Podcasts about Beige Book

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Best podcasts about Beige Book

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Latest podcast episodes about Beige Book

The Higher Standard
The Ridiculous Reality Behind the Fed's Latest Rate Cut

The Higher Standard

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2025 86:36 Transcription Available


The Fed says it's “flying blind,” but somehow keeps reaching for the autopilot. In this episode of The Higher Standard, Chris, Saied, and Rajeil break down the latest 25-basis-point rate cut and the confusing logic behind Jerome Powell's “data-driven” decision-making... made without, well… the data. From the Beige Book to balance-sheet shrinkage (and yes, the jokes write themselves), the guys dissect how the Fed's moves are shaping jobs, mortgages, and the markets. All while Powell looks like he's literally in bed with A.I.➡️ Picture J.P. himself, post-press conference, lounging in a robe, cigarette in hand, with a grinning robot by his side. It's the perfect metaphor for an economy seduced by artificial intelligence and easy money. Meanwhile the rest of us wonder who's really in control. The team dives into the absurdity, the economics, and the existential dread of our new robot overlords, all with the wit, sarcasm, and brutal honesty only The Higher Standard can deliver.

Kyle Talks
(#171) Ficonomy: Why Everything Feels More Expensive (And What You Can Do About It)

Kyle Talks

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 25, 2025 38:42


Send us a textThis week on Ficonomy, we cut through the noise around three major economic stories shaping your spending in 2025. Tariffs are costing companies $1.2 trillion — and most of that is ending up in your grocery cart, your tech gadgets, and your bills. The Fed's latest Beige Book confirms that prices are rising and consumers are already feeling the squeeze. And just as inflation reports hit the news, experts are warning that the data might not tell the full story.We'll unpack what all of this really means for you — in plain language — and share practical tools to help you protect your wallet, budget smarter, and stay ahead of rising prices. What You'll Learn in This EpisodeWhy tariffs are quietly driving prices up across industriesHow companies pass extra costs to consumers (and when you'll feel it)What the Fed's Beige Book reveals about real-world inflation pressureWhy inflation data might be misleading — and how to track your own “personal inflation”Actionable tips: building a spending buffer, buying smart, and budgeting for cost spikes Articles DiscussedCNBC: Tariff costs to companies this year to hit $1.2 trillion, with consumers taking most of the hit, S&P says  https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/16/tariff-costs-to-companies-this-year-to-hit-1point2-trillion-with-consumers-taking-most-of-the-hit-sp-says.htmlCNBC: Tariffs are pushing prices higher and consumers are feeling the hit, Fed's Beige Book shows  https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/15/tariffs-are-pushing-prices-higher-and-consumers-are-feeling-the-hit-feds-beige-book-shows.htmlCNBC: This week's critical inflation report comes with doubts about the data  https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/21/this-weeks-critical-inflation-report-comes-with-doubts-about-the-data.html Practical TakeawaysPlan Ahead: Expect gradual price increases through the holidays — and budget accordingly.Track Your Spending: Watch imported goods and categories like groceries, electronics, and apparel.Question the Numbers: Official inflation might understate what you're actually experiencing.Act, Don't React: Build a small “price-shock fund” and explore alternatives or substitutions before costs rise further. Listen & SubscribeStay sharp on how global economics affect your daily life — without the jargon. 

Market Signals by LPL Financial
Stablecoins, Beige Book, and Japan Catch Investors' Attention | LPL Econ Market Minute

Market Signals by LPL Financial

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 3:37


While some non-essential government workers are out-of-office, LPL's Chief Economist Dr. Jeffrey Roach highlights important recent events including the IMF annual meeting. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQmVmNoz6nU Tracking #816042

Govcon Giants Podcast
Fed's 50% Recession Warning: What the Beige Book Just Revealed!

Govcon Giants Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2025 9:20


In today's episode of The Daily Windup, we break down what the latest Federal Reserve Beige Book is really saying — and why it's sending a chilling warning most investors are ignoring. According to the Fed's own field reports, economic activity has “declined slightly” across three-quarters of the U.S., with only a handful of districts showing modest growth. The tone of this Beige Book is weaker than December 2007 — the start of the Great Recession. Even the Fed's internal staff now estimates a 50% chance of recession, while the market continues to price in 0% risk. In short: the data is flashing red, but Wall Street's acting like it's business as usual. Key Takeaways: The Fed's Beige Book reveals that ¾ of the U.S. economy is stagnating or contracting in real time. The report's tone is weaker than the Beige Book from the start of the 2008 crisis. Even the Fed staff pegs recession odds at 50%, yet the market is still pricing in zero risk. Know more about the Bootcamp: https://govcongiants.org/bootcamp Learn more: https://federalhelpcenter.com/ https://govcongiants.org/ 

Mind the Macro
The Beige and the Bruised

Mind the Macro

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2025 21:25


In this episode, we dissect the latest Beige Book, which paints an increasingly uneven portrait of the American economy. Reports from the Federal Reserve's districts point to softening retail demand, particularly among lower- and middle-income households, and to mounting strains in sectors such as agriculture, energy and transportation. We also examine the slide in the shares of business development companies—a bellwether for credit conditions in the lower reaches of corporate America—and the mounting allegations of fraud surrounding Zions Bank and Western Alliance. Together, these developments suggest that financial stress is spreading beyond the obvious fault lines.

CRE Exchange: Commercial Real Estate, Property Valuations, Real Estate Analytics and Property Tax
Hello uncertainty, my old friend, we're back to cautious optimism again

CRE Exchange: Commercial Real Estate, Property Valuations, Real Estate Analytics and Property Tax

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2025 45:34


What if the economy could sing? The CRE Exchange team explores what the Fed's Beige Book, homebuilder sentiment, and recent banking data reveal about the broader economy, and how those trends ripple through commercial real estate. Our hosts, Omar Eltorai and Cole Perry, then turn to Peter Norman, Altus Group's VP and Economic Strategist, for a deep dive into Canadian economic and CRE trends. Key Moments:01:34 Diving into the Fed Beige Book02:21 Labor market and employment trends03:30 Consumer spending and manufacturing Insights07:25 Home Builder Confidence Index10:43 Large Bank Credit Card and Mortgage Report13:57 Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey16:31 Non-Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey20:52 Canadian CRE trends with Peter Norman43:19 Upcoming eventsResources Mentioned:Peter Norman – https://www.linkedin.com/in/peter-norman-20637043/2025 Canada State of the Market webinar – https://www.altusgroup.com/webinars/canada-state-of-the-market/Federal Reserve Beige Book - https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/publications/beige-book-default.htmNAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index - https://www.nahb.org/news-and-economics/housing-economics/indices/housing-market-indexISM Manufacturing PMI - https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-pmi-reports/pmi/september/Philadelphia Fed Large Bank Credit Card and Mortgage Data - https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/large-bank-credit-card-and-mortgage-dataPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey - https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regionaleconomy/manufacturing/business-outlook-surveyPhiladelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey - https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regionaleconomy/nonmanufacturing/business-outlook-surveyEmail us: altusresearch@altusgroup.comThanks for listening to the “CRE Exchange” podcast, powered by Altus Group. If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a review to help get the word out about the show. And be sure to subscribe so you never miss another insightful conversation.#CRE #CommercialRealEstate #Property

Govcon Giants Podcast
The 1.3% GDP Warning: The U.S. Economy Is Quietly Cracking!

Govcon Giants Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 5:57


In this episode of The Daily Windup, we dig into one of the biggest myths floating around right now — that the U.S. economy has somehow become recession-proof. Despite headlines saying everything's fine, the hard data tells a different story: real GDP has dropped in two of the last three months, growth has fallen from 3.2% to just 1.3%, and both soft and hard data are flashing warning signs. Yet, the market's still acting like the party never ends. We break down what the Fed's Beige Book reveals, why the numbers don't lie, and what every business owner and government contractor should be preparing for right now. Key Takeaways: GDP growth has fallen from 3.2% to 1.3%, showing the economy is slowing — not stabilizing. Soft data is finally morphing into hard data weakness, signaling a potential recession ahead. The Fed's Beige Book is a must-read for anyone tracking real economic health across sectors. Learn more: https://federalhelpcenter.com/ https://govcongiants.org/ 

America's Truckin' Network
America's Truckin Network -- 10/21/25

America's Truckin' Network

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 53:05 Transcription Available


Kevin covered the following stories: Due to the Government (Schumer) Shutdown, JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs released their individual estimates of Weekly Jobless Claims and the number of people receiving unemployment benefits after the initial week; 5 more Electronic Logging Devices (ELDs) have been removed from the Federal Motor Carriers Safety Administration's registered devices list; last week the Federal Reserve released their periodic Beige Book report; Kevin has the details, digs through the data, puts the information into historical perspective and offers his insights and a few opinions.

Coinbase Institutional Market Call
Skews, Spreads and the Battle for Perp DEX Supremacy

Coinbase Institutional Market Call

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 31:33


In this episode, we dig into whether there's more downside ahead or if the worst is now behind us following the leverage flush on October 10. We discuss how elevated altcoin open interest set up cascading liquidations and why the reset cleans up positioning but doesn't guarantee direction. Flows remain mixed with limited BTC dip‑buying, a concentrated ETH bid, and some ETF outflows—so we prefer reactive over anticipatory positioning until breadth improves. Finally, a growing privacy theme centers on Zcash, with momentum holding even through the drawdown. Into next week, a 25bps Fed cut is the base case, though a dovish Beige Book is increasing the odds of the board front loading the easing cycle into early next year.Speakers:David Duong, CFA - Global Head of Investment ResearchGeorg Toropov - Senior CES Sales TraderColin Basco - Research Associate Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

700 WLW On-Demand
America's Truckin Network -- 10/21/25

700 WLW On-Demand

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 56:11


Kevin covered the following stories: Due to the Government (Schumer) Shutdown, JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs released their individual estimates of Weekly Jobless Claims and the number of people receiving unemployment benefits after the initial week; 5 more Electronic Logging Devices (ELDs) have been removed from the Federal Motor Carriers Safety Administration's registered devices list; last week the Federal Reserve released their periodic Beige Book report; Kevin has the details, digs through the data, puts the information into historical perspective and offers his insights and a few opinions.

Key Wealth Matters
Risky Business: Credit Concerns Spook the Markets

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2025 20:19


The ongoing government shutdown delayed updates of the Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, weekly unemployment claims, and retail sales. Still, there was plenty to cover from this week, including the potential impact on the banking sector amid emerging credit concerns, the strength and state of the consumer, recent earnings reports, a dip in oil prices, and the outlook for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy for the remainder of the year and in 2026 once a new Chair is selected. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerStephen Hoedt, Head of EquitiesRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed Income 01:35 – The National Federation of Independent Business' Small Business Optimism Index for the month of September fell two points to 98.8, but remains above the historical average. Conversely, the Uncertainty Index rose to 100 – the fourth highest level in 51 years.02:21 – The Federal Reserve's Beige Book report showed little change in overall economic activity, with some districts reporting slight to modest growth and others noting slight softening.04:20 – The earnings reports that have been released thus far for the third quarter paint a favorable picture of a robust stock market, despite signs of softening consumer spending and an uptick in volatility and uncertainty.11:57 – Investors moved toward safe haven assets amid some overall economic softening and news of emerging credit risk.12:38 – Fed Chair Powell's recent comments point towards a move away from quantitative tightening, an end to the balance sheet runoff in the next few months, and likely two more rate cuts in 2025.15:31 – As the government shutdown continues to fuel confusion, volatility, and uncertainty, our advice to investors is to maintain a long-term perspective with a diversified portfolio and avoiding rash decisions based on dramatic news and short-term fluctuations. Additional ResourcesRead: Key Questions: What Does MAHA Mean for Healthcare and Consumer Staples Companies? Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

The Acid Capitalist podcasts
Acid Breath: America in Sepia

The Acid Capitalist podcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 45:36


Send us a textARM Ascends, Oil Drifts, Queens EnduresI open on macro static and shutdown fog, a strange steadiness where the market beat goes on. The Beige Book whispers fractures, three Fed districts up, five flat, four softening, a recalibration more than a roar. The feature turns to ARM, where the data center bottleneck is power, not code. ARM sells the blueprint, cutting CPU energy use perhaps by half, and the live question is simple: can it win 50 percent of data center CPUs. Then energy's riddle: oil sits near $56, where it was in 2005, with about 1.5 trillion barrels of proven reserves setting the rough scale. I close with Queens County, a Tony Soprano thrift that became my acid test and first great trade, the name fades, but the fuse remains.If this hit the mark, tap 5 

The Investing Podcast
Beige Book Overview & A Comeback in U.S. Manufacturing | October 16, 2025 – Morning Market Briefing

The Investing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 17:50


Ben, Tom, and Andrew discuss the Fed's Summary of Commentary on Economic Conditions (the Beige Book), a comeback in American manufacturing, more earnings updates, and the increased prevalence of long-term revenue forecasts as drivers of AI company valuations.For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit:https://www.narwhal.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

UBS On-Air
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Beige flags'

UBS On-Air

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 2:59


The Federal Reserve's Beige Book of economic anecdotes was not affected by the absence of a functioning government. There was evidence of prices reacting to trade tariffs, and a sense of labor market fragility. However, it is possible that elements of political partisanship are being captured in some of the reported concerns.

Your Money. Your Life. With Delano Saporu
Episode 298: Shutdowns and Spending Habits

Your Money. Your Life. With Delano Saporu

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 14:30


This episode features a large news slate: Judge halts shutdown layoffs as admin details planned cuts, Banks are slowing hiring as they prepare for an AI future, and Fed's Beige Book shows split in consumer spending habits. Roundtable: More Economic updates https://www.instagram.com/delano.saporu/?hl=en. Connect with me here also: https://newstreetadvisorsgroup.com/social/. Want to support the show? Feel free to do so here! https://anchor.fm/delano-saporu4/support. Thank you for listening.

Timely Topics
October 2025 Beige Book Interview – Little Rock

Timely Topics

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 9:04


The St. Louis Fed's Matuschka Lindo Briggs, senior vice president and regional executive of the Little Rock Branch, and Charles Gascon, economist and research officer, discuss economic insights from the latest Beige Book release highlighting the Arkansas region and the Eighth District.

MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
Market View: Asian equities up as investors mull US-China trade war, digest Fed's latest “Beige Book” of economic conditions; JPMorgan Chase's Jamie Dimon on “cockroaches” in the financial sector; Anthropic reportedly aims to nearly triple annua

MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 14:42


Singapore shares dipped today despite most Asian markets recording gains. The Straits Times Index was down 0.49% at 4,346.92 points at 11.51am Singapore time, with a value turnover of S$667.54M seen in the broader market. In terms of counters to watch, we have SIA Group after the group said passenger traffic in September for Singapore Airlines (SIA) and subsidiary Scoot rose 3.7 per cent year on year. Elsewhere, from how an investor group including BlackRock, Microsoft and NVIDIA is buying one of the world’s biggest data centre operators to Wall Street's overnight performance amid big bank earnings out of corporate America – more corporate and international headlines remained in focus. On Market View, Money Matters’ finance presenter Chua Tian Tian dived into the details with David Chow, Director, Azure Capital. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Dividend Cafe
Wednesday - October 15, 2025

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2025 8:45


Market Recap & Insights on AI Investing - October 15 In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian provides a market recap for October 15, noting slight changes in major indices and highlighting strong earnings in the financial sector. A positive trend in the yield curve is discussed alongside economic updates, including a stronger-than-expected Empire State Manufacturing Index and a stable Beige Book report from The Fed. Additionally, the episode explores the political influence on private sector companies, particularly defense contractors, and differentiates between the current AI investment situation and the 2008 financial crisis. Listeners are encouraged to read the latest Dividend Cafe for deeper insights into investment strategies. 00:00 Introduction and Tax Filing Reminder 00:23 Market Recap: Daily Performance 01:22 Economic Indicators and Reports 02:24 Government and Private Sector Dynamics 03:47 Artificial Intelligence: Bubble or Not? 05:05 Investment Wisdom and Strategies 06:18 Current Market Sentiments and Conclusion Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

MKT Call
Stocks Tick Higher After Volatile Session

MKT Call

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2025 5:40


MRKT Matrix - Wednesday, October 15th S&P 500 edges higher in another volatile session, Bank of America rallies on earnings (CNBC) Wall Street Banks Notch $15 Billion Trading Haul on Stock Rally (Bloomberg) The Nation's Biggest Banks Are Saying the Economy Is Still Strong (WSJ) Treasury Secretary Bessent says a stock market decline won't deter the U.S. from taking strong action against China (CNBC) Fed's Miran sees China trade tensions as a further reason for quick interest rate cuts (CNBC) Tariffs are pushing prices higher and consumers are feeling the hit, Fed's Beige Book shows (CNBC) Tesla demand in focus after Trump policies lead GM, Ford to retreat from EV ambitions (CNBC) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://riskreversalmedia.beehiiv.com/subscribe⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs

Closing Bell
Closing Bell Overtime: Earnings, Economic Signals & the AI Divide 10/15/25

Closing Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2025 43:41


With the Beige Book out and fresh commentary from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Fed officials, our Steve Liesman breaks down what the latest signals say about the economy. Alan McKnight of Regions Wealth Management and Michael Farr of Farr, Miller & Washington discuss stretched valuations, inflation risks, and whether earnings can keep stocks supported. Then, a look at why Salesforce may be getting left behind in the AI race with DA Davidson's Gil Luria, and how Entrepreneurs First CEO Alice Bentinck is rethinking startup funding and focusing on talent over ideas. Finally, RBC's Gerard Cassidy previews key regional bank earnings to watch. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NewsWare‘s Trade Talk
NewsWare's Trade Talk: Wednesday, October 15

NewsWare‘s Trade Talk

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2025 18:45


Markets are setting up for a higher open this morning as optimism builds around earnings, rate cuts, and improving trade sentiment between the U.S. and China. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish comments have reignited expectations for rate cuts at the two remaining Fed meetings this year. Meanwhile, eyes are on the upcoming APEC Summit where Beijing is expected to seek key concessions from Washington. On the earnings front, positive results from ASML, BAC, CFG, and PNC are helping to lift sentiment ahead of tomorrow's lineup from TSM, SCHW, MMC, BK, and TRV. Plus, all eyes turn to this afternoon's release of the Fed's Beige Book for insights into regional economic activity. Tune in to NewsWare's Trade Talk for all the details driving today's markets.

CNBC Business News Update
Market Close: Stocks Mixed, Beige Book Shows Lackluster Economy, United Airlines Out With Mixed Quarterly Results 10/15/25

CNBC Business News Update

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2025 3:35


From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored and reported by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Economy Watch
US gets faster inflation, but ignored by officials

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2025 5:44


Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news inflation is getting entrenched in the US and policymakers are starting to look away from the threat under political pressure.But first, US mortgage applications fell for a third consecutive week with both refinance and new home applications decreasing. This came even though benchmark 30 year mortgage rates fell too. But the overall activity level is significantly higher than at this time last year.In New York state, factories there reported that their new order levels stopped falling. And they shipped more in the past month. That brought a good rebound in the New York Fed's Empire factory survey in October, making back September's drop and almost back to the August levels. One of the reasons respondents feel better about the situation is that their price increases are sticking and they are absorbing less of their tariff-tax cost increases.Supporting that are two private CPI tracking services who say that consumer prices picked up even more in September, one even suggesting CPI inflation ran at over +6% in September.And that inflation is rising is confirmed in the October Beige Book release today by the Fed. They noted tariff-induced costs were reported in all districts, as input costs increased at a faster pace due to both these higher import costs and the higher cost of services. Overall, they say American economic activity changed little on balance since the previous report, with three Districts reporting slight to modest growth in activity, five reporting no change, and four noting a slight softening. Consumer spending, particularly on retail goods, inched down in recent weeks.Across the Pacific, China said its consumer prices stayed in mild deflation, now running -0.3% lower in September from a year ago. Beef and lamb prices are rising now, but milk prices are still falling.Meanwhile Chinese producer prices, already in moderate deflation, eased back to a -2.3% decrease, from August's -2.9%.China also released its monthly new yuan loan data overnight. They came in at almost ¥1.3 tln, double the unusually low August level but still short of the almost ¥1.5 tln expected. September's get a seasonal boost normally and those factors were evident this year too. But still, the latest level was lower than the ¥1.6 tln in September 2024. Credit demand remains slightly subdued.India said its September exports rose +6.1% to US$36.4 bln, building on the August increase. Their exports to the US are only 20% of all their exports and less than half of those are caught up in punitive tariff-taxes. And even among those, it is the Americans paying, it seems.The EU said their industrial production rose again August from a year ago. Although the rise was a modest +1.1% from a year ago, that is an inflation-adjusted 'real' gain. In fact, their have reported gains on that basis for the past seven consecutive months which is unusual for them. For the prior 38 months they consistently reported year-on-year decreases. It's a turn up they will take.In Australia, the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index for Q3-2025 suggests that the Australian economy is only expanding at the long term trend pace, but the pace is picking up marginally. They expect 2025 to come in below trend, but 2026 to edge up to trend levels.And Australia fell almost -66,000 homes short in the year to June of the aspirational +240,000 new homes built needed to the Government's target of 1.2 million new homes in the five years to 2029. That's a -27% shortfall in year one, not a great start because it is actually the weakest annual rise in three years. A shortfall like this will underpin prices for existing houses and make housing sharply less affordable.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.05% and up +2 bps from this time yesterday. The price of gold will start today at US$4196/oz, up +US$52 from yesterday.American oil prices are little-changed at just under US$58.50/bbl, with the international Brent price now just over US$62/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just on 57.2 USc, essentially unchanged from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -320 bps at 87.8 AUc. Against the euro we are down -10 bps at 49.2 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just on 61.7, down -10 bps from yesterday. Also, see this.The bitcoin price starts today at US$110.890 and down another -1.5% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just over +/- 1.3%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Novus Capital
NovusCast - 10 de Outubro 2025

Novus Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 10, 2025 26:01


Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella, Yara Cordeiro e Victor Ary debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo. No cenário internacional, o ambiente foi marcado por instabilidade política: no Japão, a liderança indicada pelo partido governista, defensora de políticas expansionistas, enfrenta crise na coalizão e risco de novas eleições. Na França, o primeiro-ministro renunciou um mês após assumir o cargo, reforçando a percepção de fragilidade política e dificuldade de avanço das reformas fiscais. Nos EUA, o impasse sobre o orçamento persiste com o shutdown, limitando a divulgação de dados econômicos, mas surgiram sinais iniciais de possível acordo. A tensão com a China aumentou após novas sanções comerciais, levando o Trump a ameaçar cancelar o encontro com Xi Jinping e aumentar dramaticamente as tarifas impostas. Foi anunciado cessar-fogo entre Israel e Hamas. No Brasil, o principal destaque foi o IPCA de setembro: o headline veio um pouco abaixo do esperado, com surpresa baixista relativamente disseminada nos núcleos. A pesquisa Genial/Quaest apontou melhora na avaliação do governo e mostrou enfraquecimento do Tarcísio como sucessor da direita. No campo político, vendeu o prazo para aprovação da MP 1.303, que compensaria parte do aumento do IOF, o que foi visto como uma derrota relevante para o governo e expôs dificuldades de articulação na Câmara.  No mercado de crédito, houve forte estresse nos bonds da Raízen por uma expectativa que a companhia vá perder o grau de investimento. Apesar disso, o impacto no mercado local foi limitado. Na semana, os índices de crédito tiveram abertura pontual de spreads, com fluxo de captação ainda positivo, mas com volume menor no secundário. Nos EUA, os juros fecharam entre 5 e 10 bps, e as bolsas tiveram desempenho negativo (S&P 500 -2,43%). No Brasil, o Ibovespa caiu 2,44% e o real se desvalorizou 3,33%. Na próxima semana, atenção para PMS e PMC no Brasil, possível evolução da negociação tarifária entre Brasil e EUA, balança comercial chinesa, Beige Book nos EUA e a última rodada de falas do Fed antes do período de silêncio. Não deixe de conferir!

TD Ameritrade Network
‘Trim Where it's Appropriate': Carol Schleif's Portfolio Tips

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 5:34


Carol Schleif is looking forward to the Beige Book report to gauge economic conditions. She notes that gold, a traditional hedge, is hitting new highs even as the market is, and what could be behind the unusual move. She likes investments in construction, energy and healthcare and sees robust demand for deals. She's urging clients to “trim where it's appropriate” and making sure they have the cash they'll need for the next few years.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Indicator from Planet Money
Why beef prices are so high

The Indicator from Planet Money

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2025 9:13


Beef is getting more expensive, and it doesn't look as though that's going to change any time soon. That's the view of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, which wrote in its Beige Book entry this month that the trend of rising beef prices continues. There's solid demand for beef, but falling supply, as production decreases. Ranchers are making more per cow, but their costs are rising. We speak with a rancher in Wyoming to learn what high beef prices mean for him and other ranchers. Related episodes: What happened to US farmers during the last trade war How USAID cuts hurt American farmers For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter.  Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

CRE Exchange: Commercial Real Estate, Property Valuations, Real Estate Analytics and Property Tax
Cooling jobs, rising costs, and where CRE sectors are still winning

CRE Exchange: Commercial Real Estate, Property Valuations, Real Estate Analytics and Property Tax

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 22:59


The Beige Book signals an economy under pressure, with slowing growth, rising costs, and cooling labor markets weighing on CRE. In this episode of CRE Exchange, Cole Perry and Omar Eltorai break down where challenges are mounting and where opportunities remain.They spotlight resilient sectors like data centers, industrial, and high-quality office, alongside the surprising momentum of unanchored strip centers. The discussion closes with a look at key upcoming economic data and what it could mean for investment strategies.Key Moments:01:14 Federal Reserve Beige Book insights07:40 Labor market data analysis11:19 Employment Situation Report breakdown16:20 Deep dive into strip center data20:30 Upcoming conferences and data releasesResources Mentioned:Beige Book: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/publications/beige-book-default.htmJob Openings and Labor Turnover (JOLTS): https://www.bls.gov/jlt/ADP National Employment Report: https://mediacenter.adp.com/2025-09-04-ADP-National-Employment-Report-Private-Sector-Employment-Increased-by-54,000-Jobs-in-August-Annual-Pay-was-Up-4-4Employment Situation Report: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htmEmail us: altusresearch@altusgroup.comThanks for listening to the “CRE Exchange” podcast, powered by Altus Group. If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a review to help get the word out about the show. And be sure to subscribe so you never miss another insightful conversation.#CRE #CommercialRealEstate #Property

America's Truckin' Network
9-10-25 America's Truckin' Network

America's Truckin' Network

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2025 10:57 Transcription Available


In this abbreviated show, Kevin covers the following stories: this past Friday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the August Nonfarm Payroll Report and the unemployment rate; last Wednesday, the Federal Reserve released their "Beige Book;" Kevin discusses the details, digs into the numbers, puts the data into historical perspective and offers his insights and opinions.

700 WLW On-Demand
9-10-25 America's Truckin' Network

700 WLW On-Demand

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2025 10:56


In this abbreviated show, Kevin covers the following stories: this past Friday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the August Nonfarm Payroll Report and the unemployment rate; last Wednesday, the Federal Reserve released their "Beige Book;" Kevin discusses the details, digs into the numbers, puts the data into historical perspective and offers his insights and opinions.

Money Talks Radio Show - Atlanta, GA
September 6, 2025: Billion-Dollar Ballgames, Love Contracts, Federal Stakes & Logo Breaks

Money Talks Radio Show - Atlanta, GA

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2025 62:42


After last week's pre-recorded interview, there's plenty in the financial markets to unpack—from the muted moves during the holiday-shortened week to the latest ISM Manufacturing Index and the Fed's Beige Book. We break down two weeks of market action and the economic data you don't want to miss.The NFL is back—and so is big business as the 2025–2026 season kicks off. With team valuations up 25% year-over-year to an average of $6.5 billion as of 2024, and the Dallas Cowboys setting a new record, we're looking at the dollars behind the game. From Fantasy Football to futures contracts on who will win, there's money to be made on and off the field—which raises the question: could NFL teams one day show up in your 401(k)?On the topic of football, the buzz isn't only on the field. The engagement between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce takes the spotlight and they open the door to a financial conversation that goes far beyond celebrity gossip: prenuptial agreements. With Swift's billion-dollar empire and Kelce's multimillion-dollar career, the question isn't about romance, it's about protection. We'll dig into what prenups can do, why they're not just for the ultra-wealthy, and how couples can approach these conversations without derailing the love story.After the break, we dig into the future of U.S. capitalism. Is Washington becoming Wall Street's biggest investor? With a 15% stake in MP Materials and nearly 10% in Intel, the government is taking positions in the same companies citizens invest in. We explore what this means for free-market capitalism, efforts to secure supply chains, and whether bipartisan disillusionment with globalization is reshaping America's economic playbook.And speaking of government butting into business—it's reported that Trump personally called up Cracker Barrel, urging them to revert their logo after backlash over its redesign. We'll discuss the misstep and look at other companies that have made major branding blunders.Henssler Money Talks — September 6, 2025  |  Season 39, Episode 36Timestamps and Chapters4:46: What's Driving the Markets14:27: Gridiron Gold26:47: Love Songs to Legal Clauses36:24:  Sam's New Portfolio52:35: Biscuits to BacklashFollow Henssler:  Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube:  https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup  “Henssler Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/ 

Key Wealth Matters
Is the Economy O(k)? National 401(k) Day and a K-shaped Recovery

Key Wealth Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 5, 2025 24:58


In this week's episode, we discuss the Beige Book Report, and three employment reports including fresh numbers from a weaker-than-expected report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). We also touch on the policies and politics bedeviling the Federal Reserve, and the likelihood of rate cuts later this month. As always, we analyze how all of these factors affect the equity and bond markets. Finally, happy National 401(k) Day! See today's resources below to help you educate and celebrate. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Managing Director of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities01:45 – The four reports driving economic activity this week: the Beige Book report, initial unemployment claims, the Jobs Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, and the eagerly-expected BLS Employment Situation report. 05:21 – The weak BLS report further fuels expectations for a September rate cut, with the odds of bigger or more frequent cuts increasing.07:28 – A look into the economy's impact on the stock market, and vice versa, and the k-shaped economy of 401(k) haves and have-nots.09:19– Treasuries have rallied on the jobs report, with some calling it a “jobs recession.”11:20 – We discuss the goings-on at the Federal Reserve, including Stephen Miran's confirmation hearing for Fed Governor and Scott Bessent's alleged interviews for the next Fed Chair.14:11 – In the world of equities, cyclicals and small cap stocks are ascending as mega-cap tech stocks had a slower week.18:45 – Concluding thoughts on the still-present threat of tariffs impacting the economy, and what to do with your portfolio now.  National 401(k) Day ResourcesRetirement AdviceShould I Still Worry About Inflation's Impact on My Retirement Plan?The Key 401(k) Pooled Employer Plan Additional Resources9/18 Webinar: Key Wealth's National Call - AI: Everything You Are Afraid to Ask but Need to KnowKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn 

Mark Arum
The Mark Arum Show 09-04-25 HR 3

Mark Arum

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 32:03


Today on the show: updating Russia/Ukraine, Epstein and troops in Chicago with Natalie Brand from CBS News and Karen Travers from ABC News. Georgia Power reps in studio on the future of energy use in the Peach State. Mike McKee from Bloomberg updates the Beige Book. Amy Wenk from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution on a possible big move by Coca-Cola. Plus, actors Andre Holland and David Duchovny join us live! 9am-noon on 95.5 WSB.

Mark Arum
The Mark Arum Show 09-04-25 HR 1

Mark Arum

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 33:13


Today on the show: updating Russia/Ukraine, Epstein and troops in Chicago with Natalie Brand from CBS News and Karen Travers from ABC News. Georgia Power reps in studio on the future of energy use in the Peach State. Mike McKee from Bloomberg updates the Beige Book. Amy Wenk from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution on a possible big move by Coca-Cola. Plus, actors Andre Holland and David Duchovny join us live! 9am-noon on 95.5 WSB.

Mark Arum
The Mark Arum Show 09-04-25 HR 2

Mark Arum

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 30:44


Today on the show: updating Russia/Ukraine, Epstein and troops in Chicago with Natalie Brand from CBS News and Karen Travers from ABC News. Georgia Power reps in studio on the future of energy use in the Peach State. Mike McKee from Bloomberg updates the Beige Book. Amy Wenk from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution on a possible big move by Coca-Cola. Plus, actors Andre Holland and David Duchovny join us live! 9am-noon on 95.5 WSB.

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News
9.4.25 Letters From Washington; Porchlight's David Wells on Borrower Experience; Beige Book Stagnation

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 23:48 Transcription Available


The Chrisman Commentary Daily Mortgage News Podcast delivers timely insights for mortgage lenders, loan officers, capital markets professionals, and anyone curious about the mortgage and housing industry. Hosted by industry expert Robbie Chrisman, each weekday episode breaks down mortgage rates, lending news, housing market trends, capital markets activity, and regulatory updates with insightful analysis, expert perspectives, and conversations with top professionals from across the mortgage industry. Stay informed, gain actionable insights, and keep up with developments in mortgage banking and housing finance. Learn more at www.chrismancommentary.com.In today's episode, we go through all the latest happenings from Washington DC and how they are impacting the mortgage industry. Plus, Robbie sits down with Porchlight's David Wells for a discussion on how the mortgage industry is shifting from a human-driven, siloed process to a fully programmatic, API-powered model that automates repetitive tasks, streamlines capital markets execution, and empowers loan officers to focus on high-value, trust-building relationships. And we close by looking at what the Fed's Beige Book said about economic stagnation.Sponsored by Gallus Insights. Mortgage KPIs, automated, at your fingertips. Gallus allows you to turn data from your various databases and systems into automated business intelligence and actionable insights. 

Timely Topics
September 2025 Beige Book Interview – Little Rock

Timely Topics

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 8:55


The St. Louis Fed's Matuschka Lindo Briggs, senior vice president and regional executive of the Little Rock Branch, and Charles Gascon, economist and research officer, discuss economic insights from the latest Beige Book release highlighting the Arkansas region and the Eighth District.

Total Information AM
An in-depth look at the regional economy with St Louis Federal Reserve

Total Information AM

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 6:00


Chuck Gascon, Senior Economist in the Research Division at the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, joins Megan Lynch in-studio following the release of the Beige Book.

Kees de Kort | BNR
Donkere wolken boven VS: ‘Vaart uit Amerikaanse economie'

Kees de Kort | BNR

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 6:18


Het is een traditie: enkele weken voordat het rentecomité van de Fed bij elkaar komt, verschijnt het Beige Book, een kwalitatief rapport over het reilen en zeilen van de Amerikaanse economie. Het is een verslag van de twaalf regionale centrale banken, gebaseerd op gesprekken met onder andere het bedrijfsleven, ondernemers en economen. ‘Maar dat verslag beschrijft nu niet veel goeds’, zegt macro-econoom Edin Mujagic. Als je naar die spiegel van de Amerikaanse economie kijkt, wat zie je dan? Niet veel goeds. De meeste districten melden weinig of geen verandering in de economische activiteit, en vier districten zelfs een lichte daling. Vrij vertaald: de Amerikaanse economie groeit nog wel, maar de vaart is eruit. En dat ligt eigenlijk aan iets waarvan je juist hoopt dat het daar níet aan ligt: de consumptie. Dat is de belangrijkste motor van de Amerikaanse economie. Maar overal klinkt het geluid dat consumenten minder uitgeven dan we de afgelopen jaren gewend waren. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

De Ochtendspits | BNR
De Ochtendspits | 4 september

De Ochtendspits | BNR

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 149:45


In deze aflevering hoor je alles over de bijeenkomst van de Coalition of the Willing. Het militaire plan voor een troepenmacht die de veiligheid van Oekraïne moet garanderen is klaar. Zo bevestigt demissionair minister Ruben Brekelmans van Defensie. Maar er zijn nog wel openstaande vraagstukken. NAVO-chef Mark Rutte rekent op helderheid over wat de landen gezamenlijk kunnen leveren. Ook hoor je het laatste nieuws over het ongeluk met een kabeltram in Lissabon waarbij 15 mensen om het leven zijn gekomen en het gaat niet goed met de Amerikaanse economie. Dat blijkt uit het Beige Book van de Federal Reserve.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

NewsWare‘s Trade Talk
NewsWare's Trade Talk: Wednesday, September 3

NewsWare‘s Trade Talk

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2025 16:18


S&P Futures are showing strong gains this morning due to positive action in technology stocks. After the bell yesterday the judge in the GOOG antitrust case released his remedy opinion and said that Google will not be required to divest its Chrome browser or Android operating system. Additionally, the ruling permits Google to continue making payments to Apple, enabling Google to remain the default search engine on iOS devices. President Trump is appealing Friday's tariff ruling to the Supreme Court and requesting an expedited ruling. Later today he is expected to meet with the President of Poland. Treasury Sec Bessent will start to interview candidates for the role as Fed Chair on Friday. The yield curve is showing signs of steepening with the 10-year Treasury note yield hovering around 4.28% to 4.30%. This follows a modest increase of about 0.03 percentage points from the previous session, marking the third consecutive day of rising yields.  On the economic from today markets will be paying attention to this morning's JOLTs report and the Fed's Beige Book in the afternoon. HQY & ZS are higher after earnings beats. After the bell today CRM, FIG, HPE, GTLB and AI are schedule to release.

TD Ameritrade Network
JOLTS Opens Door to "Choppy" Trading Day, Draws Investors Back to Mag 7

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2025 6:39


When it comes to today's trading action, Charles Schwab's Kathy Jones attributes part of the "choppy" day to a rise in layoffs seen in the JOLTS report. Additionally, she talks about how the Beige Book shook the bond market as investors saw potential for "stagnant or slower growth." Joe Mazzola adds how the price action is pulling investors back toward the Mag 7. He discusses sector performance in markets and how slowing economic data attributes to the rotation.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Beurswatch | BNR
Beurs in Zicht | Met deze 'saaie' cijfers kun je in de toekomst kijken

Beurswatch | BNR

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 31, 2025 5:59


De nieuwe beursweek is in aantocht. Komende week komen er niet zoveel bedrijfscijfers meer, want het cijferseizoen loopt op zijn einde. Er komen wél een hoop macro-economische cijfers aan. Een Nederlands inflatiecijfer bijvoorbeeld, en het Beige Book van de Fed, waarin de Amerikaanse centrale bank deelt hoe het met de Amerikaanse economie gaat. Verder komen er inkoopmanagersindexen uit verschillende delen van de wereld. Dat klinkt een beetje saai, toch gaat Bob Homan van ING Investment Office ze met bovengemiddelde interesse lezen. Met die cijfers kun je namelijk een beetje de toekomst voorspellen, zegt hij. Inkoopmanagers kopen voor een paar maanden vooruit in, en doen daarmee ook een voorspelling van de economie tegen die tijd. In Beurs in Zicht stomen we je klaar voor de beursweek die je tegemoet gaat. Want soms zie je door de beursbomen het beursbos niet meer. Dat is verleden tijd! Iedere week vertelt een vriend van de show waar jouw focus moet liggen.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Economy Matters
"We Work to Be Sure We're Touching All of Them": Adding Color to the Beige Book

Economy Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2025 26:47


The Beige Book occupies an important, yet often little understood, role in the monetary policymaking process. This episode of the Economy Matters podcast features Atlanta Fed staff directly involved in preparing material for the Beige Book.

The Indicator from Planet Money
How to beach on a budget

The Indicator from Planet Money

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2025 9:18


It's the Beigie Awards, our eight times a year salute to the art and science of telling stories about the economy. The most recent Beige Book shows that Americans are finding ways to spend less money ... including on their vacations. On today's show, we find out what Benjamin Franklin and Jersey Beach goers have in common.Related episodes:How many times can you say uncertainty in one economic report?Trump's cuts come for food banksThe secret tariff-free zoneFor sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

Mind the Macro
Higher Inflation, Lower Uncertainty

Mind the Macro

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 23:11


We discuss the recent CPI and PPI releases, lower universal tariff threats, and red flags in the Beige Book, housing market, and credit market.

Timely Topics
July 2025 Beige Book Interview – Little Rock

Timely Topics

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 8:59


The St. Louis Fed's Matuschka Lindo Briggs, senior vice president and regional executive of the Little Rock Branch, and Charles Gascon, economist and research officer, discuss economic insights from the latest Beige Book release highlighting the Arkansas region and the Eighth District.

VG Daily - By VectorGlobal
TSMC y PepsiCo reportan mientras que el Congreso aprueba 3 leyes de criptomonedas

VG Daily - By VectorGlobal

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 20:11


En el episodio de hoy de VG Daily, Andre Dos Santos y Eugenio Garibay exploran los acontecimientos económicos más relevantes, comenzando con el análisis de las ventas minoristas en Estados Unidos y su implicancia en la confianza del consumidor. Luego, abordan el último Beige Book de la Reserva Federal para destacar los cambios en el entorno empresarial, la presión inflacionaria por los aranceles y la incertidumbre que afecta a las decisiones corporativas y laborales.Más adelante, comentan los resultados trimestrales de TSMC y PepsiCo, resaltando la importancia del crecimiento en chips de inteligencia artificial y la fortaleza internacional de la segunda. El episodio concluye con una explicación clara sobre la reciente aprobación de tres leyes cripto en el Congreso estadounidense, detallando cómo la regulación aporta certidumbre y nuevas oportunidades tanto al sistema financiero tradicional como al ecosistema de las criptomonedas.

The Julia La Roche Show
#270 David Rosenberg: Nobody Sees the Recession Coming - But It's Already Here

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 1, 2025 67:55


David Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research, believes recession odds are higher than 2022 despite nobody expecting one, pointing to Fed staff forecasting 50% recession probability and the most downbeat Beige Book since 1980. Rosenberg criticizes Powell for calling the economy "solid" while real GDP has been negative sequentially in 2 of the past 3 months and survey data suggests 1% contraction. He highlights a major market dichotomy with stocks up 24% while the dollar is in an 11% bear market, suggesting something is fundamentally wrong. The housing market faces a negative wealth effect as supply-demand gaps widen and prices start cracking.Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Kalshi: ⁠https://kalshi.com/julia Links: https://rosenbergresearch.com/https://x.com/EconguyRosieTimestamps: 00:01 - Introduction: Dave Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research 00:49 - "Meat grinder roller coaster ride" - elevated policy uncertainty02:15 - Tail risks removed: no trade war, regional conflict, or fiscal cliff05:35 - S&P 500 multiple expansion: 18 to 22 in three months (4 sigma event) 08:30 - Housing market in "huge state of disarray" - prices starting to crack11:22 - Survey data consistent with economy contracting at 1% annual rate13:20 - Real GDP negative sequentially in 2 of past 3 months 15:24 - Nobody talking about recession despite higher odds than 202218:18 - Recession probabilities are binary - "zero or 100, not 60% pregnant" 21:18 - Mistakes from 2022-2023: didn't anticipate fiscal stimulus scale25:34 - Big beautiful bill not stimulative - just extending status quo 28:20 - Housing supply-demand gap widening, negative wealth effect coming32:42 - S&P 500 became growth index, small caps still in correction 36:00 - Fed staff said recession odds equal to GDP baseline forecast (50%)38:56 - Beige book: economy declining slightly, more downbeat than 200744:32 - Powell calling economy "solid" despite weak data - credibility issue48:04 - Fed damaged by "transitory" mistake, protecting legacy 55:17 - Next Fed Chair speculation: wants someone he can "push around"59:04 - US dollar down 11% in bear market while stocks up 24% 01:04:13 - Closing: importance of liquidity and diversification

Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast
Economic Slowdown, Hiring Pauses & Tariff Shock: Fed's Latest Report Explained

Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2025 3:07


The latest Beige Book from the Federal Reserve paints a cautious picture of the U.S. economy. In this episode, Kathy Fettke breaks down the key takeaways for real estate investors—slowing job growth, rising inflation concerns, and the growing impact of tariffs, which were mentioned a record 122 times. Learn how regional trends and economic uncertainty could influence housing demand, borrowing costs, and investor strategy in the months ahead. JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realwealth.com/join-step-1 FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast: https://link.chtbl.com/REN Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/04/fed-beige-book-economic-report-cites-declining-growth-rising-prices-and-slow-hiring.html 

The Indicator from Planet Money
Trump's cuts come for food banks

The Indicator from Planet Money

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2025 9:06


The Beigie Awards are back to recognize the regional Federal Reserve Bank with the best Beige Book entry. On today's episode, we shine a spotlight on a Midwest food bank. Related episodes: Why Midwest crop farmers are having a logistics problem (Apple / Spotify)How many times can you say uncertainty in one economic report? (Apple / Spotify) For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy