Central banking system of the United States
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Steve Shultz interviews Dr. Scott Young for a special broadcast of "Prophets and Patriots.” Dr. Scott discusses ending the Federal Reserve System by revaluing the gold, how it works, answers viewers' questions about NESARA, and more. Plus, Andrew Sorchini of Beverly Hills Precious Metals Exchange also joins us to tell us more about buying gold & silver. You can connect with Dr. Scott Young at https://drscottyoung.com and https://t.me/DrScottNESARA Do you have a question for Dr. Scott regarding NESARA? Submit it here and we may select it for an upcoming show: questionsfordrscott.com Connect with Andrew Sorchini at www.bh-pm.com or elijahstreams.com/gold To buy your ElijahStreams silver coins go to: elijahstreams.com/gold For more information and to register for the 2026 Israel Tour visit ElijahStreams.com/Israel26 Thank you for making the always-free Elijah List Ministries possible! Click here to learn how to partner with us: https://ElijahStreams.com/Donate Prefer to donate by mail? Make your check or money order (US Dollars) payable to: “ElijahStreams” and mail it to: ElijahStreams, 525 2nd Ave SW, Suite 629, Albany, OR 97321 USA
The Federal Reserve recently cut its key interest rate for the first time since December 2023. The move marked a shift in monetary policy as the central bank responds to what Fed Chair Jerome Powell described as a “really cooling off” labor market, while continuing to monitor inflation.MPR News guest host Catharine Richert and senior economics contributor Chris Farrell talk about the reasoning behind the Fed's decision and what the rate changes could eventually mean for your credit cards, mortgage, savings account or investments. Guest:Neel Kashkari is president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. It's one of the Federal Reserve System's 12 regional banks with a district that includes Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana, Northern Wisconsin, and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan.Subscribe to the MPR News with Angela Davis podcast on: Apple Podcasts, Spotify or RSS.Use the audio player above to listen to the full conversation.
- Tyler Robinson and the Charlie Kirk Shooting (0:11) - The Trump Administration's Narrative (2:24) - FBI's Role and Evidence Fabrication (4:53) - Historical Comparisons and Future Prospects (9:21) - Economic and Energy Crises (27:35) - Preparation for Energy Crises (40:30) - Robotics and Technology (54:53) - Health and Nutrition (57:44) - Interview with Alex Newman (1:18:43) - Charlie Kirk's Assassination and the Trump Administration's Response (1:22:51) - The Role of George Soros and Subversive Money (1:24:27) - Todd's Research and Alex Newman's Work (1:25:12) - The Demonic Phenomenon and Historical Context (1:28:31) - The Role of Censorship and the Left's Philosophical Bubbles (1:40:42) - The Impact of Charlie Kirk's Death and the Spiritual Battle (1:47:27) - The Rise of AI and Its Implications (1:55:53) - The Role of Decentralization and the Importance of Education (2:11:16) - The Impact of Money and the Federal Reserve System (2:12:06) - The Importance of Individual Action and Responsibility (2:20:46) - Alex Newman's Visit and Gratitude (2:29:55) - Alex Newman's Eidetic Memory and Family (2:34:05) - Decentralization and Future Plans (2:36:30) - Cultural and Political Commentary (2:42:18) - Health and Financial Tips (2:53:05) - Promoting Decentralized Solutions (3:05:57) - Closing Remarks and Future Plans (3:07:27) For more updates, visit: http://www.brighteon.com/channel/hrreport NaturalNews videos would not be possible without you, as always we remain passionately dedicated to our mission of educating people all over the world on the subject of natural healing remedies and personal liberty (food freedom, medical freedom, the freedom of speech, etc.). Together, we're helping create a better world, with more honest food labeling, reduced chemical contamination, the avoidance of toxic heavy metals and vastly increased scientific transparency. ▶️ Every dollar you spend at the Health Ranger Store goes toward helping us achieve important science and content goals for humanity: https://www.healthrangerstore.com/ ▶️ Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://www.naturalnews.com/Readerregistration.html ▶️ Brighteon: https://www.brighteon.com/channels/hrreport ▶️ Join Our Social Network: https://brighteon.social/@HealthRanger ▶️ Check In Stock Products at: https://PrepWithMike.com
The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday decided to lower the target range for the federal funds interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.0 - 4.25 percent, the first rate cut since December 2024, Xinhua News Agency reported on Thursday.据新华社4日报道,美国联邦储备委员会(美联储)于3日决定将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点,至4.0% - 4.25%,这是自2024年12月以来美联储首次降息。Recent indicators suggest that growth of US economic activity moderated in the first half of the year. Job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has edged up. Inflation has moved up and remains elevated to some extent, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the principal monetary policymaking body of the Federal Reserve System, said in a statement after a policy meeting. 美联储主要货币政策制定机构——联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)在货币政策会议后发布的声明中表示,近期数据显示,今年上半年美国经济活动增速有所放缓,就业岗位增长势头减弱,失业率小幅上升,通胀水平有所回升且在一定程度上仍处于高位。"In support of its goals and in light of the shift in the balance of risks, the Committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 4 to 4-1/4 percent," the statement said. "In considering additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks."声明称:“为实现委员会的政策目标,并鉴于风险平衡发生变化,委员会决定将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点,至4% - 4.25%。在考虑对联邦基金利率目标区间进行进一步调整时,委员会将仔细评估未来经济数据、经济前景演变及风险平衡状况。”The FOMC reiterated its commitment to supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2 percent objective, according to the report.声明称:“为实现委员会的政策目标,并鉴于风险平衡发生变化,委员会决定将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点,至4% - 4.25%。在考虑对联邦基金利率目标区间进行进一步调整时,委员会将仔细评估未来经济数据、经济前景演变及风险平衡状况。”US stocks opened barely changed on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.04 percent, the S&P 500 down 0.03 percent and the Nasdaq flat. Major indexes extended losses while Fed chair Jerome Powell made his remarks, before ending mixed at Wedensday's close: the Dow gained 0.57 percent, while the Nasdaq fell 0.33 percent and the S&P 500 slipped 0.1 percent.3日美国股市开盘涨跌互现,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.04%,标准普尔500种股票指数下跌0.03%,纳斯达克综合指数持平。在美联储主席杰罗姆・鲍威尔发表讲话期间,主要股指跌幅扩大,截至当日收盘呈现涨跌分化态势:道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.57%,纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.33%,标准普尔500种股票指数下跌0.1%。In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 1 percent to 6,397.63. Most major Chinese ADRs advanced, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index climbing 2.85 percent, as of press time.香港市场方面,恒生科技指数上涨1%,收于6397.63点。截至发稿时,中国主要美国存托凭证(ADR)多数上涨,纳斯达克金龙中国指数攀升2.85%。The Federal Reserve's latest rate cut comes amid a sluggish US economy, with both job creation and growth showing signs of weakness, Xi Junyang, a professor at the Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, told Global Times on Thursday. 上海财经大学教授奚君羊4日在接受《环球时报》采访时表示,当前美国经济增长乏力,就业创造与经济增长均显现疲软迹象,美联储此次降息正是在此背景下推出的。US businesses added only 22,000 jobs from July to August, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and massive revisions to federal jobs data show that the pace of hiring was notably low in summer 2025, according to a CNBC report on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Fed cut rates while personal consumption expenditures inflation stayed at 2.59 percent, which is above the Fed's target rate of 2 percent.美国劳工统计局数据显示,7月至8月美国企业仅新增2.2万个就业岗位。美国消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC)4日报道称,对联邦就业数据的大幅修正显示,2025年夏季美国就业岗位增长速度明显放缓。与此同时,尽管美国个人消费支出通胀率仍维持在2.59%,高于美联储2%的目标水平,美联储仍选择实施降息。"After ending its tightening cycle in 2023, the Fed's move into an easing phase appears a logical step and signals a more neutral monetary policy stance," Xi Junyang said, adding that lower borrowing costs will help reduce financing costs for companies and households, spurring investment and consumption.奚君羊表示:“在2023年结束紧缩周期后,美联储转入宽松周期是合乎逻辑的一步,这标志着其货币政策立场向中性方向调整。”他补充称,借贷成本下降将有助于降低企业与家庭的融资成本,进而刺激投资与消费。Globally, countries that have yet to ease may now face greater pressure to follow suit, as keeping rates relatively high could weigh on their economies, Xi Junyang said. 奚君羊指出,从全球范围来看,尚未实施宽松政策的国家如今可能面临更大的跟进压力,因为维持相对较高的利率水平或对本国经济造成拖累。The cut will also help eases pressure from the China-US interest-rate differential, supporting the yuan's stability and potentially boosting overseas demand for the yuan-denominated assets, the expert said.这位专家表示,此次降息还将有助于缓解中美利差带来的压力,对人民币汇率稳定形成支撑,并可能提升海外市场对人民币资产的需求。All 12 members of the FOMC, including Lisa Cook and Stephen Miran, attended the meeting. While 11 members voted for the 25-basis-point cut, Miran voted against the action, preferring a 50-basis-point cut, according to Xinhua.据新华社报道,包括莉萨・库克与斯蒂芬・米兰在内的联邦公开市场委员会12名成员均出席了此次会议。其中11名成员投票支持25个基点的降息幅度,米兰则投下反对票,主张将利率下调50个基点。"We see where we are now, and we took that appropriate action today," said Fed Chair Jerome Powell at a press conference after the meeting, per the Xinhua report. Lowering interest rates will help a struggling labor market, where some people are having a hard time finding jobs, Powell said.新华社援引鲍威尔在会后新闻发布会上的讲话称:“我们对当前经济形势有清晰判断,今日采取的行动是恰当的。”鲍威尔表示,降息将对当前陷入困境的劳动力市场起到帮助作用,目前部分人群面临就业困难。Along with its policy decision, the FOMC released updated economic projections, forecasting US real GDP growth of 1.6 percent in 2025, 1.8 percent in 2026, 1.9 percent in 2027, and 1.8 percent in 2028. The Fed also projected the US median unemployment rate would remain at 4.5 percent in 2025, ease to 4.4 percent in 2026, and drop further to 4.3 percent in 2027. 与此同时,联邦公开市场委员会还发布了最新经济预测,预计2025年美国实际国内生产总值(GDP)增长率为1.6%,2026年为1.8%,2027年为1.9%,2028年为1.8%;失业率方面,预计2025年美国中位失业率将维持在4.5%,2026年降至4.4%,2027年进一步降至4.3%。basis pointsn.基点/ˈbeɪsɪs pɔɪnts/moderatedv.放缓;减弱/ˈmɒdəreɪtɪd/elevatedadj.偏高的;升高的/ˈelɪveɪtɪd/differentialn.差额;差值/ˌdɪfəˈrenʃl/
I veckans avsnitt djupdyker vi i den amerikanska centralbankens senaste besked, en sänkning av styrräntan med 0,25 procent. Vi diskuterar historiska paralleller, kapitalflöden och vad det kan innebära för svenska investerare framåt.Investeringar i finansiella instrument är förknippade med risk och en investering kan både öka och minska i värde eller komma att bli värdelös. Historisk avkastning är ingen garanti för framtida avkastning. Ingen del av podcasten skall uppfattas som en uppmaning eller rekommendation att utföra eller disponera över någon typ av investering eller att ingå några andra transaktioner. De uppfattningar som redogjorts för i podcasten återspeglar de medverkandes uppfattning för tillfället och kan således komma att ändras. Informationen i podcasten tar inte hänsyn till någon specifik mottagares särskilda investeringsmål, ekonomiska situation eller behov. Informationen är inte att betrakta som en personlig rekommendation eller ett investeringsråd. Adekvat och professionell rådgivning skall alltid inhämtas innan några investeringsbeslut fattas och varje sådant investeringsbeslut fattas självständigt av kunden och på dennes eget ansvar. Max Matthiessen frånsäger sig allt ansvar för direkt eller indirekt förlust eller skada som grundar sig på användandet av information i podcasten.Ljudklipp: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. (2025, 18 september). Presskonferens med Jerome H. Powell. YouTube. Hämtad från https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ir586zOtEWI
I veckans avsnitt djupdyker vi i den amerikanska centralbankens senaste besked, en sänkning av styrräntan med 0,25 procent. Vi diskuterar historiska paralleller, kapitalflöden och vad det kan innebära för svenska investerare framåt.Investeringar i finansiella instrument är förknippade med risk och en investering kan både öka och minska i värde eller komma att bli värdelös. Historisk avkastning är ingen garanti för framtida avkastning. Ingen del av podcasten skall uppfattas som en uppmaning eller rekommendation att utföra eller disponera över någon typ av investering eller att ingå några andra transaktioner. De uppfattningar som redogjorts för i podcasten återspeglar de medverkandes uppfattning för tillfället och kan således komma att ändras. Informationen i podcasten tar inte hänsyn till någon specifik mottagares särskilda investeringsmål, ekonomiska situation eller behov. Informationen är inte att betrakta som en personlig rekommendation eller ett investeringsråd. Adekvat och professionell rådgivning skall alltid inhämtas innan några investeringsbeslut fattas och varje sådant investeringsbeslut fattas självständigt av kunden och på dennes eget ansvar. Max Matthiessen frånsäger sig allt ansvar för direkt eller indirekt förlust eller skada som grundar sig på användandet av information i podcasten.Ljudklipp: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. (2025, 18 september). Presskonferens med Jerome H. Powell. YouTube. Hämtad från https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ir586zOtEWI
Jimmy Kimmel has seemingly lost his talk show on ABC over his public comments on Charlie Kirk and the person who allegedly murdered him. Was this justified? Is this censorship of free speech? Our dedicated host, Mike Slater, has answers to all of these quandaries and more!Following that first segment, Slater speaks to Breitbart's Economics Editor, John Carney, about various fiscal topics impacting Trump 2.0 including this week's news that the U.S. Federal Reserve System is cutting interest rates for the first time this year! Don't miss this crucial financial conversation! Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Keith discusses the potential takeover of the Federal Reserve by President Trump, highlighting the macroeconomic implications. Economist, author and publisher of Macro Watch, Richard Duncan, joins the show and explains that central bank independence is crucial to prevent political influence on monetary policy, which could lead to excessive money supply and inflation. Trump's policies, including tariffs and spending bills, are inflationary, necessitating lower interest rates. Resources: Subscribe to Macro Watch at RichardDuncanEconomics.com and use promo code GRE for a 50% discount. Gain access to over 100 hours of macroeconomic video archives and new biweekly insights into the global economy. Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/571 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold 0:01 Welcome to GRE. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, the President has a plan to completely take over the Fed, a body that historically stays independent of outside influence. Learn the fascinating architecture of the planned fed seizure and how it's expected to unleash a wealth Bonanza and $1 crash with a brilliant macroeconomist today, it'll shape inflation in interest rates in the future world that you'll live in today. On get rich education. Speaker 1 0:33 Since 2014 the powerful get rich education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from passive real estate investing in the best markets without losing your time being a flipper or landlord. Show Host Keith Weinhold writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad advisors, and delivers a new show every week since 2014 there's been millions of listener downloads in 188 world nations. He has a list show guests include top selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki. Get rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener phone apps build wealth on the go with the get rich education podcast. Sign up now for the get rich education podcast or visit get rich education.com Corey Coates 1:21 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. Speaker 1 1:31 Welcome to GRE from Fairfax, Virginia to Fairfield, California, and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm Keith Weinhold, and you are listening to get rich education. The Federal Open Market Committee is the most powerful financial institution, not only in the nation, but in the entire world, and when an outside force wants to wrestle it and take it down. The change that it could unleash is almost incredible. It's unprecedented. The President wants full control. Once he has it, he could then slash interest rates, order unlimited money creation, and even peg government bond yields wherever he wishes, and this could drive wealth to extraordinary new highs, but this also carries enormous risks for the dollar and inflation and overall financial stability. And I mean, come on now, whether you like him or not, is Trump more enamored of power than Emperor Palpatine in Star Wars or what this is fascinating. Today's guest is going to describe the architecture of the takeover the grand plan. Our guest is a proven expert on seeing what will happen next in macroeconomics. He's rather pioneering in AI as well. But today, this all has so much to do with the future of inflation and interest rates. We're going to get into the details of how, step by step, Trump plans to infiltrate and make a Fed takeover. Keith Weinhold 3:23 I'd like to welcome back one of the more recurrent guests in GRE history, because he's one of the world's most prominent macroeconomists, and he was this show's first ever guest back in 2014 he's worked with the World Bank and as a consultant to the IMF. He's contributed a lot on CNBC, CNN and Bloomberg Television. He's a prolific author. His books have been taught at Harvard and Columbia, and more recently, he's been a guest speaker at a White House Ways and Means Committee policy dinner in DC. So people at the highest levels lean on his macroeconomic expertise. Hey, welcome back to GRE joining us from Thailand as usual. It's Richard Duncan Richard Duncan 4:03 Keith, thank you for that very nice introduction. It's great to see you again. Keith Weinhold 4:08 Oh, it's so good to have you back. Because you know what, Richard, what caught my attention and why I invited you back to the show earlier than usual is about something that you published on macro watch, and it's titled, Trump's conquest of the Fed will unleash a wealth Bonanza, $1 crash and state directed capitalism. I kind of think of state directed and capitalism as two different things, so there's a few bits to unpack here, and maybe the best way is to start with the importance of the separation of powers. Tell us why the Fed needs to maintain independence from any influence of the president. Richard Duncan 4:44 Central banks have gained independence over the years because it was realized that if they didn't have independence, then they would do whatever the president or prime minister told them to do to help him get reelected, and that would tend to lead to excessive money supply. Growth and interest rates that were far too low for the economic environment, and that would create an economic boom that would help that President or politician get reelected, but then ultimately in a bust and a systemic financial sector crisis. So it's generally believed that central bank independence is much better for the economy than political control of the central bank. Speaker 1 5:24 Otherwise we would just fall into a president's short term interests. Every president would want rates essentially at zero, and maybe this wouldn't catch up with people until the next person's in office. Richard Duncan 5:35 That's right. He sort of wants to be Fed Chair Trump. That's right, president and Fed Chairman Trump on the horizon. It looks like won't be long, Now. Speaker 1 5:45 that's right. In fact, even on last week's episode, I was talking about how Trump wants inflation, he won't come out and explicitly say that, of course, but when you look at the majority of his policies, they're inflationary. I mean, you've got tariffs, you've got deportations, this reshaping of the Fed that we're talking about the hundreds of billions of dollars in spending in the one big, beautiful Bill act. It is overwhelmingly inflationary. Richard Duncan 6:12 It is inflationary. And he may want many of those things that you just mentioned, but what he doesn't want is what goes along with high rates of inflation, and that is high interest rates, right? If interest rates go up in line with inflation, as they normally do in a left to market forces, then we would have significantly higher rates of inflation. There would also be significantly higher rates of interest on the 10 year government bond yield, for instance. And that is what he does not want, because that would be extremely harmful for the economy and for asset prices, and that's why taking over the Federal Reserve is so important for him, his policies are going to be inflationary. That would tend to cause market determined interest rates to go higher, and in fact, that would also persuade the Fed that they needed to increase the short term interest rates, the federal funds rate, if we start to see a significant pickup in inflation, then, rather than cutting rates going forward, then they're more likely to start increasing the federal funds rate. And the bond investors are not going to buy 10 year government bonds at a yield of 4% if the inflation rate is 5% they're going to demand something more like a yield of 7% so that's why it's so urgent for the President Trump to take over the Fed. That's what he's in the process of doing. Once he takes over the Fed, then he can demand that they slash the federal funds rate to whatever level he desires. And even if the 10 year bond yield does begin to spike up as inflation starts to rise, then the President can instruct, can command the Fed to launch a new round of quantitative easing and buy up as many 10 year government bonds as necessary, to push up their price and to drive down their yields to very low levels, even if there is high rate of inflation. Keith Weinhold 7:58 a president's pressure to Lower short term rates, which is what the Fed controls, could increase long term rates like you're saying, it could backfire on Trump because of more inflation expectations in the bond market. Richard Duncan 8:12 That's right. President Trump is on record as saying he thinks that the federal funds rate is currently 4.33% he said it's 300 basis points too high. Adjusting would be 1.33% if they slash the short term interest rates like that. That would be certain to set off a very strong economic boom in the US, which would also be very certain to create very high rates of inflation, particularly since we have millions of people being deported and a labor shortage at the moment, and the unemployment rate's already very low at just 4.2% so yes, slashing short term interest rates that radically the federal funds rate that radically would be certain to drive up the 10 year government bond yield. That's why President Trump needs to gain control over the Fed so that he can make the Fed launch a new round of quantitative easing. If you create a couple of trillion dollars and start buying a couple of trillion dollars of government bonds, guess what? Their price goes up. And when the price of a bond goes up, the yield on that bond goes down, and that drives down what typically are considered market determined interest rates, but in this case, they would be fed determined interest rates Trump determined interest rates. Speaker 1 9:28 Inflationary, inflationary, inflationary, and whenever we see massive cuts to the Fed funds rate that typically correlates with a big loss in quality of life, standard of living, and items of big concern. If we look at the last three times that rates have been cut substantially, they have been for the reasons of getting us out of the two thousand.com bubble, then getting us out of the 2000 day global financial crisis, then getting us out of covid in 2020, I mean, massive rate cuts are. Are typically a crisis response Richard Duncan 10:02 yes, but if we look back, starting in the early 1980s interest rates have have trended down decade after decade right up until the time covid hit. In fact, the inflation rate was below the Fed's 2% inflation target most of the time between 2008 the crisis of 2008 and when covid started, the Fed was more worried about deflation than inflation during those years, and the inflation rate trended down. And so the interest rates tended to trend down as well, and we're at quite low levels. Of course, back in the early 1980s we had double digit inflation and double digit interest rates, but gradually, because of globalization, allowing the United States to buy more and more goods from other countries with ultra low wages, like China and now Vietnam and India and Bangladesh, buying goods from other countries with low wages that drove down the price of goods in the United States, causing goods disinflation, and that drove down the interest rates. That drove down the inflation rate. And because the inflation rate fell, then interest rates could fall also, and that's why the interest rates were trending down for so long, up until the time covid hit, and why they would have trended down again in the absence of this new tariff regime that President Trump has put into place. Now, this is creating a completely different economic environment. President Trump truly is trying to radically restructure the US economy. There is a plan for this. The plan was spelled out in a paper by the man who is now the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors. His name is Steven Moran, and the paper was called a user's guide to restructuring the global trading system. It was published in November last year, and it very clearly spelled out almost everything President Trump has done since then in terms of economic policy. It was truly a blueprint for what he has done since then, and this paper spelled out a three step plan with two objectives. Here are the three steps. Step one was to impose very high tariffs on all of the United States trading partners. Step two was then to threaten all of our allies that we would no longer protect them militarily if they dared to retaliate against our high tariffs. And then the third step was to convene a Mar a Lago accord at which these terrified trading partners would agree to a sharp devaluation of the dollar and would also agree to put up their own trade tariffs against China in order to isolate China. And the two objectives of this policy, they were to re industrialize the United States and to stop China's economic growth so that China would be less of a military threat to the United States, which it is currently and increasingly with each passing month. So so far, steps one and two have been carried out very high tariffs on every trading partner, and also threats that if there's any retaliation, that we won't protect you militarily any longer. And also pressure on other countries to put high tariffs against China. The idea is to isolate China between behind a global tariff wall and to stop China's economic growth. So you can see that is what President Trump has been doing. And also in this paper, Stephen Marin also suggested that it would be very helpful if the Fed would cooperate to hold down 10 year government bond yield in this environment, which would naturally tend to push the bond yields higher. So that paper really did spell out what President Trump has done since then. Keith Weinhold 13:59 This is fascinating about this paper. I didn't know about this previously, so this is all planned from tariffs to a Fed takeover. Richard Duncan 14:08 That's right, the idea is to re industrialize the United States. That's what President Trump has been saying for years. Make America Great Again. And it's certainly true that America does need to have the industrial capacity to make steel and ships and pharmaceutical products and many other things in his own national self defense. But there's a problem with this strategy since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system, and we've talked about this before, so I will do this fast forwarding a bit when the Bretton Woods system broke down up until then it broke down in 1971 before then, trade between countries had to balance. So it wasn't possible for the United States to buy extraordinarily large amounts of goods from low wage countries back then, this thing that's caused the disinflation over the last four decades, trade had to balance because on the Bretton Woods system, if we had a big trade deficit. Deficit, we had to pay for that deficit with gold. US gold, and gold was money. So if we had a big trade deficit and had to pay out all of our gold other countries to finance that deficit, we would run out of gold. Run out of money. The economy would hit a crisis, and that just couldn't continue. We'd stop buying things from other countries. So there was an automatic adjustment mechanism under the Bretton Woods System, or under the classical gold standard itself that prevented trade deficits. But once Bretton Woods broke down in 1971 It didn't take us too long to figure out that it could buy extraordinarily large amounts of things from other countries, and it didn't have to pay with gold anymore. It could just pay with US dollars, or more technically, with Treasury bonds denominated in US dollars. So the US started running massive trade deficits. The deficits went from zero to $800 billion in 2006 and now most recently, the current account deficit was $1.2 trillion last year. So the total US current account deficit since the early 1980s has been $17 trillion this has created a global economic boom of unprecedented proportions and pulled hundreds of millions of people around the world out of poverty. China is a superpower now, because of its massive trade surplus with the US, completely transformed China. So the trade surplus countries in Asia all benefited. I've watched that firsthand, since I've spent most of my career living in Asia, but the United States also benefited, because by buying things from low wage countries that drove down the price of goods, that drove down inflation, that made low interest rates possible, that made it easier for the US to finance its big budget deficits at low interest rates, and so with Low interest rates, the government could spend more and stimulate the economy. Also with very low interest rates, stock prices could go higher and home prices could go higher. This created a very big economic boom in the United States as well. Not only did the trade surplus, countries benefit by selling more to the US, but the US itself benefited by this big wealth boom that has resulted from this arrangement. Now the problem with President Trump's plan to restructure the US economy is that he wants to bring this trade deficit back down essentially to zero, ideally, it seems. But if he does that, then that's going to cut off the source of credit that's been blowing this bubble ever larger year after year since the early 1980s and we have such a big global credit bubble that if this source of credit has been making the bubble inflate, the trade deficit, if that were to significantly become significantly lower, then this credit that's been blowing up, the bubble would stop, and the bubble would implode, potentially creating very severe, systemic financial sector crisis around the world on a much, probably a much larger scale than we saw in 2008 and leading to a new Great Depression. One thing to think about is the trade deficit is similar to the current account deficit. So the current account deficit is the mirror image of capital inflows into the United States. Every country's balance of payments has to balance. So last year, the US current account deficit was $1.2 trillion that threw off $1.2 trillion into the global economy benefiting the trade surplus countries. But those countries received dollars, and once they had that 1.2 trillion new dollars last year, they had to invest those dollars back into us, dollar denominated assets of one kind or another, like government bonds or like US stocks, and that's what they did. The current account deficit is the mirror image of capital inflows into the United States. Last year was $1.2 trillion of capital inflows. Now if you eliminate the current account deficit by having very high trade tariffs and bringing trade back into balance, you also eliminate the capital inflows into the United States, and if we have $1.2 trillion less money coming into the United States a year or two from now, that's going to make it much more difficult to finance the government's very large budget deficits. The budget deficits are expected to grow from something like $2 trillion now to $2.5 trillion 10 years from now, and that's assuming a lot of tariff revenue from the tariffs, budget deficit would be much larger still. So we need the capital inflows from these other countries to finance the US budget deficit, the government's budget deficit. If the trade deficit goes away, the capital inflows will go away also, and with less foreign buying of government us, government bonds, then the price of those bonds will fall and the yield on those bonds will go up. In other words, if there are fewer buyers for the bonds, the price of the bonds will go down and the yield on the bonds will go up. In other words, long term interest rates will go up, and that will be very bad for the US Economy Speaker 2 14:08 the yields on those 10 year notes have to go up in order to attract investors. Mortgage rates and everything else are tied to those yields. Richard Duncan 19:36 That's right. And cap rates. When people consider investing in tech stocks, they consider they'll buy fewer stocks if the interest rates are higher. So this is why it's so important for President Trump to conquer the Fed, to take over the Fed. That's what he's doing. Technically, he's very close to accomplishing that. Shall we discuss the details? Speaker 1 20:29 Yes, we should get more into this fed takeover, just what it means for the future of real estate markets and stock markets. With Richard Duncan, more, we come back. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold Keith Weinhold 20:41 the same place where I get my own mortgage loans is where you can get yours. Ridge lending group and MLS, 42056, they provided our listeners with more loans than anyone because they specialize in income properties. They help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your pre qual and even chat with President Chaley Ridge personally. While it's on your mind, start at Ridge lendinggroup.com. 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Text family. 266, 866, Dani-Lynn Robison 22:24 you is freedom family investments co founder, Danny Lynn Robinson, listen to get rich education with Keith Weinhold, and don't quit your Daydream. Speaker 1 22:31 Welcome back to get Education. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, we're talking with macroeconomist Richard Duncan about a Fed takeover. I think the President wants to be Fed Chair Trump, Richard. Talk to us more about this, because this is really part of a grand plan. Richard Duncan 22:57 So the Federal Reserve is in charge of monetary policy. That means it sets the interest rates on the federal funds rate, the short term interest rates, and it also has the power to create money through quantitative easing or to destroy money through quantitative tightening. So the Fed is in charge of monetary policy. The Fed makes its decisions at its it meets eight times a year, the Federal Open Market Committee, the FOMC, meets eight times a year, and they take votes. They discuss what's going on in the economy. They make a decision about what they should do about interest rates, and in some cases, decisions about creating or destroying money through quantitative easing or quantitative tightening. They take a vote. The structure of the Federal Reserve System is as follows. There are seven members of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, so there are seven fed governors there. The Federal Reserve Board is in based in Washington, DC. In addition to that, there are 12 Federal Reserve banks around the country, like the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, for instance, or the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Each of these Federal Reserve Banks have a president, so there are 12 Federal Reserve Bank presidents now at the FOMC meetings where interest rates are decided, all seven fed governors get a vote, but only five Federal Reserve Bank presidents get to vote, and they rotate their votes every year they the following year are different. Five fed presidents get to vote. The Federal Reserve Bank president of New York always gets the vote because New York is such an important financial center, but the other four other presidents keep rotating year after year, and the presidents, 12 presidents, serve five year terms, and they can be reappointed, and their terms expire all at the same time, all on the same day, all of their terms will expire next year on February 28 and they will perhaps be reappointed and perhaps. Be reappointed. So that's the structure, seven Federal Reserve Bank governors and 12 Federal Reserve Bank presidents. All the governors. All seven get to vote at every FOMC meeting, but only five of the Presidents get to vote. So that's a total of 12. The Governors of the Federal Reserve System are the most important the seven. Those seven include the Chairman, Chairman Powell, and this is why they're the most important. They're important because if four of the seven have the power to fire all of the Federal Reserve Bank presidents, if four fed governors vote together, they can fire all 12 Federal Reserve Bank presidents. It only takes four. Only takes four. Then those Federal Reserve Bank presidents would have to be replaced, but the Federal Reserve Board of Governors has to approve the replacements. So if President Trump has four fed governors who will do what he tells them to do, then they can fire all the Federal Reserve Bank presidents and only replace them with other people who will do what President Trump tells them to do. Gosh. So what this means is, if the president can get four Federal Reserve Bank governors out of seven, then he has absolute control over monetary policy. He can do anything he wants with interest rates. He can do anything he wants with quantitative easing. So how many does he have now? Well, he has two that he's appointed, Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman. They voted to cut interest rates at the last FOMC meeting. That was a dissenting vote, because the rest of the voting members voted to hold interest rates steady. Those two have already voted with the President, so they're on Team Trump, and they're going to stay on Team Trump, because both of them would like to become Fed Chairman when Jerome Powell term expires in May next year, very suddenly and very unexpectedly. A month or so ago, another fed Governor resigned. Her name is Adriana Coogler. Her term was not due to expire for another six months, and she'd not given any indication that she was going to resign early, but she did this now gives the President can nominate the Federal Reserve Bank governors. So he is nominated Stephen Moran, the one who wrote the paper the grand plan. Grand plan. He's nominated him to replace Adriana Coogler, yeah, and he's going to vote on him on his appointment, perhaps within very soon, and it only takes 51 senators to vote him in. And since the Republicans control the Senate, he will be approved, it seems very likely that he will be approved, and that will give President Trump the third vote on the FOMC. He will have three out of the seven governors. He only needs one more, and this is where at least the cook comes in. So on the 26th of August, I think President Trump announced that he was firing Lisa Cook, a Fed governor, because she allegedly had made misleading statements on some mortgage applications that have not been proven yet, that they are alleged. So he says that he has fired her. She has said he does not have the right to fire her. The legal cases that the President does have the right to fire a Federal Reserve Bank Governor, but only for cause. And so there's a real question whether this qualifies as being for cause or not, especially since it's only alleged at this point, but assuming that he does get control. So if he does succeed in firing her, he will be able to appoint her replacement, and that will give him four members, four governors out of the seven. And as we just discussed, with four out of seven, he will have complete control over monetary policy, because with four out of seven, that would give him the power to command those four to vote to fire all 12 presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks, and then to appoint new presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks who would vote along with whatever President Trump tells them to vote for. So in that case, with four fed governors, he would have those Four Plus he would have the five presidents that he would appoint from the Federal Reserve Banks voting for him. So five plus four, that is nine, nine out of 12 voting members on the Federal Open Market Committee. He would be guaranteed nine out of 12 votes on the FOMC, and that would give him complete control over monetary policy, and that's what he needs, because his policies are inflationary. They're going to drive up inflation. They're and that's going to push up the 10 year government bond yield, and it would normally make the Fed also increase the federal funds rate, because higher inflation should the Fed in. Increase the interest rates to cool down the higher inflation. But now that's not going to happen, because he is going to take over the FOMC one way or the other. Just by firing Lisa Cook, he's sending a very clear message to all the other fed governors and to the 12 existing Federal Reserve Bank presidents, you do what I tell you or you may be investigated too. You're next, one way or the other, the President is going to get what the President wants, and what he wants is control over monetary policy, and what that means is much lower short term interest rates and probably another very big round of quantitative easing to hold down long term interest rates as well. Keith Weinhold 30:41 That was an amazing architecture and plan that you laid out for how a President can take over the Federal Open Market Committee. That was amazing to think about that, and what we believe he wants you talked about it is potentially quantitative easing, which is a genteel way of saying dollar printing. Is it lowering the Fed funds rate down to, I think 1% is what he desired, and we're currently at about 4.3% Richard Duncan 31:08 that's right. He said he'd like to see the federal funds rate 300 basis points lower, which would put 1.3% we could see a series of very sharp interest rate cuts by the Fed in the upcoming FOMC meetings, so we could see the short term interest rates falling very quickly, but as we discussed a little bit earlier, that would alarm the bond market and investors, because they would realize that much lower interest rates would lead to much higher rates of inflation by overstimulating the economy. And so the 10 year bond yields will move higher for fear of inflation, and that will then force President Trump to command the Fed, to create money through quantitative easing on a potentially trillion dollar scale, and start buying up government bonds to push up their price and drive down their yields, so that the 10 year bond yields and the 30 year bond yields will fall. And since mortgage rates are pegged to the government bond yields mortgage rates will fall, and credit card rates will fall, and bank lending rates will fall, and this will kick off an extraordinary economic boom in the US, and also drive asset prices very much higher and create a wealth Bonanza, Keith Weinhold 32:15 right? And here, Richard and I are talking interestingly, just two days before the next Fed decision is rendered, therefore, with eminent cuts, we could very well see soaring stock and real estate markets fueled by this cheap credit and this quantitative easing, at least in the shorter term. Richard Duncan 32:36 But timing is something one must always keep in mind, there is a danger that we could actually see a sell off in the stock market in the near term. If we start seeing the Fed slashing interest rates, then the 10 year bond yields will start moving higher. That would ultimately lead to quantitative easing to drive those yields back down. But when the falling short term interest rates start pushing up interest rates on the 10 year government bond yield because investors expect higher rates of inflation, that could spook the stock market. The stock market's very expensive, so before QE kicks in, there could actually be a period where raising expectations for higher rates of inflation drive the 10 year bond yields higher before the Fed can step in and drive them back down again. We could actually see a sell off in the stock market before we get this wealth boom that will ultimately result when the Fed cuts the short term rates and then quantitative easing also drives down the long term rates. I hope that's not too confusing. There could be a intermediate phase, where bond yields move higher, and that causes the stock market to have a significant stumble. But that wouldn't last long, because then President Trump would command the Fed to do quantitative easing, and as soon as the president says on television that he's going to do quantitative easing, between the moment he says quantitative and the moment he says easing, the stock market is going to rocket higher. Keith Weinhold 34:05 And here we are at a time where many feel the stock market is overvalued. Mortgage rates have been elevated, but they're actually still a little below their historic norms. The rate of inflation hasn't been down at the Fed's 2% target in years, it's been above them, and we've got signs that the labor market is softening. Richard Duncan 34:25 That's true. The labor market numbers in the most recent job number were quite disappointing, with the revisions to earlier months significantly lower. But of course, with so many people being deported from the United States now, that's contributing to this lower job growth numbers. If you have fewer people, there are fewer people to hire and add to job creation, so that may have some distorting impact on the low job creation numbers. The economy actually is seems to be relatively strong the the. Latest GDP now forecast that the Atlanta Fed does is suggesting that the economy could grow by three and a half percent this quarter, which is very strong. So the economy is not falling off a cliff by any means. If the scenario plays out, as I've discussed, and ultimately we do get another round of quantitative easing and the Fed cuts short term interest rates very aggressively. That will create a very big economic boom with interest rates very low. That will push up real estate prices, stock prices and gold prices and Bitcoin prices and the price of everything except $1 the dollar will crash because currency values are determined by interest rate differentials. Right now, the 10 year government bond yield is higher than the bond yields in Europe or Japan, and if you suddenly cut the US interest rates by 100 basis points, 200 basis points, 300 basis points, and the bond yields go down very sharply, then it'll be much less attractive for anyone to hold dollars relative to other currencies, and so there will be a big sell off of the dollar. And also, if you create another big round of quantitative easing and create trillions of dollars that way, then the more money you create, the less value the dollar has supply and demand. If you have trillions of extra new dollars, then the value of the dollar loses value. So the dollar is likely to take a significant tumble from here against other currencies and against hard assets. Gold, for instance, that's why we've seen such an extraordinary surge in gold prices. Speaker 1 36:38 right? Gold prices soared above three $500 and Richard I'm just saying what I'm thinking. It's remarkable that Trump continues to be surrounded by sycophants that just act obsequiously toward him and want to stay in line and do whatever he says. And I haven't seen anyone breaking that pattern. Richard Duncan 36:59 I'm not going to comment on that observation, but what I would like to say is that if this scenario does play out, and it does seem that we're moving in that direction, then this big economic boom is very likely to ultimately lead to the big economic bust. Every big boom leads to a big bust, right? Big credit booms lower interest rates, much more borrowing by households, individuals, companies. It would while the borrowing is going on, the consumption grows and the investment grows, but sooner or later, it hits the point where even with very low interest rates, the consumers wouldn't be able to repay their loans, like we saw in 2008 businesses wouldn't be able to repay their loans, and they would begin defaulting, as they did in 2008 and at that point, everything goes into reverse, and the banks begin to fail when they don't receive their loan repayments. And it leads to a systemic financial sector crisis. The banks lend less when credit starts to contract, then the economy collapses into a very serious recession, or even worse, unless the government intervenes again. So big boom that will last for a few years, followed by a big bust. That's the most probable outcome, but I do see one other possibility of how that outcome could be avoided, on the optimistic side, and this is it. If once President Trump slash Fed Chairman Trump has complete control over US monetary policy, then it won't take him long to realize Stephen Moran has probably already told him that he would then be able to use the Fed to fund his us, sovereign wealth fund. You will remember, back in February, President Trump signed an executive order creating a US sovereign wealth fund. And this was music to my ears, because for years, as you well know, I've been advocating for the US government to finance a multi trillion dollar 10 year investment in the industries and technologies of the future Keith Weinhold 39:01 including on this show, you laid that out for us a few years ago and made your case for that here, and then Trump made it happen. Richard Duncan 39:08 Let's try my book from 2022 it was called the money revolution. How to finance the next American century? Well, how to finance the next American Century is to have the US, government finance, a very large investment in new industries and new technologies in things like artificial intelligence, quantum computing, nanotechnology, genetic engineering, biotech, robotics, clean energy and fusion, create fusion and everything, world where energy is free, ultimate abundance. So I was very happy that President Trump created this US sovereign wealth fund. Now that he will soon have complete control over his US monetary policy, he will understand that he can use the Fed to fund this, US sovereign wealth fund. He can have the Fed create money through quantitative easing and. And start investing in fusion. We can speed up the creation of the invention of low cost fusion. We could do that in a relatively small number of years, instead of perhaps a decade or longer, as things are going now, we could ensure that the United States wins the AI arms race that we are in with China. Whoever develops super intelligence first is probably going to conquer the world. We know what the world looks like when the United States is the sole superpower. We've been living in that world for 80 years. Yeah, we don't know what the world would look like if it's conquered by China. And China is the control super intelligence and becomes magnitudes greater in terms of their capacity across everything imaginable than the United States is whoever wins the AI arms race will rule the world. This sort of investment through a US sovereign wealth fund would ensure that the winner is the US and on atop it, so it would shore up US national security and large scale investments in these new technologies would also turbocharge US economic growth and hopefully allow us to avoid the bust that is likely to ultimately occur following The approaching boom, and keep the economy growing long into the future, rather than just having a short term boom and bust, a large scale investment in the industries of the future could create a technological revolution that would generate very rapid growth in productivity, very rapid economic growth, shore up US national security, and result in technological miracles and medical breakthroughs, possibly curing all the diseases, cure cancer, cure Alzheimer's, extend life expectancy by decades, healthy life expectancy. So that is a very optimistic outcome that could result from President Trump becoming Fed Chairman Trump and gaining complete control over monetary policy. And this is all part of the plan of making America great again. If he really followed through on this, then he certainly would be able to restructure the US economy, re industrialize it, create a technological revolution that ensured us supremacy for the next century. That's how to finance the next American century. Speaker 1 42:23 Oh, well, Richard, I like what you're leaving us with here. You're giving us some light, and you're talking about real productivity gains that really drives an economy and progress and an increased standard of living over the long term. But yes, in the nearer term, this fed takeover, there could be some pain and a whole lot of questions in getting there. Richard, your macro watch piece that caught my attention is so interesting to a lot of people. How can more people learn about that and connect with you and the great work you do on macro watch, which is your video newsletter Richard Duncan 43:00 Thanks, Keith. So it's really been completely obvious that President Trump was very likely to try to take over the Fed. Nine months ago, I made a macro watch video in December called Will Trump in the Fed, spelling out various ways he could take over the Fed, and why he probably would find it necessary to do so. So what macro watch is is it describes how the economy really works in the 21st Century. It doesn't work the way it did when gold was money. We're in a completely different environment now, where the government is directing the economy and the Fed, or seeing the President has the power to create limitless amounts of money, and this changes the way everything works, and so that's what macro watch explains. It's a video newsletter. Every couple of weeks, I upload a new video discussing something important happening in the global economy and how that's likely to impact asset prices, stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and wealth in general. So if your listeners are interested, I'd encourage them to visit my website, which is Richard Duncan economics.com that's Richard Duncan economics.com and if they'd like to subscribe, hit the subscribe button. And for I'd like to offer them a 50% subscription discount. If they use the discount coupon code, G, R, E, thank you, GRE, they can subscribe at half price. I think they'll find that very affordable. And they will get a new video every couple of weeks from me, and they will have immediate access to the macro watch archives, which have more than 100 hours of videos. Macro watch was founded by me 12 years ago, and I intend to keep doing this, hopefully far into the future. So I hope your listeners will check that out. Keith Weinhold 44:46 Well, thanks, both here on the show and on macro watch Richard gives you the type of insight that's hard to find anywhere else, and you learn it through him oftentimes before it makes the headlines down the road. So. Richard, this whole concept of a Fed takeover is just unprecedented, as far as I know, and it's been so interesting to talk about it. Thanks for coming back onto the show. Richard Duncan 45:08 Thank you, Keith. I look forward to the next time. Speaker 1 45:17 Yeah, fascinating stuff from Richard in the nearer term, we could then see interest rate cuts that would go along with cuts to mortgages and credit card rates and car loan rates and all kinds of bank lending rates. This could pump up the value of real estate, stocks, Bitcoin, gold, nearly everything a wealth bonanza. Now, in polls, most Americans think that the Fed should stay independent from outside control. You really heard about how the President is dismantling the safeguards that protect that fed independence, the strategy he's using to bend the Federal Open Market Committee to His will. And this is not speculation, because, as you can tell, the takeover of the Fed is already underway. A fed governor has been fired. New loyalists are being installed, and key votes are lining up in the President's favor. But as far as the longer term, you've got to ask yourself, if these policies will inflate a giant bubble destined to burst down the road. I mean triggering a crisis as bad as 2008 I mean, these are the very questions that every investor should be asking right now, if you find this in similar content fascinating, and you want to stay on top of what is forward looking what's coming next macroeconomically, check out Richard Duncan's macro watch at Richard Duncan economics.com for our listeners, he's long offered the discount code for a 50% discount that code is GRE, that's Richard Duncan economics.com and the discount code GRE next week here on the show, we're bringing it back closer to home with key us, real estate investing strategies and insights, a lot of ways to increase your income. Until then, I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, don't quit you Daydream. Speaker 3 47:20 Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC, exclusively. Speaker 1 47:40 You You know, whenever you want the best written real estate and finance info, oh, geez, today's experience limits your free articles access, and it's got paywalls and pop ups and push notifications and cookies disclaimers, it's not so great. So then it's vital to place nice, clean, free content into your hands that adds no hype value to your life. That's why this is the golden age of quality newsletters. And I write every word of ours myself. It's got a dash of humor, and it's to the point, because even the word abbreviation is too long, my letter usually takes less than three minutes to read, and when you start the letter, you also get my one hour fast real estate video. Course, it's all completely free. It's called the Don't quit your Daydream letter. It wires your mind for wealth, and it couldn't be easier for you to get it right now. Just text gre 266, 866, while it's on your mind, take a moment to do it right now. Text gre to 66866, Keith Weinhold 48:59 The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth, building, get richeducation.com you.
In November 1910, a group of the most powerful bankers and politicians in America boarded a private train under strict secrecy. Their destination: a private resort on Jekyll Island, Georgia. What began as a supposed “duck hunt” was in reality one of the most consequential secret meetings in U.S. history. Over the course of ten days, representatives of the Rockefeller, Morgan, and Warburg financial dynasties — along with Senator Nelson Aldrich — drafted a plan that would lay the foundation for the Federal Reserve System. This episode uncovers who was there, why secrecy was essential, what they discussed, and how their work set the stage for the Federal Reserve Act of 1913. We reveal the strategies, the families, and the lasting legacy of a meeting shrouded in mystery and suspicion.#JekyllIsland #FederalReserve #BankingHistory #SecretMeeting #Rockefeller #Morgan #Warburg #Rothschild #USHistory #AmericanHistory #FinancialHistory #MoneyAndPower #HiddenHistory #FederalReserveAct #BankingDynasties #EconomicControl #MonetaryPolicy #WallStreetHistory #HistoryUncovered #BehindTheScenes #TheFed #PowerAndMoney #ConspiracyHistory #RoadToJekyllIsland #EconomicPower #TruthRevealed #BankingSecrets #LetstalkNetwork #CentralBank #CurrencyControl #HistoryMatters #PoliticalHistory #MoneyTalks #EconomicHistory #FinanceReform #NationalMonetaryCommission #PanicOf1907 #SecretHistory #BankingElite #SystemOfPower
Send us a textIn this emergency episode of The Skinny on Wall Street, Kristen and Jen dive into the breaking news that President Trump has moved to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over accusations of mortgage fraud. Using this moment as a springboard, they break down the fundamentals of how the Fed works, why its independence is so important, and how politics intersects with monetary policy.The discussion covers the structure of the Federal Reserve System, the difference between Governors and Presidents, and how the powerful Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets interest rates. Kristen and Jen also explain the Fed funds rate, the dot plot, and the toolkit the central bank uses to manage short-term and long-term rates.Finally, they unpack the risks of political interference in the Fed, why central bank credibility rests as much on perception as on reality, and what this unprecedented move could mean for the future of U.S. monetary policy. Equal parts explainer and commentary, this episode is a must-listen for anyone trying to make sense of the headlines, and the institution at the heart of America's financial system.00:00 – Intro & why we're doing an emergency Fed episode 02:15 – What is the Federal Reserve? 06:10 – Governors vs. Presidents: who does what? 11:45 – How the FOMC is structured and how voting works 16:30 – Fed appointments: who nominates and who confirms 21:15 – Why central bank independence matters 27:50 – The Fed's dual mandate explained 32:40 – How the Fed funds rate is set (and why it's a range) 40:20 – Tools in the Fed's toolkit: reserves, repos, and QE/QT 48:30 – Short-term vs. long-term rates and the yield curve 55:00 – Politics, perception, and the risks of interference 1:02:15 – Lisa Cook, Trump, and the “for cause” firing question 1:12:00 – The dot plot: what it is and why it matters 1:19:30 – Closing thoughts: independence, expectations, and the Fed's futureFor a 14 day FREE Trial of Macabacus, click HERE For 20% off Deleteme, use the code TWSS or click the link HERE! Our Investment Banking and Private Equity Foundations course is LIVEnow with our M&A course included! Shop our LIBRARY of Self Paced Online Courses HEREJoin the Fixed Income Sales and Trading waitlist HERE Our content is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
Nate Kaufman, Omaha Branch Executive of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, joins hosts Todd Kuethe and Chad Fiechter in this episode of the Purdue Commercial AgCast. Kaufman explains the structure and function of the Federal Reserve System, including the roles of the Board of Governors, the 12 regional reserve banks, and their respective branch offices, and shares how monetary policy is set and the importance of regional input in policy decisions. Kaufman highlights his role in representing Nebraska and the agricultural sector, ensuring their unique economic conditions are considered in national policy discussions. The episode also touches on the use of data and industry interaction in formulating economic insights. Additionally, Kaufman shares anecdotes and practical experiences, emphasizing the Fed's commitment to transparency and public engagement. Podcast provided by Purdue University's Center for Commercial Agriculture. For more farm management information and insights, visit us at http://purdue.edu/commercialag.
Don‘t kid ourselves. The federal government is hurtling toward disaster with its destructive activities underwritten by the Federal Reserve System. It‘s best that we know how to protect ourselves from the consequences.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/political-machine-rolls-regardless
Don‘t kid ourselves. The federal government is hurtling toward disaster with its destructive activities underwritten by the Federal Reserve System. It‘s best that we know how to protect ourselves from the consequences.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/political-machine-rolls-regardless
Jacob and Rob Larity dive deep into U.S. interest rate dynamics, focusing on Jerome Powell, Trump's criticism of the Fed, and the potential political and market-driven forces affecting rate decisions. They explore Fed mechanics, historical precedent for presidential interference, and potential appointments like Scott Bessent. They also examine the inflationary impact of trade policy, tariff theatrics, and global economic slowdown signals. The episode concludes with Rob's investment outlook—bearish on bonds, cautious on equities, and optimistic about international and niche small-cap opportunities.--Timestamps:(00:00) - Introduction(00:13) - Discussion on Interest Rates and Political Interference(01:29) - Casual Conversation and Personal Updates(02:54) - Focus on Jerome Powell and Fed Criticism(09:54) - Mechanics of the Federal Reserve System(14:55) - Historical Context and Presidential Influence on the Fed(25:35) - Scott Bessant's Role and Potential Impact(33:58) - Critique of Janet Yellen's Bond Strategy(35:02) - Challenges of Managing National Debt(35:40) - Market Reactions and Yield Predictions(39:49) - Impact of Tariffs and Trade Deals(44:26) - Inflation and Economic Indicators(57:15) - Investment Strategies in Current Market(01:08:28) - Concluding Thoughts and Recommendations--Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.comJacob Shapiro LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/jacob-l-s-a9337416Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShapJacob Shapiro Substack: jashap.substack.com/subscribe --The Jacob Shapiro Show is produced and edited by Audiographies LLC. More information at audiographies.com --Jacob Shapiro is a speaker, consultant, author, and researcher covering global politics and affairs, economics, markets, technology, history, and culture. He speaks to audiences of all sizes around the world, helps global multinationals make strategic decisions about political risks and opportunities, and works directly with investors to grow and protect their assets in today's volatile global environment. His insights help audiences across industries like finance, agriculture, and energy make sense of the world.--This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp
Maandag 16 juni:Om naar uit te kijken met Danny Reweghs:Donderdag is uitkijken naar de detailhandelsverkopen uit de VS, want die vertellen ons meer over de impact van het beleid van president Trump.En we staan ook stil bij het consumentenvertrouwen in Europa, want dat zakte fors na de inval van Rusland in Oekraïne. Eind vorig jaar leek het vertrouwen hersteld, maar blijft het ook overeind?Meer dan ooit zullen de schijnwerpers op Jereme Powell gericht staan, want de FED komt deze week weer bijeen om over de Amerikaanse rente te beslissen. Laat hij zich intimideren door Trump of zal hij de onafhankelijkheid beklemtonen? Z 7 op 7 is de nieuwe dagelijkse podcast van Kanaal Z en Trends. Elke ochtend, vanaf 5u30 uur luistert u voortaan naar een selectie van de meest opmerkelijke nieuwsverhalen, een frisse blik op de aandelenmarkten en een scherpe duiding bij de economische en politieke actualiteit door experts van Kanaal Z en Trends.Start voortaan elke dag met Z 7 op 7 en luister naar wat echt relevant is voor uw business, onderneming, carrière en geld.
Peter Conti-Brown is a historian and legal scholar of the Federal Reserve System, and an associate professor at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. Sean Vanatta is a senior lecturer in financial history and policy at the University of Glasgow. Peter and Sean join the show to discuss their new book titled: Private Finance, Public Power: A History of Bank Supervision in America, as well as how powerlifting can be analogized in macroeconomics, and the implications of Trump v. Wilcox. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on May 27th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:02 - Powerlifting 00:06:17 - Trump v. Wilcox 00:12:27 - Private Finance, Public Power 00:15:18 - Supervision vs. Regulation 00:22:52 - Banking in the Early Republic 00:36:10 - Consolidation of Regulators 00:41:06 - Focus of the Fed 00:45:00 - The Great Depression 00:56:10 - When to Let a Bank Fail 01:02:47 - Outro
The Capitalism and Freedom in the Twenty-First Century Podcast
Jon Hartley and Randal Quarles discuss Randy's career as a lawyer and in policy (including his time as Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Regulation) and topics such as the global financial crisis, Glass-Steagall, banking regulation, lender of last resort, Basel III, the Dodd-Frank Act, capital requirements, the potential relaxation of Treasuries in the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR), deposit insurance after the Silicon Valley Bank regional banking crisis, and stablecoin regulation. Recorded on May 29, 2025. ABOUT THE SPEAKERS: Randal Quarles is the Chairman and co-founder of The Cynosure Group. Before founding Cynosure, Mr. Quarles was a long-time partner of the Carlyle Group, where he began the firm's program of investments in the financial services industry during the 2008 financial crisis. From October 2017 through October 2021, Mr. Quarles was Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve System, serving as the system's first Vice Chairman for Supervision, charged specifically with ensuring stability of the financial sector. He also served as the Chairman of the Financial Stability Board (“FSB”) from December 2018 until December 2021; a global body established after the Great Financial Crisis to coordinate international efforts to enhance financial stability. In both positions, he played a key role in crafting the US and international response to the economic and financial dislocations of COVID-19, successfully preventing widespread global disruption of the financial system. As FSB Chairman, he was a regular delegate to the finance ministers' meetings of the G-7 and G20 Groups of nations and to the Summit meetings of the G20. As Fed Vice Chair, he was a permanent member of the Federal Open Market Committee, the body that sets monetary policy for the United States. Earlier in his career, Mr. Quarles was Under Secretary of the U.S. Treasury, where he led the Department's activities in financial sector and capital markets policy, including coordination of the President's Working Group on Financial Markets. Before serving as Under Secretary, Mr. Quarles was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs, where he had a key role in responding to several international crises. Mr. Quarles was also the U.S. Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund, a member of the Air Transportation Stabilization Board, and a board representative for the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation. In earlier public service, he was an integral member of the Treasury team in the George H. W. Bush Administration that developed the governmental response to the savings and loan crisis. Jon Hartley is currently a Policy Fellow at the Hoover Institution, an economics PhD Candidate at Stanford University, a Research Fellow at the UT-Austin Civitas Institute, a Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity (FREOPP), a Senior Fellow at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, and an Affiliated Scholar at the Mercatus Center. Jon is also the host of the Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century Podcast, an official podcast of the Hoover Institution, a member of the Canadian Group of Economists, and the chair of the Economic Club of Miami. Jon has previously worked at Goldman Sachs Asset Management as a Fixed Income Portfolio Construction and Risk Management Associate and as a Quantitative Investment Strategies Client Portfolio Management Senior Analyst and in various policy/governmental roles at the World Bank, IMF, Committee on Capital Markets Regulation, U.S. Congress Joint Economic Committee, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and the Bank of Canada. Jon has also been a regular economics contributor for National Review Online, Forbes, and The Huffington Post and has contributed to The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, USA Today, Globe and Mail, National Post, and Toronto Star, among other outlets. Jon has also appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, Fox News, Bloomberg, and NBC and was named to the 2017 Forbes 30 Under 30 Law & Policy list, the 2017 Wharton 40 Under 40 list, and was previously a World Economic Forum Global Shaper. ABOUT THE SERIES: Each episode of Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century, a video podcast series and the official podcast of the Hoover Economic Policy Working Group, focuses on getting into the weeds of economics, finance, and public policy on important current topics through one-on-one interviews. Host Jon Hartley asks guests about their main ideas and contributions to academic research and policy. The podcast is titled after Milton Friedman‘s famous 1962 bestselling book Capitalism and Freedom, which after 60 years, remains prescient from its focus on various topics which are now at the forefront of economic debates, such as monetary policy and inflation, fiscal policy, occupational licensing, education vouchers, income share agreements, the distribution of income, and negative income taxes, among many other topics.
The collapse of the Democrat establishment is accelerating—from the implosion of ActBlue and USAID to the mass exodus from legacy media. Once-powerful funding and propaganda networks are crumbling, and the American public is waking up to a new political reality. Featuring insights from Bret Weinstein and Joe Rogan, plus breaking news of yet another party defection and the surging GOP economy, this episode breaks it all down.--Head to http://twc.health/turley and use code TURLEY to SAVE $75 off plus Free Shipping*The content presented by sponsors may contain affiliate links. When you click and shop the links, Turley Talks may receive a small commission.* Leave a message for Steve! Call now! 717-844-5984Highlights:“Media trust is at an all-time low. Seven in 10 Americans distrust the legacy media.”“The Atlanta Fed, one of the 12 regional banks that make up the Federal Reserve System, is now predicting that the real GDP growth for Q2 is going to hit 4.6%... The economy is exploding!”“This is a new health report that's making the rounds on social media: those who are purported to be in excellent mental health are 51% conservative, all the while those who are in poor mental health, neurotics, are purported to be 45% liberal.”Timestamps: [00:21] Bret Weinstein and Joe Rogan's take on the fall of Democrat-backed institutions[02:53] Media trust implodes, plus their complicity in covering up Biden's decline[05:36] The poll showing the fallout from the total implosion in the Democrat infrastructure[08:38] The populist realignment of working-class voters[12:44] Kentucky Democrat Robin Webb's party switch to GOP--Thank you for taking the time to listen to this episode. If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe and/or leave a review.FOLLOW me on X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/DrTurleyTalksSign up for the 'New Conservative Age Rising' Email Alerts to get lots of articles on conservative trends: https://turleytalks.com/subscribe-to-our-newsletter**The use of any copyrighted material in this podcast is done so for educational and informational purposes only including parody, commentary, and criticism. See Hosseinzadeh v. Klein, 276 F.Supp.3d 34 (S.D.N.Y. 2017); Equals Three, LLC v. Jukin Media, Inc., 139 F. Supp. 3d 1094 (C.D. Cal. 2015). It is believed that this constitutes a "fair use" of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.
"Only the Federal Reserve System was designed to survive and take over all assets and banking activities. Only the Federal Reserve Banks and those selected and controlled by the Federal Reserve were allowed to reopen. The Federal Reserve was also indemnified by the government, i.e. the public, for any losses. And so, large-scale closure of banks and taking of bank deposits is not unprecedented. Holders of cash in banks are unsecured creditors, with no enforceable claim to their money. [...] All deposits and assets will be taken by the "protected class" of secured creditors. This is where it is going." ~ David Rogers Webb Its time for the conclusion of "The Great Taking," In Part 4 we explore how the 1933 Bank Holiday wasn't a rescue, but a carefully orchestrated wealth transfer that created the template for today's coming collapse. With derivatives worth more than the entire global economy "backed" by comically unfunded FDIC insurance, and central bank digital currencies ready to replace the old system with absolute control, are we witnessing the final phase of the greatest theft in human history? Check out the original article The Great Taking by David Rogers Webb. (Link: https://thegreattaking.com/read-online-or-download) Bitcoin Audible & Guy Swann Links Guy on Nostr (Link: http://tinyurl.com/2xc96ney) Guy on X (Link: https://twitter.com/theguyswann) Guy on Instagram (Link: https://www.instagram.com/theguyswann) Guy on TikTok (Link: https://www.tiktok.com/@theguyswann) Guy on YouTube (Link: https://www.youtube.com/@theguyswann) Bitcoin Audible on X (Link: https://twitter.com/BitcoinAudible) The Guy Swann Network Broadcast Room on Keet (Link: https://tinyurl.com/3na6v839) Check out our awesome sponsors! HRF: The Human Rights Foundation is a nonpartisan, nonprofit organization that promotes and protects human rights globally, with a focus on closed societies. Subscribe to HRF's Financial Freedom Newsletter today. (Link: https://mailchi.mp/hrf.org/financial-freedom-newsletter) OFF: The Oslo Freedom Forum (OFF) is an international human rights conference series hosted and produced by the Human Rights Foundation (HRF). Bringing together the world's most engaging human rights advocates, journalists, artists, tech entrepreneurs, and world leaders, we aim to share their stories and brainstorm ways to expand freedom and unleash human potential across the globe. Don't miss this year's Oslo Freedom Forum in May. (Link: https://oslofreedomforum.com/event/oslo-freedom-forum-2025/) Pubky: Pubky is building the next web, a decentralized system designed to put control back in your hands. Escape censorship, algorithmic manipulation, and walled gardens by owning your identity and data. Explore the Pubky web and become the algorithm today. (Link: https://pubky.org/) Trying to BUY BITCOIN? River: Secure, trusted, bitcoin only, lightning enabled, simple. (Link: https://bitcoinaudible.com/river)
What are tariffs really used for? For economic protection? For political gain? For enforcing foreign policy? In this interview, I discuss the following with my guest scholar: ►Why James Madison foresaw tariffs as an inevitable source of conflict? ►In U.S. history, did Americans ever complain that tariffs are really a tax on the people? ►What was the first instance in which tariffs were used as a foreign policy tool? ►What is the Tariff of Abominations? ►How did tariffs backfire on Southern politicians? ►How are tariffs and secession movements related? ►Were tariffs part of Civil War's history? ►What powers did Congress grants to FDR over tariffs? ►What part of U.S. history does Pres. Trump point to as justification for his tariff policy? ►What was Pres. Reagan's tariff policy? ►How is tariff policy with the USSR different than our tariff policy toward China?
Interview recorded - 23rd of April, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I have the pleasure of welcoming on G.Edward Griffin. G.Edward is the author of the “Creature from Jekyll Island”.During our conversation we spoke about the creation of the FED, the goals of the Federal Reserve, concentration of wealth, their true purpose and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:48 - Creature from Jekyll Island16:50 - Goals of Federal Reserve20:37 - Concentration of wealth22:55 - Inevitable issue?30:07 - One message to takeaway?G.Edward Griffin is a writer, documentary film producer, and Founder of Freedom Force International. Listed in Who's Who in America, he is well known because of his talent for researching difficult topics and presenting them in clear terms that all can understand.He has dealt with such diverse subjects as archaeology and ancient Earth history, the Federal Reserve System and international banking, terrorism, internal subversion, the history of taxation, U.S. foreign policy, the science and politics of cancer therapy, the Supreme Court, and the United Nations.His better-known works include The Creature from Jekyll Island, World without Cancer, The Discovery of Noah's Ark, Moles in High Places, The Open Gates of Troy, No Place to Hide, The Capitalist Conspiracy, More Deadly than War, The Grand Design, The Great Prison Break, and The Fearful Master.Ed is a graduate of the University of Michigan where he majored in speech and communications. He is a recipient of the coveted Telly Award for excellence in television production, the creator of the Reality Zone Audio Archives, Publisher of Need to Know News, and is President of American Media, a publishing and video production company in Southern California.He has served on the board of directors of The National Health Federation and The International Association of Cancer Victors and Friends and is Founder and President of The Cancer Cure Foundation. He is the Founder of Freedom Force International and creator of Red Pill University, Red-Pill Expos, and Rabbit-Hole Expeditions. The mission of these Red-Pill and Rabbit-Hole endeavors is far more serious than they may sound. It is to popularize a global coalition for the victory of individualism over collectivism and liberty over tyranny.G.Edward Griffin -Books - https://www.amazon.co.uk/stores/author/B001KMN0ZE/allbooks?ingress=0&visitId=b1eec423-031e-4b54-bc55-36a468ab30a2Political reading - https://g-edward-griffin.aweb.page/p/6aa8c83b-e074-4d45-a899-c75e28acecd6WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseasThumbnail image from - https://www.fairobserver.com/economics/horrific-jobs-report-suggests-that-a-us-recession-now-looms/
The (Express)Way to Segregation: Evidence from Chicago (Sara Bagagli) Sara Bagagli is an Assistant Professor of Real Estate Economics and Finance at London School of Economics and Political Science. Her research contributes to our understanding of what drives the (unequal) distribution of people and economic activity across space, focusing on the role of transportation infrastructure and urban forms. Her 2023 paper, The (Express)Way to Segregation: Evidence from Chicago, examines the long-established view that highways acted to increase segregation. Did expressways increase racial segregation in urban centers? Professor Bagagli establishes that expressways contributed to racial segregation in Chicago through two channels: (1) local price and amenity effects and (2) barrier effects. From these findings, she then constructs a structural urban model to study the link between urban barriers and racial preferences in shaping the allocation of people across space. Appendices: Sara Bagagli: Ann Petry, The Street. Greg Shill: Pete Saunders, Two Chicagos, Defined. Jeff Lin: Hammond's Pictorial Travel Atlas of Scenic America. Follow us on the web or on “X,” formerly known as Twitter: @denselyspeaking. Jeff and Greg can be found on Bluesky at @jeffrlin.bsky.social, and @gregshill.com. Producer: Nathan Spindler-Krage The views expressed on the show are those of the participants, and do not necessarily represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, the Federal Reserve System, or any of the other institutions with which the hosts or guests are affiliated.
**Discussion begins at 4:08**We are taking another look at the infamous sinking of the Titanic - This time discussing the conspiracy theory that the sinking was intentionally planned to ensure the success of the Federal Reserve. Was the sinking orchestrated to eliminate individuals who opposed the creation of the Federal Reserve System? Several wealthy men, including John Jacob Astor IV, Isidor Straus, and Benjamin Guggenheim, were all aboard the Titanic and died in the disaster. Today, they would be worth a combined 11 billion dollars. What else did they have in common? All three allegedly opposed the passage of the Federal Reserve Act, which aimed to centralize control of US monetary policy. The sinking of the Titanic occurred in April 1912, and the Federal Reserve Act was signed into law just over a year later in December 1913. Is this merely a coincidence? Or was there something more sinister at play?Send us a textSupport the showTheme song by INDA
Stuart McMillan speaks with Amanda Geiger from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis about how the Federal Reserve System operates through its 12 district banks. Amanda explains how regional presidents contribute to policy-making bodies like the FOMC, using real-time insights from community engagement, advisory boards, and industry councils. Learn how tools like the Beige Book give the public a transparent view of economic trends and Fed policies in action.
Procurement and Infrastructure Costs (Zach Liscow) Zach Liscow is Professor of Law at Yale Law School. From 2022-23, he was the Chief Economist at the White House Office of Management and Budget. We discuss his recent article, Procurement and Infrastructure Costs (with William Nober and Cailin Slattery), which collects new project-level data and surveys of state DOT officials to document variation in infrastructure procurement costs across states and identify cost drivers, including capacity and competition. Appendices: Zach Liscow: Robert Kagan, Adversarial Legalism Greg Shill: Brian Potter, Why Can't the U.S. Build Ships? Jeff Lin: Abhay Aneja & Guo Xu, Strengthening State Capacity: Civil Service Reform and Public Sector Performance during the Gilded Age Follow us on the web or on “X,” formerly known as Twitter: @denselyspeaking. Jeff, Greg, and Zach can be found on Bluesky at @jeffrlin.bsky.social, @gregshill.com, and @zliscow.bsky.social. Producer: Nathan Spindler-Krage The views expressed on the show are those of the participants, and do not necessarily represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, the Federal Reserve System, or any of the other institutions with which the hosts or guests are affiliated.
Representative Thomas Massie has introduced the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act, HR 1846, which, as the title states, seeks to abolish the federal reserve system. This is a bold move! Is this the right move for the country? Let's discuss the wild history of the Federal Reserve and get you up to speed about this controversial NON-government entity. SUBSCRIBE TO THE YOUTUBE: https://www.youtube.com/@rebunked Get my New Album “Universal Basic Awesome” with unreleased track and MERCH at https://RebunkedRecords.com ALL THE MUSIC VIDEOS: https://youtube.com/@RebunkedRecords INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/rebunkednew TWITTER: https://twitter.com/rebunkednews Start your Heavy Metal Detox: https://TruthTRS.com Tip Jar: https://GiveSendGo.com/Rebunked Rebunked on Substack: https://Rebunked.substack.com Rebunked News is happy to shout out: Supercharge your health with the amazing supplements at Chemical Free Body! https://chemicalfreebody.com/?rfsn=7505813.fa2d09 VALUE-FOR-VALUE DONATION: https://Rebunked.news VENMO: https://account.venmo.com/u/rebunked CASHAPP: https://cash.app/$rebunked PAYPAL: https://Paypal.me/Rebunked T-SHIRTS: https://Rebunked.news/Shirts TELEGRAM: https://t.me/Rebunkednews
In this episode, Kate and Ben discuss the current economy and what the new presidential administration has done to effect the economy. Research/Resources:“Global economic outlook, January 2025” by Ira Kalish. Published in Deloitte website January 24, 2025 and available on https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/global-economic-outlook-2025.html“Global Growth: Divergent and Uncertain” by International Monetary Fund. Published in International Monetary Fund website January 2025 and available on https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2025/01/17/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2025“Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement” by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Published in Federal Reserve website January 29, 2025 and available on https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20250129a.htm“Fed holds rates steady, takes less confident view on inflation” by Jeff Cox. Published in CNBC website January 29, 2025 and available on https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/29/fed-rate-decision-january-2025.html“US jobs report: Employers add 143,00 jobs in January as unemployment rate sits at 4%” by Paul Davidson. Published in USA Today website February 7, 2025 and available on https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2025/02/07/jobs-report-january-data/78315117007/ “Unleashing American Energy Executive Order”. Published in U.S. White House website January 20, 2025 and available on https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/unleashing-american-energy/ “U.S. economy added just 143,000 jobs in January but unemployment rate fell to 4%” by Jeff Cox. Published in CNBC website February 7, 2025 and available on https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/07/jobs-report-january-2025.html “Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent wants to bypass the Fed to lower interest rates” by Bryan Mena and Elisabeth Buchwald. Published in CNN website February 6, 2025 and available on https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/06/economy/bessent-interest-rates-without-fed/index.html Check out our website at http://artofdiscussing.buzzsprout.com, on Facebook at Art of Discussing and on Instagram @artofdiscussing.Got a topic that you'd like to see discussed? Interested in being a guest on our show? Just want to reach out to share an opinion, experience, or resource? Leave us a comment below or contact us at info@artofdiscussing.com!! We'd love to hear from you! Keep Discussing!Music found on Pixabay. Song name: "Clear Your Mind" by Caffeine Creek Band"
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found Click On Picture To See Larger Picture The old Federal Reserve system is imploding. The [CB] are in trouble. Trump is now putting all the pieces in place and he is dismantling the Federal Reserve System. Trump is continually added more pieces to the puzzle to remove the people from the system and create a new system that will fund the government. The [DS] is in a panic today, Pam Bondi continually threatened the [DS] with the Epstein client list and she was able to expose the sleepers in NY Fed office. Kash and Pam are now investigating. We are in an information war and this was a test to see what ammunition the [DS] has. Phase I complete of Epstein release, moving to the next phase. (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:13499335648425062,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-7164-1323"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="//cdn2.customads.co/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Economy Initial Unemployment Claims Spike by 22,000 Not DOGE Related Unemployment claims jumped but it's not Federal in nature. In the week ending February 22, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 242,000, an increase of 22,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 219,000 to 220,000. The 4-week moving average was 224,000, an increase of 8,500 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 250 from 215,250 to 215,500. Initial Claims and 4-Week Average DOGE, Random, or Something Else? The Department of Labor data rules out DOGE. Source: mishtalk.com US Pending Home Sales Collapse To Record Lows Pending home sales tumbled 4.6% MoM in January (after dropping 4.2% MoM in December), dramatically worse than the 0.9% MoM decline expected and dragging YoY sales down 5.2%... Source: Bloomberg This drop pushed pending home sales index to its all-time lows... Contract signings tumbled 9.2% in the South - the biggest home-selling region in the country - parts of which experienced historic snowfall. That marked the biggest drop since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic. Worse still, home prices continue to rise and squeeze would-be buyers. c Source: zerohedge.com Eli Lilly Announces Plan To Invest $27 Billion In America Amid Trump Tariff Threats Eli Lilly announced that it plans to more than double its U.S. manufacturing investment this year to $50 billion as President Trump threatens to place tariffs on pharmaceutical imports. The drug giant plans to begin building four domestic manufacturing locations in 2025 and add 13,000 high-wage manufacturing and construction jobs, according to a press release. The company claimed the plans account for the largest pharmaceutical manufacturing investment in U.S. history.
How Much Road Does America Have? (Erick Guerra) Professor Erick Guerra is a Professor and Associate Dean for Research at the University of Pennsylvania Weitzman School of Design. We discuss his recent article,Urban Roadway in America: The Amount, Extent, and Value (with Gilles Duranton & Xinyu Ma), which provides the first comprehensive estimate of the amount, share, and value of roadways across over 300 U.S. metro areas. Appendices: Erick Guerra: Erick Guerra, Overbuilt: The High Costs and Low Rewards of US Highway Construction. Greg Shill: Jeffrey Brinkman & Jeffrey Lin, Freeway Revolts! The Quality of Life Effects of Highways. Jeff Lin: Foursquare OS Places. Follow us on the web or on “X,” formerly known as Twitter: @denselyspeaking. Jeff and Greg can be found on Bluesky at @jeffrlin.bsky.social and @gregshill.com. Greg also has a Substack newsletter. Producer: Nathan Spindler-Krage The views expressed on the show are those of the participants, and do not necessarily represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, the Federal Reserve System, or any of the other institutions with which the hosts or guests are affiliated.
The Capitalism and Freedom in the Twenty-First Century Podcast
Jon Hartley and Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler discuss the stance of monetary policy, the Federal Reserve balance sheet, the natural rate of interest (r-star), inflation, labor markets, productivity, entrepreneurship, the US economy, and the recent growth in Miami. Recorded on February 7, 2025. ABOUT THE SPEAKERS: Dr. Adriana D. Kugler took office as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on September 13, 2023, to fill an unexpired term ending January 31, 2026. Prior to her appointment on the Board, Dr. Kugler served as the U.S. Executive Director at the World Bank Group. She is on leave from Georgetown University where she is a professor of Public Policy and Economics and was vice provost for faculty. Previously, she served as chief economist at the U.S. Department of Labor from 2011 to 2013. Dr. Kugler was also a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research and of the Center for the Study of Poverty and Inequality at Stanford University. Dr. Kugler's other professional appointments include being the elected chair of the Business and Economics Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association. She was also a member of the Board on Science, Technology, and Economic Policy of the National Academies of Sciences and served on the Technical Advisory Committee of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Dr. Kugler received a BA in economics and political science from McGill University and a PhD in economics from the University of California, Berkeley. Jon Hartley is the host of the Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century Podcast at the Hoover Institution and an economics PhD Candidate at Stanford University, where he specializes in finance, labor economics, and macroeconomics. He is also currently an Affiliated Scholar at the Mercatus Center, a Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity (FREOPP), and a Senior Fellow at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute. Jon is also a member of the Canadian Group of Economists, and serves as chair of the Economic Club of Miami. Jon has previously worked at Goldman Sachs Asset Management as well as in various policy roles at the World Bank, IMF, Committee on Capital Markets Regulation, US Congress Joint Economic Committee, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and the Bank of Canada. Jon has also been a regular economics contributor for National Review Online, Forbes, and The Huffington Post and has contributed to The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, USA Today, Globe and Mail, National Post, and Toronto Star among other outlets. Jon has also appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, Fox News, Bloomberg, and NBC, and was named to the 2017 Forbes 30 Under 30 Law & Policy list, the 2017 Wharton 40 Under 40 list, and was previously a World Economic Forum Global Shaper. ABOUT THE SERIES: Each episode of Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century, a video podcast series and the official podcast of the Hoover Economic Policy Working Group, focuses on getting into the weeds of economics, finance, and public policy on important current topics through one-on-one interviews. Host Jon Hartley asks guests about their main ideas and contributions to academic research and policy. The podcast is titled after Milton Friedman‘s famous 1962 bestselling book Capitalism and Freedom, which after 60 years, remains prescient from its focus on various topics which are now at the forefront of economic debates, such as monetary policy and inflation, fiscal policy, occupational licensing, education vouchers, income share agreements, the distribution of income, and negative income taxes, among many other topics. For more information, visit: capitalismandfreedom.substack.com/
In this episode, Kathy Jones interviews Dr. Richard Clarida, PIMCO's global economic advisor and former vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the U.S. Federal Reserve System.Dr. Clarida is a managing director in PIMCO's New York office and teaches economics and international affairs at Columbia University. Prior to joining PIMCO in 2006, he was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy, serving as chief economic advisor to two U.S. Treasury secretaries. He and Kathy discuss the state of the economy, the way the Fed is structured, and some of the ways that central bankers communicate.Kathy Jones and Liz Ann also discuss the current state of tariffs and their impact on the bond market, the Federal Reserve's policies, and the implications for both U.S. importers and exporters. Finally, Kathy and Liz Ann look ahead to the data and economic indicators that investors should be watching next week. You can read the report Liz Ann mentions, written with Kevin Gordon, here: "Promises: Tariffs Hit Markets."And you can also check out Liz Ann's monthly Market Snapshot video. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. The comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Currency trading is speculative, volatile and not suitable for all investors.Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are inflation-linked securities issued by the US Government whose principal value is adjusted periodically in accordance with the rise and fall in the inflation rate. Thus, the dividend amount payable is also impacted by variations in the inflation rate, as it is based upon the principal value of the bond. It may fluctuate up or down. Repayment at maturity is guaranteed by the US Government and may be adjusted for inflation to become the greater of the original face amount at issuance or that face amount plus an adjustment for inflation. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are guaranteed by the US Government, but inflation-protected bond funds do not provide such a guarantee.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and cannot protect against losses in a declining market.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.(0225-SAEH)
The Capitalism and Freedom in the Twenty-First Century Podcast
Jon Hartley and Douglas Irwin discuss Doug's career, the history of US trade policy, tariffs, globalization, the consumer and labor market effects of trade, the World Trade Organization, and industrial policy. Recorded on January 9, 2025. ABOUT THE SPEAKERS: Douglas Irwin is John French Professor of Economics at Dartmouth College. He is the author of Clashing over Commerce: A History of U.S. Trade Policy (University of Chicago Press, 2017), which The Economist and Foreign Affairs selected as one of their Best Books of the Year. He is president-elect of the Economic History Association (2022-23). He is the author of Free Trade Under Fire (Princeton University Press, fifth edition 2020), Trade Policy Disaster: Lessons from the 1930s (MIT Press, 2012), Peddling Protectionism: Smoot-Hawley and the Great Depression (Princeton University Press, 2011), The Genesis of the GATT (Cambridge University Press, 2008, co-authored with Petros Mavroidis and Alan Sykes), Against the Tide: An Intellectual History of Free Trade (Princeton University Press, 1996), and many articles on trade policy and economic history in books and professional journals. He is a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research and a non-resident Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He worked on trade policy issues while on the staff of President Ronald Reagan's Council of Economic Advisers and later worked in the International Finance Division at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington, D.C. Before joining Dartmouth, Irwin taught at the University of Chicago's Booth School of Business. Follow Douglas Irwin on X: @D_A_Irwin Jon Hartley is the host of the Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century Podcast at the Hoover Institution and an economics PhD Candidate at Stanford University, where he specializes in finance, labor economics, and macroeconomics. He is also currently an Affiliated Scholar at the Mercatus Center, a Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity (FREOPP), and a Senior Fellow at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute. Jon is also a member of the Canadian Group of Economists, and serves as chair of the Economic Club of Miami. Jon has previously worked at Goldman Sachs Asset Management as well as in various policy roles at the World Bank, IMF, Committee on Capital Markets Regulation, US Congress Joint Economic Committee, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and the Bank of Canada. Jon has also been a regular economics contributor for National Review Online, Forbes, and The Huffington Post and has contributed to The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, USA Today, Globe and Mail, National Post, and Toronto Star among other outlets. Jon has also appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, Fox News, Bloomberg, and NBC, and was named to the 2017 Forbes 30 Under 30 Law & Policy list, the 2017 Wharton 40 Under 40 list, and was previously a World Economic Forum Global Shaper. ABOUT THE SERIES: Each episode of Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century, a video podcast series and the official podcast of the Hoover Economic Policy Working Group, focuses on getting into the weeds of economics, finance, and public policy on important current topics through one-on-one interviews. Host Jon Hartley asks guests about their main ideas and contributions to academic research and policy. The podcast is titled after Milton Friedman‘s famous 1962 bestselling book Capitalism and Freedom, which after 60 years, remains prescient from its focus on various topics which are now at the forefront of economic debates, such as monetary policy and inflation, fiscal policy, occupational licensing, education vouchers, income share agreements, the distribution of income, and negative income taxes, among many other topics. For more information, visit: capitalismandfreedom.substack.com/
Peter Conti-Brown is a historian and legal scholar of the Federal Reserve System and an associate professor at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. Peter returns to the podcast to discuss the state of Federal Reserve leadership under the incoming Trump administration, expectations for Fed independence, a new proposal for limiting stigma at the discount window, stories about a life lead by faith, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on January 10th, 2025 Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow Peter Conti-Brown on BlueSky: @PeterContiBrown Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:01:23) – Reaching Audiences Through Various Forms of Media (00:10:30) – Federal Reserve Under Trump 2.0 (00:21:33) – Jerome Powell (00:25:56) – Michael Barr (00:34:52) – New Discount Window Proposal (00:40:27) – Faith Life (00:56:28) – Radical Uncertainty (01:00:15) – Outro
The world was aflame this week with political and economic fires, including California's wildfires, India's currency crisis and the freefall in the Chinese Yuan. How are precious metals faring? Gold closed this week at $2,705 (up $10) and silver at $30.45 (unchanged). Joel gives the full price commentary at 14:46. • 01:37 Biggest Economic Headlines • 03:42 Israel-Hamas Ceasefire and California Fires • 06:51 Kentucky Gold Tax Exemption Controversy • 07:28 Government Casts Economy in Rosy Light • 09:47 US Government Bans TikTok • 11:28 India's Currency Crisis and Trade Deficit • 13:15 China's Economic Challenges and Yuan Weakness • 14:46 Gold and Silver Price Action Commentary • 17:14 Upcoming Economic Events and Market Outlook QUOTE OF THE WEEK "Most Americans have no real understanding of the operation of the international money lenders. The accounts of the Federal Reserve System have never been audited. It operates outside the control of Congress and manipulates the credit of the United States." – Barry Goldwater The SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap podcast combines a succinct summary of the week's economic precious metals news coupled with thoughtful analysis. You can subscribe to the podcast on Apple Podcasts and other podcasting platforms. The links are below. SchiffGold on Instagram: www.instagram.com/schiffgoldnews SchiffGold on Twitter: twitter.com/SchiffGold SchiffGold on Facebook: www.facebook.com/schiffgold SchiffGold's website: www.schiffgold.com The above references an opinion and is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice.
Commercial real estate in the US faces major problems despite efforts by the Federal Reserve System to prop it up. Bonds used to finance commercial real estate markets are being hit especially hard, and there is no relief in sight.Original article: Distress in Commercial Real Estate Bonds Hits All-Time High
Commercial real estate in the US faces major problems despite efforts by the Federal Reserve System to prop it up. Bonds used to finance commercial real estate markets are being hit especially hard, and there is no relief in sight.Original article: Distress in Commercial Real Estate Bonds Hits All-Time High
Beth M. Hammack is the president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, one of 12 regional Reserve Banks in the Federal Reserve System. She began her term on August 21, 2024. In this capacity, she participates in the formulation of US monetary policy and oversees 1,100 employees in the Bank's Cleveland, Cincinnati, and Pittsburgh offices who conduct economic research, supervise banking institutions, and provide payment services to commercial banks and the US government. Prior to her appointment as Cleveland Fed president, she was cohead of the global financing group at Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. and a member of the management committee.
The chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System sat down to discuss the state of the U.S. economy, the importance of Fed independence, and what he expects from a second Trump administration.“Growth is definitely stronger than we thought, and inflation is coming a little higher.”This interview was with Andrew Ross Sorkin of The New York Times at the annual DealBook Summit and recorded live in front of an audience at Jazz at Lincoln Center. Read more about highlights from the day at https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12/04/business/dealbook-summit-news Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.
Ellen Correia Golay is an advisor in the Markets Group at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, focusing on the US Treasury market. She also helped lead an interagency working group report and a recent conference on the Treasury market. Ellen joins David on Macro Musings to talk about these and other Treasury-related developments. Ellen and David also discuss her career journey and role at the New York Fed, the current and future challenges in the Treasury Market, necessary areas for reform, and more. DISCLAIMER: Ellen Correia Golay's views are her own, and they do not represent those of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System. Transcript for this week's episode. Register now for Building a Better Fed Framework: The AIER Monetary Conference. Ellen's LinkedIn profile David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Related Links: *Enhancing the Resilience of the U.S. Treasury Market: 2024 Staff Progress Report* by the Inter-Agency Working Group on Treasury Market Surveillance (IAWG) *The 2024 U.S. Treasury Market Conference* — An event hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:03:09) – Ellen's Career Journey and Role at the New York Fed (00:17:13) – Breaking Down the Treasury Market (00:20:38) – Current and Future Challenges in the Treasury Market (00:29:54) – How Would Central Clearing Impact the Fed and the Treasury Market? (00:31:47) – Explaining the Treasury Department Buyback Program (00:36:12) – Commencement of Data Dissemination on Individual Nominal Coupon Treasury Transactions (00:38:29) – Requiring the Reporting of Non-Centrally Cleared Bilateral Repos (00:41:26) – The 2024 U.S. Treasury Market Conference (00:43:50) – Future Areas for Reform in the Treasury Market (00:46:43) – Outro
“A wise man never sells out at the first sign of trouble. That's for the pikers.” This is the story of the 1929 Wall Street Crash. On October 24, or “Black Thursday,” stock prices plunge unexpectedly. Early the next week, whatever was left of the bottom falls out on “Black Tuesday.” The New York Stock Exchange has crashed. The Roaring 20s are over. But what exactly is a stock market? How does the American financial system work in the 1920s? And how did the Crash of 1929 happen? From the origins of the NYSE to the development of the Federal Reserve System, we'll unravel it all before it all unravels as we also meet the man that 1920s Americans overwhelmingly want to lead the nation. He's a man known for his gifted abilities when handling a crisis. They call him the “Great Humanitarian.” Welcome to the White House, President Herbert Hoover. Check out this Spotify playlist if you're looking for other HTDS episodes on economic panics, which are episodes 19, 27, 29, 30, 91, 97, 98, and 127. ____ Connect with us on HTDSpodcast.com and go deep into episode bibliographies and book recommendations join discussions in our Facebook community get news and discounts from The HTDS Gazette come see a live show get HTDS merch or become an HTDS premium member for bonus episodes and other perks. HTDS is part of the Airwave Media Network. Interested in advertising on the History That Doesn't Suck? Email us at advertising@airwavemedia.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this podcast show, we explore with our repeat guest, Professor Dan Awrey of Cornell University Law School, his working paper “Money and Federalism” in which he advocates for the enactment of Federal legislation creating a Federal charter for non-banks engaged in the payments business, like PayPal and Venmo. The article may be accessed online at SSRN and will likely be published in a law review at some time in the future. The abstract of Professor Awrey's article describes in general terms what we discussed: The United States is the only country in the world in which both federal and state governments possess independent and yet overlapping authority for bank chartering, regulation and supervision. The roots of this unique dual banking system can be traced back to the Constitution, written almost a century before banks rose to the apex of the financial system and became the dominant source of money. Beginning with the landmark Supreme Court decision in Maryland v. McCulloch, the system has been a wellspring of jurisdictional conflict. Yet over time, this highly contested and highly fragmented system has also produced strong federal oversight and a financial safety net that protects bank depositors, prevents destabilizing runs, and promotes monetary stability. This system is now under stress. The source of the stress is a new breed of technology-driven financial institutions licensed and regulated almost entirely at the state level that provide money and payments outside the perimeter of both conventional bank regulation and the financial safety net. This article examines the rise of these new monetary institutions, the state-level regulatory frameworks that govern them and the nature of the threats they may one day pose to monetary stability. It also examines the legal and policy cases for federal supremacy over the regulation of these new institutions and advances two potential models, one based on complete federal preemption, the other more tailored to reflect the narrow yet critical objective of promoting public confidence and trust in our monetary system. Professor Awrey explained why existing state money transmitter statutes under which non-bank payments firms are generally licensed provide insufficient protection for consumers who use these firms. State money transfer statutes were created many years ago to protect consumers that were using Western Union. These laws were not designed to protect consumers that deploy non-bank Fintech companies using new technologies to transfer funds. These companies don't have access to the Federal Reserve's central payments system that banks have access to. These non-bank companies, unlike banks, are subject to federal bankruptcy law. That increases the likelihood that consumers can lose their funds deposited in one of these non-bank companies in the event of its failure. Professor Awrey concludes that the answer to this problem is the enactment of federal legislation which would create a federal charter for non-bank companies engaged in transmitting payments. A company that is granted such a charter would have access to the Fed's payment rails and would be exempt from the federal Bankruptcy Code. Such a company would be very restricted in the types of investments it may hold. The federal charter would ideally preempt many state laws, including state money transmitter laws. We also spent some time at the beginning of the show discussing the status of FedNow, the instant payments system launched by the Federal Reserve System in July 2023. Professor Awrey was previously a guest on our podcast show on September 14, 2023 entitled “What is FedNow and its Role in the U.S. Payments System.” At that time, Professor Awrey predicted that FedNow was too little, too late and too expensive for small banks. Professor Awrey's opinion is unchanged. He noted that the Fed has so far refused to share any data about FedNow usage. Alan Kaplinsky, Senior Counsel and former practice group leader for 25 years of the Consumer Financial Services Group, hosted the podcast show.
Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Christopher Aaron, founder of iGold Advisor and senior editor for Gold Eagle, for a discussion about market sentiment towards gold post-U.S. election results and the Federal Reserve meeting. Aaron shares his perspective on market cycles and warns investors about potential resistance levels for gold while expressing caution against abandoning precious metals entirely due to unforeseen circumstances. They explore the impact of the U.S. election, Fed meeting, Trump presidency, and the Dow to Gold ratio on markets, emphasizing the significance of considering both present situations and future developments. Aaron also discusses his analysis of the gold to silver ratio chart, focusing on trends and their implications for investors, and the potential implications of Elon Musk's involvement in Trump's administration on reducing the U.S. government. Chris also discusses Ron Paul's advocacy for ending the Federal Reserve System and the possible significance of his inclusion in Trump's administration, as well as the expected timeline for tax cuts and regulatory changes under the new administration and broader themes for the next decade. Throughout the conversation, they encourage listeners to broaden their perspectives and consider various markets and investments beyond precious metals. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:50 - Sentiment & Gold8:50 - Fundamentals & Possibility12:50 - Dow To Gold Chart19:50 - Gold To Silver Chart28:52 - Dollar Index & Outlook34:00 - Energy & Mkt. Direction46:50 - End The Fed?50:08 - Tax Cuts & Timeframes52:10 - Space Exploration59:08 - Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/iGlobalGoldWebsite: https://igoldadvisor.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjG_4Kg7ZWWs8o7EnfnDc9Q Talking Points From This Episode Aaron warns investors about potential resistance levels for gold while emphasizing the importance of not abandoning precious metals entirely. U.S. election results, Federal Reserve meeting, Trump presidency, and Dow to Gold ratio impact markets, with both present situations and future developments significant. Analysis of gold to silver ratio chart reveals trends and implications for investors, and Elon Musk's role in Trump's administration could potentially reduce the U.S. government debt. Christopher Aaron is Senior Editor for the precious metals investment portal Gold Eagle. A former counter-terrorism officer for the CIA and Department of Defense, Christopher has always had an independent analytical outlook. He volunteered to serve two tours to Iraq and Afghanistan from 2006 - 2009, conducting pattern analysis and mapping for the US Intelligence Community in Washington, DC. Drawing upon his investigative background, he turned attention to the financial markets in the early 2000s. Mapping shares similarities with technical analysis of the financial markets because both involve the observation and interpretation of patterns found in human nature. Through his work, Christopher shares with clients how these patterns are cyclical and embedded. Recognizing these patterns can be used to profit. Christopher Aaron holds a degree in history and business, with advanced Department of Defense training in intelligence analysis.
Loretta Mester was president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland from 2014 through June of 2024, and she is a 39-year veteran of the Federal Reserve System. Loretta is also currently an adjunct professor of finance at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. She joins David on Macro Musings to talk about her time Fed president and a recent paper she delivered on the Fed's operating system. David and Loretta also discuss the ongoing battle against inflation, what to expect from the upcoming Fed framework review, and much more. Transcript for this week's episode. Register now for Building a Better Fed Framework: The AIER Monetary Conference. Loretta's Cleveland Fed profile Loretta's Wharton profile David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Related Links: *The Fed's Ample Reserves Monetary Policy Operating Framework: It Isn't as Simple as it Looks* – Remarks by Loretta Mester for the Panel on The Conduct of Monetary Policy: Evolution from Free Reserves to the Corridor and Floor Systems at the Shadow Open Market Committee 50th Anniversary Conference *Reserve Demand Elasticity (RDE)* by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:02:18) – Loretta's Career Path and Tenure at the Cleveland Fed (00:10:42) – The Ongoing Battle Against Inflation (00:17:53) – Evaluating FAIT and What to Expect from the 2024-25 Fed Framework Review (00:26:03) – Corridor vs. Floor: The Evolution of the Fed's Operating System and its Policy Implications (00:41:31) – Estimating the Demand for Bank Reserves (00:45:57) – Addressing Over-reliance on the Fed in the Interbank Market (00:52:45) – Loretta's Thoughts on Central Clearing and Increased Use of the Discount Window (00:55:23) – Outro
On July 25, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (collectively, the agencies) issued a “Joint Statement on Banks' Arrangements with Third Parties to Deliver Bank Deposit Products and Services” to “note potential risks related to arrangements between banks and third parties to deliver bank deposit products and services to end users”. On the same day, the agencies issued a “Request for Information on Bank-Fintech Arrangements Involving Banking Products and Services Distributed to Consumers and Businesses” (the RFI) The RFI “solicits input on the nature of bank-fintech arrangements, effective risk management practices regarding bank-fintech arrangements, and the implications of such arrangements, including whether enhancements to existing supervisory guidance may be helpful in addressing risks associated with these arrangements.” The comment period for this RFI has been extended through October 30, 2024. In today's podcast episode, hosted by Alan Kaplinsky, former practice leader and current Senior Counsel in Ballard Spahr's Consumer Financial Services Group, and featuring Ballard Spahr Partners John Culhane, Jr. and Ronald Vaske, we explore the significance of these agency actions, what they may portend for banks and their non-bank partners, and the agencies' likely next steps and future areas of scrutiny. We also discuss tactics banks may want to consider in response to these actions and in preparation for potential future developments. Topics addressed in this wide-ranging episode include the scope and coverage of the RFI; which banks and other entities are likely to provide information in response, and why; and the type of input that would be most valuable for banks to provide to the agencies. We review past agency pronouncements, enforcement, and other activity in connection with bank – service provider arrangements. We list and discuss in detail those risks to banks arising in connection with third-party relationships that cause regulators the greatest concerns. We further provide some practical thoughts as to approaches banks may wish to consider now if they are contemplating a new fintech relationship, as well as ways to shore up practices and procedures in connection with existing third-party arrangements. We then conclude with some thoughts about how fintechs and other bank service providers should react to these agency initiatives
We live in the greatest government bubble in the history of the world. The U.S. federal government intervenes everywhere, and ruins everything that it touches. Its interventions aren't restricted to the geographical United States, but are worldwide! The engine of this great catastrophe is The Federal Reserve System. Without The Fed, none of this would have been possible.
Sam Schulhofer-Wohl is the Senior Vice President and the Senior Advisor to the President of the Dallas Fed, Lorie Logan. Sam is a longtime veteran of the Federal Reserve System and has also previously served at the Minneapolis and Chicago Federal Reserve banks. Sam joins David on Macro Musings to talk about Treasury market resiliency issues, the floor system, the Friedman Rule, bank deposits, the monetary policy implications of labor migration across the United States, and much more. Transcript for this week's episode. Sam's Dallas Fed profile Sam's website David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot! Join the new Macro Musings Discord server! Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch! Related Links: *The Customer Settlement Risk Externality at US Securities Central Counterparties* by Sam Schulhofer-Wohl *Deposit Convexity, Monetary Policy, and Financial Stability* by Emily Greenwald, Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, and Joshua Younger *Understanding the Long-Run Decline in Interstate Migration* by Greg Kaplan and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl *Is a Treasury Central Clearing Mandate the Path to Increased Central Clearing?* by Marta Chaffee and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl *The Netting Efficiencies of Marketwide Central Clearing* by Michael Fleming and Frank Keane *Ample Reserves and the Friedman Rule* - A speech by Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan at the 2023 European Central Bank Conference on Money Markets Timestamps: (00:00:00) – Intro (00:01:31) – Sam's Wide-Ranging Career Path (00:11:08) – The Customer Settlement Risk Externality (00:14:30) – Breaking Down the Treasury Market (00:18:38) – The Importance and Effectiveness of Central Clearing (00:26:50) – The History and Role of FICC (00:32:27) – All-to-all Trades as a Path to Reforming the Treasury Market (00:36:52) – The Future Timeline for Central Clearing (00:39:07) – *Ample Reserves and the Friedman Rule* (00:46:52) – *Deposit Convexity, Monetary Policy, and Financial Stability* (00:52:21) – The Importance of Labor Migration for Monetary Policy (00:59:42) – Outro
PREVIEW: FEDERAL RESERVE: INTEREST RATE: Conversation with colleague Liz Peek re: the Wall Street talk of a quarter point reduction in the cost of money expected in the coming weeks -- and when? More later today. 1914 Federal Reserve System
Lyn Alden is a macroeconomist and investment strategist. In this interview, we discuss the role of the Fed and central banks, fractional reserve vs free banking, how bitcoin could change these dynamics and if we should actually end the Federal Reserve System. – Show notes: https://www.whatbitcoindid.com/podcast/will-bitcoin-end-central-banking-lyn-alden This episode's sponsors: IREN - Bitcoin Mining. Done Sustainably. Swan Bitcoin - Invest in Bitcoin with Swan Ledger - State of the art Bitcoin hardware wallet Bitcasino - The Future of Gaming is here Casa - Take control of your digital wealth
“We actually now have ways to do fast settlement…payments and settlements that can't be reversed, it's starts to show that maybe you actually don't even need a central bank.”— Lyn AldenLyn Alden is a macroeconomist and investment strategist. In this interview, we discuss the role of the Fed and central banks, fractional reserve vs free banking, how bitcoin could change these dynamics and if we should actually end the Federal Reserve System.- - - -This episode's sponsors:IREN - Bitcoin Mining. Done Sustainably Swan Bitcoin - Invest in Bitcoin with Swan Bitcasino - The Future of Gaming is here Ledger- State of the art Bitcoin hardware wallet Casa - Take control of your digital wealth -----WBD828 - Show Notes----- If you enjoy The What Bitcoin Did Podcast you can help support the show by doing the following: Become a Patronand get access to shows early or help contribute Make a tip: Bitcoin: 3FiC6w7eb3dkcaNHMAnj39ANTAkv8Ufi2S QR Codes: Bitcoin If you do send a tip then please email me so that I can say thank you Subscribe on iTunes | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | YouTube | Deezer| TuneIn | RSS FeedLeave a review on iTunesShare the show and episodes with your friends and family Subscribe to the newsletter on my websiteFollow me on Twitter Personal | Twitter Podcast | Instagram | Medium|YouTubeIf you are interested in sponsoring the show, you can read more about that here or please feel free to drop me an email to discuss options.