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Jaret Seiberg, managing director at TD Cowen, talks about how the uncertain economic environment—and changing policies regarding tariffs—are impacting banks large and small. He also tackles Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bank regulatory agenda, whether the Trump administration can successfully accomplish GSE reform and the significant risks to banks from stablecoin legislation.
On this episode, Pete and Julie welcome Bryan Bergin and Jared Levine, equity research analysts with TD Cowen focused on the HR tech, fintech, and IT Services sectors! The group explores the overall health and state of the HR tech marketplace through the lens of financial analysts on the front lines of equity research and advisory. They explore the notable trends taking shape, including AI's impact and the continued convergence of fintech with HR tech shaping emerging and leading provider solutions. They discuss how the current economic climate will impact the HR tech marketplace, including notable consolidation news and what to expect from providers getting together across the market. Plus, a look at the potential for IPOs and what to watch for as 2025 unfolds! Connect with Bryan & Jared: TD Cowen research: www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/themes-2025 Bryan Bergin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/bryan-bergin-cfa-cpa-456b3aa/ Jaren Levine: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jared-levine-cfa-cpa-08524346/ Connect with the show: LinkedIn: http://linkedin.com/company/hr-payroll-2-0 X: @HRPayroll2_0 @PeteTiliakos @JulieFer_HR BlueSky: @hrpayroll2o.bsky.social YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@HRPAYROLL2_0
Diane King Hall turns to two very different companies moving this morning in similar ways. TD Cowen slashed its price target on United Airlines (UAL) to $73 from $150 over concerns around Americans' pricing power. Lululemon (LULU) got a price target cut by Baird for similar reasons. Diane discusses what makes these stories alike and the outlook ahead for consumers.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
"It's not over yet" when it comes to volatility and downside market action, says George Tsilis. He argues a policy shift from the Trump administration or the Fed will be needed for relief to take shape. He later turns to TD Cowen's price target cut on Meta Platforms (META) and talks about the company's ability to navigate tariffs. Dan Deming later offers an example options trade in the Mag 7 company.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
In Episode 70, we invite back two Bid Out podcast veterans, Jim Toes, President of the Security Traders Association, and Jaret Seiberg, TD Cowen's Washington Research Group Financial Services Policy Expert, for a discussion on the next SEC Administration, likely to be led by Paul Atkins. Jim and Jaret start with an explanation for the low key, zero drama nature of the Atkins confirmation hearing for SEC Chair, citing the limited pushback expected on the nomination, and the fact that the confirmation process has been streamlined post the GFC. That said, Minority Ranking Member Elizabeth Warren published a 34-page letter of issues and questions for the Chair-Designate covering a wide range of current and historic SEC issues, including many about the time Atkins spent as an SEC Commissioner prior to the GFC. Jim and Jaret discuss several of the topics raised by Senator Warren, including potential conflicts for the Chair, gamification of markets, the future of FINRA and the CAT, and crypto oversight. The pod finishes with Jim's look into his crystal ball to answer the question "will Atkins reverse NMS during his tenure?"This podcast was recorded on April 2, 2025.Chapter Times:00:55 - The Zero Drama Atkins Hearing and Next Steps08:30 - Senator Warren's 34 Page History Lesson13:22 - The Future State of Completely Partisan Commissioners23:34 - Will Atkins Reverse Policy Decisions from Gensler Administration?31:10 - How Can Atkins Manage Conflicts Including with Trump?35:31 - 0DTE, Gamification, 24 Hour Trading and Crypto – Protecting Retail Investors For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
TD Cowen upgraded Tesla (TSLA) to Buy from Hold and ramped up its price target to $388 from $180. Jeff Pierce notes the company's promise in EVs and robotics that the firm sees in Tesla, adding the start of an "innovation cycle" can thrust the stock back to all-time highs. However, Dan Deming sees "potential for further downside" before that happens. He offers a neutral to bullish example options trade for Tesla.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber explored how investors should navigate the markets after Friday's sell-off – with the Dow and Nasdaq in negative territory since President Trump's inauguration. The anchors discussed Apple's $500 billion U.S. expansion plan -- which includes building an AI server factory in Texas -- and how Trump tariffs fit into the picture. Also in focus: Billionaire Steve Cohen joins the backlash against Elon Musk's DOGE, Microsoft refutes TD Cowen's data center note, Warren Buffett's annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, Starbucks layoffs, Palantir extends its one-week slide, Nike and cruise line stocks on the rise. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
Jim and Jeff discuss Microsoft after an analyst report from TD Cowen said the company is cutting spending on data centers. Become a CNBC Investing Club member to go behind the scenes with Jim Cramer and Jeff Marks as they talk candidly about the market's biggest headlines. Signup here: cnbc.com/morningtake CNBC Investing Club Disclaimer
En este episodio, desglosamos los eventos clave que están marcando la agenda de los mercados y la innovación tecnológica: Wall Street en rebote tras semana negativa: El $SPX sube +0.6% luego de su peor sesión del año. Analizamos los factores detrás de la caída del viernes y qué esperar con los reportes de $HD, $LOW y $NVDA esta semana. Alibaba invierte fuerte en IA: $BABA anuncia un plan de $52.44B en computación en la nube, superando su gasto total en la última década. Evaluamos cómo su modelo Qwen2.5-VL busca competir con GPT-4o, Claude 3.5 Sonnet y Gemini 2.0. Apple responde a los aranceles con una inversión récord: $AAPL destinará más de $500B a EE.UU. en los próximos cuatro años, con énfasis en chips, software e IA. Exploramos su nueva fábrica en Houston y el impacto de la política comercial de Trump en su estrategia. Tesla lanza su primer servicio de robotaxis: $TSLA desplegará su tecnología Full Self-Driving en Austin, Texas, sin supervisión humana. Analizamos cómo este piloto será clave para la expansión nacional en 2026 con el Cyber Cab. Mercado de fármacos para obesidad en auge: TD Cowen eleva su estimación a $139B en 2030, con $LLY y $NVO liderando. Desglosamos cómo estos tratamientos están transformando la industria farmacéutica y qué otras empresas compiten en este sector. Acompáñanos para entender cómo estos eventos están impactando los mercados, la tecnología y la economía global. ¡Un episodio lleno de análisis estratégico!
Microsoft heeft toch minder behoefte aan extra datacentercapaciteit voor AI dan verwacht, zo stelt Bloomberg op basis van investeringsbank TD Cowen. Joe van Burik vertelt erover in deze Tech Update. Verder in deze Tech Update: Google moet rekening houden met een kritisch oordeel vanuit de Europese Commissie, na een onderzoek van bijna een jaar in het kader van marktmachtmisbruik inzake prijsvergelijkingen tussen producten, vluchten en hotelovernachtingen De Trump Media & Technology Group, bekend als het bedrijf achter Truth Social, en videoplatform Rumble hebben de hoogste Braziliaanse rechter Alexandre de Moraes (bekend als de man die Elon Musks platform X vorig jaar wekenlang offline wist te houden omdat het niet aan regels wilde voldoen) aangeklaagd, nadat Rumble in Brazilië op zwart moest op last van De Moraes See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In Episode 62, Frank is joined by Chris Krueger of TD Cowen's Washington Research Group to discuss the first 30 days of the Trump Administration, and the on-going trade war with Canada. Chris outlines his biggest surprises to date, including the sheer torque of rulemaking from the executive branch - he figures his team in Washington undershot the runway when it suggested Trump 2.0 would be "all gas, no break."Frank provides insights into Canada's strategy for defending itself and thinks the current alignment across the country will be key to victory against the US tariffs, but he agrees with former Prime Minister Harper in suggesting that Canadians will need to be prepared to endure some hardships through this difficult period. He also explains the meaning of Interprovincial trade barriers, suggesting that they act as a 7% tariff on goods moving from province to province. Chris also shares his biggest surprises to date in Trump's second term, including the influence of Elon Musk. Both Chris and Frank think that the right leaning Supreme Court will give Trump leeway to continue his changes in Washington but will keep some guardrails in place.This podcast was recorded on February 18, 2025.Chapter Headings03:23 Newfoundland Premier's “Chilling” Feedback from Trump Team10:38 Next Steps on Canada-US Tariff Debate15:40 Will Supreme Court Support Guard Rails for Executive Branch?24:40 Flooding the Zone to Change the Narrative in US31:22 Elon Musk's Influence on Whitehouse For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
Moshe Orenbuch of TD Cowen dives into Visa (V) and Mastercard's (MA) quarterly reports. He thinks the divergence between stocks today is from Mastercard's reported acquisition costs. “The good news is” that U.S. strength remains, and he saw “no specific red flags” in either quarterly statement. He has a Buy rating on both stocks. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Novo Nordisk (NVO) pops on positive drug trial results. The company showed a 22% reduction in weight for obese and overweight patients after 36 weeks. TD Cowen called the results "impressive" on the early-stage results. Jenny Horne reports the latest on the health care name. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
The Daily Business and Finance Show - Thursday, 23 January 2025 We get our business and finance news from Seeking Alpha and you should too! Subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium for more in-depth market news and help support this podcast. Free for 14-days! Please click here for more info: Subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium News Today's headlines: CNN laying off 'hundreds' of employees; NBC News cuts some jobs - CNBC Trump threatens Russia with tariffs unless it reaches a deal over ending Ukraine war Kinder Morgan Non-GAAP EPS of $0.32 misses by $0.01, revenue of $3.99B misses by $150M Moderna spikes as Oracle's Larry Ellison touts AI-driven mRNA vaccines Amazon plans to eliminate all of its facilities in Quebec Project Stargate likely be start of 'massive' AI investments in US: analysts Anthropic CEO, Musk question Stargate Project as questions remain Celsius Holdings is downgraded at TD Cowen due to increased competition from Alani Nu and other players Explanations from OpenAI ChatGPT API with proprietary prompts. This podcast provides information only and should not be construed as financial or business advice. This podcast is produced by Klassic Studios Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jenny Horne looks at a pair of analyst moves to end the week. TD Cowen upgraded Salesforce (CRM) to Buy from Hold, as shares have reached a "compelling entry point." Meanwhile, Wolfe Research downgraded Spotify (SPOT) to Peer Perform from Outperform, citing revenue forecasts "look full" following price hikes on its consumer base. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Salesforce (CRM) gets an upgrade from TD Cowen advising to buy the dip, American Airlines (AAL) gets a positive note from BoFA, and Spotify (SPOT) drops after Wolfe Research says the company's revenue forecasts look full. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Breaking news on the Supreme Court upholding a TikTok ban interrupts Oliver Renick and Alex Coffey's macro discussion on the markets. It didn't move the needle much on the rally. Alex calls the rally an "exhale of relief" for the markets as expanding breadth offers a bigger foundation for traders. He later turns to Salesforce (CRM) after TD Cowen upgraded the stock on bullishness for the company's A.I. potential. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Pauline is joined in the studio by top-ranked retail analyst, Oliver Chen of TD Cowen. Together, they discuss retail trends of the past year and predictions for '25, including: which companies and segments are poised to win in the current marketplace; why growth of bricks-and-mortar stores continues to outpace e-commerce; how AI and other technologies are reshaping the retail industry; how fashion brands command cultural relevance and elicit desirability through innovative designs, merchandising and marketing; and what challenges and opportunities retailers will face in year ahead.
The Daily Business and Finance Show - Friday, 13 December 2024 We get our business and finance news from Seeking Alpha and you should too! Subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium for more in-depth market news and help support this podcast. Free for 14-days! Please click here for more info: Subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium News Today's headlines: Warner Bros. Discovery to have two core operating units under new structure; shares jump Himax jumps as analyst says it may be Nvidia, Taiwan Semi supplier Adobe tumbles after outlook disappoints Wall Street, TD Cowen cuts rating Costco rejects 98% of Teamsters' demands Nvidia's request to avoid securities fraud suit dismissed by US Supreme Court MicroStrategy stands to gain from potential Nasdaq 100 inclusion: Bernstein Lucid Group eyes partnerships amid the shifting EV landscape Tesla snaps six straight sessions of gains Explanations from OpenAI ChatGPT API with proprietary prompts. This podcast provides information only and should not be construed as financial or business advice. This podcast is produced by Klassic Studios Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
President-elect Donald Trump rang the opening bell at the NYSE, with Diane King Hall reporting immediately following the event. She also discusses the biggest morning movers, which includes Amazon (AMZN) being named TD Cowen's top large-cap pick for 2025. Palantir (PLTR) ticked higher after Baird initiated coverage with a neutral rating and $70 price target. Analysts downgraded Hershey (HSY) and Mondelez (MDLZ) over higher cocoa prices. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
The market highs continue as tech retakes the lead in the market. Can this tremendous run continue? Plus, the CEO of Chewy on today's earnings as pet spending continues to grow. And, why TD Cowen says the coffee business is poised to grow even further and they've got two plays to take advantage.
Entering the holiday shopping season, we dive deep into e-commerce by exploring how tech giants apply AI and digital advertising to shape the future of retail. John Blackledge, Managing Director, TMT – Internet Research Analyst, TD Cowen, joins host Amy Van Arnhem, Managing Director and Head of Canada Senior Relationship Management, TD Securities, to discuss how online retail growth has driven improvements in the scale and speed of delivery infrastructure. We also cover the beneficial impact AI can have on labour productivity and take a look at the biggest quarter of the year for ad spending. This podcast was recorded on November 18, 2024. For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
In this special edition of Geopolitics, we check in on a post-election panel discussion at the 25th Annual TD Securities Portfolio Management and Market Structure Conference. With Frank Mckenna out of the country, Geopolitics host Peter Haynes is joined by The Honorable Rona Ambrose, Deputy Chairwoman of TD Securities and Chris Krueger, Geopolitics Expert at TD Cowen's The Washington Research Group to discuss the surprising US Election results and its implications for Canada-US relations. Rona also takes time to discuss the political backdrop in Canada and potential for an election north of the border in the next few months. Chapter Headings: 1:00 – The Outstanding Races – When Will They Be Decided?4:30 – Rona's Biggest Surprise10:10 – The Future of USMCA and Canada's Minerals and Water15:55 – Trump's Potential Cabinet Appointments23:10 – Tariffs, Immigration and Ukraine29:00 – The 411 on Pierre Poilievre36:40 – Key Dates Until Inauguration For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
Rob Parker is a Managing Director and Head of Sell-Side M&A at TD Cowen. Mr. Parker was one of the founders of Quarton Partners. He has advised public and private clients on numerous mergers, acquisitions, LBO, cross border, and capital raising transactions across a variety of industries. Eric Van Dam is a Managing Director and head of Residential & Commercial Services at TD Cowen. Bringing over 15 years of experience on over 100 transactions, Eric has experience with middle market mergers and acquisitions engagements. In this episode, we talked about mergers and acquisitions strategy, private equity, financial metrics...
Milken Institute economist Bill Lee discusses how today's jobs report will impact the Fed's rate decision next week. Plus, top analysts from Mizuho and TD Cowen highlight the key takeaways from Apple and Amazon's earnings. And, CNBC's Emily Wilkins reports from the battleground state of Arizona, on why immigration and border security are major issues for many business owners.
Ken Pilot interviews Oliver Chen for this flight of The Retail Pilot podcast. Oliver Chen is a Managing Director and senior equity research analyst covering retail and luxury goods at TD Cowen. His deep understanding of the consumer and his ability to forecast the latest trends and technological changes that will impact the retail space have set him apart from peers.Prior to joining TD Cowen in 2014, he spent seven years at Citigroup, worked in the investment research division at UBS, in the global mergers and acquisitions/strategic planning group at PepsiCo International, and in JPMorgan's consumer products/retail mergers and acquisitions group.Oliver holds a bachelor of science degree from Georgetown University, an MBA from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania, and is a CFA charterholder.His passion for the sector began at the age of 12 when he began working with his parents at their retail business in Natchitoches, Louisiana.Summary:In this conversation, Oliver Chen discusses the current state of luxury retail and the beauty sector, highlighting the challenges and opportunities faced by brands. He emphasizes the importance of pricing strategies, the impact of digital transformation, and the need for brands to connect with younger consumers. The discussion also covers emerging trends in fragrance, the potential of the men's beauty market, and the role of AI in enhancing the retail experience.Key Takeaways:Luxury retail is facing an inflection point with declining sales.China's economic factors are influencing luxury spending.LVMH's strong brand portfolio positions it well in the market.Hermes thrives due to its timeless luxury appeal.Luxury brands are increasingly focusing on direct-to-consumer sales.Ralph Lauren's success is attributed to its cultural relevance and value perception.Fragrance is a growing category with opportunities for premiumization.The men's beauty market is still developing but shows potential.TikTok is becoming a significant platform for beauty brands.AI is set to transform the retail experience through personalized search.
In Episode 57, Frank invites Chris Krueger, TD Cowen's Washington politics expert, to the podcast to discuss the upcoming November 5th US Election and key factors that will determine who wins the Presidential race. Frank explains the importance of the election outcome to Canada, noting that if Trump is true to his word (and there is no reason to doubt him), then a Republican victory would lead to a weakening (if not outright end) of multilateralism globally. While the USMCA might survive, the threat of unilateral tariffs will overhang Canada-US relations for the duration of the next Administration. We discuss down ballet Congressional votes, which according to both Frank and Chris are likely to lead to a split Congress. Chris also weighs in on the risk of outlier events disrupting the peaceful transition of power. We wrap up with Frank's take on the Federal Liberal Caucus revolt, and the likelihood that Prime Minister Trudeau stays on through the next election in Canada, especially considering incumbent defeats in provincial elections from coast to coast. Chapter Headings: 0:55 - Is the US Election the Most Consequential in History?2:11 - Key Variables that Will Decide the Outcome8:58 - USMCA – Threat of Unilateral Sanctions from a Trump Administration14:07 - Will the Prime Minister Push Biden to Resolve Softwood Lumber Dispute?16:50 - Risk of Outlier Events Disrupting Peaceful Transition of Power27:02 - Trump Tax Breaks and Debt Ceiling33:19 - Placing Bets on the Winner36:28 - Liberal Caucus Revolt and Likelihood Trudeau Stays on Through Next Election For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
Interest rates down. Money market from 5.3% to 4.7% Get in now or wait? CAPE Ratio still high at 35. Mutual Funds! High Fees!Beating the marketInflation Milton Friedman on inflationNetflixStock all time high around $730. Up 49% YTD, compared to S&P500 at 23%Piper Sandler analyst Matt Farrell said Netflix "is a clear leader in streaming," according to The Fly. He upgraded the company to overweight from neutral and boosted his price target to $800 from $650. TD Cowen analyst John Blackledge raised the firm's price target on Netflix to $820 from $775 while maintaining a buy rating on the shares.Netflix (NFLX) is expected to benefit from a long runway for revenue growth and a deepening competitive moat, Morgan Stanley said in a report Thursday.The report also pointed to above consensus expectations for operating leverage and EPS."Our analysis of Netflix new 1H24 engagement report reinforces our bullish view," Morgan Stanley said, adding that the latest engagement report is backing the "Netflix content advantage," referring to its original programming, international content, and the value of its content library.Following "peak TV" and recent strikes, Hollywood's new normal favors Netflix, with reduced competition for content and media studios open to licensing again, the report said. It said the ad-tier introduction would also help raise revenue.Morgan Stanley raised its price target for the stock to $820 from $780 while reiterating its overweight rating.Apple At $228 vs high of $234. Downgraded by Jeffries.Is Apple Intelligence a thing?Iphone is 50% of salesIs Iphone 16 enough?Me thesis:Entire family uses. Customer service is insanely good!! All photos there. Ear buds. Amazon$187, was around $200. Not sure how you bet against Amazon. In 2023, Amazon was the third largest digital ad publisher in the United States, behind Google and Facebook. Amazon's global ad revenue reached $49 billion in 2023, which is nearly triple its 2019 result.Fabric of life. Everyday we get a package. First place I go to search/buy. Free returns. Easy. MicrosoftTo buy 3-mile island. Newsom bans voter id requirements. Elon Musk on Tucker23.30 on is Epstein list discussion. Videos. Diddy and Epstein. 28.00 - How will they let X continue? Lawfare!! Illegal to discriminate asslym seekers, but can't hire as SpaceX. Point is DOJ is weaponized. Cuban on All In Podcast. Monsters on NetflixSlow Horses (called it White Horses before)Wife watching “Troy: Fall of a City”
Great Sustainable Food Stocks, Plus… best ESG stocks to buy now based on hedge fund holdings. Solar stocks to review. By Ron Robins, MBA Transcript & Links, Episode 138, September 20, 2024 Hello, Ron Robins here. Welcome to this podcast episode 138 published September 20, 2024, titled “Great Sustainable Food Stocks, Plus…” It's presented by Investing for the Soul. Investingforthesoul.com is your site for vital global ethical and sustainable investing mentoring, news, commentary, information, and resources. Now remember that you can find a full transcript and links to content – including stock symbols and bonus material – on this episode's podcast page at investingforthesoul.com/podcasts. Also, a reminder. I do not evaluate any of the stocks or funds mentioned in these podcasts, and I don't receive any compensation from anyone covered in these podcasts. Furthermore, I will reveal any investments I have in the investments mentioned herein. Additionally, quotes about individual companies are brief. Please go to this podcast's webpage for links to the articles for more company and stock information. ------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Sustainable Food-Related Stocks for Long-Term Investors This first article refers to an industry that's one of my favorites, the food industry! It's titled 5 Sustainable Food-Related Stocks for Long-Term Investors. It's by Leslie P. Norton and found on morningstar.com. Here are some brief quotes from the article. “We talked with Edinburgh-based Stewart Investors, a global asset manager that practices sustainable investing, about the charms of food-related stocks. (The firm has a Morningstar ESG Commitment Level of Leader.)… The firm [Stewart Investors] tends to hold for the long term, and all the food-related companies that Wood mentions left cheap behind a while ago, as you'll see in the table below. Still, they have merits galore. I talked with Wood about why they're worth considering for the long haul. Stewart Investors' Food Stock Picks Source: Morningstar. Data as of Sept. 9, 2024. The star ratings for Mahindra & Mahindra, Novonesis, Totvs, and Unicharm are quantitative.” End quotes. ------------------------------------------------------------- 10 Best ESG Stocks To Buy Now My next article comes from Insider Monkey. It's titled 10 Best ESG Stocks To Buy Now and is by Sheryar Siddiq. Here are a few quotes from him. “Our Methodology To create the list of top ESG stocks to buy now, we chose companies from the Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV) and ranked them by their percentage weight in the fund, listed in ascending order. In addition, we used hedge fund sentiments regarding each stock to illustrate how well these stocks hold up in the eyes of hedge fund investors. These were taken from Insider Monkey's Q2 2024 database… Our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds… (see more details here). 10. Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 85 Tesla's earnings for the second quarter fell short of expectations, driven by a decline in automotive sales for the second consecutive period. Despite a 2% revenue increase to $25.43 billion compared to the same quarter last year, automotive revenue dropped by 7% to $19.9 billion from $21.27 billion… Despite Tesla's recent challenges, Truist Securities analyst William Stein remains optimistic about the company's shift from traditional car manufacturing to AI, which he believes could unlock significant value. On August 14, he reaffirmed his ‘hold' rating on Tesla with a price target of $215, representing a 6.76% potential upside.” 9. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) Hedge Fund Holders: 111 JPMorgan Chase operates globally across sectors like Consumer & Community Banking, Corporate & Investment Banking, Commercial Banking, and Asset & Wealth Management. In 2023, the firm achieved a 15% reduction in Scope 1 and Scope 2 greenhouse gas emissions from 2019 levels, advancing toward its goal of carbon neutrality by 2030. JPMorgan Chase also facilitated over $200 billion in green financing, including renewable energy projects and green bonds, contributing to its $2.5 trillion sustainable development financing target by 2030… Following the earnings release, Citi raised its price target for JPMorgan Chase from $205.00 to $215.00, while maintaining a Neutral rating. BMO Capital also reaffirmed its Market Perform rating with an unchanged price target of $205.00. 8. Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) Hedge Fund Holders: 130 Broadcom [is] a global leader in technology, specializes in designing, developing, and supplying a wide range of semiconductor, enterprise software, and security solutions… The company plans to reassess its baseline and set new Scope 1, Scope 2, and Scope 3 greenhouse gas emission reduction targets. According to the company's ESG report, these new targets will align with the UN Paris Agreement and the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) goal to limit global warming to 1.5° Celsius above pre-industrial levels. In a recent note, TD Cowen identified Broadcom as a stock poised to benefit from the surge in AI spending… Cantor Fitzgerald maintained an Overweight rating and set a new price target of $200. 7. Eli Lilly And Company (NYSE:LLY) Hedge Fund Holders: 100 Eli Lilly is a global pharmaceutical firm renowned for its innovative medications. This past year, the company released its 2023 ESG report, highlighting significant strides toward its sustainability goals. The company has reduced greenhouse gas emissions by more than 20% between 2020 and 2022, despite notable business growth. The report also showcases Eli Lilly's commitment to diversity, with minority group members now holding 25% of U.S. management positions and women occupying 49% of management roles globally… In a recent update to its large-cap rankings, Wells Fargo analysts highlighted Eli Lilly's robust pipeline and potential to surpass market expectations in the coming years. The firm named Eli Lilly as its new top pick among large-cap pharmaceutical stocks, anticipating the company will outperform 2025 consensus estimates. 6. Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Hedge Fund Holders: 216 Alphabet the parent company of Google, has introduced the Google Renewable Energy Addendum, a new initiative asking its largest hardware manufacturing suppliers to commit to matching 100% of their energy use with renewable sources by 2029… The company has set ambitious environmental goals for 2030, including achieving net-zero emissions across its operations and value chain, and reducing its combined Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions by 50% from 2019 levels… Analysts have set a price target of $203.74, indicating a potential upside of 25.03% as of August 20… 5. Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META) Hedge Fund Holders: 219 The social media giant achieved net-zero emissions across its global operations in 2020 and is now focused on reaching net-zero emissions across its entire value chain by 2030… On August 8, Loop Capital raised its price target for Meta from $550 to $575, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock… Citi subsequently raised its price target for Meta from $550 to $580. 4. Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) Hedge Fund Holders: 308 Amazon initially aimed to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2030 and power its operations with 100% renewable energy, a goal it claims to have achieved seven years ahead of schedule… In the first half of 2024, Amazon saw its operating income surge 141% year-over-year, reaching a record high… Amazon is also a dominant force in digital advertising, surpassing a $50 billion annual run rate with 20% growth… Morgan Stanley recently reiterated its positive outlook on Amazon maintaining an Overweight rating and a $210 price target. 3. NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) Hedge Fund Holders: 179 NVIDIA leads the market in designing and selling Graphics Processing Units (GPUs), a sector that has surged due to the growing demand for artificial intelligence models. The company's Blackwell GPUs are up to 20 times more energy-efficient than traditional CPUs for specific AI and high-performance computing (HPC) tasks. Additionally, by the end of FY25 and each year after, NVIDIA aims to achieve and maintain 100% renewable electricity for its offices and data centers under operational control… 2. Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) Hedge Fund Holders: 279 Microsoft stands out as a leading ESG stock, much in part due to its strategic investment in OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, which has strengthened its position across hardware, software, and global cloud services. The company is committed to sourcing 100% renewable energy by 2025, becoming carbon negative by 2030, and offsetting all historical carbon emissions since its founding in 1975 by 2050… BMO Capital Markets maintained its positive outlook on Microsoft, keeping an Outperform rating and a $500 price target. 1. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) Hedge Fund Holders: 184 Apple is an obvious choice for ESG investors, given its strong commitment to labor rights, environmental responsibility, and ethical business practices across its supply chain. The tech giant has reduced its overall greenhouse gas emissions by over 55% since 2015, marking significant progress toward its ambitious Apple 2030 goal of achieving carbon neutrality across its entire value chain by the decade's end… On August 2, Goldman Sachs raised its price target for Apple from $265 to $275 while maintaining a Buy rating… End quotes. ------------------------------------------------------------- These 3 Companies Are the Solar Power Leaders, But Should You Invest in Them? Now what would a podcast episode be without an article on solar power companies? So here it is titled These 3 Companies Are the Solar Power Leaders, But Should You Invest in Them? By Jordan Chussler and found on 247wallst.com. Here is some of what Mr. Chussler says in his article. “1. First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) has amassed an impressive $21.98 billion market cap and is considered by many to be the solar industry leader. The company manufactures solar panels, but also provides utility-scale photovoltaic power plants while also provides support services like financing, construction, maintenance and end-of-life panel recycling programs… In the second quarter of 2024, First Solar beat earnings forecasts for the fifth consecutive quarter by posting earnings per share (EPS) of $3.25 versus analysts' expectations of $2.70. The company also beat on revenue by reporting $1.01 billion versus analysts' expectations of $939.71 million… Analysts at the Wall Street Journal give First Solar's stock a median, one-year price target of $286. Shares are currently trading for $205.36, meaning, the stock is expected to have strong upside potential of 39.26% over the next 12 months. 2. Enphase Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: ENPH) is a clean energy technology company with a $13.95 billion market cap that specializes in the development and manufacturing of solar micro-inverters and battery storage systems… Since beating earnings forecasts during the third quarter of 2023, Enphase has missed for the past three consecutive quarters, posting a disappointing EPS of 43 cents in the second quarter of 2024 versus analysts' expectations of 49 cents… Shares of Enphase are currently trading around $112, but one-year price targets are incredibly spread out. The Wall Street Journal‘s analysts give a median price target of $130, but a high-end target of $170 and a low-end target of just $45.82. 3. Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ: RUN) has the smallest market cap of all three companies, with just $3.8 billion. The San Francisco-based company provides photovoltaic systems and battery energy storage solutions primarily for a residential customer base. Sunrun shocked Wall Street in the second quarter of 2024 by posting an EPS of 55 cents versus analysts' expectations of -33 cents in earnings. That was the first quarter since Q2 2023 that the company posted a positive EPS… Currently trading at $18.17, Wall Street Journal analysts give shares of Sunrun a median, one-year price target of $20, but a high-end target of $38 and a low-end target of just $7.78.” End quotes. ------------------------------------------------------------- Ending Comment These are my top news stories with their stock and fund tips for this podcast “Great Sustainable Food Stocks, Plus…” Please click the like and subscribe buttons wherever you download or listen to this podcast. That helps bring these podcasts to others like you. And please click the share buttons to share this podcast with your friends and family. Let's promote ethical and sustainable investing as a force for hope and prosperity in these troubled times! Contact me if you have any questions. Thank you for listening. Now my next podcast will be October 4th. I'll talk to you then! Bye for now. © 2024 Ron Robins, Investing for the Soul
Carl Quintanilla and Sara Eisen tackle today's biggest Money Movers from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange
Pauline is joined by top-ranked equity research analyst Oliver Chen of TD Cowen for an in-depth discussion on trends in the retail and luxury sectors. During this segment, Pauline and Oliver compare the positions and performances of leading beauty and fashion companies, and they discuss what differentiates the winners from the losers in this highly competitive and fast-changing marketplace.
Jaret Seiberg, managing director of TD Cowen's Washington Research Group, discusses the many policy changes facing banks this summer, including the FDIC's brokered deposit proposal, the Fed's new FAQ on the discount window, a Texas court decision on the small business rule, and the new uncertainties the election poses for the industry.
Explore the growth and achievements of the biotech industry over the years as Yaron Werber, Managing Director, Equity Research, TD Cowen, speaks with host Amy Van Arnhem, Managing Director and Head of Canada Senior Relationship Management, TD Securities. Together, they look ahead to the impact AI could have on healthcare, M&A activity, and the unique characteristics of leading markets in the U.S., Europe, China, and Japan. For deeper insights with guests from leading biotechnology companies, tune in to Yaron Werber's podcast series, Biotech Decoded. This podcast was recorded on July 15, 2024. For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
The record market rally is rolling on today, but with some different leadership. The Russell 2000 index is up more than 2%, while the Dow is within 100 points of 41K. We'll break it all down.Plus, TD Cowen is analyzing the impact that former President Trump's running mate, JD Vance, could have on policy and the economy in a new note. We'll speak to the analyst behind the call.
On Friday, June 28, in a landmark ruling, the Supreme Court of the United States struck down the Chevron Deference, a 40 year old precedent ruling that was utilized by Courts in determining the powers of agencies of the US Government. The Supreme Court eliminated Chevron as part of its ruling in a case (Loper Bright Enterprises vs Rainmondo) involving the ability of an Agency, the Department of Commerce, to force herring fishermen in Maine to pay for government monitors. The ruling sent a shiver through Washington as it was seen as an attack on the Administrative State by a right-leaning anti-agency Supreme Court. In Episode 62 of Bid Out, J.W. Verrett, our go-to Administrative Law Expert from George Mason University, returns to the podcast alongside our own TD Cowen Washington Research Group Financial Services Policy Analyst Jaret Seiberg to discuss the implications of this decision on SEC rulemaking, including its equity market structure reforms expected to go final in the next couple months.This podcast was recorded on July 2, 2024.Chapter Headings:1:14 – Down Goes Chevron5:08 – What Rules are at Risk?8:25 – Implications for Policymaking12:14 – Why Equity Market Structure Rules Might be Protected?18:35 – When Does Congressional Review Act Kick In?26:24 – Does Gensler Leave with a Change in Administration?Guests:J.W. Verret JD, CPA/CFF, CFE, CVA, Associate Professor, Antonin Scalia Law School, George Mason UniversityJaret Seiberg, Managing Director, Washington Research Group, TD Cowen For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
Carl Quintanilla and Sara Eisen tackle today's biggest Money Movers from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.
To commemorate the one-year anniversary of the Cowen acquisition, Riaz Ahmed, President and CEO, TD Securities, and Jeff Solomon, President, TD Cowen and Vice Chair, TD Securities, return to Viewpoint with host, Amy Van Arnhem, Managing Director and Head of Canada Senior Relationship Management, TD Securities, exploring the integration and ongoing growth potential for clients and colleagues. From fostering a culture of collaboration to enhancing global capabilities, Riaz and Jeff share their perspectives on the transformative journey and the exciting opportunities it presents. This podcast was recorded on April 9, 2024. For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
Tech is the best-performing sector this quarter, led by bullishness around Nvidia. Big Technology's Alex Kantrowitz explains. On the flip side, energy is the worst-performing sector, even as oil comes off a two-week winning streak. TD Cowen's Jason Gabelman lays out what's ahead. And, AI is infiltrating all parts of the economy, including travel. Needham's Bernie McTernan discusses.
The Nasdaq and S&P 500 notched their third straight positive weeks; Unlimited Funds' Bob Elliott and Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston break down their top trades. Olaulu Aganga, Mercer US CIO, on the playbook for the second half. Ben Reitzes, Melius analyst, on why he's upping his Nvidia price target again, despite the stock's decline this week. TD Cowen's Riu Baral on Sarepta Therapeutics' huge move on FDA's expanded use approval for its DMD drug. Plus, a cyberattack is forcing car dealerships back to old-fashioned pen and paper.
Join the conversation as Vince Valentini, Managing Director, Equity Research, TD Cowen, and Greg Williams, Director, Equity Research, TD Cowen, together with host Peter Haynes, Managing Director and Head of Index and Market Structure Research, TD Securities, explore the evolving North American communications industry landscape. From market maturation to emerging technologies like AI and 5G, they analyze key themes impacting cable, satellite and telco sectors, offering valuable insights for investors navigating this dynamic industry. This podcast was recorded on May 6, 2024. For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
This week Kevin and Patrick welcome to the show, Jenny Hadiaris head of market structure from TD Cowen & Peter Haynes, head of index and market structure research from TD Securities. They discuss the evolving markets, how the markets have changed and where they may be headed in the future. Check Out Bid Out With Peter Haynes: https://bit.ly/4bhywyx *Got questions for Kevin and Patrick? Submit your questions to: nostupidquestions@markethuddle.com Visit our merch store!!! https://www.themarkethuddlemerch.com/ To receive our emails with the charts and links each week, please register at: https://markethuddle.com/
Die Handelsspanne an der Wall Street war gestern ausgesprochen eng, mit zudem unterdurchschnittlichen Handelsvolumen. Anleger haben sich mehr für die Sonnenfinsternis als für Aktien interessiert, und sind auch wegen der bevorstehenden Inflationsdaten in Wartestellung. Am Freitag beginnt mit den Banken außerdem die Berichtssaison für das vierte Quartal. Heute starten wir freundlich in den Tag. Die Aussagen aus der FED sind uneinheitlich. Während Ex-Notenbanker James Bullard betont, dass der Markt von drei Senkungen in diesem Jahr ausgehen sollte, mahnte Neel Kashkari erneut vor der überhöhten Inflation. Während der Ölpreis steigt, liege die Inflation mit rund 3% weiterhin über dem 2%-Ziel der FED. Google dürfte mit dem heutigen Start der Next Cloud-Konferenz im Fokus stehen. TD Cowen hebt das Kursziel der Aktie heute an, und sieht auch bei Meta anhaltend robustes Wachstum. Freeport-McMoRan wird vor dem Opening von der Bank of America mit einem Ziel von $59 zum Kauf empfohlen. Abonniere den Podcast, um keine Folge zu verpassen! ____ Folge uns, um auf dem Laufenden zu bleiben: • Facebook: http://fal.cn/SQfacebook • Twitter: http://fal.cn/SQtwitter • LinkedIn: http://fal.cn/SQlinkedin • Instagram: http://fal.cn/SQInstagram
► Exklusiver NordVPN Deal: https://nordvpn.com/wallstreet Mit der 30-Tage-Geld-zurück-Garantie von NordVPN gibt es kein Risiko!* +++ Alle Rabattcodes und Infos zu unseren Werbepartnern findet ihr hier: https://linktr.ee/wallstreet_podcast +++ Ein Podcast - featured by Handelsblatt. Die Handelsspanne an der Wall Street war gestern ausgesprochen eng, mit zudem unterdurchschnittlichen Handelsvolumen. Anleger haben sich mehr für die Sonnenfinsternis als für Aktien interessiert, und sind auch wegen der bevorstehenden Inflationsdaten in Wartestellung. Am Freitag beginnt mit den Banken außerdem die Berichtssaison für das vierte Quartal. Heute starten wir freundlich in den Tag. Die Aussagen aus der FED sind uneinheitlich. Während Ex-Notenbanker James Bullard betont, dass der Markt von drei Senkungen in diesem Jahr ausgehen sollte, mahnte Neel Kashkari erneut vor der überhöhten Inflation. Während der Ölpreis steigt, liege die Inflation mit rund 3% weiterhin über dem 2%-Ziel der FED. Google dürfte mit dem heutigen Start der Next Cloud-Konferenz im Fokus stehen. TD Cowen hebt das Kursziel der Aktie heute an, und sieht auch bei Meta anhaltend robustes Wachstum. Freeport-McMoRan wird vor dem Opening von der Bank of America mit einem Ziel von $59 zum Kauf empfohlen. *Werbung
Shares of Donald Trump's social media company jumped more than 50% in their trading debut yesterday. TD Cowen's Jaret Seiberg discusses the intersection between politics and markets. Plus, China's Xi Jinping is meeting with U.S. executives this week. Longview Global's Dewardric McNeal explains. And, what does the Francis Scott Key Bridge's collapse mean for the global supply chain? Freightos' Judah Levine weighs in.
In Episode 61, we finish the second of a two-part series on European Market Structure with our expert witnesses from the region, James Baugh, Head of European Market Structure for TD Cowen, and Dermot Dunphy, Head of Trading for M&G Investment Management. In part two, we drill down on the impact of RobinHood's arrival to the European trading landscape, the shift to the close of volumes, the renewed push for a shorter trading day and the timeline for T1 in Europe and the UK. We finish up with an update on the high-profile and controversial topic of a Consolidated Tape in Europe and the potential for a single-securities regulator in Europe that could be a first step towards a centralized listings platform for the EU countries.This podcast was originally recorded on March 18, 2024Chapter Headings:0:55 - The Impact of RobinHood's Arrival on Retail Trading8:33 - Shift to the Close – Are MOC flows Accessible?11:25 - Renewed Push to Shorten European/UK Trading Day23:28 - T + 1 Implications and Timeline for European/UK Move27:25 - Consolidated Tape and Market Data Costs32:02 - Case for a Single European Regulator and Potentially One European Listings PlatformGuests:James Baugh, Managing Director, Head of European Market Structure, TD CowenDermot Dunphy, Deputy Head of Equities Dealing Desk, M&G InvestmentsDisclaimer:This podcast should not be copied, distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part. The information contained in this recording was obtained from publicly available sources, has not been independently verified by TD Securities, may not be current, and TD Securities has no obligation to provide any updates or changes. All price references and market forecasts are as of the date of recording. The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are not necessarily those of TD Securities and may differ from the views and opinions of other departments or divisions of TD Securities and its affiliates. TD Securities is not providing any financial, economic, legal, accounting, or tax advice or recommendations in this podcast. The information contained in this podcast does not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell securities or any other product and should not be relied upon to evaluate any potential transaction. Neither TD Securities nor any of its affiliates makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or any information contained in this podcast and any liability therefore (including in respect of direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage) is expressly disclaimed. For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
Recorded on 03/18/23 In this episode, Roman Schweizer, TD Cowen's WRG Geopolitics & Defense Analyst, discusses the recently released FY25 DoD budget with a reporter roundtable and a panel of budget experts. For Disclosures, click here bit.ly/3cPHkNW
Episode 60 is the first of a two part deep dive on European Market Structure, a topic we have not covered in several years on the podcast. As we learn in the two episodes, a lot has changed since we last covered the space. Helping us get up to speed are two experts in the region, James Baugh, TD Cowen's Head of European Market Structure, and Dermot Dunphy, Head of Trading for M&G Investment Management. In this episode, we cover the anatomy of an execution for a block sized order and how it changed over Dermot's career, the existential threat faced by the LSE and UK to maintain its place amongst the leading global capital markets, and an introduction to some of the Made in Europe market conventions.Chapter Headings:7:23 - Anatomy of an Block Order – What has Changed - 2001 vs 2024?14:44 - LSE Defending its Turf23:03 - MTFs, Systematic Internalizers and Other Made in Europe Conventions This podcast was recorded on March 18, 2024 Guests:James Baugh, Managing Director, Head of European Market Structure, TD CowenDermot Dunphy, Deputy Head of Equities Dealing Desk, M&G InvestmentsDisclaimer:This podcast should not be copied, distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part. The information contained in this recording was obtained from publicly available sources, has not been independently verified by TD Securities, may not be current, and TD Securities has no obligation to provide any updates or changes. All price references and market forecasts are as of the date of recording. The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are not necessarily those of TD Securities and may differ from the views and opinions of other departments or divisions of TD Securities and its affiliates. TD Securities is not providing any financial, economic, legal, accounting, or tax advice or recommendations in this podcast. The information contained in this podcast does not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell securities or any other product and should not be relied upon to evaluate any potential transaction. Neither TD Securities nor any of its affiliates makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or any information contained in this podcast and any liability therefore (including in respect of direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage) is expressly disclaimed. For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
Recorded on 02/21/24 Optimize Your Face With The Resurfacing Compound. Tina Chen Craig reveals the secrets to U Beauty's customer & science-centric innovation. U Beauty, founded in 2019, became famous with their hero product, their daily all-in-one Resurfacing Compound serum. U Beauty's SIREN Capsule Technology focuses treatment on specific skin areas & neutralizes free radicals. The modern beauty market is overwhelming and filled with new ingredients, techniques, experiences, and brands, making efficacy and education a key priority for brands. TD Cowen's New Platforms, Retail & Luxury Analyst Oliver Chen speaks with Tina Chen Craig, founder of U Beauty, to discuss how U Beauty is tackling cosmetic confusion through results-oriented, multi-tasking products. We discuss the rise of "skintellectuals," key digital vs. brick & mortar distribution considerations, marketing strategy, and how to outperform in an increasingly competitive beauty industry. For Disclosures, click here bit.ly/3cPHkNW
Carl Quintanilla and Sara Eisen tackle today's biggest Money Movers from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.
INDEX: 02:26 - Market Review: Can Lithium Prices Keep Going Up? 04:51 - China's Lithium Supply: What's Driving Price Changes? 08:53 - Investor Feelings: Is the US Market Still Gloomy? 11:14 - Electric Vehicle Trends: Are People Interested in Other Cars? 13:36 - Investment Discussion: Should You Buy Lithium Stocks Now? 16:35 - Long-Term Plans: Stick with Lithium Stocks or Not? 20:32 - Valuing Lithium Companies: How to Handle Market Changes? 23:09 - Chinese Influence: How Does It Affect Lithium Companies? 24:36 - Lithium Price Limits: When Do Electric Cars Make Sense? 28:17 - Arcadium Merger: What's It Mean for Investors? 35:19 - Piedmont Lithium: Should You Buy Despite Concerns? 40:19 - Construction Risks: Is Piedmont More Risky? 43:30 - Lithium Americas: What's the Future Without DOE Loan? 47:24 - Lithium Americas Argentina: CEO Change and Stock Target Price. 50:24 - Risks for Lithium Americas Without Loan. 55:30 - Should Investors Own Lithium Royalty Corp? _________________________________________________ Links
Recorded on 01/23/24 Furnishing Dreams & Disrupting an Industry. TD Cowen hosts Shawn Nelson, Founder & CEO of Lovesac, on this episode of Retail Visionaries. Lovesac is a modern furniture brand with fully customizable products such as The World's Most Adaptive CouchTM & The World's Most Comfortable SeatTM. We explore strategies & lessons from a high-end direct-to consumer retailer with 200+ showrooms. For Disclosures, click here bit.ly/3cPHkNW
Big Alcohol knows the writing is on the wall. Cannabis consumption is growing, and Alcohol is shrinking. "We believe that over the next 5 years, the cannabis category will add 18 million past-month consumers, while alcohol will lose 2 million past-month consumers, as consumers increasingly embrace cannabis and temper their alcohol consumption" – TD Cowen.This week, we sit down with Paul Weaver, Head of Cannabis at The Boston Beer Company, to discuss the following:Big Alcohol's take on cannabis.Who is the Cannabis Beverage Consumer?Hemp Derived Beverages.and so much moreAbout Boston Beer CompanyWe are The Boston Beer Company and together we are heavy. From the very beginning, Jim Koch wanted to create a company that he would want to work for, creating a culture that celebrated beer with a passion and depth of knowledge that can't help but be contagious to others. Nearly 40 years of brewing beer and cultivating talent later, we continue to be a passionate group of individuals who focus on raising the bar in everything that we do. We are always looking for hardworking, motivated and competitive people who strive to push the boundaries and never settle. Not to be lost in the shuffle is the ability to have fun – after all, we are a beer company, and if you can't have fun in this business, there's something wrong! Boston Beer is the maker of Samuel Adams, Dogfish Head, Truly, Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard.Guest Links https://www.bostonbeer.com/https://www.instagram.com/bostonbeercareers/https://www.linkedin.com/company/boston-beer-company/#JimKoch #SamuelAdams #SAMFollow us: Our Links.At Eighth Revolution (8th Rev), we provide services from capital to cannabinoid and everything in between in the cannabinoid industry.8th Revolution Cannabinoid Playbook is an Industry-leading report covering the entire cannabis supply chain The Dime is a top 5% most shared global podcast The Dime is a top 50 Cannabis Podcast Sign up for our playbook here:
Top analyst Helane Becker of TD Cowen talks air travel. Jack covers a Deutsche Bank crypto prediction. A Mette mystery is solved. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Are investors right to declare virtual victory over inflation and position for an easier fed? And is the stock market's two-week pause a routine refresher or a warning that the late 2023 rally ran too far? Dan Greenhaus of Solus and Invesco's Kristina Hooper weigh in. Plus, a CNBC exclusive with Citi CFO Mark Mason following that company's earnings report earlier today. Henry McVey breaks out his playbook for 2024 and tells us where he is seeing opportunity this year. And, it was an ugly day for airlines. TD Cowen's top analyst Helane Becker reacts to that sector's sell-off.
Big Alcohol knows the writing is on the wall. Cannabis consumption is growing, and Alcohol is shrinking. "We believe that over the next 5 years, the cannabis category will add 18 million past-month consumers, while alcohol will lose 2 million past-month consumers, as consumers increasingly embrace cannabis and temper their alcohol consumption" – TD Cowen.This week, we sit down with Paul Weaver, Head of Cannabis at The Boston Beer Company, to discuss the following:Big Alcohol's take on cannabis.Who is the Cannabis Beverage Consumer?Hemp Derived Beverages.and so much moreAbout Boston Beer CompanyWe are The Boston Beer Company and together we are heavy. From the very beginning, Jim Koch wanted to create a company that he would want to work for, creating a culture that celebrated beer with a passion and depth of knowledge that can't help but be contagious to others. Nearly 40 years of brewing beer and cultivating talent later, we continue to be a passionate group of individuals who focus on raising the bar in everything that we do. We are always looking for hardworking, motivated and competitive people who strive to push the boundaries and never settle. Not to be lost in the shuffle is the ability to have fun – after all, we are a beer company, and if you can't have fun in this business, there's something wrong! Boston Beer is the maker of Samuel Adams, Dogfish Head, Truly, Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard.Guest Links https://www.bostonbeer.com/https://www.instagram.com/bostonbeercareers/https://www.linkedin.com/company/boston-beer-company/#JimKoch #SamuelAdams #SAMFollow us: Our Links.At Eighth Revolution (8th Rev), we provide services from capital to cannabinoid and everything in between in the cannabinoid industry.8th Revolution Cannabinoid Playbook is an Industry-leading report covering the entire cannabis supply chain The Dime is a top 5% most shared global podcast The Dime is a top 50 Cannabis Podcast Sign up for our playbook here:
Big Alcohol knows the writing is on the wall. Cannabis consumption is growing, and Alcohol is shrinking. "We believe that over the next 5 years, the cannabis category will add 18 million past-month consumers, while alcohol will lose 2 million past-month consumers, as consumers increasingly embrace cannabis and temper their alcohol consumption" – TD Cowen.This week, we sit down with Paul Weaver, Head of Cannabis at The Boston Beer Company, to discuss the following:Big Alcohol's take on cannabis.Who is the Cannabis Beverage Consumer?Hemp Derived Beverages.and so much moreAbout Boston Beer CompanyWe are The Boston Beer Company and together we are heavy. From the very beginning, Jim Koch wanted to create a company that he would want to work for, creating a culture that celebrated beer with a passion and depth of knowledge that can't help but be contagious to others. Nearly 40 years of brewing beer and cultivating talent later, we continue to be a passionate group of individuals who focus on raising the bar in everything that we do. We are always looking for hardworking, motivated and competitive people who strive to push the boundaries and never settle. Not to be lost in the shuffle is the ability to have fun – after all, we are a beer company, and if you can't have fun in this business, there's something wrong! Boston Beer is the maker of Samuel Adams, Dogfish Head, Truly, Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard.Guest Links https://www.bostonbeer.com/https://www.instagram.com/bostonbeercareers/https://www.linkedin.com/company/boston-beer-company/#JimKoch #SamuelAdams #SAMFollow us: Our Links.At Eighth Revolution (8th Rev), we provide services from capital to cannabinoid and everything in between in the cannabinoid industry.8th Revolution Cannabinoid Playbook is an Industry-leading report covering the entire cannabis supply chain The Dime is a top 5% most shared global podcast The Dime is a top 50 Cannabis Podcast Sign up for our playbook here:
Helane Becker, TD Cowen Sr. Research Analyst, remains confident in the airline industry despite the recent Boeing in-flight safety incident. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says sentiments around the equity market got carried away at the end of 2023. Claudia Sahm, Sahm Consulting Founder & Bloomberg Opinion Writer, says December's jobs data points to a healthy labor market. Isaac Boltansky, BTIG Director of Policy Research, discusses Congress' agreement on a spending-cap deal as well as Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin's unannounced stay in the hospital. Barton Crockett, Rosenblatt Securities Managing Director, details the reasons behind his firm's neutral outlook on Apple this year. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance Full Transcript:This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keane, along with Jonathan Farrow and Lisa Abramowitz. Join us each day for insight from the best an economics, geopolitics, finance and investment. Subscribe to Bloomberg Surveillance on demand on Apple, Spotify and anywhere you get your podcasts, and always on Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business app. Helene Becker joins now senior research analyst at TD Cowen, and we're thrilled that she could be with us today. Helene, January twenty second. I guess we get an earnings report from United, the others will lined up. What is their urgency to act, not so much off the Boeing accident, but their urgency to act because of the topsy turvy markets they're in now. I think that we have a situation where we're expecting, or we saw fourth quarter traffic was pretty good. The further we get away from twenty twenty, the more we'll see managed corporate travel come back. I think the trip where you have maybe a one day trip isn't coming back anytime soon. I feel like it's a lot like after nine to eleven tom when the really short haul trips went away, and we expect that to continue really now. But the longer haul trips. People need to get out, they need to see their clients. We've been talking about this for about a year now and we're seeing that. We're seeing that increase in managed travel, and we think that we'll continue into the rest of this year. With the Boeing accident, with the rivets, the fasteners, whatever, we're going to see in the coming weeks of that analysis, even months, I should say, of that analysis, what does it mean for the dynamic of refleeting A word I discovered last week. I think Helene Becker, you know, refleeting is going out and buying the bright, shiny new thing accelerated. Yeah, well yes, and no American did their refleeting in the last decade, so they're on the downside of that. United is doing it now and into twenty thirty two. Delta is in the middle of it. But Delta has a different and Southwest actually have different viewpoints on the way they refleet. They kind of spend about ten percent revenue on capex, somewhere between eight and ten percent every year, so they're continually refleeting, so we view that fairly favorably. I don't think anything changes. There's a lot of pressure on the industry to lower their carbon footprint. I know aviation only makes up two percent of total transportation carbon, but others are doing the whole reduction carbon faster, so aviation over time will become a bigger percentage of it. So there's a lot of pressure to fly young are more fully efficient aircraft oleane. I can't get past this comment from George ferguson words you never want to hear, when he basically came out and said it's not as safe as it was before the pandemic, talking about the safety of flying at a time when we did just have this incident with Alaska Airlines, also the incident that we saw in Japan, Questions around the competency and staffing levels at some of the agencies. Are you concerned? Do you feel like that is an accurate statement that it is not as safe to fly today as pre pandemic. No, no, no, I disagree with that completely. The fact that there were no casualties on the japan Air A three thirty is hugely significant. They were able to evacuate that entire aircraft without any incident, with half the doors being half the emergency doors being unusable because of fire. So I think that's one thing to consider. I think from an aviation perspective and a safety perspect that every time there's an incident, there's an investigation. There is no cover up. You never see that as you would in some as you may in some other industries. There have it. I mean, not to cha the industry, but there really haven't been any major accidents. The fact that Alaska air pilots were able to declare any emergency turnaround land safely with no injuries is hugely significant. And I think aviation is still the sepest form of transportation. No other industry does the deep dive into accidents that aviation does, and then aviation trains for every accident, and I think I think it's I think aviation is still very safe. I think that a lot of people will point to what happened in Japan and point out that that plane that everyone did manage to get out of I believe was an air bus and not a poet. But nevertheless, Yeah, So going forward, though, I'm curious what about some of the air traffic control issues and some of these other things. How important is it for airlines to do some sort of pr job, if nothing else, to assuage some of the concerns of neurotic people like myself. Where you're looking at this and thinking like, I don't know, well, I think you have to think aviation is safe number one. Number two, Yes, we do need to address the air traffic control situation, and the fact that we now have a permanent administrator is hugely important. That's another, you know, another thing that we view favorably. The FAA is certified to March eighth, so the government needs to really step up its efforts and get it certified permanently. My views are different than some of my peer group. I personally think the government should be responsible for safety and security, and I think your traffic control should be a separate corporation that's public that's paid for everybody. Right now, General Aviation, TOLUM and least in John don't pay for using air traffic control system. Helen, this is I wish we had another hour to cover this because I think each and every listener and viewer want to know about Back to the Reagan uproar and unions of years ago. How different is our transportation safety structure versus other major developing countries. Yeah, so euro Control runs Europe and that's a public company and Canada's public company and Canada it's just run differently. And I'm not saying it's better. I'm not saying it's worse. I'm just saying it's different, and you don't have the puts and starts that you have here. I've been talking about next gen since I started covering the industry four decades ago, and we're still talking about it. It's years behind schedule, it's over budget. Air traffic control, to your point, Tom, the Reagan administration fired all the air traffic controllers. They retrained them NAT because the union that represents them. They're they're well trained, but they're overworked, they're fatigued. We don't have enough of them to handle what we're doing right now, and so the aviation system will slow down. You won't be able to We'll see growth through replacing smaller aircraft with larger aircraft. We don't think we'll see the same level of pilot hiring in twenty four and twenty five that we saw in twenty one, two and three. That from that perspective. As we move further into the decade and people have more experience, that will be beneficial. But we're not going to grow as fast as we grow in prior decades because we just don't have the experience, and we can push the air traffic controllers to too much over time because it's a very taxing job to begin with, and we don't want any accidents to occur in the US because we want to continue to be able to say it's the safest form of transportation. Helen, I've got sixty seconds left on a clock top pic if ivor trade this year? What is it? Oh? Yeah, our favorite trade this year is Delta after United was our face for trade for the past two years. Why the change? The difference in capex, frankly is the biggest difference. I think United will continue to do well, but they're going to borrow a lot of money, sick. They have a sixty billion dollar capex program between now and twenty thirty two, and Deltas is not nearly as big, so you won't see the stress and the balance sheet that you may see at United. Interesting, Helene, thank you, thanks for the up date and lane backing there of td count, Thank you very much. Starting in the conversation this morning with Lori Cavassino, the head of US screty strategy at RBC Capital Markets, Loury, Good morning to you. This line jumped down from your most recent note, the week's start in January is just the beginning of a phase of turbulence. How concerned are you about that? Well, well, Johnny, I was talking to one of my traders last week and we were discussing the CFTC data. We're starting to see it's really just looking very very stretched, and I said, this looks scary, and I think we need to keep in mind that sentiment has been oscillating very very quickly over the last six months, so this isn't necessarily something that has to derail a call for the year. Maybe damp an enthusiasm just a little bit, but really what we've started to see the CFTC data on institutional investor positioning line up with what we're seeing on the retail survey for aaii, and both are looking very very stretched right now. I think there are a number of things that could come in and trip this market up a bit, but usually it's something the market doesn't see coming, So I think we need to focus here on the idea that sentiment itself just got carried away at the end of last year. Laurie Mike Wilson has been cautious on the markets. Over at Morgan Stanley has a brilliant paragraph parketing to nominal growth could be the surprise this year. It's one of his more optimistic constructions of where we're heading in the mystery of twenty twenty four, what do mid caps and small caps do? If we get legitimate animal spirit, we get legitimate nominal GDP. So what we've done typically seen is that when GDP and we tend to look at it in real terms as opposed to nominal terms. But if you're looking at real GDP above two point six percent, and two point six percent has been the long term average since the late seventies, we typically see that small caps and value stocks outperform in that environment. When GDP is running cool below trend, that's when large caps and growth tend to outperform. So it goes back to this question of leadership and rotation in the market. We've got GDP forecasts sitting at about one point three percent this year. That's up from about one percent back in November, so they're moving in the right direction. But if we really want to get a lasting, sustainable, durable leadership rotation away from the megacap growth stocks and into basically everything else in the market, you need to see GDP expectations move up quite a bit more from where they are right now. I mean, okay, well, the GDP's got to come up. I get that, But what do we do right now? I mean, you're deploying cash to small you know they've pulled back. You deploying cash this morning to small caps and mid caps. So I still like them, I don't like them quite as much as I did, you know, say four or five weeks ago when we last spoke. One of the things we've seen is that, in addition to sentiment getting a little frothy at the broader market, if you look at small cap positioning on the CFTC data, we're at important crossroads. We're basically at the three year highs, but we're not at all time highs. So we're going to know pretty soon whether or not small caps are really able to power through and take things up another leg of we's also still seeing that small caps look very cheap relative to large But if you look at a Russell two thousand and forward pe, it's back to average. Now that's not usually where things top out at, but it is telling us that maybe we have made a lot of the easy money in small caps already. So do I like them? Yes? Do I like them as much as I did a month ago? Not quite? This sounds all kind of negative, and yet you just upgraded your forecast for year end twenty twenty four to a fifty one fifty. That's a ten percent upside from here. If it's not small caps what leads. So I think that the value stocks in particular are something to keep an eye on. From here. We've seen the financials act quite well now I'm actually a little bit nervous about that heading into reporting season, but we've started to see some more favorable views emerge on the industrials as well. So I think we're going to get some interesting clues in this reporting season. But I do think sector composition is very, very tough right now. I do think, Lisa, if you kind of go back to our target, we were anticipating about a ten percent return, and we put that target out in early our mid November we were on sort of the earlier side of putting targets out. We trued up all of our you know, sort of models for year end. We did have this big, ferocious run in December, and now where we're sitting today, even with this upgrade on the fifty one to fifty, it's only about an eight percent return on the year, So it's not necessarily getting more bullish. It's just kind of truing up our model for the year ahead based on the moves that we had in December. You mentioned banks, and I find this interesting. How important is Friday going to be as JP Morgan kicks off earnings to give a sense of what the landscape is for banks? Or is it just JP Morgan's world and everybody else is living in it? So I think they all matter, Lisa. You know, I don't think it's just any one particular bank. I know some get more attention than others, especially the one that come at the beginning. But I tell you what I think is important for the banks is one, are those sort of strong numbers that we've seen in terms of performance going to hold up. Sometimes we do see, you know, sort of the banks give back when they've had a strong lead into reporting season, So are the numbers going to be good enough to really justify sustaining some of the better trends we've seen recently. I think that's one thing. But also I think for someone like me who's not a specialist in the financials, we really go in and look at the financials for clues on the plumbing of the economy, on the health of the consumer. And I think that's probably going to be the most important thing coming out of the next kind of week or so with those banks earnings, the real headline over the weekend coming into this morning a positive surprise in Washington, d C. Laurie this story congressional leaders announcing a deal on top line spending for the current fiscal year. Laurie, I was speaking to Wemy with Silverman in the last week and we talked about your line that talking about politics the election this year specifically is like staring at the sun. Is it that bad this year for you and the team? Yeah, it's pretty awful, John. I mean it's interesting that line comes from my conversations with US based investors who are like, Okay, it's time to write our outlooks. You know, this is kind of thinking back the last month or so, you know, what do we say about this? And we kind of walk people through data, We get through it quickly, and then we move on European and Canadian investors. I mean, you could easily spend a whole meeting on this. It's like it's like a spectator sport for them at this point. But I do think it's a major source of uncertainty. And I'll tell you what it was interesting to me last week when I was working through some of the data we saw at the end of the year in the beginning of this year, is that you are starting to see money flows improve or turn positive to Japan, to emerging markets, to China, and to Europe. US flows are still holding up, but we are starting to see non US geographies really attract, you know, some better flows. And I think part of that has to do with the election. Based on what I'm hearing from the non US investors, Laurie answer a question for OURBC clients watching listening, which is, jeez, we started the year week and that signals a terrible year ahead. Is there any valid to that emotion? So I tend to be very skeptical of you know, these seasonal, you know kind of studies. Whenever we do this on this day, we do this for the rest of the week. I think that those kinds of studies can be massaged frankly, you know, change your starting point to show whatever you want to show. I've been actually looking at seasonality over the last ten years. We've had some good ones, we've had some stinkers, but we have seen that January has been pretty much a mixed bag. There have been some difficult ones if you especially look over the last five years. So it would be sort of keeping with a recent seasonality to have a rough start to the year. Does that necessarily tell you that you have to run away for the rest of the year. I don't think so. And I go back to what we talked about at the top of the show. Sentiment has been oscillating so quickly. We were basically overbought in August, oversold in November, overbought in December again, and that all round tripped off of oversold conditions last October and post SVB. So I think that sentiment helps you tactically. I don't think you can use it that much to make a really kind of longer term view. At this point, Laurie. Wonderful to get your views this morning. Thanks Obama. This lor Convasaye of the vampy seat capital market. Claudia sam will be up all night watching a football game as well. Claudia for the Department of Economics at Michigan, all that heritage. What does blue football actually mean? Do you completely ignore it? Or are you at the fifty yard line for every game? Well, they don't. Let the grad students have very good seats. But we went. You know, it's it's Michigan, Go Blue, Go Blue. We'll see tonight. Thank you so much for joining Claudia. Barry rid Oldson. You had a great idea out there that in our hysteria right now of single statistics, we have denominator blindness. Let's take the national debt the interest expense of that, and we forget how large our economy is or how large our labor force is. How is hysterical are we right now? And do we need to calm down? Well, we've needed to calm down for decades. This is not a new conversation. The debt has to be put in context, not just of our GDP. That's a flow that we get that every year. We need to think about in terms of their wealth, which is multiples of what that debt is. And I also a firm believer, and we need to look under the hood and what are we spending our money on. There's good ways to do it investment R and D, and there's ways that aren't as good, maybe really high income tax cuts. So that's where we need to have a conversation, not just throwing around big numbers. Is the FED throwing around big numbers? Are they having a conversation as they move out into twenty twenty four that you would consider appropriate and rational in terms of the debt or in terms of what they're doing in terms of what they're going to do with their monetary policy? Excuse me? Yeah, no, I mean the FED is trying to do the impossible. Well, right now, my heart goes out to them, and we will play a parlor game for the next year or two and what their next move is. And yeah, they've got the eye on the prize, right. They work through financial markets, but they really don't care about financial markets. It's about getting inflation down, it's about keeping people with jobs. And we're well on our way, but it's going to be tough. To know when they're there and can say, okay, we can back off. Let's do an anatomy of what happened on Friday, because it was some confusing data that I tried to parse through and continue to and read more reports, and I'm just as confused. Which data screams the truest to you at a time where we got stronger than expected headline number, some real shows of strength, and then real signs of weakness, particularly in services. Employment. Big picture of Friday's payrolls was a good day. We had unemployments staying at three point seven percent. We're averaging a little under two hundred thousand jobs in recent months. If you think about what the labor market is buffering, we have a five percentage point more than that increase in the federal funds rate. This is a labor market. Now. You can go under the hood. You can do this in almost any month and say, ugh, that doesn't look so good now. Granted, there were some real science things to keep an eye on, you know, and we always need to, but this was not a flashing red We're going over the cliff. I mean, come on, we've been under the one employer it's been under four percent for the longest stretch since the nineteen sixties. Well, it's good. What about the services ISM data. That's fact that hiring fell the most, the sort of sub index for that particular data point came in the most going back to twenty twenty at the height of the pandemic. Does this make you feel like we're at a tipping point? Even if no, we're not heading into the abyss that we are cooling off in a much more material way. It's been like case last year. We needed to rebounce. We needed to get to a place that was expansionary but not red hot. I mean, we were coming out of a really bad labor market with COVID. So we do need to see things normalizing slowing, not just this pace that's been so strong, because we want to get to a sustainable place and there are going to be all signs. Frankly, I take a lot more out of the payrolls data than I do the ISM and we need to look at everything. And yet we've gotten a lot of mixed signals from the data you know so far. So we adres a Samrell for us right now? How many states are in a miserable situation, doctor Son? So I haven't looked at every state recently. One that has stood out, and I imagine is still in the same place as California. That's a really good example of how you can have an industry that's having a tough time. I mean, tech in the Bay Area is legitimately having some tough times, and yet we have seen no signs of its spreading because it's an industry issue, it's not like a broad based contraction. And I will say at the national level, the samrull went back down to two tenths of a percentage point, So looking good so far. Coldly, I just want to weigh in on some of the politics, and I don't want to beg you too much, but whenever I listen to you talk about the labor market, you offer clarity where clarity can be found, and why there isn't any It leaves the question open. It's ready digestible, very very intuitive. Why do you think this administration is struggling with the messaging so much around what's happening with this economy? For a long time, Democrats have really put an emphasis on being the adult in the room. When I saw the jobs number, I had a gift that I use as like boom. You know, it's like, come on, let's get excited about this. Yes, there's more to do, and yet when I look at all it has been accomplished in the last four years and even during the Trump administration, the big push with CARES Act we really help people. Is not perfect, but like, don't hide behind what you've done, like go out and say we did agree. Job Okay, Then why can't they do that? I mean, John brings up an incredibly important point. Claudie sim You've been in the trenches. Why can't somebody just come out not say, you know, Rosie Morning in America and all that, but say, look, we understand the agonies out there, but boy has this worked out from COVID versus many other countries and continents. I really don't know. I mean, I have come across the fact that across the democratic spectrum there's just so much anger at each other. I mean, I've gotten the worst feedback from far left, and you know center isn't exactly happy with me either. So it's just it's so strange, right, But you know, I don't know. I hate politics. I really don't understand it. I just keep doing my work and trying to explain and trying to learn from what people are going through, and we value your work. Clodia, thank you as always, just fantastic to hear from you. Todi Samda of some consulting right now on your Washington. Isaac Multanski joints Director of Policy Research at BTIG. Isaac, I got to go with the lead a headline, which is, I guess all clear in Congress we've actually passed a budget. Is that true? Absolutely not. That couldn't be farther from the truth. We now have top line agreement on what we can spend for the fiscal year. That's great, it's wonderful, and that just means that the hard work gets to begin now. You know, I think you're two points to highlight. Number one is you've got to notice how angry the far right flank of the House GOP is this morning. We need to understand that the speaker, Speaker Johnson is operating with no room for error and he will almost certainly need democratic support to pass his bill. That's something that former Speaker McCarthy didn't want to do, ended up doing and then got thrown out from the speakership. And the number two is there are so many points of departure between Democrats and Republicans when it comes to the specifics of the spending agreement. There are upwards of forty different poison pills some groups have counted that could shut down the talks around this. So look, I think the temperature has been taken down. The risk of a shutdown is slightly lower this morning. But there's still a lot of work that needs to be done over the next eleven days. So what's the primary to do list arking over the next eleven days. Yeah, So what I'm looking looking at is I can get movement on the other issues around the spending bill. So it's good that we've got this, and now I think the appropriators will slink back into their offices and you'll see some backroom negotiation and maybe not much on that. I'm interested in the border deal, Tom, because we've got to keep in mind, the spending agreement is just part of this three D chess game that we have going on. The other part is the supplemental spending measures, and here I'm talking about border security, and then of course funding for Taiwan, Ukraine and Israel. That's the other part of it. And we'll Lynch. All of that is the border security deal that we're now expecting to come later this week. You mentioned the international security concerns, big foreign policy issues. We've got to talk about the curious case of the missing Defense Secretary now Isaac. First of all, we wish him all a speedy recovery from what none of us sink to know the detail. According to our reporting, Lloyd Austin underwent an elective procedure in late December, didn't tell his staff they should notify others when he was admitted to Walter Reed Medical Center on New Year's Day after experiencing severe pain at the same time as chief of staff was ill with the flu, and failed to notify anyone, the person said that we've been speaking to. According to our source, that Austin's military aid quickly put Deputy Secretary of Defense Kathleen Hicks in charge of running the Pentagon, although she wasn't informed of the reason for this decision, and the President seemingly for days didn't have a clue. I say, what was going on? What is going on? This is one of the weirder stories you're going to come across in the Biden administration, which by and large has been pretty tame when it comes to these personnel stories, especially compared to the previous four years. But it's deeply unsettling, right, I know that the secretary is an incredibly personal excuse me, an incredibly private person, and that this is something that all the staff have highlighted about him. Don't get to be this private when you're sixth in line in the presidential line of succession, and so, Look, this is deeply unsettling, especially given that transparency is one of the pillars of our political system. But ultimately, this too shall pass, and I think it just reminds you of some of the stories of personnel volatility that we saw during the Trump administration, which is going to be one of the campaign trail considerations as well. You said volatility. Do you expect him to step down? No, Look, I think that, depending on health, of course, that he is going to be fine. I mean, the President has not made any comment that suggests that the Defense Secretary won't will leave here, so I think he will stay. I wouldn't be surprised if he's replaced if the President Biden does win reelection, though, I think this is the type of thing that doesn't get you reappointed. Well, this raises a question though, in general about foreign policy and also the platform for President Biden going forward. There were a list of asks that people are talking about his new platform, all of which you're going to get red and are dead in the water. Is he going to basically be running on the anti Trump candidacy once again at a time when Trump is consolidating a lot of popular support. Yeah. Look, I mean there's obviously you've heard that line a thousand times that you campaign in poetry, but you govern in pros I don't think anyone's going to like the poetry we see from a campaign trail this time around. It is truly going to be a fear driven campaign. It is fear of the other side. It is fear of reversal, is fear of retribution. I don't seem to think that we're going to see much hope and excitement coming from the campaign trail over the next few months. Isaac, you know the polarity of the states with Ohio and Ohio Wesleyan, I'm absolutely fascinating of the polarity in the Iowa caucuses. What is the distinctive tension as we begin the political season in Iowa. I mean, looking, presidential primaries are about retail politics, and they're about and they're about personal preference more so than any national old pole could ever understand. And then when we think about Iowa, we've got to think about President Trump having a thirty two point leaked and we've got to think about also, and I think this is important. Tom DeSantis went all in on Iowa. This is it for him. And if he comes in second and loses by thirty points, which the polls are suggesting, pretty hard to imagine him being considered a serious contender going to New Hampshire where he's clearly third at far behind Haley. And so really this is to me, Iowa is a little assess for the DeSantis campaign. If he loses as badly as it looks, I think that his campaign, which already been floundering, will effectively be over. And it's really a question then of how strongly Nikki Haley can look in New Hampshire a week later. But to that point, Isaac, if he loses and he has to drop out, who does he back? Where do those votes go? Look? I think it will be incredibly difficult for him to back anyone. I think that he will remain in the background. My bet though, is that those bets, those vote's actually split somewhat to Haley and the rest stay home from the primary. But my point to clients say is Trump is going to be the nominee. That is very clear right now. He is the likely nominee. Those votes weren't trying to figure out where they're going. They're going to him in the general election. And so that's the important point here. There's still so many clients and so many people in DC who don't want it to be Trump v. Biden, and I understand that. But all indications are it's Trump vi Bide, and that's what the market and DC folks need to start wrapping their heads around when we think about the politics and the policy of it all. Isaac, thank you, sir, isa Boltanski then of b tch bot, a Crockett senior research analyst that rusn't black securities join just not for more. But and let's talk about that the prospective. Say I was picking up for the iPhone and what's been holding them back over the last year. Well, look, I think that you know, we downgraded Apple in August early August. We currently have one hundred and eighty nine dollars price target neutral rating, And you know, our concern at that time is that you had a combination of a muted growth trajectory really across much of the company, including the iPhone, certainly factoring prominently into that, and a high valuation. So that combination, in our mind was not compelling, not something you needed to be overweight on. I think the issue with the iPhone is the feature set, innovation and the consumer pocketbook and some question about China, and I think all of those things have you know, given us data points that are very supportive of the notion that you're in a very muted place right now for iPhone. And I think given that that's something like fifty percent of sales, very difficult for that stock to have a lot of excitement. I think if there's not a lot of excitement in the iPhone marton, the basic idea here I guess for the bulls is they're running it for profit. If you look at the Evada margin from COVID twenty nineteen, they've moved from twenty nine cents on the dollar up to thirty three cents in the dollar. Even if they get a Barton krack at sales lassitude. Can they maintain margins? You know? The company I think can maintain margins, you know, but I don't know that that's type of story, you know, nickel and diming margins, muted growth is something that's going to be really compelling at currently about twenty ape thirty PE when we downgrade it, I think the certainly, it's a great company. It's a good company that you could want to own at the appropriate price. But I think you've got to be price sensitive. I think it's a maturing company, and you can't buy it at any multiple, and you can't sit back and predict blue sky multiple expansion and perpetuity with this type of business as we see it right now. I look at the center tendency of a long term chart when you say a pullback, how much would that be if you do get some negative news out of China, et cetera. Is this from one to eighty down to one sixty, which is a center distribution? You know, certainly we would feel more comfortable with a healthy double digit return to our price target. You know, I do have some comfort with our estimates and with the street consensus. I do believe that you know, people have baked in the idea of a very muted iPhone. You know, this is a company you can own at the right price, but it's a mature company price. It's not a growth multiple. I think, Martin, is this an Apple problem or is this a big tech problem? More broadly, you know, I think this is much more Apple. I mean, we look at some other big tech companies in our coverage and we see a really great confluence of things developing lower interest rates, certainly supporting multiples, expansion, certainly favoring scarce growth, which you don't have it Apple, but you do have it things like Amazon, And I think there's been a reset in the Internet model. People have understood that you can run these businesses with much better margins, much more efficiently. You know. So while you're nickel and diming some mar improvement at Apple, you're seeing explosive margin improvement at Amazon, at Meta, Pinterest, at Spotify. You know, those that I think are much more interesting opportunities in this environment. I've never thought that people would say Pinterest in Spotify would trump Apple when it came to potential opportunities. Is it negative enough in your view for them to really drop out of the mag seven for this to be defined by a very different narrative that Apple is just not included in in twenty twenty four. Well, you know, I mean max seven certainly, that's kind of, you know, a term of art. I guess the thing with Apple is, I think it's a CpG company. I think that, you know, it's a company that you'd like to own at the right price, you know, in a certain macro environment where perhaps it's defensive, if the economy is slowing, maybe it's more interesting. But you don't need to be overweight Apple in every environment. You should pick and choose your places. I always wonder what the appropriate multiple on that name actually is. You've got the core good, the iPhone going ex grow, You've got a multiple that still looks pretty growthy as the revenue mix starts to shift towards services. I'm ordering from your perspective, what most part did you put on that business? Well, look, I mean I think that it's trading at about one point four times or so the market multiple. You know, I think a lesser premium is appropriate. You know, you can give it some premium given the strength of its franchise, the strength of its brand, the durability you know, the iPhone's not going away, and they've got good cash flow and good share repurchase. So to think that this could be a load image twenties multiple makes more sense to me than a thirty multiple. Bana, Thank you, sir for your insight. The update to a new year. Bona Crockett there of Rosenblat Securities. Subscribe to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live every weekday starting at seven am Eastern. Bloomberg dot Com, the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app you can watch us live. I'm Bloomberg Television and always I'm the Bloomberg Terminal. Thanks for listening. I'm Tom Keen and this is BloombergSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Recorded on 12/04/23 Understanding Walmart's Environmental, Social & Governance Blueprint. TD Cowen hosts Kathleen McLaughlin, Chief Sustainability Officer of Walmart, on this episode of Retail Visionaries. Walmart's ESG initiatives strive to create opportunity, enhance sustainability, strengthen communities, and uphold the highest standards of ethics and integrity. We explore an approach to profits with a purpose. For Disclosures, click here bit.ly/3cPHkNW
The Daily Business and Finance Show - Tuesday, 12 December 2023 We get our business and finance news from Seeking Alpha and you should too! Subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium for more in-depth market news and help support this podcast. Free for 14-days! Please click here for more info: Subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium News Today's headlines: Eli Lilly slips as weight loss drug's effect reverses after therapy Occidental signs $12B deal to buy Permian producer CrownRock Walgreens slips as Moody's cuts rating to junk COP28 draft agreement said to avoid fossil fuel ‘phase out' IBM, Micron to be joined by New York in $10B chip research facility - report Nvidia 'can, will and should' sell chips to China: US commerce secy Nasdaq, S&P, Dow start week with gains as traders gear up for CPI data, Fed rate decision TD Cowen cuts CRISPR to underperform, cites "irrational" valuation Arbor Realty increases share repurchase program to $150M Explanations from OpenAI ChatGPT API with proprietary prompts. This podcast provides information only and should not be construed as financial or business advice. This podcast is produced by Klassic Studios Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Carl Quintanilla, Sara Eisen and David Faber kicked off the hour by discussing the markets, riding a 6-week win streak; This as investors get ready for a big week ahead with another CPI print and Fed meeting on deck. The anchors then shifted to a slew of M&A news, including Occidental Petroleum buying Permian producer CrownRock for $12 billion. Faber also broke down Cigna calling off its pursuit of Humana, and planning for a $10 billion stock buyback. Also in the mix; TD Cowen analyst Helane Becker discussed why she chose Delta Air Lines as her top 2024 pick in the sector, saying the company is “differentiating itself from the peer group.” Squawk on the Street Disclaimer
Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities says he wants to be underweight Treasuries right now.George Saravelos, Global Head of FX Research at Deutsche Bank, says the ECB should cut rates when it meets next week. Ajay Banga, President of The World Bank joins from COP 28. David Turk, US Department of Energy Deputy Secretary joins from COP 28 where he says now is the time to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Helane Becker, Senior Research Analyst at TD Cowen weighs in on Alaska Air's plans to buy rival, Hawaiian.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Thank you to our sponsors at Magic Mind. Please learn more about the healthy energy drink shot at https://magicmind.comOrder your Magic Mind today at https://a.co/d/4R06mLiHi everyone, and welcome to the FinanZe podcast, episode 19. Today I am joined by another fantastic guest Mr. Tom Gotsch. Tom has had a fantastic career in the finance world with over 9 years of investment banking experience. Tom is currently a Director at TD Cowen, one of the top investment banks in the world. Tom began his professional career with Raytheon Technologies where he was a program manager for 8 years before transitioning to MHT Partners, which was eventually acquired by Cowen and Cowen was recently acquired by TD Bank. Tom holds a bachelors and masters degree in industrial engineering from Cal Poly San Luis Obispo. In addition, Tom earned his MBA from UCLA Anderson School of Business.Support the show
Welcome to The Hydrogen Podcast!In episode 262, Plug Power announces some concerning news and Japan and South Korea join forces to accelerate global hydrogen production. I'll go over these issues and give my thoughts on today's hydrogen podcast.Thank you for listening and I hope you enjoy the podcast. Please feel free to email me at info@thehydrogenpodcast.com with any questions. Also, if you wouldn't mind subscribing to my podcast using your preferred platform... I would greatly appreciate it. Respectfully,Paul RoddenEPISODE SPONSORFrom water electolyzers to flow batteries and fuel cells, Nafion™ Proton Exchange Membranes play a major role in advancing the Hydrogen Economy. Through their high conductivity, superior strength, and chemical durability, Nafion™ membranes provide the performance needed to make green hydrogen safer, more sustainable, and more affordable. Learn how Nafion™ ion exchange materials support the decarbonization of energy across the globe at www.nafion.com. VISIT THE HYDROGEN PODCAST WEBSITEhttps://thehydrogenpodcast.comDEMO THE H2 ADVANTAGEhttps://keyhydrogen.com/hydrogen-location-analytics-software/ CHECK OUT OUR BLOGhttps://thehydrogenpodcast.com/blog/WANT TO SPONSOR THE PODCAST? Send us an email to: info@thehydrogenpodcast.comNEW TO HYDROGEN AND NEED A QUICK INTRODUCTION?Start Here: The 6 Main Colors of HydrogenSupport the show
Listen as Sam Damiani, Director, Equity Research, TD Cowen, speaks with Amy Van Arnhem, Managing Director and Head of Canada Senior Relationship Management, TD Securities, as they break down multiple REIT sectors. Sam discusses the unique characteristics when investing in REITs, how the sector is navigating economic impacts and the supply versus demand for space. This podcast was recorded on September 21, 2023. For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/tds-viewpoint-episode-24. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
Las bolsas europeas mantenían las subidas después de conocer el dato de empleo en Estados Unidos. La primera economía del mundo creó el mes pasado 336.000 nuevos empleos, casi el doble de lo previsto. En reacción, los futuros sobre los principales índices americanos giraban a la baja y rendimiento de bono a 10 años alcanzaba el 4,8%, aún por debajo de los máximos de esta semana. Veremos en la primera hora del programa si mercados del Viejo Continente son capaces de mantener las ganancias. Se pone fin a una semana en la que han sido protagonistas referencias laborales en la primera economía del mundo y ante las que han reaccionado precios de los bonos con fuertes caídas. Haremos balance de toda ella con Antonio Castelo, de iBroker. Todas las miradas estaban puestas en los datos de empleo de EEUU para obtener pistas sobre si la Reserva Federal volverá a subir los tipos de interés en noviembre. En bolsa española, Rovi, Caixabank y Banco Sabadell lideran los avances. Cellnex, Fluidra y Solaria se ponen al frente de los descensos. Veremos por qué son protagonistas y todas las recomendaciones de las casas de análisis. En el resto de Europa, y entre los valores individuales, Adyen avanzaba un 3,4% después de que TD Cowen iniciara la cobertura del proveedor neerlandés de servicios de pago con una recomendación de "market perform" ("igual a mercado"). La empresa de tecnología sanitaria Philips , con sede en Ámsterdam, caía un 9,6% después de que la Administración de Alimentos y Medicamentos de EEUU (FDA) dijera que sigue insatisfecha con el estado de la retirada de un producto.
Welcome to the Green Rush, a KCSA Strategic Communications Production, a weekly conversation at the intersection of cannabis, psychedelics, the capital markets and culture. This week Lewis Goldberg and Anne Donohoe are back for a new episode with special guests Vivien Azer, Managing Director and senior research analyst specializing in the beverages, tobacco, and cannabis sectors, and Eric Assaraf, Director of the Cowen Washington Research Group, covering healthcare and medical technology, at TD Cowen. Vivien and Eric join us this week to discuss the current state of the cannabis industry, including their perspectives on the SAFE Banking Act, rescheduling/descheduling of cannabis at the federal level and industry growth. If you are interested in learning more about TD Cowen and its offerings, visit the links in our show notes. Also, be sure to follow Vivien, Eric and TD Cowen on LinkedIn and Twitter. So sit back and enjoy our conversation with Vivien Azer and Eric Assaraf of TD Cowen. Links and mentions in the show https://www.cowen.com/ Links to the guest's company and social media accounts TD Cowen LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/td-cowen TD Cowen Twitter: https://twitter.com/TDCowen Vivien Azer LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/vivien-azer-4722a312 Eric Assaraf LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/eric-assaraf-800b363 Show Credits: This episode was hosted by Lewis Goldberg and Anne Donohoe of KCSA Strategic Communications. Special thanks to our Program Director Shea Gunther. You can learn more about how KCSA can help your cannabis and psychedelic companies by visiting www.kcsa.com or emailing greenrush@kcsa.com. You can also connect with us via our social channels: Twitter: @The_GreenRush Instagram: @thegreenrush_podcast LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thegreenrushpodcast/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TheGreenRushPodcast/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCuEQkvdjpUnPyhF59wxseqw?disable_polymer=true
Elizabeth Warren emphasizes the involvement of cryptocurrencies in the fentanyl trade, and proposes a bill to combat it.Central Banks Are Much More Pessimistic About the US Dollar.Gate.io refutes allegations of liquidity issues amidst controversy over the disappearance of Multichain CEO.Jimbos Protocol seeks assistance from law enforcement after a hacker disregards $800,000 reward.Investment bank TD Cowen closes down crypto unit, a year after opening
Parker catches the guys up on Cowen's successful integration into TD since his last visit. He discusses the current market from the perspective of a larger firm with two dozen professionals on the ground in Vegas. Parker and Charlie trade insights on Jerry Garcia vs. Bob Weir while Andy weighs the possibility that this conversation will make him seem “cool” by osmosis. (Prognosis? Unlikely).
In this latest episode, Linda Ezergailis, Managing Director, Equity Research, TD Cowen, a division of TD Securities, provides a deep dive into the Power and Utilities sector with host Amy Van Arnhem, Managing Director and Head of Canada Senior Relationship Management, TD Securities, discussing how companies are prepared to navigate today's uncertain economic climate, operate effectively under policies and regulations, and introduce new technologies that support a lower carbon future. This podcast was recorded on May 8, 2023. For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/tds-viewpoint-episode-19. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
We have a super-sized episode for you today, and it's different from our usual fare in more than just length. Last week, I invited Fizza Khan - CEO of Silver Regulatory Associates; Mike Fitzgerald – Managing Director and Global Head of Cap Intro at TD Cowen; and Malhar Oza – Senior Associate at CFM to join me for an in-person event discussing the SEC's marketing rule. This episode is a lightly edited recording of that conversation.Key Points From This Episode:The new marketing rule consolidates two prior SEC rules and myriad SEC guidance from multiple decades.The new rule has been in full force and effect for six months, and managers have many questions about how to comply.The final rule release is 430 pages long, and if it could be distilled down into two words, they would be: “don't mislead”.Why exempt advisers should comply with it too, even though it only technically applies to registered investment advisers.Social media considerations for fund managers.Why you need to net fees and expenses out of performance results in marketing materials.Issues around substantiation.Disclaimer:This show is for informational purposes only. Nothing presented here constitutes legal advice. Tokens of Wisdom is produced by Dave Rothschild, partner at Cole-Frieman & Mallon LLP headquartered in San Francisco, California. For more information, visit https://colefrieman.com/Links Mentioned in Today's Episode:Dave Rothschild - https://www.linkedin.com/in/davidcrothschild/Fizza Khan - https://www.linkedin.com/in/fizzakhan1/Mike Fitzgerald - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-fitzgerald-bb2b4572/Malhar Oza - https://www.linkedin.com/in/malharoza/Cole-Frieman & Mallon LLP - https://colefrieman.com/Music by Joe Ginsberg - https://www.instagram.com/thejoeginsbergFor any questions or comments, email: tow@colefrieman.com
Richard Hunt, the former head of the Consumer Bankers Association, and Jaret Seiberg, managing director of Washington Research Group with TD Cowen, return to the show to discuss the post-SVB bank policy world. Is the crisis over? Will Congress enact new legislation and what will it target? What banks are now considered too big to fail?
Recorded on 03/30/23 A novel intersection has emerged between classical trade policy, national security, and climate policy, resulting in the most consequential U.S. solar policy ever passed. With this unprecedented policy support, many businesses in the solar value chain stand to benefit. Our guests in this episode are John Miller, ESG & sustainability policy analyst for TD Cowen Washington Research Group, and Jeff Osborne, TD Cowen senior research analyst covering alternative energy, mobility technology & industrial technology. TD Cowen's Thematic Outlook Podcast Series focuses on emerging growth and disruptive innovation and is hosted by Bill Bird, TD Cowen's Head of Thematic Content. For Disclosures, click here bit.ly/3cPHkNW
In this episode, Riaz Ahmed, President and CEO, TD Securities and Jeff Solomon, President, TD Cowen and Vice Chair, TD Securities, sit down with host, Peter Haynes, Managing Director and Head of Index and Market Structure Research, TD Securities, to discuss the recent Cowen acquisition, aligning our cultures, growth opportunities, and the product suite that makes us a leading North American investment bank with a global reach. This podcast was recorded on April 3, 2023. For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/tds-viewpoint-episode-18. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities.
Recorded on 03/20/23 In this episode, Larry Wieseneck, Co-Head of Global Investment Banking at TD Securities and David Erickson, Senior Fellow at The Wharton Business School, discuss the latest market turbulence and the impact on the markets in the near term. Given this view, Larry and David also discuss what their advice might be to CEOs and CFOs of TD Cowen clients. For Disclosures, click here bit.ly/3cPHkNW