Podcasts about core pce

First Time Homebuyers Hit a Record Low With the high cost of housing and higher interest rates, people trying to get their first home dropped to a record low around 23% in 2024. The average age of the first-time homebuyer has increased 10 years over the historical average to 38 years old. The median income is now $97,000 and the first-time home buyers are coming up with an average down payment of 9% of the value of the home. Many of these young buyers are using FHA loans, which require a very small down payment and according to research roughly 30% of all FHA mortgages have a debt service ratio of over 50%. This means more than half of these buyers' incomes is going toward servicing debt. This could be a hard pill to swallow for young buyers with not much money left over for luxuries like vacations and new cars. However, if when they buy the home, they understand that if they really tighten their belts for the next three to four years, they will probably be fine. New home builders are doing what they can to try and get rid of the largest inventory of unsold homes on their lots since 2009. The median price of a new home is currently less than one percent higher than the median price of existing properties, which historically has seen a 17% premium. The home builders are using profits from their homes to buy down mortgages. Even though the 30-year mortgage was recently around 6.8%, home builders can buy these mortgages down which led buyers of new homes to a rate around 5%. Buying down these rates has cost home builders about 8% of the purchase price of the home. This reduces their profits but better than the alternative of sitting on unsold homes with a carrying cost for the builder. I don't see this situation getting better anytime soon because I'm not looking for a large decrease in mortgage rates and incomes over the next year will probably increase somewhere around 3 to 4%. We continue to believe the rapid increase in the price of homes over the last few years will not last and it will now take some time to get back to normal market. Maybe we will see a better real estate market in 2027 or 2028.   Is Bitcoin coming to your 401k? I have been concerned with bitcoin and crypto as a whole for several years for many reasons including fraud, illicit activity, and the fact that there is really no way to derive an intrinsic value for it since there is no earnings, cash flow, or anything really backing the asset class. I was disappointed to see the current Labor Department removed language that cautioned employers to exercise “extreme care” before making crypto and related investments available to their workers. They cited “serious concerns” about the prudence of exposing investors' retirement savings to crypto given “significant risks of fraud, theft, and loss.” While this isn't necessarily a full-on endorsement for placing crypto in 401k plans, it definitely seems like the administration is continuing on its path to try and normalize crypto as an established asset class. Even with this change in language I would be surprised to see a huge surge in cryptocurrencies within 401k plans. Ultimately, ERISA bestows a fiduciary duty on employers and company officials overseeing 401k investments and that means legally employers must put the best interests of 401(k) investors first and act prudently when choosing which investments to offer (or not offer). Given the extreme volatility within crypto I believe it would be a huge risk for these companies to offer it as it could open them up to lawsuits if there are major declines. We'll have to see what other changes are made as time progresses, but I don't believe crypto has any place within a 401k plan at this time.   Inflation report shows continued progress The personal consumption expenditures price index, which is also known as PCE and is the Federal Reserve's key inflation measure, showed an annual increase of just 2.1%. Core PCE, which excludes food and energy, showed a gain of 2.5%. Both results were 0.1% below their respective estimates. Overall, inflation has continued to cool and is now quite close to the Fed's 2% target. The question that remains is how will tariffs ultimately impact inflation? An economist from Pantheon Macroeconomics said that he believed core PCE would peak later this year between 3.0% and 3.5%, if the current mix of tariffs remained in place. I would say it is difficult to forecast the tariff impact since we don't know what will ultimately be passed on to the end consumer. It will definitely be interesting to see what numbers look like in the coming months, but ultimately, I believe most of the concerns around inflation are overblown and even if the rate for PCE is around 3%, I don't see that as being problematic for the economy.     Financial Planning: What it Means to be an Accredited Investor An accredited investor is someone who meets specific income or net worth thresholds—such as earning over $200,000 annually ($300,000 with a spouse) or having over $1 million in net worth excluding their home—and is allowed to invest in private securities offerings not registered with the SEC. These investments, which include private REITS, private equity, hedge funds, and startups, often promise high returns but carry significant risks such as illiquidity, limited transparency, and the potential for total loss. While many of these offerings are only available through fiduciary advisors—who are legally obligated to act in their clients' best interest—investors must still exercise caution. Fiduciary duty applies only in certain contexts (such as investment advice) and may not extend to related areas like insurance or commission-based products. Additionally, what qualifies as “acting in your best interest” is often subjective and open to interpretation. Working with a fiduciary does not guarantee protection, and investors should remain vigilant, ask questions, and independently evaluate any recommendation. Also, private investments aren't necessary better than public investments, so just because you qualify as an accredited investor doesn't mean you should be investing in private securities.   Companies Discussed: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (REGN), Intuit Inc. (INTU), Target Corporation (TGT) & Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL)

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger Picture Hawaii is now pushing the climate agenda by placing a tax on tourists. Watch tourism drop off. Its all about taxing the people. Feds favorite inflation indicator shows that inflation has gone down. The Fed is now trapped, their plan has failed. They will try again. Appeals court has now allowed Trump to continue with the tariffs, China violated the tariffs agreement. The [DS] is playing their hand and they are showing the world what a real insurrection looks like. Trump is playing the long game, he knows the people must see it so the people move to remove those individuals that support the judicial coup. Trump is following the constitution and proving to the country that the [DS] is putting the country into a constitutional crisis. This is not about a band-aid fix, this is about reclaiming the government and taking the power back. The [DS] is beging destroyed. Economy https://twitter.com/TomFitton/status/1928227336010228155   Despite Tariff-flation Fearmongering, Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Tumbles To Four-Year Low The Fed's favorite inflation indicator - Core PCE - fell once again in April to its lowest since April 2021 at +2.5% YoY... Source: Bloomberg Services inflation is slowing rapidly... Source: Bloomberg Headline PCE fell to +2.1%...   Finally, for all the terror of tariffs in the soft survey data, spending continues to increase and incomes are growing strongly... ...it's gonna be hard for Powell to justify the 'pause' now. Source: zerohedge.com Core Inflation Falls To Lowest Rate In Four Years Compared with a year ago, prices are up just 2.1 percent. That just one-tenth above the two percent rate of inflation the Fed says it targets. In March, prices were up 2.3 percent from a year earlier. Core prices, a measure that excludes food and energy, also rose 0.1 percent. Over the past year, core prices are up 2.5 percent, the smallest year-over-year increase since March of 2021. Source: breitbart.com https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1928445800717168981 (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1928494968869380555 John Deere to Invest $20 Billion in America – New Assembly Lines, Factories, and US Steel  A major announcement from John Deere is giving more hope for a future with a prosperous economy. According to the company website, John Deere will invest $20 billion in the United States over the next decade, with hometowns where these investments will go seeing a projected $25 billion impact. Factories in Tennessee, North Carolina, Missouri, Iowa, and Illinois will see new expansions, new assembly lines, or new factories altogether. Additionally, the company boasted a majority of the raw steel used in these factories will be from the United States. A more specific breakdown showed new assemble lines in Waterloo, Iowa; an expansion to the factory in Greenville, Tennessee; a new excavator factory in Kernersville, North Carolina; a 60,000-square-foot expansion to the factory in Moline, Illinois; and a 120,000-square foot expansion in Missouri. John Deere included in their release that 75 percent of all products sol...

Maandag 26 mei:De impact van het beleid van president Trump blijft voelbaar op de economische cijfers. Deze week blikken we vooruit op de orders voor duurzame goederen in de VS. In maart kregen we nog een stijging, maar komt er nu opnieuw een daling?De Federal Reserve blijft de Core PCE-index van zeer nabij volgen voor haar monetaire beleidskeuzes rond inflatie. Want die index toont metingen bij de Amerikaanse consumenten.We blikken ook vooruit op de kwartaalresultaten van Nvidia, want ondanks een sterke groei wordt nu voor het eerst sinds lange tijd gerekend op winststabilisatie. Z 7 op 7 is de nieuwe dagelijkse podcast van Kanaal Z en Trends. Elke ochtend, vanaf 5u30 uur luistert u voortaan naar een selectie van de meest opmerkelijke nieuwsverhalen, een frisse blik op de aandelenmarkten en een scherpe duiding bij de economische en politieke actualiteit door experts van Kanaal Z en Trends.Start voortaan elke dag met Z 7 op 7 en luister naar wat echt relevant is voor uw business, onderneming, carrière en geld.

US equities finished mixed in Wednesday trading, coming well off worst levels from the early session and seeing a sharp rally in the closing minutes. Big story today was the soft Q1 GDP report showing economy contracted for the first time since early 2022. ADP private payrolls of 62K missed. GDP price index of 3.5% hotter than estimates. Core PCE price index up 3.5%.

Reading the economic reports this week, GDP was lower than anticipated. It was honestly quite bad, but consumer spending is up, month over month, from February to March 2025. The Core PCE inflation numbers came in higher than expected, and it is anticipated that the Fed will hold rates steady at next Wednesday's meeting. But, will we get a quick knee jerk reaction that will give many homeowners and homebuyers an opportunity to lock in an interest rate? 60% of analysts are expecting our first rate cut from the Fed in 2025 to be at their June meeting. Traders and investors will be hanging on to every word that is Fed Chairman Jerome Powell says trying to gauge their next move. I am predicting a good amount of volatility following the meeting. If the market swings in our favor, it could be the best rates that we have seen in 2025. 844-935-3634, call us! Debbie Marcoux - AZ-0941504, CA-237926, Fl-LO76508, GA-69178, ID, IL-031.0058339, NC, NV-57237, OR, TN-184373, TX, WA-MLO-237926 | JMJ Financial Group NMLS ID #167867 |Licensed by the Department of Financial Protection and Innovation under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act, Licensee Number 01134087. Interest rates and products are subject to change without notice and may or may not be available at the time of loan commitment or lock-in. Borrowers must qualify at closing for all benefits.

En este episodio, repasamos los temas más importantes del día: • Wall Street abre con cautela: Los futuros bajan levemente con $SPX -0.1%, $US100 -0.1%, $INDU -0.1%, mientras los traders se enfocan en una semana cargada de earnings y macro. Se esperan Core PCE, PIB y payrolls. Hoy, índice manufacturero de la Fed de Dallas. • CrowdStrike apuesta por la ciberseguridad autónoma: $CRWD lanza Charlotte AI Agentic Response y Workflows, avanzando hacia un SOC sin intervención humana. Las nuevas herramientas permiten detección, investigación y respuesta automatizadas. • Salesforce presenta avances en Agentforce: $CRM destaca “innovación radical” en IA con nuevas funciones para programación, HR y multicanal. Needham mantiene rating Buy, PT $400, resaltando el Testing Center y Agent Interaction para optimizar el feedback de los agentes. • Huawei desafía a Nvidia con nuevo chip IA: Huawei prueba el procesador Ascend 910D, diseñado para competir con el $NVDA H100. Las primeras muestras estarán listas a finales del próximo mes. Busca liderar en el entrenamiento de modelos de IA en China. Un episodio para entender cómo la tecnología, los resultados corporativos y los datos económicos estarán moviendo el mercado esta semana. ¡No te lo pierdas!

Trump Tariffs = Uncertainty around Inflation + Slowing Interest Rate Cuts!What do we do during uncertain times? How are our customers feeling? + A special fun story to change the subject from Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt!Check out this week's news updates, build Strong Business, and serve your customers better!Takeaways:

In this week's jam-packed Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of experts as they share their perspectives on the latest economic reports. Our panel shares detailed insights into the U.S. Consumer Confidence report, GDP, PCE inflation, equities, the credit market, and municipal bonds. Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of EquitiesTim McDonough, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio Management03:20 – The Conference Board's U.S. Consumer Confidence report was released and showed a decline in overall consumer confidence due to factors such as the stock market, inflation, and others03:58 – The final estimate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter 2024 was reported at 2.4%, slightly revised up from prior estimates 04:41 – The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Core PCE inflation at 0.4% month-over-month in February, as well as 2.8% year-over-year, both unfavorable06:11 – Comments on the equities market and how the market's volatility is influencing investors' thinking surrounding trades11:31 – Though the recent PCE inflation report was less than favorable, the credit markets, investment grade and high yield bond spreads don't seem to be adversely affected by the reading, as of now15:22 – Remarks on the municipal bond market and changing dynamics of yield opportunities for investorsAdditional ResourcesKey Questions: How Much Tech Do You Really Own? | Key Private BankKey Questions: How Do We Invest in Tech? | Key Private BankKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

Futures traded lower in reaction to the latest economic data that showed slowing consumer spending. Alex Coffey joins from the Cboe Global Markets and breaks down the report to explain what's drawing down arrows. On A.I., Alex says the rotation out of tech shows a "crowded trade that isn't done yet." He says A.I. stocks need to find a sustainable bottom for a rebound.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

In this episode, Eric recaps the latest market action as the S&P 500 breaks back above the 200-day moving average following a strong Monday rally. He covers key levels from SpotGamma.com, including updated put and call walls, and discusses this week's major economic events like GDP, Core PCE, and Consumer Sentiment. Eric also shares a few SPX trade setups from Alpha Crunching, including a bullish 7-day put credit spread using the Weekly Triumph Rate, and explains how he's navigating recent market volatility by staying mechanical.Use code SPX50 for 50% off your first month at https://www.alphacrunching.com and start trading with confidence. Interested in joining Alpha Traders Club? Click Here for a 7 Day TrialWant to connect? Find me on X:Eric O'Rourke: https://twitter.com/OptionAssassinAfter that, join other listeners at https://StockMarketOptionsTrading.net and join the community for free right now where there are daily posts with clues to the where the market may be headed next. Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

Register your interest in James Brodie's Onyx Institute trading course here: onyxcapitalgroup.com/trading-courses Contact us about learning & development: OnyxLND@OnyxCapitalGroup.com Trade with Onyx Markets: onyxmarkets.co.uk This episode of Macro Mondays aired live at 12:30pm on Monday, the 24th of March, 2025. Join us every Monday at 12pm UK time for Macro Mondays LIVE with James Brodie and James Todd, as we unpack the major developments shaping global markets and look ahead to a pivotal week. Key highlights this week: A dovish Fed sees risk sentiment rally LEI & US CEO business confidence both fall sharply Gold uptrend stalls, while Brent sits on key $69 support April 2nd tariff deadline looms Key data releases this week: Monday – EZ, UK & US flash PMIs Tuesday – German IFO, US home sales & consumer confidence Wednesday – Australian CPI, UK CPI Thursday – Japan Tokyo CPI, US jobless claims, pending home sales Friday – UK retail sales, US Umich sentiment, Core PCE deflator CFDs and spread bets are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts lose money when trading in CFDs and spread bets. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs and spread bets work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

What if the Fed's inflation target was a range of 2%-3% instead of a hard 2%? Would the market be as anxious? Core PCE is at 2.6%—inflation may not be fully defeated, but it's contained enough for the Fed to shift focus. Meanwhile, money supply is rising, but without velocity, it's just sitting on the sidelines. The real driver of inflation? Money changing hands—something we'll be watching closely. Plus: The Atlanta Fed's GDP forecast just fell off a cliff—from 4% growth to -1.5%. The culprit? Tariffs. Job market warning signs: layoffs, spending freezes, and consumer pullback. Treasury yields react post-Eagles Super Bowl win—are we headed back below 4%? It's all in this week's episode.

Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

► If you enjoyed the episode, please leave us a good review!► More from PIF: https://linktr.ee/practicalislamicfinance

We're baaaaack! On this week's episode of The Rate Guy, we talk about why we can't take vacations! We step away for a moment, and everything goes haywire. An exasperated JP dives into the current market craziness, and reassures everyone that we're back for a while, and things will (hopefully) settle down. Tune in as we break down Core PCE, GDP forecasts, and what to expect from the next jobs report. Is inflation really making a comeback? Can strong GDP calm the markets? And what's the Fed's next move? Plus, highlights from our Iceland adventure—stunning waterfalls, elusive northern lights, and why the Blue Lagoon left us seriously underwhelmed. To see a few shots from our trip check out the Pensford Newsletter. 

Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Inflation report pretty much solidifies a rate cut in September Personal consumption expenditures prices (PCE) were right in line with expectations as they increased just 2.5% in the month of July. Core PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure came in at 2.6% and was slightly below the estimate of 2.7%. While both readings matched the June inflation report, I would say inflation at around 2.6% is still extremely manageable and I believe we will continue to see it trend towards the 2% target as we exit the year. With these numbers I believe we will see the Fed cut rates by 0.25% at the September meeting and then we could see one or two more cuts before the end of 2024.    Will oil and natural gas disappear over the next few years? You may think that in a few years oil and natural gas will be a thing of the past, but Exxon believes the consumption of oil will be the same in 2050 as it is today and they don't see carbon emissions dropping until the year 2030. In the report they do see the world demand for natural gas increasing by 21% by the year 2050 while they expect the demand for oil to increase by just 2%. They do point out most of the growth for these energy sources will come from the industrial sectors to fuel manufacturing and also from chemical feed stock. Exxon does believe consumption of biofuels, solar, and wind will continue to rise, but clearly, they believe natural gas and oil are still needed to help fuel our world's energy needs. The big loser they believe is coal as they see that energy source dropping off 39% by 2050. To help with emissions, Exxon is largely turning towards carbon capture and hydrogen-based fuels.    Rent concessions are climbing at apartment complexes! We are now well into the second half of 2024 and as we have been saying for the past couple years we believe the overbuilding of apartment buildings will eventually put downward pressure on rents. According to Moody's, rents are up 22% since 2019 across the country and the average rent is $1750, but due to the overbuilding of apartment buildings, landlords are having a hard time maintaining the higher rents and are now starting to offer concessions such as a month or two of free rent or a discount on utilities. Some of the more creative apartment companies have come up with cash rewards or gift cards to Amazon, CVS, Target or Walmart if you pay your rent on time. Don't get too excited about the concessions. They may sound good, but be sure you do the math to find out how much you're really saving. One large rental company says by offering a rewards program, about 97% of the renters renewed their lease in 2024. That is well above the national average renewal rate of 65%. I do believe over the next couple of years we should see rents decline somewhat as vacancies climb and these big rental companies have to pay the loans on all the construction costs, they incurred to build these apartments. Simply put, they will need the cash flow to make their debt payments.   Business failures have climbed this year! Over the past year, starting a business has not been that easy. The number of failed new businesses increased by 60% as the new business owners ran out of money. Could this be because of a slowing economy? Bad business management? Or not having enough cash to start a business? Or perhaps it could be all three?   Growth vs Income Investing The fundamental goal of investing is to make money, but for most people this is broken into two phases, growth and income. During working years everyone is saving and investing money, building their nest egg so during retirement, they can stop working and begin relying on income from their assets to support them. However, it is one thing to add money every paycheck to a 401(k) for 30 years, it's another thing entirely to withdraw money from an investment portfolio every month for 30 years without running out. During the growth phase, the swings in the market aren't as emotionally tolling because there's a paycheck coming in every few weeks. When that paycheck stops and you're selling positions to withdrawing money from an account during a market decline, things can go bad quickly. Not to mention nest eggs are largest in retirement, so a small percentage change is still a large dollar swing. The average retirement lasts over 20 years, but bear markets occur about every 4 years so retirees have to endure these periods multiple times. During a bear market if positions are sold at the wrong time, if the bear market lasts too long, if too much is withdrawn, or if the investments aren't sound, the portfolio will not have enough remaining funds to recover. Again this is not a risk during the growth phase when funds are begin added, not withdraw. To prevent against volatility risk in retirement, a lot of people shift their investments to something overly conservative, which short term feels safe, but long term will not produce the growth necessary to keep up with inflation and prevent outliving money. Before actually retiring, it is necessary to get comfortable with an investment philosophy that will continue to provide growth but will also allow sustainable withdrawals through the ups and downs of the market. Mistakes made early in retirement can result in the need to return to work or heavily reduce your lifestyle which no one wants to do after spending decades looking forward to retirement.   Companies Discussed: Super Micro Computer, Inc.(SMCI), Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM), Advance Auto Parts(AAP) 

En el episodio de hoy, Miguel Enrique Muñoz Bencosme y Juan Manuel de los Reyes discuten sobre el reporte de Nvidia. Desglosan el reporte y dan su análisis a futuro, tratando de responder por qué el mercado no ha respondido de forma positiva a un reporte tan bueno, el cual implicó un incremento en ventas de hasta 122% año con año. Además, hablan en detalle de los últimos datos de PIB y de consumo de Estados Unidos, que han superado las expectativas de los analistas, y nos hablan de la economía americana robusta y un consumo que se ha mantenido. También detallan el dato del Core PCE y su opinión acerca del futuro de la economía americana.

Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a preview of U.S GDP and Core PCE data, and Nvidia earnings. In the UK – a look at the weakness in Germany's economy. In Asia – a look at Japan's leadership election. Edward Harrison, Bloomberg Senior Editor and the author of "The Everything Risk" newsletterKunjan Sobhani, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Semiconductor AnalystOliver Crook, Bloomberg's Germany Correspondent Isabel Reynolds, Bloomberg Tokyo Bureau Chief See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Hear from George Moran, Host & European Economist, Andrzej Szczepaniak, Senior European Economist and Ruchir Sharma, US Economist, as they review the key market drivers over the week ahead. Euro area and US inflation data should tee up central banks for more cutting in September. Chapters: US (02:40), Europe (06:36), Asia (11:29)

Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a preview of U.S GDP and Core PCE data, and Nvidia earnings. In the UK – a look at the weakness in Germany's economy. In Asia – a look at Japan's leadership election. Edward Harrison, Bloomberg Senior Editor and the author of "The Everything Risk" newsletterKunjan Sobhani, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Semiconductor AnalystOliver Crook, Bloomberg's Germany Correspondent Isabel Reynolds, Bloomberg Tokyo Bureau Chief See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kathy and Liz Ann catch up on recent market volatility, the Fed's next move, and changes in the economic data. There is some debate about whether the Fed should cut by 50 basis points in September or the expected 25 basis points. They also touch on the importance of inflation, the labor market, and global growth in the Fed's decision-making process. Next, Kathy is joined by Matt Hastings, managing director and head of Bond Index Strategies for Schwab Asset Management. He leads the portfolio management team for the Schwab taxable bond mutual funds and Schwab fixed income ETFs and has overall responsibility for all aspects of the management of the funds. They discuss Matt's background in the industry, his role at Schwab, and the challenges of managing fixed income portfolios on a day-to-day basis. Matt and Kathy discuss how index tracking works, the vital role of liquidity in the bond market, recent market volatility, and the impact of Fed policy. Matt provides insights into the role of bond funds and ETFs for investors and emphasizes the importance of understanding what you're buying.Finally, Kathy and Liz Ann provide their outlook for the next week's economic data and market events.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresInvestors should consider carefully information contained in the prospectus, or if available, the summary prospectus, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. You can request a prospectus by calling 800-435-4000. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.All corporate names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.​Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and cannot protect against losses in a declining market.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) may be more sensitive to interest rate changes than other fixed income investments. They are subject to extension risk, where borrowers extend the duration of their mortgages as interest rates rise, and prepayment risk, where borrowers pay off their mortgages earlier as interest rates fall. These risks may reduce returns.Currency trading is speculative, volatile and not suitable for all investorsThe information and content provided herein is general in nature and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended, and should not be construed, as a specific recommendation, individualized tax, legal, or investment advice. Tax laws are subject to change, either prospectively or retroactively. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, individuals should contact their own professional tax and investment advisors or other professionals (CPA, Financial Planner, Investment Manager) to help answer questions about specific situations or needs prior to taking any action based upon this information.Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.ISM is the Institute for Supply Management.  https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/(0824-ECAD)

Q2 GDP not as strong as the headline numbers show While Real Q2 GDP increased at a 2.8% annualized pace and easily topped the estimate of 2.1%, there were some likely one time impacts that lifted the numbers. The major outlier was the change in private inventories as it added 0.82% to the headline GDP number. As we discussed after Q1 GDP, private inventories negatively weighed on GDP during that quarter as it subtracted 0.42% from the headline number and led to a disappointing growth for Real GDP of 1.4%. Government also saw a nice boost as it grew 3.1% in Q2 and added 0.53% to the headline number. Even though the report may not be as strong as the headline shows, I still believe it was a good report. Personal consumption expenditures grew 2.3% in the quarter as spending on goods was up 2.5% and spending on services was up 2.2%. Spending was different when compared to Q1 considering in that report goods spending fell 2.3% and services spending rose 3.3%. Private investment was also strong in Q2 as it rose 8.4%. Although residential was down 1.4%, nonresidential investment was up 5.2%. Equipment was the strongest subcategory as it was up 11.6% and intellectual property products also saw good growth of 4.5%. Trade was the only component that subtracted from the headline number. The increase in imports of 6.9% more than offset the increase in exports of 2.0% and led to a subtraction of 0.72% from the headline number. I believe this GDP report is exactly what we needed to see for a potential soft landing. We are still seeing growth of around 2%, but it is slowing which should help reduce inflation in the coming months.    June PCE Inflation continues to normalize as the June personal consumption expenditures index (PCE) increased 2.5% from a year ago. Core PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure showed an increase of 2.6%. Both numbers were in line with expectations and they provide more evidence that an interest rate cut should be heading our way as we exit the year. This report does put more pressure on the Fed to provide a signal for fed policy direction at next week's meeting. I don't think there will be a cut at that meeting, but the market appears to be hoping that they at least hint towards a cut in September.    Legal battle between Warner Bros. Discovery and NBA is set to begin The NBA announced deals with Disney, Comcast and Amazon for rights to games for 11 years starting in the fall of 2025. The deals totaled around $77 B with Disney paying around $2.6 B per year, Comcast paying around $2.5 B per year, and Amazon paying around $1.9 B per year. These deals also include the rights for WNBA games. The current rights that will expire next season were for 9 years and nearly $24 B. Disney will air more than 20 games per season on ABC and up to 60 games on ESPN. NBC will air 100 NBA games each season, including about 50 that will be exclusive to Peacock. NBC is returning as a partner with the NBA after losing rights in 2002. Amazon will offer 66 regular season games. This was a major disappointment for Warner Bros. considering Turner Sports has carried live NBA games for nearly 40 years. This spells more trouble for TNT and TBS as this was a major asset for these stations. The popular “Inside the NBA” show on TNT is also in question if Warner Bros. is unable to win back the rights. Warner Bros did acquire matching rights as part of the current deal, but the NBA rebuffed the bid and said, “Warner Bros. Discovery's most recent proposal did not match the terms of Amazon Prime Video's offer and, therefore, we have entered into a long-term arrangement with Amazon.” It will be interesting to see how this shakes out. The NBA doesn't believe Warner Bros. rights extend to an all-streaming package, which was carved out for Amazon. The last time these deals were made I can't see how streaming would have been addressed. For that reason, my early inclination would be that it would be hard for the NBA to deny Warner Bros. their matching rights.    The IRS and Inherited IRAs After 5 years, the IRS has finally come to a decision with inherited IRA withdrawals. The Secure Act in 2019 removed the ability for most retirement account beneficiaries to stretch distributions over their life expectancy and now requires them to fully deplete the account after 10 years. With tax-deferred accounts, this severely limits compounding growth and increases the income tax burden on these beneficiaries. The component that has been up for debate is whether those beneficiaries also have to take required distributions during each of those 10 years. So far, no distributions have been required and a few days ago the IRS confirmed that a distribution will not be required in 2024. However, beginning in 2025, beneficiaries who inherited a tax-deferred retirement account in 2020 or later from someone who was subject to RMDs (which will be most cases) must begin taking small required distributions of their own each year as well. This does not apply to beneficiaries who are spouses, minors, or disabled, and while inherited Roth IRAs are subject to the 10-year rule, they will not have annual required distributions. Keep in mind, if you inherited an IRA in 2020 and wait until 2025 to start distributions, you now only have 6 years left to deplete it because you are still bound by the 10-year rule. This means larger annual distributions and maybe higher tax brackets. So even though you don't have to start, that doesn't mean you should continue to wait or that you should only take the minimum amount required. Every beneficiary should have their own plan on how best to distribute the funds at the lowest tax rate which will be dependent on their own income level, retirement date, level of their own retirement assets, and the fact that tax rates could increase in 2026. This could mean accelerating or deferring inherited withdrawals so they occur when your own income is lower.   Companies Discussed: Bank of America (BAC), Dominos (DPZ) and UnitedHealth Group (UNH)

Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss this morning's Core PCE inflation number and various earnings. For information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visithttps://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure

Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

In this week's Market Minutes recap, hear from our team of investment experts as they share their perspectives on the latest market and economic activity. Our panel shares detailed insights into existing home sales, Q2 GDP, PCE inflation, the stock market, and next week's FOMC meeting. Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 01:55 – Existing home sales declined 5.4% in June, confirming the hesitancy people have to acquire a new mortgage at higher rates02:20 – The Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reported at 2.8% for the second quarter03:37 – Overall Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation declined from 2.6% in May to 2.5% in June, while the Core PCE remained constant at 2.6%04:45 – Comments on the stock market and the pullback we have seen for the S&P 50010:51 – Comments on small-caps and their unexpected performance  12:16 – Remarks on the expectations for next week's FOMC meeting and if there will be a September interest rate cut Additional ResourcesKey Questions: Private Equity: What Else Do I Need to Know? | Key Private Bank Key Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterEconomic & Market ResearchWeekly Investment BriefFollow us on LinkedIn

Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to U.S GDP and Core PCE data, and a preview of Tesla earnings. In the UK – a look ahead to the Paris Olympic Games. In Asia – a look at how the U.S election will shape the U.S, China relationship.  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to U.S GDP and Core PCE data, and a preview of Tesla earnings. In the UK – a look ahead to the Paris Olympic Games. In Asia – a look at how the U.S election will shape the U.S, China relationship. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

US equities ended mostly higher this week with solid performances from big tech (though Nvidia again underperformed). The big focus this week was on some disappointing key corporate updates, the Trump-Biden presidential debate, the May PCE report, and a continued volatile macro narrative. Core PCE inflation was in line with consensus with April revised slightly upward.

Here's what is happening in the markets today, Friday June 28th - Today: major inflation data release - Nike (NKE) drops after cutting full-year outlook - Foot Locker (FL) shares decline following Nike's forecast - American Outdoor Brands reports strong earnings; stock rises - Most retail traders own financial stocks, survey says - Home prices cooling down: The typical house sold for 0.3% less than its asking price - Trump Media & Technology (DJT) jumps more than 10% on the heels of the first presidential debate PLUS: How we trade these markets and our current positions This wraps up today's stock market news. If you enjoyed the "Stock Market Today" episode, make sure to subscribe to this podcast.  And for more stock market news,  visit our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/rockwelltrading2008 #todaysstockmarket #stockmarkettoday #stockmarket

Ever wondered how to navigate market complexities like a pro? This week's episode promises to equip you with the insights needed to handle market volatility with confidence. Join us as we cut through the noise of technical frustrations and zero in on the week's key economic indicators, including the GDP rate, durable goods orders, and the all-important Core PCE inflation metric due on Friday. We'll also touch on Nvidia's current hurdles and the seismic impact of record stock buybacks, all while dissecting seasonal market patterns that could either confirm or defy expectations.But that's not all—our deep dive into trading strategies will elevate your game to the next level. Learn the art of selling options in blocks for consistent profits, and discover why adhering to strict risk rules is crucial yet flexible with experience. We'll guide beginners through the BSMP system, a structured approach that has proven to generate consistent returns. Wrap it all up with insights on optimal trade exit timing and an introduction to the new Trade Vision tool, designed to streamline your stock selection process by focusing on uptrends and other key metrics. Get ready to sharpen your trading strategy and optimize your portfolio allocation like never before!Support the Show.

【Alpecin x M觀點】男人健髮養髮好夥伴

On this episode of The Rate Guy we're breaking down the Core PCE numbers and JMo's wager tracker—are we heading to the Caribbean or not? Plus, we explore why the Fed might be shifting its focus from inflation to jobs, the implications of recent job reports, and what Friday's labor data could mean for future rate cuts. Join us as we take a closer look at the economic balancing act the Fed is faced with and how that could shape the rest of the year. In case you want to check out the interesting piece we reference by Dr. Jeremy Horpedahl that suggested job gains are artificially inflated. Read Here

Markets end mixed; Core PCE inflation cools; Gap shares pop; Anchor Brewing finds buyer.

On the final trading day of May, Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber discussed market reaction to the Fed's preferred inflation measure -- Core PCE. With AI in the spotlight, the anchors reacted to shares of Dell plunging despite better-than-expected quarterly results. Also in focus: Proxy advisor ISS urges Tesla shareholders to reject Elon Musk's multi-billion dollar pay package, former President Trump's guilty verdict, what Best Buy's CEO told Jim about AI PCs on "Mad Money," earnings winners and losers, activist investor speaks out about casino and sports gambling company Penn Entertainment. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer 

Inflation isn’t going anywhere, and listeners wanna know what’s up with two of the government’s inflation measures. Today, we’re answering some nerdy econ questions about the consumer price index and personal consumption expenditures price index. We’ll also answer questions about how the Supreme Court gets funded and the ins and outs of joint fundraising committees. Got a question you’d like us to answer? Email makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voice mail at 508-U-B-SMART! Here’s everything we talked about today: “How does the government measure inflation?” from Brookings “Why the PCE is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation” from Marketplace “What is the Core PCE price index?” from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis “Courts, Programs, and Other Items Funded by Congressional Appropriations for the Federal Judiciary” from the Congressional Research Service “US judiciary set to receive modest spending boost from Congress” from Reuters “Judicial Compensation” from the Administrative Office of the United States Courts “Inside the Rent Inflation Measure That Economics Nerds Love to Hate” from The New York Times  “A guide to political money: campaigns, PACs, super PACs” from Associated Press “Joint fundraising: A campaign strategy to increase contributions” from Marketplace “Fundraising for Super PACs by federal candidates” from the Federal Election Commission Join us tomorrow for Economics on Tap! The YouTube livestream starts at 3:30 p.m. Pacific time, 6:30 p.m. Eastern. We'll have news, drinks and play a round of Half Full/Half Empty.

Inflation isn’t going anywhere, and listeners wanna know what’s up with two of the government’s inflation measures. Today, we’re answering some nerdy econ questions about the consumer price index and personal consumption expenditures price index. We’ll also answer questions about how the Supreme Court gets funded and the ins and outs of joint fundraising committees. Got a question you’d like us to answer? Email makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voice mail at 508-U-B-SMART! Here’s everything we talked about today: “How does the government measure inflation?” from Brookings “Why the PCE is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation” from Marketplace “What is the Core PCE price index?” from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis “Courts, Programs, and Other Items Funded by Congressional Appropriations for the Federal Judiciary” from the Congressional Research Service “US judiciary set to receive modest spending boost from Congress” from Reuters “Judicial Compensation” from the Administrative Office of the United States Courts “Inside the Rent Inflation Measure That Economics Nerds Love to Hate” from The New York Times  “A guide to political money: campaigns, PACs, super PACs” from Associated Press “Joint fundraising: A campaign strategy to increase contributions” from Marketplace “Fundraising for Super PACs by federal candidates” from the Federal Election Commission Join us tomorrow for Economics on Tap! The YouTube livestream starts at 3:30 p.m. Pacific time, 6:30 p.m. Eastern. We'll have news, drinks and play a round of Half Full/Half Empty.

Inflation isn’t going anywhere, and listeners wanna know what’s up with two of the government’s inflation measures. Today, we’re answering some nerdy econ questions about the consumer price index and personal consumption expenditures price index. We’ll also answer questions about how the Supreme Court gets funded and the ins and outs of joint fundraising committees. Got a question you’d like us to answer? Email makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voice mail at 508-U-B-SMART! Here’s everything we talked about today: “How does the government measure inflation?” from Brookings “Why the PCE is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation” from Marketplace “What is the Core PCE price index?” from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis “Courts, Programs, and Other Items Funded by Congressional Appropriations for the Federal Judiciary” from the Congressional Research Service “US judiciary set to receive modest spending boost from Congress” from Reuters “Judicial Compensation” from the Administrative Office of the United States Courts “Inside the Rent Inflation Measure That Economics Nerds Love to Hate” from The New York Times  “A guide to political money: campaigns, PACs, super PACs” from Associated Press “Joint fundraising: A campaign strategy to increase contributions” from Marketplace “Fundraising for Super PACs by federal candidates” from the Federal Election Commission Join us tomorrow for Economics on Tap! The YouTube livestream starts at 3:30 p.m. Pacific time, 6:30 p.m. Eastern. We'll have news, drinks and play a round of Half Full/Half Empty.

JD and Joel unpack Peter's latest podcast and the economy's current path toward stagflation. We look at this week's price action, macroeconomic data, dragons, Jordan Peterson and gold. OTHER TOPICS DISCUSSED -Gold is trading at $2,337 (up $55 since this time last week) -Silver is trading at $27.20 (down about 5% on the week) -CME Fedwatch tool slates the Fed to lower rates first in November -Q1 GDP came out at just 1.6% (versus the expected 2.2%) -Core PCE (year-over-year) came out higher than expected at 2.8%  Quote of the week from Jordan Peterson: If you run from the things you are afraid of, you run from exactly what you need to find. Dragons hoard gold because the thing you most need is always to be found where you least want to look. The SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap podcast combines a succinct summary of the week's economic precious metals news coupled with thoughtful analysis. You can subscribe to the podcast on Apple Podcasts and other podcasting platforms. The links are below. SchiffGold on Instagram: www.instagram.com/schiffgoldnews SchiffGold on Twitter: twitter.com/SchiffGold SchiffGold on Facebook: www.facebook.com/schiffgold SchiffGold's website: www.schiffgold.com

Here's what is happening in the markets today, Friday April 26th - Yesterday, stocks closed lower  - U.S. GDP growth slows to 1.6% - Core PCE Price Index released today - Meta (META) plummets on weak revenue guidance - Alphabet (GOOG) soars 15%,, announces first-ever dividend  - Microsoft (MSFT) gains 5% after strong fiscal Q3 results - Snap (SNAP) spikes 27% after exceeding analyst estimates  - Intel (INTC) tumbles 8% on weak sales forecast PLUS: How we trade these markets and our current positions This wraps up today's stock market news. If you enjoyed the "Stock Market Today" episode, make sure to subscribe to this podcast.  And for more stock market news,  visit our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/rockwelltrading2008 #todaysstockmarket #stockmarkettoday #stockmarket

Core PCE rises 0.3% in February; wholesale and retail inventories grow; the U.S. trade deficit expands; feds send first emergency funds for Baltimore bridge.

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss the Fed getting bullish by reducing unemployment estimates, raising GDP growth estimates, and doing nothing else but the market liked it. All while the yield curve inversion sets a record for longest in history. What is Bitcoin halving and what does it do for supply and demand? Looking at the stock market after going up a lot, why historically it can continue going (or not) up. Looking at 1995-1999 post Fed cut bullish moves. Why media explanations of 2 or 3 interest rate cuts by the Fed based on the median interest rate aren't entirely true. Tip, how to calculate the median of something. All that and plenty more this week!   What is Bitcoin halving? How to calculate the median of Fed funds dot plot rate What is the Fed dot plot Fed GDP growth rate upped at the March meeting while unemployment rate lowered Core PCE inflation year end estimate increased by the Fed Is the Fed just going to let inflation run a little hotter? 1995-1999 super strong S&P 500 market returns New Yield Curve inversion record High Yield debt maturity wall pushed out further High Yield debt can be reduced by paying off, rolling, bankruptcy, or become investment grade Looking at times when the market was up double digits over 30 days and what happens next   Mentioned in this Episode   What is Bitcoin ‘Halving' and Does it Push Up the Cryptocurrency's Price? https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-06/what-is-bitcoin-halving-and-does-it-push-up-the-cryptocurrency-s-price     Previous Week's Podcast:   Michael Saylor is Right on Bitcoin? |Worst Crash Since 1929 Coming? | Semiconductors Get Big Flows | 0 DTE Option Stats https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/michael-saylor-is-right-on-bitcoin-worst-crash-since/id1432836154?i=1000649479605   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com   www.zegafinancial.com

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/43pRAau Generally, a pretty market-friendly statement from the Fed, with some upgrading on the economy with GDP estimates moving up from 1.4% to 2.0%, they lowered their unemployment rate forecasts from 4.1% to 4% and raised the Core PCE forecasts by two-tenths to 2.6% for the year (and we are already at 2.8% now mind you). Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3uKcswq A positive day in markets this Leap Year Thursday centered around PCE data that was inline with estimates for the month of January with December being revised lower. Headline year over year PCE rose 2.4%, and removing food and energy, Core PCE increased 2.8% from a year earlier. The dichotomy for 2023 was between goods price deflation of -.5% and services price inflation of 3.9%. So where does this all leave us? T his was the last major inflation data point prior to the FOMC meeting on 3/20, so the Fed is leaving rates unchanged in March, most likely the same (as of now) in May, with about a 50/50 chance for a rate cut in June. The bond market, fed futures, and the Fed's own dot plots are estimating 75 bps of rate cuts by the end of the year. Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Jim Cramer and David Faber discussed a pair of tech players: Shares of Snowflake tumbled more than 20% on a weaker sales outlook along with news that Frank Slootman has retired as CEO. Salesforce posted a quarterly beat and issued light guidance. How should investors view both stocks now? The anchors also explored market reaction to the Fed's preferred inflation measure - Core PCE. Also in focus: Phil LeBeau in Chile on China's auto revolution, earnings winners, Apple CEO Tim Cook on AI, certain names outside of the "Magnificent 7" worthy of your attention.  Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber drilled down heavily on tech: Intel tumbles and dragsthe chip sector lower after issuing disappointing sales guidance. Record closing highs for Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta. Cramer said it's time to boot Tesla from the Magnificent 7 after the stock's worst daily performance since 2020 and poor 2024 start. Also in focus: Market reaction to Core PCE data ahead of next week's Fed meeting, American Express surges while Visa falls, JetBlue warns its merger deal with Spirit Airlines may be terminated, layoffs at Salesforce, Levi Strauss and Paramount. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

Carl Quintanilla, Scott Wapner and Leslie Picker led off the show with the Fed's preferred inflation gauge:Core PCE cooled in November -- up 3.2% year-over year, down from 3.4%. Shares of Nike tumbled afterthe company cut full-year sales guidance and announced a $2 billion cost savings plan, The anchors discussed the effect of both stories on the markets, with the major indices on track to extend their weekly win streaks to eight.Also in focus; Bristol Myers Squibb's $14 billion deal, The planned U.S. Steel-Nippon Steel merger faces scrutiny, the stocks taking a hit on China's gaming restrictions, Piper Sandler's chief investment strategist shares his 2024 market outlook, the L.A. Dodgers' latest blockbuster free agent signing. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

The market rally of the last few weeks is based on strong economic data, suggesting that the U.S. and Europe remain on track for a “soft landing.” ----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Global Head of Corporate Credit Research for Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about trends across the global investment landscape and how we put those ideas together. It's Friday, December 1st at 2 p.m. in London. November 2023 is now in the history books. It was outstanding. US bonds rose 4.5%, the best month since 1985. Global stocks rose 9%, the best month in three years. Spreads on an investment grade and high yield bonds tightened significantly. With the exception of commodities and Chinese stocks, which both struggled, November was an early holiday gift to investors of many stripes. While the size of the rally in November was unusual, the direction didn't just spring from thin air. Generally speaking, economic data in November strongly endorsed the idea of a soft landing. Soft landing, where inflation falls without a sharp drop in economic activity are historically rare. But they are Morgan Stanley's economic forecast for the year ahead. And in November, investors unwrapped data suggesting the story remains on track. In the US, core consumer price inflation declined more than expected. Core PCE inflation, a slightly different measure that the Federal Reserve prefers, has fallen down to an annualized pace of just 2.5% over the last six months. Gas prices are down 16% since the summer, rental inflation has stalled and the U.S. auto production is normalizing, improving the trend in three big drivers of the higher inflation we've seen over the last two years. Go back 12 months and most forecasts, including our own, assume that lower inflation would be the result of higher interest rates driving a slowdown in growth. But the economy has been good. Over the last 12 months, the U.S. economy has grown 3%, .5% better than the average since 1990. The story in Europe is a little different from the one in America, but it still rhymes. In Europe, recent inflation data has also come in lower than expected. While economic data has been somewhat weaker. Still, we see signs that the worst of Europe's economic growth will be confined to 2023 and continue to forecast the weakest growth right now, with somewhat better European growth in 2024. Why does this matter? While the returns of November were unusual and unlikely to repeat, it's a good reminder not to overcomplicate things. Good data, by which we mean lower inflation and reasonable growth, is a good outcome that markets will reward, and remains the Morgan Stanley economic base case. Deviating on either variable is a risk, especially for an asset class like credit. Following the data and keeping an open mind, remains important. Thanks for listening. Subscribe to Thoughts on the Market on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen and leave us a review. We'd love to hear from you.