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This week, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones discuss the recent downward revision in job market statistics, the implications for the economy, and the likelihood of a rate cut next week. They analyze the broader economic context of the job revisions, the importance of indicators like the Producer Price Index, and the impact of global market volatility. Then, Steven Meier joins the show. He is the Deputy Comptroller and Chief Investment Officer for the New York City retirement systems. Liz Ann and Kathy discuss his role, the importance of education for retirement plan participants and trustees, the convergence of public and private markets, and the challenges of inflation and liquidity management. Meier shares his thoughts on particular investment strategies, mainly in private equity and fixed income, while also addressing the current state of the public markets and the impact of AI on future investments. The discussion highlights the complexities of asset allocation and the importance of understanding market dynamics.Finally, Kathy and Liz Ann discuss which key economic data to watch in the coming weeks.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.The comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab. All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors.Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are inflation-linked securities issued by the US Government whose principal value is adjusted periodically in accordance with the rise and fall in the inflation rate. Thus, the dividend amount payable is also impacted by variations in the inflation rate, as it is based upon the principal value of the bond. It may fluctuate up or down. Repayment at maturity is guaranteed by the US Government and may be adjusted for inflation to become the greater of the original face amount at issuance or that face amount plus an adjustment for inflation. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are guaranteed by the US Government, but inflation-protected bond funds do not provide such a guarantee.Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.(0925-CPRL)
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Dr. Anas Alhajji. They discuss all things energy, from this past Sunday's Group of 8 meeting to secondary sanctions strategy on India to the reincarnated Power of Siberia 2 pipeline project. https://bit.ly/4gkBeGI Trade Dr. Anas Alhajji's Oil View Live! (Members-Only Guest Pass) Register For A Free Trial To Claim Your Pass! Here: https://dub.link/qt10D1y
Who stands to be the biggest loser if free trade starts to unwind? Who stands to gain? Chief Market Strategist Troy A. Gayeski, CFA dives into his latest strategy note on what trade policy may mean for equities and how investors can respond. Troy joins Content Strategist Harrison Beck to outline his frameworks for understanding the current tariff-inflected environment. He examines the contributing factors of the GDP, U.S. consumer and bank strength, and the concept he coined to describe this kind of market upheaval, “The Galactic Mean Reversion.” Have a question for our experts? Text us for a chance to have your questions answered on the next episode.To watch the video version, go to https://www.youtube.com/@futurestandard_fs For more research insights go to https://futurestandard.com/insights
Host Joe Moravchik talks with St. Olaf Assistant Professor of Economics and Interim Director of Business and Management Studies Naafey Sardar about his courses, his research in Macroeconomics, Energy Economics, and Applied Time Series Econometrics, and more.
Macroeconomic instability and tariff talks were front and center in the second quarter, yet the commercial real estate sector showed a surprising degree of resilience, the latest Global Commercial Property Monitor released by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors in London found. What should you expect going forward? "Many of the current themes that are causing uncertainty at the macro level are most likely going to linger through the second half of 2025," said Tarrant Parsons, head of market analytics, in the latest RICS Monitor podcast episode. Tune in to get all the details!
Join Rick Ormsby and Derek Ball from Unbridled Capital alongside Mike Eagen from Synovus Bank as they discuss the following topics: - Macroeconomic outlook for franchise loans right now? - How have terms changed? - How are credit/risk-making decisions right now? - Which brands are performing well? - Second-half outlook for rates, leverage, and loan volume
Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing tackles that weak US August Employment report, previews the coming week's inflation data, talks about what's been happening in the bond market and explains just what recent get-togethers in China signal about a new world order.Also on the show, ahead of a crunch vote for France's government, Chief Europe Economist Andrew Kenningham talks about why the French political establishment is struggling to break out of its fiscal logjam, and what this all means for the outlook for the government bond market. Analysis and events referenced in this episode:Read: French borrowing costs may soon exceed Italy'sDrop-In: France's political turmoil and the fragility of global bond marketsDrop-In: What's really holding up the commercial real estate recovery?Fracturing in the Age of Trump - London September 2025Fracturing in the Age of Trump - New York October 2025
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Jim Bianco. They discuss, whether a fed rate cut is even a good idea, inflation risks, the unobvious relationship between the jobs report and the southern border, why cutting short term rates could actually shock long-term yields higher, and much much more. https://bit.ly/3Vwtnfp Trade Bianco's Bond View Live! (Members-Only Guest Pass) Register Here: https://dub.link/qt10D1y
Professor Steve Keen returns to Soar Financially to rip apart Ray Dalio's latest warning of an “economic heart attack” in three years. Keen explains why Dalio and mainstream economists are looking at the wrong problem.We discuss why the Fed has no clue what it's doing, why debt panic is brainwashing, and why the U.S. dollar's reserve currency status is actually a death warrant for American manufacturing.-------------------
This week, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones discuss the implications of political pressure on the Federal Reserve, particularly regarding the administration's attempts to influence monetary policy. They explore the potential risks of increased political control over the Fed, the current state of the bond and stock markets, and the importance of economic indicators such as labor market reports and inflation measures. Then, Kevin Gordon, director and senior investment strategist, joins Liz Ann to discuss the situation at the Fed, as well as the state of sectors and factors that could be sensitive to changes in interest rates. Kevin points out that housing is not acting as a traditional macro driver, and he explains the lack of correlation between mortgage rates and the fed funds rate.Finally, Kathy and Liz Ann discuss the data and economic indicators they will be watching in the coming week.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important Disclosures This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors.Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.(0825-6V35)
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Louis-Vincent Gave. They'll discuss his long-term perspective on China's role in the global economy, highlighting both its extraordinary infrastructure ambitions and the challenges of securing foreign capital amid shifting geopolitical realities. https://bit.ly/4mBZRAV ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag
What tensions will yet erupt as the US–China economic relationship unravels? What will the global economy look like in 2040? And what should business and government leaders be doing now to adapt to an era of economic fracturing?The Fractured Age: How the Return of Geopolitics Will Splinter the Global Economy is published on 28 August. In this special episode, author and Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing joins David Wilder to unpack the book's key lessons and to show how today's headlines reveal the deeper forces driving economic fracturing. Explore Capital Economics' data and analysis on global economic fracturing and sign up for our fracturing events this September/October:Singapore (3rd Sept)Hong Kong (4th Sept)London (17th Sept)New York (9th Oct)
China's government is making louder noises about boosting consumption, a shift that's critical not just for rebalancing its investment-heavy economy, but also for easing global imbalances. But are these signals part of a real policy pivot? China Economist Leah Fahy talks to David Wilder about the latest in China's rebalancing story and what it means for the trajectory of its economic growth. Also in this episode: July's US jobs report was a shock, but it's part of a wider slowdown across advanced economies. Chief Global Economist Jennifer McKeown explains what's driving the weakness and how it could shape central bank decisions ahead.Events and analysis referenced in this episode:Read: Chinese overcapacity is a disinflationary gift and a geopolitical threatRead: Millions in China are about to see their take-home pay fallRead: Consumer loan subsidies are a step in the right directionRead: Labour markets weakening in most DMs, not just USData: US Labour MarketData: UK Labour Market IndicatorsKey Issue: The economic and market impact of AIFed Chair Powell at Jackson Hole (Aug 2025)
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Michael Every. They'll discuss Markets, policy, Russia-US summit and much more. https://bit.ly/3JpAnYU
The Garden State, called the “medicine chest” to the world, continues to show robust activity with life sciences firms accounting for nearly 30% of all Q2 leasing activity. Greg Slabodkin Read by Brittany Duncan https://www.pharmamanufacturing.com/all-articles/article/55308250/new-jersey-remains-hot-life-sciences-hub-despite-macroeconomic-funding-headwinds
Market Breadth: NYSE advancers outpaced decliners 4-to-1, suggesting resilience beneath the equity rally (SentimenTrader).Macro Signals: Inflation remains domestically driven; Fed unlikely to cut quickly. U.S. dollar regains strength versus peers (DeepMacro).Dantes Outlook Positioning: Trimmed active tilts, maintaining preference for U.S. equities while adding emerging markets. Funded by profits in gold and inflation hedges. Launched tactical semiconductor strategy based on momentum signals.Bond Market Evolution: Portfolio trading volumes in U.S. corporate bonds surged 54% in H1 2025, boosting liquidity and efficiency (Barclays).Investor Behavior: Morningstar's “Mind the Gap” shows investors underperform funds by ~1.2% annually due to timing mistakes.Forward-Looking Markets: Historical data shows equities often rebound after major payroll revisions, underscoring how markets anticipate economic shifts (Fidelity).Visit us at www.dantesoutlook.com
In this episode, Kathy Jones and Liz Ann Sonders dive into the latest economic data and its implications for the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. They analyze the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and assess the risk of latent stagflation. They also examine the Fed's dilemma in considering a September interest rate cut, a possible 50-basis-point reduction, and ongoing labor market and inflation pressures. Kathy and Liz Ann stress the importance of looking beyond headline figures to understand revisions and underlying economic trends. They also address recent changes at the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and their potential impact on the reliability of economic data. Finally, Kathy and Liz Ann discuss the data and economic indicators they will be watching in the coming week.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Technical analysis is not recommended as a sole means of investment research.Diversification, asset allocation, and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.This information is not a specific recommendation, individualized tax, legal, or investment advice. Tax laws are subject to change, either prospectively or retroactively. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, individuals should contact their own professional tax and investment advisors or other professionals (CPA, Financial Planner, Investment Manager, Estate Attorney) to help answer questions about specific situations or needs prior to taking any action based upon this information.Rebalancing may cause investors to incur transaction costs and, when a non-retirement account is rebalanced, taxable events may be created that may affect your tax liability.Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.(0825-YCMU)
Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing tackles the week's biggest macro and market questions, including: what could Beijing do after more weak China data? Why tariffs aren't showing up more in the US economy? How much have the latest inflation reports shifted the Fed's rate-cut debate – and should the Treasury Secretary be taking shots at central banks?Also: Chief Markets Economist John Higgins on why we've lifted our S&P 500 forecasts, the limits of valuation metrics, and the risks markets face from an unpredictable – and increasingly emboldened – president.Plus: In a clip from our online Drop-In client briefing, Shilan Shah on what's gone wrong in India-US relations and how 50% tariffs could hit India's economy.Analysis and events referenced in this episode:CAP: Growth slows in Q2 despite resilient industryIn-person events: Fracturing in the age of TrumpS&P 500: onwards and upwards for this year and nextDrop-In: India in Trump's firing line – What's at stake for the economy and markets
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Ole Hansen. They'll discuss all things commodities from tariffs to energy to precious metals and much more. https://bit.ly/3Uu4vog
An independent central bank is the key to providing credibility to its monetary policy choices; credibility which anchors inflation expectations and allows a central bank to manage the demand-side of the economy and meet its mandate. In this episode of All the Credit®, we highlight the importance of central bank independence, discussing its significance, potential threats, and the implications of political interference—particularly in the context of the U.S. Federal Reserve. PGIM's Tom Porcelli, Deputy Head of Global Economics and Chief U.S. Economist, hosts this discussion with Daleep Singh, Vice Chair and Chief Global Economist, and Katharine Neiss, PhD, Deputy Head of Global Economics and Chief European Economist. Recorded on August 5, 2025.
Topics Covered:Portfolio construction in today's macro climate — balancing risk, correlations, and tracking error.Credit market health — Morningstar DBRS and Proskauer data show improving leverage, coverage, and default rates.Bond market reset — Deutsche Bank's historical context on the worst 5-year Treasury returns and forward expectations.Opportunities in core bonds — PIMCO's view on yields, international duration, and diversification benefits.DeepMacro model positioning — long USD, contrarian equity overweight, and rates strategy.Trend-following under pressure — why CTAs are lagging in 2025.Emerging markets strategy — Victor Zhou on activeness, tracking error, and the under-researched alpha potential in EM small caps.Key Takeaways:Dollar correlations are a driver of our U.S. equity overweight.Credit fundamentals are stronger, with default rates falling.Bond valuations have reset, creating better entry points, but real returns may remain modest.Trend-following struggles highlight the need for multi-strategy systematic approaches.In emerging markets, higher activeness and small-cap allocations improve alpha opportunities.References:Morningstar DBRSProskauer Private Credit Default ReportDeutsche Bank Global Markets ResearchPIMCO Fixed Income OutlookDeepMacro Model PositioningState Street Emerging Markets Strategy Research
After an extraordinarily divisive Bank of England policy meeting, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing explores why it's become so difficult to get a clear read on the UK economy. Part of the problem lies with the data – an issue now making headlines in the US following Donald Trump's dismissal of the Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner. Neil explains what this means for the credibility of official data and what to watch for in the upcoming BLS inflation release, which could prove pivotal for the Fed's September decision. Plus, Thomas Ryan from our US team looks at why Trump's promises to restore American manufacturing are likely to fall far short of reality.Analysis and events referenced in this episode:Read: Miran a good pick for the FedRead: Integrity of economic data safe for nowUS Drop-In: Are higher tariff rates fuelling inflation – and how should the Fed respond?Data: UK Employment IndicatorRead: Tariffs will not fix decades-long manufacturing decline
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Daniel Lacalle. They'll discuss tariffs, recession risks, the European perspective on U.S. geopolitics and markets, the future of the EU's relationship with the United States, precious metals, energy, and much more. https://bit.ly/4llKZ8z
Rashad Ahmed is a former Treasury and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency financial economist and is currently an economist at the upstart Andresen Institute for Finance and Economics. In Rashad's first appearance on the show, he discusses the real-world impacts of the GENIUS Act, what US stablecoin regulation means for the rest of the world, the state of crypto adoption, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on June 27th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow Rashad Ahmed on X: @VARshad_ Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel Timestamps 00:00:00 - Bumper 00:00:31 - Intro 00:01:44 - Rashad's Career 00:07:33 - Global State of Crypto 00:23:48 - Stablecoins and Safe Asset Prices 00:40:00 - Sovereign Default Risk and Cryptocurrency Adoption 00:56:51 - Outro
Craig Hemke, Founder and Editor of TF Metals Report, joins me for a wide-ranging discussion on the macroeconomic market movers over the last few weeks and looking ahead to a potential cattle call into gold, silver, and the precious metals equities. We also dig into the whipsaw copper pricing as a result of the Trump tariff policies and where things may settle out. Topics we discuss: Craig walks us through the macroeconomics forces at work between US fiscal policy and Fed monetary policy, and how interest rates trends, and the potential for yield curve controls will likely push the US dollar lower, and the precious metals sector higher. He points out the jobs report numbers, and downward revisions of the prior 2 months jobs metrics. Craig highlights the potential policy error that Jerome Powell and the Fed have made in delaying cutting the Fed funds rate by pointing to strong jobs figures the last few months as proof of a robust economy. Now it is clear they were not nearly as strong as reported. Craig feels the pathway forward from the Trump administration is to either remove Powell early, or replace him as soon as possible next year with a dovish Fed chairman that will move to quickly cut interest rates and work in concert with the US Treasury Department. The plan will be to lower rates to reduce down the burden of debt repayment, but then also to keep spending with fiscal policy to try and grow (and by default inflate) our way out of the current situation. The US dollar's recent rally may ending up having been a head-fake, which caught some market participants off-sides, as the greenback has already started rolling over lower once again. This dollar weakness and worse-than-anticipated jobs data has boosted the precious metals sector at the end of last week and we are seeing follow through strength in gold and silver to kick off this week. We also discussed how copper pricing went on a wild ride building up to the proposed 50% copper tariffs, but then reversed down sharply when it turned out the tariffs were only on finished copper products, but not copper concentrates or refined copper itself. Craig outlined how silver, platinum, and palladium got caught up in that move higher in copper, and did reverse down initially with copper's crash lower, but have since stabilized and started trekking back higher again with gold. We wrap up discussing the moves we've seen lately in PM producers on the back of strong Q2 numbers, noting Agnico Eagle's recent barn-burner quarter, and that we are already one third of the way through Q3 with even higher average metals prices. If people get a sense that these macro forces and higher underlying gold and silver prices are going to stay elevated, then there could be a cattle-call and stampede into the precious metals equities. Click here to visit Craig's website – TF Metals Report
This week, Kevin Gordon fills in for Liz Ann Sonders while she is on vacation. Kevin and Kathy Jones discuss the current state of the markets, focusing on tariff implications, inflation concerns, labor market dynamics, and sector performance. They explore how these factors influence investment strategies and the overall economic outlook, emphasizing the importance of understanding underlying trends and potential volatility ahead.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.This information is not a specific recommendation, individualized tax, legal, or investment advice. Tax laws are subject to change, either prospectively or retroactively. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, individuals should contact their own professional tax and investment advisors or other professionals (CPA, Financial Planner, Investment Manager, Estate Attorney) to help answer questions about specific situations or needs prior to taking any action based upon this informationForecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.The Sahm Rule or Sahm Recession Indicator signals the start of a recession when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate (U3) rises by 0.50 percentage points or more relative to the minimum of the three-month averages from the previous 12 months.(0825-S806)
Does July's grim US jobs report vindicate the Fed's dissenters who pushed for rate cuts this week? Deputy Chief North America Economist Stephen Brown and Deputy Chief Markets Economist Jonas Goltermann unpack what the latest data reveal about the health of the US economy, the Fed's strategy and how markets are reacting. Plus, with AI's global rollout pointing to formidable energy demands, Climate and Commodities Economist Olivia Cross explains where the supply will come from.Analysis and events referenced in this episode:Read: Tariff impact on inflation slowly buildingData: Tariff Impact ModelData: China-US Rerouting dashboardRead: How the AI race will reshape global energy marketsKey Issue: The economic and market impact of AI
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Rick Rule. They'll discuss oil, uranium, gold and silver, and much more. https://bit.ly/40McC34
In this episode of Coin Stories, Natalie Brunell talks with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Chief Strategist of QI Research and former Fed advisor, breaking down what's really going on with the U.S. economy. Topics discussed: The "silent recession" crushing the Middle Class Why people earning $150k feel poor The truth about recent economy data points, tariff impacts and inflation Fiscal dominance vs monetary policy What will happen if the Fed lowers interest rates in September? Has Danielle changed her perspective on Bitcoin? Danielle is the author of "FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve Is Bad for America." Subscribe to QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com. Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on X at https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth ---- Coin Stories is powered by Gemini. Invest as you spend with the Gemini Credit Card. Sign up today to earn a $200 intro Bitcoin bonus. The Gemini Credit Card is issued by WebBank. See website for rates & fees. 10% back at golf courses is available until 9/30/2025 on up to $250 in spend per month. Learn more at https://www.gemini.com/natalie ---- Coin Stories is powered by Bitwise. Bitwise has over $10B in client assets, 32 investment products, and a team of 100+ employees across the U.S. and Europe, all solely focused on Bitcoin and digital assets since 2017. Learn more at https://www.bitwiseinvestments.com ---- Ledn is the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. Learn more at https://www.Ledn.io/natalie ---- Natalie's Bitcoin Product and Event Links: Earn 2-4% back in Bitcoin on all your purchases with the orange Gemini Bitcoin credit card: https://www.gemini.com/natalie Secure your Bitcoin with collaborative custody and set up your inheritance plan with Casa: https://www.casa.io/natalie Block's Bitkey Cold Storage Wallet was named to TIME's prestigious Best Inventions of 2024 in the category of Privacy & Security. Get 20% off using code STORIES at https://bitkey.world Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/natalie For easy, low-cost, instant Bitcoin payments, I use Speed Lightning Wallet. Get 5000 sats when you download using this link and promo code COINSTORIES10: https://www.speed.app/sweepstakes-promocode/ Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput= Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie Your Bitcoin oasis awaits at Camp Nakamoto: A retreat for Bitcoiners, by Bitcoiners. Code HODL for discounted passes: https://massadoptionbtc.ticketspice.com/camp-nakamoto ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
Paul Kupiec is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. In Paul's first appearance on the show, he discusses life at a think tank, the insolvency of the Fed, theories on how to fix the Fed's balance sheet, Ted Cruz's call to end interest on reserves, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on June 24th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:14 - Paul's Career 00:08:12 - Think Tanks 00:10:42 - Current State of the Fed's Balance Sheet 00:20:22 - The Federal Reserve and Gold 00:23:04 - The Fed's Unique Accounting 00:39:28 - Ending Interest on Reserve Payments to Banks 00:50:08 - Outro
Arif Joshi serves as a Portfolio Manager and Analyst on Lazard Asset Management's Emerging Markets Debt team. Our conversation focuses on recent and ongoing developments surrounding US trade policy, along with implications to the economy, and international markets. We also spend some time on pressing geopolitical topics such as the condition of the US-China relationship, along with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine War. Host: Daniel Cassidy
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Dr Pippa Malmgren. They discuss everything from the future of Stablecoins and the fate of the U.S. dollar as reserve currency to America's possible transition into a 7th party political system and even some shocking revelations about Jeffrey Epstein that go far beyond the usual headlines. https://bit.ly/3H2eFt1
In the midst of another all-time market high, Doug and Greg discuss the potential for a new cycle of exuberance driven by IPOs. They delve into the significant market cap of tech giants like Nvidia and Microsoft, the incredible impact of AI on GDP growth and economic resilience, and the opportunities for small and mid-cap stocks. They also cover trade agreements, the relationship between interest rates and valuation, and how rate cuts could affect the economy. Key Takeaways [00:16] - Is the IPO window about to open again? [05:25] - The incredible (economy-saving?) impact of AI [06:08] - Will we see a resurgence for small and mid-cap stocks? [11:58] - Macroeconomics and trade agreements [14:47] - Speculating on the Fed Chair spat and interest rates View Transcript Links The market cap weighting of Nvidia and Microsoft in the S&P 500 is 15% AI Capex is Eating the Economy Connect with our hosts Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com Disclosure The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener's individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener's choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.
Over the summer, The Bid brings back some of the best episodes from the last year. Kicking off the series, hosts Oscar and Stevie take a look back on one of the most popular episodes, recorded live on location in Davos, Switzerland.In a special episode recorded from Davos, host Oscar Pulido is joined by Philipp Hildebrand, Vice Chairman of BlackRock, and Tom Donilon, Chairman of the BlackRock Investment Institute, to discuss the latest insights on the macroeconomic and geopolitical outlook for 2025. Philipp and Tom will provide their expert analysis on how these dynamics are shaping the global economic environment and what it means for investors and policymakers, offering listeners a behind-the-scenes perspective from Davos. Original episode aired January 24th 2025Key moments in this episode:00:00 Introduction to The Bid's Best of Summer Series00:49 Oscar's Favorite Episode: Geopolitics Live from Davos03:02 Insights from Davos: Geopolitical and Economic Outlook05:35 The Impact of AI and Technology07:41 US-China Relations and Global Fragmentation10:59 Economic Outlook for 202518:02 Europe's Response to Global Challenges26:00 Reflections and Closing Remarks
In this week's episode, Kathy and Liz Ann discuss the June inflation data, its implications for the market, and the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. They explore the impact of tariffs on inflation, the rise in global yields, and the dynamics of the dollar. The discussion also touches on complacency, the influence of AI on the economy and the challenges facing stagnation in the housing market. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Currency trading is speculative, volatile and not suitable for all investors.The information and content provided herein is general in nature and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended, and should not be construed, as a specific recommendation, individualized tax, legal, or investment advice. Tax laws are subject to change, either prospectively or retroactively. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, individuals should contact their own professional tax and investment advisors or other professionals (CPA, Financial Planner, Investment Manager) to help answer questions about specific situations or needs prior to taking any action based upon this information.Options carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Certain requirements must be met to trade options through Schwab. Please read the Options Disclosure Document titled "Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options" before considering any option transaction. Futures and futures options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Please read the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options prior to trading futures products.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.(0725-KMRT)
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Darius Dale. They discuss why Darius is bullish on U.S. equities, echoing Lyn Alden's recent views, as the U.S. pivots to a pro-growth fiscal policy aimed at "growing our way out" of its national debt crisis. But Darius also warns that if this strategy fails, the likely fallback will be monetary debasement, so investors should take profits before that chapter begin. https://bit.ly/3GRPBou
The annual Kagan Media and Telecom Summit in New York is in the books and it not only covered a lot of market activity, but it was also surrounded by a number of media and sports rights headlines. Justin Nielson, Eric Keith, Scott Robson and Seth Shafer joined host Eric Hanselman to look at what was covered in the expansive event and the time around it. There were big shifts in media rights and a couple of sports team sales that led to lively discussions. Networks are balking at some of the lofty prices for sports media rights in the face of streaming services' higher demand. The realignment of regional sports coverage is still shaking out, as well. Media consolidation keeps hovering, but will it always be next year's prospect? Macroeconomic uncertainty seems to be playing a role and the pendulum on cord cutting seems to be swinging back around. In broadband, the reset of the BEAD program has states scrambling to reapply under the new, much tighter deadline. Will this drive fixed wireless access (FWA)? Satellite is still a possibility in remote regions, but costs may hold it back. Private equity activity in fiber networks could be reaching a tipping point, as their investments mature and operators' partners shift strategies. There was a lot in store and much more to come. More S&P Global Content: Kagan Media and Telecom Summit event link For S&P Global subscribers: A sneak preview of the Kagan Media & Telecom Summit 2025 See it in charts: TV Networks, June 2025 Comcast strikes sports network deal; Streaming services expand sports viewing New media rights deal a slam dunk for the NBA Kagan Media & Telecom Summit 2025: Broadband panel discussion Credits: Host/Author: Eric Hanselman Guests: Justin Nielson, Erik Keith, Scott Robson, Seth Shafer Producer/Editor: Adam Kovalsky Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun, Kyra Smith
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Lyn Alden. They discuss why Lyn believes investors should run their portfolios hot in today's environment. With fiscal policy now driving market outcomes more than monetary, Lyn argues this backdrop supports further upside for equity markets. https://bit.ly/4lFuowO
Jordan Brooks serves as Principal and Co-Head of the Macro Strategies Group at AQR Capital Management. With no shortage of macroeconomic and geopolitical risks out there for investors to consider, Jordan explains what is top of mind for his team at AQR, and shares guidance when it comes to navigating these types of risks accordingly (including the role alternative investments can play in a portfolio). Host: Daniel Cassidy
Mohnish Pabrai's Session with Divya Narendra at SumZero on June 10, 2025. (00:00:00) - Introduction (00:00:57) - Berkshire Hathaway: Greg Abel (00:07:59) - Mag 7 (00:11:16) - Microsoft: Dinner with Bill Gates (00:16:45) - Investing in commodities (00:18:59) - Met Coal & Berkshire's investment in Burlington Northern Railroads (00:23:44) - Thermal Coal vs. Metallurgical Coal (00:26:28) - Learning from mistakes; Selling a stock (00:28:51) - Shipping and Offshore oil drilling businesses; Nobel & Valaris (00:32:09) - Challenges for the coal industry (00:36:11) - Investment in Turkiye -TAV Airports; Laguardia (00:38:25) - Indian Energy Exchange & National Stock Exchange (00:39:28) - Macroeconomic factors and impact on the portfolio (00:43:54) - Book recommendation; Buffett and Munger Unscripted (00:45:08) - Investing in global markets (00:46:06) - Portfolio concentration; Walmart & the Walton family (00:47:59) - Geopolitics The contents of this website are for educational and entertainment purposes only, and do not purport to be, and are not intended to be, financial, legal, accounting, tax or investment advice. Investments or strategies that are discussed may not be suitable for you, do not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and are not intended to provide investment advice or recommendations appropriate for you. Before making any investment or trade, consider whether it is suitable for you and consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Larry McDonald. They'll discuss everything from copper to the dollar to precious metals. https://bit.ly/3Gqe0Bt
So far, 2025 has been a year of sharp policy shifts and heightened macroeconomic uncertainty. With volatility becoming the new normal, how can investors stay grounded? In this episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido welcomes back Glenn Purves, Global Head of Macro at the BlackRock Investment Institute, to break down the firm's 2025 Midyear Outlook.They explore why the long-term economic picture has become less predictable, how mega forces like AI and geopolitical fragmentation are reshaping global economic markets, and what “investing in the here and now” really means. From the role of private capital in funding infrastructure and energy to the balance between strategic and tactical asset allocation, Glenn shares how investors can find opportunity amid uncertainty in the economy—and what risks investors should watch for in the second half of the year.Sources: 2025 Midyear Outlook, BlackRock Investment InstituteKey moments in this episode:00:00 Introduction to 2025 Market Volatility01:55 Introducing the Investment Midyear Outlook02:46 Geopolitical Fragmentation and Mega Forces03:48 3 Investment Themes In 202505:10 Navigating Uncertainty and Risk08:47 The Role of AI and Energy in Investments13:19 Geopolitical Landscape and Trade Policies16:49 Conclusion and Key Takeaways19:30 Summer Series on The Bid
Mark Blyth is a professor of international economics at Brown University. In Mark's first appearance on the show, he discusses his new book Inflation: A Guide for Users and Losers, the concept of angrynomics, a new way to look at price controls, demographic decline, and much more. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on June 4th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow Mark on X: @MkBlyth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:00:50 - Angrynomics 00:03:56 - Motivation for ‘Inflation: A Guide for Users and Losers' 00:08:27 - Five Things They Don't Tell You About Inflation 00:14:32 - Good, Bad, and Ugly Inflation 00:18:14 - Interest Rates and Inflation 00:21:33 - Price Controls 00:26:13 - Stories About Inflation 00:35:03 - Hyperinflation 00:42:24 - Pandemic Inflation 00:58:00 - Disinflation, China, and Demographic Decline 01:00:30 - Recommendations for Policymakers 01:02:00 - Outro
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, David Rosenberg. They discuss the equity market outlook, inflation, precious metals, the U.S. Dollar, and much more. https://bit.ly/3TJ6MLO
Sam Schulhofer-Wohl is a senior vice president and the senior advisor to President Lorie Logan of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Sam returns to the show to discuss recent macroeconomic conferences in the context of changes in the Treasury market and with central bank operating systems around the globe. Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links. Recorded on May 27th, 2025 Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings Check out our Macro Musings merch! Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel Timestamps 00:00:00 - Bumper 00:00:20 - Intro 00:01:19 - Monetary Policy Conferences 00:03:15 - Role of Nonbank Institutions in the Treasury and Money Markets 00:07:48 - Central Clearing 00:33:19 - Operating Systems in Central Banks 00:49:52 - Outro
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Jeff Currie. They'll discuss what Jeff calls the “New Joule Order” and why Jeff says there's really no limit to how much higher the price of Gold can go given the current macro backdrop. https://bit.ly/4na3hvu
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Rory Johnston. They'll discuss Rory's view that the WTI forward curve has taken an unprecedented and bizarre shape, and much more. https://bit.ly/4jSlHOz
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Vincent Deluard. They'll discuss why Vincent says recessions have been cancelled by monetary policy, and what he sees on the horizon for asset markets. https://bit.ly/43OuZVM
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Mike Green. They'll discuss the tariffs, what they're really being used for, and why Mike says the President is contradicting himself every time he talks about them. https://bit.ly/4kINH8c