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There are many threats to the U.S. economy. How might investors prepare for uncertainty? We discuss fixed income opportunities. • Learn more at thriventfunds.com • Follow us on LinkedIn • Share feedback and questions with us at podcast@thriventfunds.com • Thrivent Distributors, LLC is a member of FINRA and a subsidiary of Thrivent, the marketing name for Thrivent Financial for Lutherans.
Mike Wills is joined by Vincent Anthonyrajah, CEO and co-founder of Differential Capital, for a crash course in Bond Market 101 — and why global investors are suddenly jittery. With Trump back in the headlines and Republican fiscal plans adding trillions to U.S. debt, markets are reacting with rising interest rates, slower growth forecasts, and a general sense of financial unease. Presenter John Maytham is an actor and author-turned-talk radio veteran and seasoned journalist. His show serves a round-up of local and international news coupled with the latest in business, sport, traffic and weather. The host’s eclectic interests mean the program often surprises the audience with intriguing book reviews and inspiring interviews profiling artists. A daily highlight is Rapid Fire, just after 5:30pm. CapeTalk fans call in, to stump the presenter with their general knowledge questions. Another firm favourite is the humorous Thursday crossing with award-winning journalist Rebecca Davis, called “Plan B”. Thank you for listening to a podcast from Afternoon Drive with John Maytham Listen live on Primedia+ weekdays from 15:00 and 18:00 (SA Time) to Afternoon Drive with John Maytham broadcast on CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show go to https://buff.ly/BSFy4Cn or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/n8nWt4x Subscribe to the CapeTalk Daily and Weekly Newsletters https://buff.ly/sbvVZD5 Follow us on social media: CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Episode 4503: 20 Year Treasury Bond Auction Debacle
In this week's episode, our experts unpack the past few days following positive news on tariff discussions between the United States and China. We also provide observations on the final earnings calls of the first quarter of 2025, changes in consumer sentiment, ongoing uncertainty around the Federal Reserve, what happened in the Treasury Bond market, and how proposed tax and spending plans from Congress will impact the federal deficit. Please note that we will not release a new episode next week in observance of the Memorial Day holiday weekend; we encourage you to take a moment to reflect on the history and meaning of the holiday as we begin the summer season.Speakers:Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment StrategyGeorge Mateyo, Chief Investment OfficerRajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed IncomeStephen Hoedt, Head of Equities 00:21 – A reflection on Memorial Day.03:05 – A review of this week's Consumer Price Index measure of inflation.03:56 – The Consumer Price Index report showed month-over-month retail sales rose by 0.1% in April, while industrial production remained flat at a 0.0% change from March.05:18 – Equity markets rose on news of a coordinated effort between the U.S. and China to rein in tariffs.11:09 – A look into corporate news of the week in relation to mergers and acquisitions, earnings calls, and a surge in corporate debt issuance.12:52 – The 10-year Treasury note yield rose to above 4.5% before coming back down towards the end of the week.15:51 – Priorities seem to shift for Fed Chair Jerome Powell towards addressing employment shortfalls, while still maintaining an inflation target of 2%.16:52 – A discussion about the potential impacts on the federal deficit and general investment strategy of the proposed tax reforms making their way through Congress.Additional ResourcesKey Questions | Key Private BankSubscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletterWeekly Investment Brief Follow us on LinkedIn
Japan is not considering the idea of using possible sale of U.S. Treasury bonds it holds as a tool in its tariff negotiations with the United States, Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato said Sunday.
United States Treasury bonds have long been viewed as a highly liquid investment with very little risk of default. They have served as a safe haven for investors and also provided a benchmark interest rate for mortgages, car loans, corporate debt, and other bonds. Typically, Treasury bond yields fall at times of financial stress as demand for Treasury securities rise. But this time is different. Bond prices have fallen and yields have risen in the wake of the policy volatility of the past month. Jeremy Stein joins EconoFact Chats to discuss the reasons for the increase in interest rates, its possible consequences, and policies to calm the bond market. Jeremy is the Moise Y. Safra Professor of Economics at Harvard University. Previously, he served as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve. He was also an advisor to the Treasury Secretary during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.
In today's episode of The Daily Brief, we cover 2 major stories shaping the Indian economy and global markets:00:04 Intro00:39 Treasury Market Turmoil10:02 RBI Cuts Interest Rates Again19:58 TidbitsWe also send out a crisp and short daily newsletter for The Daily Brief. Put your email here and we'll make you smart every day: https://thedailybriefing.substack.com/Note: This content is for informational purposes only. None of the stocks, brands, or products mentioned are recommendations or endorsements.
MTG Invests Up to $750K in U.S. Treasury Bonds. Elon Musk Calls Peter Navarro “Dumber Than a Sack of Bricks.” Trump Floats Record $1 Trillion Military Budget Despite Pledge to Cut Spending." HOST: Ana Kasparian (@anakasparian), Cenk Uygur (@cenkuygur) SUBSCRIBE on YOUTUBE ☞ https://www.youtube.com/@TheYoungTurks FOLLOW US ON: FACEBOOK ☞ https://www.facebook.com/theyoungturks TWITTER ☞ https://twitter.com/TheYoungTurks INSTAGRAM ☞ https://www.instagram.com/theyoungturks TIKTOK ☞ https://www.tiktok.com/@theyoungturks
TheoTrade's Don Kaufman measures stocks and bonds against the bears and bulls. He turns to risk tolerance in the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond while offering example options trades in Nvidia (NVDA) and Chevron (CVX). Rick Ducat offers a look into the technical trends in the charts. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Is the market Tariff-ied?
Text us your financial questions!Original Air Date: March 1, 2025 The “Henssler Money Talks” show hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, explore the idea circulating in Washington of creating a Sovereign Wealth Fund for the United States. They examine the potential benefits and drawbacks, including how such a fund could support infrastructure development for key industries like semiconductors and artificial intelligence, as well as concerns that politically driven investments could distort market valuations. Read the Article: https://www.henssler.com/the-personal-finance-lessons-behind-americas-sovereign-wealth-fund-debate
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/43msk74 Market Rundown and Tariff Impacts: Dividend Cafe Monday Edition In this Monday edition of the Dividend Cafe, the host provides a late recording with a detailed rundown of the day's market craziness and discusses specific topics that are significant for investors. The Dow dropped 650 points, mirroring a similar gain on Friday, largely due to President Trump's announcement of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Further discussion covers sector performance, with defensive sectors like consumer staples and healthcare performing well, while cyclicals and tech took a hit. The script also touches on Bitcoin's instability, recent bond market movements, and the geopolitical situation involving Ukraine and Russia. Additional news includes an announcement from the FDIC on big bank mergers and the confirmation of Trump's Labor Secretary nominee Lori Chavez DeRammer. The host emphasizes the importance of context and cautious analysis, especially involving economic policies like tax reform and tariffs. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:59 Tariff Turmoil and Market Reactions 03:40 Sector Performance and Bitcoin Instability 04:49 Treasury Bonds and Economic Indicators 05:32 Political Developments and Corporate Sentiment 07:38 Labor Market and Manufacturing Insights 08:25 Crude Oil Production and Closing Remarks Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — March 1, 2025 Season 39, Episode 9 This week on "Henssler Money Talks," show hosts Nick Antonucci, CVA, CEPA, Director of Research, and Managing Associates K.C. Smith, CFP®, CEPA, and D.J. Barker, CWS®, discuss the week's major news, including Nvidia's earnings, consumer sentiment, and the latest cost-cutting measures from the Department of Government Efficiency.The team also explores the idea circulating in Washington of creating a Sovereign Wealth Fund for the United States. They examine the potential benefits and drawbacks, including how such a fund could support infrastructure development for key industries like semiconductors and artificial intelligence, as well as concerns that politically driven investments could distort market valuations.After the break, the hosts dive into tipping culture in the service industry, discussing how businesses have integrated digital ordering and payment systems with pre-set tip suggestions—often higher than what customers were traditionally accustomed to.Timestamps and Chapters5:12: Nvidia Earnings, Consumer Sentiment, DOGE Committee26:28: Should the U.S. Have a Sovereign Wealth Fund?41:46: Tipping and the Services SectorFollow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
In this compilation program, Justin Klein and Luke Guerrero field a variety of finance and investment questions from callers across the United States and around the world.Today's Stocks & Topics: Energy Sector, Bonds vs. Money Market, Stock Valuation, Index-Linked Variable Annuities, Union Business Cycle, Conversion Roth 401k to Roth I-R-A, 401k Rollover, Preferred Stocks, Electric Vehicles and TSLA, Trustable Financial Websites, Investment Criteria, Tax-Loss, Lower Cost Basis, Ordinary vs. Qualified Dividends, Iron Buttlerfly Options, Investing in Treasury Bonds, Enerplus and Chord Energy.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Chinese stocks are up on reports that Beijing is due to launch a record amount of special Treasury bonds in a bid to stimulate the economy ahead of Donald Trump's return to the White House. U.S. President Joe Biden opens a probe into Chinese chip makers in what is the latest salvo against the country's trade practices. Honda, Nissan and Mitsubishi all see shares surge, with Honda issuing a $7bn share buy-back and confirming merger talks with Nissan. French Prime Minister François Bayrou picks the head of the state-backed financial group Caisse des Dépôts Éric Lombard as his new finance minister.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
After you listenRead Cooper Howard's 2025 Municipal Bond Outlook.Read Collin Martin's 2025 Corporate Bond Outlook.Read Kathy Jones's 2025 Treasury Bonds and Fixed Income Outlook.Follow the Schwab Center for Financial Research on X @SchwabResearch.Is the bond market caught between the Federal Reserve's plans to cut interest rates and the risk of higher inflation and federal debt levels? In Part 2 of our 2025 Market Outlook, we focus on the fixed income markets, including corporate and muni bonds. First, Kathy Jones interviews Collin Martin about his outlook for investment-grade corporate bonds, floating-rate notes, and preferred securities.Next, Cooper Howard offers his outlook on the municipal bond market. He and Kathy also discuss credit quality and the implications of potential tax law changes.Finally, Kathy gives her 2025 outlook for Treasuries and the fixed income markets overall. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk.Preferred securities are a type of hybrid investment that share characteristics of both stock and bonds. They are often callable, meaning the issuing company may redeem the security at a certain price after a certain date. Such call features, and the timing of a call, may affect the security's yield. Preferred securities generally have lower credit ratings and a lower claim to assets than the issuer's individual bonds. Like bonds, prices of preferred securities tend to move inversely with interest rates, so their prices may fall during periods of rising interest rates. Investment value will fluctuate, and preferred securities, when sold before maturity, may be worth more or less than original cost. Preferred securities are subject to various other risks including changes in interest rates and credit quality, default risks, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, deferral risk, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Tax-exempt bonds are not necessarily a suitable investment for all persons. Information related to a security's tax-exempt status (federal and in-state) is obtained from third parties, and Schwab Center for Financial Research does not guarantee its accuracy. Tax-exempt income may be subject to the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). Capital appreciation from bond funds and discounted bonds may be subject to state or local taxes. Capital gains are not exempt from federal income tax.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax, legal, or investment planning advice. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, you should consult with a qualified tax advisor, CPA, Financial Planner, or Investment Manager.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.BLOOMBERG® is a trademark and service mark of Bloomberg Finance L.P. and its affiliates (collectively "Bloomberg"). Bloomberg or Bloomberg's licensors own all proprietary rights in the Bloomberg Indices. Neither Bloomberg nor Bloomberg's licensors approves or endorses this material or guarantees the accuracy or completeness of any information herein, or makes any warranty, express or implied, as to the results to be obtained therefrom and, to the maximum extent allowed by law, neither shall have any liability or responsibility for injury or damages arising in connection therewith.(1224-CMBF)
After you listenRead Cooper Howard's 2025 Municipal Bond Outlook.Read Collin Martin's 2025 Corporate Bond Outlook.Read Kathy Jones's 2025 Treasury Bonds and Fixed Income Outlook.Follow the Schwab Center for Financial Research on X @SchwabResearch.Is the bond market caught between the Federal Reserve's plans to cut interest rates and the risk of higher inflation and federal debt levels? In Part 2 of our 2025 Market Outlook, we focus on the fixed income markets, including corporate and muni bonds. First, Kathy Jones interviews Collin Martin about his outlook for investment-grade corporate bonds, floating-rate notes, and preferred securities.Next, Cooper Howard offers his outlook on the municipal bond market. He and Kathy also discuss credit quality and the implications of potential tax law changes.Finally, Kathy gives her 2025 outlook for Treasuries and the fixed income markets overall. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk.Preferred securities are a type of hybrid investment that share characteristics of both stock and bonds. They are often callable, meaning the issuing company may redeem the security at a certain price after a certain date. Such call features, and the timing of a call, may affect the security's yield. Preferred securities generally have lower credit ratings and a lower claim to assets than the issuer's individual bonds. Like bonds, prices of preferred securities tend to move inversely with interest rates, so their prices may fall during periods of rising interest rates. Investment value will fluctuate, and preferred securities, when sold before maturity, may be worth more or less than original cost. Preferred securities are subject to various other risks including changes in interest rates and credit quality, default risks, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, deferral risk, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.Tax-exempt bonds are not necessarily a suitable investment for all persons. Information related to a security's tax-exempt status (federal and in-state) is obtained from third parties, and Schwab Center for Financial Research does not guarantee its accuracy. Tax-exempt income may be subject to the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). Capital appreciation from bond funds and discounted bonds may be subject to state or local taxes. Capital gains are not exempt from federal income tax.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.BLOOMBERG® is a trademark and service mark of Bloomberg Finance L.P. and its affiliates (collectively "Bloomberg"). Bloomberg or Bloomberg's licensors own all proprietary rights in the Bloomberg Indices. Neither Bloomberg nor Bloomberg's licensors approves or endorses this material or guarantees the accuracy or completeness of any information herein, or makes any warranty, express or implied, as to the results to be obtained therefrom and, to the maximum extent allowed by law, neither shall have any liability or responsibility for injury or damages arising in connection therewith.(1224-C0JD)
The Mag 7 isn't showing yesterday's magnificence as most stocks open to the downside. Kevin Green looks at the correlation and the potential volatility that can spark during the trading day. He also turns to the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond to show how a new trend is taking shape after 27 years. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
In this episode we answer emails from Justin, Matt and Donald. We regale in friendships, revisit large cap growth funds with IWY, do a reprise of Episode 238 about the limitations of CAPE ratios with the help of AI podcasters, and discuss the purpose of treasury bonds in a portfolio as recession insurance, and the circumstances of when you might not need it.Links:Father McKenna Center Lessons & Carols: Lessons and Carols - Father McKenna CenterFather McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna CenterComparison of QQQ, VUG and IWY: testfol.io/analysis?s=6uPSB8ZpIIREpisode 238: Podcast | Risk Parity Radio Episode 238Pinwheel Portfolio: Pinwheel Portfolio – Portfolio ChartsAmusing AI-Bot SummaryWhat if you could navigate the complex world of asset allocation with confidence? Discover the secrets to mastering large-cap growth funds as we share an email from Justin, who pits QQQ, VUG, and IWY against each other, revealing why IWY takes the crown for concentrated growth. As we reminisce about the insightful posts on the Risk Parity Chronicles blog, we also invite you to join us in supporting the Father McKenna Center through our charity event. This episode is a blend of foundational investment principles and community spirit, perfect for both new and seasoned listeners.Ever wondered how useful the CAPE ratio really is for your retirement plan? We tackle this question head-on, weighing its stability in stock market valuations against its pitfalls in predicting short-term and sector-specific performances. Our conversation highlights the importance of a diversified, flexible portfolio that aligns with your personal values and long-term goals. With insights from the Fama-French model and behavioral economics, we aim to equip you with strategies that mitigate biases and enhance financial decision-making.Feeling puzzled about the role of long-term treasury bonds in your portfolio? Our discussion, inspired by an email from Donald in the U.S. Navy, examines their necessity as recession insurance and deflation hedges. We trace the evolution of risk parity portfolios, emphasizing the significance of diverse assets in navigating economic uncertainties. Lastly, indulge in a light-hearted reflection on love and technology, as we celebrate connections that transcend the digital realm. Tune in for a heartfelt, humorous, and informative journey with Risk Parity Radio.Support the show
Liz Ann Sonders calls the fierce daily sector rotations “the nature of the beast,” and thinks factor-oriented performance will be key in 2025. Collin Martin covers Treasury yields' movements, which he thinks reacted to South Korea's martial law announcement and the JOLTS report. He also talks about the disparity between Treasury and corporate bond availability. Liz Ann thinks there could be more pressure on the Fed to pause rate cuts. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
While we gorge on turkey today, the U.S. government gorges on debt. The U.S. national debt has reached just over $36 trillion, according to the Treasury Department. Most people would agree there's something to cut in all of that. The question is how? Also on the show: Are robots the answer to the shortage of elder care workers? A new study of robots in nursing homes in Japan offers some intriguing insights.
While we gorge on turkey today, the U.S. government gorges on debt. The U.S. national debt has reached just over $36 trillion, according to the Treasury Department. Most people would agree there's something to cut in all of that. The question is how? Also on the show: Are robots the answer to the shortage of elder care workers? A new study of robots in nursing homes in Japan offers some intriguing insights.
What is driving the demand for bonds? What makes a bond fund tick? We talk with a fund manager to find out. • Learn more at thriventfunds.com • Follow us on LinkedIn • Share feedback and questions with us at podcast@thriventfunds.com • Thrivent Distributors, LLC is a member of FINRA and a subsidiary of Thrivent, the marketing name for Thrivent Financial for Lutherans.
Wrapping up the Month of October and beginning the strongest period for markets, November - April; what could throw a wrench into the works? (How about an election upset?) Markets are positioning for a specific, anticipated outcome. Life with the Roberts': Child #4 accepted at Baylor! The Halloween dress-rehearsal. Markets' positioning for election outcome: What if...? Market risks to election outcome. Treasury Bonds are the best set up for election upset; there are decent opportunities to go "long" on energy stocks. Economic data released this week: The Chicago Fed Manufacturing Index is an important indicator; what is it telling us? View that performance of the Mag-7 might reverse next year are not reasonable. Google(s) and Crocks report this week, and most of the Top 10 will have reported by week's end. Lance relates his conversation with his dog and managing risk. Article preview on Paul Tudor Jones' opinion on owning Treasury Bonds. Debts and Deficits will not lead to higher rates: The country will NOT go bankrupt: Economic growth, Wage growth, inflation growth: The terminal rate is likely around 2.5%. The thing about bonds: It's pretty much math. SEG-1: What Could Throw a Wrench into markets? SEG-2a: Life w The Roberts & Baylor U. SEG-2b: Markets Position for Election Outcome SEG-3: Earnings Reports & Managing Risk SEG-4: Debts & Deficits will NOT Lead to Higher Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0tzSR8uqpU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/ "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Position for Election Winner" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5Wz_MZaSmQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can You Really Afford to Own a Home?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbPQLkasFFk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Wrapping up the Month of October and beginning the strongest period for markets, November - April; what could throw a wrench into the works? (How about an election upset?) Markets are positioning for a specific, anticipated outcome. Life with the Roberts': Child #4 accepted at Baylor! The Halloween dress-rehearsal. Markets' positioning for election outcome: What if...? Market risks to election outcome. Treasury Bonds are the best set up for election upset; there are decent opportunities to go "long" on energy stocks. Economic data released this week: The Chicago Fed Manufacturing Index is an important indicator; what is it telling us? View that performance of the Mag-7 might reverse next year are not reasonable. Google(s) and Crocks report this week, and most of the Top 10 will have reported by week's end. Lance relates his conversation with his dog and managing risk. Article preview on Paul Tudor Jones' opinion on owning Treasury Bonds. Debts and Deficits will not lead to higher rates: The country will NOT go bankrupt: Economic growth, Wage growth, inflation growth: The terminal rate is likely around 2.5%. The thing about bonds: It's pretty much math. SEG-1: What Could Throw a Wrench into markets? SEG-2a: Life w The Roberts & Baylor U. SEG-2b: Markets Position for Election Outcome SEG-3: Earnings Reports & Managing Risk SEG-4: Debts & Deficits will NOT Lead to Higher Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0tzSR8uqpU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/ "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Position for Election Winner" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5Wz_MZaSmQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can You Really Afford to Own a Home?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbPQLkasFFk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Alex Tsang, Director (Asia-Pacific), ICMA, reveals international market potential for Korean Treasury Bond (KTB) trading as supported by recent market reforms.
Another update from top Chinese officials on the status of "stimulus" comes amidst a flurry of macro and banking data from the country. While many will claim the former cancels out the increasingly grim nature of the latter, the previous data still matters at the very least to describe the size of the hole China will have to climb out of. Assuming it is even making a reasonable attempt to. That last press gathering provided few assurances. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisChina NBS Consumer Prices September 2024https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202410/t20241013_1956899.htmlCNBC China's Ministry of Finance is taking aim at local debt problems before tackling broader economic challengeshttps://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/14/chinas-ministry-of-finance-tackles-debt-problems-before-economic-challenges.htmlCaixin Exclusive: China May Add 6 Trillion Yuan in Treasury Bonds to Buttress Economyhttps://www.caixinglobal.com/2024-10-14/exclusive-china-may-issue-6-trillion-yuan-in-treasury-bonds-to-buttress-economy-102245341.htmlReuters China's exports miss forecasts as lone bright spot fadeshttps://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/china-sept-export-growth-hits-5-month-low-global-demand-cools-2024-10-14/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The poetic imagery of this song evokes the beauty and blessings of condescension. Anointing oil poured from above, dew falling, as it were, from on high and appearing at the mountain of God where heaven touches earth. Ps 133 expounds in metaphor the precious gift of the God-glorifying communion of the saints. David compares the gift of brotherly love to blessings descending from the storehouses of glory reassuring the people of the Lord's favor, faithfulness, and sufficiency. Paired with the Lord's prayer in Mat 6:10, it is clear, one sign of God's will and kingdom present on this earth is the sweetness of Christian fellowship. Where Jacob's ladder is touching ground, brethren dwell together in unity. For those who have the atonement of Christ in common, there can be no greater experience of solidarity and joy so long as we walk in the Spirit. Let us repair our souls to the affections expressed in Psalm 133 as we behold this text.
In this episode we answer emails from Frank, John, Aaron and Pete. We discuss bond allocations in treasuries of various durations, when retirement account space is limited and the tax bracket is high, the reasons for the strange presentation of this podcast and how to use a new AI-Bot to circumvent them (with an embedded example of an AI-Bot podcast created from Episode 333 about target date funds), the joys of having younger listeners and Derek Tharp's Monte Carlo based variable withdrawal strategies.Links:The New Google Notebook AI-Bot That Creates Podcasts: NotebookLM | Note Taking & Research Assistant Powered by AIDerek Tharp Podcast: Busting the 4% Rule Myth - Retirement Revealed | Podcast on SpotifyDerek Tharp Article: A Monte Carlo 50% Retirement Success Probability Can Work (kitces.com)Amusingly Inaccurate Unedited AI-Bot Summary:Unlock the secrets of smarter investing and redefine how you approach your portfolio with our latest episode of Risk Parity Radio. Ever wondered if your 401k rollover could be optimized for greater returns? We dive into a listener's question about achieving a 30% bond allocation, weighing the pros and cons of treasury versus municipal bonds. You'll discover insights into balancing tax implications and investment goals, while also considering the volatility of different bond types. Our conversation guides you toward a holistic view of your investment strategy, ensuring your portfolio aligns with your personal financial objectives.Challenging the status quo, we welcome guest Frank Vasco to dissect the perceived simplicity of target date funds. Could these popular investment vehicles be holding your growth potential back? Frank shares compelling findings from a 2022 study, revealing how TDFs might underperform significantly over decades. Even industry stalwarts like Vanguard aren't immune to these criticisms. With this in mind, we encourage you to critically evaluate your 401k plan choices, embracing a mindset of informed skepticism and strategic thinking.Finally, we examine the fascinating world of index funds and question traditional retirement withdrawal strategies. Drawing an analogy to betting on the entire Kentucky Derby, we explore how index funds offer diversification and often outperform active management. As you rethink retirement, we discuss utilizing Monte Carlo simulations to create flexible withdrawal strategies that adapt to changing circumstances. This episode is all about empowering you with financial literacy and the tools to challenge conventional wisdom, putting you in control of your future wealth.Support the show
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — September 14, 2024 Case StudySeason 38, Episode 37 Research Analyst Jacob Keen, CFA, is joined by Managing Associate Jarrett McKenzie, CFP®, CWS®, and Senior Financial Planner Jacob Pritchard, CFP®, in a discussion about investors who have nearly 70% of their portfolio in money markets and other cash equivalents. They discuss locking in returns with bonds and how we would apply the Ten Year Rule to their situation. Read the Article: https://www.henssler.com/when-playing-it-safe-backfires-how-too-much-cash-can-hurt-retirement
Text us your financial questions!Henssler Money Talks — September 14, 2024Season 38, Episode 37 This week on "Money Talks," Research Analyst Jacob Keen, CFA, is joined by Managing Associate Jarrett McKenzie, CFP®, CWS®, and Senior Financial Planner Jacob Pritchard, CFP®, to cover the August Jobs Report, and inflation measures the Consumer Price and Producer Price indices. Jarrett leads a discussion on investors who have nearly 70% of their portfolio in money markets and other cash equivalents. They discuss locking in returns with bonds and how we would apply the Ten Year Rule to their situation. The financial experts conclude the show with listeners' questions on education savings and Occidental Petroleum. Timestamps and Chapters00:00 Market Roundup: Sept. 9 – 13, 202422:40 Case Study: Investors Who Want to Stay in Cash33:52 Q&A Time: Education Savings and Occidental PetroleumFollow Henssler: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HensslerFinancial/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/HensslerFinancial LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/henssler-financial/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/hensslerfinancial/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@hensslerfinancial?lang=en X: https://www.x.com/hensslergroup “Money Talks” is brought to you by Henssler Financial. Sign up for the Money Talks Newsletter: https://www.henssler.com/newsletters/
In this compilation program, Justin Klein and Luke Guerrero field a variety of finance and investment questions from callers across the United States and around the world.Today's Stocks & Topics: Energy Sector, Bonds vs. Money Market, Stock Valuation, Index-Linked Variable Annuities, Union Business Cycle, Conversion Roth 401k to Roth I-R-A, 401k Rollover, Preferred Stocks, Electric Vehicles and TSLA, Trustable Financial Websites, Investment Criteria, Tax-Loss, Lower Cost Basis, Ordinary vs. Qualified Dividends, Iron Butterfly Options, Investing in Treasury Bonds, Enerplus and Chord Energy.Our Sponsors:* Check out eBay Auto: www.ebay.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
The stock market has been having quite the week since our last episode on the Fed's decision to NOT do a rate cut and the resulting effects of the not-so-great unemployment numbers that came out last Friday. Recipe for disaster? Is the stock market crashing? Why was there a sell-off and what is a market sell-off? And is this a good time for us self-directed investors to invest more, like, is the stock market on sale? What were the sell-off ingredients? The Carry Trade (Yen Got Stronger) The Sahm Rule (Recession Indicators) Recession FEAR (Emotional Investors) Sell-Off Decline: Pull-Back, Correction, Bear Market? We all know that the stock market recently tanked and there was a huge sell-off. Was this a pull back or a correction, are we in a bear market. The difference is a decline of: Pull back = 5-9% Correction = 10 -19% (Stock Market Is Currently Here) Bear market = >20% ✨The recent turbulence was the most severe since the 34% decline that occurred in Q1 2020. ✨ Market corrections happen almost every year. Since the early 1980s, there's been a greater than 5% drawdown in the S&P 500 Index in every year but two (1995 and 2017). ✨ The stock market has historically recovered quickly from corrections. The average time to recovery from a 5%-10% downturn is three months. The average time to recovery from a 10%-20% correction is eight months. ✨80% of corrections since 1974 have not led to a bear market. ✨ There's a 73% probability of a double rate cute (.50%) How do we know we are in a recession? Great Analogy: https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZTNgX6jUW/ Related Episodes: Ep. 46) Fed Update: What is Event Risk? Could it Trigger a Sell-Off? Ep. 45) What is Market Breadth & Concentration Risk? Why Should YOU Care? Ep 18): Understand the Yield Curve, Treasury Bonds, and Stock Market Impacts Ep. 15) Are we in a recession? What and who defines a recession? Ep. 14) What's going on with Inflation? Still Have More Questions or a Comment?
August begins with weaker employment and the Fed hinting at the possiblity of a 1/2% rate cut; The Japanese Carry Trade blos up: What is it and why does it matter? Look for the largest spike in volatility since the pandemic. Be careful amid emotional headlines; Markets have already been over sold and now need to bounce. Anything that is a risk assett will be affected; bonds are over bought: Today is a day to do nothing. Lance's movie reviwe of Deadpool & Wolverine: Not for the faint of heart or kids. Risks to the market from an exogenous, unexpected event, a consequence of the collapse of the Carryt Trade. What will happen when the Fed cuts rates? When the Yield Curve inversion reverses, get ready for Recession. Lance answers YouTube chat questions: Everything risk-related will be douns; the only "safe" investments are cash and U.S. Treasury Bonds. Don't panic; expect a little bit of buying by the end of the day, buying the dip[. SEG-1: The Carry Trade Blows Up: What is it? SEG-2: Putting Things Into Perspective: Don't Panic SEG-3: Two Risks to Markets Now SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Gold, Buying the Dip, Next Moves Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jD8NT01ii28&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell," 8-5-24 Why The Carry Trade Matters" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ec2AkoS2O_I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is inflation Beating or Benefiting You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgEGRycUhEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Markets #Money #Investing
August begins with weaker employment and the Fed hinting at the possiblity of a 1/2% rate cut; The Japanese Carry Trade blos up: What is it and why does it matter? Look for the largest spike in volatility since the pandemic. Be careful amid emotional headlines; Markets have already been over sold and now need to bounce. Anything that is a risk assett will be affected; bonds are over bought: Today is a day to do nothing. Lance's movie reviwe of Deadpool & Wolverine: Not for the faint of heart or kids. Risks to the market from an exogenous, unexpected event, a consequence of the collapse of the Carryt Trade. What will happen when the Fed cuts rates? When the Yield Curve inversion reverses, get ready for Recession. Lance answers YouTube chat questions: Everything risk-related will be douns; the only "safe" investments are cash and U.S. Treasury Bonds. Don't panic; expect a little bit of buying by the end of the day, buying the dip[. SEG-1: The Carry Trade Blows Up: What is it? SEG-2: Putting Things Into Perspective: Don't Panic SEG-3: Two Risks to Markets Now SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Gold, Buying the Dip, Next Moves Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jD8NT01ii28&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell," 8-5-24 Why The Carry Trade Matters" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ec2AkoS2O_I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is inflation Beating or Benefiting You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgEGRycUhEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Markets #Money #Investing
With interest rate cuts now looming, we make the case for interest rate sensitive investments including bonds, real estate, utilities and more! We discuss the value and opportunity being created in recent market pullbacks, and we through in some ideas on potential current investment bargains. We also look at some of the top companies in Data Centers for Artificial Intelligence.
Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong breakdown the terrible July jobs report and explain why this could be a recession indicator. Flight from stocks accelerates as fear grows Fed too slow to cut. How are Treasury Bonds holding up during today's madness? A judge overturned the $4.7B Sunday Ticket lawsuit. Venu Sports streaming service announced a $42.99 montly price point.
In this compilation program, Justin Klein and Luke Guerrero field a variety of finance and investment questions from callers across the United States and around the world.Today's Stocks & Topics: Energy Sector, Bonds vs. Money Market, Stock Valuation, Index-Linked Variable Annuities, Union Business Cycle, Conversion Roth 401k to Roth I-R-A, 401k Rollover, Preferred Stocks, Electric Vehicles and TSLA, Trustable Financial Websites, Investment Criteria, Tax-Loss, Lower Cost Basis, Ordinary vs. Qualified Dividends, Iron Butterfly Options, Investing in Treasury Bonds, Enerplus and Chord Energy.Our Sponsors:* Check out Rosetta Stone and use my code TODAY for a great deal: https://www.rosettastone.com/* Check out eBay Auto: www.ebay.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
History tells us that to benefit from market timing, you need to be consistently right.(In fact, in a 1975 research paper, the Nobel Prize-winning economist William Sharpe showed how a market timer must be accurate 74 percent of the time in order to outperform a passive portfolio at a comparable level of risk.) Today's Stocks & Topics: ALV - Autoliv Inc., Market Wrap, TSCO - Tractor Supply Co., MAIN - Main Street Capital Corp, Three Compelling Reasons to Avoid Market Timing, SYM - Symbotic Inc., Union Business Cycle, Electric Vehicles and Insurance, KHC - Kraft Heinz Co., Investing in Treasury Bonds, China's Currency, CHGG - Chegg Inc.Our Sponsors:* Check out Rosetta Stone and use my code TODAY for a great deal: https://www.rosettastone.com/* Check out eBay Auto: www.ebay.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
It's Fed Day and Inflation Day: The FOMC meeting commences, and inflation in May cooled a bit. What will the Fed's Dot Plot show? Rate cut expectations are down to just two for this year, and likely not occuring until after the election. How will the Fed loosen QT? Markets set another all time high, marginally. The rally-restest-rally pattern continues. Apple was the big driver on Tuesday with the heralding of "Apple Intelligence." We answer viewers' questions about owning Bonds vs Treasuries vs ETF's. The saga of predictions, swimming in oil, and uranium's leap ahead of its reality. Our investing strategy now: What we're buying and selling, and why; how we manage risk. SEG-1: Fed Day/Inflation Day; Apple Intelligence SEG-2: Outlook for Owning Bonds SEG-3: Swimming in Oil & The Saga of Predictions SEG-4: How We Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It's Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Apple?" is here: https://youtu.be/3HXblWzZ5S4 ------- Our previous show is here: "How the 60/40 Investment Strategy Works for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleIntelligence #FOMC #FederalReserve #Inflation #RiskManagement #Portfolio #TreasuryBonds #YieldMaximization #HurdleRates #InvestmentStrategy #RiskHedge #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #BondInvestment #IndividualBonds #PortfolioManagement #ReturnCalculation #FinancialAdvice #BondMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
It's Fed Day and Inflation Day: The FOMC meeting commences, and inflation in May cooled a bit. What will the Fed's Dot Plot show? Rate cut expectations are down to just two for this year, and likely not occuring until after the election. How will the Fed loosen QT? Markets set another all time high, marginally. The rally-restest-rally pattern continues. Apple was the big driver on Tuesday with the heralding of "Apple Intelligence." We answer viewers' questions about owning Bonds vs Treasuries vs ETF's. The saga of predictions, swimming in oil, and uranium's leap ahead of its reality. Our investing strategy now: What we're buying and selling, and why; how we manage risk. SEG-1: Fed Day/Inflation Day; Apple Intelligence SEG-2: Outlook for Owning Bonds SEG-3: Swimming in Oil & The Saga of Predictions SEG-4: How We Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It's Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Apple?" is here: https://youtu.be/3HXblWzZ5S4 ------- Our previous show is here: "How the 60/40 Investment Strategy Works for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleIntelligence #FOMC #FederalReserve #Inflation #RiskManagement #Portfolio #TreasuryBonds #YieldMaximization #HurdleRates #InvestmentStrategy #RiskHedge #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #BondInvestment #IndividualBonds #PortfolioManagement #ReturnCalculation #FinancialAdvice #BondMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
In recent months, the 30, 20, and 10 year treasury bonds have had challenges. The government has been having problems finding private sector investors that will buy them, whether it's a bank, a hedge fund, or a financial institution of another manner. For the last month with the 30 and 20 year bonds at the current rates, there has been very little to no private sector wealth that would be willing to accept those rates. The 10 year bond was trading at 4.166%, but as of April 10, 2024, the bond jumped to 4.560%, which is a 10% increase in the interest rate. This is the third biggest tail on record.
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG. VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus. __ Follow Nick Givanovic on Twitter https://twitter.com/nickgiva1 Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:30) Nick Favors Stocks Over Bonds Until He Sees Data That Say Otherwise (05:25) Potential For An Bond Auction Failure (06:44) U.S Government Borrowing: Treasury Bills vs. Treasury Coupons (21:49) Conditions At Recent Treasury Market Auctions (25:13) Short Bonds, But Not Wildly Bearish (26:13) VanEck Ad (27:14) Is Yield Curve Steepener Trade Positive Carry or Negative Carry? (28:43) Inflation Volatility Is Bad For Term Premia (33:13) Bull Steepener vs. Bear Steepener: How Will The Yield Curve Uninvert? (39:10) Bull Steepeners Usually Occur Faster Than Bear Steepeners (Nick Thinks Bull Steepener Could Be More Likely) (54:24) Volatility In The Bond Market (01:02:21) Relative to Bonds, Nick Is Bullish On Stocks (01:07:49) The Labor Market (01:09:53) GameStop and the Return of Meme Stocks __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
China is reducing its holdings of US Treasury securities. Instead, the People's Bank of China is buying gold, and Beijing prioritizes imports of important commodities like oil and metals. Ben Norton discusses the geopolitical impact of de-dollarization in the world's largest economy. VIDEO: https://youtube.com/watch?v=z-bnIrbZjaM Check out our related video - "How the dollar's 'exorbitant privilege' enriches the USA (and global elites)": https://youtube.com/watch?v=jYkiMcR1Rj8 Topics 0:00 Why countries are de-dollarizing 1:05 Russia & China 1:41 Brazil & China 2:18 Persian Gulf oil & gas 3:29 Central bank reserves 4:54 China drops US Treasurys 6:15 Debate in Beijing 8:40 Gold 9:37 Charts: China buys metals & oil 11:21 Strategic petroleum reserve 11:53 Belt & Road Initiative 12:50 East Asia funds US deficits 14:25 Global South funds Global North 15:25 Japan replaces China as top US creditor 16:03 US inflation, interest rates, bond yields, & debt 18:48 Outro
In this episode we answer emails from Kimbrough from Anchorage and anonymous Visitors from British Columbia and Denver. We discuss fish hatching and slaughterhouses, long term treasury bond funds, the inherent problems and inefficiencies with many popular but inflexible withdrawal plans, and how we use our flexible 3-1-1 guidelines to match and maximize spending, fixing a cash hoarding problem and why you want a growth/value split in your stock allocations.Links:Security Analysis Podcast with Yours Truly: Frank Vasquez: Risk Parity Investing Part 2 (securityanalysis.org)VSG's Weird Portfolio: Weird Portfolio – Portfolio ChartsMerriman Best-In-Class ETFs: Best-in-Class ETF Recommendations | Merriman Financial Education Foundation (paulmerriman.com)Merriman Podcast re Best-In-Class ETFs: Best in Class ETF 2024 Updates (paulmerriman.com)Support the Show.
In today's macroeconomic update, Randy discusses the current state of the U.S. Treasury bond market and how these outcomes are affecting our investing and economic outlook. Join our Investor Club: https://rebrand.ly/erpki1j
In this compilation program, Steve Peasley and Justin Klein field a variety of finance and investment questions from callers across the United States and around the world.Today's Stocks & Topics: Stock Evaluation, Municipal Bonds, EV Sector, Options Trading, Retirement, Treasury Bonds, Gold, 401k, LG Energy Solutions and Toyota, What Types of Companies Should We Keep, Is The Stock Market Manipulated, Earnings, Chinese Stocks, Roth I-R-A & Dividends, Savings and Spending.Our Sponsors:* Check out Rosetta Stone for a great deal at: https://www.rosettastone.com/TODAYAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
In this compilation program, Steve Peasley and Justin Klein field a variety of finance and investment questions from callers across the United States and around the world.Today's Stocks & Topics: Stock Evaluation, Municipal Bonds, EV Sector, Options Trading, Retirement, Treasury Bonds, Gold, 401k, LG Energy Solutions and Toyota, What Types of Companies Should We Keep, Is The Stock Market Manipulated, Earnings, Chinese Stocks, Roth I-R-A & Dividends, Savings and Spending.Our Sponsors:* Check out Greenlight.com/investtalk and try Greenlight for free.* Check out Rosetta Stone for a great deal: https://www.rosettastone.com/TODAYAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
The Federal Reserve is powerful but clumsy and the market has experienced a series of investment "fails"— but what else have we learned? Today's Stocks & Topics: J - Jacobs Solutions Inc., SIL - Global X Silver Miners ETF, TXN - Texas Instruments Inc., Market Trends, GOOG - Alphabet Inc. Cl C, Treasury Bonds, GDX - VanEck Gold Miners ETF, SLV - iShares Silver Trust, SCHW - Charles Schwab Corp., Savings & Spending.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
A high-profile hedge fund manager believes investors may increasingly buy bonds as a safe haven because of growing geopolitical risks. Today's Stocks & Topics: ZBRA - Zebra Technologies Corp. Cl A, NVR - NVR Inc., Bonds, SNY - Sanofi ADR, Portfolio Management, AVGE - Avantis All Equity Markets ETF, Clean energy Stocks, AVGV - Avantis All Equity Markets Value ETF, AVMA - Avantis Moderate Allocation ETF, TROW - T. Rowe Price Group Inc., MG and the EV Market, Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy