Podcasts about baupost group

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Best podcasts about baupost group

Latest podcast episodes about baupost group

Private Equity Fast Pitch
Erik Brooks - Ethos Capital

Private Equity Fast Pitch

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 16, 2025 39:43


Erik has spent his entire career in the investment industry and prior to founding Ethos was a Managing Partner leading Abry Partners. During his 20-year tenure at Abry he originated, supervised, and sold companies in information services, digital infrastructure, enterprise systems, healthcare IT, financial services and media, representing an aggregate enterprise value of approximately $11 billion. Additionally, as a Managing Partner at Abry Partners, he served on investment committees, and oversaw recruiting of all investment professionals, research, and information technology. He also managed relationships with limited partners, headed its Heritage Fund and was a key partner in raising $17 billion across 15 funds. Prior to joining Abry Partners, Erik was an investment professional at New Century Holdings, the Baupost Group, and Apax Partners.   In addition to Erik's professional activities he serves on the Board of Advisors of the International Council of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard University, and the Advisory Board of Think:Kids at Massachusetts General Hospital. As an active alumni advisor for Harvard Business School and Brown University, he spends time with students helping them think about life after academia and how their contributions can make a difference in the world. Previously he served on the boards of the Citi Performing Arts Center in Boston and the Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics and Public Policy at Harvard University, and the President's Advisory Council on Internships at Brown University.

Global Value
Seth Klarman's Stock Portfolio Deep Dive in 2024

Global Value

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2024 17:38


Seth Klarman is a legendary value investor and CEO and Portfolio Manager of The Baupost Group, an investment firm he co-founded in 1982 that manages $30 billion. (Please note, this video is a re-edited version of a recent upload.) Want to support Global Value? https://www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=gvy1&url=%2Fen%2Fwhyib%2Foverview.php https://www.patreon.com/GlobalValue Klarman authored the value investing cult classic Margin of Safety and edited the recently released 7th edition of Graham and Dodd's value investing classic, Security Analysis. What makes Seth Klarman one of the greatest investors in the world? Thank you for watching. ❤️ Please support the channel by checking out our affiliates. All commissions are reinvested to improve the quality of videos! - TIKR is the website I use for financial data in my videos. Join me and 250,000+ investors worldwide by using TIKR in your investment analysis. Referral link - https://www.tikr.com/globalvalue - Check out Seeking Alpha Premium and score an exclusive 20% off plus a free 7 day trial! Affiliate link - https://www.sahg6dtr.com/H4BHRJ/R74QP/ - Try Sharesight https://www.sharesight.com/globalvalue (remember you get 4 months free if you sign up for an annual subscription!) - Discover investing resources by shopping at my Amazon storefront! Affiliate link - https://www.amazon.com/shop/globalvalue #sethklarman2024 #worldsbestinvestor #sethklarman #baupost #baupostgroup #superinvestor #stockmarket2024 #stocks2024 #valueinvesting #valueinvestor #investing #investing2024 #marginofsafety #warrenbufffett #warrenbufffet

Market Maker
The Deal Room: Ackman's Flop, Buffett's Bet, and Canva's AI Play

Market Maker

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2024 25:03


In this episode, we dive deep into three of the most intriguing stories shaking up the financial world:Ackman's IPO Flop: Bill Ackman's Pershing Square IPO crashes from a $25 billion goal to just $2 billion, with major backers like Baupost Group stepping away. We discuss what went wrong and the broader implications for closed-end funds. (3:00)Buffett's Bold Move: Warren Buffett unloads $3 billion in Bank of America shares, raising questions about market timing. We break down the impact and what it means for investors. (12:00)Canva vs. Adobe: Canva accelerates its AI strategy with the acquisition of Leonardo.ai, aiming to challenge Adobe. We examine Canva's rapid growth and its race to catch up with the industry giant. (22:00)*****Want to gain practical experience in finance? Check out our free M&A Finance Accelerator simulation in partnership with UBS www.amplifyme.com/mafa Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Global Value
Seth Klarman Stock Portfolio Deep Dive

Global Value

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2024 17:38


Seth Klarman is a legendary value investor and CEO and Portfolio Manager of The Baupost Group, an investment firm he co-founded in 1982 that manages $30 billion. (Please note, this video is a re-edited version of a recent upload.)

Global Value
The World's Best Investor You've Never Heard Of

Global Value

Play Episode Listen Later May 3, 2024 17:38


The Art of Value
Super Investor Seth Klarman Bought These Stocks

The Art of Value

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 2, 2024 9:29


This episode surveys the current stock portfolio of super-investor Seth Klarman, investigating which stocks value investor Klarman was buying and selling for the Baupost Group portfolio during Q4 2023. We also take a closer look at a small selection of them. Related episodes: Super Investor Stock Portfolios Playlist https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrNjj1l3MS7WB9vDpdIyccwd7mE69v1CX&si=AQexbPXo5jI6REAL Investor Seth Klarman on the Everything Bubble https://youtu.be/C4rs2M_lOKw Join The Art of Value Patreon community for exclusive videos and more: https://www.patreon.com/TheArtofValue I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue I use GuruFocus for historical, financial and valuation data, screeners, charts and comparison tools, to help me make smarter long-term investing decisions (referral link): https://www.gurufocus.com/?r=2c95d5930bb2537b2e0265075fb66581 Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser and nothing in this content is financial advice. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/theartofvalue/message

The Art of Value
Super Investor Seth Klarman Bought These Stocks

The Art of Value

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 2, 2024 9:29


This episode surveys the current stock portfolio of super-investor Seth Klarman, investigating which stocks value investor Klarman was buying and selling for the Baupost Group portfolio during Q4 2023. We also take a closer look at a small selection of them. Related episodes: Super Investor Stock Portfolios Playlist https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrNjj1l3MS7WB9vDpdIyccwd7mE69v1CX&si=AQexbPXo5jI6REAL Investor Seth Klarman on the Everything Bubble https://youtu.be/C4rs2M_lOKw Join The Art of Value Patreon community for exclusive videos and more: https://www.patreon.com/TheArtofValue I use TIKR Terminal to help analyze great businesses, follow top investor portfolios, and help monitor my portfolio (referral link): http://tikr.com/theartofvalue I use GuruFocus for historical, financial and valuation data, screeners, charts and comparison tools, to help me make smarter long-term investing decisions (referral link): https://www.gurufocus.com/?r=2c95d5930bb2537b2e0265075fb66581 Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser and nothing in this content is financial advice. This content is for education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and/or seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/theartofvalue/message

The Security Analysis Podcast
Andrew Beer: Hedge Fund Strategies Packaged in ETF's

The Security Analysis Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 6, 2023 51:33


Andrew Beer is a managing member at DBi, (formerly Dynamic Beta Investments), which manages ETFs and mutual funds that seek to outperform hedge funds with low fees, daily liquidity, and total transparency. Their two ETF's – DBMF & DBEH bring alternative strategies to public, liquid markets in ETF format with comparatively low fees. He has nearly 30 years of experience in the hedge fund industry and previously worked at the Baupost Group with Seth Klarman.Links* DBMF - https://imgpfunds.com/im-dbi-managed-futures-strategy-etf/* DBEH - https://imgpfunds.com/im-dbi-hedge-strategy-etfDisclaimerNothing on this podcast is investment advice.The information in this podcast is for information and discussion purposes only. It does not constitute a recommendation to purchase or sell any financial instruments or other products.  Investment decisions should not be made with this podcast and one should take into account the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or institution.Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances from their own tax, financial, legal, and other advisers about the risks and merits of any transaction before making an investment decision, and only make such decisions on the basis of the investor's own objectives, experience, and resources.The information contained in this podcast & show notes is based on generally-available information and, although obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness cannot be assured, and such information may be incomplete or condensed.Investments in financial instruments or other products carry significant risk, including the possible total loss of the principal amount invested. This podcast, the host, and the guest do not purport to identify all the risks or material considerations that may be associated with entering into any transaction. This host & guest accepts no liability for any loss (whether direct, indirect, or consequential) that may arise from any use of the information contained in or derived from this content. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.securityanalysis.org/subscribe

Finscale
[ENG] #194 - Patrick Gauthier - Convera : Tech evolution & FX mastery unveiled

Finscale

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 13, 2023 35:33


Back to payments and Forex this week. Patrick delves deep into the intricate fabric of Convera, a dominant player in the payment industry. We kick off our conversation with a retrospective, as Patrick provides a comprehensive overview of WU Business Solutions' 2021 activities. He shares the motivations and strategic intricacies behind Goldfinch Partners and BauPost Group's acquisition of WUBS. Shifting focus to the core of Convera, Patrick paints a vivid picture of the company's current positioning: its expansive geographical presence, the pillars of its value proposition, and the diverse suite of solutions it offers. The discussion becomes more insightful when we explore Convera's significant global footprint, which spans 200 countries, operates in 22, and deals with 140+ currencies. Patrick touches on the company's strategies that have driven this global success and the tailored services catering to a broad spectrum of clientele, from SMEs to NGOs. Naturally, we couldn't discuss Convera's growth and development without exploring the transformation projects of this major player, particularly from a technological perspective, including its AWS Cloud migration. This leads us into a discussion about regulatory strategy and the factors that prompted the American company to establish its European headquarters in Luxembourg. Additionally, we delved into their risk management approach, especially concerning hedging foreign exchange (FX) risks.

Finscale in English
#28 - Patrick Gauthier - Convera : Tech evolution & FX mastery unveiled

Finscale in English

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 11, 2023 35:33


Back to payments and Forex this week. Patrick delves deep into the intricate fabric of Convera, a dominant player in the payment industry. We kick off our conversation with a retrospective, as Patrick provides a comprehensive overview of WU Business Solutions' 2021 activities. He shares the motivations and strategic intricacies behind Goldfinch Partners and BauPost Group's acquisition of WUBS. Shifting focus to the core of Convera, Patrick paints a vivid picture of the company's current positioning: its expansive geographical presence, the pillars of its value proposition, and the diverse suite of solutions it offers. The discussion becomes more insightful when we explore Convera's significant global footprint, which spans 200 countries, operates in 22, and deals with 140+ currencies. Patrick touches on the company's strategies that have driven this global success and the tailored services catering to a broad spectrum of clientele, from SMEs to NGOs. Naturally, we couldn't discuss Convera's growth and development without exploring the transformation projects of this major player, particularly from a technological perspective, including its AWS Cloud migration. This leads us into a discussion about regulatory strategy and the factors that prompted the American company to establish its European headquarters in Luxembourg. Additionally, we delved into their risk management approach, especially concerning hedging foreign exchange (FX) risks.

Finscale in English
[EXCERPT] #28 - Patrick Gauthier - Convera : Tech evolution & FX mastery unveiled

Finscale in English

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2023 7:01


This is an excerpt from the episode published on Sunday. Back to payments and Forex this week. Patrick delves deep into the intricate fabric of Convera, a dominant player in the payment industry. We kick off our conversation with a retrospective, as Patrick provides a comprehensive overview of WU Business Solutions' 2021 activities. He shares the motivations and strategic intricacies behind Goldfinch Partners and BauPost Group's acquisition of WUBS. Shifting focus to the core of Convera, Patrick paints a vivid picture of the company's current positioning: its expansive geographical presence, the pillars of its value proposition, and the diverse suite of solutions it offers. The discussion becomes more insightful when we explore Convera's significant global footprint, which spans 200 countries, operates in 22, and deals with 140+ currencies. Patrick touches on the company's strategies that have driven this global success and the tailored services catering to a broad spectrum of clientele, from SMEs to NGOs. Naturally, we couldn't discuss Convera's growth and development without exploring the transformation projects of this major player, particularly from a technological perspective, including its AWS Cloud migration. This leads us into a discussion about regulatory strategy and the factors that prompted the American company to establish its European headquarters in Luxembourg. Additionally, we delved into their risk management approach, especially concerning hedging foreign exchange (FX) risks.

Capital Allocators
Seth Klarman – Timeless Value Investing (EP.328)

Capital Allocators

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2023 93:01


Seth Klarman is a legendary value investor and CEO and Portfolio Manager of The Baupost Group, an investment firm founded in 1982 that manages $27 billion. Seth authored the very out-of-print Margin of Safety and edited the recently released 7th edition of Graham and Dodd's value investing classic, Security Analysis. Our conversation covers Seth's early experience in business and investing, path to Baupost, timeless value investing principles and those that have changed over time. We discuss Baupost's application of value investing across sourcing, diligence, portfolio construction, and risk management. We then turn to Seth's thoughts illiquidity, international investing, the weird current environment, positioning portfolios for it, alignment with clients, succession at Baupost, and his updated perspectives on Securities Analysis and Margin of Safety. We close discussing Seth's personal investments in the Boston Red Sox, horse racing, and philanthropy. Seth generally stays away from the public eye, so I was particularly grateful to share this conversation some twenty-five years after we first met. For full show notes, visit the episode webpage here. Learn More Follow Ted on Twitter at @tseides or LinkedIn Subscribe to the mailing list Access Transcript with Premium Membership

Grant’s Current Yield Podcast
VALUE RESTORATION PROJECT

Grant’s Current Yield Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 12, 2023 43:58


With special guest Seth A. Klarman, CEO of the Baupost Group. 

On Principle
A Career on the Line: Russ Flicker

On Principle

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2022 31:16


Fake it till you make it. Talk the talk before you can walk the walk. We hear it all the time, and that's where Russ Flicker was in 2009. Russ left the Blackstone Group to join Ian Schrager Company as its chief investment officer but “irreconcilable differences” compelled him to leave only months after joining to strike out on his own—in the midst of the worst global economic crisis in decades—with two children under 5 years old and his wife.In fact, he wasn't really even trying to start a business. In his words, he was “unemployable,” thanks to a devastated economy where everyone in his line of work—real estate equity, private equity and development—was hanging onto their jobs for dear life. “I was just trying to make some money and stay relevant,” Flicker said.That process started when he identified the Sheraton Safari hotel in Orlando, a property in need of a massive upgrade. A property he thought could use his talents, giving him a toehold to start his own business. And, as it turned out, his former associates at Blackstone owned the property. Flicker and his partner Jon Rosenfeld (who also previously worked at Blackstone) put months of work into networking, connecting with potential investors, assembling financing—all with the belief that Blackstone might be willing to sell. Along the way, at least two dozen potential investors told him he was nuts. No way was that property worth what Flicker thought it was worth.Still, with one key investor, Flicker was able to pull together the purchase. But when the time came to seal the deal, the answer was no. Flicker was devastated—in fact, he struggled to keep that “fake it till you make it” attitude. But he was undeterred, following up with former colleagues higher in Blackstone's ecosystem. “You've got to believe in your idea even when everyone else is telling you not to,” Flicker said.And that was the crux of his case to the Blackstone higher-ups. His presentation basically said this: Nobody thinks this hotel is worth what I'm willing to give you for it—so maybe this is a deal you ought to consider. The argument won the day. Flicker bought the hotel, revived it and used that deal to leverage others.Today, Flicker's company, AWH Partners LLC, owns and manages about 8,000 hotel rooms across 25 states with private equity, hedge fund and insurance company partners like Apollo Global Management, The Baupost Group and Starr Companies. As a vertically integrated hospitality firm, AWH owns a management company (Spire Hospitality) that manages its hotels as well as a development company that manages renovations and ground up construction in-house.RELATED LINKSAWH PartnersAcquisition example: AWH Partners and Funds Managed by Apollo Global Management Acquire DoubleTree by Hilton Hotel AnaheimJohn Barrios, assistant professor of accounting, WashU OlinCREDITSThis podcast is a production of Olin Business School at Washington University in St. Louis. Contributors include:Katie Wools, Cathy Myrick, Judy Milanovits and Lesley Liesman, creative assistanceJill Young Miller, fact checking and creative assistanceHayden Molinarolo, original music and sound designMike Martin Media, editingSophia Passantino, social mediaLexie O'Brien and Erik Buschardt, website supportPaula Crews, creative vision and strategic supportSpecial thanks to Ray Irving and his team at WashU Olin's Center for Digital Education, including our audio engineer, Austin Alred.

CLS's The Weighing Machine
Bringing Hedge Fund Portfolio Solutions to Investors with Andrew Beer

CLS's The Weighing Machine

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2022 40:23


The last few years have been a rollercoaster for investors. The market has been volatile, asset values have declined, and there is general uncertainty about the future. In times like these, it's important to have a diversified portfolio that can weather the storm. Hedge funds offer a unique opportunity for investors to hedge against risk and protect their portfolios. In this episode, Rusty and Robyn talk with Andrew Beer, Managing Member at Dynamic Beta investments. Andrew started in the hedge fund industry in 1994 when he joined the Baupost Group as one of six generalist portfolio managers. Over the past decade, Andrew's singular focus has been to identify strategies to match or outperform portfolios of leading hedge funds with low fees, daily liquidity, and less downside risk. A pioneer in hedge fund replication, Andrew talks with Rusty and Robyn about hedge funds, hedge fund strategies that investors find helpful, and how hedge funds are becoming a new fixed-income substitute. Key Takeaways [03:06] - What motivated Andrew to specialize in hedge funds. [07:24] - The role of Dynamic Beta investments in the hedge fund industry. [08:53] - Andrew's thoughts on what's currently driving the markets. [10:44] - The outlook for traditional stock and bond markets.  [11:58] - How investors can improve the risk-adjusted return potential of a traditional balanced portfolio. [14:12] - An in-depth look at hedge funds. [15:36] - What replication means at Dynamic Beta investments. [17:29] - Hedge fund strategies that investors find helpful. [20:01] - What investors should look for when investing in managed futures. [22:11] - How hedge funds are becoming a new fixed-income substitute. [25:09] - Typical allocations to hedge fund strategies and managed futures. [29:43] - How Andrew invests personally. [31:34] - How Andrew keeps his physical and mental well-being to perform at his best. [32:49] - People Andrew is thankful for on a professional level. [35:41] - Andrew's recommendations for content. Quotes [12:19] - "What's the best diversifier on planet earth, where we want to put our money if we can? The answer for us is managed futures." ~ Andrew Beer [13:20] - "Stocks and bonds are incredible investments over time. But stocks, bonds, and managed futures are the right diversified portfolio." ~ Andrew Beer [27:43] - "The vast majority of products created in the ETF world are single-manager products, and single-manager products on a standalone basis don't have a role in the asset allocation model." ~ Andrew Beer Links  Andrew Beer on LinkedIn Andrew Beer on Twitter Dynamic Beta investments Tomorrow  Kristof Gleich Harbor Capital The Baupost Group Kathryn Kaminski AlphaSimplex Group Abbey Capital Stanley Druckenmiller Corey Stein Flirting with Models Brian Portnoy The Rational Optimist Connect with our hosts Rusty Vanneman Robyn Murray Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify Google Podcasts 2004-OPS-10/25/2022

Compounders: The Anatomy of a Multibagger
Replay: Creating the Fastest Global Satellite Broadband Network with Mark Dankberg, Co-Founder and Executive Chairman of Viasat, Inc. (NASDAQ: VSAT)

Compounders: The Anatomy of a Multibagger

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 15, 2022 80:18


This week, we are replaying another one of our favorite episodes from Season 1. The reason is that we are about have the same guest on again to discuss a transformational merger the company announced after we released our interview. So, over the next two weeks we will have back-to-back episodes with Viasat's Co-Founder and Executive Chairman, Mark Dankberg. In the episode from last Season, Mark and I discussed the nuances of the very dynamic satellite broadband industry, including why satellite broadband is not likely to be a winner-take-all market as well as the value of having a hybrid network of satellites at different orbits. In our second interview, Mark and I will talk about the rationale for the merger with Inmarsat and how the deal changes Viasat's long-term trajectory. So, please stay tuned for a multi-episode deep dive into the future of space communications. EPISODE:  My guest on the show today is Mark Dankberg, the co-founder and Executive Chairman of Viasat. Viasat is a 3.8 billion dollar market cap company that provides broadband and communication products and services worldwide. Viasat started off a defense-oriented company but has since layered on consumer and business-facing offerings by developing the world's leading high throughput geostationary satellites. Over the next 2 years, Viasat will be launching 3 new satellites that will give the company the ability to offer global coverage to its military and in-flight WIFI customers. Additionally, Viasat is rolling out community WIFI initiatives to help people in emerging and frontier markets connect to the internet for the first time. All of this is happening while the company is facing a growing threat from low earth orbit satellite providers such as Elon Musk's Starlink. Given how much is going on and the fact that Mark recently went from being the CEO to assume the Executive Chairman role, I thought it would be a perfect time to talk to him about the following topics: - The future of the global satellite broadband industry, including competition with Starlink; - What the US military needs now from Viasat and how that may evolve over time; - The cultural differences between the defense and commercial sides of the company; - How Viasat can benefit from all the space-related activity going on right now; and - Why this was the right time to shift his focus This episode of Compounders: The Anatomy of a Multibagger is sponsored by Tegus, an innovative and disruptive company that is changing the way professional investors work. For more information, please visit: https://www.tegus.co/ Key takeaways:  - Deeply understanding your customers' wants and needs is a prerequisite for success in both D2C and B2B business. But, the more intermediaries you have, the less you can really understand your end customers. Also, working with distribution partners can be difficult if the goals of the organizations are not aligned. - Not every industry is a winner-take-all market. Network effects and multisided marketplaces can create virtuous cycles and winner-take-all markets. In industries with supply constraints, negative network effects drive competition and ensure a diverse set of offerings. - Bandwidth demand is heavily affected by geography and low-earth-orbit (LEO) networks are geographically limited. Despite offering low latency, every incremental satellite will only spend a fraction of its time over the areas with the most demand, and far more over oceans and other low demand areas. This is why a hybrid network that includes geostationary and LEO satellites is likely the best solution for customers. - When a company is entering new markets or introducing new products, it is imperative to be a voracious reader of business history and theory, as well as to be well-grounded in the basic math that governs the industry. - Modern warfare requires real-time information and instant communication. Accordingly, the U.S. military will need an up-to-date network of satellites with ground stations placed in safe locations in order to process and anticipate the moves of its adversaries. Timestamps:  1:18 - Introduction 2:56 - Diversifying into direct-to-consumer (D2C) with the 2009 WildBlue acquisition 5:06 - The organizational restructuring required when shifting towards D2C 7:06 - Building a D2C sales organization within a legacy B2B company 11:51 - Making stair-step improvements with every new satellite launch 18:50 - The process of deciding to build Viasat's own satellite 27:30 - Satellite broadband is not a winner-take-all market 31:32 - LEOs, GEOs, hybrid networks and why there is no “best” satellite design 45:27 - Building a cohesive culture with two distinctly different business segments 51:23 - Why Viasat 3 will play a key role in the future of warfare 58:25 - How Viasat benefits from all of the excitement around space 62:40 - What Mark has learned from Baupost Group's founder Seth Klarman 65:53 -  Being confident in putting out guidance even before the Viasat 3 satellites launch 70:55 - The least understood aspects of Viasat To get all the latest updates about the podcast, see who we'll have on next, as well as watch the video version of the pod, please follow us on twitter at @BenClaremon and subscribe to the SNN Network YouTube Channel at www.youtube.com/snnwire. For more information about Cove Street Capital, please visit: https://covestreetcapital.com/ iTunes: https://apple.co/3xlUvPY Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3jxkxLl Each new episode will be available every Tuesday morning on Apple, Spotify and all podcast streaming platforms. All opinions expressed by your hosts and the podcast guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of Cove Street Capital or any affiliates. This podcast is for informational purposes only, it is not investment advice, and should not be relied upon for any investment decisions. We are not recommending the purchase or sale of any securities. The hosts and guests may be beneficial owners of the securities discussed. You should not assume that the securities discussed are or will be profitable.

Riches in the Niches Investor Podcast
Ep. 37 - The Inoculated Investor with Ben Claremon

Riches in the Niches Investor Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2021 59:10


Ben Claremon is a Principal and Portfolio Manager at Cove Street Capital, a value-oriented investment advisor based in Los Angeles. In this episode, we learn Ben's background from growing up in real estate to catching the Value Bug. We also talk about his in-depth research process that focuses on business, fundamentals and people. In addition, we do a deep dive on Lionsgate and reveal Ben's Super Power.   To learn more about Ben please visit www.covestreetcapital.com or follow him on Twitter @BenClaremon. To learn more about Richard or to request a transcript of the podcast please visit www.thinkaen.com.   “Warren Buffett once wrote that value investing is like an inoculation--it either takes or it doesn't--and when you explain to somebody what it is and how it works and why it works and show them the returns, either they get it or they don't.” -Seth Klarman of the Baupost Group   Show Notes: (01:12) Ben provides introduction. From Arizona to New York City to California. First job at a hedge fund right before the financial crisis. Attending Berkshire Annual Meetings and posting notes on his blog appropriately titled the Inoculate Investor. (06:15) Going into more detail about the Berkshire Meetings. Handwriting versus on a computer. (06:56) Early equity investments. (08:02) First big investment working at the New York Hedge Fund was actually a large short trade on many regional banks before the financial crisis. One of the last great short opportunities. (11:25) Ben talks about Cove Street Capital and its research and idea generation process. Running screens and Monday Morning Meetings. The importance of taking management meetings. Speaking to company executives as well as former and current employees is a huge part of the investment process. (16:00) Three Pillars of the Cove Street Capital Investment Process include the analysis of the Business, Fundamentals and People. (18:24) Deep dive into interviews with former employees. Leverage multiple sources including social media and Tegus, which it uses for investor-led interviews of industry experts including past employees and executives. (22:25) Culture is a very important aspect for Ben. He doesn't want to invest in a company with bad culture even in a turnaround situation. He believes a turnaround is hard if you have a poor culture. This can take years to fix, if ever. (27:12) ESG versus Culture.   (31:38) Ben discusses one of his top ideas, Lionsgate. He recently presented it on the Market Champions podcast (see link here). He thinks there is a gross misunderstanding of the people involved at the company. He also thinks it is trading at a large discount to intrinsic value. (35:10) Streaming wars, MGM and Amazon deal. Ben doesn't think Lionsgate will remain a public company, but is serious about selling to larger player. (39:24) Lionsgate is one of the only media companies where insiders don't have total control of the company. You aren't going to force Viacom or Brian Roberts to sell their companies or do anything for that matter. (43:21) Ben goes into his intrinsic value estimates of a base case of $18 and an upside case in the high $20's. He also talks about one of the Lionsgate Board members, Gordon Crawford, jumping on a JP Morgan call and detailing a sum of the parts valuation for the company which assigned a base case value of $33. (48:12) What distinguishes a great investor? Through the understanding of people and what their motivations or incentives are. “Read the Proxy Statements”. (51:22) Compounders: The Anatomy of a Multi-bagger Podcast. Ben talks about the genesis of the program and why he believes it's one of the few shows that interviews management teams the way an institutional investor would, for the long term. (56:15) Wrap up and contact information. Don't forget to follow Ben's Podcast at the Compounders Podcast.

Compounders: The Anatomy of a Multibagger
Creating the Fastest Global Satellite Broadband Network with Mark Dankberg, Co-Founder and Executive Chairman of Viasat, Inc. (NASDAQ: VSAT)

Compounders: The Anatomy of a Multibagger

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 28, 2021 79:29


My guest on the show today is Mark Dankberg, the co-founder and Executive Chairman of Viasat. Viasat is a 3.8 billion dollar market cap company that provides broadband and communication products and services worldwide. Viasat started off a defense-oriented company but has since layered on consumer and business-facing offerings by developing the world's leading high throughput geostationary satellites. Over the next 2 years, Viasat will be launching 3 new satellites that will give the company the ability to offer global coverage to its military and in-flight WIFI customers. Additionally, Viasat is rolling out community WIFI initiatives to help people in emerging and frontier markets connect to the internet for the first time. All of this is happening while the company is facing a growing threat from low earth orbit satellite providers such as Elon Musk's Starlink. Given how much is going on and the fact that Mark recently went from being the CEO to assume the Executive Chairman role, I thought it would be a perfect time to talk to him about the following topics: - The future of the global satellite broadband industry, including competition with Starlink; - What the US military needs now from Viasat and how that may evolve over time; - The cultural differences between the defense and commercial sides of the company; - How Viasat can benefit from all the space-related activity going on right now; and - Why this was the right time to shift his focus This episode of Compounders: The Anatomy of a Multibagger is sponsored by Tegus, an innovative and disruptive company that is changing the way professional investors work. For more information, please visit: https://www.tegus.co/ Key takeaways:  - Deeply understanding your customers' wants and needs is a prerequisite for success in both D2C and B2B business. But, the more intermediaries you have, the less you can really understand your end customers. Also, working with distribution partners can be difficult if the goals of the organizations are not aligned. - Not every industry is a winner-take-all market. Network effects and multisided marketplaces can create virtuous cycles and winner-take-all markets. In industries with supply constraints, negative network effects drive competition and ensure a diverse set of offerings. - Bandwidth demand is heavily affected by geography and low-earth-orbit (LEO) networks are geographically limited. Despite offering low latency, every incremental satellite will only spend a fraction of its time over the areas with the most demand, and far more over oceans and other low demand areas. This is why a hybrid network that includes geostationary and LEO satellites is likely the best solution for customers. - When a company is entering new markets or introducing new products, it is imperative to be a voracious reader of business history and theory, as well as to be well-grounded in the basic math that governs the industry. - Modern warfare requires real-time information and instant communication. Accordingly, the U.S. military will need an up-to-date network of satellites with ground stations placed in safe locations in order to process and anticipate the moves of its adversaries. Timestamps:  1:18 - Introduction 2:56 - Diversifying into direct-to-consumer (D2C) with the 2009 WildBlue acquisition 5:06 - The organizational restructuring required when shifting towards D2C 7:06 - Building a D2C sales organization within a legacy B2B company 11:51 - Making stair-step improvements with every new satellite launch 18:50 - The process of deciding to build Viasat's own satellite 27:30 - Satellite broadband is not a winner-take-all market 31:32 - LEOs, GEOs, hybrid networks and why there is no “best” satellite design 45:27 - Building a cohesive culture with two distinctly different business segments 51:23 - Why Viasat 3 will play a key role in the future of warfare 58:25 - How Viasat benefits from all of the excitement around space 62:40 - What Mark has learned from Baupost Group's founder Seth Klarman 65:53 -  Being confident in putting out guidance even before the Viasat 3 satellites launch 70:55 - The least understood aspects of Viasat To get all the latest updates about the podcast, see who we'll have on next, as well as watch the video version of the pod, please follow us on twitter at @BenClaremon and subscribe to the SNN Network YouTube Channel at www.youtube.com/snnwire. For more information about Cove Street Capital, please visit: https://covestreetcapital.com/ iTunes: https://apple.co/3xlUvPY Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3jxkxLl Each new episode will be available every Tuesday morning on Apple, Spotify and all podcast streaming platforms. All opinions expressed by your hosts and the podcast guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of Cove Street Capital or any affiliates. This podcast is for informational purposes only, it is not investment advice, and should not be relied upon for any investment decisions. We are not recommending the purchase or sale of any securities. The hosts and guests may be beneficial owners of the securities discussed. You should not assume that the securities discussed are or will be profitable.

Angel Invest Boston
Prof. Howard Stevenson - Wealth and Families

Angel Invest Boston

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2021 63:27


Want to get rich and to pass money to your kids? Listen closely to Howard Stevenson. Here's condensed wisdom from the heart of the investing world delivered with dry humor and charm. Professor Stevenson was a co-founder of storied Baupost Group and helped hire its legendary manager Seth Klarman. He began the study of entrepreneurship at Harvard Business School and eventually became HBS' biggest fundraiser. His book “Wealth & Families” gives invaluable advice on how to make money and keep enough of it to hand down to the generations. My personal favorite is illustrated by this quote from the interview: “Whereas, some of my colleagues were going off consulting ... They were making a lot of money every day, and they go their XKE [Jaguar XKE, a coveted sports car of the era] quite quickly. I went off to places like Lima, Ohio, and I was paid $300 a day, but I got 1% of the company.” Howard Stevenson was forgoing high current income, and consumption, for the ability to own promising assets that would build his wealth in the long term. This approach contributed to Professor Stevenson becoming rich enough to need a family office to manage his money. iTunes Page for the Podcast Where You Can Review and Subscribe The topics covered in this dynamic conversation include: Howard Stevenson Bio How Howard Stevenson Started His Career Fear of the “Velvet Rut” Causes Howard Stevenson to Leave a Tenured Position at Harvard Business School Howard Stevenson: “A lot of people are fairly miserable in their job, but they fear change more than they look for the optionality that comes in change.” After a Sojourn in Entrepreneurship & Real Estate, Howard Stevenson Was Lured back to HBS Sal Daher: “There are not a lot of people that would turn down tenured positions at The Harvard Business School…” Howard Stevenson replies: “That's sad. I'm a trustee at Olin College, and they have no tenure. It's amazing what that does, because people are there voluntarily.” Howard Stevenson on Building Wealth: “I've always been experimental, because I don't believe I understand and can predict the future. By the way, when you look that the facts, very few people can.” Howard Stevenson's 400x Investment in a Company with a “Stupid Business Plan” Howard Stevenson's Four Criteria for Investing Howard Stevenson's Portfolio Returns; Warren Buffett-Like Howard Stevenson on whether Entrepreneurship Can Be Taught Howard Stevenson's Definition of Entrepreneurship The Best Due Diligence Is Time How Baupost Got Started and How Investing Wizard Seth Klarman Was Hired How Howard Stevenson Shops for Cars Howard Stevenson's Advice for How Young People Can Build Wealth Mitt Romney & a Young Colleague on Spending Why You Should Review this Podcast on iTunes – It Really Helps Us iTunes Page for the Podcast Where You Can Review and Subscribe "Most of the wealthy people I know, are better at making money than managing it." Howard Stevenson's Journey in Investing Began by Reading Graham, Dodd & Cottle in 1961 "I was smart that I recognized the quality of the people. But, whether it was coming out at 2X or 400X, wasn't in my control." Talking to Your Kids About Money

The SaaS News Roundup
Outbrain, Lidya, Localyze, Juni, mmhmm, Unit21, Opaque, Repeat, Cloverly, Fountain9, r2C, WellSaid Labs, Renegade Partners raises fund | Dataminr has bought WatchKeeper | ZeroFox has bought Vigilante | Hopin has announced the purchase of Attendify

The SaaS News Roundup

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 8, 2021 6:44


Outbrain, a recommendation platform connecting advertisers with open web consumers, has announced its raise of $200 million in a private equity round from The Baupost Group at an undisclosed valuation. The fundraising comes a week after it filed a proposal for the IPO of its common stock with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.Lidya, a digital financial services platform, has raised $8.3 million in a pre-Series B funding round led by Alitheia Capital with participation from Bamboo Capital Partners, Accion Venture Lab and Flourish Ventures, reports state.Localyze, a Y-Combinator-backed startup aiding cross-border employee relocation, has raised €10M ($12M) from Blossom Capital in Series A. Its previous round (Seed) was closed in 2020, and with this funding, Localyze plans to accelerate expanding into other markets besides its base, Germany.Juni, an e-commerce platform, has announced the raise of $21.5M in a Series A funding round, co-led by DST Global and Felix Capital. The company had only launched in 2020 and raised its seed round funding around November last year. The proceeds from this funding would be used in product development and hiring across teams.San Francisco's mmhmm has announced the raise of $100 million in its Series B funding led by SoftBank Vision Fund 2, exactly a year after its private beta launch. Since its launch in 2020, mmhmm has raised about $136 million in four funding rounds in less than a year, with the most recent Series A and debt financing round in October 2020, where it raised $35 million collectively, as per Crunchbase. Sequoia Capital, Mubadala Capital, Human Capital, World Innovation Lab (WiL), and many earlier investors participated in the round.Dataminr has bought WatchKeeper, a situational awareness platform, for an unknown sum. With the purchase of WatchKeeper and its integration with Dataminr Pulse, Dataminr will grow its global corporate customer base. As part of an early access program, business customers will be able to utilize the integrated version of Dataminr Pulse later this year. The broader release is slated for early 2022.ZeroFox, external threat intelligence and security firm, has bought Vigilante, a dark web threat intelligence firm. Vigilante will be incorporated into ZeroFox right away, giving customers a one-of-a-kind Dark Ops solution. Vigilante will provide clients with information and security resources, allowing them to make better decisions.Hopin, a platform for event management, has announced the purchase of Attendify to strengthen and expand its event marketing capabilities. Hopin will soon provide Campaign Manager with Attendify, allowing event marketers to leverage a strong email engine. Attendify's products, such as Audience CRM, a complete attendance data platform, will enhance Hopin's portfolio in various ways.Unit21, a no-code risk, fraud, and compliance software, received a $34 million Series B investment round led by Tiger Global Management. The money will be utilized to expand the engineering, R&D, and go-to-market teams within the firm. Unit21 was formed because the current method of fraud prevention and detection, which relied on “black box” machine learning, was flawed.Opaque, a company that helps businesses analyze encrypted cloud data, has received $9.5 million in a seed round sponsored by Intel Capital. With Opaque, clients can work with secure data on the cloud while guaranteeing that the data isn't exposed. Secure hardware enclaves and cryptographic fortification are part of Opaque, which is a mix of two essential technologies built on top of state-of-the-art cloud security.  Repeat has secured $6 million in a Series A round of funding led by Battery Capital. The funds will be used to grow the company's operations. Client purchasing patterns are tracked by the platform, which alerts them when it's time to repurchase. It then builds a personalized shopping basket for each, which makes replenishing a breeze.Cloverly has raised $2.1 million from TechSquare Ventures in a seed round. Customers may purchase carbon offsets from public markets to offset their carbon footprints while also utilizing technology to develop solutions. Cloverly monitors the offset market to ensure that the providers are trustworthy and continuously looking for new ones.Fountain9, an AI-driven company that focuses on predictive inventory planning, has raised $1.9 million in a seed round. The money will be used to improve the intelligence of the startup's demand sensing engine, increase its product offerings, and expand into new areas.San Francisco's r2C, a software security startup, has announced the raise of $27 million in a Series B funding led by Felicis Ventures with participation from existing investors Redpoint Ventures and Sequoia Capital. Alongside the funding, it announced on its official blog that its open-source product, Semgrep, would now integrate with GitLab.Seattle's WellSaid Labs has announced the raise of $10 million Series A funding led by FUSE, with participation from Voyager, Qualcomm Ventures LLC and GoodFriends. The company would use the fresh capital to enhance its AI-generated synthetic voice business.San Francisco's Renegade Partners has announced the close of its first fund, $100 million, to partner with companies going through a critical inflection point, which it cites as a supercritical stage, in their venture and help them become outliers. The VC firm made its announcement in a series of tweets.

Successful Investors
Soo Chuen Tan (Discerene) "Value and Values"

Successful Investors

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 8, 2021 61:28


Investors today seem to be enamored with growth in the US tech sector, regardless of valuations. By contrast, Soo Chuen and his team practice the increasingly rare art of contrarian value investing on a global scale. Soo Chuen Tan is President of Discerene Group LP, a Connecticut-based private investment partnership that invests in businesses protected by either structural barriers to entry (“moats”) or hard assets, when such businesses are out of favor, at prices offering significant margins of safety. In this episode, Soo Chuen discusses the psychological and philosophical underpinnings of value investing, including (1) being greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy, (2) viewing risk as the probability and potential magnitude of permanent capital impairment rather than volatility, (3) distinguishing price from value, and (4) requiring a margin of safety. Soo Chuen also discusses the importance of understanding the historical, social, and cultural context of a business enterprise. What are the unspoken norms that a management team operates by? What are the values of the country or culture that the business operates in? Values, after all, guide behavior, and behavior influences outcomes. Soo Chuen speaks of several investments he's been involved in around the world, and what he's learned from each. In particular, he shares his reflections on operating in "thick" versus "thin" cultures. Born in Malaysia to two physics teachers, Soo Chuen discovered his calling as a value investor in his mid-twenties while in business school. Soo Chuen holds a Bachelor/Master of Arts degree in Jurisprudence from Oxford University, where he was awarded the Martin Wronker University Prize for Law. Soo Chuen also holds a Master of Business Administration degree from Harvard Business School, where he was a George F. Baker Scholar. Before founding Discerene, Soo Chuen worked at Deccan Value Advisors, the Baupost Group, Halcyon Asset Management, and McKinsey & Company.

Masters in Business
Andrew Beer on the Hedge Fund Industry (Podcast)

Masters in Business

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 22, 2021 73:35


Bloomberg Opinion columnist Barry Ritholtz speaks with Andrew Beer, who serves as the managing member at Dynamic Beta investments LLC (formerly branded Beachhead Capital Management) and is co-portfolio manager of the firm's investment strategies. Beer has more than 25 years of experience in the alternative investment business. For more than a dozen years, his focus has been identifying strategies to match or outperform portfolios of leading hedge funds with low fees, daily liquidity and less downside risk. He started in the hedge fund industry in 1994, when he joined the Baupost Group as one of six generalist portfolio managers working for Seth Klarman.

RT
Redacted Tonight: Elon Musk reveals brain implant, FBI invents left-wing conspiracies

RT

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2020 28:30


Elon Musk recently unveiled a pig with a microchip brain implant. Lee Camp reviews the ways that Musk and his billionaire buddies could use this technology to surveil the public. The FBI continues to invent threats from environmental and racial justice activists that they can use to expand their budgets and persecute anyone who’s bothering them, and California Governor Gavin Newsom signs an emergency eviction relief law. Negligence by Pacific Gas & Electric Company has sparked several major wildfires in California, and its victims haven’t been compensated, but the Baupost Group made a fortune. Natalie McGill reports on the hedge fund that made $3 billion by taking advantage of these wildfire victims. Anders Lee brings Camp an update on the legal case of Breonna Taylor, and the story of how Hoboken, New Jersey is suing Exxon Mobil and other representatives of big oil for covering up the dangers of climate change.

Capital Allocators
Sustainable Investing 9: Reuben Munger – Private Capital Perspective (Capital Allocators, EP.147)

Capital Allocators

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 6, 2020 53:10


Reuben Munger is the Managing Partner of Vision Ridge Capital, a private investment firm with over $1 billion in assets that focuses on sustainable real assets. Reuben started Vision Ridge in 2008 after a decade of value investing experience at The Baupost Group. Our conversation discusses Reuben’s path and his approach to sustainable real asset investing in the private markets. We talk about his time at Baupost, transition from broad public market investing to focused venture impact investing personally, and the creation of Vision Ridge alongside Jeremy Grantham and Capricorn Investment Group. We then discuss Vision Ridge’s flexible investment strategy, creative structuring, portfolio construction, opportunities in power and mobility, competitive dynamics, team, and outlook. Learn More Read the Transcript Subscribe to the Capital Allocators Blog or Monthly Mailing List Don't Subscribe, but Let Us Know Who You Are Write a review on iTunes Follow Ted on twitter at @tseides Review past episodes of the Podcast

The Meb Faber Show
#220 - Andrew Beer, Dynamic Beta Investments - Can You Match Or Outperform Leading Hedge Funds, But With Low Fees, Daily Liquidity, And Less Downside Risk?

The Meb Faber Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2020 64:27


In episode 220 we welcome our guest, Andrew Beer of Dynamic Beta Investments. In today’s episode, we’re talking hedge funds and replication. We kick things off with some background that includes Andrew’s start in the industry with Seth Klarman’s Baupost Group in 1994. We discuss replication strategies, what Dynamic Beta is doing to try to outperform hedge fund portfolios, and most importantly, how they are doing it. We talk about the firm’s equity long/short and managed futures strategies, understanding key hedge fund allocations, and what the funds look like right now. As the conversation winds, down we chat COVID and what the future might look like for liquid alts. All this and more in episode 220 with Andrew Beer.

Social Capital
221: Be personal. Be yourself. - with Ian Reynolds

Social Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 27, 2020 26:33


Meet Ian Reynolds Ian Reynolds is a Partner and Chief Solutions Architect at Zibtek, a software development firm focused on helping businesses of all sizes in the US solve their core problems with software. They empower entrepreneurs, growth companies, enterprises and visionary firms to achieve greater profitability and efficiency, valuation and ultimate success by building the right tools through custom software. What is it that your company is doing to innovate and stay on top of the latest technologies? We have a select group of engineers who are just looking at a sort of smattering of the biggest and sort of most available trends and technology, mostly AI and these sorts of things. Just dedicated research to see if they can come up with any sort of projects that are going to be interesting, going to solve problems for our clients that we can then turn around and present research. We see the market going this way, here is something that we really feel will be of benefit to you and hopefully, of course, a benefit to us internally as we sort of provide services to the workplace. Can you talk a little bit about the types of clients that you help? There are three major categories that we serve. The first category is small businesses in the United States, which accounts for 90% of those firms as maybe 20 to 25% of our business. And these are folks who either have an idea or have a need for a piece of software that doesn't exist, and they're sort of bringing something new to market. Then we have midsize businesses, which account for the majority of our business. And they don't necessarily have that team in house that can solve that complex engineering problem that they have, that would resolve the core issue in their business or would basically allow them to focus more on operations. And of course, we have enterprise clients like Google and Adobe, that we serve, and we're building and supporting enterprise projects for them in house. And those are those are much more structured. Can you describe the process of building custom software and how a company goes about doing that? So building custom software is very much like building a house, you have to have a plan. You also have to have certain access to certain things. So we start with really sitting down the client understanding their needs. We had people come to us with literally just napkins where they have an idea. And so we have to take that translate that into a formal or textual document. We then go into a design and architecture phase, where we're actually reviewing the technologies that would be best fit for the solution. And then we're designing it. Sometimes we'll do a discovery phase, that's a couple weeks to really kind of test and make sure build what is called like a POC a proof of concept to see if this can be done. We then go into principal engineering where we pair a team that has built something before together. And then depending on the nature of the project, you have QA teams to make sure that the quality is sort of meeting our standards. Can you help our listeners by sharing your one of your favorite or most successful networking stories that you've had? I was actually revisiting a college campus. We were doing some recruiting. And I had bumped into a colleague that had basically made a pretty wild transition in their career and we just caught up very briefly. That conversation sparked a chain of referrals, which I found out later, where I had just sort of talked about what I was doing. And I took rather a sort of unconventional career path, started a chain of conversations on that person side. And then I find out years later, that they had actually come into also my circle of work, doing engineering, largely because of this conversation that I had with him. How do you stay in front of or nurture your networking community that you've established? I've taken an approach of trying to write very thoughtful pieces. And share those directly with a group of individuals, to a select group. I'll send it to people that I feel would be most relevant for just to share my thoughts on a topic. And what I find is real engagement, rather than sort of community or social engagement. It generates real conversations and lends itself to deeper, more meaningful, more thoughtful discussion about certain topics. And it's a lot more work I'll say that, but I would say it has generated much deeper sort of friendships. What advice would you offer that business professional who's looking to grow their network? My advice would be determine what type of communication you're comfortable doing. Then try to leverage that and get really, really good at that one type of communication, that one type of network communication that you prefer, and do that do that on steroids. And if you can, do it consistently. It'll work better than trying to be a man for all seasons. Digital networking or traditional networking – which do you find more value in? I'd say the, the digital networking is much more valuable. And I'd say by and large, because we have an increased sort of transaction philosophy in society with the use of technology people are out and about and they can be anywhere when they're working. And so it's much more, I guess, kind of consumable to present yourself digitally, than I think it is to even go to or be present at some of these networking events. If you could go back to your 20 year old self would you tell yourself to do more of less of or differently with regards to your professional career? If I could go back in time, I would probably tell myself to start a business sooner than later. Working in a professional environment was helpful, but not necessary. You can learn pretty much everything you want to learn if you just kind of jump feet first into the problem, and sort of make the problem your own and want to go consume the material. We've all heard of the six degrees of separation, who would be the one person that you'd love to connect with? And do you think you could do it within the six degree? it would probably be the Seth Klarman at Baupost Group. He's an individual investor guy living in Boston and totally unrelated to the field that I'm in. But he wrote a book that is no longer in print. And just a pretty interesting guy. He's got a unique perspective on the market, and has a long term view of where things are going. So I'd love to have chat with him if it could ever be arranged. Any final word of advice for our listeners with regards to growing and supporting your network? Being personal being yourself is the most valuable thing that I have done and the most valuable thing I would encourage people to do and be comfortable in your skin. Just be comfortable with who you are. Be a little goofy be a little nerdy. That's me. And just put yourself out there. How to connect with Ian: Email: hello@zibtek.com Website: https://www.zibtek.com/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ianjhreynolds/

Value Investing with Legends
David Abrams - Applying a Fundamental and Value-Oriented Approach to Investing

Value Investing with Legends

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 14, 2019 52:50


Today’s conversation is with investor David Abrams, who was described by the Wall Street Journal as a “one man wealth machine.” David is the CEO and Portfolio Manager of Abrams Capital, an investment firm that he founded in 1999. Abrams Capital is unlevered and long-term oriented and currently holds over $9 billion in assets under management. David is notoriously private and is not keen on interviews and appearances so I’m especially grateful to him for sharing with us today.  After graduating with a BA in History from the University of Pennsylvania, David made an unplanned entrance into a career in investing. It was then that he discovered his love for the field and he went on to work with another value investing legend, Seth Klarman of the Baupost Group, before starting his own firm. David is a member of the Board of Trustees of Berklee College of Music and an overseer of the College of Arts and Sciences at the University of Pennsylvania. On this episode, David and I discuss how his experience working on merger and risk arbitrage transactions led to his decision to join the Baupost Group, what it was like to start Abrams Capital in the midst of economic uncertainty, why David prefers a generalist approach, the importance of the fundamentals in assessing investment opportunities, and so much more!  Key Topics: How David got into investing after completing a BA in History (2:58) David’s experience with his first job in the investment world (3:45) David’s decision to join The Baupost Group and expand his expertise beyond arbitrage (7:01) Why David took a year off after leaving The Baupost Group (9:37) What it was like to start Abrams Capital on the heels of the stock market crash in 1998 (11:12) Why David wanted to have a broad mandate for Abrams Capital (12:54) The key factors to examine when analyzing the fundamental economics of a potential investment opportunity (14:11) The importance of forming judgments and using qualitative analysis rather than solely relying on the numbers (16:17) How the current market tolerance for risk and uncertainty has changed compared to 20-30 years ago (18:01) The increasing value of human and intellectual capital (19:42) Why an increased risk appetite and tolerance for failure is beneficial for the markets (20:26) The advantages and disadvantages of being a generalist (21:18) Why you always need to consider the position of the other side of the market (22:32) The assessments David uses to determine the fundamental value of a company (24:13) The impact of the relentless forces of competition on investment decisions (26:37) How the presence of catalysts affects investment requirements (28:53) David’s approach to developing a successful relationship with a company’s management team (29:56) Why exiting investments isn’t always a straightforward process (34:32) How David develops his investment wish list (36:55) How traveling helps David’s keep a broad perspective and outlook on various industries (39:06) The relationship between conviction and position sizing for David (40:51) David’s approach to industry diversification, currency risk, and hedging (41:26) Why David made the decision not to use leverage in his portfolio (44:02) Does the state of the economy at large factor into David’s investment process? (45:44) David’s perspective on the future of value investing and the asset management industry (49:09) And much more! Mentioned in this Episode: David Abrams’ Firm | Abrams Capital Rob Copeland’s Wall Street Journal Article | Hedge-Fund World's One-Man Wealth Machine Seth Klarman, CEO of the Baupost Group    Thanks for Listening! Be sure to subscribe on Apple, Google, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. And feel free to drop us a line at valueinvesting@gsb.columbia.edu. Follow the Heilbrunn Center on social media on Instagram, LinkedIn, and more!

Angel Invest Boston
Howard Stevenson, Founder, Angel & Scholar of Entrepreneurship - "Wealth & Families" Ep. 29

Angel Invest Boston

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 6, 2017 61:47


iTunes Podcast Page for Review & Subscribing If you want to get rich and to pass money to your kids, listen closely to Howard Stevenson. Here’s condensed wisdom from the heart of the investing world delivered with dry humor and charm. Professor Stevenson was a co-founder of storied Baupost Group and helped hire its legendary manager Seth Klarman. He began the study of entrepreneurship at Harvard Business School and eventually became HBS’ biggest fundraiser. His book “Wealth & Families” gives invaluable advice on how to make money and keep enough of it to hand down to the generations. My personal favorite is illustrated by this quote from the interview: “Whereas, some of my colleagues were going off consulting ... They were making a lot of money every day, and they go their XKE (Jaguar XKE, a coveted sports car of the era) quite quickly. I went off to places like Lima, Ohio, and I was paid $300 a day, but I got 1% of the company.” Howard Stevenson was forgoing high current income, and consumption, for the ability to own promising assets that would build his wealth in the long term. This approach contributed to Professor Stevenson becoming rich enough to need a family office to manage his money. Podcast Page on iTunes Where You Can Review & Subscribe This dynamic conversation includes: Howard Stevenson Bio How Howard Stevenson Started His Career Fear of the “Velvet Rut” Causes Howard Stevenson to Leave a Tenured Position at Harvard Business School Howard Stevenson: “A lot of people are fairly miserable in their job, but they fear change more than they look for the optionality that comes in change.” After a Sojourn in Entrepreneurship & Real Estate, Howard Stevenson Was Lured back to HBS Sal Daher: “There are not a lot of people that would turn down tenured positions at The Harvard Business School…” Howard Stevenson replies: “That's sad. I'm a trustee at Olin College, and they have no tenure. It's amazing what that does, because people are there voluntarily.” Howard Stevenson on Building Wealth: “I've always been experimental, because I don't believe I understand and can predict the future. By the way, when you look that the facts, very few people can.” Howard Stevenson’s 400x Investment in a Company with a “Stupid Business Plan” Howard Stevenson’s Four Criteria for Investing Howard Stevenson’s Portfolio Returns; Warren Buffett-Like Howard Stevenson on whether Entrepreneurship Can Be Taught Howard Stevenson’s Definition of Entrepreneurship The Best Due Diligence Is Time How Baupost Got Started and How Investing Wizard Seth Klarman Was Hired How Howard Stevenson Shops for Cars Howard Stevenson’s Advice for How Young People Can Build Wealth Mitt Romney & a Young Colleague on Spending Why You Should Review this Podcast on iTunes – It Really Helps Us iTunes Podcast Page Where You May Review & Subscribe "Most of the wealthy people I know, are better at making money than managing it." Howard Stevenson’s Journey in Investing Began by Reading Graham, Dodd & Cottle in 1961 "I was smart that I recognized the quality of the people. But, whether it was coming out at 2X or 400X, wasn't in my control." Talking to Your Kids About Money Transcript: Sal Daher: Welcome to Angel Invest Boston. Conversations with Boston's most interesting angel investors and founders. I'm Sal Daher, and my goal for this Podcast, is to learn more about building successful new companies. The best way I can think of doing this is by talking to people who have done it. People such as entrepreneur, angel investor, and scholar of entrepreneurship, Howard Stevenson. Professor Stevenson, Howard, I'm elated for the opportunity to interview you on this the 29th episode of our podcast. Thanks for hosting us at your offices. In this recording session outside our usual studio. This is what's normally called a remote. H. Stevenson: Well it's not so remote, it's right in Harvard Square. Sal Daher: That's right. Not too far away. Howard Stevenson Bio Howard Stevenson founded the storied Baupost Group, and is the father of entrepreneurial management, at the Harvard Business School. Howard has served on many boards, and his advice is prized by so many wealthy people. He has written extensively on business and social ventures. He has been generous with his time and treasure, towards philanthropic causes in which he believes. It is said that he has raised more money for Harvard Business School than anyone else. There is now a chair professorship named after him at HBS, in recognition of his outsized achievements. Starting out as a math major, Howard has had a methodical approach to wealth during his entire career. While he measured assiduously the growth of his net worth, he also paid close attention to choosing work that was satisfying to him, and valuable to others. Informed by fear of the “Velvet Rut” that can trap tenured academics. Howard found his own career trail in several industries. By taking astute long-term bets, he has become wealthy enough to need his own family office, though he does not like the term. In preparing for this interview, I read his latest book, Wealth and Families: Lessons from My Life Journey. Written with his longtime collaborator Shirley Spence. The book is a remarkable document, in that it grew out of another book. A book that he had written for his family, titled: Howard's Journey: Lessons from the Game of Life. This other book was written to impart his hard-earned lessons to his family. The family book was shared with a few close friends, who urged creation of a public version, which became Wealth and Families. Which, is the book we'll refer to in this conversation. In concluding my introduction, I'd like to read a beautiful blurb of the book by Howard's colleague, Kenneth A. Fruit of Harvard Business School. "It is hard to fathom, even once you've read it. The compactness of the wisdom and insight Howard Stevenson provides in this short book. His perspective is practical, yet enormously synthetic. Don't be confused by the direct "Oh shucks" tone. The simple folksy-sounding analysis of the complex problem of intergenerational wealth, belies Howard's incorporation, and absorption of much more of the magic of mathematically rigorous laws of compounding and diversification. Sprinkling in a foundational knowledge of the tax code and the law. It's that he has in his own mental frame incorporated a sense of people's humanity, their strengths and weaknesses, their goals and actual accomplishments. Based on successfully watching and doing for all these years. The wisest teachers have all along been life's best and most observant students. Howard and this integrative little book that you and your progeny should share, are just that." That's really beautifully written. H. Stevenson: Yes, and I didn't even pay him. Sal Daher: I know. I know those things are tremendous. How Howard Stevenson Started His Career As a service to our younger listeners Howard, I'd like to ask a question about how my massively successful guests got started in their careers. Tell us about the choice that confronted you when you completed your undergraduate in mathematics at Stanford, and what you chose. H. Stevenson: Well it was fairly easy. I discovered when I was at Stanford, there were people who were smarter than I am, love math more, and worked harder. I decided I didn't want to compete with them. I had looked at both law school, and business school, and in my great wisdom I discovered law school was three years long. Business school was two, and I chose business school. Sal Daher: A math major, you could count. H. Stevenson: I could count. Even on one hand. And, then I discovered that in fact Harvard gave me a bigger scholarship than Stanford for my continuation. End of story on the career that got me into Harvard Business School. Staying on to teach was another decision, which I think is, I've always loved learning, and what better way to learn than to teach. So, I did that for a couple of years, and then played investment banker with a friend on doing deals for small companies. Then I came back to the business school to do ... Well I came back to tell them I wasn't coming back, and they said, "What are you going to do?" And, I said, "Well I'm going to be a VP of Finance of a real estate company." That meant that they thought that I knew something about real estate. I'd never read a book on the subject. I never had done anything in the field, and they said, "Do you want to teach the course?" And thought, "What better way to learn?" So, I came back to the business school, started a real estate course, or took over one that was sort of moribund. And, did that for five years. I came up for tenure, and I got tenure, and the Dean told me to do something important. So, I left again. Fear of the “Velvet Rut” Causes Howard Stevenson to Leave a Tenured Position at Harvard Business School But, part of the motivation of leaving was that I saw a lot of people in this “Velvet-lined Rut’. That it's very easy when you're successful, to keep doing what you're already doing. But, in fact the only way you can get from doing the wrong thing to the right thing, is probably doing the right thing poorly. And, so you have to learn, and I watch people who run the top of little hill, who didn't want to go down in the valley to try something new. Sal Daher: This is very interesting. Very, very interesting. I wanted to elucidate a little bit, what was meant by the Velvet Rut. You think that academics tend to perhaps specialize a great deal? Become the most knowledgeable in a field, but are afraid to venture out, where they're not as knowledgeable? H. Stevenson: Or where there're people who won't think they're as knowledgeable. But, I don't think that's restricted to academics. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Howard Stevenson: “A lot of people are fairly miserable in their job, but they fear change more than they look for the optionality that comes in change.” H. Stevenson: A lot of people are fairly miserable in their job, but they fear change more than they look for the optionality that comes in change. Sal Daher: Ah, yes. The optionality that comes in change. H. Stevenson: And, we can never predict the results of change. Sal Daher: No. No. H. Stevenson: So, for me I said, "Look, I can always get a job." I think the dean, at that point was not interested in what I was doing, which was entrepreneurship and real estate. And I said, "Why do I want to work at some place where they don't value what I'm doing?" Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) After a Sojourn in Entrepreneurship & Real Estate, Howard Stevenson Was Lured back to HBS H. Stevenson: That led me to work with a private company. Became VP of Finance of a private company. Helped them raise money. Got some control systems in place. A whole bunch of things. So, I had a lot of learning, but after five years the learning went away and I ... The dean had heard that I was dissatisfied, and came and said, "You want to do something in entrepreneurship?" And this was a new dean, and he was a person I knew and trusted, and so I said, "Yes". Sal Daher: It's a new direction and a new discipline that challenged you at the time. So, you felt that that did not have the risks of constraining you within this rut. H. Stevenson: Absolutely not, and beyond that I knew that I could leave again. Sal Daher: There are not a lot of people that would turn down tenured positions at The Harvard Business School. No, that is impressive. Sal Daher: “There are not a lot of people that would turn down tenured positions at The Harvard Business School…” Howard Stevenson replies: “That's sad. I'm a trustee at Olin College, and they have no tenure. It's amazing what that does, because people are there voluntarily.” H. Stevenson: That's sad. I'm a trustee at Olin College, and they have no tenure. It's amazing what that does, because people are there voluntarily. Sal Daher: Yes, yes. That is a remarkable organization. We're going to talk a little bit now about building wealth. What type of early stage investments have you made, and how have they turned out over time? Howard Stevenson on Building Wealth: “I've always been experimental, because I don't believe I understand and can predict the future. By the way, when you look that the facts, very few people can.” H. Stevenson: I've always been experimental, because I don't believe I understand and can predict the future. By the way, when you look that the facts, very few people can. Sal Daher: That's right. H. Stevenson: We've always tried to invest in places where, in the early stage, I prefer to invest when people have some revenue. Because, it points to the fact that there is somebody that's willing to have a cash-ectomy performed on their wallet. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) H. Stevenson: We like to be broadly diversified. I'm not trying to guess what's going to be in the next public market. Sal Daher: You prefer companies that are post-revenue? That are ... H. Stevenson: Post revenue. Sal Daher: Earning, okay. H. Stevenson: And ... Sal Daher: In a growth stage? H. Stevenson: In a growth stage, where they need the money to ... If it's in biotech, I prefer something where the scientific risk is out. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) H. Stevenson: But the market risk is still there. The best investment I ever made was in a company that had a really stupid business plan. But, the people were fantastic. Sal Daher: Yes. Howard Stevenson’s 400x Investment in a Company with a “Stupid Business Plan” H. Stevenson: They were in an industry that I thought was very interesting. I thought that what they were doing in that industry made no sense. Over a couple of years, they morphed, and that's probably returned 400 to 1. Sal Daher: Oh, the 400 to 1 return that everybody's looking for, to pay for the rest of the portfolio. H. Stevenson: Yes. But ... Sal Daher: Which company was that? H. Stevenson: It's a company called Asurion. Sal Daher: Asurion. H. Stevenson: And, they are very quiet, I'm still invested. Sal Daher: Yes. H. Stevenson: They're doing very well. One of my friends, who's a noted venture capitalist, turned them down because the business plan was too stupid. That's been one of the worst decisions he ever made. Whereas, one of the other venture capitalists that put a little money in, it's the best decision he's made in his life. Sal Daher: I know, those kinds of investments are few and far between, and when you turn one of those down, it's hard to live it down. H. Stevenson: You have to live life forward, you can't live with regrets. Sal Daher: True, true, true, but I think there is some room for learning. Howard Stevenson’s Four Criteria for Investing H. Stevenson: I think the thing that I've learned is. I have four criteria for investing in companies I know and love. Is the person honest? Because, if they're not honest they'll screw you some way. Sal Daher: Oh yeah, that goes without saying. H. Stevenson: Now how do you figure out if they're honest? Well, there're two ways: 1. You know them. Or, 2. One of my favorite questions is, "Tell me about the sharpest deal you ever did?" And, it's amazing what people will tell you. One guy told me how he cheated the IRS. And you say, "Well if they can send you to jail, and I can't, and you're still willing to do it, I think I know something about your value system." Sal Daher: That is remarkable, that is remarkable. H. Stevenson: The second criteria, that I like to use in investing is: Are they nice? By that I mean, are they looking out for somebody other than themselves? Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) H. Stevenson: I've had experience in start-up or early stage investments, where the entrepreneur takes care of themselves really well, and the early stage investors not so much. Sal Daher: Left hold the proverbial bag. H. Stevenson: Well, or holding nothing. We have one that just went public, and I think compared to my investments, I'll make 10 cents on the dollar, even though the company was successful. And, I went through three or four rounds, and I discovered what the person was. But, trying to figure out are they nice, that means talking to people that know them. Looking at past decisions. I've had investors ... Or, I've had companies where we lost all the money, and they gave me stock in the next venture they did. Which is a good sign that they are nice people. Sal Daher: Yeah, that is a nice sign, yeah. H. Stevenson: The third element is: Are they curious? Because if you believe that the future is impossible to predict, then anybody who thinks they know the future absolutely, is not looking around the corner. I go back to my example of the best one we ever did. They had a bad plan, but they were curious, and they said, "Where can we serve this group of customers, with a very profitable notion?" And, they found it. Howard Stevenson’s Portfolio Returns; Warren Buffett-Like And the last is: Are they smart? Because, this is a very complicated field. Now you ask how we've done. We've been doing it for about 25 years, since I sold down some of my position at Baupost, and left active management. I was the president for the first eight years. We probably return 17% or 18%. Probably 12% without the real big winner. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative). So, a little bit ahead of what Baupost has done in the same time? H. Stevenson: Yes. I guess I look at it, and I say, when I've done the analysis ... Sal Daher: Probably a lot higher beta. H. Stevenson: Yeah. It's actually interesting, I've divided things into five categories. Stuff happened, I don't use the word stuff when I'm talking about this. Sal Daher: Yes. I understand. H. Stevenson: That was a ... The guy got a pancreatic cancer soon after we invested. The Tanzanian government it over, because it was too profitable, and they wanted their cousin to own it. And, you can go through some, but there weren't a lot of those. There was the wrong on the bet category. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) H. Stevenson: It was a good bet, but it didn't work. And, I think in a lot of what we're doing, you've got to differentiate between, is it a good bet, and did it work? Sal Daher: Yes. H. Stevenson: Because, on a high variance bet, it's not going to work out all the time. But, one of the things we always try to do is say, "What are we betting on? What are the three or four conditions we're betting on?" And, then sometimes they're not going to work. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) H. Stevenson: Then there is, we made it safely through. Then there was a few good things happened. If you take the bottom three categories, I think we got about 7% out of that total pool because ... Sal Daher: Wow! Well that's not bad, yeah. H. Stevenson: When you're post revenue, in some ways you don't ... You're not going to lost everything. Sal Daher: No, no. H. Stevenson: But one of the interesting ... Sal Daher: I've had at least one post revenue company that lost everything, because they were so highly leveraged. That's the thing, if they have revenue, there's a temptation to borrow. H. Stevenson: Yeah, but I think that one of the things about it is, that if you're working with the right people, they are ready to say, "It's not working". Then they turn their task to getting something for the company. Instead of, as some people are, they'll just throw the dice, until they run out of money. Somebody who's nice and curious, is probably going to spend some time saying, "It really isn't working, is there some way we can salvage something for us, and the investors?" Sal Daher: Yeah, that really is remarkable wisdom. H. Stevenson: Then some good things happened. Largely that was when somebody else wanted it worse than we did. Then there's the wows, and there are probably five wows. The one I told you about is by far the biggest one, but there were quite a few that returned 30 to 1. Sal Daher: Wow. H. Stevenson: And you say, "What field were you in?" They were all over the lot. Sal Daher: Wow, so no specialization? H. Stevenson: No specialization. Sal Daher: Interesting. I was having a conversation with a young venture capitalist yesterday, who is a part of MIT angels. He says, "I'm very specialized in biotech. Everyone, of these deals I can see all the problems with them, and solve them and so on." And he said, "I don't understand how you can make money, without that level of specialization." The answer for me at least, is that I'm investing much earlier than he is. So, my judgment isn't really based on knowing exactly what the industry is, and so forth. It's much more based on character, and so forth. The sort of thing that you're talking about. That is what makes it possible for you to be investing. If, you're investing early enough. The remarkable thing is that you're investing in post revenue, and you're still making those judgment calls based on character, and making money. Which is tremendous. H. Stevenson: I think that part of it is that nobody knows the future, no matter how many PhDs you have. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) H. Stevenson: In the biology field, I've had people present things to me. They say, "This is absolutely unique." And, I walk back to my office, and I get a business plan, that if I just crossed out the names, it would be the same. Sal Daher: It would be the same, yes. H. Stevenson: So, my belief that you have a unique upside. Just think, even Uber. How many examples are there of Uber? Sal Daher: That's right. The ones that failed, there were many of them, and Lyft, which is still extant. But the reality is that, ideas are a dime a dozen, and execution is very, very hard. H. Stevenson: One of my favorite stories about this is, in 1993 and the personal computer is coming out. We said, "There's got to be a role for this in home accounting." Sal Daher: Ah. H. Stevenson: We found a guy from Procter and Gamble, because we knew you'd need marketing. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) H. Stevenson: They'd written a software. It was good software. It worked fine on the apple. Unfortunately, not on the PC. And, it started literally within a week of Quicken. Sal Daher: Ah! H. Stevenson: So, you look and you say if I took two business plans, look at the resumes of the people, I couldn't tell the difference. Sal Daher: No. H. Stevenson: One is wallpaper, and the other is a fortune. Sal Daher: Quicken, they managed to establish a process for developing a product. Which was really, tremendously impressive. H. Stevenson: That, but I think they may have gotten into Staples slightly before we did. Sal Daher: That's all part of the product development process. H. Stevenson: Yep. Sal Daher: The product is developed enough, that Staples can distribute it. As a matter of fact, I'm trying to think of who it is that I interviewed recently who has the founder of Quicken as his ... H. Stevenson: Scott Cook? Sal Daher: Scott Cook, yes is his idol. H. Stevenson: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Sal Daher: I think it came out in the podcast. H. Stevenson: Yeah, a P&G guy. He's not a technology guru. Sal Daher: Well, he's another P&G guy, because you guys were backing a P&G guy as well. H. Stevenson: Yes. Sal Daher: Well I'm in the process of writing ... H. Stevenson: HBS guy too. Sal Daher: HBS guy. Well I'm in the process of writing a check right now to P&G, J&J, HBS guy. So, I hope it's going to work out. H. Stevenson: I can guarantee you won't know until it does. Sal Daher: I know. That is absolutely true. That is absolutely true. Howard Stevenson on whether Entrepreneurship Can Be Taught You've done a lot of research, and given all your business experience. This is a tough question. Do you believe there are certain personality types that are more conducive to entrepreneurship, or can it just be taught to anyone? Bill Aulet, thinks it can be taught. H. Stevenson: Can I answer no, to both questions? Sal Daher: Absolutely. H. Stevenson: Well, in the old days before I started to work in entrepreneurship, there were people who said, "Well, they've studied it carefully and you need ... Being a first born helps, because 44% of the entrepreneurs are first born." Failing to notice that 44% of the population is first born. There were other deep studies of locusts of control, and other things. It turns out to be nonsense. I don't think that there's a personality type. Because, if you're going to run a cable television company, you could be the wallflower at the accounting convention. Sal Daher: Right, right. H. Stevenson: If you're going to run a promotion based ... Look at Steve Jobs’ personality. I mean ... Sal Daher: Absolutely. H. Stevenson: I can go through Ken Olsen. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Howard Stevenson’s Definition of Entrepreneurship H. Stevenson: You look at the great entrepreneurs, and if you can find a single personality type, I think you've got a flawed test. So, I would reject that. On the other hand, I don't think that you can teach entrepreneurship to anybody. What I always thought we're doing when we're trying to teach entrepreneurship. Is if you take the students who come to Harvard Business School, they're opportunity driven. And, as you may know, I tried to define entrepreneurship as the opportunity beyond the resources you currently control. Sal Daher: Yes. Stevenson: Almost any kid, who walks into Harvard Business School, Sloan School. They didn't get there because they were shy, retiring ... Sal Daher: No. Stevenson: Just hoping to make it to the first level of the company, and then they'll stop. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: What we tried to do is, to show them that somebody like them could accomplish it. So, you had the cases on women, you had cases on African Americans, you had cases on people who started late, people who started immediately. Although, I tried to discourage people from starting early. Because there's a lot of research that shows, you got to know something about your customer in your market place. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: You ought to be known. Because you're going to go out to raise resources, and the more that other people know you and trust you, the better off you are. But, I think what you have to do is have the self-knowledge to say ... Probably politically incorrect say, "I know there's a lot of money to be made in China, but it won't be made by people that look like me." Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) No, really the problem of information, and the fact that it's broadly disseminated, and people who have local information have an advantage, over someone coming from the outside. That is broadly recognized. I see the point that you're making, that you think that what the academic experience can do, is inspire people with models. Stevenson: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Sal Daher: That have, through cases and so forth. They can get people thinking, "I can do that." Which is a little bit of what I hope to do through this program, with angel investing. Is, to get people saying, "I don't have to be Mark Zuckerberg, to invest as an angel. I can be a guy who has built a business, who's got some experience and so forth. And, I can probably help some young person who's building a business." Stevenson: Well, what I said about ... There were two things that I was trying to do, accomplish. One was planting time bombs in people's mind, that exploded when they stepped on the opportunity. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: The second thing that I think you try and do, is keep them from doing really stupid things. Sal Daher: Ah, okay. Stevenson: I have a sign in my office at home that says, "It's great to learn from other people's mistakes, and you've been a real blessing to me." Sal Daher: Yeah. The ability to learn from other people's experience. It's a lot cheaper than learning from your own experience. Stevenson: That's what you try and do as a teacher is ... But, you also have to say there is no one right way. The business plan, no I've never had a business plan that worked out the way it was written. Sal Daher: My first interview with Michael Mark, who's founded several companies as a technology founder. And, he said he had invested in more than 200 startups, and he could think of one business plan that went according to plan, Progress Software. All the other ones necessitated pivots. Stevenson: The first thing I would say is, the fact that writing a business plan can be helpful, because you have to express the bets that you're making. So, you actually know what you're shooting at. Sal Daher: Absolutely. Stevenson: But, if you think that the business plan has foreseen all possible combinations ... Even just timing is at best, a random event in some ways. Sal Daher: That's right. In your book I think you quote Eisenhower saying, "Planning is everything. Plans are nothing." Stevenson: That was my doctoral dissertation. Had a lot to the defining strengths and weaknesses. Didn't matter what you wrote down at the end. It was, you were asking the question, "How do we compare to the other people trying to accomplish the same thing we are?" Sal Daher: So, going through the process of planning, you develop understanding. Even though things don't work out as you expect, at least you know a little bit about the lay of the land. So that when things change, you can regroup and do an informed approach. Stevenson: I would also say that one of the things that I look for in a business plan, is have they looked honestly at the competition. Sal Daher: Ah. Stevenson: I can't tell you how many business plans and software I've read that says, "We've done this for $300,000, and it would take everyone else 2 million." Sal Daher: I've seen a lot of those, yeah. Stevenson: There's a lot of competition out there, and you need to have some humility on the part of the entrepreneur and the investor to say, "We're going to be out there in a tough market. How are we going to win? Where do we have a competitive advantage?" Sal Daher: In those situations, one trick that I've learned from some of my colleagues in Walnut Ventures is, give them a little time. If they're at the beginning of the race, don't tell them that you're going to invest with them. Give them three months, and then see where they are, in those three months. See how much progress they've made during that time. They've told you everything about where they are now. If, in three months they're still telling you the same things, and they have competition, so that they're not very good at implementation. So, they're not going to get anywhere. The Best Due Diligence Is Time Stevenson: We always say the best due diligence is time. In fact, I was talking to one of the famous venture capitalists, who was a former student, and a good friend. And I said, "Isn't due diligence highly overrated?" And he says, "Yeah, I need to make five calls." He said, "I just need to know, which five people I talk to." I think that's true in most of this area for us as investors is, do you know somebody that knows the field? Do you know somebody that knows the person? Do you know somebody that knows the state of the financial markets for that particular fashion element? There's a lot of stuff ... Sal Daher: Absolutely. Stevenson: That, you don't need to talk to everybody in the world. And, getting a 2000-page report from Bain and Company, or McKinsey, is not going to help you understand where the world is going. Sal Daher: No, no it's not. It's not. How Baupost Got Started and How Investing Wizard Seth Klarman Was Hired Howard, I'm very curious to hear the story of the founding of Baupost. Hiring of Seth Klarman. For those listeners who do not know of Seth Klarman, think Warren Buffett a quarter century younger. Stevenson: I'll start with a recent search that I was working on for a not for profit. The people said, "We need to hire somebody like, X." And I said, "No you're going to be hiring someone like X was 30 years ago." Sal Daher: Yeah. Stevenson: That was true of Seth. Here you had an extremely bright young man, who loved two things. He liked stocks. He liked betting. Baupost was founded because, Bill Poorvu had sold WCVB, or was selling CVB, and I had worked with him quite a bit. And, Jordan Baruch ... Sal Daher: Bill Poorvu, fellow professor at the Harvard Business School. Stevenson: Yes. Sal Daher: Who had been owner of the television station, WCVB channel 5, here in Boston. Stevenson: A part of it, yes. Sal Daher: A part of it, yeah. Stevenson: And, Jordan Baruch was a professor at MIT. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: Who, was one of the early ... I think he was employee number four, Bolt, Beranek & Newman. Sal Daher: Okay, okay. Stevenson: And Isaac Auerbach was one of the early employees of UNIVAC. Sal Daher: Okay. Stevenson: And, he was a good friend of Jordan's. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: So, as Bill was about to receive some money he said, "Help me how to figure out how we get the money managed." So, the first hire was an administrator. Deloitte's going to come in, you better make sure you can account for it. Sal Daher: You can put it in somewhere. Stevenson: Well, make sure you can account for it first. Sal Daher: At least cash the checks. Stevenson: Yes. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: Then Seth was a student of Bill's, and he said, "This is an unusual guy. What are we going to do with him?" And I said, "Who knows?" We started out looking at, how do we select money managers? Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: This was 1982. After you talk to a number of money managers, you say, "We can do better than that." Sal Daher: The industry was not highly developed at that time. Stevenson: The industry, it was ... White shoe, everybody was into recreational vehicles. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: It was a screwy industry, and always has been. Sal Daher: Right, right. Stevenson: We hired Seth. We looked at ... Sal Daher: But what is it that you saw in Seth, that set him apart? Stevenson: The same things that I talked about earlier. He was honest. He'd worked for honest people. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: I wouldn't hire somebody from, you can name the firm. Sal Daher: Absolutely, yeah. Stevenson: He doesn't even need to work there, I don't want to work for me. He certainly understood the charitable notions that I think the other founders had. I think they were all deeply committed to other people, and that was attractive to him. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: It wasn't, they were trying to make the most money, and so you saw the niceness come through there. Clearly curious, you don't work the pink sheets, if you're not curious. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: Because, nobody else was covering them. Sal Daher: No, no. Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: That was one of the things I liked about him is, he was willing to do original research. Rather than call up Goldman and say, "What's hot today?" Sal Daher: Yeah. Stevenson: And their answer is, "Whatever I got a lot to sell off." Sal Daher: Exactly, exactly. Stevenson: And, he's clearly smart. He's a Baker Scholar. So, we saw that and ... Sal Daher: But the idea of patient investing, of buying things that are deeply underpriced, and holding them until they are, not fully valued, I know you always sold early. But, until other people begin to have an interest in them, that is something that's attracted me to him. Because, it's a lot similar to what my partner and I did in emerging markets. We were always early, buying stuff at incredibly cheap, and selling into the market as it began. People made a lot of money buying stuff off of us. And, the same thing with Seth Klarman. So, how did you detect that? That quality in him. Stevenson: I like to think I even taught him some of that. The expression we gave was, "Feed the birdies, when they're hungry." Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: And, he transitioned into being the president after about six years. Because, people don't want to give a 26-year-old all of their money. And, we had all of the money, of all of the clients. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: So, there was concern. This is a different approach. I think one of the things that also Seth has been brilliant at, and I like to think I had something to do with it. Is, not ... Because we had all the money, you didn't get stuck on we're buying big cap stocks. It was ... Sal Daher: Ah, okay. Stevenson: So, a lot of the success was, you moved from sector to sector. So, you bought real estate, when real estate was dead cheap. You bought busted bonds. I can go through the history and ... Sal Daher: And, given the composition of the investors, the original investors. They were a small number of people, who had a long-term outlook. They had a much healthier attitude towards the market, than a lot of people have today. Because if you're a young, rising fund manager, you live or die by your last results. In your ... Stevenson: No. And, frankly as we're building the business, we turned down a lot of those people. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: We didn't think the acquisition of assets was important as the acquisition of good clients. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: Also, we were interested in who the family was. Not, do they have a name. Sal Daher: Right, right. Stevenson: But, how they dealt with each other. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: Because, you were trying to create something, and I think Baupost still has that feeling that it's everybody's in it together. So, it was, everybody participated in the performance fee, down to the secretary. Everybody ate from the same pizza box. Sal Daher: That is wonderful. That's something Warren Buffett complains says his secretary pays a higher tax rate than he does. Stevenson: Yes. Sal Daher: In this case, even the secretary is paying a high tax rate. Stevenson: Yep. Sal Daher: A low tax rate, I should say. Stevenson: Yes. Sal Daher: Because, she is benefiting on the ... Or he, in the ... Stevenson: Right. That was certainly the case then, and they tried to spread through. Sal Daher: That's really laudable. I have great admiration for the firm that you helped put together, and its outcome is really impressive. Stevenson: Well it's Baruch, Auerbach, Poorvu and Stevenson, is where the name came from. Sal Daher: So it's Baruch. Stevenson: Baruch, Auerbach. Sal Daher: Auerbach. Stevenson: A U B A Sal Daher: B A Stevenson: A U Sal Daher: A U Stevenson: P O and S T Sal Daher: And, S T of Stevenson. Stevenson: Yes. I think it happened with a piña colada somewhere on the Caribbean. How Howard Stevenson Shops for Cars Sal Daher: Howard, I find the way you shop for cars, particularly instructive. Please elaborate. Stevenson: I don't shop for cars. When my oldest child turned 16, I handed him a signed check and said, "Go buy me a car." And, people look at me like I'm crazy. But, in fact what I was trying to say to him is, "I trust you. I believe you'll do good research, and I respect your judgment." Because part of the process of educating kids is not saying, "I'm smarter, better, faster than you are." It's saying, "I am asking for your help in important things." I look at buying a car ... First, I hate dealing with car dealers, so I look at it as a pain. I was reasonably sure my sons, who love cars ... Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: Would spend more time harassing car dealers. Which, made me feel like I was getting even with these guys. But, in fact they really do the research thing. So, they come back with a great knowledge of the packages that are available. What you want, what you don't want, and what was my risk? A couple thousand dollars, at worst? Sal Daher: Yeah, you might overpay a little bit for a car, but your kid will learn. Stevenson: But, I don't think I ever overpaid. I am absolutely sure that they got better deals than I would. Because, I'd walk in and say, "Oh, I like that car. How much it cost?" Because, I want to get out as fast as I can. Sal Daher: That's interesting, my father-in-law used to do that with his children. He used to give them, when they went to college, the money for the whole year. Give them one check and say, "Here, you've got to pay tuition, your cost of living, everything." Of course, he was overseas in Argentina, and they all came here, and it all worked out. But, sometimes it goes wrong. My dad had a cousin, who when he was away at a university, his family sent him money for the year, and he took the money, and he gambled. Stevenson: Yeah. Sal Daher: So, he didn't have any money for tuition, or anything like that, and then he was afraid to go back home, when everybody else graduated, because he still hadn't studied. Stevenson: Well, but again a car is a different thing. Sal Daher: Absolutely. Stevenson: I would know whether they bought the car or not. Sal Daher: There are guardrails, yeah. Stevenson: And, they probably do have fraud and collusion among the dealers. There's lots of reasons why that's, trust but verify in some ways. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: But it leads to a lot of trust in the judgment. But, it's also a sign of respect for their work, and their ability to think, and their ability to plan. And, I think they figured out that they would get the used car. So, they bought cars they wanted on the next round. Sal Daher: Yeah, so they're highly incented to do that. And, it's consonant also with your idea of having the children be brought in early on wealth, brought in early on responsibility for money, and so forth. Which unfortunately nowadays, children really don't have much of a sense of that, of responsibility with money, and so forth. They don't work, they don't make their own money. At least in my experience, children in America work a lot less, than they used to 20, 30 years ago. Stevenson: The rules are harder to comply with, if you're a company. Sal Daher: Yes, absolutely. Stevenson: We have a friend who owns a car dealership and he got an OSHA citation because he had his 15-year-old son sweeping the floor. So, to me the question of how do you teach responsibility? Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: How do you teach trust? Sal Daher: Yes. Stevenson: How do you live by example? Are the critical things in Wealth and Families. Sal Daher: That is really beautifully said.  Now what advice would you give a young person about building his or her own wealth? Howard Stevenson’s Advice for How Young People Can Build Wealth Stevenson: I think the most important thing you can start at is, assets are more important than income. At least for me I can speak only in the things I tried to teach the kids. But, if you have a high income, you usually have high expenditures. Whereas, some of my colleagues were going off consulting their ... Consulting was a euphemism for teaching in outside courses at GE. They were making a lot of money every day, and they go their XKE (Jaguar XKE, a coveted sports car of the era) quite quickly. I went off to places like Lima, Ohio, and I was paid $300 a day, but I got 1% of the company. Sal Daher: Ah. Stevenson: I always tried to look at the assets side, because I couldn't spend it. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: Which meant, if I was right, I was saving it. Sal Daher: So, you looked towards building assets? Stevenson: Yes. Sal Daher: Instead of building income, necessarily? Stevenson: Yes. Sal Daher: And in time these assets will generate income, but you weren't looking about income today. Stevenson: I wasn't looking for income today, and I was always trying to say, "How do I use my current income to pay the taxes?" So, I could compound after tax, rather than pre-tax. Sal Daher: Yes. And, another thing that is mentioned in your book. You emphasize very clearly that a house, is not an asset. Stevenson: No, and a mortgage is ... I think of a mortgage as a funny beast. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: Because when I didn't have any money, as I said, "I was a scholarship student." Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: Then a mortgage was a functional equivalent of rent. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: I still have mortgages, even though I don't need one. But I think of it as the cheapest way to lever my investment portfolio. Sal Daher: Well yes, if you have been reliably producing 16%, 17% returns every year, it makes sense to borrow at 3% or 4%. That is remarkable. So, I really like that advice. Concentrate on building assets, and think about high income leads to high expenditures. That reminds me of a story of Mitt Romney. Stevenson: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Mitt Romney & a Young Colleague on Spending Sal Daher: This is after he had had his initial success. He was with Bain Capital already. A young associate got his first bonus check and he went out and he bought a fancy sports car, and he gave Mitt a ride. Mitt was famous for beat up station wagons. Are you familiar with this story? Stevenson: No, no. I know Mitt well, he was a student of mine. Same class as George Bush, by the way. Sal Daher: I'm not going to ask, who got the higher grade. Stevenson: You don't need to. Sal Daher: I know, no. But, anyway ... So, the young partner said ... Is driving Mitt around, and Mitt was very impressed, he says "Geez, I wish I could afford a car like this." And the young associate said, "Well, Mitt you're worth hundreds of millions of dollars. You can afford this." And the kid didn't get the sense that Mitt didn't think he could afford the fancy sports car. This young kid with his first bonus check goes out and blows it on a fancy car. Stevenson: Well, I think the other thing Mitt would probably say if you got him under sodium pentothal. He doesn't drink so ... Sal Daher: Yeah, I know. That's the darned thing with Mormons, you can't get them drunk. Stevenson: I was raised in Holladay Utah, so I understand it. But I think it's also what behavior you're modeling for your kids. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: Because, as my grandmother would say, "Your actions speak so loudly, I cannot hear a word you say." Sal Daher: That is very wise, very wise. Why You Should Review this Podcast on iTunes – It Really Helps Us iTunes Page for the Podcast Where You Can Review and Subscribe Coming up next, we will be shifting to managing your wealth. A matter about which Professor Stevenson has deep experience. However, before we do that, I'd like to take the opportunity to thank listener, SewNow, who left this review on iTunes. "Definitely worth a listen. The series is full of very useful information. It is clear to me that Sal has put a lot of effort into it." SewNow, you have done your part to support the podcast. We bring stellar guests like Professor Howard Stevenson. We come to you free, with no schlocky ads, and professional sound, and you can help by following the example of SewNow, and leaving a review on iTunes. The listenership is growing with every episode, breaking records. It's something like 10% or 15% every month, that they're growing now. That growth combined with more reviews, will eventually cause the iTunes algorithm to start featuring the show. Thus, your review is critical to us. Thanks "Most of the wealthy people I know, are better at making money than managing it." Howard, in your book Wealth and Families you state, "Most of the wealthy people I know, are better at making money than managing it." Please take this opportunity to elaborate on taking on the responsibility of managing your wealth. Stevenson: Well I believe firmly that, you're accountable for your own actions. And, not everybody takes that to the management of their wealth. They think they can outsource it, and the results are often what you'd expect. But, I think it's also, you have to know your own objectives. Why am I interested in wealth? Is there an amount beyond that, it's for charity, or for my kids? I think that thinking through clearly, what your objectives are, and when I use the word your, I mean your spouse, and you probably. Because, if you start early enough, the kids don't have major voice. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: But it's also a subject that's quite un-discussable. I don't know how wealthy many of my friends are, because we never discuss the subject. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: It seems to me that at least within the family, you've got to say, "Here's where we are. Here's where we're going. Here's how we're going to get there." Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: That involves a lot of decisions that are complicated. That's before you get to what you do with it, when you have it. Sal Daher: Right, right. Howard Stevenson’s Journey in Investing Began by Reading Graham, Dodd & Cottle in 1961 Stevenson: I guess for me, the question is ... Most people would rather talk to their kids about sex than money. So, you don't learn it at home, in most cases. So, you have to in fact reach out to say, "what do I need to know, to be successful?" So, I started by reading Graham, Dodd, and Cottle in 1961. Sal Daher: Not a bad start. Stevenson: It's probably as good a start as you can have if you want to be a value investor. Sal Daher: Absolutely, absolutely, yeah. Stevenson: That probably is one of the things that made Seth appeal to me. But, all along I felt like, I had to take ownership of my own results. That didn't mean you didn't use brokers. That didn't mean you didn't hire a financial planner occasionally, but you had to take responsibility for your own results. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: But that's humbling. Sal Daher: It is, it is. Stevenson: Because, you'll never know all you need to know. Sal Daher: And, taxing because you will inevitably have reverses. Stevenson: Yes. Sal Daher: And people have the attitude that if they ever lose any money, they've failed. But the goal is not to never lose money. The goal is to grow over time. Stevenson: Well, and anytime you lose money ... Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: It helps to say, "Why?" Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: And you go back to my five categories. Stuff happened, there's nothing you can do. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: I was wrong on the bet. I knew the bet, but something happened that was different than I was betting on. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: Also, the humility on the other side to say, "I wasn't a genius because I invested in X." Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) "I was smart that I recognized the quality of the people. But, whether it was coming out at 2X or 400X, wasn't in my control." Stevenson: "I was smart that I recognized the quality of the people. But, whether it was coming out at 2X or 400X, wasn't in my control." Sal Daher: Right, right. Stevenson: Whereas, I can assure you, if you listen to many of the professional investors they will say, "I knew it all along." Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: And, in fact many of the 100% losses I had were done when I was investing side by side with professional venture capitalists. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: Because, their motive is to shoot for the moon. Sal Daher: Right, right. That is pretty deep. Very good. I guess we talked about this a little bit, but could you go a little bit more into hiring the professional help you need, beyond the financial planner and CPA. When someone starts to accumulate significant wealth. Give us some hints. This is well explained in your book, but maybe give some teasers, that will lead people to look in your book for a really well-developed approach to it. Stevenson: Again, like most things, I'm somewhat humble about giving the absolute rules. But, there are people you know and trust. The first thing is, I don't require a lot of due diligence if Bill Poorvu calls and says, "I want to do this." Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: You say, "How much can I come in for?" Sal Daher: Right, right, right. Stevenson: After working with him for 43 years, I have a great deal of faith in his judgment. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: And, they're not all going to win, but when you know and trust people you can get by with little due diligence, and you can ... Also, it's going to be low cost. I don't pay him a fee. Sal Daher: Right, right. In contrast to the process that you went through when you're setting up your family foundation. The Stevenson Family ... Stevenson: Charitable Trust. Sal Daher: Charitable ... No, no, not the trust but the one for managing the funds of the family and ... Stevenson: That we just did ourselves. Sal Daher: Right, right, but you had quotes from ... Stevenson: We had quotes from ... Sal Daher: From various people, and they were just absurdly high. So, you brought your son into it, and then you hire people to do particular chores, and so on and so forth. So, you don't have a lot of high overhead of a normal family office. Stevenson: Well you can see looking around, we don't have a lot of high overhead. Sal Daher: No, no, there's not a lot of overhead. Stevenson: The mahogany furniture from IKEA is ... Shows through. Sal Daher: It's extremely functional, very functional. Stevenson: But, then when you start to say, "The next level is things that come with recommendation." But, even with recommendation you have to actually go out and talk to people. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: It depends on who recommends them. Because, there are people that are chasing the last hot deal, and I don't want to be in with them. So, I have to know not only if it's recommended, but who's recommending it. Sal Daher: Who's recommending, that's right. Stevenson: And, why it is.  Then if you're trying to go out to the rest of the world, it requires a lot of due diligence. It's probably going to be expensive. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: So, for me, I've tried to stay in those first two rings, of people I know and trust, and people that come recommended by people that I know and believe in. There you're going to pay more fees, but that's okay. Sal Daher: Still you're probably much more involved in the management of your wealth, than most people who are comparably wealthy. Perhaps also, because you know so much more. I think that, that is certainly a great lesson here. Stevenson: Think about how hard it is to earn a million dollars. Sal Daher: Yes. Stevenson: I'm not saying how much I have, but if you have a hundred million dollars, it's easy to lose a million dollars. Sal Daher: It is. Stevenson: Or, to make it. Sal Daher: That's right. Stevenson: What I say is, "the first million dollars is really hard, and the second million is a matter of time." Sal Daher: Exactly, exactly. Stevenson: So, having the long-term perspective, and I could go through some fancy math to show you that in fact, having long term perspective actually is highly beneficial. Because, most of the world is interested in the first two or three years of return. Warren Buffett is the classic example where I think, if you look at his results, it's largely because he bought long duration cash flows. Sal Daher: Ah. He's not buying the first three years, he's buying 15, 20 years out. Stevenson: He's buying the 3 to 15 year. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: And, he's not competing against the ... Sal Daher: Which most people are not interested ... Oh no, that's ... Stevenson: That's too uncertain. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: So, he spends a lot of time looking at how stable it is. He talks about building moats. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: All those kinds of things, and I think that's a ... Sal Daher: Right, right. Stevenson: I didn't learn it from Warren Buffett, but when I started to examine his way of dealing. I think that's what we've always tried to do is say, "Look, I can't outguess the professionals that have better information, quicker execution, all that in the first three years." Sal Daher: Yes. Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: But if I can find things, that have long duration cash flows. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: I'll probably do quite well over time, because even if you buy something at 10 times earnings, and it’s got 5% growth, you've got a 15% yield. Sal Daher: Right, right. Now that is a ... Stevenson: It's a pretty simple ... You don't need the higher math to ... Sal Daher: No, you don't. Stevenson: Make small amounts of growth, and good profitability ... Sal Daher: And, consistent growth over time. Stevenson: Consistent ... Sal Daher: Yes. Stevenson: It doesn't mean you don't have down years, because one of the things ... My experience is like in one of my other wow investments, was yeah ... But, they were willing to make the investments when it mattered. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: So many of the people would have done really well. See, the first thing we do is serve our customers. The second thing we do is we do it at a profit. Sal Daher: Ha. Stevenson: But the first question is doing, are we serving our customers well? Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) because ... Stevenson: That goes back to what we talking about in terms of criteria. Sal Daher: Because serving your customer well is what assures continued growth, continued profitability over the long term, and not just the short bursts in the first few years. Stevenson: The profit is absolutely critical, because whether you're not for profit, or for profit, if you don't have profit, you're out of business. Sal Daher: Something's got to float the boat. Stevenson: Yes. Talking to Your Kids About Money Sal Daher: Yeah. I really like your approach to letting kids know about family wealth and bringing them up early, and so forth. As a matter of fact, I love that little exchange at the HBS that I attended. A gentleman of advanced years, after you explained that you have to let your children know early on said, during the question and answer session, "So how do you think I should tell my children?" And you looked at him and said, "Looking at you, I think it's a little too late." Stevenson: Well, I do get myself into trouble. Sal Daher: I know, it's just ... Stevenson: It seems to me, that many people underestimate, particularly in this internet age, how much the kids know. They know how much your house is worth. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: They can go on Zillow. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: Or their friends will. Sal Daher: Yes. Stevenson: They can find salaries. They can find the size of your private foundation, if you have one. There's no limit to the data they can have. And, by the way, there's no limit to the data they can make up, or their friends can make up too. Sal Daher: The imagination. Stevenson: Imagination. Sal Daher: Gallops way ahead of reality, yes. Stevenson: they can look at the prices of your cars. But it seems to me, if you start talking to your kids at 10, 12 about, "Well aren't we fortunate. We've been very lucky. We have to work hard at making sure that it's there, and we're working with honest ..." You start talking about what the criteria are to work with people. You start denigrating the get rich quick schemes. Sal Daher: Yes, yes. Stevenson: you start to in fact have them start thinking about, their own financial planning. You also have to help them understand that if you want to be an investment banker, you'll have one life. And, if you want to be a social worker, you'll have another life. Sal Daher: Yes, yes. Stevenson: You're not telling them that one is good and the other is bad, because at least to me, I never wanted the kids to think that having money was the measure of success. Having money is a measure of the options you have for the future. But, if you want to do something that doesn't make you money, you're going to use up some of your capital, and that's fine with me. I'm not going to measure my life on whether you've made money. Sal Daher: So, your job is to explain the consequences of the choices they are making. So, that they make decisions in a way that makes sense. And, they can make the tradeoffs. There's nothing in life that's not a tradeoff. Stevenson: Yeah, well my sons said that I raised him by the case method. I said, "What do you mean?" He said, "if you really like something, you'd say if you'd thought it through, go do it." Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: If you've really hated something you'd say, "Have you thought it thorough carefully, because here are some things that you might want to think about." Sal Daher: It's a case study method. Now please explain your thinking behind tracking of your family's total wealth, rather than your own net worth. I found that quite valuable. Stevenson: Part of it is, when you start to think about giving away money. You probably start thinking when the kids are young with some charity. As the kids get older, when do I transfer wealth to them? As you have more money, you start to say, "Okay, my assistant needs help with the mortgage." Or something. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: Now if you only track only your net worth, you feel poorer every time you do that. Sal Daher: Yes, right, right. Stevenson: If you start to say, "Okay, I want to include the wealth of transfer to other people." And, even the taxes you can say, "I'll feel very good, even though my net worth, as reported on gap basis, may be 15% of the money I've made." But, I'm measuring my contribution to the economic wellbeing of people I care about, except for my Uncle Sam. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: So, I try to minimize that. Sal Daher: Yes. You care about your whole family, except your Uncle Sam. Stevenson: As I say, "I like my kids, or I love my kids. I can stand my grandkids. I hate my uncle." Sal Daher: Oh! Listeners, I forgot to tell you. Howard's book has cartoons. Here's one. Dogbert is sitting behind a desk talking to Pointy Hair Boss under the caption, "Dogbert Financial Advisor" Dogbert: You should invest all your money in diseased livestock. Dogbert continues: It would be unwise to invest in just one sick cow, but if you aggregate a bunch of them together, the risk goes away. Dogbert concludes: It's math.  Pointy Hair Boss replies: Suddenly I feel all savvy.  Kindly distinguish between a herd of diseased cows and real diversification. Stevenson: I think that one has to ask the question, "What are the drivers?" And obviously diseased cows are diseased mortgage backed securities, have a single driver. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: In spite of the fact that somebody from your alma mater might say these are diversified portfolios, because they are uncorrelated having real estate in Miami, Las Vegas. Sal Daher: Yes, yes. Stevenson: Phoenix. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: And Boston. Sal Daher: Right, right, right. All under written very poorly to a certain sector of the economy. Likely to lose their job and certainly ... Stevenson: All at once. Sal Daher: All at once. Stevenson: In our investing, as I said earlier, as somebody said, "What are your guidelines?" And the answer is, "We have no guidelines." Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: You look at some things and you say, "I think this is a fairly stable way of investing. I don't like to put into funds that lock me up for 10 years. Not because I need the liquidity, but because I want to be able to change my mind." Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: I just looked at a fund today that had a 20-year time frame. Sal Daher: Oh, wow. Stevenson: Now that's fine for me. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: If I control when to sell. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: It's less fine for me, if they control when to sell. Sal Daher: Yes. Stevenson: I won't get into some statistics I've done on the leverage buyout groups. But, I think I could prove to you that their average holding period is under three years. Sal Daher: Oh, yeah. Stevenson: In spite of the fact that they try to tell you they've done a great job with managing, but lever it up. Sal Daher: Yeah ... Stevenson: Take a bit out, and get out of there. So true diversification to me is, look for the underlying drivers. And, if they look the same ... Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: That's not diversification. Let's take the example that everybody thinks Spider is diversified. Sal Daher: Right. Stevenson: Let's see, what percentage of the Spider is high technology unicorns? It's like 25%? Sal Daher: That's right. Stevenson: The top 10 stocks? Sal Daher: Yeah, yeah. They're swinging the index now. Stevenson: Yeah. And, is that diversification, just because you have 500 stocks, if it's all dependent on this one group of ... Sal Daher: At one point, I remember Apple was 3% of the market cap… Stevenson: Well it ... Sal Daher: Of the S&P. Stevenson: In 2001, I think ... I'm getting old and senile, but as I believe, technology represented well over 50% of the S&P in 2001. Sal Daher: Mm-hmm (affirmative) Stevenson: So, anybody who thought they were diversified, was smoking stuff that smelled funny. Sal Daher: So, that sets up our last question here. In your HBS talk, you mentioned starting your profess

The Investing for Beginners Podcast - Your Path to Financial Freedom
IFB30: Quotes of Wisdom from Baupost Group’s Seth Klarman

The Investing for Beginners Podcast - Your Path to Financial Freedom

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 16, 2017 25:13


Welcome to investing for Beginners podcast I’m David Ahern, and we have Andrew Sather here as well tonight. We’re going to do a review of an article that I came across from a blog that I read on a daily basis. It’s called the Acquirers Multiple, and it is owned by a gentleman named Tobias […] The post IFB30: Quotes of Wisdom from Baupost Group’s Seth Klarman appeared first on Investing for Beginners 101.