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The Walter E. Hoadley Annual Economic Forecast, presented by Bank of America. Major changes are coming to tax, tariff, and regulatory policy in the wake of the November 2024 election. What impact will the new administration and Congress have on the economy in 2025? Will inflation be a big factor? How will our international trade fare? And will unemployment and consumer spending continue on their current paths? Our expert panel—including John H. Cochrane, the Rose-Marie and Jack Anderson Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution; Mary Daly, the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco; Susan Hyde, Robson Professor in the Travers Department of Political Science and co-director of the Institute of International Studies at UC Berkeley; Baie Netzer, senior investment strategist for Bank of America Private Bank; Adam Lashinsky, editor-at-large for The San Francisco Standard and contributing columnist for The Washington Post (moderator)—will give you insight to help you better understand the trends, policies, dangers and opportunities that lie ahead for your business and your wallet in 2025. Commonwealth Club World Affairs of California is a nonprofit public forum; we welcome donations made during registration to support the production of our programming. This event is underwritten by Bank of America. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On this special greatest hits compilation episode our host David Beckworth primes listeners for the Fed Framework Review by highlighting the best snippets from past shows discussing nominal GDP targeting. This episode includes Mary Daly's thoughts on NGDP targeting, Evan Koenig on the basics of NGDP targeting, George Selgin on Powell's hesitations with NGDP targeting and how it responds to supply shocks, Jim Bullard on the financial stability of NGDP targeting, Eric Sims on the New Keynesian argument for NGDP targeting, Carola Binder on the benefits of NGDP targeting, Charlie Evans on the prospects of NGDP target, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:02:31) – Mary Daly on Nominal GDP Targeting Considerations for the 2024-25 Fed Framework Review (00:06:13) – Evan Koenig on the Basics and Preferred Structure of a Nominal GDP Targeting Framework (00:14:17) – George Selgin on Chair Powell's Concerns About Nominal GDP Targeting (00:21:35) – Jim Bullard on the Financial Stability Argument for Nominal GDP Targeting (00:24:12) – Eric Sims on the New Keynesian Rationale for Nominal GDP Targeting (00:28:23) – Carola Binder on Two Major Benefits of Nominal GDP Targeting (00:33:40) – George Selgin on How Nominal GDP Targeting Would Handle Supply Shocks (00:46:55) – Charlie Evans on the Prospects for Nominal GDP Targeting During the 2024-25 Fed Framework Review (00:50:57) – Bonus Segment: Enhancing the Nominal GDP Targeting Framework (00:53:08) – Gauti Eggertsson on the Merits of a Cumulative Nominal GDP Level Target (00:55:50) – Scott Sumner on Targeting a Nominal GDP Futures Contract (01:04:25) – Outro
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly says she is “very comfortable” with policymakers’ median projection of two interest-rate cuts next year, emphasizing the central bank can turn to a slower approach. She spoke about the Fed's path forward with hosts Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Michael McKee.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
I had questions. A lot of them. So I sat down with someone who might have answers - Mary Daly, President and CEO of the San Francisco Fed. She's one of the people actually making the decisions that affect your money. Five big things I wanted to understand: Why everything still feels so expensive What's really happening with jobs Why Wall Street and Main Street feel like different planets How the Fed makes these massive decisions Whether they can actually fix this00:00 Intro02:10 Some History07:30 Price Stability 10:33 The Fed Test11:05 The Price Problem18:47 The Labor Market22:52 The Path ForwardSourceshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=laSqNpmCeQk https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxTnOWDw31shttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mL-OaWx9LrMhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wLyh5fSTLLwhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M7nj2X-yl_U&t=12shttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rVDE5Q74EhM&t=253shttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=512mhHUoJgkhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jheesQ8ot3ghttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8b03af6b670https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dTivWJvGYtIhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kuNCfkDtPNk
Billionaire and legendary investor Paul Tudor Jones is raising alarms about the U.S. government's fiscal deficit and the increased spending proposed by both presidential candidates. In an extended interview, he warns that more spending could trigger a sell-off in the bond market. In managing his portfolio, Paul Tudor Jones is betting on commodities and the Nasdaq–but not on fixed income. Plus, Federal Reserve presidents Neel Kashkari and Mary Daly are speaking out on monetary policy, Nike renews its contract with the NBA and WNBA, and TGI Friday's is filing for bankruptcy. Paul Tudor Jones 13:06 In this episode:Paul Tudor Jones, @ptj_officialBecky Quick, @BeckyQuickJoe Kernen, @JoeSquawkAndrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkinCameron Costa, @CameronCostaNY
MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
Singapore shares began the day by trading in positive territory, mirroring gains in overseas bourses. In early trade, the Straits Times Index (STI) was up 0.5 per cent at 3,614.09 points after 61.6 million securities changed hands in the broader market. In terms of companies to watch, we have departmental store operator Metro. The company has acquired a freehold prime office property in Sydney, Australia, for A$196.4 million (S$172.3 million), with its joint venture partner, Sim Lian Group of Companies. Meanwhile, from Singtel launching its AI cloud service for sensitive sectors, to more on minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting – more corporate and international headlines remain in focus. On Market View, The Evening Runway's finance presenter Chua Tian Tian dived into the details with Terence Wong, CEO, Azure Capital.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This month, for the first time in over two years, the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates. Mary Daly, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, is one of 12 people who will decide how aggressive that cut should be. She talks to Kate about inflation, unemployment, the economy and Taylor Swift. Further Listening: - What the Stock Market Panic Says About the Economy - Why the Fed Is Steering Away From Rate Cuts Further Reading: - The Make-or-Break Moment That Will Determine the Economy's Fate Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Noticias Económicas y Financieras ¡Es oficial! La guerra de ofertas por Paramount Global $PARA ha terminado después de que Edgar Bronfman Jr. pusiera fin a su intento de adquirir el histórico estudio de Hollywood por $6B que desafiaban el acuerdo de fusión de Skydance Media. La salida del heredero de Seagram Co. significa que Skydance -dirigida por David Ellison, hijo del multimillonario inconformista tecnológico y cofundador de Oracle $ORCL Larry Ellison- se convertirá en el nuevo propietario de Paramount. El director ejecutivo de Meta $META, Mark Zuckerberg, dijo que estaba mal que los funcionarios de la administración Biden presionaran a la empresa para que censurara el contenido sobre la COVID-19 en 2021. Zuckerberg también admitió que Meta no debería haber ocultado contenido relacionado con las acusaciones de corrupción que involucran a Hunter Biden, y dijo que no haría contribuciones para apoyar la infraestructura electoral en este ciclo electoral. Lowe's $LOW es la última empresa que ha reducido sus programas de diversidad, equidad e inclusión, cediendo a las críticas en línea sobre sus políticas, y el activista conservador Robby Starbuck se atribuye el mérito de la medida. El minorista de artículos para el hogar ya no participará en el Índice de Igualdad Corporativa de la Campaña de Derechos Humanos y solo patrocinará eventos comunitarios relacionados con viviendas asequibles, ayuda en caso de desastres y educación en oficios especializados. La medida sigue a Tractor Supply $TSCO, Deere $DE y Harley-Davidson $HOG que redujeron o eliminaron los programas DEI en los últimos meses. Canadá planea imponer un impuesto adicional del 100% a todos los vehículos eléctricos fabricados en China, a partir del 1 de octubre, con el objetivo de nivelar el campo de juego, ya que los fabricantes de vehículos eléctricos chinos actualmente disfrutan de grandes subsidios en el país. Actualmente, Tesla $TSLA es el único fabricante de automóviles que exporta vehículos eléctricos fabricados en China a Canadá. La decisión sigue a la de Estados Unidos y la Unión Europea, que impusieron sus propios aranceles a los vehículos eléctricos chinos en medio de crecientes preocupaciones por un exceso de oferta de vehículos baratos. Hablando de aranceles, XPeng $XPEV está buscando establecer un sitio de fabricación en Europa para reducir el impacto de los gravámenes de la región.
Las bolsas fluctúan con movimientos estrechos. Los inversores postergaron la toma de decisiones antes de que se conozcan los resultados de Nvidia mañana al cierre de la sesión de Wall Street. En el frente macro, pendientes también de los datos de inflación en Estados Unidos a finales de la semana. Los futuros de los índices de la Bolsa de Nueva York suben ligeramente. Y tenemos más mensajes dovish desde la Reserva Federal. La presidenta de la Fed de San Francisco, Mary Daly, cree que es apropiado que el banco central estadounidense comience a recortar los tipos de interés, haciéndose eco de las palabras de Jerome Powell la semana pasada en Jackson Hole. Lo que no está claro es la cuantía y el ritmo de bajadas. En los mercados de materias primas, el precio del petróleo corrige a la baja. Varias firmas de Wall Street se muestran desfavorables ante las perspectivas para el crudo el próximo año. Goldman Sachs y Morgan Stanley han reducido sus pronósticos de precios a medida que aumentan los suministros globales, incluso posiblemente de la OPEP+. Los dos bancos prevén ahora que el Brent de referencia mundial promedie menos de 80 dólares por barril en 2025 y ambos esperan que el mercado del crudo tenga superávit, con precios que tenderán a la baja durante 12 meses. Una decisión de la OPEP+ de revertir los recortes voluntarios de la oferta podría significar que el cártel está apuntando hacia una "disciplina estratégica sobre la oferta no OPEP", según dicen los analistas de Goldman. En Estados Unidos hoy se cotizará el dato de confianza del consumidor de la Conference Board. En Europa, los índices mantienen los avances, incluido el FT100 de Londres, que vuelve a la actividad tras el festivo de ayer en Reino Unido, con las compañías mineras liderando. Los volúmenes de negociación siguen bajos, con una actividad en la mayoría de los índices de referencia europeos de aproximadamente la mitad del nivel promedio de los últimos 30 días. Mientras los bonos del Tesoro y el dólar también se mantiene estables. En la bolsa española, dos protagonistas: Santander y Talgo. El banco cántabro lidera las subidas del selectivo español tras iniciar un programa de recompra de acción de hasta 1.525 millones. Y las acciones de Talgo permanecen suspendidas de negociación por el veto del Gobierno a la OPA del consorcio húngaro Magyar Vagon por razones de seguridad nacional, según ha confirmado el Ministerio de Economía. Las acciones de Talgo caían casi un 1% hasta 4,26 euros antes de la suspensión. En su comunicado, la CNMV señala que mantendrá la suspensión de la cotización mientras la compañía no "difunda una información relevante" sobre esta situación. El Ibex 35 consolida el nivel de los 11.300 puntos... Primer análisis de la jornada en 'Cierre de Mercados' con Pablo García, director de Divacons Alphavalue.
MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
Singapore shares were little changed this morning after previously ending higher on Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole comments signalling a September rate cut. In early trade, the Straits Times Index (STI) was down slightly by 0.01 per cent, to 3,395.75 points after 36.6 million securities changed hands in the broader market. In terms of developments to watch, we have Silverlake Axis. The enterprise technology company has received a voluntary unconditional offer to go private at S$0.36 per share in cash. Alternatively, shareholders may choose to receive a combination of cash and redeemable preference shares. Elsewhere, from a deep dive into comments by Fed officials Mary Daly and Thomas Barkin, and what big tech names like Nvidia can tell us about the longevity of the AI boom, more international and corporate headlines remain in focus. On Market View, The Evening Runway's finance presenter Chua Tian Tian unpacked the developments with Eddy Loh, Chief Investment Officer, Maybank Group Wealth Management.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly says she believes it's appropriate for the US central bank to begin cutting interest rates. In a conversation with Bloomberg's Michael McKee in San Francisco, Daly says “The time to adjust policy is upon us.”See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
A los mercados les cuesta recuperarse de la brutal sesión de la víspera. Los europeos intentaron recuperar a primera hora, tras tocar mínimos de seis meses el lunes. Arrojan dudas referencias económicas en la zona euro. Las ventas minoristas en los 19 países que comparten el euro cayeron un 0,3% en el mes de junio. Se esperaba descenso de una décima. El paneuropeo Stoxx 600 pierde un 0,25%. Los futuros sobre los principales índices americanos rebotan un 0,4%.Las autoridades de la Fed tratan de tranquilizar a los mercados y la presidenta de la entidad en San Francisco, Mary Daly, dice que es "extremadamente importante" evitar que el mercado laboral se incline hacia una recesión. Daly asegura que está dispuesta a recortar los tipos si es necesario y que la política debe ser proactiva. En las materias primas, el oro avanza un 0,2%, a 2.412 dólares la onza, tras perder un 1,5% ayer, y los precios del crudo cotizan estables pese a las preocupaciones por el posible recrudecimiento del conflicto en Oriente Próximo. En Bolsa española, y dentro del Ibex 35, Grifols, ArcelorMittal y Acciona Energías son los valores que más suben. Al frente de los recortes se colocan Cellnex, Santander y Bankinter.
Noticias Económicas y Financieras ¿Qué tan grande puede llegar a ser Big Tech antes de que Big Tech pueda arruinarse? Dígalo diez veces rápido. Trabalenguas, trabalenguas de mercado e incluso trabalenguas legales están envolviendo a la industria tecnológica de alto vuelo, lo que ha ayudado a impulsar las acciones a máximos históricos en 2024, hasta ayer. El Nasdaq (COMP:IND) se desplomó un 3.4% durante un colapso del mercado mundial, que coincidió con los disparos antimonopolio contra un peso pesado del sector tecnológico. El colapso del mercado visto ayer no se está volviendo menos volátil, y las cosas ahora se están moviendo en la dirección opuesta. El Nikkei de Japón terminó la sesión con un alza del 10% durante la noche, marcando su mejor sesión desde 2008, luego de una caída del 13% el lunes. Se dice que gran parte de la volatilidad emanó de Japón, donde una operación de carry basada en el yen se agrió cuando el BOJ subió las tasas durante la misma semana en que la Fed señaló su intención de recortarlas. En Estados Unidos, los futuros de los índices bursátiles están rebotando esta mañana después de que el indicador de volatilidad VIX se disparara a máximos de la era de la pandemia. Cabe señalar que hubo algunos ganadores del S&P 500 durante la caída de ayer, que también vio a la curva de rendimiento desinvertirse por primera vez en más de dos años. En un intento de tranquilizar a los inversores, los funcionarios de la Reserva Federal intervinieron en el momento en que el caos del mercado se convirtió en el centro de atención. La presidenta de la Fed de San Francisco, Mary Daly, dijo que la política monetaria está claramente "funcionando de la manera prevista" y que todavía es demasiado pronto para determinar si existe una debilidad real en el mercado laboral. Los datos de empleo del viernes no indican una recesión, agregó el presidente de la Fed de Chicago, Austan Goolsbee. "No deberíamos reaccionar a una sola cifra y siempre deberíamos mirar hacia el futuro", explicó, señalando que todavía no hay recesión a pesar de que la curva de rendimiento lleva dos años invertida. El cofundador de OpenAI, John Schulman, dejará la empresa para unirse a Anthropic, respaldada por Amazon $AMZN, que ha desarrollado Claude, rival de ChatGPT. "Esta decisión surge de mi deseo de profundizar mi enfoque en la alineación de la IA y comenzar un nuevo capítulo de mi carrera en el que pueda volver al trabajo técnico práctico", declaró. La salida de Schulman se produce menos de tres meses después de que OpenAI, respaldada por Microsoft $MSFT, disolviera su equipo de Superalignment, cuyos líderes abandonaron la empresa (uno de ellos se unió a Anthropic). Solo tres de los 11 cofundadores de OpenAI permanecen en la empresa, uno de los cuales se tomará un año sabático hasta fin de año.
A los mercados les cuesta recuperarse de la brutal sesión de la víspera. Los europeos intentaron recuperar a primera hora, tras tocar mínimos de seis meses el lunes. Arrojan dudas referencias económicas en la zona euro. Las ventas minoristas en los 19 países que comparten el euro cayeron un 0,3% en el mes de junio. Se esperaba descenso de una décima. El paneuropeo Stoxx 600 pierde un 0,25%. Los futuros sobre los principales índices americanos rebotan un 0,4%.Las autoridades de la Fed tratan de tranquilizar a los mercados y la presidenta de la entidad en San Francisco, Mary Daly, dice que es "extremadamente importante" evitar que el mercado laboral se incline hacia una recesión. Daly asegura que está dispuesta a recortar los tipos si es necesario y que la política debe ser proactiva. En las materias primas, el oro avanza un 0,2%, a 2.412 dólares la onza, tras perder un 1,5% ayer, y los precios del crudo cotizan estables pese a las preocupaciones por el posible recrudecimiento del conflicto en Oriente Próximo. En Bolsa española, y dentro del Ibex 35, Grifols, ArcelorMittal y Acciona Energías son los valores que más suben. Al frente de los recortes se colocan Cellnex, Santander y Bankinter.
Radical Feminist Retrospectives revisits some of the earliest episodes of Radical Feminist Perspectives, now available on Spotify for the first time. In Episode 5 Marian Rutigliano and Jo Brew discuss 'Gyn/Ecology' by Mary Daly. First broadcast on 1st August 2021. Part of our webinar series Radical Feminist Perspectives, offering a chance to hear leading feminists discuss radical feminist theory and politics. Register at https://bit.ly/registerRFP.
In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, GDP, PCE inflation, the presidential debate, and hedge funds. Speakers: Ather Bajwa, Director of Investment ResearchBrian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed Income 01:37 – The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices reported a 6.3% annual increase for the month of April02:24 – The overall read for the final estimate of real GDP for the first quarter of 2024 came in at 1.4% annualized02:58 – The PCE report for spending and inflation showed income was up 0.5% in May, and overall spending was up at 0.2% - 0.3% (based on inflation adjustments); while year-over-year PCE inflation was up 2.6%04:52 – Comments on market participants' boosted confidence that the Fed will implement two rate cuts in 2024, following the PCE inflation report released today08:33 – Remarks on San Francisco's Federal Reserve President, Mary Daly, and her comments from earlier this week 14:40 – The team dives into hedge funds, what they are, and why they are appropriate for portfolio diversificationAdditional ResourcesKey Question: What is the Investment Case for Traditional Energy | Key Private Bank Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn
Here's what is happening in the markets today, Tuesday June 25th - Nasdaq has its worst day since April amid tech selloff - Nvidia slides 6% after reaching the most valuable U.S. company - Bitcoin dips toward $60,000 mark amidst a broader sell-off. - Dow on pace for negative quarter - Fed's Mary Daly says there's ‘more work to do' before cutting rates- Fed Governor Bowman says she's still open to raising rates - Today: Earnings from FedEx (FDX) and Carnival (CCL) PLUS: How we trade these markets and our current positions This wraps up today's stock market news. If you enjoyed the "Stock Market Today" episode, make sure to subscribe to this podcast. And for more stock market news, visit our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/rockwelltrading2008 #todaysstockmarket #stockmarkettoday #stockmarket
Mary Daly is the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), and is also a 28-year veteran of the Federal Reserve System. President Daly joins David for this special live episode of Macro Musings to talk about her non-linear career path to the world of monetary policy, the long-term economic impacts of AI, the future outlook for Fed policy and the Fed's framework, and much more. Transcript for this week's episode. Mary's Twitter: @MaryDalyEcon Mary's San Francisco Fed profile David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Related Links: *Facts, Fears, and Functionality of NGDP Level Targeting* by David Beckworth Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:01:30) – Mary Daly's Background (00:06:09) – Recent Inflationary Trends and the Future of Fed Policy (00:15:39) – The Trajectory of R-Star Over the Medium to Long-Run (00:19:06) – The Long-Term Economic Impacts of AI (00:29:51) – Expectations for the Upcoming Fed Framework Review (00:33:35) – Prospects for Nominal GDP Targeting at the Fed (00:36:58) – Fed Policymaking During an Election Year (00:38:16) – Audience Q&A Period (01:01:09) – Outro
Los mercados están en rojo ante el temor de que la Reserva Federal mantendrá las tasas altas por más tiempo; resurgimiento del dólar arrasa con otras monedas en mercados emergentes; Mary Daly de la Fed de San Francisco dice que no tiene urgencia por bajar las tasas; Patricia Laya, jefa de las oficinas de Bogotá y Caracas de Bloomberg News, comenta su reportaje sobre como las olas migratorias en la frontera sur del país, arriesga la reelección de Joe Biden. Para leer el reportaje de Patricia Laya: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-16/migracion-arriesga-reeleccion-de-joe-biden?sref=IHf7eRWLPara suscribirse al newsletter Cinco Cosas: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/five-things-spanish?sref=IHf7eRWLMás de Bloomberg en Español:Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/BloombergEspanolWhatsApp: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaFVFoWKAwEg9Fdhml1lTikTok: https://vm.tiktok.com/ZGeuw69Ao/X: https://twitter.com/BBGenEspanol Locución: Laura Millán Lombraña (@lauramillanl)Producción: Eduardo Thomson (@ethomson1) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
U.S. Treasury yields maintain a near fourth-month high while the S&P 500 suffers its worst session since early March as inflation fears persist. San Francisco Fed Chair Mary Daly says rate cuts this year are a ‘projection not a promise'. Taiwan is hit by a magnitude 7.4 earthquake, killing at least four and injuring dozens more in the eastern city of Hualien. Disney has reportedly secured enough votes to defeat activist investor Nelson Peltz's challenge to its board. The results will be unveiled at the company's AGM later today. Tesla shares slump, losing around $13bn in market cap valuation as deliveries decline for the first time in almost 4 years. And according to a poll conducted by Survey Monkey for CNBC, almost half of all adults around the world are stressed by their personal financial security with inflation the key concern. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
More than 260,000 people working in the tech industry were laid off last year, and some CEOs have put at least some of the blame on high interest rates. Policymakers at the Federal Reserve hiked rates at the fastest pace in modern history to beat back inflation. And when rates rise, borrowing money gets more expensive. Marketplace's Lily Jamali sat down with Mary Daly, president and CEO of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, to discuss how the tech industry is navigating through this higher interest rate world and ask about her agency’s role in the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, one year later.
More than 260,000 people working in the tech industry were laid off last year, and some CEOs have put at least some of the blame on high interest rates. Policymakers at the Federal Reserve hiked rates at the fastest pace in modern history to beat back inflation. And when rates rise, borrowing money gets more expensive. Marketplace's Lily Jamali sat down with Mary Daly, president and CEO of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, to discuss how the tech industry is navigating through this higher interest rate world and ask about her agency’s role in the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, one year later.
On this edition of Wall Street Week, Mary Daly, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President shares the factors on her economic dashboard that will tell her when it is time to cut rates. Barbara Reinhard, Voya CIO takes us through this week in the markets and anticipates the Fed's next move. Nadeem Meghji, Blackstone Global Co-Head of Real Estate makes the case for commercial real estate and Lindsay Rosner, Goldman Sachs Asset Management Head of Multi-Sector Investing outlines how fixed income markets react to risks.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
President of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Mary Daly speaks on the recent PCE data, commercial real estate, and state of the economy with Bloomberg's David Westin See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Quintessence by Mary Daly discussed by Marie Long. A live webinar on Sunday 7th Jan 2024 at 10am UK time. Part of our webinar series Radical Feminist Perspectives, offering a chance to hear leading feminists discuss radical feminist theory and politics. Register at https://bit.ly/registerRFP.
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly joins us exclusively, on the heels of Fed Chair Powell saying the central bank is “not confident” it has done enough to bring inflation down. Plus, how much will macro headwinds weigh on consumer spending this holiday season? Bank of America's retail analyst gives us her preview. And Tripadvisor's CEO is here with his outlook on the holiday travel season, and the growth the company is seeing in the “experience economy.”
This week, we're looking at what the Federal Reserve is watching as it plots the course of interest rate hikes. In their most recent meeting, last month, minutes revealed that a majority of Fed members say one more rate hike would be appropriate. We're two weeks away from the next Fed meeting, and investors are paying close attention as the decisions made will play a significant role on consumer spending and banks' deposits. Mary Daly, the president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve, joins us with her take on where the economy stands, and what people are telling her about their personal economic outlooks. With stalled progress in slowing inflation revealed in September's consumer-price index report, the road to two percent may take longer than investors would like. Plus, we're looking ahead to earnings reports coming this week from Goldman Sachs, Netflix, and Johnson & Johnson. Michael Farr, CEO of investment advisory firm Farr, Miller, & Washington, tells us why those are the companies he'll have his eye on this week and what their earnings reports can tell investors about how consumers are spending their money. Further Reading Fed Minutes Show Officials Divided on Future Rate Rise How Banks' Deposit Pressures Could Get Worse, in Three Charts Why Consumers Are Mad About Inflation Even Though It Has Fallen This Inflation Report Won't Let the Fed Declare Victory For more coverage of the markets and your investments, head to WSJ.com.
Special thanks to the Chicago Council on Global Affairs
This week, we have banking and the recent rise in government bond yields in focus. Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve, tells us that the run-up in bond yields means the need for another interest rate hike is “diminished.” But with the September jobs report showing job growth remaining stronger than expected, and the Fed seemingly committed to keep interest rates high, what could that mean for three of the biggest banks, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup, who are set to report earnings this week? And what could it mean for how they handle our money? Then, we're flying into Delta's earnings report, also expected this week, with analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu, who covers the stock for the investment bank Jefferies. How is Delta navigating through the rough skies of high fuel and maintenance costs and the recent controversial changes to its Skymiles program, and what does that say about the state of travel and consumer spending? Plus, we're looking ahead to this week's release of the new Taylor Swift “Eras Tour” concert movie. The movie industry has problems. Could the record-breaking artist's film – and a deal to distribute Beyonce's Renaissance concert movie too – help solve them, and provide AMC shareholders with a blockbuster profit? Further Reading It's a Good Time to Buy Bonds. Just Know What You're Getting Into. Fed Holds Rates Steady but Pencils In One More Hike This Year Costlier Fuel and Labor Cut Into Corporate Profit Taylor Swift Concert Film Brings ‘Eras Tour' to Movie Theaters Will Taylor Swift's ‘Eras Tour' Become the First $1 Billion Tour? For more coverage of the markets and your investments, head to WSJ.com.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3F8Luji More or less, there is one market movement right now, even if it has three parts. Bond yields and the dollar are in the same direction; stocks are in the opposite direction. Those three in those respective relationships are all part of one story, not three different stories. In a nutshell, I remain convinced that the story has become one of quantitative tightening. The Fed is a seller (sort of) of Treasuries, not a buyer (meaning they are not rolling over matured bonds). Global central banks are buying less to support their own currencies. And that leaves individuals and economic buyers who buy at good yields but not lower yields. On Capitol Hill, the race for the new speaker is setting up to be a real circus. I know, you are shocked. Gasoline is down over -20% in the last three weeks! Mary Daly of the San Francisco Fed said in a speech today that, wait for it, holding rates where they are is also restrictive monetary policy! Hmmmm, you don't say. Other than that, it was an uneventful day, and the intra-day swing was only -225 points (the chart visually looks more violent) – all in a flat day. Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly says policymakers can hold interest rates steady if the labor market and inflation continue to cool, or financial conditions remain tight. She spoke at The Economic Club of New York with Bloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
**THIS IS A RE-RELEASE, NERDS!!!***In which we build upon the work of Prof. Kimberlé Crenshaw to think about how race-, gender-, and sexuality-based oppressions overlap and inform how our understandings of religionKeywords: intersectionality, womanism, discrimination, oppressionStorytime: Audre Lorde, "An Open Letter to Mary Daly"As always, be sure to visit keepingit101.com for full show notes, homework, transcripts, & more!
For regular Americans... all we know is that everything seems to be more expensive. But for the Fed... data is everything. Mary Daly, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, is watching the inflation numbers closely. She joins Boyd in studio to discuss the economy, what she's hearing on the ground in her district, and shaping monetary policy moving forward. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Outercourse by Mary Daly discussed by Marie Long and Jo BrewA live webinar on Sunday 3rd Sept 2023 10am UK time. Part of our weekly webinar series, Radical Feminist Perspectives, a chance to hear leading feminists discuss radical feminist theory and politics. This series of webinars is run by radical feminists whose voices have been cancelled or silenced in universities, schools and the media. Frustrated that we cannot share what we know in these places, we are offering this online series of webinars here. Enjoy! ♀♀♀♀♀♀♀♀♀
What were the economic challenges faced by the new state? How did it perform? How did it compare with other newly independent states in Europe? Join History Ireland editor Tommy Graham in discussion with Frank Barry, Mary Daly, Seán Kenny and Mícheál Ó Fathartaigh. The Hedge School series of podcasts is produced by History Ireland and the Wordwell Group. For more information or to subscribe, visit historyireland.com This Hedge School is supported by the Department of Tourism, Culture, Arts, Gaeltacht, Sport and Media under the Decade of Centenaries 2012–2023 initiative. Image: The Shannon Scheme under construction at Ardnacrusha in the late 1920s.
The 1979 death of a young woman, Denise Daly, who fell from a moving grain truck in Carlton County, Minnesota, was initially thought to be a suicide or an accident. That was until an anonymous tip nearly 15 years later connected the incident to the 1983 fire that claimed the life of her sister, Mary Daly, and infant nephew, Christopher Daly, in Superior, Wisconsin. First-degree murder charges against two individuals were dismissed in 1996 because of irregularities in the grand jury proceedings, Sixth Judicial District Judge Donovan Frank ruled. The grand jury returned the indictments about five hours after they watched the O.J. Simpson verdict on TV at the Carlton County Courthouse. "Both cases involved a male member of a racial minority allegedly killing a Caucasian woman with whom he was intimately involved in a brutal fit of rage," Frank wrote in his decision. "The court agrees with the defendants that O.J. Simpson verdict —and the emotions it incited —injected prejudice or the appearance of prejudice into the grand jury deliberations. As a result, this event compromised the integrity of this grand jury process." The State of Minnesota unsuccessfully appealed the trial court's decision Jan. 21, 1997. The arson investigation continued regardless of the decision to drop the incitements in Denise's murder case. New evidence in the arson case surfaced in fall 1995 that eliminated some suspects and raised questions about others, but it remains unsolved. Written by: Brielle Bredsten Hosted by: Trisha Taurinskas Full story: www.inforum.com/thevault
Howie welcomes Paul Sperry of Real Clear Investigations to the show to discuss how San Francisco's Federal Reserve chief Mary Daly is involved. Paul and Howie discuss the ongoing attempts at taking out Trump and the corruption in the Biden administration.
full transcript at kyla.substack.com
Pure Lust by Mary Daly discussed by Jo Brew, Kate Graham and Marie Long A live webinar on Sunday 19th February 2023 10am UK time. Radical feminist perspectives - This series of webinars is run by radical feminists whose voices have been cancelled or silenced in universities, schools and the media. Frustrated that we cannot share what we know in these places, we are offering this online series of webinars here. Enjoy! For a searchable list of all videos click here: RFP - Books for website link.xlsx (womensdeclaration.com) If you have not already registered for this series, register in advance for this webinar: https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_sttBp6aIR-ymhmwkVlO0JA After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar.
A lot of the time, economic policy can seem pretty impersonal — cold, hard, data-driven. But at the heart of the Federal Reserve are people: fallible, complicated people who are just doing their best to steer the economy in the right direction. Often, we remember them just for their economic decisions. But today, we're airing two episodes from our daily economics show The Indicator that profile the people inside the Fed. First, we're heading back to the 1970s to revisit Arthur Burns' oft-criticized stint as Fed chair. Next, we have a conversation with Mary Daly, the current president of the San Francisco Fed, about her remarkable path from high school dropout to one of the most important economic voices in the nation.These two Indicator episodes were originally produced by Viet Le and Brittany Cronin. They were fact-checked by Sierra Juarez and Dylan Sloan and edited by Kate Concannon. The Planet Money version was produced by Dylan Sloan, engineered by Josh Newell and edited by Dave Blanchard.Help support Planet Money and get bonus episodes by subscribing to Planet Money+ in Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org/planetmoney.
Today, a conversation with Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Her family faced the pain of high prices and a turbulent economy decades ago, so she dropped out of high school to earn money. That experience, she says, helps guide her today, as the Fed tries to bring down inflation without sparking a recession.For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.
The New Year Wall Street rally stumbles with the Dow and S&P 500 closing in the red after the Fed Reserve's Raphael Bostic and Mary Daly confirm that although hikes will slow the terminal rate will likely surpass the 5 per cent mark. Markets in China pull back somewhat following the reopening bounce. State officials say that several regions are now past the peak of Covid infections. Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla tells CNBC is could begin to manufacture its Paxlovid dose with a local Chinese partner within a matter of months. French President Emmanuel Macron's government is set to roll out its pension reform plan, putting it on a collision course with unions and left-wing MPs. And in the UK, the government fails to agree a pay deal with various unions, potentially setting up more strike action this winter. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
"Gyn/Ecology" by Mary Daly, discussed by Kate Graham Radical feminist perspectives - This series of webinars is run by radical feminists whose voices have been cancelled or silenced in universities, schools and the media. Frustrated that we cannot share what we know in these places, we are offering this online series of webinars here. Enjoy! If you have not already registered for this series, register in advance for this webinar: bit.y/wdirfp After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar.
In this Real Estate News Brief for the week ending November 12th, 2022… what's next after a really good report on inflation, the NAHB's latest report on housing affordability, and the ten fastest growing U.S. cities.Hi, I'm Kathy Fettke and this is Real Estate News for Investors. If you like our podcast, please subscribe and leave us a review.Economic News We begin with economic news from this past week, and a report on inflation that shows the Fed is making progress with its rate hikes. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a lower-than-expected .4% increase in the October Consumer Price Index which brought the annual rate down to 7.7%. It was 8.2% in September. Stock market investors were pleased that inflation appears to be subsiding, and the Dow closed up more than 1,000 points. But that doesn't mean that the fight is over. Although Fed officials are expressing some amount of optimism, several spoke out about the danger of pausing too soon on the rate hikes. (1)Richmond Fed president Thomas Barkin told CNBC that the Fed had its foot on the gas and is now ready to “pump the brakes.” He explained that likely means the Fed will call for “a slower pace of increases, a longer pace of increase and a potentially higher point.” He sees the Federal Funds rate going as high as 5%, or higher, in smaller increments, before the Fed gets inflation back down to the 2% level. (2)San Francisco Fed president Mary Daly said the CPI report was “indeed good news,” but that 7.7% inflation is still far too high. She said: “It's better than over 8% but it's not close enough to 2 in any way for me to be comfortable. So it's far from a victory.” (3)Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan had similar comments saying the CPI report was “a welcome relief” but that more rate increases are probably needed. She said: “I believe it may soon be appropriate to slow the pace of rate increase so we can better assess how financial and economic conditions are evolving.”The Fed's next meeting in December happens right after the November report on the CPI, so that data will surely impact any rate hike decisions made at that meeting.Mortgage RatesMeanwhile, mortgage rates fell sharply right after the release of the CPI. According to Mortgage News Daily, the average rate on the 30-year fixed-rate loan fell 60 basis points from 7.22% to 6.62%. The Daily's chief operating officer Matthew Graham says: “This is the best argument to date that rates are done rising, but confirmation requires next month's CPI to tell the same story.” (4)Jobless ClaimsThe number of people applying for unemployment was up 7,000 last week to a total of 225,000 initial claims. That's the highest it's been in a month but it's still a low number, although some big companies are announcing layoffs. Jefferies economist Tom Simons says that “Layoff announcements from larger companies have become more frequent. So we are likely to see this number rise in the weeks and months ahead.” Continuing claims were up 6,000 to a total of 1.49 million. (5)In other news making headlines...NAHB: Housing Affordability More Americans are finding it's too expensive to buy a home of their own. The National Association of Home Builders released its third quarter report on housing affordability and it shows that affordability has fallen to its lowest point since the Great Recession. According to the NAHB, just 42.2% of new and existing homes that were sold in Q3 were affordable for families making a median income of $90,000. That percentage was 42.8% in the second quarter. (6)That data includes a drop in the national median home price from $390,000 to $380,000 and an increase in the average mortgage interest rate from 5.33% to 5.72%. Home Equity FallsLower home prices mean that homeowners are also losing some of their equity. According to Black Knight, about $2.5 trillion in home equity has disappeared since May, with the average borrower losing $30,000. Although home equity could fall further, Black Knight's president of data and analytics, Ben Graboske, says that “homeowner positions remain broadly strong.” (7)The report shows that the number of people who are underwater on their loans is only .85%. That's fewer than 500,000 borrowers out of about 53 million U.S. mortgage holders. That's double what it was in May, but it's still considered quite low.Fastest Growing CitiesSome U.S. cities are doing much better than others when it comes to economic growth. The Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise issued a list of the ten fastest growing cities in the nation, and New York is not one of them. (8)It may not surprise you however, that the San Francisco/Bay Area is number one on the list with a 2022 GDP of $1.4 trillion and a GDP growth rate of 4.8%. Austin, Seattle, Raleigh/Durham, and Dallas round out the top five. Denver, Salt Lake City, Charlotte, New Orleans, and Orlando are in the fifth through tenth positions.A few markets that we like for residential investment include the Dallas and Orlando metro areas. The 2022 GDP for Dallas is $682 billion with a 3.1% growth rate. And for Orlando, the GDP is $246 billion with a growth rate of 2.4%.That's it for today. Check the show notes for links. And please remember to hit the subscribe button, and leave a review!You can also join RealWealth for free at newsforinvestors.com to find out more about real estate investing. As a member, you have access to our Learning Center as well as our market data, our experienced investment counselors, and our list of top-notch real estate professionals that can help get you going, or keep you on track, with your investment goals.Thanks for listening. I'm Kathy Fettke.Links:1 -https://www.marketwatch.com/story/coming-up-consumer-price-index-for-october-11668086355?mod=economy-politics2 -https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/04/fed-officials-barkin-and-collins-see-possibility-for-slower-rate-hikes-ahead.html3 -https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/10/fed-officials-welcome-inflation-news-but-still-see-tighter-policy-ahead.html4 -https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/10/mortgage-rates-fall-sharply-to-under-7percent-after-inflation-eases.html5 -https://www.marketwatch.com/story/jobless-claims-tick-higher-in-latest-week-116680877256 -https://eyeonhousing.org/2022/11/unsurprisingly-housing-affordability-continues-to-fall/7 -https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/07/homeowners-lost-1point5-trillion-in-equity-since-may-as-home-prices-drop.html8 - https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/09/fastest-growing-us-cities-kenan-institute.html
I had the incredible opportunity to interview Mary Daly, the President and CEO of the San Francisco Federal Reserve. As we all know, the Federal Reserve is raising rates, shrinking their balance sheet in order to fight inflation - but there are increasing concerns over the consequences that those policy decisions have. People are the economy. The economy is just a bunch of people “peopling” around. That's really important to keep in mind when making policy decisions. We discuss all that and more in this interview - wealth disparity, generational impacts, lessons that the Fed has learned, the concept of data dependency and lagged metrics, as well as the ties between fiscal and monetary policy. All materials in these videos are used for educational purposes and fall within the guidelines of fair use. No copyright infringement intended. If you are or represent the copyright owner of materials used in this video and have a problem with the use of said material, please send me an email, kyla.scanlon@outlook.com DISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax). The owner of this content is not an investment advisor. Discussion of any securities, trading, or markets is incidental and solely for entertainment purposes. Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability. The information in this video is provided as of the date of its initial release. The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy. The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to, this video.
Please join Mary Daly of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco as she discusses the Fed's dual mandate, the pain of high inflation, and the outlook for the U.S. economy. The C. Peter McColough Series on International Economics brings the world's foremost economic policymakers and scholars to address members on current topics in international economics and U.S. monetary policy. This meeting series is presented by the Maurice R. Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies.
The US economy is in some rough waters, inflation is raging, and the uncertainty about the future has consumers and businesses worried. President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Mary C. Daly joins Boyd to discuss what the Fed can do to help, what tools are at their disposal, and how to restore Americans' confidence in the Fed and the economy. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," we talk to Florida Republican Sen. Rick Scott about the party's opposition to the Democrats' economic plan, and former FDA Commissioner Dr. Scott Gottlieb returns to discuss the monkeypox health emergency. And after a surprising July jobs report, we talk to San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President and CEO Mary Daly about what it means for the U.S. economy.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Federal Reserve Chair Just Mocked You Over Inflation. As July Inflation numbers are about to come out Mary Daly the SF Fed Chair was caught poking fun at inflation. Won't find this on CNBC. https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbUdCbmZOVDBrekRtYzJZT29taXpoZlp3dkdqd3xBQ3Jtc0ttRGw0c3RLMXJvcEF5Um5KcTFaMnNhWnBHSHZLbjFDaEx3Y0NvTUFhdVM5QmNFUXEyM3NIS2VXQUdrWDFBQVRWd0JndlpzRXhvQ1JfYUhFaTVNaUZBN3ZGejRfRElKaGE1ellGTmZhQ29vakNDRkR3MA&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fpolitical%2Fi-dont-feel-pain-inflation-anymore-says-wealthy-fed-chair-ivory-tower&v=R34fRRv3XSE
O Ibovespa hoje terminou a terça-feira (2) em alta de 1,11% aos 103.361,70 pontos, após oscilar entre 101.693,98 e 103.659,68 pontos. Na semana e no mês, avança 0,19%, com perda no ano limitada agora a 1,39%. Aos poucos em recuperação, o giro foi hoje aos R$ 25,3 bilhões. No exterior, a cautela voltou a prevalecer nesta segunda sessão da semana, com os investidores ponderando novas declarações de autoridades do Federal Reserve (Charles Evans, de Chicago; Mary Daly, de São Francisco; e Loretta Mester, de Cleveland, para quem “a inflação não esfriou de forma alguma”). Com as declarações, interpretadas como ‘hawkish' pelo mercado, o comportamento dos futuros, na CME, mostrava aumento na chance de que o Fed eleve os juros em 75 pontos-base em 21 de setembro, acima dos 50 pontos-base que vinham, e continuam a ser, majoritariamente precificados pelo mercado.