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This week Thomas is joined by academic and RUSI fellow, Dr. Burcu Ozcelik, a leading expert on Turkish domestic and foreign policy, particularly its relations with the Kurds and the Middle East. With a Ph.D. from Cambridge University on the topic of the PKK and their path to political reconciliation, Burcu has written widely about the Kurds and their relationship with the Turkish state - you can find her work over on X @BurcuAOzcelik Burcu provides a deep dive into the history of the Kurds, a people divided across national borders after the fall of the Ottoman Empire, and traces the evolution of the PKK from its Marxist-Leninist, separatist origins to a group that has now shifted its focus to achieving political and cultural rights within Turkey. The pair also explore the political motives of President Erdoğan and the Turkish establishment, who are seeking to finally resolve the Kurdish issue as a matter of long-term statecraft, before concluding with a forward-looking analysis of Turkey's role as a rising middle power in the post-Assad Middle East, which now prioritizes stability and economic connectivity over past ideological ambitions. To listen to the full episode, you'll need to subscribe to the Conflicted Community. And don't forget, subscribers can also join our Conflicted Community chatroom, where you can interact with fellow dearest listeners, discuss episodes past and future, get exclusive messages from Thomas and Aimen, ask future Q&A questions and so much more. All the information you need to sign up is on this link: https://conflicted.supportingcast.fm/ Conflicted is proudly made by Message Heard, a full-stack podcast production agency which uses its extensive expertise to make its own shows such as Conflicted, shows for commissioners such as the BBC, Spotify and Al Jazeera, and powerfully effective podcasts for other companies too. If you'd like to find out how we can help get your organisation's message heard, visit messageheard.com or drop an email to hello@messageheard.com! Find us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MHconflicted And Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MHconflicted Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The latest chapter in a nearly year-long crackdown on the main opposition is unfolding in Turkey, where it seems Turkish President Erdogan is using the courts to effectively neuter the opposition. As Erdogan moves Turkey closer to a Russia-style autocracy, what does this mean for the opposition and ultimately for the West? Thanos Davelis breaks these questions down today with Wolfango Piccoli, the co-founder of risk analysis company Teneo. You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Turkey's opposition head accuses Erdoğan of legal ‘coup'Turkey's 'tough guy' president says he's tackling corruption. Rivals say he's silencing oppositionGreece deemed critical to US energy planSenate GOP advances Guilfoyle's nomination for Athens
Türkiye'de eski öldü, yeni ise henüz doğmadı. Erdoğan kendisine yeni bir rejim kurdu; ancak bu rejim halka otoriter baskıdan, sömürgeleştirilmekten, iradesizleştirilmekten başka ne vadediyor? Tüm bu soruların gölgesinde Gürsel Tekin, tüm yargı hiyerarşisini hiçe sayarak alınan bir kararla İstanbul il Başkanlığı kayyumu oldu. Trend Topic'in bu bölümünde Ozan Gündoğdu, iktidarın CHP üzerindeki kuşatmasını değerlendiriyor. Tüm bölümleri dinlemek ve daha fazlası için podbeemedia.com'u ziyaret et! ------ Podbee Sunar ------- Bu podcast, Garanti BBVA reklamı içermektedir. Bonus Platinum'un avantajlarını keşfet!
Die größte Oppositionspartei der Türkei wird weiter geschwächt. Der französische Premier verliert die Vertrauensfrage. Und: Im politischen Berlin ist die Sommerpause endgültig vorbei. Das ist die Lage am Dienstagmorgen. die Artikel zum Nachlesen: Erdoğans juristischer Putsch Der Premier stürzt, die Krise bleibt Team Merz ist gefangen in lahmen Ritualen+++ Alle Infos zu unseren Werbepartnern finden Sie hier. Die SPIEGEL-Gruppe ist nicht für den Inhalt dieser Seite verantwortlich. +++ Den SPIEGEL-WhatsApp-Kanal finden Sie hier. Alle SPIEGEL Podcasts finden Sie hier. Mehr Hintergründe zum Thema erhalten Sie mit SPIEGEL+. Entdecken Sie die digitale Welt des SPIEGEL, unter spiegel.de/abonnieren finden Sie das passende Angebot. Informationen zu unserer Datenschutzerklärung.
Kurul Sofram Kurul Masal: Grimm Kardeşler Düzenleyen: Yahya Uluğ Yöneten: Yahya Uluğ, Ece Zehra Kayıhan Süpervizör: Alper Baytekin Ses Düzenleme: Çağrı Aygün Seslendiren: Bizim Çocuklar Tiyatro Ekibi Can Zenar, Ceren Temizkan, Ece Ayaz, Elif Eliaçık, İdil Su Tabakçı, Kayra Can Demirci, Maya Uygur, Mehmet Poyraz Taş, Olcan Mut, Salih Taha Yılmaz, Tuana Songür, Yağmur Erdoğan, Zeynep Polat, Zeynep Tütüncü Üç oğlunu nankör ve yalan soyleyen bir keçi yüzünden evden kovan fakir bir terzi, her birinin eve dönüşünde ilginç hediyeler alır: Kendi kendine yemek hazırlayan sihirli bir masa, asla bitmeyen tükenmeyen altın veren bir eşek ve hırsızları uzaklaştıran sihirli bir sopa. Ancak açgözlü bir han sahibi bu hediyeleri sihirli sopayla karşılana kadar çalar. Üç kardeşin zekâsı ve iş birliği sayesinde adalet yerini bulur; masa ve eşek gerçek sahiplerine kavuşur. Bu masalda dürüstlüğün, emeğin ve açgözlülüğün birbirine karışan hikayesini sizin için anlattık.
In Istanbul hat die Polizei die Zentrale der größten türkischen Oppositionspartei CHP abgeriegelt. Es kam zu Protesten. Was die türkische Regierung damit zu tun hat und ob die Lage in der Türkei jetzt möglicherweise eskaliert.**********Ihr könnt uns auch auf diesen Kanälen folgen: TikTok und Instagram .
Trump'ın Erdoğan'ı taklit ettiği fikri doğru olsa da olmasa da bizim insanımızı gülümsetiyor. Erdoğan, Türkiye'nin en “elit” üniversitesi Boğaziçi Üniversitesi'nin Türk-İslam sentezine uygun eğitime geçmesi için başına kayyım rektörler mi getiriyor? Trump da sanki ondan geri kalmamak için ABD'nin bir numarası Harvard Üniversitesi'ni muhafazakâr bir ideolojik atmosfere zorlamak için yapmadık baskı bırakmıyor. Bu durumda bir Erdoğan muhalifinin sosyal medya hesabında “vay canına, bizim lider dünya lideri deyip durmakta haklılarmış” diye işi şakaya vurmasını anlamamak mümkün mü?
Açık Oturum'un 491. bölümünde CHP İstanbul İl Başkanlığı'na kayyum atanması ve 15 Eylül'de görülecek CHP ana davası ele alındı. Göksel Göksu'nun sorularını yanıtlayan siyaset bilimciler Prof. Dr. Gülgün Erdoğan Tosun, BUPAR Araştırma Direktörü Onur Alp Yılmaz ve Koç Üniversitesi Öğretim Üyesi Prof. Dr. Ali Çarkoğlu mahkemenin mutlak butlan kararı alması halinde olabilecekleri, Türk siyasetinin evrildiği noktayı ve CHP'yi bekleyen bölünme tehlikesi ile muhalefetin hangi zeminde nasıl kenetlenmesi gerektiğini değerlendirdi. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Die Verfassung der Türkei lässt sich indirekt auf den Militärputsch von 1980 zurückführen. Ihm gehen wirtschaftliche und politische Instabilität voraus. Zum Anlass nimmt General Evren am 12. September unter anderem ein Massaker an Aleviten in Çorum.**********Ihr hört in dieser "Eine Stunde History":10:58 - Günther Seufert, Türkeiexperte und Soziologe22:49 - Maurus Reinkowski, Historiker35:20 - Christian Buttkereit, Journalist und ehemaliger ARD-Korrespondent für die Türkei**********Mehr zum Thema bei Deutschlandfunk Nova:Proteste in der Türkei: Hat Erdoğan seine Gegner unterschätzt?Türkei: Wie lange die Proteste anhalten werdenTürkei: Wer kann Erdoğan noch stoppen?**********Den Artikel zum Stück findet ihr hier.**********Ihr könnt uns auch auf diesen Kanälen folgen: TikTok und Instagram .**********In dieser Folge mit: Moderation: Markus Dichmann Gesprächspartner: Dr. Matthias von Hellfeld, Deutschlandfunk-Nova-Geschichtsexperte
The Economist just ran a story about the Shanghai Co-operation Organization summit that took place, calling it Xi Jinping's anti-American party. This party also included world leaders like Turkish President Erdogan. Sinan Ciddi, a non-resident senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and an expert on Turkish politics, joins Thanos Davelis as we look into Erdogan's cozying up to China and what it means for the US.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Xi Jinping's anti-American partyTurkey's Erdogan holds hands with Iran's Pezeshkian, sparks online buzzPutin, Modi and Erdoğan among leaders in China for talks with XiMitsotakis and Erdogan likely to meet this monthAthens sends message to Nicosia over power cable project
Sudul global strânge rândurile, pe măsură ce Statele Unite sub Donald Trump se îndepărtează de Europa. La reuniunea Organizației de Cooperare de la Shanghai (SCO) de la Tianjin, gazda Xi Jinping a cerut o mai mare unitate între membri și a anunțat un program cuprinzător de creditare. Printre participanți s-au numărat președintele rus Vladimir Putin. Presa internațională analizează situația. ”Beijingul se profilează ca un al doilea centru de putere globală”, observă ziarul italian Corriere della Sera, citat de Eurotopics, „Prezența lui Modi, Putin și a altora, precum președintele turc Erdoğan și președintele iranian Masoud Pezeshkian, i-a oferit lui Xi Jinping oportunitatea de a-și relansa ideea unei alternative la ordinea mondială occidentală. ... La cina de gală, președintele chinez a subliniat convergența intereselor dintre țările «Sudului global»,.” Însă contururile alianței sunt încă neclare, notează ziarul german Handelsblat, observând slăbiciunile grupului: „Diferențele dintre India și China, neîncrederea republicilor din Asia Centrală față de Kremlin, conflictul dintre Pakistan și India: Occidentul poate folosi toate acestea pentru a menține deschise liniile de falie din cadrul alianței. SCO este încă mai degrabă un mozaic fragil decât un bloc monolitic.” Iar Financial Times consideră că prezența lui Vladimir Putin „subminează imaginea pe care Beijingul dorește să o proiecteze ca mare campion al stabilității și multilateralismului”. ”Umilită de Donald Trump, India își relansează relațiile cu China”, titrează Le Monde. ”Încolțit de sancțiuni vamale americane luate brusc – penalități de 50% pentru produsele indiene, tarife motivate, potrivit președintelui Donald Trump, de importurile de petrol rusesc – prim-ministrul indian Narendra Modi a decis să se apropie de Beijing, rivalul și dușmanul său”. ”În mijlocul unui conflict comercial cu Washingtonul, strângerea de mână este încărcată de simbolism”, consideră Le Figaro. Dar ”deși tensiunile dintre cele două puteri nucleare s-au relaxat (...), punctele de dispută rămân. În 2020, cele două armate s-au ciocnit în apropierea regiunii indiene Ladakh, lăsând cel puțin 24 de morți pe câmpul de luptă. Iar anul trecut, India a înregistrat un deficit comercial de 99 de miliarde de dolari cu China” mai scrie ziarul francez. A fost „un summit prezentat pe scară largă ca o oportunitate unică pentru China de a-și etala aura geopolitică”, comentează ziarul japonez Nikkei Asia, preluat de Courrier International. Liderul de la Beijing a pledat pentru „o lume multipolară bazată pe egalitate și ordine”. „India este piatra de temelie a strategiei americane de a împiedica China să domine Asia” notează The Wall Street Journal. ”Cu toate acestea, relațiile cu India au devenit ”execrabile de la decizia republicanului de a impune tarife punitive de 50% din cauza achizițiilor masive de petrol din Rusia (...). Washingtonul nu dă nici cel mai mic semn de dorință de a-și schimba poziția și niciun prim-ministru al Indiei, cea mai mare democrație din lume, nu își poate permite să ignore opinia publică”. A fost un eveniment conceput, așa cum explică Foreign Policy, „atât pentru Statele Unite, Japonia, Taiwan și alte țări de la granițele maritime ale Chinei, cât și pentru spectatorii chinezi”, dar și ca o modalitate prin care Xi Jinping (...) a face mai mult loc Chinei”.
Turkey is facing a growing global problem: a declining birth rate. The number of babies being born reached an all-time low in 2024, of 1.48 children born per woman - that's well below the replacement level of 2.10. The country's President, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, is calling the drop in fertility rate "a disaster" and has declared 2025 the "Year of the Family", promising incentives for parents. President Erdoğan is focusing on saving traditional family values, which he says are under threat, and is encouraging women to have at least three children. However, many in Turkey say it is the faltering economy - with inflation at around 35% - that is making it impossible to grow their families.If you'd like to get in touch with the programme, you can email us: businessdaily@bbc.co.uk Presented and produced by Emily Wither with Zeynep Bilginsoy(Picture: A mother holds her baby during a visit to Anitkabir, the mausoleum of Turkish Republic's Founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk on National Sovereignty and Children's Day, a national holiday dedicated to children, in Ankara. Credit: Getty Images)
Jewish Policy Center Senior Director Shoshana Bryen hosted Professor Mark Meirowitz, a foreign policy and Turkey expert from SUNY Maritime College, for a deep dive into Ankara's growing regional role, its involvement in Syria's evolution, and its increasingly fraught relationship with Israel. With characteristic clarity and urgency, Prof. Meirowitz broke down the labyrinth of regional alliances and rivalries, calling the situation “literally mind-boggling” and comparing Syria to a “petri dish for chaos.” HTS, Al-Shara, and the Shake-up in Syria The ousting of Bashar Assad by the jihadist group Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), led by Ahmed al-Shara (also known as al-Jolani), marks a significant shift in Syria's power structure—and possibly the region's. Once associated with al-Qaeda and ISIS, al-Jolani now wears suits and promotes a veneer of moderation. “Maybe the Turks provided him with some of these outfits,” Meirowitz quipped, questioning the authenticity of his transformation. Al-Jolani was “boosted by” Turkish support, Meirowitz explained, calling him a Turkish client rather than an independent actor. HTS's limited control—bolstered by foreign fighters like Uyghurs—has led to violent, sectarian repression, particularly against Alawites, Druze, Christians, and Kurds. “We're with al-Shara, and a lot of people are depending on him,” Meirowitz said ominously. Turkey's Interests: Stabilizing Syria to Serve Domestic Needs Turkey's involvement, Meirowitz stressed, is strategic. With over 3 million Syrian refugees inside its borders, Ankara is pressuring Damascus to stabilize and repatriate them. “The Turks want them back to Syria,” he said, noting the domestic strain and political sensitivity of the refugee crisis. Turkey has walked a fine line—signing infrastructure and defense agreements with HTS-controlled Syria while avoiding giving it full military autonomy. “Turkey's position is that Al-Shara is the go-to person… Let al-Shara unify the country,” Meirowitz explained. But internal Kurdish dynamics—particularly involving PKK, now in peace talks with Erdogan's government—make full alignment with HTS and Syrian Kurds tenuous. Will Turkey's NATO Membership Complicate It All? One of the more sobering insights from Meirowitz was the hypothetical scenario of Turkey, a NATO power, declaring a no-fly zone over Syria—potentially triggering Article 5 protections if hostilities break out with Israel. “That, to me, is the number one worry… that Israel and Turkey would come to conflict,” he warned. He emphasized the ongoing “deconfliction meetings” between Israel and Turkey, and Israel and Syria—possibly triangulating with al-Jolani himself. But of all the moving parts, Meirowitz emphasized Turkey's NATO status remains a critical leverage point: “Let's be realistic here. If there was a skirmish…Article 5 could be on the table.” Humanitarian Crises and Jihadi Control: Who is Really Running Syria? The ongoing massacres of minorities, particularly the Druze in Suweida, raise urgent questions about al-Jolani's power. “Has he lost control over the jihadis in his own ranks?” Meirowitz pondered, highlighting the grim possibility of Syria spiraling toward becoming a full-blown jihadi state. “The optics are totally opposed to [the idea of moderation],” he said, noting public executions and forced beard-shaving of Druze men as disturbing parallels to Nazi visual propaganda. “Clearly, this is reprehensible. The United States isn’t going to stand for it,” he added, referring to conditional American Congressional support for lifting sanctions on Syria. Erdogan's Domestic Calculations: Kurds, Elections, and Power Turning inward, Turkey's President Erdoğan is eyeing another term in 2028. Despite constitutional term limits, he may seek early elections or amendments—with the support of Kurdish parliamentarians. “He’s very popular in Turkey,” Meirowitz said, crediting Erdoğan's projection of Turkey as a global power broker. “Turkey's been made into a player on the world stage.” However, he noted Turkey's lira is down, inflation is high, and economic growth is tenuous beneath the surface. This tension is compounded by Erdoğan's crackdown on political opponents, including jailing rivals and invalidating degrees to prevent candidacies. The Bigger Stage: Turkey in Africa, NATO, and the UN Turkey's ambitions extend far beyond Syria. From military expansion in Africa to attempting alignment with BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Ankara aims to diversify its global relevance. “They see themselves as undervalued,” noted Meirowitz. “It's not aggrandizement—it's coming from a feeling of being ignored.” Erdogan's call that “the world is bigger than five” is a veiled critique of the UN Security Council's permanent members—hinting at Turkey's desire for global restructuring that reflects its new stature. “They're trying to flex their muscles,” as one webinar participant insightfully noted. Israel, Hamas, and the Limits of Pragmatism Meirowitz criticized Turkey's staunch support for Hamas and Hezbollah, calling it “a rabbit hole of disaster.” While support for Palestinian causes earns Erdogan domestic points, it's constraining Turkey's global relationships. “If everybody's a freedom fighter, that doesn't fly,” he said. At times, Israel and Turkey have found pragmatic partnership—like continued trade and oil transits during Syria's civil war—but the anti-Israel posture, sanctions, and rhetoric place those gains at risk. “We need to get together,” Meirowitz relayed from a Turkish businessman. “We like the same things… same food… same values.” Final Thoughts: Cautious Optimism, But Beware the Fault Lines In his closing remarks, Prof. Meirowitz struck a “guarded optimism” tone for Turkey's trajectory. “I believe Turkish leadership is going to give further thought to these directions,” he said, hoping Ankara will reconsider its Hamas alliance for more fruitful cooperation with Israel and the West. Bryen offered sober context: “Israel and Iran were friends once, too—until they weren't.” As Prof. Meirowitz put it, “Hamas is not a future for Turkey.” As the region’s political tectonics keep shifting, one question looms: Will Turkey's pragmatism prevail over ideology—or will ambition lead it down a path of strategic overreach? The answer, as Bryen put it, remains a moving thread.
Cumhurbaşkanı Erdoğan, Japon Nihon Shimbun gazetesi için bir makale kaleme almış… 149 yıllık tarihe sahip, günlük 3 milyonluk tirajıyla dünyanın en büyük ekonomi gazetesi olduğu ifade edilen Nihon Shimbun'daki makale Japonca ve İngilizce yayınlanmış.
Bu bölümde konuğum bir mimar ve moda tasarımcısı Niyazi Erdoğan.Niyazi, daha çok erkeklere yönelik tasarımlarıyla adını duyursa da, dünyaca ünlü tekstil firmalarına da danışmanlık yapan, tekstil sektörünü de çok iyi bilen bir isim.Niyazi ile sohbete Tarsus'taki çocukluğundan başladık; mimarlıktan moda tasarımına ulaşan yolculuğunda "yeniden ve yeniden baştan başlamak"tan eğitime, kolektif çalışmadan, "kendimizi sevmememize" pek çok konudan söz açtık."Nasıl solunur?" başlığı altında Türk tekstil sektörününün bugünkü halinden de bahsettik. Dinleyiniz. Gazeteci#Journalist ~ #Art- #Food- #Travel lover ~ #EnthusiastBooks:
Cumhurbaşkanı Erdoğan ve MHP lideri Bahçeli'nin Malazgirt Zaferi'nin yıldönümüne dair açıklamalarında çözüm süreci mesajları öne çıktı. Hakem Kurulu, memur zammı için kararını açıkladı, sendikalar tepki olarak kuruldan çekildi.Bu bölüm BYD hakkında reklam içermektedir. BYD DOLPHIN, gelişmiş teknolojisiyle Türkiye'de elektrikli hatchback segmentine yeni bir standart getiriyor. Zarif gövde hatları keskin çizgileriyle okyanustan ilham alan tasarımı ve zengin donanım özellikleri ile öne çıkıyor. BYD DOLPHIN ile buradan tanışabilirsiniz.
Both Israel and Türkiye see Syria as a prize to be grasped; for President Erdoğan as a zone of influence and economic opportunity; for the far right extremists in the Netanyahu government as an opportunity to seize territory in pursuing their vision of Greater Israel. First podcast 8 January 2025. Sign up NOW at ArabDigest.org for free to join the club and start receiving our daily newsletter & weekly podcasts.
Necip Bahadir | Erdoğan'ın kodları, Bahçeli'nin şifreleri! by Tr724
Turkey set to host a Nato summit for a second time. Monocle’s Istanbul correspondent highlights Turkey’s growing role on the international stage. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Meclis'te kurulan Milli Dayanışma, Kardeşlik ve Demokrasi Komisyonu ne anlama geliyor? PKK'nın silah bırakma süreci, DEM Parti'yle kurulan yeni temaslar ve Bahçeli-Erdoğan hattındaki gerilim… Ozan Gündoğdu bu bölümde barışın stratejik önemini, siyasetin yönünü ve demokratikleşme ihtiyacını değerlendiriyor. ------- Podbee Sunar ------- Bu podcast, Garanti BBVA reklamı içermektedir. Bonus Platinum'un avantajlarını keşfet!
In Part 1 of our latest edition in the special series in partnership with the Journal of Democracy, Berk Esen unpacks how Turkey's competitive authoritarian regime is veering toward full autocracy.Drawing on his co-authored piece with Şebnem Gümüşçü, “How to Fight Turkey's Authoritarian Turn” (July 2025, Vol. 36, No. 3), Esen charts Erdoğan's intensifying use of courts, media, and economic coercion to silence dissent andsideline his chief rival in the next presidential elections, Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu. He discusses Turkey's drift from electoral competitiveness toward hegemonic rule, the role of autocratic legalism, and the prospects for resistance in a rapidly shrinking democratic space.
NATO Genel Sekreteri, Soğuk Savaş dönemindeki Baltık modelini hatırlatarak Rusya'nın Ukrayna işgalinin siyaseten kabul edilmemesi gerektiğini söyledi. Cumhurbaşkanı Erdoğan, süreç komisyonuna her türlü desteği verdiklerini belirtti.Bu bölüm Garanti BBVA Portföy hakkında reklam içermektedir. Bugünden geleceğe yatırım yapmak için siz de birikimlerinizi Garanti BBVA Portföy'ün fon evreni ile çeşitlendirebilirsiniz. Ayrıntılı bilgiye buradan ulaşabilirsiniz.
Türkiye'nin siyasal gerilimi artık sadece bir fikirler çatışması değil, aynı zamanda bir duygu patlaması. Bu bölümde Ozan Gündoğdu, “Anti-Erdoğancılık” olgusunu bir tür Travma Sonrası Stres Bozukluğu metaforuyla ele alıyor. ------- Podbee Sunar ------- Bu podcast, Garanti BBVA reklamı içermektedir. Bonus Platinum'un avantajlarını keşfet!
Ankara is aiming to dodge President Donald Trump's threat of sanctions against countries that trade with Russia. While Turkey is the third largest importer of Russian goods, it has largely escaped international sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine. However, with Trump vowing to get tough with Moscow if it fails to make peace with Kyiv, that could change. “I am going to make a new deadline of about 10 or 12 days from today," Trump declared at a press conference on 28 July during his visit to Scotland. "There is no reason to wait 50 days. I wanted to be generous, but we don't see any progress being made.” The American president admitted his efforts to end the Ukraine war had failed and that his patience with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, was at an end. Turkish President Erdogan ready to rekindle friendship with Trump Trump later confirmed 8 August as the date for the new measures. With US-Russian trade down 90 percent since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Trump warned that other countries importing Russian goods would also be hit by secondary sanctions. “If you take his [Trump] promises at face value, then he should look at all countries that import any Russian commodities that is of primary importance to the Russian budget - this includes, of course, crude oil, and here you have China and India mostly,” explained George Voloshin of Acams, a global organisation dedicated to anti-financial crime, training and education. Voloshin also claims that Turkey could be a target as well. “In terms of petroleum products, Turkey is one of the big importers. It also refines Russian petroleum in its own refineries," Voloshin added. "Turkey imports lots of Russian gas through the TurkStream pipeline. Turkey is very much dependent on Russian gas and Russian petroleum products." Turkey's rivalry with Iran shifts as US threats create unlikely common ground Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Ankara insists it is only bound by United Nations sanctions. Last year, Turkey was Russia's third-largest export market, with Russian natural gas accounting for more than 40 percent of its energy needs. Putin has used Turkey's lack of meaningful domestic energy reserves and dependence on Russian gas to develop a close relationship with his Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. “Putin knows that no matter what Trump wants, Turkey is not going to act in any military or sanctions capacity against Russia and Iran. You know, these are Turkey's red lines. We can't do it,” said analyst Atilla Yeşilada of Global Source Partners. “Trump is 10,000 miles away. These people are our neighbours,” added Yeşilada. “So Putin doesn't think of Turkey as a threat, but as an economic opportunity, and perhaps as a way to do things with the West that he doesn't want to do directly.” Ankara is performing a delicate balancing act. While maintaining trading ties with Russia, Erdoğan remains a strong supporter of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Turkey is a major arms seller to Ukraine, while at the same time, Erdoğan continues to try and broker peace between the warring parties. Last month, Istanbul was the venue for Russian–Ukrainian talks for the second time in as many months. Such efforts drew the praise of Trump. Trump and Erdogan grow closer as cooperation on Syria deepens Trump's pressure mounts on energy and trade The American president has made no secret of his liking for Erdoğan, even calling him a friend. Such close ties, along with Turkey's regional importance to Washington, analysts say, is a factor in Ankara's Western allies turning a blind eye to its ongoing trade with Russia. “I think Turkey has got a pass on several levels from Russian sanctions,” observed regional expert Sinan Ciddi of the Washington-based think tank the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. However, Ciddi cautions that Trump remains unpredictable and that previous actions are no guarantee for the future. “Past experience is not an indicator of future happenings. We just don't know what Trump will demand. This is not a fully predictive administration in Washington,” Ciddi said. “We do know right now that he [Trump] is very unhappy with Putin. He blames Putin for prolonging the Ukraine war,” added Ciddi. Change of stance "And if he feels sufficiently upset, there is a possibility that no waivers will be granted to any country. Turkey will be up against a very, very unappetising and unenviable set of choices to make.” Trump has successfully lobbied the European Union to increase its purchases of American liquefied natural gas (LNG), replacing Russian imports. Similar demands could put Ankara in a difficult position. “If Trump pressures Turkey not to buy Russian natural gas, that would definitely be a huge shock,” warned Yeşilada. “Trump might say, for instance: 'Buy energy from me or whatever.' But I don't think we're there yet. There is no way Turkey can replace Russian gas.” However, Trump could point to Turkey's recent expansion of its LNG facilities, which now include five terminals and have excess capacity to cover Russian imports, although storage facilities remain a challenge. Turkey's energy infrastructure is also built around receiving Russian energy, and any shift to American energy would likely be hugely disruptive and expensive, at a time when the Turkish economy is in crisis. Putin retains another energy card over Erdoğan. A Russian company is building a huge nuclear power plant in Turkey, which could account for 20 percent of the country's energy needs. Ciddi argues Erdoğan is now paying the price of over-relying on Russia. Turkey's Erdogan sees new Trump presidency as opportunity “There is no need to have resorted to making Ankara this dependent on natural gas, nuclear energy, or for that matter bilateral trade. This was a choice by Erdoğan,” said Ciddi. “The fact it is so dependent on so many levels in an almost unique way is something that Turkey will have to rethink.” But for now, Erdoğan will likely be relying on his expertise in diplomatic balancing acts, along with his close ties to Trump and Turkey's importance to Washington's regional goals, to once again escape the worst of any sanctions over Russian trade – although Trump may yet extract a price for such a concession.
Just after Joe Biden's disastrous presidential debate in June of last year and just before the annual NATO Summit Arab Digest invited a leading Washington-based Middle East and Türkiye analyst onto the podcast to discuss amongst other matters what a Trump presidency would mean for Türkiye and the wider Middle East region. Sign up NOW at ArabDigest.org for free to join the club and start receiving our daily newsletter & weekly podcasts.
Will the world look away as Gazans are being starved to death and driven out of Gaza? Is the plan for Gaza to become part of Israel? Is that the position of the Trump administration? Given that Trump is quickly moving America toward autocracy, it shouldn't be surprising that he himself displays the so-called Dark Triad of personality characteristics that are so easily observed in historical figures like Hitler, Pinochet, Mussolini, and modern-day autocrats like Putin, Orbán, and Erdoğon.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
In this episode of Middle East Focus, hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj are joined by MEI Senior Fellow Gönül Tol to discuss how shifting regional dynamics — from the Israel-Iran war to renewed violence in southern Syria — are reshaping Turkey's foreign policy and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's domestic agenda. They unpack Ankara's ties with the US under the Trump administration, its strained relations with Israel, the implications of Turkey's peace process with the PKK, and Erdoğan's bid to maintain his hold on power. The conversation also explores how Turkey is positioning itself as Western engagement grows more uncertain and what this means for the future of democracy in the country. Listen to Gönül's podcast Rethinking Democracy, where she explores threats to democracy at home and abroad — and how to counter them — at the link below: https://www.mei.edu/podcast/rethinking-democracy
Gazze'de 3 günde 21 çocuğun daha açlıktan öldüğü açıklandı; Cumhurbaşkanı Erdoğan uluslararası topluma çağrı yaptı. Bakan Fidan, "Suriye'yi bölmeye çalışırsanız müdahale ederiz" dedi.Bu bölüm Buselik Meyhane hakkında reklam içermektedir. Yenilenen menüsüyle Buselik Meyhane, samimi atmosferi ve özel tatlarıyla geleneksel meyhane kültürünü yaşatmaya devam ediyor. Yaz akşamlarını dostlarla, enfes lezzetler eşliğinde, hafif bir esinti ve tatlı bir melodiyle paylaşmak için sizleri bekliyor. Buselik Meyhane'nin yenilenen menüsünü buradan inceleyebilirsiniz. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Gazze'de açlık sebebiyle son 24 saatte 18 kişi ölürken yardım bekleyenler bir kez daha saldırıya uğradı. Kıbrıs Barış Harekatı'nın 51. yılında konuşan Cumhurbaşkanı Erdoğan, "Kıbrıs Türkleri bir 60 yıl daha kaybedemez" dedi.Bu bölüm GarantiBBVA Portföy hakkında reklam içermektedir. GRO-Garanti Portföy Otuzuncu Serbest (Döviz) Fon döviz cinsi varlık ve işlemlere yatırım yapan portföyüyle, birikimlerinizi USD cinsinden değerlendirme imkanı sunuyor. GRO-Garanti Portföy Otuzuncu Serbest (Döviz) Fon hakkında ayrıntılı bilgiye buradan ulaşabilirsiniz. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Earlier this week it seems President Trump took a new stance on Ukraine, announcing a new plan to speed weapons to the war-torn country along with the threat of a new round of punishing sanctions. At the same time, he doubled down on tariffs this past weekend, threatening 30% tariffs on the EU. Ian Lesser, the vice president and Brussels chief of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, joins Thanos Davelis to look into what these shifts mean for Europe.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Trump's Shift on Ukraine Is Good News for Europe, for NowTrump intensifies trade war with threat of 30% tariffs on EU, MexicoEurope's freedom faces greatest threat since WW2, Macron saysTurkish court sentences Erdoğan's top rival to almost 2 years in prisonTourism receipts fall despite visitor surge
Journalist and author Suzy Hansen will returns to This Is Hell! To talk about her New York Magazine article, "Crimes of the Century: How Israel, with the help of the U.S., broke not only Gaza but the foundations of humanitarian law." Suzy is the author of, "Notes on a Foreign Country: An American Abroad in a Post-American World," which was a finalist for the 2018 Pulitzer Prize. Her new book, "From Life Itself: Turkey, Istanbul, and a Neighborhood in the Age of Erdoğan," will be published in April by Farrar, Straus and Giroux. https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/israel-palestine-gaza-war-crimes-genocide.html A new installment of “This Week In Rotten History” from Renaldo Migaldi follows the interview. Help keep This Is Hell! completely listener supported and access bonus episodes by subscribing to our Patreon: www.patreon.com/thisishell Help keep This Is Hell! completely listener supported and access bonus episodes by subscribing to our Patreon.
It seems Erdogan's main political opponents - primarily from the main opposition - are up against an unprecedented crackdown over the past months that has seen more than 500 people detained. Erdogan has said this government probe targets what he has called a network that is like "an octopus,” both within Turkey and abroad. Ayla Jean Yackley, an Istanbul-based journalist covering Turkey with stories in The Financial Times, Politico, and other major outlets, joins Thanos Davelis as we take a closer look at this story.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Turkey detains hundreds of Erdogan opponents in pursuit of 'octopus' of corruptionTurkey's Erdoğan makes high-stakes Kurdish gambleGreece PM defends halt to asylum processing for North African migrantsDemographic crisis spells end for 146-year-old village school