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https://backed.by/thatfakeguydanWe're here with a guest! The latest Nintendo news, distressing news, Nashville updates, Google Veo, Epstein, Harvard hilarity, a chemical deep dive and a lot more this week.https://t.me/joinchat/F_cKGTWhXPRjMTRhhttps://odysee.com/@ThatFakeGuyDan:ahttps://www.patreon.com/ThatFakeGuyDanhttps://www.minds.com/ThatFakeGuyDanhttps://www.twitter.com/ThatFakeGuyDanhttps://www.parler.com/ThatFakeGuyDanhttps://www.instagram.com/ThatFakeGuyDanhttps://gab.com/ThatFakeGuyDanShowlinks:https://www.notebookcheck.net/Walmart-Switch-2-release-date-stock-may-be-too-low-to-satisfy-buyers-with-canceled-pre-order-sales.1028026.0.htmlhttps://x.com/Ryanhakurei/status/1927392475183739238https://x.com/Pirat_Nation/status/1928907823007600692https://x.com/craigbob99/status/1928961917655072866https://x.com/ResisttheMS/status/1928897795152335148https://x.com/NewsM101/status/1928715578774094065https://x.com/alx/status/1928068661375390136https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/1928765648852619425https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/1928085972971048984https://x.com/AGPamBondi/status/1928188442103439521https://x.com/TimesLIVE/status/1927395415726362840https://x.com/DougMackeyCase/status/1927487345680331159https://x.com/VigilantFox/status/1927535911077572731https://x.com/amuse/status/1927431291382698461https://x.com/LeadingReport/status/1927379922474901837https://x.com/gotrice2024/status/1927282621802832241
Korrelation ist nicht gleich Kausalität, und wer fundierte Entscheidungen treffen will, braucht mehr als gute Vorhersagen. In dieser Folge geht es um Confounder, Spurious Correlations und die Frage, wann Machine Learning kausale Einsichten liefern kann. Mit dabei: DoubleML als Brücke zwischen klassischer Statistik und Machine Learning. **Zusammenfassung** Unterscheidung zwischen Vorhersage und Intervention: Nur Kausalität beantwortet die "Was-wäre-wenn?"-Frage Praxisbeispiele: Bugs & Discounts, Eiskonsum & Kriminalität, Salzgehalt & Flussmenge Wichtig: Confounder identifizieren und herausrechnen, z. B. durch Zeitreihenzerlegung Einführung in Double ML: ML-Modelle für Response und Treatment, Effektschätzung über Residuen Herausforderungen: Overfitting-Bias, Regularisierung, verzerrte Effekte bei hoher Komplexität Alternativen & Ergänzungen: A/B-Tests, strukturelle Gleichungsmodelle, Kausaldiagramme Fazit: Vorsicht bei Spurious Correlations, Ceteris-paribus-Fallen und Feature-Interpretation - Kausalität braucht Kontext und Methode **Links** Blogartikel von Scott Lundberg: Be Careful When Interpreting Predictive Models in Search of Causal Insights https://medium.com/data-science/be-careful-when-interpreting-predictive-models-in-search-of-causal-insights-e68626e664b6 ICECREAM-Datensatz (verfügbar über das tsapp R-Paket): https://search.r-project.org/CRAN/refmans/tsapp/html/ICECREAM.html Victor Chernozhukov et al. (2018): Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters, The Econometrics Journal, Volume 21, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1111/ectj.12097 Matheus Facure Alves (2022): Causal Inference for The Brave and True (kostenfreies Online-Buch) https://matheusfacure.github.io/python-causality-handbook/landing-page.html DoubleML (Python & R): https://docs.doubleml.org/stable/index.html EconML (Microsoft Research): https://econml.azurewebsites.net/index.html Causal ML (Uber Engineering): https://causalml.readthedocs.io/en/latest/ Vortragsfolien von Prof. Dr. Steffen Wagner: "Navigating the Ocean of Correlations to the Islands of Causality – Time Series Analyses at its Best", gehalten bei der Machine Learning Week München 2024 https://de.slideshare.net/secret/aArFURFQSBxrzB
Derek Moore talks about seeing stories of exploding 30-year yields but what if they are low compared to historical relationships between the fed funds rate? Then, looking at how correlated the 60/40 portfolio has been over the last 5 years begging the question, did it do anything for investors? Later, looking at NVidia implied volatility ahead of its big earnings release this week to see what the options market is pricing in for a potential one standard deviation move? All this and more this week. S&P 500 Index net profit margins expected next 12 months The US Dollar index breaks below its trendline Nvidia earnings and the options market Forecasting expected 1-standard deviation moves using implied volatility Correlations between the S&P 500 Index and the 60/40 portfolio last 5 years Historical average of the spread between the 30 Year Treasury and the Fed Funds Rate Should the 30-year treasury yield be higher? Japan bond yields normalize reaching highest levels going back to 2007 Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
Chief Marketing Officer Scott Coburn of Patriot Mobile joins Amber May to share the sweepstakes on winning Jason Aldean Tickets. Patriot Mobile has partnered with Country Music Superstar Jason Aldean to promote conservative ideas and great music. Joe Biden and the rest of the Deep State kept his diagnosis a secrete from the American people during elections. Some more surprising news coming out about the correlation between cancer and vaccines. Join Me On Telegram https://t.me/theambermayshow Podcast Like A PRO https://successfullyyouuniversity.teachable.com/courses/ Promocode Amber Discord https://discord.gg/pJ9nd8uY The Amber May Show Theme Song https://suno.com/song/87e27080-4ddb-47f7-8722-b00b251e6c84 Follow Me on Pickax https://pickax.com/azladyz Get all your My Pillow Products at a DISCOUNT www.mypillow.com/amber Use Promo Code AMBER and save up to 66% off Promo code-AMBER 800-957-2123 Get Ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine and SAVE Dr Stella Immanuel www.drstellamd.com Use Promo Code AmberMay and save Patriot Mobile- Free Activation https://www.patriotmobile.com/amber/ Use Promocode AMBER When you become a Patriot Mobile member, your dollars are helping to fund our God-given right to freedom. A portion of every dollar we earn is given back to the causes that support organizations that fight for First Amendment Religious Freedom, Freedom of Speech, Second Amendment Right to Bear Arms, Sanctity of Life, and the needs of our Veterans and First Responders. Docuseries Restore Your Brain Health, Reverse the Effects of Alzheimer's https://wr374.isrefer.com/go/bhbt/amberhiliker/ Save Money When Using A Patient Advocate In The Medical System https://www.graithcare.com/?ref=Amber Take Control of Your Health & Healing! Get the full celebration of solutions that happened at Healing For The A.G.E.S. Over 20 hours of ground-breaking, life-changing, information you've never heard before, and can't get anywhere else! https://healingfortheages.com/ use promocode Amber The Flynn Movie https://www.flynnmovie.com/ref/azladyz/ War On Truth Movie You've been told that J6 was a violent insurrection against the United States by a group of angry, fringe, MAGA supporters… What if it wasn't? What if there really was a War on Truth? https://hisglory.tv/?ref=448 Promocode MAY Patrick Byrne, the founder/CEO of Overstock.com, rose to the height of financial success and was once heralded as a Wall Street prophet. However, in 2019, Byrne seemingly slipped into madness — stepping down from his multi-billion dollar company, claiming to be a covert government asset trapped in a deadly game of political espionage https://enemywithindocuseries.com/ref/amber Promocode AMBER Is it possible with Turbo Cancers on the rise and Big Pharma's reputation at zero, that Americans are finally ready to hear the truth about Cancer? Are you ready? In the 70's a Doctor working for a National Cancer Institute discovered that Apricot seeds, which contain B-17, actually slowed the growth of tumors. https://rncstore.com/ambermay Ensure the health of the indoor air quality in your home investing in good air purifiers to eliminate pollutants and allergens, providing you with a breath of fresh air in the comfort of your home. Improve the water quality in your home by an RO or with hydrogen water https://airwaterhealing.com/#May Promocode May Supermassive Black Coffee is the dark brew that fuels the fire of rebellion, empowering free thinkers to rise against the establishment with every bold sip. Always 100% organic gourmet coffee beans Use Promocode AMBER https://www.supermassiveblackcoffee.com/ Freedom First Coffee www.FreedomFirstCoffee.com Use Promocode AMBER Freedom First Beef www.FreedomFirstBeef.com Use Promocode AMBER Delicious Cheesecakes https://belovedcheesecakes.com/ PromoCode AMBER The Commander's Artist Save 10% Promo Code Amber https://thecommandersartist.com/shop/ Lose Weight Attain Your Health Goals https://ambermay.kannaway.com/ Reverse aging with Timeless Pack www.TimelessPack.comPromocode AmberMay https://ambermay.kannaway.com/ambermay/product/MY003E?categoryid=460 Hero's Soap Save 10% with Promo Code AmberMay We Are on These Platforms Rumble https://rumble.com/c/TheAmberMayShow Odysee https://odysee.com/@azladyz:c Locals https://theambermayshow.locals.com https://yournews.com/author/amber-may/ Bitchute https://www.bitchute.com/search/?query=azladyz&kind=video CloutHub: https://clouthub.com/c/4EWXEKT9 Podbean: http://theambermayshow.podbean.com Catch Amber May Paisley Radio Wednesday 9pm (uk time) repeated Fridays at 1am (uk time) 2PM MST https://paisleyradio.com/ Catch Amber May On UG Media Fridays 10PM (UK Time) 3pm MST/5pm EST https://theug.media/wp-content/ugplayer/xlplayer.html Catch Amber May on Express Radio Station Thursday at 6pm MST/8pm EST https://live365.com/station/Express-Radio-a643 The Vera Radio Network today at 7pm ET www.mikevara.com www.Patriot-Radio.com
In this episode we answer emails from Yangon, The Value Stock Geek, and Graham. We discuss the ins and outs of margin accounts at Interactive Brokers, some annoyances with gold ETFs and 1099s, and BTAL vs. treasury bonds.And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional Links:Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna CenterTyler On The Security Analysis Podcast: Tyler (@PortfolioCharts): The Amazing Power of Uncorrelated AssetsAnalysis Of BTAL vs. SPY vs. TLT With Correlations: testfol.io/analysis?s=jAQO2TjzAPaper Re Stock Market Volatility And Treasury Bonds (C. Moise): Flights to Safety, Volatility Risk, and Monetary Policy by Claudia E. Moise :: SSRNBreathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:Diving deep into the financial weeds, Frank tackles several practical questions that impact do-it-yourself investors managing their own portfolios. What begins as a detailed exploration of Interactive Brokers' margin loan program reveals valuable insights about using portfolio assets as collateral, the tax deductibility of margin interest, and how to monitor your account to avoid margin calls.The conversation shifts to an unexpected tax headache many gold ETF investors face: those annoying tiny distributions that clutter 1099 forms while providing minimal value. Frank compares how different brokerages handle these transactions, offering practical advice for simplifying your tax reporting experience. For those weary of manually entering dozens of nickel-and-dime transactions each tax season, this segment provides welcome relief.Perhaps most valuable is Frank's thoughtful analysis of asset correlations and why treasury bonds remain irreplaceable in risk parity portfolios despite recent correlation changes. "Correlations are not magical and they're not random," Frank explains, dismissing the notion that we've entered a "new paradigm" where traditional diversification no longer works. He articulates why correlation changes are tied to macroeconomic conditions and why treasury bonds still serve as essential recession insurance that alternatives like BTAL cannot replace.The weekly portfolio review brings welcome news as most sample portfolios show positive performance, with gold continuing its strong 2024 despite recent pullbacks. Small cap value remains the year's underperformer, while the diverse range of portfolio strategies demonstrates how risk parity principles can adapt to different investor needs.Whether you're considering margin loans, puzzling over gold ETF tax statements, or questioning the role of treasury bonds in today's market environment, this episode delivers practical wisdom for navigating these complex investment waters. Frank's straightforward approach strips away the mystique surrounding these topics, empowering listeners to make more informed decisions with their portfolios.Support the show
Is it really possible that these trees walk around the rainforest like the Ents in Lord of the Rings?I forgot to mention that there won't be an episode next week. Here's your one-week notice that I'll be on vacation next Friday. ✈️Music by James Milor from PixabayInformation provided by:Stilt-Root Walking by an Iriateoid Palm in the Peruvian Amazon by John H. Bodley and Foley C. Benson (1980). Biotropica, 12(1), pg. 67-71. https://doi.org/10.2307/2387775https://www.sciencealert.com/a-persistent-rumor-suggests-this-tree-can-walk-around-but-is-it-trueThe function of stilt roots in the growth strategy of Socratea exorrhiza (Arecaceae) at two neotropical sites by Gregory R. Goldsmith and Rakan A. Zahawi (2007). International Journal of Tropical Biology and Conservation, 55(3). https://doi.org/10.15517/rbt.v55i3-4.5955 [Abstract]https://www.treeres.com/the-walking-tree-phenomenon-unraveling-the-secrets-of-socratea-exorrhiza/https://www.natureandculture.org/directory/walking-palm-trees/https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socratea_exorrhizaThe epiphyte vegetation of the palm Socratea exorrhiza: Correlations with tree size, tree age and bryophyte cover by Gerhard Zotz and Birgit Vollrath (2003). Journal of Tropical Ecology, 19, pg. 81-90. DOI: 10.1017/S0266467403003092Tropical Plants of Costa Rica by Willow Zuchowski (2007)
Diversification is famously the only free lunch in investing. But when asset correlations shift, that meal might come with an unexpected bill. Economic cycles, inflation surprises, and market crises can all rewrite the rules when you least expect it. And in today's Dumb Question of the Week: Can adding an asset with negative expected returns ever be good for your portfolio? --- Thanks to Raisin UK for supporting this episode. Raisin UK is a free, easy-to-use platform where you can access savings accounts from over 40 FSCS-protected banks and building societies — all in one place. What's more, for a limited time only, you can receive a £100 bonus when you register and fund your first savings account with a minimum of £10,000 using the code "SAVINGS100". For more details, please visit the link raisin.co.uk/pensioncraft ---Get in touch
Hi, and welcome to The Long View. I'm Dan Lefkovitz, strategist for Morningstar Indexes. Our guest this week is Daniel Rasmussen. He's the founder and portfolio manager of Verdad Advisors, a hedge fund. Before starting Verdad, Dan worked at Bain Capital Private Equity and Bridgewater Associates. He's a member of the investment committee of the trustees of donations of the Episcopal Church and he's a contributor to The Wall Street Journal. Dan is author of the new book, The Humble Investor: How to find a winning edge in a surprising world. His earlier book was American Uprising: The Untold Story of America's Largest Slave Revolt. Dan holds a bachelor's from Harvard and an MBA from Stanford. Dan, thanks so much for joining us on The Long View.BackgroundBioVerdadThe Humble Investor: How to find a winning edge in a surprising worldAmerican Uprising: The Untold Story of America's Largest Slave RevoltForecasting“Waves in Ship Prices and Investment,” by Sam Hanson and Robin Greenwood, Quarterly Journal of Economics, February 2014.Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, by Philip Tetlock“Gaining Edge by Forecasting Volatility and Correlations,” by Dan Rasmussen, Chris Satterthwaite, and Lionel Smoler Schatz, verdadcap.com, Oct. 30, 2023.Value Investing“Where the Value Investing Strategy Still Works,” by Dan Rasmussen, ft.com, May 23, 2024.“Factors from Scratch: A Look Back, and Forward, at How, When and Why Factors Work,” by Chris Meredith, Jesse Livermore, and Patrick O'Shaughnessy, osam.com, May 2018.“The Size Factor: Small Caps Are Trading at the Steepest Discount to Large Caps in Decades,” by Dan Rasmussen and Brian Chingono, verdadcap.com, Aug. 22, 2022.“The Small Cap Amplifier,” by Dan Rasmussen and Brian Chingono, verdadcap.com, Oct. 21, 2024.“Explaining International Valuations,” by Dan Rasmussen, verdadcap.com, Jan. 27, 2025.Private Credit and High Yield“The ‘Fool's Yield' of Private Credit,” by Jamie Powell, ft.com, Jan. 28, 2020.“Sizing Private Equity Allocations,” by Dan Rasmussen, verdadcap.com, May 13, 2024.“The Best Macro Indicator: Why You Should Be Following High-Yield Spreads,” by Dan Rasmussen, verdadcap.com, May 17, 2021.Crisis Investing“Crisis Investing in Europe: The Unlikely Winners in the Most Difficult Times,” by Dan Rasmussen and Brian Chingono, verdadcap.com, May 16, 2022.“EM Crisis Investing, A Deeper Dive: Understanding the Factors at Play in Emerging Markets,” by Verdad Research, verdadcap.com, May 3, 2022.
Who pours their heart and soul into journey maps that end up gathering dust...Exactly no one of course!Sure, we all want our journey work to have more impact, faster. But the question is how?That's exactly what we're exploring in the Journey Management Playbook series in collaboration with TheyDo.What makes this series different is that it's built on the real-world lessons learned from companies who are deep in the trenches of implementing journey management. Success leaves clues – clues we're sharing with you.Just like in the first episode, this second part dives into a step that many professionals (myself included, sometimes) tend to skip, overlook, or take for granted. Yeah, it's the kind of oversight that often comes back to haunt you later on.This crucial step is all about grounding your journey efforts in solid evidence, blending the what with the why. It's what separates informed action from guesswork.Getting this right brings clarity on what truly deserves your attention and what noise you can safely ignore. Without it, you're essentially sailing in the dark, hoping for the best. And let's be honest, hope isn't the most reliable strategy when stakeholders are looking for tangible results.So, join Tingting Lin and me to learn how to prevent your journey management efforts from failing to make the impact they deserve.I thought I already had things pretty well dialled in with my own journey management, but this conversation was an eye-opener. Tingting showed how looking into a few simple things differently could help me ground my journeys in even stronger evidence. Take care,~ Marc[RESOURCES]LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/tingting-lin Journey AI Episode: https://youtu.be/ImPCICkw9CITheyDo - https://www.theydo.com/[EPISODE GUIDE]00:00 Episode Preview 04:00 Meet the Expert: Tingting06:30 EP 1 Recap: Business Challenge08:30 Data in Workflow11:30 Analyzing with Data16:30 Data Types & Sources18:00 Siloed Data Challenge19:30 Numbers vs Emotions21:30 Why Data Quality22:30 Understanding Quant Data25:30 Correlations & Indicators28:00 Comperehensive data32:30 Adding Data Context35:30 Actionable Data Context37:45 Quant Data Takeaways39:00 Qualitative Data Example41:00 Churn Example with Qual43:00 Unstructured data45:00 Naturally occurring data48:00 Key qualitative data insights49:45 AI for Quality Analysis50:45 Putting Data Together53:00 Data Combination Insights56:00 Data in Large Businesses57:30 The Business Journey Tool58:30 Episode 3 Preview1:00:00 Audience Q&A (EP 1)
The market is changing, and so are the rules. Learn how to navigate the shifting landscape with Julia Hermann on Market Matters.
Understanding Emotion Dysregulation and BPDIn this enlightening episode, Bill Eddy and Megan Hunter explore emotion dysregulation, particularly focusing on its connection to borderline personality disorder (BPD). Fresh from his New Zealand trip, Bill joins Megan to share expert insights into why some individuals experience intense emotional reactions and how this impacts relationships.The Brain-Emotion ConnectionBill and Megan delve into the neurological aspects of emotion dysregulation, discussing how brain structure influences emotional responses. They explore research about brain development and its role in managing emotions, offering hope through evidence that therapeutic interventions can create positive changes.From Childhood Through AdolescenceThe discussion examines how genetic predisposition, early childhood experiences, and parent-child relationships shape emotional regulation abilities. Bill and Megan provide valuable insights for parents struggling to distinguish between typical teenage behavior and potentially concerning patterns, while exploring how media and social networks can reinforce unhealthy emotional patterns.Questions we answer in this episode:What is emotion dysregulation and how does it relate to BPD?How can parents distinguish between normal teenage emotions and concerning behavior?What role does brain structure play in emotional regulation?Can emotional regulation skills be improved through therapy?How do early childhood experiences impact emotional regulation?Key Takeaways:Emotion dysregulation is a key component of BPD but can be managed with proper treatmentBrain structure plays a crucial role in emotional regulationEarly childhood experiences significantly impact emotional regulation abilitiesThe teenage years present a critical window for developing emotional regulation skillsMedia and social networks can reinforce unhealthy emotional patternsThis episode provides essential insights for parents, mental health professionals, and anyone seeking to understand emotional regulation better. Bill and Megan offer practical, science-based information while maintaining a compassionate perspective on managing big emotions.Links & Other NotesCOACHING & CONSULTATIONConsultation (1-hour)Coaching: Live LabBOOKSThe Big Book on Borderline Personality DisorderThe Borderline Personality Disorder Wellness Planner for FamiliesCOURSESConflict Influencer™ ClassHigh Conflict Legal Dispute Resolver CertificationARTICLESKeep the Conflict Small (with managed emotions)OUR WEBSITE: https://www.highconflictinstitute.com/Submit a Question for Bill and MeganAll of our books can be found in our online store or anywhere books are sold, including as e-books.You can also find these show notes at our site as well.Note: We are not diagnosing anyone in our discussions, merely discussing general patterns of behavior. Nor are we providing legal of therapeutic advice. Please seek the assistance of your local professionals to seek help. (00:00) - Welcome to It's All Your Fault (01:39) - Emotion Disregulation (02:18) - Catching Up (05:53) - Big Emotions and BPD (07:31) - Correlations (08:27) - Quick Shifts (17:54) - Anger Management Classes (19:03) - Teen Years (21:16) - Deciding What's Normal (27:41) - If You're the Parent (29:34) - Media Influence (32:29) - Bottom Line (33:01) - Reminders & Coming Next Week: Anger Learn more about our New Ways for Mediation Coaching Sessions. Get started today!
On this week's episode Damien discusses the importance of understanding the correlation between different asset classes when building a diversified investment or pension portfolio. He then reveals which assets have been the best portfolio diversifiers and performers over the last 5 years. Damien then takes a look at the best Moneyhub alternatives following the news that the budgeting app is set to close. Finally, Damien and Andy discuss the rumours that the UK government is about to slash the cash ISA allowance.Thank you to our sponsor LightyearThis show is sponsored by PensionBee the UK's leading online pension provider. It can help you transfer most old pensions together into one new online plan, so you'll know exactly how much you've saved and where to find it. If you are looking for a low-cost, hassle-free way to consolidate your pension pot (excluding final salary pensions), then PensionBee is worth considering. When you transfer your pensions, you can pick from a range of purpose-built pension plans, and if you want to contribute more to your pension, you can do that too. You can sign up to PensionBee in minutes using just the names of old employers or pension providers. Capital at risk.Watch the whole show on YouTube here:Check out this week's podcast article on the MTTM website to see the full list of resources from this week's show.00:00 - MTTM Podcast episode 49604:37 - Importance of understanding the correlation between different asset classes13:26 - Alternatives to Moneyhub budgeting app14:45 - The Closure of Money Hub15:13 - Final Budgeting App Recommendations and User Insights23:51 - Speculation on Reduction of the Cash ISA allowance27:25 - The Future of Cash ISAs 28:42 - End of episodeFollow Money to the Masses on social media:YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/moneytothemassesFacebook - https://www.facebook.com/moneytothemassesInstagram - https://www.instagram.com/moneytothemasses Tik Tok - https://www.tiktok.com/@moneytothemassesYou may already compare products and services online and make purchases but by doing so via our dedicated page you might not only save money but could also earn cashback or take advantage of exclusive offers for MTTM listeners.Every time you use a link on the page we may earn a small amount of money for our podcast. We only use affiliate links that give you an identical (or better) deal than going direct. Thank you for being an incredible part of our community. Your support means the world to us.Support the show by visiting and bookmarking our dedicated podcast page:Money to the Masses Dedicated Podcast Page - Click to support the showLinks referred to in the podcast: Best Moneyhub alternatives Try out the Money to the Masses budgeting spreadsheet Chancellor considers cutting Cash ISA limit to £4,000 Take out a free trial of 80 20 investor
In this episode of Life Science Marketing Radio, I spoke with Oliver Pearce, VP and Head of Marketing at Epista Life Sciences. Oliver brings a unique perspective to life science marketing, having started his career in the nightlife and hospitality industry. Now leading marketing at Epista, a consultancy firm specializing in pharmaceutical quality, regulatory compliance, and commercialization, we talked about what he learned from working in the nightlife scene and events, the importance of strategic narrative and where he sees opportunities for companies to do better ( be less lazy).From Nightlife to Life SciencesOliver's career took an unconventional path, beginning in nightlife and event promotion before transitioning into life sciences. This early experience taught him the fundamentals of building engaged communities, identifying the audience and who could amplify a message—an approach he has successfully applied to his work in the pharmaceutical industry.Building a Global Community Around Trial Master FilesOne of Oliver's most impressive achievements has been the creation of TMF Week, a large-scale online event dedicated to Trial Master Files. Initially conceived as a webinar series, TMF Week evolved into a high-profile industry event with over 40 speakers and thousands of attendees.The idea emerged as a response to the need for frequent educational sessions on TMF. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated its adoption by filling the gap left by canceled in-person events and industry professionals rallied behind the event, validating its importance. Here is the part I find most interesting (and valuable). TMF Week initially launched as an unbranded event and gained credibility before becoming synonymous with Oliver's (previous) company.The event was organized with a small team and limited resources, using basic webinar tools and CRM integrations. Despite logistical challenges, it became a central platform for industry discussions and a key driver of business opportunities.The Power of Strategic Narrative in MarketingI appreciate how Oliver emphasizes the importance of crafting a strategic narrative rather than just relying on a standard value proposition. While value propositions focus on what a company offers, a strategic narrative provides a broader industry perspective and aligns messaging across sales, marketing, and leadership.Not subscribed? Let's fix that, shall we? Subscribe for free to receive new posts by email. (No Spam. I promise.)Elements of a Strong Strategic NarrativeIf you're familiar with The Hero's Journey from Joseph Conrad, you‘ll recognize how it's implemented here in a very succinct way:* Define a major shift in the industry and explain its significance.* Identify the challenges that come with that shift.* Offer a clear perspective on how businesses should adapt.* Demonstrating how your company helps customers navigate the change.This approach produces marketing that is not just about features and benefits, but about leading an industry conversation in a way that builds authority and trust. This is an approach that works regardless of where someone is in the buying cycle. It doesn't mean throwing features and benefits away, but rather provides value in an interesting way that increases the likelihood of being considered when a customer has a problem you can solve.Common Pitfalls in Life Science MarketingI asked Oli to point out where life science marketing can come up short. * Lack of Business Alignment: Marketing is often viewed as a cost center rather than a revenue driver because it isn't directly tied to sales and pipeline growth.* Overreliance on Vanity Metrics: Metrics like website traffic and lead volume don't necessarily translate to business impact, leading to misaligned priorities.* Random Acts of Marketing: Without a strategic foundation, marketing teams often engage in disconnected activities that fail to build long-term engagement.Aligning Marketing with Business GoalsOliver advocates for tying marketing success to measurable business outcomes. LEad generation may be the easiest metric to track, but this doesn't necessarily provide the best outcomes in the long run. Other metrics, while a little more challenging, can provide a better picture and improve overall results. Instead of focusing on lead generation alone, he recommends tracking:* The conversion of marketing-generated leads into pipeline and revenue.* Correlations between brand awareness efforts and increased inbound inquiries.* High-intent engagements, such as direct requests to speak with sales.By aligning marketing efforts with business goals, marketing teams can move beyond vanity metrics and demonstrate tangible value to the organization.Lessons from Nightlife Marketing Applied to Life SciencesCoincidentally, I have spoken to two people recently who have transferred their skills from an earlier time in the nightlife world to life science. Oliver's background provided him with a unique skill set, including:* Community Building: Understanding how to attract and engage audiences for an event.* Adaptability: Testing different marketing approaches and adjusting strategies based on real-time feedback.* Focusing on Outcomes: Just as nightclubs measure success by attendance, marketing should measure success by business impact rather than surface-level engagement.Life science marketing can go beyond traditional tactics and focus on strategic storytelling, community engagement, and measurable business impact. His experience proves that even with limited resources, marketers can build high-value industry events and thought leadership platforms that drive long-term success.Your deepest insights are your best branding. I'd love to help you share them. Chat with me about custom content for your life science brand. Or visit my website. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cclifescience.substack.com
We kicked off the program with four news stories and different guests on the stories we think you need to know about! Stories of the late President Jimmy Carter & his involvement with Habitat for Humanity with Bruce Percelay - Chairman of the Edward Kennedy Institute Board & head of the Boston chapter of Habitat for Humanity.Norovirus cases surge in Massachusetts! What is the norovirus and what can you do to protect yourself from getting it? Dr. Paul Sax - Clinical Director, Division of Infectious Diseases for Brigham & Women's Hospital checked in with Dan.From Congress to the Cabinet: Margaret Heckler's Legacy as a Trailblazing Force for Justice and Equality with Kimberly Heckler – Author & Daughter in Law of Margaret Heckler.Ongoing LA Wildfires Destroying Acres Upon Acres. Would MA firefighters get called out to West Coast to help tackle the LA fires? Correlations between what we saw here with MA brushfires compared to the West Coast with David Celino – Chief Fire Warden for MA Department of Conservation and Recreation (DCR).Ask Alexa to play WBZ NewsRadio on #iHeartRadio and listen to NightSide with Dan Rea Weeknights From 8PM-12AM!
Investing in Bizarro World Episodes: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIAfIjKxr02sAztzlJNy1ug5bDvTVZkME&si=w2d_EF-B5jMo1dYD Subscribe to Investing In Bizarro World: @bizarroworld China's in trouble. The Red Dragon's bond yields are crashing, with the 10-year recently falling below 1.6% for the first time ever. The US is having bond market issues of its own, with yields going significantly higher despite multiple rate cuts from the Fed. We break it down for you with a history lesson on Bond Vigilantes: what they are and why they matter to your portfolio. Meanwhile, the US dollar is ripping higher as inflation returns and gold remains strong. Correlations are once again out the window as the Bizarro World of 2025 gets underway. Speaking of bizarre things, Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos have a private AI mining company that just raised money at a $3 billion valuation. We get into what this means for the rest of the sector. And then we get into some premium portfolio picks from some of our paid publications. All that, plus a look at current copper and uranium market dynamics in this 299th episode of Investing in Bizarro World. By the way, this will be the final fully free episode. Later this month, we'll be putting all the juicy bits behind a paywall. We go over the details of what that will look like in this episode. 0:00 Intro2:45 Macro Musings: China's in Trouble, Bond Yields Bubble, Dollar Strength, Inflation Returns18:21 Market Takes: Copper's Conundrum, Uranium Update, Stock Market Flows33:45 Bizarro Banter: Bill Gates's Copper Play, Military Vets Turn to Terror48:09 Premium Portfolio Picks: One Uranium, One StapleVisit our website Daily Profit Cycle for more content like this and more! https://dailyprofitcycle.com/
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We discuss how the inverse correlation between bonds and stocks has returned, broadening the potential for risk-adjusted returns in multi-asset portfolios. The discussion and content provided within this podcast is intended for informational purposes only and may not be appropriate for all investors. Reliance upon information provided in a podcast is at the sole responsibility of the listener. The information included herein is not based on any particularized financial situation, or need, and is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, a forecast, research, investment advice or a recommendation for any specific PIMCO or other security, strategy, product or service. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Investors should speak to their financial advisors regarding the investment mix that may be right for them based on their financial situation and investment objective. Podcasts may involve discussions with non-PIMCO personnel and such content contain the current opinions of the speaker but not necessarily those of PIMCO. Other podcasts may consist of audio recording of an existing PIMCO article and such material contains the current opinions of the manager. The opinions expressed in all podcasts are subject to change without notice. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. PIMCO as a general matter provides services to qualified institutions, financial intermediaries and institutional investors. This is not an offer to any person in any jurisdiction where unlawful or unauthorized. For additional important information go to www.pimco.com/gbl/en/general/legal-pages/podcast-disclosures
PROJECT SUN STREAK - THE ARK OF THE COVENANT and non human entities. Correlations to the Uintah Basin of Utah and much more. Tune in for a heck of a ride.
What are the critical factors driving investment success? How can investors balance profitability and risk? In this episode, we sit down with Dr. Sunil Wahal, the Jack D. Furst Professor of Finance and Director of the Center for Responsible Investing at the W.P Carey School of Business at Arizona State University, to delve into the intricacies of financial science. With over 25 years of academic and practical experience, Dr. Wahal shares his unique perspective on factor investing, profitability premiums, and how to approach value investing in today's complex financial environment. He talks about the joint distribution of value and profitability, explains how profitability premiums work, and discusses the challenges faced when integrating academic research into practical investing strategies. Dr. Wahal also touches on common misconceptions in financial theory, the long-term benefits of maintaining a diversified investor base, and why understanding the nuances of financial risk is key to avoiding costly mistakes. Gain insights into building a successful investment portfolio grounded in the principles of financial science and how to avoid common pitfalls in factor investing. Join us to hear actionable strategies for balancing risk, understanding factors, and applying academic research to real-world scenarios with Dr. Sunil Wahal! Key Points From This Episode: (0:04:15) Dr. Wahal's work on profitability, data sourcing challenges, and its significance. (0:08:01) The impact of controlling the value of the profitability premium. (0:10:08) Correlations between value and profitability and the benefits of “tilted” portfolios. (0:14:48) Steps for unleveraged long-term investors to build profitable portfolios. (0:17:27) How the joint distribution of value and profitability differs from a profitability screen. (0:20:43) Approaches of large financial firms to implementing value and profitability in portfolios. (0:24:41) Time horizons for tiled portfolios and their expected returns after cost. (0:30:53) Insight into how institutions decide on which investment managers to hire and fire. (0:38:00) Exploring how the hiring and firing of managers affects institutional performance. (0:40:16) Ways the relationships with institutions influence hiring decisions and performance. (0:44:35) Uncover how institutions select which private market firms to invest in. (0:48:58) Key takeaway lessons from Dr. Wahal's research for institutional investors. (0:50:52) Why frequently hiring and terminating managers may not be the best approach. (0:52:32) Advice for retail investors and the importance of cost in managing portfolios. (0:59:22) Reasons that institutions avoid indexing and the competitiveness of mutual funds. (1:02:29) How diversification among mutual fund investors affects performance. (1:09:19) Performance overview of actively managed global equity mutual funds. (1:12:35) The role of practitioner interaction and his concept of success. Links From Today's Episode: Meet with PWL Capital: https://calendly.com/d/3vm-t2j-h3p Rational Reminder on iTunes — https://itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-rational-reminder-podcast/id1426530582. Rational Reminder Website — https://rationalreminder.ca/ Rational Reminder on Instagram — https://www.instagram.com/rationalreminder/ Rational Reminder on X — https://x.com/RationalRemindRational Reminder on TikTok — www.tiktok.com/@rationalreminder Rational Reminder on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/channel/ Rational Reminder Email — info@rationalreminder.caBenjamin Felix — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Benjamin on X — https://x.com/benjaminwfelix Benjamin on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminwfelix/ Cameron Passmore — https://pwlcapital.com/our-team/ Cameron on X — https://x.com/CameronPassmore Cameron on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/cameronpassmore/ Sunil Wahal on LinkedIn — https://www.linkedin.com/in/sunil-wahal/ W. P. Carey School of Business — https://wpcarey.asu.edu/ Avantis Investors — https://www.avantisinvestors.com/ Dimensional Fund Advisors — https://www.dimensional.com/ UpWork — https://www.upwork.com NVIDIA — https://www.nvidia.com Episode 316: Andrew Chen — https://rationalreminder.ca/podcast/316 Books From Today's Episode: The Interpretation of Financial Statements — https://www.amazon.com/dp/0887309135 Papers From Today's Episode: ‘Long-Term Shareholder Returns: Evidence from 64,000 Global Stocks' — https://doi.org/10.1080/0015198X.2023.2188870 ‘Long-Run Stock Market Returns: Probabilities of Big Gains and Post-Event Returns' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3873010 ‘Prudential Uncertainty Causes Time-Varying Risk Premiums' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2176896 ‘A Five-Factor Asset Pricing Model' — https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2287202 ‘Do Institutional Investors Exacerbate Managerial Myopia?' — https://doi.org/10.1016/S0929-1199(00)00005-5
The Outer Realm welcomes Researcher and Author Mindy Tautfest Date: September 26th, 2024 Episode: 479 Discussion: Mindy will be discussing her book " Dying to Meet Them: One Woman's Incredible Journey from N.D.E. to U.A.P. " to which she talks about her NDE experiences in "The Void". She goes on to discuss her healing and internal journey of spiritual growth, her investigation and research into correlations previously found between UFO and Near-Death Experiencers during the Omega Project while taking them a step further, and describing them in great detail based on her own personal experiences. You will NOT want to miss this eye opening segment. Contact for the show - theouterrealmcontact@gmail.com Website: www.theouterrealmradio.com Please Support Us : Like, Subscribe, Share and Comment! Thank YOU!!!! About Our Guest: Mindy Tautfest is a published author, speaker, television personality, and the curator of the Hayden C. Hewes International UFO Bureau (IUFOB). Founded out of Oklahoma City in 1957, the IUFOB most famously investigated the Heaven's Gate Cult, the Aurora Texas Crash and Burial Site, and the massive 1965 UFO Flap over the central United States. Of great historical importance, President Jimmy Carter submitted the original, handwritten report of his 1969 UFO sighting to Hayden's bureau, and a copy of the IUFOB report now hangs in the Carter Presidential Library in Atlanta, GA. In 2023, Tautfest recovered the IUFOB files and has been working to digitize and preserve all documents from these incredible investigations. Using her investigations and experiences as a guide, Mindy brings new questions to the fields of Ufology and Near-Death studies. Could the Void be the location of an Absolute Source Reality? Are we living inside a cosmic hologram easily entered into by advanced entities? Can human consciousness transcend into other realms where these entities reside? What lessons can we take from the Void? How can the embodiment of nothing, affect our everything? About The Book While most Near-Death Experiencers return to this plane of existence with alluring tales of their time spent in the presence of the divine, what happens when one crosses the veil into the afterlife and Heaven refuses to answer? What existence truly lies beyond our own expectations? In this gripping true story, author, investigator, and aneurysm survivor Mindy Tautfest reveals the raw and unfettered details of her own chilling encounter in a place of isolating, utter darkness known as The Void. The wife of a Southern Baptist minister, her expectations of a joyous homecoming full of all-encompassing love were shattered when she was instead met with a devastating experience for which she could have never been prepared. Buy the Book at Amazon: https://a.co/d/dKxKMsM If you enjoy the content on the channel, please support us by “Liking, Subscribing, Sharing and Commenting: Thank you All A formal disclaimer: The opinions and information presented or expressed by guests on The Outer Realm Radio are not necessarily those of the TOR Hosts, Sponsors, or the United Public Radio Network and its producers. We will however always be respectful and courteous to all involved. Thank you, we appreciate you all!
Are you an ambitious, high performer on a mission to improve the aging process? Do you struggle to get the desired results even when doing all the "right" things? If you are curious about wearing a CGM but not sure what to do or how to use the data collected... listen to this episode with Catherine Staffier. Glucose variability and optimal ranges? Correlations to insulin sensitivity? Exercise and glucose? Nutrient timing and exercise on glucose? Stress on glucose? Fasting too long? Metabolic Flexibility? Alcohol consumption? How to use for Fat loss? Performance gains? Metabolic health/longevity? What are you doing today to live your best self at age 70, 80 and 90 plus years old? Are you taking ownership of your health and your future self now so you can thrive as you age instead of struggle?? Life is not a race. It is a Journey. External and HIDDEN internal sources of CHRONIC Stress will impact all efforts... check out the elements of what I call "The WHOLESTIC Method" to transform the WHOLE you from the inside out to burn fat, improve performance and longevity. There is not a once size fits all solution. We are all unique. The struggle is real and I understand the challenges as well as frustrations in finding the right answers to feeling and looking your best -especially when you think you are doing everything "right". Doctors may tell you that your lab results are "normal" and there is nothing is wrong with you - but you know that you are off and not performing your best in life or sports. Let's investigate what is actually going on under the hood and put your missing of your health puzzle back together again. Choose to thrive each day and not survive the day. Contact Coach Debbie for a complimentary 20-minute call to discover more. Connect and Follow Coach Debbie: Life is Not a Race...It is a Journey: Learn how to pace the WHOLE you with The WHOLESTIC Method https://www.amazon.com/dp/1540572005 WEB: http://debbiepotts.net/
August News You Can Use 1) Heart Disease to Housing Lawsuits 2) Epic's Cosmos study on heart disease in aging populations 3) Correlations with LDL and HDL levels & critiques the study's summary and conclusions 4) The need for caution as the data isn't peer-reviewed 5) Announcements from Epic's UGM meeting 6) The lawsuit against RealPage for alleged price-fixing in rental markets, draws parallels to healthcare pricing practices 7) Debunks false claims about electronic medical records (EMRs) facilitating illegal voter registration To stream our Station live 24/7 visit www.HealthcareNOWRadio.com or ask your Smart Device to “….Play Healthcare NOW Radio”. Find all of our network podcasts on your favorite podcast platforms and be sure to subscribe and like us. Learn more at www.healthcarenowradio.com/listen
JOIN OUR WEEK ONE DFS GAME!! The gang is BACK! Join Sia Nejad, Meg Shoup and Mike McClure as they give you the advice to make your week 1 main slate a winning one. (02:53) - Jaguars (+3.5) at Dolphins (49) (09:17) - Steelers (+3.5) at Falcons (42) (17:45) - Panthers (+4) at Saints (41.5) (20:19) - Patriots (+8) at Bengals (41) (23:40) -Titans (+4) at Bears (44.5) (27:00) - Cardinals (+6.5) at Bills (48) (31:52) - Texans (-3) at Colts (48.5) (37:27) - Raiders (+3) at Chargers (40) (40:54) - Broncos (+6) at Seahawks (41.5) (44:48) - Commanders (+3.5) at Buccaneers (43.5) (50:03) - Cowboys (+2.5) at Browns (41) (52:26) - Mike's Cheat Sheet (54:13) - Meg's Cheat Sheet (55:38) - Sia's Cheat Sheet (57:41) - Showdown Slate Observations Fantasy Football Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcasts Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday SUBSCRIBE to FFT Express on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-express/id1528634304 Follow FFT Express on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6qyGWfETSBFaciPrtvoWCC?si=6529cbee20634da8 SUBSCRIBE to FFT Dynasty on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dynasty/id1696679179 FOLLOW FFT Dynasty on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2aHlmMJw1m8FareKybdNfG?si=8487e2f9611b4438&nd=1 SUBSCRIBE to FFT DFS on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dfs/id1579415837 FOLLOW FFT DFS on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5zU7pBvGK3KPhfb69Q1hNr?si=1c5030a3b1a64be2 Follow our FFT team on Twitter: @FFToday, @AdamAizer, @JameyEisenberg, @daverichard, @heathcummingssr Follow the brand new FFT TikTok account: https://www.tiktok.com/@fftoday Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter You can listen to Fantasy Football Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast." Visit the betting arena on CBSSports.com for all the latest sportsbook reviews and sportsbook promos. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Vince Lanci: ¨Gold's Dollar Correlations Are Back...For Now¨ As the banks start to recommend gold to western investors ahead of the rate cuts the markets believe are coming, Vince Lanci notes that we are seeing gold's dollar correlations return. Many of the relationships between the gold price and interest rates, and between gold and the dollar, have changed in recent years. Especially since the sanctions against Russia in 2022. So as the market continues its rally in 2024 (even if it's $20 lower today - yet still trading above the $2,500 level), Vince looks at how gold's dollar correlations are back, and what that will mean in the months ahead. To find out more, click to watch the video now! - To get access to Vince's research in 'Goldfix Premium' go to: https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/ - Today's show is brought to you with the support of Miles Franklin Precious Metals, who we encourage you to consider on your next precious metals purchase or sale! Take advantage of this week's Miles Franklin specials! Back Date Silver Austrian Philharmonics 1 oz: $3.10 over spot per ounce Back Date Gold Krugerrand 1 oz: $60 over spot per ounce Back Date Platinum Maple Leaf 1 oz: $80.00 over spot per ounce Contact us now at: 833-326-4653 Arcadia@MilesFranklin.com Arcadia is a licensed Miles Franklin broker, and we're happy to help with any of your precious metals questions, or put you in touch with Chris Marcus. - To join our free email list and never miss a video click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/email-signup/ - To get on the waiting list for your very own ´Silver Chopper Ben´ sterling silver figurine click here: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/get-a-chopper-ben/ - To get your paperback or audio copy of The Big Silver Short go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/thebigsilvershort/ Find Arcadia Economics content on these sites: YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/user/ArcadiaEconomics Rumble - https://rumble.com/c/ArcadiaEconomics Bitchute - https://www.bitchute.com/channel/kgpeiwO1dhxX/ LBRY/Odysee - https://odysee.com/@ArcadiaEconomics:5 Listen to Arcadia Economics on your favorite Podcast platforms: Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/75OH2PpgUpriBA5mYf5kyY Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/arcadia-economics/id1505398976 Google-https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9teXNvdW5kd2lzZS5jb20vcnNzLzE2MTg5NTk1MjMzNDVz Anchor - https://anchor.fm/arcadiaeconomics Amazon - https://podcasters.amazon.com/podcasts Follow Arcadia Economics on these social platforms Twitter - https://twitter.com/ArcadiaEconomic Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/arcadiaeconomics/ #silver #silverprice And remember to get outside and have some fun every once in a while!:) (URL0VD) We do receive compensation from Miles Franklin from orders placed through our show. For our full disclaimer go to: https://arcadiaeconomics.com/disclaimer-miles-franklin-precious-metals/Subscribe to Arcadia Economics on Soundwise
Inappropriate use of statistics, a prominent element in politics, is considered, criticized, and evaluated, in this conversation between the moderators of Who Gets What.
This statistical error is common in systems neuroscience. Fortunately, straightforward methods can help you prevent it.
This statistical error is common in systems neuroscience. Fortunately, straightforward methods can help you prevent it.
In this episode, Alex Campbell joins the show to discuss volatility, "Magnificent Seven" concentration, and dispersion trades. We also unpack the mechanics of the carry trade, how short volatility and hedging strategies are shaping the markets, and the role of artificial intelligence in finance. Enjoy! -- Follow Alex: https://x.com/abcampbell Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin -- MANTRA Chain is a Cosmos SDK-based L1 blockchain addressing regulatory compliance gaps in the Cosmos ecosystem. Positioned as the "blockchain for tokenized RWAs and regulated digital assets," MANTRA offers high-performance, scalable blockchain architecture, supporting both permissionless and regulated, compliant applications. Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/ -- Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:06) Market Volatility Overview (04:51) Magnificent Seven Concentration (06:24) Dispersion Trades (10:49) Market Risks & Correlations (14:09) Mantra Ad (15:15) The Carry Trade (18:14) Market Volatility Vs Credit & The Economy (23:44) Impact Of Short Volatility & Hedging On Markets (31:25) Permissionless Ad (32:04) Artificial Intelligence And Alex's Startup Rose AI (34:54) Collecting & Using Market Data (39:44) The Future Of Finance (43:46) Future Of The AI Industry (46:20) Alex's Thoughts On Crypto -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
When economic indicators are giving you mixed signals, don't let yourself get locked in with any one sector. Mish Schneider, chief strategist at MarketGauge.com, talks about the correlations between stocks and ETFs, the commodities straining microchip production and the economic indicators behind the recent market correction. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sia Nejad and Meg Shoup are back to dive into the similarities between best ball and DFS. What some of the most underrated lineups and teams are heading into the season and some correlations that you might want to look out for. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The ACFT has been a hot topic since the day it was announced. Even now, after a few years, myths and misconceptions persist. We've seen a lot of these in our comments and messages, and we thought it was time to address a few. In this episode we break down a little bit of the history behind how the test was developed, the reasoning behind a few of the events, and the validity (or lack thereof) of some of the common criticisms of the test. Here are some of the references mentioned, if you want to dive deeper: "Prediction of simulated battlefield physical performance from field-expedient tests" (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18251329/ ) Pilot testing of two proposed alternative fitness tests, the APRT and the ACRT (https://www.army.mil/article/55446/new-army-pt-tests-army-physical-readiness-test-army-combat-readiness-test/) "Correlations between Physical Fitness Tests and Performance of Military Tasks: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses (https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/ADA607688.pdf ) "Development of a New Army Standardized Physical Readiness Test" (https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/tr/pdf/AD1011066.pdf ) Final report of the BSPRRS study published (https://www.iadlest.org/Portals/0/AD1097586%20Baseline%20Soldier%20Physical%20Readiness%20Requirements%20Study.pdf ) Our episode with Dr. East, who was involved in much of the work linked above: https://open.spotify.com/episode/0vjeGEOqUwnkokRrSrgJKL
In this episode, Dr. Vignesh Devraj is interviewing Dr John Demartini, a human behavior expert and internationally published author on the concept of human value system. Together, they dive deep into understanding the origin of our values systems, the impact of it on our actions and decode how to make new associations to design a better life. The topics discussed in this podcast are: What is a value system? What is the origin of our value systems? Can we reprogram our value system to design a better life? Correlations between burnout and acting against our value systems The importance of having our priorities right Dr. John Demartini's mission and vision is to share knowledge and wisdom that empowers you to become a master of your own life and destiny. He's an internationally published author, a global educator and the founder of the Demartini Method, a revolutionary tool in modern psychology. He can be reached at: Website -https://drdemartini.com/ If you are interested in doing one on one ayurvedic consultation with Dr Vignesh Devraj please find the details in this link - https://calendly.com/drvignesh/30-minute-session-with-dr-vignesh-devraj-md-ay-ist If you are economically challenged, please use the form provided to request a free Ayurvedic consultation here. (Link - https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd29nHcrC1RssR-6WAqWCWQWKKJo7nGcEm8ITEl2-ErcnfVEg/viewform ) BALANCE THE MIGHTY VATA - ONLINE COURSE NOW AVAILABLE What makes Ayurveda unique in its treatment approach is its practical wisdom on the concept of Vata. Vata is responsible for Prana - the life energy, nervous system - the master panel of our body, and our emotions. In Ayurveda, it is mentioned that controlling Vata is the most difficult part of healing and recovery. Recently I have recorded a workshop on - Balancing The Mighty Vata which has over 6 hrs of content, with notes filled with practical inputs that can be integrated into our life. You can access this at https://drvignesh.teachable.com/ For further information about Dr Vignesh Devraj, kindly visit www.vigneshdevraj.com and www.sitaramretreat.com Instagram - @sitarambeachretreat | @vigneshdevraj Twitter - @VigneshDevraj We truly hope you are enjoying our content. Want to help us shape and grow this show faster? Leave your review and subscribe to the podcast, so you'll never miss out on any new episodes. Thanks for your support. Disclaimer: - The content of the podcast episodes is not intended to be a substitute for professional medical procedures, consultations, diagnosis, or treatment in any manner. We strongly do not recommend using the content of these episodes as medical advice for any medical conditions for you, others, or for treating your patients.
Allow us to introduce James Studinger, a man who believes ‘Wealth is a Choice', as he shares in his bestseller of the same name. James, a Yooper, has shaped his financial advising approach through his outdoor adventures in Michigan's Upper Peninsula. His experiences, from hiking across the U.P. to conquering Ironman races and climbing Mt. Rainier, have instilled in him a philosophy of meticulous planning, balanced strategy, and a relentless pursuit of excellence. On this episode of The Active Advisor podcast, host Bryan Moore chats with James Studinger, Owner of JPStudinger Group, about his big three investment strategies for building wealth. Spoiler alert: James is a firm believer in active management of his investments and a fan of Roth Savings over pre-tax contributions because taxes are set to rise.
Stocks markets have had a massive run since November of last year and all the major indices -- the S&P 500, the Dow and the NASDAQ - have hit all-time highs this week. US GDP growth for the current quarter is currently predicted to be 3.6%, global economic growth as measured by PMIs has turned positive for the first time in 2 years, the official unemployment rate remains below 4%, the most important stock to the markets -- Nvidia -- just beat expectations on earnings & revenues... So it's unsurprising the bulls are feeling large & in charge right now. Talk of hitting S&P 6000 later this year is getting louder. Is that likely? In heady times like these, turning to the data & navigating by what it's telling us is often highly useful. Which is why we're fortunate to have one of the best technical analysts in the industry, Tom McClellan, joining us today to share his latest interpretation of the current market action. Tom is watching several key indicators that, if their decades-long correlation with the stock market continues to hold, suggest a material correction is coming in the second half of this year. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #stockmarketcorrection #stockcrash #oilprice
Welcome to the Financial Modeler's Corner (FMC), where we discuss the art and science of financial modeling with your host Paul Barnhurst.Financial Modeler's Corner is sponsored by the Financial Modeling Institute (FMI), the most respected accreditation in Financial Modeling globally.In today's episode, Paul engages in an interaction with Carolina Lago and discusses the essential tips for transforming data into actionable insights and the strategic approach to avoiding common modeling pitfalls. This discussion offers valuable wisdom that will enhance your analytical skills and financial acumen.Carolina, a seasoned FP&A professional with over 15 years of international experience, shares profound insights from her extensive career, including her role in a significant IPO and leading software implementation across global departments.Key takeaways from this week's episode include:An early career encounter with a poorly designed financial model, filled with hard-coded numbers, underscores the necessity for creating flexible and dynamic financial models that can adapt to changing business needs.The discussion highlights the critical need to avoid hardcoded data and external links in financial models, which can lead to rigidity and errors.Insights from the financial modeling newsletter and courses show a wide range of professionals benefiting, from newcomers to seasoned directors. This variety demonstrates the widespread need for improved modeling skills.The discussion focuses on the importance of transforming data into actionable insights. It's stressed that without the ability to analyze and interpret data effectively, its value is minimal.The conversation sheds light on techniques for deriving actionable insights from complex data, crucial for any financial modeler. It also discusses the value of formal certifications like the Advanced Financial Modeler Certification as tools for professional development and skill validation.Quotes: Here are a few relevant quotes from the episode on financial analysis and modeling:“I inherited one, and I had to try to change it. I spent probably a couple of weeks trying to make it better, and I couldn't. It was just too full of hardcoded numbers and I had to find everything the way around and no design at all.”“The first thing I learned about financial modeling was not to use hard codes and don't link outside of the spreadsheet.”“Data is only useful if it can be transformed into actionable insights.”“The TACTIC is (Targets, Assets, Calculations, Tools, Insights, and Correlations.) You start with the target which is the question that you need to answer with that financial model.” “That's why I like financial modeling so much because it can transform data into something. So you can make decisions on top of that data.”Sign up for the Advanced Financial Modeler Accreditation or FMI Fundamentals Today and receive 15% off by using the special show code ‘Podcast'. Visit www.fminstitute.com/podcast and use code Podcast to save 15% when you register. Go to https://earmarkcpe.com, download the app, take the quiz and you can receive CPE credit....
Welcome to the podcast! Our hosts navigate the fascinating concepts of love and commitment. Covering topics ranging from the joy of revived romance after half a century to the concerning downfall in marriage rates, this discussion dives into the rich facets of relationships. Love Desk: The podcast begins with a touching recounting of a couple who return to Jersey, united after 45 years of separate lives, asserting that true love withstands the test of time. Hot Topic: Why are marriage rates on the decline? Discussing deeper concerns, about the declining marriage rates, its future impacts, and what it signifies for society's view on traditional marital commitment. Additional topics examined include the reality of marriage duration and its repercussions on cohabitation, faith, and financial aspects. Marriage and Self-Achievement: Exploring the Positive Outcomes of Marital Stability Insights are provided into both tangible and intangible benefits of marriage on personal accomplishment. Correlations are made between successful marriages, mental strength, career growth, and overall success. Toward the end, optimism fills the air as the conversation anticipates the positive changes that Gen Z could bring to future marriage trends. Navigating Change in Long-Term Relationships: Fostering Self-Exploration and Personal Growth Delving into personal fulfilment and relationship dynamics, the show explores the unsettled feelings that may crop up in enduring relationships. Emphasizing the importance of recognizing internal dialogue, the episode discourages the blame game and promotes open communication for personal growth. Question: "I'm starting to get itchy feet and I can't explain it but I'm ready for a shift or change in life. The last time I felt like this, I ended up divorced. There were other issues too. I'm in a long-term relationship but we aren't married. I'm not sure how to play it or whether to say anything. I feel like they are happy and settled but something is missing for me, some personal fulfilment." As the conversation moves forward, it underlines the stabilizing effect a relationship can have on career changes and debunks assumptions that could warp our perceptions of our partner's supportiveness. Ending on a high note, the hosts accentuate the value of nurturing curiosity, open communication, and delaying instant reactions to feelings of unrest. Encouraging listeners to delight in safe self-exploration within relationships, the episode stresses the importance of evolving as an individual while deepening the bond with a partner. Till next time! Get in touch Geordie Lass & Doc Sass Email - info@geordielass.com with your relationship hot topics or questions. All questions are fully confidential. Sara Liddle Email: info@inflori.co.uk Website: www.inflori.co.uk Relationship Reset: www.inflori.co.uk/reset Anna Stratis Email: coachdocanna@gmail.com Website: www.coachdocanna.com
Nichudeemus joins me for a very alarming talk you won't want to miss. It's getting real Spooky.GO TO https://SemperFryLLC.com and click the Dr MONZO AzureWell picture! (https://www.azurestandard.com/shop/brand/azurewell/2326) and use code BB5 for 5% Off for Life!Take Back Your Health NOW! DR PETER GLIDDEN, ND All-Access https://leavebigpharmabehind.com/?via=pgndhealthFor Youngevity, Contact Brenda here: 888 618 1796 ext. 101 Mention the ShowCall in or "SuperChat" ask your question here or just support the effort: https://buymeacoffee.com/BaalBustersPlease Read Click this GoFundMe: https://www.gofundme.com/f/7vvgt-journey-homeGET COMMERCIAL FREE PODCASTS and Exclusive Content, Become a Patron. https://Patreon.com/DisguisetheLimitsMy Website: https://www.semperfryllc.com/podcast.htmlPriestcraft: Beyond Babylon is getting Great Feedback! 8.5x11 Paperback, Hardcover, & Kindle: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0CNGX53L7/Barnes & Noble: Priestcraft: Beyond Babylon 416 pages, and ebook: https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/book/1144402176KOBO: https://www.kobo.com/us/en/ebook/priestcraft-beyond-babylonTake Back Your Health NOW! DR PETER GLIDDEN, ND All-Access https://leavebigpharmabehind.com/?via=pgndhealthAdd to the Kristos Family Apocalypse Fund: https://GiveSendGo.com/BaalBustersDR MONZO Products: https://drmonzo.kartra.com/page/shopDR MONZO ATB BOOK: https://drmonzo.kartra.com/page/ATBBookUSE CODE: BaalBusters15 for 15% OFF Dr. MONZO's store itemsGet KRATOM HERE: https://klaritykratom.com/?ref=BaalBustersSubmit Questions: https://buymeacoffee.com/BaalBusters or just Call-in!Have you tired TRY BLUE? https://tryblue.refr.cc/baalbusters for 17% Off!SHIRTS & MERCH https://my-store-c960b1.creator-spring.com/THIS CHANNEL IS INDEPENDENT and has no sponsors but YOUJOIN Locals by Clicking the JOIN Button Beneath the video.AWESOME Hot Sauce: https://SemperFryLLC.com Use Code at site for 5% Off qualified purchasesBa'al Busters channel: https://rumble.com/c/BaalBustersTwitter: https://twitter.com/DisguiseLimitsInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/baalbusters/Telegram: https://t.me/BaalBustersStudiosJoshWhoTV channel: https://BaalBuster.JoshWhoTV.comSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3N7fqqG6MX84vKbANtxrWSBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/ba-al-busters-broadcast--5100262/support.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: How disagreements about Evidential Correlations could be settled, published by Martín Soto on March 11, 2024 on The AI Alignment Forum. Since beliefs about Evidential Correlations don't track any direct ground truth, it's not obvious how to resolve disagreements about them, which is very relevant to acausal trade. Here I present what seems like the only natural method (Third solution below). Ideas partly generated with Johannes Treutlein. Say two agents (algorithms A and B), who follow EDT, form a coalition. They are jointly deciding whether to pursue action a. Also, they would like an algorithm C to take action c. As part of their assessment of a, they're trying to estimate how much evidence (their coalition taking) a would provide for C taking c. If it gave a lot of evidence, they'd have more reason to take a. But they disagree: A thinks the correlation is very strong, and B thinks it's very weak. This is exactly the situation in which researchers in acausal trade have many times found themselves: they are considering whether to take a slightly undesirable action a (spending a few resources on paperclips), which could provide evidence for another agent C (a paperclip-maximizing AI in another lightcone) taking an action c (the AI spending a few resources on human happiness) that we'd like to happen. But different researchers A and B (within the coalition of "humans trying to maximize human happiness") have different intuitions about A priori, there could exist the danger that, by thinking more, they would unexpectedly learn the actual output of C. This would make the trade no longer possible, since then taking a would give them no additional evidence about whether c happens. But, for simplicity, assume that C is so much more complex and chaotic than what A and B can compute, that they are very certain this won't happen. First solution: They could dodge the question by just looking for different actions to take they don't disagree on. But that's boring. Second solution: They could aggregate their numeric credences somehow. They could get fancy on how to do this. They could even get into more detail, and aggregate parts of their deliberation that are more detailed and informative than a mere number (and that are upstream of this probability), like different heuristics or reference-class estimates they've used to come up with them. They might face some credit assignment problems (which of my heuristics where most important in setting this probability?). This is not boring, but it's not yet what I want to discuss. Let's think about what these correlations actually are and where they come from. These are actually probabilistic beliefs about logical worlds. For example, A might think that in the world where they play a (that is, conditioning A's distribution on this fact), the likelihood of C playing c is 0.9. While if they don't, it's 0.3. Unfortunately, only one of the two logical worlds will be actual. And so, one of these two beliefs will never be checked against any ground truth. If they end up taking a, there won't be any mathematical fact of the matter as to what would have happened if they had not. But nonetheless, it's not as if "real math always gets feedback, and counterfactuals never do": after all, the still-uncertain agent doesn't know which counterfactual will be real, and so they use the same general heuristics to think about all of them. When reality hits back on the single counterfactual that becomes actual, it is this heuristic that will be chiseled. I think that's the correct picture of bounded logical learning: a pile of heuristics learning through time. This is what Logical Inductors formalize.[1] It thus becomes clear that correlations are the "running-time by-product" of using these heuristics to approximate real math. Who cares only one of the cou...
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Evidential Correlations are Subjective, and it might be a problem, published by Martín Soto on March 7, 2024 on The AI Alignment Forum. I explain (in layman's terms) a realization that might make acausal trade hard or impossible in practice. Summary: We know that if players believe different Evidential Correlations, they might miscoordinate. But clearly they will eventually learn to have the correct Evidential Correlations, right? Not necessarily, because there is no objective notion of correct here (in the way that there is for math or physics). Thus, selection pressures might be much weaker, and different agents might systematically converge on different ways of assigning Evidential Correlations. Epistemic status: Confident that this realization is true, but the quantitative question of exactly how weak the selection pressures are remains open. What are Evidential Correlations, really? Skippable if you know the answer to the question. Alice and Bob are playing a Prisoner's Dilemma, and they know each other's algorithms: Alice.source and Bob.source.[1] Since their algorithms are approximately as complex, each of them can't easily assess what the other will output. Alice might notice something like "hmm, Bob.source seems to default to Defection when it throws an exception, so this should update me slightly in the direction of Bob Defecting". But she doesn't know exactly how often Bob.source throws an exception, or what it does when that doesn't happen. Imagine, though, Alice notices Alice.source and Bob.source are pretty similar in some relevant ways (maybe the overall logical structure seems very close, or the depth of the for loops is the same, or she learns the training algorithm that shaped them is the same one). She's still uncertain about what any of these two algorithms outputs[2], but this updates her in the direction of "both algorithms outputting the same action". If Alice implements/endorses Evidential Decision Theory, she will reason as follows: Conditional on Alice.source outputting Defect, it seems very likely Bob.source also outputs Defect, thus my payoff will be low. But conditional on Alice.source outputting Cooperate, it seems very likely Bob.source also outputs Cooperate, thus my payoff will be high. So I (Alice) should output Cooperate, thus (very probably) obtain a high payoff. To the extent Alice's belief about similarity was justified, it seems like she will perform pretty well on these situations (obtaining high payoffs). When you take this reasoning to the extreme, maybe both Alice and Bob are aware that they both know this kind of cooperation bootstrapping is possible (if they both believe they are similar enough), and thus (even if they are causally disconnected, and just simulating each others' codes) they can coordinate on some pretty complex trades. This is Evidential Cooperation in Large worlds. But wait a second: How could this happen, without them being causally connected? What was this mysterious similarity, this spooky correlation at a distance, that allowed them to create cooperation from thin air? Well, in the words of Daniel Kokotajlo: it's just your credences, bro! The bit required for this to work is that they believe that "it is very likely we both output the same thing". Said another way, they have high probability on the possible worlds "Alice.source = C, Bob.source = C" and "Alice.source = D, Bob.source = D", but low probability on the possible worlds "Alice.source = D, Bob.source = C" and "Alice.source = D, Bob.source = C". This can also be phrased in terms of logical counterfactuals: if Alice.source = C, then it is very likely that Bob.source = C.[3] This is a logical counterfactual: there is, ultimately, a logical fact of the matter about what Alice.source outputs, but since she doesn't know it yet, she entertains what s...
Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss Nvidia's beat on earnings, their march towards $2trillion market cap, and how as earnings forecasts rise, even though the stock has made new highs, forward PE ratios go lower. Then, they explore what the options market via implied volatility was forecasting for an Nvidia move post earnings. Later, they review a comparison between the S&P 500 Index annual return vs the EPS growth to see if there is any relationship. Hint, it's not too correlated even when they compare the current year market performance against the 1 year forward actual earnings. All that and more will be explained including some recommendations. Nvida's stock is rising while its forward PE just got cheaper Nvidia's recent earnings beat including EPS growth, revenue growth, and gross and net margins What would it take for Nvida to overtake Microsoft as the largest company in the S&P 500? Implied move post earnings based on the implied volatility of the options market Price of the at the money long straddle on Nvidia the afternoon of earnings Regression analysis of S&P 500 Index annual return vs EPS growth Correlations between market returns and earnings growth Comparing correlations with same year market returns vs same year and 1 year forward EPS Markets are forward looking Probability of Nvidia reaching $3.06T in market cap in one year per options market Mentioned in this Episode: Where returns come from see start of page 23 in Semper Augustus group letter https://static.fmgsuite.com/media/documents/db64b928-53d6-43a9-a4d0-a9d2f69f76ba.pdf Previous Week's Podcast: Put & Call Implied Volatility Mismatch? | US Dollar vs S&P 500 Correlation | Sticky Inflation | Japan Recession | Explaining Why Stocks Go Up (or down)https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/put-call-implied-volatility-mismatch-us-dollar-vs-s/id1432836154?i=1000645873203 Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com www.zegafinancial.com
This episode's guest is Jordan Feigenbaum, the founder of Barbell Medicine. Jordan Feigenbaum is a physician, strength coach, and competitive powerlifter. He started Barbell Medicine in an effort to combine the best of modern medicine and strength and conditioning. Jordan is passionate about a variety of issues related to public health, education, and sport.In this episode, Jordan and I discuss:Physical activity guidelineDifference between Physical activity and daily activityWhat is VO2 Max?What is Cardiac remodeling?Why Women still are scared of lifting weights?Importance of Aerobic and Resistance trainingImpact of resistance training on our healthSponsor:Inside Tracker – https://insidetracker.com/louisa0:00 Coming up…0:33 Introduction1:18 Understanding the word “barbell medicine”7:18 My current thesis10:26 Discussing the Physical activity guideline13:19 What Physical activity actually is?15:54 VO2 max for cardiorespiratory fitness22:08 Correlations between exercise and plaque24:53 Understanding Aerobic and Resistance training27:34 What is cardiac remodeling?32:56 Women still are scared of lifting weights35:21 What resistance training is doing for health specifically?43:52 Thoughts on Scientific education47:08 Benefit is of communicating health related information on social media53:38 EndingLinks and Resources:Jordan's website: www.barbellmedicine.comFollow Jordan on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/jordan_barbellmedicineUnlock the knowledge of trusted creators at: https://dexa.ai/Research report - Dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA) protects hippocampal cells from oxidative stress-induced damageThe Neuro Athletics Newsletter Instagram: louisanicola_Twitter : louisanicola_YouTube: Louisa Nicola
In this episode we answer emails from Allison, Kenny and Steve. We discuss the methods and madnesses of financial media and the industry, modeling financial "experts" as hedgehogs and foxes, US dollars and debt, and correlations between treasury bonds and stocks, why portfolio income is just part of total returns and is not special, and incorporating managed futures into a Golden Ratio-style portfolios.Links:Duke Paper on Treasury/Stock Market Correlations: delivery.php (ssrn.com)Picture Perfect Portfolios Comparison of Managed Futures ETFs: What's The Best Managed Futures ETF? DBMF vs KMLM vs CTA (pictureperfectportfolios.com)Support the show
An Iranian warship entered the Red Sea yet the U.S.S. Gerald R. Ford strike force has been called home to Norfolk. Correlations between foreign policy crises of 1980 and 2024 using a Reagan political ad. We're joined by John Dombroski, founder and president of Grand Canyon Planning. Claudine Gay has resigned as president of Harvard University. Producer David Doll's New Year's Resolutions.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Join Karri and Oriya as they delve into the intriguing correlations of the four directions to the four main addictions. Gain insightful perspectives on addictions related to physical, spiritual, mental, and emotional aspects, and uncover the underlying fears and vulnerabilities that fuel these addictive behaviors. Explore the realms of consciousness and discover how understanding nobody and somebody philosophies can help navigate the complex web of addiction. Tune in for a thought-provoking discussion that will deepen your understanding of the human experience. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/wakingupmarried/message
Stinging losses with mutual funds in 2008 drove Dan to become an active manager of his portfolio. Enticed by the legalization prospects of marijuana, he dived into learning the fundamentals and technicals of the sector. Learning how these stocks traded relative to each other, he cultivated an awareness of the correlations between these companies. These interrelationships would later be applied to large cap stocks, Commodities and Crypto across different time frames to give insights on when to participate in Bull and Bear runs, and when to back away. Feeling the pain of big early profits evaporating over months, Dan was forced to cultivate a mental flexibility in trading by considering both Bull and Bear signs in every stock he follows. Combined with correlations over multiple time frames with other stocks in the same sector, influences from Commodities, the dollar and various sectors, he flushes out nuances with scalpel-like precision and is ready to flip bullish or bearish without attachment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Episode 351 - We discuss and share the ESO Update 40 details with the new "Endless Dungeon" and follow up with our thoughts on Starfield so far and which parts of it we would like to see in The Elder Scrolls 6, whenever that may come! An action-packed show full of game news, tales, opinions, and listener emails for The Elder Scrolls! And remember, if you'd like to send in your own letter to the show email us directly at TalesofTamrielPodcast@gmail.com! If you wish to support Tales of Tamriel, consider supporting us over at our Patreon Page, Patreon.com/UESP! You can also support us by leaving us a review on iTunes, or by telling a friend about us! We hope you enjoyed this episode of Tales of Tamriel and be sure to come back next week! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This week I was excited to talk with Chris Sparks about all things poker and how the principles of the game can elevate both your professional performance and productivity. Chris is a professional poker player who at one time was ranked in the top 20 online players in the world. Chris Teaches CEOs and portfolio managers elite poker frameworks for unlocking new levels of optimized decision making and investing. He is also the host of the Forcing Function Hour Podcast. In our conversation Chris shares invaluable lessons on negotiation, collaboration, leadership, and the development of intuition. We also learn about Chris's personal journey from online poker to becoming one of the top players worldwide, and how he applies his expertise to help high performers dispel myths about decision making and risk. In addition Chris and I delve into his principles and tips for reducing uncertainty through information gathering and experimentation. Listeners will uncover valuable advice on embracing their emotions and personal narratives, and how despite being in competition with others how compassionate action can contribute to long-term success. Remember to sign for our newsletter at beyondthetodolist.com Make sure to check out our sponsors to help support the show! Connect with Chris: Website Podcast Twitter Connect with Erik: Sign Up For Our Newsletter Facebook LinkedIn Twitter Instagram ________________________________________ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Things can be deceiving from the outside looking in and you'd be shocked to find out how many people who look like they have it all together are actually falling apart. It's a façade that gets harder to keep up with each passing day and one that eventually comes crashing down. No one embodies this more than the big-time athlete. They're superhuman or so it seems but truth be told, they're just as vulnerable as the next guy, maybe more vulnerable in some instances. “I attribute most of my anxiety and depression to trauma, childhood trauma, not head trauma as much.” – (10:11), JB My guest today is JB Copeland. He's a guy who seemed to have it all just right and everything going just righ and within an instant, that all changed. JB was on the fast track to gridiron success coming out of Texas. He landed at the University of North Carolina and that's where his life began unraveling. From head trauma that forced him to retire from football to the recreational drugs that defined him after he left the team, all the way to his time as a youth pastor, JB has a story to tell. It's one that will shock and inspire you all at the same time while helping you get moving in the right direction. “I think I was like in a state of delusion to where it was everyone else's fault but me.” – (15:05), JB If you've fallen and think there's no way you can stand again or begin walking down a path of redemption, this episode is the one that tells you that you can. It's an open, honest conversation where we discuss hard truths, family issues, and the beauty of healing and one you can't afford to miss! “I wish I could go back and play in the mind frame and state of mind that I am now.” – (18:32), JB “When I could be me and I realized my father could accept me for me, everything changed.” – (37:41), JB In This Episode (1:16) – JB discusses football at North Carolina and retiring due to head trauma. (2:22) – Failed drug tests also contributed to him leaving football. (5:12) – JB is introduced to drugs during his junior year and the rest is history. (6:20) – Danny discusses the 72-hour cocaine bender. (9:35) – Correlations between concussions and panic attacks. (10:40) – Rehab helps JB deal with his trauma. (11:40) – The scholarship situation opens up father wounds. (12:20) - JB arrives at UNC and immediately gets put in the program. (14:27) – AD removes scholarship and JB feels his life is over. (15:20) – Taking responsibility for his action helps JB immensely. (16:00) – Coming to terms with who he is during rehab. (16:52) – JB discusses making amends to UNC. (17:51) – The big game against LSU and the positive moments. (18:20) – Remember the good points because they matter too. (20:17) – Possible return to UNC to talk to the youngsters. (21:00) – JB becomes a youth pastor in his hometown, following in his fathers' footsteps. (21:41) – His wife disapproves with his decision to pastor. (24:24) – JB admits he is not doing his best at the church, living a double-life as a pastor and a drug addict. (25:26) – The first panic attack hits and JB is unsure of what's happening. (28:47) – JB admits he doesn't know God. (29:19) – JB discloses what God told him. (31:37) – Danny gives credit where credit is due. (35:53) – The letters his father sends him and the counselors' reaction. (36:52) – JB and his conversation with God prior to group discussions. (37:30) – His father leaves ministry and it changes their relationship. (38:50) – The Inner Child Healing Moment. (40:13) – Laughing is what healed him. (42:18) – The joy he found at rehab through the friends he made. (46:50) – Hell on Earth and Heaven on Earth. (49:07) – The value of working out and how it helps JB. (51:12) – True apologies are the best. (53:00) – JB attributes healing to his wife. Resources & Links Off The Cuff https://www.offthecuff.fm/ https://www.youtube.com/c/OffTheCuffwithDannyLoPriore https://www.instagram.com/1and1otc/ https://www.instagram.com/dannylopriore/ https://www.tiktok.com/@1and1otc JB Copeland https://www.instagram.com/jb_copeland/
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