Podcasts about Beige Book

What, how, and why does the Federal Reserve do what it does? Hosts Michael Klein and Deborah Willenborg dive into a lively, humorous, and insightful conversation with Matuschka Lindo Briggs of the Little Rock branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to get to the bottom of it all. From the Fed's ag advisory council to the Beige Book, and from consumer confidence to what's going on in Kansas City, this episode makes the decisions behind monetary policy relatable and even fun. With special guest: Matuschka Lindo Briggs, senior vice president and regional executive of the Little Rock Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Hosted by: Michael Klein and Deborah Willenborg

Uncertainty. That's the word-of-the-moment with tariffs, market swings and lots of economic volatility. It's also showing up in the Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book, featuring anecdotes across the U.S. economy. On our latest edition of the Beigies, what can a farmer from the Mississippi Delta tell us about uncertainty? Related episodes: How USAID cuts hurt farmers (Apple / Spotify) Why Trump's potential tariffs are making business owners anxious (Apple / Spotify) For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Fact-checking by Tyler Jones. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into PMI data, the Fed's Beige Book, the Employment Situation Report, the credit market, the U.S. dollar, and the upcoming Key Wealth National Call.  Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities01:28 – The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) revealed the overall manufacturing data dropped from January to February still proving manufacturing is in a contractionary state longer-term 02:27 – The Federal Reserve (Fed) released their Beige Book of economic data 03:15 – The Employment Situation Report showed the nonfarm payroll data at 151,000, with modest revisions for December and January   07:57 – Comments on the credit market, investment grade and high yield bond spreads  15:44 – Comments on the U.S. dollar and how it's being impacted by trade policies and implementation of tariffs 19:05 - Reminder for the upcoming Key Wealth National Call Wednesday, March 12th at 1:00pm EST/10:00am PST Additional ResourcesKey Questions: How Do We Invest in Tech? | Key Private Bank Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedInKBCM Disclosure

Tariff uncertainty continues to disrupt the auto industry; companies increasingly rely on AI for innovation and efficiency. The auto industry has prepared for an "adjustment period" as 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico were set to take effect on March 4. President Donald Trump announced a one-month delay the next day. The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book showed signs of worry   as uncertainty trade policy sets in, with tariffs likely to raise car prices. Meanwhile, AI-driven lending platform Upstart is enhancing its auto refinance technology to enable consumers to complete the process seamlessly, without document uploads and with minimal human involvement. Agentic AI is also growing in financial services as lenders look to enhance customer experience.  Capital One is using agentic AI at dealerships to streamline car buying, allowing customers to access information, schedule test drives and compare vehicles online. The Auto Finance News team will publish a feature today detailing the use of agentic AI in the sector.  In this episode of “Weekly Wrap,” Auto Finance News Editor Amanda Harris and associate editors Ashley Savage and James Van Bramer discuss top trends including economic uncertainty and AI in auto finance for the week ended March 7. This episode is sponsored by Earnix.

In this episode we chat about the latest US Jobs report, unemployment, the Beige Book, and the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow forecast.

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss Marvell earnings, ECB cutting rates again, and economic data from the Beige Book. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit:https://www.narwhal.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

US equity futures are slightly softer after a strong rally on Wednesday. European markets opened firmer, while Asian equities ended mostly higher, with Hong Kong continuing to outperform while Australia lagged. Markets responded positively to the White House's decision to delay auto tariffs for Canada and Mexico by one month, while officials also suggested potential exemptions for agricultural and other key products under USMCA. Stronger-than-expected ISM Services data showed rising new orders and employment. The ADP private payrolls report missed expectations, while the Beige Book pointed to softer consumer spending and growing business concerns over trade uncertainty. Oil prices remained under pressure despite lingering concerns about inflation.Companies Mentioned: Allegro MicroSystems, Onsemi, Sanken Electric, SGS, Groupe Bruxelles Lambert, Microsoft

The St. Louis Fed's Matuschka Lindo Briggs, senior vice president and regional executive of the Little Rock Branch, and Charles Gascon, economist and research officer, offer economic insights from the latest Beige Book release highlighting the Arkansas region and the Eighth District.

Former Ford CEO Mark Fields weighs in what the one-month delay in auto tariffs means for the stocks. Former Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren breaks down the Beige Book, jobs, and Fed policy after the latest economic data. Vital Knowledge's Adam Crisafulli and Wilmington Trust's Meghan Shue analyze the market landscape, and we cover key earnings from Marvell, MongoDB, Victoria's Secret, and Zscaler. Plus, Christopher Rolland of Susquehanna on Marvell's earnings. 

US equities were higher in Wednesday trading as stocks ended a bit off best levels, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq finishing up 115bps, 101bps, and 146bps respectively. Today's bounce seemed to be a function of tariff relief for Canada and Mexico, better economic data, along with some positive sentiment surrounding developments overseas. ADP private payrolls missed, but ISM Services beat, and durable goods orders revised higher. Fed's Beige Book said economic activity slightly higher since mid-January.

Sentiment lifted after the US Commerce Secretary suggested Trump could potentially reduce tariffs on Canada and Mexico, perhaps as soon as Wednesday.European bourses at session highs; DAX 40 +3% outperforms; US equity futures broadly higher with the RTY +1.2%.EUR surges on German spending plans, DXY around 1.05 after breaking below its 200DMA.Bunds battered by Merz's fiscal reform, USTs await data and tariff updates.Crude subdued continuing recent action & failing to benefit from China's support which has bolstered base metals.Looking ahead, US ADP National Employment, US Factory Orders, ISM Services, Fed's Beige Book, BoE Treasury Select Hearing, Speakers including BoE's Bailey, Pill, Taylor and Greene. Earnings from Abercrombie & Fitch, Foot Locker & Marvell.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US futures gained after the Wall St. close as Lutnick suggested Trump could potentially reduce tariffs on Canada and Mexico, perhaps as soon as Wednesday.APAC mixed but with strength in China after data and the Official Growth Report which maintained a growth target of around 5% and pledged measures to boost spending.EUR underpinned by German debt brake reform with the DXY under pressure as a result, Cable hit a YTD peak while NZD was unreactive to Orr resigning.Bunds weighed on by CDU's Merz saying the first results on debt brake reform have been reached with the SPD alongside proposing new instruments and defence exemptions.Fed's Williams said he does not see the need to change policy currently, and described it as "still restrictive" and with the right balance; highlighted UoM inflation data as one to watch.Crude subdued, XAU range bound and Copper gained on China's report; Trump said he received a letter from Zelensky who is ready to come back to the table.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, US ADP National Employment, US Factory Orders, ISM Services, China NPC, Fed's Beige Book, BoE Treasury Select Hearing, Speakers including BoE's Bailey, Pill, Taylor and Greene, Supply from UK, Earnings from Telecom Italia, Bayer, Adidas, Sandoz, Abercrombie & Fitch, Foot Locker & Marvell.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

This week, LJ and Rob catch up with Bryan Wilson, Head of Product at StaffUp App (www.staffupapp.com), exploring innovative approaches to talent pool management and AI integration in staffing.Bryan, a staffing technology veteran, shares insights on enabling light industrial and high-volume clients to create and quickly activate flexible work pools. The conversation dives into the risks of over-relying on single candidate sources and explores how AI is transforming talent pool management strategies.In their AI news segment, LJ and Rob discuss OpenAI's strategic shift to Softbank funding and its implications for the industry. They also analyze encouraging trends from two key industry reports: the SIA | Bullhorn Indicator and the Federal Reserve's January 2025 Beige Book, both showing moderate optimism for the staffing sector.This week's featured technology spotlight: Talivity, innovating the way staffing firms manage their operations.This episode is brought to you by Leap Advisory Partners, empowering staffing firms with strategic growth solutions. Visit www.leapadvisorypartners.com to learn more. Please remember to rate, review, and share the episode. Your support helps us continue bringing valuable insights to the staffing technology community.

If you’re a regular “Marketplace” listener, you’ve probably heard of the Fed’s Beige Book. But have you heard of the Tealbook? In this episode, we pull back the curtain on the Fed’s fortune-telling report that helps monetary policy mandarins ideate on possible economic scenarios. Plus: AI tools juggle search dominance with profitability, the GDP report shows consumers still haven’t stopped spending and we wrap up our sojourn in Cumberland County, Tennessee.

If you’re a regular “Marketplace” listener, you’ve probably heard of the Fed’s Beige Book. But have you heard of the Tealbook? In this episode, we pull back the curtain on the Fed’s fortune-telling report that helps monetary policy mandarins ideate on possible economic scenarios. Plus: AI tools juggle search dominance with profitability, the GDP report shows consumers still haven’t stopped spending and we wrap up our sojourn in Cumberland County, Tennessee.

Omar and Cole kick off this week's episode with some recent macro releases that help set the stage for 2025, then touch on some of what's happened in the capital markets since this year started. Finally, they share a number of initial industry themes for 2025 from the recent CREFC conference in Miami, and others based on personal observations of the commercial real estate market. Key moments:01:23 Federal Reserve's Beige Book insights06:38 Capital markets and economic indicators07:50 Small Business Optimism Index and housing data11:26 Retail sales and market reactions21:58 Commercial Real Estate Finance Council Conference highlights26:13 Legislative and regulatory priorities31:25 Upcoming episodes and announcements Resources mentioned:Beige Book - https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/publications/beige-book-default.htmNFIB Small Business Optimism Index - https://www.nfib.com/news-article/optimism-index-reaches-six-year-high-as-inflation-remains-top-concern/CREFC conference – Miami - https://www.crefc.org/january2025Q4 2024 CRE Industry Conditions and Sentiment Survey - https://www.altusgroup.com/featured-insights/us-cre-industry-conditions-and-sentiment-survey/ Thanks for listening to the “CRE Exchange” podcast, powered by Altus Group. If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a review to help get the word out about the show. And be sure to subscribe so you never miss another insightful conversation.#CRE #CommercialRealEstate #Property

In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the Beige Book, CPI data, the stock and bond markets, tariffs, the debt ceiling, and Key Wealth's 2025 Outlook.  Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities02:07 – The Federal Reserve released its Beige Book in advance of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on January 29th03:21 – The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported at 0.4% on all items for the month of December, and excluding food and energy, the CPI was reported at 0.2%06:48 – As we ease into 2025, we hear about the equities market and the CPI data's effect on it10:07 – Amid Treasury Secretary Designate, Scott Bessent's confirmation, and the plan to gradually increase tariffs, we hear comments on how it may affect the bond market and inflation15:05 – Remarks on Bessent's recent comments on the concept of potentially removing the US debt ceiling and the bond market's skepticism that it could be accomplished 16:10 – Final comments highlighting the recent release of Key Wealth's 2025 OutlookAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: Are Financial Stocks More Attractive Under a Second Trump Administration? | Key Private Bank Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

De inauguratie van Donald Trump domineert het nieuws. Daarnaast kwam ook het Beige Book recent uit in de Verenigde Staten, waaruit blijkt dat de Amerikaanse economie nog steeds goed blijft draaien. En ook het Internationaal Monetair Fonds (IMF) kwam met een nieuwe raming. Door al die gebeurtenissen is nieuws vanuit de Amerikaanse centrale bank, de Fed, een beetje ondergesneeuwd, zegt macro-econoom Edin Mujagic. ‘De Fed trekt zich namelijk terug uit een soort praatclub van centrale banken.’ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss why we are in the early cycle rather than the late cycle, Hamas ceasefire, and Retail Sales numbers. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visithttps://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure

The St. Louis Fed's Matuschka Lindo Briggs, senior vice president and regional executive of the Little Rock Branch, and Charles Gascon, economist and research officer, offer economic insights from the latest Beige Book release highlighting the Arkansas region and the Eighth District.

Market Surge: Analyzing a Strong Day in Equities and Bonds In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel reports from West Palm Beach, Florida, on January 15th. He highlights a significant uptick in the equity markets, with The Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq seeing notable gains. The bond market also experienced a rally, with a drop in the 10-year yield. Szytel analyzes the factors behind these movements, including better-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers, and offers insights into the impact of these inflation indicators on market behavior. Additionally, he discusses the Empire State Manufacturing Index, the Fed's Beige Book, and the positive results from big banks' trading revenues. Szytel also addresses a viewer's question about the potential for 10-year yields to surpass 5%, emphasizing the importance of fixed income investments in portfolios amid fluctuating interest rates. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:36 Inflation and Economic Indicators 01:48 Empire State Manufacturing Index and Beige Book Insights 02:49 Q&A: Interest Rates and Treasury Yields 05:09 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

We kick off the hour talking markets with Victoria Greene of G Squared Private Wealth and Ohsung Kwon of BofA Securities, analyzing today's key trends. Our Leslie Picker provides critical takeaways on banks, setting the stage for tomorrow's earnings. Former Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester shares her take on CPI data, the Beige Book, and Fed policy, while Evercore ISI's Krishna Guha offers a deep dive into market strategies. Simon Freakley of AlixPartners discusses CEO priorities and challenges in 2025, including their biggest worries. Our Diana Olick reports on how LA wildfires are driving demand in the REIT sector, with insights into upgrades and trends for key players like Essex and Avalon Bay.

US equities closed sharply higher in Wednesday trading, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq finishing up 165bps, 183bps, and 245bps respectively, in the wake of a softer-than-feared December core CPI reading. Bank earnings were another bright spot with better 2025 net interest income guidance the big takeaway. Fed's latest Beige Book noted slight to modest economic growth across districts, with more contacts optimistic about 2025 than pessimistic.

The Federal Reserve's last Beige Book of 2024 is like Spotify Wrapped but for the economy. There's a little bit of everything inside — labor markets, inflation and even natural disasters. On today's show, we spotlight Western North Carolina's challenging recovery after Hurricane Helene, and check in with an Asheville malt manufacturer on the impact to local businesses. For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

In this week's jam-packed Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of experts as they share their perspectives on the latest economic reports. Our panel shares detailed insights into the PMI reports, initial unemployment claims, the Employment Situation report, the Beige Book, our 2025 investment and economic outlook, and the upcoming FOMC meeting .Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities01:23 – The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) reported Manufacturing higher in November, while Services came in lower in November02:36 – Initial unemployment claims for the week ending November 30 were reported at 224,00002:56 – The Employment Situation reported new non-farm payrolls at 227,000 in November; The unemployment rate remained relatively the same at 4.2% in November 04:21 – Comments on our Key Wealth 2025 investment and economic outlook, and a recap of the recent Key Wealth National Call09:48 – Remarks on the new presidential administration, and what it may do for economic growth10:53 – Comments on if the US dollar will be ‘dethroned' as the world's reserve currency13:00 – Expectations for the upcoming Federal Reserve FOMC meeting and how the Employment Situation data may affect a December rate cut18:44 – Remarks on if the new presidential administration will affect the equities market, specifically the Magnificent 7, and thoughts for the new yearAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: Should Investors Consider Dividend Stocks in a Falling-Rate Environment? | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

The Manheim Used-Vehicle Value Index ticked up 0.2% YoY and 1.3% month over month in November to 205.4.  High car prices have contributed to affordability pressures for consumers, but incentives are helping drive sales. The latest edition of the Beige Book, citing data collected on or before Nov. 22 by the Federal Reserve, highlights areas of the country where sales activity has rebounded with incentives, while inventory continues to build. EV sales also grew in November, with nearly every major OEM reporting YoY increases. EV financing share rose 30.7% YoY in the third quarter, making up 10.1% of total new-vehicle financing.  In powersports, Bombardier Recreational Products' North American retail sales decreased 11% YoY while product revenue also declined.  In this episode of “Weekly Wrap,” Auto Finance News Editor Amanda Harris and associate editors Ashley Savage and James Van Bramer discuss trends in vehicle pricing, EV sales and powersports finance for the week ending Dec. 6.  

The St. Louis Fed's Matuschka Lindo Briggs, senior vice president and regional executive of the Little Rock Branch, and Charles Gascon, economist and research officer, offer economic insights from the latest Beige Book release with a focus on the Arkansas region and the Eighth District.

In tien van de twaalf economische districten van de Verenigde Staten is de bedrijvigheid toegenomen. Dat blijkt uit gegevens uit het Beige Book van de Federal Reserve, de centrale bank van de Verenigde Staten. ‘Gewoon een goede score', concludeert macro-econoom Edin Mujagic. Maar hij ziet dat een handelsoorlog daar verandering in kan brengen in 2025.   See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

S&P Futures are showing positive gains this morning due to the latest round of earnings reports. CRM, MRVL, OKTA & PSTG are all trading higher this morning. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak today in his last public statement before the upcoming FOMC meeting. UNH & HOOD have investors days today. Beige Book data is scheduled for release this afternoon. GM forecasts a $5B charge related to its China business in a regulatory filing. On the earning front SNPS, S, PVH, FIVE and AEO are all scheduled to release after the bell. In Europe stocks trading mostly higher as forward Eurozone GDP guidance is looking for 3.3% growth in 2025. Oil prices as markets wait on tomorrow announcement from OPEC on production.

It's the most important day of the year for the country ... The Beigie Awards! The Beigie Awards are back to recognize the regional Federal Reserve Bank with the best Beige Book entry. This time, we shine a spotlight on one entry that speaks to a logistics problem affecting farms in the midwest.Related episodes:Using anecdotes to predict recessions (Apple / Spotify)The Beigie Awards: Why banks are going on a "loan diet" (Apple / Spotify) For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

Nov 1, 2024 – Shehzad Qazi of China Beige Book discusses potential impacts of a Trump vs. Harris presidency on US-China trade. Regardless of who wins, Shehzad says another round of trade wars and friction are expected in 2025. Despite a slowing economy...

Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — October 26, 2024Season 38, Episode 43Timestamps and Chapters 00:00: Market Roundup: Oct. 21 – Oct. 25, 202424:21: Case Study:  Creating a Legacy of Philanthropy 34:48: Q&A Time: Georgia's Tax Rebate and Diversifying with International StocksFollow Henssler:  Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube:  https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup  “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/ 

This week we discuss the housing market, the Beige Book, and the un-inversion of the yield curve.

In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the Beige Book, initial unemployment claims, existing home sales, the S&P 500, the bond market, the MOVE Index, and upcoming economic news. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities01:54 – The Federal Reserve released the October Beige Book, highlighting the economic activity to be discussed at the upcoming FOMC meeting 02:50 – The initial unemployment claims for the week ending October 19 were reported at 227,000 03:17 – The National Association of Realtors reported a decline in existing home sales for the month of September, as well as reporting a decline of 3.5% in year-over-year existing home sales for September   04:25 – Comments on earnings; the S&P 500 reporting season has been ‘tricky' so far, with more than 12% of the stocks moving at least 10% on earnings day 07:28 – Based on the Beige Book release, we hear remarks on what we can expect to hear during the upcoming FOMC meeting 10:31 – Comments on the bond market being ‘spooked', as we anticipate a rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, yet preparing for the 2025 rate cut projections11:25 – Unusual forecasting from the MOVE Index as option prices show treasury yields for all maturities are projected to increase about 18 basis points higher following the presidential election14:15 – Final thoughts and assumptions on next week's economic news such as the Employment Situation, Consumer Spending, PCE Inflation, etc. Additional ResourcesKey Questions: The Yield Curve Has Un-inverted. Now What? | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

Host Christine Lee breaks down the news in the crypto industry from BlackRock buying more MicroStrategy stocks to Citigroup debanking Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse.Bitcoin is back above $67,000 as the Fed latest Beige Book survey of economic conditions hinted at further rate reductions in the coming months. Plus, BlackRock buys more MicroStrategy shares and Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse shares how he was debanked by Citigroup. "CoinDesk Daily" host Christine Lee breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry today.-This episode was hosted by Christine Lee. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Christine Lee, Jennifer Sanasie, Melissa Montañez and edited by Victor Chen.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Ben and Tom review highlights from the Fed's Beige Book, Medicare's home diagnoses scandal, and Tesla earnings. It's also Ben's birthday. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visithttps://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure

The St. Louis Fed's Matuschka Lindo Briggs, senior vice president and regional executive of the Little Rock Branch, and Charles Gascon, economist and research officer, discuss economic insights from the latest Beige Book release with a focus on the Arkansas region and the Eighth District.

Er is de afgelopen periode eigenlijk heel weinig beweging geweest in de Amerikaanse economische activiteit, blijkt uit de nieuwste uitgave van het acht keer per jaar verschijnende Beige Book van de Fed. Van de drie districten die in september aangaven dat hun economie licht groeide, zijn er nog twee over. Dat geeft aan dat het met de groei van de Amerikaanse economie toch iets minder goed gaat dan voorheen, zegt macro-econoom Edin Mujagic.  De stand van zaken in de vorige editie van het Beige Book was voor de Fed aanleiding om de rente met 0,5 procentpunt te verlagen, nu is duidelijk dat het met de groei van de Amerikaanse economie toch wat minder goed gaat dan voorheen, zegt Mujagic. Toch staan er nog wel wat relevante zaken in deze editie van het Beige Book: ‘Bedrijven uit alle hoeken van het land geven aan dat de inflatiedruk verder aan het teruglopen is. Dat zal de Fed heel goed nieuws vinden. Maar ze geven ook aan dat de prijzen die zíj moeten betalen wél stijgen.'See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

US equities finished lower in Wednesday trading, though ended off worst levels, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq closing down 96bps, 92bps, and 160bps respectively. Backup in yields biggest near-term headwind, reflecting soft/no-landing optimism but also rising re-inflationary fears, with 10Y breakevens at their highest level since June. Fed's latest Beige Book noted economic activity little changed since September. Existing home sales for September posted a surprise decline, coming in below expectations at the slowest pace in 14 years.

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, LPL Chief Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbinder and Chief Fixed Income Strategist Lawrence Gillum explain why yields and stocks continued higher last week and preview third quarter earnings season. The S&P 500 rose for the sixth straight week last week on solid economic data including better-than-expected gains in retail sales. Small caps and interest rate sensitive sectors outperformed, while precious metals delivered solid gains amid heightened geopolitical risks. Next the strategists preview third quarter earnings season, where the so-called Magnificent Seven will again be a key driver of overall earnings gains. While expectations for earnings growth in the quarter are modest due to tougher comparisons with 2023 and declines in energy sector profits, earnings are poised to accelerate in coming quarters. Still, they expect 2025 estimates to come down some. The strategists then discuss why Treasury yields are higher despite the Fed cutting rates last month. Since the Fed cut rates in September by 0.50%, the 10-year Treasury yield is higher by nearly 0.50% because recent economic data has come in better than expected, reducing the need for the Fed to cut rates aggressively. The strategists wrap up with a preview of the week ahead, including a look at Main Street economies across the U.S. in the Fed's Beige Book and earnings reports from more than 110 S&P 500 companies. Tracking: #647292

Kathy Jones of Charles Schwab says the market (and the Fed) needs more data to understand the recent fluctuation in rates. "We're just not seeing a lot of shift in the fundamentals," says Kathy, "but we still have a pretty decent inflation outlook." Next week's big events according to Kathy: The Fed's Beige Book. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

In episode 203, David Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research, joined Julia to discuss the current economic landscape and his outlook for the future. ✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. Lock in your 6.6% yield: https://public.com/julia ✨ Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US Listed and registered securities, options and Bonds in a self-directed brokerage account are offered by Public Investing. ETFs, options and Bonds are available to US members only. *A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 fractional investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The 6.6% yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of 9/18/2024. A bond's yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate, and a bond's YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, we cannot know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or how much they will decline. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. Fractional Bonds also carry risks including liquidity risk, interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and potential tax liabilities. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds and learn more about the Bond Account at https://public.com/disclosures/bond-account. In this episode, Rosenberg challenged the prevailing optimism about the U.S. economy, arguing that the apparent strength in GDP numbers is largely due to unsustainable government spending. He highlighted discrepancies between official data and other economic indicators, suggesting that the economy may be weaker than it appears. Rosenberg expressed concern about the stock market's high valuations, drawing parallels to previous market bubbles. He warned of potential risks, including a possible recession in 2025, and discussed the dangers of excessive exposure to equities, particularly among older investors. Rosenberg advocated for a more defensive investment strategy, recommending an increased allocation to bonds and gold, while maintaining a cautious approach to equities. Throughout the conversation, he emphasized the importance of understanding historical patterns and the risks of "new era" thinking in financial markets. Links: https://rosenbergresearch.com/ https://x.com/EconguyRosie Timestamps: 00:23 Introduction and overview of current economic situation 01:03 Discussion on GDP growth and survey data divergence 02:57 Analysis of the Fed's Beige Book and economic indicators 05:19 Impact of government spending on GDP numbers 08:18 Discussion on fiscal policy and upcoming election 10:49 Analysis of government employment data and labor market 13:31 Long-term effects of fiscal policy 15:15 Lack of capital spending cycle and global economic slowdown 17:37 Diffusion analysis of the US economy 19:54 Potential fiscal policy changes after the election 21:10 Discussion on potential recession and historical comparisons 25:15 Analysis of interest rates and debt service costs 27:43 Lags in economic policy effects 31:35 Job report revisions and data reliability issues 35:43 Stock market valuation and earnings growth 39:21 Risks in current stock market valuations 42:26 Discussion on portfolio rebalancing and asset allocation 46:40 Concerns about passive index investing 50:01 Potential impact of stock market decline on the economy 54:15 Investment strategy and portfolio allocation 57:22 Approach to investing in bonds 01:00:45 Total return expectations for bonds 01:02:27 Parting thoughts

Following weaker-than-expected August jobs data, our CIO and Chief U.S Equity Strategist lays out how the Federal Reserve can ease concerns about a possible hard landing.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll be talking about the labor market's impact on equity markets.It's Monday, Sept 9th at 11:30am in New York. So let's get after it.Last week, I wrote a detailed note discussing the importance of the labor data for equity markets. Importantly, I pointed out that since the materially weaker than expected July labor report, the S&P 500 has bounced more than other "macro" markets like rates, currencies and commodities. In the absence of a reacceleration in the labor data, we concluded the S&P 500 was trading out of sync with the fundamentals. Over the past week, we received several labor market data points, which were weaker than expected. First, the Job Openings data for July was softer than expected coming in at 7.7mm versus the consensus expectation of 8.1mm. In addition, June's initial result was revised lower by 274k. This essentially supported the view that the weak payrolls data in July may, in fact, not be related to weather or other temporary issues. Second, the job openings rate fell to 4.6%, which is very close to the 4.5% level Fed Governor Waller has cited as a threshold below which the unemployment rate could rise much faster. Third, the Fed's Beige Book came out last week. It indicated that activity remains sluggish with 9 of the 12 Federal Reserve districts reporting flat or declining activity in August, though commentary on labor markets was more neutral, rather than negative. These data sync nicely with the Conference Board's Employment Trends Index, which I find to be a very objective aggregate measure of the labor market's direction. This morning, we received the latest release for August Conference Board labor market trends and the trend remains down, but not necessarily recessionary. Of course, the main event last week was Friday's monthly jobs and unemployment reports, where the payroll survey number came in below consensus at 142k. In addition, last month's result was revised lower from 114k to 89k. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell by only a couple of basis points leaving investors unconvinced that July's labor weakness was overstated. Given much of these labor and other growth data have continued to skew to the downside, the macro markets (like rates, currencies, and Commodities) have been trading with more concern about potential hard landing risks. Perhaps nowhere is this more obvious than with 2-year US Treasuries. As of Friday, the spread between the 2-year Treasury yields and the Fed Funds Rate matched the widest levels in the past 40 years. This pricing suggests the bond market believes the Fed is behind the curve from an easing standpoint. On Friday, the equity market started to get in sync with this view and questioned whether a 25bp cut in September would be an adequate policy response to the labor data. In the context of an equity market that is still quite rich and based on well above average earnings growth assumptions, the correction on Friday seems quite appropriate. In my view, until the bond market starts to believe the Fed is no longer behind the curve, labor data reverses course and improves materially or additional policy stimulus is introduced, it will be difficult for equity markets to trade with a more risk on tone. This means valuations are likely to remain challenged for the overall index, while the leadership remains more defensive and in line with our sector and stock recommendations. We see two ways in which the Fed can get ahead of the curve—either faster cutting than expected which is unlikely in the absence of recessionary data; or the labor data starts to improve in a convincing manner and 2-year yields rise. Given the Fed is in the blackout period until next week's FOMC meeting, and there are not any major labor data reports due for almost a month, volatility will likely remain elevated and valuations under pressure overall. This all brings our previously discussed fair value range for the S&P 500 of 5000-5400 back into view.Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the podcast, leave us a review wherever you listen, and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

This episode we discuss this week's jobs report, rate cut expectations, and the Beige Book.

US futures are pointing to a flat open today. European equity markets are trading mixed, while Asian equities showed a similarly mixed performance. Market attention today remains on the aftermath of Tuesday's major selloff, which lacked a clear catalyst but was attributed to several factors including softer macro data, systematic unwinds, and yen strength. Growth concerns are increasing, particularly following weaker-than-expected JOLTS job openings data and cautious takeaways from the Fed's Beige Book.Companies Mentioned: Nvidia, Nippon Steel, US Steel, Sandy Spring Bancorp

Market Analysis and Economic Indicators: September 4th Update In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides a market update from Palm Beach, Florida, on September 4th. The discussion covers the aftermath of a significant market drawdown driven by weak manufacturing data and a sell-off in the technology sector, particularly semiconductors. Notably, the yield curve, which had been inverted for over two years, has now become flat, raising discussions about potential economic contractions. Szytel also highlights the sectors likely to perform well in the current economic cycle, such as staples, healthcare, and energy, and notes a trend towards dividend growth in these sectors. Additional economic indicators discussed include the lower-than-expected new job openings (JOLTS report), unchanged layoffs, increased factory orders, and mixed regional economic activity from the Fed's Beige Book. Upcoming data releases, like the ADP employment number, initial jobless claims, ISM services numbers, and the nonfarm payroll number, are also anticipated. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:46 Yield Curve Dynamics 02:40 Economic Indicators and Sector Performance 03:40 Job Market and Upcoming Data Releases 05:02 Conclusion and Viewer Engagement Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Aug 7, 2024 – FS Insider speaks with Shehzad Qazi, Managing Director at China Beige Book, the leading source of proprietary data on the Chinese economy, to get their view on China, including preparations for another major trade war...

Market Rally and Economic Updates: July 16 Edition On this episode of Dividend Cafe, hosted by Brian Szytel, markets showed a positive trend across stocks and bonds, with notable index disparities. The discussion highlights a rally in small-cap stocks and changes in interest rate expectations. Key economic updates include retail sales beating expectations despite a cyber attack in the auto industry, and flat import prices for June. The episode also addresses the role of small-cap stocks in dividend and growth portfolios. Upcoming economic indicators such as housing starts, building permits, and the Federal Reserve's Beige Book are also mentioned. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:13 Stock and Bond Market Rally 00:45 Sector Performance and Market Rotation 01:25 Economic Indicators and Retail Sales 02:12 Small Caps and Portfolio Strategy 02:56 Upcoming Economic Events 03:11 Conclusion and Recap Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Eight times a year, we award regional Federal Reserve Banks with our coveted Beigie Award. While the anecdotes within the Beige Book offer us fascinating looks into the economy, to others, it can be difficult to make anything of the stories they tell. That's why we're giving out a special Beigie award today to some economists who found a way to use anecdotes to peer into our economic future.For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

The Beigie Awards are back to recognize the regional Federal Reserve Bank with the best Beige Book entry. This time, we shine a spotlight on one entry that explains how some businesses are feeling the impacts of higher for longer interest rates.Related episodes:The interest-ing world of interest rates (Apple / Spotify) The Beigie Awards: Why banks are going on a "loan diet" (Apple / Spotify) Where are interest rates going? For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy