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The headlines on the Wall Street Journal have been marvelling at the lack of inflationary pressure as a result of tariffs. The latest CPI announcement had the annualized rate at 2.7% against the backdrop of a weakening labor market. This is converging on the Fed's 2% target for inflation. We are looking at inflation because the Fed's interest rate policy is linked to balancing both price stability and maximizing employment. If inflation is too high, they raise rates in order to suppress demand. If unemployment is too high they lower rates to stimulate investment. Of course we know it is not just the rates which affect the economy, it's access to credit which is infinitely more important. We know that tariffs have been making headlines for most of this year. Tariffs have been in effect on a wide range of goods for many countries since April 1. There have been several delays to the implementation of tariffs which were designed to incentivize new trade deals with the US. Some of these have concluded and others like Canada and China are still in process. Last Friday the Producer Price Index was published and it showed that prices increase 0.9% for the month of July. That's a huge jump in a month. Is this all the result of tariffs? No. The services component of the PPI rose 1.1% and the goods component rose 0.7%. Tariffs are not the whole story. When I consider that companies need to maintain profitability, there are several ways they can do this. For example, retailers might hold the line on prices for goods that have tariffs attached to them. But I think the cost pressure from tariffs and the incentive to bring manufacturing to the US will have two effects.Any new manufacturing in the US will take time to implement. In the meantime, companies will have to find other ways to cut costs. If and when they do eventually bring new manufacturing to the US, it will be very highly automated to minimize the impact of higher wages in the US. With the advent of AI, manufacturers will be looking for ways to eliminate other positions in the company and reduce headcount to improve operating margins. The drive to save costs will accelerate the adoption of AI in companies and speed up the elimination of jobs. Strangely, this will have the opposite effect that the White House is hoping for. So if inflation ticks up as a result of tariffs, can the Fed do anything about it? The answer is a resounding NO. Raising interest rates won't make the tariffs go away. Increasing costs for businesses won't cause demand to fall enough to suppress prices. So the Fed would be rendered completely impotent to bring price stability from an artificial imposition of tariffs causing prices to increase. You see these economic models assume normal economic behaviour. But if the model doesn't explain the real situation on the ground, then at a certain point you have to abandon the computer simulation and look out the window to see what's happening.--------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)
We kick off the show with a look at the week's market action, where a slight uptick in the Consumer Price Index contrasted with a much stronger-than-expected Producer Price Index. With inflation data in focus, markets are now leaning heavily toward the Fed cutting rates at its September meeting. Gen Z is redefining romance, ditching pricey dinners for budget-friendly (and often free) date nights, all while prioritizing savings and paying down debt. But here's the twist: financial stability might just be the ultimate attraction. This week, we'll explore why Gen Z could be the most financially literate generation yet, how cheap dates can still be meaningful, why financial security can be “sexy,” and what it all means for love, independence, and long-term happiness. Meanwhile, Nvidia's explosive rise in the AI chip market has minted millionaires at a jaw-dropping pace as nearly half its employees are reportedly worth more than $25 million. But behind the stock-fueled fortune lies a high-pressure culture some call “golden handcuffs,” where long hours and relentless expectations come with the territory. And speaking of stock compensation, it can be a powerful wealth-building tool, but it's also packed with tricky tax questions. We'll tackle a real-world RSU scenario: If taxes are withheld at grant date, but you won't receive the stock until it vests—and you know you'll retire before some of those shares vest—should you accept them anyway? Or is it smarter to walk away from stock you'll never see? We'll break down how RSUs work, the tax implications, and strategies to consider when your career timeline clashes with your vesting schedule. Join hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Kelly-Lynne Scalice, a seasoned communicator and host, on Henssler Money Talks as they explore key financial strategies to help investors navigate market uncertainty. Henssler Money Talks — August 16, 2025 | Season 39, Episode 33 Timestamps and Chapters 5:31: Slowing Consumer Prices but Hot Producer Prices 17:47: Is Financial Stability the New Love Language? 28:26: From Stock Options to Stress 37:32: When Your Vesting Schedule Outruns Your Career Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
It was a week headlined by crucial inflation data. The Inside Economics crew is joined by colleague Matt Colyar to dig into July's consumer price index. July's CPI was unsurprising, but that doesn't mean it was good. The group discusses why markets might have been too cheery about it and what they think inflation looks like in the coming months (see July's producer price index). Finally, some loquacious responses to a handful of listener questions. Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at helpeconomy@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.
The host begins by analyzing a positive economic report on retail sales, which they argue defies media predictions that tariffs would negatively impact the economy. The host credits this consumer strength to historic wage gains for blue-collar workers and reduced competition. However, a small warning sign is noted in the Producer Price Index, which came in higher than expected. The host then broadly criticizes the American media for having a political agenda and consistently being wrong in their financial reporting. The monologue shifts to fiscal policy, where the host condemns what they view as out-of-control federal spending, highlighting a record high deficit and accusing Republicans of outspending Democrats. The host defends conservative lawmakers who have been criticized for pointing out these spending issues. The transcript then transitions to a discussion on law and order, specifically a new federal strategy to enforce immigration laws. The host references previous civil unrest and argues that a similar show of force is now being used to address illegal immigration and crime in sanctuary cities. This is illustrated by the DC mayor ending sanctuary policies and an ICE raid that took place outside a Gavin Newsom press conference in California. The host claims that Democrats are hypocritical for criticizing these actions, accusing them of protecting criminals and illegal immigrants because they view them as a voting base. The monologue concludes with a defense of a Democratic primary candidate, Mullins McNutt, whom the host claims is being unfairly attacked and is no "crazier" than other prominent Democrats like Adam Schiff or Karen Bass. The host connects the Democratic party's stance on crime to a desire to protect their voters, including those who are in the country illegally.
The host analyzes recent economic data, including a record high for retail sales, which they argue defies media predictions that tariffs would negatively impact the economy. The host attributes this consumer strength to job growth and historic wage gains for American workers. However, a warning sign is noted in the Producer Price Index, which came in much higher than expected, signaling potential future price increases. The monologue then pivots to political criticism, accusing the media of having a political agenda and consistently being wrong in their predictions. The host also criticizes Republican leaders in Congress for their spending habits, pointing to a record-high deficit and arguing that they are now outspending Democrats. The host concludes by stating that this level of spending is unsustainable and that some Republicans, such as Thomas Massie and Chip Roy, have been unfairly targeted for speaking the truth about the issue.
Today's West Coast Cookbook & Speakeasy Podcast for our especially special Daily Special, Blue Moon Spirits Fridays, is now available on the Spreaker Player!Starting off in the Bistro Cafe, Trump hated the Jobs Report so much, wait until he finds out about the Producer Price Index. Who's left to fire?Then, on the rest of the menu, a federal judge struck down Trump administration orders against DEI programs at the nation's schools and colleges; a federal judge ordered RFK, Jr to stop giving deportation officials access to the personal information, including home addresses, of all seventy-nine million Medicaid enrollees; and, a federal judge struck down key parts of the Florida law that led to the removal of books from school libraries.After the break, we move to the Chef's Table where Turkish authorities detained the mayor of a key Istanbul district along with over forty other officials; and, a senior lawyer in Australia apologized to the Victoria State Supreme Court for AI-generated errors in a murder case.All that and more, on West Coast Cookbook & Speakeasy with Chef de Cuisine Justice Putnam.Bon Appétit!The Netroots Radio Live PlayerKeep Your Resistance Radio Beaming 24/7/365!“Structural linguistics is a bitterly divided and unhappy profession, and a large number of its practitioners spend many nights drowning their sorrows in Ouisghian Zodahs.” ― Douglas Adams "The Restaurant at the End of the Universe"Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/west-coast-cookbook-speakeasy--2802999/support.
-- On the Show: -- Gavin Newsom unveils an aggressive redistricting strategy in California aimed at flipping House seats from Republicans to Democrats -- Gavin Newsom's California redistricting push is an example of Democrats matching Republican aggression with a clear plan to stop Donald Trump's second term agenda -- New data shows the Producer Price Index surging far beyond expectations signaling that higher business costs will soon hit consumers and complicate Federal Reserve rate cut plans -- Donald Trump delivers a series of rambling and contradictory comments on topics ranging from golf course grass to border wall construction to sanctions on Russia -- A string of disjointed remarks by Donald Trump raises questions about his coherence and focus after months of media attention on Joe Biden's mental fitness -- New figures show the federal budget deficit surging despite record tariff revenue as Donald Trump's economic promises collide with rising spending and slower growth -- Nebraska Republican Don Bacon publicly concedes that Donald Trump's tariffs have devastated his state's economy and slashed GDP by six percent -- Karoline Leavitt delivers a series of blunders on Fox News including falsely claiming Trump inherited a war from Joe Biden -- Eric Trump is fact checked on air for lying about Biden's market record and awkwardly defends profiting from the presidency alongside Donald Trump Jr -- On the Bonus Show: Democratic lawmakers who fled Texas plan their next move, MAGA is coming for legal marijuana, American drinking rates are declining, and much more...
Growth Roadmap: coltivar.comMajor moves and market momentum in this week's top financial stories, including:Producer Prices Pop to a 3-Year HighBessent's Bold Push for Big Fed CutsFast-Casual Chains Lose Their SizzleSouthwest Ends Open Seating, and a StrategyAmazon Doubles Down on Grocery DominationUlta and Target Break Up the Beauty AisleFinWeekly has the latest updates on market-shaping headlines and business strategy insights: July's Producer Price Index surprised markets, jumping 0.9% month-over-month, the fastest core gain in over three years. With consumer prices also running hot, inflation may be reaccelerating just as the Fed prepares to cut rates. Businesses are already feeling the squeeze and may pass higher costs to consumers, setting up a tricky fall for policymakers.Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is urging the Fed to move faster, calling for a half-point cut in September and 150 basis points total over the coming months. That's well below market expectations and adds even more weight to Powell's August 22 Jackson Hole speech.In the restaurant world, Cava, Sweetgreen, and Chipotle all posted disappointing Q2 results as lunch traffic cooled and budget-conscious customers pulled back. It's a reminder that even cult-favorite brands aren't immune to a consumer slowdown.Meanwhile, Southwest Airlines is ending its decades-old open seating policy, trading boarding speed and customer loyalty for assigned-seat upsells, a shift that could erode one of its core strategic advantages.Amazon is pushing deeper into grocery with same-day fresh delivery in 1,000 cities this year and 2,300 by the end of 2025, a direct challenge to an industry built on razor-thin margins.And in retail, Ulta Beauty and Target will end their shop-in-shop partnership by August 2026, with Ulta focusing on standalone growth and Target looking to fill the beauty gap through private-label and new brand partnerships.Tune in for strategic insight, smart commentary, and the financial context you need to lead in a changing world — only on FinWeekly._______________________________________Disclaimer:BYFIQ, LLC is a wholly owned entity of Coltivar Group, LLC. The views expressed here are those of the individual Coltivar Group, LLC (“Coltivar”) personnel quoted and are not the views of Coltivar or its affiliates. Certain information contained in here has been obtained from third-party sources. While taken from sources believed to be reliable, Coltivar has not independently verified such information and makes no representations about the enduring accuracy of the information or its appropriateness for a given situation.This content is provided for informational purposes only, and should not be relied upon as legal, business, investment, or tax advice. You should consult your own advisers as to those matters. References to any securities or digital assets are for illustrative purposes only, and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendations. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. Please see https://www.byfiq.com/terms-and-privacy-policy for additional important information.coltivar.com/byfiq
Market Insights: Follow-Through, Treasury Secretary Speaks, and Housing Resurgence In this August 13th episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel from The Bahnsen Group provides a detailed market update from Newport Beach, California. He discusses recent market trends, including significant market breadth with a six-to-one advance-decline ratio. Brian also covers Treasury Secretary Bessant's comments on a potential Fed rate cut and the search for new Fed candidates. He highlights the resurgence in the small-cap sector and notes an uptick in housing activity despite affordability challenges. Brian addresses a common query about The Bahnsen Group's ability to manage assets for international clients and previews forthcoming economic data releases, such as the Producer Price Index, retail sales, and consumer sentiment. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:47 Treasury Secretary's Comments on Fed Policy 01:46 Small Cap Sector Insights 02:29 Housing Market Trends 04:35 International Client Queries 06:01 Upcoming Economic Data 06:53 Conclusion and Closing Remarks Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
If that's not bad enough, President Trump cut the majority of funding for Democrats. I read that 83% of USAID programs have been eliminated. So ActBlue not only has no funding, but under the new scrutiny, the little funding they have will be monitored like an enemy combatant in GITMO.Next, what happens when Trump keeps getting good news. While all the naysayers contend that tariffs will raise the price of everything, we get the latest news that the Producer Price Index was ZERO. Sadly for Democrats, that means there was NO inflation in June. All the numbers were better than forecasted.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Carl Quintanilla and Jim Cramer explored what to make of a second day of bank earnings, led by Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. The chip sector's record run also in the spotlight, led by Nvidia trading at all-time highs. The anchors reacted to comments made by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang in Beijing about doing business in China. The Producer Price Index for June comes in tamer than expected, showing wholesale inflation unchanged month-on-month. Also in focus: ASML drags chip equipment stocks lower, Johnson & Johnson jumps on earnings, President Trump from trade to your 401(K), crypto legislation vote watch. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
BUSINESS: Producer price index drop continues in May | July 3, 2025Visit our website at https://www.manilatimes.netFollow us:Facebook - https://tmt.ph/facebookInstagram - https://tmt.ph/instagramTwitter - https://tmt.ph/twitterDailyMotion - https://tmt.ph/dailymotionSubscribe to our Digital Edition - https://tmt.ph/digitalSign up to our newsletters: https://tmt.ph/newslettersCheck out our Podcasts:Spotify - https://tmt.ph/spotifyApple Podcasts - https://tmt.ph/applepodcastsAmazon Music - https://tmt.ph/amazonmusicDeezer: https://tmt.ph/deezerStitcher: https://tmt.ph/stitcherTune In: https://tmt.ph/tunein#TheManilaTimes Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The U.S. Labor Department released the Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Report; Kevin has the details, offers his insights and puts the information into historic perspective. The Producer Price Index was released yesterday; Kevin digs into the data, offers his insights and explains how this plays into future Consumer Price Index numbers. President Trump expresses his frustration with Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell; Kevin offers his opinion makes the case for an interest rate cut next week during the Federal Reserve's meeting. Kevin discusses some of the news and events affecting oil and gas prices.
The U.S. Labor Department released the Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Report; Kevin has the details, offers his insights and puts the information into historic perspective. The Producer Price Index was released yesterday; Kevin digs into the data, offers his insights and explains how this plays into future Consumer Price Index numbers. President Trump expresses his frustration with Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell; Kevin offers his opinion makes the case for an interest rate cut next week during the Federal Reserve's meeting. Kevin discusses some of the news and events affecting oil and gas prices.
Positive Market Performance and Key Economic Indicators - June 12th Edition In this edition of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the positive performance across major indices with the Dow up 101 points, the S&P rising 0.38%, and the Nasdaq up a quarter percent. Treasury yields showed weakness, and a lower-than-expected PPI number contributed to falling interest rates and a slightly weaker dollar. Initial jobless claims showed a slight increase for the fourth consecutive week, signaling a softening labor market, similar to levels seen in the summer of 2023. Brian also touches on the US-China trade talks, the significance of rare earth minerals and technology exports, and the current state of private real estate investment trusts, like Starwood and Blackstone. He concludes by urging viewers to send in questions and announces upcoming content for the week. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:22 Treasury Yields and Dollar Movement 00:34 Producer Price Index and Inflation 01:14 Jobless Claims and Labor Market Insights 01:56 US-China Trade Talks 03:22 Real Estate Market Analysis 04:28 Conclusion and Upcoming Updates Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4doM7FT Monday Market Updates: From Moody's Downgrade to Japan's Economy In this Monday edition of Dividend Cafe, the discussion covers a wide range of market updates and economic indicators. Key points include Moody's recent downgrade of U.S. debt, which the market largely ignored, and the mixed market performance with the Dow Jones closing up 137 points. The episode also highlights the ongoing U.S.-Japan trade negotiations and recent conversations between President Trump and Vladimir Putin about Ukraine. Furthermore, the script discusses new house budget bill developments and recent economic data such as the Producer Price Index, retail sales, and housing starts. The episode concludes by inviting listeners to get more insights on Warren Buffet's investment success from Friday's edition at dividendcafe.com. 00:00 Introduction and Overview 00:38 Warren Buffett's Investment Success 01:07 Market Performance and Moody's Downgrade 04:07 Sector Performance and Trade Issues 05:44 US Political Developments 09:20 Economic Data and Fed Expectations 13:00 Energy Market Update 13:27 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Advisors on This Week's Show Kyle Tetting Dave Sandstrom Kendall Bauer (with Max Hoelzl and Joel Dresang engineered by Jason Scuglik) Week in Review (May 12-16, 2025) Significant Economic Indicators & Reports Monday No major announcements Tuesday Broad inflation slowed in April to its lowest point in more than four years. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that its Consumer Price Index rose 2.3% from April 2024, still outpacing the Fed's 2% target but down from a four-decade high of 9.1% in mid-2022. Shelter costs c0ntributed more than half of the month's increase while grocery prices fell the most since mid-2020. Egg prices dropped nearly 13% from March but were 49% more expensive than they were in April 2024. The 2.3% year-to-year inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Excluding volatile costs for food and energy, the core CPI rose 2.8% from the same time last year, the same pace as in March. Wednesday No major announcements Thursday Inflation on the wholesale level registered a 2.4% annual increase in April, slowing for the third month in a row. The Producer Price Index was down 0.5% from March, the first decline in 16 months and the most since April 2020. The Bureau of Labor Statistics said the index shrank mostly because of lower prices for services, led by margins for machinery and vehicle wholesaling. The core rate of wholesale inflation, stripping out volatile prices for food, energy and trade services, sank 0.1% for the month and was up 2.9% from April 2024. Retail sales slowed in April, though consumers kept spending, according to a report by the Commerce Department. Advanced sales by retailers and food services rose 0.1% from March. Among 13 major categories, five increased sales from the month before, including bars and restaurants. Sales at supermarkets and liquor stores were unchanged. Car dealers and gas stations were among the outlets where sales declined. Adjusted for inflation, retail sales fell 0.2% in April. Economists follow store signs as an indication of consumer spending, which drives two-thirds of the U.S. economy. The four-week moving average for initial unemployment claims rose for the third week in a row, rising to its highest level since October. The measure of employer willingness to let workers go was 36% below the 58-year average, suggesting a continued tight labor market. According to Labor Department data, total jobless claims fell 3% from the week before to just under 1.9 million applications, which was nearly 6% higher than the year before, The Federal Reserve said its industrial production index was unchanged in April, though 1.5% above where it stood the year before. Lower output from manufacturing and mining was offset by increased production by utilities following an unseasonably warm March. Factories produced 0.4% less than March and were up 1.2% from April 2024. Industry's capacity utilization rate fell marginally to 77.7%, staying below the 52-year average of 79.6%. Seen as an early indicator of inflation, the capacity rate has been safely under the long-range average since late 2022. Friday Housing construction in April stayed in a relatively narrow band that has accompanied higher interest rates since mid-2022. A Commerce Department report on building permits and housing starts showed the indicators on par with levels in early 2007, just before the Great Recession. The number of houses under construction has been declining since late 2023 but remained near the housing boom peak of 2006. Economists have blamed a lack of inventory for years of escalating housing prices. The University of Michigan said consumer sentiment sank slightly from the end of April following four months of sharp declines. Since January, sentiment was down nearly 30%. More consumers spontaneously mentioned tariff uncertainty as reasons for angst for the economy and their personal finances.
Market Update and Economic Insights - May 15th In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel from West Palm Beach, Florida, covers the latest market trends and economic data for May 15th. He highlights the Dow's rise of 271 points, a slight decline in Nasdaq, and a modest gain in the S&P. The conversation delves into the unexpected drop in the Producer Price Index, implications on inflation and interest rates, and their impact on different economic sectors. Additionally, Brian discusses recent retail sales, jobless claims, and manufacturing indices, providing a broad look at current economic health. The episode also addresses trade negotiations, geopolitical developments, and their potential effects on the global economy. Brian ends with a note on anticipating future economic conditions and wishes the audience a pleasant weekend. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:31 Inflation and Economic Data Insights 03:11 Impact of Tariffs and Trade Negotiations 03:48 Viewer Question on Trade Negotiations 05:13 Conclusion and Upcoming Updates Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
With tariff headlines changing by the day, it's tempting to react—but that could be a costly mistake. We'll break down why chasing policy noise is a fool's game, why our stance at Henssler remains grounded in facts not forecasts, and how our Henssler Ten Year Rule is designed to help you ride out this kind of manufactured volatility. Despite ongoing uncertainty and speculation about a potential slowdown, the hard economic data remains resilient. We break down the latest economic reports, including the Consumer Price Index, the Federal Reserve's March meeting minutes, the Producer Price Index, and recent consumer sentiment readings.After the break, K.C. brings together his two favorite topics: college sports and finance. Nico Iamaleava was essentially forced off the University of Tennessee's football team over a dispute tied to an NIL agreement. He potentially lost millions before ever seeing a dime—which begs the question: what kind of financial advice was he getting? We explore why having the right team around you—financially and personally—is more important than ever. Whether you're an athlete, a business owner, or just trying to make smart money moves, this conversation matters.Join hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Kelly-Lynne Scalice on Henssler Money Talks as they explore key financial strategies to help investors navigate market uncertainty.Henssler Money Talks — April 19, 2025 | Season 39, Episode 16Timestamps and Chapters3:02: Chasing Policy Noise is a Fool's Game21:57: Market Update: CPI, Fed Minutes, PPI, and Consumer Sentiment37:18: Financial Lessons from NCAA and NIL Agreements Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Kevin offers the theory that some "experts" and "journalists" are trying to manufacture a recession. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index; Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller offers his views on inflation as a result of President Trump's tariffs. While at the MId-America Trucking Show, Kevin spoke with Kelsea Eckert, Eckert and Associates, DowntimeClaims.com about her services. Kevin digs into a recent survey by Chief Executive, offers his insights and puts the information into perspective. National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett talks tariffs and recession chances in an interview with Fox Business News; Kevin offers his thoughts. Goldman Sachs' CEO David Solomon discusses 1st Quarter earnings and the prospect of a recession; Kevin offers his insights.
Kevin offers the theory that some "experts" and "journalists" are trying to manufacture a recession. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index; Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller offers his views on inflation as a result of President Trump's tariffs. While at the MId-America Trucking Show, Kevin spoke with Kelsea Eckert, Eckert and Associates, DowntimeClaims.com about her services. Kevin digs into a recent survey by Chief Executive, offers his insights and puts the information into perspective. National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett talks tariffs and recession chances in an interview with Fox Business News; Kevin offers his thoughts. Goldman Sachs' CEO David Solomon discusses 1st Quarter earnings and the prospect of a recession; Kevin offers his insights.
In this video, Will and Ben look at the rebound in crop prices as tariffs are largely paused and the inflationary pressures ease.Market recap (changes on week as of Friday's close): » May 2025 corn up $.30 at $4.90» December 2025 corn up $.17 at $4.63» May 2025 soybeans up $.65 at $10.42» November 2025 soybeans up $.41 at $10.25» May soybean oil up 1.51 cents at 47.35 cents/lb» May soybean meal up $16.50 at $299.60/short ton» May wheat up $.26 at $5.55» July 2025 wheat up $.28 at $5.70» May 2025 cotton up 2.53 cents at 63.36 cents/lb» December 2025 cotton up 2.35 cents at 68.51 cents/lb» May 2025 rough rice up $0.43 at $13.505/cwt» September 2025 rough rice up $0.315 at $13.665/cwt» May WTI Crude Oil down $0.49 at $61.50/barrelWeekly highlights:Both the Consumer Price Index and the Producer Price Index fell month over month- well below expectations they would increase just slightly. The initial consumer sentiment reading of 50.8 came in below the 54.6 expectations.Energy stocks were mixed on the week. U.S. crude oil stocks were up 107 million gallons while gasoline and distillate fuels were down 67.2 and 148.9 million gallons. Implied gasoline demand was down 1% week over week and 4% below the four-week average.US ethanol production decreased to 300 million gallons produced- down from 313 million gallons the week prior and 310 million gallons the saw week last year. Ethanol stocks increased 17.7 million gallons on the week and are 9% higher than the five-year average for the week.Weekly export sales of grains and oilseeds were neutral to slightly bearish. Sales of corn (30.9), soybeans (6.3), grain sorghum (0.9), and wheats (3.9) million bushels were all within expectations, but down from the week prior and recent volumes.Open interest in futures and options of grains and oilseeds was down 0.4% week over week. Producers and merchants were net sellers expanding their net short position in the complex. Managed money traders were net buyers reducing their net short position.U.S. export inspections were bullish for grains and neutral to bullish for oilseeds. Corn and wheat inspections came in above all expectations at 72.0 and 22.2 million bushels, respectively. Soybean inspections were as expected at 20.1 million bushels.U.S. corn planting was 4% this week- a little behind the 5% average for this time of year and behind the 6% trade expectation. U.S. soybean planting is at 2% matching the 2% on average but also behind the 3% expected in pre-report expectations.U.S. winter wheat conditions were 47% good to excellent- down 1 point from the week prior but matching trade expectations. The value compares to 55% good to excellent this time last year.Topics:- Market recap- Pause on tariffs- Dollar value adjustments- Crop export support- Inflation pressures slow- Reports to watchConnect with Brownfield Ag News:» Get the latest ag news: https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/» Subscribe to Brownfield on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BrownfieldAgNews» Follow Brownfield on X (Twitter): https://x.com/brownfield» Follow Brownfield on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BrownfieldAgNewsAbout Brownfield Ag News:Brownfield Ag News is your trusted source for reliable agriculture news, market trends, weather updates, and expert interviews. Get comprehensive coverage and stay ahead in the ever-evolving agriculture industry.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain discusses the impact of inflation on the Producer Price Index, as well as the importance to developing strategies to manage rising costs. Are you prepared to handle the upcoming inflationary pressures to your business? Tune in to TrendsTalk for the latest insights and actionable advice!
We start with a detailed breakdown of the Henssler Ten Year Rule, explaining how it allows investors to weather downturns without selling equities. Then, we break down the latest market volatility, how inflation uncertainty is affecting the Producer Price Index and consumer Sentiment, and the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain monetary policy.In light of the recent volatility, we address the importance of diversification—across sectors, market capitalizations, domestic and international investments, and even tax structures—to help smooth volatility risk. After the break, we examine the impact of increasing longevity on financial planning, including the possibility that someday retirees may still have parents and even grandparents in retirement, reshaping how wealth transfers across generations.Join hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, and Kelly-Lynne Scalice on Henssler Money Talks as they explore key financial strategies to help investors navigate market uncertainty.Henssler Money Talks — March 22, 2025 | Season 39, Episode 12Timestamps and Chapters12:30: The Henssler Ten Year Rule27:16: Market Roundup: Strong Economy Despite Falling Consumer Confidence38:12: Diversification53:12: Centenarians and Financial PlanningFollow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
This week Will and Ben discuss how higher than expected inflation measurements could benefit agriculture.Market recap (changes on week as of Monday's close): » March 2025 corn up $.09 at $4.96» December 2025 corn up $.07 at $4.73» March 2025 soybeans down $.13 at $10.36» November 2025 soybeans down $.05 at $10.52» March soybean oil flat at 46.07 cents/lb» March soybean meal down $5.50 at $295.90/short ton» March wheat up $.18 at $6.00» July 2025 wheat up $.19 at $6.25» March 2025 cotton up 1.48 cents at 67.11 cents/lb» December 2025 cotton up $0.78 at 69.39 cents/lb » October WTI Crude Oil down $0.26 at $70.74/barrel Weekly highlights:The Consumer Price Index came in up 0.5% month over month- higher than the 0.3% expected and the 0.4% experienced last month. The Producer Price Index was also higher than expected, but lower than the December index.US retail sales were worse than expected- posting the largest monthly drop in nearly two years.US crude oil stocks increased again this week- up 171 million gallons along with distillate stocks up just 5.7 million gallons. Gasoline stocks were down 127.5 million gallons with US implied gasoline demand up 3% from the week prior and 5% from the same time last year.US ethanol production declined to 318 million gallons on the week- after a strong weekly production of 327 million gallons the week prior. The volume matches the same set during the week in 2024. Ethanol stocks declined 30 million gallons on the week.Grain and oilseed export sales were mixed this week with corn and wheat sales of 64.9 and 20.9 million bushels, respectively being up week over week and at the top end of pre-report expectations, while soybean sales of 6.8 were below all expectations. Sorghum sales of 2.1 million bushels were the largest weekly volume since Mid-November. Open interest in futures and options contracts of grains and oilseeds was down 1.6% week over week with producer and merchants decreasing their net short position 3.5% and money managers reducing their net long position a combined 55,387 contracts. It was the first net reduction of the complex in nearly 2 months.Topics:» Market recap» Inflation numbers higher than expected» Commodity markets could benefit from inflation» Bill introduced to instate year-round E15» Reports to watchConnect with Brownfield Ag News:» Get the latest ag news: https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/» Subscribe to Brownfield on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BrownfieldAgNews» Follow Brownfield on X (Twitter): https://x.com/brownfield» Follow Brownfield on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BrownfieldAgNewsAbout Brownfield Ag News:Brownfield Ag News is your trusted source for reliable agriculture news, market trends, weather updates, and expert interviews. Get comprehensive coverage and stay ahead in the ever-evolving agriculture industry.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Trump signs reciprocal tariffs, Kevin has the details. U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index report, Kevin digs into report and offers his insights. The U.S. Labor Department reports the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits. Politico commits journalism and publishes an article by former Clinton Comptroller of the Currency stating that government data under reports what the people are experiencing, Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Oil reacts to potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal, Trump proposing reciprocal tariffs on countries that level tariffs on U.S. goods, Russia tries to bypass oil export sanctions and lessening concerns over crude oil supply.
How much electricity will AI need? To train AI models companies use graphics processing units, also known as GPUs. They are now starting to build larger clusters of GPUs, which requires even more electricity. How much electricity you may ask? AI data centers use about 30 Megawatts of electricity at a time. If you don't understand megawatts, let's just say it's a lot of power. Picture 30 Walmart stores and how much electricity they use at any given time, that is estimated at 30 megawatts. Fast forward five years into the future when there will be more data centers and larger AI models. It is estimated they will require 5 gigawatts of electricity. 5 gigawatts is a huge amount of energy, it is about the same amount of energy needed to power a city like Manhattan in New York. Also, a big concern is within the next five years these massive data centers could consume up to 17% of US electricity. You may be thinking just build more power plants. The problem is data centers can be completed within 18 to 24 months, but to build a power plant can take over three years and that's provided all permits and regulations are met on time. There's also the concern of how do you get that energy to the data centers, you're going to need more transmission lines, but that can take 10 years or longer to get that task completed. Wind and solar are not the answer because data centers need power 24 hours seven days a week and when the sun goes down or the wind stops, there's no power. I see some roadblocks ahead with fast moving AI, maybe we need to slow down a little bit? Mag Seven capital expenditures could be a big problem! The Mag Seven, which includes Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla has been a group that has dominated the stock market the last couple of years. Much of the excitement around the stocks have been tied to advancements in AI, but there has still been little evidence these companies (outside of Nvidia) have been able to profit from the trend. A major concern I have is these companies are investing tons of money and the big question is how profitable will these investments be? It is estimated Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta will spend $200 billion on artificial intelligence this year alone and their budgets have continued to grow. If we look at total capital expenditures, also known as capex, the budgets have grown immensely for many of these companies. Amazon is projected to spend around $105 billion on capital expenditures in 2025, up 27% from 2024, which came after a 57% increase over 2023. Microsoft has guided to $80 billion in capex for its fiscal 2025, up 80% from 2024, which was up 58% from the year before. Alphabet estimated capex of $75 billion in 2025, up 43% from 2023, which was up 63% from 2022. Meta has a forecast of $60 billion to $65 billion of capex in 2025, up 68% at the midpoint from 2024, which was up by 37% from the year before. The big problem with major capex is investors won't see much of a difference in earnings, but there will be major hits to free cashflow. Capex is generally expensed or depreciated over time, which means it won't hit earnings in a major way initially, but it could weigh on earnings growth over time as that expense remains for years to come and potentially grows if capex budgets continue to climb. As an example, Meta is projected to see $68 billion of net income this year, but free cash flow could slide 25% to $40 billion. Investments of this magnitude need to pay off, especially considering the high valuations for these stocks. Time will tell if these investments work out for all these companies, but I must say I'm skeptical they will all be winners from this movement 5-10 years from now. Investors need to look at the full picture and understand all the moving parts, which includes how all the financial statements work together. At our firm we don't just look at earnings, we also want to see good cash flow and a strong balance sheet. Producer Prices come in hotter than expected The Producer Price Index, also known as the PPI, showed prices in January climbed 0.4% compared to last month. This topped the expectation of 0.3% and led to an annual increase of 3.5%. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, produced an annual gain of 3.4%, which was lower than last month's reading of 3.5%. While these data points were a little hotter than expected, economists now have inputs to estimate the closely followed PCE report. It is interesting that after the release of the CPI and PPI, which were both higher than expected, estimates for core PCE actually look quite favorable. On a monthly basis core PCE is expected to show a 0.22% increase, which would be a nice deceleration from December's reading of 0.45% and on annual basis estimates are looking for a reasonable 2.5% increase. We will have to see what the actual results look like for the PCE later this month, but with these reports now in hand I continue to believe that while inflation is not at the Fed target, I still don't see it as a major problem. The True Cost of Credit Card Interest Everyone knows that paying credit card interest is a bad thing, but it's less well known how that interest is accrued. Interest is calculated using an average daily balance method, which means every single purchase begins accruing interest immediately. Purchases made on a credit card throughout a monthly statement period increase the outstanding balance. After a month of spending, if the full statement balance is paid by the due date, which is generally 20 to 25 days after the statement period ends, no interest will be due, even though it was accruing during that time. This is known as the grace period which is essentially an interest-free loan on those purchases. For example, if you spend a total of $5,000 through a statement period during January, you will not need to make a $5,000 payment until the end of February to avoid any interest. However, if you do not make that full payment by the due date in February, your grace period is void and you will owe accrued interest from the date those purchases were made in January, not from the due date in February. Also, any additional purchases made in February and afterward begin accruing interest immediately without a grace period, even though those statement periods have not ended yet. Since interest is calculated using the average daily balance method, the unpaid balance and interest compounds on itself making it more and more difficult to pay off. Credit cards have a monthly minimum payment, which is usually $25 to $50 dollars, which paying prevents a mark on your credit report, but it does not stop interest from accruing. Credit cards can be a great tool as they can give you points and fraud protection, but those benefits are greatly outweighed when a balance is being carried. Companies Discussed: Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE), Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) & Phillips 66 (PSX)
Trump signs reciprocal tariffs, Kevin has the details. U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index report, Kevin digs into report and offers his insights. The U.S. Labor Department reports the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits. Politico commits journalism and publishes an article by former Clinton Comptroller of the Currency stating that government data under reports what the people are experiencing, Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Oil reacts to potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal, Trump proposing reciprocal tariffs on countries that level tariffs on U.S. goods, Russia tries to bypass oil export sanctions and lessening concerns over crude oil supply.
Tony starts the final hour of the show joined by Dr. Matt Will, economist at the University of Indianapolis, to talk about the latest in the producer price index.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week Will and Ben dive weigh strong soybean crush numbers against heightened Brazilian soybean expectations.Market recap (changes on week as of Monday's close): » March 2025 corn up $.14 at $4.84» December 2025 corn up $.06 at $4.56» March 2025 soybeans up $.09 at $10.34» November 2025 soybeans down $.04 at $10.27» March soybean oil about flat at 45.69 cents/lb» March soybean meal down $1.10 at $297.20/short ton» March wheat up $.08 at $5.38» July 2025 wheat up $.06 at $5.60» March 2025 cotton up 0.59 cents at 67.60 cents/lb» December 2025 cotton up 0.26 cents at 69.12 cents/lb » October WTI Crude Oil up $0.77 at $75.75/barrel Weekly highlights:Wall Street breathed a sigh of relief when the December inflation readings reported in the Producer Price Index and Consumer Price Index were not higher than expected- as some feared. Prices move higher in December but were largely as expected with annual readings for the PPI at 3.3% and the CPI at 2.9%.US energy stocks were mixed on the week- crude oil stocks fell 82.4 million gallons, while gasoline and distillate stocks were higher 245.8 and 129.2 million gallons, respectively. Gasoline stocks increased for the 9th straight week. Implied gasoline demand was down 4% from recent volumes.US ethanol production decreased for the third straight week to 322 million gallons from 324 million the week prior, but production remains well above the 310 million gallons this time last year. Ethanol stocks increased 36 million gallons on the production increase and lower implied demand.Soybean crush in December by National Oilseed Processors Association members was 206.6 million bushels- up the average of 205.5 million pre-report estimate, 193.2 million bushels in November 2024 prior and 195.3 million bushels in December 2023. The volume was a new single month record for any month of the year.It was a bullish week for feed grains in the export market with corn and wheat sales of 40.3 and 18.9 million bushels, respectively, coming in above all pre-report expectations. Soybean sales of 20.9 million bushels were in the middle of expectations and there were no grain sorghum sales.Open interest in futures and options positions of grains and oilseeds increased 6.7% on the week. Producers and merchants were net sellers on the week of 179,249 contracts while money managers were net buyers of 122,026 to establish the largest net long position since September 2023.Grain and oilseed export inspections were mixed. Corn inspections of 60.7 million bushels were a marketing year high and above all pre-report expectations while soybean and wheat inspections of 35.8 and 9.6 million bushels, respectively, were below all pre-report expectations.Topics:» Market recap» Brazil adjusts soybean expectations» Strong soybean crush numbers continue» Inflationary numbers fall within expectations» Reports to watchConnect with Brownfield Ag News:» Get the latest ag news: https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/» Subscribe to Brownfield on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BrownfieldAgNews» Follow Brownfield on X (Twitter): https://x.com/brownfield» Follow Brownfield on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BrownfieldAgNewsAbout Brownfield Ag News:Brownfield Ag News is your trusted source for reliable agriculture news, market trends, weather updates, and expert interviews. Get comprehensive coverage and stay ahead in the ever-evolving agriculture industry.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — January 18, 2025 Season 39, Episode 3 This week on "Money Talks," Director of Research Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, is joined by Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, to examine the week's market performance, looking at inflation indicators, the Producer Price and Consumer Price indices. The team analyzed interest rates and how it has affected the evolution of the starter home, and how the homes that once served as a gateway for Americans to enter the real estate market are vanishing. In this week's case study, the financial experts debated the Financial Independence, Retire Early movement, a lifestyle approach focused on aggressive saving, investing, and frugality to achieve financial independence and retire significantly earlier than traditional retirement age. The team wrapped up the show with personal predictions on the themes that might shape 2025.Timestamps and Chapters00:00: Market Roundup: Jan. 13 – Jan. 17, 202512:08: The Evolution of the Starter Home24:44: Case Study: Financial Independence, Retire Early 39:36: What Might Shape 2025Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Millennials are a little gun shy on buying a home, but they have good reason to be concerned Looking back 30 to 40 years ago when families purchased a home, they did it as a place to raise a family and they weren't so focused on how much money the house would be worth in the short term. Millennials who were born between 1981 to 1996 and are now between the ages of 29 and 44 years old are old enough to remember the 2008 Great Recession. In 2008 there were 2,330,483 foreclosures, roughly 3 times 2006 when it was 717,522. If at the time the young millennials who were between the ages of 12 and 27 were not affected personally by a foreclosure, it was likely they knew somebody who was. Fast forward 12 to 13 years and millennials have experienced a rapid increase in housing prices that is essentially unprecedented. Experiencing such a wide swing in boom-and-bust cycles is etched in some of these millennial's minds. By the time baby boomers hit age 30 52% were homeowners versus 30-year-olds today at only 43%. Surveys show almost 50% of millennials have stated that owning a home is more trouble than it's worth, which is nearly double the feelings of Gen X and baby boomers on homeownership. If millennial home ownership continues to decline, we could see an oversupply in future years, which would probably mean a fall in housing prices. Better than expected inflation fuels the market higher The Consumer Price Index, also known as CPI showed inflation was up 2.9% compared to last year. While this was in line with expectations, it was the core CPI annual rate of 3.2% that beat the expectation of 3.3% and likely excited the market. This report followed the Producer Price Index which was largely in line to slightly better than expectations. The annual rate for both headline and core PPI rose 3.3%. Looking closer at the CPI, shelter continued to be a heavyweight considering it makes up about one-third of the CPI. While it registered the smallest one-year gain since January 2022, it was still at a high rate of 4.6%. It's important to point out that if shelter was excluded from the core CPI, the annual inflation rate was 2.1%, which is right in line with the Fed's 2% target. I believe there will be a lot of movement in various price groups this year, especially with new government policies in place. With that said, I do believe it is much more likely we continue to move towards the 2% target rather than seeing a sustained reacceleration in inflation. This leads me to believe we will not see the Fed hike rates this year and I think it is still possible to see a couple rate cuts come December 31st, 2025. The Supreme Court ruled against TikTok, why you should agree with them! TikTok is very popular in America with 170 million people in the United States using the app. Many people love TikTok, but they don't understand what the Supreme Court is seeing and why it unanimously confirmed the blocking of the app. It's important to understand the communist party of China ultimately has control of TikTok and that could be very dangerous as it believes in what was driven by Marxist Leninist ideology. The party believes that the CCP should silence dissent and restrict the rights and freedoms of Chinese citizens. This includes population control, arbitrary detention, censorship, forced labor, and very important pervasive media and Internet censorship. Do you really believe that China is our friend and they should be able to obtain data which they do on all the people using TikTok in the United States? Keep in mind that China does not allow Facebook or Instagram in their country. We would not let China own any of our major broadcasters because of the influence media can play and now social media also has that power. Think about this, China on a very low level begins to convince people in the US that it would be a good thing for China to take over Taiwan. Then, when they invade Taiwan, there'd be a backlash in the US of people who are siding with China against our government trying to keep Taiwan out of China's hands. Taking over Taiwan would give China much more control and leverage over the United States. Think also about younger people today who post stuff that is there forever and when they are older it could be used against them as leverage. This could include future military leaders, perhaps members of our government or anyone else that when they became a more mature adult, they would not want those old posts to be released. I for one hope that TikTok is banned here in the United States or that it is purchased in full by a US company. At this point, China does not want that to happen because they do want to control the data and have access to it. What are your thoughts and why would you disagree with banning TikTok? Navigating Capital Gains and IRMAA If you are on Medicare or will be within the next two years, you will want to keep a close eye on your income because not only do you have to pay federal and state taxes on it, but you could also be forced to pay higher Medicare premiums because of it. This is called IRMAA which stands for Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount, and your Modified Adjusted Gross Income, or total income, determines if you will be subject IRMAA and how much you have to pay. This is basically an extra tax, but there are circumstances where it makes sense to pay it. Consider a situation where a married couple has income of $200,000 which means they are not yet triggering any extra Medicare premiums. If they happen to hold some stock that was purchased for $450,000 and has a current market value of $500,000, selling would realize a $50,000 capital gain, push them into the next IRMAA tier, and cause them to pay about $1,800 in extra Medicare premiums. Obviously, no one would want to pay an extra $1,800 if it is avoidable, but it may not be worth continuing to hold a $500,000 investment, especially if it's an overconcentrated position or particularly risky. An extra cost of $1,800 is less than half a percent of $500,000, so any market volatility has the chance to wipe out much more than $1,800. We see people who are so concerned with IRMAA or paying other taxes that they never want to sell anything which causes them to lose more in the long run. Sometimes the best overall decision is to take profits and move on. Companies Discussed: Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG), Teladoc Health, Inc. (TDOC) & Qorvo, Inc.(QRVO)
Tony starts the final hour of the show joined with Dr. Matt Will, economist at the University of Indianapolis, to talk about the latest in the producer price index.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
S&P Futures are displaying positive action this morning. Key development is the weakening of bond yields which is due to reports that President elect Trump's team is considering a cautious and slow approach to implementing tariffs to avoid an inflation spike. Markets will be paying close attention to this morning Producer Price Index report which is due out before the bell. Chinese regulators announced plans to collaborate with the PBOC to enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy tools to support markets. Isreal and Hamas are said to be close to a Gaza cease fire agreement. KBH delivered a positive earnings report after the bell yesterday. Big banks are schedule to start releasing 4Q earnings tomorrow. Defense-secretary nominee Pete Hegseth's confirmation hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee begins this morning. European shares are moving higher this morning and oil prices are trading lower in the pre-market.
Markets seem to have quieted down on Tuesday in the grain and oilseed sector while it's a mixed to higher day in cattle and hogs. We discuss the ag markets and get thoughts on the latest Producer Price Index data out today with Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX.
Send us a text2024 has been an incredible year, and we are so grateful for the support of all our listeners!!But what can we expect in 2025? Today, we shift our focus to the new year with special guest Marta Norton, Chief Investment Strategist at Empower. Marta shares her insights on the recent Federal Reserve meeting, market expectations, economic trends, potential recession indicators, and the impacts of AI on the tech sector. We discuss equity valuations, the increased interest in private markets, and the ongoing debate around fiscal policy and government debt. Get ready for an in-depth discussion on navigating the uncertain landscape of 2025 with practical advice and long-term investment strategies.-------Marta Norton has more than 20 years of experience in the investment management industry. Prior to her role at Empower, Marta most recently served as Chief Investment Officer for the Americas at Morningstar. In that role, she helped oversee more than $57 billion in assets under management and advisement and directed strategies aimed at delivering a wide range of investment objectives, from income to capital appreciation.Norton held a series of progressively senior leadership positions with Morningstar during her 18-year tenure with the firm. Earlier in her career, Norton served as a research analyst at LECG, LLC and previously worked for the Bureau of Labor Statistics in Washington, DC in support of the agency's work on the highly watched monthly Producer Price Index, among other projects.Known for her exceptional macro-level market commentary and long-term market view, Norton has gained recognition across the financial industry, and appears regularly in the media, including the Wall Street Journal, CNBC, and Bloomberg.Norton has a degree in economics from Wheaton College in Illinois and holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation.Our Investment Banking and Private Equity Foundations course is LIVE: Learn more HEREOr for our "Express Workout", our one hour top 5 technicals you must know for investment banking Masterclass, purchase for $25 HEREOur content is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Producer Price Index for November, Kevin has the details. Toll rates will rise in several states in 2025; which states will be affected, Kevin gives his thoughts about tolls, especially those on the Ohio Turnpike. Oil prices react to China's consumer spending data falling short of expectations, expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, profit taking and anticipated U.S. crude and distillate inventories falling.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Producer Price Index for November, Kevin has the details. Toll rates will rise in several states in 2025; which states will be affected, Kevin gives his thoughts about tolls, especially those on the Ohio Turnpike. Oil prices react to China's consumer spending data falling short of expectations, expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, profit taking and anticipated U.S. crude and distillate inventories falling.
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — December 14, 2024 Season 38, Episode 50 This week on "Money Talks," Director of Research Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, is joined by Managing Associates D.J. Barker, CWS®, and K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA. They discuss key inflation indicators, including the Producer Price Index and Consumer Price Index, as well as year-to-date market performance and the recent pullback in the healthcare sector. The team also shares their insights on the Retirement Income Literacy Quiz, focusing on areas where investors lack the most knowledge. To close the show, they answer a listener's question about investing in dividend stocks amid potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.Timestamps and Chapters00:00: Market Roundup: Dec. 9 — Dec. 13, 202424:53: Case Study: Retirement Income Literacy40:21: Q&A Time: Interest Rates and Dividend-Paying Stocks Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — November 16, 2024Season 38, Episode 46This week on "Money Talks," Director of Research Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, is joined by Managing Associate K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and Senior Associate Logan Daniel, CFP®, CRPC®, to cover the market's response to more election clarity as well as October's inflationary measures, the Consumer Price and Producer Price indices. The financial experts discuss investors' fears when it comes to income planning during retirement. They explain how Henssler Financial determines how a retiree should tap their savings for spending purposes. The hosts wrap up the show with a discussion on some of the potential policies the new administration may enact and how it may affect investors. Timestamps and Chapters00:00: Market Roundup: Nov. 11 – Nov. 15, 202423:43: Case Study: Failing at Income Planning37:07: Investment Whys: Potential Fiscal Policy Follow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — October 19, 2024Season 38, Episode 42This week on "Money Talks," Director of Investments Jacob Keen, CFA, is joined by Managing Associate Jarrett McKenzie, CFP®, CWS®, and Senior Financial Planner Molly Remeika, CFP®, to cover the week's market news, including the Producer Price Index and Consumer Sentiment. Jarrett and Molly break down when investors should consider engaging with a financial adviser and how they can “test drive” their retirement plan. Piggybacking off the case study conversation, the experts address a listener's question on how to figure out what his withdrawal rate should be from his portfolio in retirement.Timestamps and Chapters00:00: Market Roundup: Oct. 14 – Oct. 18, 202423:29: Case Study: Test Driving a Retirement Plan 35:33: Q&A Time: Retirement Portfolio Withdrawal RatesFollow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
Segment 1: Faron Daugs, CFP, Founder and CEO, Harrison Wallace Financial Group, joins John to talk about what the Producer Price Index data means for the consumer, inflation remaining sticky, how recent hurricanes will impact the economy, the market continuing to reach record highs, if he believes the market is overvalued, and the disconnect between Wall Street and Main […]
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — September 14, 2024Season 38, Episode 37 This week on "Money Talks," Research Analyst Jacob Keen, CFA, is joined by Managing Associate Jarrett McKenzie, CFP®, CWS®, and Senior Financial Planner Jacob Pritchard, CFP®, to cover the August Jobs Report, and inflation measures the Consumer Price and Producer Price indices. Jarrett leads a discussion on investors who have nearly 70% of their portfolio in money markets and other cash equivalents. They discuss locking in returns with bonds and how we would apply the Ten Year Rule to their situation. The financial experts conclude the show with listeners' questions on education savings and Occidental Petroleum. Timestamps and Chapters00:00 Market Roundup: Sept. 9 – 13, 202422:40 Case Study: Investors Who Want to Stay in Cash33:52 Q&A Time: Education Savings and Occidental PetroleumFollow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
In this episode, Scott Becker discusses the market’s reaction to soft CPI and Producer Price Index data, Nike’s potential CEO shake-up, and significant private equity developments, including Blackstone’s event business sale and Baxter’s $3.8 billion deal with Carlyle Group.
Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber led off the show with big news from Starbucks: Laxman Narasimhan is out as CEO and will be replaced by Chipotle chief executive Brian Niccol in September.The anchors explored what to expect from Niccol as he looks to turn the coffee chain around. The discussion included a flashback to the interview in May when Cramer held Narasimhan's feet to the fire. Also in focus: Inflation data show a tamer-than-expected Producer Price Index for July, Home Depot cuts sales guidance, Blackstone President & COO Jon Gray joined the program to discuss everything from the economy to the 2024 election. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
Briefing.com Strategist Patrick O'Hare Talks About the Markets, The Producer Price Index encouraged investors ahead of the more widely followed Consumer Price Index out Wednesday morning, Starbucks surged more than 21 percent after the coffee chain tapped current Chipotle chief executive Brian Niccol as its next CEO
Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber led off the show with market reaction to an inflation surprise: The Producer Price Index showing a decline in May on a month-to-month basis. The anchors also discussed Elon Musk's claim that Tesla shareholders are backing his massive 2018 pay package "by wide margins" -- hours ahead of the company's annual meeting. Riding the AI rally: Broadcom shares soared to fresh record highs after posting a Q2 beat and setting a 10-for-1 stock split. Williams-Sonoma announced its own stock-split -- 2-for-1. Also in focus: Nasdaq hits another all-time high, Apple-Microsoft battle for market cap supremacy, Paramount deal update, former President Trump to meet with top CEOs. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
In this Real Estate News Brief for the week ending May 18th, 2024... what the latest two inflation reports are telling us, how several Fed officials are responding to those reports, and which cities are the best for short-term rentals. Before we begin, we'd like to let you know that you can become a member of RealWeath for free! Just head over to newsforinvestors.com. You'll have access to a free education on real estate investing and the opportunity to build financial security through real estate. And while you're there, be sure to look under the Connect tab for our property tours. We have one coming up for San Antonio on June 7th and 8th and give property tours in the North Dallas area every month. Now we begin with economic news from this past week that gave us a pair of mixed inflation reports. The Producer Price Index for April shows an unexpected .5% jump in wholesale prices while the Consumer Price Index shows a better-than-expected .3% increase in consumer prices. The April results bring the annual PPI up to 2.2%, and lower the annual CPI to 3.4%. The results for the core rate were similar with the PPI increasing slightly and the CPI decreasing slightly. Although the first report triggered another wave of concern about where inflation is headed, the second report helped settle a few nerves. And they didn't do much to ruffle the feathers of Fed Chief Jerome Powell. He spoke after the PPI was released, and said that inflation has remained higher than expected but that he still expects it to move down... ...Please subscribe to this podcast and thanks for listening! Kathy Links: 1 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-he-expects-inflation-to-move-down-but-isnt-completely-confident-in-this-forecast-6ae0d320?mod=search_headline 2 - https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/14/powell-says-inflation-has-been-higher-than-thought-and-expects-rates-to-hold-steady.html 3 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wholesale-inflation-surges-again-ppi-shows-inflation-still-sticky-55cbb168?mod=mw_latestnews 4 - https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/april-cpi-inflation-report-forecast-to-show-another-hefty-advance/card/consumer-prices-rise-again-in-april-but-inflation-rate-slows-SAZWlU4VvdwWRUNm9FIG 5 - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/fed-policymakers-comments-awaited-after-april-inflation-data-202405161019 6 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/jobless-claims-subside-from-8-month-high-and-signal-layoffs-are-still-low-6c713465?mod=economy-politics 7 - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/housing-starts-rebound-in-april-as-u-s-continues-to-grapple-with-inventory-shortage-e32feb3c?mod=search_headline 8 - https://eyeonhousing.org/2024/05/higher-interest-rates-keep-single-family-housing-starts-flat-in-april/ 9 - https://eyeonhousing.org/2024/05/year-over-year-gains-for-single-family-built-for-rent-starts/ 10 - https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms 11 - https://listwithclever.com/research/best-short-term-rental-markets/#best
Stocks rise; services prices push up Producer Price Index; Biden Administration announces new tariffs on certain Chinese imports; new tariffs could put pressure on prices.
Stocks close higher; cost of financial services, equipment wholesaling and other services rise; mortgage rates near 7%; initial jobless claims fall.