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Getting close to higher and higher highs... Economic reports holding strong! Oil on the move, VIX stable – what could go wrong? Guest: Vitaliy Katsenelson explains value investing and what he looks for in great stocks. His "Three Pillars" of quality are an important aspect of his research and what he looks for in companies that he plans to invest in for the long haul. NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE'S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Follow @andrewhorowitz Vitaliy Katsenelson, born and raised in Murmansk, Russia (the home for Russia‘s northern navy fleet, think Tom Clancy‘s Red October). Immigrated to the US from Russia in 1991 with all his family three brothers, father, and stepmother. His professional career is easily described in one sentence: He invest, He educates, he writes, and he could not dream of doing anything else. He is Chief Investment Officer at Investment Management Associates, Inc (IMA), a value investment firm based in Denver, Colorado. After he received his graduate and undergraduate degrees in finance (cum laude) from the University of Colorado at Denver, and finished his CFA designation, he wanted to keep learning. He figured the best way to learn is to teach. At first he taught an undergraduate class at the University of Colorado at Denver and later a graduate investment class at the same university that he designed based on his day job. He found that the university classroom was not big enough, so he started writing. He writes a monthly column for Institutional Investor Magazine and he has written articles for the Financial Times, Barron‘s, BusinessWeek, Christian Science Monitor, New York Post, and the list goes on. He was profiled in Barron‘s, and has been interviewed by Value Investor Insight, Welling@Weeden, BusinessWeek, BNN, CNBC, and countless radio shows. Vitaliy has authored the Little Book of Sideways Markets (Wiley, 2010) and Active Value Investing (Wiley, 2007). Follow @vitaliyk Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ More information available on Horowitz & Company's TDI Managed Growth Strategy Stocks discussed this week - (GLD), (SLV), (OIL), (XLE), (UBER), (COIN)
As A.I. stocks rally on news of the Stargate project, Theotrade's Don Kaufman's stays bullish on Broadcom (AVGO) due to its ability to ride on coattails of leaders like Nvidia (NVDA). He later breaks down his bullishness in Nike (NKE) and bearishness in the energy sector (XLE). Rick Ducat dives into the technical trends of each. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Volatility sparking up No rate cuts until maybe June now Inauguration just days away – what is in store? Guest – Pat Camuso – crypto tax specialist NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE'S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Patrick Camuso is a CPA and the Founder of Camuso CPA, an industry-leading firm working closely with cryptocurrency investors and web3 businesses that was among the first CPA firms to specialize in crypto taxes back in 2016. As a pioneer in the field, Camuso CPA was also the first firm to accept cryptocurrency as payment, setting a forward-thinking example in the accounting profession. Patrick is the host of The Financial Frontier podcast, where he explores the latest trends in crypto, tax, and finance. He also runs the Digital Asset Digest, a newsletter delivering insights on blockchain, digital assets, and tax compliance. Patrick is also the author of Navigating the NFT Sales Tax Maze, Wayfair 2.0 for Web 3.0, an essential resource for navigating sales tax in the digital asset space. Learn More at http://www.ibkr.com/funds Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ eNVESTOLOGY Info - https://envestology.com/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (BTCUSD), (ETHUSD), (META), (SPY), (XLE)
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, January 7th. Timecodes 0:00 - Yields, Vol & The Dollar 12:30 - S&P 500 Impacts 18:30 - XLV 21:00 - XLP, KO & PEP 26:00 - Calls Of The Day (AAPL & TSLA) 37:20 - Chart Of The Day (NVDA) 42:00 - XLE & XOM -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-call Subscribe to our newsletter: https://riskreversalmedia.beehiiv.com/subscribe MRKT Call is brought to you by our presenting sponsors CME Group, FactSet & SoFi Watch MRKT Call LIVE at 1pm M-TH on YouTube Sign up for our emails Follow us on Twitter @MRKTCall Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow @CarterBWorth on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Like us on Facebook @RiskReversal Watch all of our videos on YouTube
Nossos sócios Luis André Oliveira, Sarah Campos e Yara Cordeiro debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo. No cenário internacional, foram divulgados dados de atividade (ISM de manufaturas) nos EUA, um pouco mais altos que o esperado, com melhora em componentes de demanda e queda em componentes de emprego. Também foi oficializado o fim do acordo que permitia o envio de gás russo para a Europa através do território da Ucrânia, como amplamente esperado. Foram divulgadas notícias de que o presidente Biden está planejando banir perfurações de petróleo e gás em certas áreas federais, através de uma lei que dificulta reversões futuras, impactando os planos do Trump de aumento de produção. O Mike Johnson foi reeleito como presidente da Câmara dos Representantes dos EUA. Por fim, foram divulgados dados de atividade também na China, com a parte de manufaturas ainda fraca, mas melhora na parte de serviços e construção. No Brasil, o noticiário seguiu repercutindo o bloqueio das emendas parlamentares, mas sem grandes novidades tendo em vista o recesso do Congresso. Ainda, foram divulgados os dados fiscais do BCB relativos a novembro, em linha com o esperado, mas com revisões baixistas no histórico da dívida pública, impactadas pela surpresa altista no PIB nominal do 3º tri/2024. Nos EUA, os juros fecharam entre 2 e 5 bps, e as bolsas tiveram desempenho misto – S&P500 -0,48%, Nasdaq -0,68% e Russell2000 +1,06%. O petróleo subiu quase 5%, enquanto o XLE (índice setorial de energia americano) subiu 3,44%. No Brasil, o jan/26 fechou 29 bps, o Ibovespa caiu 1,44% e o real ficou estável. Na próxima semana será importante acompanhar os dados de inflação no Brasil e na Zona do Euro, de mercado de trabalho nos EUA, e de atividade (indústria e varejo) também por aqui. Não deixe de conferir!
Today's Big 3 are LNG, IRM, XLE. Kevin Green walks through example trades on all 3 names and looks at the technicals on each. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-... Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-... Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/19192... Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplu... Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-net... Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Diving deep into the energy sector with Laura Starks; how the U.S. became a lead energy producer (1:05). Anticipating a Harris or Trump win - what it means for energy (6:15). Will M&A deals continue (11:00)? Nuclear as the future: energy addition, not transition (14:20). Utilities vs independent power producers (22:45). XLE and whether ETFs belong in your energy portfolio (28:40). Watch the video here.Show Notes:Coterra Energy's Careful GrowthWhy APA Corporation Stock Is A Bargain NowRead our transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions
Wed, 16 Oct 2024 08:10:29 +0000 https://morningbull.podigee.io/1086-new-episode 2c159f5a0f8c6b0170d1a85c69043c22 full On oublie la MACRO et on passe à la MICRO et à la saison des trimestriels. ça promet d'être fun à voir ce que ASML nous annonce, surtout avec le gouvernement Biden qui met son nez un peu trop profond dans la thématique des Semiconducteurs... no Morningbull,Swissquote,Bourse,Finance,ASML,SOX,Nvidia,Semis,LVMH,XLE,TD BANK Thomas Veillet et Vincent Ganne vous proposent un tour d'horizon de to
It's Fed week, and many are predicting a 60% chance the FOMC will drop rates by a half percent; elections are drawing nearer: How will markets behave? (Why the polls are never right) Markets' 4% loss two weeks ago followed by 4% recovery last week; reversal days tend to mark bottoms, but not always. Last weeks' reversal was very bullish, but that doesn't mean we cannot have another correction. One risk is oil prices. XLE is over sold. The three risks we're watching include oil; discussion on the true meaning of inflation. Prices vs rate of change are two different things. The linkage of the economy to oil prices. Lance describes the Roberts' Roomba behavior. Hilarity ensues. Inflation's effects on small businesses, per the NFIB Small Business Survey, a look at Sales Expectations vs actual sales. A brief explanation of our Radio commercials; the impact on earnings by economic activity. Resume Builder survey: Why Gen-Z are most difficult to work with. SEG-1: Fed Week & Oil Price Clues SEG-2: Three Risks We're Paying Attention To, Pt-1 SEG-3a: The Roberts' Roombas SEG-3b: Risks We're Paying Attention to, Pt-2 SEG-4a: Why We Play Commercials SEG-4b: Risks We're Paying Attention To, Pt-3 SEG-4c: Why Gen-Z is Difficult to Work With Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1-uDC1Ue8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Belie Economic Weakness" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVKUNA8mTG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Create a Retirement Blueprint" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDHDI0ulqcc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #FinancialInsights #PortfolioManagement #MarketForecast #RecessionWarning #InterestRateHikes #WealthBuilding #MarketStrategy #EconomicAnalysis #FedPolicyUpdate #StockMarketTrends #EconomicRecession #InflationRisk #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialMarkets #FederalReserveOutlook #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets saw a 4% decline week before last; last week, markets recovered by 4% in anticipation of what the Fed is going to do this week. Did that big reversal day two weeks ago mark a market bottom? Not necessarily, because there are plenty of examples where such has occurred at market peaks. There is no doubt the recent reversal was bullish, and there is no real reason to be overly bearish at this point. However, risks remain, and one of them is in Oil Prices, which have continued to weaken. Despite a bounce following a sharp sell off, the trend in oil prices remains weak. That does not suggest much relative strength. There is a high correlation between the direction and trend of oil prices with economic activity. The Energy ETF, XLE, which also tracks oil prices very closely, is very oversold, and traders' positioning is very weak on oil stocks. It wouldn't be surprising to see a rotation into energy stocks leading up to the election, especially if it appears a Trump return to the White House is imminent. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVKUNA8mTG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #OilPrices #EnergyETF #XLE #2024Election #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Fed week, and many are predicting a 60% chance the FOMC will drop rates by a half percent; elections are drawing nearer: How will markets behave? (Why the polls are never right) Markets' 4% loss two weeks ago followed by 4% recovery last week; reversal days tend to mark bottoms, but not always. Last weeks' reversal was very bullish, but that doesn't mean we cannot have another correction. One risk is oil prices. XLE is over sold. The three risks we're watching include oil; discussion on the true meaning of inflation. Prices vs rate of change are two different things. The linkage of the economy to oil prices. Lance describes the Roberts' Roomba behavior. Hilarity ensues. Inflation's effects on small businesses, per the NFIB Small Business Survey, a look at Sales Expectations vs actual sales. A brief explanation of our Radio commercials; the impact on earnings by economic activity. Resume Builder survey: Why Gen-Z are most difficult to work with. SEG-1: Fed Week & Oil Price Clues SEG-2: Three Risks We're Paying Attention To, Pt-1 SEG-3a: The Roberts' Roombas SEG-3b: Risks We're Paying Attention to, Pt-2 SEG-4a: Why We Play Commercials SEG-4b: Risks We're Paying Attention To, Pt-3 SEG-4c: Why Gen-Z is Difficult to Work With Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1-uDC1Ue8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Belie Economic Weakness" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVKUNA8mTG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Create a Retirement Blueprint" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDHDI0ulqcc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #FinancialInsights #PortfolioManagement #MarketForecast #RecessionWarning #InterestRateHikes #WealthBuilding #MarketStrategy #EconomicAnalysis #FedPolicyUpdate #StockMarketTrends #EconomicRecession #InflationRisk #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialMarkets #FederalReserveOutlook #Markets #Money #Investing
How is the energy transition going? It depends on who you ask. But for energy investors, plenty of profit opportunities remain in both traditional oil and gas stocks and companies focused on renewable power – and should continue to do so for years. Meanwhile, utilities are quietly dominating the 2024 sector performance race – driven by everything from a friendlier Federal Reserve to AI-fueled electricity demand growth. To help you understand and capitalize on these trends, I take a deep sector dive into energy and utilities for this week's MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast episode. Joining me are Roger Conrad, Editor of Conrad's Utility Investor, and Elliott Gue, Editor of Energy and Income Advisor.We start by covering the big-picture environment in the energy and utilities sectors, including why energy demand should hold up despite concerns about China's economy and why (and by how much) investment in Artificial Intelligence-related data centers is boosting electricity demand. Elliott next discusses energy pricing and supply, as well as the reasons natural gas has struggled despite stability in oil. Roger shares his insights on the resiliency of the power grid, and how and where utilities are investing to improve it. Both experts also talk about how politics and policy shifts can impact energy and utility investments, as well as sector performance.The conversation next pivots to top picks in each sector. Elliott highlights a promising “Big Oil” name, a play on stronger gas pricing down the road, and an energy services stock he likes. Roger discusses an Eastern US power producer and a renewables play that shows promise. Finally, the two sector experts preview what they'll cover in more detail at the 2024 MoneyShow Orlando, set for Oct. 17-19 at the Omni Orlando Resort at ChampionsGate. Click here to register for that event: https://orlandomoneyshow.com/?scode=061246
What if you could navigate market volatility like a pro? Join us as we sit down with Katie Stockton, a Chartered Market Technician from Fairlead Strategies, who shares her expert insights on the recent spike in market volatility and its profound implications. Katie walks us through the transition from long-term bullish trends to a more cautious neutral stance, and what it means for future market pullbacks and opportunities. Learn about the pivotal shift in market leadership from high beta growth stocks to more stable value stocks, and how this balance is playing out between large caps and small/mid-caps.Sector dynamics are also under the spotlight as Katie highlights the potential revival in the energy and materials sectors. Hear about the promising signals from energy ETFs like XLE, OIH, and XOP, and the recovery prospects for base metals, especially copper. We also explore gold's unique bullish setup in the current commodity cycle and compare the defensive roles of healthcare and utilities sectors in today's market. Katie's breakdown offers a comprehensive view of sector shifts and how investors can position themselves to take advantage of these trends.Active management in volatile markets is a focal point as Katie explains how active managers can outperform through effective risk management and drawdown mitigation. Discover the significant role of technical analysis in identifying market trends and managing risk, particularly when fundamental factors take a backseat. Gain insights into the shifting dynamics of small cap and large cap benchmarks, the influence of the dollar's strength on market sectors, and the incorporation of international equity markets. This episode is packed with valuable advice and strategies, making it essential listening for any investor looking to navigate these turbulent times with confidence.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
The King of the Hill Corvette is making a comeback, and we have the specifications, the hype and our comments on what the newest and hottest version of “America's Sports Car” means to you and to General Motors. The just-released specs on the new 2025 Chevrolet Corvette ZR1 are mind-boggling. Tucked behind the driver and passenger is the most powerful V8 ever produced in America from an auto manufacturer, and it's housed in an iconic design that has the goods to challenge the world's best supercars. Former Road & Track Editor Matt DeLorenzo and former Motor Trend Editor Jack Nerad, who is, of course, the host of America on the Road and owner of a classic Corvette, will give their thoughts on what promises to be a landmark vehicle. While some observers suggest that we have enough crossover SUVs already, Toyota obviously doesn't think so. To prove the point, the brand recently introduced the first-ever 2025 Toyota Crown Signia, and it's set to arrive in dealerships virtually as you read this. The brand is taking an upscale approach with its new toy. Available in XLE and Limited trims, the Crown Signia is equipped with the Toyota Hybrid System and all-wheel drive. With a four-cylinder engine doing the heavy lifting, the hybrid system delivers a net output of 240 horsepower and achieves an EPA-estimated 38 mpg combined rating. The Crown Signia's handsome exterior boasts a stylish and sleek monochromatic grille and the option for 21-inch wheels. Inside, the premium cabin offers seating for five and a fold-flat second row. Passengers can enjoy a quiet ride with standard leather-trimmed seating, soft-touch materials, and the option of a panoramic glass roof. The likable new model is also equipped with a 12.3-inch Toyota Audio Multimedia touchscreen and comes with standard Toyota Safety Sense 3.0 advanced driver assistance system array. Of course, all this sounds as appealing as a hot fudge sundae topped with real whipped cream, but how does it drive? Guest co-host Matt DeLorenzo will tell us in his portion of the road test segment. In the other half, host Jack Nerad will describe his weeklong encounter with Volvo's newest version of its C40 Recharge battery-electric crossover coupe. The big news is the Single Motor version of the Volvo C40 Recharge that Nerad tested. It's the first rear-drive Volvo in years, and it makes the handsome C40 Recharge a much more competitive player in the cutthroat BEV crossover market. This week, our special guest is Frank Hanley, head of automotive benchmarking at J.D. Power. If you want to know which vehicles are most loved by their owners—something that most of us would really like to know—he's the man to tell you. We'll have the results of J.D. Power's annual APEAL study and Hanley's analysis coming up in our interview segment. If you haven't noticed, new and used cars have rocketed up in price over the past five years, and now Cars.com details that trajectory in a new study. We'll have our take on what the trend means to you. Tesla is in the news again —isn't it always? — as it recalls more than 1.8 million vehicles for a safety problem. We'll tell you what the issue is this time and share our reactions. And there's a battle brewing over automatic emergency braking. We'll tell you who the combatants are and what is likely to happen next. America on the Road is brought to you by Driving Today.com, Mercury Insurance, and EMLandsea.com , the publisher of Nerad's latest book, Dance in the Dark, which is available HERE on Amazon.com
If there's one episode you listen to, it should be this one. It's a complete list of why I buy stocks, why I hold stocks and when I look to sell stock using $COST, $MSFT and others as examples. 1) 3pm Spaces today on Twitter (or X) 2) I bought $MSFT - why 3) What to do when you buy a stock 4) $AAPL portfolio management by Stephanie Link 5) AI earnings 6) Hedge Funds moving to $XLE and $XLB 7) Earnings including an Alpha Pick that's up 20%+ 8) Crypto SEEKING ALPHA PREMIUM - save up to 20% plus a FREE 7 day trial Sign up for ALPHA PICKS here - SAVE $50. SIGN UP FOR TRENDSPIDER AND GET ALL OF THESE 1) My 4 hour algorithm 2) 65 Min algorithm to day trade with 3) Custom watch lists 4) Custom Scanners to find entries TRENDSPIDER SALE - best offer available (limited time) Sign up at the top link https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick (use code DSP25 if prompted) Email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com I'll send you all the algorithms, watchlists and scanners that you see me use each and every day. Social Links and more - https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick FREE NEWSLETTER WITH CHARTS - subscribe at dailystockpick.substack.com SPONSORED BY VISIBLE - Check out this page - $20 off your first month - only $5 for the first month Sign up for Webull and get free stocks like I did Get AT&T Fiber at your home - I have 1GB service https://www.att.com/referral/code/?ref=TVY-3964
كلام ينوّر أول بودكاست عربي مبسط عن الحياة المالية ، في اللينك ده هتلاقوا كل الروابط الخاصة بكلام ينور تقدروا تتواصلوا معانا وتسمعونا من خلالها linktr.ee/Kalamyenawar زوروا موقعنا الإكتروني هتلاقوا الحلقة مكتوبة بالكامل وهتلاقوا ترجمة لبعض الكلمات والمصطلحات اللي اتقالت في الحلقة 169: episode-169 في حلقة النهارده بنتكلم عن واحد من أهم أدوات الاستثمار اللي ممكن تستفيد منها في تنويع محفظتك الاستثمارية، وهي صناديق المؤشرات المتداولة (ETFs) اتكلمنا قبل كده عن الصناديق المتداولة ولكن النهاردة بتكلم بشكل أعمق شوية عن الصناديق المتداولة اللي بتتركز على القطاعات المختلفة في السوق الأمريكي في حلقة النهاردة: إيه هي صناديق المؤشرات؟ إزاي الصناديق بتساعدك تنوع استثماراتك وتقلل المخاطر؟ المصروفات الإدارية لكل صندوق وازاي حجم الصناديق دي بتأثر على الاستثمار؟ أهم 11 صندوق مؤشرات متداولة على القطاعات في السوق الأمريكي: قطاع التكنولوجيا (XLK) قطاع المالي (XLF) قطاع الرعاية الصحية (XLV) قطاع الطاقة (XLE) القطاع الاستهلاكي غير الأساسي (XLY) قطاع الاتصالات (XLC) القطاع الصناعي (XLI) القطاع الاستهلاكي الأساسي (XLP) القطاع الخدمي (XLU) قطاع العقارات (XLRE) قطاع المواد (XLB) ما تنساش تضيف الصناديق دي لقائمة المراقبة بتاعتك، و تبعت لنا أسئلتك واستفساراتك، و استنونا في حلقة جديدة الأسبوع الجاي تابعوا حلقتنا واكتبولنا آرائكم بعد سماع الحلقة إدعمنا على patreon/Kalamyenawar تابعوا شمس على OmarShams@Linkedin OmarShams@clubhouse تنويه هام: جميع الآراء التي تم التعبير عنها من قبل شمس وضيوف البودكاست هي آراؤهم الشخصية ولا تعكس رأي أي كيان ينتمون إليه. هذا البودكاست مخصص لأغراض تعليمية فقط ولا ينبغي الاعتماد عليه في القرارات الاستثمارية. أي اعتماد على المعلومات المقدمة يتم على مسؤوليتك الخاصة #كلام_ينوّر #بودكاست #بودكاست_عربي #بودكاست_بالعربي #استراتيجيات #استثمار #صناديق_مؤشرات_متداولة #قطاعات
This episode is chock full of goodies to trade/invest on. 1) CPI on Wednesday is key 2) Earnings this week 3) $TSLA robo taxi 4) $XLE and Energy stocks continue to run 5) All social requests for stocks SEEKING ALPHA PREMIUM - my $50 off coupon - save up to 20% Watch this episode on YouTube with video to see how Steve from Seeking Alpha uses the tool to navigate on picking stocks. BIG Trendspider sale - get it for the year while the sale goes on and I'll send you: 1) My 4 hour algorithm 2) 65 Min algorithm to day trade with 3) Custom watch lists 4) Custom Scanners to find entries Click this link - https://trendspider.com?_go=gary93 Then email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com and I'll send you the welcome letter with everything to import. I collaborated with My Weekly Stock on a VERY timely FREE newsletter - When to Sell - dailystockpick.substack.com Want to beat the S&P? Sign up for Alpha Picks here. Seeking Alpha Premium and my paid newsletter have FREE 7 day trials available. TRENDSPIDER SALE - best offer available (limited time) Sign up at the top link https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick (use code DSP25 if prompted) Email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com I'll send you the welcome letter that includes all the algorithms, watchlists and scanners that you see me use each and every day. Get $50 off a year of Seeking Alpha. https://www.sahg6dtr.com/2L9M597/R74QP/ Social Links and more - https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick FREE NEWSLETTER WITH CHARTS - subscribe at dailystockpick.substack.com SPONSORED BY VISIBLE - Check out this page: https://www.visible.com/get/?3P8FJPM $20 off your first month - only $5 for the first month Sign up for Webull and get free stocks like I did Get AT&T Fiber at your home - I have 1GB service https://www.att.com/referral/code/?ref=TVY-3964 NOTES All links in the FREE newsletter - http://dailystockpick.substack.com --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/dailystockpick/message
How much money do you need to retire? We will take a look at that age old questions. We review three defensive ETFs that all hit 52-week highs on Friday. We also cover some high yield dividend investments that may perform well in the current market if we get the anticipated interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2024.
EASTER SALES Trendspider sale is active NOW! SALE ENDS SOON SEEKING ALPHA PREMIUM - my $50 off coupon for a limited time gets you 1 year for $179 - SALE ENDS SOON Watch this episode on YouTube with video to see how Steve from Seeking Alpha uses the tool to navigate on picking stocks. Today: 1) Inflation readings the market will digest for Monday 2) Catalysts for next week - $TSLA - $DIS 3) A look back at Q1 winners - $XLC and $XLE - how to find the future winners in these ETF's BIG Trendspider sale - get it for the year while the sale goes on and I'll send you: 1) My 4 hour algorithm 2) 65 Min algorithm to day trade with 3) Custom watch lists 4) Custom Scanners to find entries Click this link - https://trendspider.com?_go=gary93 Then email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com and I'll send you the welcome letter with everything to import. If you don't have Seeking Alpha Premium, I think it's the best tool out there I collaborated with My Weekly Stock on a VERY timely FREE newsletter - When to Sell - dailystockpick.substack.com Want to beat the S&P? Sign up for Alpha Picks here. Seeking Alpha Premium and my paid newsletter have FREE 7 day trials available. TRENDSPIDER SALE - best offer available (limited time) Sign up at the top link https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick (use code DSP25 if prompted) Email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com I'll send you the welcome letter that includes all the algorithms, watchlists and scanners that you see me use each and every day. Get $50 off a year of Seeking Alpha. https://www.sahg6dtr.com/2L9M597/R74QP/ Social Links and more - https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick FREE NEWSLETTER WITH CHARTS - subscribe at dailystockpick.substack.com SPONSORED BY VISIBLE - Check out this page: https://www.visible.com/get/?3P8FJPM $20 off your first month - only $5 for the first month Sign up for Webull and get free stocks like I did Get AT&T Fiber at your home - I have 1GB service https://www.att.com/referral/code/?ref=TVY-3964 NOTES All links in the FREE newsletter - http://dailystockpick.substack.com --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/dailystockpick/message
Unlock the mysteries of market seasonality with Jeffrey Hirsch as he illuminates the patterns of stock performance tied to the calendar. We delve into the Stock Trader's Almanac, with a spotlight on the January effect and the peculiarities of small versus large cap behavior, especially during election cycles. In our conversation, Hirsch dissects the nuances of interest rates, market breadth, and the small cap to large cap ratio, offering a treasure trove of insights for investors keen on decoding current market dynamics and forecasting future trends.Venture beyond the borders of the U.S. financial landscape as we traverse the globe, examining the seasonal strength in ETFs such as XLE and FCG and their implications on the energy sector. From China's economic hurdles to India's bullish surge, we confront the role of geopolitics and currency shifts during the market's 'best six months'. We also scrutinize sector rotation and market sentiment, arming you with knowledge to navigate potential volatility and capitalize on emerging market leaders.Lastly, we scrutinize the overarching influence of the Federal Reserve's policies and dissect the correlation between the 10-year Treasury yield and the S&P 500. Hirsch shares his expertise on the S&P 500's pivotal levels and the Fed's decision-making process, with a keen eye on credit spreads and bond market signals. Whether you're intrigued by Bitcoin's seasonal trades or seeking strategies for commodities like oil and gas, this episode is packed with actionable advice interwoven with the analytical prowess of a market seasonality guru.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
Market seasonality, an upcoming presidential election, and a positive January Barometer. Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, joins Investor's Business Daily's “Investing with IBD” podcast to talk about the upsides in these events. Learn about typical market behavior in a presidential election year, why the Fed just isn't what it used to be, and why it pays to watch the energy index (XLE) and stocks like Virco Manufacturing (VIRC) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
CPI ticks up – PPI ticks down – never a dull moment. Earnings season is here – Banks reported and most hit the skids. Bitcoin ETF approved and Bitcoin gets whacked and we enter a holiday shortened week – get ready! Guest: Vitaliy Katsenelson explains value investing and what he looks for in great stocks. His "Three Pillars" of quality are an important aspect of his research and what he looks for in companies that he plans to invest in for the long haul. Follow @andrewhorowitz Vitaliy Katsenelson, born and raised in Murmansk, Russia (the home for Russia‘s northern navy fleet, think Tom Clancy‘s Red October). Immigrated to the US from Russia in 1991 with all his family three brothers, father, and stepmother. His professional career is easily described in one sentence: He invest, He educates, he writes, and he could not dream of doing anything else. He is Chief Investment Officer at Investment Management Associates, Inc (IMA), a value investment firm based in Denver, Colorado. After he received his graduate and undergraduate degrees in finance (cum laude) from the University of Colorado at Denver, and finished his CFA designation, he wanted to keep learning. He figured the best way to learn is to teach. At first he taught an undergraduate class at the University of Colorado at Denver and later a graduate investment class at the same university that he designed based on his day job. He found that the university classroom was not big enough, so he started writing. He writes a monthly column for Institutional Investor Magazine and he has written articles for the Financial Times, Barron‘s, BusinessWeek, Christian Science Monitor, New York Post, and the list goes on. He was profiled in Barron‘s, and has been interviewed by Value Investor Insight, Welling@Weeden, BusinessWeek, BNN, CNBC, and countless radio shows. Vitaliy has authored the Little Book of Sideways Markets (Wiley, 2010) and Active Value Investing (Wiley, 2007). Follow @vitaliyk Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ More information available on Horowitz & Company's TDI Managed Growth Strategy Stocks discussed this week - (GLD), (SLV), (OIL), (XLE), (UBER), (COIN)
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, November 28th. Topics For Today's Pod ⤵️ - Rate Cuts Coming? - X Marks the Crude Spot - Chart Check on 10-Year Yields Timecodes 0:00 - Fed Sparks Rally 9:15 - S&P 500 12:15 - NASDAQ 12:40 - Yields 20:25 - Oil Trade, $XLE & $OIH 27:00 - U.S. Dollar & Gold 29:50 - Micron ($MU) --- MRKT Call is brought to you by our presenting sponsors CME Group, FactSet & SoFi Watch MRKT Call LIVE at 1pm M-TH on YouTube Sign up for our emails Follow us on Twitter @MRKTCall Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow @CarterBWorth on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Like us on Facebook @RiskReversal Watch all of our videos on YouTube
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, November 28th. Topics For Today's Pod ⤵️ - Rate Cuts Coming? - X Marks the Crude Spot - Chart Check on 10-Year Yields Timecodes 0:00 - Fed Sparks Rally 9:15 - S&P 500 12:15 - NASDAQ 12:40 - Yields 20:25 - Oil Trade, $XLE & $OIH 27:00 - U.S. Dollar & Gold 29:50 - Micron ($MU) -- MRKT Call is brought to you by our presenting sponsors CME Group, FactSet & SoFi Watch MRKT Call LIVE at 1pm M-TH on YouTube Sign up for our emails Follow us on Twitter @MRKTCall Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow @CarterBWorth on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Like us on Facebook @RiskReversal Watch all of our videos on YouTube
In this compilation program, Steve Peasley and Justin Klein field a variety of finance and investment questions from callers across the United States and around the world.Today's Stocks & Topics: Rental Properties, How Much Cash, Index Funds, Investing Signs, Credit Cards, Gold & Silver, Low Contribution Limits, Natural Gas, Credit Ratings, KPP Investing Plans, U.S. Government Debt, The Dollar, Energy Stocks vs. XLE, Treasuries.Our Sponsors:* Check out Greenlight.com/investtalk and try Greenlight for free.* Check out Rosetta Stone for a great deal: https://www.rosettastone.com/TODAYAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Finding something to lean on. John Kosar, president and chief market strategist at Asbury Research, joins Investor's Business Daily's “Investing with IBD” podcast to talk about how he's revised his metrics to forecast stock directions, and why he's looking for an offsides market and some support before heading in. Kosar also shares his thoughts on why he's watching ETFs like XLU and the XLE, and why Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT) matter to the XLK. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dan Nathan, Guy Adami and Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, November 1st Timecodes 0:00 - Fed Update 6:25 - S&P 500 + Yields 12:00 - Energy, XLE & Oil 19:45 - Starbucks + Apple 31:55 - Highs vs Lows 38:45 - Semis (AMD, NVDA and MCHP) MRKT Call is brought to you by our presenting sponsors CME Group, FactSet & SoFi Watch MRKT Call LIVE at 1pm M-TH on YouTube Sign up for our emails Follow us on Twitter @MRKTCall Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow @CarterBWorth on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Like us on Facebook @RiskReversal Watch all of our videos on YouTube
Markets exuded optimism today as the Dow lead with an over 500-point gain. With big names still on the plate for this week's earnings, one has to question, is the bull back? I'll offer my $0.02 on the issue, discuss some new trades and answer any listener questions that come in live starting at 2pm PT today!! #trading #futures #cryptocurrency #Energy #bitcoin #XLE Sign up for a free, 6 video course on Cryptocurrency here: https://www.tradingacademy.com/crypto/ Contact TraderMerlin: Email – TraderMerlin@gmail.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/groups/13930555/ Twitter: TraderMerlin - https://twitter.com/TraderMerlin IG: TraderMerlin - https://www.instagram.com/tradermerlin/ FB: TraderMerlin - https://www.facebook.com/TraderMerlin Live Daily Show: - https://www.youtube.com/TraderMerlin Trading Applications used: #TastyWorks, #ThinkOrSwim #CliK, #TradeStation, #TradingView, #Barchart
A short week for the TraderMerlin family as I will be taking 2 days off to celebrate. Today, we will look at what has happened so far this week and answer a few listener questions that came in over the past couple days. The show will be live at 2pm PT today!! #trading #futures #cryptocurrency #Energy #bitcoin #XLE Sign up for a free, 6 video course on Cryptocurrency here: https://www.tradingacademy.com/crypto/ Contact TraderMerlin: Email – TraderMerlin@gmail.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/groups/13930555/ Twitter: TraderMerlin - https://twitter.com/TraderMerlin IG: TraderMerlin - https://www.instagram.com/tradermerlin/ FB: TraderMerlin - https://www.facebook.com/TraderMerlin Live Daily Show: - https://www.youtube.com/TraderMerlin Trading Applications used: #TastyWorks, #ThinkOrSwim #CliK, #TradeStation, #TradingView, #Barchart
BlackRock makes a bold move in the race for a Bitcoin Spot ETF! Today, we will look at their actions as well as the frenzy it has created in the crypto markets. We will also look at the recent pullback in bond yields and the shrinking of the yield curve inversion The show will be live at 2pm PT today!! #trading #futures #cryptocurrency #Energy #bitcoin #XLE Sign up for a free, 6 video course on Cryptocurrency here: https://www.tradingacademy.com/crypto/ Contact TraderMerlin: Email – TraderMerlin@gmail.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/groups/13930555/ Twitter: TraderMerlin - https://twitter.com/TraderMerlin IG: TraderMerlin - https://www.instagram.com/tradermerlin/ FB: TraderMerlin - https://www.facebook.com/TraderMerlin Live Daily Show: - https://www.youtube.com/TraderMerlin Trading Applications used: #TastyWorks, #ThinkOrSwim #CliK, #TradeStation, #TradingView, #Barchart
Dan Nathan, Guy Adami and Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, October 11th. Timecodes 0:00 - PPI + Yields 7:00 - S&P 500 11:10 - NASDAQ-100 12:45 - U.S. Dollar, $UUP Update 17:00 - Crude Oil Gaps 20:20 - XLE, Exxon Charts 23:40 - Delta Chart 27:00 - Domino's Chart 29:35 - Fastenal 31:00 - Banks (JPM, BAC) 34:20 - United Healthcare (UNH) 35:20 - Industrials (XLI) MRKT Call is brought to you by our presenting sponsors CME Group, FactSet & SoFi Watch MRKT Call LIVE at 1pm M-TH on YouTube Sign up for our emails Follow us on Twitter @MRKTCall Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow @CarterBWorth on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Like us on Facebook @RiskReversal Watch all of our videos on YouTube
New to technical chart analysis? David Bartosiak explains the basics. (1:45) - What Is A Moving Average And How To Use It? (12:00) - Breaking Down Nvidia's Stock Charting Using Moving Averages (24:30) - Using Darvas Box Theory To Find The Right Time To Invest (28:40) - Golden Cross vs Death Cross: Are They Helpful To Identify Investing Trends? (37:10) - Using Moving Averages For Stocks On A Strong Run (46:20) - Episode Roundup:NVDA, ELF, DIS, WBBA, CTAS, CVX, XLE, IWM, SPY
Take to the Podcast First on of obviously did not have audio. We will discuss the market update major indexes, IWM leading the charge, silver gold, struggling energy, US or XLe surging.
WATCH the video on YouTube by clicking the RED button above.LISTEN to audio only via the Substack player by clicking the BLUE button above.STREAM audio only on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite podcast player app.DOWNLOAD a pdf of the slide deck by clicking the blue Download button below.Our video this week is titled Profits Over Preaching as we look to bring together a number of recent themes and address three interesting questions we have received while attending recent macro/industry events in Italy, Calgary, and New York. Q1: Will peak oil supply fears return? We admit to being surprised at this question being raised, but it's a good one. Over the past month-plus we have spent considerable time discussing our view that there is no peak to oil (or natural gas and perhaps not even coal) demand coming anytime soon. Trying to guess a future round-number date misses the fact that the total addressable market of future energy demand for the 7 (soon to be 9) billion people in the Rest of the World is massive; we will need all forms of energy to meet that eventual and inevitable demand. We have also noted the steepening oil cost curve (a sign of a shrinking number of low-cost oil projects) and the low levels of industry CAPEX as pointing to a future supply crunch. To be clear, we have never believed the world will be resource short anytime soon but it does require making an effort via CAPEX to grow supply. Right now, economic uncertainty in China, Europe, and the USA have allowed demand to be met by a variety of supply sources and we have stuck with a Super Vol rather than Super Cycle framing. It likely will take a firmer global economic footing to spark an oil super cycle. Q2: What does XLE outperformance vs ICLN say about opportunities in traditional versus new energies? We highlight ICLN underperformance looks similar to what Goldman Sachs portfolio strategists have observed with unprofitable versus profitable tech. The market is clearly demanding evidence that business models are on-track to profitably scale and punishing those where there have been disappointments. While there is a role for government to play in establishing incentives, rules, and regulations, we believe caution is warranted for businesses where government is picking technology winners and fully subsidizing business models. Q3: Are we therefore just being polite when we say new energies have a future? No, we are not simply trying to be polite! One should be careful not to assume struggles in one area (e.g., offshore wind) indicate it is all doomed; it isn't. In fact, new energy opportunities have a wide swath of business models, exposures, capital intensity, geographies, subsidy needs, and ownership structures. Tesla has shown $ trillion dreams can be realized. But even on a much smaller scale, there are many interesting opportunities to consider. No one should confuse our pragmatism with pessimism about new energies. We will need it all, both new and old, if the world is to meet its long-term energy needs.
In this podcast episode, host Agnieszka Wood interviews Jermaine McGruder, known as The Strat Soldier, about the art of cutting losses in trading. Jermaine, a former army soldier with 20 years of experience, shares his journey in trading, emphasizing the importance of protecting capital and following a disciplined approach. He advises traders to focus on their setups, set proper stop losses, and prioritize capital protection. Jermaine also discusses the recent passing of Rob Smith, the creator of The Strat, and how he and the trading community are continuing his legacy by trading The Strat and sharing their knowledge with others. The episode provides different perspectives that traders can use to shift the way of experiencing the market.Furthermore, Jermaine and Agnieszka delve into various aspects of trading, including the significance of recognizing trends, understanding price action, and analyzing multiple time frames. They stress the importance of discipline, following trading rules, and avoiding emotional reactions to losses. The conversation also touches on the challenges of trading. It provides valuable insights into the emotional and psychological aspects of trading, managing emotions and emphasize the importance of accountability and vulnerability. About Jermaine McGruderJermaine McGruder, also known as The Strat Soldier, is a passionate trader and experienced educator. Jermaine embarked on his journey with The STRAT in 2019 and quickly honed his skills, becoming adept at both trading and teaching this methodology. His guidance has empowered seasoned traders to curb significant losses and has equipped newcomers with the ability to identify buy and sell signals confidently.Jermaine's teaching philosophy centers on enabling individuals to trade based on their convictions and take actionable signals without succumbing to significant losses. Drawing from his extensive 20-year military background, Jermaine brings a wealth of leadership and training experience to his teaching approach. Whether on the battlefield or in the world of trading, he excels in leading and educating individuals, making him a valuable asset in The STRAT community. Contact Agnieszka Wood | Ahead Coach: Website: aheadcoach.comTwitter: @Ahead_CoachYouTube: @aheadcoachFacebook: Agnieszka WoodInstagram: ahead.coachLinkedIn: Agnieszka Wood Contact Jermaine McGruder:Podcast: InForceThe Weekend Show: The Weekend ShiftTwitter: @Cyberdog2Website: http://TheStratSoldier.com—Transcript[00:00:02] - AgnieszkaI am Agnieszka Wood. Welcome to the Confidence in Trading podcast. Let me introduce my special guest on today's show, Jermaine McGruder, aka The Strat Soldier. You might recognize Jermaine from his very popular Strat webinar with Benzinga that has gained over 70,000 views, or his appearance on first trade show with Rohan Makhecka in June 2021. And if you are a podcast fan, you might know Jermaine from his show In Force, where he looks at the markets through the eyes of The Strat and his weekly Saturday show, The Weekend Shift. As you might have already figured out from his nickname, The Strat Soldier, Jermaine has been in the army for 20 years and has worked with hundreds of soldiers in various environments. And as he puts it, leading and training is what I do. I invited Jermaine to my show to talk about the one aspect of trading that hurts traders and their bottom line the most. Welcome to episode number 14, the Art of Cutting Losses. Hi, Jermaine. Welcome to my podcast, and thank you so much for making the time for joining me today.[00:01:18] - JermaineThanks for having me. Thank you so much, Agnieszka. This is awesome. This is really cool. I love meeting new people and also, of course, talking about The Strat and then the whole idea of cutting losses. Perfect idea. I love it. I love it.[00:01:31] - AgnieszkaFantastic. Jermaine, you have been trading The Strat since 2019, and you have been a leader at Sepia Group with Rob Smith since September 2021. May he rest in peace. His sudden departure must have been pretty hard for you, and I cannot even begin to imagine the impact on the trading community.[00:01:51] - JermaineYeah, it's been tough. It's been real tough. Rob was always a character. That's what we loved about Rob. So when are, you know, I'm not feeling well. I'm not doing this or that. We all were. You know, rob's going through his own little inside know to use some trading. You know, we're like, he's going inside bar right now. He's going to be okay, and he'll reverse back to the upside. He'll be fine. It was a little bit of a shock that he didn't pull through because he was such a character, so funny, and he always found a way to figure it out. So, yeah, very sad. But we are going to keep Rob alive by continuing to trade The Strat and continuing to do what he said to do, which is create those winning positions. Then after you understand what you're doing, show the next person. And that's been my motivation since the beginning of all of it, is to show other people how to not get killed in here and not blow out accounts, not all these things. 30 years on CBOE, you know what I mean? 30 years on the floor and doing what he does.[00:03:02] - JermaineAnd it's amazing for him to just talk to regular people and teach regular people how to do I say regular people, but we're all regular people. I'm just saying to talk to an average person and say, okay, this is how stocks work. It was an amazing skill to learn, and I hope to keep passing it on to other people.[00:03:23] - AgnieszkaThat's amazing and really wonderful that you're passing on the legacy. And I really regret I never had a chance to meet him personally, but I've heard so much good about him and about his strategy. I actually interviewed few months ago, Ben Okopnik, who is also trading the strategy. That's how I actually heard about Rob. So, yeah, big loss. So you have been trading the Strat for a relatively short time, and you managed to become not only proficient in it, but also good at teaching it. Can you tell us a little bit more about your trading experience and what's your secret?[00:04:05] - JermaineOh, the secret is there are no secrets now.[00:04:09] - AgnieszkaThat's the best one.[00:04:11] - JermaineThat's the best one. The secret is just trading what's actually happening on the charts. And that can be difficult because you have to be able to tell yourself the truth. Like, you can draw as many lines on your charts as you want. You can have all the indicators and all the squawk boxes and community leaders and people telling you what you need to do, but you're still the one that has to hit the button, right? You're still the one that has to go, okay, we're going. This is my entry, this is my exit. This is what I'm going to do. And I think that's when trading kind of really clicks for most people when they go, okay, I know what everybody's saying, but what do I really see on the charts? I know what the news is saying, but what do I really see on the charts? What do I see really happening? Are they really buying it or are they really selling it? And some people don't know at all. Some people are like, Well, I don't know, how did you figure it out.[00:05:12] - AgnieszkaIn such a short time?[00:05:13] - JermaineYeah, I'm trying to get into that. When I first started trading back in 2019, way before the Strat, I was working with a buddy and I was like, man, I want to get into stocks. It sounds like something I'd want to do. And so he introduced me to Robinhood and he's like, yeah, it's easy. There's no account minimums. You just put your money in here, and then once you get your money in there, I'll show you how to start doing it. So he starts showing me how to find stocks, how to buy stocks, and I'm thinking, I'm doing pretty good, I'm doing all right. And for the first few months, I was doing really well. Of course, things were all trending to the highs, so I didn't realize how easy it really was. And then he starts talking about options because I'm like, well, I want to make more money. I'm doing pretty good. I want to make more. So he starts talking about options, and then that was a whole nother ballgame. That with only a few months experience, I shouldn't have been messing with. But I didn't know that at the time.[00:06:08] - JermaineI just had my buddy saying, hey, this is how you do it.[00:06:11] - AgnieszkaThat's how you become millionaire in a short time.[00:06:14] - JermaineYeah, that's how you do it. Yeah, that's how you make millions. And then he showed me buying options into earnings reports. I'm like, okay, so that was not a good deal. That was not a good idea to do. But he told me, you know what I mean? So the one example I always talk about is Twitter. I bought all these calls into Twitter because Twitter has never missed an earnings. And this is all the way before, back in 2019. So I read all this yahoo news. I read all these articles. I read all this stuff. And so I buy calls because they never miss. Well, this is first quarter of 2020. Yeah, they missed last quarter. They missed big, and boom. And I lost half my account at that time, and honestly, it was around $500. But me being a brand new trader, that's a big deal. That's a huge deal for me. Wait a minute. Hold on a second. Now, this is not why I wanted to start trading. And so, you know what I mean? I had to deal with that with myself, and I had to deal with that with because I had to talk to my wife, too.[00:07:23] - JermaineI'm like, I told you, I'm not getting in this to gamble. I'm not getting in to just throw away money. But this loss happened, and I stopped trading. I didn't quit. I just stopped, like, let me find a coach. Let me find somebody that can help me out. 2019. And that's when I found Rob in October of 2019. So I apologize for the timeline there, but that's when I found Rob, and I found some articles on Instagram talking about these scenarios. Scenario one, scenario two, scenario three. And this is how we know when to get in and when to get out. So I read his article. What do we know to be true about Price action? And that was a great article, and I learned more in that one article than all the YouTube videos I was watching about how to trade. And then that's when I joined his live room, and that's when, okay, things started clicking for me, because I knew when to get in, because Rob was helping. Of course rob's helping me. He's coaching me. But I got to a point where I started to know, okay, this is when I need to get in, and this is when the trade is not going well.[00:08:25] - JermaineI need to get out. The system is telling me to cut it. Once I started knowing where to put my entries and where to put my stops, things started moving in the right direction, and then I started gaining confidence in my trading because I knew, like you said, when it started clicking for me is when I started trusting, okay, this is where my stop is at. And if it goes below this, I need to cut it. I need to get out, but if it sets back up, I can get right back in. But I'm protecting my capital. That was big for me, just protecting my capital. That's when it started clicking. You know what I mean? I don't need to throw a whole bunch on. I don't need to rush in the stuff. What are my actual setups? What is telling me to get in.[00:09:18] - AgnieszkaWas that the impact of that first big loss which was a lucky loss in this case if the impact was I need to protect my capital because from experience, from my own experience. And also what I see from other traders, it's not that easy just to stick to your stop loss and actually even putting a stop loss right, because most traders think, how much am I going to make on it? And not so much I need to protect my capital in the first place. So how was that for you that you actually were so disciplined and you say, okay, I know I need to do it, and I'm just going to do it.[00:09:53] - JermaineYeah, the military definitely helps because there's a certain set of rules. Like, if you want to be effective in this, here's steps one through whatever this is. How one through five, for example, of a conversation. Here's the steps on how to do this event or how to be good at this training event. And you got to do it a certain way. And so when I sat down, I started, okay, what are my losses really coming in at? What's not working for me, and anytime it wasn't working for me is when I moved my stops down, not putting in a stop. And then another thing for me was knowing that options were not where I wouldn't needed to be at. Trading options was or is still a lot. It's not as easy as people say it is. And like you said, I've only been trading since 2019, and so I stick to common shares. And so the people that I work with, I tell them, stick to common shares. Why? Because you can put in a hard stop. I can put in a hard stop and go, okay, I'm taking this hammer on a weekly signal to the upside.[00:11:02] - JermaineBut here's where I'm getting out at. If it drops down too far and sometimes you get stopped out and you're like, I wish I would have stayed in because it went right back up the next day. But how many times have we also had experiences where you had no stop and it gapped way down, you know what I mean? Or you're shorting something and you had no stops, and it's gapping way up on you and you don't know.[00:11:29] - AgnieszkaYeah, you cannot trust the situation, what the market does. But the worst part, I think, in that is also when you don't have a stop and then it goes lower than your price and then your imaginary stop. Then the way you start talking to yourself and saying, yeah, but last time it did go back, so I'm just going to wait, right? Okay, it didn't happen today. Maybe tomorrow. And then before you know, you're just too late.[00:11:56] - JermaineYeah, you're too late. And you're just staring at it. It's like the deer in the headlights look. You're just do I when do I need to get in? When do I get out? Like, for example, today on Roku, I know we're not looking at charts, but today on Roku I got stopped out on Roku yesterday on a signal to the downside. I'm like, okay, I'm getting puts. And yesterday we all seen the market just kind of rally slowly back up on the 60 Minutes charts. And I'm like, what is this? And I got a job. I got a full time job, just like a lot of other traders. And I'm like, I got to get out, so I cut my losses. And then today this thing goes engulfing bar. Scenario three to the I'm trying really hard not to talk about Jargon, but.[00:12:40] - AgnieszkaScenario no, don't worry, this is for traders. So I assume that a lot of people who listening, they will understand what you're talking about.[00:12:48] - JermaineYeah, so they got this big engulfing bar on the day on Roku to the downside, and I didn't get back in. I'm working other then there's that situation again, I should have just held it. I should have just held through. So again, that's that discipline. Because I tell people, if you break your rules on this trade right now, you just take the trade. Because you know there's really not an entry. You're just taking it, or you're just going to jump in. I'm not putting any stops or you over leverage. You're just doing whatever you need to, and it's a winner. Okay, let's just say it's a winning trade, and we'll go with the positive side. First it's a winning trade, but then the next time you take a trade, you say to yourself, you automatically create that doubt. You go, okay, am I going to break my rules this time? Is this time going to be the time that works? This is where I'm supposed to get in at, and this is where I'm supposed to put my stops. But last time I just jumped in, so I just jump in and then it doesn't work.[00:13:54] - JermaineYeah, and now you have this cycle of trusting yourself, not trusting yourself, following your rules, not following your rules. I just got to the point where I was like, I'm putting my stops here. I'm going to trust the system, and if I have to get out, I will get out.[00:14:09] - AgnieszkaThat's so true, because it creates a ripple effect. Right. And I think a lot of people don't realize is that once you break the rule, it's not just this time you're breaking the rule. There is so much more that is going to happen afterwards, the internal dialog, and especially when you win that trade, right. Then it's just going to be more consequences than just this one that connected to this one trade directly. It will be much more. And I think that impact of that, that people are just not always aware or maybe don't want to think about.[00:14:43] - JermaineRight. And it's hard to that's the temptation of, okay, well, I broke my rules, I made a lot of money. I broke my rules, now I lost a lot of money. So I just say, just follow your rules. Okay. You know what I mean? Because if you don't, that's when another conversation starts in your head is, okay, well, maybe this system is not working. Well, maybe I need to put in an RSI, or maybe I need to work on MACD, or maybe I need to get in before my two SMAs cross. Maybe if I get in before they cross, it'll just it never stops.[00:15:21] - AgnieszkaRight?[00:15:22] - JermaineIt never stops. So then that came to the next thing is what Rob always talked about, and we talk about in the straddle, the time, what's actually happening, in the price, what's actually happening. Are they actually buying it or are they actually selling it? And to do that, we look at four different time frames. We look at the month, the week, the daily, and the 60. I'm going to say that a little slower because I say it all the time, but we look at the monthly chart, the weekly chart, the daily chart, and the 60 minutes chart, and we gage participants by price and time. So we're looking at all these time frames as like a multi analysis on these time frames to go. Okay, for example, right now, spy. I'm looking at a chart of spy, and it's inside on the month, and it's red. We look at the week, it's trading below last week's lows. It's two down. We call that scenario two down on the week. Two two continuation down. There's more selling happening on the week, which was reconfirming what we're seeing on the month that they're selling. And then on my daily chart, in my 60 minutes charts, it's red, they're selling it.[00:16:32] - AgnieszkaRight.[00:16:32] - JermaineOkay. So I don't need to be getting in here and going, maybe it's time to buy.[00:16:38] - AgnieszkaYeah. They say that when the blood is on the street, I need to buy.[00:16:41] - JermaineYeah, exactly. Buy. When everybody is afraid. Yeah. So then you buy. And I talked to a trade about this yesterday. Again, I'm looking at my charts. I talked about a trader yesterday because I was frustrated. There's a couple of traders that are frustrated. They were like, okay, well, we had a reversal on the 60 Minutes charts, but we still made a lower low and we made another lower low today we got all the way down to 445 on the 60 minutes charts. And that can be very I'm going to say annoying. But again, that's where our stops come in at. Because if I have that hard stop and I can say if things go wrong, I'm out, right? I'm getting out. And if you're good at options or you're good at shorting stocks, then you can say, okay, this is where I'm going to short stuff. But this whole week has been just like a yoyo effect. It's been going up, going up, it's been going down, going up. We had Fed talk, we had Energies, we got all kinds of weird stuff going. Post consumer price index and then PPI, a production price index.[00:17:51] - JermainePeople always say CPI, PPI. They never know what it means.[00:17:55] - AgnieszkaSorry, I guess I'm so used to using acronyms.[00:17:59] - JermaineNo, that's great. I I love, love it. It and I tell people all the time, we don't trade the news, we trade the price. So they could say inflation, it's going terrible. Inflation is still going on the highs. Everything costs more. Producing things cost more and things go to the lows. We've also seen these reports come out and the market goes, yes, we know. And it goes back to the highs anyway, right? What is the price actually doing? Is it green or is it red? Red means sell, green means buy. And I know that's a really simple way of saying it, but once I started putting that stuff together, then things clicked. Then things were going I was looking at my trades different, going, okay, I got in here. Are they buying it right now? Are they still buying it? Do I need to push my stop up? Do I need to figure out a way to get out of this?[00:18:55] - AgnieszkaRight? Yeah. The bottom line is that you have to act on what is happening and not what you're wishing that would happen.[00:19:04] - JermaineYes.[00:19:05] - AgnieszkaBecause trading, let's be fair, it is based a lot on our dreams, on our hopes, on what we want. And it's just so very easy to fall into the trap that if things are not exactly going the way you want it, that you are trying to control it and bend the reality to what just feels much better for you and that you keep that hope. Right. It's very normal. What we also do in our daily life, we try to control things in market. We just simply cannot. The only thing we need to try to control at least is ourselves and what we do. And when you have a system that you know it works and you can trust, then you don't have to even control the system. It's just you. That's the most difficult part.[00:19:52] - JermaineYes. And as I've been trading the strat and learning other systems along with that, you can do that same type of that you can have that same mentality. You should have that same mentality using indicators because you definitely want the price and the indicator to be going in the same direction. You want the indicator to be reconfirming. Yes, we're going to the highs, right? Yes, I need to stay in this thing, even the whole RSI overbought and oversold thing, you know what I mean? You still want the price and the direction of your indicator to reconfirm each other. Because once you start talking about divergences and I'm going to short it, when this thing is at the highs without any signals and it keeps going to the highs, you're not acknowledging that, yes, they're selling it right now, you know what I mean? And like I said, I want to say heartache. I don't know if that's the right word, but that's been the frustration and frustration on trading in the last couple of days. Last few days of this week, anyway, because the price is just gapping up and gapping down and then just kind of moving in a direction that's hard to stay in.[00:21:05] - JermaineAnd you could ignore the price, stay in your position and go, it's not telling me to get out yet, but you have to know your system.[00:21:14] - AgnieszkaExactly. And I appreciate that you're actually acknowledging sometimes it's just hard to trade and to look what this price is doing and try to figure it out, what it's going to do, right? Because the indicators sometimes, okay, the stock is overbought or oversold, and now you're saying to yourself, yeah, it should come down, right? So let me short it. It should come down. It's enough. It went up so much. Now I think it should come down and then you start fighting the trend. So it's just not always or most of the time not what we think. Because we have wishful thinking a lot of times.[00:22:01] - JermaineYes. I was talking to some traders, and I guess we're all talking about Nvidia. I think Nvidia is a good example of what you're saying because once Nvidia had that great earnings and everybody can go look at your charts at home around June 14, no, around May 26. We got May 30. May 30. It got all up to 420. It got all up to 420 and it was like, there's no way it can go any higher. This is it. It's at all time highs, it can't go any higher. So people are like, well, I'm going to short it now. And I'm like, well, don't do that without actionable signals, you know what I mean? You want to know like a shooting star, we call them shooters or reversal on a daily time frame or weekly time frame that lets you know this is going down. And you did have a reversal from May 26 to may 30. Let me see here. Let me say that, right? May 30 and May 31, you had a reversal to the downside. It went all the way down to 378. I'm sure these people are like, yes. Told you.[00:23:09] - JermaineSee, start shortening it's over, right? Yeah, I was right. It did good. And that is true. It did do great. But then the very next day went right back up and you had a reversal right back up and it got all the way back up to 401. So now you're thinking, okay, I started shorting this thing below 400. It went all the way down to 378. I didn't take any profits. The very next day it gets all the way back up to 400. You have to look at it and go, what is it really doing? They're buying. And then you're like, well, my indicator is still saying it's overbought. It has to come back down. And to hold through all that pain and frustration and doubt, it's really hard. I'd rather you take your profits on that one trade, take a victory awesome and just cut it and then move on. And if it sets back up again and starts moving down again, then you can get back in. But now Nvidia got all the way back up to 483. There's a trader, I'm sure there are some traders out there that says, I'm just going to keep shorting it no matter what.[00:24:18] - JermaineI know it's going to the highs, but it's overbought. I'm just going to keep shorting it. And have they been holding since 390 all the way up back up to 482?[00:24:27] - AgnieszkaI hope not.[00:24:29] - JermaineAnd now it's at 429. They're hoping that they get their money back.[00:24:33] - AgnieszkaYeah.[00:24:36] - JermaineI always speak to the average person as well on these trades because you got to know, I tell people like, you're not Kathy Wood, you can't just keep averaging down on your stuff. Nothing against Kathy Woods, but you can't keep averaging down on your trades until it means nothing. Like, I don't have that type of capital and some other people don't either. But some people do and they can keep doing that. But I'm like only losers, average losers. So if you just keep averaging down thinking it's going to go to zero, I'd rather you just cut this trade. It went well. I didn't take profits. It's going back up. I'm acknowledging what the price is doing and I need to get out of this thing because that's also going to give you confidence as well when you have a winning position. I got in here, it went exactly where I said it was going to go. I need to move my stops toward the direction of the price, and I want to hold my winners keeps going in the direction I want it to go, but I'm going to push my stops up toward the price so that if it starts going the other way, I take some profits.[00:25:45] - AgnieszkaExactly. And it's a very simple principle. If you want to be a winner, stick to the winners, right. Stick to the people that represent who you want to be and where you want to get to. So sticking to the loser is never a really good idea if you want to be successful.[00:26:00] - JermaineTrader yeah, here's a good analogy, analogy I have on trading. Let's just say you want to have five winning positions. Five winning positions. And here's my entries, 12345. They're in there and so far they're going great. And it's kind of like inviting people over for a party. You got five people come over, you got the drinks, you got the music, you got the right atmosphere, everybody's having a good time. And then all of a sudden two of these guests start having they started having a little argument about, I don't know, maybe the music. They don't like the music because this artist has politics. Sale I'm not going to talk politics here, but they start having a conversation. They're not having a good time. Now these two guests have an attitude now and they're kind of bringing down the mood of the party. They're not dancing now. They're like now they're complaining about the drinks, they're complaining about the food and let's just say the party. But the other three guests, they're having a great time. They're engaging, they're telling jokes, they're having fun. And let's say by the end of the night, you're like, I have a house big enough, everybody gets their own room.[00:27:15] - JermaineWe're going to spend the night. Are you going to let these other two people that are not having a good time spend the night?[00:27:21] - AgnieszkaIt's such a great metaphor.[00:27:25] - JermaineHow much confidence that you have that they're just going to sleep it off and in the morning they're going to do better. So you let everybody spend the night. Everybody's got their own separate rooms. They spend the night, all the blankets, everything's great, temperatures are great. They wake up in the next morning and you're hoping that these two come out of their rooms having a good time. You know what I mean? They're happy. They got over whatever was going on, and you feed them pancakes and everything is great. But in reality, what's probably going to happen is the three people that are having a good time, they're going to come out and continue to have good breakfast and then have a good day. And the other two are going to be worse. They're going to be worse than they were before. That's a metaphor I use for trading. Like, I got three positions, I got five positions. They're doing great. Three are winners. Two of them are going red, okay? Two of them are red. And I'm looking at the charts and there's no evidence that I need to be holding these positions. I need to cut them because if you let them stay at the party long enough, they're.[00:28:27] - JermaineGoing to ruin the profits that you're gaining from these other three trades. Yes. And what a lot of people do is they'll say, okay, well, these three trades, they're doing great. I'm going to go ahead and take profits on these three. They were great. And then I'm going to hold these losers, and hopefully they'll come back. All right, go back to the analogy here. The three people that were having fun, they were dancing. You got to a certain part of the party, you're like, okay, guys, have a good night. You guys can leave. And then the other two that are having a bad time, you guys can spend the night, and hopefully tomorrow you'll have a good right. I'll make breakfast, we'll go to the movies. It'll be fun.[00:29:09] - AgnieszkaNo, it's not going to happen. And you have to put so much more energy into it, which would, in trading, it would translate. Most likely, you would come up with this idea, I'm just going to add to it. Right? I will put just more capital into it so I can average down, make things better. They never become better.[00:29:27] - JermaineNo. Yeah. Now, your guests that spent the night, they complained that you put too many blankets on them. That the music that you put on for them to sleep, too, they weren't really into it. And then the breakfast that you made for them is terrible.[00:29:40] - AgnieszkaYeah. And I remember years ago, what I used to do, I was lying to myself that, you know what? Maybe I just get rid of one, then the other one will come around. So I would sell half of my losing position and then kept the other half, hoping that when it comes down even more, I had those strategies all thought out in my head. When it would come down even lower, then I can add back the half I'm selling now, and then this will become profitable. No, because I was taking on that half. The loss, that was like, twice as much than the original loss. It was just once you start, it just never ends. Just gets worse.[00:30:19] - JermaineYes, it does just get worse, I would say. But I also say it starts the cycle. When it does work, sometimes when you're like, okay, I'll sell half. And then you get an actual signal, and it goes back up, and you're like, then you buy, and it does work. So you're like, okay, well, this worked.[00:30:37] - AgnieszkaAll right, this worked. I'm just going to start averaging down.[00:30:40] - JermaineWhat I'm doing now. But then when it doesn't work, you're just like, oh, my goodness. At the beginning of the year, the beginning of the year, you look at Spy, it was really tough. Everybody's like, I'm going to keep shorting the market. I'm just going to keep shortening it. But we just kept creeping back up. Right. And then actually, from November of 2022 to March of was just trading sideways. If you look at the monthly chart, just trading sideways. So nobody knew what to do. Everybody's just like, what are we doing here? And that's in the strat. We were just like, okay, until we get a reversal on, we're going to go for the things that are taken out last month's highs. We're going to go where the buyers are. When Spy was red, we were like, okay, let's look at things are taking out yesterday's lows or last month's lows. Let's short those and to try to stay with the trend. You know what I mean? Always acknowledge what the trend is actually doing. But then April comes in. We actually get a reversal back up on Spy above March's highs. Two two reversal back up.[00:31:52] - JermaineWe call that two two reversal back up. It's been going well since then. And we used AI to say, yes, this is why we're buying. Because of AI. I don't think it's because of AI. The institutional buyers got sick of the downside. They got sick of, we need to pick a direction. And they chose. And things started going to the highs.[00:32:14] - AgnieszkaThe new buzzword, AI. Like, whoever drops AI, the stock pops.[00:32:22] - JermaineThis podcast uses AI and 10,000 more viewers for you.[00:32:29] - AgnieszkaIt's so funny because I saw this also in earnings, like conference calls, everyone drops the word AI.[00:32:37] - JermaineWow.[00:32:38] - AgnieszkaOh, my God. This is going to be the next big thing.[00:32:41] - JermaineKroger, the grocery store. Kroger was talking about AI. And you're just like, what? I hope there's not AI picking my groceries out for me or whatever they're talking about. It's crazy. So what I'm saying with all of that is you have to be able to acknowledge the trend no matter what trading system you're using. I use time frames. I look at the month, the week, the daily, and the 60. And I'm looking at, okay, where the buyers are. Where is this price actually going? For a person that uses indicators, you have to be able to look at it and go, okay, what's the actual trend? I know what my indicator says, but what's the price actually doing? Like, for example, right now, SPY starting to reverse back up to the highs after a lot of selling this morning. Okay, I don't know if you've talked about prices on your show, so I don't want to confuse anybody.[00:33:34] - AgnieszkaIt doesn't matter. Okay, now we do.[00:33:37] - JermaineSo the price got taken all the way down to 454 nine. And now currently, did it hit 50 day?[00:33:46] - AgnieszkaNo.[00:33:47] - JermaineWell, I'd have to turn on the 50 day to see that, but it's definitely below the 14. SMA. I kind of looked at that stuff before the show just to give you guys that do. Look at that. Some indication of what's going on with the price. But everything went low. Everything went to the lows for the first 2 hours, and now it's reversing back up. So again, that's a situation where you go, okay, what's the trend actually doing? I bought these puts. I started shorting the stock, and it went great for the first 2 hours. But what's it doing right now, right now in this moment, it's starting to reverse back up to the highs. So if I had a winning position, I need to push my stops toward the price, and I need to figure out a way to get out so I don't lose that profit. And then on the other side of that is if I was shorting something and I'm not taking profits and I haven't taken profits, and I'm not moving my stops, you need to acknowledge, okay, this is what the trend is actually doing. What evidence do you have that the trend is continuing to go down?[00:34:50] - JermaineYou know what I mean?[00:34:51] - AgnieszkaYeah. And from what you're saying, I assume and I actually haven't asked, which probably I should have is you swing trade, not day trade?[00:35:01] - JermaineYes, I'm a swing trader. I have a full time job. I tell people all the time. I have a wife. I have kids. I have a cat. I have two cats. Now, like, I'm busy. I don't have time to look at the charts all the time. But when I do, like today, when I do have time to sit in front of the charts, that's when, okay, you can look at everything that way. You can look at options and things like that if that's what you do. But I am a swing trader. I want to get into a winning position, and I want to stay in that position as long as possible. So I do want to look at those weekly time frames. I like to trade weekly and monthly time frames, and hopefully I get into a position where it continues to go up. And then through the days and through the weeks, I can just keep pushing my stops up, my stop market orders up on my common shares until I get stopped out, because how many times as well you're like, okay, I'm going to go ahead and just take this position and I got a meeting in three minutes.[00:36:03] - JermaineSo then I go ahead and just buy this stuff, and you go to the meeting, and the meeting is like, meeting. Then you have a meeting after the meeting, and you're like, you can't look at your phone, because that's rude. You can't do that. And you get out of the meetings, and you're looking at this thing, you're like, what the heck? What is that?[00:36:21] - AgnieszkaThat was not the idea. I'm supposed to make money.[00:36:24] - JermaineExactly. So that's why I like those hard stops. Again, I use stop market sell orders just to get out. That way, if something silly happens, I'm out. I don't have to man, why didn't I do this?[00:36:41] - AgnieszkaYeah, I know. Do you check also throughout the day your positions at work?[00:36:47] - JermaineYes, I do. Again, that's the strat. We're always looking at the very next 60 minutes bar that opens up. The market opens at 930. So we're looking at 930, 10 30, 11 30, 12 30 at the bottom of the hour. Because we know that's when the next participation group comes in, we want to know, are they still buying or are they selling? Was it last week when AMD was just like, they are just buying AMD. And it went great for like three, maybe 4 hours, and then they said, okay, sell. And again, that's when we push our stops up and we go, okay, this is where I'm getting out at, you know what I mean? So, yes, I would rather swing trade again with those common shares and be in something and be great and have that confidence in, okay, now it's reversing to the lows. The trend is now reversing. I need to go ahead and push my stops up, and if it continues down, I'm out. I get stopped out in profit, and.[00:37:42] - AgnieszkaI go do something else. Because if the price goes back to your buy price, or hopefully not, but I'm there. It's not just that you didn't make anything, okay? You can tell to yourself, I haven't had anything in the first place, but then everything was for nothing, and you're just frustrated. You lose your confidence in yourself, and it's like, why did I do that? And then the whole revenge trading dynamics comes in, right? Okay, then I'm just going to get in and try it again. So I would really recommend everyone to check the Strat because I know that there are day traders who actually have full time jobs. And swing trading is not something that a lot of day traders see as something sexy. For some reason. It's very different. But swing trading is good. You can make money swing trading.[00:38:34] - JermaineYeah, exactly. So again, looking at participation groups, okay, so again, I gage participants by price and time. So if I'm trading in the month, I got four weeks. That's why I like weekly trades. If this thing goes great for two weeks, maybe three weeks, of course I want it all month. But if I got two weeks that are great, and then it starts reversing the lows, that's two good weeks of trading, you know what I mean?[00:38:59] - AgnieszkaRight.[00:38:59] - JermaineSo, like, well, that's too much. I want to go day trade. So now you have, what, 20 days of actual trading? And now you have 20 different bars to deal with, okay? And then they're like, well, people just keep reducing their time frames. And then all of a sudden they're like, well, I'm just going to trade 15 minutes bars. But now you have our ten minute bars. If you trade ten minute bars, that gives you, was it 39 different bars to deal with during the day, right? I ain't talking about the week yet. I'm talking about during the day. And that's a whole another participation group. Every time that next bar opens, they have to keep reconfirming the trend or your position, you know what I mean? If they're buying each next ten minute bar opens, they have to keep buying for your position to be going well. And you're like, once it starts going down, once it starts reversing down, you have to deal with that. You know what I mean?[00:39:53] - AgnieszkaYeah. And the lower the time frame, you open up much more to the dynamics of getting triggered and your emotions and being over trading and being triggered by those swings from up and down. Right? Because then your hopes, your fears, the greed, and everything just comes into play. When you swing trading, you don't see that, right? Especially if you just look at the 1 hour chart from time to time. It's very different.[00:40:24] - JermaineYes, it's very different.[00:40:25] - AgnieszkaIt also depends on your, I think, personality, because I day trade. I also have a swing trade account. But day trading is just something that I feel much more comfortable with. But I trade only until 11:00.[00:40:41] - JermaineOkay.[00:40:41] - AgnieszkaAnd then I closed my charts. That's why I didn't know if Spy actually reached it's.[00:40:45] - JermaineMoving back up, leveled it's at 446. Right now. 446, 55. But no, I love it. That's great. But that's why I look at the 60 Minutes bars as well, and I tell day traders, you least want to know what's going on with the 60 Minutes bar, because 60 Minutes tells you, this is what's happening right now, right? Then look at your daily chart and go, okay, what's happening today? So in the strat, I always tell people, especially for day trading, you want to look at those 60s you want to look at the 60 Minutes bar, go, are they buying or they're selling? And then on the day, is it green or is it red? You know what I mean? Because that's going to let you know. So I tell day traders, look at the 60 Minutes charts. 60 Minutes charts, because that's telling you what's happening right now. And then the daily charts, what's happening today. If it's green on the day and green on the 60 Minutes bars and you want to go do something crazy on the 15 minutes, you have all the evidence that you need to go, okay, this will continue to the highs because they're buying it right now, and they're buying it today.[00:41:50] - JermaineAnd then you can start working those smaller time frames if that's what you like. But for you to only look at one time frame and go ten minute charts is all I do. You are not seeing all the other you'll see all these crazy. You could look at it later on, you're like, yeah, this was the head and shoulders, and here's the cup, and here's the lip and the handle, and this is where the breakout was. But if you just go to the 60 Minutes chart, you'll go, oh, man, they sold it down for two days. They sold it down for 2 hours and then in the third hour, here it comes. You know what? I may reverse back to the highs or at least the daily chart and go, okay, yeah, I shouldn't have did any of that because they were selling it all day. This was just some fluctuation of yeah, definitely.[00:42:34] - AgnieszkaIt gives you a context, right, a perspective. And I think trading is a lot about different perspectives. Whether you're talking about the price or you're talking about yourself, to putting yourself in perspective. Right. What you do, your emotions and everything that you're doing really needs to kind of everything that's personal, you have to put in perspectives to kind of get yourself out of it. Step back and look at what is actually happening here. What am I telling to myself? What am I feeling? What is happening here? So that you don't project it onto the market? Like your dreams, your fears, your losses that you just took because it all doesn't matter.[00:43:21] - JermaineYes, I like to tell people the things that you are the one that determines what things mean. You know what I mean? So if you're just like you take some losses and you're like, I'm a bad trader. Every time I get in, it goes to the lows. And you keep telling yourself all these negative things. It's going to create a process. It's going to create a loop, a habit. It's going to create a habit. And then, so I tell people when you're trading and you do get stopped out, you trade your system no matter what it is. I like the strat, so I say the strat, but I get that reversal against me and I get stopped out. The first thing, I'm protecting my capital. Okay? There's a participation group in there that's doing something I'm not aware of. And I thought it was going to go to the highs, but they started selling it. I got out, okay? Stopped me out.[00:44:11] - AgnieszkaRight.[00:44:11] - JermaineOne thing I tell people is don't cuss real loud. Don't bang on the desk, don't yell, don't say a bunch of negative things when you get stopped out. Because again, that's going to create a system that's going to create a habit. And now you're creating a habit. So every time you get stopped out, maybe your trading platform has a little sound, like a little tweet or a little sound. You hear that sound, you're like the very first thing you do is say a curse word and you're like power.[00:44:42] - AgnieszkaOff instinct.[00:44:42] - JermaineYeah, off instinct. But what if it was a good trade? What if that was the same sound that you pushed your stops up and that's the same sound that it makes when you get stopped out with profit. Right now you're confusing yourself because you're like, oh, I got stopped out. And you say this word and you're like that's what you do when you're mad. But you just made some money on this because of habits, right?[00:45:08] - AgnieszkaAnd your body reacts to it emotionally because our mind and our body is connected, right? So when you start cursing, you start also or like, throwing your hands up or keyboard. Some people throw computers out. That's probably not very handy thing to do for the business, but it creates a stress response simply in your body. And then now you have much more work to do to calm yourself down, to be actually able to be objective and to get back into trading. If you are, like, all over the place inside of your head and stressed out and your body is switching on to the survival mode, you can trade in that condition.[00:46:00] - JermaineNo, it's too stressed. Yeah, it just feeds can't was it Trading in the Zone with Mark Douglas? I love that book. It's a great book. I'm sure everybody says that, but it's great because he talks about getting stopped out. And if you have all these negative emotions, you got it all built up. You're not looking at what's actually happening right now. You're not looking at this going, okay, I was shorting this, but now it's going to the highs. Your brain is not going, I need to be looking at anything that was taken out yesterday's. Highs. I need to look at stocks that had you know what I mean? There's got to be winners in there. Somebody's buying stocks. Where are they at? You know what I mean? So we can go to I know they were buying energies this morning. I'm using this as an example. I know they're buying energies this morning. Let me go right back to energies. Let me go see what they're buying. You know what I mean? What are they really in? But you can't think that.[00:46:54] - AgnieszkaSo just look for opportunities, basically, instead of ruminating on what just happened and calling yourself a loser and stupid and all kinds of things, right?[00:47:05] - JermaineLet's just say it takes you 20 minutes to calm down. That's 20 minutes of you not seeing any new positions. Now the day is over. Or let's just say stick to the timeline. 20 minutes later, you're seeing where you missed, where you could have got in at. So then the whole cycle starts all over again because you're like, Well, I didn't see these things. And now you know what? Don't.[00:47:25] - AgnieszkaRight? What's wrong with me?[00:47:27] - JermaineYeah. Self talk is very important. I tell people to say a little mantra. Rob did create this one, but I kind of pushed the idea of it being a mantra of I create winning positions, add to them, and defend them with tight stops. So that's what I tell people. Say that stuff when you're trading. Because I create winning positions. Okay, I see where I need to get in. Boom, I'm in. And then I add to it. Can I add to this position? We like to scale in? That's what we teach scaling in, and then I defend them with tight stops as the price is moving, people use them, they say trailing stops, but I call them progressive stops, continuously pushing those stops toward the price. And because I like that mantra, creating winning positions, add to them and defend them with tight stops. Because those three phrases turn into questions. They can be questions. Okay, you can look at your charts and go, okay, I create winning positions. Is this a winning position? Is my position positive or negative? You know what I mean?[00:48:34] - AgnieszkaVery easy to answer, right?[00:48:35] - JermaineYeah, same thing. Can I add to this? Well, if it's positive, is there any way I can add to this? Yes or no? If it's a loser, no, I'm not adding to this loser. And then I defend it with tight stops. So then the next question is, okay, where are my stops at? If this is a winner, do I need to push it up now or should I just put my stops even? What should I do? Let's look at the charts, and then if it's bad, where are my stops? And if you don't have a stop, there's a bunch of other stuff that you need to be working on. So I like to use that I create winning positions because the trading psychology of the strat is already built into it, you know what I mean? That positiveness of I create winning positions is already there because you're going to have those times when you do get stopped out, and you're going to have those times when it's not I don't want to say losing streak, but you get to a point where you're like, okay, something's not working here.[00:49:36] - AgnieszkaIt might happen.[00:49:37] - JermaineRight, I'm not following the trend.[00:49:39] - AgnieszkaYeah, exactly. And most traders do not reach consistency because not of their inability to make money, but the fact they give it back. And most of the time, it's not just the profits they give back, but much more than that. Have you ever experienced it on your own?[00:49:59] - JermaineYes, yes, I've experienced some drawdowns. I've had a tough trade on CrowdStrike earlier, back in June of this year. And you see all these people on Twitter and being a little vulnerable here, but you see all these people on.[00:50:17] - AgnieszkaTwitter and they're like, thank you, I appreciate that. That's very important for trader vulnerability. And it's a strength, not weaknesses. A lot of people think.[00:50:24] - JermaineTrue. I agree. You see all these people talking about made 3000% on this option. I bought this, I bought that making so much money. And I had calls on CrowdStrike. It did hit my target, but I thought to myself, nah, I'm going to keep holding it because of the monthly charts telling me it should go to the highs and I have time on this contract. Well, this thing went a little bit higher on the next day, Friday, and then they started selling it started selling down. Okay, I didn't take profits. Now I know what I'm doing. I'm the strat soldier. I got all these things. I'm doing the stuff and I know what I'm doing. And it continued to trade lower and lower and lower and I had to stop what I'm doing. And I had to get to a point where I'm like is this a winning position? No. Is this a winning position? No. What am I telling everybody else as traders? Cut your losers.[00:51:25] - AgnieszkaRight.[00:51:25] - JermaineYou know what I mean? So this is me driving to work. This is me thinking to myself, this is me looking at my position. I'm going, this is not showing any evidence on the weekly, the monthly or the 60 Minutes charts that they want to buy this. They are selling it. And I had to sell it for a loss. Every once in a while you get those little wake up calls. So you have to be able to acknowledge that stuff. And again it all starts with being able to look at what's actually happening and tell yourself the truth. Am I holding a losing position? So yes, I have experienced it. I'm not perfect. I'm not a perfect trader.[00:52:13] - AgnieszkaI don't think that exists. Right. And I think that's the problem that a lot of traders think that they will at some point be perfect. But I always say to my students, it's like there is no that one day. Then when you get there, then everything is just honey because you will be making mistakes, you will be taking losses, but it will be just very different than it will be more controlled losses and maybe you'll be making mistakes more rare than not every day. Right?[00:52:47] - JermaineRight. At least I would say, you know what's happening, you know? Exactly. Okay, I know I got in this thing I didn't take we call it magnitude, but I didn't take the profit at the target. This thing's going to the lows. It went further than I wanted it to or I thought it would go. But to be able to tell yourself the truth and go this is loser.[00:53:08] - AgnieszkaExactly.[00:53:08] - JermaineI need to cut that. That's the difference. I think that's the difference of being.[00:53:13] - AgnieszkaHonest with yourself, integrity and just minimizing the impact of that by being honest and by stopping yourself in tracks at some point. Because what was the catalyst for you to on that CrowdStrike trade to say, okay, now I have to be honest with myself. How do you know when is that moment to hold them and when to fold them?[00:53:38] - JermaineYeah, I like it. I like it a lot. For me, I'm going to tell you how it should be and then I'm going to tell you what happened.[00:53:47] - AgnieszkaAll right[00:53:48] - JermaineSo again, I look at four different timeframes right now on XLE. So I want to see if there's buyers on the month. Is it green on the month? Okay. And then I'm looking for the week to reconfirm what I'm seeing on the month, and then I'm looking for the daily and the 60 minutes charts to reconfirm what I'm seeing on the week and then the month, of course. So let's just say I got a stock, they're buying it this month. It's going great. Here's my weeks, it's continuing to the highs for you at home. You can look at XLE if you don't know what stock you could even look at right now. You can look at XLE because it's green on the month. It's green on the week right now. And then your days know as the days are reconfirming what we've seen on the week, what we want, an ideal stock, an ideal trade is I'm getting something that there's buyers in the month that I get in a reversal on the week and then continue to buy it all day, every day. And every 60 minutes chart, it's amazing. It goes back to the high.[00:54:46] - JermaineEvery day continues the highs, of course, that's the dream, right? But it's not going to happen every day. So as those days trend, are they continuing to move up? Or is the trend slowing down and now they're taking profits? Then you move your stops in a direction. So that's how we do that. That's the ideal way in that crowd strike trade. I had a scenario two on the month, meaning the month was trading higher than the previous month. I did hit my target on the week. I hit my target on the day. And then on the 60 minutes charts here, it starts moving down. I'm like, okay, all right, I can hold through some of this because we know people are taking profits. We know other people. Again, I just said we like to add to our winners. And we know not everybody trades the strat. Some trading systems say always be selling. So we know people are going to here it is. Now they start selling you're like, okay, like I said, I'm the strat soldier. I know they're taking profits on the 60 minutes charts. Okay, fine. Then the daily chart, there's a reversal on the daily, okay, now it's a two two reversal down, meaning the current day was trading lower than the previous day.[00:56:04] - JermaineAll right, now we have reversal back down on the daily chart. I got the 60 minutes charts that are red, the daily charts that are red. And then when I finally had to make a decision, like, I have no evidence to keep holding, this was when it started reversing on the week, because now I have again, I'm looking at all four time frames. I got red on the week, red on the day, red on the 60 minutes charts, and they're selling this thing. I need to get out of this. I need to follow my own rules again. I need to follow my rules and go, is this a winning position? And I need to cut this. Thing. Like I said, I ended up selling it for a loss. And it's always important to know when to tell you. I said tell the truth. No, this is a loser. You didn't take profits, whatever. Deal with it. Just cut it. Because if you just keep holding it and you're like, it's going to come back. It's going to come back.[00:57:00] - AgnieszkaWhat if it doesn't?[00:57:02] - JermaineYeah, what if it doesn't? You're like, well, it's an option, you know what I mean? Do you really want to lose all you don't want to lose some people say, Well, I don't care, so I don't want to say that. I want to say you don't ever want to have the mindset of it's okay for me to lose everything in this option, or it's okay for me to lose everything in this stock and for the whole thing to go so negative. You know what I mean? You never want to have that type of mindset, not if your goal is.[00:57:28] - AgnieszkaTo make money anyway, correct?[00:57:30] - JermaineYeah. Not if your goal is to make money. But I'd say the hardest times when that happens is when things have been going well. Things have been going well. You've had a good run, things have been going well, and you have that one trade that's just not working right, and you don't want to sell it. That's when you have to, like you said, be vulnerable with yourself, be vulnerable with the people that you're trading with and go, okay, I'm in a losing position. I need to cut this thing.[00:58:00] - AgnieszkaYeah, thank you for sharing that experience. I really appreciate it. And I think that there is a lot to say about accountability, which is very different in trading, because in our daily life, we always have someone else who holds us accountable for the things we need to do, right? Whether it's in your job, you have colleagues, you have a boss, maybe you have employees at home, you have your wife, you have your children. There's always someone watching you, right? In trading, it's just you and a computer. Nobody's watching you. You can do whatever you want. So now you have to be the person who has to kind of hold yourself accountable and say, come on, what the heck are you doing?[00:58:43] - JermaineYes, and I wanted to say this earlier, so I'm glad you said that, because in sports, in the military, in any kind of profession, doctor, lawyer, all that stuff, any kind of profession that you have, you have other people that you're working with to achieve a goal, you know what I mean? So even if you're the manager, you need all the people around you to make that stuff happen, and you have to work with them. And you're using a lot of stuff to a lot of your personality, a lot of your skill set, a lot of influence that you have to make things go in a direction that you want especially in the military, I say, get your stuff and get on the truck. You can raise your voice, but at home, you can't do that. Or wherever you're trading, you can yell at the screens all day long, but that price is going to do whatever that price is going to do. So you can't really influence the market so much with your yelling and your personality at all.[00:59:48] - AgnieszkaMaybe there will be a chance with AI, who knows?[00:59:52] - JermaineI told you to get up there. I told you to keep going up. Okay. Oh, no.[00:59:59] - AgnieszkaCan you imagine?[01:00:01] - JermaineOh, that's going to be great. But then the reality of things is it's going to be a lot of people. There will be millions of people screaming in the microphones, and then the market will come right back to what it was before, where it's going to do what it's doing, because we got millions. Me and you see this thing as going to the highs. These other people over here see this thing as going to the lows. So they're selling, and everybody people say the market doesn't care about you and all this other stuff. The market doesn't even know who you are because the market is not a thing. The market exactly. The only responsibility the market has is showing you what the price is right now. That's it. That's the only responsibility. Anybody. You know what I mean? I hope you're paying for real market data for that, because then it doesn't have that either.[01:00:51] - AgnieszkaThen it's just a game you're playing with the right data.[01:00:55] - JermaineExactly. All it's doing is showing you what the price is right now. And again, no matter what trading system you use, we are trying to identify the trend and identify it early enough that we can profit from it. That's what we're doing. And we use historical data to do that. Like I said, the spies continue to the highs at 447 16. It's moving. Hammer enforce on the 60 Minutes chart. It's moving up. And if you're still shorting something, you got to be telling the truth. This thing I'm shorting is the thing I'm shorting, is it still going to the lows? No, this thing started moving back up. So that's my whole thing. And in the art of cutting losers, that's what I say, you got to be able to tell the truth. Put your set, your stops, and what's the price actually doing? Is it going against you, or are you trading with the trend? You know what I mean? Even if you're in the trend, is your position good? You know what I mean? Because we talk about that. That's a whole other conversation. You want to talk about bills and all this other stuff.[01:02:05] - AgnieszkaIt's so interesting because we people, human beings, we generally know what's good for us, right? We can figure it out. Like, deep down, you we really know what's good for us. And in a lot of cases, in our life. We do like driving. I mean, most people do obey the rules. Like when they see the red light, they will stop. Well, not always. Where I live, I know Florida is known from really bad driving, but in general, right, we know what's good for us. And for some reason a lot of times we do choose to do the opposite. Like look, for example, diet, right, or not exercising. There's a lot of stuff that we do that are not in our best interest in trading. Making these decisions, whether you choose to act in your best interest or not, can be a little bit tricky because with regard to taking losses, taking a loss does not seem rationally to be in our best interest, just the wood itself, taking a loss, right? So it kind of messes up in our head, our emotions. It messes us up because who wants to take the loss? I don't want to lose, right?[01:03:24] - AgnieszkaI'm supposed to make money. I don't want to lose. So what is your take on emotions in trading in general? Especially the emotions with regard to cutting losses? Because small loss, it doesn't matter, right? It's like a little cut, no big deal, but when it gets out of hand, it's a different story.[01:03:43] - JermaineI like it. That was good. It kind of makes me like we should have like a think take and come up with a different word than loss. Like the psychology of the word. That's great. I say taking small losses is what we want to do because again, that's when things kind of clicked for me. Taking small losses because we want to protect our capital, we want to keep trading. And if you break the rules, let's say you're driving analogy, you don't really stop at that stop sign. You just kind of pause a little bit and coast on through. Like everything's fine.[01:04:18] - AgnieszkaJust look around. Is there police?[01:04:21] - JermaineYeah, there's no police. I don't see a school bus. There's nobody. But what's that one time that you just kind of tap on the brakes on that stop sign and then now you're in a crash, right? You know what I mean? You know what I mean? Because you're like, I didn't see that car because you didn't see that car coming. You didn't see you just thought it was okay to cut this person off. In trading, in driving, I like that driving. In your driving analogy, you can get away with stuff and then by the time somebody catches it, you're gone. It's fine. In trading, there are times, l
Low IVR, Defined risk bearish diagonal spread in XLE who's 3 biggest components are XOM,CVX & SLB
Today's guest is Malcolm Turner Malcolm has over 25 years in the financial services industry but specializes exclusively in commercial lending. In 2007, he co-founded Castle Commercial Capital LLC, a national commercial mortgage banker and brokerage based in Southfield, MI. Show summary: In this episode, Sam interviews Malcolm Turner, co-founder of Castle Commercial Capital LLC. Malcolm shares his journey into commercial lending, starting with his background in financial services and his transition from residential lending to commercial lending. He discusses the challenges and opportunities in the current market, emphasizing the importance of finding the right financing options for different types of deals. Malcolm also talks about the benefits of bridge lending and gives examples from the self-storage industry. -------------------------------------------------------------- Intro [00:00:00] Starting a Commercial Mortgage Brokerage [00:00:49] Surviving the Financial Crisis and COVID [00:03:21] Specializing in Multifamily and Bridge Loans [00:05:46] The importance of speed and time in closing deals [00:11:34] The risk and challenges of unbankable deals [00:15:40] Strategic repositioning of a hotel property [00:19:16] The challenges and opportunities in the current market [00:22:27] Using premier properties to feed applications and keep occupancy high [00:23:34] The importance of meeting with a finance guy ahead of a deal [00:24:36] -------------------------------------------------------------- Connect with Malcolm: YouTube: @CastleCommercialCapital LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/malcolmturner/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/malcolm.a.turner Twitter: @CastleLoans Connect with Sam: I love helping others place money outside of traditional investments that both diversify a strategy and provide solid predictable returns. Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HowtoscaleCRE/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/samwilsonhowtoscalecre/ Email me → sam@brickeninvestmentgroup.com SUBSCRIBE and LEAVE A RATING. Listen to How To Scale Commercial Real Estate Investing with Sam Wilson Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/how-to-scale-commercial-real-estate/id1539979234 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4m0NWYzSvznEIjRBFtCgEL?si=e10d8e039b99475f -------------------------------------------------------------- Want to read the full show notes of the episode? Check it out below: Malcolm Turner (00:00:00) - A lot of people that were doing bridge loan deals that shouldn't have. Mm. And so now with the price increases, okay, they're not competitive and it's like, oh, bridge loans are bad. No, that deal should have never been in a bridge loan in the first place. Sam Wilson (00:00:14) - Welcome to the How to scale commercial real estate show. Whether you are an active or passive investor, we'll teach you how to scale your real estate investing business into something big. Malcolm Turner has over 25 years in the financial services industry. He specializes, though, exclusively in commercial lending. In 2007, he co-founded Castle Commercial Capital, LLC. They are a national commercial mortgage banker and brokerage based in Southfield, Michigan. Malcolm, welcome to the show. Malcolm Turner (00:00:46) - Thanks, Sam. Thanks for having me on. I'm honored to be here. Sam Wilson (00:00:49) - Absolutely. Malcolm, The pleasure is mine. There are three questions I ask every guest who comes on the show in 90s or less. And you tell me, where did you start? Where are you now and how did you get there? Malcolm Turner (00:00:58) - I started in. Malcolm Turner (00:01:01) - Well, how far you want to go back? I started in financial services as a financial advisor. And then the laws changed with Glass-Steagall, where everyone got in everyone's backyard. You know, insurance guys selling brokerage and broker, selling insurance and got into residential lending. That was a tremendously lucrative at the time. You couldn't do deals fast enough. There wasn't enough appraisers to do them at that time. This is oh five, oh six, and was having a conversation with my pastor and his office one day about me doing the right thing for a client, which meant putting him in a fixed rate FHA loan, and my manager wanted me to put them in an option arm that would have blowed up three years later had we, you know, you know, new had a crystal ball. And I was like, Yeah, but this guy is a single guy. First deal. We should do the right thing, right? Oh, there you go, Malcolm Talking about that. Do the right thing. Stuff, you know, and I said to my pastor, why he's doing the right thing. Malcolm Turner (00:01:57) - A batch of dishonor. And he says, Well, if you were going to do a company, you know, mortgage broker, brokerage, how would you do it? I'm like, well, do commercial because commercial is about the numbers. It's not about the kitchens and the bathrooms. It's the math. You know, And we talked about I said, you set up an office and you have to build relationships with lenders and do this, that and the other. And that's about all it would take. It goes, Great, let's do it. I was like, Oh, I thought we were talking hypothetical. He's like, No, I love you like a brother and I trust you with money. We should do it. And I was like, okay. I was like, Well, I love you too, man, and I trust you. But the only thing about mortgages. So we would be doing all the work and we're splitting the money and I don't want to mess up our relationship. Malcolm Turner (00:02:41) - And he's like, Yeah, you're right, Malcolm. I totally get that. Tell you what, you you don't have to train me. I get it. I'll be humble, let you coach me. Um, let's build a legacy for our families, and I'll fund it. And you set it up, and then we'll be evenly yoked. I was like. Okay. And that's how Castle Commercial Capital was born 16 years ago. Sam Wilson (00:03:06) - Wow. That's a that's an unconventional story. I love that getting into lending in 2007 doesn't seem like the most favorable time to start a company like that. Malcolm Turner (00:03:21) - It was not. Our saving grace was the residential market crashed first. Commercial really didn't get pounded until 2010. That's about when the, you know, it finally caught up to commercial. You know, but since then, we've survived the great financial crisis. We survived Covid. You know, we've even survived just the latest rate increase over the last year because there's been quite amount, quite a bit of turmoil, especially on my side of the table. Malcolm Turner (00:03:54) - You know, lenders have gotten and all lenders are going out of business. You know, when lending stopped during Covid and in March of 2020, by the time June and July rolled around, some of those lenders didn't make it, you know, and we're still here. So I'm I'm I'm glad to do that. But, I mean, that's not because I'm special or anything like that. But I've always recognized like when Covid hit, I said, okay, no one's funding right now. Not sure when they're going to kick up. So let's redo our website. It's a great time to do it. Let's redo our marketing. As a matter of fact, let's come out with a commercial mobile lending app. Let's do that. You know, and so I've always tried to stay out front and say, okay, you know, like Wayne Gretzky said, you know, he's great because he skates to where the puck is going. Not to where the puck is, you know. And that's up the side. Malcolm Turner (00:04:51) - And then we just wrote our book financing the Bankable deal, you know, And so I was at the commercial, the National Commercial Mortgage Brokers Conference in Vegas last year, and I was talking to a bunch of commercial lenders and saying, Hey, I'm writing this book. Where do you guys think the market is going and what's it doing? And, you know, did I cover everything? You know, Is there anything I missed? And one of the guys was somewhat skeptical. And we had a breakout session the next day. And during the breakout session, he found out everyone on the panel had done business with me. But him. He was like, Wait a minute, you did business with him. You did along with him. And both of the guys going, Yeah, he sure did. Yes, he does. They're like, Well, okay, well, you got to get us in there, right? You know? And I was like, Yeah, okay. You know, that's awesome. Sam Wilson (00:05:38) - That's awesome. Well, tell me this. What what is the type of lending that you specialize in now? Malcolm Turner (00:05:46) - Right now, most of our business is multifamily. Most of our businesses are multifamily and we kind of slid into the bridge loan, the bridge lending space because you know, the market for deals. That are picked over and everyone's fighting for. If the market is this big, those deals are this big. Sam Wilson (00:06:09) - Right. Malcolm Turner (00:06:10) - And so there's another you know, this is a stat a lot of people don't know, but like 85% of commercial loan applications are denied. Yeah. Believe that are denied. Right. That doesn't mean that the other that the the 15% are great and the other 85% are terrible. You know, there's probably another 25%. Of those deals that are doable. They just don't know how to do them when their bank says no. Right. Right. And so I was at a a commercial multifamily meetup and a banker was doing the presentation on financing. And at the end of it, they said someone asked the question, well, outside of there were a small community bank outside of you guys doing loans, who else can do them? Another way to do multifamily as well, the small banks and big banks. Malcolm Turner (00:07:02) - And I was like, That's it. And they were like, Yeah, just just those two. And that was from their perspective, Right, Right. And I was like, okay. So I posted in the group on their Facebook page. There's seven alternative ways of financing deals between Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, USDA, FHA, HUD, Right. Private lending, bridge lending. There's a whole smorgasbord of options, you know, and everyone's getting in the business. You have insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds that are setting up mortgage funds. So there's plenty of capital in the marketplace. Now, deals, on the other hand, is another story, but there's plenty of capital to get to get deals done right. Just no matter what, it's going to cost you. And then if you're buying, can I price my deal where the cost of capital makes sense, you know? Sam Wilson (00:07:54) - Right. Right. That that's the the kicker right there. Can I price my deal where the cost of capital makes sense? And, you know, there's a lot of fear, I think, in the marketplace right now. Sam Wilson (00:08:09) - What are we on? And you would know this stat better than me, but I read it maybe. A month ago. That year to date, transaction volume in the multifamily space was down 75% nationally. The rising interest rates are a concern, as you said. You know, you guys have weathered through that. But having, you know, specializing in the bridge lending space, there's a lot of people that look at bridge lending now, especially with a, you know, suspiciously. They look at it and go, oh, absolutely. Bridge lending. Don't I got to go? Like, that's not for me. Tell me why it still is a good option for the deals you guys are getting done. Malcolm Turner (00:08:51) - Well, I think you start with when is it inappropriate? Mm. Right. If you have a cherry deal, it's cash on like crazy. You got tremendous occupancy or expense ratio is is fantastic. The property condition is great, the location is great. You know, you don't need a bridge loan. Malcolm Turner (00:09:16) - And what I've seen is for convenience and speed and just, you know, again, convenience because it's not as many hoops to jump through. A lot of people that were doing bridge loan deals that shouldn't have. Mm. And so now with the price increases, okay, they're not competitive and it's like, oh, bridge loans are bad. No, that deal should have never been in a bridge loan in the first place. Sam Wilson (00:09:39) - Right. Malcolm Turner (00:09:40) - You know, so for me I look at if the deal has something wrong, if it's got what we call heron on the deal, poor occupancy, poor cash flow, you know, there's all time. There's a situation where there's a time sensitive thing going on. Like, for example, I had to deal with closed where there was two partners, two guys partnering on a deal. They own the property probably about 5 or 6 years when I was getting a divorce. And and, you know, sometimes you see it coming. Sam Right. You sort of know the handwriting's on the wall, right? And the one partner says, Look, if you're getting divorced, we got to get out of this partnership because I don't want your wife winning, winning your half of the deal, and I can't be partners with her. Malcolm Turner (00:10:28) - Right. You couldn't make it work. I sure as hell can't. Right. So. So they were looking to get out fast. Their property manager was my client. So I have been he's been I do commercial real estate meetup here locally in Southfield, Michigan. And this guy's been coming to my meetups a couple of years and he had about ten rental properties. And so we did a portfolio loan, cashed out of his cash, a bunch of equity out of his residential. And then literally 45 days later, these guys said, Hey, hey, Rob, do you know anybody that might want to buy this property? Because we got to get out fast. And he was like, Hey, me, me, me, me, me. Right. He's already been the property manager and he had the cash and he knows what the issues were with, with the property, right. And there were certain things they were they should have done, but they weren't doing. They could have made it more profitable. Malcolm Turner (00:11:25) - And so he knew where it could go. So we financed that deal, got those guys out, and we closed in like 30 days. Sam Wilson (00:11:33) - Wow. Malcolm Turner (00:11:34) - You know, and for the speed for closing that quickly and beating the attorney right to the courthouse, you know, he got that property at like a 15 know 18% discount to value. Right? Right. So for some sellers. Speed and time. Let's just say time is more important than money. Right, Right, right. And so, you know, you have to say and play a blue ocean strategy. And say, okay, where am I looking at deals that no one else is looking at and then how do I make that work? And then that's where a bridge loan could come in. And even if the deal is is fine and there's no pressing issues like these two partners had, you might still offer that lower price. But I will close quickly. I will close in three weeks. I will close in 30 days or less, you know, and see if they bite now, if they don't bite. Malcolm Turner (00:12:32) - And he says, okay, fine, you didn't you know, you didn't bite. I guess I won't have to go the traditional route, you know, because there's going to be a higher cost with the bridge loan. Sure. Right. But if I'm getting an 18% discount off a value. I don't care. Sam Wilson (00:12:47) - Right. Malcolm Turner (00:12:48) - The math works, right? Sam Wilson (00:12:50) - Well, hopefully the math works, because even if it's a discount, if the current cash flows don't cover the, you know, the current expenses, then it becomes an interesting, interesting equation. Malcolm Turner (00:13:02) - Well, right. That's where the math has the math. Right. Right. And I say that in my in my book. The math has to work. Right. Right. And you can't fall in. And one of the mistakes sometimes investors will make is they'll they'll find a deal or maybe it's a deal that been paying on for a long time. It finally comes available. They get a shot at it and it's a bad deal. And I'm telling them it's a bad deal. Malcolm Turner (00:13:28) - They got other advisers telling them it's a bad deal and somehow they still trying to make it work. I remember I had a guy shop a deal to me three times in two years. In the first time, I was like, Yeah, I don't think this is going to work. He didn't listen. He went to someone else, you know, didn't work, pay some guys money up front to quote unquote pre-approval or some nonsense. Okay. And came back to me. And then the third time, a real estate commercial real estate brokerage here in town say, hey, Mac, I got a client coming in tomorrow. He's got this big deal downtown Detroit. We're trying to make it work, you know, I know it's short notice, but can you meet me in my office at 10:00? Because he doesn't have his financing set. And I was like, sure, sure. I walked up to the meeting and the guy's name the broker's name was Levi, right. And I was like, Hey, Levi, how are you doing? Is that good? He's like, Malcolm. Malcolm Turner (00:14:20) - I was like, Mike. And Mike was like, Hey, Malcolm, how are you doing? I'm like, Good. He was like, Oh, you know, each other. I was like, Oh, yeah, right. And we went to talk about the deal and he was like, Yeah, I got the spreadsheets. Like, It's okay, Mike. I got everything on your deal. I don't throw that stuff away. So everything you submitted to me is all those financials still the same? Yeah. Okay. Well, your options. The options I gave you six months ago. The options I gave you a year or two years ago. I'm probably the ones you still should take. And he wasn't willing to listen. He was so in love with this deal. He just couldn't let it go. Sam Wilson (00:14:57) - Mm hm. And it was a deal that should have just been let go, is what it sounds like. It was just a bad deal. Malcolm Turner (00:15:04) - It was. Well, it wasn't. Malcolm Turner (00:15:05) - I won't say it was a bad deal, per se. It wasn't a great deal for him. Right. And he ended up losing it. Someone else got it. And, you know, long story short, it was a deal that was probably like a million and a half. And I just saw it. It sold for like 5.20. Sam Wilson (00:15:22) - Wow. Malcolm Turner (00:15:23) - So, you know. But but if I you know, they always say, you know, there's there's more than one way to skin a cat. Sometimes there's only one. There really is only one. And if I say this is how you make it work and that's how you get it done and the guy doesn't want to do it was nothing I can do. I can only advise. Sam Wilson (00:15:40) - You can only advise. Let's talk a little bit about your financing, the UN bankable deal book. And again, you know, this kind of goes obviously hand in hand with bridge loans, things like that, that help get some of these deals across the across the finish line. Sam Wilson (00:15:56) - But what are un bankable deals and why? What's compelling about those that makes people even want to buy them? I mean, if banks are looking at it going way, way, way too much risk, kind of like you looking at it going, Hey. That's a that's a challenging deal. Like what? What's the motivation behind someone trying to get deals like that done And what's the what's the I mean, just give me some color behind that if you can. Malcolm Turner (00:16:21) - Sure, sure, sure. I mean, from my perspective, a good bankable deal has got some hair on it that scares the willies out of everybody else. So one, you're not going to have a lot of competition when it comes to negotiating the deal, because most people, I think, don't think it's possible. Right. To you know, like I said, it may have cash flow issues or occupancy issues. And the question becomes, does your team because I believe teamwork makes the dream work. Right? Does your commercial real estate team have a plan? To turn that property around. Malcolm Turner (00:16:59) - You know, sometimes that that property, that own banker will deal is a hotel that's failing miserably as it is a lot of hotels right now, Sam, that are in trouble. A lot of the biggest category of deals in foreclosure and forbearance. Our hotel deals. Okay. Sam Wilson (00:17:18) - It's not it's not office space. Malcolm Turner (00:17:21) - No, it's hotels. It's hotels. Sam Wilson (00:17:25) - Tough. Why? Malcolm Turner (00:17:26) - Because if I'm, um. Ford. Okay. And I'm leasing 50,000ft², and I've got a five year lease, right? I'm paying my bills. Right? Right. For may try to negotiate with the landlord, but I'm paying my bills. Yeah, okay. In a hotel, though, right? It's consumer based. So Right. So the consumers are like, Yeah, that area's not that hot anymore or we don't like that property anymore or it's not managed well. It can drop like a hat. You know? And so as an investor, though, sometimes we know in commercial it's about highest and best use. Right. Malcolm Turner (00:18:14) - So one of my examples in my book is about strategic repositioning. I had a client, she bought one of these, um, drive in like motel type places. You know, we're talking about, you know, the movies. You pull up to it, that's where everybody hides out and trying to hide from the FBI. You're on the lam. One of those type hotels. And she closed off the place. She put wrought iron fencing all around it. She made it senior only because seniors only need about that much square footage. Right. She took the wall out and the and the back of the unit in between. So she made two units. One one unit is like their living area and the other unit is a bedroom. Sure. Bedroom, private bath. Right. The other one was like a little living area with a kitchenette. Okay. She provided housekeeping for them. She provided meals for them three squares a day, all for all inclusive price of, like 2500 a month. Sam Wilson (00:19:15) - Wow. Sam Wilson (00:19:15) - Okay. Malcolm Turner (00:19:16) - The square footage was only 432ft². We? You know, that thing was cash flow and like crazy, right? Sam Wilson (00:19:30) - I'm sure it was. Malcolm Turner (00:19:32) - You know, And so she's like, let me do it again. And so that's where now if she goes to get a loan for multifamily. That's not going to work there. Look, this is a hotel, right? You're going to have to do some renovations to it. We don't know about your experience doing that, you know? How successful is it you're going to change the use? What about. But if somebody has a plan and they've got it worked out and she had a chef that would come in in the in the clubhouse of the of the place, he would cook meals for all the residents on a daily basis. It worked out. It cost her like $5 a meal. Wow. Right. The maid service, same thing. And the great thing about the maid service. They're all seniors, right? They're on fixed income. They loved the fact that meals, housekeeping, everything was included for her. Malcolm Turner (00:20:26) - She knew her property was going to get kept up because the maids going in there cleaning everybody stuff. And if somebody was having a rough time, if they were sick or they weren't doing well, the maid would know first. Sure. And say, Hey, Mrs. Johnson, And you know, Unit three B is struggling. You may want to call her adult children, have them come check on her. You know, So it was a way to better manage the property as a property manager because the maid was giving her all the gossip on what was going on with the place, you know, and every unit was maintained well, and she made a really good profit. Oh, and she gave them cable, right? Because she gave them like basic cable. And the only thing those tenants had to pay for was their own cell phone. Sam Wilson (00:21:08) - Wow. Malcolm Turner (00:21:09) - Wow. And that was not a bankable deal. But that was where, you know, and I believe she bought that property all in between the renovations and the purchase was like a mill one. Malcolm Turner (00:21:23) - And I think the value of our cash flow was something like 2.4. Wow. And then when I met her, she wanted to cash out, refi and then go buy her another one. Sure. And I was like, Absolutely. Sam Wilson (00:21:37) - Absolutely. Yeah. Because you got the model. I mean, that's it. And I think that's what I'm hearing you say here is anything that is outside of the ordinary, it's not maybe cash flow positive and or if it is cash flow positive, the value add plan has not yet been implemented. A heavy value add plan has not yet been implemented. So what you need are a couple of things. Tell me if I'm wrong, but you need someone with a skill set to implement the heavy value add plan. Yes. And then, you know, obviously, you know, that's really it. In the second part is to have that plan. So if you have those two things inside of a deal, maybe that non-traditional or the lender's traditional lenders won't look at, you need to go to the non-traditional route, which is through maybe somebody like yourself that helps specialize in that. Malcolm Turner (00:22:27) - Okay. And there's money for you know, there's money for all of that. And as lenders who aren't scared. Of a value add project. Right. They're not scared of even if it's like a straight, like obviously repositioned, but also just, you know, this is a property that maybe market rents are 1200 a month and the current rents are like 700, 800 bucks. The owner is like, you know, 82 years old. And he just didn't feel like putting everyone on a new lease. So the whole rent roll is month to month. You know, it's on the market and the bank is like, Yeah, yeah, we didn't want to do that. But if you've got a guy that's got, let's say, 4 or 5 properties already in the area, he's bringing in applications, right? Rental applications from those other properties. Okay. He knows I can fill up those 20 units easy, no time. You know, I know guys, they do self storage like that. They'll have a great location and they'll they'll have one property. Malcolm Turner (00:23:34) - That's the real big marketing property. It's on such a great corner that property is always filled and they use those extra locations to fill other self storage. They got like 5 or 6 other self-storage units that are not on great locations, so therefore they were cheaper. Sam Wilson (00:23:50) - Right. Malcolm Turner (00:23:51) - Right. And they use the one premier property, right? The trophy property to feed the applications and keep the occupancy high and the other self-storage properties that they have. Sam Wilson (00:24:02) - That's awesome. I love it. I love it. Malcolm, I've learned a lot from you here today. Learned about bridge lending. You learned about the times when it's a good application and a good opportunity to use that. Talking about your book Financing the Unbreakable Deal, we've talked a lot about the advantages of using bridge lending, convenient speed. The yeah, just went kind of through a lot of those details on that. I've learned a lot from you. Certainly appreciate you taking your time to come on the show today. If our listeners want to get in touch with you and learn more about you, what is the best way to do that? Malcolm Turner (00:24:33) - They can find us on YouTube. Malcolm Turner (00:24:36) - We have a YouTube channel, Castle Commercial capital. You can find us on YouTube. Our website is Castle Commercial Capital. I also have my book website, which is financing them. Bankable deal. They can learn more about the value that's in our book and if they want to book consultation, I offer this to all of your listeners there. They can have a free consultation for half an hour with me to discuss the deals that they're working on and future deals, because one of the best ways to be really effective with your financing and I put this in my book is to meet with your finance guy ahead of the deal and say, Hey, here's where financing is at, here's where it's going, here's the best deals to get done, and then go out in the marketplace and see which. And it's amazing. Sometimes I'll have a conversation with someone. And literally three days later, I found just the deal you were talking about. Really? Yeah. But it's like and I'll end with this, it's like getting a car, you know? I got a black Toyota Venza, XLE. Malcolm Turner (00:25:36) - Not a whole lot. I'm on the road. Most. We don't even know what that car is. I didn't know what it was. I fell in love with it when I saw it. Right now, I see them all the time. Every day. Right? Right. It's like once you get an eye. For certain types of deals. You see them. You know, I've got an eye for commercial real estate. You know, I personally like to buy single tenant leased properties that are vacant. So every time I'm driving down the street and I see an empty McDonald's or a former Baskin-Robbins or a close Starbucks, I'm like, ha ha ha. And then I'm reading What's the other tenants around that? And most people just drive by those places, right? Sam Wilson (00:26:15) - I love it. I love it. Malcolm, thank you for taking the time to come on the show today. We'll make sure we include the links to your book and to your website there as well. There in the show notes. Sam Wilson (00:26:25) - I certainly appreciate your insight and your time. Malcolm Turner (00:26:27) - Hey, thanks for having me on, Sam. I appreciate. It was fun. Sam Wilson (00:26:30) - Hey, thanks for listening to the How to Scale Commercial Real Estate podcast. If you can do me a favor and subscribe and leave us a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts, whatever platform it is you use to listen. If you can do that for us, that would be a fantastic help to the show. It helps us both attract new listeners as well as rank higher on those directories. So appreciate you listening. Thanks so much and hope to catch you on the next episode.
The audio is uninterrupted, but the video does freeze for a while. Make sure to sign up for the newsletter to see the charts and information. If you're even thinking about buying Trendspider - it's now on sale for $358 for the year. Remember the process. 1) sign up with my link - https://trendspider.com?_go=gary93 2) email me at dailystockpick3@gmail.com and let me know what email address you used 3) I'll send you the welcome letter once you're confirmed The 3x levered ETF's continue higher this week. Earnings were good and we're seeing some good signs heading in to Sept. I love Webull - Sign up here and get FREE STOCKS - https://a.webull.com/iHwte9iTQnfaDYFVxv Social Links and more - https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick Follow along with all my trades and journal your own here - https://savvytrader.com/Dailystockpick/2023-trading-portfolio FREE NEWSLETTER WITH CHARTS - subscribe at dailystockpick.substack.com I love Webull - Sign up here and get FREE STOCKS SPONSORED BY VISIBLE - Check out this page: https://www.visible.com/get/?3MFGCRG $20 off your first month - only $5 for the first month Use code DSP25 for 25% off Trendspider's platform - https://trendspider.com/?_go=gary93 Sign up for Webull and get free stocks like I did - https://a.webull.com/gGlte9iTQnfaDYFa4S NOTES Trendspider Labor Day sale - it's only 1% pullback - but again - I would urge you - it's only $350 for a year Remember - you need elite for the algos and sign up using my link email me I'll send you the welcome letter $VFS pullback on the 65 min - you will be in on the open $spy and $QQQ on the daily have both regained the 50 day but the Aug pullback was good enough to maybe avoid the 10% pullback Inflation - up .2% as expected Tom Lee says sept will be a boom https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-sp500-rally-bull-market-forecast-inflation-fundstrat-2023-8?utm_campaign=markets-sf&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwAR0NJP9SjC0i78J-pyUfiN-HLhm9Yo6F5ZBi88aQdRVtA_8iT17bmo0hbWM_aem_AWElWsJIpXkpuMTP3j2mbJThPHa946fw6sUWkV8Wcfjk-6-gep5tf-ZfUcTEZ4puu5w&mibextid=Zxz2cZ Trendspider Golden Cross strategy - $XLE https://charts.trendspider.com/shared/64ac28b84d85120015310899?t=2 $SMCI moved up finally going to that gap $boil $SHOP - up 7% because Amazon implemented a buy now partnership with them on Shopify customer pages - https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-shopify-strike-deal-open-232210599.html Earnings $crm beat and raised and they boomed so the multiple went down $crm vs $msft 6 months is similar gains $okta went nuts - beat and raised $Chwy beat and popped but seemed to pullback $crwd beat but their annual reoccurring revenue seems to have been flat and not growing Stocks that are beating are going up now unlike last week Oil dipped because China output went down with the assumption China won't have big demand - get in - look at $xle $chpt and $blnk Two of the largest publicly held charging networks in the US, ChargePoint & Blink Charging, have less than a year of cash left. $pltr downgraded by $ms but they raised their price target to $9 - I think buy more $cost same store sales up 3% but e-commerce down 2% - this is what we've seen from other retailers post covid https://x.com/dailystockpick3/status/1697217841274011848?s=46&t=7y4v-tHaIEzjLo4Lw72X7g Social requests Thanks Trenton for the cup of coffee via Venmo Adam from fb Is GNS a buy again w the last two day pullback? Dman says $smg looks good Gabrielle from fb Hi Gary! I Yesterday I bought Roblox for a short term/swing trade. To me MACD seemed ready to cross, and maybe to fill that gap up to 36$. What is your opinion about it ? SCANS $OXY $PXD $CRWD $AMZN $DIS $LNG $BTU $BOIL $HAL $TLRY $ABBV $BKNG $MRVL
Price targets, trends and charts on some of 2023's most important commodities, and how to invest in them. (1:30) - What Exactly Is Going On With Commodities As A Whole? (7:45) - Breaking Down Oils Current Performance: What Should Investors Expect? (13:00) - Should You Be Investing Into Gold Right Now? (17:15) - The Smart Metal: What Is Copper Telling Us About The Market? (20:30) - The Hidden Gem of Commodities: Where Should You Be Looking? (27:40) - Episode Roundup: CVX, XOM, XLE, XOP, GDX, NEM, ABX, FCX, HSY Podcast!
I bought $NFLX - follow along with all my trades and journal your own here - https://savvytrader.com/Dailystockpick/2023-trading-portfolio I love Webull - Sign up here and get FREE STOCKS I go over the Great 8 and price targets - Nasdaq rebalancing on July 24 FREE NEWSLETTER WITH CHARTS - subscribe at dailystockpick.substack.com SPONSORED BY VISIBLE - Check out this page: https://www.visible.com/get/?3MFGCRG $20 off your first month - only $5 for the first month Use code DSP25 for 25% off Trendspider's platform - https://trendspider.com/?_go=gary93 Sign up for Webull and get free stocks like I did - https://a.webull.com/yNyte9iTQnfaDYFHdv Social Links and more - https://linktr.ee/dailystockpick NOTES $amzn prime day Tomorrow CPI data - I won't do a podcast but I will have the newsletter ________________ Yesterday, almost every stock in the Nasdaq 100 went up EXCEPT the magnificent 7 (AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, TSLA, NVDA, META). The only exception was META that went up because its new Threads app gained a record 100m users in 5 days The Mag 7 declined yesterday because it was announced that the Nasdaq 100 index will be doing a special rebalancing to reduce the weightage of the Mag 7 on 24 July. Currently, Mag 7 makes up 55% of the Nasdaq 100. This weightage change will reduce it to below 50%. This means that Index ETFs that track the Nasdaq 100 will be forced to sell the Mag 7 and rotate the cash into the other 93 stocks. The market has started to price in this change yesterday. I expect the Mag 7 to have a bit of price decline because of this in the short-term... may be a great opportunity for investors to add shares if they get weak enough. Look at $XLE since June $XOM $SLB $OIH $Mro was guy Adamis final trade and I like it $dkng $rivn $uber $pins Look at savy traders portfolio $pltr $ulta $pypl $sedg - $enph too ____________ $DKNG (+8.29%), $SOS (+26.33%), $RIOT (+8.91%), $UPST (+12.37%), $MARA (+7.98%), $IOVA (+21.41%), $GRRR (+27.87%), and $NBTX (+24.52%). Fisker rallying 17% on news of a $340 million convertible note offering that could double. Meanwhile, Carvana shares rose 16% after saying it expects exponential growth in its used EV unit as consumers look for more affordable options Low-float Chinese stocks remain on traders' radars, with Prestige Wealth jumping nearly 500% following last week's initial public offering (IPO) _____________________ Wall Street analysts are bearish on the second half of the year 2023 How accurate are their forecasts? Every single time Wall Street was net negative on S&P500 2nd half of year returns, market delivered positive gains 1999 = 7% 2019 = 9.8% 2020 = 21% 2021 = 10.9% 2023 = ??? $GOOG Google closes below its 50 day SMA today for the first time in nearly four months! Below $115 we have a gap to fill. https://share.trendspider.com/chart/GOOG/29883xattvl Social requests $CAKE - by Sherry $MULN for Joe Mark from Spotify - Gary can you please cover. $gld at least on Mondays and or Fridays. I believe lots of everyday listeners do play GOLD and SILVER options. Thank you in advance. Great news on your dog. Evin on FB - $GWW Sam from fb Hey would you mind taking a look at PAGP. I have been playing around looking for potential breakouts on finviz and this one kinda looks interesting not sure if it's got enough upside left. Carl on YouTube asked about $t Trevor on fb Gary, do you think it's a good time to get into $CAT medium to long term? SCANS $PYPL $ETSY $CRM $GS $UMDD $HIBL $URTY $TARK $ARKG $ARKF $ARKW $ARKK $WYNN $RKT $CAT $SBUX $BLK Vanguard cross ups $VO $RSP $VBK $VWO $VOT $VB --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/dailystockpick/support
In this compilation program, Steve Peasley and Justin Klein field a variety of finance and investment questions from callers across the United States and around the world.Today's Stocks & Topics: Rental Properties, How Much Cash, Index Funds, Investing Signs, Credit Cards, Gold & Silver, Low Contribution Limits, Natural Gas, Credit Ratings, KPP Investing Plans, U.S. Government Debt, The Dollar, Energy Stocks vs. XLE, Treasuries.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
In this compilation program, Steve Peasley and Justin Klein field a variety of finance and investment questions from callers across the United States and around the world.Today's Stocks & Topics: Rental Properties, How Much Cash, Index Funds, Investing Signs, Credit Cards, Gold & Silver, Low Contribution Limits, Natural Gas, Credit Ratings, KPP Investing Plans, U.S. Government Debt, The Dollar, Energy Stocks vs. XLE, Treasuries.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Dan Nathan, Guy Adami and Liz Young break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Thursday, May 11th 0:00 - Intro 5:30 - EY on CPI 11:15 - Yields & Rates 18:00 - Metals & Mining (Gold/Copper) 22:00 - Energy (Crude Oil, OIH & XLE) 26:30 - No Fear Of Debt Default? 32:00 - Google & Disney 35:30 - Earnings Insight MRKT Call is brought to you by our presenting sponsors CME Group, FactSet & SoFi Watch MRKT Call LIVE at 1pm M-TH on YouTube Sign up for our emails Follow us on Twitter @MRKTCall Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow @CarterBWorth on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Like us on Facebook @RiskReversal Watch all of our videos on YouTube
Stock losses accelerated midday after initially showing resilience in light of the stronger than expected jobs report. But Apple managed to post a solid gain, despite its disappointing earnings report. We dive into the market moves and lay out what's next for investors. Plus the XLE energy ETF breaking a 7-week win streak. Has the trade run out of gas, or are there still gains to come?Fast Money Disclaimer
Liz and Jenny break down the 3x weekly email that is sent with high probability trade ideas. This week they take a look at trading the February options in XLE.
Liz and Jenny break down the 3x weekly email that is sent with high probability trade ideas. This week they take a look at trading the February options in XLE.
On this episode of MRKT Call Guy Adami and Dan Nathan discuss: - Stock market rally - Gold and gold miners spiking - Crypto exchange Binance to buy rival FTX - Bearish energy (XLE) trade - Disney earnings preview --- MRKT Call is brought to you by our presenting sponsors FactSet & CME Group Watch MRKT Call LIVE at 1pm M-TH on YouTube Sign up for our emails Follow us on Twitter @MRKTCall Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow @CarterBWorth on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Like us on Facebook @RiskReversal Watch all of our videos on YouTube
Guest: Frank Curzio - a listener favorite is in the house. Markets got faked out - the Fed remains on a rate hike rampage. Frank tells us what he sees the future is going to look like if earnings come down and multiples move to a "normal" level? AND, how to play the potential for a stock market move lover. Frank Curzio can be reached by email at frank@curzioresearch.com Frank Curzio is an equity analyst with close to two decades of experience covering small- and mid-cap stocks. Check out his newsletters. (Free trial subscriptions available) He has been the editor of several well respected newsletters with major companies as well on of the top performers with TheStreet.com where he significantly outperformed the markets during his tenure. He was also a research analyst for Jim Cramer. Frank is the host of Wall Street Unplugged. Frank has been a guest on various media outlets including Fox Business News, CNBC's The Kudlow Report and CNBC's The Call. He has also been mentioned numerous times on Jim Cramer's™s Mad Money, is a featured guest on CNN Radio and has been quoted in financial magazines and websites. Before TheStreet.com, Frank was the editor of The FXC Newsletter and received one of the top rankings by Hulbert's Financial Digest for risk-adjusted performance. Follow @frankcurzio Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ eNVESTOLOGY Info - https://envestology.com/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AAPL), (META), (SPY), (XLE), (GLD), (AMZN)
What a rally to start the week – then came the fade. Oil moving higher – for all the wrong reasons. VIX finally starting to POP – above 30 and rising - what will that mean? We have a giveaway and saying FU to FUD! Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ eNVESTOLOGY Info - https://envestology.com/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AMD), (NKE), (SBUX), (MJ), (MSOS), (XLE)
Markets trying soooo hard to score a win. ECB hops on the BIG rate-hike bandwagon. Oil plunges – weird don't you think? A few thoughts on what is next and a look into ESG investing. Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ eNVESTOLOGY Info - https://envestology.com/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (USO), (XLE), (BRK.B), (TSLA), (TAN)
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