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C Judy Dempsey examines fears that Russia will shift military forces to the NATO border if a Ukraine peace deal is reached. She discusses reported US pressure on Kyiv to surrender the Donbas, noting that both Ukraine and the EU oppose such concessions due to sovereignty concerns and lack of security guarantees. Judy Dempsey addresses the industrial crisis in Germany, specifically the auto industry's struggle against Chinese electric vehicles. She notes that Chancellor Merz is avoiding necessary pension reforms due to political pressure, while the rise of the AfD and a shifting transatlantic relationship further complicate Germany's economic stability. Mary Kissel argues that Ukraine cannot surrender the Donbas without ironclad security guarantees, citing past broken agreements like the Budapest Memorandum. She validates Finnish and Baltic fears regarding Russian aggression and questions whether the Trump administration's business-centric approach can effectively manage Vladimir Putin's ideological brutality. Mary Kissel characterizes China's economy as collapsing under Xi Jinping's mismanagement. She highlights the plight of Jimmy Lai, a 78-year-old British citizen imprisoned in Hong Kong, and urges Western leaders to use economic leverage to demand his release as a prerequisite for any improved relations. Jonathan Schanzer critiques the slow Australian police response to the Bondi Beach attack, linking the shooters to ISIS training in the Philippines. He warns that the Albanese government's political "virtue signaling" regarding Palestine may have emboldened radicals, while noting Hezbollah is reconstituting its money and weapons pipelines in Lebanon. Jonathan Schanzer analyzes the "murky" killing of US servicemen in Syria, attributing it to jihadist elements within the government's security forces. He describes the situation in Gaza as a deadlock where Hamas remains armed because no international force, other than the unacceptable option of Turkey, is willing to intervene. Gregory Copley details how the Bondi Beach attackers trained in the Philippines' insurgent areas. While praising Australian intelligence agencies, he blames the Albanese government for encouraging anti-Israel sentiment, arguing this political stance has given license to radical groups and undermined public safety. Gregory Copley reflects on the 25-year war on terror, arguing that Western governments have become distracted. He contends that elevating terrorists like Bin Laden to "superpower" status was a strategic error, as the true objective of terrorism is to manipulate political narratives and induce paralysis through fear. Gregory Copley observes a 2025 shift toward nationalism and decisive leadership, asserting that globalism is declining. He notes that nuclear weapons are becoming "unusable" due to changing military doctrines and warns that Western democracies are sliding toward autocracy, drawing historical parallels to Oliver Cromwell's rise as Lord Protector. Gregory Copley reports on King Charles III's improving health and his unifying role within the Commonwealth. He contrasts the stability of the constitutional monarchy with the historical chaos of Cromwell's republic, suggesting the Crown remains a vital stabilizing force against political turmoil in the UK and its dominions. Joseph Sternberg challenges the Trump administration's antagonistic view of the EU, citing polls showing the institution remains popular among Europeans. He argues that US policy should not be based on the expectation of the EU's collapse, noting that the UK's exit was unique to its specific history and not a continental trend. Joseph Sternberg condemns the imprisonment of British citizen Jimmy Lai in Hong Kong as a failure of UKdiplomacy. He argues that Hong Kong's economic success cannot be separated from its political freedoms, warning that the erosion of the rule of law threatens the territory's viability as a business center. Joseph Postell discusses the 1983 INS v. Chadha decision, which eliminated the legislative veto. He explains how this ruling stripped Congress of its ability to check the executive branch, transforming a once-dominant legislature into a weak institution unable to reverse administrative decisions on issues like tariffs. Joseph Postell suggests correcting the Chadha precedent by adopting a view of severability where delegations of power are unconstitutional without the accompanying legislative veto. He notes that the War Powers Resolutionremains a rare exception where Congress still retains a mechanism to reverse executive actions via simple majority.
Mary Kissel argues that Ukraine cannot surrender the Donbas without ironclad security guarantees, citing past broken agreements like the Budapest Memorandum. She validates Finnish and Baltic fears regarding Russian aggression and questions whether the Trump administration's business-centric approach can effectively manage Vladimir Putin'sideological brutality. 1855 CRIMEA
Mary Kissel characterizes China's economy as collapsing under Xi Jinping's mismanagement. She highlights the plight of Jimmy Lai, a 78-year-old British citizen imprisoned in Hong Kong, and urges Western leaders to use economic leverage to demand his release as a prerequisite for any improved relations. 1900 BOXERS
PREVIEW: Mary Kissel characterizes Xi Jinping as a "committed Marxist Leninist" who retains power through brutality despite China's economic collapse. She argues Xi uses leverage, such as restricting critical mineral exports, to force the US into trade negotiations, prioritizing alliances with rogue nations over his own people's economic well-being.
The Trump Corollary: Reasserting Influence in the Western Hemisphere: Colleague Mary Kissel analyzes the new National Security Strategy, praising its focus on the Western Hemisphere to counter Russian and Chinese influence in Venezuela and Cuba, warning against accepting separate global spheres of influence and emphasizing that the U.S. faces a coordinated threat from China, Russia, and Iran globally. 1952
Europe's Defense Dilemma and Demographic Decline: Colleague Mary Kissel attributes Europe's inability to fund Ukraine's defense to decades of relying on U.S. protection while prioritizing generous welfare states, citing "scary statistics" regarding France's aging population and pension burdens, arguing that Europe must pursue economic growth rather than government handouts to survive security challenges.
PREVIEW — Mary Kissel — Missing Clarity on the "Condominium of Adversaries" in National Security Strategy. Kissel criticizes the newly published national security strategy for insufficiently highlighting the existential threat posed by China and its expanding strategic alliance with Russia, Iran, and North Korea, creating a coordinated axis of rival powers. Kissel argues that the strategic document fails to adequately address China's systematic domestic infiltration of American infrastructure networks, university campuses, research institutions, and scientific communities, unlike the more explicit and detailed threat characterizations contained in previous national security strategy iterations. Kisselemphasizes that the document's relative ambiguity regarding the "condominium of adversaries" undermines clarity regarding the multi-vector threat environment confronting American strategic planners and military commanders. TAIPEI
State Department Strategy and Moscow — Mary Kissel — Kissel explains that State Department strategic objectives prioritize implementing President Trump's directive to remove Maduro from Venezuelan power while ensuring American national security and hemispheric stability. Kissel details that Trump envoys currently in Moscow encounter Putin's two-track negotiating strategy: offering economic incentives for Russian reintegration into global markets while simultaneously demanding substantial Ukrainian territorial concessions and NATO exclusion from Eastern Europe. Kissel emphasizes the strategic complexity of reconciling U.S. interests in Ukrainian sovereignty with Russian security demands regarding sphere of influence and buffer state arrangements. 1961 BERLIN
Ukraine as Buffer State — Mary Kissel — Kissel articulates core U.S. strategic interests in Ukraine beyond ideological commitments: Ukraine's role as a critical geographic buffer against Russian expansion into Western Europeand its status as a major agricultural producer essential for global food security and economic stability. Kissel defends U.S. diplomatic engagement with Syrian leader Al-Sharaa, arguing that countering Russian regional influence in Syriajustifies negotiating with new Damascus authorities. Kissel expresses skepticism regarding whether Al-Sharaa will fulfill counter-terrorism commitments following receipt of U.S. sanctions relief, highlighting the perennial tension between incentivizing behavioral change and verification of compliance. 1854 ODESSA
PREVIEW — Mary Kissel — Missing Diplomatic Memory and the Russian Challenge. Kissel argues that current U.S.diplomats possess insufficient institutional memory and negotiating experience to effectively engage a nuclear-armed peer competitor like the former Soviet Union, now resurgent as Russia under Putin. Kissel emphasizes that the U.S. currently lacks a Senate-confirmed ambassador to Russia, critically limiting the American embassy's political influence and direct access to White House decision-making structures. Kissel documents that this ambassadorial vacancy reflects deeper institutional erosion of American diplomatic expertise and strategic communication capabilities regarding Russiannegotiations, creating dangerous capacity gaps precisely when Moscow possesses nuclear weapons and elevated geopolitical ambitions. 1931 STALIN & GORKY
CONTINUED Unorthodox Ukraine Diplomacy and Geopolitical Realism — Mary Kissel 1900 ODESSA
Unorthodox Ukraine Diplomacy and Geopolitical Realism — Mary Kissel — Kissel analyzes the "exceedingly odd" U.S. approach to Ukraine peace negotiations, wherein businesspeople framed initial proposals while bypassing traditional State Department channels. This transactional negotiating style concerns European allies because it appears to reward Russia and establishes an unfavorable initial bargaining position. Kissel suggests the conflict will likely persist while diplomatic discussions protract. She commends Marco Rubio for prioritizing economic growth and countering Chineseand Iranian influence throughout the Western Hemisphere. 1856 BLACK SEA
PREVIEW — Mary Kissel — European Alarm Over Initial Ukraine Negotiation Strategy. Kissel analyzes ongoing Ukraine negotiations, highlighting concern generated by involving presidential counselors rather than European allies and the State Department in foundational deal-making. This approach allowed the aggressor to shape the negotiating framework. European partners express alarm given their geographic proximity to Russia and feel directly threatened by Russian capabilities to destabilize their societies.
Mary Kissel Mary Kissel addresses three foreign policy dilemmas: regarding Venezuela, the US military buildup is seen as leverage to force dialogue with Maduro following a successful playbook used against North Korea; in Europe, she notes a dichotomy between committed Eastern European states and "weaker lazier" Western powers regarding support for Ukraine; and the China dilemma involves whether to treat Beijing as a legitimate trading partner or an enemy narco-terrorist state responsible for exporting fentanyl precursors, with Kissel suggesting current US policy is confused and benefits the CCP.
CONTINUED MARY KISSEL. China dilemma involves whether to treat Beijing as a legitimate trading partner or an enemy narco-terrorist state responsible for exporting fentanyl precursors, with Kissel suggesting current US policy is confused and benefits the CCP.
PREVIEW: Venezuela and the State Department Playbook Guest: Mary Kissel John Batchelor discusses Venezuela with Mary Kissel, former senior adviser to the Secretary of State, regarding the Trump administration's offer to speak with Maduro while a fleet was offshore, with Kissel describing this strategy as the "playbook at State," recalling her North Korea experience in the first Trump term, interpreting the move as showing force ("show the guns") before engaging diplomatically.
SHOW 11-11-25 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 1933 VON PAPPEN IN BERLIN THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT THE BBO CONTNUING INTACT. FIRST HOUR 9-915 Economic Slowdown Fears Amid AI Impact and the BBC Scandal. Liz Peek characterizes the US economy as slowing down, with hiring affected by government layoffs and the displacement of tech jobs due to AI adoption. While the consumer remains robust, significant anxiety exists regarding the massive investments in AI and resulting stock market valuations. Peek comments on the BBC scandal, viewing the resignations as acknowledgment that the state-run outlet deliberately spliced footage to portray the US President as exhorting violence, revealing a deep, unfavorable political bias against conservatives. 915-930 Economic Slowdown Fears Amid AI Impact and the BBC Scandal. Liz Peek characterizes the US economy as slowing down, with hiring affected by government layoffs and the displacement of tech jobs due to AI adoption. While the consumer remains robust, significant anxiety exists regarding the massive investments in AI and resulting stock market valuations. Peek comments on the BBC scandal, viewing the resignations as acknowledgment that the state-run outlet deliberately spliced footage to portray the US President as exhorting violence, revealing a deep, unfavorable political bias against conservatives. 930-945 Middle East War Dynamics: Hamas Decimation, Peace Plans, and Hezbollah Rearmament. Jonathan Schanzer addresses the BBC's acknowledgment of breaching editorial guidelines over 1,500 times during the Gaza conflict. He confirms that Hamas has been decimated, operating as a spent, asymmetric urban force. Schanzer details the Trump administration's "Board of Peace" proposal for Gaza, stressing the need for a technocratic authority that excludes both Hamas and the Palestinian Authority. He also highlights troubling reports that Hezbollah is rearming with increasing speed, assisted by Iran and, surprisingly, Turkey. 945-1000 Middle East War Dynamics: Hamas Decimation, Peace Plans, and Hezbollah Rearmament. Jonathan Schanzer addresses the BBC's acknowledgment of breaching editorial guidelines over 1,500 times during the Gaza conflict. He confirms that Hamas has been decimated, operating as a spent, asymmetric urban force. Schanzer details the Trump administration's "Board of Peace" proposal for Gaza, stressing the need for a technocratic authority that excludes both Hamas and the Palestinian Authority. He also highlights troubling reports that Hezbollah is rearming with increasing speed, assisted by Iran and, surprisingly, Turkey. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 Staffing Challenges and Political Bias: The Gaza Peace Plan and the BBC. Mary Kissel details the challenges facing the State Department and NSC in implementing the Trump administration's urgent Gaza Peace Plan, noting staffing issues are delaying coordination. The plan, featuring an apolitical "Board of Peace," seeks international legitimacy despite the UN's prejudice against Israel. Kissel expresses little surprise regarding the BBC scandal, viewing the deliberate distortion of the President's video remarks as appalling and emblematic of an "embedded bias" against conservatives that is deep and unfixable. 1015-1030 Staffing Challenges and Political Bias: The Gaza Peace Plan and the BBC. Mary Kissel details the challenges facing the State Department and NSC in implementing the Trump administration's urgent Gaza Peace Plan, noting staffing issues are delaying coordination. The plan, featuring an apolitical "Board of Peace," seeks international legitimacy despite the UN's prejudice against Israel. Kissel expresses little surprise regarding the BBC scandal, viewing the deliberate distortion of the President's video remarks as appalling and emblematic of an "embedded bias" against conservatives that is deep and unfixable. 1030-1045 The Rise of the AfD and the Threat to German Democracy. Judy Dempsey discusses the rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, noting it is infiltrating German culture, education, and town halls, predominantly in the East. She warns that the AfD poses a danger to German democracy and the rule of law. The future hinges on whether established parties can isolate the AfD or if the Constitutional Court will intervene to outlaw the party. Dempsey also notes that the BBC scandal involves the highly scrutinized domestic service, distinct from the generally "exemplary" BBC World Service. 1045-1100 The Rise of the AfD and the Threat to German Democracy. Judy Dempsey discusses the rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, noting it is infiltrating German culture, education, and town halls, predominantly in the East. She warns that the AfD poses a danger to German democracy and the rule of law. The future hinges on whether established parties can isolate the AfD or if the Constitutional Court will intervene to outlaw the party. Dempsey also notes that the BBC scandal involves the highly scrutinized domestic service, distinct from the generally "exemplary" BBC World Service. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 Rare Earths, Global Conflicts, and Reimagining Democracy. Gregory Copley analyzes China's rare earth monopoly, noting it was achieved through low pricing and unsafe practices but is now eroding as global suppliers ramp up production. He reviews current global conflicts, viewing the deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford battle group near Venezuela as a test of brinkmanship, and citing Kyiv's admission of losses in Ukraine. Copley also argues that democracy is "dead," advocating for a return to defining the spirit of a social contract rather than relying on mutable laws. 1115-1130 Rare Earths, Global Conflicts, and Reimagining Democracy. Gregory Copley analyzes China's rare earth monopoly, noting it was achieved through low pricing and unsafe practices but is now eroding as global suppliers ramp up production. He reviews current global conflicts, viewing the deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford battle group near Venezuela as a test of brinkmanship, and citing Kyiv's admission of losses in Ukraine. Copley also argues that democracy is "dead," advocating for a return to defining the spirit of a social contract rather than relying on mutable laws. 1130-1145 Rare Earths, Global Conflicts, and Reimagining Democracy. Gregory Copley analyzes China's rare earth monopoly, noting it was achieved through low pricing and unsafe practices but is now eroding as global suppliers ramp up production. He reviews current global conflicts, viewing the deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford battle group near Venezuela as a test of brinkmanship, and citing Kyiv's admission of losses in Ukraine. Copley also argues that democracy is "dead," advocating for a return to defining the spirit of a social contract rather than relying on mutable laws. 1145-1200 Rare Earths, Global Conflicts, and Reimagining Democracy. Gregory Copley analyzes China's rare earth monopoly, noting it was achieved through low pricing and unsafe practices but is now eroding as global suppliers ramp up production. He reviews current global conflicts, viewing the deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford battle group near Venezuela as a test of brinkmanship, and citing Kyiv's admission of losses in Ukraine. Copley also argues that democracy is "dead," advocating for a return to defining the spirit of a social contract rather than relying on mutable laws. FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 Conservative Politics and Extremism; The Structural Problems of the BBC. Joseph Sternberg argues that mainstream conservatives must accommodate legitimate right-wing concerns (like immigration) to squeeze out extremists, referencing the German CDU/CSU's successful historical tactic against neo-Nazis. He analyzes the widespread BBC scandal, noting its huge cultural influence in the UK, where it is funded by a mandatory license fee. The deliberate editing of the US President's remarks and allegations of tendentious coverage of the Israel/Gaza war point to a deep, structural problem within the organization. 1215-1230 Conservative Politics and Extremism; The Structural Problems of the BBC. Joseph Sternberg argues that mainstream conservatives must accommodate legitimate right-wing concerns (like immigration) to squeeze out extremists, referencing the German CDU/CSU's successful historical tactic against neo-Nazis. He analyzes the widespread BBC scandal, noting its huge cultural influence in the UK, where it is funded by a mandatory license fee. The deliberate editing of the US President's remarks and allegations of tendentious coverage of the Israel/Gaza war point to a deep, structural problem within the organization. 1230-1245 The UN Cybercrime Treaty: A Tool for Digital Authoritarianism. Ivana Stradner warns that the UN cybercrime treaty, drafted by Russia and supported by China, undermines global human rights and free speech. She argues the treaty is mere "window dressing" enabling authoritarian regimes to pursue digital sovereignty—like Russia's "fake news" laws or China's "golden shield" project—to censor dissent. Stradner suggests that allowing Russia and China to regulate cyberspace is comparable to trusting the arsonist to put out the fire, urging the United States not to ratify the treaty. 1245-100 AM The Modern Marine Corps: MEUs, Amphibious Ship Shortages, and the Role in East Asia. Colonel Grant Newsham discusses the Marine Corps, celebrating its 250th birthday and historic legacy at Belleau Wood. Newsham describes the Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) as a flexible force of about 2,000 Marines aboard amphibious ships, capable of missions from humanitarian aid to combat. A critical challenge is the Navy's low prioritization of amphibious ships, leading to a deployment shortage. In East Asia, Marines are expected to seize key terrain and use long-range precision weapons to control maritime territory, though prioritizing missile units has reduced overall mission versatility.
Staffing Challenges and Political Bias: The Gaza Peace Plan and the BBC. Mary Kissel details the challenges facing the State Department and NSC in implementing the Trump administration's urgent Gaza Peace Plan, noting staffing issues are delaying coordination. The plan, featuring an apolitical "Board of Peace," seeks international legitimacy despite the UN's prejudice against Israel. Kissel expresses little surprise regarding the BBC scandal, viewing the deliberate distortion of the President's video remarks as appalling and emblematic of an "embedded bias" against conservatives that is deep and unfixable. 1959 GAZA
Staffing Challenges and Political Bias: The Gaza Peace Plan and the BBC. Mary Kissel details the challenges facing the State Department and NSC in implementing the Trump administration's urgent Gaza Peace Plan, noting staffing issues are delaying coordination. The plan, featuring an apolitical "Board of Peace," seeks international legitimacy despite the UN's prejudice against Israel. Kissel expresses little surprise regarding the BBC scandal, viewing the deliberate distortion of the President's video remarks as appalling and emblematic of an "embedded bias" against conservatives that is deep and unfixable. 1957 GAZA
SHOW 11-4-25 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 18865 PUBLISHER ROW THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT NEW YORK CITY AND LONDON. FIRST HOUR 9-915 Economic Policy and China Trade. Elizabeth Peek discusses the US economy, where Treasury Secretary Bessent asserts that housing is in recession due to high Federal Reserve rates. Peek argues that lower rates are needed to "unstick" the housing market. The Fed, led by Jay Powell, is fixated on inflation, though Peek questions his rationale regarding tariffs and labor demand. The conversation also covers the Trump-Xi meeting, which was anticlimactic, postponing confrontation for a year. Key concessions included China relenting on rare earth exports and American soybean boycotts. 915-930 Economic Policy and China Trade. Elizabeth Peek discusses the US economy, where Treasury Secretary Bessent asser 930-945 The Far Right in Europe and German Rearmament. Judy Dempsey examines the rise of Europe's far right, noting that while they succeed in complaining, they often struggle to govern, exe. 945-1000 The Far Right in Europe and German Rearmament. Judy Dempsey examines the rise of Europe's far right, noting that while they succeed in complaining, they often struggle to govern, exemplified by t. SECOND HOUR 1245-100 AM Nigeria, Venezuela Intervention, and China Power Struggles. Gregory Copley discusses Trump's order for military action in Nigeria, noting the violence is complex and not strictly genocide against Christians, contrasting it with US refusal to provide past aid. Discussion shifts to the overwhelming US military buildup near Venezuela, which might force Maduro's departure by damaging his credibility, possibly via anti-narcotics action. The interview concludes by analyzing the anticlimactic Trump-Xi meeting, attributing the lack of confrontation to Xi Jinping's significantly weakened position due to China's shattered economy and internal power struggles. SHOW 11-4-25 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT NEW YORK CITY AND LONDON. FIRST HOUR 9-915 Economic Policy and China Trade. Elizabeth Peek discusses the US economy, where Treasury Secretary Bessent asserts that housing is in recession due to high Federal Reserve rates. Peek argues that lower rates are needed to "unstick" the housing market. The Fed, led by Jay Powell, is fixated on inflation, though Peek questions his rationale regarding tariffs and labor demand. The conversation also covers the Trump-Xi meeting, which was anticlimactic, postponing confrontation for a year. Key concessions included China relenting on rare earth exports and American soybean boycotts. 915-930 Economic Policy and China Trade. Elizabeth Peek discusses the US economy, where Treasury . 930-945 The Far Right in Europe and German Rearmament. Judy Dempsey examines the rise of Europe's far right, noting that while they succeed in complaining, they often struggle to govern, exemplified by the AfD's lack of concrete policies. Hungary's Viktor Orbán, though long-ruling, now faces popular pressure. Dempsey highlights Italy's Giorgia Meloni as an exception who has successfully governed by clearly communicating her reform agenda. She confirms that Russia supports destabilizing far-right movements across Europe, particularly hoping for an AfD win. Additionally, Germany's Chancellor Merz is committed to redeveloping the military and infrastructure for NATO defense. 945-1000 The Far Right in Europe and German Rearmament. Judy Dempsey examines the rise of Europe's far right, noting that while they succeed in complaining, they often struggle to govern, exemplified by the AfD's lack of concrete policies. Hungary's Viktor Orbán, though long-ruling, now faces popular pressure. Dempsey highlights Italy's Giorgia Meloni as an exception who has successfully governed by clearly communicating her reform agenda. She confirms that Russia supports destabilizing far-right movements across Europe, particularly hoping for an AfD win. Additionally, Germany's Chancellor Merz is committed to redeveloping the military and infrastructure for NATO defense. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 Venezuela Pressure Campaign and Asian Diplomacy. Mary Kissel analyzes the massive US military buildup near Venezuela, staged from Roosevelt Roads, noting that the Trump administration prioritizes removing Maduro due to national security threats. She emphasizes that the State Department possesses numerous non-military levers, like sanctions and international pressure through the OAS, to induce Maduro's exit without direct intervention. Kissel also characterizes President Trump's diplomatic engagement at ASEAN and APEC as very successful, securing vital commitments on rare earth mining and processing to counter Chinese economic threats in the Pacific. 1015-1030 Venezuela Pressure Campaign and Asian Diplomacy. Mary Kissel analyzes the massive US military buildup near Venezuela, staged from Roosevelt Roads, noting that the Trump administration prioritizes removing Maduro due to national security threats. She emphasizes that the State Department possesses numerous non-military levers, like sanctions and international pressure through the OAS, to induce Maduro's exit without direct intervention. Kissel also characterizes President Trump's diplomatic engagement at ASEAN and APEC as very successful, securing vital commitments on rare earth mining and processing to counter Chinese economic threats in the Pacific. 1030-1045 Hamas Leverage, Gaza Ruin, and Hezbollah Rearmament. Jonathan Schanzer explains that Hamas is stalling hostage releases to maintain leverage, banking on Israel's lack of "strategic patience" for indefinite occupation. He explores the idea of a "Tale of Two Gazas," where Israel controls 53% and Hamas 47%, warning that reconstruction aid is improbable if Hamas remains in power. He highlights growing dangers, including the rearming of Hezbollah by Iran and unexpectedly Turkey, forcing Israel to reconsider the northern front. He adds that the Israeli military is actively engaged in "constant gardening" to address armed gangs in the West Bank. 1045-1100 Hamas Leverage, Gaza Ruin, and Hezbollah Rearmament. Jonathan Schanzer explains that Hamas is stalling hostage releases to maintain leverage, banking on Israel's lack of "strategic patience" for indefinite occupation. He explores the idea of a "Tale of Two Gazas," where Israel controls 53% and Hamas 47%, warning that reconstruction aid is improbable if Hamas remains in power. He highlights growing dangers, including the rearming of Hezbollah by Iran and unexpectedly Turkey, forcing Israel to reconsider the northern front. He adds that the Israeli military is actively engaged in "constant gardening" to address armed gangs in the West Bank. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 The Rise of Extremist Politics in the US and UK. Joseph Sternberg analyzes the rise of extreme political figures like New York mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani, warning conservatives that opponents' political mistak 1115-1130 The Rise of Extremist Politics in the US and UK. Joseph Sternberg analyzes the rise of extreme political figures like New York mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani, warning conservatives that opponents' political mistakes do not guarantee their success, citing the UK's Jeremy Corbyn as a parallel. He notes that frustrated voters seek "sledgehammers" on both the left and right. In the UK, he details how Chancellor Rachel Reeves and the Labour government are suffering plummeting approval due to economic mismanagement, forcing tax hikes and breaking promises, benefiting Nigel Farage's Reform UK party. 1130-1145 Nuclear Testing, Venezuela Buildup, and Gaza Occupation. Colonel Jeff McCausland criticizes Secretary Hegseth's suggestion that resuming nuclear testing would make nuclear war "less likely," noting that the US deterrent is already credible and testing would destabilize adversaries. He highlights the excessive US military buildup near Venezuela, questioning the post-intervention mission, referencing the "Pottery Barn theory." Regarding Gaza, he suggests the potential creation of "two Gazas" leads to an indefinite, burdensome Israeli occupation and creates a breeding ground for future insurgency. 1145-1200 Nuclear Testing, Venezuela Buildup, and Gaza Occupation. Colonel Jeff McCausland criticizes Secretary Hegseth's suggestion that resuming nuclear testing would make nuclear war "less likely," noting that the US deterrent is already credible and testing would destabilize adversaries. He highlights the excessive US military buildup near Venezuela, questioning the post-intervention mission, referencing the "Pottery Barn theory." Regarding Gaza, he suggests the potential creation of "two Gazas" leads to an indefinite, burdensome Israeli occupation and creates a breeding ground for future insurgency. FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 Nigeria, Venezuela Intervention, and China Power Struggles. Gregory Copley discusses Trump's order for military action in Nige. 1215-1230 Nigeria, Venezuela Intervention, and China Power Struggles. Gregory Copley discusses Trump's order for military 1230-1245 Nigeria, Venezuela Intervention, and China Power Struggles. Gregory Copley discusses Trump's order for military action in Nigeria, noting the violence is complex and not strictly genocide against Christians, contrasting it with US refusal to provide past aid. Discussion shifts to the overwhelming US military buildup near Venezuela, which might force Maduro's departure by damaging his credibility, possibly via anti-narcotics action. The interview concludes by analyzing the anticlimactic Trump-Xi meeting, attributing the lack of confrontation to Xi Jinping's significantly weakened position due to China's shattered economy and internal power struggles. 1245-100 AM Nigeria, Venezuela Intervention, and China Power Struggles. Gregory Copley d
Venezuela Pressure Campaign and Asian Diplomacy. Mary Kissel analyzes the massive US military buildup near Venezuela, staged from Roosevelt Roads, noting that the Trump administration prioritizes removing Maduro due to national security threats. She emphasizes that the State Department possesses numerous non-military levers, like sanctions and international pressure through the OAS, to induce Maduro's exit without direct intervention. Kissel also characterizes President Trump's diplomatic engagement at ASEAN and APEC as very successful, securing vital commitments on rare earth mining and processing to counter Chinese economic threats in the Pacific. 1876 BOLIVAR ENTERS CARACAS
Venezuela Pressure Campaign and Asian Diplomacy. Mary Kissel analyzes the massive US military buildup near Venezuela, staged from Roosevelt Roads, noting that the Trump administration prioritizes removing Maduro due to national security threats. She emphasizes that the State Department possesses numerous non-military levers, like sanctions and international pressure through the OAS, to induce Maduro's exit without direct intervention. Kissel also characterizes President Trump's diplomatic engagement at ASEAN and APEC as very successful, securing vital commitments on rare earth mining and processing to counter Chinese economic threats in the Pacific.
PREVIEW. International Pressure Campaign as Alternative to Military Action in Venezuela. Mary Kissel discusses options beyond kinetic military force for dealing with Maduro in Venezuela. She favors an international pressure campaign, like maximum pressure to cut off funds and banking, as politically less risky. Weakening the Venezuelan regime also demonstrates to nations like China, Russia, and Iran that the US opposes their presence in its backyard. 1950 TRINIDAD & TOBAGAO
Diplomacy and Deterrence: Trump's Asia Success and the Venezuela Crisis Guest: Mary Kissel Mary Kissel reviews President Trump's successful engagement in Asia, including the ACEN conference where trade agreements and critical mineral investments were highlighted. She notes the strengthening US-Japanese partnership with Prime Minister Takayuki Sai, calling Japan the only significant military counterbalance to China in the region. Regarding the US carrier deployment near Venezuela, Kissel supports the use of deterrence but raises concerns about the legality of military strikes on alleged drug boats without a declaration of war. The political aim may be to empower Venezuelans to overthrow the Maduro regime.
Diplomacy and Deterrence: Trump's Asia Success and the Venezuela Crisis Guest: Mary Kissel Mary Kissel reviews President Trump's successful engagement in Asia, including the ACEN conference where trade agreements and critical mineral investments were highlighted. She notes the strengthening US-Japanese partnership with Prime Minister Takayuki Sai, calling Japan the only significant military counterbalance to China in the region. Regarding the US carrier deployment near Venezuela, Kissel supports the use of deterrence but raises concerns about the legality of military strikes on alleged drug boats without a declaration of war. The political aim may be to empower Venezuelans to overthrow the Maduro regime.
War Fighting vs. Law Enforcement: Clarifying US Operations Against Venezuelan Drug Trafficking Mary Kissel John Batchelor speaks with Mary Kissel about the confusion regarding the US stance on Venezuela and Maduro. Kissel questions if the large offshore fleet suggests war fighting—making it acceptable to bomb boats and kill people—or if drug trafficking should be handled as a criminal enterprise requiring apprehension and justice processes. She notes that figures like Marco Rubio and Chris Landau would likely support a stronger, deterrent policy. 1917
High-Stakes Diplomacy: US-Russia Peace Talks and CCP Uncertainty Mary Kissel, Stephens Inc., with John Batchelor Kissel analyzes the proposed Trump-Putin meeting in Budapest, suggesting the postponement indicates the US hasn't gained enough leverage to truly incentivize Russia. She labels Russian diplomatic language as manipulation and "verbal mush." Kissel also addresses the rolling purges of generals in the CCP during the Fourth Plenum. She cautions that without transparency, it remains unclear whether these actions consolidate or weaken Xi Jinping's grip on power. 1892 CENTRAL ASIA
High-Stakes Diplomacy: US-Russia Peace Talks and CCP Uncertainty Mary Kissel, Stephens Inc., with John Batchelor Kissel analyzes the proposed Trump-Putin meeting in Budapest, suggesting the postponement indicates the US hasn't gained enough leverage to truly incentivize Russia. She labels Russian diplomatic language as manipulation and "verbal mush." Kissel also addresses the rolling purges of generals in the CCP during the Fourth Plenum. She cautions that without transparency, it remains unclear whether these actions consolidate or weaken Xi Jinping's grip on power. 1896 WESTERN SIBERIA
Europe Responds to Russian Harassment Without US Lead Guest: Mary Kissel Mary Kissel analyzes the European emergency summit in Copenhagen, convened due to alarming mysterious drone activity over European airports, likely instigated by Russia. This harassment, which includes potential risks like hitting a passenger jet, aims to create confusion and test the resolve of the continent. The outcome, focusing on a "drone wall," suggests that the EU is starting to take more responsibility for its own defense, a long-term goal of US presidents. Kissel notes that the US absence from the prominent conversation does not signal the end of NATO. She also highlights that politicians like Starmer and Meloni are moving toward stronger defense measures, realizing that their voting bases are unhappy with current economic and security outcomes 1884 BRUSSELS
PREVIEW: European Allies Consider 'Drone Wall' Amid Russian Harassment and Political Confusion Guest:Mary Kissel The discussion between John Batchelor and Mary Kissel centers on an extraordinary emergency meeting held in Copenhagen by the EU and NATO—not including the US—to address repeated harassment by drones presumed to be launched by Russia. The allies are discussing creating a "drone wall." Mary Kissel emphasizes that the purpose of Russia's actions is to exploit vulnerabilities and create "uncertainty, confusion, deterrence." When President Putin observes Europe from Moscow, he sees nations with "weaker defense capabilities, weaker ties to Washington, and weaker political systems." Specifically, many governments, such as those in Germany, Belgium, and France, are weak, noting that the French government recently collapsed after less than a month. Mary Kissel quotes her colleague, Tom Tugendhat, outlining Russia's aggressive actions in the UK alone, which include using chemical weapons, nuclear poisons, committing sabotage, attempting espionage, and threatening nuclear attack. Ultimately, the goal of Russia's "poking and prodding" is to gauge the reaction of these nations and see if they will implement the drone wall or respond with "just words."
Mary Kissel credits President Trump for his commitment to the Gaza peace plan, which aims for a "de-radicalized terror-free zone" and redevelopment. The plan seeks support from Arab neighbors and envisions significant private sector involvement to rebuild Gaza into a modern, thriving region. Kissel also praises Secretary of State Marco Rubio for his "realist" approach and success in securing the release of US citizens held hostage in Afghanistan. 1898 GAZA
Mary Kissel credits President Trump for his commitment to the Gaza peace plan, which aims for a "de-radicalized terror-free zone" and redevelopment. The plan seeks support from Arab neighbors and envisions significant private sector involvement to rebuild Gaza into a modern, thriving region. Kissel also praises Secretary of State Marco Rubio for his "realist" approach and success in securing the release of US citizens held hostage in Afghanistan. 1914 MT ZION
KISSEL, RUBIO, BATCHELOR The conversation between John Batchelor and colleague Mary Kissel, executive vice president of Stephens Incorporated and former senior advisor at the State Department, focuses on the quiet success of Marco Rubio as Secretary of State. Rubio is highly regarded and is very well liked across the aisle for several reasons. During his distinguished career in the Senate, he was viewed as a reasonable person who was very grounded and possessed clear principles, but who was still able to cooperate with Democrats to find common ground. In the current administration, he is seen as relatively more of a realist and a foreign policy hawk than others in powerful roles. Kissel highlights that Rubio has comported himself successfully at the State Department, establishing a stable and extremely careful administration. Notably, the administration has not seen the typical leaks of memos or complaints that the State Department bureaucracy often uses to undermine the executive floor (the seventh floor at Foggy Bottom). A specific success highlighted is the recovery of one of the hostages held by the Kabul government, the Taliban. The success of the Special Presidential Envoy for Hostage Affairs (SPEHA), who reports up to Rubio and the President, is emphasized, as protecting U.S. citizenry is considered the greatest role for the government. Finally, the President has shown significant confidence in Rubio by naming him National Security Advisorconcurrently with his role as Secretary of State.
Trump Lectures UN on Migration; Europe's Political Shift and NATO's Russian Threat Mary Kissel Mary Kissel analyzes President Trump's UN speech condemning global migration, noting its resonance with European populist movements. She attributes Europe's lagging growth and AI deficit to excessive spending and regulation. 1918
Trump Lectures UN on Migration; Europe's Political Shift and NATO's Russian Threat Mary Kissel Mary Kissel analyzes President Trump's UN speech condemning global migration, noting its resonance with European populist movements. She attributes Europe's lagging growth and AI deficit to excessive spending and regulation. 1948 UN
Preview: Mary Kissel analyzes President Trump's UN speech condemning global migration, noting its resonance with European populist movements. She attributes Europe's lagging growth and AI deficit to excessive spending and regulation. 1906 BRUSSELS
HEADLINE: US Diplomat Addresses Failed Doha Strike Amidst Iranian Defiance GUEST AND TITLE: Mary Kissel, Executive Vice President, Stephens Incorporated, former Senior Advisor for the Secretary of State SUMMARY: Mary Kissel discusses Secretary of State Marco Rubio's diplomatic shuttle after an unsuccessful Israeli airstrike in Doha targeting Hamas leadership. Despite the failure, she believes Israel's defense capabilities and past decapitation efforts were incredible, fostering public resolve against terrorism. Kissel notes Qatar's role as a money-laundering center and host of terror groups, despite its strategic importance to the US. She emphasizes that Iran, the world's largest state sponsor of terrorism, remains defiant regarding its nuclear and missile programs, posing an ongoing challenge for Israel and the US. 1904 doha
PREVIEW: Guest Name: Mary Kissel Summary: Mary Kissel reflects on an emergency meeting of Arab states in Doha regarding the Israel-Hamas conflict. She compares it to OIC gatherings, suggesting these meetings are largely for show and propaganda, noting that privately, Gulf leaders acknowledge Iran as a problem that needs to be contained. Formal Name: Mary Kissel, Executive Vice President, Stephens Incorporated
Summary: Mary Kissel details US efforts to re-establish deterrence against Nicolás Maduro's regime in Venezuela, including declaring him an outlaw and targeting drug operations. She also addresses global migration challenges. 1953
CONTINUED Summary: Mary Kissel details US efforts to re-establish deterrence against Nicolás Maduro's regime in Venezuela, including declaring him an outlaw and targeting drug operations. She also addresses global migration challenges. 1958
PREVIEW. Guest Name: Mary Kissel Summary: Mary Kissel outlines the US strategy for Venezuela, focusing on empowering its people for internal regime change rather than direct intervention, and leveraging international support for a new government. 1922 CARACAS
#STATETHINKING: @MARYKISSEL FORMER SENIOR ADVISER TO THE SECRETARY OF STATE. EXECUTIVE VP STEPHENS INC. Mary Kissel: Mary Kissel critiques China's military parade, labeling Xi Jinping's claim of sole WWII victory a "complete fiction" aimed at promoting a "new world order" and expanding influence. She expresses concern over India's presence at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit, viewing it as a potential move towards neutrality that could undermine US efforts to counter China's regional militarization. Kissel also attributes the rise of Eurosceptic, pro-Russian populist parties in Europe to the failure of mainstream political parties to adequately address citizens' economic realities, leading to cynicism and a challenge to US policy. 1908 PEKING
CONTINUED: Mary Kissel: Mary Kissel critiques China's military parade, labeling Xi Jinping's claim of sole WWII victory a "complete fiction" aimed at promoting a "new world order" and expanding influence. She expresses concern over India's presence at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit, viewing it as a potential move towards neutrality that could undermine US efforts to counter China's regional militarization. Kissel also attributes the rise of Eurosceptic, pro-Russian populist parties in Europe to the failure of mainstream political parties to adequately address citizens' economic realities, leading to cynicism and a challenge to US policy. 1906 DRUM TOWER PEKING
PREVIEW: CCP PARADE: Colleague Mary Kissel comments on the incessant military boasting by the PRC. More later. 1958 WELCOMING KIM OF DPRK.
Preview: Ukraine. Colleague Mary Kissel comments that the Kremlin under Putin intends much differently than the peace sought by POTUS Trump. More later. 1914 RUSSIA
Preview: Putin in Alaska. Colleague Mary Kissel compares and contrasts the first term Helsinki meeting of Trump and Putin with the second term meeting in Anchorage. More later. 1910 VALDEZ ALASKA
Preview: Hong Kong: Colleague Mary Kissel comments that the CCP heavy hand makes it unlikely that Hong Kong can recover a world class status. More. 1925
Preview: Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Colleague Mary Kissel comments on the candid remarks by StateSec Rubio. More. 1834
"PREVIEW: Colleague Mary Kissel explains how inadequate oversight for USAID programs leads to waste and abuse. More tonight." 1903
"PREVIEW: Colleague Mary Kissel explains USAID funding and reveals surprising patterns in aid distribution. More tonight. 1871 COMMUNE