Podcasts about scowcroft center

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Best podcasts about scowcroft center

Latest podcast episodes about scowcroft center

Inside Sources with Boyd Matheson
How supporting Ukraine could deter China 

Inside Sources with Boyd Matheson

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2025 11:02


Hosts: Leah Murray and Erin Rider  Utah Senator John Curtis is calling for continued support of Ukraine and a distancing from Russian President Vladimir Putin to deter China from expanding its own military influence in the Far East. Speaking at a recent event, Senator Curtis said that our strength against Russia will show China what would happen should they go after Taiwan. Megan Reiss, Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and the Founder and CEO of SolidIntel joins the conversation. 

Inside Sources with Boyd Matheson
Inside Sources Full Show April 29th, 2025: White House responds to alleged 'import surcharges' from Amazon, Liberals keep power in Canada, The state of Utah's economy

Inside Sources with Boyd Matheson

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2025 82:07


Hosts: Leah Murray and Erin Rider  White House rebukes Amazon for false report of ‘import surcharges’  Reports early this morning that Amazon would add a new price breakdown to their products, showing an "import surcharge." Several businesses have made similar proposals, but the alleged plan from Amazon brought a harsh rebuke from the White House. Now, Amazon says those earlier reports weren't even true. Government going after private businesses for making business decisions. But the White House says it's all political. Is it? Leah and Erin break it all down.    Pres. Trump’s effects on yesterday’s Canadian elections  Canada's Liberal Party has won the election up north and many people say President Trump's comments and actions towards Canada played a major part in the election results. Incumbent Prime Minister Mark Carney, who only recently took over from former P.M. Justin Trudeau, will continue to lead the country. As the dust settles, the Inside Sources hosts look back on the effect Trump had on the elections and what the future relationship between the US and Canada may look like.    How supporting Ukraine could deter China  Utah Senator John Curtis is calling for continued support of Ukraine and a distancing from Russian President Vladimir Putin to deter China from expanding its own military influence in the Far East. Speaking at a recent event, Senator Curtis said that our strength against Russia will show China what would happen should they go after Taiwan. Megan Reiss, Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and the Founder and CEO of SolidIntel joins the conversation.    Higher education institutions continue pushing back on Pres. Trump  Institutions of higher education continue their push back on the Trump Administration. Roughly 10 schools – including Ivy League and other private research universities – have joined together in a new private collective to resist President Trump. And a letter condemning the President has been signed by a university president here in Utah. The Inside Sources hosts discuss the latest higher education efforts to fight the administration.    The role of the federal government in immigration policy  The 2010 Utah Compact spells out how we – as a state – will handle the issue of immigration with humanity. The first principle of the Compact is that immigration is a federal issue. With so much inaction on the federal level, is there still hope for solutions? Will Congress ever fix the broken immigration system? KSL 5 TV has been asking the state’s congressional delegation about it; we hear what they’ve said, and the hosts get into it.    Smith Entertainment Group offers money to local cities to build hockey rinks  Homegrown talent in ice hockey – it's a dream Ryan Smith, the head of Smith Entertainment Group and owner of the Utah Hockey Club hopes to see here in Utah. Now, the group is offering cities up to $500,000 to build more ice hockey rinks. Leah Murray and Erin Rider talk about this potential private/public partnership.    The state of Utah’s economy  Earlier this month, a new ‘Rich States, Poor States’ report ranked Utah as the state with the best economic outlook. When the report was released, we spoke with the head of ALEC – the group that sponsored the report – about why Utah ranks so high. Today, we chat more about the long-term economic outlook for the state with Ryan Starks, Executive Director of the Governor’s Office of Economic Opportunity.    What one local mayor learned on a bike ride through central Utah  Earlier this month, West Jordan Mayor Dirk Burton took a more than 400-mile bike ride from Salt Lake City through rural central Utah on his way to a conference in St. George. He stopped and chatted with local mayors along the ride, discussing the needs and issues facing small-town Utahns. He joins Inside Sources to talk a bit more about his journey.   

Liberty and Leadership
Unyielding Resolve: Captive Nations and the Path to Freedom with Paula Dobriansky

Liberty and Leadership

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 25, 2025 31:04 Transcription Available


Roger welcomes Ambassador Paula Dobriansky, the former Under Secretary of State for Democracy and Global Affairs and editor of her father Lev Dobriansky's newly released book, “Unyielding Resolve: Captive Nations and the Path to Freedom.”Together, they discuss Lev Dobriansky's work advocating for the rights of captive nations, his role in establishing an annual Captive Nations Week proclamation signed by U.S. presidents, the historical significance of the captive nations concept and its continued relevance today - particularly in light of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Plus, reflections on the legacy of President Ronald Reagan and the importance of the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation.Paula is a foreign policy expert and holds degrees in Soviet political and military affairs from Harvard University and is the recipient of the Secretary of State's highest honor, the Distinguished Service Medal. She serves as the vice chair of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, as a Senior Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs and as a member of the TFAS Board of TrusteesDuring TFAS D.C. Summer Programs, TFAS holds the annual “Dobriansky Lecture on Political Economy” in memory of her father Lev Dobriansky who was a longtime professor at Georgetown University and the U.S. Ambassador to the Bahamas. Lev was also the founding director of the first TFAS program in 1970.The Liberty + Leadership Podcast is hosted by TFAS president Roger Ream and produced by Podville Media. If you have a comment or question for the show, please email us at podcast@TFAS.org. To support TFAS and its mission, please visit TFAS.org/support.Support the show

Inside Sources with Boyd Matheson
Inside Sources Full Show March 17th, 2025: HB267 referendum, Trump vs judges in deportation cases, Gov. Cox calls for dismantling of DOE

Inside Sources with Boyd Matheson

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 17, 2025 78:59


Hosts: Rusty Cannon and Taylor Morgan   Referendum against HB267 launches  The countdown is on. The Utah Education Association, along with several other unions, has launched their referendum against HB267 -- the bill that banned public labor union collective bargaining. They have to get roughly 141,000 signatures by April 16th. While they're working to get signatures for their referendum, other groups are working on those same people hoping they will rescind their signatures and scuttle the referendum effort. Inside Sources begins with detailed analysis of the situation.    U.S. fights back against Houthi rebels in Yemen  Under President Trump, U.S. military forces have ramped up airstrikes against Houthi rebels living in the Middle Eastern country of Yemen. Over the weekend, 53 people were killed by the strikes. Megan Reiss, Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and the Founder and CEO of SolidIntel joins the conversation to break down how this situation truly affects those of us here in the U.S.    Senate Democrats feeling fallout over their vote on the federal budget  The federal government is operating normally today following a vote on Friday to fund the government through September. But the fallout continues, especially against Senate Democrats who split on their vote on the Republican-backed C.R. Now, there's talk about a "lack of confidence" in Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer. What’s the latest with the future of the Democratic Party? Listen to find out.    How the pause in federal funding is affecting Utah’s international exchange programs  Just a week after taking office, President Trump issued an executive order freezing several kinds of federal funding. That funding -- as well as several kinds of international funding -- have been in limbo in the meantime. Felecia Maxfield-Barrett from Utah Global Diplomacy joins Inside Sources to discuss this freeze and how it's affecting some Utah organizations nearly three months later.    Trump administration ignores judicial order preventing some deportations  Over the weekend, President Trump invoked the Aliens Enemies Act of 1798 to speed up deportations of alleged Venezuelan gang members to countries like Venezuela and Honduras. And although a federal judge issued a "stay" on the deportations, two planes full of illegal migrants landed in Central America. KSL Legal Analyst Greg Skordas joins to break down the legal nuances of the situation.    Utah’s own “DOGE”: The State Auditor’s office  The past few months have been full of news and discussion with DOGE. The state of Texas even created their own DOGE after seeing how it worked on the national stage. But here in Utah, we have another name for DOGE: the State Auditor. The Inside Sources hosts discuss the role of the State Auditor in helping government be more transparent and accessible.    Gov. Cox calls for dismantling of Dept. of Education in new Op-Ed  Conservatives have long fought for a reduction or full dismantling of the U.S. Department of Education. As President Trump and Elon Musk's DOGE have made major cuts in that department, it's brought concern from more liberal lawmakers and several leaders of various states. But Utah's Governor Spencer Cox is fully behind the full dismantling, writing in a new opinion piece that it's about "returning power to where it belongs: to states and local communities."   

Inside Sources with Boyd Matheson
U.S. fights back against Houthi rebels in Yemen 

Inside Sources with Boyd Matheson

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 17, 2025 11:14


Hosts: Rusty Cannon and Taylor Morgan   Under President Trump, U.S. military forces have ramped up airstrikes against Houthi rebels living in the Middle Eastern country of Yemen. Over the weekend, 53 people were killed by the strikes. Megan Reiss, Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and the Founder and CEO of SolidIntel joins the conversation to break down how this situation truly affects those of us here in the U.S. 

Great Power Podcast
Navigating The New Transatlantic Divide

Great Power Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 11, 2025 29:59


In this episode of GREAT POWER PODCAST, host Ilan Berman speaks with Andrew Michta of the Atlantic Council on the growing divisions between the U.S. and Europe, and what it might mean for Ukraine, Russia and beyond. BIO:Andrew A. Michta is a senior fellow in the GeoStrategy Initiative in the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security and the former dean of the College of International and Security Studies at the George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies. He holds a PhD in international relations from Johns Hopkins University. His areas of expertise include international security, NATO, and European politics and security, with a special focus on Central Europe and the Baltic states.

NucleCast
Rob Soofer, Ph.D. - Defending the Homeland: The Case for Missile Defense

NucleCast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 25, 2025 34:21


In this episode of NUCLECAST, Adam speaks with Dr. Rob Soofer, a senior fellow in the Forward Defense practice of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, where he leads its Nuclear Strategy Project. They discuss the evolving threats from countries like North Korea, Russia, and China, and the need for a robust missile defense strategy that reassures allies and deters adversaries. Soofer emphasizes the necessity of a layered missile defense system and the challenges posed by budgetary constraints in achieving these goals. The conversation also touches on the future of missile defense technology, including space-based capabilities and the importance of bipartisan support for defense initiatives.He is also an adjunct professor at Georgetown University's Center for Security Studies, teaching courses in nuclear strategy, missile defense, and arms control. He serves as a consultant for the Sandia, Los Alamos, and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories as well as the Institute for Defense Analyses.Soofer was deputy assistant secretary of defense for nuclear and missile defense policy from April 2017 to January 2021. In this capacity, he was co director of the Nuclear Posture Review and Missile Defense Review and led their implementation; testified before Congress on nuclear and missile defense policy; led biannual nuclear staff talks with key allies; served as US representative to the NATO High Level Group for nuclear planning; and was the secretary of defense representative to the US-Russia nuclear arms control talks. Previously, Soofer served for eight years as a professional staff member and Republican staff lead for the Subcommittee on Strategic Forces of the Senate Armed Services Committee and as strategic forces policy advisor to Senator Jon Kyl (R-AZ), then the Republican whip. He also was military legislative assistant to former Senator Slade Gorton (R-WA) and professional staff member on the Senate Republican Policy Committee. He taught at the National War College for three years as professor of national-security policy and served for eight years in various policy and international-affairs positions with the Strategic Defense Initiative Organization/Missile Defense Agency. In 2003, he was called to active duty as a lieutenant commander in the Naval Reserve and assigned to the newly created Terrorist Threat Integration Center. Soofer received his doctorate in international relations from the University of Southern California and is a graduate of the National War College. He was awarded the Department of Defense Exceptional Civilian Service Medal and Distinguished Public Service Medal and is the author of Missile Defenses and Western European Security (Greenwood Press, 1988). Socials:Follow on Twitter at @NucleCastFollow on LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/nuclecastpodcastSubscribe RSS Feed: https://rss.com/podcasts/nuclecast-podcast/Rate: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nuclecast/id1644921278Email comments and topic/guest suggestions to NucleCast@anwadeter.org

The Inquiry
How might the next US President affect the war in Ukraine?

The Inquiry

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2024 22:58


Ukraine's President Zelensky recently presented his ‘Victory Plan' to end the war in Ukraine to both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, the two candidates competing to be the next President of the United States of America. President Zelensky's view is that if his plan is supported by Ukraine's allies, then the war could be ended by next year. But both US Presidential candidates, whilst in agreement that the war has to stop, have expressed a very different approach to how they would work towards that. And there are concerns from Ukraine that there will be a significant decrease in getting support in the future, regardless of who will be sitting in the White House. The United States is the top donor to Ukraine in terms of military, financial and humanitarian aid, but if their support did wane, it would mean Ukraine would have to become much more reliant on European backing. Whilst Europe has pledged much in terms of military support, it has yet to deliver everything it has promised. And there is the issue of Europe's political will and financial backing to fulfil its pledge. In light of this President Zelensky is hoping Europe too will be convinced by his ‘Victory Plan' and perhaps act as an insurance plan to keep the US focus on this war. So, on this week's Inquiry, we're asking ‘How might the next US President affect the war in Ukraine?' Contributors: Mariia Zolkina, Head of Regional Security and Conflict Studies, Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation, Kyiv, Ukraine Mary Anne Marsh, Democratic Strategist and Political Analyst, Boston, USA Matthew Kroenig, Vice President and Senior Director, Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Washington DC, USA Matthew Savill, Director of Military Sciences, Royal United Services Institute, London, UK Presenter: Charmaine Cozier Producer: Jill Collins Researcher: Matt Toulson Editor: Tara McDermott Technical Producer: Ben Houghton Broadcast Co-ordinator: Jacqui Johnson(Image: BBC file photo)

Global Reboot
Should Israel and the United States Attack Iran's Nuclear Program Now?

Global Reboot

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2024 40:40


On the night of Oct. 1, Iran launched nearly 200 missiles at Israel. It was the latest in a deadly tit for tat between the two countries. The regionwide war that the Biden administration doesn't want now seems to be happening. And for that reason, the idea of taking out Iran's nuclear program with military strikes seems less theoretical and more like a real possibility. Foreign Policy deputy editor Sasha Polakow-Suransky is joined by Matt Kroenig, the vice president of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security and a professor of government at Georgetown University, and Barbara Slavin, a distinguished fellow at the Stimson Center and a lecturer in international affairs at George Washington University. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Korea Society
Force Multiplier: The U.S.-Korea Alliance Amid Strategic Competition

The Korea Society

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2024 65:19


October 1, 2024 - How can the U.S.-Korea Alliance rise to the challenge of an increasingly complex and fraught geopolitical environment? As competing strategic triangles solidify in Northeast Asia, what new challenges and opportunities will arise for the U.S.-Korea relationship and peace and security in the region? This conversation seeks to see through the cycle to identify underlying trends, plot trajectories, and propose policy recommendations. Join us for a conversation with three thought leaders on the security and diplomacy of Northeast Asia: Seth Bailey, Director for the Office of Korean and Mongolian Affairs at the U.S. Department of State, Markus Garlauskas, Director of the Indo-Pacific Security Initiative of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and Rachel Minyoung Lee, Senior Fellow for the Stimson Center's Korea Program and 38 North. The discussion is moderated by Korea Society policy director Jonathan Corrado. This program is produced in cooperation with the Indo-Pacific Security Initiative of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. For more information, please visit the link below: https://www.koreasociety.org/policy-and-corporate-programs/item/1863-force-multiplier-the-u-s-korea-alliance-amid-strategic-competition

What the Hell Is Going On
WTH is Going On with Exploding Pagers in Lebanon? Marc Polymeropoulos Explains

What the Hell Is Going On

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2024 53:41


With one page, Israel was able to take thousands of Hezbollah operatives off the battlefield. When Hezbollah feared its modern communications network had been compromised, the Lebanese terrorist organization decided to dole out old-school pagers and two-way radios, hoping they would be more secure. In an operation more reminiscent of James Bond than reality, Israeli intelligence managed to infiltrate Hezbollah's supply line and implant explosives throughout Hezbollah's new “secure” communications network. The result? A crippled adversary, boosted Israeli morale, and all with historically low civilian casualties. Marc Polymeropoulos is a nonresident senior fellow in the Forward Defense practice of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. Polymeropoulos worked for twenty-six years at the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) before retiring in July 2019 at the Senior Intelligence Service level. He was one of the CIA's most highly decorated operations officers. He is the author of Clarity in Crisis: Leadership Lessons from the CIA (HarperCollins, 2021).Read the transcript here.

SpyTalk
Another China Spying Shocker

SpyTalk

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2024 35:46


Over a period of roughly 14 years, according to the feds, Linda Sun rose through the ranks to become deputy chief of staff to Governor Hochul, before she was fired for unspecified reasons and became a target of federal investigators. But according to the DoJ, the 41-year-old was secretly using her position to advance Chinese political and business interests and steal relevant documents. In return, the feds say, Beijing's spy service showered the couple with millions of dollars that afforded them lavish homes, a Ferrari Roma sports car, and—people had fun with this—special salted duck dishes prepared by a Chinese Embassy chef. In court on Tuesday the couple entered not guilty pleas to charges of acting as unregistered foreign agents.One person who is absolutely not surprised by all this is Nicholas Eftimiades who became a leading expert on Chinese espionage over his 34-year government career, which included work for the CIA, the State Department's Bureau of Diplomatic Security, and as a Senior Intelligence Officer in the Defense Intelligence Agency. Today he teaches at Penn State and is a Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. He is also the author of “Chinese Intelligence Operations,” which will soon be reissued with an update. China's MSS spy agency, of course, couldn't care less about which party, or level of US government, it infiltrates. Its goal is to weaken the United States by any means necessary.Nick Eftimiadeshttps://twitter.com/neftimiadeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/eftimiades/ Follow Jeff Stein on Twitter:https://twitter.com/SpyTalkerFollow Michael Isikoff on Twitter:https://twitter.com/isikoff Follow SpyTalk on Twitter:https://twitter.com/talk_spySubscribe to SpyTalk on Substackhttps://www.spytalk.co/Take our listener survey where you can give us feedback.http://survey.podtrac.com/start-survey.aspx?pubid=BffJOlI7qQcF&ver=short

KSL at Night
Global terrorism on the rise three years following US withdrawal from Afghanistan

KSL at Night

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 31, 2024 10:30


Host: Adam Gardiner In the three years since the United States withdrew from Afghanistan, we’re seeing a rise in terrorism around the world. Megan Reiss, Founder and CEO of SolidIntel and Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security shares her expert opinion on why this is happening, and why it’s happening now. Reiss also describes how several power vacuums have led to this rise in terrorism in places like Africa and what China is doing about it.

KSL at Night
KSL at Night: 8-30-2024

KSL at Night

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 31, 2024 41:34


Host: Adam Gardiner What did the American people learn from the Harris/Walz CNN interview?In her first in-depth interview since President Biden withdrew from the presidential race, Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris sat down with CNN to answer several questions. She was accompanied by her VP pick, Tim Walz; KSL at Night host Adam Gardiner wonders why. He recaps some of the most pertinent questions from the interview, and shares his thoughts on Harris’ answers and the overall tone of it all. Global terrorism on the rise three years following US withdrawal from AfghanistanIn the three years since the United States withdrew from Afghanistan, we’re seeing a rise in terrorism around the world. Megan Reiss, Founder and CEO of SolidIntel and Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security shares her expert opinion on why this is happening, and why it’s happening now. Reiss also describes how several power vacuums have led to this rise in terrorism in places like Africa and what China is doing about it. Small business owners expecting higher taxes as deduction endsA tax deduction for small businesses is set to expire in 2025. That could spell disastrous effects for the thousands of small businesses here in Utah. We take a deeper look into policy around those taxes and what can be done to ensure the deduction continues, similar to deductions to major corporations. Casey Hill, Utah State Director for the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) explains how this issue won’t just affect business owners, but also those who frequent small businesses.

KSL at Night
KSL at Night: 8-21-2024

KSL at Night

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2024 81:11


Hosts: Adam Gardiner and Rusty Cannon State Legislature holds special session for proposed constitutional amendmentToday, the Utah Legislature held a Special Session to determine the future of citizen ballot initiatives in the state. We now have the language for the proposed constitutional amendment; KSL at Night hosts Rusty Cannon and Adam Gardiner go through it all and break it down for our listeners. Once the Legislature passes the proposed amendment, it will go to the ballot for voters to vote on in November. Tune in to learn what this amendment would do to citizen ballot initiatives. Getting an update on the Democratic National ConventionDay 3 is underway at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago. Last night, former President Barack Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama spoke, as did Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff. Utah House Minority Leader Angela Romero is a Democratic delegate and witnessed the speeches live and in person. She joins the show to share an update on the whole convention. The hosts also share their own opinions on some of the speeches from last night. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. may end his campaign and endorse Donald TrumpNews has leaked that the independent presidential campaign for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. may wrap up shortly. If that happens, it’s been speculated that RFK would endorse former President Donald Trump. Why? The KSL at Night hosts dig into the reasoning. We also take a look at some of the other campaigns in the race for president. Renewed discussions about government official safetyThe assassination attempt on former President Trump has sparked renewed discussions on the overall safety of government officials, both here at home and overseas. In particular, the concerns center around the country of Iran. They also involve former officials who are now in the private sector without any security. Megan Reiss, Founder and CEO of SolidIntel and Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security has been following these developments and joins us to share some expert insight. Signs of economic trouble on the horizonRecord number of workers in the country say they expect to become unemployed in the next several months. In addition, a revised jobs report out today shows that job numbers over the past year were more inflated than originally thought. Both of these could be signs of an economic downturn coming shortly. KSL at Night hosts Adam Gardiner and Rusty Cannon discuss the meaning of these new reports. Canyons School District to build high school tech campusThe Canyons School District has announced their intent to purchase the old headquarters for eBay near Point of the Mountain. They plan to turn the facility into a high school campus focused on technology. The district will partner with local tech companies to create the kind of curriculum that would prepare students for better jobs. The KSL at Night hosts finish off the night discussing this new plan.

KSL at Night
Renewed discussions about government official safety

KSL at Night

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2024 11:06


Hosts: Adam Gardiner and Rusty Cannon The assassination attempt on former President Trump has sparked renewed discussions on the overall safety of government officials, both here at home and overseas. In particular, the concerns center around the country of Iran. They also involve former officials who are now in the private sector without any security. Megan Reiss, Founder and CEO of SolidIntel and Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security has been following these developments and joins us to share some expert insight.

GoodFellows: Conversations from the Hoover Institution
We Win, They Lose, with Matthew Kroenig | GoodFellows: John H. Cochrane, Niall Ferguson, H.R. McMaster, and Bill Whalen | Hoover Institution

GoodFellows: Conversations from the Hoover Institution

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2024 67:53


Is a regional war across the Middle East about to erupt? And what to make of a Venezuelan regime that doesn't honor election results? Matthew Kroenig, Vice President and Senior Director of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security and coauthor of the book We Win They Lose: Republican Foreign Policy and the New Cold War, joins Hoover senior fellows John Cochrane and H.R. McMaster to discuss lessons from deterrence (or a lack thereof) past, present, and future. Next, John explains how a market meltdown underscores a fragile world economy, followed by a discussion of two historical milestones: 50 years since Richard Nixon's resignation (with public trust in government today significantly lower than in Watergate's heyday); and Herbert Hoover's 150th birthday (as to his humanitarian pursuits, where would our fellows be without Hoover's namesake institution?).

A Reagan Forum Podcast
Looking Forward: Implications of President Reagan's Peace Through Strength Policies Today

A Reagan Forum Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2024 55:34


President Reagan hated war. He wanted to prevent war. And in the event he ever had to use force, it would be to advance freedom – and not to conquer. President Reagan sought peace, and he understood that peace requires strength. It is strength that tyrants respect. It is strength that enemies understand. It is strength that keeps the peace. As a guiding philosophy, “Peace Through Strength” is as relevant today as it was 40 years ago. In this Reagan Forum podcast we look back at our 80th anniversary of D-Day commemoration event held on June 6, 2024. The specific panel in this podcast focuses on where we need our leaders to rediscover and recommit to President Reagan's philosophy. The Wall Street Journal's Kate Bachelder Odell moderated a conversation with Former U.S. Ambassador to Germany Richard Burt, who was with Ronald Reagan in Normandy, Frank Lavin, who served as Ronald Reagan's White House Director of Political Affairs—and later served as ambassador to Singapore under President George W. Bush, and Matt Kroenig, who is Vice President and Senior Director of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security and a Georgetown professor.

Cybersecurity Simplified
Episode 51: The Art of Winning – AI in Global Cyber and Hybrid Warfare

Cybersecurity Simplified

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2024 58:02


Summary:  In this special edition of Cybersecurity Simplified, host Susanna Song takes the global stage in Warsaw, Poland.You may not always hear about cyberattacks or feel the immediate impact, but cyberterrorism on the rise, targeting our very own backyards.  Advanced Persistent Threats or APT attacks are crippling critical infrastructure worldwide, undermining public trust and elections, and spreading disinformation. In parallel, modern warfare today is no longer limited to the trenches on the battlefields, but AI and autonomous weapons and technology are on the frontlines with no geographical boundaries. How can we detect and to respond quickly to cyber threats? How do you recognize disinformation and equip the human mind to distinguish the difference between “good versus bad” information? How can users, businesses, and governments stay proactive and ahead of threats and incidents of compromise, and identify vulnerabilities before the exploit?Join Susanna Song and her esteemed panelists for this 1-hour special of Cybersecurity Simplified.Panelists:Evanna Hu, CEO, Omelas and Nonresident Senior Fellow Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security Artur Kuliński, Google Gen. Mariusz Chmielewski, Polish Cyber Command Deputy Commander

American Thought Leaders
Here's How America Can Win the New Cold War: Matthew Kreonig and Dan Negrea

American Thought Leaders

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2024 42:59


When Ronald Reagan was a presidential candidate, he was asked about his strategy for the Cold War. He had a simple answer: “We win, and they lose.”Former President Reagan was crystal clear about the Soviet Union and its intentions, but today, few seem to understand the Chinese Communist Party's true intentions towards America.“We Win, They Lose” is the title of a new book by Matthew Kroenig and Dan Negrea, both working with the Atlantic Council. They outline what a Reaganesque foreign policy—updated for today—would look like.Mr. Kroenig is vice president and senior director of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and Mr. Negrea is senior director of the Freedom and Prosperity Center.Views expressed in this video are opinions of the host and the guests, and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.

A Reagan Forum Podcast
GOP Foreign Policy

A Reagan Forum Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2024 46:56


In this week's “A Reagan Forum” we present our Reaganism Podcast on GOP Foreign Policy. During the podcast, Reagan Institute Director Roger Zakheim sat down with Dr. Matthew Kroenig who serves as the Vice President and Senior Director of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council, and with Dan Negrea who serves as the Senior Director of the Freedom and Prosperity Center at the Atlantic Council. They discuss Dr. Kroenig and Mr. Nagrea's new book, “We Win, They Lose: Republican Foreign Policy and the New Cold War.” This book provides a blueprint for Republican policymakers to engage with and win the great power competition with Communist China.

The Ricochet Audio Network Superfeed
Reaganism: GOP Foreign Policy with Dr. Matthew Kroenig & Dan Negrea (#194)

The Ricochet Audio Network Superfeed

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 1, 2024


On this episode of Reaganism, Reagan Institute Director Roger Zakheim sits down with Dr. Matthew Kroenig who serves as the Vice President and Senior Director of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council and with Dan Negrea who serves as the Senior Director of the Freedom and Prosperity Center at the […]

Reaganism
GOP Foreign Policy with Dr. Matthew Kroenig & Dan Negrea

Reaganism

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 1, 2024 44:00


On this episode of Reaganism, Reagan Institute Director Roger Zakheim sits down with Dr. Matthew Kroenig who serves as the Vice President and Senior Director of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council and with Dan Negrea who serves as the Senior Director of the Freedom and Prosperity Center at the Atlantic Council. They discuss Dr. Kroenig and Mr. Nagrea's new book entitled, “We Win, They Lose: Republican Foreign Policy and the New Cold War.” This book provides a blueprint for Republican policy makers to engage with and win the great power competition with Communist China.

NucleCast
Nick Eftimiades: Chinese Espionage and the Impact on US National Security

NucleCast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2024 35:27


Retired senior intelligence officer Nick Eftimiades discusses China's whole of society approach to espionage and its impact on national security. He highlights the methods used by China, such as theft of technology, trade secrets, and covert influence operations. Eftimiades explains the reasons for ignoring Chinese espionage in the past and the need for a fundamental restructuring of the approach to counter it. He emphasizes the importance of spreading awareness and education in critical infrastructure industries and the need for an integrated national response to China's activities. Eftimiades concludes by urging listeners to take the long-term security interests of the country seriously.Nicholas Eftimiades is a nonresident senior fellow at theForward Defense practice of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. Eftimiades currently holds an appointment with the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, National Intelligence Council, and has held appointments with the Defense Science Board and the Homeland Security Advisory Council's Subcommittee on Economic Security. He is also a professor at the Penn State University Homeland Security Programs and is a member of the graduate faculty teaching homeland security, intelligence, and national security policy. He conducts research on China's economic espionage and emerging space threats.Eftimiades retired from a thirty-four-year government career including employment at the US Central Intelligence Agency, the Department of State, Diplomatic Security Service, and Defense Intelligence Agency. He is widely regarded for his expertise on China and national security space issues. As a subject matter expert, he has testified before congressional committees and briefed numerous senior US and foreign officials, members of Congress, and staff.Socials:Follow on Twitter at @NucleCastFollow on LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/nuclecastpodcastSubscribe RSS Feed: https://rss.com/podcasts/nuclecast-podcast/Rate: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nuclecast/id1644921278Email comments and topic/guest suggestions to NucleCast@anwadeter.org

True Thirty with Joey Dumont
Age of Danger with Thom Shanker

True Thirty with Joey Dumont

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 6, 2024 75:24


Thom Shanker is a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. He is also the director of the Project for Media and National Security at George Washington University School of Media and Public Affairs.Prior to his time at these academic institutions, Shanker was a longtime Pentagon correspondent and editor for the New York Times. His tenure with the Times included thirteen years covering the US Department of Defense, overseas combat operations, and national-security policymaking. Shanker conducted dozens of reporting trips to Afghanistan and Iraq and was embedded in the field with units from the squad and company level through battalion, brigade, division, and corps. He has chronicled a historic series of defense secretaries, including Donald H. Rumsfeld, Robert M. Gates, Leon E. Panetta, and Chuck Hagel. More recently, Shanker served as deputy Washington editor of diplomacy, military, and veterans affairs. Before joining the Times in 1997, Shanker spent five years as the Tribune's Moscow correspondent, covering from the start of the Gorbachev era to the death of the Soviet Union and the communist empire in Eastern Europe. Shanker is an author, with Eric Schmitt, of Counterstrike: The Untold Story of America's Secret Campaign Against Al Qaeda, published in August 201. The book became a New York Times best seller. During our chat, we talked at length about his newest book, Age of Danger that he co-authored with Andrew Hoehne. Their book was published in May of 2023 to much acclaim by both military experts and politicians alike.During our chat, we discussed the history of our “warning and action systems” specific to our military readiness, and how these systems have been altered and improved over the decades to protect Americans and our national security. We also discussed the many new challenges presented by climate change, pandemics, AI, and our ever increasing involvement with two hot wars in the middle east and Russian. It was a fascinating conversation with a true legend in the world of investigative journalism, and it was my honor to have Thom join me on the program. I hope you learn as much as I did from this chat.Watch Episode: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit truethirty.substack.com/subscribe

The Korea Society
Rumbles of Thunder and Endangered Peace on the Korean Peninsula

The Korea Society

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 31, 2024 75:24


January 31, 2024 - Recent events have heightened military tensions on the Korean Peninsula—North Korea's successful launch of a military satellite resulting in Seoul's decision to partially suspend the inter-Korean Comprehensive Military Agreement (CMA), and followed by Pyongyang's deployment of additional forces near its border with South Korea—increasing the chances of conflict on the Korean Peninsula. North Korea's advancements in its nuclear weapons and missile programs, coupled with the diminishing enforcement of sanctions and renewed support from Russia, have sparked debates among the South Korean public and security experts about the possibility of Seoul pursuing an indigenous nuclear deterrent. Join us for a program co-hosted by The Korea Society and the National Committee on American Foreign Policy (NCAFP) on the future of Korean Peninsula security and suggestions for de-escalation and preventive diplomacy, featuring Professor Moon Chung-In, James Laney Professor at Yonsei University and Vice Chair for the Asia-Pacific Leadership Network for Nuclear Nonproliferation and Disarmament. Following Professor Moon's initial remarks, he will be joined by NCAFP director for Asia Susan A. Thornton and Director of the new Indo-Pacific Security Initiative of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security Markus Garlauskas for a conversation moderated by Korea Society president & CEO Tom Byrne. For more information, please visit the link below: https://www.koreasociety.org/policy-and-corporate-programs/item/1764-rumbles-of-thunder-and-endangered-peace-on-the-korean-peninsula

Everyday Theology
S5 EP:10 Christian Nationalism with Dr. Paul Miller

Everyday Theology

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 25, 2024 57:04


With some ardent supporters, very vocal detractors, and many left in-between, the ideology of Christian nationalism has become a topic of much debate. Particularly within an election year, asking how Christian should engage within a political life, is the continued work of theological exploration. On today's podcast, Aaron discusses Christian nationalism, what it is, what is is not, and what it should not be for Christian, with Dr. Paul Miller. From his Georgetown Bio: Dr. Miller is a political theorist and political scientist focusing on international affairs, the American experiment, and America's role in the world. He is a Professor of the Practice of International Affairs at Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service. He serves as co-chair of the Global Politics and Security concentration in the MSFS program. He is also a non-resident Senior Fellow with the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. As a practitioner, Dr. Miller served as Director for Afghanistan and Pakistan on the National Security Council staff; worked as an intelligence analyst for the Central Intelligence Agency; and served as a military intelligence officer in the U.S. Army. His most recent book, The Religion of American Greatness: What's Wrong With Christian Nationalism, was published by IVP Academic in 2022. He is also the author of Just War and Ordered Liberty (Cambridge University Press, 2021) and American Power and Liberal Order (Georgetown University Press, 2016). Miller taught at The University of Texas at Austin and the National Defense University and worked at the RAND Corporation prior to his arrival at Georgetown.

Korean Kontext
Rhetoric Vs. Reality: Seoul and Washington's Strategic Alignment on Taiwan

Korean Kontext

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 5, 2024 56:01


Seoul has gradually adopted a more outspoken position regarding the importance of peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait and framed it in increasingly expansive terms—as a regional and global issue yet also directly linked to the peace and stability of the Korean Peninsula. Nevertheless, the U.S.-ROK alliance faces a gap between such rhetoric and its political, military, and operational preparedness to navigate an actual conflict between the United States and China over Taiwan and the attendant risk of a simultaneous conflict in Korea. KEI Fellow and Director of Academic Affairs, Clint Work, sat down to discuss his recent Korea Policy paper, Rhetoric vs. Reality: Seoul & Washington's Strategic Alignment on Taiwan, with Markus Garlauskas, director of the Indo-Pacific Security Initiative of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security.

The FOX News Rundown
Extra: How China Is Targeting Our Grid And Water Supply

The FOX News Rundown

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2023 22:18


FBI Director Christopher Wray says China is currently the most significant threat facing the United States--especially when it comes to cybersecurity. Underscoring that is a recent Washington Post report that says China has infiltrated critical infrastructure systems in the U.S., making our power grid or water supply vulnerable to a cyber-attack. On the Rundown, Matthew Kroenig, Vice President and Senior Director for the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security for the Atlantic Council, explained to host Dave Anthony how China's cyber tactics suggest the nation is preparing for war. Kroenig discusses the strategy behind China's cyberwar efforts and how they find weaknesses in our private and public online networks. The foreign policy expert also discussed what companies and government workers must do to improve their cyber practices and be ready to counter an attack from a foreign adversary. We made edits for time and thought you might like to hear our entire conversation with the Atlantic Council's Matthew Kroenig. On today's FOX News Rundown Extra, you'll hear even about China and other country's cyberwarfare tactics and what America must do to prepare for a future conflict. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

From Washington – FOX News Radio
Extra: How China Is Targeting Our Grid And Water Supply

From Washington – FOX News Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2023 22:18


FBI Director Christopher Wray says China is currently the most significant threat facing the United States--especially when it comes to cybersecurity. Underscoring that is a recent Washington Post report that says China has infiltrated critical infrastructure systems in the U.S., making our power grid or water supply vulnerable to a cyber-attack. On the Rundown, Matthew Kroenig, Vice President and Senior Director for the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security for the Atlantic Council, explained to host Dave Anthony how China's cyber tactics suggest the nation is preparing for war. Kroenig discusses the strategy behind China's cyberwar efforts and how they find weaknesses in our private and public online networks. The foreign policy expert also discussed what companies and government workers must do to improve their cyber practices and be ready to counter an attack from a foreign adversary. We made edits for time and thought you might like to hear our entire conversation with the Atlantic Council's Matthew Kroenig. On today's FOX News Rundown Extra, you'll hear even about China and other country's cyberwarfare tactics and what America must do to prepare for a future conflict. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Fox News Rundown Evening Edition
Extra: How China Is Targeting Our Grid And Water Supply

Fox News Rundown Evening Edition

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2023 22:18


FBI Director Christopher Wray says China is currently the most significant threat facing the United States--especially when it comes to cybersecurity. Underscoring that is a recent Washington Post report that says China has infiltrated critical infrastructure systems in the U.S., making our power grid or water supply vulnerable to a cyber-attack. On the Rundown, Matthew Kroenig, Vice President and Senior Director for the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security for the Atlantic Council, explained to host Dave Anthony how China's cyber tactics suggest the nation is preparing for war. Kroenig discusses the strategy behind China's cyberwar efforts and how they find weaknesses in our private and public online networks. The foreign policy expert also discussed what companies and government workers must do to improve their cyber practices and be ready to counter an attack from a foreign adversary. We made edits for time and thought you might like to hear our entire conversation with the Atlantic Council's Matthew Kroenig. On today's FOX News Rundown Extra, you'll hear even about China and other country's cyberwarfare tactics and what America must do to prepare for a future conflict. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The FOX News Rundown
Voters Reckon With Endorsements, Foreign Aid, & A Likely Impeachment Inquiry

The FOX News Rundown

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2023 34:29


Before Congress heads to winter break for the rest of 2023, there are some big decisions that remain to be made. Will Republicans launch a formal impeachment inquiry into President Biden? Can the Democrats and GOP agree on funding both foreign aid to Ukraine and U.S. border security? And how much will New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu's endorsement of former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley impact the GOP primary? FOX News Decision Desk Director Arnon Mishkin joins the Rundown to break down these uncertain factors that could soon play a big role in voters' decisions in 2024. FBI Director Christopher Wray says China is currently the most significant threat facing the United States--especially when it comes to cybersecurity. Recent reporting by the Washington Post shows that China continues to attack critical infrastructure in the U.S., including both public and private targets. On the Rundown, Matthew Kroenig, Vice President and Senior Director for the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security for the Atlantic Council, explains how China appears to be preparing for war, where our infrastructure systems are vulnerable, and why companies must improve their cyber practices. Plus, commentary from FOX News contributor Joe Concha. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

From Washington – FOX News Radio
Voters Reckon With Endorsements, Foreign Aid, & A Likely Impeachment Inquiry

From Washington – FOX News Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2023 34:29


Before Congress heads to winter break for the rest of 2023, there are some big decisions that remain to be made. Will Republicans launch a formal impeachment inquiry into President Biden? Can the Democrats and GOP agree on funding both foreign aid to Ukraine and U.S. border security? And how much will New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu's endorsement of former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley impact the GOP primary? FOX News Decision Desk Director Arnon Mishkin joins the Rundown to break down these uncertain factors that could soon play a big role in voters' decisions in 2024. FBI Director Christopher Wray says China is currently the most significant threat facing the United States--especially when it comes to cybersecurity. Recent reporting by the Washington Post shows that China continues to attack critical infrastructure in the U.S., including both public and private targets. On the Rundown, Matthew Kroenig, Vice President and Senior Director for the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security for the Atlantic Council, explains how China appears to be preparing for war, where our infrastructure systems are vulnerable, and why companies must improve their cyber practices. Plus, commentary from FOX News contributor Joe Concha. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Fox News Rundown Evening Edition
Voters Reckon With Endorsements, Foreign Aid, & A Likely Impeachment Inquiry

Fox News Rundown Evening Edition

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2023 34:29


Before Congress heads to winter break for the rest of 2023, there are some big decisions that remain to be made. Will Republicans launch a formal impeachment inquiry into President Biden? Can the Democrats and GOP agree on funding both foreign aid to Ukraine and U.S. border security? And how much will New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu's endorsement of former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley impact the GOP primary? FOX News Decision Desk Director Arnon Mishkin joins the Rundown to break down these uncertain factors that could soon play a big role in voters' decisions in 2024. FBI Director Christopher Wray says China is currently the most significant threat facing the United States--especially when it comes to cybersecurity. Recent reporting by the Washington Post shows that China continues to attack critical infrastructure in the U.S., including both public and private targets. On the Rundown, Matthew Kroenig, Vice President and Senior Director for the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security for the Atlantic Council, explains how China appears to be preparing for war, where our infrastructure systems are vulnerable, and why companies must improve their cyber practices. Plus, commentary from FOX News contributor Joe Concha. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Global Dispatches -- World News That Matters
China and the United States Hold their First Nuclear Security Talks in Years

Global Dispatches -- World News That Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 13, 2023 27:05


In early November the United States and China held their first talks on nuclear security and arms control since 2019. The talks came ahead of a much anticipated meeting between President Biden and President Xi in San Francisco. There were no tangible outcomes from these initial nuclear security talks, but the fact that they happened at all is a sign of progress according to my guest today Rachel Elizabeth Whitlark. She is an Associate Professor in the Sam Nunn School of International Affairs at the Georgia Institute of Technology and a Nonresident senior fellow in the Forward Defense practice of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. She is also author of the book "All Options on the Table: Leaders, Preventive War, and Nuclear Proliferation" which includes archival research on how past US administrations approached the Chinese nuclear program. And as you will see from our conversation, that history is instructive for understanding why China may be seeking to expand its nuclear program today.   https://www.patreon.com/GlobalDispatches https://www.globaldispatches.org/    

ERLC Podcast
What you should know about the Israel-Hamas war

ERLC Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 19, 2023 33:27


On Oct. 7, we woke up to the news that Hamas, a Palestinian terrorist group, launched a surprise attack on Israel, killing 1,400 people in what has been referred to as Israel's 9/11. In the days following, we have seen the horrendous images, heard the horrifying stories, and learned more about the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas. To help us understand these events and how we can think clearly about them is Paul D. Miller. Dr. Miller is a professor in the Practice of International Affairs at Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service. He serves as co-chair of the Global Politics and Security concentration in the MSFS program. He is also a Senior Fellow with the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council and a research fellow with the Ethics and Religious Liberty Commission. Dr. Miller previously served in the US Army (including a tour in Afghanistan), as an analyst with the CIA, and as Director for Afghanistan and Pakistan on the National Security Council staff. We'll also talk with ERLC President Brent Leatherwood about the Evangelical Statement in Support of Israel and how Southern Baptists should continue to respond to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Here is Dr. Miller's most recent article at The Dispatch on the Israeli-Hamas war: "To Stand With the Palestinians, Support Israel Against Hamas"

Shield of the Republic
China's Two Sets of Books

Shield of the Republic

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2023 53:03


Eric and Eliot welcome Leland Miller, a non-resident senior fellow at the Asia Security Initiative of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center on Strategy and Security and co-founder & CEO of China Beige Book International. Lee explains how China Beige Book acquires data on the PRC economy as well as the pitfalls of using official Chinese government data. They discuss both the short and longer run prospects for China's economy, the specific dysfunctions of one man rule of managing a large economy, the question of whether or not we have seen “peak China” and if that will make the PRC more or less aggressive vis a vis Taiwan. They consider whether an invasion or blockade of the island is more likely and why any of this should matter to the broader American public. Shield of the Republic is a Bulwark podcast co-sponsored by the Miller Center of Public Affairs at the University of Virginia.

The Korea Society
New Nuclear Dynamics of Northeast Asia

The Korea Society

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2023 72:14


September 21, 2023 - Join us for a program that addresses the new nuclear dynamics of Northeast Asia produced in cooperation with the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center. This panel discussion investigates how regional shifts in nuclear weapons capabilities and evolving doctrines affect the Korean Peninsula and beyond, with a focus on North Korea's quickly developing nuclear and missile deterrent, the maturing nuclear capabilities of the People's Republic of China, the US-ROK Alliance's evolving nuclear posture, Russian aggression, and the role of trilateral US-Korea-Japan security cooperation. The panel consists of: Matthew Kroenig, Vice President and Senior Director of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy, Markus Garlauskas, director of the new Indo-Pacific Security Initiative of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Dr. Sue Mi Terry, and Major Jessica Taylor, USAFR and Princeton University, in conversation with Korea Society policy director Jonathan Corrado. For more information, please visit the link below: https://www.koreasociety.org/policy-and-corporate-programs/item/1712-new-nuclear-dynamics-of-northeast-asia

NucleCast
Matthew Kroenig - The Role of Nuclear Superiority

NucleCast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 17, 2023 34:37


Dr. Matthew Kroenig is Vice President and Senior Director of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security and the Council's Director of Studies. In these roles, he manages the Scowcroft Center's bipartisan team of more than thirty resident staff and oversees the Council's extensive network of nonresident fellows.His own research focuses on US national security strategy, strategic competition with China and Russia, and strategic deterrence and weapons nonproliferation. Kroenig is currently a commissioner on the Congressional Commission on the Strategic Posture of the United States. He previously served in the Department of Defense and the intelligence community during the Bush, Obama, and Trump administrations. He received the Office of the Secretary of Defense's Award for Outstanding Achievement. He was a national security adviser on the presidential campaigns of Mitt Romney (2012) and Marco Rubio (2016).Kroenig is also a tenured professor of government and foreign service at Georgetown University. A 2019 study in Perspectives on Politics ranked him one of the top twenty-five most cited political scientists of his generation. He is the author or editor of seven books, including The Return of Great Power Rivalry: Democracy versus Autocracy from the Ancient World to the US and China (Oxford University Press, 2020)and The Logic of American Nuclear Strategy: Why Strategic Superiority Matters (Oxford University Press,2018). Kroenig co-authors the bimonthly “It's Debatable” column at Foreign Policy. His articles and commentary regularly appear in major media outlets, including: the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, Politico, CBS, BBC, CNN, Fox News, and NPR.He has held fellowships at the Council on Foreign Relations, Harvard University, and Stanford University. He is a life member of the Council on Foreign Relations and holds an MA and PhD in political science from the University of California at Berkeley.EPISODE NOTES:Follow NucleCast on Twitter at @NucleCastEmail comments and story suggestions to NucleCast@anwadeter.orgSubscribe to NucleCast podcastRate the show

The Modern Scholar Podcast
Great Power Competition and America's Future

The Modern Scholar Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2023 76:53


*Apologies for a slight difference in audio quality on today's episode.* Ali Wyne is a senior analyst with Eurasia Group's Global Macro-Geopolitics practice, focusing on US-China relations and great-power competition. He has served as a junior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a research assistant at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, and a policy analyst at the RAND Corporation. Ali has also been a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security and a nonresident fellow at the Modern War Institute. He received dual bachelor's degrees in management science and political science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and earned his master's degree in public policy from the Harvard Kennedy School. Ali is the author of America's Great-Power Opportunity: Revitalizing U.S. Foreign Policy to Meet the Challenges of Strategic Competition, and we'll be talking about this book today on the show. Ali is a term member of the Council on Foreign Relations, a David Rockefeller fellow with the Trilateral Commission, and a security fellow with the Truman National Security Project. He also serves as a member of Foreign Policy for America's Board of Directors and as a member of the American Pakistan Foundation's Leadership Council. Also – and I was particularly inspired to see this in his bio on the Eurasia Group website – Ali is an avid coffee drinker, and continues to expand his collection of coffee mugs, cups, and tumblers, so with that, thank you very much for being here and sharing your time today, I appreciate it!

The Nonlinear Library
EA - Upcoming speaker series on emerging tech, national security & US policy careers by kuhanj

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2023 3:03


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Upcoming speaker series on emerging tech, national security & US policy careers, published by kuhanj on June 21, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum. There is an upcoming virtual speaker series on emerging tech, national security, and US policy careers and wanted to share this opportunity. I've heard some of these speakers before think the series could be really helpful for anyone interested in working on AI/bio policy in the US. I've pasted the announcement of the speaker series below. Summer webinar series on emerging technology & national security policy careers The Horizon Institute for Public Service, in collaboration with partners at the Scowcroft Center for International Affairs at the Texas A&M Bush School and SeedAI, is excited to announce an upcoming webinar series on US emerging technology policy careers to help individuals decide if they should pursue careers in this field. In line with Horizon's and our partners' focus areas, the series will focus primarily on policy opportunities related to AI and biosecurity and run from late June to early August. Sessions will not be recorded and individuals must sign up to receive event access — you can express interest in attending here. Horizon's mission is to help the US government navigate our era of rapid technological change by fostering the next generation of public servants with emerging technology expertise. The policy opportunities and challenges related to emerging technology are interdisciplinary and will require talent from a range of backgrounds and communities, including many that don't have ready access to information about what policy work is like and what a career transition might look like. As a result, this series will cover: Examples of individuals with non-traditional (e.g. technical or legal) backgrounds transitioning into emerging technology policy Examples of what a “day in a life” is like at a think tank, advocacy organization, executive agency, or in Congress Examples of ongoing policy efforts and debates related to AI or biosecurity policy All sessions will involve interactive conversations with experienced policy practitioners and opportunities for audience questions. Some of the sessions will be useful for individuals from all fields and career stages, while others are more focused — you may choose to attend all or only some of the sessions. Currently scheduled sessions include: Q&A with Jason Matheny, CEO of the RAND Corporation Q&A with Nikki Teran, Institute for Progress Fellow, on biosecurity challenges and policy careers to address them Q&A with Helen Toner‚ Director of Strategy and Foundational Research Grants at CSET, on AI challenges and policy careers to address them What's it like working in the executive branch? What's it like working in a think tank? What's it like working in Congress? Choosing graduate schools for policy careers (master's, PhD, JD) Transitioning from law to policy Transitioning from science and tech to policy Advancing in policy from underrepresented backgrounds Horizon Fellowship info session Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org

The PrOTect OT Cybersecurity Podcast
Danielle Jablanski: Navigating the Multitude of OT Technologies Considering Interoperability, Reliability, and Centralization

The PrOTect OT Cybersecurity Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2023 46:39


About Danielle Jablanski: Danielle Jablanski is an accomplished OT cybersecurity strategist at Nozomi Networks, where she spearheads global research on cybersecurity and drives awareness of operational technology (OT) and industrial control systems (ICS) cybersecurity throughout the industry. She is a nonresident fellow at the Cyber Statecraft Initiative within the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, further establishing her expertise in the field. Jablanski's commitment to advancing cyber-physical standards development, education, certifications, and labeling authority is evident through her active roles as a staff and advisory board member of the nonprofit organization Building Cyber Security. With a passion for emerging technologies, Danielle has independently consulted for the US government and technology startups, exploring novel applications in military, defense, and commercial sectors. Prior to her current endeavors, she contributed significantly to the creation and development of the Stanford Cyber Policy Center, showcasing her dedication to cybersecurity and policy. In this episode, Aaron and Danielle Jablanski discuss:Challenges and false assumptions in cybersecurityManaging cybersecurity for operational technology (OT) with an overwhelming market of OT solutions to choose fromThe importance of transparency, accuracy, and precision in overcoming challenges of OT cybersecurityPrioritizing cybersecurity investments in a complex operational environment with limited resourcesKey Takeaways:The cybersecurity industry holds misconceptions and obstacles in the OT domain, requiring a change in perspective, modernizing systems, and reassessing market classifications to adequately tackle emerging threats and discover practical solutions.With the overwhelming amount of OT technologies and tools available in the marketplace, understanding interoperability, reliability, and centralization will help you select the most appropriate ones for addressing issues in your environment.The convergence of IT and OT cybersecurity requires a shift in mindset, prioritizing safety and business risk over technology, and addressing key challenges of interoperability, reliability, and centralization, while leveraging trusted advisors and independent consultants for effective solutions, especially for smaller organizations.Focus on practical steps tailored to your financial capacity, risk assessment, and the unique demands of your organization, rather than mindlessly spending on costly products or solutions that may not fulfill your security needs. "Collectively, cyber-physical security requires new strategic and tactical thinking to better inform decision-makers in cyber policy, planning, and preparedness." — Danielle Jablanski Resources Mentioned: Upcoming webinar by Nozomi Networks on The Next Generation of AI for OT Cybersecurity this June 14th: https://www.nozominetworks.com/webinars/the-next-generation-of-ai-for-ot-cybersecurity-launch-event/Critical infrastructure cybersecurity prioritization: A cross-sector methodology for ranking operational technology cyber scenarios and critical entities: https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/issue-brief/critical-infrastructure-cybersecurity-prioritization/Connect with Danielle Jablanski: Website: https://www.nozominetworks.com/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/daniellejjablanski/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/CyberSnark Connect with Aaron:LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/aaronccrowLearn more about Industrial Defender:Website: https://www.industrialdefender.com/podcast LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/industrial-defender-inc/Twitter: https://twitter.com/iDefend_ICSYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@industrialdefender7120Audio production by Turnkey Podcast Productions. You're the expert. Your podcast will prove it.

What the Hell Is Going On
WTH is Going On with the Discord Leaks? Former CIA Field Officer Marc Polymeropoulos Explains How It Happened and What It Means

What the Hell Is Going On

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 26, 2023 49:18


The Ukrainians are running out of munitions and the war is predicted to endure past 2023; China is debuting new missiles that have the ability to penetrate US defenses; Egypt Is toying with supporting Russia in attacking Ukraine; ISIS is evolving. These are just a handful of the revelations from the viral Discord leaks, a set of US intelligence documents leaked on the gaming platform Discord and other sites by 21-year-old Jack Teixeira of the Massachusetts Air National Guard. Ways to interpret the fallout are manifold, but lessons learned all point back to US responsibility: that Ukraine will face empty bins is a self-fulfilling prophecy that the US can remedy through a revitalization of its defense industrial base. That Taiwan is at enhanced risk of invasion by China every day is only tempered by US willingness to build up Taiwan's defense and develop a strategic counter-aggression framework. Content aside, that a 21-year-old kid was able to photograph and share US top secret information, and continue sharing it for 8 months – well, it is not a leap to underscore the importance of tightening US intelligence security measures to prevent this from ever happening again. Marc Polymeropoulos is a nonresident senior fellow in the Forward Defense practice of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. Polymeropoulos worked for twenty-six years at the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) before retiring in July 2019 at the Senior Intelligence Service level. He was one of the CIA's most highly decorated operations officers. He is the author of Clarity in Crisis: Leadership Lessons from the CIA.Download the transcript here.

The Lawfare Podcast
Lawfare Archive: Cybersecurity Futures

The Lawfare Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 4, 2023 42:43


From December 7, 2019: Wargaming has long been a staple of military strategizing, but how do we plan for the future in cyberspace, a realm where governments do not hold a monopoly on capabilities? A new report from the Atlantic Council argues that "visualizing and describing the evolution of cyber capabilities and strategic competition require envisioning multiple futures," and the report sets out to do exactly that. This week, Lawfare's Susan Hennessey sat down with John Watts, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and JD Work, the Bren Chair for Cyber Conflict and Security at the Marine Corps University, who are authors of "Alternate Cybersecurity Futures," along with Nina Kollars, Ben Jensen, and Chris Whyte. They talked about the behind-the-scenes of strategic policy planning, the value of creativity, and what scenarios emerge when you ask cybersecurity experts to predict the future.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The PrOTect OT Cybersecurity Podcast
Admiral TJ White: Keeping People Safe Is The Heart Of Cybersecurity

The PrOTect OT Cybersecurity Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 16, 2023 56:36


About Admiral TJ White: Vice Admiral TJ White is a retired 30-plus-year national security practitioner, strategist, and cyber operations expert. He has commanded at all levels within the Navy and on joint service, including as the commander of US Fleet Cyber Command, US Tenth Fleet, and US Navy Space Command, as well as the commander of the US Cyber National Mission Force of US Cyber Command. White is a former intelligence director for US Indo-Pacific Command and has served globally in various combat zones and conflict areas supporting competition dynamics. A nonresident senior fellow in the Forward Defense practice of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, White's consulting practice, OneNetworkConnection, LLC, leverages his technical acumen, operational horizon, and strategic vision to assess and manage current and future risk. He is an expert in talent management, risk assessment, and consequence management concerning cybersecurity, critical infrastructure, supply chain, technology policy, and trust relationships. His mission is to bridge the accelerating divide between a digital information technology ecosystem and the genuine impact on human organizational design and enterprise decision-making.In this episode, Aaron and Admiral TJ White discuss:Exploring solutions to overcome challenges in navigating cybersecurity and critical infrastructure complexities.Managing ongoing threats and resources for effective cybersecurity in slow-moving industries.The importance of prioritizing OT to protect physical processes, human life, and national defense and sovereignty.Assessing the impact of vulnerabilities in an organization through the interplay of cybersecurity and organizational factors.Key Takeaways:The biggest and most challenging step in understanding cyberspace is recognizing it as a strategic imperative, and ensuring that the C-suite and board members are invested in developing a comprehensive understanding of the company's mission, vulnerabilities, and exposure to cyber threats.Improving cybersecurity has been an ongoing journey for the US government, industries, and large companies since the Y2K era. This journey involves continuous adaptation to new threats through strong leadership and attention, with the Department of Defense being a successful example through their persistent engagement and defend forward strategies.The power industry, in particular, is a prime example of how technology can lead to increased efficiency, dependability, and performance.Cyberspace is not just technology, but a business risk that ties into the financials, safety, confidentiality, and overall business process. Understanding the vulnerabilities and their impact on the organization is valuable for making informed decisions on how to protect against them."I'm very confident that more and more as a leader, if you just demonstrate and display that you're cognizant that this is a real thing and that there is a place that it is impacting everything that you do. I think the people on your team will want to become knowledgeable about it." — Admiral TJ White Connect with Admiral TJ White: Email: tj@onenetworkconnectionllc.comLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tjwhite01networkconnection/Connect with Aaron:LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/aaronccrowLearn more about Industrial Defender:Website: https://www.industrialdefender.com/podcast LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/industrial-defender-inc/Twitter: https://twitter.com/iDefend_ICSYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@industrialdefender7120Audio production by Turnkey Podcast Productions. You're the expert. Your podcast will prove it.

The Lawfare Podcast
Lifting the Veil on Fusion Centers

The Lawfare Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 19, 2023 68:49


In the wake of September 11, 2001, federal law enforcement agencies were caught flatfooted when they realized that they'd had the intel to prevent the attack on the homeland, but they'd failed to connect those dots. Fusion centers were born out of an abundance of caution to share and streamline counterterrorism information between the federal level and state and local levels. Since then, the Department of Homeland Security has supported the development of a national network of 80 fusion centers across the United States. And while its principle goal initially was to disseminate counterterrorism intel from the state and local levels, it's now expanded to include the sharing of intelligence regarding crimes or hazards more broadly. Last month, the Brennan Center released a report entitled, “Ending Fusion Center Abuses,” explaining how fusion centers' domestic intelligence model has undermined American's privacy, civil rights, and civil liberties. Lawfare legal fellow Saraphin Dhanani sat down with Michael German, a fellow with the Brennan Center for Justice's Liberty and National Security Program, who co-authored the report, as well as Thomas Warrick, a non-resident senior fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security Forward Defense Practice at the Atlantic Council. They discussed how fusion centers were conceived, where they've excelled as intelligence centers, and where they've abused their powers.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Danger Close with Jack Carr
Best of Danger Close: Spycraft and Intelligence

Danger Close with Jack Carr

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2022 92:36


Description:  NOTE: In the coming weeks, Jack is releasing a series of “best of” collections from the Danger Close archives. Each episode contains portions of past interviews, all centered around a theme or topic. Today's episode features conversations with current and former members of the intelligence community and intelligence analysts. FEATURED INTERVIEWS: DOUGLAS LONDON Douglas London is a retired senior CIA operations officer. Today, Doug is an Adjunct Associate Professor at Georgetown University's Center for Security Studies. Full Interview: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/danger-close-with-jack-carr/id1557814875?i=1000538426102 RIC PRADO Ric Prado is a retired CIA operations officer who specialized in paramilitary, counter-terrorism and special/clandestine operations. He is also the New York Times bestselling author of Black Ops. Full Interview: https://podcasts.apple.com/za/podcast/ric-prado-black-ops/id1557814875?i=1000558891242 CLINT EMERSON Clint Emerson is an author, an entrepreneur, survival expert, podcast host, and former SEAL. He is the author of theThe Rugged Life and the 100 Deadly Skills series and hosts Can You Survive This Podcast? Full Interview: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/clint-emerson-living-the-rugged-life/id1557814875?i=1000569047146 SAMUEL KATZ Samuel Katz is an expert on the Middle East, counterterrorism, and special operations. He has written more than 20 books including The Ghost Warrior, No Shadows in the Desert, and Beirut Rules. Full Interview: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/samuel-katz-no-shadows-in-the-desert/id1557814875?i=1000552241030 MARC POLYMEROPOULOS Marc Polymeropoulos retired from the CIA in 2019 after 26 years of service. He is the author of the book Clarity in Crisis.  Currently, Marc serves as senior fellow in the Forward Defense practice of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security.  Full Interview: https://podcasts.apple.com/gh/podcast/marc-polymeropoulos-clarity-in-crisis-at-the-cia/id1557814875?i=1000549795436 FRED BURTON Fred Burton is a former police officer, Diplomatic Security Service special agent, author, and security consultant. During his career, Fred was involved in some of the most notable terrorism investigations in law enforcement history. Full Interview: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fred-burton-protective-security-specialist-author-and/id1557814875?i=1000516096247 DAVID KILCULLEN David Kilcullen served in the Australian military for more than 20 years before being recruited as the Chief Strategist in the Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism for the U.S. State Department. He was also a counterinsurgency adviser to NATO and the International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan. Full Interview: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dr-david-kilcullen-a-student-of-warfare/id1557814875?i=1000525709471 KARA FREDERICK Kara Frederick serves as the director of The Tech Policy Center at The Heritage Foundation. She previously served as a counterterrorism analyst at the Department of Defense and was a Senior Intelligence Analyst for a U.S. Naval Special Warfare Command.    Full Interview: https://podcasts.apple.com/nz/podcast/kara-frederick-big-techs-totalitarianism/id1557814875?i=1000576378628   Sponsors: Navy Federal Credit Union: Today's episode is presented by Navy Federal Credit Union. Learn more about them at navyfederal.org   Black Rifle Coffee Company: Today's episode is also brought to you by Black Rifle. Purchase at http://www.blackriflecoffee.com/dangerclose and use code: dangerclose20 at checkout for 20% off your purchase and your first coffee club order! SIG: This episode is sponsored by SIG Sauer. You can learn more about SIG here. KC Cattle Company: Check out the Jack Carr Bundles: https://shop.officialjackcarr.com/collections/jack-carr-x-kc-cattle

The Munk Debates Podcast
Be it Resolved, Putin deserves a dead end, not an off ramp, in Ukraine

The Munk Debates Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 17, 2022 39:53


When Putin invaded Ukraine in the Spring of 2022, the western world reacted in understandable horror.  The first major ground mobilization in Europe since The Second World War arrived in shocking, gruesome fashion.  Almost immediately, global security experts were predicting Kyiv would fall within days, and the overmatched, under trained Ukrainian Army could not possibly compete with the Russian juggernaut.  But these early predictions severely underestimated the Ukrainian will to protect their homeland, and overestimated Russia's military acuity. Now, almost a year into the conflagration, Russia is on its heels, and by all accounts Putin's gamble has been one calamity after another for his sclerotic regime.   But the question that still remains is, how does it end? For some foreign policy experts, military brass, and Russia watchers, the only way to prevent similar incursions in the future Putin must be beaten outright, and beaten badly.  But others argue that the risks of cornering a madman vastly outweigh the benefits, and offering Putin an off ramp is the best possible scenario to restore order, peace, and stability.   Arguing for the motion is James Goldgeier, visiting fellow at the Center on the United States and Europe at the Brookings Institution and a professor of international relations at the School of International Service at American University, where he served as dean from 2011 to 2017.   Arguing against the motion is Emma Ashford, Resident senior fellow with the New American Engagement Initiative in the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security,and her opinion writing has been featured in the New York Times, the Washington Post, the Los Angeles Times, Foreign Policy, and Vox. Speaker Quotes  JAMES GOLDGEIER: “Putin has had plenty of possible off ramps before and during this war. And he's shown no interest in taking them”.   EMMA ASHFORD: “Putin may deserve a dead end, but it's not clear to me that that's better for everybody else”. The host of the Munk Debates is Rudyard Griffiths - @rudyardg.   Tweet your comments about this episode to @munkdebate or comment on our Facebook page https://www.facebook.com/munkdebates/ To sign up for a weekly email reminder for this podcast, send an email to podcast@munkdebates.com.   To support civil and substantive debate on the big questions of the day, consider becoming a Munk Member at https://munkdebates.com/membership Members receive access to our 10+ year library of great debates in HD video, a free Munk Debates book, newsletter and ticketing privileges at our live events. This podcast is a project of the Munk Debates, a Canadian charitable organization dedicated to fostering civil and substantive public dialogue - https://munkdebates.com/ Senior Producer: Jacob Lewis Editor: Adam Karch  

The Ben Domenech Podcast
Matthew Kroenig & The Russian Nuclear Threat

The Ben Domenech Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2022 19:36


On this episode, Ben sits down with Deputy Director of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Matthew Kroenig, to discuss the latest updates from the potential Russian nuclear threat in Ukraine. Plus, they look at why the Chinese military may become even more confrontational in the coming years. Later, Ben makes his predictions for what will happen in the Midterm Elections. Follow Ben on Twitter: @BDomenech Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Ezra Klein Show
A Russia-Ukraine Analysis That Carries a Glimmer of Hope

The Ezra Klein Show

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 18, 2022 74:51


As we enter the fourth week of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, many of the possible pathways this conflict could take are terrifying. A military quagmire that leads to protracted death and suffering. A Russian takeover of Kyiv and installation of a puppet government. An accidental strike on Polish or Romanian territory that draws America and the rest of NATO into war. Or, perhaps worst of all, a series of escalations that culminates in nuclear exchange.But one possibility carries a glimmer of hope. This week, Ukrainian and Russian negotiators began talks on a tentative peace plan — one that would involve Ukraine abandoning its attempts to join NATO and promising not to host foreign military bases or weaponry, in exchange for Western security guarantees and a Russian troop withdrawal. We're still far from any kind of definitive settlement — and there are legitimate concerns over whether Putin would accept any kind of deal at this point — but it's a start.Emma Ashford is a senior fellow with the New American Engagement Initiative at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and a member of the school of foreign policy thinking known as “realism.” Realists view international relations as a contest between states for power and security; they tend to focus less on the psychologies and ideologies of individual leaders and more on the strategic self-interest of the parties involved. It's an imperfect framework but a useful one — especially when it comes to analyzing what it would take to achieve a successful negotiation or settlement.So I invited Ashford on the show to help me think through the different trajectories the conflict could take — and what the West can do to make de-escalation more likely. We also discuss John Mearsheimer's argument that the West's effort to expand NATO bears responsibility for Putin's invasion, why Ashford isn't particularly worried about the possibility of Russian cyberattacks on the West, how Western sanctions blur the line between war and peace, whether NATO's efforts to supply Ukraine with weapons might backfire, why sanctions might not hurt Russian elites as much as Western leaders hope and how this conflict is changing the geopolitical calculus of countries like Germany, China and India.Book recommendations:The Economic Weapon by Nicholas MulderNot One Inch by M.E. SarotteThe Sleepwalkers by Christopher ClarkThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.“The Ezra Klein Show” is produced by Annie Galvin, Jeff Geld and Rogé Karma; fact-checking by Michelle Harris, Mary Marge Locker and Kate Sinclair; original music by Isaac Jones; mixing by Jeff Geld; audience strategy by Shannon Busta. Our executive producer is Irene Noguchi. Special thanks to Kristin Lin and Kristina Samulewski.