American political scientist and author
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Immigration, border security, gun safety, crime, reproductive rights, jobs, and the Israeli-Hamas War were among the top issues addressed during the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Alan Abramowitz, a professor emeritus of political science at Emory University, returns to “Closer Look” for a recap of the convention. Plus, the Georgia State Election Board is facing criticism along with calls for some board members to be removed for changing rules, specifically one rule that involves the certification of election results. This all comes just months ahead of the 2024 presidential election. Janelle King, a member of the Georgia State Election Board, responds to the criticism.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
On today's episode of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution's "Politically Georgia" the panel reacts to breaking news. The U.S. Supreme Court ruled unanimously against the state of Colorado, which had removed Donald Trump from its ballot, calling him an insurrectionist. Georgia State University law professor Anthony Michael Kreis takes a first look at how SCOTUS made the decision. Former Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan and Emory University emeritus professor of political science Alan Abramowitz weigh in. Then, the panel discusses how Super Tuesday elections in nearly 15 states will affect the trajectory of both Donald Trump and Joe Biden, as they are likely to move closer to the unsurprising conclusion each will win his party's nomination for president. And they look at what Nikki Haley's next steps may be after Tuesday. LINKS TO TODAY'S TOPICS Supreme Court restores Trump to Colorado ballot What to know about Super Tuesday Super Tueday preview Have a question or comment for the show? Call the 24-hour "Politically Georgia" Podcast Hotline at 404-526-AJCP. That's 404-526-2527. We'll play back your question and answer it during the Listener Mailbag segment on next Friday's episode. Listen and subscribe to our podcast for free at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen to podcasts. You can also tell your smart speaker to “play Politically Georgia podcast.” CREDITS Executive Producer- Shane Backler Producer- Natalie Mendenhall Engineer- Matthew McWilliams Editor- Matt Owen Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Wednesday on Political Rewind: The Supreme Court rejected "independent legislature theory," an idea that its critics say could have undermined American democracy. Sen. Jon Ossoff and Gov. Brian Kemp feud over who's responsible for EV developments in Georgia. Meanwhile, there were two disturbing neo-Nazi protests in Georgia this week. The panel: Alan Abramowitz,@AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Andra Gillespie, @AndraGillespie, professor of political science and director, James Weldon Johnson Institute for the Study of Race and Difference, Emory University Charles Bullock, professor of political science, University of Georgia Greg Bluestein, @bluestein, political reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 6:00 - An EV manufacturer is coming to Bainbridge, drawing political crossfire. 24:00 - The Supreme Court rejected "independent state legislature" theory. 43:00 - Two antisemitic protests in Georgia cause alarm outside synagogues. 47:00 - Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene may be ousted from the far-right Freedom Caucus. Thursday on Political Rewind: Former columnist Jim Galloway joins the panel.
Wednesday on Political Rewind: Opponents of Atlanta's police training center filed a lawsuit against the city clerk after their referendum petition was denied twice, delaying a time-sensitive process. The Atlanta Advisory Board endorsed the referendum. And we discuss the latest on the Supreme Court's docket. The panel: Alan Abramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Andra Gillespie, professor of political science and director, James Weldon John Institute for the Study of Race and Difference, Emory University, @AndraGillespie Charles Bullock, professor of political science University of Georgia, @AlanIAbramowitz Timestamps 0:00 - Introduction 2:00 - The state election board signaled it wouldn't take over Fulton County's elections. 9:00 - A referendum to block the Atlanta police training center has been denied, delayed twice by the city clerk. 15:00 - A majority of Atlanta's neighborhood planning units support the referendum effort. 19:00 - The Supreme Court is expected to release several major opinions shortly, including a ruling on affirmative action and independent state legislature theory. 40:00 - Hunter Biden reached a plea deal on two tax charges and a gun charge. Thursday on Political Rewind: Former Atlanta Mayor Shirley Franklin joins the show.
Wednesday on Political Rewind: As Donald Trump made his first appearance in federal court, Gov. Brian Kemp told CBS News that he'd support the former president should he win the Republican primary. Plus, will the federal trial delay Fulton County DA Fani Willis' legal proceedings? The panel Alan Abramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University, @AlanIAbramowitz Greg Bluestein, political reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, @bluestein Tamar Hallerman, senior reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, @TamarHallerman Tammy Greer, political scientist Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction 2:00 - Donald Trump pled 'not guilty' in a federal criminal case in Miami. 26:00 - Gov. Brian Kemp said he would support the Republican candidate for president, even if it's Donald Trump. 45:00 - After losing negotiations on the debt ceiling bill, the Freedom Caucus is holding up legislation in the U.S. House. Thursday on Political Rewind: AJC editor-at-large Kevin Riley joins the show.
Friday on Political Rewind: After months of wrangling, Congress has officially sent a debt ceiling bill to the president's desk. More Republican hopefuls are throwing their name in for 2024. Mike Pence, Chris Christie, and North Dakota Gov. Doug Bergum will announce in the coming days. The panel Andra Gillespie, @AndraGillespie, professor of political science, Emory University Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Charles Bullock, professor of political science, University of Georgia Jim Galloway, @JimJournalist, former political columnist, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 4:00 - New jobs report 6:00 - Update on Georgia's election interference probe 9:00 - Debt ceiling deal headed to President Biden's desk 31:00 - Republican GOP field widens in presidential race 43:00 - Where does the Georgia Republican Party stand? Monday on Political Rewind: The AJC's Patricia Murphy joins the show.
Tuesday on Political Rewind: Gov. Brian Kemp's trip to Israel is drawing international attention to a bill to fight antisemitism that failed under the Gold Dome. Meanwhile, a report notes that gerrymandering has left Georgia without a single competitive district. And who will voters blame if the U.S. debt defaults? The panel: Alan Abramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University, @AlanIAbramowitz Andra Gillespie, professor of political science and director, James Weldon Johnson Institute for the Study of Race and Difference, Emory University, @AndraGillespie Tamar Hallerman, senior reporter, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, @TamarHallerman Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 2:00 - Fulton DA Fani Willis hints an August release for indictments. 12:00 - Kemp's trip to Israel has garnered international attention over a failed bill addressing antisemitism. 22:00 - A report finds Georgia has zero competitive congressional districts. 36:00 - Tim Scott announced his bid for the Republican ticket in 2024. 48:00 - Opinion: Voters don't want Trump or Biden in '24 — Abramowitz Wednesday on Political Rewind: The Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Heather Hendershot joins the panel for a look inward, as we examine how the media prepares to cover this next election cycle.
Friday on Political Rewind: Mirroring conservative leadership nationwide, Lt. Gov. Burt Jones is calling for an audit of University System spending on diversity, equity and inclusion programs. Plus, Brad Raffensperger tells reporters disinformation is the greatest threat to democracy. The panel Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Chuck Williams, @chuckwilliams, reporter, WRBL-TV Donna Lowry, @donnalowrynews, host, GPB-TV's “Lawmakers” Jim Galloway, @JimJournalist, former political columnist, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 4:00 - Lt. Gov. Burt Jones targets USG DEI programs. 17:00 - Top state conservatives won't attend Georgia's GOP convention. 22:00 - Brad Raffensperger says disinformation is the biggest threat to democracy. 33:00 - Georgia solar and EV investments at risk. 40:00 - Mike Pence testified before an election probe grand jury. 48:00 - Tucker Carlson 'parts ways' with Fox News. Georgia Public Broadcasting is in its spring fund drive. Please consider pledging your support.
Monday on Political Rewind: In an interview with CNN, Gov. Brian Kemp indicated he's not interested in passing gun control legislation. He also suggested Donald Trump can't win in 2024 if he keeps insisting he was robbed in 2020. Plus, a new study on the spread of right-wing extremism in schools. The panel: Alan Abramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University, @AlanIAbramowitz Chauncey Alcorn, reporter, Capital B, @CLamontLives King Williams, documentary filmmaker and journalist, @IamKingWilliams Patricia Murphy, political reporter and columnist , The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, @MurphyAJC Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 4:00 - In a CNN appearance, Kemp dodged questions on gun control legislation. 15:00 - Comparing Georgia and Tennessee's legislatures after the latter expelled two members over a gun control protest. 26:00 - Kemp suggested Donald Trump won't win in 2024 if he continues election misinformation. 43:00 - The Urban League's State of Black America report follows the rise of right-wing extremism in the U.S. Tuesday on Political Rewind: The AJC's Tamar Hallerman joins us.
Thursday on Political Rewind: Bill White, the leader of the "Buckhead City" movement, announced he's headed for the North Georgia hills after blaming Gov. Brian Kemp for killing the effort. Meanwhile, Stacey Abrams accepted a chair position at Howard University, but she'll remain a resident of Georgia. The panel: Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Emma Hurt, @Emma_Hurt, reporter, Axios Atlanta Kevin Riley,@ajceditor, editor at large, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Tammy Greer, professor of political science, Clark Atlanta University Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 3:00 - "Buckhead City" movement leader Bill White announced he's leaving Atlanta, citing Kemp's disapproval. 11:00 - Stacey Abrams has accepted a chair position at Howard University. 20:00 - Angela Davis returned an award to the Atlanta City Council over the planned Atlanta police training center. 32:00 - Atlanta Democrat Mesha Mainor was criticized by her own party after supporting several Republican efforts in the Legislature. 40:00 - Wisconsin's Supreme Court election could reduce restrictions on abortions, forecast 2024. 47:00 - How should media cover Trump ahead of 2024? Friday on Political Rewind: The team is observing a state holiday. We'll return on-air Monday with a brand new show at 9 a.m.
Tuesday on Political Rewind: As Sine Die looms over the Dome, legislators scramble to pass several high-profile bills. Gov. Brian Kemp supported a school choice measure that critics say would rob public schools of much-needed funds. Sports betting and expanded hate crime bills also saw a second life. We also discuss a tragic school shooting in Nashville. The panel: Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Andra Gillespie, @AndraGillespie, professor of political science and director, James Weldon Johnson Institute for the Study of Race and Difference, Emory University Charles Bullock, professor of political science University of Georgia Tamar Hallerman, @TamarHallerman, senior reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction 1:00 - A sports betting bill has been revived in the last days of the 2023 session. 13:00 - A school voucher bill could pass with support from Gov. Brian Kemp. 20:00 - A bill that would add antisemitism to hate crime prosecution is under fire. 29:00 - The latest on New York's prosecution against Donald Trump and how it affects Georgia. 44:00 - Marjorie Taylor Greene visits January 6th defendants. 47:00 - Six were shot and killed at a Christian school in Nashville. Wednesday on Political Rewind: The AJC's Patricia Murphy and Greg Bluestein join the panel for Sine Die.
Thursday on Political Rewind: The Georgia House is set to pass a 2024 budget that increases investment in law enforcement and public safety, including funds to address concerns in Buckhead. Meanwhile, opponents of the planned Atlanta police training center are accusing police of heavy-handed tactics. The panel Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Kevin Riley, @ajceditor, editor-in-chief, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Rick Dent, vice president, Matrix Communications Tanya Washington, @AskProfW, professor of law, Georgia State University Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 3:30 - Georgia's Fiscal 2024 budget 23:00 - 23 people were arrested over the weekend during the protests of the Atlanta Police Training Center 46:00 - Fox News under fire for reporting on January 6th Friday on Political Rewind: A special interview with the University of Georgia's Dr. Charles Bullock.
Tuesday on Political Rewind: The U.S. Supreme Court will hear oral arguments on the Biden student debt relief plan, which could affect more than 1 million Georgians. Legislation to create "Buckhead City" passed a Senate committee, a new milestone in the move to annex the neighborhood from Atlanta. The panel Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Charles Bullock, professor of political science University of Georgia Matt Brown, @mrbrownsir, democracy reporter, The Washington Post Tamar Hallerman, @TamarHallerman, senior reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps 0:00 - Introduction 4:00 - The Supreme Court is hearing oral arguments on Biden's student loan plan. 23:00 - Legislation that would create a new Buckhead City has advanced to a new milestone. 38:00 - Georgia could raise its tobacco tax. 40:00 - Emily Kohrs, the forewoman in Fulton County's 2020 special grand jury, made a series of media appearences. 49:00 - Former President Barack Obama is starting a leadership program in three cities. Wednesday on Political Rewind: Lawmakers' Rochelle Ritchie joins the panel.
Wednesday on Political Rewind: Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley has officially launched her 2024 bid for president. Plus, portions of Fulton County's special grand jury report into the 2020 election will be released tomorrow. In the meantime, legislation to establish a religious liberty statute returns. The panel: Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science Emory University Audrey Haynes, professor of political science University of Georgia Greg Bluestein, @bluestein, political reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Tammy Greer, professor of political science Clark Atlanta University Timestamps 0:00- Introductions 4:00- Nikki Hayley announces presidential run 25:00- Trump goes back and forth with donors 30:00- Religious liberty laws 46:00- Fulton County probe Thursday on Political Rewind: The Associated Press' Meg Kinnard joins the show.
Wednesday on Political Rewind: Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis says criminal charges are "imminent" in her investigation into the 2020 election. Her final report will stay sealed while she pursues charges. Meanwhile, although they don't have the votes, state Democrats filed bills to overturn Georgia's abortion ban. The panel: Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Andra Gillespie, @AndraGillespie, professor of political science and director, James Weldon Johnson Institute for the Study of Race and Difference, Emory University Anthony Michael Kreis, @AnthonyMKreis, professor of law, Georgia State University Jim Galloway, @JimJournalist, former political columnist, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps 0:00 - Introduction 2:00 - Fulton County DA says criminal indictments are "imminent". 28:00 - Gov. Brian Kemp gives his "State of the State" speech later today. 37:00 - State Democrats introduce a doomed measure to ensure abortion access in Georgia. 42:00 - State and national Republicans propose consumption taxes, replacing income tax. Thursday on Political Rewind: State Rep. Mary Margaret Oliver and conservative thought leader Leo Smith will both join the panel.
Tuesday on Political Rewind: Hundreds of documents from the January 6th Committee outline Georgia's importance to the effort to overturn the 2020 election. The Fulton County election probe may soon recommend criminal charges. And proposals to eliminate Georgia's runoff system continue. The panel: Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Donna Lowry, @donnalowrynews, host, Lawmakers, GPB-TV Riley Bunch, @ribunchreports, public policy reporter, GPB News Tamar Hallerman, @TamarHallerman, senior reporter, Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps: 0:00 - Introductions 1:30 - Bill describes his COVID recovery 4:00 - Damar Hamlin's injury and the UGA Dawgs' victory 8:00 - January 6th committee investigates Georgia ties into effort to overturn the 2020 election 27:29 - Sheree Ralston seeks to fill her late husband's vacant seat in Blue Ridge 32:00 - Eliminating runoffs altogether 39:00 - An update on education 43:00 - Kevin McCarthy tries to become Speaker of the U.S. House Please be sure to download our newsletter: www.gpb.org/newsletters. And subscribe, follow and rate this show wherever podcasts are found.
Wednesday at 9 a.m.: Sen. Raphael Warnock will return to Washington, becoming Georgia's first Black candidate to win a full term in the U.S. Senate. What does this historic win mean for Georgia's place in national politics? And what does it mean for the power of Trump's endorsement? The panel Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Greg Bluestein, @bluestein, political reporter, Atlanta Journal-Constitution Rick Dent, political ad expert and vice president, Matrix Communications Tammy Greer, political science professor, Clark Atlanta University Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 6:04 - What led to Warnock's victory? 12:52 - What happened to split-ticket voters from November 16:00 - The changing look of the suburbs 22:00 - Trump-backed candidates underperform 28:00 - Turmoil inside Walker's campaign 41:00 - Long-term impacts of DNC, early primaries 50:00 - Impact of Trump's endorsement Please be sure to download our newsletter: www.gpb.org/newsletters. And subscribe, follow and rate this show wherever podcasts are found.
Monday on Political Rewind: With their runoff two weeks away, the Walker and Warnock campaigns are pulling out all the stops. Will Warnock benefit from early Saturday voting? How will Trump and Kemp affect Walker's campaign? And will the overturning of Georgia's abortion law come into play? The panel Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, Emeritus, Emory University Andra Gillespie, @AndraGillespie, professor of political science & director, James Weldon Johnson Institute for the Study of Race and Difference Shannon McCaffrey, @shannonajc1, political reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 2:00 - A court ruled that Saturday early voting can go forward the weekend after Thanksgiving. 30:00 - Donald Trump could return to Twitter. 40:00 - Breaking down voter turnout demographics. 47:00 - Judge McBurney ruled Georgia's abortion law is unconstitutional. How will that impact the runoffs? Please sign up for the GA Today Politics newsletter coming out later this week: https://www.gpb.org/newsletters.
Wednesday at 2 p.m.: With virtually every vote in, Sen. Raphael Warnock holds a slender lead over Herschel Walker. But both candidates remain under 50%, triggering a runoff on Dec. 6. Meanwhile, Democrats lost nearly all statewide races. What does that mean for a "purple" state? The panelists: Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Emma Hurt, @Emma_Hurt, reporter, Axios Atlanta Rene Alegria, publisher, Mundo Now Shannon McCaffrey, political reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction 2:00 - Herschel Walker and Sen. Raphael Warnock will compete for the U.S. Senate seat in a runoff. 12:00 - Major elections in Nevada and Arizona are still undecided and could remain so for a few days. 26:00 - Recapping the governor's race, from polling to concessions. 40:00 - How the midterms will affect the state legislature's next session. 43:00 - Just how "purple" is Georgia? 50:00 - What to expect in the coming weeks. Please sign up for our weekly newsletter: https://www.gpb.org/newsletters.
With the US midterm elections for the control of Congress fast approaching, voters in the state of Georgia face important and highly anticipated elections this November. Georgia voters will decide the marquee Senate race between the incumbent Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock and Trump-endorsed newcomer Republican Herschel Walker in a race that may well determine which party controls the Senate. At the same time, Georgia also has a major gubernatorial race, with Republican incumbent Governor Brian Kemp, who spurned Trump's efforts to overturn Joe Biden's victory in Georgia in November 2020, and Democratic superstar Stacey Abrams in the race. With important election integrity issues at stake, races such as these are more consequential than ever. To discuss these, the United States Studies Centre hosted a webinar featuring Alan Abramowitz, The Alben Barkley Emeritus Professor of Political Science at Emory University in Atlanta Georgia in conversation with USSC Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Bruce Wolpe and Research Associate, Victoria Cooper.
Tuesday on Political Rewind: Herschel Walker's second accuser appears on Good Morning America. A new AJC poll leans towards a runoff in the Senate. The panel: Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Claire Sanders, @SandersPolitics, senior lecturer of political science, Georgia College Tamar Hallerman, @TamarHallerman, senior reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Tammy Greer, professor of political science, Clark Atlanta University Timestamps 0:00 - Introduction 2:00 - The second woman who accused Herschel Walker of paying for her abortion has appeared on camera in a GMA interview. 10:00 - A new poll from the AJC reports a widening gap in the governors' race, a likely runoff for Senate, and potential Republican successes down-ballot. 37:00 - Former VP Pence is campaigning in Georgia for Brian Kemp. 39:00 - The Supreme Court is hearing a case that could eliminate affirmative action. Please sign up for The GA Today Politics newsletter coming out Wednesday. https://www.gpb.org/newsletters
Monday on Political Rewind: Early voting opens today across Georgia, as candidates have spent months and millions trying to win races. Balloting also comes just a few days after Sen. Raphael Warnock and Herschel Walker faced off in Savannah — and, tonight, Stacey Abrams and Gov. Brian Kemp take the debate stage. The panel: Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus, political science, Emory University Kendra King Momon, professor of political science, Oglethorpe University Patricia Murphy, @MurphyAJC, political reporter and columnist, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Stephen Fowler, @stphnfwlr, political reporter, GPB News Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions and early voting begins today 5:00 - Recapping Friday night's debate in Savannah between Raphael Warnock and Herschel Walker. 32:00 - Libertarian Chase Oliver and Warnock debated Sunday night, with an empty podium for Walker. 41:00 - Gov. Brian Kemp and Stacey Abrams will debate tonight. GPB continues our Fall Pledge Drive. You can donate by calling 800-222-4788, or by visiting www.gpb.org.
Monday on Political Rewind: An Atlanta federal judge has rejected Fair Fight Action's claims of voter suppression in the 2018 election. Plus, the Supreme Court's new session starts today amidst low confidence in the institution. And are the future Rivian and Hyundai plants in jeopardy? The panel: Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Fred Smith, @fredosmithjr, professor of Constitutional law, Emory University Kendra King Momon, professor of politics, associate provost, Oglethorpe University Patricia Murphy, @MurphyAJC, political reporter & columnist, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 3:30 - A federal judge has ruled that Democratic voters were not suppressed in 2018, from a suit raised by Fair Fight Action. 21:00 - The Supreme Court starts its new term today. Several important issues are on the docket. 44:00 - Are the future Rivian and Hyundai plants in danger? Sign up for our newsletter: https://www.gpb.org/newsletters
Monday on Political Rewind: In a flyer for a now-canceled anti-Stacey Abrams protest, the Forsyth County GOP warn that Democrats were "crossing over our county border." Some say the move was a reminder of the county's racist history. Plus, Herschel Walker paints himself as an underdog ahead of the debate with Warnock. The panel: Adrienne Jones, @adriennemjns, political science professor and director, pre-law, Morehouse College Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Chauncey Alcorn, @CLamontLives, reporter, Capital B Patricia Murphy, @MurphyAJC, political reporter and columnist, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps: 0:00 - Introductions 4:00 - World leaders attend Queen Elizabeth II's funeral today. 12:00 - An anti-Abrams protest in Forsyth County was canceled following concern that rhetoric on a GOP flyer would spark violence. 30:00 - Herschel Walker said he was "not that smart," attempting to pit himself as the underdog against Sen. Warnock. 42:00 - New voters enter the Georgia electorate. Please sign up for Political Rewind's newsletter: https://www.gpb.org/newsletters.
Monday on Political Rewind: The Atlanta Medical Center is closing. How will candidates motivate voters concerned by a shrinking health care safety net? Meanwhile, the Walker campaign says Sen. Raphael Warnock and other Democrats "use race to divide us." Elsewhere, a women-led city moves to decriminalize abortion. The panel: Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Audrey Haynes, professor of political science, University of Georgia Patricia Murphy, political reporter and columnist, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Tammy Greer, @MurphyAJC, professor of political science, Clark Atlanta University Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 4:00 - Wellstar is shutting down the Atlanta Medical Center. How will candidates appeal to voters who depend on the facility? 20:00 - Two Cobb County deputies were killed in an attempt to serve a warrant. 29:00 - Remembering those who lost their lives on 9/11. 31:00 - The Walker campaign accuses Sen. Raphael Warnock of "using race to divide Americans." 44:00 - DeKalb County's Pine Lake is run entirely by women. The city is trying to decriminalize abortion. Please sign up for Political Rewind's newsletter: https://www.gpb.org/newsletters.
Wednesday on Political Rewind: Sixteen GOP electors who sent false documents to the Library of Congress received target letters from the Fulton County special grand jury. Plus, Walker's campaign changes tactics, driven by new advisors. Meanwhile, there's a hearing on distributing water at polling places. The Panel Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, emeritus professor of political science, Emory University Greg Bluestein, @bluestein, political reporter, Atlanta Journal-Constitution Kendra A. King Momon, political science professor, Oglethorpe University Rick Dent, vice president, Matrix Communications Timestamps: 0:00 - Introductions 4:30 - All sixteen GOP electors who sent fake documents to the Library of Congress have received target letters from the Fulton County special grand jury. 24:00 - Kemp and Abrams are swapping attack ads, focused on police funding, gun policy. 43:30 - Herschel Walker's campaign brought on new advisors and voiced a willingness to debate, make more public appearances. Please be sure to download our newsletter: www.gpb.org/newsletters. And subscribe, follow and rate this show wherever podcasts are found.
Thursday on Political Rewind: A Fulton County judge rules that state lawmakers can't avoid subpoenas in the special grand jury investigating the 2020 election. Plus, polls show Warnock over Walker by 10 points and a nearly tied gubernatorial race. The panel Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, professor emeritus, Emory University Amy Steigerwalt, @DrSteigerwalt, professor, associate chair, Georgia State University Kurt Young, @kurtbyoung, department chair, Clark Atlanta University Timestamps 0:00 - Introductions 6:40 - Georgia legislators, national figures try to dodge subpoenas in Fulton County Trump probe 31:42 - New Quinnipiac gives a snapshot into the November elections 46:44 - Voters grapple with Roe v. Wade ruling Please be sure to download our newsletter: www.gpb.org/newsletters. And subscribe, follow and rate this show wherever podcasts are found.
Wednesday on Political Rewind: Stacey Abrams' three endorsed candidates win their runoffs. Plus, Trump-endorsed candidates lose races, a sign that state Republicans are moving away from the former president. Meanwhile, the Jan. 6 committee hearing featured compelling testimony from Georgians. The panel: Alan Abramowitz, @AlanIAbramowitz, Emeritus professor of political science, Emory University Chauncey Alcorn, @CLamontLives, Reporter, Capital B Atlanta Karen Owen, @ProfKarenOwen, Professor of political science, University of West Georgia Greg Bluestein,@bluestein, Political reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Timestamps: 0:00 - Introductions 3:00 - Abrams' endorsed candidates win their runoffs 12:00 - Brad Raffensperger testified in the Jan. 6 hearings yesterday, will face Bee Nguyen in November 18:30 - The 2nd District Republican runoff saw a major upset 29:00 - Trump's endorsed candidates lost runoffs statewide 39:30 - The Jan. 6 Committee featured testimony from two election workers targeted by conspiracy Please be sure to download our newsletter: www.gpb.org/newsletters. And subscribe, follow and rate this show wherever podcasts are found.
Thursday on Political Rewind: Retired Gen. Philip Breedlove joined the panel today to talk about the unfolding situation in Ukraine. Plus, we talk about the 4,000 Georgia soldiers on their way to Europe as the conflict in Ukraine intensifies. What are the next steps the Biden administration may be considering? The Panel: Dr. Alan Abramowitz — Professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Kevin Riley — Editor, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Gen. Phillip Breedlove — Former commander, U.S. European Command and 17th Supreme Allied Commander of NATO, professor at Sam Nunn School of International Affairs Dr. Tammy Greer — Political science professor, Clark Atlanta University Timecodes: :00-Introductions 5:05-Performance of Russian military 11:36-No-Fly Zone? 22:00-Risk of Nuclear weapon use? 28:15-Why does this conflict matter to U.S.? 35:48-Cyber attacks 39:00-President Zelenskyy's comments Subscribe to the Political Rewind newsletter at gpb.org/newsletters!
Michael talks to Emory University's Alan Abramowitz about his piece on voter suppression he authored for Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball at UVA. Original air date 11 February 2022
Today on Political Rewind, a Georgia federal judge has blocked nationwide implementation of President Biden's COVID-19 vaccine mandate for employees of federal contractors. Georgia Attorney General Chris Carr was one of the seven state attorney generals who filed for the stay, arguing the administration was overstepping its constitutional authority. The second ranking Republican in the State House says she's backing a bill to prevent students from having access to obscene and inappropriate materials. Republicans in several states have championed similar measures, which many see as a winning issue at the polls next year. And, the conservative editorial page of the Wall Street Journal has posted an editorial criticizing David Perdue for challenging Brian Kemp for the GOP nomination for governor. Panelists: Greg Bluestein, political reporter, Atlanta Journal-Constitution Chart Riggall, reporter, Marietta Daily News Adrienne Jones, political science professor & director, pre-law, Morehouse College Alan Abramowitz, emeritus professor of political science, Emory University
Wednesday on Political Rewind: Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker gained the support of a an influential member of his party's national leadership when Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell announced his endorsement of the former University of Georgia football star turned-congressional-hopeful. McConnell is just the latest establishment figure to endorse Walker. Sen. John Thune from South Dakota, an important figure in the Republican caucus, endorsed the Georgia Republican candidate earlier this week. Meanwhile, what can the important Virginia gubernatorial race tell us about where voters across the country stand in 2021? "Basically, its saying that the Virginia governor's race is nationalized and that local issues matter less," The Atlanta Journal-Constitution's Greg Bluestein said. "And, frankly, we saw that in the last one or two election cycles in Georgia, where Democrats used to try to run away from the national brand and [then] they embraced it, particularly in Senate races last year." Also, our panel discussed polling on public trust in the redistricting process. The decennial process of redrawing the state's political maps gets under way in the Georgia legislature next week. But polls show a majority of Americans do not trust the process will be handled fairly. Panelists: Dr. Kurt Young — Professor of political Science and department chair, Clark Atlanta University Dr. Audrey Haynes — Professor of political science, University of Georgia Dr. Alan Abramowitz — Professor emeritus of political science, Emory University Greg Bluestein — Political reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
This is the last of 3 events leading up to the release of the new book “A Return to Normalcy?: The 2020 Election That (Almost) Broke America” edited by Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman. Contributors include: Alan Abramowitz, David Byler, Rhodes Cook, Theodore Johnson, Mary Frances McGowen, Diana Owen, Grace Panetta, Madelaine Pisani, Michael Toner, Karen Trainer and Sean Trende.
This is the 2nd of 3 events leading up to the release of the new book “A Return to Normalcy?: The 2020 Election That (Almost) Broke America” edited by Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman. Contributors include: Alan Abramowitz, David Byler, Rhodes Cook, Theodore Johnson, Mary Frances McGowen, Diana Owen, Grace Panetta, Madelaine Pisani, Michael Toner, Karen Trainer and Sean Trende. Panelists will examine what 2020 taught us about the people who run for office in a highly polarized America and how the country’s deep divisions may impact the future.
This is the 1st of 3 events leading up to the release of the new book “A Return to Normalcy?: The 2020 Election That (Almost) Broke America” edited by Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman. Contributors include: Alan Abramowitz, David Byler, Rhodes Cook, Theodore Johnson, Mary Frances McGowen, Diana Owen, Grace Panetta, Madelaine Pisani, Michael Toner, Karen Trainer and Sean Trende. Moderated by Kyle Kondik. Panelists include: Ted Johnson, Diana Owen and Sean Trende.
Wednesday afternoon on Political Rewind: A new presidential term begins and with it, a new political landscape in Georgia and across the United States. Following the inauguration of President Joe Biden, senators-elect Jon Ossoff and the Rev. Raphael Warnock are scheduled to be sworn in later today. The pair of Democrats from Georgia will shift the balance of the U.S. Senate from Republican control, giving the Democratic Party control of both chambers of Congress for the first time in 10 years. Our panelists included: Riley Bunch, Georgia statehouse reporter for CNHI News; Dr. Alan Abramowitz, professor of Political Science at Emory University; State Rep. James Beverly, (D-Macon) and Minority Leader in the State House of Representatives; and Heath Garrett, Republican strategist.
Host: Larry Bernstein. Guests include David Edgerton, Dr. Ari Ciment, Martin Gurri, William Easterly, and Alan Abramowitz.
In the premiere episode of The Election Whisperer on The Cycle- On Substack the show’s first in audio-only format, Rachel recaps (as quickly as possible!) the months that have passed since the show went on hiatus. The post election period has been marked by the whole of the Republican Party enabling Trump’s democracy-destroying multiple coup attempts. Senator Josh Hawley has gone so far as to commit to “objecting” to Biden’s win on January 6th when the Senate meets to approve the Electoral College- a process that is a mere formality for the Senate, but will likely underwrite Hawley’s 2024 presidential bid. With bodies piling up by the hour from COVID and Biden being stonewalled by key agencies for the transition, tensions are mounting as the clock continues to tick down to January 20th.As such, Rachel brings an all-star team of political scientists onto the show-experts in political polarization perfectly suited for this moment. Their areas of expertise are negative partisanship and something called partisan schadenfreude. What is partisan schadenfreude? Put simply, it is the desire to harm or to see your political opponent harmed. Political scientists Lilliana Mason and Nathan Kalmoe argue that in America, polarization and hyperpartisanship have created a lethal mass partisanship- a negative partisanship that is so deeply negative, it has the potential to lead people to tolerate or committ themselves physical violence for partisan ends. Steven Webster, who along with fellow political scientist Alan Abramowitz introduced the concept of negative partisanship into the polarization and voting behavior literatures, also joins the conversation with a discussion of his new book, American Rage: How Anger Shapes Our Politics. A good time is had by all! Get full access to The Cycle- On Substack at thecycle.substack.com/subscribe
Trump's Mixed Message to Georgia Voters | The Covid Death Toll Inches Toward the 1918-1919 Pandemic Death Toll | Authors of the New and Timely Book, The Upswing: How America Came Together a Century Ago and How We Can Do It Again backgroundbriefing.org/donate twitter.com/ianmastersmedia facebook.com/ianmastersmedia
Arizona Will Have Biden at 264 With Either Georgia, Nevada or Pennsylvania Putting Him Over the 270 | Biden Could Win Georgia Which Will Have Two Run-offs for the Senate That the Democrats Might Control | Only a Right to Vote Could Fix Our Broken Elections and Democracy backgroundbriefing.org/donate twitter.com/ianmastersmedia facebook.com/ianmastersmedia
Wednesday on Political Rewind: The race for president in Georgia remains too close to call. As votes continue to be counted, the state appears poised to play a crucial role in determining whether President Donald Trump or former Vice President Joe Biden will win the White House. Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler won her showdown against Rep. Doug Collins. She now faces Democrat Raphael Warnock in a runoff to be held in early January. Our panel of political insiders and experts break down those races and others across the general election this morning. Our panelists included: Emory University's professors of political science Dr. Alan Abramowitz and Dr. Andra Gillespie; University of Georgia's professor of political science Dr. Audrey Haynes; and The Atlanta Journal-Constitution's politics reporter Greg Bluestein.
Thursday on Political Rewind: Could Georgia be in for two Senate runoff elections? Political analysts have longed considered an eventual runoff likely in the free-for-all race for the seat currently held by Gov. Kemp-appointee Sen. Kelly Loeffler. But polling now shows the race between Democrat Jon Ossoff and incumbent Republican Sen. David Perdue in a virtual tie. Support behind the Libertarian Party candidate could prevent any candidate in that race going over the 50% mark on Election Day. Our panelists included: Dr. Alan Abramowitz, professor of political science at Emory University; Ryan Graham, chairman of the Libertarian Party of Georgia; Patricia Murphy, politics reporter for The Atlanta Journal-Constitution; and Kevin Riley, the AJC's editor.
Wednesday on Political Rewind: The first presidential debate featured a fiery, raucous back-and-forth that some critics say lacked substantial discussion on policy issues. Where do we stand now following the first matchup of the candidates? Also: the latest developments in a slate of consequential Georgia elections. Our panelists included Alan Abramowitz, professor of political science at Emory University, Greg Bluestein, politics reporter at The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Andra Gillespie, professor of political science at Emory University and Tia Mitchell, Washington correspondent at The Atlanta Journal-Constitution.
Today’s Patreon-fueled shout-out is for Abundant Life Ministries, “working hard to create a better future for the Charlottesville community.”*The University of Virginia has recorded 52 positive tests on its COVID-19 tracker after three days of only reporting single digit numbers. All of the cases are from students and that brings the total to 430 positive cases since August 17, with 382 of them students. The Cavalier Daily reports that the high number is due to a testing machine being “temporarily offline.”“The large number of cases include a number who were tested earlier in the week and do not represent a sudden spike over the last 24 hours,” said deputy spokesman Wes Hester in a statement.Changes will be made to the UVA dashboard today, according to the Cavalier Daily. Students in the Balz-Dobie dormitory remain in mandated quarantine while waiting for test results after five residents tested positive. Those five tests were not reflected in the 52 cases reported Thursday, but UVA announced this morning that follow-up testing yielded another ten cases in Balz-Dobie for a total of 15. “In accordance with the University’s COVID-19 Prevention, Detection, and Response Plan, students who tested positive have been notified and are being placed in isolation housing,” reads an update on UVA’s Facebook page “All students with positive tests are doing well. Their close contacts, including roommates, are being placed in quarantine housing.Statewide there are another 1,242 cases of COVID-19 this morning, and a total of 77 new cases in the Thomas Jefferson Health District. Of that figure, sixty are reported as being from Charlottesville and eight are from Albemarle. That may represent the cases at the University of Virginia. There are only five new cases from Fluvanna County, which has seen a spike this week due to a test of all inmates and staff at the women’s prison there. *Early voting starts today at registrar’s offices across Virginia and runs for 46 days through November 3. What will the results be?“Three words -- we don’t know,” said UVA presidential prognosticator Larry Sabato on a Center for Politics webinar Thursday. “That’s why your crystal ball is being more cautious than certainly we were in 2016 and frankly more cautious than some are being this year. This is an unprecedented presidential election. We have never had a presidential election during a pandemic.” Sabato said there has also not been a presidential election during such a severe downtown in the economy. He said different models published in recent weeks by the Center for Politics show different results. “Alan [Abramowitz] believing that Biden will win fairly handily and Jim [Campbell] projecting a close popular vote which to me says that Trump will win the electoral college in all probability,” Sabato said. “The fact that these two very able political scientists could produce results so different should suggest to all of us that while we love to jump to conclusions and we love to jump to conclusions and we love to fill in and color a map and not leave any states out, we really ought to express a little bit of humility.” Episode 5 of the Sabato’s Crystal Ball - America Votes 2020 is available for viewing on YouTube.*A nonprofit group that matches caring adults with children that need guardians is seeking new families. Community Attention Foster Families works in Albemarle, Charlottesville and Greene County and trains people to become “compassionate caretakers” who support vulnerable children. Those sessions take about 27 hours to complete and prepare families for the experience. “Becoming a foster parent is an incredible way to give back to our local community,” said CAFF Recruitment Specialist Nicole Hawker, in a press release. “You have the opportunity to empower children and youth as well as their biological families towards hope, healing and family restoration.”Hawker will lead an informational session on foster care on Monday. If you or someone you know is interested in participating, send her an email at CAFFinquiries@charlottesville.gov.There were 218 children in foster care in the three communities as of the beginning of this year. *Tonight is the launch of Live Arts new season, albeit an atypical one that is being streamed on Facebook rather than at the theater on East Water Street. The Forging Ahead Season will begin at 7 with a “coffeehouse” hosted by Shelby Marie Edwards and with live performances from Amrita Shankar, Johnny Butcher, Monica Edwards, and Nathaniel Star. The event is free but Live Arts will request viewers to pay what they can and to purchase a season pass. (watch) This is a public episode. Get access to private episodes at communityengagement.substack.com/subscribe
Thursday on Political Rewind, a look at Georgia's top races with just 8 weeks left before the November election. While Biden is polling strongly across the country and in Georgia, the President maintains a solid lead in Georgia according to recent polling. Biden recently invested in more staff here, hiring 10 new staffers. Our panel was Alan Abramowitz, professor of political science at Emory University, Amy Steigerwalt, professor of political science at Georgia State University, Eric Tanenblatt, a republican strategist and Kevin Riley, editor at The Atlanta Journal-Constitution.
Tuesday on Political Rewind, a look back at the first day of the Republican National Convention. Two Georgians saw featured speaking roles; controversial Democratic State Rep. Vernon Jones and former athlete Herschel Walker. What does last night's programming tell us about Republican strategy? Our panel included Alan Abramowitz, Professor of Political Science at Emory University, Rep. Mary Margaret Oliver, Representative (D-Decatur), political strategists Brian Robinson and Leo Smith.
Wednesday on Political Rewind, a big day in national and state political news to cover. Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms was among the finalists considered for vice president on the Democratic ballot. After months of speculation, presidential candidate Joe Biden announced yesterday California Sen. Kamala Harris will be his running mate. And with the results from yesterday's runoff election in Georgia all but final, we look at the match-ups for the November election. Our panelists were Dr. Alan Abramowitz, Professor of Political Science at Emory University, Greg Bluestein, Politics Reporter at The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Dr. Marilyn Davis, Professor of Political Science at Spelman College and Heath Garrett, GOP Political Consultant.
Guardian Ad Litem Foundation Alan Abramowitz Today on GIVE, we are excited to bring you Alan Abramowitz, who runs the Guardian Ad Litem Foundation in Florida. The Guardian Ad Litem Foundation is a state-run and volunteer-operated nonprofit. This program acts as the guardian and advocate of children who have been removed from their homes and placed within the foster care system or in relative care. The volunteers speak only for the child, in the best interests of the child. The Foundation supplies what often gets overlooked. If there is a specific need, they make sure it gets taken care of. These needs can range from support dogs to tattoo removal, as well as making sure that the kids who age out of the foster system have support and other essentials when they move out into adult life on their own. The Guardian Ad Litem Foundation is a phenomenal resource to help kids who have no one else speaking for them. The Foundation works with several other charities across the state of Florida to make sure the kids get the support they need. The need for this service is overwhelming. There were over 38,000 kids in the foster care system under court jurisdiction independency just last year. How can you get involved? Volunteer Donate Spread the word Be inspired. GIVE. Where to find the Guardian Ad Litem Foundation Website | Facebook Full episode transcription can be found here. To be a guest on the show or hear more episodes visit https://prodigimark.com/givepodcast
On Trimmel Gomes' latest episode of The Rotunda, Alan Abramowitz, the executive director of Florida's Guardian ad Litem program, discusses policy priorities and tactics by child advocates to ensure lawmakers address the needs of Florida's children in the state budget. In honor of Black History month, Gomes profiles the Rev. C.K. Steele, who led the Tallahassee Bus Boycott in 1956 after two Florida A&M University students were arrested for sitting in the "whites only" section of a segregated bus. Throughout Black History Month, The Rotunda will highlight notable African Americans and related topics in Florida's history. Follow on @RotundaPodcast on Twitter and visit www.rotundapodcast.com for daily updates.
On Trimmel Gomes' latest episode of The Rotunda, Alan Abramowitz, the executive director of Florida's Guardian ad Litem program, discusses policy priorities and tactics by child advocates to ensure lawmakers address the needs of Florida's children in the state budget. In honor of Black History month, Gomes profiles the Rev. C.K. Steele, who led the Tallahassee Bus Boycott in 1956 after two Florida A&M University students were arrested for sitting in the "whites only" section of a segregated bus. Throughout Black History Month, The Rotunda will highlight notable African Americans and related topics in Florida's history. Follow on @RotundaPodcast on Twitter and visit www.rotundapodcast.com for daily updates.
Democratic presidential candidates are gathering in Detroit for the second round of 2020 debates.Workers were putting finishing touches on the stage today, while candidates were doing walkthroughs to become familiar with the setup.Among the high-profile candidates appearing onstage Tuesday night are Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg.Ten candidates will have the opportunity to present their ideas to the American people on Tuesday and offer a response to President Donald Trump's recent string of racist and incendiary tweets and comments.Ten more candidates will appear onstage Wednesday for a second night of debates.
Ed Luce is the Washington columnist and commentator for the Financial Times. This interview was taped on 3/12 REFERENCES AND SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL From Q&A: Manafort An article from the NYT on Manafort’s sentencing by Judge Amy Berman Jackson in D.C. A comment from Manafort’s lawyer, Kevin Downing, suggesting his client was selectively prosecuted An indictment of Paul Manafort by the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office; plus an article from the NYT on the DA’s charges College Admissions Scandal Listener question from Still Paul The college admissions scandal indictment, and a report from NPR about the scandal The Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations (RICO) statute, plus an article from the NYT about RICO lawsuits DOJ policy on indicting a president The 1973 and 2000 Office of Legal Counsel memos From the interview: Luce Luce’s most recent book, The Retreat of Western Liberalism Luce’s Financial Times op-ed, “America’s unexpected socialist dawn,” plus Luce’s op-ed page Trump An article from Vox on Michael Cohen’s closing statement from his 2/27 testimony before Congress, including his remarks on 2020 A list from NPR of strongmen Trump has praised Negative partisanship An op-ed from the Washington Post about negative partisanship and Newt Gingrich A paper by Emory political scientists Alan Abramowitz and Steven Webster, “All Politics is National: The Rise of Negative Partisanship and the Nationalization of U.S. House and Senate Elections in the 21st Century” Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) An article from the Washington Post comparing AOC and DJT’s social media strategy The most recent resolution outlining the Green New Deal, and a report from NPR on the Deal and its origin Institutional Trust An article in The Atlantic on declining levels of trust in institutions across the globe Britain A brief explanation of Britain’s constitutional monarchy An update from the NYT on Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit Plan Britain’s Attorney General Geoffrey Cox’s tweet, “Bollocks,” in response to a critique A procedural explanation of the Prime Minister’s Questions, which you can watch here. Plus, an article in the Guardian recounting its history (including Harold Macmillan’s queasiness) An op-ed from the NYT imagining a Prime Minister’s Questions session in the U.S. Hungary An article in the NYT about Hungary’s eroding democracy India An article from Bloomberg on India’s upcoming election, the largest exercise of democracy on the planet China An article in Foreign Affairs on communist China’s capitalist development Socialism An article from The Atlantic on Trump’s application of the term “socialist” An article from the NYT on Teddy Roosevelt’s crusade for the inheritance tax An article in the NYT about Sweden’s response to the banking crisis Media An article from Bloomberg on the decline of local news, and the subsequent consequences Vocabulary Bollocks = nonsense Sui generis = constituting a class alone; unique Do you have a question for Preet? Tweet it to @PreetBharara with the hashtag #askpreet, email staytuned@cafe.com, or call 669-247-7338 and leave a voicemail.
On The Gist, sorry, not every product gets to be a lifestyle brand. A few decades ago, it wasn’t uncommon for voters to support the presidential candidate from one party and the senator from another. “Ticket-splitting” is pretty rare now, and as Alan Abramowitz argues, just one of the many signs of an America divided. Abramowitz’s book is The Great Alignment Race, Party Transformation, and the Rise of Donald Trump. In the Spiel, there may well be discrimination in college admissions offices. But let’s face it: Top-notch schooling is available way beyond the Ivy League. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On The Gist, sorry, not every product gets to be a lifestyle brand. A few decades ago, it wasn’t uncommon for voters to support the presidential candidate from one party and the senator from another. “Ticket-splitting” is pretty rare now, and as Alan Abramowitz argues, just one of the many signs of an America divided. Abramowitz’s book is The Great Alignment Race, Party Transformation, and the Rise of Donald Trump. In the Spiel, there may well be discrimination in college admissions offices. But let’s face it: Top-notch schooling is available way beyond the Ivy League. Go to simplisafe.com/GIST and start protecting your home today. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Interview with Alan Abramowitz, Professor of political science at Emory University, for NPR affiliate KUAR on Clinton School Presents, a weekly dialogue of distinguished guests that visit the Clinton School of Public Service in Little Rock, Arkansas.
Pulitzer Prize winning author Steven Coll, now the editor of the Columbia Journalism Review, delves into how the company run by Trump’s Secretary of State nominee Rex Tillerson has for decades tried to run the world. The company, of course, is Exxon Mobil. Political scientist Alan Abramowitz says Donald Trump is the least popular president ever elected. And Bill Press talks with commentator Dante Chinni about the Democratic Party’s failure to win what should have been an easy presidential race. Steve Coll Several years ago, we interviewed author Steve Coll about a book he wrote exposing the government-unto-itself known as ExxonMobil. Now, with its CEO and chief political strategist, Rex Tillerson, nominated for Secretary of State, we thought a reminder of what we learned then remains in order. Alan Abramowitz Political scientist Alan Abramowitz, who correctly predicted the election result, says Trump may not have much of a honeymoon, given that his unfavorable ratings are higher than any previous person to win the White House. Dante Chinni Another political scientist, Dante Chinni, talks with Bill Press about how Trump got out every one of his voters in a rapidly decreasing demographic base and how Clinton left enough voters at home to swing the election. Jim Hightower Why in the world would Trump tap Perry to be Energy Secretary.
Political scientist Alan Abramowitz predicted the Trump victory and says it happened because Republicans did better than expected in places that were not very diverse. Kathleen Kennedy Townsend says retirement security is the biggest worry for most Americans. And the Washington Post’s David Fahrenthold, on the Bill Press Show, examines funny business in the Trump Foundation. Support the Show Are you tired of Tea Party Republicans and Rush Limbaugh dominating the airwaves? Do you want the facts you won't get on Fox -- or even on CNN? Then stay tuned. Alan Abramowitz Political scientist Alan Abramowitz, one of the few who predicted the Trump victory, says it happened because he increased the Republican vote in areas of the country that are the least diverse. Kathleen Kennedy Townsend Retirement security is an issue frightening most Americans, only 50 percent of whom have a retirement plan. Kathleen Kennedy Townsend proposes that employers get together and create a Wall-Street-proof pension system. David Fahrenthold Coming up, Washington Post investigative reporter David Fahrenthold tells Peter Ogburn of the Bill Press Show about financial shenanigans in the Trump Foundation. Jim Hightower The new founder.
Verdens mektigste demokrati, USA, går til valg om ei knapp uke,- et valg mange av oss ikke helt forstår. Noen mener at demokratiet har sviktet. Hva mener de med det? Ekko møter en av Amerikas fremste valgeksperter, professor Alan Abramowitz. Han tror Donald Trump vinner valget. Reporter: Bo Brekke
What personality traits make for successful politicians? What contributes to political partisanship? In this heated election season, come join Dr. Alan Abramowitz (Political Science) and Dr. Scott Lilienfeld (Psychology) for a conversation about the factors influencing presidential elections from the standpoint of both voters and candidates. Dr. Abramowitz will discuss the growing political partisanship of the American electorate, and its potential sociological and political sources. Dr. Lilienfeld will discuss psychohistorical research on how personality variables (e.g., narcissism, extraversion, antagonism) among U.S. Presidents (and other leaders) predict their success and failure, as well as how such variables might shape voter choices.
People really don't like Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. But will that matter come election time? Probably not. Are voters ditching the parties in droves to declare themselves independents? Not really. Take everything you think you know about this election cycle and throw it out the window, says Alan Abramowitz, a professor of political science at Emory University. On the latest DecodeDC podcast, Abramowitz strikes down some of the conventional wisdom surrounding the 2016 campaign, and instead offers up some conclusions from a model that he’s built to predict election outcomes.
We're back in the soundbooth--no noisy hotel hallways this time! And check us out this weekend on The Big Listen--a podcast (and actual WAMU broadcast) about podcasts. We really enjoyed talking to Lauren. As always, don't forget to follow us on Facebook and Twitter. Poll of the week: get the government out of our bathrooms Voters in this recent NBC/WSJ poll show many don't want any type of government in their bathrooms--state law or federal intervention. And very high don't knows on how people feel about transgender use of bathrooms. Should you panic? Uh, no? Last week when we discussed the effect Sanders might be having on Clinton's general election performance, we didn't have a lot of data. But there have been a few more polls this week suggesting Democrats may in fact be slightly more unified than they were this time in 2008. The new CBS/NYT poll shows far more Republicans are divided than Dems, and far more feel Clinton can unite party than Republicans say the same about Trump. And more Sanders voters say they'd vote for Clinton than Clinton voters said they'd vote for Obama same time in 2008.Greg Sargent from the Washington Post has a good writeup on this as well. Gallup also shows both Clinton and Sanders voters don't think Sanders hurting their party. Perhaps the dialogue among Democratic insiders is different from that around Democratic voters. This wouldn't be unlike how Republican insiders have felt much more strongly about Trump than have Republican voters, even if, as Gallup shows, Republicans are favorable, but still not totally pleased with their nominee. Meanwhile, everyone hates everyone The latest wave of polls suggests there are lots of “nose-holders” and Trump and Clinton are tied. Can this be real? Can we trust the polls this far out? Many pollsters and poll-watchers have weighed in. The latest NBC/WSJ poll says Clinton and Trump are currently the least popular front-runners in the poll's history. The ABC/WSJ poll said the same. There are also some new subgroup polls in the mix, such as this recent breakout of Latinos, and this new poll of the AAPI community. To sort through the onslaught of data, Norm Ornstein & Alan Abramowitz write in NYT to “stop the insanity” Susan Powter-style, and Jon Cohen and Mark Blumenthal of Survey Monkey respond. Mark and Jon raise an important point--we need to be focusing on *why* Trump is doing well, and less on whether he is tied, or up a few, or down a few, as in this recent Vox dialogue with pollsters. Ask a millennial! Millennials want marriage & kids, but maybe not at the same time? As our resident Millennial, Kristen (author of “The Selfie Vote”) is not surprised. But the number of Millennials living with their parents--well, that's pretty high. And don't get us started on Europe. This year's summer song. Billboard has a poll of the top song of summer. We don't know if the answers will surprise you, but they surprise Margie, who clearly needs to get out more. And if you want to be part of Kristen's musical tastes forever, you have a few more months. Key findings: People want the government out of their bathrooms. Seems reasonable enough. Meanwhile--the 2016 race is the opposite of reasonable. But the polling is kind of consistent--so why is that what everyone is freaking out about? I'm going to freak out if my children are living with me when they're 35. How did Justin Bieber come up again in this podcast? We can't even blame Kristen--we blame the polls. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Now that it looks like a Clinton-Trump presidential campaign, journalist Jonathan Allen, who wrote a book about Hillary, says the contest could be about who is more unlikeable. Political prognosticator Alan Abramowitz says an election without an incumbent is hard to predict but he thinks a Clinton victory is the more likely. And Bill Press interviews Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee spokeswoman Sadie Weiner. Jonathan Allen Jonathan Allen wrote a book about Hillary Clinton’s tenure at the State Department, and although her service may be a big campaign issue, he says the real contest will be about which candidate can paint the other one as more unlikeable. Website: www.sidewire.com Alan Abramowitz Professor Alan Abramowitz has a good record of predicting presidential elections, and he says Hillary Clinton is the most likely winner, but he also says don’t expect a landslide. Website: http://news.emory.edu/tags/expert/alan_abramowitz/ Sadie Weiner Bill Press interviews Sadie Weiner of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Jim Hightower How Donnie Trump saved America.
Professor Alan Abramowitz predicts the presidential election … Todd Gitlin compares Donald Trump to George Wallace … and Bill Press interviews Amanda Terkel about DNC chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Political scientist Alan Abramowitz, who has developed a model that has successfully predicted past presidential elections, says the numbers look good for the Democrats. Social and political historian Todd Gitlin compares the Trump campaign to the George Wallace campaigns of the 1960s. And Bill Press talks with the Huffington Post’s Amanda Terkel about the job Debbie Wasserman Schultz is doing as chair of the DNC. Alan Abramowitz Political science professor Alan Abramowitz says President Obama’s legacy is at stake in this election, but he does have a statistical model showing that, as of now, Hillary Clinton is the most likely to become the 45th president. http://news.emory.edu/tags/expert/alan_abramowitz/ Todd Gitlin Professor Todd Gitlin was an activist in the 1960s, and he sees parallels between George Wallace and Donald Trump, whom he characterizes as “a demagogue in search of a story.” http://www.journalism.columbia.edu/profile/38-todd-gitlin/10 Amanda Terkel Is Debbie Wasserman Schultz in trouble at the DNC? Journalist Amanda Terkel answers that question in an interview with Bill Press. Jim Hightower What happened to America's train system?
Jonathan Allen talks about his blockbuster book about Hillary Clinton … Professor Alan Abramowitz maintains that Tea Party influence may be waning … and Bill Press talks with The Nation’s George Zornick about Afghanistan. Journalist and author Jonathan Allen talks about Hillary Clinton’s political “hit list” … and her tenure as Secretary of State. With extreme conservatives losing a key House vote on the debt ceiling, and Senator John Cornyn cruising to likely victory in the March 4 Texas primary … political science professor Alan Abramowitz says the Tea Party may be on the wane. And Bill Press interviews The Nation’s George Zornick about Afghanistan Jonathan Allen Jonathan Allen is an award-winning journalist and author of a new political biography of Hillary Clinton. He tells us about her tenure as secretary of state, about her political hit list, and what they mean for her likely presidential run. http://www.hrcbook.com Alan Abramowitz How much farther can the Tea Party go in dominating the GOP? Professor Alan Abramowitz thinks their influence is on the downswing, and maybe the recent House vote for a clean debt limit increase proves him right. http://www.democracyjournal.org/31/republican-leaders-two-choices.php George Zornick Bill Press and his guest, George Zornick of the Nation, on the continuing war in Afghanistan. http://www.thenation.com/authors/george-zornick Jim Hightower Sen. Pat Roberts puts on his crazy pants.
Republicans say the war on poverty has been a failure. Are they right? We have an expert who says no. Did the Tea Party weaken itself with the budget shutdown? We have an expert who says, “maybe.” And Bill Press interviews Congressman Tim Ryan. Republicans like Marco Rubio and Eric Cantor say the War on Poverty, now 50 years in the waging, has been an utter failure. But analyst Chris Wimer says statistics show that without government programs, many more Americans would be poor today. Congress is back in session and professor Alan Abramowitz says it’s unclear how much of a grip the Tea Party retains on Republican lawmakers. And Bill Press interviews Congressman Tim Ryan about the House agenda. Don’t expect much. Christopher Wimer Fifty years ago, Lyndon Johnson announced the War on Poverty. Since then, the poverty rate has dropped from 26 percent to 16 percent. Social scientist Christopher Wimer says the evidence shows that the federal programs worked. http://cupop.columbia.edu/people/christopher-wimer Alan Abramowitz President Obama’s re-election drove the Tea Party crazy, says political science professor Alan Abramowitz. Now he says it is unclear with the Tea Party agitators in Congress will continue to drive the Republican leadership crazy. http://www.democracyjournal.org/31/republican-leaders-two-choices.php Tim Ryan Bill Press and his guest, Congressman Tim Ryan of Ohio, Discuss the House agenda. timryan.house.gov/ Jim Hightower Act 2 of the Ford & Radel Show.
What were the factors that contributed to the outcome of the 2012 Presidential Election? How did campaign tactics, current events, the media, and the changing face of the electorate influence voter turnout and voting patterns? Insights will be provided from a political science perspective on election forecasting and polling, and from a psychology perspective on campaign messaging and the roles of emotion and cognition in voters’ decision making.
Listen to Abramowitz discuss the problem of polarization in the United States: