the Fed, the implications for policymakers, and a lot more. Transcript for this week's episode. Will's ANU profile David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our new Macro Musings merch! Related Links: *The Fiscal Fed* by Will Bateman *The Law of Monetary Finance Under Conventional Monetary Policy* by Will Bateman
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LLM9RUiZ22w&t=627s #2023 #art #music #movies #poetry #poem #food #photooftheday #volcano #news #weather #monkeys #climate #horse #puppy #fyp #love #instagood #onelove #eyes #getyoked #horsie #gotmilk #book #shecomin #getready
Interview recorded - 11th of October, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Didier Sornette - Emeritus Professor of Entrepreneurial Risks at ETH Zurich; and Chair Professor and co-Dean of the Institute of Risk Analysis, Prediction, and Management (Risks-X) at the Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Shenzhen.During our conversation we spoke about whether you can predict financial crises, how this was done during 2008, what Didier is seeing in current markets and how this may link to the current bond markets. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:41 - Can you predict financial crises?5:26 - Finding preluding indicators before crises?9:21 - What did Didier see during 2008 to see risk in the housing markets?16:21 - FED's trying to reduce risk as much as possible23:56 - Are we currently heading towards a crisis?36:00 - Bond market housing market comparison?42:01 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Didier Sornette is Emeritus Professor of Entrepreneurial Risks at ETH Zurich, and Chair Professor and co-Dean of the Institute of Risk Analysis, Prediction, and Management (Risks-X) at the Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) Shenzhen. Since his recent retirement from ETH Zurich, Professor Sornette has been working actively with the private sector on developing socially important products with clear applications in the medical field and in dynamic financial risk management.Professor Sornette is using data-driven mathematical statistical analysis to study the predictability and control of crises and extreme events in complex systems. His key contribution is to use nonlinear multi-variable dynamical settings that include both positive and negative feedback. The results obtained help us better understand the overall stability and instability of financial markets.Didier Sornette - Website - https://emeritus.er.ethz.ch/about-us/people/sornette.htmlPublications - https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Didier-SornetteWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
Intellectual curiosity is a guiding principle for Katherine Molnar, CIO at Fairfax County Police Officers Retirement System (PORS). Katherine began investing as a teenager with the money she earned from summer jobs. She regularly questioned the critical elements of investing and often explored deep technical details in search of an answer. Eagerness for knowledge is a through line in Katherine's career, motivating her to find innovative methods to strengthen portfolios. Prior to working at Fairfax County PORS, Katherine spent a decade at AIG Investments (later Pinebridge Investments) where she became deeply acquainted with hedge funds and how they respond to various environments. This experience made for a seamless transition into her role at Fairfax County PORS, where the team was developing all-weather portfolios. Largely dependent on risk parity, this all-weather approach seeks to balance risks between numerous factors and maintain adequate performance regardless of the current state of economic growth and inflation. “So whether that is expansion, contraction, trough or peak, we try to have a portfolio where something is always working.” In this episode we discuss: Risk parity and building all-weather portfolios Intellectual curiosity The power of liquidity After graduating from the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill with a Bachelor of Science in Business Administration/Finance, Katherine spent two years in Frankfurt, Germany where she worked as an intern for J.P. Morgan. Katherine continued to expand her global perspective in Warsaw, Poland and London, England. In the former, she helped launch the first retail mutual fund in the polish market; in the latter, she worked as Vice President, Senior Research Analyst for AIG. She then transitioned to her current position of Chief Investment Officer at Fairfax County Police Officers Retirement System. Resources: Top Traders Unplugged | 7 Allocator Series: Learnings from Fairfax County ft. Katherine Molnar and Andrew Spellar Listen to Other Successful Investors: Charmel Maynard (University of Miami) | Paying It Forward Aoiffin Devitt (Moneta Group) | Finding Clarity Ari Bergmann (Penso Advisors) | The Edge in Hedges Chapter Summaries: [00:03:00] An Early Start to Investing [00:04:00] Studying at UNC [00:09:02] Hedge Funds at AIG [00:14:11] Liquidity and Financial Crises [00:27:28] Risk Parity and All-Weather Portfolios [00:40:38] Relationships with Managers [00:48:30] Transitioning to Fairfax County PORS [00:58:39] Intellectual Curiosity Disclaimer: This podcast is not investment advice, and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions. All content in this podcast reflects the opinions and views of the speakers. This podcast is for informational purposes only, without representation as to accuracy or completeness. The guest(s) on this episode did not have a client relationship with SEI Novus at the time of recording.
Robert McCauley is a senior fellow at the Global Development Policy Center at Boston University, an Associate Member of the Faculty of History at the University of Oxford, and was formerly at the Bank of International Settlements for 25 years and the New York Federal Reserve Bank for 14 years. Robert is also a returning guest to the show, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about his recent article titled, *Bond Market Crisis and the International Lender of Last Resort* David and Robert also discuss the basics of a bond market run, the policy reaction and implications of the 2020 “Dash for Cash”, the possible concerns with corporate bond facilities, and a lot more. Transcript for this week's episode. Register now for the Bennett McCallum Monetary Policy Conference! Robert's Boston University profile Robert's BIS archive David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our new Macro Musings merch! Related Links: *Bond Market Crises and the International Lender of Last Resort* by Robert McCauley (coming soon) *Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises, 8th Edition* by Robert Aliber, Charles Kindleberger and Robert McCauley *Robert McCauley on the Global Domain of the Dollar and Threats to its Dominance* by the Macro Musings Podcast
Jason Welcomes Kerry Lutz of https://www.financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ They briefly talk about Jason's 4 year legal battle to clear his name, big tech censorships, the changing landscape of CBDCs and crypto. They continue talking about the current state of the economy and the financial crisis of 2008, the recent banking debacle and how one can take advantage of situations like these to make a healthy profit. Key Takeaways: 0:29 A digital lynching like no other 4:20 Alphabet has been engaged in censorship 6:38 Turning the tide on this totalitarian web and treating social media companies as common carriers 10:58 The Great Reset, digital slaves and CBDCs 13:21 The problem with Crypto 15:43 The unreal real economy, recession and inflation 23:59 Timing versus cycle investing in the stock market 30:27 Making money during banking/financial crises Websites: https://www.financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ http://kerrylutz.com/ email: kl@kerryLutz.com Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
Ricardo Reis is a professor of economics at the London School of Economics and is the co-author of a new book titled, *A Crash Course on Crises: Macroeconomic Concepts for Run-ups, Collapses, and Recoveries.* Ricardo is also a previous guest of Macro Musings and he rejoins the podcast to talk about his new book as well as his overall assessment of the inflation surge of the past few years. David and Ricardo specifically discuss what constitutes a bubble, the Eurozone crisis as a story of capital inflows and misallocation, shadow banking and systemic risk during the 2008 financial crisis, Ricardo's view of the Phillips curve, and a lot more. Transcript for this week's episode. Ricardo's Twitter: @R2Rsquared Ricardo's LSE profile Ricardo's website David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our new Macro Musings merch! *A Crash Course on Crises: Macroeconomic Concepts for Run-Ups, Collapses, and Recoveries* by Ricardo Reis and Markus Brunnermeier *Ricardo Reis on Central Bank Swap Lines, Fiscal Sustainability, and Outlooks for Inflation* by Macro Musings
Jason Welcomes Kerry Lutz of https://www.financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ They briefly talk about Jason's 4 year legal battle to clear his name, big tech censorships, the changing landscape of CBDCs and crypto. They continue talking about the current state of the economy and the financial crisis of 2008, the recent banking debacle and how one can take advantage of situations like these to make a healthy profit. Key Takeaways: 1:11 A digital lynching like no other 5:02 Alphabet has been engaged in censorship 7:20 Turning the tide on this totalitarian web and treating social media companies as common carriers 11:40 The Great Reset, digital slaves and CBDCs 14:03 The problem with Crypto 16:25 The unreal real economy, recession and inflation 24:41 Timing versus cycle investing in the stock market 31:09 Making money during banking/financial crises Websites: https://www.financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ http://kerrylutz.com/ email: kl@kerryLutz.com Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com
Jeremy Grantham, investment legend and long-time value investor, warns of a bubble of "epic proportions" in the bond, stock, housing, and commodities markets. Grantham, who has accurately predicted market bubbles in the past, believes that the current market is overvalued and due for a correction. He cites three factors that are contributing to the bubble: low interest rates, easy credit, and excessive speculation. Grantham also discusses his views on climate change, bursting market bubbles, and artificial intelligence. He believes that climate change is the most important issue facing the world today, and that artificial intelligence could have a major impact on the future of the economy. WEALTHTRACK 2001 originally broadcast on June 30, 2023 More info: https://wealthtrack.com/jeremy-granthams-views-on-climate-change-bursting-market-bubbles-and-artificial-intelligence/ Burt Malkiel: 50th anniversary of A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Best Investment Guide that Money Can Buy - https://amzn.to/3NXtm1q Charles Ellis: Winning the Loser's Game: Timeless Strategies for Successful Investing - https://amzn.to/3XzC0WJ Robert Aliber: Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises - https://amzn.to/3JDIuhKNiall Ferguson: The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World - https://amzn.to/3NBtySv --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/wealthtrack/support
Kathleen Day has written a book about the history of financial crises in the US, which have been occurring since the founding of the country. She explains that while deregulation can be beneficial, it must be accompanied by increased oversight to prevent crises. People tend to forget the lessons of the past and take more risks when other people's money is at stake. The reserve requirement is meant to protect against liquidity crises, but if the demand for deposits continues, banks can still become insolvent and taxpayers must pay the price. Kathleen Day discussed the similarities between the financial crisis of the 1980s and the current situation, noting that both had to do with inflation and interest rates. She also discussed the role of the government in regulating banks and the need for stress tests for all size banks. Lastly, she discussed the dangers of moral hazard and the need for banks to be conservative in their investments. kathleenday.com FSN
If you know Hugh Hewitt, you know. If you don't know Hugh Hewitt, you may want to settle in and get familiar with one of the most influential radio voices in America.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Photo: No known restrictions on publication. #Preview: SpecialEdition. Banks runs and the lessons of financial crises. Brett Arends, Marketwatch
This week Beau and Dan chat about two different financial bubbles from the past. The ‘Tulip Mania' of Holland in the seventeenth century, where the value of tulip bulbs became insanely inflated, only for the market to utterly crash overnight; and the legendary ‘South Sea Bubble' in the eighteenth century, which saw the first true crisis on the London exchange, ending in disaster for all concerned. A classic case of boom and bust. Can we learn lessons from these examples?
Among the three people who won is former Fed chair Ben Bernanke. To help explain some of the research, we consult with Chris Farrell. Also, Julia Coronado drops in to discuss today’s market activity. We look into the financial benefits of museums letting people in for free.