Podcasts about business economists

THE STR GAME HAS CHANGED AND THE DATA PROVES IT.AirDNA's Chief Economist Jamie Lane joins the show to break down what's actually happening behind the scenes in the short-term rental market......and why most hosts are missing the shift.Inside this episode:The real story behind occupancy, rates, and guest demand in 2024Why “big box” managers are losing properties fastThe key numbers top investors are watching (and how to use them)How AirDNA's new tools are reshaping STR deal analysisThe warning signs for hosts scaling past 50 units and what breaks firstWhy small, well-managed portfolios are quietly outperforming everyoneYou'll also hear how Jamie's team is using AI and custom comps to bring never-before-seen clarity to STR investing......and what you can do to stay ahead.Listen now to future-proof your portfolio before the data leaves you behind.03:30 – Supply Shock: Why New STR Listings Are Surging Nationwide07:00 – Booking Behavior: How Travelers Are Changing Their Habits10:00 – Revenue Realities: The Decline in ADR and Occupancy Rates13:30 – Market Saturation: Top Cities Facing Over-Supply Pressures17:00 – Strategic Advantage: How to Win in Competitive Markets21:00 – Data-Backed Decisions: Using AirDNA to Stay Ahead24:00 – The Investor Shift: From Arbitrage to Ownership Models27:00 – Resilience & Risk: Preparing for Softening Demand Cycles30:00 – Long-Term Outlook: What Smart Operators Are Doing NextGuest Bio:Jamie Lane is Vice President of Research for AirDNA, a short-term rental data & analytics company. He is responsible for data analysis, thought leadership, and leveraging advanced analytical techniques to provide new insights into short-term rental supply, demand, and pricing trends. He has been published in academic and professional journals and regularly speaks at lodging industry forums.Prior to AirDNA, Jamie spent 10 years as an economist at CBRE, leading research, forecasting and data intelligence teams to support client analysis. Mr. Lane is an active member of the National Association of Business Economists and the Atlanta Economics Club. Jamie holds a B.S. in Economics from the University of Georgia and an M.S. in Business Economics from Georgia State University.Guest Link:https://www.linkedin.com/in/jamiehlaneGet FREE Access to our Community and Weekly Trainings:https://group.strsecrets.com

THE STR GAME HAS CHANGED AND THE DATA PROVES IT.AirDNA's Chief Economist Jamie Lane joins the show to break down what's actually happening behind the scenes in the short-term rental market......and why most hosts are missing the shift.Inside this episode:The real story behind occupancy, rates, and guest demand in 2024Why “big box” managers are losing properties fastThe key numbers top investors are watching (and how to use them)How AirDNA's new tools are reshaping STR deal analysisThe warning signs for hosts scaling past 50 units and what breaks firstWhy small, well-managed portfolios are quietly outperforming everyoneYou'll also hear how Jamie's team is using AI and custom comps to bring never-before-seen clarity to STR investing......and what you can do to stay ahead.Listen now to future-proof your portfolio before the data leaves you behind.03:30 – Supply Shock: Why New STR Listings Are Surging Nationwide07:00 – Booking Behavior: How Travelers Are Changing Their Habits10:00 – Revenue Realities: The Decline in ADR and Occupancy Rates13:30 – Market Saturation: Top Cities Facing Over-Supply Pressures17:00 – Strategic Advantage: How to Win in Competitive Markets21:00 – Data-Backed Decisions: Using AirDNA to Stay Ahead24:00 – The Investor Shift: From Arbitrage to Ownership Models27:00 – Resilience & Risk: Preparing for Softening Demand Cycles30:00 – Long-Term Outlook: What Smart Operators Are Doing NextGuest Bio:Jamie Lane is Vice President of Research for AirDNA, a short-term rental data & analytics company. He is responsible for data analysis, thought leadership, and leveraging advanced analytical techniques to provide new insights into short-term rental supply, demand, and pricing trends. He has been published in academic and professional journals and regularly speaks at lodging industry forums.Prior to AirDNA, Jamie spent 10 years as an economist at CBRE, leading research, forecasting and data intelligence teams to support client analysis. Mr. Lane is an active member of the National Association of Business Economists and the Atlanta Economics Club. Jamie holds a B.S. in Economics from the University of Georgia and an M.S. in Business Economics from Georgia State University.Guest Link:https://www.linkedin.com/in/jamiehlaneGet FREE Access to our Community and Weekly Trainings:https://group.strsecrets.com

Julia Coronado is the president and founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, a Wall Street research firm. Julia was also recently the president of the National Association of Business Economists, and she has served as an economist on Wall Street and at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Julia is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and she rejoins the podcast to talk about the prospects of a productivity surge, the Fed's journey to a soft landing, the state of the commercial real estate market, and more.   Transcript for this week's episode.   Julia's Twitter: @jc_econ Julia's MacroPolicy Perspectives profile   David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings   Join the Macro Musings mailing list! Check out our Macro Musings merch!

Recession talks are receding and the the prospects of a soft landing are getting bigger, at least according to a new forecast by the National Association for Business Economics. But while the pros are betting the economy gets better and better this year, what about everyday folks? Then, we’ll pick up our discussion with model, entrepreneur and activist Bethann Hardison about the fits and starts of diversity in the fashion industry.

Recession talks are receding and the the prospects of a soft landing are getting bigger, at least according to a new forecast by the National Association for Business Economics. But while the pros are betting the economy gets better and better this year, what about everyday folks? Then, we’ll pick up our discussion with model, entrepreneur and activist Bethann Hardison about the fits and starts of diversity in the fashion industry.

AP correspondent Donna Warder reports on what some experts are saying about the economy.

BUSINESS: Economists expect slower Nov inflation | December 4, 2023Subscribe to The Manila Times Channel - https://tmt.ph/YTSubscribe Visit our website at https://www.manilatimes.net Follow us: Facebook - https://tmt.ph/facebook Instagram - https://tmt.ph/instagram Twitter - https://tmt.ph/twitter DailyMotion - https://tmt.ph/dailymotion Subscribe to our Digital Edition - https://tmt.ph/digital Check out our Podcasts: Spotify - https://tmt.ph/spotify Apple Podcasts - https://tmt.ph/applepodcasts Amazon Music - https://tmt.ph/amazonmusic Deezer: https://tmt.ph/deezer Stitcher: https://tmt.ph/stitcherTune In: https://tmt.ph/tunein #TheManilaTimes Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This episode of “A look into the Crystal Ball on the Future of Finance,” features Dong He, Deputy Director, Monetary & Capital Markets Department at the IMF , and Stuart Mackintosh, Executive Director of THE GROUP OF 30. Join us in learning what makes tokenization of central bank money (CBDC) special. How will it change the landscape of financial markets, cross-border payments and capital flows? How can we fully reap the benefits of tokenization and avoid the pitfalls/risks?Dong He, Deputy Director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department (MCM), INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND Dong has oversight responsibility for MCM's work on digital currencies and fintech. He joined MCM in October 2014 and led MCM's work on global financial stability analysis, monetary and macroprudential policies, and technical assistance on central bank operations. Dong holds a doctorate in economics from the University of Cambridge. He started his career in 1993 when he joined the World Bank through the Young Professionals Program. He was a staff member of the World Bank during 1993-1998, of the IMF during 1998-2004, and of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) during 2004-2014. At the HKMA, he was Executive Director responsible for directing research and policy advice on issues relating to the maintenance of monetary and financial stability and the development of financial markets. He was also Director of the Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. Dong has been an active member of the global central banking community and a regular participant in international meetings of central banks and regulatory agencies. He has published extensively on macroeconomic and financial market issues.Dr. Stuart P. M. Mackintosh, Executive Director, GROUP OF 30Stuart P.M. Mackintosh is the Executive Director of the Group of Thirty an international financial think tank comprised senior figures from central banking, the financial sector, and academia.  His research focus centers on climate change, macroeconomic and systemic risks, global governance issues, and the international political economy.Dr. Mackintosh has served as President of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), the largest professional organization of economists in the United States. He is an elected member of the Conference of Business Economists, comprised of the leading economists in North America. He is a certified Business Economist.Dr. Mackintosh has a B.A. and Ph.D. from Newcastle University and a M.Sc. from the University of Edinburgh. In 2018 Dr. Mackintosh was appointed a non-resident Visiting Fellow at Newcastle University.Thanks for listening! Please be sure to check us out at www.eaccny.com or email membership@eaccny.com to learn more!

Je reçois L'honorable Clément Gignac. M. Gignac est un économiste avec plus de 35 années d'expérience dans les secteurs privé et public. Il fût nommé comme Sénateur le 29 juillet 2021. De 2012 jusqu'à sa nomination en tant que Sénateur il occupait le poste de vice-président principal et économiste en chef chez iA Groupe financier. Il a agi à titre de porte-parole du Groupe pour des questions économiques et a assumé la présidence du comité d'allocation des actifs. Il fût également responsable de la gestion des fonds diversifiés, dont l'actif excédait cinq milliards de dollars. Avant de se joindre à iA Groupe financier, il a agi en tant que conseiller économique et stratège au sein d'importantes institutions financières, y compris à titre de vice-président et d'économiste en chef pour la Financière Banque Nationale de 2000 à 2008. En 2009, il fût élu député à l'Assemblée nationale du Québec. Il a été nommé ministre du Développement économique, de l'Innovation et de l'Exportation au sein du gouvernement du Québec et a ensuite servi comme ministre des Ressources naturelles et de la Faune de 2011 à 2012. Sur la scène internationale, il a été président du comité sur la compétitivité du Forum économique mondial en 2012. Il est aussi un membre permanent de la Conference of Business Economists de Washington, un groupe d'économistes mondiaux émérites. Ce dernier est récipiendaire de la Médaille Gloire de l'Escolle de l'Université Laval et membre honoraire de l'Association des économistes québécois, une distinction prestigieuse remise à seulement 10 personnes depuis son lancement en 1992. Sénateur Gignac, titulaire d'un baccalauréat et d'une maîtrise en économie de l'Université Laval, est marié et père de trois enfants et fièrement grand-papa de cinq petits-enfants.

This week we have a very special guest for our “Global Thinking” Podcast. Forstrong's Omar Rayes sits down for a second time with the honorable Clément Gignac.   Clément has had a long and distinguished career in both the public and private sectors. On the international scene, he chaired in 2012 the Global agenda council on competitiveness (a division of the World Economic Forum). He is also an associate member of the Conference of Business Economists, a group of distinguished global economists based in Washington, D.C. He now serves as a member of the Senate of Canada.   From 2012 until his recent nomination as an independent Senator, Mr. Gignac held the position of Chief Economist at iA Financial Group. He was the Group's spokesperson on economic matters and chaired the Asset Allocation Committee. Prior to joining iA Financial Group, Mr. Gignac worked as an economist and strategist for major financial institutions, including as Chief Economist for National Bank Financial from 2000 to 2008.   Clément is also a long-time friend of the firm and has worked closely with our investment management team in the past.   In this video, Omar and Clément discuss the recent FED rate hike, the collapse of SVB Bank, and key macroeconomic factors including inflation and the prospect for a recession.

Cette semaine, nous avons un invité très spécial pour notre podcast "Global Thinking". Omar Rayes de Forstrong s'assoit une deuxième fois avec l'Honorable Clément Gignac.   Clément a eu une longue et brillante carrière dans les secteurs public et privé. Sur la scène internationale, il a présidé en 2012 le Conseil de l'agenda mondial sur la compétitivité (division du Forum économique mondial). Il est également membre associé de la Conference of Business Economists, un groupe d'éminents économistes mondiaux basé à Washington, D.C. Il est maintenant membre du Sénat du Canada.   De 2012 jusqu'à sa récente nomination à titre de sénateur indépendant, M. Gignac a occupé le poste d'économiste en chef chez iA Groupe financier. Il était le porte-parole du Groupe sur les questions économiques et présidait le Comité d'Allocation d'Actifs. Avant de se joindre à iA Groupe financier, M. Gignac a travaillé comme économiste et stratège pour de grandes institutions financières, notamment comme économiste en chef pour la Financière Banque Nationale de 2000 à 2008.   Clément est également un ami de longue date de la firme et a travaillé en étroite collaboration avec notre équipe de gestion de placements dans le passé.   Dans cette vidéo, Omar et Clément discutent de la récente hausse des taux de la FED, de l'effondrement de la banque SVB et des principaux facteurs macroéconomiques, notamment l'inflation et la perspective d'une récession.

This episode of “A look into the Crystal Ball on the Future of Finance,” features Bill Rhodes, Former Chairman & CEO of CITIBANK, and current President & CEO of WILLIAM R. RHODES GLOBAL ADVISORS, and Dr. Stuart P.M. Mackintosh, Executive Director of the GROUP OF THIRTY. Their discussion centers around the plan for Ukrainian reconstruction, while the War is still raging, and who, in the end, will work with Ukraine to guide the way through this daunting project. What are the complexities of developing a reconstruction plan for Ukraine? How can one assess the damage, both, in terms of human cost, and the cost to rebuild the Ukrainian economy? William R. Rhodes, Former Chairman & CEO, Citibank, and President & CEO, William R. Rhodes Global AdvisorsMr. Rhodes gained a reputation for international financial diplomacy in the 1980s as a result of his leadership in helping manage the external-debt crises that involved developing nations and their creditors worldwide. During that period and in the 1990s, he headed the advisory committees of international banks that negotiated debt-restructuring agreements for Argentina, Brazil, Jamaica, Mexico, Peru, the Republic of Korea, and Uruguay. He has since served as a trusted advisor to governments, financial officials and corporations worldwide.He has received decorations and honors from various governments and institutions in recognition of his contributions to international banking and finance.Dr. Stuart P. M. Mackintosh, Executive Director, GROUP OF 30Stuart P.M. Mackintosh is the Executive Director of the Group of Thirty an international financial think tank comprised senior figures from central banking, the financial sector, and academia.  His research focus centers on climate change, macroeconomic and systemic risks, global governance issues, and the international political economy.Dr. Mackintosh has served as President of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), the largest professional organization of economists in the United States. He is an elected member of the Conference of Business Economists, comprised of the leading economists in North America. He is a certified Business Economist.Dr. Mackintosh has a B.A. and Ph.D. from Newcastle University and a M.Sc. from the University of Edinburgh. In 2018 Dr. Mackintosh was appointed a non-resident Visiting Fellow at Newcastle University.Thanks for listening! Please be sure to check us out at www.eaccny.com or email membership@eaccny.com to learn more!

AP correspondent Donna Warder reports on a survey of economists about a recession.

This episode of “A look into the Crystal Ball on the Future of Finance,” features Bill Rhodes, Former Chairman & CEO of CITIBANK, and current President & CEO of WILLIAM R. RHODES GLOBAL ADVISORS, and Dr. Stuart P.M. Mackintosh, Executive Director of the GROUP OF THIRTY. They will be discussing the Power of Sanctions. Can the use of Sanctions in lieu of Military action really make a difference? If so, will the difference be significant enough? William R. Rhodes, Former Chairman & CEO, Citibank, and President & CEO, William R. Rhodes Global AdvisorsMr. Rhodes gained a reputation for international financial diplomacy in the 1980s as a result of his leadership in helping manage the external-debt crises that involved developing nations and their creditors worldwide. During that period and in the 1990s, he headed the advisory committees of international banks that negotiated debt-restructuring agreements for Argentina, Brazil, Jamaica, Mexico, Peru, the Republic of Korea, and Uruguay. He has since served as a trusted advisor to governments, financial officials and corporations worldwide.He has received decorations and honors from various governments and institutions in recognition of his contributions to international banking and finance.Dr. Stuart P. M. Mackintosh, Executive Director, GROUP OF 30Stuart P.M. Mackintosh is the Executive Director of the Group of Thirty an international financial think tank comprised senior figures from central banking, the financial sector, and academia.  His research focus centers on climate change, macroeconomic and systemic risks, global governance issues, and the international political economy.Dr. Mackintosh has served as President of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), the largest professional organization of economists in the United States. He is an elected member of the Conference of Business Economists, comprised of the leading economists in North America. He is a certified Business Economist.Dr. Mackintosh has a B.A. and Ph.D. from Newcastle University and a M.Sc. from the University of Edinburgh. In 2018 Dr. Mackintosh was appointed a non-resident Visiting Fellow at Newcastle University.

While there continues to be a lot of market chatter surrounding recession risks and the U.S. Treasury yield curve, there are several key factors that make the most recent dip into inversion different. Chief Global Economist Seth Carpenter and Head of U.S. Interest Rate Strategy Guneet Dhingra discuss.-----Transcript-----Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Economist, Guneet Dhingra: and I'm Guneet Dhingra, Head of U.S. Interest Rate Strategy. Seth Carpenter: And on this episode of Thoughts on the Market, we're going to be discussing the sometimes inconsistent signals of economic recession and what investors should be watching. It's Thursday, April 14th at 10 a.m. in New York. Seth Carpenter: All right, Guneet, as I think most listeners probably know by now, there's a lot of market chatter about recession risks. However, if you look just at the hard data in the United States, I think it's clear that the U.S. economy right now is actually quite strong. If you look at the last jobs report, we had almost 450,000 new jobs created in the month of March. And between that, the strength of the economy right now and the multi-decade highs in inflation, the Federal Reserve is ready to go, starting to tighten monetary policy by raising short term interest rates and running off its balance sheet. That said, every time short term interest rates start to rise, they rise more than longer term interest rates do, and we get a flattening in the yield curve. The yield curve flattened so much recently that it actually inverted briefly where 2's were higher than 10's in yield. And as we've talked about before on this very podcast, there has been historically a signal from an inverted 2s10s curve to a recession probability, rising and rising and rising. Some of the work you've been doing recently, I think you've argued very eloquently, that this time is different. Can you walk me through why this time is different? Guneet Dhingra: Yeah, absolutely. I mean, right now you cannot have a conversation with investors without discussing yield curve inversion and the associated recession risks. So I think the way I've been framing it, this time is different because of two particular reasons that haven't been always true. The first one is the yield curve today is artificially very distorted by a multitude of factors. The number one and the most obvious one is the massive amounts of central bank bond buying from the Fed, from the ECB, from the Bank of Japan over the last few years. And so that puts a lot of flattening pressure on the curve, which makes it appear that the curve is too flat, whereas in practice it's just the residual effect of how central banks have affected the yield curve. On top of that, what's also happening is the Fed is obviously trying to address the inflation risk and they are looking to make policy restrictive in the next couple of years. So take the dot plot for instance, right, at the March meeting the Fed gave us a dot plot where the median participant expects the Fed funds rate to get to close to 3% in 2023, and the neutral rate that they see for the economy is close to 2.5%. So in essence, the Fed is telegraphing a form of inversion and ultimately the markets are mimicking what the Fed is telling them, which naturally leads to some curve inversion. So overall, I would say a combination of artificially flattening forces, a restrictive fed, just means that 2s10s curve today is not the macro signal it used to be. Seth Carpenter: Got it, got it, so that helps and that squares things, I think, with the way we on the economics team are looking at it. Because in our baseline forecast, there is not a recession in the US. But if that's right, and if we end up avoiding a recession, you've got a bunch of clients, we've got a bunch of clients who are trying to make trades in a market. What are you telling investors that they should be doing, how do you trade in an environment with an inverted curve? Guneet Dhingra: Right. So I think the way I talk to investors about this issue is the 2s10s curve merely inverting is not the signal used to be, which means for the yield curve to be predictive for a recession this time, the level threshold is much lower. So, for instance, you can imagine an economy where 2s10s curve inverting to minus 50 or minus 75 is the real true signal for a slowdown ahead and a recession ahead. And so what I tell investors today is do not get concerned about the yield curve getting to 0 basis points, there's a lot more room for the yield curve to keep inverting. And the target you should have for yield curve flattening trade should be more like minus 50 or minus 75. Seth Carpenter: Got it. That that's a very big difference, very far away from where we are now. And in fact, as I mentioned earlier, the inversion that we did see was somewhat short lived and we've actually had a bit of a steepening off the back of it. I guess one question, and this is something that you've also written about is, what's driving that tightening? Is it because the Fed is going to be unwinding its balance sheet, doing so-called quantitative tightening. If the quantitative easing that they were doing flattened the curve, are you seeing the quantitative tightening is the thing that's going to be steepening the curve? Guneet Dhingra: I think instinctively, many investors think tightening is the opposite of easing, so that must mean quantitative tightening is the opposite of quantitative easing. And that's why I think a big fallacy lies in how people are simplifying the understanding of QT. I think the reality is quantitative tightening is perhaps not the perfect term for what the Fed is going to do next. The main thing to understand here is when the Fed does QE, the Fed chooses which part of the Treasury curve are they going to target, and that ultimately decides whether the curve will steepen or flatten. However, in this case, it's the U.S. Treasury, which is going to decide once the Fed stops reinvesting, how will the U.S. Treasury respond by increasing supply in the front end or the back end? And that decides whether the yield curve should steepen or flatten, quite the opposite from QE where the Fed decides. So the way I sort of summarize this to people is QT is not the opposite of QE, asset sales are. So Seth, you spent 15 years working at the Fed. Do you think the FOMC cares about an inverted curve? Seth Carpenter: I would not say that the core of the FOMC cares about an inverted curve the same way that the average market participant does. I think it's undeniable that the Fed is aware of all of the research, all of the history, all of the correlation between an inverted curve and a recession. But I don't think it's a dispositive signal. And by that what I mean is, if we got to the point where the 2s10s curve were pancake flat, it was a zero or even slightly inverted, but if at the same time we were still getting 400-500,000 nonfarm payrolls per month, I think then that signal from the yield curve would get dismissed against the evidence that the economy is very, very strong. So I think an inverted curve is the sort of thing that would cause the Fed to double check their math in some sense. But it's not going to be the signal by itself. And then, going back to what you had said earlier about the dot plot. I think that's very important. What the Fed is trying to do is engineer a so-called soft landing. That is, they are trying to tighten policy so that the economy slows a lot, but not too much. So that the inflationary pressures that we see start to abate. How would they do that? Well, in part, they'd be raising the short term interest rate. They'd be raising it above their own estimate of neutral. And as you pointed out, in their last dot plot they said they'll go up to maybe 3% before eventually coming back down to 2.5%. So achieving that soft landing is almost surely going to end up creating an inverted yield curve anyway. Guneet Dhingra: Yeah, so you talk about the Fed engineering a soft landing. Have they successfully done it in the past? And what makes you think that they can do it this time? Seth Carpenter: So two very, very important questions. The answer to the first one, have they done it in the past, is a bit in the eye of the beholder. If you listen to Chair Powell a couple of weeks ago, when he gave a speech at the National Association of Business Economists conference, he gave at least three different examples where he says historically the Fed has achieved a soft landing. If I was going to point to a soft landing, I would look at 1994 to 1995. The economy did slow pretty dramatically after the Fed had hiked rates fairly aggressively, and then the Fed paused the hiking and eventually reversed course, and the economic expansion continued. I think you could consider that to be a soft landing. The big difference this time is that this is the first rate hiking cycle since the 1970s where the Fed is actively trying to bring inflation down. Whereas the more recent cycles have been the Fed trying to keep inflation from rising above their target. So bringing it down as opposed to keeping it down are two very different things. So the way I like to think about it is the Fed's got a very difficult job. Can they do it? Yes, I absolutely think they can do it. And part of what gives me hope is the episode in late 2018 to early 2019, the last time the Fed was hiking, running off the balance sheet, raising short term interest rates. We had that period where the economy slowed, risk markets cracked. And what did the Fed do? They reversed course. Chair Powell has taken to using the word nimble a lot recently. I think if they can be that responsive to conditions, it increases the chances that they pull it off. But it's going to be difficult. Seth Carpenter: Well Guneet, I think we would both agree that we don't think an inverted yield curve is signaling a recession, but that doesn't mean that one can't happen. The world is an uncertain place, but thanks for joining us and taking the time to talk. Guneet Dhingra: Absolutely. Great speaking to you Seth. Seth Carpenter: And as a reminder, if you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please take a moment to rate and review us on the Apple Podcasts app. It helps more people to find the show.

This episode of “A look into the Crystal Ball on the Future of Finance,” features Bill Rhodes, Former Chairman & CEO of CITIBANK, and current President & CEO of WILLIAM R. RHODES GLOBAL ADVISORS, and Dr. Stuart P.M. Mackintosh, Executive Director of the GROUP OF THIRTY. Specifically, this episode covers the power and influence of central banks, both on the Economy, as well as, on foreign policy. This includes the concerted action by the global financial markets to put pressure on Russia over its attack on Ukraine, and the role and options that central banks have to enforce peace.William R. Rhodes, Former Chairman & CEO, Citibank, and President & CEO, William R. Rhodes Global AdvisorsMr. Rhodes gained a reputation for international financial diplomacy in the 1980s as a result of his leadership in helping manage the external-debt crises that involved developing nations and their creditors worldwide. During that period and in the 1990s, he headed the advisory committees of international banks that negotiated debt-restructuring agreements for Argentina, Brazil, Jamaica, Mexico, Peru, the Republic of Korea, and Uruguay. He has since served as a trusted advisor to governments, financial officials and corporations worldwide.He has received decorations and honors from various governments and institutions in recognition of his contributions to international banking and finance.Dr. Stuart P. M. Mackintosh, Executive Director, GROUP OF 30Stuart P.M. Mackintosh is the Executive Director of the Group of Thirty an international financial think tank comprised senior figures from central banking, the financial sector, and academia.  His research focus centers on climate change, macroeconomic and systemic risks, global governance issues, and the international political economy.Dr. Mackintosh has served as President of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), the largest professional organization of economists in the United States. He is an elected member of the Conference of Business Economists, comprised of the leading economists in North America. He is a certified Business Economist.Dr. Mackintosh has a B.A. and Ph.D. from Newcastle University and a M.Sc. from the University of Edinburgh. In 2018 Dr. Mackintosh was appointed a non-resident Visiting Fellow at Newcastle University.In 2015 Routledge published The Redesign of the Global Financial Architecture: The Return of State Authority, in hardback and paperback. A second edition of The Redesign came out in 2020. In September his next book Climate Crisis Economics will be released. Dr. Mackintosh writes widely, and he speaks often to diverse audiences explaining complex topics in a clear and concise manner.

In this episode of The Chris and Andre Show, the guys talk about "primarying" a sitting president and Joe Manchin's ongoing lies, dive into business to understand how inflation is having a greater impact on the poor while Apple is paying top-dollar for talent, make fun of the Missouri governor for thinking source code is a crime and compare bluetooth keyboards, address the real issue with how the media is covering the Antonio Brown situation, and give their reactions and predictions to a bunch of Pop Culture, including The Matrix Resurrections, CW/DC shows, Andrew Garfield and Spider-Man, Morbius, and The Book of Boba Fett. (00:00:00) Intros - The guys are back and ready to kick things off on their 2022 edition of The Chris and Andre Show! (00:02:26) Politics - The guys try to understand why some progressives are considering primarying President Biden in 2024 (https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/01/progressives-2024-primary-challenge-526299 ), discuss the ugly history of New Year's for parts of America (https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-ugly-history-of-new-years-is-too-real-for-white-republicans), laugh with a former West Virginia state senator as he tears Joe Manchin a new one (https://www.wtrf.com/news/local-news/former-west-virginia-state-senator-texts-manchin-you-are-caught-being-paid-off-joe/), wonder how Republicans in North Carolina can sleep at night with their continued gerrymandering, and discuss the “National Divorce” idea being thrown around by Marjorie Taylor Greene. (00:40:58) Business - Economists are warning of inflation inequality that will hit poor people much harder than anyone else (https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/29/economists-warn-of-inflation-inequality-in-2022.html), meanwhile Apple is willing to pay top-dollar to keep top-talent from leaving (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-28/apple-pays-unusual-180-000-bonuses-to-retain-engineering-talent). (01:01:56) Technology - The governor of Missouri doesn't understand how the internet works and wants to arrest a journalist who spotted a major security breach on their website (https://www.theverge.com/2021/12/31/22861188/missouri-governor-mike-parson-hack-website-source-code), Andre admits defeat in his battle against Docker (https://youtu.be/DW81Pj-uOQI), and the guys share their likes and dislikes about their current Bluetooth keyboards. (01:20:21) Sports - Chris gets real for a minute and says that everyone is missing the point on the Antonio Brown situation (https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2022/01/05/antonio-brown-tampa-bay-bucs-released/). (01:37:29) Pop Culture - Everybody saw the Matrix Resurrections this weekend and no one is hesitating to share their critical thoughts on the project, then they pivot to discussing why CW shows seem to keep getting worse (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4u1x6wxar0w), whether or not Andrew Garfield should return for TASM 3 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XeAis4Dh1BQ), the fact that Morbius is delayed (and whether or not it can be good), and close things out with The Book of Boba Fett.

While the initial economic shocks of the COVID-19 pandemic have subsided, the lockdowns and economic restructuring which resulted have yielded to worldwide supply-chain deficiencies, slower-than-expected economic growth, and a strong sense of uncertainty and unease in the world of business. Despite all this, forecasts point to continued economic growth and labor market recovery and many economists are optimistic about the immediate future. On this episode of Common Sense Digest two of the leading authors and producers of the University of Colorado's annual Business Economic Outlook report, Brian Lewandowski and Dr. Rich Wobbekind join Chairman and Host Earl Wright to discuss the report's publication, its findings, and its intent to “provide...professionals across nearly every industry in the state with a forecast of Colorado's economy by sector.” Thank you for listening to Common Sense Digest. Please rate, review, and subscribe on your favorite podcatcher. All of our podcasts can be found here. Brian Lewandowski is the Executive Director of the Business Research Division at the Leeds School of Business, University of Colorado Boulder. Brian provides regional business and economic information and education, including economic and revenue forecasts, policy studies, economic impact analyses, and data workshops. Brian has 13 years' experience conducting economic studies at CU Boulder. Prior to CU, he worked in both the private sector and government. He is past-president of the Denver Association of Business Economists. Richard L. Wobbekind is Associate Dean for Business & Government Relations, Senior Economist and Faculty Director of the Business Research Division and at the University of Colorado Boulder. He joined the faculty at the Leeds School of Business in 1985, and has served as an Associate Dean since 2000. As Faculty Director of the Business Research Division his responsibilities include developing an annual consensus forecast of the Colorado economy and performing various economic impact assessments of the Colorado economy. Wobbekind also produces the quarterly Leeds Business Confidence Index for Colorado. Rich is the past president of the National Association for Business Economics.

This episode of “A look into the Crystal Ball on the Future of Finance,” features William "Bill" Rhodes, Former Chairman & CEO of CITIBANK, and current President & CEO of WILLIAM R. RHODES GLOBAL ADVISORS, and Dr. Stuart P.M. Mackintosh, Executive Director of the GROUP OF THIRTY. In this high-level conversation, you will hear about the everchanging banking culture & conduct landscape on both sides of the Atlantic, and how financial institutions must adapt to incorporate new challenges, such as climate change, crypto, and digital currencies, in their culture & conduct operations.William R. Rhodes, Former Chairman & CEO, Citibank, and President & CEO, William R. Rhodes Global AdvisorsBill Rhodes is president and CEO of William R. Rhodes Global Advisors, LLC and professor-atlarge at Brown University. He is also a retired senior vice chairman and senior international officer of Citigroup and Citibank.Mr. Rhodes gained a reputation for international financial diplomacy in the 1980s as a result of his leadership in helping manage the external-debt crises that involved developing nations and their creditors worldwide. During that period and in the 1990s, he headed the advisory committees of international banks that negotiated debt-restructuring agreements for Argentina, Brazil, Jamaica, Mexico, Peru, the Republic of Korea, and Uruguay. He has since served as a trusted advisor to governments, financial officials and corporations worldwide. He has received decorations and honors from various governments and institutions in recognition of his contributions to international banking and finance.Dr. Stuart P. M. Mackintosh, Executive Director, GROUP OF 30Stuart P.M. Mackintosh is the Executive Director of the Group of Thirty an international financial think tank comprised senior figures from central banking, the financial sector, and academia.  His research focus centers on climate change, macroeconomic and systemic risks, global governance issues, and the international political economy.Dr. Mackintosh has served as President of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), the largest professional organization of economists in the United States. He is an elected member of the Conference of Business Economists, comprised of the leading economists in North America. He is a certified Business Economist.Dr. Mackintosh has a B.A. and Ph.D. from Newcastle University and a M.Sc. from the University of Edinburgh. In 2018 Dr. Mackintosh was appointed a non-resident Visiting Fellow at Newcastle University.In 2015 Routledge published The Redesign of the Global Financial Architecture: The Return of State Authority, in hardback and paperback. A second edition of The Redesign came out in 2020. In September his next book Climate Crisis Economics will be released. Dr. Mackintosh writes widely, and he speaks often to diverse audiences explaining complex topics in a clear and concise manner.When out of the office, Dr. Mackintosh can most often be found on his road or mountain bike.

Economists expect 6% inflation in Q4, survey finds; Saudi Arabia raises oil prices; U.S. gasoline prices edge lower, in first decline in 14 weeks, Lundberg Survey finds - December 6, 2021

Chief Economist for the National Association of Manufacturers, Chad Moutray joins Steve Bertrand on Chicago's Afternoon News to explain why business economists are less optimistic about next year’s growth. The two also discuss how worker shortages caused by the pandemic will contribute to sluggish growth. Follow Your Favorite Chicago’s Afternoon News Personalities on Twitter:Follow @SteveBertrand Follow @kpowell720 […]

Today's Flash Back Friday comes from Episode 399, originally published in August 2014. Bill Cheney is the Chief Economist at John Hancock Financial Services. He joins the podcast do discuss how job growth was affected by the weather this past winter and if investors are feeling positive or negative about the stock market and economy. Bill directs economic research for John Hancock Financial Services, the U.S. division of Toronto-based Manulife Financial Corporation. Based in Boston, he forecasts macro-economic and financial trends and analyzes the potential impact on the company’s individual business lines and investments.  Cheney is a member of the National Association of Business Economists. Cheney also talks about whether investors think it is a good time to: - buy a home  - purchase a big-ticket item - start a business Cheney wraps up the conversation by providing data on Americans being concerned about healthcare costs and the national debt. Website: www.JohnHancock.com

John Dunham returned to the Food Institute Podcast to take the economic pulse of the nation. Dunham takes a look at the current employment situation in the U.S. in the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, and what the future may look like for job creation. The conversation covers the prospects for grocery retailers and foodservice operators who are in the midst of an unusual winter. Additionally, the economic pulse episode discusses cryptocurrencies, stimulus payments, and more. Hosted By: Chris Campbell Recorded: Jan. 14, 2021 Join the Food Institute Today! More About John Dunham: John Dunham is the President of John Dunham & Associates. John specializes in the economics of how public policy issues affect products and services. He has conducted hundreds of studies on taxes and regulation. He is a regular commentator on U.S. economic conditions. His research has been published in a number of refereed journals including Economic Inquiry. Prior to starting his own firm, John was the senior U.S. economist with Philip Morris, producing research and information on key issues facing all of the company's divisions. Before this, John was a senior economist for the New York City Mayor's Office, the New York City Comptroller's Office, and the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey where he conducted the economic impact analysis of the World Trade Center. John received his M.A. in economics from the New School for Social Research and his MBA from Columbia University. He is a member of the American Economics Association and the National Association of Business Economists. To learn more about John Dunham and Associates, please visit: https://guerrillaeconomics.com/

As part of our "Inspiring TED Talks" series, spotlighting can't-miss TED Talks and their key takeaways, Dr. Jonathan H. Westover explores Tim Harford's famous 2011 TED Talk, "Trial, Error and the God Complex." See the video and details here: https://www.ted.com/talks/tim_harford_trial_error_and_the_god_complex?language=en.      Video Overview: "If the title of Tim Harford's TED Talk doesn't pique your interest, nothing will. Harford, an economics writer who studies complex systems, talks about the importance of trial and error in achieving success. Except he doesn't just “talk” about it, but presents the findings of his studies on complex systems. As the title suggests, Harford's talk centres on the concept of a God complex – refusing to admit the possibility of being wrong regardless of the complexity of the situation – and the importance of trial and error in achieving better results.  Go down the list, virtually every successful business leader used trial and error to perfect their craft."    Tim Harford (https://www.linkedin.com/in/tim-harford/) is an award-winning journalist, economist and broadcaster. He's the author of the bestselling The Undercover Economist, The Undercover Economist Strikes Back, Messy, Fifty Inventions That Shaped the Modern Economy, Adapt, and The Logic of Life. Tim is a senior columnist for the Financial Times. His long-running column, “The Undercover Economist,” reveals the economic ideas behind everyday experiences. His first book, The Undercover Economist, has sold one million copies worldwide in almost 30 languages. As a broadcaster, Tim has presented television and radio series for the BBC, most famously More or Less on Radio 4. His most recent TED Talk, “How Frustration Can Make Us More Creative,” has been viewed more than 2.1 million times. Tim was named Economics Commentator of the Year in 2014, courtesy of the Comment Awards. He won the Rybczynski Prize 2014-15, which is awarded each year by the Society of Business Economists for the best business-relevant economics writing. Tim also won the Bastiat Prize for economic journalism in 2006 and 2016, and was runner up in 2010. More or Less has an outstanding record in The Royal Statistical Society's “excellence in journalism” awards for broadcasting: runner up in 2011, 2012 and 2014, winning outright in 2010 and 2013. Tim won for his own writing in 2015. He was named one of the UK's top 20 tweeters by The Independent. Tim is a member of the Royal Economic Society council and a visiting fellow at Nuffield College, Oxford. He lives in Oxford with his wife and three children. Ranked in the Top 10 Performance Management Podcasts: https://blog.feedspot.com/performance_management_podcasts/ ; Ranked in the Top 10 Workplace Podcasts: https://blog.feedspot.com/workplace_podcasts/ ; Ranked in the Top 15 HR Podcasts: https://blog.feedspot.com/hr_podcasts/ ; Ranked in the Top 15 Talent Management Podcasts: https://blog.feedspot.com/talent_management_podcasts/ ; Ranked in the Top 15 Personal Development and Self-Improvement Podcasts: https://blog.feedspot.com/personal_development_podcasts/ ; Ranked in the Top 30 Leadership Podcasts: https://blog.feedspot.com/leadership_podcasts/

This episode of Flashback Friday was originally published on: July 28, 2014 Introduction: Joel Naroff is the Founder, President & Chief Economist with Naroff Economic Advisors and a member of the Newsmax Financial Braintrust Alliance. He’s also the author of, “Big Picture Economics: How to Navigate the New Global Economy.” Naroff gives his take on the economic recovery and when he expects inflation to hit, if at all. He also discusses the effects tax cuts have on the economy. Naroff then talks about international economic hotspots and where people should produce and sell in our global economy. He thinks certain international events can ripple through the economy and ultimately affect workers in the Midwest. Key Takeaways: (2:27) Little Rock Creating Wealth in Today’s Economy Boot Camp and property tour, and other announcements (4:28) A special message from Bill Clinton (5:01) News about Zillow’s acquisition of Trulia (19:19) Introducing Joel Naroff (19:55) Are we in a real economic recovery? (22:26) Joel Naroff’s inflation forecast (25:17) A look at the globalization of the economy and the US’ importing of deflation (27:02) Have we exploited the world’s cheap labor yet? (30:08) Tax policy and offshore businesses (35:50) Why the banks aren’t lending very much (39:37) How does the growing middle class in China affect Indiana? (43:40) Closing comments Links: For more information about Joe Naroff: www.NaroffEconomics.com For more about Joel Naroff’s research: www.econsultsolutions.com Or, look up Big Picture Economics on Facebook Bio: Joel L. Naroff is the president and founder of Naroff Economic Advisors, a strategic economic consulting firm. He advises companies across the country on the risks and opportunities that economic developments may have on the organization’s operating environment. A nationally recognized economic forecasting expert, Joel has received numerous honors. In 2011, he received the National Association for Business Economics Outlook Award as the top economic forecaster. NABE is the premier professional association for business economists. He also received the award in 2007. In 2008, he was awarded the Lawrence Klein Award for Blue Chip forecasting excellence. This is one of the oldest and most prestigious forecasting honors. Joel was the Bloomberg Business News top economic forecaster in 2008. In 2006, he was MSNBC’s top forecaster. Joel received his bachelor degrees in economics and chemistry from the Stony Brook University and his Ph.D. in economics from Brown University. He is a member of the Board of Directors of the Economy League of Greater Philadelphia, teaches at the Central Atlantic Advanced School of Banking, is a past chairman of the American Bankers Association’s Economic Advisory Committee and is a past president of the Philadelphia Council of Business Economists.

Five months after his first appearance on the Food Institute Podcast, John Dunham of John Dunham & Associates takes the economic pulse of the nation yet again. Dunham explores the current economic situation in the U.S. in the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, and argues that Bureau of Labor Statistics modeling doesn't fully encapsulate the true unemployment situation in the country. The conversation covers the prospectus for grocery retailers, food manufacturers, and foodservice operators as the fall continues and the winter begins. Additionally, this economic pulse episode discusses federal interventions that could help the nation's restaurants and what effect the election could have on the food industry. Hosted By: Chris Campbell Recorded: Oct. 13, 2020 More About John Dunham: John Dunham is the president of John Dunham & Associates. He specializes in the economics of how public policy issues affect products and services. Dunham has conducted hundreds of studies on taxes and regulation. He is a regular commentator on U.S. economic conditions. His research has been published in a number of refereed journals including Economic Inquiry. Prior to starting his own firm, Dunham was the senior U.S. economist with Philip Morris, producing research and information on key issues facing all the company's divisions. Before this, he was a senior economist for the New York City Mayor's Office, the New York City Comptroller's Office, and the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey where he conducted the economic impact analysis of the World Trade Center. Dunham received his MA in economics from the New School for Social Research and his MBA from Columbia University. He is a member of the American Economics Association and the National Association of Business Economists. To learn more about John Dunham and Associates, please visit: https://guerrillaeconomics.com/

He's the head of the Nation's Central Bank. He's Jerome Powell, and this morning at 10:30 eastern time, he will take the podium at the 62nd annual meeting of the National Association of Business Economists. The NABE is perhaps the nation's largest assemblage of real world economists. Many of these members are not the typical academic that you find at the usual economic conference. Instead these are the roll up the sleeves, and analyze their latest company balance sheer. They are more likely to be a company CFO rather than a college professor. It's a background in which Powell should feel right at home. You see, Powell is not an academically trained economist. The first non academic Fed Chairman in a generation or two.

He's the head of the Nation's Central Bank. He's Jerome Powell, and this morning at 10:30 eastern time, he will take the podium at the 62nd annual meeting of the National Association of Business Economists. The NABE is perhaps the nation's largest assemblage of real world economists. Many of these members are not the typical academic that you find at the usual economic conference. Instead these are the roll up the sleeves, and analyze their latest company balance sheer. They are more likely to be a company CFO rather than a college professor. It's a background in which Powell should feel right at home. You see, Powell is not an academically trained economist. The first non academic Fed Chairman in a generation or two.

What is an inverted yield curve?To understand what an inverted yield curve is, you must first understand one of the most basic financial asset classes out there: Bonds.A bond is like an IOU given to you by a bank. When you lend the bank money, it'll give you back that same amount at a later time along with a fixed amount of interest.For example, if you bought a two-year bond for $100 with a 2% annual return on it, that means you'll get $104.04 back after two years (this accounts for compounding).Yes, that's a low return rate. However, bonds have a number of benefits that justify the small rate of return:They're an extremely stable investment. This is especially true when it comes to government bonds. The only way you can lose your money with them is if the government defaulted on its loans — which the U.S. government has never done.They're guaranteed to have a return. This means that you'll know exactly how much you're getting on your ROI when you purchase a bond.Longer investments yield higher returns. The longer you're willing to wait on your bond typically means that you're going to have higher return rates. I say typically because there are exceptions to this (Hint: It has to do with what we're talking about right now).And when people refer to inverted yield curves, they're typically referring to the yields on U.S. Treasury bonds, or bonds guaranteed to investors by the U.S. government.The Fed Is Going to Buy Bonds Again. It's Not a Stimulus Effort.The Federal Reserve will resume the expansion of its balance sheet soon. Just don't call it quantitative easing.Following a sudden rise in overnight bank funding costs in September, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday that the central bank will begin increasing its securities holdings to “maintain an appropriate level of reserves.” This should be viewed as a technical adjustment and different from the large-scale asset purchases the central bank undertook to stimulate the economy following the financial crisis, he said in a speech to the National Association of Business Economists in Denver, according to the text.This move would be in keeping with the Fed's “ample reserve” operating policy established in the wake of the financial crisis, in which the central bank controlled the federal-funds rate—its primary policy target—by establishing the interest it pays on bank reserves. Before the financial crisis, the Fed would control the fed-funds rate through open-market operations—the purchases and sales of securities—to maintain a scarcity of reserves.Some market observers are calling the Federal Reserve's recent commitment to buy billions of dollars of U.S. Treasury bills QE4—the start of a fourth round of so-called quantitative easing meant to boost a flagging economy. The underlying problem was a systemic shortage of money. Fed officials wrongly believed the banking system was flush with more reserves than it needed. In reality, the system was operating on a knife edge where small changes in the quantity of reserves generated large changes in price. Inverted Yield Curve Suggesting Recession Around The Corner?If we look at the data past yield curve inversions in the US. The difference between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yield (10Y2Y) going back to 1976.Notice that before almost every recession, the yield curve inverted and then steepened.And how often did the yield curve invert and no recession followed within two years of the first inversion? Zero.

Fugindo um pouco da economia, Tim Harford conta em Messy sobre os benefícios criativos da desorganização, da improvisação e da confusão. De acordo com ele, teremos mais sucesso quando pararmos de controlar e planejar tanto a nossa vida, e sairmos mais da zona de conforto. Mas obviamente que Rodolfo faz um paralelo com o mundo dos negócios, deixando esse episódio de Resenha com Rodolfo diferente do comum. Tom Harford é colunista sênior do Financial Times e apresentador do programa More or Less, da BBC Radio 4. É professor visitante do Nuffield College, na Universidade de Oxford, e integrante honorário da Royal Statistic Society. Ele foi considerado Comentarista de Economia do ano em 2024, venceu o prêmio literário do Society for Business Economists em 2015 e o prêmio Bastiat de jornalista econômico em 2016. Já falou sobre suas ideias no TED e na Ópera de Sydney. * Se inscreva no Canal da Empiricus e acompanhe o nosso conteúdo independente. Instagram: http://instagram.com/empiricus Instagram Empiricus Books: https://www.instagram.com/empiricusbo... Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/empiricus Twitter: http://twitter.com/empiricus

I am thrilled to be joined by trend caster, economist and a New York Times best-selling author Dr. Shawn DuBravac.  Shawn spent over a decade as the Chief Economist for the Consumer Technology Association and is now President of Avrio Institute. His research focuses on how technologies are rewriting the nature of work, how the next era of ‘datafication’ will influence consumers, and how companies should prepare for the forces that will define their organisations in the coming decades.    Bio Dr. Shawn DuBravac is author of the New York Times Best Seller Digital Destiny: How the New Age of Data Will Transform the Way We Work, Live, and Communicate, which explores how the world’s mass adoption of digital technologies portends the beginning of a new era for humanity in the realms of business, healthcare, finance, transportation and culture. Shawn DuBravac is a well-regarded futurist and trendcaster who writes frequently on disruptive technological shifts. He advises companies and C-level executives on market opportunities and industry strategy. He is president and founder of Astra Insights which provides consulting, research and advisory services to CxOs on a myriad of topics including digital transformation strategies, business model disruptions, the pace of technological change and overcoming myopic thinking. For over a dozen years DuBravac served as chief economist for the Consumer Technology Association (CTA), the U.S. trade association representing more than 2,000 consumer tech companies and owner and producer of CES. Shawn has been widely published on the topics of technology, finance and economics. His keen insights regarding the economic drivers of the global tech industry and future trends have made him a highly sought-after keynote speaker and commentator. He travels both internationally and domestically to meet with tech industry leaders and present on technology trends and the economy. In addition, his analysis has appeared in The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, Financial Times, Washington Post, Wired, Los Angeles Times, Barron’s and on-air with CNBC, Bloomberg, CBS and other media outlets. He was the primary driver of smartphone and cyber-security equity indexes, developed in partnership with NASDAQ, and the CTA consumer confidence index. In 2012, DuBravac was named to Dealerscope’s “40 under 40” list of people to watch in the consumer technology industry. He is a member of the National Association of Business Economists and currently serves as the president of the Conference of Business Economists. Shawn DuBravac has taught in George Washington University’s MBA program, George Mason University’s MBA program, at the University of Mary Washington and currently teaches at Marymount University. He holds economic degrees from Brigham Young University and George Mason University. DuBravac resides in Virginia with his three sons. When not helping executive teams unlock innovative thinking, he can be found climbing 14ers, running marathons and coaching youth sports. Recorded: 30th May 2019 Links: More about Shawn DuBravac More about Maria Franzoni Ltd Connect with Maria on Linkedin Connect with Maria on FaceBook To book any of the speakers featured on the Speaking Business podcast, click here   Listen here: Libsyn  Itunes  Soundcloud Stitcher Spotify    

After a recent survey, when do members of the National Association of Business Economists think the next recession could be?

William White started his career at the Bank of England before moving to the Bank for International Settlements where he served as chief economist. Today he is the chairman of the Economic and Development Review Committee at the OECD in Paris. Last fall Bill received the Adam Smith prize, the highest honor of the US National Association of Business Economists, where he gave a speech titled Ultra-Easy Money: Digging the Hole Deeper? In this conversation we discuss where his contrarian economic philosophy comes from, how it leads him to worry a bit more than most about the undesired side effects of experimental monetary policy and its possible end games. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

Listen on iTunes: goo.gl/sMnEa0 Listen on Stitcher: www.stitcher.com/podcast/future   Tim Harford returns to part 2 of our chat inspired by his new book Messy which explores the connection between chaos and creativity. Tim is an economist, journalist and broadcaster. He is author of “Messy” and the million-selling “The Undercover Economist”, a senior columnist at the Financial Times, and the presenter of Radio 4’s “More or Less”. Tim has spoken at TED, PopTech and the Sydney Opera House and is a visiting fellow of Nuffield College, Oxford. He was Economics Commentator of the Year 2014, winner of the Royal Statistical Society journalistic excellence award 2015, won the Society of Business Economists writing prize 2014-15, and the Bastiat Prize for economic journalism in 2006 and 2016. Topics Covered:- 50 Things that made the modern economy- Double Entry Bookkeeping with Leonardo Da Vinci- Clean desk policies - Activity based working and open plan offices- The digital equivalent to piles of paper- MIT's Building 20- Diversity in friendship groups at different size universities and class sizes Show Notes: 1) Tim’s Website - timharford.com/ ‍2) Tim’s Podcast: www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p04b1g3…episodes/downloads  3) Tim’s books: Messy: https://amzn.to/2xz6YTh The Undercover Economist Strikes Back: https://amzn.to/2MJBEah Adapt: https://amzn.to/2xx4GnR     4) Alex Haslam - Research on office spaces - www.nature.com/scientificamerica…nmind0910-30.html --- I hope you enjoyed this episode. If you’d like to receive a weekly email from me, complete with reflections, books I’ve been reading, words of wisdom and access to blogs, ebooks and more that I’m publishing on a regular basis, just leave your details at www.futuresquared.xyz/subscribe and you’ll receive the very next one. Listen on Apple Podcasts @ goo.gl/sMnEa0 Also available on: Spotify, Google Play, Stitcher and Soundcloud Twitter: www.twitter.com/steveglaveski Instagram: www.instagram.com/@thesteveglaveski Future Squared: www.futuresquared.xyz Steve Glaveski: www.steveglaveski.com Medium: www.medium.com/@steveglaveski ‍

Dr Rebecca Harding, CEO of Delta Economics, is an independent economist with an extensive background in modelling economic growth, trade, productivity, innovation and enterprise. Rebecca is the author of nine books and has written over 250 articles on economic issues. She has held senior positions in leading academic, think-tank and corporate organisations, including roles at the London Business School, Deloitte and the Work Foundation.  Rebecca has advised the European Union and regional governments and agencies in the UK and Germany on innovation and enterprise policy. Rebecca is a Board Member of the Society of Business Economists and a Board Member and Trustee of the German British Forum. In 2013, she was elected as a national representative of the European Movement UK. Rebecca holds a BA in Economics and German and an MSc and PhD in the economics of Science and Innovation from the University of Sussex and writes on her blog rebeccanomics.com. Find Out: about Dr Harding’s company DeltaEconomics. about the data used by DeltaEconomics and why it has developed its database of statistics. what is Trade Finance and how it has experienced phenomenal growth in recent years. how companies bridge the finance gap between the time they export goods to the time they receive payment. what the challenges are with long-term growth in trade. if there are inherent risks associated with the trade finance market as more sophisticated derivative and credit markets emerge. about the inherent risks that may appear in the derivatives markets for trade finance. if a market collapse could be the outcome of a non-compliant and unregulated trade finance securities market. if could an implosion in trade finance is possible with large defaults in payments due mainly to the development of a derivatives and securities market. if sovereign risk will become prominent if trade finance risk increases. if enough data exists for trade finance to allow it to mature into a fully functioning wholesale and derivatives market. and much, much more. Visit the shownotes page for all the links mentioned in this episode:  www.economicrockstar.com/rebeccaharding Subscribe to the Economic Rockstar podcast on iTunes and never miss an episode. Thanks for listening!

We are in the 6th year of the economic recovery that began in mid 2009, and the National Business Association of Business Economists has predicted that this year the economy could grow another 3.1 percent. It's best performance in 10 years. Guest: Dr. David Berson, Chief Economist, Nationwide. Length 39:20

Bill Cheney is the Chief Economist at John Hancock Financial Services. He joins the podcast do discuss how job growth was affected by the weather this past winter and if investors are feeling positive or negative about the stock market and economy.   Cheney also talks about whether investors think it is a good time to: - buy a home  - purchase a big-ticket item - start a business   Cheney wraps up the conversation by providing data on Americans being concerned about healthcare costs and the national debt.   Visit John Hancock Financial at www.johnhancock.com.   Bill Cheney directs economic research for John Hancock Financial Services, the U.S. division of Toronto-based Manulife Financial Corporation. Based in Boston, he forecasts macro-economic and financial trends and analyzes the potential impact on the company's individual business lines and investments.  Cheney is a member of the National Association of Business Economists.  

Joel Naroff is the Founder, President & Chief Economist with Naroff Economic Advisors and a member of the Newsmax Financial Braintrust Alliance. He's also the author of, "Big Picture Economics: How to Navigate the New Global Economy."   Naroff gives his take on the economic recovery and when he expects inflation to hit, if at all. He also discusses the effects tax cuts have on the economy.    Naroff then talks about international economic hotspots and where people should produce and sell in our global economy. He thinks certain international events can ripple through the economy and ultimately affect workers in the Midwest.    Joel L. Naroff is the president and founder of Naroff Economic Advisors, a strategic economic consulting firm. He advises companies across the country on the risks and opportunities that economic developments may have on the organization's operating environment.     A nationally recognized economic forecasting expert, Joel has received numerous honors. In 2011, he received the National Association for Business Economics Outlook Award as the top economic forecaster. NABE is the premier professional association for business economists. He also received the award in 2007. In 2008, he was awarded the Lawrence Klein Award for Blue Chip forecasting excellence. This is one of the oldest and most prestigious forecasting honors. Joel was the Bloomberg Business News top economic forecaster in 2008. In 2006, he was MSNBC's top forecaster.     Joel received his bachelor degrees in economics and chemistry from the Stony Brook University and his Ph.D. in economics from Brown University. He is a member of the Board of Directors of the Economy League of Greater Philadelphia, teaches at the Central Atlantic Advanced School of Banking, is a past chairman of the American Bankers Association's Economic Advisory Committee and is a past president of the Philadelphia Council of Business Economists.    Find out more about Joel Naroff's research by visiting www.econsultsolutions.com.