Podcasts about peril

Zach Fortais-Gomm and Liz Campbell from Realms of Peril and Glory (actual play podcast) return to Flixwatcher remotely to review Liz's choice Mean Girls. Mean Girls is a 2004 teen comedy written by Tina Fey and directed by Mark (Freaky Friday) Waters. It stars Lindsay Lohan as newcomer Cady, a superb Rachel McAdams as Regina George the rich popular leader of The Plastics, Lacey Chabert as Gretchen Wieners and Amanda Seyfried, in her breakout role as Karen Smith, the sweet but dumb member of The Plastics. Cady arrives at High School having been homeschooled previously in “Africa” and befriends two outsiders Janis and Damien who convince her to befriend Regina and The Plastics to take revenge. Even if you haven't seen Mean Girls you will have seen the numerous GIFs and memes (93 and counting) it has spawned - ever worn pink on a Wednesday?!? It has quite possibly become the defining teen film in popular culture. Despite some aspects having aged like (according to Zach) milk - the casual racism and sexual relationships - questionable whether underage grooming by male teachers was funny even in 2004 but Mean Girls is top tier teen film.   [supsystic-tables id=245] Recommedability scores for Mean Girls were high - with fives from Liz, Zach and Helen and strong scoring across the remaining categories gives a very high overall rating of 4.28. What do you guys think? Have you seen Mean Girls? What did you think? Please let us know in the comments below! Episode #233 Crew Links Thanks to Episode #233 Crew of Zachary Fortais-Gomm (@zackfg) and Elizabeth Campbell (@LizxCampbell) from Realms of Peril and Glory Find their Websites online at https://twitter.com/OvercoatsWooden And https://twitter.com/Victoriocity‎‎ And https://twitter.com/OrphansAudio And https://twitter.com/QuidProEuro And https://www.lightandtragic.com/ Please make sure you give them some love More about Mean Girls For more info on Mean Girls, you can visit  Mean Girls IMDb page here or Mean Girls Rotten Tomatoes page here.   Final Plug! Subscribe, Share and Review us on iTunes   If you enjoyed this episode of Flixwatcher Podcast you probably know other people who will like it too! Please share it with your friends and family, review us, and join us across ALL of the Social Media links below.

This week on Hubwonk, host Joe Selvaggi talks with Pioneer Institute's Visiting Fellow in Life Sciences, Dr. Bill Smith, about his newest research paper, “An “Impending Tsunami” in Mortality from Traditional Diseases,” which sounds the alarm that the public health community’s focus on COVID-19 has caused many to avoid seeking medical attention for other illnesses. […]

This episode covers the last three films in this classic series: Baby Cart in Peril, Baby Cart in the Land of Demons and White Heaven in Hell.

This episode covers the last three films in this classic series: Baby Cart in Peril, Baby Cart in the Land of Demons and White Heaven in Hell.

More than seven million Californians live within a mile of an oil or gas well, which studies show can create silent health hazards. Now, there are efforts to put more distance between people and pollutants. NewsHour Weekend Special Correspondent Tom Casciato has the story, beginning in the small city of Arvin. This story is part of our ongoing series, Peril and Promise: The Challenge of Climate Change. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders

More than seven million Californians live within a mile of an oil or gas well, which studies show can create silent health hazards. Now, there are efforts to put more distance between people and pollutants. NewsHour Weekend Special Correspondent Tom Casciato has the story, beginning in the small city of Arvin. This story is part of our ongoing series, Peril and Promise: The Challenge of Climate Change. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders

Gab Marcotti and Julien Laurens take a deep dive into European qualifying for the 2022 World Cup, with Italy joining Portugal and Cristiano Ronaldo in the playoffs to fight for a ticket to Qatar. There's also a look at what went down in the North and South Americans qualifiers, and as always, a wrap of the biggest stories in the footballing world in quick hits!

Robert Costa, national reporter for the Washington Post and co-author of the New York Times Best Selling book Peril with Bob Woodward, joins us today on the program! Adam and Robert discuss their time as colleagues at the Bucks County Courier Times, being a part of The Cambridge Union, the 2020 Election, the differences between Richard Nixon and Donald Trump, and the seriousness of the January 6th insurrection at the Capitol. All of this, plus the story about how Robert got John Mayer to play at his senior prom AND the rundown on the Four Seasons Total Landscaping debacle, today on Foundation Radio! Special thanks to The Dugout - customized and vintage apparel. Use promo code FOUNDATION at checkout and receive 15% off of your entire order! Don't forget to follow them on Instagram. Special thanks to 10th Ward Barbershop - Proudly serving the historic 10th Ward in Lawrenceville and surrounding areas, 10th Ward Barbershop is a full service barbershop offering quality haircuts, beard trims, and hot shaves. Schedule your appointment with "The Fiend" Bray Wyatt and Corey Graves' favorite barbershop today! Follow the show on Twitter - @fndradiopod Adam's Twitter - @thisisgoober Advertising requests can be sent to adam@foundationradio.net. Hosted by Adam Barnard Executive Voice: Sam Krepps Executive Producers: Adam Barnard and Sam Krepps Special thanks to Greg Mead, Joe Keane, Geoff Quinn, and Dr. Ruth Almy Intro music: "Ugly" by Dumb Ugly Outro music: "Rug Burn" by Dumb Ugly Additional music: Enrichment --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/foundationradio/support

Washington Post Reporter Robert Costa, co-author of "Peril", sits down with Michael Smerconish. This conversation was recorded in front of a live audience at the Philadelphia Free Library on Friday, 12 November, 2021, after former Trump advisor Steve Bannon was indicted as part of the January 6th investigation, and aired on radio on 15 November 2021.

The ruling party got a pasting at the polls, owing in part to a reeling economy. We ask what the opposition's gains mean for the country. The practice of assisted dying is being enshrined in law the world over; we examine the ethical dimensions of its spread. And why electric vehicles failed to keep their market dominance a century ago.For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

The ruling party got a pasting at the polls, owing in part to a reeling economy. We ask what the opposition's gains mean for the country. The practice of assisted dying is being enshrined in law the world over; we examine the ethical dimensions of its spread. And why electric vehicles failed to keep their market dominance a century ago.For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

The 2020 Presidential election was one of the most tumultuous in American history, and while Joe Biden's victory over Donald Trump is settled, Trump's refusal to accept defeat has had implications that transcend his time in the oval office. In this episode, Bob and Ben speak with Robert Costa, whose new book Peril draws on his and co-author Bob Woodward's extensive investigation of the Biden and Trump campaigns and Trump's handling of executive power during his time in office. Robert explains how he finds and vets sources, his method of “deep background” interviews, and how he maintains journalistic disinterest in the face of intense partisan conflict. He also discusses what he learned about Trump and Biden as candidates and individuals and why he believes that the peril that characterized the Trump-Biden transition remains a source of concern more than a year after the 2020 election. Robert Costa is a national political reporter at The Washington Post and political analyst for NBC News and MSNBC. You can follow him on twitter at @CostaReports. If you enjoyed this conversation, check out our previous conversation with Robert in RTN #130 Sources, Methods & Music w/ Robert Costa.   This episode was edited by Gary Fletcher.

Ellis Wachs Endowed Lecture In conversation with Michael Smerconish A national political reporter at The Washington Post, Bucks County's own Robert Costa has earned a wide readership and praise from fellow journalists for his deeply sourced and well-founded reporting. He previously wrote for National Review, was the moderator and managing editor for PBS's Washington Week, and served as a political analyst for NBC News and MSNBC. Co-authored with investigative journalist and bestselling writer Bob Woodward, Peril utilizes hundreds of interviews and thousands of documents to delve into the difficult transfer of power from the Trump administration to the Biden presidency and the resulting crisis for U.S. democracy. Michael A. Smerconish is the host of The Michael Smerconish Program on SiriusXM POTUS Channel 124, the host of CNN's Smerconish on Saturday mornings, a Sunday Philadelphia Inquirer columnist, and a New York Times bestselling author. (recorded 11/12/2021)

For 16 years, Chen Nianxi endured working in mines across China. Writing poetry was his only solace. Read the article by Sang Qiu: https://www.sixthtone.com/news/1008862/a-miners-verse-through-peril-and-pain%2C-just-words-remain Narrated by Anthony Tao. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

If you listen to the left and the neoconservatives, our "democracy" is being threatened by Republicans, or more importantly Donald Trump. Is this true? And is the United States a "democracy"? A recently published public letter on the fragility of our "democracy" by some of these nincompoops was too funny to overlook. https://mcclanahanacademy.com https://brionmcclanahan.com/support http://learntruehistory.com --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/brion-mcclanahan/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/brion-mcclanahan/support

The Personal Information Protection Law gives authorities the power to impose huge fines and blacklist companies. But the biggest impact may be felt outside the country.

Season 12, Episode 1: Crimson Vow Set Review, Part 1   **** Like our content? Support us on Patreon and join our brewing community! **** Decklists for this episode can be viewed at FaithlessBrewing.com ****   Timestamps [3:47] Heuristics for Card Evaluation [10:36] Voldaren Estate [14:56] Concealing Curtains // Revealing Eye [18:44] Dig Up [24:06] Edgar's Awakening [27:36] Voice of the Blessed [31:39] Dorothea, Vengeful Victim // Dorothea's Retribution [35:51] Thalia, Guardian of Thraben [39:54] Graf Reaver [44:24] Cemetery Prowler [46:56] Wandering Mind [53:57] Headless Rider [58:27] Inspired Idea [1:03:04] Dominating Vampire [1:05:59] Fell Stinger [1:09:07] Geistlight Snare [1:13:11] Path of Peril [1:15:10] Torens, Fist of Angels [1:19:02] Chandra, Dressed to Kill [1:24:10] Alchemist's Gambit [1:28:06] Sorin, the Mirthless [1:32:20] Bloodvial Purveyor [1:36:37] Henrika Domnathi // Henrika, Infernal Seer [1:39:15] Scattered Thoughts [1:42:19] Olivia, Crimson Bride [1:46:19] Cultivator Colossus [1:51:50] Dollhouse of Horrors [1:58:46] Old Rutsein

Season 12, Episode 1: Crimson Vow Set Review, Part 1   **** Like our content? Support us on Patreon and join our brewing community! **** Decklists for this episode can be viewed at FaithlessBrewing.com ****   Timestamps [3:47] Heuristics for Card Evaluation [10:36] Voldaren Estate [14:56] Concealing Curtains // Revealing Eye [18:44] Dig Up [24:06] Edgar's Awakening [27:36] Voice of the Blessed [31:39] Dorothea, Vengeful Victim // Dorothea's Retribution [35:51] Thalia, Guardian of Thraben [39:54] Graf Reaver [44:24] Cemetery Prowler [46:56] Wandering Mind [53:57] Headless Rider [58:27] Inspired Idea [1:03:04] Dominating Vampire [1:05:59] Fell Stinger [1:09:07] Geistlight Snare [1:13:11] Path of Peril [1:15:10] Torens, Fist of Angels [1:19:02] Chandra, Dressed to Kill [1:24:10] Alchemist's Gambit [1:28:06] Sorin, the Mirthless [1:32:20] Bloodvial Purveyor [1:36:37] Henrika Domnathi // Henrika, Infernal Seer [1:39:15] Scattered Thoughts [1:42:19] Olivia, Crimson Bride [1:46:19] Cultivator Colossus [1:51:50] Dollhouse of Horrors [1:58:46] Old Rutsein

Season 12, Episode 1: Crimson Vow Set Review, Part 1   **** Like our content? Support us on Patreon and join our brewing community! **** Decklists for this episode can be viewed at FaithlessBrewing.com ****   Timestamps [3:47] Heuristics for Card Evaluation [10:36] Voldaren Estate [14:56] Concealing Curtains // Revealing Eye [18:44] Dig Up [24:06] Edgar's Awakening [27:36] Voice of the Blessed [31:39] Dorothea, Vengeful Victim // Dorothea's Retribution [35:51] Thalia, Guardian of Thraben [39:54] Graf Reaver [44:24] Cemetery Prowler [46:56] Wandering Mind [53:57] Headless Rider [58:27] Inspired Idea [1:03:04] Dominating Vampire [1:05:59] Fell Stinger [1:09:07] Geistlight Snare [1:13:11] Path of Peril [1:15:10] Torens, Fist of Angels [1:19:02] Chandra, Dressed to Kill [1:24:10] Alchemist's Gambit [1:28:06] Sorin, the Mirthless [1:32:20] Bloodvial Purveyor [1:36:37] Henrika Domnathi // Henrika, Infernal Seer [1:39:15] Scattered Thoughts [1:42:19] Olivia, Crimson Bride [1:46:19] Cultivator Colossus [1:51:50] Dollhouse of Horrors [1:58:46] Old Rutsein

Acclaimed journalists Bob Woodward and Robert Costa talk about the candid moment when President Donald Trump privately admitted that he had lost the 2020 election, how Rudy Giuliani convinced him to contest the results, and why Senate leaders in Trump's own party decided that Trump's case had zero merit.  They reveal the other former Vice-President who convinced Mike Pence to certify the 2020 election for Biden, and the brief moment when Pence actually considered invoking the 25th Amendment to remove Trump from office.  They discuss the two times when General Mark Milley had to call his Chinese counterpart to assure him that Trump wasn't about to launch an imminent attack on China.  Plus they weigh on whether Trump will run in 2024, finding the “operational commander” behind the January 6 attack on the Capitol, and a crash-course in the Bob Woodward school of journalism. Order Bob Woodward and Robert Costa's new book Peril on Amazon, Audible, or wherever books are sold.  Follow them on Twitter at @realBobWoodward and @costareports.  Subscribe to Kickass News on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, and keep with us at www.kickassnews.com or on Twitter at @KickassNewsPod.  Kickass News is part of the Airwave Media podcast network.  Visit Airwave at www.airwavemedia.com or on Apple Podcasts to discover our other excellent podcasts like Good Job Brain, Big Picture Science, Legends of the Old West, Investing for Beginners, Into the Impossible, and other great podcasts.

Robert Costa is a national political reporter for the Washington Post, and co-author with Bob Woodward of the new book "Peril." This book has made a lot of news. It is a compelling, authoritative first draft of history that covers the period leading up to the 2020 election, and into this year. The authors write that "the transition from President Donald J. Trump to President Joseph R. Biden Jr. stands as one of the most dangerous periods in American history."The details are chilling. And in this conversation with Costa, we discuss what he would have told himself 10 years ago about covering Trump, how the press should cover Trump now, and politics in general, how he and Woodward reveal the ways that Trump's lies about the election were debunked even by some of his closest allies, and where the GOP and the country are headed in the years ahead. Looming over the entire conversation is the question I ask him at the end: can American democracy survive? Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/thelonggame. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

揭發「水門案」的華盛頓郵報知名記者伍華德，在其新書「Peril」（危急）披露，美國參謀首長聯席會議主席密利繞過時任總統川普，兩度與中共中央軍委聯合參謀部參謀長李作成密電。第一次密電是在去年十月卅日，當時距美大選只剩四天。第二次是在今年一月八日，也就是川普支持者闖入國會山莊後第二天。兩次交涉中，密利不僅向李作成確認美軍沒有「向中國開戰」意圖，還稱如要動武，「一定提前通知中方」。 密利與李作成兩次密電，出發點是為了消除美中可能的衝突引爆點，但時間上和美台關係直接相關，包括今年一月美國駐聯合國大使克拉夫特原定訪台行程臨時取消，究竟當時台灣是被蒙在鼓裡，還是政府都有掌握卻向大眾說謊？請聽精彩的訪談。 協會所有版權，非經同意不得重製，違反必究。 ● 信民協會官方網站：www.taipeishinmin.com

Jurors in the Unite The Right Charlottesville Trial are Being Asked if They Listen To My Show - REALLY!? Thom speaks with Robert Costa, author of Peril: The Political War Against Biden. Investigative Journalist Greg Palast reports on the Donziger case. Chairman Adam Schiff joins Thom Hartmann to discuss the Equal Health Care For All Act and Trump's January 6th riot that almost ended democracy as we know it. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Robert Costa's book 'Peril,' which he co-wrote with Bob Woodward, goes inside Trump's "war room" on the eve of the Jan. 6 insurrection. Costa reports on Trump's calls to his team, the tension between Pence and the president, and the ongoing threat to our democracy. The strategy of calling for an alternate slate of electors didn't work in January, but next election it might. "Imagine if in January 2025 Republicans are much more organized and they have alternate slates of electors ready in many states. What happens then?"

The novel Pyramids of Peril for the Red Panda completes with chapters 30 and 31! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

** Content Warning at Bottom of Show Notes** NO ADS & MORE | TRANSCRIPT | MERCH | SOCIALS | DISCORD The clues are coming together faster than ever as a picture of just what is happening in this city forms for our heroes. Will they be able to put a stop to these villainous machinations in time? Find out in this episode of Realms of Peril & Glory! GM: Zachary Fortais-Gomm NPC Voices & Music: James Barbarossa Isadora: Maddy Searle Zongroff: Elizabeth Campbell Maerydyth: L C Girling Torbrennan: Pip Gladwin Voice Edit: Kathryn Stanley System: 13th Age Content Warnings: Intense Interpersonal Strain Fantasy Threat and Violence Depictions of grief Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today's guests: Senator Joni Ernst from Iowa. Senator Tom Cotton from Arkansas. Admiral James Stavridis, Operating Director, The Carlyle Group. Robert Costa, co-author of “Peril”. David Drucker, senior correspondent, Washington Examiner. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode: I chop it up with Tony Schultz. We discuss how the republican party is making it harder and harder to vote with restrictive voting laws assed in Texas and Georgia. I am VERY excited to have listeners from 49 countries !!! Thank you ..... If you would like to communicate via social media about one of my podcasts, or about an issue you would like to see me cover you can reach out to me via Instagram @andanotherthingwithdave https://www.instagram.com/andanotherthingwithdave/ You can also follow and tune into my live shows on Stereo here - www.stereo.com/andanotherthing .......thanks for listening Dave SHOUT OUT TO MY LISTENERS ABROAD !!! India - 8% of my listeners The UK 5% Canada 5% Check Republic 1% Netherlands 1% Thailand 1% and just under 1% from the following countries (but I have faith in you...LOL) Australia, Ireland, Sweden, Germany, Russia, Pakistan, Indonesia, New Zealand, Norway Denmark Bangladesh, Romania, Nepal, Portugal, Brazil, Austria, Bahrein, France, Greece, Mexico, Nigeria, Finland, Spain, Israel, South Africa, Lebanon, Italy, Ghana, Belgium, Poland, Singapore, Cayman Islands, Hungary, Sri Lanka, Somalia, Chile, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and the Philippines. Thank you all so much. Please share if you dig it --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/andanotherthingwithdave/message

Bill Haslam served two terms as the 49th governor of Tennessee (2011-2019) and as mayor of Knoxville (2003-2011). Prior to that, he spent a career in the corporate world, leading at a senior level in a number of businesses. In this episode, he joined Matthew Hall and Andrea McDaniel Smith to discuss his recent book, Faithful Presence: The Promise and Peril of Faith in the Public Square, and to reflect on some important principles for leaders in any context.  Links from this episode:Governor Bill HaslamFaithful Presence: The Promise and Peril of Faith in the Public Square (Bill Haslam)@BillHaslam (Twitter)Review Leading Forward in Apple Podcasts and let us know what you think of the show.Keep up with the show on social media: Twitter // Facebook // Instagram

The novel Pyramids of Peril for the Red Panda continues with chapter 29! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

EP278 - Adobe Holiday E-Commerce Forecast with Taylor Schreiner In Episode 277 we covered some of the early overall holiday sales forecasts, and the issues likely to impact this holiday season. In this episdoe we get the very first look at Adobe 2021 Holiday Shopping Forecast. This is a deep dive on digital shopping behaviors based on Adobe Analytics, which analyzes 1 trillion visits to retail sites and over 100 million SKUs. We break it all down with Taylor Schreiner, Director of Adobe Digital Insights. Episode 278 of the Jason & Scot show was recorded on Thursday. October 14th, 2021. http://jasonandscot.com Join your hosts Jason "Retailgeek" Goldberg, Chief Commerce Strategy Officer at Publicis, and Scot Wingo, CEO of GetSpiffy and Co-Founder of ChannelAdvisor as they discuss the latest news and trends in the world of e-commerce and digital shopper marketing. Transcript Jason: [0:24] Welcome to the Jason and Scot show this episode is being recorded on Thursday October 14 2021 I'm your host Jason retailgeek Goldberg and as usual I'm here with your co-hosts Scot Wingo. Scot: [0:38] Hey Jason and welcome back Jason Scott show listeners we are smack in the middle of October and for all of our retail listeners you know what that means it is go time for Holiday 21 way back in episode 277 last week we talked about the supply chain challenges I like to call that Supply pain and we shared the e-commerce retail forecast from Salesforce Deloitte and beIN but there was one notable missing forecast from that list and that's one of our favorites the Adobe forecast well in this episode we're going to fix that hole in the universe we're going to fill it and Adobe is releasing their holiday forecast here on the 20th which is when we'll be releasing this podcast and we are really excited to have with us today Taylor Schreiner he is the director of Adobe Digital insights and fun fact this is adobe's fifth time on the show Welcome Back Taylor. Taylor: [1:34] Thanks God do we get a free sandwich. Scot: [1:37] Sure if we were there together we would have a sandwich but we'll we'll do a virtual high five instead how about that. Jason: [1:44] Just to warn you Scott's character is like grilled into the sandwich so some people find that. Taylor: [1:49] Oh no I'll close my eyes this could thank you Scott thank you Jason it's great to be here we'd love talking to you guys and we love listening to you guys so it's a fun conversation to have. Jason: [2:03] We are thrilled to have you Taylor and I do want to Dive Right In to your methodology and then your data but before we do real briefly remind. Um the audience what your role is at at Adobe to sort of frame frame where your perspective is coming from. Taylor: [2:20] Sure so I run a group called Adobe Digital insights it's got mentioned and we are charged with, using aggregated and anonymized adopted in data to. Help the industry retail and other Industries as well understand the major trends that we see in the data that comes through Adobe analytics or adobe Commerce or any of the other. I could get it to Commerce and experience cloud services that we have. So so our job is to tell stories to make it take all that huge area did it and tell stories that help people understand their world. Jason: [2:59] That's awesome and so there's a bunch of different components of the the Adobe marketing cloud in the do Adobe Commerce Cloud but. Sort of Marque things Adobe analytics which a long time ago too many of us that are super old was Adobe was omniture, is a is a key component of the analytics suite and Magento is a key component of the marketing cloud and so you you get to see, an awful lot of, Commerce transactions across the web via those two products and the rest of the the Adobe stack and you get to use that anonymized data to sort of formulate this holiday forecasting this case is do I have that right. Taylor: [3:41] Absolutely and I really appreciate you calling me super old. Jason: [3:44] I didn't say you called it I'm not sure I said I. Taylor: [3:47] I remember I remember the under two days I do but yes. Jason: [3:50] I'm pretty sure there's like the URL for the analytics dashboard still says all mature. Taylor: [3:54] I think sometimes it does yeah now it's absolutely right face. Jason: [3:58] And then one important distinction some of the. Holiday forecast that Scott mentioned in the intro are actually overall retail forecast and one of the things that that is unique your forecast is slightly more focused you're focused on digital Commerce do I have that right. Taylor: [4:16] That's right we have we focused exclusively on digital Commerce and we're looking what makes us unique is that we are looking across, over a trillion interactions with retailers across thousands of retailers across over a hundred million skus with a boatload of AI behind that sort of categorizing and understanding it but you know the core of it I think for your listeners is weird. The where the group is actually looking at what people are buying in what quantity and what they're actually paying for it. It's ridiculous prices we're not doing surveys were actually looking at the the behaviors that we can observe a huge scale and using that to do both the reporting in this case are forecasting of the holiday season. Jason: [4:56] Yeah and that's super exciting to me because that I frequently rail against the value of stated preference surveys in our industry and and what we're talking about today is observed preferences lies actual data and consumer behavior that you're watching. Taylor: [5:11] Absolutely and it's gonna be fascinating. Jason: [5:13] Yeah so just two other minor precursors and we'll jump in because there is so much variability out there when you say holiday what date range are you talking about. Taylor: [5:22] Good point right now we're talking about the first of November till the end of the year although arguably make it into it you know some of the stuff is starting to creep into October 2 but when we talk about numbers were talking about November 1 to December 31. Jason: [5:34] Perfect we'll come back to that but yeah I think I think the the shoulders of that season are going to be more interesting than ever and then when you say, retail. Like approximately like what is in retail to you I could go US Department of Commerce restaurants and gas stations are in there like do you guys have a standard definition of retail just to kind of frame what we're talking about. Taylor: [5:56] We generally look at a thing where the transaction the Fulfillment are fully executed online we exclude from this things like travel which is a different industry or anything where it's simply a payment system online but you know any Commerce where you're doing your shopping, your your payment and your fulfillment online generally falls into into our space so not restaurants are delivery services but but the goods that you would normally associate with with retail shopping outside of that. Jason: [6:27] Awesome and so digital grocery than would be in there. Taylor: [6:29] Yes he's a digital grocery appliances apparel all that kind of thing. Jason: [6:34] Perfect okay well I think that's enough Preamble and we've done enough teasing what's what's the Top Line are we all going to get our bonuses this year or is it going to be bleak. Taylor: [6:43] It's your our data showing a good year or days showing a year where the story is really consumers want to shop consumers wanted to go buy online but it's going to be really different year for retailers and for consumers because of the supply pain that Scott was referring to earlier they're going to see a lot more out of stock they're going to see a lot, you know a lot higher prices frankly and that's I think it'll hold us back from having a incredible year. Now just keep in mind I'm talking about a 207 billion dollar, season which you know we don't have a great aggregate retail forecast that we based off right now but that's roughly $1 and for of all of all retailgeek. As far as we can see maybe a little more than that. And it's 10 percent up from last year which you know in the long run of historical growth rates is a little bit low but we're getting off of a 33% jump the year before so if you kind of look all the way back to 2019 we're still. Accelerated from where you would have expected us to be if you've been projecting from a prepaid nemec stance so it kind of depends on where you're looking at it from. But however you look at it it's going to be a big year. Jason: [7:58] Got it so in my mind I sort of think of it traditionally year of e-commerce growth for Holiday being kind of like pre-pandemic. We were kind of running in this like 10 to 15% a year sort of range, um and all of retail would be growing at like four percent a year so then last year the pandemic forces everyone online we have this monster year 33 percent and then this year you're looking for you're looking at 10% on top of last year's monster year. Taylor: [8:27] That's right that's right still going to grow it's still good grow significantly it's still good grow you know maybe as you stay at the kind of lower bound of what we used to see but it's a real real growth rate now they'll be some differences in what grows and how it grows you can get into that but it's going to be a good year. Jason: [8:44] And one of the thing that's always funny to me is I guarantee you when the the sort of superficial press get ahold of your forecast they're all going to write the story about how e-commerce has is slowing way down. Taylor: [8:58] Right yeah nobody wants to talk about two year growth rate or you know try and digest everything that's happened over over the course of the pandemic and fine and but I know, when you step back even a little bit e-commerce has transformed over the past 20 24 months I think the bigger story is people are shopping for their groceries people are shopping for their Furniture you know folks out here in Berkeley or buying compost online, the way that people engage with e-commerce has radically transformed over the course of the pandemic and that's here to stay and that's this the basis of that growth and that you know that's the part that really has accelerated over the course of cobit so if you want to look at a particular growth rate and say it's slowing down, fair enough, but I don't think for instance you know I want to make predictions in 223 but I don't think this 10 percent growth rate in 22 is telling you that 23 is going to be slow I think it's more of a balancing act between. 2020 and 2021. Jason: [9:58] And again like this still means e-commerce is almost certainly growing faster than brick and mortar. Filming the whole industry is still growing in a very disruptive year I do want to like maybe double-click on covid just for a second because this was the big open question when we were all living through, the first half of the pandemic was sure. Everybody's turning to e-commerce people don't want to go to the stores there's health and safety issues they're all they're all these open things so not surprising that it drove more people online a big question at that time was. Is this just an acceleration of a trend and this is going to be the new normal or will those people all be desperate to go back to the store and resume and back to the mall and kind of resume their pre-pandemic. Shopping behaviors and. My read of your data says no no we're locking in all those changes that happened last year and then we're we're growing at a pretty healthy clip from there is that a fair way to be thinking about it or am I wrong headed as got usually points out. Taylor: [11:02] No in this particular case you happen to be right the that's absolutely true if you look at the aggregate growth I think it tells exactly that story that it, it is we're banking all the gains that you got through covid and there were growing on top of that, I think another stat I think really tells the story is our buy online pick up curbside. Data which you know followed that trajectory you talked about Jason, getting up there as we got into the pandemic and retailers adjusted we have a we have a set of retailers we look at the median portion of their online purchase online orders that are fulfilled curbside and that ramped right up last year with all of its fulfillment challenges ranked right up right before Christmas you about 25% we thought that's a that's a high peak right we got into April of this year and it gone right back up to 25% people are still going and pick you up curbside that's a habit that they're in their shopping online and fulfilling next to the store and we expect that to hit a whole new record frankly as we go into this year so it's a it's a habit that people have gotten into and they're not letting go of. Jason: [12:10] Wow and if this is from memory but I want to say last year you guys said that well well e-commerce grew at 33% the dopest segments are the curbside pickup segment grew way faster than that it was like a hundred and ninety-five percent. Taylor: [12:25] Yeah I don't have enough time I have like it's something like that it was it was significant and this year's going to be. Going to be crazy and you know anecdotally you know there are a number of stores where I think hey I really like this I'm not going to set foot in number of those I'll shop with them but I'm against it putting them again for a while if I don't have to this is great for me. Jason: [12:47] Yeah you know it's maybe only partly analogous but I talked to a lot of Quick Serve restaurants. And you know they have the same thing right they sold they sold meals but it was all off Prem consumption and you know the restaurants that have the biggest intrinsic Advantage were ones with drug through. And I've talked to an awful lot of restaurant tours that are like if I could wave a magic wand and make my dining room go away and have a more robust drive through. I would do it because that's the customer that that appears to be the long-term customer preference. Taylor: [13:19] Yeah I think and I think a lot of retailers who have got good real estate or obviously having to rethink how much of this is a you know distribution center and how much of this is a shopping experience and you know it's gonna be different than it was two years ago for sure. Jason: [13:34] And then I guess the one other sort of observational thing I've noted is. Yeah so you know our store is going to get people to walk back in the store to pick up those digital orders are they going to continue to pick them up at curbside and you know one who knows but one clue. Um is pre-pandemic Walmart had these in storage lockers these robotic lockers this cool Tower and all their stores. Um and they d installed all of those towers and they're now doing a national remodel with a much more robust, curbside picking lot parking lot right so it seems very clear and Walmart's case that they're saying hey the. You know this isn't just a reaction of the pandemic this is a you know a permanent infrastructure change we're making two. To make to eliminate in-store pickup and make curbside pickup more. Taylor: [14:24] I think that's right I think that is likely the trend I think you know it there's a lot. A lot of the hassle of of shopping that you're removing with shopping online and pick you up at the store is, is that last not mile I mean the last you know a hundred feet hundred yards of going in there and getting in the inline or whatever if you can just sit with your app and check your email with some well so they put stuff in the trunk that's a lot of a lot of value add there so I would expect that to be continue to be the trend. Scot: [14:52] Bullets as I introduced I'm kind of keenly aware or following the supply chain stuff and I noticed in the front of your presentation one of the bullets is unprecedented out of stock levels if you guys can you share like you know what you think that's going to be and is there any way to put a number on that like you're numb your forecast would have been you know twice as big if it wasn't for this or you just guys are just flagging it as this adds risk to the holiday. Taylor: [15:21] It's a fair question something we think a lot about I mean it's really hard to characterize and we probably just need more more. Time with the with the day I met don't make time to think about it but time series data to really understand how out of stock. Alters people shopping behaviors whether they abandon or whether they take some to which they redirect themselves. I will tell you is that you're going into if you look at sort of 2019 isn't as the normal it was growing when people were getting more out of stock items more of stock hits over time maybe you know creeping up toward fifty or a hundred percent more even over the course of the year and the pandemic hits and people are five times more likely basically four and a half to five times more likely to get an out of stock message and that's today that's not necessarily going to Holiday where things could get more challenging. So that could go up where we see it often isn't most often is in apparel so again you know I think it's going to affect different categories differently out of socks in the Peril can be if you're looking for a particular stereo pair of sneakers or particular you know this is the 20th so what made you I was buying for my wife but something you know a vest or something right that is her birthday is on the 23rd so I want to tell her what's what I was shopping for, anyway the you know you might not get that. Scot: [16:46] Is your wife a listener. Taylor: [16:48] I really doubt it. But yeah you might get redirected to something else whereas in electronics for instance we see you know a lot of chips shortages but. But price is a bigger factor in some of that marketing and decision making and so you're able to see apparel prices creep up a little bit but a lot about a stock you see for instance Electronics prices creep up a lot from what we would have expected but that that has reduced the out-of-stock challenges that they faced. Scot: [17:24] So so it's hard to put a quantity quantify on at this point maybe you think after the holiday you guys will be able to. Taylor: [17:31] I think it'll be easy yeah I mean you know we have a clear estimate of what things might have looked like before I think after the holiday talk to us in January we can we will have a better sense of how this played out this holiday season one of the challenges that I think is out there is it's not clear yet how much out of stock consumers are really going to see this season, based on you know when retailers are running promotions how they're stocking us those promotions how they're managing their their portfolio of goods so. We'll have to see but it's something that yeah had Beyond in January we'll talk about. Scot: [18:09] Okay it's going to be more of a chess game because the retailer they have the only information about what they have and what they can expect and then matching that to the promotional calendar this year is going to be interesting and playing a little game of chicken with the consumer to because consumers should be reading about this a lot so it's going to be fascinating to watch watch how that plays out. Taylor: [18:29] Yeah I've been recommending to Consumers frankly to make two lists, say look you got one list of things where I know I want this for the holidays and you got to buy it early because you might worry about your your out-of-stock situation and then another set of goods were you think hey you know if this doesn't come through or if I don't get specifically the version of this that I want yeah if I don't get this TV but I get a different brand TV I'm okay and then those things you can really shop for on the big major sailed is but it's you know. It's going to be it's a lot of a lot of work for the retailers to figure out how this game is going to play out and frankly it's gonna be a lot of work for consumers to figure out how they're going to address it. Jason: [19:10] I guess one of the ways I think about this it's important to remember that out of stock does not automatically mean wah sales like a lot of times there's a. Customers first choice but the they'll make on the Fly substitutions are switches when they discover some things out of stock so we still capture that. That's a land it seems like all like you know all the people forecasting retail sales for this holiday are pretty robust numbers you're coming in with a pretty robust number, everyone saying we're not going to find, consumers first choice of goods so the sort of logical conclusion here is the consumers in a spending mood when I go to the store to get baby grow goo for Scott for Christmas and it's out. Um Scott's going to have to settle for some cool dune toy that I find. Taylor: [19:58] Hey didn't really cool the The Arc right and I think maybe the way to answer Scott's question directly is you know. In the face of this rapidly increasing out of stock, we're seeing at least you know up to the 5x of what we saw in 2018 we have still seen really impressive growth this year especially we're 2019 so so far whatever headwind it is is not. Super significant now I think you know the experiment that will be able to look at is if this starts to spike as we go into the holiday season if retailers have a hard time matching their inventory with with consumer demand then that might have a bigger impact in the they'll be saying we can look at more closely. Jason: [20:42] So you alluded to some of the categories and I have a feeling that. Um that both out of stocks and the impact of out of stocks could play out very differently in different categories right like if someone goes to the grocery store and we're out there out of your preferred brand of toilet paper. You're probably going to switch to another toilet paper but if there's a particular luxury fashion item or a particular toy that little Johnny is asking for for Christmas. Um you might be more inclined to hunt her harder for that product or defer that purchase and get it later or something like that right is does that make sense. Taylor: [21:16] Absolutely yeah and you know grocery out of stocks are not not at all infrequent with your particular Goods at a particular moment and then apparel is something I don't know about the rest of you but I've gotten. Pretty acclimated to the notion that I'm not necessarily going to be able to find the size and the color I'm looking for on the first try that it's quite quite possible I have to hunt around but you know there's a lot there a lot of style choices that go into that whereas I think you know if you're looking for a you know something specific as you say you know for particular. Particular toy your gift you might have to hunt them different retailers to go find it but you might be willing to do that exactly well. Jason: [21:58] So when you roll it out all that up are there any categories in your mind and end up being clear winners or losers for holiday. Taylor: [22:06] Well you know I think the it's it's a good question the the. [22:17] Clearly where we've seen growth is where we've seen the clearest growth in the holiday and in e-commerce in general has been in the things that are not holiday specifics of groceries apparel those kinds of things have really grown and we continue to see them grow so in some sense they are the Commerce winners because they've really absorbed the, I think what's going to be very successful early on are going to be these deals that get spread out around electronics and other gifts in an apparel we expect to see those went out very well I've got my eye though on non physical Goods things like downloadable games and things like that that happen the mic pop up toward the Christmas season is people who are looking to deliver something that is great experience especially for kids that isn't going to be constrained by shipping challenges and then. [23:18] I don't know where to put my bets this year because I've got my eye both on the demand that I see in a lot of things like gaming consoles that are looking great but also on you know there's a big question mark over over Supply challenges and how that will play out for them so I would be cautious in spread my bets but but electron you know the traditional gift areas are going to do really well and apparel seems to be continuing to take off very strongly in what we've seen so far. Jason: [23:48] So you the non-physical thing is super interesting ordinarily and holiday like as you get closer to the end of the year and you kind of hit shipping cut-offs and last year we talked about a lot about ship again I didn't, and you know bottleneck sit ups and FedEx and all of that you know retailers pivot to trying to sell. Intangible products pretty hard right and most notably gift cards so I imagine that with the the inventory situations this year that that's going to be more prominent than ever that you know if you can't find the, the toy you really want you know it might be an IOU you're getting, it holiday in the hopes of getting it in January or February but there is a new kind of intangible that kind of didn't exist last year and is having a little bit of moment and I have a feeling Scott's way more into it than I am but why. Does all do all of these out of stocks kind of play into the the the. In Ft kind of hate this year do you think that we could start to see some of them on the holiday wish list. Taylor: [24:52] I think I think in a few still have a ways to bleed into you know consumer experiences and consumer expectations that I see a lot of reading and not a lot of a lot of buying but if people can figure out how if retailers can figure out how to make. You're kind of cross that Chasm and figure out how to make it a real consumer experience and yeah I think there's a lot of opportunity there for that and you know and speaking of things that are not necessarily tangible and expire or unique you know we don't forecast travel into our into our data but we do look at travel and right now you know prices for. Plane tickets are about 13 percent less than they were on average in 2019 so you know depending on how. Vaccinations and mask mandates and travel restrictions all play out there may be a push if knock wood covid gets better for more experiential, experience driven options for people to give as gifts to. Scot: [25:49] One of the things that I've been really intrigued by and this is because some of the companies have gone public but this buy now pay later and I saw you called it out and I've seen a lot of the Wall Street analyst as a for my generation I look at it I'm kind of like, you know why don't I just put that on the credit card what's interesting is I've seen this whole generational thing where Millennials and gen Z years they're looking at it as they associate the credit around the item they don't like kind of having open credit and they want it to be around a specific item what what are you guys seeing as it relates to the be npl. Taylor: [26:25] We love new acronyms right be in PL no I have exactly the same experience you just got where I think exactly what you do this but we had two sources on this one is we looked at the actual data that we see flowing through our systems and we saw skyrocketing last year of buy now pay later Behavior we saw about 44 percent growth over the course of the year, weeks that slowed a little bit in percentage terms as we went through this year but you know as we get back into the holiday season I have every reason to expect that to re-accelerate, and you saw quite the distribution two of you know sources of this is some retailers got into this business a lot of financial institutions got certain play in this area so there's a lot more more options we saw those we saw the minimums for buy now pay later come down from those institutions and simultaneously we actually saw consumers spend more or put put bigger purchases on buy now pay later, and when we surveyed about it we, we saw what you were alluding to Scott this is a generational difference in the way that people manage and even think about what credit really is and was striking to me is that the top, category that folks told us that they were interested in using buy now pay later for was was clothing that they were making those kind of purchases and and Spring Meadow over time because they were, lumpy in their year and then they were spreading it out across their income without affecting their credit. [27:52] Electronics was obviously on that that set to you going to buy your television as televisions get bigger and more expensive or cheaper but bigger but what was the. [28:02] Third category that I thought was fascinating was groceries. And not again we dug under that that wasn't just people it wasn't generally people saying look I've got a week's worth of groceries and I spread the payments out over four weeks that's hard to make sense of but but more you know I'm throwing a party or having an event and I have a spike in my grocery budget no one at this I want to smooth it so it is a and then they were everyone was managing it sort of separately from this notion of having a lump of credit card debt they had a managed versus a purchase they had to think out and pay off those are two really different categories so it is it's a really different way of thinking about credit that's manifesting in buy now pay later and it seems to continue to be growing at a significant rate. Scot: [28:49] Yeah do you think. The pitch that a lot of these so that the two big companies are there's three there's a firm karna and after by and I'm sure there's more egg even like shopify's coming out with their own and what not, their pitch to retailers is it bumps up your cart size right do you think, is this going to be a factor this holiday in our is it going to bump up the ASP you think there are still too small to be a meaningful consideration. Taylor: [29:17] You know when we when you average across the enormous event that is the holiday season I don't think we're going to see average order value is our average basket, values go up significantly more noticeably are or more to the point me off trend of what we've seen in the past that said, you know I think. If these retailers are thinking about their customer base has more granularly and they're thinking well I've got a group of folks who I can actually juice where I can do sup there their basket sizes and their purchases by offering that I think that probably is true and, you know as with these kind of generational shifts it may make a difference in the longer term as you change consumer buying habits it may open up a door for that generation is incomes increase and time goes by so I think probably more of a long-term play when it comes to aggregate average order values but for specific audiences for specific customer bases I think it did make a difference. Jason: [30:18] Yeah it's going to be interesting you know there's a payment method that historically has been really popular holiday that you know. Rich people that listen to e-commerce podcast don't tend to think about but it's layaway. And I like one of the interesting Trends you know Walmart which does a very robust delay way business retired their layaway this year in favor of a buy now pay later service. Taylor: [30:44] Yeah I remember the I remember the Layla way shelves. Toys R Us when I was a kid and just sitting them seeing all these items sit there waiting for people to pay for them but if you can get the same effect. And both for the consumer on their credit and for the retailer in terms of getting paid then it's certainly more enticing for the customer to actually get the item rather than wait for it. Jason: [31:10] I know for sure I do like to sad things there was kind of a fun tradition because of away away some very kind people would often go into a retail store. And pay everyone's layaway. And it was kind of this like secret Santa thing and you know it would happen every year there would be lots of these cool stories so I worry we're going to miss out on that which you know probably isn't. Isn't hugely meaningful but it said to me but the other thing that worries me a little bit about holiday I do think like based on your growth forecast like this is going to be a bunch of consumers first experience with these buy now pay later services, and I would still say there's a lot of consumer confusion because like I look at the landscape of these services. And the spectrum is very broad there are you know some kind of thinly veiled payday loan operators that are you know charging like huge interest and late fees and all these things on one end and then there's there's some like. Really generous programs that are very popular in here that don't charge interest in don't have late fees and you know is sort of a. Very low cost and so it. I'm not sure consumers are going to be Savvy enough to differentiate all of those for this holiday I know Target in particular is offering two different buy now pay later options and. Consumers are going to have to learn how to shop for those vendors now. Taylor: [32:35] I think that's absolutely right Jason it's very hard you know it's sort of an unstructured product that can have a lot of different attributes and it's not like a credit card where you we serve reduced it to something like credit limit and interest rate right with some with some bells and whistles and it's also not, it's not even something that consumers know how to frame necessarily like I certainly didn't when I got into the space what is this what are these payments mean what is the penalty if I miss the payment you know what are my other options how are we going to communicate how you get paid what information do you need has if at my credit score it's a lot to think about and it's going to you know thinking has a lot of costs especially when consumers are shopping this quickly so you know I think we'll have a reckoning Reckoning but a moment to pause and. Reflect on how this all evolved we get to the holiday season it will see some things shake out I would imagine. Jason: [33:31] Next well let's pivot to something near and dear to my heart the we alluded to up top the shape of holiday so there's two. Parts of this that are super interesting to me, ordinarily when we talk about holiday we're laser focused on these five days at the end of November the turkey fiber that I think you guys caught the Cyber five. Taylor: [33:53] Yeah they're my wake up at 3 a.m. 5 so I have I hold them in a different regard but they are. You know the story that you know when we would talk to you guys before for the pandemic would always be you know hey this the the season is growing but these big days are growing faster retailers are concentrated you're competing and concentrating their deals on those days and we're seeing retail consumers follow suit and they're expecting those deals on those days that really flipped around last year we had a massive growth last year about 30 odd percent 33 percent for the season. [34:27] But the individual days were growing in the low 20s there are growing about 10% slower then the season as a whole and we expect that again this year we expect the season to grow at about 10% expect the big days to grow about five-ish percent. To be clear they're going to break records I mean we're going to have an 11 plus billion dollar a day on Cyber Monday we're gonna you know Black Friday is going to going to inch up close to 10 billion Thanksgiving is going to be you know over five it'll, level that we used to call Young used to be Black Friday of numbers it's going to be massive but both because, retailers are spreading out the deals for supply and fulfillment reasons and because consumers have really shifted what it mean what e-commerce means in other words they've established sort of water level of shopping for things that are not holiday and promotionally driven, those percentages are harder to move than they used to be so yeah it's going to be they're going to be big days they're gonna be huge that last hour before the end of Cyber Monday we're going to see $12,000,000 move through the system in a minute so, every minute so it's going to be big but it's going to be a different pattern especially the thing from the Retailer's perspective than we've seen in the past. Jason: [35:40] Interesting and do you have a feel for like how much it like I think you hit on the 2 reasons for it like one is the lot of large numbers there already huge. Huge numbers and and you know frankly in some cases quite you just can't squeeze more Goods through the. The funnels on those days and then the other one is changing consumer patterns and and just you know more General e-commerce consumption on every other day of the month and all those other things like it, I'm assuming it's a blend of both of those but but is is this year more prominent that people are going to be holiday shopping on other days or you think we've just. Taylor: [36:18] Yeah it's hard it's a hard call I think what's unusual about this year's really the retailer side I mean you could imagine a world where with fewer Supply constraints where retailers are more willing to put big sales on those big days and compete for eyeballs and four dollars so maybe a maybe there's a new normal where that changes but what I don't think is changing is that consumers are now permanently going to be in a state where Ecommerce is more and more available to them where you know be their home. Certainly their phone is is increasingly an easy place to go shopping and so all this concentration on these days is going to make less and less sense to them in terms of shopping behaviors if you go back out you know the origin of these days is really about sitting outside a big box and and can't be out and trying to get deals because you had to go in person but if you don't, if you if you if it's less and less the case that you actually have to go get things then it becomes easier and easier to spread out your purchases over time and if you're always shopping online you're not, you know just sort of the complete opposite of what you know going going to the office for Cyber Monday to go shopping which is what some of us used to do then you know you're much more open to these deals and opportunities that that retailers can offer you throughout the season so that part's not going away. Jason: [37:40] That's a great point so so then let's let's zoom out a little bit you guys are counting holiday is November 1 through December 31st a lot of retailers would, include January in there, holiday season again a lot of you know gift cards and returns and people you know come in with that return and they buy more stuff so January normally is a good month, and then this year the deals. Started in October right like Amazon Started Black Friday deals on October 4th time to get started on October 10th I think. Sort of boosted because of the supply chain concerns retailers are fighting really hard to start holiday shopping in October, and because all the stuff we really want is stuck on a boat off the coast of Long Beach we might not get it until January or February so with all of that supply chain squishiness. Like is there like what you know. Taylor: [38:39] What do we see. Jason: [38:40] Holiday in November and December but is it even a like the rate of growth is even bigger if you were to kind of you know redefine holiday as a October through February. Taylor: [38:51] Yeah I mean the way that shows up in our data is that we see a we so far I've seen a very strong October, we've seen very strong October in terms of overall e-commerce growth not not on par with you know the big holiday months but it's you know we're looking at you know roughly that ten percent year-over-year a little bit more for October so it's a good sign. [39:17] The what we're also seeing though is we're keeping a close eye on prices and as I said we're see we see. Data at the transaction level and it gives us a particularly unique view into into prices and we're going into your September are digital price index which is the of the basket of goods that we see purchased online through retail was up 3.3% over last year less than the CPI was up last month but still really significantly and for context up until the pandemic we had never seen digital inflation it always be always in prices going down on part about 5% order of about five percent so people are going into this season with higher prices there will be some discounts but we in October but I don't think they're going to make a dent in that inflation yet. And frankly from what we've seen historically over the other holidays of this year we expect to go in with higher prices for goods in general and we expect discounts to be, significant but a little bit shallower than they were at their last year their deepest point so consumers may be paying significantly more, this year on a Black Friday for a particular item than they were they would have been last year on that same date when you add all that up. Scot: [40:35] Nursing the so I know we're up against time so a little lightning around here it wouldn't be a Jason and Scot show if we didn't talk about Amazon any any tea leaves on Amazon. Taylor: [40:47] So we are we assiduously avoid commenting on particular retailers for a number of reasons but everybody's going to have a big year I would imagine this year. Scot: [40:56] My theory is if the supply chain matters Amazon Amazon Walmart and maybe Target are so dialed in on that but it was some a bit of an advantage and could hurt the small guy this year but we'll see how that plays out. Taylor: [41:11] What do you think the large versus small is a good good framing of that, you know bigger retailers in and out of stock in a world without of stocks have more options to to offer and complete a sale and then small retailers who may see their carts more likely to be abandoned I think that's a significant factor. Jason: [41:31] Okay so then the next lightning one is you talked a little bit about inflation you talked a little bit about like discounting not having to be quite as deep. How does that all washout in terms of profitability I do do retailers make more money on fewer sales this year or does do all these supply chain costs eat it up and, and it's you know thin margins. Taylor: [41:51] Yeah well so I think margin management is going to be a whole different game and retailers of already had to think a lot about that this year that you know the top line is going to be bigger per item so you're going to get more Revenue but I don't see that really being driven by some kind of margin maximization Behavior it seems to be largely driven by increasing increasing costs of goods and so you know I don't see a real Gap step open it up between increasing costs and and increasing Revenue to create a giant chunk of margin there. Scot: [42:28] How about anything on device Trends any news kind of done to be a bit of an old story that you know the smartphone is overtaking the desktop. Taylor: [42:37] There is a little bit of news it's kind of fascinating so we that's that's it if you looked at the share of Revenue that was doing through smartphones from 2014 till even into the pandemic you could have basically drawn a straight line I mean it was a it was a sort of, Early College regression experiment that we've been super easy for First Years to do that's changed a little bit smartphones are still gaining cheer don't get me wrong they're still growing faster than desktop in terms of the revenue is coming through them. Ever so slightly more slowly than than they used to and it may be an indicator that, in America at least we may be headed toward an equilibrium to looks more like a sort of 50/50 World between desktop and phones which is obviously really different than some other parts of the world where that it may be 80/20 or 90/10. [43:33] Right yeah I got two expense that so I can you know make it part of our part of our. Jason: [43:38] If we get our new app tops in time then we're all shopping on our laptops otherwise we're all shopping on our floor. Taylor: [43:42] Exactly. Jason: [43:45] But it wasn't a or we could talk all day I know you're in super high demand this this time of year and and you know quite frankly not in demand at all the rest of the year so I'm sure we'll talk again when. When you're less popular, but this was awesome we really appreciate your time as always if folks want to continue the conversation or have questions you can hit us up on, on the Twitter or the Facebook page, and as always if you got value out of this show we sure would appreciate it if you'd go on to iTunes and give us that five star Christmas review. Taylor: [44:19] That's what I'm going to do Jason. Scot: [44:21] Awesome we push it if that's aren't your gift to us and it's digital so we don't have to worry about Supply pain if I think in past years you guys have set up kind of a cool holiday news Hub is that something you're going to do this year and we're world where will we find them. Taylor: [44:37] It will be there I need to get you the URL we can put the URL in a link to this if you guys are watching this online I will make sure you guys have it before we got there but yes there will it'll be there. Scot: [44:47] All right we really appreciate the time. Taylor: [44:50] Right thank you guys I really appreciate Scott real patient appreciate Jason happy to do this anytime. Jason: [44:56] We appreciate you Taylor and until next time happy commercing!

David Drucker, senior political correspondent at the Washington Examiner, joins The Remnant for the first time to discuss the state of the Republican Party post-Trump and what the 2024 election cycle will bring. Why do so many Republicans choose to minimize Trump's destructive tendencies? What can we expect from Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, and other major players going forward? And will the next presidential candidate redefine the GOP's image?    Show Notes: -David's new book, In Trump's Shadow -David's page at the Washington Examiner -David previews his new book in Vanity Fair -Nikki Haley and the confederate flag -John Eastman's plan for Pence to overturn the election -Peril, by Bob Woodward and Robert Costa -Peril on Trump and Pence -David: “Mike Pence's Moment of Truth” -Steve Bannon's war on Mitch McConnell -Chris Christie 2024? See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In the year or so that I’ve been podcasting, this may be the most significant conversation I’ve recorded. It’s a civil, careful examination of the core political question we face today: how can we save liberal democracy from becoming tyranny? The skill with which Bob Woodward and now Robert Costa have put together a chronology of the Trump administration should remind us of how truly grave the threat was — and is. No hyperbole here; just brutal realism and a refusal to deny what is staring us in the face.  Get full access to The Weekly Dish at andrewsullivan.substack.com/subscribe

The novel Pyramids of Peril for the Red Panda continues with chapter 28! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On episode 115 Don and Offie are joined by the one and only Larry Dixon. Starting off slow with dietary discussions, leading sharply into the labor shortage in not only traditionally low paying jobs but also higher paying and unions jobs (ferry boats, waste management and shipping trucks are local examples)(0:16:00), and whether this could be indicative of an unwillingness to work hard in the current working generation. Is it possible the introduction and expansion of "entitlement programs" and the gig and work at home economies have permanently changed our job markets (0:21:00). Larry highlights some of the freedom based differences between Oklahoma and Washington State and then why working hard and willingness to sacrifice are some of the keys to success (0:39:00). Updates on Larrys current status and future in the Army, including the reasons why and plans for his post military career (1:10:00). The ways Larrys concerns about the military are being mirrored in civilian life including vaccine mandates, critical race theory and the degradation of the American work ethic and education system (1:23:00). A breakdown of the book "Peril" by Woodward and Costa and the main themes Don drew from his reading of it, including Joe Biden being a puppet President, Gen. Milley having organized a coup in the US government and blatant lies in the book (1:46:00). Quick updates on the ongoing budget talks in DC and then an explanation of the idea of "Minting the Coin"; what it means and why it could potentially help progress the downfall of the American financial system (3:02:00). In SPORTSS!! the Seahawks are terrible, Larry hates Jamal Adams and injuries are plentiful. Our Patreon is finally LIVE! You can check out our tiers and become a patron here: patreon.com/saltofthestreets Our theme song is written, produced and recorded by Upper Left. All of our podcasts and the audio versions of our pre shows all originate on SoundCloud but can immediately thereafter be found ANYWHERE you can find a podcast. After we livestream the preshow on our Youtube Channel it joins all of our other videos on that same page. Subscribe, rate and review to help us get our name out there. T-shirts are available and can be purchased through our email or Facebook. $20 local and $25 shipped in the US. Subscribe, rate and review to help us get our name out there. After you rate and review us, send us a screenshot and you will get $5 OFF YOUR FIRST T SHIRT! If you would like to support the podcast in another way we have Venmo @SaltOfThe-Streets and CashApp @$saltofthestreets

On today's Ruminant, Jonah aims to set the record straight on a matter of international significance: Despite what the producers of American Crime Story would have you believe, he has never owned an oversized poster of Atlas Shrugged. Thankfully, this misunderstanding gives him an excuse to indulge in a nerdtastic exploration of the differences between objectivism and conservatism, the significance of religion to conservative belief, and the differences between conservatives and “men of the right.” There's also a disquisition on social anxiety and Theodor Adorno's idea of the “authoritarian personality,” as well as a rant on those who continue to minimize January 6. Plus, as a special treat for The Dispatch's two-year anniversary, tune in to learn the intimate details of Jonah and Steve Hayes' late night telephone conversations.   Show Notes: -The Dispatch manifesto from two years ago -Today's underwhelming job numbers -Whittaker Chambers' review of Atlas Shrugged -The Remnant with George Will -George criticizes Whittaker Chambers -Al Felzenberg on George's opposition to Spiro Agnew -Jonah ruminates on Richard Hofstadter -The Age of Reform, Hofstatder's book on status anxiety -Hofstadter's Social Darwinism in American Thought -The (underrated) Tyranny of Clichés -Theodor Adorno's The Authoritarian Personality -Sally Satel: “The Experts Have Overlooked Authoritarians on the Left” -Karen Stenner's The Authoritarian Dynamic -The Remnant with Joe Uscinski -Bring the villain forward -Jonah's latest Special Report appearance -The January 6 subpoena saga -Dinesh D'Souza's evil tweet -Jonah and Hugh Hewitt debate the alt-right in 2016 -Jonah: “This Was Always the Plan” -Revelations from Peril, by Bob Woodward and Robert Costa -The Remnant with Scott Gottlieb See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Washington Post's Robert Costa discusses "Peril," co-authored with Bob Woodward, about the tumultuous period of transition from Trump's presidency to Biden's.

The authority of the court to be a check on the other two branches of our government, Justice Breyer says, rests on its ability to be regarded by the people as completely impartial. That trust was hard won and is in danger when the court becomes political. Support the show: https://www.patreon.com/clearandvivid See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Robert Costa, national political reporter at The Washington Post and co-author, with Bob Woodward, of Peril (Simon & Schuster, 2021), talks about his new book about the shaky transition of power from the Trump to the Biden administration.

What was it like inside the White House when Donald Trump lost — then denied losing — the election? Journalists Bob Woodward and Robert Costa, authors of the new book Peril, sat down with Apple News Today host Shumita Basu to discuss the chaotic period, which they consider one of the most dangerous in American history. Peril is available now on Apple Books.

Robert Costa, the Washington Post reporter, is a frequent guest on “Q&A,” and an old friend and colleague of Jay's. With Bob Woodward, Costa has written “Peril,” which is the best-selling book in the country at the moment. It is about the last days of the Trump presidency, essentially, and the first days of the […]

The final days of Trump's Presidency were filled with struggles, chaos, and an insurrection on the US Capitol. Bob Woodward and Robert Costa's new book, Peril, gives us insight into what happened during this tumultuous time period that almost destroyed democracy from the inside out. The authors join to discuss the final days of Trump's time in office. What happened? And more importantly what could have happened had the efforts of a select few not stepped in to intervene.GUESTS:Bob Woodward (@realBobWoodward), Professor at the University of California – Berkeley's Institute of Governmental StudiesRobert Costa (@costareports), National Correspondent, Yahoo News. Former Newsweek/Daily BeastHOSTS:Michael Isikoff (@Isikoff), Chief Investigative Correspondent, Yahoo NewsDaniel Klaidman (@dklaidman), Editor in Chief, Yahoo NewsVictoria Bassetti (@VBass), fellow, Brennan Center for Justice (contributing co-host) RESOURCES:Peril - the new book from Bob Woodward and Robert Costa - Here.Bob Woodward's Bio - Here.Robert Costa's Bio - Here. Follow us on Twitter: @SkullduggeryPodListen and subscribe to "Skullduggery" on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.Email us with feedback, questions or tips: SkullduggeryPod@yahoo.com. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

John, Emily and David discuss the fate of the Build Back Better agenda; vaccine mandates working; and journalist Caitlin Dickerson helps explain the recent U.S. immigration actions and to identify some fresh strategies for change. Here are some notes and references from this week's show: Jamelle Bouie for The New York Times: “It's All or Nothing for These Democrats, Even if That Means Biden Fails” Josh Marshall for Talking Points Memo: “Kill the Bill” Caitlin Dickerson for The Atlantic: “Democrats' Free Pass on Immigration Is Over” Caitlin Dickerson for The Atlantic: “America's Immigration Amnesia” Here's this week's chatter: John: Glamourdaze YouTube video: “A Walk in the Park - c.1900 | Bois de Boulogne Paris - AI Enhanced; Peril, by Bob Woodward and Robert Costa Emily: CNN: “Florida Man Fights Alligator With Trash Can”; Jonathan Mann's folk song celebrating the Florida Man Who Caught An Alligator In A Trash Can   David: The Cult of We: WeWork, Adam Neumann, and the Great Startup Delusion, by Eliot Brown and Maureen Farrell  Listener chatter from Matthew Ringel: Veritasium YouTube video, about the history of potash: “These Pools Help Support Half The People On Earth”  For this week's Slate Plus bonus segment John, David, and Emily talk about earlier times in history they would have liked to have been podcasting together. Slate Plus members get benefits like zero ads on any Slate podcast, bonus episodes of shows like Slow Burn and Danny Lavery's show Big Mood, Little Mood and you'll be supporting the Political Gabfest. Sign up now at slate.com/gabfestplus to help support our work. Tweet us your questions and chatters @SlateGabfest or email us at gabfest@slate.com. (Messages may be quoted by name unless the writer stipulates otherwise.) Podcast production by Jocelyn Frank. Research and show notes by Bridgette Dunlap. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Journalists Bob Woodward and Robert Costa uncovered details about the tumultuous transition of power from President Trump to President Biden in their new book, "Peril." They reveal how close we came to constitutional and international crises. Top general was fearful Trump might spark war, new book saysThousands have been evacuated from Afghanistan. Where will they go?The presidential power to strike

Voter suppression is serious but one of the leading election law experts in the country says "Election Subversion" is the greater threat to American Democracy. In this episode, he explains what it is and why it's a "DEFCON 5" level emergency. Rick Hasen is Professor of Law and Political Science at the University of California, Irvine and was a CNN Election Law Analyst in 2020. He runs the Election Law Blog. Today's Bill Press Pod is supported by the United Food and Commercial Workers Union. In additional to representing workers in our grocery stores, pharmacies and food processing plants, the UFCW sponsors a wide range of valuable programs in communities around the country. More information at UFCW.org .See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) talks about negotiations over President Biden's spending bill and the collapse of police reform talks. Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, Department of Homeland Security, talks to Chuck Todd about the Haitian migrant surge at the border. Bob Woodward, Associate Editor, The Washington Post and Robert Costa, National Political Reporter, The Washington Post, co-authors of “Peril” talk about the last days of the Trump presidency. Amy Walter, Leigh Ann Caldwell, Eddie Glaude, Jr. and Meghan McCain join the Meet the Press roundtable to talk about President Biden's imperiled agenda.

[Explicit Content] TRex is back! White House to release Trump documents to House Insurrection Committee. Bob Woodward and Mugsy on our "national security emergency." The Eastman Memo and a Facebook meme. Trump wants a redo of his first term. Trump knew the election fraud claims were bogus. Subpoenas will be issued this week, according to The Guardian. Trump's lawsuit against Mary Trump and The New York Times. Shaming smokers. Mike Flynn thinks we're putting the vaccine in salad dressing. Florida Republicans are screwy. With Jody Hamilton and David TRex Ferguson, and music by Jody Hamilton and C.C. Grace. And more!See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In their new book "Peril," Bob Woodward and Robert Costa released a previously unpublished memo by a man named John Eastman, who served as an attorney advising President Trump during the 2020 election. That memo outlined an anti-democratic six-step plan for Vice President Pence to overturn the election results — stealing the election in favor of Trump — by refusing to tally votes from states with "multiple slates of electors," throwing the final decision to the House of Representatives. It was presented to Pence by Trump and Eastman in the Oval Office during the days leading up to January 6th, and offers a chilling look at the lengths to which Trump was prepared to go in order to maintain power.  It also offers a new opportunity to examine the activities of John Eastman, who entered the spotlight in 2020 when he published an op-ed in Newsweek making the false claim that Kamala Harris was ineligible for the Vice Presidency. Back then, Brooke spoke with Slate's Mark Joseph Stern, who described the origins of this birtherism falsehood and how Eastman and his organization, the Claremont Institute, used the media to spread it.

Tonight on the Last Word: Bob Woodward and Robert Costa join Lawrence O'Donnell to discuss their new book “Peril.” The book details the dark final year of Donald Trump's presidency. Also, Mary Trump reacts to the new report of Donald Trump's last days in the White House. And the lawyer for the Trump Organization's CFO reveals new tax documents found in the basements of co-conspirators. Susan Hoffinger and Tim O'Brien also join Lawrence O'Donnell.

A new book from Robert Costa and Bob Woodward has caused a collective gasp in Washington. Entitled, “Peril,” for good reason, it's the most detailed account yet of just how close this nation came to catastrophe in Trump's final days. Get a sneak preview only on Mea Culpa. Then the Meidas Touch brothers join Michael for an hour of sober minded political analysis. Not really but it's an hour you won't want to miss.