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Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4doM7FT Monday Market Updates: From Moody's Downgrade to Japan's Economy In this Monday edition of Dividend Cafe, the discussion covers a wide range of market updates and economic indicators. Key points include Moody's recent downgrade of U.S. debt, which the market largely ignored, and the mixed market performance with the Dow Jones closing up 137 points. The episode also highlights the ongoing U.S.-Japan trade negotiations and recent conversations between President Trump and Vladimir Putin about Ukraine. Furthermore, the script discusses new house budget bill developments and recent economic data such as the Producer Price Index, retail sales, and housing starts. The episode concludes by inviting listeners to get more insights on Warren Buffet's investment success from Friday's edition at dividendcafe.com. 00:00 Introduction and Overview 00:38 Warren Buffett's Investment Success 01:07 Market Performance and Moody's Downgrade 04:07 Sector Performance and Trade Issues 05:44 US Political Developments 09:20 Economic Data and Fed Expectations 13:00 Energy Market Update 13:27 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Advisors on This Week's Show Kyle Tetting Dave Sandstrom Kendall Bauer (with Max Hoelzl and Joel Dresang engineered by Jason Scuglik) Week in Review (May 12-16, 2025) Significant Economic Indicators & Reports Monday No major announcements Tuesday Broad inflation slowed in April to its lowest point in more than four years. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that its Consumer Price Index rose 2.3% from April 2024, still outpacing the Fed's 2% target but down from a four-decade high of 9.1% in mid-2022. Shelter costs c0ntributed more than half of the month's increase while grocery prices fell the most since mid-2020. Egg prices dropped nearly 13% from March but were 49% more expensive than they were in April 2024. The 2.3% year-to-year inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Excluding volatile costs for food and energy, the core CPI rose 2.8% from the same time last year, the same pace as in March. Wednesday No major announcements Thursday Inflation on the wholesale level registered a 2.4% annual increase in April, slowing for the third month in a row. The Producer Price Index was down 0.5% from March, the first decline in 16 months and the most since April 2020. The Bureau of Labor Statistics said the index shrank mostly because of lower prices for services, led by margins for machinery and vehicle wholesaling. The core rate of wholesale inflation, stripping out volatile prices for food, energy and trade services, sank 0.1% for the month and was up 2.9% from April 2024. Retail sales slowed in April, though consumers kept spending, according to a report by the Commerce Department. Advanced sales by retailers and food services rose 0.1% from March. Among 13 major categories, five increased sales from the month before, including bars and restaurants. Sales at supermarkets and liquor stores were unchanged. Car dealers and gas stations were among the outlets where sales declined. Adjusted for inflation, retail sales fell 0.2% in April. Economists follow store signs as an indication of consumer spending, which drives two-thirds of the U.S. economy. The four-week moving average for initial unemployment claims rose for the third week in a row, rising to its highest level since October. The measure of employer willingness to let workers go was 36% below the 58-year average, suggesting a continued tight labor market. According to Labor Department data, total jobless claims fell 3% from the week before to just under 1.9 million applications, which was nearly 6% higher than the year before, The Federal Reserve said its industrial production index was unchanged in April, though 1.5% above where it stood the year before. Lower output from manufacturing and mining was offset by increased production by utilities following an unseasonably warm March. Factories produced 0.4% less than March and were up 1.2% from April 2024. Industry's capacity utilization rate fell marginally to 77.7%, staying below the 52-year average of 79.6%. Seen as an early indicator of inflation, the capacity rate has been safely under the long-range average since late 2022. Friday Housing construction in April stayed in a relatively narrow band that has accompanied higher interest rates since mid-2022. A Commerce Department report on building permits and housing starts showed the indicators on par with levels in early 2007, just before the Great Recession. The number of houses under construction has been declining since late 2023 but remained near the housing boom peak of 2006. Economists have blamed a lack of inventory for years of escalating housing prices. The University of Michigan said consumer sentiment sank slightly from the end of April following four months of sharp declines. Since January, sentiment was down nearly 30%. More consumers spontaneously mentioned tariff uncertainty as reasons for angst for the economy and their personal finances.
Market Update and Economic Insights - May 15th In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel from West Palm Beach, Florida, covers the latest market trends and economic data for May 15th. He highlights the Dow's rise of 271 points, a slight decline in Nasdaq, and a modest gain in the S&P. The conversation delves into the unexpected drop in the Producer Price Index, implications on inflation and interest rates, and their impact on different economic sectors. Additionally, Brian discusses recent retail sales, jobless claims, and manufacturing indices, providing a broad look at current economic health. The episode also addresses trade negotiations, geopolitical developments, and their potential effects on the global economy. Brian ends with a note on anticipating future economic conditions and wishes the audience a pleasant weekend. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:31 Inflation and Economic Data Insights 03:11 Impact of Tariffs and Trade Negotiations 03:48 Viewer Question on Trade Negotiations 05:13 Conclusion and Upcoming Updates Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
With tariff headlines changing by the day, it's tempting to react—but that could be a costly mistake. We'll break down why chasing policy noise is a fool's game, why our stance at Henssler remains grounded in facts not forecasts, and how our Henssler Ten Year Rule is designed to help you ride out this kind of manufactured volatility. Despite ongoing uncertainty and speculation about a potential slowdown, the hard economic data remains resilient. We break down the latest economic reports, including the Consumer Price Index, the Federal Reserve's March meeting minutes, the Producer Price Index, and recent consumer sentiment readings.After the break, K.C. brings together his two favorite topics: college sports and finance. Nico Iamaleava was essentially forced off the University of Tennessee's football team over a dispute tied to an NIL agreement. He potentially lost millions before ever seeing a dime—which begs the question: what kind of financial advice was he getting? We explore why having the right team around you—financially and personally—is more important than ever. Whether you're an athlete, a business owner, or just trying to make smart money moves, this conversation matters.Join hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Kelly-Lynne Scalice on Henssler Money Talks as they explore key financial strategies to help investors navigate market uncertainty.Henssler Money Talks — April 19, 2025 | Season 39, Episode 16Timestamps and Chapters3:02: Chasing Policy Noise is a Fool's Game21:57: Market Update: CPI, Fed Minutes, PPI, and Consumer Sentiment37:18: Financial Lessons from NCAA and NIL Agreements Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Kevin offers the theory that some "experts" and "journalists" are trying to manufacture a recession. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index; Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller offers his views on inflation as a result of President Trump's tariffs. While at the MId-America Trucking Show, Kevin spoke with Kelsea Eckert, Eckert and Associates, DowntimeClaims.com about her services. Kevin digs into a recent survey by Chief Executive, offers his insights and puts the information into perspective. National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett talks tariffs and recession chances in an interview with Fox Business News; Kevin offers his thoughts. Goldman Sachs' CEO David Solomon discusses 1st Quarter earnings and the prospect of a recession; Kevin offers his insights.
Kevin offers the theory that some "experts" and "journalists" are trying to manufacture a recession. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index; Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller offers his views on inflation as a result of President Trump's tariffs. While at the MId-America Trucking Show, Kevin spoke with Kelsea Eckert, Eckert and Associates, DowntimeClaims.com about her services. Kevin digs into a recent survey by Chief Executive, offers his insights and puts the information into perspective. National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett talks tariffs and recession chances in an interview with Fox Business News; Kevin offers his thoughts. Goldman Sachs' CEO David Solomon discusses 1st Quarter earnings and the prospect of a recession; Kevin offers his insights.
In this video, Will and Ben look at the rebound in crop prices as tariffs are largely paused and the inflationary pressures ease.Market recap (changes on week as of Friday's close): » May 2025 corn up $.30 at $4.90» December 2025 corn up $.17 at $4.63» May 2025 soybeans up $.65 at $10.42» November 2025 soybeans up $.41 at $10.25» May soybean oil up 1.51 cents at 47.35 cents/lb» May soybean meal up $16.50 at $299.60/short ton» May wheat up $.26 at $5.55» July 2025 wheat up $.28 at $5.70» May 2025 cotton up 2.53 cents at 63.36 cents/lb» December 2025 cotton up 2.35 cents at 68.51 cents/lb» May 2025 rough rice up $0.43 at $13.505/cwt» September 2025 rough rice up $0.315 at $13.665/cwt» May WTI Crude Oil down $0.49 at $61.50/barrelWeekly highlights:Both the Consumer Price Index and the Producer Price Index fell month over month- well below expectations they would increase just slightly. The initial consumer sentiment reading of 50.8 came in below the 54.6 expectations.Energy stocks were mixed on the week. U.S. crude oil stocks were up 107 million gallons while gasoline and distillate fuels were down 67.2 and 148.9 million gallons. Implied gasoline demand was down 1% week over week and 4% below the four-week average.US ethanol production decreased to 300 million gallons produced- down from 313 million gallons the week prior and 310 million gallons the saw week last year. Ethanol stocks increased 17.7 million gallons on the week and are 9% higher than the five-year average for the week.Weekly export sales of grains and oilseeds were neutral to slightly bearish. Sales of corn (30.9), soybeans (6.3), grain sorghum (0.9), and wheats (3.9) million bushels were all within expectations, but down from the week prior and recent volumes.Open interest in futures and options of grains and oilseeds was down 0.4% week over week. Producers and merchants were net sellers expanding their net short position in the complex. Managed money traders were net buyers reducing their net short position.U.S. export inspections were bullish for grains and neutral to bullish for oilseeds. Corn and wheat inspections came in above all expectations at 72.0 and 22.2 million bushels, respectively. Soybean inspections were as expected at 20.1 million bushels.U.S. corn planting was 4% this week- a little behind the 5% average for this time of year and behind the 6% trade expectation. U.S. soybean planting is at 2% matching the 2% on average but also behind the 3% expected in pre-report expectations.U.S. winter wheat conditions were 47% good to excellent- down 1 point from the week prior but matching trade expectations. The value compares to 55% good to excellent this time last year.Topics:- Market recap- Pause on tariffs- Dollar value adjustments- Crop export support- Inflation pressures slow- Reports to watchConnect with Brownfield Ag News:» Get the latest ag news: https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/» Subscribe to Brownfield on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BrownfieldAgNews» Follow Brownfield on X (Twitter): https://x.com/brownfield» Follow Brownfield on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BrownfieldAgNewsAbout Brownfield Ag News:Brownfield Ag News is your trusted source for reliable agriculture news, market trends, weather updates, and expert interviews. Get comprehensive coverage and stay ahead in the ever-evolving agriculture industry.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain discusses the impact of inflation on the Producer Price Index, as well as the importance to developing strategies to manage rising costs. Are you prepared to handle the upcoming inflationary pressures to your business? Tune in to TrendsTalk for the latest insights and actionable advice!
We start with a detailed breakdown of the Henssler Ten Year Rule, explaining how it allows investors to weather downturns without selling equities. Then, we break down the latest market volatility, how inflation uncertainty is affecting the Producer Price Index and consumer Sentiment, and the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain monetary policy.In light of the recent volatility, we address the importance of diversification—across sectors, market capitalizations, domestic and international investments, and even tax structures—to help smooth volatility risk. After the break, we examine the impact of increasing longevity on financial planning, including the possibility that someday retirees may still have parents and even grandparents in retirement, reshaping how wealth transfers across generations.Join hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Kelly-Lynne Scalice on Henssler Money Talks as they explore key financial strategies to help investors navigate market uncertainty.Henssler Money Talks — March 22, 2025 | Season 39, Episode 12Timestamps and Chapters12:30: The Henssler Ten Year Rule27:16: Market Roundup: Strong Economy Despite Falling Consumer Confidence38:12: Diversification53:12: Centenarians and Financial PlanningFollow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
One of the most significant housing stories in the past year has slipped under the radar of news media, with very little commentary. The latest official data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that it now costs over $500,000 to build the average house in this country. That's the cost of construction of the dwelling and doesn't include the land price. Given that the price of residential land is also escalating to record price levels, the reality is that the typical house and land package in a capital city is beyond the reach of most young buyers. This, in simple terms, is the essence of the housing affordability problem that has created a national crisis. Australia needs to build more homes – a lot more than the industry is currently able to build – but the obscenely high cost of building both houses and apartments is the largest single barrier to achieving it. The latest ABS figures tell a very sad story. They show that the nation, in 2024, fell 70,000 home approvals short of the target set to fix the housing crisis – AND that home building costs have hit a grim new record high. Latest Australian Bureau of Statistics figures show there were 170,719 homes approved in 2024, the second worst annual figure since 2012, with experts warning government efforts to address the housing crisis so far have failed to make a difference. And affordability is getting worse, with the average cost of building a new house in Australia surpassing $500,000 for the first time in December, according to the ABS data, made worse by new requirements for sustainable builds. Making a bad situation considerably worse is the soaring cost of home sites. The Housing Industry Association says that surging land values are problematic for the struggling development sector, which is already battling soaring labour and materials costs. Extreme housing block costs have also coincided with falling prices for established houses – making the significant premium on brand new homes a hard sell for builders. Housing Industry Association figures showed the median price of land across Greater Sydney now stands at $2,000 per square metre. That means that even a tiny 300 square metre block of land costs $600,000. Land prices are less – but still very expensive – in Melbourne, where that small block costs $320,000, and it's similar in both Perth and Brisbane. But that 300 square metre block is below the normal block size. In Sydney the median lot price is $710,000 compared to around $400,000 in both Melbourne and Brisbane. Add on that typical cost for building a home – and it makes a new house on land over $900,000 in Brisbane and Melbourne – and around $1.2 million in Sydney. Housing Industry Association economist Maurice Tapang said the dramatic extra costs of buying land and building, versus buying established homes, could squash demand for new homes. Tapang said the price of land was now the biggest constraint on new housing construction in Australia's capital cities. PropTrack economist Paul Ryan said: “It's becoming increasingly hard to make new housing equations stack up. There's lots of choice for established homes and the prices have gotten relatively more attractive compared to new homes, and that's something we've heard a lot of from developers”. The HIA-CoreLogic Residential Land Report showed that the median price of a capital city lot increased by 9.2% in the September quarter to $408,160 compared to a year earlier. Tapang said: “Land prices have risen three times faster than the rate of growth in the ABS Consumer Price Index (CPI) and five times faster than growth in the cost of home building materials as measured by the Producer Price Index for the September quarter 2024.” At the same time, the cost of building a house now averages $537,000 nationally, according to the ABS, following the hyperinflation of construction costs since the pandemic. Add those two figures together – the median lot price and the average cost of building a house – and you have $945,160. And that, in one sentence, is the affordability issue. But I haven't heard a single politician in Australia, at any level, suggest a policy to deal with this ridiculously high cost for new homes. And it begs the question: are politicians in government around Australia even aware that the cost of a new house on land is getting scarily close to $1 million?
This week Will and Ben discuss how higher than expected inflation measurements could benefit agriculture.Market recap (changes on week as of Monday's close): » March 2025 corn up $.09 at $4.96» December 2025 corn up $.07 at $4.73» March 2025 soybeans down $.13 at $10.36» November 2025 soybeans down $.05 at $10.52» March soybean oil flat at 46.07 cents/lb» March soybean meal down $5.50 at $295.90/short ton» March wheat up $.18 at $6.00» July 2025 wheat up $.19 at $6.25» March 2025 cotton up 1.48 cents at 67.11 cents/lb» December 2025 cotton up $0.78 at 69.39 cents/lb » October WTI Crude Oil down $0.26 at $70.74/barrel Weekly highlights:The Consumer Price Index came in up 0.5% month over month- higher than the 0.3% expected and the 0.4% experienced last month. The Producer Price Index was also higher than expected, but lower than the December index.US retail sales were worse than expected- posting the largest monthly drop in nearly two years.US crude oil stocks increased again this week- up 171 million gallons along with distillate stocks up just 5.7 million gallons. Gasoline stocks were down 127.5 million gallons with US implied gasoline demand up 3% from the week prior and 5% from the same time last year.US ethanol production declined to 318 million gallons on the week- after a strong weekly production of 327 million gallons the week prior. The volume matches the same set during the week in 2024. Ethanol stocks declined 30 million gallons on the week.Grain and oilseed export sales were mixed this week with corn and wheat sales of 64.9 and 20.9 million bushels, respectively being up week over week and at the top end of pre-report expectations, while soybean sales of 6.8 were below all expectations. Sorghum sales of 2.1 million bushels were the largest weekly volume since Mid-November. Open interest in futures and options contracts of grains and oilseeds was down 1.6% week over week with producer and merchants decreasing their net short position 3.5% and money managers reducing their net long position a combined 55,387 contracts. It was the first net reduction of the complex in nearly 2 months.Topics:» Market recap» Inflation numbers higher than expected» Commodity markets could benefit from inflation» Bill introduced to instate year-round E15» Reports to watchConnect with Brownfield Ag News:» Get the latest ag news: https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/» Subscribe to Brownfield on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BrownfieldAgNews» Follow Brownfield on X (Twitter): https://x.com/brownfield» Follow Brownfield on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BrownfieldAgNewsAbout Brownfield Ag News:Brownfield Ag News is your trusted source for reliable agriculture news, market trends, weather updates, and expert interviews. Get comprehensive coverage and stay ahead in the ever-evolving agriculture industry.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Trump signs reciprocal tariffs, Kevin has the details. U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index report, Kevin digs into report and offers his insights. The U.S. Labor Department reports the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits. Politico commits journalism and publishes an article by former Clinton Comptroller of the Currency stating that government data under reports what the people are experiencing, Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Oil reacts to potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal, Trump proposing reciprocal tariffs on countries that level tariffs on U.S. goods, Russia tries to bypass oil export sanctions and lessening concerns over crude oil supply.
How much electricity will AI need? To train AI models companies use graphics processing units, also known as GPUs. They are now starting to build larger clusters of GPUs, which requires even more electricity. How much electricity you may ask? AI data centers use about 30 Megawatts of electricity at a time. If you don't understand megawatts, let's just say it's a lot of power. Picture 30 Walmart stores and how much electricity they use at any given time, that is estimated at 30 megawatts. Fast forward five years into the future when there will be more data centers and larger AI models. It is estimated they will require 5 gigawatts of electricity. 5 gigawatts is a huge amount of energy, it is about the same amount of energy needed to power a city like Manhattan in New York. Also, a big concern is within the next five years these massive data centers could consume up to 17% of US electricity. You may be thinking just build more power plants. The problem is data centers can be completed within 18 to 24 months, but to build a power plant can take over three years and that's provided all permits and regulations are met on time. There's also the concern of how do you get that energy to the data centers, you're going to need more transmission lines, but that can take 10 years or longer to get that task completed. Wind and solar are not the answer because data centers need power 24 hours seven days a week and when the sun goes down or the wind stops, there's no power. I see some roadblocks ahead with fast moving AI, maybe we need to slow down a little bit? Mag Seven capital expenditures could be a big problem! The Mag Seven, which includes Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla has been a group that has dominated the stock market the last couple of years. Much of the excitement around the stocks have been tied to advancements in AI, but there has still been little evidence these companies (outside of Nvidia) have been able to profit from the trend. A major concern I have is these companies are investing tons of money and the big question is how profitable will these investments be? It is estimated Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta will spend $200 billion on artificial intelligence this year alone and their budgets have continued to grow. If we look at total capital expenditures, also known as capex, the budgets have grown immensely for many of these companies. Amazon is projected to spend around $105 billion on capital expenditures in 2025, up 27% from 2024, which came after a 57% increase over 2023. Microsoft has guided to $80 billion in capex for its fiscal 2025, up 80% from 2024, which was up 58% from the year before. Alphabet estimated capex of $75 billion in 2025, up 43% from 2023, which was up 63% from 2022. Meta has a forecast of $60 billion to $65 billion of capex in 2025, up 68% at the midpoint from 2024, which was up by 37% from the year before. The big problem with major capex is investors won't see much of a difference in earnings, but there will be major hits to free cashflow. Capex is generally expensed or depreciated over time, which means it won't hit earnings in a major way initially, but it could weigh on earnings growth over time as that expense remains for years to come and potentially grows if capex budgets continue to climb. As an example, Meta is projected to see $68 billion of net income this year, but free cash flow could slide 25% to $40 billion. Investments of this magnitude need to pay off, especially considering the high valuations for these stocks. Time will tell if these investments work out for all these companies, but I must say I'm skeptical they will all be winners from this movement 5-10 years from now. Investors need to look at the full picture and understand all the moving parts, which includes how all the financial statements work together. At our firm we don't just look at earnings, we also want to see good cash flow and a strong balance sheet. Producer Prices come in hotter than expected The Producer Price Index, also known as the PPI, showed prices in January climbed 0.4% compared to last month. This topped the expectation of 0.3% and led to an annual increase of 3.5%. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, produced an annual gain of 3.4%, which was lower than last month's reading of 3.5%. While these data points were a little hotter than expected, economists now have inputs to estimate the closely followed PCE report. It is interesting that after the release of the CPI and PPI, which were both higher than expected, estimates for core PCE actually look quite favorable. On a monthly basis core PCE is expected to show a 0.22% increase, which would be a nice deceleration from December's reading of 0.45% and on annual basis estimates are looking for a reasonable 2.5% increase. We will have to see what the actual results look like for the PCE later this month, but with these reports now in hand I continue to believe that while inflation is not at the Fed target, I still don't see it as a major problem. The True Cost of Credit Card Interest Everyone knows that paying credit card interest is a bad thing, but it's less well known how that interest is accrued. Interest is calculated using an average daily balance method, which means every single purchase begins accruing interest immediately. Purchases made on a credit card throughout a monthly statement period increase the outstanding balance. After a month of spending, if the full statement balance is paid by the due date, which is generally 20 to 25 days after the statement period ends, no interest will be due, even though it was accruing during that time. This is known as the grace period which is essentially an interest-free loan on those purchases. For example, if you spend a total of $5,000 through a statement period during January, you will not need to make a $5,000 payment until the end of February to avoid any interest. However, if you do not make that full payment by the due date in February, your grace period is void and you will owe accrued interest from the date those purchases were made in January, not from the due date in February. Also, any additional purchases made in February and afterward begin accruing interest immediately without a grace period, even though those statement periods have not ended yet. Since interest is calculated using the average daily balance method, the unpaid balance and interest compounds on itself making it more and more difficult to pay off. Credit cards have a monthly minimum payment, which is usually $25 to $50 dollars, which paying prevents a mark on your credit report, but it does not stop interest from accruing. Credit cards can be a great tool as they can give you points and fraud protection, but those benefits are greatly outweighed when a balance is being carried. Companies Discussed: Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE), Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) & Phillips 66 (PSX)
Trump signs reciprocal tariffs, Kevin has the details. U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index report, Kevin digs into report and offers his insights. The U.S. Labor Department reports the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits. Politico commits journalism and publishes an article by former Clinton Comptroller of the Currency stating that government data under reports what the people are experiencing, Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Oil reacts to potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal, Trump proposing reciprocal tariffs on countries that level tariffs on U.S. goods, Russia tries to bypass oil export sanctions and lessening concerns over crude oil supply.
Tony starts the final hour of the show joined by Dr. Matt Will, economist at the University of Indianapolis, to talk about the latest in the producer price index.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week Will and Ben dive weigh strong soybean crush numbers against heightened Brazilian soybean expectations.Market recap (changes on week as of Monday's close): » March 2025 corn up $.14 at $4.84» December 2025 corn up $.06 at $4.56» March 2025 soybeans up $.09 at $10.34» November 2025 soybeans down $.04 at $10.27» March soybean oil about flat at 45.69 cents/lb» March soybean meal down $1.10 at $297.20/short ton» March wheat up $.08 at $5.38» July 2025 wheat up $.06 at $5.60» March 2025 cotton up 0.59 cents at 67.60 cents/lb» December 2025 cotton up 0.26 cents at 69.12 cents/lb » October WTI Crude Oil up $0.77 at $75.75/barrel Weekly highlights:Wall Street breathed a sigh of relief when the December inflation readings reported in the Producer Price Index and Consumer Price Index were not higher than expected- as some feared. Prices move higher in December but were largely as expected with annual readings for the PPI at 3.3% and the CPI at 2.9%.US energy stocks were mixed on the week- crude oil stocks fell 82.4 million gallons, while gasoline and distillate stocks were higher 245.8 and 129.2 million gallons, respectively. Gasoline stocks increased for the 9th straight week. Implied gasoline demand was down 4% from recent volumes.US ethanol production decreased for the third straight week to 322 million gallons from 324 million the week prior, but production remains well above the 310 million gallons this time last year. Ethanol stocks increased 36 million gallons on the production increase and lower implied demand.Soybean crush in December by National Oilseed Processors Association members was 206.6 million bushels- up the average of 205.5 million pre-report estimate, 193.2 million bushels in November 2024 prior and 195.3 million bushels in December 2023. The volume was a new single month record for any month of the year.It was a bullish week for feed grains in the export market with corn and wheat sales of 40.3 and 18.9 million bushels, respectively, coming in above all pre-report expectations. Soybean sales of 20.9 million bushels were in the middle of expectations and there were no grain sorghum sales.Open interest in futures and options positions of grains and oilseeds increased 6.7% on the week. Producers and merchants were net sellers on the week of 179,249 contracts while money managers were net buyers of 122,026 to establish the largest net long position since September 2023.Grain and oilseed export inspections were mixed. Corn inspections of 60.7 million bushels were a marketing year high and above all pre-report expectations while soybean and wheat inspections of 35.8 and 9.6 million bushels, respectively, were below all pre-report expectations.Topics:» Market recap» Brazil adjusts soybean expectations» Strong soybean crush numbers continue» Inflationary numbers fall within expectations» Reports to watchConnect with Brownfield Ag News:» Get the latest ag news: https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/» Subscribe to Brownfield on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BrownfieldAgNews» Follow Brownfield on X (Twitter): https://x.com/brownfield» Follow Brownfield on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BrownfieldAgNewsAbout Brownfield Ag News:Brownfield Ag News is your trusted source for reliable agriculture news, market trends, weather updates, and expert interviews. Get comprehensive coverage and stay ahead in the ever-evolving agriculture industry.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — January 18, 2025 Season 39, Episode 3 This week on "Money Talks," Director of Research Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, is joined by Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, to examine the week's market performance, looking at inflation indicators, the Producer Price and Consumer Price indices. The team analyzed interest rates and how it has affected the evolution of the starter home, and how the homes that once served as a gateway for Americans to enter the real estate market are vanishing. In this week's case study, the financial experts debated the Financial Independence, Retire Early movement, a lifestyle approach focused on aggressive saving, investing, and frugality to achieve financial independence and retire significantly earlier than traditional retirement age. The team wrapped up the show with personal predictions on the themes that might shape 2025.Timestamps and Chapters00:00: Market Roundup: Jan. 13 – Jan. 17, 202512:08: The Evolution of the Starter Home24:44: Case Study: Financial Independence, Retire Early 39:36: What Might Shape 2025Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Millennials are a little gun shy on buying a home, but they have good reason to be concerned Looking back 30 to 40 years ago when families purchased a home, they did it as a place to raise a family and they weren't so focused on how much money the house would be worth in the short term. Millennials who were born between 1981 to 1996 and are now between the ages of 29 and 44 years old are old enough to remember the 2008 Great Recession. In 2008 there were 2,330,483 foreclosures, roughly 3 times 2006 when it was 717,522. If at the time the young millennials who were between the ages of 12 and 27 were not affected personally by a foreclosure, it was likely they knew somebody who was. Fast forward 12 to 13 years and millennials have experienced a rapid increase in housing prices that is essentially unprecedented. Experiencing such a wide swing in boom-and-bust cycles is etched in some of these millennial's minds. By the time baby boomers hit age 30 52% were homeowners versus 30-year-olds today at only 43%. Surveys show almost 50% of millennials have stated that owning a home is more trouble than it's worth, which is nearly double the feelings of Gen X and baby boomers on homeownership. If millennial home ownership continues to decline, we could see an oversupply in future years, which would probably mean a fall in housing prices. Better than expected inflation fuels the market higher The Consumer Price Index, also known as CPI showed inflation was up 2.9% compared to last year. While this was in line with expectations, it was the core CPI annual rate of 3.2% that beat the expectation of 3.3% and likely excited the market. This report followed the Producer Price Index which was largely in line to slightly better than expectations. The annual rate for both headline and core PPI rose 3.3%. Looking closer at the CPI, shelter continued to be a heavyweight considering it makes up about one-third of the CPI. While it registered the smallest one-year gain since January 2022, it was still at a high rate of 4.6%. It's important to point out that if shelter was excluded from the core CPI, the annual inflation rate was 2.1%, which is right in line with the Fed's 2% target. I believe there will be a lot of movement in various price groups this year, especially with new government policies in place. With that said, I do believe it is much more likely we continue to move towards the 2% target rather than seeing a sustained reacceleration in inflation. This leads me to believe we will not see the Fed hike rates this year and I think it is still possible to see a couple rate cuts come December 31st, 2025. The Supreme Court ruled against TikTok, why you should agree with them! TikTok is very popular in America with 170 million people in the United States using the app. Many people love TikTok, but they don't understand what the Supreme Court is seeing and why it unanimously confirmed the blocking of the app. It's important to understand the communist party of China ultimately has control of TikTok and that could be very dangerous as it believes in what was driven by Marxist Leninist ideology. The party believes that the CCP should silence dissent and restrict the rights and freedoms of Chinese citizens. This includes population control, arbitrary detention, censorship, forced labor, and very important pervasive media and Internet censorship. Do you really believe that China is our friend and they should be able to obtain data which they do on all the people using TikTok in the United States? Keep in mind that China does not allow Facebook or Instagram in their country. We would not let China own any of our major broadcasters because of the influence media can play and now social media also has that power. Think about this, China on a very low level begins to convince people in the US that it would be a good thing for China to take over Taiwan. Then, when they invade Taiwan, there'd be a backlash in the US of people who are siding with China against our government trying to keep Taiwan out of China's hands. Taking over Taiwan would give China much more control and leverage over the United States. Think also about younger people today who post stuff that is there forever and when they are older it could be used against them as leverage. This could include future military leaders, perhaps members of our government or anyone else that when they became a more mature adult, they would not want those old posts to be released. I for one hope that TikTok is banned here in the United States or that it is purchased in full by a US company. At this point, China does not want that to happen because they do want to control the data and have access to it. What are your thoughts and why would you disagree with banning TikTok? Navigating Capital Gains and IRMAA If you are on Medicare or will be within the next two years, you will want to keep a close eye on your income because not only do you have to pay federal and state taxes on it, but you could also be forced to pay higher Medicare premiums because of it. This is called IRMAA which stands for Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount, and your Modified Adjusted Gross Income, or total income, determines if you will be subject IRMAA and how much you have to pay. This is basically an extra tax, but there are circumstances where it makes sense to pay it. Consider a situation where a married couple has income of $200,000 which means they are not yet triggering any extra Medicare premiums. If they happen to hold some stock that was purchased for $450,000 and has a current market value of $500,000, selling would realize a $50,000 capital gain, push them into the next IRMAA tier, and cause them to pay about $1,800 in extra Medicare premiums. Obviously, no one would want to pay an extra $1,800 if it is avoidable, but it may not be worth continuing to hold a $500,000 investment, especially if it's an overconcentrated position or particularly risky. An extra cost of $1,800 is less than half a percent of $500,000, so any market volatility has the chance to wipe out much more than $1,800. We see people who are so concerned with IRMAA or paying other taxes that they never want to sell anything which causes them to lose more in the long run. Sometimes the best overall decision is to take profits and move on. Companies Discussed: Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG), Teladoc Health, Inc. (TDOC) & Qorvo, Inc.(QRVO)
Tony starts the final hour of the show joined with Dr. Matt Will, economist at the University of Indianapolis, to talk about the latest in the producer price index.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
S&P Futures are displaying positive action this morning. Key development is the weakening of bond yields which is due to reports that President elect Trump's team is considering a cautious and slow approach to implementing tariffs to avoid an inflation spike. Markets will be paying close attention to this morning Producer Price Index report which is due out before the bell. Chinese regulators announced plans to collaborate with the PBOC to enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy tools to support markets. Isreal and Hamas are said to be close to a Gaza cease fire agreement. KBH delivered a positive earnings report after the bell yesterday. Big banks are schedule to start releasing 4Q earnings tomorrow. Defense-secretary nominee Pete Hegseth's confirmation hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee begins this morning. European shares are moving higher this morning and oil prices are trading lower in the pre-market.
Markets seem to have quieted down on Tuesday in the grain and oilseed sector while it's a mixed to higher day in cattle and hogs. We discuss the ag markets and get thoughts on the latest Producer Price Index data out today with Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX.
Send us a text2024 has been an incredible year, and we are so grateful for the support of all our listeners!!But what can we expect in 2025? Today, we shift our focus to the new year with special guest Marta Norton, Chief Investment Strategist at Empower. Marta shares her insights on the recent Federal Reserve meeting, market expectations, economic trends, potential recession indicators, and the impacts of AI on the tech sector. We discuss equity valuations, the increased interest in private markets, and the ongoing debate around fiscal policy and government debt. Get ready for an in-depth discussion on navigating the uncertain landscape of 2025 with practical advice and long-term investment strategies.-------Marta Norton has more than 20 years of experience in the investment management industry. Prior to her role at Empower, Marta most recently served as Chief Investment Officer for the Americas at Morningstar. In that role, she helped oversee more than $57 billion in assets under management and advisement and directed strategies aimed at delivering a wide range of investment objectives, from income to capital appreciation.Norton held a series of progressively senior leadership positions with Morningstar during her 18-year tenure with the firm. Earlier in her career, Norton served as a research analyst at LECG, LLC and previously worked for the Bureau of Labor Statistics in Washington, DC in support of the agency's work on the highly watched monthly Producer Price Index, among other projects.Known for her exceptional macro-level market commentary and long-term market view, Norton has gained recognition across the financial industry, and appears regularly in the media, including the Wall Street Journal, CNBC, and Bloomberg.Norton has a degree in economics from Wheaton College in Illinois and holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation.Our Investment Banking and Private Equity Foundations course is LIVE: Learn more HEREOr for our "Express Workout", our one hour top 5 technicals you must know for investment banking Masterclass, purchase for $25 HEREOur content is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Producer Price Index for November, Kevin has the details. Toll rates will rise in several states in 2025; which states will be affected, Kevin gives his thoughts about tolls, especially those on the Ohio Turnpike. Oil prices react to China's consumer spending data falling short of expectations, expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, profit taking and anticipated U.S. crude and distillate inventories falling.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Producer Price Index for November, Kevin has the details. Toll rates will rise in several states in 2025; which states will be affected, Kevin gives his thoughts about tolls, especially those on the Ohio Turnpike. Oil prices react to China's consumer spending data falling short of expectations, expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, profit taking and anticipated U.S. crude and distillate inventories falling.
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — December 14, 2024 Season 38, Episode 50 This week on "Money Talks," Director of Research Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, is joined by Managing Associates D.J. Barker, CWS®, and K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA. They discuss key inflation indicators, including the Producer Price Index and Consumer Price Index, as well as year-to-date market performance and the recent pullback in the healthcare sector. The team also shares their insights on the Retirement Income Literacy Quiz, focusing on areas where investors lack the most knowledge. To close the show, they answer a listener's question about investing in dividend stocks amid potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.Timestamps and Chapters00:00: Market Roundup: Dec. 9 — Dec. 13, 202424:53: Case Study: Retirement Income Literacy40:21: Q&A Time: Interest Rates and Dividend-Paying Stocks Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — November 16, 2024Season 38, Episode 46This week on "Money Talks," Director of Research Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, is joined by Managing Associate K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and Senior Associate Logan Daniel, CFP®, CRPC®, to cover the market's response to more election clarity as well as October's inflationary measures, the Consumer Price and Producer Price indices. The financial experts discuss investors' fears when it comes to income planning during retirement. They explain how Henssler Financial determines how a retiree should tap their savings for spending purposes. The hosts wrap up the show with a discussion on some of the potential policies the new administration may enact and how it may affect investors. Timestamps and Chapters00:00: Market Roundup: Nov. 11 – Nov. 15, 202423:43: Case Study: Failing at Income Planning37:07: Investment Whys: Potential Fiscal Policy Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
BUSINESS: Producer price index drop continues, worsens in Sept. | Oct 31, 2024Subscribe to The Manila Times Channel - https://tmt.ph/YTSubscribeVisit our website at https://www.manilatimes.netFollow us:Facebook - https://tmt.ph/facebookInstagram - https://tmt.ph/instagramTwitter - https://tmt.ph/twitterDailyMotion - https://tmt.ph/dailymotionSubscribe to our Digital Edition - https://tmt.ph/digitalSign up to our newsletters: https://tmt.ph/newslettersCheck out our Podcasts:Spotify - https://tmt.ph/spotifyApple Podcasts - https://tmt.ph/applepodcastsAmazon Music - https://tmt.ph/amazonmusicDeezer: https://tmt.ph/deezerStitcher: https://tmt.ph/stitcherTune In: https://tmt.ph/tunein#TheManilaTimes#KeepUpWithTheTimes Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — October 19, 2024Season 38, Episode 42This week on "Money Talks," Director of Investments Jacob Keen, CFA, is joined by Managing Associate Jarrett McKenzie, CFP®, CWS®, and Senior Financial Planner Molly Remeika, CFP®, to cover the week's market news, including the Producer Price Index and Consumer Sentiment. Jarrett and Molly break down when investors should consider engaging with a financial adviser and how they can “test drive” their retirement plan. Piggybacking off the case study conversation, the experts address a listener's question on how to figure out what his withdrawal rate should be from his portfolio in retirement.Timestamps and Chapters00:00: Market Roundup: Oct. 14 – Oct. 18, 202423:29: Case Study: Test Driving a Retirement Plan 35:33: Q&A Time: Retirement Portfolio Withdrawal RatesFollow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Segment 1: Faron Daugs, CFP, Founder and CEO, Harrison Wallace Financial Group, joins John to talk about what the Producer Price Index data means for the consumer, inflation remaining sticky, how recent hurricanes will impact the economy, the market continuing to reach record highs, if he believes the market is overvalued, and the disconnect between Wall Street and Main […]
Inflation comes in hotter than expected, is that a problem? The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed September headline inflation was up 2.4% compared to last year, which was a little higher than the estimate of 2.3%. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy was up 3.3% compared to last year and it also came in a little higher than the expectation of 3.2%. While the numbers were a little hotter than expected, headline CPI was down from last month's reading of 2.5% and it registered the smallest increase since February 2021. It's come a long way from the high that was reached in June 2022 when headline inflation grew 9%. The major discrepancy between the headline and core number was energy. The energy index was down 6.8% compared to last year and gasoline prices had a major impact as they were down 15.3% over the same time frame. Shelter costs continued to have an outsized impact on the report as the index was up 4.9% over last year and accounted for over 65% of the 12-month increase in core CPI. The decline in inflation has continued to moderate, but overall, it has continued to trend in the right direction. While this report was somewhat disappointing, I don't think there is anything of major concern in this report. With the Fed's next meeting coming in November, it will be interesting to see how they interpret all the data as there are several factors that will have hopefully just a short-term impact on inflation and the labor market. These factors include both Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton as well as a Boeing strike that has had roughly 33,000 union workers on strike since September 13th. Given all this my estimate at this point in time would be that the Fed will do a quarter point cut at that November meeting. What is PPI and how it can affect you as a consumer PPI stands for Producer price index. It's important to understand these monthly numbers because it will eventually have an effect on consumers. If the cost of producing something increases, that cost will generally be passed to the retail level where consumers purchase. While September headline PPI of 1.8% was higher than the expectation of a 1.6% increase, it is still a low level that shows no major concern on the inflation front. When excluding food and energy, PPI increased 2.8%. This was higher than the estimate of 2.7% and last month's reading of 2.6%. It was somewhat disappointing to see a small increase over last month's reading, but overall, it has continued to head in the right direction and at 2.8% I believe inflation at that rate is still manageable. It is worth keeping an eye on this data as the months progress, but it seems to have less impact on the markets now that inflation has become more manageable. Gold is up about 28% year to date, here are a few important points to help you decide to buy, sell, or hold. I hear the thoughts out there that as interest rates decline, gold should rise and so far, that has held true. But if you go back in history, in the early 80s as interest rates fell so did gold. Let's say that correlation does hold true though, I'm not overly optimistic that we will see a large decline in the 10-year treasury as historically it yields about one and a half percent more than inflation. I believe inflation should be around 2-3% going forward. My other major concern for why I don't see long term rates falling much further is the United States continues to struggle with a huge debt load. Looking at gold purchasing, central banks from around the world including countries like China, India, and Poland bought more than 1,000 metric tons of gold in both 2022 and 2023, but in 2024 we have seen those purchases slow down. The countries have become a little bit more concerned given the large gain this year. Some of these countries could even consider locking in some profits and sell some of the gold they own. If you still insist on buying gold, you can buy the gold bars at Costco, which has been a huge hit for them, but if you notice they don't have a program to buy back gold. So when you want to sell those one ounce bars from Costco, you will have to go to a dealer who will charge a markup somewhere between five and 10%, which can eat into your gain more than you think. If you paid $2000 for gold and sold at $2700 you have a paper profit of 35%, but if you pay a 10% commission on that $2700, your gain drops to $430 which gives you an after commission gain of only 21.5%. Another option if you are looking to benefit from the price of gold is mutual funds and gold mining stocks, but because of the trading the returns don't track the performance of gold very well. If you really insist on adding gold to your portfolio, then I would suggest the best way to do it is an ETF like GLD, which has low fees and tracks closely the price of gold. Full disclosure, we do not hold any gold in our portfolio now nor do we plan on buying it in the near future! US consumers love their chicken! In 2023 the average American consumed more than 100 pounds of chicken wings, legs, breasts and thighs, which was an all-time high. American farmers are cranking out about 10 million chickens per year. This includes various forms from organic, free range, antibiotic free, and the list goes on. Compared to beef and pork, chicken is a better value. Unfortunately, the price of chicken has increased dramatically over the last five years. Back in 2019, the average chicken was going for $3.11 per pound and today that average cost comes in at $4.08 per pound, which is $.97 more or a 31.1% increase. I personally consume a fair amount of chicken as I think it tastes good and it's also easy on your digestive system. I know the cost of chicken is up, but are you consuming the same amount of chicken you were five years ago? Prioritize the Right Retirement Goals The most common goal when planning for retirement is to not run out of money. This is obviously important, but it should not be the only goal and in many cases, it should not even be the priority. If you get to the point where your assets and income greatly exceed what is needed for your lifestyle, the chances of outliving your money decline and the priority should shift to income tax minimization. For example, if you have a $2 million portfolio but only need $3,000 per month to supplement your social security or pension income, you probably won't ever run out of money. However, if you don't implement the right tax strategies, you will end up paying way more than you need to and the longer you wait the worse it gets. If your portfolio is $5 million to $10 million or more, you likely aren't too concerned with running out of money and you hopefully are implementing income tax reduction strategies. However, at this point you should also be thinking about estate taxes. This has been largely disregarded because the currently exemption amount for a married couple is so large at about $27 million. In 2026 though this number is expected to be cut in half to around $14 million, and the tax rate on estates that exceed that will potentially increase from 40% to 45%. An estate worth $14 million is still quite large, but compounding interest is a powerful thing. A portfolio of $5 million can easily exceed $20 million after 20 years of growth, and waiting to address this until your estate reaches the exemption limit makes tax planning more difficult and more expensive because the value of assets will only grow faster over time. It is too common for people to fixate on not running out of money and end up neglecting their income and estate tax planning which ultimately just results in more taxes. Companies Discussed: Roblox Corporation (RBLX), Tesla Inc. (TSLA) & Pinterest, Inc. (PINS)
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — September 14, 2024Season 38, Episode 37 This week on "Money Talks," Research Analyst Jacob Keen, CFA, is joined by Managing Associate Jarrett McKenzie, CFP®, CWS®, and Senior Financial Planner Jacob Pritchard, CFP®, to cover the August Jobs Report, and inflation measures the Consumer Price and Producer Price indices. Jarrett leads a discussion on investors who have nearly 70% of their portfolio in money markets and other cash equivalents. They discuss locking in returns with bonds and how we would apply the Ten Year Rule to their situation. The financial experts conclude the show with listeners' questions on education savings and Occidental Petroleum. Timestamps and Chapters00:00 Market Roundup: Sept. 9 – 13, 202422:40 Case Study: Investors Who Want to Stay in Cash33:52 Q&A Time: Education Savings and Occidental PetroleumFollow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the CPI inflation data, the stock market, and next week's FOMC meeting.Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 01:54 – The Bureau of Labor and Statistics overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) reported inflation at 0.2% for month-over-month in August. Likewise, the CPI reported core inflation at 0.3% 03:06 – The stock market has had a substantial week, and the S&P 500 has rebounded to be within 50 points of nearing an all-time-high 05:31 – Comments on ‘Big Tech' recovering this week in the market as we saw some pull back in prior weeks, leaving utilities to take the lead as the top performer07:50 – As Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, and initial unemployment claims data were released this week, this seems to be an ideal setup for the anticipated rate cut at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetingAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: When the Fed Cuts Rates, Should Investors Cut Their Exposure to Stocks | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
CRE Exchange: Commercial Real Estate, Property Valuations, Real Estate Analytics and Property Tax
In this week's episode of CRE Exchange, our hosts, Omar Eltorai and Cole Perry, discuss the latest macroeconomic releases, such as the Producer Price Index, Consumer Price Index and business formations. They also break down earnings reports from Walmart and Home Depot, offering insights into consumer behavior and market sentiment. Additionally, they share a sneak peek into the results of our Q3 CRE Industry Conditions and Sentiment Survey and what to watch in the coming weeks between upcoming earnings calls and economic data releases.Key Takeaways:(00:56) Macro Releases: PPI and CPI insights(04:29) Business Formations and Advance Retail Sales(08:23) New Residential Construction Data(10:00) Consumer Sentiment and GDP Forecast(12:53) Retailer Earnings: Home Depot and Walmart(21:37) Preview of Q3 CRE Industry Conditions and Sentiment Survey results(27:25) Five themes playing out in commercial real estate(29:13) Why things are “choppy” right now in commercial real estate(37:46) Announcements and what to watch out for in the coming weeksResources Mentioned:Omar Eltorai -https://www.linkedin.com/in/omareltorai/Cole Perry -https://www.linkedin.com/in/coleperry1/PPI -https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ppi.pdfCPI -https://www.bls.gov/cpi/Business Formations -https://www.census.gov/econ/bfs/current/index.htmlAdvance Monthly Retail Sales -https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/New Residential Construction -https://www.census.gov/construction/nrc/index.htmlWalmart earnings call -https://corporate.walmart.com/news/events/fy2025-q2-earnings-releaseHome Depot earnings call -https://event.choruscall.com/mediaframe/webcast.html?webcastid=iqykKpRMThanks for listening to the CRE Exchange podcast, powered by Altus Group. If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a review to help get the word out about the show. And be sure to subscribe so you never miss another insightful conversation.#CRE #CommercialRealEstate #Property
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — August 17, 2024Season 38, Episode 33This week on "Money Talks," Research Analyst Jacob Keen, CFA, is joined by Senior Associate Michael Griffin, CFP®, and Associate Peter Lynch to discuss the market's rebound from last week's volatility. They touch on inflation indicators the Producer Price and Consumer Price indices and unemployment. Michael and Peter delve into some of the potential pitfalls investors may face on the path to retirement. The financial experts round out the show by answering listeners' questions on in-plan Roth conversions and if they are a good financial move. Timestamps and Chapters00:00 Market Roundup: August 12—16, 202422:02 Case Study: Hazards on the Road to Retirement33:55 Q&A Time: In-plan Roth Conversions Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
In this episode, Scott Becker discusses the market’s reaction to soft CPI and Producer Price Index data, Nike’s potential CEO shake-up, and significant private equity developments, including Blackstone’s event business sale and Baxter’s $3.8 billion deal with Carlyle Group.
In this episode, Scott Becker discusses the market’s reaction to soft CPI and Producer Price Index data, Nike’s potential CEO shake-up, and significant private equity developments, including Blackstone’s event business sale and Baxter’s $3.8 billion deal with Carlyle Group.
Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber led off the show with big news from Starbucks: Laxman Narasimhan is out as CEO and will be replaced by Chipotle chief executive Brian Niccol in September.The anchors explored what to expect from Niccol as he looks to turn the coffee chain around. The discussion included a flashback to the interview in May when Cramer held Narasimhan's feet to the fire. Also in focus: Inflation data show a tamer-than-expected Producer Price Index for July, Home Depot cuts sales guidance, Blackstone President & COO Jon Gray joined the program to discuss everything from the economy to the 2024 election. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
Briefing.com Strategist Patrick O'Hare Talks About the Markets, The Producer Price Index encouraged investors ahead of the more widely followed Consumer Price Index out Wednesday morning, Starbucks surged more than 21 percent after the coffee chain tapped current Chipotle chief executive Brian Niccol as its next CEO
Mike Armstrong and Paul Lane react to the Producer Price Index report that came in slightly lower than expected. Starbucks surges over 20% on news that Chipotle CEO Brian Niccol will move to the coffee chain. Market volatility is back. Will it last? Home Depot cuts outlook with consumers in 'deferral mindset'. Why the Fed has a difficult task on its hands due to conflicting views on inflation.
It's the Business News Headlines for Tuesday the 13th day of August and yes, the Great Iowa State Fair is still going on...we have not yet made it however but there are record setting crowds. First up today is yet another story about inflation and the all important Producer Price Index. Also today you'll meet Heidi Kroll the entrepreneur who created the non-profit Community Hand Up and why this is such a great service for so many families who are simply not "poor enough" to get assistance. Meanwhile, if you want to reach out to us on social media you can hook up with us all day on Twitter or "X" @IOB_NewsHour and on Instagram. Facebook? Sure were there too. Here's what we've got for you today: The Producer Price Index and inflation; A big shakeup over at Starbucks; But, there is a big...BUT; Home Depot is worried and why; The Wall Street Report; Forget high prices McDonalds wants to focus on nostalgia. For the interview you'll meet Heidi Kroll the founder of Community Hand Up. Her story is all too familiar. Single mom working low income jobs making enough money to not qualify for assistance. So, what do folks do when their car breaks down? Heidi has an answer. It's a good story and thanks for listening! The award winning Insight on Business the News Hour with Michael Libbie is the only weekday business news podcast in the Midwest. The national, regional and some local business news along with long-form business interviews can be heard Monday - Friday. You can subscribe on PlayerFM, Podbean, iTunes, Spotify, Stitcher or TuneIn Radio. And you can catch The Business News Hour Week in Review each Sunday Noon Central on News/Talk 1540 KXEL. The Business News Hour is a production of Insight Advertising, Marketing & Communications. You can follow us on Twitter @IoB_NewsHour...and on Threads @Insight_On_Business.
Briefing.com Strategist Patrick O'Hare Talks About the Markets, The Producer Price Index encouraged investors ahead of the more widely followed Consumer Price Index out Wednesday morning, Starbucks surged more than 21 percent after the coffee chain tapped current Chipotle chief executive Brian Niccol as its next CEOSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — July 20, 2024Season 38, Episode 29This week on "Money Talks," Research Analyst Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, is joined by Managing Associate D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Senior Associate Logan Daniel, CFP®, CRPC® to cover Tech's mid-week tumble and economic releases including June's Producer Price Index, Retail Sales and the Fed's Beige Books. D.J. and Logan discuss an investor whose wealth is tied up in illiquid assets like real estate, fine art, or jewelry. They discuss how these assets may be hard to sell quickly if funds are needed and how to diversify to increase liquidity. The financial Experts also answer listeners' questions on pension plan required minimum distributions and if the AI trend will cause a resurgence in robo advisers. Timestamps and Chapters00:00 Market Roundup: July 15 – July 19, 202422:28 Case Study: Holding Illiquid Assets34:01 Q&A Time: Pension RMDs and Robo AdvisersFollow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
FreightWaves' Mike Baudendistel and Grace Sharkey discuss the recent decline in the Producer Price Index, the airfreight and ocean freight markets, and the shifting toy industry. Follow The Stockout Podcast Other FreightWaves Shows Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber led off the show with market reaction to an inflation surprise: The Producer Price Index showing a decline in May on a month-to-month basis. The anchors also discussed Elon Musk's claim that Tesla shareholders are backing his massive 2018 pay package "by wide margins" -- hours ahead of the company's annual meeting. Riding the AI rally: Broadcom shares soared to fresh record highs after posting a Q2 beat and setting a 10-for-1 stock split. Williams-Sonoma announced its own stock-split -- 2-for-1. Also in focus: Nasdaq hits another all-time high, Apple-Microsoft battle for market cap supremacy, Paramount deal update, former President Trump to meet with top CEOs. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
In this Real Estate News Brief for the week ending May 18th, 2024... what the latest two inflation reports are telling us, how several Fed officials are responding to those reports, and which cities are the best for short-term rentals. Before we begin, we'd like to let you know that you can become a member of RealWeath for free! Just head over to newsforinvestors.com. You'll have access to a free education on real estate investing and the opportunity to build financial security through real estate. And while you're there, be sure to look under the Connect tab for our property tours. We have one coming up for San Antonio on June 7th and 8th and give property tours in the North Dallas area every month. Now we begin with economic news from this past week that gave us a pair of mixed inflation reports. The Producer Price Index for April shows an unexpected .5% jump in wholesale prices while the Consumer Price Index shows a better-than-expected .3% increase in consumer prices. The April results bring the annual PPI up to 2.2%, and lower the annual CPI to 3.4%. The results for the core rate were similar with the PPI increasing slightly and the CPI decreasing slightly. Although the first report triggered another wave of concern about where inflation is headed, the second report helped settle a few nerves. And they didn't do much to ruffle the feathers of Fed Chief Jerome Powell. He spoke after the PPI was released, and said that inflation has remained higher than expected but that he still expects it to move down... ...Please subscribe to this podcast and thanks for listening! Kathy Links: 1 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-he-expects-inflation-to-move-down-but-isnt-completely-confident-in-this-forecast-6ae0d320?mod=search_headline 2 - https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/14/powell-says-inflation-has-been-higher-than-thought-and-expects-rates-to-hold-steady.html 3 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wholesale-inflation-surges-again-ppi-shows-inflation-still-sticky-55cbb168?mod=mw_latestnews 4 - https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/april-cpi-inflation-report-forecast-to-show-another-hefty-advance/card/consumer-prices-rise-again-in-april-but-inflation-rate-slows-SAZWlU4VvdwWRUNm9FIG 5 - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/fed-policymakers-comments-awaited-after-april-inflation-data-202405161019 6 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/jobless-claims-subside-from-8-month-high-and-signal-layoffs-are-still-low-6c713465?mod=economy-politics 7 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/housing-starts-rebound-in-april-as-u-s-continues-to-grapple-with-inventory-shortage-e32feb3c?mod=search_headline 8 - https://eyeonhousing.org/2024/05/higher-interest-rates-keep-single-family-housing-starts-flat-in-april/ 9 - https://eyeonhousing.org/2024/05/year-over-year-gains-for-single-family-built-for-rent-starts/ 10 - https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms 11 - https://listwithclever.com/research/best-short-term-rental-markets/#best
Stocks rise; services prices push up Producer Price Index; Biden Administration announces new tariffs on certain Chinese imports; new tariffs could put pressure on prices.
In this Real Estate News Brief for the week ending April 15th, 2024... why the latest inflation reports could postpone the Fed's rate-cutting plan, how inflation continues to impact construction costs, and why homeowners are getting sticker shock from property tax bills. We begin with economic news from this past week that was dominated by two of the latest inflation reports. The Consumer Price Index or CPI came out on Wednesday and the Producer Price Index or PPI came out on Thursday. Unfortunately for everyone wanting a great inflation report, the March CPI was hotter than expected. It rose .4% in March for an annual rate of 3.5%. That's up from 3.2% last month. That is not what the Fed wants to see as it decides to lower the Federal Funds rate... ...That's it for today. You can read more about the stories in this episode by following links in the show notes at newsforinvestors.com. We are also encouraging all of our listeners to sign up for a free RealWealth membership. As a member, you'll get updates on what's new for the housing market and for real estate investors. Our big focus right now is a live event on Saturday May 4th in San Francisco. We'll have six property teams giving presentations on their markets and the kind of rental properties available. We are also hosting a cocktail party in the evening to give people an opportunity to share their real estate investing stories and get to know one another. You can find out more about that at newsforinvestors.com. Just click on Connect and then Live Events. Subscribe to the podcast here. Thanks for listening! Kathy Fettke Links: 1 - https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/cpi-report-for-march-dow-futures-steady-ahead-of-key-inflation-data/card/inflation-rises-sharply-again-in-march-cpi-shows-and-may-raise-doubts-about-fed-rate-cut-Foz2wKLnfXjobHHolAdz 2 - https://www.cnbc.com/2013/02/20/producer-price-index-cnbc-explains.html 3 - https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/10/hot-inflation-data-pushes-markets-rate-cut-expectations-to-september.html 4 - https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/05/fed-governor-bowman-says-additional-rate-hike-could-be-needed-if-inflation-stays-high.html 5 - https://www.constructiondive.com/news/producer-price-construction-input-march/712981/ 6 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-officials-back-cautious-approach-to-further-shrinking-of-its-balance-sheet-minutes-show-4fed157d?mod=federal-reserve 7 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/jobless-claims-retreat-again-to-211-000-in-another-sign-of-labor-market-strength-ac68c1cc?mod=economic-report 8 - https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms 9 - https://www.forbes.com/advisor/taxes/property-taxes-surge/ 10 - https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/09/why-new-build-homes-can-lead-to-a-property-tax-surprise.html
Stocks close higher; cost of financial services, equipment wholesaling and other services rise; mortgage rates near 7%; initial jobless claims fall.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3JfyXwQ A modestly positive day in markets overall today on some better-than-expected PPI numbers following yesterday's selloff on CPI. So what one-day taketh, another giveth back (well, not quite). The Producer Price Index numbers showed a gain of just .2% for the month on headline when .3% was expected, and the Core PPI only gained .1% for the month. The takeaway is PPI is just not confirming a reacceleration in inflation on the wholesale side, which is a positive. We unpacked yesterday's CPI numbers pretty well, I thought, but I am sharing this chart from our friends at Strategas with you below to show you where rate expectations have now moved since. My point here is that while they have moved meaningfully higher, I do believe this to be a good thing, contrary to what some may say. The economy, employment, and the markets have all digested these higher rate expectations and it's simply far healthier for markets to focus and trade on the actual fundamentals of the economy and earnings versus solely on the hopes of looser monetary policy. Shown below, we came into the year expecting Fed funds at 3.5% by Christmas and have now priced in just two rate cuts and ending this year closer to 4.75%. The bar of Fed expectations has been reset to a level high enough that it is now more supportive for markets than the opposite at this point. Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Stocks fall; crude oil prices have been rising this year; retail sales rise in February; mortgage rates fall.