Podcasts about Royal Statistical Society

  0:00:00 Introduction Richard Saunders 00:02:32 Ben Radford in Sydney A chat with Ben Radford about his first trip to Australia and his adventures and the Squaring the Strange Podcast. 0:07:24 The Bent Spoon Award for 2024 The announcement of the 2024 Australian Skeptics Awards. 0:18:56 Australian Skeptics Newsletter What skeptical news has caught the eye of Tim Mendham this week? Read by Adrienne Hill. http://www.skeptics.com.au 0:28:06 Maynard's Spooky Action From Sydney Skeptics in the Pub, Maynard talks to Dr Liam Brierley a Research Fellow at the University of Glasgow, UK. He uses biostatistics, computer science, and AI to investigate how viruses evolve and transmit between animal species. Liam is also a Media Ambassador for the Royal Statistical Society and has worked with national press including The Guardian and BBC's Panorama to make sense of health data. 0:37:42 The TROVE Archives A wander through the decades of digitised Australian newspapers on a search for references to the Alien Autopsy of 1995. 1995.06.29 - The Canberra Times http://www.trove.nla.gov.au    

In 2016, the Australian government launched a program it said would make tracking welfare benefits easier. Instead, it falsely told hundreds of thousands of Australians they owed the government money, with some of those individuals taking their own lives as a result. Australia's robodebt tragedy is the focus of this episode of Stats+Stories with guests Noel Cressie and Dennis Trewin. Noel Cressie is Distinguished Professor at the University of Wollongong, Australia, and Director of its Centre for Environmental Informatics, which is a vibrant interdisciplinary group doing research in spatio-temporal statistics, satellite remote sensing, and broader fields of environmental science; he is also Adjunct Professor at the University of Missouri and Affiliate at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in the USA. Noel grew up in Western Australia, received a PhD from Princeton University, and shared a career between the US and Australia. He is author and co-author of four books, three of them on spatial and spatio-temporal statistics, and of more than 300 peer-reviewed publications. His recent research involves hunting for atmospheric-carbon-dioxide sources around the world and focusing on Antarctica's environmental future. He has won a number of awards, including the Fisher Award and Lectureship from the Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies (COPSS), the Pitman Medal from the Statistical Society of Australia, the Barnett Award from the Royal Statistical Society, and the Matheron Award and Lecture from the International Association for Mathematical Geosciences. Noel is a Fellow of the Australian Academy of Science, of the Royal Society of New South Wales, and of a number of other learned societies. Dennis Trewin is a pioneer of social statistics that are leading to meaningful measurement of social capital in Australia. He was the head of the Australian Bureau of Statistics between 2000 and 2007, and held other senior appointments in Australia such as Electoral Commissioner and an Adjunct Professor at Swinburne University. Dennis is also a member of the Committee charged with responsibility for producing an independent report on the State of the Environment.

The Domesday Book sounds ominous, but it was actually a data gathering project that was compiled in the 11th century at the behest of William the Conqueror.  Research: Barlow, Frank. "William I". Encyclopedia Britannica, 13 May. 2024, https://www.britannica.com/biography/William-I-king-of-England Baxter, Stephen. “Getting Domesday done: a new interpretation of William the Conqueror's survey.” Oxford University Press Blog. Feb. 12, 2021. https://blog.oup.com/2021/02/getting-domesday-done-a-new-interpretation-of-william-the-conquerors-survey/ Baxter, Stephen. “How and Why Was Domesday Made?” The English Historical Review, Volume 135, Issue 576, October 2020, Pages 1085–1131, https://doi.org/10.1093/ehr/ceaa310 Britannica, The Editors of Encyclopaedia. "Domesday Book". Encyclopedia Britannica, 15 Jul. 2024, https://www.britannica.com/topic/Domesday-Book Britannica, The Editors of Encyclopaedia. "Harold II". Encyclopedia Britannica, 29 May. 2024, https://www.britannica.com/biography/Harold-II Cartwright, Mark. "Domesday Book." World History Encyclopedia. Last modified November 19, 2018. https://www.worldhistory.org/Domesday_Book/ Cellan-Jones, Rory. “The Domesday Reloaded Project – The 1086 Version.” BBC News. May 13, 2011. https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-13395454 “The Domesday Book.” Historic UK. https://www.historic-uk.com/HistoryUK/HistoryofEngland/Domesday-Book/ “The Domesday Book Online.” https://www.domesdaybook.co.uk/index.html Domesday Reloaded. https://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ukgwa/20120919052725/http://www.bbc.co.uk/history/domesday Domesday Reloaded Blog. https://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/domesday “Hull Domesday Project.” https://www.domesdaybook.net/home McDonald, John, and G. D. Snooks. “Statistical Analysis of Domesday Book (1086).” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General), vol. 148, no. 2, 1985, pp. 147–60. JSTOR, https://doi.org/10.2307/2981946 “New insights from original Domesday survey revealed.” University of Oxford, News and Events. Jan. 12, 2021. https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2021-01-12-new-insights-original-domesday-survey-revealed Open Domesday. https://opendomesday.org/ Sally P. J. Harvey. “Domesday Book and Anglo-Norman Governance.” Transactions of the Royal Historical Society, vol. 25, 1975, pp. 175–93. JSTOR, https://doi.org/10.2307/3679092 Thomas, Hugh M. “The Significance and Fate of the Native English Landholders of 1086.” The English Historical Review, Volume 118, Issue 476, April 2003, Pages 303–333, https://doi.org/10.1093/ehr/118.476.303 Wood, Michael. “Domesday: A Search for the Roots of England.” Facts on File. 1988. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The criminal justice system and science are both broadly looking for the same thing - the truth. But in many cases the two don't mix well. Whether it's court cases that attempt to decide the truth of a scientific dispute, or the use of fingerprints, DNA, or statistics by the prosecution in a murder case, a lot can go wrong - and there's a lot at stake.Inspired by the recent discussion, or perhaps lack of discussion, around [a criminal case nobody in the UK can talk about for legal reasons], Tom and Stuart spend this episode looking into what happens when science meets the law.Our favourite online magazine is Works in Progress - so it's particularly pleasing that they're the sponsors of The Studies Show. Works in Progress publish in-depth essays on underrated ideas to improve the world, covering the history and future of science and technology. Go to worksinprogress.co to read their entire archive for free.Show notes* UK man arrested for airport-related joke (2010); UK man arrested and punished (narrowly avoiding prison) for saying “burn auld fella, buuuuurn” upon the death of “Captain Tom” (2022)* Simon Singh successfully sued by chiropractors (but then successfully appeals; 2010)* Paper on the Italian criminal cases that helped fuel the anti-vaccine movement* Jim Carrey campaigns against vaccines* Tom's 2018 New Scientist article on glyphosate and cancer* 1995 article on the “phantom risks” of breast implants* Helen Joyce on the Sally Clark case* Tom's 2024 Unherd article on “the dangers of trial by statistics”* 2022 Royal Statistical Society report on the same topic* How Bayes-savvy statisticians helped overturn Lucia de Berk's conviction* Gerd Gigerenzer on OJ Simpson* 2022 philosophy paper on the issues with forensic science* 2016 White House report on the gaps in forensic science* Dror & Hampikian (2011) study on bias in DNA interpretation* 2009 “Texas sharpshooter” paper on the rarity (or not) of DNA matches* Useful 2023 review of human factors research in forensic science* Interviews with 150 forensic examiners on potential biases in their workCreditsThe Studies Show is produced by Julian Mayers at Yada Yada Productions. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thestudiesshowpod.com/subscribe

In this episode, we discuss a fun mix of eponymous laws, which are laws named after individuals who postulate them.    Shownotes Campbell, D. T. (1979). Assessing the impact of planned social change. Evaluation and Program Planning, 2(1), 67–90. https://doi.org/10.1016/0149-7189(79)90048-X Merton, R. K. (1995). The Thomas Theorem and the Matthews Effect. Social Forces, 74(2), 379–422. Stigler, S. M. (1980). Stigler's Law of Eponymy*. Transactions of the New York Academy of Sciences, 39(1 Series II), 147–157. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2164-0947.1980.tb02775.x Clarke, A. C. (Arthur C. (1962). Profiles of the future: An inquiry into the limits of the possible. New York : Bantam Books. http://archive.org/details/profilesoffuture00clar Brandolini's Law: Based on a tweet, after reading Kahneman Thinking fast and slow: https://twitter.com/ziobrando/status/289635060758507521 Preston, I. L. (1980). Researchers at the Federal Trade Commission—Peril and Promise. Current Issues and Research in Advertising, 3(1), 1–15. Twyman's Law: “The more unusual or interesting the data, the more likely they are to have been the result of an error of one kind or another.” Earliest scholarly reference is in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, Vol 138, No 4, 1975. The Teaching of Statistics by A. S. C. Ehrenberg. Bloch, A. (1990). Murphy's law complete: All the reasons why everything goes wrong. Arrow Books Limited.   

At its simplest, Bayes's theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes's theorem is a description of almost everything. But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence? Fusing biography and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is an entertaining tour of Bayes's theorem and its impact on modern life, showing how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences. Tom Chivers is an author and the award-winning science writer for Semafor. Previously he was the science editor at UnHerd.com and BuzzFeed UK. His writing has appeared in The Times (London), The Guardian, New Scientist, Wired, CNN, and more. He was awarded the Royal Statistical Society's “Statistical Excellence in Journalism” awards in 2018 and 2020, and was declared the science writer of the year by the Association of British Science Writers in 2021. His books include The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy: Superintelligent AI and the Geeks Who Are Trying to Save Humanity's Future, and How to Read Numbers: A Guide to Stats in the News (and Knowing When to Trust Them). His new book is Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World. Shermer and Chivers discuss: Thomas Bayes, his equation, and the problem it solves • Bayesian decision theory vs. statistical decision theory • Popperian falsification vs. Bayesian estimation • Sagan's ECREE principle • Bayesian epistemology and family resemblance • paradox of the heap • Reality as controlled hallucination • human irrationality • superforecasting • mystical experiences and religious truths • Replication Crisis in science • Statistical Detection Theory and Signal Detection Theory • Medical diagnosis problem and why most people get it wrong.

As you reach the end of a long day with an excess of stress how do you recharge? Have you found that a long stroll in the sun or through the woods can provide this renewal? Walking in nature is the focus of this episode of Stats+Stories with guest Dr. Altea Lorenzo-Arribas. Dr. Altea Lorenzo-Arribas is a socio-economic statistician at Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland (BioSS) working in collaboration with researchers at the Scottish Environment, Food and Agriculture Research Institutions. She is an elected council member of the Royal Statistical Society and secretary of the History of Statistics Section, as well as a member of the Women Committee of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, and the Spanish Biostatistics Network (Biostatnet). She is passionate about uncovering the hidden stories of women in the history of statistics, and firmly believes in the need for a more equal, diverse and inclusive discipline.

Would you be surprised if a wombat won a statistical achievement award? well our guest Noel Cressie is here to talk about the WOllongong Methodology for Bayesian Assimilation of Trace-gases and how it can impact the environmental landscape. Noel Cressie is Distinguished Professor at the University of Wollongong, Australia, and Director of its Centre for Environmental Informatics, which is a vibrant interdisciplinary group doing research in spatio-temporal statistics, satellite remote sensing, and broader fields of environmental science; he is also Adjunct Professor at the University of Missouri and Affiliate at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in the USA. Noel grew up in Western Australia, received a PhD from Princeton University, and shared a career between the US and Australia. He is author and co-author of four books, three of them on spatial and spatio-temporal statistics, and of more than 300 peer-reviewed publications. His recent research involves hunting for atmospheric-carbon-dioxide sources around the world and focusing on Antarctica's environmental future. He has won a number of awards, including the Fisher Award and Lectureship from the Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies (COPSS), the Pitman Medal from the Statistical Society of Australia, the Barnett Award from the Royal Statistical Society, and the Matheron Award and Lecture from the International Association for Mathematical Geosciences. Noel is a Fellow of the Australian Academy of Science, of the Royal Society of New South Wales, and of a number of other learned societies.

Dr Altea Lorenzo-Arribas is a socio-economic statistician at Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland (BioSS) working in collaboration with researchers at the Scottish Environment, Food and Agriculture Research Institutions. She is an elected council member of the Royal Statistical Society and secretary of the History of Statistics Section, as well as a member of the Women Committee of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, and the Spanish Biostatistics Network (Biostatnet). She is passionate about uncovering the hidden stories of women in the history of statistics, and firmly believes in the need for a more equal, diverse and inclusive discipline.

Today on Change Agents, Andy Stumpf sits down with one of the world's leading cybersecurity experts for a discussion ranging from AI, China, TikTok, hacking, spying, and personal data.  Professor Alan Woodward is one of the world's leading cybersecurity experts whose research extends to covert communications, forensic computing, and quantum technology. He has previously worked for the government of the U.K. and currently advises Europol through the European Centre for Cyber Crime (EC3) as well as private sector companies.  He is a Fellow of the British Computer Society, the Institute of Physics, and the Royal Statistical Society, a visiting professor at the University of Surrey Centre for Cyber Security, Computer Science Research Centre. Change Agents is an IRONCLAD original.  SPONSORS:  Change Agents is presented by Montana Knife Company.  Use CODE "CHANGEAGENTS10" for 10% off your first order at ⁠⁠https://www.montanaknifecompany.com/⁠⁠ Four Branches Bourbon Please check their story out at ⁠fourbranches.com⁠ and pick up a bottle of their fine bourbon today. Use the code “IRONCLAD10” to get 10% off.  MTNTOUGH  Go to ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://mtntough.com⁠⁠⁠⁠ and enter code CHANGEAGENTS to receive 40% OFF - a savings of about $100 your MTNTOUGH+ annual subscription.  NAVY SEAL FOUNDATIONVisit shop.navysealfoundation.org to grab your gear now. Show your respect by wearing your support.

As life insurance and assurance became more common, companies that offered coverage ran into in problems in the 18th and 19th century. Part 2 also covers how Insurance has been used by gamblers as a grisly amusement. Research: Bell, John. “London's Remembrancer … “ E. Cotes. London. 1665. Accessed online: https://quod.lib.umich.edu/e/eebo2/A27350.0001.001?rgn=main;view=fulltext Bellhouse, David R. “A New Look at Halley's Life Table.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society.” 174, Part 3, pp. 823–832. 2011. https://www.medicine.mcgill.ca/epidemiology/hanley/c609/material/BellhouseHalleyTable2011JRSS.pdf Bennetts, N., (2019). MORGAN, WILLIAM (1750 - 1833), actuary and scientist. Dictionary of Welsh Biography. Retrieved 22 Dec 2023, from https://biography.wales/article/s12-MORG-WIL-1750 Boyce, Niall. “Bills of Mortality: tracking disease in early modern London.” The Lancet. April 11, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30725-X Chatfield, Michael and Vangermeersch, Richard, "History of Accounting: An International Encyclopedia" (1996). Individual and Corporate Publications. 168.https://egrove.olemiss.edu/acct_corp/168 CLARK, GEOFFREY. “Life Insurance in the Society and Culture of London, 1700-75.” Urban History, vol. 24, no. 1, 1997, pp. 17–36. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/44612859 de Roover, Florence Edler. “Early Examples of Marine Insurance.” The Journal of Economic History, vol. 5, no. 2, 1945, pp. 172–200. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/2114075 Fouse, L. G. “Policy Contracts in Life Insurance.” The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, vol. 26, 1905, pp. 29–48. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/1011003 “James Dodson's tables of premiums, 1756.” Institute and Faculty of Actuaries. https://www.actuaries.org.uk/learn-and-develop/research-and-knowledge/library-services/historical-collections/archive-equitable-life-assurance-society/highlights-equitable-life-archive/james-dodson-s-tables-premiums-1756 Eggen, Olin Jeuck. "Edmond Halley". Encyclopedia Britannica, 21 Dec. 2023, https://www.britannica.com/biography/Edmond-Halley Greenwood, Major. “The First Life Table.” Notes and Records of the Royal Society of London. October 31, 1938. Volume 1, Issue 2. https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/abs/10.1098/rsnr.1938.0017 Harford, Tim. “What makes gambling wrong but insurance right ?” BBC News. March 20, 2017. https://www.bbc.com/news/business-38905963 Ivry, David A. “Historical Development of Some Basic Life Insurance Terminology.” The Journal of Insurance, vol. 28, no. 3, 1961, pp. 65–69. JSTOR, https://doi.org/10.2307/250376 Lewin, Chris. “The Creation of Actuarial Science.” ZDM – Mathematics Education. 2001. Vol. 33. https://subs.emis.de/journals/ZDM/zdm012i2.pdf Ogborn, M.E. “The Professional Name of Actuary.” Journal of the Institute of Actuaries. 1956. https://web.archive.org/web/20081217144303/http://www.actuaries.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0020/25382/0233-0246.pdf Rose, I. Nelson. “How Insurance Became (Mostly) Not Gambling.” Gaming Law Review and Economics.Nov 2014.864-872.http://doi.org/10.1089/glre.2014.1892 ROWELL, A. H. Journal of the Institute of Actuaries (1886-1994), vol. 88, no. 3, 1962, pp. 387–89. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/41139514. Accessed 27 Dec. 2023. Thomas, R., & Chambers, Ll. G., (1959). PRICE, RICHARD (1723-1791), philosopher. Dictionary of Welsh Biography. Retrieved 27 Dec 2023, from https://biography.wales/article/s-PRIC-RIC-1723 “Actuary Overview.” Best Jobs. U.S. News and World Report. https://money.usnews.com/careers/best-jobs/actuary Walford, Cornelius. “History of Life Assurance in the United Kingdom.” Journal of the Institute of Actuaries and Assurance Magazine, vol. 25, no. 2, 1885, pp. 114–33. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/41135809 Walford, Cornelius. “History of Life Assurance in the United Kingdom (Concluded).” Journal of the Institute of Actuaries (1886-1994), vol. 26, no. 6, 1887, pp. 436–65. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/41136141 Whittle, Matt. “How To Become An Actuary: Responsibilities, Practice Areas And Certifications.” Forbes. Nov. 29, 2022. https://www.forbes.com/advisor/education/become-an-actuary/ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Actuarial science is all about calculating risk – risk of injury, illness, death, risk of market shifts and financial outcomes. Part one covers the earliest population tables and early examples of life insurance and assurance.  Research: Bell, John. “London's Remembrancer … “ E. Cotes. London. 1665. Accessed online: https://quod.lib.umich.edu/e/eebo2/A27350.0001.001?rgn=main;view=fulltext Bellhouse, David R. “A New Look at Halley's Life Table.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society.” 174, Part 3, pp. 823–832. 2011. https://www.medicine.mcgill.ca/epidemiology/hanley/c609/material/BellhouseHalleyTable2011JRSS.pdf Bennetts, N., (2019). MORGAN, WILLIAM (1750 - 1833), actuary and scientist. Dictionary of Welsh Biography. Retrieved 22 Dec 2023, from https://biography.wales/article/s12-MORG-WIL-1750 Boyce, Niall. “Bills of Mortality: tracking disease in early modern London.” The Lancet. April 11, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30725-X Chatfield, Michael and Vangermeersch, Richard, "History of Accounting: An International Encyclopedia" (1996). Individual and Corporate Publications. 168.https://egrove.olemiss.edu/acct_corp/168 CLARK, GEOFFREY. “Life Insurance in the Society and Culture of London, 1700-75.” Urban History, vol. 24, no. 1, 1997, pp. 17–36. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/44612859 de Roover, Florence Edler. “Early Examples of Marine Insurance.” The Journal of Economic History, vol. 5, no. 2, 1945, pp. 172–200. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/2114075 Fouse, L. G. “Policy Contracts in Life Insurance.” The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, vol. 26, 1905, pp. 29–48. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/1011003 “James Dodson's tables of premiums, 1756.” Institute and Faculty of Actuaries. https://www.actuaries.org.uk/learn-and-develop/research-and-knowledge/library-services/historical-collections/archive-equitable-life-assurance-society/highlights-equitable-life-archive/james-dodson-s-tables-premiums-1756 Eggen, Olin Jeuck. "Edmond Halley". Encyclopedia Britannica, 21 Dec. 2023, https://www.britannica.com/biography/Edmond-Halley Greenwood, Major. “The First Life Table.” Notes and Records of the Royal Society of London. October 31, 1938. Volume 1, Issue 2. https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/abs/10.1098/rsnr.1938.0017 Harford, Tim. “What makes gambling wrong but insurance right ?” BBC News. March 20, 2017. https://www.bbc.com/news/business-38905963 Ivry, David A. “Historical Development of Some Basic Life Insurance Terminology.” The Journal of Insurance, vol. 28, no. 3, 1961, pp. 65–69. JSTOR, https://doi.org/10.2307/250376 Lewin, Chris. “The Creation of Actuarial Science.” ZDM – Mathematics Education. 2001. Vol. 33. https://subs.emis.de/journals/ZDM/zdm012i2.pdf Ogborn, M.E. “The Professional Name of Actuary.” Journal of the Institute of Actuaries. 1956. https://web.archive.org/web/20081217144303/http://www.actuaries.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0020/25382/0233-0246.pdf Rose, I. Nelson. “How Insurance Became (Mostly) Not Gambling.” Gaming Law Review and Economics.Nov 2014.864-872.http://doi.org/10.1089/glre.2014.1892 ROWELL, A. H. Journal of the Institute of Actuaries (1886-1994), vol. 88, no. 3, 1962, pp. 387–89. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/41139514. Accessed 27 Dec. 2023. Thomas, R., & Chambers, Ll. G., (1959). PRICE, RICHARD (1723-1791), philosopher. Dictionary of Welsh Biography. Retrieved 27 Dec 2023, from https://biography.wales/article/s-PRIC-RIC-1723 “Actuary Overview.” Best Jobs. U.S. News and World Report. https://money.usnews.com/careers/best-jobs/actuary Walford, Cornelius. “History of Life Assurance in the United Kingdom.” Journal of the Institute of Actuaries and Assurance Magazine, vol. 25, no. 2, 1885, pp. 114–33. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/41135809 Walford, Cornelius. “History of Life Assurance in the United Kingdom (Concluded).” Journal of the Institute of Actuaries (1886-1994), vol. 26, no. 6, 1887, pp. 436–65. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/41136141 Whittle, Matt. “How To Become An Actuary: Responsibilities, Practice Areas And Certifications.” Forbes. Nov. 29, 2022. https://www.forbes.com/advisor/education/become-an-actuary/ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Practical Significance co-hosts Donna Lalonde and Ron Wasserstein kick off season four by welcoming the editor of Real World Data Science, Brian Tarran, to the show. A new initiative from the Royal Statistical Society in partnership with the ASA, Real World Data Science features content developed by data scientists. Tarran’s aim is for the site to be a trusted, go-to source for high-quality and engaging content that supports ethical and impactful practice. Because the target audience for Real World Data Science is all who work in data science, Tarran learned ... The post Practical Significance | Episode 37: Let's Get Real World with Brian Tarran first appeared on Amstat News.

Athina Kanioura, PepsiCo's EVP and Chief Strategy Officer, oversees global strategy for iconic brands, contributing to an $86 billion revenue in 2022. Formerly with Accenture, she led AI initiatives, specializing in business transformation across industries. With a PhD in Econometrics, Athina shapes data policy at the Royal Statistical Society and educates at UK universities. On The Menu: 1. Integrated Digital Transformation: Spanning the organization's value chain. 2. Tech Application: AI, web3, robotics, blockchain in manufacturing, logistics, product development. 3. Streamlined Innovation: Focused on direct consumer engagement and mass personalization. 4. Theory-Practice Integration: Balancing academic rigor with real-time problem-solving. 5. Digital Hubs' Functions: Co-creating AI solutions, fostering career growth, diverse tech skills. 6. Pepsi's Tech Training: Digital Academy upskilling employees in varied roles.

Dr. Iain Wilton is a former ministerial special adviser who has held several senior public policy, corporate communications and government relations roles - in organisations including the BBC and the Royal Statistical Society.  In this episode, he shares why it's important for organisations to stay abreast of political developments to minimise risk. We also find out which political risks pose the most threat to UK industry in the years ahead.   A key way for internal communicators to provide strategic value to their employers is to demonstrate awareness and understanding of the external factors driving change in the way we work today. We hope you'll agree Iain provides huge food for thought and plenty for our senior executives to consider as they navigate the path ahead.  

Just what is Industry 5.0? How might Statistics Sustainability Systems thinking and STEM prepare our students for the future? Today we speak with Emeritus Professor Tim Roberts AM and Professor Peter Howley to learn their thoughts! Hosted by Ben Newsome from Fizzics Education About the SSSS: Statistics Sustainability Systems thinking and STEM Project A free online national initiative in 2023 available to ALL primary and secondary school educators and students in Australia thanks to a Commonwealth Government Department of Education “Emerging Priorities Program” grant and the Hunter Innovation and Science Hub (HISH). Website link here About Emeritus Professor Tim Roberts AM Tim is a distinguished conservationist, scientist, researcher, and educator. He is a Professor of Immunology, Microbiology, Environmental Science and Biology and was the Founder of SuperNova (Australia's first regional, and second nationally, hands-on science centre). He is the President of the Hunter Innovation & Science Hub & the Creator, Coordinator of the Annual Hunter Valley Electric Vehicle Festival and the Founding Director of InnovAAte Pty Ltd, a spinoff biotechnology company based on patented ground-breaking research at the University of Newcastle.  Further links LinkedIn About Professor Peter Howley Peter is a Professor of Statistics and Systems Improvement and is a national and international leader and award-winning academic and practitioner in Statistics, Systems thinking and improvement and integrated STEM. He is the National Chair of Statistical Education (Statistical Society of Australia), an elected member of the International Statistical Institute, Vice President of the Hunter Innovation and Science Hub, International Congress of Mathematical Education 2024 Ambassador, and steering committee member for the Royal Statistical Society's Centre for Statistics and Data Science Education. Further Links LinkedIn Hosted by Ben Newsome from Fizzics Education With interviews with leading science educators and STEM thought leaders, this science education podcast is about highlighting different ways of teaching kids within and beyond the classroom. It's not just about educational practice & pedagogy, it's about inspiring new ideas & challenging conventions of how students can learn about their world! https://www.fizzicseducation.com.au/ Know an educator who'd love this STEM podcast episode?  Share it!The FizzicsEd podcast is a member of the Australian Educators Online Network (AEON )http://www.aeon.net.au/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Just what is Industry 5.0? How might Statistics Sustainability Systems thinking and STEM prepare our students for the future? Today we speak with Emeritus Professor Tim Roberts AM and Professor Peter Howley to learn their thoughts! Hosted by Ben Newsome from Fizzics Education About the SSSS: Statistics Sustainability Systems thinking and STEM Project A free online national initiative in 2023 available to ALL primary and secondary school educators and students in Australia thanks to a Commonwealth Government Department of Education “Emerging Priorities Program” grant and the Hunter Innovation and Science Hub (HISH). Website link here About Emeritus Professor Tim Roberts AM Tim is a distinguished conservationist, scientist, researcher, and educator. He is a Professor of Immunology, Microbiology, Environmental Science and Biology and was the Founder of SuperNova (Australia's first regional, and second nationally, hands-on science centre). He is the President of the Hunter Innovation & Science Hub & the Creator, Coordinator of the Annual Hunter Valley Electric Vehicle Festival and the Founding Director of InnovAAte Pty Ltd, a spinoff biotechnology company based on patented ground-breaking research at the University of Newcastle.  Further links LinkedIn About Professor Peter Howley Peter is a Professor of Statistics and Systems Improvement and is a national and international leader and award-winning academic and practitioner in Statistics, Systems thinking and improvement and integrated STEM. He is the National Chair of Statistical Education (Statistical Society of Australia), an elected member of the International Statistical Institute, Vice President of the Hunter Innovation and Science Hub, International Congress of Mathematical Education 2024 Ambassador, and steering committee member for the Royal Statistical Society's Centre for Statistics and Data Science Education. Further Links LinkedIn See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

GUEST OVERVIEW: Timandra Harkness is a book author, writer, BBC Radio 4 presenter, public speaker and touring comedian as well as a Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society, and a serving member of their Data Ethics and Governance section. Her twitter @timandraharknes - only one S! Timandra's website is: www.timandraharkness.com

Learn about the SSA National Schools Poster Competition! Since 2014, this competition has been a fun project-based learning activity that encourages primary and secondary school students to develop, implement and creatively report upon an investigation on any topic of interest. Professor Peter Howley drops by to tell us more! Hosted by Ben Newsome from Fizzics Education About Professor Peter Howley Peter is a Professor of Statistics and Systems Improvement and is a national and international leader and award-winning academic and practitioner in Statistics, Systems thinking and improvement and integrated STEM. He is the National Chair of Statistical Education (Statistical Society of Australia), an elected member of the International Statistical Institute, Vice President of the Hunter Innovation and Science Hub, International Congress of Mathematical Education 2024 Ambassador, and steering committee member for the Royal Statistical Society's Centre for Statistics and Data Science Education. Further Links Website 1-min overview video LinkedIn Hosted by Ben Newsome from Fizzics Education With interviews with leading science educators and STEM thought leaders, this science education podcast is about highlighting different ways of teaching kids within and beyond the classroom. It's not just about educational practice & pedagogy, it's about inspiring new ideas & challenging conventions of how students can learn about their world! https://www.fizzicseducation.com.au/ Know an educator who'd love this STEM podcast episode?  Share it!The FizzicsEd podcast is a member of the Australian Educators Online Network (AEON )http://www.aeon.net.au/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Helen Joyce is author of “TRANS: When Ideology Meets Reality”, (recently reissued as “Trans: Gender Identity and the New Battle for Women's Rights”). TRANS was published in July 2021 by OneWorld and has been in paperback since May 2022.  A Times of London and Spectator book of the year, it is a UK and Amazon top ten bestseller. It received rave reviews in publications ranging from the Telegraph to the New York Times, and endorsements from, among others, Daniel Dennett (“A sane, humane book”), Lionel Shriver (“Utterly unintimidated by extremist orthodoxy”) and Richard Dawkins (“Thoroughly researched, passionate and very brave”). Until April 2022, Helen was The Economist's Britain editor. She joined the paper in 2005 as education correspondent; subsequent jobs include Brazil correspondent (based in São Paulo), International editor, Finance editor and Executive editor for events. Before that she edited Plus, an online magazine about maths published by the University of Cambridge, and was founding editor for the Royal Statistical Society's magazine, Significance. She has a bachelor's degree from Trinity College Dublin, a Master's from Cambridge and a PhD from University College London, all in mathematics. Helen now works as director of advocacy for Sex Matters, a human-rights organisation that campaigns for sex-based rights. Her independent journalism and subscription newsletter can be found on her website: thehelenjoyce.com. She has a regular column in the Critic magazine and tweets @hjoycegender. Helen's book: https://www.goodreads.com/en/book/show/56897445   The Coddling of the American Mind https://www.thecoddling.com Crazy Like Us https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Crazy-Like-Us/Ethan-Watters/9781416587095 Edward Shorter: https://www.history.utoronto.ca/people/directories/all-faculty/edward-shorter   ************* Support our work: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/GDAlliance?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US   For more information: https://www.genderdysphoriaalliance.com  

The history of statistics is filled with interesting facts about the development of the field and stories of the people who helped shape it. A new column at CHANCE magazine will explore the history of stats which is the focus of this episode of Stats+Stories with guest Chiatra Nagaraja Chaitra Nagaraja is a Senior Lecturer at the University of Exeter. Her research interests are primarily in measurement, particularly macroeconomic and socioeconomic indicators, time series, and the history of statistics. Prior to joining Exeter, she was a faculty member at the Gabelli School of Business at Fordham University in New York City where she wrote the 2019 book Measuring Society and a research mathematical statistician at the U.S Census Bureau, focusing on the American Community Survey. The book is a history of US official statistics like unemployment, inflation, and poverty. In addition to her university research and teaching, she is the chair of the American Statistical Association's Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee, a member of the Royal Statistical Society's History of Statistics Section, and the book review editor for the International Statistical Review. She also recently accepted a co-editorship position for the new history of statistics column in CHANCE magazine.

Med en hjelpende hånd fra Aftenposten gjør klima­bransjen med Bjerknes­senteret og CICERO Senter for klima­forskning og i spissen hva de kan for å diskreditere artikkelen Statistisk sentralbyrå (SSB) har publisert som sår tvil om menneske­skapte klima­endringer. Offentlig­hetens ærefrykt for klima­preste­skapet er stor, og nå endrer SSB reglene, slik at de ikke gjør samme «feil» en gang til, selv om artikkel­forfatterne tidligere har publisert et lignende resonnement i Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Men hvor troverdig er egentlig klima­bransjen selv? Ikke så veldig, viser det seg hvis man ser litt nøyere etter. Og nettopp det gjør Christian Skaug og Rebecca Mistereggen i kveldens sending, helt uten ærefrykt. Velkommen til Dagsorden.

Natalie Shlomo is Professor of Social Statistics since joining the faculty in September 2012. She was the head of the Department of Social Statistics (2014-2017). Her research interests are in topics related to survey statistics and survey methodology. She is the UK principle investigator for several collaborative grants from the 7th Framework Programme and H2020 of the European Union all involving research in improving survey statistics and dissemination. She was the principle investigator for the ESRC grant on theoretical sample designs for a new UK birth cohort and co-investigator for the NCRM grant focusing on non-response in biosocial research. She was also principle investigator for the Leverhulme Trust International Network Grant on Bayesian Adaptive Survey Designs. She is an elected member of the International Statistical Institute and a fellow of the Royal Statistical Society. She is an elected council member (to 2021) and Vice-President (to 2019) of the International Statistical Institute. She serves on editorial boards of several journals as well as national and international advisory boards.

Sir David Hendry, the renowned British econometrician, talks to hosts Gene Tunny and Tim Hughes about the state of economic forecasting and the transition to net zero greenhouse gas emissions. Among other things, Sir David talks about how to avoid major economic forecasting failures (e.g. UK productivity), forecasting global temperatures after volcanic eruptions, and the role of nuclear energy in the net zero transition. Sir David is currently Deputy Director of the Climate Econometrics group at Oxford. Please get in touch with any questions, comments and suggestions by emailing us at contact@economicsexplored.com or sending a voice message via https://www.speakpipe.com/economicsexplored. About Sir David HendrySir David F. Hendry is Deputy Director, Climate Econometrics (formerly Programme for Economic Modelling), Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School and of Climate Econometrics and Senior Research Fellow, Nuffield College, Oxford University. He was previously Professor of Economics at Oxford 1982--2018, Professor of Econometrics at LSE and a Leverhulme Personal Research Professor of Economics, Oxford 1995-2000. He was Knighted in 2009; is an Honorary Vice-President and past President, Royal Economic Society; Fellow, British Academy, Royal Society of Edinburgh, Econometric Society, Academy of Social Sciences, Econometric Reviews and Journal of Econometrics; Foreign Honorary Member, American Economic Association and American Academy of Arts and Sciences; Honorary Fellow, International Institute of Forecasters and Founding Fellow, International Association for Applied Econometrics. He has received eight Honorary Doctorates, a Lifetime Achievement Award from the ESRC, and the Guy Medal in Bronze from the Royal Statistical Society. The ISI lists him as one of the world's 200 most cited economists, he is a Thomson Reuters Citation Laureate, and has published more than 200 papers and 25 books on econometric methods, theory, modelling, and history; computing; empirical economics; and forecasting.What's covered in EP198Conversation with Sir David:[00:02:27] Economic forecasting: are we any better at it? [00:05:56] Forecasting errors and adjustments. [00:08:04] Widespread use of flawed models. [00:12:45] Macroeconomics and the financial crisis. [00:16:30] Indicator saturation in forecasting. [00:21:02] AI's relevance in forecasting. [00:24:23] Theory vs. data driven modeling. [00:28:09] Volcanic eruptions and temperature recovery. [00:32:26] Ice ages and climate modeling. [00:37:09] Carbon taxes. [00:40:10] Methane reduction in animal agriculture. [00:44:43] Small nuclear reactors: should Australia consider them?[00:49:08] Solar energy storage challenge. [00:54:00] Car as a battery. [00:57:01] Simplifying insurance sales process. [01:01:19] Climate econometrics and modeling.Wrap up from Gene and Tim: [01:03:23] Central bank forecasting errors. [01:07:12] Breakthrough in battery technology. [01:11:18] Graphene and clean energy. Links relevant to the conversationClimate Econometrics group at Oxford:https://www.climateeconometrics.org/Conversation with John Atkins on philosophy and truth mentioned by Tim:https://economicsexplored.com/2021/10/16/ep109-philosophy-and-truth/Info on solid state batteries and graphene:https://www.topspeed.com/toyota-745-mile-solid-state-battery/https://theconversation.com/graphene-is-a-proven-supermaterial-but-manufacturing-the-versatile-form-of-carbon-at-usable-scales-remains-a-challenge-194238https://hemanth-99.medium.com/graphene-and-its-applications-in-renewable-energy-sector-333d1cbb89ebThanks to Obsidian Productions for mixing the episode and to the show's sponsor, Gene's consultancy business www.adepteconomics.com.au. Full transcripts are available a few days after the episode is first published at www.economicsexplored.com. Economics Explored is available via Apple Podcasts, Google Podcast, and other podcasting platforms.

NR og Gjensidige har i en årrekke samarbeidet om å regne på hvordan endringer i vær og klima påvirker risikoen for forsikringsskader. Nå kommer til og med noen av resultatene på trykk i et av tidsskriftene til det prestisjefylte Royal Statistical Society. John Elvsborg (Gjensidige) og Ola Haug (NR) snakker om hvorfor det er viktig å regne på dette, hvordan vi gjør det og hvorfor mange flere enn Gjensidige kan ha stor nytte av resultatene.En podkastserie av Norsk Regnesentral med Anders Løland i studio. Jingle ved Sturla Rønning. Produsent: Elin Ruhlin Gjuvsland.https://nr.no

Death happens in medical settings for all kinds of reasons. However, when a death is unexpected, it can leave loved ones grieving and investigators wondering whether it was a case of medical misconduct, or medical murder. When investigators decide to bring a case to trial, they often rely on statistics to make their argument. The Royal Statistical Society released a report this year about such cases, which is the focus of this episode of stats and stories with guest William C. Thompson. William C. Thompson is Professor Emeritus of Criminology, Law, and Society; Psychology and Social Behavior at the UCI School of Social Ecology interested in human factors associated with forensic science evidence, including contextual and cognitive bias in forensic analysis and the communication of scientific findings to lawyers and juries. He has written about the strengths and limitations of various types of forensic science evidence, particularly DNA evidence, and about the ability of lay juries to evaluate evidence.

Florence Nightingale is the founder of modern nursing and a pioneer of data science and medical statistics. Her innovative use of statistical diagrams helped people see just how many deaths were being caused by poor hygiene in military hospitals.This lecture will look at the importance and legacy of Nightingale's work, which led to her becoming, in 1858, the first woman elected to the Royal Statistical Society.A lecture by Sarah Hart recorded on 16 May 2023 at David Game College, London.The transcript and downloadable versions of the lecture are available from the Gresham College website: https://www.gresham.ac.uk/watch-now/maths-nightingaleGresham College has offered free public lectures for over 400 years, thanks to the generosity of our supporters. There are currently over 2,500 lectures free to access. We believe that everyone should have the opportunity to learn from some of the greatest minds. To support Gresham's mission, please consider making a donation: https://gresham.ac.uk/support/Website:  https://gresham.ac.ukTwitter:  https://twitter.com/greshamcollegeFacebook: https://facebook.com/greshamcollegeInstagram: https://instagram.com/greshamcollegeSupport the show

"What's a statistician's favourite sandwich filling?..." Timandra Harkness – presenter, writer, comedian and Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society – told our friends Dan Aspel and Maha Kaouri her favourite maths joke in this episode of the Living Proof podcast from the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences. Timandra Harkness   Timandra brilliantly chaired several sessions of the Communicating mathematics for the public event at the Newton Gateway to Mathematics. In this podcast Timandra spoke about how to make maths funny, and how she came to fall in love with mathematics from an arts and humanities background. Oh and the punchline to Timandra's favourite joke? You'll have to listen to the podcast to find out!   00:00 – Introduction 00:44 – Welcome, discussing Communicating mathematics for the public 03:38 – Origins of Timandra's interest in maths, understanding "enough to ask the right questions" 07:50 – Discussing Timandra's book Big Data – Does Size Matter? 11:10 – Other current projects and shows, writing another book about "why everything is personalised" 13:13 – Mingling an arts background with a mathematics focus, "coming out as a closet mathematician" 17:10 – How do you make maths funny as a comedian? … "What's a statistician's favourite sandwich filling?" 21:10 – Future projects   This podcast was inspired by the Communicating mathematics for the public event at the Newton Gateway to Mathematics in January 2023.   (If that joke tickles your funny bone – try this one!)   This podcast is part of our collaboration with the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences (INI) – you can find all the content from our collaboration here. The INI is an international research centre and our neighbour here on the University of Cambridge's maths campus. It attracts leading mathematical scientists from all over the world, and is open to all. Visit www.newton.ac.uk to find out more.  

In episode #49 of Living Proof, Dan Aspel and Maha Kaouri are joined by presenter, writer and comedian Timandra Harkness. The author of Big Data: Does Size Matter? And Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society speaks about her current projects, how to make maths "funny", and how she came to fall in love with mathematics from an arts and humanities background.> Visit timandraharkness.com or find Timandra on Twitter @TimandraHarknes00:00 - Introduction00:44 - Welcome, discussing “Communicating Mathematics for the Public”03:38 - Origins of Timandra's interest in maths, understanding “enough to ask the right questions”07:50 - Discussing the book “Big Data - Does Size Matter?”11:10 - Other current projects and shows, writing another book about “why everything is personalised”13:13 - Mingling an arts background with a mathematics focus, “coming out as a closet mathematician”17:10 - How do you make maths funny as a comedian? ... “What's a statistician's favourite sandwich filling?”21:10 - Future projects

Ty Tashiro (@tytashiro) is an author and relationship expert. He wrote Awkward: The Science of Why We're Socially Awkward and Why That's Awesome and The Science of Happily Ever After . His work has been featured at the New York Times, Time.com, TheAtlantic.com, NPR, Sirius XM Stars radio, and VICE. He received his Ph.D. in Psychology from the University of Minnesota, has been an award-winning professor at the University of Maryland and University of Colorado, and has addressed TED@NYC, Harvard Business School, MIT's Media Lab, and the American Psychological Association. Sir David Spiegelhalter (@d_spiegel) is the Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication and has dedicated his work to improving the way that quantitative evidence is used in society. He is the former President of the Royal Statistical Society as well as a three-time former guest on Stats and Stories.

In this episode we have for the first time, not 1 but 2 guests, in a discussion split into 3 parts. This is the final part of the series, in which we discuss Physics education. In the first, we discussed interdisciplinary approaches to science, and in the second, environmental physics. Below is some information on each of the guests. Helen Rogers: Helen is an atmospheric scientist with twenty years of experience in teaching, research and programme coordination. She has worked on developing atmospheric/climate models at the Universities of Oxford and Cambridge, was Programme Manager for the NERC Upper Troposphere Lower Stratosphere Ozone Programme and a senior researcher for the European Ozone Research Coordinating Unit. She has particular interest and expertise in determining the environmental impact of the transport sector (primarily aviation and shipping), atmospheric modelling, and computational fluid dynamics. Helen was a contributor to the Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution (2002); ‘Climate Change 2001: The scientific basis' – the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC); and the IPCC Special Report on Aviation and the Global Atmosphere (1999). Helen is the chair of the Environmental Physics Group at the Institute of Physics, with a D.Phil. in Atmospheric Physics from the University of Oxford and a degree in Physics from Imperial College, London. Luthais McCash: Luthais is the Chief Scientific Officer at Sigma Solutions and chair of the mathematical and theoretical physics group at The Institute of Physics. Sigma Solutions was built entirely from scratch by Luthais as a business consulting firm that offers distinct ideas in state-of-the-art data analysis to a variety of businesses across multiple industries. The company has a reputation of finding creative approaches to complicated problems and has recently won the accolade of most innovative business 2022, awarded by Corporate Vision magazine. Luthais himself has been recognised as one of the top 20 most dynamic CEOs in the UK of 2022 and he's still only in his twenties. Luthais was initially recognised as a fellow of the Royal Statistical Society in May 2020 for his creative work on advanced modelling and optimisation in the energy industry with a focus on oil and gas. He developed and implemented technology that revolutionised the trading and efficient distribution of liquified natural gas by cutting costs by a factor of 10. He's been re-elected as a fellow of the RSS in June 2021 and he has also been an honorary fellow at the University of Leicester in 2019-2021. On top of his business exploits he is now also in a research position at Durham University. I hope you enjoy the discussion! The Galileo Interviews on: » Twitter | https://twitter.com/TheGalileoInt » Instagram | https://www.instagram.com/thegalileointerviews » LinkedIn | https://www.linkedin.com/company/thegalileointerviews Chapters: 00:00:00 Introduction 00:01:06 How do we get more people excited about Physics? 00:08:49 How can a deeper understanding be facilitated in education 00:21:29 Maths as a language and what science is really about 32:59 Should exams be harder? Do they even test the right thing? 00:38:45 The importance of perseverance 00:44:20 Diversity in Physics 00:50:41 Coming full circle - intersections of disciplines 00:53:09 Wiki guide to reforming the education system!

Sir Bernard Silverman is an eminent British Statistician whose career has spanned academia, central government, and public office. He will discuss his wide-ranging career in statistics with Professor Denise Lievesley, herself a distinguished British social statistician. He was President of the Royal Statistical Society in 2010 before stepping down to become Chief Scientific Adviser to the Home Office until 2017. Since 2018, Sir Bernard has been a part-time Professor of Modern Slavery Statistics at the University of Nottingham and also has a portfolio of roles in Government, as chair of the Geospatial Commission, the Technology Advisory Panel to the Investigatory Powers Commissioner, and the Methodological Assurance Panel for the Census.  He was awarded a knighthood in 2018 for public service and services to science.

After the signing of the Treaty of Paris, the troops came home from Crimea, as did the remarkable women we talked about last week: Mary Seacole and Florence Nightingale. They came back to different lives: Nightingale went on to do seminal work in nursing and in healthcare analysis – she revealed an unusual grasp of mathematical methods and became the first female member of the Royal Statistical Society – while Seacole faced bankruptcy and closed doors. Could that be down to her blood running, as she put it, “under a duskier skin” than that of most Brits? Before we finally leave Crimea, this episode includes a quick digression about another remarkable healthcare specialist, this time on the Russian side, the military surgeon Nikolay Pirogov. Then, like the troops, we return to England. There Palmerston was pursuing a liberal domestic policy programme, but as we'll explore more next week, he was about to encounter events in foreign affairs that would put a spoke in his wheels. Illustration: Detail from Diagram of the causes of mortality in the army in the East (1858) by Florence Nightingale, a coloured pie chart to illustrate causes of death in the British Army. Public domain in its source country on January 1, 1996 and in the United States. Music: Bach Partita #2c by J Bu licensed under an Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivatives (aka Music Sharing) 3.0 International License.

Tim Harford is an economist, associate member of Nuffield College, Oxford and an honorary fellow of the Royal Statistical Society, a journalist and an author. Humans need to be able to accurately judge the world around them. With more information than ever, this should be getting easier by the year and yet clear thinking seems to be ever more elusive. Why are we so prone to biases and what are some of the biggest rationality blunders from history? Expect to learn why Sir Arthur Conan Doyle got obsessed with photos of fairies, what everyone misunderstands about inflation, the danger indiscriminate doubt and reflexive cynicism, the similarities between magic and misinformation, why smart people get hijacked by ideology and much more... Sponsors: Get a free bag of Colima Sea Salt at http://modernwisdomsalt.com/ (discount automatically applied) Get 83% discount & 3 months free from Surfshark VPN at https://surfshark.deals/MODERNWISDOM (use code MODERNWISDOM) Get 5 Free Travel Packs, Free Liquid Vitamin D and Free Shipping from Athletic Greens at https://athleticgreens.com/modernwisdom (discount automatically applied) Extra Stuff: Check out Tim's website - https://timharford.com/  Buy Tim's book - https://amzn.to/3DNELvw  Get my free Reading List of 100 books to read before you die → https://chriswillx.com/books/ To support me on Patreon (thank you): https://www.patreon.com/modernwisdom - Get in touch. Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact/ 

Rishad talks to Timandra Harkness, Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society, broadcaster, and author of Big Data: Does Size Matter? about the uses and abuses of data during Covid and what we might expect in our personalised century.

Patrick Maguire speaks to former Treasury Minister John Glen, Poppy Trowbridge, who was Special Adviser to the former Chancellor Philip Hammond, Jeevun Sandher a former economist at HM Treasury and the Department of Work and Pensions and Stian Westlake, the CEO of the Royal Statistical Society to talk all things Treasury.PLUS Libby Purves and Patrick Kidd discuss England's jubilant victory and being an influencer. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Every time we buy food, put fuel in our car, or get an energy bill the cost of living hits us where it hurts - in our pocket. Prices are rising faster than at any time in the last 40 years and that is not predicted to get any better until well into next year. However, does the standard measure of prices rising overall by 9% a year reflect the reality of households? We'll hear from Jill Leyland of the Royal Statistical Society and from Michael Hardie of the Office for National Statistics about this. We'll also speak to families who find themselves unable to afford essential costs. Our reporter Elisabeth Mahy visits Oakham in Rutland to see a beautician with two children, who is finding her money won't stretch as far as she needs. New data from the market research company NielsenIQ explores how our supermarket shopping habits are changing. And we'll hear from some online advice groups about what, if anything, we can change to reduce the impact of the cost of living crisis. Presenter: Paul Lewis Reporter: Elisabeth Mahy Researchers: Sandra Hardial and Amber Mehmood Editor: Jess Quayle (First broadcast 12noon, Saturday 4th June, 2022)

Andrew Carter speaks to Chief Executive of the Royal Statistical Society and former government advisor Stian Westlake about his new book, Restarting the Future: How to Fix the Intangible Economy, which he co-authored alongside Jonathan Haskel. This episode explores how there has been an incomplete transition from an economy based on physical capital to one based on intangible capital - such as ideas, brands, and knowledge. Westlake argues that this has left our economic institutions geared to an outmoded way of doing business, and that an institutional refresh is needed to drive growth and address inequalities. This episode is part of Centre for Cities' City Talks series. Please rate, review and share the episode if you enjoyed it.

Everyone seems to think the world economy has taken a wrong turn, but nobody seems to agree on the reasons why. What if the culprit is the world's hidden transition from tangible to intangible assets? In this episode of Risk Talking, Royal Statistical Society chief executive Stian Westlake joins Allison Schrager to define the intangible economy and explain how it affects the world around us. His new book, co-authored with Jon Haskel and called Restarting the Future: How to Fix an Intangible Economy, is out now.

April 1, 2022--Bob Bushansky speaks with Stian Westlake, co-author of Restarting The Future — How To Fix The Intangible Economy. Stian Westlake is the CEO of the Royal Statistical Society of Great Britain. He believes that with the decline of manufacturing, the intangible economy — intellectual property, R & D, software, design, etc. — is the future and it needs fixing.

Stian Westlake is the chief exec at the Royal Statistical Society, and before that he was a policy advisor to government and the executive director at Nesta. He is the co-author with Jonathan Haskel of Capitalism without Capital, and they have a new book out, Restarting the Future (22 March 2022). Stian discusses how recessions might be different under an intangible economy. I ask him (H/T Tyler Cowen) how national security concerns might be different in a very intangible world. Part of his answer: ...if you are an interconnected, relatively open economy, and Russia was always the most relatively interconnected of the BRIC [Brazil, Russia, India, China] countries, the intangible economy kind of makes it easier to turn off those taps in a way…. how dependent some of these kinds of more security based, more military based factors have been on intangible assets. We've probably all seen the stories of the dependence of the Russian air force on US GPS devices, which has led to them being more observable and perhaps has played a role in the fact that they have not been as present in the conflict as people thought they would be. I think that kind of interconnectivity is like many things in the intangible economy. It's great for winners, it's great if you're the US or if you're a US ally and it's probably not so great for the losers. … We chat about these observations: Stagnation Inequality Dysfunctional Competition Fragility Inauthenticity And Stian offers an intangible lens to explain the observations. We discuss: BS jobs and whether culture and trust might be upstream of this. Why we need new institutions to tackle intangible challenges, whether this would be more technocractic and if there is a political economy challenge on this. The importance of where the intangible meets the tangible, for instance, we have heat pump technology but not the intangible systems and ideas to install them. Sanitation is “hardware” but building and co-ordinating all this is an intangible and institutional challenge more than a hardware challege. What the trade-off is between losing red tape and increasing the risk of corruption. Stian argues for why the tax treatment of debt and equity would be a good idea (while acknowledging this would be politically hard). We play over/under rated on: Innovation Prizes, Blogging, Sugar tax, Carbon tax, Plastic Bag Tax, Innovation agencies, GDP and UBI, universal basic income. Stian ends with some life and career advice. Video and transcript are available here, with further links.

Martin Goodson | The UK's AI Roadmap #ai #datascience #startups Martin Goodson (Evolution AI) describes the key aspects of the UK's AI Roadmap & responses to the document by members of the Royal Statistical Society. In particular, Martin describes the disconnect between the priorities of AI startups and industry practitioners on one side, and government and academia on the other. Martin also outlines which skills early career data scientists should focus on while in school versus after entering the workforce. Also available on.... YouTube: https://youtu.be/T9qRl6Hclhg   Topic List 0:00 COMING UP: Scientific culture & AI 1:25 The UK AI Roadmap 8:44 Who is a data science “practitioner”?  12:53 Data science in AI startups 20:36 Is there a disconnect between practitioners & academia? 25:09 Key skills for new data science graduates 32:03 Coding & production level data science 39:30 Learning the right data analysis skills at the course-level.  45:32 AI leadership 58:40 AI from academia & OpenSource initiatives 1:05:37 Large institutions' impact on the AI field 1:08:24 Back to the UK AI roadmap   1:12:16 Building an AI community  1:13:15 AI in our lifetime: Moonshots & realistic goals 1:14:31 Scientific debate

Read the full transcriptWhat is a "wamb"? What are the differences between wambs and nerds? When is it appropriate (or not) to decouple concepts from their context? What are some common characteristics of miscommunications between journalists and writers / thinkers in the EA and Rationalist communities? What are "crony" beliefs? How can you approach discussions of controversial topics without immediately getting labelled as being on one team or another? What sorts of quirks do members of the EA and Rationalist communities typically exhibit in social contexts?Tom is a freelance science writer and the science editor at UnHerd.com. He has twice been awarded a Royal Statistical Society "statistical excellence in journalism" prize, in 2018 and 2020, and was declared the science writer of the year by the Association of British Science Writers in 2021. His first book, The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy: Superintelligent AI and the Geeks Who are Trying to Solve Humanity's Future (originally titled The AI Does Not Hate You), was declared one of the Times's science books of 2019. He worked for seven years at the Telegraph and three years at BuzzFeed before going freelance in 2018, and was once described by Sir Terry Pratchett as "far too nice to be a journalist". Find out more about Tom on Twitter, UnHerd, and tomchivers.com.

Read the full transcript here. What is a "wamb"? What are the differences between wambs and nerds? When is it appropriate (or not) to decouple concepts from their context? What are some common characteristics of miscommunications between journalists and writers / thinkers in the EA and Rationalist communities? What are "crony" beliefs? How can you approach discussions of controversial topics without immediately getting labelled as being on one team or another? What sorts of quirks do members of the EA and Rationalist communities typically exhibit in social contexts?Tom is a freelance science writer and the science editor at UnHerd.com. He has twice been awarded a Royal Statistical Society "statistical excellence in journalism" prize, in 2018 and 2020, and was declared the science writer of the year by the Association of British Science Writers in 2021. His first book, The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy: Superintelligent AI and the Geeks Who are Trying to Solve Humanity's Future (originally titled The AI Does Not Hate You), was declared one of the Times's science books of 2019. He worked for seven years at the Telegraph and three years at BuzzFeed before going freelance in 2018, and was once described by Sir Terry Pratchett as "far too nice to be a journalist". Find out more about Tom on Twitter, UnHerd, and tomchivers.com. [Read more]

In this episode of the McKinsey Global Institute's Forward Thinking podcast, co-host Janet Bush talks with Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake. Jonathan Haskel is professor of economics at Imperial College Business School at Imperial College London and an external member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England. Stian Westlake is chief executive of the Royal Statistical Society in the United Kingdom. Haskel and Westlake talk about their pioneering work on intangible assets: how to define them to reflect their growing role in companies and economies, the benefits and risks, and how to enable a smoother transition to a dematerialized economy with such assets at its core. They answer questions including the following: ● So we really are now in the knowledge and know-how economy. Is this a new era for capitalism? ● Are intangibles good for us? ● How do you tell whether investment in intangibles is smart or dumb? ● Are intangibles a recipe for inequality? ● What needs to be fixed to ease the transition to the intangibles economy? This conversation was recorded in December 2021. To read a transcript of this episode, visit: https://mck.co/HaskelWestlake Follow @McKinsey_MGI on Twitter and the McKinsey Global Institute on LinkedIn for more.See www.mckinsey.com/privacy-policy for privacy information

David Spiegelhalter is an expert on medical statistics. He was the president of the Royal Statistical Society and is Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence communication. He is also a World Champion, in a version of pool called Loop and hosts his own podcast, Risky Talk. David has a new book out (with Anthony Masters), COVID by Numbers, which is an excellent book on COVID statistics. This follows his previous bestseller, the Art of Statistics. David discusses what was most surprising and misunderstood about COVID statistics. David emphasises how numbers can be emotional and weaponised and what we can do to protect ourselves. We chat about what thinking about risk and techniques we should teach children and think about in every day life. Ideas such as baseline risk and absolute vs relative risk. We think about unintended consequences, the agency challenges of regulators and how to think of a range of risk. David explains fat tails and extreme values and that, for instance, AI risk is an extreme existential risk but perhaps over rated. I learn about the “Rose Paradox” and “Cromwell's law”, in statistics. The Rose paradox suggests policy might be useful at a general population level but not at an individual basis. For instance, government messages about drinking less and things like that can be rational at the population level and yet it's also rational for individuals to take no notice of it. Cromwell's law implies many life events are not 0% or 100% and you should take that into account in decision making. Or, in plain English, you should always imagine there's something you haven't thought of. We discuss the risks of alcohol and touch on air pollution and cholesterol (statin drugs), and how to think about medical statistics. David explains the attraction and beauty of stained glass art. David ends with life advice about enjoying life and taking (good, well-managed) risks in order to have a fulfilling life. Transcript and video are available here.

Nell Watson: How To Teach AI Human Values   [Audio] Podcast: Play in new window | DownloadSubscribe: Google Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | RSSNell Watson is an interdisciplinary researcher in emerging technologies such as machine vision and A.I. ethics. Her work primarily focuses on protecting human rights and putting ethics, safety, and the values of the human spirit into technologies such as Artificial Intelligence. Nell serves as Chair & Vice-Chair respectively of the IEEE's ECPAIS Transparency Experts Focus Group, and P7001 Transparency of Autonomous Systems committee on A.I. Ethics & Safety, engineering credit score-like mechanisms into A.I. to help safeguard algorithmic trust.She serves as an Executive Consultant on philosophical matters for Apple, as well as serving as Senior Scientific Advisor to The Future Society, and Senior Fellow to The Atlantic Council. She also holds Fellowships with the British Computing Society and Royal Statistical Society, among others. Her public speaking has inspired audiences to work towards a brighter future at venues such as The World Bank, The United Nations General Assembly, and The Royal Society.Episode Links:  Nell Watson's LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nellwatson/ Nell Watson's Twitter: https://twitter.com/NellWatson Nell Watson's Website: https://www.nellwatson.com/ Podcast Details: Podcast website: https://www.humainpodcast.com Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/humain-podcast-artificial-intelligence-data-science/id1452117009 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6tXysq5TzHXvttWtJhmRpS RSS: https://feeds.redcircle.com/99113f24-2bd1-4332-8cd0-32e0556c8bc9 YouTube Full Episodes: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCxvclFvpPvFM9_RxcNg1rag YouTube Clips: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCxvclFvpPvFM9_RxcNg1rag/videos Support and Social Media:  – Check out the sponsors above, it's the best way to support this podcast– Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/humain/creators – Twitter: https://twitter.com/dyakobovitch – Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/humainpodcast/ – LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/davidyakobovitch/ – Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HumainPodcast/ – HumAIn Website Articles: https://www.humainpodcast.com/blog/ Outline: Here's the timestamps for the episode: (2:57)- Even though the science of forensics and police work has changed so much in those last two centuries, principles are great, but it's very important that we create something actionable out of that. We create criteria with defined metrics that we can know whether we are achieving those principles and to what degree.(3:25)- With that in mind, I've been working with teams at the IEEE Standards Association to create standards for transparency, which are a little bit traditional big document upfront very deep working on many different levels for many different use cases and different people for example, investigators or managers of organizations, etcetera.(9:04)- Transparency is really the foundation of all other aspects of AI and Ethics. We need to understand how an incident occurred, or we need to understand how a system performs a function in order to. I analyze how it might be biased or where there might be some malfunction or what might occur in a certain situation or a certain scenario, or indeed who might be responsible for something having gone through it is really the most basic element of protecting ourselves, protecting our privacy, our autonomy from these kinds of advanced algorithmic systems, there are many different elements that might influence these kinds of systems.(26:35)- We're really coming to a Sputnik moment and AI. We've gotten used to the idea of talking to our embodied smart speakers and asking them about sports results or what tomorrow's weather is going to be. But they're not truly conversational.(32:43)- Fundamentally technologies and a humane society is about putting the human first, putting human needs first and adapting systems to serve those needs and to truly and better the human condition to not sacrifice everything for the sake of efficiency to leave a bit of slack and to ensure that the costs to society of a new innovation or the costs to the environment are properly taken into effect.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Science writer Tom Chivers is the author of How To Read Numbers: A Guide To Statistics In The News (And Knowing When to Trust Them) which he co-wrote with his cousin, the economist David Chivers. He came to Meghan's attention recently because of an article he wrote for the British publication, UnHerd, where he serves as science editor. That article, entitled Twitter Trolls Mentally Ill?, was a response to a widely circulated statement by the author Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie, who wrote about defamation she'd experienced from a former student and about how the language of empathy and self-care is now often repurposed as a cudgel. Tom's piece expanded on some of these ideas, suggesting that mental health struggles and personality disorders have become engines of social media and that the kind of behavior that's rewarded on places like Twitter is sometimes the same behavior that's associated with diagnoses like Borderline Personality Disorder. Tom spoke with Meghan about this article and about related ideas in his book, including the ways misperceptions of harm can turn people into catastrophists. Relevant links: Are Twitter Trolls Mentally Ill? https://unherd.com/2021/06/are-twitter-trolls-mentally-ill/ It Is Obscene by Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie https://www.chimamanda.com/news_items/it-is-obscene-a-true-reflection-in-three-parts/ Guest Bio: Tom Chivers is science editor at UnHerd and the co-author with David Chivers of How To Read Numbers: A Guide To Statistics In The News (And Knowing When to Trust Them). He is a two Tim winner of the Royal Statistical Society's “statistical excellence in journalism” award.

Tim Harford, economist, broadcaster and author, is helping us make sense of the numbers, statistics, graphs and charts that are increasingly overwhelming us on social media. He explains why we need to calm down when we look at them, and he shows us how to distinguish between those who brandish them like weapons to win political arguments, and those who use them to help explain what is going on in the world. The author of eight best-selling books, Tim has spoken at TED, PopTech and the Sydney Opera House. He is an associate member of Nuffield College, Oxford and an honorary fellow of the Royal Statistical Society and was made an OBE for services to improving economic understanding in the New Year honours of 2019.**Please subscribe, rate and review if you enjoy the podcast**Find Tim on Twitter https://www.twitter.com/timharford and on his website www.timharford.com. How To Make The World Add up is on Amazon (Published as The Data Detective in North America).It's Complicated is on Instagram https://www.instagram.com/itscomplicatedpodFor more about Tanya Goodin visit https://www.tanyagoodin.com and Time To Log Off https://www.itstimetologoff.com Get Tanya's books: 'Off: Your Digital Detox for a Better Life' and 'Stop Staring at Screens' Find out about the digital detox and digital wellbeing course from The Time To Log Off Academy: https://timetologoff.teachable.com/p/digital-detox-course It's Complicated is produced by Time To Log OffTwitter: https://www.twitter.com/timetologoff Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/timetologoff and Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/timetologoffnow See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Welcome to the podcast, Nell Watson, Founder of QuantaCorp, a pioneer in Machine Vision. Graham and Nell explore the fascinating world of AI, philosophy, and ethics. Graham was a graduate of Artificial Intelligence back in 1995, but a lot has changed in the last 25 years! Nell explains how AI has evolved and how it will continue to evolve from here. Nell serves as Senior Scientific Advisor to The Future Society at Harvard, and holds Fellowships from the British Computing Society, and Royal Statistical Society. She also chairs EthicsNet.org, a community teaching pro-social behaviours to machines