Podcasts about Refinancing

This episode is packed with practical financial wisdom! Art shares four smart money moves to make during the month of June, helps a couple determine whether it's the right time to refinance their mortgage, guides a single mom through the decision of whether travel sports are worth the cost, and wraps up with several great summer book recommendations.Resources:8 Money MilestonesAsk a Money Question!

What happens when a real estate syndication exits and all that bonus depreciation comes back into play? In this episode, Nate Sosa and Thomas Castelli break down depreciation recapture, cost segregation, and the tax implications GPs and LPs need to understand before selling a deal. Topics discussed include: - Bonus depreciation and cost segregation - Depreciation recapture mechanics - 1245 vs. 1250 vs. 1231 gains - 1031 exchanges in syndications - Refinancing strategies - Partial asset dispositions - LP communication and tax planning - Time value of money and tax deferral Request a free discovery meeting: go.therealestatecpa.com/mlre Get the Ultimate Guide for Real Estate Syndications: go.therealestatecpa.com/mlreultimateguide Submit your questions to: go.therealestatecpa.com/question The Major League Real Estate podcast is for general information purposes only and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, tax, legal, investing, financial, or accounting advice. Information on the podcast may not constitute the most up-to-date legal or other information. No reader, user, or listener of this podcast should act or refrain from acting on the basis of information on this podcast without first seeking legal and tax advice from counsel in the relevant jurisdiction. Only your individual attorney and tax advisor can provide assurances that the information contained herein – and your interpretation of it – is applicable or appropriate to your particular situation. Use of, and access to, this podcast or any of the links or resources contained or mentioned within the podcast show and show notes do not create a relationship between the reader, user, or listener and podcast hosts, contributors, or guests. Any mention of third-party vendors, products, or services does not constitute an endorsement or recommendation. You should conduct your own due diligence before engaging with any vendor.

On this week's episode of "Financial Planning: Explained”, host Michael Menninger, CFP welcomes back Mackensie Ellis. Mackensie is a student loan professional at Juno. Juno student loans uses collective bargaining power to negotiate better rates on undergraduate, graduate, and refinance student loans. In this episode, Mackensie and Mike talk about loan repayment after graduation. The two get into refinance options, loan deferment, and public service loan forgiveness. This is a great episode for students of any age or students who have recently graduated looking for repayment options. ​For more information on Menninger & Associates Financial Planning visit https://maaplanning.com.

What does multifamily investing actually look like in today's market? In this episode, I pull back the curtain on what's happening inside my own portfolio right now. I'm dealing with a refinance on a 6-unit property after a planned sale fell apart. Rates moved almost immediately, changing the economics of the deal. At the same time, we're working through a refinance on our 13-unit portfolio while trying to position a 44-unit property for sale in a market where buyers seem hesitant to pull the trigger. I also share conversations I've had with other operators who are feeling the pressure from rising expenses, tighter lending, slower transaction volume, and challenging market conditions. But here's the thing... The same environment that's creating stress for operators may also be creating one of the best buying opportunities we've seen in years. In this episode we discuss: • Refinancing multifamily properties in today's lending environment • How quickly interest rates can impact a deal • Why multifamily transaction volume remains slow • What operators are experiencing behind the scenes • The reality of cash flow, distributions, and investor expectations • Why difficult markets often create the best opportunities • How I'm thinking about acquisitions moving forward If you're actively investing, looking to get started, or simply trying to understand what's really happening in multifamily real estate right now, this episode is for you. Remember: It only takes a small axe to build a lasting empire. #multifamilyinvesting #commercialrealestate #realestateinvesting #apartments #cashflow #multifamily #passiveincome #realestatepodcast #smallaxecommunities #buybuildingsbuildempires

Is your credit union ready for what is happening in mortgage banking right now? In this episode of Credit Union Conversations, host Mark Ritter sits down with John Giordano of First Heritage Mortgage Services to break down the real state of mortgage rates, housing inventory, and home affordability in 2026. With over 1,800 active pre-approvals on the books and portfolio loans gaining ground, John reveals why this moment is one of the greatest opportunities credit unions have seen in years and what it takes to seize it.What You Will Learn in This Episode: ✅ Why today's mortgage rates and tight sale margins are pushing credit unions toward portfolio loans as a smarter, more profitable lending strategy than traditional secondary market selling.✅ How the housing market has become deeply regionalized across nine distinct U.S. regions, and what that means for loan production and mortgage banking strategy at the local level.✅ What role mortgage technology and faster loan origination timelines are playing in helping credit unions compete with large national lenders like Rocket Mortgage and Wells Fargo.✅ Why housing supply shortages and builder deregulation discussions from Washington could reshape home affordability and home buying demand for credit union members in the years ahead.Subscribe to Credit Union Conversations for the latest credit union trends and insights on loan volume and business lending! Connect with MBFS to boost your credit union's growth today.TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 John shares his background at First Heritage and how its services are unique04:15 John's perspective on why today's mortgage banking environment is unlike any prior cycle09:24 How the U.S. housing market has split into nine distinct regional quadrants affecting home buying and loan production15:35 The strategic shift: why credit unions are choosing portfolio loans over secondary market sales to protect margins20:30 Record pre-approvals signal strong demand, but housing supply and new construction shortfalls remain critical barriers26:10 Millennials reversing course from urban living reveals new home affordability and real estate trends KEY TAKEAWAYS:

Are you considering refinancing your mortgage or loan, but unsure if it's the right time? Refinancing can be a great way to save money on interest, lower your monthly payments, and tap into your home's equity. Please like, follow,subscribe by clicking the links below:www.JasonGelios.com Youtubehttps://www.youtube.com/c/ItsAllAboutTheRealEstate Facebookhttps://www.facebook.com/jasongeliosrealtor/ Linkedinhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jasongelios Twitter (X)https://twitter.com/jasongelios Instagramhttps://www.instagram.com/jasongeliosrealtor/ Pinteresthttps://www.pinterest.com/jasongelios/ Tik Tokhttps://www.tiktok.com/@jasongeliosrealtor?is_from_webapp=1&sender_device=pc Purchase Jason'sreal estate book 'Think Like a Realtor: New Edition' here:https://www.amazon.com/Think-Like-Realtor-residential-REALTOR%C2%AE/dp/B0D3YBG69H/ref=sr_1_1?crid=1PTDJATI1DGIO&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.0ZYEOTHIrRJpvYxn2OFLQhVM7bNB14x3B1NbWhdwZtDwC4SQi2MUb0sqWs3wURG6h5P7CcWsN3JxJMIk0jnrktCVQxiPTv8YI3gdtrmzNF_RqTIkj4vVfdl71ouS_IVA1eFc8ECABaTYbirhvPG9HPOw-x2aNB9_sn0OLoUYy2f0QnLgYJalQH376g9sxhSeVGct5yV1EFisL2o18-ihUUo_qJqRwCsDFA-2Sp2wACs.3kHmteGQeWS_zZ9SsgqMOfyCvBLUB57xIRKYTUiHgww&dib_tag=se&keywords=think+like+a+realtor&qid=1719583367&sprefix=think+like+a+realt%2Caps%2C360&sr=8-1 Purchase Jason'ssenior focused real estate book 'The Seniors Guide To Buying and Selling aHome: The Next Chapter' here:https://www.amazon.com/Seniors-Guide-Buying-Selling-Home/dp/B0FZMXH52M/ref=sr_1_1?crid=834V0AV7LVVB&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.tN6hVc68-lI33W_PZk7CSbfm79_ERr7Fq4LP9OVNeF6AryRAkclwp3jmXrayWFOTli6xufdFg8aUoJKzrgLWHcMzPmpfqUz6ryhqMjMxkPQ.pO4BMspck8VA-qvXZY93G0E8p58qB7mSCllAxuq7sI8&dib_tag=se&keywords=jason+gelios&qid=1763470048&sprefix=jason+gelios%2Caps%2C155&sr=8-1 Purchase Jason'sself-help book 'Beating The Force of Average: Proven tips for beating the forceof average, to achieve the success you desire, to live the life you really wantto live.' here:https://www.amazon.com/Beating-Force-Average-beating-average/dp/B0BHKGL4CS/ref=sr_1_6?crid=1ZUK6R7J4DLG2&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.tN6hVc68-lI33W_PZk7CSbfm79_ERr7Fq4LP9OVNeF6AryRAkclwp3jmXrayWFOTli6xufdFg8aUoJKzrgLWHcMzPmpfqUz6ryhqMjMxkPQ.pO4BMspck8VA-qvXZY93G0E8p58qB7mSCllAxuq7sI8&dib_tag=se&keywords=jason+gelios&qid=1763470142&sprefix=jason+gelios%2Caps%2C156&sr=8-6

Every investor wants more clarity before making their next move…But in 2026, with market shifts and mixed signals, knowing what to do next isn't always straightforward.That's why we continue to bring you what matters most—real investor experiences.This week on the Not Your Average Investor Show, we're joined by a JWB client to break down a real investing journey and what it actually takes to build long-term wealth.Join host Pablo Gonzalez for a conversation focused on:- how real investors are thinking about their goals in today's market- the decisions that shape a long-term investing strategy- how to navigate uncertainty and risk- the lessons that only come from real-world experienceand moreBecause the best investing insights aren't found in headlines—they're built through real decisions, real outcomes, and a long-term perspective.Listen NOW!Chapters:00:00 Meet Josh Wedding01:50 Money Stress Wakeup05:15 Marriage Future Mindset08:08 Oilfield Grind Sparks Investing10:40 Stocks Crypto Learning Curve14:34 First Turnkey Lessons Ohio16:19 Cashing Out Crypto For Real Estate19:02 Why Jacksonville And JWB21:35 Portfolio Breakdown Five Homes24:12 Why Buy Five So Fast26:29 Taking Chips Off The Table30:10 Emotion And Regret Framework31:38 Real Estate as Hard Asset32:10 Portfolio Returns Breakdown33:04 Refinancing to Scale Up36:15 Running the Refi Math38:44 Serial Refi Snowball Plan41:11 Regret Minimization Mindset43:46 Bad Ohio Turnkey Lessons48:40 Spouse Buy-In and Trust51:04 How to Vet Operators54:58 Underpromise Overdeliver56:11 Advice and ClosingStay connected to us! Join our real estate investor community LIVE: https://jwbrealestatecapital.com/nyai/Schedule a Turnkey strategy call: https://jwbrealestatecapital.com/turnkey/ *Get social with us:*Subscribe to our channel  @notyouraverageinvestor  Subscribe to  @JWBRealEstateCompanies  

In the big, complex world of real estate, sometimes you don't know what you don't know… until it's right in front of you. That's what Ask The Guys is all about… answering great questions from investors in our listening audience as they navigate real-world situations, so you can learn right along with them. From choosing geographic markets to how properties are classified, financing questions, legal structure, and more, there's always plenty to unpack when the guest is YOU. Along the way, Robert calls on two great guests to jump in to add their perspective. Tune in and join the conversation! Since 1997, The Real Estate Guys™ radio show features real estate investing ideas, strategies, interviews, and all kinds of valuable resources. Visit our Special Reports Library under Resources at RealEstateGuysRadio.com

Can you master the game of wealth?In this episode, entrepreneur and property investor Rahim Bah pulls back the curtain on the 20 fundamental money rules that separate the wealthy from the rest. Whether you're just starting your entrepreneurial journey or looking to scale your UK property portfolio, these rules provide the blueprint for financial independence in 2026.In this episode, you will learn:The Money Game: Why you need to treat the economy like a chessboard.The Doubles Game: How the rich multiply money rather than just earning it.Leverage & OPM: How to use "Other People's Money" to grow your business and property empire.The Wealth Mindset: Why you must pay yourself first and avoid lifestyle inflation.Protection: Using legal structures and insurance to keep your wealth for generations.Rahim shares his transition from professional accounting into the world of property, proving that with the right strategy and a long-term vision, anyone can achieve success.

Navigating the New Reality: Why Homeownership Costs Have Doubled Since 2016Remember 2016? It might not feel like ancient history, but a lot has changed in the world of homeownership since then. Back then, the average American only needed to earn around $43,000 a year to comfortably afford a median-priced home. Fast forward to 2026, and that figure is projected to skyrocket to an astonishing $93,000 annually. That's more than double the income required in just a decade! But here's the kicker: average wages haven't risen by over 100%, and neither has productivity. So, what gives? It feels like the American Dream of owning a home just got 100% more expensive, leaving many wondering how they can possibly keep up. At DDA Mortgage, we understand these concerns, and we're here to help you make sense of the shifting landscape and explore your best path forward.Rising Home Prices: The most obvious culprit is the rapid appreciation of home values. Fueled by low interest rates for an extended period, limited inventory, and strong demand, home prices have surged across the country. What cost $200,000 in 2016 might now be selling for $400,000 or more.Increased Interest Rates: While rates were historically low for a long time, they have increased significantly in recent years. Even a small percentage point change in interest rates can add hundreds of dollars to a monthly mortgage payment, requiring a higher qualifying income to absorb that cost.Inflation and Cost of Living: Beyond just the mortgage, the overall cost of living has gone up. Property taxes, homeowners' insurance, and even the basic costs of utilities and groceries have all seen substantial increases. Seizing Opportunity: How Dropping Rates Can Transform Your MortgageWhile the current landscape might seem challenging, it's crucial to remember that the housing market is dynamic. Economic cycles and global events inevitably lead to shifts, and often, these shifts present significant opportunities. Specifically, when interest rates drop due to various economic factors, a lot of great things can happen for both prospective homebuyers and current homeownerIncreased Affordability for Buyers: For those looking to buy a home, lower interest rates directly translate to lower monthly mortgage payments for the same loan amount. This can significantly reduce the income required to qualify for a mortgage, making homeownership more accessible. It could mean the difference between needing that $93,000 annual income and a more manageable figure, bringing the American Dream back within reach for many.Reduced Overall Cost of the Loan: Over the lifetime of a 30-year mortgage, even a small reduction in the interest rate can save tens of thousands of dollars in total interest paid. This means more money stays in your pocket, year after year.Stimulated Market Activity: Lower rates often encourage more buyers to enter the market, which can lead to increased sales and a healthier, more active real estate environment. This can also encourage builders to resume construction, knowing there's a stronger pool of qualified buyers.Refinancing: Your Strategic Advantage When Rates DropFor current homeowners, particularly those who purchased or refinanced during a period of higher interest rates, a drop in rates offers a powerful opportunity: refinancing. Refinancing means replacing your existing mortgage with a new one, typically with a lower interest rate or different terms. This can lead to substantial financial benefits:Lower Monthly Payments: The most immediate and often most desired benefit is a reduction in your monthly mortgage payment. This can free up significant cash flow in your budget, making it easier to manage rising costs elsewhere or to save for other financial goals.tune in and learn more at Support the show

Is Now the Right Time to Refinance Your Mortgage Amidst Middle East Uncertainty?The world feels a little more uncertain these days, doesn't it? With job markets shifting, the cost of... well, everything... seemingly on the rise, and the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East potentially impacting global oil supplies (and potentially the closing of the Straight of Hormuz), it's natural to feel a bit anxious about your financial future. You're probably asking yourself, "How can I get a better handle on my finances? Is there a way to consolidate debt, lower my monthly mortgage payments, and protect myself from the looming effects of inflation?" If these questions are on your mind, refinancing your mortgage might be a solution worth exploringRefinancing to Consolidate Debt: A Smart Move in Uncertain TimesOne of the most compelling reasons to consider refinancing, especially when the economic outlook is cloudy, is to consolidate high-interest debt. Many families juggle multiple credit cards, installment loans (like car loans or personal loans), and other debts, each with its own interest rate and payment schedule. This can make managing finances feel overwhelming and expensive. Refinancing allows you to roll these debts into a single, lower-interest mortgage, simplifying your payments and potentially saving you a significant amount of money over the long term.The Power of a Lower Interest RateImagine you have $10,000 in credit card debt at an average interest rate of 18%. Paying the minimum each month could take years to pay off, and you'll end up paying thousands of dollars in interest. By refinancing your mortgage and including that $10,000 debt, you could potentially secure a much lower interest rate (depending on current market conditions and your credit profile). This translates to a lower monthly payment and faster debt repayment.Simplifying Your FinancesBeyond the potential savings, consolidating debt simplifies your financial life. Instead of managing multiple bills and due dates, you'll have just one mortgage payment to worry about. This can reduce stress and free up your time to focus on other important aspects of your life. It's a smart way to take control of your finances in a turbulent environment. You can learn more about residential refinancing options here: RefinancingLowering Your Monthly Mortgage Obligations for Long-Term SavingsEven if you don't have a lot of high-interest debt, refinancing could still make sense if you can secure a lower interest rate than your current mortgage. Lowering your monthly obligations allows you to recoup closing costs quickly.Understanding Break-Even PointsWhen you refinance, there are closing costs involved. It's crucial to calculate your "break-even point" - the amount of time it will take for your monthly savings to offset those costs. Our team at DDA Mortgage can help you analyze this calculation to determine if refinancing is a financially sound decision for you. Generally, the larger the difference between your current and potential interest rate, the faster you'll recoup your closing coststune in and learn https://www.ddamortgage.com/blogDidier Malagies NMLS #212566dda mortgage nmls#324329 Support the show

Welcome to **The Rate Update with Dan Frio**.Here, I break down **mortgage rates, housing, inflation, the Federal Reserve, Treasury yields, and the economic news that impacts homebuyers, homeowners, and anyone thinking about refinancing**.My goal is simple: help you understand **what's happening, why it matters, and what it could mean for your next move**.Whether you're buying your first home, refinancing your current mortgage, tracking the housing market, or just trying to make sense of today's financial headlines, you're in the right place.

Is Rising Inflation Eating Away at Your Retirement Savings? A HECM Could HelpOuch! Did you wince at the gas pump today? We all did. It feels like the cost of everything is going up, doesn't it? From filling your tank to stocking your fridge, inflation is hitting hard, and retirees on fixed incomes are feeling the pinch more than most. And those higher gas prices? They ripple through the economy, pushing up the cost of groceries, deliveries, and just about everything else you buy. If you're relying on a pension and Social Security, you might be wondering how you're going to make ends meet. Is it time to tap into the equity in your home to create a financial safety net? For many retirees, a Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM), also known as a reverse mortgage, might be the answer. Let's explore how a HECM line of credit could provide a valuable cushion during these inflationary times.Navigating Inflation on a Fixed Income with a HECM LoanRetirement should be a time of relaxation and enjoyment, not constant worry about stretching your budget. But with inflation stubbornly high, even carefully planned retirement budgets can quickly fall apart. How do you manage the rising costs of food, gas, and everyday supplies when your income is relatively fixed?Supplementing Income with a HECM Line of CreditA HECM loan allows homeowners aged 62 and older to borrow against the equity in their homes without making monthly mortgage payments. (You're still responsible for property taxes, homeowners insurance, and any applicable homeowners association fees). The loan proceeds can be received as a lump sum, a monthly income stream, or, most commonly, a line of credit. This line of credit is a flexible tool that you can access when you need it most, allowing you to supplement your income and cover unexpected expenses without selling assets or drastically cutting back on your lifestyle. Learn more about different mortgage options: Refinancing options.Flexibility to Cover Essential ExpensesImagine you need to replace a major appliance, like a refrigerator or washing machine. These unexpected costs can really throw a wrench into a tight budget. With a HECM line of credit, you can access the funds you need without having to dip into your savings or put the expense on a high-interest credit card. The funds can be used for anything you need, providing peace of mind and financial flexibility.How a Reverse Mortgage Can Help Offset Rising Medical CostsHealthcare costs are consistently one of the biggest expenses for retirees. As we age, we often require more medical care, medications, and potentially long-term care services. Inflation only exacerbates this problem, driving up the cost of everything from doctor's visits to prescription Didier Malagies nmls212566DDA Mortgage nmls324329https://www.ddamortgage.com/blog#HECM #ReverseMortgage #RetirementPlanning #Inflation #FinancialSecurity #Retirees #HomeEquity Support the show

Owing money to the CRA can feel urgent, and taking out a loan might seem like the fastest way to fix it. But in many cases, it can make your situation worse. Doug Hoyes and Ted Michalos break down when borrowing to pay off tax debt might work, and when it creates bigger financial risk. From self-employed Canadians stuck in a cycle of owing taxes every year, to homeowners refinancing and increasing long-term pressure, this conversation walks through the real consequences of using a loan to solve CRA debt. You'll also learn: Why CRA debt feels more serious than other debt What steps to take before considering a loan How CRA payment plans work When a consumer proposal may be the better option If your tax bill feels overwhelming, this will help you understand your options and avoid common mistakes.

Is now a good time to refinance your mortgage? If you bought a rental property in the last few years, you may be watching mortgage rates and waiting for the next best opportunity to refinance. But how does the process work, how much does it cost, and when should you pull the trigger? Today's guest will tell you everything you need to know! Welcome back to the Real Estate Rookie podcast! Last time we spoke with Danielle Daly, she had just bought her very first rental property. Since then, she has added two more properties, used the house hacking strategy to “live for free,” and just recently refinanced one of her mortgages. In this episode, she walks us through her thought process and how she determined that now was the right time to lock in a lower rate. But that's not all. Danielle also shares the two biggest lessons she's learned to date, her go-to tools and systems for self-managing rental properties, and why she's pivoting to another investing strategy in 2026! In This Episode We Cover How (and when) to refinance your rental property (step by step) How Danielle bought three rental properties in just three years Must-have tools and systems for growing your real estate business How much money you should have in cash reserves (per property!) Why Danielle is pivoting away from the co-living strategy in 2026 And So Much More! Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/rookie-699 Interested in learning more about today's sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Welcome to the land podcast, a platform for people looking to educate themselves in the world of land ownership, land investing, staying up to date with current land trends in the Midwest, and hearing from industry experts and professionals.  On today's episode, we are back in the studio with Brent Davis.  We discuss: Rental properties can collapse fast when systems and tenants fail simultaneously Equity—not cash flow—was the true financial safety net during crisis COVID exposed major vulnerabilities in rental property business models Tenant relationships matter more than contracts in real-world investing Scaling too fast can create unnecessary stress without more profit Land can outperform rentals in value under the right conditions Having strong local relationships is critical for real estate success Risk tolerance and resilience are required to survive investing downturns Refinancing can reset years of progress if forced under pressure Long-term thinking is what ultimately separates winners from failures And so much more! Thanks again for all of the support from our partners—none of this would've been possible without them! -Moultrie: https://bit.ly/moultrie_ -Hawke Optics | Use Code WHTL for 15% off: https://bit.ly/hawkeoptics_ -OnX: https://bit.ly/onX_Hunt -Painted Arrow: ⁠⁠bit.ly/PaintedArrow - Buck Land Funding: https://www.firstbankers.com/bucklandfunding - Latitude Outdoors: https://www.latitudeoutdoors.com/ - Whitetail Master Academy ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.whitetailmasteracademy.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - Use code '⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠HOFER' to save 10% off at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.theprairiefarm.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - Massive potential tax savings: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ASMLABS.Net⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Mortgage Rates, Housing Market News & Daily Interest Rate ForecastsWelcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio, where we break down mortgage rates, the housing market, Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, and the bond market to help you understand where interest rates are heading.Every day we analyze the 10-Year Treasury yield, mortgage-backed securities (MBS), CPI inflation, jobs reports, Federal Reserve decisions, and housing supply trends to explain why mortgage rates move — and what it means for homebuyers, homeowners, and real estate investors.If you're wondering:• Are mortgage rates going up or down?• Is the housing market crashing?• Should I lock or float my mortgage rate?• Is now a good time to buy a house?• Should I refinance my mortgage?You're in the right place.On this channel we break down real financial data so you can make smarter decisions about:• Buying a home• Refinancing your mortgage• Lowering your monthly payment• Timing the housing market• Understanding inflation and Federal Reserve policyNo hype.No clickbait.Just real mortgage data explained simply.

#989 | Ed and Jamie discuss a Premier League settlement with Chelsea over £47 million worth of undisclosed, off-book payments to players, agents and third parties from 20011–2018, involving names including Samuel Eto'o, Eden Hazard and David Luiz. The £10m fine and suspended transfer/youth-player bans show inconsistent rule enforcement versus PSR points deductions for clubs like Everton and could weaken the Premier League's position in Manchester City's case, while signalling cooperation and ownership change can reduce sporting sanctions. It's incredibly lenient. There's an examination of how a Gulf-wide conflict has driven crude oil from about $65 to ~$105, pressuring INEOS' thin-margin, highly leveraged petrochemicals business, potentially delaying or complicating refinancing at INEOS and United amid reduced prospects of Fed interest rate cuts. The conversation finishes on the potential impact around United's new stadium in a high-rate, high-cost environment. 00:00 Introduction 03:09 Chelsea's Off-Book Payments 07:09 Premier League's Lenient Penalty 17:45 Implications for Man City's Case 20:23 The Abramovich Fund 22:15 War in the Gulf and Oil Price Shock 28:33 Impact on United's Refinancing and Ownership 32:43 New Stadium Challenges If you are interested in supporting the show and accessing a weekly exclusive bonus episode, check out our Patreon page or subscribe on Apple Podcasts. Supporter funded episodes are ad-free. NQAT is available on all podcast apps and in video on YouTube. Hit that subscribe button, leave a rating and write a review on Apple or Spotify. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Mortgage Rates, Housing Market News & Daily Interest Rate ForecastsWelcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio, where we break down mortgage rates, the housing market, Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, and the bond market to help you understand where interest rates are heading.Every day we analyze the 10-Year Treasury yield, mortgage-backed securities (MBS), CPI inflation, jobs reports, Federal Reserve decisions, and housing supply trends to explain why mortgage rates move — and what it means for homebuyers, homeowners, and real estate investors.If you're wondering:• Are mortgage rates going up or down?• Is the housing market crashing?• Should I lock or float my mortgage rate?• Is now a good time to buy a house?• Should I refinance my mortgage?You're in the right place.On this channel we break down real financial data so you can make smarter decisions about:• Buying a home• Refinancing your mortgage• Lowering your monthly payment• Timing the housing market• Understanding inflation and Federal Reserve policyNo hype.No clickbait.Just real mortgage data explained simply.

Mortgage Rates, Housing Market News & Daily Interest Rate ForecastsWelcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio, where we break down mortgage rates, the housing market, Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, and the bond market to help you understand where interest rates are heading.Every day we analyze the 10-Year Treasury yield, mortgage-backed securities (MBS), CPI inflation, jobs reports, Federal Reserve decisions, and housing supply trends to explain why mortgage rates move — and what it means for homebuyers, homeowners, and real estate investors.If you're wondering:• Are mortgage rates going up or down?• Is the housing market crashing?• Should I lock or float my mortgage rate?• Is now a good time to buy a house?• Should I refinance my mortgage?You're in the right place.On this channel we break down real financial data so you can make smarter decisions about:• Buying a home• Refinancing your mortgage• Lowering your monthly payment• Timing the housing market• Understanding inflation and Federal Reserve policyNo hype.No clickbait.Just real mortgage data explained simply.

Send a textJoin Rachel Szymanski, Chief Economist at Trepp, and Don Liebman, Partner at , TWLL LLP  in this Episode of "A look into the Crystal Ball on the Future of Finance" as they explore the forces reshaping CRE financing, the trends emerging in loan and pricing terms, and how refinancing friction at maturity exposes the resilience or fragility of CRE capital structures and future market architecture. Thanks for listening! Please be sure to check us out at www.eaccny.com or email membership@eaccny.com to learn more!

Cash rates are now more than 4 per cent and your mortgage is around 6 per cent: What's more, it looks very much like the hiking cycle is far from over, so should you fix at these levels? Stuart Wemyss of the Prosolution Private Clients group joins Associate Editor, James Kirby in this episode. In today's show, we cover: To fix or not to fix...the dilemma bites Surprise good news for older cash hoarders SMSF property lending cleared for take off How much insurance do you really need? See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Markets are underestimating the gravity of what's unfolding in the Middle East, but Bitcoin is showing signs it might be pricing in the inevitable response.

Mortgage Rates, Housing Market News & Daily Interest Rate ForecastsWelcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio, where we break down mortgage rates, the housing market, Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, and the bond market to help you understand where interest rates are heading.Every day we analyze the 10-Year Treasury yield, mortgage-backed securities (MBS), CPI inflation, jobs reports, Federal Reserve decisions, and housing supply trends to explain why mortgage rates move — and what it means for homebuyers, homeowners, and real estate investors.If you're wondering:• Are mortgage rates going up or down?• Is the housing market crashing?• Should I lock or float my mortgage rate?• Is now a good time to buy a house?• Should I refinance my mortgage?You're in the right place.On this channel we break down real financial data so you can make smarter decisions about:• Buying a home• Refinancing your mortgage• Lowering your monthly payment• Timing the housing market• Understanding inflation and Federal Reserve policyNo hype.No clickbait.Just real mortgage data explained simply.

Profit Paths in Real Estate: From Home Buying, Refinancing and Rental Income by Jo Garner

Prior to increased global tensions, mortgage rates hit a milestone as the average 30-year fixed-rate dropped to 5.98% last week—the first time the metric has dipped below 6% since September 2022.This slight decline from 6.01% the prior week (and 6.76% a year ago), paired with rising inventory, is expected to pull buyers off the sidelines if the lower mortgage rates persist or continue to decline. Additionally, Freddie Mac reports that refinancing applications have already doubled year-over-year.A resurgence in housing activity can add fuel to the broader economy. Refinancing frees up thousands in annual interest payments for consumer spending, while increased home sales drive job growth for supporting industries.As an example, Mohawk Industries' CEO was recently quoted in The Wall Street Journal: “U.S. consumers [spend] an estimated five times as much on remodeling their flooring in the first year after buying a home than non-movers.”While these lower rates are a welcome reprieve for housing, the developing unrest in the Middle East remains a significant wildcard. We expect to see the first impacts reflected in energy costs at the pump, but the long-term effect on inflation and bond yields—and by extension, mortgage rates—remains to be seen.Explore our webpage for more insights and resources:https://bit.ly/Radix_Website

Is a Cash-Out Refinance the Right Choice Now That Mortgage Rates Have Dropped?Feeling squeezed by high-interest debt? Credit card bills piling up? Are those car payments and student loans making it hard to breathe financially? Or perhaps you've been dreaming of finally renovating your kitchen or adding that much-needed home office, but the funds just haven't been there. You're not alone. Many homeowners are looking for ways to leverage their home equity to improve their financial situation and achieve their goals. With recent dips in mortgage interest rates, a cash-out refinance might be the perfect strategy to consider. But is it really the right move for you?At DDA Mortgage, we understand that navigating the world of mortgages can be overwhelming. That's why we're here to provide clear, straightforward information to help you make informed decisions about your financial future. This article will explore the ins and outs of cash-out refinancing, focusing on how it can help you tackle high-interest debt, finance home improvements, and consolidate your finances, all while potentially lowering your overall monthly expenses.Refinance Cash Out and Conquer High-Interest Debt: Credit Cards, Auto Loans, and Student LoansOne of the most compelling reasons to consider a cash-out refinance is the opportunity to eliminate or significantly reduce high-interest debt. Let's break down how this works with credit cards, auto loans, and student loans:Credit Card Debt Relief with a Cash-Out RefinanceCredit cards often come with notoriously high interest rates. Carrying a balance can lead to a cycle of minimum payments that barely chip away at the principal. A cash-out refinance allows you to borrow against your home equity to pay off those credit card balances. Imagine replacing a credit card with a 20% interest rate with a mortgage rate that's significantly lower. The savings can be substantial!Consider this example: You have $10,000 in credit card debt with a 20% APR. Your minimum monthly payment might be around $200, and it could take you years to pay it off, accumulating significant interest charges. By using a cash-out refinance to pay off that debt, you could potentially secure a mortgage rate of, say, 7%. Now, your monthly payment on that $10,000 (as part of your overall mortgage) will likely be lower, and you'll pay it off much faster, saving you thousands in interest.Shedding Your Auto Loan Burden Through RefinancingAuto loans, while generally having lower interest rates than credit cards, still represent a significant monthly expense. If you're struggling to keep up with car payments, or if your interest rate is higher than current market rates, a cash-out refinance can provide relief. By including your auto loan balance in your new mortgage, you can potentially lower your monthly payment and free up cash flow.Think about it: you could potentially lower your car payment and only have one bill to pay. You can see the benefits of using a cash out refi and consolidating into one payment and lowering your monthly expenses.Tackling Student Loan Debt with a Strategic RefinanceStudent loans can be a significant financial burden for many years after graduation. While federal student loans often offer certain protections and repayment options, private student loans may not be as flexible. A cash-out refinance could be a viable option, especially if you have private student loans with high interest rates.Before making this decision, carefully weigh the pros and cons, particularly if you have federal student loans. Refinancing federal loans into a mortgage will eliminate access to federal income-driven repayment plans and potential loan forgiveness programs. However, if you have private student loans or are confident in your ability to manage your mortgage Support the show

#980 | Ed and Jamie review Manchester United's fiscal 2026 second-quarter results, arguing the numbers look bullish despite no European competition: revenues held up, EBITDA is strong, and the club posted an operating profit of just over £30m. They credit Ineos' restructuring - about £50m a year removed from the cost base, including redundancies and efforts to rationalise player wages - with improving the club's financial foundations, while noting debt remains high, cash is low (~£44m), and historic transfer payables are absorbing cashflow. They discuss how Champions League qualification could add ~£80–100m revenue and how Premier League squad-cost rules may help. They flag major debt maturities in 2027 and 2029 and expect refinancing to increase interest costs, plus brief updates on stadium plans, shareholding movement, and optimism driven by improved results and recruitment. 00:00 Introduction 04:12 Cost Restructuring & Wage Bill 13:48 Revenue Breakdown 17:53 Champions League Impact & Future Outlook 20:17 Debt Refinancing Discussion 26:36 Stadium Development & Wrap-up If you are interested in supporting the show and accessing a weekly exclusive bonus episode, check out our Patreon page or subscribe on Apple Podcasts. Supporter funded episodes are ad-free. NQAT is available on all podcast apps and in video on YouTube. Hit that subscribe button, leave a rating and write a review on Apple or Spotify. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Key Topics Covered: 1. Design as Custodianship, Not Decoration Julian explains that design is about how a property works, not just how it looks in photos. He links design to long term wealth planning: like pensions, it's too important to leave entirely in someone else's hands. The goal is performance over years: easy lettings, happy tenants, fewer repairs, and a product that holds value. 2. The Big Mindset Shift: Property Is a Business and a Product Julian challenges the word “investment” and suggests landlords are really buying a business. Each property is a living, breathing product that gets used, abused, and needs managing. If you don't treat it like a business, it can quietly become a liability over five to ten years. 3. How Properties Become Liabilities Over Time Poor design and poor maintenance create a snowball effect: worse condition attracts worse tenants, which accelerates deterioration. Julian shares examples of developments becoming hard to sell or even “unmortgageable” due to maintenance and management issues. Legacy matters: many children don't want property, so dumping a problematic asset onto them creates stress, not wealth. 4. Why You Can't Abdicate Design to Architects and Builders Plans can pass planning and building regs but still be awful to live in. Common issues include impractical layouts, no storage, poor kitchen design, and bathrooms that don't function properly. Julian introduces the “good, fast, cheap” triangle: you can pick two, but not all three, and landlords pay the price later if they chase cheap and fast. 5. Practical Design Thinking for HMOs and High Use Properties In HMOs, the room is the tenant's home, so it must support multiple functions, not just sleep. Flow matters: kitchens, waste, smells, and shared spaces can make or break tenant experience and long term value. Lighting and electrics are often done to a builder's default spec, but that can create uncomfortable living and higher churn. 6. Serviced Accommodation Is an Experience Business Short stay guests want something boutique and memorable, not copy and paste. Julian recommends living in your serviced accommodation for a week to spot friction points: heating controls, WiFi, TV, keys, lighting, and usability. Service quality affects reviews, and reviews affect profitability. He references research suggesting superhost status can significantly lift margins. 7. The Commercial Upside: Small Design Changes, Big Profit and Value Gains Julian shares an example where improving presentation helped increase rent by £150 per month, which translated into a major profit uplift. He highlights how many landlords don't know their true profit margin, and confuse turnover with profit. Improving existing assets often delivers faster ROI than buying new ones, especially if older stock is dragging performance down. 8. How Julian Helps Investors: Training and Hands On Support Julian trains investors to become “design aware” and “design led” without needing to be designers. He offers remote consults (including Zoom based reviews), layout planning, electrical plans, materials specs, and project support via WhatsApp. His core message: be involved, be informed, and take control of the decisions that shape income and maintenance. Actionable Takeaways Treat each property like a business product, not a passive investment. Design for performance: durability, usability, flow, and maintenance, not just photos. Don't assume architects and builders will design a home that works, review layouts with real living in mind. Audit your existing portfolio before buying more, older assets may be dragging your returns down. Know your numbers: profit margin, not just rent, and understand how small rent uplifts can multiply profit. For serviced accommodation, test the experience yourself and tighten service, reviews drive revenue. Adopt the custodian mindset: build assets your children would actually want to inherit. Resources & Next Steps Icon Living UK: The creation of living spaces that people love and enjoy Julian Maurice: julian@iconliving.co.uk Download our FREE Pensions and Inheritance Tax Guide WealthBuilders Membership: Free access to guides, webinars, and community Connect with Us: Listen on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, YouTube, and all major platforms. Next Steps On Your WealthBuilding Journey:   Join the WealthBuilders Facebook Community Schedule a 1:1 call with one of our team Become a member of WealthBuilders If you have been enjoying listening to WealthTalk - Please Leave Us A Review!

Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think.The New Zealand property market is showing signs of life, but the real story lies in the regional data and current mortgage trends. In this episode of New Zealand Property Insights, Paul and Debbie Roberts unpack the new Cotality Decoding 2026 Report and the record-breaking surge in bank switching.In this episode, Paul and Debbie cover:The 2026 Market Outlook: A deep dive into the latest Cotality report. While 71% of respondents expect house prices to rise in 2026, the data reveals a mood of cautious optimism rather than a massive boom. The hosts discuss the significant regional split, contrasting Canterbury's strong confidence against Wellington's lagging market.The Danger of "Free" Advice: Debbie explains why "free" financial plans from property companies are often designed purely to sell commission-based properties. She highlights why securing independent financial advice is crucial to ensure you aren't paying top dollar for an underperforming investment.The Great Bank Switch: In December 2025, a record-breaking $5.8 billion in lending was driven simply by borrowers switching banks to chase cashback deals. Paul and Debbie explore whether these cashbacks actually save money, warning investors about hidden break fees and clawback periods. They also share actionable tips on how to negotiate better rates with your current bank using a mortgage adviser.Whether listeners are looking to refinance or wondering where the property market is heading next, this episode cuts through the noise to provide the facts.Resource Links:

Send a textIn this episode of Dishin' Dirt, I examine the exciting developments in the current state of housing affordability. I highlight the positive trends in interest rates and home prices, the local insights from South Carolina's housing market, and the impact of refinancing on the economy. Additionally, I address legislative efforts aimed at improving housing affordability, emphasizing the need for a supply-focused approach to tackle the ongoing challenges in the housing market.Don't forget to like us and share us!Gary* Gary serves on the South Carolina Real Estate Commission as a Commissioner. The opinions expressed herein are his opinions and are not necessarily the opinions of the SC Real Estate Commission. This podcast is not to be considered legal advice. Please consult an attorney in your area.

In our latest Structured Thoughts podcast, Ed Reardon, Head of Securitization Research is joined by Michael Cohen, Managing Partner and Founder of Brighton Capital Advisors for a discussion on the challenges for maturing CRE loans even in a bullish lending market

Criterion breaks down key macro trends heading into 2026—why industrial is stabilizing, office is stuck in a new normal, and retail is quietly the tightest sector—then closes with a “Worst Deal of the Week” teardown of a low-yield McDonald's ground lease. Time Stamps: 0:00 Quick banter + game setup 0:24 Episode intro + why Criterion is doing quarterly investor meetups 1:26 Dallas investor meetup announced (March 26) 1:47 “I Call BS” game begins (money/markets/real estate facts) 3:53 Build vs buy stabilized assets discussion 4:59 Wealth concentration question + savings timing scenario 7:21 NBA vs billionaire odds question + game results 8:10 Macro trends heading into 2026 overview (stabilizing markets, rates) 9:06 Industrial outlook: vacancy stabilization, build-to-suit shift, data centers 11:26 Office outlook: vacancy ceiling, conversions, refinancing wall, flight to quality 13:31 Retail outlook: lowest vacancy, limited new supply, rent growth, lease strategy 15:28 New segment: “Worst deal we saw this week” 15:53 McDonald's ground lease teardown (3.5 cap, no depreciation, weak growth) 18:15 Wrap-up + next episode teaser Ready to invest with Criterion?

Season 5, Episode 5: In this episode of Season 5, Jack and Alex sit down with Bill Sexton, CEO of Trimont, the largest independent commercial real estate loan servicer in the US. With Trimont now touching roughly 11% of all CRE debt nationwide, Bill offers a rare look into the mechanics behind servicing, workouts, and credit decision-making at scale. Bill walks through how servicing actually works, why distress is emerging unevenly across multifamily, office, and lodging, and what the data is signaling beneath the headlines. The conversation also digs into extensions, refinancing risk, and how lenders are navigating the back half of this cycle. Shoutout to our sponsor, Bracket. The AI platform transforming how we underwrite deals. TOPICS 01:00 – Bill's Background and Entry Into Credit 06:30 – What Loan Servicers Actually Do 10:00 – Private vs. Public Credit Servicing 18:55 – Multifamily Stress Signals 26:40 – Office Risk and Capital Costs 31:40 – Lodging and Other Trouble Spots 38:45 – Extensions, Refinancing, and the Data 41:00 – Where We Are in the Cycle 46:50 – Culture, Scale, and Building Trimont For more episodes of No Cap by CRE Daily visit https://www.credaily.com/podcast/ Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@NoCapCREDaily About No Cap Podcast Commercial real estate is a $20 trillion industry and a force that shapes America's economic fabric and culture. No Cap by CRE Daily is the commercial real estate podcast that gives you an unfiltered ”No Cap” look into the industry's biggest trends and the money game behind them. Each week co-hosts Jack Stone and Alex Gornik break down the latest headlines with some of the most influential and entertaining figures in commercial real estate. About CRE Daily  CRE Daily is a digital media company covering the business of commercial real estate. Our mission is to empower professionals with the knowledge they need to make smarter decisions and do more business. We do this through our flagship newsletter (CRE Daily) which is read by 65,000+ investors, developers, brokers, and business leaders across the country. Our smart brevity format combined with need-to-know trends has made us one of the fastest growing media brands in commercial real estate.

Getting finance to buy an online business is no longer just about ticking boxes or relying on outdated bank formulas. Today, lenders are looking forward. They want to understand your assumptions, your go-to-market strategy, and how the business performs once capital is deployed. In this special episode, Jaryd Krause speaks with Ciaran Burke, COO and co-founder of Swoop, a global SME funding marketplace helping buyers access debt, equity, and grant funding across the UK, Australia, the US, and Canada. Ciaran has helped thousands of businesses secure funding by unlocking options traditional banks often miss. You’ll learn how buyers are funding ecommerce, SaaS, and media acquisitions, what lenders really care about beyond the numbers, and why acquisition finance is now easier to access in markets like Australia and the UK. If you are planning to buy an online business and want to understand how deals are being funded right now, hit the “Play” button! BONUS: Explore Swoop’s free funding platform and see if your next acquisition qualifies. Episode Highlights 06:00 Funding Options for Acquiring Online Businesses 09:02 Understanding Deposit Requirements for Acquisitions 12:05 Setting Up a Business Entity for Acquisition Financing 15:03 Navigating Interest Rates and Loan Terms 18:02 Refinancing and Its Importance for Business Owners 21:02 Key Requirements for Loan Approval 24:38 Navigating the Financing Landscape 30:00 Preparing for Acquisition: Key Documentation 36:03 Understanding the Acquisition Process 40:01 Exploring Financing Options and Strategies 43:53 The Importance of Credit and Sector Awareness Key Takeaways ➥ The Australian market was targeted for expansion during COVID due to its strong SME financing landscape. ➥ Deposits for acquisitions can vary significantly based on the business type and trading history. ➥ New investors may need to provide a higher deposit compared to those with established businesses. ➥ A solid business plan and financial model are crucial for securing financing. ➥ Interest rates and loan terms can vary widely based on market conditions and business performance. ➥ Refinancing options can improve cash flow and reduce interest rates over time. Understanding personal credit scores is essential for first-time investors. About Ciaran Burke Ciarán Burke is the COO & Co-Founder of Swoop, a global SME funding marketplace that helps businesses discover debt, equity, and grant options using integrated business data.He co-founded Swoop after a career at KPMG and building the creative network Hiive, and now leads the product & operations work that matches businesses with suitable finance solutions across multiple territories. Swoop’s platform has helped hundreds of thousands of businesses access funding and simplify options that traditional banks often miss, making it a powerful route for buyers who need acquisition capital. Ciarán frequently speaks about debt, equity, and grants to fund acquisitions in the UK, Australia, and the US. Join Swoop Funding for free; ➥ https://swoopfunding.com/au/buying_online_businesses Resource Links ➥ Connect with Jaryd here - https://www.linkedin.com/in/jarydkrause➥ Buying Online Businesses Website - https://buyingonlinebusinesses.com ➥ Download the Due Diligence Framework - https://buyingonlinebusinesses.com/freeresources/➥ Sell your business to us here - https://buyingonlinebusinesses.com/sell-your-business/ ➥ Google Ads Service - https://buyingonlinebusinesses.com/ads-services/ Buy & Sell Online Businesses Here (Top Website Brokers We Use)

Imagine being a broke college student delivering DoorDash orders just to pay rent. Now, imagine taking that same obsession with efficiency—shaving seconds off delivery times—and applying it to real estate. That is exactly how Josh Janus built a $15 million portfolio with hundreds of units in just three years.In this episode of UpFlip, Josh breaks down how he went from a $3,000 wholesale fee to managing 50+ rehab projects at once. He reveals the "Notebook Rule" that allowed him to scale, the hard lessons learned from losing $250k to bad contractors, and the exact criteria he uses to find off-market deals that no one else is looking for.In this episode, you'll learn:The DoorDash Mindset: How optimizing burger deliveries for tips taught Josh to identify the most motivated sellers in real estate.The 3-Pillar Strategy: The simplified framework (Financing, Deal Flow, Network) for starting in real estate with $0.Wholesaling 101: How Josh made his first $3,000 by selling information on a property he couldn't afford to buy.Finding "Hidden Equity": The specific search criteria (5+ years ownership,

Every day, we pull real pricing from 30+ lenders to show what you actually qualify for — plus lock vs. float guidance and a clear breakdown of the Fed, CPI, Jobs, MBS, and the 10-Year Treasury.Transparent. Data-driven. No hype.In this video, I show you how to run the real math behind refinancing and mortgage decisions, including:✔ Your true refinance costs✔ Your break-even point✔ How long it takes to recover fees✔ Whether refinancing actually saves you money✔ If using equity to pay off high-interest debt makes sense✔ Which option puts you in the strongest financial positionNo guessing.No pressure.Just real numbers.00:00 Why Most Refi Decisions Are Wrong01:40 Understanding True Costs04:20 Finding Your Break-Even07:10 Comparing Options10:00 Debt & Equity Strategy12:45 Tools & Resources14:30 Final Thoughts

From investment banker to crypto fund strategist, Stas Sukhinin shares insider perspectives on how credit committees really make decisions, why over-leveraged companies fail fast during downturns, and where stablecoins are creating trillion-dollar transaction opportunities. In this episode of the DealQuest Podcast, host Corey Kupfer sits down with Stas Sukhinin, a finance veteran with over 19 years of experience spanning investment banking, corporate lending, and alternative asset management. Stas began his career at internationally recognized institutions including UniCredit and Societe General, where he helped pioneer mezzanine loan products in Eastern Europe. By age 29, he had become a senior partner at one of the region's largest mezzanine lenders, managing a team of 20 finance professionals and overseeing a $450 million loan portfolio. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN: In this episode, you'll discover what really happens inside credit committees when your loan application gets reviewed and why factors unrelated to your business can determine outcomes. Stas explains how strong companies can go from healthy to restructuring in just three to four months when leverage catches up with them, and the critical difference between how first-time owners and experienced operators approach debt decisions. You'll learn the two key factors that determine how much debt your business can handle, why working capital provisions in purchase agreements deserve more attention than most buyers give them, and how sellers legally present financials in the most favorable light. The conversation also covers Stas's experience investing in the 2017 ICO boom where 90% of projects went to zero but winners returned 50x to 100x, why venture capital investors sometimes block deals that would be life-changing for founders, and where stablecoin transaction volume is already reaching trillions while most people remain unaware. STAS'S JOURNEY: Stas's path into finance started at age 14 when a classmate brought a business magazine to school. Reading about business owners selling companies for millions crystallized his direction. He knew he wanted to be in corporate lending where he could see businesses, analyze financials, and speak directly with owners while working with numbers at a bank. His first role as a junior credit analyst gave him exactly that. He progressed from working with small businesses that had no financials to mid-sized companies to large corporations. Each step taught him more about how deals really get done from inside the institutions making funding decisions. CREDIT COMMITTEE INSIGHTS: Stas pulls back the curtain on what actually happens when loan applications reach credit committees. The reality differs dramatically from what most business owners imagine. Factors affecting approval can seem completely unrelated to the specific deal. Maybe the bank already has a competitor in their portfolio. Maybe the receivable financing department has a different relationship with someone in your industry. One offhand comment from a committee member who hasn't read the full memo can change the entire trajectory of a conversation or result in higher interest rates. DEBT MANAGEMENT LESSONS: The pattern Stas has seen destroy companies in months follows predictable steps. Revenue drops or stagnates. Margins deteriorate because of increased competition and client uncertainty. Debt ratios that looked comfortable suddenly reach concerning levels. Refinancing options disappear just when needed most. Interest rates climb. Everything compounds simultaneously. The difference between experienced and first-time business owners comes down to scenario planning. Experienced operators build safety margins and stress-test assumptions. First-time owners assume conditions will continue as they are. That assumption determines survival. ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS: Stas joined a crypto investment fund at its inception in 2017 during the ICO boom. Out of many investments, approximately 90% went to zero. The winners returned 50x or 100x. His observation about liquidity cycles was particularly interesting. Traditional venture now averages seven-year holding periods while crypto projects can reach liquidity events in three or four years through token distributions. On stablecoins, Stas sees enormous opportunity in programmable money. Transaction volume is already in the trillions though most people in developed countries don't realize the scale. Goldman Sachs reportedly reduced bond settlement time from three days to minutes using blockchain technology. Perfect for business owners considering debt financing, entrepreneurs navigating capital raising, and anyone interested in how credit decisions really get made and where alternative investments are creating new opportunities. FOR MORE ON THIS EPISODE: https://www.coreykupfer.com/blog/stassukhinin FOR MORE ON STAS SUKHININ: https://www.thesourcer.so https://www.linkedin.com/in/stassukhinin/ FOR MORE ON COREY KUPFER https://www.linkedin.com/in/coreykupfer/ https://www.coreykupfer.com/ Corey Kupfer is an expert strategist, negotiator, and dealmaker. He has more than 35 years of professional deal-making and negotiating experience. Corey is a successful entrepreneur, attorney, consultant, author, and professional speaker. He is deeply passionate about deal-driven growth. He is also the creator and host of the DealQuest Podcast. Get deal-ready with the DealQuest Podcast with Corey Kupfer, where like-minded entrepreneurs and business leaders converge, share insights and challenges, and success stories. Equip yourself with the tools, resources, and support necessary to navigate the complex yet rewarding world of dealmaking. Dive into the world of deal-driven growth today! Episode Highlights with Timestamps: [00:00] - Introduction: Stas Sukhinin's 19 years in finance from investment banking to crypto [03:26] - First deal experience: Structuring a real estate development loan with disbursement tied to sales [05:47] - Hidden factors: Why deals get rejected for reasons unrelated to underwriting criteria[08:20] - Committee dynamics: How one comment from an uninvolved member changes deal trajectories [11:41] - Timing and instruments: When companies use the wrong type of capital [15:55] - Risk assumptions: The difference between first-time and experienced business owners [18:29] - Volatility factors: How income stability determines appropriate leverage levels [21:09] - M&A implications: Structuring adjustment provisions for concentration risk [24:09] - Liquidity advantages: Why crypto offers shorter holding periods than traditional venture[27:55] - Venture math: The story of a VC blocking a life-changing exit for 1x returns [29:27] - Due diligence limitations: Legal ways sellers present favorable financials [32:14] - Stablecoins explained: Digital tokens designed to maintain dollar parity [36:31] - Programmable money: Smart contracts that execute automatically on conditions [38:00] - Financial advisory services: How Stas helps business owners understand their financials[39:14] - Freedom defined: Removing gatekeepers and accessing financial systems without barriers Guest Bio: Stas Sukhinin has over 19 years of experience in finance spanning investment banking, corporate lending, and alternative asset management. He began his career at internationally recognized institutions including UniCredit and Societe General, where he helped pioneer mezzanine loan products and shaped the market in Eastern Europe. By age 29, Stas had become a senior partner at one of the region's largest mezzanine lenders, managing a team of 20 finance professionals and overseeing a $450 million loan portfolio. He later served on boards of several private companies, deepening his expertise across credit investments and corporate governance. Recognizing early opportunities in alternative assets, Stas joined a crypto investment fund at its inception in 2017 and continues to lead its strategy and operations. He now helps business owners run more efficiently from the lens of financials through his advisory practice. Host Bio: Corey Kupfer is an expert strategist, negotiator, and dealmaker with more than 35 years of professional deal-making and negotiating experience. Corey is a successful entrepreneur, attorney, consultant, author, and professional speaker deeply passionate about deal-driven growth. He is the creator and host of the DealQuest Podcast. Show Description: Do you want your business to grow faster? The DealQuest Podcast with Corey Kupfer reveals how successful entrepreneurs and business leaders use strategic deals to accelerate growth. From large mergers and acquisitions to capital raising, joint ventures, strategic alliances, real estate deals, and more, this show discusses the full spectrum of deal-driven growth strategies. Get the confidence to pursue deals that will help your company scale faster. Related Episodes: Episode 350 - Tom Dillon: When NOT to Take Venture Capital Money: Explore alternative funding sources including private credit, SBA loans, and sale-leasebacks with a fractional CFO who works with startups on capital strategy. Episode 370 - Gerry Hays: Democratizing Venture Capital Through VentureStaking: Discover alternative approaches to early-stage investing that don't require massive checks or exclusive networks. Episode 85 - Nick Adams: Seed Stage Venture Capital Funds: Understand how traditional VCs think about early-stage deals and what metrics they evaluate from the investor perspective. Episode 351 - Solocast: Deal Structures Beyond M&A and Capital Raising: Learn about joint ventures, strategic alliances, licensing agreements, and other creative partnership models for business growth. Episode 324 - Sejal Lakhani-Bhatt: Tech Due Diligence in M&A: Explore how technology systems and cybersecurity impact business valuation and deal outcomes. Episode 330 - Pete Mohr: Preparing Your Business for Exit: Understand why sellers often cause deals to fail and how to prepare for the emotional aspects of selling a business. Follow DealQuest Podcast: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/coreykupfer/ Website: https://www.coreykupfer.com/ Follow Stas Sukhinin: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/stassukhinin/ Website: https://www.thesourcer.so Keywords/Tags: corporate lending insights, credit committee decisions, debt management for businesses, mezzanine lending, alternative asset management, crypto investment strategy, stablecoin business applications, EBITDA management, leverage risk, working capital due diligence, venture capital exits, ICO investing, blockchain finance, programmable money, business financing, capital structure, due diligence strategies, financial advisory, dealmaking, business growth strategies

One of the great things about rental properties is that they often lead to more rental properties without needing additional capital- what we call "rental property babies"-PLUS if you bought a rental property a few years ago, there's a good chance you already have what you need to have one of these new babies!The problem is that opportunity doesn't always show up clearly on a spreadsheet.That's why on this episode of the Not Your Average Investor Show, we're bringing on JWB client, Sarann Jennings, who recently used the equity in her properties to acquire a bundle of new rental homes.Join show host Pablo Gonzalez to hear about: ✅ How she used equity to grow her portfolio with no new capital  ✅ What challenges she had to overcome to get started in real estate ✅ How "income insurance" works to protect your retirement lifestyleIf you've ever wondered whether the equity in your properties could do more for you, this conversation will help you see it differently.Listen NOW!Chapters:00:00 Introduction to the Guest Investor02:02 Sarann Jennings' Real Estate Journey Begins03:16 Challenges of Self-Managing Properties06:34 Transition to Passive Real Estate Investing11:30 Comparing Management Companies15:21 The Importance of Trust in Real Estate18:07 Strategizing for Long-Term Goals21:20 Expanding the Portfolio25:00 Financial Engineering and Future Plans33:44 The Magic of a 20-Year Business Model34:41 Community Questions: Leveraging Equity and Debt35:12 Aggressive Investment Strategies36:16 The Five Profit Centers Explained38:45 Reserve Strategies and Cash Flow Management43:57 Refinancing and Expanding the Portfolio53:09 The Power of Holding Properties57:40 Final Thoughts and Community EngagementStay connected to us! Join our real estate investor community LIVE: https://jwbrealestatecapital.com/nyai/Schedule a Turnkey strategy call: https://jwbrealestatecapital.com/turnkey/ *Get social with us:*Subscribe to our channel  @notyouraverageinvestor  Subscribe to  @JWBRealEstateCompanies  

What happens to the house in a divorce? For many homeowners, divorce and real estate collide in painful and expensive ways. The home is often the biggest asset, the biggest debt, and the most emotionally charged part of the divorce process — and it's where people make the most costly mistakes. In this episode of State 48 Homeowner, host Scott Kooiman of Klaus Team Real Estate Solutions sits down with family law attorney Marco Brown, founder of Brown Family Law, to explain what homeowners need to understand about divorce and your house — before emotions and assumptions lead to years of financial fallout. We break down: What really happens to the house in a divorce Common misconceptions about keeping the house after divorce How Arizona community property law treats the marital home Divorce housing options: selling the home, one spouse keeping it, or deferred sale How equity, debt, and property division are handled Why co-ownership, nesting, and "we'll figure it out later" usually fail What happens when one spouse refuses to cooperate or move out Court-ordered home sales and forced resolutions Why walking away emotionally before finances are settled is dangerous You'll also hear a critical mortgage and lending reality check from Steve Farrington of Unity Home Loans, explaining: How divorce affects mortgage qualification Debt-to-income ratio issues during divorce Using spousal support as qualifying income Refinancing after divorce — and what happens when rates are higher Credit risks when you're still tied to the mortgage How missed payments impact both spouses How to protect yourself financially during a divorce Before you make a decision — especially in a moment of stress — it's critical to talk to professionals who understand how family law, divorce mortgages, and real estate intersect. This episode is part of our "When Things Go Wrong" series, covering what happens to your home during divorce, death, disability, and major life transitions — so homeowners can make informed, confident decisions when it matters most.

Six Flags has announced a major debt refinancing, issuing $1.0 billion in senior notes due in 2032 at an 8.625% interest rate to retire bonds coming due in 2027. The move extends the company's debt maturity by five years—but at a high cost. Compared to the retired notes, the new debt increases annual interest expense by roughly $30 million per year, reflecting today's higher-rate environment and investor risk pricing.Six Flags will buy more time, but at an opportunity cost. Every additional dollar of interest expense is a dollar that can't go to staffing, maintenance, marketing, or the guest-facing improvements Six Flags has already said it needs—better food, better operations, better consistency. The bet embedded in this refinancing is that the company's planned investments and operational upgrades will generate more incremental cash flow than the higher interest expense. It may also be the least-bad option available: if the 2027 wall looked risky in the current rate environment, extending maturities reduces near-term refinancing pressure. But it narrows the margin for error—the plan now has to work.That context also frames Six Flags' decision not to exercise its call option on Six Flags Over Texas, citing capital-allocation priorities while still emphasizing the park's long-term importance. And it sits alongside the opening of Six Flags Qiddiya City—a major new park in Saudi Arabia that Six Flags operates (rather than owns) —showing where large-scale growth is still happening, even as capital risk sits elsewhere. Taken together, these moves read as a company prioritizing financial flexibility and survivability. Refinancing doesn't solve the business— it simply extends the runway. The question is whether Six Flags can use that runway to execute fast enough before the higher cost of capital shrinks its room to maneuver.Listen to weekly BONUS episodes on our Patreon.

First off — Happy New Year. To kick off the year, this week's episode of the Wealth Formula Podcast is a solo one from me. I spend the episode walking through my outlook for 2026 and sharing a few predictions for how I think this cycle is going to play out. Lately, I keep hearing the same question phrased in different ways. The economy feels tight, but markets are holding up. Growth is coming in stronger than expected, inflation is easing, and yet a lot of the signals people usually rely on just don't seem to be lining up. That disconnect is really the starting point for this episode. Rather than reacting to headlines or making short-term calls, I wanted to step back and talk through the mechanics of what's actually driving this environment — and why it looks so different from the cycles most of us learned about. A lot of it comes down to debt, policy constraints, how capital moves today, and the growing influence of technology. When you start looking at those pieces together, some of the things that feel confusing begin to make a lot more sense. This isn't meant to be alarmist or overly optimistic. It's simply an attempt to frame the environment clearly so you can think about it more intelligently — especially if you're deploying capital or deciding whether it makes sense to sit on the sidelines. If you've felt like the economy and the markets aren't really speaking the same language right now, I think you'll find this episode useful. Transcript Disclaimer: This transcript was generated by AI and may not be 100% accurate. If you notice any errors or corrections, please email us at phil@wealthformula.com.  You need to be out of the dollar and into the investor class because that that widening gap between those who have, who own things, who own assets and those who do not is gonna continue to widen. Welcome everybody. This is Buck Joffrey with the Wealth Formula Podcast, and today I am going to do something a little bit different. I’m gonna kind of give you. My perspective, maybe predictions I dare say about, uh, the upcoming year in 2026, how I look at it, what I think, uh, uh, is likely outcome and why. Not that I am any smarter than any of you on this stuff, but I’ve actually kind of sat down and, and thought about, you know, the things that are going on in the macroeconomic. Side of things and, um, put some stuff together and, uh, hopefully you’ll enjoy it. We’ll have, uh, that right after these messages. Wealth formula banking is an ingenious concept powered by whole life insurance, but instead of acting just as a safety net, the strategy supercharges your investments. First, you create a personal financial reservoir that grows at a compounding interest rate much higher than any bank savings account. As your money accumulates, you borrow from. Your own bank to invest in other cash flowing investments. Here’s the key. Even though you’ve borrowed money at a simple interest rate, your insurance company keeps paying you compound interest on that money even though you’ve borrowed it at result, you make money in two places at the same time. That’s why your invest. Get supercharged. This isn’t a new technique. It’s a refined strategy used by some of the wealthiest families in history, and it uses century old rock solid insurance companies as its backbone. Turbocharge your investments. Visit Wealthformulabanking.com. Again, that’s wealthformulabanking.com. Welcome back everyone, and, uh, happy New Year to you. I forgot to even say that in the intro. How rude of me. Hopefully you had a great holiday, you had a great Christmas, and you’re bringing in the new year with a vision of health and wealth and PO prosperity and all that stuff. So anyway, let’s talk a little bit about, uh, you know what I am. Kinda looking at for 2026. Now, when you think about, well, what are these predictions and what could they be and all that, um, interest rates, inflation markets, you know, uh, let’s set the foundation for how I’m thinking about it, because everything else really kind of builds on it. And the most important thing to understand is that debt. Is really now I think the main character in the economy. I know we, people have been talking about this for a very long time, but I think, I think the debt issue is really, really becoming something that cannot be ignored, and I’ll get into that in a while. Obviously, I’m not saying that inflation and interest rates don’t matter. They matter enormously. Uh, those are the things that people actually feel, right? Higher prices, higher mortgage rates, higher insurance costs. What I’m saying is that the level of debt now determines really how decisions on those things are made from policy makers. You know, how do they respond to inflation and interest rates, recessions market stress. What debt does is it actually kinda limits the range of choices around how policy makers react to all these things. So once you see that, the behavior of the economy starts to, I think, make a lot more sense. So let’s start with. Sovereign debt, and I’m gonna start really basic here because the question is, you know, what exactly is sovereign debt? Okay. And sovereign debt is the money a government owes, okay? In the US it exists because the government consistently spends more than it collects in taxes, and that gap is called the deficit. When that happens year after year, you have an accumulation of debt. Now, when debt is low, it’s, it’s pretty manageable, right? But when debt gets very large, it starts to influence policy decisions, and that’s where we are right now. Uh, here’s the key mechanic that I think most people don’t really think about, right? Governments don’t pay off debt the way you and I, you know, pay off our debt, like mortgage or whatever. They always refinance it, right? So when the US government borrows money, it issues bonds. That’s how it does, those bonds have maturity dates, and when you buy a bond, you’re, you know, you’re loaning the government money. So when a bond matures, the government owes that principle back to you. Right? So that’s, that’s kind of how well we talk about, we talk about debt, but the government doesn’t save money over time to pay off that bond. Like, I mean, that’s the way you would think about it for you and me, right? I mean, at some point you’re like, ah, I really need to pay off this debt. I’m just gonna pay it off with this money that I saved. Instead, what they do is when a bond comes due, it issues a new bond and uses the money from that new bond to pay back the old one. Okay. Now, if that sounds familiar, uh, to you, it’s because it’s pretty much what we would call in plain English refinancing, right? Now imagine though, the government issued a bond a few years ago when interest rates were near zero. That bond matures today, interest rates are much higher, right to pay off the old bond. The government issues a new one at today’s higher rates. So the debt doesn’t disappear, it just becomes more expensive to carry, right? I mean, it’s just like you got a mortgage, you know you had a, a great rate, but you only got it for seven years and all of sudden you gotta refinance it. Gosh, all of a sudden that rate went really higher and your payments are much higher, and the debt payments going up, you know, for the government, what adds to that deficit? It’s a really, really vicious cycle. Now, take that process and multiply it across trillions of dollars of debt. Now you can start seeing why interest rates matter so much in a high debt system. Now, what makes this especially important right now is that for over the last several years, the US issued a very large amount of short-term debt. Short-term debt matures quickly, and that means large portions of government debt. Come due every year and have to be refinanced at whatever the interest rate exists at the time. So even if deficit stock growing tomorrow, which they won’t, the government would still need smooth functioning financial markets just to keep refinancing what it al what already exists now. This is why the economy has become so sensitive to interest rates, liquidity and confidence. Higher interest rates increase the cost of refinancing, right? We’ve mentioned that already. And that pushes deficits higher and forces even more borrowing. So I mentioned liquidity. What is that? Well, liquidity is about how easily money moves through the system. When liquidity is good, bonds are easily absorbed. Banks lend markets function normally, and when liquidity dries up, refinancing becomes fragile. That stress. Stress in the market spreads quickly. And then finally, confidence I mentioned too. Why does confidence matter? Well, confidence matters because investors need to believe that the system is gonna hold together. When confidence weakens, guess what happens? Well, what would happen if you think about it with a loan, a higher risk loan? While investors demand higher yields like refinance, it becomes even more expensive. And problems compound fast. Now, this is why Pol policymakers are extremely uncomfortable with high borrowing costs, reduced lending, falling asset values, and deep recessions. Recessions, by the way, don’t make debt easier to manage. They make it harder by reducing tax revenue and worsening debt ratios. Now that brings me to a, something that I am feeling sort of back and forth with. Um. You know, a listener who sent me some commentary about, you know, the fear of going back to 1970s, eighties style interest rates. But the thing is that I just don’t think that comparison works, and here’s why. Okay, so in the 1970s, the US had far less debt. Interest rates could go very high without threatening the government’s ability to refinance itself. Now today, with debt much larger relative to the economy, very high rates don’t just fight inflation. They stress the entire financial structure, right? You can’t just say, oh, we’re gonna make super high rates because the cost of all that debt the government has is gonna be extraordinarily expensive. Now, that doesn’t mean that rates can’t rise. It means policymakers have far less tolerance for how high and how long rates can stay elevated. It’s a completely different system from the 1970s and eighties. So I think trying to put things into that context is probably not, um, not a, a good way to think about it. So why am I fo focusing on this right now? Uh, instead of a few years ago, because again, we stu we didn’t suddenly become a high debt economy this year. So what changed? Well timing a massive amount of debt that was issued at very low interest rates, as I mentioned before, is now maturing and being refinanced at much higher rates, and that shift is no longer theoretical. It’s happening in real time. Last year, much of that low uh, rate, debt was still in place. Interest costs hadn’t fully reset, but going into 2026, they have no, I, I keep talking about, you know, how much we’re paying an interest, right? Because again, that’s a big difference between now and the 1970s when you could have, you know, you didn’t have as much debt so you could pay more interest on it. Right now, the US is now spending roughly a trillion dollars a year just on interest. Her perspective, right? I mean, what’s a trillion dollars? Uh, what does that even mean for the normal person? Well, for Perce perspective, that’s the defense budget. $1 trillion. It’s more than Medicare, more than most major federal programs. And the thing is that money doesn’t do anything, right. It doesn’t create growth. It just services past borrowing. And this is the point where debt stops being background noise, kind of an annoyance that people just say, well, we’ll kick it to the next generation. It start starts actively shaping, uh, policy decisions because it’s, it’s a thing that you gotta pay for. You gotta keep paying for it. So the takeaway I want you to carry forward is simple. We now live in a system where policymakers don’t have the luxury of letting things break when debt is low. Governments can tolerate deep recessions like you saw in the seventies and eighties and long recoveries. When debt is high, they can’t because even small shocks can just really get outta control quickly. And that’s the framework I think, uh, that I’m using as we move into interest rates, inflation, and what all this means for markets going into 2026. So let’s talk about interest rates. You’ve heard me say that I think that interest rates are gonna come down. Um, they’re gonna continue to tick down a little bit. I don’t think a lot, but I do think there’ll probably be at least one more rate cut. I think, you know, you’re probably gonna have some, um, uh, some lowering in the 10 year and, and the bond market in general. Uh, but interest rates are not gonna go back to 2010, right? They just aren’t. And. The 2010s were not normal. There were a very specific period created by very specific conditions, right? Inflation was persistently low, uh, but just wouldn’t go up. Globalization, uh, push prices down. Capital was abundant. Debt levels, well, they were high, but they’re rising, but they hadn’t become what they are now. And because of that, central banks could hold rates near zero without much consequence. That environment, unfortunately, does not exist now. So today, debt is much higher. Inflation risk is real again, and investors expect to be compensated for lending money long term. So even when rates decline from current levels, they do not return, uh, they will not return to where people, uh, anchor them psychologically. If they’re thinking about the 2000 tens, they’re gonna settle higher. Within the 2000 tens baseline, you see policymakers are kind of stuck if rates, uh, say too high for too long. We mentioned this before. Refinancing government debt becomes increasingly expensive. Interest costs rise, deficits, widen, and then you get that financial stress that’s spreads through the credit markets. But if rates are pushed too low for too long, borrowing accelerates. And that’s. When inflation resurfaces and confidence in the currency weakens, so then that’s the tug of war. So policymakers, uh, you know, they, they can no longer choose between high rates and low rates. They’re gonna be choosing how to manage, uh, the trade-offs, right? So what’s gonna happen is that you’re gonna see that rates are gonna move within a range. Uh, they come down when something breaks, they move back up when inflation pressures recurrent. Um, that’s why volatility matters more than the exact. Level of rates going forward, in my opinion. So we’re, we’re not returning to free money. We are also not headed to a permanent 1970 style high rate world. What we are doing is entering a time where borrowing costs matter. Again, refinancing is not guaranteed, and rate swings are part of the system, and that naturally leads to the question of inflation. So once you understand why rates. You know, don’t go back to the 2010. The next question becomes, uh, well, if policymakers can’t keep rates high for long and they can’t push them back to zero either, then what are they actually trying to ac accomplish? Well, the answer is that, that the goal is kind of shifted for decades. Economic policy was focused on disinflation, um, you know, pushing inflation lower and lower. Over time, uh, and inflation was actually treated as a failure, and that made sense. In a world with lower debt in a high debt world, that logic sort of breaks down, right? Deflation, which is actually falling prices, increases the real value of debt. Think about that for a moment. Like just in terms of. You know, you have a mortgage and you know, sometime, you know, your parents might have like a 30 year mortgage or something like that, that they’ve had for 25 years. They’ve been paying it off and it’s great. But the bigger thing to notice is the amount of money that they borrowed is actually very small in real world dollars because it’s, you know, 25 years later. See, inflation is bad when it’s, you know, you’re dealing with it, but inflation is. Good at one other thing, which is it’s good at eroding debt. It will make, uh, the amount of the value of the, you know, the actual money that you owe on debt lower over time. So that’s why you can’t have deflation, right? You can’t have deflation because that increases the real value of the debt. It discourages spending, slows growth and makes refinancing harder. So in today’s system, deflation is way, way more dangerous than moderate inflation. And so because of that inflation really isn’t something that I think is quite as important that has to be eliminated at all costs. That, you know, you have to be right at 2%, which is, you know, kind of what the, the fed his, his target is, right? Instead, what you gotta do is you gotta manage it. Of course, that doesn’t mean you want runaway inflation. What they wanna do is have enough inflation to keep nominal growth positive and prevent debt burdens from become heavier again. Why? What do I mean by that? You gotta have enough inflation to erode the debt that we have, right? So this is why that 2% inflation target should be understood. As, you know, kind of aspirational, but not absolute because having a little higher inflation, yeah, it hurts people. It’s, uh, it hurts people on a day-to-day basis, but actually helps with that. So even at, uh, you know, inflation sell a bit higher than, than, than the, you know, 2% fed target say it’s 4%, it’s actually eroding, uh, you know, it is eroding purchasing power, but it’s also eroding debt. It’s, it’s stabilizing debt dynamics. From the system’s perspective, of course that’s helpful. But for us, we’re paying for things on a day-to-day basis to see the cost of eggs and all that. It’s, it’s frustrating, right? And that tension between system stability and personal cost, it’s one of the defining features of the economy heading into 2026. So when you see policymakers tolerate inflation, uh, longer. Then you think they should or step in quickly When markets kind of wobble, it’s not confusion or incompetence, it’s actually constraint because debt limits the available choices. Rates are managed within a range. Inflation is guided and not eliminated. Now put those together and you get the environment we’re moving into, which is an economy where markets can look. Resilient, even while people feel stretched, right? I mean, that’s kinda what we’re feeling. Everybody’s like, oh, these markets are doing fantastic, you know? But then, you know, you look at consumer confidence, it goes down. It’s been going down every month. This is an environment where asset prices recover faster than wages, and we’re understanding how policy reacts becomes a real advantage. So that’s kind of my macro setup for 2026. Um, you know, with that framework, we can start looking into the first prediction I’ll make. And again, these are not, you know, crazy predictions. Uh, they are just generalized things that I think you’re gonna see. So, like the first one is that the markets will stop being reliable proxy for the economy. You could argue that’s already happened, right? Markets in the economy kind of stopped correlating. We saw it after the financial crisis, right? We saw it very clearly even during COVID. The decoupling itself is not new. What’s new is that that decoupling is no longer temporary. It’s become the baseline that’s become the new normal. Uh, for most of modern history people had a fairly reliable mental model, right? You probably do. If you grew up in the eighties and nineties, uh, as a kid or whatever, when the economy felt bad, layoffs, we growth falling in con incomes, markets usually reflected the pain. Right. Sometimes there was a gap. Sometimes markets recovered a little earlier, but eventually things kinda re converged. The economy healed. We just caught up in the markets and lived experience kinda lined up. Now that’s the model that most people still have in their heads, and that’s why so many people feel so confused right now. I mean, I feel confused by it. So what’s changed going into 2026? You know, it, it is, it’s structural Now. We’re no longer living in a system where policy intervenes only during emergencies. We are, uh, in a system where policy is always on, debt is permanently high, rates are actively managed, inflation is tolerated rather than eliminated. And as a result of that, markets aren’t really necessarily responding primarily to how. The economy feels to people they’re responding. Uh, you know, it’s responding to refinancing needs. Liquidity management. Uh, confidence preservation. That’s a very different signal. COVID is the clearest example of that ship, but it’s, it’s important to understand it correctly. So in 2020, the economy was literally shut down, right? Unemployment exploded. Uh, small businesses were collapsing, right? Like, this is COVID and yet markets bottom quickly. We saw that and then bam. All time highs, even though life kind of felt terrible for a lot of people. And that wasn’t because the economy was healthy, it was because policy overwhelmed fundamentals. And at the time that felt extraordinary. It felt very different. Like this doesn’t make any sense. What’s different now is that we’re still using the same playbook but with out in obvious crisis. So intervention is no longer reactive. It’s, you know, uh, it’s preventative. So what do I predict for 2026? Well, markets are gonna stop being a reliable proxy for economic health. Uh, you, you people can just stop talking about that. Like it, like it, it means anything anymore. Markets going to increasingly reflect how constrained policymakers are and how much liquidity is in the system, and how aggressively risk is being managed. They’re not gonna, the markets are not gonna tell you. About affordability, wage pressure, or whether life feels easier or harder for people. Right. Those are completely gonna, those are, it’s just a standard thing now that those are uncorrelated and the gap is not, uh, abnormal anymore. It’s. The operating environment. So what do you do with that information? Well, for an individual investor, this environment requires a real mindset shift, right? You can’t rely on your gut anymore. You can’t say, man, I feel like this economy doesn’t feel good. So the market’s gonna look at the, I mean, you, you, you know, a lot of people feel like the economy doesn’t feel good to them because of inflation, because of what happened with interest rates and all that stuff, right? But look it, you’ve got. Record breaking, uh, stock market numbers. You can’t rely on your gut anymore. Your gut is telling you the economy feels bad. For many people, that’s absolutely true. Costs are high. Again, things feel tight, and the instinct is to wait to sit in cash. To assume markets would reflect that pain, but that instinct used to work. And in this system it doesn’t because markets are no longer pricing in how the economy feels. They’re pricing policy response. Liquidity and constraints. So if you wait for the economy to feel good before you act, it’s gonna be way too late. So instead of asking, does the economy feel weak, you need to start asking different questions. You need to ask how constrained policymakers are, how quickly liquidity will return if markets wob on it, and where capital tends to flow first when policy steps sit. In other words. You gotta start really thinking about investing, right? Like you gotta, like right now. Now I’ve talked, I’ve beat this over many times before, but you know, you have, if you’re, if you’re saving money right now and you’re looking and you are wondering what to do, look for things that are on sale now. I spent real estate’s on sale right now. Right? Get your money into the markets one way or another. That’s what I would say. Whatever it is that you want to invest in. Don’t let your money just erode because this lack of correlation is, it’s a really, really important thing and it’s, it’s gonna continue to happen and you know what else is gonna happen Because of that, you’re gonna see an increasing widening up the wealth gap. People whose income is tied primarily to wages are, are gonna experience that inflation directly, right? Their money’s trapped in the real economy where costs rise faster than income. But investors on the other hand, have an opportunity to participate in the markets that are supported by this sort of unnatural infrastructure that I just mentioned, right? As asset prices are gonna continue going up. Now, I’m not here to judge whether that’s a good thing or a bad thing, I’m just telling you how it’s functions. So the investor class increasingly benefits from asset appreciation, right? Early access to liquidity. While lower income groups often can participate in that upside. Even as their cost of living rise, because they’re not in the markets, they’re not, they don’t own assets. So again, you have to stop, you know, using how the economy feels is your primary investing signal. If you wanna protect and grow your wealth in this environment, you need to understand how policy reacts, how you know liquidity moves, how assets behave when the system is under constraint. And in other words, uh, you know. Frankly, you just need to be part of the winning class, which is the investor class. Alright, so that’s kind of, uh, hopefully that made sense to you. Here’s another prediction for you, and this is probably more related to some of the things that we talk about usually, but I’ll say that multifamily and commercial real estate are going to finish their washout, and the window is gonna start to really close again. I’ve talked about this. Before, you’ve probably heard me say this, but let’s talk about multifamily and commercial real estate again, because you know, this audience doesn’t need just theory. You’ve already lived through the pain or the past two years you’ve seen deals blow up, capital calls go out, refinancings fail. So the real question going on in 2026 is not whether real estate breaks. It’s already, it already did. It already did. The real question is how much longer this phase lasts and what replaces it. My view is that 2025 into early 2026, um, represents the final phase of this unwind in the beginning of stabilization. I’m not predicting an immediate boom, not a return to 2021 by any means, but the end of obvious distress. So what’s happened already from 2022 to 2024? Multifamily and commercial real estate absorbed the fastest rate shock in modern history. Many of you lived through that. I lived through that. It’s painful. Debt costs doubled or tripled. Cap rates moved hundreds of basis points. You know, bridge debt structures broke, uh, refinancing assumptions collapsed. Now, a lot of the deals, I mean, I would say most of the deals, uh, uh, that, you know, kind of imploded, uh, shared the same DNA, you know, peaking price, uh, purchases, uh, during peak prices in 2021, early 2022. Uh, you know. Floating rate thin or negative cash flow based on, you know, the rates at the time. Maybe it was positive business plans that were really dependent on refi and rent growth. Um, those deals though, have largely already defaulted, recapitalize, or, you know, they’re being quietly handed back. And that matters because markets don’t keep breaking the same wave forever. If, if you’re seeing right now and if you’re in our investor club, you are. 30% discounts on a regular basis. Right? On a regular basis compared to the peak. Don’t assume that’s gonna last. That this is the key point I wanna make very clearly. If you’re looking at multifamily or commercial deals today that are trade trading at that 30% below where they were a couple years ago, you should not assume that window stays opening. Definitely because the level of discount there, uh, the level of discount exists because. Dried up liquidity, uh, because of that violent rate reset, uh, uncertainty. But here’s the thing, markets don’t stay frozen forever and as soon as pricing stabilizes, even at higher cap rates, which are going to be higher than they were, because you’re not gonna see interest rates down at zero, capital is gonna start to move again. And stabilization doesn’t require rates to go back to zero. It just requires some level of predictability. So here’s the sequence of what happens first, you know, the distress slows, uh, you see less and less defaults, and then slowly but surely cap rates stop expanding, right? That alone brings back buyers. Then as rates drift mo lower and volatility declines, lenders reenter selectively, debt becomes a billable again. It’s not cheap. It’s definitely usable and that brings more liquidity. When I say liquidity, in this context, I’m talking about just more deals getting done. And once liquidity returns, cap rates don’t stay wide forever. They compress, right? It’s competition. And again, when they compress, they’re not gonna go back to 2021 levels, but enough to meaningfully lift asset values from distressed pricing. This can happen faster than people expect, right? People underestimate the fact that there is an enormous amount of capital sitting on the sidelines right now in money market funds, short term treasuries, private capital, waiting for clarity. That capital isn’t, you know, permanent. The moment investors believe that rates of peak, that prices of stabilized downside risks is contained, that money starts to chase yield. When it does the transition from, nobody wants this, everyone wants exposure again, can happen surprisingly fast. In other words, I’m not saying I think this will happen in 26, but the shift from a market that is on sale, which I’ve described it as to a market that is starting to look a little frothy, can really be just a couple of years. And in that situation, I’d rather be a net seller, right? You wanna be accumulating. During this phase of for sale so that you can sell in froth. So what this means is that the market is, you know, uh, is not a market to wait for everything to feel perfect, because by the time it does, the obvious discounts are gonna be gone. And if you wait for perfect clarity, you’re gonna be competing, you competing with institutional capital, with large private funds and, and, and yield hungry money coming outta cash. The opportunity is not assuming distress lasts forever. It is. It’s in recognizing when the market is transitioning from forced selling, which is what is happening even now to price discovery. So ultimately, the prediction is this multifamily and commercial real estate, that that washout is completed in 2026 and the window created by distress really starts to close. Deep discounts don’t persist. Once market stabilized, which I think is what’s gonna happen, and then I think you’re gonna start to see a shift. You’re gonna start to see more deals, more liquidity, and that’s gonna return faster than people expect. In other words, this is gonna be the end of, you know, sort of this bargain basement, you know, panic pricing. And once real assets stabilize and liquidity returns, attention inevitably turns, uh, to the currency, those assets are priced in. Which brings us to the prediction number three. That dollar, okay, the dollar doesn’t collapse, but it does continue to erode. It slowly leak, right? Let’s talk about the dollar, ’cause you hear about this all the time, right? A nausea, you hear the, the weakening of the dollar. Um, this is one of those topics that where people tend to jump to extremes. You know, on one side you hear the dollar is about to collapse. On the other side you hear the dollar’s strong and everything’s fine. I think, um, the truth is somewhere in, in the middle. And my prediction for 2026 is simple. Um, again, the dollar doesn’t really explode. It doesn’t get replaced. It can just continues to erode slowly but surely. And that’s how reserve currencies actually behave when debt gets high. Right. So why no collapse, right? Because you got like people out there, uh, worried about the collapse of the US dollar. The US dollar is gonna remain dominant, not because it’s perfect, but because there’s no real alternative at scale. There just isn’t. Okay? There’s no other currency with markets as deep, as liquid and as widely used for trade debt and collateral. So, you know, reserve currencies, you know, you hear about the, the worry about us being the reserve currency. Well, reserve currencies don’t disappear overnight. They erode gradually, but they don’t disappear overnight. And that erosion shows up not as a crash, but again as persistent inflation, right? It’s rising, you know, real asset prices, which is again, where you wanna be, and a slow loss of purchasing power over time. Again, that brings us back to the whole issue of debt we were talking about, right? So in a highly indebted system, policymakers are not incentivized to aggressively defend the currency at all costs, right? So very high interest rates might strengthen the dollar in the short term, but they also make debt harder to service and financial stress worse, right? So instead of choosing strength or collapse. Um, you know, policy drifts towards tolerance, right? Inflation is allowed to run a little hotter than people expect, because again, it’s gonna erode that debt. The currency weakens slowly, therefore, rather than violently, right? Again, currency weakening. It’s that, it, it’s so entwined with this idea of inflation because debt becomes easier to manage in real terms. And one of the things I hear, and I’ve been sort of in these conversations back and forth with, um. At least one of you out there, uh, in, in emails is that, you know, I hear, uh, that, that, that there’s a, a serious problem for interest rates because of, you know, China, uh, selling US treasuries. And because of that you might get the collapse of the dollar. In fact, in this conversation, it was not only about China, but also Europe. Which, you know, I hadn’t actually heard anybody mention that before, but I guess that’s out there in the ecosystem and some of the newsletters. Now, all that sounds scary, but it really misunderstands how the system actually works. What exactly happens when someone or a country sells treasuries? Well, they don’t dis, they, they don’t just destroy the dollars. What they’re doing is they just swap $1 asset for another, right? The dollars don’t even lead the system. They change hands. So this idea of China selling off all it t trade, well, China’s been, uh, reducing its treasury holdings for years and the dollar hasn’t collapsed. The market absorbed it because treasuries are the deepest, most liquid market in the world. And then this idea of Europe, of of Europe actually dumping treasuries because, you know, they’re not happy with Donald Trump and what he’s doing in Ukraine and all that, that would be an absolute nightmare for, for Europe. That would hurt their own economy. That’s the last thing that an indebted government wants. So foreign selling, yeah, sure it’s gonna move yields, but it, it’s not gonna implode the dollar. But the reality of the, uh, erosion of the dollar is real. I don’t think anybody questions that anymore, and I think that is another reason that you need to be buying. Real assets. You need to be buying equity. You need to be on the side of the investor class. Okay? That’s, that’s how you combat all of this. So the real takeaway here ultimately is that, you know, it isn’t, uh, to abandon the dollar, right? It isn’t. It’s, it’s just to stop pretending that holding cash is neutral. It’s not, it, most of your wall suits and assets that, that can’t adjust. You know, they can’t grow as, you know, as, as asset prices grow, then you’re making a bet on currency stability that literally no one believes is, is going to be the base standard anymore. Everybody knows, every economist, every country, every everywhere knows that these currencies are eroding. You don’t freak out about the dollar, but don’t, don’t, don’t be like heavily in dollars. Start getting into the markets. Alright, well, you know, I’m talking a lot about esoteric macro stuff, but let’s kind of get into some stuff that you might think is fun, more fun maybe. Okay. You, a lot of you are into Bitcoin. Well, I think that, you know, Bitcoin is gonna continue to mature. And the next look, leg up looks like, you know, because of more adoption, not because of hype, which isn’t maybe not as, as, as fast and violent, but it’s, it’s, it’s a lot more predictable. For those of you who are still unfortunately listening to the likes of Peter Schiff about Bitcoin, you gotta stop doing that because Bitcoin is not tulips. Right? A lot of people still talk about it like it’s a fad that could just vanish. We’re long past that phase. Bitcoin is, is, is a $2 trillion asset and in the history of the world, there has never been a $2 trillion asset that went to zero. Is it volatile? Yeah, it is. It can absolutely continue to be wildly volatile, but you’re not going to zero. And my prediction is not overly crazy. It’s just that. Bitcoin is going to continue to increase in price, but it’s not become, not because of speculative, uh, you know, because it’s a speculative trade anymore, right? I think it’s because of adoption. Uh, adoption is going to become the real meaningful driver of market capitalization. So what do I mean by that? It just means more people are seeing it as a real asset, and it has to become, when it becomes a real asset class, everyone has to have some of it. Every major institution has to have some of it because it’s an its own asset class. And when they do that, it just drives up the entire market capitalization of that asset. And when you have an asset that has a finite amount, which in the case of Bitcoin, there will never be more than 21 million Bitcoin. You have constant adoption, constant slow, but persistent growth in market capitalization, the asset has to become more expensive. Now, what do I mean by this adoption? Well, places that you would never think in a million years, a few years ago, that that would be buying Bitcoin or you know, ETFs, B to Bitcoin ETFs are doing. So Harvard. Harvard is a great example. Because it’s not, it’s not crypto influencer, right? It’s actually one of the most conservative, brand sensitive pools of capital in the world. But their endowment management, uh, disclosed roughly 443, uh, million dollars in its position in BlackRock, uh, BlackRock, iShares Bitcoin, Bitcoin Trust, which is ibi for those of you who, who, uh, don’t know, that’s how you can just go to your New York Stock Exchange and, and buy. Bitcoin ETFs with ibit. Now, whether you love this whole Bitcoin idea or hate it or whatever, that’s a signal that is increasingly treated like a portfolio asset. It’s not a fringe experiment, and it’s not only universities. Uh, institutional comfort is it’s just there, right? Um, custody, uh, custody regulated vehicles, positioning, size, risk controls, those kinds of things are all become part of the Bitcoin uh, environment. Many countries are already holding meaningful amounts of Bitcoin. Uh, even the US has, there’s a, there is a formalized Bitcoin reserve. Now we aren’t actively buying it, but here’s an interesting thing with Bitcoin, you can, when it is, uh, the way that the US is accumulating Bitcoin is through seizures. Alright? Bad guy gets caught. His boats, his house and his Bitcoin get, uh, confiscated. So the US will sell the house, they will sell the gold, they will sell the boats, but they will keep the Bitcoin. What does that tell you? You know? And, and there’s a lot of nations that are actually openly holding and, and buying Bitcoin. I mentioned the US China. This always seems to be, uh, you know, anti Bitcoin. Well, they actually own quite a bit the UK, Ukraine, Bhutan, El Salvador. Bottom line is there’s a big change in narrative, right? That this is a real asset. So this is something that, you know, even if it’s 1% of a major, uh, institution’s assets or less than that, or whatever, it’s part of it. And that adoption alone can move prices from, from here. And that’s what I think a lot of people miss because they’re like, well, you already had a big move and you know, instead a hundred, it’s 80 or 90 or a hundred, whatever. It’s, it’s not going much better, bigger than that. Well, Bitcoin is, is actually really small relative to global pools of capital. So at this stage, adoption alone. Not even the crazy mania of the past can make a non-trivial increase in market capitalization and therefore a mark, you know, a non-trivial increase in the actual price of Bitcoin. All it’s gonna take, and you’re gonna see this, you’re gonna see more endowments, you’re gonna see more sovereign wealth pool, pensions, mod model portfolios, all they guys daisy side, when you know, even with a small allocation. It doesn’t take too much to overwhelm the available float because Bitcoin is scarce and a lot of it’s held tightly. So as far as Bitcoin goes, what do I think is gonna happen? I believe all time highs are gonna get challenged. They’re gonna get broken again in 2026, not because again, everyone’s suddenly becoming a crypto maximas, but because adoptions could just gonna continue to grow. The wild card, I should say, is that the US moving from, we hold. What we seized in terms of Bitcoin to actively acquiring reserves could be enormous catalyst. And there is a lot of talk about this right now. Um, if the market ever believes that the US is a consistent buyer, even in a constrained budget neutral way, that changes the psychology fast. And in that scenario, I think 200,000 plus, uh, $200,000 plus Bitcoin by the end of 2026 becomes very plausible. Zooming out. I’ve said this before, you may think I’m crazy, but again, because of adoption, I think that Bitcoin is at a million dollars five to seven years from now. So what does that mean for you? Well, I mean, I think at the end of the day, if you don’t own some, you might want to, I’m not gonna give you financial advice, but again, just like Harvard’s doing it, you know, major, major endowments are saying, well. You know, maybe we’ll just buy, like, you know, 2% of that, 2% of our, our, uh, endowment will be made of something like that, right? Uh, you know, it’s just even a very small amount, but exposure to it makes a lot of sense. So I think that is something to highly consider if you are still on zero when it comes to Bitcoin. All right, now here’s my last, uh, prediction. You may have heard me talking about this before as well, that AI becomes a deflationary force that policy makers finally wake up to. And I think this is actually one of the most important and misunderstood economic developments, um, that is currently already out there. But I think it’s, it’s gonna be really recognized. By the end of 2026. Okay. Artificial intelligence is gonna stop being just a tech story, and it’s gonna become a macroeconomic story. I think that by the end of 2026, artificial intelligence is clearly, uh, you know, it’s clearly, um, going to be boosting corporate earnings while beginning to materially reshape the labor force. Um, and what’s gonna happen is that central banks and policymakers are gonna start treating it. Is a genuinely deflationary force over the next several years, and they’re gonna try to have to figure out what to do about it. And again, going back to our earlier conversation, because deflation is really a real problem for a country with an enormous amount of debt. So let’s get a little bit into the whole deflationary uh, conversation. So artificial intelligence at its core is a productivity machine, right? It allows companies to produce more. Without, with fewer inputs, fewer hours, fewer people, fewer stakes and productivity always shows up in profits before it shows up in everyday life. Right now, lower cost per transaction, faster execution, fewer people doing the same amount of work, widening margins without price increases. That’s the tell. That’s when profits rise without raising prices, something deflationary is happening underneath the surface. The biggest impact there is the labor market, right? It’s gonna be impossible to ignore. And this is where the conversation really shifts because artificial intelligence doesn’t need to eliminate jobs outright to matter. It only needs to reduce the number of people required to do it, right? So you’re thinking the labor markets, you’re gonna see a lot of this. You’re gonna see more slowing in hiring. Um, even while productivity expectations rise, and I think by late 2026, the public conversation is gonna change from will artificial intelligence affects jobs someday to why aren’t companies hiring the way they used to? And of course, that’s when people are gonna start paying attention and they’re gonna notice it’s deflationary because it’s going to be because artificial intelligence is gonna push down the cost. Of services, administration, customer support, research, and eventually decision making itself. That’s why it’s, it’s deflationary, it’s structural, right? Just think of all those things you can do for so much cheaper. That is what deflation is, right? And again, we mentioned before deflation is not something central banks are comfortable with because of debt and because debt heavy systems rely on nominal growth. Deflation makes debt heavier in real terms as opposed to what we said before, which is that inflation actually erodes debt. And that is a, a very, very challenging problem. And by 2026, I think you’re gonna hear a lot about this, you know, policy problem that we have. Which is innovation versus, you know, deflation. You make a lot of money, but are still worried about retirement. Maybe you didn’t start earning until your thirties. Now you’re trying to catch up. Meanwhile, you’ve got a mortgage, a private school to pay for, and you feel like you’re getting further and further behind. Now, good news, if you need to catch up on retirement, check out a program put out by some of the oldest and most prestigious life insurance companies in the world. It’s called Wealth Accelerator, and it can help you amplify your returns quickly, protect your money from creditors, and provide finance. Financial protection to your family if something happens to you. The concepts here are used by some of the wealthiest families in the world and there’s no reason why they can’t be used by you. Check it out for yourself by going to wealthformulabanking.com. Alright, well, so that’s basically it for my, uh, predictions. And I know I’ve kind of. Off on many different tangents, so hopefully it’s useful to you at least to start thinking and doing some of your own research. Bottom line is this, I mean, as, as a investor, what can you do? I think the big story here is understanding that, um, you need to be out of the dollar and into the investor class because that that widening gap between those who have. Who own things, who own assets, and those who do not is gonna continue to widen. And so, you know, my best, uh, won’t call it advice, but my own belief is that it is a, it is a very good time to look around and look for assets that are underpriced because I think everything is going to expand and it’s gonna ex expand. Uh, and you don’t wanna be caught, you know, on the, uh, dollar side of that equation. So. That’s it for me this week on Wealth Formula Podcast. Happy New Year. I’ll see you next week. If you wanna learn more, you can now get free access to our in-depth personal finance course featuring industry leaders like Tom Wheel Wright and Ken McElroy. Visit wealthformularoadmap.com.

Why Smart Real Estate Investors Start with Short-Term Loans (and End with Long-Term Cash Flowing Properties) In this episode of the Real Estate Reserve Podcast, we break down one of the most effective wealth-building strategies in real estate investing: using short-term financing to acquire properties and exiting into long-term, cash-flowing debt. We explore the three primary exit strategies every real estate investor should understand—selling, paying off a property in cash, or refinancing into permanent debt—and why refinancing into long-term institutional financing is often the smartest path for building sustainable rental portfolios. You'll learn how investors use hard money loans, private money, and bridge financing to buy and renovate properties, then refinance into DSCR (Debt Service Coverage Ratio) loans that allow properties to cash flow without relying on personal income verification. We walk through how DSCR loans work, common credit and LTV requirements, seasoning timelines, and why rental income analysis is critical to success. This episode also covers: The BRRRR strategy (Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat) How DSCR ratios impact loan approval and cash flow Common pitfalls like appraisal shortfalls and rental income miscalculations Refinancing timelines and when to apply for permanent debt Backup plans if a refinance doesn't go as expected A real-world cost breakdown of short-term vs. long-term financing Why having a clear exit strategy upfront is essential Whether you're a new investor exploring rental properties or a seasoned investor looking to scale with smart leverage, this episode provides practical insights into structuring deals that transition from short-term capital to long-term wealth.

Most people think refinancing is just paperwork. It's not — it's a skill. In this episode, I break down how refinancing is really about timing, leverage, and strategy, not luck. Done right, it's how you pull capital without killing cash flow and keep scaling when others get stuck. If you want to move smarter in real estate, this episode shows you how to treat refinancing like a weapon, not a checkbox.

Joshua and Amelie dive into the newly introduced 50-year mortgage option (as of 2025), exploring its potential benefits and drawbacks. They highlight the importance of understanding how any mortgage fits into an individual or family's financial plan, and why consulting with a trusted financial advisor could help consumers evaluate whether this loan structure may make sense for them. Topics Discussed: A brief history of mortgages and how they've evolved alongside the rising cost of building homes. The debate: Why discussions about the 50-year mortgage often exaggerate pros or cons depending on personal bias. Interest rate considerations: A 50-year mortgage is more appealing when rates are low. The interest rate difference compared to a 30-year mortgage is relatively small Monthly payments are lower than a 30-year mortgage. However, the reduction isn't as significant as the jump from a 15-year to a 30-year loan. Refinancing potential: Moving to a 50-year mortgage could ease financial strain by freeing up cash flow Affordability myth: A 50-year mortgage doesn't necessarily encourage buyers to purchase “too much house” any more than a 30-year loan would. Actual mortgage duration: Most homeowners don't keep a mortgage for the full term—on average, loans last about 8 years before being refinanced or paid off. Fixed payments: Regardless of length, mortgages lock in principal + interest payments, even as inflation and income levels change. Total interest: Technically you'll pay more total interest with a 50-year loan. However, the time value of money matters too—$10,000 in year 40 doesn't feel the same as $10,000 in year 10 due to inflation and income growth. Cash flow impact: The interest rate has more of an impact on your current and future cash flow than the length of the mortgage. Housing market effects: In the short term, 50-year mortgages may affect home prices, but long-term supply -and-demand will likely play a bigger role.

In this episode, Laura Neal, CFP® and Vic Colella, CFP®, CDFA®, have a discussion all about how we think about the decision to refinance your mortgage. They share the history of mortgage rates to date, some rules of thumb, and how to think about the math behind evaluating your mortgage. This timely discussion gives you everything you need to know to decide if a refinance might be right for you now or in the future. If you have suggestions for episode topics or would like to give us feedback, we would love to hear from you! Please email us at podcast@woodwardadvisors.com.

Misha Kaufman shares his journey from orphanage to owning multifamily real estate, revealing how mindset, systems, and AI fuel long-term success.In this episode of RealDealChat, Jack Hoss interviews Misha Kaufman, co-founder of Kraft Capital Investments, who shares his incredible journey from a Russian orphanage to managing hundreds of multifamily units in Texas.Misha opens up about his early life, property management roots, and how mentorship and systems helped him transition into full-scale multifamily investing. He also shares how his first $250K flip taught him resilience — and how tools like EOS (Entrepreneurial Operating System) and AI automation now power his growing portfolio.You'll learn:How Misha transitioned from property management to ownershipLessons from flipping mistakes and managing market volatilityThe difference between single-family and multifamily investingHow to identify undervalued multifamily opportunitiesWhat makes team structure essential in syndication dealsWhy the wrong partners can destroy great opportunitiesHow to use EOS and quarterly “rocks” to scale predictablyReal-world use cases for AI in operations and marketingThe mindset shift from working in to working on your business

In this episode, Brent Bowers breaks down the power of house hacking—a smart strategy to fund your real estate dreams even when money is tight. Inspired by one of his Landsharks students, Brent shares creative ways to turn your current living situation into a cash-generating opportunity, from renting out spare rooms and garages to house hacking your way into your first deal.He also walks through his own journey of using roommates to cover his mortgage, refinancing his first home to buy more properties, and building a portfolio that eventually created financial freedom—all without starting with big money.For more land REI opportunities, go ahead and join The Landsharks Program.---------Show notes:(0:59) Beginning of today's episode(1:08) How a 24-year-old Landshark funded his first deal through house hacking(2:03) Brent's college story: renting out rooms to cover expenses(3:12) Buying a foreclosure using a VA loan and turning it into a cash flow machine(4:16) Refinancing, pulling equity, and scaling into more rentals(5:02) Renting out rooms, garages, and driveways for extra income(6:09) Using these small income streams to fund your marketing and coaching(6:31) Creative ways to house hack and start building wealth(7:34) How one property snowballed into multiple investments(8:28) Building long-term wealth through compounding, rent, and depreciation(9:01) The importance of taking action daily and thinking long-term----------Resources:To speak with Brent or one of our other expert coaches call (281) 835-4201 or schedule your free discovery call here to learn about our mentorship programs and become part of the TribeGo to Wholesalingincgroup.com to become part of one of the fastest growing Facebook communities in the Wholesaling space. Get all of your burning Wholesaling questions answered, gain access to JV partnerships, and connect with other "success minded" Rhinos in the community.It's 100% free to join. The opportunities in this community are endless, what are you waiting for?

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