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Plus: Perplexity makes an unsolicited bid for Google Chrome, offering $34.5 billion. And Spirit Airlines warns that it may not continue to operate if its financial results don't improve faster than expected. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. An artificial-intelligence tool assisted in the making of this episode by creating summaries that were based on Wall Street Journal reporting and reviewed and adapted by an editor. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Singapore shares opened lower today as all eyes remained on heightened tensions in the Middle East with the US now involved in the Israel-Iran air war. The Straits Times Index (STI) was down 0.9 per cent at 3,847.79 points in early trade after around 80 million securities changed hands in the broader market. In terms of companies to watch, we have OCBC. That’s after the lender said yesterday that it has committed more than RM11 billion (S$3.3 billion) in financing to support businesses in the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone (JS-SEZ) since 2024. Meanwhile, from Singapore’s inflation nudging back down in May, to the long awaited launch of Tesla’s robotaxi service – more economic and corporate headlines remain in focus. Also on deck – more on Asian market movements today given the situation in the Middle East. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian unpacked the developments with Chin Hui Leong, Co-founder, The Smart Investor.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
Singapore shares dipped today as investors continue to monitor the state of the global economy. The Straits Times Index was down 0.27% at 3,869.69 points at 2.11pm Singapore time, with a value turnover of S$657.60M seen in the broader market. In terms of counters to watch today, we have Yangzijiang Shipbuilding. The marine vessel manufacturer reported that its year-to-date order wins for the first quarter of 2025 amounted to six vessels worth US$300 million. Yangzijiang Shipbuilding said this was around 5 per cent of its US$6 billion target for the 2025 financial year. Elsewhere, from Singapore’s core inflation coming in hotter-than-expected in April, to how US President Donald Trump’s trade negotiators are reportedly pushing the EU to make unilateral tariff reductions on US goods – more economic headlines remain in focus. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian unpacked the developments with Benjamin Goh, Head of Research and Investor Education, SIAS.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
#ThisMorning on #BRN #Finance #2047 | #Core #Inflation Picked Up. What's It Mean for Your #Wallet? | David Anderson, PhD., Texas A&M University | #Tunein: broadcastretirementnetwork.com #Aging, #Finance, #Lifestyle, #Privacy, #Retirement, #Wellness and #More - #Everyday
Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
Singapore shares rose today as investors look to kickstart the week on a positive note. The Straits Times Index rose 0.22% to 3,934.91 points at about 2.40pm (2.42pm), with a value turnover of S$634.08M in the broader market. In terms of companies to watch, we have DFI Retail Group after the firm announced today the divestment of its Singapore food business to South-east Asian retail conglomerate Macrovalue (Malaysia). Elsewhere, from NIO's net loss deepening for the fourth quarter ended December, to Jack Ma-backed Ant Group reportedly using Chinese-made semiconductors to develop techniques to train AI models at a lower cost – more corporate and international headlines remain in focus. Also on deck – how Singapore’s inflation fell further in February. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian unpacked the developments with David Kuo, Co-founder, The Smart Investor.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Tariffs could lift global inflation this year, but business cycle dynamics are likely to play an important role in driving core inflation performance. Consistent with our forecast that the global economy turns into the new year generating above-trend growth, we anticipate that global core CPI (ex China and Türkiye) will rise at a 3%ar in 1H25, in line with its 2024 outcome. Alongside a firming in core goods inflation, services inflation looks set to continue but should be limited and divergent across countries. Our bias is for a larger Euro area inflation slide vis a vis the US and UK, while EM is likely to remain differentiated. Tariffs add to upside risk and will provide a further test of persistent inflation and psychology. Speakers Nora Szentivanyi, Global Economist Bruce Kasman, Chief Economist This podcast was recorded on February 05, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4795397-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4895168-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
DisclosuresThese views are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of the date at the top of the page.Investing involves risk and principal loss is possible.Past performance does not guarantee future performance.Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.This material is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to purchase any security. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type.The general information contained in this publication should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax and investment advice from a licensed professional. The information, analysis and opinions expressed herein are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual entity.Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk. Although steps can be taken to help reduce risk it cannot be completely removed. They do no not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.Investments that are allocated across multiple types of securities may be exposed to a variety of risks based on the asset classes, investment styles, market sectors, and size of companies preferred by the investment managers. Investors should consider how the combined risks impact their total investment portfolio and understand that different risks can lead to varying financial consequences, including loss of principal. Please see a prospectus for further details.Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.Copyright © Russell Investments Group LLC 2025. All rights reserved.This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.CORP-12670date of first use: Jan 2025
SUMMARY: While consumer prices did rise by more than expected in December, core inflation slowed more than expected which gave some home that inflation might still be under control, PPI was better than expected in December, and the US government is over $700B in the hole after just three months...LINKS:CNBC: Core inflation rate slows to 3.2% in December, less than expectedREUTERS: US inflation still slowing as producer prices rise below expectations in DecemberCBO: Treasury Confirms Calendar Year 2024 Deficit Tops $2.0 TrillionDISCLAIMER: TowneBank Mortgage, NMLS #512138, is an equal housing lender. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Hosted by Tyler Cralle #2028201
This week on “Inside the Economy”, we break down the sectors of inflation, market trends, bond yields, and manufacturing production. The primary driver of inflation still present in the market is housing, while core goods show little to no inflation year-over-year. Where else has inflation cooled? New home prices remain high, and new home inventories are steady. Is household debt as a percentage of income impacting consumers when compared to historical data? As for the equity markets, they continue to be overvalued, particularly the Dow. In the manufacturing sector, production is nearly back to where it was pre pandemic. How do other countries like Germany and Japan compare in terms of manufacturing capacity? Tune in to learn more! Key Takeaways: • 10-year bond yield at 4.57% • Core Inflation at 3.3% (YOY) • Manufacturing Production Index at 99.0 in November
This week on “Inside the Economy”, we break down the sectors of inflation, market trends, bond yields, and manufacturing production. The primary driver of inflation still present in the market is housing, while core goods show little to no inflation year-over-year. Where else has inflation cooled? New home prices remain high, and new home inventories are steady. Is household debt as a percentage of income impacting consumers when compared to historical data? As for the equity markets, they continue to be overvalued, particularly the Dow. In the manufacturing sector, production is nearly back to where it was pre pandemic. How do other countries like Germany and Japan compare in terms of manufacturing capacity? Tune in to learn more! Key Takeaways: 10-year bond yield at 4.57% Core Inflation at 3.3% (YOY) Manufacturing Production Index at 99.0 in November
MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
Singapore stocks opened lower today, following another downbeat session on Wall Street as the US Federal Reserve’s hawkish pivot continued to weigh on sentiment. In early trade, the Straits Times Index (STI) had fallen 0.5 per cent to 3,743.96 points after 30.8 million securities transacted across the broader market. In terms of counters to watch, we have CapitaLand Investment and CapitaLand Ascott Trust. That’s after CapitaLand Investment sold stapled securities in CapitaLand Ascott Trust for S$162 million to an unrelated party. Elsewhere, from more on Japanese inflation rising more than expected last month, to what to expect ahead of the release of US personal consumption expenditures tonight – more international headlines remain in focus. Also on deck – Beijing calling on AstraZeneca to expand its research and development investment in the city despite an ongoing probe against some of its executives. Plus – a quick look at MayBank’s take on what to watch in 2025. On Market View, The Evening Runway’s finance presenter Chua Tian Tian unpacked the developments with Eddy Loh, Chief Investment Officer, Maybank Group Wealth Management.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Inflation concerns are widespread, but are they justified? Economic trends suggest that the narrative of persistently high inflation may be overblown.In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, analyze the nuances of current inflation data and its implications for investors and the broader economy. They discuss why inflation is less of a concern than widely believed, explore consumer strength, and offer insights into the Federal Reserve's approach to monetary policy.Ryan and Sonu talk about:The recent market trends, including stock movements, Santa Claus rallies, and why market sentiment remains resilient despite fluctuationsThe misconceptions surrounding "sticky" inflation, emphasizing the lagging impact of shelter and auto insurance dataThe Federal Reserve's policy decisions, including upcoming rate cuts and their implications for the marketThe resilience of the U.S. consumer, supported by strong balance sheets, rising disposable income, and robust retail sales growthChina's economic shifts, including its dominance in automobile manufacturing and its global impact on manufacturing trends and oil demandAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese
Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee announced on Thursday (August 8) to keep the repo rate unchanged at 6.5% in its August 2024 meeting for the ninth consecutive time. It maintained its inflation projection for FY25 at 4.5 per cent. While announcing the MPC policy, Governor Shaktikanta Das noted that headline inflation reached 5.1 per cent in June 2024, driven by unexpected factors. Fuel prices remained in deflation for the tenth consecutive month, but food inflation surged. Food inflation contributed over 75 per cent to headline inflation in May and June. Vegetable prices alone accounted for roughly 35 per cent of June's inflation. Governor Das said that that the MPC cannot afford to ignore this, espicially in an environment of persisting high food inflation. Vegetables and pulses have kept headline retail inflation has been over 5 per cent for eight months in the last one year. However, retail core inflation — the non-food and non-fuel segment — moderated to a four-year low of 4.3 per cent in FY24. In fact, core inflation saw a historic low during May and June. Some experts believe that high food inflation is stopping the RBI from cutting rates. In fact, the Economic Survey has suggested that "India's inflation targeting framework should consider targeting inflation, excluding food." The argument for the change is that core inflation is muted, meaning the domestic demand is weak. Core inflation measure the change in the cost of goods and services, but it does not include the food and energy sectors. A rate cut would help boost demand. Others say that food inflation is a very important component and it can't be excluded. In this podcast, V Nivedita spoke to Dipti Deshpande, Director and Principal Economist at CRISIL Limited, to decode the debate - should the RBI focus on core inflation while forming its monetary policy? Guest: Dipti Deshpande, Director and Principal Economist at CRISIL Limited Host: V. Nivedita Edited by Jude Weston
Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
Nora Szentivanyi, Senior Global Economist, and Samantha Azzarello, Head of Content Strategy, discuss the latest global inflation report. This podcast was recorded on June 26, 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4731978-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
Listening to the Press reports it all seems superb. Core Inflation, read the headlines, was the lowest in three years, while personal spending and incomes were higher. I don't know about you, but I thought they must be talking about someone else because my household income hasn't increased. It seems like we have less money to spend, not more.
Listening to the Press reports it all seems superb. Core Inflation, read the headlines, was the lowest in three years, while personal spending and incomes were higher. I don't know about you, but I thought they must be talking about someone else because my household income hasn't increased. It seems like we have less money to spend, not more.
Listening to the Press reports it all seems superb. Core Inflation, read the headlines, was the lowest in three years, while personal spending and incomes were higher. I don't know about you, but I thought they must be talking about someone else because my household income hasn't increased. It seems like we have less money to spend, not more.
Listening to the Press reports it all seems superb. Core Inflation, read the headlines, was the lowest in three years, while personal spending and incomes were higher. I don't know about you, but I thought they must be talking about someone else because my household income hasn't increased. It seems like we have less money to spend, not more.
Stocks rise; inflation remains above Federal Reserve's target; retail sales flat in April; homebuilder sentiment declines.
#Markets: Super core inflation and the stalled markets. Liz Peek, The Hill, Fox News, and Fox Business https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/smallbusiness/the-feds-favorite-inflatio... 1913 JP Morgan demolition
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a preview of the March jobs report and Disney's annual meeting of shareholders. In the UK - a preview of European core inflation data. In Asia – a look at a potential TikTok ban in the U.S, and a preview of China PMI data. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a preview of the March jobs report and Disney's annual meeting of shareholders. In the UK - a preview of European core inflation data. In Asia – a look at a potential TikTok ban in the U.S, and a preview of China PMI data. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
A sequential rise in February core inflation is not cause for concern, as it is due to “residual seasonality”, an auto insurance outlier, and residential real estate which will come down. The S&P 500 index's positive return in each of the last four months is something that only happened 16 times before; on average after those times, it returned 16% to the end of the year. There is a break-out in the downward trend of the Chinese stock market, and the gradient is turning positive in several economic data series there. Japan's wages will be 5.3% higher than last year, the largest increase since 1991. We look for the Bank of Japan to raise the policy rate from -0.1% to 0.2% a year from now. This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.
Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyMarch 12th, 2024Featuring: Bill Lee, Chief Economist at the Milken Institute, on CPI Sarah House, Senior Economist at Wells Fargo Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief Equity Strategist Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo with her Newspaper Headlines Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Dan Silver joins Nora Szentivanyi to discuss the outlook for US core inflation and implications for the Fed. The trend for core inflation moderated in 2023 but the CPI and PCE measures sent differing signals about how close inflation was to target late last year. We expect core CPI run rates to slow to 2.9%ar in 1H24 alongside a modest firming in core PCE inflation to a still low 2.2%ar. If our forecast is correct, year-ago core PCE inflation could dip below 2.5% as soon as the February report (released in late March) and enable the Fed to start easing in May/June. However, with tailwinds from the unwinding of supply chain shocks fading, some softening in the labor market will likely still be needed to keep inflation close to the 2% target on a sustainable basis. Speakers Nora Szentivanyi, Global Economic and Policy Research Daniel Silver, US Economic Research This podcast was recorded on 6 Feb 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4617977-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4616731-0, and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4609533-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.
Record High Inflation as of October 2023https://www.audacy.com/989word The Tara Show Follow us on Social Media Join our Live Stream Weekdays - 6am to 10am Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/989word Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-2031096 X: https://twitter.com/989word Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/989word/ " Red Meat, Greenville." 10/25/23
The Financial Rape of America https://www.audacy.com/989word The Tara Show Follow us on Social Media Join our Live Stream Weekdays - 6am to 10am Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/989word Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-2031096 X: https://twitter.com/989word Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/989word/ "Red Meat, Greenville." 10/23/23
(9/14/23) The ARM IPO debuts today at $51/share; why IPO's aren't a good deal. PPI preview; CPI review: Inflation up on fuel prices and housing costs; the Fed is on hold for now. Market Volatility is very low on a deep sell signal; potential triggers could be the UAW Strike at midnight tonight, government shutdown fears in October, and the reimposition of student loan payments sucking revenue from retail sales. The impact of oil prices on inflation is negligible compared to shelter costs (accounting for over 1/3rd of CPI). Don't expect a large bump in inflation from energy costs. Core Inflation vs Headline Data: Why inflation is calculated this way. What will the Fed do next? They're not saying in order to avoid a market rally. Job Creation planning is at an 8-year low. No more payroll growth = no economic expansion; employment levels now returning to "normal." Traffic tickets & home-life discussions at the Roberts'; market preview & EOY investing strategies; market performance YTD; the need for portfolio managers to "play catch-up" to preserve their jobs. Look for a reversal of stock buyback suppression; 2024 may be "The Year of Value." SEG-1: Is the Fed on Hold? SEG-2: Interpreting Inflation SEG-3: What Will the Fed Do Next? SEG-4: Traffic Tickets, Homelife Discussions, & EOY Investing Strategies Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3UG4e75gfbM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2731s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What's Likely to Trigger the Next Round of Volatility?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jypMhluou3s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Mortgage Lenders Created Unaffordable Housing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SGh81vUL7Aw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Lag Effect Unveiled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lag-effect-unveiled/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #PPI #EnergyPrices #Shelter #Volatility #ARMIPO #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/14/23) The ARM IPO debuts today at $51/share; why IPO's aren't a good deal. PPI preview; CPI review: Inflation up on fuel prices and housing costs; the Fed is on hold for now. Market Volatility is very low on a deep sell signal; potential triggers could be the UAW Strike at midnight tonight, government shutdown fears in October, and the reimposition of student loan payments sucking revenue from retail sales. The impact of oil prices on inflation is negligible compared to shelter costs (accounting for over 1/3rd of CPI). Don't expect a large bump in inflation from energy costs. Core Inflation vs Headline Data: Why inflation is calculated this way. What will the Fed do next? They're not saying in order to avoid a market rally. Job Creation planning is at an 8-year low. No more payroll growth = no economic expansion; employment levels now returning to "normal." Traffic tickets & home-life discussions at the Roberts'; market preview & EOY investing strategies; market performance YTD; the need for portfolio managers to "play catch-up" to preserve their jobs. Look for a reversal of stock buyback suppression; 2024 may be "The Year of Value." SEG-1: Is the Fed on Hold? SEG-2: Interpreting Inflation SEG-3: What Will the Fed Do Next? SEG-4: Traffic Tickets, Homelife Discussions, & EOY Investing Strategies Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3UG4e75gfbM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2731s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What's Likely to Trigger the Next Round of Volatility?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jypMhluou3s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Mortgage Lenders Created Unaffordable Housing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SGh81vUL7Aw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Lag Effect Unveiled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lag-effect-unveiled/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #PPI #EnergyPrices #Shelter #Volatility #ARMIPO #Markets #Money #Investing
Traders Absorbed a Hotter than Expected August core Inflation print, The Real Cost of Owning a Dog, Briefing.com Strategist Patrick O'Hare Talks About the Current Markets
Traders Absorbed a Hotter than Expected August core Inflation print, The Real Cost of Owning a Dog, Briefing.com Strategist Patrick O'Hare Talks About the Current MarketsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Today we talk about inflation vs. core inflation in the United States and why gas prices are so high and how the economic outlook more concerning than you realize.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Where are the markets and economy heading? Thrivent's chief investment strategist discusses the Federal Reserve, inflation, and his positioning in equities and credit. • Learn more at thriventfunds.com • Follow us on LinkedIn • Share feedback and questions with us at podcast@thriventfunds.com • Thrivent Distributors, LLC is a member of FINRA/SIPC and a subsidiary of Thrivent, the marketing name for Thrivent Financial for Lutherans.
(7/27/23) An overview of the current earnings reporting reveals profit margins have declined to pre-pandemic levels. Markets' flat response to Jerome Powell post-FOMC meeting presser The effects of shrinkflation are beginning to fade; no 2% inflation expected until late 2025. Will rate cuts return by then? Markets don't have a friendly Fed; a huge concern for impact of the Lag Effect; still possible for yet another rate increase of .25 to .50% by September. Market expectations vs Consumer Sentiment: Could there still be a "soft" landing? Is 3% inflation good enough? Powell says drop in headline inflation will encourage consumers--counter-productive for flagging inflation. Core Inflation is a better gauge of economic reality. Still no Recession? Why Chipotle is the world's most expensive burrito, and a good mid-level economic indicator. Why Technical Analysis is not voodoo; Recession still coming: 6-mos from now or late 2025? The Lag Effect Factor; the fallacy of MMT has come to pass. SEG-1: Mega Cap Earnings Review SEG-2: Was This the Last Fed Rate Hike? SEG-3: Falling Headline Inflation Works Counter-Intuitively Against the Fed SEG-4: The World's Most Expensive Burrito Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tqRA0UPAUPc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=45s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dow Winning Streak Keeps Going" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ppk8LAZyLus&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is This the Last Rate Hike?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FgjXnLjDtQA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Articles mentioned in today's show: “Beating Estimates” – How Companies Win In Earnings Season https://realinvestmentadvice.com/beating-estimates-how-companies-win-in-earnings-season Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHike #EarningsSeason #MegaCap #Estimates #Inflation #ChipotleIndicator #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/27/23) An overview of the current earnings reporting reveals profit margins have declined to pre-pandemic levels. Markets' flat response to Jerome Powell post-FOMC meeting presser The effects of shrinkflation are beginning to fade; no 2% inflation expected until late 2025. Will rate cuts return by then? Markets don't have a friendly Fed; a huge concern for impact of the Lag Effect; still possible for yet another rate increase of .25 to .50% by September. Market expectations vs Consumer Sentiment: Could there still be a "soft" landing? Is 3% inflation good enough? Powell says drop in headline inflation will encourage consumers--counter-productive for flagging inflation. Core Inflation is a better gauge of economic reality. Still no Recession? Why Chipotle is the world's most expensive burrito, and a good mid-level economic indicator. Why Technical Analysis is not voodoo; Recession still coming: 6-mos from now or late 2025? The Lag Effect Factor; the fallacy of MMT has come to pass. SEG-1: Mega Cap Earnings Review SEG-2: Was This the Last Fed Rate Hike? SEG-3: Falling Headline Inflation Works Counter-Intuitively Against the Fed SEG-4: The World's Most Expensive Burrito Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tqRA0UPAUPc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=45s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dow Winning Streak Keeps Going" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ppk8LAZyLus&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is This the Last Rate Hike?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FgjXnLjDtQA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Articles mentioned in today's show: “Beating Estimates” – How Companies Win In Earnings Season https://realinvestmentadvice.com/beating-estimates-how-companies-win-in-earnings-season Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHike #EarningsSeason #MegaCap #Estimates #Inflation #ChipotleIndicator #Markets #Money #Investing
In this episode, Alfredo Ortiz and Elaine Parker interview nationally syndicated radio host and small business owner, Carl Jackson. They discuss the recent economic news, including the Consumer Price Index and core inflation, as well as the impact on grocery prices. They also delve into the jobs report, expressing concern about small business owners putting hiring plans on hold due to economic uncertainty. Alfredo and Elaine critique President Biden's job creation claims and discuss the impact of inflation on small businesses. They also touch on their personal experiences as minorities in the Republican Party and the importance of hard work and entrepreneurship. Main Street Matters is part of the Salem Podcast Network - new episodes debut every Wednesday & Thursday. For more info visit jobcreatorsnetwork.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. Today Jim answers the question, is inflation bottoming in June? •What is the Base Effect, and what does it say about Headline Inflation? •How about Core Inflation? •How will the Fed react to this? Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know. For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Ready for this week's market updates? In this episode, Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese talk about the recent Fed decision, its impact on the market, and general markets update. They cover inflation, retail sales, and statistics on the housing market. Additionally, they touch on the importance of diversifying your portfolio and being cautious about chasing shiny objects. Ryan and Sonu discuss: The recent Fed decision, projections for the economy, and the impact on the marketAn explanation of core inflation, the impact of energy, food, and vehicles, and the role of housing in the consumer price indexAn analysis of retail sales data, including auto sales and building materials, and its implications for consumer spendingAn explanation of the difference between headline and core inflation and how consumers experience inflation in their daily livesThe recent positive housing data, including a 22% increase in housing starts in May and a 5% increase in permits dataThe recent strength of the stock marketThe mid-year outlook and potential gains in the stock market for the second half of the yearThe idea of diversifying investments outside the US, including mid and small-cap stocks, and sectors like energy and industrialsAnd more!Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseInvestment advisory services offered through CWM, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Carson Partners, a division of CWM, LLC, is a nationwide partnership of advisors.
UK interest rate rises risk house price collapse. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Core Inflation has hit it’s highest level for 31 years and massive firms aren’t paying their workers the minimum wage. We discuss the cost of living crisis in Britain with James Meadway. Plus: the Barbican has been forced to apologise after cancelling an event discussing Palestinian liberation; and one year into the RMT’s dispute, Mick […]
Core Inflation has hit it's highest level for 31 years and massive firms aren't paying their workers the minimum wage. We discuss the cost of living crisis in Britain with James Meadway. Plus: the Barbican has been forced to apologise after cancelling an event discussing Palestinian liberation; and one year into the RMT's dispute, Mick […]
Core prices rose 0.3%; Consumer spending stalled in March; Employers' pay and benefit costs rose 1% in March; Exxon-Mobil, Chevron beat quarterly profit expectations To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Core inflation data from March might push the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates again next month. LVMH earnings show the strength of luxury shoppers. And the rate on Treasury I-Bonds could fall to about 3.8% in May. Host: Jackson Cantrell. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
P.M. Edition for Oct. 13. The U.S. economy continues to experience broad price pressures. Overall inflation rose 8.2% in September from a year ago, according to the Labor Department, and core inflation, which excludes the volatile categories of food and energy, rose 6.6%, the biggest increase since 1982. WSJ economics reporter Gwynn Guilford joins host Annmarie Fertoli to discuss. Plus, the House select committee investigating the January 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol votes to subpoena former President Donald Trump. Congressional reporter Siobhan Hughes has more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode of Millionaire Mindcast, the dynamic duo is back. Matty A and Ryan Breedwell jump into this past week's updates on world news, real estate, market updates, the difference between CPI vs Core Inflation, and the big 401K mistakes. This and more on today's episode. So tune in and enjoy! Enter giveaway @ Go.MillionaireMindcast.com Text us at @ 844.447.1555 Episode Sponsored By: Athletic Greens AG1 Supplement TheRichLifeStore.com Questions? Comments? Do you have a success story you would like to share on the show? Send us an email to Questions@MillionaireMindcast.com