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Check Out PrizePicks! - https://prizepicks.onelink.me/ivHR/TRAVISTake a look at NZXT! - https://nzxt.co/travis ( Use code: travis5 )Follow Travis on Twitch: http://twitch.tv/travisgaffordSupport: https://linktr.ee/tgisupport00:00:00 Intro 00:19:19 Niicholodeon's take: With DSG benching scarry jerry it feels like rookies need to avoid the guest slot at all costs due to the immediate need to perform00:35:00 MissTimed's take: 100T vs. Shopify will be the most fun series next weekend00:46:40 NZXT break!00:50:20 basil's take: Shopify Rebellion is going to claw their way back to a revenge match against FLY01:06:45 narfidy's take: North America is about to have the worst MSI performance in history01:22:10 Outro
Check Out PrizePicks! - https://prizepicks.onelink.me/ivHR/TRAVISTake a look at NZXT! - https://nzxt.co/travis ( Use code: travis5 )Follow Travis on Twitch: http://twitch.tv/travisgaffordSupport: https://linktr.ee/tgisupport00:00:00 Intro 00:12:44 Raz joins HLL to talk about how Uzi is the perfect Hall of Legends candidate00:40:50 NZXT break!00:43:15 bigmooseehh's take: other large brand sponsors may flee after Honda left TL00:59:42 dongkun's take: Busio is going to be an LTA GOAT01:10:50 yami's take: Near Airport is dramatically underperforming01:26:55 PrizePicks break!01:29:10 bearus's take: TL and 100T stepped up and dominated this weekend where they needed to01:40:30 Griffin's take: It was honestly shocking to see how FlyQuest dismantled Cloud9 and I have Team Liquid meeting FlyQuest in the finals again01:58:15 Outro
Strap in for a fresh episode of The Dive, Driven by Kia! This week, Azael, Kobe, and Meteos dive headfirst into some wild WASD movement leaks that may be coming to LoL. Then it's on to Patch 25.10 breakdowns, match previews in the last week before LTA Playoffs, and a closer look into Brawl, the new game mode! Special guest AzuBK, the mastermind behind Brawl, joins the show to share insights from behind the scenes.Timestamps:0:00 Intro & WASD potentially coming to League?28:12 Sheiden interview41:50 Patch Notes 25.1050:44 C9 vs FLY Preview1:08:03 LYON vs DIG Preview1:16:58 TL vs SR Preview1:27:48 100T vs DSG Preview1:36:04 BK joins to discuss Brawl!
In this episode of The Dive, Driven by Kia, Azael, Kobe, and Meteos break down how Season 2 updates are reshaping pro play—from bold new champion picks to evolving jungle strategies and shifting priority around objectives. The crew also recaps last week's key matchups and dives into Meteos's unshakable belief in C9.There are still tickets available for Sunday's Spirit Blossom festivities at the Riot Games Arena for LTA! Get your tickets here! https://www.tixr.com/groups/ltanorthTimestamps:0:00 Intro1:56 Season 2 Pro Play Reactions8:55 FLY vs SR31:52 DSG vs TL48:43 100T vs DIG1:08:50 LYON vs C91:22:56 In Game Quests
Check Out PrizePicks! - https://prizepicks.onelink.me/ivHR/TRAVISTake a look at NZXT! - https://nzxt.co/travis ( Use code: travis5 )Follow Travis on Twitch: http://twitch.tv/travisgaffordSupport: https://linktr.ee/tgisupport00:00:00 Intro 00:14:05 kon's take: LTA North could learn from LEC's example with live roadshows00:36:19 NZXT break!00:39:12 MBT's take: 100T might be slipping, and DIG might be on the rise00:51:25 MsTimed wants to know what happened with 100T's game 2 draft01:02:17 Ezzyez's take: TL have put themselves in an impossible position01:16:45 PrizePicks break!01:19:40 mihir's take: integrating NACL with Collegiate/CLOL is close to a non-negotiable at this point01:32:45 conz's take: Valorant has more fans and is growing and is easier to watch and support vs league01:45:53 Outro
Best-of-threes with fearless drafts are finally here! Welcome back to another episode of The Dive, Driven by Kia. This week, Azael, Kobe, and Meteos bring back one of their favorite segments, Honors & Reports, where each member gives one honor and one report to someone—or something—in the league. They'll also dive into some spicy comments from Inspired and break down the new LTAN format aka Group Phase moving forward. Lastly, they preview the upcoming weekend's matches. Tune in!Want to dethrone Meteos as the King of The Dive's Fantasy League? Click here to join! https://ltafantasy.com/leagues/the-dive-league-csza1g5ykn?sid=RVz8kyTimestamps0:00 Intro + Azael Honors & Reports6:28 Kobe Honors & Reports10:11 Meteos Honors & Reports21:14 Inspired Interview Comments37:16 Format Recap39:40 100T vs FLY57:53 LYON vs TL1:04:30 C9 vs DSG1:07:13 DIG vs SR
In this episode of The Dive, Driven by Kia, the hosts discuss Meteos' lead in fantasy rankings and break down recent patch notes, including champion viability and itemization. They explore team dynamics, the importance of communication, and how small mistakes can have a big impact on game outcomes. Lastly, they preview the upcoming super week and what's to come!Timestamps:0:00 Intro & Fantasy3:06 FLY 6-man roster updates from Bwipo21:47 Patch 25.08 notes39:24 FLY vs 100T review49:32 TL & LYON review56:24 SR review1:08:02 DSG & C9 review1:13:14 Promotion Relegation & Near Airport1:18:39 Dignitas review
This week on The Dive, Driven by Kia, the gang breaks down Week 1 of the LTA North! LYON and FLY end the week undefeated, while TL looks to add a substitute jungler to their roster. FlyQuest is also exploring the option of becoming a six-man squad. Lastly, we look ahead to the upcoming Dive Match of the Week: FLY vs 100T. Don't miss it!If you haven't joined The Dive's Fantasy league let, what are you waiting for? Click here: https://ltafantasy.com/en/login?redirect=%2Fen%2FloginTimestamps:0:00 Intro and LTA Fantasy updates4:00 Team Liquid 6 man roster & tryouts12:40 Bwipo split 3 sub?17:08 FlyQuest fearless draft28:02 LTAN Week 1 recap - FLY32:43 DSG recap38:07 LYON recap44:48 100T recap48:14 TL recap58:27 C9 recap1:05:57 SR recap1:16:07 DIG recap1:20:37 “THE DIVE MATCHUP OF THE WEEK” - FLY vs 100T
Check Out PrizePicks! - https://prizepicks.onelink.me/ivHR/TRAVISTake a look at NZXT! - https://nzxt.co/travis ( Use code: travis5 )Follow Travis on Twitch: http://twitch.tv/travisgaffordSupport: https://linktr.ee/tgisupport00:00:00 Intro 00:09:50 FLY's news - Gakgos00:14:40 lazerfruit asks PapaSmithy about their decision to bring in talent from outside NA00:28:50 Human Boy loves Quid and Quad00:40:50 NZXT break!00:45:00 not parkmom's take: LoL should move over to a CS style for international tourneys00:59:19 sinbad asks Papa for a GM perspective on the LTA rebrand01:17:26 CatZ's take: the success of 100T is good for the league01:26:08 PrizePicks break!01:30:00 definitelynotbasil's take: LTA is hard to watch right now because of lack of player identity and narrative01:46:35 shadowslightly's take: First Stand was lowkey fraudulent02:00:00 Outro
Hello and welcome back to another episode of The Dive, Driven by Kia. In this episode the guys catch up on Azael's Riot Rumble experience and Kobe's new ink before diving into the biggest changes in Patch 25.7 — including Naafiri's rise, Trundle and Yorick buffs, and key item updates. Then it's all about the upcoming LTA North matches with previews for TL vs FLY, SR vs DIG, 100T vs C9, and more. Plus, a quick look at the latest in LTA Fantasy before wrapping it all up.If you'd like to join The Dive's Fantasy league, click here: https://ltafantasy.com/leagues/the-dive-league-csza1g5ykn?sid=RVz8ky————LTA Fantasy is live now on LTAfantasy.com! Sign up using your Riot login to compete. We are setting up a dive league, and will have the link to join in the description down below if you want to compete against Azael, Kobe, Meteos & other Dive fans. This Split is an open beta, so let the LTA know your thoughts on it!Timestamps0:00 Intro & quick updates4:55 Azael playing Riot Rumble9:00 Kobe's new tattoo16:14 Patch 25.7 - Naafiri OP27:22 Trundle buffs33:45 Yorick changes37:24 Item changes44:39 TL vs FLY preview1:06:10 SR vs DIG preview1:13:43 100T vs C9 preview1:21:30 LYON vs DSG preview1:29:13 LTA Fantasy update
The UAE reportedly commits $1.4T to the US in a 10-Year investment deal, A report states that global debt has eclipsed $100T, Sudan's army retakes the presidential palace in Khartoum, Israel's Defense Minister says Israel will annex parts of Gaza if hostages are not released, A power outage shuts down London's Heathrow Airport, The Pentagon and Pres. Trump deny that Elon Musk got a PRC war plan briefing, Donald Trump rescinds his order against the law firm Paul Weiss, A US judge blocks the deportation of a pro-Palestine Georgetown University researcher, The UN states that global glacier melt threatens the water supply for 2B people, and a scientific study suggests that birds in the Galápagos get road rage from traffic noise. Sources: www.verity.news
I sit down with Public Co-Founder/CEO Jannick Malling to discuss the company's breakout 2024, competing with Robinhood, surviving the market/startup crash of 2021/2022, crypto, a new bond offering & so much more! I've been working with Public for years and it's been impressive to see them hit 1M users and continue to double revenue every year (even through the market downturn). I'm excited to see what features they launch next. Testing out alpha has been a lot of fun.Sign up for a new Public account & get $25 for free using my link: https://public.com/hyperchange0:00 0:00 Public's Breakout 20243:00 History of Public App3:54 The Great Wealth Transfer5:35 Bonds & Interest Rates7:40 $100T in Baby Boomers Portfolios10:12 Disrupting Vanguard & Fidelity, etc12:12 How do you compete with Robinhood?15:12 Alpha: Public's AI for Investing (like ChatGPT)23:30 What's The Next Market Trend29:34 Bond/Treasury Ladders31:01 Public's Next Big FeaturesMy X: / gfilche HyperChange Patreon :) / hyperchange Disclaimer: I'm an investor in Public personally and through my VC Firm HyperGuap. Nothing in this show is financial advice.
Check Out PrizePicks! - https://prizepicks.onelink.me/ivHR/TRAVISTake a look at NZXT! - https://nzxt.co/travis ( Use code: travis5 )00:00:00 Intro 00:11:57 don's take: despite being an 100T fanboy, don wants to praise UmTi00:28:33 Stevenator wants to talk about Fearless draft00:50:15 NZXT break!00:55:25 Manny's take: we should give more credit to Spawn01:10:13 kiyon's take: it was so bad that in the LTA we didn't even see a game 4 of fearless draft to the point where Team Liquid and APA especially will get exposed01:24:45 PrizePicks break!01:28:54 TDS's take: LTA's viewership is not as bad a sign as people make it out to be01:53:50 wejustplay's take: The fans and execs of 100T should be ashamed of themselves with how they acted this past weekend02:12:12 beans' take: the recent changes to T2 and T3 are detrimental to the region02:21:28 Outro
Hello and welcome to another episode of The Dive, Driven by Kia! In this episode Meteos, Azael, and Kobe break down all the action from the quarterfinals, highlighting the biggest moments, standout performances, and the biggest surprises. Meteos also shares updates on his role as the official coach of Doublelift's amateur team. Finally, the crew looks ahead to the semifinals, breaking down the matchups and making their predictions on who will come out on top. Be sure to tune in Saturday at 11:00 AM PT / 2:00 PM ET to catch all the action—starting with FLY vs 100TTimestamps:0:00 Intro Meteos on coaching Doublelift's league team11:45 Azael on Brazil's fan culture16:48 Exploring Brazil19:11 Quarterfinals game review24:48 TL games / UmTi struggles36:33 FlyQuest review40:30 C9 review46:27 100T review & 100T vs FLY preview56:31 TL vs C9 preview
This week on The Dive, Driven by Kia, we break down FlyQuest vs. C9's streamed scrim and what it tells us about the current level of play. Next, we'll discuss Patch 15.3 and how its changes could shake up the current meta. We also review the latest LTA games, highlighting the best (and worst) moments, before previewing the biggest upcoming matches. Don't miss out on all the analysis—drop your predictions in the comments and subscribe for more! Timestamps: 0:00 Intro & FlyQuest vs C9 streamed scrim 16:08 Patch 15.3 34:17 LTA games reviews 52:00 Upcoming match preview
All three of us are back this week with a long-winded discussion on all things Valorant 2025. Drama in the 100T camp? Is Deadlock all of the sudden really good? But most importantly, do we know the real names of the Agents? (No, the answer is no)Discord: https://discord.gg/n5eP3XxzuGSubreddit: www.reddit.com/r/drunkvalorantpodcast
This week on The Dive, Driven by Kia, the crew shares their thoughts on the first week of Fearless Draft and why Mel is looking downright busted. They break down key matchups, plus a look at Bwipo streaming scrims and what it could mean for the scene. Tune in for all the latest takes and analysis! Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 3:31 Fearless draft week 1 thoughts 12:13 Mel is busted 19:01 Bwipo interview & streaming scrims 38:44 C9 vs FLY match preview 55:09 DIG vs DSG match preview 1:05:52 TL vs 100T match preview 1:14:01 SR vs LYON match preview
Juan Leon is a Senior Investment Strategist at Bitwise. In this episode, we sit down to discuss Bitwise's recent CIO memo, 'Ethereum: The Comeback Kid of 2025.' We explore why Juan's team sees a turning point ahead for Ethereum and ETH, the significance of surging ETH ETF inflows, the $100T opportunity in tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), and how these trends could drive value accrual for ETH the asset. ------
Hello, and welcome back to another season of The Dive, driven by Kia! Can you believe we're already in Season 9? In this episode, Azael, Kobe, and Meteos dive into some exciting news and major changes coming to the LTA. They'll cover the fresh League season, updates to the LTA, and much more! 0:00 Intro - Los Angeles wildfires 6:49 - New League season - Atakhan, flowers and boot upgrades 29:32 - Tower dives & lane swaps 36:32 - Showmatch experience 42:41 - Big LTA changes, new owners and personalities 50:27 - LTA power rankings & week 1 matchups 55:51 - FLY vs SR 1:02:45 - LYON vs C9 1:12:38 - 100T vs DSG 1:26:24 - TL vs DIG
Todays episode is loaded with news in esports and media entertainment! Take a look below for our reference material. Gaming x Fashion: FaZe x Nike, 100T x Adidas, Fortnite x Crocs, https://www.nike.com/t/lebron-nxxt-gen-ampd-x-faze-basketball-shoes-CH9Kwr/HF0715-200 https://www.adidas.com/us/100_thieves-shoes https://www.crocs.com/c/cast-of-characters/fortnite Interesting Fortnite Map Collab Politics and Gaming? Jake Lucky Tweet about wanting gamers to be gamers. https://x.com/dom_lucre/status/1850957426876665885 Jake Lucky Tweet > https://x.com/JakeSucky/status/1848524809774276626 League of Legends Worlds / NA Roster Shake Up Faker wins fifth. 100T Out of League?! https://x.com/100Thieves/status/1852033608132722972 New Format for NA / New Orgs In https://lolesports.com/en-US/news/introducing-league-of-legends-championship-of-the-americas College League of Legends is on the rise! https://x.com/RSAAOfficial/status/1852037331022418348 From your favorite Fortnite commentator MonsterDface , and W-key master JonWkeyRush. This Content will serve as a weekly addition to our podcast rotation! This will be a more interactive pod. With weekly audience features, call ins and topics. All live streamed VODS are accessible on our home channel: PracticeServer Recorded Tuesdays @ 7pm ET
00:00:00 Intro 00:12:55 Franklin's take: brand building in LTA is going to be harder than ever before 00:33:30 yami asks Toast and JungleJuice what the incentive is for new fans to support their teams 00:48:40 nick asks about the importance of content 01:02:35 David asks JungleJuice for the 100T plan to remain firmly in the LTA 01:15:25 Toast talks about what he's excited for 01:30:00 Spookz joins HLL 01:38:15 lazerfruit's take is that the rumored Lyon Gaming roster is going to struggle to make Playoffs 01:49:40 stevenator would like to declare TL as the winners of LCS now that it's ending 02:08:20 olympius's take: this Worlds has demonstrated that the gap between regions is closing 02:21:05 aztecz asks Spookz how teams avoid leaks 02:39:17 Outro
Raoul Pal drops a bombshell 3,900% crypto growth prediction amid market turbulence. Michael Saylor's controversial regulatory stance splits the Bitcoin community while Three Arrows Capital embraces chaos with their memecoin rebrand. Market sentiment wavers as liquidations hit $200M, yet DeFi shows surprising resilience. Meanwhile, Shibarium explodes with a 3,370% transaction surge, and new research reveals the hidden psychology of crypto trading losses.
00:00:00 Intro 00:18:48 tbone's take: the 2025 Worlds format will be inferior to 2024 and 2023 00:41:00 Pagoda Snack Break! 00:44:29 dixiecup's take: the hate for 100T is unwarranted 01:00:05 weldon's take: at least 2 western teams will make it out of swiss stage 01:14:95 PrizePicks break! 01:18:50 yami's take: NA shouldn't necessarily be entitled to as many slots at international events as we have been given in the past 01:34:04 eviltrenton's take: TL will upset LMG and match against EU to get out of swiss 01:43:40 NZXT break! 01:45:40 ppdoc's take: League should be using the power rankings in a college football way rather than an NCAA way 01:57:31 Outro
Hello and welcome to the first episode of The Dive Driven by Kia for Worlds 2024! This week, Azael, Kobe, and Meteos break down the biggest headlines from the Play-in stage and give you a sneak peek at what's coming in the Swiss stage. Unfortunately, the LCS has already lost one team at Worlds, but hope remains strong for FlyQuest and Team Liquid Honda. Worlds continues this Thursday October 3rd at 5:00am PT as BLG takes on MDK. Be sure to tune in for the LCS teams' matches starting at approximately 9:00am PT with TL vs LNG & 11:00am PT with FLY taking on GAM. Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 01:08 - Worlds Music video, Linkin Park 10:51 - 100T eliminated... Play-In review 24:24 - Play-In surprises & results 30:15 - Meta reads 36:42 - Swiss stage matchups - BLG vs MDK 40:48 - TES vs T146:07 - GenG vs Weibo 57:56 - Fnatic vs DK 1:05:49 - TL vs LNG 1:15:25 - HLE vs PSG 1:22:37 - FLY vs GAM 1:29:35 - G2 vs PNG
Hoy repasamos la victoria de MDK ante Vikings Esports en el partido inaugural de Worlds 2024. Luego comentamos la victoria de PSG Talon por 2-1 ante los brasileños de Pain Gaming. Finalmente, un poco de previa de las series del Play-In de hoy: GAM Esports contra los Hawks, y 100 Thieves ante Movistar R7. APÓYANOS AQUÍ https://www.patreon.com/Esportmaniacos https://www.twitch.tv/esportmaniacos 🔁Nuestras redes🔁 https://twitter.com/Esportmaniacos https://www.tiktok.com/@esportmaniacos Nuestro canal secundario: https://www.youtube.com/@Noticias_LeagueofLegends 💙Referido de AMAZON: https://amzn.to/36cVx3g ¡PARA ENTRAR EN NUESTRO DISCORD!: https://discord.gg/6hYCcd3n #Worlds2024 #lolesports #leagueoflegends
Esportmaniacos 2108: En el programa de hoy hemos hablado de la guerra que ha declarado Bwipo a Europa, centrándonos especialmente en sus declaraciones sobre Myrwn y su Nidalee. También hemos cubierto las noticias sobre el nuevo mid laner de LNG, ya que Scout parece ser que no podrá asistir a Worlds. Finalmente, hemos hecho la tierlist de junglas de Worlds 2024. APÓYANOS AQUÍ https://www.patreon.com/Esportmaniacos https://www.twitch.tv/esportmaniacos 🔁Nuestras redes🔁 https://twitter.com/Esportmaniacos https://www.tiktok.com/@esportmaniacos 💙Referido de AMAZON: https://amzn.to/36cVx3g ¡PARA ENTRAR EN NUESTRO DISCORD!: https://discord.gg/sfWMGQHK 00:00:00 - Intro 00:16:16 - El nuevo mid laner de LNG 00:21:37 - Berserker free agent 00:31:31 - Bwipo y sus declaraciones contra Myrwn 00:52:25 - Los cambios en Superliga 01:07:35 - 100T y sus retrasos 01:14:15 - Lo mejor y lo peor de 100T 01:23:32 - Analizamos al PSG Talon 01:35:17 - Tierlist de junglas
In this thrilling episode of "The All In League Of Legends Podcast," we dive into the unbelievable upset where 100 Thieves took down Cloud 9 and then recap the LCS Finals Weekend! Support the show
Hello and WELCOME BACK to another episode of The Dive, Driven by Kia! Meteos, Kobe, and Azael break down 100 Thieves vs. Cloud9 playoffs matchup, Noah Lyles being 100 Thieves' biggest fan, and the Kia MVP of the split. Then the boys do a deep dive on Finals Weekend previewing 100 Thieves vs. FlyQuest, and discuss Team Liquid Honda's strengths and weaknesses. Be sure to tune in to the LCS Championship this Friday 9/6 and Saturday 9/7 at the YouTube Theater in Los Angeles! Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro, 100T vs. C9 recap 20:39 - Noah Lyles shoutout! 25:22 - Patch 14.17 discussion 34:28 - Impact MVP talk plus MVP voting discussion 40:07 - LCS teams going to Worlds 46:23 - 100T vs. DIG, playoffs champion picks 58:59 - Top lane meta discussion, TL vs. FLY recap 1:13:58 - Final playoffs teams discussion + teeing up finals weekend 1:18:50 - FLY vs. 100T matchup preview 1:26:27 - Playoffs teams draft priorities
00:00:00 Intro 00:23:25 mlewisno thinks the failure of C9 highlights an issue with esports learning from past mistakes 00:44:40 NZXT break! 00:47:35 dailybrew's take: 100T is the best 3rd seed team NA could have sent to Worlds this year 01:08:00 David predicts: 100T beats FLY on Saturday 01:26:00 PrizePicks break! 01:31:53 seanatonin notes: this is the most ex-Academy players ever sent to Worlds 01:48:10 yami's take: TL is being overhyped 02:01:10 KIA break! 02:03:17 Iceshredder's take: the narrative around KIA ROTY felt more like ROTSplit 02:14:30 Emily joins HLL to explain NL theory 02:22:58 Outro
En el programa de hoy analizamos profundamente los 2 series de este fin de semana en las grandes finales de la LEC: MAD Lions KOI vs G2 Esports, y la final entre Fnatic y G2. Además, comentamos brevemente qué equipos ya están clasificados para Worlds APÓYANOS AQUÍ https://www.patreon.com/Esportmaniacos https://www.twitch.tv/esportmaniacos 🔁Nuestras redes🔁 https://twitter.com/Esportmaniacos https://www.tiktok.com/@esportmaniacos 💙Referido de AMAZON: https://amzn.to/36cVx3g 00:00:00 - INTRO 00:09:40 - Weibo y 100T a WORLDS 00:12:50 - El RIVAL de MDK en el PLAY-IN de WORLDS 00:18:30 - G2 ESPORTS vs MAD LIONS KOI 01:04:55 - FNATIC vs G2 Esports
Episode 33: The boys are back to talk all things CDL rostermania, with Scrappy confirming talks around his departure from Toronto Ultra are ongoing, with Sib potentially moving the other way from Cloud9. Should OpTic and FaZe get involved if Scrappy is available? J Timestamps 00:00:00 Intro 00:02:00 The King 00:08:00 Black Ops 6 00:33:30 Vegas Falcons 00:44:00 New Franchises 00:50:00 Rostermania 01:00:00 Cloud9 Envoy? 01:05:00 Toronto Ultra x Cloud9
In this episode, Raoul Pal and Dan Tapiero explain how global liquidity cycles could propel crypto to a staggering $100 trillion market. They break down the "Everything Code" concept, explaining how broader economic trends are setting the stage for crypto's explosive growth. Pal and Tapiero unpack China's economic challenges, debate AI's impact on employment, and share their strategies for portfolio allocations. From Bitcoin's potential million-dollar valuation to the emergence of new layer-1 blockchains, you don't want to miss this one! - - Start your day with crypto news, analysis and data from Katherine Ross and David Canellis. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire?utm_source=podcasts Follow Raoul: https://x.com/RaoulGMI? Follow Dan: https://x.com/DTAPCAP Follow Jason: https://twitter.com/JasonYanowitz Follow Santiago: https://twitter.com/santiagoroel Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod Subscribe on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4fdhhb2j Subscribe on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/mv4frfv7 Subscribe on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/wbaypprw Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ - - The 6th edition of Meridian, a web3 conference hosted by the Stellar Development Foundation is happening in London, England October 15-17, 2024. Learn more and get your early-bird priced tickets now at meridian.stellar.org by using the code BLOCKWORKSPOD. - - Harpie sets the standard in on-chain security, actively monitoring and safeguarding your crypto wallet against theft in real time. It detects, blocks, and recovers stolen assets from risky transactions before they execute, shielding you from even the most advanced hacks and scams. Harpie is free to use and compatible with all Ethereum, Base, Polygon, and Arbitrum wallets. Protect your crypto today at harpie.io. - - Renaud Partners has built the most elite network of native crypto marketers globally. They create custom, expert teams to support founders with transformative strategy work. If you're a founder or a VC looking for support for your teams, head on over to RenaudPartners.com or give their co-founder Geoff a follow on x at https://x.com/ReoffGenaud - - Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:16) Dan & Raoul Origin Story (05:21) The Global Macro Liquidity Cycle (15:14) Who Drives the Cycle? (20:14) Do US Presidents Impact Cycles? (23:46) Why We are Not in a Recession (28:28) Best Portfolio Today (34:39) Stellar Ad (35:29) Invisible North Ad (36:24) MyPrize (37:00) Harpie Ad (38:15) Trading Cycles (48:21) Pitch for LPs (01:01:04) 12-Month Predictions (01:04:44) Election Impact - - Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
00:00:00 Intro 00:11:57 DrAmer1can's take: Corejj or Impact should be next Hall of Legends candidates 00:32:00 NZXT break! Giveaway! 00:36:50 Emily Rand joins HLL to discuss Hall of Legends with Papasmithy 01:00:35 ShadowsLightly thinks the 2025 guest team will be the FLYC roster, bought by a creator YouTuber org 01:12:07 Tzvi's take: DIG vs NRG is the perfect example for why the LCS needs to die and be reborn anew next year. 01:42:40 Not Parkmom asks Papa for some positive LCS news 01:43:00 KIA break - Hotline LIVE announcement! 01:46:50 Ren's take: as LCS fans, we should root for 100T as the third team to Worlds 02:05:57 Outro
In this episode we recap the most intense moments from the games from a couple of weeks ago and right up through the 100T vs TL matchup this past weekend.Support the Show.
00:00:00 Intro 00:13:00 pacemaker's take: if CoreJJ wasn't on a team with APA and Impact, he'd be the clear MVP frontrunner 00:30:39 Shawn votes Impact, Inspired, APA, Yeon and Vulcan for All-Pro 00:45:40 PrizePicks break! 00:51:50 treethan's take: NRG will beat FLY handily 01:06:05 wafflefoot's victory lap for TL 01:14:40 KIA break! 01:18:05 SnapArmy j0ker asks Isles what it's like playing with Zven after his role swap back to adc 01:30:10 hungry hobo's take: IMT should stay in the LCS, SR and NRG should leave 01:55:15 Intimed's take: 100T has a decent chance to upset playoffs and secure 3rd 02:10:40 Outro
Check Out PrizePicks! - https://prizepicks.onelink.me/ivHR/TRAVIS Take a look at NZXT! - https://nzxt.co/tg Take a look at the Kia EV9 - https://www.kia.com/us/en Here's an EXCLUSIVE NordVPN deal! - https://nordvpn.com/travis Follow Travis on Twitch: http://twitch.tv/travisgafford Support: https://linktr.ee/tgisupport 00:00:00 Intro 00:20:00 NEW SPONSOR! NordVPN! 00:23:13 mogul's take: APA will be, or already is, the best native NA mid we've ever had 00:41:43 cloud's take: Shopify is going to make playoffs 01:00:10 NZXT break! 01:04:08 sneezes' believes IMT is cooked 01:20:00 Prize Picks break! 01:24:10 Chronicler's take: importing LCK CL players is a big mistake that in the long run will hurt the LCS 01:40:05 Basket o Knives's take: TL has proven the haters wrong 01:54:30 KIA break! 01:56:18 Franz's take: 100T sticking with Tomo will be a huge improvement for them overall 02:05:45 Outro
In this episode, James Lavish discusses the potential of bitcoin against the current fragile financial system. He starts by explaining why bitcoin is short the current world and long a new world. James examines how weak leadership can create challenging times and its impact on financial cycles. He explores the next wave of institutional adoption and whether Wall Street still laughs at bitcoin. Emphasizing the need for critical thinking, James questions if excessive economic stimulus actually slows bitcoin adoption. He speculates on bitcoin's potential value, considering $10 trillion, $100 trillion, or $1,000 trillion scenarios. The episode also covers how long he thinks the market can fall and analyzes the national debt, and what it means for America and bitcoin.SUPPORT THE PODCAST:→ Subscribe→ Leave a review→ Share the show with your friends and family→ Send us an email podcast@unchained.comTIMESTAMPS:00:00:00 Intro00:01:10 Bitcoin—short the current world and long a new one00:05:00 Weak men create hard times00:06:34 Institutional cycle—next wave of adoption?00:15:39 Does Wall Street still laugh at bitcoin?00:20:15 Bitcoin requires critical thinking00:29:38 Does extreme stimulus actually slow bitcoin adoption?00:34:30 What's the endgame for bitcoin? $10T, $100T, $1,000T+?00:37:50 How long will this market crash last?00:39:35 National debt–something is wrong, but what?00:46:43 Will the transition from a fiat standard to bitcoin standard be smooth?00:48:29 What's something you believe that most bitcoiners would disagree with?00:50:20 What is the biggest risk to bitcoin?00:52:25 Closing thoughtsWHERE TO FOLLOW US:→ Unchained Twitter: https://twitter.com/unchainedcom→ Unchained LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/unchainedcom → Unchained Newsletter: https://unchained.com/newsletter → Joe Burnett's Twitter: https://twitter.com/IIICapital→ Caitlin Long's Twitter: https://x.com/jameslavish
Web3 Academy: Exploring Utility In NFTs, DAOs, Crypto & The Metaverse
Ethereum prices aren't surging as much as expected. Is it time to jump ship to Bitcoin or Solana? This week on The Milk Road Show, we get into the current market uncertainty around recent events, analyze the ETH ETF performance, and get OSF's price predictions for ETH, Bitcoin, and Solana. Here's what you'll learn in this episode: ETH ETF Analysis: Did it live up to the hype? OSF's Price Predictions: Get insights into OSF's adjusted price targets for Ethereum, Bitcoin, and Solana. Portfolio Allocation Strategies: Discover how OSF is positioning its portfolio in light of recent market events.
Web3 Academy: Exploring Utility In NFTs, DAOs, Crypto & The Metaverse
The Ethereum ETF is officially here! But did it live up to the hype? In this episode of The Milk Road Show, we break down the first day of trading and discuss the good, the bad, and the confusing (looking at you, inflows vs. outflows). Plus, Zeneca, an early ETH adopter, gives his price predictions for ETH and shares his own investment strategy for the coming months. What you'll learn in this episode: ETH ETF Day 1: $1 Billion in volume sounds great, but what does it actually mean for the price of ETH? Inflows vs. Outflows vs. Volume: We clear up the confusion around these terms and explain why they matter for understanding the ETF's impact on ETH price. ETH Price Prediction: Zeneca, who bought ETH at $100, gives his insights on where he thinks the price of Ethereum is headed in the short and long term.
Web3 Academy: Exploring Utility In NFTs, DAOs, Crypto & The Metaverse
Is Bitcoin digital gold? If so, then what is Ethereum? Today, we explore the world of Ethereum with Milk Road Head of Research Kyle Reidhead, who first hopped on the ETH train at $150! We're breaking down the Ethereum ETF launch, exploring the various narratives surrounding ETH (is it the "digital oil" or the "settlement layer of the internet"?), and discussing why its complexity might just be its biggest strength... Get ready to learn: Bitcoin vs. Ethereum: Unpacking the different narratives and use cases. Why Ethereum's complexity might be a bullish sign for future growth. Kyle Reidhead's insights on ETH price predictions and portfolio allocation.
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We're joined by President Ronald Reagan's Budget Director, David Stockman. He tells us what real estate investors and everyday people need to know. Stockman served as Reagan's Director of Office, Management and Budget from 1981 to 1985. He tells us to expect higher inflation and interest rates for longer, maybe even the rest of the decade. Don't expect rate cuts for a long time. The US is moving toward an unsustainable debt situation, with $100T in public debt expected within twenty-five years. We have embedded deficits. Learn why the recession has been postponed. David also reveals what will inevitably pull the trigger to potentially start the recession. Hint: Household budgets. Pandemic stimulus programs gave citizens $3T. Half of it has now been spent. He was also one of the founding partners of Blackstone. David Stockman tells a story about President Reagan's personal touch with him. You can subscribe to David Stockman's Contra Corner for free here. Resources mentioned: David Stockman's Contra Corner For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREmarketplace.com/Coach Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Keith's personal Instagram: @keithweinhold Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold (00:00:01) - Welcome to our Ivory Coast, Keith Whitehill. There are some dire warning signs for the future of our economy. We're joined by none other than the father of Reaganomics. To break it down with us. Today is late. President Ronald Reagan's budget director joins us. When is this perpetually postponed recession coming? Why? Inflation and high interest rates could carry on for the rest of the decade. And what it all means to your finances and real estate today on get Rich education. Robert Syslo (00:00:34) - Since 2014, the powerful get Rich education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from past real estate, investing in the best markets without losing your time being a flipper or landlord. Show host Keith Wine, who writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad Advisors and delivers a new show every week. Since 2014, there's been millions of listeners downloads and 188 world nations. He has A-list show guests include top selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki. Get Rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener. Robert Syslo (00:01:08) - Phone apps build wealth on the go with the get Rich education podcast. Sign up now for the get Rich education podcast or visit get Rich education.com. Corey Coates (00:01:19) - You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. Keith Weinhold (00:01:35) - We're going to drive from Glen Burnie, Maryland, to Glen County, California and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm Keith Reinhold, and you're listening to get Rich education. We're going bigger picture this week before we talk to President Reagan's money guy in the white House. Understand that today's guest was also one of the founding partners of Blackstone, and they are in the real estate business. You're going to get a lot of deep, uniquely qualified insights today. And I'll tell you what's going on around here. Lately, things have been feeling awfully presidential between last week's program and now this week's program. Hey. Stars and stripes forever. Semper fi. Rah! Now, as the greatest detonation in the history of the world, how in the heck are we, as the United States, going to keep financing our debt now, you can think of a treasury, also known as a bond, as an IOU, as we take on debt to fund our government spending programs. Keith Weinhold (00:02:42) - Really, what we do is issue then these IOUs to the rest of the world and then down the road. We need to pay back these IOU holders, treasuries, holders, whatever we've borrowed with interest on top of that. That's a really simple way to describe how it works. Think of a Treasury as an IOU. Well, we have $9 trillion in treasuries that need to be rolled over at higher interest rates just this year alone. Okay. Well, how does the market look for that sort of thing? Well, a lot like before you decide to sell a piece of real estate, you would want to know how that buyer's market looks. How is the buyer's market for us selling more treasuries, which is basically us issuing more IOUs? How is that world interest level in our treasuries? Well, this is a time when the world is selling treasuries. We're trying to get rid of them. Well, why would they buy more when we keep printing like crazy, debasing the dollars that they will eventually get their treasuries repaid in down the road? Case in point, China is down to just over 700 billion of treasuries that they're holding. Keith Weinhold (00:04:01) - Well, they were 3 trillion not too long ago, more than four times that Russia and Iran sold all of their treasuries. Other countries are shedding them too, like Japan. It gets even worse than that because the number one holder of our own debt is our own fed. And then it gets even worse than that. Yet, because even our own fed is rolling treasuries off of their balance sheet. So who is going to finance this often irresponsible US spending the 10 trillion or $11 trillion every single year for the next ten years that we have obligations toward already, and it looks like all those are going to be at higher interest rates, too. Now, I am not telling you how to think about us as the United States, for example, sending foreign aid to multiple nations. That's up to you to decide whether it's Ukraine or the Middle East or Taiwan that gets political. And that is beyond the scope of GR. We are an investing show. What I'm saying is that backdrop that I just gave you, that's something that you need to take into consideration, is you weigh those foreign aid decision types. Keith Weinhold (00:05:20) - Speaking of getting worse, do we at least have competent decision makers today? Now, as we'll talk to the father of Reaganomics here shortly, someone that served in an earlier era. Here's a clip from this era that really went viral lately, but it's apropos to play it here. This is Jared Bernstein today. He chairs President Joe Biden's Council of Economic Advisers. How much confidence does this instill? And remember, this guy chairs the economic advisers to today's president. Jared Bernstein (00:05:56) - The US government can't go bankrupt because we can print our own money. Voice (00:06:00) - Like you said, they print the dollar. So why? Why does the government even borrow? Jared Bernstein (00:06:04) - Well, the, so the I mean, again, some of this stuff gets some of the language that the, some of the language and concepts are just confusing. I mean, the government definitely prints money and it definitely lends that money, which is why the government definitely prints money. And then it lends that money by, by selling bonds. Is that what they do? They they, the. Jared Bernstein (00:06:34) - Yeah. They, they they sell bonds. Yeah. They sell bonds. Right. Because they sell bonds and people buy the bonds and lend them the money. Yeah. So a lot of times, a lot of times at least to my year with MMT, the, the language and the concepts can be kind of unnecessarily confusing. But there is no question that the government prints money and then it uses that money to so, yeah, I guess I'm just I don't, I can't really, I don't, I don't get it. I don't know what they're talking about. Keith Weinhold (00:07:08) - Well geez. How's that for clarity and confidence from today's major decision makers on our economy? Gosh. Now, in my opinion, back in 2020, our government, they set up the wrong incentive structure to deal with the pandemic. Remember things like the PGP, the Paycheck Protection Program, remember mortgage loan forbearance and the eviction moratorium. See when that type of aid is given, well, then the result is that citizens don't learn that they need to keep some cash handy, and then that behavior that gets rewarded gets repeated in that behavior is handouts. Keith Weinhold (00:07:53) - And then the expectation for more handouts. 56% of Americans don't even have $1,000 for an emergency expense. Well, see, they're not really incentivized to in the future. If in a crisis, everyone just gets another taxpayer funded handout, but then see those same people that got that handout get hurt in the long run. Anyway, with the longer run inflation that the handout created, don't let there be one day of austerity for the least prepared American, I guess. Instead, bail them out and add on to everyone's debt load, which you know that right there. That seems to be the playbook. Like that is the protocol of the day that is not responsible, in my view. Now, the minutes of the latest fed meeting, they said that some fed officials would be open to raising interest rates if inflation doesn't let up. I mean, that news alone that sent stocks plunging like they were riding the Tower of Terror, giving the Dow its worst day in a while. I'll discuss that more with the father of Reaganomics, David Stockman, today. Keith Weinhold (00:09:01) - It's the kind of episode that can stretch your thinking here. Now, what is Reaganomics? Well, one thing that you should know is that it's committed to the doctrine of supply side economics. You probably heard that term before. And really what that's all about is lowering taxes, decreasing regulation, and allowing free trade and what was called the Reagan budget. That's something that his budget director Stockman expected would help curtail the welfare state. And he gained a reputation as a tough negotiator for that. He lives on the Upper East Side of Manhattan today, and it's kind of funny with macroeconomic discussions. You'll notice something here, the word million, that doesn't even come up that much anymore. It's simply a number that is too small. It is more like billion and trillion. And hey, let's see if the term three orders of magnitude above trillion comes up today. Quadrillion, or even the one after that quintillion. Is that where we're going next? We'll see. before we meet David Simon, I've gotten more questions about something, because the national average bank account pays less than 1% on your savings. Keith Weinhold (00:10:18) - And where do you really get a decent yield on your savings, even beyond the 5% in an online only savings account or a CD, which that does not outpace true inflation? For years now, I've reliably been getting 8%. What I do is keep my dollars in a private liquidity fund. You can do this to your cash generates up to an 8% return. The minimum investment amount is just 25 K, and you keep getting paid until you decide that you want your money back. And the private liquidity fund has a decade plus track record, and they've always paid their investors 100% in full and on time. And I would know this because I am an investor with them myself. So see what it feels like to earn 8%. A lot of other great listeners are any investing involves risk, even dollars at a brick and mortar bank. So to learn more, just text the word family to 66866. Learn more about the liquidity fund. Get 8% interest. Just do it right now while you're thinking about it. Keith Weinhold (00:11:23) - Text family to 66866. Let's meet David Stockman. A Wall Street and Washington insider and Harvard grad. Today's guest is a former two time congressman from Michigan, a prolific author, and he is none other than the man known as the father of Reaganomics. He was indeed President Ronald Reagan's budget advisor. Welcome to the show, David Stockman. David Stockman (00:11:54) - Great to be with you. And, that was a while back. But I think there's some lessons from that time that we would be well advised to try to apply today, that's for sure. Keith Weinhold (00:12:05) - Well, it's an illustrious title that you'll never shake. It's a pleasure to have you here. And David is a real estate investing show. At times we need to step back and look at the bigger picture. And now on the economy, one seems to get a different answer depending on who they speak with. You have a highly qualified opinion. What do both investors and citizens need to know today about the condition of the American economy? David Stockman (00:12:29) - I don't think the outlook is very promising, but I think it's important to understand what that means for real estate investors, because the fact is, if you're in real estate and I know many of your listeners or viewers are very knowledgeable and sophisticated, there's really two ways to look at real estate. David Stockman (00:12:49) - One is as a property that generates a flow of cash or income that is highly reliable, and that you can count on and produces a rate of return on the invested capital that's attractive. That's one way. The second way is that if you invest at the right time, when perhaps interest rates are falling and therefore multiples or cap rates are becoming more attractive and property values are rising rapidly, mainly because of easy money and lower interest rates, then there's a huge opportunity for capital gains. As another way of generating return on capital. But those are two obviously very different tracks. The capital gains route by old invest, improve flip flop the gain and move on or the, you know, income based rent and earnings based, approach to property. Now, I think the reason I went through this is pretty elementary, of course, is that the macro environment is very different between the first strategy and the second strategy. And therefore, the important thing to understand about the macro environment is which environment are you in and is it conducive to strategy a the income strategy or b the capital gains strategy? I would say right now we're totally in an incomes strategy environment, the first route. David Stockman (00:14:34) - And that's because as we've gone through several decades of easy money, of rapidly rising asset values, of ultra low interest rates, very high multiples, in terms of property values to income that has generated trillions and trillions of capital gains for smart real estate investors. But I think we're out of that environment, and we're in an environment now where we're stuck with massive public debt and deficits. We're stuck with a, central bank that is, basically painted itself into a corner, created so much fiat credit, generated so much liquidity into the economy that now it will be struggling with inflation for years to come. Which means, notwithstanding Wall Street's constant belief that rate cuts are coming tomorrow, there won't be rate cuts for a long time to come. And what we're facing, therefore, there is likely higher rates for longer. A environment in which property values are flat if not declining, and therefore the capital gains route is not going to work very well. But if you have good properties with good tenants and good cash flows and, rental flows, real estate mine works out pretty well. David Stockman (00:16:05) - But you have to understand the macro environment. And that's one of the things that I work on daily when I, publish my daily newsletter, which is called, David Stockman's Contra Corner. Keith Weinhold (00:16:19) - You can learn more about Contra Corner, David's blog, before we're done today. David, you have a lot of interesting things to say. There we are in this environment where rates have been higher, longer. It sounds like you believe that is going to continue to be the. Case is rate cuts will be postponed is a little more difficult question. It's some crystal ball stuff. But can you tell us more about that? What can we expect for inflation in interest rates for the rest of this 2020s decade, which has about six years to go? David Stockman (00:16:48) - There's going to be high rates for most of this decade because we have so much inflation and excess demand built into the economy. We really went overboard, especially after 2020 with the pandemic lockdowns and then these massive stimulus program, something like $6 trillion of added stimulus, was injected into the economy in less than 12 months. David Stockman (00:17:16) - That created a undertow of inflation that is still with us. And despite all the hopeful commentary that comes from Wall Street, if you look at it year to date, I don't look at just the CPI because the headline number is somewhat volatile and can be pushed and pulled a lot from a month to month based on nonrecurring conditions. But if you look at something called the 16% trimmed mean CPI, it's just the same CPI, but it takes out the lowest 8%, the highest 8% of price observations each month out of the thousands in the market basket. What it does is basically takes the extreme volatility out of the top and the bottom, and gives you a trend that is more reliable if you're looking like on a quarter by quarter or year by year or even multi year basis, well, I mentioned this is important because the trim means CPI is still running at about 4.3% during the first four months of this year to date. That's not a victory over inflation. That's double what the fed says his target is. And frankly, the Fed's target is a little bit phony. David Stockman (00:18:35) - I mean, what's so great about 2% inflation if you're a saver and your savings are, you know, shrinking by 30% over the course of a decade, so they're going to have a tremendous wrestling match with inflation, not just for a few more months, but I think for several more years in this decade, I don't see the federal funds rate, which is kind of the benchmark rate for overnight money coming down below 5% very soon, or if at all. And that's because with inflation running at 4% or better, if you have a 5% money market rate, you're barely getting a return on capital, especially if you factor in taxes. You know, it's like it's a rounding error and that doesn't work over time. I mean, you're not going to get long term savings. You're not going to get long term capital investment. If the return is after inflation and taxes are either non-existent or negative, as they've been for quite a while. So even though everybody would like to hope we're going back to the good old days of 0% over 90 money or 1% money, which they got so used to over the last couple of decades. David Stockman (00:19:55) - It was bad policy. It wasn't sustainable. It caused a huge amount of bubbles and distortions in our economy. But once we finally got to the end of that in March 2022, when the fed had to finally pivot and say, yeah, inflation isn't transitory, it's, embedded, we got to do something about it. People think we're going right back to where we were, and that's the key thing to understand. We are not going right back to where we were, in part because of all this inflation business I've talked about, but also in part because they got so used to borrowing money on Capitol Hill and practically zero interest rates that they are now, you know, they have built in deficits of 2 trillion or more a year. And, we are going to be pushing into the bond pits, massive amounts of new government debt. There's no consensus to do anything about it. You know, if the Republicans talk about reforming the entitlements, the Democrats say you're throwing grandma out the snow. If the Democrats talk about raising revenue, the Republicans talked about, you're going to get slaughtered with higher taxes. David Stockman (00:21:12) - And then everybody's for more wars and more defense and the bigger and bigger national security budget. And that's all she wrote. If you don't do with revenue, you don't do it national defense and entitlements. The rest of it is rounding errors. And so we're stuck with these massive additions to the debt. Now, everybody knows the public debt. Is 34 trillion. Ready? Yeah. What I'd say they don't understand is that by the end of this decade, you ask about the decade, right? Will we close to 60 trillion of debt. And, if you look at the last CBO, projection they do every year at long term projection, and CBO actually is more optimistic than it is warranted in any way. In other words, their long term assumptions I call rosy scenario. There's no more recessions for the next couple of decades. Inflation is well-behaved, interest rates stay low. Full employment lasts indefinitely and forever. Well, this doesn't happen. Look at the real world. Over the last 20 or 30 years, we've been all over the lot. David Stockman (00:22:18) - So if you look at the CBO forecast, which is I'm just saying here is exceedingly optimistic. They never are the less are projecting that the public debt and they don't even write this number down in their report because it's too scary, will be $100 trillion before the middle of this century. Keith Weinhold (00:22:41) - That's a. David Stockman (00:22:42) - Trillion. Yeah. Now, if you ask people today who are market savvy, I like a lot of your viewers. Where are the Treasury bills, notes and bonds today? Well, if you average it all out, it's about 5%. I don't think it's going to come down much. It'll vary a little bit up and down over time, but let's just say it stays at 5%. That means the carry cost of the public debt of a couple decades will be 5 trillion a year. The interest okay. It's staggering. That's almost as much as the whole federal budget is spending this today at, you know, about 6.6 6.7 trillion. So that's where we're heading, a massive debt crisis because they built in a structural deficit that the politicians and I call it the unite party. David Stockman (00:23:33) - They fight about silly things, but they agree on the big things which are leading to this outcome. The unit party has no ability to do anything about this structural deficit or the march from the 34 trillion that we're at today to 60 trillion by the end of the decade, and 100 trillion of public debt by mid-century. Now, for a real estate investor, that's probably the most important number you're going to hear. You know, at least this week or maybe this month or even this year, because what it means is that the amount of new government debt flowing into the bond pits, that'll have to be financed and that can't be monetized by the fed anymore because there's too much inflation, is going to put constant, enormous pressure upward on interest rates. And of course, higher interest rates mean lower property values. That's just basic real estate math. That's the environment we're heading into, which means good properties with good income and good rental flows are really the only way to go. Keith Weinhold (00:24:55) - Yeah, well, there's an awful lot there. Keith Weinhold (00:24:57) - And with this persistent higher inflation that you expect, the way I think about it is the higher the rate of inflation, the more that moves a person's dollars out of a savings account and instead out onto the risk curve. Well, David alluded to a problematic economy. We're going to come back and talk about more of those warning signs and what you can do about it. You're listening to Get Resuscitation, the father of Reaganomics and Ronald Reagan's budget director, David Stockman, I'm your host, Keith Reinhold. Role under this specific expert with income property, you need Ridge Lending Group and MLS for 256 injury history from beginners to veterans. They provided our listeners with more mortgages than anyone. It's where I get my own loans for single family rentals up to four Plex's. Start your pre-qualification and chat with President Charlie Ridge. Personally, they'll even customize a plan tailored to you for growing your portfolio. Start at Ridge Lending group.com Ridge lending group.com. Speaker 7 (00:26:06) - This is author Jim Rickards. Listen to get Rich education with Keith Reinhold and don't quit your day dream. Keith Weinhold (00:26:23) - Welcome back to Get Ready. So we're talking with the father of Reaganomics. His name is David Stockman, President Reagan's budget advisor. David, you've been talking about a problematic economy and places we can look and the outcomes that that can create. Why don't we talk about some more of those where we're here in a period where we feel like it's an official recession postponed, for example, are there other places that we should be looking? Is it the sustained inverted yield curve that we had for almost two years, the longest one ever, and a Great Recession predictor? Or is it that we're on the precipice of implosion from a debt to GDP ratio that's at 122%. It actually spiked to 133% when Covid first hit. Or for example, is it something and you've already touched on it a bit, is it more of that federal spending on our debts, interest payments alone each year, which had almost $900 billion for that interest line item that now even exceeds the massive $800 billion that we spend each year on national defense, or should we be looking at somewhere else? So what's out there that's really problematic and what's overblown? David Stockman (00:27:28) - Okay. David Stockman (00:27:29) - That's great. And all of those things you mentioned you should be looking at, it depends on your time frame. But I think on the initial question, where is this postponed recession? Why hasn't that happened? The place to look is somewhere that I think most Wall Street analysts aren't focused on, but they should be. And that's a series published by the Federal Reserve that tracks household balance sheets, in other words, liabilities and assets. But there's a particular series that I think is critically important to look at, and it's basically bank deposits, checking account savings accounts plus money market funds. This is all the liquid cash accounts of the household sector, not long term investments in real estate or stocks or bonds, but the short term money. It's the spendable money that households have now, what happened during the pandemic and lockdowns. And then the 6 trillion Is stems that were injected into the economy, like some kind of fiscal madness was going on in Washington, created a total aberration in the amount of cash in the economy, in the household sector, in these accounts that I just mentioned, normally right before the lockdown started and the stimulus was injected, you know, the level of cash accounts was about 12 trillion. David Stockman (00:29:00) - Within two years it was up to 18 trillion. And normally that cash balance grows about the same rate as the economy. In other words, as incomes go up, people save a small share of their income that goes into various bank accounts. There tends to be a lock step relationship. But what happened during that two year period was there was so much extra cash sent out to the households with the $2,000 checks in the $600 a week extra stimulus money, and then the, trillions that went, you know, for things like the Small Business Administration loan program, which was all forgivable, was about almost upwards of $1 trillion. You know, we could itemize all the others. But this enormous government, unusual cash flow into the economy added to these bank accounts enormously. And then something else happened. The geniuses in Washington, led by Doctor Fauci, decided to shut down half of the service sector, the economy. I'm talking with restaurants and bars and gyms, malls and movies and and all the rest of it. David Stockman (00:30:09) - So all of a sudden, the normal money that people would have been spending on the service venues, which is a big part of total spending, was stopped. It was kind of forced into artificial savings, sort of government mandated savings. Now, if you put the two together, there was about 2 trillion, extra transfer payments sent out to the public during that two year period. And there was a little over a trillion of normal service spending, restaurants in, etc. that didn't happen because there was a closed sign on the door, compliments of Doctor Fauci, or people were scared to death to go out because, you know, they created all this fear that Covid was some form of black death, which it really wasn't for 95% of the population. In any event, if you put the extra free stuff from the government, 2 trillion and the for savings because of these lockdowns, trillion, you have 3 trillion of unusual cash that flowed into the economy on top of the normal production. Income and profits and spending that would have otherwise gone on. David Stockman (00:31:26) - Now that 3 trillion temporarily ended up in this account, that I'm just talking about the cash balances of the household sector and its peak, there was about 2.8 trillion extra compared to what would been be the normal case in a regular economy. In a normal economy, that money has been slowly spent down by the household sector, even as the fed has tried to put the screws to the economy. In other words, there was so much extra cash in the system that even as the fed raised interest rates from 0 to 5% and did their darndest to slow things down, all of that excess that was built up during the pandemic period was available to spend. It was spent. And here's the key point. About half of it is now been spent. In other words, there's only about a trillion and a half of the nearest 3 trillion left. Now that is what's delayed the recession. If that big, massive 3 trillion nest egg had been there and the fed began to push rates up as it normally did in a normal cycle, we would have been in recession months ago. David Stockman (00:32:41) - But what has delayed or deferred the recession is this, cushion, this huge macro piggybank of cash that the government inadvertently or adversely is the case may be generated, during the pandemic period. So that's new. See that? Nobody looks at that because normally it's not a factor. You know, the cash balances are a pretty, prosaic, neutral part of the economy. They're not where you look for the leading edge of where the cycle was going or where new developments may turn up tomorrow. But this time, because of this total aberration of what happened to government transfer payments plus the lockdowns, we have a, X factor, let's call it in the macro picture that is confusing people. It's leading a lot of people to abdicate this no landing scenario. In other words, you know, there's not going to be a recession. We're just going to go on to bigger and better things. And, the fed will get inflation under control and then we can be back to happy times again. No, they're missing. David Stockman (00:33:56) - The elephant in the room is this massive aberrational unusual one time cash balance that was, generated by these policies. And that still has a little ways to go now. I think at the rate it's being run down, you can almost calculate it a couple hundred billion dollars, a quarter sometime next year, all of that extra cash will be out of the system. And then people will be back to spending only what they're earning. And frankly, earnings they're not. I'm talking about wage and salary earnings, are advancing barely at the inflation rate at the present time. So when we get back to about zero real growth in earnings, we're going to finally see the recession. Keith Weinhold (00:34:45) - I think one of the big takeaways here is that all these artificial economic injections really take time to unwind. David Stockman (00:34:56) - Exactly. You have to look at, you know, they always say, well, when the government changes policy, fiscal policy, you tighten or you loosen or monetary policy they raise or lower interest rates. They got QE or they got cute putting money in or taking money out that there's lag and lead times in all of this. David Stockman (00:35:18) - The problem is, none of the great economic gurus who talk about this really know whether the lag time is 12 months, 25 months, 50 or 5, and it varies. I mean, the circumstance has changed so much in a world GDP of 104 trillion, a domestic economy with 28 trillion of GDP, and all the complex factors that are moving back and forth in today's world, especially as it's enabled by technology and global trade and the internet and all the rest of it, nobody knows the lag times. And as a result, it's very hard to predict when the, brown stuff is going to hit the fan, so to speak. On the other hand, you don't have to know the exact date. You really need to understand the direction, the flow of things. And if you're in an environment that isn't sustainable because you're borrowing like crazy or interest rates or artificially. Low or stock price multiples are way the L2 ie or cap rates on real estate or you know, abnormally low. Then what you have to say is we're going to a different state. David Stockman (00:36:35) - It's not going to be as conducive as the current state, and we have to be prepared for it, even if we are not sure whether that's 12 months from now or 24 months. But it's going to change. So one thing you can be sure of, there is a famous economist back in my day when I worked on Capitol Hill earlier on, he was Nixon's chief economic adviser in the early 70s. And he famously formulated an aphorism, I guess, which said anything that is unsustainable tends to stop. Okay, that's what I know about the lag times. We're in unsustainable financial, fiscal and monetary environment. And the trends that it has given rise to are going to stop and and not in a good way. Keith Weinhold (00:37:24) - He even fed Chair Jerome Powell has confessed as much as that. This situation is indeed unsustainable, the exact word that he used. Well, David, this has been great in winding down as Ronald Reagan's budget director. Can you share any anecdote, story or quote from you spending time personally with Ronald Reagan? And the reason I ask is because he is perhaps the most revered president of the past few generations. Keith Weinhold (00:37:52) - That might mean a lot to our listeners here. David Stockman (00:37:54) - He should be revered, and not only because he was a great president and a great communicator, and did a lot of important things in policy. Some of them got implemented, and a lot of them were frustrated by Washington and the politicians and the Democrats and everybody else. But also, he was a great human being. And my story about that was when I was budget director, in the fifth year of the Reagan administration, we had our first child, and my wife was in the hospital. At that point in time, President Reagan was in Europe on a very important big international, series of meetings. But, somebody in the white House told him that our daughter had been born. And so he took the time out of his schedule for a call from Germany, the hospital where my wife was, and said he would like to talk to her and, congratulate us on our new arrival. But my wife was in a room with another, a new mother. David Stockman (00:38:53) - She the other person answered the phone and she said to my wife, there's some joker on the phone with President Reagan. And sure enough, he was there. and he took the time to congratulate my wife. And, so that's the kind of, person he was. He really was a great human being. Keith Weinhold (00:39:13) - Wow. Yeah. That really shows that he can still be warm and heartfelt, even while doing some key international negotiations there. Potentially. Well, we mentioned it earlier. I can tell you, the audience, that David is a regular author and contributor to his Contra Corner blog and letter, and you can get access to that for free. This is information coming from the father of Reaganomics to you. If you think you would find it a value. David, tell us how our audience can connect with you there. David Stockman (00:39:44) - Just Google David Stockman Contra corner I publish, I have a website, issues a newsletter every day. It comes automatically in the email. I also have a Substack version. You can sign up for either one, the email from my site or from Substack. David Stockman (00:40:02) - And every day we try to publish something on these issues that we've been talking about. One day it might be Wall Street, another day it might be Capitol Hill, another day it might be, you know, the war in Ukraine. All of these things matter. All of these things influence the environment that investors have to function in. So we try to comment on a variety of those issues based on, you know, the long experience that I've had, both not only in Washington, but also I was on Wall Street, for about 20 years. I was one of the founding partners of Blackstone, for instance. And we were in the real estate business in a major way, even then. Keith Weinhold (00:40:44) - Well, we absolutely love that. And I sure am appreciative of your time. It was great connecting with you. And thanks for being on the program today, David. David Stockman (00:40:53) - Very good. Enjoyed it. Keith Weinhold (00:41:01) - Yeah. Deep insights from the father of Reaganomics. Stockman thinks we'll be struggling with inflation for years to come. Keith Weinhold (00:41:08) - There won't be rate cuts for a long time. He sees real estate values as flat or declining, so have good tenants with steady income streams. Of course, in our favoured real estate segment here, residential 1 to 4 units where you can get 30 year fixed rate debt. Higher mortgage rates tend to correlate with higher prices, just like it has for the last three years and almost every period before that too. But there could be more pain for the commercial sector then, and assets that are tied to floating rate debt. And if you're aligned with David Stockman on that, you might want to look at your helocs, because after a fixed rate period, their rates tend to float along with the fed funds rate. So be cautious with Helocs and ask David for specifics. He doesn't see the federal funds rate coming down below 5% anytime soon, and you probably know that is the interest rate that a whole bunch of other interest rates are based off of. And that rate is currently at about 5.3%. By the way, there is projected to be more than 100 t more than $100 trillion of public debt before the middle of this century. Keith Weinhold (00:42:22) - That's less than 25 years away. I mean, these figures just become unfathomable sometimes. Pandemic wrought inflation that really occurred due to this greater supply of dollars that was introduced chasing a reduced supply of goods. And there were fewer goods because people got paid to stay at home not producing anything. Plus, what had been produced often could not be shipped either. David discussed the 16% trimmed mean CPI, and I've got to say, as much as I am a student devotee in studying inflation, I had never heard of that from his vantage point to find recession signs, look at household balance sheets and what's delayed the recession is that those pandemic measures put an extra 3 trillion bucks into households, and households still have about 1.5 trillion left to spend, which could further delay a recession. He projects that it's sometime next year that all of that extra cash will be out of the system. When you talk to how many people got this recession predictions so horribly wrong? Back in October 2022, Bloomberg Economics forecast a 100% chance of a recession by the following fall, which is almost a year ago now. Keith Weinhold (00:43:48) - Well, a 100% chance that left no room for anything else to happen. And they really whiffed on that one. Now, you know, I've got to add something here. A personal note if I can, but I'll give you a lesson along with it. And that is that at times like today, where I found myself one degree of separation from one of the most revered presidents in all of American history, I sometimes have some difficulty understanding how I keep having the opportunity to share time with people like today's guest. Now, I'm certainly not a PhD economist. And in fact, on the flip side, I've also never been a person that's been so poor and destitute that I was dying of hunger. But I do come from a modest place. When I flew the coop and left my parents home, I rented my first pathetic place to live a $325 a month pool house in the back of my landlord's property at 852 Spruce Avenue in Westchester, Pennsylvania. Yeah, a pathetic little pool house right next to the landlord's swimming pool. Keith Weinhold (00:45:04) - I mean, I was living really pathetically there for a while as I was struggling just to do things like find gainful employment and figure out the world and find a steady income. Yeah, it was 325 a month plus electric and the one small heater that was there, it was electric and it was really expensive to run. And on the coldest days, it wouldn't even adequately heat my pathetic little pool house that I ended up living in for 18 months. And just because I couldn't figure a way out of that situation for a while, I mean, I was too ashamed to ever bring a girl back there to that sad pool house. It was just one sink for the whole place. Combined kitchen and bathroom sink in the bathroom. I mean, most of my friends, they got their driver's license at age 16 and they soon had their own car. I didn't own a car until I was aged 22 or 23, and it's not because I lived in an urban area and walked. Everywhere use public transit there in Pennsylvania. Keith Weinhold (00:46:02) - It just took me a long time to afford a beater car and pay for insurance. I really needed a car and couldn't afford one. So really my point here is that sometimes I have to wonder how I got here from there. And I think what it is is taking an interest in real estate and investing. And despite just having a humble bachelor's degree in geography, it's really about becoming an autodidact, meaning self-taught. And it's easy to teach yourself when you find what interests you. And let me point to two other things besides adopting an auto didactic ethic to help me turn the corner into being in a place where I can have conversations like the one that I've had today. It was getting around aspirational friends. Like I've mentioned before, that showed me how I can start with a bang buy with little money. On my first home, I could put a 3.5% down payment on a fourplex, live in one unit and rent out the other three. And I will give myself some credit for doing those things. And then really, the third thing is that stroke of luck element, like just 4% of world inhabitants have been. Keith Weinhold (00:47:15) - I was one of that 4% that was born in the United States. And then I had two great, married, stable, supportive parents to cultivate the right environment for me. And well, today was just one of those days where I sort of nudged myself and I'm glad that it happened. Most importantly, I trust that you got value from today's show and that you do every single week here. Check out David Stockman's Contra Corner. Next week, we'll look for signs of distress in real estate as we delve inside the foreclosure market and how you can find discounted deals there. Until then, Idaho's Keith Wayne hold don't quit your day trip. Speaker 8 (00:48:02) - Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get Rich education LLC exclusively. The. Keith Weinhold (00:48:30) - The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth building. Keith Weinhold (00:48:34) - Get rich education.com.
Nadeshot Finally Exposes Everything... Welcome to Episode 5 of the Join The Lobby Podcast, with special guest 100T Nadeshot. Hosted by FaZe Clan's Swagg and Matcrackz.
00:00:00 Intro 00:16:18 Rico Suave's take: there should be definitive leaders in a team to help shape identity 00:28:09 eBraum's take: as a C9 fan, C9 is going to get swept by TL, TL will win over FLY 00:36:10 Bwipo's hot take: The difference between 100T and IMT was pure luck 00:46:30 Is Berserker's gameplay suffering without Zven? 00:51:10 micspam's take: MarkZ being the face of LCS is really dumb 01:03:55 Tzvi's take: C9 needs a rookie to succeed 01:28:44 lymyion's take: Bwipo & APA (and players like them) are the 2 best players to come to the LCS 01:41:19 Azikiel asks Bwipo: how much has NRG's downfall been due to the loss of Ignar 01:49:35 bearusAurelius asks Bwipo why we don't see more roaming top laners 01:55:20 Outro
00:00:00 Intro - Playoffs incoming, a sprinkle of drama 00:20:30 Gambirino's take: shifting from a live patch to a fixed patch for Playoffs will test the teams 00:37:40 icebreaker's take: from a product/hype perspective, 100T is the best team to send to MSI 00:51:22 Human Boy YesYes's take: DIG and TL have better shots at MSI than NRG and C9 01:07:40 Skizzle's take: C9 can't beat 100T if they maintain their 0-3 superweek form 01:19:55 deeeep space's take: DL's comments on Dodo are an example of where esports seriously needs to improve in PR and comms 01:43:25 NoReason asks: What does FLY look like without their NACL team? 01:52:51 muzzvein's take: River or Quid MVP, but Inspired and Jojo 1st Team All-Pro 02:06:24 Outro
00:00:00 Intro - triple-guest episode 00:21:50 ezra's take: 100T's success proves how important coaching staff is 00:35:40 Mastergen1's take: there's a lack of innovation on the live patch 00:49:55 Tim wonders about Sniper's skills outside his comfort zone 00:58:46 waka asks 100T how they feel about the state of LCS and the game itself 01:11:05 trasterisk's take: Spawn and Goldenglue are great examples of how T2 works 01:30:30 katmandu asks how 100T staff feels about the 2-week break 01:41:12 ppdoc asks who 100T considers their biggest competition 01:50:20 trespasser's takes: scared for C9 as a fan, + Sven is at LS's bootcamp, which team would benefit most from him? 02:08:55 Outro
Podcast that covers all things LCS + coverage of all mainstream League of Legends News Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/clownfiestapodcast Twitters: https://twitter.com/jnt250 , https://twitter.com/bluejay_gg Discord: https://discord.gg/BksRn4HHUU Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/clownfiestapodcast Anchor: https://anchor.fm/clownfiestapodcast Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/45und4mMcRd4nbHSOZjD8G
00:00:00 Intro 00:16:20 Tom's take: With the LCS down to 8 slots + a shorter schedule, early wins matter more 00:28:54 Bluejay's take: this is Jensen's biggest "proving" season since his debut 00:43:03 Cloud asks about svenskeren's coaching experience 00:53:45 Alienware break! 00:57:40 treethan's take: teams can't turn down sketchy opportunities in the current esports climate 01:19:35 JamJon's take: FLY has a better roster for growing Massu than 100T have to grow Meech 01:29:41 Davis's take; the winner of MSI getting a free trip to Worlds is good for format but bad for that winning team 01:37:40 Zak Mango is optimistic about Riot's efforts for competitive League scene 01:48:05 Outro
00:00:00 Intro 00:19:52 Munchkin predicts: DIG will beat GG, TL will beat EG, DIG will beat TL 00:35:45 Bluejay's take: Bugi, Insanity and Chime should be treated as valuable free agents 00:45:30 Alienware break! 00:49:26 MagiMick's take: 100T hasn't been able to put together a winning roster yet 01:01:28 Cool asks Spica about how culture and management affect teams 01:11:11 gyro's take: teams like NRG have always been greater than the sum of their parts 01:25:00 Cptn Turtleman's take: C9 is going to continue dominating; 3-0 vs NRG 01:37:00 tomjack asks Spica who he'd buff/nerf 01:48:48 Outro