Podcasts about vix index

Derek Moore talks about airport business as a sign or lack thereof of recessions. Gold makes another all-time high while the safety trade like treasuries and the US dollar aren't working lately. Plus, looking at typical widening of high yield spreads during recessions compared to today. Later, the VIX Index is still not appropriately pricing in historical volatility given the moves again this week in equity markets. Also, surveys of economists are up to 45% probability of recession in the next 12 months although short of the 60%+ probability in late 2022 and early 2023 so why should we even consider them? Finally, how fund managers were overly long US Equities in December but now after the selloff they are saying they may reduce US equities. A little late no and how even professionals may react, panic, or be influenced by prevailing sentiment.    Gold all-time high US Dollar and US Treasuries get correlated with US equities and weren't the safe havens The airport crowdedness indicator of recessions? Fundamental EPS estimates are down a little but not much so far so what are they waiting for? Big earnings week including Tesla and Google (Alphabet) Fund manager surveys show they were overly long US equities before the selloff  Fund manager surveys also show as equities are in drawdown, they are thinking of selling High Yield spreads not showing recession levels of widening currently Typical high yield spread during recessions is 1000 basis points plus How economists tend to crowd together in their predicting recessions VIX Index implied volatility (expected) vs actual volatility (historical)     Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com             

Amy Arnott, Morningstar Inc. portfolio strategist, discusses which investments have performed best and worst in past recessions. Gold prices are rising during the current market volatility. Arnott explains why it might not be the best time to buy the precious metal. Key Takeaways:Why Current Market Volatility May Not Be Ending SoonHow to Keep Yourself Steady During Market VolatilityHow Investors Nearing Retirement Can Avoid Sequence-of-Return Risk During Market VolatilityHow Retirees Can Mitigate Market Volatility Using the Bucket ApproachWhich Asset Classes Have Performed Best and Worst During a Recession?   What Investors Should Keep in Mind Before Going for Buying GoldWhy It's Better to Own Large Companies During an Economic SlowdownWhy Consumer Defensive Stocks Have Been Resilient During Recessions   What Sectors Have Been Hit the Hardest in Past Recessions?Create an Investment Plan and Stick to It During Market Volatility   Read about topics from this episode.  Best Investments to Own During a RecessionMorningstar's Take on Tariffs: Stock Impacts, Portfolio Tips, and MoreWhat We've Learned From 150 Years of Stock Market CrashesA Down-Market Survival Guide for Pre-RetireesA Down-Market Survival Guide for RetireesHow to Use Gold in Your PortfolioHow to Keep Your Cool in a Volatile MarketWhat Do Tariffs and Increased Recession Risk Mean for Banks?What Tariff Volatility Means for the Consumer Defensive SectorWhat Bucket Investors Should Do in Down MarketsIt Feels Different This Time—but It Probably Isn't What to watch from Morningstar. Market Volatility: What Lies Ahead in Trump's Trade WarMarket Volatility: What to Watch in Q2 After Big Swings in Q1Does it Pay to Copy Congress' Stock Trades?Can Healthcare Stocks Keep Outperforming the Market?  Read what our team is writing:Amy ArnottIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

Derek Moore reviews the surge in bond yields, and why the VIX Index should have been 100-125 this week as there is a mismatch between expected volatility and realized volatility. Earnings season begins but will analysts start downgrading their S&P 500 Index forecast? Why does the market often bottom out ahead of whatever reason its scared happens. Plus, believe it or not over the past 10 days Bitcoin's historical volatility is the same as SPY. All this and more this week.   Bitcoin volatility vs SPY volatility Did the market bottom this week? Comparing volatility in March 2020 to tariff selloff today Context on how much market moved in a day to a normal year Intraday move was literally 2 ½ hours for a market to move 9% Biggest up days cluster around the biggest down days Bond yields surging is a problem Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen gets when tariffs are paused for 90 days The VIX Index wasn't pricing the crazy daily moves we've seen in markets Why investors shouldn't panic sell    Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com                         

  Derek Moore is joined by Mike Puck to compare this selloff to others like 2020, 1998, 2015, 2000 and more. Then they talk about how the Trump administration is arriving at their tariff percentages. Later, they discus how the market didn't price in the eventual announcement. How things like the VIX Index and the High Yield Bond spread Thursday weren't high enough. Did the market miscalculate the tariff announcement?  What is the sentiment among advisors and investors from what we are hearing and are we at max panic yet plus the continued case for hedging.    When do we reach capitulation? The market is cheaper so will people step in and buy? The problem analysts have in making forecasts given the tariff landscape Explaining implied volatility vs historical volatility Why was the VIX higher after the first bad day Thursday Discussing how a VIX closes at 45 is significant Remembering sentiment at different inflection points in the market like 2020, 2015 2000 etc Markets are back to where they were in August when the Yen Carry trade unwound  Why investors shouldn't panic The case for using hedged equity strategies What does a bottom look like? Market is much cheaper on a forward valuation basis What are the economic risks? Unemployment was fine and the economy was adding jobs so what's the problem? Atlanta Fed GDP Update   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com     

Derek Moore is back to discuss markets, volatility, and the economy through the prism of intra year drawdowns, Spot VIX vs Vix Futures prices, and LEI or Leading Economic Indicator. Why are the Fed's Dot Plots useless (still). Thoughts on the idea that Buffered strategies don't beat the market. How different markets have performed since the first Fed rate cut in September and much more.    Since September Rate Cut Mag 7 vs SPX vs Equal Weight Intra Year Drawdowns vs full year return Comments on AQR post on Buffered funds VIX Index vs VIX Futures in the coming months AAII Bull Bear Spreads says way bearish still Fed dot plots Fed Funds Futures rate expectations Multiple Contraction is the reason for the drawdown not a reduction in earnings estimates LEI Leading Economic Indicator   Mentioned in this Episode   Conference Board Leading Economic Indicator https://www.conference-board.org/topics/us-leading-indicators#:~:text=Using%20the%20Composite%20Indexes:%20The%20Leading%20Economic,economy%20is%20heading%20in%20the%20near%20term.&text=The%20CEI's%20four%20component%20indicators%E2%80%94payroll%20employment%2C%20personal,used%20to%20determine%20recessions%20in%20the%20US.   CME Fed watch Tool https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html   Federal Reserve Dot Plots Summary of Economic Projections March 2025 https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20250319.pdf   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com     

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli round out the year with some 2025 predictions on markets, rates, bonds, oil, bitcoin, the dollar, GDP, inflation, and gold. Plus, does Bitcoin have a Quantum Computing problem? What's going on with deflation in China and is it the answer to potential tariffs? And news flash, the inverted yield curve is no more as the 10-year treasury yield rises above the 3-month treasury yield. All this and more!   2025 Predictions China Deflation including 10-year Chinese Government Bond yields falling China currency valuation, bond yields, and deflation a recipe to nullify US tariffs? Quantum computer by Google and can it mine Bitcoin? Will Quantum computers put Bitcoin wallets at risk? (part of our random predictions) The reversion or un-inversion of the 10 year and the 3-month treasury The inverted yield curve was the longest ever and didn't cause a recession Will the un-inverted yield curve now cause a recession? VIX Index vs VIX futures spread Additions and subtractions to the S&P 500 Index Commodities including coffee, rubber, and cocoa rise Earnings season soon upon us   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com    

Der VIX-Index, oft als "Angstindex" bezeichnet, bietet Anlegern und Tradern einzigartige Möglichkeiten, die Volatilität des Marktes zu handeln. Während der VIX-Index selbst nicht direkt handelbar ist, stehen Futures, Optionen sowie ETFs und ETNs als indirekte Handelsmöglichkeiten zur Verfügung. In dieser Folge gehen wir daher auf diese Besonderheiten ein und klären die Unterschiede zwischen den klassischen VIX Index-Optionen und den neu eingeführten VIX Future-Optionen auf. Powered by CapTrader  Unser Blog bei  CapTrader zum Handel der neuen VIX-Optionen    VIX-Ausgabe des Vermögensmagazins    Mehr zum Thema professioneller Optionshandel:   • ⁠Homepage⁠  • ⁠Unser digitales monatliches Vermögensmagazin⁠  • ⁠Kostenloser Newsletter⁠  • ⁠Unsere kostenfreie E-Books⁠  • ⁠Instagram⁠  • ⁠Twitter⁠    Unsere Tools   • ⁠ Unser Chartanalyse Tool TradingView⁠ * ($15 Guthaben)    • ⁠ Zum Backtesting unserer Optionsstrategien verwenden wir OptionOmega⁠ * (50% Rabatt!)    • ⁠ Fastgraphs zur fundamentale Analyse unserer Aktieninvestments⁠ *    * Affiliate-Links. Wir erhalten eine kleine Provision, wenn du dich über diesen Link anmeldest.    Alexander Eichhorn und Maximilian Bothe sind erfahrene Optionshändler und Trainer & Coaches bei Eichhorn Coaching. In Seminaren und in Einzelcoachings lehren sie den erfolgreichen Optionshandel von den Grundlagen bis hin zum professionellen Handel von Future-Optionen. Trade-Ideen, Hintergrundinformationen und ihre Echtgeld-Performance veröffentlichen sie regelmäßig in Blogbeiträgen, Live-Webinaren und im Eichhorn Coaching Newsletter.  Risikohinweis: Dieser Podcast dient nur der Information und stellt keine Aufforderung zum Kauf oder Verkauf der eventuell erwähnten Wertpapiere dar. Der Handel mit börsennotierten Wertpapieren kann zum Teil erheblichen Kursschwankungen unterliegen, die zu erheblichen Verlusten bis hin zum Totalverlust führen können. Bei jeder Anlageentscheidung, die Sie aufgrund von Informationen, welche aus Inhalten dieses Podcast hervorgehen, treffen, handeln Sie immer eigenverantwortlich, auf eigene Gefahr und eigenes Risiko. Die in diesem Podcast zur Verfügung gestellten Inhalte, wie z.B. Handelssignale und Analysen, beruhen auf sorgfältiger Recherche, welchen Quellen Dritter zugrunde liegen. Diese Quellen werden von Eichhorn Coaching als vertrauenswürdig und zuverlässig erachtet. Eichhorn Coaching übernimmt gleichwohl keinerlei Gewährleistung für die Aktualität, Richtigkeit oder Vollständigkeit der Inhalte und haftet nicht für materielle und/oder immaterielle Schäden, die durch die Nutzung oder Nichtnutzung der Inhalte oder durch die Nutzung fehlerhafter und unvollständiger Inhalte verursacht wurden.      #Optionen #Aktienoptionen #Optionenhandeln #Optionshandel #Optionshändler #Optionsstrategien #Futures #Indexoptionen #Optionstrading #Options #Börse #Geld #Finanzen #Handel #Investor #Investment #Trader #Trading #Aktien #ETF #ETFs #VIX #Vola #Volatilität #Margin #Margincall #Tradingsteuer #Vermögenssteuer #Dividenden #Dividendenaktien #Rohstoffoptionen #0DTE #Wheel #Cashflow #Wheelstrategie #Cashsecuredput #gedeckteoptionen #Verlustverrechnungsbegrenzung #Tradingsteuer #0DTE      Kapitel  00:00 Einführung  01:23 Was ist die Volatilität?  05:50 Der Volatilitätsindex VIX  10:54 VIX-Futures allgemein  16:20 VIX-Index-Optionen   18:39 Neu! VIX-Future-Optionen  22:25 Neue Handelsmöglichkeiten  24:47 Fazit  25:49 Wie unterscheiden sich VIX Index-Optionen von Future-Optionen?  26:35 Gibt es auch Optionen auf den VXM Future?  27:03 Wann sind VIX Optionen teuer?  27:35 Cash Secured Put beim VIX sinnvoll?  29:00 Verabschiedung 

Der Handel der Volatilität gilt als der heilige Gral im Trading. Investoren nutzen die Handelsklasse der Volatilität beispielsweise als Hedging-Instrument oder auch als Frühwarnindikator für Crashs. Optionshändler und direktionale Future-Trader handeln dagegen den Volatilitätsindex VIX als aktives Handelsinstrument für einen Performance-Boost im Depot. Daher stellt euch Alex in dieser Folge des Podcasts die vielfältige Welt des Handels der Volatilität vor. Ausgabe des Vermögensmagazins zum VIX Intensiv-Seminar: Handel der Volatilität Mehr zum Thema professioneller Optionshandel: • Homepage • Unser digitales monatliches Vermögensmagazin • Kostenloser Newsletter • Unsere kostenfreie E-Books • Instagram • Twitter Alexander Eichhorn und Maximilian Bothe sind erfahrene Optionshändler und Trainer & Coaches bei Eichhorn Coaching. In Seminaren und in Einzelcoachings lehren sie den erfolgreichen Optionshandel von den Grundlagen bis hin zum professionellen Handel von Future-Optionen. Trade-Ideen, Hintergrundinformationen und ihre Echtgeld-Performance veröffentlichen sie regelmäßig in Blogbeiträgen, Live-Webinaren und im Eichhorn Coaching Newsletter. Risikohinweis: Dieser Podcast dient nur der Information und stellt keine Aufforderung zum Kauf oder Verkauf der eventuell erwähnten Wertpapiere dar. Der Handel mit börsennotierten Wertpapieren kann zum Teil erheblichen Kursschwankungen unterliegen, die zu erheblichen Verlusten bis hin zum Totalverlust führen können. Bei jeder Anlageentscheidung, die Sie aufgrund von Informationen, welche aus Inhalten dieses Podcast hervorgehen, treffen, handeln Sie immer eigenverantwortlich, auf eigene Gefahr und eigenes Risiko. Die in diesem Podcast zur Verfügung gestellten Inhalte, wie z.B. Handelssignale und Analysen, beruhen auf sorgfältiger Recherche, welchen Quellen Dritter zugrunde liegen. Diese Quellen werden von Eichhorn Coaching als vertrauenswürdig und zuverlässig erachtet. Eichhorn Coaching übernimmt gleichwohl keinerlei Gewährleistung für die Aktualität, Richtigkeit oder Vollständigkeit der Inhalte und haftet nicht für materielle und/oder immaterielle Schäden, die durch die Nutzung oder Nichtnutzung der Inhalte oder durch die Nutzung fehlerhafter und unvollständiger Inhalte verursacht wurden.    #Optionen #Aktienoptionen #Optionenhandeln #Optionshandel #Optionshändler #Optionsstrategien #Futures #Indexoptionen #Optionstrading #Options #Börse #Geld #Finanzen #Handel #Investor #Investment #Trader #Trading #Aktien #ETF #ETFs #VIX #Vola #Volatilität #Margin #Margincall #Tradingsteuer #Vermögenssteuer #Dividenden #Dividendenaktien #Rohstoffoptionen #0DTE #Wheel #Cashflow #Wheelstrategie #Cashsecuredput #gedeckteoptionen #Verlustverrechnungsbegrenzung #Tradingsteuer    Kapitel  00:00 Begrüßung  01:15 Was ist die Volatilität?  06:59 Der Volatilitätsindex VIX  12:51 VIX-Futures allgemein  18:10 Direktionales VIX-Futures Trading  23:05 Kalender-Spreads  28:40 Steuerthematik  30:25 Handel von VIX-ETPs sinnvoll?  31:33 Welche Rolle spielt der CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) bei der Preisbildung von VIX-Futures?  33:10 Wie unterscheiden sich VIX-Futures vom direkten Handel mit dem VIX-Index?  33:41 Welche Einflussfaktoren treiben die Preise von VIX-Futures?  34:48 Habt ihr Erfahrungen mit V-Stoxx Futures?  35:26 Verabschiedung 

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli are back again to discuss whether the level of the VIX Index at all-time market highs is a predictor of future market moves. Then, with earnings season kicking off in earnest, reviewing the analyst lofty estimates including some very surprising numbers for Russell 2000 Index companies. Later, Derek goes through some data that basically says the CPI YoY % change isn't around 2% too often despite the Feds “mandate” of 2% inflation target. Finally, they discuss NFLX earnings and what the options market is saying plus a few other companies including United Healthcare.   The level of the VIX Index at all-time S&P 500 Index highs and the next 60 days, 3&6 months Does where the VIX Index is at all-time market highs really matter? The Fed's elusive 2% target when looking at monthly data back to January of 2012 How often the year over year (YoY) percent change in CPI is at different levels VIX Index vs bond volatility seen via the MOVE Index Netflix (NFLX) and United Healthcare (UNH) options market pre-earnings check in Implied volatility of options prior to earnings releases Predictions for the November Fed meeting Quarterly earnings estimates for the S&P 500 Index over the next two years are bullish Reviewing the Russell 2000 Index earnings estimates and how lofty they are currently Looking at growth of next 12 months earnings estimates vs the S&P 500 Index itself   Mentioned in this Episode   VIX Too High at All-Time Market Highs? | Employment Surprises | Interest Rate Cut Expectations Drop| No More Port Strike | Technical Analysis on Markets https://open.spotify.com/episode/7uOX1CRDw8T9q1lNpx2lHc?si=2078c3e6fbec4a2c   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

Derek Moore covers what you need to know going into the fed meeting. Plus, reviewing whether the Fed has ever cut rates with a forward price to earnings ratios this high? Then looking at potential technical analysis outcomes on the S&P 500 Index include a cup with handle, triple top, and more.   Historical Forward PE ratios at Fed cuts VIX Index doesn't go berserk during Wednesday's CPI selloff and recovery Is the market pricing in too many future fed cuts Comparing CPI Supercore, CPI Core, and CPI from a month over month annualized basis Does CPI tell us anything about future Fed cuts? What is a cup and handle technical pattern? What is a triple top technical pattern?     Mentioned in this Episode   Will There or Won't There Be a Recession? | Size of First Fed Rate Cut?| Stocks Get Cheaper | Why VIX is Tough to Trade https://open.spotify.com/episode/2PzBKek4qM4HfJQGodsxea?si=9vkdi40ETayaVFPiUlHMOQ   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com   www.zegafinancial.com                

Die letzte Explosion der Volatilität hat es mal wieder gezeigt: Für Optionshändler ist es unerlässlich die Vola zu verstehen. Einige Depots hat der fast Börsencrash zerschossen, andere sind mit Hedges auf den VIX Index gut durch den Black Monday gekommen. Daher nehmen wir uns in dieser Folge etwas Zeit, um euch mit den richtigen Hedges vor den nächsten Volatilitätsanstiegen zu schützen. Im Podcast erwähnt: Einzelausgabe des Vermögensmagazins zum VIX Intensiv-Seminar: Handel der Volatilität Folgt uns gerne auf unseren anderen Kanälen  ⁠⁠⁠YouTube⁠⁠⁠   ⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠  ⁠⁠Twitter⁠⁠  Hier findet ihr einen Ausschnitt unseres Angebotes  ⁠Homepage⁠   ⁠Unser Vermögensmagazin⁠  ⁠Kostenloser Newsletter⁠  ⁠Kostenfreie E-Books⁠      Risikohinweis: Dieser Podcast dient nur der Information und stellt keine Aufforderung zum Kauf oder Verkauf der eventuell erwähnten Wertpapiere dar. Der Handel mit börsennotierten Wertpapieren kann zum Teil erheblichen Kursschwankungen unterliegen, die zu erheblichen Verlusten bis hin zum Totalverlust führen können. Bei jeder Anlageentscheidung, die Sie aufgrund von Informationen, welche aus Inhalten dieses Podcast hervorgehen, treffen, handeln Sie immer eigenverantwortlich, auf eigene Gefahr und eigenes Risiko. Die in diesem Podcast zur Verfügung gestellten Inhalte, wie z.B. Handelssignale und Analysen, beruhen auf sorgfältiger Recherche, welchen Quellen Dritter zugrunde liegen. Diese Quellen werden von Eichhorn Coaching als vertrauenswürdig und zuverlässig erachtet. Eichhorn Coaching übernimmt gleichwohl keinerlei Gewährleistung für die Aktualität, Richtigkeit oder Vollständigkeit der Inhalte und haftet nicht für materielle und/oder immaterielle Schäden, die durch die Nutzung oder Nichtnutzung der Inhalte oder durch die Nutzung fehlerhafter und unvollständiger Inhalte verursacht wurden.    #Optionen #Aktienoptionen #Optionenhandeln #Optionshandel #Optionshändler #Optionsstrategien #Futures #Indexoptionen #Optionstrading #Options #Börse #Geld #Finanzen #Handel #Investor #Investment #Trader #Trading #Aktien #ETF #ETFs #VIX #Vola #Volatilität #Margin #Margincall #Tradingsteuer #Vermögenssteuer #Dividenden #Dividendenaktien #Rohstoffoptionen #0DTE #Wheel #Cashflow #Wheelstrategie #Cashsecuredput #gedeckteoptionen #Verlustverrechnungsbegrenzung #Tradingsteuer #Hedging #Hedge    Kapitel  00:00 Intro    02:35 Muss man hedgen?    11:45 Der Volatilitätsindex VIX    16:50 VIX-Futures    19:50 VIX-Optionen einfach erklärt    23:20 Short Puts auf den VIX-Index    31:48 Zusammenfassung    33:33 Welche Laufzeit sind für Short Puts auf den VIX sinnvoll?    35:30 Cash Secured Put beim VIX sinnvoll?    36:15 Wann sind VIX-Optionen teuer?    37:06 Ist ein Long Call nicht sinnvoller, da der maximale Gewinn nicht gedeckelt ist?    37:53 Berechnung des Hedging je nach Depotgröße    38:25 Verkauft ihr regelmäßig Short Puts auf den VIX oder habt ihr einen Trigger?    40:20 Alternativ zum Long Call auf den VIX könnte man ja auch einen Long Put auf den SPX handeln, oder habe ich da einen Denkfehler?     41:27 Verabschiedung 

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli are back to discuss the surge and record collapse back below 17.6 in the VIX Index. Plus, Reviewing the difference between the VIX Index (not tradable) and VIX Futures relative spike levels. Then, they go into the latest CPI numbers including CPI Supercore to see what is sticky and what is negative. Finally, they discuss whether Chairman Jerome Powel is going to disappoint markets with only a 25-bps cut when everyone seems to want more. All that and more including the yield curve inversion, mentions of job cuts vs AI on earnings calls in Q2, expectations for a soft, hard, or no landing and what the heck that even means.   VIX only takes 7 days to go back below 17.6 after spiking above 35 Comparing previous VIX Index surges and length to come back down Difference between hard , soft, and no landings Fed prepares for Jackson Hole meetings and sure to signal its interest rate intentions Will Powell and the Fed disappoint markets? Chance that Powel pushes back to not be bullied into rate cuts Mentions of AI on corporate earnings calls vs mentions of job cuts and employment Inverted yield curve and what the 2-year bond is predicting for rates in the future Fed balance sheet below the radar Will Fed stop letting treasury bonds and mortgage backed bonds run off the balance sheet? Comparing current and past VIX spikes against the relative spike level of the VIX futures     Mentioned in this Episode   Panic Overdone? | VIX 3rd Highest Spike Ever | How the Strategies Held Up | Short Volatility Trades https://open.spotify.com/episode/2mF1zkDaqWZLRhumfs0VJh?si=j5sn9DZpS3mmyM3Y5VM_1A   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com  

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli jumped on a special edition podcast to discuss whether the move in things like the VIX and VIX were warranted given the technical surroundings of the carry trade and where markets went. Looking back at previous VIX spikes and the high yield spread in times of crisis. Plus, discussing how some strategies held up and some insights into what went on. Finally, what a higher volatility regime would mean for strategies that sell options like covered calls or high probability credit spreads.   VIX 3rd highest spike in history going back to 1992 VVIX 4th highest spike ever Comparing the VIX Index spike to the High Yield Spread There was no VIX Index back in 1987 but estimates say it would have been highest ever Are there currently structural problems showing in the US Economy? Unemployment rate up due to increase in population and size of labor force Explaining the VVIX Index Warren Buffet comment about whether you should be invested in stocks People don't make good investment decisions when they panic Market performance historically after major VIX spikes Comparing the carry trade blowup to August 2015 drop due to the Chinese Yuan move     Mentioned in this Episode   Podcast Market Volatility | Yen Carry Trade Unwind Explained | High Yield Holds Up | Dissecting the Unemployment Rate Rise Causes https://open.spotify.com/episode/4aBJMdpmanE3Anncxlzfqs?si=zflHqMZuS7OZ5cAL0ae0Sg   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com   www.zegafinancial.com  

In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the JOLTS report, the Case-Shiller, the Employment Cost Index, the Employment Situation Summary, the recent FOMC meeting, and the VIX index. Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyCindy Honcharenko, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio ManagementGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 01:16 – The job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) reported the amount of job openings remained unchanged as 8.2 million for June01:33 – The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller reported 5.9% annual of gains for May. This continues to support that home sale demand is high, however the inventory of homes is low01:58 – The Employment Cost Index measured wages and salaries increased to 4.2% in June 02:36 – The Employment Situation Summary showed unemployment increased to 4.3% for July 03:35 – The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met Wednesday and decided to leave rates unchanged at 5.25% – 5.5%. While the economic outlook is uncertain, Fed Chair Powell didn't directly use language that hinted towards there may or may not be a rate cut in soon06:48 – The Fed seems to have inflation close to their intended target of 2%, now it seems their focus will soon shift from inflation to prioritizing normalization within the labor market09:25 – Comments on the Fed, and that the market anticipates two to three rates cuts by the end of the year due to the release of recent labor reports 14:03 – Comments on the stock market and highlighting the VIX index spiking to 24.5% signaling the economy getting back to a more normal volatility market Additional ResourcesKey Questions: "You're Killin' Me Smalls!" Will Small Caps Ever Outperform Again | Key Private Bank Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

Die Verkaufswelle schwappt über alle Sektoren. Intel streicht mindestens 15.000 Jobs, Aktien minus 30 %. Der schlechteste Handelstag für Intel seit 50 Jahren. Vielleicht fliegt Intel aus dem Dow Jones. 114.000 neue US-Jobs im Juli, deutlich weniger als erwartet. Vielleicht steuert die USA auf eine Rezession zu. US-Industrie mit kräftigem Auftragsschwund. Nach dem Taucher gestern an der Wall Street stehen die Kurse auch heute unter Druck. Der Dow Jones verliert rund 500 Punkte nach seinem Start. Apple verliert ein halbes Prozent. Der DAX schloss 2,5 % im Minus bei 17.668 Punkten. Infineon geben am meisten ab. Enttäuschende Quartalsberichte von Apple, Amazon und Intel haben die ohnehin schlechte Stimmung am Aktienmarkt weiter verschlechtert. Rezessionsängste sind erneut aufgeflammt. An den US-Börsen herrscht Nervosität, der VIX-Index, das Angstbarometer der Wall Street, steigt um 11 % auf den höchsten Wert seit April. Firmenmeldungen: Intel: Der kriselnde Halbleiter-Pionier streicht 15.000 Arbeitsplätze, etwa 15 % der Belegschaft. Die Intel-Aktie stürzte um fast 30 % ab, der größte Einbruch seit über 40 Jahren. - Die RWE-Aktien fielen um über 7 %, nachdem Gerüchte über einen möglichen Einstieg bei dem US-Versorger Calpine aufgekommen waren.

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, join up once again to discuss the drop in the VIX Index off the highs. How S&P 500 2024 targets are showing up and why investors may not care. Labor force participation turned down so what does that mean if anything? Finally, Simplifying what synthetic long stock strategies are and synthetic long stock with covered calls. What are the features and benefits? How are they like just owning stock and or owning stock with a covered call? What investors give up by selling covered calls in exchange for additional income.   2024 S&P 500 Year End Price Targets from the investment banks Why investors should probably ignore market predictions Largest VIX Index 7-week declines and whether its significant or no Unemployment remains low but labor force participation move lower What does Labor Force participation measure? What are synthetic option positions? What are synthetic long stock with a covered call position? What are the benefits of using synthetic options to build market exposure?     Mentioned in this Episode:   VIX Index Goes Nowhere | Cheap Puts to Hedge? |Cheaper to Rent Than Buy? | Markets During Presidential Election Years https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/vix-index-goes-nowhere-cheap-puts-to-hedge-cheaper/id1432836154?i=1000637335338   Dave Ramsey Wrong? | Huge VIX Options Bets | S&P 500 Seasonality | When Does Government Debt Become a Problem? https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-ramsey-wrong-huge-vix-options-bets-s-p-500-seasonality/id1432836154?i=1000636559171   0DTE Options Analysis| Inflation Coming Back? | Strong US Dollar Impact https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/0dte-options-analysis-inflation-coming-back-strong/id1432836154?i=1000628157831   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com   www.zegafinancial.com

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli join up to discuss an unchanged VIX and VVIX index. Was our trading platform screen broken? Whether the VIX and VVIX Index is a coiled spring as they are both in compression mode of late. Then, they explore new data that shows the cost to buy a home vs rent is really high meaning its very costly to buy vs rent right now. Did the Fed cause this? Jay and Derek also explore how cheap 1 year out puts are on the S&P 500 Index right now. Does no one want protection? Finally, they dip their toes into the all to soon 2024 presidential election looking at data around how markets do during election years. Does it even matter if it's a Republican or Democrat?   The VIX Index and the VVIX Index both closed unchanged on Wednesday this week Both VIX and VVIX are showing signs of compression in their standard deviations of late What smaller ranges over a period mean for the VIX and markets with regard to expected moves Not since the pre-Great Financial crisis has buying a home been more expensive than renting How now one ever compares the interest paid in a mortgage payment to rental payments Did the Federal Reserve cause rent inflation by freezing the housing market creating demand? The 1-year out at-the-money-puts are a cheap hedge right now, does anyone want hedged? How everyone wants to be hedged when markets are crashing but not when its cheap Why buying but hedging makes sense for the long haul. How do markets do in the 4th year of a presidential cycle election year? Market returns during presidential elections when democrats vs republicans get elected     Mentioned in this Episode:   Dave Ramsey Wrong? | Huge VIX Options Bets | S&P 500 Seasonality | When Does Government Debt Become a Problem? https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-ramsey-wrong-huge-vix-options-bets-s-p-500-seasonality/id1432836154?i=1000636559171   Total compounded annualized growth rate S&P 500 index by decade https://zegafinancial.com/blog/where-did-the-2010s-rank-for-total-return-on-sandp-500-index   Probability of Recession? | Explaining How US Treasury Bond Auctions Work | S&P 500 Index Member Changes | Option Premium Intrinsic vs. Extrinsic https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/probability-of-recession-explaining-how-us-treasury/id1432836154?i=1000635380296   Stock Market Returns after First Rate Cut https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/stock-market-returns-after-first-rate-cut-yield-curve/id1432836154?i=1000634550774   Option Selling ETFs Boom | Probability of Future Fed Moves | Bad News is Good News on Employment https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/option-selling-etfs-boom-probability-of-future-fed/id1432836154?i=1000633983056   0DTE Options Analysis| Inflation Coming Back? | Strong US Dollar Impact https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/0dte-options-analysis-inflation-coming-back-strong/id1432836154?i=1000628157831   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com   www.zegafinancial.com

Derek Moore is back with Jay Pestrichelli this week where they analyze the recent viral video where Dave Ramsey suggests people can safely withdraw 8% forever in retirement. What doesn't make sense, what is left out, and why the assumptions may be faulty. Then, they discuss the market seasonality and whether this November pop higher already delivered a year end rally? Later Jay and Derek discuss the huge purchase of VIX calls this week and what it did to the VVIX Index as well as an interesting VIX option trade for December. Finally, they touch on Argentina's plan to dollarize the economy and when the US and other countries high debt to GDP can expect it to be a problem and what is so frustrating to traders making bearish bets against it.   Dave Ramsey viral video saying 8% withdrawal rate on accounts will work forever How Dave Ramsey makes fun of people arguing for 3%-5% withdrawal rates The claim of simply investing in mutual funds making 12% annually doesn't add up How ignoring the sequence of return risk doesn't paint a true picture for retirees Dave Ramsey seems to imply even retirees should be 100% invested in equities How the sequence of returns only matters to returns when withdrawing or adding money Simple average annual return vs CAGR compounded annual growth rate Contrary to Dave Ramsey's advice not everyone should paying off their mortgage early What historical seasonality of the S&P 500 Index says about year end performance One of the largest November month returns on record for S&P 500 Index since 1928 What does Novembers month to date returns mean for seasonality? Sovereign government debt at historic highs measured as debt to GDP Argentina new president Javier Milei's plan to dollarize Argentina's history of debt defaults Discussing the huge VIX call trade that moved the VVIX Index this week Why people are buying VIX calls The VIX Index closed at the lowest level since January of 2020 Interesting VIX call breakeven levels for December calls     Mentioned in this Episode:   Total compounded annualized growth rate S&P 500 index by decade https://zegafinancial.com/blog/where-did-the-2010s-rank-for-total-return-on-sandp-500-index   Probability of Recession? | Explaining How US Treasury Bond Auctions Work | S&P 500 Index Member Changes | Option Premium Intrinsic vs. Extrinsic https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/probability-of-recession-explaining-how-us-treasury/id1432836154?i=1000635380296   Stock Market Returns after First Rate Cut https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/stock-market-returns-after-first-rate-cut-yield-curve/id1432836154?i=1000634550774   Option Selling ETFs Boom | Probability of Future Fed Moves | Bad News is Good News on Employment https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/option-selling-etfs-boom-probability-of-future-fed/id1432836154?i=1000633983056   0DTE Options Analysis| Inflation Coming Back? | Strong US Dollar Impact https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/0dte-options-analysis-inflation-coming-back-strong/id1432836154?i=1000628157831   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com   www.zegafinancial.com

Les places européennes affichent une tendance prudente pour cette première séance, en raison de la résurgence des inquiétudes liées à la stabilité au Moyen-Orient, provoquée par l'attaque du Hamas contre l'Israël. Ces tensions géopolitiques stimulent les valeurs refuges, et on le voit avec le dollar et l'or qui progressent, tout comme le prix du Brent qui prend 4,22% en raison des préoccupations liées à l'approvisionnement. Bien évidemment ce signe d'inquiétude sur les marchés se traduit, par une augmentation du VIX Index de 7%. La Bourse de Paris termine donc la séance sur un repli de 0,55% vers les 7.021 points, dans des volumes d'échanges de 2,6 milliards d'euros à la clôture.

What sort of topics arise when two options market veterans sit down for a conversation?  Volatility, correlation, bonds, and of course, 0DTE and Volmageddon.  For the latest IBKR Podcast, Mandy Xu, VP and head of derivatives markets intelligence at Cboe, joins Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at IBKR, to discuss these topics and much, much more.   Useful Links:    VIX Definition: From VIX Index (cboe.com) : “The VIX Index is a calculation designed to produce a measure of constant, 30-day expected volatility of the U.S. stock market, derived from real-time, mid-quote prices of S&P 500® Index (SPX℠) call and put options.”  An explainer about the differences between cash settled index options and equity options that deliver underlying shares: Understanding Index Options | Traders' Insight (ibkrcampus.com)  Cboe Implied Correlation index Indices: Implied Correlation (cboe.com)  Cboe® iBoxx® iShares® Corporate Bond Index Futures and Options on Futures: IBHY/IBIG-Cboe Corporate Bond Index Futures  Cboe White Paper: The Rise of SPX & 0DTE Options (cboe.com)    DISCLOSURE: OPTIONS TRADING Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Multiple leg strategies, including spreads, will incur multiple commission charges. For more information read the “Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options” also known as the options disclosure document (ODD) or visit ibkr.com/occ

Michael Burry, the man who foresaw the 2008 housing market crash, has recently shorted the entire stock market once again! He is not alone in his market crash prediction. Other investors and analysts such as Bill Ackman and Cathie Wood agree with Burry and have found different ways to protect their portfolios. At the same time, economic indicators such as the VIX Index, the Yield Curve, or the Unemployment Rate tell contradictory stories about the market's direction. In today's episode, I dig into Burry's market forecast track record, discuss who agrees with him, and explore the economic indicators to help us understand the market direction. I'll wrap up with ways to protect our portfolios against any possible crash.   Resources: 

Implied equity volatility as measured by the VIX Index remains subdued at 15.80.  The threat of waterfall decline in equity markets seems low as long as the VIX remains below 22. Would you like to learn more about Jackson Square Capital or receive Inside Markets as a daily email? Join the Jackson Square Capital community by sending an email to hello@jacksonsquarecap.com.

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli return this week to discuss what current forward PE rations and whether that informs future market returns. Reasons PE ratios may go up or down including earnings increasing or markets going lower. Have there been a jump in forward earnings expectations? Then they check in on the high yield spread against treasuries and relationship to the VIX Index. Later they discuss the moving average of the unemployment rate and whether that is leading or lagging as an indicator. Finally, before some recommendations, Jay and Derek take a win vs. the Fed when looking at the supply chain pressure index vs. the CPI.   What is the Forward PE Ratio definition? What is the current forward pe on the S&P 500 Index? Is the forward pe ratio high in relation to the 25-year average? How markets falling or earnings rising can lower the forward PE ratio What is the high yield spread against treasuries? High Yield spread vs the VIX Index Global Supply Chain Pressure Index vs Consumer Price Index How inflation was a supply side issue Moving average of the unemployment rate as a leading indicator of recession? Do higher ranges of market intraday highs and lows mean anything? Next year's earnings estimates 2024 and 2025 S&P 500 earnings estimates     Mentioned in this Episode:   Liz Young's article showing current forward PE ratios and subsequent 10-year market annualized returns https://www.sofi.com/article/investment-strategy/liz-looks-at-wrong-calls/   US Debt Down Grade Effects | Interest Rates Effect on Option Prices | US Treasury Yield Curve Dis-inverting? | US Debt Massive Expansion https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/us-debt-down-grade-effects-interest-rates-effect-on/id1432836154?i=1000623596920   Cheapest (SPX) PUT Protection You've Ever Seen? | S&P 500 Index Rebalancing | Bank of Japan Hawkishnesshttps://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cheapest-spx-put-protection-youve-ever-seen-s-p-500/id1432836154?i=1000623047871   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com

Derek Moore is joined once again by ZEGA Financial CEO Jay Pestrichelli to debate whether inflation still matters to the market. Plus, even though stocks like META are up huge off the bottom, they still are down from their prior highs. Why this shows the power of losing less through proper hedging and how it can potentially increase returns during volatile times. Speaking of volatility, they discuss the state of Vol in the markets including the VIX and why volatility isn't lower considering the market run. Finally, they illustrate the cost of hedging downside risk in individual stocks like Nvidia, Tesla, and more. Finally, before some recommendations, they showcase the report of a huge buy of VIX October calls.   The CPI Consumer Price Index inflation report and ramifications Does inflation even matter to markets? META/Facebook is still down -20% from its 2021 high despite being up 250% off the bottom. How much you must make to overcome large losses. Cost of hedging annualized for individual stocks like Tesla and Nvida as examples. How to look at the cost of hedging So why isn't the VIX Index lower considering markets are at 1-year highs. Comparing short term VIX vs normal VIX levels Evaluating a big purchase of October VIX calls on the VIX future. VIX futures vs spot VIX (the one you see on CNBC)     Mentioned in this Episode:   Short Sellers Give Up? | The Case for Interest Rates to Stay High for Longer https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/short-sellers-give-up-the-case-for-interest-rates-to/id1432836154?i=1000620571083   Nasdaq 100 Index Strong First Half Equals Strong Second Half? | Overbought or not? | Trying to Guess the Forward PE Multiple Is Hard!https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nasdaq-100-index-strong-first-half-equals-strong-second/id1432836154?i=1000619186796   Fear and Greed Index | Volatility Surface | Put Call Ratio | Wall Street Gets Bullish | Homebuilders Surprise https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fear-and-greed-index-volatility-surface-put-call/id1432836154?i=1000618362312     Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com

If you are feeling confused right now, you can rest easy knowing you are not alone.  Since the beginning of the year, investors have been bombarded with a cacophony of conflicting market commentary on where best to invest. The indicators themselves, such as the VIX Index, the Coppock Indicator, and various sentiment surveys, also seem to be pointing in opposing directions. For equities-focused fund managers, there's plenty of opportunity hidden within the world's major indices. For fixed income investors, there's more opportunity than ever before in bonds. In the end, everyone is talking their own book. And who can blame them? How else are they meant to attract investors' hard-earned cash? This week's guest is different. She's completely independent and unrestricted by any investment management firm's mandate, compliance team, or asset class. She's nothing if not completely honest.  And let's face it. That's really what we all need right now.  Giselle Roux has 35 years of market experience. She's worked for the likes of Merrill Lynch, Citigroup, JBWere and Escala Partners. However, since 2019, she's been providing independent advice to a handful of advisory groups. In this podcast, Roux will be providing her unfettered opinion on markets, where there actually is true opportunity, as well as why she believes global growth looks challenged from here. Note: This podcast was recorded on Thursday 22 June 2023. Timestamps: 3:10 - Choose your information wisely 4:30 - Credit and liquidity is key 6:21 - Corporate finance is changing 9:30 - Explaining the charge in US tech 11:00 - The heavy burden of sovereign debt 13:30 - Stock market vs economy 15:30 - Future drivers of growth 19:30 - Finding 10% return 21:16 - Opportunities in smallcaps and midcaps 25:00 - Hold cash, but not for too long 27:50 - Is gold overrated? 30:00 - Don't put too much weight in history 32:50 - Cyber is here to stay

David Lundgren, Founder & Chief Market Strategist, MOTR Capital Management & Research gives his analysis on whether the rise in S&P 500 is signalling a broadening out of the rally, tech rallies in 2023, as well as VIX movements. Presented by: Sean Cheong This podcast is produced and edited by Yeo Kai Ting (ykaiting@sph.com.sg) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Derek Moore and ZEGA CEO Jay Pestrichelli are back again to discuss the CBOE launching a new 1 Day VIX Index and what it means in relation to the viability of the traditional VIX Index. Plus, they note that 1 month treasury bill yields are far below the 3 month which is odd when looking historically at the relationship. Hint, it has something to do with money market funds and the Fed Overnight Reverse Repos. Then they discuss the decline in the money supply but when put into context, is it really a big deal? Finally, they dish out some recommendations.   1-month US Treasury Bills yield much less than 3-month US Treasury Bills How historic is the difference between 1-month yields and 3-month yields? What does it mean if anything when 1-month T bills yield less than Fed Funds? CBOE launches a new 1 Day VIX Index Is the traditional VIX Index broken? Differences between various VIX index terms and what they tell us. What is the VVIX Index? What does the VVIX Index tell us about option prices on the VIX? Current shape of the VIX Futures expiration curve Relationship between spot VIX (what you see on TV) and the VIX Futures Flows into money market funds continue but from where? Overnight Reverse Repos from the Fed as a competitor to 1-month treasury bills   Mentioned in this Episode:   Debt Ceiling Risk | Recession Signals | 10/3 Yield Curve Inversion Podcast https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/debt-ceiling-risk-recession-signals-10-3-yield-curve/id1432836154?i=1000609174431   Can the Fed Fail? https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/can-the-fed-fail-q1-winners-surprise-the-crowd/id1432836154?i=1000608060319   What are Reverse Repos and Repos? Fed usage of overnight reverse repos https://open.spotify.com/episode/09VOIffldtn3WxNm7rzyNx   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com

Link zu unserer Discord Community https://discord.gg/TQrnHcnCFQ Unterstütze uns mit einer Mitgliedschaft oder einmalig per PayPal www.promilleprozente.de // https://paypal.me/promilleprozente Nachdem die Aktienmärkte wochenlang nur nach oben gelaufen sind, wird die Luft nun langsam dünner. Daher ist der Volatilitätsindex VIX wieder in aller Munde. Aber was hat es damit überhaupt auf sich und warum wird dieser Index zumeist mit fallenden Kursen in Verbindung gebracht? Wir erklären den Index und die Korrelation zum Aktienmarkt. Außerdem blicken wir auf einen zweiten Index, der aktuell zunehmend Aufmerksamkeit erfährt - den Financial Conditions Index. Entgegen der breiten Markterwartungen haben sich die Finanzierungsmöglichkeiten trotz Zinserhöhungen zuletzt wieder stark gelockert. Woran liegt das und welche Auswirkungen könnte das haben? Die in dieser Woche heißer als erwartet ausgefallene Inflationsrate und die starken Einzelhandelsumsätze stehen in direktem Zusammenhang mit den Financial Conditions. Themen und Zeitmarker Begrüßung und Intro (0:15) Inflation höher als erwartet (2:45) Optionsmarkt auf Rekordniveau (15:20) Sind Anleihen immer noch attraktiv? (23:55) Whisky der Woche (30:10) VIX Volatilitätsindex (34:00) Financial Conditions Index (45:50) SAF Holland (55:15) Zock der Woche (64:00) Outro (72:44) Quellen, Links und Infos zu dieser Folge CBOE Volatility Index (VIX): https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/CBOE_Volatility_Index National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI): https://www.chicagofed.org/research/data/nfci/current-data Kontakt Mail: fanpost@promilleprozente.de Instagram: www.instagram.com/promilleprozente Twitter: https://twitter.com/Promille_Pod Web: www.promilleprozente.de Risikohinweis Die im Podcast geteilten Inhalte stellen keine Anlageberatung dar! Wir informieren in diesem Podcast lediglich über unsere persönlichen Interessen und Investitionsentscheidungen. Wir weisen ausdrücklich darauf hin, dass ein Kauf von Aktien oder anderen Finanzprodukten im schlimmsten Fall zu Verlusten bis hin zum Totalverlust des eingesetzten Vermögens führen kann. Wir übernehmen keine Haftung für entstandene Verluste. Foto: Pop Mechanix --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/promilleprozente/message

Tom welcomes Harley Bassman to the show. Harvey is Managing Partner at Simplify Asset Management and Creator of the Move Indicator. He explains the concept of convexity, which is simply a non-linear return. You have a bet where up or down moves are equally weighted for returns. Markets are a lot about character but hubris and ego are what get you on the front page of the New York Times. It's important to understand your own biases and trade accordingly. The Move indicator tracks the volatility of bonds, and he argues the Fed can't raise rates too quickly. The Fed tends to respond around the 150 level. When the yield curve inverts, you're going to get a recession in 12 to 18 months. We are currently deep into a yield curve inversion unlike any seen in the last 30 years. By Q2, we will likely be in recession. He discusses why the Fed will continue to squeeze until something significant breaks. The middle class will be hit hard by inflation. What happens in the investment universe if inflation falls to four and stays at that level. Demographics are important for determining where things will inevitably lead. Millennials will want to buy homes, but we've seen massive increases in housing prices. He feels housing prices have about 15 percent to come down, but doesn't foresee a crash. Likewise, he doesn't find gold to be an investment, but more of an alternative currency. There isn't a lot of it, and they aren't making much more of it, so it fulfills an important function. It's a disaster insurance policy. Lastly, he discusses the correlation between stocks and bonds and how that is changing. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - Convexity Concept2:50 - Actionable Advice5:10 - Move Index & Recession14:27 - Powell's Tough Job16:32 - Inflation Outlook22:02 - Declining Demographics29:53 - Japan & Population32:30 - Labor & Immigration36:18 - Housing Markets40:20 - Mortgage Backed Securities43:39 - MBS Vs. REITs48:36 - Fed & Soft Landing?51:40 - Thoughts on Gold53:45 - Concluding Thoughts Talking Points From This Episode The concept of convexity and how the Move index (indicator) measures bond volatility.Demographic problems and why the middle class will be hardest hit by inflation.Why MBS may be a good investment in this environment. Guest Links:Website: https://www.convexitymaven.com/Twitter: https://twitter.com/ConvexityMavenWebsite: https://www.simplify.us/ Harley Bassman created, marketed and traded a wide variety of derivative and structured products during his twenty-six year career at Merrill Lynch. In 1985, he created the OPOSSMS mortgage options product that facilitated risk transmission between MBS originators and financial institutions. In 1988, he assumed responsibility for trading and marketing IO/PO and other levered prepayment securities. Soon after this, he started purchasing RTC auctioned MBS Servicing rights and repackaged them for the securities market as BIGS – Beneficial Interests in GNMA Servicing. Later, he started a GNMA servicing conduit, becoming one of the Top 20 originators in 1992. As managing and hedging prepayment risk became a priority focus for the financial markets, Mr. Bassman created PRESERV, Merrill's trademarked Prepayment Cap product. Merrill was a leader in this product category, writing protection that covered the risk on tens of billions of notional mortgage servicing rights. Later, Mr. Bassman managed Merrill's initial venture into off-balance sheet mortgage trading. In 1994, Mr. Bassman assumed responsibility for OTC bond options. Within a year, Merrill was the leader in this product sector. A wide variety of products were offered, including vanilla and complex options on MBS spreads and the Treasury yield curve. To help clients more fully appreciate Volatility as a primary risk vector, he created the MOVE Index. Similar in form to the VIX Index, it is now the recognized standard measure of Interest Rate Volatility.

Unsichere Märkte, nervöse Aktionäre, Sorgen vor weiter fallenden Kursen – Schlagworte wie diese prasseln seit Monaten auf Anlegerinnen und Anleger ein. Im Zuge dessen wird häufig auch der VIX-Index herangezogen. Doch was genau verbirgt sich hinter dem Index, der auch „Angstbarometer“ genannt wird, und welche Schlüsse können Börsenneulinge aus ihm ziehen? Diese und weitere Fragen rund um den Volatilitätsindex beantworten die AKTIONÄR-Redakteure Tim Temp und Benjamin Heimlich in Folge 51 des einfach börse-Podcasts. Hinweis: Die im Podcast besprochenen Aktien und Fonds stellen keine spezifischen Kauf- oder Anlageempfehlungen dar. Die Moderatoren oder der Verlag haften nicht für etwaige Verluste, die aufgrund der Umsetzung der Gedanken oder Ideen entstehen.

They say market meltdowns make an investor (a lot of money if they're wise, that is). That said, trying to pick the winners when the rest of the market is running for the hills isn't exactly easy. After all, the S&P/ASX 200 has dropped more than 12% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P/ASX 200 VIX Index - the gauge of expected volatility for the Aussie stock market - has lifted nearly 60%. It hasn't been easy for the country's top stockpickers either. From what we can see from ASX Fund data, more than 40% of Australian equity managers underperformed the benchmark over the 12 months to the end of May. Meanwhile, SPIVA data shows that 73.45% of active managers underperform the S&P/ASX 200 over a five-year period. It therefore begs the question, is a passive approach a safer bet? So in this episode, Livewire's Ally Selby was joined by Shaw & Partners' Felicity Thomas and Apt Wealth's Sarah Gonzales for their thoughts on using active or passive products to navigate market volatility. Plus, they also share the number one question they are hearing from clients right now, as well as one ETF that they are recommending to clients to help sail through these stormy markets. Note: This video was shot on Wednesday 6 July 2022. You can read the transcript below: https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/how-to-navigate-this-market-volatility-with-etfs/ 

James West & Ed Milewski discuss the major news stories and deliver the stock market recap for the short holiday week ending July 1, 2022. Happy Canada Day & Fourth of July Long Weekend!

Vergangenen Freitag verzeichnete der Dow Jones ein Minus von 2,7 Prozent. Zins- und Rezessionssorgen belasteten die US-Aktienmärkte. Auf Wochensicht betrug der Verlust mehr als 4,5 Prozent.

Episode #63: Silver Linings The current economic environment is full of dark clouds, and it's all too easy to focus only on the negative headlines. Although we're in a tough place at the moment, investors should not lose hope for a better tomorrow. There is optimism for the future, and it's based on the predictive power of the stock market. Always check back for more Flourish Insights with Jay Pluimer and don't forget to check out our insights blog at https://www.flourishinsights.com Please write a review of this podcast on Apple Podcasts or Alexa EPISODE TRANSCRIPT Hi everyone, Jay Pluimer here with Flourish Insights. As the Director of Investments at Flourish Wealth Management, I take pride in providing our clients, colleagues, and friends with resources and information that can help them make strategic and effective choices regarding their investments. If you've been enjoying the show, be sure to subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts, so you'll never miss an episode. Today, we're talking about Silver Linings. The current environment is full of dark clouds. The last couple episodes of Flourish Insights have discussed these economic and investment threats in detail, focusing on the War in Ukraine, fears of an impending recession, along with the tightrope walk for the Federal Reserve. It's easy to fall into the habit of doom scrolling by scanning the headlines and bouncing from one piece of bad news to another. The fact is that we're in a tough place right now with lots of things to be concerned about, but that doesn't mean investors should lose hope for a better tomorrow. Let's start by revisiting the predictive power of the Stock Market. There have been many times where the daily and weekly ups and downs of the market seem to lack connection to the current reality. A perfect example happened in April and May of 2020 when most of the global economy was shut down as the COVID Crisis became reality. Despite the real concerns about personal safety and the future of life during a pandemic, the stock market was in the middle of a rally that would turn into the fastest recovery from a bear market in history. The surprising stock market rebound was actually the topic of the first episode of Flourish Insights and was titled “Why are markets booming in the midst of a crisis?” We have experienced similar behavior from the stock market frequently over the past year where market returns didn't seem to line up with investor sentiment or economic statistics. The market dropped almost 5% in September of 2021 during a period where corporate earnings were approaching 30% growth rates, unemployment had fallen under 4%, mortgage rates were hitting historic lows, and the zero-interest rate policy was supporting record consumer spending. On the flip side, the market rebounded 9% this past month despite an escalating war in Ukraine, record gas prices at the pump, supply chain shortages, and fears of a new COVID strain. The reason that market returns don't always line up to current events is that the stock market acts as a predictor of what will take place in the future. For example, the stock market rally in the Spring of 2020 reflected expectations for increased consumer spending during the summer. The market dip last Fall reflected concerns about rising rates of inflation while the recent market rally indicates confidence that the Federal Reserve will be able to significantly reduce inflation through aggressive interest rate hikes. However, although the stock market acts as a predictor of the future it doesn't always get things right, particularly in periods of “excess exuberance” that led to market bubbles in the late 1990s and mid-2000s. So what is the silver lining about the recent market recovery? I've been having a lot of client conversations lately where they are justifiably worried about the state of the economy and the potential implications for their investments. Constant headlines about an impending recession with record inflation and daily updates about the atrocities taking place in Ukraine are excellent reasons to be worried. At the same time, the stock market is more focused on what could happen in 6 months with the conclusion of mid-term elections, decreased inflation, a resolution in Ukraine, and supply chains that are working again. We have been guardedly optimistic about the market fundamentals in the US with strong corporate earnings and profits supported by high levels of consumer spending. Although consumer confidence has been dipping lately, that is frequently a contrarian indicator, so doom and gloom often points to an investment opportunity. The optimism for an economic and market recovery in the Fall of 2022 doesn't mean it will be smooth sailing over the next few months. There are still significant concerns about how the economy will respond to rising interest rates, questions about the Federal Reserve's ability to walk a tightrope between inflation and recession, plus concerns about options for a peaceful resolution to the military situation in Ukraine. I expect to see relatively high market volatility over the next few months and will be closely monitoring the VIX Index, also known as the fear index, as an indicator of investor sentiment. In general, there are reasons to focus on the silver linings of the current environment rather than falling subject to doom scrolling negative headlines. We encourage clients and investors to look beyond the negative stories about today and look toward the future with hopes for a better tomorrow, particularly if the stock market is signaling a break in the clouds.   If you enjoyed this episode, please take a moment to rate and review us on Apple Podcasts so that more investors like you can find the show. And don't forget to check out Flourish Wealth Management's other podcast, Flourish Financially with Kathy Longo, available on all your favorite podcast providers. Thanks for listening, and don't forget to stay focused and think long-term. Send us your feedback online: https://pinecast.com/feedback/flourish-insights/44076bdb-8b02-4b1a-8219-4cedc9130fb0

Derek Moore is joined once again by ZEGA Financial CEO Jay Pestrichelli to discuss why volatility remains high. How the VIX Index stays elevated even after the initial reasons subside. What is driving the market pricing of the S&P 500 Index and how it compares to prior 10-year periods. Plus, comparing this high oil price period to prior ones on an inflation adjusted basis.   What are driving returns right now (earnings or multiples) Is the market getting cheap on a forward PE multiple base? Comparing 10-year periods (referencing Sempres Augustus letter) Looking at price inputs like revenues, share count, margins, multiples, and dividend yield Is the embedded volatility premium (VIX Index) here to stay? Discussing oil prices on an inflation adjusted basis When do high oil prices matter? When does inflation matter to the economy and margins for companies? Will CPI released in April for the month of March reveal a +10% YoY? Plus, Derek admits a bad beat on the contrarian corner   Mentioned in this Episode:   Contact Derek Moore derek.moore@zegafinancial.com   Derek Moore's Book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547?ref_=nav_signin&   Jay Pestrichelli Book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3i2UZoL   Sempres Augustus letter (see page 24 for where returns come from) PDF https://static.fmgsuite.com/media/documents/8b3d617a-4dc3-4dec-a621-23b1f6333833.pdf

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3tUoSiq   - The VIX Index and the VIX forward curve is not displaying full capitulation yet in US equities so we cannot reject the possibility that equities could slide further, but in early European trading US equities are indeed attempting another rebound. The USDJPY has been sliding in recent weeks with risk-off in equities so if equities can stage a rebound watch out for this FX pair. The Ukraine-Russia tensions are also still lurking beneath the surface and could negatively impact European energy markets if if we see further escalation. On commodities we also talk about gold's resilience despite rising real yields and we also show how almost all of the important commodities remain in backwardation highlighting tight spot supplies. Finally, we go through which stocks to watch today and the most important earnings this week which will be the ultimate test. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities and Ole S. Hansen on commodities. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Elke week een actueel overzicht met het laatste beursnieuws, alles over beleggen en een praktijkcasus voor de particuliere belegger. Deze week de bewegelijkheid op de beurs terug te zien in de VIX index, de angstindex.

พบกับพี่หนุ่ม ไหมฟ้า(ศักดา แสงกุล) และพี่โอ๊ต ธนธรณ์ กับประเด็นที่น่าสนใจเหล่านี้...

The S&P 500 Index closed at a record highs last week, yet investors seem increasingly on edge with the VIX Index, a measure of implied volatility on the S&P 500, spiking nearly 40% at one point. We won't bury the lead here, Brian's answer to the title is simple: this could be the start of a correction, but we aren't betting on a significant decline in the S&P 500 and Brian discusses why. Ford Financial Group on FacebookFord Financial Group on YouTubeQuestions?Find us at FordFG.comEmail us at info@fordfg.comMusic:Cold Funk - Funkorama by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution license. Source. Tracking ID: 1-05165326

Hot Topics วันนี้ 1. การแถลงของประธานเฟดเป็นไปตามคาดของตลาด พร้อมคงมุมมองว่าอัตราเงินเฟ้อที่เร่งตัวขึ้นจะคลายตัวลง 2. ประชุม กนง. คาดคงดอกเบี้ยที่ 0.5% และปรับลด GDP ปี 2564 ลงจาก 3% เหลือ 1.5-2.0% 3. Dollar Index อ่อนค่า, Bond Yield สหรัฐฯปรับตัวลง และ VIX Index ลดลง 4. บทวิเคราะห์ ได้แก่ RS, BPP, RATCH, STECH --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/yuantathai/message

Hot Topics วันนี้ 1. แนวโน้มกระแสเงินทุนเริ่มเป็นบวก เมื่อกองทุนในประเทศและต่างชาติ หยุดสถิติขายสุทธิพร้อมกันไว้ที่ 6 วัน สอดคล้องกับที่เราประเมิน 2. คาดวันนี้ SET INDEX แกว่งทรงตัวตามทิศทางตลาดหุ้นภูมิภาค ขณะที่ VIX Index กลับมายืนเหนือระดับ 20 อีกครั้ง 3. จับตาการรายงานอัตราเงินเฟ้อยุโรปและการเปิดเผยรายงานการประชุม Fed 4. บทวิเคราะห์ ได้แก่ JWD, MINT, PLANB, NRF และ Sector Update กลุ่มพลังงาน-ปิโตรเคมี --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/yuantathai/message

Hot Topics วันนี้ 1. เงินเฟ้อสหรัฐฯ เดือน เม.ย. เพิ่มขึ้น +4.2% YoY สูงกว่าคาด ส่งผลให้นักลงทุนทั่วโลกระมัดระวังการลงทุนมากขึ้น…นักลงทุนควรรับมืออย่างไร? 2. VIX Index ทำระดับสูงสุดรอบ 2 เดือน และ Bond Yield 10 ปีสหรัฐฯ เพิ่มขึ้นเป็น 1.7% 3. ท่อส่งน้ำมัน Colonial ของสหรัฐฯ กลับมาเปิดทำการ คาดใช้เวลาอีก 2-3 วันจะกลับเข้าสู่ระดับปกติ 4. บทวิเคราะห์มากกว่า 20 ฉบับ…หุ้นที่งบ 1Q64 ออกมาดี เช่น PTTGC, CHAYO, WORK, BCP ฯลฯ --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/yuantathai/message

Hot Topics วันนี้ 1. ตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลกปรับฐาน สอดคล้องกับที่เราประเมิน จาก Valuation ที่ตึงตัว เพื่อรอดูตัวเลขเงินเฟ้อสหรัฐฯในคืนนี้ คาด +3.6% YoY 2. MSCI ประกาศหุ้นเข้า-ออก ในการคำนวณดัชนี ได้แก่ หุ้นอะไรบ้าง และมี Surprise หรือไม่? 3. VIX Index ปรับตัวขึ้น +11% สะท้อนถึงความผันผวนของตลาดที่เพิ่มขึ้น 4. งบ 1Q64 ออกรัวๆ ติดตามบทวิเคราะห์ของเรามากกว่า 15 ฉบับ หุ้นที่งบออกมาดีกว่าคาดมาก เช่น III, DOHOME ฯลฯ --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/yuantathai/message

Hot Topics วันนี้ 1. ตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลกผันผวน จากการเข้าสู่ Earnings Season และ Valuation อยู่ในระดับสูง 2. VIX Index ปรับตัวขึ้น และ Bond Yield 10 ปี สหรัฐฯ ลดลงต่ำสุดในรอบ 5 สัปดาห์ เป็นบวกต่อหุ้นกลุ่มใด? 3. แบงค์ใหญ่รายงานงบ 1Q64 ดีกว่าคาดทุกบริษัท ได้แก่ KBANK, KTB, BBL 4. บทวิเคราะห์ ได้แก่ KBANK, TMB, KTB, BBL, PTTGC, ICHI, SENA --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/yuantathai/message

Hot Topics วันนี้ 1.ติดตามการแถลงร่วมกันของคุณไบเดน และคุณเยนเลนต่อคณะกรรมาธิการการเงินของสภาล่าง 2.VIX Index ปรับตัวลงทำระดับต่ำสุดรอบ 1 ปี 3.เยอรมันขยายมาตรการ Lockdown ถึง 18 เม.ย. 4.บทวิเคราะห์ ได้แก่ Theme Strategy, Asset Allocation, PTG, SO --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/yuantathai/message

Hot Topics วันนี้ 1. Bond Yield 10 ปี ของสหรัฐฯ ทำระดับสูงสุดรอบ 13 เดือน อย่างไรก็ตาม VIX Index ปรับตัวลง เราคาดว่ากลุ่มธนาคารจะตอบรับเชิงบวก 2. ปัจจัยสำคัญสัปดาห์นี้ คือ การประชุมเฟด 3. Update สถานการณ์ COVID ในประเทศ 4. หุ้น Initiate ใหม่ ที่ได้ประโยชน์จากการฉีดวัคซีน และมีจุดเปลี่ยนสำคัญเชิงปัจจัยพื้นฐาน คือหุ้นตัวใด? --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/yuantathai/message

Index use to show changes in the market volatility and the directions they are headed in --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app

Die Volatilität - ab und an verflucht, aber wie der Wind für den Windsurfer essentiell für den aktiven HandelOhne Bewegung keine Kursveränderungen. Bewegung ist also extrem wichtig, up and down, Trading in beide Börsenrichtungen. Wenn die Bewegung aber zu heftig wird, kann es kritisch werden. Die Volatilität, die Schwankungsbreite der Märkte:✅ Was ist die Volatilität - eine Einführung✅ Die Schwankungen des Markets (Volatilität) und wie man als Trader damit umgeht✅ Arten von Volatilität: Historisch und Implizit✅ Der ATR Indikator für Trading mit Vola✅ Der VIX Index - misst die Vola und ist sogar als CFD Instrument handelbar✅ Volatilität und Stopp Loss - die Risiken managen✅ Mit Daytrader Jens KlattDer YouTube Kanal von Admiral Markets:▶️ https://www.youtube.com/admiralmarketsdeWebseiten-Tipps: https://admiralmarkets.dehttps://admiralmarkets.de/start-trading/forex-demoVon 0 auf 100 beim Trading: https://admiralmarkets.de/wissen/die-trader-ausbildungTradingwissen für Fortgeschrittene: https://admiralmarkets.de/wissen/trading-ausbildung-fuer-fortgeschrittenePodcast Episode 30vom 18.11.2020 von Admiral Markets, mit Jens Klatt & Jens Chrzanowski

A mai adásban kiemelt figyelmet kap az amerikai elnökválasztás lehetséges kimenetele, és a várható piaci reakciók. Beszélgetni fogunk arról is, hogy mely piacokban látunk jelentős potenciált, milyen folyamatokra kell figyelni azoknak, akik a részvények irányába mozdulnának el befektetőként, és mit is jelent a Green Deal.

Semi co-host Jay Pestrichelli joins the program to discuss all things VIX Index, what it measures, how stocks and markets each have their own volatility, and how implied volatility in the options market can determine probability of future moves.   What does the VIX Index represent? What is implied volatility in the options markets? What is the difference between implied volatility and historical or realized volatility in markets? How implied volatility helps calculate current market-based probabilities Jeremy Siegel now calling for some inflation Options pricing around stock earnings Reminiscing about CNBC after hours earnings options action appearances  Options speculation vs hedging     Mentioned  in  this  Episode:     Jay Pestrichelli’ s book “Buy and Hedge” https://amzn.to/2UEk12c   Realized vs Implied Volatility March 2020 https://zegafinancial.com/blog/strategy-update-4-2-20   Why investors need a hedged equity strategy podcast https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why-investors-need-a-protective-hedged-equity-strategy/id1432836154?i=1000418366567   Jeremy Siegel talks inflation with Barry Ritholtz https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/jeremy-siegel-on-the-stock-market-under-covid-19-podcast/id730188152?i=1000478723627   Free Chapter from my book Broken Pie Chart https://www.book2look.com/book/YcqUhbCrtN   Book Jeremy Seigel Stocks for the Long Run https://amzn.to/3el67tO   Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr   Contact Derek www.razorwealth.com

Közkívánatra megpróbáljuk közérthetően felvázolni, hogy hogyan lehet egy matematikai konstrukcióból kereskedhető pénzügyi terméket kreálni, és mire jó ez az egész. A híres-hírhedt VIX indexről (a.k.a. félelem index, fear&greed gauge) talán már mindenki hallott, de azt kevesen tudják, hogy mit és hogyan mér pontosan. A volatilitás kereskedése egy eléggé egzotikus területnek számít a befektetések világában, és ha valaki nem kvantitatív pénzügyekkel foglalkozik, valószínűleg sosem lesz hozzá köze. Ettől még a mélységek iránt érdeklődőknek igazi inyenc fogás lehet a mai adás, reméljük sikerült érthetően bemutatni miről van szó.

In this episode, Trishul teaches Aaron what it means when the VIX is over 30, and things get a little wonky explaining all the technical math behind stock market volatility. They appropriately compare options to insurance and gambling. And they discuss the Black-Scholes pricing model and how market forces determine implied volatility. In the end, they discuss how understanding the VIX can be a useful tool, but trying to rely on it for investment predictions can be just as dangerous as any other future prediction methodology.Episode ReferencesVIX - DefinitionAnnualized Standard Deviation of Monthly ReturnsThe 68–95–99.7 RuleBlack-Scholes - DefinitionInvesting Forever - Risk Management 101Investing Forever - Introduction to VolatilityInvesting Forever - The Normal DistributionVXX: Investing (Short) in VolatilityVolatility Blow-up Leads to Inverse VIX ETN CasualtyPodcast Description Welcome to The Mind Money Spectrum Podcast where your hosts Aaron Agte and Trishul Patel go beyond traditional finance questions to help you explore how to use your money to achieve the freedom you want in life. Aaron is a Financial Planner from the Bay Area, and Trishul is a Wealth Manager on the East Coast. For more information about Aaron, check out GraystoneAdvisor.com. And for more information on Trishul check out InvestingForever.com. We thank you all for listening, and stay tuned for our latest episode on our website, MindMoneySpectrum.com.

Die Richtung des Marktes vorherzusagen, traut sich nicht mal Warren Buffett. Die einzige Annahme, die zu treffen es möglich ist: Es wird volatil. Wie stark die Preise schwanken könnten, zeigt das Angstbarometer VIX. In dieser Folge erklärt der VIX-Vater Robert Whaley, wie sich der Wert sich zusammensetzt und was er uns über Corona-Angst sagt.

Prosperous EP143 - รู้จัก VIX Index ดัชนีวัดความผันผวน

“I learned everything I ever needed to know about systematic and quantitative investing even before I set foot in the field because systematic and quantitative investing, at the end of the day, is about discipline.” - Alan Sheen (Tweet) Today on Top Traders Unplugged, I’m speaking with Alan Sheen, Founder and CIO of Dalton Street Capital. Alan has an interesting background in science and engineering, and also spent time in the military, which allowed him to later thrive in rules-based investing. He’s also the first Australian manager to be on the podcast. Listen in to today's episode to learn about Alan’s journey from the Australian military to starting his own investment firm, why investors should look at volatility not as risk but as an opportunity, and what an investor’s own personal car says about their investment strategies. Thanks for listening and please welcome our guest Alan Sheen. Subscribe on: In This Episode, You'll Learn: What Alan’s childhood was like in Australia Why Alan studied aeronautical engineering How Alan equates gas-turbine engines with robust investing How Alan’s experience in the military helps him as an investor “I was stunned when I came into the investment market and realized that the mentality was have a hunch, bet a bunch.” - Alan Sheen (Tweet) How Alan was influenced by Darwin’s “The Origin of the Species” Quantitative investment’s prevalence in Australia in the early '90s The influence the VIX Index had on Alan’s career How Alan’s hedging strategy turned into a managed futures strategy “What I’ve tried to explain to people is volatility is not risk, volatility is opportunity.” - Alan Sheen (Tweet) Why Alan use an equity portfolio as collateral instead of cash How volatility can be opportunity and a friend How Berkshire Hathaway has benefited from a volatile market The importance of an investment manager to personalize their hedge funds Connect with Dalton Street Capital: Visit the Website: Dalton Street Capital Call Dalton Street Capital: +61 2 8651 3489 “Humans, no matter how far we’ve evolved, no matter who we mate with, no matter how intelligent we think we’ve become, our behavior doesn’t change.” - Alan Sheen (Tweet)   Links Mentioned: Sensation Seeking and Hedge Funds

La volatilidad, es decir, los bandazos de las cotizaciones en bolsa es el tema elegido para esta nueva entrega de Plaza Financiera. Jorge Pérez, director de Inversiones de Libertas 7, y Luis Hernández, gestor del fondo Esfera II Sostenibilidad ESG Focus, hablan sobre este factor intrínseco con los mercados bursátiles en una tertulia moderada por Luis A. Torralba. Cómo desenvolverse en situaciones volátiles, cómo cubrir las carteras y qué hay detrás del VIX Index o también llamado ‘índice del miedo’ como exponente de la volatilidad, son aspectos que se tratan en este nuevo episodio.Puedes suscribirte para recibir cada nuevo episodio a través de WhatsApp enviando un mensaje con las palabras PLAZA FINANCIERA al 605 66 36 70. Si estás en un smartphone, puedes hacerlo pinchando aquí. Recuerda que debes guardar el número en la agenda de tu móvil.El podcast Cómo moverse (bien) en escenarios volátiles ha sido publicado en Plaza Radio

When trading options, we often use the volatility index, VIX, as a measure of volatility in order to enter and manage positions. This works most of the time. However, there exist some differences between the VIX index and at-the-money implied volatility. In this post, we are going to show such a difference through an example. Specifically, we study the relationship between the implied volatility and forward realized volatility of the SP500 http://blog.harbourfronts.com/2019/03/28/differences-vix-index-money-implied-volatility/

Diego Parrilla has been eerily prescient in calling major turning points in a variety of markets over the past several years. Back in 2014, he published The Energy World Is Flat in which he detailed the coming crash in the price of crude oil and the various dynamics that would ensure such an outcome. Oil prices subsequently fell more than 70% over the next couple of years. In August of 2017, he published a new book titled, The Anti-Bubbles, in which he laid out the case for a rise in volatility across a number of markets. Just a few months later, the short volatility ETF complex blew up and in spectacular fashion amidst a record run higher in the VIX Index. In this interview, we delve into Diego's unique background and how it helps him to see things differently than most on Wall Street. Diego also shares the details of his research process and the original inspiration behind these investment theses. Finally, we discuss the current state of the global markets and why he believes gold is set to shine in the near future. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

Welcome to the Broken Pie Chart Podcast Episode 13. In this episode Derek Moore is joined by ZEGA Financial Founder Jay Pestrichelli to discuss volatility as an asset class, implied volatility, the VIX Index and more. Key  Takeaways: • What is the VIX Index? • Volatility Indexes for the Nasdaq 100 VXN and the Russell 2000 Index RVX • How is the VIX Volatility Index constructed? • What is implied volatility vs historical volatility? • How implied volatility looks to predict perceived potential trading ranges for underlying assets • Options premium pricing around earnings and other events • Probability based credit spread selling strategies • How probability calculations illustrate options market perception of 1 standard deviation and 2 standard deviation moves • Benefits of adding alternative income strategies such as short volatility to potentially provide income compared to bonds • How selling deep out of the money credit spreads can potentially generate returns in up, down, or flat markets • Differences in ZEGA’s High Probability Options Strategy compared with the ETFs and funds shorting volatility using VIX Futures and options • Thoughts around the “Volpocalypse” or “Volnado” when funds shorting volatility ran into trouble • How risk management in selling volatility is key and picking spots to tactically enter markets increases probabilities   Mentioned  in  this  Episode:     Broken Pie Chart Book by Derek Moore https://amzn.to/2MibTSk   Buy and Hedge Book by Jay Pestrichelli and Wayne Ferbert https://amzn.to/2TaBmO5

Welcome to the Broken Pie Chart Podcast Episode 3 Short Volatility. In this episode Derek Moore and guest Jay Pestrichelli discuss the emergence of short volatility strategies. How selling option premium with short put spreads and short call spreads can potentially generate income. With the low interest rate environment bonds are experiencing, will short volatility strategies start nudging fixed income’s place in many portfolio pie charts? We also discuss how sometimes the VIX Index is mistakenly thought of as the only way to play volatility and how VIX strategies differ from other short volatility strategies.      Key  Takeaways: • What are short volatility strategies? • Selling put and call credit spreads to generate income. • Should short volatility strategies be part of portfolios given low bond interest rates? • What is the VIX index? • Why selling volatility premium doesn’t necessarily mean the VIX • Broad based index options  • How do probability calculations factor into position? • Implied volatility as a proxy for expected market moves • Implied volatility versus historical volatility • Risks in selling option premium • How high probability options selling might handle various market conditions   Mentioned  in  this  Episode:   Broken Pie Chart Book by Derek Moore https://amzn.to/2MibTSk   Buy and Hedge Book by Jay Pestrichelli and Wayne Ferbert https://amzn.to/2P3gw17

We made it to Episode 14! On this episode we cover that countries are not…Read the postEp. 014 | Altcoin Fool | SEC Talks | VIX Index | Your Game Plan

FCR 231 VIX Index - Should There Be No Fear? by Chris Bulman

President Trump, the author of the best selling ‘Art of the Deal’ is set to face his toughest test - partially repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, aka Obamacare. Market Strategist Ronnie Chopra says, “We could be in for a roller coaster ride if the bill is rejected”. Dow could extend the losses, he adds and calls 110.00 levels as a sort of a floor on the USD/JPY pair. Watch the full segment to know if Nikkei would drop in line with the weakness seen in the USD/JPY pair. Also discussed is - Goldman’s view that past oil spending could lead to another glut in 2018, Next PLC earnings, Charts from Investors Intelligence - Bullish break on the VIX Index, Oanda forex market sentiment, Trade of the day and Broker recommendations. #US, #healthcare, #Obamacare, #Trump, #markets, #investing, #trading, #forex, #currencies, #equities, #commodities, #stocks, #technicals, #fundamentals

Bill Blain, Strategist at Mint Partners, explains the divergence between the Global Political Uncertainty Index, which is currently at record highs and the VIX index, which is currently around record lows. Is the VIX wrong? Or is the Global Political Uncertainty Index up due to scaremongering? Bill Blain believes as investors we need to accept the new global reality - higher than expected growth rate and a resurgence of inflation. #GlobalPoliticalUncertaintyIndex, #VIXIndex, #markets, #trading, #growth, #inflation, #macro, #fundamentals, #Trump, #Europe, #US, #investing, #politics

Show notes: http://optionalpha.com/show68Naturally, if you’ve started trading options for any reasonable amount of time you’ll run across the VIX index. Or as it’s commonly referred to, the “Fear” Index. And while the concept of tracking and trading volatility with the VIX might sound intimidating at first, trust me, it’s not all that complicated and just requires a little common sense.In today’s podcast, we’ve brought on a very special guest, Mark Sebastian, a former floor trader, hedge fund manager and the guy behind OptionPit.com. What’s great about Mark is that not only does he have a lot of experience as an options trader, but he’s also got a lot of specialized knowledge when it comes to the VIX and volatility products like VXX, UVXY, and VXZ that I know you’re going to love. During the show, we’ll talk about the history of the VIX, how the index is priced, how the VIX futures term structure accounts for mean reversion and some simple strategies you can use to trade volatility with a higher probability of success. So, don’t be afraid to dig into this podcast this Halloween - Mark and I have some yummy volatility treats waiting for you (okay I just had to throw that in there given the release date).

With the US now back open for business, and the NFP data duly released, markets can at least return to normal following round 2 of the fiscal cliff soap opera. But what is normal? Can anyone truly believe these statistics, and with equity markets surging higher, the disconnect between economic reality and risk assets seems set to continue. For the trader, it's simply a case of watching the right charts such as the VIX and trading with a leading indicator, such as volume.

Discover the indices to watch, which reveal the market mood in terms of risk and market sentiment. Two of the most powerful charts which reveal where the fulcrum of 'risk on' or 'risk off' is currently positioned.