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The Agenda's week in review looked at the secret sauce behind political polling, whether Canada should use retaliatory tariffs against the U.S. and what Canada's relationship to the oil sector should be.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Labour and Te Pāti Māori lose ground in recent polls, with ACT up 2.3% and NZ first, 7.5% The Greens rose by one percent to 11%. It comes as Greens member See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode of Being Extra, Jeni and Phillip take on the mystery, the madness, and the mess of political polling. After years of polls getting it wrong—2016, 2020, 2024—can we actually trust them? Or are they just astrology for political nerds?Jeni breaks down the numbers, why polls keep underestimating Trump voters, and how Democrats' approval ratings are hitting historic lows (according to polls, anyway). Meanwhile, Phillip keeps it real—do people even answer pollsters anymore? Are these surveys capturing actual voter sentiment, or just the opinions of people who love talking on the phone?Together, they debate whether Democrats should be panicking over bad polling, how the media gets election predictions so wrong, and why voters are tired of being told what's supposed to happen. And as always, they ask the big question: Are polls a valuable tool, or just political theater?Tune in for fiery takes, plenty of side-eye, and a reality check on whether polls really shape elections—or just shape our expectations.Listen, subscribe, follow, contact us, sign up to be a guest: https://linktr.ee/BeingExtraPodcast
Christopher Luxon is defending his work as Prime Minister. The latest Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll suggests Chris Hipkins has leap-frogged Luxon as preferred PM. Labour's also ahead on 34.1%, with National trailing on 33.6%. The Prime Minister told Mike Hosking they're putting through legislation to address a range of issues. He says they're working harder than any government to fix what he says was a "mess" left by the last government. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Former Minister Andrew Bayly has escaped the trials and tribulations of Parliament for a hike up Nepal's Mt Everest - but is it frowned upon for an MP to take a holiday while the house is sitting? Also, a new political poll is due out today. What can we expect? Newstalk ZB political editor Jason Walls joined Nick Mills for the Beehive Buzz. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
There's an old saying in advertising - to be successful you don't sell the sausage, you sell the sizzle. Christopher Luxon may have a great sausage, but he's not selling its sizzle. The Taxpayers' Union-Curia poll released yesterday afternoon had National up 1.7 points to 33.6%, but Labour had moved past it, jumping nearly three points to 34.1%. The Greens fell to 10%, down 3.2 points. ACT went down 2.3 points and Te Pati Māori rose 2.1 points to 6.5%. NZ First went down 1.3 points to 5.1%. So when we translate this number soup into seats in the house, both Labour and National are up three each to 42. The Greens are down four to 12, ACT is down two to 10, NZ First down to to six, Te Pati Māori up two to eight. That would mean the centre left block of Labour, the Greens and Te Pati Māori would have 62 seats to the centre-right's 58 and thus could form a centre-left government. Now, before anyone starts booking a one-way flight to Australia, the only poll that counts is the one on Election Day. And these opinion polls, midway through a government's term, generally show a disgruntlement with the current lot that's in, rather than an overwhelming desire to see the other lot take over. But this is the third poll, in a row, that puts the opposition ahead. And you might know, and I might know that the government's doing a good job of trying to re-establish some semblance of fiscal propriety, that they're redrawing boundaries about what is and what isn't acceptable behaviour within a decent society, and they've taken the first steps towards restoring a world class education system. But you and I also know that we live in a democracy and every vote counts. The lady who called in and wanted taxpayers to buy everyone a house and a car because that would give them a sense of belonging —she wasn't quite sure how to pay for it, but she thought it would be cheaper in the long run than jail terms— her vote counts the same as yours. There is no denying that the three-headed coalition beast makes it difficult to govern. The Treaty Principles Bill has been a divisive distraction, the bloody school lunches are yet another Labour well-intentioned, misguided initiative that has become this government's problem. People still aren't feeling better off, and they're still waiting a long time for a hip replacement. Dissatisfaction, disgruntlement, disengagement, that's all part of the midterm blues. Speaking to the Herald, Christopher Luxon said New Zealanders are going to have an opportunity in 2026, which is not that far away, to make a decision around Chris Hipkins or myself, he said, and our respective governments. My job is to make sure New Zealanders see that they're better off under my Government, we've come through a very tough time, there are some green shoots that we're really encouraged about on the economy ultimately, he said, New Zealanders are going to judge me at the election in 2026 as to whether we've delivered for them on rebuilding the economy, restoring law and order, delivering better health and education. So do you agree that this is the government not being able to sell its sizzle. The sausage is there, but without the sizzle there will be no successful selling story. I could understand why some within National could feel brassed off. We've got the policies, the building bricks, the foundations, to get New Zealand cracking again and that will better everybody. But if people don't believe that, if they don't believe the message, then they go to vote Labour and we're going to get a centre-left government.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
It's thought the Prime Minister's communication style doesn't sit well with Kiwis. The latest Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll shows Chris Hipkins has leap-frogged Chris Luxon as preferred PM. Labour's also ahead on 34.1%, with National trailing on 33.6%. National's support has risen, but support for coalition partners Act and New Zealand First have both dropped. Auckland University marketing expert, Michael Lee told Andrew Dickens Luxon's question side-stepping on Andrew Bayley's sacking was a good example of what he needs to improve. He says there are ways of answering that show he doesn't want to respond in a way which could get himself or someone else in trouble, later on. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Doug Kaplan, President of Kaplan Strategies, discusses the utility of political polling for local, state, and national races. We discuss the value of polls when partisanship is high, the changing political communication landscape, and Florida as a Republican stronghold (for now).
Christopher Luxon admits the Government has work to do following its latest slide in the polls. Both the latest Taxpayers' Union-Curia poll and the 1News-Verian poll show the left bloc would have the seats to form a government. Chris Hipkins is also gaining ground on Luxon in the preferred prime minister rankings. The Prime Minister told Mike Hosking the results are a sign of how Kiwis are feeling. He says people are facing a tough economic time, and they want the Government to resolve that situation for them. Luxon's also rejecting Labour's calls for David Seymour to be removed from Cabinet. Chris Hipkins is calling for the Act Leader to be removed as a minister after he drove a car up the steps of Parliament at a fundraiser without the Speaker's approval. Seymour's also come under fire for writing to Police, advocating for Philip Polkinghorne, who went on to be charged, then found not guilty of his wife's murder. Luxon told Hosking he's responsible for all ministers in the Cabinet and their conduct, and he's very conscious of that. He says Seymour's letter to Police wasn't a breach of the Cabinet manual, as it happened before Seymour was a minister or in government. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
National's power in the polls looks to be shifting. Both the Taxpayers' Union-Curia poll and the 1News-Verian poll show the left bloc has the numbers to form a government if an election was held today. Both also have Christopher Luxon losing support in the preferred Prime Minister stakes. Curia pollster David Farrar told Mike Hosking people heard the bad economic news in December and are now unsure if the country will get out of it. He interprets the poll as people not abandoning the Government out of anger, but rather waiting to see what happens next. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Labour has eked ahead in the polls as the cost of living crisis bites. The latest Taxpayers' Union Curia poll has Labour overtaking National, the latter falling to 29.6%, against Labour's four percentage point jump, to 30.9%. Ginny Andersen told Ryan Bridge that it's an indication the economy is biting. She says that New Zealanders aren't really getting what they voted for, and that's coming through in the polls. Health is the other big ticket issue impacting the polls, Andersen says, which is why Luxon is trying to head it off by putting Simeon Brown in charge of the portfolio. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week, we're excited to bring a conversation from NGM Pathways' live community event to our feed. The good folks at our presenting organization, Next Gen Men, hosted Samantha and Remoy for a Q&A session about the US election. We stop just short of the audience Q&A to maintain privacy of the participants. Tune in!Remoy and Samantha start out with a shout-out to self-care. It's been a month since the election and some tough conversations with loved ones may have happened/may be coming up—it's important to take a moment for ourselves.Therapy is still the greatest thing ever. Remoy shouts out his own therapist and Samantha is excited to return this week.Male loneliness continues to be high—Samantha calls back the mental health conversation they had with resident counselor Justin Lioi this time last year.Next Gen Men's new community manager, Charlotte Kinloch, starts out with land acknowledgments. We remember that we are on stolen land both in the US and in Canada, as we start the conversation. Charlotte leads us into unpacking the election…Was this election gendered? It certainly didn't have to be but it was. A white male convicted felon being allowed to run and being measured against the most qualified presidential candidate in recent times certainly feels gendered. Well, it feels supremacist.Samantha and Remoy point out that many other factors were certainly implicated in Americans' decision to vote Trump, but gender cannot be ignored.What was surprising about the PEW findings from the pre-election episode?Right before the election, Juliana Horowitz from PEW Research Center came on the pod and shared Americans' feelings on men and masculinity. Men's progress and character traits in men were among the most surprising, particularly given the narratives promoted by the manosphere.As Horowitz shared during that episode, which Samantha brought up again now, not blaming women for men's lack of progress doesn't mean that women's progress is appreciated. This points to a patriarchal perspective prevailing among Americans.Samantha sidebars about why men have made less progress than women in the past few decades. PEW Research Center had a study on that as well…Remoy places us within a larger international context. Trump wasn't the only one elected as a result of populist efforts.Faith in education has dropped drastically, and education is viewed as the establishment.How was Trump able to paint himself as a man of the people even though he is a billionaire who rubs elbows with other billionaires? Remoy gives his take.If, as we discovered during our conversation with PEW Center's Senior Associate Director of Research, Juliana Horowitz, Americans value women's leadership and “feminine” traits being valuable to leadership, how did Donald Trump emerge as elected leader for this country yet again?Remoy reflects back on his conservative background before he became liberal and how much masculinity is entrenched in American culture history.Samantha points out that messaging around patriarchal leadership is heavily funded by nontraditional sources and funneled to nontraditional information and news sources. A win for the anti-establishment strategy.The manosphere and its spaces also provide something that men have trouble getting elsewhere.Remoy highlights the need for regulation on social media with a clear solution.How have evolving gender roles impacted the American public?PEW's research found that Americans don't blame men's lack of progress on women's continued progress, but men are still behind.Remoy brings up the biggest point of all, which is the economy. Many folks who vote conservative cite the economy as their main reason for doing so. This election was no different. This has impacted men in a real way, challenging the notion that they are providers. And some of their women spouses voted to ensure that their male partners could get better financially.Samantha highlights the ways in which the economy has already been impacted by Trump's win, but only a few have seen the wins.Talk to us! Did we cover all the points about the election? What would you have added? Our lines are open for any and all communications about masculinity, maskulinitypodcast@gmail.com; @maskulinitypod on Twitter and Instagram.Thanks for listeningCOMPANION PIECES:Making Sense of the Election - Our post election episode examining money in politics and how Americans get their news and informationHow American Politics REALLY Sees Men & MASKulinity - Our episode analyzing PEW Research Center's latest report on men and masculinity with report author and Senior Associate Director of Research at PEW Research Center, Juliana Horowitz and Next Gen Men's Equity Leaders' Trevor MayohDon't underestimate the Rogansphere. His mammoth ecosystem is Fox News for young peoplePew Research Center ‘s study on Americans' news sourcesMANY young people are getting their news from TikTokReferenced on this episode:How Americans See Men and Masculinity - PEW Research Center reportMen Think It's Harder for Them at Work Than 20 Years AgoFewer young men are in college, especially at 4-year schools
This week, Remoy and Samantha debrief the election. After having hope following the PEW findings from the last episode, they try to understand how the election turned out the way it did.The obvious has to be put out there: Kamala Harris's loss has strong racist and sexist undertones.Given most Trump voters cited the economy as the reason why, Samantha talks through Joe Biden's approach as well.Many factors contributed to the state of the economy, including—ahem—COVID, the effects of which we're still feeling now.What's going on with inflation? Samantha gives us high-level notes on COVID-19 led to the worst inflation we've seen.Trump voters may not have known all this, because news sources have changed substantially in recent years.Remoy takes us through the new news landscape.YouTube and Facebook are heavy on Americans' news rotation, many more Americans than you might think get their news from these sources.Not to mention the manosphere speaking directly to men as guests like Donald Trump give them clout while connecting to their fanbase.How can so many Americans fall for these things? Education has been meddled with in so many states.Samantha gives a crash course on the billionaire Koch brothers and their education goals.She delves into the allies that have helped them get there and how they use government and money to undermine public education.Did you know they are longtime associates of Betsy DeVos and her family? Samantha gets into their collaboration instituting the voucher system in states around the country.The Koch have a particular vision for the world they want to see and meddling with American education is their pathway.Trump has now started naming his cabinet, and back in 2016, many of his potential cabinet picks were from the Kochs' network of donors.Remoy reminds us how men's education has plateaued in the US, and how this helps disinform them.The notion of school choice has been a conservative strategy to destabilize public education, reallocating funds to give parents accounts.They end on a note of hope.Join Samantha and Remoy at the Next Gen Men Pathways event. They'll be answering questions about MASKulinity and the election for Next Gen Men's new initiative and reflecting on what's to come. Sign up for FREE, and join them on November 21!Thanks for listening!Referenced on this episode:Pew Research Center ‘s study on Americans' news sourcesMANY young people are getting their news from TikTokHow Democrats are falling short on connecting with menOur podbro's thoughts on Democrats connecting with menHow the manosphere won the election COMPANION PIECES:How American Politics REALLY Sees Men & MASKulinityRadicalization and TSwiftMake America Great Again, How the dominant was left behind with Dr. Michael KimmelInside the new strain of conservatives, not MAGA or QanonGaslit Nation's Reading Guide to stay informed
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With the U.S. election just a day away and a Canadian one that could be called very soon, we're all spending a lot of time talking about polls.But how exactly do they work and what happens when they get it wrong? Last week, Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe won another majority government for the Saskatchewan Party despite some polls beforehand showing the NDP in the lead. And famously, the polls highly underestimated Donald Trump's voter base in both 2016 and 2020.So to better understand the ins and outs of the polling business and the challenges of adapting it to changing habits and politics, we're talking to David Coletto, founder and CEO of Abacus Data.For transcripts of Front Burner, please visit: https://www.cbc.ca/radio/frontburner/transcripts
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris remain neck-and-neck on the eve of polling day, but one top polling expert is picking the election for Trump. Trump is spending the day in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Harris is focusing on Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state with 19 Electoral College votes. Polling analyst Henry Olsen told Mike Hosking he believes Trump will narrowly win more Electoral College votes. He says the country has shifted to the right, and Harris isn't winning enough independent voters to offset that. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Analysis from Blois Olson and Tom Hauser on The WCCO Morning News.
As the 2024 election heats up, it's easy to assume that hyper-masculine, even toxic masculinity, messaging is resonating across America. But a new Pew Research report tells a different story. After digging in with report creator Juliana Horowitz and Next Gen Men's Trevor Mayoh, Samantha uncovers some surprising truths. Here's where Samantha reveals the real story behind Americans' views on masculinity. Remoy was surprised, to say the least…First Juliana opens up to how the “How Americans See Men and Masculinity” report came out of a more general curiosity, but as the election shifted into a more gendered race, the importance of the research became increasingly clear.Using the report as a jump off, Samantha runs a few questions by Remoy:First: Samantha asked Remoy what he thought when he heard of the association between the American public and the terms: caring, open about their emotions, soft-spoken, or affectionate?Second: She asked him how Americans felt about men pursuing non “traditional” norms: staying home to raise the kids, women paying for the date, men taking a woman's last name in marriage?Third: How do Americans feel about actions that depict Toxic Masculinity?Fourth: Do Americans feel like there's a backlash against men who are manly or masculine?The answers? They're not so cut and dry as you may think with a lot more parity across the aisle. Why?Juliana suggests that generally speaking there's much more nuance to Americans' beliefs and thinking. Especially in contrast to the loud political noise we constantly see and hear.Trevor makes a point that it's the sport of American politics, the tribalism of how it's waged, that unfortunately may disregard a lot of that nuance.Trevor shares what he's experienced with men in his work as a diversity, inclusion and violence prevention consultant. How he encounters a lot of men who are hurting in a variety of ways: work anxieties, stress, expectations to meet the highest standards of what it means to be husband or father. And in the midst of all that, how the larger culture hasn't given men the tools to ask for help to process all these intense expectations.Then he goes on to unpack how that can be exacerbated in highly masculine spaces– how men could actually possess a lot of that nuance Juliana shared in her report –but there's a pack mentality in those intense social environments that doesn't allow men to easily share their discouragements.Remoy wonders if all of this is what can create a culture of “Aggrieved Entitlement.”Does Remoy know what that really is? Nope. Luckily Samantha helps guide the way, defining what that experience is along with how mens' perceptions of women's ascent plays a role in building that entitled foundation.Juliana brings some light to it all by giving a better view of what Americans perceive of the progress women have made in the last 20 years and how that may be affecting the aforementioned entitlement.Trevor reveals how that entitlement, yes, has become a tool for American players like Trump, but is also a larger global culture. How it's more of a larger populist appeal that exploits men's insecurities amidst deeply entrenched gender norms.Trevor leaves Samantha and Remoy with one last take away about how maybe the greatest misunderstanding of all these political games, is that if anything, it may provide community, friendship, or just a person to share a laugh with. A rare commodity for men especially as they age.Samantha and Remoy really take this information in to gather a better understanding of how vulnerable men may be and how if this is the most vulnerable area for predation, how sad the American political environment may be.Samantha then breaks off on her own to ask Juliana more questions about the importance of the “How Americans See Men and Masculinity” report. Along the way pursuing a deeper understanding with Trevor at how to better wade through all these layers of these findings amidst the visible political situation in America.Finally, Samantha and Remoy discuss how to hold all this nuance alongside knowing we're in a fractured American political system; especially when facing the obligation to participate when the cracks are so apparent. Together they land on multiple ideas that empower each other to have faith and still fight back as part of their own civic duty. Referenced on this episode:Want to dive into the actual report from the Pew Research Center? Read “How Americans See Men and Masculinity” in all its surprising, well dissected glory.Who's Trevor Mayoh? Learn more about his role as an Equity Leader with Next Gen Men.Okay but really… What is “Aggrieved Entitlement”? The Conversation shows a recent example of what that looks like in Canada.Who's Samantha's favorite Boston Celtic, Jaylen Brown? And why? Read more about how he came to open up about his mental health challenges as a male pro-athlete, especially overcoming an upbringing surrounded by what he calls “over-masculinity”.Justin Baldoni makes it his mission to model a public, vulnerable, honest conversation of what patriarchy really does to men.Companion pieces:It's Time to Loosen the Grip on Reproductive Freedom with Heidi SieckMake America Great Again, How the dominant was left behind with Dr. Michael Kimmel
Early voting is underway in just about every state, along with vote by mail balloting that's been taking place for weeks.
Join our President and CEO, Mike Affuso, as he sits down with Adam Geller, Founder and CEO of National Research Inc. for a discussion on the development of political polls and messaging, why they sometimes get it wrong, the most important polling question to ask, and more.
Email: podcast@247realtalk.netWebsite: https://247-real-talk.onpodium.com/https://www.youtube.com/@247realtalkpodcast/videoshttps://247-real-talk-podcast.printify.me/productshttps://www.youtube.com/@lifestylebymolesia
The team behind “Try This” is dedicated to helping listeners learn new things, in ways that feel doable. So we're sharing a recent “Post Reports” episode about how polling works. On this episode of The Washington Post's daily news podcast, “Post Reports,” Martine Powers speaks with The Post's deputy polling director, Emily Guskin. Emily explains how a poll comes to be, details what to look for when trying to understand whether a poll is trustworthy, and breaks down once and for all what “margin of error” really means.As the U.S. presidential election gets closer, “Try This” will release a new audio course dedicated to bettering ourselves through civic engagement. Stick to this feed to find that course soon. Subscribe to The Washington Post here.
As Election Day looms, we're seeing more and more headlines based on poll results. Some declare Trump and Harris neck and neck, while others state one candidate has a small advantage over the other. But how can we make sense of all these polls flooding the news cycle?Today, Martine Powers speaks with The Post's deputy polling director, Emily Guskin. Emily explains how a poll comes to be, what to look for when trying to understand whether a poll is trustworthy and breaks down once and for all what “margin of error” really means.Today's show was produced by Ariel Plotnick, with help from Bishop Sand. It was edited by Reena Flores and mixed by Sam Bair. Subscribe to The Washington Post here.
Every day it seems there's a headline about which candidate is surging in the polls — but how accurate are those assessments? Philip Elliott, senior correspondent for Time magazine, joins host Krys Boyd to discuss how the layman can look at polls and glean the most relevant information, how polls gather their data and why that margin of error is super important. His article is “How to Read Political Polls Like a Pro.”
Full Show - JD Vance's Destruction of Tim Walz during the 2024 Vice Presidential Debate and Continuous Updates on Restoration Efforts from Deadly Hurricane Helene.
The Utter Destruction of Tim Walz
Liberal Math vs Logic https://www.audacy.com/989word The Tara Show Follow us on Social Media Join our Live Stream Weekdays - 6am to 10am Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/989word Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-2031096 X: https://twitter.com/989word Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/989word/ "Red Meat, Greenville." 10/02/24
Over in the US, Kamala Harris is experiencing a significant bump in the polls. New data from Quinnipiac University, Reuters and CNN show Harris is beating out Donald Trump - or the pair are neck-and-neck in terms of voter appeal. US correspondent Dan Mitchinson says Kamala Harris has focused on appealing to the swing states, as the race is still too close. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Today on AirTalk, the challenges facing Newsom's gasoline reserve plans. Also on the show, how trustworthy are political polls?; should non-citizens be able to vote in municipal elections? Santa Ana will decide; listeners weigh in on teenage internships; and more. Newsom's gasoline reserve plan (00:17) Everything you need to know about political polls (18:05) Prop 6 debate: banning prison labor (32:27) Measure DD: Should non-US citizens be able to vote (51:36) Teenage internships or real jobs? Listeners weigh in. (1:22:38)
Dan Boyd from the ABQ Journal talks to Bob about the Presidential & Senatorial Races in NM.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Adam and Jordana discuss the point of polls when it comes to elections - why do we need them? A New York Times article posted a recent poll last week showing Democratic support has stalled - however another poll released showed otherwise - so why believe one over another? We break down the pros and cons of these polls as we edge closer to Election Day!
Greg talks through the results of a recent poll that shows just how uninformed Democrat Voters are about policy positions taken by Kamala Harris in recent years.
Roy Morgan's New Zealand Poll for August 2024 shows support for the coalition Government has gone up in August. National's approval rating has jumped 3.5 points to 36 percent and support for NZ First increased 1 point to 7.5 percent - but support for ACT dropped 1.5 points to 9.5 percent. ZB senior political correspondent Barry Soper says the poll shows the coalition has generated more support by male voters than female voters. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
So, one poll tells us something by not really moving and another poll tells us something by being badly misrepresented. The TV1 news numbers last night show that essentially the Government is travelling well, most parties are stable, the Greens are down a bit, but its all, so far, within the margin of error. Nothing really has changed. What that tells you is broadly a couple of things. The first is at this stage of the electoral cycle people don't pay as much attention as they will be in 18 months' time. The second is the Government, with its level of support, is doing basically what they said they would, and most people are happy. The other poll was on race relations. TV1 promoted the fact only 10% think the Government is improving them, but 46% think they are damaging them. What they didn't give the appropriate prominence to was the fact 37% think it's not making any difference. In other words, despite all the noise and hot air being drummed up by radicals and the media, most of us aren't engaged because nothing really is changing. If you take the 37% who see no change and the 10% who see an improvement you have 47%, which is in fact more people thinking things are either neutral or better, as opposed to the 46% who think they are worse. This of course ties into why the Government numbers overall haven't moved and their support remains strong. The so-called drama around Māori policy is not actually politically damaging. You will note the numbers weren't presented that way by the state-run broadcaster. A good question might be: why not? What moves needles is the economy and on that we might be in for an improvement. If we are, what you will then see is the polling numbers most definitely shift in the Government's favour. Māori relations have been tested and testy my entire life. The previous Government bent over backwards for Māori, their beliefs, needs and causes, and look where it got them. The current Government have read things right. Outcomes are what count, whether in race relations or the economy. The numbers broadly show they are on the right side of both. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
During the election season, the Better Business Bureau cautions people to be aware that scammers are using political surveys and fraudulent voter registration forms to gain personal information. Monde Donaldson, with the BBB Serving Central and South Alabama, talks with Carolyn Hutcheson of In Focus about tactics scammers are using.
Join me for a one-on-one discussion with Dr. Guy Golan, author of the book, "My Brother's Keeper: The complicated relationship between American Jews and Israel".
Wednesday, August 7th 2024Today, Kamala Harris has chosen Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her vice presidential running mate; Republican Representative Andy Ogles has been hit with an FBI search warrant; the en banc Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals upholds Maryland's assault weapons ban; now the North Carolina election board is investigating Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC after a voter data complaint; Donald hikes his Mar-a-Lago membership to $1m, raising concerns of selling access; union workers at Crooked Media stage a walkout to protest ‘anti-union negotiating tactics'; plus Allison and Dana deliver your Good News.Promo Code:For a limited time, HomeChef is offering you 18 Free Meals, plus Free Shipping on your first box, and Free Dessert for Life. At https://www.HomeChef.com/DAILYBEANS.Our GuestsRick Smiththericksmithshow.comThe Rick Smith Show (freespeech.org)twitter.com/RickSmithShowThe Rick Smith Show Podcast (Apple Podcasts)Dave Aronberghttps://twitter.com/aronberghttps://www.youtube.com/@TrueCrimeMTNhttps://linktr.ee/davearonbergStoriesFBI agents execute search warrant on Tennessee Congressman Andy Ogles, NewsChannel 5 confirms (NewsChannel5 Nashville)North Carolina election board investigates Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC after voter data complaint (CNBC)Trump hikes Mar-a-Lago membership to $1m, raising concerns of selling access (The Guardian)Workers at ‘Pod Save America' Producer Crooked Media Stage Walkout to Protest Alleged ‘Anti-Union Negotiating Tactics' (Variety)Give to the Kamala Harris Presidential CampaignKamala Harris (MSW Media Donation Link) — Donate via ActBlueCheck out other MSW Media podcastshttps://mswmedia.com/shows/Subscribe to Lawyers, Guns, And MoneyAd-free premium feed: https://lawyersgunsandmoney.supercast.comSubscribe for free everywhere else:https://lawyersgunsandmoney.simplecast.com/episodes/1-miami-1985Subscribe for free to MuellerSheWrote on Substackhttps://muellershewrote.substack.comFollow AG and Dana on Social MediaDr. Allison Gill Follow Mueller, She Wrote on Posthttps://post.news/@/MuellerSheWrote?utm_source=TwitterAG&utm_medium=creator_organic&utm_campaign=muellershewrote&utm_content=FollowMehttps://muellershewrote.substack.comhttps://twitter.com/MuellerSheWrotehttps://www.threads.net/@muellershewrotehttps://www.tiktok.com/@muellershewrotehttps://instagram.com/muellershewroteDana Goldberghttps://twitter.com/DGComedyhttps://www.instagram.com/dgcomedyhttps://www.facebook.com/dgcomedyhttps://danagoldberg.comHave some good news; a confession; or a correction to share?Good News & Confessions - The Daily Beanshttps://www.dailybeanspod.com/confessional/From The Good NewsKamala Harris (MSW Media Donation Link) — Donate via ActBlueAntiretroviral Prophylaxis for HIV Prevention in Heterosexual Men and Women (the New England Journal of Medicine)www.nanustudio.coinstagram.com/nanustudiocoCheck Your Voter Registration!! (Vote.org) Live Show Ticket Links:https://allisongill.com (for all tickets and show dates)Friday August 16th Washington, DC - with Andy McCabe, Pete Strzok, Glenn Kirschner https://tinyurl.com/Beans-in-DCSaturday August 24 San Francisco, CA https://tinyurl.com/Beans-SF Listener Survey:http://survey.podtrac.com/start-survey.aspx?pubid=BffJOlI7qQcF&ver=shortFollow the Podcast on Apple:The Daily Beans on Apple PodcastsWant to support the show and get it ad-free and early?Supercasthttps://dailybeans.supercast.com/OrPatreon https://patreon.com/thedailybeansOr subscribe on Apple Podcasts with our affiliate linkThe Daily Beans on Apple Podcasts
Ryan Wiggins, host of Wiggins' America, talk his favorite thing in the world with Ryan & Kim, POLLS!! Ryan explains how the new Trump / Harris polls are showing Harris winning by over sampling Democrats
Ryan Wiggins, host of Wiggins' America, stops by the studio to talk Ryan's favorite thing, Polls. He also asks Marc, of all the prominent Democrats who would you run against.
GUEST: Mario Canseco, president of Research Co. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Welcome back to another illuminating episode of The Hot Dish, where we dig into the core of rural progress and the pivotal issues shaping our small-town communities. Today, we're delighted to share highlights of the conversations from the Rural Progress Summit with a conversation about political polling with Tim Miller of the Bulwark and Tom Bonier of TargetSmart, bringing their wealth of knowledge to our electoral dynamics. Join us as Tim and Tom dissect the intricate world of political polling, highlighting the challenges pollsters face due to evolving communication habits and sample bias. Listeners will gain insight into the significance of the Comstock Act, the national abortion ban, and Trump's legal troubles in influencing voter behavior and campaign strategies. We'll explore the anticipated upcoming debates and the strategic maneuvers both Biden and Trump may employ.Furthermore, we analyze the 2022 elections, the performance of incumbents, and the decisive role of key issues like abortion, immigration, and crime. The impact of these issues on voter sentiment in various states and their potential sway in the 2024 elections is thoroughly examined.Join us on The Hot Dish, where we serve up hearty conversations that resonate with every corner of the country. To learn more, visit https://onecountryproject.com
You may have participated in a poll or polls without realizing it.
In the second half of the first hour of "Connections with Evan Dawson" on Thursday, June 6, 2024, we talk with Siena College Research Institute's Don Levy about political polls and the differences between reliable and unreliable polls.
My book Reframe Your Brain, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/3bwr9fm8 Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: Politics, TikTok Brain Rewiring, Tesla, Political Polls by Party, Jeff Daniels, War on Democracy, Battery Capacity, Democracy Stealing Biden, Anti-Trump Lawfare, President Trump, Biden Satan Reincarnated, Michael Shermer, Chris Cuomo, Axios Inflation Benefits, MIT DEI Hiring Statements, Jailed Peter Navarro, NYC Discrimination Settlement, President Biden's Character, President Trump's Character, Presidential Election Control, Anti-Protester Lawsuits, Lab Grown Meat, Governor DeSantis, W.H.O. America Control, Muslim UK, Scott Adams ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/scott-adams00/support
3.19.2024 #RolandMartinUnfiltered: Examining Black Political Polls, Miss. Cops Sentenced for Torture, Cowboy Carter, Netfilx's Shirley Premiere Live from Los Angeles for the premiere of Netflix's Shirley--the story of Shirley Chisholm, starring Regina King. Here's what's coming Up on Roland Martin Unfiltered streaming live on the Black Star Network. We'll examine political polls conducted by black people. Terrance Woodbury, the Founding Partner of HIT Strategies, will discuss a few his company has helped compile. Two of the six Mississippi deputies of the 'Goon Squad' get yearslong sentences for torturing two Black men. The Supreme Court clears the way for Texas to arrest anyone local officers suspect of crossing the southern border illegally. The abortion rate has hit its highest rate in 10 years. Most happened after the overturning of Roe v. Wade. An Arizona lawmaker tells her colleagues how the state's restrictive abortion laws have impacted her personally. Beyonce has some choice words for those criticizing "Cowboy Carter." And the latest on Haiti. We'll talk to the founder of an organization that seeks to help Haitians develop leaders who can help rebuild the troubled country. Download the #BlackStarNetwork app on iOS, AppleTV, Android, Android TV, Roku, FireTV, SamsungTV and XBox
In this episode, Rashad Bilal and Roland Martin engage in a thought-provoking discussion about the complexities of polling and election dynamics. The conversation delves into the intricacies of polling methodology, sample sizes, breakdown percentages, and the implications of social research in presidential polls.The dialogue kicks off with Rashad Bilal raising a question about the respected poll size for presidential polls, to which Roland Martin discerns that the sample size is only one aspect of polling, stressing the importance of analyzing breakdown percentages. He draws attention to a recent NBC poll, highlighting discrepancies in the poll's demographics and ideological composition, which significantly impacts the results.Martin articulates the significance of time sensitivity in polling, emphasizing that polling data may be irrelevant as market conditions evolve. The discussion shifts to dissecting the limitations and misinterpretations associated with polling. Martin sheds light on the intricacy of polling data, exemplifying the complexities of polling dynamics by referencing historical examples and the Affordable Care Act polling.The conversation then transitions to an analysis of an "Earn Your Leisure" poll, where Bilal reveals the voting statistics garnered from their poll. Martin engages in a critical assessment, emphasizing the significance of understanding the demographic breakdown of poll respondents and the platform on which the poll was conducted. The discussion culminates with a deep dive into the shifting voting patterns within the black community, outlining the evolution of voting patterns and self-identification within different age groups.As the dialogue progresses, Martin provides a comprehensive breakdown of the nuances of black voter patterns, encapsulating a historical perspective and contemporary trends. The episode offers a critical insight into polling dynamics, election trends, and the complex interplay of demographics within the modern political landscape.Join Rashad Bilal and Roland Martin as they unravel the intricate layers of polling, election dynamics, and the evolution of voter behavior in this engaging and enlightening episode on Market Mondays.Hashtags:#MarketMondays #PollingDynamics #ElectionTrends #PoliticalAnalysis #VoterBehavior #PresidentialPolls #MarketConditions #DemographicBreakdown #SocialResearch #BlackVoterPatterns #RacialPolitics #RolandMartin #RashadBilal #ElectionInsightsSupport this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/marketmondays/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Election season is upon us, and so is the barrage of election polls. What differentiates a good poll from a bad one? How can we be smarter poll consumers? Today on the show, a couple of polling experts give us their top tips. Related episodes:Planet Money tries election polling For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter.
Donate (no account necessary) | Subscribe (account required) In today's episode, we dig deep into last night's Republican debate in California, and we highlight the key figures who weren't on stage: Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Then, we delve into Joe Biden's precarious political standing revealed through five intriguing polls. Up next, a startling update on whether Biden has financially benefitted from his son's overseas business deals. And we wrap up with an enigmatic visit by Dr. Tony Fauci to the CIA headquarters, sparking questions about the origins of COVID-19. For our closing segment, we address a listener's question about California's approach to transgender issues.