Podcast appearances and mentions of Larry Sabato

On Iran, Hawk recaps the collapse of the Switzerland talks with JD Vance after Trump threatened the Iranian delegation on social media, and raises the point that Lebanon and Israel are not signatories to any negotiations despite being central parties to the ongoing conflict. He also covers the Supreme Court's new gun ruling tied to marijuana use, referencing commentary from Michael Popok, Lisa Graves, and Slate's Dahlia Lithwick and Mark Joseph Stern on Neil Gorsuch's reasoning. Hawk addresses the UFC fighter's remarks about Kamala Harris made at a White House event alongside Joe Rogan, and closes with election analyst Larry Sabato's outlook on 2026 Republican turnout, including Trump's successful primary purges of Thomas Massey, John Cornyn, Bill Cassidy, and Tom Tillis. SUPPORT & CONNECT WITH HAWK- Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/mdg650hawk - Hawk's Merch Store: https://hawkmerchstore.com - Connect on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@mdg650hawk7thacct - Connect on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hawkeyewhackamole - Connect on BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/mdg650hawk.bsky.social - Connect on Substack: https://mdg650hawk.substack.com - Connect on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/hawkpodcasts - Connect on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mdg650hawk - Connect on Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/mdg650hawk ALL HAWK PODCASTS INFO- Additional Content Available Here: https://www.hawkpodcasts.comhttps://www.youtube.com/@hawkpodcasts- Listen to Hawk Podcasts On Your Favorite Platform:Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3RWeJfyApple Podcasts: https://apple.co/422GDuLYouTube: https://youtube.com/@hawkpodcastsiHeartRadio: https://ihr.fm/47vVBdPPandora: https://bit.ly/48COaTB

A massive win for a Trump-backed Senate candidate in Texas could threaten the GOP's hopes of holding onto the Senate in November's midterms. Plus, Iran threatens to retaliate after the U.S. said it conducted "defensive strikes" in southern Iran. And, Pope Leo takes on AI, warning about the dangers ahead. Ali Velshi, Abby Livingston, Larry Sabato, Susan Glasser, Jeff Mason, Teddy Schleifer, and Andrew Weissmann join The 11th Hour this Tuesday night.  To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Trump critic Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) loses his House primary, underscoring the president's continued grip on the Republican party. Then, a DOJ deal that appears to exempt Trump, his family and his businesses from any future IRS audits sparks bipartisan outrage. Plus, new analysis reveals Trump's astonishing stock trades, including shares of companies that the administration met with and promoted. Larry Sabato, Jeff Mason, Miles Taylor, John Harwood and Bill Cohan join The 11th Hour.  To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

« Troisième mois de guerre au Moyen-Orient, et déjà, le parfum entêtant des impasses stratégiques (…) la posture du matamore a vécu. Elle se fracasse sur la réalité d'un régime iranien que l'on disait affaibli », remarque Bruno Jeudy, dans son éditorial pour la Tribune Dimanche, alors que cette semaine, les hebdomadaires français s'interrogent sur les capacités de Donald Trump à rebondir. « Trump, le début de la fin ? » interroge l'Express, qui compare la guerre au Moyen-Orient à la guerre du Vietnam.  « En un sens, c'est déjà bien pire », constate Jacob Heilbrunn, qui dirige la revue de géopolitique américaine The National Interest. « Car si le Vietnam était un problème isolé qui ne fragilisait ni l'économie mondiale, ni le leadership des États-Unis, les choses sont différentes avec l'Iran (…). Ce conflit annonce peut-être le déclin de l'impérialisme américain. » Le politologue Larry Sabato, lui aussi interrogé par l'Express, estime de son côté que « si la situation actuelle perdure jusqu'en septembre, l'addition sera salée pour les candidats républicains lors des midterms (les élections de mi-mandat) de novembre ». Dans le Nouvel Obs, Pierre Haski estime lui que « Trump a perdu la main ». « La belle mécanique s'est enrayée », souligne l'éditorialiste qui voit lui aussi arriver les élections de mi-mandat en novembre alors que, dit-il, « s'installe le sentiment que le président n'est pas imbattable ». L'élection présidentielle en France vue par les médias étrangers En France, l'élection présidentielle n'aura lieu que dans un an, mais Courrier international remarque que « la course pour 2027 passionne déjà la presse européenne ». Premier exemple, le Temps, en Suisse, voit « une France écartelée en quatre parts (si ce n'est plus) irréconciliables et bien définies », avec "des centres-villes sociaux-démocrates pour ne pas dire bobos" (bourgeois bohêmes) "des bourgeois de province conservateurs", "des lieux reculés ou délaissés, penchant à l'extrême droite et les banlieues à l'extrême gauche" ». En Suède, le Dagens Nyheter s'en prend particulièrement à Jean-Luc Mélenchon, le chef de la France insoumise, estimant qu'il est « l'un de ces vieux réactionnaires imperturbables qui glorifient leur époque dans l'extrême gauche et se comportent comme s'ils savaient toujours tout, mieux que tout le monde ». Aux États-Unis, The Nation remarque que « les électeurs progressistes semblent désirer ardemment une campagne qui associe des appels à des réformes de base et une dénonciation du statu quo ». Tout en ajoutant : « Une candidature commune semble peu probable ». Vincent Bolloré, « un prédateur » Le monde de l'édition est toujours en ébullition, en France, après l'éviction par Vincent Bolloré d'Olivier Nora, l'éditeur historique de la maison Grasset. À vrai dire, la polémique a désormais dépassé le simple monde de l'édition, et se retrouve cette semaine en Une du Nouvel Obs, avec ce titre : « Vincent Bolloré, le rapt de la culture » ou « comment le milliardaire resserre son emprise réactionnaire ». Le Nouvel Obs résume les faits en quelques mots : « Médias, cinéma, édition… Depuis dix ans, le milliardaire breton s'est lancé dans une croisade acharnée pour faire gagner les idées d'extrême droite. Dernière victime en date : Olivier Nora, PDG de Grasset, brutalement limogé. Solidaires, plus de 200 autrices et auteurs ont claqué la porte de la prestigieuse maison d'édition et revendiquent les droits de leurs œuvres ». Le Nouvel Obs énumère également les médias et les maisons d'édition dont Vincent Bolloré a pris le contrôle : « Canal + en 2015, I-Télé (devenue Cnews) en 2016, Europe 1 en 2021, Plon en 2021 également, Paris Match en 2022, puis le Journal du Dimanche en 2023 ». Et bien sûr les maisons d'édition Grasset, Fayard, et Prisma Presse, ces dernières années. Pour le Nouvel Obs, Vincent Bolloré n'est pas « un mécène éclairé », mais « un prédateur, décidé à fabriquer l'opinion avec, en tête, un agenda politique (…) Il s'est donné les moyens de peser sur l'élection présidentielle de 2027 ».  Un jeune coureur plein d'avenir Le Parisien Dimanche fait sa Une avec un visage juvénile et souriant. « Retenez bien son nom », s'exclame le journal. Il s'appelle Paul Seixas, et « à seulement 19 ans, le Français enchaîne les exploits et devrait être l'attraction du prochain Tour de France. En attendant, il va se mesurer ce dimanche au Slovène Tadej Pogacar, lors de Liège-Bastogne-Liège ». Il est, nous dit le Parisien Dimanche, « un prodige du cyclisme comme la France n'en espérait plus (…) celui qui effacera un jour des décennies de disette tricolore au palmarès du Tour de France ». Et ce ne sont pas les qualités qui manquent à celui qui vient de remporter la Flèche Wallonne : « Paul Seixas ajoute à son talent de cycliste une intelligence "situationnelle", explique le Parisien Dimanche, une maturité remarquable, une capacité à switcher du français à l'anglais ». Il est « la tête et pas seulement les jambes », s'exclame encore le journal pour lequel « Paul Seixas est l'ado qui va nous faire aimer le vélo ». 

The President extends the ceasefire in Iran indefinitely, hours before his deadline and without more talks scheduled. Then, a warning shot to big business as Trump encourages U.S. companies not to file refunds for illegal tariffs they already paid. Plus, voters in Virginia say 'yes' to new maps that could give Dems a boost in the battle to control Congress. Jeff Mason, Sam Stein, Gen. Barry McCaffrey, Gillian Tett, Neil Irwin, Larry Sabato, and Antonia Hylton join The 11th Hour this Tuesday night To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Trump makes plans to address the nation about the war while giving conflicting narratives about how it might end. Then, Crude oil has its largest monthly gain in nearly four decades as U.S. executives warn that the war could trigger a recession. Plus, GOP fears grow as Trump's approval ratings drop. Jeff Mason, Sabrina Siddiqui, Tom Nichols, Dan Nathan, Rohit Chopra, Larry Sabato, and Mark Joseph Stern join The 11th Hour this Tuesday night.  To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Stephen Shadegg, state director of Americans for Prosperity–Arizona, joins Chris and Sean for a wide-ranging conversation on the DHS shutdown fight, border and national security, and why AFP-AZ is pressuring Arizona's senators to do their jobs and get serious about governing. AFP-AZ has recently been publicly targeting Sen. Mark Kelly over DHS funding, with Shadegg arguing that political games are putting safety and security at risk. From there, the conversation turns to Arizona politics: affordable housing, cost-of-living pressure, and whether Governor Katie Hobbs is showing the kind of leadership voters are looking for. Chris and Sean also dig into the 2026 political map, including Larry Sabato's latest Crystal Ball analysis and why Arizona may be more competitive than the national pundits think. It's a candid conversation about government dysfunction, economic pressure, and the political future of Arizona and the country, with plenty of straight talk about what's actually at stake for voters. Subscribe for weekly conversations on Faith, Freedom & Free Enterprise with Sean Noble and Chris Clements. Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/LightBeerDarkMoney/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lightbeerdarkmoney/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/lbdmpodcast?lang=en LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/light-beer-dark-money/ Blog: https://lightbeerdarkmoney.com/hypocrisy-and-the-aoc-oh-sandy/

America's war on Iran spreads across the region as NATO shoots down a missile headed towards Turkey, and the U.S. sinks an Iranian ship near Sri Lanka – Trump says the Navy could escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz – & big developments in the Epstein investigation as Pam Bondi is subpoenaed to testify about her handling of the case. Jeff Mason, Ivo Daalder, Paul Rieckhoff, David Gura, Philip Bump, McKay Coppins, and Larry Sabato join The 11th Hour this Wednesday night. To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The White House says the ICE surge in Minneapolis is ending; the DOJ logs lawmakers' search history in the unredacted Epstein files, and now they're demanding answers; & House Republicans pass a strict proof-of-citizenship requirement. Peter Baker, Sabrina Saddiqui, David Drucker, Joyce Vance, Brendan Greeley, John Harwood, and Larry Sabato join The 11th Hour this Thursday night. To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this episode, Bill reconnects with Larry Sabato, Founder and Director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. to discuss the 2026 midterm elections. Sabato shares his insights on why he believes Democrats have the edge going into the midterms, citing dissatisfaction with the current Republican control of the White House, Congress, and the Supreme Court. They delve into the implications of redistricting and special elections, recent shifts in voter behavior among Hispanic and Asian communities, and the influence of former President Donald Trump on upcoming elections. The conversation also covers competitive Senate races, the potential impact of candidates like Susan Collins, and the possible future role of J.D. Vance in the 2028 presidential race. The discussion highlights the importance of politics in shaping the future of the nation and reflects on past progress while expressing optimism for the future. Today Bill highlights the work of Jose Andres and The World Central Kitchen. On the front lines of war and natural disasters. Consider adding it to your charitable giving in this Holiday (and Tax planning) season. More information at WCK.org See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The democratic candidate in Tennessee's special House election makes a surprising showing in a deep-red district, Secretary Hegseth tries to distance himself from fallout over the administration's boat strikes, and Costco sues the Trump administration for full tariff refunds if the Supreme Court strikes them down. Daniella Diaz, Larry Sabato, Mark McKinnon, Barry McCaffrey, Brendan Greeley, Bharat Ramamurti, and Amb. Bill Taylor join The 11th Hour this Tuesday night. To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In today's episode, I'm joined by Colin Allen, executive director of the American Property Owners Alliance, for a conversation that moves effortlessly from campaign classrooms in Charlottesville to the frontline debates shaping housing policy today.Colin shares stories from his early days at UVA with Larry Sabato, the lessons that still guide his approach to politics and persuasion, and his time inside the U.S. Senate, where he learned how the institution really works — and sometimes doesn't.We also talk about his years at the National Association of Realtors, the evolving housing landscape, and why affordability has become one of the defining economic and political challenges of our time. Colin walks through how regional differences shape the narrative, how local leaders can meet voters where they are, and why events outside Washington often tell us more than the ones inside the Beltway.It's a smart and grounded conversation with someone who has lived the DC experience from multiple vantage points — and who's now leading a national effort to give property owners a stronger voice. Get full access to Authentically Speaking at thefridayreporter.substack.com/subscribe

Jen Psaki offers a special preview of Tuesday's elections, including the important race for governor of Virginia with Jen Palmieri, former communications director for Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, Larry Sabato, director fo the University of Virginia Center for Politics, and political analyst Anthony Coley. Jim DeBoo, senior advisor to Governor Gavin Newsom, joins for a special focus on Prop 50 redistricting in California. New York City Comptroller Brad Lander discusses the energy and appeal of Democratic upstart and New York City mayoral frontrunner Zohran Mamdani. And Pennsylvania State Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta discusses the out-of-the-spotlight state supreme court race in Pennsylvania that has major national implications.  Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

SNAP benefits and Obamacare are hanging in the balance as the Shutdown drags on – US and China reach another "framework" for a deal as Trump ices out Canada – & an American farmer on the impact of Trump's trade war. Luke Broadwater, Susan Glasser, Larry Sabato, Barry Ritholtz, Matt Peterson, John Bartman, and Mark Mckinnon join The 11th Hour this Monday night. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Tonight on The Last Word: Americans are starting to feel the impact of the ongoing government shutdown. Also, a new poll finds Democrats with a large lead in the Virginia governor's race. Plus, ICE agents are causing chaos in southern California. And scientists revive the weather damage database cut by Donald Trump. Rep. Ro Khanna, David Noriega, Larry Sabato, Memo Torres, and Adam B. Smith join Jacob Soboroff. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

James and Al celebrate the hostage return, call on the Democratic leadership to stand up and take the reins, and expose the savagery of the upcoming class of Young Republicans.  Then, they welcome the New Jersey Globe's David Wildstein and political seer Larry Sabato to discuss the candidates and forces at play in the gubernatorial races in NJ and VA.  They explore how Spanberger and Sherrill are balancing national and state issues, how hard they are standing up to Trump, and share their predictions on the outcomes.  Additionally, they share what areas to watch, warn of the influence of gerrymandering, and explain how the states have changed in recent years.  Email your questions to James and Al at politicswarroom@gmail.com or tweet them to @politicon.  Make sure to include your city– we love to hear where you're from! Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial  More from James and Al: Get text updates from Politics War Room and Politicon. Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial James Carville & Al Hunt have launched the Politics War Room Substack Get updates and some great behind-the-scenes content from the documentary CARVILLE: WINNING IS EVERYTHING, STUPID by following James on X @jamescarville and his new TikTok @realjamescarville Check Out Andrew Zucker's New Politicon Podcast: The Golden Age Get More From This Week's Guest:  Larry Sabato: Twitter | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Center For Politics | UVa | Author David Wildstein: Twitter | New Jersey Globe | The Inside Edge | FaceBook | YouTube Please Support Our Sponsor: ZBiotics: Get back into action after a night out with 15% off your first order of ZBiotics when you go to zbiotics.com/warroom and use code: WARROOM

U.S. troops assemble in Chicago as the administration escalates its crackdown on American cities, despite an ongoing lawsuit over its legality. Then, a discussion with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries on the ongoing government shutdown, as Trump announces furloughed federal workers may not receive back pay when it ends. Plus, the Attorney General's contentious hearing on the hill and the questions she faced over the DOJ's investigations against the President's enemies. Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY), Jeff Mason, Larry Sabato, David Dayen, Bill Cohan, Ron Insana, Ty Cobb, and Yaakov Katz join The 11th Hour this Tuesday night. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

This week's show is sponsored by: EPIC-MRA Public Opinion Research MIRS News Fulton Fish Market This week on ""A Republic, If You Can Keep It" Thousands demonstrate against Trump's destruction of the government and economy. Is this a replay of the movements that brought Civil Rights laws in the 1960's, the end of the VietNam war in the 1970s, and the birth of the GOP rightward leap via the Tea Party in the 2009 and the women's movement of the 2010s? Governor Whitmer has reinforced talk of a 2028 presidential run with a high-profile speech in Washington this week … paired with a one-on-one meeting with Donald Trump. Was she measuring the curtains in the Oval Office? Penguins are breathing a sigh of relief as Trump blinks on his one-man demolition of the economy. But the slingshot economic tactics are a political threat to the reelection campaigns of Republicans nationwide and in Michigan - with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee now targeting 3 Republican-held districts in our state. One of those Trump-backing Republicans, Congressman John James, says he's running for Governor, meaning his 10th district congressional seat is a definite flip opportunity for Democrats. We'll be joined by the latest Democratic candidate for that job, Macomb County assistance prosecuting attorney Christina Hines. Trump is weaponizing the once respected DOJ by ordering criminal investigations into two critics in the private sector: Chris Krebs and Miles Taylor. Online rumors fueled by Indivisible warn Trump may invoke the Insurrection Act to shut down protest rallies across the nation Mallory McMorrow's media rollout for her Senate campaign goes national: multiple MSNBC appearance plus "The Daily Show" Larry Sabato's initial House election projections show Democrats with a slight advantage, with 5 Michigan congressional districts in play One of the most-watched congressional races in the nation next year will be centered in Macomb County and Michigan's 10th district. With John James running for Governor, the swing district is a definite coin toss. Democrats will have a competition in the primary. Last month we talked with Alex Hawkins, the first announced candidate. Joining the race in the last week: Christina Hines. A graduate of the University of Michigan and Wayne State Law School, Hines ran for Macomb County Prosecutor in 2024 against sitting prosecutor Peter Lucido, with Lucido receiving 57% of the vote while Hines held 43%. Prior to that, she served as an assistant prosecuting attorney in Wayne County before heading up the Special Victims Unit in Washtenaw County.  This episode is sponsored in part by =========================== EPIC ▪ MRA, a full service survey research firm with expertise in • Public Opinion Surveys • Market Research Studies • Live Telephone Surveys • On-Line and Automated Surveys • Focus Group Research • Bond Proposals - Millage Campaigns • Political Campaigns & Consulting • Ballot Proposals - Issue Advocacy Research • Community - Media Relations • Issue - Image Management • Database Development & List Management =========================== ===========================

As more unredacted information is released as part of a document dump related to the assassination of President John F. Kennedy, we're learning more about clandestine operations that were also underway at that time. Law&Crime's Jesse Weber takes another deep dive into the latest documents with University of Virginia professor Larry Sabato.PLEASE SUPPORT THE SHOW: If your child, under 21, has been diagnosed with type 2 diabetes or fatty liver disease, visit https://forthepeople.com/food to start a claim now! HOST:Jesse Weber: https://twitter.com/jessecordweberLAW&CRIME SIDEBAR PRODUCTION:YouTube Management - Bobby SzokeVideo Editing - Michael Deininger, Christina O'Shea & Jay CruzScript Writing & Producing - Savannah Williamson & Juliana BattagliaGuest Booking - Alyssa Fisher & Diane KayeSocial Media Management - Vanessa BeinSTAY UP-TO-DATE WITH THE LAW&CRIME NETWORK:Watch Law&Crime Network on YouTubeTV: https://bit.ly/3td2e3yWhere To Watch Law&Crime Network: https://bit.ly/3akxLK5Sign Up For Law&Crime's Daily Newsletter: https://bit.ly/LawandCrimeNewsletterRead Fascinating Articles From Law&Crime Network: https://bit.ly/3td2IqoLAW&CRIME NETWORK SOCIAL MEDIA:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lawandcrime/Twitter: https://twitter.com/LawCrimeNetworkFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/lawandcrimeTwitch: https://www.twitch.tv/lawandcrimenetworkTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@lawandcrimeSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

With just one week to go until election day Vice President Harris delivers closing argument at the site of Trump's infamous January 6th, 2021 rally. Plus, the former President continues to defend his controversial Madison Square Garden rally. And, a leader in the fight to end gun violence says its time to step away from activism. Larry Sabato, Evan McMorris-Santoro, Errin Haines, Barry Ritholtz, Dan Nathan, Matthew Dowd, Chuck Rocha, and Fred Guttenberg join The 11th Hour this Tuesday. 

Well, we predicted it, everyone. Back in July, I described what the Kamala Harris strategy would be. I wrote that they will try to get people excited about Kamala for about 5 min, and when that does work, they will go back to calling Trump a fascist. And guess what? Here we are. Everyone from Kamala Harris to Keith Olbermann to even Larry Sabato at UVA Center for Politics has been comparing Trump to Hitler and calling him a fascist…so we decided to ask a question…when we look at fascism as an ideology, does one candidate align with their actual objectives? So that is what we will do today. We will put away the political rhetoric and actually look at fascist policies straight from the fascists themselves and ask the question…does either candidate for president actually align with “fascist policies?”---Sponsored by: Good Ranchers Good Ranchers offers 100% American meat, supporting local ranchers and ensuring quality with no antibiotics. Subscribe today and choose a free add-on—Chicken, Beef, Bacon, or Salmon—for four years, or until the next election. Use my code for $25 off your first box and free express shipping. Secure steakhouse quality at home without the hassle. Get FREE meat add-ons for 4 years: https://go.goodranchers.com/mta---Join our community chat: https://bit.ly/43zQDLNInstagram: www.instagram.com/nickjfreitas/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/NickFreitasVATwitter: https://twitter.com/NickJFreitasYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@NickjfreitasTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@nickfreitas3.0

Virginians pay Larry Sabato's salary and Jeff wonders if there is a conflict of interest if he blocks them?

Out of the gate Jeff filets Larry Sabato's Jew Hating Social Media Posts and then cools off a bit chatting with Mike Baum

Larry Sabato likened Trump's MSG rally like the Nazi Rally in the 1930s and Jeff isn't having any of it!

UVA Professor Dr. Larry Sabato, author of "The Kennedy Half-Century: The Presidency, Assassination, and Lasting Legacy of John F. Kennedy." Because of his extraordinary promise and untimely death, JFK's star still resonates strongly. On the anniversary of his assassination, celebrated political scientist and analyst Larry J. Sabato-himself a teenager in the early 1960s and inspired by JFK and his presidency-explores the fascinating and powerful influence he has had over five decades on the media, the general public, and especially on each of his nine presidential successors. Original air date 18 October 2013. The book was published on 15 October 2013.

SERIES 3 EPISODE 38: COUNTDOWN WITH KEITH OLBERMANN A-Block (1:50) SPECIAL COMMENT: I have existential doubts about hell. But truly, I now hope there is one and I hope if there isn't one I hope they make one, just for Trump. He did it Saturday in Wisconsin and then just in case you missed it he did it again yesterday in Pennsylvania and guess what? America's news media - when it is has never been more urgently needed, failing, collapsing, cowardly protecting only its own money - America's news media, in its death rattle before Trump extinguishes it, or with its own near-complete lack of courage, it extinguishes itself Trump did it again yesterday in Pennsylvania and the media MISSED IT. This psychopathic, criminally insane narcissist; this damaged, malignant, diseased, dysfunctional, hallucinatory, drooling, demented, reptile-brained, and ultimately and perhaps most importantly, this STUPID slime slandered the mental capacities of the President and Vice President of the United States. And how was that covered by our bleeding, bankrupt, almost dying news media? Like they hoped to be covering Trump in hell. Bloomberg said Trump "sharpened his criticism on border security." The Guardian called these "Harris barbs." Reuters said Trump "escalates harsh rhetoric." On and on and on. I cannot say this more clearly to the political journalists of this nation. The English language is full of… words. Words that actually DESCRIBE what JD Vance once aptly called Trump peddling quote “cultural heroin.” Words that MEASURE his deceit. Words that QUANTIFY his inhumanity. Words that will NOT get you fired and words that will not get your cowering bosses sued. Learn them. Use them. Because if you don't, you will die with me in the Trump camps. ALL of the bleak histories of the dictators of this world include that same chapter. If you cannot summon courage on behalf of your nation or your profession, summon it on behalf of saving yourselves. AND NOW WE MOVE TO CBS NEWS which says no, it will not fact-check the candidates at its Vice Presidential debate tomorrow. Even as Vance devolves into a compulsive or perhaps congenital liar. I have a piece of advice for my old MSNBC colleague and professional friend of 25 years, Co-Moderator Norah O'Donnell. You have nothing to lose and a country to save. Ignore your bosses. Fact-check anyway. Emulate Edward R. Murrow - not Jake F'ing Tapper. B-Block (26:18) POSTSCRIPTS TO THE NEWS: I think I have some insight into the RFK Junior story that everybody else understandably missed. There has been a throwaway line in one account that refers to the contemplation of a "medical leave" for Olivia Nuzzi. I think that's the key to everything. But more importantly, I can finally explain my gratitude to her, and celebrate the great thing she did for me: (34:34) THINGS I PROMISED NOT TO TELL: Because it's Stevie Day - the anniversary of the day I got my first dog, Stevie (more correctly - the day she adopted me). And finally, FINALLY, I can tell the story without pulling any punches because of course the girlfriend who led me into the world of dogs - Stevie's Mom - is Olivia. C-Block (54:00) POSTSCRIPTS TO THE NEWS, PART II: The saga of the arrival of Stevie rather improbably includes... Rudy Giuliani? And the small matter of the remodeling of my mind and life.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

New polls show the race remains tight even as VP Harris continues to improve nationally and in swing states. Plus, the GOP candidate for governor of North Carolina continues his campaign after a report about shocking comments made online. And, Georgia's state election board gets set to vote on new rules that could change how ballots are counted. McKay Coppins, Evan McMorris-Santoro, Larry Sabato, Justin Wolfers, Brendan Greeley, Brian Tyler Cohen, Stuart Stevens, and LaTosha Brown join The 11th Hour this Thursday. 

Larry Sabato is the Founder and Director of the University of Virginia Institute of Politics. There is no better political analyst in the country. Here are the key points he made in today's Bill Press Pod: The 2024 presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is seen as a very close race, with no clear frontrunner. Sabato believes Harris performed well in the first presidential debate, getting under Trump's skin effectively. However, the debate likely only moved the needle slightly in the polls. Sabato is skeptical of polls showing Harris with a comfortable lead, as he believes some Trump supporters are not being honest with pollsters. He points to significant polling misses in recent elections as evidence that the polls cannot be fully trusted. He expresses concern about the reliability of polls in key battleground states like Wisconsin, where polls have significantly underestimated Trump's performance in recent elections. He sees the vice presidential debate as a potential wild card, with Vance potentially struggling to match the performance of Harris's running mate, Governor Tim Walz of Minnesota. Sabato is critical of Republican members of Congress who have not stood up to Trump, saying they are putting their party's interests ahead of the country.Today urges our listeners to support endangered Senators Sherrod Brown and Jon Tester through ActBlue.comSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Vice President Harris is preparing for the Democratic National Convention and plans to announce her economic policies this week. Plus, a secret video from Project 2025 demonstrates more on what a second Trump term would look like. And, the FBI is now looking into an attempted hack on both the Trump and Harris Presidential campaign. Susan Glasser, Toluse Olorunnipa, Teddy Schleifer, John Della Volpe, Larry Sabato, Andy Kroll, and Clint Watts join The 11th Hour this Monday.

Political Analyst Larry Sabato revealed that VP Kamala Harris has momentum, reflected in the polls, including the swing states. Subscribe to our Newsletter: https://politicsdoneright.com/newsletter Purchase our Books: As I See It: https://amzn.to/3XpvW5o How To Make America Utopia: https://amzn.to/3VKVFnG It's Worth It: https://amzn.to/3VFByXP Lose Weight And Be Fit Now: https://amzn.to/3xiQK3K Tribulations of an Afro-Latino Caribbean man: https://amzn.to/4c09rbE

School superintendent Richard Woods has reversed his initial decision to deny state funding for a new Advanced Placement African American history curriculum.  On today's episode of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution's Politically Georgia podcast, state Senator Nikki Merritt joins the AJC's Patricia Murphy, Greg Bluestein and Bill Nigut to discuss the decision to move forward with funding for the program in Georgia's public schools. But first,  Stephen Lawson, a former top aide to Republican Speaker of the Georgia House Jon Burns joins the podcast to talk about the damage Donald Trump's attacks on Governor Brian Kemp may do to party unity and Trump's efforts to win Georgia. Plus, there are indications from election projection experts and a new private poll that Kamala Harris is turning the tide in Georgia's presidential race. The state is now rated a tossup by Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball and the Cook Report. Links to today's topics: Trump attack on Brian Kemp opens fresh wounds in GOP party unity Georgia school superintendent reverses course on AP African American history course Sabato Crystal Ball: Georgia back to toss up state Have a question or comment for the show? Call the 24-hour Politically Georgia Podcast Hotline at 770-810-5297. We'll play back your question and answer it during the listener mailbag segment on next Friday's episode.   Listen and subscribe to our podcast for free at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen to podcasts. You can also tell your smart speaker to “play Politically Georgia podcast.”         Credits  Executive Producer- Shane Backler  Producer- Natalie Mendenhall  Engineer- Shane Backler Editor- Matt Owen Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Fed Chair Powell says more progress on inflation is needed, but if the Fed waits for inflation to get to 2% to cut, it's too late. Jefferies' chief market strategist David Zervos joins us with his first take. Plus, we'll get a live report from Milwaukee as the RNC kicks off and UVA's Larry Sabato's reaction to the failed assassination attempt on former President Trump.

On a recent airing of a CNN segment, Larry Sabato from the University of Virginia Center for Politics addressed the stark contrast appearing in the electoral race between sitting President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. He echoed the clear sentiment that the competition is 'no longer close.' Sabato underscored the insufficiency of occasional interviews or rallies to narrow down the expanding gap. Sabato expressed skepticism about the capacity of a single ABC News interview to alter the rapidly shifting political dynamics. 'Halt the hemorrhage,' he suggested, alluding to the noticeable decline in Biden's popularity among voters. The magnitude of this political regression, Sabato pointed out, reflects prominently in the data and surveys, both public and private. The Democratic party needs to come to terms with the reality that the situation is unpredictable and the once close race has quite a significant gap now. The showdown between Biden and Trump shows a definitive lead in favor of Trump. This is the bleak picture that presents itself in the current political landscape. Sabato referenced various polls conducted the previous week, all of which showcased a similar trend - a rare occurrence in the field of polling. 'The standing of Biden, who was seemingly equally matched or perhaps just two points behind Trump, now exhibits a deficit of six points, as unanimously decreed by these polls. This translates to millions of voters,' Sabato highlighted. The UVA professor dismissed the likelihood that a single well-received interview or rally could retrieve the masses of disillusioned voters. This declaration ominously foretells the path that lies ahead for the Biden presidency. Far from ebullitions of excitement, the Presidential race has turned into a struggle for survival for Biden.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Elon Musk, the CEO of prominent corporations Tesla, Starlink, and SpaceX, seems to be under the impression that the recent debate between current President Joe Biden and his predecessor, Donald Trump, was more of a theatrical play than a serious political event. Musk voiced his observations on the X platform shortly after the debate, adding his commentary to a post made by billionaire investor David Sacks. He described the presidential contenders as 'talking puppets' and expressed skepticism over the authenticity of the debate. David Sacks originally commented on the debate by criticizing CNN commentators for their apparent lack of loyalty and remorse towards the president. Responding to the commentator's portrayal of Biden, Sacks posted, 'The sight of CNN commentators backstabbing Biden really leaves a distaste. There is no sense of loyalty, nor a hint of remorse. This is simply revolting.' 'This race between Biden and Trump isn't a nail-biter anymore', remarked Larry Sabato, Director at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, during a CNN slot the following day. He ruled out the chances of Biden narrowing the gap with Trump by merely participating in an interview with ABC News or conducting a series of rallies. According to Sabato, President Biden's singular interview isn't enough to amend the situation. His words were clear, 'If anything, [President Biden] should aim to arrest the decline, which has indeed been pretty severe. We have been through several amounts of data, both public and confidential, and it's quite alarming. The Democrats must realize that we're not on steady ground and the race is anything but a close one now. The competition between Trump and Biden has ended.'See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Biden speaks out on Donald Trump's recent criminal conviction, calling the former president a "convicted felon" at a fundraiser. Plus, a presidential executive order imposes new restrictions on migrants seeking asylum in the U.S. And, a look at the potential impact of A.I. on the 2024 presidential election. Jeremy Saland, Hans Nichols, Susan Glasser, Mark McKinnon, Tim Ryan, Larry Sabato, and Josh Tyrangiel join 11th Hour tonight. 

President Biden and Vice President Harris appeal to African-American voters in Philadelphia, UVA's Larry Sabato on effect of Trump hush-money trial verdict and Hunter Biden gun-charge trial on presidential election (10), Sen. Graham (R-SC) visits Israel and says that county will "never have to worry' about U.S. support, Secretary of State Blinken visits Moldova and announces more aid to counter Russia, House Judiciary Subcommittee holds field hearing on border security in North Dakota, interview with Axios' Mimi Montgomery on giant pandas returning to National Zoo in DC. (46) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The prosecution rested its case today in Trump's criminal trial as the defense called its first witness. Plus, the latest on the death of Iran's president and what it could mean for the middle east. And, Trump's remarks on the campaign trail about potentially serving a third term if elected in November. Hugo Lowell, Jeremy Saland, Barbara McQuade, Tim Miller, Jennifer Palmieri, John Della Volpe, Larry Sabato, and Ben Rhodes join.

Donald Trump sues co-founders of his company, Truth Social, alleging they mismanaged the company. In a Florida state court, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. argued that executives Wes Moss and Andy Litinsky made a series of mistakes that resulted in a delay in the company's going public and urged a judge to strip them of their shares. Then, our panel discusses how the new Florida 6-week abortion ban could impact the 2024 election – even if subject to change by voters in November. And the latest on the Israeli Airstrike that killed seven World Central Kitchen workers. Susan Glasser, Larry Sabato, Charlie Sykes, Harry Litman, Maria Teresa Kumar, Michael Steele, and Janti Soeripto join.

 The Supreme Court has decided former president Donald Trump cannot be removed from the ballot in Colorado or in any other state. The case was brought by a group of Colorado voters who challenged Trump's ballot eligibility based on his actions leading up to January 6th and on a clause in the 14th amendment barring former office holders from seeking a new office – if they've engaged in insurrection. Also, the political “lay of the land” ahead of Super Tuesday and where Joe Biden and Donald Trump stand in the 2024 Presidential race. Plus, “No Labels”  worries about missing the window for launching a third-party presidential candidate. Mark Joseph Stern, Ankush Khardori, Suzanne Craig, Mckay Coppins, Larry Sabato, Mark Mckinnon, and Larry Hogan help break it all down.

Larry Sabato is an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics, which works to promote civic engagement and participation

Chaz Nuttycombe eclipsed Larry Sabato and his crystal ball with the accuracy of his predictions in 2022. In 2023, while finishing his senior year at Virginia Tech, his predictions in every Virginia State legislative race proved 100% accurate. Join David Schild and Adam Belmar for a fascinating conversation about CNanalysis and the campaign insights that matter to PAC Managers in 2024.

The Breakdown is live w/ guests Larry Sabato and Sarah Kendzior On this week's episode of The Breakdown, hosts Tara Setmayer and Rick Wilson are joined by Larry Sabato, NYT best-selling author and political analyst and Sarah Kendzior, author of “Hiding in Plain Sight: The Invention of Donald Trump and the Erosion of America” and co-host of the Gaslit Nation podcast.Watch now, share on social media, and follow The Lincoln Project below. Join the fight at LincolnProject.us! MENTIONED IN THIS EPISODESarah Kendzior's book: “Hiding in Plain Sight: The Invention of Donald Trump and the Erosion of America” – https://amzn.to/3uwimi2 Gaslit Nation podcast – https://apple.co/3J7jGMp FOLLOW Larry SabatoTWITTER: @Larry SabatoFOLLOW LINCOLN PROJECTTWITTER: https://bit.ly/3zwZFva INSTAGRAM: https://bit.ly/31yyrHR FACEBOOK: https://bit.ly/3zCBHhT PODCAST: https://apple.co/3G7zr4L

On the latest Walker Webcast, we welcomed back one of the nation's most respected political analysts, Director and Founder of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, Editor in Chief of Sabato's Crystal Ball, and bestselling author of more than twenty books, Larry Sabato. Since November marked the 60th anniversary of the JFK assassination, Larry and Willy discussed his book The Kennedy Half-Century: The Presidency, Assassination, and Lasting Legacy of John F. Kennedy, including conspiracy theories, revelations, and Kennedy's legacy. They also discussed the latest developments in the presidential race, and you won't want to miss what Larry is forecasting. Watch or listen to the replay.   If you have any comments or questions, please reach out to your main Walker & Dunlop point of contact. We are all available to answer questions and provide assistance. Additionally, if you have topics you would like covered during one of our future webcasts, we would be happy to take your suggestions.   

Opening Monologues. Contemplating the greatest political comeback in American history. Trump Victory 2024 looking increasingly likely. CBS News says the Establishment knows and is “nervous," while Trump voters inspired and motivated and ready to roll. Latest NYT/Siena poll has Trump well ahead of Biden in five of six swing states. Neurotics Bill Kristol and Larry Sabato respond with full fright. Ah yes, those 91 counts. Meanwhile, notes on the nothing-burger Gov. Reynolds nod for DeSantis in Iowa. RGA coercion? Thinking Cameron has a chance in Kentucky. Plus, talking Stoic Marcus Aurelius. Overcoming obstacles, and how the impediments of life can become the way through life. Family piano lessons and Burgmuller's Storm. With Great Listener Calls.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bill talks with one of the most astute political scientists and commentators in the business, Larry Sabato, the founder and director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. He's the author of the Crystal Ball newsletter which is free and you can sign up here. In the podcast, Sabato discussed the upcoming political season, suggesting that if the election were held today, it would likely be a rematch between Trump and Biden. However, he noted that the legal system and Biden's health could impact this. Sabato also discussed the potential impact of Trump's legal issues on his campaign, suggesting that while they could conflict with his campaign schedule, they could also help him raise more money. He also discussed the potential impact of the Dobbs decision on abortion rights on the election, suggesting it could be a powerful issue for Democrats. Sabato also criticized the current state of politics, noting that there is no longer a governing interim between elections and that politicians are constantly campaigning.Today Bill highlights the work of Act Blue, your one-stop shop for donating to any democratic candidate. Go to ActBlue.com, choose your candidate and give what you can. Thanks. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

On Tuesday, Donald Trump said he had received a letter suggesting he was about to be indicted by special counsel Jack Smith in connection with the criminal investigation into the Capitol riot on 6 January 2021. It would be his third criminal indictment. Jonathan Freedland asks Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, if the pile of indictments could grow too large even for Trump – and his voters. Plus: who is Glenn Youngkin, the governor of Virginia? If Republicans do decide Trump is too badly damaged, might they turn to him?

In part two of the interview with Larry Sabato, Governor Wilder discusses the recent controversies surrounding VCU and the large amounts of money the university has spent without anything to show for it.   

Former Virginia Governor, Richmond Mayor, Civil Rights trailblazer & national treasure L. Douglas Wilder fills in for Jeff and has an extended interview with Dr. Larry Sabato from the University of Virginia, as well as his own thoughts on both local & national politics while taking phone calls from local listeners eager to talk to him. 

Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, and founder and director of the Center for Politics, Larry Sabato joins former Virginia Governor Douglas Wilder as they talk about differences in running from politics in the past and today. 

You almost certainly know that, for decades, Stu Rothenberg and his Rothenberg Political Report (now Inside Elections) penned among the most influential political analysis in Washington. But you probably don't know the origin story...his initial academic career track, how he cut his political teeth at the conservative Heritage Foundation, and what led to launching his own newsletter. In this conversation, we talk through all of that plus his most memorable interactions with candidates, biggest surprises, savviest politicians, and when he knew it was time to pass the newsletter baton to his partner Nathan Gonzales. IN THIS EPISODEStu grows up in a family of Rockefeller Republicans in Central Park West Manhattan…Stu's growing interest in politics and initial career trajectory to become an academic…How Stu's path diverted from the academic track to join the political operation of the conservative Heritage Foundation…Stu's tutelage under conservative political icon Paul Weyrich…What led to launching the Rothenberg Report newsletter…Stu's early intersection with fellow newsletter groundbreaker Charlie Cook…Stu's memories from “candidate interviews” with Ted Cruz, Nikki Haley, and Barack Obama…Stu on the single biggest surprising result in his decades as a political observer…Stu talks some of the smartest political minds in Congress & the one committee chair who was a “giant pain in the ass”…The backstory behind a favorite Rothenberg column “For the Thousandth Time, Don't Call It a Push Poll”…Stu's memorable 2006 meeting with then-Vice President Dick Cheney…How Stu handled passing the torch of the Rothenberg Report to Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales…AND The Almanac of American Politics, Morton Blackwell, Bill Bradley, Sherry Boehlert, Mary Bono, Sonny Bono, William Buckley, Bucknell University, CNN, CSX, Canadian-American regional integration, the Club for Growth, Colby College, complicated conservatives, Ted Cruz, Al D'Amato, Mitch Daniels, Tom Davis, David Dewhurst, egomaniacs, Rollie Fingers, Charles Franklin, the Free Congress Research and Education Foundation, Mark French, Milton Friedman, Martin Frost, The Greenbrier, Nikki Haley, Tom Harkin, Peter Hart, Friedrich Hayek, Blair Hull, “It's Only Politics”, Jan Plans, Jacob Javits, Roger Jepsen, Tommy John, Ben Jones, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Kenneth Keating, Harmon Killebrew, Leading Authorities, Louis Lefkowitz, Jon Lerner, John Lindsay, Juan Marichal, Marxist feminists, John McCain, Joe McLean, Ed Muskie, NYU, Lindsey Nelson, Frank Newport, Richard Nixon, George Pataki, political goo, Walter Rich, Roll Call, Jack Ryan, Larry Sabato, sewage trolls, Casey Stengel, Inez Tenenbaum, total losers, Donald Trump, UCONN, Amy Walter…& more!