Podcasts about precipice

A vertical, or near vertical, rock face of substantial height

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Best podcasts about precipice

Latest podcast episodes about precipice

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play
Moloch's Gambit, Episode 9: A Cold Embrace

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2022 116:07


A ghost from Myrtle and Wyatt's past wants to come in from the cold. He is hoping they can be the ones to do it. Abraxas' Precipice is an actual play of The Expanse Roleplaying Game by Green Ronin Publishing. based on the novels by James S.A. Corey. It airs live on Wednesdays at 6pm PST on twitch.tv/onlyplaywizards Get more Abraxas' Precipice: linktr.ee/abraxasprecipic Abraxas' Precipice GameMaster: John Bultena linktr.ee/onlyplaywizards Abraxas' Precipice players are: Donna Prior (they/them) as Myrtle Cooper linktr.ee/Danicia Michael C. Hsiung (he/him) as Waxor DuChang instagram.com/michaelchsiung Scott Mitchell (he/him) as Wyatt Thompson instagram.com/smitchell22 Maria Moore (they/she) as Zeni Pezahl twitter.com/HappyCapster

Australia Wide
‘We've got a looming disaster' - RACGP's Health of the Nation report reveals a system on the precipice

Australia Wide

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 28, 2022 30:00


The RACGP's ‘Health of the Nation' report has revealed a strained medical system dealing with an ever-growing demand for services and a forecast exodus of thousands of GPs.

Nickel City Soundtrack Podcast
NCS 096 - Precipice of Oblivion(Eric Rice/ZT/Drifter/H2O)

Nickel City Soundtrack Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2022 106:53


In this episode we interviewed Eric "Smokey" Rice of Zero Tolerance amongst other bands. We talked to Smokey mostly about his post ZT career up to an including his current project Drifter. Eric been on the show before and im sure will be on again! Enjoy this dive into his post Zero Tolerance life. Episode music is "Precipice of Oblivion" by Drifter https://drifteratl.bandcamp.com/

Nickel City Soundtrack Podcast
NCS 096 - Precipice of Oblivion(Eric Rice/ZT/Drifter/H2O)

Nickel City Soundtrack Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2022 106:53


In this episode we interviewed Eric "Smokey" Rice of Zero Tolerance amongst other bands. We talked to Smokey mostly about his post ZT career up to an including his current project Drifter. Eric been on the show before and im sure will be on again! Enjoy this dive into his post Zero Tolerance life. Episode music is "Precipice of Oblivion" by Drifter https://drifteratl.bandcamp.com/

Qanon FAQ
Approaching The Precipice with Patel Patriot and Chris Paul

Qanon FAQ

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 24, 2022 60:00


In this episode of MSOM, Sean Morgan interviews Patel Patriot and Chris Paul about the recent referendums in disputed territory in Ukraine and mysterious comments from Trump about Hilary's emails. We discuss shifting narrative and the climax and convergence of many narratives at once as we approach possible nuclear war with Russia. Will Trump step in at the last minute?Devolution.Link@ImYourModerator on Telegram and Truth Socialhttps://americanmediaperiscope.com/amp/signupCheck Out This Episode's Podcast: https://www.podbean.com/media/share/pb-chpay-12c2875Save up to 66% off at https://MyPillow.com with AMP888RNCstore.com Use Promo Code AMP888https://GrillBlazer.com Save 10 Percent with AMP888Get Breaking News Updates: https://SeanMorganReport.comNearly 60% of Americans are concerned about running out of money.RECEIVE A FREE CONSULTATION & A FREE E-BOOK ABOUT ANNUITIEShttps://www.americanmediaperiscope.net/clevelandFREE OR PREMIUM MEMBERSHIP: https://bit.ly/3reDC7CGet a Free Gold Consultation: Call Dr. Kirk Elliott at +1 720-605-3900https://kirkelliottphd.com/morganBUY A SAT PHONE: https://bit.ly/3tHkWkIMyPatriotSupply: https://bit.ly/32OOD81www.AmericanMediaPeriscope.comSupport the show

On the Ground w Esther Iverem
‘ON THE GROUND’ SHOW FOR SEPTEMBER 23, 2022: Ukraine Information War Leads the World to the Precipice… One-Year Anniversary of Haitian Asylum Seekers Being Attacked in Del Rio, Texas… Plus Headlines 

On the Ground w Esther Iverem

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2022 58:18


As the U.S. and NATO proxy war against Russia reaches a new stage of escalation, corporate media's information war leads the world to the precipice. We speak to journalist Jon Jeter for this month's extended look at news and culture. And on the one-year anniversary of Haitian asylum seekers being violently attacked and dispersed from Del Rio, Texas, Haitian and immigrant advocates speak out in front of the White House.   Plus more headlines on fight to defeats Joe Manchin's #dirtydeal and the Mountain Valley Pipeline, Hurricane Fiona, assistance for young people leaving foster care, "The War on Journalism" movie and Julian Assange. The show is made possible only by our volunteer energy, our resolve to keep the people's voices on the air, and by support from our listeners. In this new era of fake corporate news, we have to be and support our own media! Please click here or click on the Support-Donate tab on this website to subscribe for as little as $3 a month. We are so grateful for this small but growing amount of monthly crowdsource funding on Patreon. PATREON NOW HAS A ONE-TIME, ANNUAL DONATION FUNCTION! You can also give a one-time or recurring donation on PayPal. Thank you!

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play
Moloch's Gambit, Episode 8: Good Hunting

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2022 118:36


Back on Ceres, the Sin Claire undergoes repairs and restock. The crew isn't much different. Who is in and who is out when their mission continues is up for debate. Abraxas' Precipice is an actual play of The Expanse Roleplaying Game by Green Ronin Publishing. based on the novels by James S.A. Corey. It airs live on Wednesdays at 6pm PST on twitch.tv/onlyplaywizards Get more Abraxas' Precipice: linktr.ee/abraxasprecipic Abraxas' Precipice GameMaster: John Bultena linktr.ee/onlyplaywizards Abraxas' Precipice players are: Donna Prior (they/them) as Myrtle Cooper linktr.ee/Danicia Michael C. Hsiung (he/him) as Waxor DuChang instagram.com/michaelchsiung Scott Mitchell (he/him) as Wyatt Thompson instagram.com/smitchell22 Maria Moore (they/she) as Zeni Pezahl twitter.com/HappyCapster

And We Know
9.22.22 - Russia, Fascism, Precipice … MSM is the ENEMY of the PEOPLE working overtime with father of LIES! PRAY!

And We Know

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2022 64:22


9.22.22 - Russia, Fascism, Precipice … MSM is the ENEMY of the PEOPLE working overtime with father of LIES! PRAY!

Lead-Lag Live
On The Precipice Of A Great Deleveraging With Andy Constan

Lead-Lag Live

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2022 50:33


What is the Fed doing?Check The Lead-Lag Report on your favorite social networks.Twitter: https://twitter.com/leadlagreportYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/theleadlagreportFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/leadlagreportInstagram: https://instagram.com/leadlagreport            Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.            Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.            The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: The Lead-Lag Report (leadlagreport.com)The Future Is FreelanceThis show is for freelancers, sole traders, solopreneurs, digital nomads, consultants,...Listen on: Apple Podcasts Spotify Master Your Mindset With Coach MarcDevelop the leadership mindset, skills + confidence to make a bigger impact in less time!Listen on: Apple Podcasts Spotify

Mornings with Tom and Tabi Podcast
Dean Curry - The Precipice

Mornings with Tom and Tabi Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2022 14:05


Pastor Dean Curry has written a short eBook, 'The Precipice.' which offers a different view on the War in Ukraine...and in your life as a believer. Territory matters. That's why Scripture uses the word “topos” when it talks about the devil getting a foothold; a small piece of territory in your mind and heart. The enemy is always looking for areas of your life to launch attacks: Your money, your family, your marriage, your purity. Guard these territories like your life depends on it. It does. CLICK HERE for a free copy of The Precipice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play

Charity one-shot benefitting National Network of Abortion Funds, donate here: https://bit.ly/3CO4FiH Beyond the gates is the Zorya system & its planet Morena. With an abundance of uniquely composed glaciers, IceJar Fusion has established its colony of Morena I to research & develop a new era of fusion reactors while trying to avoid the mistakes RCE made on Ilus. Abraxas' Precipice is an actual play of The Expanse RPG by Green Ronin Publishing. It airs live on Wednesdays at 6pm PST on https://www.twitch.tv/onlyplaywizards Support the stream: https://www.patreon.com/abraxasprecipic Follow social media: https://linktr.ee/abraxasprecipic Abraxas' Precipice GameMaster: John Bultena https://linktr.ee/onlyplaywizards LegalKimchi (he/him) as Fr. Ignatius Jang https://twitter.com/legalkimchi Emily Ervolina (they/she) as Cassipeia Jones https://twitter.com/emilyerv Josh Simons (he/him) as Dr. Marv DeValentine https://joshuamsimons.com/links Bee Zelda (they/them) as Lt. Ajani Gagnon https://twitter.com/Bee_Zelda London Carlisle (he/him) as Gov. Strato Oliver https://londoncarlisle.com/

The Nonlinear Library
EA - Longterm cost-effectiveness of Founders Pledge's Climate Change Fund by Vasco Grilo

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 16, 2022 14:54


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Longterm cost-effectiveness of Founders Pledge's Climate Change Fund, published by Vasco Grilo on September 14, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary This analysis estimates the cost-effectiveness of reducing existential risk via the Climate Change Fund (CCF) of Founders Pledge (FP) (see Methodology). The results were obtained with this Colab, and the key ones are summarised in the table below (for more, see Results and Discussion). Comments about how to interpret them are welcome. The cost-effectiveness bar for reducing existential risk (8 kt/$) is estimated to be 3 times as high as (an overestimate for?) the cost-effectiveness of CCF (2 kt/$) (see Discussion). This suggests the best interventions to fight climate change are not amongst the most effective ways of reducing existential risk. ResultMeanExistential risk due to climate change (bp)1.00Cumulative GHG emissions between 2020 and 2100 (Tt)3.76Existential risk reduction caused by removing GHG emissions (bp/Tt)0.273Cost-effectiveness of removing GHG emissions via CCF (t/$)2.34 kCost-effectiveness of CCF (bp/G$)0.640Cost-effectiveness bar for reducing existentiat risk (bp/G$)2.17Cost-effectiveness bar for removing GHG emissions (t/$)7.94 k Acknowledgements Thanks to Alexey Turchin, Anonymous, David Denkenberger, Johannes Ackva, Luke Kemp, and Nuño Sempere. Introduction Removing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions decreases heat-related deaths: Bressler 2021 estimated the 2020 mortality cost of carbon to be 2.2610^-4 life/t. However, most of the benefits of reducing GHG emissions respect the decrease in existential risk due to climate change. This analysis estimates the existential risk reduction caused by removing GHG emissions, and the cost-effectiveness of CCF, which is compared with an estimate for the cost-effectiveness bar for reducing existential risk. Nonetheless, it should be noted that, according to this comment from Johannes Ackva: The goal of the Climate [Change] Fund is to optimize spending that is not cause-neutral, to have as big as possible a positive impact given constraints, it is not intended or marketed as "the top bet on reducing existential risk" and we are careful to not crowd in resources that would otherwise go to areas we think of as higher marginal priority. I encourage the readers to check this comment from Matt Lerner, FP's research director, to better understand FP's mission: To be absolutely clear, FP's goal is to do the maximum possible amount of good, and to do so in a cause-neutral way. Methodology The (marginal) cost-effectiveness of CCF was estimated from the product between: The existential risk reduction caused by removing GHG emissions, which was estimated from the ratio between: The existential risk due to climate change. The cumulative GHG emissions between 2020 and 2100 assuming current climate policies. The cost-effectiveness of removing GHG emissions via CCF, which was estimated from: The reciprocal of the cost to remove GHG emissions via CCF. The assumption regarding the cumulative GHG emissions is consistent with the current Metaculus' cummunity prediction of 2.6 ºC for how much greater (in ˚C) will the average global temperature in 2100 be than the average global temperature in 1880. According to the Climate Action Tracker (CAT), current climate policies are predicted to result in a global warming between 2.5 ºC and 2.9 ºC (interval which contains 2.6 ºC). The modelling of the cumulative GHG emissions would ideally consider more scenarios. Existential risk due to climate change The existential risk due to climate change was modelled as a beta distribution with: Mean equal to 0.01 %, which was determined from the geometric mean between: The 0.1 % guessed by Toby Ord in The Precipice for the next 100 years (2021 to 2120). The upper bound of 0.01 % guessed by 80,000 ...

The Nonlinear Library
EA - EA Organization Updates: September 2022 by Lizka

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2022 19:37


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: EA Organization Updates: September 2022, published by Lizka on September 14, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. These monthly posts originated as the "Updates" section of the EA Newsletter. Organizations submit their own updates, which we edit for clarity. Job listings that these organizations highlighted are at the top of this post. Some of the jobs have extremely pressing deadlines. You can see previous updates on the "EA Organization Updates (monthly series)" topic page, or in our repository of past newsletters. Notice that there's also an “org update” tag, where you can find more news and updates that are not part of this consolidated series. The organizations are in alphabetical order, starting with L this month. Job listings Consider also exploring jobs listed on “Job listing (open).” Applications closing soon 80,000 Hours: Full Stack Web Developer, (London / Remote, apply by 26 September) Centre for Effective Altruism: Project Manager: Community Health (Remote, apply by 30 September) Retreats Associate (Remote, apply by 10 October) EA Global Events Associate (Remote, apply by 10 October) Community Events Associate (Remote, apply by 10 October) Effective Ventures Operations Operations Assistant (Preferred Oxford, London or Boston / Remote, apply by 19 September) Executive Assistant (Preferred Oxford / Remote, apply by 19 September) Project Manager Oxford EA Professional Hub (Oxford UK, apply by 19 September) Senior Bookkeeper / Accountant (Preferred Oxford, London or Boston / Remote, apply by 19 September) Finance Associate (Preferred Oxford/ Remote, apply by 7 October) Operations Associate - Salesforce Admin (Preferred Oxford/ Remote, apply by 12 October) Forethought Foundation: Communications Director (Oxford / Remote, apply by 2 October) Researcher / Writer (Oxford / Remote, apply by 2 October) Other roles Against Malaria Foundation: Junior and Senior Operations Manager Donations Administrator Junior and Senior Software Engineer Alignment Research Center: Generalist Technical Researcher and a webdev Engineer GiveWell Operations Assistant (Oakland, CA) Senior Researchers and Senior Research Associates (Remote / Oakland, CA) Content Editors (Remote / Oakland, CA) Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute (QURI) Technical Product Manager (Berkeley / Remote) Full Stack Software Engineer (Berkeley / Remote) Programming Language or Scientific Software Engineer (Berkeley / Remote) Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative: Deputy Director (NYC / Remote) Rethink Priorities: Multiple research team roles (Remote) Organizational updates Legal Priorities Project The Legal Priorities Project ran its Legal Priorities Summer Institute from Sep 3–8 in Oxford. 35 talented law students and graduates from 18 different countries and all 5 continents gathered to discuss issues related to future generations and existential risk. Participants with various degrees of familiarity with longtermism participated in workshops, talks, and group discussions with invited experts on issues relating to legal longtermism. LPP also announced the winning submissions from their Cost–Benefit Analysis Writing Competition. The winning submissions can be found here. LPP funded two student reading groups at ITAM, with curricula centering on The Precipice and the Introduction to EA Program, respectively. Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute QURI released Squiggle, a free new web–based programming language for probabilistic estimation. Squiggle is made especially for effective altruist cost–effectiveness estimation. Squiggle is currently in public “Early Access”, but should be usable for many effective altruist use cases. Rethink Priorities (RP) Research: Epoch – an AI research initiative that RP is incubating – did a deep–dive investigation of machine learning model size trends and hypothesized rea...

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play
Moloch's Gambit, Episode 7: Recovery

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2022 120:51


The Sin Claire exits the Ring and the crew attempts to recover on the long road home to Ceres Station. Abraxas' Precipice is an actual play of The Expanse Roleplaying Game by Green Ronin Publishing. based on the novels by James S.A. Corey. It airs live on Wednesdays at 6pm PST on twitch.tv/onlyplaywizards Get more Abraxas' Precipice: linktr.ee/abraxasprecipic Abraxas' Precipice GameMaster: John Bultena linktr.ee/onlyplaywizards Abraxas' Precipice players are: Donna Prior (they/them) as Myrtle Cooper linktr.ee/Danicia Michael C. Hsiung (he/him) as Waxor DuChang instagram.com/michaelchsiung Scott Mitchell (he/him) as Wyatt Thompson instagram.com/smitchell22 Maria Moore (they/she) as Zeni Pezahl twitter.com/HappyCapster

Keep Talking
Episode 61: Huw Price - Existential Risk

Keep Talking

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2022 79:40


Huw Price is an author, was the Bertrand Russell Professor of Philosophy at the University of Cambridge, and is the co-founder of the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk.During our conversation, Huw talks about meeting Jaan Tallinn of Skype, learning about lesser-known existential risks of artificial intelligence and catastrophic new biological threats, the founding of the Centre in 2012, what an existential threat is, a near-existential event in 1962, and what an average citizen can do to mitigate the probability of an extinction event.There is no more important subject than the prevention of our own annihilation and the continuation of the human story. It is harrowing to learn how close we have already come to ending human existence on Earth, and it behooves all of us to learn a bit about what our x-risks are and align our priorities, knowledge, wisdom, and resources to lessen its likelihood.------------Support this podcast via VenmoSupport this podcast via PayPalSupport this podcast on Patreon------------Show notesLeave a rating on SpotifyLeave a rating on Apple PodcastsFollow "Keep Talking" on social media and access all episodes------------(00:00) Introduction(02:47) Getting involved in x-risk(13:27) What is existential risk?(19:10) What would an existential event look like?(23:23) The x-risk of AI(26:40) The x-risk of biological threats(30:30) "The Precipice"(31:28) How Vasili Arkhipov likely saved humanity(37:28) The Future of Life Institute(40:35) The x-risk of nuclear weapons(44:12) The risks of climate change(50:55) 1 in 6 chance of human extinction this century(53:35) Is it unethical to have children?(1:00:28) Actions people can make to mitigate x-risk(1:02:14) Do x-risk issues cause Huw depression?(1:04:13) Should people become "preppers"?(1:06:40) Huw's advice to deal with x-risks(1:10:25) Leaders in the x-risk community(1:12:30) Advice for mindset and attitude(1:15:20) Sources of hope and optimism

Campaign Notes Podcast
Episode 194-Ross Quest: Invisible Precipice

Campaign Notes Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2022 114:23


The crew concludes one battle and wrestles with a much more existential threat, levelling up.  

The Ben Shapiro Show
Ep. 1568 - Are We On The Precipice Of Global Collapse?

The Ben Shapiro Show

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2022 44:10 Very Popular


Click here to join the member exclusive portion of my show: https://utm.io/ueSEj Historian Niall Ferguson explains that we may be entering the 1970s again – so we examine the evidence; Joe Biden doubles down on his aggressive attacks on his political opponents, and Donald Trump responds; and Chile averts disaster.   Become a DailyWire+ member today to access movies, shows, and more: https://utm.io/ueMfc    To see all current job openings at The Daily Wire and to apply, visit https://utm.io/ueTAX     — Today's Sponsors: Protect your online privacy with ExpressVPN. Get 3 Months FREE! EXPRESSVPN.com/BEN  Allform provides high quality modular sofas designed for real life. Get 20% off all orders at Allform.com/BEN Get 10% off Your will. Use Promo Code 'SHAPIRO' at EpicWill.com Tired of paying high interest rates on your credit card debt? Check out LightStream. Receive a special interest rate discount at www.LightStream.com/SHAPIRO. Policygenius is your one-stop shop to find the insurance you need at the right price. Go to policygenius.com/SHAPIRO  to get your free life insurance quotes and see how much you could save.  Stop funding woke corporate agendas. Switch to PureTalk instead. Get one month FREE when you enter promo code SHAPIRO at puretalk.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Keep Talking
Episode 60: William Davis - Your Gut and Your Health

Keep Talking

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 5, 2022 93:56


William Davis is a cardiologist and an author who has written both the best-selling book "Wheat Belly" and his most recent, "Super Gut." During our conversation, Bill talks about the human microbiome, the role of the gut as the "second brain" in the human body, how a modern diet and a modern microbiome may be contributing to common ailments of civilization like inflammation and depression, his suggestions for healthy eating and lifestyle, and what supplements he suggests people consume to improve their microbiome.Nothing is more important to human flourishing than one's health, and Bill offers some original insights and under-the-radar options that people may want to consider. He discusses the role of antibiotics in our culture, bacteria and endotoxemia, and gives advice for healthy living.I know that outside-the-box tinkering with my own lifestyle has dramatically improved my own health through mitigating stress, getting adequate sleep, eliminating or significantly reducing certain foods, and doing daily rigorous exercise that includes heat or cold exposure. Healthy people are happy people and good citizens, and I think we should be open to tinkering with our habits and foods to maximize our well-being. And perhaps one or two ideas from this conversation might resonate with you, and help you in your own life.------------Support this podcast via VenmoSupport this podcast via PayPalSupport this podcast on Patreon------------Show notesLeave a rating on SpotifyLeave a rating on Apple PodcastsFollow "Keep Talking" on social media and access all episodes------------(00:00) Introduction(02:47) Getting involved in x-risk(13:27) What is existential risk?(19:10) What would an existential event look like?(23:23) The x-risk of AI(26:40) The x-risk of biological threats(30:30) "The Precipice"(31:28) How Vasili Arkhipov likely saved humanity(37:28) The Future of Life Institute(40:35) The x-risk of nuclear weapons(44:12) The risks of climate change(50:55) 1 in 6 chance of human extinction this century(53:35) Is it unethical to have children?(1:00:28) Actions people can make to mitigate x-risk(1:02:14) Do x-risk issues cause Huw depression? (1:04:13) Should people become "preppers"?(1:06:40) Huw's advice to deal with x-risks(1:10:25) Leaders in the x-risk community(1:12:30) Advice for mindset and attitude(1:15:20) Sources of hope and optimism

The Nonlinear Library
EA - My take on What We Owe the Future by elifland

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 1, 2022 42:36


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: My take on What We Owe the Future, published by elifland on September 1, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Cross-posted from Foxy Scout Overview What We Owe The Future (WWOTF) by Will MacAskill has recently been released with much fanfare. While I strongly agree that future people matter morally and we should act based on this, I think the book isn't clear enough about MacAskill's views on longtermist priorities, and to the extent it is it presents a mistaken view of the most promising longtermist interventions. I argue that MacAskill: Underestimates risk of misaligned AI takeover. more Overestimates risk from stagnation. more Isn't clear enough about longtermist priorities. more I highlight and expand on these disagreements in part to contribute to the debate on these topics, but also make a practical recommendation. While I like some aspects of the book, I think The Precipice is a substantially better introduction for potential longtermist direct workers, e.g. as a book given away to talented university students. For instance, I'm worried people will feel bait-and-switched if they get into EA via WWOTF then do an 80,000 Hours call or hang out around their EA university group and realize most people think AI risk is the biggest longtermist priority, many thinking this by a large margin. more What I disagree with[1] Underestimating risk of misaligned AI takeover Overall probability of takeover In endnote 2.22 (p. 274), MacAskill writes [emphasis mine]: I put that possibility [of misaligned AI takeover] at around 3 percent this century. I think most of the risk we face comes from scenarios where there is a hot or cold war between great powers. I think a 3% chance of misaligned AI takeover this century is too low, with 90% confidence.[2] Most of the risk coming from scenarios with hot or cold great power wars may be technically true if one thinks a war between US and China is >50% likely soon which might be reasonable with a loose definition of cold war. That being said, I strongly think MacAskill's claim about great power war gives the wrong impression of the most probable AI takeover threat models. My credence on misaligned AI takeover is 40% this century, of which not much depends on a great power war scenario. Below I'll explain why my best-guess credence is 40%: the biggest input is a report on power-seeking AI, but I'll also list some other inputs then aggregate the inputs. Power-seeking AI report The best analysis estimating the chance of existential risk (x-risk) from misaligned AI takeover that I'm aware of is Is Power-Seeking AI an Existential Risk? by Joseph Carlsmith.[3] Carlsmith decomposes a possible existential catastrophe from AI into 6 steps, each conditional on the previous ones: Timelines: By 2070, it will be possible and financially feasible to build APS-AI: systems with advanced capabilities (outperform humans at tasks important for gaining power), agentic planning (make plans then acts on them), and strategic awareness (its plans are based on models of the world good enough to overpower humans). Incentives: There will be strong incentives to build and deploy APS-AI. Alignment difficulty: It will be much harder to build APS-AI systems that don't seek power in unintended ways, than ones that would seek power but are superficially attractive to deploy. High-impact failures: Some deployed APS-AI systems will seek power in unintended and high-impact ways, collectively causing >$1 trillion in damage. Disempowerment: Some of the power-seeking will in aggregate permanently disempower all of humanity. Catastrophe: The disempowerment will constitute an existential catastrophe. I'll first discuss my component probabilities for a catastrophe by 2100 rather than 2070[4], then discuss the implications of Carlsmith's own assessment as well as reviewers of hi...

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play
Moloch's Gambit, Episode 6: Last Hail with Jacob Mundell

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 1, 2022 154:21


Ashford has retaken the Behemoth. Bull has a plan to get it back, but needs as much help as he can get. That is where Dingo and the crew of the Sin Claire come in. Abraxas' Precipice is an actual play of The Expanse Roleplaying Game by Green Ronin Publishing. based on the novels by James S.A. Corey. It airs live on Wednesdays at 6pm PST on twitch.tv/onlyplaywizards Get more Abraxas' Precipice: linktr.ee/abraxasprecipic Abraxas' Precipice GameMaster: John Bultena linktr.ee/onlyplaywizards Abraxas' Precipice players are: Donna Prior (they/them) as Myrtle Cooper linktr.ee/Danicia Michael C. Hsiung (he/him) as Waxor DuChang instagram.com/michaelchsiung Scott Mitchell (he/him) as Wyatt Thompson instagram.com/smitchell22 Maria Moore (they/she) as Zeni Pezahl twitter.com/HappyCapster

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play
Moloch's Gambit, Episode 5: Inside the Behemoth with Jacob Mundell

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 25, 2022 156:06


Things seem to be easier on the Behemoth. Seem... Special guest player Jacob Mundell as "Dingo": twitter.com/jacobdmundell Abraxas' Precipice is an actual play of The Expanse Roleplaying Game by Green Ronin Publishing. based on the novels by James S.A. Corey. It airs live on Wednesdays at 6pm PST on twitch.tv/onlyplaywizards Get more Abraxas' Precipice: linktr.ee/abraxasprecipic Abraxas' Precipice GameMaster: John Bultena linktr.ee/onlyplaywizards Abraxas' Precipice players are: Donna Prior (they/them) as Myrtle Cooper linktr.ee/Danicia Michael C. Hsiung (he/him) as Waxor DuChang instagram.com/michaelchsiung Scott Mitchell (he/him) as Wyatt Thompson instagram.com/smitchell22 Maria Moore (they/she) as Zeni Pezahl twitter.com/HappyCapster

The Nonlinear Library
EA - Get advice from a biosecurity professional by Clifford

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 24, 2022 3:40


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Get advice from a biosecurity professional, published by Clifford on August 23, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. We're testing out a new service to connect people interested in using their careers to mitigate global catastrophic biological risks with people who work in the field. If you're interested, please sign up here. This is a follow-up project to my post last month, where we experimented with encouraging people to reach out to an “EA Professional” in the area of their interest. Depending on how well this goes, we may expand this out to advice in other areas. More information is covered in the FAQ below. If you have thoughts or suggestions, We'd be happy to hear them. FAQ Who is this service for? This service is for anyone who is seriously interested in working on mitigating catastrophic biological risks, like the risk of an engineered pandemic. If you're unsure, you can read the 80,000 Hours problem profile on this here. You don't need to have any prior experience in the field; we have advisors prepared to talk to people at different career stages. How should I prepare? To get the most out of this service, we recommend that you prepare some questions to discuss with the advisor, and read some background materials if you haven't already. Here are some articles we think are particularly useful as background for people interested in biosecurity: Reducing global catastrophic biological risks - 80,000 Hours Why experts are terrified of a human-made pandemic — and what we can do to stop it 'Future risks' chapter of The Precipice, Introduction and 'Pandemics' section Concrete Biosecurity Projects (some of which could be big) Questions advisors might be able to help you with: I've read the relevant introductory literature but I'm not sure what my next step should be — do you have any suggestions? I have a specific career / education decision before me; do you have any input? I have a background in [supply chain management], how might I contribute to the field? Do you have any advice for how I can best test my fit for work in [X aspect of biosecurity work, e.g., US policy]? Is this a good use of my/the advisor's time? You won't be wasting anyone's time. The advisors here have decided that this is a good use of their time — if a call gets set up, you can assume everyone wants to be there. And the form is quick — less than 5 minutes to fill out. How will you select who can have a call? We hope to match most people with advisors. However, advisors have limited availability, so we'll prioritize advisees based on relevance to their stated interests and backgrounds. How are advisors selected? Advisors were selected on the recommendation of a senior member of the EA biosecurity community. Why this service? I think speaking to more experienced people makes it more likely you'll enter the field by providing inspiration, giving permission, and suggesting concrete ideas about what to do next. I want to lower the barrier to entry for people thinking of entering this field to chat with someone more experienced. Why biosecurity specifically? We're currently running this as a test. In the future, we might expand to more fields. Who's running this? This is an experimental project of the Centre for Effective Altruism. Can I get advice on something else? If you haven't already considered getting career advice from 80,000 Hours, we highly recommend booking a 1:1 call. You can also check out this informal service to connect people to EA professionals in different areas. If you would like to get advice on a specific area or from someone working in a particular field, we'd love to hear from you - please let us know here. How can I ask more questions? You can comment on this post or email forum@effectivealtruism.org. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to l...

The Nonlinear Library
EA - Translating The Precipice into Czech: My experience and recommendations by Anna Stadlerova

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 24, 2022 30:35


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Translating The Precipice into Czech: My experience and recommendations, published by Anna Stadlerova on August 24, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. [This post is primarily meant for non-English speaking national EA groups who'd like to see translated EA-adjacent books (such as The Precipice) published in their countries. I felt especially motivated to write this after EAGxPrague, during which many people reached out to me and asked me about my experience as a translator of The Precipice into Czech. Please note that if your group is doing something other than a book translation, such as translating an article or other type of EA-adjacent non-literary text, different considerations might apply. I don't want to intimidate people by how complicated the process of book publishing might seem. In fact, I'd be happy to advise people on their translation projects. I am also drafting an online workshop for EAs who'd like to translate or publish translated content in their countries (see below and please contact me if you're interested).] Content summary: In late May 2022, The Precipice was published in the Czech Republic. I am the professional literary translator who translated the book into Czech. In this post, I describe the publishing process and outline other ways the project could have been organized.[1] I end with recommendations for publishing EA-adjacent books, which I think is the most useful part for my target readers. These considerations and recommendations should be taken as my subjective opinions, albeit based on some experience studying literary translation and working as a literary translator. In case you want the TLDR, my recommendations for those interested in publishing EA or EA-adjacent books are to: Find the right publisher Reach out to the publisher Create a group of people who will help the translator as they translate Get on one page with the translator (or find the right translator) Create a glossary of terms Proofread, proofread, proofread Get in touch with other EAs who have done some thinking about translation The process of publishing The Precipice [Note about terminology: In this post, I will be talking a lot about "literary translation", "literary translators" etc. Since I've noticed some confusion about this term, I'd like to clarify that "literary translation" means translation of both fiction and non-fiction books. The case of The Precipice, as a non-fiction book, also falls under "literary translation", albeit not under "translation of fiction". The distinction I often make here is between "literary translation" and "translation of other texts", such as articles, documents, leaflets, web content and all things non-literary.] Description of the process The Precipice was published in the Czech Republic by Argo Publishers, in a series called Crossover. More information about the series and the publisher is provided in the sections Find the right publisher and Czech literary market. For any translated book, fiction or nonfiction, in any decent publishing house (at least in the Czech Republic), here's how the process usually is: 1. The translator translates the book and submits it (usually using a word processing software such as Microsoft Word[2]). 2. The language editor reads the translation simultaneously with the original. Not only do they correct errors, they should also actively offer alternative phrasing and comment on the translation.They send it back to the translator. (Non-professionals are sometimes surprised by the quantity of the changes proposed by the language editor, so I thought it might be interesting to mention that even in a very good translation, it's absolutely normal to see ten or more proposed changes per page. I know this from my own experience as a translator and occasional language editor, as well as from many conv...

Beyond Currency by CurrencyTransfer.com
22 August 2022 - Rudderless UK heading for the precipice

Beyond Currency by CurrencyTransfer.com

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2022 2:48


When Boris Johnson announced his Resignation on July 5th, he refused to step down immediately and hand over control to his deputy Dominic Raab, citing the need for a seamless transition to his successor and the serious issues that the country is facing. However, since Johnson's resignation the country has appeared to be rudderless with the Prime Minister taking not one but two holidays during this time as the two candidates to replace him spend time promising tax cuts and additional support payments to woo voters. By the time Johnson's successor is voted in and been able to create a new Cabinet, the third quarter of the year will be at an end, and the country will in all probability be in recession. With inflation now above 10% and looking increasingly likely to top Andrew Bailey's estimate of 13%, urgent action is needed to provide support to the lowest paid to avert the rising level of industrial action that is not only already taking place but also further strikes through the public sector. The country's largest container port at Felixstowe has been hit by a strike which started on Friday, and this will add to the continuing issues with supply chains that have only just returned to normal following the Pandemic.

The Nonlinear Library
EA - Introducing the Existential Risks Introductory Course (ERIC) by Nandini Shiralkar

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2022 12:14


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Introducing the Existential Risks Introductory Course (ERIC), published by Nandini Shiralkar on August 19, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Crossposted to LessWrong. Introduction We (the Cambridge Existential Risks Initiative) ran an Existential Risks Introductory Course (ERIC) in the first quarter of 2022, aiming to introduce the field of existential risks, without being explicitly associated with any particular philosophy. We expect the programme to be most useful to people who are new to this field, and we hypothesised that we may be able to reach a different target audience by not explicitly branding it as EA. The full curriculum we used for the programme, along with exercises and organisation spotlights, can be found here. This was primarily designed by Callum McDougall, with some inputs from the rest of the CERI team. If you are interested in joining the next iteration of the course in Winter 2022 (either as a participant or as a facilitator), please fill out this interest form. This post contains an overview of the course, which is followed by an abbreviated version of the syllabus for the ease of gathering feedback. The weekly summaries may also be helpful for community builders looking for summaries of any of the core readings from our syllabus. We welcome any feedback on the content, exercises or anything else pertaining to the course, either here publicly on the Forum, or you can also reach out to us privately if you prefer that. Course overview The course consists of 8 weeks of reading (split into core and applied). Some weeks also include exercises, which participants are encouraged to complete and discuss in the session. Each week, participants will meet for 1.5 hour sessions where they will discuss the material and exercises with a facilitator. The topics for each week are as follows: Week 1: Introduction to Existential RisksProvides an introduction to x-risks, why they might be both highly important and neglected, and introduces some important terminology. Week 2: Natural & Anthropogenic RisksDiscusses natural risks, and risks from nuclear war and climate change. Week 3: Biosecurity, And How To Think About Future Risks Discusses risks from engineered pandemics, as well as a broader look at future risks in general and how we can reason about them and prepare for them. Week 4: Unaligned Artificial IntelligenceDiscusses risks from unaligned AI, and provides a brief overview of the different approaches that are being taken to try and solve the problem. Week 5: Dystopias, Lock-in & Unknown UnknownsConcludes the discussion of specific risks by discussing some more neglected risks. Also includes a discussion of the “unknown unknowns” problem, and how we can categorise and assess probabilities of risks. Week 6: Forecasting & Decision-makingMoves away from specific risks, and discusses broad strategies that can help mitigate a variety of risks, with a focus on improving forecasting and decision-making (both at the institutional and individual level). Week 7: Different Frameworks for Existential RiskFurther explores some alternative frameworks for x-risks than those found in The Precipice, e.g. FHI's origin/scaling/endgame model, and the “Democratising Risk” paper. Week 8: Next StepsConcludes the fellowship with a lookback on the key themes in the material, and a discussion of how the fellows plan to put what they've learned into action (e.g. in their future careers). Abbreviated curriculum (Core readings) Week 1: Introduction to Existential Risks The first group of core materials here outlines the key ideas of Toby Ord's book The Precipice, that we may be living in a uniquely important and dangerous time thanks to the threat of existential risks. What are the most important moral problems of our time? (10 mins.) The Precipice: Introduction, Chapters 1 & 2...

Dark Days of Dorothy Gale
S2 Ep. 20.2 Aftermath Chapter 16 and 17 The Proposition and The Precipice

Dark Days of Dorothy Gale

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2022 13:21


Shifting character dynamics and drawing inspiration from Nick Cave. For more information about the not so wonderful world I've created, you can visit www.DDofDG.com You can contact me at DarkDaysOfDorothyGale@outlook.com You can tweet at me on Twitter (obviously) where the handle is @DarkDorothyG You can find me on Instagram (and TikTok) @TheOrdinarySun I'm not doing this to make money, and I'm not asking for any. But if for some reason you want to support this show you can by going to https://buymeacoffee.com/OrdinarySun... It's cool if you don't. Thanks for listening. I love you all. Music for Darker Days of Dorothy Gale, “The Darkness Remains” and “Darkness Undone”, was created, and performed by Mariano G. Romero. Additional mixing and sound design for “Darkness Undone” by Tyler Martinez.

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play
Moloch's Gambit, Episode 4: Into the Ring with guest Jacob Mundell

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2022 149:06


Exploding ships and James Holden near an alien artifact 1,000 kilometers in diameter...this should go well. Special guest player Jacob Mundell as "Dingo": twitter.com/jacobdmundell Abraxas' Precipice is an actual play of The Expanse Roleplaying Game by Green Ronin Publishing. based on the novels by James S.A. Corey. It airs live on Wednesdays at 6pm PST on twitch.tv/onlyplaywizards Get more Abraxas' Precipice: linktr.ee/abraxasprecipic Abraxas' Precipice GameMaster: John Bultena linktr.ee/onlyplaywizards Abraxas' Precipice players are: Donna Prior (they/them) as Myrtle Cooper linktr.ee/Danicia Michael C. Hsiung (he/him) as Waxor DuChang instagram.com/michaelchsiung Scott Mitchell (he/him) as Wyatt Thompson instagram.com/smitchell22 Maria Moore (they/she) as Zeni Pezahl twitter.com/HappyCapster

The Far Middle
Answering Constant Listeners' Questions

The Far Middle

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 17, 2022 28:09


The Far Middle episode 65 commemorates the 65 World Series games that Mickey Mantle played in, accumulating numerous records. Among them, Nick highlights Mantle’s 18 World Series home runs, a likely unbreakable accomplishment. In this special Far Middle installment, Nick addresses a range of questions received from listeners over the past year. Nick leads off by discussing one of the most frequent questions: how he develops each episode and chooses his topics. Listen as Nick explains the process that includes featuring topics rooted in the themes discussed in Precipice. Nick also previews a few format changes to watch for in the weeks ahead. Additional listener questions and topics addressed include the asset class he has the most concern over; which central bank has done the most damage over the past roughly dozen years; a new concert review (per constant listener demand); and, the state of the Colorado River, western U.S. drought and water consumption. And while Nick would love to answer requests for his list of top 20 movies of all time (perhaps to be revealed in a future essay on nickdeiuliis.com), he does offer one from the list in closing with happy birthday wishes to Robert De Niro. Which De Niro movie? Press play and enjoy!

Dark Days of Dorothy Gale
S2 Ep. 20 Chapter 16 The Precipice

Dark Days of Dorothy Gale

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2022 9:10


S2 Ep. 20 Chapter 16 The Precipice "Not laughing now are you?" For more information about the not so wonderful world I've created, you can visit www.DDofDG.com You can contact me at DarkDaysOfDorothyGale@outlook.com You can tweet at me on Twitter (obviously) where the handle is @DarkDorothyG You can find me on Instagram (and TikTok) @TheOrdinarySun I'm not doing this to make money, and I'm not asking for any. But if for some reason you want to support this show you can by going to https://buymeacoffee.com/OrdinarySun... It's cool if you don't. Thanks for listening. I love you all. Music for Darker Days of Dorothy Gale, “The Darkness Remains” and “Darkness Undone”, was created, and performed by Mariano G. Romero. Additional mixing and sound design for “Darkness Undone” by Tyler Martinez.

The Trashalanche Pokemon Podcast
On the Precipice of the First World Championship of the Trashalanche Era!

The Trashalanche Pokemon Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2022 42:40 Transcription Available


Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play
Moloch's Gambit, Episode 3: Into the Black with guest Jacob Mundell

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2022 150:26


The crew is ready to head to the Ring. With Tycho Corporation security officer, "Dingo," they are on the hunt for Sebastian Pope. But the time tables being what they are, they may have to delay those efforts. Special guest player Jacob Mundell as "Dingo": twitter.com/jacobdmundell Abraxas' Precipice is an actual play of The Expanse Roleplaying Game by Green Ronin Publishing. based on the novels by James S.A. Corey. It airs live on Wednesdays at 6pm PST on twitch.tv/onlyplaywizards Get more Abraxas' Precipice: linktr.ee/abraxasprecipic Abraxas' Precipice GameMaster: John Bultena linktr.ee/onlyplaywizards Abraxas' Precipice players are: Donna Prior (they/them) as Myrtle Cooper linktr.ee/Danicia Michael C. Hsiung (he/him) as Waxor DuChang instagram.com/michaelchsiung Scott Mitchell (he/him) as Wyatt Thompson instagram.com/smitchell22 Maria Moore (they/she) as Zeni Pezahl twitter.com/HappyCapster

Wayne Dupree Show
E1548: Country On Precipice As DOJ/FBI Searches Trump's Home

Wayne Dupree Show

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 9, 2022 65:56


Donald Trump claimed “America has now become one of those Countries,” and was “corrupt at a level not seen before.” He added, “They even broke into my safe! What is the difference between this and Watergate, where operatives broke into the Democrat National Committee? Here, in reverse, Democrats broke into the home of the 45th President of the United States.”

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play
The Precipice Episode 2: with Emily Friedman, chatting Literary RPGs & Actual Plays

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2022 85:34


Hanging out with Dr. Emily Friedman, chatting literature based RPGs, actual plays, and her experience on Abraxas' Precipice. The Precipice is the talk sessions with the cast & crew of Abraxas' Precipice, chatting The Expanse, the game, and whatever. Abraxas' Precipice is an actual play of The Expanse Roleplaying Game by Green Ronin Publishing. based on the novels by James S.A. Corey. It airs live on Wednesdays at 6pm PST on twitch.tv/onlyplaywizards Get more Abraxas' Precipice: linktr.ee/abraxasprecipic Abraxas' Precipice GameMaster: John Bultena linktr.ee/onlyplaywizards Abraxas' Precipice players are: Donna Prior (they/them) as Myrtle Cooper linktr.ee/Danicia Michael C. Hsiung (he/him) as Waxor DuChang instagram.com/michaelchsiung Scott Mitchell (he/him) as Wyatt Thompson instagram.com/smitchell22 Maria Moore (they/she) as Zeni Pezahl twitter.com/HappyCapster

Sinica Podcast
Another Taiwan Straits Crisis? CIA veteran John Culver weighs in

Sinica Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2022 58:01


In a week dominated by U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, Kaiser welcomes John Culver, who served as national intelligence officer for East Asia from 2015 to 2017 and as a CIA analyst focusing on China for 35 years. John offers his perspective on Pelosi's trip and provides important context with a discussion of the last Taiwan Straits Crisis, in 1995-96 — a crisis touched off by Lee Teng-hui's decision to visit Cornell University, his alma mater. John also draws important parallels to the Diaoyu/Senkaku crisis of the fall of 2012, after the Japanese government nationalized the disputed islands.2:47 – A walkthrough of the last Taiwan Strait crisis13:45 – How China's growing capabilities could affect its decision-making in future Taiwan crises19:52 – Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan and the political environment surrounding her decision25:14 – Explaining China's interpretation of U.S. actions and the Chinese domestic political context32:21 – Parallels to the 2012 Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands episode35:22 – The potential fallout of this crisisA complete transcript of this podcast is available at SupChina.com.Recommendations: John: The late Alan Romberg's exegesis of the US-China negotiating record, "Rein In at the Brink of the Precipice" and Ryan Hass's book Stronger: Adapting America's China Strategy in an Age of Competitive InterdependenceKaiser: Banff National Park in Alberta, Canada — and the town of Canmore as a great place to stay nearby.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Far Middle
Buckle Up Your Chinstraps

The Far Middle

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 3, 2022 24:01


Far Middle episode 63 features a co-dedication to two NFL hall-of-fame number 63’s: the Oakland Raiders’ Gene Upshaw and Kansas City Chiefs’ Willie Lanier. Listen as Nick recounts the 1968 AFC Divisional Playoff when Upshaw and Lanier went head-to-head, and where Lanier and the Chiefs won the matchup’s coin toss and chose to defend the South goal line. On returning to the Oakland bench, Upshaw told his teammates: “Buckle up your chinstraps. We’ve just been insulted.” Nick then starts connecting dots, starting with the insults the Biden administration continues to hand down on Americans, highlighting the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act amidst broader inconsistent U.S. trade and energy policy. “What gets interesting is when all these points come together,” says Nick. “We have all of these U.S. government intentions and desires colliding and conflicting into a massive and incoherent and illogical mess.” Next, Nick discusses how dependent and interconnected everything is to energy, and the natural gas shortage facing the EU. He then transitions to the mounting risks and concerns surrounding public pensions—a topic discussed at length in Precipice, in the chapter, Funding Sources Part 2: Unwitting Retirees (AKA “Other People’s Money”). Nick concludes by commenting on the four political parties he sees in America today, and then closes by reflecting on Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. in conjunction with the upcoming 59th anniversary of his "I Have a Dream" speech.

Arab Digest podcasts
Putin and the precipice

Arab Digest podcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2022 35:30


Arab Digest editor William Law's guest this week is the European Council on Foreign Relations' Tarek Megerisi. Tarek considers the crisis that Putin's invasion has plunged the Middle East and North Africa into and he calls for fresh thinking and urgent action on the part of Europe, acting in concert with international bodies such as the IMF, to avert a human catastrophe on a scale that is unthinkable. Sign up NOW at ArabDigest.org for free to join the club and start receiving our daily newsletter & podcasts.

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play
Moloch's Gambit, Episode 2: Shipping Out

Abraxas’ Precipice, The Expanse Roleplaying Game Actual Play

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2022 138:27


The crew hits Ceres Station for some R&R before heading out to hunt down Sebastian Pope's stealth research ship. Many pasts come to a head and the future of humanity changes in an instant because of one Belter... Abraxas' Precipice is an actual play of The Expanse Roleplaying Game by Green Ronin Publishing. based on the novels by James S.A. Corey. It airs live on Wednesdays at 6pm PST on twitch.tv/onlyplaywizards Get more Abraxas' Precipice: linktr.ee/abraxasprecipic Abraxas' Precipice GameMaster: John Bultena linktr.ee/onlyplaywizards Abraxas' Precipice players are: Donna Prior (they/them) as Myrtle Cooper linktr.ee/Danicia Michael C. Hsiung (he/him) as Waxor DuChang instagram.com/michaelchsiung Scott Mitchell (he/him) as Wyatt Thompson instagram.com/smitchell22 Maria Moore (they/she) as Zeni Pezahl twitter.com/HappyCapster

The Far Middle
Global Rivals

The Far Middle

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 27, 2022 27:20


The Far Middle episode 62 is dedicated Steph Curry and his career-high 62-point game, which took place on January 3, 2021, against the Portland Trail Blazers. Listen as Nick discusses the phenomenal shooter’s career, which is far from over, and where Curry ranks on Nick’s greatest NBA player of all-time list.Transitioning from the ultimate sniper shooter, Nick looks at the political and actual sniping going on in the Ukraine and the energy leverage Russia has over Germany. Nick notes that Germany’s natural gas reserves are at “alarm level” and energy policies of its own making have manufactured its energy scarcity.Continuing on energy and climate policy, Nick discusses how the two are the root cause of global turmoil, an emboldened Russia and China, a weakened West, and fueling inflation to record highs. He goes on to discuss the winners (government, bureaucrats, the expert class, large companies with market power) and the losers (small and mid-size businesses, consumers, and taxpayers) of mounting regulations, proposed SEC rules on climate risk, and ESG investing complexity—a theme explored throughout his book Precipice.Additional topics this week include Pope Francis, self-responsibility, and New York City real estate. Nick closes with a few of his favorite Ernest Hemmingway quotes in conjunction with the author’s July 21st birthday.

The Nonlinear Library
EA - Odds of recovering values after collapse? by Will Aldred

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 25, 2022 5:58


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Odds of recovering values after collapse?, published by Will Aldred on July 24, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. (This question is inspired by conversations with Haydn Belfield and Hannah Erlebach, though I'm not certain both would endorse the full version of my question.) Question Let's say we roll the dice 100 times with respect to values. In other words, let's say civilization collapses in 100 worlds, each very similar to our current world, and let's say full tech recovery follows collapse in all 100 of these worlds. In how many of these 100 worlds do you think that, relative to pre-collapse humanity, the post-recovery version of humanity has: worse values? similar values? better values? I encourage the reader to try answering the question before looking at the comments section, so as to not become anchored. Context Components of recovery It seems, to me, that there are two broad components to recovery following civilizational collapse: P(Tech Recovery|Collapse) i.e., probability of tech recovery given collapse where I define "tech recovery" as scientific, technological, and economic recovery P(Values Recovery|Tech Recovery) i.e., probability of values recovery given tech recovery where I define "values recovery" as recovery of political systems and values systems (where "good" on the values axis would be things like democracy, individualism, equality, and secularism, and "bad" would be things like totalitarianism) It also seems to me that P(Tech Recovery|Collapse) ≈ 1, which is why the question I've asked is essentially "P(Values Recovery|Tech Recovery) = ?", just in a little more detail. Existing discussion I ask this question on values recovery because there's less discussion on this than I would expect. Toby Ord, in The Precipice, mentions values only briefly, in his "Dystopian Scenarios" section: A second kind of unrecoverable dystopia is a stable civilization that is desired by few (if any) people. [...] Well-known examples include market forces creating a race to the bottom, Malthusian population dynamics pushing down the average quality of life, or evolution optimizing us toward the spreading of our genes, regardless of the effects on what we value. These are all dynamics that push humanity toward a new equilibrium, where these forces are finally in balance. But there is no guarantee this equilibrium will be good. (p. 152) The third possibility is the “desired dystopia.” [...] Some plausible examples include: [...] worlds that forever fail to recognize some key form of harm or injustice (and thus perpetuate it blindly), worlds that lock in a single fundamentalist religion, and worlds where we deliberately replace ourselves with something that we didn't realize was much less valuable (such as machines incapable of feeling). (pp. 153-154) Luisa Rodriguez, who has produced arguably the best work on civilizational collapse (see "What is the likelihood that civilizational collapse would directly lead to human extinction (within decades)?"), also only very briefly touches on values: Values is the other one. Yeah. Making sure that if we do last for a really long time, we don't do so with really horrible values or that we at least don't miss out on some amazing ones. (Rodriguez, Wiblin & Harris, 2021, 2:55:00-2:55:10) Nick Beckstead and Michael Aird come the closest, as far as I've seen, to pointing to the question of values recovery. Beckstead (2015): Negative cultural trajectory: It seems possible that just as some societies reinforce openness, toleration, and equality, other societies might reinforce alternative sets of values. [...] Especially if culture continues to become increasingly global, it may become easier for one kind of culture to dominate the world. A culture opposed to open society values, or otherwise problematic for utilitarian-type values,...

The Nonlinear Library
EA - How EA is perceived is crucial to its future trajectory by GidonKadosh

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2022 23:20


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: How EA is perceived is crucial to its future trajectory, published by GidonKadosh on July 23, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. In light of the increased attention EA is receiving, there has been plenty of discussions lately about how individuals perceive the EA movement and EA ideas, either non-EAs (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) or newcomers (1, 2, 3, 4). Nevertheless, I suspect that the practical aspects of this topic are still underdeveloped, and wanted to describe them in-depth. Summary The way that EA is perceived is tremendously important, especially in light of the increasing public attacks on EA (that I review in this post). There are two separate influences that EA's perception has on the movement - a large risk, and a large opportunity: The risk is a toxic public perception of EA, which would result in a significant reduction in resources and ability to achieve our goals (and for toxic enough perceptions, could result in movement collapse). The opportunity is higher fidelity movement-building, increased support from decision-makers, solving talent gaps, and improving diversity, all resulting in higher quality resources going into direct work and research. This post provides an analysis of the risk and the opportunity, and ends with several actionable recommendations. Part 1 -The Risk Individual-level perspective There is a wide range of possible negative perceptions of EA. These perceptions are predominantly developed before an individual gets to learn thoroughly about EA, and they disincentivize further learning about EA. For instance, if Bob encounters a local group and finds it to be awkwardly homogenous, gets a feeling of an all-or-nothing culture or a cult, is convinced by an appealing argument that prioritizing is immoral or maybe even that it's a self-serving conscience-wash for billionaires, Bob is less likely to start enthusiastically reading The Precipice. A possible response to this view is that if Bob develops negative perceptions after very few encounters, he was probably not relevant in the first place to our movement-building efforts. We could expect an EA-Bob to be a critical thinker who's excited enough about doing good that he would try to see through bad norms and learn about the core EA tools. But before judging Bob, we should remember that negative perceptions have both conscious and unconscious effects. On a conscious level, Bob may decide to prioritize his time on things that seem a-priori more helpful or important. On an unconscious level, he might just feel instinctively mistrustful when reading seemingly cult material. To use a slightly extreme example, if I'd ask most people to read a couple of articles about Scientology and “just give it a chance”, they'd feel the same mistrust. The movement's theory of change is dependent on people Should we care about Bob's perception even if he was never a good candidate to join the movement? The movement's Theory of Change relies on people from three different categories of people: People doing direct work: If someone unfamiliar with EA has a bad perception of EA, they likely won't get involved with the movement, and as a result, they're likely to have less impact if they don't use the EA toolkit, or if they don't get the support/network/resources the movement could provide them.Moreover, if someone who is already involved with the community feels that there is a public toxic perception of EA, they might limit their involvement. I'll later provide illustrations of this case. People in influential positions supporting or enabling direct work: One example could be the possible future funders of EA, which might not trust or want their names/careers to be associated with EA if there's a public toxic perception around it. Further examples could include the role of decision-makers in policy-related fields: In...

Nemos News Network
Silent War Ep. 6238: Jihadi US Schools, Trans Movies, ArmyDrain, ClimateEO Endgame.

Nemos News Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2022 24:12


In this episode of The Silent War: Mexican President Intervenes With Biden, Renews Asylum Offer For Julian Assange. Under the Guise of ‘Learning English,' Boston High School Teaches Newly-Immigrated Students That Physical Violence and Political Assassinations Are a Legitimate Form of “Resisting Oppression.” CIA Director Issues Warning to Agency After ‘Noose' Found Near CIA Facility in Virginia. Trump-Endorsed Kari Lake On Stage CALLS OUT Pence-Endorsed RINO Primary Opponent For “Duping THOUSANDS Of People Out Of Money” – She Was The Very Next Speaker. Taliban Forces, Teeming with US Weapons, Unite to Take Out Pakistani Government – A Country on the Precipice of Economic Collapse. LGBT Characters in Nickelodeon's Upcoming “Monster High: The Movie” Introduce Themselves Using Pronouns. Biden To Use Executive Powers To ‘Combat Climate Crisis': ‘Since Congress Is Not Acting As It Should…This Is An Emergency.' Joe Biden to Deliver Huge Climate Change Speech to 20 People in Somerset… But He Totally Got 81 Million Votes. Biden Set to PURGE 27.5% of Army (Or More) Who Aren't Fully Vaccinated Against COVID with Non-FDA Approved Vaccine. KANEKOA HITS PAYDIRT: Recovered Text Message Should Lead to Joe Biden's Impeachment and Hunter Biden's Immediate Arrest. NASA's Webb Telescope Suffers "Significant Uncorrectable Damage" After Micro-Meteoroid Hit.If you wish to support our work by donating - Bitcoin Accepted.https://NemosNewsNetwork.com/DonateFALL ASLEEP FAST - Stay Asleep Longer... Without Negative Side Effects.https://redpillliving.com/sleepFor breaking news from one of the most over the target and censored names in the world join our 100% Free newsletter at www.NemosNewsNetwork.com/newsAlso follow us at Gabhttps://gab.com/nemosnewsnetworkProtect yourself by buying gold;Nemosnewsnetwork.com/goldNemos News is 100% listener funded. Thank you for your support in our mission to Break the Cycle of Fake News.If you value our work please consider supporting us with our vetted patriot sponsors!www.NemosNewsNetwork.com/sponsorsShop Patriot & Detox the Deep State with www.RedPillLiving.com, Home of Sleepy Joe - the world's most powerful all natural sleep formula & The Great Awakening Gourmet Coffee for Patriots."Our Specialty, is Waking People Up."Other Linkshttps://TheSerapeum.com  - Your Archive of The Hidden History of Mankind, and The Mystery Babylon Religion of The Deep State.Join our Telegram chat: https://NemosNewsNetwork.com/chat

Chico After Dark
Zack Meisel: Guardians have ammunition, on the precipice of contention to land Juan Soto

Chico After Dark

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2022 13:50


Zack Meisel, Guardians beat reporter for The Athletic, tells Spencer German (filling in for Mike "Chico" Bormann) the Guardians have ammunition and are on the precipice of contention when it comes to landing Juan Soto as he previews the 2nd half of the season on the diamond and how Cleveland could be getting back to the postseason Wednesday night on "Chico After Dark."

Whole Soul Mastery
#121 ~ Frequency Writer: July 2022 Marinades ~ Awakening Lions ~ The Nature of Change Is Changing ~ Its The Ride of a Lifetime

Whole Soul Mastery

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2022 95:09


https://give.cornerstone.cc/wholesoulmasterydonatePart 2 of this 2-Part Video Series offers Frequency Writer insights and marinades about this most recent transmission and the energies in the latter half of 2022.  Themes and topics covered include Awakening and Embracing our Inner Lions, Oiling our Inner Ascension Gears, Choosing to CHOOSE Change, a New Vibrational Language, the Activation of Sentience, How The Nature of Change Is Changing, How the Divine Masculine and Divine Feminine Must Work Together Now, and much more.  Join me for this deep vibrational check in with your Divine Self, your Divine Knowings, and the Change Unfolding within and all around us.  And please share this marinades message with others who would benefit from the insights.Part 1 of this 2-Part Video Series offers an empowering July 2022 Energy Update from The Arcturian Collective. In this transmission, the Guides spotlight this Time We Are Living In ~ Where Oceans Roar.  Themes include Revelations of Illusions in the truth & Truth in the illusions, Rising Tides, Epic Waves of Change, Earth's Expansive Fishbowl and Emancipation, Arks of Grace, the Precipice of Epic Earth Events, God's Moves, and more.  You can tune into the original transmission here:  https://youtu.be/ZJwyangdKAYPlease like, subscribe, and share!Interested in a Soul Reading?  Or Vibration Coaching?  More Inspirational Messages and Products?  Please visit:https://frequencywriter.com​​​​Or email: info@frequencywriter.comTo listen to more amazing podcasts and insightful broadcasts, or to make a donation, visit:  http://www.wholesoulschoolandfoundation.orgTo donate: https://give.cornerstone.cc/wholesoulschoolandfoundationTo shop our apparel: https://www.bonfire.com/store/whole-soul-school-and-foundation/Thank you!Follow me via Whole Soul Mastery:Twitter: https://twitter.com/MasteryWholeFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/wholesoulmasteryRumble.com: https://rumble.com/c/c-353585​​​​UgeTube: https://ugetube.com/@wholesoulmastery​​​​Telegram: https://t.me/wholesoulmasteryTruth Social: https://truthsocial.com/@frequencywriter& https://truthsocial.com/@wholesoulmasteryTune into Frequency Writer Transmissions & Marinades, Whole Soul Mastery Podcasts with Amazing Guests, and Whole Soul School and Foundation's variety of inspiring podcasts via:Spotify, Apple iTunes, Buzzsprout, Stitcher, iHeartRadio, Google Play Music + other favorite podcast platforms Search:  Whole Soul Mastery or Whole Soul School and FoundationIf would like to support me and my work directly, please send donations to: https://give.cornerstone.cc/wholesoulmasterydonateYou can also mail donations to:Marie Mohler/Whole Soul Mastery1289 Fordham Blvd., Suite 259Chapel Hill, NC 27514Every donation is appreciated! Thank you

Suspense and Horror – Retro Radio Podcast
The Shadow – precipice called death. ep183, 400121

Suspense and Horror – Retro Radio Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2022 25:10


A friend of Lamont's is alarmed when a strange man breaks in and attempts to strangle a servant, leaving behind a note that possibly refers to his shady past.

Retro Radio Podcast
The Shadow – precipice called death. ep183, 400121

Retro Radio Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2022 25:10


A friend of Lamont's is alarmed when a strange man breaks in and attempts to strangle a servant, leaving behind a note that possibly refers to his shady past.

Redpill Project - Waking Up The World
Ep. 396 | The First Arrest is the Precipice | The Daily Dose

Redpill Project - Waking Up The World

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 13, 2022 83:28


Ep. 396 | The First Arrest is the Precipice | The Daily Dose Many of the events we're witnessing are part of the plan to systematically bring the country to its knees in the name of "The Great Reset". The precipice for many could be the arrest of an innocent figurehead perhaps focussing on the socio-political aspect of this war. Fringe After Dark with Joshua Reid will be held on Thursday after the Daily Dose this week! If you like what we're doing here at The Redpill Project You Can Now Show Support And Donate Using Give Send Go! https://givesendgo.com/redpills JOIN US ON THE Social Redpill - A Private Social Network - www.socialredpill.com Check Out All Our Shows And Get Great Information On Guests At www.redpills.tv Use Promo Code: RPP at MyPillow.com to get even lower prices. www.redpills.tv/mypillow My Patriot Supply Be Prepared When Disaster Strikes redpills.tv/patriot The Redpill Project.. Find Us and Subscribe! Web https://redpills.tv Telegram http://t.me/RedpillsTV Rumble https://rumble.com/c/RedpillProject CloutHub https://clouthub.com/redpills GETTR https://gettr.com/user/redpill TikTok https://tiktok.com/@realjoshreid Foxhole App: https://pilled.net/#/profile/127862 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/redpillproje... DLive: https://dlive.tv/RedpillProject

Warzone Amateur Hour Podcast
Episode 85 - On the Precipice of Big Things

Warzone Amateur Hour Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 11, 2022 30:45


Join Tron and the TenInchCowboy on the Warzone Amateur Hour this week as they: Review the recent minor buffs to the NZ-41 and Blixen Discuss the potential return of the PILA for Warzone 2 Share the rumored dates for the MW2 Beta and more... Support us on Patreon Get a FREE 1 year supply of immune-supporting Vitamin D and 5 FREE travel packs with your first purchase using the link athleticgreens.com/EMERGING Get 20% OFF Manscaped products + Free Shipping with promo code WAH at MANSCAPED.com

Crucial Listening
#106: MC Dälek

Crucial Listening

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 2, 2022 93:28


Earth-shifting philosophies, wordless shoegaze treasures, cinematic heartache. The MC and producer discusses three important albums.Will's picks:Boogie Down Productions – Criminal Minded / By All Means NecessaryAll Natural Lemon & Lime Flavors – Turning Into SmallTom Petty – WildflowersCheck out Dälek's new album, Precipice, over on Bandcamp (along with all their other incredible records). Follow Dälek on Facebook and Instagram.Donate to Crucial Listening on ko-fi: https://ko-fi.com/cruciallistening

Going Rogue With Caitlin Johnstone
Holding Hands On The Precipice

Going Rogue With Caitlin Johnstone

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2022 2:44


From our perch here on the edge of armageddon we are safe to gush out our love over everything, because we've got nothing left to save it for and nothing left to lose. I place slippery wet YES kisses on the black crows in your stomach and on the glowing red cardinal birds who fill the night sky. I hold your precious heart in my hands and my eyeballs grow vines into it and I weep round sloppy joy while telling you that you are perfect. There is great beauty to be found in the oceans choked with garbage, in the coughing poverty streets filled with schizophrenic prophets and opioid eyes, in the Sauron eye of Google, and in the pounding of the war drums as the ICBMs are readied. It is not hard to see. It is not even hidden. We hold hands on the precipice and pour YES into the madness, the majestic, orgasmic, omnicide angel madness. Come what may. Come, what may. Come on, whatever may come. We beckon forward the inevitable. We collaborate with the chaos. We ride as passengers with ancient earthworms and DMT gods on the back of an infinite sea turtle holding hands in excitement for whatever is to come. I love you so, so much. I embrace you deep into my feathers so you can hear the heartbeat of the galaxies. Whatever happens, whether we pass the great test or not, whether we adapt or go extinct, whether we make the jump or fall, in the big picture —the really, really big picture— it will all be okay. Let's smoke cigarettes here on the edge of the abyss, as the air begins to crackle with an alien potentiality, and just gush our love out over everything while it is there to be loved, because it is there to be loved, for however long it lasts, come what may. ____________________ ____________________ ____________________ Reading by Tim Foley.

Posted Up with Chris Haynes
2022 Free Agency Preview: Are Kyrie & KD on the precipice of a split from Brooklyn?

Posted Up with Chris Haynes

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2022 54:13 Very Popular


The 2022-2023 offseason kicks off in earnest on Thursday evening as the free agency period on the next NBA season is about to begin & the main question on everyone's mind is, "what will happen to Kyrie Irving?" The controversial point guard has a player option on his deal and reportedly may try to orchestrate a sign-and-trade out of Brooklyn. Where would he go? The Lakers seem like the odds on favorite but there may be a secret Kyrie suitor waiting in the wings. And if Kyrie is no longer in Brooklyn, what happens to Kevin Durant?Chris Haynes & Vincent Goodwill spend the bulk of today's podcast breaking down the crazy events that have led to this moment for a Nets franchise that only a few months ago had James Harden, Durant & Irving — but by next week may be without all three.Also in the podcast: the guys discuss if Phoenix Suns C Deandre Ayton may be on the move, what will happen with Chicago Bulls G Zach LaVine & why in the world the New York Knicks did so many draft-night gymnastics to make a run at Jalen Brunson.Stay up to date with the latest NBA news and coverage from Yahoo Sports on Twitter @YahooSportsNBA.Follow Chris @ChrisBHaynesCheck out the rest of the Yahoo Sports podcast family at https://apple.co/3zEuTQj or at yahoosports.com/podcasts See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.