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In this compelling episode of The Andrew Parker Show, Andrew delivers a straight-shooting deep dive into tariff policy—what it is, why it matters, and how it's reshaping the global economy. With clarity and conviction, Andrew breaks down the Trump administration's bold use of tariffs as a tool for fair trade and economic leverage. He explores the ripple effects on inflation, wage growth, and manufacturing, and addresses the long-standing import-export imbalance that has disadvantaged American workers.Andrew makes the case for fair trade as a prerequisite for free trade, tackles criticisms from both sides of the political aisle, and shares personal insight from his time working under former Congressman Bill Frenzel—a pioneer in U.S. trade policy. Whether you're new to economic policy or a seasoned political observer, this episode gives you the tariff tutorial you didn't know you needed.
The latest U.S. jobs report was stronger than expected, especially given the generally economic uncertainty often echoed by media reports. While there are a few caveats to the report, the positive tone should not have been too surprising given the recent performance for multifamily. U.S. annual effective rent growth was 0.9% for the latest week, but many markets and submarkets have returned to growth rates of at least 3.0%. Annual wage growth was 3.8% in April, which should help rent growth normalize as supply and demand become balanced in more locations...Explore our webpage for more insights and resources:https://bit.ly/Radix_Website
Is the UK economy teetering on the edge, or are we all just stuck in a cycle of doomscrolling and media hype?In this episode, Anthony and Piers unpack the headlines dominating UK news, from surprisingly strong retail sales and wage growth to rising inflation forecasts and the Chancellor's latest budget. Is this the start of a turnaround, or just a temporary blip before more pain to come?We explore:(01:24) The UK Economy: A Stagnation Debate(04:21) Retail Sales: Signs of Recovery?(07:10) Wage Growth and Consumer Spending(10:11) Comparing UK and US Consumer Behavior(13:50) Inflation Trends and Economic Outlook(21:52) The Impact of the Budget on the Economy(27:15) Final Thoughts: Is the UK on the Brink?Listen now to find out if the UK is heading for stagnation… or finally shaking off the slump. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The U.S. economy is sending mixed signals as inflation eases to 2.8%, job growth slows, and escalating trade wars shake investor confidence. February's labor report showed weaker-than-expected job gains, while tariffs on steel and aluminum sparked market volatility, driving the Dow Jones down nearly 1%. As the Federal Reserve weighs its next move, mortgage rates are trending downward, offering opportunities for real estate investors. Will inflation continue to cool, or will trade tensions push prices higher? Tune in for a deep dive into how these shifting economic forces could impact your investments. 00:00 Real Estate News Brief 00:26 Inflation Report 01:21 Shelter Costs 01:51 Notable Price Changes 02:06 February Jobs Report 02:37 Unemployment Rate 03:06 Job Growth, Job Losses, and Wage Growth 04:03 Fed Rate Cuts? 04:28 Market Reactions 05:19 Tariffs 05:50 Currency Markets LINKS JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realty.realwealth.com/join-now/ SYNDICATIONS: Wild Pine San Antoniohttps://realwealth.com/wildpine FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast: https://link.chtbl.com/REN Sources: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/12/cpi-inflation-report-february-2025.html https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/jobs-report-february-2025 https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/cpi-report-today-inflation-stock-market-03-12-2025
Two Quants and a Financial Planner | Bridging the Worlds of Investing and Financial Planning
In this compilation episode, Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler bring you the most valuable insights from our interviews with Bob Elliott, founder of Unlimited Funds and former head of Ray Dalio's research team at Bridgewater.
Ted Oakley of Oxbow Advisors returns to discuss the latest developments in the global financial markets. We cover key topics, including the impact of Federal Reserve policies, the state of the U.S. economy, inflation, deflation risks, housing market trends, stock market valuations, and the future of gold. Is the economy stronger than it appears, or are we heading toward a major correction? Ted shares his insights on where investors should be focusing their attention.------------Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver------------
The latest official data shows a slowdown in the growth of pay packets.
The latest official data shows a slowdown in the growth of pay packets.
Today's stories include: Wages grew by 3.2% in the year to the December quarter, according to new data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Mining billionaire Clive Palmer has announced he’s launching a new Donald Trump-inspired political party. Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro has been charged over an alleged election interference plot. And today’s good news: In a world first, pods designed to convert aircraft wind into energy have been installed at an airport in Texas. Hosts: Zara Seidler and Billi FitzSimons Producer: Orla Maher Want to support The Daily Aus? That's so kind! The best way to do that is to click ‘follow’ on Spotify or Apple and to leave us a five-star review. We would be so grateful. The Daily Aus is a media company focused on delivering accessible and digestible news to young people. We are completely independent. Want more from TDA?Subscribe to The Daily Aus newsletterSubscribe to The Daily Aus’ YouTube Channel Have feedback for us?We’re always looking for new ways to improve what we do. If you’ve got feedback, we’re all ears. Tell us here.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The latest official data shows a slowdown in the growth of pay packets.
Australia's property market is booming and now ranks among the world's most expensive. We compare property prices and wage growth between 2000 and 2025, looking at whether these trends can be sustained. what needs to change, and what strategies can actually help you own property.On this episode, we discuss:(00:00) Intro(00:21) How buying a home in 2000 compares to today's market(02:59) Property prices vs wage growth: 2000 to 2025 comparison(05:25) Australia's global ranking in housing costs(09:18) The growing gap between property prices and wages(17:00) Housing affordability and challenges for young Australians(19:04) Managing property debt effectively(25:59) Future outlook: navigating the housing marketCheck out the free resources from Inovayt here.Send us an email: hello@thenumbersgamepodcast.com.auThe Numbers Game is brought to you by Future Advisory & Inovayt.Hosts:Nick ReillyJason RobinsonMartin VidakovicThis podcast is produced by VIDPOD.
Economic Insights and Market Movements: A Deep Dive In this episode of Dividend Cafe, recorded on Thursday, January 30th, Brian Szytel discusses the day's positive market movements with the Dow up 168 points, Nasdaq slightly up, and S&P slightly up in percentage terms. He delves into the mixed yet ultimately positive release of fourth-quarter GDP data, highlighting a surge in consumption by 4.2%. Szytel attributes this to increased disposable income and wage growth, along with a decline in savings rate. Additionally, he addresses the Jevons Paradox and its implications for energy efficiency and consumption, using Microsoft's recent experience with AI technology as an example. He concludes with thoughts on the importance of competition and the potential future of AI and natural gas as significant energy sources. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:21 Economic Data Insights 00:51 Consumer Spending Trends 01:25 Wage Growth and Disposable Income 02:11 The Jevin Paradox Explained 02:45 AI and Market Competition 03:43 Energy and Technological Efficiency 04:32 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
The Paychex Business Series Podcast with Gene Marks - Coronavirus
Earnings growth has shown modest gains for seven months, according to the Paychex Small Business Employment Watch, but the annualized 3.16% gain hovers right around inflation. Gene Marks explains what this could mean to businesses and employees. Business sale prices are up 25%, including a 17% jump in the service industry. Why? Millennials are buying rather than starting, but mainly many older owners are looking for an exit. Then there are those individuals not buying at all but, instead, are shoplifting out of necessity. What might this mean to a small business in terms of cost. Listen to the podcast.
The Inside Economics team is pleased to welcome Glenn Hubbard, Nonresident Senior Fellow at AEI and former chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisers, to the podcast. Dante kicks things off with a summary of this week's "surprising" employment report. Glenn offers his opinions on the Trump administration's policy proposals and their potential effects on the economy. The group successfully navigates the statistics game through hints and joint effort. Click here for the NYT article referenced Guests: Glenn Hubbard, Nonresident Senior Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and Dante DiAntonio, Senior Director of Economic Research, Moody's AnalyticsHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' and BlueSky @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn
The Japanese government said Thursday it expects wage growth in Japan to outpace the country's consumer inflation in fiscal 2025, as in fiscal 2024.
In this episode of the Urban Property Investor, we dive into the upcoming growth cycle in real estate, uncovering the importance of understanding economic cycles, urbanisation, and demographic changes. From the impact of technology and climate change, to the intergenerational wealth transfer on the real estate market. We also address the challenges of housing affordability and the rise of a fragmented society, as well as the implications of a growing rental market and the need for sustainable housing solutions. Tune in to episode 229 for all the facts to take your portfolio to the next level. I discuss - 00:00 - The Cost of Growth 02:24 - Understanding Economic Cycles 07:13 - Urbanisation and Its Impact 15:23 - Population Dynamics and Depopulation Trends 19:16 - The Rise of Gen Z and Workforce Changes 21:11 - Fragmented Society and Housing Affordability 25:22 - The Build-to-Rent Movement 27:48 - Technological Advancements and Automation 34:27 - Wage Growth and Economic Transition 36:23 - Climate Change and Real Estate Investment 43:27 - The Great Intergenerational Wealth Transfer 47:18 - The Unseen Property Market and New Values Don't hesitate to hit me up on Facebook @SamSaggers. DM me any of your questions :) If you're yet to subscribe, be sure to do so on your favourite channel. Apple - https://pre.fyi/upi-apple Spotify - https://pre.fyi/upi-spotify YouTube - https://pre.fyi/upi-youtube And remember, I'm really good on 1.25 or 1.5 speed :) Take care, Sam
Zachary Mazlish is an economist at the University of Oxford, and he joins David on Macro Musings to explain some recent and important macroeconomic developments, specifically the inflation linkages to the 2024 presidential election and the macroeconomic implications of transformative AI. David and Zach also discuss transformative AI's impact on asset pricing, optimal monetary policy in world of high growth, the causes of the slowdown in trend productivity, and more. Transcript for this week's episode. Zach's Twitter: @ZMazlish Zach's Substack Zach's website David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Related Links: *Yes, Inflation Made the Median Voter Poorer* by Zachary Mazlish *Transformative AI, Existential Risk, and Real Interest Rates* by Trevor Chow, Basil Halperin, and Zachary Mazlish *Decomposing the Great Stagnation: Baumol's Cost Disease vs. “Ideas Are Getting Hard to Find”* by Basil Halperin and Zachary Mazlish *The Unexpected Compression: Competition at Work in the Low Wage Labor Market* by David Autor, Arin Dube, and Annie McGrew Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:04:03) – Inflation Made the Median Voter Poorer: Comparing Periods of Wage Growth (00:15:26) – Inflation Made the Median Voter Poorer: The Median Change in the Wage (00:22:19) – Assessing the Feedback to Zachary's Article (00:25:05) – The Significance of Transformative AI and its Double-Edged Sword (00:27:02) – The Impact of Transformative AI on Asset Pricing and its Policy Challenges (00:38:07) – The Broader Macroeconomic Effects of Rapid Growth (00:41:05) – Optimal Monetary Policy in a World of High Growth (00:43:19) – Exploring the Causes of the Productivity Slowdown (00:49:21) – Outro
This week on The Dismal Science, we examine the latest economic data releases, including wage growth figures, consumer and business sentiment surveys, and the AICD's Director Sentiment Index. The Wage Price Index showed annual growth slowing to 3.5%, a welcome development for the RBA in its fight against inflation. But with productivity growth stalling, will this be enough to see interest rate cuts in the near future? Consumer sentiment surged in November, reaching its highest level since the first half of 2022, fuelled by optimism about the interest rate outlook and a strong labor market. However, this optimism was tempered by the results of the US election, with sentiment declining sharply following the outcome. Businesses also reported improved confidence in October, but the AICD's survey of directors painted a much bleaker picture, with concerns about inflation, interest rates, and a looming recession weighing heavily on sentiment. Will the recent positive economic data prove to be a fleeting reprieve, or are we finally turning a corner? Read more from Mark on the AICD website: https://www.aicd.com.au/news-media/economic-weekly.html Send feedback to: podcasts@aicd.com.au
Official figures show wages grew by 3.5 per cent in the three months to September.
As the gaps in growth between wages and property prices widen, the dream of owning a home has increasingly slipped away for Australians on the average wage. Listen to SBS Sinhala podcast for more information. - ඕස්ට්රේලියාවේ නිවාස මිල පසුගිය කාලයේ ඉතා සීග්ර ලෙස ඉහල යාමක් වාර්තා වුනා. කෙසේ උවත් වැටුප් වැඩිවීම මීට සාපේක්ෂව ඉතා අවම මට්ටමක පවතිනවා. මේ හේතුවෙන් ඕස්ට්රේලියානු නිවාස වෙළඳපොල තුල නිවසක් මිලදීගැනීම බොහෝ දෙනෙක්ට හීනයක් වෙලා තිබෙනවා.
Noah Yosif and Jordan Shapiro break down the U.S. job market. Jordan points out that high-skill jobs are seeing growth, while sectors like hospitality are shrinking. He expects wage growth to cool as the job market continues to normalize. Noah talks about slowing job churn, but says the balance of risk is “still tilted towards the labor market.” ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
What if owning a home in Sydney wasn't just a dream but a real possibility? Join us as we explore the complex world of housing affordability with our insightful guest, Harry. We'll uncover the widening gap between soaring property prices and stagnant wages, a disparity that's making it increasingly difficult for aspiring homeowners to save for a deposit. As we reflect on the bygone era when purchasing a home was attainable for families, we examine how fiscal policies impact wages and the potential of recent government initiatives like the 5% deposit scheme to turn the tide. This episode promises to equip you with a deeper understanding of the forces at play in Sydney's property market and what it might take to finally turn the key to your own home.The journey doesn't stop there. With inflation and rising living costs shaping the real estate and rental markets, it's crucial to understand the economic forces at work. We'll discuss how an abundant housing stock and plateauing rental prices are influenced by supply and demand dynamics. Our conversation also delves into the psychological toll of fluctuating costs, such as fuel prices, and the potential relief offered by adjusted tax brackets. By staying informed, we can better navigate this challenging landscape, even if we're not economists. Tune in to discover how these trends and government actions might affect your financial future and the subtle ways to stay ahead in the real estate game.
In this episode of the Tudor Dixon Podcast, Tudor Dixon, Kyle Olson, and Sara Broadwater discuss Kamala Harris's efforts to connect with Black men through her "opportunity agenda," which includes financial incentives for Black entrepreneurs. They critique the legality and effectiveness of these policies, suggesting they may be more about political strategy than genuine concern. The conversation also covers the impact of immigration on job markets, the auto industry's challenges in Michigan, and the role of social media in shaping political discourse. The Tudor Dixon Podcast is part of the Clay Travis & Buck Sexton Podcast Network. For more visit TudorDixonPodcast.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Is the bull market's two-year run a sign of stability or the start of a shake-up?In this week's episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dig into what's driving market strength and what's ahead. With GDP growth, profit gains, and 254,000 new jobs added, they break down what these trends mean for investors navigating today's landscape.They also explore the economic fallout from recent hurricanes in Florida and share how you can help recovery efforts. Inflation and CPI data are key—hear how these might shape Fed decisions and your market strategy.Curious about election impacts? This market may keep defying pessimistic predictions, setting up a deeper dive in the next episode.Key Highlights:Bull Market Resilience: Insights into the economic factors driving the two-year bull run and its future outlookEmployment Data & Economic Strength: A breakdown of recent job growth and wage gains that support market stabilityInflation & Federal Reserve Policies: Analysis of inflation's impact on Fed rate cuts and why CPI data mattersHistorical Market Trends: Examination of past market behaviors and their implications for the current bull runHurricane Impact: Discussion of economic fallout and ways to support hurricane-affected communitiesAnd much more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese
Todd Bubba Horwitz returns to Soar Financially to discuss the latest developments in the financial markets. We discuss his call for higher rates, the FED pivot and how 90% of America is already in a recession! Fast-paced, hard-hitting, a must-watch interview. #gold #FED #money ------------ Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver ------------
Wage growth is slowing. AP correspondent Mae Anderson has this week's Small Business Monitor.
Welcome to Season 11, unofficially deemed our *practical* era. Are your expenses outpacing your income? With inflation rising and wages lagging, many Canadians are feeling financial strain. Doug Hoyes and Ted Michalos discuss why government stats might not tell the whole story, why lowering interest rates won't solve everything, and share practical advice for anyone struggling to keep up with debt. Timestamps: (0:00) Spending More, Not Making More? Hilarious Season 11 Premier with Doug Hoyes and Ted Michalos (1:00) How Different Groups Have Fared from 2019 to Now (3:00) Discrepancies in Government Stats: Inflation vs. Wage Growth (4:50) How Has Everyone Been Coping with Rising Prices and Stagnant Wages? (8:10) Looking Ahead: Why Falling Behind Might Be Inevitable for Some (9:20) Bank of Canada Rate Cuts: Why They Won't Make a Big Impact (10:28) The Reality of Recession: Focusing on the Most Vulnerable (13:10) The Pitfalls of Side Gigs and Increasing Income (14:50) Strategies to Decrease Expenses (17:22) Mindset Matters: Breaking Out of Unhelpful Financial Habits (19:15) The Future of Debt Free in 30: What to Expect Master Your Money! Subscribe to the Debt Free in 30 podcast, enable notifications, and follow us on socials for practical expert advice and engaging content: Watch: Debt Free in 30 YouTube Follow: Hoyes Michalos InstagramHoyes Michalos Facebook Hoyes Michalos TikTokHoyes Michalos Twitter (X)Hoyes Michalos LinkedIn Resources:“Joe Debtor” Hoyes Michalos Annual Bankruptcy StudyRising Interest Rates and Debt – Current Rates Tips to Avoid Debt Inflation is Driving Up Credit Card Usage What To Do? Advice for Overwhelming Debt Disclaimer:The information provided in the Debt Free in 30 Podcast is for entertainment and informational purposes only and is not intended as personal financial advice. Individual financial situations vary and may require personalized guidance from a qualified financial advisor. Always consult with a financial professional. The views expressed in this episode do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Hoyes, Michalos & Associates, or any other affiliated organizations. We do not endorse or guarantee the effectiveness of any specific financial institutions or strategies discussed.
New figures show Australian workers' pay packets continued to grow above inflation despite some some easing in the jobs market.
New figures show workers' pay packets are, on average, growing slightly faster than the cost of living.
New figures show Australian workers' pay packets continued to grow above inflation despite some some easing in the jobs market.
New figures show Australian workers' pay packets continued to grow above inflation despite some some easing in the jobs market.
The Paychex Business Series Podcast with Gene Marks - Coronavirus
Earnings growth has shown modest gains for seven months, according to the Paychex Small Business Employment Watch, but the annualized 3.16% gain hovers right around inflation. Gene Marks explains what this could mean to businesses and employees. Business sale prices are up 25%, including a 17% jump in the service industry. Why? Millennials are buying rather than starting, but mainly many older owners are looking for an exit. Then there are those individuals not buying at all but, instead, are shoplifting out of necessity. What might this mean to a small business in terms of cost. DISCLAIMER: The information presented in this podcast, and that is further provided by the presenter, should not be considered legal or accounting advice, and should not substitute for legal, accounting, or other professional advice in which the facts and circumstances may warrant. We encourage you to consult legal counsel as it pertains to your own unique situation(s) and/or with any specific legal questions you may have.
Kathy and Liz Ann discuss this week's expectations around the upcoming jobs report and its influence on the Fed. Their discussion highlights the importance of full employment and wage growth for the Fed. The conversation also mentions other important metrics like long-term unemployment, part-time versus full-time employment, and hours worked. The recent data on service-sector activity, initial unemployment claims, and continuing claims suggest a weakening job market. Then, Kathy Jones is joined by Joe Brusuelas, who is an economist with RSM. He has expertise in U.S. monetary policy and labor markets. They discuss the potential for rate cuts, the impact of technology on productivity, the rising budget deficit, and geopolitical risks—as well as the specific challenges faced by middle-market companies, such as elevated financing costs and labor shortages. Finally, Kathy and Liz Ann offer their outlook on the week's upcoming economic indicators.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.All corporate names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and cannot protect against losses in a declining market.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.The information and content provided herein is general in nature and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended, and should not be construed, as a specific recommendation, individualized tax, legal, or investment advice. Tax laws are subject to change, either prospectively or retroactively. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, individuals should contact their own professional tax and investment advisors or other professionals (CPA, Financial Planner, Investment Manager) to help answer questions about specific situations or needs prior to taking any action based upon this information.Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.The comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab.ISM is the Institute for Supply Management. https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.(0724-BGNH)
Matt and Marisa join Mark, who called in from an undisclosed location, to discuss this week's CPI report and FOMC meeting on interest rates. They all agree that the CPI numbers were unambiguously positive and that the Fed will begin to cut interest rates this fall. They play the statistics game, made more difficult by the dearth of economic releases so far this week, and take a few listener questions related to inflation/deflation, OER, and the Fed. For a deeper dive on inflation and how it's measured, check out the bonus episode--a replay of a webinar hosted by Mark, Cris and Marisa on inflation and the Fed. Guest Hosts: Matt Colyar - Assistant Director, Moody's AnalyticsHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn
The May jobs report reveals strong hiring and wage growth, particularly in sectors like healthcare and government. Despite concerns about a potential rate cut by the Fed, the report indicates a stable economic environment with growing demand for tech talent, especially in AI-related and data science roles. This suggests a need for IT service firms to invest in upskilling their workforce to meet market demands.Service Leadership's annual IT Solution Provider Industry Profitability Report highlights record growth rates for technology service providers for the fourth consecutive year. The report emphasizes the importance of adopting innovative technologies and improving business processes to sustain growth and profitability. Notably, there is a correlation between high customer satisfaction and profitability, with private equity-owned MSPs showing higher net promoter scores but non-PE providers performing better in certain financial metrics.The episode also delves into the state of venture investing, noting a surge in AI-related deals but an overall decline in venture capital funding. The software-as-a-service sector is particularly affected, with enterprise customers cutting costs. The discussion touches on the longer recovery period, challenges faced by emerging managers, and the limited number of IPOs in the current market. This data-driven insight suggests a shift towards AI-driven investments and the need for providers to adapt to changing market dynamics.Lastly, the episode explores the speculation surrounding ConnectWise's future, with rumors of a potential sale or IPO circulating. While ConnectWise's platform play with Asio is highlighted, the possibility of the company remaining private is also considered. The discussion points to a potential partnership between ConnectWise and N-Able, given their respective strategies and market positions. The evolving landscape of tech IPOs and alternative ways for investors to extract value indicate a shifting trend in the industry's financial strategies. Four things to know today00:00 May Jobs Report Shows Strong Hiring, Wage Growth, and Sector Gains03:51 Service Leadership Data Shows Record Growth and Profitability for Fourth Consecutive Year05:51 AI Investment Surge Highlights Shift in Venture Capital Priorities06:41 ConnectWise's Future: Public, Private, or Platform Play? Supported by: https://TrinityCyber.com/msp4/ All our Sponsors: https://businessof.tech/sponsors/ Looking for a link from the stories? The entire script of the show, with links to articles, are posted in each story on https://www.businessof.tech/ Do you want the show on your podcast app or the written versions of the stories? Subscribe to the Business of Tech: https://www.businessof.tech/subscribe/ Support the show on Patreon: https://patreon.com/mspradio/ Want our stuff? Cool Merch? Wear “Why Do We Care?” - Visit https://mspradio.myspreadshop.com Follow us on:LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/28908079/YouTube: https://youtube.com/mspradio/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/mspradionews/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mspradio/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@businessoftechBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/businessoftech.bsky.social
Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Bob Elliott, Co-Founder, CEO, and CIO of Unlimited Funds, who shares his insights on how to evaluate skills from luck in investment outcomes. The discussion also touched upon the current state of inflation in developed countries like Europe, the UK, and the US. Despite recent supply shocks causing higher price growth, wages have matched or surpassed it, resulting in elevated rates exceeding central bank targets. Elliott also addressed the concerns of central bankers regarding debt and income dynamics, mentioning the risks of negative reinforcing cycles and comparing credit-driven economic expansions to sustainable income-driven ones. The speakers discussed the relationship between government deficits and economic growth, debating whether high levels lead to significant stimulus or a large debt burden. Regarding labor markets, Bob addressed the rising costs of inflation and the impact on reshoring production in the US. The speakers touched upon de-globalization, parallel supply chains, and shipping costs as causes for price increases and disruptions. The Fed's current monetary policy stance was discussed, with potential future actions debated due to low unemployment and while inflation is still above target. Bob questioned the significance of specific labor market numbers and he also touched upon why the US economy avoided a recession despite predictions. In this income-driven environment, Bob discussed the shift from growth to value stocks and the impact on investable assets in sectors with earnings and market consolidation. The supercycle in resource markets was also discussed highlighting investment lags behind demand and potential higher commodity prices contributing to inflation. Timestamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:47 - Investing Luck Vs. Skill4:18 - Understanding Biases6:54 - Evaluating Advisors10:05 - High Inflation & Rate Cuts13:06 - Why a 2% CPI Target16:56 - Time Preference & Demand20:12 - Types of Economic Expansion27:39 - Deficits & Growth30:32 - Inflation Forces33:52 - Goods Deflation & Supply37:30 - Reshoring & Labor Costs40:16 - Shipping & Disruptions43:24 - Container Ship Costs45:35 - Fed & Rate Cutting?48:02 - Labor Data & Noise50:05 - Global Bond Markets53:23 - U.S. Resilience?55:40 - Value Vs. Growth59:00 - Sectors & Resource Cycles1:03:52 - Wrap Up Talking Points from This Episode Bob Elliott emphasizes the role of both skills and luck in investment outcomes, suggesting investors focus on evaluating individuals' ability to make informed decisions rather than solely relying on past successes. Central banks are grappling with rising inflation rates exceeding targets due to wage growth matching or surpassing price increases in developed countries like Europe, the UK, and the US. Elliott discusses the shift from growth to value stocks amid an income-driven economic environment, highlighting the importance of investing in sectors with earnings and market consolidation. Guest Links:Website: https://www.unlimitedfunds.comTwitter: https://twitter.com/BobEUnlimited Bob Elliott is the Co-Founder, CEO, and CIO of Unlimited, which uses machine learning to create index replication ETFs of 2&20 style alternative investments like hedge funds, venture capital and private equity. Prior to founding Unlimited, Bob was a Senior Investment Executive at Bridgewater Associates where he served on the Investment Committee (G7) and created investment strategies across equities, fixed income, credit, exchange rates, and commodities, including many used in the flagship Pure Alpha fund. He also built and led Ray Dalio's personal investment research team for nearly a decade. He's the author of hundreds of Bridgewater's widely read Daily Observations and directly counseled some of the world's foremost policymakers and institutional investors on economic and investing issues. Bob has also served as an advisor and executive at several startups including CircleUp,
How far can EU rate cuts diverge from the US? And much more! Become a member at https://plus.acast.com/s/the-other-hand-with-jim.power-and-chris.johns. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
We are partnering with SALT to offer our Wealthion community an exclusive opportunity to access a full day of top-tier financial insights and networking opportunities — all from the comfort of your own home and at a fraction of the cost of attending in person. Learn more here: https://wealthion.com/lp/salt24conference/ ______ In this episode, host Andrew Brill sits down with Peter Boockvar, Chief Investment Officer at Bleakley Financial Group and author of the Boock Report. Together, they tackle the stubborn inflation gripping the economy, the looming crisis in commercial real estate refinancing, and the risk of a “death by a thousand cuts” scenario. Peter shares his strategies for protecting and building wealth amid unprecedented market volatility, offering valuable insights into how to navigate the turbulence ahead. Learn why he believes precious metals, commodities, and international markets can help safeguard your portfolio and where he sees opportunities for significant growth. Did you enjoy this episode? Like, subscribe and let us know in the comments! Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction & Fed Decision Analysis 0:47 - Mixed & Uneven Economy Analysis 7:08 - Commercial Real Estate Refinancing Crisis 10:09 - U.S. Government Debt & Inflation Impact 12:25 - Yield Curve Inversion Explained 15:46 - Global Central Bank Policies & Inflation 17:28 - Wage Growth & Inflation Dynamics 23:18 - Earnings Season Insights 26:38 - Housing Market & Homebuilder Trends 29:39 - Investing in Precious Metals & Commodities 31:08 - Market Volatility & Wealth Protection Strategies 32:57 - Conclusion
This is the All Local 4 p.m. update for May 7, 2024.
In this episode, Andrew Brill is joined by Dylan Smith, Vice President & Senior Economist at Rosenberg Research. Andrew and Dylan will dive into the aftermath of the recent Fed meeting, their latest decision to not cut rates, the unexpected twists in Q1 earnings, and where the economy appears to be headed to next. Dylan will also share his insights on: * Why inflation is hovering above 3% * The rise of gold and Bitcoin following massive debt concerns * The slowdown in wage growth and how it's impacting consumer spending * The Fed's shifting stance on rate cuts * How to protect your wealth amidst economic uncertainty Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction & Wealthion Conference Announcement 0:53 - Dylan Smith's Take on the Current Economy 3:00 - Nonfarm Payrolls & Economic Weakness Beneath the Surface 8:43 - Jerome Powell's Inflation Outlook 10:11 - Inflation Stubbornness & Service Industry Pressures 15:47 - Earnings Season Trends & Economic Slowdown 18:35 - Inflation, Wage Growth & Real Income Catch-Up 21:11 - The Fed's Bond Market Impact & Debt Challenges 29:18 - Dealing with the U.S. Debt Crisis 32:26 - Bitcoin, Gold, & Protecting Your Wealth 41:03 - Dylan Smith's Podcast & where to find him 42:23 - Conclusion
A ceasefire in Gaza appears less likely following additional demands by Hamas and the shelling of Israeli troops in Israel. Wage growth in April was its lowest since June 2021, which should mean less inflation. However, the Cleveland Federal Reserve predicts the upcoming headline April CPI inflation reading will be a disappointingly high 3.5% year/year, the same as March. The Yen fell 5% in April, then bounced 5% since then. There's been no event, so the best we can say is as long as people can borrow at 1% in Yen and invest at 6% in US Dollars, the currency will go down. But a Big Mac in Japan is 12% cheaper than a Big Mac in China, while Japanese incomes are 6x higher than Chinese ones. It's not possible for a developed market to have emerging market prices forever.This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.
Plus: The Eurozone's unemployment rate held steady at a record low in March. Israel has given Hamas one week to accept a cease-fire deal. J.R. Whalen reports. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Fast food chains find a way around $20 minimum wage: Get rid of the workers https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/apr/24/fast-food-chains-find-way-around-20-minimum-wage-g/ This congresswoman was born and raised in Ukraine. She just voted against aid for her homeland https://apnews.com/article/indiana-primary-election-victoria-spartz-ukraine-57fb403caa6a9bbe459639baacfdb7fa Links: https://bit.ly/gmllinks WATCH on Youtube: https://bit.ly/3UwsRiv Join the private discord & chat during the show! joingml.com Like our intro song? https://www.3pillmorning.com This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at Betterhelp.com/gml and get on your way to being your best self. Enroll in Constitution 101: the meaning and history of the US Constitution or one of the many other great FREE courses at hillsdale.edu/GML Protect yourself against inflation by investing in GOLD with Noble Gold! noblegoldinvestments.com/gml Get your complimentary bottle of Nugenix by texting GML to 231-231 Monetary Metals offers A Yield on Gold, Paid in Gold® https://www.monetary-metals.com/GML Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
A sequential rise in February core inflation is not cause for concern, as it is due to “residual seasonality”, an auto insurance outlier, and residential real estate which will come down. The S&P 500 index's positive return in each of the last four months is something that only happened 16 times before; on average after those times, it returned 16% to the end of the year. There is a break-out in the downward trend of the Chinese stock market, and the gradient is turning positive in several economic data series there. Japan's wages will be 5.3% higher than last year, the largest increase since 1991. We look for the Bank of Japan to raise the policy rate from -0.1% to 0.2% a year from now. This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.
Join us for an insightful conversation with Joanie Biley. With her extensive 30-year background in talent acquisition and as the Chief Experience Officer at EmployBridge, Joanie shares her analysis of the present and future job market. She'll divulge predictions for a softening in the 2024 job growth, the digital transformation in recruiting through AI, and the importance of technology for competitive edge in talent acquisition.Get ready for strategic insights on upskilling the workforce, and a discussion on the challenges and opportunities staffing firms face in current legislation. Joanie will share her expertise on building lasting relationships and sales in a shifting market, and we'll underline the value of strategic engagement and prioritizing what's within our control in uncertain times.Tune in for a comprehensive look at what will drive the labor market in 2024, and how to find balance and opportunity amidst it all, with Joanie Bily's expertise leading the way.
Many Montana workers enjoyed bigger paychecks last year. That's according to a new national report that placed the state at number one in the nation for 2023 wage gains.
Unmask the misleading figures in wage growth versus inflation, as we unveil the truth behind the numbers. Plus, join the electric showdown as Chinese giant Byd accelerates, closing in on Tesla's dominance in the automotive realm. _________________________________ Today's Biz Doc Podcast is sponsored by American Hartford Gold.
Plus: Shares of the big three Detroit automakers rise after the UAW said they would be spared additional walkouts due to progress in labor negotiations. Tesla shares rise after the carmaker cut prices of Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in the U.S. J.R. Whalen reports. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
We're kicking off the week by answering listener questions! And if you have a question that you'd like for us to answer on the show, we'd love for you to submit your own via HowToMoney.com/ask , send us your voice memo. Regardless of how random or bizarre you might think it is, we want to hear it! 1 - How should I respond to a girlfriend who is diagnosing my insecurities around money? 2 - Wages aren't keeping up with rising home values- what should first time home buyers do? 3 - I'm investing some, I don't have any savings, and I have some debt- what should I do with my money? 4 - Can I take advantage of a 1031 exchange in order to cut capital gains tax on some real estate? 5 - Should I sell my car in order to finally pay off some lingering credit card debt? Want more How To Money in your life? Here are some additional ways to get ahead with your personal finances: Knowing your ‘money gear' is a crucial part of your personal finance journey. Start here. Sign up for the weekly HTM newsletter. It's fun, free, & practical. Join a thriving community of fellow money in the HTM Facebook group. Find the best credit card for you with our new credit card tool! Massively reduce your cell phone bill each month by switching to a discount provider like Mint Mobile. During this episode we enjoyed a Pyrotechnic Pleasantries by Sour Cellars! And please help us to spread the word by letting friends and family know about How to Money! Hit the share button, subscribe if you're not already a regular listener, and give us a quick review in Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Help us to change the conversation around personal finance and get more people doing smart things with their money! Best friends out!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Federal Reserve has tons of data to pore over before deciding whether to raise interest rates next week. Here’s one more: Research from employment website Indeed — a Marketplace underwriter — shows that wage gains are slowing and job postings are falling. We’ll discuss the impacts. Plus, why retailers rarely come back from bankruptcy and why we care about what CEOs think about the economy.