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I'm a proud Catholic, and I suppose you already know how I feel about abortion. Every life is precious, and someone who shares that is my next guest. Jennifer Shelton is the CEO of Real Options.
The CHGO Bulls crew review potential trading partners as the Chicago Bulls will again shop Zach LaVine this offseason. NBC Sports Chicago's KC Johnson affirmed that trading LaVine will be a “focal point” for Arturas Karnisovas this summer. Given the cold market for Zach at the deadline, his existing contract and injury issues, and the Bulls' cap situation, which NBA teams could feasibly make a deal for LaVine? Matt, Big Dave and Will discuss possible destinations for the restless two-time All Star. If the Magic flame out in the first round, will they want Zach's scoring prowess? What about the Kings, who got bounced from the Play-In Tournament after a promising 2022-23 campaign? What kind of return - if any - should AK be seeking for LaVine? Or will he be willing to attach an asset to Zach just to move off his contract? SUBSCRIBE: https://www.youtube.com/c/CHGOSports WEBSITE: http://allCHGO.com/ BUY MERCH: http://CHGOLocker.com FOLLOW ON SOCIAL: Twitter: @CHGO_Bulls / @Bulls_Peck / @BawlSports / @will_gottlieb Instagram: @CHGO_Sports GET OUR FREE NEWSLETTER: http://www.allchgo.com/newsletter Support us by supporting our sponsors! | Offers from our sponsors: Circa Sportsbook: Download the Circa Sports Illinois App at circasports.com/illinois-app to sign up today! Coors Light: When it's time to chill, Coors Light is the beer we reach for. Get Coors Light delivered straight to your door with Instacart. Go to coorslight.com/CHGOBasketball. Manscaped: Visit Manscaped.com/TCS to learn how to “Check Yo' Self” for early signs of cancer. Use promo code “BULLS” for 20% OFF + Free Shipping at Manscaped.com Empire Today: Schedule a free in-home estimate today! All listeners can receive $350 OFF when they use promo code CHGO. See EmpireToday.com/CHGO for details. FOCO: CHGO has teamed up with FOCO to secure your access to the best sports collectibles and gear around! Get 10% off your order at FOCO.com with promo code “CHGO”. Gametime: Last minute tickets. Lowest Price. Guaranteed. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code CHGO for $20 off your first purchase! PrizePicks: Daily Fantasy Sports Made Easy! Go to PrizePicks.com/CHGO and use code CHGO for a first deposit match up to $100! Ray Chevy: Get a FREE OIL CHANGE! Mention CHGO when scheduling your oil change at Ray Chevrolet. Visit Ray Chevrolet in Fox Lake or RayChevrolet.com to start your Ray Resolution! Lucy Nicotine: Level up your nicotine routine with Lucy. Go to Lucy.co/CHGOBULLS and use promo code “CHGOBULLS” to get 20% off your first order! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Locked On Steelers – Daily Podcast On The Pittsburgh Steelers
Chris Carter of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, hosts the Locked on Steelers podcast.The Pittsburgh Steelers still have a big need at center. General manager Omar Khan said trading for a center is a possibility, and Chris Carter thinks it might be a necessity. But who are realistic options? And are any of them good enough to mean they don't need to draft a center high? Also, Chris reviews the three recent free agent signings of Quez Watkins, Ryan Allen and Dean Lowry, and what they mean for the roster and the Steelers' draft plans. Speaking of draft plans, the signing of Watkins means the Steelers are most likely not going to make a big move at wide receiver via trade or free agency. And that means, there is a high draft pick coming at the position.CALL INTO THE SHOW AT 412-223-6644 or if international, e-mail your audio message to LOSTEELERSTOPICBAG@GMAIL.COMFollow Chris Carter on Twitter: @CarterCritiques.Theme music is 'Soul Kick' by Ceddy P, and 'Too Easy' by Nerdboy. Both from their label Renaissance Music. Find more from their label here.This show is part of the Locked on Podcast Network.Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!Underdog FantasyThis episode is sponsored by Underdog Fantasy! Sign up HERE with the promo code LOCKEDON to get your first deposit DOUBLED up to $100.Must be 18+ (19+ in Alabama and Nebraska, 21+ in Massachusetts and Arizona) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www dot ncpgambling.org; In Arizona call 1-800-NEXT-STEP; in New York, Call 1-877-8-HOPENY; in Tennessee, call 1-800-889-9789eBay MotorsFor parts that fit, head to eBay Motors and look for the green check. Stay in the game with eBay Guaranteed Fit. eBay Motors dot com. Let's ride. eBay Guaranteed Fit only available to US customers. Eligible items only. Exclusions apply.LinkedInLinkedIn Jobs helps you find the qualified candidates you want to talk to, faster. Post your job for free at LinkedIn.com/LOCKEDONNFL. Terms and conditions apply.FanDuelMake Every Moment More. Don't miss the chance to get your No Sweat First Bet up to TWO HUNDRED DOLLARS in Bonus Bets when you go FanDuel.com/LOCKEDON.FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)
In Hour 1, Andy and Randy talk about the Falcons moving on from Desmond Ridder, the return of Acuna to the Braves lineup, and chat Hawks and United with Mike Conti.
Julie Thomas is my guest on the podcast today. Julie is married to Marcus and has a degree in secondary education from Baylor University. She has served for over 25 years at Real Options, a pregnancy clinic in Allen, Texas. Her passion is equipping volunteers to talk with women dealing with an unplanned pregnancy. She also produces an outstanding blog, titled “Can't Change That”, which explores issues that are common to bereaved parents. In the year 2000, Julie's son David Michael was stillborn, giving her a unique understanding of the suffering and agony post-abortive moms often feel after the death of their babies. Then in 2017, Julie experienced another devastating loss when her 16-year-old son Bryan died participating in an activity known as the “Choking Game”. According to a 2018 article in Time Magazine, 82 American children between the ages of 6 and 19 died after playing the Choking Game between the mid-90s and the mid-2000s, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Most of them were boys between the ages of 11 and 16, according to a 2008 CDC report citing news stories and families' own accounts. Julie joins me to share the stories of David and Bryan and I am pleased to give you the opportunity to meet her today! Links related to this episode:Julie's Blog - Can't Change ThatHope DawningReal Options Pregnancy Crisis CenterReBuild Grief Support in Richardson, Texas - Email: Rebuild@woodcreekchurch.comREBUILD Grief Support in Chicago, IllinoisTime Magazine article about the Choking GameG.A.S.P. - Games Adolescents Shouldn't PlayBooks recommended in this episode:Colors of Goodbye by September VaudreyA Grace Disguised by Jerry SittserAll views expressed by guests on this podcast are theirs alone, and may not represent the Statement of Faith and Statement of Beliefs of the While We're Waiting ministry. We'd love for you to connect with us here at While We're Waiting! Click HERE to visit our website and learn about our free While We're Waiting Weekends for bereaved parentsClick HERE to learn more about our network of While We're Waiting support groups all across the country. Click HERE to follow our public Facebook pageClick HERE to follow us on Instagram Click HERE to follow us on Twitter Click HERE to make a tax-deductible donation to the While We're Waiting ministryContact Jill by email at: jill@whilewerewaiting.org
How can an approach that originated in finance help you better evaluate epics and initiatives in SAFe, particularly around uncertainty and risk? In today's episode, Adam talks to SAFe Fellow and SPCT Joe Vallone about real options. The two discuss how the approach is best applied at the portfolio level and why it's useful in evaluating MVPs and in deciding whether to pivot, persevere, or refactor. Read the article mentioned in the podcast. Like what you hear? Connect with Joe on LinkedIn. Explore SAFe courses here. Scaled Agile Framework Improving Portfolio Outcomes with Real Options - Scaled Agile Framework Because traditional valuation tools such as NPV ignore the value of flexibility, real options are important in strategic and financial analysis. —McKinsey Quarterly [1] Improving Portfolio Outcomes with Real Options By Joe Vallone, SAFe Fellow, Scaled Agile Inc., and Claus Hirzmann, Strategic-Finance SAS Note: This article is part of the Community Contributions series, which provides additional points of view and guidance based on the experiences and opinions of the extended SAFe community of experts. Abstract To maintain portfolio flow andRead more Est. reading time 12 minutes Scaled Agile Framework Improving Portfolio Outcomes with Real Options - Scaled Agile Framework Because traditional valuation tools such as NPV ignore the value of flexibility, real options are important in strategic and financial analysis. —McKinsey Quarterly [1] Improving Portfolio Outcomes with Real Options By Joe Vallone, SAFe Fellow, Scaled Agile Inc., and Claus Hirzmann, Strategic-Finance SAS Note: This article is part of the Community Contributions series, which provides additional points of view and guidance based on the experiences and opinions of the extended SAFe community of experts. Abstract To maintain portfolio flow andRead more Est. reading time 12 minutes Scaled Agile Which SAFe Course is Right for Me? SAFe Course Finder Use our Course Wizard to find the SAFe® course that's right for you. Start the path toward your Scaled Agile certification today. (8 kB)
Is your funding rationale the best match for your organization's MVPs and development value stream? In today's episode, Joe Vallone, SPCT and SAFe® Fellow, describes the Real Options financial framework and why it's attractive for funding Lean-Agile development. Read the article Joe mentions in the podcast. Like what you hear? Connect with Joe on LinkedIn. Explore SAFe courses here.
The Christian Outlook – July 1, 2023 Tim DeMoss talks with Pastor Michael Youssef, host of the “Leading the Way” radio program, about a nation adrift and its need for a great awakening. Dr. Youssef discusses more from his book, Hope for This Present Crisis: The Seven-Step Path to Restoring a World Gone Mad. Scott Furrow and Andy Bales, CEO of the Union Rescue Mission in downtown Los Angeles, talk about the homeless crisis in Los Angeles and what the mayor and his local ministry are doing about it. Craig Roberts and Valerie Hill, CEO of Real Options, talk about states trying to set themselves up as “havens” for abortion at any time and for any reason. Bill Bunkley and John Knox, of the Opt Institute, talk about renewed efforts and advocacy for adoption instead of abortion. Dr. Albert Mohler joins Yoram Hazony to talk about his book, “Conservatism: A Rediscovery.”See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Christopher Habig, CEO and co-founder of Freedom Health Works, interviews Lou Morin, CEO of SAVVOS Health, on the podcast Healthcare Americana. They discuss the concept of a healthcare marketplace, a place where people can buy services directly from medical providers. Lou explains how this can be a feasible option in healthcare, even when there are many unknowns about health care and the body. He explains that the marketplace can provide access to resources that can help guide people to the right specialists and services. He emphasizes the importance of doctors in providing education and support to guide people on their healthcare journey.SAVVOS is an immediate cash pay platform that provides thousands of healthcare providers across the country with the ability to get paid immediately after care is delivered. This eliminates the revenue cycle management headache that many business owners face. By providing immediate cash payment, SAVOS brings affordability to elective outpatient care, and works with health plans, the health sharing community, and creative insurance companies to provide more cost containment strategies. Ultimately, SAVVOS helps to reduce the cost of medical procedures and create a better healthcare experience for everyone.0:04:13Conversation on SAVVOS: A Marketplace for Elective Outpatient Care0:06:55A Revolutionary Cash Pay Platform for Immediate Settlement of Medical Care0:08:37Exploring the Benefits of Cash Pay Settlement with Third Party Payers in Healthcare0:13:19Exploring the Benefits of Freedom Doc and SAVVOS Health's Marketplace Model0:16:46Creating Better Engagement and Real Options for Healthcare Costs0:26:33The Impact of Rising Health Care Costs on Consumers0:28:18SAVVOS Health CEO Lou Morin Discusses the Benefits of Free Market HealthcareFollow Healthcare Americana:TwitterInstagramLinkedInMore on Freedom HealthworksMore on SAVVOS HealthSubscribe at https://healthcareamericana.com/episodes/
Show Notes: In this episode, I compare your child's summer activity strategy with the financial concept known as a "real option". How can your child create a summer experience that maximizes options and minimizes obligations? Follow us: Enroll in PrepWell Academy Follow on Instagram Follow on Facebook If you want to support the show, here are three immediate steps to take. Subscribe to the podcast where ever you listen to podcasts Follow me on Instagram or Facebook Give us a review Share this episode with a friend Join our mailing list (by opting in on the homepage or in this article) Enroll your 9th or 10th grader in the program Podcast Host: PrepWell Academy's Founder, Phil Black, has spent a lifetime cracking the code on the world's most competitive programs: Yale University, Harvard Business School, Navy SEALs, Goldman Sachs, Entrepreneurship, Shark Tank (2X), etc. Learn More About PrepWell: Inside PrepWell Academy, Black teaches students everything they need to know about the college admissions process in a series of expertly-timed, 3-5-minute, weekly training videos starting in 9th grade and continuing through 12th grade [Note: this program can only be joined in 9th or 10th grade]. My specialties include military service academies, ROTC scholarships, Ivy League, and student-athletes.
Today Jared Polivka meets Curt Yagi, the Executive Director of Real Options for City Kids (R.O.C.K.) a nonprofit that helps children become successful and healthy adults. Curt and his team serve children in the Visitacion Valley area of San Francisco. With 28 years of providing resources for their young community, anchored in academic and social support that nurtures youth with love, courage, and hope, Curt and the R.O.C.K. team have a great deal of experience to share. In this episode, you'll learn more about the nonprofit, how they integrate social-emotional learning into their programs, a bit about his team's fundraising philosophy, and the unexpected way the pandemic pushed R.O.C.K. to become more strategic and evolve.If you are delivering services to a community where challenges are great and resources are few, R.O.C.K.'s experiences may unlock solutions for your organization. From the pros and cons of accepting public sector funding, why R.O.C.K. diversifies their fundraising, to how the team listens to their community through friendly surveys, focus groups, and Zoom calls, Curt guides us through their journey spotlighting the learning curve.If you've been inspired to support this small but mighty team find out more about their programs, impact, and volunteering opportunities here:https://rocksf.org/ R.O.C.K. (@RealOptionsKids) / Twitter Or, find out more about online fundraising for your nonprofit at: https://donorbox.org/ DO YOU have a question? The Nonprofit Podcast is here to answer your questions! Our weekly Ask-Me-Anything feature is one click away, open the form, add your name and ask us ANYTHING!! ➡️ https://donor-box.typeform.com/to/wXlnEX3X?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=podcast_40 Support the show
Today's 5-Star Guest is Curt Yagi, Executive Director of Real Options for City Kids. R.O.C.K. is a fundamental part of the San Francisco community as the largest provider of enrichment, recreation, and social support in San Francisco's Visitacion Valley, serving over 900 youth ages 6-17.Curt Yagi joined the R.O.C.K. family as a volunteer in 1998, a Board Member/Chair in 2000 and finally as the Executive Director in 2003. Prior to R.O.C.K., Curt spent several years in the corporate sector where he held a variety of business and technology consulting positions at small and large companies. He held the position of Chief Operating Officer at a small San Francisco company, where he gained valuable operational experience which he is able to leverage at R.O.C.K. today. Curt was the 2006 YNPN Executive Director of the Year, a 2006 graduate of Leadership San Francisco, a 2007 fellow at LeaderSpring and the 2012 Unsung Hero Award awardee of the Golden State Warriors. He holds a BS degree in Computer Science from the University of California at Davis. In his spare time, you might find Curt hanging out with his wife and two kids, practicing Brazilian jiu jitsu, surfing or performing original music throughout the Bay Area.Connect With Real Options for City Kids: https://rocksf.org/Connect With Curt: https://rocksf.org/tag/curt-yagi/Get on our waiting list for our new nonprofit & fundraising community filled with on-demand courses and live webinars that are exclusive to members! Learn all about what's in store to support you and your leadership team at www.DoGoodYOUniversity.com!Special THANK YOU to our sponsors:Donor Dock - The best CRM system for your small to medium sized nonprofit, hands down! Visit www.DonorDock.com and use the Promo Code DOGOODBETTER for a FREE month!Support This Podcast! Make a quick and easy donation here:https://www.patreon.com/dogoodbetteriTunes: https://apple.co/3a3XenfSpotify: https://spoti.fi/2PlqRXsYouTube: https://bit.ly/3kaWYanTunein: http://tun.in/pjIVtStitcher: https://bit.ly/3i8jfDRFollow On Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/DoGoodBetterPodcast/Follow On Twitter: @consulting_do #fundraising #fundraiser #charity #nonprofit #donate#dogood #dogoodBETTER #fargo #fundraisingdadAbout Host Patrick Kirby:Email: Patrick@dogoodbetterconsulting.comLinkedIN: https://www.linkedin.com/in/fundraisingdad/Want more great advice? Buy Patrick's book! Now also available as an e-book!Fundraise Awesomer! A Practical Guide to Staying Sane While Doing GoodAvailable through Amazon Here: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1072070359
In our second conversation about the abortion debate in America, The Good Complex sits down with Jennifer Shelton, Executive Director of Real Options. Jennifer shares her extensive experience serving both women and men who have found themselves dealing with an unplanned pregnancy. She brings a great perspective informed by years of listening and a powerful sense of compassion.
The Christian Outlook – July 23, 2022 Georgene Rice and Peter St. Onge, of the Heritage Foundation, talk about the economy and the alarming numbers we've seen on inflation. Don Kroah turns to Victor Davis Hanson to talk about the Biden administration pushing an agenda that is revolutionary. Craig Roberts and Valerie Hill, CEO of Real Options, talk about states trying to set themselves up as “havens” for abortion at any time and for any reason. Bill Bunkley and John Knox, of the Opt Institute, talk about renewed efforts and advocacy for adoption instead of abortion. Dr. Albert Mohler joins Yoram Hazony to talk about his book, “Conservatism: A Rediscovery.” See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Craig Roberts invites Valerie Hill, CEO ofRealOptions Obria Medical Clinics, to talk about the challenges the pro-life movement faces in states like California that are paying out-of-state residents to travel across state lines to receive their abortions. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Hoyin Cheung is the Founder and CEO of Remo.co, an interactive virtual event platform that humanizes the online event experience and brings people together worldwide. Passionate about humanizing technology and removing the psychological harm it has on humanity, Hoyin created a technology that provides authentic conversations that drive meaningful relations in the most human way possible. Hoyin is involved in volunteer work with several organizations, including Founder Institute, Startup Weekend, Taproot Foundation, and Real Options for City Kids (R.O.C.K.). Hoyin was also the Founder and CEO of Riotly Social Media, the Managing Director of Sales and Marketing for GoGoChart, and the Co-founder and Head of Marketing for iMagnet Mount. He graduated from UC San Diego with a BS in bioengineering. In this episode… What can your company do to combat Zoom fatigue and increase engagement with consumers and employees? Building and creating authentic digital connections can be challenging, but does it need to be? As an early-stage entrepreneur, Hoyin Cheung began chasing the overarching vision that is an entrepreneur's pitfall: building based on what people say they want — even though it's not actually what they want. But catering to what consumers think they want ultimately led Hoyin to develop a technology that was a solution to their needs. Hoyin created a platform that delivers what social media cannot: a place to connect authentically and cultivate relationships digitally. In this episode of Access To Anyone, Michael Roderick sits down with Hoyin Cheung, Founder and CEO of Remo.co, to talk about humanizing the online experience. Hoyin discusses the importance of authenticity in social media, the value of digitally creating natural interactions, and the importance of collaborating in virtual environments.
Wracamy a właściwie rozszerzamy temat, który pojawił się na samym początku, bo już w 4. odcinku podcastu - Upstream Kanban, czyli to wszystko co dzieje się z elementami produktu, wymaganiami, czy zapytaniami zanim przejdziemy do ich realizacji. Dziś rozwijamy temat w rozmowie z Anią Radzikowską bardziej jako Discovery Kanban. O czym opowiadamy? Odcinek gęsty i ciężki niczym ser halloumi i nawet o serze będzie mowa. Jak praktyka ekonomiczna tzw. Real Options znajduje przełożenie na wielkie i pełne staroci Product Backlogi? Czym jest gilotyna czasu i jakie aspekty może brać pod uwagę proces triażu? Co warto mierzyć i jakie spotkania zaproponować osobom, których praca skupia się na procesie odkrywania, a więc Discovery Kanbanu? Jeśli brzmi ciekawie, to zapraszamy na pierwsze w Polsce certyfikowane szkolenie Kanban for Design and Innovation, które razem z Anią poprowadzimy już wkrótce. Szczegóły na www.leanagile.ninja/kdi
In this episode, I tackle some questions from listeners, and provide my own answers to your DevOps Careers questions: What are red flags in job ads about DevOps? How can I best prepare for an interview? What can I do to prepare for a DevOps Director Role? How do we cope with the expectation that we need to be learning new technologies all the time? ResourcesThe Daily Commit: Knowledge OptionsSend your questions for an upcoming Q&A episode to jonathan@jhall.io.Watch this episode on YouTube.
In this episode of the Out of the Question Podcast, Valerie Hill, CEO of Real Options and Obria Medical Clinics, discusses the need for believers to put legs to their faith regarding the subject of abortion.
In this episode of the Out of the Question Podcast, Valerie Hill, CEO of Real Options and Obria Medical Clinics, discusses the need for believers to put legs to their faith regarding the subject of abortion.
Welcome to the offseason of change. From this point forward, the Pittsburgh Steelers will begin their search for their next franchise quarterback, changes to both sides of the ball and maybe some new coaches. Take a look at expectations for Matt Canada's job security, who will replace Keith Butler, and who the real options are to be the Steelers starting QB in 2022. Get 20% OFF + Free Shipping with promo code ALLSTEELERS at MANSCAPED.com! #ad #manscapedpod Subscribe to our page: YouTube.com/AllSteelersTalk --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/all-steelers-talk/support
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is Decision Theory: Newcomb's Problem, Part 3: Decision theory: Why we need to reduce “could”, “would”, “should”, published by AnnaSalamon. (This is the second post in a planned sequence.) Let's say you're building an artificial intelligence named Bob. You'd like Bob to sally forth and win many utilons on your behalf. How should you build him? More specifically, should you build Bob to have a world-model in which there are many different actions he “could” take, each of which “would” give him particular expected results? (Note that e.g. evolution, rivers, and thermostats do not have explicit “could”/“would”/“should” models in this sense -- and while evolution, rivers, and thermostats are all varying degrees of stupid, they all still accomplish specific sorts of world-changes. One might imagine more powerful agents that also simply take useful actions, without claimed “could”s and “woulds”.) My aim in this post is simply to draw attention to “could”, “would”, and “should”, as concepts folk intuition fails to understand, but that seem nevertheless to do something important for real-world agents. If we want to build Bob, we may well need to figure out what the concepts “could” and “would” can do for him. Introducing Could/Would/Should agents: Let a Could/Would/Should Algorithm, or CSA for short, be any algorithm that chooses its actions by considering a list of alternatives, estimating the payoff it “would” get “if” it took each given action, and choosing the action from which it expects highest payoff. That is: let us say that to specify a CSA, we need to specify: A list of alternatives a_1, a_2, ..., a_n that are primitively labeled as actions it “could” take; For each alternative a_1 through a_n, an expected payoff U(a_i) that is labeled as what “would” happen if the CSA takes that alternative. To be a CSA, the algorithm must then search through the payoffs for each action, and must then trigger the agent to actually take the action a_i for which its labeled U(a_i) is maximal. Note that we can, by this definition of “CSA”, create a CSA around any made-up list of “alternative actions” and of corresponding “expected payoffs”. The puzzle is that CSAs are common enough to suggest that they're useful -- but it isn't clear why CSAs are useful, or quite what kinds of CSAs are what kind of useful. To spell out the puzzle: Puzzle piece 1: CSAs are common. Humans, some (though far from all) other animals, and many human-created decision-making programs (game-playing programs, scheduling software, etc.), have CSA-like structure. That is, we consider “alternatives” and act out the alternative from which we “expect” the highest payoff (at least to a first approximation). The ubiquity of approximate CSAs suggests that CSAs are in some sense useful. Puzzle piece 2: The naïve realist model of CSAs' nature and usefulness doesn't work as an explanation. That is: many people find CSAs' usefulness unsurprising, because they imagine a Physically Irreducible Choice Point, where an agent faces Real Options; by thinking hard, and choosing the Option that looks best, naïve realists figure that you can get the best-looking option (instead of one of those other options, that you Really Could have gotten). But CSAs, like other agents, are deterministic physical systems. Each CSA executes a single sequence of physical movements, some of which we consider “examining alternatives”, and some of which we consider “taking an action”. It isn't clear why or in what sense such systems do better than deterministic systems built in some other way. Puzzle piece 3: Real CSAs are presumably not built from arbitrarily labeled “coulds” and “woulds” -- presumably, the “woulds” that humans and others use, when considering e.g. which chess move to make, have useful properties. But it isn't clear what those properties...
Link to original articleWelcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is Decision Theory: Newcomb's Problem, Part 3: Decision theory: Why we need to reduce “could”, “would”, “should”, published by AnnaSalamon. (This is the second post in a planned sequence.) Let's say you're building an artificial intelligence named Bob. You'd like Bob to sally forth and win many utilons on your behalf. How should you build him? More specifically, should you build Bob to have a world-model in which there are many different actions he “could” take, each of which “would” give him particular expected results? (Note that e.g. evolution, rivers, and thermostats do not have explicit “could”/“would”/“should” models in this sense -- and while evolution, rivers, and thermostats are all varying degrees of stupid, they all still accomplish specific sorts of world-changes. One might imagine more powerful agents that also simply take useful actions, without claimed “could”s and “woulds”.) My aim in this post is simply to draw attention to “could”, “would”, and “should”, as concepts folk intuition fails to understand, but that seem nevertheless to do something important for real-world agents. If we want to build Bob, we may well need to figure out what the concepts “could” and “would” can do for him. Introducing Could/Would/Should agents: Let a Could/Would/Should Algorithm, or CSA for short, be any algorithm that chooses its actions by considering a list of alternatives, estimating the payoff it “would” get “if” it took each given action, and choosing the action from which it expects highest payoff. That is: let us say that to specify a CSA, we need to specify: A list of alternatives a_1, a_2, ..., a_n that are primitively labeled as actions it “could” take; For each alternative a_1 through a_n, an expected payoff U(a_i) that is labeled as what “would” happen if the CSA takes that alternative. To be a CSA, the algorithm must then search through the payoffs for each action, and must then trigger the agent to actually take the action a_i for which its labeled U(a_i) is maximal. Note that we can, by this definition of “CSA”, create a CSA around any made-up list of “alternative actions” and of corresponding “expected payoffs”. The puzzle is that CSAs are common enough to suggest that they're useful -- but it isn't clear why CSAs are useful, or quite what kinds of CSAs are what kind of useful. To spell out the puzzle: Puzzle piece 1: CSAs are common. Humans, some (though far from all) other animals, and many human-created decision-making programs (game-playing programs, scheduling software, etc.), have CSA-like structure. That is, we consider “alternatives” and act out the alternative from which we “expect” the highest payoff (at least to a first approximation). The ubiquity of approximate CSAs suggests that CSAs are in some sense useful. Puzzle piece 2: The naïve realist model of CSAs' nature and usefulness doesn't work as an explanation. That is: many people find CSAs' usefulness unsurprising, because they imagine a Physically Irreducible Choice Point, where an agent faces Real Options; by thinking hard, and choosing the Option that looks best, naïve realists figure that you can get the best-looking option (instead of one of those other options, that you Really Could have gotten). But CSAs, like other agents, are deterministic physical systems. Each CSA executes a single sequence of physical movements, some of which we consider “examining alternatives”, and some of which we consider “taking an action”. It isn't clear why or in what sense such systems do better than deterministic systems built in some other way. Puzzle piece 3: Real CSAs are presumably not built from arbitrarily labeled “coulds” and “woulds” -- presumably, the “woulds” that humans and others use, when considering e.g. which chess move to make, have useful properties. But it isn't clear what those properties...
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Chris Matts used his extensive knowledge of financial derivatives to develop an approach on how to deal with decision-making and named it real options. Unlike the "traditional" Real Options approach that is based on Black-Scholes, his approach avoids complex mathematics and focuses on the practical implications of options. His model teaches us to understand the timing of decision-making and discover new options that were never appreciated. Chris teamed up with Olav Maassen and Chris Geary to create the first business graphic novel about managing risk on projects. In the novel, the main character Rose Randall learns how to apply the real options approach to the way she manages her new project. He joins Ryan Shriver to discuss risk management, Real Options, how to improve decision making, key project management tools, and so much more. Connect with Chris: LinkedIn, Twitter, Blog, Book Episode Links: Commitment: Novel about Managing Project Risk Commitment Blog "Real Options" Underline Agile Practices Nicholas Christakis: How social networks predict epidemics Tony Grout
Real Options in Energy: A Guided Analysis of the Operations Literature, Data-Driven Storage Operations: Cross-Commodity Backtest and Structured Policies, Meeting Corporate Renewable Power Targets , and Self-adapting Robustness in Demand Learning. Scientific Sense ® by Gill Eapen: Prof. Selva Nadarajah who is Assistant Professor of Operations Management and Decision Sciences at the University of Illinois, Chicago. One of his research interests is decision-making under uncertainty and flexibility. --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/scientificsense/message
Kevin Callahan: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevin-callahan-mspod/ Kevin on Twitter: @changesteward Kevin’s company is Interaction Agility: https://www.interactionagility.com Mentioned in this episode: Principles for Designers When shared across teams, the designer plans for near 70% utilization, 30% slack time. Deliver insight rather than artifacts. A designer has empathy for end user so the result is something the market wants AND …
Kevin Callahan: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevin-callahan-mspod/ Kevin on Twitter: @changesteward Kevin’s company is Interaction Agility: https://www.interactionagility.com Kevin Callahan: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevin-callahan-mspod/ Kevin on Twitter: @changesteward Kevin’s company is Interaction Agility: https://www.interactionagility.com Mentioned in this episode: Balsamic rapid prototyping software: https://balsamiq.com Real Options theory: An enjoyable illustration of options theory is the graphic business novel COMMITMENT: https://www.amazon.com/Commitment-Novel-about-Managing-Project/dp/9462410038 An article about Real …
Real Options provides an update on their recent progress and introduces River of Life to their annual fund raiser to be performed remotely. This discussion includes testimonies and question/answer time.
On this episode, we chat with Vladimir Antikarov, Regional Director of the Professional Risk Managers' International Association (PRMIA) for Washington, DC. We discuss how to calculate the costs and benefits of ERM using a real options approach adopted from the finance world. Vlad is the author of the book Real Options, A Practitioner's Guide and other papers on the application of real options to ERM.
Vladimir Antikarov, regional director of the Professional Risk Managers' International Association (PRMIA) for Washington, D.C., discusses how to calculate the costs and benefits of enterprise risk management (ERM) using a real options approach adopted from the finance world. Vlad is the author of Real Options, A Practitioner's Guide and other papers on the application of real options to ERM.
Interview with Curt Yagi/ Organization’s Name: Real Options for City Kids/ Organization’s Mission: To nurture the healthy development of children by listening attentively to their needs and by providing opportunities to those who might not otherwise have access./ Organization’s Website: www.rocksf.org
Interview with Curt Yagi/ Organization’s Name: Real Options for City Kids/ Organization’s Mission: To nurture the healthy development of children by listening attentively to their needs and by providing opportunities to those who might not otherwise have access./ Organization’s Website: www.rocksf.org
Real Options has been serving Collin County and North Dallas for over 30 years. Located in Allen, TX, Real Options is a 501(c)(3) non-profit organization. Our goal is to empower our clients to make informed choices when facing an unplanned pregnancy or possible STI infection. We offer free and confidential pregnancy testing, sonograms, options assessment, community resources and STI screenings. Real Options is dedicated to providing a warm and safe environment to every one, regardless of your age, race, income, nationality, religious affiliation or circumstances. We recognize that you are an emotional, physical and spiritual person, and that can influence your decisions today and in the future.
This Podcast was meant to give listeners hope and the remind them that forgiving themselves is key to moving forward. I’m speaking with guest, Becky Morales about support and how it’s wanted and needed when having to make sometimes-difficult decisions. She works for Real Options, a licensed community care clinic providing consultations on abortion, adoption and parenting. Becky also facilitates a HOPE after abortion retreat where participants can learn how to forgive themselves and rid themselves of any guilt so that they can move on to a happier, healthier lifestyle. I also opened up about my experience as an attendee of the retreat.
My guest today is the Executive Director of Real Options for City Kids in San Francisco’s Visitation Valley, the 2008 Best of the Bay Singer Songwriter, and RAW San Francisco’s Musician of the Year.The GivBk Gang is pretty passionate about spreading our love from coast to coast as are our friends at DEED, and today we step into the mind of one the San Francisco Bay Area’s most talented musicians and sports philanthropists, a guy whose community impact was featured on NBC's Today Show, Mr Curt Yagi!Notes & Highlights· 0:02:50 Humble beginnings and parents as educators set Curt up for a life of GivBk· 0:04:50 Curt still gets excited and brings the R.O.C.K. vibe whenever he walks into the gym, classroom or wherever there’s a program that day· 0:09:30 Curt found soccer, baseball and wrestling to be a source of confidence, but he didn’t begin writing music until his father passed away· 0:16:45 Curt’s fondest memories are of his dad bringing home sports gear from his school Physical Education classes· 0:22:15 R.O.C.K. became the largest youth-serving organization in Visitacion Valley when they partnered with the state and public school district in 2009· 0:26:35 You don’t always know what kind of an impact you’re making until you get mobbed by a group of kids who missed you· 0:34:15 Takes n’ Fakes Trivia· 0:40:05 Instilling qualities like self-confidence, problem-solving skills, empathy, relationship building and other ‘student level outcomes’ will enable R.O.C.K. kids to thrive as young adults· 0:43:50 Warriors players like Kalena Azubukeas well as their cheerleaders and community relations personnel stop by R.O.C.K. and remind kids and staff that there are people out there that care about them. The GS Warriors are a class act.· 0:53:35 R.O.C.K. is turning 25 this fall!
Sharon Mayer, the CEO of The Allen Fairview Chamber of Commerce brings in a special guest to this edition of Allen in Action --Dr. Scott Niven --the Allen ISD Superintendent of Schools. Saundra Midkiff has the details of upcoming ribbon cuttings and welcomes new members. New Members include: Real Options for Women Cope Equities Lenas Fine Linen Rentals Cottonwood Creek Church Self and Others Counseling Ribbon Cuttings Wild Salsa The Pet Vet
Bestselling Author, Speaker, and Transformational Coach, Patricia Young, welcomes sensitive, spiritual, and growth oriented women to join her for teachings and conversations about Awakening to Life. Join Vince Guaglione and Patricia Young for a soulful conversation on "Sink or Swim - The Only Real Options You Have When Confronting Loss". In this episode you will learn: Why you need to give yourself permission to feel your emotions. Tips for coping with the pain. How shifting your perspective will allow you to rewrite the story of your life. To learn more about Vince visit: vinceguaglione.com To get a copy of Patricia's new Book "Awakening to Life: Your Sacred Guide to Consciously Creating a Life of Purpose, Magic and Miracles" - www.AwakeningToLifeBook.com To learn more about Patricia's offerings, visit www.InnerProsperityAcademy.com
Did you know that through the EB-5 Program you can raise money from foreign investors looking to migrate to the U.S. while creating U.S. jobs? The program, enacted by U.S. Congress in 1990, has brought almost $4 billion of Foreign Direct Investment into the U.S. in 2016 alone, over $18 billion since 2008. Business owners and developers can take advantage of this program by leveraging capital from overseas investors and expand or develop their project without high cost loans or equity partners. On today's show we talked with Charles Foster, Chairman at Foster LLP and President and EB-5 Economist at Greengate Consulting Ismael Fernandez. Charles Foster is Chairman of Foster LLP, one of the largest global immigration law firms. He is also the honorary Consul General of the Kingdom of Thailand. Mr. Foster received his Bachelors Degree from the University of Texas and his Juris Doctorate from the University of Texas School of Law. Mr. Foster serves as the first Chairman of the State Bar of Texas Immigration and Nationality Law Section and a Board member and is past national President of the American Immigration Lawyers Association, Chairman of the American Bar Association Coordinating Committee on Immigration law and Vice Chairman of the Houston Bar Foundation. During the 2000 Presidential Campaign, Mr. Foster has served as an advisor to both Presidents Bush and Obama. He is Chairman of the Asia Society-Texas Center and past President of the Houston Forum and the Houston Club. He is a Director of the Greater Houston Partnership and past Chairman of its Economic Development and World Trade Divisions. He is a Trustee of the Asia Society-New York, member of the Council on Foreign Relations in New York and past Director and officer of the Houston World Affairs Council and the Houston Holocaust Museum. He is a recipient of 4 Royal decorations from His Majesty the King of Thailand; he received the 2000 Distinguished Friends of China Award; the 1996 International Service Award of the Houston Junior Chamber of Commerce; was the 1998 Honoree of the American Immigration Law Foundation for Excellence in the Practice of Immigration Law; and the recipient of the 2007 American Jewish Committee Institute of Human Relations Award. He was designated a ”Texas Super Lawyer” 2003-2009 by Texas Monthly magazine; the “Top Notch Lawyer in Immigration” in the Texas Lawyer“ Go To Lawyers Guide” published in 2002 and subsequently in 2008; as well as Who's Who In American Law and the #1 Ranked Immigration Lawyer in Texas by Chambers USA 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2009. Ismael has extensive experience in the areas of international business and US immigration requirements including the EB-5 program for Direct investment and Regional Centers. He has helped hundreds of foreign investors realize their dream of establishing a new business in the US and enjoy the stability and transparency of doing business in such an environment. In addition, Dr. Fernandez is a published author on the subject of technology valuation and assessment of flexibility using Real Options. He has developed unique valuation methods for engineering projects in the face of uncertainty and has more than 8 years of experience in aerospace systems design, technology valuation, risk management, technology portfolio optimization, and financial risk in the context of long term contracts for asset management. To learn more about Charles Foster visit: www.fosterglobal.com To learn more about Ismael Fernandez visit: www.greengateplans.com To learn more about Houston Money Week visit: www.Houstonmoneyweek.org http://www.cheatsheet.com/personal-finance/how-schools-can-improve-their-personal-finance-education.html/ Financial Advisor Magazine Articles: http://www.fa-mag.com/news/advisors-stay-the-course-amid-monday-s-market-drop-22864.html?section=3 http://www.fa-mag.com/news/on-it-s-80th-anniversaryadvisors-consider-social-security-s-impactfuture-22784.html?section=3 You can listen live by going to www.kpft.org and clicking on the HD3 tab. You can also listen to this episode and others by podcast at: http://directory.libsyn.com/shows/view/id/moneymatters or www.moneymatterspodcast.com #KPFTHOUSTON #HoustonMoneyWK #greengateplans
Vi försöker oss på att återbesöka ett gammalt ämne. I avsnitt 3 pratade vi om Real Options och i detta avsnitt gör vi det igen. Vi försöker ge lite fler exempel och pratar också en del om värde och när en valmöjlighet löper ut. Innan huvudämnet zoomar vi in på Deep Context, eller djupare sammanhang, ett koncept vi fått från en artikel. Hur värdefullt är det egentligen med utvecklare som lärt sig domänen de befinner sig i?Artikeln finns på linkedinNågra hållpunkter:[6:50 Inzoomningen][19:00 Huvudämnet]29:30 Vilken strategi väljer du?37:30 Är du bunden eller fri?50:50 Varje gång en dörr stängs öppnas en annan
Shane Hastie spoke to Chris Matts “The IT Risk Manager”, one of the original thinkers behind Real Options, Feature Injection and Behaviour Driven Development, about BDD, Real Options, Risk Management and the Impact of Culture for Effective Outcomes. Why listen to this podcast: - Real Options is about translating the ideas from financial risk management into IT projects - Understanding that things go wrong and that what is thought of as the last responsible moment is often actually too late and is in fact an irresponsible moment - Most of the challenges to agile adoption are far above the level of the delivery team - Introducing a simple governance framework which supports an agile culture - The difference between the community of needs and the community of solutions, and the need for both More on this: Quick scan our curated show notes on InfoQ http://bit.ly/2pes3jD You can also subscribe to the InfoQ newsletter to receive weekly updates on the hottest topics from professional software development. bit.ly/24x3IVq Subscribe: www.youtube.com/infoq Like InfoQ on Facebook: bit.ly/2jmlyG8 Follow on Twitter: twitter.com/InfoQ Follow on LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/infoq Want to see extented shownotes? Check the landing page on InfoQ: http://bit.ly/2pes3jD
A fast look at capital budgeting. Capital budgeting is deciding which assets you want on your balance sheet. The key point it to compare costs and benefits. This is EXACTLY what NPV does which is why I suggest you use NPV whenever possible.We end with a short discussion of Real Options
O pensamento de opções reais consiste em enxergar e avaliar todas essas opções ao seu redor e comprometer apenas de forma deliberada, caso contrário, sempre se deve deixar para assumir o compromisso no último momento possível, ou seja, quando você tem as informações que precisa para tomar a decisão de comprometer-se de verdade. Leia meu artigo sobre Real Options http://blog.andrefaria.com/compromiss... Leia o Livro Commitment http://amzn.to/2aZMtFt Receba as novidades em seu e-mail: ✩ http://blog.andrefaria.com/vip Assine o podcast: ✩ Youtube http://andrefaria.com/youtube ✩ iTunes http://andrefaria.com/itunes ✩ Android http://andrefaria.com/android ✩ SoundCloud http://andrefaria.com/soundcloud Encontre-me nas redes sociais: ✩ Blog http://blog.andrefaria.com ✩ LinkedIn http://andrefaria.com/linkedin ✩ Twitter http://twitter.com/andrefaria ✩ Facebook http://andrefaria.com/facebook ✩ Instagram http://instagram.com/andrefaria ✩ Slideshare http://slideshare.com/andrefaria ✩ Snapchat http://andrefaria.com/snapchat ✩ About.me http://about.me/andrefaria
Efter att ha zoomat in på hur man bör uppskatta folk och kollegor mer så ägnar Ola och Tobbe hela avsnittet åt Real Options. Real Options är ett koncept som hittat inspiration i finansvärlden och handlar om att skapa sig valmöjligheter och att hålla dessa öppna så länge som möjligt. Genom att använda detta tankesätt så kan man enligt programledarna lyckas bättre såväl i det vardagliga livet som i det professionella livet som utvecklare.Real Options kan sammanfattas med tre punkter: De har ett värdeDe har en slutdagDu skall inte förbinda dig tidigt utan att förstå varförFör mer information, läs Commitment
This episode was recorded on the 14th of May 2013 in Amersfoort at the book launch of Commitment, a graphic business novel about risk management and Real Options. We talk with all three authors: Olav Maassen is an experienced project manager and consultant at Xebia in the Netherlands and has more than ten years of experience working mainly for financial institutions and big corporations. You can follow Olav at twitter.com/OlavMaassen Chris Matts is a consultant who specializes in developing risk management and trading system for investment banks. He has studied for a masters degree in financial mathematics ( Mathematical Trading and Finance ). You can follow Chris at twitter.com/PapaChrisMatts Chris Geary is a London-based, experienced graphic artist. He attended the London Cartoon Centre, mainly under the tutorage of David Lloyd. Chris has just finished working on a series of four historical graphic novels due for publication over the next few years. Follow Chris on twitter at @ChrisAGeary In the interview the authors explain a lot of the concepts from the book. We also talk about the process of how the book came about. Interview by @freekl and @ArnetimAudio post-production by @mendelt Links for this podcast: We talk about some patterns that are related to the Real Options, such as Latent Code Patterns and Staff Liquidity Chris and Olav explain why the Black Scholes formula is not really applicable in the context of Real Options for software development Preston Smith was one of the first to coin the phrase 'Make the commitment at the last responsible moment'.. Joseph Campbell's monomyth, or the hero's journey, is a basic pattern that its proponents argue is found in many narratives from around the world Inkshot.com is where Chris Geary publishes the International Aces series of Graphic Novels To see more, check out Chris Matts and Olav talking about Real Options at Lean and Kanban Benelux 2011 This podcast is in English - Deze podcast is in het Engels
Olav gives his first podcast interview ever. He discusses 'Real Options' as a model for thinking about prioritization and commitment. Real options is an interesting model for limiting WIP and managing a portfolio of work through a development team. Enjoy -bob payne
I speak with Chris Matts about Real Options. Chris is as high energy about financial options and risk profiles as anyone I know. Expect to hear more from Chris in the future.Hope you enjoy.-bob payne