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This week, Western countries have organized diplomatic outreach to Hayat Tahrir al-Sham in Syria while Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz expressed hope for a potential cease-fire with Hamas. In the Indo-Pacific, members of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue finalized plans to hold joint military exercises for the first time, while the U.S. stated it would take necessary steps to prevent further coercive action from China following the latter's recent critical minerals ban. In Russia, Ukrainian agents assassinated a top Russian general in Moscow, and North Korean troops participated in intense fighting in Russia's Kursk region. Read the full Weekly Forecast Monitory here: https://newlinesinstitute.org/forecast/week-20241220/
Since its first formation in 2007, the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue or "Quad" of the Australia, India, Japan and the United States of America has continued to evolve in to something that isn't a fully formed alliance, but is a bit more than just a talking shop as well. Encouraged by the changing nature of the People's Republic of China, it is evolving in to something with great potential for enhancing security and international norms at sea to the benefit of not just the Quad, but the other nations in the area.For the full hour today to discuss the Quad will be returning guest Blake Herzinger.The foundation for our discussion will be via the Unites States Study Centre, Bolstering the Quad: The case for a collective approach to maritime security.Blake is a Research Fellow in the Foreign Policy and Defence Program at the United States Studies Centre. His work is broadly focused on Indo-Pacific defence policy and US security cooperation, with emphasis on maritime security and sea power. Previously a Non-resident Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, Blake also directed global security policy for Twitter, and was a Non-resident WSD-Handa Fellow and Young Leader at Pacific Forum. Prior to that, Blake was a civilian adviser to the US Pacific Fleet, focusing on maritime security cooperation in Southeast Asia, South Asia, and the South Pacific. During that time, he and his team developed the Indo-Pacific Maritime Security Initiative program, delivering assistance ranging from coursework to coast guard cutters to regional maritime law enforcement organisations. He is a serving US Navy Reserve foreign area officer and spent ten years in active service.His work can be found in Foreign Policy, War on the Rocks, The Diplomat, The Straits Times and Nikkei Asia, among other publications. His book, Carrier Killer, focuses on China's anti-ship ballistic missile program and its influence on the regional military balance. Blake holds an MSc in Strategic Studies from the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) at Nanyang Technological University, and completed his BA in Political Science at Brigham Young University.This show is part of the Spreaker Prime Network, if you are interested in advertising on this podcast, contact us at https://www.spreaker.com/show/3270000/advertisement
A new deal that will see Australian companies take a slice of Washington's $369bn Inflation Reduction Act. Our expert breaks the deal down. Find out more about The Front podcast here and read about this story and more on The Australian's website or search for The Australian in your app store. This episode of The Front is presented and produced by Kristen Amiet, and edited by Tiffany Dimmack. Our regular host is Claire Harvey. The multimedia editor is Lia Tsamoglou, and original music composed by Jasper Leak.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
India is navigating a foreign policy conundrum following its decision to abstain from voting against Russia's invasion of Ukraine. These new demarcations of loyalties are stirring up crucial considerations and questions about India's global strategy at a time when it is taking over leadership of the G20 for the year. India's past policy of nonalignment has been reinvigorated under the Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP), furthering the country's dilemma of autonomy and engagement. As the world becomes more multipolar, can the world's largest democracy still follow a strategy of nonalignment? Additionally, how can India's foreign policy strengthen its strategic orientation regarding China and Pakistan as well as its position in the Indo-Pacific region? What are the domestic drivers shaping India's regional position? More importantly, how can India's participation in the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue aid that? Lastly, what do these answers suggest for U.S. strategy in the Indo-Pacific? Join us to discuss these questions and more is Ambassador Arun Kumar Singh, Former Indian Ambassador to the United States, Professor Waheguru Pal Sidhu, Clinical Professor and directs the United Nations Specialization at the Center for Global Affairs, School of Professional Studies, New York University, and Dr. Manjari Chatterjee Miller, Senior Fellow for India, Pakistan, and South Asia at the Council on Foreign Relations and Associate Professor of International Relations, and the Director of the Rising Powers Initiative at the Pardee Center at Boston University.Follow us at:Network2020.orgTwitter: @Network2020LinkedIn: Network 20/20Facebook: @network2020Instagram: @network_2020"Sunrise Expedition" by Joseph McDade"Miguel Johnson - Unexplored Moon" is under a Creative Commons (CC BY-NC 3.0) license / migueljohnson Music promoted by BreakingCopyright: https://bit.ly/unexplored-moon-songFollow us at:Network2020.orgTwitter: @Network2020LinkedIn: Network 20/20Facebook: @network2020Instagram: @network_2020
On this edition of Parallax Views, Mel Gurtov, Professor Emeritus of Political Science at Portland State University, Editor-in-Chief of Asian Perspective, blogger at In the Human Interest, and author of Engaging China: Rebuilding Sino-American, joins us to discuss the 2023 Chinese Spy Balloon Incident aka #Balloongate that has further inflamed tensions between the U.S. and China. The incident caused an uproar on Capitol Hill and led to Secretary of State Antony Blinken cancelling a diplomatic trip to China. Initially China claimed it was merely a weather balloon that veered off course. The U.S. has said otherwise. The reporting has been that it was indeed a surveillance balloon. The ballon was first believed to enter U.S. airspace near Alaska on January 28th before moving over Canada. On February 1st the ballon was spotted over Montana before being shot down by a U.S. fighter jet on February 4th. We discuss the importance of this story, the response by the U.S. and China, how the situation could've been handled differently/better, the growing tensions between the U.S. and China, and the future of Sino-American relations. Among the topics covered: - The Biden administration vs. the Trump administration on China - The bipartisan consensus in Washington, D.C. and it's hostility to China; tariffs, trade wars, and Trump's China policy; China as a strategic threat from the Biden administration's point-of-view - Why Blinken's diplomatic visit to China being cancelled could be seen as a missed opportunity - Republican pressure for a hawkish, hardline response to China in regards to the spy balloon incident - The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, AUKUS, Japan, the Philippines, Guam, and security treaty partnerships - The U.S. role in Taiwan, strategic ambiguity vs. strategic clarity positions on Taiwan, China, and foreign policy - The issue of human right abuses in China; the Uyghur Muslims in China; Hong Kong - China's response to the spy balloon incident; U.S. surveillance in China; satellite technology and spying; was the balloon an immediate threat? - President of the People's Republic of China Xi Jinping, the People's Liberation Army, the nature of bureaucracy as it relates to Balloongate, China's Foreign Ministry and the U.S. State Department, and the spy balloon - The potential consequences/blowback of the Chinese Spy Balloon Incident; the hawkish element in China and its press is being fed by the U.S. response; paranoia begets paranoia; the blame game is being played by the U.S. and China and is making diplomatic engagement more difficult - International security, the U.S., and China; can the U.S. and China find common ground on pandemic response research, climate change, and nuclear weapons? - Are we in a New Cold War? - The U.S., China, and the global economy - Lessons to be learned from the Cold War between the U.S. and the Soviet Union - Comparing the Chinese spy balloon incident to other tense U.S.-China moments such as the shooting down of a Chinese jet over Hainan in 2001 - What has happened to diplomacy and use of the diplomatic toolbox in U.S. foreign policy?; the national security apparatus, the Cold War mindset, ossifying institutions, and opposition to diplomatic engagement with adversaries - Former World Bank President Robert B. Zoellick's Washington Post op-ed "Opinion Engage, don't cancel, China over the balloon" - Anti-Chinese violence and racism; the Justice Department, the China Initiative, and the McCarthyite crackdown against visiting Chinese scientists that's been called racial profiling - The pandemic, U.S. vs China's response to the pandemic, Zero COVID policy and protests against Xi, anti-China conspiracy theories about the pandemic, China's handling of the pandemic, and Donald Trump use of the term the "China" virus - Misperceptions about China; China is not a monolithic Borg entity; the limited understanding many American have of China even at a professional (even government level); looking at the world through Chinese eyes; China, cultural differences, and the pros and cons of U.S. individualism - Stereotyping and demonization of the Chinese; China as a diverse country - And more!
The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, commonly known as the Quad, is a strategic security dialogue between Australia, India, Japan, and the United States that is maintained by talks between member countries. In today's episode of The Brand Called You, Salvatore Babones talks about China and its economic progress, its relationship with India and neighbouring countries, and its strategic and economic investments. He also talks about the Quad. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/tbcy/support
On the first episode of the second season of Maritime Nation, RDML Michael L. Baker joins the CMS team to discuss his role as the leader of the Navy Foreign Area Officer Community and the Senior Defense Official & Defense Attache to New Delhi, India. Further, they review the critical importance of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue and India's place in the U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy.
Despite some progress on the border dispute, China and India remain at odds. Beijing's assertiveness in the Himalayas has pushed New Delhi closer toward the United States and Europe, and there are few signs that the two Asian powers can mend their strained relationship.Though New Delhi's ties with Washington are warming, the latter has been frustrated by the former's refusal to join Western sanctions on Russia. And while India has further embraced the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue and strengthened ties with other Asian countries, it has been reticent to fully align with Washington in several areas. Their differences notwithstanding, can China and India find common ground? Where are the limits in U.S.-India ties?Paul spoke with Vijay Gokhale, nonresident senior fellow at Carnegie India and the former foreign secretary of India, Han Hua, associate professor at Peking University and director of the Center for Arms Control and Disarmament in the university's School of International Studies, and Ashley J. Tellis, the Tata Chair for Strategic Affairs and a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. This panel is the second of the Carnegie Global Dialogue Series 2022-2023 and is available to be viewed on the Carnegie Endowment's website. https://carnegieendowment.org/2022/12/14/where-do-china-india-relations-stand-event-8003 If you enjoy listening to the China in the World podcast, consider checking out the Carnegie Endowment's suite of podcasts:https://carnegieendowment.org/the-world-unpackedhttps://carnegieendowment.org/events/carnegieconnectshttps://carnegieindia.org/interpretingindiahttps://carnegieendowment.org/grandtamashahttps://carnegieeurope.eu/europeinsideout
As tensions in the Indo-Pacific increase and new security issues emerge, Australia, the United States, India and Japan have come together with the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue to support the Indo-Pacific. The event will explored the key issues and challenges of the Quad, and the role of each state in emerging security issues Indo-Pacific. This event was a part of the QUADMIN Emerging Leaders Dialogue, bringing together emerging leaders from Australia, the United States, India and Japan. QUADMIN is supported by the U.S. Embassy Canberra. Panel: Stuti Bhatnagar (Research Fellow, Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Australian National University) Kate Clayton, (Research Officer La Trobe Asia) Tom Corben (Research Fellow, Foreign Policy and Defence Program, United States Studies Centre) Eleanor Shiori Hughes (Defense Analyst, The Asia Group) Associate Professor Bec Strating (Director, La Trobe Asia)(Chair) Recorded 16 November 2022
On today's show Peter Richards discusses BRICS and the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue with a focus on economics. GUEST OVERVIEW: Peter Richards is a retired '2 Commando Unit' from the Australian Army. He is a Veteran of multiple tours and his interests are in tensions within China and the Russia and Ukraine conflict.
Since late February, when Russian forces crossed the Ukrainian border en masse, India has steered what it portrays as a neutral course on the war. It has abstained on UN votes condemning Russia's invasion. New Delhi refuses to publicly blame Moscow for the crisis, even while emphasising India's traditional respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity. It has maintained India's historically close ties to Moscow, increasing Russian oil imports and receiving Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov on a diplomatic visit in April. Last week, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi attended, along with his Argentinian, Indonesian, Senegalese and South African counterparts, the summit of the G7 — or Group of Seven — which brought together leaders from seven industrialised countries, mostly NATO member states. On the agenda were the Ukraine war, its wider ramifications and ways to tackle rising commodity prices, as well as other global challenges.This week on Hold Your Fire! Richard Atwood talks with Crisis Group trustee and former Indian Foreign Secretary and National Security Adviser Shivshankar Menon about India's foreign policy and its response to Russia's war in Ukraine. They discuss Modi's participation in the G7 summit and look back at what has motivated New Delhi's response to the war, particularly its relations with Russia. They talk about the key priorities driving India's foreign policy and its security dilemmas in Asia, notably its border dispute with China in the Himalayas and its long rivalry with Pakistan. They discuss India's participation in the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue with Australia, Japan and the U.S. and what role the Quad might play in Asian security in the years ahead. They also talk about the contrast between the way New Delhi and other non-Western capitals view the Ukraine war, especially Western sanctions against Russia, and the views among NATO leaders.For more on the war in Ukraine, check out Crisis Group's extensive analysis on our Ukraine country page. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue is becoming increasingly important to Indian, Japanese, Australian and American efforts to balance Chinese power and extend the rules-based order in the Indo-Pacific. Its strategic importance to Australia was underscored this May when Prime Minister Anthony Albanese made the Quad leaders' meeting in Tokyo his first foreign engagement as Prime Minister. At this special event, the Lowy Institute's Executive Director Dr Michael Fullilove discussed the Quad's evolving role with leading thinkers from two other Quad countries: Dr Samir Saran, President of India's Observer Research Foundation. Dr Saran curates the Raisina Dialogue, India's annual flagship platform on geopolitics and geo-economics, and is the founder of CyFy, India's annual conference on cybersecurity and internet governance. Samir has authored four books, including The New World Disorder and the Indian Imperative with Shashi Tharoor, and Pax Sinica: Implications for the Indian Dawn with Akhil Deo. Dr Kori Schake, Director of Foreign and Defense Policy Studies at the American Enterprise Institute. Dr Schake was the Deputy Director-General of the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London. She has had a distinguished career in government, working at the US State Department, the US Department of Defense, and the National Security Council at the White House. She has also taught at Stanford, West Point, Johns Hopkins University's School of Advanced International Studies, National Defense University, and the University of Maryland. Recorded on 17 June 2022
In this episode of RANE's Baker's Dozen podcast, the conversation turns to the geopolitics of fishing in the South China Sea. At a recent meeting of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (the Quad), members agreed to launch an enhanced initiative to tackle illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing. Throughout the Indo-Pacific, fishing and competition over access to maritime protein resources play a strong role in regional relations and tensions. China has weaponized its fishing fleets through the establishment of Maritime militias, a pattern also followed by countries like Vietnam, and even Russia is considering similar actions. Perhaps even more important than subsea hydrocarbons or mineral resources, it is the increasing consumption of limited regional fish, crab, squid, and other maritime protein sources that drive offshore geopolitics in the enclosed South China Sea.Rodger Baker's guest is James Borton, a Senior Fellow at the Foreign Policy Institute of Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, and the author of the recent book Dispatches From the South China Sea: Navigating to Common Ground.Subscribe to RANE Worldview and understand geopolitics are a critical driver of risk and security for corporations that shape not just the global diplomatic, strategic, and security environments, but the global business environment. https://cloud.subscribe.stratfor.com/worldview
In this episode of Asia Insight, moderator Michael Wills is joined by experts discussing the four partner countries of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue. Hayley Channer is a senior policy fellow at the Perth USAsia Centre, Sheila Smith is a senior fellow for Asia-Pacific studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, Alison Szalwinski is vice president of research at the National Bureau of Asian Research, and Akriti Vasudeva is a fellow with the South Asia Program at the Stimson Center.
Since the 2017 relaunch of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad), it has been popular in the discourse on Indo-Pacific in India. In this episode, Megha Pardhi talks to Dr Brendon Cannon on various aspects of Quad in the Indo-Pacific and the future of Quad.Dr. Brendon J. Cannon earned a PhD in Political Science with an emphasis on International Relations at the University of Utah, USA (2009). His research interests include contextualizing domestic, regional and international relations in eastern Africa, regional security in the Gulf and western Indian Ocean region, the political economy of ports, bases and airports, as well as the Indo-Pacific strategy of India, Japan, the US and Australia as well as China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) as they relate to and are operationalized in Eastern Africa. He is the author of multiple articles and books on Indo-Pacific.Click here to read Dr Brendon Cannon and Ash Rossiter's paper: Locating the Quad: informality, institutional flexibility, and future alignment in the Indo-Pacific.Follow Megha on twitter : https://twitter.com/pardhimegha21Follow Brendon on twitter : https://twitter.com/cannon_brendonCheck out Takshashila's courses: https://school.takshashila.org.in/You can listen to this show and other awesome shows on the new and improved IVM Podcast App on Android: https://ivm.today/android or iOS: https://ivm.today/iosYou can check out our website at https://www.ivmpodcasts.com
India has now on four occasions abstained from voting in the United Nations to censure Russia over its invasion of Ukraine. New Delhi's muted response to Moscow's military offensive may seem mystifying given India's own experience of armed incursions by China, as well as its membership in the US-led Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (“the Quad”). So what binds India and Russia? How does India reckon with a world order largely created by western powers? And for how much longer can India sit on the US-Russia fence? Veteran India watchers Prof Ian Hall and Dr Pradeep Taneja examine India's options with presenter Ali Moore. An Asia Institute podcast. Produced and edited by Profactual. Music by audionautix.com.
It's called "The QUAD" , the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue involving the USA , Australia, India and Japan. The diplomatic arrangement is widely seen as a counter to China in the Indo-Pacific, and brings together nations sharing much in common, but also with significant differences in their strategic outlook. In this episode we discuss the QUAD with Professor Robert Patman, International Relations expert at Otago University, and with Suz Jessep, former Deputy High Commissioner to India, now head of Research and Engagement at the Asia New Zealand Foundation in Wellington. Tweet us at @AsiaMediaCentreWebsite asiamediacentre.org.nz Email us at media@asianz.org.nzWhakawhetai mo te whakarongo .. thanks for listening !
In this episode, National Defense brings you a special report on how the United States, Japan, India and Australia are teaming up against China as members of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, also known as the Quad.
The China-India relationship remains strained as the year-and-a-half long standoff in eastern Ladakh continues. The border issue coupled with tensions over the COVID-19 outbreak pushed India to decouple from China, limiting Chinese investment in Indian tech companies and banning many of Beijing's most successful mobile applications. At the same time, India has renewed its commitment to the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, bolstered its defense partnerships with Australia and Japan, and become more active in Indian Ocean maritime security. Can the two countries find common ground despite lingering tensions? And what do deteriorating China-India relations mean for the United States' approaches to the world's two most populous countries?During a live recording of the China in the World podcast, Paul Haenle spoke with Han Hua, Director of the Center for Arms Control and Disarmament at Peking University's School of International Studies, and Darshana Baruah, associate fellow with the South Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. This panel is the first of the Carnegie Global Dialogue Series 2021-2022 and is also available to be watched online.
The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, more commonly known as the Quad, brings together the United States, Australia, Japan and India in strategic dialogue on everything from disaster relief, to military readiness, to technology and supply chains. Today, the leaders of those four countries will meet for the first-ever summit, a gathering which would have been difficult to imagine just a few years ago. To understand what led up to this point and what could develop from it, David Priess sat down with three experts who look at the Quad from different perspectives. Lavina Lee is a senior lecturer at Macquarie University in Sydney, Australia. Last year, she was appointed by the Australian minister of defense as director of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute Council. Tanvi Madan is a senior fellow at and director of The India Project at the Brookings Institution, and she focuses in particular on India's foreign and security policies. And Sheila Smith is a senior fellow for Asia Pacific studies at the Council on Foreign Relations and a renowned expert on Japanese politics and foreign policy. Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
The seas around China are patrolled by the navy of the People's Liberation Army, which is on constant standby for conflict. The primary threat, as far as China is concerned, is the United States of America. But there is another challenge to China's growing dominance in the Indo-Pacific. In recent years, America, Australia, India and Japan have been conducting joint military exercises near China under the auspices of the Quad – a coalition focussed on defence and security. Gordon Arthur, Asia Pacific Editor for Shephard Media, gives his view on defence and security issues in the region. The podcast is hosted by Duncan Bartlett, Editor of Asian Affairs. China In Context: Episode 24 Broadcast date: July 20, 2021
隨著中共政權在印度-太平洋地區的威脅日益增加,美國、日本、印度和澳大利亞之間的四方安全對話(Quadrilateral Security Dialogue)變得越來越重要。其成員之間的合作已經超越了經濟、軍事和商品供應鏈。而美國和日本也在爭取更多的國家加入該「四方合作」,或參加其聯合軍事演習。 更多內容請見:https://www.epochtimes.com/b5/21/5/21/n12966853.htm 大纪元,大纪元新闻,大紀元,大紀元新聞,北京, 四方合作, 美國, 日本, 印度, 澳大利亞 Support this podcast
Released 12 July 2021. Regaining the military advantage in the Indo-Pacificregion requires renewed thinking about the US military footprint there, particularly the role of the US Army. The Army's deterrence and partnering capabilities will be best utilized by engaging its long-range and precision-strike capabilities in a regional “Ring of Fires” concept and further enhanced as part of a broader revitalization and expansion of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue. Click here to read the article.
Leo Flores, Latin America coordinator for Code Pink, joins us to talk about Bolivia. The leader of a violent Western-backed coup in Bolivia was found hiding under a bed early Saturday morning and arrested. Jeanine Anez was effectively appointed to lead the country by Western-backed intelligence agencies who engineered a 2019 coup against popular indigenous president Evo Morales. Anez ushered in a regime that used violence and brutality in an attempt to shut down a popular uprising against the foreign-backed takeover of the South American nation. The new democratically-elected government has pledged to investigate the coup and hold those involved accountable.Mark Sleboda, Moscow-based international relations security analyst, joins us to discuss Ukraine. Significant troop and military equipment moves towards the Donbass region of Eastern Ukraine is giving rise to fears that a government offensive is in the offing. Also, Kiev has planned a "Crimean Platform" summit as they push the Russian annexation of Crimea as their main foreign policy issue for the current year. Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky ran on a platform of ending internal hostilities in the impoverished war-torn nation, but recent actions signal that his promises will not be fulfilled. Netfa Freeman, Host of "Voices With Vision" on WPFW 89.3 FM., Pan-Africanist and internationalist organizer, joins us today. He is attending a protest at the Organization of American States regarding their participation in US State Department regime change operations throughout the Global South, and in particular their support for the Haitian Dictator Jovenel Moise. He updates us on the protest movement for Haitian independence from Western neo-colonial powers.Dan Lazare, investigative journalist and author of "The Velvet Coup: The Constitution, the Supreme Court and the Decline of American Democracy," joins us to discuss the crushing sanctions on Syria and Venezuela. The US is continuing the Trump administration's illegal regime-change plan in Venezuela by supporting murderous sanctions on the people of the South American nation. Also, on the other side of the world, the DC regime-change machine is executing the same policies against the people of Syria, as starvation accompanies medical deaths and misery at the hands of the Biden administration's push to oust the nation's legitimate leader.K. J. Noh, peace activist, writer, and teacher, joins us to discuss China. The Biden foreign policy team is working to bring together a grouping, known as the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, or "Quad," to confront China. The group, which includes Australia, India, Japan, and the United States, has existed since 2004, but is being led and repurposed by the US to be used as a tool against the Chinese government. The Biden team argues that this is an example of multilateralism, but their attempts at leading the direction of the union implies that they are embarking on a unilateral mission.Dr. Jack Rasmus, professor in the Economics and Politics Departments at St. Mary's College of California, joins us to discuss the economy. Congress recently passed a 1.9 trillion-dollar legislative package that is intended to relieve the citizens from the economic fallout of the pandemic and subsequent lockdowns. Dr. Jack argues that the bill is too little, and possibly too late. He also discusses the coming eviction apocalypse, as well as other factors plaguing the broken neoliberal economic model.Chris Hedges, an investigative journalist, returns to enlighten us about his latest article, "Bandaging the Corpse." Hedges argues that the long term effects of neoliberalism will not be mitigated by the Biden administration's 1.9 trillion dollar COVID-relief bill. He says that this legislation, "will, at best, provide a momentary respite from the country's death spiral." Hedges goes on to say that rather than a freakish anomaly, Trump is the kind of demagogue that naturally appears when an empire is in the midst of a precipitous decline. Nick Davies, peace activist and author of "Blood on Our Hands: The American Invasion of Iraq," joins us to discuss the unspeakable sadism of US foreign policy. The current policy of the DC foreign policy-blob is inflicting horrific suffering on innocent people throughout the world. The policies, usually designed to overthrow legitimate governments and replace them with Western neoliberal puppets, generally cause the most damage to the poorest people in the targeted nations.
Prime Minister Scott Morrison is joining the leaders of the United States, India and Japan for the very first meeting of the so called "Quad" nations on Saturday [[13 March]]. The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue is set to strengthen the alliance between the four countries, as they deal with increased tensions with China over hegemony in the Indo-Pacific. - Премиерот Скот Морисон ќе им се придружи на лидерите на САД, Индија и Јапонија на првиот состанок на т.н. „QUAD“ нации кој се очекува да се одржи на 13 март. Дијалогот во врска со безбедноста треба да го зајакне сојузот меѓу четирите земји, бидејќи тие се справуваат со зголемените тензии со Кина околу хегемонијата во Индо-Пацификот.
PM Modi will launch the 'Mahabahu-Brahmaputra' and lay the foundation stone of Dhubri Phulbari Bridge. Farmers' organisations will hold a nationwide 'rail roko' program for 4 hours today, as they continue their protest against the three farm laws.The third Quadrilateral Security Dialogue will be held today, to exchange views on regional and global issues. For more live news download Etv Bharat Download ETV Bharat on App store – https://apps.apple.com/in/app/etv-bharat/id1453416186 Play Store – https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.etvbharat.android Or watch us live on – www.etvbharat.com ETV Bharat is d Division of Ushodaya Enterprises Pvt. Ltd. , is a comprehensive digital national news platform conceived to deliver seamless news and information services, using video-centric Mobile App and Web Portals. It is first-of-its kind offering in India in terms of diversity and depth, dedicated journalists network, reach of 24 states with services in 13 languages i.e.– Hindi, Urdu, Telugu, Tamil, Kannada, Malayalam, Gujarati, Marathi, Bengali, Punjabi, Assamese, Odia and English. ETV Bharat is the latest initiative of the five-decade old multi-dimensional Ramoji Group. The Group's highly successful media endeavors include : Eenadu - one of the largely circulated language dailies in the country , and ETV Network with Telugu general entertainment, infotainment and news channels. With a strong lineage of the most trusted media house, ETV Bharat would draw on its strengths of decades' long experience and innovation. ETV Bharat will combine the new technologies of mobile and digital media to engage news and information seekers in a new connected world. It will be driven by well-established news gathering setup, technology specialists and other professionals.
Within one year after being titled as the defence minister of Indonesia, Prabowo Subianto has been actively improving its military and security cooperation with many countries. He has reportedly visited Turkey, France, China, Russia and recently the United States. The visits have resulted in a couple of collaboration, deals and agreements. Is it mainly for exploring the underdeveloped security relationship or showing Indonesia's independence and neutral security policy by diversifying its partners? Moreover, do we see an improvement in our defence diplomacy from the governance and leadership under President Yudhoyono compare to President Widodo? What has been changed and what has been continued? During this pandemic, the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue relationship known as Quad consists of Australia, Japan, U.S. and India have become more intense, intensifying its cooperation to counter against China. How should Indonesia respond or anticipate Quad development? How does the inflaming tension between the U.S. and China impact Indonesia's defence and security? The recent finding of surveillance drone has made the public fear of an intrusion to Indonesia's sovereign waters. Are we able to secure our underwater territory from such threats? What should be improved from our defence system in securing our territorial sovereignty? I explored those questions with Lieutenant Colonel Frega Inkiriwang, an active member of Indonesia's armed forces, PhD Candidate at the London School of Economics and Political Science and the Assistant Professor at the Indonesian Defence University. He recently finished his dissertation on the development of Indonesia's defence diplomacy at the post-new order era.
This newsletter is really a public policy thought-letter. While excellent newsletters on specific themes within public policy already exist, this thought-letter is about frameworks, mental models, and key ideas that will hopefully help you think about any public policy problem in imaginative ways. It seeks to answer just one question: how do I think about a particular public policy problem/solution?PS: If you enjoy listening instead of reading, we have this edition available as an audio narration on all podcasting platforms courtesy the good folks at Ad-Auris. Global Policy Watch — Storming Se Storming Tak: From 1642 To 2021- RSJHere’s a short quiz to begin things. What’s common to these dates (not an exhaustive list)?4 January 1642: EnglandFeb 27, 1933: Germany Feb 23, 1981: SpainApril 27, 2017: MacedoniaDifficult? Here’s a clue. The latest entrant to this listJan 6, 2021: USA‘Workout-able’ now? These are select instances of attacks on parliament buildings in democracies over the years. Of course, this is different from attacks that happen within the parliament building where lawmakers have a go at each other using microphone stands, paper-weights and files as projectiles. That’s a rich and glorious tradition where Taiwan, South Korea and India are global leaders.The attacks on parliament from the outside is a different phenomenon. It points to a fracture in the common belief among citizens about the power or legitimacy of the sovereign. This is not mere symbolism. Often the attacks are real attempts to disrupt or change the outcomes of a parliamentary process to elect the head of the government. That’s what happened, say, in Spain on Feb 23, 1981 when Lt. Col Tejero and his small band of army men burst into the lower house of the Spanish legislature during the vote to elect a new Prime Minister. The attempt to overthrow the democratic regime came unstuck when King Juan Carlos denounced it in a televised address. The storming of the Macedonian parliament in 2017 was done in somewhat similar circumstances though without any section of army backing it. That brings us to Germany. The fire at Reichstag in 1933 right after the Hitler had been sworn in as the Chancellor was blamed on a communist conspiracy. It is almost certain now that this was engineered by the Nazis to demonise their opponents. This incident of arson was then used by the Nazis to issue a nationwide emergency and pursue the communists with a vengeance. The Communists MPs were arrested and the Nazis won the elections to those vacant seats as was expected. Within a year the Nazis had complete control over the German state. You know how that story ends.The Original StormingMy interest, however, is in the first instance of the storming of a Parliament: Jan 4, 1642. This was no ordinary rebel laying siege over the lawmakers in Westminster. It was Charles I, the king of England. He entered the Parliament with armed soldiers to arrest five MPs who he accused of treason. What had they done? Well, to the king and his loyalists, they were anti-nationals. Sounds familiar. They were accused of encouraging Scotland to invade England and a conspiracy to defame the king. Charles went into the parliament and called out the name of the five MPs seeking their arrest. He asked the House speaker, William Lenthall, about their whereabouts. Lenthall responded:“May it please your majesty, I have neither eyes to see nor tongue to speak in this place but as this House is pleased to direct me whose servant I am here; and I humbly beg your majesty's pardon that I cannot give any other answer than this to what your majesty is pleased to demand of me.” In a historic first of sorts, the speaker had sided with the parliament over the divine will of the king.“All my birds have flown,” Charles I said as he scanned the member benches for the five MPs.The storming of the parliament by Charles I was a seminal moment in the history of democracy. The tussle for sovereignty between the parliament and monarchy that had been simmering for over three decades had reached its flashpoint. The English parliament in those days was a collection of landed gentry who controlled the exchequer through their power of collecting taxes. The king needed its approval to raise taxes. By the time Charles I ascended the throne in 1625, the Crown was deep in debt no thanks to the expensive wars of the Tudor and Stuart periods and the lavish lifestyles of the royalty. This apart Charles had other problems too. There was a deep suspicion among the aristocrats about the strength of his Protestant affiliation after he married the Catholic Bourbon princess Maria of France. His subsequent religious acts did nothing to dispel this impression. The desire of Charles I to go to war with Scotland meant he wanted the parliament to increase taxes and do his bidding. The parliament continued to resist and Charles dissolved it in 1629. The next 11 years when he ruled without a sitting parliament is termed his ‘personal rule’. He introduced new taxes arbitrarily, supported Catholic religious policies and hounded the aristocrats who opposed him. The tyranny was going well but for a small hitch. He still needed the parliament to convene for collecting the tax revenues. He called a new parliament in 1640 in the hope he will be able to control it. Not quite. The parliament passed an act that forbade its own dissolution and went about rolling back the policies that Charles had set in motion. The stage was set for him to storm the parliament looking for the errant MPs.The Post-Metaphysical AgeThe storming of the parliament led to what is collectively called the English Civil Wars (1642-1651) between the Royalists and the Parliamentarians. Charles I was tried and executed in 1649 (none of this namby-pamby impeachment business in those days). There were three key outcomes of the civil wars:The replacement of English monarch by the Commonwealth of EnglandThe consolidation of Protestant ascendancy and the defeat of Catholicism in England. The downstream impact of this was hugeThe precedent that the English monarch cannot rule without the Parliament’s approval. The seal of Parliamentary sovereignty and the establishment of individual rights, however, were legally established only after the Glorious Revolution of 1688. There’s a subplot here. A gifted English polymath who had fled England in 1640 to Paris watched all this unfold with interest and concern. A man of science who counted Galileo, Bacon and Mersenne among his friends, he was developing a theory of about people, nature and politics as he came to terms with the chaos in his country. He was also the tutor to Charles II, the young prince, who was in exile in Paris. By 1650, he was ready with his magnum opus that broke new ground on the relation between the state and its subjects. In 1651, he returned to England. His name was Thomas Hobbes. The book was Leviathan. The Genesis Of The Modern Liberal StateHobbes is, arguably, the founder of modern political philosophy and Leviathan is a masterpiece of original thinking. Hobbes made three core arguments in it:The State of Nature: Human beings left to themselves will pursue their objectives of maximising their comforts. These pursuits will bring them in conflict with others. People are similar (within a range) in terms of their physical and mental prowess. So no one person can dominate others for long. This led him to conclude that humans in their state of nature would be in constant strife with one another. “A war of everyone against everyone” is how he called it. In this state, he famously said, human life would be “nasty, brutish and short.”The Laws of Nature: Hobbes argued that humans were rational beings who understood the futility of living in the state of nature. They would seek a practical solution to establish peace. To Hobbes, this solution was for people to establish mutual covenant (agreement) among themselves to submit to the authority of a sovereign. Simply put, people will be willing to forego some of their freedoms to a sovereign institution in return for peace and rule of law governed by that authority.Unlimited Sovereign Authority: For Hobbes, once the people had come together to hand over the power to the sovereign, its power was unlimited. There was no quid pro quo involved here. No real checks and balances. So long as the sovereign kept peace among its people and protected them from outside powers, it retained its political legitimacy. Nothing else mattered. Any attempt to split the powers of the sovereign would render it ineffective. The impact of Leviathan on future political philosophers was profound. In many ways, it is the foundational text of the modern state. Everyone from Locke, Rousseau, Weber to Rawls have used it either as a springboard or as a counter to develop their social and political theories. The criticism of Hobbes over the centuries is also useful to shine a light on the originality of his thinking. The usual arguments offered against his political philosophy include:A bleak view of human nature: The short conclusion easily drawn from Leviathan is that Hobbes held no illusions about the nature of human beings. Left to themselves in a natural state, they would be in an endless series of internecine wars. This is Hunger Games territory. But Hobbes was a bit more nuanced than that. To him, it is not human nature to be in a war of everyone against everyone. Instead, in the absence of laws and its enforcer, human beings pursuing their rational interests will get in the way of each other. This will be the basis for strife and not the absence of better angels of their natureSocial contract theorist: Some view Hobbes belonging to the line of social contract theorists who thought and wrote about the arrangement between the society and the state or the ruled and the rulers. This isn’t exactly accurate. Social contract theory assumes that society already exists with a contract among its members. The society then enters into a ‘second contract’ with the state by relinquishing some of its freedom in exchange for peace and stability from the sovereign. For Hobbes, there was no second contract. The society or the state don’t exist ab initio. There is only a single contract - the covenant between the members of the society to come together. The sovereign emerges from this. It is almost like the ‘Big Bang’ theory of political philosophy.Totalitarian: The other criticism of Hobbes is he justifies a totalitarian regime when he lets the sovereign off the hook for any kind of quid pro quo contract with the society. This is misreading of the term absolute. Hobbes considers the sovereign absolute in terms of its power which means they ‘can interfere’ in ‘any aspect’ of the lives of its citizens. This is different from a totalitarian regime which is based on the idea that the state ‘will permeate’ into ‘every aspect’ of the lives of its people. In fact, Hobbes was the first to free religion from the construct of the state. Once you are free from theology, you set the basis for a liberal state. Bookended By HobbesThe storming of the Capitol building by pro-Trump protesters marks a moment in the history of democracy in America. There’s always a temptation to over-read the current moment. But the irreversible slide of the discourse, the shrinking of the middle ground with a loony, conspiracy-theory fed right and an anarchist, self-righteous left and an almost cult-like adherence to prior beliefs that get accentuated in the echo chambers of social media have meant this moment was nigh. The strength of the social covenant (“we, the people) is under stress rarely experienced before. Once that covenant is broken, the political authority wanes or gets delegitimised as we see it happening in America for most of last year. Unless checked and reversed, we will be back to the state of nature. Chaos will follow. Maybe there’s a polymath philosopher watching all of this unfold with unease while developing an original political thesis like Hobbes over four hundred years ago. The storming of the English parliament of 1642 and the siege of the Capitol in 2021 seem to bookend the political era whose foundation was laid by Hobbes. There’s a need for a new social contract for these times. A Framework a Week: OOOTools for thinking public policy— Pranay KotasthaneThe union government’s first post-pandemic budget will be presented in the Parliament on Feb 1. The all-consuming buildup has already begun as if it were a Rajinikanth movie. As the budget date nears, you will come across many more number-based narratives — the need for higher public health expenditure, the imperative to reduce allocations for subsidies, and the necessity to adequately fund the requirements of our armed forces. So let’s revisit a framework that helps put these numbers in perspective. The Outlays-Outputs-Outcomes (OOO) framework is a useful way to analyse the many schemes that the Finance Minister will announce on Feb 1. Inputs/Outlays refer to the resources provided to a scheme or project that the government runs. Once the budget is presented, virtually all the public discussion will be on these outlays. This gives an idea of how the union government prioritises all its functions. But as we all know, outlays for a project is no guarantee for success. To measure success, policies or schemes need two other parameters: outputs and outcomes. Outputs refer to the direct and measurable product of program activities, often expressed in physical terms or units. Outcomes, on the other hand, are the long-term benefits that a project or intervention is designed to deliver.Using this framework allows us to scrutinise government schemes better. As Ajay Shah writes:This framework became famous around education, where the inputs are school buildings and recruitment of teachers, the outputs are kids who are enrolled and attend school, and the outcomes are what the kids actually know. From about 2004 onwards, we have understood that very large increases in public expenditure in the per-pupil expenses were associated with essentially no gains in the outcomes. The education bureaucracy has proclaimed its victories as counted by school buildings, teachers employed or kids enrolled. But at a fundamental level, state spending on elementary education has not delivered: vast increases in the input has not delivered gains in the outcome.This framework also yields a useful vocabulary for measuring success. We can assess policies in terms of its economy, efficiency, and effectiveness. Economy refers to inputs. It answers the question: are project inputs being purchased at the right price? Efficiency relates to outputs over inputs. It answers the question: what is the relationship between investment in inputs and the outputs that are produced? Effectiveness relates to outcomes over outputs. It answers the question: are outputs leading to the expected outcomes? (all definitions are taken from Indicators of Inputs, Activities, Outputs, Outcomes and Impacts in Security and Justice Programming, DFID).Ideally, any government programme should begin with a theory of change that connects the desired end state (outcomes) to the programme activities that need to be carried out (outputs) which further require a set of resources (inputs). Seen from this frame, a policy that fails to achieve the desired outcomes can mean two things. One, that there was an implementation failure. Insufficient outlays or difficulty in converting outlays into outputs due to corruption are examples of implementation issues. Two, that there was a theory of change failure which means that the assumed causal linkage between outputs and outcomes was incorrect. In the Indian context, a commonly held notion is that governments have good policies but poor implementation. What’s less appreciated is that policies often fail because the underlying theory of change itself is inaccurate. Better data and feedback help uncover this theory of change failure. For example, ASER surveys have now shifted the conversation on education by disproving the theory that more schools and better-paid teachers alone can lead to better student learning outcomes. The National Family Health Survey data can similarly help question the assumed causal linkages between health outlays, outputs, and outcomes. It is indeed a positive sign that on both health and education, we are talking effectiveness and not just outlays. This reflects that governance in these areas is maturing. PS: For the upcoming budget, skip the outlay PDFs and open this new document called the Output Outcome Framework. It maps each government scheme outlay to the desired outcomes and outputs over the next financial year. If the budget were also to map the performance of each scheme against the promised outcomes in the year gone by, it will go a long way in correcting both implementation and theory of change failures.Matsyanyaaya: False Equivalences with Chinese Characteristics Big fish eating small fish = Foreign Policy in action— Pranay KotasthanePolitical turmoil in the US has understandably shaken many of us here in India. Events of this magnitude lead to a general despondency about democracy itself. The hope is that this despondency would get displaced by introspection and positive alternatives. At the same time, we need to guard against narratives that cite these events to equate the US and China. One strand of Indian strategic thought has long held the view that a world order shaped predominantly by the PRC might be just as good (or bad) for India as the current one underpinned by US power. China’s border incursions last year led to the deprecation of this narrative but the churn in the US can give it a new lease of life. Aided by the PRC’s attempts at drawing false equivalences on one hand and spurred by the self-criticism that is bound to dominate American thinking, we might see arguments such as this make a comeback:We do not know how Chinese hegemony will work in the future, but we know the exploitative and heinous character of the French and the British Empires. The question is, why are we not as afraid of the West as we are of the Chinese? [China is Not Alone in Adding to the Indian Ocean Woes, Economic & Political Weekly, Atul Bhardwaj, April 2018]Nothing can be further from the truth. For one, there is enough evidence to suggest that a Sinocentric world order will not align with India’s quest for yogakshema — peace and prosperity for all Indians. Look at the way China has alienated — simultaneously and purposively — a new generation of peoples in all of its neighbouring countries. Look at how the Chinese Communist Party has imposed one language on a diverse set of its own peoples. And finally, look at how it has transformed its all-weather friend into a mere tributary. Second, it’s true that the US conduct on the liberal international order is not untainted. But the norm of a liberal international order is in India’s own self-interest. We must and we do question the US when it deviates from this norm. For example, the Indian PM’s condemnation of the Capitol violence is possible in the current order. In a Sinocentric world, this norm itself will cease to exist. If the Indian PM were to criticise something even remotely equivalent in China, the party-state will spring into concerted anti-India action in economic, political, and military dimensions.These are two clear and important differences that we shouldn’t take our eyes off in the zeitgeist. HomeWorkReading and listening recommendations on public policy matters[Book] Leviathan by Thomas Hobbes with an essay by the late W. G. Pogson Smith (skip the religious bits) [Article] Tom Mctague in The Atlantic: Is This How Greatness Ends? [Article] Rathin Roy distinguishes between the better and worse forms of deficit financing.[Paper] Abel Schumann’s OECD paper Using Outcome Indicators to Improve Policies is a must-read for public policy enthusiasts.[Podcast] Indrani Bagchi discusses the geopolitics of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue on Puliyabaazi. . Get on the email list at publicpolicy.substack.com
People should want in their law as in their politics two things, honesty, and consistency. The rushing through of this nomination gives us neither. What will happen with the SCOTUS nomination?There's a legal war being launched against Trump's eviction moratorium, aiming to unwind renter protections by landlords and their lobbyists. According to housing advocates, Millions of renters in the U.S. are facing the renewed threat of eviction. Has the government weakened its protections in response to recent lawsuits?This piece by Professor Cohn gives great insight into the history here which a lot of people may have forgotten or never knew because they've been inundated with misinformation or no information. “Assange founded WikiLeaks during the Bush administration's “war on terror,” which was used as a pretext to start two illegal wars and carry out a widespread program of torture and abuse of prisoners at Guantánamo and the CIA black sites.” Why is he being punished for this?A Turkish ship set sail on Monday to carry out seismic surveys in the eastern Mediterranean, prompting Greece to issue a furious new demand for European Union sanctions on Ankara in a row over offshore exploration rights.What's going on here? A meeting in Tokyo of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, or “Quad” — the United States, India, Japan, and Australia — ended without a joint communique or no mention of an earlier proposal by Washington that it might be time to expand their group into a more formal security alliance akin to NATO. This is a blow to the Trump administration, which is looking to shore up its support for what it sees as a growing cold war against China.While the US spent most of 2020 not making serious inroads on a nuclear deal with Russia, President Trump is now reported to be interested in quickly rattling one off before the November 3 election. Officials believe that once talks begin in earnest they could wrap things up within a week. They are also warning Russia that Trump would add more demands to the deal if it's not finished by the election. A week? Really?Azerbaijan and Armenian forces accused each other of launching attacks in and around Nagorno-Karabakh on Monday, violations of a short-lived ceasefire that was brokered by Russia and took effect Saturday.What does this mean going forward? The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) director Rafael Grossi took the opportunity in an interview this weekend to publicly dismiss allegations about Iran nearing breakout capability, saying they don't have enough enriched uranium to even make a single nuclear bomb. Is he accurate?Guests:Chris Hedges, Investigative JournalistRichard Lachmann, Prof at SUNY Albany, Author of First Class Passengers on a Sinking Ship: Elite Politics and the Decline Great Powers Steve Poikonen, National Organizer Action4AssangeDan Lazare, Investigative Journalist, Author of America's Undeclared WarK. J. Noh, Peace Activist, Writer, TeacherMark Sleboda, Moscow writerAlexander Mercouris, Editor in Chief at theduran.com & host of "The Duran" on youtube.Scott Ritter, Former UN weapons Inspector in Iraq
Title: The Geopolitics of Quadrilateral Security Dialogue: Maritime Theory or Practice? This lecture is a part of the The Institute of World Politics' 2019 Student Symposium that was held on May 16th. About the Lecture: The lecture will examine the history of this informal partnership and assess the geopolitical motivations of the member states as well as the conflicting policies that have hindered the full-fledged integration. Though the presentation will briefly survey Washington's and Tokyo's roles in upholding and advancing this security dialogue, the emphasis will be put on India and Australia as the two weakest links of the partnership. Finally, the talk will examine the future challenges and opportunities of Quad and provide policy recommendations for the United States. About the Speaker: Erik Khzmalyan is an M.A. candidate in Statecraft and National Security Affairs at the Institute of World Politics graduating this May. Erik is a Senior Fellow at the Eurasian Research and Analysis Institute, and his research primarily focuses on U.S. national security and foreign policy.