The Emergency Management Network Podcast

The primary focus of today's brief centers on the significant impacts of a powerful Pacific storm train, which is anticipated to bring excessive rainfall and heavy snow across various regions, particularly California, Nevada, and the Pacific Northwest. We begin by addressing the heightened risk of flooding in California, where coastal downpours are likely to raise river levels and exacerbate travel difficulties due to road closures and chain controls in mountainous areas. As the storm progresses, we will see its effects extend into Nevada and other states, with advisories for high winds and winter weather being issued.Takeaways:* A powerful Pacific storm train is currently affecting multiple regions across the United States.* California faces a slight risk of excessive rainfall, impacting coastal areas and Sierra Nevada mountains.* Travelers should anticipate road closures and chain control requirements due to severe weather conditions.* Nevada has winter storm warnings in place, with significant snow expected in various counties.* Wind and rain are expected to increase in Washington, accompanied by flood warnings in certain areas.* Arizona will experience moisture from the Pacific storm, leading to potential flooding and winter weather advisories.Sources[USGS M4.5+ Past Day | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/feed/v1.0/summary/4.5_day.geojson][NWS Bay Area | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/][NWS Hanford (San Joaquin Valley/Sierra) | https://www.weather.gov/hnx/][NWS LOX Gale Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lox&wwa=gale+warning][WPC — Excessive Rainfall (CA Slight Risk today) | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr][SFGATE — Bay Area flood watch & storm timing | https://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/flood-watch-bay-area-through-christmas-21256885.php][NWS Reno — Warnings/Travel briefing | https://www.weather.gov/rev/][NWS Las Vegas — Flood Watch & wind messaging | https://www.weather.gov/vef/][NWS Reno — Flood Watch text (issued 1:45 AM PST) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=flood+watch][NWS Portland — hazards | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][WPC — CA-to-OR heavy rain corridor (Slight/Marginal) | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr][NWS Seattle — hazards & hydrology | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Phoenix — Flood Watch & event timeline | https://www.weather.gov/psr/][NWS Flagstaff — winter headlines | https://www.weather.gov/fgz/][NWS Buffalo — Hazardous Weather Outlook (Lake Ontario counties) | https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFHWOBUF][NWS Buffalo — hazards | https://www.weather.gov/buf/] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The Emergency Management Network PodcastThe Books That Belong on Your BookshelfHosts: Todd T. DeVoe and Dan ScottFormat: Conversational, reflective, practitioner-focusedEpisode Theme: The books that shape how emergency managers think, not just how they check boxesEpisode DescriptionEmergency management isn't mastered through binders alone. It's shaped by the ideas we return to when plans fall short, and judgment takes over. In this episode, Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott step away from the news cycle and into something more enduring: the books every emergency manager should have within arm's reach.This is not a “top ten list” or a graduate syllabus. It's a conversation about foundations, leadership under pressure, community resilience, and the philosophical frameworks that quietly influence how we make decisions when the stakes are high.If you've ever asked yourself why you lead the way you do in crisis, this episode starts answering that question.Key Discussion Segments1. The Foundations of Emergency ManagementThe books that explain how the system works, why it evolved the way it did, and where the seams begin to show under stress.* Introduction to Emergency Management* Emergency Management: Principles and Practice* Disaster Response and RecoveryTodd and Dan discuss why these texts matter long after certification exams are over, and how they provide a shared professional language across jurisdictions and disciplines.2. Leadership When the Plan Runs OutDisasters don't test paperwork; they test people.* Leadership in Disaster* The Unthinkable* Extreme OwnershipThe conversation explores accountability, decision-making under uncertainty, and why understanding human behavior is just as critical as understanding ICS.3. Community, Recovery, and ResilienceWhy recovery is social before it is structural.* Building Resilience* Resilience ThinkingDan and Todd unpack how social capital, trust, and networks often determine recovery outcomes more than funding formulas or infrastructure alone.4. Philosophy for Emergency ManagersThe quiet influences behind calm leadership and ethical decision-making.* Meditations* The Obstacle Is the Way* Man's Search for MeaningTodd reflects on why philosophy belongs in the EOC and how these works help leaders remain grounded during prolonged, high-stress events.Why This Episode MattersEmergency management is a profession of ambiguity. When checklists end, books help shape judgment. This episode challenges listeners to think about their own professional bookshelf and ask what ideas they are carrying into the next crisis.Listener Takeaways* Why foundational texts still matter for seasoned practitioners* How leadership books outside EM sharpen emergency decision-making* The role of philosophy in crisis leadership and resilience* What your bookshelf says about how you approach uncertaintyNext Episode What books should emergency managers stop relying on?In the next episode, Todd and Dan take on outdated thinking, legacy doctrine, and why some “classics” may quietly undermine modern preparedness. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The episode articulates the significant impact of a potent Pacific storm train, which continues to target the western region of the United States, particularly California and Washington. We delve into the widespread flood watches issued by the National Weather Service, affecting vast areas along the California coast and valleys, alongside heavy snowfall in the Sierra Nevada, which complicates mountainous travel. Additionally, we address the winter storm warning currently in effect for the Washington Cascades, where hazardous conditions prevail due to blowing snow. Our discussion further encompasses the emergency declaration approved by FEMA for Montana, aimed at providing federal support in response to recent flooding incidents. We conclude by emphasizing the need for vigilance and safety amidst these challenging weather conditions, while we continue to monitor ongoing developments across various states. A comprehensive examination of the ongoing meteorological conditions reveals a formidable Pacific storm train currently imposing significant weather events across the western regions of the United States. The National Weather Service has issued widespread flood watches encompassing much of California's coastal and valley areas, while simultaneously, heavy snowfall is complicating travel through the Sierra Nevada mountains. This duality of weather phenomena underscores the potential for both flooding and treacherous travel conditions, particularly in the context of the Sierra, where snow accumulation is exacerbating the risks associated with winter travel. Further north, the Washington Cascades are under a winter storm warning, highlighting hazardous conditions including blowing snow and limited visibility, which pose serious risks to both residents and travelers alike. As we navigate through these intense weather patterns, it is imperative to remain vigilant and informed, as river flood warnings persist in various basins, reflecting the substantial impact these storms are having on local ecosystems and communities alike.Takeaways:* The National Weather Service has issued widespread flood watches across California's coastal regions and valleys.* A potent Pacific storm is currently affecting the West, leading to hazardous weather conditions.* FEMA has approved an emergency declaration for Montana in light of recent flooding incidents.* Winter storm warnings are in effect for the Washington Cascades, indicating severe weather challenges ahead.* Flood warnings persist on several rivers, including the Skokomish, indicating ongoing minor flooding issues.* Minnesota is experiencing icy road conditions due to overnight freezing rain, affecting travel safety.Sources[FEMA | https://www.fema.gov/press-release/20251220/president-donald-j-trump-approves-emergency-declaration-montana][NWS San Diego | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=flood+watch][NWS Bay Area | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/][NWS Sacramento | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?product1=Flood+Watch&warnzone=CAZ066][NWS Eureka (Eel River) | https://www.weather.gov/eka/][NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Warning Text | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sew&wwa=winter+storm+warning][NWS River Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=flood+warning][NWS Medford | https://www.weather.gov/mfr/][NWS Advisory Timing | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=43.1787&lon=-122.1389][NWS Spokane | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=IDZ101&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory][Montana Governor | https://gov.mt.gov/Documents/GovernorsOffice/executiveorders/View?doc=EO112025DisasterDeclarationStatewideSevereWindEvent002.pdf][NWS Missoula | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+weather+advisory][NWS Fairbanks | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+weather+advisory][MnDOT 511 | https://511mn.org/list/events][MPR News | https://www.mprnews.org/story/2025/12/22/road-conditions-icy-schools-delayed-in-southern-minnesota] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

A powerful coast-to-coast storm continues to traverse the eastern United States, bringing with it a myriad of severe weather conditions. The National Weather Service has issued flood watches and river flood warnings for western Washington and northwest Oregon, while high winds affect the Northern Rockies and High Plains. As we delve into the specifics of this storm's impact, we will also discuss the emergence of lake effect snow and the potential for flash freeze slick spots downwind of the Great Lakes. Furthermore, wind advisories are in effect for parts of the Mid Atlantic as the cold front advances offshore. We will also address seismic activity, noting several small to moderate earthquakes recorded off the coast of Alaska without significant damage reported. Join us as we explore these weather phenomena and their implications for various states across the nation. The latest briefing commences with a comprehensive overview of the meteorological conditions affecting the United States on December 19th, 2025. A formidable coast-to-coast storm is currently traversing the nation, prompting the National Weather Service (NWS) to issue flood watches and river flood warnings across western Washington and northwest Oregon. In addition, high winds are impacting the Northern Rockies and the High Plains, creating perilous travel conditions and potential hazards for local populations. Furthermore, the Great Lakes region is experiencing lake effect snow and flash freeze conditions, leading to dangerous slick spots that may exacerbate the challenges faced by commuters.Takeaways:* Today, a powerful coast to coast storm continues to move eastward across the nation, bringing severe weather.* The National Weather Service has issued flood watches and river flood warnings for western Washington and northwest Oregon.* High wind warnings have been issued for the Pribilof Islands with gusts reaching 75-80 mph, creating hazardous conditions.* Dense fog is present in California's Central Valley, reducing visibility significantly and causing travel delays.* In Michigan, winter weather advisories remain in effect, predicting additional lake effect snow along the Lake Michigan shore.* Oregon faces ongoing flood warnings as an atmospheric river approaches, increasing the risk of landslides and flooding.Sources[NWS Anchorage overview & warnings | https://www.weather.gov/afc][NWS AFC High Wind pages | https://www.weather.gov/afc/HighWindWarningPribilofs , https://www.weather.gov/afc/HighWindBeringStormReview][NWS Hanford — Dense Fog Advisory & hazards | https://www.weather.gov/hnx/][Caltrans QuickMap travel info | https://quickmap.dot.ca.gov][NWS Baltimore/Washington — Wind Advisory & HWO | https://www.weather.gov/lwx/ https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=MDZ013&product1=Wind+Advisory][Washington Post Capital Weather Gang live updates | https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025/12/19/dc-weather-live-updates-stormy-windy/][NWS Grand Rapids advisory summary | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=grr&wwa=all][NWS Detroit/Pontiac HWO & gales | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=DTX&product=HWO&site=NWS , https://www.weather.gov/dtx/][FEMA—Branch County flood maps meeting | https://www.fema.gov/press-release/branch-county-residents-invited-review-flood-maps][NWS Billings hazards | https://www.weather.gov/byz/][NWS statewide wind hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/byz/montana_statewide_information][NWS Buffalo advisories & marine gales | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=PAZ001&product1=Lake+Effect+Snow+Warning, https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFHWOBUF][WBEN/Audacy local briefing | https://www.audacy.com/wben/news/weather/strong-winds-falling-temps-and-rain-transitions-to-snow][NWS Portland—flood warnings & watches | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?product1=Flood+Warning&warnzone=ORZ111 https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][OPB regional forecast update | https://www.opb.org/article/2025/12/18/atmospheric-river-flooding-oregon-washington-weather-forecast/][NWS Seattle—Flood Warnings/Watch text | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sew&wwa=all][NWS Seattle office dashboard | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Cheyenne—High Wind Warning text & local page | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=cys&wwa=high+wind+warning , https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?textField1=41.1454&textField2=-104.792][Cowboy State Daily regional brief | https://cowboystatedaily.com/2025/12/18/don-days-wyoming-weather-forecast-friday-december-19-2025/] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The primary focus of today's discussion centers on the severe weather conditions currently impacting the Pacific Northwest and surrounding regions. A high-impact Pacific storm is delivering substantial rainfall, strong winds, and snowfall across various areas, raising significant concerns about flooding and hazardous travel conditions. As we navigate through the complexities of this weather event, it is imperative to recognize the ongoing flood warnings, winter hazards, and the risks posed by blizzard conditions in states such as North Dakota and Montana. Furthermore, we shall highlight the critical situation in Washington, where record flooding has necessitated numerous rescues and evacuations. We will continue to monitor these developments closely as we provide updates on the evolving weather patterns and their implications.The recent episode of our podcast delves into the multifaceted impacts of a powerful Pacific storm currently affecting the western United States, particularly in Washington and Oregon. Our discussion begins with a detailed analysis of the meteorological phenomena at play, including the significant precipitation and high winds that have resulted in severe flooding across these regions. We examine the National Weather Service's ongoing flood warnings and advisories, which highlight the urgency of the situation as urban flooding and hazardous conditions threaten the safety and well-being of residents. Furthermore, we explore the implications of saturated soils, which have led to widespread power outages and fatalities, emphasizing the dire need for preparedness in the face of such natural disasters.As the episode progresses, we provide a state-by-state breakdown of the weather conditions, detailing the specific challenges faced by each area. In California, for instance, we discuss the anticipated rainfall and the potential for minor urban flooding, while in Idaho, we highlight the blizzard conditions and the resultant dangers posed to travelers. Our analysis does not shy away from the human aspect of these events, as we recount reports of fatalities linked to the extreme weather, underscoring the importance of vigilance and community response during such crises. By the conclusion of our discourse, we aim to impart a comprehensive understanding of the current storm's impact, fostering awareness and preparedness among our listeners.Takeaways:* A potent Pacific storm is currently causing significant flooding and hazardous weather across the Northwest region. * Wind advisories and winter weather warnings have been issued for multiple states due to severe conditions. * The ongoing weather events have resulted in major power outages and numerous emergency responses throughout the affected areas. * Travel remains extremely dangerous in regions experiencing blizzard conditions and high winds, particularly in North Dakota and Montana. * Flood warnings and advisories continue to be in effect as heavy rainfall persists in western Oregon and California. * Authorities are urging residents to remain vigilant and prepared for changing weather conditions and potential evacuations. Sources[NWS Eureka AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&highlight=off&issuedby=EKA&product=AFD&site=NWS&version=1][NWS Bay Area Dense Fog Advisory | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lox&wwa=all][NWS Denver/Boulder AFD | https://www.weather.gov/bou/afd][NWS Denver/Boulder Hazards | https://www.weather.gov/bou/][NWS Pocatello Hazards | https://www.weather.gov/pih/][AP | https://apnews.com/article/fe814b86139b6d30b8e19f5f1d44e47e][NWS Duluth Hazards | https://www.weather.gov/dlh/][NWS Duluth Marine | https://www.weather.gov/dlh/marine][NWS Glasgow | https://www.weather.gov/ggw/][NWS text for MT/ND blizzard | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=bis&wwa=all][NWS Bismarck | https://www.weather.gov/bis/][BIS Decision Support Blizzard Brief (PDF) | https://www.weather.gov/media/bis/DssPacket.pdf][NWS Portland Briefing/Hazards | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NWS Coastal Flood Advisory | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pqr&wwa=all][NWS/WPC ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php][NWS Aberdeen | https://www.weather.gov/abr/][NWS Seattle Hazards | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][AP regional impacts | https://apnews.com/article/fe814b86139b6d30b8e19f5f1d44e47e][NWS Cheyenne High Wind Warning | https://www.weather.gov/cys/highwind][NWS Cheyenne Hazards | https://www.weather.gov/cys/] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The salient point of our discussion today centers on the impending severe weather conditions forecasted to affect multiple regions, particularly as a formidable Pacific storm approaches from the Northwest. This meteorological event is anticipated to bring damaging winds, mountain snow, and localized blizzard conditions across the Northern Rockies and Plains. Furthermore, we delve into the ongoing flood response in Western Washington, where the region grapples with the aftermath of excessive rainfall, compounded by river warnings and landslide risks as additional weather fronts approach. We also highlight the potential for hazardous travel conditions due to high winds and snow in various states, including North Dakota and Montana, as well as the growing concerns over winter storm watches and blizzard conditions in the northern plains. As we progress through our analysis, we will remain vigilant in tracking river stages, wind advisories, and the timing of forthcoming storms, ensuring that our audience is well-informed and prepared for the evolving weather scenarios.A thorough examination of the current meteorological landscape reveals the intricate dynamics of a formidable Pacific storm traversing the United States, particularly as it approaches the Northern Rockies and Plains. This storm is characterized by its capacity to generate damaging winds ranging from 50 to 70 mph, coupled with significant snowfall and the potential for localized blizzard conditions. The podcast meticulously unpacks the repercussions of this weather event, particularly for Western Washington, which is currently in a state of flood response following an extensive period of heavy precipitation. The discussion focuses on the heightened risks of river flooding and landslides, a situation exacerbated by the saturated soils resulting from recent rainfall. As the storm progresses, listeners are informed of the potential for additional fronts to exacerbate these conditions, emphasizing the ongoing vulnerability of the region.The narrative further extends to the specific weather advisories across various states, detailing the high wind advisories and renewed flood threats that are expected to emerge in Northwest Oregon and Southwest Washington. The podcast dissects the implications of these advisories, particularly for transportation and infrastructure, as well as the efforts of local and national weather services to keep the public informed. The dangers posed by high winds and blizzard conditions in the High Plains are highlighted, illustrating the widespread impact of the storm across state lines. The podcast adeptly conveys the seriousness of the situation, advocating for public awareness and action in response to the impending weather challenges.As the episode draws to a close, the discussion encapsulates the necessity for vigilance and preparedness in the face of such formidable weather phenomena. It calls upon listeners to remain abreast of the evolving circumstances, emphasizing the importance of heeding warnings and taking precautionary measures to ensure safety. Ultimately, the podcast serves as an invaluable resource for understanding the complexities of severe weather and underscores the imperative of community resilience in the face of natural adversities.Takeaways:* The Pacific storm is expected to bring significant damaging winds and snow across various regions today. * Western Washington continues to face serious flooding issues following an extended period of heavy rainfall. * High wind warnings and advisories are in effect across numerous states, indicating hazardous conditions. * Travel disruptions are anticipated due to heavy winds and potential blizzard conditions in the northern regions. * Forecasters predict a powerful atmospheric river to impact the area with heavy rain and rising rivers soon. * Weather advisories highlight the risk of downed trees and utility outages due to saturated soils. Sources[WPC | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov][NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][USGS Latest Earthquakes (map) | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=16.8,-137.2&extent=55.0,-52.8&listOnlyShown=true][NOAA SWPC | https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/forecast-discussion][NWS Seattle — AFD/hazards | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=SEW&product=AFD&site=sew][NWS Seattle homepage | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][AP recap of state impacts | https://apnews.com/article/5a5d085e96e98d24c96a889b4d7d8e6c][WSDOT | https://wsdot.wa.gov/][NWS Portland hazards | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NWS Pendleton alert (media relay) | https://ktvz.com/weather/alerts-weather/2025/12/17/high-wind-warning-issued-december-17-at-134am-pst-until-december-17-at-400pm-pst-by-nws-pendleton-or/][ODOT TripCheck closures | https://www.tripcheck.com/DynamicReports/Report/RoadConditions][NWS Bay Area AFD — key messages | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=MTR&product=AFD&site=mtr][WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook overview | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov][NWS Boise AFD/advisories | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=BOI&product=AFD&site=BOI][NWS Pocatello High Wind Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=IDZ073&product1=High+Wind+Warning][Boise hazards | https://www.weather.gov/boi/][NWS Great Falls/TFX warnings | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=byz&wwa=all][East Glacier hazard page | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=48.4438&lon=-113.2255][NWS Cheyenne warnings text | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=cys&wwa=all][NWS Denver/Boulder — point forecast showing High Wind Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=40.56&lon=-105.07][WPC national hazards note | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov][NWS Bismarck state forecast product | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=ND&product=SFP&site=AKQ][NWS Grand Forks DSS/Blizzard potential PDF | https://www.weather.gov/media/fgf/DssPacket.pdf][NWS Rapid City AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=UNR&product=AFD&site=UNR][NWS Rapid City High Wind Warning text | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=SDZ076&product1=High+Wind+Warning][NWS North Platte HWO | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=LBF&product=HWO&site=NWS][WFO North Platte hazards map | https://www.weather.gov/lbf/][NWS Salt Lake City homepage advisory | https://www.weather.gov/slc/][SLC point forecast showing Wind Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=40.7585&lon=-111.8881][NWS Duluth hazards | https://www.weather.gov/dlh/][NWS Grand Forks web brief | https://www.weather.gov/fgf/] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

This podcast episode provides a comprehensive overview of the significant weather events currently affecting various regions, with a particular emphasis on the hazardous conditions prevalent in the Pacific Northwest. The National Weather Service has issued winter storm warnings for the Washington Cascades, predicting an accumulation of snow ranging from 10 to 36 inches, accompanied by ridge gusts reaching up to 65 miles per hour. Furthermore, the episode highlights the ongoing flooding situation in the Skagit River area near Mount Vernon, where major flooding is anticipated, prompting an extension of the flood warning into Friday. In addition, we examine the winter storm warnings affecting Juneau in Alaska, as well as the persistent lake effect snow impacting parts of New York. The episode concludes with a reminder for listeners to remain vigilant and heed local advisories regarding these severe weather conditions.A comprehensive analysis of the current meteorological conditions reveals a significant winter storm warning in effect across the Pacific Northwest, particularly impacting the Washington Cascades. The National Weather Service has forecasted an alarming accumulation of snow ranging from ten to thirty-six inches, accompanied by ridge gusts reaching up to sixty-five miles per hour. This substantial snowfall is anticipated to commence in the late afternoon and persist through Wednesday night, thereby creating hazardous travel conditions and raising concerns for residents in the affected areas. Moreover, the Skagit River is experiencing notable flooding, with warnings extended until Friday, underscoring the urgency for vigilance and preparedness among local communities.In the broader context of weather phenomena, Alaska's Panhandle is similarly grappling with winter storm warnings, predicting an additional three to seven inches of snowfall, coupled with gusty winds of thirty-five to forty miles per hour. These conditions are expected to pose challenges for both residents and travelers alike. The Great Lakes region is not exempt from winter weather, as lake effect snow continues to affect parts of New York, particularly Jefferson and Lewis counties, where visibility may be severely compromised by intense snow bands producing rapid accumulations and slick road conditions. Such developments necessitate heightened awareness and adherence to safety protocols as the region navigates through these tumultuous winter conditions.Takeaways:* The Pacific Northwest is currently experiencing severe winter storm conditions and hazards. * The National Weather Service has issued winter storm warnings for multiple regions until Wednesday night. * Significant flooding is forecasted near Mount Vernon, affecting low-lying areas and access. * Alaska's Panhandle continues to face winter storm warnings with additional snowfall expected today. * Cold temperatures persist in North Carolina, with wind chills posing risks to sensitive populations. * Lake effect snow continues to impact visibility and road conditions in parts of New York. Sources[NWS Juneau | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=all][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=hnx&wwa=all][NWS Monterey Marine | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=hnx&wwa=all] [NWS Honolulu | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=high+surf+advisory][NWS Wilmington NC | https://www.weather.gov/ilm/aviation][NWS Buffalo | https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFHWOBUF][NWS Seattle | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=SEW&wwa=flood+warning][NWS Seattle | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+storm+warning] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Show NotesEmergency management often explains breakdowns through the lens of surprise, yet many of the hazards shaping our communities were visible long before impact. Todd and Dan unpack the difference between Black Swan events, which are genuinely rare and difficult to predict, and Gray Rhinos, which are highly probable, high-impact threats that are acknowledged but repeatedly deferred. The discussion explores how normalcy bias, political incentives, and institutional design can lead to the normalization of known risks and why mislabeling Gray Rhinos as Black Swans undermines resilience and professional credibility.Topics covered include:* How Black Swan events are defined and why they are often misunderstood* The concept of Gray Rhinos and how visible risks become politically inconvenient* Why emergency management defaults to the language of surprise* Normalcy bias and the danger of mistaking familiarity for safety* The gap between identifying risk and acting on it* Why mitigation and capacity building remain undervalued* How governance incentives shape preparedness outcomesKey TakeawayMost disasters are not shocking because they were unpredictable; they are devastating because they were postponed. Emergency management succeeds not by reacting well to surprise, but by refusing to ignore what is already charging straight at us. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The primary focus of today's discussion centers upon the ongoing adverse weather conditions impacting various regions across the United States. As articulated, the National Weather Service has issued numerous warnings and advisories, particularly in the east and Great Lakes, where lake effect snow and severe cold conditions persist. Furthermore, we delve into the flood warnings affecting the Skagit River and the repercussions of a recent magnitude 4.0 earthquake in California, which, while not resulting in significant damage, has prompted caution regarding aftershocks. The episode also addresses hazardous travel conditions in the Los Angeles area due to dense fog and high winds in Montana, underscoring the diverse and severe weather phenomena currently in play. We conclude with a reminder of the importance of preparedness as these conditions evolve, urging listeners to prioritize their safety amidst these challenges.A comprehensive overview of the current meteorological conditions reveals a predominantly weather-driven scenario with significant implications for various regions across the United States. The National Weather Service has issued lake effect snow warnings for areas adjacent to Lakes Erie and Ontario, highlighting the persistent and severe cold that dominates the eastern parts of the country, while freeze alerts extend precariously down to the northern Gulf Coast. The discussion further elaborates on the ongoing flood crisis in Washington State, exacerbated by another deluge of rain from the Cascade Mountains, necessitating renewed vigilance as levels surge above flood stage once more. The seismic activity is also noteworthy, as a magnitude 4.0 earthquake rattled Sonoma County, California, prompting the acknowledgment of potential aftershocks, albeit with no immediate reports of significant damage. This episode serves as a crucial reminder of the unpredictable and often perilous nature of weather phenomena, urging listeners to remain informed and prepared for extreme conditions.Takeaways:* The National Weather Service warns of persistent cold weather and snow across the eastern states. * California experienced a magnitude 4.0 earthquake, with minor aftershocks but no significant damage reported. * Flood warnings are currently in effect for the Skagit River as rain increases water levels above flood stage. * Dense fog is impacting visibility in the Los Angeles area, making commutes hazardous this morning. * Freeze warnings are in place across parts of Florida, indicating significant cold weather conditions ahead. * A statewide state of preparedness has been declared in West Virginia due to expected snowfall and plunging temperatures. Sources[NWS Tallahassee — Office Page (Freeze/Cold headlines) | https://www.weather.gov/tae/][Freeze/Cold Advisory Example (active alert text) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=FLZ009&product1=Freeze+Warning][USGS — M4.0, 6 km W of Glen Ellen, CA | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/nc75279971][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard — Office Page (Dense Fog Advisory) |https://www.weather.gov/lox/][NWS San Francisco/Monterey — Dense Fog Advisory (relay) | https://kioncentralcoast.com/weather-authority/alerts-weather-authority/2025/12/15/dense-fog-advisory-issued-december-15-at-151am-pst-until-december-15-at-1100am-pst-by-nws-san-francisco-ca/][NWS Tallahassee — Office Page (Freeze/Rip Currents/Marine) | https://www.weather.gov/tae/?n=ghwo_waves][NWS Tallahassee — Office Page (regional Freeze coverage) | https://www.weather.gov/tae/][NWS Atlanta/Peachtree City — Office Page (Cold WeatherAdvisory) | https://www.weather.gov/ffc/][NWS Great Falls — High Wind Warning (alert text) | https://forecast.weather.gov/zipcity.php?inputstring=59401][NWS Great Falls — Office Page | https://www.weather.gov/tfx/][NWS Buffalo — Lake-Effect Snow Warning (Oswego Co. example)| https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?product1=Lake+Effect+Snow+Warning&warnzone=NYZ006][NWS Buffalo — HWO/Advisories (WNY) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?product1=Lake+Effect+Snow+Warning&warnzone=NYZ085][NWS Wilmington OH — Office Page | https://www.weather.gov/iln/][MapClick — Cincinnati (Cold Weather Advisory example) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=39.12711&lon=-84.51439][NWS Pittsburgh — HWO (NW PA with Lake-Effect impacts) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=ctp&wwa=hazardous+weather+outlook][NWS Cleveland — DSS Packet (Lake-Effect timing into Monday)| https://www.weather.gov/media/cle/DssPacket.pdf][NWS Austin/San Antonio — Office Page (Freeze Warning) | https://www.weather.gov/ewx/][NWS Fort Worth/Dallas — AFD/Key Messages | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?glossary=1&issuedby=fwd&product=AFD&site=NWS][NWS Seattle — Skagit River Flood Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=SEW&product=FLW&site=MTR][NOAA Water — Skagit at Mt. Vernon Gauge | https://water.noaa.gov/gauges/mvew1][Office of the Governor — State of Preparedness (12/13, official; within 48h window for ongoing action) | https://governor.wv.gov/article/governor-morrisey-declares-state-preparedness] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The ongoing extreme atmospheric river has rendered Western Washington and northwestern Oregon in a state of emergency response. Despite a temporary easing of rainfall, the ramifications of major to catastrophic river flooding persist, with additional atmospheric rivers anticipated in the forthcoming week. FEMA's operations continue to address evacuations, shelter provisions, and transportation disruptions in the affected regions. As we traverse various states, we note that Alaska grapples with blizzard conditions while other areas, such as New York, face significant lake effect snow. Throughout this episode, we remain vigilant in monitoring the evolving weather scenarios across the nation, emphasizing the need for preparedness and safety in light of these severe conditions.The recent EM Morning Brief delineates the ongoing challenges faced by Western Washington and northwestern Oregon as they grapple with the aftermath of an unprecedented atmospheric river event. The episode opens with a somber acknowledgment of the severe flooding that has afflicted these regions, emphasizing that while the immediate rainfall has subsided, the repercussions are far from over. The Weather Prediction Center has issued dire warnings regarding significant river flooding, which may persist for an extended period, compounded by the potential for additional atmospheric rivers in the forthcoming week. The episode articulates the crucial role of FEMA in orchestrating evacuations and providing shelter, underscoring the collaborative efforts in federal tribal coordination to mitigate the disaster's impact.The discussion further elaborates on the broader meteorological landscape across the United States, with a particular focus on the Arctic air masses sweeping southward and the impending lake effect snow that threatens the Great Lakes region. Alaska is highlighted for its harsh conditions, including blizzard advisories and travel disruptions due to severe marine weather. The nuances of state-level responses are meticulously detailed, particularly California's proactive measures in deploying Urban Search and Rescue Task Forces to assist in flood response operations in Washington. This segment of the episode encapsulates the interconnectedness of state responses to natural disasters, illustrating the importance of mutual aid systems in times of crisis.In addition to these primary themes, the episode touches upon localized weather phenomena affecting Idaho, Minnesota, and New York, where residents face their own sets of winter hazards and flood warnings. The narrative concludes with a call for vigilance and safety amidst the ongoing turmoil, reiterating the importance of staying informed through reliable channels. This comprehensive overview not only serves to inform but also to remind listeners of the resilience required in the face of nature's formidable challenges.Takeaways:* The atmospheric river has significantly impacted Western Washington and northwestern Oregon, necessitating ongoing emergency responses. * FEMA is currently coordinating evacuations, opening shelters, and managing transportation disruptions in the affected regions. * Flood warnings remain in effect across Idaho, with specific rivers experiencing critical flooding conditions. * Minnesota has issued cold weather advisories due to dangerous wind chills and snow hazards expected this weekend. * In Oregon, river flooding continues, prompting the National Weather Service to maintain flood warnings and advisories for local communities. * Texas is experiencing dense fog conditions, impacting visibility and travel safety across the coastal region. Sources[NWS Fairbanks | https://www.weather.gov/afg/][Alaska Marine Highway—Service Notices | https://dot.alaska.gov/amhs/service_notices.shtml][Office of the Governor | https://www.gov.ca.gov/2025/12/11/governor-newsom-deploys-resources-as-atmospheric-river-causes-catastrophic-flooding-in-the-pacific-northwest/][NWS Spokane—Flood Warnings | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?lat=47.9744&lon=-116.3059&product1=Flood+Warning][Bonner County Daily Bee | https://bonnercountydailybee.com/news/2025/dec/12/flood-emergency-declared-in-shoshone-county-coeur-/][NWS Duluth—Hazards | https://www.weather.gov/dlh/][City of Libby—Boil Order (Dec. 11) | https://cityoflibby.com/][Montana Free Press | https://montanafreepress.org/2025/12/11/atmospheric-river-drives-flooding-in-northwest-montana/][NWS Buffalo—Lake-Effect Snow Warnings | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=buf&wwa=lake%20effect%20snow%20warning][Democrat & Chronicle | https://www.democratandchronicle.com/story/weather/2025/12/12/lake-effect-snow-warning-new-york-how-much-snow-totals-snowstorm-forecast/87730027007/][NWS Portland—Watches/Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][The Astorian | https://www.dailyastorian.com/news/local/flood-warning-issued-for-highway-101-at-seaside/article_b5fd6266-1d0b-11ef-a72a-931dbd6c3e83.html][NWS Corpus Christi | https://www.weather.gov/crp/][Laredo Morning Times | https://www.lmtonline.com/local/article/weather-nws-fog-mist-visibility-hazardous-traffic-21237911.php][NWS Seattle—Watches/Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][Governor of Washington—Emergency Proclamation | https://governor.wa.gov/news/2025/washington-state-responds-severe-weather-emergency-proclamation-issued] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The current episode elucidates the dire situation unfolding in the Pacific Northwest, where a potent atmospheric river has instigated severe flooding, prompting the governor of Washington to declare a statewide emergency. As multiple rivers reach or exceed flood stage, the National Guard has been activated to assist in the response efforts. We explore the rapid rise of levee concerns, particularly in regions such as the Skagit, Snohomish, Chehalis, Cowlitz, and Puyallup basins, underscoring the critical need for residents to heed local evacuation guidance and avoid flooded roadways. Moreover, we discuss the implications of high wind warnings in southeastern Wyoming, where gusts have reached alarmingly high levels, resulting in hazardous driving conditions. This episode aims to provide an informed overview of the ongoing weather-related adversities, emphasizing the necessity for vigilance and preparedness in the face of such natural calamities.A persistent atmospheric river continues to exert its influence over the Pacific Northwest, leading to severe weather conditions characterized by intense precipitation and resultant flooding. The governor of Washington has declared a statewide emergency, which has necessitated the activation of the National Guard to assist in mitigating the impact of the flooding that affects multiple rivers, some of which are reaching or exceeding flood stage. Concerns regarding levee integrity remain paramount, particularly in the Skagit, Snohomish, Chehalis, Cowlitz, and Puyallup basins, where swift rises in water levels pose a significant risk to the surrounding communities. Residents are urged to exercise caution, avoiding flooded roadways and adhering to local evacuation directives as the situation develops. As we navigate through this precarious weather event, the Weather Prediction Center has issued warnings for elevated rainfall risks across western Washington and northwest Oregon, with the potential for additional precipitation persisting into the weekend, thereby exacerbating the already critical conditions.Takeaways:* The Pacific Northwest is currently experiencing severe weather conditions due to a powerful atmospheric river. * Governor of Washington has declared a statewide emergency, activating the National Guard for flood response. * Residents are advised to avoid flooded roads and adhere to local evacuation guidance promptly. * Wyoming is facing significant wind hazards, resulting in the closure of major highway segments. * Alaska has established a Bethel Assistance Hub to aid survivors from the recent West Coast storm. * New York continues to experience winter storm warnings due to lake effect snow and hazardous travel conditions. Sources[FEMA | https://www.fema.gov/press-release/20251210/bethel-assistance-hub-opens-dec-11-support-alaskans][NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc][NWS Buffalo WSW | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=buf&wwa=all][NWS Fort Drum/Watertown Hazard Page | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=43.972377&lon=-75.911254][NWS Portland Flood Statements | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pqr&wwa=flood%20warning][PBOT Travel Advisory | https://www.portland.gov/transportation/news/2025/12/8/travel-advisory-heavy-rains-monday-night-through-wednesday-and][ODOT TripCheck | https://www.tripcheck.com/DynamicReports/Report/RoadConditions/0][Governor WA News Release | https://governor.wa.gov/news/news-releases][Proclamation (PDF) | https://governor.wa.gov/sites/default/files/proclamations/25-07%20-%20Atmospheric%20River.pdf][NWS Seattle Flood Warnings | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sew&wwa=flood+warning][WPC ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php][AP | https://apnews.com/article/28344ef2f138633444ab247b91c4e4f4][NWS Cheyenne High Wind Warnings | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=cys&wwa=high+wind+warning][WYDOT I-80 | https://www.wyoroad.info/pls/Browse/WRR.RoutesResults?SelectedRoute=I80][WYDOT I-25 | https://www.wyoroad.info/pls/Browse/WRR.RoutesResults?SelectedRoute=I25] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

A potent Pacific atmospheric river is currently inundating Washington and Oregon, resulting in significant urban and river flooding. The episode elucidates the ongoing flood warnings affecting several rivers in these regions, while simultaneously addressing a rapidly advancing winter storm traversing the upper Midwest and Great Lakes. This storm is anticipated to produce bursts of snow, pockets of freezing rain, and robust winds, thereby complicating travel and potentially causing localized power outages. Moreover, Southeast Alaska is grappling with perilous wind chills under cold weather advisories, as the National Hurricane Center confirms a lack of active cyclones in both the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific during this off-season. Throughout the discussion, we emphasize the necessity for vigilance and preparedness in the face of these severe weather conditions.Takeaways:* The Pacific atmospheric river continues to cause significant urban and river flooding in Washington and Oregon, necessitating urgent caution. * Multiple regions are under flood warnings due to saturated soils and strong winds, which pose risks of falling trees and power outages. * Severe winter storms are affecting the Midwest and Northeast, leading to hazardous travel conditions and potential power disruptions due to ice and snow. * In Alaska, dangerously cold temperatures persist, bringing about severe wind chill advisories that require vigilance and preparedness. * California's Bay Area is experiencing notable coastal hazards, including strong currents and high breaking waves, prompting advisories for beachgoers. * Oregon remains under flood watch as continuous heavy rain leads to rising river levels and associated dangers in the region. Sources[NWS — Cold Weather Advisory product summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=Cold+Weather+Advisory][NWS Fairbanks discussion portal | https://www.weather.gov/afg/AOD][NWS San Francisco/Monterey — hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard — hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/lox/][NWS Honolulu Surf Forecast — issued today | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF][Kauaʻi Now News advisory write-up | https://kauainownews.com/2025/12/10/moderate-swells-trigger-high-surf-advisory-for-north-west-shores-of-kauai-niihau/][NWS Caribou — office hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/car/][NWS point forecast—Caribou with advisory timing | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?textField1=46.8668&textField2=-67.9906][NWS Gaylord—WWA text | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=grr&wwa=winter+weather+advisory][Big Rapids News roundup | https://www.bigrapidsnews.com/news/article/michigan-winter-weather-advisories-december-9-21233133.php][MPR News school delays/commute impacts | https://www.mprnews.org/story/2025/12/09/winter-storm-forecast-snow-freezing-rain-strong-winds][NWS Duluth office portal | https://www.weather.gov/dlh/][NWS Billings—Absaroka/Beartooth WSW | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mso&wwa=winter+storm+warning][NWS Great Falls/Missoula advisory summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mso&wwa=winter+weather+advisory][NWS Binghamton—Northern Oneida WSW | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=bgm&wwa=winter%20storm%20warning][Adirondack Daily Enterprise—travel impacts today | https://www.adirondackdailyenterprise.com/news/local-news/2025/12/tricky-travel-today/][NWS Bismarck—hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/bis/][InForum statewide travel impacts | https://www.inforum.com/news/north-dakota/high-winds-snow-freezing-rain-create-hazardous-driving-across-north-dakota][NWS Portland—hazards page showing Flood Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][OPB recap of flooding/landslides | https://www.opb.org/article/2025/12/10/weather-pacific-northwest-storms-flooding-landslides/][NWS Burlington—office hazards | https://www.weather.gov/btv/][NWS Burlington recreational forecast/advisory timing | https://www.weather.gov/btv/recreation][NWS Seattle—hazards page showing Flood Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][AP regional recap including rescues and outages | https://apnews.com/article/8eb0a0bbfa34a5b542c727fefed668a4][NWS Wisconsin WWA summary page (selected zones) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mkx&wwa=winter%20storm%20warning][NWS Riverton—WSW text (Yellowstone/Absaroka/Teton) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=riw&wwa=winter+storm+warning][LocalNews8 alert mirror of NWS product | https://localnews8.com/weather/alerts-weather/2025/12/10/winter-storm-warning-issued-december-10-at-337am-mst-until-december-10-at-500pm-mst-by-nws-riverton-wy/] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The episode elucidates the current atmospheric conditions affecting various regions of the United States, particularly highlighting the ongoing Pacific atmospheric river that is inundating Washington and Oregon. The National Weather Service has issued multiple flood warnings, including a flood watch for the Seattle Metro area, which is expected to persist through Friday. Concurrently, a winter storm is advancing through the Northern Plains, bringing significant snowfall and hazardous conditions that may lead to treacherous travel. Additionally, damaging winds are impacting South Central regions, compounding the challenges faced by restoration efforts in areas previously affected by severe weather. As we navigate these multifaceted weather phenomena, I urge all listeners to exercise caution and remain informed about local conditions.Takeaways:* The Pacific atmospheric river is significantly impacting Washington and Oregon, leading to multiple flood warnings. * Residents are urged to avoid flooded roads and remain vigilant for potential landslides in steep areas. * A fast-moving winter storm is expected to bring severe weather conditions across parts of the Midwest. * High winds are causing additional challenges in South Central Alaska, with ongoing power restoration efforts indicated. * Winter storm warnings are in effect for several states, including Minnesota and Michigan, with substantial snowfall predicted. * Ongoing flooding concerns persist in western Washington as river flood warnings remain active through Friday. Sources[NWS Mat-Su High Wind Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=61.5814&lon=-149.4410][Anchorage Daily News | https://www.adn.com/alaska-news/mat-su/2025/12/08/mat-su-residents-many-still-without-power-brace-for-another-day-of-wind/][NWS Gaylord WSW (W. Mackinac) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mqt&wwa=winter+storm+warning][Detroit Free Press roundup | https://www.freep.com/story/weather/2025/12/08/michigan-snow-rain-winter-storm-warning-doppler-radar/87670899007/][NWS Twin Cities WSW | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MPX&issuedby=MPX&product=WSW][MPR News forecast | https://www.mprnews.org/story/2025/12/09/latest-winter-storm-to-bring-a-wintry-mix-and-heavy-snow][NWS MT advisories/warnings (statewide excerpts) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=byz&wwa=winter+weather+advisory][NBC Montana forecast update | https://nbcmontana.com/weather/forecasts/cold-front-to-bring-increasing-wind-atmospheric-river-continue-through-thursday][NWS Bismarck/Grand Forks hazard pages | https://www.weather.gov/bis/; https://www.weather.gov/fgf/][Valley News Live First Alert | https://www.valleynewslive.com/2025/12/08/first-alert-tuesdays-winter-storm-brings-mix-snow-wind/?outputType=amp][NWS Portland hazards | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][OPB regional flood watch coverage | https://www.opb.org/article/2025/12/08/weather-oregon-wahington-atmospheric-river-rain-flooding/][NWS Flood Warnings text (Seattle) | https://a.atmos.washington.edu/data/warning_report.WWA.html][KIRO-7 roundup | https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/heres-where-expect-rising-rivers-strong-atmospheric-river-comes-washington/QDZWK3R2DVGQ5EZWXSAMMLZE4Q/][NWS Twin Cities WSW (NW WI counties) | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MPX&issuedby=MPX&product=WSW][Wausau Pilot & Review update | https://wausaupilotandreview.com/2025/12/09/winter-storm-warning-issued-for-central-wisconsin-as-heavy-snow-bitter-cold-loom/][NWS Riverton WSW (Yellowstone/Absaroka) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+storm+warning][WYDOT 511 road conditions (I-80 district example) | https://www.wyoroad.info/pls/Browse/WRR.STATIC5?SelectedDistrict=1] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Show Notes: Antifragile Emergency ManagersEpisode SummaryIn this episode of the Emergency Management Network Podcast, we explore what it truly means to be an antifragile emergency manager—a practitioner who doesn't just withstand disruption, but grows stronger because of it. Drawing on Nassim Nicholas Taleb's concept of antifragility, the conversation moves beyond resilience and robustness to examine how uncertainty, stress, failure, and volatility can become sources of learning and professional growth in emergency management.Rather than chasing the illusion of control or perfect plans, antifragile emergency managers cultivate adaptive thinking, decentralized decision-making, strong relationships, and the humility to learn in real time. From chaotic incidents to political pressure, from after-action reports to lived experience, this episode challenges the field to rethink what “good leadership” really looks like in an increasingly complex risk environment.This is a conversation about mindset, culture, and leadership—not checklists.Topics Covered* Resilience vs. Antifragility: why “bouncing back” isn't enough in modern emergency management* Stress as a Teacher: using disruption, mistakes, and friction to sharpen judgment* Decentralized Leadership: empowering teams instead of over-controlling outcomes* Planning for Uncertainty: why flexible frameworks outperform rigid plans* Failure and After-Action Learning: turning lessons observed into lessons applied* Psychological Safety and Trust: creating organizations that can adapt under pressure* Leadership Amid Ambiguity: decision-making when information is incomplete and stakes are high* How emergency managers can become antifragile—personally and institutionallyKey TakeawayEmergency management is not about eliminating chaos—it's about learning how to operate within it. Antifragile emergency managers don't fear disruption; they use it to become sharper, wiser, and better prepared for whatever comes next.Recommended Reading & Influences* Nassim Nicholas Taleb – Antifragile* Craig Fugate – Leadership in complex disasters* Stanley McChrystal – Team of Teams* General Jim Mattis – Leadership and discipline under uncertainty This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The primary focus of today's discourse revolves around the significant meteorological phenomena currently impacting the Pacific Northwest and broader regions, particularly the atmospheric river event poised to unleash excessive rainfall and potential flooding through the evening. I shall elucidate the ongoing weather developments, including the implications of a powerful Pacific storm that is intensifying conditions across western Washington and Oregon. Furthermore, we will convey pertinent information regarding the hazardous winter weather conditions anticipated in Wyoming, Idaho, and parts of Montana, characterized by substantial snowfall and challenging travel conditions. In addition, I will provide updates on the recent magnitude 7.0 earthquake near the Alaska Yukon border, which has generated a sequence of aftershocks, albeit without any reported major damage. As we proceed, I will also address the anticipated geomagnetic storm, which may yield auroral displays further south and could impart minor impacts on power communications.Takeaways:* The Pacific storm currently affecting the Northwest is causing significant rainfall and flood risks. * Western Washington and Oregon are expected to experience hazardous conditions due to heavy rain and river rises. * Wyoming, Idaho, and parts of Montana are facing challenging travel conditions due to winter weather impacts. * The magnitude 7.0 earthquake near the Alaska Yukon border has resulted in ongoing aftershocks but no major damage. * The National Weather Service has issued winter storm warnings and advisories for multiple states due to impending severe weather. * NOAA has issued a geomagnetic storm watch that may result in auroras and minor power impacts in the coming days. Sources[Alaska Earthquake Center | https://earthquake.alaska.edu/december-6-magnitude-7-near-canadian-border][USGS | https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards][NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc][NWS Pocatello | https://www.weather.gov/pih/?fbclid=IwAR0_ckvDXfR4VXoKRD8bR1NSqT1ctL_aY_js-lugQKeD_1Q_hcsNvAhSHTA][NWS Pocatello Winter Page | https://www.weather.gov/pih/winter][NWS Billings | https://www.weather.gov/byz/][NWS Billings (preview) | https://preview.weather.gov/byz/][NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][WPC Day-1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr][NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Spokane | https://www.weather.gov/otx/][WPC Day-1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr][NWS Riverton | https://www.weather.gov/riw/winter][WYDOT I-25 District 2 | https://www.wyoroad.info/highway/conditions/dist2.html][WYDOT I-80 Route | https://www.wyoroad.info/pls/Browse/WRR.RoutesResults?SelectedRoute=I80][WYDOT US-287 | https://wyoroad.info/pls/Browse/WRR.RoutesResults?SelectedRoute=US287][WYDOT US-191 | https://www.wyoroad.info/pls/Browse/WRR.RoutesResults?SelectedRoute=US191] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The discourse presented in this podcast episode encompasses a myriad of critical weather updates, reflecting a proactive approach to disseminating pertinent information regarding severe winter conditions. As winter storms loom over the Rockies and northern territories, the audience is apprised of the imminent dangers posed by heavy snow and blizzard conditions, particularly in Alaska and Colorado. The National Weather Service's warnings are clear, urging individuals to exercise caution and prepare adequately for the onslaught of adverse weather that could disrupt daily life and travel plans.Additionally, the episode sheds light on the implications of weather phenomena on broader environmental and societal frameworks. The erroneous earthquake alert serves as a case study in the complexities surrounding disaster preparedness and the potential for misinformation to exacerbate public fear. This incident prompts a discussion on the efficacy of current alert systems and the need for continuous improvement to ensure public safety. By addressing both immediate weather concerns and long-term systemic issues, the podcast effectively engages listeners in a dialogue about the multifaceted nature of weather-related challenges and the importance of remaining vigilant and informed in the face of nature's unpredictability.Takeaways:* The National Weather Service has issued multiple winter storm warnings across various states, indicating severe weather conditions. * In Alaska, blizzard warnings have been announced, predicting dangerous wind chills and whiteout conditions. * California's USGS confirmed that the reported earthquake near Carson City was a false alert, emphasizing the importance of accurate reporting. * Travel conditions in Colorado are expected to deteriorate significantly due to winter storm warnings, urging caution for travelers in mountainous regions. * Flood warnings persist in Louisiana, highlighting the need for awareness of local weather advisories and potential hazards. * The ongoing winter storm warnings across the Western states necessitate preparedness for extreme weather and travel disruptions. Sources[NWS Fairbanks AFD | https://www.weather.gov/arh/fire_afd][NWS Paxson/Cantwell hazard page | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=63.3756&lon=-145.4190][USGS false alert via Reuters | https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/usgs-says-report-nevada-earthquake-was-false-detection-by-automatic-system-2025-12-04/][NWS Bay Area/LOX marine statements | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lox&wwa=all][NWS Warning text | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+storm+warning][NWS detail – Elkhead/Park | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?product1=Winter+Storm+Warning&warnzone=COZ004][NWS Missoula/ID warning roundup | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+storm+warning][NWS Pocatello alert (via LocalNews8 relay) | https://localnews8.com/weather/alerts-weather/2025/12/05/winter-storm-warning-issued-december-5-at-253am-mst-until-december-6-at-500am-mst-by-nws-pocatello-id/][NWS Lake Charles Flood Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=flood+warning][NWS Missoula/Billings warnings | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+storm+warning][Reuters (USGS) | https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/usgs-says-report-nevada-earthquake-was-false-detection-by-automatic-system-2025-12-04/][ABC10/Nevada Seismological Lab confirmation | https://www.abc10.com/article/weather/earthquakes/false-shakealert-sacramento-nevada-confirmation/103-c2c6f8da-8f11-436b-b32b-47ad48dcedc2][NWS Portland hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NWS Seattle hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Cheyenne warning text (state roundup) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+storm+warning] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The salient point of today's discourse revolves around the imminent weather developments across the United States, particularly emphasizing the marginal risk of excessive rainfall along the central Gulf coast and the anticipated atmospheric river affecting the Pacific Northwest. I elucidate the potential for localized flash flooding in coastal regions due to persistent showers. Concurrently, I provide updates regarding winter weather advisories and warnings for several states, including Michigan and Colorado, where hazardous travel is expected due to heavy snowfall. Additionally, I draw attention to the coastal flood advisories in various regions, underscoring the need for vigilance as high tides may lead to minor inundation. This comprehensive weather briefing serves to prepare our audience for the diverse meteorological challenges that lie ahead.Takeaways:* The Weather Prediction Center has issued a Day One marginal risk for excessive rainfall along the central Gulf Coast, indicating possible weather-related impacts. * Localized flash flooding is anticipated in areas where persistent showers develop near coastal regions, necessitating vigilance among residents. * A strong atmospheric river event is forecasted for the Pacific Northwest early next week, which may influence local weather patterns significantly. * Winter weather advisories remain active across multiple states, including Alaska and Michigan, highlighting ongoing hazardous conditions due to snow and freezing temperatures. * Coastal flood advisories have been issued for various regions, including North Carolina and Oregon, in response to high tide events that may lead to minor inundation. * Overall, careful monitoring of weather patterns and advisories is essential as conditions continue to evolve across the United States. Sources[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr][NWS Mobile | https://www.weather.gov/mob/].NCEP Weather Prediction Center+1][NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc].[NWS LOX | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=high+surf+advisory][NWS SF Bay Area | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/][NWS Grand Junction | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&firewxzone=COZ205][NWS LIX | https://www.weather.gov/lix/][WPC | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr][NWS APX | https://www.weather.gov/apx/][NWS Missoula | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mso&wwa=winter+weather+advisory][NWS Buffalo | https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFHWOBUF][NWS WWA (ILM) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory][NWS Wilmington | https://www.weather.gov/ilm/][NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pqr&wwa=all][NWS Nashville | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+weather+advisory][NWS EWX AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=EWX&product=AFD&site=EWX][NWS EWX | https://www.weather.gov/ewx/][NWS WWA | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory][NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][WPC | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdepd.html] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The focal point of our discourse today revolves around the prevailing winter storm warnings and weather advisories that are significantly impacting various regions, particularly Alaska and parts of California. We delve into the details of these warnings, highlighting the hazardous conditions predicted in the Yukon, Kuskokwim region, and along the coastal areas. The National Weather Service has issued advisories due to high tides and heavy surf, which may result in coastal flooding and dangerous travel conditions. Furthermore, we will examine the implications of these weather patterns, including potential urban flash flooding in Louisiana and the continued caution required for mariners in affected waters. As we navigate through these critical updates, our primary objective remains to ensure the safety and preparedness of our listeners amidst these severe weather events.Takeaways:* The podcast episode provides a thorough analysis of winter storm warnings affecting multiple regions, including Alaska. * Listeners should heed the National Weather Service advisories regarding coastal flooding in California's coastal regions. * The episode emphasizes the importance of avoiding exposed waters due to hazardous marine conditions related to freezing spray. * We discussed the potential for flash flooding in urban areas of southeast Louisiana due to impending rainfall this week. * Winter weather advisories were mentioned for both Maine and North Dakota, necessitating caution for travelers. * The episode concluded with a reminder to stay vigilant regarding the evolving weather conditions across the United States. Sources[NWS Fairbanks Winter Storm Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=AKZ952&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning][NWS Alaska marine heavy freezing spray | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=Heavy+Freezing+Spray+Warning][NWS SF Bay Coastal Flood Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mtr&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard Coastal Hazards | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lox&wwa=all][USGS Ojai M2.9 | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/ci41131303][NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge briefing | https://www.weather.gov/lix/][NWS Caribou HWO incl. winter storm timing | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=car&wwa=hazardous+weather+outlook][NWS Gray/Portland WWA overview | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/][NWS Marquette marine gales & heavy freezing spray | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=Heavy+Freezing+Spray+Warning][NWS Billings Winter Weather Advisory (early a.m.) | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mso&wwa=all][NWS Gray/Portland WWA overview | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/][NWS Gray winter page | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/winter][NWS Bismarck homepage update & WWA | https://www.weather.gov/bis/][NWS Bismarck WWA text | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=bis&wwa=all][NWS Marquette marine gales & heavy freezing spray,incl. WI waters | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=Heavy+Freezing+Spray+Warning][NWS Cheyenne WWA summary | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=cys&wwa=all][NWS Riverton WWA summary | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=riw&wwa=all] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Show Notes: Disaster as a MirrorEpisode Summary:In this episode of the Emergency Management Network, hosts Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott explore one of the most revealing truths in our field: disasters don't introduce new problems—they expose the ones already there. A hurricane, a wildfire, a blackout, a pandemic: each becomes a mirror reflecting the strengths, weaknesses, inequities, and blind spots embedded in our communities long before impact.Todd and Dan trace this phenomenon through the research of Daniel Aldrich and others, connecting social vulnerability, infrastructure choices, governance failures, and community cohesion to the wildly different outcomes disasters produce. They discuss why disasters disproportionately affect specific populations, how historic policy decisions echo across decades, and what emergency managers must confront when the mirror shows us something we'd rather ignore.The conversation blends field experience, research, and a reflective “Garage Philosopher” edge—challenging listeners to consider what disasters reveal not just about our systems, but about ourselves.Topics Covered:Disasters as amplifiers: Hazards don't treat everyone equally; they magnify pre-existing inequities.Social vulnerability & history: How redlining, disinvestment, and infrastructure neglect play out during crisis.Daniel Aldrich's research: Why social capital predicts survival and recovery better than physical infrastructure alone.Systemic exposure: How disasters spotlight policy failures, brittle systems, and governance gaps we tolerate in “blue-sky” time.Operational implications: EM must acknowledge that preparedness and resilience are shaped by long-term societal conditions, not last-minute planning.Moral visibility: Disasters reveal whose voices get prioritized, whose neighborhoods get rebuilt, and who gets left waiting.Rebuilding with honesty: Using the mirror constructively—community engagement, equity-centered planning, and revisiting assumptions.Quotable Moment:“A disaster doesn't break a community—it shows where the cracks already were.” This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The primary focus of this podcast episode is the comprehensive analysis of the winter weather conditions affecting various regions of the United States on December 2, 2025. I elucidate the impact of a significant winter storm that has engendered widespread warnings and advisories across the northern Mid Atlantic and interior Northeast. Furthermore, I address the adverse weather phenomena occurring in the Florida Panhandle, where morning storms present a marginal risk of damaging winds and the potential for brief tornadoes. As I traverse through the states, I highlight the freeze warnings that prevail in parts of California, Nevada, and Arizona, alongside the winter storm warnings in Alaska and New Hampshire, which are indicative of hazardous travel conditions. This episode serves as a crucial briefing to ensure that our listeners remain informed and prepared amidst these challenging weather developments.Takeaways:* A significant winter storm is currently affecting the northern Mid Atlantic and Northeast regions. * The Florida Panhandle is experiencing morning storms, with potential for severe weather conditions. * California is under freeze warnings due to a cold, dry air mass affecting various locations. * Winter weather advisories are issued across several states, including Pennsylvania and New Jersey. * Accumulating snow is expected in parts of New York, impacting travel conditions throughout the region. * Coastal areas face increased risks of flooding and hazardous conditions due to high tides and strong winds. Sources[NWS Winter Storm Warning (national text feed) | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter%20storm%20warning][NWS Phoenix | https://www.weather.gov/psr/][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard | https://www.weather.gov/lox/][NWS San Francisco Bay Area | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/][NWS New York, NY (OKX) | https://www.weather.gov/okx/][NWS Mt. Holly Briefing | https://www.weather.gov/phi/marine][NWS Tallahassee | https://www.weather.gov/tae/][SPC Day 1 Outlook | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NWS Tallahassee Marine | https://www.weather.gov/tae/marine][NWS Honolulu Advisories | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/watchwarn][NWS Honolulu Surf Forecast | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF][NWS Gray/Portland | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/][NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Story | https://www.weather.gov/lwx/weatherstory][NWS Baltimore/Washington (Advisories page) | https://www.weather.gov/lwx/][NWS Boston/Norton | https://www.weather.gov/box/][NWS Gaylord | https://www.weather.gov/apx/][NWS Las Vegas | https://www.weather.gov/vef/][NWS Gray/Portland NH Page | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/domainNH][NWS Mt. Holly Briefing | https://www.weather.gov/phi/marine][NWS Albany | https://www.weather.gov/aly/][NWS New York, NY | https://www.weather.gov/okx/][NWS Cleveland Advisory/Outlook | https://www.weather.gov/cle/][NWS CLE “Forecast Cold Outbreak” | https://www.weather.gov/cle/Forecast_Cold_Outbreak][NWS State College Area Forecast Discussion (Advisorieslisted) | https://www.weather.gov/ctp/AreaForecastDiscussion][NWS Pittsburgh DSS/Advisory page | https://www.weather.gov/pbz/weatherbriefingpage][NWS Burlington “Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories forTuesday” | https://www.weather.gov/btv/][NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Story | https://www.weather.gov/lwx/weatherstory] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Today, we provide a comprehensive overview of the inclement weather patterns emerging across the United States as we enter the first week of winter. A significant winter storm is anticipated to impact the Northeast, with winter storm watches already in effect for various regions, signaling the likelihood of hazardous travel conditions. Concurrently, we observe a developing coastal system that is expected to bring wintry weather to the northern Mid Atlantic and interior New England. In Alaska, a potent Gulf low is creating hazardous marine conditions, alongside an ice storm warning issued for parts of the Anchorage area. We will diligently track these evolving weather phenomena throughout the day, emphasizing the importance of safety for all individuals affected by these conditions.Takeaways:* The onset of winter has heralded diverse weather patterns across the continental United States. * Snowfall is anticipated today, particularly affecting regions from the Rockies to the upper Midwest. * A coastal system is expected to propagate wintry weather into the northern Mid-Atlantic and New England regions. * Winter storm watches have been issued for parts of the Northeast due to impending severe weather conditions. * Alaska is experiencing hazardous marine conditions due to a strong front in the Gulf of Alaska. * Hawaii remains under a high surf warning, necessitating caution near shorelines. Sources[NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc?story=1][NWS Anchorage “Strong Front” briefing | https://www.weather.gov/afc/StrongFront][NWS Fairbanks point forecast – interior snow/freezing rainsignal | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=64.837&lon=-147.761][NWS Denver/Boulder — advisories page | https://www.weather.gov/bou/][NWS Boston/Norton | https://www.weather.gov/box/][NWS Honolulu – Active Watches/Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/watchwarn][NWS Honolulu – Surf Forecast | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF][NWS Northern Indiana – Winter Weather Message | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter%20weather%20advisory][NWS Gray/Portland | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/][NWS Boston/Norton | https://www.weather.gov/box/][NWS Gaylord – WWA summary | https://www.weather.gov/apx/][NWS Gaylord – text WWA page | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=apx&wwa=all][NWS Gray/Portland | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/][NWS Mount Holly briefing (PDF) | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf][NWS Albany – watch text via wwa page | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=aly&wwa=winter%20storm%20watch][NWS Buffalo – WWA summary | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=buf&wwa=all][NWS Mount Holly briefing (PDF) | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf][NWS Burlington | https://www.weather.gov/btv/][NWS Cheyenne – WWA/HWO text | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=unr&wwa=all] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The primary focus of this podcast episode is the severe winter weather conditions affecting the upper Midwest and Great Lakes region, which are anticipated to create hazardous travel scenarios during the holiday period. The National Weather Service has issued blizzard and winter storm warnings, particularly for parts of Michigan's Upper Peninsula, with expectations of dangerous travel due to whiteouts and wind gusts reaching 40 to 50 miles per hour. Additionally, heavy lake effect snow is forecasted through Thanksgiving, while other regions, such as Hawaii, have experienced seismic activity, including a magnitude 4.6 earthquake. Furthermore, it is essential for residents affected by Typhoon Halong in Alaska to be aware of impending deadlines for federal assistance, specifically noting that they have until December 22 to apply for aid. This episode serves to inform listeners of critical weather updates and safety recommendations in light of these significant meteorological events.Takeaways:* The National Weather Service has issued blizzard and winter storm warnings for Michigan's Upper Peninsula, indicating severe weather conditions. * Travel during the holiday season may be perilous due to blizzard conditions, with whiteouts and gusts reaching 40 to 50 miles per hour. * It is crucial for residents in affected areas to apply for disaster assistance by December 22, to secure necessary support. * Heavy lake effect snow is anticipated through Thanksgiving, yet minimal flood risk is expected nationwide, as per the Weather Prediction Center. * The recent earthquake in Hawaii was recorded at a magnitude of 4.6, but no tsunami warning has been issued for this inland quake. * Various states are experiencing winter weather warnings, particularly in the northern regions, with significant snowfall projected. Sources[NWS | https://www.weather.gov/][WPC | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.php][NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atl=][USGS | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/hv74837442][FEMA | https://www.fema.gov/press-release/20251126/one-month-later-state-federal-support-crosses-41-million][USGS | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/hv74837442][NWS Chicago AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=LOT&product=AFD&site=LOT][NWS Marquette Blizzard Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=MIZ002&product1=Blizzard+Warning][NWS Grand Rapids | https://www.weather.gov/grr/][WPC Heavy Snow/Icing Discussion | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.php][NWS Twin Cities | https://www.weather.gov/mpx/][NWS Duluth WWA + DSS packet | https://www.weather.gov/dlh/],[https://www.weather.gov/media/dlh/DssPacket.pdf][NWS Great Falls WWA | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=byz&wwa=winter+weather+advisory][NWS Missoula Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=46.8618743542192&lon=-114.0166257347891][NWS Buffalo Hazardous Weather Outlook/Headlines | https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFHWOBUF][NWS Cleveland AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=CLE&product=AFD&site=CLE][NWS CLE hazard page (Jefferson example with active warnings) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?textField1=41.4797&textField2=-81.6785][NWS Cleveland—PA Lake Effect Snow Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=PAZ001&product1=Lake+Effect+Snow+Warning][NWS Duluth WWA | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=dlh&wwa=winter%20storm%20warning][NWS Cheyenne | https://www.weather.gov/cys/] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

This podcast episode provides critical weather updates, emphasizing the imminent winter storm warnings and advisories affecting regions from the eastern Dakotas to northern Wisconsin. We elucidate the potential for heavy snowfall accompanied by gusty winds, which is expected to persist through the night and into Wednesday. Furthermore, we address the severe weather risks in southeast Mississippi and east-central Alabama, where damaging winds and possible tornadoes may pose significant threats. High wind warnings are also in effect for the Nebraska Panhandle and southeast Wyoming, highlighting the dangerous conditions for high-profile vehicles. As we navigate through these forecasts, we remain committed to keeping our listeners informed about the evolving weather scenarios across the nation.Takeaways:* The National Weather Service has issued winter storm warnings across multiple states, indicating severe weather conditions. * Severe storms are predicted in southeast Mississippi today, with potential for damaging winds and tornadoes. * High wind warnings are currently in effect for regions in southeast Wyoming and the Nebraska Panhandle. * Gale warnings are expected on Lake Huron, with conditions deteriorating significantly from Wednesday through Friday. * Winter weather advisories are prevalent, predicting significant snowfall in parts of Minnesota and northern Wisconsin. * Travel disruptions are anticipated due to extreme weather conditions affecting various regions across the United States. Sources[USGS Latest Earthquakes | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/][NWS Birmingham | https://www.weather.gov/bmx/][NOAA SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1][NWS Honolulu Surf Forecast | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF][NWS Honolulu AFD | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/AFD][NWS Detroit/USCG Port Huron | https://www.weather.gov/dtx/USCG_PortHuron][NWS Detroit AFD Key Messages | https://www.weather.gov/dtx/ExpertForecastOpinionAFD][NWS Twin Cities | https://www.weather.gov/mpx/][NWS Duluth | https://www.weather.gov/dlh/][NWS WWA Summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+storm+warning][NOAA SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1][NWS Cheyenne WWA | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=cys&wwa=all][WYDOT I-80 Travel | https://www.wyoroad.info/pls/Browse/WRR.RoutesResults?SelectedRoute=I80][NWS Buffalo HWO | https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFHWOBUF][NWS Buffalo Great Lakes Marine | https://www.weather.gov/buf/GLFTable][NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Duluth | https://www.weather.gov/dlh/][NWS WWA Summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+storm+warning][NWS Cheyenne High Wind | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=cys&wwa=high+wind+warning][WYDOT I-80 Travel | https://www.wyoroad.info/pls/Browse/WRR.RoutesResults?SelectedRoute=I80] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Show Notes: The Ethics of TriageEpisode Summary:In this episode of the Emergency Management Network, hosts Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott dive into the ethical dimensions of triage decision-making in emergency management. When resources are scarce and lives hang in the balance, how do practitioners decide who receives what—and when? They explore the moral, operational, and community implications of triage: from the utilitarian drive to save the most lives to justice, equity, and the dignity of every individual. The discussion moves beyond clinical mass-casualty triage into the broader realm of emergency management: how we allocate responders, infrastructure support, and logistics under constraint.Topics Covered:* The concept of triage in disasters: not just medical, but resource and operational prioritization.* Ethical frameworks in triage: utilitarianism (greatest good), justice/fairness, respect for persons.* Application for emergency management: when first responders, shelters, infrastructure, and logistics compete for scarce resources.* Procedural and decision-making ethics: transparency, criteria, fairness, documentation, moral burden.* Scenarios and case reflections: mass-casualty incidents, pandemic strains, infrastructure failures, evacuation dilemmas.* Practical guidance: building ethical triage protocols in EM, training for moral stress, community engagement, and after-action review of ethical decisions.* Questions for reflection: How do you build trust when triage decisions must be made under pressure? How do you integrate equity and fairness? How do you support decision-makers facing moral injury?Quotable Moment:“Triage isn't just who goes first — it's who we decide we can't help right now, and that decision carries ethical weight for the entire system.” This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

A formidable storm system is currently manifesting over the Southern Plains, heralding significant meteorological developments. As we delve into the intricacies of today's weather forecast, we highlight the potential for severe storms, encompassing damaging winds, hail, and the possibility of isolated tornadoes, particularly affecting regions from eastern Texas to Louisiana and southern Arkansas. Furthermore, we anticipate a shift in the storm risk to the east on Tuesday, which will extend into the Northern Plains and upper Midwest, where winter weather conditions are expected to deteriorate travel standards through Wednesday. This episode meticulously examines the state-by-state weather updates, emphasizing the severe weather threats and winter storm advisories that may impact travel and safety. We encourage our listeners to remain vigilant and consult their local National Weather Service offices for the most current alerts and safety recommendations.Takeaways:* Today marks the onset of a significant storm system impacting the Southern Plains region. * A slight risk for severe storms exists across eastern Texas, Louisiana, and southern Arkansas. * Winter weather advisories are now in effect for the Northern Rockies and upper Midwest. * Severe thunderstorms are likely to develop in Louisiana, bringing risks of damaging winds and tornadoes. * Travel conditions are expected to deteriorate due to winter weather in central North Dakota. * A series of systems will bring rain and mountain snow to the Pacific Northwest midweek. Sources[SPC Day 1 | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NWS Little Rock briefing | https://www.weather.gov/lzk/?n=wxcntl5.htm][NWS Grand Junction AFD 1:07 AM MST | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=gjt&product=afd&site=gjt][NWS Hazard text for SW CO | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&warnzone=COZ019][SPC Day 1 | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NWS Shreveport AFD 11:18 PM CST Sun | https://www.weather.gov/shv/forecastproducts][NWS Grand Forks watch text | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=fgf&wwa=all][NWS Jackson homepage/graphics | https://www.weather.gov/jan/][NWS Jackson AFD 5:35 AM CST | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=JAN&product=AFD&site=NWS][NWS consolidated advisory text (Great Falls/Billings/Glasgow/Missoula) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+weather+advisory][NWS Bismarck HWO 3:05 AM CST | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=BIS&product=HWO&site=NWS][NWS Bismarck homepage (active watches) | https://www.weather.gov/bis/][NWS Portland AFD 2:17 AM PST | https://a.atmos.washington.edu/data/disc_report.html#1][NWS Portland Watches/Advisories excerpt | https://a.atmos.washington.edu/data/disc_report.html#1][SPC Day 1 | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NWS Houston/Galveston briefing | https://www.weather.gov/hgx/][NWS Seattle AFD 3:26 AM PST | https://a.atmos.washington.edu/data/disc_report.html#0] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Today, we address the elevated risk profile resulting from a slow-moving western storm that encompasses the desert Southwest and the Southern Plains. Flood watches and warnings have been issued across parts of Arizona, southeast California, and southern Nevada as persistent rainfall continues to impact these regions. Additionally, southern Utah is experiencing mountain snow, while parts of North Texas through Oklahoma are under a marginal risk for severe storms, which may include damaging winds and hail. We also note that Hawaii's Big Island summits remain under a winter weather advisory due to anticipated wintry conditions. As we navigate these varied weather phenomena, we emphasize the importance of remaining situationally aware and prepared for potential hazards.Takeaways:* A slow-moving western storm significantly elevates the risk profile across multiple states today. * Flood watches are currently in effect across parts of Arizona, California, and Nevada due to persistent rain. * Southern Utah is under a winter weather advisory with ongoing mountain snow expected to impact travel. * Texas has activated emergency resources in anticipation of heavy rain and flooding threats over the coming days. * The Storm Prediction Center has designated a marginal risk for severe weather from North Texas to southern Missouri. * Hawaii's Big Island summits continue to face winter weather advisories due to potential snowfall and icy conditions. Sources[NWS Phoenix/Flagstaff/Las Vegas | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=psr&wwa=all][NWS Salt Lake City | https://www.weather.gov/slc/][SPC Day 1 | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc][NWS Honolulu AFD | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/AFD][USGS — Past Day Quakes | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=64.39694%2C320.09766&extent=7.62389%2C179.47266&magnitude=all&timeZone=utc][NWS Phoenix | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=psr&wwa=all][NWS Flagstaff | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=psr&wwa=all][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard | https://www.weather.gov/lox/][NWS San Diego | https://www.weather.gov/sgx/][NWS Las Vegas — Flood products incl. Inyo CA | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=psr&wwa=all][NWS Las Vegas — Warnings/Advisories | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=psr&wwa=all][NWS Salt Lake City — Winter Weather Advisory | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=psr&wwa=all][TDEM Press Release (Nov 18) | https://www.tdem.texas.gov/press-release/11-18-25][SPC Day 1 Outlook | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][SPC Day 1 Outlook | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NWS Norman — hazards briefing | https://www.weather.gov/oun/?n=spotter-referencematerials][NWS Wichita | https://www.weather.gov/ict/][SPC Day 1 Outlook | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NWS Cheyenne | https://www.weather.gov/cys/?wfo=cys][NWS Honolulu AFD | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/AFD][NWS Honolulu — WWA/Marine | https://www.weather.gov/hfo] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The primary focus of today's briefing is the current weather conditions across the United States, particularly the anticipated storm system that is expected to bring substantial precipitation to California and the Pacific Northwest. I report that there are no active tropical cyclones in either the Atlantic or Pacific basins, nor is any formation expected in the forthcoming week. Additionally, wildfire activity remains low nationally, with only a significant incident reported in Arizona, where the Stanford Fire continues to be monitored. Furthermore, I highlight the establishment of resource centers in Alaska to assist survivors of recent storms, underscoring the ongoing recovery efforts in affected areas. As we assess the current seismic activity, I note that no damaging earthquakes have been reported, reflecting a period of relative stability in that regard.Takeaways:* The National Hurricane Center reports no active tropical cyclones across the Atlantic or Pacific basins, indicating a period of calm in these regions. * Heavy precipitation is anticipated in California and the Pacific Northwest, necessitating awareness of potential winter weather impacts in elevated terrains. * Wildfire activity in the United States remains at a preparedness level of one, with only a single significant incident reported in Arizona. * Alaska's State Emergency Operations center is actively supporting survivors of the 2025 West Coast storm through a multi-agency resource center in Anchorage. * A quick-moving winter storm is currently affecting the Sierra Nevada region of California, prompting winter storm warnings for high elevation areas. * Montana is experiencing high wind warnings that are set to remain in effect throughout the day, particularly in the north-central region. Sources[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/][WPC | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml][NIFC | https://www.nifc.gov/fire-information/nfn][USGS Latest | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?range=day][AK DHS&EM (MARC) | https://ready.alaska.gov/Documents/PIO/PressReleases/2025.11.13_Press%20Release%20-%20%20West%20Coast%20Storm%20Muilti%20Agency%20Resource%20Center%20Egan.pdf][AK DHS&EM (Bethel DAC) | https://ready.alaska.gov/Documents/PIO/PressReleases/2025.11.05_Press%20Release%20-%20%20Disaster%20Assistance%20Center%20Opens%20in%20Bethel%20Nov%205..pdf][NIFC National Fire News (Nov. 13 update) | https://www.nifc.gov/fire-information/nfn][NWS Sierra Warning example | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=36.7877&lon=-118.6561][Cal OES (pre-deployment) | https://news.caloes.ca.gov/governor-newsom-pre-deploys-emergency-resources-to-southern-california-ahead-of-storms/][WPC outlook | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml][NWS Great Falls (example hazard page) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=47.55561&lon=-112.67737] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The primary focus of today's discourse pertains to the impending atmospheric conditions that are anticipated to impact various regions across the western United States, particularly California. A rapidly advancing atmospheric river is expected to instigate flood watch conditions spanning from the Yosemite Valley and Sierra foothills into the Southern Cascades, while a robust onshore flow will generate wind advisories within the Sacramento Valley and inclement winter weather in the High Sierra. Furthermore, the Weather Prediction Center has indicated a significant likelihood of flash flooding across central Northern California, particularly in urban areas. In addition, the episode delineates the potential hazards of rock falls and debris flows in proximity to recently burned areas, emphasizing the manifold risks associated with these weather patterns. As we navigate through these forecasts, we remain committed to providing timely and pertinent information to ensure the safety and preparedness of our listeners.Takeaways:* The atmospheric river is bringing significant flood watch conditions across various regions in California. * Flash flooding is highly probable in central Northern California, particularly in urban areas today. * Winter storm warnings are in effect for Mono County, predicting hazardous travel conditions. * High surf advisories are in place for Hawaii's east-facing shores, with surf reaching heights of 14 feet. * Nevada is experiencing expanded winter headlines, indicating severe weather near the Sierra front. * Coastal regions of Oregon and Washington are under small craft advisories due to rough sea conditions. Sources[NWS/WPC MPD | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=1221&yr=2025][NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/][SPC Day 1 Outlook | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=JKL&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&format=txt&version=1][NWS/WPC MPD | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=1221&yr=2025][NWS Hanford — Flood Watch | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=HNX&product=ZFP&site=NWS][NWS Sacramento — Advisories | https://www.weather.gov/sto/][NWS Reno — Winter Storm Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=CAZ073&warncounty=CAC051&firewxzone=CAZ274][NWS Los Angeles — Surf/Rip Current | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=LOX&product=SRF][NWS Honolulu —Watches/Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/watchwarn][Hawaii News Now — Advisory extended | https://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/2025/11/12/high-surf-advisory-extended-east-shores/][NWS Reno — Warning/Advisories | https://www.weather.gov/rev/][NWS Reno — Winter Storm Warning text | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=REV&product=WSW&site=rev][NWS Portland — Watches/Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NWS Medford — Wind Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/zipcity.php?inputstring=Medford%2COR][NWS Seattle — Marine AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=sew&product=AFD&site=sew][NWS Marine — East Entrance Strait (PZZ132) | https://marine.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=pzz132]) National Weather Service+1] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The salient point of this podcast episode is the report of a severe geomagnetic storm that reached G4 intensity, which may lead to potential disruptions in GPS and HF radio communications, as well as the possibility of auroras in high latitude regions. We also discuss the absence of tropical cyclones in both the Atlantic and Pacific regions, indicating a lack of immediate concern in those areas. Additionally, we note that the Storm Prediction Center has not identified any severe thunderstorm risks across the United States, although there may be isolated, non-severe thunderstorms in northern California. Winter weather remains a significant focus, particularly with lake effect snow tapering in the eastern Great Lakes and new winter storm warnings in effect for parts of the western states. We will continue to monitor the impacts of the geomagnetic storm and the evolving winter hazards across the regions of concern.The current episode delves into the intricate phenomena of geomagnetic storms, particularly focusing on the recent severe G4 intensity storm reported by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. This storm has significant implications for high latitude regions, where it is expected to affect GPS functionality and high-frequency (HF) radio communications, alongside the enchanting possibility of auroral displays for those fortunate enough to have clear skies. The episode meticulously illustrates the nuances of these atmospheric disturbances, providing listeners with a comprehensive understanding of how such solar activities intertwine with terrestrial weather patterns. Moreover, the discussion encompasses the broader context of winter weather forecasts, emphasizing the tapering of lake effect snow in the eastern Great Lakes and the impending mountain snow events in the western states, thus painting a multifaceted picture of the current meteorological landscape.In addition to the geomagnetic disturbances, the episode offers insights into the ongoing winter weather advisories. Specifically, it highlights the persistent lake effect snow impacting Michigan and the Eastern Lake Ontario region, with detailed forecasts predicting additional accumulation in specified areas. The narrative progresses to include important updates from various state weather services, underscoring the operational readiness of utilities and transportation authorities in light of these extreme weather conditions. Throughout the discussion, the hosts maintain a focus on safety and preparedness, urging listeners to stay informed and vigilant as they navigate the complexities of the current weather situation.The episode culminates in a thorough examination of the meteorological outlook, with hosts reiterating the significance of monitoring geomagnetic storm impacts and evolving winter hazards across the nation. By drawing connections between solar activities and terrestrial weather phenomena, this episode not only informs but also educates its audience about the intricate interplay of forces that govern our weather systems, leaving listeners with a richer appreciation for the complexities of nature.Takeaways:* The NOAA reported a severe geomagnetic storm reaching G4 intensity, impacting high latitude regions. * Aurora visibility is expected in high latitude areas, along with potential GPS and HF radio issues. * The National Hurricane Center indicates no tropical cyclones are active in the Atlantic or Pacific regions. * Weather conditions in the eastern Great Lakes involve tapering winter lake effect snow this morning. * Utilities and pipeline operators maintain a routine mitigation posture amid the ongoing winter hazards. * No significant earthquakes were reported in Alaska and California over the past day, ensuring regional stability. Sources[SWPC | https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/severe-geomagnetic-storm-level-g4-reached-11012025][NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/][SPC | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][USGS | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?timeZone=utc&extent=7.62389,179.47266&extent=64.39694,320.09766&magnitude=all][NWS Sacramento (Sierra) | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sto&wwa=all][NWS Eureka (NW CA winds/mtn snow) | https://www.weather.gov/eka/][Caltrans QuickMap | https://quickmap.dot.ca.gov/][Caltrans Road Conditions (I-80 example) | https://roads.dot.ca.gov/?roadnumber=80][NWS Gaylord briefing page (updated today) | https://www.weather.gov/apx][NWS Buffalo Advisory 6:36 AM EST Wed Nov 12 | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=Winter%20Weather%20Advisory][TripCheck—North/Sw OR regional road conditions (updatedearly AM) | https://www.tripcheck.com/DynamicReports/Report/RoadConditions/4][TripCheck—SW OR conditions & snow-zone segments | https://www.tripcheck.com/DynamicReports/Report/RoadConditions/7][TripCheck NOAA Pass Forecasts (Cascades of Lane Co.) | https://www.tripcheck.com/DynamicReports/Report/NoaaForecasts/5][NWS Seattle—Winter Storm Warning text (Cascades) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=SEW&wwa=winter%20storm%20warning][WSDOT Pass Reports hub | https://wsdot.com/travel/real-time/mountain-pass-reports];[NOAA—Stevens Pass forecast | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=47.7462&lon=-121.0859] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

This podcast episode delivers a comprehensive overview of the significant meteorological events occurring on Veterans Day, November 11, 2025. A pronounced cold snap has instigated freeze and hard freeze warnings across various regions, notably in the Southeast, including Georgia and parts of Florida. Additionally, the episode elucidates the aftermath of substantial lake effect snow events in the Great Lakes region, which have resulted in hazardous commuting conditions due to slick roads. Furthermore, the podcast highlights critical fire weather advisories in South Central and South Texas, emphasizing the persistent threat posed by low humidity and gusty winds. As we navigate through the intricacies of the weather patterns affecting multiple states, we aim to inform and prepare our listeners for the challenges posed by these climatic phenomena.Takeaways:* On this Veterans Day, we observe a significant cold snap impacting the Southeast region. * Winter storm watches are in effect for the Sierra, signaling impending adverse travel conditions. * FEMA has established mobile disaster recovery centers to assist storm survivors in Missouri this week. * Critical fire weather warnings are issued for South Texas due to low humidity and high winds. * Northern Arizona is preparing for prescribed burns, which may produce smoke in nearby areas. * A widespread freeze is affecting much of north central Georgia, with temperatures dropping significantly. Sources[Arizona Emergency Information Network] Arizona Department of Economic Security[NWS Las Vegas (CAZ519 watch text)] National Weather Service[NWS Reno — storm watch timing] NationalWeather Service[NWS San Diego — hazards] NationalWeather Service[NWS Tallahassee — hazards] NationalWeather Service[NWS Tallahassee — AFD with freeze/wind chill details] National Weather Service[NWS Tallahassee — cold weather advisory text] National Weather Service[NWS Atlanta/Peachtree City — freeze graphics] NationalWeather Service[NWS Atlanta — point forecast showing Freeze Warning timing]National Weather Service+1[NWS Atlanta — Cold Weather Advisory text] preview-forecast.weather.gov[NWS Chicago — lake-effect event page] National Weather Service[NWS Northern Indiana — DSS packet PDF] National Weather Service[NWS Detroit/Pontiac — event summary] National Weather Service[NWS Detroit — AFD with advisory/marine notes] National Weather Service[FEMA — DRCs opening in seven counties] FEMA[KFVS — schedule/locations roundup] https://www.kfvs12.com[KY3 — Ozarks openings update] https://www.ky3.com[NWS Great Falls — hazards overview] NationalWeather Service[NWS point forecast — Stanford, MT High Wind Warning timing]National Weather Service[NWS Reno — Winter Storm Watch] NationalWeather Service[NM Fire Info — Cibola prescribed burns] NM Fire Info[NWS Charlotte point forecast — Freeze Warning] National Weather Service[NWS Morehead City — Freeze Warning in effect] National Weather Service[Central Oregon Fire Info — prescribed fire updates] CentralOregon Fire Information[NWS Austin/San Antonio — Red Flag Warning] NationalWeather Service[NWS AFD — Red Flag rationale/timing] National Weather Service[NWS Laredo point forecast — Red Flag 10a–6p] National Weather Service[NWS Cheyenne — High Wind Warning text] National Weather Service This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The predominant focus of today's broadcast revolves around the critical fire weather conditions affecting several regions, particularly the Florida Panhandle and parts of Louisiana and Mississippi. We delineate the issuance of red flag warnings, which signify elevated fire risks due to gusty winds and arid humidity levels, thereby underscoring the potential for rapid fire spread should any ignition occur. Additionally, we address the impending freeze conditions anticipated across central and northern Texas, coupled with the dense fog advisories along the southern California coastline, which are significantly impairing visibility. Furthermore, we report on ongoing firefighting efforts in Virginia and West Virginia, where substantial progress has been made in containing wildfires. It is imperative that we remain vigilant and heed the warnings issued by meteorological authorities to ensure safety amidst these hazardous conditions.Takeaways:* The United States Marine Corps celebrates its 250th birthday today, marking a significant historical milestone. * Critical fire weather conditions are present, particularly in parts of the Florida Panhandle and southeast Mississippi. * Gusty northwest winds combined with low humidity create an environment conducive to rapid fire spread. * Dense fog advisories are in effect along the southern California coast, severely limiting visibility. * A widespread freeze is anticipated tonight, impacting central and northern regions significantly. * Fire crews are actively engaged in mopping up two fires in Virginia, with varying degrees of containment reported. Sponsor MentionFloodMapp - https://go.emnmedia.com/EMNFloodMappSources[NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard & San Diego | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lox&wwa=all][NWS Jacksonville | https://www.weather.gov/jax/][NWS Tallahassee | https://www.weather.gov/tae/][NWS Warnings (national RFW roundup) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning][NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge AFD & Hazards | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?glossary=1&issuedby=LIX&product=AFD&site=MOB][NWS Warnings (national RFW roundup) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning][NWS Warnings (national RFW roundup) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning][NWS Jackson | https://www.weather.gov/jan/][NWS Houston/Galveston | https://www.weather.gov/hgx/][WDBJ7 | https://www.wdbj7.com/2025/11/09/bald-mountain-wildfire-chars-2200-acres/][WV MetroNews | https://wvmetronews.com/2025/11/09/crews-gaining-some-ground-on-pendleton-county-forest-fire/] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The principal focus of this briefing is the ongoing river flooding affecting Washington's Skokamish River, which has escalated to moderate flooding, resulting in significant impacts on local infrastructure. I, Cedric, present this EM Morning Brief for Friday, November 7, 2025, in which I will outline various critical weather advisories and hazardous conditions across multiple states. High winds are currently impacting travel along Wyoming's I-80 and parts of Montana, while winter weather advisories persist in both Alaska and Southwest Montana. Additionally, the coastal regions of California are under advisories for high surf and coastal flooding, posing risks to small craft and recreational activities. This report aims to provide essential updates for emergency management and public safety in the face of these diverse weather challenges.Takeaways:* The current weather conditions indicate severe river flooding along Washington's Skokamish River, necessitating awareness. * High winds are impacting travel and safety across Wyoming's I-80 and adjacent regions in Montana. * Winter weather advisories are in effect for multiple regions, including Alaska and parts of the Pacific Northwest. * Small craft advisories have been issued along California's coastal areas due to hazardous surf conditions. * The U.S. Geological Survey reports routine seismic activity across the United States, indicating stable conditions. * FEMA has updated disaster recovery information for Hurricane-affected areas, providing essential resources for survivors. Links referenced in this episode:* FloodMap (Sponsor, EMN)Companies mentioned in this episode:* FloodMap (Sponsor, EMN)* FEMA Sources[USGS Latest Earthquakes (Past Day) | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-0.35156%2C173.84766&extent=67.64268%2C325.72266&magnitude=all&timeZone=utc][NWS Anchorage Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+weather+advisory][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard Coastal/Surf Advisories | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lox&wwa=all][NWS Denver/Boulder HWO | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=bou&wwa=hazardous+weather+outlook][NWS Mount Holly CWF/Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=PHI&product=CWF&site=PHI][NWS Baltimore/Washington Freeze/Frost | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=all][NWS Great Falls Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=tfx&wwa=winter+weather+advisory][NWS (West Glacier) High Wind Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=48.600584&lon=-113.722616][NWS Mount Holly Marine Forecast | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=PHI&product=CWF&site=PHI][NWS New York (NY Harbor) SCA | https://forecast.weather.gov/shmrn.php?mz=anz338&syn=anz300][NWS Portland Marine AFD/Warnings | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=PQR&product=AFD&site=pqr][FEMA DR-4798 (Updated Nov 7) | https://www.fema.gov/disaster/4798][NWS Seattle Flood Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=flood+warning][NWS Cheyenne High Wind Warning | https://www.weather.gov/cys/highwind][NWS Point Forecast (Granite Canon WY) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?site=CYS&map.x=186&map.y=230] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The salient point of our discussion today revolves around the significant weather events currently impacting various regions across the United States. We commence with the early season influences from the Pacific, which have resulted in heavy rainfall and mountain snow in the Northwest and Northern California, alongside coastal hazards affecting Oregon and the Bay Area. Furthermore, the Northeast is experiencing the aftermath of a strong cold front, characterized by brisk winds that have led to scattered outages and downed limbs in Connecticut. Additionally, Alaska's marine zones are grappling with severe freezing conditions and gale warnings, while Hawaii is under a high surf advisory, posing risks to coastal activities. We conclude with an overview of the broader weather landscape, noting the absence of active cyclones in the tropics, thus providing a comprehensive summary of the current meteorological challenges.Takeaways:* The Pacific Northwest is experiencing early season impacts, including heavy rain and mountain snow.* Connecticut has reported scattered outages and downed limbs following overnight wind bursts.* A high surf advisory is in effect for Hawaii, affecting north and east facing shores.* Coastal hazards and minor flooding are anticipated around the Bay Area during high tide periods.* Strong winds and hazardous marine conditions are expected in Long Island Sound this morning.* Minor flooding is possible in Oregon due to ongoing coastal flood warnings and high surf advisories.Sources[NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NWS San Francisco/Monterey | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/][NWS Boston Weather Story | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory][CTInsider | https://www.ctinsider.com/weather/article/ct-road-closures-thursday-storm-damage-21142460.php][NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc][NWS Honolulu Watches/Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/watchwarn][NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml][USGS Latest Earthquakes (Past Day) | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/][NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc][NWS “Heavy Freezing Spray Warning” summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=Heavy+Freezing+Spray+Warning][NWS San Francisco/Monterey | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/][NWS Sacramento | https://www.weather.gov/sto/][CTInsider | https://www.ctinsider.com/weather/article/ct-road-closures-thursday-storm-damage-21142460.php][NWS Boston Weather Story | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory][NWS Honolulu Watches/Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/watchwarn][NWS Honolulu Surf Forecast | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF][NWS Boston Weather Story | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory][Boston 25 News advisory roundup | https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/weather-alert-high-wind-warnings-watches-posted-mass-gusts-up-60-mph/3K2HHB44KBA7HDIREZHE47LVNY/][NWS Great Falls | https://www.weather.gov/tfx/][NWS New York, NY | https://www.weather.gov/okx/][PIX11 via Yahoo — wind impacts roundup | https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/strong-damaging-winds-cause-chaos-111326054.html][NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NWS Medford (hazards & high surf) | https://www.weather.gov/mfr/][NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Seattle AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=SEW&product=AFD&site=SEW] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The prevailing meteorological conditions today warrant significant attention, as a formidable Pacific atmospheric river continues to inundate the Northwestern region of the United States. With the advent of heavy precipitation, coupled with mountain snow and elevated surf conditions, we must remain vigilant regarding the potential for localized flooding and hazardous weather. The National Weather Service has issued flash flood risks, particularly along the northern California and southwestern Oregon coastlines, extending through Thursday morning. Moreover, high wind warnings are in effect, suggesting that residents should prepare for potential power outages and hazardous conditions. As we navigate through these tumultuous weather patterns, I urge all listeners to remain informed and take necessary precautions for their safety.Takeaways:* The Northwest is currently experiencing a significant atmospheric river, resulting in heavy precipitation and hazardous conditions.* Coastal areas in Northern California and Southwest Oregon face a marginal risk of flash flooding through Thursday morning.* High wind warnings and marine gale headlines are issued across multiple states, indicating dangerous weather conditions.* Preparedness for power outages and tree damage is advised due to anticipated adverse weather impacts this evening.* Severe weather warnings extend into New England, with expected wind gusts reaching up to 65 mph overnight.* Winter weather advisories are in effect for mountainous regions in Montana, signaling potential snow and reduced visibility.Sources[WPC | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr][SPC | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NWS Boston | https://www.weather.gov/box/][NWS Gray (ME) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/][USGS Latest Earthquakes (Past Day) | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?baseLayer=terrain&format=dyfi&listOnlyShown=true&range=search&search=%7B%22starttime%22%3A%22-1+day%22%2C%22producttype%22%3A%22dyfi%22%2C%22orderby%22%3A%22time%22%7D][NOAA Marine FZAK52 | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZAK52.PAFC.html][NWS Eureka hazards & ZFP | https://www.weather.gov/eka/][Cal OES pre-deployment update, Nov 4 | https://news.caloes.ca.gov/governor-newsom-pre-deploys-emergency-resources-ahead-of-significant-storm-impacts-in-northern-california/][NWS Gray (GYX) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/][NWS Caribou (CAR) | https://www.weather.gov/car/][NWS Boston/Norton main page | https://www.weather.gov/box/][NWS Boston “Weather Story” | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory][NWS Detroit/Pontiac — USCG Sector Detroit marine dashboard| https://www.weather.gov/dtx/uscg_sectordetroit][NWS Billings WWA | https://www.weather.gov/byz/][NWS Great Falls | https://www.weather.gov/tfx/][NWS Gray (covers NH) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/][NWS Albany | https://www.weather.gov/aly/][NWS Marine — South of Long Island ANZ815 | https://forecast.weather.gov/shmrn.php?mz=anz815&syn=anz898][NWS Cleveland Quick Brief/Advisories | https://www.weather.gov/cle/quick_brief][NWS Cleveland Marine | https://www.weather.gov/cle/marine_forecast][NWS Medford hazards | https://www.weather.gov/mfr/][Medford High Surf/Coastal Flood text | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?product1=Coastal+Flood+Watch&warnzone=ORZ021&lat=43.6598&lon=-124.1928][NWS Burlington | https://www.weather.gov/btv/][NWS Seattle hazards | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Flood Watch text (Mason Co.) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=flood+watch] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The primary focus of today's discussion revolves around the absence of cyclonic activity in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific regions, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. The forecast indicates a period devoid of significant weather developments over the ensuing week, thereby suggesting limited severe weather potential. We also delve into the implications of a robust Pacific weather pattern, which is expected to generate marine gales and coastal hazards along the coasts of Washington and Oregon, while issuing wind advisories and coastal flood warnings for the San Francisco Bay area. Additionally, we address elevated fire weather concerns in the High Plains, particularly in western Nebraska and southwest South Dakota, where critical fire conditions are forecasted. In conclusion, we provide an overview of the current weather advisories across various states, emphasizing the importance of remaining vigilant amidst these conditions.Takeaways:* The National Hurricane Center currently reports no cyclones in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific regions.* Severe weather potential remains limited today, with only routine thunder chances noted out west.* A magnitude 4.0 earthquake was recorded south of Kotzebue, Alaska, prompting automatic aftershock monitoring.* California is under a Wind Advisory and a multi-day Coastal Flood advisory for the San Francisco Bay area.* Critical fire weather warnings are in effect for parts of western Nebraska and southwest South Dakota today.* Gale warnings are issued for Washington coastal waters due to high winds and significant seas.Sources[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/][NHC EPac | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOEP+shtml/041124_MIATWOEP.shtml][SPC Day 1 | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NWS SF Bay Zone Hazards | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=CAZ508][NWS Red Flag Summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning][USGS Event | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/ak025e5h93e7][NWS SF MapClick (San Francisco) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=37.7771&lon=-122.4196][NWS Bay Area WFO | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/][NWS Alberton MT MapClick | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?textField1=47.09982&textField2=-114.42633][NWS Montana statewide hazards | https://www.weather.gov/byz/montana_statewide_information][NWS Red Flag Summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning][NWS North Platte AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=LBF&product=AFD&site=LBF&format=ci&version=1][NWS Portland WFO | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NWS Portland WWA summary | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pqr&wwa=all][NWS Rapid City — Red Flag Warning | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=unr&wwa=all][NWS Burlington HWO | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=btv&wwa=hazardous+weather+outlook][NWS Seattle WFO | https://www.weather.gov/sew/], [KSEW Marine Gale Warning text | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sew&wwa=all] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Episode SummaryIn this thought-provoking episode, Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott explore “The Myth of Control”—a concept that challenges one of the most fundamental assumptions in emergency management: that we can control chaos. Drawing from philosophy, leadership theory, and real-world emergency operations, they unpack how the illusion of control shapes decisions, policies, and leadership under pressure.The hosts discuss the paradox that while control provides comfort and structure, it can also lead to rigidity and tunnel vision during crises. They explore the balance between preparedness and adaptability, and how embracing uncertainty can make leaders—and organizations—more resilient.Listeners will leave with a deeper understanding of why humility, trust, and systems thinking are essential for navigating disasters' unpredictable nature.Key Talking Points* What “control” means in emergency management and why it's an illusion.* The difference between command and influence in crisis leadership.* Stoic and philosophical insights on accepting uncertainty and focusing on what can be controlled.* How overconfidence and bureaucratic rigidity undermine effective response.* Real-world examples where flexibility outperformed strict adherence to plans.* Building cultures that prioritize adaptability, learning, and empowerment over control.* Emotional intelligence, trust, and psychological safety are essential in EOC leadership.* Practical strategies for letting go—trusting your team, systems, and training.Quotes to Remember“Control is the myth we tell ourselves to feel safe in the storm.” – Todd DeVoe“In crisis leadership, it's not about controlling every variable—it's about influencing outcomes through people.” – Dan ScottAbout the HostsTodd DeVoe, CEM, is the Editor-in-Chief of the Emergency Management Network and the Emergency Management Coordinator for the City of Inglewood.Dan Scott, CEM, is a regional emergency management leader and co-host of the EMN Podcast, bringing decades of operational experience and mentorship to the discussion.Listen & SubscribeAvailable on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and wherever you get your podcasts.Subscribe to the Emergency Management Network Newsletter for leadership insights, policy analysis, and community resilience stories. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The salient point of today's discussion pertains to the impending adverse weather conditions across various states as a fast-moving cold front approaches the Northeast. We elucidate the potential ramifications of this meteorological phenomenon, including gusty winds and scattered showers, which are anticipated to affect numerous regions. Furthermore, we highlight the marine gales and the resultant hazardous surf conditions on the Great Lakes and Gulf of Maine, as well as the marginal flood risks in western Washington and northwest Oregon. Our analysis extends to specific states, detailing the surf hazards in California and the gale conditions prevalent in Michigan and Ohio. As we conclude, we emphasize the importance of remaining vigilant and informed as these weather patterns develop.Takeaways:* A fast-moving cold front is expected to sweep through the Northeast today, bringing gusty winds and scattered showers.* Marine gales and rough surf conditions are anticipated on the Great Lakes and Gulf of Maine due to the approaching weather system.* A marginal flood risk persists over parts of western Washington and northwest Oregon as a wet Pacific pattern commences.* Residents of Mason County should prepare for potential river rises later in the week, particularly on the Skokomish River.* In California, hazardous surf conditions are anticipated as a strengthening Pacific system begins to affect the Bay Area today.* Marine hazards are prevalent across multiple states, including gale conditions and significant wave heights on regional lakes.Sources[NWS | https://www.weather.gov/][WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero][NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/][USGS Earthquake Feeds | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/feed/][NWS Bay Area hazard page | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/][NWS AFDMTR 4:05 AM PST Nov 3 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&product=AFD&issuedby=MTR][NDBC Marine Forecast KMTR | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS56.KMTR.html][SFGATE forecast update, published today | https://www.sfgate.com/weather/article/bay-area-widespread-rain-thunder-wind-weather-21134293.php][NWS Gray ME hazards | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/][NWS Boston/BOX marine hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/box/marine][NWS Detroit AFD 4:46 AM EST Nov 3 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=DTX&product=AFD&issuedby=DTX][USCG/NWS Sector Detroit marine dashboard (Lake Erie waveheights/gale) | https://www.weather.gov/dtx/uscg_sectordetroit][NWS Cleveland Nearshore/LE Marine Forecast | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS61.KCLE.html][NWS Portland hazards | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NWS Marine Forecast KPQR | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS56.KPQR.html][NWS Seattle Hydrologic Outlook 3:10 AM PST Nov 3 | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=WAZ321&warncounty=WAC045&product1=Hydrologic+Outlook][WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Show Notes: EMN | IAEM Conference 2025 Preview with Duane HagelgansEpisode Title:Inside IAEM 2025: Building the Future of Emergency ManagementHost: Dan Scott, CEMGuest: Duane Hagelgans, IAEM Conference ChairDuration: ~45 minutesSummary:In this special episode of The Emergency Management Network Podcast, host Dan Scott, CEM, sits down with Duane Hagelgans, the IAEM 2025 Conference Committee Chair, to discuss what attendees can expect from this year's event in Savannah, Georgia.They dive into the conference theme, the new structure of sessions and networking opportunities, and how IAEM continues to evolve to meet the needs of today's emergency management professionals. From leadership and professional development to innovative technologies and community resilience, this conversation looks behind the curtain at how the conference is designed to educate, connect, and inspire.Listeners will also hear insights into how IAEM is modernizing its events — from interactive learning formats to a new approach to the annual awards and banquet — all aimed at creating a more engaging, inclusive, and forward-thinking experience for the EM community.Key Topics Covered:* The vision and goals behind the IAEM Conference 2025* New features, themes, and structure for this year's program* Why Louisville, KY, was chosen as the host city, and what attendees can look forward to* IAEM's focus on professional development and certification (CEM/AEM)* How conference planning incorporates feedback from members and regions* The evolution of the IAEM community — from networking to mentorship* Duane's perspective on the future of emergency management and leadership in the fieldQuotable Moment:“This conference isn't just about presentations — it's about creating a space where ideas connect, collaboration thrives, and the profession continues to grow stronger.” — Duane HagelgansConnect:* Follow IAEM: https://www.iaem.org* Learn more about the IAEM 2025 Conference: https://www.iaem.org/ConferenceSubscribe to The Emergency Management Network on all podcast platforms This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The primary focus of today's briefing is the significant and ongoing impact of a substantial fall storm across the Northeast, resulting in localized roadway and coastal flooding. As we navigate through the details of this weather event, it becomes evident that gradual improvement is anticipated later in the day. Furthermore, we must acknowledge the impending arrival of the first in a series of Pacific atmospheric rivers that is expected to affect Washington and Oregon, bringing with it rising rivers and hazardous surf conditions. Additional warnings are in effect for various coastal regions, including gale warnings and high surf advisories, as Hurricane Melissa remains situated offshore while indirectly contributing to dangerous conditions along the U.S. East Coast. It is imperative that we remain vigilant and heed advisories throughout this tumultuous weather period.On this day, the weather across the United States exhibits a multitude of phenomena, particularly a severe fall storm that is notably impacting the Northeast region. The storm has engendered localized roadway flooding and minor coastal flooding, although it is anticipated that conditions will gradually improve throughout the day. In the western territories, a significant atmospheric river is set to arrive, impacting Washington and Oregon, bringing with it rising river levels, substantial snowfall in higher elevations, and hazardous surf conditions that could endanger coastal and marine activities. Furthermore, Hurricane Melissa, while currently positioned offshore, is generating long-period swells that will reach parts of the East Coast, creating hazardous surf and rip currents that could pose threats to public safety.As we assess the specific regional forecasts, it is evident that Southern California beaches face considerable dangers due to hazardous surf and strong rip currents, as indicated by advisories from the Los Angeles Oxnard Forecast Office. The National Weather Service (NWS) Gray has also issued gale and storm warnings for the coastal waters of Maine and New Hampshire, where strong winds and rough seas are anticipated. Massachusetts continues to experience marine hazards, while New Jersey is under a coastal flood advisory, highlighting the potential for minor inundation around high tide. The New York City Metro area and the Lower Hudson Valley are similarly under wind advisories, indicating the likelihood of gusts that could cause damage and complicate travel. In Oregon, a dual concern arises with hazardous marine conditions and a strengthening atmospheric river, prompting advisories regarding high surf and potential sneaker waves. Washington is also preparing for heavy rainfall and rising stream flows as the atmospheric river makes its approach.In conclusion, while significant weather events shape the forecasts for various regions, it is noteworthy that other states report no substantial updates. The potential for severe thunderstorms is deemed low across the nation, and the SPC's Day 1 outlook indicates no organized risk areas. As we finalize this weather briefing, we emphasize the importance of safety and vigilance among our listeners, especially those in areas under advisories. Staying informed through local forecasts is essential to ensure preparedness in the face of these weather challenges.Takeaways:* The podcast discusses the ongoing soaking fall storm affecting the Northeast, which may cause localized flooding.* In the western United States, a series of Pacific atmospheric rivers is expected to arrive imminently, impacting Washington and Oregon.* Warnings have been issued for dangerous surf conditions along the U.S. East Coast due to long period swells from Hurricane Melissa.* Coastal regions in Southern California are advised to be cautious of hazardous surf and strong rip currents this weekend.* Gale warnings and storm advisories are in effect on various coastal waters as the low-pressure system moves northward.* There are currently no significant severe thunderstorm risks reported nationwide, indicating a relatively calm weather pattern elsewhere.Sources[NWS | https://www.weather.gov/phi/marine][NWS | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT5+shtml/][SPC | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=JKL&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&format=TXT&version=1][USGS | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard | https://www.weather.gov/lox/][NWS Gray/Portland | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/][NWS Boston/Norton | https://www.weather.gov/box/][NWS Mount Holly | https://www.weather.gov/phi/dss_port][NWS Mount Holly | https://www.weather.gov/phi/marine][NWS New York/Upton | https://www.weather.gov/okx/][NWS Medford | https://www.weather.gov/mfr/][NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS (national) | https://www.weather.gov/phi/marine] This is a public episode. 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ShownotesThe primary focus of today's discussion revolves around the significant impacts of Hurricane Melissa as it navigates between the central Bahamas and Bermuda, specifically highlighting the consequential marine hazards and instances of minor coastal flooding along the Mid Atlantic and Northeast coastlines. We elucidate the various advisories issued by the National Weather Service, which indicate a marginal risk of severe weather, inclusive of damaging winds and the potential for isolated tornadoes. Additionally, we examine the coastal flood advisories that have been enacted across multiple states, notably affecting areas from Delaware to New York City, where localized road closures are anticipated during high tide. Furthermore, we provide insights into the expected wind and rain events in Maine, alongside the heightened water levels observed along the Chesapeake Bay and Tidal Potomac shorelines. Our aim is to keep our audience informed and prepared as we navigate these weather phenomena.Takeaways:* The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor Hurricane Melissa as it approaches the northeastern coast.* Coastal flooding and marine hazards are expected along parts of the Mid Atlantic and Northeast today.* Advisories from the National Weather Service indicate high tides may cause localized road closures.* Gusty winds and rain are anticipated in Maine as a strong low-pressure system moves in.* Coastal flood warnings remain in effect for various regions, including parts of Maryland and New York City.* Virginia continues to experience tidal flooding, particularly in the Chesapeake Bay area.Sources[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php][SPC Day 1 | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf][NWS Baltimore/Washington coastal flooding | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lwx&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory][USGS Latest Earthquakes | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/][NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf][NWS — New Castle DE advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/zipcity.php?inputstring=19730][NWS Gray AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&highlight=off&issuedby=GYX&product=AFD&site=GYX&version=1][NWS Gray main page (hazards) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/][NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Warning (Anne Arundel) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=MDZ014&local_place1=Severn+MD&product1=Coastal+Flood+Advisory&warncounty=MDC003&warnzone=MDZ014][NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Warning (Calvert) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=MDZ018&lat=38.72&local_place1=2+Miles+WNW+North+Beach+MD&lon=-76.5658&product1=Coastal+Flood+Warning&warncounty=MDC009&warnzone=MDZ018][NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Advisory summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lwx&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory][NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf][NWS New York — Coastal Flood Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=NJZ006&local_place1=Jersey+City+NJ&product1=Heat+Advisory&warncounty=NJC017&warnzone=NJZ006][NYCEM Weather Alert (issued ~18 hours ago) | https://www.nyc.gov/site/em/about/press-releases/202510229_pr-NYCEM-Urges-NYers-to-prepare-For-Heavy-Rain.page][NWS New York — Coastal Flood Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=NYZ212&lat=40.8031&local_place1=Harlem+NY&lon=-73.93&product1=Coastal+Flood+Statement&warncounty=NYC061&warnzone=NYZ072][NWS MHX Marine | https://www.weather.gov/mhx/marine][NWS Marine Forecast FZUS52 KMHX | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS52.KMHX.html][NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf][SPC Day 1 Outlook | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Warning (St. Mary's) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=MDZ017&lat=38.1522&local_place1=Dameron+MD&lon=-76.3697&product1=Coastal+Flood+Warning&warncounty=MDC037&warnzone=MDZ017][NWS LWX — advisory summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lwx&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The salient point of this podcast episode revolves around the significant impact of Hurricane Melissa, which has made landfall in eastern Cuba as a Category 3 storm and is progressing northeastward towards the Bahamas. We meticulously delineate the potential hazards arising from this weather event, notably the elevated risk of rip currents and rough surf along the southeastern coast of the United States, particularly Florida. Additionally, the episode elaborates on various weather alerts, including a marginal flash flood risk across the Southern and Central Appalachians, as well as a potential severe weather risk in eastern North Carolina and Southeast Virginia. We also address the imminent arrival of a moderate atmospheric river in the Pacific Northwest, which is expected to bring substantial rainfall. Furthermore, we discuss FEMA's recent allocation of over $1 billion in federal funding to enhance safety measures in the host cities for the upcoming 2026 FIFA World Cup.Hurricane Melissa has emerged as a formidable force, having made landfall in eastern Cuba as a Category 3 hurricane, with its trajectory now directing it towards the Bahamas. Although the United States currently has no active watches, the ramifications of Hurricane Melissa are being felt along the southeastern coast, particularly in Florida, where the risk of rip currents and rough surf is markedly elevated. The National Weather Service has issued warnings to coastal residents and beachgoers to exercise caution due to these dangerous conditions, emphasizing the importance of heeding safety advisories during such severe weather events.In addition to the impact of Hurricane Melissa, the Weather Prediction Center has highlighted a marginal flash flood risk across the Southern and Central Appalachians, extending into the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. This is attributed to the influx of rain that is expected to saturate these regions today. Concurrently, the Storm Prediction Center has indicated a marginal severe weather risk for eastern North Carolina and Southeast Virginia, suggesting the potential for isolated severe thunderstorms later in the evening. The confluence of these weather patterns necessitates vigilant monitoring and preparedness among local residents.Furthermore, looking towards the Pacific Northwest, a moderate atmospheric river is anticipated to commence its influence on Friday and Saturday, with the Weather Prediction Center flagging a marginal flood risk for Western Washington. This is in alignment with forecasts from the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, which anticipates several days of precipitation associated with this atmospheric river event. As federal funding has also been allocated to support the infrastructure for the upcoming 2026 FIFA World Cup, the coordination between emergency management partners and local authorities has never been more crucial. Maintaining situational awareness and readiness is imperative as we navigate through this dynamic weather landscape.Takeaways:* Hurricane Melissa made landfall in Cuba and poses risks for Florida's coast today, especially due to rip currents.* A marginal flash flood risk has been issued for the Southern and Central Appalachians today, necessitating caution for residents in these regions.* FEMA has announced over $1 billion in federal funding aimed at securing host cities for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.* California is facing red flag warnings due to Santa Ana winds and low humidity, prompting pre-deployment of firefighting resources.* The Pacific Northwest will experience a moderate atmospheric river, leading to potential flooding in Western Washington later this week.* Several states, including Connecticut and New Jersey, are under marginal flood risks due to expected heavy rainfall in the upcoming days.Source[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+html/290851.html][NWS Key West | https://www.weather.gov/key/][NWS Jacksonville | https://www.weather.gov/jax/][WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr][SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1][WPC Day 3 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml][CW3E AR Outlook (Oct 28) | https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/28Oct2025_Outlook/28Oct2025_Outlook.pdf][FEMA | https://www.fema.gov/print/txt/node/705701][NWS Los Angeles | https://www.weather.gov/lox/][NWS San Diego | https://www.weather.gov/sgx/][Cal OES | https://news.caloes.ca.gov/governor-newsom-predeploys-firefighting-resources-southern-california-ahead-of-dangerous-fire-weather/][WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr][WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr][NWS Key West | https://www.weather.gov/key/][NWS Jacksonville | https://www.weather.gov/jax/][NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+html/290851.html][WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr][WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr][WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr][WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr][WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml][NWS Wilmington | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=34.2026&lon=-77.8815][NWS Topsail Beach hazards | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=NCZ106&lat=34.3696&local_place1=Topsail+Beach+NC&lon=-77.6288&product1=Beach+Hazards+Statement&warncounty=NCC141&warnzone=NCZ106][SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1][WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr][WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr][NWS Charleston | https://www.weather.gov/chs/][WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr][SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1][NWS Wakefield Briefing | https://www.weather.gov/akq/brief][WPC Day 3 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml][NWS Seattle AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=ci&glossary=1&issuedby=sew&product=afd&site=nws&version=1][WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr] This is a public episode. 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The salient point of today's discourse revolves around the dangerous heat currently gripping Southern California, accompanied by heat advisories in regions such as Los Angeles, Ventura, and San Diego. As we navigate through the weather phenomena affecting the United States, we observe that a robust cold front is advancing through southeastern Texas and coastal Louisiana, presenting a marginal risk of severe weather, including isolated strong storms. Concurrently, we note the presence of Hurricane Melissa in the Caribbean, which, while not posing an immediate threat of landfall, continues to influence surf conditions along Florida's Atlantic coastline. Additionally, various frost advisories and marine hazards are issued in states such as Connecticut and New Jersey, underscoring the diverse and challenging weather conditions that prevail across the nation. As we conclude this morning's brief, we remain vigilant in monitoring these developments and will reconvene with further updates.To provide a comprehensive overview, the episode meticulously details various advisories and warnings across different states, from California's heat advisories to Louisiana's severe storm potential. The National Weather Service's alerts detail emerging freeze warnings in Colorado, as well as frost advisories in Connecticut, which may catch residents unprepared. Furthermore, beach hazards persist along the Atlantic coast, particularly in Florida, where rip currents pose a significant risk. The episode concludes with a reminder of the importance of preparedness and awareness in the face of rapidly changing weather conditions. As we navigate these tumultuous climatic challenges, the imperative to stay safe and informed resonates profoundly.Takeaways:* Southern California is currently under dangerous heat advisories, with temperatures soaring.* A strong cold front is expected to sweep through southeast Texas, potentially bringing severe weather.* Hurricane Melissa remains a powerful system in the Caribbean, influencing surf conditions in Florida.* Numerous frost advisories are in effect across various regions, including Connecticut and Colorado.* Marine hazards are prevalent along the New Jersey coastline due to strong winds and rough seas.* No significant updates were reported from other states, indicating a stable weather pattern.Sources[NWS LOX/SGX | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=34.06076&lon=-118.23510][SPC Day 1 |https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html] [NWS LCH | https://www.weather.gov/lch/][WPC ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero][NHC Melissa | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&2025102811][USGS event | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/nc74238701][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard (Heat Advisory) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=34.06076&lon=-118.23510][NWS San Diego (WWA summary) | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sgx&wwa=all][NWS Pueblo (Freeze Warning) | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=bou&wwa=all]NWS Danbury (Frost Advisory) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=41.394817&lon=-73.454011][NWS Middletown (Frost Advisory) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=41.55&lon=-72.66][NWS Melbourne (Watches/Warnings page) | https://www.weather.gov/mlb/][FOX35 Orlando (current alerts summary citing NWS) | https://www.fox35orlando.com/weather-alerts][NWS Lake Charles (homepage hazards/marine) | https://www.weather.gov/lch/][NWS Lake Charles (AFD) | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?glossary=1&issuedby=LCH&product=AFD&site=NWS][Sources: [NWS Boston/Norton (homepage hazards) | https://www.weather.gov/box/][NWS Boston/Norton (Coastal Waters Forecast/Small CraftAdvisory) | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=BOX&product=CWF&site=BOX]NWS Mount Holly (Marine/Gale/Advisories) | https://www.weather.gov/phi/marine][NWS Houston (briefing/forecast page) | https://www.weather.gov/hgx/https/www.nhc.noaa.gov/forecasts][SPC Day 1 Outlook | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Show Notes: Socrates in the EOCEpisode Summary:In this episode of The Emergency Management Network, hosts Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott explore Socrates's timeless philosophy and how his method of inquiry, humility, and pursuit of wisdom apply to today's emergency operations centers (EOCs). Through the Socratic lens, we examine leadership under pressure, decision-making amidst uncertainty, and the value of questioning assumptions in complex incident management.Socrates taught that wisdom begins with recognizing ignorance — a deeply rooted principle in emergency management, where the unknown is ever-present. In this episode, Todd discusses how the “Socratic Method” can be used as a leadership tool to build trust, strengthen collaboration, and uncover blind spots in EOC decision-making.From ancient Athens to modern-day crisis coordination, Socrates in the EOC challenges us to think critically, communicate honestly, and lead with humility.Host: Todd T. DeVoe, CEM and Dan Scott, CEMProduced by: EMN MediaDuration: ~30 minutesTopics Covered:* What Socrates can teach modern leaders about uncertainty and truth.* Applying the Socratic Method to EOC decision-making and briefings.* The importance of intellectual humility in leadership.* Why “I don't know” is a strength, not a weakness.* Encouraging curiosity and dissent as tools for better outcomes.* Lessons for building resilient teams that think, not just react.Quotable Moment:“Socrates wasn't afraid of being wrong — he was afraid of being unexamined. In the EOC, that mindset can mean the difference between rigidity and resilience.”If you enjoyed this episode, subscribe to The Emergency Management Network wherever you get your podcasts. Use # SocratesInTheEOC to share your thoughts on how philosophy can improve leadership in emergency management.Follow: Todd T DeVoe and Daniel Scott for future discussions on leadership, resilience, and crisis philosophy. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

This podcast episode delineates the current meteorological conditions across the United States as of October 27, 2025, with particular emphasis on localized hazards rather than widespread severe weather threats. The discussion highlights various weather advisories, including winter storm warnings for the Greater Yellowstone region, where hazardous travel conditions are anticipated due to snow accumulation. Additionally, listeners are informed of elevated fire weather risks in southern Colorado, alongside gale conditions affecting mariners in Washington waters and a high surf advisory for California's central coast. The episode further notes the continuation of frost and freeze advisories in New England and alerts regarding rip currents along Florida's Atlantic beaches. As we navigate these diverse weather phenomena, we underscore the importance of remaining vigilant and adhering to local advisories for public safety.Takeaways:* The Storm Prediction Center has indicated that there is no severe thunderstorm risk across the United States today, focusing attention on localized hazards instead.* In the Greater Yellowstone region, winter storm warnings remain in effect due to expected snowfall and potentially hazardous travel conditions until this evening.* A high surf advisory has been issued for California's central coast, warning of dangerous waves and strong rip currents that could pose a significant risk.* Frost and freeze warnings are active across various areas of New England, indicating the likelihood of cold weather impacts on local conditions and activities.* Florida's Atlantic beaches are experiencing a high risk of rip currents, necessitating caution for beachgoers and mariners in the region.* The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring Tropical Storm Sonia in the Eastern Pacific, although no significant U.S. impacts are anticipated at this time.Sources[SPC | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html][NWS RIW (Yellowstone/Grand Teton) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.4566&lon=-110.8497][NWS RIW (Mammoth Hot Springs) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.9729&lon=-110.7038][NWS Bozeman/Big Sky | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=45.6835&lon=-111.0505][NWS Pueblo | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=38.8335&lon=-104.8218][NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard (High Surf Advisory) | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mtr&wwa=all][NWS San Diego | https://www.weather.gov/sgx/][NWS Boston/Norton | https://www.weather.gov/box/][NWS Miami | https://www.weather.gov/mfl/][NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/][NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc/localclimate][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard—High Surf Advisory | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mtr&wwa=all][NWS San Diego—Santa Ana winds outlook | https://www.weather.gov/sgx/][NWS SB County point forecast—Wind Advisory ref. | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=34.4436&lon=-119.9180][NWS Pueblo—Red Flag Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=38.8335&lon=-104.8218][NWS Pueblo zone map | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?textField1=38.28&textField2=-104.63][NWS Miami—Rip Current Statement | https://www.weather.gov/mfl/][NWS Honolulu—Surf Forecast 10/27 | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF][NWS Honolulu—WFO page | https://www.weather.gov/hfo][NWS Boston/Norton—Hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/box/][NWS Big Sky—Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=45.2846&lon=-111.3683][NWS Bozeman—Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=45.6835&lon=-111.0505][NWS Great Falls–AFD highlights | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=TFX&product=AFD&site=tfx][NWS Seattle—Hazards (Gale Warning noted) | https://www.weather.gov/sew/][NWS Old Faithful—Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.4566&lon=-110.8497][NWS Mammoth Hot Springs—Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.9729&lon=-110.7038][NWS Cheyenne—Advisory (Snowy Range) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=WYZ114] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

In today's EM Morning Brief for Friday, October 24th, 2025, Cedric provides updates on various weather predictions and emergency management activities across the United States. Key points include excessive rainfall expected in the Pacific Northwest and northern California, a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms in Texas, and Tropical Storm Melissa's potential life-threatening flooding in Jamaica and southern Hispaniola. FEMA reports several disaster declarations, including for severe storms in Alaska, Minnesota, North Dakota, and Nebraska. Additional weather advisories and disaster recovery information are highlighted for several states. Stay informed and stay safe.00:00 Introduction and Today's Overview00:06 Weather Alerts and Predictions00:23 Severe Thunderstorm Risks in Texas00:36 Tropical Storm Melissa Update00:49 Seismic Activity Report00:56 FEMA Disaster Recovery Updates01:12 State-by-State Emergency Updates01:14 Alaska Disaster Declaration01:35 California Wildfire Mitigation01:59 Indiana Freeze Warning02:11 Minnesota Severe Storms Update02:32 Nebraska Disaster Declaration02:56 North Dakota Disaster Declaration03:12 Oregon Pacific Storm System03:32 Texas Severe Weather Risk03:51 Washington Weather Advisory04:09 Conclusion and Safety ReminderSources[FEMA DR-4893 (updated ~1 day) | https://www.fema.gov/disaster/4893][AK DHS&EM Storm Resources | https://ready.alaska.gov/][Cal OES update (Oct 23, ≤24h) | https://news.caloes.ca.gov/california-helps-harden-rural-shasta-homes-against-wildfire-2/][WPC Day-1/2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php][NWS Indy Freeze Warning (Oct 24) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=INZ060&warncounty=INC153&firewxzone=INZ060&local_place1=Shelburn%20IN&product1=Freeze%20Warning][FEMA DR-4894 (updated ~21h) | https://www.fema.gov/disaster/4894][FEMA Minnesota page (DR-4894-MN) | https://www.fema.gov/locations/minnesota][NEMA release (Oct 23, ≤24h) | https://nema.nebraska.gov/][Local coverage summary | https://www.1011now.com/2025/10/22/trump-promises-15-million-disaster-aid-nebraska/][FEMA Press Release (Oct 23) | https://www.fema.gov/press-release/20251023/president-donald-j-trump-approves-major-disaster-declaration-north-dakota][NWS Portland WWA summary | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/][NWS KLWX/KMFR WWA text incl. high wind | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pqr&wwa=all][WPC Day-1/2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php][SPC Day-1 Outlook (Oct 24) | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=JKL&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&format=TXT][WPC MPD #1205 — North TX | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=1205&yr=2025][NWS Spokane AFD (Oct 24) | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OTX&issuedby=OTX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1][NWS Seattle hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/sew/] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

In today's EM Morning Brief, Cedric covers weather alerts and updates for Thursday, October 23rd, 2025. Key highlights include freeze and frost alerts from the Ohio Valley to Appalachia, high surf advisories in Hawaii, and gale conditions in southern New England waters. Detailed state-specific updates include a precautionary boil water notice in Hallandale Beach, FL, high fire danger in central and north Georgia, and lake-effect rain in western New York. Stay informed and safe with your local NWS and EMA updates.00:00 Introduction and National Weather Overview00:54 Regional Weather Alerts00:56 State-by-State Weather Updates03:54 Conclusion and Safety RemindersSources[NWS | https://www.weather.gov/; NWS HFO | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF][NWS BOX Marine | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=AEG&product=CWF&site=BOX][NWS Buffalo HWO | https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFHWOBUF][NHC – Melissa Advisory #8 | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3%2Bshtml/230838.shtml?text=][NWS Juneau “News Headlines” | https://www.weather.gov/ajk/localclimate][Hallandale Beach | https://hallandalebeachfl.gov/1740/Precautionary-Boil-Water-Notices][NWS Peachtree City HWO | https://www.weather.gov/ffc/hwo][NWS HFO Surf Forecast | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF][NWS Kauai Zone Page (HIZ003) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=HIZ003][NWS Wilmington OH – Indiana zones | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=INZ050&product1=Freeze%20Warning][NWS Jackson KY – Winter/Sig Wx page with Freeze Warning | https://www.weather.gov/jkl/sigwx_wintersnow2][NWS Boston/Norton – Coastal Waters Forecast | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=AEG&product=CWF&site=BOX][NWS Buffalo HWO | https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFHWOBUF][NWS BUF Nearshore – Small Craft Advisories noted | https://www.weather.gov/buf/laketemp][NWS GSP hazard text (Freeze Warning) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ051&product1=Hazardous%20Weather%20Outlook][City of Hendersonville | https://www.hendersonvillenc.gov/water-sewer/customer-center/water-alerts][Town of Fort Mill update | https://fortmillsc.gov/CivicAlerts.aspx?AID=713][NWS Nashville – hazards | https://www.weather.gov/ohx/] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode, Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott explore the evolving balance of power between federal, state, and local governments in emergency management. Drawing from Todd's doctoral research and professional experience, they unpack how “picket fence federalism” may actually find its most authentic expression in disaster management. From FEMA's shifting role to the tension between autonomy and centralization, this conversation dives deep into what federalism means for practitioners on the ground… and what happens when the fence starts to shake.Show NotesFederalism has always been a delicate balance, a system designed to distribute power, but often pulled toward centralization in crisis. Emergency management sits right in the middle of that tension. Todd and Dan discuss how major disasters begin as local emergencies but inevitably become national spectacles, the role of subsidiarity in maintaining local agency, and why FEMA's future may depend on its ability to act as a convener of partnerships rather than just a participant of last resort.Topics covered include:* How disasters expose the strengths and weaknesses of American federalism* The philosophy behind picket fence federalism and its application to EM* The evolution of FEMA from a relief bureau to a convener of capability* Ethical federalism, subsidiarity, and the importance of proximity in governance* How local innovation drives national doctrine* Lessons from the Trump-era proposals to restructure FEMA* The moral responsibility of emergency managers to protect the integrity of shared governanceKey takeaway:Emergency management may be America's best living model of federalism today — not because it is perfect, but because it is cooperative, adaptive, and rooted in trust. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode, Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott explore the evolving balance of power between federal, state, and local governments in emergency management. Drawing from Todd's doctoral research and professional experience, they unpack how “picket fence federalism” may actually find its most authentic expression in disaster management. From FEMA's shifting role to the tension between autonomy and centralization, this conversation dives deep into what federalism means for practitioners on the ground… and what happens when the fence starts to shake.Show NotesFederalism has always been a delicate balance, a system designed to distribute power, but often pulled toward centralization in crisis. Emergency management sits right in the middle of that tension. Todd and Dan discuss how major disasters begin as local emergencies but inevitably become national spectacles, the role of subsidiarity in maintaining local agency, and why FEMA's future may depend on its ability to act as a convener of partnerships rather than just a participant of last resort.Topics covered include:* How disasters expose the strengths and weaknesses of American federalism* The philosophy behind picket fence federalism and its application to EM* The evolution of FEMA from a relief bureau to a convener of capability* Ethical federalism, subsidiarity, and the importance of proximity in governance* How local innovation drives national doctrine* Lessons from the Trump-era proposals to restructure FEMA* The moral responsibility of emergency managers to protect the integrity of shared governanceKey takeaway:Emergency management may be America's best living model of federalism today — not because it is perfect, but because it is cooperative, adaptive, and rooted in trust. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Join Cedric for the EM Morning Brief on October 14, 2025. Western Alaska is in emergency response mode after Typhoon Halong's remnants cause devastation, resulting in at least one fatality, two missing persons, and over 50 rescues. Central and southern California brace for heavy rain and potential flash flooding from an early-season Pacific storm. Tropical Storm Lorenzo remains in the Atlantic with no U.S. impact. A minor 2.6 earthquake strikes New York overnight with no damage reported. State-specific updates include ongoing recovery efforts and coastal impacts. Stay informed with the latest emergency management news.00:00 Introduction and Headlines00:07 Western Alaska Emergency Response00:34 Pacific Storm in California00:54 Tropical Storm Lorenzo Update01:01 Minor Earthquake in New York01:08 State-by-State Weather Updates01:09 Alaska's Continued Recovery Efforts01:45 California's Storm Impact02:18 Connecticut Storm Cleanup02:38 New Jersey Coastal Flooding03:02 New York Disaster Emergency03:25 North Carolina Coastal Flooding03:52 Conclusion and Further TrackingSources[Alaska DHSEM | https://ready.alaska.gov/Documents/PIO/PressReleases/2025.10.12_Press%20Release%20-%20SEOC%202025%20October%20West%20Coast%20Storm%20-%20Update%20Oct.12.pdf][AP | https://apnews.com/article/44668913640e8482202320d38f08788e][WPC/NOAA | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr][WPC MPD #1195 | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=1195&yr=2025][SPC/NOAA | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1][NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atlc][USGS | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000rgze][Alaska DHSEM (official update Oct. 12 for ongoing incident) | https://ready.alaska.gov/Documents/PIO/PressReleases/2025.10.12_Press%20Release%20-%20SEOC%202025%20October%20West%20Coast%20Storm%20-%20Update%20Oct.12.pdf][AP | https://apnews.com/article/44668913640e8482202320d38f08788e][NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard | https://www.weather.gov/lox/ ][Cal OES | https://news.caloes.ca.gov/california-deploys-resources-to-southern-california-ahead-of-significant-early-season-storm/][NWS New York (OKX) briefing, Oct. 13 | https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/DSSBuilder/LatestBriefing.pdf][CT Insider | https://www.ctinsider.com/weather/article/noreaster-update-rain-wind-totals-21098270.php][NWS Mount Holly briefing, Oct. 13 | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf][6ABC (today) | https://6abc.com/post/least-3-dead-dayslong-noreaster-brings-final-surge-coastal-flooding-jersey-shore/18003561/][NYS Governor Exec. Order 53 | https://www.governor.ny.gov/executive-order/no-53-declaring-disaster-emergency-counties-bronx-kings-nassau-new-york-queens][NWS New York briefing, Oct. 13 | https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/DSSBuilder/LatestBriefing.pdf][USGS | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000rgze][DriveNC (NC-12 incidents) | https://drivenc.gov/index.html?id=749906&type=incident][NWS Morehead City briefing, Oct. 13 | https://www.weather.gov/media/mhx/LatestBriefing.pdf] This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Why do we freeze when we should act? Why do organizations wait for the crisis to end before changing? In this episode, Todd DeVoe and Brian Colburn unpack the psychological trap of normalcy bias and its close cousin, complacency — the silent killers that erode readiness long before disaster strikes.Drawing from behavioral science, real-world emergency management experience, and leadership philosophy, they explore how our brains resist change, why “business as usual” is so seductive, and how leaders can build cultures that recognize danger without panic and adapt without hesitation.From the OODA and POP-DOC loops to the quiet moments before chaos hits, Todd and Dan challenge emergency managers to confront the most dangerous phrase in the field: “It's fine — we've always done it this way.”Show Notes:Hosts: Todd T. DeVoe & Brian ColburnProduced by: The Emergency Management NetworkEpisode Length: ~45 minutesKey Themes Covered:* Understanding Normalcy Bias: Why our minds reject disruptive information and how that plays out in disasters.* Complacency as Organizational Decay: How routine and comfort create blind spots that make us brittle, not resilient.* Lessons from the Field: Real-world examples where complacency cost time, trust, and sometimes lives.* Cognitive Loops for Leaders: How frameworks like OODA and POP-DOC help break the freeze-response and restore situational awareness.* The Moral Imperative of Readiness: Why awareness isn't paranoia — it's professionalism.* Cultural Antidotes: Creating workplaces where curiosity and adaptation are rewarded more than compliance and comfort.Referenced Concepts & Thinkers: John Boyd's OODA Loop, Eric McNulty and the NPLI POP-DOC model, Daniel Kahneman's cognitive biases, and Stoic and Taoist perspectives on awareness and control. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe