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Rethink Priorities has been conducting a range of surveys and experiments aimed at understanding how people respond to different framings of Effective Altruism (EA), Longtermism, and related specific cause areas. There has been much debate about whether people involved in EA and Longtermism should frame their efforts and outreach in terms of Effective altruism, Longtermism, Existential risk, Existential security, Global priorities research, or by only mentioning specific risks, such as AI safety and Pandemic prevention (examples can be found at the following links: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8). These discussions have taken place almost entirely in the absence of empirical data, even though they concern largely empirical questions.[1] In this post we report the results of three pilot studies examining responses to different EA-related terms and descriptions. Some initial findings are: Longtermism appears to be consistently less popular than other EA-related terms and concepts we examined, whether presented just as a [...] ---Outline:(01:52) Study 1. Cause area framing(05:13) Demographics(07:15) Study 2. EA-related concepts with and without descriptions(10:58) Demographics(11:31) Study 3. Preferences for concrete causes or more general ideas/movements(15:04) Demographics(15:29) Manifold Market Predictions(16:43) General discussionThe original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. The original text contained 18 images which were described by AI. --- First published: November 7th, 2024 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/testing-framings-of-ea-and-longtermism --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.
Rethink Priorities has been conducting a range of surveys and experiments aimed at understanding how people respond to different framings of Effective Altruism (EA), Longtermism, and related specific cause areas. There has been much debate about whether people involved in EA and Longtermism should frame their efforts and outreach in terms of Effective altruism, Longtermism, Existential risk, Existential security, Global priorities research, or by only mentioning specific risks, such as AI safety and Pandemic prevention (examples can be found at the following links: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8). These discussions have taken place almost entirely in the absence of empirical data, even though they concern largely empirical questions.[1] In this post we report the results of three pilot studies examining responses to different EA-related terms and descriptions. Some initial findings are: Longtermism appears to be consistently less popular than other EA-related terms and concepts we examined, whether presented just as a [...] ---Outline:(01:52) Study 1. Cause area framing(05:40) Demographics(08:12) Study 2. EA-related concepts with and without descriptions(12:51) Demographics(13:31) Study 3. Preferences for concrete causes or more general ideas/movements(17:35) Demographics(18:07) Manifold Market Predictions(19:20) General discussionThe original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. The original text contained 18 images which were described by AI. --- First published: November 7th, 2024 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/testing-framings-of-ea-and-longtermism --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.
Intro Suppose you have $100M to give away. You are drawn to the many important opportunities to reduce animal suffering or address pressing issues in global health and development. Your choice about how to allocate the funds could depend on considerations like these: Moral values: How much moral weight do you assign to various non-human species? Are you focused exclusively on hedonic considerations, like reducing suffering? Or do you have other relevant values, such as autonomy? Cost-effectiveness estimates: Species-discounting aside, how many DALYs/$ do the best projects in the area achieve? How fast do returns diminish in these areas? Decision-theoretic values: How do you feel about risk-taking? Are you willing to tolerate a substantial probability that projects will fail? What about non-trivial chances of projects backfiring? Second-order effects: Will giving to one cause set benefit any of your other values? Are there speculative benefits that might flow from [...] ---Outline:(00:09) Intro(02:47) Cross-Cause Cost-Effectiveness Model(02:51) How it works(04:25) What it says(06:53) Portfolio Builder Tool(06:57) How it works(08:12) What it says(10:32) Moral Parliament Tool(10:36) How it works(11:48) What it says(12:02) Parliament composition matters(14:10) Allocation strategy matters(17:27) ConclusionsThe original text contained 5 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. The original text contained 11 images which were described by AI. --- First published: October 7th, 2024 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/vEwGx9RXnHaMyKhZM/what-do-rp-s-tools-tell-us-about-giving-usd100m-to-aw-or-ghd --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.
Breeding season for kākā is in full swing and the Department of Conservation says Wellington attics might be prime real estate for these feathered flat-hunters. DOC biodiversity ranger David Moss spoke to Corin Dann.
Ian Cheeseman was the BBC's Manchester City correspondent for nearly 25 years and has been a fan all of his life. Here he hosts his weekly podcast, Forever Blue, where all things Man City are discussed. Sponsored by Counting King, experts in business finance. Ian is joined by former Manchester City assistant manager David Moss plus Harlan and Amy to discuss the controversy of the 2-2 draw with Arsenal. Rodri seemed to be targeted, Arsenal time wasted and defended very deep for the whole of the second half. Thoughts on the opening Champions League game against Inter Milan too and loads more To buy a "It's Great to be a Blue" TShirt go via this linkbuytickets.at/itsgreattobeablue/storeIf you'd like to support Ian's work you can message him by DM on twitter @iancheeseman
Nueva entrega de la sección de moda de Maribel Uriel en 'Hoy por Hoy Castilla-La Mancha'. En esta ocasión, se ha marchado hasta el taller de David Moss en Guadalajara. Una firma fundada en 2019 y que ya ha logrado subirse a la Mercedes Benz Fashion Week de Madrid
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: AMA: Rethink Priorities' Worldview Investigation Team, published by Bob Fischer on July 31, 2024 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Rethink Priorities' Worldview Investigation Team (WIT) will run an Ask Me Anything (AMA). We'll reply on the 7th and 8th of August. Please put your questions in the comments below! What's WIT? WIT is Hayley Clatterbuck, Bob Fischer, Arvo Munoz Moran, David Moss, and Derek Shiller. Our team exists to improve resource allocation within and beyond the effective altruism movement, focusing on tractable, high-impact questions that bear on strategic priorities. We try to take action-relevant philosophical, methodological, and strategic problems and turn them into manageable, modelable problems. Our projects have included: The Moral Weight Project. If we want to do as much good as possible, we have to compare all the ways of doing good - including ways that involve helping members of different species. This sequence collects Rethink Priorities' work on cause prioritization across different kinds of animals, human and nonhuman. (You can check out the book version here.) The CURVE Sequence. What are the alternatives to expected value maximization (EVM) for cause prioritization? And what are the practical implications of a commitment to expected value maximization? This series of posts - and an associated tool, the Cross-Cause Cost-Effectivesness Model - explores these questions. The CRAFT Sequence. This sequence introduces two tools: a Portfolio Builder, where the key uncertainties concern cost curves and decision theories, and a Moral Parliament Tool, which allows for the modeling of both normative and metanormative uncertainty. The Sequence's primary goal is to take some first steps toward more principled and transparent ways of constructing giving portfolios. In the coming months, we'll be working on a model to assess the probability of digital consciousness. What should you ask us? Anything! Possible topics include: How we understand our place in the EA ecosystem. Why we're so into modeling. Our future plans and what we'd do with additional resources. What it's like doing "academic" work outside of academia. Biggest personal updates from the work we've done. Acknowledgments This post was written by the Worldview Investigation Team at Rethink Priorities. If you like our work, please consider subscribing to our newsletter. You can explore our completed public work here. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org
Air Date 6/11/2024 Democracies don't break all of a sudden in a moment of crisis, they fail slowly over time and only by knowing the warning signs and responding effectively to the threat before it's too late can the worst be averted. Call or text at 202-999-3991, email Jay@BestOfTheLeft.com Transcript BestOfTheLeft.com/Support (Members Get Bonus Shows + No Ads!) Join our Discord community! KEY POINTS 1: Why and Where is Democracy in Decline? - TLDR News 2: Is Democracy Under Threat? - Tufts University 3: The decline of American democracy won't be televised - Vox 4: How Republicans are fueling Russia and China_s global effort to undermine democracy - Velshi 5: How Republican Attorneys General are Undermining Voting Rights - Democracy Docket 6: Democracy vs. Autocracy: An Unproductive Dichotomy - Marxist Project 7: When Democracy Breaks: Final Thoughts with Archon Fung, David Moss and Arne Westad - Democracy Paradox 8: Protecting Voting Rights with Eric Holder - Why Is This Happening? 9: Rich Logis Escaped the Trump - MAGA Cult -- Heed His Warnings About Its Power and Extreme Danger to America - Chauncey DeVega Show 10: "The President of Forgetting" - Dastardly Cleverness in the Service of Good (1:03:29) NOTE FROM THE EDITOR Those who defend authoritarians against criticism during D-Day commemoration Conservatives Angry at Biden's Anti-Nazi D-Day Speech Fighting Trump on the Beaches DEEPER DIVES (1:09:52) SECTION A: DISSECTION OF DEMOCRACY (1:31:56) SECTION B: INTERNATIONAL DEMOCRACY (2:09:54) SECTION C: THE CULT OF TRUMP (2:36:47) SECTION D: DEMOCRACY IN ACTION IMAGE: Description: Black and white photo of a person holding a homemade sign that says “Fighting for Democracy” Credit: “For Democracy” by Alisdare Hickson, Flickr | License: CC BY-SA 2.0 | Change: Cropped
I think we've seen democracies can be unstable. Autocracies are even more unstable.David MossMade in partnership with the Ash Center for Democratic Governance and InnovationGet your copy of When Democracy Breaks or read it open access.Access Episodes Ad-Free on PatreonMake a one-time Donation to Democracy Paradox.Proudly sponsored by the Kellogg Institute for International Studies. Learn more at https://kellogg.nd.eduProudly sponsored by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Learn more at https://carnegieendowment.orgA full transcript is available at www.democracyparadox.com.Archon Fung is the Winthrop Laflin McCormack Professor of Citizenship and Self-Government at the Harvard Kennedy School. He is also the Director of the Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation.David Moss is the Paul Whiton Cherington Professor at Harvard Business School. He is also founder and president of the Tobin Project and the Case Method Institute for Education and Democracy.Arne Westad is the Elihu Professor of History and Global Affairs at Yale University.They are the editors of When Democracy Breaks: Studies in Democratic Erosion and Collapse, From Ancient Athens to the Present Day.Key HighlightsIntroduction - 0:20Thinking about Democratic Breakdown - 3:51What is Democracy - 19:26Democratic Recovery - 26:36Resilience and Fragility - 45:15Key LinksWhen Democracy Breaks: Studies in Democratic Erosion and Collapse, From Ancient Athens to the Present Day edited by Archon Fung, David Moss, and Odd Arne Westad"Introduction: When Democracy Breaks" by Archon Fung, David Moss, and Odd Arne WestadAsh Center for Democratic Governance and InnovationDemocracy Paradox PodcastWhen Democracy Breaks: Scott Mainwaring on ArgentinaWhen Democracy Breaks: 1930s Japan with Louise YoungMore Episodes from the PodcastMore InformationApes of the State created all MusicEmail the show at jkempf@democracyparadox.comFollow on Twitter @DemParadox, Facebook, Instagram @democracyparadoxpodcast100 Books on DemocracySupport the Show.
Dave Ramsey caught in a scam! Learn how scammers are using fake websites & AI to deceive even the savviest individuals, and how to protect yourself from online fraud. Plus, the future of healthcare with David Moss of Care Daily. Discover how AI caregivers are transforming home care & reducing costs. Tune in now! #DaveRamsey #ScamAlert #OnlineFraud #AI #FinancialSafety #HealthcareInnovation #AICaregivers #TechInHealth #DavidMoss #CareDaily #FutureOfHealthcare ----- Subscribe to podcast updates: https://form.jotform.com/223614751580152 Ask Ric: https://www.thetayf.com/pages/ask-ric ----- Links from today's show: VISION – Register Now: https://dacfp.com/2024-dacfp-vision/ Care Daily: https://www.caredaily.ai/ David Moss on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/davidmoss/ ----- Follow Ric on social media: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/RicEdelman Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ric_edelman/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ricedelman/ X: https://twitter.com/ricedelman YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@RicEdelman ----- Brought to you by: Invesco QQQ: https://www.invesco.com/qqq-etf/en/home.html Schwab: https://www.schwab.com/ Disclosure page: https://www.thetayf.com/pages/sponsorship-disclosure-fee -----
March 24th, 1976 is the coup and it unleashes wild celebrations in establishment Argentina and almost no opposition.... Of course, this unleashed the most ruthless dictatorship in Argentina's history and in recent South American history as well.Scott MainwaringMade in partnership with the Ash Center for Democratic Governance and InnovationGet your copy of When Democracy Breaks or read it open access.Access Episodes Ad-Free on PatreonMake a one-time Donation to Democracy Paradox.Proudly sponsored by the Kellogg Institute for International Studies. Learn more at https://kellogg.nd.eduProudly sponsored by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Learn more at https://carnegieendowment.orgA full transcript is available at www.democracyparadox.com.Scott Mainwaring is the Eugene and Helen Conley Professor of Political Science at Notre Dame. He was elected to the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 2010. His most recent book is Democracy in Hard Places (coedited with Tarek Masoud). In April 2019, PS: Political Science and Politics listed him as one of the 50 most cited political scientists in the world.Key HighlightsIntroduction - 0:20Democratization in 1973 - 3:41Democratic Erosion - 18:30Breakdown - 39:08Argentina Today - 43:18Key LinksWhen Democracy Breaks: Studies in Democratic Erosion and Collapse, From Ancient Athens to the Present Day edited by Archon Fung, David Moss, and Odd Arne Westad"Democratic Breakdown in Argentina, 1976" by Scott MainwaringAsh Center for Democratic Governance and InnovationDemocracy Paradox PodcastScott Mainwaring on Argentina and a Final Reflection on Democracy in Hard PlacesWhen Democracy Breaks: 1930s Japan with Louise YoungMore Episodes from the PodcastMore InformationApes of the State created all MusicEmail the show at jkempf@democracyparadox.comFollow on Twitter @DemParadox, Facebook, Instagram @democracyparadoxpodcast100 Books on DemocracySupport the Show.
There's a fog of democratic breakdown where really you cannot see the actual impact of your choices or your actions until after the fact.Louise YoungMade in partnership with the Ash Center for Democratic Governance and InnovationGet your copy of When Democracy Breaks or read it open access.Access Episodes Ad-Free on PatreonMake a one-time Donation to Democracy Paradox.Proudly sponsored by the Kellogg Institute for International Studies. Learn more at https://kellogg.nd.eduProudly sponsored by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Learn more at https://carnegieendowment.orgA full transcript is available at www.democracyparadox.com.Louise Young is a professor of history at the University of Wisonsin-Madison. She is the author of the chapter “The Breakdown of Democracy in 1930s Japan.” It is part of the volume When Democracy Breaks: Studies in Democratic Erosion and Collapse, From Ancient Athens to the Present Day.Key HighlightsIntroduction - 0:20Democratization - 2:52What Made it Different - 11:41Democratic Breakdown - 20:14Resisting Democratic Erosion - 37:15Key LinksWhen Democracy Breaks: Studies in Democratic Erosion and Collapse, From Ancient Athens to the Present Day edited by Archon Fung, David Moss, and Odd Arne Westad"The Breakdown in Democracy in 1930s Japan" by Louise YoungAsh Center for Democratic Governance and InnovationDemocracy Paradox PodcastWhen Democracy Breaks: Ancient Athens with Josiah Ober and Federica CarugatiDan Slater on IndonesiaMore Episodes from the PodcastMore InformationApes of the State created all MusicEmail the show at jkempf@democracyparadox.comFollow on Twitter @DemParadox, Facebook, Instagram @democracyparadoxpodcast100 Books on DemocracySupport the Show.
The Brother Brothers are identical twins who have released 5 records together, as well as touring/collaborating with Courtney Marie Andrews, Lake Street Dive, Big Thief, Sarah Jarosz, Keb Mo and being part of the early incarnations of Hadestown the musical. We chat with them about how authenticity lasts in this industry, the theory that everyone (musician/artist) just needs autonomy and validation, following the momentum, economics, and we share some good old tour horror stories.Get more access and support this show by subscribing to our Patreon, right here.Links:The Brother BrothersAmericanaFestAnais MitchellHadestownEp 10 - Joe PugEp 12 - Leyla McCallaStephane GrappelliTaylor SwiftZach BryanLevi TurnerClick here to watch this conversation on YouTube.Social Media:The Other 22 Hours InstagramThe Other 22 Hours TikTokMichaela Anne InstagramAaron Shafer-Haiss InstagramAll music written, performed, and produced by Aaron Shafer-Haiss. Become a subscribing member on our Patreon to gain more inside access including exclusive content, workshops, the chance to have your questions answered by our upcoming guests, and more.
What strikes me about that period is that democracy was not inevitable.Federica CarugatiMade in partnership with the Ash Center for Democratic Governance and InnovationGet your copy of When Democracy Breaks or read it open access.Access Episodes Ad-Free on PatreonMake a one-time Donation to Democracy Paradox.Proudly sponsored by the Kellogg Institute for International Studies. Learn more at https://kellogg.nd.eduProudly sponsored by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Learn more at https://carnegieendowment.orgA full transcript is available at www.democracyparadox.com.Josiah Ober is a Professor of Political Science and Classics at Stanford University. Federica Carugati is a Lecturer in History and Political Economy at King's College London. They are the coauthors of the chapter “Democratic Collapse and Recovery in Ancient Athens (413-403 BCE)” in a new book called When Democracy Breaks: Studies in Democratic Erosion and Collapse, From Ancient Athens to the Present Day.Key HighlightsIntroduction - 0:20Democratization - 3:28Breakdown - 17:36Rebirth - 36:48Final Lessons - 47:51Key LinksWhen Democracy Breaks: Studies in Democratic Erosion and Collapse, From Ancient Athens to the Present Day edited by Archon Fung, David Moss, and Odd Arne Westad"Democratic Collapse and Recovery in Ancient Athens (413-403 BCE)" by Federica Carugati and Josiah OberAsh Center for Democratic Governance and InnovationDemocracy Paradox PodcastDoes Democracy Rely on a Civic Bargain? Josiah Ober Makes the CaseDavid Stasavage on Early Democracy and its DeclineMore Episodes from the PodcastMore InformationApes of the State created all MusicEmail the show at jkempf@democracyparadox.comFollow on Twitter @DemParadox, Facebook, Instagram @democracyparadoxpodcast100 Books on DemocracySupport the Show.
Join BNY Mellon's David Moss, Growth Ventures Partner, and Aaron Steinberg, Head of Prime Services Business Development and Capital Introductions, for the latest InvestmentNews podcast hosted by Senior Columnist and reporter, Bruce Kelly. In this episode, we dive into the expanding realm of alternative investments and explore why these assets are capturing the attention of both advisors and individual investors. David and Aaron share their unique perspectives on the future of investing, discussing how new innovations are making alternative investments more accessible and manageable for the wealth management community. During this podcast, you will gain key insights into the macro-outlook for private markets, the importance of diversity and downside protection, as well as the challenges and strategies surrounding investing in alternatives. Highlights include: • The expansive growth opportunities for private markets and alternatives among advisors and individual investors • Key factors impacting adoption – access, education, and experience – and how fund managers are addressing each in order to attract new investment • Technological advancements and rapid innovation taking place to facilitate greater access and flexibility in private markets and alternatives To learn more, press play and listen to the podcast
CreekTalk: A Conversation with Pastor Donald Thomas and David Moss
Satisfaction with the EA community Reported satisfaction, from 1 (Very dissatisfied) to 10 (Very satisfied), in December 2023/January 2024 was lower than when we last measured it shortly after the FTX crisis at the end of 2022 (6.77 vs. 6.99, respectively). However, December 2023/January 2024 satisfaction ratings were higher than what people recalled their satisfaction being “shortly after the FTX collapse” (and their recalled level of satisfaction was lower than what we measured their satisfaction as being at the end of 2022). We think it's plausible that satisfaction reached a nadir at some point later than December 2022, but may have improved since that point, while still being lower than pre-FTX. Reasons for dissatisfaction with EA: A number of factors were cited a similar number of times by respondents as Very important reasons for dissatisfaction, among those who provided a reason: Cause prioritization (22%), Leadership (20%), Justice, Equity, Inclusion and [...] ---Outline:(04:15) Community satisfaction over time(08:12) Reasons for dissatisfaction with the EA community(13:07) Changes in EA engagement(14:00) Changes in EA-related behaviors(15:57) Perception of issues in the EA community(16:14) Leadership vacuum(16:46) Desire for more community change following FTX(17:13) Trust in EA-related organizations(18:53) Appendix(18:56) Effect sizes for satisfaction over time(20:12) Email vs non-email referrers(21:30) AcknowledgmentsThe original text contained 7 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: March 20th, 2024 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/aF6nh4LW6sSbgMLzL/updates-on-community-health-survey-results --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Updates on Community Health Survey Results, published by David Moss on March 20, 2024 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary Satisfaction with the EA community Reported satisfaction, from 1 (Very dissatisfied) to 10 (Very satisfied), in December 2023/January 2024 was lower than when we last measured it shortly after the FTX crisis at the end of 2022 (6.77 vs. 6.99, respectively). However, December 2023/January 2024 satisfaction ratings were higher than what people recalled their satisfaction being "shortly after the FTX collapse" (and their recalled level of satisfaction was lower than what we measured their satisfaction as being at the end of 2022). We think it's plausible that satisfaction reached a nadir at some point later than December 2022, but may have improved since that point, while still being lower than pre-FTX. Reasons for dissatisfaction with EA: A number of factors were cited a similar number of times by respondents as Very important reasons for dissatisfaction, among those who provided a reason: Cause prioritization (22%), Leadership (20%), Justice, Equity, Inclusion and Diversity (JEID, 19%), Scandals (18%) and excessive Focus on AI / x-risk / longtermism (16%). Including mentions of Important (12%) and Slightly important (7%) factors, JEID was the most commonly mentioned factor overall. Changes in engagement over the last year 39% of respondents reported getting at least slightly less engaged, while 31% reported no change in engagement, and 29% reported increasing engagement. Concrete changes in behavior 31% of respondents reported that they had stopped referring to "EA" while still promoting EA projects or ideas, and 15% that they had temporarily stopped promoting EA. Smaller percentages reported other changes such as ceasing to engage with online EA spaces (6.8%), permanently stopping promoting EA ideas or projects (6.3%), stopping attending EA events (5.5%), stopping working on any EA projects (4.3%) and stopping donating (2.5%). Desire for more community change as a result of the FTX collapse 46% of respondents at least somewhat agreed that they would like to see the EA community change more than it already has, as a result of the FTX collapse, while 26% somewhat or strongly disagreed. Trust in EA organizations Reported trust in key EA organizations (Center for Effective Altruism, Open Philanthropy, and 80,000 Hours) were slightly lower than in our December 2022 post-FTX survey, though the change for 80,000 Hours did not reliably exclude no difference. Perceived leadership vacuum 41% of respondents at least somewhat agreed that 'EA currently has a vacuum of leadership', while 22% somewhat or strongly disagreed. As part of the EA Survey, Rethink Priorities has been tracking community health related metrics, such as satisfaction with the EA community. Since the FTX crisis in 2022, there has been considerable discussion regarding how that crisis, and other events, have impacted the EA community. In the recent aftermath of the FTX crisis, Rethink Priorities fielded a supplemental survey to assess whether and to what extent those events had affected community satisfaction and health. Analyses of the supplemental survey showed relative reductions in satisfaction following FTX, while absolute satisfaction was still generally positive. In this post, we report findings from a subsequent EA community survey, with data collected between December 11th 2023 and January 3rd 2024.[1] Community satisfaction over time There are multiple ways to assess community satisfaction over time, so as to establish possible changes following the FTX crisis and other subsequent negative events. We have 2022 data pre-FTX and shortly after FTX, as well as the recently-acquired data from 2023-2024, which also includes respondents' recalled satisfaction following FTX.[2] Satisf...
Adam and David Moss (aka "The Brother Brothers") chat from the road - on the phone - with Jamie about their latest tour, their upcoming January Album, and all of them share the experience of playing as brothers in their respective bands.
Another great episode from our "Legends of the 70s" series.This episode with former Luton, Swindon and Tampa Bay player David Moss, Sit back and enjoy this fascinating interview.Full version is available here for Patrons..why not sign up? www.patreon.com/srbmediaWith Paul CollinsEdited & Produced by Chris Brownewww.srbmedia.co.ukSupport this show http://supporter.acast.com/srbmedia. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Announcing Surveys on Community Health, Causes, and Harassment, published by David Moss on December 15, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum. We are announcing a supplementary survey to gather timely information from the EA community before the next EA Survey in 2024. This survey will contain questions related to: Community health and satisfaction with the EA community Cause prioritization and how EA resources should be allocated Demographics (which can optionally be skipped if you provided your email address last time and opt for us to link your responses) We are also sending out a separate survey, requested by CEA's Community Health and Special Projects team, focusing primarily on sexual harassment and gender-related experiences: 4. EA Climate and Harassment Survey You can take the first survey here. This will give you the option to take the Climate and Harassment Survey immediately afterwards, without having to answer the demographic questions twice. Alternatively, you can just take the Climate and Harassment survey here. If you wish to share links to either of these surveys with others, please use the following links: Both surveys: https://rethinkpriorities.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_1G37guBPVAl9TtI?source=sharing Climate and Harassment Survey alone: https://rethinkpriorities.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_bxD0wtmuuXw4KUe?source=sharing The first survey should be significantly shorter than the main EA Survey, depending on how much detail you choose to provide in the open comment questions and whether you skip the demographic section by providing your email address. The EA Climate and Harassment Survey is estimated to take between 5 and 30 minutes depending on how much detail you choose to provide. Both surveys are planned to close on 1st January 2024. Acknowledgements The post is a project of Rethink Priorities, a global priority think-and-do tank, aiming to do good at scale. We research and implement pressing opportunities to make the world better. We act upon these opportunities by developing and implementing strategies, projects, and solutions to key issues. We do this work in close partnership with foundations and impact-focused non-profits or other entities. If you're interested in Rethink Priorities' work, please consider subscribing to our newsletter. You can explore our completed public work here. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Are 1-in-5 Americans familiar with EA?, published by David Moss on November 2, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum. YouGov recently reported the results of a survey (n=1000) suggesting that about "one in five (22%) Americans are familiar with effective altruism." [1] We think these results are exceptionally unlikely to be true. Their 22% figure is very similar to the proportion of Americans we previously found claim to have heard of effective altruism (19%) in our earlier survey (n=6130). But, after conducting appropriate checks, we estimated that much lower percentages are likely to have genuinely heard of EA [2] (2.6% after the most stringent checks, which we speculate is still likely to be somewhat inflated [3] ). Is it possible that these numbers have simply dramatically increased following the FTX scandal? Fortunately, we have tested this with multiple followup surveys explicitly designed with this possibility in mind. [4] In our most recent survey (conducted October 6th [5] ), we estimated that approximately 16% (13.0%-20.4%) of US adults would claim to have heard of EA. Yet, when we add in additional checks to assess whether people appear to have really heard of the term, or have a basic understanding of what it means, this estimate drops to 3% (1.7% to 4.4%), and even to approximately 1% with a more stringent level of assessment. [6] These results are roughly in line with our earlier polling in May 2022, as well as additional polling we conducted between May 2022 and October 2023, and do not suggest any dramatic increase in awareness of effective altruism, although assessing small changes when base rates are already low is challenging. We plan to continue to conduct additional surveys, which will allow us to assess possible changes from just before the trial of Sam Bankman-Fried to after the trial. Attitudes towards EA YouGov also report that respondents are, even post-FTX, overwhelmingly positive towards EA, with 81% of those who (claim to) have heard of EA approving or strongly approving of EA. Fortunately, this positive view is broadly in line with our own findings- across different ways of breaking down who has heard of EA and different levels of stringency- which we aim to report on separately at a later date. However, our earlier work did find that awareness of FTX was associated with more negative attitudes towards EA. Conclusions The point of this post is not to criticise YouGov in particular. However, we do think it's worth highlighting that even highly reputable polling organizations should not be assumed to be employing all the additional checks that may be required to understand a particular question. This may apply especially in relation to niche topics like effective altruism, or more technical topics like AI, where additional nuance and checks may be required to assess understanding. ^ Also see this quick take . ^ There are many reasons why respondents may erroneously claim knowledge of something. But simply put, one reason is that people like demonstrating their knowledge, and may err on the side of claiming to have heard of something even if they are not sure. Moreover, if the component words that make up a term are familiar, then the respondent may either mistakenly believe they have already encountered the term, or think it is sufficient that they believe they can reasonably infer what the term means from its component parts to claim awareness (even when explicitly instructed not to approach the task this way!). Some people also appear to conflate the term with others - for example, some amalgamation of inclusive fitness/reciprocal altruism appears quite common. For reference, over 12% of people claim to have heard of the specific term "Globally neutral advocacy": A term that the research team invented, which returns no google results as...
YouGov recently reported the results of a survey (n=1000) suggesting that about “one in five (22%) Americans are familiar with effective altruism.”[1]We think these results are exceptionally unlikely to be true. Their 22% figure is very similar to the proportion of Americans we previously found claim to have heard of effective altruism (19%) in our earlier survey (n=6130). But, after conducting appropriate checks, we estimated that much lower percentages are likely to have genuinely heard of EA[2] (2.6% after the most stringent checks, which we speculate is still likely to be somewhat inflated[3]).Is it possible that these numbers have simply dramatically increased following the FTX scandal?Fortunately, we have tested this with multiple followup surveys explicitly designed with this possibility in mind.[4] In our most recent survey (conducted October 6th[5]), we estimated that approximately 16% (13.0%-20.4%) of US adults would claim to have heard of EA. Yet, when we add in [...] ---Outline:(02:00) Attitudes towards EA(02:35) ConclusionsThe original text contained 6 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: November 2nd, 2023 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CwKiAt54aJjcqoQDh/are-1-in-5-americans-familiar-with-ea --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Re-announcing Pulse, published by David Moss on September 5, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum. In September 2022, we announced that we were developing Pulse, a large and repeated US-population survey focusing on public attitudes relevant to high impact issues. This project was originally going to be supported by the FTX Future Fund and was therefore delayed while we sought alternative funding. We have now acquired alternative funding for this project for one year. However, the project will now be running on a quarterly basis, rather than monthly, to make the most efficient use of limited funds. Request for questions As such, we are now, again, soliciting requests for questions to include in the survey. We are particularly interested in questions which people would value being tracked across time, since this will make the most use of Pulse's nature as a quarterly survey. We will still likely include some one-off questions in Pulse (space permitting), and welcome requests of this kind, but in principle we could just include these questions in separate surveys (funding permitting). Given the lower frequency of the surveys, we now believe it is more important than ever to ensure that we include the questions which are the highest priority. Due to space constraints (data quality drops dramatically when surveys exceed a certain length), we are not able to field questions on every topic that we might wish to. At present, we plan to include questions primarily focused on: Awareness of and attitudes towards effective altruism, longtermism, and related areas (e.g. (our previous work)). Support for different cause areas or particular policies (e.g. AI) However, we are keen to get requests for other cause areas or topics. Ironically, this meant that we weren't able to run Pulse during the time of the FTX crisis, when tracking attitudes towards EA at a large scale would have been particularly useful. It also meant that Pulse wasn't running during the recent increase in public interest in AI risk. We think this is a useful illustration of why it is important to have regular surveys running in advance (and keep them running) so that we can capture changes in public attitudes due to unforeseen events. Fortunately, we do have some pre-test data on both of these topics, which we will be able to use to assess changes to some extent. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Why some people disagree with the CAIS statement on AI, published by David Moss on August 15, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary Previous research from Rethink Priorities found that a majority of the population (59%) agreed with a statement from the Center for AI Safety (CAIS) that stated "Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war." 26% of the population disagreed with this statement. This research piece does further qualitative research to analyze this opposition in more depth. The most commonly mentioned theme among those who disagreed with the CAIS statement was that other priorities were more important (mentioned by 36% of disagreeing respondents), with climate change particularly commonly mentioned. This theme was particularly strongly occurring among younger disagreeing respondents (43.3%) relative to older disagreeing respondents (27.8%). The next most commonly mentioned theme was rejection of the idea that AI would cause extinction (23.4%), though some of these respondents agreed AI may pose other risks. Another commonly mentioned theme was the idea that AI was not yet a threat, though it might be in the future. This was commonly co-occurring with the 'Other priorities' theme, with many arguing that other threats were more imminent. Other less commonly mentioned themes included that AI would be under our control (8.8%) and so would not pose a threat, while another was that AI was not capable of causing harm, because it was not sentient or sophisticated or autonomous (5%). Introduction Our previous survey on attitudes on US public perception of the CAIS statement on AI risk found that a majority of Americans agree with the statement (59%), while a minority (26%) disagreed. To gain a better understanding of why individuals might disagree with the statement, we ran an additional survey, where we asked a new sample of respondents whether they agreed or disagreed with the statement, and then asked them to explain why they agreed or disagreed. We then coded the responses of those who disagreed with the statement to identify major recurring themes in people's comments. We did not formally analyze comments from those who did not disagree with the statement, though may do so in a future report. Since responses to this question might reflect responses to the specifics of the statement, rather than more general reactions to the idea of AI risk, it may be useful to review the statement before reading about the results. "Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war." Common themes This section outlines the most commonly recurring themes. In a later section of this report we'll discuss each theme in more detail and provide examples from each. It is important, when interpreting these percentages to remember that they are percentages of those 31.2% respondents who disagreed with the statement, not of all respondents. The dominant theme, by quite a wide margin, was the claim that 'Other priorities' were more important, which was mentioned by 36% of disagreeing respondents. The next most common theme was 'Not extinction', mentioned in 23.4% of responses, which simply involved respondents asserting that they did not believe that AI would cause extinction. The third most commonly mentioned theme was 'Not yet', which involved respondents claiming that AI was not yet a threat or something to worry about. The 'Other priorities' and 'Not yet' themes were commonly co-occurring, mentioned together by 7.9% of respondents, more than any other combination. Some less commonly mentioned themes were 'Control', the idea that AI could not be a threat because it would inevitably be under our...
SummaryPrevious research from Rethink Priorities found that a majority of the population (59%) agreed with a statement from the Center for AI Safety (CAIS) that stated “Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.” 26% of the population disagreed with this statement. This research piece does further qualitative research to analyze this opposition in more depth.The most commonly mentioned theme among those who disagreed with the CAIS statement was that other priorities were more important (mentioned by 36% of disagreeing respondents), with climate change particularly commonly mentioned.This theme was particularly strongly occurring among younger disagreeing respondents (43.3%) relative to older disagreeing respondents (27.8%).The next most commonly mentioned theme was rejection of the idea that AI would cause extinction (23.4%), though some of these respondents agreed AI may pose other risks.Another commonly mentioned theme was the idea that [...] ---Outline:(00:05) Summary(01:43) Introduction(02:47) Common themes(04:37) Other priorities(09:55) Not extinction(11:34) Not yet(14:22) Control(16:48) Benefits(20:21) Not capable / Not physical(22:26) Sci fi(23:21) Responses from those who did not disagree(23:58) Demographic differences(25:07) Limitations and future researchThe original text contained 7 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: August 15th, 2023 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/RYNtykh5xM467zRNj/why-some-people-disagree-with-the-cais-statement-on-ai --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
David Moss, Founder of InMuneBio A brief history of Alzheimer's Disease: 1906: Discovery of brain disease → later named Alzheimer's disease in 1910 1976: Neurologist Robert Katzman identifies Alzheimer's as the most common cause of dementia and a public health challenge 1983: Researchers George Glenner and Cai'ne Wong identify beta-amyloid, a key component of Alzheimer's brain plaques 1986: Discovery of tau protein as a key component of tangles in Alzheimer's disease 1987: First clinical trial and detection of the first inherited Alzheimer's gene The 1990s: Establishment of a nationwide medical network for clinical research, the discovery of the first risk factor gene, and FDA approval of the first Alzheimer's drug 2012: Launch of the first major clinical trial 2013: Discovery of a new genetic risk factor 2015: Higher-than-expected deaths from Alzheimer's 2019: Initial signs of progress 2021: FDA approves the first drug treatment for Alzheimer's disease after 115 years since the disease's discovery. This history could be more encouraging, but thankfully, it's only part of the research picture. With me today is David Moss from InMuneBio, a research company looking at firing up the immune cells in our brains to help fight Alzheimer's. InmuneBio has completed a stage one clinical trial with good results, which excites me to share their story with you. Learn more about INmunebio Here Now to pay some bills! Did you know people with Alzheimer's can receive nearly 200 spam calls a week? You can put a stop to those now. Relevate from NeuroReserve Make Your Brain Span Match Your LifeSpan With Relevate nutritional supplement, you get science-backed nutrition to help protect your brain power today and for years to come. You deserve a brain span that lasts as long as your lifespan. Join Fading Memories On Social Media! If you've enjoyed this episode, please share this podcast with other caregivers! You'll find us on social media at the following links. Instagram Twitter LinkedIn Facebook Contact Jen at hello@fadingmemoriespodcast.com
In this episode of The Eternal Optimist, Matt Drinkhahn interviews David Moss, a former radio professional turned startup entrepreneur. Moss discusses the challenges facing the radio industry and shares his passion for science fiction books and radio. He also talks about his transition from corporate finance to entrepreneurship and the importance of optimism in problem-solving. Moss expresses his concerns for future generations and the state of the nation's culture. The episode emphasizes the importance of staying calm and collected to find strength and hope amidst challenges.Chapters:00:00:00 - Passionate Sci-fi Book Recommendations: "The Moat In God's Eye" and "Childhood's End"00:02:15 - From Professional Aggressiveness to Radio Passion: My Journey into Radio00:04:37 - Mastering Professional Aggressiveness: Achieving Success without Being Obnoxious00:05:57 - The Challenges of Observing the World: A Candid Conversation on Disheartenment and Cultural Shifts00:08:39 - Finding Strength in Eternal Optimism: Staying Cool, Calm, and Collected in the Face of Challenges00:10:40 - Breaking the Age Barrier: Investigating the Radio Market and Overcoming Discrimination00:12:41 - The Future of Radio: Disruption from Streaming Services00:18:09 - The Future of Radio: Streaming's Impact on the Industry and Listening Habits00:19:52 - Niche-Based Radio Industry: Catering to Specific Music Genres and Artists00:22:01 - Revolutionizing Internet Radio: Creating Professionally-Curated Content00:26:24 - Radio's Relevance in the Spotify Era: Focus on Presentation and Monetization00:27:32 - Revolutionizing Radio: Innovative Approaches from an Industry Leader00:31:16 - Helping Startups Get Investment Ready: Bridging the Gap to Market Success00:34:20 - From Corporate Success to Startup: Raising Millions and Building a Company from Scratch00:36:06 - Passion Meets Profession: Returning to the World of Radio00:40:32 - From Rock to Country: A DJ's Journey to Discovering His True Genre00:43:32 - "Childhood's End" and Radio Hijinks: Book Recommendation and Hilarious Stories00:46:13 - The Viral Eighties Commercial That Inspired a Radio DJ's Creative TwistLinks And Resources:Kewl FMDavid Moss on LinkedInThanks so much for joining us this week. Want to subscribe to Eternal Optimist? Have some feedback you'd like to share? Connect with us on iTunes and leave us a review!
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: EA Survey 2022: Demographics, published by David Moss on May 15, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary Gender Since 2020, the percentage of women in our sample has increased (26.5% vs 29.3%) and the percentage of men decreased (70.5% vs 66.2%). More recent cohorts of EAs have lower percentages of men than earlier cohorts. This pattern is compatible with either increased recruitment of women, non-binary or other non-male EAs in more recent years and/or men being more likely to drop out of EA. We examine differences between cohorts across years and find no evidence of significant differences in dropout between men and women. Race/ethnicity The percentage of white respondents in our sample (76.26%) has remained fairly flat over time. More recent cohorts contain lower percentages of white respondents (compatible with either increased recruitment and/or lower dropout of non-white respondents). We also examine differences between cohorts across years for race/ethnicity, but do not find a consistent pattern. Age The average age at which people first get involved in EA (26) has continued to increase. Education and employment The percentage of students in the movement has decreased since 2020 and the percentage in employment has increased. However, just over 40% of those who joined EA in the last year were students. Universities 11.8% of respondents attended the top 10 (QS) ranked universities globally. Career strategies The most commonly cited strategy for impact in one's career was ‘research' (20.61%) followed by ‘still deciding' (19.63%). More than twice as many respondents selected research as selected ‘earning to give' (10.24%), organization-building skills (ops, management), government and policy, entrepreneurship or community building (
David Moss from Thasis LLC is joining us on Business Brain to discuss operationalizing your business. Having worked in technology sales, executive management, and business development, David will explain how to go about creating and launching a business, including the options to consider for funding and how to validate a […] The post How to Operationalize Your Business with David Moss – Business Brain 441 appeared first on Business Brain - The Entrepreneurs' Podcast.
Thanks to our friend David Moss for this seriously enlightening perspective on the story of Zaccheus! You will never only think of the cute little children's song again when you think of him. There is so much more to the story! --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/the-3/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/the-3/support
On this special episode of The Greg and Dan Show Podcast, Peoria's The Brother Brothers sit down with Greg and Dan to discuss their upcoming concert at the Peoria Riverfront Museum on Monday, January 16th. The Brother Brothers are comprised of twins Adam and David Moss who grew up in Peoria then moved to New York City and find themselves residing in Los Angeles and Miami, respectively. The Moss twins chat about the process of releasing two albums during the pandemic, their excitement to get back out on the road, and the incredible story that involves their mom and The Greg and Dan Show. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
David Moss is the fisheries Project Manager for The Nature Conservancy in Florida who has recently been working on implementing descending devices to improve the survival rate of Grouper and Snapper. The new Deck to Depth program will drive collaboration with recreational anglers, captains, and others across Florida to promote proper release practices and better data collection. This podcast is presented by Black Rifle Coffee Use code BLASTOFF25 for 25% off Salt Strong Insiders Club: https://bit.ly/RowlandMembership LMNT Electrolytes Special Offer: http://DrinkLMNT.com/TomRowland If you have questions or suggestions for the show you can text Tom at 1 305-930-7346 This episode has been brought to you by Waypoint TV. Waypoint is the ultimate outdoor network featuring streaming of full-length fishing and hunting television shows, short films and instructional content, a social media network, Podcast Network. Waypoint is available on Roku, Samsung Smart TV, Amazon Fire TV, Apple TV, Chromecast, Android TV, IoS devices, Android Devices and at www.waypointtv.com all for FREE! Join the Waypoint Army by following them on Instagram at the following accounts @waypointtv @waypointfish @waypointsalt @waypointboating @waypointhunt @waypointoutdoorcollective Find over 150 full episodes of Saltwater Experience on Waypoint You can follow Tom Rowland on Instagram @tom_rowland and find all episodes and show notes at Tomrowlandpodcast.com Learn more about Tom's Television shows by visiting their websites: Saltwater Experience Into the Blue Sweetwater Contact Tom through email: Podcast@saltwaterexperience.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Rethink Priorities' Leadership Statement on the FTX situation, published by abrahamrowe on November 23, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. From the Executive Team and Board of Directors of Rethink Priorities (Peter Wildeford, Marcus Davis, Abraham Rowe, Kieran Greig, David Moss, Ozzie Gooen, Cameron Meyer Shorb, and Vicky Bond). We were saddened and shocked to learn about the extremely serious alleged misdeeds and misconduct of Sam Bankman-Fried and FTX. While we are still trying to understand what happened and the consequences of these events, we are dismayed that customer funds may have been used improperly, and that, currently, many customers are unable to retrieve funds held by FTX. We unequivocally and in the strongest possible terms condemn any potential fraud or misuse of customer funds and trust that occurred at FTX. The actions that Bankman-Fried and FTX have been accused of are out of line with the values that we believe in and try to represent as an organization. At this time, Rethink Priorities remains in a stable financial and legal position. We do not plan on laying off staff or cutting salaries in response to these events or to the changed financial condition of the EA space. However, the strategies of our General Longtermism, Special Projects, and Surveys teams were partly based on the existence of FTX funding for Rethink Priorities and others in the EA community. For the time being, we've mainly paused further hiring for these programs and are revisiting our strategies for them going forward. We've decided that hiring for our Special Projects team, which was already in progress before we learned about the FTX situation, will proceed in order to evaluate and onboard new fiscal sponsees. Unfortunately, this situation does impact our long-term financial outlook and our ability to keep growing. Rethink Priorities continues to have large funding needs and we look forward to sharing more about our plans with the community in the next few days. We will need to address the funding gap left by these changed conditions for the coming years. In terms of legal exposure, Rethink Priorities' legal counsel are looking into the possibility of clawbacks of funds previously donated to us by FTX-related sources. At this time, we are not aware of any other significant legal exposure for Rethink Priorities or its staff. Prior to the news breaking this month, we already had procedures in place intended to mitigate potential financial risks from relying on FTX or other cryptocurrency donors. Internally, we've always had a practice of treating pledged or anticipated cryptocurrency donations as less reliable than other types of donations for fundraising forecasting purposes, simply due to volatility in that sector. As a part of regular crisis management exercises, we also engaged in an internal simulation in August around the possibility of FTX funds no longer being available. We did this exercise due to the relative size and importance of the funding to us, and the base failure rates of cryptocurrency projects, not due to having non-public information about FTX or Bankman-Fried. In hindsight, we believe we could have done more to share these internal risk assessments with the rest of the EA community. Going forward, we are reevaluating our own approach to risk management and the assessment of donors, though we do not believe any changes we will make would have caught this specific issue. As mentioned above, Rethink Priorities is receiving legal advice on clawbacks, and we are happy to share resources with other organizations that are concerned about their exposure. We cannot provide legal advice, but we are able to provide information on our own response—please reach out to Abraham Rowe (abraham@rethinkpriorities.org) for more information. Thanks for listening. To help u...
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Announcing EA Survey 2022, published by David Moss on October 31, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. The 2022 EA Survey is now live at the following link: We appreciate it when EAs share the survey with others. If you would like to do so, please use this link () so that we can track where our sample is recruited from. We currently plan to leave the survey open until December the 1st, though it's possible we might extend the window, as we did last year. What's new this year? The EA Survey is substantially shorter. Our testers completed the survey in 10 minutes or less. We worked with CEA to make it possible for some of your answers to be pre-filled with your previous responses, to save you even more time. At present, this is only possible if you took the 2020 EA Survey and shared your data with CEA. This is because your responses are identified using your EffectiveAltruism.org log-in. In future years, we may be able to email you a custom link which would allow you to pre-fill, or simply not be shown, certain questions which you have answered before, whether or not you share your data with CEA, and there is an option to opt-in to this in this year's survey. Why take the EA Survey? The EA Survey provides valuable information about the EA community and how it is changing over time. Every year the survey is used to inform the decisions of a number of different EA orgs. And, despite the survey being much shorter this year, this year we have included requests from a wider variety of decision-makers than ever before. Prize This year the Centre for Effective Altruism has, again, generously donated a prize of $1000 USD that will be awarded to a randomly selected respondent to the EA Survey, for them to donate to any of the organizations listed on EA Funds. Please note that to be eligible, you need to provide a valid e-mail address so that we can contact you. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org.
Amy Wright chats with Compass Records act The Brother Brothers, formed by twin brothers Adam and David Moss. They're here today to discuss their brand-new album Cover to Cover, a covers project with selections from Tom T. Hall, Jackson Browne, James Taylor, Robert Earl Keen, and several others included. They also share on their origins of being raised in Peoria, IL, where they grew up on a steady diet of The Everly Brothers, The Beach Boys, The Beatles and more. These two are music scholars who are always learning, exploring, and figuring out who played on what and who wrote what, so be prepared to learn quite a bit in this conversation. Part of Pantheon Podcasts
The Balthasar Booth is a virtual exhibit devoted to the life and work of Hans Urs von Balthasar. The exhibit is hosted on the Wipf and Stock Blog and includes a set of interviews with Balthasar scholars, as well as a selection of Wipf and Stock's books by and about HUVB. You can find the link to the booth below. Dr. Anne M. Carpenter is a professor of theology at Saint Mary's College of California and the author of Theo-Poetics: Hans Urs von Balthasar and the Risk of Art and Being. In our interview, Professor Carpenter and I discuss Hans Urs von Balthasar, particularly in relation to poetry, Orientalism, Heidegger, Thomism, and theological risk-taking, to name a few conversation points. Apologies for the glitches and poor sound quality in parts of the episode. We are actively working to strengthen WiFi signals and microphone quality. PODCAST LINKS: The Balthasar Booth: https://wipfandstock.com/blog/2022/08/02/the-balthasar-booth/ Blog post: https://wipfandstock.com/blog/2022/08/01/to-dare-being-anne-m-carpenter-on-hans-urs-von-balthasar/ CONNECT: Website: https://wipfandstock.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCvht9V0Pndgvwh5vkpe0GGw Twitter: https://twitter.com/wipfandstock Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wipfandstock Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wipfandstock/ SOURCES MENTIONED: Balthasar, Hans Urs von. Apokalypse der deutschen Seele. 3 vols. ———. Explorations in Theology. 5 vols. ———. The Glory of the Lord: A Theological Aesthetics. 7 vols. ———. Mysterium Paschale: The Mystery of Easter. ———. Theo-Logic. 3 vols. Brown, Joshua R. Balthasar in Light of Early Confucianism. Carpenter, Anne M. Nothing Gained Is Eternal: A Theology of Tradition. ———. Theo-Poetics: Hans Urs von Balthasar and the Risk of Art and Being. Kerr, Fergus. “Balthasar and Metaphysics.” In The Cambridge Companion to Hans Urs von Balthasar, edited by Edward T. Oakes, SJ, and David Moss. O'Regan, Cyril. Anatomy of Misremembering: Von Balthasar's Response to Philosophical Modernity. Rilke, Rainer Maria. “Lament.” The Selected Poetry of Rainer Maria Rilke. OUTLINE: (01:31) - Balthasar's Ideological and Methodological Elusiveness (02:59) - Balthasar, Orientalism, and the Far East (04:59) - Starting Points for Reading Balthasar (06:46) - Theo-Logic v. 3 (08:15) - Writing Poetry (12:05) - Thomist Metaphysics and Poetic Theology (16:05) - Heidegger and Rilke (24:13) - Heideggerian Thomism (28:55) - Twining Metaphysics, Language, and Christology (32:51) - The Risk of Art and Being (39:24) - Lonergan, Balthasar, Blondel, Peguy, and Black Theology
This week's show features David Moss, Fisheries Project Manager for The Nature Conservancy in Florida. Listen in as we discuss some of the issues facing snapper and grouper species when fishing offshore and ways that you can help ensure a successful release of the fish that you return to the water. The Nature Conservancy's "Deck to Depth" Program is leading the way in educating anglers about the beneficial use of descending devices and the success rate of using these devices to safely return fish that are suffering from barotrauma back to the depths from which they were caught. Be sure to check out the link below to learn more about David's work: www.nature.org/floridafisheries https://youtu.be/G-9yqFsBA7Q If you have questions, comments or guest suggestions please email me at Derek@impactoutdoorspodcast.com Music provided by Epidemic Sound: https://www.epidemicsound.com/track/5A7gnNYE53/ https://www.epidemicsound.com/track/7CuugqCVvk/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Announcing EA Pulse, large monthly US surveys on EA, published by David Moss on September 20, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Rethink Priorities is excited to announce EA Pulse - a large, monthly survey of the US population aimed at measuring and understanding public perceptions of Effective Altruism and EA-aligned cause areas! This project has been made possible by a grant from the FTX Future Fund. What is EA Pulse? EA Pulse aims to serve two primary purposes: Tracking changes in responses to key questions relevant to EA and longtermism over time (e.g. awareness of and attitudes towards EA and longtermism, and support for different cause areas). Running ad hoc questions requested by EA orgs (e.g. support for particular policies, responses to different messages EAs are considering). We welcome requests for questions to include in the survey of either of these types. Please comment below or e-mail david@rethinkpriorities.org, ideally by October 20th. By tracking beliefs and attitudes towards issues related to effective altruism and longtermism, we can better get our finger on the pulse of movement building efforts over time, and potentially identify unforeseen risks to the movement. We will also be able to determine whether particular subgroups of the population appear to be missed or turned off by our outreach efforts. We also believe that surveying the broader public can provide a new window for looking at how the ideas generated by the EA community are being taken up by the wider population. In turn, it can help us communicate more effectively and efficiently about what matters most. Due to space constraints this survey is best suited to asking about relatively short, straightforward questions. If you are interested in surveys with more complex designs, a larger number of questions or experimental manipulations, complex instructions, or which involve asking respondents to read lengthy text or view videos, we are potentially able to accommodate these in separate surveys (funding permitting). Please feel free to reach out to discuss possibilities. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Marketing Messages Trial for GWWC Giving Guide Campaign, published by Erin Morrissey on September 8, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. The trial was run in conjunction with Josh Lewis (NYU). Thanks to David Moss and others for feedback on this post, and to Jamie Elsey for support with the Bayesian analysis. TL;DR Giving What We Can together with the EA Market Testing Team (EAMT) tested marketing and messaging themes on Facebook in their Effective Giving Guide Facebook Lead campaigns which ran from late November 2021 - January 2022. GWWC's Giving Guide answers key questions about effective giving and includes the latest effective giving recommendations to teach donors how to do the most good with their donations. These were exploratory trials to identify promising strategies to recruit people for GWWC and engage people with EA more broadly. We report the most interesting patterns from these trials to provide insight into which hypotheses might be worth exploring more rigorously in future (‘confirmatory analysis') work. Across four trials we compared the effectiveness of different types of (1) messages, (2) videos, and (3) targeted audiences. The key outcomes were (i) email addresses per dollar (when a Facebook user provides an email lead) and (ii) link clicks per dollar. Based on our analysis of 682,577 unique Facebook ‘impressions', we found: The cost of an email address was as low as $8.00 across campaigns, but it seemed to vary substantially across audiences, videos, and messages. The message "Only 3% of donors give based on charity effectiveness, yet the best charities can be 100x more impactful" generated more link clicks and email addresses per dollar than other messages. In contrast, the message "Giving What We Can has helped 6,000+ people make a bigger impact on the causes they care about most" was less cost-effective than the other messages. A ‘short video with facts about effective giving' generated more email addresses per dollar than either (1) a long video with facts about effective giving or (2) a long video that explained how GWWC can help maximize charitable impact, the GWWC 'brand video.' On a per-dollar basis ‘Animal' audiences that were given animal-related cause videos performed among the best, both overall and in the most comparable trials. ‘Lookalike' audiences (those with a similar profile as current people engaging with GWWC) performed best overall, for both cause and non-cause videos. However, ‘Climate' and ‘Global Poverty' audiences basically underperformed the ‘Philanthropy' audience when presented videos ‘for their own causes.' The Animal-related cause video performed particularly poorly on the ‘Philanthropy' audience. Demographics were mostly not predictive of email addresses per dollar nor link clicks per dollar See our Quarto dynamic document linked here for more details, and ongoing analyses. Purpose and Interpretation of this Report One of the primary goals of the EAMT is to identify the most effective, scalable strategies for marketing EA. Our main approach is to test marketing and messaging themes in naturally-occurring settings (such as advertising campaigns on Facebook, YouTube, etc.), targeting large audiences, to determine which specific strategies work best in the most relevant contexts. In this report, we share key patterns and insights about the effectiveness of different marketing and messaging approaches used in GWWC's Effective Giving Guide Facebook Lead campaigns. The patterns we share here serve as a starting point to consider themes and hypotheses to test more rigorously in our ongoing research project. We are hoping for feedback and suggestions from the EA community on these trials and their implementation and analysis. We continue to conduct detailed analyses of this data. We'd like to get ideas from the community ...
Twin brothers Adam and David Moss have been harmonizing together since their days as kids trapped in their parents car, forced to listen to 60s folk and show tunes. As it turns out, they actually love this music, and now we benefit from it, courtesy of The Brother Brothers latest album, Cover to Cover. It's a love letter of sorts, dedicated to the music that has inspired them throughout their lives. Adam and David talk with What Difference Does It Make to detail the journey that led them to cover these classic pop and folk songs. We are a proud member of Pantheon Podcasts
Sure, the siblings Moss sound great together. And they do. And on their new album, Cover to Cover you get to hear their voices tackle some great songs from a variety of eras. We talked to Adam and David Moss about their voices, other brothers in music and what they fought to keep on the record.Cove to Cover is available right now wherever you get your music. For more information, check out the Brother Brothers website.
This episode's guest is David Moss, who performs with his twin brother, Adam, as The Brother Brothers. David introduces Al to Richard and Linda Thompson's first album, I Want to See the Bright Lights Tonight. David shares how he first became acquainted with the album and what is special about it, and he also talks about The Brother Brothers' new album, Cover to Cover, and the duo's upcoming plans.You can follow the Brother Brothers on Twitter at @thebrobros and on Instagram at @thebrotherbrothers. As David mentioned, he and Adam also have a website, where you can get tour information, videos and more...http://www.thebrotherbrothersmusic.com/.Al is on Twitter at @almelchiorBB, and this show has accounts on Twitter and Instagram at @youmealbum. Be sure to follow @youmealbum to find out in advance about upcoming guests and featured albums for this podcast.Al launched You, Me and An Album: The Newsletter earlier this year. You can subscribe for free to get Al's monthly posts, but paid subscriptions give you access to weekly posts and much more. Please consider trying a paid subscription as it also helps to support this podcast! https://youmealbum.substack.com/1:11 David joins the show1:26 David explains why he chose I Want to See the Bright Lights Tonight1:55 David remembers the exact moment that the album took on special meaning for him4:30 David talks about the elements of the album that set it apartDiscussion of specific tracks:6:13 Calvary Cross14:57 The End of the Rainbow18:52 The Little Beggar Girl20:44 What makes this a seminal folk rock album?24:49 David and Al appreciate Linda Thompson's vocal versatility26:03 I Want to See the Bright Lights Tonight31:46 The Great Valerio35:41 David explains why the Brother Brothers made a covers album37:57 David tells us about what's coming up for the Brother Brothers38:46 David recommends an additional album for us to listen toThe outro music is from the Brother Brothers' cover of Richard Thompson's "Waltzing's for Dreamers."
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: How many people have heard of effective altruism?, published by David Moss on May 20, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. This post reports the results of a survey we ran in April 2022 investigating how many people had heard of ‘effective altruism' in a large (n=6130) sample, weighted to be representative of the US general population. In subsequent posts in this series, we will be reporting on findings from this survey about where people first hear about effective altruism and how positive or negative people's impressions are of effective altruism. This survey replicates and extends a survey we ran in conjunction with CEA in early 2021, which focused only on US students. Because that survey was not representative, we think that these new results offer a significant advance in estimating how many people in the US population have heard of EA, and in particular sub-groups like students and even students at top-ranked universities. Summary After applying a number of checks (described below), we classified individuals as having heard of effective altruism using both a ‘permissive' standard and a more conservative ‘stringent' standard, based on their explanations of what they understand ‘effective altruism' to mean. We estimate that 6.7% of the US adult population have heard of effective altruism using our permissive standard and 2.6% according to our more stringent standard. We also identified a number of differences across groups: Men (7.6% permissive, 3.0% stringent) were more likely to have heard of effective altruism than women (5.8% permissive, 2.1% stringent) Among students specifically, we estimated 7% had heard of EA (according to a permissive standard) and 2.8% (according to the stringent standard). However, students from top-50 ranked universities seemed more likely to have heard of EA (7.9% permissive, 4.1% stringent). We also found that students at top 15 universities were even more likely to have heard of EA, though this was based on a small sample size. Younger (18-24) people seem somewhat less likely to have heard of effective altruism than older (25-44) people, though the pattern is complicated. The results nevertheless suggest that EA's skew towards younger people cannot simply be explained by higher rates of exposure. Higher levels of education were also strongly associated with being more likely to have heard of EA, with 11.7% of those with a graduate degree having heard of it (permissive standard) compared to 9.2% of college graduates and 3.7% of high school graduates. We also found sizable differences between the percentage of Republicans (4.3% permissive, 1.5% stringent) estimated to have heard of EA, compared to Democrats (7.2% permissive, 2.9% stringent) and Independents (4.3% permissive, 1.5% stringent). Humanities students (or graduates) seem more likely to have heard of EA than people from other areas of study. We estimated the percentages that had heard of various EA and EA-adjacent figures and organisations including: Peter Singer: 11.2% William MacAskill: 2.1% GiveWell: 7.8% Giving What We Can: 4.1% Open Philanthropy: 3.6% 80,000 Hours: 1.3% Why it matters how many people have heard of EA Knowing how many people have already encountered EA is potentially relevant to assessing how far we should scale up (or scale down) outreach efforts. This may apply to particular target groups (e.g. students at top universities), as well as the total population. Knowing how the number of people who have encountered effective altruism differs across different groups could highlight who our outreach is missing. Our outreach could simply be failing to reach certain groups. Most people in the EA community do not seem to first hear about EA through particularly direct, targeted outreach (only 7.7% first hear from an EA group, for example), but rather through mo...
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Should you do an economics PhD (or master's)?, published by david reinstein on April 19, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. David Reinstein: all opinions are mine unless noted. Extensive input from Phil Trammell and an Anonymous Contributor (quoted extensively, henceforth “AC”). Thanks to Pete Wildeford and David Moss for feedback. I intend to continue to update and improve this post in situ (or linking out a ‘permanently updated' version). Overview and some takeaways Should I do an economics PhD (or master's)'? What do I need to learn to work at an EA org? How can I level up on this stuff and prove value? These were the most frequent questions I got at the 2022 EAGx Boston conference. I mainly discussed this with undergraduate students, but also with people at career pivot points.[1] My overall view, epistemic basis/confidence, key points Main ‘pros': Much of EA is based in economics, and economics speaks to most of the important cause areas and debates in EA, as well as to the important empirical questions. Conditional on going for a PhD, I believe economics will be one of the stronger choices for the sort of people reading this post. A PhD in economics, and much of the associated training (over ~2 years of coursework and ~3-5 years of ‘writing') helps you towards a range of career paths with potential for strong impact (and a comfortable life) both within and outside EA organizations. Being a PhD student in the right place and time (and mental state) can be very stimulating, productive, creative, and connection-building.[2] You are typically given a lot of freedom in the research phase, as long as your work meets the general approval and framework of your advisor(s) and what the gatekeepers think is important, credible and ‘is economics'. Typically, you don't have to pay for a PhD, you will get money to support yourself, and PhD stipends are often OK. Important considerations: Economics is broad (in its methods and focus-area paths). Often differences in approaches among economists (pure theory, applied econometrics, macro, etc.) are greater than the difference between some economists and some (e.g.) political scientists or psychologists. Important impact paths that an economics PhD may help with include: Applied work ‘informed by expertise and credibility', Deep work formally/mathematically addressing fundamental questions of global priorities and social welfare, Theoretical, computational, and empirical work considering markets and/or the global economy, informing (e.g.) animal welfare policies or the development of technology, Empirical work assessing the impact of interventions, or considering assessing human behavior, choices, attitudes and preferences. There are a range of relevant career paths Academia and academically-leaning think-tanks; doing EA-relevant research as well as potentially transforming academia and the scholarly debate ‘from the inside', Working in governments or NGOs (many require/prefer PhDs), Working at EA-aligned organizations like Rethink Priorities, Global Priorities Institute, Open Philanthropy, maybe MIRI . note a lot of differences across these, For-profit and entrepreneurial options; possibly impactful for out-of-the-bun thinkers/doers. Main ‘cons and caveats': For many/most paths you could learn most/all of the relevant skills and approaches, and background without getting a PhD,[3] In some key areas economics might not be as strong or relevant as other fields (statistics and data science for robust empirical work and predictions, decision science and cognitive science for AI alignment work), The economics PhD program makes you jump some time-consuming hoops that are likely not going to be relevant to your applied career path,[4] People around you will not mainly be value-aligned; beware value drift towards academic prestige an...
Have you ever heard two different teachings that obviously contradict each other? Like "God remembers our sins no more...until judgment day when they will be brought up against us." This is somewhat confusing - and there's a reason for that! Many things we are taught unfortunately contain a mixture of law and grace. This podcast is based on a fantastic post written by David Moss on the Facebook group Religion Free Fellowship. Join us as we share David's thoughts and ours! If you'd like to see more of this great stuff, here is the link for the Religion Free Fellowship page: https://www.facebook.com/groups/religionfreemovement/ --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/the-3/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/the-3/support
*The full podcast is available exclusively for Primordial Radio members via the website or via the Primordial app. Check it out here https://primordialradio.com/* We're aware that we *may* have missed a few FAMily Album podcasts. More than a few, in fact. The last one was Ep53 ffs! Blame Dewsbury. Every week on the afternoon show, Dews plays an album in full, chosen by a member of the the PRFam, who then joins him on-air to have a chat about it. This podcast is the recording of those chats, minus the music. In ep60 of the podcast Dews is joined by David Moss of the PRFam to talk about his love of southern rock, why freebird is halfway to being the greatest song ever, and why the quiet benefits of your son's electric drums are completely negated when he gets a full kit.
Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: What questions relevant to EA could be answered by surveying the public?, published by David Moss on January 13, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Examples of questions that have previously been raised on the Forum, which seem like they could be answered (or significantly informed) by surveys of the general public include: Should we rebrand "effective altruism"? How do people respond to the term "effective altruism"? How many people in different populations have heard of "effective altruism"? Are younger people more future-oriented (or longtermist)? How does receptiveness to effective altruism vary with age? Are high school students more or less receptive to EA than undergraduates? Note that by referring to "the public" I mostly intend to rule out things like surveying effective altruists or elite policy-makers. I don't intend to rule out things like surveying current students or highly educated young professionals. Surveying graduates of elite universities would be an edge case. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org.
The Brother Brothers are rooted in sibling harmony provided by twin brothers Adam and David Moss. Adam Moss would prefer if you didn't get really weird about twin stuff: “We sometimes find being twins a barrier to conversing and getting to know people quickly. It's an easy thing for people to fixate on," he says. Truthfully there is PLENTY to discuss with Adam, who plays several instruments, but started on the violin. His focus was on classical, but he studied Klezmer and sometimes incorporates it into his music. Adam talks about what it means to include his Jewish heritage into his songs. While attending the University of Illinois in Urbana-Champaign, Adam and David started to realize that the classical world was not for them. Adam joined a bluegrass band and eventually moved to Austin, Texas to be closer to the community that surrounded the Kerrville Folk Fest, which was an integral part in his development as a roots player. David also moved to Austin, but the brothers didn't start their project together until they relocated to Brooklyn. There, they discovered they were ready, musically and personally ready, to be in a band together. Originally, The Brother Brothers did not write together, but this is something that has changed with their new record, Calle Lily. Adam talks about writing with David has impacted his process. The album is filled with comfort, warm sincerity and an earnestness that comes off in a very cool and authentic way. I'd definitely describe Adam's temperament as such and get his opinion on that observation as well. If we're not gonna talk about twin stuff, the second most awkward thing you could discuss is how you are as cool as you are. Adam pulls it off great. Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
On today's special hockey edition podcast, Michael Spath interviews David Moss, a former Michigan hockey player that spent nine years in the NHL and one year playing in Switzerland before transitioning into a business owner with his wife, Erinn, and a sales rep. We talk about his college and pro careers, what he thinks of the Wolverines' current team, and how he and Erinn have adapted during the economic climate of COVID-19.